40* NBA Vegas Line Mistake (Bulls -3.5)

Oddsmakers didn't give Chicago any respect in their last game, as they were a 8.5-point dog at New Orleans and won 117-110. Now they are only a 3.5-point favorite at New York against a Knicks team that is out of playoff contention and not exactly showing a lot of life down the stretch. This would have been a game the Knicks got up for had Rose and Noah been healthy, but both are out, so that motivation card can be thrown out the window. Chicago needs every win they can get to ensure a playoff spot and given how well they are playing right now, it's worth the risk to play them at this price in this spot. Give me the Bulls -3.5!

50* NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month (Thunder -4.5)

Oklahoma City comes into this game having lost their last two, both at home, and are going to be playing with a chip on their shoulder in this one. Backing this up is the fact that favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off 2 or more home losses are 35-11 (76%) ATS in April games dating back to 1996. Milwaukee has been playing well, but have failed to cover in 4 of their last 6 and aren't exactly coming in with a good frame of mind off a 105-109 home loss to the Mavericks. Bucks are also not a great road team and OKC is 13-4 ATS in their last 17 home games against a team with a losing road record. Give me the Thunder -4.5!

50* UNC/Gonzaga NCAAB Championship Game of the Year (UNC -1)

The public has jumped on the Gonzaga bandwagon and I believe it's created exceptional value here with North Carolina. I firmly believe that the Tar Heels are the more talented team and if they play up to their potential, this could turn into a blowout. The Bulldogs have had the much easier route to the Championship Game and who knows if the beat South Carolina if Thornwell was 100%. North Carolina's size is going to make it tough on Gonzaga's offense to find easy shots and defensively with foul trouble and rebounding. Give me the Tar Heels -1!

40* NBA Big Money ATS No Brainer (Wizards +9.5)

Washington is worth a look here as a big dog against the Warriors. The Wizards are fighting for playoff position and are going to show up to play against what everyone believes to be the favorite to win it all. I can't say the same for the Warriors and their motivation coming into this one. Golden State is due for a letdown after their last 3, which included two against the Rockets sandwiched around a game at San Antonio. They are now comfortably in the No. 1 spot in the west and are going to start worrying more about resting up their stars than blowing teams out. Washington should be in this one all the way and I could see them leaving with a victory, making them an easy play at this line. Give me the Wizards +9.5!

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Hornets +5.5)

I'll gladly take my chances with Charlotte at this price. The Hornets are playing their best basketball of the season right now. They come in having won 6 of their last 8 and this run includes wins over the Wizards, Hawks, Raptors and Nuggets. OKC always gets a lot of love from the books because of all the attention Russel Westbrook gets. I just think Westbrook and the rest of the Thunder are running on fumes right now. Having already clinched a playoff spot and off a huge game against the Spurs, this is a big letdown spot for OKC against what should be an extremely motivated Charlotte side. Give me the Hornets +5.5!

50* NCAAB Final Four Game of the Year (North Carolina -4.5)

I'll gladly back the Tar Heels laying at this line against the Ducks. I believe North Carolina is head and shoulders above the rest of the field in terms of talent. On top of that the Tar Heels have experience from last year to fall back on. The biggest factor here in my opinion is the size and depth that North Carolina has. They should be able to abuse the Ducks inside. Oregon's offensive rebounding will be negated and the Tar Heels should get plenty of second chances. I also think the size of North Carolina will force Oregon to be strictly a jump shooting team and really make it tough on them to keep pace with the Tar Heels high-powered offensive attack. Give me North Carolina -4.5!

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Rockets +9.5)

Sure the Rockets are playing on no rest after last night's loss in Portland, but I actually think that's only adding value here. Golden State has been playing well and just erased a 22-point deficit in a 110-98 win at San Antonio. That came one day after they won at Houston 113-106. That win over the Spurs all but locked up the No. 1 seed for the Warriors and considering they just beat the Rockets a few days ago, I think there's a good chance Golden State comes out flat. I don't think that will be the case for Houston, who will be out for revenge and to make a statement against what everyone is calling the favorite to win it all. I'll gladly take the points, but I wouldn't be shocked if Houston won this game outright. Give me the Rockets +9.5!

40* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout (Pelicans -10.5)

New Orleans playoff hopes are slim, as they are 5-games back of 8th place Portland and 3.5 behind 9th place Denver with just 7 to play. Regardless of where they stand, this is a game the Pelicans are going to show up for and give everything they have. It's the first game for newly acquired big man DeMarcus Cousins against his old team and his new teammates are going to do whatever it takes to help him win this game. An inspired Pelicans team should be all it takes to win here by more than the number, as the Kings are not a good team. They just lost by 30-points at home to the Jazz in their last game. Sacramento really struggles to score and New Orleans can lock down defensively when they want to. Give me the Pelicans -10.5!

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Nuggets +2)

I see this is a good spot to back Denver, as they are undervalued coming off two straight losses. Prior to the recent setback the Nuggets had won 9 of their previous 13 with two of those losses coming to the Rockets. They also had an ugly 10-point home loss to these Hornets sandwiched in there and it's certainly won they haven't forgot. I'm simply not a believer in this Charlotte team and look for them to struggle to keep this competitive at home against the Nuggets. Hornets haven't exactly been playing well at home, as they are just 5-12 ATS in their last 17 home games. Denver on the other hand is 5-1 ATS in their last 8 away from home and 6-2 in their last 8 against the east. Give me the Nuggets +2

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Celtics -8)

Big number for Boston to be laying against the Bucks, but I believe it's for good reason. Milwaukee got a big road win last night at Charlotte and are now primed for a letdown in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set on the road. On top of that, Milwaukee is playing their 6th game in the last 9 days overall. The Celtics on the other hand are playing on a full 2 days of rest, plus have a ton to play for here now that they are sitting No. 1 in the east standings. Boston has won 4 straight and 7 of 8 overall and I just don't see them leaving this one to chance. I look for the Celtics to jump all over the Bucks early and cruise to a double-digit win. Give me the Celtics -8!

50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (North Carolina -2.5)

These two teams played earlier this season in a shootout, as the Wildcats won 103-100. The defense will be a lot better this time around and I just trust North Carolina's ability to score a lot more than Kentucky. The Wildcats don't have a lot of great shooters and I just think they are outclassed inside by the Tar Heels. The size of North Carolina will be too much for Kentucky to overcome unless they get another crazy game from Monk like they did in the previous meeting with UNC. Monk had 47 points on 18 of 28 shooting (8 of 12 from 3-pointers). I'm confident he won't put up those same kind of numbers with the Tar Heels defense locked in on him. Give me North Carolina -2.5!

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Rockets -5.5)

I think this is a great spot to back Houston at home against the Thunder. Westbrook has been able to keep OKC respectable in terms of competing in the west, but they are not a legit threat to Golden State in the postseason. The Rockets on the other hand are a team that is capable of winning it all. Westbrook and the Thunder are simply outclassed against the elite teams, especially on the road, where they are just 14-20 on the season. Give me the Rockets -5.5!

50* Elite 8 Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Gonzaga -7.5)

I really like this matchup for the Bulldogs. Gonzaga has been pushed to the limit in their last two games against Northwestern and West Virginia. Both of which are excellent defensive teams. Xavier is not all that great defensively and have been playing out of their minds offensively in the tournament, shooting better than 50% from the field in all 3 games. The Musketeers are lucky Arizona choked in the final minutes and I just don't think Gonzaga even lets it get to that point. Not only do I look for the Bulldogs to go off offensively, but I believe this is where their underrated defense will shine. It's been quite a ride for Xavier, but the Cinderella story ends here in a blowout loss. Give me Gonzaga -7.5!

50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (UCLA -1)

The Bruins went on the road and beat Kentucky in the regular season 97-92 and believe there's an excellent chance that UCLA knocks off the Wildcats again. Keep in mind that the Bruins shot 53% from the field against Kentucky's defense and held the Wildcats to just 41% from the field. The only thing that kept it from being a blowout was the fact that UCLA turned it over 18 times. Sure a lot of that had to do with Kentucky's defense, but the Bruins should be better prepared this time around. Not to mention they have had a total of 9 turnovers in their first two tournament games. What makes the Wildcats so great is their ability to lock down their opponents, as they can be a bit limited offensively. UCLA just has too much fire-power. Give me the Bruins -1!

40* NBA Big Money ATS Blowout (Bucks -6)

Milwaukee is worth a look here against the Hawks. Atlanta is in a free-fall right now and it doesn't figure to improve with Millsap and Bazemore both still sidelined. Not to mention the Bucks are playing some of their best basketball right now. Milwaukee is 10-2 over their last 12 and have won 5 straight at home. The Hawks have lost 5 in a row with 3 of the 5 coming by double-digits. The fact that Atlanta is short-handed won't have the Bucks overlooking their opponent, as Milwaukee has some serious revenge on their minds after losing each of the first 3 meetings to the Hawks this season. Give me the Bucks -6!

40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (North Carolina -7)

As much as I like Butler, I think this is a horrible matchup for the Bulldogs. The Tar Heels are extremely athletic and have a ton of size that Butler won't be able to match. UNC should feast inside on offense and get a number of second chance points with offensive rebounds. The Bulldogs are going to have to work extremely hard on offense for everything they get and would need to shoot lights out just to keep this close. Let's also not overlook the fact that Butler has benefited from getting to play a couple double-digit seeds in Winthrop and Middle Tennessee. I also like the fact that North Carolina got out to a big lead and lost it before pulling out the win against Arkansas. They aren't going to mess around with a lead anymore. Give me the Tar Heels -7!

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Raptors +5)

Toronto is worth a look here as a dog against the Heat. The Raptors will be without Ibaka due to suspension and are still without Lowry, but this team has started to figure out how to win without their star point guard. Miami comes in off a 15-point win over the Suns at home, but I think this team is in trouble with the injury to Waiters. Keep in mind that Phoenix is tanking to close out the season and prior to that win they lost at home to the Blazers by 11 and Portland is an awful road team. Give me the Raptors +5!

50* Sweet 16 GAME OF THE YEAR (Michigan -1)

I'm not the least bit surprised to see the Wolverines in the Sweet 16. Like with every sport, it's not always about the overall record, but how you are playing when it matters the most. Michigan is without a doubt playing at an elite level right now. They are extremely difficult to stop offensively, as they are efficient and have a number of different players who can beat you. The Wolverines have shot 49% or better from the field in 4 straight and 6 of their last 7. Oregon isn't the same team after losing Boucher and have benefited from getting to play two double-digit seeds to this point. Not that they allowed Rhode Island to shoot 51% from the field. I don't see them being able to slow down this Michigan attack. Give me the Wolverines -1!

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Nuggets +4)

Most are going to see the Cavs as a short road favorite and jump on Cleveland. I actually feel the value here is clearly with the Nuggets. Denver has quietly been playing extremely well of late and are fighting for their playoff lives. The Nuggets are going to treat this as a must-win and I'm just not buying the Cavs having that same level of interest in this game. Cleveland has the best record in the east, but are just 18-16 on the road. The Cavs won 125-120 against the Lakers in their last game as a 11.5-point favorite and are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 after a win as a favorite where they failed to cover the spread. Give me the Nuggets +4!

50* NBA Southwest Game of the Month (Pelicans -2)

This is a great price to back the Pelicans at home against the Grizzlies. New Orleans has finally figured out some chemistry with Cousins and the results have been impressive. The Pelicans are 4-1 in their last 5 games and that includes a 128-112 win over the red-hot Houston Rockets at home. They also knocked off the Blazers 100-77 (3/14) and Wolves 123-109 (3/19) at home. Both of those teams had been playing well (Portland is 8-2 in their last 10). Memphis has won 4 straight and are off a big win over San Antonio, but I believe that's what's creating the value here with the Pelicans. Memphis should suffer a bit of a letdown after the win over the Spurs and could be looking ahead to their two huge road games on deck against San Antonio and Golden State. Give me New Orleans -2!

40* NBA Big Money Dog of the Day (Nuggets +9)

Denver lost by 4-points at home to the Rockets on Saturday. With some injuries piling up and the rematch in Houston, I think the value is clearly with the Nuggets. Denver has a deep and talented roster that can overcome the guys who are out. Most importantly, big man Nikola Jokic will be in action and he's one of the best players most people don't know about. The Rockets have nothing to play for right now, as they going to be the No. 3 seed in the west. Denver has also played well against teams like the Rockets. The Nuggets are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 in the 2nd half against teams who shoot 36% or better from behind the 3-point line and 15-5 ATS in their last 20 road games against teams who allow 106 or more points/game. Give me Denver +9!

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Magic -5)

The 76ers are primed for a letdown here on the road against a team like the Magic. Philadelphia clearly isn't tanking like they have in year's past, but I just don't see them being all that interested in this one. The 76ers put a lot of energy and effort into beating division rival Boston yesterday at home. Not only are they playing on 0 days rest, but this will be their 3rd game in 4 days overall. Orlando on the other hand is playing on a full 2 days of rest and are fresh off a road win over the Suns. 76ers are just 13-24 ATS in their last 37 road games after playing a game at home and a mere 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games when playing against a bad team like the Magic, who have won less than 40% of their games. Give me Orlando -5!

40* NCAA Tournament ATS Knockout (Rhode Island +5.5)

Rhode Island is worth a look here as I actually think this line should be closer to a pick'em. Don't get me wrong, Oregon was an elite team this season. They simply aren't that same elite team after losing Boucher. While the Rams are a No. 11 seed, this team has been playing it's best basketball and not a lot of people realize that there was a lot of big things expected from this Rhode Island team. It's similar to Duke and their emergence down the stretch, just on a much smaller scale. I wouldn't be shocked at all if the Rams won this game outright. Give me Rhode Island +5.5!

50* NCAA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Kentucky -4)

I was on the Shockers in their win over Dayton and while they covered the 5.5 for me, it wasn't the dominant performance I was expecting. Regardless, I think there's been so much talk about how Wichita State got screwed on their seeding that it's got people loading up on them. I don't think that's a wise move, as this not an elite Shockers team. Kentucky on the other hand is elite and are playing their best basketball. The Wildcats are loaded with NBA talent and will be too much for Wichita State to handle. Give me Kentucky -4!

50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Virginia +2)

I'm shocked that Virginia is getting points here. I'm not buying the Gators as a Sweet 16 team and more than anything I just think the Cavaliers are the much better team here. Virginia played in the much tougher ACC conference and Florida just isn't the same team after losing center John Egbunu. We saw the Gators offense really struggle against a solid Vanderbilt defense in the SEC Tournament, managing just 62 points on 34.4% shooting. Now they face an elite Cavaliers defense and I just don't see them doing enough here offensively to get the win. Virginia is a streaky team offensively and I love the fact that they just shot 50% in their last game. Give me the Cavaliers +2!

40* NCAAB 2nd Round ATS Knockout (Arizona -5.5)

St. Mary's is a strong team and looked good in the win over VCU, but I look for them to struggle to keep up with an elite team like the Wildcats, who just might be the best team in the tournament. I have them rated right there with Gonzaga and the Bulldogs beat the Gaels by 10 or more all 3 times they faced off this season. I don't see any reason why the Wildcats won't do the same. Give me Arizona -5.5!

40* NCAAB 2nd Round ATS No Brainer (Northwestern +11.5)

The Wildcats are worth a look here as a double-digit underdog. Gonzaga struggled out of the gate in their opener before pulling away late. It's not that I don't think the Bulldogs are a good team, I just think they are way overvalued. I don't believe they would be anywhere close to a No. 1 seed if they played in a legit conference. I look for Northwestern to keep this close and wouldn't be shocked if they pulled off the huge upset. Give me the Wildcats +11.5!

40* NCAAB Big Money ATS Blowout (Wichita St -5.5)

There's been a lot made about Wichita State and their No. 10 seed and for good reason. The committee dropped the ball on this one. I know Dayton is a good team and won't go down without a fight, but the Shockers are the more talented team and have the much better coach, which is a big factor in these tournament games. Wichita State gets it done on both sides of the ball. They are 21st in scoring at 82.1 ppg and 14th in points allowed at 62.4 ppg. Give me the Shockers -5.5!

40* NCAAB Vegas Line Mistake (USC +6.5)

The Trojans already beat SMU 78-73 earlier this season and keep in mind that USC was a 3.5-point home favorite in that contest. That suggests that this line should be closer to a pick'em. The Trojans come in off that big win over Providence and I expect them to come out with a chip on their shoulder when they see this line. Don't be fooled by the Mustangs overall record. they padded their resume in a very weak American Athletic Conference. I'll gladly take the points here as I think there's a good chance USC wins outright. Give me the Trojans +6.5

40* NCAAB Early Bird ATS Knockout (New Mexico St +12.5) 

The Aggies are worth a look here as a big dog against the Bears. Baylor got off to a fantastic start this season, but they haven't looked nearly as good down the stretch. The Bears went just 5-6 in their last 11 games and really played poorly in their Big 12 Tournament opener against K-State, losing 64-70 as a 4.5-point favorite. Most haven't had a chance to watch this New Mexico State team, but I have and I like the way they matchup with the Bears. I see this one coming right down to the wire and wouldn't be shocked if the Aggies won this game outright. Give me New Mexico State +12.5!

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Nuggets +1.5)

Those that aren't hardcore NBA fans will have a hard time believing that the Nuggets are a playoff team right now. Denver holds the No. 8 seed in the west by a full 2-games and have really been playing some great basketball of late. They come in having won 3 straight and 7 of their last 10 overall. Big key here is they are catching the Clippers in a bad spot. Los Angeles is playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and 3rd in the last 4 days overall. That's an even tougher challenge in the thin air of Denver. I just don't see LA having much left in the tank for this one and they also could have a hard time not looking ahead to Saturday's primetime showdown at home against the Cavaliers. Give me the Nuggets +1.5!

50* Vegas NCAA Tourn 1st Round Game of the Year (Purdue -10.5) 

I personally think Purdue should be a No. 3 seed, but the Big Ten is getting no love. The conference as a whole might not be great, but this Boilermakers team is the real deal and I love that they are coming into the tournament with a chip on their shoulder. Purdue won the Big Ten regular season title by a full 2 games and more than proved themselves in non-conference play. On top of the Boilermakers being undervalued, Vermont isn't that good of a team. They lost by 22 to Providence, 18 to South Carolina and 12 to Butler. The size of Purdue will be too much to overcome and I think this one gets ugly in a hurry. Give me the Boilermakers -10.5!

40* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout (West Virginia -13.5)

I really like this Mountaineers team and think they could do some serious damage and make a deep run in the tournament. West Virginia's pressure is unlike anything most of these teams have seen, especially a team like Bucknell. It's not just the pressure that makes the Mountaineers such a dangerous team. They score close to 82 ppg on a 46% shooting and allow just 66.3 ppg on 42% shooting. I just don't think Bucknell has the talent to handle the press and keep this game close. Keep in my were talking about a Bucknell team that lost by 20 to Wake Forest and 26 to Butler in non-conference play. Give me the Mountaineers -13.5!

50* Vegas NIT Sharp Money Top Play (UC-Irvine +10)

Illinois State was one of the last teams left out of the NCAA Tournament and that's a tough pill to swallow. Some might think they will be out to prove something, but I just don't think they were as good as people think. The Missouri Valley was way down this year and while they finished with the same record as Wichita State in the conference, they also lost by 20+ points to the Shockers twice. I just think the line here is way too too many points, as UC-Irvine is a talented team that is more than capable of winning this game outright. Give me the Anteaters +10!

40* NCAAB Blockbuster ATS Knockout (Houston -8)

The Cougars are worth a look here at home against the Zips. Houston was very strong at home this year (13-4) and a big part of that was their defense, allowing just 62.4 ppg at home. I look for the Cougars to take the NIT very seriously and I can't say the same for Akron. The Zips had one goal in mind and that was to make the NCAA Tournament. All was good until they blew it in the MAC Tournament. Keep in mind this is a team that finished a full 3-games better than any other team in the MAC regular season standings. I look for Houston to take control early and put this one away by double-digits. Give me the Cougars -8!

40* NBA No Doubt Underdog Annihilator (Mavs +7)

I like this spot for the Mavericks. Dallas comes in off an ugly 78-100 loss at Toronto, but are still a respectable 6-3 over their last 9. I expect a much better effort here and more importantly they are catching the Wizards in a bad spot. Washington just finished up a brutal 5 game road trip over a span of just 7 days (included overtime games on back-to-back days). While they are home now, they had just 1-day off making this their 6th game in 9 days and I just don't think the energy level will be there to turn this into a blowout. Give me the Mavericks +7!

50* Vegas NIT Sharp Money Top Play (Utah -11.5)

The Utes finished 4th in the Pac-12 behind the 3-headed monster of UCLA, Oregon and Arizona with a respectable 11-7 record in league play. This is a very talented Utes squad, they just struggled to win on the road and had some bad breaks in close games. I firmly believe they are a lot better than they get credit for, especially on their home floor, where they finished 14-3 with the 3 losses to the likes of Butler, UCLA and Oregon (all by single-digits). Boise is a decent team that finished 3rd in the MWC, but I just think they are outclassed and Utah is too difficult a place to win. Give me the Utes -11.5!

40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Illinois -8.5)

I believe the fact that Illinois fired head coach John Groce actually works in their favor for this game. The Fighting Illini didn't play well in their final two games, but I expect this team to show up for interim head coach Jamall Walker at home. That's not even the biggest reason to like Illinois in this one. Valparaiso lost their best player and Horizon Player of the Year in Alec Peters. The kid averaged 23 points and 10 rebounds a game and was the heart and soul of this team. Without him there's not a lot to get excited about and I just don't see the Crusaders showing up for this one. Give me Illinois -8.5!

40* Bulls/Celtics Early Bird ATS Knockout (Bulls +7.5) 

It's going to be hard for anyone to take Chicago here, as the Bulls come in having lost 4 straight and have scored 95 points or less in each of those defeats. The most recent was an embarrassing 21-point home loss to the Rockets and I believe that is going to bring out the best in the Bulls today. Boston is without question the better team, but this is not a great spot for the Celtics, who have had just 1-day off since returning home from a brutal 5-game road trip that clearly got the best of them, as they lost 99-119 at Denver in the final stop. Would't surprise me at all if the Bulls won this one outright. Give me Chicago +7.5! 

50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Kentucky -7.5) 

Most are going to stay away from the Wildcats after failing to cover the spread in each of their first two games in the SEC Tournament, but I like the value here with Kentucky in the title game against the Razorbacks. Arkansas was no match for the Wildcats when these two met in the regular season, as Kentucky rolled to a 26-point win, nearly scoring 100 points (97). Simply put, this is a bad matchup for Arkansas. The Wildcats have played much better now that the games mean something and I expect them to play their best with a SEC title on the line. Give me Kentucky -7.5! 

50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Oregon -2) 

Arizona is getting some love here after knocking off UCLA yesterday, but I actually think that games gives the edge to Oregon, who had a much easier go of things against Cal. Not to mention I think the Ducks are the best team in the Pac-12, making this a great price to back them. Keep in mind that Oregon absolutely had their way with the Wildcats earlier this season. The Ducks won 85-58 at home. It figures to be a lot closer at a neutral site, but I don't think it's enough to keep Oregon from pulling out the victory. Give me the Ducks -2! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie ATS Knockout (Heat -5) 

Miami is worth a look here at home against the Raptors. Given the overall records and the fact that Toronto is viewed as a power in the Eastern Conference, this might seem like a big number for Miami to be laying. However, the Heat are playing the better basketball right now and have a huge advantage in the scheduling department. Miami is playing on 2 days of rest, while the Raptors are in the 2nd game of a back-to-back road set which is also their 5th straight on the road and last of their trip. Give me the Heat -5! 

40* NCAAB Situational ATS No Brainer (Vanderbilt -2.5) 

The Commodores have been playing exceptional basketball in 2017, especially down this stretch run. Vanderbilt is 7-1 in their last 8 and that includes 2 wins over Florida and the only loss coming by just 6-points on the road at Kentucky. As good as Arkansas has been playing, I just don't see them being able to get in the way of the Commodores. Vanderbilt won the most recent meeting by 13 and did so by dominating on both sides of the ball. They shot 52% from the field and held the Razorbacks to just 38%. Arkansas is just 9-22 aTS in their last 31 road games revenging a same season loss. Give me the Commodores -2.5! 

40* Blockbuster ATS Knockout (Oregon -9.5) 

The Ducks are on a mission to win the Pac-12 tournament and hopefully land them a No.1 seed in the NCAA Tournament. Oregon absolutely owned Arizona State yesterday and I look for them to do the same here against the Golden Bears. Cal will be playing their 3rd game in 3 days and just won't be able to keep pace. While Oregon only won by 3 points at Cal, they crushed the Golden Bears by 23 at home. I see this one being an easy double-digit win for the Ducks. Give me Oregon -9.5! 

40* NBA Big Money ATS No Brainer (Hawks -2.5) 

This is a great price to back Atlanta at home against the Raptors. This is a huge game in terms of seeding in the Eastern Conference and the Hawks aren't getting enough respect here at home, especially with this being the Raptors without one of their best players in Kyle Lowry. Toronto did win last time out at New Orleans, but keep in mind they benefited from Davis missing the 2nd half. The previous game saw them lose at Milwaukee by 7 and that's how I'm expecting this one to play out. Give me the Hawks -2.5! 

50* Conference Tournament Game of the Year (ISU -4.5) 

This Cyclones team has been flying under the radar in the Big 12 this season and are not getting near enough respect here against an inferior TCU team. The Horned Frogs knocked off No. 1 seed Kansas yesterday, but that was because the Jayhawks didn't have one of their best players. I was a lot more impressed with the way ISU played in their win over a red-hot Oklahoma State team and I think they turn this into a blowout early. The Sprint Center in KC is like a home game for ISU with all the fans that travel down from Ames. Give me the Cyclones -4.5! 

50* NCAAB SEC Game of the Month (Ole Miss -6) 

Missouri pulled off one of the more surprising wins yesterday, as they upset Auburn 86-83 as a 7.5-point dog. Keep in mind were talking about a Tigers team that had gone just 2-16 in league play during the regular season. Ole Miss isn't a great team by any means, but they did close out the season strong with a 7-3 record over their last 10 games. They have the edge here with them not playing yesterday and Missouri now on no rest. I think this is going to turn into a blowout in a hurry. Give me the Rebels -6! 

40* NCAAB Situational ATS Knockout (Arizona -7.5)

The fact that Colorado went 9-3 over their last 12 games has this line a lot lower than it should be. There's a big game between the top 3 teams in the Pac-12 (Arizona, UCLA and Oregon) and the rest of the league. During this run by the Buffaloes, only one of those wins came against the Big 3 and that was at home against Oregon, when they caught the Ducks in a bad spot. Arizona is somehow flying under the radar with all the attention to the Ducks and Bruins. I look for them to come out looking to make a statement here. Give me the Wildcats -7.5! 

40* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money ATS Blowout (Northwestern -7) 

Rutgers was without a doubt the worst team in the Big Ten. They were able to upset Ohio State in the first round of the Big Ten tournament, but that only makes me like the Wildcats more in this one, as I just don't see the Scarlet Knights being able to compete at the same level as they did yesterday on no rest. Northwestern didn't finish the season great, going just 3-6 in their last 9, but injuries played a big part of that. They showed signs of getting back to the dominant form from earlier this season and are going to be extremely motivated to perform well here and that's really all it should take for them to win here by double-digits. Give me the Wildcats -7! 

40* NBA Vegas Line Mistake (Grizzlies -2.5) 

The Grizzlies come into this game having lost 3 straight and none of those stung more than their last game, which they lost 109-122 at home to the Nets as a 10-point favorite. Those are the types of losses that don't sit well and with Memphis coming off a full 2 days of rest, I'm calling for a maximum effort here. The Clippers figure to struggle to match that intensity, as they are playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and their 5th game in the last 7 days overall. Give me the Grizzlies -2.5! 

50* NCAAB Pac-12 Game of the Month (Utah -2.5) 

Great price here to back the Utes in their Pac-12 Tournament opener against the Golden Bears. Utah got a first round bye, while Cal had to battle their way to a 67-62 win over Oregon State yesterday. This is a much bigger edge than people think and the Utes already were the better team. Note that these two didn't play that long ago and Utah won 74-44 at home. I know this is on a neutral court, but I just don't see it being enough to allow Cal to keep this one close. Note that the Golden Bears are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 tournament games and 0-6 ATS when playing their 2nd road game in a span of 3 or less days. Give me the Utes -2.5! 

50* Big East Game of the Month (DePaul +10)

It's been a real struggle for Xavier down the stretch run and I just think this is too many points for them to be laying against a team they just played 4 days ago. The Musketeers did beat DePaul 79-65 but played about as well as they could. The books constantly inflate these lines in games where you have a team that just beat the same opponent and covered the spread. DePaul is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 off a loss by 10 or more this season, while the Musketeers are just 1-10 ATS in their last 11 after playing a game on the road. Give me the Blue Demons +10!

40* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout (Virginia -9.5)

I look for the Cavaliers to lay a beating on the Panthers tonight. Virginia closed out the regular season on a roll, knocking of NC State, UNC and Pitt all by double-digits. The win over the Panthers was a 25-point blowout victory and I don't think Pitt will be able to get their revenge here. The Panthers are at a big disadvantage having just played yesterday in a hard fought win over Georgia Tech, while the Cavaliers haven't played since Saturday. Virginia's got the best defense in the country arguably and will be able to take advantage of the tired legs of Pitt on the offensive side of the ball. Give me Virginia -9.5!

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Pelicans -2)

The Pelicans have started to get this thing going in the right direction. They got their first win with Cousins and Davis on the floor together in a 105-97 victory at LAL. While they lost their next contest, it was by just 5-points at Utah. I like their chances of getting their first win at home with their new duo and still think there's a lot of room for this team to grow. I also think the Raptors are a good team to fade down the stretch, as they just aren't the same team without Lowry, especially on the road. Give me the Pelicans -2!

50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Wake Forest -12)

I know this looks like a big number, but I just think it's the right side here. Wake Forest doesn't get the hype as some of the other teams in the ACC, but this team has been playing it's best basketball going into March and are certainly capable of laying a beating on the Eagles, who haven't won a game since beating NC State at home back on Jan. 11th. Sure Wake Forest only won by 5 at BC back on 1/31, but let's not overlook the fact that was a horrible spot for the Demon Deacons. They had just suffered a heartbreaking 83-85 loss at home to Duke 3 days earlier. I also know Wake wasn't a great road team, but BC was a mere 1-12 away from home, where they lost by an average of nearly 13 ppg. Wake Forest needs to win this game to ensure a spot in the Tournament and I expect them to do so in convincing fashion. Give me the Demon Deacons -12!

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Hornets -3.5)

*Analysis Coming*

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Pelicans -5.5)

New Orleans has yet to win a game with Cousins and Davis on the floor together (only win since All-Star break was with Cousins suspended). The Pelicans should have won at home on Friday against the Spurs, but gave the game away late and lost in OT. This team still believes they can make a run at the playoffs and to do so this is a game I feel they absolutely have to win to get things turned around. Lucky for them, the Lakers are in a major funk right now. LA has lost 6 straight and during this run haven't scored more than 104 points, while allowing 109 or more in each of their last 5. Give me the Pelicans -5.5!

40* NBA No Doubt Bookie Blowout (Nuggets -5)

I really like what I have seen from the Nuggets of late, as they have won 3 of their last 4. I see now reason why Denver shouldn't be able to make easy work of the Hornets at home. Charlotte is getting way to much respect on the road for a team that is a mere 3-14 over their last 17 games and just 10-22 away from home on the season. Denver is 32-19 ATS in their last 51 against the Eastern Conference, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games against a team with a losing road record and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Give me the Nuggets -5!

40* NCAAB Blockbuster ATS Knockout (Colorado -2)

The Buffaloes are worth a look here at home against the Golden Bears. Cal has the better record in Pac-12 play, but this one comes down to location and the Bears being in a brutal spot having to play back-to-back road games in a span of 3-days at Utah and then Colorado. Not to mention this is the Buffaloes home finale and they are a very respectable 12-4 at home The Golden Bears are just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games after a loss, while Colorado is 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games as a home favorite of 6.5 points or less. Give me the Buffaloes -2!

50* NCAAB SEC Game of the Year (Kentucky -7.5)

I think this is a prime spot to jump on the Wildcats. Kentucky has covered the spread in just 1 of their last 4 game and were fortunate to rally to win at home against Vandy last time out. I believe all that has the Wildcats undervalued here against a very mediocre Texas A&M team. The big key here is that Kentucky needs to win this game to ensure an outright SEC regular season title and that's not something they are going to let them by with just one game left. Let's also not forget Kentucky didn't have much trouble against the Aggies at home earlier this season, beating them 100-58. It won't be that bad, but I still see Kentucky winning by double-digits. Give me the Wildcats -7.5!

50* NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month (Clippers -4.5)

It's been a rough go of things for the Clippers out of the break, as they are just 1-3 in their first 4. That's to be expected given they played 3 of those 4 against the Rockets, Spurs and Warriors and were working on regaining that chemistry with Paul. It's only a matter of time before they turn it on and I think the Bucks are a great team to get it going against. Milwaukee has been in their own funk of late and just haven't been the same since losing Parker to a season-ending injury. I just think a motivated Clippers team will be too much to overcome, even at home. Give me Los Angeles -4.5!

50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Cincinnati -8)

I expect a big time effort here from the Bearcats in their home finale, as they look to rebound from a 49-53 loss at UCF, only their second conference loss of the season. This might seem like a big number for Cincinnati to be laying against a Houston team that has gone 7-1 in their last 8 games, but the Bearcats own a perfect 17-0 record at home. All but two of their home wins at home have come by double-digits, the only exception a 2-point win over SMU, who is right there with them in the ACC elite and a 7-point win over Temple. Note that while the Cougars have played well on the road, they lost by 9 at home to the Bearcats earlier this season. Houston lost by 21 at SMU and by 10 at home to the Mustangs. I mention this because SMU and Cincinnati are a class above the rest of the conference. This is also a tough spot for Houston, who has played a gauntlet of a schedule of late. Their last 3 games have been at home against SMU, home against UConn and @ Memphis. Give me the Bearcats -8!

50* Big East Game of the Year (Xavier -3)

The Musketeers come in having lost 5 straight, but injuries have played a big part in that and they just recently got back Bluiett, who after losing Sumner to a season-ending is one guy they can't afford to be without. I think he's poised to lead Xavier to a big win at home against Marquette. Not only will the Musketeers be out to revenge a recent 22-point loss at Marquette on 2/18, but there's a little extra motivation here with this being their home finale. Note that Bluiett didn't play in that 22-point loss and the Golden Eagles don't figure to get another 34-point effort from Howard, who went a ridiculous 9 of 12 from 3-point land. Marquette is also not a great road team at 4-8 on the year. Give me the Musketeers -3!

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Bucks -2.5)

Milwaukee is worth a look here at home against the Nuggets. I'm expecting a big effort here from the Bucks after a tough loss at Cleveland last time out and based on history there's a good chance we get a comfortable win, as Milwaukee is 12-2 ATS in their last 14 home games off a loss to a division rival. It certainly helps they catch the Nuggets in a bad spot, as Denver is playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and their 5th in 7 nights since returning from the All-Star break. Give me the Bucks -2.5!

40* NCAAB Vegas Line Mistake (Northwestern +1.5)

The Wildcats have struggle to regain the momentum they had going prior to losing Scottie Lindsey or 4 games. They nearly snapped their funk in their last game, but came up just short in a 62-63 loss at Indiana. I believe they are primed for one of their best efforts here at home against the Wolverines, who are getting a little too much respect given their recent run. The Wolverines are not nearly as good on the road as they are at home and I think they struggle to match the intensity of the Wildcats off that huge home win over Purdue this past Saturday. Give me Northwestern +1.5!

50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Georgia Tech -2)

I just don't see Pittsburgh being all that interested in this game. The Panthers only hope of making the NCAA Tournament is to somehow win the ACC tournament, as they are just 4-12 in league play. Georgia Tech on the other hand still has an outside shot at sneaking into the field with a couple more wins to close out the regular season and a win or two in the ACC Tournament. Either way, the Yellow Jackets are the only team with something to play for in this one and it only adds more fuel to the fire for Georgia Tech with this being senior night. Note that the Yellow Jackets are a very strong 14-4 at home, while Pitt is a mere 4-8 on the road. Give me Georgia Tech -2!

40* NCAAB Blockbuster ATS Knockout (Oklahoma +14.5)

I'll gladly take my chances with Oklahoma as a massive road dog against the Jayhawks. I know Kansas is playing their home finale, but they just locked up an outright Big 12 title and have to start thinking about resting up some of their key players for what really matters. For Oklahoma this is a game I believe they will desperately want to win and they will come in confident off an 81-51 blowout win at home over Kansas State. Prior to that they had played well on the road against both Oklahoma State (92-96) and Baylor (54-60), plus they have that earlier road win at West Virginia. I don't think they win here, but I see no reason why they can't keep it within 10 points. Give me the Sooners +14.5!

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Raptors -3.5)

I believe we are getting a good enough price here on Toronto given the uncertainty around starting point guard Kyle Lowry. The thing is, Corey Joseph and Delon Wright are playing very well in his absence. I just think Toronto is a team that really improved at the trade deadline and with DeRozan back healthy this team is poised to finish out the regular season on a roll. The Knicks are a complete mess right now and while they beat the 76ers in their last game, they haven't won back-to-back games since before Christmas. New York is also still without Porzingis and just released a key part of the rotation in Brandon Jennings. Give me the Raptors -3.5!

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Celtics -1.5)

Boston is worth a look here as a short road favorite. The Celtics let one get away at Toronto in their first game back from the break and that has them in a prime bounce spot. Boston has been surging since late Jan, as they are 11-3 over their lat 14. Detroit has played well of late, going 7-3 in their last 10, but it's not as impressive as you might think. The schedule has definitely aided them during this run. Only 1 of the 7 wins came on the road and almost all the wins were against teams with losing records. Give me the Celtics -1.5!

40* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout (Raptors -4.5)

Even with Kyle Lowry sidelined, I really like the Raptors at this price at home against the Blazers. Portland won 112-103 at Orlando in their first game out of the break, which is nothing to get excited about. The Magic are trending way down and don't have much of a homecourt edge. It was just the 10th road win of the season for Portland, who is 10-20 away from home. Toronto on the other hand is 20-10 at home and I look for them to make easy work of the Blazers, who were just 1-5 in their final 6 before the break. Give me the Raptors -4.5!

50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Xavier +2)

Now is the time to jump on Xavier at home, as they are going to be extremely motivated after losing 4 straight. Injuries played a big part of the Musketeers struggles of late, but they just got back Bluiett in their last game at Seton Hall. Butler won at home over Xavier earlier this season, which sets the Musketeers up for revenge here. This is also a bad spot for the Bulldogs going on the road after that huge road win at Villanova. Give me the Muskeeteers +2!

40* NBA Blockbuster ATS Annihilator (Hawks -2.5)

The Hawks are worth a look here against the Magic. After trading away Ibaka, the only team worse than Orlando right now is the Nets in my opinion. In their first game out of the break they lost at home to the Trail Blazers 103-112 and Portland is bad road team. Atlanta also lost their first game back, but against a surging Miami team and they were without starting PG Schroder, who will be back in action tonight. Atlanta is simply the more talented team and will be locked in for a victory. I see this getting ugly in a hurry. Give me the Hawks -2.5!

40* NCAAB Vegas ATS Knockout (Maryland -7)

This is a huge bounce back spot for the Terrapins, who were just embarrassed on their home floor by 14 by Minnesota. That came after a loss at Wisconsin. Maryland is primed to get back on track here in a big way against the Hawkeyes, who are due for another letdown on the road after a big 96-90 overtime win at home against Indiana. Iowa is just 2-9 away from home on the season and their only road win inside the Big Ten came against bottom feeder Rutgers. Five of their six conference road losses have been by double-digits. Give me the Terrapins -7!

40* NCAAB Dog of the Day (Texas +8.5)

The Longhorns covered as a 16-point dog at Kansas earlier this season, as they lost by a final of 67-79. Texas was only down 7 with less than 5 minutes to play, as KU pulled away late to make it look worse than it was. That sets up the Longhorns in a great spot, as they are 10-2 ATS over the last 2 seasons revenging a road loss. They are also 23-10 ATS in their last 33 as a home dog, while KU is a mere 7-15 as a favorite this season and could be in line for a letdown here after securing another Big 12 title last time out against TCU. Give me the Longhorns +8.5!

50* NCAAB SEC Game of the Month (Mississippi State +8.5)

The Bulldogs are worth a look here as a big dog against the Commodores. Mississippi State is undervalued right now, as they have lost 5 straight, but it's not like they haven't been competitive. All 5 losses have been by 6 points or less. Vanderbilt is getting too much love here after winning 3 straight. Keep in mind that the Bulldogs beat the Commodores 75-74 earlier this season. With a huge showdown at Kentucky on deck for Vandy, I wouldn't be shocked if Mississippi State won this game outright. Commodores are just 9-21 ATS in their last 30 home games after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7 and 4-15 ATS in their last 19 home games off a road win by 10 or more points. Give me the Bulldogs +8.5!

40* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout (Oklahoma State -6.5)

I got no problem laying this number with the Cowboys at home against the Red Raiders. Outside of Kansas, Oklahoma State has been playing the best basketball of any Big 12 team. The Cowboys come in having won 4 straight and 9 of 10 overall. This run includes a 83-64 win at Texas Tech. The Red Raiders are headed in the opposite direction and fresh off a crushing 80-82 home loss to ISU. Texas Tech is also a mere 2-8 ATS away from home this season and 9-26 in their last 35 after allowing 80+ points in 2 straight games. Give me the Cowboys -6.5!

50* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month (Wizards -7.5)

I just think the 76ers are getting way too much respect here given everything that's happened of late. The team traded away two of it's better players in Ersan Ilyasova and Nerlens Noel. The only thing they essentially got back outside of picks was Justin Anderson and it's up in the air if he even plays. Joel Embiid is still not ready to come back from a knee injury and the team just found out the Ben Simmons will not play this year. Washington is an elite team and have to be excited about the moves they made to bolster their bench by adding in Bogdanovic and McCullough. It's also up in the air if they play, but either way the Wizards core they had before the break is in tact. Washington should be able to have their way and win here by double-digits without any problem. Give me the Wizards -7.5!

40* NCAAB Late Night ATS Knockout (Utah +2.5)

Utah followed up an embarrassing 61-79 loss at Oregon with an even more embarrassing loss at Oregon State just 3 days later. I'm not about to jump off the Utes bandwagon after a couple bad showings. In fact, I think it has Utah in a prime position to win on the road against the Buffaloes. The Utes are the superior team and Colorado isn't exactly feeling good about themselves after a 73-101 loss at Oregon. The Buffs do have a strong home court advantage and a big part of that is teams not use to playing in the thin air of Denver. That's not the case with Utah, who has actually won the last two and 4 of 7 overall at Colorado. Give me the Utes +2.5!

40* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout (Pistons -4)

Detroit is worth a look here as a short home favorite against the Hornets. Both these teams have been disappointments to this point, but most of the problems have come on the road. Charlotte is just 8-19 on the road compared to 16-13 at home. Detroit is 17-11 at home compared to just 10-19 on the road. Pistons won the most recent meeting at home on 1/5 and the Hornets are a mere 5-13 ATS in their last 18 when revenging a road loss. Charlotte is also a mere 7-16-2 ATS in their last 25 road games against a team with a winning record, while Detroit is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games against a team with a losing road record. Give me the Pistons -4!

50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Alabama -5.5)

The Crimson Tide come into this game playing with some confidence after winning their last two. They certainly won't be intimidated by the Bulldogs, who they knocked off 84-64 in Georgia back on 1/25. I know the Bulldogs will want revenge here, but I just don't see it happening. Georgia is off a crushing 77-82 loss at home to Kentucky and will be playing their first game with Yante Maten, who leads the team in scoring at 18.7 ppg and is 2nd in rebounds (6.9) and first in blocks (1.5). The only other player averaging double-figures is J.J. Frazier and you can expect Alabama's defense to lock in on him in this one. Give me the Crimson Tide -5.5!

40* NCAAB Dog of the Day (Connecticut +7.5)

Big time revenge spot for the Huskies, who lost at home to Houston without their best player in Jalen Adamas. On top of that, Connecticut is playing at a whole different level than when these two met up in late December. I'm not saying Houston shouldn't be favored at home, but these are two evenly matched teams. I see this one going right down to the wire and wouldn't be the least bit surprised if the Huskies won this game outright. UConn has won 7 of their last 8 and are sitting with an identical 9-5 record in the AAC as Houston. Give me the Huskies +7.5!

50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Wake Forest -7)

The Demon Deacons are worth a look at home against the Panthers. Wake Forest is in a prime bounce back spot playing at home after losing their last two on the road, while Pitt is in a prime letdown spot after a huge 80-66 home win over FSU. The Panthers haven't played on the road since 2/8 and are a 4-7 away from home on the season and 1-5 on the road in the ACC with the only win coming at Boston College. Wake is 9-3 at home with two of those losses at the hands of Duke and North Carolina. Last home game the Deacons crushed NC State by 30 and the time before that they won by 12 over Georgia Tech. Give me Wake Forest -7!

40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Blowout (Michigan -8.5)

I know the Wolverines are just 3-7 in road games this season, but this is Rutgers and they don't have the same kind of homecourt edge as the other teams in the Big Ten. That's evident by the fact that they lost by 20 at home to a young an inexperienced Iowa team. Coming off a 78-83 loss at Minnesota and far from being a lock to make the NCAA Tournament, I expect a big time effort here from the Wolverines and I just don't see the Scarlet Knights being able to keep it competitive. Rutgers is a mere 2-8 ATS in their last 10 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Give me Michigan -8.5!

50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Game of the Month (Northwestern -1.5)

Northwestern is worth a look here on the road against Illinois. The Wildcats are a team that is going to make the NCAA Tournament for the first time in school history this season. They have hit a bit of a bump in the road of late, but it came with their leading scorer Scottie Lindsey sidelined with mono. He returned in their last game, where they held on for a 69-65 win at home over Rutgers. Only beating the Scarlet Knights by 4 at home doesn't look good on paper, but I believe that's the kind of win that can get this team back to playing at the level they were before Lindsay went out. They were 7-2 in Big Ten play before his injury and are now 9-5. Illinois is a decent team, but not on the same level as the Wildcats and have not played great at home of late. Note that Northwestern has already won at Penn State, Nebraska, Ohio State and Wisconsin. Give me the Wildcats -1.5!

50* Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Connecticut +2) 

The Huskies are worth a look here. UConn is playing their best basketball of the season right now. They have won 3 straight and 6 of 7 overall. The only loss coming against Cincinnati, who along with SMU is a class above the rest of the conference. Temple is a quality team, but are just 5-9 in AAC play and don't exactly have a huge home court edge. At least not enough to make up the difference from when these two played at Connecticut. The Huskies won that contest 73-59. They shot 53% from the field and held the Owls to just 36%. They also had a +9 edge in rebounding and +10 advantage in free throws. Last time out the Huskies beat Memphis at home 65-62 and are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 off a close home win by 3 points or less. Give me UConn +2! 

50* NCAAB Big East Game of the Month (Marquette -3.5)

I think we are still in a position to take advantage of the books not adjusting enough to the injuries that Xavier is dealing with. Sumner is already out for the year and Bluiett is a game-time decision. I would be surprised if Bluiett's ankle is better just 3-days after it was too sore to play against Providence. While the Musketeers are limping into this one, this game means everything to Marquette. If Blueitt doesn't play this could get ugly in a hurry. Give me Marquette -3.5!

40* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout (Oregon -12)

I have no problem laying this big number on the ducks at home against the Buffaloes. Oregon, UCLA and Arizona are clearly a step ahead of the rest of the conference and the Ducks might just be the best of the three. Either way Oregon has been on a mission in Pac-12 play and are 16-0 at home with an average win by 21.1 ppg. The Ducks are also outscoring conference opponents by 15+ ppg. Colorado was able to upset Oregon at home earlier this season, which makes this one mean a little more to the Ducks. I don't see the Buffaloes being able to keep pace with a motivated Oregon team. Give me the Ducks -12!

40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Mississippi State +10.5)

The Bulldogs are worth a look here as a big home dog. Florida is getting a ton of respect and are overvalued right now. The Gators have won 7 straight and just won 114-95 at Auburn as a 10-point favorite. Mississippi State on the other hand is undervalued right now. The Bulldogs have lost 3 straight, but the key is they have all been close. IN fact, all 3 losses came by 7 points or less. This is also a tough spot for Florida, who is riding high and has two huge games on deck next week at home against South Carolina and at Kentucky. An outright upset isn't out of the question. Give me Mississippi State +10.5!

40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Blowout (Akron -8.5)

I like the Zips to win here by at least double-digits at home against the Golden Flashes. Kent State is outclassed here. While they are 3-3 in their last 6 games, two of those wins have come against Miami (OH), which has the worst record of any team in the MAC at 3-10. The other was against Eastern Michigan who is 5-8. Last road game for the Flashes was a 20-point loss at Toledo, which is the same team Akron just took down at home. The Zips are the class of the MAC at 12-1. The next best team is 8-5. It's also worth noting that Akron is a perfect 13-0 at home this season, with the average win coming by 15.1 ppg. Give me the Zips -8.5!

50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Wisconsin +1.5)

The Badgers weren't sharp in a few of their wins and it finally caught up to them in their last game, as they were stunned at home by Northwestern, who was without their best player. Sometimes a loss like that is all an elite team like Wisconsin needs to get their attention and re-focus them on the task at hand. I look for one of the Badgers best efforts here against a Michigan team that is getting a little too much respect for blowing out a down Michigan State team and winning at Indiana, who has been in a serious funk. Give me Wisconsin +1.5!

40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Oklahoma St +2)

I'll gladly back the Cowboys as a dog in this one. Oklahoma State has won 6 of their last 7 with the only loss being a mere 3-point loss to Baylor. This run includes a 13-point win at home over TCU, where the Cowboys shot 54% from the field and held the Horned Frogs to just 39.3%. TCU is 6-6 in the Big 12, but have not fared well against the upper-level teams. I know Oklahoma State is just 5-7 in the Big 12, but they have been playing like an elite team for almost a month now. Cowboys are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games and TCU is a mere 1-6 ATS in their last 7 against a team with a winning record. Give me Oklahoma State +2!

50* NCAAB Big Ten Game of the Month (Indiana +5)

I think this is a great time to buy low on the Hoosiers, who are much better than their recent 1-5 run would lead on. At the same time, I think we are catching the Gophers overvalued off 3 straight wins against teams in the bottom half of the league. This has the feeling of a must-win game for Indiana and I expect the Hoosiers to deliver. Minnesota is just 6-6 in league play. Indiana is 13-5 ATS in their last 18 after failing to cover the spread in their last game and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 as a road dog of 6.5 or less. Give me Indiana +5!

40* NCAAB Big Money ATS Blowout (Virginia -4.5)

My money is on the Cavaliers to take care of business at home against the Blue Devils. The public is all over Duke, which has won 5 straight, but the last 3 all came at home and they were fortunate to escape with a 64-62 win at home against Clemson in their last game. Virginia is off a crushing 78-80 loss at in-state rival Virginia Tech and are primed to bounce back with a huge effort here at home, where they are 10-2 on the season. Last home game the Cavaliers cruised to a 71-55 win over a very good Louisville team. Duke is just 2-3 on the road in ACC play. Virginia is 21-7 ATS in their last 28 home games off an upset loss as a favorite. Give me the Cavaliers -4.5!

40* NBA Vegas Line Mistake (Pacers +6)

Cleveland is playing on no rest and are short-handed right now with the Love injury. Indiana should be able to dictate the tempo here and the Pacers are out for revenge here from a recent loss to the Cavs. I just don't see Cleveland being all that interested in this one with this being their final game before the All-Star break. This game means more to the Pacers and they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 against the east and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 on the road. Cavs are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 when their starters combine for 160 or more minutes in their last game and playing on no rest. Give me Indiana +6!

40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Kentucky -14)

I'm not buying Kentucky's loss at Tennessee a few weeks back being a sign of things to come in the Vols keeping it close on the road against the Wildcats. I don't think Kentucky took that first meeting seriously, as they just played a big home game against South Carolina and had an even bigger game on deck at Kansas. It was the definition of a sandwich/trap game. This time around I think the Wildcats are going to be 100% locked in and out to make a statement against the Vols. I see this getting ugly in a hurry and Kentucky taking this one by 20+ points. Give me the Wildcats -14!

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Hornets -7.5)

This is do or die time for the Hornets, who are 1-9 in their last 10 and now 6-games under .500. It's hard to believe that the 76ers are the public side here, but that's the case, as Philadelphia has been a covering machine in 2017. Still, I think this is a tough spot for the 76ers, who won't have Emiid until after the All-Star break and aren't expected to have Okafor available. This is also a bit of a letdown spot for the 76ers, who just snapped the Heat's 13-game wining streak at home last time out. Philadelphia is also still just 7-18 on the road this season. Charlotte will be desperate for a win and I expect them to win here by double-digits rather easily. Give me the Hornets -7.5!

40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Wisconsin -11)

This is as talented a team as Northwestern has arguably ever had, as it figures to be the first team in program history to make the NCAA Tournament. I think that has a lot of people drawn to the Wildcats as a double-digit dog here, but my money is on Wisconsin. The big key here is that Northwestern is still without their best player in Scottie Lindsey. Not only does he lead them in scoring (15.4), but he does a little bit of everything (4.3 rpg, 2.5 apg, 1.1 spg). Not to mention he's one of their most efficient shooters and leads the team in made 3-pointers. In the two games he's missed, they have lost by 21 at Purdue and fell at home to a pretty bad Illinois team by 7. Wisconsin hasn't looked great of late, but have also played 4 of their last 6 on the road. I expect a big time effort here from the Badgers and expect this one to get ugly in a hurry. Give me Wisconsin -11!

50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (SMU -3.5)

I like the Mustangs to put an end to Cincinnati's perfect run in the AAC and cover this small number at home. When you look at the standings and the numbers, it's pretty clear that these two are head and shoulders above the rest of the conference. SMU's only loss in the AAC is at Cincinnati by a final of just 64-66. Note that the Bearcats jumped to an early lead and led by as many as 15 before SMU figured things out and closed the game strong. Cincinnati is not near the offensive team on the road as they are at home. The Bearcats average 77.0 ppg on the season, yet only average 63.9 ppg on the road. SMU is 14-0 at home and are scoring more and allowing less on their home floor. Give me the Mustangs -3.5!

40* NCAAB Vegas Line Mistake (Arkansas -4.5)

The Razorbacks aren't normally a team that I would back as a road favorite, but I like them in this spot. LSU is awful and are just 1-10 in SEC play with their only win coming against Missouri way back on Jan. 4. Arkansas comes into this game off back-to-back losses, which I think is critical. It's going to have he Razorbacks 100% locked in on this game and that should be all it takes to beat the Tigers by 5 or more points. Note that LSU has lost 9 of their last 10 by at least 7 points. This is also a major letdown spot for the Tigers off a shocking close loss at Kentucky. Give me Arkansas -4.5!

50* NCAAB AAC Game of the Month (Tulsa +3)

I believe the Golden Hurricane should be the ones favored in this contest. Tulsa is simply way undervalued after losing their last 3, but two of those were at home against the two best teams in the league in Cincinnati and SMU and the other was a road game against Memphis. On the other side, Houston is overvalued here after winning 4 straight, though 3 of those were at home and the only one away from home was at Tulane, who is 1-11 in AAC play. Prior to the 3-game losing streak, Tulsa had won 4 of 5 and note they only lost at Houston by 3-points earlier this season. Golden Hurricane are 17-7 ATS last 2 seasons at home and 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games after failing to cover the spread in their previous contest. Give me Tulsa +3!