Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-15-22 | Yankees v. Orioles +1.5 | 1-2 | Win | 115 | 12 h 28 m | Show | |
8* ORIOLES RUNLINE (SPECIAL) The Yankees are coming off a 3-0 win over the Jays at home yesterday, winning that series 2-1. I say a small letdown is now in order here against the lowly Orioles. Jordan Montgomery is 0-0 with an 8.10 ERA for the Yanks after allowing 3 earned runs off four hits over 3 1/3's innings of work. The Orioles go with Jordan Lyles, who is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA after allowing 5 runs over 5 innings in a 5-3 loss to Tampa on Saturday. Lyles signed a 1-year contract worth 7 million, and I say he bounces back at home. In a contest that I envision being decided late or even in extra innings, let's grab the home side on the runline option; the play is Baltimore on the runline! AAA Sports |
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04-14-22 | Cubs +1.5 v. Rockies | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show | |
8* CUBS RUNLINE (SPECIAL) I think the Cubbies can keep this one close. The Rockies swept the Rangers in two games in Texas and then had a day off. They send Kyle Freeland to the hill and he's 0-1 with a 12.27 ERA. The Cubs hand the ball to Justin Steele, who is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA. Freeland struggled in his first start, allowing 5 runs off 5 hits over 3 innings in a loss to the Dodgers. Steele makes his second start of the season. Last year as a rookie he went 4-4 with a 4.26 ERA over 20 games (9 starts.) He blanked the hard-hitting Brewers over 5 innings and I say he carries that momentum over here. The outright is possible, but let's lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket. The play is the CUBS on the runline! AAA Sports |
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04-14-22 | Angels v. Rangers +1.5 | Top | 5-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
10* RANGERS RUNLINE (AL RL BOB) Dane Dunning gets the call for the Rangers here. He's 0-0 with a 5.40 ERA, giving up five hits and three runs over five innings in a loss to the hard-hitting Jays on the road in his opener. I think he'll bounce-back in friendly confines though. Look for a new pitch from Dunning today: "The slider that I normally throw is a bit more vertical," he said. "This new slider I throw is probably more like a sideways curveball. ...The numbers are actually really good on it, so it's something I wanted to incorporate into my repertoire. It's something different that hitters haven't seen." He'll go up against Shohei Ohtani, who is 0-1 with a 1.93 ERA. He looked decent as well in his first start, allowing one run off four hits over 4 innings in a loss to Houston. This one is going to come down to the latter frames, and because of that, I'm grabbing the home side on the runline option today! AAA Sports |
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04-14-22 | A's +1.5 v. Rays | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
9* A'S RUNLINE (DESTROYER) The A's won 4-2 last night and I expect another competitive effort from the visiting side today as well. Wander Franco and Randy Arozarena went a combined 0 for 9 yesterday for the Rays and I think they'll struggle again here against Cole Irvin, who enters hungry after starting 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA. He gave up 4 runs off 7 hits over 5 1/3's frames in a loss to the Phillies. Irvin has a big opportunity bounce back here throwing opposite Josh Flemming, who is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA. He pitched 3 1/3 scoreless innings in relief against Baltimore on Saturday. Let's not read too much into either pitchers first start. In a contest that I see being decided late or even in extras, I'm laying the "pick em" price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket; the play is the A's on the runline! AAA Sports |
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04-13-22 | Hornets +5.5 v. Hawks | Top | 103-132 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
10* HORNETS (GOW) I think the Hornets have a legitimate shot at taking this game outright. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. The Hornets won their final 3 regular season games, including a 124-108 victory over Washington, while Atlanta won 7 of its last 9, including a 130-114 victory over Houston in its finale. Charlotte has the fourth highest-scoring offense in the league, and the Hawks just aren't known for their tough defensive play. Neither are the Hornets mind you, but that still works in the underdogs favor in my opinion. These teams are almost identical. I say it comes down to the wire; grab the points, the play is Charlotte! AAA Sports |
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04-13-22 | A's +1.5 v. Rays | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
10* A'S RUNLINE (ASSASSIN) Tampa managed the 9-8 win yesterday, but I think that the A's bounce back here. Yes, I do think that the outright win is possible, but in the end let's lay the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket. Frankie Montas got rocked in his debut for Oakland, allowing five runs off six hits over five innings. Last year he was 6-3 with a 3.41 ERA on the road. I say he definitely bounces back today. The Rays go with Shane McClanahan, who gave up no runs over 4 innings in a 2-1 win over Baltimore in his opener. The A's have smashed lefties this year early, averaging .346 collectively thus far. Look for that trend to continue here; the play is Oakland on the runline! AAA Sports |
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04-13-22 | Red Sox v. Tigers +111 | 9-7 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
8* TIGERS (DESTRUCTION) Detroit took the first game by a score of 3-1, while Boston bounced back with the 5-3 victory yesterday. Boston has a day off after this before four straight at home and I believe it'll get caught looking ahead. Eduardo Rodriguez gets to face his former team for his new team and I expect him to make the most of "home field." He just signed a $77 million dollar deal with Detroit, so this is a big game for him: "It's something that no matter what the results are, you just want to have a good game, pitch good and win the game," he said. "All in all, I'm going to enjoy having the opportunity to face my old teammates." Last year he was 13-8 with a 4.74 ERA. He gave up 3 runs on 4 hits over 4 innings in a no-decision to the White Sox in Detroit's opener. Nathan Eovaldi (0-0, 5.40), gave up three runs off five hits over five innings to the Yanks in his season debut. I like Rodriguez to clutch up here and deliver a gem. As Bob Barker used to say, "The Price Is Right!", as well; the play is the Tigers! AAA Sports |
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04-12-22 | Astros v. Diamondbacks +1.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 0 m | Show |
10* DIAMONDBACKS RUNLINE (BOB) The Astros go with right-hander Luis Garcia, who finished 11-8 with a 3.48 ERA last season. He was the runner-up for American League Rookie of the Year. The Diamondbacks go with Madison Bumgarner, who is 0-0 with a 3.00 ERA after throwing 3 innings on Opening Night. The Astros come to town after going 3-1 at the Angels. It was the opposite for Arizona though, which dropped 3 of 4 games at home against the Padres. That included a 10-5 loss here Sunday in which the team made 3 unearned errors: "Three unearned runs to me is unacceptable," Arizona manager Torey Lovullo said afterward. "That game should have been a lot closer than it was. We've got to get better. We've got a day off (Monday). We can turn the page. That's all we can do. We can learn from it, move on, keep pressing and teaching. Do what we can to make something good happen on Tuesday." I like the veteran a home here and I believe the hungrier home side will, at the very least, keep this one competitive late; grab the 1.5 runs with the Diamondbacks on the runline! AAA Sports |
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04-12-22 | Blue Jays v. Yankees -114 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show | |
8* YANKEES (SPECIAL) Off a 3-0 loss in yesterday's series opener, I like the Yanks to respond and bounce back on Tuesday. Yusei Kikuchi was 7-9 with a 4.41 ERA in 2021 with the Mariners, while Nestor Cortes Jr. was 2-3 with a 2.90 ERA in 2021. Kikuchi is just 1-2 with a 4.75 ERA in 4 career starts against the Yanks, while Cortes Jr. is 1-1 with a 5.09 ERA in 7 career outings vs. the Jays. Let's call these starters a "wash." New York though is 6-1 in its last 7 vs. lefties, while Toronto is interestingly 1-4 in its last 5 road games when the total is set between 9 and 10.5. New York plays with immediate revenge after last night's shutout loss and I believe it's well worth the price of admission this evening; the play is the Yankees! AAA Sports |
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04-12-22 | Cavs v. Nets OVER 228 | Top | 108-115 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 30 m | Show |
10* OVER (ASSASSIN) The Cavaliers are looking for a big outright upset today, but to do that, I believe they'll have to push the pace and match the Nets at their "own game." The Cavs closed the regular season with a 133-115 win over the Bucks, and I believe they can match that scoring output here. The Nets clearly won't be rolling over and they enter the playoffs on top form after 4 straight wins, including a 134-126 win over Indiana in its regular-season finale. The Cavs may or may not have Jarret Allen back in the line-up, but that just means that they'll have to get out and push the pace in transition a lot more. The Cavs defense allowed an average of 113.3 PPG over their final 26 games, so its offense has been forced to pick up the pace. The total has gone "over" in 5 of these team's last 7 together and all signs point to that steak continuing here; the play is the over! AAA Sports |
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04-11-22 | Marlins v. Angels -1.5 | 2-6 | Win | 141 | 15 h 9 m | Show | |
8* ANGELS RUNLINE (SPECIAL) I don't only like the Angels to win this game, I like them to win by a significant margin. Because of that, let's lay the 1.5 runs for the decent "plus money return." Michael Lorenzen will make his debut for his new team tonight: "I'm meant to be here," Lorenzen said. "This is my home. And when you're gone for seven years, you really realize 'I miss my home.' You go a little extreme and I guess I've gone a little extreme, but I love being here." He's 6-10 with a 4.95 ERA overall in 26 career starts, but a much sharper 1-2 with a 2.94 ERA in 14 career games (three starts) vs. the Fish. The visitors counter with Eliser Hernandez, who was 1-3 with a 4.18 ERA over 11 starts last season. It's already been noted that Hernandez will be held to just 75 pitches or 5 innings tonight as well. Look for the Angels to take advantage! The play is LA on the runline! AAA Sports |
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04-11-22 | A's +1.5 v. Rays | Top | 13-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
10* ATHLETICS RUNLINE (GOW) Tampa swept Baltimore, but I think it'll have its hands full today against the Atheltics, who avoided a three-game sweep at Philadelphia with a 4-1 victory yesterday afternoon. Paul Blackburn will take the mound to start for the visitors. He owns a pedestrian 5.74 lifetime ERA. Tampa counters with Luis Patino, who owns a slightly better 4.47 lifetime ERA. Oakland proved yesterday that it still has talent in its lineup, and I say the A's hang around late and make this one interesting. While I do believe the outright victory is a possibility, let's lay the "pick em" price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket; the play is the A's on the runline! AAA Sports |
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04-11-22 | Brewers v. Orioles +1.5 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
9* ORIOLES RUNLINE (DESTRUCTION) After starting 0-3, the Orioles are desperate to break into the win column. Here's a great opponent to possibly do that against, as the Brewers struggled in their opening series loss to the Cubs. Adrian Houser gets the call for the Brewers, and he was 10-6 with a 3.22 ERA last year, while the hungry Orioles turn to Bruce Zimmerman, who was 4-5 with a 5.04 ERA. Milwaukee though is a putrid 1-11 in its last 12 on the road. The Brewers bullpen has to be called into question as well, as Milwaukee's team ERA is 7.88, while Baltimore's is 3.94. This one will be tight, so I'm laying the "pick em" price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket; the play is the Orioles on the runline! AAA Sports |
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04-10-22 | Red Sox v. Yankees OVER 9 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -107 | 13 h 3 m | Show |
10* OVER (ASSASSIN) The first game of this series flew "over" the number, the second game went "under." I expect tonight's finale to once again be a higher-scoring one. Tanner Houck toes the slab for the visitors; He was 0-1 with a 3.77 ERA over 31 innings pitched on the road last year. The home side counters with Jordan Montgomery, who was 6-7 with a 3.83 ERA last year. These two division rivals won't take it easy at the plate in this nationally televised contest. Neither team's bullpen can be trusted and I don't expect either starter to throw very deep. This all adds up to a higher-scoring "over!" AAA Sports |
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04-10-22 | Stars v. Blackhawks OVER 5.5 | Top | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
10* OVER (EXPRESS) Dallas will be looking to snap a string of poor play. It's lost 3 of its last 4 and 2 in a row. That includes a 3-1 home setback to the lowly Devils. The Stars though have seen the total go "over" the number in 7 of their last 9 after a home loss in which they were held to 1 or less goals in. Chicago plays with revenge here after a 1-0 loss to the Stars in mid-February, and note that it's seen the total go "over" the number in 8 of its last 12 in trying to revenge a shutout road loss against an opponent. The Hawks are off 6 straight losses, including a 2-0 setback to the lowly Kraken here in their latest. I say Chicago finally rebounds here and finds the back of the net. All signs point to this one flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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04-10-22 | A's +1.5 v. Phillies | 4-1 | Win | 102 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
8* A'S RUNLINE (SPECIAL) In what I believe will be a very competitive contest, I'm going to lay the "pick em" price for the extra 1.5 runs in my back pocket. The A's always seem to start slow and then find ways to win, and that could be the case again this season after 2 straight losses to open the season in Philly. The Phillies go with Zach Eflin, who was nothing special last year, finishing 4-7 with a 4.17 ERA. The visitors go with Daulton Jeffries, who makes his third major league start here. He's 1-1 with a 5.82 ERA so far. I say these starters are equal. I also say the A's get out to an early start here as well finally. The outright is possible, but the official call is to play the A's on the runline! AAA Sports |
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04-09-22 | Warriors v. Spurs UNDER 221.5 | Top | 100-94 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
10* UNDER (BOB) The Warriors are still looking to clinch third spot in the West, so they need to take this game seriously, despite who is on the floor. They're coming off a 128-112 win over the Lakers. The Spurs lost 127-121 to the Wolves on Thursday. Golden State will look to control this one from the outset though, as it won't want to give the Spurs much room on the perimeter as it looks to clamp down on the tempo. I'm expecting a more methodical pace here, but one that falls well "under" the number! AAA Sports |
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04-09-22 | Islanders v. Blues -139 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
8* BLUES (DESTRUCTION) Only three weeks left in the regular season, and fatigue is clearly a huge issue for teams playing the 2nd game of a B2B. Each of these team's played last night, meaning that the home ice advantage simply can't be overlooked as a very real deciding factor tonight. New York is off a tight 2-1 win at Carolina, and an imminent letdown is in the card in my opinion. The Blues play with revenge as well after a 2-1 loss at Long Island in March. St. Louis beat Minnesota 4-3 in OT last night and I say the Blues keep that momentum rolling strong here; lay the price, the play is St. Louis! AAA Sports |
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04-09-22 | A's v. Phillies UNDER 9.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) Philadelphia pulled away for the high-scoring 9-5 win yesterday, but I expect much more of a classic pitchers duel on Saturday afternoon. Cole Irvin finished 10-15 with a 4.24 ERA last year for the A's, while Kyle Gibson was 10-9 with a 3.71 ERA and who was traded to the Phillies last summer. He's 5-3 with a 4.47 ERA lifetime against the A's. Gibson's familiarity of this club is another strong situational factor we can use here as well. Expect these two capable starters to throw deep, and look for this total to fall under! AAA Sports |
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04-09-22 | Mariners v. Twins -132 | 4-3 | Loss | -132 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
9* TWINS (SPECIAL) No need to overthink this one. The Mariners managed a victory in yesterday's Season Opener, but I expect the home side to answer here. Logan Gilbert was 6-5 with a 4.68 ERA for the M's last year, while Sonny Gray was 7-9 with a 4.19 ERA for the Reds (now on the Twins.) Gray though is a sharp 5-3 with a 2.84 ERA in 12 career starts against Seattle. Expect Gray to outduel his counterpart and lay this price with confidence; the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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04-08-22 | Rangers +1.5 v. Blue Jays | Top | 8-10 | Loss | -128 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
10* RANGERS RUNLINE (GOM) The Blue Jays have made a lot of moves in the offseason which have many believe that they're now the team to beat in the American League. That may turn out to be the case, but on Opening Day, almost anythign can happen (just ask the Braves!) I see this one being decided late or even in extra innings, so I'm going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket. Sonny Gray was 8-12 with a 4.59 ERA in 29 starts for the Rockies last year and in 2 career outings vs. the Jays he's 2-0 with a 2.63 ERA. Jose Berriors was 12-9 with a 3.52 ERA in 32 starts betwen Toronto and Minnesota last year. He's 2-1 with a pedestrian 5.47 ERA in 5 career starts vs. the Jays; the play is Texas on the runline! AAA Sports |
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04-08-22 | Mariners +102 v. Twins | 2-1 | Win | 102 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
9* MARINERS (ASSASSIN) Here's an interesting matchup, as I give a big nod to the Mariners on the mound, but I give the Twins the advantage at the plate. It's a classic matchup, but in this case, I believe the talent discrepancy on the mound will prove to be the difference-maker for the visiting Seattle Mariners. Seattle finished second in the AL West with a 90-72 record last year. The Twins were in last place in the AL Central with a 73-89 record. Joe Ryan gets the nod for Minnesota, and he went 2-1 with a 4.05 ERA in five starts and 30 K's for Team USA in the Tokyo Olympics. It's the first rookie starter to start on Opening Day for the Twins since 1969. Ray went 13-7 with a 2.84 ERA in 32 starts in 2021 and he's the reigning Cy Young Award winner. Great value on the superior pitchers; the play is Seattle! AAA Sports |
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04-08-22 | Red Sox +150 v. Yankees | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
9* RED SOX (DESTRUCTION) My analysis will be pretty succinct over the the first week of the season. The bottom line with this one is that I believe that Nathan Eovaldi and the hungry Red Sox have much more than just a "punchers chance" in this one. Yes, the Yankees have something to prove this year, and Gerritt Cole is a tough opponent, but he was a pedestrian 2-2 with a 4.91 ERA in four starts against Boston last year. Eovaldi was 2-2 with a 3.71 ERA in six starts against New York last year. Plenty of sluggers on each side, but the value swings to this undervalued underdog on Opening Day in my opinion; the pay is Boston! AAA Sports |
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04-07-22 | Astros +112 v. Angels | Top | 3-1 | Win | 112 | 14 h 21 m | Show |
10* ASTROS (GOW) I think the deep and talented Astros will pull off the slight Opening Day upset. Shohei Ohtani went 9-2 with a 3.18 ERA In 23 starts last year for the Angels, while Framber Valdez was 11-6 with a 3.14 ERA in 22 starts for the Astros. The difference for me though is that Valdez was 2-0 with a 3.00 ERA in 2 starts against the Astros last season, while Ohtani went 0-1 with a 6.10 ERA in 2 starts vs. Houston. Expect Valdez to continue his dominance over the Angels! AAA Sports |
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04-07-22 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets -3.5 | Top | 109-122 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
10* NUGGETS (RED DRAGON) Denver comes in as the "hungier" and more focussed team today. The Nuggets are off a 116-97 loss to San Antonio. They play with revenge here though after a 122-118 loss to the Grizzlies in January, and that's important for us to note, as the Nugs have are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS loss to an opponent. Memphis just had its 7 game win streak snapped in a tight 121-115 OT loss at Utah and I say it just "goes through the motions" this evening. Home court advantage really does matter for this one, the play is DENVER. AAA Sports |
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04-07-22 | Maple Leafs v. Stars +130 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
10* STARS (EXPRESS) Toronto has sure been hot, but so has Dallas. The Leafs are off a tight 7-6 OT loss at Florida, giving up a huge lead in the unfortunate setback, and now they face a Stars side that's won 4 of its last 5 and which plays with revenge after a 4-0 loss to Toronto in mid March (note that Dallas is 7-2 in its last 9 in trying to revenge a shutout loss against an opponent.) All things considered, a great price here as I expect Toronto get caught looking ahead to its much more winnable home game against the lowly Canadiens next; lay the price, the play is Dallas! AAA Sports |
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04-07-22 | Reds +180 v. Braves | 6-3 | Win | 180 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
8* REDS (SPECIAL) I've always felt that there's tremendous value on Opening day. Especially when betting underdogs on Openind day! I've often found that the bookmakers lines are soft on opening day, and that's the case here with Cincinnait, which I believe has much more than just a "punchers chance" in this one. Tyler Mahle finished 13-6 with a sharp 3.75 ERA in 33 starts last year. The Reds let Nick Castellanos go, while the defending champs failed to sign Freddie Freeman. The Braves go with Max Fried, who was 14-7 with a 3.04 ERA in 28 starts last year. Expect the hungrier visiting side to pull off the upset on Opening day; the play is the Reds! AAA Sports |
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04-06-22 | Suns -2.5 v. Clippers | Top | 109-113 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 19 m | Show |
10* SUNS (ASSASSIN) Off a 121-110 win over the Lakers last night at home, we're looking for the Suns to keep the foot on the gas here and deliver another "L" for the other team in LA. Despite last night's win, the Suns have still lost 4 straight ATS. Note though that that does in fact work in our favor here, as PHO is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 after 3 or more ATS losses in a row. The Clippers have been playing well of late, but with only two more games to go in the regular season, I don't see any drop off here from Phoenix as it looks to carry its momentum from a strong regular season, into a big playoff run. Lay the points, expect a blowout! AAA Sports |
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04-05-22 | Bucks v. Bulls +5.5 | 127-106 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
8* BULLS (SPECIAL) In a game that we believe will be decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're going to grab the points. Milwaukee has lost two straight. It won't be rolling over here obviously, but I still think its vulnerable. Especially on the road. The Bulls play with revenge here as well after a listless 126-98 loss to Milwaukee as 6.5-point dogs in mid March. Chicago is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent in which it was held to 99 or less points in. Milwaukee returns home for a date vs. the red hot Celtics on Thursday and I say it gets caught looking ahead; grab the points, the play is Chicago! AAA Sports |
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04-05-22 | 76ers -11.5 v. Pacers | Top | 131-122 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
10* 76ERS (GOW) I think this one sets up well for a complete ATS blowout for the road side. Philly is off a 112-108 win at the Cavaliers, but with a much tougher game at Toronto up next, the 76ers won't want to leave anything to chance. Then Philly closes out the year with two straight winnable games at home against the Pacers again, and then the Pistons to finish things off. Clearly Philadelphia doesn't want to "back in" to the playoffs. Chemistry is crucial at this point of the season. I say the 76ers put the foot on the gas and never let up. They also play with revenge after falling 118-113 to the Pacers as 4-point dogs at the start of the season. Indiana is off a 121-117 loss at home to Detroit. It can't even play spoiler here. I think the home side just "goes through the motions" tonight. Lay the points, expect a blowout; the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports |
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04-05-22 | Maple Leafs v. Panthers -159 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
8* PANTHERS (DESTROYER) I think that the Panthers are well worth the price of admission in this one. Toronto comes in off a highly-satisfying 6-2 win at Tampa just last night. We don't have to overthink this one at all. Toronto will be fatigued here for sure. Florida has won 4 straight, but it also plays with "revenge" here after falling 5-2 to the Leafs in late March. I say the revenge-minded home side digs deep here and takes advantage of this content and tired Toronto side; lay the price! AAA Sports |
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04-04-22 | North Carolina v. Kansas -4.5 | Top | 69-72 | Loss | -105 | 38 h 42 m | Show |
10* KANSAS (GOW) This will be the Jayhawks toughest test yet. Everything has come together for UNC during this tournament. That said, this will also be the Tar Heels most difficult opponent by far. In fact, I'll argue that the Jayhawks' superiority on the defensive end will be the difference in the championship game. Kansas can shut down the three ball, and Armando Bacot is likely less than 100% health for this one, after a minor injury in the Final 4. Both teams have been superb to this point, but the Tar Heels have overachieved. I say that finally catches up to them here vs. the more rounded and deeper Jayhawks side; the play is Kansas! AAA Sports |
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04-03-22 | Golden Knights v. Canucks -105 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
10* CANUCKS (EXPRESS) Off 4 straight wins, including 2 straight in Seattle, I say the Knights finally have a letdown here in this difficult road venue. This is a home and home set, with two days off before a matchup in Vegas. I say the Knights take the foot off the gas here and get caught "looking ahead." The Canucks can't afford that same luxury though with that game in Vegas up next. Vancouver also plays with revenge here after falling 7-4 to the Knights on November 13th. When you add it all up, I say this one means A LOT "more" to the Canucks! AAA Sports |
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04-03-22 | 76ers v. Cavs +5 | 112-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
8* CAVALIERS (SPECIAL) Both teams are fighting for a playoff spot. I feel that this one will be decided in the closing moments. The 76ers are off a much-needed 144-114 win at home over Charlotte, snapping a 3-game slide. With a much more "winnable" game at the Pacers up next, I say the 76ers get caught "flat footed" here in this difficult road venue and off their big win. The Cavs though play with revenge after a 118-114 loss to the 76ers on March 16th. Note that Cleveland is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent. The Cavs hit the road for 2 straight after this and hav to face the Nets and Bucks before the end of their season as well, so I say they take this revenge-spot VERY seriously; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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04-03-22 | Wizards v. Celtics -12.5 | Top | 102-144 | Win | 100 | 6 h 31 m | Show |
10* CELTICS (ASSASSIN) Boston has been on quite the roll over the last month and it'll now look to close out the final week strong. It's off a 128-123 home win over Indiana. It's dropped 2 straight ATS, but I think it recovers here and lays the hammer down on the Wizards. Washington has nothing to play for. The C's dismantled Washington by a score of 116-87 in Janaury and I expect a similar outcome here as well. Note, this game takes on added importance for Boston as well with three straight tough road games to end the season after this, including at Chicago, Milwaukee and Memphis respectively. In their final regular season home game, I expect the Celtics to push the pace from start to finish; lay the points, the play is BOSTON. AAA Sports |
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04-02-22 | North Carolina v. Duke -4 | 81-77 | Loss | -116 | 134 h 48 m | Show | |
9* DUKE (SPECIAL) UNC only hit 6 of 22 3-pointers against Saint Peter's, and while that was enough to move past the No. 15 seed, that's just not going to get it done against Coach K and Duke in the Final 4. To get to this point of the tournament, you have to be playing well at both ends of the court. And that's the case here, as move UNC and Duke enter on top form. Duke is the No. 2 seed here and it plays with revenge after its 94-81 home loss to UNC as an 11-point favorite in Coach K's final regular season home game. It was a crushing defeat, but now Duke has a golden opportunity to avenge that setback. Duke does everything just as well as UNC, but note that it's 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to revenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. Look for the experience of Coach K in this spot to prove to be the difference in this revenge scenario; the play is Duke! AAA Sports |
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04-02-22 | Jazz v. Warriors +2 | 107-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
8* WARRIORS (DESTRUCTION) We're coming down the home stretch of the regular season with just over a week left to play. Both of these teams will be in the playoffs, but I simply feel that this one means a lot more to the home side. The Warriors are still without Steph Curry, but I expect the home side to step up here after 4 straight losses. The Warriors are deep and well coached. The Jazz are off a satisfying 122-109 win over the Lakers and I think they come in a bit complacent here. The Warriors play with revenge after a 111-85 slapping on Feb. 9, and note that GS is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent in which it was held to 90 or less points in. This one MEANS MORE to Golden State! AAA Sports |
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04-02-22 | Nets -1.5 v. Hawks | Top | 115-122 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
10* NETS (ASSASSIN) Brooklyn is just 1-2 in its last 3. It's off a 120-119 OT loss at home to the Bucks. The easily handled the Hawks though back in December by a score of 113-105 and I expect a similar outcome here as well. Atlanta comes in off 4 straight wins, including a 131-107 victory over Cleveland in its last outing. I simply feel this is a really bad matchup for the Hawks. Atlanta is also still just 3-7 ATS in its last 10 after 3 or more SU/ATS victories in a row. Look for the hungrier Nets to pull away down the stretch; lay the points! AAA Sports |
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04-02-22 | Wild v. Hurricanes -145 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -145 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
10* HURRICANES (EXPRESS) I feel Carolina should in fact be a much larger favorite here. I like playing against teams that have been on an extended win streak, and then lost a tight game. I like playing AGAINST them in the following contest, and that's the exact scenario here. Minnesota's 8 game win streak was just snapped in a tight 4-3 OT home loss to the Penguins and I expect a predictable letdown here now on the road in this difficult road venue. Carolina is off a 4-0 win over Montreal and it plays with revenge after a tight 3-2 loss to the Wild in mid Feb. As I said off the top, this line should be a lot larger; the play is Carolina! AAA Sports |
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04-02-22 | Villanova v. Kansas OVER 132.5 | Top | 65-81 | Win | 100 | 131 h 10 m | Show |
10* OVER (TOM) Villanova is going to have to hit some three-balls today if it wants to beat the Jayhawks. Miami struggled from range in the second half of its Elite 8 matchup vs. Kansas, and the Jayhawks would then pull away for the 76-50 victory (Hurricanes finished just 3 of 21 from range.) The Wildcats can shoot threes and they're one of the best free throw shooting team's in the country as well. Villanova did lose the services of Justin Moore to a torn Achilles tendon in the win over Houston. Villanova can't afford to get into a half-court battle with this efficient Kansas team. I'm expecting this one to be a bit more "wide open" and faster-paced than what this O/U line is suggesting; the play is the over! AAA Sports |
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04-01-22 | Blues v. Oilers UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 51 m | Show |
10* UNDER (EXPRESS) St. Louis is off a 4-3 win at Vancouver, but I think it'll have a more difficult time finding the back of the net in Edmonton this evening. I simply feel that the Blues will get caught "looking ahead" here and save some of their energy for tomorrow night's difficult game in Calgary. I expect St. Louis to play more of a "trap" style of game, where it sits back and waits for the Oilers to make the first mistake. Edmonton has played to 5 straight overs, but note that the Oilers have seen the total go under in 7 of their last 10 after playing to 5 or more "overs" in a row. When these teams played on December 29th, the Blues managed the 4-2 home win and that total went "under" the number. I expect an even tighter/lower-scoring affair this time around; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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04-01-22 | Kings v. Rockets UNDER 232.5 | 122-117 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 1 m | Show | |
8* UNDER (SPECIAL) Sacramento has seen the total go "over" the number in 3 straight. It's been playing better for bettors of late as well, going 4-1 ATS in its last five. Off a 121-118 road win at Houston though, I believe the rematch here will be a little tighter defensively. Note as well that the Kings have seen the total go "under" the number in 7 of their last 10 after playing to 3 or more straight "overs" in a row. Houston's 2 game win streak is in the rear-view mirror after 2 straight home losses. That includes the 121-118 loss to the Kings last time out. Note though that the Rockets have seen the total go "under" the number in 9 of their last 12 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. This number is a little high, the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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04-01-22 | Suns v. Grizzlies OVER 228.5 | Top | 114-122 | Win | 100 | 14 h 58 m | Show |
10* OVER (ASSASSIN) Memphis has won 6 straight. It's seen the total go "under" the number in 4 straight. The Grizz are the No. 1 offense in the league, averaging 115.4 PPG, but I say they have their hands full here with a Suns team playing with revenge after a tight 114-113 home loss to Memphis as 7.5 point favs on December 27th. Phoenix enters on top form after 9 straight victories. That includes a 107-103 win over GS last time out. The Suns have the No. 2 offense in the league, averaging 115.2 PPG. Phoenix has also seen the total go "over" the number in 7 of its last 9 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent; expect this faster-paced affair to fly well "over" the number! AAA Sports |
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03-31-22 | Stars v. Ducks OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 23 m | Show |
10* OVER (EXPRESS) These teams just played against each other, and Dallas held on for hte 3-2 victory. Note that the Ducks have seen the total go "over" the number in 7 of their last 9 in trying to revenge road loss against an opponent. The Ducks won't be lacking for motivation here, as they've now lost 10 straight. Dallas will look to take advantage and we're expecting it to open things up and push the pace here. With the Ducks desperate to put pucks on the net and to break this slide, I expect this total to ultimately fly well "over" the number before the final horn blares; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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03-31-22 | Lakers v. Jazz UNDER 226 | Top | 109-122 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 24 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) The Lakers are now on the outside of the playoffs looking in. It's going to be an uphill battle the rest of the way for the Lakers this season. Is LeBron James playing tonight for LA? Who is playing for the Lakers? That changes on an almost day to day basis. Even if "The King" does suit up here, I'm expecting a very defensive affair. LA needs this win, but the last thing it can do here is try to turn this into a run and gun shootout with the Jazz. LA is off back-to-back losses, falling 116-108 to New Orleans, and then 128-110 to the Mavericks. Utah will be in the playoffs, but it can't be happy with its recent play either, as it's lost 5 in a row (note though that Utah has seen the total go "under" the number in 7 of its last 10 after 5 or more SU/ATS losses in a row.) This is an important game for each side, and I look for both to double down on the defensive end; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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03-31-22 | Xavier v. Texas A&M OVER 137.5 | Top | 73-72 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
10* OVER (BOB) Two really good defensive teams battle for the NIT Championship tonight, but I think that public perception has helped driving this total a few points lower than it should be. The Musketeers enter off an 84-77 win over St. Bonaventure to advance, while Texas A&M beat Washington State by a score of 72-56. Xavier is going to have to push the pace from start to finish here to try and take the Aggies out of their comfort zone. The Musketeers average 74.1 PPG. A&M averages 72.7 PPG. I believe each team will exceed its offensive seasonal average today. Yes, this is a big game, but I believe that'll translate into an efficent, wide-open contest, rather than a suffocating defensive one; this number is a little low, the play is the over! AAA Sports |
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03-30-22 | Kings v. Oilers UNDER 6.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 59 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) After playing to 5 straight "overs," I'm expecting a more defensive battle from the Kings on the road here. They're off a humbling 6-1 home loss to the lowly Kraken, which actually works in our favor here as LA has seen the total go "under" in 7 of its last 9 after a home loss of 5 or more goals. LA also plays with revenge here after a 5-2 loss to the Oilers in mid-Feb. Edmonton has seen the total go "over" in 4 sraight. That includes a 6-1 win here over Arizona in its most recent. However note, the Oilers have seen the total go "under" in 14 of their last 20 off a 5 goals or greater home victory in their last outing. When you add it all up, I say this number is indeed just a tad high; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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03-30-22 | Heat v. Celtics UNDER 215 | Top | 106-98 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
10* UNDER (EAST-CONF TOY) Miami has seen the total go "over" 5 of its last 6, but I expect it to run a lot of half court sets tonight on the road against the red hot Celtics. The Heat finally broke a 4 game slide with a 123-100 win over the Kings at home in their last game, but they play with revenge here after falling 122-92 to the C's on January 31st (Miami has interestingly seen the total go "under" the number in 7 of its last 9 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent in which it was held to 99 or fewer points in.) Boston has played to 6 straight "overs." After its 115-112 OT loss at Toronto, I believe that the Celtics' are going to be fatigued here. When you add it all up, I say this O/U line is indeed just a tad high; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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03-30-22 | Wolves v. Raptors UNDER 230 | 102-125 | Win | 100 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
8* UNDER (DESTRUCTION) The Wolves have been great this year and I'm excited to see them in the playoffs. That said, they've been slipping a bit of late, going just 1-3 in their last 4. That includes a 134-112 loss at Boston in their most recent. Note though that Minny has seen the total go "under" the number in 7 of its last 10 off a SU/ATS road loss in which it conceded 130 or more points in. Toronto has been trading high-scoring games, with lower-scoring ones over its last 4. Off a high-scoring 115-112 OT win over a red hot Boston, I expect this strong pattern to continue here. Toronto won 103-91 over the Wolves in mid February, and while we'll likely see a few points scored here, I do expect another defensive battle overall; this number is high, the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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03-29-22 | Washington State v. Texas A&M OVER 132 | Top | 56-72 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 55 m | Show |
10* OVER (NIT SEMI-FINAL TOY) Washington State is 22-14 after beating BYU by a score of 77-58 to advance to the semi-finals of the NIT. Michael Flowers led the way in the win with 27 points, 5 assists and 3 steals. Texas A&M advanced to this point by beating Wake Forest by a score of 67-52. Wade Taylor was a standout in that victory with 12 points. Both teams enter on top form. If they had just gotten hot like this a couple of weeks earlier in the regular season, each could have been playing in The Big Dance instead of the NIT. Either way, I expect a faster pace here and I look for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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03-29-22 | Pistons v. Nets OVER 229 | Top | 123-130 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
10* OVER (ASSASSIN) Detroit enters off B2B losses. The Pistons have been playing better over the second half, but they won't be in the playoffs. They're coming off 3 straight "unders" in a row though, and note that they've seen the total go "over" the number in 7 of their last 10 after playing to 3 or more straight "unders" in a row. They play with revenge here after a 116-104 loss at home to Brooklyn in mid-December as well. The Nets have been trading good efforst with bad of late, and off a 119-110 loss at home to Charlotte, I say this pattern continues here. With each team pushing the pace like I expect, we can also look for this total to fly well "over" the number as it comes down the stretch! AAA Sports |
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03-29-22 | Rangers v. Penguins UNDER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
10* UNDER (EXPRESS) The Rangers have won 2 straight, and they've seen the total go "over" in 3 straight. Note that New York has seen the total go "under" in 7 of its last 10 after playing to 3 or more straight "overs" in a row. The Rangers are off a 5-4 OT win over Buffalo, but I think they'll have a more difficult time moving the puck here against this revenge-minded Penguins team that fell to the Rangers 5-1 just last week. Note that Pittsburgh has seen the total go "under" in 6 of its last 8 in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent in which it was held to 1 or less goals in. Off their 11-2 blowout win over the Wings here 2 nights ago, we can expect this Pens' offense to come back down to Earth here vs. one of the league's top defensive clubs. Considering all of the above information, I believe this number is indeed too high; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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03-28-22 | Southern Utah v. Fresno State -7.5 | Top | 48-67 | Win | 100 | 30 h 35 m | Show |
10* FRESNO STATE (GOW) This is the semi-final of the College Basketball Classic at the Save Mart Center. The Southern Utah Thunderbirds are averaging 78.8 PPG, and they're led by Tevian Jones, whoi averages 14.6 points and 4.7 boards. The Thunderbirds though have struggled on the defensive end overall this season, allowing 72.7 PPG. The Bullldogs only average 65.1 PPG, but they make up for it on the other end with one of the best defenses in the nation, conceding just 58.4 PPG. Orlando Robinson is a major matchup issue here for the Thunderbirds, as he averages 19.4 points and 8.2 boards per game for the Bulldogs. Fresno State has the added advantage of playing at home here, where it has won by an average of 10 PPG this season. Look for the Fresno State's amazing defensive play to be the difference here; lay the points! AAA Sports |
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03-28-22 | Kings v. Heat -13 | Top | 100-123 | Win | 100 | 14 h 26 m | Show |
10* HEAT (GAME OF WEEK) I base my picks on many different things. Sometimes I believe it's necessary to completely dissect a pick, looking at every stat possible, breaking down individual player matchups, looking at trends and scheduling, line movement and many other factors. Other times I believe that a more common sense approach is the best way to handicap a contest, and that's the case for this particular selection for sure. Miami is desperate to break out of its funk, as it comes in having lost 4 in a row SU and 7 in a row ATS. It also plays with revenge here after falling 115-113 at Sacramento as a 3.5-point fav on January 2nd. This is a big and important game for the Heat, even more so when considering their upcoming 3-game road trip after this vs. Boston, Chicago and Toronto. Sacramento is off B2B victories. It's won 3 straight ATS. Can anyone say predictable letdown spot here?! Especially with 2 straight games at lowly Houston up next?! Lay the points, expect a blowout of epic proportions! AAA Sports |
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03-28-22 | Hurricanes v. Capitals UNDER 6 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -109 | 27 h 31 m | Show |
10* UNDER (TOW) Both teams can score. Both teams can defend. Both teams will be in the playoffs. Honestly, it would not be difficult to write a convincing argument for either the "over" or the "under" to hit in this contest? So why do I love the "under" in this contest then? Carolina is off a 7-2 win at St. Louis, but note that it's seen the total go "under" the number in 8 of its last 11 off a road win of 5 or more goals. Washington is off B2B wins and has seen the total go "over" in 3 straight. Note though that the Caps have seen the total go "under" in 7 of their last 10 after playing to 3 or more straight "overs" in a row. Washington won 4-3 over Carolina on the road a couple of weeks ago, but all signs point to a much tighter defensive affair this time around; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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03-27-22 | Jazz v. Mavs OVER 220 | Top | 100-114 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
10* OVER (EXPRESS) I am traveling this weekend, so my analysis is more "succinct" than it normally would be. I like betting on motivated teams when playing "overs." Utah is going to be motivated for sure after 3 straight losses. That includes a listless 107-101 setback at Charlotte in its most recent. It plays with revenge here after a 111-103 loss to Dallas as well at the start of the month (and note that the Jazz have seen the total go "over" in 7 of their last 9 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent.) Dallas is 2-1 in its last 3, but it's seen the total go "under" in 3 straight (note that the Mavs have seen the total go "over" in 6 of their last 9 after playing to 3 or more straight "unders" in a row.) Off a poor 116-95 loss at Minnesota, we can expect the home side to push the pace from start to finish; considering all of the above info, I say the correct call is on the "over" as far as the total is concerned! AAA Sports |
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03-27-22 | Coyotes v. Jets UNDER 6 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 105 | 26 h 28 m | Show |
10* UNDER (TOTAL U OF THE U) I am traveling this weekend, so my analysis is more "succinct" than it normally would be. The Jets have seen the total go "over" in 2 straight, but with a tough upcoming Eastern road swing on the horizon, I believe the home side will not keep the foot on the gas here vs. the lowly Coyotes. Arizona is off a 4-2 loss at Calgary. I have a hard time seeing it mustering up much of an offensive attack here, as the 'Yotes only average 2.58 GPG anyways, which ranks 30th. This number is much too high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-27-22 | 76ers v. Suns UNDER 230 | 104-114 | Win | 100 | 26 h 36 m | Show | |
8* UNDER (DESTRUCTION) I am traveling this weekend, so my analysis is more "succinct" than it normally would be. Philadlephia is off back-to-back road wins over the Lakers and Clippers, but I think it'll have its hands full here in this difficult road venue. The 76ers still only average 108.9 points per game. They play with revenge here after a 114-109 loss to the Suns at home in early February (note that they've seen the total go "under" the number in 6 of their last 7 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent.) The Suns average 115.3 PPG this season. They're coming off 7 straight victories. They've seen the total go OVER in 3 straight though, and note that Phoenix has seen the total go UNDER in 8 of its last 10 after playing to 3 or more straight OVERS in a row. This total is high, the play is the "under." AAA Sports |
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03-27-22 | St. Peter's v. North Carolina -8 | 49-69 | Win | 100 | 25 h 33 m | Show | |
8* NORTH CAROLINA (DESTRUCTION) I am traveling this weekend, so my analysis is more "succinct" than it normally would be. Saint Peter's magical run is about to come to an end here vs. the most well-rounded team its seen yet. Yes, the Peacocks defense (67.7 PPG allowed) and overall "never say die" commitment has been impressive, but UNC looks like a wrecking ball right now. The Tar Heels are averaging 87 PPG so far during the Tournament and they're 7-3 ATS in their last 10 as a neutral court favorite in the -6.5 to -9.5 points range. Saint Peter's has been an "ATS covering machine" during its conference tournament and now the NCAA Tourney, but I say that streak comes to an end here finally, with the oddsmakers giving this "Cinderalla" just a little too much respect now; the play is North Carolina! AAA Sports |
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03-27-22 | Miami-FL v. Kansas -6 | Top | 50-76 | Win | 100 | 22 h 44 m | Show |
10* KANSAS (ASSASSIN) I am traveling this weekend, so my analysis is more "succinct" than it normally would be. The bottom line for this play is that the Jayhawks have arguably looked like the most well-rounded and dominant team in the Tournament so far. Miami has had lapses on both ends of the court this year. The Hurricanes struggle on the defensive end at times. And this Kansas defense, which allows just 42.1 % shooting from the floor, will be up to the task of slowing down this Hurricanes' potentially dangerous offense. Kansas holds a huge offensive rebounding edge, 32.1% compared to just 20.2% for the Canes. The rebounding and defensive edges that the Jayhawks have in this matchup will turn out to be the difference for them in the end; lay the points! AAA Sports |
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03-26-22 | Arkansas v. Duke -3.5 | 69-78 | Win | 100 | 15 h 50 m | Show | |
8* DUKE (DESTRUCTION) I am traveling this weekend, so my writeups today will be more "succinct" than they normally are. Arkansas has been unbelievable this year, but I say that Duke's incredible offense wins over the Razorbacks tough-nosed defensive play finally. Off their now legendary 74-68 win over No. 1 seed Gonzaga, an imminent letdown is in store for the underdog tonight in my opinion. The Blue Devils got past a similar tough-nosed defensive team in Texas Tech last time out in their 78-73 win. Look for Coach K to have something new up his sleeve here as his players keep the foot on the gas on the offensive end as Duke comfortably moves on to the Final Four; lay the short points! AAA Sports |
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03-26-22 | Bulls v. Cavs UNDER 220.5 | Top | 98-94 | Win | 100 | 14 h 19 m | Show |
10* UNDER (EXPRESS) I am traveling this weekend, so my writeups today will be more "succinct" than they normally are. Previous to their 126-109 loss to New Orleans, the Bulls had seen the total go "under" in 3 straight. When they played the Cavs on March 12th, the total went "under" the number in their 101-91 win, and I expect a similar final combined score here as well. The Cavs have seen the total go "under" in 7 of their last 9 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. Since that game, the Cavs have seen the total go "over" in 6 straight. Look for that streak to end here though in what I anticipate to be a very defensive battle; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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03-26-22 | Kings v. Magic -3 | 114-110 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 25 m | Show | |
8* MAGIC (SPECIAL) I am travelling this weekend, so my writeups today will be more "succinct" than they normally are. The Kings are off a rare road win, coming from behind to knock off Indianapolis by a score of 110-109. Now they face a revenge-minded Magic team that fell 142-130 at the Kings on December 8th. Note that Orlando is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to revenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. The Magic posted two straight home wins before a 118-102 loss at Oklahoma City. Expect a return to form here in this revenge scenairo. Lay the points, the plays ORLANDO. AAA Sports |
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03-26-22 | Houston v. Villanova +2.5 | Top | 44-50 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
10* NOVA (ELITE 8 GOY) I am traveling this weekend, so my writeups today will be more "succinct" than they normally are. The Cougars are off a 72-60 win over Arizona, while Nova enters off a 63-53 victory over Michigan. Houston averages 75.8 PPG, while allowing 59, while Villanova averages 72.8 PPG, while allowing 62.9. This is an interesting matchup, as this is the toughest team that Houston has had to face yet. Nova has the defense to match Houston and in a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Villanova! AAA Sports |
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03-26-22 | Islanders v. Bruins OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 20 m | Show |
10* OVER (ASSASSIN) I am traveling this weekend, so my writeups today will be more "succinct" than they normally are. The Isles are off a 5-2 home win over Detroit. They beat Boston 4-1 on Feb. 7th. They have a tough game at home tomorrow night against the Lightning, so I say they push the pace here on the road. Boston has seen the total go "over" in 7 of its last 9 in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent in which it was held to 1 or less goals in. The Bruins average 3.00 GPG and after 3 straight wins, I believe they keep the foot on the proverbial gas pedal tonight. This number is low, the play is the over! AAA Sports |
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03-25-22 | Iowa State v. Miami-FL OVER 133 | Top | 56-70 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 27 m | Show |
10* OVER (SWEET 16 TOY) I think that public perception has driven this O/U line a few points lower than it normally would be. And that's because Iowa State has seen the total go "under" the number in its last five Tournament Games (conference and NCAA), while Miami Florida has also seen the total go "under" in both of its NCAA Tournament games. Yes, these team's successes are based around their tough-nosed defensive play, but here's a case where each will be pushing the pace on the offensive end. Look for each side to exceed it's seasonal offensive average; the play is the over! AAA Sports |
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03-25-22 | Coyotes +355 v. Flames | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 28 h 17 m | Show |
10* COYOTES (GOM) A couple of weeks ago the Flames lost outright at home to Montreal as a big favorite, and I think they're going to suffer the same fate here. Calgary is clearly the better team and Arizona is going to have to play a really good game here to take advantage of this spot, but I believe Calgary is definitely overpriced again considering the circumstances. The Flames haven't been playing their best hockey of late, having split wins/losses over their last 6 games. They're off a 4-3 loss here at home to San Jose has a -300 favorite, but with Edmonton coming to town tomorrow night, I believe this sets up as a classic "look ahead" spot for the home side. The Coyotes play with revenge after a 4-2 loss to the Flames at the start of Feb. They're off 3 straight losses, but note that they're 7-2 in their last nine after 3 or more straight losses in a row. The value is WAY too good to turn down here; the play is the Coyotes! AAA Sports |
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03-25-22 | Warriors v. Hawks -2.5 | Top | 110-121 | Win | 100 | 27 h 53 m | Show |
10* HAWKS (ASSASSIN) The Hawks have gone just 1-2 in their last 3. Off a 122-101 loss at Detroit as 5-point favs, I say that ATL bounces back here at home in this revenge scenario. ATL lost 127-113 at Golden State at the start of the yar, but note that the Hawks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. The Warriors snapped a 3-game slide with a 118-104 road win at Miami in their last game as 9.5-point underdogs, but with a much more "winnable" game in the Nation's capital on Sunday, this sets up as a classic "trap" for the visitors. A great overall situational play in my opinion; lay the points! AAA Sports |
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03-24-22 | Predators v. Golden Knights -104 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 31 h 28 m | Show |
10* KNIGHTS (BOB) Nashville is off a 6-1 loss at LA and I think it'll struggle here in this difficult road venue as well. With three whole nights off before a game vs. the lowly Flyers at home after this, this also sets up as a look-ahead spot. The Knights will look to take advantage, and to also avenge a 3-2 loss to the Predators on January 4th. Considering all of the above situational circumstances working in favor of Vegas here, I believe this to be the very definition of "great line value!" The play is Las Vegas. AAA Sports |
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03-24-22 | Cavs v. Raptors -3.5 | Top | 104-117 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
10* RAPTORS (ASSASSIN) There's zero reason to overthink this one, as Toronto is 0-3 SU/ATS so far in this season series. The triple-revenge factor is the main reason behind this play. Cleveland hasn't played since it's 131-120 home loss to the Lakers and with a home game against Chicago next, this also sets up as a bit of a look-ahead spot for the visiting side. The Raptors are off a 113-99 loss at Chicago, but note that they're 7-2 ATS in their last 9 after a SU/ATS road loss in which they were held to 99 or fewer points in. I expect the home side to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish; lay the points, the play is Toronto! AAA Sports |
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03-24-22 | Arkansas +9.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 74-68 | Win | 100 | 28 h 27 m | Show |
10* ARKANSAS (SWEET 16 GOY) Gonzaga was on the ropes in the second round against Memphis, down by ten at half time, but the Bulldogs outscored the Tigers 51-37 in the second half and managed the 82-78 victory. And I don't think things are going to get any easier on the Tournament's No. 1 seed here vs. this under the radar Arkansas Razorbacks team. Gonzaga is back in the Sweet 16 for a seventh straight year though, so this is an experienced Gonzaga team obviously, led by Chet Holmgren, who actually only had nine points and nine boards in the win over Memphis. Over the last six seasons the Zags have a 4-2 record in advancing to the Elite Eight and to do that again this season, they're going to have to have to beat an Arkansas team that advanced to this point by beating New Mexico State 53-48. JD Notae was big in that victory for the Razorbacks with 18 points and an amazing eight steals. Arkansas did lose the rebounding battle, but it won the steal ratio by a score of 3 to 1. This is the Razorbacks second straight Sweet 16 appearance, so this is a talented an experienced Arkansas team as well. And it's one that I think can also take Gonzaga down to the wire here in the Sweet 16 as well. I say Gonzaga makes it through to the Elite Eight again, but I think that it'll be another nail-biter here decided in the final moments; grab the points, the play is Arkansas! AAA Sports |
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03-23-22 | Blackhawks v. Ducks -117 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -117 | 33 h 30 m | Show |
10* DUCKS (DESTROYER) The Ducks are beyond desperate after 8 straight losses. Most recently it was a 6-3 setback to Nashville. They play with revenge here as well after an 8-3 loss to the Hawks two weeks ago. Note that Anaheim is 7-3 in its last 10 in trying to revenge a 2 goals or greater road loss against an opponent. So here's the perfect opponent to get untracked against. Chicago is off 3 straight losses, most recently a 6-4 home setback to the Jets. As Bob Barker used to say: The Price Is Right! In my opinion, this is the very definition of "great line value." The play is Anaheim! AAA Sports |
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03-23-22 | Hawks v. Pistons +5.5 | Top | 101-122 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show |
10* PISTONS (ASSASSIN) I base my picks on many different things. Scheduling at this time of the year is a big factor I always look at, as team's playing the 2nd game of a B2B are definitely fatigued. Let's not overthink this one, as after its 117-111 win as a 3.5-point fav just last night, I believe New York suffers a predictable letdown here. Detroit is coming off a 119-115 loss at home to Portland, but previous to that had covered in 8 of its last 9. The Pistons got the better of Atlanta by a score of 113-110 in OT as 8-point dogs 2 weeks ago, and I say another outright victory is a possibility here as well; grab the points, the play is Detroit! AAA Sports |
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03-23-22 | Wake Forest +3 v. Texas A&M | Top | 52-67 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 25 m | Show |
10* WAKE FOREST (BLOWOUT) The Demon Deacons enter the Quarterfinals of the NIT with a 25-9 record, while the Aggies enter at 25-12. Wake Forest is led by Alondes Williams and they're coming off an 80-74 victory over VCU. Williams, who averages 18.8 PPG, had 19 in the victory. Wake is skilled on both ends of the court though, as it concedes just 70.1 PPG. Texas A&M advanced by beating Oregon by a score of 75-60. Quenton Jackson was a standout with 17 points. Overall Texas A&M has also done well on both ends of the court, coming in allowing only 66.9 PPG. Wake's superior offense is the difference-maker for me though, as it makes this a coin-flip contest in my opinion. In a game that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is WAKE FOREST. AAA Sports |
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03-22-22 | Predators v. Kings -120 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 31 h 34 m | Show |
10* KINGS (EXPRESS) The Kings have been trading wins/losses over their last 5 games. Off a 5-1 loss at Vegas, I expect this pattern to continue here. LA plays with revenge after a 4-2 loss at Nashville on January 6th. Note that LA is 7-3 in its last 10 in trying to revenge a 2 goals or greater road loss against an opponent. The Predators are off a 6-3 road win at Anaheim just last night and I believe they'll struggle here with fatigure in the second game of the B2B. As Bob Barker used to say, "The Price Is Right!" In my professional opinion, this is the very definition of "great line value." The play is LA. AAA Sports |
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03-22-22 | Southern Utah +4.5 v. UTEP | 82-69 | Win | 100 | 29 h 60 m | Show | |
8* SOUTHERN UTAH (SPECIAL) Here's one that I expect to come right down to the wire. Southern Utah is 21-11 this year, while UTEP is 20-13. The Thunderbirds beat Kent State to advance to this point, while the Miners beat Western Illinois. In the Kent State matchup, the Thunderbirds came from behind to win 83-79, led by 27 points from Dre Martin. The Miners won their matchup against the Leathernecks by a score of 80-54, but note that they're just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 after a SU/ATS victory of 25 or more points. Southern Utah's offense has hit 79 or more points in three of its last four and while I do think an outright upset is a possibility, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with the Thunderbirds! AAA Sports |
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03-22-22 | Warriors v. Magic +8.5 | 90-94 | Win | 100 | 27 h 11 m | Show | |
10* MAGIC (ASSASSIN) Golden State comes into this game fatigued. It's off B2B home losses, falling 110-88 to to Boston, before then dropping a 110-108 loss at home to the Spurs. With a game at Miami tomorrow, followed by contests at Washington and Memphis, can anyone say "letdown/look-ahead" spot here?! Not suprisingly, the Magic play with revenge after a 126-95 loss at Golden State as 15.5-point underdogs in early December. Off a 90-85 home win over OKC, I say the Magic "catch" the Warriors at a great time here. Orlando is a rebuild season, but it's healthier now than it's been at any other point and I believe it will take this game seriously. Outright win?! Anything is possible, but my official call will be to grab as many points as you can with the Magic! AAA Sports |
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03-21-22 | Raptors v. Bulls -4 | Top | 99-113 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
10* BULLS (ASSASSIN) Chicago has lost 3 straight, both SU and ATS (that does in fact work in our favor here though, as the Bulls are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 after 3 or more straight losess in a row.) Chicago also plays with revenge after a 127-120 OT setback to Toronto at the start of February. Finally though, note that Toronto played and won 93-88 at Philadelphia as 7.5-point underdogs just last night! It's a perfect spot for a hungry and revenge-minded team; lay the points, the play is Chicago! AAA Sports |
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03-21-22 | Golden Knights v. Wild UNDER 6.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 57 m | Show |
10* UNDER (TOW) Vegas has won both games so far in this season sereis. The Wild play with revenge. The Knights are off a 5-1 win over the Kings, but I think they'll have a much more difficult time on the offensive end this evening vs. this revenge-minded home side. Despite the win last time out, the Knights have taken a step back this year, as they're just 4-6-0 in their last 10. Logan Thompson was big in net for the Knights last time out though with 38 saves. The Wild have won 4 of their last 6. They're most recently off a 3-1 win over the Blackhawks. Both teams can score, but the situation points to a very intense defensive battle in my opinion; this number is a little high, the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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03-21-22 | USC Upstate v. South Alabama -9.5 | Top | 79-83 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 53 m | Show |
10* SOUTH ALABAMA (GOW) Home floor is going to be an advantage here. South Alabama tok down Southeastern Louisiana by a score of 70-68 in the opening round The Basketball Classic. USC Upstate got by App State by a score of 80-74 in the first round. USA though is now 14-2 at home and it's ranked 31st in the country in conceding just 63.3 PPG. USA also finished ranked in the Top 3 in the Sun Belt in scoring with 71.4 PPG on average. The Spartans average 70.9 PPG, but their suspect defensive play on the road is the difference-maker here. Lay the points, expect a blowout; the play is South Alabama! AAA Sports |
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03-20-22 | Texas +3.5 v. Purdue | Top | 71-81 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 10 m | Show |
10* TEXAS (BOB) Texas looked great in its 83-71 win over Virginia Tech in the last round and I believe it'll find a way to get the job done here as well. Andrew Jones was dominant with 21 points, including 5 three balls. Purdue did what it was supposed to do in its 78-58 win over Yale. Jaden Ivey led the way in that one with 22 points. Purdue has struggled in this spot for bettors, going 0-5-2 ATS in its last 7 following a SU win. Texas on the other hand is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 off a SU/ATS neutral site win in which it scored 80 or more points in. While I do feel the outright is possible, let's grab the points; the play is Texas! AAA Sports |
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03-20-22 | Celtics v. Nuggets UNDER 222.5 | 124-104 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 39 m | Show | |
8* UNDER (DESTRUCTION) These have been two of the hottest teams in the league since the All Star break and this should absolutely be an exciting game to watch on Sunday night. So, high-scoring, and super intense defensive battle?! I say it's going to be the latter. Boston is off B2B wins to open its road trip, but off a big 126-97 victory at Sacramento, I expect the Celtics to have a more difficult time moving the ball in Denver tonight. Overall the C's average 109.7 PPG, which is right in the middle of the pack. The Nuggets average 111.4 PPG. Denver enters off a 119-116 OT loss at Cleveland, but it plays with revenge here after a 108-102 loss at Boston last month. That total went "under" the number and I expect a similar lower-scoring, intense defensive battle here as well; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-20-22 | Notre Dame +7.5 v. Texas Tech | 53-59 | Win | 100 | 35 h 15 m | Show | |
9* NOTRE DAME (ASSASSIN) It's a No. 11 seed vs. a No. 3. Notre Dame opend up with a double OT win over Rutgers in the First Four, and they carried that momentum over into their victory over Alabam in the first round. I look for the Irish to carry that confidence and momentum over to this one as well. Texas Tech smashed Montana State in its opening match on Friday, but now it faces a much tougher challenge in Notre Dame. The Irish lost 87-80 to the eventual champion VT Hokies in the ACC Tournament, but they sure looked great in their 78-64 victory over the Tide. Texas Tech has the No. 1 defense in the country, but the Irish have the No. 28 ranked offense in terms of efficiency rating. Texas Tech is ranked No. 43. The Irish come in looking fresh and while I don't think they'll win SU, I do think they'll cover with ease; grab the poitns, the play Notre Dame! AAA Sports |
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03-20-22 | Thunder v. Magic UNDER 229 | Top | 85-90 | Win | 100 | 26 h 40 m | Show |
10* UNDER (EXPRESS) With nothing to play for here, I expect these unmotivated teams to go through the motions and for this contest to eventually fall well "under" the posted number. OKC is just 11-24 on the road this year and it only averages 103.1 PPG. Somehow the Thunder have seen the total go "over" the number in 4 straight (fell 120-108 at Miami last time out.) Note though that the Thunder have seen the total go "under" the number in 7 of their last 10 after playing to 3 or more straight "overs" in a row. They fell 108-99 at Orlando as 4.5 point underdogs at the start of the year and I expect a similar, lower-scoring game here as well. Orlando averages just 104.5 PPG. It's coming off B2B terrible losses, giving up 284 points in the process! I say Orlando doubles down on the defensive end tonight after those two straight disasters. When you add it all up, this number is definitely high; the play is the UNDER! AAA Sports |
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03-20-22 | Ohio State +5.5 v. Villanova | 61-71 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 59 m | Show | |
8* OHIO STATE (BLOWOUT) Ohio State won't be going down with a fight. I like the Buckeyes to, at the very least, take the Villanova Wildcats right down to the wire here. Ohio State is off a 54-41 win over Loyola Chicago and I expect another tough defensive performance here. Zed Key and Kyle Young returned to the lineup for the Buckeyes in their last game and they made an immediate impact on the boards. If there's one area that the Buckeyes have an advantage over Villanova, it's on the glass. The Buckeyes live and die by the 3-ball, and they're darn good at shooting from range, but defending the perimeter is a Buckeye defensive speciality. This is a bad matchup for Villanova. This could be an outright upset, but let's grab the points; the play is Ohio State! AAA Sports |
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03-19-22 | St. Peter's v. Murray State UNDER 130 | 70-60 | Push | 0 | 38 h 53 m | Show | |
9* UNDER (ASSASSIN) Saint Peter's is off a life-changing 85-79 win over Kentucky, and I believe a predictable mental letdown is in order here. The victory was also the Peacock's first Tournament win in school history. Murray State needed overtime to get by San Francisco by a score of 92-87. The Racers have seen the total go "over" the number in 3 straight, but I say the Racers come in predictably "gassed" here after their marathon win in the first round. With each team playing with "heavy legs," I say this number is now just a little too high; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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03-19-22 | Maple Leafs v. Predators +100 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 27 h 0 m | Show |
10* PREDATORS (EXPRESS) Both teams have been playing extremely well, but the "revenge factor" pushes the pendulum in favor of the Predators in my opinion. Honestly, it would not be too difficult to write a concinvincing argument for either of these teams to win, but Nashville lost 3-0 at Toronto on November 16th and the Predators are 7-1 in their last 8 in trying to revenge a shutout road loss against an opponent. That's the difference-maker here for us; the play is the Predators! AAA Sports |
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03-19-22 | Richmond v. Providence -2.5 | Top | 51-79 | Win | 100 | 36 h 36 m | Show |
10* PROVIDENCE (2ND RND GOY) After its epic upset over Iowa in the first round, I think Richmond has a predictable letdown here. The Spiders won 67-63 as 13.5-point underdogs, but I'm not expecting lightning to strike twice. Richmond struggled offensively, but somehow managed to slow down the Hawkeyes potent offensive attack. Richmond hasn't been to the round of 32 since 2011. Providence advanced by beating South Dakota State by a score of 66-57, ending the Jackrabbits 21-game win streak. They were only second to Gonzaga in points scored per game this year (86.7), but they stumbled big time against superior competition. Richmond's big upset is now going to be a major "hangover" for Richmond; I'm laying the points, but expecting a lop-sided victory! AAA Sports |
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03-19-22 | Bucks -2.5 v. Wolves | Top | 119-138 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 6 m | Show |
10* BUCKS (ASSASSIN) The Bucks are the defending champs and the Wolves are the hottest team in the league right now. Minnesota is actually the No. 1 offense in the entire NBA. The Bucks are No. 3. Each is playing extremely well on both ends of the floor and honestly, it wouldn't be difficult at all to write a convincing argument for either of these league-leading squads to come out on top in this one. So why do I like the Bucks here? Simple. Revenge factor. The Wolves are poised for a letdown here vs. a the revenge-minded Bucks who fell 113-108 at home to Minnesota at the start of the season (as note, Milwaukee is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent.) To be the champ, you gotta beat the champ, and that's not happening twice; the play is Milwaukee! AAA Sports |
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03-19-22 | North Carolina v. Baylor -5.5 | 93-86 | Loss | -108 | 30 h 37 m | Show | |
8* BAYLOR Two good teams collide. But the Bears are better and I say they find a way to get the job done in the end. North Carolina took a poor loss to Virginia Tech in the tournament, but it bounced back in a big way in its 95-63 opening round win over Marquette. Brady Manek (28 points and 11 boards) and Armando Bacot (17 points and 10 rebounds) both posted double-doubles. Baylor hasn't lost B2B games all year. It actually lost to Oklahoma on March 10th, but then bounced back to hammer Norfolk State by a score of 85-49 in the first round. Matthew Mayer led the way with 22 points and six rebounds. Neither team has been perfect this year. Each has been susceptible to letdowns, but Baylor's superior defense is going to throw a monkey-wrench into UNC's well-oiled offense today; look for the Bears to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable win and cover! AAA Sports |
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03-18-22 | Panthers v. Ducks +1.5 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -135 | 30 h 44 m | Show |
10* DUCKS PUCKLINE (ASSASSIN) I am predicting that this game will be decided late, or even in extra time, so because of that, let's lay the price for the extra 1.5 goals in our "back pocket!" Florida has the No. 1 offense in the league, averaging 4.10 GPG. It's coming off B2B difficult road games though and I think that fatigue will be a major issue here, as it fell 3-2 in a shootout at LA, before then beating San Jose 3-2 in OT in its most recent outing. The Ducks play with revenge here as well after a 4-1 loss at Florida last month. And finally, note that Florida is in fact playing on Saturday night in Vegas, making this a very difficult B2B scenario for the visiting side; the play is Anaheim on the PL! AAA Sports |
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03-18-22 | Davidson v. Michigan State UNDER 140.5 | Top | 73-74 | Loss | -110 | 110 h 49 m | Show |
10* UNDER (1st RND TOY) With these larger 5-game reports, I'll keep my analysis much more "succinct" than I normally do. In what I predict will be a very tight battle, the correct call as far as the total is concered is definitely the "under" in my opinion. Davidson is the No. 10 seed and Michigan State is No. 7. These teams have plenty of experience on both sides of the ball and each is coached extremely well. Davidson averages 75.8 PPG, while MSU averages 72.1. Suffice it to say, I don't expect either to hit their seasonal offensive average here. Expect this evenly matched contest to turn into a very low-scoring defensive battle; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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03-18-22 | Blazers v. Nets UNDER 223.5 | Top | 123-128 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 49 m | Show |
10* UNDER (EXPRESS) Brooklyn needs some wins down the stretch. The Nets will be out to atone for a 113-111 setback at home to Dallas, giving up a big half-time lead in the loss (interesting to note though that Brooklyn has seen the total go "under" in 7 of its last 9 after a SU home loss in which it was an underdog.) When these teams played in January, the total went "under" the number in the Blazers 114-108 win. Brooklyn plays with revenge and I expect it to dial up the pressure on the defensive end. The Blazers are off an uninspired 128-98 loss at the Knicks and I think they'll have difficult surpassing the century mark today as well. Considering all of the above information, the play here is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-18-22 | CS-Fullerton +17.5 v. Duke | 61-78 | Win | 100 | 107 h 22 m | Show | |
8* Fullerton With these larger 5-game reports, I'll keep my analysis much more "succinct" than I normally do. It's David vs. Goliath here. At least the bookmakers believe this will be a bloodbath. However, I like No. 15 seed Cal State Fullerton to sneak in through the backdoor down the stretch here vs. No. 2 Duke. The biggest reason I like this play is because Duke's defense is a major concern in this tournament, as it's ranked 46th in adjusted defensive efficiency over the last month of the season; look for CAL STATE FULLERTON to comfortably sneak in through the back door with all these points! AAA Sports |
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03-18-22 | Chattanooga +7.5 v. Illinois | 53-54 | Win | 100 | 107 h 3 m | Show | |
8* Chattanooga With these larger 5-game reports, I'll keep my analysis much more "succinct" than I normally do. Chattanooga not only won the Southern regular season crown, but it also rolled its way through the Conference tournament. The reason why? Chattanooga loaded with veteran players and it has the length/size to keep up with Illinois star Kofi Cockburn. Illinois is solid and it likely will win this game SU, but it'll be a dog fight unitl the final moments; grab the points, the playis Chattanooga! AAA Sports |
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03-18-22 | Yale v. Purdue -15.5 | 56-78 | Win | 100 | 102 h 13 m | Show | |
8* Purdue With these larger 5-game reports, I'll keep my analysis much more "succinct" than I normally do. Yes, the Yale Bulldogs have been decent defensively, but this Bulldogs team DOES NOT have the legs to keep up with the high-flying Boilermakers. The Bulldogs managed the upset over Princeton in the conference tournament, but the time off between games won't help with this underdogs chemistry. Purdue's defense isn't the best, but it doesn't have to be here. Yale is a small team, and Purdue is filled with giants. This is going to be a blowout of epic proportions; the play is Purdue! AAA Sports |
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03-18-22 | Jacksonville State +16.5 v. Auburn | 61-80 | Loss | -110 | 101 h 53 m | Show | |
8* Jacksonville State With these larger 5-game reports, I'll keep my analysis much more "succinct" than I normally do. These teams feature a couple of really dynamic players in Auburn's Jabari Smith Jr. Smith and Jacksonville State's 6-foot-10 center Brandon Huffman and 6-foot-11 center Maros Zeliznak. I think Auburn will go up early, and then take the foot off the gas. Jacksonville State did lose to the only other ranked team it played this year, but it was a tight affair, as it lost 65-59 to Alabama in December. No outright, but closer than expected; the play is Jacksonville State! AAA Sports |
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03-17-22 | San Francisco -1.5 v. Murray State | Top | 87-92 | Loss | -110 | 87 h 38 m | Show |
10* SAN FRANCISCO (FIRST RND GOY) Yes, the Murray State Racers have a 30-2 record, but all good things have to come to an end. This is an underrated Dons side which I believe has the advantage here. San Francisco finished 24-9. The Dons finished second behind Gonzaga of course. They lost 81-71 to the Bulldogs this year as 14.5-point underdogs. The Dons average 77.1 PPG, while conceding 67. The Racers average 79.3 and allow 62.3. San Fran's 2 best players are listed as questionable, but expect them both to be playing in this do or die situation. Murray State comes from the weaker conference and is overrated; the play is the Dons! AAA Sports |
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03-17-22 | Sharks v. Kings OVER 5.5 | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 31 m | Show |
10* OVER (EXPRESS) San Jose and LA won't be lacking for motivation tonight. The Sharks are off a 3-2 OT loss to Florida. They've now loshttps://www.bigal.com/handicapper/leagues/7/events/1359925?bet_type=over_undert 8 of their last 10. The last time they faced LA though they hammered it by a score of 5-0 just last week. LA does indeed play with revenge here after that setback (and note that the Kings have seen the total eclipse the posted number in 7 of their last 11 in trying to revenge a shutout loss against an opponent.) And with a tough game at home against Colorado tomorrow night, the Sharks can't leave anything for granted here in LA either. So with each side pushing the pace from the opening face off until the final horn, expect this total to fly well "over" the posted number! AAA Sports |
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03-17-22 | Pistons v. Magic UNDER 219 | Top | 134-120 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 39 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) These two teams are looking towards the future as the 2021/22 season comes down the stretch. It's been a disaster for each side, but both team's knew it would be a difficult and humbling rebuilding season. However all of that said, each side has been playing significantly better and more competitively over the last month or so. Detroit bettors have been laughing all the way to the bank of late, as they've covered in 9 of their last 10 (incl. a 105-98 setback at Miami most recently.) Orlando bettors have covered in 7 of their last 10. The Magic though can't be happy after their terrible 150-108 home loss to Brooklyn in their most recent outing (that works to our advantage though, as Orlando has seen the total go "under" in 8 of its last 11 in a SU/ATS home loss of 35 or more points.) Expect these hungry young cellar dwellers to battle to a tight, but lower-scoring under on Thursday night! AAA Sports |