Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-05-09 | Utah Jazz +3 v. New Orleans Hornets | Top | 108-94 | Win | 100 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
5* NBA Underdog Shocker of the Year on Utah Jazz +3
The Jazz have really struggled on the road this season, but they have all the motivation in the world to get up for this one. Utah has lost 3 in a row and it's last loss was as bad as it gets, falling at home as a 13-point favorite to a lowly and shorthanded Timberwolves team. The Jazz will be out for blood tonight and they will not be lacking any confidence against a team they have owned. Utah has won 3 straight over the Hornets by a minimum of 11 points and it has taken 7 of the last 9 overall. In fact, the Jazz are 6-1-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. Deron Williams has gotten the better of his rivalry with Chris Paul as his size and strength gives the smaller Paul problems on both ends of the floor. Without Tyson Chandler on the defensive side of the ball to go against the size and length of Utah, the Hornets are going to struggle to stop the Jazz on the interior. You can bet Jerry Sloan has ripped into his team about their recent defensive effort and history says the Jazz will put the clamps on tonight as they are a perfect 9-0 ATS after a combined score of 205 points or more 4 straight games over the last 3 seasons. The Jazz have won in these spots by an average score of 18 points. Also, the Hornets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 4.5 or less points. We'll pound Utah tonight! |
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04-04-09 | Villanova v. North Carolina -7 | Top | 69-83 | Win | 100 | 30 h 40 m | Show |
5* Final Four Game of the Year on North Carolina -7
Villanova has made an amazing run, but this is where it ends. The Tar Heels were crushed in last year's Final Four matchup with Kansas but they won't be denied this time around. Every one talks about Villanova's defense, but it is used to defending the half court offenses of the Big East. Just like all of UNC's other opponents in the dance, Villanova will eventually run out of gas against the Carolina run and gun attack. Jay Wright can try it all, but I really believe that there will be no answer for Ty Lawson and that will be the difference. The Tar Heels are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5 and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 NCAA Tournament games period. The Wildcats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5. UNC is 8-1 ATS in NCAA tournament games over the last 2 seasons and 19-6 ATS versus excellent teams - shooting >=45% with a defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons. Lay the points. |
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04-03-09 | Oregon State v. Texas El Paso -8.5 | Top | 81-73 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
5* CBI Tournament GOTY on UTEP -8.5
We had UTEP in game two and endured a 2-point ATS loss that should have never happened. The Miners missed 15 free throws and shot just 2 of 12 from three-point range in that game. Oregon State has had a good run, but with the CBI Title on the line, I don't see the better team in this matchup playing as poorly again. After a terrible first half, the Miners outscored Oregon State 40-28 in the second and I expect UTEP to pick up right where it left off. Oregon State is 0-6 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders this season, losing by an average score of 53.0 to 69.3 in these spots. UTEP is 7-0 ATS after playing 2 consecutive games as favorite this season. The books were hit hard with Oregon State's surprising cover in game 2, but they'll get it all back and then some tonight as the Miners take care of business with a double digit win. Lay the points. |
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04-02-09 | Utah Jazz v. Denver Nuggets -4 | Top | 104-114 | Win | 100 | 14 h 30 m | Show |
5* NBA on TNT Game of the Month on Nuggets -4
Denver has found its way into the No. 2 spot in the West and that's where this team wants to end up. The Nuggets are rolling, having won 4 in a row and 9 of their last 10. With a game against the Clippers next, we won't have to worry about Denver overlooking a Jazz team that is nipping at its heels, especially since the Jazz beat Denver 97-91 in the last meeting on March 6th. With home court, revenge, and playoff seeding motivation all in their favor, I like the Nuggets here. Utah is 0-8 ATS in its last 8 road games when playing against a team with a winning record, losing by an average score of 103.9 to 116.9 in these spots. Denver is 7-0 ATS off a home no-cover where they won straight up as a favorite this season, winning in these spots by an average score of 112.4 to 104.6. Bet the Nuggets! |
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04-01-09 | Houston Rockets v. Phoenix Suns -1 | Top | 109-114 | Win | 100 | 13 h 19 m | Show |
5* 2009 NBA GOTY on Suns -1
The Suns return home after 3 straight road games and 3 straight losses, including a terrible loss to the lowly Kings last time out. The Suns won't quit on this season no matter what and since they are still alive in the playoff race, I expect one of their most motivated efforts of the season tonight. I expect Houston to be much more concerned about its revenge game with the Lakers coming up next as well. Phoenix is 15-4 ATS off an upset loss as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons, winning in these spots by an average score of 107.3 to 99.3 and 8-1 ATS after allowing 120 points or more this season, winning in these spots by an average score of 116.1 to 106.3. Pound the Suns! |
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03-31-09 | Notre Dame -4 v. Penn State | Top | 59-67 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
5* NIT FINAL FOUR BEST BET (ESPN 2) on Notre Dame -4
Penn State is a small team and that does not bode well for them tonight against first team All-Big East stud Luke Harangody and company. The Irish have a big advantage with their front line and should dominate the painted area because of it. Penn State won't have the luxury of doubling down on Harangody either, because Kyle McAlarney and company can torch you from the perimeter. This Notre Dame team went 25-8 last season so this season has been a big disappointment. But the Irish are making the best of it and I expect them to continue their winning ways in the Garden. Penn State took out Florida on its home court to get here and that sets up a nice system in our favor. Penn State is just 1-8 ATS off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons, losing by an average score of 59.2 to 72.9 in these spots. Lay the points! |
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03-30-09 | Orlando Magic v. Miami Heat +3.5 | Top | 101-95 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
5* NBA Southeast Division GOTY on Heat +3.5
Miami has had this one circled ever since it was crushed 99-122 at Orlando just over a month ago. Miami defeated the Magic 103-97 in its only home game against them this season and I like the Heat to take them down again in this revenge spot tonight. Miami is 26-11 at home this season, having won 6 straight at home, including wins over Boston and Utah. There are a few things to take into account for this matchup and the first is that the home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. The Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. And the Magic are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Monday games. Orlando is a fine road team, but it will have no answer for Dwayne Wade and the Heat tonight in this severe revenge spot. Take the points. |
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03-29-09 | Michigan State +7.5 v. Louisville | Top | 64-52 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
5* Elite Eight BEST BET Michigan State +7.5
The Spartans have an excellent chance to win this game outright so I won't hesitate to grab the points. The big key is that Michigan State is solid enough defensively to limit Louisville's scoring runs and offensively it has good enough guard play, led by Big Ten Player of the Year Kalin Lucas, to beat the Louisville pressure consistently. Michigan State is 13-4 ATS in all neutral court lined games over the last 2 seasons and 18-5 ATS versus teams who average 9 or more steals/game on the season after 15+ games since 1997. Also, Michigan State is 17-3 when playing away from home this season and you're not going to fin better than that. Louisville has had a soft road to this point with Morehead State, Siena, and Arizona while the Spartans have had tough games with USC and Kansas to reach this point. A tough tournament schedule will have the Spartans ready to go today. Bet Michigan State. |
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03-28-09 | Villanova v. Pittsburgh -1.5 | Top | 78-76 | Loss | -109 | 33 h 18 m | Show |
5* Elite Eight GOTY on Pittsburgh -1.5
Pitt shows excellent value here as failing to cover a game in the NCAA tournament, while Nova has covered 2 straight in impressive wins, has brought this line down. Consider that Pitt was a 3.5-point favorite on the road when these teams met earlier this season. That meeting, which saw Nova win, is crucial here. While getting to the Final Four is motivation enough for any team to lay it all on the line, that only adds to Pitt's motivation here. Particularly for DeJuan Blair, who will want to have a much better game this time around. You also have to consider that Nova has played as well as it can play in back-to-back games and is due for a letdown while Pitt has just gotten by and is primed for a breakout performance. Here's the key: Pitt is 8-1 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%) this season, winning by an average score of 69.8 to 57.8. Nova won't get the Panthers twice. Lay the points. |
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03-27-09 | Kansas v. Michigan State -1 | Top | 62-67 | Win | 100 | 52 h 25 m | Show |
5* Sweet 16 GOTY on Michigan State -1
These two teams met earlier this season with the Spartans winning 75-62. Kansas has improved since then, but so has Michigan State. The Spartans have been the much better team when playing away from home this season so they get my call here. Also, while having won it all a year ago may give the Jayhawks some confidence, it also puts a larger target on their back and that does not play to their advantage. Michigan State has won 16 of 19 games away from home this season while the Jayhawks have won just 9 of 16. While Collins and Aldrich played key roles for the Jayhawks last season, this team is still very young so Michigan State gets the advantage in terms of experience. Michigan State is 8-1 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots this season, 11-4 ATS versus excellent teams - shooting >=45% with a defense of <=42% this season, 12-4 ATS in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons, 6-0 ATS as a neutral court favorite of 6 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons, and 6-0 ATS against Big 12 conference opponents over the last 3 seasons. Pound Michigan State! |
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03-26-09 | Villanova v. Duke -2 | Top | 77-54 | Loss | -110 | 56 h 12 m | Show |
5* East Region GOTY on Duke -2
Now that the Wildcats have to play outside the Wachovia Center, I expect a much more vulnerable team. Simply put, it isn |
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03-25-09 | Kentucky v. Notre Dame -2.5 | Top | 67-77 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
5* NIT BEST BET on Notre Dame -2.5
Notre Dame has had 5 days to prepare for this one and the Irish get home court where they are 14-3 this season with all 3 losses coming to NCAA Tournament teams. This is a matchup where you will see first hand how much better the Big East is than the SEC this year. As if playing at Notre Dame isn't difficult enough, it's not going to help the Wildcats that they are coming off a highly emotional and physically draining game at Creighton the night before last. This sets up a spectacular system which tells us to play against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 off an upset win as an underdog against opponent off 2 or more consecutive home wins. This system is 27-6 ATS the last 5 seasons. In addition, this is the last home game for several Notre Dame seniors and I expect that to up their intensity even more. Lay the points. |
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03-24-09 | Golden State Warriors v. San Antonio Spurs -9 | Top | 106-107 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
5* NBA Favorite of the Year on Spurs -9
Off back-to-back home losses to Boston and Houston, the Spurs have major incentive to blow the Warriors out tonight. The Spurs were a 12-point home favorite in the first meeting this season and crushed the Warriors 123-88. I expect Tony Parker to have a huge game against the Warriors pathetic defense. The favorite is a healthy 7-0-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings and the home team is 18-6-1 ATS in the last 25 meetings. Also, The Warriors are just 3-13 ATS in the last 16 meetings in San Antonio. The Warriors are 6-21-1 ATS in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600. The Spurs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5. Lay the number! |
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03-23-09 | Kentucky v. Creighton -1.5 | Top | 65-63 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
5* NIT Game of the Week on Creighton -1.5
Both of these teams wanted to be playing in the Big Dance and Creighton probably has the bigger beef about not getting in. The Jays' apathy showed in their first round win over Bowling Green by just 2 points as a 12-point favorite. Now that the fire of not getting in has settled a little bit, the Jays can focus on winning this tournament and you can bet that they will be jacked up here with Kentucky and Jodie Meeks stepping into the building. Kentucky has lost its last 3 true road games and has not been solid on the road all season. I'll go with a Creighton team that is 16-2 at home on the season. Kentucky is 0-8 ATS versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game after 15+ games this season. The Wildcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win. The deciding factor here will be how solid Creighton is from the 3-point line as Kentucky is 1-8 ATS in road games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=37% of their attempts after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons, losing by an average score of 63.8 to 77.3 in these spots. Take Creighton at home. |
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03-22-09 | Oklahoma State v. Pittsburgh -8 | Top | 76-84 | Push | 0 | 28 h 49 m | Show |
5* NCAA Tournament Sunday BLOWOUT on Pitt -8
Great spot to back Pitt today. This team got the wake up call of a lifetime in round one with 16 seed ETSU giving them all they wanted and more. Oklahoma State won a very emotionally draining round one game which will make it very tough to bounce back so quickly. Each time the Panthers have lost this season, they have won by at least 10 points in their very next game. Friday's game was not a loss, but I'm sure it felt similar. The Cowboys are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog while the Panthers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5 points. This experienced Pitt team went home in the second round a season ago and it isn't about to let that happen here. Offensive explosion from Pitt! |
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03-21-09 | Purdue +1.5 v. Washington | Top | 76-74 | Win | 100 | 28 h 36 m | Show |
5* 2009 NCAA Tournament Game of the Year on Purdue +1.5
Purdue is rolling, having won 4 straight. This team is finally healthy and you will see a team which is much better than its No. 5 seed indicates here. Getting a mild scare in its first round game only gets Purdue more focused for this one. Washington has the home court, so to speak, with the game in Portland, but that won?t be enough of a factor for the Huskies to beat the better team. Purdue returns all 5 starters from a team that went home in the 2nd round a season ago. The experience they gained last year, and the disappointment of going home early, gets the Boilermakers into the Sweet 16. Washington is a young team, especially at the guard spots, and that is not to your benefit this time of year. I feel strongly that the odds makers are purposefully favoring the wrong team here because they know the public will back the higher seed playing close to home and coming off a more impressive win. Purdue is 15-6 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 68.6 to 60.6. The Boilermakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games as an underdog of 6.5 points or less, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games as an underdog, and 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog. On top of that, defensively, there is no comparison between these two teams as Purdue allows 10.3 less points per game than the Huskies. I?m going big on Purdue here. |
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03-20-09 | USC -2.5 v. Boston College | Top | 72-55 | Win | 100 | 30 h 23 m | Show |
5* NCAA TOURNAMENT 1ST RD BOMB on USC -2.5
It's not always about who you beat during the regular season, it is mostly about what have you done for me lately this time of year, and lately, USC has been one of the most dangerous teams in the country. The Eagles lost 5 of their last 9 games while a finally healthy USC squad comes in having won 5 in a row SU and ATS. I'll take the team with way more momentum on its side in this one. First off, BC is 2-10 ATS when playing away from home versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons, losing in these spots by an average score of 63.5 to 77.2. Secondly, USC is 9-1 ATS after a win by 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 71.1 to 61.3. Lastly, coach Floyd is 22-5 ATS after a win by 6 points or less as the coach of USC. USC is the No. 10 seed while BC is the 7 but odds makers have accurately favored the better team here playing its best ball of the season. We'll lay the points as I look for USC to crush this number. |
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03-19-09 | Mississippi State v. Washington -5 | Top | 58-71 | Win | 100 | 76 h 22 m | Show |
5* NCAA Tournament 1st Round GOTY on Washington -5
Mississippi State has made a great run down the stretch to get into the tournament but this team is no Cinderella. Washington is the best team in the Pac-10 and it gets to play this game in its own backyard in Portland. While winning the SEC Tournament gives the Bulldogs a feeling of accomplishment, falling out of the Pac-10 tourney prematurely has the Huskies feeling like they haven't yet accomplished anything. That loss to Arizona State sets up a system that has been very good to backers. Plays on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points after 1 or more consecutive losses, when seeded 4 or higher in the NCAA tournament are 25-5 ATS since 1997. I'm laying the points! |
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03-18-09 | Chicago Bulls v. Oklahoma City Thunder -2 | Top | 103-96 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
5* Wednesday Night NBA BEST BET BLOWOUT on Oklahoma City -2
We'll take the Thunder in a great spot tonight at home and with fresh legs against a Bulls team coming off an emotional come from behind win against the Celtics last night. If you beat Boston on St. Paddy's Day, Karma will hunt you down and that's what happens to the Bulls tonight. The Thunder are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games. OKC has been one of the best covering teams in the NBA this season, especially at home. The Thunder are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 home games and 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The Bulls only have 10 wins against 26 losses on the road this season. The Thunder have won 6 of their last 9 games SU including their last 4 at home. OKC takes care of business. |
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03-17-09 | Davidson v. South Carolina -3.5 | Top | 70-63 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
5* NIT GOTY on S. Carolina -3.5
The Gamecocks have won 2 of the last 4 NIT championships. While this team had high hopes of playing in the NCAA Tourney, this tells us that we don't expect a letdown from this team because it didn't go dancing. While Curry has been a fine player again this season, the Davidson supporting cast is not as good as it was a season ago. That means all the Gamecocks will have to do is keep Curry from shooting a high percentage and this one will be in the books. SC is 16-2 at home this season with their only two losses coming to Tennessee and Clemson, which are both in the Big Dance. SC ended the season on a disappointing note with a double digit loss to eventual SEC Tourney Champ Mississippi State, but the Gamecocks are is 8-1 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Davidson is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. A more athletic South Carolina squad get the job done at home tonight. Lay the points. |
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03-16-09 | Houston Rockets v. New Orleans Hornets -3.5 | Top | 95-84 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
5* NBA BLOWOUT OF THE WEEK on Hornets -3.5
There's been plenty of talk about the Rockets and the Jazz in the West lately, but the Hornets have quietly won 9 of their last 11. With a win tonight, New Orleans can move into second place in the NBA Southwest and that's precisely what is going to happen. Home court has dominated this series and that comes as no surprise since both teams are much better at home than they are on the road. New Orleans is 23-9 at home this season and 7-1 over its last 8 home games with that lone loss coming to Boston. During this stretch the Hornets have blowout wins over Dallas and Orlando and Orlando has proven to be one of the best road teams in the NBA. New Orleans returns home off a 4-game road trip and will be looking to erase the sour taste an 18-point defeat to the Bulls has left. New Orleans is 19-6 ATS after a blowout loss by 15 points or more over the last 3 seasons and 16-4 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. The Hornets are also 14-4 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 2 seasons and 24-11 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons. It has been like clockwork with the home team covering the last 4 in this matchup and this trend will continue tonight. Take the Hornets in a blowout. |
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03-15-09 | Florida State +6 v. Duke | Top | 69-79 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 22 m | Show |
5* ACC Tournament GOTY on FSU +6
FSU is hitting on all cylinders right now and will look to finish the job against Duke. The Seminoles lost by just 3 points at Duke 12 days ago and will be out to avenge that loss here. Duke hasn't blown anyone out in over a month so this line is definitely inflated. Knocking off UNC and Duke to win the highest rated RPI conference will do wonders for FSU's tourney seed so that is a huge motivator here. The Seminoles are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings, 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games as an underdog, 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog of 6.5 or less, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games, and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games as an underdog. Also, the Seminoles are 16-5-2 ATS in their last 23 vs. Atlantic Coast. The Blue Devils are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, 10-22 ATS in their last 32 neutral site games as a favorite, and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite. Bet FSU! |
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03-14-09 | Purdue -3.5 v. Illinois | Top | 66-56 | Win | 100 | 5 h 27 m | Show |
5* Big Ten Conference Tournament GOTY on Purdue -3.5
Condensed Writeup to get these out to you ASAP. The Boilermakers want this Big Ten Tourney championship bad after they had a disappointing regular season by their standards. This is a team which expected to contend more closely for the Big Ten regular season title but was slowed by injuries. The key here is that Purdue lost both regular season games to Illinois and the last one was an 18-point embarrassment. The Boilermakers will be out for blood in front a home court fan base here. Lay the points. |
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03-13-09 | Penn State v. Purdue -7 | Top | 65-79 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
5* Conference Tournament Blowout of the Year on Purdue -7
Off back-to-back losses to end the season, expect Purdue to steamroll the Nittany Lions in front of a basically home crowd. It was a disappointing season for the Boilers as injuries played a part in not achieving a conference title, but they can make up for it by winning this tournament. Purdue believes it is a Final Four caliber team and winning the Big Ten Tournament could have it looking at a No. 3 seed, which would only help it get there. Purdue lost by 11 points in its last game of the season against Michigan State and is 9-0 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons, winning by an average of 16.7 ppg in these spots. The Favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings and the Boilermakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5. Lay the number as Purdue earns a double digit victory! |
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03-12-09 | San Diego State v. UNLV -4 | Top | 71-57 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 46 m | Show |
5* MWC Tournament GOTY on UNLV -4
The Rebels just lost at SDSU last game to end the regular season and I like them to bounce back strong here with home court on their side in the quarterfinal round of the MWC Tourney. What makes this play even stronger is that the Rebels lost at home by 2 points in the first meeting with SDSU this season to set up an double revenge situation. UNLV is 17-6 ATS when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent since 1997, 11-2 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons, and 13-4 ATS in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) over the last 3 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 73.3 to 62.9. Lay the points. |
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03-11-09 | Massachusetts v. Duquesne -2 | Top | 81-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
5* 2009 Conference Tournament GOTY on Duquesne -2
Duquesne won at UMass 94-77 during the regular season and will blow this line out of the water tonight. UMass won its last 2 games, with its last one being an upset win over Rhode Island or this line would easily be 5 points. Duquesne is a team capable of making a run to the finals as it is one of the few conference teams which defeated Xavier and played the likes of Rhode Island and Temple very tough. The Rhode Island Rams beat the Dukes by 2 points late in conference play and they are waiting for Duquesne in the second round. The Dukes would like nothing more than to pay the Rams back and they won't let a disappointing UMass team stand in their way. With Duquesne ending the season on a sour note, with a poor performance against Dayton, I look for that loss to get the Dukes playing with an even larger sense of urgency and focus tonight. UMass is 1-7 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season, losing by an average of 10.7 ppg in these spots. The Dukes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss. This one is a major mismatch. Lay the points! |
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03-10-09 | New York Knicks +3.5 v. Milwaukee Bucks | Top | 120-112 | Win | 102 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
5* NBA GAME OF THE MONTH on Knicks +3.5
This is a great spot for the Knicks tonight as they have endured 3 straight setbacks to the Bucks this season and will be out for revenge. All of those wins for Milwaukee came before Christmas. The Bucks have since endured some critical injuries that have slowed their early winning ways considerably. The Bucks are just 3-7 SU and ATS in their last 10 games. While the Knicks are just 7-22 on the road SU, they are 16-12 ATS and I really like them to win this one outright in this triple revenge spot. NY is 7-0 ATS in road games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days this season, winning by 3.0 ppg in these spots, so I'm not worried about fatigue. NY is also 18-6 ATS revenging a home blowout loss vs. an opponent of 20 points or more since 1996, winning these games outright by 1.5 points on average. Lastly, Milwaukee is 8-25 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons, losing by an average of 6.1 points in these spots. Fade the Bucks! |
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03-09-09 | St Mary's CA +7 v. Gonzaga | Top | 58-83 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
5* WCC Tournament Championship Game BEST BET (ESPN)on St. Mary's +7
Plain and simple, the Gaels are getting too many points. St. Mary's lost by 7 points at Gonzaga in a game where Patty Mills did not play the second half. Then, it lost by just 2 points at home in a game where star guard Mills didn't play at all. Mills got his feet wet against a good Portland team last night. After making some first half mistakes, he looked pretty much like his old self in the second half and I expect him to be even better tonight. This one is on a neutral floor and with St. Mary's maybe needing this win to ensure that they will be dancing (plenty still have them on the bubble), I like the Gaels to give the Zags all they want and more. This is a better St. Mary's team now because of Mills' injury as it has forced other guys to step up in his absence. The Gaels are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings, including 2-0 this season. The Gaels are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600 and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games. Bet St. Mary's! |
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03-08-09 | Denver U +7.5 v. Arkansas Little Rock | Top | 55-58 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
5* Sun Belt Conf. Tournament GOTY on Denver +7.5
Denver played Little Rock to a 9-point game during the regular season, but that LR team still had leading scorer Steven Moore still in the lineup. Moore has been booted of the team and you can expect an even better effort today from a Pioneers team vying for an automatic bid to the big dance. Denver has been one of the very best dogs in the country at 11-4 ATS as an underdog this season and even better on a neutral floor - 7-1 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games as an underdog. Denver is also 11-3 ATS revenging a loss vs. an opponent this season, winning in these spots by an average score of 61.9 to 58.1. The Trojans are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5. Denver covers this one easily with a great shot at winning outright. |
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03-07-09 | Texas Tech v. Iowa State -3.5 | Top | 76-78 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 12 m | Show |
5* NCAAB Game of the Month on Iowa State -3.5
Condensed writeup due to amount of games to handicap. I absolutely love the Cyclones in this last home game spot as they are 12-6 at home on the season and teams tend to play at another level in their last home game. We certainly saw this with Texas Tech in its last home game when it crushed Kansas by 19. That win sets the Red Raiders up for a huge letdown here against a hungry ISU team that will have revenge on its mind after losing by 12 at Texas Tech a couple weeks back. Texas Tech is 0-10 in true road games this season. The Favorite is 6-1-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings. The Cyclones are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite, 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400, and 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games as a home favorite of 6.5 or less. The Red Raiders are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a SU win and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road underdog of 6.5 or less. Pound the Cyclones! |
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03-06-09 | San Francisco v. Pepperdine +5.5 | Top | 85-93 | Win | 100 | 14 h 21 m | Show |
5* WCC Tournament GOTY on Pepperdine +5.5
I love Pepperdine catching this many points tonight. Pepperdine did lose its last 4 games, but 3 of those losses came to the league's 3 best teams (Portland, Gonzaga, St. Mary's). Its last loss of the season came to San Francisco by 8 points. That was a revenge game for the Dons which were defeated at home by Pepperdine earlier this season. With Pepperdine losing its last game against the Dons, now it holds the revenge angle again. First off, the Underdog is 10-3 ATS in the last 13 meetings. The Dons are a poor 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games overall and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win. The Waves are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as an underdog and 18-6 ATS in their last 24 games following an ATS loss. The Waves are being undervalued here and we'll look to take advantage just like we did in a similar situation that saw Indiana State win outright as a dog last night. |
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03-05-09 | Dayton v. Xavier -10 | Top | 59-76 | Win | 100 | 14 h 47 m | Show |
5* Atlantic 10 GOTY on Xavier -10
This is a revenge game for Xavier, which lost to Dayton by 13 points on the road earlier this season. What makes this revenge spot even better is that it is Xavier's last home game and teams tend to really up their level of play in these spots. In addition, Xavier will be motivated by needing this one to keep their conference lead as Rhode Island is a half game back and Dayton is just a game back in the standings. Xavier is a perfect 11-0 at home versus Dayton since 1997 and embarrassed the Flyers by 26 as an 11-point favorite a season ago. Dayton has struggled on the road, losing its last 3. The Favorite is 11-3 ATS in the last 14 meetings and the Flyers are 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Xavier. The Musketeers are 10-4-2 ATS in their last 16 games overall and we'll take them in this highly motivated spot tonight. |
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03-04-09 | Houston Rockets v. Utah Jazz -8.5 | Top | 94-101 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
5* NBA Blowout of the Year on Jazz -8.5
You don't want to take on the Jazz on their home floor without fresh legs and that's exactly what the Rockets will have to do tonight. Also, each of the first 2 meetings this season were Rockets wins in Houston so I expect the now healthy Jazz to really be out to send a message tonight. Houston has lost 4 of its last 5 road games SU and ATS to the likes of the Knicks, Grizzlies, Bucks, and Bulls so playing the red hot Jazz on the road does not figure to treat them well. The Jazz are an incredible 57-25-2 ATS in their last 84 games as a home favorite. They are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning SU record, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5, and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. This is the type of game where the Rockets will miss Tracy McGrady as the Jazz have too much star power going against the Rockets tonight. The rout is on! |
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03-03-09 | Virginia v. Clemson -14.5 | Top | 57-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
5* NCAAB Big Chalk BLOWOUT OF THE MONTH on Clemson -14.5
I absolutely love the Tigers in this spot tonight. This is the final home game for the Tigers and you can bet they will be jacked up, especially after dropping back-to-back games. In addition, the Tigers lost to lowly Virginia on the road back in January so they will be out for revenge here. Clemson is an even better team than it was a season ago when it crushed Virginia 82-51 on the road, and the Cavs are far worse. Clemson is winning its home games by an average of 17.6 ppg this season and this one will be far worse than that. Lay the number! |
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03-02-09 | Villanova v. Notre Dame -3 | Top | 77-60 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
5* ESPN Big Monday Game of the Month on Notre Dame -3
Notre Dame is 7-9 in Big East play this season and has 2 remaining games in conference play to get to .500. This is the one the Irish really need though as it fits into the category of a quality win. A loss here ensures Notre Dame a losing mark in the Big East and likely kisses its Big Dance hopes goodbye outside winning the conference tourney. The Irish are 11-2 at home this season and 47-2 in their last 49 home games. Notre Dame has won 4 of its last 6 with one of those losses coming at UConn in a game where the Irish went right down to the wire with the Big East front runner. The tournament takes notice of teams playing their best ball down the stretch, so again this is a huge game for ND. Nova has not played well of late, barely escaping lowly DePaul and losing to Georgetown. The Wildcats are now just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 1-5-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in this matchup. The Fighting Irish are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games as a favorite of 6.5 or less. Bet ND at home in this desperation spot. |
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03-01-09 | Michigan State +1 v. Illinois | Top | 74-66 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
5* National TV BOMB (CBS) on Michigan State +1
With Illinois breathing down Michigan State's neck in the Big Ten standings, expect the Spartans to send the Illini and the Boilermakers, who are tied with the Illini in 2nd place, a message with a big win this afternoon. Michigan State is the hands down better team and coming off a very lackluster performance against Iowa so it will be charged up for the Illini today. Michigan State has been at its best on the road at 8-1 in true road games. It is 6-0 ATS in road games versus excellent teams - shooting >=45% with a defense of <=42% this season while Illinois is 0-7 ATS in home games versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game over the last 2 seasons. The Fighting Illini are also just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600 while the Spartans are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Izzo has his boys ready to roll today. Take MSU! |
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02-28-09 | South Carolina v. Vanderbilt -1 | Top | 83-96 | Win | 100 | 22 h 23 m | Show |
5* 2009 NCAAB GAME OF THE YEAR on Vandy -1
Condensed writeup due to amount of games to handicap. Off back to back road losses, the dores return home to get back in the win column against an SC team they'll also be looking to gain revenge against. Vandy has won 2 straight at home in this series the last 3 seasons and 4 of the last 5 meetings overall. A big emotional blowout win over Kentucky puts the Gamecocks in a letdown spot. Vandy is 12-4 at home this season while SC has really struggled away from home, just 2-4 L6 SEC road games. The Gamecocks are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog of 6.5 or less. The Commodores are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. I'll back Vandy all the way to the bank with my largest wager of the year. |
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02-27-09 | Milwaukee Bucks v. New Orleans Hornets UNDER 200.5 | Top | 94-95 | Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
5* Friday Night NBA "TOTAL" BLOWOUT on Bucks/Hornets UNDER 200.5
New Orleans is allowing just 90.8 ppg at home this season. That one number tells me how badly the books have missed this one. Milwaukee's poor defensive play of late has elevated this line, but after getting stomped by Dallas, expect the Bucks to play much tougher tonight. This line is also elevated by the fact that 7 straight have gone over in this series. Squares are going to see that and jump. But the Under is 9-2 in the Hornets last 11 games as a home favorite of 5.0-10.5, 11-4 in Hornets last 15 Friday games, and 13-6-1 in Hornets last 20 vs. Eastern Conference. The Under is also 4-1 in Bucks last 5 games as a road underdog. Plays under on road teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (MILWAUKEE) - after going over the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, on Friday nights are 73-37 under since 1996. This system shows you how odds makers elevate lines as team continue to go over or under them. The value is high in this one. Bet the Under! |
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02-26-09 | Minnesota v. Illinois -7.5 | Top | 41-52 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
5* NCAAB Blowout of the Week on Illinois -7.5
Minnesota murdered Illinois to the tune of 59-36 at home a month ago. Watch the tables turn tonight. Illinois is 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS in its last 9 home games in this series and will be out for blood here. Illinois is 10-1 ATS off a close road win by 3 points or less since 1997, winning by an average score of 72.1 to 61.9 in these spots. Minnesota is just 2-8 ATS in its last 10 and 0-6 ATS in its last 6 Big Ten road games. The Golden Gophers are 3-11 ATS in the last 14 meetings. I like Illinois big tonight. |
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02-25-09 | UNLV v. Utah -4.5 | Top | 60-70 | Win | 100 | 13 h 14 m | Show |
5* NCAAB Bailout Game of the Year on Utah -4.5
Utah is the better team and I like the Utes to get the job done in this revenge game. The Utes have lost 7 straight since going down at UNLV and will be out for blood tonight! Utah is 25-6 ATS after 4 straight wins by 10 points or more since 1997, winning in these spots by an average score of 72.0 to 55.8. The Favorite is 5-0-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings and the Home team is 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. The Utes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Wednesday games and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 6.5 or less. Lay the number! |
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02-25-09 | Milwaukee Bucks v. Dallas Mavericks OVER 208 | Top | 96-116 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
5* NBA Total of the Year on Bucks/Mavs OVER 208
After scoring just 76 points last night in San Antonio, expect the Mavs to have an offensive explosion tonight against a Bucks team that has allowed 110 or more points in 6 of their last 7. On the other side of the coin, the Bucks have scored 120 or more in 4 of their last 7 and have scored 103 or more in 6 of their last 7. The Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Dallas and Over is 12-3 in the last 15 meetings overall. The Over is 4-0 in Mavericks last 4 vs. NBA Central and 7-1 in Mavericks last 8 vs. a team with a losing SU record. The Over is 12-3 in Bucks last 15 vs. a team with a winning SU record and 5-1 in Bucks last 6 games as an underdog. Bet the Over! |
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02-24-09 | Florida +4 v. LSU | Top | 75-81 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
5* SEC Game of the Year (ESPN) on Florida +4
The LSU Tigers have won 8 in a row and that has lifted this number. I strongly feel that Florida is the better team and I will gladly take it catching points tonight. The Underdog is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings and LSU has been the type of favorite to break your heart over and over again as it is just 17-37-1 ATS in its last 55 games as a favorite. The Fighting Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite. The Gators are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 and 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win. I'll take Nick Calathas and company to pull off the upset tonight. My SEC GOTY. Good Luck. |
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02-23-09 | New Orleans Hornets v. Sacramento Kings +7.5 | Top | 112-105 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
5* NBA Western Conference GOTY on Kings +7.5
The Hornets have lost 5 of their last 6 on the road. Those losses include one to Minnesota and one to Memphis. Their lone road win during this stretch was a 2-point narrow escape against the Thunder. The Kings have covered the spread in 3 of their last 4. Returning home off a blowout road loss puts them in great position to bounce back tonight. At just 13-13 on the road this season and 10-5-1 ATS, the Hornets have not earned this kind of road respect, but the books have given it to them because, just as they figured, the public has jumped all over the Hornets. The Kings have dominated the Hornets at home, going 13-2 SU and 11-3-1 ATS since 1996. Even over the last few seasons when the Hornets have been the better team, the Kings are 3-1 SU and ATS at home. New Orleans is 0-7 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 103+ points/game this season, actually losing by an average score of 97.9 to 98.3 in this spot. The Hornets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss. The Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings which means that the Hornets are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings. The Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss and the home team is 12-3 ATS in the last 15 meetings. Take the points but we may not even need them as the Kings have an excellent chance to win this one outright. |
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02-22-09 | Wake Forest v. Duke -6.5 | Top | 91-101 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
5* ACC Game of the Month (FSN) on Duke -6.5
Duke needs this one badly after losses to its last 4 high quality opponents (Wake Forest, Clemson, UNC, Boston College). The loss at Wake especially hurt as a blow coverage on a last second in-bounds play allowed Wake to slip to the goal for a win. This one is all about revenge for Duke and I have not doubt in my mind that the rout will be on today. Duke is a perfect 10-0 SU and ATS at home against Wake since 1997 and the Cameron Crazies will be roaring today. The Home team is 14-3 ATS in the last 17 meetings and the Favorite is 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings. Wake is not much for road games and is just 5-16 ATS in road games when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%) after 15 or more games since 1997, losing by an average score of 71.2 to 84.5 in these spots. Take the points. |
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02-21-09 | Oklahoma v. Texas -1 | Top | 68-73 | Win | 100 | 15 h 46 m | Show |
5* Big 12 Game of the Year (ESPN) on Texas -1
Condensed writeup due to amount of games to handicap. It hasn't been quite the season we expected from the Longhorns, but the talent is still there and it will have the motivation today. Oklahoma has had more than a few narrow escapes on the road this season and this is one I don't see them getting out of alive. The Sooners are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Texas, 4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 games as an underdog of 6.5 or less, and 11-27-1 ATS in their last 39 games as a road underdog. The Home team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Texas will be out to avenge an earlier season loss to Oklahoma and also to avenge a poor performance last time out against Texas A&M. Take the Longhorns. |
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02-20-09 | Dallas Mavericks v. Houston Rockets -3.5 | Top | 86-93 | Win | 101 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
5* NBA Southwest Division GOTY (ESPN) on Rockets -3.5
Houston is 20-6 at home this season and it owes the Mavs a huge defeat tonight. Dallas has had its way with the Rockets recently but I don't see that happening here as the Rockets are primed and ready for revenge. Here's the other key: Houston is 24-5 ATS versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons, winning these games by an average score of 98.3 to 87.6. The Rockets are outstanding defensively on their home floor and I expect them to give the Mavs fits tonight. |
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02-19-09 | St Bonaventure +3 v. George Washington | Top | 62-90 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
5* 32-0 ATS Monster Line Mistake on St. Bonaventure +3
The public has ignorantly climbed on board the home favorite here, neglecting the fact that the Bonnies have 6 more wins on the season and a better road record than GW has at home. The Bonnies are 8-0 ATS in road lined games this season, 7-0 ATS as a road underdog or pick this season, 7-0 ATS in road games after playing a home game this season, and 6-0 ATS in a road game where the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons. The Colonials are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 6.5 or less. Bonnies win this one OUTRIGHT! |
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02-18-09 | New Jersey Nets +8 v. Dallas Mavericks | Top | 98-113 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
5* NBA UNDERDOG OF THE YEAR on Nets +8
The Nets came out flat in their first game following the All-Star break. Now it will be Dallas' turn to come out flat tonight in its first game after the break. There will be no trouble for Devin Harris getting up for a game against his former team as he dropped 41 on them the last time they faced off. Coming off a bad game last night, I expect Harris to be phenomenal. While Dallas is 17-8 SU at home, it is just 8-17 ATS and it gets a Nets team that is 17-10 ATS on the road this season here. Here's the key: NJ is 8-0 ATS in road games after playing a game as a road underdog this season, winning by 4.8 ppg in this spot. The Mavericks are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 3 or more days rest and the Nets are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 0 days rest. Bet the Nets tonight. |
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02-17-09 | Michigan State v. Purdue -2.5 | Top | 54-72 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
5* ESPN Super Tuesday Game of the Year on Purdue -2.5
2 games back of the Spartans in the Big Ten standings, Purdue needs this one badly if it wants to make a run for the title. Michigan State is undefeated on the road in Big Ten play and that only means it is due as the Spartans are yet to play their toughest competition in the league until tonight. Purdue has won 4 straight Big Ten home games by double digits, including a win by 14 over a Penn State team that defeated the Spartans. Purdue is a perfect 2-0 SU and ATS at home versus Michigan State the last 2 seasons with a 24-point blowout win in 2007 as a 1.5-point favorite and a 6-point win last year as a 1.5-point favorite. In all, Purdue has covered the number in 4 straight in this series. Michigan State is 0-8 ATS as a road underdog of 6 points or less or pick over the last 3 seasons. Purdue is 7-0 ATS in home games in February games over the last 3 seasons, 6-0 ATS in home games off a road win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons, and 6-0 ATS in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=45% of their shots after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons. Take Purdue! |
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02-15-09 | Illinois State v. Drake -1.5 | Top | 67-45 | Loss | -102 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
5* MVC Game of the Year on Drake -1.5
Drake took Illinois State down to the wire on the road, losing by just 4-points as an 8-point dog to cover the spread and I like the Bulldogs to have their revenge with an outright win today. Illinois State started the season strong and has been overvalued because of it. The Red Birds have failed to cover the number in 8 of their last 11. Drake has won back-to-back at home over the Red Birds and 8 of the last 11. Guard Sead Odzic suffered a knee injury and will likely miss the rest of the season for the Red Birds and starting point guard Lloyd Phillips will be absent as well as he is dealing with a personal issue. That leaves the red birds very short handed. Drake is 17-4 ATS versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% over the last 2 seasons. Illinois State is just 1-8 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons. Drake's Josh Young and company will light up the Red Birds from beyond the arc and take this contest. |
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02-14-09 | Connecticut v. Seton Hall +10 | Top | 62-54 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show |
5* NCAAB Shocker of the Year on Seton Hall +10
Condensed writeup due to amount of games to handicap. Seton Hall is rolling, having won 5 straight and 7 of 9 ATS. UConn will have to go without the injured Jerome Dyson and his 13 points per game average. Seton Hall played UConn to a 15-point game on the road a month ago before it was playing good basketball. Its current win streak and the injury to Dyson really boosts its confidence level. The Huskies are just 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games as a road favorite of 7.0-12.5 and 4-13 ATS in road games after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons. The Pirates are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 7.0-12.5. Take the points as Seton Hall easily keeps this one within the number with a chance to pull off the big upset today! |
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02-13-09 | Pennsylvania v. Brown -1 | Top | 73-52 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
5* Friday Night NCAAB GOTY on Brown -1
Brown just ended a treacherous 5-game Ivy League road spell. It did not come away with a win, but it held its own, playing Yale and Dartmouth to 2 point games and Harvard to a 1-point game. Brown is a solid 5-2 at home this season and hungry for its first Ivy win. Penn is just 3-7 on the road and was swept by Brown a season ago, including a 43-75 loss here. Brown has won 8 of the last 11 at home in this matchup. Penn is 13-23 ATS in all games over the last 2 seasons and 9-18 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. The Quakers are just 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings, 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall, and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU loss. The Bears are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Take Brown! |
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02-12-09 | Davidson -12 v. Wofford | Top | 78-61 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show |
5* Big Chalk BLOWOUT of the Year on Davidson -12
Baby face killer Stephen Curry will put on a show tonight as the Wildcats will be out for blood after losing at home to College of Charleston. Davidson has won by 13 or more in each of the last 4 meetings, including a 35-point win at Wofford last year and a 23-point win at home this season. Davidson is 9-0 ATS off an upset loss as a home favorite since 1997, 7-0 ATS off an upset loss to a conference rival as a home favorite since 1997, 7-0 ATS off a home loss against a conference rival since 1997, and 6-0 ATS in road games in February games over the last 3 seasons. Wofford is 0-6 ATS after allowing 65 points or less 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. In all, Davidson is 17-3 ATS off an upset loss as a favorite since 1997. Take the Cats! |
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02-11-09 | Penn State v. Purdue -10.5 | Top | 47-61 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
5* NCAAB Bounce Back Game of the Year on Purdue -10.5
Off back-to-back road losses at Ohio State and Illinois, the Boilermakers will be out for blood on their home floor tonight! Outside of a fluke win at Michigan State, Penn State has struggled on the road with 20 point losses at Minnesota and at Michigan. The Lions have now lost back-to-back games by double digits. Also, not in Penn State's favor here is that it beat the Boilers early in the Big Ten season when Purdue was not at full strength. That is just going to make Purdue want this one even more. Purdue is 8-0 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons, exploding to win in these spots by an average score of 75.6 to 58.6. Purdue is 6-0 ATS in home February games over the last 3 seasons and 6-0 ATS in home games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons. Pound Purdue! |
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02-10-09 | Providence v. South Florida | Top | 77-62 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
5* Big East Game of the Month on Providence pk
The Bulls just pulled off a 1-point win over Marquette as a 9-point dog to hand the Eagles its first Big East loss. If that doesn't spell letdown then I don't know what does. Providence has lost 3 in a row, to better teams, including a devastating 27-point loss at WVU. The Friars now get a team they are perfect against the last 3 seasons to take their frustration out on tonight and that they will. Plays on a road team (PROVIDENCE) after allowing 85 points or more 3 straight games are 26-6 ATS the last 5 seasons. USF is 6-17 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 62 or more shots/game after 15+ games since 1997, losing in these spots by an average score of 70.8 to 78.0, and 8-25 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less or pick since 1997. Pound the Friars! |