40* DUKE/NC STATE NCAAB ATS NO-BRAINER (Duke -3) 

I'm willing to take a shot here with Duke as a mere 3-point road favorite against NC State. I just feel like now is the time to buy low on the Blue Devils, who come in having lost 3 straight with the last two coming as home favorites against UNC and Notre Dame. 

It just feels like it's now or never for Duke to flip the switch and get this thing turned around. I don't know that there's a better team for them to do that against than the Wolfpack. NC State is just 4-7 in ACC play and have lost 7 of their last 9 with their only two wins coming against bottom feeders Wake Forest and Boston College. Give me the Blue Devils -3! 

40* GEORGIA/ALABAMA NCAAB SHARP STAKE (Alabama -13) 

I got no problem laying the 13-points with Alabama at home against the Bulldogs. The Crimson Tide are coming off a game where they failed to cover in a 81-78 win at South Carolina. However, they really should have covered. They led 78-70 with 3:37 to play and managed to score just 3 points the rest of the game. 

On the flip side of things, Georgia is coming off a very fortunate cover on the road against Tennessee. The Bulldogs trailed by 23 with just under 11 minutes to play in the game and wound up only losing by 8. I don't think they are going to be able to keep it close at all against Alabama. The Crimson Tide are just as good, if not better, defensively than the Vols and are way better on the offensive side of the ball. After the sloppy finish against South Carolina, which followed a loos at Missouri, I look for Alabama to really come out with one of their better performances. Give me the Crimson Tide -13! 

40* 76ERS/SUNS NBA VEGAS MASSACRE (Suns +1) 

I will gladly back the red-hot Suns as a home dog against the 76ers in Saturday's early matchup on the pro hardwood. I really like this Philadelphia team, but this is far from an ideal spot for the 76ers, who are playing their 3rd of 4 on their west coast trip. 

While Philadelphia's likely running on fumes at this point, the Suns are going to be extremely fresh. Not only has Phoenix had to deal with no travel of late, playing their 5th straight at home, they also will be playing here on a full 2 days of rest. Suns are also playing their best basketball of the season. They are 7-1 SU and 7-1 ATS over their last 8. Chris Paul and Devin Booker are really starting to gel together. Give me the Suns +1! 

40* IOWA/MICHIGAN ST NCAAB ATS ANNIHILATOR (Iowa -4.5) 

I will lay the short number on the road with the Hawkeyes against Michigan State. Iowa snapped out of it's recent funk with a convincing 79-66 home win over Rutgers. The Hawkeyes were in control of that game from the get go and it wasn't a huge surprise to see Iowa get back on track with the return of C.J. Fredrick. When he's on the court this is just a different team. 

I know the Hawkeyes failed to cover as a 9.5-point home favorite against the Spartans earlier this season, winning by just 6. However, they still put up 84 points and won the game despite a really off night from behind the 3-point line. They were just 5 of 17 (29.4%). This is a team that averages 10 made 3-pointers a game and is shooting 39% as a team from deep. 

Not only was Iowa off, Michigan State went 12 of 29 (41.4%) from deep. That's not normal for the Spartans, who only average 7 made 3's per game and are shooting just 33% as a team. I just think Iowa is the much better team and are playing with a sense of urgency after their recent 1-4 stretch. Give me the Hawkeyes -4.5! 

40* CLIPPERS/BULLS NBA VEGAS INSIDER (Clippers -6) 

I will gladly take a shot here with the Clippers now that this line has dropped down. LAC has been one of the better road teams in the league the last few years. Despite how often they are asked to lay big numbers, the Clippers have gone 31-16 ATS in their last 47 as a road favorite. They are 10-4 SU and 9-5 ATS away from home this season. 

I think we are getting value here due to the fact that they have failed to cover each of their last 3. As well as the fact that Chicago is coming off such an impressive 129-116 win at home over the Pelicans. Bulls shot a ridiculous 59.3% from the field in that game and hit a franchise record 25 3-pointers. 

I see that game as more of a fluke than anything. Chicago had gone just 2-6 SU in their previous 8 games and it's worth noting they were catching the Pelicans in the second game of a back-to-back. Bulls are just 1-12 ATS last 13 home games off a home win. Give me the Clippers -6! 

40* PELICANS/MAVS NBA on ESPN NO-BRAINER (Pelicans +3) 

I was just on the Mavs in their last game against Atlanta, which they won SU but couldn't cover as a 3.5-point favorite. It was an impressive win for the Mavs, who looked dead in the water in the 3rd quarter. It took some ridiculous shooting for them to win that game in the 4th and I just don't think it's sustainable. 

With how bad their defense is, its really bad, it's hard to trust this team against a Pelicans team that is really clicking on the offensive end. I don't think the Mavs will have any answer for Zion after watching John Collins score 33 against them on Wednesday. Note Collins scored 35 against them the week before. 

Pelicans are off a 116-129 loss at Chicago, but they shot 50.6% from the field. Chicago just couldn't miss. It was the 5th straight game that New Orleans hit at least 50% from the field. I just don't know that a tired Mavs team will be able to keep pace. Give me the Pelicans +3! 

40* WOLVES/HORNETS NBA ATS STEAMROLLER (Hornets -3.5) 

I just can't help myself here with Charlotte as a small home favorite against the Timberwolves. As obvious as this play might look to some, I do think we are getting a good price here because of the fact that Minnesota has gone 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games and just covered at home against LAC in the first game with Karl Anthony-Towns back in the mix.

Towns was decent in his first game back, but I wouldn't be surprised if he's a little more sluggish in his second game on the road with just 1 day between games. Aside from Towns and the T-Wolves recent ATS surge, I also think we are getting a good price with Charlotte given they are coming off an ugly 114-130 loss at Memphis. Hornets shot 55% from the field in the defeat and have scored 111 or more in 7 straight. 

Lastly, let's also not overlook the fact that the Timberwolves are a mere 2-11 SU on the road this season and are giving up 118.6 ppg on 49% shooting away from home. They also will be without one of their top scorers in D'Angelo Russell. Give me the Hornets -3.5! 

40* TULANE/UCF NCAAB ATS SLAUGHTER (Tulane +5.5) 

I like the points with Tulane as they hit the road against UCF on Friday. Some might see the fact that the Knights just played a really good game at home against Wichita State (lost 60-61) as a positive, but often times losing a close game like that is a lot harder to bounce back from than if you got your teeth kicked in. 

I just think for a team like UCF, who is 5-10 overall and 3-9 in the AAC, with no shot at making the NCAA Tournament, that only makes it that much harder to bounce back. As for Tulane, they just upset Tulsa 58-48 on the road Wednesday and have really been playing some of their better basketball here of late. This is not only a game they can keep close, but win outright. Give me the Green Wave +5.5! 

50* HEAT/ROCKETS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Rockets +2.5) 

I will gladly back the Rockets as a home dog against the Heat. I know that Miami has won 3 straight, but this team has a long way to go before they can be treated like the team that made the NBA Finals last year. Those 3 wins were against the Knicks twice and the Wizards. Not to mention they barely beat New York in their two meetings with them and had lost two days earlier to Washington before winning the rematch. 

Houston has lost their last 3, but they haven't been full strength much at all here of late. They rested Wall and Gordon in the first of a back-to-back and Oladipo in the second game. Not having those guys combined with the injury to Wood put them in a horrible spot. All 3 of those guys should be in action here. Simply put, the Heat should not be a road favorite in this one. Give me the Rockets +2.5! 

40* PURDUE/MINNESOTA NCAAB VEGAS INSIDER (Minnesota -3.5) 

I will gladly take a shot here with Minnesota as a small home favorite against the Boilermakers. Some might be hesitant to back the Gophers given they lost by 19 (62-81) at Purdue roughly two weeks ago. Thing is, Minnesota is just a different team at home than they are on the road. Gophers are 12-1 SU and 10-3 ATS at home compared to 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS on the road. 

You also have to love how head coach Richard Pitino has got his team to respond when revenging a blowout loss to an opponent. As a head coach, Pitino's teams are 21-9 ATS at home when revenging a loss of 10 or more points. Gophers are also a dominant 20-9 ATS in their last 29 at home against a team with a winning record. Give me Minnesota -3.5! 

40* LSU/MISS STATE NCAAB ATS SLAUGHTER (LSU +2.5) 

I think we are getting big time value here with LSU as a dog against the Bulldogs. The Tigers had started out 10-2 before going just 1-4 over their last 5 games. It might seem like LSU isn't playing well, but in reality the schedule has been brutal. Two of the 4 losses were to the best team in the SEC in Alabama, they also lost at Kentucky and a heartbreaker at home to Texas Tech in the SEC/Big 12 challenge. 

I look for LSU to get back on track in a big way here against Mississippi State who is just 2-4 in their last 6 games and those 2 wins have come against ISU and South Carolina. Bulldogs figure to have a hard time keeping up offensively with the Tigers in this one, especially given LSU is almost a sure-in to win the turnover battle. Tigers are No.1 in the SEC in offensive TO%, while Mississippi State is No. 13 in defensive TO%. Give me LSU +2.5! 

40* HAWKS/MAVERICKS NBA VEGAS INSIDER (Mavs -3.5) 

I'm going to take the Dallas Mavericks -3.5 at home against the Atlanta Hawks. I just can't help myself here with the Mavs at this price. While Dallas has won 3 of 4 since enduring that 6-game losing streak, they have failed to cover each of their last 3 and are just 1-9 ATS over their last 10 games. I strongly believe that this recent stretch of failed covers is playing into a very favorable line with Dallas at home. 

Their only cover during this stretch was last week's 122-116 win at Atlanta. Note that the Mavs were a 2-point road favorite in that matchup, which means they should be closer to a 5.5-6-point home favorite against the Hawks. 

Another thing to note from that recent meeting is Dallas was able to win by 6 on the road, despite the fact that the Hawks shot 50% from the field and were 14 of 38 from deep. The Mavs won that game at the free throw line and with a +6 edge in turnovers. 

I think now that they have got everyone back and into the mix of things, this is an even stronger Mavs team than the one that won in Atlanta. It's also not like the Hawks are playing great basketball. They come in off a win at home over the Raptors, but had lost 3 straight prior and caught Toronto coming off a huge game against the Nets the night before. Simply put I think Atlanta is getting way too much respect here. Give me the Mavs -3.5! 

40* RUTGERS/IOWA NCAAB SHARP STAKE (Iowa -6)

I'm going to take the Iowa Hawkeyes -6 at home against the Rutgers Scarlet Knights. Most are going to want nothing to do with Iowa in this one, as they are just 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games. I think it has Iowa showing some decent value here. Note that in 4 of their last 5 home games they have been a favorite of 9.5 or more. Not to mention they already went on the road and beat Rutgers earlier this season. 

It's been a combination of a lot of things that has played into the Hawkeyes recent slump. They aren't shooting the ball quite as well from deep, especially in the 2nd half of games, the defense has been sloppy at times and they just haven't closed games out. In almost all of these losses Iowa has had a big lead and let it slip away. 

I just think with their backs against the wall, we are going to see them deliver in a big way at home against the Scarlet Knights. Rutgers has won 4 straight after losing 5 in a row, but none of those wins have come against a top tier team in the Big Ten.

This is also a Scarlet Knights team that has had a much harder time scoring on the road.They are averaging 72.6 ppg on the season and yet just 65.3 on the road. They also are shooting 46.5% from the field on the season, but only 43.8% on the road. You have to be able to score to keep it close against the Hawkeyes and I just don't think Rutgers will have the fire-power to do that. Give me Iowa -6! 

50* VIRGINIA/GA TECH NCAAB *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Georgia Tech +4.5) 

I really like the Yellow Jackets here as a home dog against Virginia. Georgia Tech is just 2-3 in their last 5 games, but have been playing better than that record would lead you to believe. They had two games they could have easily won on the road against Virginia and Duke. They ended up losing 62-64 to the Cavaliers, despite leading by double-digits in the 2nd half. 

I will take the points in the rematch, but I'm confident the Yellow Jackets win this game outright. Virginia is 4-1 in true road games, but only one of those road wins was against a team that ranks in the Top 50 at KenPom. The loss was by 14 at Va Tech. Even in their last two wins they haven't been all that impressive, beating NC State by just 7 on the road and Pitt by 7 at home. 

Cavaliers are just 9-19 ATS over the last 2 seasons vs a team with a winning record. Georgia Tech on the other hand is 9-2 ATS last 11 when playing a team that's won more than 80% of their games. Yellow Jackets are also 47-28 ATS last 75 as a home dog of 6 or less and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 after failing to cover 2 of their last 3. Give me Georgia Tech +4.5! 

50* ST. JOHN'S/BUTLER *BIG EAST PLAY OF THE MONTH* (St. John's +1) 

I love the value here with St. John's as a dog against the Bulldogs on Tuesday. The Red Storm are the hottest team in the Big East right now, as they come in having won 6 straight with 4 of those 6 wins coming on the road, including a 92-81 victory at Providence on Saturday. 

Butler is coming off a 68-58 win at home against DePaul, but that's nothing to get excited about given how bad the Blue Demons have been in conference play (1-8). Butler just doesn't do much that gets you excited. Their offense is anemic and the defense isn't a whole lot better. These two already played once and St. Johns won by 12 despite shooting just 45% from the field. No way should the Red Storm be a dog here. Give me St. John's +1! 

40* KNICKS/HEAT NBA ATS NO-BRAINER (Heat -5.5) 

We cashed on the Heat -5.5 at New York on Sunday, as Miami did just enough to secure a cover in a 109-103 win. That's now back-to-back wins and covers for the Heat after a brutal stretch where they went just 1-7 SU and 1-7 ATS over 8 games. Key here is Miami has got back their best player in Jimmy Butler and while they aren't full strength, they are as healthy as they have been.

Heat also are in a position where they have to keep fighting for every win, as they got a lot of ground to make up with a record of 9-14. Simply put, they can't afford a loss here at home to a mediocre Knicks team and it's a big deal that they are switching venues, as it's not been factored into the line at all as we are getting Miami at the same price as we just got them on the road. Give me the Heat -5.5! 

40* ALABAMA/S CAROLINA NCAAB VEGAS INSIDER (Alabama -6) 

I got no problem laying 6-points on the road with Alabama. This is a huge bounce back game for the Crimson Tide after suffering their first conference loss of the season in Saturday's 65-68 loss at Missouri. Alabama couldn't have shot any worse (33.3%) and yet they still almost found a way to win on the road against one of the better teams in the SEC. 

I definitely don't think they will have any problem getting their offense back on track against the Gamecocks, who are one of the worst teams in the SEC in almost all of the major defensive categories. You also just have to look at common opponents to see how big an edge the Tide have here. Alabama is 5-1 outscoring common opponents by 12 ppg (84.8 to 72.8). Gamecocks are 1-4 against common opponents and getting outscored by 8.8 ppg (73.4 to 83.2). 

Tide are 8-1 ATS last 2 seasons off a loss by 6 or less and a perfect 7-0 ATS when coming off a loss by 3 or fewer. Give me the Crimson Tide -6! 

40* WIZARDS/BULLS NBA VEGAS INSIDER (Bulls -2.5)

I'll back Chicago as a slim 2.5-point home favorite against the Wizards. The Bulls will be without a few key players in Lauri Markkanen, Otto Porter and Wendell Carter, but this Chicago team is filled with a bunch of above average role players. They still got plenty at their disposal to take out a bad team like Washington. Wizards are just 5-15 overall and 3-8 on the road. 

The books were way off with their number in their last game, listing the Wizards as a 1.5-point road favorite. A game they lost 97-119. Now they are another near pick'em on the road in a bad spot, playing their 4th straight on the road and on no rest. Give me the Bulls -2.5! 

50* RAPTORS/GRIZZLIES NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Raptors -2) 

I love the Raptors here at basically a pick'em on the road against the Grizzlies. Memphis was playing really well for awhile, but they have cooled back off with 3 straight losses. Toronto to me feels like they are about to make their push after sleepwalking through the first 1/4 of the season. Raptors did lose last time out at Atlanta, but that was in a huge flat spot after their big win over the Nets. I look for Toronto to return to their winning form here and wouldn't be shocked if they won here going away. Give me the Raptors -2! 

40* TEMPLE/WICHITA ST NCAAB VEGAS INSIDER (Wichita State -8.5)

I will lay the 8.5-points at home with Wichita State against the Owls. The Shockers have been a team I have been on a decent amount. Not a lot of people talk about this team, despite the fact that they are 10-4 with their only 4 losses coming to Missouri, Oklahoma St, Houston and Memphis. All of which are ranked in the Top 50 at KenPom. 

I was on the Owls in their last game at home against Cincinnati and they somehow lost to a depleted Bearcats team that hadn't played and barely practiced in almost a month. The Owls shot a miserable 39.6% from the field and were once again sloppy with the ball with 19 turnovers, including several bad turnovers down the stretch with the game on the line. 

You could see how devastated Temple was after losing that game and I just have a hard time seeing them showing up for this game on Super Bowl Sunday. Not to mention we have a Temple offense that ranks 9th in offensive efficiency facing a Wichita State defense that is No. 4. On the flip side the Shockers have the No. 2 most efficient offense in the ACC vs the No. 9 Temple defense. The Owls were a 12-point road dog to SMU and 17-point road dog to Houston. Give me the Shockers -8.5! 

40* HEAT/KNICKS NBA ATS SLAUGHTER (Heat -5.5)

I'll take my chances here with Miami as a 5.5-point road favorite at New York on Sunday. The Heat have been one of the biggest disappointments in the league. After a surprise run to the NBA Finals in the bubble, Miami is sitting with a record of just 8-14. Only the Wizards, Pistons and Timberwolves have fewer wins. 

It's not just bad play. Injuries and players constantly being out because of covid have played the biggest role in the Heat's slow start. While they won't have Goran Dragic for this one, they got the majority of their core available and are coming off one of their best showings of the season in Friday's 122-95 win over the Wizards. 

The Knicks come in having won 2 straight, but the first was against the Bulls in a rematch after Chicago had beat them two nights earlier. The other was yesterday's easy win over a depleted Blazers team. I just think playing on no rest against a hungry Heat team is the perfect recipe for a Miami cover. Give me the Heat -5.5! 

40* WARRIORS/MAVS NBA STEAMROLLER (Mavs -4) 

I really like the Mavs as a slim 4-point home favorite against the Warriors on Saturday. Big time revenge game here for Dallas after losing 116-147 at home to Golden State on Thursday. Big thing to note about that loss is the Mavs were playing on no rest after a road win at Atlanta on Wednesday. 

There's also not a lot they could do with how well the Warriors shot the ball in that last game. Golden State hit 57.3% of their shot attempts and were 22 of 43 (51.2%) from behind the 3-point line. Look for some big regression from the Warriors and for Dallas to bounce back in a big way after they only shot 41.3% from the field. Give me the Mavs -4! 

40* SPURS/ROCKETS NBA NO-BRAINER (Rockets -1.5) 

I just can't help myself here with the Rockets as a mere 1.5-point home favorite against the Spurs. Houston is a team on the rise right now. The Rockets come in having won 7 of their last 8 games. Their only loss came at OKC two nights after they absolutely destroyed the Thunder on the road. 

While Houston is surging, the Spurs have really not been playing well. San Antonio did win their last game at home against the Timberwolves, but only by 3 as a 7.5-point favorite. Prior to that they lost back-to-back at home to Memphis by 17 and 31 points. Spurs are playing right now without one of their best players in LaMarcus Aldridge. They also will be without starting guard Lonnie Walker and starting point guard Dejounte Murray is questionable. Give me the Rockets -1.5!

40* NOTRE DAME/GEORGIA TECH NCAAB SHARP STAKE (Georgia Tech -4.5) 

I really like the Yellow Jackets as a small 4.5-point home favorite against Notre Dame. I think we are getting an absolute steal here with Georgia Tech at this price. The Yellow Jackets have lost 3 of their last 4, but those 3 losses all came on the road to good teams in Virginia, Duke and Louisville. 

Georgia Tech has won 7 straight at home and are a perfect 4-0 at home in ACC play with all 4 wins coming by at least 5 points. Notre Dame comes in having won 4 of their last 5, but those 4 wins have come against BC, Miami, Pitt and Wake Forest. Those are their only 4 wins in ACC play. Give me Georgia Tech -4.5! 

50* N CAROLINA/DUKE NCAAB *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Duke -3) 

I love the value here with Duke as a mere 3-point home favorite against North Carolina. I know the Blue Devils are coming off an ugly loss at Miami on Monday, but I really think this team is headed in the right direction and are going to make easy work of the Tar Heels in this one. 

North Carolina is simply getting way too much respect right now because they have won 6 of their last 8, but it's not so much a result of how well they are playing but more so the schedule. I know it's not as difficult playing at Duke this year as others with no fans, but I just think the price is too good to pass up. Give me the Blue Devils -3! 

40* UCF/TULSA NCAAB VEGAS INSIDER (Tulsa -4.5) 

I got no problem laying the 4.5-points at home with Tulsa against the Knights. This is a good time to buy low on the Golden Hurricane as they come in having lost 4 of their last 6. Thing is 3 of those losses came on the road, while the lone loss at home was to a good SMU team by just 2-points. 

As for UCF, they have really been struggling. The Knights have lost 3 straight and 8 of 9 overall. Their only win during this stretch coming at home against ECU. UCF has lost 6 straight on the road and will be playing their 4th straight road game here. Give me Tulsa -4.5! 

40* OLE MISS/AUBURN NCAAB ATS SLAUGHTER (Auburn -5)

I really like the spot and price we are catching with Auburn at home against Ole Miss on Saturday. This is a huge bounce back game for the Tigers, who after a hard fought loss at Baylor, laid an egg two days later at home to Georgia. Prior to those two setbacks Auburn had really been playing well behind the emergence of freshman point guard Sharife Cooper. 

While the Tigers are poised for a turnaround, this is a big letdown spot for the Rebels who are coming off a big 52-50 upset win over Tennessee on Tuesday. Ole Miss has also lost 5 of their last 6 on the road. Give me Auburn -5! 

50* SYRACUSE/CLEMSON NCAAB *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Clemson -3) 

This is just too good a price to pass up with Clemson at home. We cashed an easy 50* Top Play on the Tigers in Tuesday's 63-50 win at home against North Carolina. Clemson did lose at Duke the previous game, but before that beat Louisville at home 54-50. Tigers are 7-1 SU at home with their only loss coming at the hands of Virginia. 

Syracuse has won 3 of their last 4, but all 3 wins came at home, while the lone loss was on the road. That's kind of been the theme for the Orange this season, as they are 9-1 at home compared to just 1-4 on the road. Big reason they struggle on the road is their defense, which is giving up 80 ppg. With how good Clemson is defensively, if they let the Tigers score anywhere close to that this thing is going to get out of hand. Give me Clemson -3! 

40* BOISE ST/NEVADA NCAAB VEGAS INSIDER (Boise St -4) 

I got no problem laying 4-points on the road with Boise State. Now I just played against the Broncos in their recent 2-game road trip at Colorado State, but that's an underrated Rams team and it was the first time the Broncos had been tested in a while. I'm not as bullish on this Nevada team. 

The Wolf Pack are 7-5 in MWC play, but those 7 wins have all come against teams who have losing records in conference play. I just feel that Nevada is completely outclassed here. The Wolf Pack usually exploit teams at the free throw line, but I don't think that will be the case here. Without that edge I don't know how Nevada keeps this close as the Broncos are better on both side of the ball. Give me Boise State -4! 

50* BULLS/MAGIC NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Bulls -2) 

I will gladly lay a mere 2-points on the road with Chicago against a Magic team that has completely fallen off here of late. Orlando comes in having lost 4 straight with all 4 losses coming by at least 13 points. They are just 2-12 SU and 3-11 ATS over their last 14 games.

The Bulls are 1-4 SU and 1-5 ATS in their last 5, but I still like what I've seen out of this Chicago team. With all the injuries the Magic are dealing with combined with their recent form, I feel like this number should be 3-4 points more than what it is. 

Keep in mind the Bulls have been a great bet away from the United Center as they are 8-2 ATS in their 10 road games. Magic are just 4-7 ATS at home and 3-15 ATS over the last 2 seasons as a home dog. Give me Chicago -2! 

40* NUGGETS/LAKERS NBA LATE NIGHT BAILOUT (Nuggets +5)

Most are going to see the Lakers as a mere 5-point home favorite and run to place a bet on LA in this one. I'm going the other way here. After a slow start to the season the Nuggets have really come to life over the last couple of weeks. Denver is both 6-1 SU and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games. 

There's zero doubt that we are going to get a max effort here from the Nuggets, as this is their first game against the Lakers since they got knocked out of the playoffs by LA in the Western Conference Finals last year. Denver is 100% going to see this game as a measuring stick game to see where they are. 

As for the Lakers, I think they could have a hard time getting up for this game. While LA has had the last 2 days off, there's a good chance they are still feeling the effects of that long 7-game east coast road trip they were just on. It's a spot they haven't performed well in, as they are 0-4 ATS last 4 times playing at home after a road trip of 7 or more days. They are also just 1-4 ATS last 5 at home, while Denver is 7-3 SU on the road. 

Another thing to note is that these two will turn around and play each other again in LA on Saturday, which I think only adds to the likelihood of the Lakers not showing up with their best effort in this one. Give me the Nuggets +5! 

50* CINCINNATI/TEMPLE AAC PLAY OF THE MONTH (Temple +2) 

I think the fact that the Owls most recent outcome is a 64-81 home loss to Tulane as a 7.5-point favorite has them showing some big time value here as a 2-point home dog to a Cincinnati team that has no business laying points on the road in this spot. 

The Bearcats are just 3-7 overall and 1-4 in AAC play, but even more important here is the fact that Cincinnati will be playing their first game in almost a month. The last time the Bearcats played was on Jan. 10. It's not like they have been using all this time to practice an improve. Even with walk-ons they haven't had enough guys to go 5 on 5. Speaking of Walk-ons, word is they are going to be so short-handed for this game that some of them will have to play. 

While the Owls have only played 9 games because of Covid, they been back in the swing of things for weeks now and had won 3 of 4 before that ugly showing against the Green Wave. Coming off a bad loss has been a good time to back Temple, as they are 24-11 ATS last 35 off a home loss by 10 or more. Give me the Owls +2! 

40* CELTICS/KINGS NBA ATS SLAUGHTER (Kings +2)

We played against the Celtics last night and lost, as Boston was able to squeak out a 111-107 win at Golden State, just barely covering as a 2.5-point favorite. I'm not going to let that result keep me from fading the Celtics again tonight. 

Boston is playing without the heart and soul of their team in Marcus Smart and after their big 3 of Kemba Walker, Jayson Tatum and Jalen Brown all played big minutes last night, this is the ultimate flat spot here for the Celtics in what is now their second game on their 5-game west coast trip. Also, you have Boston in a big sandwich spot coming off that prime time game on TNT against the Warriors with another nationally televised game on deck against the Clippers on ESPN Friday. Give me the Kings +2! 

40* KNICKS/BULLS NBA ATS NO-BRAINER (Bulls -3.5) 

I'm going to take the Chicago Bulls -3.5 at home against the New York Knicks. These two teams just played each other on Monday, which the Bulls won 110-102 as a 3.5-point home favorite. I know that came was really close before Chicago pulled away late for the cover, but I can't help myself but take a shot with the Bulls at the same price on Wednesday. 

You might be thinking New York will be the more motivated team having lost the first meeting, but the numbers suggest it's a bad move to back the Knicks because of revenge. Home teams that won the first meeting of these home and home series are 13-1 SU and 12-2 ATS the last 14 times it's come up. 

I know the overall records are almost the same with the Knicks sitting at 9-13 and the Bulls at 8-11, but I don't think there's any question that Chicago is the more talented of the two teams. More than half of the Bulls 11 losses this season have come by 4 or fewer points. In comparison, just 2 of the Knicks 13 losses have been by 4 or fewer. 

Also a lot of the Bulls struggles have come against some of the better teams in the league. Chicago is 9-3 ATS last 12 games vs a team with a losing record and a perfect 6-0 ATS last 6 at home vs a team with a losing road record. Give me the Bulls -3.5! 

40* KENTUCKY/MISSOURI NCAAB VEGAS INSIDER (Kentucky +4) 

I'm going to take the Kentucky Wildcats -4 on the road against the Missouri Tigers. I really like this spot for Kentucky, who were a pissed off bunch after Saturday's game against Texas was called off because of Covid concerns. The important thing to note is that it wasn't a player related problem. They had a staff member that tested positive. No players are going to be missing this game against Missouri because of Covid. 

Because their game against Texas was called off Kentucky will be coming into this game against Missouri with some fresh legs, as they will have a full 8 days off since they last took the court at Alabama.

They should be able to use those fresh legs to their advantage, as Missouri will be coming into this game on just 3 days of rest after a grueling 102-98 OT win at home against TCU, where they spent the majority of that game playing from behind. 

I also like how the Wildcats matchup with Missouri. The Tigers are an awful 3-point shooting team and really need to score inside to get their offense going. That plays right into the strength of Kentucky's defense, which is No. 2 in the SEC in 2P% defense. Missouri has a good defense, but they really struggle with fouling. They are dead last in the SEC in opponents free throw rate. That's huge for a Wildcats team that doesn't exactly shoot the ball well from the field, but is No. 1 as a team in the conference at 76.6% from the free throw line. 

I know the wins haven't been stacking up like we normally see with a Kentucky team, but the Wildcats always seem to find their groove in February and March and while they are just 1-4 in their last 5 there's been a lot of positives for this team. I really like them to win this game outright, but will take the 4-points as a little added insurance. Give me the Wildcats +4! 

50* LSU/ALABAMA NCAAB *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Alabama -8.5) 

I got no problem laying the 8.5-points at home with the Crimson Tide. A lot of people might be hesitant to lay this many points against a decent LSU team, but I just love the spot and the matchup for the Tigers. 

Alabama will be 100% locked in for this game after a 61-66 loss at Oklahoma on Saturday. That setback snapped the Crimson Tide's 10-game win streak. This is also a team that is really focused about closing out the season strong after struggling in February over recent years. 

The Tide are 8-1 at home where they are winning by almost 14 points/game. They are 9-0 in SEC play with an average margin of victory of 16.1. Their only win at home in conference play by fewer than double-digits was a 8-point victory against Mississippi State. 

LSU is a great offensive team, but are not very good defensively. Alabama is great on both sides and it's why they beat the Tigers 105-75 on the road back on Jan. 19th. I just don't think LSU's defense will be able to make enough stops to keep this close. Give me the Crimson Tide -8.5! 

40* CELTICS/WARRIORS NBA TNT SHARP STAKE (Warriors +2.5) 

I will take my chances here with the Warriors as a small 2.5-point home dog against the Celtics in Tuesday's TNT showdown. Both teams are down a key player with Boston having lost guard Marcus Smart and Golden State playing without rookie big man James Wiseman. 

While both are big losses, I think the loss of Smart is really a big blow to the Celtics, especially in this game where they could really use his defense on Steph Curry. If you look back in the past, Curry has used and abused Boston's Kemba Walker.  Not to mention Curry is starting to find his groove and we know the Warriors will be up for this game. 

I do have some concerns here with the Celtics mindset coming off that devastating home loss to the Lakers on Saturday. That was such a huge game there's going to be a letdown after that matchup. Add in the lengthy road trip to the west coast and I just think the Celtics could be sleepwalking through the first couple quarters. Give me the Warriors +2.5! 

40* USC/STANFORD NCAAB LATE NIGHT BAILOUT (Stanford +2.5)

I really like the value here with Stanford as a home dog against USC. The Cardinal could once again be without Bryce Wills, Ziaire Williams and Daejon Davis (all 3 are questionable), but I actually think that's playing into the value here. Stanford has shown they can compete at a high level without these guys and a big reason for that is they still got one of the best players not just in the Pac-12 but the country in Oscar da Silva. 

Not only is Stanford going to be jacked up for a home game against one of the top teams in the Pac-12 in USC, but this will also be the first game for the Cardinal this season on their home floor at the Maples Pavilion. 

The other big thing for me, is I just don't think USC is all they are made out to be. They are good team, but they have also played the easiest conference schedule of any team to this point. Their last 5 games have come against Washington, Washington State, Cal and Oregon State (twice). This is the first real test they have had in over 3 weeks. I just don't think they should be favored here. Give me Stanford +2.5! 

50* UNC/CLEMSON ACC GAME OF THE MONTH (Clemson +3) 

I love the value here with Clemson as a home dog against the Tar Heels. It's been a rough go for the Tigers after their impressive 9-1 start, as they have lost 4 of their last 5 and are now just 4-5 in ACC play. Thing is the schedule has been brutal of late. In their recent 1-4 stretch, 3 of those losses came on the road to Georgia Tech, FSU and Duke. The only loss at home was to the ACC's best team in Virginia. They did manage to beat Louisville at home in their only win and I expect them to win here. 

North Carolina has won 6 of their last 7 games and it has them way overvalued. It's a great stretch, but it's also come against a soft schedule. The Tar Heels 6 wins during this stretch have come against Notre Dame, Miami, Syracuse, Wake Forest, NC State and Pitt. The Orange are the only one of those teams ranked in the Top 50 at KenPom. 

The other big thing here is this is a brutal spot for UNC playing on the road against a desperate team with a massive game against Duke looming on Saturday. With how well it's been going for the Tar Heels it will only make it that much easier for them to look past the Tigers. Give me Clemson +3! 

40* GRIZZLIES/SPURS NBA ATS NO-BRAINER (Spurs -3.5) 

I will gladly take my chances here with the Spurs as a small 3.5-point favorite against the Grizzlies. These two teams just played each other in San Antonio on Saturday and Memphis won that game 129-112 as a 3.5-point dog. It was the Grizzlies 6th straight win. 

It's just not easy beating the same team twice in a row, especially on the road. Spurs are also a team that has a history of bouncing back from a loss to an opponent. San Antonio is 29-17 ATS last 2 seasons when revenging a loss and 40-15 ATS in the last 3 seasons when revenging a loss where they gave up 110 or more points. Memphis is also a mere 9-24 ATS in their last 33 when they come in having won 6 or more games in a row. Give me the Spurs -3.5! 

40* UCF/MEMPHIS NCAAB VEGAS INSIDER (Memphis -8.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Memphis laying 8.5-points at home against UCF. Not only is this a play on the Tigers, who I think are playing some of their best basketball of the season, but it's just as big a play against the Knights. 

Memphis did have their 3-game losing streak in a heartbreaking 2-point loss at SMU last Thursday, but did manage to cover the spread for a 4th straight game. The Tigers defense has really picked it up. Memphis is allowing just 61.1 ppg on 38.5% shooting in American Athletic play. 

As for UCF, this is just a brutal spot playing on just 1 day of rest after a grueling OT loss at Wichita State on Saturday. That's a game the Knights would love to have back, as they blew a 8-point lead in the final 4 minutes of regulation and then another 5-point lead in OT. 

I just don't know that the Knights can play any better than they did at Wichita State. UCF shot a season best 57.4% from the field in that game. That was only the 2nd time all season they shot better than 46%. I could see that shooting percentage plummeting here with what has to be tired legs and a great Memphis defense. Give me the Tigers -8.5! 

50* JAZZ/NUGGETS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Nuggets -1) 

 I will gladly lay the -1 with the Nuggets at home against the Jazz. Most will avoid betting against Utah given they have won and covered 11 straight games, but if you take a closer look at the schedule for the Jazz they have really been beating up on a bunch of bad teams or teams not playing up to their potential. 

One of those wins was on the road against Denver, but Utah only managed to win that game 109-105 despite them shooting 51.3% from the field and the Nuggets only shooting 40.0% Denver outrebounded Utah 63-50 and were +4 in the turnover department. Since that loss the Nuggets have gone 5-1 SU and 5-1 ATS with the only loss coming in the final game of a 5-game road trip. Give me the Nuggets -1! 

40* SUNS/MAVS NBA ATS SLAUGHTER (Mavs -2)

A lot of people might be hesitant to back Dallas even as a small 2-point home favorite against the Suns, as the Mavs come in having lost 4 straight, including back-to-back blowout losses at Utah. They also will be on no rest, but because last night's game wasn't close against the Jazz, they were able to limit the minutes of their starters. 

The Suns are also the perfect team to get right against. Phoenix is just 2-5 in their last 7 games and are expected to once again be without their best player in Devin Booker. I just think Booker's absence is much bigger than this line would suggest and I'm expecting a very motivated and inspired effort here from Dallas. Give me the Mavs -2! 

40* LAKERS/CELTICS NBA ATS NO-BRAINER (Lakers -1.5) 

I don't play the Lakers a ton because the line is almost always inflated with them, but I will gladly back LA at basically a pick'em on the road against the Celtics. A big reason for that is we can bank on a big time effort from the Lakers coming off back-to-back losses. LA doesn't take losing lightly and are going to be a pissed off bunch after an embarrassing 15-point loss to an awful Detroit team on Thursday. 

Boston is a good team and has been playing well of late, but are simply outclassed and more than anything catching the Lakers at the wrong time. LeBron and AD will be ready to go in prime time and I wouldn't be surprised if this got ugly. Give me the Lakers -1.5! 

50* BLAZERS/BULLS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Bulls -2)

I will gladly back Chicago as a small 2-point home favorite against the Blazers. The Bulls have lost their last two games and failed to cover both after an incredible 11-2 ATS run in their previous 13 games. This feels like the perfect spot to jump back on Chicago, as they are not only going to be motivated to get back in the win column, but they are going to have extremely fresh legs after a 4-day break. 

As for the Blazers they are playing their 2nd road game in 3 days and are missing a bunch of key players right now. Portland will be without CJ McCollum and Jusuf Nurkic. They are also still without Zach Collins and Robert Covington is questionable. Portland is simply getting too much respect on the road in this one. Give me the Bulls -2! 

40* AUBURN/BAYLOR NCAAB VEGAS INSIDER (Auburn +14.5) 

I don't have high hopes for the SEC in Saturday's SEC/Big 12 showdown, but I can't pass up with the value we are getting with Auburn as a 14.5-point dog against Baylor. The Bears are one of the best teams in the country, but this is a huge number to be laying against a surging Tigers team that has found new life behind star freshman point guard Sharife Cooper. He's played 6 games since getting cleared to play and has been unbelievable, averaging 22.3 ppg, 8.7 apg and 5.0 rpg. 

Auburn is 4-2 in the 6 games he's played and the 2 losses have been by a mere 4-points at home to Alabama (by far the best team in the SEC) and a 2-point loss at Arkansas. I believe he's going to be the difference in the Tigers keeping this within the number. I also feel like this game means more to the Tigers than it does the Bears. Give me Auburn +14.5! 

40* ARKANSAS/OKLAHOMA ST NCAAB SHARP STAKE (Oklahoma St -2) 

I just can't pass up on Oklahoma State as a mere 2-point home favorite against the Razorbacks. While the Cowboys are just 4-4 and probably the 7th best team in the Big 12, they would be one of the best teams in the SEC.

Arkansas is just 5-4 in SEC play and has not fared all that well on the road. The thing is the Razorbacks are 13-4 overall and that has them way overvalued in this one. What people overlook with their great record is the played the 300th toughest non-conference slate and have not delivered against any of the top teams in the SEC. Give me the Cowboys -2! 

40* UCF/WICHITA ST NCAAB ATS STEAMROLLER (Wichita St -5.5) 

The Shockers are worth a look here as a mere 5.5-point home favorite against UCF. A lot of people threw Wichita State under the bus early in the year when they lost their head coach, but there's lot of talent still on this roster. Wichita State has won 7 of their last 10 with the only two losses coming on the road to two of the better teams in the AAC in Houston and Memphis. 

UCF had that shocking 3-1 start to the season where they beat Auburn, Florida St and Cincinnati, but are just 1-5 in their last 6. The Knights have also not had much success of late against Wichita State. The Shockers have won all 5 meetings between the two programs with each of the last 3 and 4 of the 5 overall by at least 8 points. Give me Wichita State -5.5! 

50* TEXAS TECH/LSU NCAAB *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Texas Tech -3.5) 

I love the Red Raiders here as a small road favorite against LSU. I've played the Tigers a decent amount this year, but this is not a matchup that favors them at all. LSU wants to outscore teams and that just doesn't work against a team like Texas Tech. The Tigers simply won't be able to go score for score with a team like the Red Raiders who are such a force defensively. 

We have seen what happens here of late when LSU faces a decent defensive team in SEC play, as they got annihilated 105-75 at home by Alabama and 82-69 at Kentucky. I just look for Texas Tech to take control of this game right away and never look back. Give me the Red Raiders -3.5! 

50* CLIPPERS/MAGIC NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Magic -3.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Magic as a 3.5-point home favorite against the Clippers tonight. LA was able to win at Miami last night without George or Leonard and that will entice a lot of square bettors to back them here as a road dog against a mediocre Orlando team. 

I see it the exact opposite. With their two starts both still out, this has flat spot written all over it for the Clippers playing a bad team on no rest in what will be their 3rd road game in 4 nights. Not to mention LA had to use up a ton of energy in their win against the Heat as they trailed by as many as 18 in that game. I'm confident Orlando will show up at home and that should be more than enough to get the dub and cover. Give me the Magic -3.5! 

40* PACERS/HORNETS NBA ATS STEAMROLLER (Hornets +3.5) 

We backed Charlotte at basically the same price on Wednesday and came up short, as the Pacers won 116-106. It's not going to stop me from backing the Hornets again in the rematch. If anything I like them even more in this rematch spot, as they are going to be the more motivated team here. 

This is also a bit of a flat spot for the Pacers, as they just beat Charlotte a couple days ago and have a massive home game on deck Sunday against East leader Philadelphia. Not to mention I don't think Indiana can expect to get another 28 off the bench from Doug McDermott (only 3rd time all season he's scored more than 20) and a triple-double from Sabonis. Give me the Hornets +3.5!  

40* NORTH TEXAS/RICE NCAAB VEGAS INSIDER (North Texas -7) 

I'm sticking with my bet on North Texas -7 (gave out as a free pick yesterday) and actually going to throw a little more on it. I just feel that this North Texas team is flying a bit under the radar right now. They went just 4-4 in non-conference play, but there was no shame in that as the 4 losses came against Arkansas, Mississippi State, West Virginia and Loyola-Chicago. All 4 of which came on the road.

They have started out 3-1 in C-USA action with the only loss coming on no rest in a back-to-back situation against UTSA after they had beat the Roadrunners the night before. 

The Owls had started out 4-1 in league play, but have since lost 3 straight and part of their struggles of late has to do with the absence of sophomore Travis Evee, who is out because of Covid. There's also a chance they could be without senior Cavit Ege Havsa. If he can't go the Owls would be down their top two options at the point guard position. 

Another key factor in this matchup is rest. North Texas hasn't played since Jan. 16th, where Rice will be playing their 3rd game in a 7 day stretch. 

Offensively there's not a lot that separates these two teams, but North Texas is by far the better defensive team. The Mean Green rank 2nd in C-USA in defensive efficiency, while Rice is 13th. I believe the absence of Evee and the edge defensively should be more than enough for North Texas to cover here. 

Mean Green are 26-13 ATS over the last 2 seasons and have covered 18 of their last 25 as a favorite. They are also 14-5 against teams like Rice who attempt 21+ 3-pointers/game and 12-3 ATS last 15 vs team like the Owls that average 18 or fewer free throws/game. Give me North Texas -7! 

40* UAB/MIDDLE TENNESSEE NCAAB SHARP STAKE (UAB -10) 

I will gladly take my chances here with the Blazers winning by more than 10-points on the road against Middle Tennessee. UAB is 12-2 and are sitting on top C-USA with a 5-1 league mark. They just recently got back one of their best players in Quan Jackson after he missed 4 games. One of their losses came in the game he got hurt and the other when he was out. In the two games he returned for against Rice they won both by double-digits. 

While UAB is one of the best teams in C-USA, Middle Tennessee is one of the worst. The Blue Raiders are 3-9 overall and 1-5 in league play. Their only conference win coming against FIU is also one of the worst teams in the conference. UAB has a massive edge offensively in this one. They are 2nd in offensive efficiency in C-USA and the Blue Raiders are dead last. Another thing is turnovers. UAB is the best in the league in protecting the ball, turning it over just 12.5% of the time. Middle Tennessee is one of the worst with a 21.8% turnover rate. That should be more than enough to cash this ticket. Give me UAB -10! 

50* BLAZERS/ROCKETS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Rockets -4.5) 

I love the value we are getting with the Rockets at -4.5 at home against a depleted Blazers team. I just feel like Houston is flying under the radar right now. Everyone kind of threw this team under the bus when they traded away Harden, but there's a ton of talent still on this team and they are expected to get back one of their best players in big man Christian Wood. 

As for Portland, they are down 3 starters in CJ McCollum, Jusuf Nurkic and Robert Covington. They are also still without a likely starter in Zach Collins. As good as Damian Lillard is, and he's really good, he just doesn't have enough around him right now to be all that competitive, especially on the road against a team like Houston that is playing with a chip on their shoulder. Give me the Rockets -4.5! 

40* MICHIGAN ST/RUTGERS NCAAB VEGAS INSIDER (Rutgers -2.5) 

I will lay the short number with Rutgers at home against Michigan State. The Scarlet Knights finally got the monkey off their back with a 74-70 win at  Indiana on Sunday. The victory snapped a 5-game skid for Rutgers. I still really like this Rutgers team and I've been just waiting for them to get back in the win column. I know they got embarrassed at Michigan State 45-68 earlier this season, but that almost makes me like them more, as they will be extremely motivated here to get revenge. 

At the same time, I don't love this spot at all for the Spartans, who are coming off a massive covid break. Michigan State hasn't played since Jan. 8. This is also a team that wasn't playing great before the break, as they are just 2-4 in Big Ten play. Their only two wins outside of Big Ten play against teams in the Top 100 were against Duke and Notre Dame and that victory over the Blue Devils is less and less impressive the more we see of Duke this year. GIve me Rutgers -2.5! 

40* BOISE ST/COLORADO ST NCAAB VEGAS INSIDER (Colorado St +1)

I'm going to take the Colorado State Rams +1 at home against the Boise State Broncos. I don't play a ton of Mountain West games, but I've had my eyes on this matchup for a little while now. I just think this is the perfect spot to fade Boise State, who comes into this game a perfect 9-0 in Mountain West play and has won 13 straight since losing their opener at Houston way back on Nov. 27th. 

Going into the final days of January without a conference loss is impressive, but I believe a big reason for that is due to Boise State schedule. KenPom ranks the Broncos conference slate the easiest of any team in the MWC to this point. All of their wins have come against the bottom 5 teams in the conference in Wyoming, Fresno St, Air Force, New Mexico and San Jose State. Their schedule including non-conference ranks 283rd in the country. 

Colorado State is 8-2 in MWC play with their only two losses coming on the road against two of the best teams in the league in San Diego State and Utah State. It's also worth noting that the Rams split their 2 games on the road against both of those teams. 

Colorado State has two sophomore studs in point guard Isaiah Stevens and power forward David Roddy. Both of those are listed on KenPom's All-MWC team, which is given to the 5 highest graded players. Boise State doesn't have any on that list. The Rams will have the two best players on the floor and I expect them to be extremely motivated not only to give the Broncos their first conference loss but due to the lack of respect they are getting as a home dog in this matchup. Give me Colorado State +1! 

40* WISCONSIN/MARYLAND NCAAB ATS SLAUGHTER (Wisconsin -2.5) 

I just can't help myself with Wisconsin laying this short of a number on the road against the Terps. I played and lost with the Badgers at home against Ohio State on Saturday and that was about as bad as they could have played. One thing you have to love with Wisconsin is they don't let one bad game linger into the next matchup. Wisconsin has not lost consecutive games this season. 

Maryland comes in off a surprising and impressive 63-49 win at Minnesota, giving the Gophers their first loss at home this season. One thing to note about that game is that was a abit of a letdown for Minnesota off a huge upset win over Michigan. I just don't think it's worth reading into that game much. Terps are still just 3-6 in Big Ten play and while the Badgers don't lose consecutive games, Maryland has not won back-to-back conference games. Give me Wisconsin -2.5! 

40* CELTICS/SPURS NBA ATS NO-BRAINER (Celtics -3) 

I'm going to take the Boston Celtics -3 on the road against the San Antonio Spurs. I've backed Boston in each of their last two games and didn't have to sweat either game as they destroyed the Cavs 141-103 as a 6-point home favorite on Sunday and cruised to a 119-103 win at Chicago on Monday. 

I'm sure some might hesitate to back Boston in this game because of the fact that they got a huge home game on deck against the Lakers Saturday night that will be televised on ABC. I just don't think it's going to play as big a role with them getting a full 2 days off before that game. 

I also think the Celtics are playing with a sense of urgency right now and there should be some excitement around this game against San Antonio. Assuming Boston doesn't rest anyone this is going to be their first game this season with Jayson Tatum, Kemba Walker and Jaylen Brown on the floor at the same time. It's really as healthy as the Celtics have been all season. 

On the flip side of this, the Spurs just had a game on Monday that was postponed because neither them or the Pelicans had the required 8 players available to play. As of right now there's not anyone new on the injury report for San Antonio, but my guess is we are going to see at least a couple key guys for the Spurs miss this game. Even if that's not the case, I still like Boston in this spot, especially at this price. Give me the Celtics -3

40* PACERS/HORNETS NBA ATS MASSACRE (Hornets +1.5) 

I will take my chances here with Charlotte as a small home dog against the Pacers. If both teams were healthy and playing on equal rest, Indiana is the better team, but that's just not how this one shapes up. The Pacers are still down two big pieces to the puzzle in T.J Warren and Caris LeVert.

I also think there's a good chance they will be without arguably their best player in Domantas Sabonis, who injured his knee in the first quarter of their last game and didn't return. The x-rays did come back negative and Sabonis is listed as questionable, but I have to think they play it safe here and give him this game off with just 1 day off. 

I also think Indiana as a team is tired right now. The Pacers will be playing their 3rd game in 4 nights as well as their 5th game in the last 8 days. I also think there's a little less motivation in this game for Indiana given the two will turn around and play again at Charlotte on Friday. Give me the Hornets +1.5! 

40* MARQUETTE/PROVIDENCE NCAAB SHARP STAKE (Providence -1.5) 

I think we are getting a steal here with the Friars at basically a pick'em at home against the Golden Eagles. Providence may be just 8-7 overall and 4-5 in Big East play, but so much of that has to do with their schedule. The Friars have played the 14th toughest schedule to date of any team according to KenPom and the toughest slate so far in Big East play. 

They are just 1-4 in their last 5 games, but have had to play 4 of the 5 on the road and the lone home game was against Creighton. Simply put this is the perfect time to buy low on Providence. As for Marquette, they are fresh off an ugly home loss to DePaul and while they beat the Friars at home back on Jan. 12th, that's actually a huge plus as Providence is a perfect 7-0 ATS over the last 2 seasons when revenging a same season loss and are winning in this spot by 8 points/game. Give me the Friars -1.5! 

50* MISSOURI/AUBURN NCAAB *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Auburn -2) 

I will gladly lay the short number at home with Auburn. The Tigers are playing their best basketball of the season right now. They have won 3 of their last 5 with the two losses in this stretch coming by a mere 4 points at home to Alabama and by 2 points on the road to Arkansas. They just destroyed South Carolina 109-86 on the road in their last game. 

Big reason for the strong play of late for Auburn is their star freshman PG recruit Sharife Cooper was finally cleared to play. He's played each of the last 5 games and has been incredible, averaging 21.2 ppg and 9.0 apg. He's also averaging a modest 4.4 rpg and 1.2 spg. I think he's the best player on the floor in this game and I just don't think people are aware of how much better this Auburn team is with him out there. Give me the Tigers -2! 

40* LSU/TEXAS A&M NCAAB VEGAS INSIDER (LSU -5)

I'm confident LSU will go on the road and make easy work of the Aggies. These two teams already played once this season back on Dec. 29th. The Tigers won that game 77-54 as a 8-point home favorite. Even with this game being played at Texas A&M, I don't think it's going to impact the outcome enough for LSU to not win here by at least 6 points. 

This is a huge get right game for the Tigers coming off back-to-back double-digit losses. First a 30-point loss at home to Alabama and then a 13-point loss at Kentucky. Prior to that LSU had started out 5-1 in SEC play and 10-2 overall with their only 2 losses by 4 points to St. Louis and Florida on the road. Texas A&M is 2-5 in SEC play and their 2 wins have come by a combined 3 points. Give me LSU -5! 

50* WIZARDS/ROCKETS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Rockets -3.5) 

I will gladly lay the 3.5-points with Houston at home against a depleted Wizards team. Washington will barely have enough guys to field a team in this game, as Hachimaura, Wagner, Smith, Bertans, Brown Jr, Avdija are all out for quarantine. Neto is also questionable. If he doesn't play they will be down 2 starters and the entire 2nd unit. 

The Rockets are going to be without Christian Wood, but have a more than capable replacement in veteran DeMarcus Cousins. Plus they got a pretty good backcourt trio of John Wall, Eric Gordon and Victor Oladipo. This team is not in as bad a shape as many people think after the Harden trade. This is one they should win with relative ease. Give me the Rockets -3.5! 

40* MEMPHIS/SMU NCAAB ATS NO-BRAINER (Memphis -2) 

This is too good a price to pass up with Memphis at home. The Tigers were one of the worst teams to back early on, as they went just 1-9 ATS in their first 10 lined games. However, that was more of the books just inflating the numbers on this team.

They have finally started to hit their stride, covering back-to-back games with ease. First it was a 72-52 win at home against Wichita State as a 3.5-point favorite. Then it was a 80-53 win at ECU as a mere 7-point favorite. Big reason for these two great showings is the Tigers got the 3-ball working with 11 made 3's in each of the last 2 games. SMU is a quality team, but they are getting way too much respect on the road in this one. Give me Memphis -2! 

40* CELTICS/BULLS NBA SHARP STAKE (Celtics -5) 

I got no problem laying the 5-points with Boston on the road against the Bulls. The Celtics snapped a 3-game losing streak with a 141-103 blowout win at home against the Cavs on Sunday. While Boston will be on no rest here, they didn't have a single player play more than 27 minutes yesterday and are also expected to get back one of their best players in Jason Tatum. 

The Bulls have been playing well, especially in terms of the spread, as they are 11-3 ATS in their last 14, but they did fail to cover last time out in a 90-101 loss to the Lakers. Bulls scored just 33 points in the first half and were down by 30 at intermission. They did make it look respectable with a decent 2nd half surge, but I just wonder if that wasn't the start of a poor stretch for this team. They really didn't shoot the ball well and I just don't see Boston not getting up here having lost 3 of their last 4. Give me the Celtics -5! 

50* TEXAS TECH/W VIRGINIA BIG 12 PLAY OF THE MONTH (W Virginia -1.5) 

I love the value here with West Virginia at basically a pick'em at home against the Red Raiders. The Mountaineers are 10-4 with their 4 losses coming to Gonzaga, Kansas, Oklahoma and Texas. They were are one of the few teams to keep it close with Gonzaga (lost by 5) and 2 of their 3 conference losses are by 4 or fewer points. 

While West Virginia will be playing on just 1 day of rest compared to a full week off for the Red Raiders, note that the Mountaineers had a 2 week break before playing on Saturday against Kansas State. They also didn't need to use a ton of energy in that win over the Wildcats, as they cruised to a 69-47 win. 

Last year West Virginia won 66-54 at home over the Red Raiders and are 7-1 SU in their last 8 home games against Tech. Give me the Mountaineers -1.5! 

40* RAPTORS/PACERS NBA VEGAS INSIDER (Pacers -2) 

I like the Pacers to get their revenge against the Raptors in Monday's rematch. These two teams played on Sunday and Toronto squeaked out a 107-102 win. Considering Malcolm Brogdon only had 12 points and Domantas Sabonis managed just 10 points and didn't score in the 2nd half, that's a pretty good sign that Indiana can flip the script. 

There's also a chance Toronto could be down two of their better players as both Kyle Lowry and Pascal Siakam are listed as questionable after not playing on Sunday. More than anything, I just feel like Indiana is the better team and will be the more motivated side at home in this one. Give me the Pacers -2! 

40* CAVS/CELTICS NBA VEGAS INSIDER (Celtics -6) 

I really like Boston at -6 at home against the Cavs. I think we are getting great value here with Boston coming off 3 straight losses against a Cleveland team that has won 3 straight. Thing is the Celtics just lost back-to-back road games at Philadelphia (I was on the 76ers in both games). Even if they were healthy those two games would have been tough to win. 

The Cavs just pulled off two big upset wins at home against the Nets in Brooklyn's first two games with their Big 3 of Irving, Durant and Harden. Those were huge games for Cleveland and even more so given they had a couple guys they recently acquired from Brooklyn in that Harden trade. You also have to factor in just how bad the Nets are defensively right now with Irving and Harden both major liabilities on that side of the ball. It won't be so easy against a motivated Celtics team on Sunday. Give me Boston -6! 

40* NOTRE DAME/MIAMI NCAAB SHARP STAKE (Miami -2.5)

I like the value here with the Hurricanes as a small home favorite against the Irish. Miami is a team that I feel there's value with right now. The Hurricanes come in off an ugly 57-83 loss at Syracuse and are now just 6-7 overall and 2-6 in ACC play. What gets overlooked is this team has really battled injuries and have also played a tough schedule.

Each of their last 6 losses have come against teams in the Top 100 at KenPom. They have been much better at home in ACC play when not completely depleted. In their last 3 homes games they lost by 1 to Clemson, 2 to UNC and beat Louisville by 6. Notre Dame has been equally bad in this season, as they have lost 4 of 5, but they are coming off a 10-point win against BC, which I feel is playing into the value here with Miami. Give me the Hurricanes -2.5! 

40* NUGGETS/SUNS NBA ATS SLAUGHTER (Suns +2.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Phoenix as a home dog against the Nuggets in a rematch from last night, which the Suns saw a double-digit lead evaporate in the 2nd half of a 126-130 loss. It's really tough to beat the same team in back-to-back games, especially on the road and I just don't think the Nuggets should be favored in this spot. 

Suns are 20-9 ATS last 29 revenging a home loss, while the Nuggets are just 4-14 ATS last 18 after covering the spread in 2 straight games and 15-29 ATS last 44 on the road after scoring 115 or more points. Give me Phoenix +2.5! 

40* PELICANS/WOLVES NBA NO-BRAINER (Pelicans -8)

I got no problem laying the big number with New Orleans on the road against the Timberwolves. It's been a disappointing start to the season for the Pelicans, who are sitting at 5-9, but we know the talent is there and I just think we are going to get a big time effort here in a game they have to feel like they have to have. 

The Timberwolves are every bit as bad as their 3-11 record, especially as long as they continue to play without their best player in Karl Anthony-Towns. The offense for Minnesota has been dreadful of late, as they are averaging just 98.8 ppg in their last 5. This is also a brutal spot for Minnesota playing on no rest after last night's ugly 116-98 loss at home to the Hawks. Give me the Pelicans -8! 

40* LSU/KENTUCKY NCAAB SHARP STAKE (LSU +1.5) 

I will gladly take LSU as a small road dog against Kentucky. If it wasn't for the brand name that the Wildcats have, there's no way they would be favored in this matchup. Kentucky just isn't very good. The Wildcats have lost 3 straight and are a mere 3-8 over their last 11 games. 

This is also a brutal spot for Kentucky coming off a crushing 62-63 loss at Georgia, where the Bulldogs hit the game-winning shot with a second to play. You might argue that LSU is also in a bad spot coming off an ugly 75-105 blowout loss at home to Alabama, but it's actually much easier to bounce back from a blowout loss than it is a close defeat, especially one like Kentucky had where they had no business losing. Give me LSU +1.5! 

50* OHIO ST/WISCONSIN NCAAB *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Wisconsin -4.5) 

I absolutely love the value here with the Badgers as a mere 4.5-point home favorite against Ohio State. This is simply too good a price to pass up with Wisconsin at the Kohl Center. I don't care who the opponent is, I would lay 4.5 with the Badgers at home in conference. Wisconsin is 10-1 at home this season where they are winning by an average of 17.2 ppg. All 4 of their Big Ten home wins have come by at least 7 points. 

I get Ohio State has been playing really well here of late, but they Buckeyes did just have their 3-game winning streak snapped in a crushing 65-67 loss at home to Purdue. A game they led by double-digits and have to be absolutely sick about losing. The Buckeyes made 14 3-pointers against Purdue, but were to reliant on the outside shot shooting 35 3-pointers to just 18 2-pointers. That just won't work against Wisconsin. Give me the Badgers -4.5! 

40* CLEMSON/FLORIDA ST NCAAB VEGAS INSIDER (Clemson +6.5)

I really like the value here with Clemson as a pretty decently sized road dog against the Seminoles. It's been a rough last two games for the Tigers. They went into their game at home against Virginia sitting at 9-1 and got absolutely worked by the Cavaliers 85-50. They let that loss turn into two as they laid an egg a few days later at Georgia Tech, falling 65-83. 

My money is on Clemson to fire back here with one of their best showings of the season and this is a team we know they can hang with. The Tigers already beat FSU 77-67 at home back on Dec. 29th. I get the Seminoles have been playing well and will be out for revenge, but both of those factors have been accounted for with this line. Give me Clemson +6.5! 

50* CELTICS/76ERS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (76ers -4.5) 

We played and won on the 76ers in Wednesday's 117-109 win at home over the Celtics and will fire right back with Philadelphia at the same price on Friday. I know it can be difficult to beat a team twice in a row, but with the 76ers back to full strength (getting back Seth Curry tonight) and the Celtics still without one of their best players in Jason Tatum this is just too good a price to pass up. 

Celtics had no answer for Embiid in the game on Wednesday. He shot 12 of 19 from the field and 17 of 21 from the free throw line in route to 42 points. He should be in store for another big game here, as Boston just doesn't have the guys inside to contain him. I also love the 76ers getting Curry back. He was really playing well before he went out. Philadelphia is also 8-1 SU at home this year. Give me the 76ers -4.5! 

40* MARSHALL/FIU NCAAB VEGAS INSIDER (Marshall -8) 

I know this might seem like a big number, but I got the Thundering Herd winning this game by double-digits rather easily. This is a huge game for Marshall, who after going 6-1 in non-conference has started out 1-3 in C-USA play. 

Thing is they have played 2 of the best teams in La Tech and WKU each twice and 3 of the 4 were on the road. All 3 losses were by 8 or fewer points. FIU is 2-4 in C-USA, but have played the 12th easiest conference schedule to date. FIU doesn't have the offensive fire-power or defensive presence to keep pace with Marshall. Give me the Thundering Herd -8! 

40* COLO ST/UTAH ST NCAAB LATE NIGHT BAILOUT (Colorado St +8) 

I like the value here with Colorado State as a near double-digit dog in Thursday's rematch against Utah State. These two teams played on Tuesday and the Aggies rolled to a 83-64 home win. It was just a bad night shooting for the Rams, who shot just 33% from deep. Utah State on the other hand was on fire, shooting 53% from behind the 3-point line. 

Even after that game the Rams still are the much better 3-point shooting team, as they are hitting 39% as a team on the season. Colorado State is also suffered just 3 losses all season and are one of the more well coached teams in the MWC. Not only do I think the Rams shoot better in the rematch, but they are going to be the more motivated team having getting blown out in that first meeting. Give me Colorado State +8! 

50* PELICANS/JAZZ NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Pelicans +6.5) 

I'll take my chances here with New Orleans as a 6.5-point road dog against the Jazz. These two teams faced off in Utah on Tuesday and the Jazz won that matchup 118-102. Not a lot the Pelicans could do in that first meeting, as Utah went off from behind the 3-point line, hitting 21 of 47 (45%) from deep. New Orleans in comparison was just 6 of 26 (23%). 

One thing I liked from that first meeting is the fact that Utah had no answer for Zion Williamson, as he went 14 of 19 for 32 points. If he'd just got a little more help from his supporting cast, that would have been a much different outcome. New Orleans should be the much more motivated team in the rematch and I not only think they cover, but I give them a great shot here of winning the game outright. Give me the Pelicans +6.5! 

40* WICHITA ST/MEMPHIS NCAAB VEGAS INSIDER (Memphis -2.5) 

I think this is the perfect price and spot to roll the dice with Memphis at home against the Shockers. The Tigers come into this game a mere 6-5, but could easily be sitting with a much better record, as all but one of their defeats have come by single digits. They also only have lost once on their home floor. 

The value with Memphis in this one stems from the fact that they come in having failed to cover each of their last 7 games. I just think you have to put that aside given the small number we are dealing with.

I also like the matchup. The Tigers are 3rd in the AAC in both offensive rebound rate and free throw rate. Two things Wichita State has struggled with. The Shockers are also built defensively to take away the 3-point shot and Memphis is a team that wants to attack you inside. Give me the Tigers -2.5! 

40* HEAT/RAPTORS NBA SHARP STAKE (RAPTORS -4) 

The Raptors slow start was one of the more surprising developments early on. Toronto opened the season a mere 2-8. Some of that was bad luck, as 4 of those losses were by 5 or fewer and only 2 were by double-digits.

Raptors have finally got things going in the right direction with 3 straight wins and a big reason for that is they have got some things figured out with their rotation. Thing is I think we are still getting some value on Toronto because of how they started the year. I just can't pass up on the Raptors at this price with Miami's injury situation. We know the Heat will be without Jimmy Butler and Avery Bradley and there's a chance they won't have Tyler Herro (questionable). Give me the Raptors -4! 

40* CELTICS/76ERS NBA NO-BRAINER (76ers -4.5)

I like the value here with Philadelphia laying what I feel is a short number against the Celtics. It's been a struggle of late for the 76ers, but that's more because of covid and some injuries to guys like Embiid. Not only has Embiid been upgraded to probable, but so has Seth Curry, who might be their most underrated player. 

While Philadelphia is getting healthier, Boston is still playing without arguably their best player in Jayson Tatum. They are also adjusting to the return of Kemba Walker, who made his season debut in their last game against the Knicks. He was far from himself, scoring just 9 points in 20 minutes on 3 of 13 shooting. Give me the 76ers -4.5! 

40* MAVS/PACERS NBA ATS ANNIHILATOR (Mavs +1) 

I'm going to take the Dallas Mavericks +1 on the road against the Indiana Pacers. Both teams are coming in off an ugly loss. The Mavs got routed 116-93 at Toronto on Monday, while Indiana suffered a 129-96 loss at LA on Sunday. 

You might think that the Pacers have an edge here with rest given they will have had 2 days to prepare, while Dallas will be playing their 3rd game in 4 nights. I think fatigue wise both teams are going to be a little bit tired. Indiana just finished up a 4-game west coast road trip that spanned 8 days. 

The Mavs have a bunch of role players that are questionable to return, but there's a possibility they could get a couple guys back. Either way their starting 5 of Doncic, Brunson, Hardaway Jr, Porzingis and Cauley-Stein should have a big edge in this game. 

Indiana has been without one of their top scorers in T.J. Warren for a while. They also traded away another top scorer in Victor Oladipo and the guy they got in return, Caris LeVert ended up finding a mass on his kidney in his physical from being traded that has him out. On top of all that, Myles Turner has a fracture in his hand that forced him to miss their last game. 

Turner did practice on Tuesday, but I would be shocked if he played here. He's still suppose to go and get it reevaluated in a couple days and it was wrapped up pretty good in practice. It might not be the 2-3 weeks they thought, but there's no real incentive here to rush him back. 

This game also just means more to the Mavs, who after losing 3 straight are now sitting T-10th in the Western Conference. Indiana on the other hand is 4th in the East at 8-5 and just 0.5-game back of Boston for the top spot in the conference. 

Dallas has gone 27-12 ATS in their last 39 off a loss by 10 or more and are 24-10-1 ATS last 35 on the road vs a team with a winning home record. Pacers have failed to cover 4 of their last 5 at home vs a team with a losing road record. Give me the Mavs +1!

50* KENTUCKY/GEORGIA NCAAB *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Kentucky -3)

I'll lay the 3-points here with Kentucky on the road against the Bulldogs. It's been a rough go for the Wildcats this year, but they have shown some signs of getting this thing turned around. They have lost their last two games, but one was at home against an Alabama team that is looking elite and the other was on the road against Auburn. 

Both of those were bad matchups, as both of those teams are good at defending the 3-point shot, which is what Kentucky's offense relies a lot on. Georgia is one of the worst defensive teams in the SEC. They rank 13th in defensive efficiency and 13th in 3P% defense. They also are one of the worst teams at allowing offensive rebounds and Kentucky is No. 3 in the SEC in offensive rebound rate (one of the few things they do well). I just think this is a get right game for the Wildcats. Give me Kentucky -3! 

40* VCU/ST BONAVENTURE NCAAB VEGAS INSIDER (St Bonaventure -2.5) 

I'm going to take the St. Bonaventure Bonnies -2.5 at home against the VCU Rams. I've been on St. Bonaventure quite a bit this season and will gladly lay the short number at home with them against VCU. 

The Bonnies returned all 5 starters from a 19-win team that finished T-5th in really good A-10 conference last year. They come into this game 6-1 overall with a 4-1 mark in conference play. They have won 4 straight conference games since losing their opener on the road to Rhode Island. That includes a big road win at Richmond. 

VCU comes in having won 8 of their last 9, but it's really been a favorable stretch here with their schedule. Out of those 9 opponents during this hot streak, they have played just 1 team that's currently ranked in the Top 100 at KenPom and that was Rhode Island, who beat them on their home floor 83-68. The only other team they played in the Top 150 during this stretch was George Mason and they barely pulled out a 66-61 win against the Patriots. 

I'm not saying the Rams aren't a quality team, I just think they are a little bit overvalued in this spot. I think this line should be closer to 6 than 3. VCU is a team that causes a lot of turnovers, but also turns it over a lot. St Bonaventure is 3rd in the A-10 in both offensive and defensive TO%, so look for the Bonnies to win the turnover battle. 

St Bonaventure should also have a massive edge on the glass in this game. They are No.1 in the A-10 in offensive rebound rate and VCU is 13th in giving up extra possessions via the offensive rebound. The Rams also tend to foul a lot, ranking 13th in opponents free throw rate and the Bonnies are 4th in the A-10 as a team with a 71.1% free throw percentage. Give me St. Bonaventure -2.5! 

50* MIAMI/SYRACUSE NCAAB *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Syracuse -4) 

I absolutely love this spot and price with the Orange at home against the Hurricanes. This is huge buy low sell high situation, as you have Syracuse coming into this game off an ugly 76-96 loss at Pittsburgh, while Miami is off a huge 78-72 upset win at Louisville. 

Great win for the Hurricanes, but there's a couple of factors working against Miami in this one. The Hurricanes are still missing several key players and that will be felt on just 2 days of rest. Miami is also a team that relies heavily on their ability to drive to score and that just isn't a great recipe for success against the Syracuse zone. Orange are also undefeated on their home floor this season and we know they are showing up with a big effort here. Give me Syracuse -4! 

40* MARYLAND/MICHIGAN NCAAB VEGAS INSIDER (Michigan -10) 

I got no problem laying 10 points at home with Michigan against the Terps. The Wolverines were bound to suffer a loss at some point and it came this past Saturday at Minnesota. Michigan fell 57-75 in by far their worst performance of the season. It just looked like the Wolverines weren't ready to play. 

I don't see them letting that sluggish performance carry over into this game against a Maryland team they should dominate. The Terps just don't have the size inside to compete with top tier teams like Michigan. Look for standout freshman Hunter Dickinson to have a huge game, while the Wolverines defense keeps a suspect Maryland offense in check. Give me Michigan -10! 

40* PURDUE/OHIO ST NCAAB SHARP STAKE (Ohio State -4.5) 

I will lay the 4.5-points at home with Ohio State against Purdue. Both teams come in having won 3 straight, but I've been more impressed with the Buckeyes not just during this recent stretch but over the course of the entire season. This one is also going to mean a little extra for Ohio State, as they will be out to revenge a 60-67 setback at Purdue back on Dec. 16th. 

While Purdue has won their last 2 road games, they were 0-4 in true road games prior. The Buckeyes are a perfect 7-0 on their home floor this season. That includes a perfect 3-0 record in Big Ten play and all 3 of those home wins in conference play have come by at least 10 points. Ohio State is also a strong 10-1 ATS last 11 at home after a cover and 6-0 ATS last 6 at home after back-to-back covers. Give me the Buckeyes -4.5! 

40* ROCKETS/BULLS NBA SHARP STAKE (Rockets -1.5) 

I'm going to lay the small number with Houston on the road against the Bulls. The Rockets aren't going to get back John Wall for this game, but Eric Gordon and DeMarcus Cousins are set to return from injuries and Victor Oladipo will be making his debut after getting traded to Houston from Indiana. I really think this is  team that is going to be playing with a chip on their shoulder after the Harden trade and while they aren't elite without him, there is a lot of talent on the roster. 

As for the Bulls, this is a really tough spot for Chicago. They just finished up a 13-day 6-game road trip yesterday at Dallas and are being asked to play their first game back home on no rest. I just think the jet lag is going to really hit this team hard here and with 3-days off after this game it will be really easy for them to just kind of go through the motions here. Give me the Rockets -1.5! 

40* BUCKS/NETS NBA VEGAS INSIDER (Nets +2) 

Regardless if Kyrie Irving suits up for this game, I will gladly take my chances with Brooklyn as a home dog against the Nets with just the duo of Kevin Durant and James Harden. You have to completely block out what you saw out of Harden in his limited time with Houston this season. He was doing everything in his power to get traded. 

All you have to do is look at his first game with Brooklyn. Harden scored 32 points with 12 rebounds, 14 assists and 4 steals. Durant scored 42 points as the two combined for 74 in their first game together since their days way back with the Thunder. These two are going to be a nightmare to stop and I see the Nets extremely motivated here to make a statement against the Bucks on their home floor. Give me Brooklyn +2! 

50* W KENTUCKY/MARSHALL NCAAB *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Marshall -2.5)

I will gladly lay the 2.5-points at home with Marshall as they take on Western Kentucky for the second time in 3 days. This time at their home court after losing 73-81 on the Hilltoppers home court Friday. Marshall only lost by 8 in that game, despite shooting just 42.3% from the field and getting outscored by 17 (19-2) at the free throw line. Look for a few more shots to fall at home, as well as a few more trips and makes at the charity line. That combined with the Herd simply being the more motivated team having lost the first matchup and it sets up for a very favorable spot and price here. Give me Marshall -2.5! 

40* HAWKS/BLAZERS NBA LATE NIGHT BAILOUT (Blazers -4.5) 

I know the Blazers are coming off an ugly 87-111 loss at home to the Pacers on Thursday, but that was a tough spot for Portland playing on no rest after a up-and-down 132-126 win at Sacramento the night before. I believe that loss is what's giving us such great value here. 

Atlanta is broken right now. The Hawks are missing some key pieces and Trae Young is playing with zero confidence. Atlanta comes in having lost 5 of their last 6 and the only win during this stretch was against a depleted 76ers team. Look for Lillard and McCollum to abuse Young in this one. Give me the Blazers -4.5! 

40* VIRGINIA/CLEMSON NCAAB VEGAS INSIDER (Clemson +2.5) 

I think we are getting big time value here with the Tigers as a small home dog against Virginia. Clemson has been one of the biggest surprises this year and this is their chance to really show everyone they are for real. Even though they already have by racking up wins over Purdue, Alabama and Florida State. 

Virginia is a really good team, but the schedule so far this year has been a bit of a joke outside of their game against Gonzaga. One they got absolutely destroyed 98-75 on a neutral court. The only other team they have faced that's ranked in the Top 80 at KenPom is San Francisco and they lost them to 60-61. They are 4-0 in ACC play, but have played the easiest conference schedule of any team to this point. Clemson is 3-1 in league play and played the 5th hardest schedule. Give me the Tigers +2.5! 

50* ROCKETS/SPURS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Spurs -6.5) 

I love the value here with the Spurs at -6.5 at home against the Rockets. These two teams just played each other at San Antonio on Thursday. It was Houston's first game since trading James Harden and they were absolutely depleted in that game. You could tell the Spurs thought they could just go into that game and win without trying. It bit them in the ass. Popovich isn't going to let them make the same mistake twice and with several key players again out for Houston, this game figures to get ugly in a hurry. Give me the Spurs -6.5! 

50* MIZZU/TEXAS A&M NCAAB *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Missouri -4.5)

I got no problem laying the 4.5 points on the road with Missouri as they visit Texas A&M on Saturday. The Tigers have to be itching to get back on the court, as they have not played a game since a huge 2nd half collapse in a 63-78 loss at Mississippi State. Missouri led in that game by 14 in the 2nd half and somehow lost by 15. The Tigers only other loss was to Tennessee. 

The Aggies come in off a 56-55 win at Mississippi State, but that's nothing to get excited about. That's now 3 straight games where Texas A&M has failed to eclipse 60 points (have scored 60 or fewer in 4 of their 5 SEC games). It could get real ugly here for the Aggies offense against a hungry and talented Missouri defense. Give me the Tigers -4.5! 

40* BULLS/THUNDER NBA VEGAS INSIDER (Bulls +1.5) 

I'll gladly take the points with Chicago as a small road dog against the Thunder. I'm expecting a big effort here from the Bulls as they are going to want to give their new head coach, Billy Donovan a win in his first game against his old team in OKC. Not only that, Chicago is playing great basketball right now. They have covered in 5 straight and 8 of their last 9 overall. They also are expected to get back one of their best players in Lauri Markkanen. Plus the Bulls have a big edge in rest, as Chicago will be playing on a full 4 days of rest, while the Thunder will be playing their 3rd game in 4 nights. Give me the Bulls +1.5! 

50* NCAAB NORTHEAST CONF GAME OF THE MONTH (Bryant -4.5) 

I absolutely love this spot for Bryant in Friday's rematch against St. Francis PA. These two played last night and the Red Flash pulled off the big upset beating the Bulldogs 89-82 as a 7.5-point dog. That result has Bryant now laying a full 3-points fewer in a game they are going to be much more motivated to win. Also, the Bulldogs were ice cold from 3 and St Francis had one of their better shooting performances from outside. Look for regression both ways and for Bryant to win this one going away. Give me the Bulldogs -4.5! 

40* HORNETS/RAPTORS NBA VEGAS INSIDER (Raptors -7) 

A lot of people are going to look at this line and wonder how the heck a Raptors team that is mere 2-8 to start the season is laying this big a number against a red-hot Hornets team that has won 4 straight going into Wednesday's game against the Mavs. 

That's the big key here for me. Charlotte will be playing this game on no rest, while the Raptors will be playing on a full two days of rest. Not to mention it will be a lot easier for the Hornets to kind of look past this game given these two teams will come right back and play each other again on Saturday.  

There's also been some positive signs that Toronto is getting this thing figured out. In their last 3 games they beat the Kings 144-123, lost by just 1-point on the road at the Warriors and suffered another 1-point loss at Portland in the second leg of a back-to-back on Monday. I just think the Raptors will be the much more motivated team and things aren't as bad as it might seem with their record. Give me Toronto -7! 

40* PURDUE/INDIANA NCAAB SHARP STAKE (Indiana -3)

I will lay the 3-points with Indiana at home against the Boilermakers. I know the Hoosiers are still going to be without Armaan Franklin, but this is just too good a price to pass up on Indiana at home. The Boilermakers were able to pull off an upset win at Michigan State in their last game, but they also trailed 16-33 in the 2nd half of that game before a crazy run to win 55-54. 

Purdue just isn't built to win on the road consistently in Big Ten play. They had lost each of their previous 3 games on the road. They just aren't a good offensive team. They rank 12th in the conference in offensive efficiency and 11th in effective FG%. They are also dead last in the Big Ten in TO% and second to last in free throw rate. When you can't get easy looks, give the other team easy points off turnovers and don't get to the foul line, it's hard to win on the road. Give me Indiana -3! 

50* STANFORD/UTAH NCAAB *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Stanford -1) 

I will gladly lay the 1-point on the road with the Cardinal against the Utes. I don't know why the books keep giving this Utah team respect, but it hasn't worked out well for them. The Utes have failed to cover each of their last 3 games and are just 2-6 ATS over their last 8 games. 

Utah is 4-5 overall with 3 of those 4 wins coming against teams who are ranked 258th or worse at KenPom. The other win was against Washington, who is ranked 141st, but are also 1-9 on the season. 

Utah's one of the worst teams in the Pac-12 offensively. They are 4th in 2P% offense, but 11th in 3P% offense. That plays right into the strength of this Stanford defense. The Cardinal are 2nd in the Pac-12 in 2p% defense compared to just 11th in 3P% defense. Stanford on the other hand is one of the best offensive teams in the league and simply have too much fire-power to not take them at basically a pick'em here. Give me the Cardinal -1! 

40* GRIZZLIES/TWOLVES NBA VEGAS INSIDER (Timberwolves -2.5) 

I'm going to take the Minnesota Timberwolves -2.5 at home against the Memphis Grizzlies. I just think this is a great spot to buy low on Minnesota, who is just 1-7 in their last 8 games. One of the big reasons that Minnesota has such a poor record is Karl-Anthony Towns has played just 3 games. They are 2-1 in the 3 games he's played, which includes a 116-111 win at Utah as a 9.5-point dog. The only loss being by a mere 3-points in OT against the Spurs. 

He did sit out the rematch against the Spurs the following night, which they won, but that was simply because they didn't want him playing both games of a back-to-back. He'll be back in action for this game and we should see a fresh Timberwolves team playing on a full 2 days of rest. A spot that has favored them, as they are 4-1 ATS last 5 times on 2 days of rest. 

As for the Grizzlies, they come in having won their last two, but one of those was a win over Brooklyn minus both Durant and Irving and the other was against an absolutely depleted Cavs team. With Ja Morant, Jaren Jackson Jr and Justice Winslow all still sidelined, this is a team that is going to struggle to win games, especially on the road. 

Grizzlies are just 1-6 ATS last 7 as a road dog, 1-6 ATS last 7 vs a team with a losing record and 1-6 ATS last 7 off a SU win. Give me the Timberwolves -2.5!