Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-27-21 | Hawaii v. Wyoming OVER 48 | Top | 38-14 | Win | 100 | 20 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 9* on OVER Hawaii goes for its sixth win Saturday when it pays a visit to the mainland to take on 6-5 Wyoming. These are two teams that put over more than 40 points last week. Hawaii won a wild, 50-45 shootout over Colorado State out in Honolulu. Wyoming went to Utah State and won 44-17. The home team should not have much trouble scoring points in this game. Hawaii is giving up 37 points/game on the road. Wyoming ran for 362 yards last week. Whether it’s on the ground or through the air, moving the ball won’t be an issue. Hawaii’s defense gave up 651 yards to Colorado State.The Over has hit in three of Wyoming’s previous four games. This is a low total for Hawaii, who has had several games with an O/U line of more than 60 points.Their games have averaged 60.8 points this season. The offense had 535 yards last week. The number is just too low here. Play on OVER AAA |
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11-27-21 | Maryland -1.5 v. Rutgers | Top | 40-16 | Win | 100 | 17 h 58 m | Show |
This is an 8* on MARYLAND You’ve got two 5-6 teams facing off in a regular season finale. That means the winner gets to be bowl eligible while the loser is done for the year. Maryland has not covered a single Big 10 game this season. So the fact they have a chance to be bowl eligible seems pretty fortunate. Their two conference wins were by three over Indiana and by three over Illinois. The past six losses have all been by 17 or more points. But we’re taking them against a Rutgers team whose only two Big 10 victories happen to be at the expense of Indiana and Illinois. The Scarlet Knights, who haven’t won a conference game at home since 2017, were shutout 28-0 last week by Penn State. That was the third time in five games that they didn’t score more than seven points. Other than a 38-3 win at Indiana, Rutgers has not scored more than 20 points in any Big 10 game this year. They just don’t have enough offense to be taken seriously. Six of the last eight games have seen the Scarlet Knights score 13 or less. Maryland QB Tagovailoa had three straight 350+ yard games before running into Michigan last Saturday. All the Terps offense needs here is 21 points and that seems pretty attainable. Play on MARYLAND AAA |
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11-26-21 | Blazers v. Warriors OVER 224 | Top | 103-118 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER After experiencing subpar results each of the last two seasons, the Warriors are back on top of the NBA with a 16-2 record. They are outscoring teams by 13.5 points/game. Both the record and point differential are league bests. The team has won five in a row coming into Friday, also covering the spread in all five wins. Tonight, the Warriors host a Portland team that is off a four-point loss at Sacramento. That dropped the Blazers to 1-8 SU/ATS on the road this year. Prior to losing to the Kings, the Blazers had won four in a row (also 4-0 ATS), but all of those victories did come at home. What we are looking for here is a high-scoring affair as Portland isn’t any good defensively when they’re on the road and Golden State is quite prolific at scoring when they’re at home. It’s easy to understand why the Blazers are struggling so mightily on the road as they give up 115.3 points/game. Golden State averages 116.6 at home. Assuming the Warriors can hit that average, the Over looks like a lock with Portland coming in averaging 110 points/game. The Over is 5-0-1 in the Blazers' last six. Play on OVER AAA |
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11-26-21 | UTEP v. UAB -13.5 | Top | 25-42 | Win | 100 | 14 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UAB UAB is off a heartbreaking last-second loss to undefeated UTSA. That guarantees the Blazers won’t be returning to the C-USA Title Game. But look for them to take their frustrations out on UTEP Friday afternoon in the home finale in Birmingham. UAB is 7-4 SU and 8-3 ATS this season. In conference play, they are winning by an average of two touchdowns per game. That’s a lot better than UTEP, who is 7-4 SU and ATS, but only winning by an average of three points per game in conference play. The Miners weren’t expected to have a winning record in 2021. But they’ve won all five games where they were favored and pulled a couple upsets. However, UTEP has been blown out twice as a double digit underdog, once by UTSA and once by Boise State. UAB is 27-11-2 ATS its last 40 conference games and still covered in last week’s heartbreaking defeat. The Blazers have beaten UTEP five straight times, the last four wins all coming by at least 15 points. Play on UAB AAA |
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11-26-21 | Kansas State v. Texas -3 | Top | 17-22 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
This is an 8* on TEXAS It’s been an incredibly disappointing season in Austin as Texas comes into the season finale with a 4-7 SU record. They have lost six straight games, also going 0-6 against the spread during that time. All signs point to the blown lead against Oklahoma, a game the Longhorns led 28-7 after the first quarter, as the tipping point for when things went south. But this has clearly been a case of a team being unlucky rather than bad. Five of the Longhorns’ six straight defeats have been one-score games. Yes, they lost to Kansas. But we are expecting them to “show up” here on Senior Day and beat a Kansas State team that’s got nothing to play for. The Wildcats lost 20-10 at home to Baylor last weekend. They’ve also lost four straight against Texas with last year’s game being decided by 38 points in Manhattan. Texas is a lot better than its record. We expect them to show that Friday afternoon. Lay the short number. Play on TEXAS AAA |
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11-26-21 | Baylor -5.5 v. Michigan State | Top | 75-58 | Win | 100 | 4 h 36 m | Show |
This is an 8* on BAYLOR This is the Final in the Battle 4 Atlantis Tournament with #6 Baylor taking on Michigan State. Baylor was able to overcome a bit of a sloppy first half (13 turnovers) yesterday and beat VCU 69-61, just barely covering the 5.5 point spread. The Bears are 6-0 SU and 4-1-1 ATS. The only ATS loss came as 33 point favorites in the opening game. The opponent here is Michigan State, who upset UConn 64-60 (as 2.5 point dogs) on Thursday, thanks to scoring the game’s final nine points. The Spartans are 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS. The only team they lost to was Kansas (first game) and they also failed to cover Wednesday vs. Loyola Chicago. This is the third game in three days for both Baylor and Michigan State. Sparty’s two games have been decided by a total of six points. After two close calls like that, we’re just not sure they’ll have enough left in the tank to survive a vastly superior opponent. Baylor has won 31 straight non-conference games. Yesterday was probably the Bears’ weakest performance to date and they still won fairly comfortably. MSU is still only 2-8-1 ATS its last 11 neutral site games. Play on BAYLOR AAA |
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11-25-21 | Bills -5.5 v. Saints | Top | 31-6 | Win | 100 | 50 h 52 m | Show |
This is an 8* on BUFFALO At one time, Buffalo looked to be the best team in the NFL. Three losses in the last five games have really tempered enthusiasm though. Yet we still believe in the team from upstate NY. The Bills have the league’s second best point differential at +119. Their top ranked defense was shredded on Sunday by Colts RB Jonathan Taylor, who scored five touchdowns. But that was a very misleading 41-15 final score. What if we told you that the Bills gained more yards per play than the Colts in that game? They did. The problem was they were -4 in the turnover battle. We think they bounce back Thanksgiving Night against the reeling Saints. New Orleans has lost three in a row. They were thoroughly dominated by the Eagles on Sunday in a 40-29 loss. Trevor Siemian, filling in for an injured Jameis Winston, is not getting it done at quarterback. The injuries are starting to pile up in the Big Easy as TE Trautman is out 4-6 weeks and OT Young will have season-ending foot surgery. The Saints are pretty clearly the inferior side in this matchup. Buffalo, who is 3-0 ATS off a straight up loss this year, is the only team in the league to be top three in both scoring offense and defense. Play on BUFFALO AAA |
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11-25-21 | Ole Miss +1.5 v. Mississippi State | Top | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 49 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OLE MISS The Egg Bowl - the rivalry game between Ole Miss and Miss State - is a Thanksgiving Night tradition. This year, both schools come in ranked: Ole Miss is #12 and Miss State is #25. The visiting Rebels are 9-2, their only losses coming at Alabama and at Auburn. They have QB Matt Corral, one of the nation’s top signal callers. He has thrown for 3100 yards in 11 games and accounted for 29 touchdowns with just three interceptions. While it was closer than expected last week against Vanderbilt, the Rebels still won by 14 and the game was never in doubt. They face a hot Miss State team this week, one that has won four of its last five games while going 5-0 ATS. MSU has its own hot QB, Will Rogers, who has thrown for over 4100 yards this season with 34 TD passes. While the Bulldogs essentially had a “tune up” last week vs. Tennessee State, let’s look at what’s happened in their last two SEC games. They lost at Arkansas and were also down 28-3 at Auburn before storming back to score 40 unanswered points. Ole Miss won last year’s Egg Bowl, but only by seven as a 9.5-point favorite. The year before they were robbed on a horrific taunting penalty. Our view is that the Rebels will be looking to hammer their rival here and put an end to an 0-3 ATS skid in Egg Bowls. Ole Miss has been the better team all year and this game being in Starkville isn’t enough to sway us off the visitors. Play on OLE MISS AAA |
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11-25-21 | Raiders v. Cowboys OVER 50.5 | Top | 36-33 | Win | 100 | 46 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER Both the Raiders and Cowboys are reeling coming into Thanksgiving Day. The Raiders lost their third straight game on Sunday and are now just 5-5 SU. They’ve scored just 43 points during this losing skid. The last two losses have been blowouts: 41-14 to the Chiefs and 32-13 in Cincinnati. Both of those were home games. The Raiders now leave Sin City to take on a Dallas team that put up a season-low nine points against the Chiefs on Sunday. However, the Cowboys are in a lot better shape than the Raiders are. Dallas still leads the NFC East with a 7-3 record. Considering they average the third most points/game in the NFL (29.3), we’re willing to “write off” what happened in the last game. The last time the Cowboys played at home, they put up 43 points. That was the third time this year they scored 40 or more at home. The Raiders’ defense isn’t good, so we’re expecting another strong effort from Dak Prescott and the Dallas offense. But look for Derek Carr and Las Vegas to put up some points as well. They substantially outgained the Bengals offense on a per play basis. Not only is the Over 11-4-1 in the Raiders’ last 16 games as an underdog, but it is 7-2 the last nine times following a straight-up loss. Play on OVER AAA |
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11-25-21 | Bears v. Lions UNDER 42 | Top | 16-14 | Win | 100 | 42 h 3 m | Show |
This is an 8* on UNDER So we do not yet know who will be playing QB for the Lions on Thanksgiving Day. Does that matter though? The team has yet to win a game and will be going with either Jared Goff or Tim Boyle. Boyle made his first NFL start last week in a 13-10 loss to the Browns. He threw for 77 yards and had two interceptions. Goff’s last eight starts haven’t been much better. One would have to go back to Week 1 to find the last time that the Lions scored more than 19 points. They are 30th in the league in scoring. Right ahead of them, in 29th, is this year’s Thanksgiving Day opponent. Chicago averages just 16.3 points/game. They will reportedly be starting Andy Dalton at QB. Dalton replaced an injured Justin Fields on Sunday and the Bears wound up with only 13 points and lost to the Ravens. It was the seventh game this year that the Bears scored 20 points or less. There are rumors that head coach Matt Nagy might be fired after this game. That’s inspiring! So let’s summarize. Chicago is starting Andy Dalton with a potentially lame-duck head coach. They are facing a winless team starting either Jared Goff or Tim Boyle. We will take the Under. Play on UNDER AAA |
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11-24-21 | Maple Leafs -155 v. Kings | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show |
This is an 8* on TOR The Maple Leafs come into Wednesday firmly entrenched as one the Atlantic’s three top teams. Neither they nor Tampa Bay have been quite as good as Florida, but you could say the same thing for most teams across the league. The Leafs have won 11 out of their last 13 games however, and Sunday’s 3-0 win at the Islanders was their fourth shutout during that stretch. Tonight the Leafs are in LA looking to avenge one of the two defeats they’ve suffered this month. It was back on 11/8 that the Leafs lost to the Kings 5-1 at home. Both teams were on win streaks at the time of that first meeting. Now the Kings are on a four-game losing skid with the last three defeats all coming here at home. The last one was perhaps the most embarrassing as it was against Arizona, who is the worst team in the league. The Kings have already fallen a bit off the pace set by the top teams in the Pacific and we only see that gap widening as the season progresses. Toronto isn’t going to lose twice to this team, so they’ve got our backing tonight. Play on TORONTO AAA |
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11-24-21 | Hawks -3.5 v. Spurs | Top | 124-106 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* on ATLANTA It’s been quite the difference when it comes to home vs. away for the Atlanta Hawks. The team has captured five straight, all at home, where it is now 8-1 on the young season. But on the road, they are 1-8 SU and an even worse 0-9 ATS. It’s back on the road tonight for a date with San Antonio. Given the extraordinary split we’ve seen thus far from the Hawks, you may be thinking now is the time to buck them. But facing one of the league’s worst teams should allow for their first ATS road win of 2021. The Spurs have lost five in a row while getting outscored by 13 points/game. Atlanta’s average margin of victory during the five game win streak is 14.2. So we’re looking at two teams at polar opposites of the spectrum here. The Spurs have only won four games so far, two of them coming against Orlando. A late rally Monday vs. Phoenix made the game appear closer than it actually was. Most of the way, it very much looked like San Antonio would be headed for its fourth double digit defeat in the last 10 days. The Spurs are 0-5 ATS their last five times playing with exactly one day of rest. Play on ATLANTA AAA |
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11-24-21 | California Baptist v. Texas -22 | Top | 44-68 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* on TEXAS Texas is 3-1 and ranked #8 in the country. That one loss came to Gonzaga, so no one is going to fault them for that. Tonight the Longhorns host an undefeated Cal Baptist team that is playing on the road for the first time in 2021. The Lancers’ previous five games - against San Francisco St, Miss Valley, Jackson St, San Jose St and Northern Colorado have simply not adequately prepared them for what’s in store here. Texas is giving up just 47.3 points/game when not facing Gonzaga this year. They play at one of the slowest tempos in the nation, but have an efficient offense that is 16th in points per possession. On Saturday against San Jose State, the ‘Horns led by 18 just nine minutes into the game and by 30 at halftime. They ended up winning by 34 and held SJSU to 31.9 percent shooting from the floor. Even more impressive is that Texas forced 27 turnovers and had a season-high 16 steals. At the same time, they connected at just over 51% at the offensive end and had 36 points in the paint. The home team is simply going to overwhelm the opposition in this one. Play on TEXAS AAA |
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11-24-21 | Loyola-Chicago v. Michigan State UNDER 138.5 | Top | 61-63 | Win | 100 | 4 h 45 m | Show |
This is an 8* on UNDER This is today’s first tip in the Battle 4 Atlantis Tournament, which takes place down in the Bahamas. We’ve got two programs accustomed to success. After going 26-5 last season and making it to the Sweet 16, Loyola Chicago is off to a 4-0 start. The Ramblers have won all four of those games by double digits, but it’s a step up in competition today as they face Michigan State, who has posted three straight double digit wins for Tom Izzo (following a season opening loss to Kansas). While former coach Porter Moser is now in Oklahoma, Loyola has most of its key players back from last year’s run to the Sweet 16 - save for Cameron Krutwig - and remains an elite defensive team. What we are expecting here though is for the Ramblers to cool off from three-point range. So far, they have shot 45.2% from behind the arc. That’s simply not going to continue. Michigan State is a top three defensive team in the country right now, allowing just 35.2% shooting overall. The Spartans' size is likely to cause problems for the Loyola shooters. After four straight Overs to start the year, the Ramblers are going to stay Under in this one in what should be a tight, defensive-minded affair. The Under is 5-1 in MSU’s last six games as a dog. Play on UNDER AAA |
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11-23-21 | Gonzaga v. UCLA OVER 154.5 | Top | 83-63 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
This is an 8* on OVER Taking the Over the last time UCLA faced Gonzaga worked out pretty well. Now we obviously remember that game went to overtime. But the Over was already “in the bag” by the end of regulation with the game tied 81-81. Despite losing three starters from a team that went 31-1 (only loss in the National Championship Game), Gonzaga is averaging 93.2 points/game so far this year and just hit triple digits (107) last night against Central Michigan. The fewest points scored by the Bulldogs in any game this season is 84. UCLA is averaging 90.8 points through its first five games. Last night against Bellarmine they scored a season-low 75 as they were 8 of 27 on three-pointers and made just one free throw the entire game. Not only are these the two top teams in the country, both rank in the top ten in scoring nationally (Gonzaga #2, UCLA #8). It should be another high scoring game from these two as the Over is 23-8 when Gonzaga is off a straight up win by more than 20 points (they won by 53 on Monday). Play on OVER AAA |
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11-23-21 | Blackhawks v. Flames OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 115 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER This season could not possibly have gotten off to a worse start for the Blackhawks. They lost 11 of their first 12 games and a decade old sexual abuse scandal came to light, leading to multiple firings within the organization. However, since interim coach Derek King took over, things have turned. The team have won five of its last six games, including 1-0 at Vancouver on Sunday. It was the fourth one-goal victory for Chicago under King and all four of those one-goal victories were games that stayed Under the total. But we had the Over when the Blackhawks went to Seattle last week and that was a winner. Sunday’s shutout was all thanks to goalie Marc-Andre Fleury, who turned in his first shutout of the season, stopping 40 shots in the process. The Blackhawks can’t count on a similar performance between the pipes tonight. Not when facing a Calgary team that leads the Pacific Division and has scored five goals in each of its last two games. The Blackhawks are still giving up 3.6 goals/game on the road. Chicago is 4-1 Over the L3 seasons in games where they are coming off a shutout win. They were lucky not to give up any goals Sunday (multiple Vancouver shots hit the post). The Flames will make them pay tonight, but the Blackhawks will score a couple goals of their own as well. Play on OVER AAA |
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11-23-21 | Lakers v. Knicks -4 | Top | 100-106 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* on NYK So there’s no LeBron James tonight for the 9-9 Lakers, who visit Madison Square Garden to face the Knicks. James is suspended for getting into a fight with the Pistons’ Isaiah Stewart on Sunday. The Lakers went on to win in Detroit, but were actually behind by 15 entering the fourth quarter against one of the worst teams in the NBA. That doesn’t bode well for tonight. The Lakers have lost six of their last 10 games, most of those without James, who had been out with an abdominal strain. The Knicks, who are 4-7 their past 11 games, thought they had a win Sunday when they were leading the Bulls going into the fourth. But they gave up 37 points in the final quarter to lose 109-103 as 5.5 point road underdogs. Expect New York to play better at home tonight - for a full four quarters - and take advantage of the Lakers not having LeBron. On the road, the Lakers have been very bad defensively, giving up 117.3 points/game. Play on NEW YORK AAA |
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11-23-21 | Western Michigan v. Northern Illinois +3.5 | Top | 42-21 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
This is an 8* on NIU The MAC West has been turned upside down this year as Northern Illinois has gone from an 0-6 record in 2020 to division champs in 2021! The Huskies are 8-3 SU this season and while a majority of those wins have been close games, they already have their spot booked in next week’s MAC Championship Game. Close wins don’t matter when you’re always an underdog and Tuesday’s game vs. last place Western Michigan marks the 9th time in 12 games that the Huskies are getting points this season. They were favored last week (by two) when they beat Buffalo in overtime. It is insane to us that Western Michigan would be favored on the road here as - again - they are the last place team in the MAC West. Yes, coming into the year, the Broncos were the favorites to win this division. But they have sputtered down the stretch, losing three of their last four games. The only win came against Akron by a score of 45-40. Northern Illinois continues to be disrespected by the linesmakers, even though the offense has averaged 547 yards over the last three games. We will grab the points in this one as NIU is the better team, playing at home. Play on NORTHERN ILLINOIS AAA |
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11-22-21 | Giants v. Bucs OVER 49.5 | Top | 10-30 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER The Bucs are thankful to be back home Monday night after losing two in a row on the road. The two losses saw them give up 36 points to the Saints and 29 points to the Washington Football Team. But defense shouldn’t be much of a concern tonight as Brady and the offense are averaging a jaw-dropping 40.0 points/game at home. The last time they played in Tampa, the Bucs scored 35 points in the first half. So we’ll play the Over tonight as the Super Bowl Champs host the 3-6 Giants. New York is off a 23-16 win over Las Vegas and then last week had a bye. So there’s been plenty of time to get the offense ready to put enough points on the board to help send this one Over the total. Giants’ road games have been pretty high scoring this year, averaging 52.1 points/game. They both score and allow more on the road than they do at home. The Over has hit each of the last six times these teams have played. Play on OVER AAA |
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11-22-21 | Pacers v. Bulls -3.5 | Top | 109-77 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* on CHI Tied with Brooklyn for first place in the East, the Bulls should continue to roll Monday when they host Indiana. Chicago is 12-5 and has won six of its eight home games. They came from behind to win last night, 109-103 over the Knicks. Because it’s the second night of a back to back, oddsmakers have set a low number here and we think that’s a mistake. Indiana is 2-9 on the road. While they only lost by three in their last road game, they were actually down 25 at one point. That was against Charlotte. The Pacers did bounce back to defeat New Orleans on Saturday, but that was at home. The Bulls have covered both times they’ve been in a back to back this year, winning those two games by a combined 33 points. Lay the points in this one. Play on CHICAGO AAA |
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11-22-21 | Butler v. Houston -9 | Top | 52-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show |
This is an 8* on HOUSTON This is a first round matchup in the Maui Invitational (which is being played in Las Vegas). We’ve got Butler facing Houston, two programs that have been to Final Fours. Of course, it’s been a decade since Butler advanced that far. Houston was in the Final Four last year and bowed out to eventual National Champion Baylor in the Semifinal. The Cougars are ranked #15 in the poll right now and is 3-0. They just wasted Virginia 67-47 in their last game, which was six days ago. Butler lost the following day (Wednesday), 73-52 to Michigan State, and is now 3-1 on the year. Our view is that Butler just isn’t in Houston’s class. Houston leads all AAC teams with 10.3 three pointers made per game. Defensively, the Cougars are just as impressive. They held Virginia to 34.9% shooting and forced 17 turnovers. The game was never close as UH jumped out to an early 14-2 lead and was up 13 at halftime. They led by double digits the entire second half. As for Butler, the loss to Michigan State was their largest margin of defeat at home in 29 years. They shot 28.6% and had only eight assists. The size of the Spartans was clearly an issue and it should be the same thing here with Houston. This is a bad matchup at a bad time for Butler. Play on HOUSTON AAA |
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11-21-21 | Raptors v. Warriors -10 | Top | 104-119 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* on GSW Golden State is once again the best team in the league as they are 14-2. They’ve only been beaten once in regulation and perhaps the most impressive thing about them is that they are 12-4 against the spread. They are 10-1 SU/ATS L11 games and tonight host a Toronto team that will be playing its fourth straight road game and third in four nights. The Raptors snapped a three-game losing streak Friday in Sacramento. But they are outclassed here with Steph Curry set to return from a one-game absence. Curry sat out the Warriors’ 105-102 win in Detroit Friday. Though that game ended up being close, the Warriors led by 16 going into the fourth quarter. We know Detroit is bad, but the fact the Warriors were up 16 without their best player is still impressive. Golden State is winning at home by an average of 16.5 points/game and we just can’t see Toronto staying within the number in this one. Play on GOLDEN STATE AAA |
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11-21-21 | Steelers v. Chargers -5 | Top | 37-41 | Loss | -107 | 34 h 50 m | Show |
This is an 8* on LAC Ben Roethlisberger passed COVID-19 protocols on Saturday and the expectation is that he will start tonight. But the Steelers aren’t a very good team. Without Big Ben, they tied the Lions last week in a very ugly game. While their record is 5-3-1, the Steelers have been outscored. We mentioned last week that none of their five wins this year have come by more than eight points. So they are probably a bit lucky to have a winning record coming into this game with the Chargers, who are looking to bounce back from a loss to Minnesota that leaves them at 5-4. The Chargers also have a slightly negative point differential on the year. But they’ve impressed us more as they’ve played only one bad game (at Baltimore). West coast teams usually have the edge in night games. The Steelers are banged up on the defensive side of the ball (no TJ Watt) while the Chargers may be getting Joey Bosa back. The Steelers average only 18.3 points/game on the road. The Chargers average 27.3 points/game. Justin Herbert is simply a much better QB than Big Ben at this stage of the game. Herbert will take advantage of that banged up Steelers defense. Lay the points. Play on LA CHARGERS AAA |
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11-21-21 | Sabres v. Rangers UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER Both the Sabres and Rangers have had the last two days off. For the Rangers, that was not supposed to be the case. They were supposed to be in Ottawa last night, but the game with the Senators was postponed because of COVID. It will be interesting to see how they perform here, in light of the unexpected off day. They are coming off a 2-1 loss to Toronto on Thursday. That same night Buffalo lost 5-0 to Calgary. So we’ve got a couple of teams that combined to score one goal in their last game. The Rangers had been on a scoring tear prior to losing to the Leafs. But we think they may not be as explosive here with the sudden shift in schedule. The Under is 5-2 in their last seven games as a home favorite and 6-1-1 L8 games vs. teams with losing records. The Sabres have given up 35 goals in the last nine games, but should “tighten up” defensively here after the awful showing vs. Calgary. They did beat Pittsburgh 2-1 two days prior to that 5-0 loss. Buffalo is averaging only 24.8 shots on goal the last five games. Play on UNDER AAA |
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11-21-21 | Cardinals v. Seahawks +2 | Top | 23-13 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* on SEA It’s looking like Kyler Murray won’t play for Arizona. That’s bad news for a Cardinals team that lost last week to Carolina, 34-10. If Murray can’t go, then Colt McCoy will again be at the helm. McCoy suffered a pectoral injury in the loss last week, so Arizona is really banged up at QB. They’ve also lost two of their last three games after a 7-0 start. Now Seattle obviously has its own set of problems as they are 3-6 and were shut out by the Packers 17-0 last week. Russell Wilson’s return to the lineup proved to be a real ‘dud’, but at least he’s back. Wilson threw two interceptions in the end zone against the Packers, which really proved to be the difference in the game. We expect Wilson will play a lot better this week in a game the Seahawks really “have to have.” The Seahawks’ offense scored 28 or more points in three of the first four weeks of the season, all with Wilson healthy. Having their starting QB back at the same time Arizona has major injury issues at the position is pretty fortuitous. We will take advantage of the situation here by taking the Seahawks, who are 36-15-4 ATS their last 55 games off a loss. Play on SEATTLE AAA |
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11-21-21 | Lions +13 v. Browns | Top | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 27 h 31 m | Show |
This is an 8* on DETROIT The Lions are still winless, but they covered for us last week in Pittsburgh. We had them as nine-point underdogs in a game that ended up being a 16-16 tie. Now that line came down, by a lot, when it was announced Ben Roethlisberger wouldn’t play for the Steelers. But no matter what number you got the Lions at, it was an ATS win. The opponent this week (Cleveland) doesn’t have a backup QB, but they are a mess (lost 45-7 at New England last week) and should not be this large of a favorite against anyone right now. The Browns are 2-4 ATS in their last six games and one of the two games they covered was a three-point win. They did not cover the previous time they were double digit favorites (-13.5 vs. Houston). They have just two wins by more than 10 points this season. Meanwhile, as poor as this season has gone for the Lions, they’ve lost by more than 10 points only three times. They are 5-1 ATS when getting four or more points and have covered three straight road games. Play on DETROIT AAA |
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11-21-21 | Dolphins v. Jets UNDER 44.5 | Top | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 27 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 9* on UNDER Expect the Jets and Dolphins to play a low-scoring affair on Sunday. The Jets are 26th in the league in scoring at 17.9 points/game. They are starting Joe Flacco at quarterback this week. That sounds dire. If you can believe it, the Dolphins actually rank lower in scoring than the Jets. They are scoring just 17.7 points per game. That ranks 28th. So we’ve got two of the bottom seven scoring offenses here. The reason the last six Jets games have all gone Over the total is because their defense is horrible, giving up a league-worst 32.9 points/game. When they face teams like Buffalo, Indianapolis, Cincinnati or New England (their last four opponents), that’s obviously a problem. Miami is unlikely to take advantage of this porous defense though. The Dolphins have scored only 50 points - total - the last three weeks. All three games went Under. On the bright side, the Miami defense has allowed just 19 points in the last two games, including a really impressive effort last Thursday vs. Baltimore. Play on UNDER AAA |
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11-21-21 | Colts v. Bills OVER 49 | Top | 41-15 | Win | 100 | 27 h 30 m | Show |
This is an 8* on OVER Buffalo is #2 in the league in scoring, averaging 31.1 points/game. They put 45 on the board last week against the worst defensive team in the league, the Jets. They won’t need nearly that much here vs. Indianapolis for the game to go Over the total. That’s because the Colts are top eight in points scored at 26.8 per game. We’re really surprised that this number isn’t higher. Indy had scored 30 or more in four straight games going into last week’s 23-17 win against Jacksonville. Given how these two offenses have consistently put up points, how can you NOT go Over? The Over is 10-1 in the Colts' last 11 games vs. teams that have winning records. Play on OVER AAA |
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11-20-21 | Colorado State v. Hawaii +2.5 | Top | 45-50 | Win | 100 | 30 h 17 m | Show |
This is an 9* on HAWAII We can’t see a Colorado State team that’s lost four straight games and has no shot at a bowl performing very well out in Hawaii this week. The home team is 2-0-1 ATS as a dog in Honolulu this year. That record could be 3-0 ATS depending on your closing line for the San Diego State game. The Rainbow Warriors are on a three-game losing streak themselves, but unlike CSU, they still have a chance to become bowl eligible if they win the final two games. This is also the final home game of the year, which is always a special atmosphere. Injuries are starting to pile up for the visitors and the defense just gave up over 500 yards last week in a loss to Air Force. Hawaii is the healthier team at this juncture of the season and has a winning record at home. The only team that Colorado State has beaten on the road is New Mexico, who is the worst team in the Mountain West. Play on HAWAII AAA |
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11-20-21 | Oregon v. Utah -3 | Top | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 27 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UTAH Oregon, despite being the #3 team in the College Football Playoff Rankings, is an underdog this week at Utah. We agree with the linesmakers on this one. The Utes are #23 in the country, so they’re obviously a team to be respected. They average (ever so slightly) more points per game than do the Ducks. They give up only slightly more. The number of yards gained per game by the two offenses is nearly identical. The Utes have scored 34 or more points each of their last six games. So, despite what the rankings say, you’ve got two pretty identical teams here. Both offenses will look to establish the run. But Utah has the home field edge. They’ve won 17 of their last 18 games in Salt Lake City. In the last three head to head meetings between Utah and Oregon, whomever has been at home has won. Oregon has lost a game in the month of November each of the previous six seasons. If you’re like us and you don’t think that the Ducks are going to make the Playoff, then it stands to reason that this is the game they are likely to lose. Play on UTAH AAA |
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11-20-21 | East Carolina v. Navy UNDER 47 | Top | 38-35 | Loss | -113 | 23 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 9* on UNDER After a disappointing start to their 2021 season, East Carolina has played much better down the stretch. The Pirates have won their last three games on the field and covered their last six at the betting window. That ATS win streak is one of the longest active streaks in the nation right now and ECU puts it on the line this week when they invade Navy. The Midshipmen are NOT having a good year. They are just 2-7 straight up and those two wins were by a combined seven points over UCF and Tulsa. The Navy simply seems to have lost its “firepower” as a 34-6 loss to Notre Dame two weeks ago was the third game this year with seven or fewer points. They’ve scored more than 20 just two times and rank last in the American Conference in both scoring and yards gained. East Carolina’s game last week with Memphis went to overtime, so the 30-29 final is a little misleading. We think the Pirates won’t have much trouble shutting down Navy’s sputtering triple option, but with how much the Midshipmen run the ball, the clock will be running most of the way. That means unless ECU gets a lot of explosive plays, this will probably be a pretty low scoring game. Look for ECU to be limited on the explosive plays and for the Under to hit for the sixth straight time for Navy. The Under has also hit the last four times ECU has been favored. Play on UNDER AAA |
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11-20-21 | Washington -6.5 v. Colorado | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 13 m | Show |
This is an 8* on WASHINGTON Washington has had a rough couple of weeks with coach Jimmy Lake being fired. The Huskies are 4-6 and one of the most disappointing teams in the nation. But they can still make a bowl game if they win out for interim coach Bob Gregory, who previously served as defensive coordinator. Such motivation does not exist in Boulder where Colorado is 3-7 following a 44-20 defeat at the hands of UCLA last week. Two key players - LB Gustav and WR Lemonious-Craig - both suffered season-ending injuries in that game. So a bad team just got worse. Since joining the Pac 12, the Buffaloes have beaten UW just one time - back in 2019 as 14-point underdogs. Prior to that, it had been seven consecutive double digit losses by an average of 28.9 points/game. Washington seemingly was on its way to a win over Arizona State last week before giving away the game in the fourth quarter. The defense has allowed the second fewest yards in the Pac 12. We think the Huskies keep their bowl hopes alive with a big win on Saturday. Play on WASHINGTON AAA |
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11-20-21 | New Mexico State v. Kentucky -35.5 | Top | 16-56 | Win | 100 | 19 h 14 m | Show |
This is an 8* on KENTUCKY New Mexico State, one of the worst teams in the country, heads to Lexington this week to face a Kentucky team that was once ranked as high as #11. NMSU just got done facing another SEC team, Alabama, and that went about as poorly as you’d expect. The Aggies lost 59-3 and thus didn’t even cover as 50.5 point underdogs. It’s been a long season in Las Cruces as the team is 1-9 and that one win was against South Carolina State, who is not even a FBS program. The nine games versus FBS foes have not only all resulted in defeat, but seven of them have been decided by two touchdowns or more. Kentucky started the year at 7-0 (this is when they were ranked 11th), but then lost to Georgia, Mississippi State and Tennessee. They got back in the win column last week with a 34-17 win over Vanderbilt. That game was 31-3 at halftime. The Wildcats are on a 14-game win streak against non-conference teams and are done with SEC play for the year. Because they are honoring the 22 seniors beforehand, UK will be “up” for this game. A defense that’s quite good could pitch a shutout here. The offense will have no problem scoring 40 or more points. Play on KENTUCKY AAA |
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11-19-21 | Avalanche -134 v. Seattle Kraken | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* on COL Colorado came into the season as one of the Stanley Cup favorites, but got off to a surprisingly slow start. That’s changed recently, as despite not having star Nathan MacKinnon, the Avs have won three in a row. Two wins were over Vancouver and the other against San Jose. They have scored a total of 17 goals during this win streak, which has seen them make up for the absence of MacKinnon by going 6 for 13 on the power play. Tonight the Avalanche go up against a team that is - not surprisingly - near the bottom of the league’s standings. The expansion Kraken have lost five straight while giving up four or more goals every time. We had the Over when they last played - and lost - 4-2 to Chicago. Seattle fell behind 3-0 in that game and had only three shots on goal in the first period. Only one team (Arizona) has fewer points than the Kraken’s 9 as they continue to reside in the basement of the Pacific Division. This shapes up to be another easy two points for the Avalanche. Play on COLORADO AAA |
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11-19-21 | Memphis v. Houston OVER 59.5 | Top | 13-31 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER Look for Houston and Memphis to trade points Friday night on ESPN2. The Cougars come in averaging 38.9 points/game. They’ve scored 40 or more in four of the last six games. The defense had a strong effort last week, holding Temple to just 8 points. But that is out of the ordinary for Dana Holgorsen’s team, which gave up 37 to SMU and 42 to South Florida the two games prior. Memphis is also no slouch in the scoring department as it averages 31.5 points/game. The Tigers’ offense has averaged 451.4 yards/game for the season, which is more than what Memphis averages. But, like Houston, Memphis has its problems defensively. They give up 35.8 points/game on the road. The last six times these teams have played, there has been at least 57 total points scored. Five times there has been 69 or more total points scored. The Over is 10-4 the last 14 times Memphis has been a road underdog. The Over is 6-2 the last eight times Houston has been off a win that was by 20 or more points. This feels like a game where both teams will score 30+ points. Play on OVER AAA |
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11-19-21 | Southern Miss v. Louisiana Tech -15 | Top | 35-19 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* on La Tech Our view is that Louisiana Tech should roll in this Friday night Conference USA battle. Their opponent, Southern Miss, is one of the worst teams in the entire country. The Golden Eagles have just one win all year and that was against a FCS school (Grambling) back in September. Eight of their nine losses this year have been by double digits, five of them coming by 24 points or greater. USM did hang tough last week in a surprising showing at UTSA. But they used a “gimmicky” offense to do so and it resulted in their best player (RB Frank Gore Jr) getting injured. The offense still only gained 189 yards vs. UTSA and would have lost by 17 if not for the defense returning an interception for a touchdown. Louisiana Tech at least has some confidence after beating Charlotte 42-32 last week. This is their final home game, so the Bulldogs should be plenty motivated to go out and win big. They are 12-5 ATS following a straight up win. Louisiana Tech had over 500 yards of offense last week and a similar effort is quite possible tonight, which would likely mean a comfortable victory. Play on LOUISIANA TECH AAA |
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11-19-21 | Lakers v. Celtics UNDER 213.5 | Top | 108-130 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER With LeBron James “hopeful” to play, handicapping this game might seem like a challenge. Sources say it’s a “50-50 chance” that James will be on the court Friday night as the Lakers take on the Celtics. Our view is that whether he plays or not, the game is going to stay Under the total. That’s the way Boston’s last three games have gone with the Celtics scoring less than 100 in all of them. Now the three games were all on the road. But the team doesn’t average more points/game here at home. In fact, it averages slightly less. The Lakers, 3-5 without James, have been held to 104 points or less in the five losses. Speaking of injuries, Boston is still without Jaylen Brown. We do expect the Celtics to “tighten the screws” a bit defensively after allowing the Hawks to shoot 50.6% on Wednesday. The Under is 10-1 in the Lakers’ last 11 Friday games. If James does happen to play tonight, it’s unlikely that he’ll be all that effective, coming off a long layoff. Play on UNDER AAA |
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11-18-21 | 76ers v. Nuggets UNDER 210 | Top | 103-89 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER We had the Under in Philadelphia’s last game, which they lost 120-85 to Utah. Improving upon that embarrassing performance is the goal tonight for the 76ers, but they can only do so much with so many players out. Joel Embiid, Ben Simmons, Danny Green and Matisse Thybulle are among those out for Thursday’s visit to Denver. We will look to cash the Under yet again. The Nuggets have been incredibly good defensively over the first month of the season. They are #1 in the NBA, giving up only 98.9 points/game. Before losing in Dallas the other night, they’d held five straight opponents under the century mark. When the Nuggets are favored this season, the Under is 7-1. The game vs. Dallas was only the fourth time Denver allowed an opponent to score more than 100 and just the second time allowing more than 108. With the skeleton crew that Philly is trotting out tonight, scoring 100 is going to be difficult. We don’t think Denver will score a ton of points here either. Play on UNDER AAA |
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11-18-21 | Patriots -6.5 v. Falcons | Top | 25-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 10* on NE It seems safe to say that all signs point to a New England blowout tonight. The Patriots have won their last four games by a combined 100 points. They beat Cleveland 45-7 on Sunday, outgaining the Browns 2:1 and not allowing any points after the opening drive. Going on the road has not been a problem for these Patriots as they are 4-0 SU away from Foxboro with those four wins coming by an average of 10.5 points/game. Atlanta is 0-3 straight up and against the spread at home. They just got beat 43-3 in Dallas. Their top receiver Calvin Ridley is out and running back Cordarrelle Patterson is a game-time decision. Even if Patterson plays, we expect the Falcons offense to be ineffective in this game. They are 25th in scoring and 29th in rush yards. It doesn’t help that the defense is also 29th in points allowed. Though the 4-5 record doesn’t seem bad, Atlanta has been outscored by 85 points this year. This is a top five team against a bottom five team. Lay the points. Play on NEW ENGLAND AAA |
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11-18-21 | Louisville -19.5 v. Duke | Top | 62-22 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* on L'ville Louisville should not have any problem beating up on a sorry Duke team Thursday night. The Cardinals enter this game off an impressive 41-3 win over Syracuse. That was a Syracuse team that had covered its previous seven games. As impressive as last week’s performance was, the Cardinals are still in need of one more win to become bowl eligible. Next week is the final regular season game and it’s against Kentucky. While at home, that is by no means a guaranteed win. So we look for L’vile to handle it’s business on Thursday against a Duke team that is 0-6 its last six games. Five of the six losses have been by 25 points or more! On Saturday it was a 48-17 loss at Virginia Tech. We see no reason to expect the Blue Devils to keep this one any closer. They are dealing with injuries at quarterback. The win over Syracuse may have been Louisville’s largest over a FBS team in six years. But we see no reason why they can’t repeat the effort tonight against a much worse team. After facing six straight opponents that had winning records, this should be a “walk in the park” for the road team. Play on LOUISVILLE AAA |
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11-18-21 | Ohio State -2 v. Xavier | Top | 65-71 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OHIO ST In-state rivals play Wednesday in Cincinnati as Xavier hosts #17 Ohio State. As short home underdogs, the Musketeers are probably thinking upset here, but we like the Buckeyes to handle their business in their first “real” test of the 2021-22 season. So far OSU has gone through Akron, Niagara and Bowling Green. Their margins of victory have continued to grow, culminating in a 31-point triumph over BG on Monday. Ten players scored for the Buckeyes in that win, five finishing in double digits. The bench scored 39 points and the team shot over 50%. It was their best game to date. Xavier is 2-0 with wins over Niagara and Kent State. The Musketeers could only beat Niagara by three while OSU beat them by 10. While that’s just one common opponent, you’ve also got the fact that OSU is 9-1 ATS in its previous 10 road games. Xavier hasn’t shot the ball well so far and figures to get outworked on the glass. Play on OHIO STATE AAA |
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11-17-21 | Blackhawks v. Seattle Kraken OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER The Kraken are having the kind of struggles you’d expect from an expansion team. They are at the bottom of the Pacific Division with only nine points, which is the second fewest in the league. However, the Blackhawks have just one more point than the Kracken and the situation in Chicago is a lot uglier right now. A decade old, sexual abuse scandal has come to light and led to multiple firings/resignations. But since interim coach Derek King was brought up, Chicago has won three straight one-goal games. All three games stayed Under the total. We don’t see that happening against the Kracken though. Seattle’s last six games have gone Over and they’ve allowed 27 goals. At the same time, they’ve scored four or more goals in half those six games. Expect the first ever Chicago-Seattle game to go Over as the Blackhawks allow 4.2 goals per game on the road. Play on OVER AAA |
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11-17-21 | Northern Illinois v. Buffalo +1.5 | Top | 33-27 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* on BUFFALO The won-loss records of these two teams are quite misleading. Northern Illinois is 7-3 but has allowed more points than it has scored. Buffalo is 4-6 but has scored more than it has allowed. Hence the short number for this bit of Wednesday night “MAC-tion.” We’re going to side with the home team here, even though it is coming off back to back losses. Buffalo still has something to play for; if they were to win the next two games, then they become bowl eligible with six wins. The Bulls were MAC East Champs last year and would love to spoil Northern Illinois’ dreams of getting to the Conference Championship Game. The Huskies have won four games this year by a total of five points, which is nothing short of incredible and also very lucky. Last week was their third one-point win of 2021 as they kicked a last season FG to get by Ball State 30-29. But that was at home. The Huskies’ defense ranks ninth in the MAC in yards allowed (448.3 ypg) and seventh in scoring (30.8 points/game). Two weeks ago, they surrendered 52 points and 688 yards to Kent State! Buffalo’s defense is first in sacks while NIU is last (among MAC teams). Play on BUFFALO AAA |
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11-17-21 | Boston College v. Rhode Island -5 | Top | 49-57 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
This a 10* on RHODE ISLAND Rhode Island has been an 8.5-point favorite for both of their games thus far. They covered the spread each time, beating Boston U 71-62 and then Bryant 83-64. While that first game ended up being relatively close, at least as far as the pointspread was concerned, the Rams led the whole way and were never really threatened. It was a more complete performance in the second game with them blowing out Bryant in the second half. Over the last 15 minutes of the game, URI went on a 37-18 run. Boston College comes in at 3-0 and also covered the number in its first two games. But then they failed as 10-point favorites against Fairfield, winning only 72-64. This is the Eagles first time playing on the road. They are 0-4 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points the last two years. Rhode Island has won 20 of its previous 26 home games. Somebody is going to lose for the first time and we believe it will be BC as Rhode Island’s defense is #1 in the nation right now, holding teams to 30.6% shooting! Play on RHODE ISLAND AAA |
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11-16-21 | 76ers v. Jazz UNDER 216 | Top | 85-120 | Win | 101 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER With no Ben Simmons and no Joel Embiid, Philadelphia has lost four in a row. They were doing fine without the mercurial Simmons, but it was when Embiid got sidelined by COVID that things began to hit the skids. During the losing streak, the 76ers have averaged only 106.7 points/game. That’s actually not that bad, given how much scoring is down across the league. But don’t even expect Philly to score that many tonight when they travel to Utah. The Jazz, losers of four of their last five, are also struggling. But they have held multiple opponents below the century mark. Over those last five games though, the Jazz are averaging just 105 points themselves. The Under is 7-3 in the Jazz’s last 10 games. Play on UNDER AAA |
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11-16-21 | Western Michigan v. Eastern Michigan OVER 66 | Top | 21-22 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER There’s been no shortage of points in these weekday MAC games. So when Western Michigan and Eastern Michigan hook up on Tuesday, don’t be surprised to see another shootout. Western Michigan comes into tonight off a 45-40 win over Akron last week. The Broncos are averaging 33.0 points/game in conference play, but at the same time the defense is giving up 34.8 points/game. They’ve allowed 40 or more in two straight games and three of the last five. Eastern Michigan had scored 50+ in back to back games before getting upset by Ohio last Tuesday. It will be a challenge for the Eagles defense to slow down a WMU offense that went for 533 yards seven days ago. Fortunately for the home team, it has averaged 465.7 yards over the last three games. It’s difficult for us to see either defense getting many stops in this one. Eastern Michigan is 4-1 Over L5 Tuesday games. Western Michigan is 7-1 Over L8 Tuesday games and 17-4 Over L21 November games. Play on OVER AAA |
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11-16-21 | Creighton +3.5 v. Nebraska | Top | 77-69 | Win | 100 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* on CREIGHTON In-state rivals get set for their annual meeting as Creighton makes the drive from Omaha to Lincoln to take on Nebraska. Obviously, we know which school has more of a “national presence.” But when it comes to basketball, Creighton has taken over the Cornhusker State. While they trailed at halftime in both games, the Bluejays do enter this game at 2-0 on the young season. Nebraska is 1-1 and lucky not to be 0-2. After losing at home to Western Illinois last week, the ‘Huskers were down 10 early to Sam Houston State on Friday. That was also a home game. Creighton and Nebraska are a combined 0-4 ATS so far but the Bluejays have not been underdogs previous to this. The defense effort in their last game (just 44 points allowed) was the best by any Creighton team in eight seasons, at least against a D-I opponent. These teams played in Omaha last year and Creighton won by 24. Not enough has changed in a year to justify Nebraska being favored here. Play on CREIGHTON AAA |
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11-15-21 | Rams v. 49ers OVER 50.5 | Top | 10-31 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER The big story for tonight is that Odell Beckham will be making his Rams’ debut. Beckham arrives in LA at an opportune time - the Rams lost last week to the Titans, 28-16, and then WR Robert Woods went down in practice with a season-ending knee injury. But Beckham may not be the only high-profile debut for the Rams here. On the defensive side, Von Miller could suit up for the first time since the Rams traded for him. Whether or not the former Bronco plays is dependent on the ankle injury that kept him out last week. The Rams are 4-0 on the road this season while the 49ers are 0-4 at home. But the 49ers have won all four meetings the previous two seasons, three of them as underdogs. We like the total tonight. The Rams being held to only 16 points last week (and that was with a late TD) was odd. They are among the highest scoring teams in the NFL at 29.0 points/game. On the road, the scoring average jumps to 32.3 points/game. Stafford is the only QB in the league to have nine games with 250+ yards passing. Since returning, the Niners’ Jimmy Garoppolo has thrown for 300+ yards in back to back games. With just one win in the last six games, the home team will be desperate here and knows it’s going to take a lot of points to win. The last three 49ers’ games have gone Over the total as either they have scored or allowed 30 points in all of them. San Francisco’s defense is allowing almost 30 PPG at home. Both offenses should bounce back from subpar performances last week. Play on OVER AAA |
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11-15-21 | Suns -3.5 v. Wolves | Top | 99-96 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* on PHOENIX Phoenix, the Western Conference Champions from last season, once again finds itself as the hottest team in the NBA. The Suns have won eight in a row entering Monday and have covered the spread seven straight times. This has them at 9-3 for the year and the only team ahead of the Suns right now (in the West) is Golden State). Tonight the Suns head to Minnesota to face a Timberwolves team that has experienced very different results over its last eight games. The T’wolves are 1-7 straight up and against the spread since Oct 30 with five of the seven losses coming by double digits. Even though Phoenix played last night, we can’t see Minnesota keeping this game close. It’s not as if last night was a difficult game for the Suns; they won 115-89, their third straight double digit win. There’s just no reason not to lay this short number as the Timberwolves have failed to cover the last five times they’ve been an underdog. Play on PHOENIX AAA |
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11-15-21 | Islanders v. Lightning -124 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 9* on TB After starting the season with three straight losses, Tampa Bay has turned things around. You had to figure they would. After all, this is the team that’s won the last two Stanley Cup Finals. In each of their last seven games, the Lightning have picked up a point. That’s five wins and two overtime losses. Five of their next six games are at home, including this one against the team they beat in last year’s semifinals. It was a seven-game series with the Islanders last summer, but we expect the Lightning to roll tonight. This will be the Islanders’ 12th straight road game to open the year as they wait for their new arena to be ready. The Isles have played a game since Thursday, but you’ve got to figure they are road-weary. Having three days off didn’t help them in Newark on Thursday as they lost to the Devils 4-0. Before that was a 5-2 loss in Minnesota. It’s six straight losses to teams with winning records for the Islanders. Play on TAMPA BAY AAA |
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11-15-21 | Robert Morris v. Ohio OVER 143.5 | Top | 71-85 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER Robert Morris is still looking for its first win of the season. The Colonials are 0-2 with the losses coming to UCF and Kentucky. It’s definitely not a surprise that they are winless. RMU was getting 16 against UCF (covered) and then 23 against Kentucky. They’ve only scored 59.5 points/game, but did just give up 100 to UK on Thursday. Ohio is 2-0 with wins over Belmont and Cleveland State. The Bobcats put up 92 in the opener before turning in a solid effort at the defensive end vs. CSU, holding the Vikings to 56 points on 38% shooting. Opening the season with three straight road games where you’re a double digit underdog is tough. That’s the situation RMU faces here. We are unsure if they can get the cash like they did vs. UCF, but do expect this to be the Colonials' highest scoring game of the season so far. They’ve shot poorly in each of the first two games, particularly from three-point range where they are at just 24.4 percent. You’ve got to think that number will improve. Ohio shouldn’t have any issues scoring in this game either as they face a team that just gave up 100 points. The Over is 20-8 in RMU’s last 28 games and 10-3 in Ohio’s last 13 home games. Play on OVER AAA |
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11-14-21 | Chiefs -2.5 v. Raiders | Top | 41-14 | Win | 100 | 48 h 41 m | Show |
This is an 8* on KANSAS CITY It was ugly but Kansas City got a 13-7 win last week over Green Bay (who was without Aaron Rodgers). The Chiefs could not cover the inflated number though, so they are now 4-16 against the spread in their last 20 games. It may seem risky to lay points with Patrick Mahomes on the road right now, but we’re going to do it Sunday night in Las Vegas. The Raiders were exposed a bit in last week’s 23-16 loss to the Giants. It is true that they had 156 more total yards than their opponent. But this is a team that has now lost to the Giants and Bears, plus needed overtime to get by the lowly Dolphins. Looking at this pair of five-win AFC West teams, we are more confident in the Chiefs making a second half run than we are the Raiders. Play on KANSAS CITY AAA |
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11-14-21 | Blazers v. Nuggets -6.5 | Top | 95-124 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 9* on DENVER We think Denver is the right side in this Western Conference NBA matchup. The Nuggets will be looking to wrap up a perfect 5-0 homestand tonight when they host Portland. The Blazers have not been good on the road so far, losing six of seven while being outscored by roughly 8.7 points per game. So laying the points doesn’t bother us. Not with Denver leading the league in scoring defense. Through 12 games, the Nuggets are allowing an average 98.3 points/game. There have been only three times they’ve allowed triple digits and if you take away the one time Utah scored 122 (it was the second night of a back to back for Denver), then the defensive numbers look even more phenomenal. At home, the Nuggets are giving up just 93.4 points/game. Nikola Jokic has recorded a triple double in the last two games he’s played. Play on DENVER AAA |
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11-14-21 | Nets v. Thunder OVER 214 | Top | 120-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER We like the Over in tonight’s Nets-Thunder matchup. Surprisingly, it’s the Thunder that come into this game as the hotter team. They’ve won four straight games. They’re even hotter ATS, covering five straight and seven of the last eight. But Brooklyn has lost just one of its last eight games and is a justifiable favorite in this spot. Harden and Durant combined for 67 points in Friday’s win over the Pelicans. After their first seven games all went Under, the Nets are 4-2 Over the last six games. They’ve scored more than 120 in back to back wins. OKC has topped 120 in a game only once all season, but could be poised for one of its highest scoring games tonight. Their last two games are among their four highest scoring efforts of the young season, even though both ended up going Under. The Thunder are 6-0 Under L6 games, but this low total is just begging to be played Over. Play on OVER AAA |
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11-14-21 | Seahawks +3.5 v. Packers | Top | 0-17 | Loss | -116 | 47 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* on SEATTLE So the Seahawks are set to get Russell Wilson back. We do not yet know if the Packers will have Aaron Rodgers on the field. What we do know is that without Rodgers, the Packers could only score seven points against a Chiefs defense that is terrible. We also know that the Seahawks are a much better team with Wilson under center. Wilson is 24-12-2 ATS in his pro career as an underdog. When getting four or more points, he is 10-1 against the spread with seven outright wins. If Rodgers cannot play Sunday, then this line is a steal. Even if we knew he was playing, we’d still take the points. Why? All things considered, these teams are pretty even. Seattle’s point differential is +12. Green Bay, despite being 7-2, has a point differential of +19. The Packers are not as good as their straight up record and their ATS win streak, currently tied for the longest in the last three NFL seasons, is due to end. It won’t be until late Saturday that Rodgers’ status for this game becomes official. So even if he does play, that’s less than 24 hours to prepare. By the way, the Seahawks are coming off a bye. Play on SEATTLE AAA |
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11-14-21 | Browns v. Patriots UNDER 45.5 | Top | 7-45 | Loss | -110 | 44 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER The Browns got a huge win last week, beating Cincinnati by the score of 41-16. They did get a 99-yard INT return for a touchdown early in the game, which was a big swing. The offense for this team has been really “feast or famine” this season. Three times the Browns have topped 40 points. They also have four games where they scored 17 or less. Three of those came in the three weeks preceding the win over the Bengals. But another interesting thing about Cleveland is that the defense has had three games this year where it allowed 37 or more points. But it also has put together five games where it allowed no more than 16 points. The last three weeks have seen the Browns allow an average of 15 points/game. So which Browns offense - and Browns defense - will show up this week in New England? Well, we don’t like the prospects for the offense. Nick Chubb (COVID) may not be able to play. The Patriots allow only 18.6 points/game at home and last week held the Panthers to six points in Carolina. But the good news for Browns fans is that we’re not sold on rookie QB Mac Jones and the New England offense. Yes, Jones and company have put up some nice numbers in recent weeks. But they did so at the expense of some bad defenses. Play on UNDER AAA |
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11-14-21 | Lions +9 v. Steelers | Top | 16-16 | Win | 100 | 41 h 36 m | Show |
This is an 8* on DETROIT Coming out of a bye, is this the time for the Lions to finally win? The league’s only winless team (0-8) visits Pittsburgh this week. If you think the Steelers are as good as their 5-3 SU record, then you’re crazy. They nearly threw the game away Monday night vs. Chicago. By the way, how about the nice little scheduling advantage for the road team? They’re not coming off a bye, but also facing a team on a short week. The Steelers are only averaging 20.1 points, so why would you lay a big number with them? The Bears outgained them 414-280. It was the third game in a row that Pittsburgh won by five points or less. None of their wins this year have come by more than eight points. Going back to the end of last season, the Steelers have failed to cover the last eight times they were favored. Not only is Detroit 8-1 ATS coming off a bye week the last nine seasons, but teams 0-5 or worse coming off a bye are 18-6 ATS all-time. Definitely grab the points in this one. Play on DETROIT AAA |
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11-13-21 | Celtics -2.5 v. Cavs | Top | 89-91 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* on BOS Cleveland is 8-5 and coming off a 20-point win, but we’re still a bit skeptical. The 20-point win last night was against the Pistons, who are one of the NBA’s worst teams. The Cavs are now 9-3-1 ATS overall, tied with the Warriors for the best mark in the league. But they’ve pulled out quite a few narrow wins so far, including three in a row by three points or less to start the month. We’re about to find out how “for real” Cleveland is as they host Boston tonight. The Celtics also won last night, needing OT to get by Milwaukee 122-113. It was their fourth win in five games. The Cavs do have the better record coming into tonight’s game, but oddsmakers still don’t respect them that much as they are underdogs at home. We’re going to lay the short number with Boston. Though they had to go to overtime to get the win last night, Cleveland is probably in worse shape heading into the second game of the back to back. They’re missing Colllin Sexton (who averaged 23.3 points/game last year), Kevin Love, Lauri Markkanen and possibly Lamar Stevens. Boston is pretty healthy coming into this game, save for the Jaylen Brown injury. Play on BOSTON AAA |
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11-13-21 | Notre Dame -5 v. Virginia | Top | 28-3 | Win | 100 | 45 h 25 m | Show |
This is an 8* on NOTRE DAME People seem to have forgotten about Notre Dame? The Irish have won four straight since losing to Cincinnati. They’ve covered the spread in all four of those wins as well. That Cincinnati game is their only loss and we certainly don’t see them losing Saturday night in Charlottesville to Virginia. The Hoos had their own four-game winning run snapped two weeks ago. They gave up 66 points in a loss to BYU. While they did score 48 or more for a third straight game - and are now coming off a bye - we just don’t see the home team having enough to stay inside the number against a clearly more talented football team. Even with the bye, Virginia may not have QB Brennan Armstrong, who sustained a rib injury against BYU. That would be a crushing blow to the home team’s hopes here. Notre Dame is already 3-0 this season vs. ACC teams need a big win to impress the playoff committee. They get it here. Play on NOTRE DAME AAA |
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11-13-21 | Boston College v. Georgia Tech OVER 54 | Top | 41-30 | Win | 100 | 42 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER The last five Boston College games have all resulted in a win for Under bettors. The average number of total points scored in those five games is just 32.2! Last week was the lowest scoring game of the Eagles’ season, a 17-3 Friday night win over Virginia Tech. We realize that it’s been a struggle for them to score recently. But QB Phil Jurkovec has returned to the starting lineup and that should provide a spark offensively. BC faces Georgia Tech this week. The Yellow Jackets surrender an average of 31.7 points/game in ACC play and five of their last six have seen a minimum of 58 total points scored. So this has all the makings of the end to BC’s five game Under streak. While GT has lost three in a row, they scored 30 or more in two of the losses. They’ve also scored 30 or more in four of the last six games. When these schools played last year, the final score was 48-27 (BC won). Play on OVER AAA |
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11-13-21 | Georgia State v. Coastal Carolina -10.5 | Top | 42-40 | Loss | -107 | 40 h 7 m | Show |
This is an 8* on COASTAL CAROLINA Coastal Carolina starting quarterback Grayson McCall is out with an injury. He missed last week’s game against Georgia Southern, but the Chanticleers still won 28-8. We liked them in that game and will take them again here, laying the points as this line is a bargain. Backup QB Bryce Carpenter didn’t have to do much last week. However, he ended up completing 66% of his passes. Were McCall in the lineup, we’d project this spread to be close to three touchdowns. Is McCall really worth almost 10 points? Probably not! Georgia State has the 103rd ranked pass defense in the country as it gives up 257 yards/game through the air. Carpenter will probably play well. Coastal has scored 27 or more points in all nine games this season. Georgia State has topped 28 just once. The Chants have won 12 straight home games and last year they beat GSU on the road by 51 points. AAA |
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11-13-21 | Dartmouth v. Georgetown -16 | Top | 69-60 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* on G'town This is Georgetown’s first game. In case you’d forgotten, the Hoyas made an incredible run to the NCAA Tournament last March by winning the Big East Tournament as an 8-seed. They won four games in four days. However, it ended up being a short stay in the Big Dance as G’town was bounced in the opening round by Colorado, 96-73. A lot of the top talent from that team is now gone, but we still expect the Hoyas to handle their business here against Dartmouth. The Big Green have already played a game this season and it was a 72-57 loss to Boston College. They were never really in it as the halftime score was 42-19. Dartmouth shot just 37.5% overall from the field and 20.7% from behind the arc. As was the case with Iowa yesterday, we don’t think the dropoff with Georgetown will be quite as severe as the oddsmakers seem to. This should be a very easy opening game for the more talented side. Dartmouth hasn’t finished with a winning record in over 20 years. Georgetown is 7-0 ATS L7 home games against teams with a losing road record. Play on GEORGETOWN AAA |
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11-13-21 | Oklahoma -5.5 v. Baylor | Top | 14-27 | Loss | -110 | 38 h 17 m | Show |
This is an 8* on OKLAHOMA November is when Oklahoma typically starts to roll. The Sooners haven’t lost a November game since 2014, well before current head coach Lincoln Riley first arrived in Norman. They’ve won 23 straight November games, including 21 when favored. OU enters this game against Baylor with an undefeated record in 2021 (9-0) and we think they’ll stay that way. This is the second shortest line for one of their games all year. They were four point favorites for the Texas game, which they came back and won 55-48. At the time, that was the Sooners third straight close victory. Since then, they’ve won by double digits three straight times. It was 52-21 over Texas Tech two weeks ago. Last week they were off. Baylor suffered just its second loss of the year last weekend as they went down 30-28 at the hands of TCU. Coming off a loss and facing a rested OU team is not what we’d call a “good situation” for the Bears. Since the switch at quarterback to Caleb Williams, the Sooners have averaged 48.5 points/game. They are still only 8th in the CFP rankings, so look for them to make a definitive “statement” to the committee here. Lay it! Play on OKLAHOMA AAA |
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11-12-21 | Wyoming v. Boise State -13.5 | Top | 13-23 | Loss | -107 | 36 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* on BOISE STATE Boise State is 14-1 all-time vs. Wyoming with the lone loss taking place in Laramie back in 2016. The first 10 meetings, all won by Boise, were decided by an average of 26 points/game. The last five have been closer games with four decided by single digits. The visiting team has covered 11 of the last 15 times. While we do acknowledge that this Boise team isn’t as good as years past, they are coming off their two most impressive wins of the 2021 season. They went to Colorado State and won 28-19 then last Saturday went to Fresno State and won 40-14 as a 4.5 point underdog. Wyoming also won as an underdog (+3) last week. They beat Colorado State 31-17. But the Cowboys’ previous four conference games had all ended in defeat and they went 0-4 ATS as well. This is a team that also struggled to beat UConn. While Boise has the same 5-4 SU record as Wyoming, the Broncos are at least 3-2 in conference play. They’ve lost two games this year where they had a double digit lead. So their record could be better. We like this to be a three touchdown win for the home side. Before last week’s win, Wyoming had not scored more than 21 points in any conference game. Play on BOISE STATE AAA |
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11-12-21 | Mavs -2.5 v. Spurs | Top | 123-109 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* on DAL Dallas is off a loss while San Antonio is off a win. But with a 7-4 record, the Mavs are having the better overall start to the year. The Mavs went down in Chicago Wednesday night, losing 117-107 as they could not keep up in the second half. But they’d won three in a row prior to that loss with one of the wins coming here in San Antonio. The win was by a single point, 109-108, but Dallas didn’t even shoot the ball well. Expect them to tonight. The Spurs picked up just their fourth win of the year when they beat Sacramento 136-117 Wednesday night. They hit 18 threes in the win, something that you won’t see them do again anytime soon. The Spurs have yet to win two straight games this year and they lost to OKC the most recent time they were coming off a victory. San Antonio is actually 0-2 vs. Dallas this year as they also lost to them by five points back on Oct 28. They did cover the spread in both losses, but that won’t be the case here as the Mavericks have yet to lose two straight games this season. It all adds up to a third win over the Spurs and this time Dallas covers. Play on DALLAS AAA |
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11-12-21 | UMKC v. Iowa -20 | Top | 57-89 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* on IOWA UMKC (Kansas City) will really be up against it on Friday as they travel to Iowa City to face the heavily favored Hawkeyes. This is already the second game against a Big 10 team for UMKC. They lost to Minnesota by a score of 71-56 on Tuesday. In that game, the Roos did not cover the spread as they were only 6.5 point underdogs. Oddsmakers like their chances here even less and so do we. Iowa is not the same team they were last year (no Luke Garza) but should certainly “handle its business” in this game. The Hawkeyes scored 106 points in the season opener vs. Longwood, so there’s not going to be that big of a dropoff at the offensive end. Iowa did cover the number vs. Longwood, so they are now 23-9 ATS in their last 32 home games. This should be another big win for them as they look to start the season strong. Play on IOWA AAA |
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11-12-21 | Northeastern v. Georgia State UNDER 143 | Top | 64-83 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 18 m | Show |
This is an 8* on UNDER Georgia State opened its season with a very easy 97-37 victory over a non-DI school (Brewton Parker). Northeastern wasn’t as fortunate on Tuesday as they lost 65-58 to Colgate. The Huskies also just missed out on covering the spread as they were 6.5-point underdogs. It was not a solid night at the offensive end as they made only 40% of their total field goal attempts and were 3 of 14 from three. Northeastern did earn a share of the CAA regular season title last season. But they lost their top player to the transfer portal. The good news is that on the defensive end, the Huskies held Colgate to 39.3% shooting. It was a game they could have won as they were up by two at half. Georgia State is not going to score 97 again on Friday as they are facing a “real” opponent for the first time. The Panthers will also give up more than the 37 they allowed in the first game. But don’t expect this game to go Over the total. The Under is 11-4 the last 15 times N’eastern has been a road underdog. In the second game of the year, both teams will struggle to make shots. Play on UNDER AAA |
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11-11-21 | Heat v. Clippers OVER 213 | Top | 109-112 | Win | 100 | 14 h 41 m | Show |
This is 10* on OVER The Clippers have won five straight. They’ve covered the number in each of the last four games. So they are not a team anyone wants to see on the schedule right now. Now even Miami, who has had a really solid start to its season. The Heat (7-4) still have a better record than the Clippers (6-4) but have lost three of four including an overtime game last night to the Lakers. Even though they didn’t have to face LeBron James, the Heat still wilted late, surrendering all of a seven-point lead by the end of regulation. Even worse is that Jimmy Butler left the game with a sprained ankle. He’s questionable to play tonight. At least no travel is involved for Miami, who is 16-10 Over when playing in the second night of a back to back. We expect this to be a relatively high scoring affair and go Over the total. The Heat’s early season defensive dominance has started to subside as they’ve given up 110 or more points in four of their last five games. The Clippers have poured in 117 or more points in three of their last four games with the last two both going Over. Play the OVER AAA |
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11-11-21 | Ravens v. Dolphins +7.5 | Top | 10-22 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* on MIAMI The history between the Ravens and Dolphins has been very one-sided. Baltimore has won eight of the last nine meetings and gone 9-0 ATS! The three most recent meetings (2016, ‘17 and ‘19) have seen the Ravens win by a combined score of 137-16! However, lets not forget what happened just three weeks ago. The Ravens played a Cincinnati team they were known for dominating. We said to take the points with the Bengals and sure enough THEY won the game 41-14! Miami probably is not capable of doing the same thing. But we do expect them to keep this Thursday night game within one score. Most Ravens’ wins this year have been close. Like last week when they beat Minnesota in overtime after trailing by two touchdowns. It was the fourth Baltimore win this year by fewer than seven points and second in overtime. Remember the Monday night game vs. Indianapolis where we played against them? That should have been a loss for the Ravens (they won, but did not cover). Miami was also a winner last week, with Jacoby Brissett as the starting QB, so that should give them some confidence heading into Thursday night. The Ravens, 0-5 ATS as favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points, are not as good as their record. Play on MIAMI AAA |
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11-11-21 | Sharks v. Jets -173 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show |
full analysis to follow |
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11-11-21 | North Carolina v. Pittsburgh -6.5 | Top | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* on PITT Pittsburgh is having a better season than North Carolina. The Panthers are 7-2 straight up and against the spread while the Tar Heels are just 5-4 straight up and 4-5 against the spread. But UNC is coming off an impressive come from behind win over Wake Forest, who was undefeated. Impressive as the win was, the Tar Heels still gave up 55 points. They’ve allowed an average of 47 points their last three games. That is never good, but going up against a Pitt offense that scores 45 per game means real trouble. There have been four times this year that the Panthers have scored 50 or more points. One of those was last week as they beat Duke 54-29. That game would have ended up as an even bigger blowout had Pitt not allowed a kickoff to be returned for a touchdown. It hasn’t been just the last three games where UNC has struggled on the defensive side of the ball. They are allowing 33.4 points/game for the entire season and that number is second worst in the entire ACC. The Tar Heels haven’t won on the road in 2021 (0-3), are 1-5 ATS their last six games as an underdog and 1-7 ATS their last eight games following an ATS win. Lay it. Play on PITTSBURGH AAA |
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11-11-21 | Air Force v. South Dakota UNDER 135.5 | Top | 53-59 | Win | 100 | 5 h 29 m | Show |
This is an 8* on UNDER There’s nothing quite like opening the College Basketball season at 12:30 local time on a Thursday. But that’s the case here in Vermillion as South Dakota hosts Air Force. Expect a low scoring affair in this afternoon's tilt. Air Force was bottom five in the country last year in scoring as they averaged only 58.7 points/game. The fact that the service academy has a height restriction makes sense for flying planes but not for playing basketball. There was a really “learning curve” for the Falcons last season as new coach Joe Scott brough the “Princeton offense” to Colorado Springs. The team really didn’t have the personnel to run the offense effectively. Don’t expect a ton of improvement this year. South Dakota lost its two top players from last season’s squad, so they’ll be scrambling at the offensive end as well. Key to the Coyotes’ success last year was shooting 38.9% from three-point range. They aren’t likely to be that prolific again in 2021-22, at least in the early portion of the campaign. Play on UNDER AAA |
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11-10-21 | Hornets v. Grizzlies OVER 228.5 | Top | 118-108 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER Charlotte will be looking to end a five-game losing streak tonight in Memphis. The Hornets haven’t covered the spread in any of those five losses either. The last four losses have all been on the road. The last one was close, a 126-123 decision to the Lakers, but remember LA didn’t have LeBron James for that game. The Grizzlies have won and covered the last four meetings with the Hornets, so history isn’t exactly on the road team’s side coming into this one. Memphis survived an overtime affair against Minnesota two nights ago. They were a little lucky to cover the 4.5 point spread as they were down by 16 in the fourth quarter. What we like here is the Over. That’s because the Grizzlies are giving up the second most points per game in the league right now - 113.8 per game. The only team to allow more? That would be Charlotte - 118.3 per game. The Over has hit in five of Charlotte’s last six games. It’s also 4-0 the last four times Memphis has hosted Charlotte. Play on OVER AAA |
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11-10-21 | Ball State v. Northern Illinois +2.5 | Top | 29-30 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* on NIU Northern Illinois suffered its first conference loss of the season last week. It was 52-47 to Kent State. The Huskies sure don’t seem to have the oddsmakers’ respect. They were underdogs at Kent State and they are underdogs here to Ball State, even though they’re at home. Ball State is just 3-6 ATS. The Cardinals did not cover the spread in a 31-25 win over Akron last Tuesday. The week before that saw them lose at home to Miami OH. We remember BSU winning the MAC Championship last season, but this year’s team hasn’t been as good. NIU put up season highs in points and yards last week, despite losing. The Huskies have been in every game besides the loss to Michigan. They’re looking to end a two-year losing streak to Ball State. Before losing the last two meetings, they’d won 10 in a row. This game is going to go a long way in deciding the MAC West. We believe the home team gets the job done as they are 9-2 ATS L11 games after an ATS loss. Play on NORTHERN ILLINOIS AAA |
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11-10-21 | Robert Morris v. UCF -18 | Top | 59-69 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UCF This is the first ever meeting between Robert Morris and UCF. The home team is a big favorite and justifiably so. RMU had a tough maiden year in the Horizon League last season. They won only four games total and finished with their worst overall record in 11 years. Improving this season will be tough, at least early on, as the team’s best player from last year (AJ Bramah) transferred to Nevada. Bramah averaged 21 points and 10 rebounds for the Colonials. There are four new starters overall as the second leading scorer from last year is also gone. RMU ranked 324th in points allowed in 2020-21 so it’s not just the offensive end where they will struggle in this game. Central Florida returns most of its roster and should be healthier than they were a year ago when injuries were a problem. RMU has covered only one of the last six times it’s been a road underdog of 18.5 to 24 points. Lay it! Play on UCF AAA |
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11-09-21 | Ducks v. Canucks -145 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -145 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 9* on VANCOUVER Vancouver sits second to last in the Pacific Division as of this writing. The only team below them in the standings is the expansion Kraken. Tonight the Canucks host Anaheim, who is four points ahead. The Ducks have won their last four games, but all of those have come on home ice. The road has not been quite so kind. Four of the Ducks' five away games have ended in defeat. They’ve allowed four or more goals in each of their last four road games and lost them all. Vancouver is wrapping up a seven-game homestand tonight after playing its first six games on the road. They won 6-3 against Dallas on Sunday. We think the home ice advantage is the key determining factor in the outcome of this game. Also, Vancouver is allowing a fewer number of shots per game than Anaheim. The Ducks’ current win streak is their longest in nearly three years. Can it continue? We think not. Play on VANCOUVER AAA |
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11-09-21 | Blazers v. Clippers OVER 220 | Top | 109-117 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* on OVER Portland has started to turn things around by winning its last two games. Both wins came at home and the last one saw them take a 31 point lead into the fourth quarter against the Lakers. It won’t be that easy tonight facing the Clippers as this game is on the road. The Blazers haven’t won a road game yet. They are 0-4 straight up and against the spread when playing outside of Oregon. Those four losses have been by an average of almost 14 points/game. Teams are shooting better than 50% when hosting Portland this year. So we expect the Clippers, who have scored at least 120 twice during a four-game win streak, to put up lots of points on Tuesday. This is already the third meeting of the year between these teams. The first two both stayed Under and were blowout wins by the home team. Portland is 5-0 Over its last five Tuesday games. We expect the Blazers to score more than usual tonight as Damian Lillard is off his best three-point shooting night of the young season. Play on OVER AAA |
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11-09-21 | Ohio +6 v. Eastern Michigan | Top | 34-26 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
This is an 8* on OHIO Home field advantage has not meant much in previous Ohio-Eastern Michigan meetings. Each of the last three times these teams have met, whoever has been the road team has covered the spread. The last two times the road team was an underdog and won straight up. So recent history is on Ohio’s side tonight. Long-term history is as well with the Bobcats owning a 10-2 SU/9-3 ATS advantage over EMU going back to 1997. Ohio can’t make a bowl this year, but has covered four of its last five games and pulled an upset last Tuesday against Miami. They were 35-33 winners as seven point home underdogs. The defense shut Miami out in the first half. Eastern Michigan was also an upset winner last Tuesday as they downed Toledo 52-49 as a nine point dog. But their defense yielded a somewhat shocking 672 yards. With four losses by seven points or less, Ohio is better than its 2-7 record. We like them to keep this one close. Play on OHIO AAA |
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11-09-21 | Siena v. St Bonaventure -19.5 | Top | 47-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
This is an 8* on ST. BONAVENTURE St. Bonaventure opens its season at home against Sienna. The Bonnies won the Atlantic 10 last season with an 11-4 record in conference play and were 16-5 overall. They won the Conference Tournament to earn an automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament. There they would lose in the first round to LSU 76-61. This team has all the ingredients not just to get back to the NCAA Tournament, but to be even better in 2022. The Bonnies have five seniors on the roster including two All-Conference selections in Lofton and Osunniyi. They are 22-7-2 against the spread in their previous 31 home games. While it's a somewhat sizable number tonight, we think they cover. Siena did share the regular season MAAC championship last year, but doesn’t look as strong coming into the new season. Play on ST. BONAVENTURE AAA |
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11-08-21 | Hornets v. Lakers -3 | Top | 123-126 | Push | 0 | 14 h 21 m | Show |
This is an 8* on LA LAKERS It’s been quite the disappointing start to the season for the LA Lakers, who are just 5-5 straight up and 2-8 against the spread. They’ve lost their last two games. Not only did LeBron James not play on Saturday, but teammate Anthony Davis (sprained thumb) was on the court for only seven minutes. The result was a 105-90 loss to Portland. It wasn’t even that close as the Lakers trailed by 31 going into the fourth quarter. We were happy as we were on the Blazers. But here we’re going with the Lakers. Yes, they played a bad game the other night and still won’t have James. But they are facing a Charlotte team that just got blown out last night in this building by the Clippers. Charlotte is 0-4 straight up and against the spread in its last four games and this is their third road game in the last four nights. That’s a bad situation. There have been multiple games this year where the Lakers blew a big lead and lost. We bring that up to illustrate that they should have a better record. Even without James (and maybe Davis?), we’re confident they can down the Hornets. Play on LA LAKERS AAA |
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11-08-21 | Bears +7 v. Steelers | Top | 27-29 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* on CHICAGO Chicago is 1-5 ATS as an underdog this season and 0-3 ATS the last three games overall. But Pittsburgh is 0-3 ATS when favored in 2021, losing two of the games straight up. So something is going to have to give on Monday Night Football. This is actually the most points that the Steelers have been favored by in any game all season. It was a wacky Sunday in the NFL and a Bears win here would certainly follow the pattern of results we saw yesterday. We’re not confident enough to predict the underdog winning outright here, but we do like the points. All four of the Steelers’ wins this year have been by one score. Chicago’s 3-5 SU record is not all that surprising when you consider they have faced six teams that have winning records. They didn’t have coach Matt Nagy on the sidelines last week because of COVID. Nagy is the play caller on offense. Rookie QB Fields showed some flashes last week vs. the 49ers when he ran for more than 100 yards. When it comes to number of completed passes, Fields’ last two games have been his best. We think this ends up being a close, albeit low-scoring affair. Play on CHICAGO AAA |
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11-08-21 | Sabres v. Capitals -1.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 101 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* on WASH -1.5 (PUCK LINE) The Caps are on a three-game losing streak. But they host Buffalo on Monday and the Sabres are one of the worst teams in the NHL. So we feel pretty confident in calling for the home team to win this game by at least two goals. Buffalo has lost four straight and six of its last eight. They lost to Detroit, in overtime, on Saturday after blowing a two-goal lead. It was the second time in the last five games that the Sabres lost after holding a multi-goal lead. Those are the kind of games they need to win, if they are to have any hope of contending for the playoffs. This is not likely to be a win as it’s a road game and the Sabres have just one win away from home thus far. Watch for Washington to get its power play going tonight. They are just 2 for their last 15 with the man advantage. The Capitals’ last five wins have all been by two goals or more, so the puck line seems like a sensible option here. Play WASHINGTON -1.5 (PUCK LINE) AAA |
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11-07-21 | Titans v. Rams -7 | Top | 28-16 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
This is an 8* on LA RAMS The Rams don’t need any help right now. They are 7-1 and clearly look to be one of the best teams in the league. But facing Tennessee when the Titans don’t have Derrick Henry is a HUGE break. The Titans have pulled three straight upsets, beating the Chiefs, Bills and Colts. Every game they were an underdog. We had them last week in Indy. But now there’s no Henry, who was the NFL’s leading rusher. Adrian Peterson, who is now 36 years old, is simply not an adequate replacement on that front. The Rams are averaging more than 30 points/game and they were up 38-0 last week. Their defense just got Von Miller, so now they’re even stronger on that side of the ball. History says the Titans are not likely to win this game. Only five teams since 1990 have started a season by winning their first five times as an underdog. Only four teams in HISTORY have won four straight times as an underdog of three or more points. So we will lay the points with a Rams team that was already superior to a Henry-led Titans team. Play on LA RAMS AAA |
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11-07-21 | Predators v. Blackhawks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 102 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* on UNDER The Blackhawks are terrible. They’ve won only one game and are dealing with a scandal. So we didn’t hesitate to fade them Friday night in Winnipeg. They lost that game 5-1. Aside from their one win (5-1 against Ottawa), Chicago has not scored more than three goals in any other game this year. Sunday they host a Nashville team that has seen four of its last five games go Under. That’s how we see this one going. The Blackhawks are coming off a season low in shots (with 18) in the Winnipeg game. Now they are running into a hot goaltender in Juuse Saros. The Under has hit seven of the past nine times these teams have played. Play on UNDER AAA |
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11-07-21 | Cardinals +3 v. 49ers | Top | 31-17 | Win | 105 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
This is an 8* on ARIZONA So both QB Murray and WR Hopkins are officially “game-time decisions” for Arizona. If one - or both - does not play, that obviously changes the game in a dynamic way. But remember what happened last Sunday night? The Cowboys announced they were resting Dak Prescott. The line shot the other way. The Cowboys won anyway. We believe the Cardinals can win this game, with or without Murray and/or Hopkins. The 49ers are a bit of a mess right now. They’d lost four in a row before defeating Chicago last week. And it wasn’t easy beating the Bears either. The Niners are typically terrible when favored (so we love getting Arizona as an underdog with all the uncertainty) and they have won just once in their new stadium since it opened last year. All the uncertainty over who will be the starting QB (Colt McCoy is Arizona’s backup) makes it tough for San Francisco to prepare. Arizona already beat SF once this year and still has the advantage. Play on ARIZONA AAA |
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11-07-21 | Broncos v. Cowboys OVER 48.5 | Top | 30-16 | Loss | -111 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
This is an 8* on OVER Dallas took a chance in resting Dak Prescott last week. It worked out. They went to Minnesota and beat the Vikings 20-16 thanks to a last second TD pass from backup quarterback Cooper Rush. Prescott will play this week against Denver, That means the Cowboys won’t have any problems putting up points against a Denver defense that just had to say goodbye to Von Miller. Dallas is #1 in the league in yards from scrimmage with 454.9 per game. The last eight home games with Prescott as the starter, the Cowboys have scored 35 or more points. Count on them doing most of the scoring here. But Denver will add enough points to ensure we hit this Over. The Cowboys defense is 28th in passing yards allowed, so the Broncos will be able to move the ball if/when they are behind. Play on OVER AAA |
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11-07-21 | Browns v. Bengals -1 | Top | 41-16 | Loss | -125 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 9* on CINCINNATI Cleveland is a mess right now. Odell Beckham Jr was just waived, Baker Mayfield is both injured and ineffective. If that’s not enough, the Browns have won just one of their last four games and that was a Thursday nighter vs. Denver. Cincinnati is coming off an embarrassing loss to the Jets, so they won’t be taking the Browns lightly. Despite what happened last week, the Bengals are an improved team in 2021. They’d won back to back games by a total of 47 points before losing to the Jets. One was a 41-17 win at Baltimore. Browns coach Kevin Stefanski is 0-7 ATS in AFC North Games. This year, the Browns are 0-3 ATS vs. teams that have winning records. Cincinnati has covered 10 of the last 12 games in this AFC North rivalry. Joe Burrow is already better than Mayfield. The Browns offensive line has been banged up all year and the defensive front is the strength of this Bengals team. Cleveland has been held to 17 points or fewer in four of its last five games. Lay the points with the favorite. Play on CINCINNATI AAA |
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11-07-21 | Falcons v. Saints -6 | Top | 27-25 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* on NO New Orleans upset last week, but it was a costly win as Jameis Winston was lost to a season ending injury (ACL). There’s been some debate over who will be the Saints starting quarterback this week. We expect it will be Trevor Siemian, who was in for a good amount of last week’s game. Siemian did a fine job vs. the Bucs. He should do fine against the Falcons, who are one of the league’s worst teams. Atlanta is coming off a 19-13 home loss to Carolina. It was their fifth straight one-score game, but really it wasn’t close as the Falcons trailed the whole way. All three Atlanta wins have been close over bad teams. We just cannot see them going on the road and beating the Saints. New Orleans still has a great defense that is #1 in the red zone. Atlanta’s defense gave up more than 200 yards rushing last week. A run game would really be beneficial to Siemian. The Saints are 26-12 ATS in their last 38 division games. They’ve covered five of six over Atlanta. Play on NEW ORLEANS AAA |
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11-06-21 | Lakers v. Blazers -4.5 | Top | 90-105 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* on PORTLAND Portland is playing the second night of a back to back on Saturday, but may be catching a huge break in that the Lakers could be without both of its superstars in tonight’s game. We know LeBron James won’t play. James suffered an abdominal strain in Tuesday’s game vs. the Rockets. He missed the Lakers last game, which was a loss to Oklahoma City. That game saw Anthony Davis sprain his thumb. Davis is questionable for tonight. Look for the Blazers, who won by four against Indiana on Friday, to take advantage of their banged up visitors. They are a different team where their record is 4-1. (They are 0-4 on the road). Damian Lillard is having an awful start to the year. But the fact that Portland still won even with him shooting 2 for 13 last night is probably a good thing. There’s just no way Lillard won’t start to shoot the ball better. The Lakers are not a terribly deep team. Without James and Davis, they’re pretty bad. LA’s ATS record is 2-7, worst in the league. Even if Davis plays, we don’t see them covering this number. Play on PORTLAND AAA |
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11-06-21 | UTSA -11 v. UTEP | Top | 44-23 | Win | 100 | 24 h 3 m | Show |
This is an 8* on UTSA There are six undefeated teams left in College Football. Five of them sit among the top nine in the first College Football Playoff rankings. The sixth is little-known UTSA out of Conference USA, who did not even make the Top 25. Now the Roadrunners are in the Top 20 of both the AP and Coaches Polls. They are 8-0 and - for the most part - blown out the teams on their schedule. They’ve played three games decided by seven points or less. The last one was not one of those. In their first game ever as a ranked team, UTSA crushed Louisiana Tech 45-16 two weeks ago. Coming off a bye, the Roadrunners next face UTEP, another surprising team at 6-2. The Miners have covered five in a row, but lost last week 28-25 at Florida Atlantic. UTSA is actually better than UTEP against the spread, holding a 7-1 season mark in that regard. We think the bye week is big for them coming into the Sun Bowl and they’ve already beaten UTEP four years in a row. Three of the wins have been by double digits. The last time they visited, UTSA was also off a bye and they won handily. Play on UTSA AAA |
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11-06-21 | Old Dominion v. Florida International +3 | Top | 47-24 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* on FIU Yes, we’re taking a team that has not won a game all season. Butch Davis’ Florida International Panthers are 0-7 currently. They host a 2-6 Old Dominion team this week. FIU has been on quite the nosedive for some time now. They didn’t win a game last year either. Although that’s somewhat misleading as they played only five games in the pandemic shortened season. It’s been 14 straight losses (including a bowl) for FIU since they pulled a shocking upset over Miami FL (Davis’ former employer) as 20-point underdogs in the second to last game of the 2019 regular season. But Old Dominion has only three wins during that same time frame and two were against FCS programs. The other came last week against Louisiana Tech when they were four point home underdogs. The Monarchs have not won a road game since midway through the 2018 season. (They opted out of 2020). ODU is 1-15 straight up its last 16 road games. Now they are favored on the road. No thank you. Old Dominion has gone 25 straight games without winning by more than a field goal. FIU has won the last two meetings by 7 and 8 points. Play on FIU AAA |
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11-06-21 | Coastal Carolina -17.5 v. Georgia Southern | Top | 28-8 | Win | 100 | 20 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 8* on COASTAL CAROLINA Coastal Carolina was in a tough spot in their last game. They were coming off a crushing last second loss to Appalachian State, which cost them an unbeaten season. Facing Troy, the Chanticleers overcame a slow start to win 35-28 but did not cover the 17-point spread. It was the first game this season where they did not score on their opening possession. But they still racked up over 500 yards of offense. With a couple extra days to prepare (Troy game was on a Thursday), Coastal should come out and lay it to Georgia Southern this week. At least that’s what we think. Georgia Southern is a program in flux right now. Earlier this week, they announced Clay Helton will take over as coach … next season. So acting coach Kevin Whitley is a bit of lame duck these last four games. The Eagles have won only once in their last seven tries. It was a tough loss last week to Georgia State and Coastal will be arguably the toughest opponent of the year. Earlier in 2021, the Eagles lost 45-10 to Arkansas. It’s probably going to be “one of those kinds of games” for them again here as Coastal Carolina averages 44.4 points/game. Play on COASTAL CAROLINA AAA |
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11-06-21 | Auburn v. Texas A&M UNDER 49.5 | Top | 3-20 | Win | 100 | 22 h 43 m | Show |
This is an 8* on UNDER This is the only top 25 matchup on Saturday. The spot isn’t great for Auburn as the Tigers played Ole Miss last week. They won 31-20 but it was a hard fought, competitive game. Texas A&M didn’t have to play at all last week as they were on a bye. The Aggies have won three straight going back to their shocking win over Alabama. But Kyle Field is a place where Auburn has done well in the past. They’ve won all four previous visits to College Station. So we don’t see any value on either side in this Saturday afternoon showdown in the SEC. But we do love the Under, which is 9-2 in Auburn’s last 11 conference games and 9-3 the past 12 times that A&M has been off a bye. The Aggies have the #3 scoring defense in the land, giving up just 16.1 points/game. Only Penn State and Georgia have scored more than 23 on Auburn. So this one promises to be low scoring. Play on UNDER AAA |
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11-06-21 | Army +2.5 v. Air Force | Top | 21-14 | Win | 101 | 18 h 43 m | Show |
This is an 8* on ARMY This game takes place in Arlington, Texas. Army marches into this week’s combat with a 4-3 record. But they’ve also lost three in a row. The most recent loss was two weeks ago against Wake Forest. It was a 70-56 game that featured more than 1,200 yards of offense. Typically, the kind of performance that Army turned in would be most teams. Two of the Black Knights’ losses have been to Power 5 teams. The other was to Wisconsin. Air Force is 6-2 and its losses came to Utah State and San Diego State. The San Diego State loss was two weeks ago and that’s the last time the Falcons have taken the field. So both service academies are coming off losses. As always, you’ve got to figure this will be a low scoring game. Underdogs have covered 12 of the previous 15 meetings of service academy teams (Army, Navy, Air Force) and won outright eight times. The last seven Army-Air Force games have averaged only 28 points. So you’ve almost got to take the points. Especially with Army beating Air Force three of the last four times they have played. Army needs two more wins to become bowl eligible, so this one matters more to them. Play on ARMY AAA |
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11-05-21 | Utah v. Stanford +9 | Top | 52-7 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* on STANFORD With a 4-1 record in conference play, Utah essentially controls its own destiny in the Pac 12 South. They just defeated UCLA, in a 44-24 rout, last week. That win put the Utes in sole possession of first place in its division. If they were to win tonight and against Arizona and Colorado, who are the South’s two worst teams, they are guaranteed a spot in the Pac 12 Championship Game, no matter what happens against Oregon on 11/20. That being said, this is a lot of points that the Utes are laying here on Friday night. We understand that Stanford has lost three in a row. But the Cardinal are the one team to defeat Oregon this year and that win came here in Palo Alto. Stanford has NEVER beaten Utah in four previous tries at home (also 0-4 ATS), so you know David Shaw is going to have his team hungry “after dark” tonight. The Cardinal were 21 seconds away from a win last week, but gave up a touchdown and a two-point conversion to lose 20-13 to Washington. They were -3 in turnovers in that game, which cost them dearly. Shaw’s team has stepped up in big spots this season, not just against Oregon, but also beating USC. We think they make this a close game. Play on STANFORD AAA |
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11-05-21 | Hornets +1.5 v. Kings | Top | 110-140 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 0 m | Show |
This is an 8* on CHARLOTTE The Hornets and Kings meet tonight in Sacramento with the home team coming in as a slight favorite. The Kings are 4-4 overall and coming off a 112-99 win against New Orleans. Charlotte is 5-4 but has lost its last two games, one by three at home to Cleveland and the other by 22 at Golden State. We like the visitors in this one for a variety of reasons. One is that they are 4-0 straight up and against the spread the last five times they’ve played Sacramento. Two is that half of the Kings wins this year have come against New Orleans, who is 1-8 and in last place in the West. Their win on Wednesday marked the first time all year that the Kings won a game by more than four points. Third is that Charlotte is 17-5 ATS the last 22 times they’ve been coming off a double digit loss. It was a season low 92 points that they scored in their last game. Expect a much better performance tonight. Play on CHARLOTTE AAA |
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11-05-21 | Blackhawks v. Jets -163 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 9* on WINNIPEG Winnipeg has won five of its last six with the one loss coming in OT. Four of those wins came without leading scorer Mark Scheifele, who returned to the lineup for a 4-3 win over Dallas earlier in the week. The Jets face downtrodden Chicago tonight. The Blackhawks have only one win this season and it came Monday at home vs. Ottawa. They and the Coyotes seem to be in a race to determine not just who finishes last in the division, but in the entire NHL. A sexual abuse scandal (from 10 years ago) has wreaked havoc on the Blackhawks franchise. Things have been no better on the ice. After winning for the first time in 2021, they blew a two goal lead to Carolina on Wednesday and lost 4-3. Who wants any part of this Chicago team right now? Not us. Play on WINNIPEG AAA |
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11-04-21 | Jets +10.5 v. Colts | Top | 30-45 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* on NYJ The Jets picked up their second win of the year last week and did so in pretty shocking fashion. They trailed the Bengals 31-20 with less than five minutes remaining, but were able to put two touchdowns on the board to pull off an improbable 34-31 upset. While the second touchdown was somewhat of a gift (Bengals QB Joe Burrow threw an interception inside his own 20 yard line), the Jets deserved that win for gaining 511 total yards in the contest. That was nearly 200 more than they allowed to Cincinnati. Mike White, making his first NFL start, seemed to provide a huge spark for the offense that just wasn’t there with rookie Zach Wilson under center. White completed 37 of 45 passes against the Bengals for 405 yards and three touchdowns! He’s probably not going to put up those kinds of numbers again tonight, but we do look for White to lead the Jets to at least a cover against the Colts tonight. It was quite the heartbreaker for Indianapolis last week as they fell to division rival Tennessee in overtime. A short week does not do them any favors and we think the Colts may have trouble “getting up” for this game. Laying double digits in this scenario would be unwise. Other than getting blown out by Denver and twice by New England, the Jets have been in every game. White seems to be a spark. Play on NY JETS AAA |
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11-04-21 | Celtics v. Heat -7 | Top | 95-78 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* on MIA Miami is catching Boston in the second night of a back to back, a situation that clearly benefits the home team. But it’s not as if the Heat need much additional “help” right now. They are 6-1 with the best point differential in the NBA and all six wins have come by 13 points or greater. The Celtics have been somewhat of a mess in recent days due to in-fighting. Reports are that the players hashed it out last night before downing Orlando 92-79, but we’ll see about that. It’s a big jump in class from facing the Magic (arguably the league’s worst team) to the Heat (who have been better than everybody to this point). Miami is holding teams to 98.9 points/game, the fewest in the league. In six of its eight games, Boston has shot worse than 44% overall. Play on MIAMI AAA |
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11-04-21 | Georgia State v. UL-Lafayette -12 | Top | 17-21 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* on ULL Louisiana goes for its eighth straight win Thursday night and we don’t think they’ll have much difficulty getting it. The Ragin’ Cajuns are 4-0 at home this season, winning by an average of almost four touchdowns per game. They have put more than 40 on the board each of the last three times they’ve played at Cajun Field. This run includes a very impressive 41-13 bushwhacking of Appalachian State in another mid-week contest. Georgia State is the opponent tonight. The Panthers have won three straight games, but all were against teams at the bottom of the Sun Belt. It was a pretty lucky 21-14 victory last week at Georgia Southern, who turned the ball over three different times inside the 10 yard line. Clearly, that was the difference in the game. Remember that we said Louisiana has scored more than 40 in three straight home games? Unfortunately for Georgia State, they have scored more than 28 points in only one game this season and that was against a really bad Louisiana Monroe team. Look for this game to develop into a blowout. Play on UL LAFAYETTE AAA |