15* Fullerton/Hawaii Big West Late-Night BAILOUT on Fullerton +7.5

CS-Fullerton is the most underrated team in the Big West Tournament.  The Titans are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games.  They are also 5-0 ATS in their last five games with their lone loss coming by 2 to Hawaii as 3.5-point dogs.  Now the Titans get their shot at revenge here two weeks later in the Big West Tournament.

This is a Hawaii team that has been grossly overvalued here down the stretch.  The Rainbow Warriors are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall with only two wins by more than 7 points.  Those two wins came against UC-Riverside and CS-Bakersfield, the two worst teams in the Big West.  Bet CS-Fullerton Friday.

15* Timberwolves/Warriors NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Minnesota -5.5

I love the spot for the Minnesota Timberwolves tonight.  They will be highly motivated for a victory coming off three consecutive losses to the Magic, Lakers and Clippers.  They will take out their frustration on the short-handed Golden State Warriors tonight.

The Warriors just can't function without Curry (27.2 PPG) and Butler (20.0 PPG).  They have gone 5-11 SU & 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games overall with two of those wins coming against Memphis.  They lost their last two games to the Jazz and Bulls, two tanking teams.  They are also without Moody (11.9 PPG), and both Melton (13.0 PPG) and Post (7.6 PPG) are questionable.  I give them little chance of keeping this game competitive against a feisty Minnesota team tonight.  Bet the Timberwolves Friday.

15* Clemson/Duke ACC ANNIHILATOR on Clemson +11.5

Duke is without two starters in Caleb Foster (8.5 PPG) and Patrick Ngonba Jr. (10.7 PPG, 6.0 RPG, 1.1 BPG) for the ACC Tournament.  The loss of Ngonba is huge as he controls everything in the paint for Duke.  Without him, they won't be nearly as dominant defensively.

That was on display yesterday as Duke was life and death in a 80-79 win over Florida State as 17.5-point favorites.  I backed FSU in that game, and I'm fading Duke again today as this line is also ridiculous laying 11.5 points to Clemson.

The Tigers are coming off consecutive wins over Wake Forest and UNC and ready to give Duke a run for its money.  They lost 67-54 as 12.5-point road dogs at Duke in their lone meeting this season.  Both Foster and Ngongba played in that game.  The Blue Devils cannot be 11.5-point favorites on a neutral in the rematch, which is one point less than they were favored by at home.  Bet Clemson Friday.

20* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on New Orleans Pelicans +7.5

The New Orleans Pelicans are 7-3 SU & 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall.  They have no incentive to tank because they don't have their first-round pick this year.  Their three losses all came on the road to the Clippers, Lakers and Suns during this 10-game stretch.  Six of their 7 wins have come by double-digits.

The Pelicans are rested and ready to go playing just their 2nd game in 5 days.  They are as healthy as they have been all season with each of their top eight scorers all available tonight.  That includes Dejounte Murray, who is gaining confidence with each game playing in 7 games this season for the Pelicans after they traded for him in the offseason.

The Houston Rockets have been grossly overvalued for months.  The Rockets are 15-30 ATS in their last 45 games overall.  They have just 3 wins in their last 19 games by more than 7 points.  They play so slow, struggle on offense and play good defense, which is a recipe for playing to their level of competition.

The Rockets are the much more tired team playing their 6th game in 9 days tonight.  That fatigue showed in a 129-93 road loss at Denver last time out.  And now Alperen Sengun (20.2 PPG, 9.0 RPG) is questionable to even play tonight.  Bet the Pelicans Friday.

25* Atlantic 10 Tournament GAME OF THE YEAR on St. Joe's -1

St. Joe's is the most underrated team in the Atlantic 10.  The Hawks have gone 13-3 SU & 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games overall with their three losses all coming by single-digits.  They have won and covered 6 in a row coming into the Atlantic 10 Tournament.

The Hawks earned a bye into the quarterfinals thanks to their big finish.  Now that bye will pay off in a big way with the rest advantage over Davidson tonight.  The Wildcats had to play Thursday and needed OT to beat the worst team in the Atlantic 10 in Loyola-Chicago by a final of 64-59.  I question how much they'll have left in the tank today.

St. Joe's won 70-67 as 1.5-point dogs at Davidson on March 4th just over a week ago.  They have to be more than 1-point favorites on a neutral now in the rematch given their rest advantage.  Bet St. Joe's Friday.

15* Kent State/Akron MAC ANNIHILATOR on Akron -6

Akron is the best team in the MAC even though Miami Ohio had a 31-0 regular season.  I like the fact that Akron was in a rare dog fight yesterday in a 73-70 win over Buffalo.  It was their 8th straight victory overall with 6 of those coming by 13 points or more.

One of those came 92-70 at Kent State as 3.5-point road favorites on February 27th.  Akron also beat Kent State 69-52 at home.  This is clearly a terrible matchup for the Golden Flashes, who just don't have the horses to hang with this elite Akron team that has no weaknesses.  Bet Akron Friday.

15* CBB Friday Total DOMINATOR on Kent State/Akron UNDER 164.5

Akron beat Kent State 69-52 at home and 92-70 on the road.  That first meeting saw just 121 combined points.  The 2nd meeting saw 162 combined points, but that was with electric shooting from Akron.  The Zips shot 14-of-28 (50%) from 3-point range while the Golden Flashes shot 13-of-32 (40.6%) themselves.  I doubt either team shoots as well from 3 again.

Familiarity favors defense and low-scoring games.  With this being their 3rd meeting of the season, these teams know each other inside and out.  And with a trip to the championship game on the line, this game will be played close to the vest.  I also expect it to be a slower-paced game than expected.  Bet the UNDER in this game Friday.

15* Ole Miss/Alabama SEC ANNIHILATOR on Alabama -10.5

Alabama earned a double-bye into the quarterfinals of the SEC Tournament.  That gives the Crimson Tide a big rest advantage over Ole Miss today that should lead to a blowout victory.  The Crimson Tide have been rolling going 9-1 SU in their last 10 games overall and are as healthy as they have been all season coming into the SEC Tournament.

Ole Miss pulled off consecutive upsets over Texas 76-66 and Georgia 76-72 the last two days to get here.  Now the Rebels will be playing their 3rd game in 3 days and won't have much left in the tank for Alabama.  You know the Crimson Tide will test those tired legs playing at the 4th-fastest tempo in the country.

Alabama crushed Ole Miss 93-74 on the road as 6.5-point favorites in their lone meeting this season.  This despite shooting just 39.4% from the field as a team, yet they still won by 19.  It will be another blowout in the rematch today due to the rest advantage.  Bet Alabama Friday.

20* Iowa State/Arizona Big 12 No-Brainer on Iowa State +4.5

The Iowa State Cyclones have the best following at the Big 12 Tournament every year.  That's why they call it Hilton South in Kansas City.  That was on display as the Cyclones crushed Arizona State 91-42 in their opener.  They followed it up with another dominant 75-53 win over Texas Tech yesterday.

The blowout nature of those two wins allowed the Cyclones to rest their starters in the 2H and conserve them for the rest of this tournament.  That's why I'm not even giving Arizona much of a rest advantage at all despite the fact that they are playing just their 2nd game in 2 days.

Now the Cyclones want revenge from a 73-57 road loss at Arizona on March 2nd earlier this month.  They shot 29.2% from the field and 23.3% from 3-point range and are clearly due some positive shooting regression in the rematch today.

This will basically be a home game for Iowa State, and it's not being factored into this line enough, which is the case almost every year.  Arizona is going to be the No. 1 seed regardless of what happens in the Big 12 Tournament.  The Wildcats have much less to play for than the Cyclones and won't be all that motivated to beat them again.  Bet Iowa State Friday.

15* Purdue/Nebraska Big Ten ANNIHILATOR on Nebraska +4

Nebraska earned a bye into the quarterfinals of the Big Ten Tournament.  That will give the Huskers the rest advantage over Purdue today.  They want revenge from a 80-77 (OT) home loss to Purdue in their lone meeting this season.  They were 2.5-point favorites in that game, and now are 4-point dogs in the rematch, so there's some value here.

Purdue took advantage of a tired Northwestern team that was playing its 3rd game in 3 days yesterday.  The Boilermakers prevailed 81-68. But they failed to cover as 13.5-point favorites, and are now 2-3 SU & 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall.  This team has consistently been overvalued and continues to be today.  Bet Nebraska Friday.

15* Duquesne/VCU Atlantic 10 ANNIHILATOR on VCU -8.5

VCU is 13-1 in its last 14 games overall with its only loss coming on the road to St. Louis.  The Rams earned a bye into the quarterfinals of the Atlantic 10 Tournament, giving them a big rest advantage over Duquesne that isn't being factored into this line enough.

Duquesne had to play yesterday in a 67-61 win over Rhode Island.  The Duke really only go 7 deep, and 3 starters played at least 36 minutes for them yesterday.  I question how much they'll have left in the tank for VCU, which plays fast and plays pressure defense for 40 minutes.

VCU won 93-80 at Duquesne as 5.5-point road favorites in their lone meeting this season.  Duquesne even shot 52.8% from the field and still lost by 13.  It will be more of the same in the rematch today.  Bet VCU Friday.

20* UMass/Toledo MAC No-Brainer on UMass +3.5

UMass ranks 300th in KenPom's luck metric.  The Minutemen are 17-15 this season with 13 of those losses coming by single-digits.  They have been a tough luck loser all season.  They finally had some positive luck regression yesterday handing Miami Ohio its first loss of the season to show their potential.  They had taken Miami Ohio to the wire in both regular season meetings as well.

Toledo was in a 77-76 battle with Bowling Green yesterday.  The Rockets really only go 7 deep and won't be able to handle these back-to-back situations as well as a deeper UMass team.  It's also worth noting the Minutemen had 8 days off prior to the MAC Tournament.

UMass beat Toledo 84-82 as 2.5-point home favorites in their lone meeting this season.  Toledo shot 54.9% from the field, 42.9% from 3 and 80% from the FT line and still lost that game.  That bodes well for the Minutemen in the rematch.  Bet UMass Friday.

20* Ohio State/Michigan Big Ten No-Brainer on Ohio State +13.5

Ohio State is showing how potent they can be when they are fully healthy like they have been to end the season.  The Buckeyes have gone 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall upsetting Purdue by 8 as 6.5-point dogs, blasting Penn State by 32 on the road and blasting Indiana by 13 as 3.5-point home favorites.

The Buckeyes led by double-digits throughout and held on for a 72-69 win over Iowa yesterday in their opening Big Ten Tournament game.  They overcame the Hawkeyes shooting 47.6% from 3-point range.  They avenged a 17-point loss to Iowa earlier in their first meeting on February 25th.  Now Ohio State is motivated to avenge a pair of losses to Michigan.

The Wolverines won the Big Ten regular season title and swept their biggest rivals in Michigan State in the regular season finale.  I think they come into the Big Ten Tournament 'fat and happy' and I don't think they will be all that motivated at all.  They know they already have a No. 1 seed locked up no matter what happens in the Big Ten Tournament.

It's also worth noting Michigan lost LJ Cason (8.4 PPG) to a season-ending injury three games ago.  He is their most productive player off the bench and it hurts their guard depth.  The Wolverines were in dog fights with Iowa and MSU in their first two games without him.  Either way, I don't think the Wolverines should be 13.5-point favorites today.  Bet Ohio State Friday.

15* Bulls/Lakers NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 234

The Chicago Bulls are a dead nuts OVER team ranking 4th in pace and 23rd in defensive rating.  The Bulls have Josh Giddey healthy and playing right now and he is coming off consecutive triple-doubles.  Tre Jones is also doing a great job running the offense alongside him.

The Bulls went for 236 combined points at the end of regulation with the Kings and Warriors each in their last two games.  This total of 234 is too short for a game involving the Bulls right now.  They face a Lakers team that ranks 20th in defensive rating this season.

The Lakers will be without their best defender in Marcus Smart tonight so they will have no answer for Giddey and Jones.  But they are an elite offensive team with Doncic and Reaves both healthy, and they both are right now.  They scored 128 against Indiana, 110 against New York and 120 against Minnesota in their last three games coming in and will hang a big number on the Bulls tonight.

The OVER is 7-1-1 in the last nine meetings between the Bulls and Lakers.  They have combined for 247, 236, 261 and 273 points in their last four meetings, respectively.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on San Antonio Spurs -4.5

The San Antonio Spurs are playing better than anyone in the NBA right now.  They are 16-1 SU & 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games overall. Their last four wins have been very impressive by 17 over Detroit, by 4 over the Clippers, by 25 over the Rockets and by 9 over the Celtics.

Now the Spurs have the rest advantage over the Denver Nuggets.  The Spurs had yesterday off while the Nuggets were beating the Rockets at home.  That was a tired Houston team playing the 2nd of a back-to-back, and the Nuggets took advantage.

I wouldn't be surprised to see Denver rest some guys tonight given they have had so many problems with injuries all season.  But I like the Spurs to get the job done either way.  Bet the Spurs Thursday.

20* Florida State/Duke ACC No-Brainer on Florida State +19

Florida State is a legit sleeper to make a run in the ACC Tournament.  The Seminoles have been undervalued for a few months now going 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games overall.  They have gone 10-2 SU in their last 12 games with road wins over Virginia Tech by 23 and Clemson by 5, as well as a home win over SMU by 13.

First-year head coach Luke Loucks has the Seminoles improving rapidly and ready to make a run.  They opened with a 85-79 win over California in which they were never challenged and led by double-digits throughout.  That was a very misleading final score.

Now the Seminoles can hang with Duke, which will be without two starters in Caleb Foster (8.5 PPG) and Patrick Ngonba Jr. (10.7 PPG, 6.0 RPG, 1.1 BPG) for the ACC Tournament.  The loss of Ngonba is huge as he controls everything in the paint for Duke.  Without him, they won't be nearly as dominant defensively.  This line is absurd given the losses of these two starters for the Blue Devils.  Bet Florida State Thursday.

20* BYU/Houston Big 12 No-Brainer on Houston -8.5

The Houston Cougars have a massive rest advantage over BYU in this game.  Houston got a bye into the quarterfinals, while BYU will be playing its 3rd game in 3 days.  That rest advantage will lead to a blowout victory for Houston today.

BYU opened with a 105-91 shootout win over Kansas State on Tuesday followed by a 68-48 win over West Virginia on Wednesday.  BYU was already short-handed without Richie Saunders (18.1 PPG).  I question how much they'll have left in the tank for this game tonight as they really only go 7 deep.

Houston beat BYU 77-66 on the road in their lone meeting this season.  That was back when they had Saunders healthy.  Houston was a 6.5-point favorite in that true road game.  Houston needs to be more than an 8.5-point favorite on a neutral now in the rematch without Saunders.  Bet Houston Thursday.

15* Washington/Wisconsin Big Ten ANNIHILATOR on Wisconsin -6.5

Wisconsin has a big rest advantage over Washington today that will lead to a blowout victory in their favor.  The Badgers got a bye into the 3rd round after going 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their final three games.

They crushed Washington 90-73 as 2.5-point road favorites to start this run.  They followed it up with a 33-point home win over Maryland and a 4-point upset road win at Purdue as 9.5-point dogs.  It will be more of the same in the rematch with Washington today.

The Huskies are coming off a 83-79 (OT) win over USC yesterday.  That was a concerning result as USC is atrocious without its top two scorers in Rice and Baker-Mazara, so struggling to get by the Trojans is not good.

Washington is basically down to a weak 7-man rotation right now without Frank Kepnang (6.2 PPG, 6.2 RPG, 2.1 BPG), Desmond Claude (13.3 PPG), Bryson Tucker (5.7 PPG) and JJ Mandaquit (5.2 PPG).  Four starters played at least 40 minutes for the Huskies yesterday.  They won't have much left in the tank for the Badgers today.  Bet Wisconsin Thursday.

25* ACC Tournament GAME OF THE YEAR on Miami ML +120

I love the spot for the Miami Hurricanes.  They want revenge from a 92-89 home loss to Louisville on Senior Day in the regular season finale.  They had gone 7-1 SU & 6-2 ATS in their previous eight games prior to that defeat with their lone loss coming by 3 at Virginia.

Miami has the rest advantage after getting a bye into the quarterfinals while Louisville had to come back late to beat SMU 62-58 yesterday.  That was an SMU team that was missing BJ Edwards and had to play the previous day.  It was a very poor showing.

Louisville is without Mikel Brown Jr. (18.2 PPG) for the ACC Tournament.  Four starters played at least 33 minutes for the Cardinals yesterday, and they really only went with a 7-man rotation.  Having to play back-to-back days while being short-handed is a huge disadvantage.

Louisville only beat Miami by 3 in the regular season finale despite shooting a ridiculous 62.3% from the field and 12-of-24 (50%) from 3-point range.  I have to think they are due some negative shooting regression in the rematch today, especially since they are on tired legs.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet Miami on the Money Line Thursday.

15* Kentucky/Missouri ACC ANNIHILATOR on Missouri +3.5

Missouri is squarely on the bubble on the NCAA Tournament.  The Tigers will be max motivated to get a win today as a result.  They have the rest advantage after getting a bye into the 2nd round, and that rest advantage isn't being factored into this line enough.

Kentucky played yesterday in a 87-82 dog fight against lowly LSU.  Oweh played 39 minutes and Aberdeen 36 minutes as the Wildcats held on for victory.  They won't be so fortunate against this much better, rested Missouri team.

Missouri pulled the 73-68 upset as 12.5-point road dogs at Kentucky in their first meeting this season.  The Tigers should not be catching 3.5 points in the rematch today given their motivational and rest advantages.  Bet Missouri Thursday.

15* Iowa State/Texas Tech Big 12 ANNIHILATOR on Iowa State -5

The Iowa State Cyclones have the best following at the Big 12 Tournament every year.  That's why they call it Hilton South in Kansas City.  That was on display again yesterday as the Cyclones crushed Arizona State 91-42.

The blowout nature of that win allowed the Cyclones to rest their starters in the 2H and conserve them for the rest of this tournament.  That's why I'm not even giving Texas Tech much of a rest advantage at all.

Now the Cyclones want revenge from a 82-73 home loss to Texas Tech, their lone home loss this season.  The Red Raiders shot an unsustainable 14-of-29 (48.3%) from 3-point range in that game and are due some negative shooting regression in the rematch today.

Texas Tech lost its best player in Jaydin Toppin (21.8 PPG, 10.8 RPG) to a season-ending injury late in the year.  The Red Raiders were able to win their first three games without him, but they have come back down to reality of late.  They lost 73-65 at home to TCU and 82-76 on the road to BYU in their last two regular season games.  It won't go any better against Iowa State today.  Bet Iowa State Thursday.

25* Big Ten Tournament GAME OF THE YEAR on Ohio State PK

Ohio State is showing how potent they can be when they are fully healthy like they have been to end the season.  The Buckeyes have gone 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall upsetting Purdue by 8 as 6.5-point dogs, blasting Penn State by 32 on the road and blasting Indiana by 13 as 3.5-point home favorites.

Now the Buckeyes have the rest advantage over the Iowa Hawkeyes after getting a bye into the 3rd round.  Iowa had to play yesterday and actually trailed at halftime in a 75-64 win over Maryland.  The Hawkeyes had to play their starters big minutes.

This is an Iowa team that is tanking down the stretch going 3-6 SU & 3-6 ATS in their last nine games overall.  They are a one-man show with Bennett Stirtz.  That makes them very easy to defend.  Stirtz played 39 minutes yesterday and was one of three starters to play at least 34 minutes as the Hawkeyes only have a 7-man rotation.

Ohio State wants revenge from a 74-57 road loss at Iowa where they were without Christoph Tilly (11.0 PPG).  They shot just 5-of-18 (27.8%) from 3 while Iowa shot 7-of-14 (50%) from 3 as well.  The Buckeyes are due some positive shooting regression in the rematch today.  Bet Ohio State Thursday.

15* George Washington/Fordham A-10 Early ANNIHILATOR on Fordham +6.5

Fordham is 5-2 SU in its last seven games overall with both losses coming on the road to VCU and La Salle (by 3).  Fordham beat George Washington 79-65 as 11.5-point road dogs in their lone meeting this season.  The Rams should not be catching 6.5 points in the Atlantic 10 Tournament.

George Washington is 4-7 SU & 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games overall.  The Revolutionaries are coming off a 68-62 loss to lowly Loyola-Chicago as 9.5-point favorites.  They aren't playing well enough to deserve being a 6.5-point favorite here.  Bet Fordham Thursday.

20* UMass/Miami MAC No-Brainer on UMass +8

Miami Ohio just completed a 31-0 regular season with yet another one-possession win.  Their last three wins have all come by exactly 2 points, and they are the 8th-luckiest team in the country according to KenPom's luck metric.  They have 13 wins by single-digits this season.

I think this is where the Redhawks take a breather.  They will be in the NCAA Tournament no matter what happens in the MAC Tournament.  And they won't be nearly as motivated as they were to go undefeated in the regular season.

UMass ranks 320th in KenPom's luck metric.  The Minutemen are 16-15 this season with 13 of those losses coming by single-digits.  They have been a tough luck loser all season, including in their two meetings with Miami Ohio this season.

UMass only lost 86-84 at Miami Ohio and 86-77 at home against the Redhawks.  I think they can take them to the wire again in this 3rd meeting and possibly pull off the upset to advance in the MAC Tournament.  They are a legit sleeper to win it all.  Bet UMass Thursday. 

15* Timberwolves/Clippers NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles -1.5

The Los Angeles Clippers are 19-9 SU & 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games overall.  They are motivated to make the playoffs currently sitting as the 8th seed in the West.  They just got Darius Garland back healthy and implemented into the lineup, and they'll continue being a dangerous team here down the stretch.

While the Clippers had yesterday off, the Minnesota Timberwolves will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 120-106 loss to the Lakers last night.  It's a Timberwolves team that has been burning bettors' money going 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games overall.

The Clippers are 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings with the Timberwolves so they clearly match up with them well.  And this will be their 4th meeting, the first two of which the Clippers did not have Garland and Mathurin who they traded for prior to the deadline.  They also didn't have Kawhi in the last meeting.  The spot really favors Los Angeles tonight.  Bet the Clippers Wednesday.

20* Wake Forest/Clemson ACC No-Brainer on Clemson -6

Clemson has a big rest advantage over Wake Forest tonight.  The Demon Deacons needed OT to beat Virginia Tech 95-89 yesterday.  Meanwhile, the Tigers earned a bye into the 2nd round and will be the much fresher team tonight.  They will also have a ton of fans in attendance with this game being played in Charlotte, NC only 2 hours from campus.

Juke Harris played 44 minutes , Myles Colvin 36 minutes and Sebastian Akins 32 minutes for the Demon Deacons yesterday.  Nate Calmese (10.1 PPG) is on a minutes limit due to coming back from injury for the ACC Tournament and only played 14 minutes yesterday.

It's a great time to 'buy low' on Clemson and 'sell high' on Wake Forest.  The Tigers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall, while the Demon Deacons are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall.  Bet Clemson Wednesday.

20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Knicks/Jazz OVER 229.5

The Utah Jazz are a dead nuts OVER team ranking 3rd in pace and 29th in defensive rating this season.  They have gone for at least 230 combined points with their opponents in seven of their last 10 games overall.  This total of 229.5 is very short for a game involving the Jazz.

The New York Knicks rank 3rd in offensive rating this season and will hang a big number on the Jazz today to pave the way in us cashing this OVER 229.5 ticket.  The Knicks went for 245 combined points with the Nuggets and 244 combined points with the Clippers in two of their first three games on this 5-game road trip.

The Knicks beat the Jazz 146-112 for 258 combined points in their first meeting this season.  It will be more of the same in the rematch tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* NBA Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on New Orleans Pelicans +2.5

The Toronto Raptors are 2-5 SU & 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall.  Their two wins came against the tanking Wizards and Mavericks.  The Raptors will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 113-99 loss at Houston last night.

The New Orleans Pelicans are 6-3 SU & 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall.  They have no incentive to tank because they don't have their first-round pick this year.  Their three losses all came on the road to the Clippers, Lakers and Suns during this 9-game stretch.  Five of their six wins have come by double-digits.

The Pelicans are rested and ready to go coming in on two days' rest last playing on Sunday.  They are as healthy as they have been all season with each of their top eight scorers all available tonight.  That includes Dejounte Murray, who is gaining confidence with each game playing in 6 games this season for the Pelicans after they traded for him in the offseason.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet the Pelicans Wednesday.

15* BYU/West Virginia Big 12 ANNIHILATOR on West Virginia +4.5

BYU will be playing for a 2nd consecutive day after a 105-91 shootout win over Kansas State yesterday.  Dybansta played 37 minutes and Davis 36 yesterday, while Keba Keita battled through an ankle injury that leaves his status in question.  They were already without Richie Saunders (18.1 PPG) and aren't equipped to handle this Big 12 Tournament playing multiple days in a row.

West Virginia earned a bye into the 2nd round and has the advantage of rest.  They also have the advantage of recently beating BYU 79-71 as 3.5-point home dogs on February 28th less than two weeks ago, so they will be prepared to beat this tired team again.  Dybansta and Wright combined for 43 points in that game and they still lost by 8.  Bet West Virginia Wednesday.

15* Cal/Florida State ACC ANNIHILATOR on Florida State -3.5

Florida State is a legit sleeper to make a run in the ACC Tournament.  The Seminoles have been undervalued for a few months now going 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games overall.  They have gone 9-2 SU in their last 11 games with road wins over Virginia Tech by 23 and Clemson by 5, as well as a home win over SMU by 13.

First-year head coach Luke Loucks has the Seminoles improving rapidly and ready to make a run.  I like their chances of beating California, which suffered a crucial loss at Wake Forest and at home to Pitt in its lsat three games that put the Golden Bears on the outside looking in in terms of making the ACC Tournament.

Florida State beat Cal 63-61 in their lone meeting this season.  FSU won that game despite shooting just 36.5% from the field and 21.4% from 3-point range.  The Seminoles have been on fire offensively since that game, and they are certainly due some positive shooting regression in the rematch today.  Bet Florida State Wednesday.

15* Northwestern/Indiana Big Ten ANNIHILATOR on Northwestern +6.5

Northwestern was a tough luck loser all season.  The Wildcats ranked 346th out of 365 teams in KenPom's luck metric, which factors in close losses.  They are much better than their 14-18 record would indicate, and much better than the rest of the bottom of the Big Ten.

Northwestern has gone 4-2 SU & 4-2 ATS in its last six games with wins over Maryland, Indiana, Oregon and Penn State, and two more close losses by just 4 to Purdue as 11.5-point dogs and by 1 to Minnesota as 4.5-point dogs.

Northwestern made easy work of Penn State in a 76-66 victory yesterday.  I think the Wildcats will still be relatively fresh, and fresh enough to hang with Indiana, which has cratered here down the stretch and has no business being a 6.5-point favorite in this game.

Indiana is 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in its last six games overall with its lone win coming at home against Minnesota.  Four of the losses came by 13 points or more.  They also lost to Northwestern 72-68 as 9.5-point home favorites, and the Wildcats will give them another run for their money in the rematch.  This is essentially a home game for the Wildcats being played in Chicago as well.  Bet Northwestern Wednesday.

15* Xavier/Marquette Big East ANNIHILATOR on Marquette -3.5

Marquette was a tough luck loser all season.  The Golden Eagles ranked 360th out of 365 teams in KenPom's luck metric, which factors in close losses.  They are much better than their 12-19 record would indicate, and much better than the rest of the bottom of the Big East.

Marquette comes into the Big East Tournament with a ton of momentum after upsetting UConn 68-62 as 9.5-point dogs in the regular season finale to deny the Huskies a Big East title.  That followed up a 78-56 win at Providence with suffocating defense.  The Golden Eagles are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall and a legit sleeper to win this tournament.

Xavier is 3-10 SU in its last 11 games overall.  The Musketeers are 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games.  Their best player in Tre Carroll (18.0 PPG) is questionable for the Big East Tournament after sitting out last game.  I like Marquette even if he plays tonight.  Bet Marquette Wednesday.

20* C-USA GAME OF THE WEEK on Liberty -5.5

Liberty has had the C-USA regular season title locked up for a couple weeks now.  Not surprisingly, the Flames have struggled to find motivation down the stretch as a result.  They have gone 3-3 SU & 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.  I throw all six games out.

Now it's time to 'buy low' on a Liberty team that has been the class of C-USA all season.  We are getting the Flames as only 5.5-point favorites because they struggled ATS down the stretch.  But they'll be locked in and focused now with a trip to the NCAA Tournament at stake.

The Flames have the rest advantage here getting a bye into the quarterfinals.  Meanwhile, Missouri State was in a 75-72 dog fight with Florida International yesterday.  Four starters played at least 34 minutes for the Bears yesterday, and I question how much they'll have left in the tank for the Flames tonight.  Bet Liberty Wednesday.

15* MWC Total DOMINATOR on Wyoming/UNLV OVER 153

UNLV is a dead nuts OVER team.  The Rebels have gone 10-1 OVER in their last 11 games overall with 157 or more combined points in 10 of those 11 games.  This total of 153 is very short for a game involving UNLV right now.

Wyoming closed the season going OVER the total in its final two games combining for 156 points with Nevada and 166 points with San Jose State.  Those are two teams that play at very slow tempos.  That's not UNLV, which ranks 48th in adjusted tempo this season.

Wyoming beat UNLV 98-66 for 164 combined points in their lone meeting this season.  It will be more of the same in the rematch as this total of 153 has been set way too low.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* SEC Total DOMINATOR on Mississippi State/Auburn OVER 158.5

Auburn is a dead nuts OVER team as along as Keyshawn Hall (20.4 PPG) is playing.  He has played in the last six games and Auburn is 5-1 OVER in those six games.  Auburn and its opponents have combined for at least 160 points in eight of its last nine games overall, so this total of 158.5 is very short for a game involving the Tigers.

Mississippi State is an OVER team as long as Hubbard (22.1 PPG) and Epps (13.7 PPG) are healthy.  They are right now and the Bulldogs are 5-2 OVER in their last seven games overall.  They have gone for 168 or more combined points in six of those seven games, so this total of 158.5 is short for a game involving the Bulldogs right now as well.

Mississippi State beat Auburn 91-85 for 176 combined points in their most recent meeting on February 18th.  It will be more of the same in the rematch today and sail OVER this 158.5-point total.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* SMU/Louisville ACC ANNIHILATOR on SMU +7

SMU is squarely on the bubble and needs to win a few games in this ACC Tournament to get in the Big Dance.  The Mustangs handled their business yesterday with a 86-69 win over Syracuse, and a win over Louisville today would go a long way to get them in.

It's a Louisville team that will be without Mikel Brown Jr. (18.2 PPG) for the ACC Tournament.  Brown had 20 points in a 88-74 win over SMU in their first meeting and 29 points in a 95-85 loss to SMU in their 2nd meeting.  Not having to face Brown in the 3rd meeting here and losing all that production will make all the difference.  Bet SMU Wednesday.

20* USC/Washington Big Ten No-Brainer on Washington -4.5

USC has gone in the tank and is just ready for this season to be over.  The Trojans lost Rodney Rice (20.3 PPG) early in the season, and then Chad Baker-Mazara (18.5 PPG) left the team in the last few weeks.  They simply cannot hang in the Big Ten without these guys.

The Trojans enter the Big Ten Tournament on a 7-game losing streak.  They have gone 0-6 ATS in their last six games overall losing by 36 at home to Illinois, by 19 at UCLA, by 15 at home to Nebraska, by 19 at Washington and by 21 at home to UCLA.  They haven't even been competitive.

Now USC has to face that same Washington team that they just lost by 19 to on March 4th a week ago today.  It's a Washington team that is much superior here and it will show in the Big Ten Tournament as they enter it very healthy.  Bet Washington Wednesday.

20* Oklahoma State/Colorado Big 12 No-Brainer on Colorado ML -115

The Colorado Buffaloes went 5-5 SU & 7-3 ATS in their final 10 games of the season.  They gave Arizona all they could handle and took BYU to OT in losses, and they handled their business against the bottom of the Big 12.

The Buffaloes beat Utah by 14, K-State by 9, Oklahoma State by 14, ASU by 8 and TCU by 26 during this closing stretch.  That 83-69 win over Oklahoma State came just two weeks ago on February 21st.  And I think it will be more of the same in the rematch tonight.

The Cowboys no longer have big man Parsa Fallah (14.7 PPG, 6.0 RPG), who is out with a season-ending injury.  Fallah had 14 points in that 14-point loss to Colorado.  The Cowboys will get absolutely owned on the boards without him.

Oklahoma State is 2-7 SU & 3-6 ATS in its last nine games overall and has really missed Fallah down the stretch.  Both wins came in OT against WVU and UCF as well, so they are very close to being 0-9 over this stretch.  The Buffaloes should be favored by more tonight.  Bet Colorado on the Money Line Tuesday.

15* Santa Clara/Gonzaga ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Santa Clara +7.5

Santa Clara went 2-1 in three meetings with St. Mary's this season including an upset win last night.  The Broncos are the real deal and fighting for their NCAA Tournament lives.  They want to earn their ticket with a WCC Tournament title.

They will be out for revenge after going 0-2 against Gonzaga in the regular season losing by 12 on the road and by 8 at home.  I like their chances of getting their revenge or at the very least staying within this 7.5-point spread.  Gonzaga being without Braden Huff (17.8 PPG) really hurts.

The Bulldogs were unimpressive in their 65-56 win as 20.5-point favorites against Oregon State yesterday.  Graham Ike had 24 points and no other Bulldogs scored in double figures.  And that's my problem with this team is they rely so much on Ike, and the supporting pieces just aren't that good as this is one of the worst sets of guards in the Mark Few era.

Santa Clara is a deep, balanced team with nine players playing double-digit minutes for them last night.  They got 38 points from their bench last night alone against St. Mary's.  And that depth will pay off here playing their 3rd game in 3 days, which they are built to handle.  Bet Santa Clara Tuesday.

20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Toronto Raptors +5.5

The Toronto Raptors have actually played their best basketball on the road this season.  They are 19-11 SU & 17-13 ATS on the highway, including 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last four.  They are primed for a big effort tonight because they are so rested playing just their 2nd game in 5 days.

The Houston Rockets are a tired team playing their 4th game in 6 days with another game on deck against Denver in altitude tomorrow.  I think they will monitor minutes for their starters tonight knowing they have that big game against Denver tomorrow.

The Rockets are 2-3 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.  They lost by 10 in Miami as 2.5-point favorites, lost outright as 9.5-point home favorites to the Warriors, and lost by 25 in San Antonio.  They only beat Washington by 5 as 14.5-point favorites and Portland by 7 as 6.5-point favorites for their lone cover, which came by 0.5 points.  They are one of the most overvalued teams in the NBA.  Bet the Raptors Tuesday.

15* NBA Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on Atlanta Hawks -9.5

The Atlanta Hawks are 6-0 SU & 6-0 ATS in their last six games overall and absolutely crushing the opposition.  All six wins have come by 9 points or more including an 18-point win at Milwaukee, a 34-point home win over Portland and a 9-point home win over Philadelphia in their last three.

The Hawks are showing what they are capable of when they are as healthy as they are right now.  They are also motivated to make the playoffs as they currently sit in 9th place in the East.  They are just 2.5 games back of the 6th place Magic with a shot to win the Southeast Division.

The Hawks are also extremely rested.  They have had the last two days off and will be playing just their 3rd game in 9 days tonight.  They are primed for another big effort to keep this run going.

Now they get to face the tanking Mavericks, who are 0-7 SU & 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall with six of those seven losses coming by 9 points or more.  They lost by 30 at Toronto, by 20 at Boston and by 27 at Charlotte in three of their last four road games.  They are 2-17 SU & 7-12 ATS in their last 19 games with both wins coming against tanking teams in the Pacers and Nets.  Bet the Hawks Tuesday.

15* Big Ten PLAY OF THE DAY on Northwestern -6

Northwestern was a tough luck loser all season.  The Wildcats ranked 354th out of 365 teams in KenPom's luck metric, which factors in close losses.  They are much better than their 13-18 record would indicate, and much better than the rest of the bottom of the Big Ten.

Penn State is the worst team in the Big Ten.  The Nittany Lions went 3-17 in conference play this season.  They went 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in their final six games with losses by 12 to Rutgers, by 32 to Ohio State, by 23 to Nebraska, by 13 to Rutgers and by 11 to Oregon.

Northwestern went 3-2 SU & 3-2 ATS in its final five games with wins over Maryland, Indiana and Oregon, and two more close losses by just 4 to Purdue as 11.5-point dogs and by 1 to Minnesota as 4.5-point dogs.

Northwestern crushed Penn State 94-73 as 7.5-point favorites in their lone meeting this season.  It will be more of the same in the rematch.  The Big Ten Tournament is played at the United Center in Chicago, so the Wildcats will have a big home-court advantage here with a good following for the short trip to Chicago for fans.  Bet Northwestern Tuesday.

15* Knicks/Clippers NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles +2.5

The Los Angeles Clippers are 18-9 SU & 19-8 ATS in their last 27 games overall.  They are motivated to make the playoffs currently sitting as the 9th seed in the West.  They just got Darius Garland back healthy and implemented into the lineup, and they'll continue being a dangerous team here down the stretch.

While the Clippers had yesterday off, the Knicks were losing 110-97 to the Lakers on Sunday.  They'll now be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days.  They won't have much left in the tank tonight as Brunson played 42 minutes, Onunoby 38 and Towns 34 yesterday.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet the Clippers Monday.

20* Nuggets/Thunder NBA No-Brainer on UNDER 232.5

The Nuggets and Thunder have combined for 232 or fewer points at the end of regulation in seven consecutive meetings.  That makes for a 7-0 system backing the UNDER pertaining to this 232.5-point total.  They went for 214, 232, 218, 226, 217, 179 and 204 combined points at the end of regulation in their last seven meetings, respectively.

Of course, I took one of my worst beats of the NBA season when I had the UNDER 234.5 in their most recent meeting on February 27th less than two weeks ago.  That game was tied 107-107 at the end of regulation for 214 combined points.  I'll bank on it not going to OT again in the rematch today and for this game to stay well UNDER this 232.5-point total as a result.  Bet the UNDER in this game Monday.

15* CBB Monday Total DOMINATOR on Georgia Southern/Troy OVER 149.5

Georgia Southern is a dead nuts OVER team ranking 35th in adjusted tempo, 143rd in adjusted offense and 311th in adjusted defense.  They really have had 3-point variance go their way by shooting a ton of them in this Sun Belt Tournament.  They rank 19th in the country attempting 3-pointers on 48.7% of their possessions.

The Eagles have gone for 157 or more combined points in each of their last six games.  They went for 181 with Marchall, 172 with ODU, 157 with Arkansas State, 179 with South Alabama, 168 with Coastal Carolina and 160 with Marshall.  This total of 149.5 is very low for a game involving Georgia Southern.

Troy beat Georgia Southern 83-78 for 161 combined points in their lone regular season meeting this season.  Neither team lit it up from 3 as Troy shot 36% and Georgia Southern 34.4% in that game.  This rematch in the Championship Game should sail OVER this 149.5-point total, especially since there will be no quit in the team that's down in the final minutes fouling to extend the game.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* North Dakota/North Dakota State Summit League ANNIHILATOR on North Dakota State -9.5

North Dakota State dominated North Dakota in both regular season meetings.  The Bison won 83-66 on the road and 96-63 at home.  It will be more of the same today in the Summit League Championship Game.

North Dakota will be playing its 3rd game in 3 days after a 67-66 upset of St. Thomas yesterday.  They are getting too much respect for that win as St. Thomas gave it away by shooting 16.7% from 3.

North Dakota State had a day off and will be playing its 3rd game in 4 days.  They made easy work of both opponents beating Oral Roberts by 11 on Thursday and Omaha by 24 on Saturday.  They are the fresher team as well.  Bet North Dakota State Sunday.

15* NBA Sunday PLAY OF THE DAY on Pistons/Heat OVER 230

The Miami Heat rank 1st in the NBA in pace this season.  This total of 230 is very low for a game involving the Heat. They are coming off 248 combined points with the Hornets and 236 with the Nets coming into this one. They have gone for 236 or more combined points in five of their last seven games overall.

The Pistons get Cade Cunningham back today after he sat out yesterday against the Nets and they were lost offensively without him.  The Heat and Pistons went for 230 and 273 combined points in their two previous meetings this season. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* Iowa/Nebraska Big Ten No-Brainer on Nebraska -5.5

Nebraska wants revenge from a 57-50 road loss at Iowa on February 17th.  The Huskers shot just 20.8% from 3-point range.  They will be much better at home today, where they are 14-2 this season.

Iowa is just 3-7 SU in true road games.  The Hawkeyes are coming off a tough loss to Michigan where they had a chance to tie it at the buzzer at home.  But that's the type of loss that can beat a team twice.  Iowa's last three road games were ugly losing outright at Maryland as 10.5-point favorites, outright at Penn State as 9.5-point favorites and by 13 at Wisconsin.  Bet Nebraska Sunday.

15* Horizon League PLAY OF THE DAY on Green Bay +3

Green Bay is 6-2 SU & 7-1 ATS in its last eight games overall and playing as well as anyone in the Horizon League.  This is just disrespectful getting the Phoenix as underdogs to Northern Kentucky today.

Green Bay won both regular season meetings with Northern Kentucky outright as underdogs.  It will be more of the same today as this team is locked in and ready to make a run in the Horizon League Tournament.  Bet Green Bay Sunday.

15* CBB Sunday Line Mistake on East Carolina +10.5

Only the Top 10 teams in the AAC play in the conference tournament.  East Carolina sits in 11th place trailing 10th place Memphis by one game.  But ECU has the tiebreaker over Memphis, so a win today coupled with a loss by Memphis at Tulane would get the Pirates in the AAC Tournament.  They will be max motivated as a result.

Motivation is in question for UAB as they have already locked up the 4th seed in the AAC due to owning the tiebreaker over Charlotte.  They have nothing to play for.  UAB is 6-9 SU & 5-10 ATS at home this season and has huge home/road splits as one of the rare teams that has been much better on the road than at home.  In fact, the Blazers are 0-8 ATS in AAC home games this season. Bet East Carolina Sunday.

20* AAC TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Temple/Tulsa OVER 152.5

Tulsa is a dead nuts OVER team going 19-9 OVER in all games this season including 9-3 OVER in home games.  The Golden Hurricane are 4-1 OVER in their last five games overall with 153 or more combined points in four of those five games.  This total of 152.5 is short for a game involving Tulsa.

Temple is 3-0 OVER i its last three games overall with 149 or more combined points in all three.  This will be their first meeting with Tulsa.  Neither team has much to play for, so this should play out like a pick up game in the final regular season game before both teams head to the AAC Tournament.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* CBB Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Charlotte +17

South Florida has already wrapped up the AAC regular season title with its 96-89 road win at Memphis on Thursday.  This is the ultimate letdown spot for the Bulls now with nothing to play for, and they shouldn't be favored by 17 over a pesky Charlotte team as a result.

Charlotte still has a shot to improve its seeding in the AAC Tournament.  The 49ers have played six straight games decided by 12 points or less.  They have a knack for playing in close games all season.  They haven't lost by more than 12 points in 19 of their last 20 games.  Bet Charlotte Sunday.

20* Big 12 GAME OF THE WEEK on Colorado +14.5

This is the letdown spot for Arizona.  The Wildcats clinched the outright Big 12 regular season title with a home win over Iowa State last time out.  Head coach Tommy Lloyd called out the media for calling his team soft.  But I expect a very soft effort from the Wildcats today in this clear letdown spot.

Colorado is no pushover at home.  The Buffaloes are 13-4 SU at home this season.  They are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four Big 12 home games beating K-State by 9, Oklahoma State by 14, ASU by 8 and TCU by 26.  This is their 'national championship' on Senior Day and we will get an inspired effort from the Buffaloes tonight.  Bet Colorado Saturday.

25* College Basketball GAME OF THE YEAR on Coastal Carolina -1.5

The Sun Belt Tournament is staggered this season to give the top teams the biggest advantages.  The 1 and 2 seeds get a bye all the way to the semifinals, while the 3 and 4 seeds get a bye to the quarterfinals.

Coastal Carolina earned the 3rd seed with a big finish in the regular season.  The Chanticleers went 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their final six games with their lone loss coming by 2 to James Madison.  They avenged that loss in the season finale and have been off since February 27th.

The Chanticleers have one of the best rest advantages I've ever seen heading into this quarterfinal matchup with Georgia Southern, which will be playing its 4th game in 4 days.  And all three games were absolute wars with a 88-84 win over ODU Wednesday, a 80-77 win over Arkansas State Thursday and a 94-85 win over South Alabama Friday.

The Eagles had to erase a double-digit deficit in the final 10 minutes to upset South Alabama Friday.  Four starters played at least 33 minutes.  They made a school-record 23-of-44 (52%) from 3-point range to pull off the upset.  I have to think they are due some shooting regression today, especially playing on such tired legs.  This is where their run ends, and getting the Chanticleers as basically a PK is an absolute gift tonight.  Bet Coastal Carolina Saturday.

15* NBA Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Warriors/Thunder UNDER 220

The Oklahoma City Thunder are 3-0 UNDER in their last three games overall going for 187 combined points with Dallas, 224 with Chicago and 203 with New York.  They are missing some firepower on offense with three of their top seven scorers out in Williams, Mitchell and Hartenstein.

But the Thunder are the best defensive team in the NBA, and they will shut down a Warriors team that is also missing a bunch of firepower.  Curry, Butler and Moody are out.  Porzingis and Melton are questionable.  That's five of their top six scorers.

The Warriors just went for 202 combined points with the Rockets at the end of regulation and 215 with the Clippers in their last two games coming into this one.  They are still a very good defensive team even without these guys and are having to hang their hats on defense right now to be competitive.  Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.

15* Oklahoma/Texas SEC ANNIHILATOR on Oklahoma +8

The Oklahoma Sooners were snake bitten by a ton of close losses to open SEC play.  They have finally started to get things to go their way and are playing their best basketball of the season here down the stretch.

The Sooners have gone 5-2 SU & 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall.  They upset Vanderbilt and LSU on the road, while also crushing Missouri by 16, Auburn by 12 and Georgia by 16 at home.  Now they have their sights set on revenge against their biggest rivals in Texas.

Oklahoma lost 79-69 at home to Texas.  The Longhorns shot 60% from the field while the Sooners shot 41%.  They are due some positive shooting regression in the rematch.

They now face a Texas team that is headed in the other direction.  The Longhorns are 2-3 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.  They only beat LSU by 3 at home, lost by 11 at Georgia, lost by 13 at home to Florida and lost by 20 at Arkansas.  They have no business being an 8-point favorite tonight.  Home-court advantage has meant very little in this rivalry.  Bet Oklahoma Saturday.

15* Auburn/Alabama ESPN ANNIHILATOR on OVER 176

Alabama is a dead nuts OVER team ranking 4th in adjusted tempo, 7th in average length of offensive possession, 3rd in adjusted offense and 64th in adjusted defense.  The Crimson Tide and their opponents have gone for 173 or more combined points in four of their last five games.

Auburn is a dead nuts OVER team ranking 11th in adjusted offense and 116th in adjusted defense.  The Tigers are 18-12 OVER in all games this season.  They are coming off three straight OVERS.

Alabama beat Auburn 96-92 for 188 combined points in their first meeting this season on February 7th.  It will be more of the same in the rematch today and another absolute shootout in this rivalry.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* Big West PLAY OF THE DAY on CS-Fullerton +6

CS-Fullerton has gone 6-2 SU in its last eight games overall with its only two losses coming to the top two teams in the Big West in UC-Irvine and Hawaii.  The Titans now have a shot at a at a bye into the quarterfinals of the Big West Tournament.

They are tied for 4th place with four other teams, trailing CS-Northridge by one game for 3rd place.  But they won the first meeting with CS-Northridge 86-79 at home, so they would own the tiebreaker over them with a season sweep today.

CS-Northridge is 2-2 but 0-4 ATS in its last four games overall and not playing well at all.  They only won by 2 over Long Beach State and by 2 over CS-Bakersfield, which are two of the three worst teams in the Big West.  They lost by 11 to UC-Riverside, the other bottom 3 team.  They have no business being 6-point favorites here as Fullerton is clearly playing the better basketball right now.  Bet CS-Fullerton Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday UPSET SHOCKER on Providence +1.5

Providence wants revenge from a 81-78 home loss to Georgetown in their first meeting this season.  The Friars have been victims of close losses all season, but this is their chance to take out their frustration on the Hoyas.

These are two teams headed in opposite directions.  Providence is 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS in its last four games overall and fully healthy, while Georgetown is 0-7 SU & 3-4 ATS in its last seven games and far from healthy.

In fact, the Hoyas just lost leading scorer KJ Lewis (14.9 PPG) to an ankle injury and he will miss this game.  Lewis had 26 points in the first meeting with Providence, so his loss will be felt today.  Bet Providence Saturday.

15* NBA Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Atlanta Hawks -6.5

The Atlanta Hawks are 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall and absolutely crushing the opposition.  All five wins have come by 11 points or more including an 18-point win at Milwaukee and a 34-point home win over Portland in their last two.

The Hawks are showing what they are capable of when they are as healthy as they are right now.  They are also motivated to make the playoffs as they currently sit in 9th place in the East, just 2.5 games behind the Philadelphia 76ers for the 6th seed would would avoid the play-in.

Now the Hawks will be motivated to shrink that margin as they host the 76ers tonight.  They face a beat up 76ers team that is struggling right now due to all their injuries.  They are 1-2 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall losing by 16 in Boston, by 40 at home to San Antonio and needing a late comeback to stave off the tanking Jazz by 4 as 7.5-point home favorites.

The 76ers are without Embiid (26.6 PPG), George (16.0 PPG) and Edgecombe (15.3 PPG).  They face a rested Hawks team playing just their 2nd game in 6 days.  And a Hawks team that has owned the 76ers, going 8-0 SU & 6-2 ATS i the least eight meetings.  Bet the Hawks Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Night Line Mistake on Utah +13

The Utah Utes are not getting blown out of late especially on the road.  They haven't lost a single road game all season by more than 14 points, and all but one came by 13 points or fewer.  They will be competitive today, too.

Baylor has no business being a 13-point favorite here.  The Bears are 5-12 in Big 12 play and aren't blowing anyone out.  I also think it's a letdown spot for the Bears, who are coming off two big road games beating UCF by 1 and faltering late in a 13-point loss at Houston.  They won't be nearly as motivated to beat Utah today.  Bet Utah Saturday.

20* Big 12 TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Utah/Baylor OVER 149.5

This will be a carefree shootout between two bottom feeders in the Big 12.  Both teams are all offense and no defense, and that will play out on the court today in what will feel like a pick up game with nothing at stake for either team.

Baylor ranks 28th in adjusted offense but 114th in adjusted defense.  The Bears have played several shootouts here down the stretch going for 193 combined points with BYU, 153 with Louisville, 164 with K-State, 167 with Arizona and 173 with UCF in five of their last seven games.

Utah ranks 94th in adjusted offense but just 195th in adjusted defense.  The Utes are coming off a 92-78 loss to Colorado and 170 combined points.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on California +6.5

The Cal Golden Bears (21-9, 9-8 ACC) are squarely on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament with some work to do.  They are currently the first time listed on Joe Lunardi's 'Next 4 Out' line and could really use this road win at Wake Forest.

Cal has done its part down the stretch to put itself in this position to strike by going 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in its last five games overall.  The Bears have played their best basketball on the road going 4-2 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six road games to improve to 7-2 ATS in true road games this season.  That includes upset road wins at Miami and Stanford.

Wake Forest is 7-12 SU & 7-12 ATS in its last 19 games overall.  The Demon Deacons are being overvalued here as 6.5-point home favorites.  They are without senior G Nate Calmese (10.1 PPG, 4.8 APG) who is also their best 3-point shooter at 39.5% and their only true PG.  Bet California Saturday.

20* MWC GAME OF THE WEEK on Colorado State ML -115

Colorado State is playing better than anyone in the Mountain West to close the season.  The Rams are 8-0 SU & 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall.  They beat New Mexico and UNLV on the road, while also beating San Diego State at home during this stretch.

The Rams are now in a tie for 5th place in the Mountain West.  The top four seeds get a bye in the conference tournament, and they own the tiebreaker over 4th place Grand Canyon.  So a win today coupled with a loss by Grand Canyon would get them a bye.

Boise State is also in a tie for 5th place in the Mountain West.  But the Broncos lost both meetings with Grand Canyon this season and that would have them losing out on the tiebreaker.  They are much less motivated than the Rams heading into the season finale, which is Senior Day as well.  Bet Colorado State on the Money Line Saturday.

15* Big 12 Total DOMINATOR on Kansas State/Kansas UNDER 157

Kansas is a dead nuts UNDER team going 21-9 UNDER in all games this season.  The Jayhawks are 3-0 UNDER in their last three games overall going for 125 combined points with Houston, 145 with Arizona and 130 with ASU.

K-State is 3-0 UNDER in its last three games overall.  The Wildcats have gone for 149 combined points with Colorado, 145 with TCU and 128 with West Virginia.  Leading scorer PJ Haggerty (23.3 PPG) is questionable to play for the Wildcats today as well after missing their last game.

Kansas beat Kansas State 86-62 on February 24th for just 148 combined points in their first meeting this season.  The Jayhawks and Wildcats have gone for 158 or fewer combined points in five consecutive meetings.  Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.

15* Louisville/Miami ACC ANNIHILATOR on Miami PK

The Miami Hurricanes are 7-1 SU & 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall with their lone loss coming by 3 at Virginia as 7.5-point dogs.  They have road wins over SMU, NC State and SMU during this stretch as well as a home win over UNC.

Now the Hurricanes will be motivated to cap off the regular season with a win on Senior Day in their finale.  They have three senior starters including their top two scorers in Reneau (19.1 PPG) and Donaldson (16.6 PPG).

Louisville really doesn't have a good road win all season.  The Cardinals are 3-7 SU & 2-8 ATS in 10 true road games.  They lost four of their last five ACC road games at Clemson, UNC, SMU and Duke.  They will be without second-leading scorer and star freshman Mikel Brown Jr. (18.2 PPG) today, too.  Bet Miami Saturday.

15* Atlantic 10 PLAY OF THE DAY on St. Joe's -9.5

St. Joe's is the most underrated team in the Atlantic 10.  The Hawks have gone 12-3 SU & 13-2 ATS in their last 15 games overall with their three losses all coming by single-digits.  They have won five in a row coming in and will be motivated to keep this momentum going on Senior Day today.

La Salle is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games overall with both wins coming at home over Rhode Island and Fordham.  The Explorers are 1-12 SU & 5-8 ATS on the road this season consistently getting blown out.  They have been outscored by 14.4 points per game on the road this season.

St. Joe's beat La Salle 67-58 on the road in their first meeting this season.  They had Jaeden Marshall (12.0 PPG) and Jerome Brewer Jr. (11.2 PPG) for that game, but Marshall has missed the last four games and Brewers Jr. the last three games and both are likely out again.  That leaves the Explorers extremely short-handed without two of their top three scorers heading into this one.  Bet St. Joe's Saturday.

20* Big East GAME OF THE WEEK on Marquette +9.5

The Marquette Golden Eagles have been grossly undervalued while the UConn Huskies have been grossly overvalued due to their records this season.  UConn sits at 27-3 while Marquette site at 11-19.

The Huskies are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games overall with 10 wins by 12 points or fewer.  They have been fortunate in close games all season, which is the opposite of Marquette, which has 13 losses by 11 points or fewer and nine by single-digits this season.

Marquette has not quit, going 7-2 ATS in its last nine games overall.  The Golden Eagles are coming off a 78-56 road win at Providence.  They will be motivated to wreck UConn's bit at earning a share of the Big East title, which is what they are aiming for today.  This is Marquette's national championship game and it's Senior Day to boot.  Bet Marquette Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Early ANNIHILATOR on DePaul -2.5

Amazingly, the DePaul Blue Demons would finish in 5th place in the Big East with a win Saturday.  That's significant because the Top 5 teams in the Big East all get byes into the quarterfinals.  They would win out on the tiebreaker with Creighton due to sweeping the season series.

So the Blue Demons will be max motivated not only to clinch that bye, but to win this game for their seniors on Senior Day.  This is a senior-led team with four of their top six scorers all seniors.  We are going to get a big effort from DePaul today to say the least.

Butler is 2-8 SU & 4-6 ATS in its last 10 games overall with its lone two wins coming against the two worst teams in the Big East in Georgetown (by 4) and Xavier (by 5).  The Bulldogs are just playing out the string and coming off a 17-point home loss to Creighton.  I don't see them showing up today, either.

DePaul also wants revenge from a 87-80 road loss at Butler in their first meeting this season.  Butler shot 56.9% from the field and 47.1% from 3 while DePaul shot 41.3% from the field and 30.3% from 3.  It's safe to say the Blue Demons are due some positive shooting regression in their favor in the rematch at home this time around.  Bet DePaul Saturday.

20* Arkansas/Missouri ESPN No-Brainer on Missouri -1.5

Missouri is squarely on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament currently listed as a Last 4 byes team according to Joe Lunardi.  The Tigers could really use this signature win over Arkansas that would likely get them into the Big Dance.

Not only will the Tigers be motivated to make the tournament, they'll be motivated to send their Seniors out a winner on Senior Day.  They also want revenge from a 94-86 loss at Arkansas as 9.5-point dogs on February 21st just two weeks ago.  That was a rare loss for the Tigers here down the stretch as they have gone 6-3 SU & 6-3 ATS in their last nine games.

But the biggest reason I'm backing Missouri and fading Arkansas is the fact that the Razorbacks will be without one of the best players in the country in Darius Acuff Jr. (22.2 PPG, 6.4 APG) today due to an ankle injury.  He will be missing his first game of the season.

The loss of Acuff Jr. cannot be overstated.  He just had 28 points and 13 assists in a win over Texas last time out.  He had 20 points in that first game against Missouri.  And he recently scored 49 against Alabama.  He makes everything go for them offensively.  The Tigers should be favored by more today given Acuff's absence and the motivational advantages.  Arkansas has already clinched a double-bye in the SEC Tournament and appears to be punting this game.  Bet Missouri Saturday.

20* ACC GAME OF THE WEEK on Virginia Tech +12

Virginia Tech is squarely on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament.  The Hokies are currently listed on the 'First 4 Out' line according to Joe Lunardi.  A win over rival Virginia would certainly put them on the right side of the bubble.

Virginia Tech already beat Virginia 95-85 (OT) at home in their first meeting this season.  So the Hokies already know they can play with them.  And they have actually been a better bet on the road than they have been at home this season.

Indeed, the Hokies are a perfect 9-0 ATS in true road games this season.  They've lost just one road game by double-digits all season.  This one will go down to the wire as well.  Bet Virginia Tech Saturday.

15* CBB Friday Late-Night BAILOUT on UNLV +10.5

UNLV is 6-2 SU & 5-3 ATS in its last eight games overall with four outright upset victories.  None was more impressive than their 92-65 win as 7.5-point dogs to Utah State, arguably the most impressive win in the Mountain West this season.

Now the Rebels have their sights set on revenge from a 82-71 home loss to San Diego State as 3.5-point dogs in their first meeting this season.  SDSU shot a ridiculous 8-of-13 (61.5%) from 3-point range and 22-of-26 (84.8%) from the FT line in that game, while UNLV shot 7-of-21 (33.3%) from 3 and 12-of-22 (54.5%) from the FT line.  It's safe to say UNLV is due for some positive shooting regression in the rematch tonight.

While UNLV is closing strong, San Diego State is 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in its last five games overall.  They lost by 10 at home to Grand Canyon, by 9 at Colorado State, by 9 at Boise State and by 5 at New Mexico.  

The Aztecs are already locked into a double-bye in the MWC Tournament with a Top 4 seed so they don't have a lot to play for here.  They are also battling injuries to key players including leading scorer Reese Dixon-Waters (13.0 PPG), who is questionable to play tonight.  Bet UNLV Friday.

20* Sun Belt GAME OF THE MONTH on South Alabama -5

I love the spot for South Alabama tonight.  The Jaguars got a double-bye into the quarterfinals of the Sun Belt Tournament.  They will be playing their first game tonight, while Georgia Southern will be playing its 3rd game in 3 days after two wars.

Georgia Southern beat Old Dominion 88-84 on Wednesday and Arkansas State 80-77 on Thursday.  I question how much the Eagles have left in the tank tonight.  Spudd Webb (15.5 PPG) has played 73 minutes and Alden Applewhite (13.8 PPG) 75 minutes in the two games.

South Alabama crushed Georgia Southern 87-71 on the road no less in their lone meeting this season.  The Jaguars outrebounded the Eagles 43 to 30 in that win.  They will dominate the glass again and put forth better energy than the Eagles, who are running on fumes.  Bet South Alabama Friday.

15* NBA Friday PLAY OF THE DAY on Blazers/Rockets UNDER 220

The Houston Rockets are a dead nuts UNDER team ranking 29th in pace and 5th in defensive rating.  The Rockets are 22-9 UNDER in their last 31 games overall and consistently go for fewer than 220 combined points at the end of regulation with their opponents.

The Rockets will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 115-113 (OT) loss to the Warriors last night.  That game was tied 101-101 at the end of regulation for just 202 combined points.  Playing on tired legs and short-handed with some injuries, the Rockets will play at a snail's pace again tonight.

The Blazers have plenty of injuries of their own tonight that will hamper them offensively.  The Blazers will be without their top two scorers in Avdija (24.4 PPG) and Sharpe (21.4 PPG).  They will struggle to find buckets against this elite Houston defense.

This will be the 3rd meeting of 2026 already between the Rockets and Blazers, and familiarity favors defense and low-scoring games.  The 1st meeting saw just 205 combined points and the 2nd meeting saw just 216 combined points.  It will be another ugly, low-scoring defensive battle tonight.  Bet the UNDER in this game Friday.

15* CBB Friday Undervalued Underdog on UCF +4

UCF is 20-9 this season and 9-8 in Big 12 play.  The Knights had plenty of room to spare in terms of making the NCAA Tournament, but back-to-back home losses to Baylor (by 1) and Oklahoma State (OT) have put them on the bubble. They could really use this road win over West Virginia tonight.

The Knights were already going to be max motivated to beat the Mountaineers being on the bubble.  But they also want revenge from a 74-67 home loss to WVU on February 14th.  They went on to win their next three games with an 11-point home win over TCU, a road win at Utah and a win at BYU by 13 as 14.5-point dogs.  They have been playing their best basketball on the road.

West Virginia (17-13, 8-9 Big 12) has played its way off the bubble and out of the NCAA Tournament by going 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in its last five games overall.  That includes a home loss to Utah as 10.5-point favorites, as well as road losses to K-State, Oklahoma State and TCU.  So they have losses to the three worst teams in the Big 12 in their last five games.  That has broken their spirit, and I can't see them being all that motivated tonight as a result.  Bet UCF Friday.

15* CBB Friday UPSET SHOCKER on Central Michigan +2

The Top 8 teams in the MAC make the conference tournament.  Central Michigan is still alive for a Top 8 spot.  The Chippewas need to win this game and have Buffalo lose to Toledo to get in.  Buffalo is an 8.5-point road dog to Toledo tonight.

Ball State has already been eliminated from the MAC Tournament due to going 0-2 against Buffalo this season in the head-to-head series.  I question their motivation tonight knowing they are eliminated from tournament contention.

Ball State has been very fortunate to win its last three games with two of them coming in OT.  I think the Cardinals are getting too much respect for those three wins against some bottom feeders in the MAC.  

Central Michigan beat Buffalo 75-70 on the road before a 13-point loss to Akron, arguably the best team in the MAC.  They also beat WMU by 13 and only lost by 2 to Kent State as 11.5-point dogs.  They are playing well here down the stretch to give themselves a chance at making the tournament.  They will win this game outright tonight.  Bet Central Michigan Friday.

15* MVC Tournament PLAY OF THE DAY on Bradley -3.5

Valparaiso was in a war last night with Indiana State.  The Beacons prevailed 63-62 as 2.5-point favorites.  That's an Indiana State team that is dreadful going 2-12 SU in its final 14 games to close out the regular season.

Now the Beacons must take a big step up in class here against an experienced Bradley team that is notorious for making deep runs in the MVC Tournament.  The Braves are rested as this will be their first game of the tournament, while the Beacons have to play the 2nd of a back-to-back.  Valparaiso lacks depth as well with an 8-man rotation.

Bradley beat Murray State by 9, Illinois State by 14, Southern Illinois by 10 and Belmont by 11 in four of its final six games this season.  Those are all the top teams in the conference, and the Braves are playing their best basketball of the season heading into this MVC Tournament.  That carries over today.  Bet Bradley Friday.

20* MAC GAME OF THE MONTH on Buffalo +8.5

The Buffalo Bulls are trying to lock up a spot in the MAC Tournament.  Only the Top 8 teams in the MAC play in the conference tournament.  The Bulls sit in 7th place and would be out of the tournament with a loss coupled with a win by Central Michigan tonight due to tiebreaker reasons.  They are max motivated to pull off the upset and get into the conference tournament.

The spot is terrible for Toledo.  The Rockets are already assured a spot in the MAC Tournament and actually locked into the 4th seed with nothing to play for but pride.  Worse yet, they are coming off a 74-72 loss to Miami Ohio nearly handing the Redhawks their first loss of the season.  It's the type of loss that can beat a team twice, and I don't expect the Rockets to show up at all tonight.  

The Bulls have played their best basketball on the highway this season going 8-5 SU & 10-3 ATS in true road games.  Bet Buffalo Friday.

15* CBB Thursday Late-Night BAILOUT on CS-Fullerton +4

CS-Fullerton is still alive for a bye in the conference tournament.  The Titans are one game behind UC-San Diego for 3rd place in the Big West.  They are motivated to get this win on Senior Night in their final home game as their top three scorers are all seniors.

Fullerton has a chance to sweep the season series and earn the tiebreaker over UC-San Diego as well.  The Titans won 88-71 on the road over the Tritons in their first meeting this season.  They should not be 4-point home underdogs in the rematch tonight.  

UC-San Diego is getting a lot of respect due to entering this game on a 5-game winning streak.  But four of those five wins came at home against the bottom of the Big West.  They have been much less impressive on the road in Big West play with just two wins by more than 3 points on the road in conference play all season.  Bet CS-Fullerton Thursday.

20* CBB TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Pepperdine/Portland OVER 152.5

Pepperdine has been a dead nuts OVER team here down the stretch.  The Waves are a perfect 10-0 OVER in their last 10 games overall with 156 or more combined points in eight of those 10 games.  They are playing faster, more efficient offense and zero defense allowing 79 or more points in 10 consecutive games, and 83 or more in nine of them.

One of those games came against this same Portland team on February 18th.  Pepperdine beat Portland 95-87 for 182 combined points.  We have nearly 30 points to spare here in the rematch with this total set at 152.5.  Fouls will likely be a factor in the end as well as neither of these teams want their season to end in the first round of the WCC Tournament.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Western Kentucky -1.5

Western Kentucky has been rolling since getting their best players back from injury.  The Hilltoppers are 6-0 SU in their last six games overall.  They are coming off three consecutive blowout wins over Liberty by 21 as 7.5-point road dogs. New Mexico State by 23 as 4.5-point home favorites and UTEP by 32 as 9.5-point home favorites.

Now they take on Missouri State, which is 0-7 SU in its last seven games overall and just ready for the regular season to be over.  The Bears lost 87-72 at Western Kentucky in their first meeting this season.  It will be another blowout in the Hilltoppers' favor in the rematch tonight.  Bet Western Kentucky Thursday.

20* CBB DOG OF THE MONTH on Rutgers +20

Rutgers has quietly gone 6-3 ATS in its last nine games overall.  This run stems back to a 88-79 (OT) home loss to Michigan State as 14.5-point dogs.  Now the Scarlet Knights want their revenge, and even if they don't get it they will stay within this inflated 20-point spread in the rematch tonight.

This looks like the letdown spot for Michigan State even though it's Senior night.  The Spartans are coming off four consecutive wins.  The last two they earned with road wins at Purdue and at Indiana.  And they have an even bigger game on deck against rival Michigan.  That makes this the sandwich spot for the Spartans, and I do not expect their best effort tonight.  Bet Rutgers Thursday.

15* NBA PLAY OF THE DAY on Miami Heat -13

The Miami Heat are in 8th place in the East just one game behind the 76ers for the 6th seed to get out of the play-in.  They are rested and motived playing just their 2nd game in 5 days tonight.  The one game was a 124-98 home win over the Brooklyn Nets, and given their standing in the East I don't expect the Heat to take them lightly in the rematch.

The tanking Nets have gone 0-9 SU & 1-8 ATS in their last nine games overall and have rarely been competitive.  They went 0-5 SU & 0-5 ATS in their five road games during this stretch losing by 28 in Cleveland, by 19 in OKC, by 11 in Atlanta, by 37 in Boston and by 26 in Miami.

While the Heat are playing just their 2nd game in 5 days, the Nets will be playing their 9th game in 15 days since the All-Star Break.  This is a tired team that is also playing without talented rookie PG Egor Demin.  They are really playing without a true PG right now.  The Nets are 27th in offensive rating and 27th in defensive rating while ranking 28th in net rating this season.  Bet the Heat Thursday.

20* NBA Wednesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles Clippers -11.5

The Los Angeles Clippers are fighting for their playoff lives here down the stretch.  They are 29-31 and in 9th place in the West.  They at the very least are motivated to get the 7th or 8th spot to give themselves a better chance of making the postseason.

The Clippers are 16-8 SU & 17-7 ATS in their last 24 games overall and have been covering machines of late, covering eight of their last nine games overall.  They just got Darius Garland to make his Clippers debut last game after trading James Harden to Cleveland for him.  They'll be ready to roll tonight.

The Indiana Pacers are in full-blown tank mode going 0-6 SU & 0-6 ATS since the All-Star Break.  They lost four of those games agains fellow tanking teams in the Grizzlies, Mavs and Wizards (twice).  They also lost by 24 to Charlotte and by 21 to Philadelphia.  They'll get blown out again tonight.  Bet the Clippers Wednesday.

15* Colorado State/New Mexico MWC Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 150

New Mexico is a dead nuts OVER team going 19-9 OVER in all games this season and 10-5 OVER in home games.  The Lobos rank 59th in adjusted tempo, 41st in average length of offensive possession and 65th in adjusted offense.  They will control the tempo playing at home tonight.

Colorado State wants to play much slower but won't be able to dictate tempo on the road here.  The Rams profile as an OVER team because they rank 48th in adjusted offense and 207th in adjusted defense.  They are an elite shooting team ranking 8th in effective FG percentage and 6th in 3-point percentage (39.5%).  But they are 272nd in effective FG percentage defense and won't be able to slow down New Mexico.  The Rams are 5-1 OVER in their last six games with 157 or more combined points in four of those six contests.

The Lobos beat the Rams 80-70 on the road for 150 combined points in their first meeting this season.  Colorado State shot just 7-of-25 (28%) from 3 and is due some positive shooting regression on the rematch.  They were also without Kyle Jorgensen (11.7 PPG) but he's back now.  New Mexico shot just 13-of-23 (56.5%) from the FT line as FT's were a non-factor with Colorado State making just 9 FT's.  There's room for more points in the rematch tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* NBA Eastern Conference PLAY OF THE DAY on Atlanta Hawks ML +105

The Atlanta Hawks are rested and fully healthy and showing what they are capable of when that's the case.  The Hawks are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall with wins over the Nets by 11, the Wizards by 21, the Wizards by 30 and the Blazers by 34.  

The Hawks have had the last two days off and will be playing just their 2nd game in 6 days tonight.  They are primed for a big effort to put out the threat of the Bucks, who are in 11th pace and the closest team to them in 10th place and the play-in round in the East.

The Bucks are coming off three straight blowout losses to the Knicks by 29 at home, the Bulls by 23 on the road and the Celtics by 27 at home.  They will now be playing their 3rd game in 4 days and their 6th game in 9 days.

Giannis made his return against the Celtics and only played 26 minutes.  He probably will be on a minutes limit again and is a shell of his former self right now.  The Bucks got the bad news that Kevin Porter Jr. (17.5 PPG, 7.4 APG) has been ruled out for this game, which is exactly when I released this play because he has been so good for them and one of the most underrated players in the NBA.  HIs playmaking ability has kept the Bucks competitive, but they will miss him tonight.  Bet the Hawks on the Money Line Wednesday.

15* ACC Total DOMINATOR on Stanford/Notre Dame OVER 146.5

Notre Dame is hoisting up a ton of 3-pointers here down the stretch and playing to its strengths.  The result has been better offense but terrible defense and allowing easy points in transition.  The Fighting Irish are 6-0 OVER in their last six games overall and 13-2 OVER in their last 15 games overall.  They have gone for 150 or more combined points in 10 of their last 13 games.

Stanford is coming off a 95-75 home win over SMU and 170 combined points.  The Cardinal will gladly oblige in a shootout here.  They shoot 3-pointers 44.6% of the time while ND shoots 3-pointers 43.1% of the time on offense. It's going to lead to a lot of long rebounds and easy points in transition for both teams.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday UPSET SHOCKER on Notre Dame ML +105

Notre Dame sits in a tie for 15th place in the ACC with Pitt with two games remaining.  That's significant because only the Top 15 teams qualify for the ACC Tournament.  The Fighting Irish lose out on the tiebreaker to Pitt, so they need to win out and get some help.

They did their part with a 96-90 (OT) upset win over NC State over the weekend.  Jalen Haralson (15.9 PPG) made his return from a 3-game absence due to injury and poured in 25 points for the Fighting Irish to lead the way.  They are a potent offensive team with Haralson, Certa (12.8 PPG) and Shrewsberry (11.8 PPG) healthy.

Stanford has already locked up a spot in the ACC Tournament and has little to play for.  The Cardinal won't make the NCAA Tournament unless they win the ACC Tournament.  They have been struggling for weeks going 4-7 SU & 5-6 ATS in their last 11 games overall with three of those wins coming at home.

The lone road win was at Boston College, which is 3-14 in ACC play.  The Cardinal are 3-5 SU & 3-5 ATS in true road games this season.  The Fighting Irish are 10-6 SU at home.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet Notre Dame on the Money Line Wednesday.

20* Big Ten GAME OF THE WEEK on Northwestern +11.5

Purdue continues to be overvalued as a double-digit road favorite at Northwestern tonight.  The Boilermakers are 1-3 SU & 1-3 ATS in their last four games overall with their lone win coming at home against Indiana.  They lost to Michigan by 11 and Michigan State by 2 at home, while also losing by 8 as 6.5-point road favorites at Ohio State.

Northwestern is playing its best basketball of the season to close. The Wildcats are 3-0 SU in their last three games and now will be motivated for an upset win on Senior Night in their final home game.  Senior F Nick Martinelli (22.5 PPG) is one of the best players in program history, and you can bet his teammates will be extra motivated to get him a win here in his final home game.

Northwestern is 2-2 SU & 3-1 ATS in its last four home meetings with Purdue.  Both losses were close as they lost by just 6 and 3 points.  Getting 11.5 points with the Wildcats at home tonight is tremendous value.  Bet Northwestern Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Utah Jazz +8.5

The Utah Jazz just got Keyonte George (23.9 PPG, 6.4 APG) back from a long absence in their last game against the Denver Nuggets.  They took the Nuggets to the wire in a 128-125 loss as 11.5-point dogs.  George had 36 points in the loss.

"I couldn't be more proud of the team's effort," Jazz coach Will Hardy said after the loss to Denver. "I thought we were super active on both sides of the ball."

"He's been making a lot of plays downhill," Hardy said of George. "His reads all season have continued to show all the work he's put in. Development is not all physical. There's an elite understanding to be a top player in this league."

"Coach Will even said it when he came in the locker room," Filipowski said. "If we keep playing hard like this, keep playing together, then we're gonna get where we want to in the future."

The 76ers will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days after blowout losses to the Spurs by 40 and the Celtics by 16.  They are so short-handed right now playing without Embiid (26.6 PPG), George (16.0 PPG), Edgecombe (15.3 PPG) and Oubre (14.3 PPG) tonight.  That's four of their top five scorers.  They shouldn't be this big of favorites without these guys tonight.  Bet the Jazz Wednesday.

15* Big Ten Total DOMINATOR on Ohio State/Penn State OVER 152.5

Penn State is a dead nuts OVER team ranking 82nd in adjusted offense and 223rd in adjusted defense.  The Nittany Lions are 9-3 OVER in their last 12 games overall with 151 or more combined points in 10 of those 12 games.  This total of 152.5 is very low for a game involving Penn State right now.

Ohio State has been without three of its top five scorers are different times this season.  But each of their top five scorers are all healthy for the stretch run, and the Buckeyes are an elite offensive team when that's the case.  They showed it with a 82-74 win over Purdue last time out.

The Buckeyes had four of their top five scorers available in their 84-78 win over Penn State in their first meeting this season that saw 162 combined points.  It should be another shootout in the rematch tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* Horizon League PLAY OF THE DAY on Detroit -1.5

Detroit is quietly playing as well as anyone in the Horizon League heading into the conference tournament.  The Titans have gone 7-2 SU & 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall with their only losses coming on the road to Robert Morris and Green Bay, two teams that are the class of the league right now as well.

Milwaukee is not the class of the league.  The Panthers have gone 5-13 SU in their last 18 games overall.  It all fell apart for them since losing two of their top three scorers in Seth Hubbard (16.6 PPG) and Danilo Jovanovich (12.4 PPG) to season-ending injuries.

Detroit is 2-0 SU & 2-0 ATS in two meetings with Milwaukee this season.  The Titans won by 5 at home and by 13 on the road.  Now they will cap off the season sweep tonight at home and advance in the Horizon League Tournament.  Bet Detroit Wednesday.

20* Big East TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Marquette/Providence OVER 161

Providence is a dead nuts OVER team going 20-9 OVER in all games this season including 11-4 OVER in home games.  The Friars rank 21st in adjusted tempo, 24th in adjusted offense and 193rd in adjusted defense.

Marquette also likes to play fast ranking 108th in adjusted tempo and 14th in average length of offensive possession.  The Eagles get shots up very quick on offense, and this game will see a ton of possessions because the Friars want to do the same thing.

Marquette beat Providence 105-104 (OT) in their first meeting this season.  But they didn't even need OT to cover the OVER.  This game was tied 94-94 at the end of regulation for 188 combined points, which is 27 points more than this total of 161 giving us a ton of room to spare in the rematch.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* Atlantic 10 GAME OF THE WEEK on St. Joe's +4

St. Joe's is the most underrated team in the Atlantic 10.  The Hawks have gone 11-3 SU & 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games overall with their three losses all coming by single-digits.  They sit in 4th place in the Atlantic 10 and are highly motivated to lock up a double-bye for the conference tournament as the top 4 teams in the conference all get one.

St. Joe's also wants revenge from a 62-56 loss to Davidson prior to this 11-3 run.  The Hawks shot just 3-of-22 (13.6%) from 3-point range in that game yet still only lost by 6.  I have to think they are due a ton of positive shooting regression in the rematch tonight.  Bet St. Joe's Wednesday.

15* NBA Tuesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Phoenix Suns -9.5

The Phoenix Suns will be rested and ready to go tonight.  They have had the last four days off, which has allowed Devin Booker (24.7 PPG, 6.1 APG) to get back healthy for them tonight.  Getting him back makes all the difference for this team.

Now the Suns will make easy work of the tanking Sacramento Kings.  The Kings are 2-18 SU & 7-13 ATS in their last 20 games overall.  They are coming off a 24-point loss to the Lakers.  Their last six losses have all come by 17 points or more as they have rarely been competitive.  Bet the Suns Tuesday.

15* MWC PLAY OF THE DAY on Boise State ML -115

Boise State wants revenge from a 110-107 (3 OT) win at San Diego State in their first meeting this season.  Given how these teams are playing down the stretch, I like the Broncos' chances of getting their revenge at home in the rematch tonight.

Boise State is 3-0 SU & 2-1 ATS in its last three games overall with a 15-point win over San Jose State, a 10-point win over Wyoming and a 16-point win at Fresno State.  The Broncos are rested playing just their 2nd game in 7 days tonight.

San Diego State is 1-3 SU & 1-3 ATS in its last four games overall with four straight wars.  They lost by 10 at home to Grand Canyon, by 9 at Colorado State and by 5 at New Mexico.  They beat Utah State at home for their lone win.  Now they will be playing their 3rd game in 7 days tonight.

Two of SDSU's best players are questionable to play tonight in Miles Byrd (10.9 PPG, 4.6 RPG, 1.9 SPG) and BJ Davis (10.4 PPG).  Both got banged up in their loss to New Mexico over the weekend.  Bet Boise State on the Money Line Tuesday.

20* Big 12 GAME OF THE MONTH on Cincinnati -2

Cincinnati is playing its best basketball of the season to close to put itself in position to make the NCAA Tournament.  The Bearcats are either first 4 out or next 4 out right now and needing to continue this momentum to get in.

Cincinnati has gone 5-1 SU & 4-2 ATS in its last six games overall with its lone loss coming at Texas Tech.  The Bearcats beat Kansas by 16 on the road, K-State by 29 on the road, UCF by 20 at home, Utah by 4 at home and Oklahoma State by 23 at home during this 6-game stretch.

Now the Bearcats are playing on Senior Night with three Senior starters.  They take on a BYU team that just hasn't been the same since losing Richie Saunders (18.1 PPG) to a season-ending injury.  The Cougars are playing their worst basketball of the season to close, going 3-7 SU & 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.  They lost outright as 14.5-point home favorites to UCF and by 8 at WVU in their last two games.  Bet Cincinnati Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Louisiana-Monroe +11.5

Louisiana-Monroe has quietly gone 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games overall.  The Warhawks are consistently catching too many points here down the stretch, and this Sun Belt Tournament game against Old Dominion is no exception.

The Monarchs have no business being 11.5-point favorites tonight.  They actually lost 85-79 as 14.5-point home favorites to Louisiana-Monroe in their lone meeting this season.  And the Warhawks actually shot a woeful 3-of-20 (15%) from 3-point range in that game yet still won outright.  I have to think they are due some positive shooting regression in the rematch, making them live dogs again.  Bet Louisiana-Monroe Tuesday.

15* NBA Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Chicago Bulls +10.5

The Oklahoma City Thunder will be without four of their top six scorers tonight in Shai (31.8 PPG), Williams (17.5 PPG), Mitchell (14.1 PPG) and Hartenstein (10.5 PPG) tonight.  They can't be double-digit road favorites over the Chicago Bulls without these four.

The Bulls showed some life in a 120-97 home win as 2.5-point dogs to the Milwaukee Bucks last time out.  They are rested and ready to go playing just their 2nd game in 5 days tonight, and they want to give the defending champs a run for their money in this one.

The trio of Giddey, Sexton and Jones at guard to go along with two stretch bigs in Buzelis and Yabusle give the Bulls some firepower here down the stretch.  Those five combined for 87 points against the Bucks last time out.  Bet the Bulls Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on West Virginia -2.5

West Virginia is squarely on the bubble of the NCAA Tournament.  The Mountaineers came up with a big 79-71 home win over BYU last time out to keep their hopes alive.  And they will be max motivated to beat K-State tonight and finish strong to get into the big dance.

K-State has let go of the rope even before firing Jerome Tang.  The Wildcats are 1-9 SU in their last 10 games overall.  They are coming off three straight losses by 28 at Texas Tech, by 9 at Colorado and by 9 at home to TCU.  I see no reason they show up tonight, either.  Bet West Virginia Tuesday.