Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-18-23 | Georgia State v. LSU UNDER 73 | Top | 14-56 | Win | 100 | 54 h 23 m | Show |
10* Georgia State/LSU UNDER (NON-CONF TOY) LSU and Jayden Daniels are 7-3. They've seen the total go "over" the number in all ten games. Daniels is brilliant, but now here favored at home in a massive way over lowly 6-4 Georgia State, which became bowl eligible and then immediately lost three straight. No need to overthink this one, as this is a great "situational" play. Georgia State will just be going through the motions here and will be looking to avoid any serious injuries. One game after falling 42-28 to Alabama, LSU bounced back with last week's 52-35 win over Florida, but with Texas A&M up next to close out the season, we believe the home side will take the foot off the gas in the second half; this number is finally a bit TOO high here for the Tigers, so the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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11-18-23 | Texas State v. Arkansas State +4 | Top | 31-77 | Win | 100 | 26 h 41 m | Show |
10* Arkansas State (SUN BELT GOM) Texas State is now 6-4 after last week's 31-23 upset loss at Coastal Carolina as a three-point favorite. The Bobcats are once again going to have their hands full here vs. the 5-5 Arkansas State Red Wolves, who had their two-game win streak snapped in last week's 21-14 loss at South Alabama as a 15.5-point dog. The Red Wolves will be looking to pull off the outright upset here, but really the oddsmakers have been underestimating this team for a while now, entering having covered the spread in three straight. And that's the case once again here in our opinion, as we feel an outright upset is in fact a very real possibility; that said, let's grab the points with Arkansas State! AAA Sports |
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11-18-23 | Golden Knights v. Flyers OVER 6 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 24 h 30 m | Show |
10* OVER Knights/Flyers (NON-CONF TOM) We primarily based our Over/Under picks (in EVERY major sport!), on "situations." Here's a great situational play in our opinion. Neither team has been involved in many high-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this afternoon. Vegas came from behind to knock off Montreal on the road by a score of 6-5 and we expect that offensive momentum to get carried over here (previous to that the Knights had seen the total go "under" in four straight.) The Flyers have seen the total go "under" in seven of their last eight after a 3-1 road win at Carolina, but with the visitors pushing the pace of this one like we expect, we're looking for this total to indeed eclipse the posted number as the game comes down the stretch of this non-conference contest; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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11-18-23 | Columbia +12.5 v. Temple | Top | 78-73 | Win | 100 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
10* Columbia (MID-MAJOR MAULING) Temple is 3-0, and Columbia is 2-2. Columbia is averaging 78 PPG, and we think its impressive offense will keep it competitive late in this one. Geronimo Rubio De La Rosa is one of four players averaging double-figures. Temple averages only 66.3 PPG, but it has been getting the job done with its impressive defensive play, holding teams to just 38.5 percent shooting. Hysier Miller leads the way offensively for Temple. With Ole Miss coming to town next, we're expecting the home side to take the foot off the gas in the second half as well; grab the points, the play is Columbia! AAA Sports |
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11-18-23 | Tulane v. Florida Atlantic +9.5 | Top | 24-8 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 58 m | Show |
10* FAU (AAC GOM) Tulane is 9-1 and has big aspirations here, but FAU won't be rolling over, coming into this contest 4-6, needing to sweep its final two games to become "eligible." Clealry the odds are against it, but we think the Owls will, at the very least, keep this one competitive enough down the stretch to comfortably sneak in through the back door with the large spread that they've been afforded. Tulane is really in unchartered territory here atop the AAC. Tulane has a way of letting teams hang around late. The Green Wave also have some injuries in the receiving corps. When you add up all of these factors, eveything points to a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; grab the points, the play is Florida Atlantic! AAA Sports |
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11-17-23 | Rockets v. Clippers OVER 218.5 | Top | 100-106 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 24 m | Show |
10* OVER Rockets/Clippers (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. Houston is 6-3, but 0-2 on the road. The Rockets are coming in off six straight victories, and they've seen the total go "under" in three straight (note though that Houston has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row.) The Clippers have seen the total go "under" in four of their last five after dropping their sixth straight in a 111-108 setback at Denver most recently. A disaster start for the Clippers, who will be keeping the foot on the gas from start to finish in this one; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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11-17-23 | Colorado v. Washington State -4 | Top | 14-56 | Win | 100 | 34 h 11 m | Show |
10* WSU (PAC 12 GOM) We say that home field advantage proves to be a difference-maker here. Both teams are 4-6 with two games remaining to try and become eligible. Colorado has lost four straight, but it's 3-1 ATS in that span, most recently falling 34-31 to Arizona as an 8-point dog. After four straight wins to open the year, WSU has now lost six straight. It's lost three straight ATS, but note that the Cougars are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more straight ATS losses in a row. Colorado has been downright terrible of late though, now allowing 33.9 PPG. The Cougars have only been slightly better by allowing 30.9, but again, the home-field advantage simply can not be ignored as a very real deciding factor in our opinion. Everyone and their grand-mother wants to beat Coach Prime, and that includes WSU; lay the points, the play is the Cougars! AAA Sports |
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11-17-23 | Butler v. Michigan State -8 | Top | 54-74 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
10* Michigan State (ATS BEATDOWN) The Butler Bulldogs are 3-0 SU/ATS, while Michigan State is 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS. The Spartans lost their last game against 9th ranked Duke, but we're expecting them to now take out their frustrations on the Bulldogs. Butler has looked great in its three straight home wins, but now they hit the road for the first time and we're predicting a predictable letdown. The bottom line here though is that Butler hasn't played anyone difficult yet, and the Spartans are already battle-tested and now a little pissed off; look for MSU to run up the score and keep the foot on the gas until the final horn! AAA Sports |
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11-17-23 | Maple Leafs v. Red Wings UNDER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 117 | 6 h 14 m | Show |
10* UNDER Leafs/Wings (SPECIAL) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting more of a defensive affair here finally. Detroit's off a 5-4 OT loss to Ottawa just last night and we expect it to be fatigued here and to double down on the defensive end. Toronto has now seen the total go "over" the number in five straight after a 5-2 win over Vancouver, but note that the Leafs have in fact seen the total go "under" in eight of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. This number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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11-16-23 | Thunder v. Warriors OVER 225 | Top | 128-109 | Win | 100 | 28 h 21 m | Show |
10* OVER Thunder/Warriors (WEST-CONF NON-DIV TOY) Here's a great situational play. This is the opener of two straight between these teams here in Golden State. The Warriors won't be taking anything for granted here at 6-6 and off four straight losses. OKC has won four of its last five and it's seen the total go "under" in three straight (but note that the Thunder have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. With each team pushing the pace like we anticipate, all signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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11-16-23 | Missouri -2 v. Minnesota | Top | 70-68 | Push | 0 | 27 h 54 m | Show |
10* MISSOURI (NON-CONF GOM) Here's a great situational contrarian-based selection. Missouri is 2-1, while Minnesota is 2-0. The Tigers are 0-3 ATS to open the season, but note that Missouri is a near-perfect 4-1 ATS in its last five after three or more ATS losses in a row. And with nearly 65% of the early public money on the Gophers, we naturally will lean to the opposite side no matter the situation. So far Missouri averaged 78.9 PPG, while allowing 74.4 last season, while Minnesota averaged 62.9 PPG, while allowing 71. The Tigers won't be as good as they were last year with plenty of new faces, but their defense will be the difference-maker in this one; lay the points, the play is Missouri! AAA Sports |
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11-16-23 | Bengals v. Ravens UNDER 46 | Top | 20-34 | Loss | -107 | 27 h 60 m | Show |
10* UNDER Bengals/Ravens (TOTAL BLOWOUT) The Bengals are 5-4 and the Ravens are 7-3. Cincinnati got caught looking ahead to this one in last week's 30-27 home loss to Houston as a 5.5-point favorite, snapping a four-game win streak. Baltimore's four-game win streak was also snapped in last week's 33-31 home loss to Cleveland as a six-point favorite. The Bengals play with revenge after a 27-24 loss at home to Baltimore, and note that Cinncy has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. a divisional opponent. Expect the short week to also help in contributing to a lower-scoring defensive battle; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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11-16-23 | Coyotes v. Blue Jackets UNDER 6.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 105 | 25 h 51 m | Show |
10* Coyotes/Jackets UNDER (ASSASSIN) Here's a great situational play. These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end on Thursday night. Arizona is 7-6-2-0, while Columbus is 4-8-3-1. The Blue Jackets have lost six straight and they've seen the total go "over" in five straight. But note that Columbus has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Arizona is 7-6 and over its last five games it's been trading wins with losses. Off a 4-3 OT loss at Dallas, expect the visitors to double-down on the defensive end in this rare road favorable matchup; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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11-16-23 | Boston College +3 v. Pittsburgh | Top | 16-24 | Loss | -107 | 26 h 34 m | Show |
10* Boston College (ACC GOW) Pittsburgh is terrible. It's going through its worst season in 30 years. Pitt is 2-8 and can't even play spoiler here, as BC is 6-4. The Eagles lost badly to Virginia Tech last weekend, one week after punching their ticket. But BC has great numbers against bad teams and we can't see the Panthers putting up much of a fight here on Thursday night. While BC stumbled last week, expect an immediate response here in this favorable matchup on Thursday night; clearly the outright win is a possibility, but in the end let's grab the points with Boston College! AAA Sports |
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11-15-23 | Kings v. Lakers UNDER 233.5 | Top | 125-110 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 41 m | Show |
10* Kings/Lakers UNDER (BLOOD-BATH) Here's a great situational play. Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but this overall "situation" now points to a much more defensive affair in our opinion. LA has seen the total go "over" the number in three straight after last night's win over Memphis, but note that the Lakers have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. The Kings are coming off B2B wins and have seen the total go "over" in three of their last four, but with the home side looking to control the pace of this one because of the fatigue factor, all signs point to this total now being a bit too high here on Wednesday night; this number is high, the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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11-15-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 27 h 22 m | Show |
10* OVER Kraken/Oilers (BOB) The NHL season has been interesting so far with a few surprises here and there. One of those surprises has been one of these two teams, nd that's the Oilers. Edmonton was predicted by many to take a BIG step forward this year, but so far that hasn't been the case as the Oilers are just 4-9-1-0. But that said, they're coming off two straight wins. The bottom line here is that Edmonton can't afford to look past anyone. It can't afford to take the foot off the gas, as it has to keep the pedal to the metal for a while here to get back on track. And so here's a favorable home matchup which we expect them to try and take advantage of. Seattle has always been a surprise to us, another expansion team that's burst onto the scene and enjoyed a lot of early success. Last year Seattle was great on the road, but this season maybe the Kraken are taking a step back as they've now lost four of their last five most recently falling 5-1 to Colorado at home. And in the game previous to that the Kraken lost 4-1 to these very Oilers (note though that Seattle has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge a home loss as an underdog vs. an opponent.) These two motivated teams open things up offensively on Wednesday night in our opinion; this number is low, the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |
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11-15-23 | Evansville v. SE Missouri State -2.5 | Top | 76-57 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 38 m | Show |
10* SEMO (MID-MAJOR MAULING) Evansville is 2-0, and Southeast Missouri State (SEMO), is 0-2. We think that the Purple Aces will be caught a bit complacent here and get caught looking ahead to their game at home vs. Ball State this weekend. The Redhawks have been blown out in each of their first two games, but they were huge dogs in each. They were 16 points at Grand Canyon, and lost 88-67. Then they were 20-point dogs at Butler and lost 91-56. Now back at home for the first time this year and battle-tested, we're expecting an all out effort from the home side here to "get off the schneid," the play is SEMO! AAA Sports |
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11-15-23 | Central Michigan +11.5 v. Ohio | Top | 20-34 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 18 m | Show |
10* CMU (MAC GOY) We've reached the point of the season where the win/loss record for teams really matters. CMU is 5-5 and it has two games left in which to try and become eligible. Ohio is 7-3 and it's already eligible, although now looking to improve its bowl berth. Still lots to play for for the Bobcats, but it's all hands on deck for CMU here, which has a home game vs. 9-1 Toledo next week, a contest in which it'll be another large dog. It's now or never, do or die essentially and while that may not translate into a SU win for the Chips here on Wednesday night, we do fully expect that effort be more than enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch; grab the points, the play is Central Michigan! AAA Sports |
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11-15-23 | Merrimack v. Ohio State -22.5 | 52-76 | Win | 100 | 26 h 27 m | Show | |
8* Ohio State (ROUT) Merrimack is 2-1 and it's on the road to take on 1-1 Ohio State. The Buckeyes held on for a 79-73 win over Oakland as 19.5-point favorites, before then falling 73-66 at home to Texas A&M as 1.5-point favs. The Warriors have won two straight and are 3-0 ATS, but the level of their competition obviously has to be called into question here, most recently a 71-65 victory over Maine. Ohio State has underperformed and because of that, we are aboslutely expecting the Buckeyes to take this game super seriously and to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. A great situational play; lay the points with confidence, the play is indeed on Ohio State! AAA Sports |
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11-14-23 | Mavs v. Pelicans +3.5 | Top | 110-131 | Win | 100 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
10* Pelicans (ASSASSIN) The Pelicans come in desperate to snap a five-game slide, both SU and ATS. Note that New Orleans is 7-3 ATS in its last ten though after five or more SU losses in a row. The Pels also play with the immediate "revenge" factor after falling 136-124 to Dallas here two nights agao, and note that New Orleans is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as an underdog vs. an opponent. Dallas is firing on all cylinders right now, but with a game in the Nation's capital tomorrow night, followed by a contest in Milwaukee, not only is this a "letdown" spot for the Mavs, but also a "look-ahead." And when you add those two factors together you get TRAP GAME. While the outright is possible, the official call is to grab as many points as you can; the play is New Orleans! AAA Sports |
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11-14-23 | Golden Knights v. Capitals OVER 6 | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -101 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
10* OVER Knights/Capitals (BLOOD-BATH) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting more of an offensive outburst here in the Nation's capital on Tuesday night. After back-to-back regulation losses, the Knights bounced back wth a 5-0 win over the Sharks last time out. They've seen the total go "under" in three straight, but note that the defending champs have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. After a slow start the Capitals have been playing a lot better, as they're 7-4-2 overall and off B2B victories. With each team pushing the pace like we expect, all signs point to this one eclipsing the posted number as the game comes down the stretch; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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11-14-23 | Toledo v. Bowling Green UNDER 52.5 | Top | 32-31 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 12 m | Show |
10* UNDER Toledo/Bowling Green. Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. Toledo is 9-1 and looking to close out the regular season strong before Conference Tournament. BGSU is eligible at 6-4, but it'll also be looking to improve its berth with another win here and a possible upset. BGSU has seen the total go "over" three straight games after its fourth straight win in last week's 49-19 win at Kent State, but note that the Green Falcons have in fact seen the total go "under" in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Toledo is off a 49-23 win over EMU, but with the home side looking to control the pace of this one, rather than turn it into a shootout, we say that the overall situation, combined with the trends all point to the "under" as the correct call as far as the total is concerned! AAA Sports |
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11-14-23 | Mercer v. Morehead State -3 | Top | 66-74 | Win | 100 | 26 h 48 m | Show |
10* Morehead State (MID-MAJOR MAULING) 1-1 Mercer hits the road to take on 1-2 Morhead State and in our opinion, the home court advatage can not be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in the outcome of this one. This is a "trap" game for the Bears, who are off the 66-61 SU/ATS win over Chicago State, and who have a big nationally televised game at Alabama this weekend. Morehead State lost 105-73 at Alabama to open the season, then bounced back with a 96-40 win SHAST, which was then followed by an 87-57 loss at Purdue. Morehead State has played some tough competition and catches Mercer here at the right time; lay the points with confidence, the play is Morehead State! AAA Sports |
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11-13-23 | Avalanche v. Seattle Kraken UNDER 6.5 | Top | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 8 m | Show |
10* UNDER Avs/Kraken (TOW) After losing three of their last four, including two straight, while also seeing the total go "over" the number in four straight, we're expecting the 8-5 Avs to double down on the defensive end this evening. Note, despite losing 8-2 to the Blues at home last time out, Colorado has still seen the total go "under" the number eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Seattle is 5-7 and it's lost three of its last four as well. They've seen the total go "over" in three of their last four, but they fell 4-1 to the Oilers last time out; all signs point to a similar final combined score here as well between these two hungry sides; this number is high, the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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11-13-23 | Long Island +16.5 v. Pepperdine | Top | 53-88 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 17 m | Show |
10* LIU (BOB) Are we calling for the outright victory?! We're not obviously! But in a contest that we predict being a lot closer than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe, we're grabbing the points. Pepperdine is 2-1, while LIU is 0-1. The Sharks fought hard, but eventually fell 82-67 to Air Force as ten-point dogs in their most recent matchup. The Waves are coming off a 76-53 winm over the Leopards. LIU was amazingly just 1-15 ATS on the road last year, but we think the Sharks can comfortably sneak in through the back door this time with Pepperdine caught looking ahead to a series of neutral court tournament contests, starting with UC Irvine. Regardless, no outright upset or anything, but expect a comfortably back door cover down the stretch; grab the points, the play is LIU! AAA Sports |
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11-13-23 | Broncos +7 v. Bills | Top | 24-22 | Win | 100 | 31 h 59 m | Show |
10* Broncos (ASSASSIN) Denver is 3-5. It went into its bye week last week off two straight victories, including an impressive 24-9 win over Kansas City. With a week off to prepare, we think that the Broncos are poised for another big performance. Buffalo is just 5-4 and it's been more "miss" than "hit" of late, coming offa 24-18 loss at Cincinnati last weekend. Buffalo has lost five straight ATS, but with over 65% of the public money backing the home side, we are definitely going to play contrarian here and grab up all these points; and that's the play, Denver! AAA Sports |
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11-13-23 | Bulls v. Bucks -7.5 | Top | 109-118 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
10* Bucks (CENTRAL DIV. GOW) After B2B SU road losses, and six straight ATS setbacks, we're liking the Bucks to not only win this game here on Monday night vs. their division rival, but to do so in blowout fashion. Chicago has been trading wins and losses over its last four games, and off a 119-108 home win and cover over the Pistons just last night, we're expecting the Bulls to predictably suffer here in the second game ofthe B2B scenario. Overall this play is a super solid "situational" selection; lay the points, the play is Milwaukee! AAA Sports |
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11-12-23 | Jets v. Raiders OVER 36.5 | Top | 12-16 | Loss | -108 | 31 h 13 m | Show |
10* OVER Jets/Raiders (AFC NON-DIVISIONAL TOY) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games to open the season, but we're expecting a much faster-paced, and ultimately higher-scoring outcome than what this O/U line is suggesting. This is a big game for both teams and we expect this to translate into offensive production on the field of play. The Jets had won three straight before last week's 27-6 setback at home to the Chargers, but note that NY has in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of its last nine off a SU/ATS home loss as an underdog in its previous outing. Las Vegas snapped a two-game slide with a 30-6 win over New York, and we think it can match that offensive out put this week as well. These teams haven't played since 2020, and in that game they combined 59 points. We see a similar final combined score here this time around as well, as the overall situation combined with the numbers/trends do indeed point to the "over" as the correct call as far as the total is concerned in our opinion! AAA Sports |
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11-12-23 | Mavs v. Pelicans +3 | Top | 136-124 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 60 m | Show |
10* Pelicans (SOUTHWEST GOY) We love the way this one sets up for New Orleans. We really respect the Mavericks and think they are a very dangerous team. This is just a great spot for the hungry home side. The Mavs are 7-2, while the Pels are 4-5. This is the opener of two straight here between the teams. If the Pels lose this one, we'll almost assuredly be on them in the next game, but we just don't see that happening. Dallas is off the big 144-126 home win over the Clippers, but two days previous it fell 127-116 at home to the Raptors. New Orleans and Toronto have similar line-ups that can keep Luka Doncic busy. The Pels won't be messing around here after four straight losses. This is a great situational play and while clearly we believe the outright upset is a very real possibility, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can; the play is New Orleans! AAA Sports |
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11-12-23 | Northern Arizona +19.5 v. Grand Canyon | Top | 55-89 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
10* Northern Arizona (MID-MAJOR MAULING) Grand Canyon is 1-0, while Northern Arizona is 0-1. The Lumberjacks fell 95-52 to a tough UConn team, but note that they're 7-2 ATS in their last nine off a SU/ATS non-conference road loss. The Antelopes pulled away for the 88-67 win and cover over Southeast Missouri State, but with an upcoming neutral site tourney game vs. San Francisco, we expect the home side to get caught "looking ahead" and to take the foot off the gas in the second half; grab the points, the play is Northern Arizona! AAA Sports |
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11-12-23 | 49ers -3 v. Jaguars | Top | 34-3 | Win | 100 | 25 h 9 m | Show |
10* 49ers (ASSASSIN) At the start of the season we believed that Jacksonville was really undervalued, but now we think the Jags are getting a little too much respect here vs. an underachieving 49ers team that's off three staight SU/ATS losses in a row. Note that San Fran is 7-2 ATS in its last nine after three or more SU/ATS losses in a row. San Fran comes out of its bye week, and there are now no excuses. The Jags come in complacent off their sixth straight win, a 20-10 victory over a listless Pittsburgh side. Look for the "hungrier" team to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish here and to not only win this game, but do so in blowout fashion; lay the points, the play is San Francisco. AAA Sports |
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11-12-23 | Packers v. Steelers OVER 38.5 | 19-23 | Win | 100 | 25 h 50 m | Show | |
8* OVER Packers/Steelers (SUPER TOTAL) These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games to open the season, but all signs finally point to more of a wide-open offensive affair here in this non-conference contest here in Pittsburgh in our opinion. Green Bay is 3-5, while Pittsburgh is 5-3. The Packers are off the much-needed 20-3 home win over the Rams and they've now seen the total go "under" in four straight. Despite dominating defensively last week, note that Green Bay has still seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Pittsburgh wasn't supposed to be this good this year, but it's now won three of its last four, including a 20-16 home victory over Tennessee last time out. Pittsburgh has now seen the total go "under" in six straight, but note that despite its last game staying below the posted number, Pittsburgh has still seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. This is a big game for each side, and we're expecting a much faster-paced affair, and ultimately higher-scoring outcome than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |
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11-11-23 | Texas v. TCU +10 | Top | 29-26 | Win | 100 | 98 h 30 m | Show |
10* TCU (BIG 12 GOM) Will 8-1 Texas get caught "looking past" 4-5 TCU on the road here? Probably not. But that said, we're expecting a battle until the final moments and because of that, we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. It's three straight winnable games to close out the year for the Longhorns, but no such luxury for the Horned Frogs, who have lost two straight and who are running out of chances to become eligible, with a game vs. Baylor next week, followed by a contest at Oklahoma to close things off. The Longhorns looked shaky in last week's 33-30 OT win over K-State, and we feel they're holding on here. Backup quarterback Maalik Murphy has now started two games in place of the injured Quinn Ewers and he hasn't been great. They won't need or want to rush back Ewers and if he does play here, it will be as a game manager to get back into the "groove" of live-action play. No matter which way you cut it, we say this is a few too many points to be giving; so grab the points, the play is indeed on TCU. AAA Sports |
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11-11-23 | Bucknell +10.5 v. Niagara | Top | 73-64 | Win | 100 | 28 h 55 m | Show |
10* Bucknell (MID-MAJOR MAULING) Outright victory?! We're not calling for that, but in a contest that we see being a lot more competitive than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe, we're grabbing the points. Bucknell is 0-2 SU/ATS after an 80-61 loss at Penn. Niagara is off the 70-63 loss at Notre Dame. These teams played last year and Bucknell posted the 68-50 win, and while there's been plenty of turnover for both teams, we still think the Bison will be competitive here vs. what we feel is an over-rated Purple Eagles side. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Bucknell! AAA Sports |
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11-11-23 | Bucks v. Magic UNDER 232 | Top | 97-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
10* Bucks/Magic UNDER (ASSASSIN) The line on this one was given out late, but despite who plays, we're expecting a much more defensive affair than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Milwaukee is 5-3 after a 126-124 loss at Indiana last time out. The Bucks have seen the total go "over" in three straight now, but note that Milwaukee has seen the total go "under" in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Off the terrible loss at Indiana, we're expecting the visitors to double down defensively here. Orlando is 4-4 after back-to-back high-scoring losses, most recently a tough 120-119 neutral site setback to Atlanta. With both teams looking to bounce back from super tough losses, and taking into account all of the other information listed above, this total is for sure a little high in our opinion; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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11-11-23 | Coppin State +15 v. Mt. St. Mary's | 60-74 | Win | 100 | 25 h 6 m | Show | |
8* Coppin State (SUPER BLOWOUT) No matter the sport, at the start of the season we're always looking for great situational plays. This one falls into that category. Coppin State is 0-2 SU/ATS, while Mount Saint Mary's is 0-1 SU and 1-0 ATS. The Eagles though have played two tough opponents in Virginia Tech and Towson, both which they were huge dogs. With those two games under their belts, we're expecting this undervalued visiting side to give the Mountaineers everything they can handle. They lost 68-53 to Maryland, and while they'll almost assuredly go on to win this game outright, we just can't see them covering this large spread; so grab the points, the play is Coppin State! AAA Sports |
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11-11-23 | Stars v. Jets UNDER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 25 h 33 m | Show |
10* UNDER (BLOOD-BATH) When we bet "totals" (in all major sports), we're always looking for great "situations," and this one fall directly into that category. Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but everything finally points to more of a defensive affair here between these clubs on Saturday afternoon in our opinion. Dallas is 8-3-0-1, including 5-1-0-1 on the road. The Stars are off a 5-3 win at Columbus. Winnipeg is 7-4 and it's won three straight. The Jets have also seen the total go "over" the number in four straight. Note though that Winnipeg has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in five of its last six after three or more straight victories in a row; this number is a little high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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11-11-23 | Memphis v. Charlotte +11 | Top | 44-38 | Win | 100 | 24 h 38 m | Show |
10* Charlotte (SHOCKER) At this time of year, we're always looking for great "situational" plays. This one falls directly into the "great situational play" category. Memphis is 7-2 and 3-0 on the road, but 3-6 Charlotte won't be rolling over today. And why's that you ask? The 3-6 49ers only have three games left to become eligible. Last week Memphis held on for a 59-50 shootoutwin over USF, but with a home game vs SMU up next, we're expecting the visiting side to take the foot off the gas in the second half. Charlotte came from behind to bea Tulsa 33-26 in OT in its most recent action, and we're expecting it to be competitive here as well; grab the points, the play is indeed on Charlotte! AAA Sports |
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11-11-23 | Newcastle United -135 v. AFC Bournemouth | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -135 | 22 h 30 m | Show |
10* Newcastle (EPL GOW) Newcastle lost 2-0 to Borussia Dortmund in Champions League action most recently, but in its most recent EPL game it beat Arsenal 1-0 as a +184 dog. AFC Bournemouth on the other hand was destoryed 6-1 by Manchester City. With Newcastle pushing the pace of this one like we expect after last week's win, we have a hard time seeing this struggling AFC Bournemouth side keeping pace. All things considered, we feel this to be the very definition of "great line value;" lay the price on Newcastle in regulation! AAA Sports |
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11-10-23 | Wyoming +5.5 v. UNLV | Top | 14-34 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 7 m | Show |
10* Wyoming (MW GOY) Both teams are already eligible, but each now has bigger aspirations moving forward. Wyoming is 6-3, while UNLV is 7-2. Wyoming is led by 10th year head coach Craig Bohl. Last week the Cowboys beat Colorado State 24-15 for the Bronze Boot int he annual Border War. QB Andrew Peasley had 140 yards passing, while Harrison Waylee had 128 rushing. The Rebels are enjoying a great year under first year coach Barry Odom, who smashed New Mexico last week by a score of 56-14; QB Jayden Maiava had three TD passes. Wyoming's dual threat QB is going to keep his team in this one late; grab the points the play is on the Cowboys! AAA Sports |
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11-10-23 | Flyers v. Ducks OVER 6 | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show |
10* OVER Flyers/Ducks (NON-CONF TOW) These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting some offensive fireworks here on Friday. Philadelphia is 5-7-1-0, while Anaheim is 7-5-0-0. The Ducks have seen the total go "under" in two straight after a 2-0 loss to Pittsburgh last time out. Note though that the Ducks have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 off a shutout home loss in their previous outing. The Flyers are off B2B losses including a humbling 2-1 loss at San Jose last time out. Note though that Philly has seen the total go "over" the number in five of its last six after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Look for this non-conference contest to be less intense defensively, and much more wide-open offensively; this number is low, the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |
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11-10-23 | Clemson v. UAB +6.5 | Top | 77-76 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
10* UAB (TOURNEY THROW-DOWN) We like the hungry underdog to, at the very least, keep this one close eough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. Clemson is 1-0, and UAB is 0-1. Clemson is off the 78-56 win over Winthrop, while UAB enters off a tough 73-71 OT home loss to Bradley as a 4.5-point favorite. But note that the Blazers are 4-1 ATS in their last five off a SU/ATS home loss. UAB was competitive even in defeat and while the Blazers may not win this game outright, everything points to another "nail-biter" in our opinion; grab the points, the play is UAB. AAA Sports |
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11-10-23 | Wolves v. Spurs +6.5 | Top | 117-110 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
10* Spurs (ASSASSIN) The Wolves are 5-2 and the Spurs are 3-5. Minnesota though is 0-2 on the road. It's won four straight SU/ATS, but note that it's still just 3-7 ATS in its last ten after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row. With B2B games at Golden State up next, will Minnesota get caught "looking ahead?!" The possibility is there for sure obviously. The Spurs enter off three straight SU/ATS losses in a row, but note that they're 3-1 ATS in their last four after three straight SU/ATS setbacks in a row. The Wolves have looked solid overall in the early going. The Spurs have shown flashes of brilliance. We think this is a great spot for San Antonio to finally bounce back in though. This is a few too many points; we're stopping short in calling for the outright upset, so the official call is to grab as many points as you can with San Antonio! AAA Sports |
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11-10-23 | Morehead State +29.5 v. Purdue | 57-87 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
8* Morehead State (DESTRUCTION) Purdue is the No. 3 ranked team in the country right now after beating Samford 98-45 in its opener. Four players scored in double digits, led by 16 points and 11 board from Zach Edley. The Morehead State Eagles are 1-1, most recently destroying Shawnee State 96-40, led by Riley Minix with 18 points and 15 boards (the Eagles lost 105-73 to Alabama in their opener.) The Eagles are experienced, and I think they can comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch, with the Boilermakers looking ahead to upcoming games vs. Xavier and Gonzaga. This is too many points, so grab them; the play is indeed on Morehead State! AAA Sports |
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11-09-23 | Northern Kentucky +12.5 v. Washington | Top | 67-75 | Win | 100 | 30 h 7 m | Show |
10* Northern Kentucky (BLOOD-BATH) Are we predicting an outright upset? Don't be silly! But we do think there are enough external factors working in UNK's favor here to easily cover with the large spread that it's been afforded in this one. The Norse are off a 74-57 loss to to MTSU, led by Marques Warrick with 18 points in a losing cause. Washington is 1-0 in contrast after pulling away for a comfortable 91-57 victory over Bellarmine. Koren Johnson led the charge with 25 points. Washington only averaged 69.2 PPG last year, hwile Northern Kentucky averaged 67.8. No outright here, but much closer than expected; grab the points the play is Northern Kentucky! AAA Sports |
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11-09-23 | Panthers +3.5 v. Bears | Top | 13-16 | Win | 100 | 28 h 59 m | Show |
10* Carolina (ASSASSIN) Carolina is 1-7 and Chicago is 2-7. These teams stink, but in a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. Carolina comes in off a 27-13 loss to Indianapolis, while Chicago comes in off a second straight loss, this time in a 24-17 setback at New Orleans. Both teams have struggled in every facet of the game, but this in our opinion is a great "situational" play. Bryce Young is the best player on the field and we feel he'll bounce back here on prime-time; grab the points, the play is the Panthers! AAA Sports |
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11-09-23 | Coyotes v. Blues -111 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
10* Blues (CENTRAL DIVISION GOM) They say divisional contests are always the most important and that they almost always mean more to the home side. We're getting great value here on a 5-5-0-1 St. Louis team that is 4-2 at home. Arizona has been better than advertised so far in the early going at 6-5-1-0, but it's still just 2-3-1-0 on the road. This play is based upon perceived value and we feel we're getting a TON of it here in this matchup; lay the short price, the play is the Blues! AAA Sports |
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11-09-23 | Virginia v. Louisville -20 | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 56 m | Show |
10* Louisville (ACC GOW) Typically we don't side with the public. We're contrarian at heart, but of course, that's not always the case. And of course, the public does indeed win nearly 50 percent of the time anyways. For sure here we're not expecting any upsets as we think 8-1 Louisville will keep the foot on the gas from start to finish in this favorable matchup vs. 2-7 Virginia. Virginia somehow did mange to upset a ranked UNC team on the road and then it forced overtime vs. Miami the following the week, but the Cavaliers definitely came crashing back to reality in the 45-17 home loss to Georgia Tech allowing 515 yards of offense in the humbling setback. The Cavaliers are a great defensive team on the College Basketball court, but they're terrible on the gridiron (they allow 32.4 points per game, which is last in the conference.) Virginia also only managed 351 yards of offense against a Georgia Tech defense which is conceding an average of 455.2 yards per game (overall the Cavaliers only average 23.1 points per game this season. The Cardinals do have the dissapointing loss to Pitt, but last week they blew out Virginia Tech 34-3, and that gave them consecutive wins by at least 20. We think they're going to win in similar fashion to what we saw last weekend. The Cardinals limit their opponents to just 88.8 yards per game rushing and overall they allow just 16.3 points per game (while the offense is averaging 32.9.) We think Louisville will run up the score here and keep the foot on the gas from start to finish; lay the points, the play is Louisville! AAA Sports |
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11-09-23 | Bucks -2.5 v. Pacers | Top | 124-126 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
10* Bucks (CENTRAL DIVISION GOY) We think this is a great situational spot for Milwaukee. Both teams come in off games just last night. Milwaukee is now 5-2 after a 120-118 win over Detroit, while Indiana is 5-3 after a 134-118 win here last night over Utah. Look for Milwaukee's experience to play a roll here. If this were the end of the season, we'd probably even lean towards Indiana here, but this is an important early season divisional matchup which we absolutely expect Milwaukee to take very seriously; lay the points, the play is indeed on the Bucks! AAA Sports |
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11-08-23 | Wizards v. Hornets UNDER 241 | Top | 132-116 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 54 m | Show |
10* UNDER Wizards/Hornets (ASSASSIN) Here's a great situational play. The Wizards are just 1-5, while the Hornets are just 2-4. Defense hasn't been a big part of either team's play style early on, but that's about to change here tonight in our opinion. The Hornets have seen the total go "over" in four straight, while the Wizards have seen the total go "over" in four straight as well. These facts though have only helped in now driving today's total a few points higher than it normally would/should be. When it's all said and done, we're expecting a much tighter and ultimatley lower-scoring defensive battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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11-08-23 | Bowling Green -9.5 v. Kent State | Top | 49-19 | Win | 100 | 28 h 33 m | Show |
10* Bowling Green (ASSASSIN) Typically we're contrarian. When the public all goes one way, we almost always go the other. But...not ALWAYS. And that's the case here this week on Wednesday night with 5-4 Bowling Green travelling to Ohio on Wednesday to take on the 1-8 Golden Flashes. Kent State would love to play spoiler, but we just don't see the Green Falcons leaving anything to chance this weekend and we're expecting them to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. The Flashes are 0-5 in conference play and there's no way Bowling Green wants to be the one that actually loses to this terrible team. The Falcons come in with a TON of momentum as well: after losing each of their first two conference games, they've now posted three straight wins, including last week's 24-21 victory over Ball State in which Connor Bazelak had 128 yards passing and two touchdowns. The defense though stole the show in allowing just 283 total yards of offense. Kent State is off the tight 31-27 road loss at Akrkon and we think it's definitely thrown in the towel at this point. The defense gave up 393 yards, including 298 through the air and that doesn't bode well now facing Bowling Green's offense, which is firing on all cylinders by averaring just under 30 points per game over their last three games. That momentum carries over here in this favorable spot; lay the points, the play is Bowling Green! AAA Sports |
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11-08-23 | Western Illinois +16.5 v. SMU | 53-90 | Loss | -105 | 27 h 1 m | Show | |
8* WESTERN ILLINOIS (SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION) Outright victory?! We're not calling for that. But we're definitely expecting much more of a tighter battle, especially as this one comes down the stretch, than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. Western Illinois lost 78-68 in OT at UTSA on Monday. SMU beat Southwestern Assemblies of Cod 82-63. Western Illinois was competitive throughout though in its loss, actually tied at half time. SMU welcomes Texas A&M to town this weekend, and with that much more high-profile game on deck, we believe the home side also gets caught looking ahead to that one, leaving the back door open just enough for the Leathernecks to sneak in through down the stretch; grab the points, the play is Western Illinois! AAA Sports |
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11-07-23 | Cal-Irvine +1 v. San Jose State | Top | 64-72 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 38 m | Show |
10* UC Irvine (UNDERDOG OF WEEK) While the outright win is clearly not out of the question, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. San Jose State finished 21-14 last year, including going 12-3 at home; the Spartans only averaged 67.5 PPG though. UC Irvine was 23-12 overall last year, and a highly-respectable 9-7 on the road. The Anteaters also averaged 74.8 PPG last year and were much better from range, hitting 37.7 from beyond the arc, compared to San Jose State's 32.6. As stated off the top, grab as many points as you can, the play is UC Irvine! AAA Sports |
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11-07-23 | Ohio v. Buffalo OVER 43 | Top | 20-10 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 20 m | Show |
10* OVER Ohio/Buffalo (MAC TOW) Ohio is 6-3, while Buffalo is 3-6. The Bulls would have to improbably run the table to become eligible. Likely won't happen obviously, but Buffalo won't go down without a fight. Ohio is 6-3, but the Bobcats have bigger aspirations than just becoming "eligible." One week after doing just that, Ohio fell flat in last week's 30-16 home loss to Miami Ohio as a 7.5-point favorite. But that's signficant to note here as the Bobcats have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 after a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite in their previous game. With each team pushing the pace like we anticipate, all signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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11-06-23 | Long Beach State v. Portland +3 | Top | 73-78 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
10* Portland (NON-CONF GOW) Here we go with another exciting CBB season. For the first couple of weeks, we'll take it easy as we try to get a "feel" for the teams again and how everything looks. To begin with, we're going to find a team that we feel is undervalued, and that's the case here with Portland being a home dog. These teams are very evenly matched, but the home court advantage will prove to be the difference-maker in our opinion. The clincher though is that nearly 80% of the early public money is on LBSU, which is always a very public team. The value in our eyes though swings the other way and while clearly the outright win is a possibility, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can; the play is Portland! AAA Sports |
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11-06-23 | Chargers v. Jets +4 | Top | 27-6 | Loss | -120 | 31 h 15 m | Show |
10* Jets (BLOOD-BATH) In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has it hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. The Jets believe they can beat anyone right now and the Chargers are going to have their hands full in our estimation. LA is just 3-4 overall, including 1-2 on the road. New York is 4-3 overall, including 2-2 SU at home and 3-1 ATS. The Jets have extreme momentum right now after three straight SU/ATS victories in a row, against quality teams and in difficult situations. The Chargers lost two straight before last week's 30-13 home win over Chicago, but with a home game vs. Detroit next week, we feel the visitors will also get caught "looking ahead" here; a great "situational" play on New York! AAA Sports |
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11-06-23 | Mavs +1.5 v. Magic | Top | 117-102 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
10* Mavericks (NON-CONF GOW) Both teams are playing great, but we feel this is a great spot for the Mavericks. Dallas is 5-1, including 2-1 on the road, while Orlando is 4-2, including 2-0 at home. After losing at Denver, the Mavericks bounced back with a 124-118 home win over Charlotte. Orlando has won two straight, most recently pulling away for a 120-101 victory over the Lakers here at home. But with a neutral court game vs. red hot Atlanta up next, followed by Milwaukee, we say the overachieving home side finally gets caught "looking past" its opponent here; grab the points, the play is the Mavericks! AAA Sports |
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11-05-23 | Grizzlies -2.5 v. Blazers | Top | 112-100 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show |
10* Grizzlies (ASSASSIN) The Grizz had a ten-point lead in the fourth quarter here two night ago, but they still lost 115-113 in OT. Memphis is now 0-6, its worst start since losing 13 straight in 2002. The Grizz are without several key players right now, but the Blazers are also injured and after three straight victories, all signs finally point to a letdown here (note that Portland is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after three or more SU victories in a row.) Look for the more "hungry" team here to dig deep and finally deliver on the road, while at the same time all signs do definitely finally point to major letdown for the overachieving home side; lay the points, the play is Memphis! AAA Sports |
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11-05-23 | Bills +2.5 v. Bengals | Top | 18-24 | Loss | -110 | 79 h 33 m | Show |
10* Bills (UNDERDOG GOY) After a dreadful start, the Bengals are suddenly the hottest team in the league after three straight victories and covers (4-3 overall)?! We think they're now overvalued here big time though (note that Cinncy is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight after three or more SU/ATS victories in a row.) Buffalo is 5-3 after last week's 24-18 tougher-than-expected victory against Tampa. But when you look a little closer at the Bucs, they really are one of the better defensive teams. The same can't really be said about the Bengals. They did score the 31-17 upset win at San Francisco, but something is "fishy" with that 49ers offense all of a sudden, so we'll caution in reading too much into that victory. Buffalo has two favorable home games after this, so a three-game win streak is a very realistic goal for this hungry visiting side. And that's how we see this one playing out, the Bengals finally taking a step back here and the Bills finally taking a step forward; grab the points, the play is Buffalo! AAA Sports |
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11-05-23 | Golden Knights v. Ducks UNDER 6.5 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
10* UNDER Knights/Ducks (ULTIMATE) These teams are red hot. The Knights have yet to lose in regulation and the Ducks have won five in a row. Note though that Anaheim has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 after five or more straight victories in a row. Each team has enjoyed a combination of great offense, combined with great defensive play. Here though we're anticipating more of a "war of attrition" between these two surging clubs, and because of that, all signs point to this one staying well "under" the number once it's all said and done on what we feel is a great "situational" play! AAA Sports |
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11-05-23 | Rams v. Packers -3 | Top | 3-20 | Win | 100 | 23 h 18 m | Show |
10* Packers (BLOOD-BATH) It's a big game for both of these NFC opponents, but more so for the 2-5 Packers in our opinion. LA is 3-5. The Rams have lost two straight, last week falling 43-20 at Dallas, and we think they'll have difficulty containing this now desperate home side. The only win in LA's last four games came against Arizona. At home. This is a look ahead spot as well for the Rams, who have a bye next week, followed by b2b divisional contests. It's been four straight SU/ATS losses for the Packers, and that's why nearly 80% of the early public money is all over LA here. The good news for Packers fans? There is still time to try and turn things around. It's now or never, do or die for Green Bay in our opinion and we're expecting it to step up and play like that; lay the points the play is indeed on Green Bay! AAA Sports |
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11-05-23 | Seahawks +6 v. Ravens | Top | 3-37 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 52 m | Show |
10* Seahawks (NON-CONF GOM) Two good non-conference opponents collide in Baltimore on Sunday afternoon, and in our opinion, everything points to this one coming down to whichever of these talented sides has its hands on the ball last. Despite going 0-3 ATS in its L3, Seattle is 2-1 SU in that span, beating Arizona and Cleveland. The Hawks are 2-1 on the road as well. The Ravens are off three straight wins, but with B2B divisional home games starting next week, not only does this set up as as "letdown" spot for the Ravens in our opinion, but also a "look-ahead" position (and when you add those two factors together, you get "trap game.") This spread is definitely "off." Grab the points, the play is Seattle! AAA Sports |
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11-04-23 | UCLA v. Arizona OVER 51 | Top | 10-27 | Loss | -110 | 57 h 41 m | Show |
10* OVER UCLA/Arizona. The UCLA Bruins are 6-2 and the Arizona Wildcats are 5-3. UCLA is off a 28-16 win over Colorado and it's now seen the total go "under" the number in two straight. The Wildcats are looking to become eligible here, as they're now on the cusp with five wins. They've won two straight and in fact over their last three games their offense has been "firing on all cylinders," posting a combined 112 points over those three outings (going 2-1.) The last time these teams played was last November and Arizona won 34-28, which would have sailed well "over" the posted number in this season's contest, but which stayed well below the total of 77.5 in that one last year. But that was then and this is now and when you add up all of the situational factors listed above, and taking into account all of the lower-scoring games these teams have been involved in of late, then this important Week 10 total is now for sure a little low; the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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11-04-23 | Stars v. Canucks UNDER 6 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 101 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
10* UNDER Stars/Nucks (BEST OF BEST) Both teams have been playing to some higher-scoring games of late, but we're finally anticipting more of a defensive battle between these Western Conference opponents. Dallas is 7-1-0-1, while Vancouver is 7-2-1-0. Will be an exciting game between Western Conference leaders, but an intesne defensive battle in our estimation. Dallas has seen the total go "over" in three straight after B2B 4-3 road wins at Calgary and Edmonton, but note that the Stars have seen the total go "under" the number in five of their last seven after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. After this Dallas returns home for a big game vs. the Bruins, so the visitors will have to be careful to not get caught "looking ahead." Vancouver is off a ridiculous 10-1 win over the Sharks and has has seen the total go "over" the number in three straight now; that's also important to point out here as the Nucks have seen the total go "under" in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row; it's a great situational play on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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11-04-23 | Hornets v. Pacers UNDER 238.5 | Top | 125-124 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
10* UNDER Hornets/Pacers (BLOOD-BATH) Both teams have been involved in some high-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. Charlotte is 1-3 and Indiana is 3-2. The Hornets come in off three straight SU/ATS losses, which is significant to note in this case, as Charlotte has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in five of its last six after playing to three straight SU/ATS losses in a row. That includes a 128-119 loss at Houston last time out. The Pacers snapped a two-game slide with a 121-116 win over Cleveland. The last time these teams played against each other was last year, and in that game Charlotte won 115-109. We envision a similar final combined score here this time around as well; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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11-04-23 | Illinois +2 v. Minnesota | Top | 27-26 | Win | 100 | 25 h 23 m | Show |
10* Illinois (BIG TEN GOM) The 3-5 Illini are running out of time to become "eligible," while the 5-3 Gophers are just one win away from punching their ticket. One week after upsetting Maryland 27-24, Illinois lost 25-21 at home to Wisconsin. That was two weeks ago. With time to prepare for this one, I expect the Illini to find a way to come out on top here against the less-than-impressive Terps. Minnesota is off B2B wins, but with a game at 2-6 Purdue next week, they still have time to recover and earn a bowl if they happen to stumble here. No such luxury for Illinois though. This line is "fishy," but we're ALL over it; while the outright is possible, the official call is to grab as many points as you can with Illinois! AAA Sports |
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11-04-23 | Brighton & Hove Albion +121 v. Everton | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 21 h 14 m | Show |
10* Brighton (EPL GOW) This is a mismatch in every regard and overall we think we are in fact getting great value here on the road "favorite." Everton looks primed for a letdown here after only its third win of the year in a 1-0 victory over West Ham last week (and that was followed up with a 3-0 win over Burnley in the Carabao Cup on Wednesday.) Brighton enters motivated after a 1-1 draw with Fulham in its previous outing. Brighton is on a four-game winless run, but still remains in seventh-place, while the home side is in 15th. It must also be noted that these teams split two games last year, with each winning on the others' field. But note, Brighton has won the last two away meetings in this series and in our opinion, the third times a charm as well; lay the price, the play is Brighton and Hove Albion! AAA Sports |
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11-03-23 | Mavs v. Nuggets OVER 226.5 | Top | 114-125 | Win | 100 | 15 h 4 m | Show |
10* OVER Mavs/Nugs (EXPRESS) Both teams have been playing to a lot of lower-scoring games to open the season, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. Denver is 4-1 and it's seen the total go "under" in all five games (note though that the Nuggets have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row.) Dallas is 4-0 and it had seen the total go "over" the number in all three games to open the season, before its 114-105 win over Chicago to open the month went "under." We're expecting these Western Conference foes to battle at a faster-pace and for this total to fly "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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11-03-23 | Devils v. Blues UNDER 6.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 110 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
10* UNDER Devils/Blues (NON-CONF TOY) The Devils are 6-2-0-1 and they've seen the total go "over" the number in all nine games so far. St. Louis is 3-4-0-1 and it's seen the total go 1-6-1 to the "under." These two teams come in on completely opposite spectrums as far as their O/U stats are concerned, meaning that the location of the venue becomes crucial in determining whether this one will go Over or Under the total in our opinion. NJ has played to higher-scoring games whether at home or on the road, but because this one is being played in St. Louis, we're fully expecting the home side to set the pace tonight. This number is a little high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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11-03-23 | Boston College v. Syracuse -2.5 | Top | 17-10 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 35 m | Show |
10* Syracuse (ASSASSIN) Boston College has definitely been playing well, as it's now 5-3 after winning four straight. Most recently the Eagles beat UConn 21-14 as 14.5-point favorites, so didn't come close to covering the spread. Clearly, BC will be looking to keep the good times rolling needing just the one more win to become bowl eligible. But it's Syracuse that comes in super desperate now to snap a four game straight up and against the spread slide. After four straight wins to open the season, the Orange have now dropped four straight. But all four losses were against really good competition and in every case they were the underdog, losing to Clemson, North Carolina, Florida State and Virginia Tech (and the last three were all on the road.) Now back home and desperate to snap the slide, Syracuse is finally favored here, but not nearly by enough in our estimation. Boston College's four-game win streak has come against much more suspect competition, including Virginia, Army, Georgia Tech and UConn last week. Look for the more motivated home side to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable win and cover; the play is indeed on Syracuse! AAA Sports |
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11-02-23 | Canucks v. Sharks +1.5 | Top | 10-1 | Loss | -135 | 15 h 30 m | Show |
10* Sharks (ASSASSIN) We base our picks on many different things. This particular selection is a great situational play, based upon unrealistic and lop-sided trends/numbers. The Canucks are 6-2-1-0 overall, but 8-1 to the puckline. San Jose is 0-8-0-1, including just 1-8 to the puckline. At some point the Sharks are going to win in regulation, and that could even be tonight, but at this price we think we're getting fantastic value here on the puckline option. Vancouver is clearly the better team, but with a much more exciting and difficult upcoming schedule, with games at home vs. Dallas and Edmonton, followed by an Eastern road swing, would anyone fault the overachieving Canucks for looking past their lowly opponent tonight?! It's the first matchup of the year between the teams and we're expecting a tighter than expected battle; the play is SJ on the "puckline" option! AAA Sports |
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11-02-23 | Jets +1.5 v. Golden Knights | 2-5 | Loss | -175 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
8* Jets puckline (DESTRUCTION) The Las Vegas Knights are an amazing organization. The hockey fans in Las Vegas truly don't understand how "lucky" they are. They have to make a documentary about this team and organization in 20 years from now. It's remarkable what they've accomplished in less than a decade. They're 9-0-1-0. At some point though, the Knights are going to lose in regulation this season. Will that happen tonight? Perhaps! They aren't huge favorites here against the 4-3-1-1 Jets, who are 2-1-0-1 on the road. Winnipeg won three straight, but it's since dropped two straight in extra time, falling 4-3 in a shootout to Montreal, and 3-2 in OT to New York. Winnipeg has been competitive though and it plays with revenge here after a 5-3 loss at home to the Knights at the start of the season. In a contest that we see likely also going extra time, we're grabbing Winnipeg on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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11-02-23 | Titans +3 v. Steelers | Top | 16-20 | Loss | -120 | 28 h 12 m | Show |
10* Titans (AFC NON-DIV GOY) Pittsburgh is 4-3 after a listless 20-10 home loss to Jacksonville last week, while Tennessee snapped a two-game slide with an impressive 28-23 home win over Atlanta as a 2.5-point underdog. These teams are suddenly moving in opposite directions and now here on the short week, we're expecting those trends to continue here on Thursday night. Will Levis was 19 for 29 for 238 yards and four TD's for Tennessee last week. Zero INT's. Derrick Henry was rumbling as well for 101 yards on 22 carries. And WR DeAndre Hopkins caught four passes for 128 yards and three TD's. The Steelers lost starting QB Kenny Pickett to injury in their loss last week and Mitch Trubisky came in and finished 15 of 27 for 138 yards, one TD and two INT's. He was also sacked twice. As good as Pittsburgh's defense is, we're expecting the now "firing on all cylinders" visiting side to continue that progression here on the road; grab the points, the play is Tennessee! AAA Sports |
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11-02-23 | Wake Forest +12.5 v. Duke | Top | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 26 h 24 m | Show |
10* Wake Forest (ACC GOM) Duke is 5-3 and needing just one more win to become "eligible." Wake Forest is 4-4 and is a big underdog here. The Deacons won't be rolling over though. That said, we're not calling for the outright upset or anything, but we're definitley expecting the visiting side to keep this one tight down the stretch. Wake Forest has dropped three of its last four and is coming in under the radar here. Duke is reeling and has lost back-to-back games. Desmon Claiborne, Mitch Griffis and company will have some opportunities here on the road, especially in the second half in our estimation. Wake only allows 25.6 PPG and as we said off the top, we're not calling for an outright upset, but this one is definitely going to be a lot more competitive than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe; grab the points, the play is Wake Forest! AAA Sports |
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11-02-23 | Raptors v. 76ers UNDER 217.5 | Top | 99-114 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
10* UNDER Raptors/76ers (ATLANTIC DIV. TOM) Two teams that are really familar with each other collide in Philly tonight, and in our opinion this will be a very defensive affair. Toronto is 2-3 and Philadelphia is 2-1. Toronto is off a satisfying 130-111 home win over the Bucks just last night. Now the Raptors hit the road for just the second time all year. In their other road game they lost 104-103 in OT at Chicago, and the total still stayed "under" the posted number of 216 in that one. We don't think we'll see OT in this one, but we do expect another tight, lower-scoring defensive battle in the City of Brotherly Love on Thursday night. The 76ers have seen all three games so far go "over" the number, but note that Philly has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row; this number is a little high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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11-01-23 | Coyotes v. Ducks +116 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 116 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
10* Ducks (SUPER ROUT) Here's a great situational play on the red hot Ducks. The oddsmakers are super slow in recognizing on how well the team is playing right now. They're coming off four straight road wins, all as huge dogs. Now 5-4, they're severely undervalued in this spot against the 4-4 Coyotes. Arizona has looked better of late, but we still don't trust it as a road favorite or pick-em. Either way, this pick is all about one thing, and that's: perceived value. And we feel there's a TON of it here for Anaheim! AAA Sports |
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11-01-23 | Nets v. Heat -6 | Top | 109-105 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
10* Heat (ATS BLOOD-BATH) Neither team has gotten out to a very good start this year. Brooklyn is 1-2, while the Heat are 1-3. We think that basing your picks on "situations" early on in the season is a great approach, and it's one that we're using here. The Heat are also just 1-3 ATS, while the Nets are 3-0 ATS. Now we're xpecting a bit of a letdown here from Brooklyn after its big 133-121 road win at Charlotte last time out. The Heat are also 7-3 ATS in their last ten after three or more SU losses in a row. This is the start of three straight winnable home games for Miami, and we believe it'll be out to "set the tone" for the rest of the home stand with a monster beatdown effort here for the home town crowd; lay the points, the play is Miami! AAA Sports |
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11-01-23 | Kent State v. Akron OVER 38 | Top | 27-31 | Win | 100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
10* OVER Kent State/Akron. Both teams are terrible. Both enter at 1-7. There's nothing to play for here, not even the role of "spoiler" etc. This is a really low total, because these teams have been consistently inconsistent on the offensive end all season. Kent State only averages 12.5 PPG, but the Flashes are conceding 30.6. On the flip-side, the Zips are conceding a whopping 36.3 PPG. Yes, these offenses have struggled all season, but they won't here. With nothing to play here for but pride, expect this faster-paced and wide-open affair to eclipse this smaller number as the game comes down the stretch; the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |
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10-31-23 | Magic v. Clippers OVER 220 | Top | 102-118 | Push | 0 | 14 h 6 m | Show |
10* OVER Magic/Clippers (NON-CONF TOM) Both teams for the most part have been involved in some lower-scoring games to open the season, but we're finally expecting some offensive fireworks here on Tuesday night. Orlando is 2-1 SU, 3-0 ATS and it's seen all three games go "under" the number (but note that ORL has seen the total go 'over' the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row.) Off a 106-103 loss to the Lakers here just last night, we don't think it's the offense that'll take a "hit" today, intsead it'll be the defense. The Clippers are 2-1. They're coming off a 123-83 destruction of the Spurs. Look for LA to match that offensive output here as well. With this being a non-conference game, we're also expecting it to be less intense defensively, and much more wide-open; when you add it all up, the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |
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10-31-23 | Kings v. Maple Leafs -146 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -146 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
10* Leafs (ASSASSIN) We think that Toronto is well worth the price of admission in this spot. LA is 4-2-0-2, while the Leafs are 5-2-1-0. LA is off a 4-3 shootout loss at Vegas and it has three more games to go in this difficult road trip after this. Toronto just had its three game win streak snapped in a 3-2 OT loss at Nashville. Now back home after a 3-2 trip, look for Toronto to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish and to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night; lay the price with confidence, the play is Toronto! AAA Sports |
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10-31-23 | Northern Illinois v. Central Michigan OVER 45 | Top | 31-37 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
10* OVER NIU/CMU (MAC TOM) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. This sets up great from a situational stand-point to be a higher-scoring affair, as this is a big game for each 4-4 side. Each team needs two more wins to become eligible for a bowl. NIU is 3-1 ATS on the road, while CMU is 3-0 SU at home. Let's steer clear of the side, and note that the Chips have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row (which is the case.) This number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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10-30-23 | Raiders v. Lions UNDER 47 | Top | 14-26 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
10* UNDER Raiders/Lions (ASSASSIN) We're expecting a very tight and lower-scoring defensive battle here. Detroit for the most part has looked great this year, but its two losses were really suspect. Clearly the Lions can't be feeling great about their 38-6 loss at Baltimore last weekend, but they ran into the league's No. 1 defense on the road and just weren't able to get anything going. Regardless, now back at home I'm expecting Detroit and Las Vegas to play to more of a "war of attrition" here. The Raiders are off the 30-12 loss at Chicago and we expect them to have difficulty moving the ball on the road consistently once again; this number is a little high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-30-23 | Bulls +3.5 v. Pacers | Top | 112-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
10* Bulls (EAST-CONF GOW) While we feel the outright win is possible, the official call is to grab as many points as you can. The Bulls are 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS. Note though that Chicago is 7-2 ATS in it last nine after three or more ATS losses in a row. Indiana is 2-0, but is now overvalued here. And with a game at Boston up next, not only does this set up as letdown spot, but also a look-ahead. As mentioned off the top, we feel the outright is a possibility, but in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can; the play is Chicago! AAA Sports |
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10-30-23 | Ducks v. Penguins -1.5 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
10* Penguins puckline (DESTROYER) This is a great situational play. After three straight road wins as a sizeable underdog, we're expecting the Ducks to stumble here in this difficult road venue. Note that Anaheim is just 2-6 in its last eight after a three games unbeaten streak. The Pens are just 3-5 after a 5-2 home loss to Ottawa, but note that Pittsburgh is 7-3 in its last ten off a home loss as a favorite in its previous outing. We expect the Penguins to not only win this game, but to do so in blowout fashion; the play is Pittsburgh! AAA Sports |
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10-29-23 | Lakers +3 v. Kings | Top | 127-132 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
10* Lakers (SIDE ROUT) Both teams are 1-1. LA stumbled in Denver on Opening Night, but no team would have stood in the way of Jokic and company getting that victory on the ring ceremony. LA looked a lot better in its 100-95 victory at home over the Suns two nights later though (granted it was without D-Book, but it was still a good bounce back victory.) Sacramento opened with a big 130-114 road win at Utah, but then it stumbled at home two nights later in a 122-114 setback to the Warriors, failing to get revenge for the playoff exit last year. Now with a game at Golden State up after this, we believe that the home side gets caught "looking ahead." The outright is possible, but grab the points; the play is LA! AAA Sports |
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10-29-23 | Chiefs v. Broncos OVER 46 | Top | 9-24 | Loss | -108 | 72 h 6 m | Show |
10* OVER Chiefs/Broncos (AFC WEST TOY) Here is a great situational play on the total. These teams just played two weeks ago and the Chiefs pulled away for the awkward 19-8 victory as 10.5-point favorites. KC has won six straight, but it's also seen the total go "under" the number in six straight. And why is that important?! Because note that KC has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. And note that Denver has seen the total go "over" the number in three of its last four in trying to avenge a SU/ATS divisional road loss vs. an opponent. Denver comes in off a season-saving 19-17 win over Green Bay here last weekend and if it can somehow pull off an upset here, it'll still be in contention before heading into its bye week. The overall situation, combined with the above listed O/U ATS stats does indeed make the "over" the correct call in this one and qualifies as our one and only 10* AFC WEST TOY! AAA Sports |
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10-29-23 | Jaguars v. Steelers +2.5 | 20-10 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
8* Steelers (BLOWOUT) Jacksonville is 5-2, but we think it'll get caught "looking past" its opponent today to some time off before a November 12th matchup vs. the 49ers. The Steelers are 4-2 after beating the Rams 24-17 on the road as 3.5-point dogs last week. So far no defense has really been up to the task of slowing down Trevor Lawrence, but we expect this tough Pittsburgh defensive unit to be upt to the task. While clearly the outright is possible, in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can with Pittsburgh! AAA Sports |
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10-29-23 | Patriots +9 v. Dolphins | Top | 17-31 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 35 m | Show |
10* Patriots (AFC EAST GOW) New England salvaged its season last week with a huge 29-25 home win over Buffalo as an 8.5-point underdog and now New England can take another step towards relevance with another upset here on the road against another division rival. Miami lost 48-20 at Buffalo this year, and it lost 31-17 at Philadelphia last weekend. We feel these clubs are moving in opposite directions. MIami's defense needs to be questioned here and we simply feel this is a few too many points to be giving up to this improving and desperate Patriots team; grab the points, the play is New England! AAA Sports |
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10-28-23 | UNLV v. Fresno State -8 | Top | 24-31 | Loss | -111 | 33 h 40 m | Show |
10* Fresno State (MW GOM) UNLV is 6-1 and its riding a five-game win streak, but we expect it tohave its hands full here on the road. Overall the Rebels average 209.6 yards per game on the ground, which ranks 14th in the country. Fresno State is also 6-1, and 2-1 in league play. Last year Fresno State won this game on the road by a score of 37-30, but we're expecting an even bigger blowout here at home. Note in UNLV's six victories, one is against a non-FBS team and the other five were ALL against sub .500 teams. In other words, we absolutely believe that UNLV's numbers, on both sides of the ball are completely "skewed." Fresno State was outgained in its 37-32 win over Utah State last week, but it won the turnover battle 2-0. It also posted 461 yards of offense. They ranks 15th in the nation in passing yards per game. UNLV's pass defense ranks 123rd in the country. This is going to be a blowout of epic proportions in our estimation; lay the points the play is Fresno State! AAA Sports |
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10-28-23 | Rangers v. Canucks +1.5 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
8* Canucks puckline (BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT) All the pundits agreed that New York was once again going to do well this season, but not many would have predicted that Vancouver would be doing as well as it is here early on. Either way, these organizations are familiar with each other and the Canucks will be gunning for the outright victory. New York is 5-2. Vancouver is 5-2 as well. The Rangers are off three straight road wins and we think they get caught looking ahead to their final game in Winnipeg on Monday, before returning home for a game vs. Carolina. Vancouver is firing on all cylinders. It closed out its road trip with B2B outright wins as a dog, then hammered St. Louis here 5-0 last night. In a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extra time, we're going to lay the price for the extra 1.5 goals of insurance; the play is Vancouver on the puckline option! AAA Sports |
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10-28-23 | Colorado v. UCLA -17 | Top | 16-28 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 43 m | Show |
10* UCLA (PAC 12 GOY) Colorado is 4-3, while UCLA is 5-2. With a chance to become "eligible," while at the same time handing Coach Prime and the Buffs another loss, we're expecting UCLA to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish here and to not only win this game, but to do so in blowout fashion, going on to ultimately easily cover this larger spread. If recent history is any precedence, then UCLA has to be loving its chances, as it's won the last two in this series, including a 45-17 blowout road victory last year. Colorado is coming off a bye after a hugely-disappointing 46-43 double-overtime loss to Stanford in Week 7. It was Colorado's third straight defeat, and it was a terrible one as they held a 29-0 lead at half time. They allowed 399 receiving yards to the Cardinal, and now face this high-octane Bruins' offense. UCLA most recently destroyed Stanford by a score of 42-7, outgaining the Cardinal 503-292. QB Ethan Garbers threw for 240 yards and two TDs' in his first start since Week 1. Overall the Bruins are scoring 31.3 PPG, but we're expecting them to run up the score here on this terrible and completely dejected Buffs' defensive unit; lay the points, the play is UCLA! AAA Sports |
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10-28-23 | Knicks +3.5 v. Pelicans | Top | 87-96 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
10* Knicks (ULTIMATE CONTRARIAN) While most everyone goes one way, we're going to go the "other" on this one! The Knicks are now 1-1 SU/ATS after last night's 126-120 win at Atlanta as 1-point favs. If this were the end of the season, or even in the middle of the season, then obviously the second game of the "back-to-back" scenario would play a big factor in this contest, but because it's at the start of the season, it's absolutely not. New Orleans beat Memphis 111-104 on the road as a 1-point dog, but with Golden State coming to town next, this sets up as a "look-ahead" spot for the home side as well; a great early season situational contrarian play on New York! AAA Sports |
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10-28-23 | Florida State v. Wake Forest OVER 51.5 | Top | 41-16 | Win | 100 | 23 h 23 m | Show |
10* O/U ASSASSIN FSU/Wake OVER. We have an interesting matchup here with Florida State now 7-0 after its 38-20 home win over Duke last week it was a 13.5 point favorite in that one. It's a 20-point favorite here on the road in this one. The total blasted past the posted number of 49 in that one and this game at Wake Forest is a bit higher the over/under number but it's still not nearly high enough in our estimation. Clearly, the Seminoles are in the driver's seat moving forward, as they have very winnable matchups throughout the rest of their regular season. They should in fact be favored in every game they play in now moving forward. We say for sure that FSU can keep the offensive momentum rolling here against Wake Forest. The Demon Deacons are 4-3. They're 12th in the ACC and they're off the 21-17 upset home win over Pittsburgh. They still have a shot at a bowl game and they obviously won't be rolling over here. Wake has now played to five straight "unders" in a row after its most recent win, but note that the Deacons have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. When you add together the situational factors and the above listed trend, everything points to this big ACC matchup at high noon on Saturday flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports |
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10-28-23 | Brentford v. Chelsea -149 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -149 | 17 h 48 m | Show |
10* Chelsea (EPL GOW) No upsets here in our estimation, as we look for Chelsea to post the full three points here at home in regulation. Chelsea won't be taking anything for granted here after giving up a two-goal lead in 2-2 draw with Arsenal last weekend. But with the point claimed, they've now climbed into the Top 10. This becomes an almost "must win" game as well for the Blues, with Tottenham Hotspur, champions Manchester City, Newcastle United, Brighton & Hove Albion and Manchester United all up next. Also note that Brentford has won the last two games here, so the Blues definitely also have revenge on their minds. The Bees are in the wrong place at the wrong time this weekend; lay the price, the play is Chelsea! AAA Sports |
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10-27-23 | Warriors v. Kings -145 | Top | 122-114 | Loss | -145 | 15 h 8 m | Show |
10* Kings (PAC DIV GOM) The Warriors continue to get a lot of respect, both from the oddsmakers and the general betting public as well. They're both slow in recoginizing how good Sacramento and its young core of players really are, and the home-court advantage here will prove to be just too much for GS to overcome in our opinion. The Kings return home after a 130-114 beatdown of the Jazz on the road as two-point favs. The Warriors on the other hand didn't have Draymond Green playing in their 108-104 setback to the Suns. The bottom line here though is that this payback! The Warriors eliminted the Kings in seven games in the playoffs last year, highlighted by 50 points from Stephen Curry. But now it's going to be payback; so lay the short points with confidence! AAA Sports |
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10-27-23 | Blues +1.5 v. Canucks | 0-5 | Loss | -150 | 14 h 12 m | Show | |
8* Blues puckline (DESTROYER) The Blues are 3-2-0-1, while the Canucks are 4-2. Vancouver destroyed the Oilers 8-1 at home on opening night, and it's since been on the road, now returning North of the border for the first time in five games. They went 3-2 on their road trip, including back-to-back upset victories at Florida and Nashville. Now finally back in Vancouver, we're fully expecting the Canucks to "lay an egg" here in their first game back. Also note, with the Rangers coming to town tomorrow night, this also sets up as a look ahead spot for the home side for sure. The Blues are off the confidence building 3-0 road win at Calgary and we think they catch the Canucks at the exact correct moment. In a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extra time or shootout, we're grabbing the visitors on the "puckline" option! AAA Sports |
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10-27-23 | Thunder v. Cavs UNDER 226.5 | 108-105 | Win | 100 | 28 h 19 m | Show | |
8* UNDER OKC/Cleveland (SUPER TOTAL) Both teams come into their second game of the season off high-scoring victories in their first one. We're expecting a competitive game here, but one that ultimately stays "under" the number once it's all said and done. Cleveland fell apart down the stretch in Brooklyn and had to come from behind for the 114-113 win. After that "scare," we can expect the Cavs to be much more attentive on the defensive end for all four quarter here at homee. OKC pulled away for the 120-104 win over the Bulls on the road, the most impressive part was the Thunders' tight defensive play in our estimation. With their first game of the year at home on Thurday vs. the defending champs, can anyone say "look ahead" spot?! The last time these teams played against each other, they combined for 212 points, and we're expecting a similar final combined score this time around as well; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-27-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Charlotte OVER 42.5 | Top | 38-16 | Win | 100 | 29 h 23 m | Show |
10* OVER FAU/Charlotte (AAC TOW) We have a really low total here. A little TOO low now in our estimation. FAU is 3-4, while Charlotte is 2-5. FAU has seen the total go "under" the number in three of its last four, including it its most recent 36-10 home loss to UTSA. Charlotte on the other hand has now seen the total go "under" in four straight after its most recent 10-7 win at East Carolina as a six-point dog. Previous to that the 49ers loss 14-0 at home to Navy. FAU won this game by a score of 43-13 last year, and we're expecting a similar final combined score here as well. FAU QB Daniel Richardson had 142 passing yards but made several mistakes in the loss to UTSA, but clearly catches a break here facing the 49ers. Charlotte hasn't been terrible defesively, but with each team desperate for a victory here and pushing the pace like we suspect, all signs point to this O/U line finally being a bit TOO low; the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports |
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10-27-23 | Sabres v. Devils UNDER 7 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
10* UNDER Sabres/Devils (EAST-CONF TOY) Both teams have played to several higher-scoring games to open the season, but we say those trends come to an end here in what we anticipate will be a very defensive and ultimately lower-scoring affair once it's all said and done. New Jersey isn 3-2-0-1 overall, while Buffalo is 3-4. The Devils have seen the total go "over" the number in every game they've played so far this season, including in their most recent 6-4 home loss to Washington as a -225 favorite. Note though that New Jersey has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 12 off an upset home loss as a -200 or greater favorite in its previous outing. Buffalo got back in the win column with a 6-4 road victory at Ottawa. If we simply looked at offensive and defensive numbers for these teams, then 90% of the public would just add it up and be on the "over" in this one, and that's what the bookmakers are now counting on. But the overall situation, combined with the trends tell the real story. This number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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10-26-23 | Suns v. Lakers -120 | Top | 95-100 | Win | 100 | 30 h 40 m | Show |
10* Lakers moneyline (WEST-CONF GOM) We like the Lakers to defend home court. The general betting public has been quick to back the Suns in this one, but we're going full on contrarian for this pick. LA is off the 119-107 road loss at Denver to open the year, while Phoenix managed an upset 108-104 win at Golden State as a 3-point dog. These teams played in their final preseason contest against each other, and the Suns scored the 123-100 victory. The Lakers dropped their final three pre-season games and their opener, but we're expecting "home floor" to finally be the difference-maker for AD and company. We really respect what KD and the Suns did to the Warriors in their opener, but with three straight at home after this, we think the visitors also get caught "looking ahead." Lay the points, the play is LA to win the game. AAA Sports |