Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-04-18 | Indiana v. Penn State -2.5 | 64-62 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Penn St -2.5) I'll take my chances here with the Nittany Lions to cover the small spread at home against the Hoosiers. I think this line is an early gift from the books, as I think we are getting a great number with an underrated Penn State team taking on an overrated Indiana team. It's really hard to win on the road in the Big Ten and I just don't think the Hoosiers have the makeup of a team that's going to win a lot of road games in conference play. Give me the Nittany Lions -2.5! |
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12-03-18 | Rockets -1.5 v. Wolves | Top | 91-103 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Rockets -1.5) I'll take my chances here with Houston, who I think is a team that will be worth backing going forward, as long as they can stay healthy. The Rockets are as healthy as they have been all season and a lot of people overlook that they have only had Harden and Paul in the lineup together for 14 of their 22 games. They are 10-4 when both play and 1-7 without them. Minnesota has played better than most expected since trading away Jimmy Butler, as they are 7-3 without him. However, I think a lot of that is just them trying harder and that can only last so long. They just lost at home to Boston by 9 and gave up 118 in the process. Rockets are clicking offensively and I just think they are the far superior team. Give me Houston -1.5! |
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12-03-18 | Iowa +11 v. Michigan State | 68-90 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (Iowa +11) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Hawkeyes as a double-digit dog against the Spartans. I really like this Iowa team. While they don't have any real superstars, they are deep and experienced with some quality freshmen added to the mix. They let one get away at home against Wisconsin, but easily could have won despite only shooting 39% from the field. This team has already won big games against Oregon and UConn, beating both without much problem. It's hard to win at Michigan State, but I think this Iowa team is fully capable of pulling off the upset and should have no problem keeping this within the number. Give me Iowa +11! |
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12-01-18 | Pacers v. Kings +1.5 | 110-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS SLAUGHTER (Kings +1.5) I'll take my chances here with Sacramento at basically a pick'em at home against the Pacers. I just think this is a really tough spot for Indiana, who is without Oladipo and may be missing big man Domantas Sabonis. Not to mention it's the last stop on their 4-game west coast trip that started Monday with a game in Utah. Kings are playing their 3rd straight at home and just 3rd game game in the last week. I've liked what I've seen from this Sacramento team and I think they will be the more motivated side in this one. Give me the Kings +1.5! |
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12-01-18 | Northwestern v. Indiana -7 | 66-68 | Loss | -107 | 2 h 38 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB EARLY BIRD ATS ANNIHILATOR (Indiana -7) I'll take my chances here with the Hoosiers laying single-digits at home against the Wildcats. I think this is a great spot to jump on Indiana, who has failed to cover 4 straight and fresh off an ugly showing at Duke. I was on the Blue Devils in that win over the Hoosiers and the last time I played on Indiana was their 96-73 win over Marquette at home, which I feel is almost an identical scenario to what we have here. Northwestern is 6-1 but that's more of the schedule being favorable than them being good. This is a team picked by many to finish in the basement of the Big Ten and this will be the first time all season they are a dog. It's also their first true road game and one of the more difficult places to play. Give me the Hoosiers -7! |
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11-30-18 | Mavs +3.5 v. Lakers | 103-114 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS SLAUGHTER (Mavs +3.5) The Mavs appear to have hit the jackpot in rookie Luka Donic. He's leading the team in scoring at 19.1 ppg and shooting almost 40% from deep. He's also averaging 6.5 rpg and 4.2 apg. He gives Dallas a sneaky good starting 5 with him Harrison Barnes, Wesley Matthews, Dennis Smith Jr. and DeAndre Jordan. Let's also not forget, they have one of the best head coaches in the league in Rick Carlisle. They have won 3 straight and 7 of their last 8 and are going to bring their 'A' game to LA against LeBron and the Lakers. Speaking of LA, I was on and cashed with the Lakers last night, but now it's time to fade them in the second game of a back-to-back. This will be only the second game in the last six days for Dallas. Give me the Mavs +3.5! |
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11-30-18 | Oklahoma State v. Minnesota -3.5 | Top | 76-83 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Minnesota -3.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Gophers, as I absolutely love them at this price on their home court. I've been on Minnesota a lot early on, as I think they are flying under the radar in 2018 after injuries really ruined their season a year ago. They got a good head coach in Richard Pitino and these midwest teams have huge home court advantages. I think Oklahoma St is getting a lot of love for a recent blowout win over LSU, but they shot the lights out of the gym at 59%. If that happens were screwed, but rarely do teams shoot that well in an opposing teams arena and there's no better example of that than their first true road game, which was also their season opener. Cowboys lost outright 66-64 at Charlotte as a 13-point favorite (shot 40%). Give me the Gophers -3.5! |
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11-29-18 | Pacers v. Lakers -4.5 | 96-104 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
40* PACERS/LAKERS NBA BOOKIE SLAUGHTER (Lakers -4.5) I'll gladly back the Lakers at home at this price. I absolutely love this spot for LA, as they come in having lost 2 straight and in the most recent game they got their butts whooped in a 117-85 loss at Denver. Clearly the entire team played bad, but it was easily the worst game for LeBron James since coming to LA and I'm willing to bet the best basketball player on the planet will make sure he doesn't play that poorly in back-to-back games. Pacers are without their star in Oladipo and I just don't see Indiana being able to match the intensity of LA, as this is their 3rd road game in 4 nights. Give me the Lakers -4.5! |
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11-29-18 | Clippers v. Kings +3 | 133-121 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
40* KINGS/CLIPPERS NBA TNT NO-BRAINER (Kings +3) I'll take my chances here with Sacramento as a small home dog against the Clippers. Taking the points for insurance but I fully expect the Kings to win this one outright. I've really been impressed with the improvements Sacramento has made from last year to this season. They got a nice mix of young guys that not just love basketball but want to win and I think they come out locked and loaded for this prime time showdown on TNT against a Clippers team that is off to a surprising start of their own. I just LAC has to be feeling themselves a bit and this is not an ideal spot playing on no rest after hosting the Suns on Wednesday. While they are on no rest, Sacrament has going to be playing on 3 days rest. Give me the Kings +3! |
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11-28-18 | Purdue v. Florida State -4.5 | 72-73 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (FSU -4.5) I'll take my chances here with the Seminoles as a short home favorite against the Boilermakers. Both these teams come into this one at 5-1, but the eye test for me is that FSU is the far superior team and should have no problem here winning by at least 7-points at home. Purdue lost a lot from last year and while they got one of the best players in the Big Ten in Carsen Edwards, he's got to play exceptional for this team to just have a fighting chance. I think it's going to make it really hard for the Boilermakers to be competitive on the road against a top tier team like FSU. Give me the Seminoles -4.5! |
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11-28-18 | Spurs v. Wolves -4.5 | 89-128 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Wolves -4.5) I'll take my chances here with Minnesota at home against the Spurs. It doesn't make sense to a lot of people that the T-Wovles can be better after trading away Jimmy Butler, but the results speak for themselves. Minnesota is 6-2 in their last 8 and all 6 wins have come by at least 7 points. The defense has been outstanding. During this 8-game stretch they have only allowed one team to shoot better than 43% from the field. I'm not sure why the Spurs are getting as much love as they are, especially on the road. San Antonio is a mere 4-8 in their last 12 games and just 4-7 on the road this season. Give me the Timberwolves -4.5! |
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11-28-18 | Wizards v. Pelicans -6 | Top | 104-125 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Pelicans -6) I'll take my chances here with New Orleans winning at home by at least 7 points against the Wizards, as I think the Pelicans easily cash in a victory here by double-digits. This is a big revenge spot for New Orleans as they just lost by double-digits at Washington lat Saturday. Not to mention they are going to be extremely motivated to snap a 4-game losing streak. They are 8-2 on their home floor, where they are scoring 122 ppg. Washington is 2-7 on the road, where they are giving up 122 ppg. I just don't see the Wizards keeping pace. Give me the Pelicans -6! |
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11-27-18 | Indiana v. Duke -14.5 | 69-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (Duke -14.5) I know this line here is probably a couple points high, but I'm laying double-digits with Duke hoping they win by 15. I think the Blue Devils are going to make Indiana look bad and win here by 20+ points. I just think Duke is one of the most talented teams we have seen in a while and if healthy will be the national champs at the end of year. I love taking elite teams like this off a loss, especially the first one and that next game at home. Indiana isn't a bad team and will compete in the Big Ten, but the Blue Devils are on a different level. I think the one game they were super locked in for was the opener against Kentucky and they rolled the Wildcats 118-84. The Hoosiers won't be able to withstand the constant haymakers that Duke throws at them. Give me the Blue Devils -14.5! |
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11-27-18 | Raptors v. Grizzlies +5 | 122-114 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Grizzlies +5) I'll take my chances here with Memphis as a 5-point home dog, as I think we are getting a solid 5-points in value. I actually like the Grizzlies to win this game outright. Memphis is better than you think and come into this game with a 7-2 home record. They are tormenting teams with their defense, as teams are only averaging 99.1 ppg and shooting 42.8% against them on their home floor. Toronto has started better than most expected, but the books are on to them and really inflating their numbers. They just won by 10 at home against Miami, but failed to cover as a 12-point favorite. Give me the Grizzlies +5! |
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11-27-18 | Boise State -4 v. Drake | Top | 74-83 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
50* NCAAB SHARP MONEY PLAY OF THE MONTH (Boise St -4) I absolutely love this play. Drake comes in at 3-1 and in my only play involving them this year, I cashed easily on Colorado as a 15-point home favorite. Buffaloes won that game 100-71 and shot a ridiculous 59% from the field. I think the fact that Drake has managed to beat some really bad teams (Buena Vista, Texas State and UMKC), they are getting way too much respect on their home floor. It also helps that Boise State has started out slow at 2-3. Coming off a loss the Broncos will be locked in for this one and should win here by double-digits no problem. Give me Boise State -4! |
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11-26-18 | Minnesota +1 v. Boston College | 56-68 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Minnesota +1) I'll take my chances here with Minnesota to pull out a win on the road against the Tigers. I've cashed in a couple times already on this Gopher team, as I thought they were flying well under the radar after injuries ruined last year's season. Richard Pitino is building something in Minneapolis and this team has started out 5-0 and just won the Vancouver Showcase. Boston College is 4-1 and fresh off a nice upset win over Loyola-Chicago. Sure that's a nice win, but Loyola is getting way too much love early on from what they did last year. Eagles are improved, but still have a ways to go, which is evident by their 76-69 home loss to IUPUI as a 16-point favorite. Give me the Gophers +1! |
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11-26-18 | Bucks v. Hornets +5 | Top | 107-110 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Hornets +5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Charlotte as a decently priced home dog against the Bucks. Milwaukee has made plenty of headlines with their 14-5 start and the books are definitely making their backers pay a premium. Hornets are 9-2 and really not on anyone's radar, which has them way undervalued at home, where they are 6-3 and outscoring opponents by 11 ppg. Speaking of home/away splits, the Bucks have benefited greatly from playing 12 of their first 19 games at home, as they are just 4-3 on the road compared to 10-2 at home. All we need is for Charlotte to keep it close and I think they win outright. Give me the Hornets +5! |
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11-25-18 | Clippers v. Blazers -3.5 | 104-100 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Blazers -3.5) I'll take my chances here with Portland as a short home favorite against the Clippers. I just think this price is too good to pass up. The Blazers are a big undervalued right now, as they are just 2-4 in their last 6 and have lost their last 2, but all of these came on the road. Portland has won 4 straight and are 7-2 overall at home this year. Clippers are 8-1 at home, but just 4-5 on the road and 3 of those road wins are against the likes of the Magic, Hawks and Nets. Portland is 24-7 ATS last 31 home games and clippers 0-5 ATS last 5 road games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Give me the Blazers -3.5! |
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11-21-18 | Grizzlies v. Spurs -2.5 | 104-103 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS ODDS MAKER LINE MISTAKE (Spurs -2.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Spurs laying this short of a number at home. I get this isn't the same caliber a San Antonio team as previous years, but as long as Popovich is in charge, they are going to be a very difficult team to beat on their home floor. Spurs are 6-2 at home and 2-6 on the road and it's not like they are just beating cupcakes at home. They have home wins over the Warriors, Rockets, Pelicans, Lakers and T-Wolves. Memphis is good and have been playing well, but are getting too much respect here having won and covered 4 straight. Give me the Spurs -2.5! |
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11-21-18 | Nuggets v. Wolves -1 | 103-101 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Wolves -1) I'll take my chances here with Minnesota at basically a pick'em at home. It's hard to explain why things didn't work out with the Timberwolves and Jimmy Butler. It feels like their was simply a clash of personalities and the young T-wolves not wanting to turn over the reigns to Butler. Since he's been gone the effort has been outstanding, especially on defense. They did run out of gas last time out in a loss at home to the Grizzlies, but have had two days off to regroup and will be catching a tired and struggling Nuggets team that has lost 6 of 7 and playing their 3rd straight on the road. Give me the Timberwolves -1! |
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11-21-18 | Pistons v. Rockets -9 | Top | 124-126 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
50* NBA NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH (Rockets -9) I'll take my chances here with the surging Rockets at home against what I feel is a pretty overrated Pistons team. It's funny how Houston got rid of the cancer that is Carmelo Anthony and like the flip of a light switch starting playing better. They come in having won and covered 4 straight and those outside shots they weren't hitting early on are falling at a much higher rate. Pistons have won 4 of 5, but 3 of those were against the Magic, Hawks and Cavs. The other a nice road win at Toronto, but they caught the Raptors in a stretch when they weren't playing well. Pistons are the worst shooting team in the league and I'm not buying they can go into Houston and keep this game close with just their defense. Give me the Rockets -9! |
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11-21-18 | Louisville v. Tennessee -8.5 | 81-92 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB SITUATIONAL ATS MASSACRE (Tennessee -8.5) I'll take my chances here with the Volunteers making easy work of the Cardinals. I just think Louisville is such a big name that we are catching value here with Tennessee. It helps that Louisville is 3-0, but wins over Nicholls State, Southern and Vermont are nothing to get excited about. They shot 53% from the field and only beat Vermont by 8-points on their home floor. With all that's gone on, there's a lot of new faces in Louisville and while the future is bright under Chris Mack, there's going to be some growing paints this season. The Volunteers are absolutely loaded and just beat Georgia Tech at home by 13, despite shooting 39.6% from the field. That game was also without Lamonte Turner, who is expected back in the lineup today after missing the previous 3. Give me Tennessee -8.5! |
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11-20-18 | Auburn v. Duke -10 | 72-78 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (Duke -10) I'll take my chances here with the Blue Devils laying just 10-points against the Tigers. I get that Auburn is 4-0 and ranked No. 8 in the country, but I just think this Duke team is a class above the rest. That was a pretty good San Diego State team they just annihilated yesterday and note that while they won comfortably and got to rest some starters, Auburn was playing in an OT game against Xavier, where their two studs, Brown and Harper, each played 43 minutes. I just don't see the Tigers having the energy to keep pace with this Duke attack. Give me the Blue Devils -10! |
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11-20-18 | Raptors v. Magic +7 | 93-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Magic +7) I'll take my chances here with Orlando as a decent priced home dog against the Raptors. I get Toronto is a great team and snapped their 3-game losing streak with a blowout win at the Bulls, but this is still a big number here for them to be laying against a Magic team that has been ballin of late. Orlando has won 7 of their last 9, going 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6. That includes wins at home over the 76ers and Lakers in their last 3. I think they can at least keep this within the number. Give me the Magic +7! |
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11-20-18 | Cornell v. Connecticut -15 | Top | 74-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (UConn -15) I'll take my chances here with UConn laying it on Cornell at home tonight. The Huskies laid an egg in the 2nd game of a back-to-back against Iowa after their big win over Syracuse. That's a really good Hawkeyes team that a lot of people don't know about. I think they bounce back here in a big way against a Cornell team that has lost by double-digits at home to the likes of Colgate and Delaware. Should be pretty easy for the Huskies to win here by at least 20. Give me UConn -15! |
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11-19-18 | Clippers v. Hawks +8.5 | 127-119 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Hawks +8.5) I'll take my chances here with Atlanta as a decently priced home dog against the Clippers. LA comes in having won 4 straight and 6 of their last 7 and are way overvalued because of it. Not to mention Atlanta is getting zero love with them having lost 7 straight and being just 1-11 in their last 12 overall. However, the Hawks have covered 3 of their last 4 and this is the most they will have caught on their home floor. LA is 7-1 at home and just 3-4 on the road. Also Atlanta has had to play 10 of their first 16 on the road, so that's another thing that has them undervalued. Give me the Hawks +8.5! |
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11-19-18 | Nebraska -14 v. Missouri State | Top | 85-62 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
50* NCAAB VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Nebraska -14) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Cornhuskers to cash in an easy win and cover against the Bears. Missouri State comes in at 3-0, which I think is definitely keeping the number here lower than it should be, but they haven't played anyone. Bears are picked to finish near the basement of the Missouri Valley and have not been less than a 7-point favorite, so that tells you the level of talent they have been playing. Nebraska is 3-0 and while they have a couple of cupcake wins, they also won by 23 as a mere 8-point favorite against Seton Hall. I think everyone calling last year's surprise 4th place finish in the Big Ten a fluke and them getting snubbed on the NCAA Tournament, has this team playing with a big chip on their shoulder this year. Give me Nebraska -14! |
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11-16-18 | Kings +7 v. Grizzlies | 104-112 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
40* NBA UNDERDOG ATS MASSACRE (Kings +7) I'll take my chances here with Sacramento at this price. If you haven't had a chance to check out this Kings team, I really suggest doing so. This is not your bottom feeder of the West anymore. Sacramento has stockpiled a lot of young talent and some of their young guys are starting to blossom into stars. There also seems to be a very strong chemistry between the group. Right now they would be the No. 8 seed and for them to be in the conversation 14 games, tells you how good they are playing. Memphis has been playing well also and that's a team a lot of people were high on coming in. I just feel the Grizzlies are getting too much love here against a team they could easily lose to. Give me the Kings +7! |
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11-16-18 | Raptors v. Celtics -2 | Top | 116-123 | Win | 100 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Celtics -2) I'll take my chances here with Boston at basically a pick'em at home. I just think it's too good a price to pass up. Maybe the Warriors are the only team I wouldn't be overly confident with the Celtics in this spot. The only potential guy they won't have is Marcus Morris (questionable) and that's not a big loss with the depth this team has. We are also getting a refreshed Boston team that's playing just their 2nd game in the last 5 days. Definitely one they will be excited for, given they lost at Toronto earlier this year. Raptors have lost back-to-back since that strong start, both at home and both as 9.5-point favorites. I think this is a great time to fade them, especially on the road. Give me the Celtics -2! |
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11-14-18 | Blazers +3 v. Lakers | Top | 117-126 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
50* NBA LATE NIGHT GAME OF THE MONTH (Blazers +3) I'll gladly take my chances here with Portland as a dog against LeBron James and the Lakers. The Blazers are simply the better team and should not be a dog in this fight. LA is and will continue to be a huge public play with James and are definitely going to be with them having won 3 straight and 5 of 6. The thing is, most of these wins have come against bad teams and 4 of the 5 have come by 4-points or less, which means this could easily be a completely different story. Portland is 3-1 SU and 3-1 ATS on the road, where they are outscoring teams by 8.5 ppg. Lakers are 4-3 SU and 1-6 ATS at home where they are getting outscored by 1.6 ppg. Give me the Blazers +3! |
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11-14-18 | Knicks +9 v. Thunder | 103-128 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
40* NBA UNDERDOG ATS SHOCKER (Knicks +9) I'll take my chances here with New York as a near double-digit dog against the Thunder. I just think this is a good spot to go against OKC with Westbrook not available. While they won at home over the Suns last time out, they lost by 15 the previous game at Dallas. New York isn't a good team, but there not horrible and I like them to give the Thunder a scare tonight. OKC just 2-5 ATS last 7 at home vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games and NY 4-1 ATS last 5 after a double-digit loss at home. Give me the Knicks +9! |
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11-13-18 | Rockets v. Nuggets -4 | Top | 109-99 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
50* NBA WESTERN CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH (Nuggets -4) I'll gladly take my chances here with Denver as a short home favorite. The Nuggets have lost 3 straight since their impressive 9-1 start and failed to cover in all 3, including a 7-point loss at home to Milwaukee last time out. The other two were two-point losses in tough spots to Memphis and Brooklyn. I think this is a get right game for Denver and I've got to see more than one double-digit win at home over the Pacers to believe the Rockets are back to what they had been. I just think Houston is getting way too much respect here. Give me the Nuggets -4! |
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11-13-18 | Drake v. Colorado -14.5 | 71-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (Colorado -14.5) I'll take my chances here with the Buffaloes at home against Drake, a I think Colorado wins this thing by 20+ rather easily. Drake made a surprising turnaround last year under first-year head coach Niko Medved, but he bolted for Colorado State. Not only did they lose the guy that made them respectable, but that team was built around 5 seniors. There's only two guys back from last year's team that scored for Drake in any game. Buffaloes got a ton of talent a rising star in the Pac-12 in sophomore McKinley Wright. Give me Colorado -14.5! |
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11-12-18 | Utah v. Minnesota -8 | 69-78 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Minnesota -8) I'll take my chances here with the Gophers to win at home by at least double-digits against the Utes. I cashed in on Minnesota -14.5 in their season opening 104-76 victory against Nebraska-Omaha. I mentioned in that writeup how underrated this Gophers team is because of all the injuries that derailed the 2nd half of their season last year. This team is way better than people think. As for Utah, they lost three double-digit scorers and 4 of their top six scorers from last season. They went more than 9 minutes without scoring in the 2nd half of their mere 14-point win over Maine. The same Maine team that lost by 43 to San Francisco. Give me the Gophers -8! |
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11-12-18 | Mavs v. Bulls -1 | 103-98 | Loss | -101 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (Bulls -1) I'll take my chances here with Chicago at basically a pick'em at home against the Mavs. The Bulls don't get a lot of publicity, but they are a team I think you have to keep an eye on, especially once they get back some of these key guys from injury. Right now they are riding the play of Zach LaVIne, who has scored 20 or more in every game. He's getting plenty of help from Jabari Parker and rookie Wendall Carter Jr. and most recently Ryan Arcidiacono, who had 15 points in in his 1st career start and just plays with an infectious style. Mavs won't have second leading scorer Wesley Matthews and start rookie Luka Donic is questionable to play. Dallas comes in off a nice home win over the Thunder, but have not won a game on the road this season and I don't see that changing tonight. Give me the Bulls -1! |
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11-09-18 | Wizards -3 v. Magic | 108-117 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS KNOCKOUT (Wizards -3) I'll take my chances here with Washington deciding to act like it's no longer the preseason and get a much-needed win over a bad Magic team. Wizards have done this before. Couple years ago they started 2-8 and ended up with a Division title and 49 wins. It's not so much that they don't have the talent, but the effort just hasn't been there. They get a big win over the Knicks at home and come out flat the next game in an eventual 19 point loss at Dallas. Who knows what Orlando is doing, the bench had to be called out for not caring and I could see those same immature kids looking ahead to their flight to the Big Apple, as they play the Knicks in NY on Sunday. Wizards defense hasn't been good, but I expect a big effort and it helps the Magic are one of the worst offensive teams in the league. Give me Washington -3! |
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11-09-18 | Arkansas v. Texas -6 | 71-73 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (Texas -6) I'll take my chances here with the Longhorns laying what I feel is a favorable number against the Razorbacks. Texas might not have the NBA big guy to lean on like they have the last two seasons with Jarrett Allen and Mo Bamba, but I think the roster as a whole is the best of the Shaka Smart era. I think they are very talented an, have a couple of senior leaders who are starters and depth across the board. Arkansas is coming off a 23-12 season, but are likely in rebuilding mode after losing 4 starters, including the dynamic duo of Jaylen Barford and Daryl Macon (34.7 ppg -combined). I also like the edge Texas has here having already played a game, while this is the season opener for the Razorbacks. Give me the Longhorns -6! |
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11-08-18 | Clippers v. Blazers -5 | 105-116 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Blazers -5) I'll take my chances here with Portland as a small home favorite against the Clippers tonight. The Blazers are one of those teams that despite how well they are playing, they never seem to get that much love. They had the 3rd best record in the West last year and yet were not really talked about in the offseason. They have started out 8-3 and this is more than a fair price to back them at home against a Clippers team that just lost a key piece in Avery Bradley. Last time out the Blazers won by 15 at home against the Bucks, which came just two days after they won by 30 at home over the Timberwolves. Give me Portland -5! |
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11-08-18 | Morehead State v. Connecticut -11 | 70-80 | Loss | -112 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (UConn -11) I'll take my chances here with the Huskies at this price against a team like Morehead State on their home floor. I get that Morehead State returns all 5 starters and UConn is coming off a bad season and just made a big coaching change. It doesn't change the fact that the Huskies are the far superior team and should win here by 20-plus points. I think UConn made a massive upgrade at head coach bringing in Dan Hurley to replace Kevin Ollie. He takes over at team that might have the best player in the AAC in Jalen Adams. While I like teams with experience early, Morehead State lost by 52 to Xavier, 33 to Virginia Tech and 16 to Butler. They will be improved, but more of that will come inside conference play. Give me UConn -11! |
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11-07-18 | Wolves v. Lakers -5 | Top | 110-114 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
50* NBA LATE NIGHT GAME OF THE MONTH (Lakers -5) I'll take my chances here with the Lakers as a short home favorite. You got to pick your spots backing LA, as the books are going to make you pay a hefty price with all the public action on them. I think this is one of those spots. At 3-7 the Lakers can't afford to lose these kind of games at home. The west is too good to dig yourself out of a big hole. I just don't see LeBron letting his team lose in this spot and we know they can hang with the T-Wolves (lost by just 4 in Minnesota). Give the Lakers -5! |
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11-07-18 | 76ers v. Pacers -2.5 | 100-94 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE ATS MASSACRE (Pacers -2.5) I'll take my chances here with the Pacers as a small home favorite. Not many times I won't be willing to lay a short number with Indiana at home. There's just some teams that play drastically better at home than they do on the road and I think the Pacers are definitely one of them. I know they are just 3-2 at home, but they lost to two really good teams in Portland and Houston. The game against Portland was sandwiched around 5 road games and the loss to the Rockets came 2 days after they upset Boston at home on a game-winner. I expect them to beat the 76ers here and wouldn't be shocked if they won going away, as the 76ers are 0-5 and getting outscored by 15 ppg on the road. Give me the Pacers -2.5! |
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11-06-18 | Nets v. Suns +1 | Top | 104-82 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Suns +1) I'll take my chances here with Phoenix to simply win the game at home against the Nets. It's been a tough start to the season for the Suns, who are just 2-7, but it's important to note that their best player, Devin Booker missed 3 games and they lost all 3. The 4 losses with Booker have come against the Raptors, Lakers, Warriors and Nuggets. I just think this team is better than they are getting credit for and simply shouldn't be a home dog to Brooklyn, who is a bottom feeder in the east and just 1-4 in their 5 road games this season. Give me Phoenix +1! |
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11-06-18 | Nebraska-Omaha v. Minnesota -14.5 | 76-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
40* NCAAB OPENING NIGHT ATS KNOCKOUT (Minnesota -14.5) I'll take my chances here with Minnesota coming out in their season-opener and laying it on the Mavericks. The Gophers ended up finishing last season at 15-17 and I think it has them way undervalued here to start the new season. This team actually started out the year 13-3 before injuries and suspensions resulted in 4 of their top 6 players unavailable. They got a bunch of guys coming back and keep an eye on true freshman Daneil Oturu. As for Omaha, they got 3 starters back from a team that went 9-22 last year and were awful on the defensive side of the ball. I just don't see them keeping this within 20 points on the road. Give me the Gophers -14.5! |
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11-05-18 | Celtics v. Nuggets -2 | Top | 107-115 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Nuggets -2) I'll take my chances here with the Nuggets laying a short number at home against the Celtics. Boston is a big public team and the public will have a hard time not taking them at what is essentially a pick'em. Denver is 8-1 and a perfect 5-0 record at home. They enter having won 4 straight and have already knocked off the Warriors, Pelicans and Jazz on their home floor. They aren't going to be the least bit intimidated by Boston. If anything, they will have them completely locked in. Celtics lost on a last-second 3-pointer at Indiana because Irving missed a layup that would have sealed it. Tough one to bounce back from. Give me the Nuggets -2! |
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11-05-18 | Cavs v. Magic -4.5 | 100-102 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Magic -4.5) I'll take my chances here with Orlando laying a short number at home against the Cavs. This Cleveland team is a complete mess right now and J.R. Smith was quoted saying "Team is in a very weird place right now." That's not the sign of a team you want to be backing as a small road dog. I know Orlando has struggled, but the schedule hasn't been kind and they are fresh off a big 117-110 road win over the Spurs yesterday. I think they build off that performance and take out Cleveland without much problem. Take the Magic -4.5! |
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11-02-18 | Knicks v. Mavs -6 | 118-106 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Mavs -6) I'll take my chances here with Dallas winning at home in convincing fashion over the Knicks. While these two teams come in with identical 2-6 records, I've been way more impressed with what I've seen from the Mavs than I have New York. The Knicks two wins, both came at home (0-3 away from home) against the Nets and Hawks. Last time they played outside of Madison Square Garden was over a week ago (10/24) at Miami and they lost 110-87 as a 8-point dog. Both of the Mavs wins have come at home and I don't see the Knicks being able to keep pace offensively. Give me Dallas -6! |
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11-02-18 | Clippers v. Magic +3 | 120-95 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS ATS SHOCKER (Magic +3) I think this is a great spot here to jump on Orlando and this line definitely suggests the books believe the Magic are going to win this game. No way the public is taking Orlando at anything close to a pick'em against a team like the Clippers. The Magic are just 2-5 overall and have lost 3 straight, including a 8-point loss to the Kings at home last time out. Thing is, we are going to get a big effort here from Orlando and they are catching Los Angeles at the right time. The Clippers are coming off two huge road games against the Thunder (Tuesday) and 76ers (last night). This is their 5th road game in the last 6 overall. I think they are more interested in getting on the plane to head back home than to play this game. Give me the Magic +3! |
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11-01-18 | Bucks v. Celtics -3 | 113-117 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Celtics -3) I'll take my chances here with Boston as a short home favorite against the Bucks. I just think this is too good a price to pass up on the Celtics at home, against maybe any team outside of Golden State. Even then, I would probably still take them. Just feels like the Bucks are getting a little too much love from their perfect 7-0 start to the season. Ending their winning streak will be some nice added incentive for Boston. Give me the Celtics -3! |
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10-31-18 | Pistons v. Nets -2.5 | Top | 119-120 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY PLAY OF THE MONTH (Nets -2.5) I'll take my chances here with Brooklyn at basically a pick'em at home against the Pistons. Tough spot here for Detroit coming off a hard fought loss at Boston last night, a game they really wanted after losing at home to the Celtics the previous time out. I just think they will struggle to find the energy to keep pace with what figures to be a very hungry Nets team that will be looking to snap a 3-game skid and get revenge from a 3-point loss at Detroit to start the season. Brooklyn is just 2-5, but could easily by 5-2, as they have 3 losses by 6-points or less. Pistons are only 5-19 ATS in their last 24 road games with a line of +3 to -3 and underdogs off a close road loss by 3 points or less who won between 45-55% of their games the previous season are just 4-25 (14%) ATS since 1996. Give me the Nets -2.5! |
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10-30-18 | 76ers +6.5 v. Raptors | Top | 112-129 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (76ers +6.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the 76ers catching 6.5-points against a Raptors team that is coming off their first loss of the season, as they fell 124-109 at Milwaukee last night. While Toronto was in a dogfight against the Greek Freak and company, Philadelphia was making easy work of the Hawks at home. So while both teams are playing on no rest, the 76ers should be the fresher of the two. Toronto could also be without two key players here, as Anunoby and VanVleet are both listed as questionable. Give me the 76ers +6.5! |
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10-30-18 | Heat +4 v. Hornets | 113-125 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Heat +4) I'll take my chances here with Miami as a dog in a rematch against the Hornets. These two teams played 10 days ago in Miami, which the Hornets won 113-112 thanks to a questionable call in the last second of regulation. No way have the Heat forgot about that loss and I think they are going to come out with a chip on their shoulder in this one. Miami has gotten some guys back from injury they didn't have out of the gates and I'm not all that concerned with them playing on no rest this early in the season, especially given how pissed off they are going to be having just lost by double-digits at home to the Kings. Give me the Heat +4! |
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10-29-18 | Blazers v. Pacers -3.5 | Top | 103-93 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Pacers -3.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Pacers laying a short number at home against the Blazers. Indiana is a really tough team to beat on their home floor and they have started out the new season 2-0 at home with convincing wins in both. They won 111-83 as a 7.5-point favorite against Grizzlies and 132-112 as a 8-point favorite against the Nets. Portland is a good team, but they are playing their 3rd straight on the road and have a much bigger game on deck tomorrow against a Western Conference rival in Houston. Give me the Pacers -3.5! |
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10-26-18 | Nets v. Pelicans -9.5 | Top | 115-117 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Pelicans -9.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Pelicans to win at home by at least double-digits against the Nets. New Orleans has come out of the gates playing exceptional basketball and even a bad night shooting couldn't slow them down. After shooting 53% at Houston in their opener and 59% at home against the Kings, the Pelicans shot just 43% at home agains the Clippers. They still managed to score 116 points and covered as a 5.5-point favorite. Brooklyn's defense has been decent to start the new season, but a lot of that is the schedule. They gave up 132 points and 55.4% shooting at Indiana a couple games back and I just don't see them being able to slow down this Pelicans attack on the road. Give me New Orleans -9.5! |
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10-24-18 | Wolves +8 v. Raptors | 105-112 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Wolves +8) I'll take my chances here with Minnesota keeping this within the number. Toronto is getting way too much respect here due to the fact that they have started out 4-0 and covered 3 straight. This Timberwolves team is fresh off an impressive 10-point win at home over a good Pacers team and the defense finally showed up, holding Indiana to just 91 points and 39.6% shooting. I think they are more than capable of winning this game outright, making them an easy play as a near double-digit dog. Give me the Timberwolves +8! |
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10-23-18 | Clippers v. Pelicans -6.5 | 109-116 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Pelicans -6.5) I'll take my chances here with the Pelicans laying a relatively short number at home against the Clippers. I've really been impressed with what I've seen from New Orleans early on and think this could be the surprise team of the league this year. The Pelicans have been the most efficient offensive team in the league, averaging 127.7 points/100 possessions and it's not even close. The next best team is the Spurs at 117.6. The Clippers rank 22nd at 104.6 and I just don't think LA has the offensive fire-power to keep this thing within single-digits, especially on the road and coming off that big upset win at home over the Rockets. Give me the Pelicans -6.5! |
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10-19-18 | Hawks v. Grizzlies -7.5 | Top | 117-131 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Grizzlies -7.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Grizzlies laying single digits at home against the Hawks. I just think the price and the spot is too good to pass up with Memphis. The Grizzlies are coming off a lost season, where injuries really kept them from reaching their full potential. I fully expect this to be one of the most improved teams in the league. I know they didn't look like it in their opener at Indiana, but that's a good Pacers team and everything went Indiana's way, as they shot 57% from the field and Memphis couldn't buy a basket. Atlanta is not good and are going to end up with one of the worst records in the league. I certainly don't see them winning many games on the road and after losing by 19 on the road to the Knicks without Porzingis, Memphis should win here by double-digits easy. Give me the Grizzlies -7.5! |
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10-18-18 | Heat v. Wizards -5 | 113-112 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Wizards -5) I'll take my chances here with the Wizards laying a short number at home against the Heat. This is a really tough spot for Miami, who opened up their season last night in Orlando. The Heat rallied from a double-digit deficit late, but ended up losing 101-104. Miami is short-handed right now, as James Johnson, Wayne Ellington, Justice Winslow and Dion Waiters are all out with injuries. Players don't quite have their legs under them this early in the season and I just think they are going to have a tough time hanging with Washington in the second game of a back-to-back set on the road, especially with the way John Wall can push the pace offensively for the Wizards. Give me Washington -5! |
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10-17-18 | Nets v. Pistons -5.5 | Top | 100-103 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Pistons -5.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Detroit coming away with a win and cover at home against the Bucks. I think this Pistons team is flying under the radar. They have a healthy Reggie Jackson at the point and have had a full offseason to incorporate Blake Griffin fully into the lineup. I fully expect them to win here by double-digits against a rebuilding Nets team that while should be improved, still has a long way to go to compete with the upper half of the league on the road. Give me the Pistons -5.5! |
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10-16-18 | 76ers v. Celtics -4.5 | 87-105 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
40* NBA Opening Night ATS KNOCKOUT (Celtics -4.5) I'll take my chances here with Boston laying a relatively small number at home against the 76ers. I just don't see the Celtics losing in their home opener and I just don't think it's asking a lot for them to win by 5. Boston got to the Eastern Conference Finals without arguably their two best players in Gordon Hayward and Kyrie Irving. Both are back healthy and the Celtics now have one of the deepest and most talented rosters in the league. Not to mention one of the best coaches in the NBA in Brad Stevens. Knowing that the 76ers are one of their top challengers in the east, I think Boston is out to make a statement and I just don't think Philadelphia has the depth or outside shooting to keep this within the number. Give me the Celtics -4.5! |
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06-08-18 | Warriors v. Cavs +5 | 108-85 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
40* WARRIORS/CAVS GAME 4 ATS ANNIHILATOR (Cavs +5) I'll take my chances here with Cleveland as a home dog in Game 4. The Cavs know they have little to no chance of winning this series down 3-0, but I fully expect them to treat this like a Game 7 and lay it all on the line to avoid getting swept on their home floor. There's also a distinct possibility that this will be the last game LeBron James ever plays in Cleveland as a member of the Cavs, as just about everyone expects him to leave town. The fans know this and I expect an electric atmosphere despite how lopsided the series has gotten. Give me the Cavs +5! |
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06-06-18 | Warriors v. Cavs +4.5 | 110-102 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
40* WARRIORS/CAVS GAME 3 ATS NO BRAINER (Cavs +4.5) I'll take my chances here with the Cavs to cover the spread in Game 3. Cleveland is getting 4.5-points, which I'll gladly take, but I full expect them to win this game outright. The Cavs have been a different team on their home floor this postseason and a big reason for that is the role players have been much better, taking some of the pressure off of James to score 50. Let's also not forget that while Cleveland lost each of the first two games in Golden State, they should have won Game 1 and were within striking distance for most of Game 2. LeBron won't let this team fall behind 3-0. Give me the Cavs +4.5! |
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06-03-18 | Cavs +11.5 v. Warriors | Top | 103-122 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Cavs +11.5) I'll take my chances with LeBron James and the Cavs as a huge road dog in Game 2 of the NBA Finals. James is playing out of his mind right now and while his 50-point effort in Game 1 wasn't enough for the win, I think he's going to come right back with another monster performance here. I also don't think there was any of the Warriors overlooking Cleveland in Game 1. There's been so much negative talk about J.R. Smith and all the things that didn't go the Cavs way that I think they come out here and give the Warriors all they can handle and potentially tie this thing up at 1-1. Give me Cleveland +11.5! |
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05-31-18 | Cavs v. Warriors -12.5 | 114-124 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
40* CAVS/WARRIORS GAME 1 ATS NO BRAINER (Warriors -12.5) I'll take my chances here with Golden State not just winning Game 1 at home, but doing so in blowout fashion. I know both teams are coming off grueling 7-game series in the Conference Finals, but while the Warriors could spread the pressure amongst their 4 superstars, LeBron James basically shouldered the load for Cleveland the entire series against Boston. With or without Kevin Love, this is a horrible matchup for the Cavs, who simply don't have the fire-power to compete with the Warriors, especially on the road. Cleveland didn't score more than 94 points in any of the 4-games played at Boston in the previous round and the Warriors held Houston's dynamic offense to 98 or fewer in the final 5 games of their series. Give me Golden State -12.5! |
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05-28-18 | Warriors v. Rockets +6.5 | Top | 101-92 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Rockets +6.5) I'll take my chances here with the Rockets as a big home dog in Game 7. Houston could be without Chris Paul again for this one, which is giving us great value here, especially after how Game 6 ended. Even if Paul doesn't play I still like the Rockets chances of not just covering the spread, but winning the game outright. Golden State went off in the 2nd half of Game 6, but for the most part the offense hasn't looked good without Iguodala and he's doubtful to play. I think home court will be the difference for Houston, as the Warriors likely don't shoot it as well, while the Rockets' role players should help Harden out more than they did in Game 6. Give me Houston +6.5! |
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05-27-18 | Cavs v. Celtics -2.5 | Top | 87-79 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Celtics -2.5) I'll take my chances here with Boston to win and cover at home in Game 7 against the Cavs. The Celtics are a perfect 10-0 on their home floor and I'm not the least bit concerned about the 10-point loss they suffered in Cleveland in Game 6. Boston wasn't all that competitive in losses in both Games 3 and 4 at Cleveland, yet returned home and won Game 5 by 13. The Celtics defense has really been the difference on their home floor. Boston has held the Cavs to 83, 94 and 83 points in the 3 home games in the series. I just don't see Cleveland having enough offensive fire-power to win on the road without Kevin Love, who has been ruled out for this contest. Give me the Celtics -2.5! |
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05-25-18 | Celtics +7 v. Cavs | 99-109 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
40* NBA CAVS/CELTICS ATS KNOCKOUT (Celtics +7) I'll take my chances here with Boston as a decently priced road dog in Game 6. The home team has dominated this series, but I got a good feeling that the Celtics will flip that script and really give the Cavs a scare here and maybe even win this game outright. LeBron James has carried this worthless Cavs team further than any other player in the league could. The problem is, I think we saw a worn down LeBron in Game 5 after he laid everything he had on the line in Games 3 and 4 (defensive intensity was way up from previous games). Playing at home will help, but after a bad 1st quarter in Game 4, the Celtics really played well in the final 3 quarters. Their defense has been outstanding and I think knowing that they have a Game 7 at home in their back pocket will allow them to come out loose, which I think will help their offense. Give me the Celtics +7! |
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05-24-18 | Warriors +1 v. Rockets | 94-98 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
40* WARRIORS/ROCKETS NBA ATS NO BRAINER (Warriors +1) I'll take my chances here with Golden State to take back control of the Western Conference Finals with a big road win in Game 5. The Warriors won Game 1 at Houston to take control of the series, only to let their guard down in Game 2. They responded in a big way in a 41-point win in Game 3 at home, then scored just 12-points in a 92-95 loss in Game 4. I just think that when Golden State is up against the wall and needs to win they are going to get the job done. While Iguodala is still questionable for this one, I think there's a good chance he plays given how big the game is. I also look for the Warriors to make the proper adjustments offensively and get back to sharing the ball and not playing so much 1-on-1 like they did in Game 4. Give me the Warriors +1! |
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05-22-18 | Rockets v. Warriors -8.5 | 95-92 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Warriors -8.5) I'll take my chances here with Golden State winning by double-digits at home. I just think the Warriors are hands down the best team in the NBA and I believe they have shown when they are locked in the opponent has no chance. That was pretty evident in Game 3, where they beat a very good Rockets team by 41-points. Some will say that Houston will use that ugly loss as motivation, but I think that game crushed the will of the Rockets and as soon as things spiral out of control in Game 4, this is going to get ugly again. Golden State isn't going to let their guard down and risk being tied at 2-2 and giving the home court edge back to Houston. They will bring that same intensity as Game 3. Give me the Warriors -8.5! |
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05-21-18 | Celtics +7 v. Cavs | 102-111 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
40* NBA (Celtics/Cavs) BOOKIE SLAUGHTER (Celtics +7) I'll take my chances here with Boston in Game 4 against the Cavs. I had Cleveland in Game 3, as that was just the perfect scenario for a blowout. The Celtics were up 2-0 and feeling good about themselves and simply didn't match the intensity of the Cavs, who absolutely had to win to have a realistic shot at winning this series. A lot of people will expect the same result in Game 4 as we got in Game 3, but adjustments will be made and the effort is going to be completely different here for Boston. We saw the Celtics get a big road against Philadelphia last round and I wouldn't be shocked if Boston pulled off the upset. Either way, I think we get our first closely contested game of the series and a cover from the Celtics. Give me Boston +7! |
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05-20-18 | Rockets v. Warriors -7.5 | 85-126 | Win | 100 | 9 h 60 m | Show | |
40* NBA (ROCKETS/WARRIORS) ATS KNOCKOUT (Warriors -7.5) I'll take my chances with Golden State taking care of business in Game 3 by a comfortable margin. The Warriors started out the series with a dominating 119-106 win at Houston. The intensity that Golden State brought to win Game 1 and take back the home court advantage wasn't there in Game 2. That's why I'm not about to overreact to the Rockets big win in Game 2. I still think the Warriors are hands down the best team and will be crowned champions when it's all said and done. Look for that offense to come to life at home (Curry is due to go off), while the defense makes life miserable for the Rockets. Give me the Warriors -7.5! |
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05-19-18 | Celtics v. Cavs -6 | Top | 86-116 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Cavs -6) I'll take my chances here with Cleveland not only winning, but covering the decent spread here. The Cavs couldn't have played much worse in the first two games in Boston, but we have seen this team look bad and come out the next game and dominate. The Celtics won't make it easy, but we should see more production from the role players for the Cavs at home, while Boston's role players don't produce at near the level they did at home. Keep in mind that's been a theme for the Celtics in the playoffs, as they have not been nearly as efficient on the road. Give me the Cavs -6! |
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05-16-18 | Warriors v. Rockets -1 | Top | 105-127 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Rockets -1) Houston had their chances to win Game 1, but were unable to get the job done. I don't think their confidence is lost, as they really were to blame for the defeat. The Rockets didn't play up to their potential on the defensive side of the ball and were careless with the basketball. These are two things that Houston had been excelling at, so there's every reason to think they can bounce back. I also think the motivational edge here is going to play a big role in the outcome. The Warriors have done their job and taken home court away from Houston. The Rockets have no choice here but to treat this like a Game 7. I think it will be tough for Golden State to match that intensity. Give me Houston -1! |
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05-15-18 | Cavs +1 v. Celtics | 94-107 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
40* CAVS/CELTICS NBA ATS KNOCKOUT (Cavs +1) I'll take my chances here with LeBron James and the Cavs rebounding from that ugly Game 1 loss with a win in Game 2. I think Cleveland got a little big headed with the sweep of Toronto and didn't give this Celtics team the respect it deserved in the first game. Regardless if that was the case, the effort/hustle wasn't there and the Cavs had about as poor a shooting night as they can have. James didn't play anywhere close to the level we have seen throughout the playoffs and he's too good to be held in check on this stage in back-to-back games. I look for James to take control of this game early and not let Boston get off to another strong start. I also expect the others for Cleveland to start hitting some shots. Give me the Cavs +1! |
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05-13-18 | Cavs -1.5 v. Celtics | 83-108 | Loss | -107 | 15 h 0 m | Show | |
40* EASTERN CONFERENCE ATS SLAUGHTER (Cavs -1.5) I'll take my chances here with Cleveland going into Boston and handing the Celtics their first home loss of the postseason. After looking like they weren't going to get out of the first round against the Pacers, the Cavs looked like a completely different team in route to a sweep of No. 1 seed Toronto in the quarterfinals. I have nothing but respect for the Celtics and think the world of head coach Brad Stevens, but I don't think you can out coach a talent like LeBron James, especially when you are down your two best players. James has been playing out of his mind the entire postseason and the supporting cast finally showed up against the Raptors. Cavs also have a 2-day edge in rest, which should definitely benefit them here. I could see Boston keeping it close early, but Cleveland should leave here with a 1-0 lead. Give me the Cavs -1.5! |
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05-09-18 | 76ers v. Celtics -1 | Top | 112-114 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Celtics -1) I'll take my chances here with the Celtics taking Game 5 at home against the 76ers. As you would expect, Boston couldn't quite match the energy of Philadelphia in Game 4 on the road. The Celtics owned a comfortable 3-0 series lead and the 76ers were in a do-or-die situation. While Philadelphia is still in that spot, the Celtics will be ready to play here at home. Let's not forget that Boston is a perfect 6-0 at home in the playoffs. The Celtics role players are balling right now and the biggest thing is the defense. Boston hasn't allowed the 76ers to shoot better than 43.5% from the field in each of the first 4 games. Give me the Celtics -1! |
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05-07-18 | Celtics v. 76ers -6 | Top | 92-103 | Win | 100 | 6 h 53 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (76ers -6) I'll take my chances here with Philadelphia not only winning Game 4 at home and extending the series, but also covering the spread. You have to tip your hat to Boston for taking a 3-0 series lead, but the 76ers could just as easily have the series lead. I know the Celtics are saying all the right things about not letting their guard down with the commanding 3-0 lead, but it's a lot easier said than done. I just don't see how Boston matches the intensity of Philadelphia, who I think could run away with this thing early and cruise to victory. Give me the 76ers -6! |
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05-06-18 | Rockets v. Jazz +5.5 | 100-87 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
40* NBA 'ROCKETS/JAZZ' ATS NO-BRAINER (Jazz +5.5) I'll take my chances here with Utah at least keeping this close enough to cover. I think the Jazz have a realistic shot at winning this game outright. I just don't trust Houston as much as others now that we are in the postseason. The Rockets responded well from that butt-kicking they got at home in Game 2 with a 113-92 win in Game 3. Houston did play better defensively than they had, but that was also an off night for Donovan Mitchell. Given how this kid has played so far, I expect a big bounce back performance and for Utah to feed off the home crowd in what has to feel like a must-win for them. Give me the Jazz +5.5! |
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05-05-18 | Celtics v. 76ers -8.5 | Top | 101-98 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 24 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (76ers -8.5) I'm going to take my chances here with the 76ers as a big home favorite. The public is all over Boston after getting burned by the Celtics in the first two games. I just think given the 76ers are down 0-2 and how much worse Boston has played on the road compared to at home in the postseason, the 76ers are going to be able to take complete control of this game and should have no problem winning by double-digits. Keep in mind the Celtics lost all 3 games at Milwaukee in the first round with two of those losses coming by double-digits. Give me Philadelphia -8.5! |
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05-03-18 | Cavs v. Raptors -6 | Top | 128-110 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Raptors -6) I'll take my chances here with Toronto winning by at least 7 in Game 2 of their series with the Cavs. I know it's a 7-game series, but this is every bit like a Game 7 for the Raptors. If they lose here and have to go to Cleveland down 2-0, this series is all but over. The Cavs played one of their better games in Game 1, but also trailed by quite a bit for most of the game. Coming off that Game 7 win over Indiana and then the big OT win in Game 1, this is the ideal letdown spot for Cleveland. Simply put, I don't see the Cavs matching the intensity of the Raptors in this one. Give me Toronto -6! |
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05-01-18 | Cavs v. Raptors -6.5 | 113-112 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Raptors -6.5) I'll take my chances here with Toronto laying it on the Cavs in Game 1. I have major concerns with Cleveland getting past the Raptors in this series and certainly think they are behind the 8-ball in Game 1. The Cavs just played about as grueling a 7-game series in the first round as you will find and that conclude just 2-days ago. We saw how Cleveland responded after that massive win in Game 5 over the Pacers, losing by 34 in Game 6. I could see a similar lopsided final in this one. Cleveland's offense has been a 1-man show with LeBron and he's simply got to do too much. Keep in mind the Cavs didn't shoot better than 45% from the field in each of the final 5 games vs Indiana. Toronto is too talented and too deep for a worn tired Cleveland team and the Raptors are going to be out to make a statement. Give me Toronto -6.5! |
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04-29-18 | Pacers +5.5 v. Cavs | 101-105 | Win | 100 | 4 h 7 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER GAME 7 ATS KNOCKOUT (Pacers +5.5) I'll take my chances here with Indiana as a decently priced dog against the Cavs in Game 7 at Cleveland on Sunday. I know whenever the Cavs have needed a win they have been able to pull it out in this series, but I just don't trust this team. I think it's been such a remarkable run for LeBron getting to the NBA Finals, that everyone just assumes he will rise to the occasion. The thing is, the supporting cast for James isn't all that talented and simply aren't playing well right now. The Pacers should have already won this series and I don't see them being nervous or overcome by the moment here. I think all the pressure is on the Cavs, as there's a real sense that if they lose this game it will be the final game for LeBron with the franchise. Give me the Pacers +5.5! |
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04-27-18 | Raptors +2 v. Wizards | Top | 102-92 | Win | 100 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Raptors +2) I'll take my chances with Toronto going into Washington and securing a win. The Raptors moved on last year in the 1st round by winning Game 6 at Milwaukee and I look for them to do what they failed to do in Game 3 and Game 4. Toronto should have done the job in Game 4, but blew a double-digit lead in the 2nd half. Given how they have dominated the Wizards at home and how close they came in their last game at Washington, I wouldn't be shocked if the Raptors not only won here, but turned this into a blowout. Either way the wrong team is favored in this one. Give me Toronto +2! |
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04-25-18 | Jazz v. Thunder -3.5 | Top | 99-107 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Thunder -3.5) I'll take my chances here with OKC avoiding elimination and forcing a Game 5. The Thunder have surprisingly dropped 3 straight since winning the opener. Not a big surprise to see them lose both games in Utah, as I really thought home court was going to be the difference in this series. I just don't see the Jazz closing this thing out on the road against a team as talented as the Thunder. Westbrook should get the benefit of the calls at home and be able to stay out of foul trouble early, while the other guys should step up their game at home to secure the win. Give me OKC -3.5! |
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04-24-18 | Heat +10.5 v. 76ers | 91-104 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Heat +10.5) I'll take my chances here with Miami as a double-digit dog in Game 5 on the road. The 76ers are new big thing and have quickly become a big public team. I'm not saying Philadelphia won't win here, but I don't see the Heat going out quietly and there's a different pressure when you are the team trying to close out your opponent. Which is not a spot most of these 76ers are familiar with. Look for Miami to at least give Philadelphia a scare here and at worse keep this within the number. Give me the Heat +10.5! |
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04-23-18 | Rockets -5.5 v. Wolves | 119-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Rockets -5.5) I like the value here with Houston to not only win, but cover this spread in Game 4 of their series against the Timberwolves. Minnesota was able to avoid the dreaded 0-3 hole by taking Game 3 121-105. I believe that was more of a result of the Rockets not matching the intensity of the Timberwolves, who were in a do-or-die situation. I think that's really evident by the lack of defensive intensity that Houston showed in Game 3. The Rockets allowed the Timberwolves to shoot 50% from the field after holding them to 44% in Game 1 and 39% in Game 2. They also created just 7 turnovers after forcing 29 in the first two games of the series. Look for a much more locked in Houston team in this one. Give me the Rockets -5.5! |
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04-22-18 | Cavs +1 v. Pacers | 104-100 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Cavs +1) I'll take my chances here with LeBron James and the Cavs bouncing back from that crushing loss in Game 3, where they blew a 17-point lead in a 90-92 defeat. Cleveland simply can't afford another setback here, as a loss here would give Indiana a 3-1 series lead and leave them needing just 1 win over the final 3 to advance to the next round. We saw the Cavs in a similar spot in Game 2 after losing Game 1 at home and James scored 46. I expect another special performance here from LeBron, as there's no one I trust more in this spot to deliver in the postseason. Give me the Cavs +1! |
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04-21-18 | Rockets -5 v. Wolves | 105-121 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 15 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Rockets -5) I'll take my chances here with the Rockets covering this short number on the road and taking a commanding 3-0 series lead over the Timberwolves. I thought Minnesota had a great shot at stealing Game 1 on the road, as they had been in playoff mode for quite some time fighting for the final spot in the West, while Houston had coasted over the final few weeks of the regular season. The Timberwolves gave them a scare in the series opener, but ended up on the short end and were completely dominated in Game 2, despite James Harden going just 2 of 18 from the field. With Golden State up 3-0 the Rockets will be eager to match their biggest threat in the west and I see them running away with this one. Give me the Rockets -5! |
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04-20-18 | Celtics v. Bucks -4.5 | 92-116 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Bucks -4.5) I'll take my chances here with the Bucks securing a win and cover at home in Game 3. Milwaukee's season is on the line tonight, as they are already down 0-2 and simply can't afford to fall behind 3-0. I'm expecting the Bucks to deliver in a big way. Boston offense played well above their true potential in the first two games at home. I just don't see the Celtics being able to sustain that production on the road with a true superstar in the lineup. As for the Bucks, we can expect their offense to keep rolling. Milwaukee shot extremely well from the field in each of the first two games in Boston and a few more shots tend to fall at home than on the road. Especially the outside shots, which has really been the difference outside of turnovers. Boston has made 24 3-pointers to the Bucks 15. Look for that trend to reverse with the series shifting to Milwaukee. Give me the Bucks -4.5! |
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04-19-18 | Warriors v. Spurs +4.5 | 110-97 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Spurs +4.5) I'll take my chances here with the Spurs covering this short number at home, as I really like San Antonio's chances of winning this game outright. This is do-or-die for the Spurs, who are down 0-2 in the series. We were already going to get a great effort here from San Antonio with their backs against the wall, but we should see a special effort here with Spurs playing for their head coach, who just lost his wife yesterday. The other thing that people forget with San Antonio after the first two games is just how different this team was at home compared to on the road. The Spurs were 33-8 at home this season, compared to 14-27 on the road. Give me the Spurs +4.5! |
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04-18-18 | Pacers v. Cavs -7.5 | Top | 97-100 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Cavs -7.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Cavs responding in a big way from that ugly performance in Game 1. Indiana went into Cleveland and laid it on the Cavs right from the git go, as they led 33-14 after the 1st quarter. Cleveland could never recover and will not make that mistake twice. Keep in mind that after allowing 33 points in the 1st quarter, the Cavs defense allowed 22, 18 and 25 over the final 3 periods. As for Cleveland's atrocious offensive performance, that was simply a bad night at the office, as they shot just 38.5% from the field and 23.5% from long distance. The Pacers primary goal was to get a split in the first two games at Cleveland and they accomplished just that. Look for them to struggle to match the intensity of the Cavs in Game 2, as they will be treating this like a Game 7 to avoid falling behind 0-2. Give me Cleveland -7.5! |
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04-17-18 | Bucks +2.5 v. Celtics | 106-120 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Bucks +2.5) I'll take my chances here with the Bucks getting points in a game I expect them to win outright. Milwaukee really came out flat in Game 1, scoring just 17 points in the 1st quarter. For them to fight back from that start and force OT is a great sign for the rest of the series. As much respect as I have for this Celtics team, mainly head coach Brad Stevens, they are really behind the 8-ball right now without Irving to shoulder the load offensively when things aren't going their way. Milwaukee's got the best player on the court and it's not even close. Give me the Bucks +2.5! |
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04-17-18 | Wizards +7 v. Raptors | Top | 119-130 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Wizards +7) I'll take my chances here with the Wizards covering in Game 2. Washington ended up losing by 8-poitns in Game 1 at Toronto, but that could have went either way. The Wizards had the lead at the half and trailed by just 1-point going into the 4th quarter. Had it not been for the Raptors catching fire from long-distance (16 made 3-pointers) they likely lose that game. I expect to see a similar contest in Game 2 and wouldn't be the least bit surprised if Washington won this game outright. Take the Wizards +7! |
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04-16-18 | Spurs +10 v. Warriors | 101-116 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
40* NBA "SPURS/WARRIORS" ATS KNOCKOUT (Spurs +10) I'll gladly take my chances here with San Antonio to keep this within single digits. Simply put the Spurs didn't play well in Game 1 and the Warriors shot lights out, hitting 54.3% from the field and 45.5% from deep. I know Golden State is a great offensive team, but they are still playing without Steph Curry and the Spurs know how to play defense. Look for Popovich to make some adjustments here and catch the Warriors a bit flat off that easy win in Game 1. An outright victory for San Antonio is not out of the question. Give me the Spurs +10! |
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04-15-18 | Wolves +11.5 v. Rockets | Top | 101-104 | Win | 100 | 12 h 39 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Wolves +11.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Minnesota as a double-digit dog in Game 1 of their series against the Rockets. I think this is a tricky spot for Houston, as they pretty much cruised to the finish line with the best record in the NBA. They haven't had to play a real meaningful game in quite some time. I just think they could come out a bit flat here. As for the Timberwolves, the playoffs started for them on the final night of the regular season, as it was win or go home against the Nuggets. A game they pulled off in overtime. I look for Minnesota to carry over that momentum an at least give the Rockets a scare. Give me the Timberwolves +11.5! |
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04-15-18 | Jazz v. Thunder -4 | 108-116 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Thunder -4) I'll take my chances here with OKC as a short home favorite against the Jazz. I got nothing by respect for Utah and the turnaround they had this season, but their best player is a rookie and there's a good chance he struggles on the road in his first playoff game. On top of that, I just don't think the Thunder are getting enough respect on their home court. OKC was 27-14 at home, where they outscored teams by 5.4 ppg. Utah was just 20-21 on the road this season. I wouldn't be shocked here if the home team won every game in this series. There's that big of home court edge for both sides here. Give me the Thunder -4! |
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04-14-18 | Pelicans +5.5 v. Blazers | 97-95 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Pelicans +5.5) I'll take my chances here with the Pelicans as a decently priced road dog against the Blazers. I've really been impressed with how well New Orleans has been playing since losing Cousins and despite how good Lillard has been playing, the Pelicans have the best player on the court in Davis. I expect Davis to dominate and it's just a matter if he gets enough help. I think Rondo is built for the playoffs and will be the difference maker in not only the Pelicans covering, but winning this game outright. Give me New Orleans +5.5! |
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04-14-18 | Wizards +8 v. Raptors | 106-114 | Push | 0 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Wizards +8) I'll take my chances here with the Wizards as a decently priced dog against the Raptors. Washington is a much better team than what they showed down the stretch and a big reason for that is they were trying to get the No. 7 seed to face the Celtics in the first round. It didn't work out, but this is also the last team the Raptors wanted to face. Toronto has lost nine straight Game 1's in the postseason and I just think all the pressure is on them to play well here. I don't know if Washington will have enough to win this game outright, but they should be able to keep it close enough to cover. Give me the Wizards +8! |
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04-11-18 | Bucks v. 76ers -6.5 | Top | 95-130 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (76ers -6.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the 76ers winning and covering this big spread. Most people are aware what's at stake for Philadelphia, a win here and they lock up the No. 3 seed in the East. That would be huge, as it would get them a favorable 2nd round matchup against either No. 2 Boston or whoever ends up at No. 7. As for the Bucks, they are currently 6th, but would prefer to lose. Milwaukee loses their 1st round pick if they finish No. 6, but would keep it if they end up at No. 7 or No. 8. They would still need some help to fall back even with a loss, but there's simply zero incentive for the Bucks to play well here. Look for reserves to see a lot of action in this one. Give me the 76ers -6.5! |
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04-09-18 | Blazers v. Nuggets -4 | Top | 82-88 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Nuggets -4) I'll take my chances here with Denver covering the small number at home. I think a lot of people look at this game for Portland and expect them to come out giving it their all to try and secure the No. 3 seed over the Jazz. However, regardless with a win or loss in this game, chances are the Blazers will have to win their finale at home over Utah. I just don't see them matching the intensity of the Nuggets in this one. Denver is basically in a do-or-die situation, as they are currently tied with the Timberwolves for the 8th and final spot, but also just 1-game game of 5th place New Orleans. Denver has won 5 straight and I'm counting on them to make it 6 straight and cash another ticket. Give me the Nuggets -4! |
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04-08-18 | Pacers v. Hornets +2.5 | 123-117 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 12 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS BLOWOUT (Hornets +2.5) I'll take my chances her with Charlotte as a home dog against the Pacers. This is more of a play against Indiana than anything. The Pacers are 2-games back of Cleveland for 4th with just 2 to play and the Cavs final 2 are against the Knicks, so their chances of catching Cleveland are slim to none. On the flip side, Indiana can't fall any lower than 5th, so there's essentially nothing to play for right now. I believe the primary focus for the Pacers will be to cut back on their key guys minutes and make sure they are ready to roll for the playoffs. Charlotte showed some fight in their last game, as they destroyed Orlando on the road by 37-points, despite nothing to play for. With this being their final home game of the season, I look for another big effort here from the Hornets. Give me Charlotte +2.5! |