40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Purdue -4) 

I'll take my chances here with Purdue bouncing back from that ugly home loss to Illinois with a big win at home over the Badgers. The Boilermakers couldn't have played much worse in the loss to the Illini and it didn't help that Illinois had one of their better shooting nights. The Illini are only shooting 31.2% from 3 on the season, yet were 44% from deep with Frazier hitting 5 of 7. Not to mention that's an Illinois team that is now tied with Michigan State on top the Big Ten and also won at Wisconsin earlier. 

Prior to losing at home to the Illini, Purdue had gone 3-0 at home in Big Ten play with a 29-point home win over Michigan State. Wisconsin is a team that loves to shoot the 3 ball and that's really the strength of the Boilermakers defense, which is 6th nationally allowing teams to hit just 28% from deep. Give me Purdue -4! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Indiana +4) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Indiana as a home dog against the Spartans. Most people have Michigan State in a class of their own in the Big Ten and they are sitting on top the conference at 6-1, but I don't think they are that much better than the rest of the league. 

What people fail to realize with the Spartans strong start to Big Ten play is the favorable schedule. Michigan State has played just two road games in Big Ten play and one of those was at Northwestern, which they only won by 5. The other was at Purdue, where they got absolutely annihilated 71-42. 

Indiana is one of those teams that is a completely different monster at home than on the road. Hoosiers are 3-0 at home in Big Ten play and 1-3 on the road. Sure two of those home wins were against bottom feeders Nebraska and Northwestern, but they did beat Ohio State by 12 at home. THey also had a 16-point win at home against a really good FSU team in non-conference play. Give me the Hoosiers +4! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS SLAUGHTER (Ohio St -8) 

I'll take my chances here with Ohio State laying 8-points at home. This line isn't going to make much sense to a lot of people. You got a Buckeyes team that has lost 5 of their last 6 games laying almost double-digits to a team they lost to by 13 on the road. That's the Big Ten for ya and if you look at how different the Gophers have been on the road compared to at home you would see why this line makes perfect sense. 

Minnesota has played 8 conference games, 4 at home and 4 on the road. In their 4 Big Ten home games their offense is averaging 77.8 ppg. In their 4 road games they are scoring a mere 57.0 ppg in regulation (did have 78 in 2OT at Purdue). Maybe the most telling game is their matchup at Iowa, where they scored just 52 against a bad Hawkeyes defense. 

Another thing to note with Ohio State and their recent struggles is almost all of their losses came away from home. In fact, they are 10-1 at home, where they are outscoring teams by nearly 23 points/game and giving up just 56.4 ppg. Give me the Buckeyes -8! 

50* NBA WESTERN CONF GAME OF THE MONTH (Pelicans -3.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with New Orleans as a mere 3.5-point home favorite against the Spurs. Pelicans have really been playing some great basketball of late and are about to add their best player in rookie Zion Williamson. With the recent return of Jrue Holiday they are as healthy as they have been all season. 

Some might be concerned with Williamson throwing off the chemistry of this team, but I'm just not buying it. This is a very unselfish team and will only be better with him on the floor. Spurs have been playing better of late, which is also playing into this number, but San Antonio can't be trusted on the road, where they are just 7-13 on the season. Not to mention this is the Spurs second road game in 3 days and their 6th road game in their last 8 games overall. Give me the Pelicans -3.5! 

40* NBA VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Grizzlies +9) 

I'll take my chances here with the Grizzlies as a 9-point dog at Boston. I just think we are seeing a big overreaction with this line due to the recent results of both teams. Memphis just laid an egg in their last game against the Pelicans at home, as loss that snapped the Grizzlies 7-game winning streak. It was simply a rare off night for Memphis and a bit of bad luck that Jrue Holiday comes out after missing 5 games and scores 36 points with a career-high 7 3-pointers. Not only that but the Pelicans as a team made a franchise best 21 3-pointers. Not a lot you can do when a team shoots like that. 

Prior to that game Memphis was playing as well as any team out there. Their net rating in the previous 7 games was the 3rd best mark in the NBA with both their offensive and defensive ratings in the Top 10.

As for Boston they just absolutely laid it on the Lakers in a 139-107 win at home against LeBron and AD. Much like the hot shooting of New Orleans did in the Grizzlies, Boston had one of those nights against the Lakers, shooting 55.9% from the field and 47% from deep with 16 made 3-pointers.

That was not just another game for Boston. Kemba Walker won his first ever game against LeBron. I just think the Celtics are going to have a really tough time bringing their “A” game in this one. I also wouldn’t be shocked if they rested some guys, as they got a lot of guys banged up right now. Prior to the win over LA, Boston had lost 6 of their previous 8 with home losses to the Suns and Pistons and Spurs, as well as a road loss to the Wizards and a loss at Philly without Embiid playing for the 76ers.

Celtics are just 1-5 ATS last 6 off a cover, 2-6 ATS last 8 as a home favorite and 1-4 ATS last 5 off a win by 10 or more. Memphis is 6-1-1 ATS last 8 as a road dog and 4-0 ATS last 4 off a SU loss. Grizzlies have also covered a ridiculous 16 of their last 20 visits to Boston. Give me Memphis +9.  

40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Raptors -5) 

I'll take my chances here with Toronto as a 5-point home favorite against the 76ers. This is just too good a price to pass up with the Raptors at home against a Philadelphia team that has really struggled on the road and is missing their best player in Embiid. 

I just think we are getting value due to the fact that the 76ers have won 4 straight, but two of those were against the Nets and the other two were against the Bulls and Knicks. Big thing to note is how bad Philadelphia's offense has been on the road without Embiid. Outside of the 117 they scored at Brooklyn (playing no defense) they scored just 91 at Dallas, 95 at Indiana and 90 at New York. 

That simply won't cut it with how Toronto's offense is going right now. Raptors have scored 122 or more in their last 4 games and 3 of those were on the road. Toronto is finally back to full strength and have really picked up the tempo. 76ers won't be able to keep this close. Give me the Raptors -5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Michigan -4) 

I'll take my chances here with Michigan as a 4-point home favorite against the Nittany Lions. The hype around the Wolverines has cooled off considerably from their 7-0 start, when everyone was all over them after winning 3 straight against ISU, UNC and Gonzaga. They have gone just 4-6 over their last 10 games, losers of 3 of their last 4 and are just 2-4 in Big Ten play. All of that is playing into this favorable line. 

Not only are Big Ten teams now 42-7 at home going into Tuesday’s games, but Michigan is 8-1 on their home floor with the only loss coming in OT against a really good Oregon team.  I still think this is a really good team and there’s a chance here they get back a key piece in Isaiah Livers, who is really close. Livers dressed for their last game against Iowa and went through the pre-game warm-ups. I also think freshman Franz Wagner is emerging into a star with this team. 

 As for Penn State, I was all over them in their big blowout win at home against Ohio State last time out. I also played against the game before at Minnesota, as well as their previous road game at Rutgers. Nittany Lions have yet to win on the road in the Big Ten and I think there recent win against the Buckeyes really speaks volumes to how different things are on the road compared to at home. That same Ohio State team annihilated the Nittany Lions 106-74 in Columbus in a previous matchup this season. 

40* NCAAB SHARP MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Mississippi State -2.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Bulldogs as a slim 2.5-point home favorite against the Razorbacks. Bulldogs have really got thing going in the right direction with those back-to-back blowout wins at home and I think they will be able to that momentum with another home game here. I also think this is a tough spot for the Razorbacks off a really gut-wrenching loss at home to Kentucky. 

Mississippi State should have a big edge here in offensive rebounding as they are the best in the SEC in that creating second chances and Arkansas is one of the worst. Razorbacks also foul a lot and the Bulldogs are a strong free throw (4th SEC) shooting team.  Arkansas’s defense has also been much better at defending the 3-pointer, as they are 9th in the SEC in 2-point % allowed on defense. That plays into the strength of Mississippi State, which is a mere 12th in the SEC in 3-point % and 4th in 2-point %.  Give me the Bulldogs -2.5! 

40* NCAAB SMALL CONFERENCE ATS DESTROYER (Marshall -1.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Thundering Herd as a slim 1.5-point home favorite against the Hilltoppers. I still think Marshall is a bit undervalued from their sloppy 2-6 start to the season. They are 7-4 since that slow start and the turnaround has come with the addition of freshman Andrew Taylor into the lineup. 

Western Kentucky has opened up 5-1 in C-USA play, but a big reason for that is they have played 4 of their first 6 conference games at home. They are 1-1 in league play on the road with a double-digit loss at UAB and the lone win coming against Middle Tennessee, who sits last in the conference winless at 0-6. 

Marshall has a potent offense, but the one thing that has really killed them is offensive rebounding. However, that's not a big issue here as WKU ranks 13th out 14 in C-USA in offensive rebound percentage. WKU is also 12th in 2-point % defense in league play and Marshall is 4th in offensive 2-point %, so Herd should be able to get a lot of easy looks in this one. GIve me Marshall -1.5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Xavier -3) 

I'll take my chances here with the Musketeers cashing in a cover as a slim 3-point home favorite against the Hoyas. The perception couldn't be much worse on Xavier right now, as they have lost 3 straight to fall to a dismal 1-4 in Big East play. I still think this is a good team and one that will found a way to put that losing streak to rest with a win at home. 

Georgetown isn't exactly playing that great. Hoyas are just 2-4 in their last 6 games and both of their wins have come at home. They have not been competitive at all in their 3 Big East road games, losing by 16 at Providence, 16 at Seton Hall and by 14 at Villanova. A big reason for that is their defense, which is dead last in the conference in both defensive efficiency and effective field goal defense. When you can't defend, it's really tough to win on the road in a league as talented as the Big East. Give me Xavier -3! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Iowa State -5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Iowa State laying just 5-points at home against a struggling Oklahoma State team that is fresh off a heartbreaking loss at home to Baylor, blowing a double-digit lead in the final 15 minutes of play. 

Cyclones have struggled a bit in Big 12 play at just 1-4, but 3 of the losses are on the road and the other a loss at home to Kansas. The one real favorable matchup they have had at home they won 81-68 over Oklahoma. I just don't think Oklahoma State will have enough in tank after that loss to the Bears to keep this one respectable. Give me the Cyclones -5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Texas Tech -2.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Texas Tech laying 2.5 on the road against the Horned Frogs. I just don't think this is anywhere close to as even a fight as this line would suggest. TCU is 3-2 in Big 12 play, but their 3 wins are against the 3 worst teams. They just got annihilated by 32 at West Virginia and by 20 at Oklahoma. It's like they are getting a pass because those were on the road. 

Horned Frogs are 9th in offensive efficiency and 7th in effective field goal percentage. That's a problem against this elite Texas Tech defense. Also, TCU is a very young team with a lot of guys that haven't seen the defensive pressure and switching that Tech brings to the table. It's really asking a lot for them to win this game, which is what this line is calling for. Road team has gone 15-5-1 ATS in the series and Tech has gone 5-0-1 ATS last 6 with 4 straight wins by an average of 13 ppg. Give me the Red Raiders -2.5! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Purdue -5.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Boilermakers covering the 5.5-point spread at home against Illinois. If this line doesn't tell you just how big home court is in the Big Ten, I don't know what does. Fighting Illini beat Purdue 63-37 at home a little over two weeks ago. 

Thing is, that's the norm in this conference. Teams are getting destroyed on the road by one team and coming back and beating them at home. Purdue is a completely different team at home. They have already knocked off two highly ranked teams at home in Virginia (69-40) and Michigan State (71-42). 

Illinois has won 4 straight, but I think that only makes them more likely to lay an egg here, as they are going to have a hard time, especially given how lopsided the earlier matchup was between these two teams. Illinois is just 2-5 ATS last 7 as a road dog and Purdue is 9-1-2 ATS last 12 off a loss and 15-5-1 ATS last 21 as a home favorite. Give me the Boilermakers -5.5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Wichita State -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Shockers righting the ship and avoiding a 3rd straight loss with a win and cover at South Florida. Losses in their last two games against Temple and Houston really came down to their inability to make shots as the defense did their part.

Good chance the offense returns to form against a Bulls defense that ranks dead last in the AAC in 2-point % and 3-point % defense. USF really relies on turnovers and rebounding, but those are two areas that Wichita State performs well in. I just think the Shockers are too good to pass up on at this price in this spot. Give me Wichita State -4.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Grizzlies -2.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Memphis laying a short number at home against the Pelicans. Grizzlies are the hottest team in the league right now, as they are working on a league best 7-game winning streak. They are 6-1 ATS in this run with the only non-cover coming in a crushing ATS loss last time out against the Cavs at home. A game they won 113-109 after being up by 21 in the 4th quarter. 

I just don't think people realize how good this team is playing right now and this feels like a great spot to fade the Pelicans. New Orleans is coming off a crushing 133-130 loss at home to the Clippers, as they were outscored by 11 in the 4th quarter (only managed 20 points). Not only are they off a tough loss, but they could have a hard time not looking ahead to Wednesday's home game against the Spurs, which is expected to mark the debut of No. 1 overall pick Zion Williamson. Give me the Grizzlies -2.5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS MASSACRE (Old Dominion -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Monarchs cashing in a cover as a small home favorite against the 49ers. I think we are getting a great price on Old Dominion due to them having lost 3 straight, but note that those 3 losses all came on the road and it's not like they weren't competitive as they came by a combined 9 points. 

Prior to the three straight losses they had won and covered both of their conference home games against Middle Tennessee and UAB. Monarchs also out for revenge as they opened up that 3-game skid with a 47-53 loss at Charlotte. Note they only lost by 6 despite going 1-22 (4.5%) from behind the 3-point line and 4 of 10 (40%) at the free throw line. 

49ers also in a tough spot here playing their 3rd road game since playing at Marshall on Thursday. They were able to beat the Herd in that game, but then lost on Saturday 80-63 at WKU. Give me the Monarchs -4.5! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL VEGAS ATS MASSACRE (Loyola Chicago -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Ramblers covering the short 3.5-point spread at Illinois State. Loyola is ranked in the Top 100 of the KenPom rankings, while Illinois State is sitting at 215th, only team worse than that in the MVC is Evansville. 

I get winning on the road is tough in the MVC, but there's just to big a gap in talent to not take a shot with the Ramblers. Loyola's only got an offensive efficiency rating of 105.1 in conference play, Illinois Stat is at 93.7. They are also best in the league at not turning it over and Rebirds are one of the worst (8th out of 10). Not mention the Ramblers are No. 1 in the league in defensive efficiency, No. 2 in effective field goal percentage and No. 1 in defensive turnover rate. Give me Loyola-Chicago -3.5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Rutgers -5) 

I'll take my chances here with Rutgers laying 5-points at home against Minnesota. I just don't know how you don't back every Big Ten team at home outside of Northwestern and Nebraska laying a short number. Big Ten teams are a ridiculous 41-7 at home this season and the disparity of how well a team plays at home compared to on the road is pretty significant. These two teams are prime examples of that. Rutgers is 12-0 at home and 1-4 away from home. Gophers are 9-2 at home and 1-5 on the road. 

Minnesota's offense has really struggled to get anything going in their Big Ten road games, scoring just 52 at Iowa and 58 at Michigan State. They did have 78 at Purdue, but that went to double-overtime. They only had 62 in regulation. That's crazy given they have scored 84, 77, 75 and 75 in their 4 Big Ten home games. Rutgers has the best defense in the Big Ten and I think they win this going away. Give me the Scarlet Knights -5! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT PUBLIC ATS MASSACRE (Kings +9) 

I'll take my chances here with the Kings as a 9-point dog against the Jazz. Utah has been the hottest team in the league over the last month. Jazz are 15-2 since a loss to OKC back on Dec. 9th. Key here is they just had their 10-game home winning streak snapped in a OT loss at New Orleans. 

It's always tough to bounce back from a loss after a long winning streak like that. Also, Jazz are expected to get back Mike Conley from injury. That might appear like a positive, but I'm not so sure. I think they are better with Mitchell running the point and the chemistry of this team will be thrown off some. Give me the Kings +9! 

40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Thunder -5.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Thunder as a 5.5-point home favorite. I played on OKC last night in a loss against Miami. It was really just a slow start, as the Thunder allowed the Heat to score 40 in the first quarter and fell behind by 14. They were the better team the rest of the way and I just think they bounce back here in a big way. 

Both teams will be on the second leg of a back-to-back, but there's a huge here for the Thunder playing their 3rd straight at home. Blazers on the other hand are playing their 3rd straight road game in a 4 day stretch and are likely to be without one of their best players in C.J. McCollum. Give me OKC -5.5! 

50* NBA CENTRAL DIVISION PLAY OF THE MONTH (Bulls -6.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Bulls as a 6.5-point home favorite against the Cavs. While Chicago only has 3 more wins than Cleveland, there's no doubt in my mind they are the better team. 

The even bigger key here is both teams are playing on rest, which is a big advantage for the home team. Even more so when you factor in the Cavs were at Memphis last night and will be playing their 6th straight on the road. Both teams also had their flights into Chicago delayed last night until this morning. Another factor I think favors the Bulls. Give me Chicago -6.5! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS KNOCKOUT (SMU -5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Mustangs covering as a 5-point home favorite against the Owls. Perfect spot here to jump on SMU after they lost their last two on the road. One was a bad loss at ECU (big letdown spot) and the other as a hard fought loss against a really good Houston team. 

I'm confident SMU shows up in a big way here. Same can't be said for Temple, who is poised for a massive letdown after a huge upset win at home over Wichita State. Prior to that the Owls had lost 3 straight, including a double-digit loss at home to Tulane. SMU is the better team and we are simply getting a great price. GIve me the Mustangs -5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Wichita State -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Shockers as a small home favorite against the Cougars. This is simply too good a price to pass up with Wichita State at home, especially with the Shockers coming off a loss. Wichita State is a perfect 12-0 at home this season and we saw just how good this team can be at home in a recent 76-67 win at home over Memphis. 

One of the keys to beating the Shockers at home is to force them into making mistakes. Houston just isn't great in that department, as they are only averaging 12 forced turnovers on the season. Wichita State is 15-4 in their last 19 vs a team that averages 14 or fewer forced turnovers and a perfect 7-0 ATS at home vs teams who average 6 or fewer steals/game. Give me the Shockers -3.5! 

40* NCAAB BIG MONEY ATS BLOWOUT (Texas Tech -7.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Red Raiders as a 7.5-point home favorite against the Cyclones. Texas Tech is a better team than their 11-5 record would lead on and simply outclass ISU in this one. Red Raiders are 8-1 at home with the only loss coming against an elite Baylor team. 

Iowa State just isn't that good. Cyclones rely too much on one player and that just won't cut it in Big 12 play. ISU is 1-3 to start out Big 12 play and this is just not a good matchup for them. Cyclones are statistically the worst defense in the Big 12 ranking dead last in both defensive efficiency and effective field goal defense. 

With how much their offense figures to struggle to score against an elite REd Raiders defense, this has blowout written all over it. Also, Tech is not just all defense. THey are the No. 3 most efficient offense in the Big 12 behind Kansas and Baylor. Give me the Red Raiders -7.5! 

40* NCAAB BOOKIE ATS ANNIHILATOR (Oregon -2) 

I'll take my chances here with the Ducks laying a short number on the road against the Huskies. I just think we are getting great value here because of the fact that Washington is 10-2 at home and just beat Oregon State at home as a pick'em. Thing is the Huskies have recently lost point guard Quade Green and in the 3 games he's missed the offense has scored 58, 58 and 64 points. 

I just don't think Washington can rely on their defense to beat a really good Oregon team, who is going to be 100% locked in after an upset loss at Washington State last time out. Ducks are also 12-3 ATS last 15 on the road and 7-2 ATS last 9 as a road favorite. Give me Oregon -2! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Maryland -5.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Terps as a 5.5-point home favorite against Purdue. Big Ten home teams have been outstanding this season, going 38-6 to start out conference play. Maryland has helped that mark by going 3-0 at home in Big Ten play and are 10-0 at home overall. 

I just think we are getting a great price on the Terps because they come in having lost their last two on the road to Iowa and Wisconsin. Plus you got Purdue fresh off a 71-42 blowout win at home against Michigan STate. Boilermakers are just 1-4 in true road games with their only win coming at 212th ranked Ohio. They lost by 14 at Nebraska, by 26 at Illinois and by 6 at Michigan. Give me the Terps -5.5! 

40* NCAAB VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Oklahoma -3) 

I'll take my chances here with the Sooners as a small home favorite against the Horned Frogs. TCU had started out 3-0 in Big 12 play thanks to a soft schedule that had two of their first 3 at home against Oklahoma State and ISU and the other a road game at K-State. Those are arguably the 3 worst teams in the league. 

We saw just how fortunate they were in their last game, as they got absolutely destroyed 81-49 at West Virginia. I get Oklahoma is off two straight losses, but this is a team I trust a lot in this spot, especially at home. Sooners are 6-1 at home with their only loss coming against Kansas in their last game. TCU only other true road game besides that West Virginia road blowout was a 2-point win at K-State. Give me Oklahoma -3! 

40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD ATS NO-BRAINER (Penn State +1) 

I'll take my chances here with the Nittany Lions as a small home dog against the Buckeyes. Big Ten home teams have gone 38-6 SU to start the season and I just think this is the perfect spot to jump on Penn State, who is going to give us everything they got having lost 3 straight.

Nittany Lions are also out for revenge from an ugly 106-74 loss at Ohio State earlier this season. While that result could lead some to take the Buckeyes here, Ohio State is not playing anywhere close to as good as they were back in early December. They had lost 4 straight prior to a 12-point win over an inferior Nebraska team at home. That included 12-point losses at both Maryland and Indiana, moving them to 0-3 in Big 12 road games, as they also lost by 13 at Minnesota. Give me the Nittany Lions +1! 

40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD ATS BLOODBATH (Va Tech -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Hokies as a small home favorite against the Orange. I just feel that this is too good a price to pass up with Virginia Tech at home, where they are 9-1 this season with the only setback coming against Duke. 

Syracuse followed up an upset win at Virginia with a win over a bad BC team, which I think has them getting a little too much love here. Those are by far the worst two offensive teams in the ACC. BC is 14th in offensive efficiency in the ACC at 86.9 and Pitt is 13th at 94.3. 

These two also already played at Syracuse this season and the Hokies won that contest 67-63 despite a miserable night shooting (42%). They are much better offensive team at home, where they shoot 39% from deep a huge plus against the zone defense of the Orange. Give me the Hokies -3.5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Iowa -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Hawkeyes laying a short number at home against the Wolverines. It's almost a no-brainer at his point to lay a short number with any Big Ten team at home, as the home has gone 36-6 (85.7%) SU in Big Ten games. 

Iowa is a perfect 2-0 at home in conference play and in those two wins they have been impressive, beating Minnesota 72-52 and Maryland 67-49. Also, note that while Iowa is currently not ranked in the Top 25 (not sure why), they are the 15th best team according to KenPom. 

Iowa has the most efficient offense in the Big Ten and the 4th most efficient offense in the country. Michigan's defense ranks 40th in defensively efficiency at 92.0 for the season, but are dead last in the Big Ten in that department at 111.8. Iowa is 9th in Big Ten defensive efficiency but are a full 9 points better at 102.8. 

Michigan did win the first meeting between these two in a shootout 103-91, but they simply couldn't miss, shooting 55.2% from the field and 41.7% from deep. Iowa scored 91 points despite going just 3 of 15 (20%) from deep. Wolverines had no answer for Luka Garza, who went 17 of 32 for 44 points. Michigan is also 0-4 in true road games and have not scored more than 69 in any of those games. Give me Iowa -4.5! 

50* NBA SHARP MONEY PLAY OF THE MONTH (Thunder -1.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Oklahoma City laying a short number at home against the Heat. This just feels like a perfect spot to jump on the Thunder coming off an ugly home loss to the Raptors. It wasn't their offense that got them beat, as they shot 50.6% from the field (3rd time in 4 games they have shot 49% or better). Toronto just couldn't miss, as the Raptors went 52 of 85 (61.2%). 

I look for OKC to stay hot offensively in this one. While the Heat are one of the better defensive teams, they do struggle against the pick and roll and Thunder are one of the best in the league in that department to no surprise given they got Chris Paul. 

Another thing to note is Miami's defense is a shell of themselves on the road. Heat are giving up 111.0 ppg away from home compared to around 104.4 ppg at home. It's why Miami is 18-1 on their home floor and just 10-11 on the road. 

OKC is 12-4 ATS last 16 off a game where they didn't cover, while Heat are 1-5-1 ATS last 7 off a SU win and 1-4 ATS last 5 on the road. Give me the Thunder -1.5! 

40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Bulls +7.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Chicago cashing in a cover as a 7.5-point dog against the 76ers. I just think this is way too many points for Philadelphia to be laying without Embiid. I know they are coming off a cover at home against the Nets at almost the exact same price, but that was a very fortunate cover as they actually went into the 4th quarter trailing by 4 and that was against a Brooklyn team playing on no rest. 

I just think it's going to be tough for the 76ers to stack a lot of great performances on top of each other. I could definitely see them going through the motions against a struggling Bulls team, especially with a flight to New York following this game for a matchup with the Knicks tomorrow. I actually wouldn't be the least bit surprised if Chicago won outright. Give me the Bulls +7.5! 

50* NCAAB AAC PLAY OF THE MONTH (Memphis -4) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Tigers laying a short number at home against the Bearcats. Cincinnati has started out 3-1 in the AAC, with home wins over UConn and Tulsa and a road win at UCF. It's never easy winning on the road in this conference, but it is worth noting that the Knights are just 1-4 in league play. 

I just don't trust this Cincinnati team on the road, as they had gone 0-3 in true road games before the win over UCF, including a 5-point loss at Tulane as a 8-point favorite. They are 2-1 in neutral site games with their two wins being a 1-point victory against Illinois State and a OT win against Valparaiso. 

As for Memphis, this is a great time to buy low on the Tigers. Memphis has lost 2 of their last 3 and were far from dominant in their last game at USF. Thing is the two losses were against the likes of Georgia and Wichita State and USF is not an easy place to play. Tigers are 9-1 at home and this is just too good a price to pass up. Give me Memphis -4! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS DESTROYER (Minnesota -2) 

I'll take my chances here with the Gophers as a small home favorite against the Nittany Lions. It's just so hard to win on the road in Big Ten play and this is just too good a price to pass up with Minnesota. 

Gophers are 3-3 in Big Ten play and are 3-0 at home compared to 0-3 on the road. Those 3 road wins have been a 13-point victory over Ohio State, 9-point win over Northwestern and 8-point win over Michigan. Penn State has played two true road games in Big Ten play and lost 106-74 at Ohio State and 61-72 at Rutgers. Nittany Lions are giving up 78 ppg on the road and Minnesota scores 78 ppg at home. Give me the Gophers -2! 

50* NCAAB UNDERDOG PLAY OF THE MONTH (Alabama +2.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Crimson Tide as a home dog against the Tigers. If this line doesn't scream take Alabama, I don't know what does. Auburn is sitting at 15-0 and ranked No. 4 in the country and yet are basically a pick'em on the road against a Crimson Tide team that is 8-7. 

Thing is, Alabama is rolling right now under new head coach Nate Oats. They are an absolute nightmare to face with their frantic pace and litter of 3-point shooters. Their only two losses in the SEC are a overtime loss at Florida, which they had a 20-point lead in and a 9-point setback at Kentucky, where they won the turnover battle and were even on the glass. They just didn't have a good shooting day on the road. Alabama beat Mississippi State 90-69 in their lone SEC home game and shot 49%. I just don't think Auburn is going to be able to keep them in check. GIve me the Crimson Tide +2.5! 

40* NCAAB BIG MONEY ATS SLAUGHTER (Georgia Tech -1) 

I'll take my chances here with the Yellow Jackets at basically a pick'em at home against the Fighting Irish. Georgia Tech is just 8-8 but are a much better team than that. Yellow Jackets have played the 3rd toughest schedule in the country and have had to play 7 of their 16 games without point guard Jose Alvarado. 

Yellow Jackets are 4-3 since Alvarado has returned from injury with all 3 losses coming against top 30 teams in Houston, Duke and FSU. They have covered 3 straight and simply should be laying more than this at home against a team like Notre Dame. Irish are 10-6, but have played the 215th strength of schedule. THey are just 1-2 in ACC with their only win by 1 at Syracuse in a game they should have lost. Yellow Jackets have won 5 of their last 6 at home against the Irish and will add that tonight. Give me Georgia Tech -1! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS MASSACRE (Oklahoma State -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Cowboys laying a small number at home against the Longhorns. I just think this is the perfect spot to buy low on Oklahoma State, who will be in desperation mode after losing their first 3 Big 12 games. Thing is, two of those were against two of the best teams in Texas Tech and West Virginia and the other was a road game at TCU. 

They simply couldn't have shot any worse than they did in this 3 game stretch, as they shot 29% from the field against the Red Raiders, 29% against the Mountaineers and 30% against the Horned Frogs. Texas is 11-4 and off a win and cover at home against K-State, but are just 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games. Give me the Cowboys -3.5! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS ANNIHILATOR (Heat -5) 

I'm going to take my chances here with Miami laying a mere 5-points at home against the Spurs. I really like the spot here for the Heat, as we can be assured a big effort from Miami after losing back-to-back games they had to feel like they let get away. Heat blew a 12-point lead at the half in a 113-117 loss at Brooklyn on Friday and then gave up 40 points in the 4th quarter in a 121-124 loss at New York. 

 Spurs come in off a win they probably didn’t deserve, San Antonio trailed by 14 with just over 10 minutes to play in the 4th quarter of a 105-104 win at Toronto, thanks in large part to a ridiculous 17-0 run. That win looks great given the Raptors got back Siakam and Powell for that game, but after going 5 of 7 for 12 points in the 1st quarter, Siakam was 1 of 10 for 3 points in the final 3 quarters and played 30 minutes. Toronto was still missing some key guys and just don’t have much depth right now. Raptors bench was outscored 48-24.  Spurs also have a win at Boston and a win over the Bucks in their last 4 games, but the Celtics were a no show the night before a massive game against the 76ers and Kemba Walker played just 18 minutes before getting ejected. As for the win over Milwaukee, a big part of that win was the fact that they had just lost by 9 at Milwaukee two days prior. Not easy beating a team twice in a row in those home-and-home matchups. 

Big picture is that this is San Antonio’s 4th straight road game and even with the two recent wins over the Celtics and Raptors they are just 6-12 away from home this season.  Miami has a great bench, so that edge won’t be a factor here for San Antonio. Heat are also 4th in the NBA in 2-point field goal percentage and 2nd in 3-point shooting at 37.6%. Spurs rank 19th in 2-point defense and opposing teams are hitting 36.2% against them from deep.  Miami is also a staggering 17-1 on their home floor this season, which is the best mark in the league. Give me the Heat -5 

40* NCAAB VEGAS ATS LINE MISTAKE (Rutgers -3) 

I think we are getting some big time value here with Rutgers laying such a short number at home due to the fact that the Hoosiers come in off an impressive upset 66-54 win at home against No. 11 Ohio State. It’s just really hard to win on the road in the Big Ten, heading into Tuesday’s games the home team has won 32 of a possible 37 games in Big Ten play.  This game reminds me a lot of a spot I faded Indiana earlier this season after they defeated then No. 17 Florida State at home 80-64 and were a 2-point favorite at Wisconsin in their next game. The Badgers went on to win that 84-64.  

It wouldn’t surprise me at all if this one ended up in another Hoosiers blowout. Rutgers is no joke this season. They are 12-4 overall with a 3-2 record in Big 10 play. Their only two losses coming on the road to Michigan State and Illinois who currently have the two best records in the league.  More importantly is how good the Scarlet Knights have been at home, where they are 11-1 with wins over the likes of Wisconsin, Seton Hall and Penn State.

As for Indiana, winning at home is also the norm for them, but they are just 2-2 in road games with two ugly losses in both of their true road games as they also lost by 16 at Maryland. Their two wins on a neutral court were by a mere 3-points against UConn and by 2 against Notre Dame.  

Big thing that stands out to me is the struggles of Indiana’s offense on the road. Their highest offensive output in a game away from home is 64 points and that’s a problem against a really good Rutgers defense. Scarlet Knights rank 13th in the country giving up just 59.4 ppg and are allowing teams to shoot just 36.7%, which is the 9th best mark. Indiana in comparison ranks 107th in defensive scoring and 95th in shooting percentage allowed. Give me Rutgers -3! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Georgetown -3) 

I'll take my chances here with the Hoyas laying a short number at home against the Bluejays. Georgetown is just 1-3 in Big East play, but all 3 losses have come on the road against 3 of the better teams in the league in Providence, Seton Hall and Villanova. The lone win is the only won at home and that was a 87-66 victory over St. John's as a mere 4.5-point favorite. Hoyas are 8-2 at home compared to 3-4 on the road. 

Creighton comes in off an impressive upset win at Xavier, but had lost their previous two and let's not overlook how much the Musketeers are struggling right now. Also, this is a big letdown spot for the Bluejays after 3 straight big games against Butler, Villanova and Xavier, especially with this being their second straight on the road. I just think Georgetown will be the more motivated team in this one. Give me the Hoyas -3! 

50* NCAAB SHARP MONEY PLAY OF THE MONTH (Georgia -2.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Bulldogs as a small home favorite against the Vols. I just think there's a ton of value here with Georgia laying such a short number. Big part of that is the Bulldogs have lost their last two, but that was to be expected given one was a home game against Kentucky and the other was on the road against Auburn. 

Tennessee has won their last two, but it's come against Missouri and South Carolina. I just don't think the Vols are being priced right since losing Lamonte Turner. Prior to their two wins, they had lost 4 of 5 with 3 of the 4 losses coming at home and the lone setback on the road by 12 at Cincinnati. They were also very fortunate in their last game at home against the Gamecocks, as they won by 1 and shot a mere 25.9% from the field. Give me Georgia -2.5! 

50* NCAAB SEC PLAY OF THE MONTH (Mississippi State -2) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Bulldogs as a mere 2-point home favorite against Missouri. I think this is the ideal buy low on Mississippi State and sell high on the Tigers. Bulldogs have lost 3 straight, but two of those were on the road against the likes of Alabama and LSU and the other was a home game against undefeated Auburn. Missouri on the other hand is off a 91-75 blowout win over Florida after two hard fought games against Kentucky and Tennessee. Should get a max effort here from Miss State, while Missouri could struggle to show up. Give me the Bulldogs -2!

40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS SHOCKER (VCU +8.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Shockers keeping it closer than expected against Dayton. No question the Flyers are a great team, but in the 5 meetings between the two schools with their current respective head coaches, VCU has won 4 of the 5 outright. 

Add in the fact that Dayton's Obi Toppin is likely playing at less than 100% with an ankle injury that knocked him out of their last game. I got a feeling he's trying to rush back here and wouldn't be surprised if he tweaked at some point and had to go out. Either way I like the Rams to keep it within the number. Give me VCU +8.5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Texas Tech -3) 

I'll take my chances here with the Red Raiders laying a mere 3-points on the road against K-State. I just really like the spot here with Texas Tech, who I believe is one of the best teams in the Big 12. Red Raiders are going to be extremely motivated to avoid a 3rd straight conference loss and fall to 1-3 in Big 12 play. K-State has not one a conference game and it figures to be tough sledding for them this year with their inability to score. Wildcats are averaging just 56 ppg on 38% shooting in Big 12 play. What are they going to do here against a pissed of Tech defense that is one of the best in the country? Give the Red Raiders -3! 

40* NBA BIG MONEY VEGAS ATS LINE MISTAKE (Nets +3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Brooklyn as a small home dog against the Jazz. Utah definitely getting a little too much love due to the fact that they have gone 14-1 over their last 15 games. Thing is, only one of those wins was against a team with a winning record. I know the Nets don't have a winning mark at 18-20, but they have played a good portion of their schedule without their best player in Kyrie Irving. He returned to action in their last game and they cruised to a blowout win over the Hawks. Nets are 6-0 ATS as a dog this season on their home floor and covering the spread by an average of 10 ppg. Give me the Nets +3.5! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Pitt +6) 

I'll take my chances here with Pitt as a 6-point home dog against the Cardinals. I know Louisville beat the Panthers by 18 on their home floor earlier this season, but that's a big part of why I like Pitt in this spot. Louisville is coming off a very emotional win at Notre Dame and have a massive game on deck at Duke this weekend. I just think it's going to be hard for them to give this Panthers team the respect they deserve. Pitt is also much better than what they showed in their last game at Miami. I'm confident the Panthers come to play and wouldn't be completely shocked if they won outright. Give me Pittsburgh +6! 

40* NBA VEGAS ATS LINE MISTAKE (Kings -2) 

I'll take my chances here with Sacramento covering as a slim 2-point home favorite against the Magic. I just think this is a good spot to buy low on the Kings, who are just 3-10 in their last 13 games. Thing is they have been on the upward swing with 3 wins in their last 5. 

Also a good spot to sell high on the Magic, who come in having covered 3 straight and 5 of 6 overall. Orlando is a long way from home and are not a good road team at just 5-13 away from home on the season. Not to mention the Magic have a number of guys banged up right now. This is also a team that relies on their defense to win games and are giving up 47% shooting on the road. Give me the Kings -2! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Pacers -2) 

I'll take my chances here with Indiana cashing in as a small 2-point home favorite against the Embiid less 76ers. Philadelphia was able to defeat Boston without Embiid, but that was at home. They lost by 18 on the road against the Mavs last time out and no surprise at all to see them struggle away from home without Embiid, as they weren't a good team on the road with him. Philadelphia is just 7-13 SU on the road this season. 

Indiana on the other hand is a great home team. Pacers are 15-5 at home this season and could be getting back a huge piece with Brogdon questionable to return. Brogdon had missed several games because of a back problem, but would have played in their last game if he wasn't sick. That was on Thursday, so you got to think there's a good chance he's feeling up to playing in this one. Either way, I don't think they need him to win and cover the small number here. Give me the Pacers -2! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Miami -2.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Hurricanes covering as slim 2.5-point home favorites against the Panthers. Pitt has gotten off to a great start at 11-4, but they have been pretty lucky to be sitting where they are. It certainly helped playing the 286th ranked non-conference schedule. 

Pitt is also 4-1 on the road, but their only true road win was at UNC last time out and that's nothing to get excited about with how bad the Tar Heels are playing. Miami is just 9-5, but have only played 6 home games. THey are just 4-2 in those games, but the two losses were to Duke and Louisville. I just think this is the perfect spot to back Miami off two bad losses to two really good teams. Give me the Hurricanes -2.5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Minnesota -1) 

I'll take my chances here with the Gophers cashing in a win at home against the Wolverines. Michigan may have the better overall record, but they are just 3-3 away from home and their only two true road games were both in Big Ten play and they lost both, falling by 9 at Illinois and by 18 at Michigan State. 

Also not an ideal spot for the Wolverines off their double-overtime win against Purdue. Three different starters played 40+ minutes with 6 guys playing 28 or more. Minnesota is 7-2 at home and have won both home games in Big Ten play by 9 or more, including a 13-point win over Ohio State. Give me the Gophers -1! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Iowa State -3) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Iowa State laying a mere 3-points at home against the Sooners. Cyclones are in a huge bounce back spot after an ugly loss at home to Kansas last time out. Jayhawks were simply able to take away ISU's best player in Tyrese Haliburton. The future NBA draft pick was held to just 5 points in 36 minutes. 

Oklahoma simply doesn't have the same kind of talent to throw at Haliburton and I'm just not all that convinced the Sooners are as good as their 11-=3 mark. While they were able to win at Texas last time out, I actually think that works against them here, as they are down for a letdown, especially given that they host Kansas on Tuesday. Give me the Cyclones -3! 

40* NCAAB BIG MONEY ATS KNOCKOUT (Arkansas -1.5)

I'll take my chances here with the Razorbacks laying a short number on the road against the Rebels. This is just too good a price to pass up given the mismatch in talent. Arkansas is ranked 33rd in KenPom, while Ole Miss is back at 101st. The Razorbacks only two losses are a OT setback at Western Kentucky and a mere 2-point loss at LSU. 

Ole Miss has a neutral court win over Penn State on their resume, but that's really all this team has done. Every other win for the Rebels has come against a team ranked 242nd or worse in the KenPom rankings. Give me Arkansas -1.5! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS LINE MISTAKE (Northwestern -5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Wildcats cashing in a win at home against Nebraska and securing their first Big 10 win of the season. Cornhuskers come in off a big upset win at home against Iowa, but that was more of the Hawkeyes simply not shooting well than anything. Nebraska is just not a good team and have yet to win a true road game this season. 

I know the Wildcats are just 5-9, but Northwestern has been one of most unlucky teams in the country to this point. In their last 3 Big Ten games they have lost by 5 at home to Michigan State, by just 11 at Minnesota and by 4 at Indiana. Their largest loss all season is by 14 points and have played the 41st toughest schedule. Give me Northwestern -5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE ATS NO-BRAINER (Clemson +4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Tigers as a 4.5-point road dog against the Tar Heels. North Carolina because of their name continues to get way too much respect from the books. Tar Heels are 2-6 SU and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games. This is easily the worst team Roy Williams has had since coming to Chapel Hill. 

If you think for a second that Clemson might overlook this bad UNC squad, think again. Clemson has lost 59 straight games at North Carolina. I think the Tigers will hands down be the more motivated team in this one, as I think the Tar Heels are really struggling to find any kind of motivation for playing hard right now. 

Tar Heels are 2-10 ATS this season as a favorite and 1-7 ATS when laying points at home. Give me NC State +4.5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE ATS DESTROYER (Davidson -14)

I'll take my chances here with the Wildcats laying it on St. Joes and easily covering the 14-point spread. I've actually played against Davidson in each of their last two games at Duquesne and Rhode Island and they failed to cover in both. Wildcats have lost 3 straight overall, but all 3 were on the road. 

I think it has Davidson showing great value here at home against a struggling Hawks team that is a mere 1-11 in their last 12 and have started out A-10 play with a 32 point loss to Richmond, 23 point setback to Dayton and a 18 point loss to Duquesne. Big thing to note with the Wildcats 6-8 record is they have only played 3 home games. Davidson is averaging 88.7 ppg at home and will be facing a St. Joe's defense that gives up 82.9 ppg on the road. Give me the Wildcats -14! 

40* NCAAB AFTERNOON ATS KNOCKOUT (Penn State -3) 

I'll take my chances here with the Nittany Lions cashing in a cover as a mere 3-point home favorite against Wisconsin. I really like this Penn State team and this is the perfect spot to back them off an ugly road loss to Rutgers. As for Wisconsin, they just don't impress me. No way should they lose at home to Illinois and they are just 2-5 away from home this season with some ugly losses on the highway. 

I just don't see the Badgers being able to score enough to keep this close. Wisconsin is only averaging 59 ppg on the road and Penn State only gives up 60.8 ppg at home. Big difference is the Nittany Lions are averaging 81.4 ppg at home. Give me Penn State -3! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Xavier -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Xavier cashing in a cover as a mere 3.5-point home favorite against Creighton. I just think this is a great spot to jump on the Musketeers who are off an upset loss at home to Seton Hall and will be extremely motivated to avoid a 1-3 start in Big East play. 

The Bluejays just can't be trusted on the road against a good team. They are just 1-2 in true road games with double-digit losses to both Michigan and Butler. Creighton also doesn't have the size to match up with the big bodies of the Musketeers and that 3-point happy offense for the Bluejays will be up against an Xavier defense that is holding opponents to 28% shooting from deep. Give me the Musketeers -3.5! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Oklahoma State +3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Cowboys covering as a 3.5-point road dog at TCU. I just don't think the Horned Frogs are anywhere close to as good as their 11-3 record would lead you to believe. They have started out 2-0 in Big 12 play, but wins over ISU at home and K-State on the road are nothing to get excited about. 

Oklahoma State on the other hand has started out 0-2 in Big 12 play, but their two losses are to two of the best teams in the conference in West Virginia and Texas Tech. Cowboys were 7-0 before going just 2-5 in their last 7, but note that in this last 7 game stretch they have played 6 teams in the Top 50 of the KenPom rankings. TCU's only game all season against a team in the Top 50 was a home game against Xavier, which they lost by 8 points. I just think the wrong team is favored. Give me Oklahoma State +3.5! 

50* NBA NON-CONF GAME OF THE MONTH (Suns -3) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Suns laying a small number at home against the Magic. I think this is the perfect spot to fade Orlando. Magic are getting some love from the books due to the fact that they have won and covered 4 of 5, but a big part of that is they just played 4 straight at home. and the wins were against the Heat on no rest and the Nets and Wizards.

Magic only got one day off after their last game against Washington and have to travel clear across the country. Orlando is just 5-12 on the road this season. Suns have lost 2 straight at home to Memphis and Sacramento, so we know we are getting a big effort from them. Give me Phoenix -3! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS MASSACRE (Hawks +1) 

I'll take my chances here with the Hawks at basically a pick'em on the road against the Wizards. While Atlanta has just 8 wins on the season and are a mere 4-16 on the road, I like them in this spot. Hawks have been playing much better of late and a big part of that is the return of John Collins from suspension. He should have a field day here against the depleted frontcourt of the Wizards. 

Hawks have covered 4 of their last 5 games. While they are just 2-3 SU during this run, the 3 losses have come against the Celtics, Nuggets and Rockets. Big thing to note is all 3 were by 8 or fewer. Washington just lost 89-123 at Orlando and have allowed 114 or more in 4 of 5. Good chance they are still without their best player in Beal. Either way I like Atlanta to get the win. Give me the Hawks +1! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS SLAUGHTER (Stanford -2.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Stanford as a mere 2.5-point home favorite against the Huskies. Cardinal have been one of the big surprise teams early on this season, as they are 12-2 with their only losses coming against Butler and Kansas, who are both ranked in the Top 10 of the KenPom rankings. Washington is 42nd. 

The other thing that I love is that the Cardinal are 9-1 at home with the only loss coming to the Jayhawks who are in a different class than a lot of teams. The defense did their part as they have all season (Stanford only giving up 58.3 ppg and 38.5% shooting), but they just couldn't get the offense going. Washington's defense is great inside, but they are vulnerable against the 3 and that's a big strength of the Cardinal. 

Another thing is this will be Washington's first true road game this season outside of a game at Hawaii in the Diamond Classic. To be in January and not really faced a hostile environment like they will in this one is a big task to overcome. I think they fail. Give me Stanford -2.5! 

40* NCAAB SHARP MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Marshall -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Thundering Herd laying a short number on the road against Middle Tennessee. Marshall comes in with a mere 7-8 record overall, but have been a different team since Andrew Taylor inserted the lineup 6 games ago. 

Herd did lay an egg last time out at home against North Texas, but that makes me like them that much more. Middle Tennessee is ranked 289th in the KenPom rankings and have lost 6 straight and 11 of 12 overall. Their only win against a Div. 1 opponent is against 224th ranked Lipscomb and they won that by a mere 3-points. In their last 3 games the Blue Raiders have fallen behind by 20 or more points in every game. I just don't think they got any business here being on the same floor as Marshall. Give me the Herd -4.5! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS KNOCKOUT (Texas -3) 

I'll take my chances here with the Longhorns as a mere 3-point home favorite against the Sooners. Both teams come in at 10-3, but all 3 of Oklahoma's losses have come on the road and Texas is sitting with a perfect 7-0 record at home. 

This is also a big bounce back spot for Texas off an ugly loss at Baylor, where they scored just 44 points and shot 35% from the field. It's just kind of been how it's gone for the Longhorns on the road, as they are shooting a healthy 47% from the field at home. Big difference here is defense. Longhorns are allowing a mere 59.6 ppg at home and Oklahoma gives up 73.3 ppg on the road. Give me Texas -3! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Wisconsin -4.5) 

I'll take my chances with the Badgers covering the 4.5-point spread at home against Illinois. This is an easy one for me. Wisconsin is 7-0 at home, where they are outscoring teams by almost 20 ppg. Illinois is 9-1 on their home floor, but are just 1-4 on the road. Not to mention the Badgers are 30-16 ATS in their last 46 home games as a favorite of 3.5 to 6 points. Illini are 1-5 ATS last 6 as a road dog and 1-6 ATS last 7 on the road vs a team with a winning home record. Give me the Badgers -4.5! 

50* NCAAB MWC PLAY OF THE MONTH (Boise St -5.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Boise State as a 5.5-point home favorite against the Rebels. Great spot here to back the Broncos and fade UNVL. Boise State is going to be 100% locked in for this one after an ugly showing at Nevada in their last game. It's not the first time they have struggled on the road, as Boise State is a mere 3-5 away from home and 7-1 on their home floor. 

Big key here is UNLV has played 5 straight at home and have not played a true road game since way back on Dec. 4th when they barely squeaked by against a sub-par Fresno State team. I also think we are getting a good price on Boise because of the fact that the Rebels have won and covered 4 straight. Expect a different looking UNLV team on the road tonight. Give me Boise State -5.5! 

40* NCAAB BIG MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Xavier -2.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Musketeers laying a mere 2.5-points at home against Seton Hall. I just think this is too good a price to pass up with Xavier, as they are a perfect 8-0 at home. Not to mention a good time to fade the Pirates, who are getting a little too much love having won and covered their last 4. 

One thing to note here is Xavier's defense. Musketeers are only giving up 61.9 ppg and holding teams to 38% shooting at home. Seton Hall's offense has not been nearly as good away from home, as they are only shooting 41% from the field on the road. 

Xavier has covered 55 of their last 87 at home in the month of January, which comes out to 63% of the time. They are also 4-0-1 ATS last 5 times they have played at home against a team with a winning road record. Give me the Musketeers -2.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Pacers -1) 

I'll gladly back the Pacers as a slim 1-point home favorite against the Heat. All you got to do is look at the home/away splits to see the value is with Indiana in this one. Pacers are 15-4 at home compared to just 8-10 on the road. Miami is just 9-9 on the road compared to 17-1 at home. 

I also we are getting some value here with the Pacers due to the fact that Sabonis and Brogdon are both listed as questionable. I think both play. Sabonis hurt his knee in their last game and had to leave but came back and finished the contest. As for Brogdon he's reportedly been full court scrimming in practice, which is a pretty good sign he's ready to play. Even if both sit out, I still like Indiana to win and cover. Give me the Pacers -1! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Alabama -3) 

I'll take my chances with the Crimson Tide laying a small number against Mississippi State. Alabama got off to a slow start, going just 2-4 in their first 4 games, but a lot of that can be attributed to a tough schedule, as the 4 losses were against Penn, Rhode Island, UNC (before they lost Anthony) and Iowa State.  

Since that slow start they have gone 5-2 SU with their only losses coming on the road against Penn State by 2 and most recently a double-overtime 98-104 loss at Florida. They had the lead at the half in both of those games and were up by as many as 20 in Gainesville on Saturday. 

They have been an absolute covering machine to say the least. Alabama has covered 7 straight and 9 of their last 10 overall.  I think they are showing big time value here laying a small number at home against a Mississippi State team that has not lived up to the hype. Bulldogs just lost at home by 12 as a Pick’em to Auburn in their last game, falling to 1-3 ATS in their last 4.

One thing I really like here is the fact that this is the first real true road test for Mississippi State, as their only other true road game this season was at Coastal Carolina.  Note Alabama has played 22nd ranked toughest schedule according to KenPom, while Bulldogs have played the 114th toughest. Give me Alabama -3! 

50* NCAAB A-10 PLAY OF THE MONTH (Rhode Island -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Rhode Island as a mere 3.5-point home favorite against the Wildcats. This is an ideal spot to back the Rams at home as we can bank on a max effort after a couple of upset losses in their last two games, including a 61-69 setback against Richmond at home to open up A-10 play. 

It was almost like the Rams didn't give the Spiders their full attention to start the game and by the time they woke up it was too late. Rhode Island scored just 19 first half points and then put up 42 in the 2nd half. I expect them to be locked in from the start against a struggling Davidson team that has lost their last two and playing their 4th straight on the road. Give me Rhode Island -3.5! 

50* NCAAB BIG 12 PLAY OF THE MONTH (K-State -1) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Wildcats as a mere 1-point home favorite against TCU. Kansas State is off to a disappointing 7-6 start, while the Horned Frogs come in at 10-3. What people will fail to realize is the Wildcats have played the tougher schedule and have been really unlucky in close games. Of their 6 losses, 5 have been by single digits and only one of them have come at home. 

As for the Horned Frogs, they have benefited from a schedule that has had them play 11 of their first 13 games at home and the two exceptions were both games played on a neutral site. It's crazy to believe that this will be their first true road game of the season. They also are in a tough spot coming off an overtime game against ISU just three days ago. Give me the Wildcats -1! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS NO-BRAINER (Texas Tech -3) 

I'll take my chances here with the Red Raiders as a mere 3-point home favorite against Baylor. The fact that Texas Tech is favored at all over the No. 4 team in the country is worth noting. I just think people are sleeping on this Red Raiders team. I was all over them in their last game as a mere 5.5-point favorite against Oklahoma State and they won 85-50. 

Baylor comes in having won 10 straight and are 11-1 overall, but a big reason for that is the schedule has been favorable with only two true road games and one of those was a cupcake against Coastal Carolina. The other was against a decent Washington team, which they lost and shot just 35.4% from the field in defeat. They are also off a game against Texas where they shot just 31.2%. With how well Tech defends, especially at home, I think they win this one rather easily. Give me the Red Raiders -3! 

40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Wolves +3.5) 

I'll take a shot here with the Timberwolves as a small road dog against the Grizzlies. Both of these teams come in playing well. Minnesota has won 4 of 6 and are 5-1 ATS in this stretch. Memphis has won and covered 3 of their last 4, including two straight outright wins as a dog at Clippers and Suns. 

Most are going to assume the value here is with the Grizzlies at home, but I don't know that's the case. Memphis just played 3 straight on the West Coast in a 4 day stretch and will have had just one day off after playing a back-to-back in LA and Phoenix. Jet lag could be a real problem here. Minnesota is playing their second straight on the road, but it's only their 2nd game in the last 5 days. Give me the Timberwolves +3.5! 

50* NCAAB SUN BELT PLAY OF THE MONTH (UT-Arlington -6) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Mavericks winning by 7 or more at home against South Alabama. This might seem like a big number for UT-Arlington to be laying given that they come with a mere 5-10 record. Thing is the Mavericks have played the 12th toughest schedule in the country. 

They have already played 4 true road games against the likes of Nevada, Oregon, Gonzaga and Houston. Not to mention each of their first 4 conference games have all come on the road. UT-Arlington has also been a bit unlucky in close games. Each of their 3 conference losses have all come by 6 or fewer points. Their only loss all season by more than 11 points was at Oregon. They only lost by 6 as a 26-point dog at Gonzaga and by just 8 as a 14-point dog at Houston. 

South Alabama is 8-7, but have played the 223rd ranked schedule. They too are 1-3 in conference play, but note that all 3 of their losses have come by at least 10 points, including a 20-point setback in their last game at ULM. Give me the Mavericks -6! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Magic -5) 

I'll take my chances here with Orlando cashing in a cover as a small 5-point home favorite against the Nets. Magic come in off a loss at home to the Jazz, but that was more a result of them being in a really tough scheduling spot playing their 3rd game in 4 nights on no rest. Look for a much more energized and focused Orlando team in this one. 

As for the Nets, they come in having lost and failed to cover each of their last 5 games. All 5 losses coming by at least 7 points and 4 of the 5 by double-digits. Brooklyn has played zero defense in their last 3 games, giving up 122 to the Timberwolves, 123 to the Mavs and 121 to the Raptors. Magic are only allowing 100.9 ppg at home, so another lackluster defensive showing and this could get real ugly. Give me Orlando -5! 

40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS MASSACRE (76ers -6.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the 76ers as a 6.5-point home favorite. Most will probably look to grab the points with OKC in this one, as the Thunder come in having won 5 straight and 9 of 10 overall, while the 76ers have lost 4 in a row. 

Not me. I think we are going to get a massive effort here from Philadelphia to make sure the losing streak ends tonight and let's not forget the 76ers are a dominant 16-2 at home where they are outscoring teams by an averaging of 10 ppg. As for the Thunder and their recent run, it's come against a very favorable schedule. While they do have wins over the Clippers Raptors and Mavs during this run, all 3 of those teams were missing key players when they faced them. I think they get a bit exposed tonight. Give me the 76ers -6.5! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS SLAUGHTER (Washington -5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Huskies as a 5-point favorite against the Trojans. Perfect spot to jump on Washington after losing their last two, most recently falling at home to UCLA as a big favorite. No doubt we are going to get a max effort here from Washington and I just don't think USC is as good as their 12-2 record would lead you to believe. This is their first true road game in a month and by far their toughest test away from home this season. Trojans are just 2-11 ATS last 13 as a road dog and the favorite is 19-9 ATS last 28 meetings in the series. Give me the Huskies -5! 

40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Suns -6) 

I'll take my chances here with the Suns as a 6-point home favorite against the Grizzlies. Memphis comes in off a shocking 140-114 win at the Clippers on Saturday as a 10-point dog. Clearly LA was not motivated for that game giving up 140 points and I just think it has Memphis getting too much love here in a really bad spot. Grizzlies will be playing on no rest and their 3rd road game in 4 nights. Suns are also playing well they are 3-1 SU (only loss at LAL) and 4-0 ATS in their last 4. Give me Phoenix -6! 

40* NCAAB VEGAS ATS LINE MISTAKE (Illinois -1.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Fighting Illini as a small home favorite against the Boilermakers. Illinois is off an ugly 20-point loss at Michigan State, which I think is definitely playing into the number. Thing is the Illini are 8-1 at home and Purdue is 2-4 away from home and in their only true road game in Big Ten play they lost by 14 to a bad Nebraska team as a 13-point favorite. Give me Illinois -1.5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Duquesne -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Dukes as a small 3.5-point home favorite against Davidson. I played on won on Duquesne as similarly priced 3-point home favorite against St Louis last time out. Dukes won going away 73-59 and are now 6-0 at home. Wildcats are off a 76-71 loss at Vandy that was much worse than the final score. Davidson is just 3-6 away from home and their only win in a true road game came against Northeastern by just 7. Give me the Dukes -3.5! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS ANNIHILATOR (Kings -2.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Sacramento covering as a small home favorite against the Pelicans. Kings finally snapped their losing streak with a 128-123 win over Memphis on Thursday and I look for them to build on that with a win here against what I feel will be a flat Pelicans team. New Orleans is on no rest and just gave all they had against LeBron, AD and the Lakers last night. Pelicans simply getting love here cause of their recent strong play, but it's not warranted in this spot. Give me the Kings -2.5! 

40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Jazz -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Utah laying just 3.5-points on the road against the Magic. Orlando is off a big 20-point win over Miami, but that was more of Miami not showing up on no rest after a big win than it was Orlando playing well. Magic only shot 41% from the field in the win. Now it's Orlando in that spot, playing on no rest and I think they really struggle here against a red-hot Utah team that is 9-1 in their last 10 with 5 straight covers. Give me the Jazz -3.5! 

40* NCAAB AFTERNOON ATS MASSACRE (Syracuse -2.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Orange as a small home favorite against the Fighting Irish. Syracuse isn't as strong as what we are use to seeing, but this is just too good a price to pass up against what I feel is a very mediocre Notre Dame team. Syracuse has won 3 straight and outside of a home win against UCLA, the Irish haven't done much. ND has only played two true road games and lost both pretty bad and both games shot 35% or worse from the field. GIve me Syracuse -2.5! 

50* NCAAB BIG EAST PLAY OF THE MONTH  (DePaul -2.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with DePaul as a small home favorite against the Friars. I think we are getting an exceptional price on the Blue Demons because of how the last game went for both teams. Providence routed Georgetown at home 76-60 and DePaul lost at home to Seton Hall 66-74.

Thing is the Friars win over the Hoyas isn't all that impressive, as Georgetown was down one of their top scorers and just don't have the depth to deal with an injury like that. As for the Blue Demons loss to the Pirates, I think they were caught a bit off guard with Seton Hall's start Powell playing when he was doubtful. I think DePaul bounces back in a big way here. Give me the Blue Demons -2.5! 

40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD ATS DESTROYER (Texas Tech -5.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Red Raiders laying it on the Cowboys and covering as a 5.5-point home favorite. Texas Tech is 9-3 with their 3 losses coming in games where leading scorer Jahmi'us Ramsey either didn't play or left with an injury. We saw what this team was capable of when they had their way with then No. 1 Louisville in a 70-67 win. They won that game without Ramsey, but he's returned and I think this team is a lot better than people realize. 

As for Oklahoma State, they are also 9-3 and have actually played the tougher schedule, but I just haven't been all that impressed with them. They lost by 7 at home to Georgetown and just recently lost by 20 to Minnesota on a neutral court. They are not a great offensive team and Texas Tech's defense can be smothering, especially at home where they are 7-0 and giving up just 58.3 ppg on 39% shooting. Give me the Red Raiders -5.5! 

40* NBA 76ERS/ROCKETS ATS NO-BRAINER (Rockets -4)

I'll take my chances here with Houston laying a short number at home against the Rockets. I know this is going to be a big public play, but no way I'm not taking a shot on Houston at this price. Rockets are 12-4 at home and it's no secret that the 76ers are not a good road team. Philadelphia is 16-2 at home compared to 7-11 on the road. I just don't think they got the fire-power offensively to keep this close and it's not like they are playing well or in a great spot. 76ers have lost 3 straight and are playing their 4th straight on the road. Give me the Rockets -4! 

40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS SLAUGHTER (Blazers -6.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Portland laying what looks like a big number against the Wizards. I was on the Blazers as a 4-point favorite in their last game at New York and they wound up losing by 24. It was their 5th straight loss. I'm not letting that game deter me from taking advantage of Portland in this spot. 

Blazers are going to give a big effort here to snap the losing streak and this line tells me that Bradley Beal, who is questionable, likely isn't going to play. Even if he doesn, the Wizards are so decimated with injuries right now that they just don't have the talent to compete even at home. We just saw them lose to the Magic by 21 as a mere 3.5-point dog. GIve me the Blazers -6.5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS MASSACRE (Utah -2) 

I really like the value here with Utah as a small home favorite against the Beavers. I just think we are getting a great price on the Utes coming off that ugly 28-point loss to San Diego State. Sure the margin of defeat is a bit surprising, but the result was not. Utah had just laid everything on the line in their previous game, which they upset Kentucky as a 10-point dog. They only had 2 days between games and simply didn't have enough in the tank. 

Utah comes into this one having not played since that loss to the Aztecs on 12/21. Oregon State is 10-2, but have only played two true games and the only real test of those two was at Texas A&M and they lost that one 64-49 as a 6.5-point favorite. Give me the Utes -2! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Heat -5.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Miami covering the 5.5-point spread at home against the Raptors. This just feels like the perfect spot to not only fade Toronto but jump on the Heat. Raptors are still down 3 starters in Siakam, Gasol and Powell.While they have remained competitive without those 3, they are playing their 4th game in 6 days, which I think is only that much harder given it's been over the holidays. 

As for the Heat, Miami is poised for a breakout game after failing to cover their last 3 and fresh off an ugly ugly 123-105 loss at Washington. Heat have had a full 3 days to stew over that defeat and should win here going away. Give me Miami -5.5! 

50* NCAAB ATLANTIC 10 PLAY OF THE MONTH (Duquesne -3) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Dukes as a small home favorite against the Billikens. St Louis comes in at 11-2, which is why we are getting such great value with Duquesne here. Thing is the Billikens just recently lost one of their best players in freshman sharpshooter Gibson Jimmerson, who was third on the team in scoring at 10.8 ppg. He was without a doubt their best shooter from deep (43%). He had accounted for 29% (24) of their 82 made 3-pointers. Add in point guard Yuri Collins playing at less than 100%. 

The Dukes are also off to a strong 10-2 start and that's no surprise. Duquesne returned 4 of 5 starters from a 19-win team. They 5-0 at home this season where they are outscoring teams by 21.6 ppg. They are shooting 47% from the field at home while holding opponents to 37.6%. Give me the Dukes -3!

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Blazers -4) 

I'll take my chances here with Portland as a small road favorite against the Knicks. I just feel like this is the perfect spot to jump on the Blazers who are desperate for a win after losing 4 straight and are matched up against a bad Knicks team that I got hard time believing wasn't out celebrating New Year's with how big a deal it is in New York. Blazers have gone a perfect 5-0 against the Knicks in the last 3 seasons, winning both games in NY. They make it 6 in a row with an easy win and cover tonight. Give me Portland -4! 

40* NCAAB SHARP MONEY ATS SLAUGHTER (Cincinnati -1.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Cincinnati as a mere 1.5-point home favorite against the Huskies. I just think the fact that the Bearcats are a mere 3-9 ATS on the season and have lost 3 of their last 4, has them showing tremendous value here at basically a pick'em on their home floor. This the same team that just recently beat Tennessee on their home court by 12 as a 2-point dog. I get UConn has been playing well, but what a lot of people will overlook here is the fact that this is the Huskies first true road game of the season. Sure they have played some neutral site games, but it's a whole different beast playing on the road in college basketball and Cincinnati has a great home court advantage. Give me the Bearcats -1.5! 

40* NBA VEGAS ATS LINE MISTAKE (Pacers +2) 

I'll take my chances here with the Pacers as a home dog against the 76ers. Indiana is 14-3 at home this season, while the 76ers are a mere 7-10 on the road. It's also not like Philadelphia comes in playing well, as they have lost their last 2 and are just 3-5 in their last 8 games. 

I also think it's tough on the road team playing on New Year's Eve and we should get a max effort from the Pacers. Not only are they going to be out for revenge against Philadelphia, they will be highly motivated to avoid a 3rd straight loss after losing their last two on the road. Give me Indiana +2! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Blazers -4) 

I'll take my chances here with Portland cashing in an easy win at home against the Suns. I think this is the perfect spot to buy low on the Blazers. Portland has lost 3 straight and will be 100% locked in for this matchup. Phoenix is off a win, but are just 1-8 in their last 9. Suns don't play much defense and are allowing 118.6 ppg in their last 5. Don't expect that to change with the Suns playing their 3rd road game in 4 nights and facing a Blazers team that is averaging 115 ppg at home this season. Give me the Blazers -4! 

40* NCAAB VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (UMass +9.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Minutemen covering as a big road dog against Akron. I just think we are getting too good a price to pass up with UMass. Minutemen are just 1-6 in their last 7, but did get back on track in their last game in a 74-53 win against Maine, which they covered easy as a 12.5-point favorite. 

The thing with their 6-game losing streak, is all 6 opponents during that stretch ranked inside the TOp 100 in KenPom. As for Akron, they come in at 9-3 with a 7-0 record at home, but a lot of that is a result of a soft schedule. The Zips best wins on the season are against the likes of Tulane and Marshall and they far from dominated either of those. I wouldn't be shocked at all if the Minutemen won outright. Give me UMass +9.5! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Spurs -4) 

I'll take my chances here with the Spurs covering as a small home favorite against the Pistons. I San Antonio has been playing much better of late and I think we are getting a great price on the Spurs due to the fact that the Pistons are fresh off a 30-point win at home against the Wizards. I'm not buying into that result at all. Prior to that Detroit had lost 5 straight all by double-digits. Give me the Spurs -4! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Syracuse -22) 

I'll take my chances here with Syracuse covering the massive spread at home against Niagara. Most will be hesitant to lay this kind of number with the Orange, especially given they are just 1-6 ATS last 7 games. Not me. I think Syracuse is going to have this thing covered early win by 30+. Note that we have already seen Niagara lose by 47 on the road to Rutgers and this team has been absolutely dreadful against the zone this season. Not to mention they are awful defensively. Niagara is giving up 80.3 ppg and have allowed 82 or more in 4 straight. Give me Syracuse -22! 

40* NBA VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Heat -5) 

I'll take my chances with Miami covering as a mere 5-point home favorite against the Pacers. As good as Indiana has been this season, I just feel there's to much value with the contrasting home/away splits for these two teams. Pacers are 14-3 at home compared to 7-7 on the road. Heat are 13-1 at home and just 9-7 on the road. Miami isn't just sneaking by at home. They are outscoring opponents at home by 13.5 ppg. Give me the Heat -5! 

40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Magic +3) 

I'll take my chances here with Orlando as a small home dog against the 76ers. This is 100% a fade of Philadelphia off their biggest win of the season. 76ers put everything they had into their Christmas Day game against the Bucks and wound up rolling Milwaukee 121-109. No surprise to me, as this Philadelphia team has a tendency to play great in the big games, especially at home and then lay an egg against bad teams, especially on the road. 76ers are 16-2 at home compared to 7-8 on the road, where they are actually getting outscored on the season. Magic are a respectable 9-6 at home and Orlando is going to be the much fresher team playing at home on a full 3 days of rest. Give me the Magic +3! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Lakers -2) 

I'll take my chances here with the Lakers getting their revenge from an earlier loss to the Clippers. I know LA comes in having lost 3 straight, but they have been short-handed in a couple of those. With LeBron and AD both expected to play the Lakers are as close to full strength as they have been all season. I just think that combined with the homecourt edge will be too much for the Clippers to overcome. LAC is 1-4 ATS last 5 as a road dog. Give me the Lakers -2! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Pacers -6.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Indiana covering here as a 6.5-point home favorite against the Raptors. Indiana has gone 13-3 at home this season and are going to be extremely motivated after getting annihilated 117-89 at Milwaukee yesterday. 

Toronto is also playing on no rest after a win at home against the Mavs, but this couldn't be a better time for the Pacerst to be catching a injury depleted Raptors team. Toronto will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days and have a huge game looming at home against Boston on Christmas Day. Give me the Pacers -6.5!