Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-17-22 | New Mexico State +7 v. Connecticut | 70-63 | Win | 100 | 83 h 24 m | Show | |
8* New Mexico State With these larger 5-game reports, I'll keep my analysis much more "succinct" than I normally do. I think the outright win really is possible here for the No. 12 seed Aggies, who hold big advantages in offensive rebounding and also in free throw rate. New Mexico State is no slouch, as it won the WAC and it matches up well against the Huskies, as each team excels when running a slow-tempo offense. I say this one is much more evenly matched than what AAA Sports |
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03-17-22 | Georgia State +23.5 v. Gonzaga | 72-93 | Win | 100 | 81 h 50 m | Show | |
8* Georgia State With these larger 5-game reports, I'll keep my analysis much more "succinct" than I normally do. No outright, but I think the Zags take the foot off the proverbial gas pedal in the second half. The Bulldogs are among the best in the nation on both ends of the floor. No. 16 seeds are 1-143 all-time vs. No. 1 seeds. Georgia State though enters on top form and won't be intimidated after 10 straight wins. Georgia State is 8-1-1 ATS in its last 10, while the Zags are just 1-4-2 ATS in their last 7. This one is MUCH closer than what this spread is suggesting; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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03-17-22 | South Dakota State v. Providence -2 | 57-66 | Win | 100 | 77 h 5 m | Show | |
8* Providence With these larger 5-game reports, I'll keep my analysis much more "succinct" than I normally do. South Dakota State is a 30-win team that stormed its way through The Summit Tournament as well, but after a difficult exit from the Big East Tournament, I expect Providence to hit the "reset" button here in this golden opportunity to redeem itself. The Jackrabbits can score, but their lack of depth on the defensive end is the difference in this one; lay the short points, the play is Providence! AAA Sports |
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03-17-22 | Michigan v. Colorado State +2.5 | 75-63 | Loss | -109 | 77 h 40 m | Show | |
8* Colorado State With these larger 5-game reports, I'll keep my analysis much more "succinct" than I normally do. Yes, Michigan avoided the First Four with a record of 17-14, but it sure shouldn't have. The Rams have been solid in the MW all year and they're the much better 3-point shooting team. The Wolverines have Hunter Dickinson down low, but I don't think that'll be enough today. Off a first round conference tourney loss to Indiana, Michigan should NOT be favored here; grab the points, the play is Colorado State! AAA Sports |
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03-16-22 | Thunder v. Spurs UNDER 233.5 | Top | 120-122 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 20 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) The Spurs had seen the total go "under" in 5 straight before their 149-139 loss at home to Minnesota in their last outing. I expect a return to the "norm" here. San Antonio averages 112.9 PPG, but fatigue is going to be an issue here in my opinion. And thanfully for the home side, it won't have to prepare for a "marathon" today facing the Thunder, who average just 102.8 PPG. The Thunder are off a 134-116 road loss at Charlotte, but they've seen the total go "under" in 7 of their last 10 off a SU/ATS road loss in which they allowed 130 or more points in. These team's played to a higher-scoring affair in Spurs' 114-106 win in mid February, but the savvy call (in my opinion) is on the "under" in the rematch Wednesday! AAA Sports |
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03-16-22 | Bruins v. Wild -120 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 29 h 38 m | Show |
10* WILD (EXPRESS) After winning 4 of 5 and 2 in a row, I believe Boston stumbles here on the road vs. the much hungrier Wild. Boston has a game at Chicago on Monday night as well, so fatigue is going to be a major issue here for the visiting side. Minnesota has lost 2 straight, but it enjoys 3 whole nights off after this, so I'm expecting a full 3 period effort from the home side. It's a great "spot" wager and as Bob Barker used to say, "The Price Is Right" as well; the play is the Wild! AAA Sports |
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03-16-22 | Bryant +2 v. Wright State | Top | 82-93 | Loss | -106 | 59 h 19 m | Show |
10* BRYANT (GOW) I like Bryant to pull off the slight upset here. It's in the Tournament after winning the Northeast Conference Tournament. Wright State won the Horizon League Championship. The winner of this one will have the prize of facing No. 1 seed Arizona. Wright State is poised for a letdown here in my opinion after upsetting No. 1 seed Cleveland State during the tournament, as well as No. 3 seed Northern Kentucky. Bryant averages 77 PPG, while Wright State averages 76. The Bulldogs though are one of the highest volume 3-point shooting teams in the country, and Wright State is terrible defending from range. Bryand also averages over 40 rebounds per game, while the Raiders average 34. In an evenly matched game, these small details are the difference maker; that said, grab the points! AAA Sports |
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03-15-22 | Nets v. Magic +9 | Top | 150-108 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 55 m | Show |
10* MAGIC (ASSASSIN) The Nets routinely "play down" to the level of their competition and I expect that detrimental trend to continue here on the road against the lowly Magic. Brooklyn has Kevin Durant back in the line-up, and wouldn't you know it, the Nets are winning games again, entering on a 3-game skein. Most recently it was a 110-107 home victory over the Knicks. But with a much more difficult (and more "high profile") game at home against the Mavericks the following night, Durant could be rested here, with Kyrie Irving carrying the load. Either way, this one definitely sets up as a letdown/look-ahead spot for the visitors. The Magic have been playing better of late, going 4-1 ATS in their last five. Their off a 116-114 OT home loss to the 76ers, and I say they carry that confidence and momentum over here; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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03-15-22 | Islanders v. Capitals UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -102 | 27 h 9 m | Show |
10* UNDER (SPECIAL) The Islanders are off a 4-3 home win over Anaheim, but they still only average 2.70 GPG. They've been much better defensively though in conceding just 2.71 GPG. The Isles have in fact won 3 straight, winning 6-0 over Columbus, 5-2 over Winnipeg as well (note though that they've seen the total go "under" in 7 of their last 9 after playing to 3 or more "overs" in a row.) Washington averages 3.25 GPG, while allowing 2.78. The Capitals have gone 4-1 in their last 5, but off B2B OT contests that both went "over" the number, I expect fatigue to be an issue for the home side. Considering all of the above situational circumstances, my official recommendation for this selection is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-15-22 | Texas A&M Corpus Christi v. Texas Southern OVER 135 | Top | 67-76 | Win | 100 | 35 h 25 m | Show |
10* OVER (ASSASSIN) This is going to be an interesting battle, but it's one that I anticipate will fly well "over" the number before the final buzzer sounds! Texas Southern is a good rebounding team, but it's turnover prone. Texas A&M CC forces a TON of steals, so the Tigers are going to be forced to push the pace here to keep up. Texas A&M CC ranks 65th in the country at 75% from the free throw line, so the underdog could in fact have an edge if Texas Southern isn't careful. The best way for the Tigers to avoid this scenario though will be to take an early lead and keep the pressure on; in what I expect to a fast-paced affair, the play is the "over" as far as the total is concerned in my opinion! AAA Sports |
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03-14-22 | Wizards +12.5 v. Warriors | Top | 112-126 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 19 m | Show |
10* WIZARDS (ASSASSIN) I'm not calling for an outright win or anything, but I do think that Washington will keep this one competitive until the final moments, and I do expect Golden State to take the foot off the gas in the second half as it prepares for a red hot Celtics team coming to town on Wednesday. The Warriors are off 3 straight wins/covers, but after their big 122-109 upset home win over the defending champs, we can expect a predictable mental letdown here. Washington fell 127-118 at Portland in its last matchup, but everything points to this one coming down to the wire. As I stated off the top, I'm not calling for the outright victory, but this spread is way too large considering these other factors; grab the points, the play is WASHINGTON. AAA Sports |
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03-14-22 | Bulls v. Kings +5 | 103-112 | Win | 100 | 15 h 13 m | Show | |
8* KINGS (DESTRUCTION) The Bulls are off a 101-91 win at home over Cleveland, but I think they'll have their hands full here vs. this hungry home side. The Bulls have much bigger fish to fry as well, with games at Utah and Phoenix upcoming. I say Chicago gets caught looking ahead here. The Kings play with revenge after a 125-118 loss at Chicago in mid February and they're 7-2 ATS in their last 9 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. The Kings are off a 134-125 loss to Utah, but note that they're 8-3 ATS in their last 11 off a SU/ATS road loss in which they conceded 130 or more points in. While I do feel that an outright upset is possible, let's grab the points! AAA Sports |
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03-14-22 | Coyotes +1.5 v. Senators | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
10* ARIZONA PUCKLINE (NON-CONF GOM) This is a big game for each team for a couple of important reasons. First off, it's the only NHL game on tonight, so each side will be getting much more attention than it normally does. Secondly, they're each facing an opponent that it will feel it can get a win over. In a contest that I see being decided in the final moments, or even in extra time, I'm going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 goals in our back pocket; the play is Arizona on the puckline! AAA Sports |
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03-13-22 | Lightning v. Canucks UNDER 6 | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 27 h 38 m | Show |
10* UNDER (EXPRESS) I think the last thing that the Canucks can afford to do here today is to turn this into a wide-open affair and expect to "hang" with the defending champs. Vancouver's best opportunity for an outright upset here is to grind out a victory in front of the home town crowd. The Canucks are off a 4-3 OT loss at home to Washington, which is significant to note in our case as Vancouver has seen the total go "under" in 7 of its last 9 off an OT home loss that went "over" the number. Tampa Bay is off 3 straight losses. Note that it's seen the total go "under" in 6 of its last 8 after 3 or more straight losses in a row; this number is indeed a tad high, the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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03-13-22 | Lakers v. Suns -8.5 | Top | 111-140 | Win | 100 | 26 h 49 m | Show |
10* SUNS (ASSASSIN) I like the Suns to try and make an example of LeBron James and the Lakers today. It's impossible to know what kind of effort you're going to get out of James and the Lakers from game-to-game. After his 50 point performance in a win over the Wizards in his last outing, I say "The King" has a predictable letdown here against this "step up" in competition. The Suns will be plenty motivated here as well after falling 117-112 at home to the Raptors as 4.5-point underdogs. And with a game at home tomorrow night against Toronto, the Lakers are also going to get caught "looking ahead" tonight; lay the points, the play is Phoenix! AAA Sports |
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03-13-22 | Texas A&M v. Tennessee -6.5 | Top | 50-65 | Win | 110 | 6 h 59 m | Show |
10* TENNESSEE A&M continues to upset its way into the SEC Championship game, but I say that the Aggies "luck" finally runs out here. Texas A&M beat Arkansas by a score of 82-64 to advance, while Tennessee beat Kentucky by a score of 69-62. During the reg. season, A&M averaged 73.1 PPG, while allowing 66.7, while Tennessee averaged 73.6 PPG, while conceding just 62. In the lone matchup between the teams this year, Tennessee won by a score of 90-80, but it was unable to cover the large 11.5-point spread. This is a matchup that favors Tennessee and I expect a similar final combined discrepancy here as well; lay the points, the play is the VOLUNTEERS. AAA Sports |
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03-12-22 | Kings -134 v. Sharks | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -134 | 27 h 6 m | Show |
10* KINGS (EXPRESS) I think the visiting side is well worth the price of admission in this matchup. The Kings are 32-19-6-2, but they've been at their best on the road with an 18-7-4-1 record. The Sharks are 25-25-5-2 this year, including 13-13-2-1 at home. LA plays with immediate revenge here and that fact is the basis behind this selection. The Sharks just upset the Kings in LA by a score of 4-3 in OT two nights ago, and LA is 7-2 in its last nine in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent. SJ has 3 whole nights off after this game and I say it gets caught looking ahead; so look for the revenge-minded Kings to answer on the road on Saturday night! AAA Sports |
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03-12-22 | Bucks v. Warriors OVER 231.5 | Top | 109-122 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 51 m | Show |
10* OVER (ASSASSIN) Possible NBA Finals preview? Possibly! Milwaukee will be bringing it's "A" game tonight after 4 straight victoreis. The Bucks have found their scoring groove and I expect that trend to continue here, as Milwaukee has scored 118, 132, 142 and 124 in the victory over the Hawks. Golden State has struggled over the last month, but it enters on a 2-game win streak, most recently pulling away for a 113-102 win at Denver as a 1-point dog. This is a big time revenge game for the home side, which feel 118-99 at Milwaukee in mid-January (which is important to note here for us as the Warriors have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last 10 in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent in which it was held to 99 or less points in.) With each of these Conference leading teams pushing the pace like I expect, all signs point to the "over" as the correct call as far as the total is concerned! AAA Sports |
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03-12-22 | Michigan State v. Purdue -6 | Top | 70-75 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
10* PURDUE (BIG TEN TOURNEY GOY) The winner of this game will go on to play in the Big Ten Championship. MSU is off a 69-63 win over Wisconsin. Purdue plays with revenge here as well after falling 68-65 at MSU in the only reg. season game. The Boilermakers though are now the highest seed remaining in the tournament and they're also 7-3 ATS in their last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. The Boilermakers have two talented big men and I believe they'll be too much for Tom Izzo's team today. Look for the Purdue's veteran leadership in the backcourt to be the difference-maker in this important Conference contest; lay the points! AAA Sports |
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03-11-22 | USC v. UCLA UNDER 137 | Top | 59-69 | Win | 100 | 18 h 47 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) Two really good teams collide here, and I expect this competitive affair to produce a very defensive contest, rather than a high-scoring offensive one. USC beat Washington by a score of 65-61 to advance to this game, while UCLA beat Washington State by a score of 75-65. The Bruins have seen the total fly "over" in three straight, but that does in fact work in our favor here as UCLA has seen the total go "under" in seven of its last ten after playing to 3 or more straight "overs" in a row. When these teams met in the final regular season game, UCLA won 75-68 and the total snuck "over" the posted number, but we can expect this conference tournament game to be much more intense defensively; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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03-11-22 | Pistons v. Celtics OVER 216 | Top | 103-114 | Win | 100 | 25 h 29 m | Show |
10* OVER (EXPRESS) Detroit has been much more competitive of late, and I expect that momentum to get carried over here in this difficult road venue. For bettors, the Pistons have been money in the bank of late after 9 straight ATS covers (they've gone 6-3 SU in that span as well.) 2 nights after holding on for a 113-110 OT win at honme over the Hawks, they fell 114-108 at home to the Bulls. They played the C's on February 13th and lost 113-104, but they've seen the total go "over" in 6 of their last 8 in trying to revenge a home loss against an opponent. Boston has gone 8-2 SU in it slast ten and 7-3 ATS. It's coming off 4 straight victories and over its last 3 it's posted 120-, 126 and 115 points respectively. Look for these improved sides to be efficient on the floor and expect this total to fly "over" the number! AAA Sports |
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03-11-22 | Wolves v. Magic OVER 233 | 110-118 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 60 m | Show | |
8* OVER (SPECIAL) The Wolves hold their own destiny in their hands as far as the playoffs are concerned. They're 38-29, but just 16-17 on the road. Minnesota won't be taking this game lightly though because of the recent improved play of Orlando. Minnesota is 7-3 in its last 10 SU and it's coming off 6 straight victories, posting 127, 129, 138, 135, 124 and 132 points respectively. When these teams met on November 1st, it was the Magic that scored the upset 115-97 victory as 8.5-point underdogs. Orlando is off a 108-102 road win at New Orleans, and while it won't be in the playoffs, it also won't be rolling over here at home. I expect a faster-paced and ultimatley higher-scoring shootout; the play is the over! AAA Sports |
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03-10-22 | Maryland-Eastern Shore v. North Carolina Central OVER 132 | 56-68 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 56 m | Show | |
8* OVER (SPECIAL) The MEAC Tournament is in full swing. Two teams that are coming off sub-par seasons collide on Thursday night and I'm expecting a faster-paced contest. The North Carolina Central Eagles finished 15-14 overall, but 8-5 in the MEAC. Maryland Eastern Shore will have to keep pace after finishing 11-14 and 6-8 respectively. North Carolina Central averages 72.9 PPG, while Maryland-Eastern Shore averages 67.2. North Carolina Central allows 68.4 PPG, while Maryland-Eastern Shore concedes 66.3. I absolutely believe that each team will exceed its offensive seasonal average here. These teams split their regular season matchup. The first game went "under," the second soared "over." Look for a similar game style as what we saw in the second game; this number is low, the play is the over! AAA Sports |
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03-10-22 | Coyotes v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 6 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) How, or what do you base your Over/Under picks on? Is it recent form only? Or do you take into account a wide variety of situational, scheduling, statistical and other info to make your decision? Common sense is often the best approach to handicapping a contest, and that's the case for me here. Arizona only averages 2.50 GPG, and after 3 straight wins, I expect a predictable letdown here finally (ESPECIALLY after its crazy 9-2 win at Detroit 2 nights ago!) Toronto averages 3.70 GPG, but after 6 straight "overs" in a row, here's a team that it doesn't need to run the score up on. Off a 6-4 win over Seattle, I believe we'll see a much tighter game here; this is indeed a common sense play on the under! AAA Sports |
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03-10-22 | South Carolina State +2 v. Morgan State | Top | 77-80 | Loss | -109 | 35 h 32 m | Show |
10* SOUTH CAROLINA STATE (MEAC TOURNEY GOY) Yes, the 12-13 Morgan State Bears have the home floor advantage here, and yes they enter on a 3-game win streak here, but I still say this 1 favors 15-15 South Carolina State. Morgan State averages 75.7 PPG, while allowing 72.2, while South Carolina State averages 71.7 PPG, while conceding 72.3. Morgan State finished just 8-13-0 ATS and when playing as at least a 1 point fav, the Bears own a record of just 4-5 ATS this year. South Carolina STate on the other hand has posted a 14-12-1 ATS record and when playing as at least 1-point underdogs this season, the Bulldogs are 12-8-1 ATS. Look for these strong trends to continue here on Thursday night; the play is South Carolina State! AAA Sports |
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03-10-22 | Newcastle United v. Southampton UNDER 2.5 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 57 h 36 m | Show |
10* UNDER (TOW) I'm expecting a "war of attrition" here. This one is being played at St. Mary's stadium. Southampton is currently in 9th place. The Saints though will be extra-motivated here after a humbling 4-0 loss to Aston Villa in their most recent match. Here's the perfect opponent to do that against. Newcastle is in 14th place. The Magpies enter off a 2-1 upset win over Brighton & Hove Albion, and suffice it to say, I expect an immediate return to mediocrity in this one. If recent and past history is any precedence, then Southampton has to be feeling confident today as it has lonly lost twice in 20 matches at home to Newcastle. Both teams really need a win today, so expect this battle to produce a classic lower-scoring result; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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03-10-22 | East Carolina v. Cincinnati OVER 136 | 63-74 | Win | 100 | 30 h 38 m | Show | |
8* OVER (SUPER TOTAL) The AAC tournament kicks off and this is the 8/9 game. What does either team have to lose here? I expect a very wide-open game here, rather than a suffocating defensive one. ECU is 4-6 in its last ten. Cincinnati fans can empathize though, as the Bearcats enter the tournament off 5 straight losses. ECU lost by 8 in its final regular season game to Wichita State. But the Pirates play with double revenge here after the Bearcats took both meetings this year during the regular season, withthe first game going well "over" the number in their 79-71 win, and the second going "under" in their 60-59 victory. Note though that ECU has seen the total go "over" the number in 8 of its last 11 in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent; this number is a little low, the play is the over! AAA Sports |
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03-09-22 | Raptors v. Spurs OVER 228 | Top | 119-104 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 15 m | Show |
10* OVER (NON-CONF TOY) The Raptors are going to be in the playoffs. Or they should be. They need to keep the foot on the gas from now until the end of the season. They're 34-30, but just 17-15 on the road. Toronto averages only 108.3 PPG, but that offense catches a break here facing this terrible Spurs' defense. The Raptors won't be lacking for motivation today after 3 straight disastrous efforts, first losing 108-106 to Detroit (at home!), then falling 103-97 to Orlando (also at home!), before then dropping a 104-96 decision at Cleveland in their most recent. Note that TO has seen the total eclipse the posted number in 12 of its last 16 after 3 or more SU/ATS losses in a row. The Spurs have no issues scoring, they average 112.8 PPG. But as mentioned above, a big reason behind their terrible 25-40 record has been because of their issues on the defensive end. Situationally, everything points to this one being a very high-scoring offensive affair; the play is the over! AAA Sports |
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03-09-22 | Stanford +3.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 71-70 | Win | 100 | 23 h 42 m | Show |
10* STANFORD (PAC 12 TOURNEY GOY) Two teams that had poor season's have a chance at redemption in the Conference tournament, but for a number of different reasons, I believe this one favors the Cardinal. Stanford lost 5 straight down the stretch and went just 1-4 ATS in that span. The Cardinal though are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 after a 5 games or longer losing streak. Overall the Cardinal average 65.8 PPG. They beat ASU 79-76 at home, but then fell at ASU in the final regular season game by a score of 65-56. Note that Stanford is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent in which it was held to 59 or less points in. ASU averages just 65.2 PPG and in a contest that I foresee being decided in the final seconds, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is Stanford! AAA Sports |
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03-09-22 | St. Joe's v. La Salle OVER 134 | 56-63 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 54 m | Show | |
8* OVER Two teams with a shot at redemption collide in the opening round of the A-10 Tourney and in my opinion, this one has "shootout" written ALL over it. The St. Joe's Hawks average 68 PPG. They closed out the regular season with a 70-60 win over URI, but previous to that they fell 49-48 at La Salle. The Explorers average 68.3 PPG. La Salle enters playing some of its best basketball of the season with 3 straight wins/covers (note that La Salle has seen the total go "over" the number in 6 of its last 9 after playing to 3 or more ATS covers in a row.) The fact that their most recent matchup was so unbelievably low-scoring has helped in driving this O/U line a few points lower than it normally should be; the play is the over! AAA Sports |
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03-08-22 | Rangers v. Wild -141 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 29 h 37 m | Show |
10* WILD (GOW) This is a great spot wager. The Rangers managed a 4-1 win over Winnipeg on the road despite getting outshot 36-22. The Rangers have sure been playing well of late, but I expect them to stumble here finally against this much "hungrier" Wild side. Minnesota has lost 8 of 10, inculding 2 in a row. That includes a 6-3 home loss to Dallas last time out. The good news for us though is that Minnesota is 7-1 in its last 8 after a home loss of 3 or more goals. The Wild managed a 3-2 win over New York in January, but I expect a much bigger victory this time around; lay the price with confidence! AAA Sports |
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03-08-22 | Pelicans v. Grizzlies OVER 232 | Top | 111-132 | Win | 100 | 29 h 52 m | Show |
10* OVER (EXPRESS) For a number of different reasons, I expect a wide-open shootout between the Pelicans and Grizzlies on Tuesday night. New Orleans had its 4 game win streak come to an end last time out in Denver, but it wasn't for a lack of trying, as they'd go on to fall 138-130 in OT. Yes, the Pels only average 107.7 PPG still, but they've been an entirely "different" team with CJ McCullom, scoring 117, 123, 125, 124 and 130 points over their last 5 games. The Grizzlies average 113.9 PPG. That's 4th in the league. They've been trading good games with bad lately and they'll be looking to keep that trend rolling after an inexplicable 123-112 loss at Houston in their last outing. With the Grizz looking to take advantage of this poor Pels' defense and to atone for their lack of effort in their previous outing, everything points to this one eclipsing the number well before the final horn sounds; the play is the over! AAA Sports |
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03-08-22 | NC State +5.5 v. Clemson | 64-70 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 9 m | Show | |
8* NC State (SPECIAL) I think 11-20 NC State will, at the very least, comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the ample spread it's been afforded. NC State backed its way into the conference tournament with 4 straight losses, but note that the Wolfpack are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 still after 3 or more SU/ATS losses in a row. Clemson finished 16-15. It won its final 4 games. Note though that the Tigers are just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 after 3 or more SU victories in a row. These teams played on January 8th and Clemson managed the 70-65 SU victory as a 1.5-point underdog, but I expect an even tighter battle this time around. This one has all the makings of a "nail-biter," so let's grab the points! AAA Sports |
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03-07-22 | Northern Kentucky v. IUPU Ft Wayne UNDER 137 | Top | 57-43 | Win | 100 | 29 h 48 m | Show |
10* UNDER (SPECIAL) Two really good teams collide here. Offensive or defensive affair? In my opinion, everything is pointing towards this being a very tight, and lower-scoring game. NKU is 19-11, while Purdue Fort Wayne is 21-10. The Norse though aren't blowing teams out of the water to win games, as they average only 70.1 PPG. Instead its a suffocating defense that will be taksed to slow down the Mastadons, who enter averaging just 74.6 PPG. The Norse won 59-49 on January 28th, and I believe we'll see a similar lower-scoring defesive war here as well; this number is high, the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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03-07-22 | Hawks -8 v. Pistons | Top | 110-113 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 29 m | Show |
10* HAWKS (ASSASSIN) There's no question that Detroit has been playing better of late, but I expect the proverbial wheels to fall off the bus today. Detroit has won 5 of its last 7 and covered in 7 straight. Note though that it's still just 2-13 ATS in its last 15 after 5 or more straight covers in a row. Atlanta has been playing a lot better in the second half as well and has a legitimate shot at the playoffs again. It's off B2B wins, including a 117-114 road win at Washington. With a tough game at Milwaukee on deck next, I expect the visiting side to take this road contest very seriously. Lay the points, the play is Atlanta! AAA Sports |
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03-07-22 | Everton v. Tottenham Hotspur -170 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 22 h 24 m | Show |
10* TOTTENHAM (GOM) Both teams have been inconsistent of late, but I still think this is one that highly favors the Spurs. Tottenham will be eager to atone fater getting knocked out of the FA Cup in the middle of the week by Middlesbrough. Tottenham though has been extremely reactive this season, usual responding well after a defeat and that's what I'm expecting here. Keep your eyes on Harry Kane, who's form has been exceptional of late, as the Englishman has posted 6 goals and 2 assists over his last 9 games. Yes, Everton did manage a 2-0 win over Boreham Wood by a score of 2-0 in the FA Cup midweek, but it's still devastated by the 1-0 loss to Man City. Everton has won just one of its last 18 Premier League matches vs. Tottenham, and I don't expect that strong string of futility to end any time soon; the play is TOTTENHAM. AAA Sports |
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03-06-22 | Jazz v. Thunder UNDER 223.5 | Top | 116-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
10* UNDER (EXPRESS) Two nights after beating Houston 132-127 in OT, the Jazz fell 124-90 at New Orleans. That total went "under" the number, but previous to that the Jazz had seen it go "over" in 3 straight. The Jazz beat the Thunder 110-104 in November, and I expect a similar final combined score here as well. The Jazz don't need to run up this score to control this game. Utah also has a much more difficult and high-profile game at surging Dallas tomorrow night. All in all, it sets up as a bit of a "trap" for the visitors. I expect that to effect their offense. The Thunder are off a 138-101 loss at home to Minnesota (which is noteworthy for us here, as the Thunder have seen the total go "under" in 14 of their last 20 off a SU/ATS home loss of 30 or more points.) For all the reasons listed above, the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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03-06-22 | UCF v. Tulsa +2.5 | Top | 72-73 | Win | 100 | 20 h 58 m | Show |
10* TULSA (ASSASSIN) I think that 17-10 UCF gets caught looking past its lowly 9-19 opponent. The Knights had their 2-game win streak snapped last time out in an 82-67 loss to Tulane. UCF averages 70.1 PPG, while allowing 67.7. Tulsa enters off 3 straight losses, most recently falling 72-62 to Wichita State on Wednesday. The Golden Hurricane average 67.3 PPG, while allowing 69.5. Tulsa plays with revenge here as well after falling 76-67 as a 7.5-point dog at UCF on Feb. 14 (the Golden Hurricane are in fact a sharp 7-3 ATS in their last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent.) In what will be a highly competitive game, I'm grabbing the points! AAA Sports |
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03-06-22 | Nebraska v. Wisconsin OVER 149 | 74-73 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 58 m | Show | |
8* OVER (SPECIAL) It's the final regular season home game for each side. Nebraska lost 73-65 at home to Wisconsin in late January and while that total did go "under" the number, I believe that all signs point to a much more wide-open affair this time around. Nebraska has indeed seen the total go "over" the number in 7 of its last 9 in trying to revenge a SU home loss against an opponent in which it was held to 65 or less points in. The Huskers average 73.4 PPG, and I expect them to hit or exceed that point total today. Wisconsin averages 70.9 PPG. It's coming off a 70-67 win over Purdue as a 3.5 points underdog. Previous to that it upset Rutgers by a score of 66-61. I expect the Huskers to push the pace here in an attempt to get the home side out of its comfort zone; as a result, look for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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03-06-22 | Kings v. Sabres UNDER 6 | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 19 h 2 m | Show |
10* UNDER (TOTAL BOB) LA is off a 4-3 win over Columbus in OT. It's seen the total go "over" in 4 straight, but note that it's seen the total go "under" in 7 of its last 10 after playing to 3 or more straight "overs" in a row. LA only averages 2.93 GPG, while conceding 2.82. Buffalo averages just 2.70 GPG, while allowing 3.55. The Sabres are off a rare victory, holding on for the 5-4 home win over the Wild. Previous to that they won 5-1 at Toronto. The Sabres though have seen the total go "under" in 7 of their last 9 after an extra periods home win in which they scored 5 or more goals in. I expect a tighter, but ulimtately lower-scoring under in this one! AAA Sports |
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03-06-22 | Arsenal -175 v. Watford | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 27 m | Show |
10* ARSENAL (ASSASSIN) Arsenal is in good position, with only the Spurs in striking distance right now. Watford on the other hand stinks, it's in 19th place and three points away from safety. The Hornets are struggling across the board, but especially on the offensive end. To make matters worse, star player Ismaila Sarr is questionable with injury. Watford has the third lowest goals scored in the Premier League with just 25. Arsenal has dominated this matchup, having won 5 and drawn once out of the last 6. Arsenal is producing and its bench is improving. In what should be an a lop-sided affair from "get go," I'm on Arsenal! AAA Sports |
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03-05-22 | Mississippi State +2.5 v. Texas A&M | 64-67 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 37 m | Show | |
8* MISSISSIPPI STATE (SPECIAL) This is each team's respective final regular season game. Mississippi State is looking to bounce back after an 81-68 loss to conference-leading Auburn in its last outing. The Bulldogs are now 17-13 overall, but they have a chance here to move to .500 today with their conference record sitting at 8-9. Texas A&M is off an 87-71 win over Alabama as a 10-point underdog. The Aggies are 19-11 overall and 8-9 in conference play. The Bulldogs average 71 PPG, while conceding 66.9, while the Aggies average 73 PPG, while allowing 66.9. In a contest that I see being decided in the final moments, let's grab the points! AAA Sports |
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03-05-22 | Kings v. Mavs OVER 221.5 | Top | 113-114 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
10* OVER (EXPRESS) Sacramento has been playing a bit better since the Damontis Sabonis trade. Sacramento comes into this one having gone 2-2 SU and 3-1 ATS in its last 4. It's coming off a 115-112 win at San Antonio, and note that it's seen the total go "over" the number in 8 of its last 11 off a SU/ATS road win as an underdog. Not surprisingly, the Kings play with revenge here after falling 112-96 to the Mavericks on December 31st. That total went "under" the number. Note though that Sac. has seen the total go "over" in 7 of its last 9 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent in which it was held to 99 or less points in. Dallas has definitely been playing better as well, winning 8 of its last 10. It's off a 122-113 win over the Warriors and I expect Luca and company to keep the foot on the gas again; this number is low, the play is the over! AAA Sports |
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03-05-22 | Senators v. Coyotes OVER 5.5 | Top | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 21 h 11 m | Show |
10* OVER (BOB) Two bottom of the barrel, non-conference teams get ready to battle it out in the desert on Saturday afternoon and all signs point to very little defense being played. These two teams rarely play another team as horrible as it is on the defensive end, and I expect this non-conference battle to produce a very high-scoring result. I'm not sure who is going to win this one straight-up (and with a line like this, neither are the bookmakers!), but in my opinion, this one definitely sets up as a higher-scoring affair. Ottawa allows 3.17 GPG, while Arizona concedes 3.56. Look for these two starving offenses to finally feast; the play is the over! AAA Sports |
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03-05-22 | Middle Tennessee v. Old Dominion OVER 133.5 | Top | 64-68 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 7 m | Show |
10* OVER (ASSASSIN) This is the final regular season game for both teams. MTSU is 22-8, but only 5-8 on the road, while ODU is only 12-17 overall, but a very respectable 9-4 at home. The Monarchs play with revenge after falling 63-48 to MTSU on February 10th. And that's significant to note for us here for sure, as ODU has seen the total so "over" the number in 9 of its last 12 in trying to revenge a conference road loss against an opponent in which it was held to 55 or less points in. MTSU has seen the total go under in 3 straight, but it's seen the total go "over" the number in 7 of its last 10 after playing to 3 or more straight "unders" in a row. Considering all of the above information, I say the total in the "rematch" this afternoon is now just a little bit TOO low; the play is the over! AAA Sports |
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03-05-22 | Leeds United v. Leicester -0.5 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
8* LEICESTER CITY (DESTRUCTION) Jesse Marsch's new team lost 4-0 to Tottenham last week and they now face a Leicester side that is in desperate need of more victories, posting a 2-0 away win at Burnley on Tuesday night. The home side is now tied in 12th spot, but can move up again this weekend with another straight-up victory. The Foxes are in fact just 3 points behind 10th-place Brighton, and they have 2 games in hand on the 'Gulls (while having 3 on hand over Crystal Palace, who sit directly above them.) Leeds stinks. It has basically the worst way record in the league. The recent coaching changes aren't going to help this week. Look for the home side to go up early and to keep the foot on the gas throughout; the play is Leicester City! AAA Sports |
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03-04-22 | Golden Knights v. Ducks +105 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 55 m | Show |
10* DUCKS (ASSASSIN) No need to overthink this one. Fatigue is the main issue that I like the Ducks here, as Vegas is off a 5-2 loss at home to the Bruins just last night. The Ducks play with revenge here as well after a 3-1 loss to the Knights in late January. With a "cream puff" of a game against Ottawa at home, Vegas gets caught "looking ahead" as well. The Ducks broke a 2-game slide with a 4-3 win over Boston in their most recent action and note that they're 6-2 in their last 8 in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent. Overall, this is the very definition of "great line value" in my opinion; the play is Anaheim! AAA Sports |
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03-04-22 | Ohio v. Northern Illinois +9.5 | Top | 57-58 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
10* NORTHERN ILLINOIS (MAC BOB) I think that the 23-7 Ohio BObcats will look past the lowly 9-21 Northern Illinois Huskies this evening. The Huskies put up a decent fight in Ohio in late January, but they ultimatley fell 74-62. Suffice it to say, I'm expecting a much more competitive game tonight. NIU did post a cover in that setback though, as it was afforded a whopping 18 points. The Bobcats come to town in a funk as well, having lost 3 of their last 4 and 2 straight. They most recently fell 80-77 to 5-13 Bowling Green! NIU is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 in trying to revenge a SU conference road loss against an opponent as well. Ohio is on the ropes and I think the Huskies can smell the blood in the water. I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, but make sure to grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports |
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03-04-22 | Cavs +7.5 v. 76ers | Top | 119-125 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
10* CAVALIERS (EXPRESS) The Cavaliers have struggled since the All Star break, while the 76ers now look unbeatable with James Harden in the line-up. However, that's only helped in driving this home line a couple points higher than it really should be in my estimation. The Cavs are 36-26 overall, including 17-15 on the road. They're off a 119-98 loss at home to Charlotte, which is important to note here as they're 12-6 ATS in their last 18 off a SU/ATS home loss in which they were held to 99 or less points in. The Cavs also play with revenge here after a 103-93 home loss to Philly in the middle of February. The 76ers have won 4 straight, but with a much more "high-profile" contest at Miami tomorrow night, the possibility of getting caught "looking ahead" is something that we have to take into consideration here as well. I think this one will be decided in the closing moments, so I'm grabbing the points with the Cavaliers! AAA Sports |
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03-03-22 | Warriors -130 v. Mavs | Top | 113-122 | Loss | -130 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
10* WARRIORS (ASSASSIN) This spread is short enough that we can bypass it all together and just play the Warriors on the moneyline. Golden State has just 4 wins out of its last 10 games. It's lost 2 straight, first losing 107-101 to Dallas, then falling 129-114 at Minnesota. The Mavericks have won 8 of their last 10. They're off a 109-104 victory over the Lakers. GS though has performed well in this spot for bettors, going 14-6 ATS in its last 20 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. The Warriors average more points and they're equal defensively. GS plays with revenge. I don't think the Warriors' recent slump will last forever, and a return to mediocrity is now imminent for the overachieving Mavericks; the play is Golden State (on the moneyline!) AAA Sports |
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03-03-22 | Senators v. Panthers UNDER 6.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 29 h 36 m | Show |
10* UNDER (EXPRESS) Ottawa is coming off a 5-2 loss to Tampa. It only averages 2.62 GPG, while conceding 3.17. Florida is coming off 3 straight losses, falling 6-4 to Nashville, 6-3 to Columbus and 4-3 to Edmonton. That works in our favor here though as Florida has seen the total go "under" the number in 7 of its last 9 after 3 or more straight losses in a row. Florida averages 4.08 GPG, which is ranked No. 1, but it's been awfully good on the other end of the ice as well in conceding just 2.98. I expect Florida to control the tempo of this one from the ouset after 3 straight losses, and overall I look for a slower-paced affair here; this number is high, the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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03-03-22 | Florida Atlantic v. Florida International +4.5 | Top | 71-51 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
10* FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL (CONF. USA GOM) Two teams with similar names and records collide in Conference USA action on Thursday night and in my opinion, this one favors the home side. FAU is 16-13, while FIU is 15-14. FAU won both games last year, so FIU won't be taking anything for granted here. FAU is coming off a 74-69 road win at Charlotte, but previous to that it had lost four in a row. FAU averages 73.8 PPG, while FIU averages 71.6. The major difference though is that FAU is just 3-8 on the road, while FIU is 11-4 at home. Look for FIU to continue its hot play on its own floor! AAA Sports |
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03-02-22 | Knicks v. 76ers UNDER 224 | Top | 108-123 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 4 m | Show |
10* UNDER (TOW) James Harden and the 76ers just clobbered the Knicks by a score of 125-109. That total went "over" the number, but I think we can expect a much more defensive battle this time around. At least, I don't expect Philly to run up the score. In fact, neither team regular "shoots the lights out," with Philadelphia ranked 19th offensively, and New York ranked 27th. The fact that each side has seen the total eclipse the posted number in 4 straight has helped in pushing this O/U line a few points higher than it normally would be in this case, so let's take advantage! This number is a little too high now, so the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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03-02-22 | Blues v. Rangers +100 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 28 h 57 m | Show |
10* RANGERS (EXPRESS) Looks like a great spot to pull the trigger on the hungry home side. Yes, the Blues have been playing better of late, but all good things must come to an end. St. Louis has won 4 straight, including a 4-0 road victory at Chicago in its most recent outing (the Blues are interestingly though just 3-7 in their last 10 off a shutout road win in their last game.) New York had won 4 of 5 before most recently suffering B2B defeats, falling 1-0 at Pittsburgh, before then dropping a 5-2 decision at home to the Canucks in its most recent. With a tough upcoming game at the Islanders, I say the Blues finally stumble here; look for the more desperate home side to take advantage! AAA Sports |
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03-02-22 | St. Louis v. Rhode Island OVER 136 | Top | 80-74 | Win | 100 | 27 h 23 m | Show |
10* OVER (ASSASSIN) The A-10 Conference still has two games to go before its Tournament starts. Saint Louis is 19-10 overall, but just 4-6 on the road. It's coming off a tight 68-66 loss to Richmond. It does average 77.7 PPG though, which ranks 36th in the country. It beat URI 67-60 last year, but I expect a much higher-scoring affair this time around. Rhode Island snapped a 3-game slide with a 70-54 win over Duquesne last time out. It's seen the total go "under" in 4 straight (but note, the Rams have seen the total eclipse the posted number in 7 of their last 10 after playing to 3 or more straight "unders" in a row.) It's a big game at the end of the season and I expect a faster-paced affair; this number is low, the play is the over! AAA Sports |
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03-01-22 | Cincinnati +15 v. Houston | Top | 53-71 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 13 m | Show |
10* CINCINNATI (GOW) I think that Cincinnati will cover comfortably here. The Bearcats will be hungry to snap a 3-game slide, most recently falling 56-54 to USF. John Newman III was a bright spot in defeat with 11 points and eight rebounds. Houston comes in on the other end of the mental spectrum, content after 4 straight victories. That includes a 75-61 win over SMU on Sunday. Note though that the Cougars ars just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 after 3 or more straight SU/ATS victories in a row. The Bearcats average 70.2 PPG, while allowing 65.4, while Houston averages 76.3 PPG, while allowing 59. The Bearcats are without question the hungrier team here, looking to bounce back against the leagues best. I'm stopping short in calling for the outright upset, but all signs point to this one coming right down to the wire; because of that, let's grab the points! AAA Sports |
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03-01-22 | Flames v. Wild -110 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 17 m | Show |
10* WILD (EXPRESS) These are two good teams. Calgary is 31-14-6-0, while Minnesota is 31-16-0-3. The Flames are a respectable 16-10-2-0 on the road, while the Wild are a great 16-4-0-1 at home. But this play comes down to one single thing for me here, the "revenge factor." Minnesota does indeed play with revenge here after falling 7-3 at Calgary on the 26th (the Wild are in fact 7-3 in their last 10 in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent in which it conceded 6 or more goals in.) Revenge is a dish best served "cold" the say, and it's forecast to be FREEZING in Minnesota tonight; the play is the Wild! AAA Sports |
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03-01-22 | Hawks v. Celtics UNDER 224.5 | Top | 98-107 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) Atlanta is off a 127-100 win over Toronto. The Hawks are now 29-31. They average 112.4 PPG. They play with revenge here after a 105-95 loss to the Celtics in mid February. The total in that contest was set at 224. Boston is off a 128-107 loss at Indiana, but previous to that it had won 8 of 9. Two teams that need victories in the 2nd half go H2H here and I expect a very defensive affair, similar to their most recent matchup. Finally, note that ATL has seen the total go "under" in 6 of its last 8 in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent in which it was held to 99 or less points in; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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03-01-22 | North Alabama +12 v. Florida Gulf Coast | 72-81 | Win | 100 | 27 h 14 m | Show | |
9* NORTH ALABAMA (SMACK-DOWN) It's the opener of the ASUN tournament and I expect the lowly 9-20 North Alabama Lions to put up more of a fight than what this line is suggesting. The Lions average 69.3 PPG. It's coming off 8 straight losses, but note that it's 7-2 ATS in its last 9 after 3 or more straight ATS losses in a row. Not surprisingly, the Lions play with revenge after a 92-60 loss to Florida Gulf Coast at the start of February. The Eagles have won 7 of their last 10 and 2 straight, but note that they're just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 as a tournament fav of 10 or more points. I say the Lions sneak in through the back door with all these points they've been given; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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03-01-22 | Green Bay v. Detroit -9.5 | 62-79 | Win | 100 | 27 h 14 m | Show | |
9* DETROIT (BEATDOWN) The Horizon League Conference tournament gets underway on Tuesday night and I expect the 13-14 Mercy to have no mercy on the 5-24 Phoenix. Detroit actually plays with revenge hera fter Wisconsin Green Bay inexplicably took the lone regular season contest at home (70-63.) Detroit was a big favorite in that one, but note that it's 7-2 ATS in its last 9 in trying to revenge a conference loss against an opponent in which it was the fav. Detroit finished the season by going 6-4, and they were 8-1 at home. That one loss occured in their last game, so a big rebound is expected here in this revenge scenario. Lay the points, and expect a complete ATS beatdown from start to finish! AAA Sports |
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02-28-22 | Bethune-Cookman v. Grambling State UNDER 134.5 | Top | 69-63 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) Bethune-Cookman and Grambling State are stumbling towards the finish line. With little to play for here, I expect another sloppy overall affair, one that falls "under" the number. The Wildcats enter on a 3-game losing streak. They're off an 87-84 OT loss to Southern. Off that heart-wrenching setback, I can't see how the visiting side will muster much energy for tonight's game vs. 11-16 Grambling State. The Tigers are off a 79-73 defeat to Florida A&M on Saturday. The main issue for both teams this year though has been because of their poor offenses, as Bethune-Cookman averages 62.8 PPG, while Grambling State averages 65.8. Both team's strength lies on the defensive end. Look for a this one to fall well "under" before the final seconds tick off the clock! AAA Sports |
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02-28-22 | Raptors v. Nets UNDER 221.5 | Top | 133-97 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 9 m | Show |
10* UNDER (EXPRESS) This is a big game between two Eastern Conferene playoff bound teams. Toronto is 32-27, while Brooklyn is 32-29. The Raptors are off a poor 127-100 road loss at Atlanta. The Raptors only average 108.3 PPG this year. This is the opener of a home and home set, as they'll play in Toronto tomorrow night. I believe the opener will be a defensive affair. Toronto plays with revenge after falling 131-129 in OT to the Nets in mid-December. Brooklyn averages 111 PPG. It's off a 126-123 road win at Milwaukee. The Nets upcoming schedule is a difficult one, with the game at Toronto tomorrow, followed by Miami, Boston, Charlotte and Philly. We're into the second half now and things are getting heated. I expect a tight defensive and ultimately lower-scoring defensive war from start to finish; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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02-28-22 | Maple Leafs v. Capitals +115 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
10* CAPITALS (GOW) Both teams are fighting for better seeding in the playoffs. Toronto is 34-14-4, while Washington is 28-17-9. The Leafs are off a 10-7 win at Detroit, and suffice it to say, I believe a predictable letdown is in the cards here after that "outlier." The Capitals on the other hand have lost 2 straight. Most recently it was as 2-1 setback to the Flyers. Still, the Caps have scored 3 or more goals in 7 of their last 9 games. They're also 10-3 in their last 13 at home vs. the Buds, while Toronto is in fact just 3-8 in its last 11 in this series overall. Looks like a great spot to pull the trigger for a Washington bounceback! AAA Sports |
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02-27-22 | Clippers v. Rockets +7 | Top | 99-98 | Win | 100 | 26 h 28 m | Show |
10* ROCKETS (ASSASSIN) The Clippers are 31-31 and somehow managing to stay afloat despite not having Kawhi Leonard or Paul George in the line-up. The Rockets sneak in under the radar here though at 15-44. Houston is off a 119-111 loss to Orlando. The Clippers are off a 105-102 win over the Lakers and I believe will suffer a predictable letdown here. This is the opener of a two-game set between the teams here, with the second coming on March 1st. Expect the home side, which plays with revenge after falling 142-111 to LA in mid February, to keep this one tight down the stretch; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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02-27-22 | Ohio State v. Maryland +4.5 | Top | 60-75 | Win | 100 | 23 h 17 m | Show |
10* MARYLAND (BOB) Ohio State is 18-7, but if its had one clear glaring weakness it's been its play on the road, where it's just 5-5. Maryland is 13-15 overall and 8-8 at home. OSU enters off a tight 86-83 win over Illinois, while Maryland fell 74-64 to at Indiana. The Terps though play with revenge here after losing 82-67 to OSU back on February 6th. Note that Maryland is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent. This one has all the making of a complete nail-biter. The Terps play better at home. In a game that is going to come down to the final moments, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports |
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02-27-22 | Sabres v. Stars OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 21 h 21 m | Show |
10* OVER (EXPRESS) Buffalo won't be in the playoffs, but it'll be eager to snap a 5-game slide. Note that the Sabres have seen the total go "over" the number in six of their last 8 after playing to 5 or more straight losses in a row. The Sabres beat the Stars 5-4 at home in January, so they'll be looking for a repeat performance here. The Stars though have seen the total go "over" the number in 10 of their last 13 in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent. Look for this non-conference game to have very little defense, and for this total to fly well "over" before the final buzzer blares! AAA Sports |
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02-26-22 | Wild +128 v. Flames | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 26 h 27 m | Show |
10* WILD (BOB) I think this is a great spot to pull the trigger on this really good visiting side. Calgary has been great, as it's 30-14-6 overall, including 14-4-4 at home, but after 9 straight wins, it finally came up short in a 7-1 loss at Vancouver last time out. I say the Flames have a predictable letdown here in the second game after their big win streak was snapped. The Wild will look to take advantage, and won't be taking anything for advantage here after their 3-1 loss at Toronto on Friday night. This is the opener of a home and home set for the Wild, with Calgary coming to Minnesota on March 1st. I say the Wild strike first! AAA Sports |
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02-26-22 | Kings +8.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 110-115 | Win | 100 | 26 h 35 m | Show |
10* KINGS (ASSASSIN) After beating the Kings by a score of 128-110 in Sacramento two nights ago, I think the Nuggets will get caught complacent here. They're in Portland tomorrow night, so the temptation to take the foot off the proverbial gas pedal will definitely be there for the home side. Sacramento has now lost 3 straight, both SU and ATS, which is significant to note here as it's 7-2 ATS in its last 9 after 3 or more SU/ATS losses in a row. It's also 8-4 ATS in its last 12 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. No outright here, but closer than expected; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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02-26-22 | Nevada +7.5 v. Wyoming | 61-74 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 23 m | Show | |
8* NEVADA (DESTRUCTION) The 12-14 Nevada Wolfpack won't be going down without a fight here vs. 22-5 Wyoming. Nevada could still move up a spot or two before the end of the season, while Wyoming still has an opporutnity to earn the No. 1 spot in the conference. Wyoming picked up a 10-point road win in January, but note that Nevada is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. Nevada is off a tough 62-54 home loss to UNLV on Tuesday, which is important to note for us here, as the Wolfpack are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 off a SU home loss in which they were held to 55 or less points in. Wyoming is off a 61-55 road loss to Colorado State. I say the Cowboys get caught flat here and while I'm not predicting an outright upset, I'm definitely expecting a "nail-biter!" So grab the points! AAA Sports |
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02-26-22 | Kansas v. Baylor -3 | 70-80 | Win | 100 | 24 h 22 m | Show | |
9* BAYLOR (U OF THE U) Kansas is 23-4 overall and 12-2 in Big 12 action, but after 4 straight wins, I expect it to stumble here in this difficult road venue vs. the revenge-minded Bears. Kansas is off a 102-83 win over K-State, while Baylor held on for a 66-64 win over OK State. The Bears play with revenge here though, and ULTIMATELY that's the reasoning behind this play. Baylor plays REALLY well in the revenge role. Kansas won 83-59 as a 2.5-point fav on its own floor at the start of the month, but the Bears are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to revenge a SU/ATS conference loss against an opponent. Lay the points, expect a blowout! AAA Sports |
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02-26-22 | Butler v. Marquette -8.5 | Top | 56-64 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 24 m | Show |
10* MARQUETTE (BIG EAST GOM) 13-16 Butler is just 3-7 on the road, while 17-10 Marquette is 11-3 at home. The Golden Eagles will be out to smash the Bulldogs today. They're just 1-3 in their last 4 SU, and 0-4 ATS. One of those losses includes an inexplicable 85-79 loss at Butler as a 4-point fav in the middle of the month. Note though that Marquette is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 in trying to revenge a conference road loss against an opponent. Butler's lost 3 games SU, but gone 2-1 ATS. I say that the Bulldogs stumble here in this difficult road venue. I love the way this one sets up for the home side from a situational stand point; lay the points with confidence! AAA Sports |
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02-25-22 | Pelicans v. Suns UNDER 225 | Top | 117-102 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show |
10* UNDER (EXPRESS) I believe both teams are going to come out "flat" here, and because of that, I expect this total to fall "under" the posted number. The Pels are just 23-36 this season, which includes going only 10-19 on the road. The main reason has been their poor offensive play, as they average only 106.3 PPG. The Suns are the highest-scoring team in the league, averaging 113.8 PPG, but with Utah coming to town on Sunday, I say the home side takes the foot off the gas in the second half. Phoenix won 123-110 at New Orleans at the start of the year and that total sailed well "over" the number, but take note that the Pelicans have seen the total dip below the posted number in 6 of their last 8 in trhing to revenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. Look for "rust" to play a factor here for each side in their first game back from the break; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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02-25-22 | Blue Jackets v. Hurricanes UNDER 6.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 113 | 11 h 14 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) Columbus is off a 6-3 win at Florida. The Jackets have now won 4 straight. They average 3.33 GPG, while allowing 3.63. Note though that they've seen the total go "under" the number in 7 of their last 11 after a road win of 3 or more goals. They play with revenge here after a 6-0 defeat to the Canes back in early January. I think Columbus will once again have difficulty finding its scoring touch today against a Carolina team that allows just 2.42 GPG, ranked second overall. The Hurricanes do average 3.50 GPG, which is ranked 6th, but after a 4-3 OT win over Philadelphia 3 nights ago, I say the home side comes out flat tonight. This number is elevated, the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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02-25-22 | Harvard +8 v. Princeton | Top | 67-74 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
10* HARVARD (IVY LEAGUE GOM) I think the 13-10 Harvard Crimson will take the 19-5 Princeton Tigers down to the wire this evening. Harvard comes in playing arguably its best basketball of the season after its 2nd straight win, a 77-72 OT victory over Cornell. The Crimson average 72.3 PPG, while conceding 68.4. Princeton enters having won 4 straight, most recently holding on for an 81-75 win over Yale. The Tigers average 72.3 PPG, while allowing 69.3. This is the opener of a home and home set and because of that, I'm expecting a very intenese 2-game stretch here. Harvard is 7-2 ATS the last 9 in this series and while I'll stop short in calling for an outright upset, everything points to a real nail-biter; the play is Harvard! AAA Sports |
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02-24-22 | Grizzlies v. Wolves +3 | 114-119 | Win | 100 | 28 h 48 m | Show | |
9* WOLVES (DESTRUCTION) I think this is a great spot to pull the trigger on the hungry home side today. Karl Anthony Towns is an underrated player. He's one of only two players in history to win both the three-point contest and the skills contest. The Wolves play with revenge here after a 116-108 loss to the Grizz in mid January. Memphis won 6 straight before the All Star break, but it lost its final game in a 123-119 home setback to the lowly Blazers. With a much more high-profile game at Chicago on Saturday, will the visiting side get caught "looking ahead" here?! It very well could. Look for the well-rested and revenge-mided Wolves to find a way to deliver on Thursday night! AAA Sports |
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02-24-22 | Celtics v. Nets UNDER 213.5 | Top | 129-106 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 16 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) Scoring is back up around the NBA, but we can expect a very defensive affair here between two Eastern Conference hopefuls. The Celtics are just 14-15 on the road this season and they only average 108.9 points per game. Brooklyn is only 13-15 at home and it averages 110.8 PPG, which ranks 11th. The Nets play with revenge here after falling 126-91 to the C's back on February 8th (and note that BK has seen the total go "under" in 6 of its last 8 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS road loss in which it was held to 95 points or less in.) The Nets are still undermanned and I believe the "B" team doubles down on the defensive end this evening. This number is high, the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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02-24-22 | Wild v. Maple Leafs -155 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 32 m | Show |
10* LEAFS (DESTRUCTION) Toronto is off a 4-3 OT loss at home to Columbus. It averages 3.54 GPG, while allowing 2.80. It plays with revenge here after a 4-3 loss at Minnesota at the start of December. With an upcoming two-game road trip starting this weekend, Friday's game takes on added importance for the Buds. Minnesota averages 3.79 GPG, while allowing 3.00. It's off a poor 4-3 loss at Ottawa. With a game at Calgary on Saturday, followed by a home game against the Flames after that, I say the visiting side gets caught "looking ahead." Considering all of the above factors, I think we're getting a GREAT price on the revenge-minded home side; lay the price! AAA Sports |
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02-23-22 | Jets v. Stars OVER 5.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -118 | 14 h 26 m | Show |
10* OVER (ASSASSIN) Dallas only averages 2.86 GPG. It concedes 2.94. It's seen the total go UNDER in 4 straight off a listless 3-1 loss at Arizona in its most recenty outing. Suffice it to say, off that "stinker," we can expect the Stars to come out fired up here at home facing the streaky Jets. When these teams played on February 11th, Dallas earned the 4-3 win. I expect a similar final combined score here. The Jets average 2.88 GPG, while allowing 2.92. They're off a 3-1 loss at Calgary, but they've seen the total go "over" the number in 7 of their last 9 in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent. For all the reasons listed above, the play is the over! AAA Sports |
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02-23-22 | Appalachian State v. Arkansas-Little Rock +7.5 | 78-66 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 22 m | Show | |
8* UALR This is the final Sun Belt homestand for UALR and I expect it to make the most of familiar surroundings this evening. Little Rock has finished a stretch of 6 of 8 games on the road. The Mountaineers have won 2 straight and 6 of the last 8 in this series, but Little Rock is 5-2 against App State on its own floor. This is UALR's final season in the Sun Belt. App State broke a 2 game slide witha 69-51 win over USA, but note that it's just 2-7 ATS in its last 9 off a SU/ATS home win in which it held its opponent to 55 or less points in. Home floor DOES matter here; grab the points, the play is Arkansas Little Rock! AAA Sports |
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02-23-22 | Eastern Kentucky +9.5 v. Jacksonville State | Top | 68-81 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 52 m | Show |
10* EASTERN KENTUCKY (ASUN GOY) I like 12-16 EKU to sneak in "under the radar" tonight vs. the 18-9 Jacksonville State Gamecocks. EKU is coming off a tight 83-76 loss to Central Arkansas on Saturday. The Gamecocks come in off an 82-67 win over Bellarmine on Sunday. This is a revenge game as well for the Colonels after the Gamecocks earned a 76-65 road win earlier in the season (note that EKU is in fact 7-3 ATS in last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent.) No outright, but I believe the stage is set for a competitive battle; grab the points, the play is Eastern Kentucky! AAA Sports |
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02-22-22 | Sharks +1.5 v. Ducks | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 31 h 45 m | Show |
10* SHARKS (PUCKLINE GOM) Outright win? It's entirely possible. But in a contest that I see being decided late or even in extra time, I'm going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance. SJ has now lost 6 straight after a 4-1 loss at home to Vegas in its most recent outing (the Sharks though are 7-2 in their last 9 after a 5 games or longer losing streak.) They haven't played Anaheim yet this season, but I say the Ducks take a step back here after their big 7-4 win over the Canucks last time out. Between two teams that struggle on both ends of the ice, the official call will be to lay the price and take the Sharks on the puckline! AAA Sports |
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02-22-22 | Alabama -4.5 v. Vanderbilt | 74-72 | Loss | -115 | 30 h 38 m | Show | |
8* ALABAMA (DESTRUCTION) The Crimson Tide enter at 17-10 overall (just 7-7 in league action), while Vandy is 14-12 this season (and only 6-8 in conference play.) Bama is off a 90-81 road loss at Kentucky, but note that it's 7-3 ATS in its last 10 off a SU/ATS setback in which it allowed 90 or more points in. Vandy is coming off a 72-67 home win over Texas A&M, but note that it's just 2-7 ATS in its last 9 after 5 or more straight ATS covers in a row (the Commodores have in fact covered in 6 straight.) Vandy averages just 69.3 PPG, while Bama averages 80.4. Lay the points, expect a blowout! AAA Sports |
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02-22-22 | Northern Illinois v. Eastern Michigan -3.5 | Top | 72-74 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 39 m | Show |
10* EASTERN MICHIGAN (MAC "GOM") These teams are poor. NIU is just 8-17 this year, including only 6-9 on the road. EMU is only 9-18 this season, but it's a respectable 7-6 at home. I can't understate how important I believe that the "home floor" advantage will be tonight. NIU has covered in 3 straight, but it's off a 78-75 loss to Miami Ohio at home as a 3.5-point underdog (NIU is in fact just 2-7 ATS in its last 9 after 3 or more straight ATS victories in a row.) EMU plays with revenge here after a 77-70 road loss at NIU as a 1.5-point favorite in mid January. Note though that the Eagles are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 in trying to revenge a conference road loss against an opponent. Look for the "revenge angle" to be a major difference-maker as well for the home side. With two extremely strong external factors working in their favor, the play is the EMU Eagles! AAA Sports |
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02-21-22 | Seattle Kraken v. Canucks UNDER 5.5 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 33 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) Looks like a great spot to pull the trigger on a defensive game here. That means playing the "under." Seattle is terrible on both ends of the ice, but it catches a break here facing the Canucks, who average a paltry 2.59 GPG. They're much better on the defensive end, where they allow just 2.80. That's 13th. Off a 7-4 home loss to Anaheim, note that Vancouver has seen the total go "under" the number in 8 of its last 11 off a three goals or greater home loss. Seattle averages only 2.59 GPG, while allowing 3.51. The Kraken though are off a 2-1 road loss at Calgary and I envision another lower-scoring defensive battle here as well. Considering all of the above information, my official call here is on the under! AAA Sports |
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02-21-22 | Alabama State v. Bethune-Cookman UNDER 134 | Top | 89-78 | Loss | -100 | 15 h 34 m | Show |
10* UNDER (SWAC TOY) Two really poor teams here. I can't see at all where the motivation will come from. Alabama State is just 6-20 overall, including only 2-14 on the road, while Bethune-Cookman is 7-19 overall and 4-5 at home this season. The Hornets only average 67.7 PPG, while the Wildcats average just 61.3. The Wildcats play with revenge here after falling 79-73 at Alabama State in mid-January. While that game went well "over" the posted number of 133, we can expect a much tighter, and ultimately lower-scoring contest this time around, between two teams just playing out the tail ends of their disastrous seasons. Finally, note that Alabama A&M has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in 8 of its last 9 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS home conference home loss against an opponent as the favorite. This number is high, the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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02-21-22 | Southern Utah -5.5 v. Northern Arizona | 79-48 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show | |
8* SOUTHERN UTAH (DESTRUCTION) I think the 16-9 Southern Utah Thunderbirds will figure out a way to not only win this game against the 9-17 Northern Arizona Lumberjacks, but to win it in blowout fashion. Southern Utah has split its last 6 games, while Northern Arizona has lost 6 of its last 8. The Thunderbirds average 79.7 PPG, while allowing 73.9, while the Lumberjacks average 68.9 PPG, while conceding 73.1. The road team is also a great 13-3 ATS the last 16 in this series. Interestingly, the Lumberjacks have lost by an average of 9.8 points this season when playing the role of underdog this season. Southern Utah is poor, but NAU is terrible; lay the points! AAA Sports |
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02-20-22 | Golden Knights -155 v. Sharks | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 15 h 55 m | Show | |
8* VEGAS (DESTRUCTION) Vegas came out of the All Star game and posted a convincing 4-0 win at Edmonton. Since then it's last 3 straight. That includes a tough 4-3 OT loss here at home to the Kings 2 nigths ago. THis is the first time they've faced the Sharks this season. They get 4 nights off after this one before a game against the lowly Coyotes. San Jose has lost both of its games since the All Star break. That includes a 5-4 OT loss here 2 nights ago against the Canucks. The Sharks average only 2.69 GPG, while Vegas averages 3.22. Look for Vegas to take advantage here and to finally stop the bleeding; lay the price! AAA Sports |
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02-20-22 | Temple v. Cincinnati -6.5 | Top | 75-71 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
10* Cincinnati (ASSASSIN) Temple is 14-9, while Cincinnati is 17-9. The Owls come in off a 64-57 win over SMU as 3-point dogs, which is noteworthy in this case, as Temple is just 2-6 ATS in its last 8 off a SU/ATS upset in which it was an underdog. The Bearcats handled their business though last time out, pulling away for a comfortable 85-76 win over Wichita State as 3-point favs. If history is any precedence, then the Bearcats have to be loving their chances today, as they're 9-1 in the last 10 in this series. The room for error is very small for Temple, which averages 67 PPG, and concedes 65.6. Cincinnati averages 70.6, while conceding 65.6. After breaking their 2 game slide last time out, look for the Bearcats to keep the foot on the proverbial gas pdeal from start to finish on home floor; lay the points! AAA Sports |
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02-20-22 | Manchester United v. Leeds United +0.75 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -112 | 4 h 56 m | Show |
10* LEEDS UNITED (EPL GOY) This is a revenge game for Leeds, which lost 5-1 at Man U on Opening Day. Leeds is off B2B losses, including a 3-0 setback to Everton most recently. Leeds is capable of scoring with the best of them though, as we saw in its 3-3 draw with Aston Villa approximately a week ago. Manchester United has not been in the best form, despite coming off a much-needed win over Brighton Hove Albion midweek. Manchester United has struggled with consistency this season, especially in closing out teams and finishing games. Man U hasn't had a league double over Leeds since 2002 a Elland Road, and it's going to have a fight on its hands today; I'm grabbing Leeds here in this crucial contest! AAA Sports |
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02-19-22 | Old Dominion +8.5 v. Western Kentucky | Top | 64-73 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 4 m | Show |
10* ODU (CONF USA GOY) The 10-16 Old Dominion Monarchs are on the road looking to rebound after losing 4 of their last 5. Most recently it was a 67-63 setback to Marshall. CJ Keyser had 14.5 points in the loss, while Kalu Ezikpe added 11.1. ODU averages 66.3 PPG, while allowing 67.4. WKU comes in complacent here in my estimation after 6 straight victories. Most recently the Hilltoppers beat Charlotte by a score of 77-67. Dayvion McKnights leads WKU in scoring with 15.7 PPG, but note that the Hilltoppers are a poor 1-7 ATS in their last 8 after 5 or more SU victories in a row. WKU averages 76.6 PPG, while allowing 69.7, but I believe the home side takes the foot off the gas in the second half. While the outright is possible, let's grab the points; the play is Old Dominion! AAA Sports |
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02-19-22 | Oilers v. Jets UNDER 6 | Top | 4-2 | Push | 0 | 28 h 7 m | Show |
10* UNDER (EXPRESS) Edmonton is off a 7-3 win over Anaheim. The Oilers are 13-8 on the road, but they've seen the total go "under" the number in 8 of their last 11 after a victory in which they score 6 or more goals in. After 4 straight wins and 2 straight "overs," I expect a more defensive affair here from the Oilers in this difficult road venue. The Jets are off a 5-3 win over the Kraken. They've scored a combined 11 goals in b2b wins, but note that Winnipeg still only averages 2.94 GPG, which ranks 16th in the league. I expect a competitive affair, but all signs point to this one staying well under the posted number! AAA Sports |
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02-19-22 | Towson v. College of Charleston +4.5 | 80-77 | Win | 100 | 22 h 29 m | Show | |
8* CHARLESTON (DELIGHT) In a contest that I see coming right down to the wire, I'm going to grab up the points. I really do like COC in this spot though, so if you're feeling wealthy, I'd even consider sprinkling a little on the money line here. Towson is 20-7, while COC is 14-11. Towson just smashed UNCW, the first-placed team in the conference, by 24 points on Thursday. Can anyone say "letdown spot?!" True, Towson only sits a .5 game back of the Seahawks now for first place, but after that emotional win, I expect a predictable letdown here on the road vs. the under the radar Cougars. COC comes in off a 71-63 home loss to JMU as a 5.5-point fav. That's not good, but note that COC is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 after a SU/ATS off a SU home loss as a favorite. It also plays with revenge here after a 74-67 loss at the SECU Arena on January 20th. While I do indeed feel an outright upset is a possibility, the call here will be on COC and the points! AAA Sports |
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02-19-22 | Alabama +9.5 v. Kentucky | 81-90 | Win | 100 | 19 h 29 m | Show | |
9* ALABAMA (ASSASSIN) Alabama won't be rolling over here. The Crimson Tide have won 3 straight, most recently beating Mississippi State by a score of 80-75 on Wednesday. Jahvon Quinerly had 21 points. Kentucky enters on the other end of the spectrum, as the Wildcats just had their 6 game win streak snapped last time out in a 76-63 upset loss to Tennessee. Oscar Tshiebwe was a lone standout with 13 points and 15 boards. These teams average 80 PPG each, but Kentucky has done better on the defensive end. Situationally though, this one sets up great for 'Bama, which is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS home loss in which it was held to 59 or less points in (lost 66-55 to UK on February 5th.) The conditions are right for an outright upset, but let's grab the points; the play is Alabama! AAA Sports |
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02-19-22 | TCU +12.5 v. Baylor | 62-72 | Win | 100 | 19 h 30 m | Show | |
9* TCU (BLOOD-BATH) TCU won't be rolling over here. It's 16-7, including 4-2 on the road. Baylor is 21-5 and 12-2 at home, but it's struggled somewhat of late, entering off an 83-73 road loss at Texas Tech as a 1.5-point underdog. TCU though plays with revenge here after a 76-64 home loss to the Bears as 10-point underdogs on January 8th. And that's important to note in this case, as TCU is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS home loss against a conference opponent. The Bears have shown cracks in the armor of late. No outright, but much, much closer than expected; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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02-18-22 | Kings v. Golden Knights -157 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -157 | 31 h 17 m | Show |
10* KNIGHTS (BLOOD-BATH) LA is 24-17-7, while Vegas is 28-18-3. The Kings are coming off a 5-2 loss to the Oilers. Cal Peterson allowed 3 goals in 27 shots. Overall the Kings have been good on both ends of the ice, as goaltender Jonathan Quick is 12-10-6 with a 2.60 GAA. But recent form is an issue for the visiting side obviously. The Knights actually come in as the "hungrier" team here after 2 straight losses. Most recently they fell 2-0 to Colorado. That's noteworthy in this case, as Las Vegas is 7-1 in its last 8 off a shutout loss. The Golden Knights are also 4-1 in their last 5 vs. the Pacific division, while the Kings are just 3-7 in their last 10 in this series. No upsets here, lay the price with confidence; the play is Las Vegas! AAA Sports |
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02-18-22 | Missouri +10.5 v. Mississippi State | 49-68 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 43 m | Show | |
8* MISSOURI (DESTRUCTION) This is the first game of a home and home set and I like the underdog visiting side to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. The Bulldogs are 14-10 overall, and 5-6 in league play, while the Tigers are 10-15 overall, and 4-8 in conference action. This is a revenge game of sorts for the Tigers, as they've lost 4 straight in this series. Missouri has been competitive, despite its win/loss record. It has a victory over Alabama and it lost by 1 point to Auburn. Off a 76-57 loss to No. 23 Arkansas, note that the Tigers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 off a SU/ATS conference loss in which they were held to 59 or less points in. The Tigers average 66 PPG, while allowing 70.6. The Bulldogs come in with the better record, but zero momentum, having log four straight, most recently an 80-75 setback to Alabama. The Bulldogs average 73 PPG, while allowing 67. Mississippi State has struggled with consistency of late and I like the under the radar Tigers to hang around late; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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02-18-22 | Maryland v. Nebraska UNDER 145.5 | Top | 90-74 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 13 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) These are two teams in dire need of a win, and because of that I anticipate a much more defensive affair than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. The Terps are just 11-14 and they've lost 5 straight. The Huskers are just 7-18 this year, with just 1 conference victory. Maryland is coming off a heart-breaking 62-61 loss to No. 3 Purdue as well, so I have a hard time seeing where this team will find its focus or energy on the road. Thankfully, the Terps don't have to worry about Nebraska's pathetic offense. Both teams average in the low 70's and I don't expect either to hit their offensive seasonal averages. This one will be a sloppy, and ultimately lower-scoring defensive war; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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02-17-22 | Oregon -4.5 v. Arizona State | 57-81 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 4 m | Show | |
9* OREGON (DESTRUCTION) I like the way this one sets up for the Ducks. They're 17-8 overall this season, which includes going a near-perfect 5-1 on the road. Arizona State on the other hand is just 8-15 this season, which includes a sub-par 5-6 record at home. The Ducks held on for a 62-59 win at home over Washington State last time out, but they were unable to cover the 5-point spread. Oregon has now lost 4 straight against the spread, which is noteworthy in this instance, as the Ducks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 after 3 or more ATS losses in a row. They also play with the added incentive of "revenge" here after somehow losing to the Sun Devils 69-67 in OT at home as 9-point favs in early December. ASU only averages 63.9 PPG. Off a rare win last time out, a 58-55 victory over WSU as a 10.5-point underdog, everything points to a predictable letdown here for sure in my opinion. Look for the hungry Ducks to keep the foot on proverbial gas pedal from start to finish; lay the points! AAA Sports |
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02-17-22 | Mavs v. Pelicans +3 | Top | 125-118 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
10* PELICANS (EXPRESS) I think this is a great spot for the Pels. They're coming off a 121-109 loss here at home to the Grizz, but they managed a 107-91 victory over the Mavericks on December 3rd. Dallas is off an upset 107-99 victory at Miami as a 5.5-point underdog, but with the All Star break starting tomorrow, I believe the visitors are going to go through the motions today as Luca Doncic gets ready for the upcoming All Star game. These teams average almost the identical amount of points, with New Orleans averaging 106.1 and Dallas averaging 106.3. The difference comes on the defensive end, but the overall situation working in favor of the Pels here supercedes that factor. Clearly, the outright win is in the cards here, but the official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is New Orleans! AAA Sports |
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02-17-22 | Penguins v. Maple Leafs -144 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 27 h 8 m | Show |
10* LEAFS (BLOOD-BATH) Pittsburgh's won 4 straight since returning from the All Star break, but I believe it'll finally stumble here in this difficult road venue. The Penguins are off a tight 5-4 OT win at home ver the lowly Flyers. In fact, the only good team they've beaten since the return was a 4-2 victory over Boston on the first night. Since then thy also have wins over putrid Ottawa and terrible New Jersey. Toronto plays with revenge here after a 2-0 loss to the Pens in November. And that's noteworthy in this case, as the Buds are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 in trying to revenge a shutout road loss against an opponent. Toronto is just 2-2 since returning to action, but it won its lone home game in that span, a 4-3 OT victory over league-leading Carolina. Look for the Leafs to do the same here, as they defend their ice; I have no issues at all in laying this price! AAA Sports |