20* Pac-12 GAME OF THE WEEK on Arizona State +5

The Arizona State Sun Devils are one of the most improved teams in the country at 15-3 this season.  They are getting disrespected here as 5-point home underdogs to UCLA.

It's time to 'sell high' on the Bruins, who are riding a 13-game winning streak following consecutive losses to Illinois and Baylor.  I think this is where the streak comes to an end.  They have survived in three of their last five games beating Washington State by 1, USC by 2 and needing a double-digit comeback to beat Colorado at home last time out.  Their luck runs out tonight.

UCLA is 0-6 ATS in its last six road games after winning 12 or more of its last 15 games.  Arizona State is 6-0 ATS in its last six games after playing two consecutive road games.  The Bruins are 9-25 ATS in their last 34 road games following three or more consecutive home games.  The home team is 17-6-2 ATS in the last 25 meetings.  A bad ASU team upset UCLA 87-84 as 10-point home dogs last season.  Take Arizona State Thursday.

20* Warriors/Celtics TNT No-Brainer on UNDER 241

Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games.  It's safe to say the Celtics and Warriors are very familiar with one another after meeting in the NBA Finals last season.  They also played once this season, and all recent meeting went well UNDER this 241-point total.

Indeed, the Warriors and Celtics combined for 230 points in their first meeting this season.  They combined for 228 or fewer points in all six NBA Finals games.  In fact, they have combined for 233 or fewer points in 20 consecutive meetings, making for a 20-0 system backing the UNDER pertaining to this 241-point total.  The UNDER is 21-6 in the last 27 meetings.  Bet the UNDER in this game Thursday.

15* Kings/Lakers NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 244.5

Both the Sacramento Kings and Los Angeles Lakers are dead nuts OVER teams right now. They are two of the fastest-paced teams in the NBA, and they both play little defense.

The OVER is 5-0 in Kings last five games overall with combined scores of 270, 247, 250, 253 and 251 points. The 270-point effort came against the Lakers. They also combined for 254 points in their previous meeting this season. The OVER is 5-0 in the last five meetings.

The Lakers are coming off 272 combined points against the Houston Rockets. The OVER is 20-7-1 in Lakers last 28 games vs. a team with a winning record. The OVER is 12-4 in Lakers last 16 games playing on one days' rest. The OVER is 6-1 in Lakers last seven games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. Take the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Hornets/Rockets OVER 236.5

The Charlotte Hornets are a dead nuts OVER team. They have combined for 236 or more points with their opponents in six of their last eight games overall. They play fast and play no defense.

The Houston Rockets have combined for 272, 255 and 250 points in three of their last four games coming in with the only exception being the Clippers, who are a dead nuts under team when playing at home. The Rockets also play fast and play no defense.

The OVER is 20-8 in Hornets last 28 road games. The OVER is 15-4 in Hornets last 19 road games following a home loss by 10 points or more. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Night BLOWOUT on Drake -7

The Drake Bulldogs are finally starting to play up to their potential. They have won three consecutive games to improve to 14-5 this season including a pair of blowout home wins over Murray State by 18 and Bradley by 25.

The Bulldogs are 9-0 at home this season with one of the better home-court advantages in the conference. Now they'll be seeking revenge from a 49-52 loss at Missouri State in their first meeting this season. This will play out much differently the 2nd time around with the Bulldogs at home, and I expect a blowout victory in their favor.

Missouri State is 2-5 SU in true road games this season including losses at St. Mary's by 20, at Belmont by 13 and at Illinois State by 10. Those latter two losses came in their last two road games and were very poor performances as both Belmont and Illinois State are down this season. Roll with Drake Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Florida/Texas A&M UNDER 138

The Florida Gators and Texas A&M Aggies will be playing in a rematch from a 66-63 win by the Aggies on January 4th which saw just 129 combined points. Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games, and I expect more of the same in the rematch here just two weeks later.

Texas A&M is a very good defensive team allowing just 66.4 points per game and 40.4% shooting on the season. Florida has been nearly identical, allowing just 66.4 points per game on 40.3% shooting. Points will be hard to come by in this rematch.

Florida is 9-1 UNDER vs. good ball handling teams that commit 14 or fewer turnovers per game this season. The UNDER is 8-1 in Gators last nine games overall. The UNDER is 5-1 in Aggies last six home games. Take the UNDER in this game Wednesday.

20* MVC GAME OF THE WEEK on Indiana State ML -125

The Indiana State Sycamores are 13-6 this season and will be highly motivated for a victory tonight following two consecutive conference losses to Southern Illinois and Missouri State. I look for them to take out their frustration on the Bradley Braves tonight.

Indiana State is 7-2 SU & 6-2 ATS at home this season. Home-court advantage has been huge in this series as the home team is 8-0 SU & 8-0 ATS in the last eight meetings. The Sycamores are 21-5 SU in their last 26 home meetings with the Braves.

Bradley is 2-4 SU in true road games this season with one of those wins coming by 2 at SIU-Edwardsville as a 6-point favorites. They lost by 25 at Drake as a 2.5-point dog, lost by 9 at Murray State as a 5.5-point dog, lost by 3 at Belmont as a 1-point favorite and lost by 22 at Utah State as a 7.5-point dog.

The Braves are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 road games. The home team is 23-8 ATS in the last 31 meetings. Bet Indiana State on the Money Line Wednesday.

20* 76ers/Clippers TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on UNDER 227

The Los Angeles Clippers are missing Paul George (23.7 PPG), Luke Kennard (8.7 PPG) and John Wall (11.4 PPG) tonight. That's a lot of offensive production missing, and they have to rely on defense to be competitive without them.

Amazingly, the UNDER is 23-4 in Clippers last 27 home games, which is one of the best kept secrets in the NBA right now. They are 20-3 UNDER at home this season, averaging 106.1 PPG at home and allowing just 105.3 PPG.

The 76ers rank 3rd in defensive efficiency and 26th in pace, making them a dead nuts UNDER team. The Clippers rank 23rd in pace and 8th in defensive efficiency, making them an UNDER team as well. Take the UNDER in this game Tuesday.

20* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Portland Trail Blazers +7

The Portland Trail Blazers are as healthy as they have been all season right now and it's starting to show. They are coming off back-to-back blowout wins over Dallas by 17 points each.

It's time to 'sell high' on the Denver Nuggets after winning six consecutive games coming in including five by double-digits. They barely survived in a 3-point win over the Magic as double-digit favorites last time out. And I expect they'll find it hard to beat Portland let alone by 8-plus points, which is what it's going to take to beat us tonight.

This will be the 4th and final meeting between these teams this season. Portland has actually outscored Denver by 11 points combined in the first three meetings. 

The Blazers are 8-1 ATS following two consecutive home games this season. Denver is 1-9 ATS following three consecutive games where it made 50% of its shots or better. Portland is 16-3 ATS in its last 19 games vs. good shooting teams that make 50% or better. Bet the Blazers Tuesday.

15* NBA Tuesday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on San Antonio Spurs +6.5

The Brooklyn Nets have been lost in their last two games without Kevin Durant. They lost 109-98 at home to Boston and 112-102 at home to Oklahoma City as well. A team led by Kyrie Irving and Ben Simmons is not a team I'd trust my money with.

The San Antonio Spurs have quietly gone 5-2 ATS in their last seven games overall, and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games. They have been competitive despite continuing to lose outright, and I expect them to give the Nets a run for their money without Durant tonight.

The Nets are 16-34-1 ATS in their last 51 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. The Spurs are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games vs. a team with a winning road record. San Antonio is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 home meetings with Brooklyn. Roll with the Spurs Tuesday.

20* Raptors/Bucks TNT No-Brainer on UNDER 224

The UNDER is 4-1 in the last five meetings between Toronto and Milwaukee with combined scores of 197, 199, 228, 190 and 206 points at the end of regulation, respectively.

Given this head-to-head history, this total of 224 has been set too high tonight. The UNDER is also 10-2 in the last 12 meetings. Bet the UNDER in this game Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Tulane +10

Tulane is playing its best basketball of the season right now. The Green Wave have gone 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall with home wins over Memphis by 7, Tulsa by 16 and UCF by 8 as well as road wins over Temple by 11 and SMU by 9.

Now the Green Wave are ready to give the No. 1 ranked Houston Cougars a run for their money as double-digit home underdogs tonight. Tulane is 8-1 at home this season and has a big home-court advantage.

Houston has been vulnerable of late winning by 6 at home over UCF as 15-point favorites and by 6 at home over USF as 23-point favorites. They can't be trusted to be laying double-digits on the road here. You're definitely paying a tax to back the Cougars at this point with their No. 1 ranking and it's time to 'sell high' on them. Take Tulane Tuesday.

20* Big East GAME OF THE WEEK on Butler +7.5

The Butler Bulldogs are coming off one of their most complete performances of the season in a 79-71 upset home win over Villanova as 3.5-point dogs. Now they are catching too many points at home against Creighton on Tuesday.

Butler wants revenge from a 56-78 road loss at Creighton as 8-point dogs. Now the books have set the number almost exactly the same as the first meeting without adjusting for home-court advantage. That's great value with the Bulldogs at home.

Creighton is 0-4 SU & 1-3 ATS in true road games this season. Butler is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games vs. teams that average 6 or fewer steals per game. The Bluejays are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Home-court advantage has been huge in this series as the home team is 15-2 ATS in the last 17 meetings. Bet Butler Tuesday.

20* NBA Non-Conference TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Pelicans/Cavs UNDER 222.5

Points will be hard to come by in this showdown between two of the best defensive teams in the NBA. The Cavaliers rank 2nd in the NBA in defensive efficiency, while the Pelicans rank 7th in the same category.

The Pelicans have to rely more on defense right now without their two best players and scorers in Zion Williamson and Brandin Ingram. I expect the Cavaliers to lock them down today.

The UNDER is 4-1 in the last five meetings with combined scores of 220 or fewer points in four of the five, including 212 or fewer in three of them. The UNDER is 5-1 in Pelicans last six games playing on two days' rest. The UNDER is 9-2 in Cavaliers last 11 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days. Roll with the UNDER in this game Monday.

20* Purdue/Michigan State Big Ten No-Brainer on Michigan State +3.5

The Michigan State Spartans are 7-1 SU & 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall and ready to pull off the upset over the Purdue Boilermakers at home today. They should not be catching 3.5 points here.

Purdue is 3-0 SU but 0-3 ATS in true road games this season. The Boilermakers only beat FSU by 10 as 16-point favorites, Nebraska by 3 in OT as 7.5-point favorites and Ohio State by 2 as 1.5-point dogs. But Zed Key got hurt early for Ohio State and they were behind the eight ball.

The home team is 7-1 SU in the last eight meetings with the lone loss coming by a single point. The home team is 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine meetings. Purdue is 0-6 ATS following a home win by 10 points or more this season. Take Michigan State Monday.

20* NBA Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Orlando Magic +10.5

The Orlando Magic have quietly gone 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games overall with only four losses by more than this spread.  I fully expect them to give the Denver Nuggets a run for their money tonight and stay within this inflated number.

The reason this number is inflated is because the Nuggets are 5-0 SU & 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games overall with five wins by double-digits.  But now it's time to 'sell high' on them, knowing this is a letdown spot after beating the Clippers on the road Friday on National TV.  They won't be nearly as motivated to face the Magic tonight.

Denver is 11-24 ATS in its last 35 games following a road win, including 8-19 ATS in its last 27 games following a road win by 10 points or more.  Plays against any team (Denver) - after beating the spread by 36 or more points total in their last five games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%) are 35-13 (72.9%) ATS over the last five seasons.  The Magic are 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games.  Bet the Magic Sunday.

15* NBA Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Oklahoma City Thunder +5.5

The Oklahoma City Thunder are 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall with all four wins coming by double-digits, and their lone loss coming by a single point at Miami.  They should not be catching 5.5 points to the Brooklyn Nets tonight.

The Nets just lost Kevin Durant and are coming off an 11-point home loss to a short-handed Boston team without him.  They cannot be trusted to lay points to many teams in the NBA without Durant on the floor because he is far and away their best player.  I don't trust Ben Simmons and Kyrie Irving to lead the team without him.

Brooklyn is 1-15 ATS in its last 16 home games after failing to cover the spread in two or more consecutive games.  The Nets are 13-37 ATS in their last 50 games as home favorites.  The Thunder are 8-0 ATS in their last eight road games vs. Atlantic Division opponents.  Oklahoma City is 40-19 ATS in its last 59 road games.  Take the Thunder Sunday.

20* NBA Western Conference TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Rockets/Clippers UNDER 221.5

The Los Angeles Clippers are expected to be without George (23.7 PPG), Morris (13.3 PPG), Wall (11.4 PPG) and Kennard (8.7 PPG) tonight.  The Houston Rockets are expected to be without Kevin Porter Jr. (19.2 PPG) as well.  That is a lot of offensive production missing today.

Amazingly, the UNDER is 19-3 in Clippers 22 home games this season.  They are a dead nuts UNDER team at home, scoring 105.5 PPG and allowing 105.5 PPG for an average of 211 combined PPG at home.

The UNDER is 4-1 in the last five meetings with combined scores of 228, 210, 188, 213 and 197 points between the Rockets and Clippers.  The UNDER is 22-4 in Clippers last 26 home games.  Bet the UNDER in this game Sunday.

15* CBB Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Temple +6

The Memphis Tigers continue to be grossly overvalued today as 6-point road favorites at Temple.  Memphis is 4-2 SU but 0-6 ATS in its last six games overall, losing both true road games outright as favorites at Tulane and at UCF.  They are on upset alert again today against Temple.

The Owls have gone 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall continually getting disrespected by oddsmakers.  They are also 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall.  They have beaten the likes of Villanova, VCU and Cincinnati at home this season.

Temple is 8-1 ATS after playing a game as a favorite this season.  The Owls are 7-0 ATS in their last seven Sunday games.  The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.  Roll with Temple Sunday.

20* Ohio State/Rutgers Big Ten No-Brainer on Ohio State +4

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Ohio State Buckeyes.  They have gone 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall including a very bad upset home loss to Minnesota.  But Ohio State was missing one of its most important players for two of those games in Zed Key (12.3 PPG, 7.8 RPG), and he is back healthy now.

Conversely, it's a great time to 'sell high' on Rutgers.  The Scarlet Knights have gone 6-1 SU & 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.  They lost their last home game to Iowa by 11 so they can certainly be beaten at home.

Ohio State is 11-3 SU in its last 14 meetings with Rutgers.  The last two meetings were decided by 1 and 2 points.  Rutgers hasn't won any of its last nine meetings with Ohio State by more than 3 points, making for a 9-0 system backing the Buckeyes pertaining to this 4-point spread.  Take Ohio State Sunday.

15* CBB Saturday Late-Night BAILOUT on San Francisco +8

It's time to 'sell high' on the St. Mary's Gaels after going 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.  They played only one true road game during this stretch and only won 67-64 as 6-point favorites at Santa Clara.  Now they are laying 8 points at San Francisco tonight, and this line is too high.

It's a great time to 'buy low' on San Francisco after going 1-4 SU & 2-3 ATS in their last five games overall.  It has been a brutal schedule with road losses to Santa Clara and Portland, as well as home losses to Gonzaga and San Diego.  Keep in mind they only lost to Gonzaga by 2 at home, so they have shown their potential.

Each of the last three meetings between the Dons and Gaels have been decided by 5 points or fewer.  St. Mary's is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 games following two consecutive wins by 10 points or more.  The home team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.  Bet San Francisco Saturday.

15* Mavericks/Blazers NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Portland ML -115

I love the spot for the Portland Trail Blazers tonight.  We'll 'buy low' on them following five consecutive SU & ATS losses coming in.  It's safe to say they will be highly motivated for a victory tonight, and they are much healthier than their opponent.

The Dallas Mavericks are without Kleber, Finney-Smith and could be without Wood, who suffered an ankle injury.  This is a clear letdown spot after beating the Lakers in double OT on TNT Thursday.  Luka Doncic hit two game-tying 3's at the end of regulation and at the end of the first OT to keep them alive.  It's only human nature for them to suffer a letdown following that huge road victory on National TV.

Dallas is 2-10 ATS following a win by 6 points or less this season.  The Mavericks are 6-19-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a SU win.  Dallas is 8-20 ATS in its last 28 road games.  Portland is 6-2 ATS in its last eight home games.  Roll with the Blazers on the Money Line Saturday.

15* NBA Saturday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Philadelphia 76ers -4

This is a great spot for the Philadelphia 76ers tonight.  They are coming off an upset loss to the Thunder that came out of nowhere as they had won five of their previous six games with four by 9 points or more.  They will be pissed off from that loss and give a big effort in Utah tonight.  Plus, they are fully healthy right now with the exception of Tobias Harris, who is questionable.

This is a terrible spot for the Utah Jazz.  They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back following a hard-fought 112-108 win over the Magic last night.  Markkanen played 36 minutes and Clarkson 35 last night and neither will have much left in the tank after carrying the team with 51 combined points last night.

The 76ers are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a double-digit home loss.  The Jazz are 18-38-3 ATS in their last 59 games following an ATS loss.  Philadelphia is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.

Plays against home underdogs (Minnesota) - off a home win scoring 110 points or more when playing the 2nd of a back-to-back are 48-25 (65.8%) ATS since 1996.  Plays on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Philadelphia) - off an upset loss as a home favorite against an opponent that's off a home win scoring 110 points or more are 31-6 (83.8%) ATS since 1996.  Take the 76ers Saturday.

20* New Mexico/San Diego State MWC No-Brainer on New Mexico +8

New Mexico is one of the most underrated teams in the country.  The Lobos are 15-2 this season with their two losses coming by 7 and 4 points.  So they haven't lost by 8-plus points this season, making for a perfect 17-0 system backing them pertaining to this 8-point spread tonight.

San Diego State has been one of the most overrated teams in the country this season.  The Aztecs are 13-3 SU but just 4-10-1 ATS in lined games.  And this will be one of their stiffest tests of the season tonight.  Bet New Mexico Saturday.

20* NBA Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Cleveland Cavaliers -3.5

This is a great spot for the Cleveland Cavaliers and a terrible one for the Minnesota Timberwolves.  The Cavaliers had yesterday off and conclude their five-game road trip tonight.  They want to end the trip with a win, and I expect it to come in blowout fashion.

The Timberwolves will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a close 121-116 win over the Suns last night.  All five starters played at least 31 minutes for the Timberwolves, who are short-handed as it is.  Don't be surprise if they rest a player or two tonight.

The Timberwolves have played the Rockets, Pistons and depleted Suns in their last three games.  This is a big step up in class for them, and they weren't impressive in any of those three games, even losing to the Pistons outright by 17.  The Cavs are legitimately one of the best teams in the NBA and are fully healthy right now.

The road team is 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in the last three meetings in this series.  Cleveland is 6-2 ATS in its last eight trips to Minnesota.  The Timberwolves are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

Plays against home underdogs (Minnesota) - off a home win scoring 110 points or more when playing the 2nd of a back-to-back are 48-25 (65.8%) ATS since 1996.  Plays on road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (Cleveland) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 100 or more points, off a road win scoring 110 or more points are 85-43 (66.4%) ATS since 1996.  Bet the Cavaliers Saturday.

15* Pac-12 PLAY OF THE DAY on Colorado +12

This line is inflated tonight.  UCLA is getting too much respect for its current 12-game winning streak, and it's time to 'sell high' on the Bruins.  They now take on a game Colorado team that doesn't get blown out.

Colorado is 11-7 this season with just one loss by more than 10 points, which was a 13-point defeat.  So they have only lost by this kind of margin once in 18 games this season, making for a 17-1 system backing the Buffaloes pertaining to this 12-point spread.

Each of the last six meetings between Colorado and UCLA were decided by 12 points or less, including five by single-digits.  Colorado hasn't lost any of its last 10 meetings with UCLA by more than 12 points, making for a 10-0 system backing the Buffaloes pertaining to this 12-point spread.  Take Colorado Saturday.

15* MVC PLAY OF THE DAY on Drake -2.5

The Drake Bulldogs are showing great value as short home favorites over the Bradley Braves tonight.  This is a night game and it will be a great atmosphere and an even bigger home-court advantage for the Bulldogs than normal.  Drake is 8-0 at home this season and outscoring opponents by 22.1 points per game.

Bradley is coming off three straight poor performances on the road.  They lost by 9 at Murray State as 5.5-point favorites, lost by 3 at Belmont as 1-point favorites and only beat SIU-Edwardsville by 2 as 6-point favorites in their last three true road games.  This is a much stiffer test for the Braves than any of those three games were.

Bradley is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 road games.  The Braves are 1-11 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.  Roll with Drake Saturday.

20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Celtics/Hornets OVER 231

The OVER is 4-1 in Hornets last five games overall.  They have combined for at least 227 points with their opponents in eight consecutive games, including 234 or more in six of those.  This 231-point total has been set too low for a game involving the Hornets.

Now they are up against an elite offensive team in the Boston Celtics tonight.  The Celtics rank 1st in the NBA in offensive efficiency.  They are scoring 118.4 points per game on the season.  The Celtics and Hornets combined for 245 points in their first and only meeting this season.

The OVER is 11-1-2 in Celtics last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  The OVER is 4-0 in Hornets last four games following a loss.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* Duke/Clemson ACC No-Brainer on Clemson ML -120

Clemson has gone 14-3 this season and quietly has won 10 of its last 11 games overall.  The Tigers are one of the most improved teams in the country, but they don't get the respect they deserve, which has been evident during their 5-1 ATS run over their last six games.

That continues to be the case as they are basically a PK at home to Duke.  This isn't your father's Blue Devils without Coach K.  Duke is 1-5 ATS in its last six games overall as it consistently gets too much respect from oddsmakers due to the name on the uniform.  That includes outright losses at Wake Forest by 11 and at NC State by 24 despite being favored, plus a 1-point win at Boston College in its last three road games coming in.

Clemson is 9-0 SU at home this season.  The Tigers are 6-0 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season.  The Blue Devils are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games.  These three trends combine for a perfect 19-0 system backing the Tigers tonight.  Roll with Clemson on the Money Line Saturday.

20* Iowa State/Kansas Big 12 No-Brainer on Iowa State +7.5

The Iowa State Cyclones are 6-0 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall and playing as well as almost anyone in the country right now.  They upset Baylor by 15 as 2-point home dogs, upset Oklahoma by 3 as 3.5-point road dogs, upset TCU by 2 as 5.5-point road dogs and blasted Texas Tech by 34 as 4.5-point home favorites in their last four games.

Now they take on a Kansas team that is getting way too much respect from oddsmakers at home of late due to their current 9-game winning streak.  But they nearly lost their last two home games, beating Oklahoma State by 2 as 10-point favorites and Oklahoma by 4 as 10.5-point home favorites.  They needed some late heroics to win both those games, and they are going to need some late heroics to survive the Cyclones today, too.

Iowa State is 8-1 ATS in its last nine games after scoring 80 points or more last game.  Kansas is 1-8 ATS in its last nine January home games.  The Jayhawks are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games.  The road team is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings.  Take Iowa State Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Louisville +13

The Louisville Cardinals have been a great bet over the last couple weeks due to their 2-15 record.  But they are 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall with four losses by 13 points or fewer during this stretch.

In fact, the Cardinals have just one loss by more than 13 points in their last eight games, which was at Kentucky in a game they covered.  Now they are catching 13 points at home to a North Carolina team that could be without their best player in Armando Bacot (17.6 PPG, 10.6 RPG), who left the Virginia game with an ankle injury last time out and it changed the game.  Virginia went on a big run thereafter and won 65-58.

Plays on underdogs of 10 or more points (Louisville) - after covering five or six of their last seven games, a team that wins less than 20% of their games playing a team with a winning record are 28-9 (75.7%) ATS over the last five seasons.  The Tar Heels are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight road games.  Roll with Louisville Saturday.

15* CBB Saturday UPSET SHOCKER on North Texas +4

North Texas lost 46-50 at home to Florida Atlantic as a 2-point favorite in their first meeting this season on December 29th.  It's revenge time for the Mean Green today as they are now 4-point road underdogs in the rematch, which is too big of an adjustment.  I fully expect the Mean Green to win outright, but we'll take the points for some insurance.

North Texas is 18-6 ATS in its last 24 conference road games.  The Mean Green are 7-0 ATS in their last seven road games vs. good offensive teams that average 77 or more points per game.  The Mean Green are 19-6-3 ATS in their last 28 road games.  The underdog is 4-1-1 ATS in the last six meetings.

Plays on road underdogs (North Texas) - revenging a loss as a home favorite against an opponent that's off two consecutive conference wins by 5 points or less are 72-32 (69.2%) ATS since 1996.  The Owls' luck runs out today following four consecutive wins by 4 points or fewer coming in.  Take North Texas Saturday.

15* AAC PLAY OF THE DAY on Tulane -1.5

Tulane is playing its best basketball of the season right now and should be a bigger favorite at home here against UCF.  The Green Wave are 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall with an upset home win over Memphis by 7 as 4-point dogs, a blowout win over Tulsa by 16, an upset road win at Temple by 11 and a solid 9-point win at SMU.

Now they host a UCF team in a clear letdown spot off a double-OT win over Memphis at home on Wednesday.  G Darius Johnson (11.8 PPG, 4.3 APG) is questionable after sitting out that Memphis game and F Michael Durr (4.9 PPG, 4.6 RPG) is out for the Knights.

The Knights are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing more than 90 points in their previous game.  The Knights are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games.  The Green Wave beat the Knights 82-67 at home last season.  UCF is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 road games following two consecutive conference games.  The Green Wave are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing 80 points or more in their previous game.  Bet Tulane Saturday.

15* NBA Friday Late-Night BAILOUT on Rockets/Kings OVER 235

The Sacramento Kings are a dead nuts OVER team right now.  They have combined for 237, 270, 247 and 250 points in their last four games overall.  The Kings rank 5th in pace, 3rd in offensive efficiency and 25th in defensive efficiency this season.

The Houston Rockets will have no problem getting up and down with the Kings and playing little defense tonight.  The Rockets rank 28th in defensive efficiency.  Only the Spurs and Pistons have been worse.

The Kings and Rockets have combined for 230 or more points in each of their last six meetings, including 239 or more points in four of those.  The OVER is 4-1 in the last five meetings.

The OVER is 5-1 in Kings last six home games.  Sacramento is 9-1 OVER in its last 10 games as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points.  The OVER is 9-1 in Kings last 10 games vs. a terrible team that wins less than 25% of their games.  Take the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Nuggets/Clippers ESPN No-Brainer on Los Angeles PK

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Los Angeles Clippers.  They lost six consecutive games before a 113-101 home win over the Dallas Mavericks on Tuesday.  I backed the Clippers in that win and cover against the Mavericks, and I'm back on them again tonight.

The Clippers come in on two days' rest so they are ready to go.  They will be without Paul George and Luke Kennard again, but the key for them is having Kawhi Leonard healthy and in the lineup.  They are one of the deepest teams in the NBA so they can make up for the losses of George and Kennard as long as Kawhi is healthy.

It's a great time to 'sell high' on the Nuggets, who have gone 14-3 SU in their last 17 games overall.  But they could be without Nikola Jokic, who is questionable tonight with a wrist injury.  I like the Clippers either way because they will be pissed off and out for revenge for one of their worst losses of the season at Denver on January 5th just eight days ago.

Denver is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 road games following two or more consecutive wins.  The Nuggets are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games following two consecutive wins by 10 points or more.  Roll with the Clippers Friday.

15* NBA Friday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Orlando Magic +6

The Orlando Magic just got a bunch of players back from suspension and are as healthy as they have been all season.  They pulled off two big upsets in two of their last three road games winning 115-101 at Golden State as 6.5-point dogs and 109-106 at Portland as 8-point dogs even on the second of a back-to-back.

Now the Magic have had the last two days off and are rested and ready to go, which is key going into the altitude in Utah.  I expect them to pull off this upset as well, but we'll take the points for some insurance.

The Jazz cannot be trusted to lay this many points when they rank just 26th in defensive efficiency.  They allow 116.1 points per game at home this season, and the Magic will never be out of this game because of it.  

The Jazz are just 2-7 SU in their last nine games overall.  The Magic are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games overall, including 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games.  Take the Magic Friday.

20* NBA Non-Conference TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Magic/Jazz OVER 232.5

The Orlando Magic are 7-4 OVER in their last 11 games overall.  They have combined for 232 or more points in seven of those 11 games.  They have gotten healthy and gotten everyone back from suspension, making them a very good offensive team but they still rank just 23rd in defensive efficiency.

Utah is a dead nuts OVER team because they play fast, rank 5th in offensive efficiency and 26th in defensive efficiency.  The OVER is 10-2 in Jazz last 12 games overall with combined scores of 230 or more points in 10 of their last 11 games.  The Jazz are scoring 120.9 points per game and allowing 116.1 points per game at home this season.

The OVER is 8-0 in Magic last eight games following a close win by 3 points or less.  The OVER is 49-24-3 in Magic last 76 games following a win.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* NBA Friday Undervalued Underdog on San Antonio Spurs +9.5

The San Antonio Spurs have quietly covered five straight while also going 7-1 ATS in their last eight games overall.  They have only lost one of their last eight games by more than 8 points.  Now they are catching 9.5 points at home tonight against the Golden State Warriors, which is too much.

The Warriors are getting unwarranted respect from oddsmakers due to Steph Curry just returning to the lineup.  They promptly lost 125-113 as 12-point home favorites to the Phoenix Suns, who were without five key players in their first game with Curry.  Now they are laying 9.5 points on the road in their 2nd game with Curry to a Spurs team that would beat the Suns right now.

Four of the last five meetings between the Warriors and Spurs were decided by 6 points or fewer.  Golden State is 1-8 ATS as a road favorite this season.  The Warriors are 3-16 SU & 4-15 ATS on the road this season.  Roll with the Spurs Friday.

15* NBA Friday Total DOMINATOR on Pelicans/Pistons OVER 233.5

The Detroit Pistons are a dead nuts OVER team, especially at home.  The Pistons are 27-17-1 OVER in all games this season, including 14-5-1 at home.  They rank 29th in the NBA in defensive efficiency and rank in the top half of the league in pace.  The Pistons and their opponents have combined for 230 or more points in six consecutive games, including 234 or more in five of them.

The New Orleans Pelicans are also 25-17 OVER in their 42 games this season to make them a dead nuts OVER team.  They rank 12th in pace and 6th in offensive efficiency.  They continue to get their points even without Zion and Ingram.  They have gone for 244, 244 and 239 combined points in their last three games.

The OVER is 10-1 in Pelicans last 11 games following an ATS loss.  The OVER is 11-4 in Pelicans last 15 games overall.  The OVER is 16-5-1 in Pistons last 22 home games.  The OVER is 10-1 in Pistons last 11 games after failing to cover the spread in three of their last four games.  New Orleans is 15-5 OVER in road games this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* CBB Friday Total DOMINATOR on Villanova/Butler UNDER 134

Villanova is a dead nuts UNDER team.  They rank 332nd in adjusted tempo and play at a snail's pace.  They have really struggled on offense this season scoring just 71.1 PPG on 43.5% shooting.  But they still lock it down defensively holding opponents to 43.6% shooting.

Butler also likes to slow it down ranking 216th in the country in adjusted tempo.  They are a great defensive team ranking 52nd in adjusted defense, allowing just 43.2% shooting on the season.  They also struggle on offense, scoring 69.4 points per game on 45.8% shooting.

Both teams are coming off consecutive losses which will add to their motivation tonight, and that extra hard play will show up on defense more than on offense.  The UNDER is 6-1 in Butler's last seven games overall.  The UNDER is 5-2 in Villanova's last seven games overall.  Butler is 7-1 UNDER vs. teams that are called for 17 or fewer fouls per game this season.  Bet the UNDER in this game Friday.

15* CBB Thursday Late-Night BAILOUT on Utah +12.5

It's time to 'sell high' on the UCLA Bruins tonight.  They have won 11 consecutive games coming in but have had a couple lackluster efforts of late that will bleed into tonight.  Three games ago they beat Washington State by 1 as 8.5-point road favorites, and last time out they only beat USC by 2 as 11-point home favorites to barely keep this streak alive.

Now they face an underrated Utah Utes team tonight that is a sleeper in the Pac-12 this season.  The Utes are 12-5 this season with their five losses all coming by 10 points or fewer.  They haven't lost by this kind of margin all season, and asking the Bruins to win by 13 points or more tonight to beat us is asking too much.

Utah has done its best work on the road this season going 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS with two outright upsets with the only loss coming at BYU.  The Utes are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games, while the Bruins are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games.  Roll with Utah Thursday.

20* Mavs/Lakers TNT No-Brainer on Los Angeles +3

The Los Angeles Lakers have quietly gone 5-1 SU & 5-0-1 ATS in their last six games overall.  They only game they lost during this stretch was without LeBron James on the road to the Denver Nuggets.

James returns to the lineup tonight as the Lakers come in on two days' rest.  They will be rested and ready to go and looking for revenge from a 115-124 road loss at Dallas on Christmas Day where they blew a 20-plus point lead.  Troy Brown is also expected back for the Lakers tonight.

The Mavericks have been one of the most overrated teams in the NBA this season.  They have gone 14-26-2 ATS this season.  They are without Kleber and Finney-Smith and could be without Powell, who is questionable with a hip injury suffered in a 101-113 road loss to the Clippers last time out.  The Mavericks will be playing their 4th game in 6 days tonight.

Dallas is 7-20 ATS in its last 27 road games.  Los Angeles is 4-0 ATS in its last four games when playing on two days' rest.  The Mavericks are 0-7 ATS in road games after scoring 105 points or fewer this season.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet the Lakers Thursday.

15* CBB Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Loyola-Marymount +14

Loyola-Marymount is 12-6 this season with all six loses coming by 16 points or fewer.  This 14-point spread is too high tonight when you look at the recent head-to-head series between Loyola-Marymount and St. Mary's.  Six of the last seven meetings have been decided by 11 points or fewer.

Loyola-Marymount is a perfect 6-0 ATS following an ATS loss this season.  St. Mary's is 24-43 ATS in its last 67 home games following a conference win by 10 points or more.  The Lions are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss.  Loyola-Marymount is 6-0 ATS in its last six games following a SU loss.  The road team is 20-6 ATS in the last 26 meetings.  Take Loyola-Marymount Thursday.

15* NBA Wednesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Rockets/Kings OVER 237.5

The Sacramento Kings are a dead nuts OVER team right now.  They have combined for 237, 270 and 247 points in their last three games overall.  The Kings rank 7th in pace, 4th in offensive efficiency and 26th in defensive efficiency this season.

The Houston Rockets will have no problem getting up and down with the Kings and playing little defense tonight.  The Rockets rank 28th in defensive efficiency.  Only the Spurs and Pistons have been worse.

The Kings and Rockets have combined for 230 or more points in each of their last five meetings, including 239 or more points in three of those.  The OVER is 4-1 in Kings last five home games.  Roll with the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Louisville +17.5

This is a great time to 'sell high' on the Clemson Tigers.  They have gone 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall and are coming off two consecutive upset road wins at VA Tech by 3 and Pitt by 1.  They have a home game against Duke on deck Saturday and will be looking ahead to that game.  That makes this a letdown and sandwich spot for the Tigers, and I don't think they'll be motivated enough to beat Louisville by 18-plus points, which is what it's going to take to beat us tonight.

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Cardinals as they have quietly gone 4-0 ATS in thier last four games overall.  They only lost by 12 at NC State as 17.5-point dogs, by 23 as Kentucky as 23.5-point dogs, by 1 to Syracuse as 9-point dogs and by 8 to Wake Forest as 9.5-point dogs.  They have been very competitive in ACC play and will continue to be tonight at Clemson.

Louisville is 30-11 ATS in its last 41 road games following four or more consecutive ATS wins.  Clemson is 8-21 ATS in its last 29 games after covering six or seven of its last eight games.

Plays against home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (Clemson) - following three consecutive conference wins against an opponent that's off two or more consecutive home losses are 32-11 (74.4%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Bet Louisville Wednesday.

20* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on San Antonio Spurs +13.5

The San Antonio Spurs have quietly covered four straight and have gone 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall.  That includes a 113-121 loss at Memphis as 12-point dogs on Monday.  Now the Spurs get their shot at revenge as 13.5-point road dogs in the rematch here two days later on Wednesday.

The Grizzlies won't be that motivated to beat the Spurs again after just beating them on Monday.  They certainly won't be motivated enough to put them away by 14-plus points, which is what it's going to take to beat us tonight.

The Spurs are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 road games when revenging a road loss.  Memphis is 0-10 ATS in its last 10 games vs. teams that allow 50% shooting or higher.  Each of the last seven meetings between Memphis and San Antonio were decided by 13 points or fewer, including five by 8 points or fewer.  Bet the Spurs Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Pacers/Knicks OVER 227

This is a very low total for any game involving the Indiana Pacers.  The OVER is 5-2 in Pacers last seven games overall with combined scores of 227 or more points in six of the seven games, including 236 or more in five of them.

The OVER is 8-3 in Knicks last 11 games overall.  The Knicks and their opponents have combined for at least 226 points in six of those 11 games.  There's a good chance the Knicks get RJ Barrett back from injury tonight and would be fully healthy.

Indiana is 32-13 OVER in its last 45 games when revenging a same-season loss.  The OVER is 7-2 in Knicks last nine games when playing on one day of rest.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* NBA Eastern Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Indiana Pacers +5

The Indiana Pacers have quietly gone 6-1 SU & 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall with their lone loss coming by 3 on the road at Philadelphia in overtime.  The Pacers come in rested and ready to go playing on two days' rest.

The New York Knicks are 4-6 SU & 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games overall with their four wins coming against the Rockets, the short-handed Suns, the Spurs (by 3) and the Raptors (by 4).  They have no business being 5-point favorite against a team playing as well as the Pacers right now.

Indiana is 8-1 ATS when playing only its 2nd game in 5 days this season.  The Pacers are 9-1 ATS after successfully covering the spread in three or more consecutive games this season.  New York is 9-24 ATS in its last 33 home games after playing a home game.

Plays on road underdogs (Indiana) - revenging a close loss by 3 points or less against an opponent that is off an upset loss as a favorite are 33-8 (80.5%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Take the Pacers Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Alabama/Arkansas UNDER 153.5

Two of the best defensive teams in the country square off tonight when Arkansas and Alabama get together.  The Crimson Tide rank 11th in the country in adjusted defense, while the Razorbacks rank 9th in adjusted defense.  This total is way too high given how both teams get after it defensively.

Alabama's last four games have seen 148, 145, 146 and 130 combined points.  Arkansas' last five games have seen 133, 136, 117, 142 and 131 combined points.  The UNDER has gone 8-1 in those nine games combined.

The UNDER is 3-0 in the last three meetings with combined scores of 149 or fewer points in all three.  The UNDER is 7-1 in Arkansas' eight home games this season.  Roll with the UNDER in this game Wednesday.

20* Big Ten GAME OF THE WEEK on Penn State -2

Penn State is 8-1 at home this season and should be a bigger favorite over Indiana tonight.  The Nittany Lions come in motivated after back-to-back losses at Michigan and on a neutral to Purdue.

They face a team they should handle tonight in the Indiana Hoosiers, who continue to get too much respect from oddsmakers.  The Hoosiers are 2-4 SU & 0-6 ATS in their last six games overall with their only two wins both coming at home over Elon and Kennesaw State.  They also lost at home to Northwestern, at Iowa, at Kansas by 22 and on a neutral to Arizona by 14.

A big reason for Indiana's recent struggles is due to losing two key players in Xavier Johnson (9.9 PPG, 4.9 APG, 37% 3-pointers) and Race Thompson (8.4 PPG, 6.1 RPG) to injury.  That is putting too much pressure on Jackson-Davis' shoulders, and teams can just focus in on double-teaming him and trying to make others beat them, which the Hoosiers don't have the guns to do.

Penn State is 7-0 ATS in its last seven home games following a conference loss.  Indiana is 0-6 ATS in its last six road games after failing to cover the spread in two or more consecutive games.  The Nittany Lions are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games vs. good shooting teams that make 48% or better.  The Hoosiers are 0-6 ATS in their last six games overall.  The home team is 5-0 SU in the last five meetings.  These five trends combine for a perfect 31-0 system backing the Nittany Lions.  Take Penn State Wednesday. 

20* MWC GAME OF THE WEEK on Nevada +9.5

Nevada has been one of the most underrated teams in the country.  They have gone 14-3 SU & 11-4-1 ATS this season and continue to be undervalued catching 9.5 points tonight at San Diego State.

San Diego State is 12-3 SU but just 4-10 ATS in lined games and has been one of the most overrated teams in the country.  Asking them to beat Nevada by double-digits to beat us tonight is asking too much.

Amazingly, each of the last six meetings between Nevada and San Diego State have been decided by 7 points or less, so that fact alone is giving us tremendous value on the Wolf Pack.  Nevada is 5-0 ATS in its last five meetings with the Aztecs.  The road team is 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.

The Wolf Pack are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games overall.  Nevada is 64-30-3 ATS in its last 97 games following an ATS win.  San Diego State is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games overall.  The Aztecs are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games following a win.  Nevada is 9-1 ATS after playing a game as a favorite this season.  The Wolf Pack are 10-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record this season.  Take Nevada Tuesday.

20* Mavs/Clippers NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles PK

This is the ultimate 'buy low' opportunity on the Los Angeles Clippers.  They have gone 0-6 SU & 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall and will be highly motivated for a victory tonight.  They have played seven of their last nine games on the road but are back home here.

The Dallas Mavericks have been one of the most overrated teams in the NBA this season.  They are just 14-25-2 ATS on the season and are once again getting too much respect here.  Luka Doncic sat out last game with an ankle injury and won't be 100% if he plays tonight.  The Mavericks are also without Finney-Smith and Kleber.

Yes, the Clippers are without Paul George and Luke Kennard, but they are one of the deepest teams in the NBA and can overcome it.  The key with them is having Kawhi Leonard healthy, which he is right now.  They have nine players averaging at least 8.2 points per game this season and that doesn't even include Batum and Covington, who do a little bet of everything for them.

The Mavericks are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 road games.  Dallas is 2-11 ATS after winning four or five of its last six games this season.  Take the Clippers Tuesday.

20* NBA Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Cleveland Cavaliers -2.5

Donovan Mitchell makes his return to Utah tonight and I expect a big game from him and the Jazz.  The Cavaliers already beat the Jazz 122-99 at home earlier this season in a dominant effort.  It will be more of the same tonight.

The Cavaliers are fully healthy right now and a dangerous team when that's the case.  The key has been keeping Mitchell (28.8 PPG) and Darius Garland (21.4 PPG, 7.8 APG) on the floor at the same time.  Mobley and Allen have both missed games as well but all four are healthy right now.  This is about as good of a starting 5 as you will find in the NBA.

The Jazz are without Collin Sexton (14.1 PPG) and Kelly Olynyk (12.2 PPG) right now.  The Jazz are a good offensive team, but the difference between these teams is defense.  The Cavaliers rank 1st in defensive efficiency this season, while the Jazz rank 26th.  I'll gladly back the healthier, better defensive team tonight laying the short number.  Bet the Cavaliers Tuesday.

15* UNC/Virginia ESPN ANNIHILATOR on North Carolina +4.5

Virginia has been grossly overvalued since beaten both Illinois and Baylor early in the season.  It turns out Baylor and Illinois both aren't very good.  And the Cavaliers aren't very good, either as they have gone just 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games overall.

North Carolina has been undervalued since a poor start to the season and a four-game losing streak to Iowa State, Alabama, Indiana and Virginia Tech.  They have gotten healthy since and are playing some great basketball, going 6-1 SU & 4-3 ATS in their last seven games overall with their lone loss coming by 2 points.

UNC crushed Virginia in both meetings last season winning by 16 at home and by 20 on a neutral.  Virginia is 2-9 ATS as a favorite this season.  The Cavaliers are 0-6 ATS in their last six home games.  Take North Carolina Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Oklahoma +10.5

It's time to 'sell high' on the Kansas Jayhawks.  They have gone 8-0 SU & 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall and are coming off consecutive road wins over Texas Tech and West Virginia, two teams that aren't as good as they get credit for.

Kansas barely survived a 69-67 win over Oklahoma State as 10-point favorites in its last home game, and also failed to covered as 21.5-point favorites in a 14-point win over Harvard in its previous home game.  Now they take on a game Oklahoma team that just doesn't get blown out with their slow it down, defensive mindset.

Oklahoma is 10-5 this season with all five losses by 10 points or fewer, including four losses by 4 points or fewer.  That makes for a 15-0 system backing the Sooners pertaining to this 10.5-point spread.  Recent head-to-head history also shows this is too many points.  Oklahoma is 4-1 ATS in its last five meetings with Kansas with all five games decided by 7 points or fewer.

Kansas is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 home games.  Oklahoma is 6-0 ATS in its last six games after attempting 7 or fewer free throws last game.  The Sooners are 22-11 ATS in their last 33 games as underdogs.  Porter Moser is 37-14 ATS as a road dog of 10 or more points as a head coach.  Roll with Oklahoma Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Texas Tech/Iowa State UNDER 129

Iowa State is a dead nuts UNDER team.  The Cyclones rank 294th in adjusted tempo and 12th in adjusted defense this season.  The UNDER is 14-4 in Cyclones last 18 games overall dating back to last season.

Texas Tech ranks 24th in adjusted defense.  The Red Raiders are struggling on offense right now due to injuries.  Batcho (12.4 PPG), Isaacs (11.3 PPG) and Allen (3.7 PPG) are all questionable to play for the Red Raiders tonight.

The UNDER is 3-1 in the last four meetings.  These teams met three times last season with combined scores of 98, 113 and 132 points.  This total of 129 is too high tonight.  Bet the UNDER in this game Tuesday.

15* NBA Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Hornets/Raptors OVER 228.5

The Charlotte Hornets are a dead nuts OVER team and shouldn't have a total below 230.  We'll take advantage and back the OVER 228.5 tonight in this game against the Toronto Raptors.  It's a fully healthy Raptors team that will hang a big number on the Hornets tonight.

The Hornets rank 5th in pace and 23rd in defensive efficiency this season.  They allow 118.1 points per game and 48% shooting to their opponents.  They have been a better offensive team since getting La'Melo Ball back from injury and also play with more pace with him in the lineup.

Charlotte is 12-1 OVER as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points this season.  Toronto is 15-5 OVER as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last two seasons.  The OVER is 18-8 in Hornets last 26 road games.  The OVER is 11-5-1 in the last 17 meetings, including 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Toronto.  Roll with the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* CBB Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on Kent State -3.5

Kent State is one of the most underrated teams in the country.  They have gone 12-3 SU this season with their three losses all coming on the road to Gonzaga (by 7), Houston (by 5) and College of Charleston (by 2).  Houston and Gonzaga are two of the best teams in the country, while Charleston is 16-1 this season.

The Golden Flashes are home now and take on an overrated Toledo team that sits at 10-5 on the season with losses to Missouri-KC by 12, ECU by 11, George Mason by 7, Marshall by 15 and Ball State by 7.  Those are all way worse losses than what Kent State has.

Kent State is 22-12 SU & 24-10 ATS in its last 34 meetings with Toledo, including 12-4 SU & 10-6 ATS in its last 16 home meetings.  Toledo is 3-15 ATS in its last 18 road games after scoring 80 points or more in three consecutive games.  The Golden Flashes are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games following two or more consecutive wins.

Kent State is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games vs. up-tempo teams that average 62 or more shots per game.  The Golden Flashes are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 home games.  Kent State is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Golden Flashes are 21-7-1 ATS in their last 29 games overall.  Roll with Kent State Tuesday.

20* CBB Tuesday UPSET SHOCKER on LSU +2

LSU is 9-0 at home this season and should not be a home underdog to Florida.  The Tigers just upset Arkansas in their last home game and return home from a two-game trip at Kentucky and Texas A&M highly motivated for a victory after dropping both.

Florida is 1-1 in true road games this season with its lone win at lowly Florida State.  The Gators have been grossly overvalued all season going 8-7 SU as well as 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games overall.  They have no business being road favorites here.

Florida is 5-16 ATS in its last 21 games vs. a team with a winning record.  The Gators are 5-17 ATS in their last 22 games following a win.  Florida is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  Bet LSU Tuesday.

20* Magic/Kings NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Orlando +6

The Orlando Magic have quietly gone 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games overall with eight outright upsets as underdogs.  Bettors just aren't giving this team the credit they deserve, and that continues to be the case tonight with the Magic catching 6 points against the Sacramento Kings.

The Magic just got everyone back from suspension and won outright 115-101 at Golden State as similar 6.5-point dogs.  Now they take on a Sacramento Kings team that has no business laying 6 points to them considering how they are playing of late.

The Kings are 3-5 SU & 2-6 ATS in their last eight games overall with their three wins coming by 1, 1 and 2 points.  So they haven't won any of their last eight games by more than 2 points.  They have been dreadful defensively, which is why it's tough to trust them to lay any points.  They have allowed 112 or more points in 14 consecutive games, including 136 to the Lakers last time out in regulation.

Plays on road underdogs (Orlando) - revenging a close loss by 3 points or less against an opponent that is off an upset loss as a favorite are 33-7 (82.5%) ATS over the last five seasons.  The Kings beat the Magic 126-123 in their first meeting this season.  This one will go down to the wire as well with the Orlando having an excellent shot to get revenge and pull off the outright upset.  Roll with the Magic Monday.

20* Bulls/Celtics NBA TV No-Brainer on Chicago +8.5

The Chicago Bulls are playing some of their best basketball of the season right now and should not be catching this many points against the Boston Celtics.  The Bulls are 8-3 SU & 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall with seven outright upset victories, including wins over the Nets, 76ers, Bucks, Heat and Knicks during this stretch.

The Boston Celtics are overvalued due to their record and it has played out that way here of late.  They are just 3-2 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.  They only beat the Spurs by 5, the Clippers by 6 and lost outright to the Nuggets by 12 and the Thunder by 33 during this stretch.  They will be without Marcus Smart (11.1 PPG, 7.2 APG) tonight.

Chicago clearly matches up well with Boston.  The Bulls are 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS against the Celtics in their first three meetings this season.  They won by 18 as 5-point home dogs, only lost by 4 as 7.5-point road dogs and won by 14 as 5.5-point home dogs.  Now they are catching 8.5 points in the 4th and final meeting, which is too much.  

The Bulls are 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings, including 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings in Boston. Chicago is 12-1 ATS in its last 13 games following an upset win as a home underdogs.  Take the Bulls Monday.

15* NBA Eastern Conference PLAY OF THE DAY on Hornets/Pacers OVER 239

The Hornets and Pacers are both dead nuts OVER teams. The Pacers rank 4th in pace while the Hornets rank 6th. The Hornets rank 24th in defensive efficiency while the Pacers rank 23rd.

That makes it no surprise that these teams play in shootouts when they get together. The OVER is 5-1 in the last six meetings with combined scores of 238, 284, 224, 239, 245 and 261 points.

The OVER is 20-8 in Hornets last 28 road games. The OVER is 11-2 in Hornets last 13 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of great than .600. The OVER is 38-16-1 in Pacers last 55 home games. The OVER is 5-1 in Pacers last six games overall. Roll with the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* NBA Sunday Total DOMINATOR on 76ers/Pistons OVER 229.5

The Philadelphia 76ers have to go small ball without Joel Embiid. They are also without their best defender in PJ Tucker right now, making them a dead nuts OVER team.

The 76ers and their opponents have combined for 227 or more points in seven of their last eight games overall, including 231 or more points in six of those. The Pistons have been a dead nuts OVER team themselves of late combining for 230 or more points in 11 of their last 14 games overall.

The OVER is 26-9 in 76ers last 35 games as road favorites. The OVER is 7-1 in 76ers last eight games overall. The OVER is 6-0 in 76ers last six games playing on one days' rest. The OVER is 7-2 in Pistons last nine home games. The OVER is 7-1 in Pistons last eight Sunday games. The OVER is 8-2-1 in the last 11 meetings. The OVER is 7-1-1 in the last nine meetings in Detroit. Take the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* CBB Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Cincinnati +10

The Cincinnati Bearcats are one of the most underrated teams in the country. They have gone 8-2 SU & 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall and are ready to give Houston a run for its money.

The Cougars are coming off a blowout home win over SMU that has them overvalued. They had previously only beaten UCF by 6 as 15-point home favorites. This will only be their 3rd true road game this season. They won by 10 at Oregon and by 8 at Virginia, and I think Cincinnati can stay within single-digits of them, if not pull off the upset.

The Bearcats are 8-0 ATS in their last eight home games and will have a huge home-court advantage today with Houston coming to town. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings. Roll with Cincinnati Sunday.

20* CBB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Houston/Cincinnati UNDER 135

The recent head-to-head history between Cincinnati and Houston indicates this total has been set too high. They have combined for 125, 128, 138, 135, 132, 123, 126 and 126 points in their last eight meetings.

As you can see, they have combined for 135 or fewer points in seven of their last eight meetings. They played each other three times last season, and familiarity favors defense and low scoring games.

Houston is a dead nuts UNDE team ranking 342nd in adjusted tempo and 2nd in defensive efficiency. The UNDER is 43-20 in Bearcats last 63 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The UNDER is 37-15-1 in Cougars last 53 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Take the UNDER in this game Sunday.

15* CBB Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Ohio State/Maryland UNDER 140.5

Both Ohio State and Maryland will be motivated for wins today as both are coming off losses. I think that will have their defensive intensity high, and we'll take advantage by backing the UNDER.

Ohio State ranks 233rd in the country in adjusted tempo and 77th in adjusted defense. Maryland ranks 222nd in adjusted tempo and 32nd in adjusted defense. So both teams play slow, and both get after it defensively. Maryland has been held to 46 and 50 points in consecutive losses.

Maryland is 11-4 UNDER in all games this season. The UNDER is 10-1 in Maryland's last 11 home games vs. good defensive teams that allow 42% or less. Bet the UNDER in this game Sunday.

15* Northwestern/Indiana Big Ten Early ANNIHILATOR on Northwestern +6.5

The Northwestern Wildcats have a great chance to upset the Indiana Hoosiers today. They are 11-3 overall including 6-1 in their last seven games overall with upset wins over both Michigan State by 7 on the road and Illinois by 13 at home.

Indiana is 2-3 SU & 0-5 ATS in its last five games overall. A big reason for the Hoosiers' struggles is playing without Xavier Johnson (11.6 PPG, 4.7 APG, 4.4 RPG) during this stretch. Now they are without Race Thompson (8.4 PPG, 6.1 RPG) as well.

Northwestern is 5-0-1 ATS in its last six meetings with Indiana. Bet Northwestern Sunday.

15* NBA Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Magic/Warriors OVER 231.5

The Golden State Warriors are a dead nuts OVER team right now. They just combined for 241 points at the end of regulation with the Pistons last time out and 242 points with the Hawks the game prior. They have scored at least 110 points in seven consecutive games.

Now they take on an Orlando Magic team that is also a dead nuts OVER team and just got a lot of key guys back from suspension. The Magic just combined for 238 points with the Grizzlies after combining for 241 points with the Thunder the game prior. They have allowed 110 or more points in eight consecutive games, and scored 110 or more in six of those eight.

The Magic and Warriors squared off back on November with the Magic winning 130-129 for 259 combined points at the end of regulation. The OVER is 6-2 in Magic last eight games overall. The OVER is 5-0 in Magic last five Saturday games. Roll with the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* NBA Saturday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Utah Jazz +1.5

The Chicago Bulls will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after an upset win at Philadelphia last night. All five starters played at least 32 minutes for the Bulls, including 38 from LaVine, 37 from DeRozan and 36 from Vucevic. 

Not only will it be the 2nd of a back-top-back for the Bulls, but it will also be their 6th game in 9 days. They won't have much left in the tank for the Utah Jazz tonight, and this is now a letdown spot for them after upsetting both the 76ers and Nets in their last two games.

They Jazz are rested and ready to go playing just their 3rd game in 7 days. They are coming off a 17-point blowout win at Houston. They should not be underdogs in this game given the favorable situation for them tonight.

Utah is 16-6 ATS as underdogs this season. Chicago is 2-10 ATS in non-conference games this season. The Jazz are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games following a win by more than 10 points. Take the Jazz Saturday.

15* Heat/Suns ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Miami -1

The Miami Heat have gotten healthy and are playing their best basketball of the season as a result.  They have gone 7-4 SU in their last 11 games overall.  I like the fact that they are coming off an upset loss to the Lakers because they will come back motivated tonight and not take the Suns lightly.

The Suns are going through their worst stretch of the season due to injuries.  They are playing without Devin Booker (27.1 PPG, 5.6 APG), Cam Johnson (13.0 PPG) and Cameron Payne (12.1 PPG, 5.3 APG).  Chris Paul is too old to carry this team any longer, and they just aren't very good without those three.  They have been held to 83 and 88 points in their last two games.

The Suns are now 1-7 SU in their last eight games overall with losses by 25, 25 and 19 points during this stretch.  They are coming off a six-game road trip, and I love fading teams in their first game back home following a long trip.  They have a lot of distractions to deal with back at home and not much time to do it with only one day off in between games.  They haven't been home since December 23rd before Christmas.

The Suns are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 Friday games.  The Heat are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 trips to Phoenix.  Miami is 8-0 ATS in its last eight road games following four or more consecutive road games.  Phoenix is 0-9 ATS in its last nine games after allowing 90 points or fewer.  Take the Heat Friday.

15* NBA Friday Undervalued Underdog on Los Angeles Clippers +3.5

The Los Angeles Clippers will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back, but not all back-to-backs are created equal.  They were down by nearly 40 points in the 1st half against the Nuggets last night and as a result didn't play their starters in the 2nd half.  Plus, they had two days off prior to the Denver game.

All five starters played 18 minutes or fewer, meaning they should still be fresh for Minnesota and should still have all hands on deck.  It also means the Clippers will be playing with a big chip on their shoulder after getting embarrassed on National TV last night.  I fully expect them to come back tonight and win this game outright, but we'll take the 3.5 points for some insurance.

They take on a Minnesota Timberwolves team that is not playing well right now, going just 2-6 SU & 3-5 ATS in their last six games overall.  The Timberwolves have some injuries that are piling up and still don't have Karl-Anthony Towns back yet.

The Clippers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall, including 5-0 ATS in their last five games vs. a team with a losing record.  Los Angeles is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.  The Clippers are 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 trips to Minnesota.  Roll with the Clippers Friday.

20* NBA Friday Total DOMINATOR on Pistons/Spurs OVER 232.5

Both the Detroit Pistons and San Antonio Spurs are dead nuts OVER teams right now.  Both rank in the top half of the league in pace and these are the two worst defensive teams in the entire NBA.  The Spurs rank 30th in defensive efficiency while the Pistons rank 29th.

The OVER is 9-0 in Spurs last nine games overall with combined scores of 229 or more points in all nine games, and 237 or more combined points in seven of those.  They have allowed 115 or more points in eight consecutive games.

The OVER is 9-4 in Pistons last 13 games overall.  The Pistons and their opponents have combined for at least 235 or more points in 10 of those 13 games, so this 232.5-point total is very short considering how these two teams have been playing of late.

Detroit is 7-0 OVER vs. poor defensive teams that allow 116 or more points per game this season with an average of 250.3 combined points in those seven games.  The OVER is 5-0 in Pistons last five games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  The OVER is 12-1 in Spurs last 13 games overall.  Take the OVER in this game Friday.

20* NBA Friday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Blazers/Pacers OVER 231.5

The OVER is 5-0 in Pacers last five games overall.  They have combined for 243, 261, 261, 236 and 240 points at the end of regulation in their last five games, respectively.  This total is way too short tonight against the Portland Trail Blazers.

The Blazers and their opponents have combined for 227 or more points in four of their last five games coming in.  The Blazers have scored at least 116 points in nine of their last 15 games overall and are an elite offensive team.  They have also allowed at least 111 points in 18 of their last 22 games overall.

Indiana is 7-0 OVER in its last seven home games after winning three of its last four games this season.  The OVER is 38-15-1 in Pacers last 54 home games overall.  The Pacers rank 6th in pace this season and will control the tempo playing at home.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* NBA Eastern Conference TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Bulls/76ers OVER 227.5

The Philadelphia 76ers will be without Joel Embiid tonight but that actually makes them a better OVER team.  It means that they have to go smaller and it takes away from them defensively more than anything.  They still have plenty of scorers in Harden, Maxey, Harris and company to hang a big number on offense, but they will also give up a big number on defense.

The 76ers just beat the Pacers 129-126 (OT) in a game that saw 240 combined points at the end of regulation without Embiid.  They are really hitting on all cylinders on offense scoring at least 11 points in eight consecutive games.  The OVER is 6-1 in 76ers last seven games overall.

The Bulls are also thriving offensively right now and embracing the up-tempo style.  They have scored at least 118 points in six of their last seven games overall with the OVER 5-2 in their last seven games.  They have allowed 112 or more points in six of their last seven games overall as well.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* Celtics/Mavericks TNT No-Brainer on Boston -2

I love the spot for the Boston Celtics tonight.  They are coming off two consecutive road losses to Denver and Oklahoma City.  That includes their worst loss of the season at OKC by a final of 117-150 despite being 11.5-point favorites.  Now we get them at a great value as only 2-point favorites at Dallas, and they are rested and ready to go playing only their 3rd game in 7 days.

While it's a great time to 'buy low' on the Celtics off that blowout loss, it's time to 'sell high' on the Mavericks who have won seven consecutive games against a soft schedule.  Three of those wins came against Houston, while the other four came against Minnesota, LA Lakers, New York and San Antonio.  Their winning streak comes to an end tonight against the best team they have faced in a long time.

Plays on road favorites (Boston) - after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games against an opponent that went over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 29-5 (85.3%) ATS over the last five seasons.

The Mavericks are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a win.  Dallas is 10-22-2 ATS in its last 34 games overall.  The Mavericks are 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven games when playing on two days' rest.  Boston is 6-0 ATS in its last six games after allowing more than 125 points in its previous game.  Boston is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 trips to Dallas.  Take the Celtics Thursday.

20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK in Grizzlies/Magic OVER 226.5

The Orlando Magic had scored 110 or more points in nine of their last 10 games overall before playing the Pistons and getting into a brawl.  Several players were ejected and suspended, but they get several of them back last night and get more back tonight.

The Magic just beat the Thunder 126-115 last night for 241 combined points.  The Magic have allowed 110 or more points in seven consecutive games and 119 or more in four of those.  They are allowing an average of 115.4 points per game at home this season.

The Grizzlies have scored at least 116 points in four consecutive games and 114 or more in 15 of their last 21 games overall.  Memphis is allowing 114.9 points per game on the road this season.  This is a very low total for how both of these teams are playing right now.

The Grizzlies are 14-3 OVER in their last 17 road games following a road win by 10 points or more.  The Magic are 11-2 OVER in non-conference games this season.  Plays on the OVER when the total is 210 or higher (Orlando) - playing the 2nd of a back-to-back, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing a team with a winning record are 72-34 (67.9%) since 1996.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* Purdue/Ohio State FS1 ANNIHILATOR on Ohio State -1

The Purdue Boilermakers just had their perfect 13-0 record go away with a 64-65 home loss to Rutgers last time out.  I always like fading teams the game after having a long winning streak come to an end because there tends to be a hangover effect.  And this is a brutal spot for the Boilermakers tonight.

They now have to travel to face an Ohio State team that is 10-3 this season and playing well, going 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three games overall with wins by 34, 31 and 16 points.  The Buckeyes are a perfect 7-0 SU at home this season and outscoring opponents by 27.0 points per game.  They basically just have to win this game to cover tonight.

The Boilermakers have been one of the most overrated teams in the country dating back to last season, going 6-18-3 ATS in their last 27 games overall.  Purdue is 2-12-2 ATS in its last 14 games following an ATS loss.  The Boilermakers are 0-7 ATS in their last seven games after allowing 65 points or fewer in two consecutive games.  Roll with Ohio State Thursday.

20* NBA Eastern Conference TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Nets/Bulls OVER 235

No team is hotter offensively right now than the Brooklyn Nets.  They have scored 118 or more points in 10 of their last 12 games during their current 12-game winning streak.  Now they'll be up against a Bulls team that is allowing 122.4 points per game in their last five games and 115.6 points per game overall this season.

The Bulls are hot offensively themselves right now.  They have scored at least 118 points in five of their last six games overall and have embraced the up-tempo style.  The OVER is 5-1 in Bulls last six games overall as a result.   Five of those six games saw 232 or more combined points.  Take the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Night BLOWOUT on Southern Illinois ML -115

Drake has been one of the most overrated teams in the country this season.  They are 11-4 SU but just 4-9-1 ATS.  The Bulldogs have been terrible in true road games, going 0-4 SU with losses at Indiana State, Richmond, Saint Louis and Missouri State.

Southern Illinois has won six straight coming in and has a tremendous home-court advantage.  The Salukis are 6-1 at home this season with their lone loss coming to Indiana State by 3.  They are outscoring opponents by 16.2 points per game at home this season.

Southern Illinois has had this game circled all offseason.  They have triple-revenge in mind after losing all three meetings with Drake last season, including losses by 1 and 2 points in the regular season before getting knocked out of the MVC Tournament by the Bulldogs.  They get their revenge in their first meeting in 2022-23.

The Bulldogs are 16-34-2 ATS in their last 52 games overall.  The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.  Take Southern Illinois Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Pacers/76ers OVER 231.5

The Philadelphia 76ers are fully healthy right now and loaded on offense.  They have scored at least 111 points in 12 of their last 13 games overall including 118 or more seven of those games.  They face a Pacers team that allows 115.8 points per game on the season.

The Pacers are a great OVER team because they rank 4th in pace and 24th in defensive efficiency.  The OVER is 4-0 in Pacers last four games overall with combined scores of 243, 261, 261 and 236 points.  They have scored 122 or more points in all four games and have now scored at least 111 points in 12 of their last 15 games overall.

The OVER is 6-2 in the last eight meetings.  The OVER is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Philadelphia.  The OVER is 5-1 in 76ers last six games overall.  Roll with the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* NBA Non-Conference TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Thunder/Magic OVER 227.5

The Thunder and their opponents have combined for 267, 234, 244 and 253 points in four of their last five games coming in.  They have embraced playing the up-tempo game this season making them a dead nuts OVER team.

The Orlando Magic had scored 110 or more points in nine of their last 10 games overall before playing the Pistons and getting into a brawl.  Several players were ejected and suspended, but they get several of them back tonight including Anthony, Harris, Bamba and Carter Jr.  They'll have no problem getting up and down with the Thunder tonight.  The Magic have allowed 110 or more points in six consecutive games and 119 or more in four of those.

The Thunder are 10-2 OVER in non-conference games this season, and 7-0 OVER following two consecutive non-conference games.  The OVER is 40-15-1 in Magic last 56 Wednesday games.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* CBB Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Penn State/Michigan UNDER 142

Penn State ranks 275th in adjusted tempo and 63rd in adjusted defense.  Michigan has been playing faster at 115th in adjusted tempo while playing solid D at 72nd in adjusted defense.  This total has way too high when you consider the head-to-head series history.

Michigan and Penn State have combined for 141 or fewer points in six of their last seven meetings with the lone exception being 144 points.  Bet the UNDER in this game Wednesday.

20* ACC GAME OF THE WEEK on Pittsburgh +6.5

What more does Pittsburgh have to do to start getting some respect from bettors and the books alike?  The Panthers have gone 9-1 SU & 9-0-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall with their only loss coming by a single point at Vanderbilt, 74-75 as 3.5-point dogs.

The Panthers have pulled off upsets of UNC as 6.5-point home dogs, Syracuse as 3.5-point road dogs, NC State as 10-point road dogs and Northwestern as 7.5-point road dogs during this stretch.  So it's not like they are beating up on inferior teams.

Now the Panthers are 6.5-point home dogs to a Virginia team that has only played three true road games this season.  They won by 2 at Michigan and lost by 2 at Miami while winning and covering against a bad Georgia Tech team.

The last three meetings between Virginia and Pittsburgh were decided by 1, 5 and 7 points with two of those being at Virginia.  The Cavaliers are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games overall and getting way too much respect from oddsmakers consistently.  Virginia is 14-29-2 ATS in its last 45 games following an ATS win.  Take Pittsburgh Tuesday.

20* Wizards/Bucks NBA TV No-Brainer on UNDER 230

Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games.  This will be the 2nd meeting in 3 days between the Bucks and Wizards.  The Wizards beat a depleted Bucks team 118-95 for 213 combined points with a total of 221.5.  Oddsmakers have adjusted this total up too much now for the rematch setting it at 230 because Giannis, Holiday and Hill are supposed to come back.  Those three will provide offense, but they are also upgrades defensively.

Milwaukee ranks 13th in pace this season while Washington ranks 18th, so both are in the middle of the pack.  But both get after it defensively.  The Bucks rank 4th in defensive efficiency while the Wizards rank 11th, making them one of the most improved defensive teams in the NBA.  They have allowed 111 or fewer points in five consecutive games during their current five-game winning streak.

The UNDER is 4-0 in the last four meetings between the Bucks and Wizards with combined scores of 213, 216, 210 and 195 points.  They haven't sniffed 230 combined points in their last four meetings.  The UNDER is 7-0 in Wizards last seven road games.  Bet the UNDER in this game Tuesday.

20* Heat/Clippers NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles -2.5

This is a great time to 'buy low' on the Los Angeles Clippers following two consecutive road losses to the Celtics and Pacers by a combined 7 points.  Now they are back home tonight and highly motivated for a victory.  Look for them to handle their business against the Miami Heat as they are 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five home games with all four wins coming by 9 points or more.

The spot is terrible for the Miami Heat.  They will be playing their 3rd road game in 4 days and just played in altitude twice in Denver and Utah.  They won't have much left in the tank for the Clippers tonight.

Home-court advantage has been big in this series as the home team is 4-0 SU in the last four meetings.  The Clippers are 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.  The Heat are 4-16-2 ATS in their last 22 games following a win.  Los Angeles is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games overall and as healthy as they have been all season, showing why they were the preseason title favorites.  I like backing a motivated Clippers team as a short home favorite tonight.  Bet the Clippers Monday.

15* NBA Monday Undervalued Underdog on Detroit Pistons +9.5

The Portland Trail Blazers have no business being 9.5-point favorites against anyone right now.  They are 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall with two losses to OKC and a loss to a short-handed Warriors team.  Asking them to win by double-digits to beat us tonight is asking too much.

The Pistons are playing well right now upsetting the Magic by 20 as home underdogs and upsetting the Timberwolves by 12 as road underdogs in two of their last three games.  They also played the Bulls to the wire in between, but the Bulls had a huge run late to pull away.  They took the Clippers to OT the game prior, too.

Portland is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 games when playing 3 or less games in 10 days.  The Blazers are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games following an upset loss as a favorite.  The Pistons are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 road games.  Take the Pistons Monday.

15* NBA Western Conference PLAY OF THE DAY on Houston Rockets +7.5

The Houston Rockets will be playing with double-revenge tonight.  They lost by 6 to the Mavericks on December 23rd at home and by 15 to the Mavericks on December 29th on the road.  So they will be facing the Mavericks for a 3rd time in 11 days here, and it's clear they will want this win a lot more than the Mavericks will.

While it's a great time to 'buy low' on the Rockets after losing eight of their last nine games, it's also a great time to 'sell high' on the Mavericks after winning six consecutive games.  Five of those six wins came by single-digits, so they have simply been fortunate in close games, including a 1-point win over the Spurs last time out as 7.5-point favorites.

Dallas is 4-13 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.  The Mavericks are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games.  Dallas is 10-21-2 ATS in its last 33 games overall.  Roll with the Rockets Monday.

15* NBA Monday UPSET SHOCKER on Minnesota Timberwolves +2.5

This is a terrible spot for the Denver Nuggets.  They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days.  They just upset the Boston Celtics at home last night, making this the perfect letdown spot for them.  Don't be surprised to see them rest some starters given the terrible rest spot.

It's a great time to 'buy low' on the Timberwolves, who have lost six consecutive games coming in.  They will be rested and motivated after having yesterday off.  The Timberwolves have owned the Nuggets, going 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in the last three meetings with wins by 17, 15 and 6 points.

Denver is 1-8 ATS in its last nine road games following two or more consecutive wins.  It is losing by 7.3 points per game on average in this spot.  Take the Timberwolves Monday.

20* NBA Non-Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on San Antonio Spurs +12.5

It's time to 'sell high' on the Brooklyn Nets.  They have won 11 consecutive games and are now getting way too much respect from oddsmakers.  They won't be excited at all to face the San Antonio Spurs tonight, and it's exactly the type of team that could end their streak.

The Spurs are as healthy as they have been all season and it's starting to show in their play.  They have quietly gone 6-6 SU & 7-5 ATS in their last 12 games overall.  All six wins came outright as underdogs and they also only lost by 1 to Dallas last time out.

Brooklyn is 12-36 ATS in its last 48 games as a home favorite.  The Nets are 4-19 ATS in their last 23 home games vs. a team with a losing record.  San Antonio is 16-6 ATS in its last 22 trips to Brooklyn.  Bet the Spurs Monday.

20* NBA Non-Conference TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Spurs/Nets OVER 236

The San Antonio Spurs are a dead nuts OVER team when healthy.  Well, they are fully healthy right now and have gone 10-1 OVER in their last 11 games overall with combined scores of 251, 237, 244, 248, 246 and 243 points in their last six games overall.  The Spurs have scored at least 112 points in 11 of their last 12 games overall.

The Brooklyn Nets are really clicking on offense during their current 11-game winning streak.  They have scored at least 118 points in nine of their last 11 games overall and will get their points against the Spurs, but I expect them to give up a bunch, too.  The OVER is 5-1 in the last six meetings in this series.  Take the OVER in this game Monday.

15* NBA Eastern Conference PLAY OF THE DAY on Bulls/Cavs UNDER 223

Familiarity favors defense and low scoring games.  Well, the Bulls and Cavs will be playing for a 2nd time in 3 days.  The Cavs won 103-102 in Chicago for just 205 combined points, and it's not like either team shot terrible as the Bulls shot 48% while the Cavs shot 46%.  The books are making a mistake not adjusting this total down further for the familiarity factor.

Also, the Cavaliers will be without PG  Darius Garland (21.4 PPG, 7.8 APG), which is a big loss for them offensively.  They could also be without Evan Mobley (14.5 PPG), who is questionable.  Cleveland ranks dead last (30th) in pace and will control the tempo playing at home.  They also rank 1st in defensive efficiency, making them a dream UNDER team.

Chicago is 9-1 UNDER in its last 10 road games following a loss by 6 points or less.  The UNDER is 10-1 in Bulls last 11 Monday games.  The Bulls and Cavaliers have combined for 226 or fewer points in 11 consecutive meetings, including failing to reach 223 combined points in eight of their last 10 meetings.  Roll with the UNDER in this game Monday.

15* NBA Monday Total DOMINATOR on Lakers/Hornets OVER 242

I cashed in the Lakers/Hornets OVER on December 23rd in Los Angeles when these teams combined for 264 points in a 134-130 Lakers victory.  Oddsmakers have once again failed to set this number high enough tonight as these are two dead nuts OVER teams.

The Lakers rank 2nd in the NBA in pace while the Hornets rank 7th, so both like to get up and down.  All these possessions usually result in buckets for the opponent as the Hornets rank 23rd in defensive efficiency while the Lakers rank 22nd.  The Lakers have scored at least 115 points in 10 of their last 12 games overall.

The OVER is 14-2 in Lakers last 16 games vs. Southeast Division opponents, including 6-2 in their last eight meetings with the Hornets.  The OVER is 8-1 in Lakers last nine road games.  The OVER is 6-1 in Lakers last seven games overall.  The OVER is 4-0 in Hornets last four games vs. a team with a losing record.  Roll with the OVER in this game Monday.

20* NBA Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Celtics -1.5

The Boston Celtics are 4-0 SU & 3-1 ATS in their last four games overall with wins by 12 over the Timberwolves, by 21 over the Bucks, by 26 over the Rockets and by 6 over the Clippers.  They are as healthy as they have been all season with Robert Williams back in the lineup, and they are now not only the best offensive team in the NBA, but also one of the best defensive teams with Williams.

It's time to 'sell high' on the Denver Nuggets, who have won six of their last seven games against a soft schedule.  They have also been very fortunate in close games during this run with four wins by 7 points or fewer.  Their luck runs out tonight against a better, more complete Celtics team that is rested after having the last two days off.

The Celtics simply own the Nuggets, going 6-1 SU & 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings.  They have won six consecutive meetings straight up by 19, 20, 6, 18, 13 and 13 points.  Boston is 24-11-2 ATS in its last 37 road games.  Bet the Celtics Sunday.

15* CBB Sunday PLAY OF THE DAY on Temple +4

Cincinnati has benefitted from playing a home-heavy, easy schedule this season.  The Bearcats have played the 281st-ranked schedule and have only played one true road game this season.  They lost outright by 13 at Northern Kentucky as 6.5-point favorites.  

I think they lose outright here too as this is a great time to 'sell high' on the Bearcats after going 7-1 SU & 8-0 ATS in their last eight games overall.  Seven of those games were at home with a neutral game against lowly Louisville mixed in.

Temple has played the 123rd-ranked schedule, which is nearly 150 spots harder than that of Cincinnati.  It's a Temple team that has beaten the likes of Villanova, Rutgers and VCU this season with five of their seven losses coming by single-digits.

Cincinnati is 1-8 ATS in its last nine games as a road favorite of 6 points or less or PK.  Temple is 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS in its last three meetings with Cincinnati with two outright upsets and a 2-point loss as a 6.5-point dog.  The Owls are 6-0 ATS in their last six Sunday games.  The underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.  Roll with Temple Sunday.

15* NBA Western Conference PLAY OF THE DAY on Memphis Grizzlies -6

The Memphis Grizzlies have been dynamite at home this season.  They are 13-3 SU & 12-4 ATS at home while outscoring opponents by 11.5 points per game.  They are fully healthy right now and rested and ready to go after having yesterday off.

The same cannot be said for the Pelicans, who will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 6th game in 10 days after a home win over the Philadelphia 76ers last night.  They will be without Brandon Ingram and Larry Nance Jr. again tonight, and don't be surprised if they rest others after Williamson played 31 minutes and McCollum 35 minutes last night.

Home-court advantage has been huge in this series as the home team is 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS in the last five meetings with all four wins by double-digits.  Memphis is 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in its last five meetings with New Orleans with wins by 21, 27, 21 and 12 points.

The Pelicans are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 Saturday games.  The Grizzlies are 36-15-1 ATS in their last 52 home games.  Memphis is 8-0 ATS in its last eight games after losing four or five of its last six games.  The Grizzlies are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games after failing to cover four or five of their last six games.  The Pelicans are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games after covering four of their last five ATS coming in.  Roll with the Grizzlies Saturday.

15* NBA Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Mavs/Spurs OVER 230.5

The books have set the bar too low in this game between the San Antonio Spurs and Dallas Mavericks tonight considering the way they have been playing recently.  We'll take advantage and back the OVER tonight.

The Spurs have gotten healthy of late and have gone 9-1 OVER in their last 10 games overall.  They have scored at least 112 points in 10 of their last 11 games overall while allowing at least 111 points in nine of their last 10 games.

The OVER is 3-0 in Mavericks last three games overall.  They combined for 239 points with the Lakers, to 247 points with the Knicks and 243 points with the Rockets.  They combined for 250 and 232 points in their last two meetings with the Spurs, respectively.

Plays on the OVER in all teams where the total is 220 or higher (Dallas) - after going over the total by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, a team with a winning record playing a losing team are 31-10 (75.6%) since 1996.  Take the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* NBA Saturday Night BLOWOUT on Cleveland Cavaliers -2.5

This is a terrible spot for the Chicago Bulls tonight.  They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after needing a big 4th quarter finish to pull away to beat the lowly Detroit Pistons last night.  They will also be playing their 3rd game in 4 days and won't have much left in the tank for the Cleveland Cavaliers tonight.  Four starters played at least 31 minutes last night including over 38 for LaVine and nearly 35 for DeRozan.

The Cavaliers come in rested and ready to go after having yesterday off, and they will be playing just their 2nd game in 5 days.  Cleveland will also be highly motivated for a victory after losing three consecutive games coming in.  They had won five straight prior to this stretch.

Plays on road favorites (Cleveland) - after beating the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games against an opponent that went over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 29-5 (85.3%) ATS over the last five seasons.  Bet the Cavaliers Saturday.

20* NBA Eastern Conference TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Nets/Hornets OVER 237

The Brooklyn Nets are a dead nuts OVER team right now.  They have gone 7-3 OVER in their last 10 games overall and have combined for 235 or more points in seven of those 10 games.  They have scored 118 or more points in eight of those 10 games.

The Charlotte Hornets are a dead nuts OVER team as it is, but they have actually gone under the total in three consecutive games which is keeping this number lower than it should be.  The Hornets got back La'Melo Ball from injury and the books have jacked up their totals because of it.  But this one is now too low tonight.

The Hornets rank 10th in the NBA in pace and play even faster with Ball.  They rank 23rd in defensive efficiency as well.  The Hornets and their opponents have combined for 231 or more points in nine of their last 10 games overall, so it's not like they are playing in low-scoring games.  

These teams combined for 238 points in their most recent meeting on December 7th as well, a game in which Ball was out.  Plays on the OVER on home teams where the total is 230 or higher (Charlotte) - after going under the total by 18 points or more total in their last three games, a bad team winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season are 37-11 (77.1%) since 1996.  Roll with the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* NBA DOG OF THE WEEK on San Antonio Spurs +7.5

The San Antonio Spurs have quietly gone 6-5 SU in their last 11 games overall despite being underdogs in all 11 games.  That means they have six outright upset wins as underdogs.  They have gotten healthy which is a big reason for their improved play.

While the Spurs are getting zero respect for their recent solid play, the Mavericks are getting massive respect for their 5-0 SU run.  Now they are 7.5-point road favorites here against the Spurs when this line should be much closer to PK.  The Mavericks cannot be trusted as this big of a favorite.  They have played 36 games this season and have just six wins by double-digits, so they aren't blowing teams out.

Dallas is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games following a divisional home win.  The Mavericks are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games after winning four or five of their last six games.  Dallas is 4-12 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.  The Mavericks are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 road games.  Dallas is 2-8-1 ATS in its last 11 games vs. a team with a losing record.  Bet the Spurs Saturday.

20* CBB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Santa Clara +6

Santa Clara is too good to be catching 6 points at home to St. Mary's today.  Santa Clara is 13-3 this season with the three losses coming to Utah State, UCF and San Jose State with two of those on the road.  The Broncos are 10-1 at home this season and have won five consecutive games coming in with the last three all by 9 points or more.  That includes wins over quality opponents in San Francisco by 12 and Boise State by 15 in their last two games.

St. Mary's is 11-4 this season with losses to Washington, New Mexico, Houston and Colorado State.  Amazingly, the Gaels have yet to play a true road game, so this will be their first true road game of 2022.  They almost made it to 2023 without having to play a true road game, which is just nuts.  I always like fading teams in their first true road game.

The head-to-head history also shows Santa Clara is catching too many points tonight.  The Broncos are 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings with the Gaels.  Amazingly, each of the last six meetings in this series have been decided by 8 points or less, including five by 6 points or fewer.  The Broncos are 7-0 ATS in their last seven home games following three or more consecutive home wins.  Roll with Santa Clara Saturday.