20* Rockets/Grizzlies NBA TV No-Brainer on Memphis +5.5 

The Memphis Grizzlies are playing their best basketball of the season.  They are 12-6 SU & 13-4-1 ATS in their last 18 games overall.  They have won five straight coming in including road upsets of the Clippers and Suns. 

The Houston Rockets are just 1-3 SU & 0-4 ATS in their last four road games.  They lost at New Orleans by 15, at Golden State by 12 as 11-point favorites, at Oklahoma City by 21 as 1-3-point favorites and failed to cover in a win at Atlanta as 7.5-point favorites.  Now the Rockets will be without Russell Westbrook tonight due to a rest day. 

Memphis is 15-5 ATS in home games when revenging a same-season loss over the last two seasons.  The Rockets are 12-28-1 ATS in their last 41 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.  Houston is 1-6 ATS in its last seven road games vs. a team with a losing home record.  Bet the Grizzlies Tuesday. 

20* AAC GAME OF THE MONTH on Tulane -1 

The Tulane Green Wave are one of the most improved teams in the country this season under first-year head coach Ron Hunter.  He was great at IUPUI and Georgia State before and now he’s doing big things at Tulane already. 

Indeed, the Green Wave are off to a 10-6 start this season.  They are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall against the cream of the crop in the AAC.  They covered at Memphis as 15-point dogs, upset Cincinnati as 8-point home dogs, covered as 10-point dogs at UConn and upset Temple by 14 as 9-point road dogs.  The Green Wave are 6-0 at home this season and winning by 15.0 points per game. 

UCF lost all but one starter that helped them make some noise in the NCAA Tournament last year.  The Knights aren’t close to the same team they were last season.  They are just 9-7 with five straight losses coming in.  They lost at Houston by 15, but 4 at home to Temple and by 14 at home to Cincinnati.  That gives these teams a few common opponents that show Tulane is the superior squad. 

The Green Wave are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning record.  Tulane is 16-5 ATS in its last 21 games overall.  The favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.  Bet Tulane Tuesday. 

15* NBA Tuesday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Phoenix Suns -3 

The Phoenix Suns have gotten healthy and are starting to play like they did to start the season.  The Suns are 5-3 in their last eight games overall.  They have pulled road upsets over the Kings and Blazers during this stretch. 

Now the Suns go on the road and fave a hapless Atlanta Hawks team that is just 2-15 SU in its last 17 games overall.  The Hawks have lost four straight with some bad losses by 10 at Washington and by 22 at Brooklyn in their last two games.  Injuries are really taking their toll on the Hawks With Fernando, Parker and Len out while both Hunter and Young are questionable. 

The Suns are 6-1 ATS in their last seven road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The Hawks are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a losing record.  The Suns are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings in Atlanta and 30-14 ATS in their last 44 meetings overall.  Take the Suns Tuesday. 

15* CBB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Texas A&M +6.5 

Buzz Williams took the job at Texas A&M after turning around Virginia Tech.  And after a slow start to the season, Williams has the Aggies playing their best basketball of the year entering SEC play. 

Texas A&M has gone 5-1 SU & 4-2 ATS in its last six games overall.  Their only loss came on the road by 10 to Arkansas as 14.5-point dogs.  They beat Oregon State by 15 as 6.5-point home dogs, upset Ole Miss by 10 as 3-point home dogs and crushed Vanderbilt by 19 as 3.5-point road dogs. 

Now the Aggies are once again getting zero respect from oddsmakers as 6.5-point home dogs to LSU.  The Tigers are getting too much respect for their four-game winning streak, which features non-covers in narrow home wins over Arkansas by 2 and Mississippi State by 1 in their last two games coming in. 

Texas A&M is 9-2 ATS off a road game over the last two seasons.  LSU is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.  The Aggies are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.  Take Texas A&M Tuesday. 

15* Cavs/Lakers NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Cleveland +14 

Cleveland head coach John Beilein recently held a team meeting to apologize for using the word thug when he meant to say slug in a film session.  It’s obvious his players have his back with the way they have performed their last two games. 

Indeed, the Cavaliers went on the road and beat the Pistons outright as 7.5-point dogs in the first game following the meeting.  And then they went on the road Saturday and upset the Nuggets 111-103 as 12.5-point dogs.  Now they are catching 14 points to the Lakers, which is simply too much. 

The Lakers have six players on their injury report right now.  Both Anthony Davis and Danny Green are questionable tonight, while Lebron James and Avery Bradley are probable.  I just can’t see the Lakers being too motivated to face the Cavaliers tonight and that’s going to make it tough to cover this massive 14-point spread.  Especially since it’s a letdown spot off back-to-back road wins at Dallas and Oklahoma City. 

The Lakers are 10-31 ATS in their last 41 home games after scoring 105 points or more in three straight games.  Plays on road underdogs (Cleveland) off a road win, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 54-21 (72%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Roll with the Cavaliers Monday. 

15* NBA Monday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Charlotte Hornets +9.5 

The Portland Trail Blazers have to win by double-digits to beat us tonight.  That’s asking too much for a struggling Portland team that is 2-8 SU & 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall. 

This number is adjusted too much for the Hornets playing a back-to-back here.  They covered in a 92-100 loss at Phoenix last night.  And this is a young Hornets team that doesn’t get affected as much as most teams would in these back-to-back situations. 

The Hornets are 3-1 ATS in their last four road games with upset wins over both the Mavericks and Cavaliers.  Charlotte is 24-12 ATS off two or more consecutive losses over the last two seasons.  The Hornets are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.  The Blazers are 0-4 ATS in their last four home games.  Take the Hornets Monday. 

15* Arizona/Oregon State FS1 Late-Night BAILOUT on Oregon State +4.5 

Head coach Wayne Tinkle is doing a great job at Oregon State.  He has the Beavers off to an 11-4 SU & 10-5 ATS start this season.  And I believe the Beavers have a great chance to upset Arizona at home today. 

Oregon State has a great home-court advantage in going 7-1 SU & 6-2 ATS in all home games this season.  They are coming off an upset home loss to Arizona State, so they’ll be motivated to bounce back tonight.  It was a letdown spot off their upset win as 7.5-point dogs at Colorado. 

Arizona is also 11-4, but the Wildcats have feasted on a home-heavy schedule.  They are 0-2 in their two true road games with losses at Baylor and Oregon.  They also lost to Gonzaga at home and to St. John’s on a neutral. 

Arizona is 0-7 ATS in road games off a loss over the last two seasons.  Oregon State is 14-2 ATS in its last 16 games following an ATS loss.  The Wildcats are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games.  The Beavers are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a SU loss.  Roll with Oregon State Sunday. 

15* NBA Sunday PLAY OF THE DAY on Denver Nuggets +1 

The Denver Nuggets are coming off a bad home loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers as 12.5-point favorites.  But you could see that letdown coming with the Clippers on deck today. 

Now, the Nuggets will come back highly motivated for a win at home here tonight.  And I’m not concerned about the back-to-back for them.  They are one of the deepest teams in the NBA, plus they had two days off before that Cleveland game. 

The Clippers have struggled to put away some bad teams lately.  They are 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall.  They lost 114-140 at home to the Grizzlies as 10-point favorites, only beat the Knicks by 3 as 10-point home favorites and only beat the Warriors by 9 as 14.5-point home favorites.  And the Clippers are likely to be without Paul George again tonight. 

The Clippers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a win.  The Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings and 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings in Denver as well.  Take the Nuggets Sunday. 

15* MVC PLAY OF THE DAY on Southern Illinois +7.5 

The Bradley Braves are without their best player in Elijah Childs (14.2 PPG, 9.1 RPG) for the foreseeable future.  They are also without key role player Stephen Gabriel (4.0 PPG, 50% 3-pointers).  They are fade material for the foreseeable future until they get Childs back. 

Southern Illinois is playing too well to be catching 7.5 points from Bradley tonight.  The Salukis are 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.  They beat Illinois State by 12 and Valpo by 13 in their last two games coming in. 

Southern Illinois is 60-28 ATS in its last 88 road games after having won four of its last five games coming in.  Bradley is 0-6 ATS vs. poor rebounding teams that are outrebounded by 4-plus boards per game over the last three seasons.  Bradley’s rebounding edge is definitely minimized with the loss of top rebounder Childs.  Roll with Southern Illinois Saturday. 

20* NBA BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Boston Celtics -9.5 

It’s safe to say the Boston Celtics will be highly motivated for a victory Saturday.  They are riding a season-high three-game losing streak coming in.  They will take out their frustration on the New Orleans Pelicans tonight with a blowout victory. 

This is a tough spot for the Pelicans.  They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 6th game in 9 days after beating the Knicks on the road last night.  This 6 in 9 days is as tough as it gets in the NBA.  I think they run out of gas tonight, especially since they will be without two starters in Jrue Holiday and Derrick Favors. 

Plays on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Boston) - after failing to cover three of their last four ATS against an opponent that covered four of their last five ATS are 51-20 (71.8%) ATS over the last five seasons.  The Celtics have won their last two meetings with the Pelicans by 13 at home and by 17 on the road.  Bet the Celtics Saturday. 

20* Big East GAME OF THE WEEK on Seton Hall -5.5 

The Seton Hall Pirates are one of the best teams in the country and still undervalued.  They are 11-4 on the season with five straight wins and covers including home wins over Maryland and Georgetown as well as road wins over Xavier and DePaul.   

The Pirates have held all 15 opponents this season below their season average, which is a big reason they rank 11th in adjusted defensive efficiency.  In 6 of their 11 wins have had held their opponents to 10 or more points below their season averages. 

Marquette is 1-2 in true road games with their lone win at Kansas State.  They were blasted by 16 at Wisconsin and by 17 at Creighton and Seton Hall is better than both of those teams.  The Golden Eagles were just upset at home by Providence as well. 

The Pirates are 8-0 ATS vs. teams who average 40 or more rebounds per game over the last two seasons.  The Pirates are 7-1 ATS at home this season.  The Golden Eagles are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games as road underdogs.  Bet Seton Hall Saturday. 

15* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Penn State -3 

The Penn State Nittany Lions are one of the most improved teams in the country this season.  They are off to a 12-3 start with all three of their losses coming on the road. 

The Nittany Lions are undervalued after their upset loss at Rutgers, which is also one of the most improved teams in the land.  But now Penn State is back home where it is 9-0 this season and winning by 20.6 points per game. 

Wisconsin was also upset by Illinois last time out, but that was at home.  The Badgers are 2-5 in all games played away from home with neutral court losses to the likes of St. Mary’s, Richmond and New Mexico, as well as true game road losses to NC State by 15 and Rutgers by 7. 

The Badgers are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games off a loss.  The Nittany Lions are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games off a loss.  Penn State is 10-4-1 ATS in its last 15 home games.  Roll with Penn State Saturday. 

15* CBB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Indiana State -6.5 

The Indiana State Sycamores are clearly one of the best teams in the Missouri Valley this season.  They had won eight straight prior to two tough road losses to Drake by 4 and Northern Iowa by 8, which are also among the best teams in the MVC. 

Now the Sycamores are back home where they were last seen beating Southern Illinois by 12.  Indiana State is 5-0 at home this season.  Now they take on a down Illinois State team that returned just one starter this year and is off to a 6-9 start. 

Illinois State is 0-7 in all games played away from home this season.  They lost by 12 at Southern Illinois, the same team that Indiana State beat by 12. The home team is 6-0 SU & 4-2 ATS in the last six meetings.  Indiana State won by 23 and by 30 in its last two home meetings with Illinois State. 

The Redbirds are 2-7 ATS in their last nine road games.  The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.  Take Indiana State Saturday. 

20* Lakers/Mavs ESPN No-Brainer on Dallas -2 

The Dallas Mavericks just lost to the Lakers 95-108 on the road on December 29th.  They have now lost two of three meetings to the Lakers, including an overtime loss where the Lakers tied it at the buzzer at the end of regulation.  The Mavericks want revenge and to tie the season series at 2-2 tonight. 

The good news for the Mavericks is that they won’t have to go up against Anthony Davis tonight due to a tailbone injury suffered against the Knicks last time out.  The Lakers are only a shell of themselves without Davis, who leads them in scoring (27.1 PPG), rebounding (9.4 RPG) and blocks (2.6 BPG). 

The Mavericks are a perfect 9-0 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite this season, coming back to win by 11.2 points per game.  Dallas is 8-0 ATS off a home loss this season.  The Lakers are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall.  Los Angeles is 1-5 ATS in its last six games vs. a team with a winning record.  Bet the Mavericks Friday. 

15* CBB Friday PLAY OF THE DAY on Providence +2 

The Providence Friars have turned the corner and are playing their best basketball of the season right now.  They are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.  They blasted Texas by 22 and Georgetown by 16 at home, while also pulling road upset wins over DePaul and Marquette. 

Now the Friars are playing with a ton of confidence and will welcome the opportunity to face a Top 10 team in Butler in what should be a great home atmosphere for them.  It’s what I believe to be a fraudulent 14-1 Butler team that is nowhere near as good as their record. 

Providence is 11-3 SU & 11-3 ATS in its last 14 meetings with Butler, including 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in its last six home meetings.  Butler has played three true road games this season losing to Baylor and winning narrowly at St. John’s by 2 and by 9 over Ole Miss.  This is their toughest test since that loss to Baylor. 

Butler is 5-16 ATS in road games against conference opponents over the last three seasons.  Providence is 7-1 SU at home this season.  The home team is 8-1 ATS in the last nine meetings.  Roll with Providence Friday. 

15* Pelicans/Knicks ESPN ANNIHILATOR on New Orleans -4 

The New Orleans Pelicans are playing their best basketball of the season.  They are 6-2 SU & 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight games overall with their only losses coming on the road to the Lakers by 10 as 10-point dogs and at home to the Jazz by 2 as 4-point dogs.  They have road wins over the Blazers, Nuggets and Kings during this stretch as well as home wins over the Pacers, Rockets and Bulls. 

The New York Knicks are 0-4 SU & 1-3 ATS in their last four games overall.  They are coming off a 24-point loss at Utah that followed up a 30-point loss at the Lakers.  This is a tired team that will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days now after playing in altitude. 

It’s a very difficult spot for the Knicks.  They are coming off a four-game road trip, and I like to fade teams returning home from a long road trip.  Making matters worse is that the Knicks will be without their best player in Julius Randle (18.5 PPG, 9.1 RPG) and could be without leading scorer Marcus Morris (19.1 PPG) again as well. 

New York is 1-9 ATS in home games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days over the last two seasons.  It is losing by 15.2 points per game in this spot.  The Pelicans are 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight games overall.  Take the Pelicans Friday. 

15* BYU/St. Mary’s ESPN 2 Late-Night BAILOUT on St. Mary’s -3 

The St. Mary’s Gaels are coming off a bad upset road loss to Pacific 99-107 as 8.5-point favorites on January 4th.  I think that loss is providing us with some value to pull the trigger on the Gaels as only 3-point home favorites over BYU tonight. 

The Gaels are still one of the best teams in all of college basketball.  They are 13-3 on the season and 7-1 at home.  They have wins over Wisconsin, Utah State, Arizona State and Nevada this season. 

BYU is 12-4 and getting too much respect for a six-game winning streak coming into this game.  They have played three true road games this year, losing at Utah and at Boise State while winning at Houston by 1 point.  St. Mary’s is better than all three of those teams. 

St. Mary’s is 8-1 SU & 7-2 ATS in its last nine home meetings with BYU.  They beat the Cougars by 22 points at home last year.  BYU is 51-107-4 ATS in its last 162 games as an underdog and 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games as a road dog.  The home team is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings.  The favorite is 10-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings.  The Gaels are 21-5 ATS in their last 26 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game.  Roll with St. Mary’s Thursday. 

20* Rockets/Thunder TNT No-Brainer on Oklahoma City +4 

The Houston Rockets will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a hard-fought 122-115 win in Atlanta last night.  Six players logged at least 30 minutes for the Rockets last night, so this is a very tough situation for them. 

Chris Paul wants revenge on his former team after the Rockets traded him away in the offseason to make room for Russell Westbrook.  And you know the Thunder will rally around him.  They nearly upset the Rockets in a 112-116 road loss as 10-point dogs in their first meeting.  And now they get the Rockets at home this time around. 

Plus, the Thunder are playing their best basketball of the season right now.  They have gone 10-2 SU in their last 12 games overall which includes upset wins over Dallas, Toronto, San Antonio, the Clippers and the Nets. 

The Thunder are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall.  Oklahoma City is 19-7 ATS in its last 26 games overall.  The Thunder are 47-22-3 ATS in their last 72 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of more than 60%.  Oklahoma City is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games playing on one days’ rest.  The Thunder are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a home underdog.  Oklahoma City is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.  Take the Thunder Thursday. 

20* Pac-12 GAME OF THE MONTH on Oregon -3.5 

The Oregon Ducks are one of the best teams in the country.  They have gone 12-3 SU & 11-4 ATS this season and I think they aren’t getting the respect they deserve as only 3.5-point home favorites over the Arizona Wildcats tonight. 

Oregon has played the 33rd-toughest schedule in the country while ranking 7th in offensive efficiency and 66th in defensive efficiency.  They have wins ov er Memphis, Houston, Seton Hall, Michigan and Utah.  Their three losses have come to Gonzaga, UNC and Colorado. 

Arizona has taken advantage of a much easier schedule.  They have played just one true road game all season, which resulted in a loss to Baylor.  They also lost to St. John’s and Gonzaga on a neutral.  They lack impressive wins as their best wins have come against Illinois and Arizona State and both were at home. 

Oregon is 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in its last three meetings with Arizona.  The Wildcats are 1-11 ATS vs. good defensive teams that allow 42% shooting or less after 15-plus games over the last three seasons.  Arizona is 1-8 ATS in its last nine road games.  The Wildcats are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a win.  The Ducks are 22-4 ATS in their last 28 games overall.  Oregon is 25-10 ATS in its last 35 home games.  Bet Oregon Thursday. 

15* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Tulane +11.5 

Ron Hunter has won everywhere he has gone.  He had very successful stints at IUPUI and Georgia State and now he has already turned around this Tulane program in his first season on the job thanks to recruiting some great transfers. 

The Green Wave are 9-5 SU & 9-5 ATS this season and continue to be one of the most underrated teams in the country.  They showed that here recently giving Memphis a run on the road as 15-point dogs and upsetting Cincinnati at home as 8-point dogs in their first two AAC games. 

Now the Green Wave are catching a whopping 11.5 points from Connecticut tonight, which is simply too much.  UConn has opened 0-2 in AAC play losing by 16 at Cincinnati and by 15 at South Florida.  They may come back and win their first conference game tonight, but asking them to cover 11.5 points is asking too much. 

Tulane is 12-2 ATS when playing against a good team that wins 60% to 80% of their games over the last two seasons.  The Green Wave are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games.  Tulane is 14-5 ATS in its last 19 games overall.  The Huskies are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games overall.  Roll with Tulane Wednesday. 

15* Big 12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Iowa State +5.5 

This is the ultimate ‘buy low’ opportunity on the Iowa State Cyclones.  They lost to Florida A&M as a 25-point favorite two games back.  But they didn’t have their best player in Tyrese Haliburton. 

Haliburton returned for their Big 12 opener against TCU and promptly posted a triple-double with 22 points, 12 rebounds and 10 assists.  He means everything to this team.  But they lost 79-81 (OT) at TCU as 4-point dogs only after a banked 3 at the buzzer by the Horned Frogs. 

Now the Cyclones return home highly motivated for a win.  And no team has played Kansas tougher than Iowa State in Big 12 play in recent years.  The Cyclones are 7-6 SU & 11-2 ATS in their last 11 meetings with Kansas.  Hilton Coliseum is one of the toughest places to play in the country and Kansas has had a hard time getting any kind of margin on the road in this series. 

Iowa State is much better than its 7-6 record as the Cyclones are 348th out of 353 teams in KenPom’s luck factor, which indicates how lucky a team is to have the record that they have.  They are one of the most underrated teams in the country right now as a result. 

Iowa State is 19-6 ATS in its last 25 home games off a close loss by 3 points or less.  Kansas is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 road games.  Steve Prohm is 15-6 ATS off two or more consecutive losses as the coach of Iowa State.  Take Iowa State Wednesday. 

20* ACC GAME OF THE WEEK on Wake Forest +7 

Danny Manning has these Wake Forest Demon Deacons playing some great basketball right now.  They have won three straight which includes an upset home win over Xavier as 6-point dogs and an upset road win over Pitt as 6.5-point dogs. 

Florida State is also playing great right now with six consecutive wins.  But this is obviously a letdown spot for the Seminoles after pulling the upset at Louisville as 6-point dogs last time out.  I think they fall flat here against Wake Forest and will have a hard time winning this game, let alone covering the 7-point spread. 

Wake has covered its last two home games against Florida State, both as underdogs.  The Demon Deacons have only played five of their 13 games at home this season.  They are 4-1 at home with their only loss to NC State.  They have played the 43rd-toughest schedule in the country so they are battle-tested. 

Florida State is 29-58 ATS in its last 87 games after having won eight or more of its last 10 games coming in.  The Demon Deacons are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games vs. a team with a. Winning record.  Wake Forest is 5-2 ATS in its last seven games as an underdog.  The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.  Bet Wake Forest Wednesday. 

15* NBA Wednesday UPSET SHOCKER on Charlotte Hornets +3 

The Toronto Raptors will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back tonight.  They just went to the wire with the Blazers at home last night in a 99-101 loss.  And now they have to try and get back up off the mat to face the Hornets tonight. 

It has been a struggle here of late for the Raptors due to all their injuries.  They are missing four key players in Pascal Siakam, Marc Gasol, Fred VanVleet and Norman Powell.  Siakam and VanVleet are their two best players.  It’s no wonder their have gone just 3-5 SU in their last eight games overall.  And being short-handed makes these back-to-back situations even more difficult. 

The Hornets have pulled two impressive road upsets over the Mavericks and Cavaliers in two of their last three games coming in.  They did lose to the Pacers at home after letting that game get away from them in the 4th quarter.  But that will have them coming back determined tonight to beat the Raptors. 

The home team has won four of the last five meetings.  The Hornets are 11-2 ATS after allowing 105 points or more in three straight games this season.  Take the Hornets Wednesday. 

20* NBA Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Indiana Pacers -1 

This is yet another case of the Indiana Pacers being underrated as only 1-point home favorites over the Miami Heat tonight.  The Pacers are 15-4 at home this season and should be a bigger favorite tonight. 

The Heat also have a great home-court advantage as they are 17-1 at home, but they are not home here.  Miami is just 9-9 on the road this season.  Their last two road games were very ugly as they lost at Washington by 18 as 14-point favorites and lost by 20 at Orlando. 

Indiana wants revenge from a 112-113 road loss at Miami as 5-point dogs on December 27th in the first and only meeting thus far.  The Pacers are 9-1 SU in their last 10 home meetings with the Heat.  The Pacers are 5-0 ATS in their last five meetings overall with Miami. 

The Heat are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games.  The Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as home favorites.  Indiana is 34-18 ATS when revenging a road loss over the last three seasons.  Bet the Pacers Wednesday. 

15* Knicks/Lakers NBA TV Late-Night BAILOUT on New York +13.5 

The New York Knicks are quietly playing their best basketball of the season right now.  They are 6-6 SU & 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games overall.  They have only lost twice by more than 8 points in those 12 games, so they have been extremely competitive. 

The Knicks just took the Clippers to the wire at Staples Center on Sunday in a 132-135 loss as 10-point dogs.  Now they are catching 13.5 points to the Lakers with no travel and I expect them to take LeBron and company to the wire in this game tonight. 

The Lakers are just 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.  In fact, the Lakers haven’t beaten anyone by more than 13 points in their last 12 games overall, making for a 12-0 system backing the Knicks pertaining to this 13.5-point spread. 

The Knicks are 8-0 ATS in road games after playing a road game this season.  The Lakers are 1-10 ATS against Atlantic Division opponents over the last two seasons.  Plays on road underdogs of 10 or more points (New York) - a well rested team playing 6 or less games in 14 days, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 47-15 (75.8%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Roll with the Knicks Tuesday. 

20* Big 12 GAME OF THE WEEK on Kansas State -1 

The Kansas State Wildcats return home highly motivated for a win tonight.  They have lost three of their last four coming in all by 6 points or fewer.  Two were on neutral courts to solid Mississippi State and Saint Louis teams as well as a 5-point loss at Oklahoma as 7-point dogs. 

Now the Wildcats are back home where they are 6-1 this season and winning by 14.2 points per game.  They host a TCU team that has played a ridiculously easy schedule.  In fact, it will be the first true road game for TCU this season.  They’ve only played two games away from home which were both on neutrals with a loss to Clemson and a win against Wyoming. 

Kansas State is 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS in its last four meetings with TCU.  The Hornets Frogs are 6-16 ATS in their last 22 Big 12 games, while the Wildcats are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 Big 12 games.  TCU is 1-7 ATS in its last eight games off a win.  The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.  Bet Kansas State Tuesday. 

20* MVC GAME OF THE WEEK on Drake -1 

The Drake Bulldogs are one of the best teams in the Missouri Valley Conference this year.  They are off to an 11-4 start including a perfect 8-0 record at home where they are winning by 17.5 points per game.  They should be a bigger home favorite against Loyola-Chicago here. 

Loyola-Chicago is 2-1 in true road games with a blowout loss to Furman by 24 and a narrow win over Valparaiso by 3 as 3-point favorites.  They also won at Ball State.  This will be Loyola-Chicago’s toughest road test of the season thus far. 

Drake is 30-12-2 ATS in its last 44 games overall.  The Bulldogs are 36-15-2 ATS in their last 53 home games.  The Ramblers are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine road games.  Loyola-Chicago is 0-4-1 ATS in its last five road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  Bet Drake Tuesday. 

15* Baylor/Texas Tech ESPN 2 No-Brainer on Texas Tech -3 

The Texas Tech Red Raiders have looked the part of a national championship contender once again this season when healthy.  They have won five straight coming in, which includes their 70-57 win as 7.5-point dogs of then-No. 1 Louisville on a neutral and their 85-50 trouncing of Oklahoma State in their Big 12 opener. 

Baylor is ranked 4th in the country, but it's a fraudulent ranking.  They have feasted on an easy schedule with all of their tough games at home or on a neutral.  They have played two true road games, losing to Washington and only beating Coastal Carolina by 12.  This is by far their toughest test of the season Tuesday night. 

Texas Tech is 8-0 at home this season and winning by 21.4 points per game.  The Red Raiders are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 home games after playing three consecutive games as a home favorite.  The home team has won six straight in this series and is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.  Take Texas Tech Tuesday. 

15* Villanova/Creighton Big East ANNIHILATOR on Creighton -1.5 

This is the best Creighton team that Greg McDermott has had in recent memory.  The Bluejays are off to a 12-3 start this season and have one of the best home-court advantages in all of college basketball. 

Indeed, the Bluejays have won 15 straight home games dating back to last season and are 11-0 at home this season while winning by 17.6 points per game.  They beat Marquette by 17 in their last home games, the same Marquette team that Villanova just lost to by 11 on the road. 

Villanova is a very young team that is starting two freshmen for the first time since 2002.  The Wildcats are just 4-3 SU & 1-6 ATS in their seven games played away from home this year.  They are 1-2 SU & 0-3 ATS in true road games with a 25-point loss at Ohio, a failure to cover at St. Joe’s and that 11-point loss at Marquette. 

Villanova is 0-6 ATS vs. teams who force 14 or fewer turnovers per game this season.  The Wildcats are 0-6 ATS after having won three of their last four games this season.  Creighton is 11-1 ATS in home games after playing a game as a road underdog over the last three years.  They are winning by 20.5 points per game in this spot.  The Wildcats are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 road games.  Take Creighton Tuesday. 

15* NBA Monday Undervalued Underdog on San Antonio Spurs +7.5 

I love the spot for the San Antonio Spurs tonight.  This is a home-and-home situation with the Milwaukee Bucks.  After losing 118-127 in Milwaukee on Saturday, the Spurs now only have to wait two days for revenge and are catching 7.5 points at home in the rematch.  I expect them to take the Bucks to the wire and possibly pull off the upset. 

The Spurs have been a great team to back following a loss, which shows the resiliency of this team and the coaching of Popovich.  The Spurs are now 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven games following a loss.  San Antonio is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games as a home underdog as well. 

San Antonio is 35-14 ATS when revenging a loss over the last two seasons.  The Spurs are 25-6 ATS when revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 points or more over the last two years.  San Antonio is 30-7 ATS revenging a road loss over the last two seasons.  It is coming back to win by 7.8 points per game in this spot.  Roll with the Spurs Monday. 

15* NBA Monday No-Doubt Rout on Utah Jazz -3 

The Utah Jazz are playing as well as anyone in the NBA right now.  They are 10-1 in their last 11 games overall with their only loss coming by 3 points at Miami.  They have covered seven straight coming in and I believe they make it seven in a row tonight. 

The Pelicans are also playing well in going 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.  But they could be without their best player tonight in Jrue Holiday, who is questionable with an elbow injury.  And it’s a bad spot for them playing their 3rd game in 4 days after a back-to-back at the Lakers and Kings on Friday and Saturday. 

The Jazz own the Pelicans, going 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.  More impressively, the Jazz are 6-0 SU & 6-0 ATS in their last six trips to New Orleans winning by 10, 21, 17, 24, 33 and 12 points.  They have won those six games by an average of 19.5 points per game. 

The Jazz are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games overall.  The Pelicans are 8-22-1 ATS in their last 31 games playing on one days’ rest.  New Orleans is 2-6 ATS in its last eight home games.  The Jazz are 15-5-3 ATS in the last 23 meetings, including 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 meetings in New Orleans.  Take the Jazz Monday. 

20* Big Ten GAME OF THE MONTH on Illinois -1 

The Illinois Fighting Illini are one of the most improved teams in the country this season.  It’s Year 3 of this rebuilding project for head coach Brad Underwood and the payoffs are starting to show with this veteran group that returned four starters this year. 

The Fighting Illini are off to a 9-5 start against a very tough schedule.  They have gone 8-1 at home this season while outscoring opponents by 22.5 points per game, and I think it will be a raucous atmosphere at Illinois tonight.  They beat Michigan 71-62 in their lone home game against a Big Ten opponent this season. 

Purdue lost a lot from the team that made a deep run in the NCAA Tournament last year.  The Boilermakers are also 9-5, but they have some really bad losses.  They lost by 14 to Nebraska, by 9 to Butler, by 10 to Marquette and at home to Texas.  They also lost to Florida State on a neutral. 

Purdue usually has a rebounding edge against everyone they play, but they won’t against Illinois.  The Fighting Illini are averaging 12 more boards than their opponents this season as one of the best rebounding teams in the nation.  And after shooting just 29.3% in a loss at Michigan State last time out, the Fighting Illini can’t possibly shoot as poorly at home this time around. 

Purdue is 4-15 ATS in road games off a conference win over the last three seasons.  The Boilermakers are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 Sunday games.  The home team is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.  The Fighting Illini are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six home games.  Illinois is 5-1 ATS in its last six games off an ATS loss.  Bet Illinois Sunday. 

15* NBA Sunday PLAY OF THE DAY on Miami Heat -5.5 

The Miami Heat are coming off a bad 20-point loss at Orlando.  But it was the 2nd of a back-to-back after a win over the Raptors the previous night.  It was a clearly letdown spot and a bad spot given the rest advantage for Orlando. 

Now the Heat return home highly motivated for a win.  And the Heat have had one of the best home-court advantages in the NBA this season.  They are 16-1 SU & 11-5-1 ATS at home while outscoring opponents by 11.6 points per game.  They should have no problem covering this short 5.5-point spread against the Blazers. 

The Blazers have been one of the most disappointing teams in the NBA this season.  They are 15-21 overall and 7-12 on the road and were desperate enough to sign Carmelo Anthony off the streets.  It hasn’t gotten any better with Anthony as the Blazers are 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall with their only win coming against a G-League team in Washington.  All five losses came by 6 points or more, including losses to the Knicks, Suns and Pelicans. 

The Blazers are 0-5 ATS in their last five games vs. a team with a winning record.  Portland is 1-5 ATS in its last six road games.  Miami is 13-4-1 ATS in its last 18 home games.  The heat are 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 games following an ATS loss.  Miami is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games off a loss by more than 10 points.  Take the Heat Sunday. 

15* CBB Sunday Early ANNIHILATOR on Rhode Island -2 

The Rhode Island Rams are coming off a bad upset road loss to Brown as 7.5-point favorites.  It was by far their worse performance of the season.  Their other three losses came to LSU, West Virginia and Maryland all on the road. 

Now the Rams are back home and highly motivated for a victory.  This is a veteran Rams team that I’ve been backing a lot because they returned all five starters.  And Rhode Island is 6-0 at home this season. 

Richmond is 11-3, and while that record looks nice, it has come against the 219th-ranked schedule in the country.  Rhode Island has played the 72nd-toughest schedule, a difference of nearly 150 spots in strength of schedule.  I believe playing the tougher schedule will benefit the Rams heading into conference play today. 

Rhode Island is 8-1 ATS in home games off two consecutive overs over the last three seasons.  The Spiders are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as road underdogs.  The Rams are 4-1 ATS in their last five games off an ATS loss.  Rhode Island has won its last two meetings with Richmond by 18 points at home and by 11 points on the road.  Roll with Rhode Island Sunday. 

15* AAC PLAY OF THE DAY on Tulane +8 

Ron Hunter is quickly turning around this Tulane program just as he did at Georgia State and IUPUI before.  It’s a Green Wave team that got some great transfers and is one of the most improved teams in the country under Hunter. 

Tulane is 8-5 this season and highly motivated for a win off three straight losses by 1 to Akron, by 4 to Towson and by 11 to Memphis.  If they lose today to Cincinnati, it will certainly go down to the wire. 

Cincinnati lost head coach Mick Cronin and has struggled this season to an 8-5 start.  They lost to Iowa, Colgate, Xavier, Bowling Green and Ohio State.  They also nearly lost to Illinois State (won by 1), Valpo (won by 4) and UNLV (won by 7).  It’s not a team that can be trusted to go on the road and win by 8-plus points against a quality opponent in Tulane here. 

Cincinnati only has two days to get ready for Tulane after last playing on January 1st, while Tulane has four days to prepare for Cincinnati after last playing on December 30th.   

Cincinnati is 1-8 ATS in road games vs. teams who are called for 17 or fewer fouls per game over the last two seasons.  Tulane is 11-2 ATS when playing against a good team (60% to 80%) over the last two years.  The Bearcats are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games off an ATS win.  Cincinnati is 4-14 ATS in its last 18 games as a favorite.  Roll with Tulane Saturday. 

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on West Virginia +10.5 

It’s time to ’sell high’ on the Kansas Jayhawks, who have covered six of their last seven games coming in.  Now they are laying double-digits to a West Virginia team that can muck it up and keep this game close with their style of play. 

West Virginia is one of the most improved teams in the country.  The Mountaineers are 11-1 this season with their only loss coming by two points 68-70 at St. John’s.  They have impressive wins over Wichita State, Northern Iowa, Pitt and Ohio State this season.  Take West Virginia Saturday. 

15* NBA Saturday PLAY OF THE DAY on Memphis Grizzlies +10.5 

The Memphis Grizzlies have some great young talent and it’s starting to show now that they are healthy.  The Grizzlies are 7-6 SU & 8-4-1 ATS in their last 13 games overall.  They will give the Clippers a run for their money today. 

Helping out the Grizzlies is the fact that the Clippers are not healthy.  They are down two starters today in Paul George and Patrick Beverly.  They will miss George’s scoring as he has picked up right where he left off last season in OKC.  And Beverly is a pest defensively that will be missed guarding Rookie of the Year favorite JA Morant. 

Plays on road underdogs of 10 or more points (Memphis) - a well rested team playing 6 or less games in 14 days, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 44-15 (74.6%) ATS over the last five seasons. 

The Clippers are 3-12 ATS off two consecutive covers as a favorite over the last two seasons.  The Grizzlies are 5-1 ATS in their last six games off a loss.  Memphis is 4-1-1 ATS in its last six games as a road underdog.  The Clippers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games off a win.  Roll with the Grizzlies Saturday. 

20* Big East GAME OF THE WEEK on Marquette PK 

I like backing Marquette at home today where they just have to win this game to cover against Villanova.  The Golden Eagles are 7-0 at home this season and winning by 22.1 points per game. 

Villanova is just 1-5 ATS in all games played away from home this year.  In their two true road games, they failed to cover as 15-point favorites at St. Joe’s and lost 51-76 at Ohio State. 

Marquette is 6-0 ATS in home games off two or more consecutive overs.  The Wildcats are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 road games.  The Golden Eagles are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite.  Take Marquette Saturday. 

15* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Penn State -2.5 

Penn State has the best team they’ve had in years.  They are off to an 11-2 start this season with one of their losses coming on the road at Ohio State.  They other was a 2-point loss to Ole Miss on a neutral after they blew a 20-plus point lead. 

The wins have been impressive.  The Nittany Lions have beaten Maryland, Alabama, Wake Forest and Yale at home as well as a a road win at Georgetown and a neutral win over Syracuse.  They’ve played a brutal schedule and have proven themselves against it. 

Now they take on Iowa in what is technically a neutral site game but the Nittany Lions will have home-court advantage due to being played in Philadelphia.  It’s an Iowa team that has also been impressive, but they have lost when they have stepped up in class.  They lost by 15 at home to DePaul, by 10 at San Diego State and by 12 at Michigan. 

Iowa is 1-8 ATS off four or more consecutive wins over the last two seasons.  Penn State is 9-1 ATS after scoring 80 points or more over the last two years.  The Hawkeyes are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games off a win by more than 20 points.  The Nittany Loins are 16-6-2 ATS in their last 24 games overall.  Roll with Penn State Saturday. 

15* CBB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on DePaul -2.5 

It’s a good time to ‘buy low’ on the DePaul Blue Demons.  They got off to a hot start this season but have cooled off since, going 0-3 ATS in their last three games.  They are coming off a loss to Seton Hall, which is one of the best teams in the country. 

Now the Blue Demons are back home against a Providence team they should handle.  Providence is 1-5 SU & 0-6 ATS in all games played away from home this year.  That includes neutral site losses to Long Beach State, College of Charleston and Florida as well as road losses to Northwestern and Rhode Island.  They were favored in four of those five losses and lost by 32 to Florida. 

The Friars are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games off an ATS win.  Providence is 0-7 ATS in its last seven road games.  DePaul is 4-1 ATS in its last five games as a home favorite.  The Blue Demons are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall.  Bet DePaul Saturday. 

15* Big 12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Oklahoma -7 

The Oklahoma Sooners get Kristian Doolittle back from suspension today for their Big 12 opener against Kansas State.  I expect them to roll at home today, where they are 5-0 on the season. 

Kansas State is way down from last year with all they lost.  They are just 7-5 SU & 4-8 ATS in all games, including 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in road games.  It will be just their second true road game of the season.  They lost on a neutral to Pitt, Bradley, Mississippi State and Saint Louis, four teams that aren’t as good as Oklahoma. 

The home team is 8-1 SU in the last nine meetings.  The home team is 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.  The Wildcats are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games overall.  Kansas State is 0-6 ATS in its last six vs. a team with a winning record.  The Sooners are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points.  Take Oklahoma Saturday. 

20* Pelicans/Lakers ESPN Late-Night BAILOUT on New Orleans +10.5 

The New Orleans Pelicans are playing their best basketball of the season right now.  They are 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.  They have three straight wins over three of the better teams in the NBA in the Pacers, Rockets and Nuggets. 

Now the Pelicans want to avenge their 110-114 home loss to the Los Angeles Lakers on November 27th in their first and only meeting this season.  There are a lot of former Lakers on this Pelicans team, so they will always be motivated to face their former team, especially this season. 

The Lakers are 5-4 SU & 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall.  They have just one win by more than 10 points during this stretch, and that was a 13-point win.  They will have a hard time covering this big number tonight against a Pelicans team that is playing very well. 

Plays on road underdogs of 10 or more points (New Orleans) - a well rested team playing 6 or fewer games in 14 days, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 44-15 (74.6%) ATS over the last five seasons.  The Lakers are 7-21 ATS vs. teams that are outscored by 3-plus points per game over the last two seasons.  Bet the Pelicans Friday. 

15* Wisconsin/Ohio State FS1 ANNIHILATOR on Ohio State -7 

The Ohio State Buckeyes are coming off a loss to West Virginia.  Now they return home highly motivated for a win against the Wisconsin Badgers in Big Ten play Friday night.  Look for them to make easy work of the Badgers. 

The Buckeyes are legitimately one of the best teams in the country.  They are 9-0 SU & 8-1 ATS in their nine home games this season while outscoring opponents by 27.0 points per game.  They beat Penn State by 32 in their lone conference home game. 

Wisconsin is starting to get some respect for its three-game winning streak.  But the Badgers are just 1-5 SU & 2-4 ATS in all games played away from home this year.  They are scoring just 58.7 points per game on the highway.  They lost to New Mexico, Richmond and St. Mary’s on a neutral and lost by 15 at NC State and by 7 at Rutgers. 

Ohio State is 8-0 ATS when playing just its 2nd game in a week this season.  The Badgers are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games.  The Buckeyes are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall.  The favorite is 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings.  Take Ohio State Friday. 

20* Oregon/Colorado ESPN 2 No-Brainer on Colorado +1.5 

The Colorado Buffaloes have one of the best home-court advantages in the Pac-12 and in all of college basketball for that matter.  They returned all five starters this year are are off to an 11-2 start, including a 6-1 record at home.  They will be highly motivated for a win tonight with 4th-ranked Oregon coming to town. 

The Oregon Ducks are certainly one of the better teams in the country as well at 11-2 SU & 10-3 ATS on the season.  I just think this is a great spot to fade them, especially when you consider Colorado is 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six home meetings with Oregon.  They beat Oregon 73-51 as nearly identical 1-point home dogs last season. 

Colorado is 21-8 ATS in its last 29 home games lined +3 to PK.  The Buffaloes are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games vs. a team with a winning road record.  Colorado is 12-5-1 ATS in its last 18 home games overall.  The home team is 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.  Bet Colorado Thursday. 

20* NBA BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on San Antonio Spurs -2 

The San Antonio Spurs would actually be in the playoffs if the season ended today.  They are playing well over the last month in going 7-4 SU & 6-4-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall dating back to December 3rd.  It’s a rested team that has had a lot of time off over the past month. 

The Oklahoma City Thunder are also playing well in going 7-1 in their last eight games overall.  But now they are starting to get too much respect from oddsmakers here as only 2-point road dogs.  And it’s definitely a potential letdown spot off three straight narrow wins over the Hornets, Raptors and Mavericks by a combined 8 points. 

The Spurs are 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five home meetings with the Thunder.  San Antonio is 21-9 ATS at home with a line of +3 to -3 over the last three seasons.  The Spurs are 5-1 ATS in their last six games vs. a team with a winning record.  Bet the Spurs Thursday. 

15* CBB Thursday Undervalued Underdog on La Salle +11 

The No. 20 Dayton Flyers are starting to get too much respect from oddsmakers for their Top 25 ranking.  They have opened 11-2 but have now failed to cover three of their last four.  I think it’s time to continue ’selling high’ on the Flyers tonight. 

They should not be laying double-digits on the road against a solid La Salle team in this conference rivalry.  It’s a La Salle team that has been one of the most underrated in the country and continues to fly under the radar.  The Explorers are 9-3 SU & 10-2 ATS this season. 

La Salle only lost by 5 to Temple as 6-point dogs and by 11 on the road to Villanova as 18-point dogs to show that they can play with good teams.  They will prove it again tonight as they give Dayton a run for its money at home.  And they have the rest and preparation advantage.  The Explorers come in on four days’ rest, while the Flyers come in on only two days’ rest. 

La Salle is 7-0 ATS in its last seven games after allowing 60 points or less in three straight games coming in.  Dayton is 9-22 ATS off a home win over the last three seasons.  The Explorers are 6-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record this season.  La Salle is 5-0 ATS in its last five games as a home underdog.  The Explorers are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games.  Take La Salle Thursday. 

15* Raptors/Heat NBA TV ANNIHILATOR on Miami -5 

The Miami Heat had won five straight including wins over Philadelphia (twice), Indiana and Utah.  Then they laid an egg on Monday and lost outright as a 14-point favorite against Washington’s G-League team. 

It’s safe to say the Heat are going to come back highly motivated for a win at home tonight over the Toronto Raptors after getting that wake-up call.  And they will be fresh and ready to go coming in on two days’ rest.  The Heat are 15-1 at home this season and winning by nearly 12 points per game. 

The Raptors are in a much tougher spot here.  They will be playing their 4th game in 6 days and are already playing short-handed.  The Raptors remain without their best player in Pacal Siakam, starter Marc Gasol and key reserve Norman Powell.  I don’t think they will be able to hang with Miami tonight without these three. 

Plays against underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Toronto) - after beating the spread by 24 or more points in their last three games against an opponent that was beaten by 24 or more points against the spread in their last three are 41-16 (71.9%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Miami is 11-0 ATS in home games after a combined score of 215 points or more in two straight games over the last two seasons.  They are winning by 15.0 points per game in this spot.  Roll with the Heat Thursday. 

15* CBB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Rhode Island -7.5 

The Rhode Island Rams are one of the most underrated teams in the country.  They returned all five starters this season and are off to an 8-3 start.  Their only three losses all came on the road against Maryland, West Virginia & LSU.  They beat Alabama by 14 and Providence by 14 as well. 

Rhode Island should handle this Brown team that is just 5-6 on the season.  All six losses for Brown have come by 11 points or more.  They lost by 21 to Sacred Heart, by 12 to UMass-Lowell, by 20 to Navy, by 16 to Stony Brook, by 11 to St. John’s and by 25 to Duke.  Those results alone show they can’t hang with Rhode Island.  But their five wins have come against Bryant (by 2), Canisius (by 7), Quinnipiac (by 2), New Jersey Tech and Merrimack. 

Plays against home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Brown) - after scoring 50 points or less against an opponent that scored 80 points or more in two straight games are 54-24 (69.2%) ATS since 1997.   

The Rams are 6-0 ATS in their last six games vs. a team with a losing record.  The Bears are 0-5 ATS in their last five games off an ATS win.  Roll with Rhode Island Thursday. 

15* CBB Wednesday PLAY OF THE DAY on Fresno State +13 

The San Diego State Aztecs head into the new year overvalued due to their 13-0 SU & 8-3 ATS records.  Now they’re laying 13 points here to Fresno State, which is simply too much. 

Fresno State heads into 2020 undervalued at 4-9 SU & 4-6 ATS.  But the Bulldogs have been a lot more competitive than their record would indicate.  Indeed, seven of their nine losses came by 7 points or less.  The only exceptions were a 10-point loss to St. Mary’s on a neutral and a 14-point loss at Oregon. 

Fresno State hasn’t lost by more than 12 points in any of its last 12 meetings with San Diego State.  That makes for a perfect 12-0 system backing the Bulldogs pertaining to this 13-point spread.  The Bulldogs are 6-0 ATS in road games off a loss by 6 points or less over the last two seasons.  Roll with Fresno State Wednesday. 

15* CBB Tuesday PLAY OF THE DAY on Providence +1.5 

The Georgetown Hoyas are starting to get too much respect from oddsmakers now after going 6-0 SU & 6-0 ATS in their last six games overall.  It’s time to ‘sell high’ on them and fade them here as road favorites at Providence. 

The Providence Friars got off to a slow start this season, but they rebounded with a 70-48 home win over Texas as 1-point favorites last time out.  And now they’ve had nine days to get ready for Georgetown after last playing on December 21st.  Meanwhile, Georgetown only has two days to get ready for Providence after facing American on December 28th. 

Providence wants revenge on Georgetown after losing both meetings to them last year.  The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.  Second-leading scorer Mac McClung (15.5 PPG) is questionable to play for the Hoyas tonight. 

Plays on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (Providence) - after beating the spread by more than 18 points in their previous game, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team are 48-20 (70.6%) ATS since 1997.  Take Providence Tuesday. 

15* NBA Tuesday UPSET SHOCKER on Indiana Pacers +2 

The Indiana Pacers have one of the best home-court advantages in the NBA.  They are 14-3 at home this season.  And they come into this game highly motivated for a victory off back-to-back road losses to Miami and New Orleans.  Plus, they are fresh and ready to go on two days’ rest and will get Malcolm Brogdon back from injury tonight. 

The Philadelphia 76ers have been awful on the road this season.  They are just 7-10 in road games.  They did beat the Pacers at home 119-116 in their lone meeting this season, but now it’s revenge time for Indiana at home this time around. 

Plays against road teams (Philadelphia) - off a road cover where they lost straight up as an underdog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 54-18 (75%) ATS since 1996.  The 76ers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as road favorites.  Bet the Pacers Tuesday. 

15* Seton Hall/DePaul FS1 ANNIHILATOR on DePaul -1 

The DePaul Blue Demons are one of the most improved teams in the country this season.  They are off to a 12-1 start and still aren’t getting the respect they deserve as only 1-point home favorites here against the Seton Hall Pirates. 

DePaul already has impressive road wins over the likes of Iowa as 9.5-point dogs, Boston College as PK and Minnesota as 4-point dogs.  They also beat Texas Tech at home with their only loss coming to a solid Buffalo team. 

Seton Hall has played just three true road games this season and lost two of them to Rutgers and Iowa State.  And the Pirates could be without their best player again tonight in Myles Powell (21.2 PPG), who is questionable with a concussion.  They’ll be without 3rd-leading scorer Sando Mamukelashvilli (10.9 PPG) as well. 

Seton Hall is 0-6 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 over the last two seasons.  DePaul is 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS in its last three meetings with Seton Hall.  They won both meetings outright as underdogs last year.  Roll with DePaul Monday. 

15* NBA Monday No-Doubt Rout on Miami Heat -8.5 

The Miami Heat have won five straight to improve to 24-8 on the season.  They are one of the most underrated teams in the NBA.  Now they should make easy work of the Washington Wizards on the road tonight. 

The Wizards stand little to no chance of even being competitive tonight with all of their injuries.  They are without Rui Hachimura, Mo Wagner, Davis Bertans and Thomas Bryant and they could be without Bradley Beal, who is questionable. 

The Heat are 12-2 ATS in road games after playing three consecutive home games over the last three seasons.  Miami is 16-5-1 ATS in its last 22 games vs. a team with a losing record.  Washington is 1-5 ATS in its last six home games.  Take the Heat Monday. 

15* NBA Sunday PLAY OF THE DAY on New Orleans Pelicans +4 

The New Orleans Pelicans are playing their best basketball of the season right now.  They are 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five games with three upset wins and a 120-98 blowout of Indiana yesterday.  They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back, but that blowout allowed them to rest their starters late. 

The Houston Rockets will also be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back.  They beat the Nets 108-98 at home last night.  Now they have to travel, while the Pelicans get to stay at home.  That’s a huge advantage. 

The Rockets will sit Russell Westbrook today and they could be without Clint Cappela, who is questionable.  The Pelicans are 4-1 ATS in their last five games playing on zero rest.  Roll with the Pelicans Sunday. 

15* Kansas/Stanford ABC ANNIHILATOR on Stanford +6.5 

The Stanford Cardinal are one of the best teams in the country that nobody knows about.  They are 11-1 this season with their only loss coming to Butler by a single point 67-68 on a neutral. 

The Cardinal have obviously been flying under the radar when you consider they are 9-3 ATS this season.  And now they are catching 6.5 points to what I believe is an overrated Kansas team that does not shoot the 3 ball very well.  They are loaded inside, but they don’t have many shooters. 

Kansas is 5-16 ATS in its last 21 road games, including 2-11 ATS in road games over the last two seasons.  The Jayhawks are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games as road favorites.  The Cardinal are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as home underdogs.  Stanford is 22-7-1 ATS in its last 30 games vs. a team that wins more than 60% of their games.  The Cardinal are 25-8 ATS in their last 33 home games.  Bet Stanford Sunday. 

15* NBA Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Orlando Magic +11.5 

Both the Magic and Bucks are playing the 2nd of a back-to-back.  But the situation is much better for the Magic.  They will be playing just their 2nd game in 5 days, while the Bucks will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days and their 5th game in 8 days. 

Giannis Antetokounmpo is questionable to play tonight with a back injury after sitting out last night against the Hawks.  Eric Bledsoe remains out for the Bucks.  This line indicates Giannis will play, but it would be a huge bonus if he didn’t. 

The Magic will be motivated for revenge after losing twice already to the Bucks this season.  They only lost 101-110 at Milwaukee on December 9th a few weeks ago as 13-point dogs. And I think they can stay within single-digits in their 3rd meeting as well. 

The Magic are 12-3-2 ATS in their last 17 Saturday games.  Orlando is 4-0-2 ATS in its last six games playing on zero rest.  The Magic are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a win.  Roll with the Magic Saturday. 

15* NBA Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Miami Heat -1 

We are getting the Miami Heat cheap at home tonight.  The Heat are 14-1 at home this season with their only loss coming to the Lakers by 3 points.  They are outscoring opponents by 12.6 points per game at home this year. 

The Philadelphia 76ers are just 7-9 on the road this season and actually getting outscored on the road.  While both teams are playing a back-to-back, the situation is worse for the 76ers because they have to travel from Orlando to Miami, while the Heat get to stay at home after beating the Pacers last night. 

The 76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Heat are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 home games.  Miami is 6-1 ATS in its last seven Saturday games.  Take the Heat Saturday. 

20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Raptors/Celtics UNDER 217 

I love the UNDER in this game between the Raptors and Celtics.  I love it because of the situation.  These teams just played each other on Christmas Day a couple days ago, so they are very familiar with one another.  And it’s their 3rd meeting already this season as well. 

I have a hard time believing both teams will shoot as well as they did in that meeting.  The Celtics won 118-102 for 220 combined points.  The Celtics shot 50% from the field, while the Raptors shot 47.5%.  The familiarity will help out the defenses in this one and lead to a lower-scoring game than that game was on Christmas Day. 

Toronto is 11-2 UNDER off a loss against a division rival over the last three seasons.  The Raptors are 17-6 UNDER after allowing 105 points or more in four straight games over the last three seasons.  The UNDER is 6-0-1 in Raptors last seven games off an ATS loss.  The UNDER is 7-1 in Raptors last eight Saturday games.  The UNDER is 6-1 in Celtics last seven games playing on zero rest.  Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday. 

20* CBB GAME OF THE WEEK on Florida International +14 

Florida International is one of the most underrated teams in the country.  They are off to a 9-3 SU & 6-3 ATS start this season.  They returned four starters from last year and are certainly a contender to win Conference USA this year. 

Florida International’s three losses this season all came by 9 points or less.  And two of those were on the road against Power 5 teams.  They only lost 69-77 as 16.5-point dogs at Mississippi State and 77-86 as 17.5-point dogs at NC State. 

Now, the Golden Panthers are catching 14 points here against a down Minnesota team that is just 6-5 on the season.  The Golden Gophers are coming off back-to-back upset wins over Ohio State and Oklahoma State, and they have Purdue on deck.  That makes this a huge sandwich spot for them today, and I don’t expect them to show up at all. 

Florida International is 25-12-1 ATS in its last 38 games as an underdog.  Minnesota is 10-21 ATS in its last 31 games following an ATS win.  The Golden Gophers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 Saturday games.  Bet Florida International Saturday. 

20* NBA GAME OF THE WEEK on Orlando Magic +3 

This is a great spot to fade the Philadelphia 76ers.  They are coming off a huge upset win over the Milwaukee Bucks on Christmas Day.  That makes this a prime letdown spot for the 76ers now.  Plus, they’ll be playing their 5th game in 8 days. 

Meanwhile, the Orlando Magic come in on three days’ rest and will be playing just their 2nd game in 7 days.  Not to mention, they are highly motivated for a win after dropping five of their last seven.  And the Magic are finally near full strength now in the health department, which will make them dangerous moving forward. 

Home-court advantage has been huge int his series.  The home team is 8-1 SU in the last nine meetings.  The Magic have won three straight home meetings with the 76ers outright and I think they get the job done outright again given the favorable spot for them tonight. 

Plays against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (Philadelphia) - a good shooting team (45.5%-47.5%) against a poor shooting team (41.5%-43.5%), after a game where they made 12 or more 3-point shots are 28-8 (77.8%) ATS over the last five seasons. 

Philadelphia is 6-19 ATS off two or more consecutive ATS wins over the last two seasons.  The 76ers are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a road favorite.  Orlando is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.  Bet the Magic Friday. 

15* Cavs/Celtics NBA TV Early ANNIHILATOR on Cleveland +13.5 

The Cleveland Cavaliers are playing their best basketball of the season.  They have won three straight games coming in and are now ready to give the Celtics a run for their money tonight.  The Cavaliers are rested and ready to go coming in on three days’ rest. 

The same cannot be said for the Celtics.  Boston is coming off a huge win over Toronto on Christmas Day on the road.  That makes this a letdown spot for them, especially since they’ve already beaten the Cavs twice this season.  I like the value with the Cavs given the spot and playing with double-revenge catching a whopping 13.5 points. 

Plays against any team (Boston) - off two consecutive covers as a favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 43-15 (74.1%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Plays on road underdogs of 10 or more points (Cleveland) - a rested team playing 6 or less games in 14 days, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 43-15 (74.1%) ATS over the last five seasons. 

Boston is 4-15 ATS in its last 19 home games off three straight games where they made 50% of their shots or more.  Take the Cavaliers Friday. 

20* Spurs/Mavs TNT No-Brainer on Dallas -5.5 

Luka Doncic returned to practice on Tuesday and is likely to make his return from an ankle injury tonight.  Playing without Doncic, the Mavs came together as a team and showed they are more than just a one trick pony.  It will help them moving forward. 

In the game they lost Doncic in the opening minutes against Miami, the Mavs took the Heat to overtime and only lost 118-122.  They came back and upset Milwaukee on the road as 10-point dogs in their next game.  They only lost to Boston by 6 at home, pulled the 117-98 upset win as 8.5-point dogs at Philadelphia, and blew a 30-point lead at Toronto in a 107-110 loss as 3.5-point dogs. 

That loss to Toronto wouldn’t have sat well with them over Christmas.  Look for them to come back home highly motivated for a victory tonight against the San Antonio Spurs.  And they’ll be fresh and ready to go on three days’ rest.  Dallas is 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings in this series. 

The Spurs are coming off a win over the Grizzlies, they have exactly two winning streaks of two games or more all season.  The Spurs are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games following a win, and 4-18 ATS in their last 22 games following a win dating back to last year.  The Mavericks are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite.  Dallas is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games vs. a team with a losing record.  Take the Mavericks Thursday. 

15* NBA Thursday Undervalued Underdog on New York Knicks +7.5 

The New York Knicks and Brooklyn Nets do not like each other based on their close proximity.  The Knicks want revenge from two losses to the Nets by 4 and 2 points in their first two meetings this season.  I expect this game to go down to the wire as well, so getting 7.5 points is a great value. 

The Knicks have played their best basketball of the season over the last couple weeks.  They are 3-4 SU & 4-3 ATS in their last seven games overall.  They upset both the Kings as 8.5-point dogs and Warriors as 4.5-point dogs on the road, while also crushing the Hawks by 23 as 2.5-point home favorites.  They only lost by 6 at Denver as well.  Their only blowout losses during this stretch came to Milwaukee and Miami, two of the best teams in the NBA. 

The Knicks have certainly held their own against the Nets.  New York is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings, including 4-1 ATS in its last five trips to Brooklyn.  The Nets are 0-5 ATS in their last five Thursday games.  Roll with the Knicks Thursday. 

20* Pelicans/Nuggets ESPN Late-Night BAILOUT on New Orleans +10 

After losing 13 straight games, the New Orleans Pelicans are finally starting to show some life and play up to their potential.  They have won two of their last three with upset wins at Minnesota as 3-point dogs and at Portland as 6-point dogs. 

I think it’s a good time to ‘buy low’ on the Pelicans now after losing 14 of their last 16.  They are catching double-digits here against the Denver Nuggets when they shouldn’t be.  They’ll give the Nuggets a run for their money on Christmas Night, especially now that they are fully healthy outside Zion Williamson. 

It’s also a good time to ‘sell high’ on the Nuggets, who have won seven straight coming in. But only two of those wins came by double-digits.  And this is a tired Nuggets team playing their 3rd game in 4 days and their 12th game in 21 days.  The Pelicans will be playing just their 2nd game in 5 days Wednesday. 

Plays on road underdogs (New Orleans) - off a road win, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 49-19 (72.1%) ATS over the last five seasons.   

The Pelicans are 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.  They haven’t lost any of their last seven meetings with the Nuggets by double-digits, making for a 7-0 system backing them pertaining to this 10-point spread.  The Nuggets are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games as a favorite.  Roll with the Pelicans Wednesday. 

15* Clippers/Lakers ABC Total DOMINATOR on UNDER 223 

Two of the best teams in the NBA square off at Staples Center on Christmas Day when the Los Angeles Lakers take on the Los Angeles Clippers.  I expect this game to be played close to the vest as these teams are quickly becoming two of the biggest rivals in the NBA. 

You can bet both teams will be laying it all on the line defensively to get a win in this matchup.  And both teams have such great records this year largely because they are playing defense.  The Clippers are 5th in the NBA in defensive efficiency, while the Lakers are 8th in defensive efficiency. 

Lebron James (back) and Anthony Davis (knee) are both banged up right now for the Lakers.  Both are questionable to play Wednesday, though chances are they’ll both suit up.  I’m expecting a result similar to their first meeting this season when the Clippers won 112-102 for 214 combined points.  It’s going to be a defensive battle. 

Plays on the UNDER on home teams where the total is 220 or higher (LA Lakers) - after failing to cover the spread in four or more consecutive games, a well rested team playing just their 2nd game in 5 days are 26-4 (86.7%) since 1996. 

The Lakers are 19-5 UNDER off an upset loss as a favorite over the last two seasons.  The Clippers are 21-5 UNDER In road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last two years.  The UNDER is 13-6-1 in the last 20 meetings.  The UNDER is 35-16-1 in Lakers last 52 home games.  Take the UNDER in this game Tuesday. 

20* Celtics/Raptors ESPN Early ANNIHILATOR on Boston -2.5 

The Toronto Raptors are in a world of hurt right now injury-wise.  They are playing without their best player in Pascal Siakam along with fellow starter Marc Gasol and Norman Powell.  They don’t stand a chance of beating the Celtics without these three Wednesday. 

The Raptors just pulled a 30-point comeback win over Dallas at home on Sunday before going into overtime in a loss to Indiana on Monday.  It’s safe to say this is a tired, short-handed team now playing their 3rd game in 4 days.  They won’t have much left in the tank for the Celtics tonight. 

Meanwhile, Boston comes in on two days’ rest after last playing on Sunday.  They are also playing just their 4th game in 13 days.  They are coming off two straight blowout home wins over Detroit by 21 and Charlotte by 26.  This team is playing well right now and the Raptors won’t be able to slow them down given the spot. 

Plays against underdogs (Toronto) - off a cover where they lost straight up as a dog, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%) are 65-20 (76.5%) ATS since 1996.  Plays on any team (Boston) - off two straight wins by 10 or more against an opponent that has scored 110 points or more in four straight games are 28-9 (75.7%) ATS over the last five seasons. 

The Celtics are 12-2 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record this season.  Boston is 7-1 ATS in its last eight games as a favorite.  The Celtics are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall.  Toronto is 1-4 ATS in its last five games vs. a team with a winning percentage above 60%.  Bet the Celtics Tuesday. 

15* NBA Monday Undervalued Underdog on Sacramento Kings +6 

The Sacramento Kings have lost three straight road games coming in.  They return home here highly motivated for a victory to get a win before Christmas.  Look for them to likely pull the upset at home over the Houston Rockets. 

While we’re ‘buying low’ on the Kings off three straight losses, we’re ‘selling high’ on the Rockets off three straight wins.  They went on the road and upset the Clippers before beating a banged-up Suns team on the road as 9-point favorites.  Now they will be playing their 3rd road game in 5 days, which makes this a tough spot for them. 

Sacramento is 17-6 ATS off a loss by 6 points or less over the last two seasons.  The Kings are 14-4 ATS off two or more consecutive road losses over the last three years.  Sacramento is 10-1 ATS vs. good teams that outscore their opponents by 3-plus points per game this season.   

The Kings are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning record.  Sacramento is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games as an underdog.  The Kings pulled the 119-118 upset at Houston as 12-point road dogs in their first meeting this season, and they are upset-minded again tonight.  Take the Kings Monday. 

15* NBA Monday No-Doubt Rout on Miami Heat -4 

The Miami Heat are showing great value as only 4-point home favorites over the Utah Jazz tonight.  The Heat are 12-1 SU & 10-2-1 ATS at home this season and winning by 14.2 points per game on average. 

The Jazz are just 7-8 SU & 5-9-1 ATS on the road this season.  Utah is without starting PG Mike Conley as he just can’t seem to get healthy.  And I think the Jazz are overvalued due to their five-game winning streak against some bad teams in Minnesota, Golden State, Orlando, Atlanta and Charlotte.  All five of those games went down to the wire, too. 

Miami comes in on two days’ rest after last playing on Friday.  And the Heat have the next three days off as well.  They are looking to put forth a big effort here knowing they get that time off, plus they are fresh. 

The Jazz are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following an ATS win.  The Heat are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 home games.  Miami is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games as a home favorite.  Roll with the Heat Monday. 

15* NBA Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Pacers/Bucks UNDER 219.5 

Two of the top defensive teams in the NBA square off tonight when the Indiana Pacers visit the Milwaukee Bucks.  The Bucks rank 1st in the NBA in defensive efficiency, while the Pacers are 7th.  That has been key to both of their successes this season. 

It’s no surprise the UNDER is 7-1 in the last eight meetings.  The Bucks and Pacers have combined for 219 or fewer points in each of their last eight meetings, making for a perfect 8-0 system backing the UNDER pertaining to this 219.5-point total. 

Milwaukee beat Indiana 102-83 in their first meeting this season for just 185 combined points.  And the Bucks aren’t at full strength right now as they will be without PG Eric Bledsoe and his 15 PPG and likely Wesley Mathews as well.  Jeremy Lamb and Domantas Sabonis are questionable for Indiana. 

The UNDER is 7-2 in Pacers last nine games overall.  The UNDER is 28-9-1 in Pacers last 38 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than 60%.  The UNDER is 4-0 in Pacers last four road games.  Bet the UNDER in this game Sunday. 

15* CBB Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Portland +18 

The Houston Cougars returned just one starter from a great team last year.  They have been overvalued all season.  They have upset losses to BYU and Oklahoma State at home, and they have struggled to put teams away. 

Portland can hang with Houston.  The Pilots are 8-4 SU & 6-4 ATS this season with their largest loss coming by 11 points.  Terry Porter is doing a good job with this program.  The Pilots only lost by 11 at USC as 23-point favorites, and they pulled the upset at Portland State as 6.5-point dogs. 

The Cougars are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a win.  Pilots are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as an underdog.  Portland is 4-0 ATS in its last four games vs. a team with a winning percentage above 60%.  Take Portland Sunday. 

15* NBA Saturday PLAY OF THE DAY on Sacramento Kings PK 

It’s a bad spot for both the Sacramento Kings and Memphis Grizzlies tonight.  Both teams played last night in road losses to the Pacers and Cavs, respectively.  But it’s clearly a worse spot for the Grizzlies, and the Kings are the better team in this matchup, so getting them at a pick ‘em is a great value. 

Sacramento had two days off prior to that game at Indiana.  So the Kings will only be playing their 2nd game in 4 days here.  Memphis will be playing its 3rd game in 4 days and its 6th game in 9 days, which is one of the toughest situations in the NBA.  I trust the Kings will have more in the tank than the Grizzlies as a result. 

The Kings are 10-2 ATS vs. good offensive teams that score 110-plus points per game this season.  Sacramento is 10-2 ATS off a non-conference game this season.  The Kings are 8-0 ATS off two or more consecutive road losses over the last two years.  Sacramento is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games off a loss.  The Kings are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 road games.  The Grizzlies are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games playing on zero days’ rest.  Bet the Kings Saturday. 

15* CBB Saturday UPSET SHOCKER on Evansville +3 

Evansville is off a bad loss at Jacksonville State and will return home highly motivated for a win when they host Murray State today.  This is an Evansville team that upset Kentucky on the road as 24.5-point dogs earlier this season to flash their potential. 

Murray State is just 6-4 this season.  They lost to Drake by 10 and La Salle by 11 on a neutral.  They also lost by 19 at Tennessee and lost at Missouri State.  While Murray State has been great at home, they are just 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in all games played on the highway. 

Evansville is 9-2 ATS after allowing 80 points or more over the last two seasons.  Roll with Evansville Saturday. 

15* CBB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Dayton -5 

The Dayton Flyers are clearly one of the best teams in the country.  They are 9-1 SU & 7-3 ATS with their only loss coming to Kansas, the No. 1 ranked team in the nation.  I expect Dayton to make easy work of Colorado. 

This Colorado team has been disappointing.  They returned all five starters so expectations were high.  And while they are 9-2 SU, they are just 3-7 ATS.  They lost by 14 to Kansas while Dayton only lost by 6 to Kansas.  Colorado was also upset by Northern Iowa at home, and they really don’t have many good wins. 

I like the rest advantage for Dayton in this one.  They have three days’ rest to get ready for Colorado after last playing on Tuesday.  Colorado just played Prairie View A&M at home on Thursday, so they have only had one day to get ready for Dayton.  That’s not enough prep time to get ready to face at team of Dayton’s caliber. 

Colorado is 1-14 ATS in road games off a home win over the last three seasons.  The Buffaloes are 1-12 ATS in road games vs. teams who attempt 21 or more 3-point shots per game over the last two years.  Take Dayton Saturday. 

20* CBB GAME OF THE WEEK on Oklahoma State -3 

This game is technically on a neutral court, but it will definitely feel like a home court for Oklahoma City behind played in Tulsa, Oklahoma.  I think we are getting the Cowboys at a discount today as only 3-point favorites over Minnesota. 

The Gophers are definitely in a letdown spot off their shocking upset home win over Ohio State as 7.5-point dogs.  This is a team that just lost by 20 in their previous game at Iowa, so it came out of nowhere.  They also already have losses to Oklahoma, Butler, Utah and DePaul with five losses on the season.  They aren’t nearly as good as they showed against Ohio State. 

Oklahoma State is 8-2 this season and every bit as good as its record.  The Cowboys beat Syracuse by 14 on a neutral and Ole Miss by 41 on a neutral.  They also upset Houston on the road as 7-point dogs.  They’ve had five days off since that win over Houston and will be ready to go tonight. 

The Golden Gophers are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog.  Minnesota is 1-5 ATS in its last six games off a win.  The Golden Gophers are 4-18 ATS in their last 22 vs. Big 12 opponents.  Minnesota is 4-14 ATS in its last 18 games off an upset win over a conference opponent as a dog of 6 points or more.  The Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last five neutral site games.  Bet Oklahoma State Saturday. 

15* NBA Friday Undervalued Underdog on New York Knicks +10 

The New York Knicks are playing their best basketball of the season right now.  They are 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.  They upset both Golden State and Sacramento on the road, and covered in a 6-point loss at 10-point dogs at Denver.  They also crushed Atlanta 143-120 at home last time out. 

The Miami Heat return home from a three-game road trip here.  The Heat are in a letdown spot off their upset win at Philadelphia as 9-point dogs last time out.  They won’t take the Knicks nearly as seriously as they took the 76ers in that huge showdown Wednesday night. 

The Knicks are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.  New York is 5-0 ATS in its last five Friday games.  The Heat are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 Friday games.  Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last five games as a favorite.  Take the Knicks Friday. 

15* NBA Friday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Celtics -9 

The Boston Celtics should make easy work of the Detroit Pistons tonight.  The Pistons will be without Blake Griffin (16.3 PPG), Luke Kennard (15.8 PPG) and Christian Wood (9.1 PPG).  They have zero chance of making this game competitive with the Celtics without these three guys. 

The Celtics have lost two of their last three coming in, so they won’t be taking the Pistons lightly.  But Boston is also rested and ready to go as this will be just their 2nd game in 8 days.  The Celtics are 10-1 at home this season, while the Pistons are 4-9 on the road. 

The Celtics are 22-5 ATS off an upset win as an underdog over the last three seasons, including 15-2 ATS off an upset win as a road dog over the last three years.  Detroit is 3-14 ATS vs. good teams outscoring their opponents by at least 6 points per game over the last two seasons.  The Pistons are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games as a road underdog.  Bet the Celtics Friday. 

15* CBB Friday Early Afternoon ANNIHILATOR on Akron -4.5 

John Groce has the Akron Zips playing some great basketball this season.  The Zips are off to an 8-2 start this year with their only losses coming by 10 as 12-point dogs at West Virginia and by 6 as 18-point dogs at Louisville.  If they can hang with both those teams, they can hang with anyone. 

Ron Hunter is also doing a great job in his first season at Tulane.  The Green Wave are off to an 8-2 start as well, but their results aren’t nearly as impressive.  They lost by 14 to Mississippi State on a neutral as 10-pint dogs and were blown out by 24 by Saint Louis on a neutral as 4.5-point dogs. 

Tulane is 0-6 ATS vs. good defensive teams that allow 64 or fewer points per game over the last two seasons.  The Zips are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.  Akron is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Green Wave are 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 neutral site games as an underdog.  Roll with Akron Friday. 

20* Rockets/Clippers TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles -5 

It’s the grudge match tonight between the Clippers and Rockets.  They have split the first two meetings this season with the home team winning reach.  But the Clippers are just now at full strength finally, and I think they will make easy work of the Rockets at home tonight. 

The Clippers are 14-3 SU in their last 17 games overall with their only losses coming on the road.  The Clippers are 14-1 SU & 10-4-1 ATS at home this season, outscoring opponents by 13.4 points per game.  This is a short number for them to be laying at home tonight. 

The Rockets are just 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.  They have struggled to put away some bad teams.  They lost outright to the Pistons as 7.5-point home favorites and outright to the Kings as 12-point favorites.  They also failed to cover as 11.5-point home favorites over the Suns and 10-point home favorites over the Spurs.  They also let the Cavs take them to the wire as 11.5-point favorites.

The Clippers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite.  Six of their last seven wins have come by double-digits.  Los Angeles is 4-0 ATS in its last four games as a home favorite.  Bet the Clippers Thursday. 

15* NBA Thursday No-Doubt Rout on San Antonio Spurs -3 

The Spurs have turned the corner finally and are playing their best basketball of the season.  They have gone 4-3 in their last seven games overall with upset wins over the likes of the Clippers and Rockets.  And they only lost by 2 to the Rockets as 10-point road dogs last time out. 

Now the Spurs come in on two days’ rest and will be hosting the Brooklyn Nets.  The Nets will be playing their 4th game in 6 days as this will be a tough spot for them.  Not to mention, they needed overtime to put away the Pelicans on Tuesday. 

The Spurs are 21-3 SU in their last 24 home meetings with the Nets.  San Antonio is 25-9-1 ATS in its last 35 meetings with Brooklyn, including 6-1 ATS in the last seven home meetings. 

San Antonio is 21-9 ATS at home with a line of +3 to -3 over the last three seasons.  The Nets are 0-4 ATS in their last four Thursday games.  The Spurs are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games off a loss.  Roll with the Spurs Thursday. 

15* CBB Thursday Undervalued Underdog on UTEP +12.5 

I’ve made some good money fading Houston this season and I’ll continue to do so for many of the same reasons tonight.  The Cougars are getting treated like the team they were last year, and not the team that returned just one starter this year and is inexperienced. 

Indeed, Houston is 2-6 ATS in its last eight games overall.  That includes an upset loss as an 11.5-point home favorite to BYU, a 12-point loss at Oregon as 7-point dogs, and a 6-point upset home loss to Oklahoma State as 7-point favorites.  The Cougars also failed to cover in an 8-point home win over Texas-Arlington as 14-point favorites, needed a late comeback to beat Rice by 8 as 13-point road favorites, and failed to cover in an 8-point home win over Texas State as 12.5-point favorites. 

The Cougars couldn’t get margin against all of those teams, and they certainly won’t get margin against one of the most underrated teams in the country in UTEP tonight.  UTEP returned four starters this season, and head coach Rodney Terry is doing a great job.  The Miners are off to an 8-1 start this season with their only loss coming by 3 at New Mexico State as 5.5-point dogs.  They also beat NMSU, New Mexico and UC-Irvine at home, three quality teams. 

The Miners are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.  UTEP is 6-0 ATS vs. good offensive teams scoring 77-plus points per game over the last two seasons.  The Miners are 11-2 ATS in non-conference games over the last two seasons.  The Cougars are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games vs. a team with a winning record.  Take UTEP Thursday. 

20* Celtics/Mavs ESPN GAME OF THE MONTH on Boston -2.5 

I love the spot for the Boston Celtics tonight.  The Celtics are coming off two straight tough losses to the Pacers and 76ers in a back-to-back situation.  Now they’ve had a whopping five days off to rest and recover after last playing on December 12th.  It’s safe to say we will get a big effort from the Celtics tonight. 

The Mavericks are in a massive letdown spot.  They are coming off a shocking 120-116 upset win at Milwaukee as 10-point underdogs on Monday.  It’s like the Bucks didn’t take them seriously without Luka Doncic and the Mavericks took advantage.  But they’re going to feel the loss of Doncic sooner rather than later, including tonight. 

You simply don’t replace a player of Doncic’s caliber.  He has been neck-and-neck with Giannis as the favorite to win the MVP up to this point.  Doncic averages 29.3 points, 9.6 rebounds and 8.9 assists per game.  He means everything to the Mavericks. 

Plays against all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (Dallas) - a good team outscoring opponents by 6 or more points per game, after allowing 105 points or more three straight games are 30-5 (85.7%) ATS since 1996.  Boston is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Celtics are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 trips to Dallas.  Bet the Celtics Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday UPSET SHOCKER on Arizona State +1.5 

Bobby Hurley is doing a great job at Arizona State.  He has the Sun Devils off to an 8-2 start this season with their only losses coming to Colorado and Virginia (by 3).  They just beat Georgia by 20 and now I expect them to take down Saint Mary’s tonight. 

The Gaels came into the season overvalued due to returning all five starters.  They have gone 9-2 SU but lost to Winthrop at home and Dayton (by 10).  They are just 4-7 ATS and have had some ugly performances.  They only beat Lehigh by 11 as 20.5-point favorites, Nebraska-Omaha by 9 as 15.5-point favorites and Northern Illinois by 12 as 14-point favorites. 

This will essentially be a home game for Arizona State despite technically being on a neutral.  It’s being played at Talking Stick Resort Arena in Phoenix.   

The Sun Devils are 10-1 ATS off a blowout win by 20 points or more over the last three seasons.  Arizona State is 11-1 ATS when playing against a team with a winning percentage of greater than 80% over the last three years.  Roll with Arizona State Wednesday. 

15* Tennessee/Cincinnati ESPN 2 ANNIHILATOR on Cincinnati +1.5 

The Cincinnati Bearcats are coming off a shocking loss to Colgate at home.  It was a clearly letdown spot for them after facing rival Xavier in their previous game and losing a heartbreaker.  Now I fully expect the Bearcats to bring their best effort of the season tonight hosting the 21st-ranked Tennessee Vols. 

Tennessee is being priced like it is the team that made a deep run in the NCAA Tournament last year.  But the Vols only returned one starter from that squad.  The Vols are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall and were just upset at home by rival Memphis as 6-point favorites.  Now the Vols are in a similar flat spot that Cincinnati was just in after facing an in-state rival. 

Plays on any team (Cincinnati) - after being beaten by the spread by 42 or more points in their last seven games against an opponent that went under the total by 42 or more points in their last seven games are 94-51 (64.8%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Take Cincinnati Wednesday. 

15* Miami/Temple ESPNU ANNIHILATOR on Temple -2 

The Temple Owls are one of the most underrated teams in the country.  They are off to a 7-2 start this season with their only losses coming to Maryland by 7 on a neutral as 9-point dogs and to Missouri at home.  They have impressive road wins over LaSalle, USC and Texas A&M as well as a dominant neutral site win over Davidson. 

I like how Temple bounced back from that poor loss to Missouri with a 108-61 throttling of rival St. Joe’s as an 11.5-point favorite.  And now the Owls have had a full week to get ready for Miami after last playing on December 10th, giving them six days in between games to prepare. 

Miami only gets two days to get ready for Temple after playing on Saturday in an 88-74 win over Alabama A&M as 26.5-point favorites.  The Gators have some really poor losses this season as they were beaten by 20 by Florida on a neutral and lost by 25 to UConn on a neutral.  They really don’t have a good win on their schedule outside perhaps Illinois. 

Temple is 10-1 ATS in road games after a combined score of 155 points or more over the last three seasons.  Miami is 1-10 ATS vs. good defensive teams that allow 64 or fewer points per game over the last three years. The Hurricanes are 6-20-1 ATS in their last 27 neutral site games, including 0-7 ATS in their last seven neutral site games as an underdog.  The Owls are 17-7 ATS in their last 24 neutral site games.  Roll with Temple Tuesday. 

15* CBB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Florida -4.5 

The Florida Gators started slow this season.  But they’ve turned the corner in going 4-1 SU in their last five games overall with a 20-point win over Miami and a 5-point win over Xavier on a neutral.  Their only loss came on the road at Butler during this stretch. 

Now the Gators have had nine days off since that loss to Butler to get ready for Providence.  They are champing at the bit to hit the court tonight at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn.  Meanwhile, Providence only has two days to get ready for Florida after playing Stony Brook on Saturday. 

This is a very poor Providence team.  The Friars are just 6-5 SU & 2-8 ATS this season.  Their six wins have come against Sacred Heart, New Jersey Tech, St. Peters, Merrimack, Pepperdine (by 3) and Stony Brook (by 4).  They lost to Northwestern by 9 as 9-point favorites, lost to Penn by 6 as 15-point favorites, lost outright to Long Beach State as 16-point favorites, lost outright to College of Charleston as 9-point favorites, and weren’t competitive in their 14-point loss at Rhode Island. 

The Gators are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games, including 6-1 ATS in their last seven neutral site games as a favorite.  The Friars are 0-6 ATS in their last six games overall.  Take Florida Tuesday. 

20* Lakers/Pacers NBA TV No-Brainer on Indiana +4.5 

The Lakers will be playing their seventh road game in their last eight contests.  They are starting to show signs of wearing down.  They failed to cover in a 3-point win at Miami on Friday and also failed to cover in a 5-point win at Atlanta on Sunday.  I think their winning streak comes to an end Tuesday. 

The Indiana Pacers are playing almost as well as the Lakers right now.  They are 11-3 SU in their last 14 games overall and should not be catching points at home to Los Angeles tonight.  They have gone 6-1 SU at home during this stretch with their only loss to the Clippers. 

The Lakers are dealing with some injuries right now as Kyle Kuzma is expected to sit out, while Anthony Davis is questionable with an ankle injury suffered against the Hawks.  And this is the ultimate lookahead spot as the Lakers have the Bucks on deck Thursday on TNT.  I expect them to be overlooking the Pacers and looking ahead to that game against Milwaukee. 

The Lakers are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games as a road favorite.  The Pacers are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games playing on one days’ rest.  Bet the Pacers Tuesday. 

15* NBA Monday Undervalued Underdog on San Antonio Spurs +10 

The Houston Rockets are getting too much respect from oddsmakers here as 10-point home favorites over the San Antonio Spurs.  This team is not playing well enough right now to warrant laying this big of a number.  The Rockets are just 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall, which includes upset losses to both the Kings and Pistons. 

It’s a good time to ‘buy low’ on the Spurs, who have been one of the worst covering teams in the NBA this season at 6-18-1 ATS in their 25 games.  The Spurs have won four of their last six coming in over the Clippers, Rockets, Kings and Suns.  They have stepped up in class and shown they can hang. 

Plays on road underdogs of 10 or more points (San Antonio) - a rested team playing 6 or less games in 14 days, a bad team winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 44-17 (72.1%) ATS over the last five seasons.  The Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a favorite.  Roll with the Spurs Monday. 

15* NBA Eastern Conference ANNIHILATOR on Cleveland Cavaliers +12.5 

The Toronto Raptors have been struggling here of late without Fred VanVleet, and he’s doubtful again tonight.  They Raptors are 2-4 SU & 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.  Their only two wins came by a single point over the Bills as 6-point road favorites and by 8 over the Nets as 6.5-point home favorites. 

The Cleveland Cavaliers have shown they can step up in class here of late and compete.  They only lost by 6 as 11.5-point home dogs to the Rockets, went on the road and upset the Spurs by 8 as 12-point dogs, and barely failed to cover at Milwaukee.  Now they are catching 12.5-points here to the Raptors, which is too much. 

Toronto is 6-18 ATS in its last 24 home games vs. teams that allow 48% shooting or higher.  The Cavaliers are 15-5-1 ATS in the last 21 meetings.  Cleveland is 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 trips to Toronto.  Take the Cavaliers Monday. 

15* NBA Sunday PLAY OF THE DAY on Atlanta Hawks +12 

There’s no doubt you’re paying a premium now to back the 23-3 Los Angeles Lakers.  They have covered five of their last six and are now laying double-digits on the road to the Atlanta Hawks.  This is a game the Hawks will give them a run for their money tonight. 

It’s a bad spot for the Lakers.  They are coming off a win in Miami, and there’s a lot of distractions that come along with playing in Miami.  Teams often times come out flat in their next game.  And the Lakers will be playing their 3rd straight road game here and are in the midst of a stretch of eight of their last nine on the road. 

The Hawks have failed to cover three in a row, and it’s a good time to ‘buy low’ on them.  They’ll show up for the Lakers today.  Kyle Kuzma is out and Lebron James is questionable for the Lakers.  The Hawks are fully healthy outside the suspension to John Collins. 

The Lakers are 1-7 ATS in their last eight road games vs. a team with a losing home record.  The Hawks are 44-19 ATS in their last 63 games off a double-digit home loss.  Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last six home games vs. a team with a winning road record.  Roll with the Hawks Sunday. 

15* CBB Sunday PLAY OF THE DAY on Oklahoma State +7 

The Houston Cougars lost a ton of talent from last year.  I’ve been fading them with success as they returned just one starter, but are being priced like the team they were last season.  The Cougars are 7-2 but just 3-5 ATS in their lined games. 

Oklahoma State is one of the most improved teams in the country.  They are also 7-2 and returned all five starters from last year.  I think it’s a good time to ‘buy low’ on this team off back-to-back upset losses to Georgetown and Wichita State. 

Those losses followed up impressive showings in an 86-72 upset win over Syracuse on a neutral and a dominant 78-37 win over Ole Miss on a neutral as well.  I have no doubt the Cowboys will be highly motivated to bounce back today, and they will be fresh and ready to go as they last played a week ago today. 

The Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their last five road games.  Oklahoma State is 6-0 ATS in its last six games as an underdog.  The Cowboys are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 Sunday games.  The Cougars are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a win.  Houston is 1-5 ATS in its last six games vs. a team with a winning record.  Bet Oklahoma State Sunday. 

15* Gonzaga/Arizona ESPN 2 Late-Night BAILOUT on Arizona -2 

I’ll side with the home team laying the short number in this Top 25 matchup.  The Arizona Wildcats are 10-1 this season, including 8-0 SU & 6-2 ATS at home.  They are outscoring opponents by a whopping 30.2 points per game at home this season. 

Gonzaga has only played two true road games this season.  They did win both, but those were against Washington and Texas A&M.  They lost by 18 to Michigan on a neutral and only beat Oregon by 1.  I think this is the toughest test for the Bulldogs yet as it’s the only game they haven’t been favored in.  Arizona is favored for good reason here. 

The Wildcats are 9-3-2 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of greater than 60%.  Arizona is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games off a win by more than 20 points.  Roll with Arizona Saturday. 

20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Detroit Pistons +7 

This is a very tough spot for the Houston Rockets.  They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days.  They have to travel from Orlando back to Houston overnight and won’t have a whole lot left in the. Tank for the Detroit Pistons. 

The Pistons had yesterday off and will be fresh for this one.  Making matters worse for the Rockets is that they were already without Eric Gordon, but now they will be without Russell Westbrook tonight, plus Tyson Chandler is questionable.  The Pistons are fully healthy outside of Reggie Jackson. 

Plays against any team (Houston) - a tired team playing their 3rd game in 4 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 76-39 (66.1%) ATS over the last five seasons.  The Pistons are 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.  Bet the Pistons Saturday. 

15* NBA Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Denver Nuggets -6.5 

The Denver Nuggets are currently undervalued because they went 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS over a six-game stretch where five of six games were on the road.  I cashed them in when they returned home as 8-point favorites in a 15-point win over the Blazers.   

I think the Nuggets remain undervalued here as only 6.5-point home favorites over the Oklahoma City Thunder.  The Pepsi Center has been a house of horrors for opponents as Denver had the best home-court advantage in the NBA last year.  The Nuggets are 9-3 at home this season as well. 

Few teams have owned the Thunder like the Nuggets have.  Indeed, the Nuggets are 8-1 SU & 9-0 ATS in their last nine meetings with the Thunder.  They won all four meetings last year with OKC all by 7 points or more.  And that was when the Thunder were actually good with Paul George and Russell Westbrook.  Take the Nuggets Saturday. 

20* Memphis/Tennessee ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Memphis +7 

This number is simply too high for a rivalry game between Tennessee and Memphis.  I think Memphis is legitimately one of the best teams in the country with what Penny Hardaway has done in recruiting.  And that will show on the court tonight. 

I’m not sold on this Tennessee team because they only returned one starter from last year and aren’t nearly as good as the team that made a deep run in the NCAA Tournament.  The Vols are 7-1, but they have yet to play a true road game, and they lost to the best team they have faced in Florida State.  They only other two decently hard games were wins over Washington and VCU on a neutral. 

The Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as road underdogs.  Memphis is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games vs. a team that wins more than 60% of their games.  The Vols are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games.  The underdog is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings.  Take Memphis Saturday. 

20* NBA DOG OF THE WEEK on Orlando Magic +6.5

The Houstons Rockets barely survived the lowly Cleveland Cavaliers on the road Wednesday in a 116-110 win as 11.5-point favorites.  Now the Rockets are laying 6.5 points on the road to the Orlando Magic and they shouldn’t be.  I’ll take the value with the Magic at home tonight. 

The Rockets have failed to cover three straight and four of their last five.  They have some key injuries right now as they are playing without two of their best guards in Eric Gordon and Austin Rivers.  They can’t be trusted to lay points on the road here against an Orlando Magic team that is playing well right now. 

Indeed, the Magic have won four of their last six with their only losses coming to the Bucks and Lakers, which are arguably the two best teams in the NBA.  They were competitive in both games as each loss came by single-digits.  The Magic are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall. 

Orlando is 23-9 ATS after covering four of their last five against the spread over the last three seasons.  The Rockets are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as road favorites.  The Magic are 14-5 ATS in the last 19 meetings, including 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Orlando.  Bet the Magic Friday. 

15* Blazers/Nuggets TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on Denver -6 

The Denver Nuggets are highly motivated for a victory tonight.  They have lost five of their last six coming in and it’s understandable considering they played five of their last six on the road.  Now they are back in the Pepsi Center where they have one of the best home-court advantages in the NBA. 

We know we’re going to get a big effort from the Nuggets here, which is a big factor when handicapping the NBA.  The Nuggets had the best home record in the NBA last season and are 8-3 at home this year.  They should be able to handle the Portland Trail Blazers tonight. 

The Blazers have been hit hard by injuries this season as they remain without Jusuf Nurkic, Zach Collins and Rodney Hood.  Injuries prompted them to sign Carmelo Anthony.  The Blazers are just 10-15 this season, including 5-9 on the road.  They are nowhere near as good as they were last season when they made a deep run in the playoffs. 

Plays against underdogs (Portland) - off a home blowout win by 20 points or more, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing against a team with a winning record are 71-35 (67%) ATS since 1996.  The Blazers are 1-6-2 ATS in their last nine games vs. a team that wins more than 60% of their games.  Portland is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 road games.  Denver is 10-4-1 ATS in the last 15 meetings.  Bet the Nuggets Thursday. 

15* NBA Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Detroit Pistons +6 

The Dallas Mavericks are starting to get way too much respect from oddsmakers after going 10-2 SU & 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall.  Now they’re being asked to go on the road and lay 6 points to a solid Detroit Pistons team that is as healthy as they have been all season now. 

The Pistons are 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall with their only loss coming to arguably the best team in the NBA in the Milwaukee Bucks.  They beat San Antonio by 34 at home and Cleveland by 33 on the road.  They also upset Indiana by 7 at home and won at New Orleans.  I really like the way this team is playing right now. 

The Pistons are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games and have consistently had one of the best home-court advantages in the NBA over the past few seasons.  The Mavericks are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games playing on three or more days’ rest.  That break actually wasn’t good for them as it halted the momentum they had. 

The Pistons are 15-4 ATS in home games after having won three of their last four games over the past three seasons.  They are winning by 11.2 points per game in this spot.  Roll with the Pistons Thursday. 

20* Iowa/Iowa State ESPN 2 No-Brainer on Iowa State -4 

The Iowa State Cyclones should be bigger favorites here against the Iowa Hawkeyes.  Hilton Magic is for real, and the Cyclones are 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS inside Hilton Coliseum this season, winning by 22.0 points per game on average.  They just beat a ranked Seton Hall team 76-66 at home, and now they’ll make easy work of this unranked Hawkeyes squad. 

I’ve just seen too many poor performances from the Hawkeyes this season to trust them on the road here.  Iowa lost by 15 at home to DePaul as 9.5-point favorites.  They were beaten by 10 by San Diego State on a neutral in Las Vegas.  And they gave up 103 points to Michigan two games ago, which was the most points scored by the Wolverines in a Big Ten game since 1998. 

Hilton Coliseum has been a house of horrors for the Hawkeyes.  Indeed, Iowa hasn’t won at Hilton Coliseum since 2003.  The Cyclones have won eight straight home meetings with the Hawkeyes.  They want revenge from a bad road loss to Iowa last year, and they should get that revenge with a win and cover at home tonight. 

The Hawkeyes are 16-34-1 ATS in their last 51 road games.  Iowa is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games following a win.  Iowa State is 5-1 ATS in its last six games as a home favorite.  The Cyclones are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games after going under the total in their previous game.  Steve Prohm is 9-2 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less or PK as the coach of Iowa State, and 14-3 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points in all games he has coached.  Take Iowa State Thursday. 

20* Big Ten GAME OF THE WEEK on Illinois -1 

The Illinois Fighting Illini are highly motivated for a win tonight.  They are coming off back-to-back losses to Miami and Maryland by a combined 3 points to fall to 6-3 on the season.  Their other loss this year came on the road at Arizona. 

The loss to Maryland was extra painful.  They led most the way then gave up a 3-pointer to tie in the closing seconds and fouled Maryland with only a couple seconds left and lost on a free throw.  They fell 58-59 as 10-point road dogs.  Maryland is the No. 4 ranked team in the country, so it showed what Illinois is capable of. 

Now the Fighting Illini get to host No. 5 Michigan.  This is a Wolverines team that has done most of its damage at home or on a neutral.  In their only true road game this season, the Wolverines lost 43-58 at Louisville as 6-point dogs.  Now they have to go on the highway for only the second time this season and face an Illinois team that is 5-1 at home and winning by 24.6 points per game. 

Illinois is 7-0 ATS vs. good passing teams that average 16 or more assets per game over the last two seasons.  Plays on home teams (Illinois) off two straight close losses by 3 points or less against an opponent that scored 85 points or more last game are 23-4 (85.2%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Bet Illinois Wednesday. 

15* NBA Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Charlotte Hornets +9.5 

The Brooklyn Nets are starting to get too much respect from oddsmakers.  They are 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall.  It’s time to ’sell high’ on them tonight as 9.5-point favorites.  It’s their highest favorite role all season, and only the 2nd time in 24 games that they’ve been favored by more than 4.5 points. 

This number had been adjusted for the Hornets playing the 2nd of a back-to-back.  But this is a young team that won’t be affected as much by this situation.  And I think what will energize the Hornets tonight is playing with double-revenge, two losses to Brooklyn since November 20th.  It will be their 3rd meeting in three weeks, and I look for the Hornets to put their best foot forward tonight. 

Charlotte is 8-1 ATS after allowing 105 points or more in three straight games this season.  The Hornets are 4-1 ATS in their last five games when playing the 2nd of a back-to-back.  Take the Hornets Wednesday.