Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01-09-19 | Clemson v. Syracuse -3 | 53-61 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
40* VEGAS ODDSMAKER LINE MISTAKE (Syracuse -3) I'll take my chances here with the Orange as a small home favorite against the Tigers. Syracuse comes in having won 3 straight and I just think they are flying under the radar right now. Clemson on the other hand is fresh off a 21-point loss at Duke and I just haven't been impressed enough with this team to think they can go into the Carrier Dome and get a win. Give me the Orange -3! |
|||||||
01-09-19 | Hawks v. Nets -9 | Top | 100-116 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Nets -9) I'll take my chances here with Brooklyn laying it on the Nets at home. Atlanta is a bad team to begin with and have to be running on fumes right now. Hawks will be playing in the second game of a back-to-back road set, as well as their 3rd game in 4 nights. Last night they were at the Raptors, which they showed up for in honor of veteran teammate Vince Carter, as that figures to be the last time he plays in Toronto. While Atlanta is due to not show up, Brooklyn should be all business after getting embarrassed last time out at Boston. Give me the Nets -9! |
|||||||
01-09-19 | Pacers +6.5 v. Celtics | 108-135 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
40* NBA SITUATIONAL VEGAS INSIDER (Pacers +6.5) I'll take my chances here with the Pacers covering the number on the road against the Celtics. I think we are getting a good price on Indiana due to the fact the Pacers will be without Myles Turner. The thing is, Indiana is a deep team and can sustain that loss with the likes of youngster Domantas Sabonis stepping into a bigger role. Boston has won 3 straight, but all at home against teams who struggle on the road. Pacers have 13 road wins and while a win here will be tough, I see this coming down to the wire. Give me Indiana +6.5! |
|||||||
01-09-19 | Auburn -3 v. Ole Miss | 67-82 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Auburn -3) I'll take my chances here with Auburn as a small road favorite against the Rebels. I think we are seeing a much smaller line than we would if this was later on in conference play, as Ole Miss is getting a ton of love from their 11-2 start. I also think the Rebels are at a disadvantage here hosting Auburn in the Tigers conference opener, as I might be tempted to take Ole Miss if this was in February and Auburn was coming off a big game, but the Tigers haven't played in 10 days. I expect to see the best Auburn has to offer in this one. Give me the Tigers -3! |
|||||||
01-09-19 | Ohio State v. Rutgers +6.5 | 61-64 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SHOCKER (Rutgers +6.5) I'll take my chances here with the Scarlet Knights as a decently priced home dog against Ohio State. I think Rutgers is a lot better than they are getting credit for and will be extremely motivated to tray and get that first conference win an avoid the 0-4 start in league play. I think they are catching the Buckeyes at a good time, as Ohio State is coming off a huge game against Michigan State at home, which they lost by 9. I actually wouldn't be shocked if Rutgers won this game outright. Give me the Scarlet Knights +6.5! |
|||||||
01-08-19 | Alabama v. LSU -6 | 79-88 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (LSU -6) I'll take my chances here with LSU at home against the Crimson Tide. Alabama is primed for a huge letdown after upsetting Kentucky on their home court and the Tigers are a perfect 8-0 at home and out for some serious revenge against the Crimson Tide. Both teams are 10-3, but the losses for Alabama came against Northeastern, UCF and Georgia St. LSU's 3 losses are against FSU, Houston and Oklahoma St. Tigers should win here by double-digits. Give me LSU -6! |
|||||||
01-08-19 | Wolves +8 v. Thunder | 119-117 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS UNDERDOG PLAY OF THE WEEK (Wolves +8) I'll take my chances here with the Wolves as a near double-digit dog at OKC. I'm expecting a big effort here from Minnesota after the recent firing of head coach Tom Thibodeau. It's also not like the Wolves weren't playing well leading up to the firing, as they had just won back-to-back games by double-digits at home against the Magic and Lakers. OKC just lost at home by 18 to the Wizards and I just think the Thunder are running on fumes right now. This will be just the 7th home game for OKC since Dec. 3rd. Give me Minnesota +8! |
|||||||
01-08-19 | Maryland v. Minnesota -1.5 | 82-67 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Minnesota -1.5) I'll take my chances here with the Golden Gophers at just a pick'em at home against the Terps. I've been really high on Minnesota this year and they haven't disappointed. The Gophers are 12-2 on the season and fresh off a win at Wisconsin as a 9-point dog. They have won 6 straight and this will be the toughest true road game for this young Maryland team so far this season. Give me the Gophers -1.5! |
|||||||
01-08-19 | Tennessee v. Missouri +8 | Top | 87-63 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
50* NCAAB SEC GAME OF THE MONTH (Missouri +8) I'll gladly take my chances here with Missouri as a near double-digit home dog against the Volunteers. Tennessee is a really good team, but they are way overvalued here on the road off that ridiculous 46-point win at home against Georgia. Tigers are 7-1 at home and this is only the second true road game of the season for the Vols. The other was at Memphis where they were also an 8-point favorite. Missouri is way better than Memphis and are playing their best basketball right now with a 6-game winning streak that includes wins over UCF, Xavier and Illinois. Give me the Tigers +8! |
|||||||
01-07-19 | Magic v. Kings -5.5 | 95-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Kings -5.5) I'll take my chances here with Sacramento as a 5.5-point home favorite against Orlando. This is the ideal spot to fade the Magic. Orlando is playing 5th straight on the road, as they continue on their 6-game road trip. They just played yesterday in LA against the Clippers, so they will be on no rest. This is also their 3rd game in 4 nights, so there's not a lot left in the tank. Kings have lost 4 straight, but have played well in defeat and are primed for a bounce back at home against an inferior opponent. Give me the Kings -5.5! |
|||||||
01-07-19 | Spurs -3 v. Pistons | 119-107 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Spurs -3) I'll take my chances here with San Antonio laying a mere 3-points on the road against the Pistons. I get the Spurs aren't the best of road teams, but they are 12-3 over their last 15 games. I think this team has really figured some things out and are a lot better than they get credit for. There's people still talking about whether this is a playoff team or not. That's just more fuel for the fire and it's not like Detroit is playing well. The Pistons are 4-13 in their last 17 games. Give me the Spurs -3! |
|||||||
01-06-19 | Wizards +10 v. Thunder | 116-98 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Wizards +10) I'll take my chances here with Washington as a double-digit dog. The Wizards are getting zero love right now. Washington wasn't playing great basketball to begin with and then lost John Wall to a season-ending injury. Whenever a team loses a key guy to injury, there always seems to be an immediate stretch where they play extra hard to show they are more than the guy who got hurt. Wizards have covered 3 straight and I expect them to play hard here. OKC is a really good team, but are back-to-back prime time road wins over the Lakers and Blazers. Big letdown spot here. Give me the Wizards +10! |
|||||||
01-06-19 | Nebraska v. Iowa +3.5 | 84-93 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE SLAUGHTER (Iowa +3.5) Give me the Hawkeyes as a home dog all day long. As bad as Iowa can look on the road, they can look just as good at home. I'm not the least bit concerned with the Hawkeyes coming off a bad road loss to Purdue. If anything, it's created exceptional value on this line, as I don't see Nebraska as the kind of team that should be laying points on the road in conference play. Especially against a quality team like Iowa, who has beat a number of good teams this year. This one also means more to the Hawks, who desperately want to avoid an 0-4 start in league play. Give me Iowa +3.5! |
|||||||
01-05-19 | Pelicans -8 v. Cavs | 133-98 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Pelicans -8) We cashed in on Utah last night as a 8-point road favorite against the Cavs and will make the same play here with the Pelicans. Cleveland is the worst team in the league and their struggles are only being compounded by all the guys they have out of the lineup. They shot just 39% in a 26-point home loss to the Jazz last night, which was their 8 straight loss overall, none of which have been close. Give me the Pelicans -8! |
|||||||
01-05-19 | Colorado v. Arizona State -7 | Top | 61-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
50* NCAAB PAC-12 GAME OF THE MONTH (Arizona State -7) I'll take my chances here with the Sun Devils bouncing back with a dominating performance here at home against a pretty sub-par Colorado team. Arizona State comes in off back-to-back hard fought losses at home to Princeton and Utah, which came right after their big upset win over Kansas. I think this team maybe got a big head after beating the Jayhawks and after being humbled in their last two will be 100% locked in for this one. Give me the Sun Devils -7! |
|||||||
01-05-19 | Maryland v. Rutgers +3.5 | 77-63 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 1 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Rutgers +3.5) I'll take my chances here with the Scarlet Knights as a home dog against the Terps. I think Rutgers is going to be a very profitable team to back at home in Big Ten play. This team is a lot better than they get credit for. Maryland surprised some people early, but are a young team that figures to struggle on the road. I also think this is a bit of a letdown for the Terps off that big home win over Nebraska and the Scarlet Knights are well-rested with 6 days off. Give me Rutgers +3.5! |
|||||||
01-04-19 | Wizards +7 v. Heat | 109-115 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Wizards +7) I'll take my chances here with Washington as a big dog against the Heat. Wizards just recently lost John Wall to a season-ending injury and that has everyone picking up their game and giving a little extra to try to help make up for the loss. It's great for the short-term, which is why I like Washington here. Miami is also playing well and off a 25-point blowout win at Cleveland. Heat have historically came out flat in this spot, as they are just 5-15 ATS last 20 off a double-digit win. Give me the Wizards +7! |
|||||||
01-04-19 | Mavs +5 v. Celtics | 93-114 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
40* MAVS/CELTICS ESPN ATS NO-BRAINER (Mavs +5) I'll take my chances here going against the Celtics at home without Kyrie Irving, as I've really been impressed with I have seen from this Mavericks team. Dallas is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 and while they are just 3-6 in their last 9 they have suffered some heartbreaking losses. They lost by 6 at Denver, by 4 at LAC, by 4 at Golden State, by 3 at Portland and by 2 at New Orleans during this stretch. No reason not to expect more of the same and a good chance they win this one outright. Give me the Mavs +5! |
|||||||
01-04-19 | Jazz -8 v. Cavs | Top | 117-91 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Jazz -8) I'll gladly take my chances here with Utah going into Cleveland and beating the Cavs by double-digits. Cleveland is hands down the worst team in the league. The Cavs come in having lost 7 straight and only one of those was decided by fewer than the number here and that was against another bad team in the Hawks. Utah lost at Toronto in the first of 4 straight on the road. Knowing that they have to go to Detroit tomorrow night, I think they come out with a sense of urgency here to get a win. That should be all it takes for them to win and cover this number. Give me the Jazz -8! |
|||||||
01-03-19 | Raptors v. Spurs -2.5 | 107-125 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Spurs -2.5) I'll take my chances here with San Antonio at basically a pick'em at home. The Spurs aren't getting a lot of media press, but after Monday's 120-111 win at home over the Celtics, San Antonio is now 10-3 in their last 13 games and are now 15-5 at home. Toronto is a good team, but they are way overvalued right now. Raptors just 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17. Toronto is also without two key pieces here in Kyle Lowry and Jonas Valanciunas. Give me the Spurs -2.5! |
|||||||
01-03-19 | NC State -1.5 v. Miami-FL | 87-82 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS MASSACRE (NC State -1.5) I'll take my chances here with NC State at basically a pick'em on the road against the Hurricanes. Miami comes in having won 3 straight, but they were all cupcake non-conference games (favored by at least 14 in all 3). The Hurricane are 6-1 at home and they typically are a tough team to beat on the road in the ACC. However, this year's team is way down and that lone home loss was to Rutgers of all teams. Wolfpack have looked better than expected and I think they are still flying under the radar. Give me NC State -1.5! |
|||||||
01-03-19 | Iowa +10 v. Purdue | Top | 70-86 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Iowa +10) I'll take my chances here with Iowa as a double-digit dog against Purdue. This is just too many points for the Boilermakers to be laying. I mean Michigan State was only a 11-point favorite against Iowa back in December. Purdue is no where close to the Spartans level. Iowa ended up losing by 22, but were right there with Michigan State for a good chunk of that game. Hawkeyes also lost at home to Wisconsin and at 0-2 in Big Ten play they are going to do everything they can to avoid going 0-3. Win or lose, that effort should be more than enough to cover this spread. Give me the Hawkeyes +10! |
|||||||
01-02-19 | Texas v. Kansas State -2 | Top | 67-47 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
50* NCAAB BIG 12 GAME OF THE MONTH (Kansas State -2) I'll gladly take my chances here with Kansas State at basically a pick'em at home against the Longhorns. Wildcats are 10-2 overall and a perfect 7-0 at home this season. Texas is just getting too much respect. The Longhorns are a good team, but have gone just 3-4 in their last 7 and 3 of those losses were at home to Radford, VCU and Providence. I don't see this team being all that great on the road in Big 12 play. K-State's only two losses were true road games at Marquette and Tulsa and they could have won both of those. Give me the Wildcats -2! |
|||||||
01-02-19 | Wolves v. Celtics -6.5 | 102-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Celtics -6.5) ' I'll take my chances here with Boston laying it on the Timberwolves. Minnesota is just 4-8 in their last 12 and will be playing shorthanded in this one. Starting point guard Jeff Teague and backup Derrick Rose are both expected to not play. Minnesota is also likely without Robert Covington. Celtics could be without Kyrie Irving, but with or without him they should have no problem winning this game via a blowout. Boston is off a loss at San Antonio and I'm confident they bounce back here with a big effort. Give me the Celtics -6.5! |
|||||||
01-01-19 | Jazz v. Raptors -3 | 116-122 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Raptors -3) I'll take my chances here with the Raptors laying a short number at home. This is just to good a price to pass up on Toronto at Scotiabank Arena, even with Kyle Lowry sidelined. Raptors are 14-4 at home this season and had no problem winning at Utah 124-111 back in early November. Jazz are a mediocre road team at best. Utah might keep it close, but all signs point to a Toronto victory. Give me the Raptors -3! |
|||||||
12-31-18 | Grizzlies +5 v. Rockets | 101-113 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Grizzlies +5) I'll take my chances here with Memphis cashing in as a decently priced road dog given the circumstances. Houston has already been playing short-handed with Chris Paul out of action with a hamstring injury. Now they will be without another key piece in guard Eric Gordon. Paul and Gordon both average right around 15.5 ppg and that leaves Harden and Capela as their only double-digit scores in the lineup. Memphis needs a big win to get back on track and this feels like a big flat spot for the Rockets having won 4 straight and 9 of 10 overall. Give me Grizzlies +5! |
|||||||
12-29-18 | Nuggets v. Suns +4.5 | 122-118 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Suns +4.5) I'll take my chances here with Phoenix covering here as a small home dog against the Nuggets. The line says it all here. The books like the Suns to not just cover the small number, but win the game outright. I do too. I think this is a huge flat spot for Denver off last night's hard fought 102-99 win against the Spurs. Jamal Murray hurt his ankle late in that game and I doubt he plays in this one. Keep in mind the Nuggets are already playing short-handed with a bunch of guys out. As for Phoenix, the Suns are playing great basketball right now. While they lost and failed to cover last night against OKC, they are still 5-3 SU and 7-1 ATS last 8. Give me the Suns +4.5! |
|||||||
12-28-18 | Nets v. Hornets -4.5 | 87-100 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Hornets -4.5) I'll take my chances here with the Hornets covering this relatively small spread at home against the Nets. This is all about the situation that presents itself and these two having just played a game against each other in Brooklyn two days ago. Revenge is best served in the NBA when there's a short turnaround between meetings. Charlotte simply will want this more and they have been a very strong team on their home floor. Give me the Hornets -4.5! |
|||||||
12-27-18 | 76ers v. Jazz -5 | 114-97 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS KNOCKOUT (Jazz -5) I'll take my chances here with Utah to cover at home against the 76ers. I just think this is a really tough spot for Philadelphia. Utah is not an easy place to play and the 76ers have to be a bit fatigued after their overtime game against the Celtics on Christmas Day, especially with all the family time and travel that they have had to cram in the last few days. Philadelphia is also not the same team on the road as they are at home and Utah will be out for revenge from an earlier loss at the 76ers. Give me the Jazz -5! |
|||||||
12-27-18 | Knicks +14.5 v. Bucks | Top | 96-112 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Knicks +14.5) I'll take my chances here with New York as a massive underdog against the Bucks. This is a rematch from Christmas Day, which Milwaukee won and covered 109-95 as a 10-point favorite. It has the Bucks way overvalued, as I think it will be really hard for Milwaukee to take this game seriously. There's something special about playing on Christmas Day, so they gave max effort against the Knicks on Tuesday. I just don't see them being motivated for the rematch. On the other hand, I think New York will play hard and it's really not asking much for them to keep this within the number. Give me the Knicks +14.5! |
|||||||
12-26-18 | Nuggets v. Spurs -3.5 | 103-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Spurs -3.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with San Antonio as a small home favorite against just about any team in the league right now. The Spurs got off to a shaky start, but are 7-2 over their last 9 games. They did lose at Houston last time out, but shot 48% from the field, while holding the Rockets to 39% from the field. San Antonio's efficiency levels on both sides of the ball are off the charts during this recent run. The only reason this line isn't more, is the Nuggets have the best record in the West. However, Denver has a bunch of key guys out and might have a hard time matching the Spurs intensity knowing they get to host San Antonio in a quick rematch this Friday. Give me the Spurs -3.5! |
|||||||
12-26-18 | Pelicans v. Mavs -2.5 | Top | 119-122 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
50* NBA SOUTHWEST GAME OF THE MONTH (Mavs -2.5) I'll take my chances here with the Mavs as a slim 2.5-point home favorite. I just think this line isn't enough for how good Dallas is playing at home. While the Mavs own a losing record at 15-17 overall, they are a dominant 13-3 at home this year. That's tied with the 76ers, Bucks and Nuggets for the fewest losses at home on the season. On top of that the Pelicans have not been playing great basketball and are just 4-14 on the road this year. New Orleans lost 122-117 at Sacramento last time out and are a mere 2-11 ATS off a road loss. Mavs are 12-4 ATS at home this season, including a perfect 7-0 ATS mark when listed anywhere from +3 to -3. Give me Dallas -2.5! |
|||||||
12-25-18 | Lakers +9 v. Warriors | 127-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Lakers +9) I'll take my chances here with the Lakers at worst keeping this game to single digits. It won't be easy beating the Warriors on their home court, but I don't think it's asking a lot for LeBron James to keep LA within the number. Warriors have really struggled in this price range, as they are a mere 2-10 ATS last 12 as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. Give me the Lakers +9! |
|||||||
12-22-18 | Kansas v. Arizona State +3.5 | 76-80 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Arizona St +3.5) I'll take my chances here with the Sun Devils as a home dog. My numbers suggest that Arizona State should be favored, but no surprise that the line is shaded big time in favor of Kansas, who is a perfect 10-0 and comes in ranked No. 1 in the country. Not to take anything away from the Jayhawks, who are a really good team, but they aren't going to go undefeated and this Sun Devils team is arguably the best the Pac-12 has to offer. Not only is this Kansas' first true road game of 2018, but it's also a long way from home. I also think Jayhawks are a little lucky to be 10-0. They got 5 wins by single digits. Give me Arizona State +3.5! |
|||||||
12-22-18 | Spurs +5.5 v. Rockets | 101-108 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Spurs +5.5) I'll take my chances here with San Antonio. The Spurs have come alive in December. They are 8-3 in the month and have won 3 straight and 7 of their last 8 overall. They have been just doing as they please offensively and locking down on the defensive side of the ball. In their last 8 games the Spurs have shot better than 50% from the field in 6 games. On the flip side of this, they have held 7 straight opponents under 44% from the field and fewer than 100 points. Houston had something going, but lost Chris Paul to injury and simply aren't the same team without him on the floor. Give me San Antonio +5.5! |
|||||||
12-21-18 | Grizzlies v. Kings -2 | 99-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Kings -2) I'll take my chances here with Sacramento as a small home favorite against Memphis. The Grizzlies have fallen on hard times. While they have a winning record at 16-15, they are a mere 4-10 in their last 14. These two teams have already played twice this year and the home team has won and covered each time. I don't see any reason to expect a different outcome here. I believe the difference will be the Grizzlies inability to keep pace offensively. Memphis averages a mere 101.9 ppg and haven't reached the 100-point mark in 7 straight. Sacramento on the other hand is averaging 115.3 ppg. Give me the Kings -2! |
|||||||
12-21-18 | Oklahoma v. Northwestern -1.5 | 76-69 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Northwestern -1.5) I'll take my chances here with Northwestern at basically a pick'em at home against the Sooners. Oklahoma comes into this game at 10-1 and are getting way too much respect on the road against a quality Big Ten team The Wildcats recently almost beat Michigan on their home floor, losing 62-60 as a 5-point dog. Sooners only loss was a neutral site game to Wisconsin, where the Badgers held them to just 58 points. I think we see Northwestern's defense give them the same kind of trouble, as they are only giving up 61 ppg on the season and 56.3 ppg at home. Give me the Wildcats -1.5! |
|||||||
12-21-18 | Wolves v. Spurs -4 | Top | 98-124 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
50* NBA REVENGE GAME OF THE MONTH (Spurs -4) I'll gladly take my chances here with San Antonio laying a short number at home against the Timberwolves. Minnesota played really well right after they traded Jimmy Butler to the 76ers, but are just 1-5 in their last 6 and have been absolutely atrocious on the road with a 2-12 record. While the Wolves are slipping, San Antonio is making it's move, as they are 6-1 in their last 7. It's also no secret these last couple of years the Spurs are a different team at home compared to on the road. This one also means a little more to San Antonio, as they got annihilated 128-89 in a late November trip to Minnesota. They get their revenge tonight. Give me the Spurs -4! |
|||||||
12-20-18 | Mavs v. Clippers -3 | Top | 121-125 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Clippers -3) I'll take my chances here with the Clippers covering this small number at home against the Mavs. I just think LAC is showing value here due to the fact that they come in having lost 4 straight and are a mere 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games. It's not like they are losing to bad teams. They lost at home to the Raptors and Blazers and on the road against the Spurs and Thunder. THey have shot 50% from the field in each of their last 2 games and it's not like Dallas is playing great. The Mavs have lost 3 in a row and are a dismal 2-11 SU on the road this season. Give me the Clippers -3! |
|||||||
12-20-18 | Utah State v. Houston -4 | 50-60 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Houston -4) I'll take my chances here with the Cougars staying undefeated and covering the short spread at home against the Aggies in the process. Houston is 10-0 with a perfect 8-0 record on their home floor, where they are outscoring opponents by just over 15 ppg. Utah State is a good team and will be one of the better clubs in the MWC, but we saw them get crushed by 15 at BYU in their toughest road game to date and they went off as a pick'em in that game. This 10-0 start for Houston is no joke. They have wins over LSU, Oklahoma State and Oregon. They also won by 14 on the road against that same BYU team that rolled Utah State. Give me the Cougars -4! |
|||||||
12-19-18 | Georgia Tech v. Arkansas -8.5 | 69-65 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Arkansas -8.5) I think a lot of people are sleeping on this Arkansas team with all the good teams in the SEC and the fact that the Razorbacks lost so much from last year's team that they just weren't expected to be a serious threat this year. Mike Anderson is vastly underrated as a head coach. Guy has a 351-184 record in 16 years. We knew Daniel Gafford was going to be good and he leads the team in scoring at 17.9 ppg. What we didn't know is all the new pieces that would play big roles. Freshman Isaiah Joe is second in scoring at 16.9 ppg, sophomore transfer, Mason Jones is averaging 13.4 ppg 5.3 rpg and 2.9 apg. New Mexico transfer Jalen Harris is putting in 9.3 ppg and 7.6 apg. Joe and Jones have already made 59 3's and are both shooting better than 42% from deep. Georgia Tech has two guys in double figures and have 54 made 3's as a team. Give me the Razorbacks -8.5! |
|||||||
12-19-18 | Nets v. Bulls +2 | 96-93 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS MASSACRE (Bulls +2) I'll take my chances here with the Bulls. I think the books want you to take Brooklyn by making them a slim favorite (basically a pick'em). Nets have won 6 straight and just took down LeBron James and the Lakers last night. That win is exactly why I'm fading Brooklyn. Beating James is not just another game. Brookyln put everything they had into that game and I just don't see them being the least bit interested in playing the Bulls, especially given that this is random 1-game road trip, as their next 3 are all at home. Give me Chicago +2! |
|||||||
12-19-18 | Pistons v. Wolves -5 | Top | 129-123 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Wolves -5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Minnesota as a small 5-point home favorite against the Pistons. This might appear to be a matchup of two struggling teams, as the Pistons have lost 7 of 8 and the Wolves have dropped 4 of 5. The thing is all 4 of Minnesota's losses came on the road, where they are 2-12 this season. The Wolves returned home after those 4 losses and crushed the Kings 132-105 to improve to 12-4 at home. Pistons are 4-7 on the road and given how poorly they have been playing, I don't see them taking down the Timberwolves with how well Minnesota is playing at home. Give me the Wolves -5! |
|||||||
12-19-18 | Pacers +7.5 v. Raptors | 96-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS ATS LINE MISTAKE (Pacers +7.5) I'll take my chances here on Indiana covering what I think way too many points in their matchup at Toronto. The Pacers just lost 92-91 at home to the Cavs as a 12.5-point favorite last night. It looks bad, but I expected it, as my top play yesterday was Cleveland. That was the definition of a trap game, as Indiana was feeling good about themselves, playing an inferior opponent and had a massive game on deck the next day. Prior to losing to the Cavs this team was playing lights out and this a measuring stick kind of game, as Toronto has looked like the class of the Eastern Conference early on. I like this Raptors team a lot, but they are really banged up right now. Kyle Lowry, Serge Ibaka, Fred VanVleet, Pascal Siakam and Jonas Valanciunas are all dealing with injuries. Some are going to play less than 100%. I think that's more than enough for Indiana to make a game of it. Give me the Pacers +7.5! |
|||||||
12-18-18 | Cavs +12.5 v. Pacers | Top | 92-91 | Win | 100 | 10 h 0 m | Show |
50* NBA CENTRAL DIV GAME OF THE MONTH (Cavs +12.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Cavaliers as a big double-digit road dog against the Pacers. Indiana comes in having won 7 straight games. They have to be feeling themselves a little bit and I think they will have a really hard time taking Cleveland seriously. Not only because the Cavs are one of the worst teams, but the fact that they have a much bigger game on deck tomorrow at Toronto, who they are just 2-games back of for the top spot in the East. They will find a way to win this game, but it will be closer than expected. Give me the Cavs +12.5! |
|||||||
12-18-18 | Drexel v. Connecticut -15.5 | 65-97 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS MASSACRE (UConn -15.5) I'll take my chances here with UConn covering this big spread at home against Drexel. I just don't this is near enough points for the Dragons. The only Power 5 team that Drexel has played is Rutgers and the Scarlet Knights annihilated them 94-66. Drexel plays zero defense and two games ago let Maryland-Baltimore County shoot 60.3% for the game. They have allowed 80+ in 3 straight. UConn has scored 90 or more points in 5 games already this season and all 4 times they won by at least 17 points. Give me the Huskies -15.5! |
|||||||
12-17-18 | Blazers v. Clippers -2 | 131-127 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Clippers -2) I'll take my chances here with Los Angeles as a small home favorite against the Blazers. I know the Clippers come in having lost 3 straight and 5 of 6 overall, but 3 of the 5 losses were on the road. LA is 9-3 on their home court, outscoring teams by 3.2 ppg. The Blazers are 5-9 on the road (4-10 ATS) and are getting outscored by 6.2 ppg. This is simply too good a price to pass up given the home/away splits for these two teams. Not to mention the Clippers split their two meetings at Portland earlier this season. Give me the Clippers -2! |
|||||||
12-17-18 | Jazz v. Rockets -5 | 97-102 | Push | 0 | 8 h 60 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Rockets -5) I'll take my chances here with Houston as small home favorite. The Rockets will not be taking the Jazz lightly at all. These two teams have played twice already this season and Utah has won both by double-digits. Not only do we have clear motivation with double-revenge, but Houstons' James Harden is playing out of his mind right now. He's recorded a triple-double in each of their last 2 games and put up 50 last time out against the Lakers. You also have to factor in Utah is not playing great right now. They have lost 3 of 4 and could come out a little flat on just 1-day of rest after playing in Mexico City on Saturday. Give me the Rockets -5! |
|||||||
12-15-18 | Cincinnati v. Mississippi State -4 | 59-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Miss St -4) *Analysis Coming* |
|||||||
12-14-18 | Thunder -1 v. Nuggets | Top | 98-109 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Thunder -1) I'll gladly take my chances here with OKC as a small road favorite. The fact that the Nuggets have the best record in the West and are a dog on their home floor, tells you everything you need to know. Denver is beat up right now. They are down 3 starters in Gary Harris, Will Barton and Paul Milsap and Jamal Murray is playing with a banged up shin. Thunder won't take it easy on them, as they are playing with revenge from a loss in late November and have been outstanding off a loss. OKC hasn't lost back-to-back games since they started out 0-4. Give me the Thunder -1! |
|||||||
12-14-18 | Pacers +4.5 v. 76ers | 113-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Pacers +4.5) I'll take my chances here with Indiana as a small dog against the 76ers. The Pacers come into this game as healthy as they have been all season and are playing some of their best basketball. Last time out they rolled Milwaukee 113-97 at home for their 5th straight win and 4th straight cover. Their bench has been outstanding and that's arguably the biggest weakness of the 76ers after the Butler trade. Speaking of Butler, he's questionable to play with a groin injury. This is also a big revenge game for the Pacers, who lost at home to the 76ers in early November. Give me Indiana +4.5! |
|||||||
12-12-18 | Wolves -3.5 v. Kings | 130-141 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS SLAUGHTER (Wolves -3.5) I'll take my chances here with Minnesota getting back on track against the Kings. The Wolves are off back-to-back losses, but both came on the road against two of the better teams in the West in the Blazers and Warriors. Minnesota was competitive in both and I just think this is a get right game for them. It just so happens the last game the team played with Jimmy Butler was a 121-110 loss at Sacramento, so there's even more incentive to get a win here. Kings are better than expected and have won 4 of their last 5, but 3 of those 4 wins came against the Cavs, Suns and Bulls and the other was at home against a Pacers team playing without Oladipo. Give me the Wolves -3.5! |
|||||||
12-12-18 | Pistons v. Hornets -5.5 | 107-108 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Hornets -5.5) I'll take my chances here with Charlotte covering the number at home against the Pistons. Detroit is in a bit of a free-fall right now. The Pistons have lost 5 straight and a big reason for their struggles is they just aren't healthy. They got 5 key players who are either out or questionable. They also aren't playing any defense. In their last 5 games they are giving up 114.8 ppg and allowing teams to shoot 49% from the field. Charlotte is averaging an impressive 116.6 ppg at home and simply a different team at home compared to on the road. I just don't see Detroit keeping pace here, as the Pistons are playing their 3rd game in 4 nights and second straight on the road. Give me the Hornets -5.5! |
|||||||
12-11-18 | Blazers v. Rockets -6.5 | Top | 103-111 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Rockets -6.5) I'll take my chances here with Houston covering what might look like a big number given how they have been playing. This is the definition of a get right game for the Rockets, who couldn't have played much worse in their 3 straight road losses to the Wolves, Jazz and Mavs. They just had stretches in each of those games where the offense was non-existent. I think playing at home will get rid of that problem. It will also help playing against a Blazers defense that is allowing 115.2 ppg away from home on the season. Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points who are revving a loss of 10 or more and off back-to-back road losses are an incredible 30-9 (77%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Give me the Rockets -6.5! |
|||||||
12-10-18 | Wolves +10 v. Warriors | Top | 108-116 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
50* NBA WESTERN CONF GAME OF THE MONTH (Wolves +10) I'll take my chances here with Minnesota as a double-digit dog against the Warriors. I just think Golden State is way overpriced here after winning 3 straight, including a 10-point win last time out as a dog at Milwaukee. Minnesota has been a different team since they traded away Jimmy Butler and with Embiid not exactly sounding thrilled with how things are going with Butler, maybe he was the problem. Either the Wolves have been way more competitive without him and we can bank on a max effort here from Minnesota against the defending champs. I also love that the Wolves are going to be fresh, as this is just their 2nd game in the last 5 days. Give me Minnesota +10! |
|||||||
12-08-18 | San Diego State -3 v. California | 83-89 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (San Diego St -3) I know this is going to be a very popular side, but I just can't pass up the value here with the Aztecs at basically pick'em against the Golden Bears. San Diego State is 5-3, but two of those losses were neutral site games against Duke and Iowa State. The other a loss to in-state rival San Diego, which was their last game. I think that will have the Aztecs 100% locked in for this game against a Cal team that simply isn't very good. The Golden Bears have just 2 wins on the season and have lost 4 of their last 5, including a 19-point home loss to San Francisco. Give me San Diego State -3! |
|||||||
12-08-18 | Wolves v. Blazers -2 | 105-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Blazers -2) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Blazers as a slim 2-point home favorite against the Timberwolves. These two teams have played twice already and the home team has dominated both times. Portland won 111-81 at home on Nov. 4th and Minnesota won 112-96 at home on Nov. 16. I know it's been a tough stretch for the Blazers of late, but they snapped a 3-game skid with a 22-point win at home over the Suns and for as good as the Wolves have been playing, a lot of that success has come at home (10 of last 12 at home). Minnesota is just 2-8 on the road and those 2 wins are against the Nets and Cavs. Give me the Blazers -2! |
|||||||
12-08-18 | Celtics v. Bulls +8 | 133-77 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Bulls +8) I've been on the Bulls in each of their last two games and they covered both. Last night they won 114-112 as a 8.5-point home dog and I wouldn't be shocked if they pulled off another upset win tonight against Boston. I like the energy and focus I've seen from Chicago since they fired Hoiberg and it definitely helps they got back their best player in Lauri Markkanen. They could potentially be getting back to more key pieces tonight in Kris Dunn and Bobby Portis, both of which are listed as questionable. Either way I expect them to keep this close. Give me the Bulls +8! |
|||||||
12-08-18 | Arkansas State v. Minnesota -19.5 | 56-72 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 3 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Minnesota -19.5) I'll take my chances here with the Gophers winning here at home by 20+ against Arkansas State. I just don't think this is a big enough spread for the gap in talent here. Minnesota is still flying under the radar. I mean they were just a 4-point home dog to Nebraska (won 85-78). Their only two losses are true road games against BC and Ohio State. The Red Wolves are 3-5 with a 1-5 record on the road, where they have been outscored by 15.3 ppg in their 4 losses. It's not like they have been playing a bunch of Power 5 teams. They lost by 21 at Abilene Christian, 24 at Grand Canyon and 12 at Lehigh. Give me the Gophers -19.5! |
|||||||
12-07-18 | Warriors +1 v. Bucks | 105-95 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS MASSACRE (Warriors +1) I'll take my chances here with OKC getting some revenge against the Bucks. Milwaukee went into Golden State in early November and laid it on the Warriors 134-111. That's one you don't forget and I think the Warriors will come out with an edge we haven't seen in a lot of their games this season, as the regular-season just doesn't really matter to them anymore. Warriors just routed the Cavs 129-105 and are a dominant 16-5 ATS in their last 21 road games after a blowout win by 20 or more points. Give me Golden State +1! |
|||||||
12-07-18 | Thunder v. Bulls +9 | Top | 112-114 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Bulls +9) I'll gladly take my chances here with Chicago as a near double-digit dog at home against OKC. Bulls covered their first game after firing Hoiberg and I expect them to really play hard for a good stretch here. They also just recently got back their best player in Lauri Markkanen. Thunder have won 4 straight, but were lucky to escape with a 114-112 win at Brooklyn (trailed by 23). This is the final game of their road trip before a much-needed 2 day break. I think OKC is flat here and will really struggle to match the intensity of the Bulls. Give me Chicago +9! |
|||||||
12-07-18 | Nuggets v. Hornets +1.5 | 107-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Hornets +1.5) I like the value here with Charlotte as a home dog against the Nuggets. Hornets are 8-5 at home, outscoring opponents by 7.5 ppg and I'm expecting a big time effort here from Charlotte after losing 3 straight. Denver has won 7 in a row and it's got them overvalued in this one. Nuggets are playing their 4th straight on the road and their 8th road game in their last 10 games overall. They are still without Will Barton and Gary Harris is questionable to play. I just think Charlotte is going to want this one a lot more. Give me the Hornets +1.5 |
|||||||
12-06-18 | Iowa State v. Iowa +2.5 | 84-98 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS MASSACRE (Iowa +2.5) I'll take my chances here with the Hawkeyes as a home dog against the Cyclones. Iowa got off to that impressive 6-0 start, but then couldn't buy a basket in back-to-back losses against Wisconsin and Michigan State. This is still the same team that knocked off Oregon and UConn in back-to-back games and I'm willing to bet they find their shot here at home against their in-state rivals, as they are going to be extremely motivated here knowing they aren't the favorite on their home court. Give me the Hawkeyes +2.5! |
|||||||
12-05-18 | Mavs v. Pelicans -6 | 106-132 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS MASSACRE (Pelicans -6) I'll take my chances here with the Pelicans covering the spread at home against the Mavs. I've really been impressed with Dallas so far this season, but I just think this is a tough spot for them to play well. The Mavs will be on no rest, as they played last night at home against the Blazers It's also their 3rd game in the last 4 days. Pelicans are going to be highly-motivated off a rare home loss to the Clippers, as New Orleans owns a 9-3 home record. Speaking of home/away splits, the Mavs are 10-2 at home compared to 2-8 on the road. Give me the Pelicans -6! |
|||||||
12-05-18 | 76ers +6.5 v. Raptors | 102-113 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (76ers +6.5) I'll take my chances here with Philadelphia as a decently priced road dog against the Raptors. I just think Toronto is a bit overvalued right now by the books from their strong start. Raptors have failed to cover each of their last 3 games and just lost at home to Nuggets as a similar priced 7-point favorite. 76ers have been outstanding since acquiring Jimmy Butler and are 8-1 in their last 9 and have covered 3 straight. They will be out for revenge here, as they got embarrassed by 17-points at Toronto way back on Oct. 30th. 76ers are a solid 67-45 ATS in their last 112 when revenging a loss and 23-11 in their last 34 when playing on 2 days of rest. Give me Philadelphia +6.5! |
|||||||
12-05-18 | Ohio State -5 v. Illinois | Top | 77-67 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
50* NCAAB BIG TEN GAME OF THE MONTH (Ohio St -5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Ohio State covering what I think is a really short number against the Fighting Illini. While this is pretty much a home game for Illinois, it's not on their home court, as they will tip this thing off at the United Center. While it will feel like a home game with all the Illinois fans, it's just not the same and the Fighting Illini haven't won a game that's not been on their home court. Ohio State is a perfect 2-0 on the road and playing with a ton of confidence after throttling Minnesota at home 79-59 on Sunday. I just don't think Illinois has the fire-power to keep this close. Give me the Buckeyes -5! |
|||||||
12-04-18 | West Virginia v. Florida -2 | Top | 56-66 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Florida -2) I'll gladly take the Gators here to cover the short spread against West Virginia. I'm way down on the Mountaineers this year, as I think they lost some key pieces and it's a lot harder for them to just reload with their style of play. As for Florida, I think a lot of people see that ugly 21-point loss to Florida State and think this team isn't that good. Maybe they aren't as good as we thought, but they should have zero problem here beating West Virginia on a neutral court. Give me the Gators -2! |
|||||||
12-04-18 | Bulls +8.5 v. Pacers | 90-96 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS MASSACRE (Bulls +8.5) I'll take my chances here with Chicago as a pretty big dog against the Pacers, who are still without their All-Star in Oladipo. Bulls fired head coach Fred Hoiberg yesterday and we almost always see a big uptick in effort and motivation with teams that undergo a coaching change. On top of that, Chicago is a team that should only get better with the return of Lauri Markkanen to the lineup, who is arguably their best player. Wouldn't be shocked at all if the Bulls won this game outright. Give me Chicago +8.5! |
|||||||
12-04-18 | Indiana v. Penn State -2.5 | 64-62 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Penn St -2.5) I'll take my chances here with the Nittany Lions to cover the small spread at home against the Hoosiers. I think this line is an early gift from the books, as I think we are getting a great number with an underrated Penn State team taking on an overrated Indiana team. It's really hard to win on the road in the Big Ten and I just don't think the Hoosiers have the makeup of a team that's going to win a lot of road games in conference play. Give me the Nittany Lions -2.5! |
|||||||
12-03-18 | Rockets -1.5 v. Wolves | Top | 91-103 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Rockets -1.5) I'll take my chances here with Houston, who I think is a team that will be worth backing going forward, as long as they can stay healthy. The Rockets are as healthy as they have been all season and a lot of people overlook that they have only had Harden and Paul in the lineup together for 14 of their 22 games. They are 10-4 when both play and 1-7 without them. Minnesota has played better than most expected since trading away Jimmy Butler, as they are 7-3 without him. However, I think a lot of that is just them trying harder and that can only last so long. They just lost at home to Boston by 9 and gave up 118 in the process. Rockets are clicking offensively and I just think they are the far superior team. Give me Houston -1.5! |
|||||||
12-03-18 | Iowa +11 v. Michigan State | 68-90 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (Iowa +11) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Hawkeyes as a double-digit dog against the Spartans. I really like this Iowa team. While they don't have any real superstars, they are deep and experienced with some quality freshmen added to the mix. They let one get away at home against Wisconsin, but easily could have won despite only shooting 39% from the field. This team has already won big games against Oregon and UConn, beating both without much problem. It's hard to win at Michigan State, but I think this Iowa team is fully capable of pulling off the upset and should have no problem keeping this within the number. Give me Iowa +11! |
|||||||
12-01-18 | Pacers v. Kings +1.5 | 110-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS SLAUGHTER (Kings +1.5) I'll take my chances here with Sacramento at basically a pick'em at home against the Pacers. I just think this is a really tough spot for Indiana, who is without Oladipo and may be missing big man Domantas Sabonis. Not to mention it's the last stop on their 4-game west coast trip that started Monday with a game in Utah. Kings are playing their 3rd straight at home and just 3rd game game in the last week. I've liked what I've seen from this Sacramento team and I think they will be the more motivated side in this one. Give me the Kings +1.5! |
|||||||
12-01-18 | Northwestern v. Indiana -7 | 66-68 | Loss | -107 | 2 h 38 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD ATS ANNIHILATOR (Indiana -7) I'll take my chances here with the Hoosiers laying single-digits at home against the Wildcats. I think this is a great spot to jump on Indiana, who has failed to cover 4 straight and fresh off an ugly showing at Duke. I was on the Blue Devils in that win over the Hoosiers and the last time I played on Indiana was their 96-73 win over Marquette at home, which I feel is almost an identical scenario to what we have here. Northwestern is 6-1 but that's more of the schedule being favorable than them being good. This is a team picked by many to finish in the basement of the Big Ten and this will be the first time all season they are a dog. It's also their first true road game and one of the more difficult places to play. Give me the Hoosiers -7! |
|||||||
11-30-18 | Mavs +3.5 v. Lakers | 103-114 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS SLAUGHTER (Mavs +3.5) The Mavs appear to have hit the jackpot in rookie Luka Donic. He's leading the team in scoring at 19.1 ppg and shooting almost 40% from deep. He's also averaging 6.5 rpg and 4.2 apg. He gives Dallas a sneaky good starting 5 with him Harrison Barnes, Wesley Matthews, Dennis Smith Jr. and DeAndre Jordan. Let's also not forget, they have one of the best head coaches in the league in Rick Carlisle. They have won 3 straight and 7 of their last 8 and are going to bring their 'A' game to LA against LeBron and the Lakers. Speaking of LA, I was on and cashed with the Lakers last night, but now it's time to fade them in the second game of a back-to-back. This will be only the second game in the last six days for Dallas. Give me the Mavs +3.5! |
|||||||
11-30-18 | Oklahoma State v. Minnesota -3.5 | Top | 76-83 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Minnesota -3.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Gophers, as I absolutely love them at this price on their home court. I've been on Minnesota a lot early on, as I think they are flying under the radar in 2018 after injuries really ruined their season a year ago. They got a good head coach in Richard Pitino and these midwest teams have huge home court advantages. I think Oklahoma St is getting a lot of love for a recent blowout win over LSU, but they shot the lights out of the gym at 59%. If that happens were screwed, but rarely do teams shoot that well in an opposing teams arena and there's no better example of that than their first true road game, which was also their season opener. Cowboys lost outright 66-64 at Charlotte as a 13-point favorite (shot 40%). Give me the Gophers -3.5! |
|||||||
11-29-18 | Pacers v. Lakers -4.5 | 96-104 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
40* PACERS/LAKERS NBA BOOKIE SLAUGHTER (Lakers -4.5) I'll gladly back the Lakers at home at this price. I absolutely love this spot for LA, as they come in having lost 2 straight and in the most recent game they got their butts whooped in a 117-85 loss at Denver. Clearly the entire team played bad, but it was easily the worst game for LeBron James since coming to LA and I'm willing to bet the best basketball player on the planet will make sure he doesn't play that poorly in back-to-back games. Pacers are without their star in Oladipo and I just don't see Indiana being able to match the intensity of LA, as this is their 3rd road game in 4 nights. Give me the Lakers -4.5! |
|||||||
11-29-18 | Clippers v. Kings +3 | 133-121 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
40* KINGS/CLIPPERS NBA TNT NO-BRAINER (Kings +3) I'll take my chances here with Sacramento as a small home dog against the Clippers. Taking the points for insurance but I fully expect the Kings to win this one outright. I've really been impressed with the improvements Sacramento has made from last year to this season. They got a nice mix of young guys that not just love basketball but want to win and I think they come out locked and loaded for this prime time showdown on TNT against a Clippers team that is off to a surprising start of their own. I just LAC has to be feeling themselves a bit and this is not an ideal spot playing on no rest after hosting the Suns on Wednesday. While they are on no rest, Sacrament has going to be playing on 3 days rest. Give me the Kings +3! |
|||||||
11-28-18 | Purdue v. Florida State -4.5 | 72-73 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (FSU -4.5) I'll take my chances here with the Seminoles as a short home favorite against the Boilermakers. Both these teams come into this one at 5-1, but the eye test for me is that FSU is the far superior team and should have no problem here winning by at least 7-points at home. Purdue lost a lot from last year and while they got one of the best players in the Big Ten in Carsen Edwards, he's got to play exceptional for this team to just have a fighting chance. I think it's going to make it really hard for the Boilermakers to be competitive on the road against a top tier team like FSU. Give me the Seminoles -4.5! |
|||||||
11-28-18 | Spurs v. Wolves -4.5 | 89-128 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Wolves -4.5) I'll take my chances here with Minnesota at home against the Spurs. It doesn't make sense to a lot of people that the T-Wovles can be better after trading away Jimmy Butler, but the results speak for themselves. Minnesota is 6-2 in their last 8 and all 6 wins have come by at least 7 points. The defense has been outstanding. During this 8-game stretch they have only allowed one team to shoot better than 43% from the field. I'm not sure why the Spurs are getting as much love as they are, especially on the road. San Antonio is a mere 4-8 in their last 12 games and just 4-7 on the road this season. Give me the Timberwolves -4.5! |
|||||||
11-28-18 | Wizards v. Pelicans -6 | Top | 104-125 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Pelicans -6) I'll take my chances here with New Orleans winning at home by at least 7 points against the Wizards, as I think the Pelicans easily cash in a victory here by double-digits. This is a big revenge spot for New Orleans as they just lost by double-digits at Washington lat Saturday. Not to mention they are going to be extremely motivated to snap a 4-game losing streak. They are 8-2 on their home floor, where they are scoring 122 ppg. Washington is 2-7 on the road, where they are giving up 122 ppg. I just don't see the Wizards keeping pace. Give me the Pelicans -6! |
|||||||
11-27-18 | Indiana v. Duke -14.5 | 69-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (Duke -14.5) I know this line here is probably a couple points high, but I'm laying double-digits with Duke hoping they win by 15. I think the Blue Devils are going to make Indiana look bad and win here by 20+ points. I just think Duke is one of the most talented teams we have seen in a while and if healthy will be the national champs at the end of year. I love taking elite teams like this off a loss, especially the first one and that next game at home. Indiana isn't a bad team and will compete in the Big Ten, but the Blue Devils are on a different level. I think the one game they were super locked in for was the opener against Kentucky and they rolled the Wildcats 118-84. The Hoosiers won't be able to withstand the constant haymakers that Duke throws at them. Give me the Blue Devils -14.5! |
|||||||
11-27-18 | Raptors v. Grizzlies +5 | 122-114 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Grizzlies +5) I'll take my chances here with Memphis as a 5-point home dog, as I think we are getting a solid 5-points in value. I actually like the Grizzlies to win this game outright. Memphis is better than you think and come into this game with a 7-2 home record. They are tormenting teams with their defense, as teams are only averaging 99.1 ppg and shooting 42.8% against them on their home floor. Toronto has started better than most expected, but the books are on to them and really inflating their numbers. They just won by 10 at home against Miami, but failed to cover as a 12-point favorite. Give me the Grizzlies +5! |
|||||||
11-27-18 | Boise State -4 v. Drake | Top | 74-83 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
50* NCAAB SHARP MONEY PLAY OF THE MONTH (Boise St -4) I absolutely love this play. Drake comes in at 3-1 and in my only play involving them this year, I cashed easily on Colorado as a 15-point home favorite. Buffaloes won that game 100-71 and shot a ridiculous 59% from the field. I think the fact that Drake has managed to beat some really bad teams (Buena Vista, Texas State and UMKC), they are getting way too much respect on their home floor. It also helps that Boise State has started out slow at 2-3. Coming off a loss the Broncos will be locked in for this one and should win here by double-digits no problem. Give me Boise State -4! |
|||||||
11-26-18 | Minnesota +1 v. Boston College | 56-68 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Minnesota +1) I'll take my chances here with Minnesota to pull out a win on the road against the Tigers. I've cashed in a couple times already on this Gopher team, as I thought they were flying well under the radar after injuries ruined last year's season. Richard Pitino is building something in Minneapolis and this team has started out 5-0 and just won the Vancouver Showcase. Boston College is 4-1 and fresh off a nice upset win over Loyola-Chicago. Sure that's a nice win, but Loyola is getting way too much love early on from what they did last year. Eagles are improved, but still have a ways to go, which is evident by their 76-69 home loss to IUPUI as a 16-point favorite. Give me the Gophers +1! |
|||||||
11-26-18 | Bucks v. Hornets +5 | Top | 107-110 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Hornets +5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Charlotte as a decently priced home dog against the Bucks. Milwaukee has made plenty of headlines with their 14-5 start and the books are definitely making their backers pay a premium. Hornets are 9-2 and really not on anyone's radar, which has them way undervalued at home, where they are 6-3 and outscoring opponents by 11 ppg. Speaking of home/away splits, the Bucks have benefited greatly from playing 12 of their first 19 games at home, as they are just 4-3 on the road compared to 10-2 at home. All we need is for Charlotte to keep it close and I think they win outright. Give me the Hornets +5! |
|||||||
11-25-18 | Clippers v. Blazers -3.5 | 104-100 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Blazers -3.5) I'll take my chances here with Portland as a short home favorite against the Clippers. I just think this price is too good to pass up. The Blazers are a big undervalued right now, as they are just 2-4 in their last 6 and have lost their last 2, but all of these came on the road. Portland has won 4 straight and are 7-2 overall at home this year. Clippers are 8-1 at home, but just 4-5 on the road and 3 of those road wins are against the likes of the Magic, Hawks and Nets. Portland is 24-7 ATS last 31 home games and clippers 0-5 ATS last 5 road games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Give me the Blazers -3.5! |
|||||||
11-21-18 | Grizzlies v. Spurs -2.5 | 104-103 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS ODDS MAKER LINE MISTAKE (Spurs -2.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Spurs laying this short of a number at home. I get this isn't the same caliber a San Antonio team as previous years, but as long as Popovich is in charge, they are going to be a very difficult team to beat on their home floor. Spurs are 6-2 at home and 2-6 on the road and it's not like they are just beating cupcakes at home. They have home wins over the Warriors, Rockets, Pelicans, Lakers and T-Wolves. Memphis is good and have been playing well, but are getting too much respect here having won and covered 4 straight. Give me the Spurs -2.5! |
|||||||
11-21-18 | Nuggets v. Wolves -1 | 103-101 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Wolves -1) I'll take my chances here with Minnesota at basically a pick'em at home. It's hard to explain why things didn't work out with the Timberwolves and Jimmy Butler. It feels like their was simply a clash of personalities and the young T-wolves not wanting to turn over the reigns to Butler. Since he's been gone the effort has been outstanding, especially on defense. They did run out of gas last time out in a loss at home to the Grizzlies, but have had two days off to regroup and will be catching a tired and struggling Nuggets team that has lost 6 of 7 and playing their 3rd straight on the road. Give me the Timberwolves -1! |
|||||||
11-21-18 | Pistons v. Rockets -9 | Top | 124-126 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
50* NBA NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH (Rockets -9) I'll take my chances here with the surging Rockets at home against what I feel is a pretty overrated Pistons team. It's funny how Houston got rid of the cancer that is Carmelo Anthony and like the flip of a light switch starting playing better. They come in having won and covered 4 straight and those outside shots they weren't hitting early on are falling at a much higher rate. Pistons have won 4 of 5, but 3 of those were against the Magic, Hawks and Cavs. The other a nice road win at Toronto, but they caught the Raptors in a stretch when they weren't playing well. Pistons are the worst shooting team in the league and I'm not buying they can go into Houston and keep this game close with just their defense. Give me the Rockets -9! |
|||||||
11-21-18 | Louisville v. Tennessee -8.5 | 81-92 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS MASSACRE (Tennessee -8.5) I'll take my chances here with the Volunteers making easy work of the Cardinals. I just think Louisville is such a big name that we are catching value here with Tennessee. It helps that Louisville is 3-0, but wins over Nicholls State, Southern and Vermont are nothing to get excited about. They shot 53% from the field and only beat Vermont by 8-points on their home floor. With all that's gone on, there's a lot of new faces in Louisville and while the future is bright under Chris Mack, there's going to be some growing paints this season. The Volunteers are absolutely loaded and just beat Georgia Tech at home by 13, despite shooting 39.6% from the field. That game was also without Lamonte Turner, who is expected back in the lineup today after missing the previous 3. Give me Tennessee -8.5! |
|||||||
11-20-18 | Auburn v. Duke -10 | 72-78 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (Duke -10) I'll take my chances here with the Blue Devils laying just 10-points against the Tigers. I get that Auburn is 4-0 and ranked No. 8 in the country, but I just think this Duke team is a class above the rest. That was a pretty good San Diego State team they just annihilated yesterday and note that while they won comfortably and got to rest some starters, Auburn was playing in an OT game against Xavier, where their two studs, Brown and Harper, each played 43 minutes. I just don't see the Tigers having the energy to keep pace with this Duke attack. Give me the Blue Devils -10! |
|||||||
11-20-18 | Raptors v. Magic +7 | 93-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Magic +7) I'll take my chances here with Orlando as a decent priced home dog against the Raptors. I get Toronto is a great team and snapped their 3-game losing streak with a blowout win at the Bulls, but this is still a big number here for them to be laying against a Magic team that has been ballin of late. Orlando has won 7 of their last 9, going 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6. That includes wins at home over the 76ers and Lakers in their last 3. I think they can at least keep this within the number. Give me the Magic +7! |
|||||||
11-20-18 | Cornell v. Connecticut -15 | Top | 74-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (UConn -15) I'll take my chances here with UConn laying it on Cornell at home tonight. The Huskies laid an egg in the 2nd game of a back-to-back against Iowa after their big win over Syracuse. That's a really good Hawkeyes team that a lot of people don't know about. I think they bounce back here in a big way against a Cornell team that has lost by double-digits at home to the likes of Colgate and Delaware. Should be pretty easy for the Huskies to win here by at least 20. Give me UConn -15! |
|||||||
11-19-18 | Clippers v. Hawks +8.5 | 127-119 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Hawks +8.5) I'll take my chances here with Atlanta as a decently priced home dog against the Clippers. LA comes in having won 4 straight and 6 of their last 7 and are way overvalued because of it. Not to mention Atlanta is getting zero love with them having lost 7 straight and being just 1-11 in their last 12 overall. However, the Hawks have covered 3 of their last 4 and this is the most they will have caught on their home floor. LA is 7-1 at home and just 3-4 on the road. Also Atlanta has had to play 10 of their first 16 on the road, so that's another thing that has them undervalued. Give me the Hawks +8.5! |
|||||||
11-19-18 | Nebraska -14 v. Missouri State | Top | 85-62 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Nebraska -14) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Cornhuskers to cash in an easy win and cover against the Bears. Missouri State comes in at 3-0, which I think is definitely keeping the number here lower than it should be, but they haven't played anyone. Bears are picked to finish near the basement of the Missouri Valley and have not been less than a 7-point favorite, so that tells you the level of talent they have been playing. Nebraska is 3-0 and while they have a couple of cupcake wins, they also won by 23 as a mere 8-point favorite against Seton Hall. I think everyone calling last year's surprise 4th place finish in the Big Ten a fluke and them getting snubbed on the NCAA Tournament, has this team playing with a big chip on their shoulder this year. Give me Nebraska -14! |
|||||||
11-16-18 | Kings +7 v. Grizzlies | 104-112 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
40* NBA UNDERDOG ATS MASSACRE (Kings +7) I'll take my chances here with Sacramento at this price. If you haven't had a chance to check out this Kings team, I really suggest doing so. This is not your bottom feeder of the West anymore. Sacramento has stockpiled a lot of young talent and some of their young guys are starting to blossom into stars. There also seems to be a very strong chemistry between the group. Right now they would be the No. 8 seed and for them to be in the conversation 14 games, tells you how good they are playing. Memphis has been playing well also and that's a team a lot of people were high on coming in. I just feel the Grizzlies are getting too much love here against a team they could easily lose to. Give me the Kings +7! |
|||||||
11-16-18 | Raptors v. Celtics -2 | Top | 116-123 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Celtics -2) I'll take my chances here with Boston at basically a pick'em at home. I just think it's too good a price to pass up. Maybe the Warriors are the only team I wouldn't be overly confident with the Celtics in this spot. The only potential guy they won't have is Marcus Morris (questionable) and that's not a big loss with the depth this team has. We are also getting a refreshed Boston team that's playing just their 2nd game in the last 5 days. Definitely one they will be excited for, given they lost at Toronto earlier this year. Raptors have lost back-to-back since that strong start, both at home and both as 9.5-point favorites. I think this is a great time to fade them, especially on the road. Give me the Celtics -2! |
|||||||
11-14-18 | Blazers +3 v. Lakers | Top | 117-126 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
50* NBA LATE NIGHT GAME OF THE MONTH (Blazers +3) I'll gladly take my chances here with Portland as a dog against LeBron James and the Lakers. The Blazers are simply the better team and should not be a dog in this fight. LA is and will continue to be a huge public play with James and are definitely going to be with them having won 3 straight and 5 of 6. The thing is, most of these wins have come against bad teams and 4 of the 5 have come by 4-points or less, which means this could easily be a completely different story. Portland is 3-1 SU and 3-1 ATS on the road, where they are outscoring teams by 8.5 ppg. Lakers are 4-3 SU and 1-6 ATS at home where they are getting outscored by 1.6 ppg. Give me the Blazers +3! |
|||||||
11-14-18 | Knicks +9 v. Thunder | 103-128 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
40* NBA UNDERDOG ATS SHOCKER (Knicks +9) I'll take my chances here with New York as a near double-digit dog against the Thunder. I just think this is a good spot to go against OKC with Westbrook not available. While they won at home over the Suns last time out, they lost by 15 the previous game at Dallas. New York isn't a good team, but there not horrible and I like them to give the Thunder a scare tonight. OKC just 2-5 ATS last 7 at home vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games and NY 4-1 ATS last 5 after a double-digit loss at home. Give me the Knicks +9! |
|||||||
11-13-18 | Rockets v. Nuggets -4 | Top | 109-99 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
50* NBA WESTERN CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH (Nuggets -4) I'll gladly take my chances here with Denver as a short home favorite. The Nuggets have lost 3 straight since their impressive 9-1 start and failed to cover in all 3, including a 7-point loss at home to Milwaukee last time out. The other two were two-point losses in tough spots to Memphis and Brooklyn. I think this is a get right game for Denver and I've got to see more than one double-digit win at home over the Pacers to believe the Rockets are back to what they had been. I just think Houston is getting way too much respect here. Give me the Nuggets -4! |