Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-12-23 | North Alabama +18 v. Liberty | Top | 54-72 | Push | 0 | 10 h 20 m | Show |
10* North Alabama (MID-MAJOR MAULING) North Alabama is 9-8, and Liberty is 12-5. The Lions come in as the "hungrier" team here after three straight losses. It hasn't been for a lack of trying though, most recently falling 95-85 to Stetson in OT. North Alabama averages 74.9 PPG, while the Liberty Flames average 75.1. The Flames enter off a tight 62-59 loss to EKU last time out and I think they come out a bit flat here against their lowly opponent. Clearly I'm not calling for the outright victory, but I do think the stage is set for a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; the play is North Alabama! AAA Sports |
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01-11-23 | Spurs v. Grizzlies UNDER 239 | Top | 129-135 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 36 m | Show |
10* UNDER Spurs/Grizzlies (SOUTHWEST DIV TOM) I think this is a great situational play on the "under." These teams played here tow nights ago and the Grizzlies won by a sore of 121-113, the total sailing "over" the number of 233.5 in that one. Now tonight's total is significantly higher than that, but now a little too high in my estimation. Memphis has now seen the total go "over" the number in four straight, which is significant to note here in our case, as the Grizzlies have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. The Spurs have seen the total go OVER the number in nine of their last ten now. That said, San Antonio still only averages 112 PPG, which ranks 23rd in the league. With an upcoming international game agianst the Warriors on Friday, I expect the visitors to get caught "looking ahead" as well. This number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-11-23 | Capitals v. Flyers OVER 6 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
10* OVER Capitals/Flyers (ASSASSIN) From a situational stand point, I think this one sets up to a very explosive, high-scoring "shootout." Washington has been trading wins and losses over its last seven games. It's off the 1-0 win at home over Columbus. It's seen the total go "under" in three straight, which is significant to note here in our case, as the Capitals have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Philadelphia is playing its best hockey of the season, having won five of its last six. That includes a 4-0 victory at red hot Buffalo last time out. Philly plays with revenge here after a 4-1 defeat to the Capitals in December, which is also significant for us to note, as Philly has seen the total go "over" the number in five of its last six in trying to avenge a loss against an opponent in which it was held to one or less goals in. As I said off the top, from situational stand point, this one sets up great to be a high-scoring "over!" AAA Sports |
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01-11-23 | Western Carolina v. Chattanooga -9 | Top | 76-95 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
10* Chatanooga (SOUTHERN GOY) Western Carolina is 10-7, while Chattanooga is 9-7. The Catamounts are averaging 76.4 PPG, while allowing 67.1. The Mocs though are averaging 78.8 PPG, while conceding 68.9. The Mocs have played the more difficult schedule. The Catamounts can't be trusted on the road. Chattanooga will not "look past" its opponent today, instead it comes in prepared to play a full four quarters of basketball; lay the points, the play is the Mocs! AAA Sports |
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01-10-23 | Temple v. Tulsa +4 | Top | 76-72 | Push | 0 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
10* Tulsa (SUPER BLOWOUT) Last Februray Temple secured the 67-58 win over Tulsa, but I think the home side will, at the very least, keep this one tight until the final moments. Temple is coming off an 87-76 loss to Tulane. Overall the Owls are averaging 69.2 PPG, while allowing 69.1. Tulsa is only 4-10 overall SU, and just 1-13 ATS. I say this lop-sided ATS record starts to "correct" itself. Tulsa averages 68.1 PPG, while allowing 75.9. I don't trust the Owls offense on the road whatsoever, despite Tulsa's issues; grab the points, the play is the Golden Hurricane! AAA Sports |
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01-10-23 | Hornets v. Raptors -7 | Top | 120-132 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
10* Raptors (ASSASSIN) This is the first of two straight games North of the border for these teams. Charlotte is coming off a 116-111 loss at Indiana. The Raptors are off a 117-105 win over Portland. I expect a similar sort of score here tonight vs. Charlotte, which is just 6-16 on the road. Overall Charlotte averages 111.9 PPG, while conceding 118.1. The Raptors are averaging 111.2 PPG, while allowing 111.2 as well. Look for Toronto to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish in this opening contest, so to take the "wind" out of the Hornets sails tonight, while also sending a message to them in the next one. I'm laying the points, the play is Toronto! AAA Sports |
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01-10-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Sabres -110 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
10* Sabres (BOB) I think this is a great spot for Buffalo, and a great overall price. The Kraken have been on fire with five straight wins, including four straight on the road, but Buffalo plays with the added incentive of revenge here after a 5-1 defeat in Seattle in October. With a game at league-leading Boston up next, I say Seattle also gets caught "looking ahead." The Sabres have won eight of their last ten, but off a rare 4-0 home loss to Philadelphia, I think Buffalo bounces back big here in this favorable spot; the play is the Sabres! AAA Sports |
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01-09-23 | Texas Southern -10 v. Mississippi Valley State | Top | 67-71 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
10* Texas Southern (SWAC GOY) Texas Southern is just 4-12, but here's the perfect opponent to get back on track against. Mississippi Valley State is just 1-16. The Tigers are averaging 68.1 PPG, while allowing 73.6. One bright spot has been the play of Davon Barnes, who is averaging 15.1 points and 4.1 rebounds per game. The Delta Devils are averaging just 54.6 PPG this season, while conceding 76.1. They're led by Rayquan Brown, who averages 14.7 points and 7.9 boards per game. Texas Southern will not take the foot off the gas here. It's the better team and it'll be desperate for a victry here. The Delta Devils have been losing by an average of 21.5 points, and they've lost their last five by an average of 17.8. I'm rolling with Texas Southern in this one in what I believe will be a blowout from start to finish! AAA Sports |
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01-09-23 | TCU v. Georgia UNDER 64 | Top | 7-65 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 32 m | Show |
10* UNDER (TOW) The Horned Frogs were 5-7 last year, and now here they are in the National Championship Game. While the Frogs got out to a fast start vs. Michigan, I htink the Bulldogs will be ready on the defensive end from the "get go." Why is Georgia such a big favorite here? The Bulldogs have superior talent throughout all three phases. NFL level talent. And they're much bigger in the trenches. The Bulldogs will be out to impose themselves here on the Horned Frogs. I'm not expecting a shootout. The exact opposite. Look for a run-heavy, slower-paced "under" i the National Championship Game this year! AAA Sports |
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01-09-23 | Bulls v. Celtics -8.5 | Top | 99-107 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
10* Celtics (ASSASSIN) After three straight SU/ATS victories in a row, I look for the Bulls to takea step back here. They're off the 126-118 home win over the Jazz, but I say they get caught looking ahead here to their game at Washington on Wednesday as well. The Celtics actually play with revenge here, as they fell 121-107 as 5.5-point favorites to the Bulls back on November 21st. The Celtics are off back-to-back road victories, but they're still 15-5 at home. They average 118.8 PPG, which is No. 1 in the league. They're also 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent in which they were the favorite. Everything points to Boston going up early, and then keeping the foot on the gas until the final horn; lay the points, the play is the Celtics! AAA Sports |
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01-08-23 | Lions +5 v. Packers | Top | 20-16 | Win | 100 | 31 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* SUNDAY NIGHT SPECIAL on the Lions. The winner will move onto the playoffs, and the loser will go home. Detroit smashed the Bears 41-10 last week and now the Lions need to beat Green Bay and have the Hawks lose to the Rams to qualify, while the Packers only need to win this game to earn a spot. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. Detroit will actually know its fate, as Seattle plays earlier in the day, but regardless, I expect the Lions to come out play until the final whistle in this one no matter the scenario. Look for the prideful Lions to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably cover! AAA Sports |
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01-08-23 | Giants v. Eagles -14 | Top | 16-22 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 4 m | Show |
10* EAGLES (NFC EAST GOM) The Giants are locked into their spot whether they win or lose. Despite that though, a majority of the wagers are on the Giants to play "spoiler" here. New York will almost assuredly rest most or all of its starters. The Eagles have everything to play for here, as they need to win, or have both the Cowboys and 49ers lose to clinch top spot in the NFC overall. Whoever gets the call under center for the Eagles (Minshew or Hurts), I love the home side to dominate through all three phases of this game. The Giants are just thrilled their in the playoffs, it's been a massive turnaround for the G-Men. Look for the Eagles to go up early and to keep the pedal to the metal until the final whistle; lay the points, the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports |
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01-08-23 | Bucs v. Falcons -3.5 | Top | 17-30 | Win | 100 | 46 h 35 m | Show |
10* Falcons (NFC SOUTH GOM) Atlanta actually opened up as a 7.5-point favorite, and this one has since dropped to right around 4.5. I see a lot of public money on the Bucs here despite the fact that they'll almost assuredly rest most or all of their starters after clinching the NFC South last weekend. I'd say, let's give this one the good ole eye test this weekend. I'm going to go contrarian here. I think the public is wrong on this one. Tom Brady and Mike Evans got their act together last week to clinch, but overall this has been a really difficult year for the Bucs. And that's for many different reasons obviously, but injury was the biggest reason for the slight step back this year for Tampa Bay. The Falcons are 6-10 after beating the Cardinals 20-19 last weekend. Atlanta could have easily thrown in the towel, but its still playing hard here at the end of the year. It also plays with revenge here after a 21-15 loss to Tampa in Week 5. I think Desmond Ridder and the Falcons are the correct call. This is their SUPER BOWL, final home game of the season, there's no way they lose this one to the Buccaneers backups; lay the points, the play is the Falcons! AAA Sports |
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01-08-23 | Loyola Maryland +2.5 v. Holy Cross | Top | 55-63 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 44 m | Show |
10* Loyola Maryland (PATRIOT LEAGUE GOY) Both teams are 5-11. This is a case that I feel that whichever team has its hands on the ball last is going to win this one, and in cases like that, I'll gladly grab the points. Both teams are 5-11 and hungry for a victory today. The Greyhounds are led by Jaylin Andrews with 11.3 PPG. They're coming off a 78-55 loss to Army and they average 65.4 PPG. Holy Cross is off a 73-69 OT loss to American. Gerrale Gates leads the Crusaders with 17.6 PPG. Overall they average 66.6 PPG. The depth that the Greyhounds bring to the table tonight gives them a very legitimate shot to win this contest outright; grab the points, the play is Loyola Maryland! AAA Sports |
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01-07-23 | Bruins v. Sharks UNDER 6.5 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 23 m | Show |
10* UNDER Bruins/Sharks (NON-CONF TOY) I base my picks on many different things. This particular one sets up well from a "situational" stand point in my opinion. The Sharks have seen the total go "over" the number in eight straight games. That includes in last night's 5-4 OT loss at Anaheim. I believe that fatigue will be a major factor here for the Sharks in the second game of the back-to-back. The Bruins aren't going to have to run up this score to win this game. That said, I'm not going to lay this road chalk either. The safter wager is on the total. The Bruins are at the Ducks tomorrow night as well, so they'll be saving some gas in the tank for that. As I said off the top, this one checks all the boxes from a situational stand point; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-07-23 | Lakers v. Kings -9 | Top | 136-134 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 47 m | Show |
10* Kings (ASSASSIN) Sacramento beat LA 134-120 as an 8.5-point favorite back on December 21st and I am anticipating an identical final score here as well basically. Yes, the Lakers have been playing better, but off four straight wins, including a 130-114 victory at home over the Hawks just last night, look for the visitors to come in fatigued, likely resting starters. The Kings are still in first in the Pacific division, but the revenge factor for LA goes out the window in my opinion as Sacramento is 7-2 ATS in its last nine off a SU/ATS home loss in which it allowed 120 or more points in (lost 120-117 to the Hawks as two-point favs.) WIth Orlando coming to town next, followed by two straight at home against the Rockets, this is a PRIME spot for the Kings to start their new win streak; lay the points, the play is Sacramento! AAA Sports |
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01-07-23 | Titans +6.5 v. Jaguars | Top | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 29 h 6 m | Show |
10* Titans (WINNER) The AFC South all comes down to this. The winner moves on and the loser goes home. The Jaguars have won five of their last six, including four straight. Trevor Lawrence has been nearly unstoppable. Tennessee has lost six straight, but the one thing the Titans have going for them I guess is that they last played the following Thursday in a 27-13 loss at home to Dallas, so they'e had a couple extra days off. And that should help running back Derrick Henry, but it's not going to bring back quarterback Ryan Tannehill. That means that Josh Dobbs will make his second straight start for the Titans. The Titans to their credit rested a lot of their starters in last week's loss, knowing that it was do or die here in Week 18. One other thing the Titans have going for them is that they also do play with revenge here as they lost 36-22 at home as three-point favorites back in Week 14 to the Jaguars. The bottom line here though is that in my opinion Henry is such a great player for Tennessee that I think he can single-handidly keep his team in this one (he rushed for 121 yards on 7.1 yards per carry in the last loss.) Dobbs should be able to improve on his effort in last week's loss, he was 20 of 39 for 232 passing yards, a touchdown and an interception. The Titans are quite good against the run as well, which should limit Travis Etinne this week. Lawrence and the Jaguars are in uncharted territory and I've been on Jacksonville a few times during this recent run, but I think Tennessee offers great value here in an upset role. While I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset my official call will be to grab as many points as you can with the Titans in what I believe will be war until the final whistle! AAA Sports |
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01-06-23 | Islanders v. Flames -1.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 135 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
10* Flames (NON-CONF PUCKLINE GOY) I think this one sets up well for a big Calgary win. The Islanders are fatigued after a 4-2 loss in Edmonton just last night. This is the end of a difficult little three-game Western swing. After this the Isles have three whole nights off before a home-stand. I say the visitors get caught looking ahead and they come out flat here. The Flames won't be feeling the same way. They're off a 3-2 loss at Winnipeg in their latest outing, snapping a two-game win streak. They play with revenge here after falling 4-3 on Long Island back in November, and they also hit the road for five straight after this contest, making tonight's effort that much more important. I look for Calgary to not only win this game, but to do so in comfortable fashion; the play is the Flames on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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01-06-23 | Blazers +1.5 v. Pacers | Top | 99-108 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
10* Blazers (ASSASSIN) Four players average double figures for the Blazers. The public is all over the Pacers here, but I think this one sets up well for the visiting side to not only cover, but to win this game outright. Overall Lillard and the Blazers average 112.8 PPG, and allow 112 PPG. Indiana has been playing decently of late, but off a loss in OT at Philly in its last game, I think a classic letdown is in the cards here. The Pacers have coverd in five straight, but I think a letdown is finally imminent. Overall the Pacers average 115.8 PPG, and allow 116.1. Look for Portland to dig deep here and deliver on the road! AAA Sports |
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01-06-23 | Western Michigan v. Toledo UNDER 156.5 | Top | 74-102 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
10* WMU/Toledo UNDER (MAC TOY) WMU is 4-10, while Toledo is 9-5. The Rockets have won the MAC regular season title in each of the last two seasons, but this year's version seems a step behind. Note that both teams are still looking for its first conference win of the season. The Broncos only average 68.6 PPG, so the last thing they can do here is turn this into a "shootout" and expect to hang with the Rockets. WMU is terrible on the road, 0-7 so far. The Rockets come in somewhat complacent after winning 11 straight in this series. Toledo is averaging 84.9 PPG this year, but it won't need to run up the score here to win and control this contest from the ouset. The Rockets are actually off a poor 90-83 loss to Ball State here at home, so I expect them to double down defensively. For all the reasons listed above, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-05-23 | Bruins -155 v. Kings | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
8* Bruins (SPECIAL) Two really good teams here, but I think the value does indeed lie with the road favorite. The Bruins are off a 2-1 home win over Pittsburgh, but they play with the added incentive of revnege here, as the Kings are one of the few teams to give them a loss with their current 29-4-1-3 record. LA won 3-2 at Boston in mid-December. LA is off the 3-2 home win over the Stars, but with a date at Vegas up ext, I think it'll come out flat here tonight. The bottom line is, I think the "revenge" factor will be all the motivation that Boston needs to win big tonight; lay the price, the play is the Bruins! AAA Sports |
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01-05-23 | Clippers +5.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 91-122 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 41 m | Show |
10* Clippers (ASSASSIN) I like the Clippers to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. LA is off the 110-100 home loss to the Heat. The Clippers have now lost three straight, which is significant to note in our case here as LA is 7-3 ATS in its last ten after three or more SU losses in a row. With a game at Minnesota tomorrow, the Clippers are going to have to put their full focus on Denver tonight. They also play with the added incentive of revnge here after falling 114-104 to the Nuggets back in November. Denver just had its five-game win streak snapped in a listless 124-111 setback at Minnesota. Cleveland comes to town tomorrow, and I say the Nuggets do get caught looking ahead to that one vs. the red hot Donavan Mitchell. The outright is possible, but the official will be to grab the points with LA! AAA Sports |
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01-05-23 | Texas State +12.5 v. James Madison | Top | 63-62 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
10* Texas State (SUN BELT GOY) These two teams are on opposite ends of the spectrum in this conference, but that's only helped in adding a few points extra onto this Texas State spread than normal. The Bobcats are 7-8 after a tight 55-52 loss to Troy on New Year's Eve. James Madison has been great, it's 11-4 after a 72-66 outright win over Marshall in its last game as 4.5-point dog. But I think the Dukes get caught complacent here now facing their lowly opponent. Texas State only averages 65.7 PPG, but it makes up for it on the other end by allowing just 65.5. James Madison is averging 89.7 PPG, while allowing 65.3. But I think the Dukes take the foot off the gas here in the second half. Look for Texas State's tough defensive play to keep it in this game late. No outright upset or anything, but a comfortable cover here for Texas State! AAA Sports |
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01-04-23 | Grizzlies v. Hornets +8 | Top | 131-107 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 28 m | Show |
10* Hornets (ASSASSIN) I think this is a great spot for hungry Charlotte. The Hornets are coming off B2B blowout home losses to the Nets and Lakers, but with a four-game upcoming road-trip, they'll be eager to snap that slide and to also avenge a 130-99 loss to the Grizz back in early November. Note that Charlotte is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent in which it was held to 99 or less points in. The Grizz have been great. They're 23-13 overall, but note that they're just 8-10 on the road. They're off three straight SU/ATS victories in a row, which is significant to note in our case as Memphis just 1-4 ATS in its last five after three or more SU/ATS wins in a row. And with a game at Orlando tomorrow night, this also sets up as a "look-ahead" spot for the visiting side; no outright, but closer than expected, the play is Charlotte! AAA Sports |
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01-04-23 | Devils v. Red Wings UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
10* UNDER Devils/Wings (TOTAL EXPRESS) The Devils are off a 5-4 shootout home loss to Carolina, but I'm expecting a much more defensive affair here in Detroit on Wednesday night. The Wings play with revenge here after losing 6-2 at New Jersey in October. That's significant to note here though as Detroit has seen the total go "under" the number in five of its last six in trying to avenge a three goals or greater road loss against an opponent. The Wings have won three of their last four and in my opinion, everything points to a much more defensive affair than this O/U line is suggesting tonight; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-04-23 | Villanova v. Georgetown +10 | Top | 73-57 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
10* Georgetown (DESTRUCTION) I like the 5-10 Hoyas to keep this one close down the stretch vs. 7-7 Villanova. The Wildcats are off a disappointing 68-66 home loss to Marquette as 2.5-point favorites, and with a game at home vs. 12-3 Conference leading Xavier this weekend, not only does this set up as a natural letdwn sport for the visiting side, but also as a "look-ahead" position as well. Letdown + look-ahead = trap game! Georgetown averages 73.8 PPG, despite an 80-51 loss to Butler last time out. Villanova averages 70.3 PPG. Of course, the difference comes on the defensive end, but I think the Hoyas are catching the Wildcats at an opportune time. In a game that I see coming down to the wire, I'm grabbing the points! AAA Sports |
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01-03-23 | San Jose State v. Boise State -10 | Top | 64-67 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 41 m | Show |
10* Boise State (MW GOY) After three straight victories, I think the SJSU comes back down to Earth here in this difficult road venue. San Jose State is coming off a 78-70 win over Colorado State to move to 11-4. Boise State is 10-4, but 0-1 in league play. The Broncos come in as the much more motivated side after B2B losses, including a 74-72 setback to Nevada last time out. Despite the Spartans recent success, they're still averaging just 69.8 PPG, while allowing 65.5. The Broncos though are on a different level in my estimation, as they average 70.7 PPG, while conceding just 59.4. Boise State's schedule has been much more difficult and off the consecutive losses, I look for the Broncos to take out their frustrations on the Spartans and keep the foot on the gas until the final buzzer sounds; the play is Boise State! AAA Sports |
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01-03-23 | Wizards v. Bucks OVER 226.5 | Top | 113-123 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
10* Wizards/Bucks OVER (NON-DIV TOM) Gambling on sports is all about uncovering "great situations." And when you combine that with some strong evidence from the past, that's when you are able to narrow things down and come up with a really strong opinion. THat's the case here. The Wizards are rolling right, winners of five in a row. That includes a 118-95 victory here in Milwaukee two nights ago. Note that the Bucks have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent in which they were held to 99 or fewer points in. Whether Giannis plays or not tonight (he didn't last time for the Bucks), I'm expecting a much more wide-open pace to this one; for all the reasons listed above, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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01-03-23 | Sabres +1.5 v. Capitals | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
Sabres PUCK-LINE (BIG-CHALK DESTRUCTION) In what I believe will be a very competitive game, decided in the final moments, or perhaps even in extra time, I'm going to lay the larger price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance. Buffalo just had its six-game win streak snapped in 3-1 loss at Ottawa last time out. It still leads the league in scoring though with 3.91 GPG. The Sabres are 10-7 on the road and I think they'll give the Capitals everything they can handle tonight in the Nation's capital. Washington has won eight of its last ten, but off the 9-2 home victory over Montreal, I'm expecting a drop-off in concnetration here finally. It's the first matchup of the year between the clubs and all signs point to an all out war; lay the price, the play is Buffalo on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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01-02-23 | Heat v. Clippers UNDER 220.5 | Top | 110-100 | Win | 100 | 14 h 10 m | Show |
10* UNDER Heat/Clippers (EAST-CONF TOW) I think this is a great spot to pull the trigger on the "under." Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games, but everything points to much more of a defensive affair here. Miami has seen the total go "over" the number in three of its last four. That includes in its first two road games here. Despite that though, the Heat still only average 109 PPG, which ranks 30th in the league. Off the 126-123 win at Utah, I expect a much more defensive affair here in La La Land. The Clippers have seen the total go "over" the number in five of their last, including in their lastest 131-130 loss at Indiana last time out. That was in regulation. 261 points is a lot of points. After this non-conference game, the Clippers have three whole nights off before the start of B2B at Denver and Minnesota. It's a bit of a trap game for the home side. The overall situation points to the "under" as the correct call! AAA Sports |
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01-02-23 | Florida Gulf Coast v. Central Arkansas +10.5 | Top | 84-79 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
10* Central Arkansas (ASUN GOY) When these two played last February, FGCU won 95-93 in OT and I'm expecting another tighter battle here tonight as well. Florida Gulf Coast is off the 72-65 win over Jacksonville. They average 72.5 PPG, while allowing 66.4. Central Arkansas is only 5-9 after an 82-68 loss to Kennesaw State last time out. Central Arkansas has so far averaged 72.9 PPG, while allowing 80.4. The offense of Central Arkansas will keep it competitive late, and while I'll stop short in calling for an outright upset, everything points to a comfortable ATS cover in my opinion; grab the points, the play is Central Arkansas! AAA Sports |
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01-02-23 | Utah v. Penn State OVER 52 | Top | 21-35 | Win | 100 | 627 h 29 m | Show |
10* OVER Penn State/Utah (BOWL TOY) It's the "Granddaddy of 'Em All," with the Big Ten facing off against the Pac 12. Penn State brings in a great offense led by veteran QB Sean Clifford, who is playing his final game. He's aided by dynamic RB Nicholas Singleton, who is averaging 6.3 yards per carry. The Nittany Lions are going to have to be sharp offensively facing this "on fire" Utah offense, that's posted 110 points over its last two games, including in securing the Pac 12 title over USC. QB Cameron Rising had 300 yards passing and three TD's in that one. This year's Rose Bowl features two awesome QB's and I look for them to be the main story line in tomorrow's summaries of this contest; this number is low, the play is the over! AAA Sports |
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01-02-23 | Tulane +2.5 v. USC | Top | 46-45 | Win | 100 | 646 h 18 m | Show |
10* Tulane (BOWL GOY) USC comes in off a tragic 47-24 loss to Utah in the PAC 12 Championship Game and I think it'll just go through the motions here after that disapointment. A trip to the College Football Playoff was on the line, but the Utes managed an impressive second victory of the season over the over-rated Trojans. Listen, I get it, USC can score. The Trojans average 41.1 PPG, which ranks third in the country. The issue is clearly on the defensive end. Overall I think the PAC 12 is a week Conference. Tulane comes in off an impressive 45-28 destruction of UCF to earn the AAC title and finish 11-2. The Green Wave are more motivated and hungry here. They average 35.2 PPG, but they have a superior defense. USC QB Caleb Williams was injured in the loss to Utah, and if he does play in this one, clearly he won't be at 100%; while I do think the outright win is possible, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can with the Green Wave! AAA Sports |
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01-01-23 | Steelers v. Ravens OVER 35 | Top | 16-13 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* AFC NORTH TOM on the OVER Pitt/Bal. I'm expecting this total to eclipse the posted number as the game comes down the stretch. The Steelers are rolling, as they've won two straight and three of their last four. They're going to have their hands full here though with a Ravens side that plays with revenge after losing 16-14 at Pittsburgh in December (note that Baltimore though has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS divisional road loss against an opponent in which it was held to 14 or less points in.) Baltimore is off a 17-9 win over ATL last week and it's won 3 of its last 4 despite the QB issues with LaMar Jackson. I think the home side opens up the playbook this weekend for Tyler Huntley now. Look for this total sneak "over the number once the final whistle sounds! AAA Sports |
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01-01-23 | Wizards v. Bucks UNDER 226.5 | Top | 118-95 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
10* UNDER Wizards/Bucks (EC TOW) I think this one sets up well as being a much more defensive affair than what this O/U line is suggesting. I think Washington finally has a letdown here after four straight victories. This is the start of two-straight between the clubs here in Milwaukee, and I expect the Bucks to lay the hammer down defensively and take all hopes of a high-scoring shootout for the Wizards off the table. MIlwaukee is 15-2 at home. The Bucks though only average 112.9 PPG, which ranks 17th in the league. Giannis and company get the job done most nights with a trapping defense and that's what I'm expecting here. Look for the home side to slow this one down in an attempt to dictate the action. Overall as I stated off the top, this one sets up great for a lower-scoring battle from a situational stand-point; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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01-01-23 | Sabres v. Senators -128 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
10* Senators (ASSASSIN) Buffalo has sure been great of late, but after six straight wins, inclding a 4-3 OT victory at league-leading Boston just last night, I finally expect a predictable letdown here. Right after New Year's Eve as well. Fatigue is a major issue here for the overachieving Sabres. The Senators are off a 3-2 loss here to surging Detroit, but they're no pushovers this season. They're 9-8-1 at home despite the loss last night. This one favors the home side, who would have gotten a much better nights sleep with no travel; great overall line value here, as Ottawa takes full advantage in my opinion! AAA Sports |
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01-01-23 | Butler v. Georgetown +3.5 | Top | 80-51 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
10* Georgetown (BIG EAST GOM) The Bulldogs are 8-5, but they're off a 72-52 loss to Providence as 3-point favorites. I think that Butler will once again have it hands full here on the road against Hoyas team looking to rebound off a tight 83-78 loss to DePaul as a 3.5-point underdog. Butler only averages 69.9 PPG, second lowest in the conference. Georgetown is averaging 75.8 PPG, but it's conceding 77.5. That said, the Hoyas catch a break defensively tonight facing this inconsistent Butler offense. This one means more to Georgetown. After a hot start Butler is cooling off; while I do think the outright is possible, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with Georgetown! AAA Sports |
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01-01-23 | Jets -1.5 v. Seahawks | Top | 6-23 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
10* Jets (CONTRARIAN CRUSHER) This is a HUGE game for both sides. Both need a victory here to keep their playoff hopes alive. The Jets Lost 19-3 to the Jaguars last week and they've lost four in a row. Seattle is off a 24-10 loss at Kansas City, and it's lost three straight. In Mike White's three starts for New York though, the Jets are averaging 21.7 PPG and 420.3 yards. The Jets are great defensively as well, allowing just 18.8 points and 309.3 YPG. I think Geno Smith, who started out the season brilliantly but who has predictably faded over the last few weeks with his performance, will once again have a difficult time moving the ball as well. Seattle concedes a terrible 25.3 PPG. Look for the Jets to take full advantage; lay the short points! AAA Sports |
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01-01-23 | Tulsa v. SMU -7.5 | 67-92 | Win | 100 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
8* SMU (ATS BLOOD-BATH) Tulsa is 4-8 and SMU is 5-8. The Golden Hurricanes have lost all their bluster though, as they've lost seven of their last nine games, failing to cover in any of those matchups. Most recently it was an 89-50 defeat to Houston. On the year Tulsa is averaging 67.4 PPG. SMU is trending in the other direction. It's managed two wins in its last three games. Most recently it was an 58-57 loss to Hawaii in the Championship Game fo the Diamond Head Classic. The Mustangs are battling right now and I think they take out their frustrations here on the Mustangs. SMU is averaging 68.2 PPG and I think its much better defensively as well. Or at least, this is a great matchup for it. SMU holds an average marging of victory of nine poitns over the last ten in this series and I expect that trend to continue; lay the points, the play is SMU! AAA Sports |
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01-01-23 | Jaguars v. Texans +3 | 31-3 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
8* Houston (SITUATIONAL PLAY) With a chance to play spoiler here at home, I like the hungry Texans to give the surging Jaguars everything they can handle. Houston has quietly been getting the job done for bettors over the last month, winining three straight ATS. They went toe-to-toe with Dallas and KC and then beat Tennessee outright 19-14 last week. Davis Mills and company won't be going down without a fight; that said, grab as many points as you can with the Texans! AAA Sports |
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12-31-22 | Mavs v. Spurs UNDER 227 | Top | 126-125 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
10* UNDER Mavs/Spurs (ASSASSIN) Anyone that's followed me for any length of time knows that I base my picks on MANY different things. I've always felt that the best way to secure profits over the long-term is to be flexible with your approach. Sometimes it's necessary to completely dissect a game, looking at every tiny factor possible, but other times a more "common sense" approach is the best way to handicap. And that's the case here for this one. Both sides have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I'm finally expecting a more defensive affair here. Dallas is coming off three straight high-scoring home victories (note though that the Mavericks have seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight OVERs in a row.) San Antonio is coming off a 122-115 home win over New York, and it's now seen the total fly "over" the number in five straight (which is significant to note for us, as the Spurs have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row.) The overall situation that each team finds itself in coming into this one, combined with the strong O/U ATS stats listed above, makes the "under" the correct call in this on in my opinion! AAA Sports |
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12-31-22 | TCU v. Michigan -7 | Top | 51-45 | Loss | -110 | 602 h 60 m | Show |
10* Michigan (DEC BOWL 'GOM') TCU messed up in its 31-28 loss at home to TCU. Or did it? It's still in the College Football Playoff, but I think the loss is a precursor to more of a decline here at the end of the month. The Horned Frogs average 40.3 PPG, but they were handled well by the Wildcats' defense, which doesn't bode well facing this aggressive Wolverines unit. Michigan comes in fired up after its 43-22 win over Purdue in the Big Ten Championship game, going on to easily cover the 16 point spread. Michigan averages 40.1 PPG, but as I mentioned above, it's defense is superior in my opinion, and much more battle tested when you look at the level of competition. The win at Ohio State was epic. The Wolverines are well-coached and I expect them to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable cover and win; lay the points, the play is the Wolverines! AAA Sports |
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12-31-22 | Predators v. Golden Knights -160 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
8* Knights (BLOWOUT) No need to overthink this one. The Predators are just 6-8-2-0 on the road this year, while the Knights are 10-9 at home. Nashville though enters off an ultra-rare 6-1 win at Anaheim just yesterday, and I think it'll come in with "heavy legs" in the back-to-back scenario. Also, despite yesterday's big offensive outburst, the Preds still only average 2.59 GPG. Vegas will be eager to return to form here after falling 3-2 in a shootout at Anaheim in its most recent outing. But despite the setback, the Knights are still averaging 3.24 GPG. After two straight losses, look for Las Vegas to risk life and limb getting into shooting and passing lanes to secure a victory here at home against the tired visiting side! AAA Sports |
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12-31-22 | Iowa -2.5 v. Kentucky | 21-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 39 m | Show | |
8* Iowa (WINNER) Why will Iowa win and cover in this game? Its defense was great all year, especially against bad or mediocre QB's. The Hawkeyes held llsix teams to ten points or less this season, which includes a 24-3 win over a good Purdue offense. Additionally, Kentucky's best and most skilled player, Levis, has already opted out and the Wildcats will likely have to turn to Destin Wade, who hasn't even taken a snap on the College level! The difference in this one is Iowa's great defense; lay the short points with confidence! AAA Sports |
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12-31-22 | Wisc-Milwaukee +8 v. Detroit | Top | 84-81 | Win | 100 | 4 h 7 m | Show |
10* Milwaukee (HORIZON LEAGUE GOM) Milwaukee enters at 8-5. I'm going to stop short in calling for an outright upset, but all signs point to this game coming "right down to the wire." Detroit is 6-8, and 4-0 at home, but I think the Titans'll have their hands full today. The Panthers won't be lacking motivation after starting out 1-4 on the road. They fell 83-61 at Oakland most recently. Detroit is coming off a win over Green Bay, but previous to that it dropped three in a row. These team's offensive and defensive numbers are similar. Look for the hungry Panthers to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to earn the comfortable ATS victory; grab the points, the play is Milwaukee! AAA Sports |
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12-30-22 | Wolves v. Bucks UNDER 227.5 | Top | 114-123 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
10* UNDER Wolves/Bucks (ASSASSIN) These teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we can expect a very defensive one here in my opinion finally. Minnesota is off the heart-breaking 119-118 loss at New Orleans. It's seen the total go "over" the number in three straight, but note that the Wolves have seen the total go "under" in five of their last six after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Minnesota returns home for a much more "winnable" game vs. Detroit as well, so I think the visitors get caught "looking ahead" and will simply "go through the motions" at the end of the game. The Bucks only average 112.6 PPG, which ranks 17th. They're off a 119-113 OT home loss to the Bulls, so they'll be eager to double down defensively after that loss of concentration last time out. Look for this non-conference contest to result in a lower-scoring affair; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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12-30-22 | Buffalo v. Michigan State -15 | Top | 68-89 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
10* Michigan State (BEST OF BEST) I think the 6-6 Bulls, who are 0-2 on the road, will stumble and fall here after winning five of their last seven. MSU is 4-1 at home already, and it comes in red hot after three straight victories. The Bulls were blown out in both of their road games already this season and everything points to another beatdown here; look for MSU's defense to be the big differnce-maker and lay the points with confidence! AAA Sports |
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12-30-22 | South Carolina +3.5 v. Notre Dame | Top | 38-45 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
10* South Carolina (ASSASSIN) If you want a full review of how each team did throughout the year, there's literally tens of millions of "review" articles out there. ESPN etc. If you simply want to know why I think South Carolina will win this game, then you've come to the right place. I like being succinct with my analysis, as I truly believe the clients who purchase this information, would rather just "get to the point," than read an entire "novel" of why I believe one side or another should win. Both teams finished up strong, but without Notre Dame's best player in this one, Mayer, and its starting QB Pyne, the value here swings to the Gamecocks. South Carolina's offense started to hit its stride at the end of the season, scoring more than 30 points in its final two games. While the outright is possible, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with the Gamecocks! AAA Sports |
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12-29-22 | Washington v. Texas -3 | Top | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
10* Texas (ATS BLOOD-BATH) The Longhorns finished 8-4 after beating Kansas and Baylor to end the regular season. Their two best RB's will be out for this one, and that's why this spread is so low. Despite that though, I like the rest of this team to step up and deliver the goods. Quinn Ewers has a big opportunity now to showcase his talents for Texas under center, and I think he'll be a big difference-maker in this Bowl game. The Longhorns defense was great as well, limiting teams to just 21.2 PPG. Washington is 10-2. It closed out the season with a 51-33 win over WSU in the Apple Cup. QB Michael Penix Jr. was decent, but he struggles against aggressive pass-rushing defenses like the Longhorns. The Huskies defense concedes 26.3 PPG as well. Look for TEXAS to do just enough to secure the win and cover! AAA Sports |
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12-29-22 | Cowboys v. Titans +13 | Top | 27-13 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* ASSASSIN on the Titans. Dallas came from behind to knock off PHiladelphia at home by a score of 40-34 last weekend, but I think it'll struggle to cover this large spread on the road and on the short week, despite the personel issues that Tennessee has right now. The Cowboys looked terrible defensively last week. The Titans are still in the mix for a playoff spot, sitting at 7-8 and in second place in the AFC SOuth. They've lost five straight games, but note that they're 7-2 ATS in their last nine after three or more SU losses. The Titans lost 19-14 to an improved Texans team last week with Malik Willis under center. I think the rookie benefits from that experience and will be much more efficient this evening though; look for the hungry Titans to play with pride, and to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch; grabe the points! AAA Sports |
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12-29-22 | Knicks v. Spurs UNDER 229.5 | Top | 115-122 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
10* UNDER Knicks/Spurs (BOB) Both of these teams have played to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. New York is coming off a brutal 126-121 loss to Dallas, while San Antonio is coming ff a 130-114 setback to Oklahoma City. The Knicks won't be fooling around today though in my estimation after four straight losses. I believe they'll double down hard on the defensive end to try and snap the slide. The Spurs are just 6-12 at home. Note that they've seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 after a SU/ATS home loss of 15 or more points. This O/U line is elevated now in my opinion. Look for each side to play more aggressive defense tonight, and that'll help in driving this total well "under" the number once the final horn blares! AAA Sports |
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12-29-22 | CS Bakersfield +10.5 v. Cal-Riverside | Top | 59-71 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 3 m | Show |
l0* CSU Bakersfield (BIG WEST GOY) UC Riverside won its last game, beating Portland at home, but I think it'll get caught "looking past" its lowly opponent tonight. Cal State won't be lacking for motivation today after falling 56-48 to Fresno State. This is a battle of strengths, as the Highlanders have the better offense, while the Roadrunners have the better defense. But with a tougher game at Long Beach State up next, I think the home side'll get caught looking ahead and ultimately take the foot off the gas in the second half. Look for the hungry visiting side to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch; grab the points, the play is CSU Bakersfield! AAA Sports |
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12-29-22 | Minnesota -10.5 v. Syracuse | 28-20 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
8* Minnesota (BLOWOUT) The Orange are 7-5, but they were terrible down the stretch, losing five of their last six. The main culprit was the offense which failed to score even ten points in setbacks to Florida State and Pitt. The Gophers finished 8-4 and likely benefited in playing in a weak Big Ten West. Despite each team finishing with decent records, neither had a fantastic year. The Orange were downright terrible down the stretch though and I look for the Gophers more balanced attack to be too much for them to handle down the stretch; lay the points, the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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12-28-22 | Colorado State +6.5 v. New Mexico | Top | 69-88 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
10* Colorado State (ATS BLOOD-BATH) Colorado State is 8-5 and New Mexico is 12-0. I'm not calling for an outright upset here, but I do think the stage is set or a much closer/tighter battle than what this spread is suggesting. The Rams look to rebound off a 73-64 loss at USC. They average 76.2 PPG. New Mexico is averaging 84.5 PPG after smoking Prarie View A&M by a score of 94-63. But note that New Mexico is just 2-7 ATS in its last nine after a SU/ATS home win in which it score 90 or more points in. Look for the Rams underrated defense to keep this one close down the stretch; grab the points, the play is Colorado State! AAA Sports |
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12-28-22 | Magic v. Pistons +1.5 | Top | 101-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
10* Pistons (ASSASSIN) No need to overthink this one. Orlando had been the "hottest" team in the league up until last night's blowout home loss to the Lakers, winning ten straight ATS and going 8-2 SU. Now playing the second game of a B2B, I'm expecting a predictable letdown here vs. this desperate Pistons side. Detroit hits the road after this for a five-game road trip, so that puts added importance onto this contest for the home side. The Pistons held the lead in their last game vs. the Clippers for almost the the entire contest, but then allowed LA to tie it up and of course when it went to OT, Detroit failed to cover with the 6.5 points. With a chance to erase that frustrating setback from their memories, here's the perfect opponent to get untracked against; grab the points, the play is Detroit! AAA Sports |
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12-28-22 | Kansas v. Arkansas UNDER 69.5 | Top | 53-55 | Loss | -112 | 509 h 51 m | Show |
10* UNDER Kansas/Arkansas (BOWL TOM) These teams haven't played each other in over 100 years. That streak ends on December 28th at Simmons Liberty Stadium in Memphis. Kansas finished 6-6 and it's finally in a bowl game for the first time since 2006. This is a big deal for the Jayhawks and their fan base. Arkansas also finished 6-6, but that was a disappointment for the Razorbacks, who went 9-4 last year, including psoting a win in the Outback Bowl. Kansas actually started the season 5-0, but then its starting QB got hurt, Conference play started and the Jayhawks went on to lose six of their last seven. But first year head coach Lance Leipold's first season is still a success. QB Jalon Daniels did return from injury and finished with 1,470 passing yards, 13 TD's and two INT's. Kansas struggled defensively, but I think it can make some plays against Arkansas QB KJ Jefferson. The bottom line is, neither team will be suiting up their entire squad, and I believe the long lay off will have a detrimental effect on these offenses; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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12-27-22 | Oilers v. Flames -134 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -134 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
10* FLAMES (WEST-CONF GOW) The NHL returns from the Christmas Break, and I think this particular matchup favors the home side. It's always an interesting game when these Provincial rivals collide. These teams are in fact very evenly matched, as evidenced by their very similar win/loss records and their offensive and defensive numbers. The ultimate difference maker for me here though is that Calgary plays with the "revenge" factor after falling 3-2 at Edmonton in late October. Look for that to be more than enough to propel the home side to a comfortable victory here at home; lay the price, the play is the Flames! AAA Sports |
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12-27-22 | Clippers v. Raptors UNDER 219.5 | Top | 124-113 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
10* UNDER Clippers/Raptors (TOW) If you've followed me for any length of time, then you know that I base my picks on many different things. This particular one I'm basing on "common sense." The Clippers rallied late in Detroit last night to force OT, then they pulled away for the higher-scoring win and cover on the road. I say the Clippers come in fatigued here and I look for the Raptors to take advantage. They'll be playing a combination of full and half-court pressure throughout. Toronto won back-to-back road games, but it returns home still only averaging 111.4 PPG. I'm expecting a grindy, chippy, highly-contested game, and one that falls "under" the number once the final horn sounds! AAA Sports |
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12-27-22 | Utah State v. Memphis UNDER 59 | Top | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 7 h 49 m | Show |
10* UNDER (TOP BOWL TOTAL) The total in this game has come down from its opening mark, and I don't think it's low enough. Utah State will be focused on running the ball today, and that means more time will be chewed off the clock with each possessions. Memphis actually posted combined scores of under 60 over two of its final three games. In fact, these teams combined offensive scores this season add up to under 60 points. I don't think either will reach its average here. Rest leads to "rust" for sure. Granted, Memphis does have a decent passing attack. But the Aggies have hit the "under" in eight of their last nine bowl games. Expect a hard-fought, but ulimtately lower-scoring affair here; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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12-26-22 | Chargers v. Colts UNDER 45.5 | Top | 20-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
10* UNDER Chargers/Colts Everything points to a lower-scoring "under" in this one in my opinion. The first thing that strikes me here is that the Colts simply have nothing to play for anymore. They're missing their starting QB, their starting RB and they're coming off the worst loss in the history of the league. The Chargers on the other hand have everything to play for. They've won two straight and can clinch a playoff spot with bigger aspirations moving forward with a victory. That said, I can't see LA keeping the foot on the gas from start to finish. Frankly, it's not going to have to. Look for LA's underrated defense to dictate the second half and expect this total to stay well "under" this posted number! AAA Sports |
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12-26-22 | Pacers v. Pelicans -6.5 | Top | 93-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
10* Pelicans (NON-CONF GOW) Here's a great revenge play. After two straight upset road wins, I think the Pacers take a step back here tonight in New Orleans, especially as they get caught "looking ahead" to their contest at home vs. the Pacers tomorrow night. The Pels are off a 128-125 OT road at OKC. They're 13-4 at home and they do indeed play with revenge here after falling 129-122 at Indiana back on November 7th. Look for the Pacers to come out flat-footed here and for the Pels to take advantage; lay the points, the play is New Orleans! AAA Sports |
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12-26-22 | New Mexico State +3.5 v. Bowling Green | Top | 24-19 | Win | 100 | 31 h 3 m | Show |
10* New Mexico State (BOWL WINNER) While I do think the outright win is possible, in the end I'll recommend that you grab as many points as you can. New Mexico State finished 6-6, crushing Valparaiso 65-3 in its season finale. Bowling Green also finished 6-6. They lost 38-14 to Ohio in their final regular season contest. The Aggies are averaging 25.6 PPG. QB Diego Pavia had 17 total TD's this year. New Mexico State has a decent defense as well that concedes 24.3 PPG. Bowling Green averages 23.8 PPG, while allowing 33.3. The line has moved a lot in this one because of transfers etc, but in a contest that I still see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is New Mexico State! AAA Sports |
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12-25-22 | Bucs -7.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 19-16 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
10* Bucs (ASSASSIN) It's hard to imagine the Cardinals putting up much of a fight. On the flip-side though, Tom Brady and the Bucs have a golden opportunity here to start to turn things around, as they still have the division lead in the weak NFC South. If you've followed me for any length of time, then you know that I base my picks on many different things. Sometimes I break it down, looking at individual player matchups, take into account every detail I can get my hands on, and other times I think the "eye test," of the "KISS" method (Keep It Simple Stupid!), is the best approach. And that's the case here. Arizona has nothing to play for here except the role of spoiler, and I just can't see its patchwork line-up being able to do anything though. Give me Brady and the hungry Bucs in their most important game of the season! AAA Sports |
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12-25-22 | Iona v. Pepperdine UNDER 152.5 | 76-66 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
8* UNDER Iona/Pepperdine (SPECIAL) Both teams have been involved in some higher-scoring games coming into this one, but I'm expecting a much more defensive affair here finally. The Iona Gaels are 8-4, and the Pepperdine waves are 7-6. The Gaels are coming off an 83-72 win over Seattle, but note that they've seen the total go "under" in five of their last six after a SU/ATS victory. The Pepperdine Waves are coming off an 81-70 win over George Washington. These teams have been playing well offensively, but I expect each to come out flat here on Christmas Day. This O/U line is just a few points higher than it normally should/would, be, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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12-24-22 | Eagles v. Cowboys UNDER 47.5 | Top | 34-40 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
10* UNDER Eagles/Boys (NFC EAST TOM) The Eagles are 13-1, but QB Jalen Hurts is hurt and won't be playing, and because of that, I'm expecting Philly to come out today with an alternate game-plan. Dallas is off a tough OT loss to Jacksonville. Gardner Minshew is now the QB for Philadelphia and while I do think he has talent, he'll simply be a game-manager today for sure. Look for the Eagles' talented defense, which ranks sixth in allowing only 19.1 PPG. Dak Prescott had 256 yards and three TD's for Dallas last week, but it wasn't enough to beat a red hot Trevor Lawrence. This one is going to be decided by field position and special teams; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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12-24-22 | Bengals v. Patriots +3 | Top | 22-18 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
10* Patriots (BLOCKBUSTER) Who does this game mean more to? As far as the playoff picture is concerned, there's no question that it means more to the home side. I think that motivation will be enough to, at the very least, secure the comfortable ATS cover. Cincinnati is off the 34-23 beatdown win over the Bucs, while New England fell to 7-7 after a 30-24 loss to the Raiders. The Bengals return home after this to finish of their season, with games against Buffalo and Baltimore. I say the visiting side gets classically caught "looking ahead," while I do expect Mac Jones and company to risk life and limb to keep their team's hopes alive; grab the points, the play is New England! AAA Sports |
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12-24-22 | Saints v. Browns OVER 32 | 17-10 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
8* OVER Saints/Browns (SPECIAL) The Browns aren't mathematically eliminated from Playoff contention, but they will be if they lose this game. Same thing for New Orleans, who will have to win out and get some outside help to qualify. Both Andy Dalton and Taysom Hill threw a TD in New Orleans' win over Atlanta last weekend. The run defense for the Saints was smashed for 231 yards though, which doesn't bode well here facing Browns' star RB Nick Chubb. Last week Cleveland QB DeShaun Watson had a TD and 161 yards through the air, and I believe he'll have an even more efficient outing this evening. Off wins, and needing a victory to stay alive, look for these desperate teams to open up the playbook and expect this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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12-23-22 | Spurs v. Magic UNDER 228.5 | Top | 113-133 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
10* UNDER Spurs/Magic (ASSASSIN) These teams have done better than most thought so far this year. With the X-Mas break looming though, I believe each will be a bit distracted, and because of that, I'm expecting these offenses to struggle. San Antonio has seen the total go OVER the number in five of its last six, including in its most recent 126-117 loss to New Orleans. This is first meeting of the year between the clubs. Orlando is off a 116-110 win at Houston, and while the Magic have definitely been playing better of late, they still only average 109.6 PPG. For all the reasons listed above, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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12-23-22 | Jets v. Capitals -145 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
8* Capitals (ROUT) Both teams played last night, so that favors the home side here. Winnipeg fell 3-2 at Boston, while Washington won 3-2 in OT at Ottawa. The Capitals got off to a slow start, but they come in on fire, having won three in a row and eight of their last ten. They beat the Jets 5-2 in Winnipeg last week, and I'm expecting a similar final outcome here as well. Look for the Jets to get caught "looking ahead" to their X-Mas break; lay the price, the play is Washington! AAA Sports |
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12-23-22 | Wake Forest v. Missouri UNDER 59 | Top | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
10* UNDER (TOP BOWL TOTAL) Wake Forest had a great offense and a poor defense. The offense averaged 36.2 PPG, while the defense allowed 31. The Demon Deacons though see plenty of talent leaving the offense via the transfer portal, including RB Christian Turner. Look for the time off and the new faces to throw a big "monkey wrench" into the chemistry of this Deacons' offense. The Tigers won four of their last six games to qualify. The Tigers only average 24.7 PPG, while allowing 25.7; I'm expecting a very defensive affair here, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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12-22-22 | George Washington v. Washington State -11.5 | Top | 64-66 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 13 m | Show |
10* Washington State (ULTIMATE BEATDOWN) George Washington is 6-4 and Washington State is 4-6. This is part of the Hawaiian Airlines Diamond Head Classic Tournament. The Colonials are coming off an 83-71 win over Coppin State, while the Cougars fell 65-59 to Baylor as ten-point dogs. Previous to their most recent win, the Colonials had lost two straight. They're averaging 75.7 PPG, while allowing 70.4. Washington State is averaging 70.3 PPG, while allowing 63.9. WSU has played the stiffer competition and I think it'll finally take advantage of this favorable matchup and keep the foot on the gas from start to finish; lay the points, the play is Washington State! AAA Sports |
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12-22-22 | Jaguars +2 v. Jets | Top | 19-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
10* Jaguars (ASSASSIN) Both teams are fighting for the playoff lives, but Jacksonville is the one that enters with a ton of momentum and I expect that to be the difference. The Jets lost at home to Detroit by a score of 29-17 in their most recent action, while the Jags rallied for a huge 40-24 OT win at home over Dallas. The Jags have gone 4-2 ATS in their last six. QB Trevor Lawrence is now unstoppable. At least he's sure been playing like that over the last month and a half. New York is just 3-3 at home. It only averages 20.1 PPG. The early magic it had at the start of the season is gone. The constant change at QB is helping things either in my opinion. Look for the Jags to continue their improbable run to the playoffs with another "shocker" on Thursday night; grab the points, the play is Jacksonville! AAA Sports |
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12-22-22 | Spurs v. Pelicans UNDER 226.5 | Top | 117-126 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
10* UNDER Spurs/Pelicans. Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring affairs, but all signs point to a much more defensive one here today. San Antonio is coming off a rare road win, pulling away for a 124-105 win at Houston. San Antonio still only averages 110.3 PPG this year, which ranks 26th. The Pels will now be desperate to break a four-game slide. That includes a 128-119 setback to the Bucks in their last outing. Note though that New Orleans has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. When these teams played in early December, the total stayed well "under" the number in New Orleans 117-99 victory, and I'm expecting a similar final combined score here as well; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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12-22-22 | Air Force +3.5 v. Baylor | Top | 30-15 | Win | 100 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
10* Air Force (BLOCKBUSTER) The Baylor Bears finished 6-6, while the Air Force Falcons finished 9-3. Air Force runs the triple-option on offense, with 90% of its plays coming via the run. The Falcons won their last four games and I expect them to carry that momentum over here. Baylor started the season 6-3, but then it dropped its final three games of the season. I have a hard time seeing the Bears slowing down Brad Roberts, who was the No. 3 ranked rusher in the FBS this year with 1,612 yards for the Falcons. Baylor QB Blake Sharpen and its RB Richard Reese faded down the stretch with poor showings against K-State, TCU and Texas. The Falcons have lost three of their games by a total of 15 points. Too many changes for the Bears line-up as well right now. Look for Air Force to control the tempo of this one; the play is the Falcons! AAA Sports |
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12-22-22 | Islanders +1.5 v. Rangers | 3-5 | Loss | -175 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
6* Islanders PUCK-LINE (DESTRUCTION) The Isles are 9-7-0-2 on the road this year after a tight 1-0 shootout loss at Colorado in their most recent action. They beat the Rangers 4-3 at the start of November, and I think tonight's game will also be a tight and competitive battle. The Isles average 3.15 GPG, while allowing a collective 2.73. The Rangers are just 7-6-3-1 at home this year. They're f a 3-2 loss at Pittsburgh. The Rangers average 3.24 GPG, while allowing 2.71. In a contest that I see being decided late, or even in extra time, I'm laying the price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance; the play is the Islanders on the puck-line option! AAA Sports |
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12-21-22 | Oilers +1.5 v. Stars | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show | |
6* Oilers PUCKLINE (DESTRUCTION) After falling 4-3 to the lowly Predators in OT in their last game, I think the Oilers will risk life and limb here to try and steal this game in Dallas. Edmonton plays with "revenge" as well after the Stars won 6-2 North of the border at the start of November (note that the Oilers are 7-2 in their last nine in trying to avenge a three-goals or greater loss against an opponent.) Dallas is off a tight 2-1 win at Columbus, and I expect a similar close affair here as well. The outright is possible, but the official call will be to lay the price for the extra 1.5 goals with the Oilers! AAA Sports |
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12-21-22 | Magic v. Rockets +1.5 | Top | 116-110 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
10* Rockets (ASSASSIN) Orlando had its six-game win streak snapped on Monday, falling to Atlanta, and I think it'll have a predictable letdown here vs. this hungry Rockets side. Houston won't be lacking motivation here after a 124-105 loss to the Spurs on Monday. Remember that despite their recent success, the Magic are stil just 3-12 on the road this year. Houston has in fact lost three in a row, and this is a game that it'll feel it can win outright obviously. Orlando returns home for the Holidays after this and I think it gets caught looking ahead; clearly the outright win is a possibility, but grab as many points as you can with Houston! AAA Sports |
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12-21-22 | Virginia Tech v. Boston College +9.5 | Top | 65-70 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
10* BC (ACC GOM) Virginia Tech is 11-1, while Boston College is 6-6. VT is coming off a very satisfying 80-72 win over UNC to kick-off Conference play, and I think it'll have a bit of a mental letdown here in the second half against BC, leaving the back door wide open for the hungry home side to sneak in through down the stretch. BC is coming off a 75-59 loss at Duke. The Hokies' numbers, including their record, are a bit skewed as well, as their non-conference strength of schedule was just 288th in the country. BC just ended a four-game slide with a 63-56 win over Stonehill. Now that the Conference schedule has arrived, we'll see these teams numbers normalize moving forward. I'm not calling for the outright or anything, but say the stage is set for a dramatic battle until the end; grab the points, the play is Boston College! AAA Sports |
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12-20-22 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets OVER 232.5 | Top | 91-105 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 28 m | Show |
10* Grizz/Nuggets OVER (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been involved in some lower-scoring "unders" of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. These are two really good teams, and this is the first meeting of the year between them. Suffice it to say, I'm expecting a faster-paced, wide-open "shootout." The Grizzlies are 19-10 after their 115-109 loss at OKC last time out. Despite the setback, Memphis still averages 116.2 PPG, which ranks sixth. Denver is 18-11 after its 119-115 home win over Charlotte. The Nuggets rank eighth overall in averaging 115.8 PPG this year. They've seen the total go "under" in three of their last four, but with this other Western Conference powerhouse in town, everything points to a "run-and-gun shootout;" this number is low, the play is the over! AAA Sports |
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12-20-22 | Toledo -3.5 v. Liberty | Top | 21-19 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 15 m | Show |
10* Toledo (BLOCKBUSTER) The Flames are 8-4, while the Rockets are 8-5. Liberty lost its last regular season game to New Mexico State by a score of 49-14. Former head coach Hugh Freeze is gone to take over at Auburn, and a few players left via the transfer portal. The Flames have a tough defense that holds its opposition to just 4.9 yards per play, but a few of their top defenders are gone. Toledo has had less issues to deal with off the field, but on the field there's still a concern for starting QB Dequan Finn. The Rockets last played in the MAC Championship and won 17-7 over Ohio. They racked up 11 penalties for 79 yards in the victory. Finn will not be at 100% health for this contest, but I still think he's the safe bet here against this Liberty team that's missing its head coach, and several key players on both sides of the ball; lay the points, the play is Toledo! AAA Sports |
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12-20-22 | Texas A&M Corpus Christi +17 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 58-81 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
10* TEXAS A&M CC (UPSET SUPER SHOCKER) I think that 7-4 Oklahoma State will get caught "looking past" its lowly opponent here to its X-Mas break and then its big matchup vs. Kansas before the New Year. Corpus Christie is now 6-5 after its 104-69 win over Schreiner. The Cowboys have been trading ATS wins/losses over their last six games, and I expect this pattern to continue. Corpus Christie is averaging 64.5 PPG, while allowing 72.5. OKS is averaging 70.8 PPG, while allowing 61.8. But as I mentioned, I do indeed feel this sets up as a "trap" for the home side; no outright, but closer than expected so grab the points with Texas A&M! AAA Sports |
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12-19-22 | Rams v. Packers UNDER 39.5 | Top | 12-24 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
10* UNDER Rams/Packers (NFC TOM) The Rams are 4-9 after somehow managing a 17-16 win at home over Las Vegas last weekend. Despite that though, they only average 16.8 PPG. Green Bay got back in the win column as well last week with a 28-19 road win at Chicago. The Packers have now seen the total go "over" the number in four straight. Green Bay though is also in the bottom third offensively, averaging only 20.2 PPG, ranked 22nd. The Packers haven't been blowing teams away when they win, it's been more of a defensive affair. The Packers have had to play from behind a lot, but I don't think that'll be the case today, as I expect the Rams to take an overall step back here on the road and in these wintery conditions; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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12-19-22 | Bucks v. Pelicans +1 | Top | 128-119 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
10* Pelicans (EAST-CONF GOW) After three straight up and ATS losses in a row, I love the Pelicans to bounce back here at home finally against the Bucks. The Pels most recently fell 118-114 at Phoneix. That was three straight ATS/SU road losses in a row (note though the New Orleans is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more SU/ATS setbacks in a row.) The Pels are 12-3 at home. The Bucks are 7-5 on the road. Milwaukee is off the 123-97 home win over Utah, but I think they'll have their hands full here in the opener of this five-game road trip, which continues at Cleveland, Brooklyn, Boston and Chicago. For many reasons, I believe this game means so much more to New Orleans; grab the points, the play is the Pels! AAA Sports |
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12-19-22 | South Dakota +1.5 v. UMKC | Top | 45-62 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
10* South Dakota (GOW) South Dakota has lost three straight, and I expect it to break that slide and find a way to deliver here on the road Monday. The Coyotes are coming off a tight 89-88 loss to Coastal Carolina. The good news was they made 50 percent of their shots from the floor, including 48.5 percent from range. Expect this deadly accuracy to be the difference-maker tonight. KC is five games under .500 following a six-point loss to Green Bay, shooting only 35.9 percent. The Coyotes are 8-1 ATS in their last nine vs. teams with losing SU records, while the Roos are just 1-4 ATS in their last five following an ATS loss; the play is South Dakota AAA Sports |
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12-18-22 | Colorado State +11.5 v. St. Mary's | Top | 62-60 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
10* Colorado State (BEST OF BEST) Colorado State is 7-4, while Saint Mary's is 9-3. The Rams are coming off a 115-72 home win over lowly Peru State College, but I think they'll take that confidence and momentum on the road with them here and keep this one a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Saint Mary's is coming off a win over New Mexico State. Colorado State has the offense to hang with the Gaels, but so far the Rams have struggled on the defensive end. That's the difference here, but I think that the Gaels will get caught looking past their lowly opponent today towards the X-Mas break, leaving the back door wide open for the hungry visiting side to comfortably sneak in through down the stretch; grab the points the play is CSU! AAA Sports |
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12-18-22 | Warriors v. Raptors UNDER 227 | Top | 126-110 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
10* UNDER Warriors/Raptors (ASSASSIN) I don't usually bet "unders" in non-conference games, as I tend to feel that they're less intense defensively. There are exceptions though of course, and this is one of those times. From a "situational" stand point, this one sets up well as a lower-scoring defensive affair. Both teams are absolutely desperate for a win. Golden State has several injuries to key players, including star Steph Curry. The Warriors have now lost three straight. Toronto is off the high-scoring 119-116 home loss to the Nets. That's now four straight losses for the Raptors. We've reached the point of the season where your record reflects the type of team that you are, and clearly neither side can be happy right now. I expect each to double down on the defensive end tonight; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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12-18-22 | Bengals v. Bucs OVER 45 | Top | 34-23 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
10* OVER Bengals/Bucs (NON-CONF TOM) The Bengals are 9-4. I think Joe Burrow will want to put on a show here and run up the score against Brady. That said, after last week's humbling 35-7 loss at San Francisco, I think Brady will bounce back here at home and put some points on the board. From a situational stand point, it sets up well as a more wide open affair, rathter than a crushing defensive one between these non-conference opponents. The Bengals have been hit or miss defensively this season. They have been relying on Burrow and the offense to set the tone, entering averaging 25.8 PPG, ranked sixth. Finally, note that Tampa has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 off a SU/ATS road loss in which it was held to 9 or less points in; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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12-18-22 | Patriots v. Raiders OVER 44.5 | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
8* OVER Pats/Raiders (BLOWOUT) It's essentially do or die for both teams. New England is going for its fifth win in its last seven games. The Pats beat Arizona 27-13 last week, while the Raiders fell 17-16 to the Rams. The Pats are a great defensive team, but I think they'll have their hands full with veteran Derek Carr. The Raiders though are allowing 24.1 PPG, so expect Pats' QB Mac Jones to have a big game as well here. I just expedct a very efficient game from each offense, and that's going to see this total eclipse the posted number as it comes down the stretch; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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12-18-22 | Cowboys v. Jaguars UNDER 48 | 34-40 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
8* UNDER Boys/Jags (SPECIAL) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. The Cowboys are now 10-3 after last week's 27-23 win over Houston. They didn't even come close to covering the large 17-point spread. Dallas has seen the total go "over" the number in three straight now, which is significant to note as the Cowboys have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in six of their last eight after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Jacksonville is 5-8. It's been playing much better behind the great play of QB Trevor Lawrence. The Jags are coming off a 36-22 road win at Tennessee. This Cowboys defense is legit though and I think the home side will have a much more difficult time moving the ball this afternoon; look for this total to stay well "under" the posted number! AAA Sports |
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12-17-22 | Vanderbilt +6.5 v. NC State | Top | 66-70 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show |
10* Vanderbilt (UPSET SUPER SHOCKER) I think the 5-5 Vanderbilt Commodores will, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably cover with the handful of points they've been afforded. NC State is 9-3, but I believe it'll have its hands full here in the Legends Of Basketball Showcase in Chicago this evening. Vanderbilt lost a tough game to Grambling 64-62 despite winning the rebounding battle 37 to 29. They're a great defensive team and I expect a rebound here. NC State's opening schedule was weak. It now enters having lost two of its last three. They're coming off a 92-73 win over Furman, but this is a huge step back up in competition. NC State's offensive numbers are a bit skewed in my opinion, as ultimately I feel these teams are much more evenly matched than what this spread is suggesting; grab the points, the play is Vanderbilt! AAA Sports |
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12-17-22 | Jets v. Canucks -105 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
10* Canucks (U OF THE U) Vancouver has been playing a lot better of late, having won four of its last five after a 4-3 shootout win at Calgary on Wednesday. Winnipeg has been playing well als, it's off a 2-1 OT home win on Thursday, but with a game at Seattle tomorrow, I believe the visiting side will get caught looking ahead. These teams offensive and defensive numbers are very comparable over the last three weeks, but Vancouver is undervalued in this spot. In my opinion, this is in fact the very definition of "great line value;" the play is the Canucks! AAA Sports |
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12-17-22 | Dolphins +7.5 v. Bills | Top | 29-32 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show |
10* Dolphins (ASSASSIN) The first game between these division rivals was a tightly contested affair, and I expect today's contest to be the same. The Dolphins beat the Bills 21-19 as four-point dogs at home at the start of the season, but off B2B SU/ATS losses, I look for the Fish to bounce back here in this important game. The Bill are 4-0 SU their last four, but just 1-3 ATS. They continue to get overvalued by the bookmakers in my opinion, as they've not been able to create much late seperation from their opposition late in games. I expect this trend to continue here vs. this talented divisional opponent. It's the whole "snow" thing going on here today, but I'm not buying into it. The outright is a possiblity as well, but I'm grabbing the points with the Dolphins in the end! AAA Sports |
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12-17-22 | Rice +6.5 v. Southern Miss | Top | 24-38 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
10* Rice (BLOCKBUSTER) Rice lost its last three games of the year, but I expect it to dig deep and to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. AJ Padjett has only started one game under center for the Owls this year, but he'll be complimented by leading runner Cameron Montgomery, and leading receiver Bradley Rozier. SMU started the season 5-3, but it closed out by going just 1-3. Southern Miss started three different QB's, and that was difficult. Trey Lowe had six TD's and seven INT's. Frank Gore Jr. had 1,053 rushing yards. Padgett is the correct call here, who will have an extra two weeks or reps before this bowl game; no outright, but a nailbiter, so grab the points! AAA Sports |
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12-17-22 | Heat v. Spurs UNDER 223 | Top | 111-101 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
10* UNDER (EXPRESS) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I believe those trends will end this evening. Miami is now 15-15 after a 111-108 road win at Houston. The Heat play with revenge after falling 115-111 to the Spurs in Mexico earlier in the season. That total went "over" the number, but note that Miami has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. The Spurs are off a 128-112 home loss to Portland. They only average 110.2 PPG. After three straight "overs," expect a much more defensive peformance here from the home side. When you add it all up, this number is indeed a bit high; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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12-17-22 | Florida v. Oregon State UNDER 53 | 3-30 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
8* UNDER Florida/Oregon State (O/U BLOOD-BATH) This one sets up well for an "under." The Gators are without their starting QB, so their only hope here is to run the ball. The only problem there is, Oregon State is only allowing 114 rushing yards per game. This Oregon State defense allows just over 21 PPG, and I think they'll be on point here against this vanilla Florida offense. With each team committed to the run on offense throughout, expect this total to stay well under the posted number! AAA Sports |
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12-17-22 | Colts v. Vikings UNDER 48 | 36-39 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 0 m | Show | |
8* UNDER Colts/Vikes (SUPER TOTAL) A common sense play here. The Colts are only averaging 16.1 PPG this year. They're coming off their bye week, but their strong point has been their defense. It's only allowing 16.1 PPG. Matt Ryan is 29th in the league with an 84.0 passer rating. The Vikes have been mediocre of late. They're just 2-2 in their last four. The Vikes' defense catches a break today. Justin Jefferson though is facing a Top 5 passing defense in the Colts today, so that means that Dalvin Cook will by leaned upon by the Vikes. I expect a whole lot of running from each side today; this number is high, the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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12-16-22 | Weber State +5.5 v. Cal Poly | Top | 74-45 | Win | 100 | 15 h 24 m | Show |
10* Weber State (MAULING) Weber State is just 3-7, but I think it'll give 5-4 Cal Poly Slo everything it can handle tonight. Weber State broke a five-game slide with an 82-58 win over St. Martin's last time out. The Wildcats are averaging 65.8 PPG, while allowing 71.3. Dillon Jones leads the nightly charge with 65.8 points per game. Cal Poly is 5-4 after a 74-68 loss to Washington last time out. The Mustangs average 66.8 PPG, while allowing 64.1. Alimamy Koroma averages 12.8 points and 5.2 boards per game. Both teams have been challenged early in their sechedules. The Wildcats won't roll over here. I say this one comes down to the wire; grab the points, the play is Weber State! AAA Sports |
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12-16-22 | Nets v. Raptors +1.5 | Top | 119-116 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 17 m | Show |
10* Raptors (ASSASSIN) I just think the more desperate team is going to dig deep here and find a way to deliver. Brooklyn is 17-12 afrer its 112-100 win over the Wizards. The Nets have played better since firing Steve Nash. They've had three nights off though and I think rest will lead to rust this evening. Toronto is now 13-15 after its disappointing 124-123 home loss to the Kings as five-point favorites on Wednesday. That's now three straight losses for the Raptors. Note though that they're 7-2 ATS in their last nine after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. Finally, the Raptors also play with the added incentive of revenge here after a 114-105 loss to the Nets at the start of the month. So I think in a small way this sets up as a letdown spot for the Nets, while at the same time, this is a "gut check" for the Raptors. We've reached the point of the season where your record begins to reflect "who you are" as a team. Clearly, Toronto can not be happy where it's at at the moment. While the outright win is clearly a possibility, I'll ultimately recommend to grab as many points as you can; the play is the Raptors! AAA Sports |
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12-16-22 | Troy v. UTSA OVER 56.5 | Top | 18-12 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
10* OVER UTSA/TROY (TOTAL ROUT) Both teams finished 11-2. UTSA went 8-0 in conference play and then won the Conference USA Championship over UNT by a score of 48-27. I feel like today's game will have a similar final combined score. QB Frank Harris had 341 yards and four TD's in the vicotry. The Roadrunners put the pedal to the metal all game, entering averaging 37.6 PPG. Troy is only allowing 17.6 PPG, but the Trojans are off a big Sun Belt Championship by smoking Coastal Carolina by a score of 45-26. QB Gunnar Watson had 318 yards passing and three TD's. The stage is set for a bit of a shootout here; this number is low the play is the over! AAA Sports |
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12-15-22 | Suns +1.5 v. Clippers | Top | 111-95 | Win | 100 | 16 h 53 m | Show |
10* Suns (SHOCKER) Whether Devin Booker plays or not, I like the way this one sets up for the Suns. Phoenix is still 16-12 after its 111-97 loss at Houston. That's now five straight SU/ATS losses in a row for the Suns, who are 7-2 ATS in their last nine after five or more SU/ATS losses in a row. Phoenix beat LA 112-95 at the start of the year. And after three straight SU/ATS victories for Paul George and the Clippers, I'm expecting a predictable letdown here finally (note as well that LA is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after three or more ATS victories in a row.) In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is the Suns! AAA Sports |