50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Cavs -3) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Cavs laying a short number at home in the opener of Thursday's double-header on TNT. This might seem like it's too good to be true, but Cleveland has failed to cover 3 of 4 out of the break, which includes outright home losses to both the Wizards and Spurs. I'm still very high on this team after the trades and it's only a matter of time before they go on a serious run. I also think we are seeing the 76ers get some love here for their recent play. While they have lost their last 2, they had won 7 straight before that. I just think this is a tough spot off that crushing loss at Miami. It's also worth noting that the home team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in the series and Philadelphia is a mere 0-4-1 ATS in their lsat 5 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Give me the Cavs -3! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Louisville +4) 

I'll take my chances here with the Cardinals as a home dog against Virginia on Thursday. I just think this is going to be a tough spot for the Cavaliers to match the intensity of Louisville. Virginia has already locked up the regular-season ACC title and a loss here wouldn't keep them from a No. 1 seed. The Cardinals on the other hand are no sure thing to make the NCAA Tournament. They are currently one of the last teams in as a No. 11 seed. A win here would secure a spot and there's every reason to believe they can pull off the upset. Louisville gave the Cavaliers all they could handle in a 10-point loss at Virginia and did so by shooting 50% on the road against one of the best defenses in the country. The Cardinals are even better offensively at home, where they are 11-1 this season. Give me Louisville +4! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Boston College -1.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Eagles at basically a pick'em at home against the Orange. While Syracuse rolled over BC 81-63 on their home floor earlier this season, the Eagles are simply a different team at home than on the road. Boston College is 13-3 at home this season compared to just 3-10 on the road. Add in the extra incentive here for the Eagles to play well on senior night in their final home game and I think we are getting some big time value. Keep in mind that Syracuse is in a bit of a letdown spot here. They just lost at Duke, which concluded a brutal 3 game stretch where they had to go at Miami, host UNC and go to Duke. They lost to the Blue Devils by 16 and are a mere 3-12 ATS in their last 15 road games off a road loss by 10 or more points. Give me the Eagles -1.5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUST ATS KNOCKOUT (Georgia -1) 

I'll take my chances here with the Bulldogs at basically a pick'em at home against the Aggies. Georgia comes in playing well, as they have won 3 of their last 4. That's definitely a positive, but the real key here is where the game is being played. The Bulldogs are 11-3 at home this season and will be extra motivated here with this being their final home game of the season. Another key here is Georgia has owned Texas A&M of late. They are 5-1 in the last 6 with the lone loss coming at Texas A&M by 1-point. Aggies are also a mere 1-7 ATS this season in games with a line of +3 to -3. Give me the Bulldogs -1! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Kansas St +6.5) 

I'll gladly back the Wildcats here as a big road dog against the Horned Frogs, as I actually think there's a good chance Kansas State wins this game outright. TCU has won and covered their last 3 games, but it's far from an impressive run with two of the wins at home against Oklahoma St and Baylor, with the other a road win at ISU. K-State did lose last time out at Oklahoma, but that's won of the toughest places to play in the country. The Wildcats have only lost back-to-back games twice all season. The first being a 2-game set against West Virginia and Texas Tech. The other being Kansas and West Virginia. K-State has racked up 4 road wins already in Big 12 play. It's also worth noting that even with the recent run they are on, TCU is just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 off a SU win. Give me the Wildcats +6.5! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS MASSACRE (Miami +10)

I think the price is right here to take a shot on the Hurricanes as a double-digit dog against the Tar Heels. Miami is a young team that can sometimes come out flat/not give a lesser opponent the respect they deserve, but this team has consistently shown up against the top tier teams in the ACC and I expect nothing but their best effort here, as a win would all but secure a spot in the NCAA Tournament. As for North Carolina, I know they have won 6 straight, but I think the books have finally adjusted here. Keep in mind they were a similarly priced 10.5-point home favorite against Notre Dame just a couple weeks ago and Miami is a far superior team than the Irish right now. While it is senior night, with no shot at winning the ACC and their resume for the Tournament a sure thing, I think they have a hard time not looking ahead to this Saturday's rematch with Duke. Give me the Hurricanes +10! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Heat +1)

My money is on the Heat as a home dog against the 76ers tonight. I just think the price here is too good to pass up with Miami. Philadelphia has become quite the public team and I think we are still seeing them overvalued despite coming off a loss. That's because the 76ers had won 7 straight prior to that. They are just 1-3 ATS in their last 4. The Heat are a sneaky good team and while they are just 1-3 in their last 4, they have covered 5 straight. Last time out they crushed Memphis at home 115-89 and are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 off a home win by 20 or more. Another key is they lost a heartbreaker to the Heat in the previous meeting 102-104 at Philadelphia on 2/14 and are a perfect 8-0 ATS over the last 2 seasons when revenging a loss of 3-points or less. Give me the Heat +1! 

40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Magic +10) 

My money is on the Magic keeping this within double-digits against the Thunder. I just feel like this is a great spot to go against OKC, as they are coming off a massive game against the Warriors, which they lost by 32 points. Most are going to just expect this team to rebound, but I think they have a hard time getting up for this Orlando team, at least to the point where they blow them out of the arena. While the Magic have lost 5 straight overall, they are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games, with a 10-3 ATS mark in their last 13 vs a team with a winning record and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Thunder are 4-10 ATS last 14 home games vs a team with a losing road record. Give me Orlando +10! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Va Tech +6) 

I'll take my chances here with the Hokies keeping this within the number at home against Duke and wouldn't be shocked if they won outright. Virginia Tech is a very talented team and are 20-9 overall (just 4 fewer wins than Duke) and own a 13-4 record on their home floor. They did just lose at home to Louisville over the weekend, but I think that was a result of them looking ahead to his game. The Blue Devils defeated Syracuse in their last contest, but now are in a major lookahead spot of their own with a revenge on the line in Saturday's upcoming rematch with UNC. Note this is also a revenge spot for the Va Tech, as they got embarrassed at Duke a couple weeks back by 18 points. Give me the Hokies +6!  

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Temple -5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Owls winning by a comfortable margin at home over the Knights.  This is a golden spot to jump on Temple. The Owls suffered a crushing 86-93 loss at Wichita State, where they blew a 56-42 halftime lead. As is often the case with teams, Temple came out flat at home against Houston and got embarrassed by the Cougars 80-59. Not only will the Owls be motivated off that ugly performance at home, but there's added incentive here, as they will be out for revenge from a 39-60 defeat at UCF back in January. Give me Temple -5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Michigan St -7.5)

I'll take my chances here with the Spartans laying what I think is a short number on the road against the Badgers. While Michigan State has already earned a share of the Big Ten regular season title, a loss here would have them sharing the title with Ohio State and losing out on the No. 1 seed in the Big Ten Tournament due to a loss at Ohio State in the only meeting between the two teams. Keep in mind this is a team that still needs to build their resume for a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament. I think we get the very best the Spartans have to offer. As for Wisconsin, yes they have been playing better of late, but they are completely outmatched here. Note that Michigan State was a 17-point home favorite in the first meeting between these two teams. Based on that line they should be around a 13.5-point favorite on a neutral site and a 10-point favorite on the road. My money is on a double-digit win for the road team. Give me the Spartans -7.5! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT NO BRAINER (Oregon -4) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Ducks at home against the Wildcats. Arizona is a complete mess right now. Star point guard Alonzo Trier is no longer eligible because of a failed PED test and now future NBA lottery pick DeAndre Ayton is questionable to play after the recent wire tap that came out with head coach Sean Miller (also not likely to be around for this one) taking a payment. On top of all of this, Oregon has been playing extremely well of late. The Ducks have won 5 straight at home and likely need to win out to feel comfortable about making the NCAA Tournament. Give me Oregon -4! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Florida -2.5) 

My money is on the Gators to knock off the Tigers at home on Saturday. Florida will be in desperation mode here after losing their last 3. The simple fact that they are favored here over the No. 12 team in the country really says it all. Auburn is a comfortable 2-games ahead of the next best team for the outright SEC regular-season title and could be in line for a letdown here after a big home win over their biggest rival in Alabama. Florida is an impressive 34-14 ATS in their last 48 games when they come in having failed to cover 3 straight and are 16-8 ATS over the last 3 seasons with a line of +3 to -3. Give me the Gators -2.5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Kentucky -6)

My money is on the Wildcats making easy work of the Tigers tonight. Not much went right for Kentucky during a recent 4-game losing streak, but the Wildcats got back on track with a 81-71 win at home over Alabama and carried over that momentum with an even more impressive 87-72 win at Arkansas. I like Kentucky's chances of keeping it rolling against the Tigers, who come in having lost their last 2. The Wildcats are 12-2 SU at home this season, outscoring opponents by an average of 10.3 ppg and I think they have no problem winning here by more than that margin. Give me Kentucky -6! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Notre Dame +1) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Fighting Irish pulling out a win on the road against the Demon Deacons. Notre Dame comes in off a close 3-point loss at home to Miami and I feel that has them in a prime bounce back spot. The Irish had won 3 of their previous 4 with the only other loss at UNC. Wake Forest comes in off a win at Pitt, but the Panthers are the worst team in the league. The Demon Deacons are also still a mere 4-12 in ACC play and have gone just 5-8 ATS in lined home games this season. Notre Dame has won and covered each of the last 3 meetings in the series and are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs a team with a losing home record. Give me the Irish +1! 

40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Spurs +3.5) 

My money is on the Spurs to get their revenge against Denver in the first game out of the break. San Antonio actually played at Denver in their final game before the break. It was part of 3 straight losses going into the break for the Spurs. I'm extremely confident with Popovich having his team ready to roll here against the Nuggets tonight and it will help the Spurs are as healthy as they have been in a while with Aldridge, Ginobili and Gay all expected to suit up tonight. San Antonio is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 off a loss and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 off 3 or more days of rest. Give me the Spurs +3.5! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE KNOCKOUT (Jazz -3.5) 

No team was hotter than Utah going into the break. The Jazz return to action looking to build on an 11-game winning streak and I expect them to just that. Utah is no longer just a team that relies on their defense, as the offense has some fire-power thanks in large part to the play of rookie Donovan Mitchell. Key here is that even with the recent winning streak, Utah is still sitting 10th in the Western Conference standings and one of those teams they are chasing is Portland, making this one the Jazz will be extremely motivate to get. Utah is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs a team with a winning record, while the Blazers are a mere 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Give me the Jazz -3.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Cavs -5.5)

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Cavs bouncing back from that surprising home loss to the Wizards last night. It was the first defeat for Cleveland since the big moves. I'm simply chalking that loss up to being a bit flat out of the break. This is a team that I believe is extremely motivated to start playing their best basketball and this Grizzlies team simply doesn't have the man-power to keep this close. This is not the same Memphis team that has been a playoff contender in the West over recent years. The Grizzlies are tied for the fewest wins in the league at 18 and went into the All-Star break having lost 7 straight. Give me the Cavs -5.5! 

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS SLAUGHTER (Oregon -3.5) 

I'll be the first to admit I wasn't high on this Ducks team coming into this year, but Dana Altman has done a tremendous job once again turning Oregon into a contender. I expect a very motivated and locked in Ducks team here at home after losing two hard fought games on the road to USC and UCLA. Oregon had won 5 of their previous 6 before the recent skid, are 5-1 in their last 6 home games and 13-3 at home overall. Arizona State comes in off a crushing home loss to Arizona after two big wins over USC and UCLA and I just don't think the Sun Devils will have enough left in the tank for this one. The Ducks won the first meeting at Arizona State 76-72 as a 7.5-point dog and the Sun Devils are a mere 3-13 ATS in their last 16 when revenging a road loss. Take Oregon! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Cavs -5)

I'll gladly take my chances here with Cleveland laying what I feel is a short number at home against the Wizards, who are still without All-Star point guard John Wall. The Cavs are just 6-20 ATS at home this season, but this was a different team going into the All-Star break following all the big moves they made. I think Cleveland is hands down the best team in the east right now and wouldn't be shocked if we saw them go on a massive run here out of the break. Wizards have played well without Wall, but that's not going to last much longer and I think they have zero chance of keeping this one close. Give me the Cavs -5! 

50* NCAAB BIG TEN GAME OF THE YEAR (Northwestern -3.5) 

My money is on the Wildcats at home with or without senior Bryant McIntosh. Northwestern comes in having lost 4 straight, so motivation will not be a problem here, but this is also senior night, so there's even more incentive to play well in front of the home fans the final time this season. As for Wisconsin, I'm not buying the recent success of the Badgers, which includes an upset win over Purdue.

That win over the Boilermakers came just after they suffered that crushing 3-point loss at Michigan State, so a letdown was not a surprise for Purdue. Then they pulled a rabbit out of their hat in an OT win at home against Minnesota, rallying from 7 down in the final 6 minutes of regulation. Their only other 2 wins in their previous 11 games were both against bottom-feeder Illinois.

There's just not a lot of incentive for Wisconsin to get up for this game and it will be even harder to focus on this contest with a massive home game against Michigan State on deck. Give me the Wildcats -3.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Kansas St -3) 

I'll gladly lay a mere 3-points at home with Kansas State against the Longhorns. I believe this Wildcats team is one of the more underrated teams in the country. While they are just 8-6 in the Big 12, all 6 of those losses came against the top 3 teams in Kansas, Texas Tech and West Virginia. They have had their way with the rest of the conference and already won on the road at Texas earlier this season. They are 12-0 at home against any team not named Kansas, Texas Tech or West Virginia. I also think we are seeing some unwarranted respect here for the Longhorns off a road win at Oklahoma. The Sooners are in a free-fall right now. Prior to that, Texas had lost 3 straight, including an ugly 16-point loss at TCU. Give me the Wildcats -3! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (North Carolina -4)

If this were earlier in the season I might consider taking the points with Syracuse, but not right now. It's getting down to it and teams are doing whatever it takes to build up their resume and make sure they are playing well going into tournament time. North Carolina comes in having won 5 straight and two of those were on the road against really good teams, as they knocked off NC State 96-89 and laid it on Louisville 93-76. I think this team is locked in right now and will make easy work of a good but not great Syracuse team. Keep in mind the Orange have lost 2 of their last 3 at home, including an ugly 15-point loss to Virginia. Give me the Tar Heels -4! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS NO BRAINER (Va Tech -4) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Hokies at home. This isn't just a play on Virginia Tech, but I also think it's a great spot to go against Clemson. The Tigers somehow didn't miss a beat after losing one of their best players in Donte Grantham and were likely due for a regression here soon. Then came the injury to guard Shelton Mitchell, who will still be out for this game because of a concussion. I just think it will be too much to overcome on the road against a very good Hokies team that is playing well and this feels like a game they need to win to secure a spot in the NCAA Tournament (final 3 games are Louisville, Duke and @ Miami). Give me Virginia Tech -4! 

40* NCAAB BIG MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Penn St -2.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Nittany Lions at basically a pick'em on their home floor tonight. Penn State has been very good at home this year, where they are 14-3 with a winning ATS record. This is a game they desperately need to win and we know we are going to get a big time effort here with this being their final home, which means senior night. Michigan is a quality team, but are not nearly as good on the road and could struggle to match Penn State's intensity after laying it all on the line in their last game at home against rival Ohio State, which was their senior night. Give me the Nittany Lions -2.5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE BLOWOUT (Texas Tech -3.5) 

I'm sure that some will be calling this a trap game for the Red Raiders with their big game against Kansas on deck, but the fact of the matter is this game means just as much to Texas Tech, as they try to win the Big 12. If they win here and beat KU at home, they would then be able to lose at West Virginia and still claim the crown. While they did just lose on the road at Baylor, the Bears came into that game playing their best basketball of the season. Prior to that the Red Raiders had won 3 straight on the road, including a 66-47 win over Kansas State. I just don't think Oklahoma State is good enough to pull off the upset and certainly aren't playing well, as they come in just 2-6 over their last 8 games. Give me Texas Tech -3.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (LSU -4.5) 

I just think the price here is too good to pass up on the Tigers laying a short number at home against the Commodores. LSU has been a pleasant surprise under first year head coach Will Wade, who has been every bit as good as advertised. While the Tigers are just 15-11 overall, they 11-4 on their home floor. They come in having won 4 straight at home in SEC play over the likes of Texas A&M, Arkansas, Ole Miss and most recently Missouri. Vanderbilt comes in having won their last two, which I think is getting them some respect here, but the Commodores are winless at 0-11 away from home this season and all but one of their 7 conference losses have come by more than the number listed here. Give me the Tigers -4.5! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE KNOCKOUT (Texas A&M -6.5) 

My money is on the Aggies to make easy work of the Bulldogs at home tonight. Texas A&M is going to be 100% locked in for this contest after dropping 2 straight on the road to Missouri and Arkansas. The Aggies return home, where they are 12-2 on the season, winning by an average of 13.2 ppg. A huge factor here that will get overlooked is the health of Mississippi State forward Aric Holman, who has really emerged this season. He's questionable after suffering a knee injury that forced him to leave early in their last game against Ole Miss. With just 2 days off from that game against the Rebels, I have a hard time seeing Holman play and even if he does he won't be 100%. That's a massive loss for the Bulldogs, as they don't have a ton of depth inside and this Aggies team can abuse you with their size. Give me Texas A&M -6.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Duke -1.5) 

You have to give Clemson credit for how well they have played after Donte Grantham tore his ACL and was lost for the season. However, I believe that success has them way overvalued here against Duke. That's because the Tigers will now also be without starting point guard Shelton Mitchell. Not only is Mitchell a big part of the scoring, but he's also the guy that runs the show and has been playing over 30 mins a game. Even with Duke expected to be without Marvin Bagley III, I don't see the Tigers being able to hang with the Blue Devils here. Give me Duke -1.5! 

50* NCAAB SEC GAME OF THE MONTH (Kentucky -4.5) 

My money is on the Wildcats snapping out of their funk at home against the Crimson Tide. Kentucky has dropped 4 straight, so we know they are going to be 100% locked in here. Three of those 4 losses came on the road, with the lone loss at home by just two points to Tennessee. Kentucky has owned this series of late, as they are 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS in the last 5. This is a statement game for the Wildcats and I expect them to deliver the goods. Give me Kentucky -4.5! 

40* NCAAB VEGAS LINE MISTAKE (Iowa +1.5)

I think the wrong team is favored here. Sure it's been an ugly season for the Hawkeyes, but they do have a respectable 8-5 mark at home and have been strong against the bottom-tier teams in the Big Ten on their home floor. Indiana is a mere 3-7 SU on the road this season and are simply getting way too much respect here after winning 3 straight over the likes of Illinois, Minnesota and Rutgers (only road win). Indians is a mere 5-15 ATS in their last 20 road games off a home win and 0-6 ATS in this scenario when the win was by 10 or more points. Give me the Hawkeyes +1.5! 

40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD ATS ANNIHILATOR (Oklahoma -6.5)

I'll take my chances here with the Sooners at home against the Longhorns. This feels like a must-win game for Oklahoma, who comes in having lost 4 straight. Three of those losses came on the road and the Sooners come in at 11-1 on their home floor. I know Texas beat them at Texas earlier this season, but Oklahoma is simply a different team at home and they appear to be catching the Longhorns at the right time, as Texas has lost 3 straight. Longhorns have also dropped 5 straight on the road in Big 12 play. Take Oklahoma! 

50* HORIZON LEAGUE GAME OF THE MONTH (Ill-Chicago -2.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Flames laying less than 3-points on the road against the Phoenix. Illinois-Chicago is sitting 3rd in the Horizon at 10-4, while Green Bay is near the bottom of the league at 5-10. The Flame are 10-2 in their last 12, but are fresh off a loss at home to lowly Cleveland State. I think that loss will serve them well here, as we should get a max effort here after a lackluster performance. Note that winning on the road hasn't been a problem for Chicago. In fact, both losses during their 10-2 stretch have come at home. They are a perfect 6-0 on the road during this stretch. One of the reasons I think we aren't seeing a bigger spread here is due to the Phoenix having gone 4-1 ATS in their last 5 with the most recent being a mere 6-point loss as a 16.5-point dog at Northern Kentucky. Green Bay is just 1-10 ATS in their last 11 home games on Friday night and are 0-7 ATS when they come in having covered 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. Give me the Flames -2.5! 

40* NCAAB BIG MONEY ATS SLAUGHTER (USC -4.5)

I'll take my chances here with the Trojans covering this short number at home against the Ducks. While these two teams come in with similar overall and conference records, I've been a lot more impressed with what I have seen from USC. Oregon is simply getting too much respect here after going 5-1 in their last 6 games, but a closer look shows that 4 of the 5 wins came at home and the lone road win was against Pac-12 bottom feeder Cal. USC is 10-3 at home and will be 100% locked in for this one after dropping their last 3, all on the road against top tier teams in UCLA, Arizona State and Arizona. Give me the Trojans -4.5! 

50* NCAAB AAC GAME OF THE MONTH (Connecticut -3.5) 

My money is on the Huskies to take care of the Golden Hurricane at home tonight. There's no denying that the UConn program is down, but these are two evenly matched teams in my opinion and there's a decent edge here with the Huskies given the home/away splits. UConn is a respectable 10-3 at home with the losses coming against the likes of Wichita St, Villanova and Cincinnati, three of the best teams in the country. Tulsa is a mere 4-8 on the road compared to 10-2 at home. Hurricane are also just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 road games after failing to cover in their last game, while UConn is 12-1 ATS when raving a loss where they allowed 85 or more points and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games when they come in having failed to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. Give me the Huskies -3.5! 

40* NBA VEGAS LINE MISTAKE (Bulls +6.5)

I like this spot with Chicago as a decently priced home dog to the Raptors. Toronto has won 6 straight and are 11-3 in their last 14. I think this team has a hard time showing up focused and ready to play on the road against a bad Bulls team with the All-Star break on deck. Chicago on the other hand is a young team that is playing hard. I think the opportunity to upset a good team at home is more than enough motivation for this team to show up here. 

Chicago's not the same team after trading away Mirotic, but they are expected to get back starting point guard Kris Dunn, who was really playing well before he got hurt. I think having him on the floor and the way this team can shoot from outside will be more than enough to get the cover and potentially outright win. Give me the Bulls +6.5! 

40* NBA PUBLIC ATS KNOCKOUT (Nets +4)

One of the things you have to try and gauge right now is what teams are going to be excited to play and which ones are looking ahead to the long lay-off that comes with the All-Star break. The Pacers are a team I think could struggle to find motivation for this game, as the Nets aren't exactly a team to get up for.

Brooklyn has lost 6 straight and are 1-10 in their last 11. With that said, I think the Nets will show up here at home to try and get something positive going into the break. The fact that Indiana is only a 4-point favorite here given how bad Brooklyn has been, tells me the books like the Nets chances of covering here, as the public will be all over the Pacers. Give me the Nets +4!

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE BLOWOUT (Pistons -8) 

My money is on the Pistons cruising to a blowout win at home over the Hawks. Detroit has followed up their 5-game winning streak after acquiring Griffin with 3 straight losses. I think there's going to be a sense of urgency in this game for the Pistons, as I feel they are going to want something positive to build on going in the All-Star break. 

Atlanta is one of the worst teams in the NBA and I think they have a hard time mentally showing up for this game. The Hawks actually beat these Pistons at home on Sunday. I believe that's a negative as there's no real motivation to be this team again. Not to mention Atlanta is also playing in the second game of a back-to-back road set, which I think increases the likelihood that they don't show up. Keep in mind that even if Atlanta comes to play, there's still a good chance the Pistons overwhelm them and cover this spread. Give me Detroit -8! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Florida St -4) 

Clemson comes in ranked No. 11 and FSU isn't even in the Top 25, yet it's Florida State that is favored by 4 at home. That right there is a great indicator that the books like the Seminoles in this spot, as the public is pounding Clemson. I couldn't agree more. FSU might not be ranked right now, but they are certainly a Top 25 caliber team. 

I think we get a big time effort here from the Seminoles at home, as they aren't going to take kindly to being an underdog to this team. Especially given that Clemson recently loss one of their best players in Donte Grantham. They are 4-1 without him, but 3 of those were against bottom feeders in Georgia Tech, Wake Forest and Pitt. They also lost by 25 at Virginia. The one impressive win they had was over UNC, but it was at home. FSU is 10-2 on their home floor and I believe are the better team and should be favored. Give me the Seminoles -4! 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS MASSACRE (Vanderbilt +1) 

I'll take my chances here with the Commodores pulling out a win at home against the Bulldogs. The fact that this line is even close to a pick'em says it all. Mississippi State is 18-7, 6-6 in the SEC and are 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games. Vanderbilt on the other hand is just 9-16 overall, 3-9 in the SEC and fresh off a 18-point blowout loss at Arkansas. That alone will have most people backing the Bulldogs here. 

What they will overlook is how much Vanderbilt is at home. In fact, all 9 of the Commodores wins have come at home, as they are a horrific 0-11 away from home. They have won three straight at home over the likes of LSU, TCU and Georgia. Mississippi State is just 2-6 on the road this season. The offense has struggled to show up away from home, as they average just 65.6 ppg on the road, well below their season average of 74.4. Vanderbilt's offense greatly improves at home, where they average 78.3 ppg and are shooting 47% from the field. Give me the Commodores +1! 

40* NCAAB BIG MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Alabama -7) 

I'll take my chances here with the Crimson Tide making easy work of LSU. Alabama will be playing with a ton of confidence after their dismantling of Tennessee at home on Saturday (won 78-50). The key here is they can't afford a let down here against the Tigers if they want to make the NCAA Tournament (currently projected around a 7 seed). Alabama hasn't had many lapses at home, where they are 11-2 on the season. I believe that home court edge will prove to be the difference against a LSU team that has really struggled on the road. The Tigers have lost each of their last 4 conference road games, with the last 3 all coming by 9 or more points. LSU averages a respectable 78.2 ppg on the season, but only 69.5 ppg on the road. The defense also gets worse, as they give up 77.3 ppg away from home, compared to 73.2 ppg on the season. Alabama only allows 65.7 ppg and is holding opponents to just 39% from the field at home. Give me the Crimson Tide -7! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE DESTROYER (Cavs +2.5)

I was dead wrong with the Cavs in their last game at Boston. I thought it was going to take some time for this team to gel, but that's no longer the case. Cleveland's offense absolutely shredded the best defensive team in the league. It was the Cavs who looked like the elite defensive team, as they held the Celtics to just 40.4% from the field on their home floor. I think this team is one of the few teams excited to play going into the break. OKC on the other hand is just 2-5 in their last 7 games and have a major target on their back from the 148 points they put up on the Cavs in Cleveland back in late January. LeBron will this team ready to go and out to make another statement tonight. Give me the Cavs +2.5! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Texas Tech -7) 

The betting public has fallen in love with Oklahoma because of all the nationally publicity this team gets with star fresh Trae Young and the ridiculous numbers he's been putting up. It's had the Sooners overvalued for quite some time (0-5 ATS L5 and 1-8 ATS L9). This might seem like a favorable number to catch Oklahoma, as a near double-digit dog, but I think Young and company are in for a long night. The Red Raiders are the real deal. However, while they are ranked No. 7 in the country, they don't get the publicity of other top teams. They just won by 19 at Kansas State, which was their straight victory by 12 or more. They aren't going to be overlooking Oklahoma, as they lost to the Sooners by 10 in Norman back in early January. Look for Texas Tech's defense to be the difference in this one. Give me the Red Raiders -7! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Pistons -2) 

I'll take my chances here with Detroit bouncing back at home against the Pelicans on Monday. The Pistons might have got a little too confident with how well things were going after landing Griffin in a trade. That's no longer the case after dropping a game at Atlanta, who is hands down one of the worst teams in the league. I believe that loss will light a fire under this team and have them looking to get back on track before the All-Star break. The other thing is I think this Pelicans team is getting too much respect after the loss of Cousins, especially on the road. A road win over a struggling Brooklyn team that isn't playing any defense doesn't change anything for me. Give me the Pistons -2! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Celtics -4.5) 

I think you have to roll the dice here with Boston laying less than 5-points at home against the Cavs. I just don't see Cleveland being in sync enough to compete with a team like the Celtics on the road. I know the Cavs won their first game after making all those moves at the trade deadline, but it wasn't against the Hawks and none of their new additions played. George Hill, Rodney Hood, Jordan Clarkson and Larry Nance Jr. are all expected to make their debuts. The problem is these guys have been with the team for just a few days. The Cavs aren't going to be able to run many set plays with all the new pieces, plus it's going to take some time for these guys to learn how to play with each other. That puts them behind the 8-ball here against an elite Boston defense. It's not just the offense that will be hurt by the new pieces, you aren't going to have the chemistry or communication on the defensive side of the ball. Give me the Celtics -4.5! 

40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS MASSACRE (Wizards -6)

I'll take my chances here with Washington having their way with the Bulls. The Wizards have been playing extremely well without their All-Star point guard in John Wall. They have lost their last two games, but one was a road game against a Philly team that's playing as well as anyone on their home court and the other against the Celtics at home, who were out for revenge from a Christmas Day loss. I think we see Washington get back on track here against a Bulls team that is poised for a long second half of the season. I also think this is a tough spot for Chicago, who really invested a lot into last night's game against the Timberwolves, as it was the big return home for former Bulls Jimmy Butler and Taj Gibson. They already traded away a big part of their offensive in Mirotic and now will rest LaVine in the second game of a back-to-back and Kris Dunn is still out with a concussion. Give me the Wizards -6! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Michigan State -3) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Spartans as a slim 3-point home favorite against Purdue. Michigan State has won 7 straight, but aren't getting a ton of love during this run, as they have gone just 2-4-1 ATS during this stretch. I think a big reason for the Spartans not being as dominant as most would expect, is all the off-court drama they had to deal with during the Nassar deal. That's no longer on the front page of the news and I expect Izzo to have Michigan State locked in for this one. I also think they are catching Purdue in a good spot. The Boilermakers just played a huge game at home against Ohio State on Wednesday and lost in heartbreaking fashion 63-64. Those close losses are tough to bounce back from, especially on the road. Give me the Spartans -3!  

40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD ATS SLAUGHTER (Maryland -4.5)

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Terrapins laying a short number at home against Northwestern. Maryland has is just 1-4 in their last 5, but 3 of those came on the road, where they are a mere 3-8 on the season. The lone loss at home during this run was to one of the best teams in the country in Michigan State. Even with that loss the Terps are 13-2 at home, winning by an average of 16 ppg. Northwestern has won 4 of 5, but I think that's helping this number. The Wildcats are just 4-7 on the road, where they are getting outscored by 8 ppg. Maryland is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs a team with a losing road record and 11-3 in their last 14 home games off a loss by 6 points or less. Give me the Terrapins -4.5! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS KNOCKOUT (Jazz -5.5)

I'll take my chances here with Utah in what I think is horrible spot for the Hornets. Charlotte just played an overtime game last night in Portland, where they used all the energy they had in rallying from 17 down in the 4th quarter to force overtime. Not only are they on no rest after logging some heavy minutes, but Utah is already one of the more difficult places to play for opposing teams because of the high altitude. On top of all that, Utah is on a roll right now. The Jazz have gone 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games and had scored 120 or more in 4 straight before grinding out a win against the Grizzlies last time out. Charlotte has allowed 105 or more in 6 straight games and  have allowed their opponents to shoot 50% or better from the field in 5 of those 6 games. Give me the Jazz -5.5! 

50* NBA EASTERN CONF GAME OF THE MONTH (76ers -4.5) 

I'll gladly back the 76ers at home here against the Pelicans. Philadelphia comes in off a 115-102 win at home over a Wizards team that has been playing extremely well and I think we are seeing a boost in effort here from the 76ers after watching the Eagles win the Super Bowl. The other big key here is just how well Philadelphia has been playing at home, where they have won 7 straight with all 7 of those wins coming by at least 6 points. I think we could see a much bigger margin of victory here, as the Pelicans are just 1-4 since losing Cousins to injury. The only win came at OKC, where they caught the Thunder were playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back road set after a game in Denver the night before. It was also their 5th game in 7 nights. They simply had nothing left in the tank. That won't be the case here with the 76ers having had the last two days off and note that the other 4 games they lost, they lost all 4 by 9 or more points. Give me the 76ers -4.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Blazers -3.5) 

Few teams have been playing as well as Portland has at home since the start of the new year. The Blazers are a perfect 7-0 at home since the calendar turned to 2018. They have an offensive efficiency rating of 117.5 during this stretch, which is the best mark on a home floor of any team. That offense figures to be in store for another big game here against the Hornets, who have seemingly forgot how to play defense. Charlotte has allowed 114.4 ppg in their last 5 games and all 5 opponents during this stretch have shot 51% or better from the floor. Another key factor here is we can bank on a big effort from the Blazers after losing 3 straight. All of which were on the road. The first two were at Toronto and Boston and the last against at Detroit, which is playing their best basketball since acquiring Blake Griffin in a trade. Give me the Blazers -3.5! 

50* ATLANTIC 10 GAME OF THE MONTH (Duquesne +8)

I love the price we are getting here with the Dukes as a near double-digit dog against the Flyers on Wednesday. Duquesne comes in at 15-9 and are 6-5 in A-10 play, while Dayton is just 10-12 and 4-6 in conference action. These two teams played once earlier this season on the Dukes' home floor and they won 70-62 as 3.5-point home dog. The books were way off with that line and I don't think they have come close to making the proper adjustments here. Offensively both of these teams come in right around 73 ppg, but it's a whole different story on the defensive side. Duquesne is only giving up 67.3 ppg, which is the 59th best mark in the country. Dayton is allowing 72.9 ppg, which is 201st. Note the defense hasn't been a whole lot better at home like it is for a lot of teams, as they give up 72.4 ppg at home. I actually think there's a decent chance the Flyers lose this game outright. Note they are just 1-4 in their last 5 games with the only win a 1-point victory at home over Davidson. Give me the Dukes +8! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Bucks -1.5) 

Milwaukee is now 6-1 in the 7 games since firing Jason Kidd and have won each of their first two games since Jabari Parker joined the rotation for the first time this year. The Knicks on the other hand have lost 3 straight and are just 5-13 in their last 18 games. Last time out they lost at home to the Hawks off all teams, which I really think says a lot about how this team is playing right now. I know these two teams just played in Milwaukee and the Bucks squeaked out a 92-90 win, but I think the fact New York was competitive is creating value with this line. Note that in that last game against the Knicks the Bucks were playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back. New York is also just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games, while Milwaukee is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Give me the Bucks -1.5! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Hawks -3) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Atlanta laying a short number at home against the Grizzlies. The big thing here is Memphis is holding out one of their best players in Tyreke Evans due to the team trying to trade him before the deadline. Evans has been the Grizzlies biggest playmaker offensively this year, as he leads the team in scoring (19.5 ppg) and assists (5.0 ppg). He's also been their biggest 3-point threat. He's sat the last 3 games and Memphis has lost all 3 and are averaging just 96.3 ppg. I know the Hawks are a bad team, but they gained some confidence with a late rally and 99-96 win at New York last time out. Atlanta has also won 6 straight at home against Western Conference teams and are facing a Grizzlies side that is a mere 5-19 on the road, with just 3 wins in their last 18 road games against a team from the east. Give me the Hawks -3! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Raptors -4.5) 

I think we are getting the right price to back Toronto at home against the Celtics tonight. Boston not only has the best record in the Eastern Conference, but they are also 32-18 ATS this season. They have also been winning and covering without some of their best players. I think all of that has them way overvalued here on the road against the Raptors, who will be out to make a statement. Toronto is just 2-games back of Boston in the east. They have had one of the biggest home court advantages in the league this season. The Raptors are 21-4 at home, where they are outscoring teams by more than 11 ppg. I think a big key here is that Toronto is the much more efficient offensive team and can match the intensity that Boston brings on the defensive side of the ball. Give me the Raptors -4.5! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Pistons -2.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Detroit as a slim home favorite against the Blazers on Monday. The trade for Blake Griffin has really lit a fire under this Pistons team, which has won all 3 games since acquiring him. I think they have a great shot here at home to keep it going, as they are catching the Blazers at the perfect time. Portland just played yesterday at Boston and suffered a crushing 96-97 loss with the Celtics winning at the buzzer. Now they are playing on no rest in what will be their 3rd road game in the last 4 days and 5th game in the last 7 overall. Give me the Pistons -2.5! 

40* NBA VEGAS LINE MISTAKE (Pacers -1.5) 

Indiana has won 6 straight and are 8-1 in their last 9 home games overall. That makes them an easy play here for me as a slim 1.5-point home favorite Monday against the Wizards. Washington has surprised a lot of people by going 4-0 SU and 4-0 ATS in the 4 games since losing John Wall to injury, but I think it has them way overvalued here on the road. Washington is just 18-32 ATS in their last 50 off a road win and are a mere 5-14 ATS in their last 19 when they come in having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. Give me the Pacers -1.5! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Louisville -7) 

My money is on the Cardinals to not just win at home Monday against Syracuse, but put a beating on the Orange. Louisville is going to be all business after losing a close one at home against Florida State on Saturday. That was the Cardinals first home loss in ACC play, as their previous 3 had been on the road against the likes of Clemson, Miami and Virginia. Louisville has won and covered all 3 meetings with the Orange over the last 3 seasons and are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games at home against Syracuse. The Orange come in off a 15-point home loss to Virginia and are just 4-6 in ACC play with their only road win at Pitt, who they have beat twice, which is the worst team in the league. I just don't think they will have enough gas in the tank here, as they used a mere 6-man rotation against Virginia (4 players played 35 or more minutes, 3 played all 40 minutes). Give me the Cardinals -7! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Tulane +2) 

I think this is an ideal spot to go against Temple. The Owls are in a massive letdown spot after their big come-from-behind overtime win at home against No. 16 Wichita State as a 7-point dog. I think it has the Owls overvalued here on the road, where they are just 6-6 on the season. Tulane clearly isn't perceived to be on the same level as Temple, but both of these teams have 4 wins in conference play and the big key here for me i the Green Wave are 9-3 at home this season. They have also won each of their last two games as home dogs, beating Houston 81-72 as a 7-point dog and SMU 73-70 as a 8.5-point dog. It's also important to note we know that Tulane matches up well with the Owls, as they went into Temple earlier this season and won 85-75 as a 10-point dog. Give me the Green Wave +2! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Blazers -1)

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Blazers to pull out a road win over the Celtics on Sunday. This is a big bounce back spot for Portland, who suffered an embarrassing 25-point loss at Toronto on Friday. Prior to that the Blazers had won 4 straight and are 7-2 in their last 9 overall. Big key here is the Celtics are depleted due to injuries. Marcus Smart is still out with an injury and both Kyrie Irving and Marcus Morris will not suit up for this one. I just don't think Boston will have the offensive fire-power to pull out the win. Give me the Blazers -1! 

40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS SHOCKER (Heat +3.5) 

I think we are getting a good price here on the Heat as a dog against the Pistons. I think Detroit is getting a little too much love here. The Pistons were able to win their first game with Blake Griffin in the lineup, but it was a mere 2-point home win over Memphis, who isn't a very good team. I think it's going to take time for the Pistons to figure things out with Blake and I look for them to struggle here offensively against the Heat. Miami plays exceptional defense and are well-coached as any team in the league. I think we get a big effort here from them off back-to-back losses. Give me the Heat +3.5! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Pacers -1.5)

This is simply too good a price to pass up on the Pacers at home. Indiana has been playing like an elite team on their home floor here of late and I think they will be the more motivated side here. Pacers are off a loss at Charlotte on Friday, while the 76ers nearly let a huge lead slip away in a 6-point win at home over the Heat. I was on Philadelphia in that win and had Charlotte as a free pick over the Pacers, so neither of those results surprised me. I just think the 76ers are getting too much love here. Sure Embiid is playing for the first time on a back-to-back, but this is still a big letdown spot for Philadelphia and a big bounce back spot for Indiana, who is 31-17 ATS in their last 48 home games when revenging a road loss. Give me the Pacers -1.5! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Mississippi State -3) 

I'll gladly lay just 3-points at home with Mississippi State against Georgia. Mississippi State is a team that I think is flying under the radar right now. They followed up a 12-point win at home over Missouri with a 81-76 win at South Carolina as a 4.5-point dog. They are just 4-5 in SEC play, but 4 of the 5 losses have come on the road. Mississippi State is a dominant 14-1 at home this season, where they are winning by close to 15 ppg. Georgia is coming in off a big upset win over Florida, but I just think that was more of the Gators not showing up to play, as Georgia only shot 39.7% in the win. Georgia is also not a great road team, which makes this an easy play for me. Give me Mississippi State -3! 

40* NCAAB BOOKIE ATS BLOWOUT (Iowa +9) 

The price is right here to take a shot on the Hawkeyes as a near double-digit dog against the Nittany Lions. While Penn State beat Iowa in Iowa City earlier this season, that was a closely contested game that could have went either way. I think it's a good indicator that the Hawkeyes will be able to keep it competitive, despite their road woes in Big 10 play. Nittany Lions have failed to cover the spread each of the last 6 times they have been a favorite of 6.5 to 9 points and have lost on average by 6.4 ppg in these contests. Give me the Hawkeyes +9! 

50* NCAAB BIG EAST GAME OF THE MONTH (Marquette -5) 

I think this is the ideal spot to jump on the Golden Eagles. I think we are getting a good price here on Marquette with them coming in off back-to-back losses and the most recent being a 20-point home loss to Butler as a 2.5-point favorite. A lot of people had the Eagles in that game against Butler, but what they failed to factor in is how hard it is to bounce back from a heartbreaking loss like they had in their 82-85 defeat to Villanova. Marquette has also had problems against that Bulldogs team. The Golden Eagles are 15-5 in their last 20 and 9-1 in their last 10 at home against Providence. Tough spot here for the Friars playing their 3rd straight on the road. Last time out they lost big at Seton Hall and are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games off a conference loss by 10 or more points. Give me Marquette -5! 

40* NCAAB BIG MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Virginia Tech -4) 

I'll jump on the Hokies here as a small home favorite Saturday against Miami. Virginia Tech is coming into this game playing their best basketball of the season. It started with a 80-69 win at home over UNC as a 3.5-point dog. They then when on the road and won and covered against both Notre Dame and Boston College. I expect another huge effort here at home against the Hurricanes, as this would be a big win for the resume. More than anything I just don't feel this is a big enough number given the Hokies are 11-2 at home. Va Tech is also 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games after covering 3 straight and are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 after 2 straight games where they made 10 or more 3-point shots. Hurricanes are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs a team with a winning record and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 off a win. Give me the Hokies -4! 

50* NCAAB BIG 12 GAME OF THE MONTH (TCU -4) 

I'll gladly back the Horned Frogs at this price on their home floor against the Red Raiders. TCU is a team on a mission and simply are flying a bit under the radar right now due to their 3-5 record over their last 8 games. The thing is all 5 of those losses came by 5-points or less. and the only home loss they have suffered in Big 12 play was a 4-point defeat to Kansas. Texas Tech has won 3 straight and are off that thrilling win at home over Texas, but this is a team that has not been good on the road in Big 12 play and I think their road woes continue here against a TCU team that is 11-2 on their home floor this season. Give me the Horned Frogs -4! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE BLOWOUT (Thunder -5) 

The spot here for OKC isn't great, but I think the price is right here to back the Thunder at home. OKC got off to an awful start last night at Denver before nearly coming way back for a win. I think the way they finished that game is a positive they will carry over to their home floor, where they are 19-7 on the season. I also think playing at home will help with the lack of rest that OKC will be dealing with. The other big thing here is the Pelicans are in the midst of a major transition, as they try to adjust to the loss of DeMarcus Cousins. This team I think had hope it could figure something out with Cousins and be a factor in the postseason, but now they know this year is a lost cause. Adding Mirotic will help ease the loss, but he's not playing tonight and I think we see this team continue to struggle, especially on the road in a hostile environment. Give me the Thunder -5! 

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (76ers -4) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Philadelphia laying a short number at home against the Heat. I think we are getting value here due to the 76ers coming off a loss at Brooklyn as a 8-point favorite and have failed to cover 3 straight overall. Miami on the other hand is a team I think people are a little afraid to bet against, as they have been playing well. For me, I just think the 76ers have such a big home court edge and this isn't a great spot for the Heat, who are playing third straight on the road and fresh off that crushing 89-91 loss to the Cavs. I also think Simmons takes this game personal. Simmons wanted to be an All-Star and might not be all that happy about Miami's Goran Dragic being named to the team yesterday after the Kevin Love injury. Give me the 76ers -4! 

50* NBA NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH (Raptors -4) 

I think we are getting a great price here on Toronto at home against the Blazers. The Raptors have one of the best records on their home floor this season. They are also a team that for whatever reason doesn't get as much love as you typically see for a team that is 34-16 (4th best record in the league). I know they just lost at Washington last night and the Wizards didn't have Wall, but sometimes it's hard to get up for games when a team is missing a star player. Either way, that loss should have them locked in for tonight's game. Portland has won 4 straight and are 7-1 in their last 8, but I'm not a believer in this team and this latest run has been more of a result in a very favorable portion of their schedule. Give me the Raptors -4! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT TNT KNOCKOUT (Nuggets +1) 

I'll take a shot here with Denver as a home dog against the Thunder. OKC had won 8 straight games before going on the road and laying an egg in Tuesday's 96-102 loss to the Wizards, who were playing without John Wall. I think the Thunder have a tough time bouncing back off the long trip from D.C. to Denver. The Nuggets on the other hand are going to be excited to test their talents against one of the top teams in the league in front of a nationally audience. I think Denver not only wins this game, but does so rather convincingly. Give me the Nuggets +1! 

40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Wizards +3.5) 

I've liked what I have seen from Washington without John Wall. The defensive intensity has been turned up a notch and the ball isn't sticking on the offensive side of the ball. A lot of people forget that Wall has missed a bunch of games already this season, so it's not like the Wizards don't know how to play without him. In fact, each of the two previous meetings this season against the Raptors were without Wall. Washington played well in both, winning the first meeting 107-96 at Toronto and losing by just 9 in the other meeting at Toronto. Raptors were only around a 7-point home favorite in those two games and based on those lines this game in Washington should be closer to a pick'em. Give me the Wizards +3.5! 

50* AMERICAN ATHLETIC GAME OF THE MONTH (Temple +7) 

I'll gladly take the points here with the Owls at home against nationally ranked Wichita State. The Shockers come in off a pair of wins at home, but prior to that they lost at home to SMU and on the road at Houston by 14 points. Wichita St has a target on their back in the first season in the AAC and I expect Temple to lay it all on the line here against the Shockers at home. Temple won 3 of their last 4 with the only loss being a road defeat to Cincinnati, which is nothing to be ashamed about. This is also a team that went on the road and beat SMU and nearly upset the Bearcats on their home floor. This team has also gone 21-9 ATS under Dunphy when matched up with high-scoring teams that average 77+ points/game at least 15 games into the season. They are also 4-1 AATS in their last 5 at home vs a team with a winning road record, while the Shockers are just 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 vs a team that's won 60% or more of their home games. Give me the Owls +7! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Blazers -7) 

I think this is a great spot to go against the Bulls. Chicago has been playing like a team that could compete for a playoff spot in the east since Nikola Mirotic returned from the injury suffered in the preseason fight with Bobby Portis. While it was nice to see, the Bulls don't exactly want to win now and Mirotic has been rumored in trades left and right the past couple of days. He's on the injury report as questionable with leg injury. They say he's available, but I just don't think they want him to play, as Zipser has already been named the starter for rookie Lauri Markkanen, who is out for personal reasons. They also still don't have starting point guard Kris Dunn. I think the news of Mirotic basically out the door takes away some of the fight of this Bulls team. Portland has been playing well and I think they lay it on Chicago at home. Give me the Blazers -7! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBUT ATS KNOCKOUT (Alabama -5.5) 

I think the price is right here to roll the Crimson Tide. Alabama is playing as well as they have all season. The Crimson Tide have won 5 of 6, which includes a 7-point win over Trae Young and the Sooners last time out. They also have a win over Auburn during this run, the only team to beat the Tigers in SEC play. Missouri on the other hand has lost 3 straight and are 1-4 in their last 5. The Tigers have not been nearly as good on the road as they have at home and Alabama has big time home court edge. They are 10-1 at home, behind an offensive attack that averages 77.5 ppg and shoots 51% from the field. Give me the Crimson Tide -5.5! 

40* NBA BOOKIE ATS MASSACRE (Knicks +8.5) 

I like New York to cover the spread here prior to the news that Irving wouldn't play. I like it just as much without him (even at the new line). Boston is in a really tough spot here coming off a long road trip and grueling game to conclude the trip at Denver. I think it's smart the Celtics choose to rest Irving in a game they likely weren't going to play well in given the circumstances. The Knicks should still show up here and without Irving I think New York has an excellent shot at winning this game outright. Give me the Knicks +8.5! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Georgia Tech +1) 

I think Syracuse is getting way too much respect here as a road favorite against the Yellow Jackets. The Orange have won 3 straight, but two of those are against the worst team in the league in Pitt and the other was a home game against BC. Prior to this run Syracuse had lost 4 straight. With a massive home game against Virginia looming on deck, I think we see the Orange struggle to match the intensity of Georgia Tech, who I don't think will take too kindly to being an underdog at home. Give me the Yellow Jackets +1! 

40* NCAAB VEGAS LINE MISTAKE (Penn St +13.5) 

I'll take a shot here with the Nittany Lions as a double-digit dog against Michigan State. There's no questioning the talent with the Spartans. I just think all the outside drama going on at the program isn't the easiest thing to play around. This line isn't just requiring them to beat the Nittany Lions, but blow them out. This is a talented Penn State team that's playing well and will give everything they got against a team like Michigan State. Give me the Nittany Lions +13.5! 

40* NCAAB BOOKIE ATS DESTROYER (Texas A&M -5.5) 

I think we are getting a great price here to back the Aggies at home in what feels like a must-win game. We also are seeing value here because of the fact that Texas A&M is just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games. Injuries and suspensions got this team off track, but they are near full strength right now and have been playing much better. They are also still a strong 9-2 at home and are taking on an Arkansas team that is 4-5 on the road this season and just 1-3 away from home in SEC play. Give me the Aggies -5.5! 

50* NBA VEGAS  SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Raptors -6) 

I just think the price is right here to back Toronto at home against Minnesota tonight. The Timberwolves aren't playing well at the moment. They are just 3-5 SU in their last 8 games and a big reason for their struggles is the schedule makers weren't kind to Minnesota. While they haven't played more than 3 straight on the road, they also haven't played more than 1 game in a row at home since a 5 game home straight that ended way back on 1/14. This team has basically traveled from one spot to another for each of their last 9 games. Toronto has been flying under the radar and are a very tough team to beat on their home floor. I think the Raptors show up and make a statement here. Give me Toronto -6! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS ANNIHILATOR (TCU PK) 

These two teams both come in at 3-5 in Big 12 play, but I don't see these two as even teams on the court. I give the edge here to TCU, whose 5 conference losses have all come back by 5 or fewer points. The Cowboys simply aren't on the same level as the Horned Frogs and we are at the points now where TCU can't afford to lose. Oklahoma State also banged up right now and have a big looked ahead game on deck at Kansas. My money is on the Horned Frogs to find away to win one of these close games. Give me TCU! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Ohio St -10) 

The Buckeyes perfect 9-0 start to Big Ten play came to end in a 79-82 loss at home to Penn State as a 10-point favorite. Ohio State lost the game despite shooting 56% from the field, because of a horrible defensive effort, where they allowed the Nittany Lions to shoot 58% on the road. I think that loss will turn into a positive for this Buckeyes team and will at least have them locked in for this game against Indiana. 

I just don't think the Hoosiers can hang here. They are coming off a crushing home loss to rival Purdue, where they had a chance to win that game and have struggled to play well on the road inside conference play. Hoosiers also suffered another injury inside, losing forward Collin Hartman, which only makes the loss of De'Ron Davis that much bigger. Give me the Buckeyes -10! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS KNOCKOUT (Nuggets -1) 

I think it's worth a shot here to back Denver. The public is simply going to look at this matchup and see that Boston is 35-15 and one of the best teams in the league, while Denver is barely over .500 at 26-23 and jump all over the Celtics at basically a pick'em. Note the public just got a great taste of this Boston team in Saturday's prime-time game against the Warriors, where they covered and almost won outright as 11-point dogs. The public will just assume that same Celtics team is going to take the floor two days later in Denver, but that's just not the case. There's a better chance Boston struggles to find a way to get up for this game. It won't help that they are short-handed without a key reserve in Marcus Smart and potentially another reserve in Terry Rozier, who is questionable with an ankle injury. Give me the Nuggets -1! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Pacers -3) 

This is simply too good a price to pass up on the Pacers at home against a mediocre opponent like the Hornets. Indiana fell way-behind and didn't cover in a 2-point win at home against the Magic in their last game. I think that is keeping this number much lower than it needs to be. It wasn't that big of a surprise to see the Pacers not play well against Orlando. The Magic are an awful team, so there's little to get excited about playing and they were coming off a huge game at Cleveland the night before. I expect a locked in Pacers side tonight, while the Hornets could be the ones struggling to get going. Charlotte is playing for the 3rd time in 4 days and fresh off a crushing 91-95 loss to division rival Miami. They are also mere 6-14 away from home on the season. Give me the Pacers -3! 

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Lakers +10) 

I'll take my chances here with the Lakers as a double-digit dog against the Raptors on Sunday. LA is playing some of their best basketball of the season right now. They have won 4 straight and are 8-2 in their last 10. However, they are just 19-29 overall and Toronto comes in at 32-15 and are perceived to have a huge home court advantage. The thing is the Raptors aren't playing well right now and it's not uncommon for teams to go into a funk before the All-Star break. Toronto is just 4-5 in their last 9 and have gone just 1-5 ATS in their last 6. Given how these two teams are playing, I wouldn't be shocked if the Lakers won this game outright. Give me LA +10! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE KNOCKOUT (Georgia Tech +2.5) 

I think we are getting a great price here with Georgia Tech catching points at home against Clemson. The Yellow Jackets come in having lost 3 straight, but that's more of a result of their schedule taking a brutal turn for the worst. First they had to host Virginia, who might be the best team in the ACC and then had to play back-to-back road games at UNC and Florida St. Prior to that this team had turned a corner and I think we see a big time effort at home today. As for Clemson, they are struggling a bit right now. They have lost 3 of 5 and are just 2-4-1 ATS in their last 7. I think the wrong team is favored in this one. Give me the Yellow Jackets +2.5! 

40* NBA VEGAS LINE MISTAKE (Bucks -2)

I think Chicago is starting to feel the loss of starting point guard Kris Dunn, who had really turned a corner this season. He's still out with a concussion and the offense has sputtered without him here of late. However, I think the line here is reflecting how good the Bulls have been of late and the fact that while Milwaukee is off a win, they are just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games. I just think the coaching change was a blessing for this team and they played one of their better games of the season last time out against the Nets, shooting 52% from the field and going 12 of 23 from long-distance. Antetokounmpo looked refreshed after the long layoff, scoring 41 points with 13 rebounds and 7 assists. I think he keeps it going and the Bucks aren't going to overlook this game having already lost twice at home to the Bulls. Give me Milwaukee -2! 

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Wake Forest +9) 

I like this spot for the Demon Deacons, as they are getting a big number against a Louisville team that is coming off a crushing loss at Miami in their last game. The Cardinals led most of the way, but couldn't finish the job in a 3-point loss. Those games you let get away that you should have won are the toughest to bounce back from, especially against a mediocre team like Wake Forest and a massive game looming on deck at Virginia. Give me the Demon Deacons +9! 

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS BLOWOUT (Hawks +5.5) 

Atlanta burned me last night. The Hawks led 110-109 with less than 3 minutes to play and were getting 7. They proceeded to allow the Hornets to close the game on a 13-0 run to win by 11. As bad as that was to stomach, I'm going to fire right back with them on Saturday at home against the Wizards. Washington isn't playing well at all right now and have a major problem of playing down to their competition. Wizards are just 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games vs a team with a losing record and 5-21-1 ATS in their last 27 road games vs a team with a losing home record. Give me the Hawks +5.5! 

40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SHOCKER (Pistons +4) 

This line makes no sense. Oklahoma City has won 6 straight and covered 3 of their last 4, while Detroit has lost 6 straight and are 1-5 ATS during this stretch. The public won't be able to get to the ticket window fast enough to pound the Thunder. I'm going to side with the books here, who clearly see an edge for the Pistons in this one, or they would have set this line a lot higher given the state of these two teams. OKC is just 5-14 ATS vs the eastern conference this season and 2-11 ATS in their last 13 road games after 4 or more wins. Detroit is also 13-3 ATS in their last 16 when listed as a dog of 3.5 to 9 points. Give me the Pistons +4! 

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Rutgers +8.5) 

This Rutgers team is a lot better than they get credit for and I think they are going to give the Nittany Lions all they can handle this afternoon. Penn State is in a major letdown spot here after their 82-79 win at Ohio State as a 10-point dog, where they won the game on a last second shot at the buzzer. Prior to that win and cover the Nittany Lions had been way overvalued, as they failed to cover each of their previous 4 games and were just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 lined games. Penn State is also 0-6 ATS over the last 3 seasons when listed as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points, while Rutgers is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 after failing to cover their last game. Give me the Scarlet Knights +8.5! 

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Alabama +2.5) 

*Analysis Coming* 

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS MASSACRE (Georgia +7.5) 

I think the price is right here to back the Bulldogs. Kansas State comes in riding high on a 3-game winning streak, which includes wins over Oklahoma, TCU and Baylor. They have also covered 5 straight. Georgia on the other hand is just 1-4 in their last 5. I believe all of that is playing into this inflated line here. I think the Bulldogs are going to be the more desperate team here, as they really need to win this game, while K-State is likely looking ahead to their home game against Kansas on Monday, where they have serious revenge from a 1-point loss at Kansas a few weeks back. Give me Georgia +7.5! 

40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD ATS NO BRAINER (Baylor +6.5) 

I think we are getting a big enough number here to take a shot on the Bears. Baylor is simply undervalued right now after going just 2-6 in their last 8 games. While a loss is a loss, 3 of those defeats were by 3-points or less and only 1 was by more than 10 points. Florida is a good team, but did just lose at home to a very mediocre South Carolina squad 72-77 as a 10.5-point favorite. Baylor is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games and are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Give me the Bears +6.5! 

50* NBA BOOKIE KNOCKOUT GAME OF THE MONTH (Bulls -4) 

I've made a ton of money on the Bulls during their 15-10 run over their last 25 games and I think we are getting them at a great price at home tonight against the Lakers. Chicago comes in off an ugly showing on the road against the 76ers Wednesday. You could see that bad outing coming, as they had just played a grueling double-overtime game two days earlier at New Orleans and were sick about the loss after playing a 15+ point lead in the final 5 minutes. I think we see a completely different team take the floor tonight and we are getting value on the line because LA comes in having won 7 of 9, but that's a bit of fools gold with all but one of those wins coming at home. Lakers aren't nearly as good on the road and I think they struggle to keep this competitive. Give me the Bulls -4! 

40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Nets +6.5) 

Brooklyn has been playing extremely well here of late and I think we are getting a great price to back them against the Bucks. Milwaukee just recently fired head coach Jason Kidd, which didn't sit well with the "Greek Freak" and I just question the direction of this team right now. They squeaked out a win at home against the Suns last time out, but failed to cover for their 7th time in their last 8 games. Brooklyn on the other hand has covered 3 straight and are 11-2-1 ATS in their last 14 games. Key here is because they aren't considered to a good team and the public doesn't trust them, especially on the road, we continue to see them undervalued. Nets are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 vs the east, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 on the road and 21-8 ATS in their last 29 vs a team with a winning record. Give me Brooklyn +6.5! 

40* NBA PUBLIC ATS ANNIHILATOR (Hawks +7) 

The Hawks have been playing much better here of late and I think we are getting a great price to back them against the Hornets. I haven't been impressed with Charlotte this season and they hav been overvalued often here of late. Hornets have failed to cover 3 straight. Atlanta did lose 93-108 at home to the Raptors last time out, but Toronto is one of the best teams in the league. That loss is actually a positive, as the Hawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 off a SU loss, 25-10 ATS in their last 35 off a double-digit loss at home and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 off a game where they failed to cover the spread. Hornets are just 8-19-1 ATS in their last 28 vs a team that's won less than 40% of their games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 at home. Give me the Hawks +7! 

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Michigan +10) 

I'll take my chances here with the Wolverines as a double-digit dog against the Boilermakers. I just think we are seeing Purdue a little overpriced here due to their long winning streak and high national ranking. I know winning on the road in the Big Ten is no easy task, but we have seen this Wolverine team go on the road and knock off Michigan State by 10-points as a 9.5-point dog. They also have shown they can hang with this Boilermakers squad, losing by just 1-ponit at home to Purdue earlier this month. Coming off as easy as a win as they have had in Big Ten play at Iowa, I think the Boilermakers are on upset alert tonight. Give me the Wolverines +10!

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Connecticut +6) 

I'll take a shot here on the Huskies as a decently priced home dog against SMU. I know the Mustangs recently went on the road and beat Wichita State, but prior to that they were just 1-5 on the road. UConn is down this year, but are 8-2 at home and are going to be extremely motivated here after an ugly showing last time out at home against Villanova. SMU is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs a team that's just won 60% or more of their home games and 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 off a SU win. Give me the Huskies +6! 

40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS NO BRAINER (Blazers -2) 

Portland is worth a look here as a short home favorite against the Timberwolves. Minnesota has been playing well of late, but are expected to be without both Jimmy Butler and Jamal Crawford for this one. This is already a team that doesn't have a ton of depth and I just don't see the focus or energy being their without those two tonight, especially with tomorrow's big game against Golden State looming in the back of their minds. Portland has won 3 of 4 and 6 straight at home and will be out for revenge from a recent loss at Minnesota on 1/14. Give me the Blazers -2!