Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-05-23 | A's v. Royals -142 | 12-8 | Loss | -142 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
8* Royals (MISMATCH) Two of the absolute worst teams in the league go head to head here, but this is one that the Royals are going to win in our estimation. The A's have been downright terrible in every facet. Their starting pitcher today Kirk Muller is 0-2 with a 6.28 ERA. The A's have allowed 244 runs, by far the most in baseball. The Royals have only been slightly better, but we're giving a big nod to their starter Brad Keller, who is 2-2 with a 3.56 ERA. Note that the A's bullpen has blown nine of 12 save chances while posting a 6.78 ERA in the process. Look for Keller to take advantage here; lay the price, the play is Kansas City! AAA Sports |
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05-05-23 | Celtics v. 76ers OVER 213.5 | Top | 114-102 | Win | 100 | 31 h 13 m | Show |
10* OVER Celtics/76ers (BLOCKBUSTER) The first game in this series flew "over" the number in the 76ers' 119-115 upset victory as 10.5-point dogs. Game 2 went "under" the number in the Celtics' 121-87 win. Now with the shift in venue and all tied up, we're expecting a wide-open offensive affair here in Game 3, similar to what we saw in Game 1. Also note that Philly has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss in which it was held to 90 or fewer points in; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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05-05-23 | Red Sox v. Phillies UNDER 8 | 5-3 | Push | 0 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
8* UNDER Red Sox/Phillies (TOP TOTAL) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. The Red Sox have won six straight and they've seen the total go "over" the number in five of their last six, including four straight. Note though that Boston has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. The Phillies have lost four straight and they'll be eager to stop the slide obviously. They've also seen the total go "over" the number in three straight. We have plenty of experience on the hill here as Boston hands the ball to Chris Sale, who is 2-2 with a 6.75 ERA, while the Phillies counter with Zach Wheeler, who is 3-1 with a 3.86 ERA. Wheeler is coming off a gem, going six scoreless and striking out seven in a win over Houston. Sale also turned the corner with his last performance, allowing one run over seven innings in a win over Cleveland. Look for these two to battle deep and as such, look for this total to indeed stay "under" the number! AAA Sports |
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05-04-23 | Seattle Kraken +1.5 v. Stars | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -154 | 33 h 33 m | Show |
10* Kraken puckline (2ND RND. WEST-CONF GOY) We had a play on Seattle in Game 1 on the puckline, and we're getting even better value on the Kraken here in Game 2. Seattle controlled the pace and almost every aspect of Game 1 and we don't see anything changing here in Game 2. Jake Oettinger looked shaky against this aggressive Seattle attack and we think he's in trouble here in Game 2 as well. In another contest that we see being decided late or even in extras, our official 2nd Rnd. WEST-CONF GOY is indeed the Kraken on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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05-04-23 | Lakers +6 v. Warriors | Top | 100-127 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 35 m | Show |
10* Lakers (BLOCKBUSTER) Can you imagine a World where the Lakers are up 2-0 over the Warriors in the second round of the NBA Playoffs? Because we can! LA looked like the better overall team despite some big performances from Stephen Curry and other key players being super efficient from the outside. The Warriors struggled to put away the Kings in seven games and that fatigue was evident down the stretch in Game 1. We don't see it getting any better for the defending champs here in Game 2. The Lakers have just as much talent and experience and we just feel that this game will very likely be decided by whichever club has its hands on the ball last; grab the points, the play is LA! AAA Sports |
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05-04-23 | Panthers v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 115 | 30 h 15 m | Show |
10* UNDER Panthers/Leafs (BLOCKBUSTER) We had a play on Toronto in Game 1 and while we like the Leafs in Game 2 as well, we can't lay this larger juice and we're not interested in laying the 1.5 goals on the puckline, but instead we feel the best value here is on the total in Game 2. And after Game 1 stayed "under" the number of 6.5, we're expecting another really tight and lower-scoring game here in Game 2 as well. Toronto will be risking life and limb getting into shooting and passing lanes to avoid the 0-2 hole and we expect that style of contest to help in pushing this one "under" once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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05-04-23 | Brewers -143 v. Rockies | 6-9 | Loss | -143 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
8* Brewers (BLOOD-BATH) At this price, despite being on the road, Wade Miley and the Brewers will be a popular wager today. Typically we are a contrarian service, but enough is enough for the Brewers here today who have lost three straight, including the first two here at Coors. Note though that Milwaukee is 8-2 in its last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. I think the Rockies take a step back here today facing Brewers' ace Wade Miley, who is 3-1 with a 1.86 ERA. He'll be opposed b Connor Seabold, who is 0-0 with a 5.27 ERA. Better hurry to get down on this one before the line moves any higher; the play is Milwaukee! AAA Sports |
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05-04-23 | Mets v. Tigers UNDER 8 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
10* UNDER Mets/Tigers (SUPER TOTAL) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring affairs, but we expect those trends to end this afternoon with two solid starting pitchers going head-to-head in Detroit. The Mets have lost four of their last five, including the first two in this series, as they dropped both games of yesterday's double-header. Both games went "over" the number. Note that the Mets have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. Detroit is 3-2 in its last five, and it's seen the total go "over" in four of those contests. Justin Verlander makes his season debut for the Mets after sitting out the first month with a minor injury. He tossed five innings of no-run ball in Double A on Friday as a tune-up. He's ready to go. He'll be opposed by Eduardo Rodriguez, who is 2-2 with a 2.21 ERA. Look for these starter to be the main storyline in tomorrow's summaries of this contest; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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05-03-23 | Oilers v. Golden Knights UNDER 6.5 | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 37 h 37 m | Show |
10* Oilers/Knights UNDER (BLOOD-BATH) Two teams that were expected to move onto the second round, have in this Western Conference second round series. Both the Oilers and the Knights were great on both ends of the ice this season, but we expect Game 1 to have a "feeling out" period, and because of that, we're ultimately expecting this total to sneak "under" the posted number. Note as well that the Knights have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 when playing with three or more days of rest; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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05-03-23 | 76ers v. Celtics -9 | Top | 87-121 | Win | 100 | 35 h 1 m | Show |
10* Celtics (BLOCKBUSTER) We had a play on Boston in Game 1, and while that pick came up short, we're now very confident that the Celtics will respond with a resounding victory here in Game 2. James Harden had a huge game with Joel Embiid injured, but we can expect the home side to be keyed in on the Philly star moving forward. Whether Embiid plays or not, we like the Celtics to bounce back here in fine fashion, as note that Boston is 7-1 ATS in its last eight in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. Having accomplished what it set out to do (earn a "split" in Boston over the first two games), look for Philadelphia to take a step back here in Game 2; lay the points, the play is Boston! AAA Sports |
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05-03-23 | Devils v. Hurricanes -113 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 34 h 5 m | Show |
10* Hurricanes (BLOWOUT) We based our picks on many different things. We've always felt that being flexible with our approach is the best way to secure profits over the short, mid and long-term. This particular play comes down to "common sense." Carolina has the upper hand here because the Hurricanes finished off the Islanders in six games and have had a couple extra days off. The Devils had to come from behind and hang on for dear life to move past the Rangers in an exhausting seven-game opening series. Can anyone say "letdown" spot for the Devils here?! All things considered, a really good price here on Carolina in Game 1! AAA Sports |
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05-03-23 | Cubs -182 v. Nationals | 1-2 | Loss | -182 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
8* Cubs (SPECIAL) Jake Irvin will be making his major league debut tonight for the Nationals: "He's stretched out to about 90 pitches," Nationals manager Davey Martinez said. "So we're going to give him an opportunity to come out here and start for us and see what he does and see where he goes." We say this one favors Marcus Stroman (2-2, 2.29 ERA) and the hungry visiting side. Chicago has lost three of his last four starts, so he's a golden opportunity for the Cubs to provide their "ace" with some support finally. Considering the starting pitching talent discrepancy, this line could/should in fact be larger in our opinion; the value here does indeed swing to Chicago! AAA Sports |
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05-03-23 | Mets -152 v. Tigers | 5-6 | Loss | -152 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
8* Mets (BLOWOUT) Just a complete mismatch on the mound here between these starters in the first game of the double-header. The Mets have had a day off, while the Tigers have had two days off. New York is 16-13 overall and 10-7 on the road, while Detroit is 10-17 overall, including just 5-7 at home. The Mets hand the bal to Joey Lucchesi, who is 1-0 with a 2.19 ERA, while the home side counters with Joey Wentz, who is 0-3 with a ballooned 6.45 ERA. Look for New York and Lucchesi to take advantage and set the early tone in this first game; lay the price, the play is indeed on New York! AAA Sports |
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05-02-23 | Lakers v. Warriors OVER 227.5 | Top | 117-112 | Win | 100 | 34 h 19 m | Show |
10* OVER Lakers/Warriors (BLOCKBUSTER) The NBA got what it wanted, a matchup between LeBron James and Stephen Curry in the second round. The Warriors look more vulnerable than ever, and King James and company will be throwing their "best shots" at the defending champs here in Game 1. Whoever gets out of this series will likely have to face Denver in the Western Conference Final. Regardless, we're anticipating a really wide-open affair in Game 1, rather than an intense, lock-down defensive one. Both teams took a big step back defensively this year and all signs point to a classic "shootout;" this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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05-02-23 | Seattle Kraken +1.5 v. Stars | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 33 h 1 m | Show |
10* Kraken PUCKLINE (BLOOD-BATH) The Kraken are coming off a thrilling upset Game 7 win over Colorado and we think they can sneak in under the radar here and give the Stars a run for their money here in Game 1 of this series. Will rest lead to rust for the Stars? It very well could in our opinions! The Kraken were at their best on the road all year, and that's once again the case here in Game 1 of this series. The pressure is all on Dallas here, and that is also working in favor of the Kraken; while the outright win is possible, the official call is to grab the visitors on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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05-02-23 | Orioles -145 v. Royals | 11-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
8* Orioles (SITUATIONAL MISMATCH) We don't mind laying chalk on a road favorite when we believe our "play on" side should/could in fact be a much larger one. And that's the case here for sure. The visitors hand the ball to Tyler Wells, who is 1-1 with a 2.79 ERA, and he'll be going up against Ryan Yarbrough, who is 0-3 with a 6.35 ERA. At 19-9, the Orioles are out to their best start since 1997. Wells does actually lead the league with a minuscule 0.724 WHIP. He's made two career starts vs. the Royals and won both. The Royals' 7-22 record matches a franchise-worst start of all time. Yarbrough has had success vs. the Orioles in the past, but that was then and this is now. The current form of these starters plays a huge role in the outcome of this contest; the play is on Baltimore! AAA Sports |
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05-02-23 | Heat v. Knicks -6.5 | Top | 105-111 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 36 m | Show |
10* Knicks (2ND RND GOY) We had a play on New York in Game 1, and while that pick came up short, we're expecting a big bounce-back for the Knicks here in Game 2, and a predictable letdown from the Heat here in Game 2. Miami did the exact same thing in its series vs. the Bucks, winning outright in Game 1, and then both losing SU and ATS in Game 2, satisfied with knowing that it had already "earned the split." Jimmy Butler has been balling out, but we think that the Knicks will make adjustments as well here. The Knicks were in control of Game 1 up until half-time, and then they uncharacteristically fell apart. Note though that NY is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. Everthing points to a bounce-back blowout here in Game 2 for the home side; lay the points, the play is NEW YORK! AAA Sports |
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05-02-23 | Panthers v. Maple Leafs -147 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -147 | 31 h 15 m | Show |
10* Leafs (BLOCKBUSTER) We've been enjoying the NHL Playoffs and we're ready to sink our teeth into the second round and really get a huge run going on the ice. In fact, so far we've played every single NHL and NBA Playoff game. This is a common sense play for us. There's plenty of talent on both sides. We could easily write a convincing argument for either team to come out on top here in Game 1. But situationally we feel it sets up great for the Leafs, who eliminated the Lightning in six games. The Panthers however had to go to OT in Game 7 to earn their unlikely series victory over the mighty Bruins. The Leafs got a monkey off their backs, winning their first playoff series since 2004. But now they have a clear advantage, and one which we feel should/could be a lot larger than what this line is suggesting; great value here on Toronto in Game 1! AAA Sports |
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05-01-23 | Phillies v. Dodgers OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-13 | Win | 100 | 15 h 15 m | Show |
10* OVER Phillies/Dodgers (NL TOW) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring affairs of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. The Phillies come to town having their four-game win streak come to an end last night in a 4-3 setback at Houston. The Phillies are starting to play a lot better, despite having some key sluggers out still. They've seen the total go "under" in four straight though. LA has seen the total go "under" in two straight. The Dodgers lost two of three to the Pirates, before then bouncing back with a three-game home sweep of the Cardinals over the weekend. LA has seen the total go "under" in two straight. Tony Gonsolin is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA for the Dodgers. He sprained his ankle in spring training. He worked his first 3 1/3 innings, holding the Pirates scoreless last week. Clearly a much tougher task here today though. Taijuan Walker is a big dog here on the road, he's 2-1 with a 4.97 ERA so far for the Phillies. Overall he's 3-3 with a 4.32 ERA in 11 career starts vs. LA. Regardless, we don't trust either starter to go deep. Everything finally points to a higher-scoring affair; the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |
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05-01-23 | Suns v. Nuggets UNDER 227.5 | Top | 87-97 | Win | 100 | 34 h 54 m | Show |
10* UNDER Suns/Nuggets. The first game in this second round Western Conference series went "over" the number, but we're expecting a much more defensive affair here in Game 2. The Nuggets did a good job on both ends of the floor in Game 1, especially defensively. We expect a duplicate game-plan here from Denver in Game 2. Note though that Phoenix has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. Expect fatigue to be an issue here for each side in the second straight here in Denver; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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05-01-23 | Rangers v. Devils -117 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 32 h 37 m | Show |
10* Devils (ASSASSIN) It's all come down to this. So far, home ice advantage hasn't really mattered in this series between these two evenly matched sides, but I expect that to indeed be the differnece-maker here in Game 7. It's been a magical season for New Jersey, with the biggest turnaround in terms of wins from one season to the next. The Rangers expended a ton of energy to stay in this series last time out, and we're expecting a letdown here finally on the road; look for the Devils to find a way to deliver (and note, a great price on the home side here in Game 71!) AAA Sports |
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05-01-23 | 76ers v. Celtics -9 | Top | 119-115 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 22 m | Show |
10* Celtics (GOW) During the regular season, the Celtics enjoyed beating up on the 76ers regularly, posting a 3-1 record. We're expecting a similar sort of outcome in this series as well. And we're definitely expecting the Celtics to set the early tone with a blowout victory. Philly star Joel Embiid is also dealing with a nagging knee injury. Look for that to have a big effect in this series as well. Either way, all signs point to a home side blowout in Game 1; lay the points, the play is Boston! AAA Sports |
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04-30-23 | Seattle Kraken +1.5 v. Avalanche | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 35 h 16 m | Show |
10* Kraken puckline (DESTRUCTION) Colorado salvaged its season with a 4-1 win in Game 6 in Seattle, but who could have predicted that series would have ever gone to a Game 7? The Kraken have defied the odds, and we love their chances to continue to make history here. Note that Seattle was fantastic on the road this year, finishing 28-12-1-3 away from friendly confines. The pressure here is on the Avs, and we think Seattle can take advantage. In a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extra time, we're grabbing Seattle on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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04-30-23 | Phillies v. Astros OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
10* OVER Phillies/Astros (INTERLEAGUE TOW) Both teams have played to several lower-scoring games of late, but we expect those trends to end this evening. Philly has seen teh total go "under" in three straight. The Phillies have now won four in a row. Note though that Philadelphia has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Houston has now seen the total go "under" in four straight after the back-to-back losses to open this series. However, note that Houston has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge two or more straight losses vs. an opponent. Bailey Falter is 0-4 with a 4.50 ERA for the Phillies, while Jose Urquidy is 1-2 with a 5.64 ERA for the Astros. Pretty pedestrian numbers so far. All signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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04-30-23 | Panthers +1.5 v. Bruins | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 32 h 24 m | Show |
10* Panthers PUCKLINE (BLOOD-BATH) This has been an interesting series. Boston was hands down the best team in the regular season, on both ends of the ice, but the Bruins have stumbled and bumbled their way here to this Game 7 at home. The Panthers have defied the odds and are on the brink of one of the biggest playoff upsets in recent memory. "Momentum" is a very real, almost tangible factor in sports and Florida comes in with a ton of it. The pressure is on Boston, and we think that works in the Panthers favor as well; the play here is Florida on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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04-30-23 | Warriors v. Kings | Top | 120-100 | Win | 100 | 30 h 31 m | Show |
10* Warriors MONEYLINE (WINNER) This has been a back-and-forth series. Golden State was terrible on the road this year, but the NBA would love nothing more than to have Stephen Curry going up against LeBron James in the Playoffs. For us, this one comes down to experience in this position. The Kings are in unchartered territory, where these are the moments that Stephen Curry lives for. Sacramento had a great season, but we expect it to finally come to and end here on Sunday night; forget the spread option, instead this play is on Golden State on the moneyline! AAA Sports |
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04-30-23 | Heat v. Knicks -4 | Top | 108-101 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 1 m | Show |
10* Knicks (BLOCKBUSTER) Both of these teams were underdogs in their opening round series. The Heat got a huge series from Jimmy Butler, but we feel an imminent letdown is, well, imminent now for Butler and the Heat! The Knicks dominated their series over the Cavs from the get-go. We feel New York is better equiped to deal with Miami's outside shooting as well. Miami is thin after its starters, and the Knicks take advantage of that in Game 1; the play is New York! AAA Sports |
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04-29-23 | Oilers v. Kings UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 31 h 23 m | Show |
10* UNDER Oilers/Kings (BLOCKBUSTER) Three of the five games in this series have flown "over" the number, including the last two, but we're finally expecting a much more defensive affair here in Game 6. Note that the Kings have seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last nine in trying to avenge two or more losses against an opponent. With the home side setting the pace like we anticipate, all signs point do indeed point to the "under" as the correct call as far as the total is concerned in this one! AAA Sports |
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04-29-23 | Cardinals v. Dodgers UNDER 8 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 105 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
10* UNDER Cards/Dodgers (NL TOY) We're expecting a lower-scoring "duel" here in the second game of this three-game series. Last night the Dodgers won the opener by a score of 7-3. LA has now seen the total go "over" the number in seven straight. Despite still having several key injuries, LA is starting to resemble the team that won 111 games last year finally. That said, note that the Dodgers have still seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. We have two experienced starters going head-to-head here, and all signs point to a classic "duel" as we eluded to off the top, as the Cardinals' Jordan Montgomery is 2-3 with a 3.81 ERA, while the DOdgers' Clayton Kershaw is 4-1 with a 2.32 ERA. Everything points to this total now staying well "under" the posted number! AAA Sports |
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04-29-23 | Suns v. Nuggets UNDER 226.5 | Top | 107-125 | Loss | -115 | 31 h 38 m | Show |
10* Suns/Nuggets UNDER (BLOCKBUSTER) The bottom line here is we think that the longer lay off between series here will lead to each offense coming out a bit "rusty." It's the whole "rest" leading to "rust" angle. Phoenix doesn't play wide-open transition basketball anymore. The Nuggets prefer to run their offense through Nikola Jokic. For sure the home side will be looking to control the tempo, rather than push the pace in our opinions, as that'll just play into the strength of the Suns' offensive attack. Regardless, we look for Game 1 to indeed go "under" the posted number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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04-29-23 | Devils v. Rangers -119 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 30 h 35 m | Show |
10* Rangers (BLOCKBUSTER) The Rangers won the first two games of this series by identical 5-1 scores, but the Devils have battled back to win three straight. Now facing elimination, we're expecting the Rangers to risk life and limb here to push it to a Game 7. Note that the Rangers are 7-2 in their last nine in trying to avenge a shutout loss to an opponent. New York is also 8-4 in its last 12 after three or more straight losses in a row. Great value here on the desperate home side; the play is New York! AAA Sports |
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04-29-23 | Maple Leafs -101 v. Lightning | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 29 h 52 m | Show |
10* Leafs (BLOCKBUSTER) I'm expecting Toronto to end this series here and now. The Lightning have had zero "home ice advantage" in this series, losing both games 3 and 4 here in Tampa. The Leafs answered the Game 1 7-3 loss, with a 7-2 win in Game 2. Toronto is also 7-2 in its last nine in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. With the majority of the public money going one way, we're going to go the other; play on Toronto! AAA Sports |
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04-28-23 | Grizzlies +5 v. Lakers | Top | 85-125 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 19 m | Show |
10* Grizzlies (BLOCKBUSTER) With their backs against the wall, the Grizzlies got the job done in Game 5. Now Memphis will have to do what it hasn't been able to do so far in this series, and that's win on the road. Or else it's going Golfing tomorrow. The Lakers looked fatigued, and there are now some injury concerns. All of a sudden, the pressure is on LA to close out this series, but it feels as if the momentum has now swung the other way again. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is MEMPHIS. AAA Sports |
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04-28-23 | Avalanche -144 v. Seattle Kraken | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 33 h 32 m | Show |
10* Avs (BLOCKBUSTER) After back-to-back losses to Seattle, and now facing elimination, we're expecting the defending champs to dig deep here and deliver with a victory on the road. Note that Colorado is 7-2 in its last nine in tring to avenge a home loss vs. an opponent. The NHL is going to love this series going to Game 7 back in Colorado; lay the price, the play is Colorado! AAA Sports |
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04-28-23 | Stars v. Wild -107 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -107 | 32 h 9 m | Show |
10* Wild (BLOCKBUSTER) The Wild finished 26-13-0-4 at home this year, and now facing elimination, we're expecting Minnesota to dig deep here and find a way to deliver in Game 6. Note that Minnesota is 7-3 in its last ten as a home favorite in the -110 to -130 range. The Wild play with revenge, and for the Playoff lives here; all things considered, a great price on desperate Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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04-28-23 | Yankees v. Rangers -176 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 29 h 35 m | Show |
10* Rangers (AL GOY) This is the second game of a four-game set between the Yankees and the Rangers. Thursday sees Gerrit Cole go up against Andrew Heaney, and we're releasing this selection before that game has even started. MLB is one of the only sports where each and every game has to be looked at individually, mainly because of the starting pitching aspect. This particular play is based almost entirely on the starting pitching matchup. The Rangers enter this series eager to bounce back after getting swept in three games by the Reds: "There's nothing to be concerned about," Rangers' coach Bruce Bochy said. "I mean, we've got a lot of baseball left. These guys will bounce back. We have a tough team ahead of us, so we will have to play our best ball, but no, no one is concerned, and we will continue to get better." But as stated off the top, this one is based upon the starting pitchers. Clarke Schmidt is 0-2 with a 6.30 ERA for the Yankees, while Jacob deGrom is 2-0 with a 3.04 ERA for the Rangers. Look for the Rangers' new super-star starter to rise to the occassion here and get the better of his old cross-town rival; lay the price, the play is Texas! AAA Sports |
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04-28-23 | Kings v. Warriors -7 | Top | 118-99 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 8 m | Show |
10* Warriors (BLOCKBUSTER) Momentum is a very real, almost tangible factor in sports. And to be the Champ, you gotta beat the Champ. The Warriors have now won three straight and with a chance to close out this series here and now in front of the home town crowd, we're fully expecting Stephen Curry and the now confident Warriors to do just that. The Kings are now banged up as well. For us, we're giving this one the good ole "eye test," as we love the defending Champs in this elimination possibility spot here at home; lay the points, the play is Golden State! AAA Sports |
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04-28-23 | Bruins v. Panthers UNDER 6 | Top | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 30 h 9 m | Show |
10* UNDER Bruins/Panthers. Three of five games so far in this series have flown "over" the number, including the last two, but we're expecting a very defensive affair here in Game 6. The Bruins have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last six in trying to avenge a home loss against an opponent. While the last few games have flown "over" the number, all signs point to this particular contest finally being a super-defensive affair; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-28-23 | Hurricanes +110 v. Islanders | Top | 2-1 | Win | 110 | 30 h 49 m | Show |
10* Hurricanes (BLOCKBUSTER) With a chance to close out this series, I expect Carolina to do just that here on the road in Long Island. Note that the Hurricanes are 4-1 in their last five in trying to avenge a home loss against an opponent. After losing Game 3 by a score of 5-1 in New York, the Hurricanes then responded with a 5-2 win in Game 4. We're expecting a similar final combined outcome here as well; fantastic value on Carolina! AAA Sports |
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04-27-23 | Jets v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 109 | 30 h 43 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jets/Knights. The first four games in this series have had their O/U line set at 5.5, and so far all four games have gone "over" that posted total. Game 5 though sets up as much more of a defensive affair in our opinions, as we expect Winnipeg to risk life and limb to try and send this back North of the border for at least one more game. Note as well that the Jets have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge a home loss against an opponent; the first four games went "over," but in this crucial contest, all signs point to the "under" as the correct call! AAA Sports |
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04-27-23 | Celtics v. Hawks UNDER 232.5 | Top | 128-120 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 36 m | Show |
10* Celtics/Hawks UNDER (BLOCKBUSTER) Atlanta has forced a Game 6 after a 119-117 win at Boston as a 14-point underdog. The total went "over" the number of 230.5. We're expecting a much more defensive affair here though in ATL as Boston will look to double-down on the defensive end and end this series here and now. Note as well that the C's have seen the total go "under" the number in five of their last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. While the last three games in this series have flown "over" the posted number, all signs point to this crucial Game 6 being a super-defensive affair; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-27-23 | Rangers v. Devils OVER 5.5 | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 2 m | Show |
10* OVER Rangers/Devils. The Rangers jumped out to a 2-0 lead, but New Jersey has now evened it up with two straight victories. The first two games went "over" the posted number, the last two have gone "under." Now here in this pivotal Game 5, we're expecting a much more wide-open affair, one which blasts past this posted number sooner, rather htan later. Note as well that the Rangers have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last ten in trying to avenge a home loss against an opponent; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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04-27-23 | Lightning v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6.5 | Top | 4-2 | Win | 102 | 27 h 34 m | Show |
10* UNDER Bolts/Leafs. So far all four games of this series have gone "over" the number. We're expecting a much more defensive affair here finally in this huge Game 5. Note that Tampa has seen the total go "under" in eight of its last ten in trying to avenge a home loss against an opponent. Expect Game 6 to be an all out war from the opening face-off until the final horn; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-27-23 | Dodgers v. Pirates UNDER 8 | Top | 2-6 | Push | 0 | 5 h 12 m | Show |
10* UNDER Dodgers/Pirates (EARLY) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we expect those trends to end here this afternoon. The Dodgers have seen the total go "over" in five straight after yesterday's 8-1 loss. Note though that LA has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Previous to this series with the Dodgers, the surging Pirates, who have now won eight of their last nine, had seen the total go "under" in four straight. Julio Urias is 3-2 with a 3.33 ERA for LA, while Mitch Keller is 2-0 with a 3.64 ERA for Pittsburgh. Look for these competent starters to battle deep and expect this total to stay "under" the posted number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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04-26-23 | Warriors -4 v. Kings | 123-116 | Win | 100 | 30 h 11 m | Show | |
10* Warriors (BLOCKBUSTER) We stated when this series started that "home floor" advantage would be crucial, and that's been the case so far. The injury to De'Aaron Fox though throws a monkey-wrench into that angle though. Whether Fox plays or not in this one, we look for Steph Curry and the defending champs to now take advantage, and take control of this series with a big road win. That's not something that the Warriors have done well this year, but now that the Playoffs are here, we're expecting a different result this time around. The stage is now set for Curry take over; lay the points, the play is Golden State! AAA Sports |
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04-26-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Avalanche OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 29 h 17 m | Show |
10* OVER Kraken/Avs (BLOCKBUSTER) This series is all tied up. Colorado has its hands full now in a best of three series. Seattle was at its best on the road and we're expecting the Kraken to throw their best shot here to try and pull off another epic upset. Note as well that Colorado has seen the total go "over" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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04-26-23 | Heat v. Bucks UNDER 219.5 | Top | 128-126 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 56 m | Show |
10* Heat/Bucks UNDER (BLOCKBUSTER) We had a play on the Heat in Game 4, and now they have a huge 3-1 lead in this series. Miami accomplished what it set out to do originally, which was to split the first two games in Milwaukee. But I don't think even the most hardcore Heat fan would have predicted that they'd be leaving Miami with a 3-1 lead after Game 4. Regardless, here we are. The Playoffs for both the NBA and the NHL are about timing, about chemistry, about momentum, and it's about staying healthy. Miami has really come together at the most opportune time. This wasn't Jimmy Butler's greatest regular season, but he sure looks like a Super Star right now in this series. And now the Heat are a huge underdog on the road here in Game 5 as it's do or die for the Bucks moving forward. Milwaukee can control the paint in this series for the most part, but the Bucks have struggled to contain the outside shooting. For this Game 5 though I'm going to steer clear of the side. Instead I think the total is the sharp maneuvere here. So far all four games have gone OVER the number, but I like the way this one sets up to be a lower-scoring outcome. The Bucks have actually seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a straight up and against the spread road loss against an opponent, nd clearly situationally it's all hands on deck for Milwaukee, which will have to run full and half court defensive pressure throughout on this one. The first four games of this series have gone "over" the number, but that fact has only helped in driving this Game 5 Over/Under line a few points higher than it normally would or sholud be; we're on the UNDER in this one. AAA Sports |
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04-26-23 | Lakers +4.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 99-116 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 10 m | Show |
10* Lakers (BLOCKBUSTER) We're giving Game 5 the good old "eye test." LA is the better team here in every metric since the Playoffs started. Momentum is a very real, even tangible factor in sports, especially in the Playoffs. And LA just has the Grizzlies number right now. Ja Morant was unreal in Game 4, but his supporting cast has fallen away. The reverse is true for the Lakers, who appear to be gaining stronger chemistry with each game so far. While the outright win is cleary possible, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is LA! AAA Sports |
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04-26-23 | Marlins v. Braves -153 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
10* Braves (NL BOB) Atlanta has taken the first two games of this series by scores of 11-0 and 7-4. We can expect the defending champs to keep the foot on the gas here in the third game of this four game set. Despite this being the Marlins ace in Sandy Alcantara, who was lights out last year, but who hasn't quite lived up to those expectations this season yet, I think we're getting great value on the defending champs here at home. They hand the ball to Bryce Elder, who is 2-0 with a minuscule 1.14 ERA and a sharp 23 to 7 strikeout to walk ratio. He had a hard luck no-decision last time outm, going six innings and allowing one run with six strikeouts vs. the hard-hitting Astros. Alcantara though as eluded to earlier hasn't been in the same form this season as he was last year, as so far he's 1-2 with a 5.47 ERA. In his last outing he went six innings and allowed five runs in a 5-0 loss at home to the Diamondbacks (Previous to that he was shelled for nine runs over four innings in a 15-3 loss at Philadelphia. At this time of the year, "current form" is crucial and as Bob Barker used to say as well, the Price Is Right on this one for sure; lay the price with confidence, the play is Atlanta! AAA Sports |
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04-26-23 | Panthers v. Bruins UNDER 6.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -120 | 27 h 44 m | Show |
10* Panthers/Bruins UNDER (BLOCKBUSTER) This series has flipped-flopped from the "under" to the "over" so far throughout each of the first four games, and we're fully expecting this patten to continue here after Boston posted its second straight victory in a 6-2 win in Game 4. Note as well that Florida has seen the total go "under" the number in five of its last seven in trying to avenge a three goals or greater home loss against an opponent; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-26-23 | Knicks v. Cavs OVER 202.5 | Top | 106-95 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 58 m | Show |
10* OVER Knicks/Cavs (BLOCKBUSTER) So far all four games of this series have fallen "under" the numbrer, but we're expecting Game 5 to finally have a faster tempo, and as such, we look for the total to finally fly "over" the posted number sooner, rather than later. It's do or die for the Cavaliers, who lost both games in New York, first losing 99-79, following by a 102-93 setback. Cleveland though has seen the total go "over" the number in still eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent; this number is a little low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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04-25-23 | Clippers v. Suns -11.5 | Top | 130-136 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 25 m | Show |
10* Suns (WEST-CONF GOW) With a chance to end this series here and now at home, we're expecting KD and the Suns to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. The Suns dropped the first game of this series, but their chemistry has improved each night. The Clippers are dealing with several serious injuries to key players. We're expecting Phoenix to not only win this game, but to do so in blowout fashion; lay the points, the play is Phoenix! AAA Sports |
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04-25-23 | Kings v. Oilers UNDER 6.5 | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -109 | 36 h 47 m | Show |
10* UNDER Kings/Oilers (BLOCKBUSTER) This has been an exciting back and forth series, as we're all tied up going into Game 5. The last two games hae gone to OT. Note though that the Kings have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a home loss as an underdog vs. an opponent. In this crucial Game 5 contest, look for each side to double down on the defensive end, as it looks for the other to make the first mistake; this number is a little high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-25-23 | Wolves v. Nuggets UNDER 222.5 | Top | 109-112 | Win | 100 | 36 h 30 m | Show |
10* UNDER Wolves/Nuggets (BLOCKBUSTER) Did Minnesota just delay the inevitable after its 114-108 OT home win as a 3.5-point underdog in Game 4? Of course it did. The Nuggets now return home where they'll look to close things out. The Wolves are a sizeable dog here, and we're steering clear of the side, but as far as the total is concerned, we just expect the Nuggets to clamp down defensively here, as note that Denver has seen the total go "under" the number in five of its last six in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. While the last three games of this series have been higher-scoring, all signs point to this Game 5 being a slower-paced, and lower-scoring outcome; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-25-23 | Wild +127 v. Stars | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 34 h 14 m | Show |
10* Wild (WEST-CONF GOW) Up until Game 4, we had gone 3-0 with the correct sides in this series. We had Minnesota last time out, and while that play came up short, we feel that the Wild have great value here to bounce back and once again even up this series. Note that the Wild are 5-1 in their last six in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Between these two evenly matched teams, we look for the more desperate road side to deliver; the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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04-25-23 | Tigers v. Brewers -167 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -167 | 12 h 1 m | Show |
10* Brewers (SITUATIONAL MISMATCH) After losing two of their last three, including two in a row, including yesterday's series opener here vs. the lowly Tigers, we like the Brewers with their ace on the mound, to bounce back tonight. Spencer Turnbull is just 1-3 with a 7.85 ERA for the Tigers, and he's severely overmatched here by Eric Lauer, who is 3-1 with a 4.30 ERA. Note that the Brewers are also 7-2 in their last nine in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent; lay the price with confidence, the play is Milwaukee! AAA Sports |
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04-25-23 | Hawks +11.5 v. Celtics | Top | 119-117 | Win | 100 | 34 h 8 m | Show |
10* Hawks (EAST-CONF GOW) We had a play on the Hawks in Game 4 and that play came up a bucket short. With their backs against the wall and facing elimination, we expect ATL to keep this contest a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe. The Hawks won't go down without a fight, and note that ATL is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. No outright as stated above, but grab the points; the play is Atlanta! AAA Sports |
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04-25-23 | Islanders v. Hurricanes -150 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -150 | 33 h 27 m | Show |
10* Hurricanes (EAST-CONF GOW) We had a play on the Islanders in Game 3, and the we went with the underdog Hurricanes in Game 4. Now with a chance to close out this series, we're fully expecting the Hurricanes to do just that on Tuesday night. The Isles have just been too inconsistent down the stretch. New York is also just 17-19-4-3 on the road. Carolina is the better team in almost every single offensive and defensive metric and this line could/should in fact be a lot larger. The value here is on Carolina to deliver the goods! AAA Sports |
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04-24-23 | Avalanche v. Seattle Kraken OVER 6 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 36 h 12 m | Show |
10* OVER Avs/Kraken (BLOCKBUSTER) The first two games of this series went "under" the number, but Game 3 here in Seattle flew "over" the 5.5 in the Avs 6-4 win. The upstart Kraken will look to even things up here, and we do believe the shift in venue will see this series once again produce another really high-scoring affair in Game 4. Note as well that the Kraken have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five off a home loss as an underdog vs. an opponent; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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04-24-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers OVER 220.5 | Top | 111-117 | Win | 100 | 36 h 25 m | Show |
10* OVER Grizzlies/Lakers (WEST-CONF TOW) The last two games have gone "under" the number. The Lakers got healthy right at the end of the season and that depth and talent level is now paying off. The Grizzlies are going to have to assert themselves now here in Game 4 though, and that means pushing the pace from the outset and trying to stretch LA with quick offensive sets. It's essentially a do or die situation for the Grizzlies, who would be in tough down 3-1. In what we expect to be a faster-paced affair, we expect this total to eclipse the posted number as the game comes down the stretch; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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04-24-23 | Golden Knights v. Jets UNDER 5.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 36 h 50 m | Show |
10* UNDER Knights/Jets (WEST-CONF TOW) We had a play on the Knights in Game 3. We also had the Knights in Game 2. We're steering clear of a side here in this crucial Game 4 though, as Winnipeg looks to avoid the 1-3 hole. All three games have gone "over" the number. The first three games all had an Over/Under line of 5.5, and now it's bumped here to six. And now we take advantage of that over-inflation and go the other way on the total. This is a crucial game for Winnipeg, and we're expecting the home side to risk life and limb getting into shooting and passing lanes tonight. Everything finally points to more of a defensive affair in Game 4; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-24-23 | Maple Leafs v. Lightning UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -109 | 34 h 45 m | Show |
10* UNDER Leafs/Lightning (EAST-CONF TOW) This has been an exciting series, but after the first three games of it going "over" the posted number, we absolutely believe that the value has now swung the other way as far as the total is concerned here in Game 4. It's a crucial game. Toronto has stormed back after a 7-3 loss in Game 1 to take the next two, including a 4-3 OT victory here in Tampa in Game 3. A Leafs victory almost assures TO a series victory. But a TB victory makes this likely a full seven-game series. Regardless, after the first three games going "over" the number, we're absolutely expecting Game 4 to be an all out war. TB will look to control the tempo. Also note that the Bolts have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. This number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-24-23 | Bucks v. Heat UNDER 218 | Top | 114-119 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 5 m | Show |
10* UNDER Bucks/Heat (EAST-CONF TOW) So far we're 3-0 in this series. We had the Heat in Game 1, the Bucks in Game 2 and then the Heat in Game 3. For Game 4 we're steering clear of a side, and instead focussing in on the total. So far all three games in this series have flown "over" the number. Note that the Bucks have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. The Heat's defense looked sharp at home and we're expecting a duplicate performance here; this number is now a little bit TOO high, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-24-23 | Devils v. Rangers UNDER 6 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 33 h 21 m | Show |
10* UNDER Devils/Rangers (BLOCKBUSTER) We had a play on the Devils/Rangers "under" 6 in Game 2, and that was a never in doubt laugher after the Devils managed the 2-1 OT victory in the Big Apple. While the first two games of this series flew "over" the number in the Rangers' B2B 5-1 victories, the shift in venue will once again see a very defensive affair here in Game 4 as well in our opinions. Note that the Rangers have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a home loss against an opponent as a favorite; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-24-23 | Astros +1.5 v. Rays | Top | 3-8 | Loss | -154 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
10* Astros runline (BEST OF BEST) Two really good teams. Two really good pitchers. The Rays are 19-3 this season, including 13-0 at home. The defending champs are starting to play better after a slow start though, now 12-10 overall, including 6-3 on the road. The fact that the Rays have yet to suffer a home loss will be a big motivating factor for Houston here obviously. Jose Urquidy is 1-1 with a 3.66 ERA for the visitors, while Taj Bradley is 2-0 with a 2.61 ERA for the home side. I say these starters are a "wash." In a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extra innings, we're laying the reasonable mid-sized price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance; the play is Houston on the runline! AAA Sports |
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04-23-23 | Nuggets v. Wolves +3.5 | Top | 108-114 | Win | 100 | 36 h 54 m | Show |
10* Wolves (BLOCKBUSTER) Minnesota is 0-3 SU/ATS in this series. Note though that the Wolves are a near-perfect 5-1 ATS in their last six after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. The Wolves are in "do or die" mode. We didn't expect Minnesota to get swept in this series, and we think a Wolf backed into a corner is a dangerous one. The Nuggets have played near perfect so far over the first three games, and we're finally expecting a small mental letdown here. Denver will then return home to wrap it up. The outright is possible, but grab the points; the pla is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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04-23-23 | Oilers v. Kings UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -115 | 35 h 16 m | Show |
10* UNDER Oilers/Kings (BLOCKBUSTER) The first game went "over" the number in the Kings 4-3 OT upset. Game 2 went "under" the number in the Oilers 4-2 victory. Game 3 then went "under" the number in the Kings 3-2 OT win. We're expecting another defensive affair here in Game 4 as things start to tighte up for each side. Note as well that the Oilers have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a road loss against an opponent. This number is a little high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-23-23 | Celtics v. Hawks +6 | Top | 129-121 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 30 m | Show |
10* Hawks (BLOCKBUSTER) We had a play on the "over" in Game 3. ATL jumped out to an early lead and never looked back. The Celtics looked flat, and we now think the Hawks can duplicate the performance. The majority of the early action has Boston bouncing back, but while the majority goes one way, we're going to go the other way on this one. The Hawks shot poorly in Boston, but finally their shooting percentage went up in Game 3 and we say the maintain it again here in this crucial contest. While the outright win is a possibility, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with Atlanta! AAA Sports |
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04-23-23 | Stars v. Wild -113 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -113 | 33 h 41 m | Show |
10* Wild (BLOCKBUSTER) We're perfect so far in this series, winning with Minnesota, then Dallas, and then Minnesota again. Dallas is going to struggle again here in Game 4 in our estimation. The Wild looked great on both ends of the ice at home, and already achieved the split to start with in Dallas. We say that Minnesota should/could in fact be a much larger favorite in this spot, and that it's the Stars who are getting too much respect still in this position. Great line value on Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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04-23-23 | Bruins v. Panthers UNDER 6 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 30 h 49 m | Show |
10* UNDER Bruins/Panthers (BLOCKBUSTER) Boston won Game 1 by a score of 3-1. We had a play on the "under" in that one. Florida won Game 2 by a score of 6-3. The Bruins then won Game 3 by a score of 4-2. We had Boston in that one. Now here in this pivotal Game 4, we're expecting Florida to risk life and limb getting into shooting and passing lanes to try and even things up. Boston is ranked No. 1 on the defensive end this year, allowing just 2.1 GPG. This one has has "under" written all over it! AAA Sports |
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04-23-23 | Kings v. Warriors UNDER 238.5 | Top | 125-126 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 6 m | Show |
10* UNDER Kings/Warriors (BLOCKBUSTER) Game 1 went "over" the number, but the last two have fallen "under" the posted number. We're expecting another tight game here in Game 4 as well, as Golden State will employ another defensive oriented strategy in an effort to tie this series up. The Kings looked pretty poor in the 114-97 setback, and now Draymond Green is returning. A lot of things have to go "right" for a contest to eclipse 240 points. We see a lot more potential for things to go "wrong" for each side here. Because of that, we're indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-23-23 | Marlins v. Guardians OVER 7.5 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 105 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
10* Marlins/Guardians OVER (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we expect those trends to end this eveing. Miami has seen the total go "under" in nine straight games, while Cleveland has seen the total go "under" in six straight. Cleveland has lost the first two games of this contest by scores of 6-1 and 3-2. Note though that the Guardians have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. The fact that these teams have played to so many "unders" of late has also helped in driving this particular total here today a couple points lower than it normally would/should be; because of that, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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04-23-23 | Cavs v. Knicks OVER 206.5 | Top | 93-102 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 43 m | Show |
10* OVER Cavs/Knicks (BLOCKBUSTER) The Cavs are the first team to score under 80 points this year after their 99-79 loss here in Game 3. All three games in this series have gone "under" the number, but that fact has only helped in driving this Game 4 total a few points lower than it normally would/should be. Note though that Cleveland has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent in which it was held to 90 or fewer points in. Look for the Cavs to push the pace from the outset, and for the Knicks to match pace; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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04-23-23 | Hurricanes +115 v. Islanders | Top | 5-2 | Win | 115 | 27 h 17 m | Show |
10* Carolina (BLOCKBUSTER) We had a play on the Islanders in Game 3, but now we feel that the value has firmly swung in favor of the undervalued road side. New York is 26-13-1-2 at home now, but the Hurricanes are still 24-12-5-1 on the road. In every offensive and defensive metric the Hurricanes have the advantage, and they're also 6-2 in their last eight in trying to avenge a road loss against an opponent in which they were held to one or less goals in. Everything points to the Canes bouncing back and taking a firm hold on this series; the play is indeed on Carolina! AAA Sports |
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04-22-23 | Avalanche v. Seattle Kraken +1.5 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -190 | 32 h 47 m | Show |
10* Kraken puckline (BLOOD-BATH) - also like ML if can't get PUCKLINE. We've played on the Kraken on the puckline option over the first two games of this series and we're 2-0 so far. This series is tied up 1-1 as it heads to the Pacific Northwest, and once again we're expecting a very tight and defensive battle between these evenly matched clubs. Colorado is in fact lucky to come away with the 3-2 victory in Game 2, after going down 2-0 to start with. We see no clear advantage for either side in this one, and that once again makes the extra 1.5 runs of insurance the prudent wager in our opinion; lay the price, the play is Seattle on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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04-22-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -4.5 | Top | 101-111 | Win | 100 | 33 h 12 m | Show |
10* Lakers (BLOCKBUSTER) We had a play on LA in Game 1, and a play on the Grizzlies in Game 2. We think this back and forth series continues in this pattern, as we look for the Lakers to bounce back in Game 3 and revenge the Game 2 setback. LA is 24-18 at home this year, while Memphis is a poor 16-25 on the road. Having achieved the split in Memphis, we now look for the Lakers to take advantage here at home; lay the points, the play is LA. AAA Sports |
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04-22-23 | Devils v. Rangers UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 105 | 30 h 20 m | Show |
10* UNDER Devils/Rangers (BLOCKBUSTER) The Rangers are in the drivers seat after identical 5-1 victories in Game's 1 and 2 of this series. Now back home, New York has to be feeling very confident. Both totals went "over" the number. These were two of the best defensive clubs in the league in the regular season, and while the Rangers have looked great on the defensive end, the Devils' complete collapse is a bit confusing. But with their backs against the wall here, we are expecting a much better effort from New Jersey here in Game 3; while the first two games of this series flew "over" the number, everything points to this Game 3 war in The Big Apple staying "under" it! AAA Sports |
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04-22-23 | Bucks v. Heat +5.5 | Top | 99-121 | Win | 100 | 31 h 14 m | Show |
10* Heat (ROUT) We had the Heat in Game 1 and the Bucks in Game 2. Now back at home, we like Miami to, at the very least, keep this one tight enough to comfortably cover once the final horn sounds. While 26-15 SU on the road, the Bucks were just 21-18-2 ATS. The Heat were 28-15 SU at home. They're also 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. Look for Miami to ride the wave of emotion at home and grab a solid cover; the pla is Miami! AAA Sports |
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04-22-23 | Maple Leafs v. Lightning UNDER 6.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 39 m | Show |
10* UNDER Leafs/Bolts (BLOCKBUSTER) We played Toronto in both Game's 1 and 2, and we're 1 and 1 in this series now as it shifts to Tampa. Both games flew well "over" the number in Toronto, but with the shift in venue and taking into account the "tied" dynamics of this series, we're now finally expecting a much more defensive affair here in Game 3. Note that Tampa Bay has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last ten in trying to avenge a five goals or greater loss to an opponent. Everything points to Game 3 being a classic, hard-hitting, but lower-scoring "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-22-23 | Golden Knights +104 v. Jets | Top | 5-4 | Win | 104 | 27 h 42 m | Show |
10* Vegas (BLOCKBUSTER) We had a big play on Vegas in Game 2 and the Knights pulled away for the relatively simple 5-2 victory, after stumbling and losing Game 1 by a score of 5-1. The Jets were great at home this year (26-13-1-1), but the Knights were exceptional on the road (26-7-5-3.) Remember, the Jets sneaked into the No. 8 spot on the final day of the regular season. After the Game 2 letdown, we're exepcting another one here from Winnipeg. In every metric the Knights are superiors, and now they also have the momentum. All things considered, we view this to be the very definition of "great line value;" the play is the Knights! AAA Sports |
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04-22-23 | Suns v. Clippers UNDER 226.5 | Top | 112-100 | Win | 100 | 27 h 15 m | Show |
10* UNDER Suns/Clippers (BLOCKBUSTER) The Clippers managed a win in Game 1 by a score of 115-110l, but they've since lost back-to-back contests, including a 129-124 setback here at home in Game 3. All three games have gone "over" the number, but all signs point to a much more defensive affair here in Game 4 in our opinions. Continued injury issues to Kawhi Leonard and Paul George cast shadows of doubt for LA moving forward. Either way, this O/U line is now inflated, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-22-23 | Blue Jays v. Yankees -165 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
8* Yankees (SITUATIONAL MISMATCH) After yesterday's series opening 6-1 loss yesterday, we're expecting Gerrit Cole and company to bounce back here and set the tone early in the Bronx on Saturday afternoon. The visitors hand the ball to Alek Manoah, who is coming off an incredible season, but who is just 1-1 with a 6.98 ERA this year. Cole is 4-0 with a 0.95 ERA. Cole is back on track showing his elite form, while regression seems imminent for Manoah this season. Also note that the Yanks are 7-2 in their last nine in trying to avenge a home loss against an opponent in which they were held to one or less runs in; lay the price with confidence, the play is New York! AAA Sports |
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04-22-23 | 76ers v. Nets OVER 208 | Top | 96-88 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 55 m | Show |
10* OVER 76ers/Nets (BLOCKBUSTER) With their backs against the wall and facing elimination, the Nets will have to push the pace from start to finish. Note that Brooklyn has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU home loss against an opponent in which it was held to 99 or fewer points in. The 76ers have played near perfectly, but overall we're expecting a faster-paced affair here in Game 4. This number is now a little TOO low; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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04-21-23 | Oilers v. Kings UNDER 6.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 29 h 14 m | Show |
10* UNDER Oilers/Kings (BLOCKBUSTER) The Oilers only loss in their last ten games came in Game 1 at home in a 4-3 OT loss to the Kings. The Oilers then rebounded with the 4-2 win in Game 2. Now tied and with a shift in venue, we're expecting the tightest, and most defensive affair of the series so far. Note as well that LA has seen the total go "under" the number in five of its last six in trying to avenge a two goals or greater loss vs. an opponent; for all the reasons listed above, the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-21-23 | Nuggets v. Wolves +2.5 | Top | 120-111 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 58 m | Show |
10* Wolves (BLOOD-BATH) Denver has a choke-hold on this series after a 2-0 start right? Well, not so quick in our opinions. The Nuggets' cryptonite this year was their play on the road, where they are just 19-22 SU/ATS. Minnesota is 23-19 SU at home. The Wolves are also 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge two or more straight SU/ATS losses in a row vs. an opponent; while the outright win is possible, the official call is to grab as many points as you can with the Wolves! AAA Sports |
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04-21-23 | Stars v. Wild +102 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 102 | 29 h 12 m | Show |
10* Wild (BLOCKBUSTER) We had the Wild in Game 1. We then took the Stars in Game 2, which was our NHL Western Conference Playoff Round 1 GAME OF THE YEAR. Congrats to the many that joined us with those two "rocking chair" victories. Now the "zig-zag" theory continues here, as we get great value on the hungry home side. The Wild come off the 7-3 beatdown, but note that they're 6-2 in their last eight in trying to avenge a loss in which they allowed six or more goals in. The bottom line here is we feel we're getting great line value on a really good home team here in the Playoffs; the play is indeed on Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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04-21-23 | Cavs v. Knicks OVER 211.5 | Top | 79-99 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 56 m | Show |
10* OVER Cavs/Knicks (BLOCKBUSTER) All tied up at one game apiece, we're expecting a shift in venue to help in driving Game 3 "over" the posted number. The first two games of this series went "under" the number, but that fact has only helped in driving this Game 3 O/U line a few points lower than it normally would/should be. Finally note that New York has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent in which it was held to 90 or fewer points in; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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04-21-23 | Bruins -147 v. Panthers | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 27 h 18 m | Show |
10* BRUINS (MONEY-BOMB) The Bruins won Game 1, but stumbled in Game 2 by a score of 6-3. Boston went 31-8-1-1 on the road. Boston is a near-perfect 6-1 in its last seven in trying to avenge a three goals or greater home loss against an opponent. At this price, we're getting fantastic value on the best team in the league. Look for a decisive bounce-back here and lay the price with confidence; the play is Boston! AAA Sports |
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04-21-23 | Hurricanes v. Islanders -113 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 27 h 58 m | Show |
10* Islanders (BLOCKBUSTER) The Islanders got blown away by the Hurricanes in Game 1 by a score of 2-1, and they almost evened it up in Game 2's 4-3 OT setback. Now back at home and with the biggest game of the season right here, we're expecting the Isles to indeed bounce back here in Game 3. Overall this is great value on the hungrier and desperate home side. These first two games were much tighter than anticipated, as a PUCKLINE play on NY would have delivered in each contest. But for this one here, the price is just fantastic, so we'll be hopping on board the Islanders for sure here in Game 3! AAA Sports |
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04-21-23 | Tigers v. Orioles -170 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
8* Orioles (SITUATIONAL MISMATCH) The discrepancy in talent and form between these starting pitchers absolutely justifies in laying this larger price in my opinion. Tyler Wells is 0-1 with a 3.86 ERA for the Orioles. In his most recent outing he gave up three runs over six innings in a no-decision vs. the hard-hitting White Sox. Detroit is just 3-6 on the road and it counters with Michael Lorenzen, who is 0-0 with a 13.50 ERA. He most recently was shelled for six runs off eight hits over four innings vs. the Giants in his season debut on Saturday. We don't love Wells or anything overall as a starter, but we sure do love him here in this matchup; lay the price with confidence, the play is the Orioles! AAA Sports |
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04-21-23 | Celtics v. Hawks OVER 228 | Top | 122-130 | Win | 100 | 28 h 38 m | Show |
10* OVER Celtics/Hawks (BLOCKBUSTER) Atlanta managed to upset the Heat 116-105 as a 5.5-point dog in the Play In Tournament, but it's lost the first two games of this series. The Hawks have seen the total go "under" in all three playoff games so far, but note that ATL has seen the total go "over" the number in five of its last six after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. With the home side pushing the pace from the outset to avoid the 0-3 hole, we're expecting Game 3 to finally fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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04-20-23 | Suns v. Clippers UNDER 227.5 | Top | 129-124 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 18 m | Show |
10* UNDER Suns/Clippers (BLOCKBUSTER) All ties up at one apiece, we're expecting thing to "tighten up" now that the series shifts out West. Note that LA has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. This one has the feel of an "all out war" until the final horn; this number is a little high in our estimation, so the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-20-23 | Jets v. Golden Knights -140 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 31 h 13 m | Show |
10* Vegas (U OF THE U) Las Vegas won the Pacific division, but it fell 5-1 in Game 1. With their backs against the wall, and looking to avoid the dreaded 0-2 hole before having to go North of the border, we're expecting the Knights to risk life and limb here getting into shooting and passing lanes to secure a victory. Las Vegas has to be feeling confident in this spot though, as it's responded well by going 7-1 in its last eight in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent; lay the price with confidence, the play is the Golden Knights! AAA Sports |
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04-20-23 | Kings v. Warriors -5 | Top | 97-114 | Win | 100 | 32 h 1 m | Show |
10* Warriors (BLOCKBUSTER) I successfully played on the Kings in both Games 1 and 2, but I like the defending champs to bounce back here at home in this essentially "must win" scenario. Golden State was 33-18 at home this year, and the Warriors are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge two or more SU/ATS losses against an opponent. Look for "home cooking" to be the difference-maker for Stephen Curry and company; lay the points, the play is Golden State! AAA Sports |
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04-20-23 | Seattle Kraken +1.5 v. Avalanche | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 31 h 55 m | Show |
10* Kraken (PUCKLINE BLOOD-BATH) We had a play on Seattle on the puckline in Game 1, and if you haven't had a chance to read that analysis, I believe it's worth doing so now, as for the most part, the logic and reasoning behind that pick, also directly applies to this one: Seattle won two of three games against the Avs this year and clearly the Kraken have been underestimated by teams and bookmakers alike this season. And that's the case here in our opinions, as we look for Seattle to throw its best shot at the defending champs. Note as well that the Kraken won two of those three games on the road as well. The pressure is bigger on Colorado here; grab the 1.5 goals of insurance, the play is Seattle on the puckline option! For all the reasons listed above, the play is Seattle on the puckline option in Game 2 as well! AAA Sports |
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04-20-23 | Padres v. Diamondbacks +1.5 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -135 | 14 h 16 m | Show |
10* D-Backs RUNLINE (NL WEST GOY) We feel that that home side has a very real shot of winning this game outright, but at this price, we're getting fantastic value on the runline option here. Guess who leads the NL West rigth now? It's not the Padres, the Giants or the Dodgers. It's the D-Backs at 11-8. San Diego is 9-11. Earlier in the year these teams split a two-game series in San Diego. Arizona though is tied for sixth in the league in steals with 19. That's bad news for a Padres team that allows a lot of steals. Michael Wacha gets the nod for SD and he's 2-1 with a 6.06 ERA, while the home side counter with Ryne Nelson, who is 1-0 with a 3.71 ERA. Half of Nelson's six career starts have come against the Friars, so this is a team that he knows well (1-1, 3.12 ERA.) Wacha is 2-1 with a 3.82 ERA lifetime vs. the D-Backs. Wacha had a bounce-back season last year, but regression seems imminent, epsecially after a slow start in 2023. Tatis returns finally for the Padres, but we expect him to come out slow here in his very first game back. In a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we're laying the very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance; the play is Arizona on the runline! AAA Sports |
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04-20-23 | 76ers v. Nets +5 | Top | 102-97 | Push | 0 | 30 h 36 m | Show |
10* Nets (BLOCKBUSTER) With their backs against the wall, we're expecting the Nets to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably cover with the points. The Nets are a lot better at home, 23-18 SU. Note as well that Brooklyn is 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to avenge two or more straight SU losses against an opponent. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Brooklyn! AAA Sports |
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04-20-23 | Rangers v. Devils UNDER 5.5 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 29 h 41 m | Show |
10* UNDER Rangers/Devils (BLOCKBUSTER) These teams played to a higher-scoring "over" in the Rangers' Game 1 5-1 upset, but everything points to a much tighter, and ultimately lower-scoring "under" here in Game 2 in our opinions. Note that New Jersey has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. These are two of the best defensive clubs in the league and all signs point to a tight and lower-scoring "war" here in Game 2; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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04-20-23 | Lightning v. Maple Leafs -155 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 29 h 31 m | Show |
10* Leafs (ASSASSIN) I had Toronto in Game 1, and while the Leafs came out flat in that one, we're expecting a complete turn-around as far their performance here. Toronto is 7-2 in its last nine in trying to avenge a home loss against an opponent. The Leafs play with the added incentive of revenge here as well after getting eliminated in the first round last year by the Bolts. With their backs against the wall in what is essentially a "do or die" game, clearly their biggest of the entire season, look for the Leafs to find a way to get the job done and lay the price with confidence! AAA Sports |
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04-20-23 | Angels v. Yankees -155 | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
8* Yankees (MISMATCH) We have a couple of really good starters going head-to-head here, but we say that the "home field advantage" will prove to be the difference-maker in the end. LA won the opener by a score of 5-2, before dropping yesterday's contest 3-2. Note that Shohei Ohtani has looked human vs. the Yanks, going just 13 of 67 lifetime at the plate, which translates to a .194 average. He's also hitting just .140 (6 for 43) at Yankee Stadium. Sandoval is 1-0 with a 1.23 ERA for the Angels, while Cortes Jr. is 2-0 with a 2.60 ERA for the Yanks. Cortes Jr. though is 1-0 with a 2.63 ERA in five career starts vs. the Angels. Look for the Yanks to build off yesterday's victory and lay the price with confidence! AAA Sports |