40* NBA Vegas Line Mistake (Kings -3.5)

I like the Kings to cover this small spread on the road against the Mavericks. Sacramento isn't as bad as their record would lead on, but clearly have a ways to go. Dallas is awful and I just don't see it getting any better for the Mavericks anytime soon, especially with the injuries they are dealing with. The loss of Bogut is huge for this one, as they are already without Dirk, leaving them no good options to matchup up against Cousins inside. He should absolutely dominate this game and it wouldn't surprise me if this one got ugly in a hurry. Give me the Kings -3.5! 

50* NCAAB Non-Conference Game of the Month (Indiana State +10.5)

I'm going to back the Sycamores at home as a big double-digit dog in a game I think they not only can cover, but win outright. Indiana State is just 4-4, but could easily be sitting here with an identical 8-0 record as Butler. All 4 Sycamores losses have come by 3-points or less, including a 71-73 loss against a top level Iowa State team (should have won outright). Butler is getting a lot of love for their 8-0 start, but I'm not as impressed with their wins over Vanderbilt, Arizona and Utah as others. Playing on the road is never easy, especially against an elite defensive team like we have here with Indiana State. The Sycamores are holding opponents to just 38.1% from the field and a mere 29% clip from 3-point range. If they can get some shots to fall at home and I think they will, this has the makings of a big upset for the home team. Give me Indiana State +10.5!

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Suns +7)

This is a great spot to back the Suns, who are showing a lot of value here as a decently priced road dog against the Jazz. Phoenix is going to come out motivated here after getting embarrassed in a 109-138 loss at Golden State last time out. They will also have fresh legs, as they have had the last two days off. That's key here, as Utah will be playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set after playing last night in LA in a hard fought 107-101 win over the Lakers. This is also the Jazz's 3rd game in 4 nights and a big look ahead spot with a huge game against the Warriors on deck. Look for the Suns and their fast-paced attack to give the tired legs of Utah trouble here. Note that Phoenix is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 after allowing 110+ points in their previous game and 20-8 ATS in their last 28 off a blowout loss by 15 or more points. Take Phoenix!

40* NBA Dog of the Day (Wolves +4.5)

The books have made the Spurs a short road favorite here trying to entice some action on San Antonio in a bad spot. The Spurs will be playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back road set after playing last night in Milwaukee. This is also their 7th game in the last 12 days, which makes this a golden opportunity for Popovich to rest some players against a bad team. While Minnesota has been a major disappointment so far, they have been playing a lot better than their 6-14 record would lead on, as they have suffered a number of close losses. This is a statement game for the Timberwolves at home and with 2 days off before this one, they should be able to take advantage of the tired legs of the Spurs. Give me Minnesota +4.5!

50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Purdue -11.5)

This might seem like a big number for the Boilermakers to be laying on a neutral court, but I see Purdue having no problem turning this into a blowout. The Boilermakers are a legit Top 20 team in the country and have the potential to be a Top 10 team. Their only two losses have come in a 3-point home loss to Villanova and a 7-point defeat in a true road game against Louisville. Arizona State comes in off an impressive 24-point win against UNLV at home, but have not fared well when facing a top tier team, losing by 19 to Northern Iowa and 46 to Kentucky on a neutral court. They also lost by 8 to a decent Davidson team. It's the defense that really concerns me with the Sun Devils, as they allowed both UNI and Kentucky to shoot over 50% from the field and this Purdue team comes in shooting 49.5% on the season and will have a big edge inside with all their size. Give me the Boilermakers -11.5!

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Wizards -5.5)

Washington isn't as bad as their 6-12 record would lead on, while the Nets are every bit as bad as their 5-14 record. Brooklyn caught a lot of teams off-guard early in the season with their hard play and they opened up 7-2 ATS because of it. That hard play isn't paying off anymore, as the Nets are just 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10. Not only are they not covering, they are struggling to keep games close. During their current 1-9 SU stretch the closest loss has been 7 points and 7 of the 9 defeats have come by double-digits. The Wizards are a desperate team right now, so there's no overlooking Brooklyn here, which should allow them to win here comfortably. Give me Washington -5.5!

40* NBA Situational ATS Knockout (Kings +2.5)

This line is begging you to take the Knicks at home as a small favorite, but my money is on the Kings to get the big road win here. New York has won 7 of 10, but the majority of those wins have come against bad teams or teams that haven't been playing well of late. With a trip to Miami and their warm weather on deck after this one, I look for the Knicks to come out flat here. I also think think this is a bad matchup for New York, as they really don't have an answer inside for Cousins and the defense hasn't been good even during this recent stretch where they have been winning. The Knicks have allowed 100+ in 6 straight and 8 of their last 9 overall. Give me the Kings +2.5!

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Blazers -6.5)

This is the time to fade the Heat after pulling off back-to-back road wins over the Nuggets and Jazz. While it's not easy winning at those two venues in consecutive nights, the wins are a little misleading, as Denver isn't playing well and Utah was missing several key players to injury. Miami simply can't have any gas left in the tank for this one. Portland likes to play at a fast pace and can light up it up offensively. The Heat simply won't be able to keep up, as they are team that relies on their defense to keep them in games. It's also worth pointing Miami continues to play short-handed, which only makes this spot that much more difficult, as they get ready to play their 3rd road game in 4 nights against a Blazers team that is out to get their season back on track and playing with fresh legs on two days rest. Give me Portland -6.5!

40* NBA Situational ATS Money Maker (Bulls -3)

This year's Bulls team has made a point of not suffering let downs against lesser opponents and for the most part they have done just that. Even coming off the huge win at home last night against LeBron and the Cavs, I expect Chicago to show up and take care of business against the Mavs tonight. With Wade not playing, I look for Butler to really take it on himself to deliver a big game in this one. Dallas is 3-15 and have shown little signs of life, as they have dropped 10 of their last 11. Give me Chicago -3!

50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Gonzaga -4.5)

This is not the same Arizona team that opened the season with a win over Michigan State, as the Wildcats have lost several key players to injury/suspension. Gonzaga on the other hand looks to have not missed a beat, despite losing several key players from last year's team. That's because they reloaded with a strong freshman class and added in some great pieces in transfers from Power 5 schools. They are a perfect 7-0 on the season with impressive wins over Florida and Iowa State. There's also a bit of a rivalry here and the Bulldogs have been on the short end of the stick the last few meetings, so this is a game they desperately want to win. They finally have the edge in talent in this matchup and I expect them to deliver with a comfortable win over the Wildcats. Give me Gonzaga -4.5!

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Hawks -2.5)

Love the value here with the Hawks laying less than 3-points at home against the Pistons. Atlanta comes in having lost 7 of 8, but most of those came on the road. The Hawks are 6-2 at home and will be all business in this one. Detroit comes in playing well and off a couple of big road wins at Charlotte and Boston, but this is a bad spot for the Pistons, who will playing their 4th straight on the road and 3rd in the last 4 days. Detroit is still just 3-8 ATS on the road this season and are 2-4 ATS this season when playing their 3rd game in 4 days. Atlanta is 9-1 ATS in their last 10 after losing 5 or 6 of their last 7 and  3-1 ATS over the last 3 seasons after 2 straight losses by 6 points or less. Give me the Hawks -2.5!

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Magic -1.5)

It doesn't seem right that Orlando is a road favorite against a Memphis team that has a winning record at 11-8, but it's more than justified. The Grizzlies are playing short-handed and in about as bad of a rest situation as you are going to find in today's NBA. Memphis will be playing the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and their 5th in the last 7 days. They will be doing so without starters Mike Conley, Chandler Parsons and James Ennis. They are also without a huge bench player, who plays big minutes in Zach Randolph. Orlando might not be the most talented team, but are certainly capable of winning this game against a depleted and tired Memphis team. The Magic will be playing with a lot of confidence after taking down the Spurs on the road 95-83 last time out. Give me Orlando -1.5!

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Pacers +7.5)

Indiana is worth a look here as a decently priced road dog against the Blazers. I believe we are getting value here with Indiana because of Paul George not expected to play. However, the Pacers have been playing well without him of late, including a 118-97 win over Brooklyn and 91-70 win against the Clippers in their last 2 games. This is a deep Indiana rosters that is built to withstand an injury to a key player like George. As for the Blazers, they are not playing great to start the season, as they come in just 9-10. They are only 5-4 at home (2-7 ATS) and their struggles can be pinpointed to their inability to get stops on defense. Portland comes in giving up 113.7 ppg on the season and are even worse at home, where they are allowing 115.3 ppg. When you don't play defense, it's hard to blow teams out. Give me the Pacers +7.5!

50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Temple -1.5)

The betting public is on St. Joseph's, yet the line has flipped in favor of the Owls and for good reason. Temple is playing with all kinds of confidence after winning the NIT Season Tip-off with wins over No. 25 Florida St (89-86) and No. 19 West Virginia (81-77). While the Owls are riding a huge wave of momentum, the Hawks enter off a couple of ugly losses in their first two real tests of the season. St Joseph's fail 68-81 to Ole Miss and 63-73 to NC State. I don't see the Hawks bouncing back here, as they are going to have a tough time getting up for this game with a showdown at defending champ Villanova on deck Saturday. Give me Temple -1.5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Bucks +7.5)

Milwaukee is worth a look here as a decently priced home dog against the Cavaliers. Cleveland has been on a mission to start out the season, going 13-2 in their first 15 games, but they also have been overvalued on a consistent basis, as they are just 6-8 ATS. Milwaukee is still trying to get things figured out, but despite their losing record (7-8), they have been competitive against a lot of the upper-tier teams and I expect an all out effort here at home in their first crack against the defending champs. Easy game for the Cavs to overlook with a huge showdown at home against the Clippers on deck Thursday and 3 big road games against the Bulls, Raptors and Knicks following that. Cleveland also figures to be minus two key players here, as Frye is on personal leave and Shumpert is questionable with a hamstring injury (no reason to rush him back). Give me the Bucks +7.5!

50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (VCU -5.5)

This is a great price to back VCU at home against Princeton. The Rams return 4 starters from last year's near Sweet 16 team that won 25-games. They certainly look the part of one of the top tier teams in the country, as they have started out 5-1 with the only loss coming in a neutral site loss to Baylor (63-71), who is ranked inside the Top 10. Princeton is a quality team and should compete for an Ivy League title, but this is a huge step up in competition to what the Tigers will face in the Ivy League, especially with it being a true road game. Princeton has already lost by 9 on the highway to both BYU and Lehigh and neither of those teams are as talented as VCU. Give me the Rams -5.5!

50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Utah +1.5)

Everyone is going to be on Butler here, as they are a perfect 6-0, Ranked in the Top 20 and come into this game after winning the Las Vegas Invitational with an upset of No. 8 Arizona in the title game. However, I think this is going to prove to be a tough spot for the Bulldogs against a very underrated Utah team that is not in as bad a shape as people think after losing so much from last year's team. Butler just played two games in Vegas on back-to-back days and have had just two days off before turning around and traveling back west to Utah, which is a very difficult place to play. I believe the size of the Utes will be the difference in this one. Give me the Utah +1.5!

40* NBA Situational Vegas Line Mistake (Hawks -4)

I had my eye on this game and was hoping the books would set a low number here on Atlanta after their dreadful performance last time out against the Jazz. This is the perfect bounce back spot for the Hawks and a game they know they can't afford to lose with a road date against the Warriors looming tomorrow. The Lakers on the other hand just played a home-and-home set against Golden State and were completely outclassed in both meetings, losing 106-149 at Golden State and 85-109 at home. The absence of Russell is huge for LA. Not only is he one of their top scorers, but it takes away from their depth, which is a big reason for their strong start to the season. They could also be missing Julius Randle, which would be another big loss. Atlanta is the better and more motivated team in this one. Give me the Hawks -4!

50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Gonzaga -3.5)

Both these teams lost some huge pieces from last year's team, but I've been more impressive with Gonzaga in the early going. The Bulldogs dominated their first 4 opponents and last time out beat a very good Florida team. Iowa State comes in off a 73-56 win over Miami, but were very fortunate to beat Indiana State in their previous game. Two big keys here that favor Gonzaga, the Bulldogs are the much bigger team and should have their way scoring inside and on the glass. They are also excellent at defending the 3-point shot, which is what ISU lives and dies off of. Give me Gonzaga -3.5!

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Blowout (Thunder -3.5)

I think we are getting some great value here on OKC due to a couple of things. Detroit just won at home 108-97 over the Clippers last night as a 6.5-point dog and the Pistons crushed the Thunder 104-88 in an earlier meeting in Detroit. What is getting overlooked is the Pistons don't travel well and are in a horrible spot playing the 2nd of a back-to-back on the road. Detroit is just 1-7 away from home and are giving up 104.9 ppg on the road, which is a staggering difference from what they allow at home, as they are only giving up 96.5 ppg on the season. Thunder have a solid home court edge and should come out with a chip on their shoulder after losing the way they did to the Pistons a few weeks back. Give me Oklahoma City -3.5!

50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Richmond -6)

I cashed in on the Spiders +6.5 last night against Maryland, as they lost 82-88 in OT against Maryland (nearly a horrible bad beat). Richmond really let that one get away, as they had a 12-point lead at the half and were in great position to win in regulation. On the bright side, I believe the loss has helped keep this line lower than it should be. Boston College is just 3-2 and were completely outclassed in their first game against a legit opponent, losing 54-72 to Kansas State yesterday. That's a K-State team that I don't think is as talented as this Richmond team, so only having to lay 6-points is an easy play for me. Give me the Spiders -6!

50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Richmond +6.5)

I really like the value here with Richmond catching 6.5-points against the Terrapins, as I see this as more of an evenly matched game and it's being played on a neutral court. Richmond has got back to playing the stingy defense they are known for, as they have held all 4 of their opponents under 70 points after giving up 73.8 ppg last year. They have two big time play makers in big man T.J. Cline (17.0 ppg) and senior guard ShanDre Jones (19.5 ppg). Maryland is 5-0, but the only real legit team they have played is Georgetown, which they were very fortunate to win 76-75. That victory looked impressive at the time, but not so much after watching the Hoyas get manhandled by Wisconsin and Oklahoma State. The Terps have a special player in Melo Trimble, but not a lot of star talent around him. Give me the Spiders +6.5!

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Blowout (Bulls -7.5)

I like Chicago to make easy work of the 76ers on Friday. I look for the Bulls to come out extremely motivated after losing 107-110 at Denver on Tuesday, a game they feel like they should have won after jumping out to a 31-19 lead in the 1st quarter. This is also the last game of their 6-game road trip and a win gives them a winning record on the trip at 4-2. Philadelphia has been a lot more competitive than the last few years, but are still just 4-11. Their best player so far has without a doubt been big man Joel Embid, but he's on a minutes restriction and won't suit up for this one. Chicago should run away with this one, as they come in averaging 105.3 ppg and will be facing a 76ers defense that is giving up 106.9 ppg. Give me the Bulls -7.5!

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Pacers +1)

This is a great price to bet the Pacers at home, especially with most of the key players that have been out with injury expected to return. Indiana may be just 7-8 overall, but they are 6-3 at home and will be extremely motivated here off that ugly 83-120 home loss to the Warriors last time out. Atlanta is getting a lot of respect from their strong start, but the Hawks are in a funk right now. They have lost 3 straight, including a 94-112 loss at home to the Pelicans last night. Atlanta is a tired team that will be playing on no rest here and I look for their struggles to continue. Give me the Pacers +1!

50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Michigan State -7.5)

I believe this is a great spot to jump on the Spartans, who are getting near as much respect after their 2-2 start and mere 1-point win over Florida Gulf Coast last time out. Two of those losses came against two of the elite teams in the country in Arizona and Kentucky. This is a young team that is only going to get better with each game and I expect Izzo to have them ready to roll here against a St John's team that is no where close in terms of talent. Last time out the Red Storm had a huge lead on the road against Minnesota and ended up losing the game 86-92. Michigan State isn't going to let them light up the scoreboard and the Spartans young offense should have their way against a bad St. John's defense. I see no reason why Michigan State doesn't win here by double-digits. Give me the Spartans -7.5!

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Bulls -1.5)

Chicago has been one of the bigger surprises to start the season, as a lot of people thought the Bulls would struggle offensively with the additions of Wade and Rondo with Butler, as none of the three are great 3-point shooters. That hasn't been the case at all, as Chicago ranks in the Top 10 in offensive efficiency. They are also in the top half of the league in defensive efficiency and come into this one clicking on all cylinders. The Bulls are 3-1 to start out their west coast road trip and have won 5 of their last 6 overall. They have also covered the number in all 6 games during this stretch. Denver is just 5-8 overall and 2-4 at home this season. A lot of that has to do with their struggles defensively, as they come in allowing 106.9 ppg overall and 109.0 ppg at home. I'll gladly take my chances with the red-hot Bulls laying a small number. Give me Chicago -1.5!

50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Wisconsin -5)

I'll gladly take the Badgers at this price against the Hoyas. Both teams are playing on no rest off a big win yesterday. Wisconsin took care of Tennessee 74-62, while Georgetown stunned Oregon 65-61 as a 9-point dog. The Hoyas have already shown inconsistency early. Prior to their big won over the Ducks, they lost 75-76 at home to Maryland as a 6.5-point dog and then fell 72-78 as a 22-point favorite at home against Arkansas State. They nearly blew a huge lead in the win over the Ducks, as they were outscored 40-27 in the 2nd half. Offense continues to a problem for the Hoyas, as they shot just 34.4% from the field in the win over Oregon. Wisconsin's veteran unit is rock solid on the defensive end and should be able to have enough success offensively to put the Hoyas away from a comfortable win here. Give me Badgers -5!

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Pistons +2.5)

I'll gladly back the Pistons as a home dog against the Rockets tonight. I believe the Rockets are getting way too much respect here and a lot of that has to do with the fact that they come in having covered 4 straight and 8 of their last 10 overall. At the same time, Detroit is undervalued after losing their last 3 and going just 2-6 in their last 8 overall. The key here is that this bad stretch for the Pistons has come with them playing 6 of their last 8 on the road. Returning home is huge for Detroit, as they are 5-1 at home this season. I expect an all out effort from the Pistons in this one and they should win here rather comfortably. Give me Detroit +2.5! 

40* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout (Georgia -5.5)

I'll gladly back the Bulldogs at this price against George Washington. Georgia is the much better team in this one, despite having the worse record through 3 games. The Bulldogs have one of the best players in the SEC in senior guard J.J. Frazier and he makes quite a duo with talented junior forward Yante Maten. It's not just these two that make Georgia a great team, it's arguably the best overall talent the Bulldogs have had in the 7 years under head coach Mark Fox. George Washington won 20+ games a year ago, but lost a lot from that team, including 3 starters, who combined to average 35.2 ppg. I see this as a statement game for the Bulldogs and expect them to win here by double-digits rather easily. Give me Georgia -5.5!

40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Minnesota -6.5) 

I got no problem laying this short number on the Gophers at home against a St. John's team that will be hitting the road for the first time this season. There's a lot of excitement around the Red Storm program under head coach Chris Mullen and he's got them headed in the right direction. However, this is still a team that is lacking talent and are going to struggle to keep games competitive on the road. Minnesota is a team that I think is flying under the radar early, as the Gophers should be greatly improved over last year's team that finished 8-23. It might just be the most well-rounded team that Richard Pitino has had since coming to Minnesota. Give me the Gophers -6.5! 

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Celtics +6.5) 

I'll take the points with Boston at home against the Warriors Friday night. I don't think it's any secret who is going to want this game more. This is a game the Celtics have had circled on the calendar ever since Durant decided not to come to Boston and took his talents to Golden State. I know they might be shorthanded here with Crowder sidelined and Horford potentially out as well, but this is a deep team that's going to lay every once of energy they have to win this game at home. It's also worth pointing out that it's going to be electric inside the Garden with this being a nationally televised game on ESPN. I also like the fact that Boston is a disciplined and efficient team on both sides of the ball, which is critical if you want to have success against this Warriors team. I also like the fact that Boston played the Warriors tough in both meetings last year, losing by just 5 at home and winning on the road at Golden State. Give me the Celtics +6.5! 

50* NCAAB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Providence +6.5)

I believe the Friars are going to show great value early in the season, as the perception on Providence is that they are going to be down after losing Dunn and Bentil to the NBA. While big losses, this Friars team still has a lot of talent left over and I really like the addition of Indiana transfer Emmitt Holt, who showcased his talents in the opener, scoring a team-high 22 points. I also think junior Kyron Cartwright is more than capable of filling the void of Dunn and he dished out 12 assists in the opener. Same goes for junior Rodney Bullock and his ability to fill the void of Bentil. Ohio State is getting a lot of love, due to returning all 5 starters, but this is also a team that missed the postseason last year. They struggled in non-conference play a year ago and have already had two close calls against inferior opponents in Navy and NCCU. I'll gladly take the points here and wouldn't be the least bit surprised if the Friars won outright. Give me Providence +6.5!

40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Northwestern +8)

I like the value we are catching with the Wildcats in this one. I really like what Chris Collins is doing in Evanston and while Northwestern lost two key players from last year in Demps and Olah, they get back Vic Law, who missed all of last season. He's came out on fire, averaging 22.0 ppg in the Wildcats first two games. I also like their veteran backcourt of Lindsey and McIntosh. Butler is a great program, but I think that's playing into the line here. I think these are two evenly matched teams and Northwestern is fully capable of winning this game outright. Give me the Wildcats +8!

40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Kansas State -13)

I'm high on Bruce Weber's Wildcats this season, especially early on, as they got to benefit from playing in Europe in August, which I believe is huge. Kansas State also brings back a lot of experience with 6 players who started at least 11 games. Nebraska-Omaha lost two huge pieces to their team from last year in Patterson and White, who combined for 25.3 ppg. They did just cover on the road at USC as a 12-point dog in a 10-point loss, but the Trojans are down this year and were overvalued in that contest. Kansas State was on point in their opener, crushing Western Illinois 82-55 as a mere 18-point favorite. I see now reason why the Wildcats don't win here by at least 20. Give me K-State -13!

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Hawks -6)

I got no problem laying this big number on Atlanta away from home against Miami. Even though the Hawks come into this game at 7-2, I don't think people realize how well they are playing. Atlanta is outscoring opponents on average by 10.7 ppg. The only team better is the Clippers at 16.6 ppg. They rank in the top 10 in both offensive and defensive efficiency. Miami has played well on the defensive side of the ball, but they are 29th in offensive efficiency and figure to be without starting point guard Goran Dragic for this one. Miami also likes to play at a slow pace, but I think it's going to be Atlanta that dictates the tempo and the Hawks rank 4th in pace. The Heat are playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and their 3rd in 4 nights overall. Atlanta on the other hand is well-rested, as this will be just their 2nd game in 6 nights. I look for the Hawks to push the pace and pull away for a comfortable win here. Give me Atlanta -6!

40* NCAAB Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Auburn -7)

I think this Auburn team is flying under the radar right now. The Tigers went just 11-20 overall and 5-13 in SEC (13th) play last year, but nothing went right for this team. They were decimated with injuries, had players suspended and even had one player dismissed. Head coach Bruce Pearl used 14 different starting lineups in 31 games. I think this team is on a mission in 2016 and are one of the more young and talented teams that no one is talking about. Georgia State was a great story in the NCAA Tournament a couple years ago, but they are way down from that magical run and have just 2 starters back from last year. Even with this being a neutral site, I think Auburn should roll here and easily take this one by double-digits. Give me the Tigers -7!

40* NCAAB No Doubt Blowout (Colorado -20)

I really like the potential of this Colorado team. Unlike a lot of the other top teams in the country, who are relying on freshman to shoulder a big load, the Buffaloes have a ton of experience on their roster, including 4 seniors who will play a big role. They should be explosive offensively and won't have to rely on 1 guy to shoulder the load. Tad Boyle is singing the praises of this team and I look for them to come out with a statement win at home against Sacramento State, who is coming off 10th place finish in the Big Sky and went just 14-17 overall. Give me Colorado -20!

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Hornets -2.5)

I'm backing the Hornets as a small home favorite against the Raptors tonight. Charlotte has really been impressive to start the season. They are 6-1 and come in riding a 4-game winning streak. This wasn't a team that was getting a lot of hype coming into the season, so I still think the books aren't giving them the respect they deserve. Toronto on the other hand is a team that was picked to be right behind Cleveland in the east standings and are coming in off a what's perceived to be a big win at OKC. I'm not as big on the Thunder as others and look for the Raptors to come up short in this one. Hornets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings at home against Toronto and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games against a team that's won more than 60% of their road games. Give me Charlotte -2.5!

40* NBA Situational ATS Blowout (Bulls +2.5)

I know the Bulls just lost at Atlanta last night and the Heat have the edge here in rest, but I just like this spot to much with Chicago. This will be Wade's first game back in Miami since jumping ship in the offseason. The Bulls' players understand just how important this game is to Wade and I expect them to lay everything they have on the line in this one to make sure he leaves with a win against his former team. I believe their poor play last night, especially on defense, had a lot to do with them looking ahead to this matchup. Chicago is also the much better team in this one. Miami is just 2-4 and their wins have come against the Magic and at home against the Kings. Give me the Bulls +2.5!

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Blazers +9.5)

I like the value here with Portland as a near double-digit road dog against the Clippers. I know the Blazers are playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set, but this is a young team that can handle this spot early in the season. I also think the line here is inflated due to LA coming in off a 32-point blowout win against the Pistons, which followed 24-point win at San Antonio. Not to mention the Clippers are 6-1 ATS on the season, so the books really have no choice here but to make this line a lot higher than it should be. Portland played the Clippers tough at home in back in the opening week of the season and I like the revenge angle here. Give me the Blazers +9.5!

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Kings -5.5)

This might seem like a lot of points for the Kings to be laying, but I think we see a dominant performance at home by Sacramento tonight. The Kings are just 3-5, but they have also played 6 of their first 8 on the road and one of their 2 home games was against the Spurs. This team is hungry for a win and are catching the Pelicans in a bad spot, as New Orleans just played last night in Golden State and are depleted with injuries right now. I just don't see the Pelicans having the energy needed to keep this one competitive. Give me the Kings -5.5!

40* NBA No Doubt Bookie Knockout (Timberwolves -4)

Minnesota has not got off to the start most expected, as they are just 1-4 in their first 5, but they could just as easily be 4-1, blowing double-digit leads in 3 of those 4 losses. The Nets are playing hard, but are clearly behind the 8-ball in terms of talent. Minnesota isn't going to overlook the Nets in this spot and that should be more than enough for them to get the win here by at least 5 points, as I could see this one getting ugly in a hurry. Give me the Timberwolves -4!

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Crusher (Hawks +9)

Atlanta is worth a look here as a near double-digit dog against the Cavs. We knew Cleveland was going to be overvalued coming into the season after winning it all last year and that certainly hasn't changed after they have started out 6-0. They are just 2-4 ATS and have failed to cover in 4 straight. This Hawks team is a lot better than people think and are certainly capable of giving the Cavs a run for their money here. Keep in mind Cleveland's only win this season by double-digits is their opener against the Knicks. Give me the Hawks +9!

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Crusher (Kings +1.5)

I believe the books are begging for you to take the Bucks as a small home favorite. Milwaukee comes in having won 2 straight and 3 of 4 overall, including back-to-back outright wins as an underdog. The Kings on the other hand have lost 3 straight on the road, including an ugly 94-102 defeat at Orlando last time out. I know they are just 2-4, but I like what I have seen from the Kings early on and I expect them to bounce back here in what feels like a must-win game with a road game at Toronto on deck tomorrow. On the other side of this, I don't trust this Bucks team, at least not until Middleton returns from injury. Kings swept the season series a year ago, including a 129-118 win at Milwaukee as a 4.5-point dog. There's a reason this line has dropped from it's opening number of the Bucks -4. Give me Sacramento +1.5!

40* Warriors/Lakers Late Night ATS Bailout (Lakers +11)

This situation is just too good to pass up and if you play against teams like the Warriors in this spot, I'm confident you will profit long-term. Golden State just played the biggest game of their season to date last night at home against the Thunder, as Durant got his first crack at his old team. The Warriors laid everything they had into winning that game for their new teammate. I believe they are going to have a hard time matching the intensity of this young Lakers team in another nationally televised game, especially playing on no rest and this being their 3rd game in 4 nights. This is LA's chance to showcase themselves in a primetime game and I expect them to lay everything they have on the line at home tonight. Give me the Lakers +11!

40* NBA No Doubt ATS Knockout (Wolves -3)

After blowing double-digit leads in their first two games on the road, the Timberwolves returned home and routed the Grizzlies 116-80. I know Memphis was missing some key players, but I really like this Minnesota team and expect them to be a great bet at home at least in the early portion of the schedule until the public catches on. It's no secret the Nuggets are a better team at home than on the road and I think they struggle to keep this one close against a Timberwolves team that is loaded with young talent. I also think we are getting some value here because Minnesota is without starting point guard Ricky Rubio, but I don't see a dropoff with rookie Kris Dunn at the point and he's a better defender, which fits Thibodeau's style. Give me the Timberwolves -3!

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Clippers -7)

I really like this Celtics team and I even though they are 3-0 and have covered all 3 of their games, I don't feel like they are getting the respect they deserve. On the flip side of this, I think OKC was way overrated coming into the season and it hasn't changed after the Thunder's 3-0 start. I'm still not buying this team. They have beat the 76ers, Suns and Lakers and could have easily lost two of those. LA is a well coached team an unlike the other teams OKC has faced, they are going to make a point of making someone other than Westbrook beat. Either way, the Thunder rely way too much on Westbrook and it's not a recipe for long-term success. Give me the Clippers -7! 

40* NBA Vegas Line Mistake (Celtics -3.5)

Big time revenge spot for Boston, who lost at Chicago last Thursday. They fell behind by 15-points in the first half. They rallied to take the lead late, but just didn't have enough left in the tank to get the win. Boston was on no rest in that game, so it made sense they couldn't finish off the Bulls on the road. Now they get them at home on 2 days of rest. It's also important to note that we are getting a great line here due to the Bulls coming into this one at 3-0 and having covered in all 3 games. Give me the Celtics -3.5! 

40* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout (Wolves -3.5)

This is a big revenge spot for Minnesota, who blew a big lead in a loss at Memphis to open the season. The Timberwolves are a talented young team that have to feel like they should be 2-0 instead of 0-2. The key here is the 0-2 record provides us with some great value, as the Grizzlies are not a great road team. Keep in mind each of their first two games were on the road. Minnesota brings an all out effort here and I just don't see the Grizzlies keeping pace. Give me the Timberwolves -3.5!

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Magic -4.5)

I know both teams have yet to win a game this season, but I think the value here is with the Magic. Until the 76ers get Ben Simmons back from injury they are going to struggle to be competitive and even then they are still not a great team. Embid is the only thing they got right now and he's on a minutes restriction, limiting him to just 20 mins a night. Orlando has some nice young talent and I fully expect them to win here by at least 5 points. Orlando has won each of their last 3 trips to Philly and are 24-9 ATS in their last 33 after playing two straight games as an underdog. Give me the Magic -4.5!

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Suns +10.5) 

I think we are getting some great value here with the Suns catching double-digits here. Phoenix is still be undervalued from last year's 23-win campaign, but injuries played a big part of their struggles last year. I see this Suns team as one of most improved teams in the league, as they have a lot of young talent. They are 0-3 SU, but have covered each of their last 2, losing by just 3 in OT at OKC and by just 6-points at home to the Warriors as a 11.5-point dog. While Phoenix is way undervalued, the Clippers are way overvalued here after starting out 2-0 both SU and ATS. The Suns are going to be the more motivated team in this one and win or lose I expect them to keep this one within double-digits. Give me the Suns +10.5! 

40* NBA Dog of the Day (Magic +11.5) 

Orlando is showing great value here as a double-digit dog against the Cavs on Saturday. I just don't see Cleveland taking this game all that seriously. They just played in a dog fight last night in Toronto, which they escaped with a 94-91 win. The previous game was at home against the Knicks in an emotional affair, as they got their rings and watched the banner fall for winning the championship last season. Orlando comes in off a 12-point loss at home to Miami in their opener and 26-point defeat last night in Detroit. I look for an all out effort here against the defending champs as they try to secure that first win of the season. I just don't see the Cavs matching the intensity, which is going to make it hard for them to win here by more than the number. Give me Orlando +11.5! 

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Jazz -8.5) 

This might seem like a big number for the Jazz to be laying, but I really think Utah is going to be one of the most improved teams in the league. I know they are still without Hayward and might not have Favors, but I don't think it hurts them against this young Lakers team that will struggle on the road. Not to mention LA is coming off a huge home win against the Rockets, which made them look a lot better than they were. Houston plays zero defense and now they face a Utah team that prides itself on that side of the ball. Lakers biggest issue is their defense. With this being the Jazz's home opener and then coming off a loss, I believe it adds up to a blowout win. Give me Utah -8.5! 

40* NBA Situational ATS Knockout (Pacers -6) 

Each year there's a team that cathes fire early in the year and the books are slow to adjust. I believe that is going to be Indiana. The Pacers are one of the most improved teams in the league and are right there with the Raptors as the second best team in the east. Brooklyn on the other hand is one of the worst teams in the league. They covered on Wednesday at Boston, losing by just 5 as a 11.5-point dog. However, that's a misleading final, as they were down 23 in the 4th quarter. I have the Pacers ranked ahead of Boston, so if they are a 11.5-point home favorite over the Nets, no way should Indiana only be laying 6 at Brooklyn. Keep in mind the Nets don't exactly have a great home court edge. Give me the Pacers -6! 

40* NBA Underdog of the Week (Kings +8.5) 

I really like the value here with the Kings catching a big number at home against the Spurs. San Antonio just embarrassed the Warriors on their home floor on Tuesday and the betting public isn't going to hesitate backing them here at Sacramento. I really like this Kings team and they didn't disappoint in their opener last night, going into Phoenix and routing the Suns. This is also a significant game for Sacramento, as they debut their new $557 million stadium. Give me the Kings +8.5! 

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Heat +4) 

I believe the perception of this Heat team is they aren't going to be very good after losing Wade in free agency and not bringing any big names in free agency. I think they are going to surprise some people. Wade's departure opens a bigger role for Justise Winslow, who showed flashes in his limited role as a rookie. They have one of the best young centers in the game in Hassan Whiteside and one of the more underrated point guards in Goran Dragic. I also like their two young guards in Josh Richardson and Tyler Johnson. As for the Magic, they are getting some love after adding in Serge Ibaka, Bismack Biyombo and Jeff Green, but I'm just not sold on this team. They don't have a ton of outside shooting, so teams are going to be able to clog up the paint and really make them work to score. Miami's definitely not a team you want to try and attack inside often with Whiteside. I think the Heat win here outright, but I'll take the points as some added insurance. Give me Miami +4! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Cavs +6.5) 

I was on Cleveland in Game 1 and they failed to cover, but I'm not jumping off the Cavaliers bandwagon just because of one loss. Cleveland got a bit of a wakeup call in Game 1, as they no longer are playing against the weak Eastern Conference. If the Cavs can continue to hold Curry and Thompson in check, I like their chances of making this a series. It was the Warriors role players who stole the spotlight in Game 1 and this time I look for Cleveland's role players to be the difference. James knows that this is a must-win game for the Cavs and while I'm taking the points, I like Cleveland's chances of winning this game outright. Give me the Cavaliers +6.5)! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Cavs +6) 

I look for the Warriors to come out a bit flat here in Game 1 against the Cavaliers. Golden State just laid everything they had on the line to come back from a 3-1 deficit against the Thunder. Cleveland on the other hand had another easy series against the Raptors and have been waiting for this moment since the postseason started. I know the Warriors made easy work of the Cavs in the regular season, but Cleveland is playing at a whole different level right now and the addition of Frye has really changed the dynamic of this team. I expect this to be a very close game and wouldn't be shocked if Cleveland pulled off the upset. Give me the Cavaliers +6! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Warriors +2.5)

Most think the Warriors aren't going to be able to go into Oklahoma City and get a win. Hard to blame them after what happened in Game 3 and Game 4, but I think Golden State is going to remind everyone why they won 73 games. Getting Bogut going in Game 5 was huge for the Warriors. He looked a lot more fresh moving around than he did earlier in the series. If he plays close to how he did in Game 5, Golden State will be tough to beat. All the pressure is on Oklahoma City in this one and the Warriors seem to thrive with their backs against the wall. Steph Curry won't let his season end on Saturday. Give me Golden State +2.5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Warriors -7.5) 

I don't know if the Warriors are capable from coming back from the 3-1 deficit they are up against, but I am confident that there will be a Game 6. Golden State was too good during the regular season to go out like this and I look for them to play one of their best games here at home in Game 5. As much as OKC would love to close out the series, I think this will be a difficult game for them to get up for. They have the commanding 3-1 lead and played their hearts out in games 3 & 4 at home. I think this could be very similar to what we saw last night with the Raptors not showing up for Game 5 in Cleveland. Give me the Warriors -7.5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Cavs -10.5)

No one expected this series to be headed back to Cleveland for Game 5 tied at 2-2, especially after how easily the Cavs dismantled the Raptors in games 1 and 2. Toronto certainly played much better at home, but I also think Cleveland didn't give them their full attention. I look for the Cavaliers to return to the form of the first two games of this series and make easy work of the Raptors tonight. Cleveland seemed to figure out Toronto in the 2nd half of Game 4 and I'll take my chances that DeRozan and Lowry don't carry over their hot shooting on the road. Give me Cavaliers -10.5! 

40* NBA No Doubt Bookie Blowout (Cavaliers -6) 

I'm confident that Game 3 was a fluke and the Cavaliers will return back to the form that saw them win Game 1 by 31 and Game 2 by 19. Toronto just isn't on the same level as Cleveland and are completely outmatched when the Cavs decide to show up to play. Something they didn't do in Game 3, while Toronto laid everything they had on the line to avoid falling behind 0-3. I look for Cleveland to respond in a big way after their first playoff loss and win here by double-digits. Give me the Cavaliers -6! 

40* NBA No Doubt Bookie Blowout (Raptors +12.5) 

The Raptors are worth a look here in Game 2 of the Eastern Conference Finals. Toronto was embarrassed in Game 1 by 31 points. While that may have came as a surprise to some, it shouldn't have. Toronto simply had nothing left in the tank after playing a Game 7 just two days prior. They quickly realized they had no chance against the well rested Cavaliers and turned their focus two Game 2 before Game 1 was in the books. I look for a much more spirited effort here from the Raptors. The key here is we don't need Toronto to win, just keep it with 12-points, something they are more than capable of doing. Give me the Raptors +12.5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Warriors -8.5) 

Golden State jumped out to a 14-point lead in Game 1, only to fall apart in the 2nd half in a shocking 102-108 loss. While the media has overreacted to the win, the oddsmakers haven't. After losing Game 1 as a 7.5-point favorite, the Warriors are now laying 8.5 in Game 2. Golden State is primed for a huge bounce back performance in a must-win scenario at home tonight. The Warriors simply got too comfortable with their early lead and didn't execute their offense. They won't make that mistake tonight and are going to keep their foot on the gas the entire way through. Give me Golden State -8.5! 

40* NBA No Doubt ATS Knockout (Cavs -10.5) 

This is going to seem like a big number to lay on the Cavaliers in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals, but the situation sets up for a Cleveland blowout. The Cavaliers have looked like a completely different team in the postseason. They made easy work of both the Pistons and Hawks in back-to-back sweeps. As for the Raptors, I have not been impressed with what I have seen so far in the playoffs. Sure DeRozan and Lowry are playing better, but the two are going to have to play exceptional just to keep this close, especially on the road. You also can't ignore the edge that Cleveland has here with the extra rest. The Cavs will have had 8 days off since their last game, while the Raptors just played a all or nothing Game 7 on Sunday. Give me Cleveland -10.5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Warriors -7.5) 

I believe we have fallen into a perfect situation to back the Warriors at home in Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals. Golden State had a difficult time putting away the Blazers, even with Curry back in the lineup, but Portland was a tougher matchup than people realized, as they had the ability to go small and matchup with the Warriors. Oklahoma City on the other hand is getting all kinds of praise for taking out San Antonio, but I wasn't all that surprised to see that unfold. The Thunder lost all 3 against the Warriors in the regular season and I wouldn't be shocked if Golden State turned this into a blowout. Give me the Warriors -7.5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Raptors -4.5)

Toronto is worth a look here in Game 7. These two teams have alternated wins and covers over the last 4 in the series and I expect that trend to continue with the Raptors cashing in with a victory by at least 5 at home this afternoon. Toronto is a much better team at home and the Heat have had their fair share of problems on the road. With DeRozan and Lowry both finally playing well, the Raptors have the advantage in this one. Give me Toronto -4.5! 

40* NBA Vegas Sharp Shooter (Heat -4) 

This is a great price to back the Heat facing elimination at home in Game 6. Closing out a series is hard enough, it becomes that much harder when asked to do it on the road. Miami has been a covering machine on their home floor, cashing winning tickets in 10 of their last 12. I just feel the pressure will be too much for the Raptors to overcome and based off what we have seen in the playoffs so far, there's a good chance DeRozan and Lowry both struggle after solid performances in Game 5. Give me the Heat -4! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie No Brainer (Raptors -4.5) 

Toronto is worth a look here at home in Game 5. The Raptors two starts didn't play well at all in Game 4. Lowry and DeRozan combined for just 19 points. On the flip side, Miami got a great game from Wade, who had a game-high 30 points. You would expect Miami to have won by double-digits, but instead they needed to rally late before winning in OT. I look for Lowry and DeRozan to play much better at home and easily win here by at least 5 points. Give me Toronto -4.5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Spurs -7)

Oklahoma City has made this a series, but I look for San Antonio to take back control in Game 5 at home. The Spurs are simply too good on their home floor and have been a excellent team to back anytime they find themselves tied in a playoff series. San Antonio has covered the spread 30 of the last 42 times this situation has come up and have covered in this spot by an average of 7 points. The Spurs are simply a much better team at home and I look for them to have a breakout game offensively after 3 straight sub-par performances by their standards. Give me San Antonio -7! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Heat -5) 

Miami has to feel like they should be leading this series, but instead they find themselves down 1-2. The Heat are going to come out in desperation mode and I look for them to have no problem winning and covering this spread at home. Toronto's loss of Valanciunas is huge, as they now have no real threat in the paint and that's going to allow Miami to put that much more focus on stopping DeRozan and Lowry. The Raptors got the split they wanted and I just don't see them matching the intensity of the Heat, who simply can't afford to lose this matchup. Give me Miami -5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Knockout (Hawks +6) 

This series may be all but over in terms of who is going to advance, but I'm not expecting the Hawks to just lay down at home in Game 4. Atlanta is going to come out and lay it all on the line to avoid getting swept by Cleveland in the playoffs for a second straight season. Atlanta looked like they were going to pull out the win in Game 3, leading by 8 with just over 9 minutes to play in the 4th. The Cavaliers are primed for a letdown here and I'm willing to bet their red-hot shooting from long-distance won't continue in this one. Hawks are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 home games after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 and Cleveland is 0-8 ATS this season after covering 5 or 6 of their last 7. Take Atlanta +6! 

40* NBA No Doubt Bookie Blowout (Blazers +4) 

With Curry not expected to be back in the lineup like originally thought for Game 3, my money is on the Trail Blazers to cover at home with their season on the line. Portland knows that with Curry close to coming back and already down 0-2 in the series, they absolutely have to have this game. Portland is a much better team at home and showed they are capable of competing with Warriors, as they had a double-digit lead going into the 4th quarter of Game 2. Blazers are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 following a SU loss by more than 10 points. Give me Portland +4! 

40* NBA Vegas Sharp Shooter (Raptors -4.5) 

I really like this spot for Toronto and the cover. The Raptors are all but in a do or die situation in Game 2, as they simply can't afford to fall behind 0-2 in the series with the series shifting to Miami for Games 3 and 4. Toronto has shown great resilience in the postseason so far, as they have not lost back-to-back games. The Raptors lost Game 1 at home against the Pacers and came back the next game with a win and cover. I expect the same thing to happen here, as Toronto's season is on the line. Give me Toronto -4.5! 

40* NBA No Doubt ATS Blowout (Raptors -4.5) 

Toronto is worth a look here as a relatively small home favorite against the Heat in Game 1. The Raptors won 3 of their 4 home games against the Pacers, but are catching a great number due to having lost 4 straight against the spread. Miami is in the much more difficult spot having to travel on just 1-day of rest after playing a do or die Game 7 at home and the Heat have had their struggles on the road. Prior to winning Game 6 in Charlotte, Miami lost both Game 3 and Game 4 on the road to the Hornets. The Raptors also won both meetings at home in convincing fashion. They won 101-81 on 1/22 and 112-104 on 3/12. It's also worth noting that the home team has gone a perfect 3-0 SU & ATS in Game 1 of the conference semifinals this season. Toronto is also a perfect 7-0 in their last 7 after failing to cover 4 of their last 5 games. Give me the Raptors -4.5! 

40* NBA No Doubt ATS Crusher (Thunder +8) 

Oklahoma City couldn't have played any worse than they did in Saturday's 92-124 loss in Game 1 and as a result we have seen the public jump all over the Spurs in Game 2 with a slightly bigger spread (Game 1 closed at 6.5). The Thunder are a team that can get beat badly when Durant and Westbrook aren't on their game, but are also capable of winning on the road against a team like San Antonio when they play well. I'm confident the duo will play better and keep this game respectable. OKC is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 off a SU loss of more than 10 points and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Give me the Thunder +8! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Annihilator (Blazers +9.5) 

I really like the value we are getting with Portland in Game 1 against the Warriors. Golden State was able to get past the Rockets without MVP Steph Curry for the majority of the series, but Houston was a team that didn't even look like they wanted to be in the playoffs. Without Curry I think this series is a lot closer than what the spread for Game 1 is indicating. Portland isn't going to be intimated by the Warriors at all and I wouldn't be shocked if they won this game outright. Give me the Blazers +9.5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Annihilator (Spurs -6.5)

My money is on the Spurs to take care of business in Game 1 at home and cover the spread against the Thunder. There was a clear cap between the Thunder and the top two in the west in the Spurs and Warriors. Teams like OKC, who rely so much on 1-on-1 basketball to score offensively have little to know chance of beating the Spurs, especially on the road. San Antonio made easy work of the Grizzlies and have had 5 days to put together a game plan for the Thunder. If either Durant or Westbrook struggles at all in this game, this could get ugly in a hurry. Give me the Spurs -6.5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Crusher (Raptors +2) 

The Raptors outscored the Pacers 25-9 in the 4th quarter to steal Game 5 102-99 at home and I believe that win is going to give Toronto the confidence needed to close out the series tonight in Indiana. Keep in mind the Raptors won Game 3 on the road 101-85. While Toronto gained some serious momentum with how they rallied in Game 5 at home, the loss will be extremely difficult for Indiana to bounce back from. The Pacers continue to rely almost exclusively on Paul George and I think he's going to try and do too much in this spot. Give me the Raptors +2! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Destroyer (Heat -6) 

This is a great spot to back the Heat at home in Game 5. Miami won both meetings at home by double-digits before losing the last two on the road. The Heat simply didn't look like the same team in Charlotte as they did at home, but don't let that fool you into thinking they have lost their edge in the series. I fully expect Miami to come out an play well at home. The Heat shot 58% in both games 1 and 2 at home and then shot 34% and 40% in game 3 and 4. The shots will fall for Miami at home and I look for another double-digit win tonight. Give me the Heat -6! 

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Raptors -6.5) 

The series shifts back to Toronto for Game 5 and I give a big edge to the Raptors on their home floor. Indiana caught Toronto off guard in a 100-90 win in Game 1, but the Raptors answered with a 98-87 win in Game 2. I look for Toronto to bounce back in a big way after an ugly 83-100 loss in Game 4 at Indiana. The Raptors shot a miserable 36.5% from the field, while the Pacers shot a sizzling 47.1%. It was the first time Indiana made more than 43% of their attempts in a game in this series and I look for their shooting woes to return on the road. Pacers defense has been solid, but Indiana is just 7-22 ATS in their last 29 road games after 5 straight games holding their opponent to 42% or worse from the floor. Give me the Raptors -6.5! 

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Clippers -3.5) 

I wasn't all that surprised to see the Trail Blazers steal Game 3 at home with the Clippers poised for a bit of a letdown after taking a 2-0 series lead. Portland was fortunate to win that game, as the Clippers shot just 41% from the field, including a miserable 3 of 18 from long distance. I look for a much more motivated LA team to take the floor in Game 4, as they want to take a 3-1 lead and close out the series at home in Game 5. Let's also not forget they won the first 2 games in this series by at least 20 points, so winning on the road by just 4 should be no problem. Give me the Clippers -3.5! 

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Warriors -9) 

Golden State will be welcoming back Curry after he sat out the previous two games and I look for the Warriors to make easy work of the Rockets in a critical Game 4 in Houston. After losing Game 3 Golden State is going to come out extremely motivated to not allow the Rockets to tie it up at 2-2. The Warriors want to end this series as quickly as possible and let's not forget they won by 26 points in the only game Curry has played in the series so far. Houston also doesn't look all that interested and there's clearly some major chemistry problems on this roster. I look for Golden State to jump out to an early lead and the Rockets to throw in the towel. Give me the Warriors -9! 

40* NBA Situational ATS Knockout (Blazers +1) 

The Clippers made easy work of the Blazers in their 2 games at home, but with the series shifting to Portland I look for the Blazers to answer the call an avoid falling behind 0-3. Portland has a huge home court advantage and with their season on the line, look for an energetic home crowd. LA on the other hand is poised for a letdown here, as they are simply looking to split the two teams in Portland and take a 3-1 lead back home for Game 5. Clippers are just 8-17 ATS in their last 245 after scoring 100+ in 3 straight games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games when playing a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Portland is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 off a SU loss by more than 10 points. Give me the Blazers +1

40* NBA No Doubt Bookie Blowout (Pacers +2) 

Indiana is worth a look here as a home dog against the Raptors in Game 4 on Saturday. I was on Toronto in Game 3, as they were going to be out to get back home court. This time it will be the Pacers who are the more motivated team and will come out on top with a victory to even up the series at 2-2. Raptors are just 11-25 ATS in their last 36 after an upset win of 15 or more points as a dog, while Indiana is 14-4 ATS in their last 18 after trailing by 15 or more points at the half in their previous game. Give me the Pacers +2! 

40* NBA Blockbuster ATS Annihilator (Raptors -1) 

I really like the spot and value we are getting with Toronto here in Game 3 against the Pacers. The Raptors bounced back from an ugly 10-point loss at home in Game 1 with an easy 98-87 win in Game 2. Toronto is sitting here tied 1-1 in the series and have got little to nothing out of their star blackout of DeMar DeRozan and Kyle Lowry. Those two aren't going to continue to struggle and the Pacers have to rely too much on Paul George to carry the load offensively. Raptors have won 11 of the last 13 meetings overall, including 5 of their last 6 trips to Indiana. Give me Toronto -1! 

40* NBA Situational ATS Knockout (Hornets +5.5) 

Charlotte got embarrassed by 32 points in Game 1 and the betting public is going to want nothing to do with the Hornets in Game 2. Like we saw with the Mavericks in their series against the Thunder, you can't overreact to one game. I look for a completely different Charlotte team to take the floor tonight and wouldn't be the least bit surprised if they won this game outright. Hornets are 20-7 in their last 27 revenging a blowout loss of 20 or more points. Give me Charlotte +5.5! 

40* NBA Situational ATS Knockout (Hawks -6.5) 

Atlanta nearly let a 19-point lead slip away in Game 1, as they wound up winning by a final of just 102-101. I'm not letting how that game ended change my thought process on this series. I liked the Hawks coming in and even more now that Boston is likely without Avery Bradley for the rest of the series. His loss is going to be felt on the defensive side of the ball. I'm confident we are going to see a much better shooting effort here from the Hawks, who went just 5 of 27 (18.5%) from long distance. Atlanta also is a team that has playoff experience to fall back on and understand how important it is to hold serve at home. Give me the Hawks -6.5! 

40* NBA No-Doubt Bookie Knockout (Raptors -7) 

Toronto lost 90-100 at home in Game 1 and I simply don't see the Raptors dropping both games at home against the Pacers. Indiana's primary goal was to split these 2 games on the road and with that already accomplished they are poised for a letdown in Game 2. Toronto on the other hand is going to come out like this is Game 7 of the NBA Finals, as they simply can't afford to lose this game.  Raptors had won each of the previous 2 in the series by at least 7 points prior to the loss on Saturday and I look for them to have no problem covering the number here. Give me Toronto -7! 

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Hawks -5.5)

I really like the value here with Atlanta laying less than 6 points at home against the Celtics. After a slow start to the season the Hawks started resembling the team that won 60 games a year ago down the stretch. They made it to the Eastern Conference Finals last year and I look for that experience to pay off big in this series. I also think Atlanta and Boston play a similar style of game. Both have balanced offensive attacks and are efficient on the defensive side of the ball. Essentially the Hawks are a better version of the Celtics. Give me Atlanta -5.5! 

40* NBA No-Doubt Bookie Blowout (Bucks -5) 

Indiana has locked up the No. 7 seed in the east and have absolutely nothing to play for in the finale on the road against the Bucks. I look for the Pacers to rest several starters or at least drastically limit their minutes, which is exactly what the oddsmakers are expecting with this line. Milwaukee is just 3-9 over their last 12, but I look for them to play hard in their home finale here. Another key factor here is we have the Pacers playing on no rest after last night's game against the Knicks. I just don't see the focus being there and as long as Milwaukee shows up to play this one should get ugly in a hurry. Indiana is just 6-15 ATS in their last 21 on 0 days of rest and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 off a SU win by more than 10 points. Give me the Bucks -5! 

40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Crusher (Suns -6) 

Great spot to back the Suns and fade the Kings. Phoenix has continued to play hard down the stretch, despite not having a whole lot to play for. The Suns have won each of their last two, both on the road and are an impressive 10-5 ATS in their last 15 games, including 3 straight covers. The Kings managed to beat the Thunder 114-112 in their home finale on Saturday and that was the final home game before moving to their new arena next year. That game meant everything to the Kings and I'm confident they don't show up here on the road against the Suns. Give me Phoenix -6! 

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Suns -1.5) 

The fact that Phoenix is favored here really says a lot about how the books see this one playing out. The Suns come in off a 124-115 road win over the Rockets as a 12-point dog, but are just 1-7 in their last 8 overall. Rarely will you see a bad team like this favored on the road. That says a lot about the state of the Pelicans, who are decimated by injuries right now. New Orleans has played hard down the stretch despite the injuries, but Phoenix isn't the type of team to get motivated for. It's a very similar spot to their road game at the 76ers, which they lost outright by 14 in just the 3rd time this season Philadelphia was favored on the spread. Give me the Suns -1.5! 

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Pistons +2)

I really like the value we are getting here with the Pistons as a dog against the Magic. Orlando has been playing well of late. They have won 4 of 5, including a 12-point home win over the Grizzlies last time out. That has this line way off rom what it should be. The Magic can't be trusted at this point in the season with nothing to play for. Detroit on the other hand has a chance to cement a playoff spot. The Pistons are currently 8th in the east and 2-games up on the Bulls with just 3 to play after tonight. Detroit is also a 1/2-game back of 7th place Indiana, which is someone they want to catch, as it keeps them from having to play the Cavaliers in the first round of the playoffs. Give me the Pistons! 

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Heat -4) 

Dwayne Wade is questionable for this game, which is why this line took a while to come out. Regardless if he plays or not, I really like Miami at this price at home. The Heat are going to be motivated for several reasons here. They are coming off an ugly 17-point loss at Portland, are playing with double-revenge against the Pistons and are still in the running for the No. 3 seed in the east (1/2-game back of both Boston and Atlanta). Miami is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 off a loss by more than 10 points, 15-5 ATS in their last 20 against the east and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games. Detroit is 4-13 ATS in last 17 road games after playing their previous on the road and 1-5 ATS last 6 off a cover. Give me Miami -4! 

50* CBB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Villanova +3) 

My numbers actually have Villanova as the team that should be favored in this game, giving us quite a bit of value here with the Wildcats catching 3-points. North Carolina is a great team, but if they have a weakness it's their ability to shoot from the outside, as they come in just 31.9% from behind the 3-point line. Villanova has shown the ability to adapt to whatever opponent they face. They grinded out a 64-59 win against Kansas, who I believe is very similar to that of the Tar Heels. I look for the Wildcats to make a point of pressuring Paige and at the same time making sure that UNC gets no easy looks inside. Villanova's offense should be able to score here against a North Carolina defense that struggles to defend the 3-point shot. Give me Villanova +3! 

40* NBA Situational ATS Knockout (Rockets +3)

Oklahoma City has the No. 3 spot in the west locked up and I just don't see them coming out all that motivated here against the Rockets. Houston on the other hand is coming off a devastating loss at home to the Bulls and now trail both the Mavericks and Jazz by 1-game. Great value here with Houston catching points, as I have them winning this game outright. Give me the Rockets +3!

50* CBB Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Syracuse +9.5) 

I really love the value we are getting with the Orange as a near double-digit dog in the Final Four against ACC rival North Carolina. Syracuse may have had a borderline resume for getting into the NCAA Tournament, but they have more than proven they belong. This Orange team is playing their best basketball and aren't going to be intimidated by the Tar Heels. Sure, North Carolina won both regular season meetings, but Syracuse was right there with a chance late in both games. They had a 6-point lead with less than 10 minutes to play in a 12-point home loss and had a chance to tie it in the final seconds of a 5-point loss at North Carolina in the rematch. Beating a team 3 times in the same season is no easy task and while it's hard to envision Syracuse pulling off the upset, I'm confident they can keep this within the number. Give me the Orange +9.5! 

50* NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month (Heat -8) 

I made the mistake of backing the Heat on the road against the Lakers as a big favorite, as they wound up losing the game outright. I'm not letting that loss keep me from backing Miami in a great spot here on the road against the Kings. Sacramento will be without their best player in Cousins and have really struggled when he's not on the floor. At the same time, I look for Miami to come out pissed off after letting a game they know they should have won get away from them. The Heat won't take this game lightly and should cruise to a double-digit win over the Kings. Give me Miami -8! 

50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Heat -10) 

I'm not buying the Lakers coming out inspired after a 48-point loss at Utah last time out. This team has quit on the season and there's zero chemistry right now in the locker room with D'Angelo Russell's latest antics with Nick Young. Even if LA plays with more effort than they did against the Jazz, I don't think it will be enough to keep this game competitive. Miami is safely in the playoffs, but has a lot to play for. The Heat are just 1-game back of Atlanta for 3rd in the east and with the Hawks playing at 2nd place Toronto, Miami knows this is a golden spot to close the gap. The Heat are also just a 1/2 game up on both Boston and Charlotte. They simply can't afford to lose this game. They have won 7 straight in the series including an easy 13-point win at home back in November. Give me Miami -10!