Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-27-23 | Astros v. Mariners +1.5 | 8-3 | Loss | -154 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
8* Mariners runline (BLOWOUT) I had the Mariners last night in their 6-2 win, breaking a four-game slide. Seattle is now just a .5 game back of the Astros for the Wildcard. They play Houston again here tonight, followed by four straight at home vs. NL West-leading Texas to end the regular season. Houston won't be rolling over here, but in a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we feel we're getting supreme value here with the home side on the runlien option at this price. Houston turns to Framber Valdez (12-11, 3.39 ERA), while the homeside counters with Bryce Miller (8-6, 4.17.) These guys are a "wash" essentially. For all the reasons liste above, the play is Seattle on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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09-27-23 | FC Dallas v. Philadelphia -128 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -128 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
10* Union (MLS GOW) No upsets here in our estimation. After three straight draws, we like the Union to dig deep here and find a way to deliver in regulation in front of the home town crowd, and before a tough away game at Columbus at the end of the month. With only five games left to go in the regular season, the Union will be looking to put together a winning run. Dallas FC is off a 1-1 draw at home to Columbus, and it travels to Houston after this. Dallas is just 10-10 this year, and it doesn't travel well. The 14-8 Union could/should be much bigger favs here; the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports |
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09-27-23 | Cubs +1.5 v. Braves | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
10* Cubs runline (BOB) We had a play on the Cubs on the runline last night, and while we think Chicago has a legitimate shot at winning tonight's contest outright as well, in the end we can't turn the overall value we feel we're getting by grabbing the desperate visiting side on the runline option again here. Chicago is fighting for a wildcard still, while ATL is just trying to hold off the Dodgers for the No. 1 seed. In a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we're once again all over Chicago on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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09-26-23 | Astros v. Mariners -140 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 15 h 48 m | Show |
10* Mariners (ASSASSIN) These teams are locked in a mortal battle for the third and final wildcard spot. With Monday's 5-1 loss, the Mariners are now 1.5 games behind the Astros for that spot. Seattle has two games here left at home vs. the Astros, and then a four-game home stand vs. AL West leading Houston to end out the regular season. But after four straight losses, this has become the Mariners single most important game of the entire season. It's essentially a do or die scenario. We like the Mariners to bounce back here at home and this is a great price. These starters are a "wash," but the overall situation here favors the home side; lay the price, the play is Seattle! AAA Sports |
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09-26-23 | Cubs +1.5 v. Braves | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
10* Cubs RUNLINE (BOB) The Cubs have a lot to play for here with just six games left to go in the regular season. Chicago is trying to nail down one of the NL's final two WC spots. They're in a dog fight with Arizona and Miami. Atlanta is just trying to hold off the Dodgers for the No. 1 seed, so its less urgent for them here. In a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we think Justin Steele (16-5, 3.00 ERA) and the visitors are the correct call here on the runline option vs. Bryce Elder (12-4, 3.63) and the contented home side; for all the reasons listed above, the plya is Chicago on the runline! AAA Sports |
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09-25-23 | Padres v. Giants OVER 7 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 36 m | Show |
10* OVER Padres/Giants (NL WEST TOM) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting some runs to be plated here tonight in the opener of this crucial divisional series, as each side is desperately trying to keep its dwindling playoff hopes alive. In fact, these teams now enter tied for third in the NL West. Their both five games back of the Cubs with six games to go. It's now or never, do or die. These two starters, Blake Snell for San Diego and Logan Webb of San Francisc, have been terrific this year, but this is just a case of each being in the wrong place, at the wrong time; this number is low, the play is the over! AAA Sports |
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09-25-23 | Rams v. Bengals UNDER 44 | Top | 16-19 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
10* UNDER Rams/Bengals (BLOCKBUSTER) Two teams in desperate need of a win collide here on Monday night. Non-conference games are usually less intense defensively, but we're not expecting that to be the case here tonight though, as Cincinnati will be risking life and limb to not only win this game (as the Bengals enter 0-2), but to also control the pace throughout. With each side committed to establshing the run while on offense like we envision, all signs point to this one staying well "under" the number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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09-25-23 | Eagles -4.5 v. Bucs | Top | 25-11 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
10* EAGLES FIRST HALF (ASSASSIN) (NOTE: We also like the Eagles for the ENTIRE game, so if you don't have access to a FIRST HALF line, we also like Philly for the overall ATS victory in this contest as well.) Both teams enter 2-0, but we're expecting the Eagles to really hammer Baker Mayfield and the home side from start to finish in this one. Philly has had a few extra days off after beating Minnesota 34-28 lats Thursday. Tampa is off a 27-17 win over the lowly Bears. Philadelphia has been involved in two one-score games, and because of that, we're expecting the visitors to take nothing for granted and to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. With a road game at division rival New Orleans next weekend, the home side will also get caught "looking ahead;" the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports |
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09-24-23 | Cowboys v. Cardinals +13 | Top | 16-28 | Win | 100 | 25 h 1 m | Show |
10* Cardinals (U OF THE U) The Cowboys are riding high at 2-0 after blowing out the Jets by a score of 30-10 last weekend, and we believe they'll get caught "looking ahead" here to their home game vs. the Patriots next weekend. Joshua Dobbs wasn't terrible in last week's 32-18 home defeat to the Giants. While 0-2 SU, the Cards have been great for bettors in the early going by going 2-0 ATS. Teams that start 0-3 in the NFL to open the season have virtually zero chance of making the playoffs. Expectations were extremely low for the Cards going into the season, but we're expecting Josh Dobbs best game so far; grab the points, the play is Arizona! AAA Sports |
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09-24-23 | Panthers +5.5 v. Seahawks | Top | 27-37 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 0 m | Show |
10* Panthers (BEST OF BEST) We base our picks on many different things. In our opinion, this is a great "situational" play. Carolina comes in desperate to snap its 0-2 slide to the season. Teams that start 0-3 have virtually no chance of even making the playoffs. It's hard to get a read on Seattle. It lost here terribly to the Rams in Week 1, before bouncing back with a 37-31 OT win at Detroit last week. With back-to-back high-profile road games at the Giants and Bengals, will Seattle get caught "looking past" its lowly opponent this weekend? The possibility is definitely there! It happened to the Hawks in Week 1. Whoever gets the start under center for Carolina, we expect this game to be decided in the final moments; grab the points, the play is the Panthers! AAA Sports |
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09-24-23 | Blue Jays v. Rays UNDER 8 | Top | 9-5 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 26 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jays/Rays. Both teams have been involved in several high-scoring contests, including in the first two games of this series, with each team taking one game. However, the worm turns as far as the total is concerned here in this important divisional series finale in our opinion. Tampa has seen the total go "over" in five straight now, which is definitely significant to note as the Rays have in fact seen the total go "under" in eight of their last 11 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Toronto has seen the total go "over" in three straight. Yusei Kikhuchi (10-6, 3.74 ERA) gets the nod for the visitors, and he'll be opposed by Taj Bradley (5-7, 5.36.) The overall sitaution points to a duel here; the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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09-24-23 | Falcons +3.5 v. Lions | Top | 6-20 | Loss | -120 | 22 h 11 m | Show |
10* Falcons (ASSASSIN) Here's the bottom line with this play. We feel that Atlanta is getting little respect from the oddsmakers are 2-0, and we also believe there's been WAY too much hype surrounding the Lions before the season even started, and certainly still right now at 1-1. The Lions squeaked by the Chiefs on opening night 21-20. It was a really good win, but then the defense fell flat in 37-31 OT loss at home to Seattle. With a short week and a road game at Green Bay on Thursday night, the 2-0 Falcons are going to, at the very least, comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch; grab the points, the play is Atlanta! AAA Sports |
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09-24-23 | Aston Villa v. Chelsea -110 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 44 m | Show |
10* Chelsea (ASSASSIN) The bottom line here is that Chelsea will be desperate to return to its winning ways here in front of the crowd at Stamford Bridge. The Blues spent heavily in the off-season, and other than a 3-1 win over newly-promoted Luton Town, they've were then held scoreless over their next two. Last weekend it was a goalless draw with Bournemouth. Aston Villa though has been consistently inconsistent this year, so far with three wins and two defeats. And finally, Aston Villa won this game 2-0 last year, so the revenge factor is huge for Chelsea; lay the price, the play is indeed on Chelsea to win in regulation! AAA Sports |
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09-23-23 | UNLV v. UTEP +2.5 | Top | 45-28 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 18 m | Show |
10* UTEP (MONEY-BOMB) UNLV is 2-1 and UTEP is 1-3, but in a contest that we see being decided by whichever of these evenly matched teams has its hands on the ball last, we'll recommend to grab the points. UNLV is off a satisfying 40-37 home win as a dog and we believe it's primed for a letdown here. Starting QB Doug Brumfield was injured in the first quater, and while redshirt freshman Jayden Maiava was decent, the QB position is a concern here for the visiting side no matter who gets the start. UTEP is off a 31-10 loss at Arizona, following a 38-7 setback to Northwestern. The level of competition clearly needs to be taken into account here; senior QB Cavin Hardison had 228 yards and so far has 722 yards, four TD's and four INT's. But again, the Miners have faced some stiff competition early and while we do believe the home side can win this one outright, in the end the official play is to grab as many points as you can with UTEP! AAA Sports |
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09-23-23 | CF Montreal v. Atlanta United -160 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 28 h 26 m | Show |
10* Atlanta United FC (MLS GOW) Atlanta is still in line for a top four spot despite a slip up in the Nation's capital mid week. With a win over CF Montreal, and a little help, Atlanta United could wrap up that goal by Saturday. Montreal is now eight in the East, much too far from the automatic playoff bid. Atlanta has to be liking its chances here, as it did also already win the reverse fixture by a score of 1-0 earlier in the season. Now at home, and off the terrible performance, all signs point to Atlanta United laying the hammer down from start to finish; lay the price! AAA Sports |
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09-23-23 | Blue Jays +1.5 v. Rays | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
10* Jays RUNLINE (U OF THE U) A big divisional series, more so for the Jays though who are in a dog fight for the final AL Wildcard. Good news for Toronto fans though, the Jays have caught fire of late and we're fully expecting that momentum to get carried over here. Last night they won the opener by a score of 6-2. We're coming down the home stretch, and these types of games very much have a "playoff-like" atmosphere about them. In what we anticipate will be a very tight and competitive affair here today, we're going to lay the reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance; a great situational play, the play is Toronto on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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09-23-23 | Florida State v. Clemson +2.5 | Top | 31-24 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 28 m | Show |
10* Clemson (BLOCKBUSTER) Florida State is ranked No. 4 in the country and it comes into this game at 3-0. Clemson is 2-1, after a "brain fart" performance in Week 1 vs. Duke. The Tigers though have history on their side in this matchup, as they've won four straight at Memorial Stadium, while owning seven straight victories in the series overall. Here's a HUGE opportunity for Dabo Swinney to get right back into the ACC mix with an upset win here at home vs. surging Florida State. Grab the points, the play is Clemson! AAA Sports |
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09-23-23 | Fulham v. Crystal Palace -104 | Top | 0-0 | Loss | -104 | 19 h 7 m | Show |
10* Crystal Palace (EPL GOW) No upsets here in our estimation, as we look for Crystal Palace to earn all 3 points in regulation. Both teams come into this contest with seven points after five games. CP will be especially motivated here after falling 3-1 at Aston Villa last week, ending its two-game unbeaten streak. Fulham managed a 1-0 win at home over Luton town, but it's struggled as a visitor this season already. Crystal Palace has suffered just two defeats in its last 12 home games in EPL action, and we feel it offers great value to bounce back here at home against Fulham; lay th price, the play is indeed on Crystal Palace! AAA Sports |
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09-22-23 | Air Force v. San Jose State +6 | Top | 45-20 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 42 m | Show |
10* San Jose State (SHOCKER) We think that 3-0 Air Force leaves the back door open just enough for the desperate 1-3 San Jose State Spartans to sneak in through down the sretch. Air Force is off a win over Utah State, rushing for 344 yards and five TD's on the ground. RB Emmanual Michel had 105 yards and three TD's. QB Zac Larrier rushed ten times for 58 yards and a score. San Jose State is 2-1 after falling 21-17 at Toledo last weekend. The Spartans actually held a 17-14 third quarter lead. Chevan Cordeiro has 228 yards and a TD, but also had a costly turnover. Note though that despite being 3-0 SU this year, AF is just 1-2 ATS. San Jose State's defensive numbers have improved dramtically over the last two games and while we're stopping short in calling for an outright upset, all signs point to a tight battle until the end; grab the points, the play is San Jose State! AAA Sports |
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09-22-23 | Royals +1.5 v. Astros | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
8* Royals runline (BLOWOUT) The Astros have lost three straight series and they're just 39-39 at home after salvaging the finale of its series with Baltimore with a tight 2-1 win. Houston is only a .5 game up on the Rangers in the AL West and in a tight race now for a wildcard. Now Cole Ragans (4-1, 1.69 ERA, 0.99 WHIP for his new team) and the Royals will look to play spoiler in this series. Framber Valdez (12-10, 3.20) counters for the home side. I like Ragans to easily match Valdez and in a scenario like that, the value swings to the undervalued underdog invariably. The play is KC on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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09-22-23 | Wisconsin v. Purdue +5.5 | Top | 38-17 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
10* Purdue (BLOCKBUSTER) Home field advantage will come into play here for two teams playing their first Big Ten contest of the season. The Badgers are 2-1 and off a 35-14 win over Georgia Southern, while the Boilermakers are just 1-2, most recently off a 35-20 home loss to Syracuse. The Badgers' run game looks decent, but it's a little difficult to properly judge based upon the level of competition thus far. So far Purdue has allowed 132.7 RYP. Wisconsin is allowing 20.7 PPG, but again, the level of competition to this point has to be called into question. Hudson Card though will be looking to push the pace here for the Boilermakers, who are averaging 275 yards per game passing. Card has 825 yards passing and just one INT with 110 attempts. As stated off the top and mentioned throughout, we think Wisconsin is getting too much respect from the oddsmakers here, as we feel its numbers are skewed due to the level of competition; grab the points, the play is Purude! AAA Sports |
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09-21-23 | Giants v. 49ers OVER 45 | Top | 12-30 | Loss | -110 | 53 h 39 m | Show |
10* OVER Giants/49ers (TOW) New York was shutout in Week 1 at home by the Cowboys, and then it went into its Week 2 matchup in Arizona down 28-0. The Giants then made the "mother of all half time adjustments" and came out and won the game by a score of 31-28. Working on a short week, and catching a contented 49ers team returning home from a 2-0 road start, we expect the visiting side to put some points on the board and keep that offensive momentum rolling here in San Francisco. This is a huge spread for San Fran to cover, but we're also note sure if NY will in fact be able to keep pace down the stretch. Either way, we do think NY will points on the board as it tries to keep pace with the red hot home side. This number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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09-21-23 | Georgia State +6.5 v. Coastal Carolina | Top | 30-17 | Win | 100 | 51 h 51 m | Show |
10* Georgia State (SUNBELT GOW) The Georgia State Panthers are 3-0 and we feel they have a legitimate shot at winning this one outright. They're off a 41-25 win over Charlotte, with Darren Graingers going 27 of 33 for 466 yards and three passing TD's, as well as rushing for 23 yards and a rushing score. Coastal Carolina is 2-1, it's coming off a 66-7 home win over Duquesne, with QG Grayson McCall going for 169 yards and a TD. The Panthers are averaging 39.3 PPG, while the Chanticleers are averaging 36.3. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Georgia State! AAA Sports |
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09-21-23 | Blue Jays +122 v. Yankees | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
10* Jays (UNDERDOG OF MONTH) Usually, we like "standing in front of trains," and predicting when a streak will end, but in this case we feel that Jose Berrios (11-10, 3.49 ERA) and Toronto offer fantastic value as a live dog here to complete the three-game sweep, despite facing Yanks' ace Gerrit Cole (13-4, 2.81.) It's all about "momentum" and "motivation" at this time of year and the Jays are rolling right now. Look for Toronto to continue its push towards a wildcard, as it's now qualified as our No. 1 underdog of the month for September! AAA Sports |
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09-20-23 | Vancouver Whitecaps v. Houston Dynamo -115 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
10* Houston (MLS WEST-CONF GOY) Houston is unbeaten in its last six games. It has 40 points in 28 games. It plays with revenge here though after a 6-2 loss in Vancouver at the end of May. Note that Houston is 4-1 in its last five in trying to avenge a road loss against an opponent. Vancouver is 3-0-1 in its current road trip, but we're expecting a letdown here finally in this difficult road venue. Houston has gone to two consecutive draws, but all signs finally point to a full three points this evening; lay the price, the play is Houston! AAA Sports |
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09-20-23 | Red Sox v. Rangers -128 | Top | 5-15 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
10* Rangers (ASSASSIN) The Rangers finally broke a four-game slide with a 6-4 win last night, and we're expecting the home side to keep the foot on the gas here as well in the finale. Previous to that the Rangers won four straight over the Jays in a critical series. Since then though, the Jays have been on a tear. Texas is still in the midst of a heated wildcard race, and we believe it also has the superior starter going tonight as well. The visitors hand the ball to Brayan Bello (12-9, 3.71 ERA), while the home side counters with Jon Gray (8-8, 4.05.) Note that Gray is 4-1 in all "day" games as well. Look for the home side to find a way to get the job done at the end of the afternoon; lay the price, the play is Texas! AAA Sports |
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09-20-23 | Phillies +1.5 v. Braves | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
8* Phillies RUNLINE (ROUT) The Phillies are trying their hardest to earn the top NL Wildcard. Winning this series on the road here vs. the NL-leading Braves would help for sure. The Phillies won the opener, and then the Braves responded on Tuesday. Now here in the finale, we're expecting a very competitive affair. And in a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we're going to recommend to lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance. These starters are a "wash," with Aaron Nola (12-9, 4.62 ERA) goes for the visitors, and Bryce Elder (12-4, 3.50) counters for the home side. In this competitive contest, we're laying the price for the Phillies on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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09-19-23 | Phillies +1.5 v. Braves | Top | 3-9 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
10* Phillies RUNLINE (ASSASSIN) The Phillies are gunning for the TOP NL wildcard spot, and they won an important game last night in the opener of this series. In what we believe will be another tightly-contested and highly-competitive affair, the value in our opinion lies with the visitors on the "runline" option. Cristopher Sanchez (2-4, 3.40 ERA) gets the call for the Phillies, while Spencer Strider (17-5, 3.73 ERA) We'll argue that Strider is having an above average season, on a really good team. For all the reasons listed above, the play is Philadelphia on the runline! AAA Sports |
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09-18-23 | Saints v. Panthers +3.5 | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
10* Panthers (ASSASSIN) We're going contrarian with this one. Carolina fell 24-10 at Atlanta in Week 1, while New Orleans held on for a 16-15 win over Tennessee at home, unable to cover the three-point spread. Honestly, both teams looked bad. Division rivals are always the most important though, and they almost always mean more to the home side. And that's the case here in our opinion. Derek Carr had 305 yards passing and a TD for the Saints, while Bryce Young was 20 of 38 for 146 yards, one TD and two INT's. With that awkward game out of the way though, we're expecting Young to settle down here at home. Carolina's defense held Atlanta to just 221 offensive yards. The Saints are still without Alvin Kamara as well. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is Carolina! AAA Sports |
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09-18-23 | Mets v. Marlins -148 | 2-1 | Loss | -148 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
8* MARLINS (MISMATCH) The Mets have struggled on the road, going just 30-44. The Marlins are in the thick of a playoff race and they're 43-32 at home. Braxton Garrett (9-6, 3.67 ERA) is battle-tested for the Marlins and he's been great of late here in September, posting a minuscule 0.93 ERA and striking out 11 batters over nine innings of work. He'll be opposed by Jose Butto (1-2, 3.46.) Butto has been decent, but we don't think he'll receive enough run support in this one. Lay the price with confidence, the play is Miami! AAA Sports |
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09-18-23 | Burnley v. Nottingham Forest +124 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
10* Nottingham Forest (GOW) Nottingham Forest went into the break off a 1-0 away win over Chelsea, while Burnley was crushed 5-2 by Tottenham. Forest has won each of its last four EPL matches at the City Ground, and we just can't see Burnley putting up much of a fight in this one. Burnley knocked out Nottingham Forest from the EFL Cup a couple of weeks ago, so the home side will be looking for revenge on that as well. Great price here, the play is Nottingham Forest! AAA Sports |
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09-17-23 | Dolphins v. Patriots +3 | Top | 24-17 | Loss | -123 | 29 h 12 m | Show |
10* Patriots (AFC EAST GOY) Divisional matchups are always the most important and they almost always mean the most to the home side. And that's definitely the case here in our opinion, as we expect New England to win this game outright. That said, our official call is to grab as many points as you can. Miami fought tooth and nail with the Chargers on the road in Week 1 and it escaped with a thrilling 36-34 victory as a 3-point underdog. Now they face a New England team that comes off a tough 25-20 home loss to the high-powered Eagles. Lots of good things for Mac Jones and company though. The defense looked great and Jones finished with 315 passing yards. While the outright win is possible, the play is to grab the points with NEW ENGLAND. AAA Sports |
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09-17-23 | Commanders v. Broncos -3 | 35-33 | Loss | -125 | 26 h 34 m | Show | |
8* Broncos (DESTRUCTION) Washington managed to hold on for a 20-16 home win over Arizona as a seven-point favorite in Week 1, but all signs point to a letdown here in the Commanders first road game. Denver fell 17-16 here at home to Las Vegas as a three-point favorite, but Russell Wilson looked decent with two TD passes. There were lots of positives to take out of Denver's performance in Week 1 despite the loss, and we're expecting the home side to risk life and limb to get off the schneid here and now, especially with two straight tough road games at Miami and Chicago on deck; a great situational play here on Denver! AAA Sports |
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09-17-23 | Seahawks v. Lions -4.5 | Top | 37-31 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 5 m | Show |
10* Lions (SUPER BLOWOUT) The Seahawks surprised everyone last year, but in Week 1, they fell at home to division rival LA as a favorite. Now they're facing a confident and well-rested Lions team at home and all signs point to a big time blowout in our opinion. Hawks' QB Geno Smith was just 16 of 26 for 112 passing yads and a TD. The defense looked terrible, and we have a hard time seeing it slowing down Jared Goff and company in what will be a sold out Ford Field. Goff had 225 yards and a TD in their upset win on Opening night over the Chiefs. We're expecting a completely lop-sided blowout, so lay the points, the play is Detroit! AAA Sports |
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09-17-23 | Colts +1.5 v. Texans | Top | 31-20 | Win | 100 | 23 h 32 m | Show |
10* Colts (ASSASSIN) What do you base your picks on? We use many different methodologies and approaches. Sometimes we break a game wide open, looking at every player matchup and every statistic we can get. Other times though we like to "keep it simple." This week and for this game we're "keeping it simple" and giving this particular matchup the "eye test." We really liked what we saw out of the Colts in Week 1, as their young QB looks legit. The Texans looked inept in their 25-9 loss at Baltimore. Look for the Colts' progression to continue here and grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports |
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09-17-23 | Chiefs v. Jaguars UNDER 51 | Top | 17-9 | Win | 100 | 22 h 22 m | Show |
10* UNDER Chiefs/Jags (AFC NON-DIV TOW) The Chiefs looked shaky in Week 1 without Jason Kelce, and whether he's in the line-up or not, we feel KC will once again have difficulties moving the ball. Trevor Lawrence and company will look to win this game in the trenches and with field position. Weather could be an issue here as well, with Hurricane Lee ripping off the coast right now. We see this one being a really gritty, lower-scoring battle that indeed stays well "under" the number once it's all said and done. AAA Sports |
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09-16-23 | Kansas v. Nevada +28.5 | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 31 h 43 m | Show |
10* Nevada (NON-CONF GOW) Kansas is 2-0, and Nevada is 0-2. In no way shape or form are we suggesting that the Wolfpack are going to steal an outright win here or anything, but we do think that there's every reason to believe that the Jayhawks'll take the foot off the gas as they get caught looking ahead to a bye week next week, followed by games at Texas and Oklahoma State. No such luck obviously for Nevada, who despite being a massive underdog here, won't simply be rolling over. This is too many points to be giving up considering all of these strong situational circumstances listed above; grab the points, the play is Nevada! AAA Sports |
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09-16-23 | Cubs -112 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -112 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
10* Cubs (BLOWOUT) These teams are battling it out for one of the final NL wildcards. Chicago has now lost three in a row though after dropping last night's contest 6-4 here, and note that the Cubs have in fact responded well in this spot for bettors, going 4-1 in their last five after three or more straight losses in a row. They're also 8-4 in their last 12 in trying to avenge a road loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. The bottom line here though is that this one definitely favors the Cubs in the starting pitching matchup, with veteran Kyle Hendricks (6-7, 3.71 ERA, 1.15 WHIP), getting the nod here over the volatile Zach Davies (2-5, 6.81, 1.61 WHIP.) Lay the price, the play is Chicago! AAA Sports |
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09-16-23 | FC Cincinnati v. Philadelphia -120 | Top | 2-2 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
10* Union (MLS GOW) Both teams are among the top in the East, but the "home field" advantage can't be overlooked as a deciding factor in this one. In fact, we feel the Union should be a bigger favorite in this matchup here at home. The Union have won six straight at home, and we don't see FC Cincinnati stopping that streak today. Their last victory was a 4-1 thrashing of the Red Bulls. Cincinnati on the other hand lost its final game before the international break, falling 1-0 to Orlando City. All things considered, we feel this is a great price; the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports |
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09-16-23 | Virginia Tech +7 v. Rutgers | Top | 16-35 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 57 m | Show |
10* Virginia Tech (ASSASSIN) This game means more to UVA after suffering a 24-17 defeat to Purdue last weekend as a 1-point favorite. With a tough game at Marshall after this, the Hokies will be risking life and limb here to avoid another loss. The Scarlet Knights are 2-0 SU/ATS, but their early numbers are skewed do the level of the competition. WIth a game at Michigan on deck next, not only does this set up as a possible "letdown," but it also sets up as a possible "look-ahead" spot. When you add those two things together you get "trap game." No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is on the Hokies! AAA Sports |
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09-16-23 | Florida State v. Boston College +24.5 | Top | 31-29 | Win | 100 | 21 h 43 m | Show |
10* Boston College (ACC GOY) Do we think that Boston College will win this game outright?! We do not. Do we think the Seminoles will take the foot off the proverbial gas pedal in the second half of this game as they caught looking ahead to their game at Clemson next Saturday? Absolutely. This is a great situational play, one so strong that this pick will qualify as our 10* ACC GAME OF THE YEAR. BC lost this game 44-14 last year, but all signs point to a much more competitive game this time around; grab the points, the play is BOSTON COLLEGE. AAA Sports |
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09-15-23 | Phillies -140 v. Cardinals | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
10* Phillies (NL BLOWOUT) We like the Phillies to bounce back here after dropping four of their last five. That includes two straight at home to the Braves earlier in the week. Aaron Nola (12-9, 4.64 ERA) gets the nod here over his counterpart Zach Thompson (5-5, 4.06.) Look for Philadelphia to come in focussed and to deliver in the opener of this one! AAA Sports |
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09-15-23 | Rays v. Orioles +1.5 | Top | 7-1 | Loss | -155 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
10* Orioles RUNLINE (ASSASSIN) A big divisional series here, and after yesterday's 4-3 loss in Game 1, we expect Baltimore to respond on Friday. The Orioles have now lost three straight, and note that Baltimore if 4-1 in its last five after three or more straight losses in a row. Zach Eflin (14-8, 3.53 ERA) is just in the wrong place at the wrong time here for the Rays. Jack Flaherty (8-8, 4.98) will finally get a chance to bounce back here for his new team. We expect the veteran to match his counterpart. Great overall value here in getting the extra 1.5 runs of insurance - the play is Baltimore on the runline option! AAA Sports |
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09-15-23 | Virginia +14.5 v. Maryland | Top | 14-42 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 50 m | Show |
10* Virginia (BLOOD-BATH) UVA is 0-2, while Maryland is 2-0. UVA though is coming off a 36-35 loss to James Madison as a 6-point dog and we believe it'll be able to carry that positive progression over here in Week 3 here as well. Maryland beat Charlotte 38-20, but was unable to cover the 24.5-point spread. We feel this Friday night spread is too large as well for the home side to cover, especially with a big televised game at Michigan State the following weekend, setting this up as a classic "letdown + look-ahead" spot! Virginia's backup QB was great, as Athony Colandrea had 377 passing yards and two TD's. Maryland's game was 17-14 going into the fourth quarter, as the Terps struggled in many facets. This is too many points, so grab them; the play is indeed on Virginia! AAA Sports |
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09-14-23 | Vikings v. Eagles OVER 48.5 | Top | 28-34 | Win | 100 | 35 h 4 m | Show |
10* OVER Vikes/Eagles. The bottom line here is that Mac Jones threw for 315 yards on the Eagles' secondary, and we just feel that Kirk Cousins and Justin Jefferson will also be able to take advantage here. Clearly the Eagles won't be rolling over here after that somewhat uninspiring performance at New England, which saw them go up early, and then for some reason take the foot off the gas. Perhaps they were caught looking ahead to this game?! Either way, we can expect Jalen Hurts and company to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish in their home opener. This number is low, the play is the OVER. AAA Sports |
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09-14-23 | Navy +14 v. Memphis | Top | 24-28 | Win | 100 | 31 h 43 m | Show |
10* Navy (AAC GOM) Navy is 1-1, while Memphis is 2-0. The Midshipmen beat Wagner 24-0 last week, unable to cover the 43.5-point spread. Memphis crushed Arkansas 37-3. Memphis won this game at Navy last year by a score of 37-13, but all signs point to a much tighter battle this time around in our opinion. With a game vs. Missouri on a neutral field next week, will Memphis get caught "looking ahead?!" The possibility is there of course. Navy on the other hand has a bye next week, which works in our favor here this week as the team puts its entire focus onto this game. Navy runs the option attack, but QB Tai Lavatai had 161 yards passing, including a 45 yard pass to RB Anton Hall Jr. Let's not read too much into the Tigers' early numbers, also facing off against FCS Bethune-Cookman. We see the home side leaving the back door open just enough for the visiting side to comfortably sneak in through down the stretch; grab the points, the play is Navy! AAA Sports |
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09-14-23 | Rangers v. Blue Jays -146 | Top | 9-2 | Loss | -146 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
10* Jays (ASSASSIN) Enough is enough for Toronto here, as it's lost the first three games of this four-game series by score of 10-4, 6-3 and 10-0. Note though that the Jays are 7-2 in their last nine in trying to avenge a shutout home loss vs. an opponent. They're also 8-4 in their last 12 in trying to avenge three or more straight losses against an opponent. After five straight wins, we're expecting the Rangers to finally have a small letdown here. Nathan Eovaldi (11-4, 2.90 ERA) has been great for the Rangers, but we still give Kevin Gausman (11-8, 3.28) the slight nod here at home. Look for the desperate home side to deliver finally here on Thursday! AAA Sports |
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09-13-23 | Royals v. White Sox -148 | Top | 7-1 | Loss | -148 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
10* White Sox (AL BOB) The White Sox won the opener, and the Royals clawed back to win 11-10 in last night's Game 2. Now here in the finale with a chance for a rare series win, we like Mike Clevinger to seal the deal here vs. his incompetent counterpart. Clevinger (7-7, 3.64 ERA) is 4-3 with a 3.63 ERA. The Royals' Steven Cruz (0-0, 7.20) is being thrown to the wolves here in this matchup. Look for Chicago to take advantage and lay the price with confidence! AAA Sports |
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09-12-23 | Rangers v. Blue Jays +100 | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
8* Jays (SITUATIONAL DESTRUCTION) Two really good teams in the hunt for a playoff berth collide here in the second game of this three-game series North of the border, and in my opinion, I think the revenge-minded home side offers great value at this price to find a way to deliver on Tuesday. Texas won yesterday's opener by a score of 10-4. Toronto is 3-1 in its last four in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. If the Rangers have had one weakness as well, it's been their inconsistent play on the road, where they're still a just a pedestrian 34-34 this year. The Jaysa re now 38-31 at home, but we like TO to bounce back here with its ace on the mound in Hyun-Jin Ryu (3-2, 2.65 ERA), who will square off against Max Scherzer (3-2, 3.63.) Scherzer is just in the wrong place at the wrong time in this one. Great price and value overall on Toronto! AAA Sports |
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09-11-23 | Bills v. Jets UNDER 47 | Top | 16-22 | Win | 100 | 172 h 37 m | Show |
10* UNDER Bills/Jets (ASSASSIN) It's going to take some time for Aaron Rodgers to develop chemistry with his new team. They'll be looking to run the ball heavily to open things up, to alleviate as much pressure off him as possible. The Jets will be better served keeping Josh Allen off the field of play as much as possible anyways. New York actually had one of the best defenses in the league last year, allowing the fourth least amount of PPG. THe last thing NY wants to do is turn this into a "shootout;" this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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09-11-23 | Marlins v. Brewers -144 | Top | 0-12 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
10* Brewers (NL GOW) Both pitchers have been great here, but we give the big nod to Brandon Woodruff (4-1, 2.30 ERA, 0.79 WHIP) here at home. Woodruff will be going up against Jesus Luzardo (9-8, 3.89.) The Fish are off a 5-4 comeback win at Philly, but we say they're now primed for a classic letdown here in Milwaukee. Dating to last season Woodruff is 14-3 with a 2.36 ERA and he's 2-0 wtih a 3.00 ERA in two career outings vs. the Fish. Luzardo is just 1-3 with a poor 4.89 ERA over his las seven starts. This line could/should in fact be a lot larger. Lay the price with confidence, the play is Milwaukee! AAA Sports |
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09-11-23 | Rangers v. Blue Jays -141 | Top | 10-4 | Loss | -141 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
10* Jays (AL GOW) Texas just two two of three at home over the A's, but the Rangers haven't been traveling well of late, and here they face a red hot home side that's won eight of its last ten, including sweeping the Royals here over the weekend in three straight. As good as Dane Dunning (9-6, 3.88 ERA) has been for the Rangers, we're still giving the nod to Chris Bassitt (14-7, 3.69) here at home. Look for Toronto to ride the wave of emotion and to post the convincing victory here in Game 1 of this series! AAA Sports |
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09-10-23 | Cowboys v. Giants +3.5 | Top | 40-0 | Loss | -115 | 149 h 36 m | Show |
10* Giants (SUPER BLOWOUT) Both teams advanced to the second round of the playoffs last year before then falling. Dallas has some talent to replace on offense this season though, and we've never been a big fan of Dak Prescott's. Dallas looks poised for a big step back this year after flailing once again last season. The Giants exceeded expectations by finishing 9-8 and in a contest that we see being decided late, or by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points (but note, we wouldn't be shocked by an outright upset or anything either); the play is New York! AAA Sports |
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09-10-23 | St. Louis City v. LA Galaxy | 2-2 | Win | 310 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
8* DRAW St. Louis/LA (ASSASSIN) LA will be looking to further its playoff chances with a win today, but St. Louis City won't be rolling over here. This one has "war of attrition" written all over it in our opinion, and that makes the DRAW option the savvy call here. LA is on a three match unbeaten streak after a 0-0 draw with Houston last time out. St. Louis is on top of the Western Conference despite losing 2-1 to Sporting KC last time out. Lots on stake for both clubs, but everything points to a very evenly matched affair. The play is the DRAW! AAA Sports |
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09-10-23 | Eagles -3.5 v. Patriots | Top | 25-20 | Win | 100 | 145 h 55 m | Show |
10* Eagles FIRST HALF (NON-CONF FH GOW) NOTE: If you don't have access to FIRST HALF lines, then we still like this game as well for the entire game. Philadelphia was 14-3 last year and it then lost in the Super Bowl to the Chiefs by the slimmest of margins. The Pats were 8-9. Mac Jones and the Pats should do a lot better in his third year and with a new OC, but the Eagles are primed to hit the ground running in our estimation. What's the best way to take the crowd out of this game, which will be hyped becuase of a Tom Brady ceremony? Burying them in the first half. And that's exactly what we're expecting the dynamic Jalen Hurts and company to do; the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports |
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09-10-23 | Diamondbacks v. Cubs OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
10* OVER D-Backs/Cubs. The first three games of this series have gone "under" the number, but we're finally expecting some offensive fireworks here this afternoon. Arizona has won four straight and the first three of this series. All three games have gone "under" the number, but note that the D-Backs have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. And note that Chicago has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge three or more straight losses against an opponent. Brandon Pfaddt (1-8, 6.27 ERA) gets the call for the visitors, countered by Kyle Hendricks (5-7, 3.73) for the home side. The overall situation, combined with the above stats/numbers all point to the "over" as the correct call in this one! AAA Sports |
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09-10-23 | Texans v. Ravens -10 | Top | 9-25 | Win | 100 | 142 h 29 m | Show |
10* RAVENS FIRST HALF (ASSASSIN) NOTE: We also like Baltimore for the entire game, so if you don't have half time lines available, we're also suggesting a play on Baltimore for the ENTIRE game. The Ravens have had a busy off-season, including locking up Lamar Jackson, signing Odell Beckham Jr. among other moves. Houston has CJ Stroud, who could go on to become the next John Elway, but he's going to be in over his head here on the road in this difficult road venue; the play is BALTIMORE. AAA Sports |
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09-10-23 | Bucs v. Vikings -5.5 | Top | 20-17 | Loss | -113 | 142 h 11 m | Show |
10* Vikings (NON-DIV. NFC GOY) Baker Mayfield's career is on the line here. It's now or never for Mayfield, and he'll likely be without his top receiver in Mike Evans. There's plenty of off-field drama going on in Tampa and we expect Minnesota to take advantage of that fact here in Week 1, coming in as the more prepared team will result in a decisive and lop-sided decision. The Vikes won the NFC North last year and while they have a few question marks here and there, everything points to a comfortable win and cover here at home in our opinion; lay the points, the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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09-09-23 | Los Angeles FC +135 v. Portland | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 30 h 48 m | Show |
10* LA FC (GOW) LA FC can move back into second place in the West with a win today. Despite outshooting Miami by a score of 22-9 at home last week, LAFC fell 3-1. Portland drew 2-2 with Seattle. LAFC has't lost in four straight in this series and we're not expecting that streak to end here. LA has only beaten Portland twice at Providence Park, the last one came in this exact matchup a season ago (2-1.) We're expecting a similar final outcome here; the play is LAFC! AAA Sports |
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09-09-23 | SMU +16 v. Oklahoma | Top | 11-28 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 33 m | Show |
10* SMU (UNDERDOG BOB) This is a non-conference matchup and we feel that SMU will be able to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the large spread that it's been afforded in this one. SMU is off a 38-14 win over Louisiana Tech, while Oklahoma annihilated Arkansas State by a score of 73-0. SMU though was up 31-0 at halftime in its game before taking the foot off the gas in the second half as it was caught looking ahead to this much more difficult game. Oklahoma though is the one going to be get caught "looking ahead" to its game at Cincinnati next week. A great situational play, grab as many points as you can with SMU! AAA Sports |
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09-09-23 | Kent State +38 v. Arkansas | 6-28 | Win | 100 | 24 h 2 m | Show | |
8* Kent State (DESTRUCTION) Outright win?! Obviously not. We're just fully expecting Arkansas to go up early, and then to completley take the foot off the gas in the second half as it prepares of its game vs. BYU next week, and LSU the following week. Kent State was routed 56-6 by UCF, but let's not overreact. Michael Alaimo will be better this time around in our estimatoin after finishing with 145 passing yards, no TD's and an INT. Arknsas routed FCS Western Carolina 56-13, but for all the situational circumstances listed above, all signs point to Kent State comfortably sneaking in through the backdoor down the stretch! AAA Sports |
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09-09-23 | Notre Dame v. NC State +7.5 | Top | 45-24 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 18 m | Show |
10* NC State (ANNIHILATION) The Irish are 2-0, but now they finally get tested this weekend. We're not calling for an outright upset or anything, but everything points to a much tighter battle than what this line is suggesting in our opinion. The Wolfpack won't be rolling over here at home after their 24-14 win over UConn last Thursday and with the advantage of a couple of extra days rest. Notre Dame had no problem with Tennessee State last week, and with a week off before a game at home vs. Ohio State on September 23rd, this for sure sets up as not only a "letdown" spot for the visitors, but also a "look ahead." This is a great "situational" play on NC State! AAA Sports |
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09-09-23 | Vanderbilt v. Wake Forest UNDER 57.5 | Top | 20-36 | Win | 100 | 20 h 38 m | Show |
10* UNDER Vanderbilt/Wake (EARLY) A couple of non-conference opponents battle here and in our opinion, this total is a little high. Vanderbilt is off a 47-13 win over Alabama A&M, while Wake Forest smashed Elon 37-17. Both failed to cover the spread. Let's not overreact to last week's results offensively though is the moral of this story in our opinion. Wake Forest did win 45-25 last year, but with considerable turnover for each side, we're anticipating a much tighter game this time around. This one is going to be decided in the trenches and by field position; this number is high, the play is the under! AAA Sports |
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09-08-23 | Illinois +3.5 v. Kansas | Top | 23-34 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
10* Illinois (ASSASSIN) Both teams enter at 1-0. Illinois is coming off a 30-28 win over Toledo, while Kansas beat Missouri State 48-17. Last year the Fighting Illini had the best defense in the country, but after the team lost its entire secondary to the NFL in the offseason, there's going to be a transition period obviously. QB Luke Altmyer had 211 yards passing and two TDs. Jalon Daniels could very well make his debut for the Jayhawks today, but if he does, we're expecting some "growing pains" for himself here as well as he gets "up to speed." Daniels had an 18:4 TD:INT last year before getting injured. Jason Bean looked good last week vs. Missouri State, but clearly this Illinois defense, despite being a shadow of its former self, is a huge step up in difficulty. An outright is possible, but the official call is to grab as many points as you can with Illinois! AAA Sports |
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09-08-23 | Pirates v. Braves UNDER 9.5 | Top | 2-8 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
10* UNDER Pirates/Braves (ART OF WAR) These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting more of a "duel" here finally in the opener of this series in ATL on Friday night. The Braves lost two of three to the Cards, and all three games went "over" the number. But note that ATL has seen the total go "under" the number in four of its last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Two really good starters going head-to-head and all signs point to a "duel" as we eluded to above, with Mitch Keller (11-8, 3.93 ERA) going for the Pirates, and Bryce Elder (11-4, 3.42) countering for the home side. This number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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09-07-23 | Lions +6.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 21-20 | Win | 100 | 104 h 47 m | Show |
10* Lions (BLOCKBUSTER) The Lions finished 9-8 last year, while the Chiefs went on to win the Super Bowl, their second in the last four years. The Chiefs' QB Patrick Mahomes is always an X-Factor despite who is on his line-up, but with six key starters from last year's record-breaking offense gone, there's going to be a small amount of transition time here for the KC offense to find the same chemistry as it clearly had last season. The Lions' defense was their weak-point all year, but the unit made big strides in the second half of the season, allowing just 20.2 PPG. Detroit is ready to hit the ground running and won't at all be intimidated here. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Detroit! AAA Sports |
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09-07-23 | Tigers v. Yankees OVER 8 | Top | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
10* OVER Tigers/Yanks. Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting finally a "slug-fest" here on Thursday night in the Bronx. NY has won 8 of its last 9 and both games to open this series. It's seen the total go "under" the number in three straight, but note that the Yanks have seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. And note that Detroit has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge two or more straight road losses against an opponent. Eduardo Rodriguez (10-7, 3.11 ERA) gets the call for the Tigers, and he's definitely in the "wrong place" at the "wrong time" today. Carlos Rodon (2-4, 5.70) has struggled for New York. Everything in our opinion points to this total flying well "over" the number! AAA Sports |
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09-06-23 | Astros v. Rangers UNDER 9 | Top | 12-3 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
10* UNDER Astros/Rangers. Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but all signs finally point to a "duel" here in our opinion. The Astros have won both of these games to open this series, and both have flown well "over" the number, including in their 14-1 win last night. Note though that Texas has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses against an opponent. We have two former teammates going head-to-head here, with Justin Verlander (4-1, 2.79 ERA) getting the call for Houston, and Max Scherzer (3-1, 2.64) countering for Texas. Look for these ex-teammates to battle deep, and for this total to stay well "under" the number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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09-05-23 | Blue Jays v. A's UNDER 8.5 | Top | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 45 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jays/A's (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're finally predicting more of a "duel" here finally on Tuesday night. The Jays came from behind, and then had to hold on for the 6-5 win last night. Toronto has now seen the total eclipse the posted number in four straight. Note though that despite yesterday's high-scoring outcome, Toronto has still seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Chris Bassitt (13-7, 3.81 ERA) has been a consistent bright spot for Toronto all year. Ken Waldichuk (2-7, 5.92 ERA) less so for the A's, but the overall situation and the numbers all point to the "under" as the correct call for sure here today as far as the total is concerned in our opinion! AAA Sports |
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09-04-23 | Clemson v. Duke +13.5 | Top | 7-28 | Win | 100 | 178 h 8 m | Show |
10* Duke (MONEY) Clemson comes to Duke here to open the season on Monday night off an 11 win campaign. Duke though really turned things around in 2022 under Mike Elko’s first season, finishing with nine wins. Clemson will feel that the 11 win season was a step back, while Duke's nine win campaign was one of its best of all time. The bottom line here is, Clemson is not the National power that it once was. The public is always quick to back the Tigers, but this matchup is more evenly matched than it appears in our opinion. Four of the Blue Devils losses last year were of the one-score variety. WB Riley Leonard is back, and we think he'll keep his team competitive late; no outright, but closer than expected so grab the points with Duke! AAA Sports |
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09-04-23 | Twins -133 v. Guardians | Top | 20-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
10* Twins (ASSASSIN) With a chance to really distance themselves from the Guardians for the division lead, and with the superior starter on the hill fr them, we like the Twins to find a way to get the job done here in the opener of this one. Pablo Lopez (9-7, 3.72 ERA) is definitely the "correct call" here as far as the starting pitching matchup is concerned in our opinion, as he'll face off against the struggling Lucas Giolito (1-5, 6.89.) We see Minnesota going up early and then we expect the bullpen to deliver the goods in the end; lay the price, the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports |
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09-03-23 | Inter Miami v. Los Angeles FC UNDER 3 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 31 h 29 m | Show |
10* UNDER Inter Miami/LAFC. With Messi on Inter Miami, the general betting public is is quick to back the team from South Beach now. LA though is still clinging to second spot in the West despite a 2-1 setback at Charlotte last Saturday. Now back at home and ready for a bounce-back, we think the last thing LAFC will do is to turn this into a "track meet." Instead, we expect the "better team on paper" to sit back and wait for the visiting side to make the first mistake. In this "war of attrition," expect the total to stay well "under" the number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports |
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09-03-23 | Yankees v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
10* Astros runline (ASSASSIN) No need to overanalyze this one. After dropping the first two games of this series, we like the Astros to not only win the finale here on Sunday night MLB, but to do so in blowout fashion. And that makes the runline option the correct call in our opinion. Michael King (3-5, 2.96 ERA) has been solid for New York, but we feel he's for sure in the "wrong place at the wrong time" tonight. His counterpart Christian Javier (9-2, 4.66 ERA) is the correct call; lay the 1.5 runs and expect a blowout! AAA Sports |
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09-03-23 | Orioles v. Diamondbacks -138 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -138 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
10* Diamondbacks (BOB) Arizona took the opener, and Baltimore bounced back on Saturday. Now with the suprerior starting pitcher on the hill for them here, we like the Diamondbacks to respond in the finale of this three-game series and to find a way to get the job done. And for us, it just boils down to the starting pitching, as Baltimore's Jack Flaherty (1-2, 6.41 ERA) continues to look shaky for his new team, while Zac Gallen (14-6, 3.32) here at home at this price and in this situation seems like a gift; so lay the price with confidence, the play is Arizona! AAA Sports |
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09-03-23 | Northwestern +7 v. Rutgers | Top | 7-24 | Loss | -111 | 146 h 15 m | Show |
10* Northwestern (ROUT) Outright upset? Maybe, but after going 1-11 last year, Northwestern won't be lacking motivation today. Ben Bryant came over from Cincinnati to be the man under center and to refresh this offense. What better opponent to go up against to open the season than Rutgers, which went 4-8 last year? The Scarlet Knights once again have more questions than answers coming into this season. The Rutgers defense is its strength, but we're expecting this to be a much tighter battle than what this spread is suggesting; grab the points, the play is Northwestern! AAA Sports |
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09-03-23 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Crystal Palace -101 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 38 m | Show |
10* Crystal Palace (ASSASSIN) Crystal Palace is the "better" team on paper in this matchup, and I think that'll also translate into a decisive victory on the field of play this weekend as well in this favorable matchup. Wolverhampton is in complete disarray after a 5-0 loss to Blackpool last week. Crystal Palace on the other hand comes in off an encouraging 4-2 win over Plymouth Argyle. Crystal Palace has won three straight at home in this series and at this price, we LOVE that streak to continue; the play is indeed on Crystal Palace! AAA Sports |
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09-02-23 | South Alabama +7 v. Tulane | Top | 17-37 | Loss | -115 | 148 h 51 m | Show |
10* South Alabama (ASSASSIN) South Alabama was an amazing 12-1 ATS last year, and we're expecting it to get out to a quick start in 2023/24 as well. Tulane finished 13th in rushing a year ago, but the Jaguars finished 8th in rushing defense. South Alabama was 10-3 overall, but it fell to WKU in the New Orleans Bowl. Overall the Jaguars allowed just 21.3 PPG. The Green Wave conceded 22.2. In a contest that we believe will "come down to the wire," we're grabbing the points; the play is South Alabama! AAA Sports |
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09-02-23 | Toledo +9.5 v. Illinois | Top | 28-30 | Win | 100 | 148 h 46 m | Show |
10* Toledo (SITUATIONAL BLOODBATH) Toledo has a stout offensive line and we think it'll be a difference-maker in being able to push around Illinois and hang and be competitive late. This was the MAC's best defense last year and that's going to be enough against this Illinois team on Saturday in our estimation. Toledo has the talen to run as well. Illinois is a great defense as well, so points will be at a premium. No matter which way you look at it though, this is a few too many points; grab the points, the play is Toledo! AAA Sports |
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09-02-23 | Yankees v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
10* Astros runline (DOMINATION) We not only expect Houston to win today, but we believe it'll do so in "blowout fashion," meaning that the runline option is definitely the savvy call in our estimation. Houston's five game win streak came to an end in yesterday's 6-2 loss, but note that the Astros are 7-3 in their last ten in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. The bottom line here as well is that this is a starting pitching matchup that we definitely believe favors the home side, with the Yanks going with the erratic Luis Severino (4-8, 6.64 ERA), and the Astros countering with Hunter Brown (10-9, 4.47.) Lay the 1.5 runs and expect a decisive blowout! AAA Sports |
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09-02-23 | UTSA -115 v. Houston | Top | 14-17 | Loss | -115 | 148 h 16 m | Show |
10* UTSA (NON-CONF GOY) These teams are evenly matched, but I like the Roadrunners to find a way to get the job done in the end. With eight offensive and eight defensive starters returning from an 11-win squad in 2022, we believe UTSA will be one of the best Group of Five schools in the country. Last year these teams played at UTSA, and the Roadrunners fell 37-35 in OT as a 3.5-point dog. Look for UTSA to exact some revenge here in the Week 1 of the 2023/24 season this time around; the play is UTSA! AAA Sports |
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09-02-23 | Vancouver Whitecaps v. New York City FC +105 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -100 | 52 h 11 m | Show |
10* NYCFC (BOB) NYCFC is off a commanding 2-0 win over Montreal FC on Wednesday, and we're expecting the home side to carry over that momentum here at home on Saturday. The White Caps are already off back-to-back wins, including a 1-0 win over Chicago last time out, but like Montreal, Vancouver does not travel well. NYCFC has three clean sheets at Yankee Stadium in its last seven games there and we feel it offers tremendous value to keep the streak going here; the play is NYCFC! AAA Sports |
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09-02-23 | Bowling Green +10 v. Liberty | Top | 24-34 | Push | 0 | 141 h 59 m | Show |
10* Bowling Green (UNDERDOG SHOCKER) Liberty is a huge favorite here, but note that it was just 6-7 ATS. When favored by ten or more points, the Flames did not cover the spread once out of six times last season. Bowling Green was just 4-8-1 ATS, but with a low turnover in personel, the Falcons are expected to take a small step forward this year. Bowling Green was an underdog of 10 or more points in four different games last year and the Falcons went 2-2 ATS. We're not predicting an outright, but we definitely feel this is a few too many points for Liberty to cover here in Week 1; grab the points, the play is Bowling Green! AAA Sports |
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09-02-23 | AFC Bournemouth v. Brentford -135 | Top | 2-2 | Loss | -135 | 47 h 27 m | Show |
10* Brentford (GOW) Dating back to 2020, Brentford has won four in this series, lost one and drawn one. The last time they clashed was last season and the Bees left with the 2-0 victory. Brentford had 50 percent possession , but 12 shots on goa, compared to Bournemouth's 7. Bournemouth will be competitive early, but the Bees momentum carries over here as they continue their recent domination of this series; lay the price, the play is Brentford! AAA Sports |
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09-01-23 | Stanford v. Hawaii +7 | Top | 37-24 | Loss | -120 | 130 h 22 m | Show |
10* Hawaii (NON-CONF GOW) Stanford has a ton of potential with new head coach Troy Taylor, whose Sacramento State team averaged around 500 yards per game. However, it's going to take time to build that chemistry, and that's where we ultimately see the door being open for the Warriors to comfortably sneak in through down the stretch. The Warriors lost at Vanderbilt last weekend, but covered the spread. Stanford is a total rebuild and there are so many question marks, that we expect the home side to be able to move the ball and be competitive. We'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, but all signs point to a much more competitive battle than what this spread is suggesting; grab the points, the play is Hawaii! AAA Sports |
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09-01-23 | Louisville -7.5 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 39-34 | Loss | -108 | 127 h 12 m | Show |
10* Louisville (ACC GOM) It would be difficult for Georgia Tech to be any worse than it was last year, so it will for sure be improved this season. However, that improvement is relative of course. Louisville does have plenty of new faces, including at head coach (Jeff Brohm) and defensive coordinator (Ron English), but the defense finished No. 1 in the nation in sacks last year, and this unit will have its way with the ACC's worst offensive line in tackles allowed for a loss. QB Jack Plummer has plenty of talent around him as well. These are the types of games that Louisville needs to run up the score on early, to allow its backups and wannabe's quality playing time in the fourth quarter; lay the points, the play is Louisville! AAA Sports |
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09-01-23 | Cubs v. Reds OVER 9 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -120 | 4 h 32 m | Show |
10* OVER Cubs/Reds (NL CENTRAL TOM) Both teams have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end here. Chicago just went 2-1 vs. Milwaukee at home as it keeps its playoff hopes alive. All three games went "under" the number, but note that the Cubs have seen the total go "over" the number in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Cincinnati hasn't thrown in the white towel yet on its season either. The Reds lost two of three at San Francisco, but did win the finale 4-1. All three games also went "under" the number. That's four straight "unders" for the Reds, but note that despite their low-scoring victory last time out, they've still seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Chicago goes with still unproven Jordan Wicks (1-0, 1.80 ERA) who looks primed for a dose of reality in our opinion after a decent debut vs. the Pirates last time out. He'll be opposed by Graham Ashcraft (7-8, 4.73) who is 1-4 with a 10.38 ERA in five career starts vs. Chicago. We're expecting these guys to "get the hook" early; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports |
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08-31-23 | Nebraska v. Minnesota -7.5 | Top | 10-13 | Loss | -108 | 106 h 2 m | Show |
10* Minnesota (BIG TEN GOM) Minnesota was 9-4 last season, and it won the Pinstripe Bowl. The Gophers averaged 28.2 points per game, while allowing 13.8. Nebraska went 4-8 and failed to make a bowl appearance. It gave up 27.6 points per game, while averaging only 22.6 per contest. The Gophers are interestingly 5-3 ATS in their last eight as a 7.5-point favorite. Nebraska will be a lot better under Matt Rhule, and tranfer Jeff Simms is a dangerous play-maker. Defense is an issue again this year though. This game will once again be decided in the trenches (Minnesota won this game 20-13 last year, unable to cover the large 14.5-point spread.) Nebraska's lines on both sides of the ball will need some work to get up to speed. Look for Minnesota's tough defense to be the difference-maker; lay the points on the Gophers! AAA Sports |
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08-31-23 | Florida v. Utah UNDER 46.5 | Top | 11-24 | Win | 100 | 106 h 15 m | Show |
10* Florida/Utah UNDER (TOM) The Utes finished 10-4 last year and they lost in the Rose Bowl. Utah averaged 38.6 points per game while conceding 21.4. The Gators were 6-7 in 2022, and they lost the Las Vegas Bowl. They averaged 29.5 points, while allowing 28.8 per contest. Utah has question marks at QB though, as Cam Rising is still nursing a sore knee suffered in the Rose Bowl, while backup Brandon Rose was hurt in the preseason and he's up in the air as well. Florida's offense will be shaky to start this year as well, but it'll make up for it on the defensive side, which will be tough in the pass rush in this one. A great situational play on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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08-31-23 | Marlins v. Nationals OVER 8.5 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
10* OVER Marlins/Nationals (NL EAST TOY) Both teams have been involved in some lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting some offensive fireworks here in the Nation's capital in the opener of this series. Miami has lost five of its last six. It lost both games to Tampa Bay over the weekend, including falling 3-0 yesterday. Note though that the Fish have seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 off a shutout home loss. These teams played just last week and the Nats took two of three, so the Marlins won't be taking anything for granted here obviously. Washington has lost three of four, includuing a 7-0 loss at Toronto last night. Note though that the Nats have seen the total go "over" the number in three of their last four off a shutout road loss. Neither starter has been terrible, and neither has been great. Braxton Garrett (7-5, 3.96 ERA) gets the call for Miami, while Washington counters with Joan Adon (2-0, 5.25.) The situation and trends/numbers all point to the "over" as the correct call in this one! AAA Sports |
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08-30-23 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers UNDER 9.5 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 15 h 39 m | Show |
10* D-Backs/Dodgers UINDER (BLOCKBUSTER) These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to finally end this evening. Arizona has seen the total go "over" in both games to open this series, both have been losses. That's significant to note however, as the D-Backs have seen the total go "under" the number in four of their last five in trying to avenge two or more straight losses against an opponent. The Dodgers have now seen the total "over" the number in six straight. All of these "overs" have pushed the O/U line in this finale a little bit higher than it normally would/should be in our opinion. Brandon Pfaadt (1-6, 5.91 ERA) gets the nod for the visitors, while Ryan Pepiot (0-0, 2.00) counters for the home side. The overall situation combined with the above listed trends finally points to a bit of a duel here on Wednesday; this number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports |
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08-29-23 | Astros v. Red Sox UNDER 10.5 | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
10* UNDER Astros/Red Sox (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing to some really high-scoring games of late, including in the Astros 13-5 series-opening victory here yesterday. Houston has now seen the total go "over" in three straight, but note that the Astros have in fact seen the total go "under" in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Boston though has now seen the total go "over" in 12 straight games. That fact though has for sure only helped in driving tonight's total a bit higher than it normally would/should be. Two really good starters here in JP France (9-5, 3.51 ERA) and Brayan Bellow (10-7, 3.56) for the home side. The overall situation and the numbers/trends all point to the "under" as the correct call finally! AAA Sports |
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08-28-23 | Brewers v. Cubs UNDER 8.5 | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 51 m | Show |
10* Brewers/Cubs UNDER. These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting more of a "duel" here in the opener of this important series. Milwaukee has won eight in a row, and it's seen the total go "over" in five straight. But note that the Brewers have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. The Cubs have won seven of their last nine and they've seen the total fly "over the number in six of their last seven. Milwaukee goes with Wade Miley (6-3, 3.18 ERA), while the home side counters with Jameson Taillon (7-8, 5.60.) The overall situation, combined with the above-listed O/U ATS stat makes the "under" the correct call as far as the total is concerned in this one! AAA Sports |
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08-27-23 | Royals v. Mariners UNDER 8 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show |
10* UNDER Royals/Mariners (BEST OF BEST) Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this afternoon. Seattle continues to surge, after taking two of three from the White Sox, it's also taken the first two games of this series vs. the Royals, winning 7-5 and 15-2. Note though that KC has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses against an opponent. Alec Marsh (0-6, 5.56 ERA) gets the call for the Royals, while Luis Castillo (10-7, 3.15) counters for the home side. The overall situation, combined with the above listed ATS O/U trends does indeed make the UNDER the correct call as far as the total is concerned in this one. AAA Sports |
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08-27-23 | Liverpool v. Newcastle United | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 49 m | Show |
10* Liverpool/ Newcastle United DRAW (ASSASSIN) Newcastle is 1-1, hammering Aston Villa 5-1 in the opening week, and then calling 1-0 last weekend to high-powered Manchester City. All signs point to bounceback here though in our opinion. Liverpool is off a 3-1 win over lowly Bournemouth, but we believe it'll have its hands full finally here in Week 3. Liverpool is unbeaten in its last 13 matches in the EPL, so the home side will have it hands full for sure as well. Each team is filled with impressive talent, and we believe we're going to witness a "stale-mate," meaning that the DRAW option offers the best overall value. AAA Sports |
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08-26-23 | Austin v. FC Dallas +100 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 55 h 6 m | Show |
10* FC Dallas (MLS GOW) This is the third time these teams have played this year, and each has one victory. FC Dallas though will look to Ausin FC is in seventh the Western Conference. FC Dallas though has won two of its last three matches. In its last six home matches FC Dallas has won three, drawn one and lost two, scoring eight goals and conceding five. Austin FC comes in on terrible form by going 1-3 in their last four matches. In Austin FC's last six away matches, it's won once, drawn once and lost four, scoring 11 goals, while conceding 16. Look for FC Dallas to take advantage and lay this price with confidence! AAA Sports |
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08-26-23 | San Jose State v. USC -30 | Top | 28-56 | Loss | -108 | 558 h 23 m | Show |
10* USC (BAIL-OUT BLOWOUT) If USC is going to take the next step as a program, it has to take advantage of these early season games, and hammer their lesser competition over the first three quarters, to give the backups and younger kids some real game time in the fourth, including Malachi Nelson and Miller Moss, among various other high-profile back-ups. It would be a massive wasted opportunity if the Trojans don't approach this game seriously and absolutely lay the hammer down over the first three quarters. SJSU finished 7-4 overall and 4-7 ATS last year. With plenty of new faces, we expect the Spartans to struggle in this difficult road venue; lay the points, the play is the Trojans! AAA Sports |
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08-26-23 | A's v. White Sox UNDER 9 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
10* UNDER A's/White Sox. Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting those trends to end this evening. Chicago has lost the first two games of this series by scores of 8-5 and 12-4, but note that the White Sox have seen the total go "under" the number in eight of their last 12 in trying to avenge two or more straight home losses against an opponent. Two decent starters here in JP Sears (2-10, 4.61 ERA) for the A's and Touki Toussaint (0-1, 4.91) for the home side. The overall situation points to this finally being more of a "duel," the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports |
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08-26-23 | Ohio +3.5 v. San Diego State | Top | 13-20 | Loss | -110 | 558 h 48 m | Show |
10* Ohio (NON-CONF GOM) SDSU finished 7-6 overall last year and 5-3 vs. the Mountain West. In the end the Aztecs fell 25-23 to MTSU in the Hawaii Bowl last year. Ohio finished 2022 with a 10-4 record, and was 7-1 vs. the MAC. The Bobcats then went on to win the Barstool Arizona Bowl by a score of 30-27 in OT over Wyoming. Tim Albin won the MAC Coach of the year and quarterback Kurtis Rourke earned MAC Offensive Play of the year as well. With another tough game at home vs. LIU next week, we're expecting the Bobcats to be on top of their Game in Week 0. With a "cream puff" vs. Idaho State next, we're expecting the home side to get caught "looking ahead." While we feel the outright is possible, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with Ohio! AAA Sports |
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08-26-23 | Guardians v. Blue Jays -162 | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
8* Jays (ROUT) Despite last night's win, the Guardians are still just 28-35 on the road, while Toronto is still 32-28 at home. Note though that the Jays are 7-3 in their last ten after three or more straight losses in a row. They're also 3-1 in their last four in trying t avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. We like Logan Allen (6-6, 3.31 ERA) of Cleveland, but we think he's overmatched here facing Hyun-Jin Ryu (2-1, 1.89) at home; lay the price with confidence, the play is Toronto! AAA Sports |
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08-26-23 | Navy v. Notre Dame UNDER 50.5 | Top | 3-42 | Win | 100 | 554 h 59 m | Show |
10* Navy/ND UNDER (NON-CONF TOW) This is the third time these teams have played each other in Ireland. Notre Dame is 2-0. The Irish are heavy favorites here, but we're steering clear of the side and instead focussing on the total. The last time was back in 2012 where the Irish won 50-10. Notre Dame finished 9-4 overall last year and 7-6 ATS. Sam Hartman transferred over from Wake Forest and he had 38 TD's and 12 INT's last year. He now steps behind one of the best offensive lines in the nation. Navy finihed 4-8 overall and 7-5 ATS. The Midshipmen came out on the wrong side of more than a couple close calls last week. Navy's offense is centered around the run and that's what we're expecting to see a lot of today. Also note that the Midshipment finished first in their conference in third down stops last year. They also ranked second in stopping the run in the nation and the defense returns most of the starters. Look for this "across the pond" contest to be decided by field position and special teams and expect it to fall "under" the number once it's all said and done. AAA Sports |