15* Timberwolves/Clippers NBA TV Late-Night BAILOUT on Minnesota -3.5

The spot really favors the Minnesota Timberwolves tonight.  They are rested and ready to go playing just their 2nd game in 5 days with a 109-80 blowout of the Lakers at home two days ago.

The Los Angeles Clippers are a very tired team right now.  They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a win over Portland last night.  They will also be playing their 11th game in 18 days.  They remain without Kawhi Leonard, and now key bench piece Terance Mann just suffered a broken finger last night.

The Timberwolves are 6-1 SU & 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings with the Clippers.  Bet the Timberwolves Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Night Line Mistake on DePaul +16.5

Former Ohio State head coach Chris Holtmann is doing a tremendous turnaround job at DePaul in his first season on the job.  The Blue Demons are 7-0 SU & 5-2 ATS this season with five wins coming by 19 or more points.

Texas Tech struggled with two teams they shouldn't have, which makes me believe DePaul can stay within this inflated number.  The Red Raiders lost outright to St. Joseph's 78-77 as 10.5-point favorites on a neutral and only beat a down Syracuse team 79-74 as 11.5-point favorites on a neutral.  Those were by far their two toughest games of the season.  

The Red Raiders face a DePaul team that has pretty much matched them in terms of being great shooters.  The Blue Demons rank 2nd in effective field goal percentage and 10th in 3-point percentage hitting 41.2% from deep as a team.  Bet DePaul Wednesday.

20* CBB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on DePaul/Texas Tech OVER 149.5

Texas Tech is a dead nuts OVER team going 6-0-1 OVER in all games this season with 151 or more combined points in six of their seven games.  They are one of the best shooting teams in the country ranking 6th in effective FG percentage and 7th in 3-point percentage hitting 42% from deep as a team.

The Red Raiders face a DePaul team that has pretty much matched them in terms of being great shooters.  The Blue Demons rank 2nd in effective field goal percentage and 10th in 3-point percentage hitting 41.2% from deep as a team.  They shoot a ton of 3-pointers with over 50% of their field goal attempts coming from deep, which favors OVERS.

DePaul is 5-2 OVER in all games this season with 151 or more combined points in five of their seven games this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on San Jose State +20

After a rough start to the season, proven head coach Tim Miles has the San Jose Spartans improving rapidly.  The Spartans have gone 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall with all five games decided by 16 points or less.

Now the Spartans are catching 20 points against a New Mexico team that is way down from last season.  That was evident with their 14-point loss at St. John's.  The Lobos split a pair of tournament games losing to ASU and then beating USC in their last two games coming in.

This is the ultimate letdown spot for New Mexico.  Coming off those two huge games against ASU and USC, and now with a game looming against their in-state rival on Saturday up next, this is a classic sandwich spot.  I don't think we get the Lobos' best effort here, and it's going to take their best effort to win this game by more than 20 points.  Bet San Jose State Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Atlanta Hawks +3.5

The Atlanta Hawks have gotten healthy and are playing up to their potential now.  They are 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last four games overall beat the Cavaliers outright twice by 11 as 9-point road dogs and by 16 as 5.5-point home dogs.  The Cavaliers have only lost three games all season, and the other was to the Celtics by 3 on the road.

The spot really favors the Hawks tonight.  They had yesterday off while the Bucks will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a win in Detroit last night.  That win clinched their spot in the NBA Cup East quarterfinals.  This is now a flat spot for the Bucks as they won't be nearly as motivated to beat the Hawks as they were to beat the Pistons last night.

The Hawks have actually won two of their last three trips to Milwaukee outright by 17 and by 15 points.  I fully expect them to win this game outright tonight as well.  Bet the Hawks Wednesday.

20* NBA Eastern Conference TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Hawks/Bucks OVER 237

The Atlanta Hawks are a dead nuts OVER team.  They rank 2nd in pace this season and 20th in defensive rating. They are fully healthy for basically the first time all season and thriving offensively.  They have scored at least 117 points in five of their last six games overall.

The Milwaukee Bucks have also gotten healthy and have put up 122 or more points in five of their last six games overall.  They are a tough to tame as long as Giannis and Lillard are on the court at the same time.

The Bucks and Hawks have gone for 235, 253 and 237 combined points in their last three meetings.  This total of 237 is too short given these teams in their current state both very healthy and ready to run.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* Baylor/UConn FS1 ANNIHILATOR on Baylor +3

The UConn Huskies are down several notches from the teams that won the National Championship each of the last two seasons.  But they continue to get respect from oddsmakers that they do not deserve.

That was evident in going 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their recent tournament losing outright to Memphis as 8.5-point favorites, losing outright to Colorado as 14.5-point favorites and losing outright to Dayton by 18 as 7-point favorites.

Now things have gotten worse for the Huskies as they just lost their best player in Alex Karaban (15.9 PPG) in that loss to Dayton.  He was their best returning player by far, and I think the Huskies are going to be even more lost without him moving forward.

Baylor's two losses this season came to two of the best teams in the country in Tennessee and Gonzaga.  They have been battle-tested, also beating a very good St. John's team in OT.  I think UConn in their current state is far worse than all three of those teams.  Bet Baylor Wednesday.

15* NBA Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Portland Trail Blazers +8.5

The Portland Trail Blazers are 5-5 SU & 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall with two of their losses coming by 7 points or fewer.  The only exceptions were road losses to three of the best teams in the NBA in the Thunder, Rockets and Grizzlies.

The Los Angeles Clippers are getting too much respect for their 7-2 SU & 8-1 ATS run in their last nine games overall.  I think this is a letdown spot for them off thier upset home win over the Nuggets by 4 as 3-point dogs.

The Clippers have basically been eliminated from NBA Cup contention sitting at 1-2 in their group with a -6 point differential.  They trail the 3-0 Thunder who have a +55 point differential.

The Blazers are actually 2-1 in the same group with a legitimate shot to advance.  They will actually be the more motivated team if anything tonight.  They beat the Clippers 106-105 as 8-point road dogs earlier this season in their first meeting.  Bet the Blazers Tuesday.

15* NBA Tuesday UPSET SHOCKER on Houston Rockets +1

The Houston Rockets are 3-0 in NBA Cup play this season with a +55 point differential.  They are taking these NBA Cup games as seriously as anyone, and they should not be underdogs to the Sacramento Kings tonight.

The Kings are 0-3 in NBA Cup play and have been eliminated.  They won't be nearly as motivated as the Rockets as a result, and they just aren't playing well enough right now to be favored in this contest.

The Rockets are 10-2 SU & 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall with one of the losses coming by a single point.  The Kings are 2-7 SU & 1-8 ATS in their last nine games overall.  While the Rockets are fully healthy, the Kings are without Trey Lyles and could be without Kevin Huerter tonight.

The Rockets are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in the last three meetings winning by 8, 25 and 18 points.  Bet the Rockets Tuesday.

20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Jazz/Thunder OVER 221.5

The Oklahoma City Thunder are tied with the Suns and Spurs at 2-1 in their group.  Point differential is very close between all three, so the Thunder will keep their foot on the gas for four quarters tonight.  And that's a big reason I'm on the OVER 221.5 between them and the Utah Jazz in this one.

The Thunder rank 11th in pace while the Jazz rank 13th, so both teams like to play fast.  The Jazz are 29th in defensive rating, so this is a very low total for a game involving Utah.  Each of Utah's last seven games have seen a total of 225 or higher.

It's also a pretty low total for a game involving Oklahoma City.  We have seen totals of 222.5 or higher in eight of their last nine games.  So this is certainly a 'buy low' on the OVER in a game involving both of these teams right now.  

The Jazz and Thunder have combined for at least 226 points in eight of their last nine meetings, making for a 8-1 system backing the OVER pertaining to this 221.5-point total.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* NBA Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on Philadelphia 76ers -4

It's time to 'buy low' on the Philadelphia 76ers.  They sit at 4-14 SU & 5-13 ATS this season largely due to injuries to Embiid, George and Maxey.  Well they have both George and Maxey back healthy now, and they are coming off a 111-96 win at Detroit as 2-point dogs.

The 76ers are fresh and ready to go tonight.  They have had the last two days off, and they will be playing just their 2nd game in 6 days.  I'm expecting one of their best efforts of the season tonight since they are basically fully healthy now outside of Embiid and Drummond.

Speaking of health, the Hornets are extremely banged up right now, which is a big reason for their currently 5-game losing streak.  They are without three starters in Ball (31.1 PPG), Bridges (16.0 PPG) and Williams (10.4 PPG), and key bench player Mann (14.1 PPG) is out as well.  That's four of their top six scorers.

The 76ers are 7-0 SU in their last seven meetings with the Hornets with six wins by 7 points or more.  Bet the 76ers Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on St. Joseph's -5.5

I've been very impressed with the Saint Joseph Hawks this season against a very difficult schedule.  They have gone 5-2 SU this season despite already having to face Villanova, Texas Tech and Texas.  They actually upset Villanova at home and Texas Tech on a neutral.  They only lost to Texas by 9.

Princeton is 6-3 SU but 3-5 ATS this season.  The wins have not been impressive beating Iona by 1 as 12.5-point favorites and Northeastern by 3 as 7.5-point favorites.  The losses to Loyola by 5 as 2-point favorites, Wright State by 18 as 7.5-point favorites and Texas State by 3 as 6.5-point favorites are even more concerning.

Despite the easy schedule, Princeton ranks 213th in adjusted defensive efficiency.  Saint Joseph's ranks 90th in adjusted defensive efficiency despite playing the much tougher schedule.  Bet Saint Joseph's Tuesday.

15* NBA Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Portland Trail Blazers +7.5

I love the spot for the Portland Trail Blazers tonight.  They had yesterday off while the Dallas Mavericks will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 106-94 win in the altitude in Salt Lake City against the Utah Jazz last night.

Making matters worse for the Mavericks is the fact that they are very short-handed right now.  Doncic, Thompson, Marshall, Gafford and Exum are all either out or questionable.  Irving played 36 minutes last night and Washington 34.

The Blazers have been grossly undervalued in recent weeks going 5-4 SU & 7-2 ATS in their last nine games overall.  The highlights have been outright upset wins over the Timberwolves as 9-point dogs, the Timberwolves as 10-point dogs, the Hawks as 4-point dogs, the Rockets as 11.5-point dogs and the Kings as 7.5-point dogs.  They have a shot to win this game outright as well given the horrible spot for Dallas.  Bet the Blazers Sunday.

20* Celtics/Cavs NBA TV No-Brainer on Cleveland +1

The Cleveland Cavaliers were knocked out of the playoffs by the Boston Celtics last year.  The Cavaliers then had their 15-0 start to the season come to an end in a 120-117 loss at Boston as 6.5-point dogs on November 19th.  It's safe to say the Cavaliers will be highly motivated for revenge when they get to host the Celtics this time around Sunday.

While the Cavaliers are almost fully healthy, the Celtics are dealing with a plethora of injuries right now with Horford, Holiday, Porzingis and White all listed as questionable for this one.  I would like the Cavaliers to win this game even if all four of those guys play, so it would only be a bonus if any of them sit.  Bet the Cavaliers Sunday.

15* CBB Sunday PLAY OF THE DAY on North Florida +16.5

I was on Nebraska +11 when they upset Creighton 74-63 on the road last time out.  I believe they are overvalued since.  I faded them with success with South Dakota +23 in their next game, and now I'm fading them again because they remain overvalued.  Plus, they have their Big Ten opener against Michigan State on deck and could be looking ahead to that contest.

The win over Creighton isn't as good as it looks on paper.  Creighton is nowhere near the team they were a year ago.  The Bluejays went on to lose 71-53 to San Diego State as 4.5-point favorites, lost to Texas A&M 77-73 as 4-point dogs and only beat Notre Dame 80-76 as 8-point favorites.  The Bluejays are 1-6-1 ATS this season now consistently failing to live up to expectations.

North Florida is 5-2 SU & 5-1 ATS this season with a couple very impressive wins.  They upset South Carolina 74-71 as 18-point road underdogs and upset Georgia Tech 105-93 as 13.5-point road dogs.  They also only lost by 13 as 15-point dogs at Georgia.  They have proven they can hang with the big boys, and they will be looking forward to the opportunity of proving it again today.  Bet North Florida Sunday.

15* NBA Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Pacers/Grizzlies UNDER 244

The Indiana Pacers and Memphis Grizzlies are both teams that like to play fast.  But this total is too high, and there's a ton of value on the UNDER.

Indiana isn't playing as fast as last season ranking 8th in pace.  A big reason they cannot play as fast is because they are short-handed right now due to injury.  They are without Nesmith and Sheppard and will likely remain without Nembhard today.

The Pacers and their opponents have combined for 236 or fewer points in four consecutive games.  The Grizzlies and their opponents have combined for 242 or fewer points in seven of their last eight games.

The UNDER is 3-0 in the last three meetings with 226, 219 and 212 combined points between the Pacers and Grizzlies.  They have combined for 242 or fewer points in six consecutive meetings.  Bet the UNDER in this game Sunday.

15* CBB Saturday Night BLOWOUT on UC-Irvine -9.5

UC-Irvine is 7-0 SU & 5-1 ATS this season in lined games.  The Anteaters are loaded with four returning starters, and they will be motivated to cap off a 3-0 sweep in this Western Slam round robin tournament.

Towson is 4-4 SU & 3-4 ATS this season.  Towson's four wins came against a Division II team, James Madison, Nicholls State and Morgan State.  They only won those last three games by 6 or fewer points each.  They lost by 26 at South Carolina earlier this season.

These teams have two common opponents now to compare them to due to this round robin format.  UC-Irvine beat Kennesaw State by 17 and Kent State by 12, while Towson lost to Kent State by 11 and lost to Kennesaw State by 4.  I fully expect the Anteaters to win this game by double-digits tonight.  Bet UC-Irvine Saturday.

15* NBA Saturday PLAY OF THE DAY on Atlanta Hawks -4.5

The Atlanta Hawks are fully healthy and playing up to their potential. After upsetting the Cleveland Cavaliers 135-124 as 9.5-point road dogs, they backed it up with an even more impressive 117-101 win as 6-point home dogs.

Now the Hawks hit the road to take on a Charlotte Hornets team that is dealing with a ton of injuries right now.  The Hornets have Ball, Mann, Bridges, Richards and both Williams either out or questionable tonight after not playing last night.  Now they'll be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back while also short-handed, and I don't expect it to go well for them.

The Hawks can handle these back-to-back situations better than the Hornets right now because they are fully healthy and a deep team.  This price is a little short on the Hawks tonight given how they are playing, plus all the injuries the Hornets are dealing with in this back-to-back spot.  Bet the Hawks Saturday.

15* CBB Friday PLAY OF THE DAY on St. Bonaventure -2.5

St. Bonaventure is 6-1 this season with its only loss coming yesterday in a 72-67 loss to Utah State as 6.5-point underdogs.  That's a very good Utah State team that is 6-0 this season with four blowout wins and a 77-69 upset win over Iowa as 3-point dogs.

Northern Iowa is just 3-3 SU this season with some very concerning results.  The Panthers lost by 20 at home to UC-Irvine and by 20 to North Texas yesterday as only 4-point dogs.  We are getting the Bonnies pretty cheap today as only 2.5-point favorites against the Panthers.  Bet St. Bonaventure Friday.

15* NBA Friday PLAY OF THE DAY on Toronto Raptors +8.5

The Toronto Raptors are 13-6 ATS this season and have been very competitive in almost every game, especially here of late.  The Raptors are 3-3 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall with a 2-point loss at Detroit and a 3-point loss at Boston as 16.5-point dogs.

The Raptors won 119-93 as 1.5-point dogs at New Orleans last time out to just show how undervalued they really are right now.  They are catching too many points in Miami as 8.5-point dogs as well.

The Heat aren't exactly blowing out the competition.  They are 8-8 SU & 7-9 ATS this season with just three wins by more than 8 points all season.

I don't see the Heat being that motivated to win this NBA Cup game tonight.  They lost their last NBA Cup game to the Bucks at home to fall to 1-2 in NBA Cup play this season, while the Bucks improved to 3-0. That game was their last stand if they wanted to advance in the NBA Cup, but they are all but done for now.  Bet the Raptors Friday.

20* Thunder/Warriors ESPN Late-Night BAILOUT on Oklahoma City ML -135

I love the spot for the Oklahoma City Thunder tonight.  They are rested and ready to go playing just their 2nd game in 7 days with their lone result during this stretch being a 130-109 blowout as 3.5-point favorites at Sacramento.

The Golden State Warriors are broken since losing De'Anthony Melton (10.3 PPG) to a season-ending ACL injury.  He was huge for them off the bench in giving Stephen Curry (22.4 PPG) a breather.  Now Curry injured his knee last game and is highly questionable to play tonight.  My best guess is the Warriors will be cautious and sit him.  Jonathan Kuminga (13.3 PPG) is also questionable with an illness.

The Warriors are 1-2 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall.  They only beat a depleted Pelicans team by 4 as 10.5-point favorites.  They lost outright by 10 as 3.5-point favorites at San Antonio.  And they lost outright by 8 as 13-point home favorites against a depleted Nets team playing the 2nd of a back-to-back.

The rest spot is much worse for the Warriors, who will be playing their 4th game in 6 days.  The Thunder should be bigger favorites tonight, and this line will balloon if Curry is ruled out.  I like OKC to win the game either way.  Bet the Thunder on the Money Line Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Chicago Bulls +10.5

It's time to 'sell high' on the Orlando Magic tonight.  The Magic are 9-1 SU & 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall.  They have only been favored by double-digits once during this stretch, so the price is getting very high to back them now.

That double-digit favorite role came against the lowly Washington Wizards, who the Bulls just beat 127-108 last night.  And because of the blowout nature of that win, the Bulls weren't pressed to play their starters big minutes.

The Bulls should still be pretty fresh tonight, especially since they had two days off prior to that win over the Wizards.  They will be playing just their 2nd game in 4 days.  This line is adjusted up too much for the Bulls playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and we'll take advantage.  

In the last nine meetings between Chicago and Orlando, the Bulls have only lost once by more than 9 points.  This line is inflated.  Bet the Bulls Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Night BLOWOUT on Miami Heat -3

The Miami Heat will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back.  But that's the only reason this line is only Miami -3 over Charlotte.  I think this number is adjusted down too much for the spot for Miami.

I think the Heat will come back motivated from their 3-point loss to the Bucks last night.  The Heat should still be pretty fresh when you consider this will be just their 3rd game in 9 days.  They are also fully healthy right now with a pretty deep bench, so they can handle these back-to-backs better than most.

Speaking of health, the Charlotte Hornets will be without four of their top six scorers in Bridges (16.0 PPG), Mann (14.1 PPG), Richards (11.0 PPG) and Williams (10.4 PPG).  It did not go well for the Hornets last time out losing 95-84 at home to the Orlando Magic, who were without Suggs and Banchero.

The Heat own the Hornets going 5-0 SU in the last five meetings.  That domination should continue tonight given how short-handed Charlotte is right now.  Bet the Heat Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Milwaukee +13

The Milwaukee Panthers are loaded this season with four returning starters from a team that won 20 games last year.  The Panthers are 5-2 SU this season with their two losses coming early.  They have gone 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS since and will be looking to make a statement at UCF tonight.

Even though the Panthers returned four starters, their top three scorers are actually Division 1 transfers as Bart Lundy did a great job in the portal.  All three have either played for him before or for his assistant.  McKee (16.0 PPG), Fulks (14.7 PPG) and Stillwell (12.7 PPG) are all fitting in nicely.

UCF is 4-2 SU & 2-4 ATS this season.  The Knights lost to the two best teams they played in Wisconsin by 16 and LSU by 9 on neutrals.  They did beat Texas A&M by 3 at home, but they haven't been able to get margin on anyone.  They only beat Purdue-Fort Wayne by 7, FAU by 6 and Tennessee Tech by 11.  They haven't won a game yet by more than 11 points.  Bet Milwaukee Wednesday.

20* CBB DOG OF THE WEEK on South Dakota +23

I was on Nebraska +11 when they upset Creighton 74-63 on the road last time out.  But now I'm fading the Huskers here tonight because I think they are overvalued off that win, and it's a huge letdown spot for them off that big in-state rivalry game that takes place every year.

The win over Creighton isn't as good as it looks on paper.  Creighton is nowhere near the team they were a year ago.  The Bluejays went on to lose 71-53 to San Diego State as 4.5-point favorites last night.  They are 1-5 ATS this season now consistently failing to live up to expectations.

I've been impressed with South Dakota this season.  The Coyotes are 6-2 SU with their lone losses coming by 19 at Iowa and by 9 at Southern Indiana.  I backed them in that game against Iowa, which I have power rated similarly to Nebraska.  

Iowa was only a 19-point closing favorite at home against South Dakota, and Nebraska is now a 23-point home favorite.  There's clearly value on the Coyotes given the letdown spot for the Huskers.  Bet South Dakota Wednesday.

15* Lakers/Suns TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on Phoenix -2

I love the spot for the Phoenix Suns tonight.  They are rested and motivated and getting healthy.  They have been off since November 20th, getting the last five days off.  This extra rest is allowing both Kevin Durant and Bradley Beal to return from injury tonight, so the Suns are at full strength for basically the first time this season.

It's great timing for this NBA Cup game against the Los Angeles Lakers, the team that is in 1st place in their group at 2-0 this season with a +11 point differential.  The Suns are 1-1 with a -8 differential, so this is a must-win for them if they want to advance out of group play.  The Lakers could actually afford a loss, but obviously they don't want to.  I just think the motivation is higher for the Suns given the current standings.

Home-court advantage has been huge in this series as the home team is 8-2 SU in the last 10 meetings.  Getting the Suns as only 2-point home favorites tonight given the situation is a gift.  Bet the Suns Tuesday.

20* Bucks/Heat TNT No-Brainer on Miami -2

The Miami Heat are fully healthy and rested right now and a dangerous team when that's the case.  They will be playing just their 2nd game in 8 days and will be motivated for a NBA Cup win tonight.

The Heat will be extra motivated considering the Milwaukee Bucks are 2-0 with a +26 point differential in their group, while the Heat are 1-1 with a +11 point differential.  They have a chance to catch and even surpass the Bucks in their group if they win by 15-plus.  But at the very least they have to win this game if they want to get out of their group.

The Bucks won't be nearly as motivated knowing they are sitting pretty in 1st place in their group.  Of course they don't want to lose, but I don't believe they'll be playing with the same type of edge that the Heat will be given the standings.  

This has been a good matchup for the Heat as they are 4-2 SU & 4-2 ATS in the last six meetings.  Bet the Heat Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Afternoon ANNIHILATOR on Penn State +2

Penn State will be one of the most improved teams in the Big Ten this season.  They went 16-17 (9-11 Big Ten) in Mike Rhoades' first season on the job last season.  Rhoades brings back three starters from that team and added help on the wing and up front.

The Nittany Lions are 6-0 SU & 4-2 ATS this season beating Binghamton 108-66 as 20.5-point favorites, UMBC 103-54 as 22.5-point favorites, St. Francis PA 92-62 as 31.5-point favorites, VA Tech 86-64 as 7.5-point favorites, IPFW 102-89 as 17-point favorites and Fordham 85-66 as 16-point favorites.  As you can see, the Nittany Lions have won all six of their games by at least 13 points and by an average of nearly 30 points per game.  

Returning starters Hicks (15.8 PPG, Baldwin (15.7 PPG, 7.7 APG) and Kern (11.8 PPG) have made a big impact.  Returning role players Dunn (7.5 PPG) and Johnson (11.5 PPG) have stepped up their games.  And NIU transfer Niederhauser (12.2 PPG, 7.2 RPG) has been impressive.

Penn State should not be an underdog to Clemson, which brought back three starters but only has three double-digit scores to this point.  I think the Tigers are getting too much respect for their win over San Francisco yesterday.  They lost by 13 at 4-point dogs at Boise State in their toughest game this season, and this one won't be any easier.  Bet Penn State Tuesday.

15* NBA Monday Late-Night BAILOUT on Thunder/Kings OVER 223.5

The Oklahoma City Thunder play fast racing 7th in the NBA in pace.  They will be looking to run even more tonight considering how fresh they'll be after having the last four days off.

The Sacramento Kings have gotten back to healthy with the exception of Malik Monk.  They have gone under the total in three straight games, which I think is what is keeping this total lower than it should be.  They had gone over the total in their previous three games.

The Kings and Thunder have combined for at least 231 points in six of their last eight meetings.  This is a very low total involving these two teams tonight at 223.5.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* Auburn/Iowa State ESPNU ANNIHILATOR on UNDER 145.5

Auburn and Iowa State are two of the best teams in the country.  But I think what makes both of them so great is their ability to make their opponents work hard for every point they get on offense.

Auburn ranks 363rd in average possession length defensively as opponents only attempt a shot every 19.6 seconds.  They are also 5th in the country in adjusted defensive efficiency.

Iowa State ranks 364th in average possession length defensively as opponents only attempt a shot on them every 20 seconds.  They are also 4th in the country in adjusted defensive efficiency.

This is a neutral court with uncommon shooting backgrounds and I trust that defense will win out in this game between two of the nation's top teams.  Bet the UNDER in this game Monday.

20* NBA BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Atlanta Hawks -3

The Atlanta Hawks are in a good spot tonight coming in on two days' rest and coming off two straight blowout road losses to the Bulls and Warriors.  The Hawks are now fully healthy for basically the first time all season and this is a good team to 'buy low' on moving forward because of it.

This is a terrible spot for the Dallas Mavericks and the main reason for this play.  The Mavericks are coming off a 123-118 (OT) road loss at Miami last night.  They will now be playing not only the 2nd of a back-to-back off an OT game, but their 3rd road game in 4 days after playing in Denver on Friday.

Kyrie Irving played 39 minutes and PJ Washington 39 minutes last night.  What makes this situation even more difficult for the Mavericks is the fact that they are without their best player in Luka Doncic.  I'll gladly take the rested, healthy Hawks over the tired, short-handed Mavericks tonight.  Bet the Hawks Monday.

15* CBB Monday Night BLOWOUT on Ohio State -24

Ohio State is 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS this season and absolutely blowing through the competition.  They upset Texas on a neutral and lost to Texas A&M on the road.  But they are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS at home beating Youngstown State by 34 as 19-point favorites, Evansville by 50 as 24.5-point favorites and Campbell by 44 as 25.5-point favorites.

Now they face a rebuilding Green Bay Phoenix team with a first-year head caoch who are 2-4 with all four losses by 13 points or more.  The two wins came against Western Illinois and SIU-Edwardsville.

But it's the loss to Evansville, a common opponent of Ohio State, that has me wanting to fade the Phoenix.  Green Bay lost 98-81 at Evansville while Ohio State beat Evansville 80-30.  Enough said.  Bet Ohio State Monday.

15* NBA Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Philadelphia 76ers +2

The Philadelphia 76ers are coming off a 113-98 win over the Brooklyn Nets at home as 3-point favorites.  They just got Tyrese Maxey back from injury and he is quickly becoming their best player and put up 26 points in the win.  The 76ers have found a gem in Jared McCain, who has now scored at least 20 points in seven consecutive games.

Now the 76ers host a Los Angeles Clippers team that remains without Kawhi Leonard, and one that just lost Norman Powell (23.3 PPG, 48.7% 3-pointers) to injury.  Powell is among the favorites to win Most Improve Player.

The Clippers are getting a lot of respect now as road favorites following a 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS run in four consecutive home games including upset wins over the Warriors, Magic and Kings.  I think this is where there come back down to reality without Powell, and the wrong team is favored here.  Bet the 76ers Sunday.

20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Miami Heat -3

The Miami Heat have been off since November 18th.  They have had five days of rest in between games and should come through with one of their best efforts of the season today as a result.  They are also fully healthy for basically the first time all season.

The Mavericks were able to upset the short-handed Denver Nuggets in an NBA Cup game on Friday on the road.  That sets them up for a letdown spot here, and I just think it's asking a lot of them to win consecutive road games here without Luka Doncic (28.1 PPG, 7.6 RPG, 7.6 APG).  Bet the Heat Sunday.

15* NBA Saturday PLAY OF THE DAY on Portland Trail Blazers +12.5

I love the spot for the Portland Trail Blazers tonight.  They get a shot at quick revenge after losing 116-88 in a NBA Cup game last night to the Rockets, who were motivated.  I don't think the Rockets will be nearly as motivated tonight to beat this team twice in two days.

The Blazers are in the much better rest spot with both teams playing the 2nd of a back-to-back. This is just the 4th game in 11 days for the Blazers, while it will be the 5th game in 7 days and the 9th game in 14 days for the Rockets.

The Blazers also shot just 33% last night including 11-of-43 (25.6%) from 3-point range.  I can't see them shooting nearly that poorly again in the rematch.  Bet the Blazers Saturday.

20* CBB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on UC-Irvine -6.5

UC-Irvine is one of the best mid-major teams in the country.  The Anteaters went 24-10 (17-3 Big West) last season and return four starters from that team that all averaged at least 9.0 points per game.

The Anteaters are 4-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in lined games this season absolutely crushing the first two spreads.  They beat Chapman 82-52 in their opener, then followed it up with a 66-51 win at Loyola-Marymount as 1.5-point favorites and a 80-60 win at Northern Iowa as 3.5-point dogs, covering the spread by a combined 37 points in those two games.  They also beat Pepperdine 80-62 as 16-point favorites last time out.

Now the Anteaters should make easy work of a Weber State team that has been dreadful this season.  The Wildcats are 1-3 SU & 1-2 ATS this season.  They lost 76-48 at Oregon State as 5-point dogs, lost 88-58 at Nevada as 17-point dogs and lost 73-68 at Hawaii as 5.5-point dogs, covering by 0.5-point after failing to cover by a combined 36 points in their first two games.  Bet UC-Irvine Friday.

15* Pacers/Bucks Eastern Conference ANNIHILATOR on OVER 235.5

The Indiana Pacers like to play with pace and they rank 23rd in defensive rating.  They profile as an OVER team.  The Milwaukee Bucks just got Damian Lillard back and are fully healthy with the exception of Middleton.  This game profiles as a shootout.

These NBA Cup games can get pretty wild in the 4th quarter because point differential is the tiebreaker in group play.  You see favorites not dribble the ball out, and the team that is down continuing to play the foul game to try and stay alive as long as possible.

Indiana is 11-4 OVER in all games this season and are coming off 249 combined points with Toronto and 243 combined points with Houston in their last two games.  In their four regular season meetings last season, the Pacers and Bucks went for 247, 266, 235 and 272 combined points.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* NBA Friday Total DOMINATOR on Hawks/Bulls OVER 245.5

The Atlanta Hawks and Chicago Bulls are the two most dead nuts OVER teams in the NBA this season.  The Bulls rank 1st in pace while the Hawks rank 2nd in pace.  The Bulls rank 27th in defensive rating while the Hawks rank 20th.

The Hawks are as healthy as they have been all season right now.  The Bulls are fully healthy outside of Ball and Williams.  They have been a much better offensive team since getting Zach LaVine back from injury.

This will be the 2nd meeting between the Hawks and Bulls this season.  The Bulls won 125-113 for 238 combined points on November 9th in that first meeting.  But that game died in the 4th quarter with just 50 combined points.  

I think this 4th quarter will be much different as whoever is ahead will be motivated to win by as much as possible with point differential being the tiebreaker in group play in these NBA Cup games.  Get ready for a much more high-scoring 4th quarter tonight that should sail over this 245.5-point total. Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* CBB Friday Total DOMINATOR on Utah State/Iowa OVER 168

This has the makings of the biggest shootout on the entire college basketball board tonight with the way that both Iowa and Utah State like to push the tempo.  The books haven't set this total high enough as a result as I think both teams can get into the 90's.

Iowa ranks 48th in adjusted tempo and 22nd in average possession length on offense at 14.9 seconds.  Utah State ranks 56th in adjusted tempo including 10th in average possession length on offense at 14.5 seconds.

Utah State is scoring 104 points per game this season while ranking 12th in effective field goal percentage.  Iowa is scoring 86.6 points per game this season while ranking 37th in that same category.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* Nebraska/Creighton FS1 ANNIHILATOR on Nebraska +11

Fred Hoiberg is doing a great job at Nebraska turning them into a much more competitive program.  He has them off to a 3-1 start this season with their lone loss coming to Saint Mary's by 3 on a neutral as 4-point dogs.

Creighton is overvalued as a Top 25 team and that has played out as the Bluejays are 1-3 ATS this season with their lone cover coming by 2 points.  These teams have two common opponents already and seeing the results from those two games has led me to Nebraska +11 showing value.

Nebraska outscored UTRGV by 20 and Fairleigh Dickinson by 26 winning those two games by a combined 46 points.  Creighton outscored UTRGV by 13 and Fairleigh Dickinson by 26 winning those two games by 39 combined points.  Bet Nebraska Friday.

20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Celtics/Wizards OVER 236

The Washington Wizards are a dead nuts OVER team.  They rank 4th in pace and dead last (30th) in defensive rating.  They play a Boston Celtics team that is shooting even more 3-pointers this season while ranking 3rd in offensive rating, so the Celtics are going to hang a big number on them.

This is a NBA Cup game so the Celtics want to improve their point differential, which is the tiebreaker in group play.  That means they will be keeping their foot on the gas for four quarters.

In their last NBA Cup game, the Wizards showed they won't quit in their 130-139 loss at San Antonio.  That game saw 70 combined points in the 4th quarter including 39 from Washington.  The Wizards will keep coming for four quarters as well.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* CBB Thursday Night BLOWOUT on Michigan -30.5

Michigan looks like one of the most improved teams in the country.  First-year head coach Dusty May comes over from Florida Atlantic fame after taking the Owls to the Final 4 two years ago.  He is already putting his imprint on this program.

The Wolverines are 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS this season with their lone loss coming by 2 to Wake Forest as 2-point favorites on a neutral.  They blasted Cleveland State 101-53 as 21.5-point favorites, which is the same Cleveland State team that only lost by 13 at Kansas State and by 11 at Minnesota.  The Wolverines beat TCU 76-64 as 6.5-point home favorites and crushed Miami Ohio 94-67 as 23-point favorites.

Now Michigan takes an even bigger step down in class here against Tarleton State, which looks like one of the worst teams in the country this season.  Tarleton is 1-4 SU & 0-4 ATS with its lone win coming against Tabor College.  They lost by 32 at SMU at 14.5point dogs, by 29 at home to Sam Houston State as 5.5-point dogs, by 20 at Florida State as 17-point dogs and then by a whopping 63 points at Baylor as 31.5-point dogs.  Mercy.

It's not going to get any easier for the Texans and head coach Billy Gillespie tonight.  He lost all five starters from last season and frankly has lost his touch as a head coach.  The Texans are turning the ball over on 31.8% of possessions, which is the worst mark in the country.  They are averaging steals on just 17.8% of possessions, which is also worst in the country.  Michigan ranks 4th in the country in effective FG percentage at 64.4%.  The Wolverines will get what they want offensively and shut down Tarleton defensively similar to what SMU, Sam Houston and Baylor did to them.  Bet Michigan Thursday.

15* NBA Thursday PLAY OF THE DAY on Detroit Pistons -1

The Detroit Pistons have been better than expected this season at 7-9 SU & 9-6-1 ATS in 16 games.  They have won four of their last seven coming in.  Prior to that, they lost 108-107 at the buzzer to the Charlotte Hornets.

Now the Pistons will be out for revenge tonight which is why I love this spot for them.  The Pistons are fully healthy while the Hornets are not.  They are without two centers in Williams and Richards, starting SF Bridges is questionable and key bench PG Tre Mann is banged up.

The Pistons are also the more rested team coming in on two days' rest, while the Hornets will be playing their 4th game in 6 days.  Bet the Pistons Thursday.

15* NBA Wednesday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Houston Rockets -6.5

The Houston Rockets are 10-5 SU & 10-5 ATS this season and one of the most improved teams in the NBA.  They are also one of the healthiest teams in the NBA and brought back pretty much everyone from last year, so their chemistry is great in the early going.

That has been on display as the Rockets have gone 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall with their lone loss coming by a single points at Milwaukee.  Their last four wins have come by a combined 80 points, and by an average of 20 points per game.

Now the healthy Rockets get to face a very banged up Indiana Pacers team that will be without Wiseman, Jackson, Nesmith and Nembhard, plus Turner, Sheppard and Walker are all questionable.  The Pacers have clearly been hampered by these injuries going 1-3 SU & 1-3 ATS in their last four games, no loss worse than their 130-119 loss at Toronto as 3.5-point favorites last time out.

Houston has actually lost nine consecutive meetings with Indiana including losses by 6 and 3 points in their two meetings last season.  I think head coach Ime Udoka will play the revenge card tonight and remind his players of that losing streak, and thus we'll see an inspired effort from them tonight.  Bet the Rockets Wednesday.

20* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Portland Trail Blazers +12

Injuries are starting to pile up for the Oklahoma City Thunder and they aren't playing that well since losing their star big man in Chet Holmgren.  They are coming off consecutive losses to the Mavericks as 7-point home favorites who were without Luka Doncic, and to the Spurs as 9.5-point favorites who were without Victor Wembenyama.

Now the Thunder are in a brutal rest spot tonight playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 7th game in 11 days.  They won't handle this situation very well with how short-handed they are right now, and they have no business being 12-point favorites over the Portland Trail Blazers given the spot.

The Blazers are as fresh as can be.  They will be paying just their 2nd game in 7 days.  They are also one of the most underrated teams in the NBA right now going 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall.  They beat the Timberwolves by 14 as 9-point dogs, then came back the next night and backed it up with an 8-point win over the Timberwolves as 10-point dogs.  They also upset the Hawks by 4 as 4-point dogs last time out.  This line is way out of whack given the circumstances.  Bet the Blazers Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Chicago Bulls +8.5

The Bulls have been playing much better since getting Zach LaVine back from injury.  They are 3-3 SU & 4-2 ATS in their last six games overall which includes upset wins over the Knicks as 8.5-point road dogs, the Hawks as 2.5-point road dogs and the Pistons as 4-point road dogs.  They are playing their best basketball on the road this season.

Now they head to Milwaukee to take on a Bucks team that is grossly overvalued.  The Bucks are 5-9-1 SU & 4-9-1 ATS with one of the worst rosters in the league outside of Giannis and Lillard.

The Bulls already beat the Bucks 133-122 as 9.5-point dogs in Milwaukee in their first meeting this season.  Lillard and Giannis combined for 66 points on 26-of-44 shooting and the Bucks still lost by double-digits.  That says all you need to know about the rest of their roster.  Bet the Bulls Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Night BLOWOUT on Cleveland Cavaliers -14.5

I put this play in as soon as I saw the Pelicans were going to rest Brandon Ingram and Trey Murphy.  They were already without Zion Williamson, CJ McCollum, Jordan Hawkins and Dejounte Murray.  Those are their top 6 leading scorers this season that they will be without tonight.  Mercy.

The Pelicans are 4-11 SU & 4-11 ATS this season and it is getting worse before it gets better.  The Pelicans are 1-8 SU & 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall with their lone win coming against a Nuggets team that was without Jokic and Gordon.  Five of their eight losses have come by 15 points or more, including their 41-point loss at Dallas last night.

Now the Pelicans will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and won't have Ingram and Murphy, who combined for 36 of their 91 points in that 132-91 loss to the Mavericks last night.  This is literally a G-League team right now with the players they are putting on the court.

I know since I released this play the Cavaliers didn't get the best injury news with Darius Garland out due to rest.  But they should still have Donovan Mitchell, Jarrett Allen and Evan Mobley on the court, and they'll have more than enough firepower to beat the Pelicans by 15-plus.

I originally wasn't going to take the Cavaliers because of the spot off their first loss of the season to the Celtics by 3 last night.  But teams who had a 12-game or more winning streak snapped are 43-26-2 ATS in their next game, and teams that had a 14-game or more winning streak snapped are 27-10 ATS in their next game.  Bet the Cavaliers Wednesday.

20* NBA BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Memphis Grizzlies -3.5

Note: I locked in this play as soon as I saw Nikola Jokic was out.  It would still be a 20* Top Play up to -6.

The Memphis Grizzlies have gotten healthy with the exception of JA Morant, but they have proven they can play without him.  The Grizzlies went 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS before showing they could play with two of the best teams in the West in the Lakers and Warriors on the road.

I was almost more impressed that they only lost by 5 to the Lakers as 7.5-point road dogs and by 5 to the Warriors as 7-point road dogs without Morant than I was with their 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS run before that.  The Grizzlies are now 8-1 ATS in their last nine games overall and they are rested playing just their 4th game in 9 days.

The Grizzlies have absolutely dominated in their last four home games going 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS, beating the Wizards by 24 as 7.5-point favorites, the Lakers by 17 as 4-point favorites, the Bucks by 23 as 6.5-point underdogs and the Nuggets by 15 as 6-point favorites.  I look for them to crush the short-handed Denver Nuggets again tonight.

The Nuggets will be without both Nikola Jokic and Aaron Gordon tonight, and they have no shot of winning this game without these two.  We saw their first game without Jokic they lost 101-94 at New Orleans as 2-point favorites.  And that's a Pelicans team that is missing more key players to injury than any team in the NBA right now.

The Nuggets went on to lose 105-90 at Memphis last time out.  And the Grizzlies called off the dogs in the 4th quarter sitting their starters after a 20-point lead entering the final period.  Normally I'd be worried about a letdown for a team like Memphis in this spot, but not with the NBA Cup on the line.  The Grizzlies are motivated to win the NBA Cup and with point differential being a tiebreaker, I expect them to keep their foot on the gas for four quarters and try to run it up.  Bet the Grizzlies Tuesday.

20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Hornets/Nets OVER 220.5

This is a pretty low total for an NBA Cup game where both the Charlotte Hornets and Brooklyn Nets will be keeping their foot on the gas for four quarters knowing that point differential matters for tiebreakers.  I would like this OVER 220.5 even if that wasn't a factor, but it's certainly a factor tonight.

The Hornets have to go more small ball right now without C Mark Williams and C Nick Richards.  They have gone OVER the total in their last two games coming in combining for 229 points with the Bucks and 242 points with the Cavaliers.

The Nets also have to go more small ball right now without C Nic Claxton and without fellow C Day'Ron Sharpe.  The OVER is 3-1 in Nets last four games overall including 253 combined points with the Celtics and 246 combined points with the Knicks, which was a NBA Cup game.

The Nets and Hornets have combined for at least 229 points in six of their last nine meetings. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* Cavs/Celtics TNT ANNIHILATOR on Cleveland +5.5

The Cleveland Cavaliers are 15-0 SU & 11-4 ATS this season and dodging letdown spots left and right.  It's safe to say they won't be having a letdown tonight considering the Celtics knocked them out of the playoffs last year.  They want to make a statement tonight and prove they can beat the defending champs.

The Cavaliers were ravaged by injuries in the playoffs last year playing without both Mitchell and Allen by the end of the series.  But they are much healthier now with Mitchell, Allen, Mobley and Garland all playing tonight.  That's one of the best quartets in the NBA and it's a big reason the Cavaliers are 15-0 right now.

It's also due to the change in philosophy with head coach Kenny Atkinson, who has transformed the Cavaliers into the league's top-ranked offense, even ahead of the Celtics.  They are playing faster and shooting more 3-pointers and the ball isn't sticking in Mitchell's hands like it used to.

Boston is just 2-4 ATS in its last six games overall with some very alarming performances.  They Celtics lost outright to the Hawks as 16-point home dogs and needed OT to beat the Raptors by 3 as 16.5-point favorites in their last two home games.  I just think this team is going through the motions after winning the title, and although they will be motivated tonight, they won't be as motivated as Cleveland.  The Cavaliers are the better team right now and they'll prove it tonight.  Bet the Cavaliers Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Cleveland State/Minnesota UNDER 133.5

Minnesota is 4-0 UNDER in its four games this season going for 137, 132, 105 and 115 combined points with its four opponents.  What makes the Gophers a dead nuts UNDER team is that they rank 360th in adjusted tempo including 353rd in average possession length on offense.

Now Minnesota faces another dead nuts UNDER team in Cleveland State, which 3-0 to the UNDER in its last three games.  The Vikings rank 333rd in average possession length on offense.  So neither team is looking to run, and both are much better defensively than they are on offense.  This game will be played at a snail's pace tonight.  Bet the UNDER in this game Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on Ohio State -24.5

I like the spot for the Ohio State Buckeyes tonight.  They suffered their first loss of the season on the road at Texas A&M last time out, and they'll come back highly motivated for a victory at home tonight.

The Buckeyes have played a tough schedule as they also beat Texas in their opener 80-72 as 2-point dogs on a neutral in Vegas.  They followed it up with a 81-47 blasting of Youngstown State as 19-point favorites in their lone home game this season.  That 34-point win looks really good when you consider Youngstown State beat Chicago State by 20 and took Syracuse to double-OT in its other two games.

Evansville is rebuilding with just one starter back from last year, and the results have been ugly for the Purple Aces this season.  They are 1-3 SU & 0-3 ATS losing by 17 at North Texas as 13.5-point dogs, by 17 at Middle Tennessee as 11-point dogs and by 11 at home to Radford as 4-point favorites.  Radford lost by 40 at Pittsburgh.

This will be Evansville's toughest test of the season against a motivated Buckeyes team coming off a loss.  I don't expect it to go well for the Purple Aces tonight.  Bet Ohio State Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on SIU-Edwardsville +4

SIU-Edwardsville is one of the most underrated teams in the country.  The Cougars are 4-2 SU & 4-1 ATS this season with both losses coming on the road to Indiana and Illinois, who are two of the best teams in the country.  They even covered in a 19-point loss at Indiana as 27.5-point dogs.

The Cougars have handled everyone else winning 95-42 over FCS Westminister, 77-72 as 6-point dogs at Indiana State, 79-60 as 2.5-point dogs at Western Michigan and 76-58 as 5.5-point favorites over Canisius on a neutral.  Those are some very impressive results.

Green Bay is a rebuilding team under first-year head coach Doug Gottlieb, the former commentator who I never thought would be a head coach.  It hasn't gone well for Gottlieb and the Phoenix in the early going.

The Phoenix are 1-3 SU this season and while two losses came on the road to Providence by 14 and to Oklahoma State by 13, those aren't two of the better power conference teams.  They also lost by 14 at home to St. Thomas, which looks really bad when you consider St. Thomas lost by 9 to Oklahoma State and by 15 at Arizona State.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet SIU-Edwardsville Tuesday.

15* NBA Monday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Rockets/Bucks OVER 224

Both the Houston Rockets and Milwaukee Bucks rank in the top half of the league in pace.  The Rockets are playing noticeably faster recently and it's paying off as they went for 143 points with the Bulls last night and 125 with the Clippers the game before.

But a big reason I'm on this OVER is because the Bucks get Damian Lillard back from injury tonight, and Giannis Antetokounmpo is healthy as well.  The Bucks are much more of an OVER team when these two are healthy because they are one of the toughest duos to stop in the NBA.

The Bucks and Rockets have combined for at least 228 points in eight of their last 10 meetings, making for an 8-2 system backing the OVER pertaining to this 224-point total.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* NBA Eastern Conference TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Bulls/Pistons OVER 233.5

The Chicago Bulls are a dead nuts OVER team.  They ranks 1st in pace and 25th in defensive rating.  The Bulls and their opponents have combined for at least 232 points in six consecutive games, including 238 or more five times.

The Detroit Pistons just scored 124 points against the Wizards last night after calling off the dogs in the 4th quarter in a blowout.  The Bulls just allowed 143 points to the Rockets last night in a blowout.  So while both teams will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back, both should still be pretty fresh considering no starter for either team played more than 30 minutes.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* Cal/USC BTN Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 152.5

California is playing fast ranking 52nd in adjusted tempo this season.  They combined with Bakersfield for 159 points, Cal Poly for 164 points and Vanderbilt for 154 points.  This total of 152.5 is pretty low for a game involving Cal right now.

That's especially the case when you consider USC head coach Eric Musselmen has the Trojans playing fast as well.  They rank 82nd in adjusted tempo and are coming off a 98-95 thriller with UT-Arlington for 193 combined points in regulation.

The last three meetings between Cal and USC have seen 157, 156 and 160 combined points.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* NBA Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Brooklyn Nets +9.5

I love the spot for the Brooklyn Nets tonight.  They get a chance at quick revenge after losing 124-122 as 8.5-point road dogs to the Knicks on Friday.  Now they come back as 9.5-point dogs in the rematch, and this number should have been adjusted down instead of up for the spot.

The Nets have been one of the best covering teams in the NBA this season going 10-3 ATS in their 13 games.  They have been competitive in almost all their losses, and asking the Knicks to win this game by double-digits to beat us is asking too much.

The Knicks lack depth this season as they have been without Achiuwa and Robinson all season.  Towns and McBride are both questionable.  I like the Nets even if both guys go, and this line will crash if Towns doesn't play.  Bet the Nets Sunday.

15* NBA Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Hawks/Blazers OVER 231.5

The Atlanta Hawks are a dead nuts OVER team.  They are 11-2 OVER in their 13 games this season with 232 or more combined points in 12 of their 13 games.  That makes for a 12-1 system backing the OVER pertaining to this 231.5-point total.

What makes the Hawks are dead nuts OVER team is ranking 3rd in pace and 25th in defensive rating.  They play fast and they play no defense.  They are getting healthier and showing they have a deep team scoring 117 or more points in four of their last five games.

The Blazers also like to play faster this season ranking 9th in pace and 20th in defensive rating.  They are coming off a low-scoring game against the Timberwolves which is keeping this total lower than it should be.  It was the 2nd meeting in 2 days with the Timberwolves, who they combined for 230 points with the night before.  Minnesota shot 7-of-39 (18%) from 3-point range which is why it was so low-scoring.

Both teams are fresh and ready to run.  The Blazers have had the last three days off, while the Hawks will be playing just their 2nd game in 5 days.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* NBA Sunday Night BLOWOUT on Memphis Grizzlies -2

The Memphis Grizzlies have gotten healthy with the exception of JA Morant, but they have proven they can play without him.  The Grizzlies went 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS before showing they could play with two of the best teams in the West in the Lakers and Warriors on the road.

I was almost more impressed that they only lost by 5 to the Lakers as 7.5-point road dogs and by 5 to the Warriors as 7-point road dogs without Morant than I was with their 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS run before that.  Now they are highly motivated for a win coming back home, and they are rested playing just their 3rd game in 7 days.

The Grizzlies have absolutely dominated in their last three home games, beating the Wizards by 24 as 7.5-point favorites, the Lakers by 17 as 4-point favorties and the Bucks by 23 as 6.5-point underdogs.  I look for them to crush the short-handed Denver Nuggets tonight.

The Nuggets will be without both Nikola Jokic and Aaron Gordon tonight, and they have no shot of winning this game without these two.  We saw their first game without Jokic they lost 101-94 at New Orleans as 2-point favorites.  And that's a Pelicans team that is missing more key players to injury than any team in the NBA right now.  Bet the Grizzlies Sunday.

20* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Utah Jazz +11

The Sacramento Kings are in one of the worst spots I've seen this season, and given the spot, they should not be double-digit favorites over the Utah Jazz tonight.  This line is way off in my opinion.

Sacramento is coming off a 130-126 (OT) loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves last night.  De'Aaron Fox played 44 minutes and scored 60 points and it still wasn't enough.  Keegan Murray played 45, Trey Lyles 41 and Sabonis 39 minutes.

These guys had to play such big minutes because the Kings are without DeMar DeRozan and arguably the league's best 6th man in Malik Monk right now.  That's going to make this back-to-back spot even more difficult on the Kings considering they are so short-handed right now.

Not only is it the 2nd of a back-to-back off an OT game, but the Kings will also be playing their 5th game in 7 days and their 10th game in 16 days.  Mercy.  The Jazz are 3-2 SU & 3-2 ATS in their last three games and playing much better since getting healthy. 

They upset the Mavs as 8-point home dogs, the Spurs as 6.5-point road dogs and the Bulls as 7.5-point road dogs.  They also only lost to the Suns by 8 at home during this stretch.  Utah will be playing just its 3rd game in 7 days and is the much fresher team to say the least.  Bet the Jazz Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Night BLOWOUT on UC-Irvine -16

UC-Irvine is one of the best mid-major teams in the country.  The Anteaters went 24-10 (17-3 Big West) last season and return four starters from that team that all averaged at least 9.0 points per game.

The Anteaters are 3-0 SU & 2-0 ATS in lined games this season absolutely crushing the two spreads.  They beat Chapman 82-52 in their opener, then followed it up with a 66-51 win at Loyola-Marymount as 1.5-point favorites and a 80-60 win at Northern Iowa as 3.5-point dogs, covering the spread by a combined 37 points in those two games.

Now the Anteaters take a big step down in class here against a rebuilding Pepperdine team.  The Waves went 13-20 last season and now have a first-year head coach in Ed Schilling.  They lose all five starters from last season including three elite scorers in Ajayi (17.2 PPG, 9.9 RPG), Mallette (15.8 PPG) and Porter (16.2 PPG.  Schilling must replace 11 players who accounted for 2,294 of the 2,403 points Pepperdine scores last year.

After a 77-64 win over Western Illinois, the Waves got blasted 94-76 as 8.5-point dogs at UC-San Diego.  That is another team from the Big West, but UC-San Diego isn't on UC-Irvine's level.  Bet UC-Irvine Saturday.

20* NBA Friday Late-Night BAILOUT on Minnesota Timberwolves ML -120

The Minnesota Timberwolves will be highly motivated for a victory coming coming off three consecutive SU losses.  They are fully healthy tonight, and I expect them to respond in a big way with a road win at Sacramento.

The Kings just lost DeMar DeRozan (22.9 PPG) to injury with a back injury in their last game and he is doubtful tonight.  They are also without arguably the best 6th man in the entire NBA in Malik Monk (12.6 PPG).  I don't give them much of a chance of being competitive tonight without these two.

Home-court advantage has meant nothing in this series.  The road team is actually 7-0 SU & 7-0 ATS in the last seven meetings.  Minnesota has won outright in four straight trips to Sacramento, including a 117-115 win on October 24th earlier this season.  DeRozan had 26 points and Monk 17 in that game.  That's a lot of production they will be missing.  Bet the Timberwolves on the Money Line Friday.

15* NBA Friday Undervalued Underdog on Washington Wizards +9.5

The Atlanta Hawks have no business being 9.5-point favorites against anyone.  They are 5-7 SU & 4-8 ATS this season with two of those losses coming to tonight's opponent in the Washington Wizards.  They lost 121-119 as 7.5-point home favorites to the Wizards on October 30th and 133-120 as 5.5-point road favorites to the Wizards on October 30th.

No question the Hawks will be out for revenge, but asking them to win this game by double-digits to beat us is asking too much.  The Wizards just got one of their best players in Kyle Kuzma back from injury and have been more competitive with him in the lineup.  Kuzma had 25 points in that first meeting with the Hawks and didn't play in the 2nd, but the Wizards had seven different players score in double figures to make up for it.  Bet the Wizards Friday.

15* Lakers/Spurs ESPN ANNIHILATOR on San Antonio +3.5

The Los Angeles Lakers have huge home/road splits this season.  They are 6-0 SU at home but just 1-4 SU on the road with their lone win coming by 6 at hapless Toronto.  They lost by 4 at Phoenix, by 24 at Cleveland, by 12 at Detroit and by 17 at Memphis.

The Spurs also have big home/road splits this season.  The Spurs are 5-2 SU at home but just 1-4 SU on the road.  They are 4-1 SU in their last five home games with their lone loss coming by a single point.  They won by 9 over Washington, by 20 over Sacramento, by 13 over Portland and by 10 over Minnesota.

The Spurs are 3-0 ATS in their last three meetings with the Lakers.  They have the answer for Anthony Davis that most teams don't in Wembenyama, who went for 50 points last game.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet the Spurs Friday.

20* NBA DOG OF THE WEEK on Chicago Bulls +11

The Chicago Bulls are 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS since getting their best player in Zach LaVine back from injury.  They are now as healthy as any team in the NBA and it's starting to show.

The Bulls upset the Hawks 125-113 as 2.5-point road dogs and upset the Knicks 124-123 as 8.5-point road dogs.  Their lone loss came 119-113 as 8-point home dogs to Cleveland, and now they get a shot at quick revenge on the Cavaliers but are catching 11 points in the rematch.  This number is too high.

Cleveland is 13-0 SU this season, and with that perfect record comes expectations from the oddsmakers and the betting public that are tough to live up to.  We've seen that play out as the Cavaliers are 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall escaping with close wins over the Nets by 5, the Bulls by 6 and the 76ers by 8.  If they win tonight, it won't be by more than 11 points.  Bet the Bulls Friday.

15* CBB Friday Night BLOWOUT on Penn State -7

Penn State will be one of the most improved teams in the Big Ten this season.  They went 16-17 (9-11 Big Ten) in Mike Rhoades' first season on the job last season.  Rhoades brings back three starters from that team and added help on the wing and up front.

The Nittany Lions are 3-0 SU & 2-1 ATS this season beating Binghamton 108-66 as 20.5-point favorites, UMBC 103-54 as 22.5-point favorites and St. Francis PA 92-62 as 31.5-point favorites.  Returning starters Hicks (14.3 PPG, 5.7 RPG), Baldwin (12.7 PPG, 6.0 APG) and Kern (7.3 PPG) have made a big impact.  Returning role players Dunn (12.7 PPG) and Johnson (11.3 PPG) have stepped up their games.  And NIU transfer Niederhauser (15.0 PPG, 7.7 RPG) has been the most impressive of the bunch.

Virginia Tech is in rough shape in Mike Young's 6th season on the job.  The Hokies lost all five starters from last year and return only four scholarship players.  Virginia Tech is 3-0 SU but 1-2 ATS and has been far less impressive than Penn State.  They won 83-60 over Delaware State as 18-point favorites, won 93-74 over USC Upstate as 24-point favorites and won 58-52 over Winthrop as 9-point favorites.

I'll gladly side with this veteran Nittany Lions team that has dominated the competition with three wins by 30 points or more over this inexperienced Hokies team whose three wins have all come by 23 points or fewer.  Bet Penn State Friday.

15* NBA Friday Night Line Mistake on Miami Heat +5

The Miami Heat are undervalued right now because they are without Jimmy Butler.  This is one of the deepest teams in the NBA and they can afford to be without him, especially with one of the best head coaches in the league in Eric Spoelstra guiding them.

Miami will be highly motivated for a victory tonight after losing four of its last five games.  But three of those losses came by 1, 2 and 3 points so it's not like they haven't been competitive without Butler.  Getting 5 points with the Heat tonight is too much.

That's especially the case when you could argue the Pacers are dealing with more injuries than the Heat right now.  Indiana is without key scorers Nembhard and Nesmith, and they are lacking depth down low without both Wiseman and Jackson.

Miami has lost just once in its last nine meetings with Indiana by more than 3 points.  That makes for an 8-1 system backing the Heat pertaining to this 5-point spread.  Bet the Heat Friday.

20* Mavs/Jazz NBA TV No-Brainer on OVER 231.5

The Utah Jazz are a dead nuts OVER team when fully healthy with Markkanen, Sexton, Collins, George and Clarkson on the floor at the same time.  They are a very good offensive team with these guys healthy, and they are one of the worst defensive teams in the NBA.

The Jazz rank 7th in pace and 27th in defensive rating this season.  They are going to be without C Walker Kessler, who is actually one of their better defenders.  They will have to go more small ball with Collins playing the center position, making them even more of an OVER team tonight.

The Mavericks are playing faster this season ranking 12th in pace.  They added more shooting with Klay Thompson, but he isn't the defender he once was.  And defense has been optional for them of late going OVER the total in their last two games losing 120-117 at Golden State for 237 combined points and falling 122-120 at Denver for 242 combined points.

The Jazz are coming off 232 combined points with the Suns last time out at home and that's a Suns team that was missing Kevin Durant.  This total of 231.5 has been set too low given the current state of these two teams.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* NBA Western Conference TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Timberwolves/Blazers UNDER 221

Familiarity favors defense and low-scoring games.  Not only will this be the 3rd meeting between the Blazers and Timberwolves already this season, but it will be the 2nd meeting in 2 days after these two just played last night.

Portland upset Minnesota 122-108 last night thanks to some lights out shooting that is not repeatable.  The Blazers shot 51% as a team including 18-of-32 (56%) from 3-point range.  Minnesota shot 51% as a team as well.  They also combined for 39-of-43 (90.1%) from the FT line.   Let's just say those shooting numbers are unlikely to happen again.

That game was played at a very slow pace as these are two of the slower teams in the NBA.  Now Portland lost starting PG Anfernee Simons to injury last night, and they are going to have to rely even more on defense without him moving forward.  This is one of the worst offensive teams in the NBA without Simons.  Be the UNDER in this game Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Washington Wizards +10

I'm not sure what world the San Antonio Spurs should be favored by double-digits against any team in the NBA, but it certainly isn't this one.  The Spurs are still one of the worst teams in the NBA, and I'll gladly fade them here laying double-digits to the Washington Wizards.

It's time to 'buy low' on the Wizards, who are 0-5 SU & 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall against a brutal schedule of Miami, Golden State, Memphis, Orlando and Houston.  They finally get to take a big step down in class tonight against the Spurs.

The Wizards just got Kyle Kuzma back from injury in their last game at Houston and he came through with 18 points in a 15-point loss.  Having Kuzma and Jordan Poole healthy and on the court at the same time moving forward will make the Wizards much more competitive.  This game will go down to the wire tonight.  Bet the Wizards Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Chicago Bulls +8.5

The Chicago Bulls got their best player in Zach LaVine back from injury two games ago and have played two of their best games of the season since.  They upset Atlanta 125-113 as 2.5-point road underdogs and nearly handed the Cavaliers their first loss of the season, falling 119-113 as 8-point home dogs.

The Bulls had yesterday off and have a big rest advantage over the Knicks as a result.  The Knicks will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a win in Philadelphia last night.  All five starters played at least 35 minutes for the Knicks last night, and they have one of the worst benches in the NBA so their starters are forced to play big minutes again this season.  They should not be favored by 8.5 points tonight given the tough rest spot.  Bet the Bulls Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Night BLOWOUT on Oklahoma City Thunder -14.5

No team has been hit harder by injuries than the New Orleans Pelicans.  They are without three starters in Dejounte Murray, CJ McCollum and Zion Williamson.  They are also without three key contributors off the bench in Jordan Hawkins, Herbert Jones and Jose Alvarado.

It's no wonder the Pelicans are just 1-8 SU in their last nine games and 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games.  Six of the eight losses came by 15 points or more, so we aren't asking much of the Thunder to cover this 14.5-point spread tonight.  The Pelicans even had some of these players healthy during this stretch, but now they have hit rock bottom in the injury department.

The Thunder did lose Chet Holmgren, but they have one of the deepest benches in the NBA and will be just fine without him in the short-term.  The Thunder are 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings with the Pelicans.  Bet the Thunder Wednesday.

20* NBA Eastern Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Brooklyn Nets +8.5

The Brooklyn Nets are 9-2 ATS this season and one of the most underrated teams in the NBA.  They just lost 108-104 (OT) at Boston as 13.5-point underdogs on November 8th less than a week ago.  Now they are out for revenge here catching 8.5 points in the rematch.

The spot really favors the Nets not only because of the revenge factor, but also because of their rest advantage.  They had yesterday off and will be playing just their 4th game in 8 days.

Meanwhile, the Celtics will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after their 117-116 home loss to the Atlanta Hawks last night.  Tatum played 37 minutes, White 38 and Brown 36 last night.  Both Tatum and Brown were banged up recently and missed time, and I wouldn't be surprised if one or both sit tonight.

Either way, I think the Nets have what it takes to stay within the number against the Celtics for the 2nd time in 6 days.  Boston is grossly overvalued after winning the title last year.  Bet the Nets Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Night BLOWOUT on St. John's -24

In Rick Pitino I trust.  He led the St. John's Red Storm to a 20-13 season in his first year on the job last season and they were snubbed from the NCAA Tournament.  So they have been motivated all offseason, and reinforcements are on the way.

One of the biggest pulls of the portal was bringing Kadary Richmond in from rival Seton Hall.  Utah transfer Deivon Smith (5 triple-doubles last year) and five-star freshman Simeon Wilcher will join Richmond in the backcourt.

RJ Luis (10.9 PPG, 4.6 RPG) is the leading returning scorer and will lead them in the frontcourt.  North Texas transfer Aaron Scott is a great two-way player.  They have great size with 7-1 USC transfer Vince Iwuchukwu along with freshmen Khaman Maker (7-1) and Ruben Prey (6-10).

St. John's blasted Fordham 92-60 as 19.5-point favorites in their opener, covering the spread by 12.5 points.  They showed off their depth with nine players scoring at least 5 points.  That's a Fordham team that went on to upset Seton Hall 57-56 as 10.5-point dogs, so that result looks even better now.

The Red Storm actually trailed Quinnipiac 39-35 at halftime last game.  They got a ripping from Pitino at halftime and responded outscoring Quinnipiac 61-34 after intermission, actually covering the 20-point spread to boot in a 96-73 victory.  That comeback effort shows what the Red Storm are capable of when locked in.

I expect the Red Storm to be locked in from the jump tonight against Wagner, which lost 75-52 as 17-point dogs at Rutgers in their opener.  That's a Rutgers team that struggled to put away St. Peter's 75-65 in their next game as 16.5-point favorites, so that result looks even worse now.  Wagner lost three starters who all averaged double-digits scoring last year.  Bet St. John's Wednesday.

15* NBA Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Suns/Jazz OVER 225

The Utah Jazz are a dead nuts OVER team.  They rank 6th in pace and 24th in defensive rating.  They are fully healthy right now so they are a much better offensive team when that's the case.

The Suns won't mind keeping up with the Jazz in a shootout tonight.  The Suns have gone with more pace and more 3-pointers this season under first-year head coach Mike Budenholzer.

The Suns and their opponents have combined for at least 227 points in four straight games.  The OVER is 4-0 in the last four meetings with 230 or more combined points in all four meetings, including 244 or more in three of them.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* Duke/Kentucky ESPN ANNIHILATOR on OVER 160.5

Kentucky is a dead nuts OVER team with first-year head coach Mark Pope running the show.  He brings over his pace and space philosophy from BYU, and it is already paying dividends at Kentucky.

The Wildcats rank 25th in adjusted tempo, 20th in average offensive possession length, and 17th in offensive rating.  They went OVER the total in each of their first two games beating Wright State 103-62 for 165 combined points and Bucknell 100-72 for 172 combined points.

Duke is absolutely loaded at the guard position this season and is playing faster than last year because of it.  The Blue Devils rank 3rd in offensive rating this season and 42nd on average length of offensive possessions.  They put up 100 points on Army and 96 points on Maine in their first two games.  This game has shootout written all over it.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* CBB DOG OF THE WEEK on South Dakota +23

This is the rare situation where Iowa and South Dakota have two common opponents already to compare results to.  And after looking at those results, it's clearly there's value on South Dakota +23 at Iowa tonight.

South Dakota beat Southern 93-79 as 2.5-point home favorites and East Texas A&M 91-83 as 10.5-point home favorites.  The Coyotes outscored those two teams by a combined 22 points.

Iowa beat East Texas A&M 89-67 as 30-point home favorites and Southern 89-74 as 26-point home favorites.  The Hawkeyes outscored those two teams by a combined 37 points.

I just don't like Iowa's roster this season, while I like the direction of this South Dakota program entering head coach Eric Peterson's third year on the job.  He brings back three starters and several key reserves.  Two experienced guard transfers in Forte and Bullock join the team this season, as do the Bruns brothers, Paul and Isaac.  All four are making significant contributions already as all four are averaging double-digits scoring.  Bet South Dakota Tuesday.

15* NBA Monday Total DOMINATOR on Cavs/Bulls OVER 237

The Chicago Bulls have seen a shift in philosophy this season to play faster and shoot more 3's.  The Bulls are taking it to the extreme ranking 1st in the NBA in pace this season.  The Bulls are just 19th in defensive rating, so playing faster has hurt them defensively.

The Cleveland Cavaliers have seen the same shift in philosophy under Kenny Atkinson.  They are playing faster and shooting more 3's.  They rank 9th in pace and 1st in offensive rating.  This has the makings of an extremely high-scoring game tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* NBA Monday Undervalued Underdog on Chicago Bulls +8.5

The Cleveland Cavaliers are 11-0 SU & 9-2 ATS this season and the lone remaining unbeaten team in the NBA.  With that perfect record comes expectations from oddsmakers and the betting public that are very hard to live up to.

The Cavaliers are starting to lack motivation because of their fast start and are starting to feel 'fat and happy.  We have seen that play out in recent games as they have escaped with a couple close wins.  They only beat the Nets by 5 at home as 12.5-point favorites and the Bucks by 2 as 8.5-point home favorites.

The Bulls just got their best player in Zach LaVine back from injury and upset the Hawks 125-113 as 2.5-point road dogs last time out.  The Bulls are now fully healthy with the exception of Lonzo Ball.  They are more than capable of competing with the Cavaliers now.

The Bulls are 2-0 ATS in their last two meetings with the Cavaliers only losing by 3 as 9-point road dogs and upsetting the Cavaliers by 9 as 5.5-point home dogs.  We will 'sell high' on unbeaten Cleveland tonight.  Bet the Bulls Monday.

15* NBA Monday Night BLOWOUT on Brooklyn Nets -1.5

The Brooklyn Nets are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall and one of the most underrated teams in the NBA this season.  They took both the Cavaliers and the Celtics to the wire on the road in their last two games to show their potential.  They lost 108-104 (OT) as 13.5-point dogs at Boston and 105-100 as 12.5-point dogs at Cleveland, and those are arguably the two best teams in the NBA.

Now the Nets get to take on the most injury-ravaged team in the NBA in the New Orleans Pelicans, who are 1-7 SU & 1-7 ATS in their last eight games overall largely due to all these injuries.  They are without three starters right now in Zion Williamson, CJ McCollum and Dejounte Murray.  They are also without two key role players in Herbert Jones and Jordan Hawkins.

With the Pelicans basically the worst team in the NBA right now in their current state given all their injuries, I'll gladly fade them again tonight.  The Nets should be favored by more.  Bet the Nets Monday.

15* Warriors/Thunder NBA ANNIHILATOR on OVER 227

Two elite offensive teams that both like to play fast square off tonight when the Golden State Warriors visit the Oklahoma City Thunder.  The Thunder rank 4th in the NBA in pace this season while the Warriors rank 9th.  The Warriors rank 4th in offensive rating as well including 1st in shooting percentage and 4th in scoring.

The OVER is 8-0 in the last eight meetings between the Warriors and Thunder with 234 or more combined points at the end of regulation in all eight meetings.  Enough said.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* NBA Non-Conference TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Heat/Timberwolves OVER 218

The Miami Heat lost Jimmy Butler to an ankle injury in the 1st quarter of their 135-122 loss at Denver last time out.  The Heat want to be more of a pace and space team this season, and sometimes the ball sticks when Butler is on the floor.  That slows down the tempo of the game.

We really saw it speed up against the Nuggets when he was off the floor for the remainder of the game.  The Heat shot 43 3-pointers in the loss.  They were much worse off defensively without Butler because he is one of the best defenders in the league.  So they are a dead nuts OVER team in their current start, and that will be even more of the case if they get bench player Jamie Jaquez back from injury today.

Minnesota looks much more like an OVER team this season.  The Timberwolves are 5-1 OVER in their last six games overall with 229 or more combined points in four of those six games.  They went for 229 points with the Blazers at home last time out and 254 combined points with the Bulls in their previous game.  Anthony Edwards is going off, and newcomers Julius Randle and Dante DiVincenzo are fitting in nicely.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* NBA Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Bulls/Hawks OVER 237.5

The Atlanta Hawks are a dead nuts OVER team again this season.  They rank 3rd in pace and 25th in defensive rating.  Teams that play fast and play no defense always trend to the OVER, and this is a pretty low total for a game involving the Hawks right now.

The OVER is 9-1 in all Atlanta games this season with 232 or more combined points in nine of their 10 games.  It should be more of the same tonight against the Chicago Bulls, who have seen a shift in philosophy this season to play faster and shoot more 3's.

The Bulls are taking it to the extreme ranking 1st in the NBA in pace this season, so these are two of the top three teams in pace.  The Bulls are just 20th in defensive rating.  There is a good chance they get Zach LaVine back from injury tonight, but I like this total either way.  Chicago went for 256 combined points with Minnesota without him last time out.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* NBA GAME OF THE WEEK on Chicago Bulls +3

The Chicago Bulls are in a great spot tonight.  They had yesterday off and there's a good chance they get Zach LaVine back from injury.  The Bulls will be highly motivated for a win off four consecutive losses.

I like their chances of getting a win tonight against a tired, banged up Atlanta Hawks team.  The Hawks will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back, their 5th game in 7 days and their 9th game in 14 days.  Trae Young played 41 minutes last night in a 122-121 road loss at Detroit.  James Johnson played 37 and Dyson Daniels 38 minutes.  They won't have anything left in the tank for the Bulls tonight.

The Bulls rank 1st in pace this season and will test Atlanta's tired legs.  The Hawks are once again a terrible defensive team this season ranking 25th in defensive rating.  The Bulls should be able to get what they want, and I think the Hawks will be affected most defensively with their fatigue.  Chicago is 5-2 SU & 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings.  Bet the Bulls Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Afternoon BLOWOUT on St. John's -20.5

In Rick Pitino I trust.  He led the St. John's Red Storm to a 20-13 season in his first year on the job last season and they were snubbed from the NCAA Tournament.  So they have been motivated all offseason, and reinforcements are on the way.

One of the biggest pulls of the portal was bringing Kadary Richmond in from rival Seton Hall.  Utah transfer Deivon Smith (5 triple-doubles last year) and five-star freshman Simeon Wilcher will join Richmond in the backcourt.

RJ Luis (10.9 PPG, 4.6 RPG) is the leading returning scorer and will lead them in the frontcourt.  North Texas transfer Aaron Scott is a great two-way player.  They have great size with 7-1 USC transfer Vince Iwuchukwu along with freshmen Khaman Maker (7-1) and Ruben Prey (6-10).

St. John's blasted Fordham 92-60 as 19.5-point favorites in their opener, covering the spread by 12.5 points.  They showed off their depth with nine players scoring at least 5 points.

Quinnipiac had a troubling 88-62 loss at Yale as 8-point underdogs in their opener, failing to cover the spread by 18 points.  I don't give them much of a shot of keeping this game competitive in what will likely be their toughest test of the season today.  Bet St. John's Saturday.

15* Tennessee/Louisville CBB Early ANNIHILATOR on Louisville -2

Louisville will likely be the most improved team in the country this season after going just 8-24 last season.  New head coach Pat Kelsey has injected life in the program and the athletics department relies on men's basketball revenue, so he had plenty of money to spend in the transfer portal.

Six upperclassmen transfers who averaged at least 9 points per game this season compromise Louisville's backcourt.  Kasean Pryor was the catalyst to USF's surprising season last year and now he's at Louisville.  James Scott follows Kelsey over from Charleston along with Reyne Smith and Kobe Rodgers.

The Cardinals blasted Morehead State 93-45 as 22-point favorites in their opener, covering the spread by 26 points.  They take on a Tennessee team that is down this season after losing four starters.  The lone returning starter is PG Zakai Zeigler, who isn't a great scorer.

Tennessee was unimpressive in its 80-64 win over Gardner-Webb as 27.5-point favorites in the opener, failing to cover the spread by 11.5 points.  Zeigler went 0-for-6 from 3-point range in the loss.  There's just too much on his shoulders here in the early going.  Bet Louisville Saturday.

15* NBA Friday UPSET SHOCKER on Miami Heat +3

The Denver Nuggets have taken a big step back this season with all they lost in the offseason, plus injuries.  The Nuggets are 5-3 SU & 3-5 ATS this season with three of their wins coming in OT against two of the worst teams in the NBA in the Raptors (twice) and Nets.  Another win came against the lowly Jazz.

Now the Nuggets are without two starters in Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon, and they already were lacking a bench.  They managed to upset the Thunder 124-122 as 7-point home dogs without these two on Wednesday.  But that makes this a big letdown spot for them after handing the Thunder their first loss of the season.

Now they go from 7-point home dogs to 3-point home favorites over the Heat, and that's too big of an adjustment.  The Nuggets won't shoot nearly as well as they did against the Thunder without Murray and Gordon for a second consecutive game.

They face a Miami Heat team that will be highly motivated for a victory off two straight losses by a combined 4 points to the Suns and Kings, two of the better teams in the West.  They lost at the buzzer to the Kings and couldn't stop Kevin Durant late.  There's a good chance they get Jaime Jaquez back from an illness tonight and will be at full strength with the exception of Kevin Love.  They should not be underdogs to the Nuggets missing two of their three best players tonight.  Bet the Heat Friday.

15* NBA Friday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Washington Wizards +7

I love the spot for the Washington Wizards tonight.  They are the freshest team in the NBA having only played six games thus far while the Memphis Grizzlies have already played nine games.  The Wizards come in on three days' rest having the last three days off to rest and prepare for Memphis.

Memphis has no business being a 7-point favorite in this game when you look at their injury report.  The Grizzlies are without three starters in JA Morant, Marcus Smart and Desmond Bane.  They are also without two key role players in Vince Williams and GG Jackson, and John Konchar is questionable.

The Grizzlies are a tired, short-handed team playing their 6th game in 10 days.  They are coming off a huge win over the Lakers, but Morant got hurt late in that game and will be out for this one.  That makes this a letdown spot for them as well.  Keep in mind the Grizzlies have already lost to the Nets twice this season, and they'll let the Wizards hang around for four quarters in this one.  Bet the Wizards Friday.

15* CBB Friday Night Line Mistake on Santa Clara -5

Arizona State lost 103-47 to Duke in the exhibition season.  That was a sign of things to come for the Sun Devils, who are in rough shape this season.  That was also evident in their lackluster 55-48 home win over Idaho State as 18-point favorites.  That's an Idaho State team that lost four starters from last year and their leading returning scorer only averaged 7.7 points per game.

Arizona State went 14-18 last season, and Bobby Hurley is squarely on the hot season.  The Sun Devils lost four starters from that team including three double-digit scorers.  Clearly there's not much to like about the replacements with those results against Duke and Idaho State.

Herb Sendek is one of the more underrated coaches in the country.  He led the Broncos to a 20-13 season last year, reaching 20 wins four times in the past five years.  Three starters return in G Adama Alpha-Bal (14.4 PPG), F Johnny O'Neil (11.1 PPG, 5.5 RPG) and F Christoph Tilly (9.4 PPG, 4.5 RPG).  Several key reserves return including Knapper (6.1 PPG), Bryan (8.2 PPG), Tongue (4.7 PPG) and Ensminger (4.1 PPG).  Few teams start the season with as much chemistry as the Broncos.

Santa Clara opened with a 85-78 win as 2-point favorites over St. Louis.  That's a St. Louis team that was getting a lot of hype coming into the season after nabbing Indiana State Josh Schertz and two of his best players from that team in Robbie Avila and Isaiah Swope.  They also brought back Gibson Jimmerson (15.8 PPG), who will be the school's all-time leading scorer in a few games.  It was an impressive result, and now the Broncos take a big step down in class here against the awful ASU.  Bet Santa Clara Friday.

20* CBB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Arkansas State/Alabama OVER 169.5

The Alabama Crimson Tide are the kings of pace and space.  They face another team in Arkansas State tonight that are trying to follow their blueprint with pace and space.  There's going to be a ton of possessions in this game as a result tonight.

Alabama is the No. 2ranked team in the country this season largely because they brought back senior PG Mark Spears (21.5 PPG last year).  They also brought back two more starters in Latrell Wrightsell Jr. (44% 3-pointers in conference) and Grant Nelson (11.9 PPG, 69% 2-pointers).  They added one of the best recruiting classes in the country and are loaded again.  They scored 110 points on UNC-Asheville in their opener.

Bryan Hodgson needed only one seasons to build the best offense in program history as the Red Wolves rannked 61st in offensive efficiency last season at KenPom.  They bring back four starters from that team, and they add in F Kobe Julien from conference rival Louisiana.  Taryn Dodd (12.8 PPG and Derrian Ford (10.4 PPG) form the best backcourt duo in the conference combining for 113 made 3-pointers last season.  They now have the depth to play at an even faster pace this season.

The Red Wolves won a 80-75 shootout with Akron in their opener.  They only shot six free throws and 9-of-30 (30%) from 3-point range as well.  They are due some positive shooting regression in this one, and they will be forced to try and keep pace with the Crimson Tide.  This is going to be a fun game tonight filled with offense.  I'm guessing Alabama tops 100 points again to lead the way to us cashing this OVER 169.5 ticket.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* NBA Friday Undervalued Underdog on Brooklyn Nets +13

The Brooklyn Nets have been one of the most underrated teams in the NBA thus far.  They are 4-4 SU & 6-2 ATS not once really getting blown out.  They have upset wins over the Grizzlies (twice), the Bucks and they took the Nuggets to OT.

I love the spot for the Nets tonight as they come in on three days' rest after having the last three days off.  And while the Nets are pretty healthy right now, they take on a Boston Celtics team that is without two starters in Jalen Brown and Kristaps Porzingis.

The Celtics will be playing their 5th game in 8 days as well so they are the much more tired team.  They showed signs of wearing down last time out losing 118-112 at home to the Warriors as 7-point favorites.  They allowed the Warriors to score on every possession over the final four minutes.  They'll let the Nets hang around tonight.  Bet the Nets Friday.

20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Hawks/Pistons OVER 227.5

The Atlanta Hawks are a dead nuts OVER team again this season.  They rank 3rd in pace and 26th in defensive rating.  Teams that play fast and play no defense always trend to the OVER, and this is a pretty low total for a game involving the Hawks right now.

The OVER is 8-1 in all Atlanta games this season with 232 or more combined points in eight of their nine games.  It should be more of the same tonight against the Detroit Pistons, who will have to go more small ball tonight without the services of C Jalen Duren, who is their most important defender.

The OVER is 6-0-1 in the last seven meetings with 231 or more combined points in all seven meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* CBB Friday Night BLOWOUT on Cincinnati -28.5

The No. 20 Cincinnati Bearcats are in the Top 25 this season to start the year and for good reason.  They brought back four starters from a team that finished 22-15 in the rugged Big 12 in their first season in the best college basketball conference in the country.

Three of their four returning starters averaged double-figures last season, plus they get back 7-footer Aziz Bandaogo (6.6 PPG, 7.4 RPG).  The Bearcats are off to an impressive start crushing Arkansas-Pine Bluff 109-54 as 37-point favorites.

Morehead State went 26-9 last season and made the NCAA Tournament.  But the Eagles lost their head coach in Preston Spradlin and lost four starters from that team.  First-year head coach Jonathan Mattox, a former team manager, has his hands full to say the least.

The Eagles lost five players that combined for 5,191 of the team's 7,000 minutes last season.  This is a complete rebuild, and that was obvious when they lost their opener 93-45 at Louisville as 22-point dogs.  It's going to take the books some time to catch up on just how bad this team really is.  Bet Cincinnati Friday.

20* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Portland Trail Blazers +4

The Portland Trail Blazers are one of the more underrated teams in the NBA in the early going.  They are just 3-5 SU but 5-2-1 ATS including upsetting the Clippers and taking the Suns to the wire on the road.

This is now a great spot for the Blazers as they come in on two days' rest, while the Spurs will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 6th game in 9 days.  They showed signs of wearing down last night in their 127-100 road loss to Houston.

While the Blazers are almost fully healthy, the Spurs remain without PG Tre Jones and they just lost PF Jeremy Sochan (15.4 PPG, 7.7 RPG) to a broken thumb.  SG Devin Vassell (19.5 PPG last year) has yet to make his season debut, so being short-handed makes this tough rest situation even worse.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet the Blazers Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday Night BLOWOUT on Florida -24

The Florida Gators have one of the best head coaches in the country in Todd Golden.  He led them to a 24-12 record in his second season last year and his team is absolutely loaded this season.  This is a fringe Top 25 team.

The Gators return G Walter Clayton Jr. (17.6 PPG last season), G Will Richard (11.4 PPG) and F/C Alex Condon (7.7 PPG, 6.4 RPG).  They add in FAU transfer Alijah Martin (13.1 PPG, 5.9 RPG), Washington State transfer Reucen Chinyelu (4.7 RPG, 5.0 RPG, 1.3 BPG) and Chattanooga transfer Sam Alexis (10.8 PPG, 9.1 RPG, 2.1 BPG).  They also have 7-foot-9 freshman C Oliveir Rioux, the tallest player in the country to bolster their interior defense.

The Gators managed to cover as 11.5-point favorites in a 98-83 win over South Florida despite shooting just 5-of-25 (20%) from 3-point range while the Bulls shot 13-of-27 (48%).  That was an impressive result when you consider how poorly they shot the ball from distance and how great the Bulls shot it.

Jacksonville went 16-17 last season including 5-11 in the Atlantic Sun.  They are expected to be one of the worst teams in the A-Sun again, and it's easy to see why.  They had to grind out a 78-65 win over Division II Trinity Baptist at home in their opener.

Last year in non-conference play, Jacksonville lost by 23 at Xavier, by 51 at Pitt, by 42 at UCF and by 43 at Purdue.  I expect the Gators to make easy work of the Dolphins in this one.  Bet Florida Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Montana State +18

Montana State won the Big Sky Tournament last season and made the NCAA Tournament.  The Bobcats are the class of the Big Sky again this season with all they return.  I think they will give Wisconsin a run for its money tonight.

Montana State returns three starters in Brian Goracke (13.5 PPG), Brandon Walker (13.1 PPG) and Tyler Patterson (8.2 PPG).  They also return their instant offense off the bench in Patrick McMahon (13.0 PPG), plus two other key reserves.

Wisconsin loses three starters from a team that went 22-14 last season.  The Badgers part ways with AJ Storr (16.8 PPG), Tyler Wahl (10.4 PPG, 5.4 RPG) and Chucky Hepburn (9.2 PPG).  They only return two starters in Steven Crowl (11.2 PPG) and Max Klesmit (9.9 PPG), and there's just not a lot to like about what this team did in the offseason.

Wisconsin actually trailed Holy Cross at halftime before pulling away in the 2H for a 85-61 win as 24-point favorites.  That's a Holy Cross team that was expected to finish near the bottom of the Patriot League this season after finishing 10-23 last season and losing a pair of double-digit scorers from that team.  It's was a bad look for the Badgers, and they will be in for more of a fight than they bargained for tonight.  Bet Montana State Thursday.

20* NBA BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Oklahoma City Thunder -6

The Oklahoma City Thunder are an absolute wagon this season.  They are 7-0 SU & 6-1 ATS with their only non-cover coming by a 0.5-point.  They covered the other six games by a combined 62 points.  Books just can't set their numbers high enough at this point.

Now they get to face a depleted, struggling Denver Nuggets team.  The Nuggets are 4-3 SU & 2-5 ATS this season with three of their wins coming in OT against two of the worst teams in the NBA in the Raptors (twice) and Nets.  Their other win came against the lowly Jazz.

Now the Nuggets are without two starters in Jamal Murray and Aaron Gordon, and they already were lacking a bench.  They stand no chance of keeping this game competitive without those two tonight.

The Thunder beat the Nuggets 102-87 on the road in their first meeting this season on October 24th.  And that was when both Murray and Gordon were healthy, which isn't the case anymore.  Another blowout win in OKC's favor will be the result tonight.  Bet the Thunder Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Chicago Bulls +11

The Dallas Mavericks just can't be trusted as double-digit favorites in the Luka Doncic era.  They just have a way of playing to the level of their competition, and he is the catalyst for that bringing it against good teams, and taking nights off against bad ones.

But I don't think the Bulls are a bad team, and they certainly should not be catching double-digits tonight.  The Bulls have upset road wins over the Bucks and Grizzlies this season as well as an upset home win over the Magic.  But they are coming off a home loss to the Jazz that has them undervalued, and we'll 'buy low' on them now.

The Mavericks have already been upset at home twice this season losing outright to the Pacers as 4.5-point favorites and outright to the Rockets as 6.5-point favorites.  They also only beat the Jazz by 8 as 12-point favorites.

The Bulls are 6-3 SU & 6-3 ATS in the last nine meetings.  Bet the Bulls Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Bulls/Mavericks OVER 234.5

The Bulls are a dead nuts OVER team this season embracing playing fast and shooting more 3-pointers than they had previously under Billy Donovan.  In fact, the Bulls rank 1st in the NBA in pace this season.

The Bulls are 5-2 OVER this season with 232 or more combined points in five of their seven games this season.  They are coming off a 261-point effort against the Jazz last time out in regulation.

The Mavericks played a similar team in the Pacers last time out and combined for 261 points with them.  This game will play out similarly, and the books haven't set this total high enough.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Cleveland Cavaliers -7.5

The New Orleans Pelicans are in awful shape right now with injuries piling up.  They are without four key contributors including three starters in CJ McCollum, Dejounte Murray and Trent Murphy.  They are also without Herbert Jones, and another starter in Zion Williamson is questionable with a hamstring injury.  Another key contributor in Jordan Hawkins is questionable with a back injury.

The Pelicans are 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.  Their last two games were very concerning as they lost 126-111 at home to a short-handed Atlanta Hawks team and 118-100 at home to a bad Portland Trail Blazers team.

I give the Pelicans little chance of keeping this game competitive as they take a big step up in class here against the Cleveland Cavaliers.  The Cavs have proven to be one of the best teams in the NBA this season, going 8-0 SU & 7-1 ATS with several blowout wins along the way.  They hired Kenny Atkinson in the offseason, and he is getting the most out of what is one of the most talented, experienced rosters in the NBA.

Cleveland is 4-1 SU & 3-2 ATS in its last five meetings with New Orleans.  That includes wins by 21 and 11 points in their last two trips to New Orleans.  It should be more of the same tonight.  Bet the Cavaliers Wednesday.