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Brandon Lee Basketball Sides Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
02-11-20 Blazers v. Pelicans -2.5 Top 117-138 Win 100 8 h 23 m Show

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Pelicans -2.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Pelicans as a slim 2.5-point home favorite against the Blazers. No way I'm passing up a play on New Orleans at home at this price, especially with Zion Williamson and Brandon Ingram both expected back after missing their last game. There's clearly a lot of hype around New Orleans with Zion now in the mix, but I don't think people truly understand just how good he is and it's why they are still showing such great value. 

Portland has been playing great, but this is a tough spot for the Blazers, who have been all over the place here of late. They were at LA to close out January, then returned home for a game against Utah before leaving to play at Denver. They then returned home for one game against the Spurs, flew to Utah and then back home for a game against Miami. Now they are in New Orleans in the first of a back-to-back before the All-Star break. Give me the Pelicans -2.5! 

02-11-20 North Carolina v. Wake Forest +2 57-74 Win 100 9 h 39 m Show

40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Wake Forest +2) 

I'll take my chances here with the Demon Deacons as a 2-point home dog against the Tar Heels. I just think this is the perfect spot to fade North Carolina. The Tar Heels laid everything they had into their last game at home against Duke, only to blow a big lead in regulation and the fail to finish the job in OT. I just see them having a hard time getting their mind right for a road game against Wake Forest. 

Demon Deacons are just 1-5 in their last 6 and 3-10 in ACC play, but have really showed some positive signs of life in the last few weeks. They just about pulled off a big upset at Syracuse on Saturday, prior to that they lost by 10 at Louisville, beat Clemson at home, lost by just 10 at NOtre Dame, fell in OT at home against Virginia and lost by 3 at Clemson. Give me the Demon Deacons +2! 

02-11-20 Rhode Island +10 v. Dayton 67-81 Loss -102 8 h 13 m Show

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Rhode Island +10) 

I'll take my chances here with the Rams as a double-digit road dog against Dayton. The Flyers are now 10-1 in A-10 play and working on a 12-game winning streak. While I'm not expecting them to lose at home to Rhode Island, I just can't pass up on the Rams getting 10-points in this one. 

Rhode Island is 10-1 in conference play and have won 10 straight overall. I just think this team will be the more motivated side in this game and we are simply seeing Dayton overvalued on the spread. Books have really caught up to the Flyers here of late, as Dayton has failed to cover each of their last 3 games. Rhode Island on the other hand has been flying under the radar, going 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games. Give me the Rams +10! 

02-11-20 Clippers v. 76ers +2 103-110 Win 100 7 h 8 m Show

40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS BLOODBATH (76ers +2) 

I'll take my chances here with the 76ers as a home dog against the Clippers. I just can't help myself here. Philadelphia is 24-2 on their home floor, as healthy as they have been in a while and are getting points against a Clippers team that is missing a huge piece to their team in Beverly and playing their 3rd road game in 4 days with a big game at Boston on deck. There's been plenty of talk of how the 76ers aren't what we thought they would be and I think they show up in a big way against a team a lot of people think will win it all. Give me Philadelphia +2! 

02-11-20 NC State v. Syracuse -4.5 79-74 Loss -115 8 h 8 m Show

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Syracuse -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Orange as a small 4.5-point home favorite against NC State. Syracuse failed to cover in their last game against Wake Forest, but did have a 16-point lead in that contest and just about everything that could go wrong did in the final minutes, aside from them finding a way to win. I think winning ugly can really add some confidence and this is a Syracuse team that has been playing well over the last few weeks. 

I just think this is too good a price to pass up with them at home. NC State is just 1-3 in their last 4 with the only win at Miami in their last game. For the most part the Wolfpack have struggled on the road and this figures to be a tough matchup. To beat the zone defense of the Orange you need to be able to shoot outside and NC State doesn't really shoot well from anywhere. They are 12th in the ACC in 2-point % and 10th in 3-point %. They also are not a good rebounding team and often lose out in the free throw battle. Give me the Orange -4.5! 

02-10-20 Wolves +9.5 v. Raptors 126-137 Loss -110 9 h 19 m Show

40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS SLAUGHTER (Wolves +9.5)

I'll take my chances here with the Minnesota as a 9.5-point dog at Toronto. The Timberwolves made a ton of big moves at the trade deadline and in their first game with some of their new pieces they snapped a 13-game losing streak with a 142-115 win at home against the Clippers. I think the new faces have really given life to this team and I see no reason not to expect a big effort here. As for the Raptors, they nearly let a big lead slip away in a 119-118 win at home over the Nets and I just think they are worth fading in these last two before the break. Toronto has dealt with so many injuries. They won't have Gasol or Powell and Lowry is questionable. I like the Wolves to hang around and worst case keep it close. Give me Minnesota +9.5! 

02-10-20 Hawks v. Magic -6 126-135 Win 100 9 h 19 m Show

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS MONEYMAKER  (Magic -6)

I'll take my chances here with the Magic as a 6-point home favorite against the Hawks. I had my eye on this game as soon as I saw Atlanta go to double-overtime yesterday against the Knicks. Hawks are not a deep team, plus are down a few guys because of the trades they made. They had 4 different players play 48 minutes or more against the Knicks. 

I don't see any way the Hawks have anything left in the tank to go into Orlando and make a game of this. We are talking about a team that is losing by more than 13 ppg on the road and while the Magic aren't a great team, they tend to play pretty well at home and have had their way of late with bad teams. Give me the Magic -6! 

02-09-20 Heat v. Blazers -3 109-115 Win 100 12 h 14 m Show

40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS NO-BRAINER (Blazers -3) 

I'll take my chances here with Portland covering the 3-point spread at home against the Heat. While the Blazers are off a tough loss at Utah on Friday, you have to be impressed with how well they played at Utah in the 2nd leg of a back-to-back. Lillard continued his ridiculous run with a 42-point effort and as long as he's playing like he is, this team is going to keep winning games. As for the Heat, they really struggle on the road. They just lost at Sacramento on Friday and will be without their best player in Jimmy Butler. Crowder and Iguodala are expected to play, but new faces often lead to lapses on defense and I just don't think Miami can win a shootout in this one. Give me Portland -3! 

02-09-20 Celtics v. Thunder -1 112-111 Loss -110 7 h 48 m Show

40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS KNOCKOUT (Thunder -1) 

I'll take my chances here with OKC as a mere 1-point home favorite against the Celtics. I just feel that Boston is getting a little too much love on the road in this one due to the fact that they have covered 8 of their last 10. Key here is the Celtics have to be running on fumes right now, playing their 4th game in 7 days. That's an even bigger factor given they are facing a rested Thunder team that have been home since last Saturday and are off a couple of easy wins at home against the Cavs and Pistons. OKC is also 17-10 SU at home this season. Give me the Thunder -1!

02-09-20 Evansville v. Bradley -12 58-69 Loss -110 6 h 35 m Show

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS MASSACRE (Bradley -12) 

I'll take my chances here with the Braves covering as a big 12-point home favorite against Evansville. I'm confident we are going to get a big time effort from Bradley in this one, as they will just lost back-to-back games on the road against two of the better teams in the MVC in UNI and Drake. Not only are they going to be locked in, but they have one of the best home court advantages in the country at Carver Arena. I just don't think it's asking a lot for them to beat the Purple Aces by 13 or more. Evansville is winless at 0-11 in conference play and are in a tough spot off a crushing OT loss at home to Southern Illinois. Give me Bradley -12! 

02-09-20 Ohio State v. Wisconsin -1.5 57-70 Win 100 5 h 36 m Show

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Wisconsin -1.5)

I'll take my chances here with the Badgers as a slim 1.5-point home favorite against the Buckeyes. Ohio State comes in off 3 straight wins, but I still don't trust this team, especially on the road. As for Wisconsin, this is a big time spot for the Badgers, who desperately need a win after losing 3 of their last 4. Note that all 3 of the losses in this stretch came on the road. Wisconsin is 5-1 at home in Big Ten play compared to 1-5 on the road. Big reason for that is their offense really comes to life at the Kohl Center. It's also worth noting that the Badgers already beat the Buckeyes on the road earlier this season. Give me Wisconsin -1.5! 

02-09-20 Butler v. Marquette -3 Top 57-76 Win 100 4 h 30 m Show

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Marquette -3)

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Golden Eagles as a 3-point home favorite against Butler. The Bulldogs come in off a win over Villanova at the buzzer and I just think it has them getting a little too much love in a really tough spot. That game against the Wildcats had to take a toll on Butler and it's not going to be easy turning around on the road against Marquette on just 3 days of rest, especially given how motivated the Golden Eagles will be for revenge from a OT loss to Butler a few weeks back. Also while the Bulldogs are on short rest, Marquette has been off since last Saturday and are 11-1 at home this season. Give me the Golden Eagles -3! 

02-08-20 Spurs -2.5 v. Kings 102-122 Loss -105 13 h 15 m Show

40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS KNOCKOUT (Spurs -2.5)

I'll take my chances here with San Antonio as a small 2.5-point road favorite against the Kings. I just feel like this is a great price to back the Spurs, who we know are going to be extremely motivated after losing their first 3 games of their big rodeo road trip.

They couldn't be catching the Kings in a better spot, as Sacramento had to play last night against Miami in and while they got a win, they also took advantage of a Heat team that was minus Jimmy Butler. Spurs are 11-4-1 ATS last 16 off a SU loss and 8-3-1 ATS last 12 as a road favorite. Even with last night's win and cover, Kings are still just 4-12-1 ATS last 17 at home and are 3-7 ATS last 10 off a win. Give me San Antonio -2.5! 

02-08-20 Kansas State v. Iowa State -4.5 Top 63-73 Win 100 26 h 38 m Show

50* NCAAB BIG 12 PLAY OF THE MONTH (Iowa St. -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Cyclones cashing in a cover as a 4.5-point home favorite against the Wildcats. I think we are getting a great price with ISU here due to the fact that they come in having lost 4 straight and are just 2-7 in Big 12 play.

Thing is, 3 of their last 4 were on the road and the lone home game was against Baylor. Their only home losses this season with Haliburton (by far their best player) are against Iowa, KU and Baylor. They beat Oklahoma by 13 and Oklahoma St by 7 in their only other Big 12 home games. 

Kansas State is also 2-7 in Big 12 play and that's just not the kind of team that goes into Hilton and gets a win, especially given how big a game this is for ISU. Wildcats are 1-5 in true road games this season with the only win back on Nov. 9th in OT against a bad UNLV team. Give me Iowa State -4.5! 

02-08-20 Providence v. Xavier -4 58-64 Win 100 25 h 26 m Show

40* NCAAB BIG MONEY ATS DESTROYER (Xavier -4) 

I'll take my chances here with the Musketeers as a slim 4-point home favorite against Providence. Xavier has really started to show some life of late and it started with a double-overtime loss at home to Marquette. They followed up that near win with a 74-62 win at Seton Hall and a 67-59 win at DePaul. They are locked in defensively at the moment and that in my opinion makes this too good a price to pass up. 

I know the Friars are off two big wins of their own, winning at Butler 65-61 last Saturday and destroying Creighton 73-56 on Wednesday, but I just think they will struggle to bring that same level of play on the road on just 2 days of rest. Keep in mind they had a full week off before they got that big win at Butler. Give me the Musketeers -4! 

02-08-20 Wake Forest v. Syracuse -7.5 73-75 Loss -110 25 h 52 m Show

40* NCAAB PRIME TIME ATS SLAUGHTER (Syracuse -7.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Orange covering as a 7.5-point home favorite against the Demon Deacons. I really like this spot for Syracuse, as we know we are going to get a max effort from them. Not only playing in prime time at the Carrier Dome, but also because they come in having lost their last 2 and will be highly motivated to get back on track. 

While this should be a max effort spot for the Orange, Wake Forest could have a hard time bringing the energy off a hard fought loss at Louisville on Wednesday. Back-to-back on the road on just 2 days of rest is tough, especially when facing a team like Syracuse that has been off since last Saturday. 

It's also a bad matchup. Wake Forest is the worst team in the ACC in protecting the basketball, they struggle with offensive rebounds and rely a lot on free throws and 3-point shooting, two things that the Orange do a really good job of defending. Cuse are 3rd in the ACC in opponents free throw rate and 3rd in 3-point % defense. Give me the Orange -7.5! 

02-08-20 Missouri State v. Southern Illinois -4.5 Top 66-68 Loss -110 25 h 44 m Show

50* NCAAB VEGAS INSIDER PLAY OF THE YEAR (Southern Illinois -4.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Salukis as a mere 4.5-point home favorite against Missouri State. I don't know if it's the fact that Southern Illinois needed OT to beat Evansville on the road in their last game that has this line this low, but no way I'm not laying it on the Salukis here. 

Southern Illinois is 10-1 at home and have gone 5-0 at home in MVC play. The only two wins at home in conference play by fewer than 12 points are against the two best teams in the league in UNI and Loyola-Chicago. They have also covered 9 straight at home.

Missouri State is 5-6 in MVC play, but 4 of those 5 wins are against Illinois St and Evansville, who are a combined 2-20 in league play. The other is against Valpo at home. Bears have also lost 9 of the last 10 meetings in this series. Give me the Salukis -4.5! 

02-08-20 Nebraska v. Iowa -13.5 72-96 Win 100 24 h 51 m Show

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS MASSACRE (Iowa -13.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Hawkeyes covering the big 13.5-point spread at home against Nebraska. Iowa is coming off by far their worst performance of the season, as they got drubbed 68-104 at Purdue on Wednesday. If you watched the game you could just see that the Hawkeyes didn't have it. They were just emotionally and physically drained after that grueling home win over Illinois. 

Even though it was a tough spot, Iowa was not happy with their effort and when a good team lays an egg like that, they typically bounce back in a big way. Not only that, but Iowa is over for revenge from an earlier loss at Nebraska. A game in which they were in another big flat spot off a tough loss to Penn State. They also didn't have one of their best players in C.J. Fredrick and were a dreadful 4 for 33 (12.1%) from behind the 3-point line. Only attempted 5 free throws and they are one of the best in the Big Ten at getting to the foul line. I just think the Cornhuskers are going to be in the wrong place at the wrong time. Give me the Hawkeyes -13.5! 

02-08-20 Drake +9.5 v. Northern Iowa 73-83 Loss -110 21 h 46 m Show

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL DOG OF THE WEEK (Drake +9.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Bulldogs as a 9.5-point dog against in-state rival Northern Iowa. I just think the Panthers are way overvalued here. These two have split their last 4 meetings with UNI's two wins coming by a mere 2 and 3 points. I get Drake isn't the best road team and the Panthers have been great at home, but you got to handicap in-state rivalries a little different. 

Drake is now 20-10-1 (66.7%) ATS in MVC play under head coach Darian DeVries. While they are just 6-5 in conference play, only 1 of their 5 losses have come by double-digits and that was a game they couldn't buy a basket (shot 36% from the field and 4 for 25 from deep). It's also worth noting that while UNI is 4-0 at home in MVC play, their largest win at home is 10 points against Valpo. Give me Drake +9.5! 

02-08-20 Purdue v. Indiana -1.5 Top 74-62 Loss -110 20 h 48 m Show

50* NCAAB BIG TEN PLAY OF THE MONTH (Indiana -1.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Hoosiers as a slim 1.5-point home favorite against the Boilermakers. These are two of my favorite teams to play on at home and to fade on the road, which makes this quite the easy handicap. 

I like it that much more given the spot, as we are going to get the best version of Indiana in this one, as they will be extremely motivated to end a 3-game losing streak. As for Purdue, they come in flying high off a 104-68 win at home against Iowa. A win that looks great, but I think it was more of them catching the Hawkeyes in a major flat spot after a grueling win at home over Illinois just a few days earlier. Purdue's only road win in Big Ten play is at Northwestern by 3-points and one of their road losses is to Nebraska by 14-points. Give me the Hoosiers -1.5! 

02-08-20 Kentucky -2 v. Tennessee 77-64 Win 100 18 h 44 m Show

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS MONEYMAKER(Kentucky -2) 

I'll take my chances here with Kentucky as a slim 2-point road favorite against the Vols. The Wildcats are 8-2 over their last 10 games and fresh off a big home win against a red-hot Mississippi State team. I get both of those losses during this stretch have come on the road, but they could have won both. I just think the price is too good to pass up with Kentucky in this one. 

I just feel that Tennessee needs to play perfect to even have a shot at winning this game and covering the spread. The Vols put together a great 2nd half in a 69-68 win at Alabama, but the Crimson Tide are reeling right now and dealing with some injuries. Prior to that Tennessee had lost 3 straight and their other 4 SEC wins are against Missouri, S Carolina, Vandy and Ole Miss. Just a couple weeks ago they lost at home to the likes of Texas A&M. 

I look for the Wildcats length and physicality down low to really make things difficult on the Vols. Tennessee is not a good outside shooting team and Kentucky is No. 1 in the SEC in 2-point % defense. I also look for the Wildcats to have key edges in turnovers, rebounding and free throws. Give me Kentucky -2! 

02-08-20 Boston College v. Virginia Tech -7.5 77-73 Loss -110 17 h 57 m Show

40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD ATS BLOODBATH (Va Tech -7.5)

I'll take my chances here with the Hokies covering the 7.5-point spread at home against the Eagles. Big time buy low spot with Virginia Tech, as they come in having lost 4 straight. Might seem like a big number for a team that's struggling, but 3 of the 4 losses came on the road and the other was at home against a really good FSU team. Their only other home losses are to Duke and by 2-points to Syracuse. 

Regardless of all that, we know we are going to get everything that Virginia Tech has to offer in this game, as this is one they absolutely have to have if they want to get back in the NCAA Tournament discussion. On the flip side, I think this is the perfect spot to fade BC. The Eagles just poured their heart and soul into Tuesday's home game against Duke, which I think becomes that much harder to bounce back from after how well they played. BC was out in front the majority of that game and had a lead with under 7 minutes to play. I just don't see how they can match the intensity of Va Tech in this one. Give me the Hokies -7.5! 

02-07-20 Raptors v. Pacers +1 115-106 Loss -105 10 h 46 m Show

40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Pacers +1) 

I'll take my chances here with Indiana as a 1-point home dog against the Raptors. The Pacers are going to be out for some serious revenge after blowing a big lead in a 118-119 loss at Toronto on Wednesday. With that win the Raptors secured a franchise record winning streak of 12 games. It's just hard to beat a good team like the Pacers in a home-and-home split. Indiana is also a much better team at home. Toronto is simply getting too much love in a really tough spot. Give me the Pacers +1! 

02-07-20 Maryland v. Illinois -1 Top 75-66 Loss -110 28 h 0 m Show

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Illinois -1) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Fighting Illini at basically a pick'em at home against the Terps. These two teams are tied on top the Big Ten standings, which is definitely playing into the small line, but homecourt is so big for both of these teams. Illinois is 12-1 on their home floor this season compared to 4-5 on the road. Terps are a perfect 13-0 at home, yet are just 5-4 on the road. Maryland is just 2-4 in true road games, one of those being a win at Northwestern and the other a lucky 1-point win at Indiana. Give me Illinois -1! 

02-07-20 Grizzlies v. 76ers -5.5 107-119 Win 100 9 h 58 m Show

40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (76ers -5.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Philadelphia as a 5.5-point home favorite against the Grizzlies. It couldn't look much worse for the 76ers, who have lost 4 straight and are playing on no rest. Thing is the 4 straight losses all came on the road and while they are on no rest, they did have 2 days off before playing last night. 76ers are 22-2 at home for a reason and Memphis is a team they should beat rather easily. Home teams playing on back-to-back days after 3 or more straight losses are 61-35 (64%) ATS last 5 seasons. Give me the 76ers -5.5! 

02-06-20 UCLA +5 v. Arizona State 66-84 Loss -110 11 h 17 m Show

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (UCLA +5) 

I'll take my chances here with UCLA as a 5-point road dog against the Sun Devils. I just think now is the time to be buying stock with the Bruins. UCLA had their growing pains early on under head coach Mick Cronin, but they have really turned a corner the last couple of weeks. UCLA is 4-1 over their last 5 with home wins over Utah and Colorado and a road win at Oregon State. The defense has really improved, which isn't a surprise under Cronin. 

Arizona State is a good team, but I just don't trust them as much as others. They are one of the worst offenses in the Pac-12, they don't force turnovers, they suck at the free throw line, and aren't good at getting second chances with offensive rebounding. The defense is so-so, but they are one of the worst in fouling and sending opponents to the free throw line. UCLA is 4th best in the Pac-12 in free throw rate and 5th in free throw %. Give me the Bruins +5! 

02-06-20 USC +10 v. Arizona 80-85 Win 100 10 h 45 m Show

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (USC +10) 

I'll take my chances here with the Trojans cashing in a cover as a 10-point road dog against the Wildcats. I just think this is way too good a price to pass up with USC. We know the effort is going to be there for the Trojans after an embarrassing 21-point loss at home to Colorado. Prior to that USC was playing really well, going 5-1 in their previous 6 with the only loss coming in double-overtime at Oregon. 

Arizona stole a game at Washington in the final minutes last Thursday and then won at Washington State for their first two true road wins of the season. I just think it has them way overvalued here. USC actually has played better on the road than they have at home. Trojans are 8-3 SU and 8-3 ATS away from home. Give me USC +10! 

02-06-20 Pelicans -4.5 v. Bulls 125-119 Win 100 8 h 15 m Show

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Pelicans -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Pelicans. I know this is going to be a big time public play, but I just can't help myself with New Orleans at this price. If you take out a stretch in late Nov. early Dec. where the Bulls went on a 10-2 ATS run, they are a miserable 13-27 ATS in their other games. They come in having failed to cover 4 straight and are just 5-14 ATS in their last 19. 

I just don't get how this injury-depleted Bulls team is going to keep pace with a Pelicans team that is surging with the recent addition of Zion Williamson. New Orleans is just 3-4 SU and ATS with Williamson, but it's not exactly been an easy schedule. They lost their first two before winning 3 straight then had to play at Houston and at home against the Bucks. I just think they win here rather easily. Give me the Pelicans -4.5! 

02-06-20 76ers +9 v. Bucks Top 101-112 Loss -110 8 h 10 m Show

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (76ers +9)

I'll take my chances here with Philadelphia as a 9-point road dog against the Bucks. It couldn't look much worse for the 76ers right now, as they come in having lost 3 straight on the road, all by double-digits. The most recent one being a 31-point loss at Miami. Public will want nothing to do with them against a hot Milwaukee team, but I got a good feeling we get a huge effort from Philly in this one. 

I also think the 76ers are one of the few teams that have the size to at least make things difficult for the Bucks. We saw that in their Christmas Day game, which Philadelphia won 121-109 at home. I'm not saying they win the game, but this is too good a team to not back at this price regardless of the spot or location. Give me the 76ers +9!

02-06-20 Connecticut v. Tulsa -2 72-56 Loss -117 8 h 46 m Show

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Tulsa -2) 

I'll take my chances here with the Golden Hurricane as a mere 2-point home favorite against UConn. Tulsa has been on an absolute tear here of late. They just knocked off Wichita State at home for their 6th straight win. They have went from being a team ranked outside the Top 110 to sitting at No. 62 in KenPom. 

While Tulsa is surging, the Huskies come in having lost 7 of their last 9 with their only wins in this stretch coming at home against Tulane and Temple. They have not won a true road game all season and yet they basically have to here to cover this spread. Not to mention the Golden Hurricane are 11-2 at home with a 4-0 mark at home in AAC play. Give me Tulsa -2! 

02-06-20 Cincinnati v. Wichita State -5 80-79 Loss -105 8 h 45 m Show

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Wichita State -5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Shockers as a 5-point home favorite against the Bearcats. Wichita State is 13-1 on their home floor and we know they are going to show up with all they got against a team like Cincinnati and because they are coming off a loss. 

I think the Bearacts are going to have a really tough time matching that energy. This is a big time letdown spot for Cincinnati after they turned a 15-point deficit into a 64-62 win at home over a ranked Houston team. Thing is the Bearcats have not exactly traveled well, especially their defense. Cincinnati is allowing 64.7 ppg on the season and yet are giving up 71.9 ppg on the road. Shockers are scoring 77.1 ppg at home and allowing just 64.1 ppg. Give me Wichita State -5! 

02-05-20 Wisconsin v. Minnesota -3 52-70 Win 100 26 h 1 m Show

40* NCAAB BIG MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Minnesota -3) 

I'll take my chances here with the Gophers as a slim 3-point home favorite against the Badgers. It's no secret at this point how good Big Ten teams have been at home. These two teams are prime examples of how different it has been at home compared to on the road. 

Minnesota is 4-1 at home in conference play and 1-5 on the road. Their only home loss being to Michigan State (Spartans coming off a loss). Badgers are 4-1 at home and 2-4 on the road having lost their last 3 road games. Gophers offense gets drastically better at home and Wisconsin's offense gets drastically worse. Minnesota is averaging 75.5 ppg at home compared to 70.2 ppg overall. Badgers are scoring 58.1 ppg on the road and 66.2 ppg overall. Give me the Gophers -3! 

02-05-20 Bradley v. Drake 60-73 Win 100 26 h 55 m Show

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Drake PK) 

I'll take my chances here with the Bulldogs as a Pick'em at home against Bradley. I think this is an ideal spot to jump on Drake. Bulldogs are coming in off a 79-72 home loss to Southern Illinois for their second straight setback. Drake just didn't play well just 2 days removed from a really tough loss at Indiana State (lost at buzzer). 

Prior to that loss the Bulldogs were a perfect 11-0 at home, so getting them at a pick'em is a ton of value. Especially when you take into account Bradley is just 3-7 in road games, where they are shooting just 39% from the field. Braves do have two road wins in conference, but both of those were against bottom feeders. Keep in mind Drake is scoring 77 ppg and shooting 50% from the field at home. Give me the Bulldogs PK! 

02-05-20 Seton Hall -1 v. Georgetown 78-71 Win 100 26 h 38 m Show

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Seton Hall -1) 

I'll take my chances here with the Pirates as a slim 1-point road favorite against Georgetown. The Hoyas have had some decent wins on their home floor, but I don't think they have what it takes to beat the Pirates. 

Seton Hall should be 100% locked in off a home loss to Xavier. A game they didn't show up ready to play. Great teams don't often make that mistake in back-to-back games. Prior to the loss the Pirates had won 10 in a row. Hoyas are just 3-6 in Big East play with two of those wins coming against St. John's, who has the second worst record in the conference. 

Hoyas also figure to be without leading scorer Mac McClung (16.4 ppg). He was a late scratch against St. John's and without him they were really lucky to pull out a win over the Red Storm, as they trailed by as many as 17.

Not only are they missing their best player, but you got the league's best defense against the worst. Give me Seton Hall -1! 

02-05-20 Grizzlies +5 v. Mavs Top 121-107 Win 100 25 h 16 m Show

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Grizzlies +5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Memphis catching 5-points at Dallas. Mavs are still without Doncic, but have won and covered the first two games without him. I just think it has Dallas getting a little too much love here against a red-hot Memphis team. There's no way Dallas can keep it up without Doncic and let's not overlook their two wins came against the Hawks at home and a Pacers team that has looked out of sync since Oladipo returned to the lineup. 

Grizzlies have won 12 of 15 and for them to getting 5-points against a Doncic-less Mavs team is just too good to pass up. Memphis can really score the basketball behind the great rookie Morant and I just don't trust the Dallas offense. They scored 112 at Indiana, but needed a 38-point outburst from Porzingis and shot a mere 42% from the field. Give me the Grizzlies +5! 

02-05-20 Pacers v. Raptors -5.5 118-119 Loss -113 24 h 12 m Show

40* NBA ODDSMAKERS ATS LINE MISTAKE (Raptors -5.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Toronto laying just 5.5-points at home against the Pacers. I just think this is way too good a price to pass up on the Raptors given how these two teams have been playing here of late. Toronto is rolling with 11 straight wins and have gone 8-3 ATS in this stretch, including a perfect 4-0 at home. 

Indiana has lost 3 of 4 and are just 1-2 since getting Oladipo back from injury. I just think his return has the entire team out of sync. It certainly isn't helping that Oladipo has been jacking up and missing a lot of shots. He's 8 for 39 from the field, going a mere 3 for 21 from deep. 

In his 3-games back they needed a last-second 3 to force OT against Chicago at home and wound up winning and covering in OT. They then scored 85 in a loss at home to the Knicks and followed that up with a 9-point loss as a 5.5-point favorite at home against a Mavs team missing Doncic. I just think it's asking a lot for this team to flip a switch on the road against one of the best teams. Give me the Raptors -5.5! 

02-05-20 Duquesne v. St. Louis -4.5 Top 82-68 Loss -108 24 h 55 m Show

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (St Louis -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Billikens as a slim 4.5-point home favorite against the Dukes. St Louis comes into this game on a 3-game winning streak and are 3-1 at home in A-10 play with the only loss coming in OT against by the best team in Dayton. 

While St. Louis is surging, Duquesne has lost 3 of their last 4. They did snap a 3-game losing streak last time out at home against La Salle, but only by a score of 71-69 as a 9.5-point favorite. They shot 50% from the field and held the Explorers to 39%, yet only won by 2. The Dukes are 2-2 on the road in A-10 play, but those two wins have come against bottom feeders St. Joes and UMass. 

St Louis should have a massive edge on the boards in this one also figure to win the turnover battle. Add in what should be a decent shooting night at home and they should win here going away. Give me the Billikens -4.5! 

02-05-20 Loyola-Chicago -1.5 v. Indiana State 39-68 Loss -110 23 h 55 m Show

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Loyola-Chicago -1.5) 

I'll take my chances with the Ramblers as a slim 1.5-point road favorite at Indiana State. I just feel like the Sycamores are getting a little too much love in this one because of their perfect 9-0 record at home. Not to mention the fact that Loyola-Chicago just lost their last 2 on the road and all 3 conference losses have come away from home. 

However, I just think the Ramblers are going to be highly motivated to take this one after their recent setbacks on the road. It doesn't hurt that Loyola has dominated this series. They have won and covered each of the last 4 meetings and 7 of the last 8 overall. That includes a 75-55 blowout win at home against the Sycamores this season. Indiana State had no answer at all for the Ramblers offense, which shot 67% from the field. They also had a clear edge on the board and won by 20 despite turning it over an uncharacteristic 17 times. Give me Loyola-Chicago -1.5! 

02-04-20 Blazers v. Nuggets -4 99-127 Win 100 9 h 11 m Show

40* NBA VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Nuggets -4) 

I'll take my chances here with the Nuggets as a slim 4-point home favorite against the Blazers. I just feel like now is the perfect time to fade Portland. The Blazers come in having won and covered 4 straight and all the talk right now is centered around the ridiculous numbers of Damian  Lillard. 

Big thing to keep in mind is 3 of those 4 wins came at home and the other was at the Lakers in a game where LA was clearly not at their best dealing with all the distractions that came with Kobe's unfortunate passing. Prior to this recent run the Blazers were a 5-11 in their previous 16 games and they are just 10-16 away from home. Nuggets are 4-1 ATS last 5 at home and 8-1-2 ATS last 11 off a loss. Give me Denver -4! 

02-04-20 Bucks v. Pelicans +7 Top 120-108 Loss -110 8 h 41 m Show

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Pelicans +7) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Pelicans catching 7-points at home against the Bucks. Milwaukee's lines are inflated every game and while they have been able to cover a lot of those big numbers here of late, I think they are being asked to lay way too many on the road against a New Orleans team that has caught fire with the addition of rookie Zion Williamson. 

PER is one of the main rating systems that evaluates how good an NBA player is. Zion has a 24.56 rating in his first 6 games, which if he qualified would be the 10th best mark in the league. He's only going to get better and most importantly the Pelicans as a team are improving with him on the floor. I wouldn't be shocked at all of New Orleans won this game. It certainly means a lot more to the Pelicans than it does the Bucks. Give me the Pelicans +7! 

02-03-20 Pistons v. Grizzlies -8.5 Top 82-96 Win 100 8 h 49 m Show

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Grizzlies -8.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Memphis winning by double-digits at home against the Pistons. A lot to like here with this one. For starters, you got the Grizzlies in a massive bounce back spot after they laid an egg at New Orleans (was their 3rd game in 4 nights and second straight on the road). Detroit on the other hand is playing on no rest after a grueling 128-123 OT win at home over the Nuggets yesterday, where they had to rally from down more than 20. On top of that the Pistons lost Derrick Rose to a groin injury that likely will have him sidelined for this one and he's easily been their best player. 

You also got to factor in just how good this Memphis offense is and how bad Detroit's defense has been here of late. Grizzlies are averaging 115 ppg on 48% shooting at home. Pistons are allowing 118 ppg on 49% shooting in their last 5 and have allowed each of their last 4 opponents to shoot 50% or better. Give me Memphis -8.5! 

02-03-20 Mavs v. Pacers -5.5 112-103 Loss -109 7 h 54 m Show

40* NBA NO DOUBT NBA ATS SLAUGHTER (Pacers -5.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Pacers as a 5.5-point home favorite against the Mavs on Monday. I really like the spot for Indiana in this one. Pacers are going to be extremely motivated coming off that ugly 85-92 loss at home to the Knicks as a 11-point favorite.

At the same time, I think it's a good spot to fade the Mavs. Dallas surprised a lot of people in their last game beating the Hawks 123-100 despite missing both Doncic and Porzingis. While they will have Porzingis back, Doncic is still out and they also lost Seth Curry to a knee injury in that win over Atlanta. Clearly Mavs were motivated to show they can win without their two big stars. Thing is it's a lot easier to do that at home than it is on the road and the Pacers are good team, while the Hawks are awful on the road. Give me the Pacers -5.5! 

02-02-20 Suns +11 v. Bucks 108-129 Loss -100 4 h 38 m Show

40* NBA VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Suns +11) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Phoenix as a double-digit road dog against the Bucks. We know Milwaukee will be without George Hill and I believe there's a decent chance here they are also going to suit up without Giannis, who is questionable to play after leaving their last game with a hamstring injury. That game was on Friday. Hamstrings aren't exactly an injury you want to miss with and there's no reason for Milwaukee to risk playing him and making it worse. With that said, even with him I would like the Suns at this price. Suns are 6-1 ATS last 7 as a road dog and have covered 4 straight on the road vs a team with a winning home record. Give me Phoenix +11! 

02-02-20 Illinois v. Iowa -4.5 65-72 Win 100 3 h 48 m Show

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Iowa -4.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Hawkeyes covering the 4.5-point spread at home against the Fighting Illini. Iowa had their 5-game winning streak in a 72-82 loss at Maryland. A game with some questionable calls in favor of the home team that got Iowa's big men in foul trouble early. It also didn't help the Hawkeyes went ice cold from deep after a strong start downtown. For them to only get 24 minutes out of their best player in Garza and shoot 36% from the field, it really says a lot that they only lost by 10 on the road. 

Illinois has been great, winning 7 straight, but I think they are going to have a really tough time containing this Iowa team on the road. Hawkeyes 5-0 on their home floor in Big Ten play and 10-1 overall. Also, Fighting Illini have been a bit fortunate of late, as 4 of their wins during their run have come by 4 or fewer points. They are due for a due and playing their 3rd road game in the last 13 days on just 2 days of rest is far from an ideal spot. Give me the Hawkeyes -4.5! 

02-01-20 Jazz -5.5 v. Blazers 107-124 Loss -105 13 h 50 m Show

40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Jazz -5.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Jazz snapping their 3-game skid with a convincing road win over the Blazers. I played against Utah in their last game at Denver, as I knew that was going to be a tough spot for them playing on no rest. 

Now they are the team that should be able to take advantage of their opponent in a brutal scheduling spot. Blazers will be in action here after playing last night in LA against the Lakers. A game that saw both Lillard and McCollum play 40 minutes. Ariza also logged 39 and Whiteside 34. On top of the no rest, there's also going to be an emotional toll from that game, as the Lakers honored Kobe last night and it was a special game for both teams. I just don't see Portland having enough in the tank against what figures to be a hungry and pissed off Jazz team. Give me Utah -5.5! 

02-01-20 Hawks +5 v. Mavs 100-123 Loss -105 11 h 48 m Show

40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS NO-BRAINER (Hawks +5) 

I'll take my chances here with Atlanta as a 5-point road dog against the Mavs. I know the Hawks aren't a great road team, but I think this team is really trending in the right direction. They also couldn't be catching the Mavs at a better time. Dallas is down not just their best player but one of the best players in the league in Doncic. They also will be without Porzingis (liked Hawks before this news) and playing on no rest after last night's game at Houston. I just don't see the Mavs having enough in the tank here without their two best players to pull away and really think they lose outright. Give me the Hawks +5! 

02-01-20 Southern Illinois v. Drake -5 Top 79-72 Loss -110 8 h 27 m Show

50* NCAAB MVC PLAY OF THE MONTH (Drake -5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Drake laying a mere 5-points at home against the Salukis. The Bulldogs are just too good on their home floor to pass up at this price. Drake enters a perfect 11-0 at home this season and are going to be highly motivated for this matchup. Not only will they be looking to get back on track after a crushing 2-point loss at Indiana State, but they also will be out for revenge from an ugly 17-point loss at Southern Illinois earlier this season. 

Thing is the Salukis are similar to Drake in that they are just a different team at home than on the road. Southern Illinois is 11-1 at home but are just 1-9 SU and 2-8 ATS on the road. They just can't score away from home, averaging a mere 55.9 ppg on 39% shooting. Drake is scoring 78.2 ppg on 51% shooting at home. Give me the Bulldogs -5! 

02-01-20 Arkansas v. Alabama -3.5 82-78 Loss -108 8 h 24 m Show

40* NCAAB VEGAS ATS LINE MISTAKE (Alabama -3.5)

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Crimson Tide as a mere 3.5-point home favorite against Arkansas. I wasn't shocked at all to see Alabama struggle last time out at LSU. The Tigers were a team I thought could go score-for score with the Crimson Tide and LSU is so good at not fouling and that's what Alabama thrives on. I expect them to return right back to form here against Arkansas, who is middle of the pack in offensive efficiency in the SEC (LSU is No. 1) and 13th in defensive free throw rate.

Alabama has also been a different team at home, especially in SEC play where they have a gone 4-0 with all 4 wins coming by at least 14-points. Give me the Crimson Tide -3.5! 

02-01-20 George Mason v. St Bonaventure -7 65-74 Win 100 7 h 32 m Show

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (St Bonaventure -7) 

I'll take my chances here with St Bonaventure covering the 7-point spread at home against George Mason. The Bonnies got back on track after losing 3 in a row with a win at Fordham and I look for them to easily win here by double-digits against a struggling Patriots team. 

George Mason started out 11-1 due to a ridiculously easy schedule, but are just 2-7 over their last 9 with their only wins against A-10 bottom feeders La Salle and UMass. Last time out they lost by 14 at home to Rhode Island. They also lost by 15 at Davidson, by 6 at GW and by 34 at TCU during their recent skid. 

St Bonaventure started out 1-4, but are 12-4 over their last 16 with three of those losses to the likes of VCU, Dayton and Rhode Island. Bonnies are also 6-1 SU and 6-1 ATS last 7 vs the Patriots. Give me St Bonaventure -7! 

02-01-20 Tennessee v. Mississippi State -5 Top 73-86 Win 100 5 h 36 m Show

50* NCAAB SEC PLAY OF THE MONTH (Miss St -5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Bulldogs as a mere 5-point home favorite against the Volunteers. These two teams are headed in completely opposite directions. Mississippi State has won 4 of 5 and covered each of their last 6. This is a team that a lot of people were high on coming into the year, but they started out slow. 

The Bulldogs are playing their best basketball of the season and are 9-2 at home, so laying 5 is really a no-brainer if you ask me. Vols started out 7-1, but have gone just 5-7 over their last 12 games. They just lost at home to Texas A&M and their two road wins are against Missouri and Vandy, who a combined 2-12 in SEC play. They did lose by just 6 at Kansas in their last road game, but the Jayhawks were dealing with suspensions. Their other two true road games resulted in a 17-point loss at Georgia and a 12-point loss at Cincinnati. Give me Mississippi State -5! 

01-31-20 Thunder v. Suns 111-107 Win 100 10 h 44 m Show

40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS SLAUGHTER (Thunder PK) 

I'll take my chances here with OKC at a pick'em on the road against the Suns. I played and won on the THunder in what feels like an identical spot in their last game at Sacramento. Much like the Suns the Kings have not been a great team at home. Phoenix is just 9-16 at home compared to 11-11 on the road. Also, like Sacramento the Suns are awful at defending the pick and roll, which is the bread and butter of this Thunder offense behind the great Chris Paul. OKC is also now 19-5 ATS on the road this season and 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games. Give me the Thunder PK! 

01-31-20 Bulls v. Nets -5 Top 118-133 Win 100 8 h 23 m Show

50* NBA EASTERN CONF GAME OF THE MONTH (Nets -5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Brooklyn as a mere 5-point home favorite against the Bulls. I really liked what I saw out of the Nets in their last game, which they won 125-115 at home against the Pistons. I wasn't just the Kyrie show. Brooklyn had a very balanced offensive attack in that game. I think we see more of that against a Bulls team that I think is going to have a really tough time showing up here. Chicago is coming off an absolutely devastating loss on the road to division rival Indiana. Bulls had a 100-93 lead with 4:11 to play and didn't score another point in regulation. Pacers rallied to force OT and went on to win 115-106. Hurting with injuries the Bulls had several players log big minutes and with just 1 day of rest and having to travel way out east, this is a brutal spot. Give me the Nets -5! 

01-30-20 Oregon State v. Stanford -6 68-63 Loss -108 13 h 31 m Show

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS SLAUGHTER (Stanford -6) 

I'll take my chances here with Stanford cruising to a win and cover as a 6-point home favorite. The Cardinal are going to be a pissed off bunch when they take the floor for this game, as they just lost two straight on the road after starting out 4-0 in Pac-12 play. All 3 wins at home came by 6 or more with two of those being absolute blowouts with a 16-point win over Cal and a 26 point win over Washington State. Their defense was outstanding in all 3 of those games and only once in conference play have they allowed more than 62. 

The Beavers were a team people were eyeing after a strong 9-1 start, but they have fallen and fallen hard. Oregon State is 2-6 in Pac-12 play with 4 straight losses. They have scored 58 or fewer in 3 of their last 4 and I just don't see them being able to do near enough offensively to keep this close, as they are 11th in the Pac-12 in both defensive efficiency and effective field goal defense. Give me Stanford -6! 

01-30-20 Arizona v. Washington +3 75-72 Push 0 11 h 37 m Show

40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Washington +3) 

I'll take my chances here with the Huskies cashing in a win as a 3-point home dog against the Wildcats. Arizona is a team people are always drawn to because of what they have been in the past, but the fact of the matter is they are not a good road team this season. Wildcats are 0-4 in true road games. 

Washington has gone just 2-7 in their last 9 games but it's not as bad as it looks. Out of the 7 losses, 5 were decided by 3 points or fewer with two of those coming in OT. They were just annihilated 76-62 at Colorado, but that only makes me like them more in this spot. This is a must win and I think they deliver. Give me the Huskies +3! 

01-30-20 76ers v. Hawks +7.5 117-127 Win 100 8 h 20 m Show

40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Hawks +7.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Atlanta as a 7.5-point home dog against the 76ers. I just don't trust the 76ers in the slightest on the road and especially not in this spot with a massive road game at Boston on deck Saturday. Philadelphia is just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games and Atlanta is a much improved team right now with the addition of Jeff Teague. Hawks have covered 9 of their last 15 overall with a 5-1 ATS mark in their last 6 at home. Give me Atlanta +7.5! 

01-30-20 Minnesota v. Illinois -5 Top 51-59 Win 100 9 h 14 m Show

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Illinois -5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Illinois as a mere 5-point home favorite against the Gophers. As good as the Fighting Illini have been, I still think this team is being undervalued. I think Illinois has been the most impressive team in the Big Ten this season, as they are one of the few who are getting it done on the road. Minnesota is a good team, but they are like a lot of other Big Ten teams. They play great at home and not so good on the road. What really stands out to me is just how much worse the Gophers are offensively on the road and they are going up against a very good Illinois defense. Give me the Illini -5! 

01-29-20 Thunder -3 v. Kings 120-100 Win 100 9 h 29 m Show

40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS ANNIHILATOR (Thunder -3) 

I'll take my chances here with OKC as a slim 3-point road favorite at Sacramento. Thunder had their 5-game winning streak snapped last time out, but Chris Paul sat out that game to mourn the death of Kobe. I think we see OKC bounce back in a big way here. Thunder have been absolute covering machines on the road this season, going 18-5 (78%) and should be able to exploit the Kings horrible pick and roll defense. 

I also don't like this spot for Sacramento. Kings are coming off a crazy come from behind win in overtime at Minnesota and are still down two of their best big men in Richaun Holmes and Marvin Bagley. Sacramento is also a mere 7-13-1 TS at home this season. Give me the Thunder -3! 

01-29-20 Baylor -3.5 v. Iowa State 67-53 Win 100 9 h 49 m Show

40* NCAAB LATE NIGHT ATS SLAUGHTER (Baylor -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Baylor as a slim 3.5-point road favorite at Iowa State. I just think the Cyclones and their perceived great home court edge has this line way lower than it should be. This is not the same caliber a ISU team as we have seen in previous years and we have already seen them lose at home to two elite teams in Iowa and Kansas, both defeats coming by at least 14. 

Baylor beat ISU at home a couple weeks ago 68-55 and did so by limiting Cyclones star point guard Tyler Haliburton to just 6 points on 2 of 12 shooting. Haliburton is everything to this team and we he struggles they tend to not just lose but lose badly. He's also playing at less than 100% right now. Baylor is too good. Give me the Bears -3.5! 

01-29-20 Indiana v. Penn State -4.5 Top 49-64 Win 100 28 h 44 m Show

50* NCAAB BIG MONEY PLAY OF THE MONTH (Penn State -4.5) 

I'll take my chances with the Nittany Lions as a 4.5-point home favorite against the Hoosiers. Penn State has bounced back from their 3-game skid with in a big way. It started with a 90-76 win at Ohio State, where they really took control of the game from the start. They followed that up with an even more impressive 72-63 win on the road against a desperate Michigan team. Once again taking control of the game right out of the gate. 

 I see no reason not to jump on the bandwagon with Penn State at home against an Indiana team that has not looked great on the road. Hoosiers are just 1-3 in true road games with their lone win coming against a bad Nebraska team, the other 3 were all losses by 9 or more.  I really think we are getting a great price here because Indiana is coming in off two great showings at home. They knocked off then No. 11 Michigan State and lost by just one to No. 17 Maryland. 

This is just not the same team away from Assembly Hall. I also think the way they lost that game to the Terps really makes this a tough spot. After trailing by as many as 12 in the 1st half, Indiana rallied to take a 8-point lead with less than 10 minutes to play. They were up 7 with just over 2:30 minutes to go and by 6 with less than a minute and a half.  Give me Penn State -4.5!  

01-29-20 West Virginia v. Texas Tech -2 81-89 Win 100 27 h 8 m Show

40* NCAAB PRIME TIME ATS DESTROYER (Texas Tech -2) 

I'll take my chances here with the Red Raiders as a slim 2-point home favorite against No. 12 West Virginia. This is a situation I like a lot. We have an unranked team laying points against a team that is ranked in the Top 25. 

I just think now is the time to pounce on the Red Raiders. Texas Tech has lost 4 of 6 and fell out of the Top 25 after a heartbreaking overtime loss at home to Kentucky on Saturday. I still think this is one of 25 best teams in the country and clearly the books still value this team a lot.  Not only are the Red Raiders going to be extremely motivated to take the floor given how things have gone of late, but they also want revenge from an earlier loss at West Virginia. While they lost that game by 12-points, they only shot 28.4% from the field and attempted just 7 free throws to the Mountaineers 35.

I just think it will be a different story at home. Tech is going to shoot better than they did in the first meeting and should get a few more calls. Let’s also not overlook that West Virginia has only played 1 road game in their last 5 and lost that to Kansas State by 16 points.  Keep in mind last year they had a 3 game skid towards the end of January and went on to finish the regular-season 11-1 and eventually made it all the way to the title game. I also did some research and you have to go back to 2015 to find the last time the Red Raiders lost consecutive games on their home floor.  Give me Texas Tech -2! 

01-29-20 Temple v. Connecticut -6 63-78 Win 100 7 h 7 m Show

40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (UConn -6) 

I'll take my chances here with UConn laying 6-points at home against the Owls. I just think this is the perfect time to jump on the Huskies, who have lost 4 straight and 6 of 7 overall. As bad as that looks, 4 of the 6 losses have come on the road, the last two by just 4 at Houston and by 6 at Villanova. Their two home losses have both come in OT. 

This is a much better team than I think people realize and I think we see them show up in a big way at home against a struggling Temple team. The Owls have also lost 6 of 7, but have not been nearly as competitive. In their last two AAC road games they have lost by 16 at SMU and by 26 at Tulsa. Temple is the worst offense in the conference and are just middle of the pack defensively. Give me UConn -6! 

01-29-20 Dayton v. Duquesne +8.5 73-69 Win 100 7 h 4 m Show

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Duquesne +8.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Dukes as a 8.5-point home dog against Dayton. I know the Flyers are great and come in having won 9 straight and covered each of their last 5, but I just feel like this is too many points to pass up with Duquesne at home. The Dukes have yet to lose on their home floor this season and while that streak may come to an end, I just don't see Dayton turning this into a blowout. Give me Duquesne +8.5! 

01-28-20 Fresno State v. Air Force -3.5 Top 79-68 Loss -104 21 h 2 m Show

50* NCAAB MWC PLAY OF THE WEEK (Air Force -3.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Falcons laying just 3.5-points at home against a struggling Fresno State team. Air Force is just 3-6 in MWC play and have lost 3 straight, but this is a game they should not only win but dominate. Falcons have one of the best home court advantages in the country (5th best according to KenPom) and are taking on a Fresno State team that is 2-9 away from home this season with their only two true road wins coming against Cal Poly and San Jose State. Cal Poly is ranked 329th in KenPom and San Jose State is 296th. 

I just don't see the Bulldogs being able to keep pace. Air Force is scoring 83.1 ppg at home, where they are shooting 51.8% from the field. Fresno State on the other hand is scoring a mere 63.4 ppg and shooting 39.2% from the field on the road. Give me the Falcons -3.5! 

01-28-20 Nuggets v. Grizzlies +1 96-104 Win 100 20 h 52 m Show

40* NBA SHARP MONEY ATS ANNIHILATOR (Grizzlies +1) 

I'll take my chances here with the Grizzlies cashing in a win at home against the Nuggets. Denver comes in off a 117-110 win at home over the Rockets, but Houston played that one without James Harden. I know the Nuggets got some guys back, but they are still down 3 of their best players in Milsap, Murray and Plumlee. 

I think it's a lot easier to overcome injuries at home than it is on the road and this Memphis team has really been playing well over the last few weeks. Grizzlies are 9-2 in their last 11 games. I just don't think people realize how well this team is playing, especially on offense. Memphis has shot 50% or better from the field 8 times during this current run. Give me the Grizzlies +1! 

01-28-20 Purdue v. Rutgers -3 Top 63-70 Win 100 20 h 24 m Show

50* NCAAB BIG 10 PLAY OF THE WEEK (Rutgers -3) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Scarlet Knights laying a mere 3-points at home against the Boilermakers. I'm shocked Rutgers isn't favored by more. I don't know if this is an overreaction to the Scarlet Knights not covering as 13.5-point favorites in their last game at home against Nebraska, but it shouldn't have come as a huge surprise that they didn't play their best coming off a brutal loss at Iowa and playing a far inferior team. 

Rutgers still won the game and are now 14-0 at home. I also think we are seeing a small line because Purdue is off such an impressive win, as they took down Wisconsin 70-51 in their last game. However, that was a home, where the Boilermakers are really tough to beat. Purdue is 2-7 on the road this season with a 0-5 mark in true road games. Give me Rutgers -3! 

01-28-20 Pelicans -7.5 v. Cavs 125-111 Win 100 19 h 19 m Show

40* NBA BIG MONEY ATS SLAUGHTER (Pelicans -7.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Pelicans covering the 7.5-point spread at Cleveland. New Orleans got their first win with Zion and he's been better than expected. It should only get better for the Pelicans the more minutes he gets. His minutes have jumped each game he's been back. After playing just 18 minutes in his debut, he got 21 minutes the next game out and most recently played 27 on Sunday against the Celtics a game the Pelicans won by 15 points. 

Cavs are a legit bottom feeder and I just don't see how Cleveland is going to be able to keep this close with how potent the Pelicans are on offense and how bad the Cavs are defensively right now, especially with Cleveland playing on no rest after a game in Detroit last night. Give me New Orleans -7.5! 

01-28-20 Rhode Island -5 v. George Mason 78-64 Win 100 19 h 6 m Show

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Rhode Island -5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Rams as a 5-point road favorite against the Patriots. Rhode Island is rolling right now, as they come in having won 6 straight and have covered the number in 5 of those. That includes impressive road wins over both VCU and St Bonaventure. 

George Mason has what would appear to be a solid home record at 9-3, but the Patriots are just 1-3 SU at home in A-10 play with the only win coming against a bad UMass team. What really stands out to me is that all 3 home losses have come by double-digits, as they lost by 13 to VCU, by 12 to St Bonaventure and most recently by to Richmond. They have also not shot the ball well at all of late, 41.8% last 5 games, and are facing a Rams defense that isn't just one of the best in the A-10, but the country (38th in defensive efficiency). Give me Rhode Island -5! 

01-28-20 SMU +6.5 v. Cincinnati 43-65 Loss -109 19 h 4 m Show

40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (SMU +6.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Mustangs cashing in a cover as a 6.5-point dog at Cincinnati. I get the Bearcats are a tough team to take down on their home floor, but so is Memphis and SMU just won 74-70 at Memphis in their last game. The Mustangs are now 11-4-1 ATS last 16 on the road and have covered 7 of their last 10 vs a team with a winning home record. 

Cincinnati comes in having won 4 of 5, but it's come in a very easy portion of their schedule. Note the lone loss was a 11-point setback at Memphis. I'm not saying the Bearcats shouldn't be favored here, but this is too many points against a team as good as SMU. This line should be closer to 3 than 7. Give me the Mustangs +6.5! 

01-28-20 Michigan -4 v. Nebraska 79-68 Win 100 19 h 55 m Show

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Michigan -4) 

I'll take my chances here with the Wolverines figuring out a way to pull out a win on the road against Nebraska. I know Michigan is going to be down starting point guard Zavier Simpson and have lost 4 in a row, but this is Nebraska they are playing and they simply don't have to be at full strength to beat this team. I also think the Simpson suspension will really have them locked in for this game. One that I think they know they absolutely have to have. 

I think a big key here is Nebraska doesn't have a big that can exploit the Wolverines weakness inside and the Cornhuskers are also a team that doesn't defend the paint well (look for a big game from Teske). In their last 5 games Nebraska is giving up 76.2 ppg on 47% shooting. I just think the price is right given they were recently a 8-point dog at home to Iowa and catching 6 against Indiana. Give me the Wolverines -4! 

01-27-20 Rockets v. Jazz -12.5 126-117 Loss -104 10 h 12 m Show

40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS DESTROYER (Jazz -12.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Utah as a massive 12.5-point favorite against the Rockets. This might seem like a ridiculous number for the Jazz to be laying, but not so much when take into account Houston is likely going to be without their two best players in Harden and Westbrook. Harden is doubtful to play with a thigh contusion and Westbrook has been ruled out for rest in the second leg of a back-to-back. 

Not only will the Rockets be down their two stars playing on no rest, but Houston has to be emotionally drained after having to suit up following the tragic news of Kobe Bryant's death. No one wanted to play yesterday, but they had to fight through it and I just think the Rockets are poised to play one of their worst games of the entire season. Give me the Jazz -12.5! 

01-27-20 Spurs v. Bulls +2.5 Top 109-110 Win 100 9 h 13 m Show

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Bulls +2.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Bulls as a 2.5-point home dog against the Spurs. Chicago has been playing better of late going 5-4 in their last 9 with 3 of those losses coming on the road to the Celtics, 76ers and Bucks. They have covered 3 of their last 4 and I think they easily cover this one. 

A big reason for that is I just don't see the Spurs being able to get up for this game. San Antonio had the difficult task of playing yesterday shortly after the tragic news of Kobe Bryant's death. It had to be brutal playing that game against the Raptors and I just think they are going to be emotionally drained and this is also a physically tasking spot playing on the road on no rest. Give me the Bulls +2.5! 

01-27-20 North Carolina v. NC State -5 75-65 Loss -106 9 h 48 m Show

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (NC State -5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Wolfpack as a 5-point home favorite against the Tar Heels. I just think this is too good a price to pass up with NC State at home against a struggling UNC team. Sure the Tar Heels are off a 94-71 blowout win at home against Miami, but don't let that result fool you. The Hurricanes were down their two best players in Chris Lykes and Kameron McGusty. Prior to that UNC had lost 4 straight and their only win all season in a true road game was back in early November against UNC Wilmington. On the flip side of this, NC State is 11-1 and haven't lost at home since early November. Give me the Wolfpack -5! 

01-26-20 Celtics v. Pelicans +1.5 108-123 Win 100 8 h 34 m Show

40* NBA PRIME TIME ATS SLAUGHTER (Pelicans +1.5) 

I'll take my chances here with New Orleans getting that elusive first win with Zion in the mix. Pelicans were favorites in each of Zion's first two games but came up short against the Nuggets and Spurs. I just think this is a great spot for them to take down the Celtics. Boston was just at Orlando on Friday and while they were able to rally for a win, it certainly helped they were playing a limited Magic offense. 

Pelicans can really score and Boston could be without two of their best players in Tatum and Brown. Both didn't play against the Magic and are questionable here. Either way I like the Pelicans to win this game. GIve me New Orleans +1.5! 

01-26-20 Loyola-Chicago v. Northern Iowa -4 Top 62-67 Win 100 6 h 44 m Show

50* NCAAB MISSOURI VALLEY PLAY OF THE MONTH (UNI -4) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with UNI as a mere 4-point home favorite against the Ramblers. I just think this is way too good a price to pass up with UNI at home, as they Panthers are a perfect 10-0 at home this season. 

No question we are getting the very best UNI has to offer in this one. Not only will they be motivated off a loss, but they can move into a tie for 1st in the MVC with a win. A lot of people think the Ramblers are the best team in the MVC, but according to KenPom the Panthers are and it's not really close. UNI is ranked 46th and Loyola is 84th. 

Ramblers defense is great, but so is UNI's offense, especially at home. Panthers should also be able to dominate the offensive boards. They are the best offensive rebounding team in the MVC and that's a big weakness of Loyola. Give me UNI -4! 

01-26-20 Rockets v. Nuggets -2 110-117 Win 100 5 h 8 m Show

40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Nuggets -2) 

I'll take my chances here with the Nuggets as a slim 2-point home favorite against the Rockets. These two teams just played at Houston this past Wednesday. Rockets won that game 121-105 to snap a 4-game skid, but they did so against a short-handed Nuggets team that had just played in Minnesota two days earlier. 

Since that game Denver has gotten two key pieces back and while they aren't full strength, I still think this is too good a price to pass up with them at home and playing with revenge. Rockets have won their last two, but James Harden is still not himself and may not even play. Houston is also just 1-5 ATS last 6 on the road. Give me the Nuggets -2! 

01-26-20 Michigan State v. Minnesota +3 70-52 Loss -105 5 h 40 m Show

40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Minnesota +3) 

I'll take my chances here with Minnesota as a home dog against the Spartans. Even though Michigan State just lost on the road at Indiana, who is not as good a team as Minnesota, public perception is that the Spartans won't lose two straight. Teams are going to go on skids in the Big Ten and Michigan State is not an exception to that. 

I know the Spartans beat the Gophers 74-58 at home earlier this month, but Minnesota is a different team at home and the Gophers come in playing well with 3 wins in their last 4, including a 62-59 victory at Ohio State last time out. Minnesota is 4-0 at home in Big Ten play and have lost just once at home all season. I don't think they are outmatched at all here. GIve me the Gophers +3! 

01-26-20 Maryland v. Indiana -1.5 77-76 Loss -110 3 h 1 m Show

40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD ATS NO-BRAINER (Indiana -1.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Pacers as a slim 1.5-point home favorite against the Terps. Easy play here for me with Indiana. The Hoosiers are simply a different team at home compared to on the road and we saw that in their last game when they took down Michigan State 67-63 on their home floor. It was their 3rd win this season at home against a team ranked in the Top 15 of the KenPom rankings. 

Maryland has not looked the same on the road as they have at home. Terps were able to pull out a 77-66 win at Northwestern in their last game, but they were lucky to do so after trailing 40-26 at the half. That was their first win on an opponents home court this season, as they had lost each of their previous 4. Give me Indiana -1.5! 

01-25-20 Washington State v. Utah -7 64-76 Win 100 9 h 18 m Show

40* NCAAB PRIME TIME ATS NO-BRAINER (Utah -7) 

I'll take my chances here with the Utes as a 7-point home favorite against the Cougars. I played and won on Utah in their big come-from-behind win and cover at home against Washington. A game the Utes needed to have after losing 4 straight. As I mentioned in my write-up with the Utes against Washington, Utah's recent struggles were more about the schedule they were dealt, as they had to play 3 straight on the road against Colorado, Arizona and Arizona State, plus had a home game against Oregon. 

Washington State isn't just a team they can beat, it's a team they should handle with ease. The Cougars have played 3 true road games in Pac-12 play and lost all 3, including 20+ point losses at Colorado and Stanford. Give me the Utes -7! 

01-25-20 Kentucky v. Texas Tech -4 Top 76-74 Loss -104 8 h 20 m Show

50* NCAAB NON-CONF PLAY OF THE MONTH (Texas Tech -4) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with the Red Raiders as a 4-point home favorite against Kentucky. Most will think this line is way off, as you don't see the Wildcats as a dog often, but I actually think there's value with Texas Tech. The Red Raiders are going to be at their best here off an ugly 2nd half collapse at TCU where a 4-point lead at intermission turned into a 11-point loss. 

While I was on Tech in that loss, it's not a huge surprise to see them struggle on the road, as defensive teams like the Red Raiders are vulnerable on the road when the shots aren't falling. I expect a different looking team at home, where Tech has one of the best home court advantages in the country (4th according to KenPom). Kentucky has also not looked nearly as good on the road as they have at home. Give me the Red Raiders -4! 

01-25-20 Ole Miss v. Georgia -5.5 70-60 Loss -102 8 h 45 m Show

40* NCAAB VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Georgia -5.5) 

I'll take my chances here with Georgia as a 5.5-point home favorite against the Rebels. At this point I don't know how you don't fade Ole Miss at this price. The Rebels haven't won a game in SEC play (0-5) and are a mere 1-7 ATS over their last 8 games. Most recently losing by 25 at Tennessee. That's now 4 straight losses by 10 or more in true road games. 

Georgia has lost 4 of 5, but 3 of those 4 were on the road against the likes of Kentucky, Auburn and Mississippi State. The other was a home loss to the Wildcats. The one favorable matchup for the Bulldogs was a home game against Tennessee and they whooped the Vols by 17. Give me Georgia -5.5! 

01-25-20 SMU v. Memphis -4 Top 74-70 Loss -110 6 h 28 m Show

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Memphis -4) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Memphis as a slim 4-point home favorite against the Mustangs. I just feel like this is too good a price to pass up with the Tigers at home. Part of the value here stems from how bad Memphis played in their last game, which saw them get absolutely annihilated by 40 at Tulsa. 

I just feel like that had more to do with the Tigers not showing up and giving The Golden Hurricane the respect they deserve. We should get the absolute best Memphis has to offer in this one and the Tigers are a different team at home, where they are 10-1 this season. SMU is the same way. The Mustangs are 11-1 at home and just 3-3 on the road. Give me Memphis -4! 

01-25-20 NC State v. Georgia Tech +1.5 58-64 Win 100 6 h 25 m Show

40* NCAAB PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE  (Georgia Tech +1.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Yellow Jackets as a home dog against the Wolfpack. Great time to buy low on Georgia Tech after losing 3 in a row. Thing is, all 3 of those could have been wins, as all 3 came by 5-points or less, including a mere 4-point loss at Louisville last time out. 

While it's to jump on the Yellow Jackets, I think it's also time to fade NC State, who has won 3 straight and are primed for a letdown after a grueling 2-point upset win at Virginia last time out. Prior that win over the Cavaliers, Wolfpack had last their previous 3 on the road. Give me the Yellow Jackets +1.5! 

01-25-20 Mississippi State +1.5 v. Oklahoma 62-63 Win 100 4 h 24 m Show

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Miss St +1.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Bulldogs staying hot and covering as a 1.5-point dog against Oklahoma. While the game will be played in Oklahoma City, which is close to home for the Sooners, this needs to be treated as a neutral site, as Oklahoma has not played at this venue this season. 

Bulldogs were a team that many felt would be a Top 25 squad when the season started. They struggled out of the gate, but are looking more and more like that team of late. They have won 3 straight and rank in the Top 5 in both offensive and defensive efficiency in the SEC. They are also the best offensive rebounding team in the country and when the Sooners have been outclassed on the boards they have struggled to keep games close. I think the wrong team is favored. Give me the Bulldogs +1.5! 

01-25-20 Villanova v. Providence +2 64-60 Loss -105 3 h 11 m Show

40* NCAAB PUBLIC ATS BLOODBATH (Providence +2)

I'll take my chances here with the Friars as a slim 2-point home dog against Villanova. Books are really begging you to take the Wildcats here. Villanova is laying such a short number for a team that has won 5 straight and are 11-1 over their last 12. 

What people will overlook with Villanova and their great 5-1 start to Big East play, is 4 of their 6 conference games have come at home. They did win at Creighton, but that's a team they have owned. They lost by 11 at Marquette. Providence is a really good home team and will be at their best off back-to-back road losses following a strong 4-1 start to Big East play. Give me the Friars +2! 

01-25-20 Pittsburgh v. Syracuse -5.5 61-69 Win 100 3 h 45 m Show

40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD ATS KNOCKOUT (Syracuse -5.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Orange as a 5.5-point home favorite against Pitt. Syracuse has really started to play well over the last couple of weeks. Orange have won 4 straight with 3 of the 4 wins coming on the road. Syracuse won both meetings last year by 9 points and neither of them were on their home floor. I see more of the same, as Pitt has really struggled to get their offense going against zone defenses. 

Hard to see the Panthers keeping it close with how their offense figures to struggle, as the Orange come in No. 2 in the ACC in offensive efficiency and are averaging 75.3 ppg in their 3 ACC home games this season. Give me Syracuse -5.5! 

01-25-20 Illinois v. Michigan -4 64-62 Loss -101 2 h 13 m Show

40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD BOOKIE ATS DESTROYER (Michigan -4) 

I'll take my chances here with Michigan laying a short number at home against the Illini. I think this is the ideal spot to back the Wolverines off an ugly home loss to Penn State, as well as a great spot to fade Illinois off a big road win over Purdue. I know Michigan is sitting way back at 2-5 in Big Ten play and the Illini are tied at the top with Michigan State at 6-2, but that only makes me like the Wolverines more given they are favored by 4 in this matchup.

As good as Illinois has been playing, it's extremely difficult to win on the road in Big Ten play and I just don't see them winning two straight away from home, especially against a desperate Michigan team. Not to mention Illini are down one of the best players in Alan Griffin, who is suspended for this matchup. GIve me the Wolverines -4! 

01-24-20 Marquette v. Butler -6 85-89 Loss -109 10 h 28 m Show

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Butler -6) 

I'll take my chances here with the Bulldogs cashing in a win and cover at home against Marquette. I just think this is a solid price and great spot to back Butler. The Bulldogs are going to be 100% locked in after losing 3 straight.

Butler was 15-1 before their skid with their only loss by 1-point at Baylor. The last two losses were on the road and the other was a home setback against a really good Seton Hall team. Marquette is good but not great and while they won their last road game at Georgetown, they have also lost by 14 at Seton Hall, but 17 at Creighton, by 16 at Wisconsin and by 19 on a neutral site to Maryland. 

Golden Eagles have one of the better players in Markus Howard, but he's really all they got and Butler is as well-equipped as any team to slow him down with the likes of Aaron Thompson and Kamar Baldwin. Give me the Bulldogs -6! 

01-24-20 Rockets -5 v. Wolves Top 131-124 Win 100 9 h 56 m Show

50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Rockets -5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Houston cashing in as a 5-point road favorite against the Timberwolves. Rockets finally got some positive vibes going in a 121-105 win against the Nuggets on Wednesday. While Denver was short-handed that really doesn't matter. Houston's 47% shooting was their best mark in two weeks. 

They should have no problem keeping it going against the Timberwolves. These two have already played twice and the Rockets have won 125-105 at Minnesota and 139-109 at home. Timberwolves have allowed their opponents to shoot 46% or better in 7 straight, with 5 of those seeing the opposition shoot 50% or better. Give me the Rockets -5! 

01-24-20 Nuggets v. Pelicans -3.5 113-106 Loss -115 9 h 52 m Show

40* NBA VEGAS ATS LINE MISTAKE (Pelicans -3.5) 

I'll take my chances here with New Orleans as a 3.5-point favorite at home against the Nuggets. I played on the Pelicans and lost in Zion's debut against the Spurs, but that's not deterring me from backing them here. Zion started slow, but exploded with 17 straight points n the 4th quarter. 

I look for him to be a lot more aggressive from the start tonight and while he's still going to be on a minutes restriction, he should be cleared to play a few more. You also have to think Ingram will be a bigger factor, as he was just 6 of 22 from the floor against the Spurs, missing a lot of easy shots he normally makes.

Nuggets are also playing their 3rd straight on the road and are absolutely decimated with injuries right now. Give me the Pelicans -3.5! 

01-24-20 Wisconsin v. Purdue -4 51-70 Win 100 9 h 32 m Show

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Purdue -4) 

I'll take my chances here with Purdue bouncing back from that ugly home loss to Illinois with a big win at home over the Badgers. The Boilermakers couldn't have played much worse in the loss to the Illini and it didn't help that Illinois had one of their better shooting nights. The Illini are only shooting 31.2% from 3 on the season, yet were 44% from deep with Frazier hitting 5 of 7. Not to mention that's an Illinois team that is now tied with Michigan State on top the Big Ten and also won at Wisconsin earlier. 

Prior to losing at home to the Illini, Purdue had gone 3-0 at home in Big Ten play with a 29-point home win over Michigan State. Wisconsin is a team that loves to shoot the 3 ball and that's really the strength of the Boilermakers defense, which is 6th nationally allowing teams to hit just 28% from deep. Give me Purdue -4! 

01-23-20 Michigan State v. Indiana +4 Top 63-67 Win 100 10 h 32 m Show

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Indiana +4) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Indiana as a home dog against the Spartans. Most people have Michigan State in a class of their own in the Big Ten and they are sitting on top the conference at 6-1, but I don't think they are that much better than the rest of the league. 

What people fail to realize with the Spartans strong start to Big Ten play is the favorable schedule. Michigan State has played just two road games in Big Ten play and one of those was at Northwestern, which they only won by 5. The other was at Purdue, where they got absolutely annihilated 71-42. 

Indiana is one of those teams that is a completely different monster at home than on the road. Hoosiers are 3-0 at home in Big Ten play and 1-3 on the road. Sure two of those home wins were against bottom feeders Nebraska and Northwestern, but they did beat Ohio State by 12 at home. THey also had a 16-point win at home against a really good FSU team in non-conference play. Give me the Hoosiers +4! 

01-23-20 Minnesota v. Ohio State -8 62-59 Loss -105 7 h 24 m Show

40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS SLAUGHTER (Ohio St -8) 

I'll take my chances here with Ohio State laying 8-points at home. This line isn't going to make much sense to a lot of people. You got a Buckeyes team that has lost 5 of their last 6 games laying almost double-digits to a team they lost to by 13 on the road. That's the Big Ten for ya and if you look at how different the Gophers have been on the road compared to at home you would see why this line makes perfect sense. 

Minnesota has played 8 conference games, 4 at home and 4 on the road. In their 4 Big Ten home games their offense is averaging 77.8 ppg. In their 4 road games they are scoring a mere 57.0 ppg in regulation (did have 78 in 2OT at Purdue). Maybe the most telling game is their matchup at Iowa, where they scored just 52 against a bad Hawkeyes defense. 

Another thing to note with Ohio State and their recent struggles is almost all of their losses came away from home. In fact, they are 10-1 at home, where they are outscoring teams by nearly 23 points/game and giving up just 56.4 ppg. Give me the Buckeyes -8! 

01-22-20 Spurs v. Pelicans -3.5 Top 121-117 Loss -107 11 h 6 m Show

50* NBA WESTERN CONF GAME OF THE MONTH (Pelicans -3.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with New Orleans as a mere 3.5-point home favorite against the Spurs. Pelicans have really been playing some great basketball of late and are about to add their best player in rookie Zion Williamson. With the recent return of Jrue Holiday they are as healthy as they have been all season. 

Some might be concerned with Williamson throwing off the chemistry of this team, but I'm just not buying it. This is a very unselfish team and will only be better with him on the floor. Spurs have been playing better of late, which is also playing into this number, but San Antonio can't be trusted on the road, where they are just 7-13 on the season. Not to mention this is the Spurs second road game in 3 days and their 6th road game in their last 8 games overall. Give me the Pelicans -3.5! 

01-22-20 Grizzlies +9 v. Celtics 95-119 Loss -110 29 h 18 m Show

40* NBA VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Grizzlies +9) 

I'll take my chances here with the Grizzlies as a 9-point dog at Boston. I just think we are seeing a big overreaction with this line due to the recent results of both teams. Memphis just laid an egg in their last game against the Pelicans at home, as loss that snapped the Grizzlies 7-game winning streak. It was simply a rare off night for Memphis and a bit of bad luck that Jrue Holiday comes out after missing 5 games and scores 36 points with a career-high 7 3-pointers. Not only that but the Pelicans as a team made a franchise best 21 3-pointers. Not a lot you can do when a team shoots like that. 

Prior to that game Memphis was playing as well as any team out there. Their net rating in the previous 7 games was the 3rd best mark in the NBA with both their offensive and defensive ratings in the Top 10.

As for Boston they just absolutely laid it on the Lakers in a 139-107 win at home against LeBron and AD. Much like the hot shooting of New Orleans did in the Grizzlies, Boston had one of those nights against the Lakers, shooting 55.9% from the field and 47% from deep with 16 made 3-pointers.

That was not just another game for Boston. Kemba Walker won his first ever game against LeBron. I just think the Celtics are going to have a really tough time bringing their “A” game in this one. I also wouldn’t be shocked if they rested some guys, as they got a lot of guys banged up right now. Prior to the win over LA, Boston had lost 6 of their previous 8 with home losses to the Suns and Pistons and Spurs, as well as a road loss to the Wizards and a loss at Philly without Embiid playing for the 76ers.

Celtics are just 1-5 ATS last 6 off a cover, 2-6 ATS last 8 as a home favorite and 1-4 ATS last 5 off a win by 10 or more. Memphis is 6-1-1 ATS last 8 as a road dog and 4-0 ATS last 4 off a SU loss. Grizzlies have also covered a ridiculous 16 of their last 20 visits to Boston. Give me Memphis +9.  

01-22-20 76ers v. Raptors -5 95-107 Win 100 29 h 58 m Show

40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Raptors -5) 

I'll take my chances here with Toronto as a 5-point home favorite against the 76ers. This is just too good a price to pass up with the Raptors at home against a Philadelphia team that has really struggled on the road and is missing their best player in Embiid. 

I just think we are getting value due to the fact that the 76ers have won 4 straight, but two of those were against the Nets and the other two were against the Bulls and Knicks. Big thing to note is how bad Philadelphia's offense has been on the road without Embiid. Outside of the 117 they scored at Brooklyn (playing no defense) they scored just 91 at Dallas, 95 at Indiana and 90 at New York. 

That simply won't cut it with how Toronto's offense is going right now. Raptors have scored 122 or more in their last 4 games and 3 of those were on the road. Toronto is finally back to full strength and have really picked up the tempo. 76ers won't be able to keep this close. Give me the Raptors -5! 

01-22-20 Penn State v. Michigan -4 72-63 Loss -110 27 h 6 m Show

40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Michigan -4) 

I'll take my chances here with Michigan as a 4-point home favorite against the Nittany Lions. The hype around the Wolverines has cooled off considerably from their 7-0 start, when everyone was all over them after winning 3 straight against ISU, UNC and Gonzaga. They have gone just 4-6 over their last 10 games, losers of 3 of their last 4 and are just 2-4 in Big Ten play. All of that is playing into this favorable line. 

Not only are Big Ten teams now 42-7 at home going into Tuesday’s games, but Michigan is 8-1 on their home floor with the only loss coming in OT against a really good Oregon team.  I still think this is a really good team and there’s a chance here they get back a key piece in Isaiah Livers, who is really close. Livers dressed for their last game against Iowa and went through the pre-game warm-ups. I also think freshman Franz Wagner is emerging into a star with this team. 

 As for Penn State, I was all over them in their big blowout win at home against Ohio State last time out. I also played against the game before at Minnesota, as well as their previous road game at Rutgers. Nittany Lions have yet to win on the road in the Big Ten and I think there recent win against the Buckeyes really speaks volumes to how different things are on the road compared to at home. That same Ohio State team annihilated the Nittany Lions 106-74 in Columbus in a previous matchup this season. 

01-22-20 Arkansas v. Mississippi State -2.5 70-77 Win 100 27 h 6 m Show

40* NCAAB SHARP MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Mississippi State -2.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Bulldogs as a slim 2.5-point home favorite against the Razorbacks. Bulldogs have really got thing going in the right direction with those back-to-back blowout wins at home and I think they will be able to that momentum with another home game here. I also think this is a tough spot for the Razorbacks off a really gut-wrenching loss at home to Kentucky. 

Mississippi State should have a big edge here in offensive rebounding as they are the best in the SEC in that creating second chances and Arkansas is one of the worst. Razorbacks also foul a lot and the Bulldogs are a strong free throw (4th SEC) shooting team.  Arkansas’s defense has also been much better at defending the 3-pointer, as they are 9th in the SEC in 2-point % allowed on defense. That plays into the strength of Mississippi State, which is a mere 12th in the SEC in 3-point % and 4th in 2-point %.  Give me the Bulldogs -2.5! 

01-22-20 Western Kentucky v. Marshall -1.5 64-60 Loss -110 27 h 0 m Show

40* NCAAB SMALL CONFERENCE ATS DESTROYER (Marshall -1.5) 

I'll take my chances here with the Thundering Herd as a slim 1.5-point home favorite against the Hilltoppers. I still think Marshall is a bit undervalued from their sloppy 2-6 start to the season. They are 7-4 since that slow start and the turnaround has come with the addition of freshman Andrew Taylor into the lineup. 

Western Kentucky has opened up 5-1 in C-USA play, but a big reason for that is they have played 4 of their first 6 conference games at home. They are 1-1 in league play on the road with a double-digit loss at UAB and the lone win coming against Middle Tennessee, who sits last in the conference winless at 0-6. 

Marshall has a potent offense, but the one thing that has really killed them is offensive rebounding. However, that's not a big issue here as WKU ranks 13th out 14 in C-USA in offensive rebound percentage. WKU is also 12th in 2-point % defense in league play and Marshall is 4th in offensive 2-point %, so Herd should be able to get a lot of easy looks in this one. GIve me Marshall -1.5! 

01-22-20 Georgetown v. Xavier -3 57-66 Win 100 27 h 36 m Show

40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Xavier -3) 

I'll take my chances here with the Musketeers cashing in a cover as a slim 3-point home favorite against the Hoyas. The perception couldn't be much worse on Xavier right now, as they have lost 3 straight to fall to a dismal 1-4 in Big East play. I still think this is a good team and one that will found a way to put that losing streak to rest with a win at home. 

Georgetown isn't exactly playing that great. Hoyas are just 2-4 in their last 6 games and both of their wins have come at home. They have not been competitive at all in their 3 Big East road games, losing by 16 at Providence, 16 at Seton Hall and by 14 at Villanova. A big reason for that is their defense, which is dead last in the conference in both defensive efficiency and effective field goal defense. When you can't defend, it's really tough to win on the road in a league as talented as the Big East. Give me Xavier -3! 

01-21-20 Oklahoma State v. Iowa State -5 Top 82-89 Win 100 9 h 21 m Show

50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Iowa State -5) 

I'll gladly take my chances here with Iowa State laying just 5-points at home against a struggling Oklahoma State team that is fresh off a heartbreaking loss at home to Baylor, blowing a double-digit lead in the final 15 minutes of play. 

Cyclones have struggled a bit in Big 12 play at just 1-4, but 3 of the losses are on the road and the other a loss at home to Kansas. The one real favorable matchup they have had at home they won 81-68 over Oklahoma. I just don't think Oklahoma State will have enough in tank after that loss to the Bears to keep this one respectable. Give me the Cyclones -5! 

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