50* (CBB) - Miami/Kansas Elite 8 VEGAS INSIDER (Kansas -5.5) 

I'll lay the 5.5 with the Jayhawks against the Hurricanes. I like this Miami team, but I just feel this is a horrible matchup for the Hurricane. Miami's defense has played great in their first 3 games of the tournament against USC, Auburn and Iowa St. Those offenses aren't close to what they will see from Kansas. You also can't ignore this is a Hurricanes defense that is ranked No. 114 in defensive efficiency. 

I also think people sleep on how good this Jayhawks defense is. They are ranked No. 23 in adjusted defense. I also think KU is going to really exploit the Hurricanes on the offensive glass and at the 3-point line. If the Jayhawks can take care of the ball like they have the last two games (7 turnovers vs Creighton & only 10 vs Providence), this could get ugly in a hurry. Give me Kansas -5.5! 

40* (NBA) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Grizzlies -1.5) 

I'll take my chances with Memphis as a slim 1.5-point home favorite against the Bucks. Both of these teams are playing great basketball as the season winds down. Milwaukee comes in having gone 10-2 SU and 9-3 ATS over their last 12 games. Grizzlies are 10-3 SU and 8-5 ATS in their last 13. Even more important for this matchup, is that Memphis is 5-1 SU and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 at home, including a recent 132-120 win over the Nets. 

While the Grizzlies are still playing without Morant, they have shown they can win without him. He didn't play in their big win over Brooklyn. Not like Milwaukee is full strength. Jrue Holiday isn't going to play and there's a chance Antetokoumpo sits this out, as he's been in and out with a knee injury. This to me is just too good a price to pass up on Memphis at home. Give me the Grizzlies -1.5! 

40* (NBA) - Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Pacers +11) 

I'll take my chances with Indiana catching double-digits on the road against the Raptors. I just think this is a few too many for Toronto to be laying in this spot.

The Raptors have really went through a tough portion of their schedule here in March. They have played 8 of their last 10 on the road, with the Spurs the only team they faced away from home who currently isn't in at least the play-in picture. With a MASSIVE home game on deck against the Celtics looming on Monday, I don't see Toronto being as invested in this game as some might think. Give me the Pacers +11! 

50* (CBB) - Elite 8 (Sat) MAX UNIT Top Play (Houston -2.5) 

I'll take my chances with Houston as a slim 2.5-point favorite against Villanova for the right to go the Final Four. No one seems to want to take a stand with the Cougars. No one has really been talking about them being the team that could win it all and I'm not sure why. 

Houston is now 32-5 with 3 of those 5 losses by 2 or fewer points. They were absolutely dominant in the AAC Tournament, beating Cincinnati by 13, Tulane by 20 and Memphis by 18. In the NCAA Tournament they crushed UAB by 14, beat Illinois by 15 and Arizona by 12. 

It wouldn't surprise me if they made it 7 straight wins by double-digits. I just don't love this Villanova team like some others. I think they have really benefited from a favorable schedule in the NCAA Tournament. They have had to face Delaware, Ohio St and Michigan. Give me the Cougars -2.5! 

40* (CBB) - Sweet 16 (FrI) ATS SLAUGHTER (Iowa St +2.5) 

I'll take my chances with Iowa State as a 2.5-point dog against the Hurricanes. I've been wrong on the Cyclones. I didn't see them winning either of their first two games against LSU or Wisconsin. I'm not going to make that same mistake with them again against Miami. 

ISU is now 15-0 outside of Big 12 play with wins over Xavier, Memphis, Creighton, Iowa, LSU and Wisconsin. I think that speaks volumes to just how much teams aren't ready for the pressure they bring on the defensive side of the ball. I expect them to give the Hurricanes a lot of problems and find a way to get just enough offense to advance to the Elite 8. Give me the Cyclones +2.5! 

40* (NBA) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Heat -6.5) 

I'll take my chances with the Heat laying 6.5 at home against the Knicks. I know the Knicks just went on the road and beat Charlotte 121-106 as a big dog, when they could have easily thrown in the towel after losing a huge game the previous day at home to the Hawks. 

I just don't buy they really believe they are still in it, trailing by 5 games with 9 to play. They simply had one of those games where they came out and couldn't miss. They scored 40-points in the 1st quarter and finished the game with 20 made 3-pointers. 

They aren't going to do that against what I think will be a very desperate Miami team. The frustration seemed to boil over for the Heat in their recent loss at home to the Warriors. They are now just 1-game ahead of the Bucks for the No. 1 seed. I don't think New York has a shot to keep this thing close. Give me the Heat -6.5! 

40* (CBB) - Sweet 16 (Fri) NO-BRAINER (Providence +7.5) 

I'll take my chances with the Friars as a 7.5-point dog against Kansas in Friday's Sweet 16 matchup. The Jayhawks are a very good and talented team, but they are not invincible. No team is in this tournament, which is why a lot of the top seeds have fallen. We just saw two No. 1 seeds lose last night. 

Providence has been greatly undervalued all year. This team might not win pretty, but they win and they are not afraid of the moment in a close game down the stretch. I think they got the defense to give the Jayhawks problems and enough offense to win this game outright. Give me the Friars +7.5! 

50* (CBB) - Sweet 16 PLAY OF THE MONTH (Texas Tech -1) 

I will gladly lay the 1-point with Texas Tech in their Sweet 16 showdown with Duke. I really wonder if we didn't know this was Coach K's last season, if people would view the Blue Devils a little differently. 

They just haven't been very sharp down the stretch. You have to wonder if all the pressure of feeling like they have to win it all for Coach K isn't getting to them. They really should have lost in the Round of 32 to a pretty average Michigan State team. 

I just think Texas Tech is the vastly better team. Duke hasn't seen a team that plays defense defense like the Red Raiders. No one in the ACC finished in the Top 40 in defensive efficiency. Even Michigan State, who they had some problems with only ranks No. 67 in that department. Texas Tech is No. 1. Give me the Red Raiders -1! 

40* (NBA) - Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR (Pacers +12.5) 

Easy play for me on the Pacers as a double-digit dog against the Grizzlies on Thursday. I believe Memphis is going to have a terrible time getting up for this game. Grizzlies just played a MASSIVE home game last night against the Durant/Irving led Nets. A game they won 132-120 without Ja Morant. They put everything into that game. 

Now they play on no rest against a Pacers team they just beat in Indiana a little over a week ago by 33-points (135-102). If anything, I think that provides some motivation for the Pacers in the rematch. Not saying it will be enough to get the win, but I like Indiana to lurk around and cover the big number. Give me the Pacers +12.5! 

40* (CBB) - Sweet 16 (Thurs) VEGAS INSIDER (Arkansas +9.5) 

I'll take my chances with the Razorbacks as a 9.5-point dog against Gonzaga in the Sweet 16. I just think this is way too many points for the Bulldogs to be laying. It feels like the narrative after nearly getting knocked out in their last game by Memphis is that was the close-call the Bulldogs needed. Now they are going to just roll to the title. 

I'm not buying it. This is a very good Gonzaga team, but they are far from invincible. Arkansas is also no pushover. While the rest of  the SEC has flamed out of the NCAA Tournament, you could argue no team was playing better than the Razorbacks in that conference the last couple months of the season. 

I think you need to be a strong defensive team to compete with Gonzaga. Arkansas is definitely that. Razorbacks finished No. 14 in the country in defensive efficiency. If they can get a guy or two to get hot from the outside, they not only can keep it close, but win this game outright. Give me Arkansas +9.5! 

40* (NBA) - Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Hornets -6.5) 

I'll take my chances with the Hornets as a 6.5-point home favorite against the Knicks. I was on New York in last night's home game against Atlanta, as I felt that was a must-win for them to realistically have a shot at making the playoffs. They are now a full 6-games back of the 10th and final spot with just 10 to play. They are done and they know it. 

I kinda knew going into that game whether I would be backing or fading New York in this game based on the outcome. I just don't think there's going to be any fight in this Knicks team and Randle may not play. Give me the Hornets -6.5! 

50* (NBA) Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Pistons +5.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances with the Pistons as a 5.5-point home dog against the Hawks. Detroit finally failed to cover a game, as they lost 115-119 at home to the Blazers as a 10-point favorite. Prior to that the Pistons had covered 14 straight. No reason to jump off the ship after them not playing their best against a really bad team. 

This team clearly is motivated to finish strong and the Hawks are a team they should get up for, especially at home. On the flip side, Atlanta just played a big game at New York against the Knicks last night. A game that all but locked them into at worst a play-in game. Could see them being really flat for this one. Give me the Pistons +5.5! 

50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Bulls +7.5) 

I'll take my chances with Chicago catching 7.5 on the road against the Bucks. Chicago will be on a back-to-back, but are coming off a stress-free 113-99 win over the Raptors on Monday. Bulls are still waiting on the return of Lonzo Ball, but have recently got back Caruso and Pat Williams. Two guys that can make a big difference for this team. 

I also think that the Bulls are really searching for a win against a top tier team, as they haven't exactly performed well against those caliber a teams this year. Bucks are kind of just going through the motions to close out the season. For them it's just making sure they are healthy going into the playoffs. They won't have Khris Middleton tonight, which is a big loss for them and certainly big enough that Milwaukee shouldn't be laying this many points. Give me the Bulls +7.5! 

40* (CBB) - Late Night ATS SLAUGHTER (TCU +10) 

I'll take my chances with TCU as a double-digit dog against Arizona. Much like with Memphis last night in the final game against No. 1 Gonzaga, I think we got a dog that is much better than the perception and a overvalued No. 1 seed. 

You just can't overreact to some of these Big 12 records because of just how good this conference was top to bottom. West Virginia finished last at 4-14 and are still the No. 66 ranked team at KenPom. In TCU's last 7 games they have wins over Texas Tech, Kansas, Texas and Thursday's blowout win over Seton Hall. 

All the pressure is on the Wildcats, as no one is giving the Horned Frogs a shot here. It wouldn't surprise me at all if they did. Give me TCU +10! 

40* (CBB) - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Miami +7.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances with the Hurricanes as a 7.5-point underdog against Auburn. I think the ACC has come into this tournament extremely undervalued. UNC is already in the Sweet 16 after upsetting No. 1 seed Baylor and 3 more have a shot to join them today. That includes No. 11 seed Notre Dame, who won a 2OT play-in game on Wednesday against Indiana and then two days later beat No. 6 Alabama by 14 points. 

Miami was right there with Duke, UNC and Notre Dame as the top dog in the ACC. The Hurricanes have really done nothing but impress since Dec. 1. They finished 14-6 in ACC play with 5 of the 6 losses coming by 4-points or fewer. They also lost by just 4-points to Duke in the ACC Tournament. 

Auburn is a good team, but far from invincible. They started out really slow in their win over Jacksonville State and were certainly not their sharpest down the stretch. In their 4 games leading up to the tournament, they lost at Tennessee, needed OT to win at Miss St, only beat S Carolina by 11 at home and then lost to Texas A&M in their first game of the SEC Tournament. Would not surprise me at all if Miami won. Give me the Hurricanes +7.5! 

40* (NBA) - Prime Time VEGAS INSIDER (Knicks +5) 

I'll take my chances with the Knicks catching 5-points at home against the Jazz. New York's been playing better of late. They had covered 7 straight before only winning by 3 as a 6-point favorite in their last game against the Wizards. Worth noting that they probably should have covered, as they led by 15 with around 4 minutes to play in the 4th quarter. 

I also like going against the Jazz in this spot. Utah is feeling pretty good about themselves after a 30-point win over the Clippers in their last game and they got a game on deck tomorrow at Brooklyn against Durant and the Nets. Easy for them to not be locked in for this game against a Knicks team that is fighting for their playoff lives. Give me the Knicks +5!  

50* (CBB) - Round of 32 PLAY OF THE TOURNAMENT (Wisconsin -4.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances with the Badgers at -4.5 against Iowa State. I know Wisconsin hasn't exactly impressed of late, losing their regular-season finale to Nebraska to prevent an outright Big Ten title, falling to Michigan St in their first game of the Big Ten Tournament and then barely getting by Colgate in the 1st round. 

I think it has people forgetting what this team has accomplished this year. As long as Johnny Davis is healthy, this team can beat anyone left in the field. Davis did get hurt against Nebraska, but he had 25 points in the game against Colgate. 

I also think Wisconsin matches up extremely well with ISU. The Cyclones are a team that relies on their defense, because there's not a lot of good options offensively. The best thing their defense does is force turnovers. They ranked No. 4 in the country in defensive TO%. They were just No. 217 in defensive 2-PT%, so when teams didn't turn it over they often got easy baskets. No team was better than the Badgers at protecting the ball. They are No. 1 in offensive TO%. 

Unless the Cyclones are hitting shots, and hitting a lot of them, I think it will be extremely difficult for them to keep this within single-digits. Give me Wisconsin -4.5! 

40* (CBB) - Late Night ATS MASSACRE (Memphis +10.5) 

I'll take my chances with the Tigers as a 10.5-point dog against Gonzaga. The Bulldogs should not be laying double-digits in this one. Memphis was a different team in the second half of the season. They ranked in the Top 15 in both offensive and defensive efficiency after that slow start. The one thing that has really hurt Memphis is turnovers and that doesn't figure to be a huge problem in this game. One thing that Gonzaga's defense doesn't do well is force turnovers. The Bulldogs ranked just No. 281 in defensive turnover %. I think that's going to allow the Tigers to make a game of it and possibly even pull off the upset. Give me Memphis +10.5! 

40* (NBA) - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Pistons +7) 

I'll take my chances with the Pistons as a 7-point dog against the Cavaliers. The books keep undervaluing this Detroit team and we just keep cashing tickets on the Pistons. No team has been better against the number than Detroit over the last month. Pistons have covered 13 straight games. 

I've said it over and over, you have to keep taking this team until the books make the proper adjustments. It certainly doesn't feel like they have here, as you have a Cavs team that has been up and down of late. Cleveland is just 5-9 SU in their last 14 and have really struggled on defense without big man Jarrett Allen. You also have the Cavs in a horrible spot, as they are playing on no rest after a hard fought 119-116 win against the Nuggets last night. Give me the Pistons +7! 

50* (CBB) - NCAA Tourn MAX UNIT Top Play (Tennessee -6) 

I got no problem laying 6-points with the Vols against the Wolverines. I really think Tennessee has the goods to win the whole thing and I just don't see them having any problem beating up on an overrated Michigan team. The Wolverines are a good offensive team, but they are going up against maybe the best defense in the country. Tennessee gives you know easy looks and have the guys down low to really negate Michigan's go-to guy in Hunter Dickinson. 

On the flip side, Michigan doesn't really have the good to slow down this Vols offense. Wolverines are one of the worst teams in the country in forcing turnovers (No. 336) and they give up way to many easy shots (No. 206 in 2-Pt% defense). Give me the Vols -6! 

40* (CBB) - NCAA Tourn VEGAS INSIDER (LSU -4) 

I'll take my chances with LSU as a 4-point favorite against Iowa State. The Cyclones caught everyone's attention with their perfect 12-0 start in non-conference play, which included wins over Xavier, Creighton, Iowa and Memphis. 

While they were far from a pushover in the Big 12, they did open up conference play just 3-9 before a 4-game winning streak saved their season, though they did finish just 7-11 in the Big 12 (5 of the 7 wins by 4 or fewer points). 

I know LSU has lost their coach and didn't live up to their own hype in the SEC this year, but I still think they are the far more talented team. The Tigers have a superstar in Tari Eason and a team that finished the season ranked No. 5 in the country defensive efficiency. I really think having a go-to-guy against ISU is big and having a good defense is also big with how much ISU struggles to score the basketball. Give me the Tigers -4! 

40* (NBA) - Big Money ATS MASSACRE (Nets -14) 

I'll gladly take my chances with the Nets as a huge 14-point home favorite against the Blazers. I'm usually looking to fade Brooklyn at home, because of Kyrie not being able to play, but it's not going to matter that he's not on the floor. 

Portland in my opinion has to be an automatic fade right now, at least until they show us they actually want to win games. The Blazers are down to nothing with all the guys they got hurt and all the guys they traded away. 

They are 1-8 in their last 9 games with the only win coming at home to what I think is an equally bad Wizards team. It's not just the win/loss record, but the margin of defeat. All 8 losses in this stretch have come by at least 14 with 6 of them by 30 or more points. Give me Brooklyn -14! 

40* (CBB) NCAA Tourn ATS NO-BRAINER (Va Tech +1.5) 

I'll take my chances with the Hokies as a 1.5-point dog against the Longhorns on Friday. Few teams come into the tournament riding a bigger wave of momentum than Virginia Tech. The Hokies were arguably on the outside looking in to the field of 68 when the ACC Tournament started last week. 

They took any doubt out of the equation by winning 4 games in 4 days with the last 3 coming against teams in the field this weekend in Notre Dame (87-80), UNC (72-59) and Duke (82-67). 

Keep in mind the strong play goes back further than that tournament, as they won 9 of their last 11 in the regular-season. 

As for Texas, I've never really thought they were as good as what people thought and they have zero momentum coming in after losing their final two regular-season games and then falling to TCU in their first game of the Big 12 Tournament. Give me Virginia Tech +1.5! 

40* (CBB) NCAA Tourn ATS SLAUGHTER (Alabama -3.5) 

I'll take my chances with Alabama as a 3.5-point favorite against Notre Dame. I would have liked the Crimson Tide at this price if this was a set first round matchup when the brackets came out on Sunday. 

So it's easy to like them given that Notre Dame had to play Wednesday in a play-in game against Rutgers. A game that had to take every ounce of energy the Irish had, as it went to double-overtime. That's a lot of extra minutes for a team that really only uses a 6-man rotation. Add in the long flight to San Diego right after that game and I just don't think the Irish will have near enough to be competitive in this one. Give me the Crimson Tide -3.5! 

50* (CBB) - NCAA Tourn MAX UNIT Top Play (Purdue -16.5) 

I got no problem laying the big number with the Boilermakers on Friday. Purdue might not have won the Big Ten regular-season or Tournament title, but I still think they are the most talented team out of that conference. They got a difference maker at point guard in Jaden Ivey and two imposing big men in Zach Edey and Trevion Williams. 

Yale simply doesn't have the size to compete with the Boilermakers. The Bulldogs have just two guys taller than 6-5 that get minutes and that's 6-7 Isaiah Kelly and 6-8 E.J. Purdue is going to have a field day inside, which is going to lead to wide open looks from deep. Yale lost by 36 to Seton Hall, by 22 to Auburn and by 17 to St Mary's in non-conference. Give me Purdue -16.5! 

40* (CBB) NCAA Tourn Late Night SLAUGHTER (San Francisco +2) 

I'll take my chances with San Francisco catching 2-points against Murray State. Everyone is picking the Racers in this matchup and while I think Murray State is a good team, I'm not as high on them. 

Going undefeated in conference play and backing it up with a conference tournament title is impressive, but the Ohio Valley is also a really bad conference other than Belmont. Of the 9 other teams in the league, 7 rank 240th or worse in KenPoms rankings. 

Yes they beat Memphis in non-conference, but the Tigers weren't a very good team early in the year. The only Power 5 team they played was Auburn and they lost that game by 13 and it wasn't that close. They railed by 21 with 2.5 mins to play before going on a meaningless run late to make it look respectable. 

I think San Francisco has the better resume and are much more battle-tested going into the NCAA Tournament. Give me the Dons +2!  

40* (CBB) - NCAA Tourn VEGAS INSIDER (Arkansas -5)

I'll gladly take my chances with Arkansas as a mere 5-point favorite against Vermont. The Catamounts are a sexy upset pick and I'm just not buying it. Vermont was the best team in a bad America East Conference. They went 17-1 in league play with the next best team going 11-7.

In their two non-conference games against Power 5 teams they lost by 10 at Providence and by 9 at Maryland. I don't think either of those teams are close to anywhere as good as this Razorbacks team. Their 64-82 loss to Texas A&M in the SEC Tournament looks bad, but it doesn't cover up the fact that they went 15-3 over their final 18 games with the two other losses by 4 on the road to Tennessee and by 1 at Alabama. Give me the Razorbacks -5! 

50* (CBB) - Thursday 1st Rd MAX UNIT Top Play (North Carolina -3.5) 

I got zero problem laying the 3.5 with the Tar Heels against Marquette. I really think people are sleeping on this North Carolina team. After starting the year just 12-6 with a 4-3 mark in ACC play, they closed out the season winning 12 of their final 15. 

One of the things that I think is keeping them under the radar is the fact their 59-72 loss in the ACC Tournament to Va Tech. What people ignore is just how good the Hokies have been playing. They followed up that win with a 82-67 victory against Duke in the title game. 

Marquette has some nice wins and were able to hang with some good teams early on non-conference play. The problem is they weren't able to sustain it and actually played much worse down the stretch. Golden Eagles went just 4-6 over their final 10, including an ugly 63-74 loss to Creighton in their only game of the Big East Tournament. Give me North Carolina -3.5! 

40* (CBB) NCAA Tourn Early Bird MASSACRE (Colorado St +1.5) 

I'll take my chances with Colorado State as a small dog against Michigan early on Thursday. I'm just not a big believer in this Wolverines team. They never played up to their potential and losing their head coach Juwan Howard to a suspension to close out the regular-season did them no favors. They never won more than 3 games in a row all season. 

Colorado State finished 2nd in a very good Mountain West Conference that sent 4 teams to the tournament. They only lost 5 times all season and closed out the year winning 9 of their last 11. They also showed they can hang in non-conference, beating the likes of Creighton by 14 and St. Mary's by 16. Wouldn't shock me at all if they won by double-digits here. Give me the Rams +1.5!

40* (NBA) - Situational VEGAS INSIDER (Kings +9.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances with the Kings as a 9.5-point home dog against the Bucks tonight. Sacramento has been covering at a high rate over the last few weeks, as they are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games and come into this one off 3 straight covers. 

While the Bucks have been playing pretty good ball as well, going 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games, this is not a good spot for Milwaukee. The Bucks are playing the 3rd of 4 game road trip and just got done playing two massive games at Golden State and Utah. Will be tough for them to give the Kings the respect they deserve. Give me Sacramento +9.5! 

40* (CBB) - Big Money ATS ANNIHILATOR (Florida -6.5) 

I'll take my chances with Florida as a 6.5-point favorite over Iona in the NIT. The public really likes to get behind this Gaels team, largely because of Rick Pitino being their head coach. He certainly did some good things with Iona this year, but I think the Gaels will have a tough time showing up in this game. 

The NIT is not where Iona expected to be playing this week. The Gaels had to feel like they were a lock to make the NCAA Tournament after cruising the MAAC regular-season title, finishing a full 3-games ahead of runner-up St. Peter's. Those NCAA Tournament hopes came crashing to the ground, as Iona was stunned in their first game of the MAAC Tournament by Rider, who went off as a double-digit dog. Florida might not have been up to their standards this year, but they are without question the more talented and athletic team in this matchup. Give me the Gators -6.5! 

40* (CBB) - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (UNI +4.5) 

I'll take my chances with Northern Iowa as a 4.5-point dog in Wednesday's NIT matchup with St. Louis. The Panthers had quite the turnaround this year. UNI started the season just 4-7 before flipping a switch and going 14-4 in MVC play, winning the outright regular-season title over a very good Loyola-Chicago team. 

The Panthers did get routed by the Ramblers in the rubber match during the MVC Tournament, but that shouldn't keep them from being motivated to put on a good showing in the NIT. No disrespect to St Louis, but I think this line should be closer to a pick'em, making this a big time value play for me. Give me the Panthers +4.5! 

40* (NBA) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (76ers -3.5) 

I will gladly lay the 3.5 on the road with the 76ers in Wednesday's game at Cleveland. Good time to buy low on Philly after they have failed to cover 3 straight and coming off an upset loss at home to the Nuggets. 

You also have a Cavs team that is slipping and missing some key guys. Cleveland is just 4-8 in their last 12 games going just 3-8-1 ATS during this stretch. They just aren't the same team without Jarrett Allen in the lineup and he's going to really be missed in this game against Embiid. Look for the 76ers to get right with a big road win and easy cover. Give me Philly -3.5! 

50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Hornets -1.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances with Charlotte as a slim 1.5-point home favorite against the Hawks. Big time value here with the Hornets at home. Charlotte is just 6-13 in their last 13 games, but a lot of that has to do with a brutal stretch in their schedule and them battling some injuries. Hornets have won their last two behind big time offensive games, scoring 142 at New Orleans and 134 at OKC. 

No reason to expect them to slow down at home against a Hawks team that has been awful on the road and have really struggled defensively of late. Atlanta is just 12-21 on the road this season and have allowed 116.8 ppg on 49.3% shooting over their last 5 games. Give me the Hornets -1.5! 

50* (CBB) - NCAA Tourn Play-In ATS NO-BRAINER (Indiana -3.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances with Indiana as a mere 3.5-point favorite against Wyoming in Tuesday's Play-In game. The Hoosiers caught fire in the Big Ten Tournament, upsetting Michigan and Illinois before a hard-fought loss to one of the hottest teams in the conference in Iowa, who went on to beat Purdue for the title the next day. 

Some might say that Wyoming doesn't belong in the field of 68. I think the do, but I also think they are outmatched and outclassed in this one. The Cowboys were very competitive in a strong Mountain West Conference this year, but their only Power 5 win in non-conference play came in OT against a sub-par Washington team. They also lost to a very mediocre Stanford team and got annihilated by 94-65 by Arizona. 

Look for Indiana's defense and Wyoming's inability to force turnovers (ranked #316 in defensive TO%) to be the difference. Cowboys ranked just 218 in 3-PT% and face a Hoosiers defense that was No. 7 in the country in 2-PT% defense. Give me Indiana -3.5! 

40* (NBA) - No Doubt ATS SLAUGHTER (Pistons +13) 

I'll take my chances with the Pistons as a 13-point dog against the Heat on Tuesday. We have made a good stack of cash backing Detroit of late, as the Pistons just keep covering the number. Detroit has now covered 11 in a row. 

I see no reason to not keep backing the Pistons if the books are going to continue to undervalue them on the line. Miami is a great team, but elite teams often have a hard time getting up for teams that are perceived to be bottom-feeders. Heat have also had some struggles from the field of late. They have shot 40% or worse in 2 of their last 3 games, including just 39.8% last time out in a 9-point home loss to the Timberwolves. Give me the Pistons +13! 

40* (CBB) - NIT Situational VEGAS INSIDER (Missouri State +6) 

I'll take my chances with Missouri State as a 6-point dog against Oklahoma in Tuesday's NIT action. The Sooners may be saying that they are going to prove the committee wrong for not including them in the NCAA Tournament, but I'm not buying it. 

I think this Oklahoma team was completely devastated not getting into the Big Dance and will have a really tough time getting up for this game. It doesn't help they are playing a pesky Missouri State team that closed out the regular-season going 18-5 and were an OT loss to Drake in the MVC semis from making the title game. Give me the Bears +6! 

50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Bulls -3.5) 

I'll take my chances with Chicago as a 3.5-point road favorite against the Kings on Monday. The Bulls will probably be without Zach LaVine for this one, which I think is definitely playing into the favorable number for Chicago in this matchup. 

While LaVine is a big piece of the Bulls lineup, I don't think it's going to hurt Chicago all that much against a Kings team that is playing little to no defense. Sacramento has allowed each of their last 12 opponents to shoot 46% or better from the floor with 7 of the 12 hitting 50% or better. 

This is also a Chicago team that has feasted on bad teams of late, covering 7 of their last 10 against a team with a losing record. Bulls are also 35-16-1 ATS last 52 as a favorite and 17-5 ATS last 22 as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. Give me Chicago -3.5! 

50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Rockets +6) 

I'll gladly take my chances with Houston as a 6-point road dog against the Pelicans. I get the Rockets aren't a very good team, but no way should New Orleans be laying this big a number with both C.J. McCollum and Brandon Ingram out of the lineup.

Neither played in their last game and they got annihilated at home by a struggling Hornets team, giving up over 140 points in the process. I not only think Houston can keep it within the number, but I give them a great shot here of winning this game outright. Give me the Rockets +6! 

40* (NBA) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Pistons +4.5) 

I'll take my chances with the Pistons as a 4.5-point home dog against the Clippers. Detroit has been the best bet in the NBA over the last month. Pistons have covered 10 straight, going a perfect 9-0 ATS since returning from the All-Star break.

They haven't just been covering big numbers in losses either. Detroit is 6-4 SU during this stretch with 2 of the losses coming against the Celtics and another against the Bulls. The Clippers have lost 3 of their last 4 and just aren't a team that can be trusted laying points. LA has gone just 7-15 ATS this season when laying 3.5 to 9.5 points. Give me the Pistons +4.5! 

40* (CBB) - Situational ATS NO-BRAINER (Texas A&M -6.5) 

I'll take my chances with Texas A&M as a 6.5-point dog against Tennessee in the SEC Title game. The Aggies have caught fire at the right time. Much like we saw in the ACC with Virginia Tech catching fire and riding that momentum to an ACC Tournament title. 

Aggies started it off with a OT win against Florida on Thursday, got by Auburn on Friday and then rolled Arkansas on Saturday. Add that to their 5-1 finish in SEC play, they are now 8-1 in their last 9. 

The work is not done, as they must-win this game to get in the NCAA Tournament, which I think clearly makes them the more motivated team. Tennessee is in no matter what and likely no worse than #3 seed, even if they lose. You also have the Vols coming off a huge win over Kentucky, which I think could set them up to come out a bit flat. Give me Texas A&M +6.5! 

40* (NBA) - No Doubt ATS ANNIHILATOR (Kings +9.5) 

I'll take my chances with the Kings as a 9.5-point road dog against the Jazz. This is just way too many points for Utah to be laying.

Utah is just 2-7 ATS last 9 games and will be playing this game on no rest after losing last night in San Antonio 102-104. Kings have lost 8 of their last 10, but are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 and have covered 4 of their last 5 as an underdog.

Not only is Utah playing on no rest (also 3rd game in 4 days), they got a huge lookahead game on deck against Milwaukee on Monday. I not only think Sacramento can keep it close enough to cover, I wouldn't be shocked at all if they won this game outright. Give me the Kings +9.5! 

40* (NBA) - Situational ATS NO-BRAINER (Bucks -1.5)

I'll gladly take my chances with the Bucks as a 1.5-point road favorite against the Warriors tonight. While Golden State is coming off a 113-102 road win at Denver, they have just not been playing that great of late. Warriors are just 4-9 SU in their last 13 games. 

I just don't see Golden State returning to that early season form until they get back Draymond Green. Not only will they be without Green for this matchup, but Andre Iguodala, Gary Parton II and Otto Porter Jr. are all out for this one. 

Milwaukee has coasted a lot of this season, but they will come to play against Steph and the Warriors in a prime time game on ABC. Give me the Bucks -1.5! 

50* (CBB) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Kentucky -2) 

I'll gladly take my chances with the Wildcats as a 2-point favorite against the Vols in Saturday's SEC Semifinal matchup. I think Kentucky is right there with Gonzaga and Arizona as one of the best teams in the country and will be highly motivated to get this win and lock up a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament. 

Not only that, but the Wildcats will be out for revenge from a 63-76 loss at Tennessee back on Feb. 15. Big thing to keep in mind with that loss is just how good the Vols are at home. Tennessee went 16-0 at home this year. Even with their win over Miss St yesterday, they are just 8-7 on the road. 

Kentucky beat the Vols 107-79 at home in the first meeting and while I don't think it will be that lopsided on a neutral site, I wouldn't be shocked if the Wildcats took complete control of this game early on. Give me Kentucky -2! 

50* (CBB) - Va Tech/N Carolina MAX UNIT Top Play (N Carolina -2) 

I'll gladly take my chances with the Tar Heels as a slim 2-point favorite in Friday's Semifinal matchup against Virginia Tech in the ACC Tournament. UNC might be the best team in the country that people don't talk about. The Tar Heels got off to a pretty mediocre start, going just 12-6 overall and 4-3 in ACC, but have won 12 of their last 14 since and followed up that big upset of Duke in the regular-season finale with a 63-43 blowout win over Virginia yesterday. 

The Hokies have also been surging down the stretch, winning 11 of their last 13, but a lot of that was the schedule just really getting easy for them in the 2nd half of ACC play. I just think they are outmatched and going to struggle to keep pace playing their 3rd game in 3 days. Give me the Tar Heels -2! 

40* (NBA) - Big Money VEGAS INSIDER (Raptors +5.5) 

I'll take my chances with the Raptors as a 5.5-point road dog against the Suns tonight. Toronto got back point guard Fred VanVleet in their last game after he had missed the previous 5 games. There was no rust for VanVleet, as he scored 26 points in Toronto's 119-104 win at San Antonio. 

I just think now is the time to buy low on the Raptors. I also think it's a good spot to fade the Suns, who I think could be poised for a big letdown after their big 111-90 win at Miami on Wednesday. Keep in mind that prior to the win and cover against the Heat, Phoenix was just 2-7 ATS in their previous 9 games. Give me the Raptors +5.5! 

40* (CBB) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (VCU -3.5) 

I will gladly take my chances with VCU as a 3.5-point favorite against Richmond in Friday's Quarterfinal matchup in the A-10 Tournament. The Rams to me are a very underrated team. While they didn't have a signature non-conference win, they did lose by just 8 on a neutral court to Baylor and in OT on a neutral to UConn. 

VCU closed out the season winning 11 of their last 13 games and should be motivated here after dropping their regular-season finale at St. Louis. The other big thing is rest, which the Rams have a big edge in. VCU had a bye yesterday, while Richmond had to play Rhode Island. The Spiders won that game 64-59, but had to use a ton of energy to rally from a 15-point 2nd half deficit. I don't think there's going to be enough gas in the tank to keep pace with VCU tonight. Give me the Rams -3.5! 

40* (NBA) - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Hornets -2.5) 

I'll take my chances with the Hornets as a slim 2.5-point road favorite against the Pelicans on Friday. I'll admit this feels like a bit of a square play, but I just don't think the books have adjusted the number near enough for this matchup. 

The Pelicans will be forced to play this game without their top two scorers in Brandon Ingram and C.J. McCollum. I just don't know where the offense is going to come from for New Orleans without those two on the floor. McCollum, who played in their last game, had 32 points and yet they were still able to score just 102 points at home against a bad Magic team. Give me the Hornets -2.5! 

40* (CBB) - Situational ATS NO-BRAINER (Providence -3) 

I'll take my chances with Providence as a 3-point favorite against Creighton in Friday's Semifinal matchup in the Big East Tournament. This Friars team has simply not gotten the respect they deserve. Yes, they are ranked No. 11 in the country, but no one talks about this team as having a real shot of doing something in the Big Dance. Which is crazy for a team that has lost just 4 times all season and has non-conference wins over the likes of Wisconsin and Texas Tech. 

I think it has kept Providence motivated and undervalued on the betting market. I just don't think 3-points is near enough here. The Friars rolled Creighton by 21 a couple weeks ago and I think that speaks to the matchup advantage that Providence has here. Great win for the Bluejays yesterday against Marquette, but not enough for me to think they got a real shot in this game. Give me Providence -3! 

40* (CBB) - Situational ATS MASSACRE (Iowa St +8) 

I'll take my chances with Iowa State as a 8-point dog against Texas Tech on Thursday. I can't say I love the Cyclones to win this game, but that's not saying they can't. I just think 8 is way too much for a team as talented as the Cyclones. 

Iowa State is a tricky team because of how much variability there is with their shooting. They make shots they can beat any team in the country and that's evident with all their quad 1 wins this year. 

I also think the Cyclones 68-75 loss to Baylor in the finale was a big boost to this team, as they somehow managed to take multiple leads after trailing 29-4 with 7:53 on the clock in the 1st half. Give me Iowa State +8! 

50* (CBB) - Sharp Money ACC PLAY OF THE MONTH (Notre Dame +1.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances with Notre Dame as a 1.5-point dog against Va Tech. I don't understand why the Hokies are favored in this game. I get Va Tech closed out the season strong, winning 9 of their last 11, but they lost their finale at Clemson, who isn't very good and then needed a 3-pointer at the buzzer to beat Clemson 76-75 in OT in yesterday's first round action. 

Keep in mind that Notre Dame had a bye on Wednesday, so they have a big edge here in rest as well. I just don't think the Hokies will have enough gas in the tank here, as they are not a deep team (only played 8 guys yesterday with 4 of the 8 playing 33+ minutes. Give me the Fighting Irish +1.5! 

40* (CBB) - Early Bird ATS SLAUGHTER (Texas -5.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances with Texas as a 5.5-point favorite against TCU in the Big 12 Tournament. The Longhorns should be extremely motivated after losing their last 2 games to close out the season. Not that they were bad losses, as they lost by just 7 at home to Baylor and in OT on the road at Kansas. 

You have to go back to a Jan. 18 loss at home to K-State to find the last time Texas lost to a team not named Baylor, Kansas or Texas Tech. Longhorns won 73-50 at TCU in the first meeting between these teams. While they only won by 9 in the second meeting at home, they outscored the Horned Frogs by 19 in the final 13 minutes of that game and managed to win by 9 despite only shooting 1 of 14 on 3-pointers. 

Another thing that stands out to me is they attempted 50 free throws in their two games vs TCU, while the Horned Frogs only attempted 23. They also were +12 in turnovers in those 2 games. Give me the Longhorns -5.5! 

40* (NBA) - Situational VEGAS INSIDER (Bulls -5) 

I'll take my chances with the Bulls as a 5-point road favorite against the Pistons. I've made some decent money on Detroit of late, as the Pistons come in having covered 8 straight. I just think the books have finally over-adjusted on them and the value is with Chicago in what feels like a game they need to get. 

Bulls will certainly not lack motivation, as they will be looking to put an end to a 5-game losing streak. Big thing to note about this recent run, is the schedule has been brutal. They have 3 road losses at Miami, Atlanta and Philly, with two home losses to the Grizzlies and Bucks. 

Chicago has won all 10 meetings between these two teams over the last 3 seasons, going 9-0-1 ATS in the process. Bulls are also 16-4 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season. Give me Chicago -5! 

50* (CBB) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Nebraska +4.5)

I'll gladly take my chances with Nebraska as a 4.5-point dog in Wednesday's first round action in the Big Ten Tournament. It's hard to explain what's transpired in Lincoln over the last couple weeks, but this team goes into the Big Ten Tournament thinking they got a chance. 

Nebraska closed out the regular-season with a 74-73 win on the road against Wisconsin and did so without one of their best players in Bryce McGowens. That's after they upset Ohio State (78-70) and Penn State (93-70) in their previous 2 games. 

Head coach Fred Hoiberg seems to have figured something out with this team and he sounded pretty optimistic that McGowens would suit up for this game. Even if he doesn't, I still like the Cornhuskers to carry over that late season momentum to Indianapolis. Give me Nebraska +4.5! 

40* (CBB) - Early Bird ATS NO-BRAINER (Florida St -1) 

I'll take my chances with the Seminoles as a slim 1-point home favorite against Syracuse in Thursday's second round action of the ACC Tournament. Florida State ended the regular-season with 3 straight wins, beating Virginia on the road 64-63, knocking off Notre Dame at home 74-70 and taking down NC State 89-76 in the finale. 

In their last game against NC State, the Seminoles got back a huge piece to their team in sophomore guard Caleb Mills. He scored 19 points in just 18 minutes of play. Mills had list the last 5 and with him on the floor they are hands down the better team in this one. 

While Florida State was surging down the stretch, Syracuse ended the season losing 4 in a row. They just don't look like the same team after losing junior big man Jesse Edwards. He missed the final 7 games and they went just 2-5, with one of those wins a 1-point OT win at home against Georgia Tech. The other win against a sub-par team in BC. Give me Florida State -1! 

50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Nets -2.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances with Brooklyn as a slim 2.5-point road favorite against the Hornets. I get the Nets have a monster game on deck Thursday night in Philly against their old teammate in James Harden, but I don't think it's going to be enough to deter them from getting a win in Charlotte. 

Brooklyn has lost 4 straight and are now just 3-17 over their last 20 games. They have went from fighting for the No. 1 seed in the East, to being just 2-games ahead of 11th place Washington and out of the playoffs completely. I just think the Nets are desperate for a win and I just don't see Durant and Irving letting them lose this one against an inferior team in the Hornets. Give me Brooklyn -2.5! 

50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Pistons +7.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances with the Pistons as a 7.5-point home dog against the Hawks. Detroit is playing their best basketball arguably of the entire season. The Pistons have won 5 of their last 7 games outright and are a perfect 7-0 ATS during this run. a

The key here is that because Detroit was so bad prior to this run, the public still has a hard time trusting this team with their money and because of that the books are going to be slow to adjust the numbers on them. 

I just can't help myself but take the 7.5 in a game I think they can win outright. The Hawks are just a mediocre team. They are 31-32 overall and a mere 12-19 SU and 10-21 ATS on the road this season. 

Hawks did just win 117-114 at Washington in their last game, but failed to cover as a 4.5-point favorite. Atlanta is 11-22 ATS last 2 seasons off a road win, 3-11 ATS last 14 in road games after a road game and 1-8 ATS last 9 road games after winning 2 of their last 3 games. Give me the Pistons +7.5! 

50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Cavs -4.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances with the Cavs as a 4.5 point favorite against the Raptors. Cleveland is really going to be motivated to get a win here after losing 3 straight and 6 of 7 overall. They really played well in their last game at Philly before giving up the lead late and losing 119-125. 

This just feels like the perfect spot for them to get back on track against a Raptors team that also hasn't been playing well. Toronto may or may not get back Fred VanVleet back, but he's likely not to be at full strength his first game back. Raptors are also still without OG Anunoby, who is a bigger piece to the puzzle than most think. Give me the Cavs -4.5! 

40* (CBB) - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Nebraska +12.5)

I'll take my chances with Nebraska as a 12.5-point road dog against the Badgers. While it's way too late to matter, the Cornhuskers seem to have flipped a switch and really figured something out. It started with a near upset of Iowa at home. They then went on the road and destroyed Penn State 93-70 in the Nittany Lions home finale and followed that up with a 78-70 win on the road against Ohio State. 

I don't know if they can keep it going and win this game outright on the road at Wisconsin, but I do think the spot sets up really nice for them. The big reason for that is the game just doesn't mean that much to the Badgers, who locked up the Big Ten regular-season title and No.1 seed in the Big Ten tournament with Tuesday's 70-67 home win over Purdue. 

For Nebraska it's just another chance for them to test themselves and how far they have come by facing off against the best team (at least record wise) in the Big Ten. Give me the Cornhuskers +12.5! 

40* (NBA) - Early Bird ATS SLAUGHTER (Nets +5) 

I'll gladly take my chances with the Nets as a 5-point dog against the Celtics in Sunday's early NBA action. I just think Brooklyn is being way undervalued in this one. This is as close to full strength that the Nets have been in quite some time. While they are still waiting on Ben Simmons to make his debut, Durant is back and Irving is a go on the road in Boston. 

No question the Celtics have been playing some of their best basketball over the last 5+ weeks, but one of their best players, Jaylen Brown is questionable. I also just think the Nets are the better team and while Boston probably deserves to be favored at home, not by this many points. Give me Brooklyn +5! 

50* (CBB) - SEC Sharp Money PLAY OF THE MONTH (Texas A&M -2) 

I really love the price here with Texas A&M as a mere 2-point home favorite against Mississippi State. There's a few factors in play that I really like in this matchup. The biggest and most obvious is the home/away splits for these two teams. The Aggies are 12-4 at home this season, while the Bulldogs are a mere 3-10 away from home and just 1-8 in true road games (only win at Missouri by 2-points). 

The other big thing that I like in this matchup is fading Mississippi State after a gut-wrenching 68-81 loss at home to Auburn on Wednesday. The Bulldogs who were down by as many as 19-points in the 1st half, rallied to take the lead and had a lead as by as 5 with less than 7 minutes to play. I just don't think Miss St will be emotionally ready for this one on the road. 

Aggies are also a team surging down the stretch, as they come in having won 3 straight and 4 of their last 5, covering the spread in all 4 wins, including a 87-71 outright win as a 10-point dog in their last game at Alabama. Give me Texas A&M -2! 

40* (NBA) - Situational ATS NO-BRAINER (Hornets -3.5) 

I'll take my chances with the Hornets as a 3.5-point home favorite against the Spurs on Saturday. Even though Charlotte is coming off an impressive 119-98 win on the road at Cleveland as a 4.5-point dog, I still think we are getting value with them given their lackluster play over the last month. Hornets are just 3-11  in their last 14 games. 

I just think there's too much talent on this Charlotte team from them to not get this thing back on track. They are well rested for this one playing on a full 2 days of rest and should be highly motivated to get this one with tough games against the Nets and Celtics on deck. 

Spurs have lost 3 straight and are in a tricky spot here. San Antonio had to play 3 straight on the road coming back from the All-Star break, returned home for one game on Thursday and now have to go right back on the road for one game against Charlotte before getting to go back home for a lengthy 7-game home stand. Give me the Hornets -3.5! 

40* (CBB) - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (N Carolina +12)

I will gladly take my chances with the Tar Heels as a 12-point road dog against the Blue Devils. There's plenty being made of this being Coach K's last game against rival UNC and final regular-season home game. With that said, it doesn't have quite the build up as the first meeting in Chapel Hill. Largely because of the Blue Devils dominating that game in a 87-67 win. 

I just think that really makes UNC a dangerous team in the rematch, especially with Duke having already wrapped up the ACC regular-season title. I think it's one of those scenarios where the Blue Devils will almost be too jacked up to play well. 

There's also the number that's important here. North Carolina could not play great and still keep this thing within 12-points. As ugly as that first loss was to Duke, the Tar Heels are still 10-2 over their last 12 games with a 4-game winning streak. Give me North Carolina +12! 

40* (CBB) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (Kansas St -2) 

I'll gladly take my chances with Kansas State as a mere 2-point home favorite against the Sooners on Saturday. I just think this is the perfect buy-low spot on the Wildcats, who come into this game having lost 4 straight after winning 4 of their previous 5. It could be a much different story for K State, as 3 of the 4 losses during this skid have come by a combined 9 points (3 of the 4 were also on the road). 

Not only are the Wildcats going to be motivated to end their losing streak, they will want some revenge on the Sooners after a heartbreaking 69-71 loss in Norman earlier this season. It's also senior day for them with this being their last home game of the season. 

Oklahoma is also a team I have no problem fading on the road. The Sooners are just 4-9 away from home this season and their only true road win since December is a win at West Virginia, who sits last in the Big 12 with a 3-14 conference mark. Give me Kansas State -2! 

40* (CBB) - Early Bird ATS MASSACRE (Dayton -3.5) 

I'll take my chances with Dayton as a 3.5-point home favorite against Davidson. I know Davidson has the best record in the Atlantic 10, but this to me is just too good a price on the Flyers at home. Dayton is 12-4 on their home floor this year and most of those losses came early in the year. In fact, 3 of the 4 losses came in November. Their only loss at home in the last 3 months is a 52-53 setback against VCU. 

The other big thing is the Wildcats could potentially be playing without one of their best players in Foster Loyer, who has missed the last 4 games. Seems unlikely he will be able to play after just sitting out their game on Wednesday. With that said, I still like Dayton to win by 4 or more if he does end up playing. 

Flyers have played the last 2 on the road and that puts them in a really favorable spot. Dayton is 40-21 ATS at home after playing their previous game on the road. They are 15-4 ATS last 2 seasons after playing their previous game on the road and 6-0 ATS last 2 seasons after playing 2 road games in a row. Give me the Flyers -3.5! 

40* (NBA) - Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Pistons +3.5) 

We cashed in on the Pistons last night as a 9-point dog at Toronto, as they went on to win that game outright 108-106 and it wasn't even that close. Detroit has now covered in 6 straight games and are simply not a team the books are going to adjust quickly on, as it's going to take a lot more than a short spree of good play for the betting public to get on board with this team. 

With that said, I will gladly take my chances with the Pistons as a home dog against a Pacers team that has been all over the place of late. Indiana comes in off a 122-114 OT win at Orlando, but needed a 34-19 4th quarter to force extra time and that was in a spot where you would expect more of the Pacers having just lost to the same Magic team two days prior 103-119. No way should this Indiana team being laying points on the road right now. Give me the Pistons +3.5! 

50* (CBB) - Smart Money MAX UNIT Top Play (St. Bonaventure -3.5) 

I will gladly take my chances with St. Bonaventure as a slim 3.5-point home favorite against Richmond on Friday. This is just too good a price to pass up on the Bonnies at home, where they are 12-2 SU this season. Especially in a spot where we should get a big time effort from St Bonaventure coming off an ugly 23-point loss at VCU earlier this week. 

It was only the third time this season the Bonnies have lost a conference game by 10 or more points and in each of the previous two instances the Bonnies came back in their next game and not only won outright but covered the spread. 

St. Bonaventure will also be out for revenge from an earlier loss at Richmond. Bonnies are 7-4 ATS last 3 seasons when revenging a road loss, with a 2-0 ATS mark this season. They are also 2-0 ATS this season when revenging a same season loss. Give me St. Bonaventure -3.5! 

40* (NBA) - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Pistons +9) 

I'll take my chances with the Pistons as a 9-point dog against the Raptors on Thursday. Detroit has quietly been playing some pretty good basketball since the return from the All-Star break. Pistons are just 2-2 SU, but have gone 4-0 ATS in their 4 games back.

It just feels like 9 is way too many for them to be catching right now, especially with how the Raptors have been playing. Toronto ki just 1-3 ATS in their 4 games back and the only two wins have come against the Nets without any of their big 3 (Durant, Irving or Simmons). In their two losses they got beat by 32 at Charlotte and by 27 at Atlanta. 

Toronto has lost OG Anunoby and could be without Fred VanVleet. If VanVleet doesn't go, I not only think Detroit can cover the big number, but win this game outright. Give me the Pistons +9! 

40* (CBB) - Situational VEGAS INSIDER (SMU -7.5) 

I go no problem laying the 7.5-points at home with SMU. According to ESPN's bracketology, the Mustangs are one of the last 4 teams left out of the field of 68. That's not to say the committee wouldn't have them in the field, but it's a pretty clear-cut sign that SMU can not afford to lose either of their last two games (both at home) against Cincinnati and Tulane. 

I just have a hard time seeing the Bearcats really wanting to play spoiler here. Cincinnati has lost 4 in a row and just played Tuesday at Houston after hosting USF on Saturday. So while it's their last game of the regular-season, it's hard to believe they will have a lot in the tank playing their 3rd game in 6 days. They would be better off resting up to try and make a run in the AAC tournament, because that's their only path to the NCAA Tournament. Give me SMU -7.5! 

40* (NBA) - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Knicks +10.5) 

I'll take my chances with the Knicks as a 10.5-point road dog against the 76ers on Wednesday. As bad as New York has been playing and Philly just beating the Knicks 125-109 in NY a few days ago, the value is with the Knicks in this one. Never easy beating the same team in back-to-back games. The books aren't just asking Philly to win, but win going away. While they lost by 16 to the 76ers a couple days ago, that was a 2-point game going into the 4th quarter. 

I also think it could be a bit of a flat spot for the 76ers, having just owned the Knicks and their next 4 games coming against serious playoff contenders in the Cavs, Heat, Bulls and Nets. Give me the Knicks +10.5! 

50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Pacers -1) 

I will gladly take my chances with the Pacers as a slim 1-point road favorite against the Magic. We backed the Pacers in their 128-107 win at home against the Celtics as a 9.5-point dog on Sunday. I stayed clear of backing Indiana in their next game at Orlando and they lost that one 103-119. 

Big reason we stayed away was it came on no rest and the Magic were playing on a full 2 days of rest. Now we get to back the Pacers at basically the same price in a much better spot. Not only is the rest even, but the motivation is clearly with Indiana playing with revenge on such short notice. Give me the Pacers -1! 

40* (CBB) - Situational VEGAS INSIDER (Oklahoma St +4.5) 

I'll take my chances with Oklahoma State as a 4.5-point dog at Iowa State on Wednesday. The Cyclones have won 4 in a row after losing 4 straight. It didn't come easy, as 3 of the 4 wins were by 3 points or less. The big key is this team has found a way to get to 7 wins in conference play and hit the 20-win mark overall. Even if they lose this game and at Baylor in the finale, they are going to be in the Big Dance. 

Cowboys will  be out for revenge, as they suffered a heartbreaking 81-84 OT loss at home to ISU a little over a month ago.

Cyclones are 0-4 ATS this season as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points and OSU is 11-5 ATS last 16 revenging a same season loss. Give me the Cowboys +4.5! 

50* (CBB) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Vandy PK) 

I love Vanderbilt at a Pick'em on the home floor against the Gators Tuesday. The Commodores have been a money-maker down the stretch. Vandy is 6-1-1 ATS over their last 8 games and I think we are getting a steal at this price. Florida has some nice wins at home, but are just 6-7 on the road this year and have gone just 2-6 ATS over their last 8 games. 

Plenty of motivation for Vandy, as it will be their final home game of the season and a chance to end their season on a positive note after dropping 4 of their last 5. As for the Gators, their senior day is this Saturday against the likes of Kentucky. Hard to believe Florida won't have their eyes set on that game. Give me the Commodores PK! 

40* (NBA) - No Doubt ATS MASSACRE (Hawks +7.5) 

I'll take my chances with the Hawks as a 7.5-point dog against the Celtics. Boston has gone 11-12 over their last 13 games, but they haven't quite been as dominant out of the break. They beat the Nets without any of their stars before barely holding on to win at Detroit and then losing outright at Indiana as a 9.5-point favorite. I just think Boston is getting a little too much love here. 

Atlanta's a good enough team to not only cover this number, but win this game outright. Hawks have looked good out of the break, losing by just 4 at Chicago and then crushing the Raptors by 27 at home. Give me Atlanta +7.5! 

40* (CBB) - Situational VEGAS INSIDER (Richmond -2)

I'll take my chances with Richmond as a slim 2-point home favorite against the Flyers. This is just too good a price to pass up with the Spiders at home. Richmond is 11-3 on their home floor this season. 

Dayton just lost 60-62 at LaSalle last time out, which pretty much was the end of their hope of getting at least a share of the A-10 regular-season title. They are 2-games back of Davidson (also 1 back of VCU) with just 2 to play and the Wildcats host George Mason on Wednesday to wrap it up. Give me Richmond -2!

40* (CBB) - Situational VEGAS INSIDER (Texas +1.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances with Texas as a 1.5-point home dog against Baylor. Upsets have been happening like crazy of late. Most of those upsets for the higher ranked teams are coming on the road. Baylor was one of those to do that, as they just beat Kansas at home on Saturday. 

I think we are going to see the Longhorns do the same thing on Monday. Texas is 16-2 on their home floor this season with one of those being a mere 3-point loss to Texas Tech after they had jumped out to a 31-16 lead. Baylor isn't a bad road team, but I just think the spot here is a tough one. They put everything they had into beating the Jayhawks. Asking them to do the same on the road just two days later in a place that's extremely hard to win at is asking a lot. Give me the Longhorns +1.5! 

50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Raptors -3.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances with the Raptors as a 3.5-point road favorite at Brooklyn. The Nets are coming off that big 126-123 upset win at Milwaukee as a 9.5-point underdog. That's just the difference having Kyrie Irving in the lineup, as he scored 38 points. Without him they lost 106-129 at home to the Celtics two days earlier. 

With this game back in Brooklyn, that means Irving is out and with that I think you got to go big on Toronto in this one. We should be getting a big effort here from the Raptors, who got embarrassed in their first two games back from the All-Star break, losing by 32 at Charlotte Friday and by 27 at Atlanta on Saturday. 

You also got to think about what the books are saying about this Brooklyn team without Kyrie for them to be a dog at home against a team that's been outscored by a combined 59 points in their last two games. Give me the Raptors -3.5! 

40* (CBB) - Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Penn State -10.5) 

I got no problem laying double-digits with the Nittany Lions at home in this one. Nebraska is 0-9 in road games this season with 7 of those 9 losses coming in Big Ten road games. Of those 7 conference road losses, 6 have come by 12 or more points. So while Penn State may not seem like a team that should be laying this kind of a number, it's really not asking a lot for them to cover this spread. 

Especially given the bad spot for Nebraska. The Cornhuskers just played their final home game and really gave a big effort on senior night against Iowa on Friday. I could definitely see Nebraska coming out extremely flat in this game. 

On the flip side, Penn State is a team playing with some confidence right now. Nittany Lions have won 3 of their last 4. Penn State will be celebrating their senior night in this one and they have 4 seniors who either start or play big minutes in Sam Sessions, Jalen Pickett, Myles Dread and John Harrar. Give me the Nittany Lions -10.5! 

50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Pacers +8.5) 

I think we are getting some exceptional value here with the Pacers as a 8.5-point home dog against the Celtics. Boston comes in having won 11 of their last 12, which I believe has them overvalued against a Pacers team no one is high on right now. 

The key here is the spot. The Celtics will not only being playing the second of a back-to-back on the road, it's their 3rd road game in 4 nights since the NBA returned from the All-Star break. Indiana's only game since the return from the break was Friday's home game against OKC. 

While the Pacers lost that game, they were sharp offensively with 125 points on 49% shooting. I think they can surprise a tired Boston team and not only keep it close enough to cover, but win the game outright. Give me Indiana +8.5! 

40* (NBA) - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Jazz -1.5) 

I'll take my chances with Utah as a 1.5-point road favorite against the Suns. I just think Phoenix is in for a really tough finish to this season without Chris Paul in the lineup. Devin Booker is being tasked with running the point while Paul is sidelined and that's just not where he's at his best. 

Suns were able to win without Paul in blowout fashion against OKC on Thursday, but they turned around and lost outright 102-117 as a 6.5-point favorite against the Pelicans on Friday. Scoring just 102 points and shooting 43.7% against that bad New Orleans defense really stood out to me. Now they face a hungry and motivated Utah team that has been one of the best defensive teams in the league over the last month. Give me the Jazz -1.5! 

40* (CBB) - Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT (St. Mary's +10) 

I'll gladly take my chances with the Gaels as a double-digit home dog against No. 1 ranked Gonzaga. KenPom says this line should be 7 and that just goes to show you how overrated this Bulldogs team is in the betting market right now. 

Not saying Gonzaga isn't a great team, but the price here is just too good to pass up, especially give the spot. The Bulldogs just played a pretty big road game at San Francisco on Thursday and now must play another road game on just 1 day of rest. There's also not a lot at stake for Gonzaga, who already has locked up the WCC regular-season title and outside of an early exit in the WCC tournament are all but a lock to be a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament. 

St. Mary's would be in the field of 68 if the tournament started today, but are only projected at the moment to be a No. 8 or No. 9 seed. A win here would lock them in and more important get them out of that 8/9 game and avoid having to play a No. 1 or No. 2 seed in the second round. Either way we can bank on the Gaels giving us everything they got in this game. Give me St. Mary's +10! 

40* (NBA) - No Doubt ATS MASSACRE (+7.5) 

I'll take my chances with the Kings as a 7.5-point road dog against the Nuggets on Saturday. These two teams just played at Sacramento on Thursday. Denver went on to win the game 128-110, but it was just a 5-point game going into the 4th quarter. I was on the wrong end of that one, as I had the Kings +4.5. 

Never easy taking a team that just burned you, but I got no problem backing the Kings at an even bigger price, especially with the short term revenge in play. Will be much harder for the Nuggets to get up for this game. Defense is going to be a problem for the Kings, but that offense is playing extremely well. Sacramento shot 50% from the field in that loss to the Nuggets and have shot 50% or better in 6 of their last 8 overall. Give me the Kings +7.5! 

50* (CBB) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Rutgers -2.5)

I love the value we are getting with the Scarlet Knights as a slim 2.5-point home favorite against the Badgers. This is a massive game for Rutgers, who are not a sure thing to make the NCAA Tournament, despite their impressive 10-7 record in Big Ten play, especially after dropping their last two on the road to Purdue and Michigan. 

That's not to say I don't think Rutgers should be in the tournament. The Scarlet Knights have been playing some great basketball over the last couple of months. Prior to losing their last two, they had won 4 straight over ranked opponents, including a 73-65 win at Wisconsin. 

The other big thing here is the huge home court advantage that Rutgers has. When this team is playing like they are, they are as tough as any team in the country to beat on their home floor. Scarlet Knights have only dropped 2 games at home all season and just one since December. Give me Rutgers -2.5! 

40* (CBB) - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Tennessee -3) 

I'll gladly take my chances with the Vols as a mere 3-point home favorite against Auburn. While the Tigers are No. 3 in the country and Tennessee is back at No. 17, there's good reason the Vols are favored in this one. 

Tennessee is a perfect 14-0 on their home floor this season, which includes wins over the likes of Arizona and most recently Kentucky. Auburn is a very respectable 10-3 away from home, but they have lost their last two on the road to Florida and Arkansas. They also have a lot of close calls that could have went the other way. They only won by 2 at Georgia, by just 1 at Missouri, by 9 at Ole Miss, by 4 at Alabama and by 4 at St Louis. Give me Tennessee -3! 

40* (CBB) - Situational ATS NO-BRAINER (Arkansas -2.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances with Arkansas as a slim 2.5-point home favorite against Kentucky. As good as the Wildcats are, they are always going to be overvalued in spots like this. Not many teams are playing as good as basketball right now as the Razorbacks. 

Arkansas is 12-1 over their last 13 games with the only loss being a mere 1-point setback on the road against Alabama. They have wins over both Auburn and Tennessee on their home floor during this run and are 15-1 on their home floor this season. Kentucky is just not the same team away from Lexington. The Wildcats are 17-0 on their home floor and just 6-5 everywhere else. Last time on the road they lost by double-digits at Tennessee. Give me Arkansas -2.5! 

50* (NBA) - Vegas Insider PLAY OF THE MONTH (Pelicans +7.5) 

I'll take my chances with the Pelicans as a 7.5-point road dog against the Suns. This just feels like a few too many for Phoenix to be laying in the second leg of a back-to-back coming out of the All-Star break, especially given that New Orleans is playing their first game out of the break. 

You also got to keep in mind that this is no longer a Suns team that has veteran Chris Paul to help them stay on task in these tough scheduling spots. They did win by 20 last night, but that was against OKC and it was only a 8-point game going into the 4th quarter. 

Pelicans lost 4 of 5 going into the All-Star break, but they did show some life during that stretch, especially on the offensive side of the ball. New Orleans shot 49% or better from the field in their last 4. Big part of that is the addition of C.J. McCollum. Not saying the Pelicans will win this one, but I like them to take it down to the wire. Give me New Orleans +7.5! 

50* (NBA) - Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Kings +4.5) 

I love the value we are getting here with the Kings as a 4.5-point home dog against the Nuggets. I really liked what I saw out of Sacramento after they made the big trade with Indiana to bring in Sabonis. I also think they made a couple of under the radar moves acquiring the likes of Donte Divincenzo and Justin Holiday.

These guys combined with Fox and Barnes give them quite a potent offensive attack and the extra practice time over the All-Star break should really help them, especially with the communication on the defensive side of the ball. 

Nuggets are a good team and went into the break winning 5 of 6, but they are just 17-15 on the road this year and there's not a ton of incentive for Denver coming out of the break in this game, especially with a home game on deck against Sacramento on Saturday. Give me the Kings +4.5! 

40* (CBB) - Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Indiana -6) 

I'll take my chances with Indiana winning by 7 or more at home against Maryland. I just really like this spot for the Hoosiers, who are now in desperation mode after dropping their last 5 games. They did show some life in their last game, losing in OT on the road to Ohio State. 

I think returning home and getting a very favorable matchup with a pretty average Terrapins team is exactly what this team needs to get back on track. Indiana already went on the road and beat Maryland 68-55. Hoosiers really had their way inside in that game and their defense, which is one of the best in the Big Ten, made it really hard on Maryland to score. It won't get any easier for the Terps on the road. The other big thing is the Terps are not a good defensive team and Indiana packs a much bigger punch offensively at home than on the road. Give me the Hoosiers -6! 

40* (CBB) - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT (UCF -2) 

Easy play for me on UCF as a slim 2-point home favorite against the Bearcats. I just don't think the Knights are getting near enough respect at home in this one. UCF is 12-3 at home on the season. They have won 6 of their last 7 at home with the only loss coming to Houston. 

Cincinnati has lost 3 of their last 4 and are fresh off an ugly 71-75 home loss to Temple. Bearcats are just 5-5 away from home on the season with their only two road wins over the last month coming against the likes of ECU and USF. 

Cincinnati is just 3-11 ATS last 12 on the road after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 and 4-11 ATS last 15 after playing their previous game as a favorite. Knights are 8-1 ATS last 9 off a home win as a favorite where they failed to cover the spread. Give me UCF -2! 

40* (CBB) - Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Notre Dame -4.5) 

I will gladly take my chances with the Irish as a 4.5-point home favorite against the Orange. Notre Dame is coming off a 74-79 loss at Wake Forest, but have not lost back-to-back games since losing 3 in a row in late Nov./early Dec. Irish are 16-4 over their last 20 games and are 11-1 on their home floor this season with the only loss coming at the hands of Duke. 

Syracuse has gone an impressive 6-1 over their last 7 games, but it's come in a very soft portion of their schedule. Four of the six wins were at home and the two road wins were against NC State and BC. The one game they lost was on the road to Va Tech by a score of 69-71. Orange or just 4-9 away from home on the season. Give me Notre Dame -4.5! 

50* (CBB) Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (Iowa State -5) 

Love this spot and price with Iowa State as a 5-point home favorite against West Virginia. The Cyclones have put their 4-game losing streak behind them with two straight wins. First winning on the road at TCU and then clobbering Oklahoma 75-54 at home on Saturday. ISU will be extremely motivated for this game, as they played horribly in a 63-79 loss at West Virginia a couple weeks ago. 

That's really the only positive for the Mountaineers over the last couple months. In fact, it's West Virginia's only win in their last 12 games as they come into this game just 14-13 overall and 3-11 in Big 12 play. Mountaineers are just 3-9 away from home on the season. They have not won a road game in Big 12 play. You have to go back to a Dec. 18th win at UAB to find their last win outside of Morgantown. 

Mountaineers are 2-10 ATS as a dog this season, 1-9 ATS last 10 off a conference loss and 0-6 ATS last 10 off a loss by 10 or more. Give me the Cyclones -5! 

50* (CBB) - Big East PLAY OF THE MONTH (UConn -2) 

I will gladly take my chances with UConn as a slim 2-point home favorite against Villanova. There's no doubt the Huskies have had this game circled.

UConn will not only be out for revenge from a 74-85 loss at Villanova earlier this month, but they will be looking to snap a 5-game losing streak to the Wildcats. Huskies haven't beat beat Villanova since knocking them off in the opening weekend of the 2014 NCAA Tournament. 

This team is more than equipped to do so, especially on their home floor, where they are 12-2 this season. As good as Villanova is, they are much more beatable on the road than they are at home (11-1 at home). 

Huskies are 11-3 ATS last 14 at home when they come in having won 3 of their last 4 and 14-4 ATS in their last 18 when revenging a loss where they gave up 85 or points. Give me UConn -2! 

50* (CBB) Sharp Money MAX UNIT Top Play (TCU -4) 

I'll take my chances with TCU laying 4-points at home against West Virginia. Both teams come into this game having lost 3 in a row, but there's just not a lot to like about this Mountaineer's team. West Virginia is way down. They are just 3-8 in road games this season and winless on the road in Big 12 play. 

It's also a horrible spot for the Mountaineers, as they just hosted Kansas on Saturday and now have to play on the road with just one day between games. You also have a West Virginia offense that ranks dead last in the Big 12 in effective FG% and dead last in the Big 12 in defensive efficiency. They need so much to go right just to be competitive on the road. 

West Virginia is 2-9 ATS as a dog this season and 3-10 ATS in Big 12 games. They are also just 6-17 ATS last 3 seasons on the road after playing their previous game at home. Give me the Horned Frogs -4! 

40* (CBB) - Situational ATS NO-BRAINER (Memphis -2.5) 

I will gladly take my chances with the Tigers as a 2.5-point road favorite against SMU. Memphis has been one of the hottest teams in the ACC over the last month. The Tigers have won 6 in a row with their last two victories coming on the road against Houston and Cincinnati. Memphis hasn't lost since falling 62-70 at home to SMU back on Jan. 20. 

No doubt that loss is going to serve as a big motivator here and simply put this is a different looking Memphis team than the one that lost that previous meeting. I also think you have to take into account the possibility that Kendric Davis may not suit up for SMU, as he's listed as questionable after missing their 57-64 loss at Temple with an ankle injury. 

Davis had a game-high 20-points in SMU's win over Memphis earlier in the season. Even if he plays, I still like the Tigers in this one. I just think with the way they are playing defense and the edge they have in size, they should win this game. Give me Memphis -2.5!  

50* (CBB) - Missouri Valley PLAY OF THE MONTH (UNI -1.5) 

Love the value with Northern Iowa as a slim 1.5-point home favorite against Missouri State. The Panthers have been on an absolute roll after their ugly 4-7 start to the season. UNI is 11-3 over their last 14 games with 2 of those 3 losses coming in overtime. Panthers are 6-1 at home in MVC play. The only loss coming in OT to in-state rival Drake. 

Missouri State has also been playing some strong basketball over the last couple of months, but I just don't see them winning on the road here. UNI is 31-14 in their last 45 at home as a favorite of 3 points or less. They have also won and covered in 4 of the last 5 meetings against the Bears, including a 85-84 road win at Missouri State back on Jan. 8. Give me Northern Iowa -1.5! 

40* (CBB) - No Doubt ATS SLAUGHTER (Wisconsin -2.5) 

I'll take my chances with the Badgers as a slim 2.5-point home favorite against the Wolverines. Hard to pass up on Wisconsin at this price. Michigan is coming off a solid 84-79 road win against Iowa and I just don't think the Wolverines will be able to pull off back-to-back road wins in the Big 10 in a span of just 3 days, as they took on the Hawkeyes Thursday. 

Not only that, this Michigan team has to be running on fumes right now, as they will be playing their 5th game in less than a 2-week span. 

I also like backing the Badgers here at home after they laid an egg in their last home game, losing 65-73 to Rutgers. Wisconsin is still a very strong 10-3 on their home floor this season. Give me the Badgers -2.5! 

40* (CBB) - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER (Northwestern -3.5) 

I'll gladly take my chances with Northwestern as a mere 3.5-point road favorite against the Gophers. These are two teams I think are headed in different directions. While the Wildcats have lost their last two, those two losses came on the road at Illinois and at home against Purdue, arguably the two best teams in the Big Ten. Prior to that they had won 3 straight. 

Minnesota is just 3-12 in Big Ten play and are just 2-12 since they started the season 10-1. Gophers last 5 losses have all come by 10 or more with each of the last two coming by 20 or more. The offense has been a complete no show of late, scoring just 45 and 46 in their last two games. Give me Northwestern -3.5! 

50* (CBB) - Sharp Money SEC PLAY OF THE MONTH (Arkansas -2.5) 

I love the Razorbacks as a mere 2.5-point home favorite against the Vols. Arkansas has been one of the most impressive teams in the SEC over the last couple of months. Razorbacks are 10-1 over their last 11 games with the only loss coming by a mere 1-point on the road against Alabama. They have won 7 straight at home and are 14-1 at home on the season. 

The Vols come in having won 5 straight and 8 of their last 9. None bigger than Tuesday's 76-63 blowout win at home against Kentucky. Tennessee is just not the same team on the road as they are home. Vols are 5-6 in neutral site/road games, compared to 14-0 at home. Tennessee is 18-38 ATS last 56 on the road after winning 15 of their last 20 games and a mere 3-11 ATS last 14 after covering 3 of their last 4. Arkansas is 31-18 ATS last 49 at home, 6-0 ATS last 6 at home after winning 4/5 of their last 6 and 11-0 ATS last 11 games in the month of February. Give me the Razorbacks -2.5! 

40* (CBB) - Situational ATS SLAUGHTER (Davidson -2) 

I'll gladly lay a mere 2-points at home with Davidson as they host St. Louis. The Wildcats are 19-2 over their last 21 games. They are 10-1 at home this season with the only loss being by a mere 2-points to VCU. 

The Billikens are a good team, but they should be a bigger dog in this fight. Davidson has won 6 of the last 8 meetings between these two teams, with 3 straight wins on their home floor. 

I just think the value stems from the fact that the Wildcats have failed to cover each of their last 4 games and are just 1-7 ATS over their last 8. Too much value to pass up. Give me Davidson -2! 

40* (CBB) - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE (Iowa State -1.5) 

I'll take my chances with the Cyclones as a slim 1.5-point home favorite against the Sooners. It's been tough sledding for Iowa State here of late, but they were able to snap a 4-game skid with a 54-51 win on the road against TCU. I like the Cyclones to build off that win and get some revenge against Oklahoma, who beat them by 13 in Norman earlier this season. 

While the Cyclones have lost their last 2 at home, there's no denying the huge home court edge this team has. You also got to look at the fact that Oklahoma is just 2-9 since that win over ISU back in early January. Sooners are just 4-7 away from home this season with a 1-6 record in road games in Big 12 play. 

Last time out Sooners lost 78-80 in OT at home to Texas. Oklahoma is 16-30 ATS last 46 on the road after a conference home loss and 0-6 ATS last 6 on the road after a game that saw 155 or more points. ISU is 12-3 ATS last 15 after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 and 32-6 ATS last 38 as a home favorite of 3 points or less. Give me the Cyclones -1.5!