Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-21-22 | Celtics v. Bulls +6.5 | Top | 107-121 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
10* BULLS (GOW) Here's a perfect spot for Chicago to avenge an earlier loss to the Celtics. Chicago is off a 108-107 home loss to Orlando as an 8.5-point favorite. The Bulls will be risking life and limb to try and snap a four-game slide tonight, especially with a very tough six-game road trip that starts on Wednesday in Milwaukee. Boston is 13-3. It's off a 117-109 road win at New Orleans. But with a night off after this, followed by a very favorable six-game home-stand, this sets up as a classic "trap" game for the visiting side in my opinion; the outright is possible, but in the end let's grab the points with the Bulls! AAA Sports |
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11-21-22 | Rhode Island +10 v. Kansas State | Top | 57-77 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
10* Rhode Island (NON-CONF GOW) These teams are closing out the first round of the Cayman Islands Classic on Monday night. Rhode Island is 1-2, and it's coming off its first win of the season in 74-64 victory over Stonehill. K-State is 3-0, most recently handling Kansas City by a score of 69-53. Rhode Island has some talent in players like Abdou Samb, averaging over ten points per game in the early going. The Cougars are only allowing 55.3 PPG, which is the lowest in the country so far, but that's been in part due to the level of competition it's faced. Markquis Nowell averages 3.3 steals per game for the Wildcats. Rhode Island isn't going to win this game, but I expect the Rams to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch! AAA Sports |
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11-21-22 | Wales v. United States UNDER 2 | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
8* UNDER (Wales/USA) Wales makes its first appearance at a World Cup in 64 years. The USA is back in the World Cup after missing out in 2018. Both teams squeaked into the Tournament. The USA has failed to beat a European team in nine straight tries in the World Cup, and they could have a difficult time here vs. Wales. Wales hasn't won a friendly or any match at all since qualifying with a 1-0 win over Ukraine. England is favored to win this group. Everything points to the being a "war of attrition," and I expect that to result in a very defensive, lower-scoring battle; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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11-20-22 | Spurs v. Lakers -7 | Top | 92-123 | Win | 100 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
10* Lakers (ATS BLOOD-BATH) I think this is a good spot for LA. The Lakers are just 4-10, which includes going 4-5 at home. They're off back-to-back home victories, taking down the Nets 116-103 and the Pistons 128-121. San Antonio is just 6-11 and it's coming off a 119-97 loss here just last night to the Clipper. Fatigue's an issue for the Spurs at this point of the season. They'll get caught looking ahead here to two nights off before a home game against the Pelicans. The Lakers can take advantage and I believe they will; lay the points, the play is LA! AAA Sports |
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11-20-22 | Chiefs v. Chargers OVER 49.5 | Top | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 103 h 53 m | Show |
10* OVER Chiefs/Chargers. For a number of different reasons, I'm expecting a wide-open "shootout," instead of a lower-scoring defensive "battle." Kansas City is 7-2 and LA is 5-4. The Chiefs are off a 27-17 win over Jacksonville at home last weekend. KC has seen the total go "under" the number in two straight, but it's still the highest scoring team in the league in averaging 30 PPG. This is a rematch, as KC won the first game at home between the division rivals by a score of 27-24 as a four-point favorite. That one actually went "under" the number of 54 set in that contest. Tonight's total is significantly lower, but now it's a bit too low in my opinion. My UNDERDOG GAME OF THE YEAR came last weekend in the Chargers 22-16 loss/cover against the 49ers as 6.5-point underdogs. LA is still second in the division and it's seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU road loss against an opponent. The national stage is set for a "shootout," not a defensive battle; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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11-20-22 | Cowboys v. Vikings UNDER 48.5 | Top | 40-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
10* under Cowboys/Vikings (ASSASSIN) This is an interesting game. The Cowboys are favored for a second straight week as the visiting side. Last week Dallas fell 31-28 in OT at Green Bay as a four-point favorite. Suspect play calling down the stretch cost the Cowboys the victory. Now they head to Minnesota as a slight 1.5-point favorite to face an 8-1 Vikings team that comes home after an emotional 33-30 OT win at Buffalo as a 6.5-point underdog. We saw some high-scoring games last weekend, but I'm anticpating a much more defensive affair this time around in Minnesota, with each side committed to establishing the run while on offense; it's a great situational play on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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11-20-22 | Arkansas-Pine Bluff v. Nebraska -20 | Top | 58-82 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
10* Nebraska (BLOWOUT BOB) For a number of different reasons I expect Nebraska to blowout Arkansas-Pine Bluff this afternoon. The Golden Lions are 1-5. They average 65 PPG. They're off a 67-58 loss at Cleveland State. Nebraska is now 2-1 after a 70-50 loss at St. John's as a 9.5-point underdog. The Huskers average 68 PPG. Arkansas-Pine Bluff is just 4-9 ATS in its last 13 following an ATS win. Nebraska on the other hand is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 home games vs. teams with losing road records. Look for the Huskers to bounce back here in this favorable spot, as I expect the Golden Lions offense to struggle here; lay the points, the play is Nebraska! AAA Sports |
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11-20-22 | Lions +3 v. Giants | 31-18 | Win | 100 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
8* Lions (LATE INFO) Detroit's played well lately, and I expect it to keep the momentum rolling here. The Lions have won two straight, beating the Packers 15-9 at home as four-point underdogs, and then last week they held on for the 31-30 OT win at Chicago as three-point underdogs. Scoring hasn't been an issues for the Lions, as they average 24.3 PPG, ranked ninth. The Giants average just 20.8 PPG. They're coming off a 24-16 home win over Houston as 4.5-point favorites. Both teams have tough upcoming games on Thanksgiving Thursday, with Detroit playing Buffalo and New York facing the Cowboys. This is a contrarian selection, but I say the value has indeed swung in favor of this suring Lions' offense; grab the points, the play is Detroit! AAA Sports |
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11-19-22 | Jazz v. Blazers -3.5 | Top | 118-113 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 32 m | Show |
10* Blazers (ASSASSIN) As primarily a situational handicapper, this is type of "situation" that I am constantly looking out for. Here's a great play against Utah, which moved to 11-6 after last night's tight 134-133 home win over the Suns. Utah opened as a 2.5-point dog, and closed as a 1-point favorite. The Jazz though had lost three straight coming into that one, and they also played with revenge after an earlier setback to Phoenix. But now Utah comes to Portland fatigued on the second game of the back-to-back. Portland is 10-5 after a 109-107 home loss to Brooklyn as a 2.5-point favorite. With a tough four-game Eastern swing starting at Milwaukee on Monday, the Blazers will be looking to take advantage of familiar surroundings tonight. Look for the Blazers to bounce back and to take advantage of this "tired" Jazz side; lay the short points! AAA Sports |
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11-19-22 | San Jose State v. Utah State +2.5 | Top | 31-35 | Win | 100 | 105 h 2 m | Show |
10* Utah State (MW GOY) San Jose State is 6-3. It's eligible. It's coming off a 43-27 lss at SDSU. The Spartans average 27.1 PPG. They have a much "easier" game at home to end the season against Hawaii next weekend. Utah State is 5-5. It averages 22.1 PPG. It's coming off a much-needed 41-34 win at Hawaii last weekend. With a game at conference leading Boise State to end the season, this becomes a "must win" for Utah State if it hopes to go "Bowling." It's a great situational play here. Utah State will carry over its offensive momentum from last week and while I clearly believe the outright win is possible, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is Utah State! AAA Sports |
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11-19-22 | UAB +15.5 v. LSU | 10-41 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 60 m | Show | |
8* UAB (SITUATIONAL ROUT) Outright win? I'm not calling for that. But everything point to a solid cover for the non-conference visiting side in my opinion. The Blazers are now 5-5 and in need of one more victory to become bowl eligible after last week's 41-21 rout of UNT as a 6.5-point favorite. The Blazers average 32 PPG, and they'll have one last shot to reach the six-win plateau next week at 3-7 Louisiana Tech. LSU is 8-2, and 5-1 at home. It'll be cautious to overlook its potentially dangerous opponent. The Tigers average 32.6 PPG, but with back-to-back tough road games at Texas A&M and Georgia in the SEC Championship, there's no doubt that this also sets up as a "letdown/lookahead" position for the home side. It's a trap! Grab the points, the play is UAB! AAA Sports |
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11-19-22 | Bryant v. Florida International +3 | Top | 91-85 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
10* FIU (ATS BLOOD-BATH) Both teams are 2-1. Bryant is averaging 77.5 PPG and allowing 44.5. The Bulldogs competition to this point has to be called into question though. FIU has so far averaged 82 PPG, while allowing 82.3. The Bulldogs just got crushed by FAU on the road though. One of their two wins was against a division 2 opponent. FIU is definitely not as good as FAU, but the Golden Panthers are shooting the ball well right now, and I expect that to be a difference-maker here at home; grab the points, the play is Florida International! AAA Sports |
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11-19-22 | Georgia Tech +21 v. North Carolina | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
8* Georgia Tech (SPECIAL) At this time of the year, it's all about betting "situations." This is a great situational play in my opinion. The Yellow Jackets are 4-6 with two games remaining. After playing at UNC, they finish the year at Georgia. The Yellow Jackets' bowl hopes end tonight, but I believe they go down fighthing. Ultimately though I expect UNC to take the foot off the gas in the second half. The Tar Heels are ranked 13th at 9-1 and they're off a tighter than expected 36-34 road win at Wake Forest as a 4.5-point underdog. UNC though has two more games left to go, including at home against NC State next week, followed by the AAC Championship game against Clemson. UNC takes the foot off the gas in the second half here, and the Yellow Jackets comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch; grab the points, the play is GT! AAA Sports |
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11-18-22 | South Florida v. Tulsa OVER 57.5 | Top | 42-48 | Win | 100 | 12 h 0 m | Show |
10* OVER USF/Tulsa. What does either team have to lose here, except another game?! With nothing on the line, even the chance to play spoiler, I look for a wide-open offensive affair, rather than an intense defensive one. Teh Bulls have lost eight in a row. Last time out they fell 41-23 to SMU. I'm envisioning a similar final combined score here as well. The Golden Hurricane enter on a three-game losing streak, most recently falling 26-10 at Memphis. Tulsa is a huge favorite here in its final home game of the season. It'll be an underdog next week in Houston. Both teams can score. USF averages 25.5 PPG, while Tulsa averages 28.2. I expect each to exceed their season offensive averages tonight; this total is low, the play is the over! AAA Sports |
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11-18-22 | Heat v. Wizards UNDER 219.5 | Top | 106-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
10* UNDER Heat/Wizards. For a number of different reasons I'm expecting a lower-scoring battle in this one. Miami is 7-8 and Washington is 8-7. The Heat are just 1-4 on the road, and the Wizards are 5-4 at home. Miami has seen the total go "over" the number in five straight now after a 112-104 loss at Toronto in its last outing. It had won three-straight at home previous. Regardless, it's still significant to note here for us as the Heat have seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. The Wizards look to regroup after falling 121-120 at home to OKC as five-point favs. Despite the higher-scoring game, note that the Wizards still only average 108.9 PPG, ranked 25th. I anticipate a very defensive battle; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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11-18-22 | Lafayette v. Maryland-Baltimore County -1 | Top | 63-71 | Win | 100 | 4 h 25 m | Show |
10* UMBC (LATE INFO PLAY) These are two bad teams, but this is a matchup that I believe favors UMBC. Lafayette is 0-3 and UMBC is 1-2. The Leopards are off a 63-59 loss to Saint Joseph's. CJ Fulton is the leading scorer with an average of 13.3 PPG. Overall Lafeyette averages 60.3 PPG. The Retreivers are off a 94-64 loss to Princeton. Colton Lawrence leads the nightly charge for UMBC by averaging 14.7 points per game. UMBC is averaging 74.3 PPG. The Retreivers are also 5-1 ATS their last six at home. The Leopards are overvalued here on the road and getting too much respect from bettors after starting the season 3-0 ATS. Look for UMBC to take care of business here; lay the short points! AAA Sports |
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11-17-22 | Titans v. Packers -3 | Top | 27-17 | Loss | -115 | 30 h 51 m | Show |
10* PACKERS (GOW) I think Aaron Rodgers and the Packers turned a corner in last week's 31-28 OT win at home over Dallas. Now 4-6 and in second in the NFC North, I believe Rodgers is the correct call here on the short wek at home. The Titans are off the 17-10 home win over Denver, but after eight straight ATS covers, I say Tennessee is getting too much respect here now on the road vs. the desperate home side. Green Bay's defense is underrated as well, allwoing 21.6 points and 320.3 YPG. I think Green Bay is the correct call here; lay the points! AAA Sports |
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11-17-22 | SMU v. Tulane -3.5 | Top | 24-59 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
10* Tulane (ASSASSIN) SMU is 6-4 and Tulane is now 8-2 after falling 38-31 to UCF last week. Tulane does still have a shot at a New Year's Six bowl, so there's still lots on the line for Tulane this weekend as well. SMU has reeled off three straight wins. Its offense has looked great in the victories, scoring 163 points, which included a 77-63 win over Houston two weeks ago. And then last week's 41-23 victory at home over USF as well. But this would appear to be a classic trap or letdown spot after becoming bowl eligible last weekend. The SMU offense has been great, but the defense has been terrible. Tulane is tied with Cincinnati for second in the AAC ahead of their meeting next weekend. The Wave simply can't afford to look past their opponent today. The big question here is if this normally stout Tulane defense can bounce back after last weekend's atypical performance. This hasn't been a great spot for SMU bettors, as the Mustangs are just 1-3 against the spread as an underdog this season (in fact SMU has lost all four games outright as an underdog as well this year.) UCF's defense is a lot better than SMU's. The Green Wave have a balanced offense, which includes a top 40 red zone touchdown percentage. This is a much better matchup for Tulane's defense this week. It's also a better matchup for its offense. SMU's defense is just downright terrible, it simply can't stop anyone. And yes, SMU's offense has looked great over the last three games, but the three defenses it's faced in those victories are all outside the top 100 on the defensive side of the ball; I expect the Green Wave to get back on track in this favorable matchup, so lay the points! AAA Sports |
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11-17-22 | Flames v. Lightning UNDER 6.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
10* UNDER Flames/Lightning (SPECIAL) Neither team has been great this year. Each is need of a win. Calgary is 7-6-2, while Tampa is 9-6-0-1. While they're off a high-scoring 6-5 home win over LA, I expect a much more defensive game from the Flames here on the road. Calgary averages 3.13 GPG, while allowing 3.33. Tampa is off a 5-4 OT home win over Dallas in its last outing. Tampa averages just 3.38 GPG, while allowing 3.25. This is the opener of six straight on the road for the Flames, all tough games as well, facing Florida, Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, Washington and Carolina. Calgary will look to double down defensively here in the opener. I expect a very defensive affair; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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11-16-22 | Warriors +2.5 v. Suns | Top | 119-130 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
10* Warriors (ASSASSIN) The defending champs have so far struggled with consistency, as they're 6-8 overall. They're coming off a much-needed 132-95 home win over the Spurs as nine-point favorites. I like to go against lop-sided trends and numbers, and so that's the case here for sure in this pick. I like the Warriors in this game for a couple reasons. The first being that if the Warriors have any hopes of repeating as champions this season, they're going to have to actually win a game on the road. This is now just ridiculous, as Golden State is actually 0-7 on the road. I say that string of futility comes to an end today. Suns' fans can empathize though, as Phoenix is 2-4 at home 6-1 at home this season. The Suns are off a tight 113-112 loss at Miami. Clearly they won't be looking past the Warriors today, but Golden State plays with the added incentive of "REVENGE" here today, as it lost 134-105 to the Suns in their most recent matchup on October 25th. The Warriors are 7-2 against the spread in their last nine when trying to avenge a straight-up and against the spread loss of 20 or more points. Phoenix averages 112.5 PPG. The Warriors are averaging 117.4; I'm grabbing the points and GOLDEN STATE in this one! AAA Sports |
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11-16-22 | Southern Indiana v. Notre Dame -14.5 | Top | 70-82 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
10* Notre Dame (BLOOD-BATH) Southern Indiana is 1-1 and Notre Dame is 2-0. The Screaming Eagles are off an upset 71-53 home win over Southern Illinois as a ten-point underdog. Can anyone say "letdown" spot here? It was a greart victory, but let's not get ahead of ourselves here. The Screaming Eagels are still ranked fourth in the weak Ohio Valley Conference. The Irish are off an 88-81 win over Youngstown State. ND has yet to cover a spread this season, but that's only helped in driving today's line a few points lower that it normally would/should be. I'm taking advantage. this is a total mismatch. Look for the Irish to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish; lay the points, the play is Notre Dame! AAA Sports |
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11-16-22 | Eastern Michigan v. Kent State OVER 59 | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
10* OVER (TOTAL ANNIHILATION) For a number of different reasons I expect this total to fly "over" the number. EMU is now 6-4 and bowl eligible after its 34-28 road win at Akron last week. The Eagles though still have an outside shot at the league championship, so they won't be taking the foot off the gas here. Overall EMU averages 27.7 PPG. Kent State averages 28.7. The Flashes needed a big performance last week and they delivered in their 40-6 road win at Bowling Green. Now 4-6, Kent will have tonight, as well as next week vs. Buffalo to become eligible. One game at a time though. I don't see a lot of defense being played here. Each team is going to be aggressive and I expect this faster-paced affair to fly "over" the number before the final whistle sounds! AAA Sports |
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11-15-22 | Dayton v. UNLV +5 | Top | 52-60 | Win | 100 | 15 h 50 m | Show |
10* UNLV (BOB) Both teams are 2-0. Dayton beat SMU on Friday by a score of 74-62, while UNLV got the better of Incarnate Word by a score of 88-63. The Flyers didn't have their best outing, but still managed to win last time out: ''The thing that impressed me most was that they stayed poised,'' Dayton coach Anthony Grant said. ''This was a back-and-forth, highly contested game. I think we had at one point a 13-point lead in the second half that they erased. I think our guys understood what they needed to do. They didn't get rattled.” They only shot 30.8 percent from range in the victory. UNLV shot 55.4 percent overall in its latest win. But UNLV head coach Kevin Kruger was more impressed with the defensive effort: "I thought it was a really great effort defensively. Again, forcing 25 turnovers is what gets things going for us. I'm really proud and happy for them. We shot it well, shared the ball, got it in the paint, kicked it out, swung it, drove it - a lot of good plays for each other. We were able to get downhill and get to the free throw line, so that's going to have to be our M.O. offensively, just sharing it, driving and kicking, relocating, but all-in-all I thought it was a pretty good night for us." I think these teams are evenly matched for the most part and in a contest that I see being decided by whichever side has its hands on the ball last, I'm going to grab the points; the play is UNLV! AAA Sports |
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11-15-22 | Clippers v. Mavs -7 | Top | 101-103 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
10* Mavericks (ASSASSIN) The Clippers are 8-6 and the Mavericks are 7-5. LA is off a 122-106 win at Houston just last night, but I expect the Clippers to come in fatigued here in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. LA only averages 105.2 PPG. Dallas averages 110.5. The Mavericks are coming off a 117-112 home win over Portland. Dallas has failed to cover the spread in nine straight games, but I expect this lop-sided trend to end here in this favorable matchup. Look for LA to pack up its tents and throw in the white flag early in this one; lay the points, the play is Dallas! AAA Sports |
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11-15-22 | Ohio v. Ball State +4 | Top | 32-18 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
10* Ball State (MAC GOW) This is a big game for both teams. Ohio is 8-3, while Ball State needs one more win to become bowl eligible at 5-5. The Bobcats are 2-3 on the road and the Cardinals are 3-2 at home. Ball State fell 28-21 at Toledo last weekend, going on to cover with the large 13.5-point spread. Ohio earned the 27-21 win at Miami Ohio as a 2-point favorite. The Bobcats are tied with Toledo now for the conference lead, so they have their "eyes on the prize" as far as the conference championship is concerned. That said, this is Ball State's final home game of the year, before a tough final game at Miami Ohio next week to finish things off. This one sets up great for Ball State from a situtional stand-point. I do think the outright win is possible, but let's grab the points; the play is indeed on Ball State! AAA Sports |
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11-14-22 | Spurs v. Warriors OVER 232.5 | Top | 95-132 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
10* OVER Spurs/Warriors (WEST-CONF TOW) This one sets up as a classic "shootout" in my opinion. San Antonio is 6-7 this year, while the defending champs are just 5-8. The Spurs are off a 11-93 win at home over Milwaukee, which is significant to note here in our case, as San Antonio has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after a SU/ATS home win in which it held its opponent to 95 or fewer points in. This is the opener of a really tough road trip for San Antonio, with a game Portland tomorrow night, followed by the Kings, the Clippers and Lakers. The Warriors have clearly been "out of sync" this season. They're off a 122-115 loss at Sacramento. They've seen the total go "under" in four straight, but I expect the Warriors to bounce back offensively against this suspect San Antonio defense. This one sets up as a higher-scoring shootout, so the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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11-14-22 | Monmouth +27.5 v. Illinois | Top | 65-103 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
10* Monmounth-NJ (UNDERDOG OF WEEK) Outright victory? Of course not. I just think the Illini will take the foot off the gas in the second half and allow the Hawks the opportunity to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the sizeable spread that they've been afforded in this one. Illinois is off an 86 to 48 win over Kansas City as a 25.5-point favorite. But with a game at Maryland up next, followed by Texas, I say this is a bit of a look-ahead spot as well for the home side. Monmouth is 0-2. It fell 89-42 at Virginia last time out as a a 24.5-point underdog, but it matches up much better with Illinois. But as I said, no outright here, but the conditions are definitely right for a much tighter battle than what this spread would initially indicate; that flips the value to the undervalued underdog, so grab the points with Monmouth! AAA Sports |
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11-14-22 | Commanders v. Eagles UNDER 43.5 | Top | 32-21 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
10* UNDER Washington/Philly (BLOOD-BATH) The Eagles are 8-0 and the last thing they'll want to do is to lose focus in this home divisional contest. Divisional contests are always the most important, and they're almost always more important to the home side. The Eagles are 5-3 ATS this year. They're averaging 28.1 PPG, which ranks second overall. They've had a week off since a trap-avoiding 29-17 win at Houston two weeks ago. The Commanders on the other hand are 4-5 and they're coming off a heart-breaking 20-17 loss at home to Minnesota last weekend. Washington averages 17.7 PPG, which ranks 27th. The road ahead has become a favorable one for the Eagles. There won't be too many though where they're favored by this much. Philadelphia doesn't need to run up the score here to win this game. I can't see the Commanders mustering up much offense here, but I'm still nervous about laying a double-digit spread as well. That makes the "under" the correct call in this one! AAA Sports |
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11-13-22 | Eastern Washington +6.5 v. Hawaii | Top | 51-71 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
10* Eastern Washington (ASSASSIN) While I do think an outright win is possible, in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can here. Eastern Washington is 0-2 to open the season, so the Eagles will be super motivated here to try and snap the slide. THey lost 74-60 to a better Yale team last time out. Steele Venters led the way with 15 points for Eastern Washington. Hawaii is coming off a 72-54 home win over Mississippi Valley State, unable to cover the large 25.5-point spread. I think the Warriors are overvauled here again today vs. the Eagles as well, despite the much smaller point spread. Eastern Washington is 37-15-1 ATS in its last 53 road games and 23-3 ATS in its last 26 road games against a team with a winning home record. In a contest that I seeing coming down to whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Eastern Washington! AAA Sports |
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11-13-22 | Chargers +7 v. 49ers | Top | 16-22 | Win | 100 | 104 h 57 m | Show |
10* Chargers (UNDERDOG GOY) Everyone and their dog will be on San Francisco this weekend. The Chargers are 5-3 this year, including 3-1 on the road. The 49ers are 4-4, including 2-1 at home. LA is injured, but it managed to rally and hold on for a big win over an improved Falcons team. Winning in the NFL is hard. No matter who you play against. ATL has come a long way this season and so the fact that Justin Herbert was able to rally his team for the victory, with a depleted receiving corps is impressive to me. The Chargers are right behind KC at 6-2 for the division lead. Yes, San Francisco comes out of its bye week healthier now than it's been in a long time, but chemistry is still an issue on offense, despite the talent it has. The Chargers have a tough game at home against Kansas City next week. Theyll be an underdog at home in that one. This is a game that the Chargers can't look past. San Fran though? It has a divisional game as well next weekend, but it's across the pond in England against the Cardinals. I say this one comes down to whichever team has it hands on the ball last; grab the points, the play is the Chargers! AAA Sports |
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11-13-22 | Jazz v. 76ers UNDER 220.5 | Top | 98-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jazz/76ers. For a number of different reasons, I expect a defensive affair here between these non-conference opponents. The bottom line is I just don't think the 76ers can get into a shoot-out with the red hot Jazz and win this game. Their offense is going to have to be run through Embiid. Also note that each team played just last night. Utah fell 121-112 in the nation's capital, while Philadelphia held on for a 121-109 win over the Hawks here at home. Despite that win though, note that the 76ers are only averaging 108.8 PPG, ranked 25th. Expect fatigue to be a factor here; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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11-13-22 | Cowboys v. Packers +4.5 | 28-31 | Win | 100 | 25 h 18 m | Show | |
8* Packers (SPECIAL) This is a "must win" game for Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers on a whole bunch of different levels. Green Bay is now 3-6 after a 15-9 loss at Detroit last weekend as a 4-point favorite. Dallas has been off for two weeks, last hammering Chicago 49-29 as a 10.5-point favorite at home. With a divisional contest at Minnesota next weekend, this one sets up as a look-ahead spot in a small way for the visitors. I'm banking on Rodgers stepping up here and willing his team to a victory here though. He's in unchartered territory here, but he's a winner. The outright is possible, but in the end let's grab the points; the play is the Packers! AAA Sports |
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11-13-22 | Broncos v. Titans OVER 39 | Top | 10-17 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 8 m | Show |
10* Broncos/Titans OVER (NON-CONF TOM) Denver has struggled with offensive consistency all year, but I still think this total is much too low. The Broncos are only averaging 15.1 PPG, but they're off a crucial 21-17 win over the Jaguars in England two weeks ago and I expect them to keep the foot on the gas offensively here against the Titans. The Titans won't be lacking for motivation here either after their 20-17 OT loss at Kansasa City last weekend. Despite only averaging 18.6 PPG this year, note that Tennessee has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last ten after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. The overall situation, combined with the above stats/trends/numbers, all points to the "over" as the correct call in this one! AAA Sports |
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11-12-22 | Blazers v. Mavs -5 | Top | 112-117 | Push | 0 | 13 h 19 m | Show |
10* Mavericks (ASSASSIN) The Blazers are 9-3, while the Mavericks are 6-5. The Blazers are off a 106-95 outright road win at New Orleans as nine-point underdogs, but I think they'll finally stumble here on Saturday in this difficult road venue. After this the Blazers have two nights off, followed by two home games vs. the Spurs and Nets, so this sets up as a natural "look ahead" position for the visiting side. Dallas is off a disappointing 113-105 road loss in the nation's capital as a 6-point favorite, but note that it's 7-2 ATS in its last nine off a SU/ATS road loss in which it was favored. This is a stretch of five straight home games for the Mavericks, and I expect an "all hands on deck" performance here to open it up; lay the points, the play is indeed on Dallas! AAA Sports |
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11-12-22 | Illinois State -5.5 v. Northwestern State | Top | 69-67 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
10* Illinois State (BLOOD-BATH) The Redbirds are 1-1, including 1-0 on the road. They're 0-2 ATS, but I expect them to not only win today, but to do so by a sizeable margin. Overall Illinois State is averaging 61 PPG, while allowing 60. Luke Kasuble is the man to keep your eyes on tonight, he's so far averaging 16 points. Nortwestern State is 1-1, and 1-0 at home. The Demons are averaging 64 points and allowing 63. Isaac Haney leads the way with 17.5 opints and seven boards. The Redbirds are better defensively in the early going, and I think they matchup well here. Look for Illinois State to pull away for the comfortable win and cover! AAA Sports |
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11-12-22 | Alabama v. Ole Miss UNDER 65 | Top | 30-24 | Win | 100 | 73 h 49 m | Show |
10* UNDER Alabama/Ole Miss (SEC TOY) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect a much more defensive affair here this weekend finally. Alabama is now 7-3, while Ole Miss is 8-1. Bama lost a heart-breaking OT game in LSU last weekend by a score of 32-31 as a 13.5-point favorite. Ole Miss is off a tight 31-28 win at Texas A&M. Georgia's now in control of the SEC at 9-0. Ole Miss is actually coming off its bye week, so it's fully prepared here. Also remember, the last time the Tide lost this year, the following week they came out and destroyed Mississippi State by a score of 30-6. I think Alabama will double down here defensively as it looks to control all facets in this bounce back opportunity. LSU will also be looking to hold onto the ball as much as possible while on offense. When you add it all up, I definitely believe this Over/Under line is a few points higher than it normally would/should be; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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11-12-22 | North Texas v. UAB -5.5 | Top | 21-41 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
10* UAB (ASSASSIN) UNT is now bowl eligible after crushing FIU by a score of 52-14 at home last weekend. While 4-1 at home though, the Mean Green are just 2-3 on the road. UAB is 4-5 and it needs two more wins to become eligible, with three games remaining. Last weekend it lost 44-38 at home to UTSA in OT. The Blazers though are 4-1 at home and I'm expecting them to bounce back here. Note that UNT is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after a SU/ATS home win of 30 or more points. Look for UNT to suffer a classic mental "letdown" here after last week's bowl-eligibility clinching victory, and expect UAB to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish! AAA Sports |
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11-12-22 | Arizona State +10 v. Washington State | 18-28 | Push | 0 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
8* Arizona State (ANNIHILATION) Here's a great situational play, with Arizona State at 3-6 and needing to run the table to try and become eligible. WSU on the other hand is 5-4 and needing one more win to become eligible. And with two much tougher games against Washington and Arizona upcoming, this is a crtical game for both sides. But I think the pressure is more on the Cougars here and I believe they're going to struggle to cover this larger spread. ASU is off a 50-36 home loss to UCLA. The Sun Devils can score, averaging 28.1 PPG. WSU is off the big 52-14 win at Stanford, but it still is averaging just 26.8 PPG. WSU's defense is superior, but ASU's unit catches a break this weekend. I expect a much tighter game than what this spread is suggesting; grab the points, the play is ASU! AAA Sports |
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11-12-22 | Rice +13.5 v. Western Kentucky | 10-45 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
8* Rice (SPECIAL) Here's a great situational play. Rice is a big underdog here, but at 5-4 it needs one more victory to become eligible. The Owls are coing off a solid 37-30 win and cover at home over UTEP. The Owls average 30 PPG, which is ranked 59th. WKU is now eligible at 6-4 after its big 59-7 win over Charlotte last weekend. Next week is the Hilltoppers' bye week, followed by a game at FAU to end the regular season. I say this sets up as a look-ahead/letdown spot for the home side, and when you add those two factors together, you get "trap game!" WKU averages 37.2 PPG, but I expect a small mental letdown here after last week's victory. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Rice! AAA Sports |
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11-12-22 | Pittsburgh v. Virginia OVER 41 | 37-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 30 m | Show | |
8* OVER Pitt/UVA (BLOWOUT) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end this evening. Pittsburgh is 5-4, while UVA is 3-6. The Panthers are favored here and are on the cusp of eligibility. They're off a 19-9 home win over Syracuse, but they've seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 after a SU/ATS victory in which they held their opponent to ten or less points in. UVA is 3-6 after last week's tight 31-28 setback to UNC. The Cavs are now not going to be able to make a bowl, but they can play spoiler. Look for the home side to open up the playbook here and for the Panthers to match pace; this number is low, the play is the over! AAA Sports |
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11-11-22 | Wolves +4.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 103-114 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
10* Wolves (ASSASSIN) I think an outright victory is possible, but the official call will be to grab as many points as you can. Minnesota is now just 5-7 after its 129-117 home loss to Phoenix. This is the opener of a difficult four-game road trip for the Wolves, so it's all hands on deck for Minnesota tonight. The Grizzlies are 8-4 after their 124-122 OT win at San Antonio on Wednesday. The Grizz hit the road for a two-game road trip starting on Sunday. I think the road is a good place for the underachieving Wolves right now after they just went 1-3 at home. Look for Minnesota to fight and scrap and claw its way to, at the very least, a comfortable ATS cover; grab the play, the play is the Wolves! AAA Sports |
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11-11-22 | East Carolina v. Cincinnati OVER 51.5 | Top | 25-27 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
10* OVER ECU/Cincinnati. Both teams are eligible, but each is looking for more victories. ECU is off a 27-24 win over BYU as a three-point underdog. The Pirates average 32.6 PPG. They're coming off B2B wins, but each game has gone "under" the number. I expect those lower-scoring trends to end here this evening though against a Cincinnati team that's coming off a tougher than expected 20-10 home win over Navy last week. The Bearcats though average 33.2 PPG. Cincinnati has now seen the total go UNDER in five straight, which is significant to note here, as the Bearcats have in fact seen the total go OVER in five of their last six after playing to five or more straight UINDERS in a row. I think this number is now a bit too low, so the play is the over! AAA Sports |
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11-11-22 | Houston v. St. Joe's +22.5 | Top | 81-55 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
10* Saint Joseph's (BEST OF BEST) The Houston Cougars are 1-0 oafter an 83-36 win over Northern Colorado. While that was a "cake walk," I expect the Hawks to put up more of a fight here. This is Saint Joseph's first game of the season, and while I'll stop short in calling for an outright upset, I do definitely feel that this is too many points to be giving up. Houston utterly blew out UNC, with Marcus Sasser leading the way with 21 points. Last year Houston finished with a 26-5 regular season record and it averaged 75.8 PPG. The Hawks finished 11-19 overall last year. They averaged 67.6 PPG. Ejike Obinna is 6 foot 10 and he averaged 12.1 points and 7.9 boards per game last season. He'll play a bigger role this year. The Cougars are going to move to 2-0 after this game, but this is WAY too many points to be giving up to what I predict will be a slightly improved Saint Joseph's team this season; grab the points! AAA Sports |
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11-10-22 | Predators +1.5 v. Avalanche | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -150 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
10* Nashville puckline (BLOOD-BATH) I base my picks on many different things. I think the hungry Predators offer up great value here on the puckline from a situational stand-point. The Predators were coming off B2B road wins, before falling 5-1 at Seattle on Tuesday. They catch the defending champs at a good time though, as Colorado returns home after a stint in Europe. The Avs beat Columbus in two games, but they've been off since November 5th. I expect this extra time off to throw a "monkey wrench" into the chemistry. Rest will lead to "rust" and Nashville will, at the very least, earn a solid ATS pucklne cover! AAA Sports |
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11-10-22 | Falcons v. Panthers +2.5 | Top | 15-25 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
10* Panthers (ASSASSIN) In a contest that I see being decided by whichever side has it hands on the ball last, I'm going to grab the points. Carolina is just 2-7, while Atlanta is slightly better at 4-5. ATL is just 1-3 on the road, most recently falling 20-17 to the Chargers on Sunday. The Panthers are off a 42-21 loss to a now red hot Bengals team. Atlanta comes in disappointed, as it had the lead going into the fourth-quarter in its last game, and now it has a quick turnaround here. ATL narrowly edged the Panthers in the first matchup less than two weeks ago, so the immediate revenge factor comes into play here for Carolina. The Falcons are 32nd against the pass, so that'll give PJ Walker some opportunties on his home field today. These teams are indeed evenly matched, but with the majority of the money on ATL, I'm going contrarian here today as well; grab the points, the play is Carolina! AAA Sports |
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11-10-22 | Blazers v. Pelicans -6.5 | Top | 106-95 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
10* Pelicans (EXPRESS) Portland is off a satisfying 105-95 win at Charlotte just last night, so I'm predicting a letdown here in the second game of the back-to-back. New Orleans is off a game last night as well, winning 115-111 at Chicago. This Pelicans team averages 118.2 PPG, while the Blazers average just 109.4. Note as well the the Blazers are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight off a SU/ATS road victory and then playing the second game of a B2B scenario. Look for New Orleans to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable win and cover; lay the points! AAA Sports |
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11-10-22 | Tulsa +6.5 v. Memphis | Top | 10-26 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
10* Tulsa (GOW) The Tigers are 4-5, and the Golden Hurricanes are 3-6. Tulsa will have to run the table to become eligible, while Memphis is now running out of time. In a game that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm going to grab the points. Tulsa has lost two in a row, most recently fall 27-13 to Tulane. Braylon Braxton had 146 passing yards and a TD. Last year Tulsa was in the same position, needing three wins to become eligible, and it did just that. Memphis comes in with zero momentum after four straight losses. Most recently it was a heart-breaking 35-28 loss to UCF. Seth Henigan had 284 passing yards and a TD. But with a defense that is allowing 412 yards per game, I just don't trust the home side to cover this spread; grab thep points, the play is Tulsa! AAA Sports |
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11-10-22 | UMass Lowell v. Columbia +7 | Top | 89-62 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
10* Columbia (NON-CONF GOM) UMass is 1-0 after its 108-43 destruction of Fisher College. Obviously, we have to take the victory with a "grain of salt." Columbia is 0-1 after a 75-35 loss to Rutgers as a 19-point underdog. It's difficult to get a firm read on either team at this point, but I'd say the best plan of action is not to "overreact" to either team's results after the first game. These team's offensive and defensive schemes are similar and in a contest that I see being decided in the final moments, I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can; the play is Columbia! AAA Sports |
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11-09-22 | Florida A&M +22 v. Portland | 54-91 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 34 m | Show | |
8* FAMU (SPECIAL) Florida A&M is 0-1, while Portland is 1-0. The Rattlers are off an 80-45 loss to Oregon in their season-opener, but the Pilots are definitely not on the same level as the Ducks. Jordan Chatman and Jordan Tillman combined for 16 points in that one. Portland is off an 89-62 blowout win over Louis and Clark. Vasilije Vucinic and Mike Meadows each had a team-high 18 points. But FAMU is a much better team than Louis & Clark. FAMU is also 7-2 ATS in its last nine on the road and a whopping 10-2 ATS in its last 12 following a SU loss of 20 or more points. I like the Pilots this season, but I expect them to take the proverbial foot off the gas pedal down the stretch; no outright, but closer than expected, so grab the points! AAA Sports |
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11-09-22 | Lakers +5 v. Clippers | Top | 101-114 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 28 m | Show |
10* LAKERS (ATS BLOWOUT) I really like the way this one sets up for the much hungrier underdog here. Both teams have more questions than answers, but the Lakers have a lot of ground to make up. They're just 2-8. After two straight wins, they're off three straight losses, including twice to Utah and once to Cleveland. The "revenge factor" does come into play here though, as the Lakers lost here at "HOME" to the Clippers in the second game of the season by a score of 103-97. The Clippers have actually won three of their last four. They look a bit better of late, but they're still only averaging 103.8 points per game, which ranks 30th. I'm expecting another really tight game between these two teams. In fact, I think this is a game that the Lakers can win outright. The Clippers aren't scaring anyone these days. That said, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is LA! AAA Sports |
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11-09-22 | Kent State -2.5 v. Bowling Green | Top | 40-6 | Win | 100 | 30 h 13 m | Show |
10* KENT STATE (MAC GOY) Kent State is 3-6. It's 0-5 on the road. It's favored here, but will need to "run the table" to become eligible. One game at a time. Bowling Green is off a tight 13-9 win over Western Michigan last week, unable to cover the 5-point spread. The Falcons are now 5-4 with three games remaining. Bowling Green averages 24.9 PPG, while Kent State averages 27.4. The Golden Flashes are off a 27-20 home loss to Ball State. Marquez Coper has 1,013 rushing yards and and nine rushing TD's. Bowling Green was "lucky" to win last time out after turning the ball over three times. Kent State's offense will prove to be the difference-maker here; lay the points, the play is the Golden Flashes! AAA Sports |
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11-08-22 | Golden Knights v. Maple Leafs -117 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -117 | 10 h 0 m | Show |
10* Leafs (NON-CONF GOW) The Knights are 11-2. They're 6-1 on the road. They're off a 6-4 win at Montreal on Saturday and they have a game at Buffalo on Thursday. Toronto is 7-4-2, including 5-1 at home. The Leafs offense has to get going. They had one of the top offenses in the league last year. This season they're averaging 2.85 GPG, while allowing just 2.62. The Knights are averaging 3.54 GPG, while allowing 2.08. That's No. 1 in the league. Despite how well Las Vegas has played to this point, I still think it's getting too much respect here on the road in this difficult road venue, vs. this really good team. As I mentioned above, the Toronto offense has yet to find its footing this year, but I expect to step up here and to avenge a 3-1 loss in Las Vegas in late October; great value here on Toronto! AAA Sports |
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11-08-22 | Eastern Michigan v. Akron OVER 55.5 | Top | 34-28 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
10* OVER EMU/Akron (MAC TOW) For a number of different reasons, I believe this O/U line is a bit too low. Eastern Michigan is 5-4. It's 3-1 on the road. It needs one more win to become bowl eligible. It's coming off a 27-24 loss at home to Toledo, but it averages 27 PPG. Akron is just 1-8. It's off a 27-9 loss to Miami Ohio. It averages just 18.6 PPG. So why the super high total here? Akron is brutal defensively, and the Eagles also give up yards. The Zips will try to play the role of spoiler here for at least one more week. This is in fact Akron's final home game, so expect the team to open up the playbook offensively as it tries to pull off the unlikely upset. And after last week's home loss, look for EMU to keep the foot on the gas from start to finigh. The numbers/trends and the overall situation ALL point to this total eclipsing the posted number sooner, rather than later; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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11-08-22 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Purdue -26 | Top | 53-84 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
10* Purdue (ASSASSIN) In the story of David vs. Goliath, David somehow manages to kill the giant. In today's story though, Purdue (the Giant), will take no mercy in my estimation on lowly David (Milwaukee.) This is a talent discrepancy of epic proportions, and because of that I'll suggest a play on Purdue to cover the large spread. 7-foot-4 center Zach Edey will be a difficult matchup issue for the Panthers. Edey averaged 14.4 points and 7.7 boards in just 19 minutes last year. He'll be the focal point this season though. Milwaukee has a new coach in Bart Lundy and 13 new players. The Panthers are picked to finish No. 9 in the Horizon League. Milwaukee is off a satisfying win over the Milwaukee School of Engineering just last night, so expect a complete letdown here today vs. "Goliath." Lay the points, the play is Purdue! AAA Sports |
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11-07-22 | Lakers +4.5 v. Jazz | Top | 116-139 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 23 m | Show |
10* Lakers (ASSASSIN) I think the overachieving Jazz have a classic letdown here. The Lakers come in desperate at 2-7, while the Jazz come in complacent at 8-3. Winning can lead to complacency, and losing leads to desperation. LA is off a 114-100 loss at home to the red hot Cavaliers just last night. Fatigue at this point of the season isn't really a concern. The Lakers do play with the immediate revenge factor though after Utah beat them 130-116 in LA last week. Utah is off a 110-102 win at the Clippers last night, and I believe this younger team will finally have a small letdown here. Especially considering that they hit the road for a tough three-game Eastern swing starting in Atlanta on Wednesday. It's a letdown/look-ahead spot which invariably = "trap game!" The outright win is possible, but the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with the Lakers! AAA Sports |
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11-07-22 | Ravens v. Saints +1.5 | Top | 27-13 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
10* Saints (BLOOD-BATH) Two teams in need of a win collide here on Monday night. A non-conference matchup, but it's one that I think favors the hungrier home side. Clearly, the outright win isn't out of the question, but the official call will be to grab as many points as you can. The Ravens are 5-3, and the Saints are 3-5. New Orleans can move into a three-way tie with Atlanta and Tampa Bay with a win today. Baltimore if off a 27-22 win over Tampa Bay as an underdog, but with its bye week after this, followed by several favorable games to end the season, including at home against Carolina, at Jacksonvillle and at home to Denver on the immediate horizon, I say this sets up as a natural "look ahead" spot. As I said earlier, clearly the outright is in the cards, but let's grab the points; the play is New Orleans! AAA Sports |
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11-07-22 | IUPU Ft Wayne +15.5 v. Michigan | Top | 56-75 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
10* PFW (NON-CONF GOW) I just think this is too many points for Juwan Howard's new team to cover. Yes, leading scorer and rebounder Hunter Dickinson is back again this season, but four of the other five starters are gone. The Wolverines are still ranked No. 22, but I expect some chemistry issues in the early going. I'm not calling for an outright upset, but the Mastadons return an experienced line-up which I think will do some damage here on the National stage. The Mastadons tied for the Horizon League regular season championship last year. They're the co-favorites this year with UNK. Jarred Godfrey was their top player last year, and he returns along with three other starters. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is PFW! AAA Sports |
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11-06-22 | Panthers v. Ducks UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
10* UNDER Panthers/Ducks (TOTAL EXPRESS) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect a much tighter defensive battle here on Sunday. Florida is off a 5-4 loss at LA just last night, while Anaheim is off a 5-4 shootout win at San Jose just last night. The Ducks have now seen the total go "over" in four straight, while the Panthers have seen the total go "over" in four of their last five. Fatigue plays a major factor here for both sides in the second game of the B2B scenario. Look for each side to double down defensively and then expect this total to stay well "under" the number once the final horn sounds! AAA Sports |
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11-06-22 | Rams v. Bucs -2.5 | Top | 13-16 | Win | 100 | 57 h 39 m | Show |
10* Bucs (NFC GOY) Clearly, neither team can be happy with where it's at at the moment. The Rams are 3-4 and the Bucs are 3-5. LA lost a crucial game last week in a 31-14 setback to the Rams and I believe it'll have its hands full here now on the road against this desperate Bucs team. The Rams are in a competitive division, with Seattle leading the way at 5-3. Despite Tampa's recent struggles, it's fortunate to be in second place right now, behind 4-4 Atlanta for the NFC South lead. Injuries since training camp have been the main reason behind Tom Brady and the Bucs' issues this year. Both teams have struggled offensively, and been decent on the defensive end. Tampa's offensive line issues are for sure a problem, but the unit catches a break here facing this inconsistent rams defense. I say this one means so much more to Brady and the home side on so many different levels; it may not be pretty, but I look for Tampa to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable win and cover! AAA Sports |
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11-06-22 | Seahawks v. Cardinals -1 | Top | 31-21 | Loss | -119 | 25 h 2 m | Show |
10* Cardinals (ASSASSIN) We've reached the point of the season where we can look at what teams have done over recent weeks, to help predict what we think will happen in the future. I base my picks on many different things. One factor that I always take into consideration is the "revenge" factor, especially when it comes to divisional matchups. Divisional matchups are always the most important, and they almost always mean more to the home side. And that's the case here in both cases for the Cardinals. Arizona is now 3-5 after its 34-26 loss at Minnesota last weekend. Seattle is 5-3 after its 27-13 win over the Giants at home last weekend. Arizona does indeed play with revenge here after a 19-9 Week 6 loss in Seattle as a 2.5-point favorite. Seattle's been great, but it's overachieving. With a game against Tampa Bay in London next week, this sets up as an unfortunate look ahead spot for the Hawks' organization. I like Murray to settle down here at home and find a way to deliver; the play is Arizona! AAA Sports |
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11-06-22 | Cavs v. Lakers UNDER 223.5 | Top | 114-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
10* UNDER Cavs/Lakers (TOTAL EXPRESS) It's pretty crazy to think that the Cleveland Cavaliers are favored on the road in LA against LeBron James and the Lakers, but here we are. The Cavs are 7-1 and the Lakers are 2-6. From a situational stand-point, I like the way this one sets up to be a lower-scoring defensive battle. Any time that James plays the Cavaliers, he takes it personally. The fact that they're favored here, won't be sitting well with The King. The Lakers are 2-3 at home, and they'll need to run their offense through their big man AD to win this game in my estimation. That means a lot of half court sets when you're on offense. The Cavs are off a 112-88 destruction of the Pistons. Their defense has been solid. With a game against the Clippers here tomorrow, they'll have to save some gas in the tank. For a number of different reasons, I love the way this one sets up to be a defensive affair; this number is high, the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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11-06-22 | Colts +6 v. Patriots | 3-26 | Loss | -116 | 23 h 59 m | Show | |
8* COLTS (SPECIAL) Both teams desperately need a win. I expect a battle until the final whistle, so because of that, I'm going to recommend grabbing as many points as you can. Indianapolis is 3-4 after its 17-16 home loss to Washington last week. The Colts are now 3-4-1 and in second place in the AFC South behind 5-2 Tennessee. New England is 4-4 after its 22-17 win and cover at the Jets last weekend. I believe this ultimately sets up as a "trap" for the Patriots though, and we can take advantage. After that big and crucial road win vs. the division leader, they now shift back home (where they're 1-2 this season) to play a non-conference game, before their bye week, followed by the rematch with the Jets at Foxborough. Letdown + look-ahead = trap game. While I do think the outright upset is a possibility, let's grab the points with the Colts! AAA Sports |
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11-05-22 | Phillies v. Astros OVER 6.5 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
10* OVER Phillies/Astros. Streaks and records come to an end at some point. Both of these starters has been exceptional up to this point, but now on the biggest stage, I'm expecting some minor regression from both. Zach Wheeler is 1-2 with a 2.67 ERA and 0.73 WHIP for the Phillies so far in the Playoffs, while his counterpart Framber Valdez has been even better at 2-0 with a 1.42 ERA and 0.95 WHIP. I just think we're going to see a lot of aggressive offensive tactics from both sides here today, especially obviously from the Phillies. I say this O/U line is now just a bit TOO low. Look for these unbelievable offenses to finally crack these starters and look for this total to eclipse the posted number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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11-05-22 | South Carolina v. Vanderbilt OVER 48 | 38-27 | Win | 100 | 26 h 38 m | Show | |
8* OVER South Carolina/Vandy (SPECIAL) These teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games, but I expect those trends to end this evening. South Carolina is 5-3 and on the cusp of eligibility. Vanderbilt is 3-5 and in desperate need of victories with four games left in its season. This is the most winnable game for the Commodores, with games upcoming at Kentucky, vs Florida and vs Tennessee. Vanderbilt averages 26.6 PPG, while South Carolina averages 30.2, despite last week's 23-10 home loss to Missouri as a 3.5-point favorite. Off that upset, look for the Gamecocks to push the pace from the outset here. The overall situation points to this total eclipsing the posted number sooner, rather than later; the play is the over! AAA Sports |
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11-05-22 | Nets v. Hornets +5.5 | Top | 98-94 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
10* Hornets (BLOOD-BATH) Both teams comes in off of having played just last night. The Nets destoryed the Wizards by a score of 128-86, while the Hornets got crushed 130-99 at Memphis. It was a great bounce back win for Brooklyn, which really needed something positive at all to lean on with all of the off-court issues, but I'm still not convinced that KD and company have suddenly turned the corner here for good. This one smells of immediate return to the norm for this on again, off again Nets team, that will have to adjust without Kyrie Irving in the line-up. I like Gordon Hayward at home. The Nets are a terrible 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 when playing the second game of a B2B. Both teams are dealing with injuries, and the Hornets will get a lot better when Lonzo Ball and Terry Rozier return. Until then though, I'm expecting this one to come down to the wire; grab the points, the play is Charlotte! AAA Sports |
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11-05-22 | South Alabama v. Georgia Southern OVER 60.5 | Top | 38-31 | Win | 100 | 31 h 15 m | Show |
10* OVER USA/Georgia Southern (CONF. USA TOY) both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but I'm finally expecting more of an offensive affair in this one finally. USA is now 6-2 after its 31-3 win over Arkansas State last weekend. The Jaguars though average 31.6 PPG, which ranks 54th in the league. USA has a legitimate shot at the Sun Belt title, tied with Troy at 6-2 and CCU just ahead at 7-1. The Jaguars won't be taking the foot off the gas here against 5-3 Georgia Southern, which is off a 28-23 win at Old Dominion. Now just one win away from eligibility, this is a fantastic situational play here this weekend. Georgia Southern averages 36.9 PPG, which ranks 21st in the league and I'm expecting the home side to push the pace from start to finish. Look for this contest to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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11-05-22 | Texas Tech +8.5 v. TCU | 24-34 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 46 m | Show | |
9* Texas Tech (ASSASSIN) The 4-4 Texas Tech Red Raiders will be looking to pull off the upset here against 8-0 TCU. Do I actually think that'll happen? Well, I do think there's a distinct possibility that the Red Raiders could do just that. Off a 45-17 loss to Baylor, I like Texas Tech to bounce back here. So far the Red Raiders are allowing 29.3 PPG. The fortunate part for Texas Tech is that it's averaging 33.9 PPG, led by QB Donovan Smith, who has 1,505 passing yards and 12 TD's. TCU is averaging 44.3 PPG, led by QB Max Duggan with a 2,212 passing yards, 22 TD's and two INT's. The Horned Frogs are poor defensively though, allowing 27.3 PPG. The pressure here is on the Frogs and now they have to contend with a hungry SEC team that's bigger in the trenches. While I do think an outright is possible, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is Texas Tech! AAA Sports |
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11-04-22 | Oregon State v. Washington -4.5 | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
10* WASHINGTON (PAC 12 GOM) Both teams are 6-2. Oregon State is 2-1 on the road, while Washington is 5-0 at home. I don't think you can underestimate how important home-field advantage is going to be in this contest though. This is an important game, as each team is 3-2 in conference play, so the loser almost assuredly will be out of the running for a PAC 12 title spot. The Beavers come in with momentum after three straight victories, but note that Oregon State is just 2-4 ATS in its last six after three or more straight victories ina row. Oregon State is led by Damien Martinez and a ground attack that averages 195 YPG. The defense is decent as well, conceding 22.8 PPG. Washington is off its bye as well. It beat Cal 28-21 last time out. Michael Penix Jr. had 374 yards passing and two TD's. Oregon State stumbled against USC and Utah and I expect the same thing to happen here on the road; lay the points, the play is the Huskies! AAA Sports |
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11-04-22 | Bulls v. Celtics -7 | 119-123 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
9* Celtics (BLOCKBUSTER) I think the Celtics not only win this game, but do so by a sizeable margin. The Bulls are 5-4 and the Celtics are 4-3. Chicago is 2-2 on the road and Boston is 2-1 at home. The Bulls are off a 106-88 home win over Charlotte, but with a tough upcoming road game North of the border on Sunday, I expect the visitors to get caught looking ahead. Boston is coming off a 114-113 OT road loss in Cleveland. With a game at New York tomorrow night, I expect the Celtics to take care of business here on their home floor. Chicago is still dealing with several key injury issues. The role players got the better of an injured Hornets team, but I expect Boston to take advantage here; all signs point to a blowout, so lay the points with the Celtics! AAA Sports |
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11-04-22 | Cavs v. Pistons +6.5 | Top | 112-88 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
10* Pistons (ASSASSIN) I like the way this one sets up for the Pistons. Cleveland is off a 114-113 upset OT home win over the Celtics, and it now hits the road for five straight. After this game in Detroit though it hits the West coast for games against the Lakers, Clippers, Kings and Warriors. Can anyone say "look-ahead" spot for this young and overachieving Cavs team? Listen, Donovan Mitchell is a great player, but the Pistons won't be going down without a fight here. Detroit is off back-to-back losses in Milwaukee. They lost 116-91 on Wednesday, but previous to that fell 110-108 as a 13.5-point underdog. I think the Pistons catch Cleveland here at the right tie, as I expect the Cavs to be already planning for their road-trip. While the outright is possible, the official call is to grab as many points as you can with the Pistons! AAA Sports |
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11-03-22 | Eagles v. Texans +14 | Top | 29-17 | Win | 100 | 36 h 9 m | Show |
10* Texans (ASSASSIN) We've had some pretty terrible Thursday night matchups so far this season, so I'm a little unsure what to think about this one. On one hand the Eagles have been phenomenal, as they come in at 7-0 straight up and 5-2 against the spread. And then we have the Houston Texans, who no one predicted would do anything this year, and everyone was right, as they're just 1-5-1 straight up and 3-3-1 against the spread. The Texans though have been competitive most weeks at least for bettors, and I think that'll be the case again this week. Now of course Philadelphia can't afford to take the foot off the gas, but off the 35-13 home win over Pittsburgh on the short week, I think a small mental letdown isn't out of the realm of possibility for Philly here; especialy with a bye week next week, followed by a game at home against Washignton. I think Davis Mills will have some opportunities in the second half, as I just cant see Philadelphia running the score up in this one. The Eagles will be happy running the ball throughout here, as the Texans are 31st against the run on the defensive side. This is too many points to be giving up on the road on the national stage; no outright, but closer than expected, the play is Houston! AAA Sports |
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11-03-22 | Nuggets v. Thunder UNDER 229.5 | Top | 122-110 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
10* UNDER Denver/OKC (NW DIV. TOY) These teams have been playing to some higher-scoring games of late, but I expect this divisional battle to finally be a much more defensive battle. Oklahoma City is 4-3. It comes in on fire, having won and covered in four straight. It's seen the total go "over" the number in three straight, which is significant to note here as OKC has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. With a couple nights off before a game at Milwaukee, the young Thunder will have to be careful to not get caught looking ahead. But with Denver coming to town, that's unlikely. The Nuggets will be out to rebound after their 121-110 road loss to the Lakers. Expect an intense battle here early on in the season between these division rivals, but a contest that ultimately does fall well "under" the posted number! AAA Sports |
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11-03-22 | Appalachian State v. Coastal Carolina OVER 63.5 | Top | 28-35 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 48 m | Show |
10* OVER App State/Coastal Carolina (TOW) App State is 5-3 and on the cusp of eligibility. It's favored by three here and I do expect the Mountaineers to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish as they try to run down eligibility with a victory. Coastal Carolina won't be rolling over. It's 7-1 and it has bigger plans for the rest of its season. A victory here over App State would just add to their resume. App State has the 20th ranked run game in the nation, averaging 208.3 yards per game. It's won three of its last four, outscoring its competition 133-20. QB CHase Brice has 22 TD's and just four INT's. CC is coming off a 24-13 road win over Marshall, but previous to that allowed 49 points in a loss to ODU. CC has a balanced offense though that can keep pace with the visiting side, ranked 46th in the nation in passing and 47th in rushing. QB Grayson McCall has 19 TD's and just one INT. These teams played to a lower-scoring duel last year, but all signs point to these competent QB's playing the starring role this season; this number is low, the play is the over! AAA Sports |
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11-02-22 | Astros v. Phillies +1.5 | 5-0 | Loss | -172 | 13 h 10 m | Show | |
6* Phillies RUNLINE (SPECIAL) I think the Phillies offer great value here as an underdog at home. I GET that the Astros are a great team. They're experienced and filled with depth. The Phillies are filled with talent and they have their veteran ace on the hill to take care of business. These teams are evenly matched, but "momentum" is a very real, almost tangible factor in sports, and it's one in which I feel that the oddsmakers can at times have a hard time properly quantifying into a line. The Phillies have a clear home field advantage, and I expect them to, at the very least, keep Game 4 competitive throughout. For arguments sakes, let's call these starters and bullpens a "wash" at this point. In a game that I see being decided late, or even in extras, I'm laying the price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance! AAA Sports |
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11-02-22 | Flyers v. Maple Leafs -1.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
10* Leafs puckline (EAST-CONF GOM) I expect Toronto to not only win tonight, but to do so by a sizeable margin. Philadelphia is 5-2-2, and Toronto is 4-4-2. The Flyers are 8-1 on the puckline this year though, while the Leafs are 1-9 on the puckline. The law of averages is flawed in many ways, but I've always felt that lop-sided numbers have a way of naturally correcting themselves over the short, the mid and the long-term. More than anything though, this is a great situational play. The Flyers come in here dog tired after their 1-0 OT loss at New York just last night. Toronto has had a couple nights off after a 4-3 OT loss at Anaheim. The Leafs have a tough stretch of upcoming games here: Boston, Carolina, Vegas, Pittsburgh, Vancouver, Pittsburgh and New Jersey after this. So far the Leafs have disappointed on the offensive end, but the overall situation here points finally to a lop-sided blowout here for Toronto; the play is the Leafs on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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11-02-22 | Wizards +7.5 v. 76ers | Top | 121-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
10* Wizards (ASSASSIN) I think this is a fantastic spot for Washington. Outright win? Possible, but this one will be close in my opinion. These teams just played in Washington on Halloween and the 76ers won 118-111. Washington plays with revenge, and it's lost three straight ATS, which is significant to note here as the Wiz are actually 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more straight ATS losses in a row. Washington plays tough defensively, as opponent are shooting 43.5 percent against them, which is fourth best in the NBA. They're not going to make it easy on the home side. I expect a small mental letdown here. Joel Embiid was out in the last game, and he'll be out again here. Look for Washington to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch; grab the points, the play is Washington! AAA Sports |
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11-01-22 | Devils v. Canucks +109 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 23 m | Show |
10* CANUCKS (NON-CONF GOM) Momentum is a very real, almost tangible factor in sports and it's one in which the oddsmakers often have a hard time properly quantifying into a line at times in my opinion. And that's the case here. The Canucks infamously opened up this season by losing their first four games, in each they had at least a two-goal lead, and then went on to lose. Vancouver finally got its act together with a 5-4 road win over the Kraken, and then the following night they destroyed Pittsburgh at home by a score of 5-1. This Canucks team has just been the victim of circumstance at the start of the season, a series of unfortunate events. New Jersey is 6-3 after a 7-1 home destruction of Columbus. Now hitting the road for a tough Western swing, I believe the "hungrier" home side is the correct call here. The oddsmakers are now slow in recognizing how well Vancouver is playing, so let's take advantage; the play is indeed on the Canucks! AAA Sports |
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11-01-22 | Astros v. Phillies +1.5 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
10* Phillies (GOW) Philadelphia did what it set out to do over the first two games in Houston, and that was to earn a "split." The Phillies have enjoyed a home field advantage throughout the Playoffs, and I believe they'll ride the wave of emotion to another big victory here in Game 3 as well. The weather postponed yesterday's game and we have a new starter going for the home side. I say the overall situation favors the home side. Ranger Suarez goes for Philly, and he finished 10-7 with a 3.65 ERA in the regular season, and he's 1-0 with a 1.86 ERA in the playoffs. Lance McCullers Jr. will go again for Houston, he was 4-2 with a 2.27 ERA in the regular season and he's 0-0 with a 2.45 ERA in the playoffs. Philadelphia is 5-0 at home, and now the Astros are going to get a little taste of the craziness here at home; while I do think the outright is possible, I also believe we're getting unreal value here with the extra 1.5 runs of insurnace; the play is Philadelphia on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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11-01-22 | Warriors v. Heat UNDER 226.5 | Top | 109-116 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show |
10* UNDER Warriors/Heat (NON-CONF TOM) These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games to open the season, but I expect a much more defensive affair here finally on Tuesday. Golden State is just now just 3-4 after falling 128-114 at Detroit. Interestingly, the Warriors have seen the total go "over" the number in all seven of their games so far this season. And that fact, in my professional opinion, has helped in driving today's total a few points higher than it normally would be. After their disastrous outing against the lowly Pistons, I expect Golden State to play much tougher defensively this evening. The Heat are only averaging 108 PPG this year, so the last thing they'll want to do is turn this into a "track meet" with the highest scoring team in the league. Considering all of the above information, I do indeed feel this number is too high; the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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10-31-22 | Bengals v. Browns +3 | Top | 13-32 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* ATS BLOOD-BATH on the Cleveland Browns. The Bengals are coming off a 35-17 win over the Falcons last week, posting 537 yards of offense, while limiting ATL to just 214. Cleveland though comes in desperate to snap a four-game slide, most recently falling 23-20 to the Ravens last weekend. The Browns are 2-5 and are in desperate need of a victory. Ja'Marr Chase won't be playing for the Bengals today, so that's a huge blow to the offense. It'll make Cinncy much more one-dimensional. The Browns have been allowing 26.6 PPG, but they catch a break this week. What happens if Cleveland is 2-8 by the time that DeShaun Watson is available to play? They'll already be eliminated from playoff contention, so will they want to put their prize QB in harms way for no reason? Cleveland's offense is ranked sixth overall and I think Nick Chubb and company will, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably cover down the stretch; while the outright is possible, let's grab the points! AAA Sports |
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10-31-22 | Pistons v. Bucks UNDER 229 | Top | 108-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
10* UNDER Pistons/Bucks (EAST-CONF TOW) Both sides have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I expect a much tighter, and ultimatley lower-scoring affair here. The Bucks are 5-0 SU/ATS and appear to be the "cream of the crop" in the Eastern Conference right now. Detroit is off an impressive 128-114 home win over Golden State and has now seen the total go "over" the number in three straight, and in six of its seven games this year. That's despite only averaging 112.3 PPG, ranked 22nd. Detroit comes in fatigued here though and as a massive double-digit underdog. I don't see the Bucks running up the score here, because I don't think they'll have to. They've been off since a 123-115 home win over the Hawks. Milwaukee will have a night off and these teams play again here on Wednesday. Look for the Bucks to control the pace of this one and then look for this total to fall "under" the posted number! AAA Sports |
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10-30-22 | Jets +1.5 v. Golden Knights | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
8* Jets PUCKLINE (SPECIAL) Winnipeg plays with revenge here after a 5-2 home loss to Vegas last week. Note that the Jets are 6-2 in their last eight in trying to avenge a two goals or greater home loss against an opponent. The Jets are 5-3 and the Knights are 7-2. The Jets come to town of a 3-2 OT win at Arizona, while Las Vegas is off a 4-0 win over Anaheim. With a night off before a tough five-game Eastern road swing after this evening, I believe Las Vegas could get caught "looking ahead." That's going to leave the back door open here for a much tighter game than what this Las Vegas line is suggesting in my opinion; the savvy call is to grab Winnipeg on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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10-30-22 | Knicks +4.5 v. Cavs | Top | 108-121 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
10* Knicks (ASSASSIN) The Knicks are coming off a tough, but competitive loss to the Bucks on Friday, falling 119-108. I think they'll come in "under the radar" here on Sunday and catch the overacheiving Cavaliers off guard. Cleveland is coming off an epic 132-123 OT win over Boston, and I say it has a predictable letdown here after that emotional win. Donovan Mitchell has gotten out to a strong start for the Cavs, and while Cleveland does have plenty of talent, it's still thin when compared to the top teams in the East. Previous to the loss to Milwaukee, the Knicks beat Charlotte 134-131 in OT. I expect this one to be decided by whichever team has it hands on the ball last, so that means that I'm going to grab up all these points; the play is the Knicks! AAA Sports |
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10-30-22 | 49ers v. Rams +1.5 | Top | 31-14 | Loss | -110 | 122 h 22 m | Show |
10* Rams (NFC WEST GOM) The 3-4 San Francisco 49ers are off a 44-23 home loss to Kansas City. LA is off a 24-10 win over Carolina here at home two weeks ago. Now rested and ready to attack, I think the defending champs are the correct call here in this one. The 49ers got Christian McCaffrey just before last week's game, but he was pretty ineffective. LA will look to take advantage of a defense that conceded 529 yards and an offense that committed three turnovers. The 49ers have had the Rams' number in the past, winning seven of the last eight SU, but now the tables have turned in my opinion. This is an immediate revenge scenario as well, as San Francisco won earlier in the year at home by a score of 24-9. The Rams have made adjustments since then though and the 49ers now have more questions than answers, especially with Jimmy G under center. This Rams' defense is under-rated, and last week the 49ers' defense was exposed; while the outright win isn't out of the question, I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can with the Rams! AAA Sports |
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10-30-22 | Patriots -2.5 v. Jets | Top | 22-17 | Win | 100 | 22 h 17 m | Show |
10* Patriots (AFC EAST GOY) The Patriots come to town as the more desperate side in this divisional showdown. I think that Bill Bellichick will bring out his best playbook calling today and I expect that to be enough to get the better of the overachieving Jets this weekend. After destroying the Browns 38-15 in Cleveland, New England fell flat in last week's 33-14 home loss to the desperate Bears. The Jets on the other hand won and covered as the favorite on the road in a 16-9 victory at Denver to move to 5-2 and in second in the AFC East, still looking up at the mighty Buffalo Bills. Mac Jones is back under center for New England and I expect him to have his best game of the season so far. New England is only allowing 345.3 yards and 20.9 PPG this season. Jones has uncharacteristically struggled this year. The Jets' offense hasn't been great, as they average only 331.3 YPG, which is ranked 21st. Zach Wilson is not better than Jones in my opinion. The Jets' defense has been good though, allowing 19.6 PPG. This one has the feel of whichever team has its hands on the ball last is going to win this one, and in scenarios like that, the value swings to the undervalued underdog in my opinion; clearly the outright is possible, but in the end let's grab the points with the Patriots! AAA Sports |
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10-30-22 | Broncos +2.5 v. Jaguars | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 19 h 15 m | Show | |
8* Broncos (SPECIAL) The Broncos are 2-5 and last in the AFC West. Despite their struggles, I think they'll find a way to beat Trevor Lawrence and the inconsistent Jaguars. Denver is coming off a 16-9 home loss to the Jets, where backup QB Brett Rypien threw for 225 yards, zero TD's and one INT. Here's the perfect opponent to get back on track against, as the Jags are just 2-5 and on a four-game losing streak after choking to the Giants at home by a score of 23-17 last weekend. Lawrence was just 22 of 43 for 310 yards, zero TD's and no INT's. Yes, Russell Wilson has struggled to this point, but I think the veteran has his best game of the season so far. The Broncos have the much better defense, allowing just 16.4 PPG. Jacksonville allows 19.6. Look for the veteran's on Denver to finally lead this team to a solid win and cover; that said, grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports |
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10-29-22 | Hawks v. Bucks UNDER 228.5 | Top | 115-123 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
10* UNDER Hawks/Bucks (BLOWOUT) While both sides have been involved in several higher-scoring games lately, I am predicting a much tighter, and lower-scoring defensive battle here finally on Saturday. Atlanta is 4-1 and Milwaukee is 4-0. The Hawks have seen the total go "over" the number in three straight after their latest 136-112 win over Detroit, but that's significant to note here as ATL has in fact seen the totalg go "under" in seven of its last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. The Bucks are off a 119-108 win over the Knicks. With back-to-back upcoming home games against the Pistons, Milwaukee won't be lookihg past its potentially dangerous opponent today. The Hawks are averaging 117.6 PPG, but the Bucks will be looking to slow the pace of this one down from the outset. Milwaukee averages 111 PPG. The Bucks get the job done defensively here in the early going this season and I expect this contest to be a very defensive battle; this number is high, the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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10-29-22 | Phillies v. Astros UNDER 7 | Top | 2-5 | Push | 0 | 12 h 50 m | Show |
10* UNDER (ASSASSIN) I had a play on the Phillies on the runline in Game 1. While Game 1 flew well "over" the posted number of 6.5, I believe we'll see a much tigher, and ultimately lower-scoring "duel" here in Game 2. Zach Wheeler is 1-1 with a 1.78 ERA and 0.51 WHIP so far in the playoffs for the Phillies, while Framber Valdez is 1-0 with a 1.42 ERA for the Astros. Terrible starts for both starters yesterday, but let's not assume that these two red-hot starters here on Saturday will follow suit. Expect these two "studs" to battle into the latter frames as each sides leans on their starter today, and look for this total to stay "under" the number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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10-29-22 | Michigan State +23 v. Michigan | Top | 7-29 | Win | 100 | 125 h 21 m | Show |
10* MICHIGAN STATE (BIG 10 GOY) The Spartans'll be out to pull off an outright upset here after dropping four of their last five. MSU is 3-4 overall and just 1-3 in league play. Will 7-0 Michigan then come in complacent and "look past" its lowly opponent? Hammering the Spartans never gets old, but I do think this sets up as a natural "letdown" spot. Next week the Wolverines take on Rutgers. But the Spartans are running out of time and chances here. Michigan's chemistry takes a hit here in my opinion as it comes out of its bye week. Last year MSU pulled off an upset over Michigan in a similar sort of situation. Amd I calling for an outright upset again this season? Of course not. That said, this great situational play has all the makings of an against-the-spread cover of the "rocking chair" variety; grab the points, the play is Michigan State! AAA Sports |
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10-29-22 | Kentucky +12 v. Tennessee | Top | 6-44 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
10* Kentucky (BLOCKBUSTER) Kentucky is 5-2 and on the cusp of eligibility after its 27-17 win over Mississippi State two weeks ago as a 3.5 point underdog. Tennessee is already 7-0 and it has its sights set on bigger things. Tennessee annihilated Tennessee Martin 65 to 24 last weekend as a 38.5-point favorite. Will Levis has been pretty good for the Wildcats though, he actually had his best game of the season in the win over Mississippi State (finishing with a 91.1 QBR.) Running back Chris Rodriguez Junior had his best game also finishing with 197 yards on 31 carries against Mississippi State. Overall the Wildcats average 26.4 points per game, but they've been even better on the defensive side ranked in the top 15 nationally in points allowed. With Georgia on deck next week, obiously Hendon Hooker and the Volunteers have to be careful of not looking past the Wildcats. Tennessee's defensive stats are a bit of a mixed bag, but the Vols don't usually have to be too sharp defensively as they're averaging 50.1 points per game, which is No. 1 in the nation. Kentucky faced a high-powered offense like this already in Ole Miss, and while the Wildcats didn't win that one, they kept the Rebels out of the end zone over the final three quarters. Levis will have some opportunities here against a sub-par Volunteer secondary; I'm not calling for an outright guys, but I think that Kentucky can keep it close! AAA Sports |
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10-29-22 | Arkansas v. Auburn UNDER 60.5 | 41-27 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 37 m | Show | |
9* under Arkansas/Auburn (SUPER TOTAL) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I'm expecting more of a defensive affair here finally on Saturday. Arkansas is now 4-3 after its 52-35 win over BYU two weeks ago. Note though that the Razorbacks have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last off a SU/ATS road victory as an underdog in which they scored 50 or more points in. I think the week off will be detrimental fo Arkansas' offense as well this week. Auburn is only averaging 22.3 PPG. The last thing the 3-4 Tigers can do is to turn this into a "track meet." They'll be looking to bounce back from a 48-34 loss at Ole Miss two weeks ago. I expect the home side to run the ball throughout while on offense and for this total to sneak "under" the number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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10-28-22 | Rockets v. Blazers OVER 224.5 | Top | 111-125 | Win | 100 | 14 h 18 m | Show |
10* OVER Rockets/Blazers (WESTERN-CONFERENCE TOTAL OF MONTH) Both teams have been involved in some tight defensive affairs to start the season, but I'm expecting a more wide-open "shootout" here finally on Friday night. Houston is 1-4, and Portland is 4-1. The Rockets are 0-3 on the road, while Portland is 2-1 at home. Houston only averages 109.8 PPG, but I expect it to open up the playbook here today and push the pace against this Blazers team that's done well on the defensive end to this point. Portland comes in averaging 113.4 PPG. It's off a 119-98 loss at home to a desperate Miami team, but that's significant to note hote, as the Blazers have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after a SU/ATS home loss in which they were held to 99 or fewer points in. A great situational play, the stage is now set for a high-scoring affair; the play is the over! AAA Sports |
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10-28-22 | Phillies +1.5 v. Astros | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 56 h 1 m | Show |
10* Phillies RUNLINE (WS GOY) In a game that I see being decided late, or even in extras, I'm going to grab Philadelphia on the runline option here in Game 1. This Game 1 has the "Any Given Sunday" sort of "feel" to it. The fact that the Astros are in the World Series isn't a shocker, but the Phillies path to this point has been unexpected. They had to fight to make the Wildcard, but since then they've looked unstoppable. Momentum is a very real, almost tangible factor in sports (especially in the playoffs) and it's one in which I've always felt that the oddsmakers have had a hard time propertly quantifying into a line at times. And that's the case here in my opinion. Aaron Nola has been great on the road all year and he eners with a 2-1, 3.12 ERA playoff record for the Phillies, while Justin Verlander is 1-0 with a 6.30 ERA for the Astros. Verlander got crushed in his last start, while Nola has been solid throughout. Give me the red hot Wheeler and the upstart Phillies to, at the very least, earn the ATS cover on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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10-28-22 | East Carolina v. BYU -3 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
10* BYU (ASSASSIN) We're at Lavell Edwards Stadium for this one. Both teams are on the cusp of eligibility. The East Carolina Pirates are 5-3, and BYU is 4-4. But while East Carolina has won five of its last seven, the Cougars enter on a three-game losing streak. This is a pivotal game for BYU this weekend. Here is a great opponent to go against, because despite the superior record, the Pirates are still just 3-3 in their last six on the road. ECU has a great quarterback in Holton Ahlers, who has 2,435 passing yards, 18 touchdowns and just five interceptions. The Pirates have been pretty good in the run game as well, averaging 165.7 yards per game. Defensively they are giving up 390.7 yards and 24.6 points per game. But as I pointed out, the Pirates definitely play better at home than on the road. And that's the case for BYU as well. The Cougars will hope a little home cooking can turn things around for them. BYU has won five of its last six at home and I'd argue that Jaren Hall has been even better than Ahlers (he has 2,101 passing yards, 19 touchdowns and three interceptions). The ground game has been pretty good as well, averaging 148.4 yards per game. The weakness so far has been on the defensive end for sure obviously, as they allow 30.3 points and 404.9 yards per game. But if you look at East Carolina's schedule to this point, it definitely has not been the toughest. I think the Cougars are the correct call here. I think they're going to play with a major sense of desperation after three straight losses. East Carolina has its bye week after this, and that's followed by three straight really tough games to end the year (at Cincinnati, against Houston and at Temple.) Give me the hungrier and more motivated home side to finally put it all together and post a solid win and cover in this one; the play is BYU! AAA Sports |
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10-27-22 | Maple Leafs v. Sharks OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 106 | 15 h 30 m | Show |
10* OVER Leafs/Sharks (BLOOD-BATH) I think rather incredibly, the Leafs have not seen the total go "over" the number in any of their games so far this season. They come to San Jose with a record of 4-3. They're only averaging 2.71 GPG, while allowing 2.57. Last year the Leaf's were among the league's best on both ends of the ice. Despite their lower-scoring games to open the season, I still think it's significant to note that Toronto has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. San Jose enters at 2-7. It's coming in off a 4-2 loss to the Knights. The Sharks have seen the total go "under" in four straight. Non-conferene opponents here, we can expect a much less defensive affair, and a much more wide open battle. Expect this total to finally fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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10-27-22 | Grizzlies v. Kings UNDER 237 | Top | 125-110 | Win | 100 | 15 h 18 m | Show |
10* Grizzlies/Kings UNDER (ASSASSIN) Both of these sides have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but I'm expecting more of a defensive affair here finally on Thursday. Memphis has actually seen the total go OVER the number in all four of its games so far this season. That includes in its 134-124 victory over the Nets last time out (note though, the Grizz have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in six of their last eight after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row.) The Kings are 0-3 SU. They've been competitive in all three games. Last time out they fell 130-125 at Golden State. Look for Sacramento to double down on the defensive end tonight as it looks to finally break the slide. I'm expecting a much more defensive battle than what this O/U line is suggesting; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-27-22 | Ravens -1.5 v. Bucs | Top | 27-22 | Win | 100 | 55 h 2 m | Show |
10* RAVENS (NON-CONF GOM) The Bucs are 3-4 and the Ravens are 4-3. I think it's safe to say that neither is thrilled where they are at at this point of the season. Clearly that's the case for Tom Brady and the Bucs, who have had so many different issues to deal with since training camp. And it really doesnt appear as if things are going to get any easier for the the Bucs' super star, ESPECIALLY on the short week right? How can this short week be benefitting Brady at all right now? It's gotta just put added stress onto an already super stressful situation. This has to be is rock bottom for Brady? Losing 21-3 to the Carolina Panthers? There's no question that PJ Walker was the better quarterback on the field of play that day last weekend. I think that LaMar Jackson and the Ravens can smell the blood in the water this week. Jackson actually had his worst game of the season last week, as he completed just nine passes, and they were outgained by Cleveland 336 yards to 254. But a couple of timely scores and a Browns false start on the game tying field goal lifted them to the miraculous 23-20 victory. The Bucs are ripe for the picking here in my opinion ultimately. The offense is broken, the running game is non existent because the offensive line is in shambles. Brady was 32 of 49 for 290 yards last weekend and his average depth of target is just 7.8 this season, by far the lowest of his career.Clearly Baltimore is far from perfect, but I'm going with Jackson here to find a way to get the job done, as I definitely don't trust Brady right now; the play is the RAVENS. AAA Sports |
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10-26-22 | Heat +1.5 v. Blazers | Top | 119-98 | Win | 100 | 15 h 44 m | Show |
10* HEAT (NON-CONF GOM) Would anyone have guessed that the Heat would be 1-3 right now after four games, and the Blazers would be 4-0? Portland is also 4-0 ATS, while Miami is 0-4 ATS. The law of averages is flawed in many ways, but I've always felt that lop-sided numbers/trends have a way of naturally correcting themselves over the short, mid and the long-term. Miami is off the 98-90 home loss to rival Toronto. It simply CAN NOT afford to look past the Blazers today, because up next is a date at the defending champs tomorrow night. THat's the followed by a tricky road game against an improved Sacramento team (and that's followed by a home game against the Warriors again!) It's all hands on deck for Miami tonight. Would anyone fault Portland for having a minor letdown here after four straight victories to open the season as an underdog? All good things must come to an end. Note, ALL FOUR of Portland's victories have come against the top teams in the West as well, beating Sacramento, Phoenix (in T), the Lakers and most recently hammering the Nuggets 135-110. Now facing their first non-conference opponent of the season, this one screams "letdown" spot to me; the play is Miami! AAA Sports |
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10-26-22 | Lakers +6.5 v. Nuggets | 99-110 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 32 m | Show | |
8* Lakers (SPECIAL) Both teams have gotten out to crummy starts, but I think this one'll be decided in the closing moments. The Lakers are 0-3 SU/ATS, and the Nuggets are 2-2 SU and 1-3 ATS. The Lakers offense has struggled, but they'll look to take advantage of a Nuggets team that just gave up 135 points to the Blazers. LA's defense has been decent despite the defeats (the three losses have come against three pretty good teams as well, who have a combined 8-2 record right now.) LeBron James and Anthony Davis look good for the Lakers. If Russell Westbrook has even a mediocre showing here, the Lakers have a legit shot at winning this one outright. Nikola Jokic is always an X-Factor, but this Denver defense looks terrible right now; grab the points, the play is LA! AAA Sports |
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10-26-22 | Lightning v. Ducks +1.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -175 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
6* Ducks PUCKLINE (DESTRUCTION) I'm going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance here. The Lightning appear to now finally be struggling with consistency. Once the "cream of the crop" in the Eastern Conference, the Bolts could be on the decline. They're just 3-4 coming into this one, including off a 4-2 loss at the Kings just last night. Now fatigued, they catch a 1-4 Ducks team that's had two nights off after a 5-1 defeat at Detroit. Anaheim won its opener 5-4 in OT at home, then it hit the road for five-straight road games. Now back on home ice, look for the Ducks to ride the wave of emotion and to, at the very least, take this one right down to the wire; lay the price, the play is Anaheim on the puckline option! AAA Sports |