Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-04-21 | Flyers v. Penguins -119 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units We went 0-3 on Penguins plays last week and all three losses were at home, but they can’t lose 4 straight at home can they?? The Penguins are currently last in the Metropolitan Division with their losing streak, so I think they finally put together a good game tonight. Carter Hart has been playing well to start the season but so has Tristan Jarry. Take the Pens at home. |
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11-04-21 | Islanders v. Canadiens +120 | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Islanders are now playing their 8th straight road game out of 13 straight road games the Islanders will play before they play their home opener. I don’t think the Canadiens are very good, but they are 2-3 at home and they picked up a win most recently at home. The Canadiens also have trouble scoring, but so do the Islanders with just 17 goals in 7 games, so that should wash out. Take the value in the Habs at home. |
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11-04-21 | Golden Knights v. Senators +105 | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Matt Murray is healthy again, and the Senators have been playing solid at home dating back to last season. The Golden Knights are just 2-2 on the road this season and they are in the middle of an East Coast road trip right now. Robin Lehner is just 3-5-0 with a 3.13 GAA on the season. William Karlsson broke his foot and will be out 6 weeks. Add that on to Alex Tuch, Mark Stone, and Max Pacioretty who are all already out for the Knights, and there is good value on the Senators at home. |
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11-04-21 | Islanders v. Canadiens UNDER 5.5 | 6-2 | Loss | -133 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
The Under is pretty juiced here at -135 (we won't see a total of 5, though) but these are two of the lowest-scoring teams in the NHL. The Habs we understand because they have been obliterated by injury and another key forward, Jonathan Drouin, will not play here. He took a puck to the head Tuesday and has seven points on the season. Montreal netminder Jake Allen comes off a shutout and has been better at home in 2021. Isles goaltender Ilya Sorokin has a 2.26 GAA on the season. |
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11-03-21 | Blue Jackets +1.5 v. Avalanche | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 26 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Colorado will be for sure without top winger Mikko Rantanen and stellar young defenseman Cale Makar, plus another key forward, Andre Burakovsky, is in question. Even more important, shaky backup Jonas Johansson already has been named the starter in net. Not ready to back Columbus at +175 to win outright on the road, although I thought about it, so we'll take the Jackets at -130 on the puckline. |
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11-03-21 | Hurricanes -145 v. Blackhawks | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The one-win Blackhawks aren't as bad as they've looked and the Hurricanes obviously aren't going 82-0, so would a Chicago win here totally shock me? No, but getting the Canes at just -145 is too good of value to pass up. Top-six Chicago forward Tyler Johnson remains out, and I tend to think No. 2 Kevin Lankinen starts in net. This ML is going to rise … |
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11-03-21 | Predators v. Oilers -215 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is about the limit of where I will go on the moneyline. Nashville is on the second of a back-to-back after burning me last night in Calgary with an overtime victory. Top-line winger Filip Forsberg (undisclosed) was injured in the third period and is in question for this one. The Preds also presumably will turn to No. 2 netminder Connor Ingram. |
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11-03-21 | Blazers v. Cavs +5.5 | 104-107 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Trail Blazers are only going to go as far as Damian Lillard can carry them. He’s only shot 34.9 percent from the field this season, including 23.1 percent from behind the arc. That’s played a big role in their 3-4 start. Meanwhile, the Cavaliers have been more competitive than last season, using an improved defense to go 5-3 ATS. After finally returning home from a long road trip, look for the Cavaliers to put up a good fight. If Lillard remains cold, they could even win outright. |
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11-03-21 | Bulls +2 v. 76ers | 98-103 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Bulls mounted a furious comeback in their last game against the Celtics, erasing a 19-point deficit in the second half to win by 14. Not only do they have a 6-1 record this season, but they are also 6-1 ATS. Although the Sixers are expected to get Joel Embiid back for this game, Tobias Harris (health and safety protocols) and Ben Simmons will remain out. This is a favorable opportunity for the Bulls to remain hot. |
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11-02-21 | Sabres v. Sharks UNDER 6 | 3-5 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units San Jose has fallen off quite a bit offensively of late with six goals in its past four games. Sabres goaltender Craig Anderson is off to the best start of his career with a 1.98 GAA. Offensively, Buffalo is without three of its top centers due to injury. This has 3-2 written all over it. |
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11-02-21 | Sabres +135 v. Sharks | 3-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Sabres have started the season 5-2-1 and they have allowed just 17 goals in 8 games, mostly in part due to Craig Anderson in the net. The Sharks have also started well at 5-3-0 and they have allowed just 19 goals in 8 games. However, I don’t think either of these teams is that great, so I think it is more of a toss up between the teams. I will take the underdog in the Sabres. |
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11-02-21 | Pelicans +11.5 v. Suns | 100-112 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units At 1-6, the Pelicans have had issues with players being in and out of the lineup. Uncertainty lingers around several of them, including Devonte' Graham, Brandon Ingram and Garrett Temple. Yet, New Orleans has kept games close as it has lost each of its three games by fewer than seven points. Take the value here on the double digits with the Pelicans. |
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11-02-21 | Kings v. Jazz -9 | 113-119 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Jazz will be facing the Kings for the second time this season. In their prior matchup on Oct. 22, Utah outscored Sacramento by 15 points in the second half to win 110-101 on the road. Expect the Jazz to put on an even better performance at home and improve to 6-1. |
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11-02-21 | Predators v. Flames -144 | 3-2 | Loss | -144 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Calgary enters on a six-game winning streak and won all those but one by multiple goals. Jacob Markstrom stopped 93 of the 94 shots he faced last week and was named the NHL's No. 1 star. He has a 1.33 GAA overall this year. It's the front end of a back-to-back for the Preds so maybe they don't use No. 1 goaltender Juuse Saros here -- I still like Calgary regardless but this moneyline would jump a good 25 cents if it's not Saros. Nashville is 1-6 in its past seven as a road dog. |
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11-02-21 | Braves +122 v. Astros | 7-0 | Win | 122 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units : I picked both the Astros to win the series and the Astros in 7 games on Early Edge before the World Series, so you could consider this play a bit of a hedge, but I also think if the Braves are gonna win the World Series they need to do it in Game 6. Max Fried has struggled his past couple outings and I think he will struggle again against one of the best lefty hitting teams in the league. However, Snitker was able to save Matzek, Jackson and Smith to give them 2 days off before Game 6. Two days rest and playing in the AL Park means he will extend his relievers to try to get 4, 5 or even 6 outs each if he needs to. Luis Garcia is pitching on 3 days rest for just the second time in his career and the Astros top relievers didn’t get the luxury of Game 5 off. The Braves add the DH while the Astros don’t really get an offensive boost adding someone like Chas McCormick before Maldonado in the lineup. Take the Braves to win the World Series tonight |
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11-02-21 | Stars v. Jets -120 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Jets are 2-0 at home this year and averaging 5.5 goals per game in them. They likely will get star center Mark Scheifele back from COVID protocols for this one as he's out of them and did practice Monday. Just a matter of conditioning. Dallas has lost three straight and totaled four goals in them. It's a bad offensive team. The Stars are 5-12 in their past 17 as road dogs. |
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11-02-21 | Heat -2 v. Mavs | 125-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Miami's Bam Adebayo (knee) and Dallas' Kristaps Porzingis (back) are listed as questionable, so both teams could be without a key frontcourt member. Porzingis has missed three straight games and the Mavericks play again Wednesday, so there might be a better chance that he sits out. Meanwhile, Adebayo was a full participant in Monday’s practice. Even with him sidelined for their last game, the Heat smoked Memphis by 26 points on the road. Not only are they 5-1, but all five of their victories have come by at least 13 points. I’ll take Miami to cover this small number. |
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11-02-21 | Bucks v. Pistons +4.5 | 117-89 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Pistons aren't very good, but the Bucks are down three starters, including Khris Middleton and Jrue Holiday, while Detroit looks healthy -- rookie No. 1 overall pick Cade Cunningham will play. Milwaukee enters on a three-game skid and while the Greek Freak apparently will play, he's not 100 percent, either. Dating to last season the Bucks are 1-7 ATS in their past eight vs. teams with a losing record. |
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11-02-21 | Golden Knights v. Maple Leafs UNDER 6 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Vegas is absolutely gutted by injuries at forward so I don't see how the Knights are scoring more than maybe two goals in Toronto. The Leafs, meanwhile, really haven't gotten going yet scoring wise in averaging 2.33 goals and Auston Matthews with only one. Again, we may push here but hard to see seven goals. The Under is 10-3-2 in Maple Leafs' last 15 games following a win. |
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11-02-21 | Red Wings +127 v. Canadiens | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Red Wings started 4-3-2 while the Canadiens have started 2-8-0. Most importantly, the Canadiens have only scored 19 goals this season and they are just 1-3-0 at home. The Red Wings have looked like an above average team to start the season and I just don’t see how the Canadiens can be this heavily favored against anyone right now. The Canadiens are also playing their first home game after a long West Coast road trip, so I like the value in the Red Wings. |
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11-02-21 | Red Wings v. Canadiens UNDER 5.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Montreal is averaging just 1.90 goals per game and almost every good offensive player the Habs have is either out tonight or a game-time call. The Wings have been solid offensively so far but two of their leading scorers, Todd Bertuzzi and Dylan Larkin, will miss this one. As it is Canadiens goaltender Jake Allen held Detroit to one goal on Oct. 23, also in Montreal. How about a 2-2 game at the end of 60 minutes? |
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11-01-21 | Giants v. Chiefs UNDER 52.5 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 126 h 23 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit Inter-Conference Total of the Week This week’s Primetime ‘bookend’ concludes with the Monday Nighter, as the reeling KC Chiefs host the Giants in Kansas City. It’s an ideal time to go low... with the Chiefs currently in an offensive funk... and taking on one of our favorite ‘Under’ teams in the G-Men (Giants: 1-9 O/U L2Y in non-div games w/ an OU of > 43 pts). At last look, KC was favored by 10 pts with an OU line of 52. Consider that Monday Night double-digit non-division home favorites (Chiefs) have gone 5-23-1 O/U (and 0-7 O/U In L5 years) when the OU line is 54 or less points. |
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11-01-21 | Giants +10.5 v. Chiefs | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Chiefs give up an NFL-high 6.6 yards per play. Even though we can expect a bounceback from the K.C. offense -- it helps that Giants safety Jabrill Peppers is out -- the Chiefs' defense will leave the backdoor open. New York has already covered at Washington and New Orleans (outright win). The Giants got blown out at Dallas but that was a game in which Daniel Jones got knocked out early. Back New York to improve to 23-7 in its last 30 as a road dog. |
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11-01-21 | Magic v. Wolves -8.5 | 115-97 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Timberwolves won at Milwaukee last week and were dominating Denver at home three days later before falling apart in the fourth quarter. Karl-Anthony Towns did not score in the fourth, and that game is a huge learning lesson for a team that has a ton of talent. Orlando, we have a problem! |
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11-01-21 | Senators +125 v. Blackhawks | 1-5 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Ottawa has been impressive to start the season. They can seemingly hang with anyone and are 3-4 which is better than most thought they'd be with their schedule. They've had the 7th hardest schedule in the league so far. Chicago, on the other hand, is 0-7-2 while all the offseason hype caused many to think this team was legitimate. Granted, they also had a tough schedule (9th hardest), but that's no excuse for being winless at this point. |
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11-01-21 | Senators v. Blackhawks UNDER 6 | 1-5 | Push | 0 | 1 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Chicago is near the bottom of the NHL in goals at 1.89 per game but will get star Patrick Kane back from COVID protocols tonight. Not sure that will help all that much as he can't be 100 percent with so much time away from the club. Hawks netminder Marc-Andre Fleury has been terrible but comes off his best outing Saturday in St. Louis so maybe he figured something out. Ottawa gets back its No. 1 goaltender in Matt Murray. He was very good in his two starts before the injury. I really have a hard time seeing seven goals scored in this one to lose, but we might push. |
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11-01-21 | Bulls v. Celtics -134 | 128-114 | Loss | -134 | 6 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I'm not quite buying the Bulls yet, especially with Patrick Williams' major injury and Coby White yet to make his season debut off surgery. Boston will get back two starters in Marcus Smart and Robert Williams after they missed Saturday with non-COVID illnesses. The Celtics are the much deeper club because of those two Chicago guys being out. |
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11-01-21 | Blazers +2 v. 76ers | 103-113 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units There are rumors out that that Sixers star Joel Embiid will sit this one out simply for rest. He is quite banged up. Thus, we'll take a shot that it's true as I think Portland could now win outright since Ben Simmons still isn't around for Philadelphia, either. |
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11-01-21 | Cavs v. Hornets -5 | 113-110 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It’s been a grueling road trip for the Cavaliers, who will be playing their fifth straight game away from Cleveland. They won the first two contests of the trek but have dropped each of the last two by at least nine points. The Hornets finally are at full strength with Terry Rozier back. He’s only played in two games this season, one of which was an 11-point win at Cleveland. To complicate matters for the Cavaliers, Kevin Love (health and safety protocols) will be out for this rematch. |
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11-01-21 | Spurs +3 v. Pacers | 118-131 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Spurs are 3-0 against the spread on the road, and Indiana is dealing with some significant injuries. Malcolm Brogdon (hamstring) was considered questionable in today's first injury and has only rested for one game. Caris LeVert (back) is questionable after logging 16 minutes in his season debut. If both players are ruled out or at least one is limited, the Pacers' backcourt will be at a disadvantage. I'm rolling with the Spurs team that beat the shorthanded Bucks by nine points over the weekend as the road team. |
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11-01-21 | Capitals +130 v. Lightning | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Caps are missing many key players including TJ Oshie and Nicklas Backstrom, but Alex Ovechkin is leading the league in goals with 9 and the Caps have still yet to lose a game in regulation time. These two teams played the other week in DC and the Lightning picked up an OT win in a close game. The Caps were also the best road team in the league last season. There are only 3 games across the NHL tonight so not many options, but we will ride with the underdogs to get some action. |
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10-31-21 | Rangers v. Seattle Kraken UNDER 5.5 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Two meh offensive teams both missing at least one top forward due to injury. Rangers netminder Igor Shesterkin has a 1.81 goals-against average and .944 save percentage, while Seattle counterpart Philipp Grubauer has been terrific in back-to-back starts. |
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10-31-21 | Cowboys v. Vikings OVER 54.5 | Top | 20-16 | Loss | -110 | 103 h 39 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit NFC Total of the Day We’re certainly aware that Dallas is on a very hot 4-game SU, ATS, and ‘OVER’ streak in a row. the sample size is small, but significant: NFL road teams (DAL) off 4+ SUATS wins and 4+ ‘OVERS’ have gone 6-0-1 O/U since 2004 when the OU line is < 57 points. With amazing offensive point totals of 35, 44, 36, and 41 in their last 4 games, our next query tells us that, Non-Division teams who scored 35 > pts in each of their last 4 games (DALLAS) have gone a perfect 6-0 O/U since 2000 when the OU line is 46 > points. |
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10-31-21 | Cowboys v. Vikings +2.5 | 20-16 | Loss | -114 | 102 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating; 3 Units Minnesota head coach Mike Zimmer is still frothing following last season’s 31-28 home loss to Dallas as 7-point chalk, a loss to backup QB Andy Dalton that snapped a 3-game Vikings win streak, as well as a 4-game Dallas losing skid. In the end it eventually cost the 7-9 Vikings a losing season. Now back at the scene of the crime, Minny will look to improve on its 10-2 ATS series ledger, while Zimmer looks to pad his 16-3-1 ATS career mark at home against .500 or greater non-division foes. The Boys’ 11-17 SU and 9-19 ATS record against NFC North foes since 2009 adds another log to the fire. In addition, consider that 5-1 NFL teams in Game Seven, coming off five wins in a row, are 3-13 SU and 4-12 ATS since 1980 if not favored by more than 3 points, including 0-6 SUATS versus sub .600 opponents. |
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10-31-21 | Astros -112 v. Braves | 9-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Braves are now 7-0 at home in the World Series and they are just 1 game away from their first World Series since 1995. But they are starting Tucker Davidson today instead of pushing Max Fried up on short rest, so I think they are kinda punting on this game. The Astros lineup is still a big mystery as to when, or if they will break out, but I think today will be the best chance they have. If they take the lead early, they will avoid all Snitker’s big bullpen arms. Snitker also wouldn’t mind that scenario because then all his best guys have 2 days off and Max Fried is on normal rest. Valdez struggled in his first outing, but I think he will have more success the second time around like he did against the Red Sox. Take the Astros to force a Game 6. |
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10-31-21 | Astros v. Braves UNDER 8.5 | 9-5 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units These teams have been putting runners on base and threatening the over the past couple games, but they just haven’t been able to get that big hit. Both bullpens have been really good, but this is the third game in a row so everyone’s gonna be pretty sore at this point. However, I think one of these lineups will be shut down but I am not sure which. Valdez struggled in his first outing, but I think he will be much better the second time around. I could see a lot of hits like yesterday but the score staying low because it’s an elimination game. I could see a 5-2, 6-2 finish but I think one of these offenses gets shut down. |
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10-31-21 | Blazers v. Hornets +1.5 | 113-125 | Win | 100 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Trail Blazers are off to a 3-2 start with all three wins coming at home. They’ve only played one road game, which they lost by 30 points to the Clippers. The Hornets should get Terry Rozier (ankle) back for this game with him being listed as probable. That would provide a significant boost for their offense. Add in stellar play from LaMelo Ball and with Miles Bridges averaging 25.5 points per game, and I think the Hornets take care of business on their home floor. |
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10-31-21 | Jazz -125 v. Bucks | 107-95 | Win | 100 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This might be the last time -- barring injury -- that Milwaukee is a home dog all season. The Bucks will not have injured starters Jrue Holiday or Brook Lopez, while Utah will have Mike Conley after he sat out the front end of a B2B on Saturday (Bucks also played Saturday). |
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10-31-21 | Blue Jackets v. Devils UNDER 5.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Devils have scored 18 goals in 6 games and allowed just 17 goals. The Blue Jackets have allowed 19 goals in 7 games and allowed just 19. Both these teams play defense first, and neither team scores much. Jack Hughes is still out and neither team really has that star power. Elvis Merzlikins has been hot to start the season, so although the Devils have questions at goalie, I think the Blue Jackets defense could still keep this under. |
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10-31-21 | Bucs v. Saints +5.5 | Top | 27-36 | Win | 100 | 98 h 44 m | Show |
Rating: 5 Unit NFL Game of the Week The Brady numbers become dizzying, and at some point we anticipate seeing some degree of regression. It actually happened in his final season with New England when he concluded the season with a career-low 55.7 QBR. But the move to Tampa was akin to finding the Fountain of Youth. Today, though, he takes on a team he knocked out of the NFC playoffs last season, and for that, we expect him to pay the piper. For openers, the Saints are 10-3-1 ATS as home dogs dating back to 2006, including 6-1-1 ATS with head coach Sean Payton. The Bourbon Street gang is also 5-0 SUATS in its last five regular season meetings with the Bucs. And if that’s not enough, consider that Payton is an annuity when it comes to exacting revenge in division games, going 23-12 SU and 24-11 ATS, including 18-2 ATS as a favorite or dog. |
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10-31-21 | Panthers v. Falcons UNDER 46 | 19-13 | Win | 100 | 95 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The OU line opened at 48 points, and has been bet down to 46.5 to 46.0. With Christian McCaffrey out for the Panthers, they’re pretty much lost on offense these days (only 20.9 ppg this year). When you only manage three points against the league’s #30 scoring defense (NY Giants), you’re in real trouble. But they still playing great defense, allowing only 307 yards per game and less than 21 points per game. So we’ll go with the flow, as this Carolina / Atlanta series has gone 1-4 O/U in the last 5 meetings. |
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10-31-21 | Bengals v. Jets UNDER 42.5 | Top | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 95 h 1 m | Show |
Rating: 3 Unit AFC Total of the Week The fact that Cincy is a huge road favorite plays right into our hands, as NFL road favs of 9 > pts (Cin) have gone 73% under since 2011 (17-47-2 O/U), when the OU line is 41 > pts. Yes, we’re aware that the Bengals just scored 41 points against the Ravens last week. All ROAD teams who scored 40+ pts on the division road the previous week (Cin) are 0-9 O/U L4 years. This will be Cincy’s 3rd straight road game in a row. Consider that all teams in 3rd straight road game after allowing 17 < pts in last two games (Cin) are 0-9 O/U L4 years. |
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10-31-21 | Titans v. Colts -120 | 34-31 | Loss | -120 | 75 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 5 Units NFL Mismatch of the Week The key to this contest will be how the Titans respond following a pair of home underdog wins the past two weeks against the Chiefs and Bills. Tennessee 0-4 ATS in games after coming off consecutive SU underdog wins. In addition, the Tennessee is just 5-15 SU and 6-13-1 ATS the past twenty games in this series, including 2-9-1 ATS in games in which the Colts own a greater than .400 win percentage. In addition, playing on any 3-4 NFL team in Game Eight as either a dog or a favorite of 3 or fewer points if they were a playoff team last season and are facing a .666 or greater foe coming off consecutive wins if the foe allowed a combined 20 or more points in its last two games is 10-0 ATS since 1980. |
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10-30-21 | Washington +2.5 v. Stanford | Top | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 80 h 5 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit PAC-12 Play of the Day The Huskies have taken care of business in this series, going 4-1-1 ATS off a win when Stanford is coming off a loss of 3 or more points. Washington is also 4-1 ATS as a conference dog coming off a SU win and a double-digit ATS loss. Those situations were all set up by an embarrassing first half (65 total yards and zero points) against Arizona, one of the very worst teams in the nation. This, very irritated Washington fans have been calling for back-up QB Sam Huard, but the truth is Dylan Morris got his act together just in time to pull out the win over the Cats. Still, this year’s 3-4 SU record indicates that Jimmy Lake is not the answer in Seattle. With the Huskies looking to avenge a pair of losses to Stanford over the past two seasons as double-digit favorites, we hand it off to the clincher where playing on any 17 or more returning starter college football dog with revenge coming off consecutive ATS losses if they are facing a sub .450 opponent coming off consecutive losses is 19-1 ATS since 1990. |
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10-30-21 | Cavs +10 v. Suns | 92-101 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Cavaliers burned me Friday, but I’m going to give them another chance. The Suns have not been playing well, posting a 1-3 record that has included a 29-point loss to the Trail Blazers and a three-point loss at home to the Kings. Meanwhile, the Cavaliers have impressive road wins over the Nuggets and Clippers. I expect them to put up a good fight here. |
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10-30-21 | Oilers -140 v. Canucks | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Oilers are coming off their first loss of the season so they should be looking for a bounce back win after their 5-1-0 start. The Oilers won 6 of the 10 games between these teams last season, but the Oilers won 4 of 5 games in Vancouver. The Canucks have also started 0-2 at home this season and they lost to the Oilers in Edmonton already this season. I like the Oilers to bounce back from their loss. |
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10-30-21 | Astros v. Braves -104 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 22 m | Show | |
Rating" 2 Units Dylan Lee is starting for the Braves in what should be a majority bullpen game. It should also be mostly left handers with Minter, Matzek and Smith available for the Braves after Lee. Zack Greinke is starting for the Astros and he has really struggled lately. In his only postseason start, he only recorded 4 outs while allowing 2 ER. The Astros were one of the best teams in the league at hitting left-handed pitching during the regular season, and they should get a steady dose of them today. I don’t think Dusty will hesitate to bring in his relievers with Framber Valdez expected to start tomorrow, and Snitker also has said he will play to win today. However, the Braves have yet to lose at home this postseason and I think they will have the pitching advantage today so I will side with them at home. |
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10-30-21 | Jets -103 v. Sharks | 1-2 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Jets started slow, but they have now won 4 straight games while the Sharks went the exact opposite route. They won their first 4 games and have now lost 3 straight. Blake Wheeler is expected to be back in the lineup and Connor Hellebuyck should be back in net after a night off last game. |
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10-30-21 | Magic +6 v. Pistons | 103-110 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Pistons are 1-3 against the spread and 0-4 straight up. They've lost every game by at least six points and their average margin of defeat is 13.25 points. While Cade Cunningham's NBA debut could make things interesting, I don't think he's enough to warrant backing the NBA's worst scoring offense. The Magic are 2-2 against the spread on the road and have covered against the Knicks and Raptors. I trust their established rotation and pesky, young defenders against a winless team. |
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10-30-21 | Devils v. Penguins -143 | 4-2 | Loss | -143 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Penguins were shutout in their last game against the Flames but they actually outshot the Flames, they just ran into a brick wall in Jacob Markstrom. That won’t happen tonight as they are expected to face Scott Wedgewood. The Penguins won 6 of the 8 meetings between these teams last season and they have won 5 straight games. The Penguins are banged up but so are the Devils, take the Penguins at home. |
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10-30-21 | Panthers v. Bruins -125 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This will be the Panthers' second straight road game and third game in four nights. They defeated the Red Wings in overtime to remain undefeated. Boston is 0-2 in its past two games despite out-shooting both foes by a combined 64-49 mark. The Bruins dropped one of those games at Florida on Wednesday, despite winning 66 percent of the face-offs (37-19). Boston is ranked No. 7 in face-off win percentage, while the Panthers are ranked No. 26. The Bruins are 13-4 in their past 17 meetings in Boston. They were shut out in their last game and now return home for this revenge spot. |
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10-30-21 | Kentucky v. Mississippi State +1.5 | Top | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 77 h 42 m | Show |
Rating: 5 Unit SEC Game of the Week Kentucky is 1-4 ATS coming off a bye week, and after this Starkville trip, they must still face Tennessee and Louisville, so any hopes of a Top 10 finish after that 6-0 start (last accomplished in 1977) are quickly fading away. As for the Starkville Bulldogs, last year’s horror show in Lexington came in the midst of a 4-game losing skid, as the Dogs dropped a 24-2 decision to the Cats, the second-lowest point production by a Mike Leach team in his career. Revenge is tasty, but so is the Halloween candy that the Mad Professor munches on yearly, |
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10-30-21 | Georgia -13.5 v. Florida | 34-7 | Win | 100 | 24 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Florida had lost three straight in this rivalry until a big 44-28 win last year in Jacksonville. Both teams have had a bye to prepare this year, and I don’t think top-ranked Georgia is very happy about last year's loss. I also don’t think Florida is as bad as it showed in a 49-42 upset at LSU two weeks ago. I’m expecting the Gators' two QBs to have trouble, turn the ball over and the Dawgs to capitalize. Georgia has the nation's No. 1 defense, allowing only 6.6 ppg. |
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10-30-21 | Michigan v. Michigan State +4 | 33-37 | Win | 100 | 70 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Big-12 Game of the Week Yes, Jim Harbaugh can call on revenge from last year’s 27-24 loss to the Spartans as 21-point home chalk, but the fact is Michigan has covered just once in its last five tries when playing with conference revenge. While the Wolverines have taken exceptional care of the football this season with only four turnovers in seven games, we look for a flying-all-over-the-field MSU ‘D’ to force a few key errors that turn the tide in their favor. With that, consider that Wolverines head coach Jim Harbaugh is 1-8 SU and 2-7 ATS away versus undefeated opponents. In addition playing on any 5-0 or greater college football dog coming off a SUATS win if they are facing an undefeated opponent that is coming off a win of 24 or more points if they defeated the undefeated opponent ni their most recent meeting is 12-0 ATS since 1980. |
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10-30-21 | Cincinnati -24.5 v. Tulane | 31-12 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Tulane comes in ranked 128th in three important defensive categories – Total D (493 YPG), Scoring D (42.9 PPG) and Passing Defense (300 YPG). Pretty horrible since there are only 130 teams! In fact, it’s been a very long time since the Green Wave traveled to Norman to open the season and gave the Sooners everything they could handle in a 5-point loss. Now they have dropped five straight contests, with a tidal wave of points allowed (40 or more in four of the five defeats), along with season high – or 2nd high – yards in those games. Consider that Tulane is 1-11 ATS at home coming off a conference loss of more than 28 points. |
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10-29-21 | Cavs +7.5 v. Lakers | 101-113 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units LeBron James is questionable after missing the past two games, but even if LeBron plays why are the Lakers this heavily favored? Have oddsmakers not seen them this year? Cleveland, meanwhile, might be the most improved team in the NBA and enters off wins over the Hawks, Nuggets and Clippers. I expect this spread to drop regardless and certainly will quite a bit if James is ruled out. |
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10-29-21 | Mavs v. Nuggets UNDER 218.5 | 75-106 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I don't believe that Nuggets star Nikola Jokic is going to play with a knee injury, and that obviously massively downgrades Denver offensively. The team is struggling to score as it is -- both the Mavs and Nugs are in the bottom 10 in scoring but Top 10 in scoring defense. If/when Jokic is ruled out, I may come back and take Dallas ATS, although it is in the second of a B2B so not a lock I will do so. |
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10-29-21 | Clippers v. Blazers -148 | 92-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Clippers just aren't that good without Kawhi Leonard and with Marcus Morris and Serge Ibaka also on the shelf -- but not long term like Kawhi. Yes, they just blasted these Blazers 116-86 in LA on Monday, but that was a fluke and will fuel Damian Lillard for payback (he and Paul George have a major rivalry). Portland followed that loss with an impressive win over Memphis and might get Norman Powell back from injury tonight. |
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10-29-21 | Senators v. Stars UNDER 5.5 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Let's hit the Under between two bad offensive teams in the Sens, who average 2.50 goals per game (skewed by 5 in one) and the Stars, who average just 1.86 and have not topped 3. How about a 2-2 tie at the end of regulation? Works for me. The Under is 7-0 in the Stars past seven overall. |
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10-29-21 | Astros v. Braves -106 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 30 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Ian Anderson has yet to allow more than 2 ER in a start in 7 starts in his postseason career. He has a 1.47 ERA in 30.2 IP, as long as he can get out of the first inning, he should have success. Luis Garcia is coming off easily his best postseason outing, but that was also his only good postseason outing in 4 starts. The Braves head home for their first home World Series game since the 90s and it will be loud. The Braves top relievers will have had 2 days off after working hard in Game 1 and I think they have the starting pitching advantage with Ian Anderson’s deadly changeup. Luis Garcia is still just 24 years old, and he was hit hard in his only road postseason start against the White Sox. Yordan Alvarez should play in the OF instead of DH meaning he will add offense, but that means the Astros will also be giving up defense. I also think pitchers will be pulled earlier than normal in the NL Park, meaning we should get a lot of bullpen innings. I think the Braves have the bullpen advantage as well, so I am taking the Braves at home. |
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10-29-21 | Navy +11 v. Tulsa | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Tulsa shows up with a below .500 record, after five consecutive losses, both SU and against the spread. Tulsa has also dumped four straight ATS decisions on this field to Navy, and the series host is on an unlucky 1-7 ATS slide. Now in his 14th year with Navy and pulling down a salary of $2.3 million per season, Niumatalolo knows he can hang onto his job if the Midshipmen continue to play with the same intensity they displayed against the Bearcats. It won’t be easy: after tonight, Navy plays three of its final four games away from Annapolis versus Notre Dame, Temple, and Army. Regardless, we think Tulsa shouldn’t be laying double digits to the Middies here, especially with a playoff revenger against No. 2 Cincinnati waiting on deck. Take the points. |
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10-29-21 | Blackhawks v. Hurricanes -190 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Canes are still undefeated while the Hawks are still defeated, so I am not sure why this line isn’t higher. The Canes played yesterday but with their style of play and both games being at home, they shouldn’t have a problem. They have allowed just 8 goals in 6 games this season while the Blackhawks are an absolute mess right now. They are 0-5-2 and they have to answer questions about the sexual abuse report from 2010 that just came out. They have also allowed 30 goals in 7 games despite trading for Marc-Andre Fleury. They have also only scored 14 goals and it won’t get any easier against the Canes at home. |
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10-29-21 | Blue Jackets v. Rangers UNDER 5.5 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both these goalies have been dominant to start the season and neither team has allowed or scored more than 20 goals yet this season. The Rangers have allowed 18 goals in 7 games while scoring just 15 goals, and the Blue Jackets have allowed just 15 goals in 6 games and scored 19. Defense has been a focus for both these teams early this season and with the strong goalie play between these teams, I like the under. |
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10-28-21 | Canadiens v. Sharks -123 | 4-0 | Loss | -123 | 14 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Sharks aren't exactly Stanley Cup favorites, but they are off to a very nice 4-2-0 start with all but one of those games on the road. They won in Montreal 5-0 on Oct. 19. So why is San Jose only -135 for Thursday at home against a Habs team that is 1-6-0 and down several injured players? I have no idea but will happily take this number now. |
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10-28-21 | Jets v. Kings -112 | 3-2 | Loss | -112 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Jets are the better team overall but down two of their best forwards in Blake Wheeler and Mark Scheifele and are starting journeyman backup Eric Comrie in net. He of the 4.08 goals-against average and .873 save percentage in nine career NHL appearances. I won't back the Kings often but will at basically a pick'em here at home. |
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10-28-21 | Sabres v. Ducks UNDER 5.5 | 4-3 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both these teams haven’t been scoring much this season, and both these teams have had very good goaltender play so far. The Ducks have only allowed 20 goals in 7 games and they have only scored 24 goals. The Sabres have allowed just 11 goals in 6 games, and they have scored just 19. This should be a low scoring game, so I will go with the under. |
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10-28-21 | Spurs +6.5 v. Mavs | 99-104 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Yes, the Spurs have lost three games in a row. However, they were all tough foes in the Nuggets, Bucks and Lakers. They lost two of those games by six points or fewer, so they at least held their own. Doug McDermott (knee) is out, but that might actually be a blessing as it could force the Spurs to give the more dangerous Devin Vassell added minutes. On the Mavericks side, Kristaps Porzingis (back) is listed as questionable. The Mavericks also play Friday, so they could take the cautious route and sit him out. Even if he plays, though, I still think the Spurs can keep this close. |
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10-28-21 | Packers +6.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 30 h 50 m | Show |
Rating: 4 Unit TNF Game of the Week The Cardinals, the league’s sole unbeaten team, and currently 7-0 for the first time since 1974 under head coach Don Coryell (why isn’t he in the NFL HOF?). As always, in matters of great importance like this game, we note the Packers are 5-0 ATS versus undefeated NFC West opponents. On the flip side, NFL 7-0 favorites are 0-3 SUATS in Game Eight versus .700 or greater non-division opponents since 1980, while Arizona QB Murray is 1-5 ATS as a non-division home favorite of fewer than 7 points. In conclusion, take the points and relax. Also consider that Green Bay QB Rodgers is 10-4 SU and 10-3-1 ATS on Thursdays, including 6-0 SUATS versus foes coming off a win. |
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10-28-21 | Knicks v. Bulls -118 | 104-103 | Loss | -118 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units At 4-0, the Chicago Bulls are off to their best start since 1996-97. On Thursday, they’ll get their first true test against a legitimate playoff contender, the Knicks. While the Knicks have the chemistry of a full season of their roster together, I expect the new-look Bulls to rise to the occasion. Take Chicago on the small number. |
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10-28-21 | Jazz v. Rockets +9.5 | 122-91 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Jazz have won and covered all three of their games and, on paper, should handle the Rockets with ease. But they could be looking ahead to their next two games: at undefeated Chicago and at defending champion Milwaukee. Forward Bojan Bogdanovic (16.7 ppg) is questionable with an illness. The young Rockets have been competitive in their two home games, beating OKC and losing by 10 to Boston. Take the points. |
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10-28-21 | Avalanche v. Blues +113 | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Blues are one of the last three remaining undefeated teams, so why not ride them until they lose. They are 2-0 at home this season and they have allowed just 11 goals in 5 games. The Aves have struggled to a 2-4-0 start and they are coming off a brutal home loss to the injured Golden Knights. The Aves have scored just 16 goals in 6 games this season while the Blues have scored 25 goals in 5 games. Take the Blues at home to stay undefeated. |
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10-28-21 | Bruins v. Hurricanes -125 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Second of a back-to-back Thursday for Boston and sometimes it's like stealing when betting a cheap lookahead line like this because perhaps a key Bruins player gets hurt, etc., in Wednesday's game and this line would only rise. We don't root for injuries, but it obviously happens. Plus, B's goaltender Jeremy Swayman (already confirmed as starting) was shelled in his lone road start this season. Boston is 1-4 in its past five in the second of a B2B. Carolina is unbeaten, well-rested and healthy. |
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10-28-21 | Flames v. Penguins -115 | 4-0 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Sidney Crosby could return tonight for the Penguins, but even if he doesn’t, the Penguins have been playing well without him. The Flames have been on a roll on this road trip but they can’t continue this strong play forever and the Penguins are one of the best teams in the league. I like the value in the Penguins at home. |
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10-27-21 | Cavs +8 v. Clippers | 92-79 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Cavaliers are coming off of two impressive wins after defeating the Hawks by six points and the Nuggets by 12 points. The win over the Nuggets came on the road, which is even more noteworthy. Darius Garland is back heathy, and the Cavaliers' size up front could present problems for the Clippers, so don’t be surprised if Cleveland keeps this game fairly close. |
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10-27-21 | Grizzlies v. Blazers -2 | 96-116 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Trail Blazers head into this matchup against the Grizzlies needing a strong bounce-back performance. On Monday, Portland was blown out 116-86 at the LA Clippers. Additionally, star Damian Lillard should rebound from an early slump behind the three-point line, where he is 2-for-24. Take the Blazers on the small number. |
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10-27-21 | Flyers v. Oilers -176 | 5-3 | Loss | -176 | 13 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I'm a bit surprised the unbeaten Oilers aren't a bit bigger favorites, although No. 1 netminder Mike Smith remains out. Mikko Koskinen is a fine 1B and is 3-0 with a 2.03 GAA and .943 SV. Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl are scoring like crazy per usual. This is Philly's first road game of the season and that's a bit of an adjustment. The Flyers are missing a few guys due to injury, led by center Kevin Hayes and blueliner Ryan Ellis. Philadelphia is 9-20 in its past 29 as a dog. |
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10-27-21 | Golden Knights v. Stars -140 | 3-2 | Loss | -140 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Vegas burned me Tuesday at Colorado, but I stand by that pick because the Knights are so injury-riddled. That list grew Tuesday with forward Mattias Janmark leaving in the third period. Now it's the second of a back-to-back in Dallas, and it will be backup Laurent Brossoit apparently making his first start of the season in net. He's decent but a step down from Robin Lehner. It's just the second home game of the season for the Stars, who are 1-0 there and have won five straight dating to last season as home favorites. I expect this ML to grow by 20-30 cents. |
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10-27-21 | Lakers v. Thunder +7 | 115-123 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I'm going to take these points even though Oklahoma City is terrible because I believe the Lakers rest Anthony Davis at a minimum tonight in the second of a back-to-back and it's no sure thing that LeBron James plays, either, after missing Tuesday's OT win in San Antonio. Easy for the Lakers to look past the winless Thunder. |
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10-27-21 | Braves v. Astros -112 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Max Fried had been on a roll until his last start in Game 5 to try to clinch the Braves trip to the World Series. He got a little too fast in his delivery and it led to a poor outing. I think he will be able to correct that mistake, but the Astros are one of the best teams in the league at hitting lefties. They are also very good at hitting the inside fastball, and that plays to the Astros because Fried throws a lot of fastballs. Jose Urquidy hasn’t been pitching well lately but he does have postseason and World Series experience from when he pitched against the Nationals in 2019. I don’t think either starter will have a ton of success, but I like the Astros at home against a lefty. |
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10-27-21 | Braves v. Astros OVER 8.5 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Tonight I think we will see the Astros' bats come back to life. This team has scored more than six runs per game in the playoffs and faces an important game tonight if it wants to avoid heading to Atlanta down 0-2. Last night's Game 1 saw both teams use a heavy dose of relief pitchers. This lack of top bullpen options plays well into the Over, and last night was only the second postseason game in which the Astros stayed Under the total. The Braves should plate a few runs as well, so we should get back on track here with the Over. |
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10-27-21 | Maple Leafs -165 v. Blackhawks | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 24 h 4 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Chicago isn't just winless but HASN'T LED yet in six games. Five players, led by Patrick Kane and Jonathan Toews, and three coaches are in COVID protocols. And the front office was gutted Tuesday in the wake of the release of results of an independent investigation into sexual allegations on the team back in 2010. Toronto has been a disappointment but should wipe/Zamboni the ice with this bunch. With the Hawks and Bears, thank goodness for the Bulls or it would be a long, long winter. |
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10-27-21 | Hornets -5.5 v. Magic | 120-111 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units After pulling off a surprising win at the Knicks on Sunday, the Magic reverted to their bad habits Monday in a 17-point loss at the Heat. Orlando's two previous losses came by 26 points and 25 points, respectively, so it has certainly been involved in some lopsided affairs. Despite the expected absence of Terry Rozier (ankle), I still like the Hornets to cover with LaMelo Ball and Miles Bridges playing well. |
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10-27-21 | Bruins v. Panthers -125 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Anytime you get the Panthers at this low of a number at home, you have to take it. They were dominant there last season and 4-0 this year (well, the Cats haven't lost anywhere), winning three games by multiple goals. Sure, Boston could win because it is a good team, but it's still a great value play at just -125. The B's are 1-4 in their past five as dogs. |
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10-26-21 | Canadiens v. Seattle Kraken -120 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Canadiens finally got their first win of the season 6-1 at home, but they have still only scored 10 goals on the season total. The Kraken are having trouble scoring too, but they are playing their second home game. With all the festivities and excitement in the inaugural home game, it was easy to see why the Kraken players were wiped out by game time. However, tonight they should have a normal pregame routine for their second home game, and I think that will do them a world of difference. Take the Kraken at home. |
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10-26-21 | Wild v. Canucks +105 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I rarely will take outright NHL dogs, but there's no value on the puckline here -- we are backing Vancouver because it's the franchise's first regular-season game in front of home fans in nearly 600 days so this will matter quite a bit to the players. The Nucks started this season on a six-game trip and won three. In the three games that young star Brock Boeser has played (he missed the first three), Vancouver is averaging 3.33 goals per game and is 2-1. Conor Garland is the first player in Canucks history to record a season-opening six-game point streak. Meanwhile, it's Minnesota's third game in four nights. |
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10-26-21 | Nuggets +7 v. Jazz | 110-122 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 8 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Denver is on the second half of a back-to-back after losing at home to the Cavs. In that game, the Nuggets were 9-of-38 on 3-pointers, but they had a ton of good looks; the shots just didn't fall. If they get the same looks tonight, they cash in against Utah. I'm on Denver. |
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10-26-21 | Lakers v. Spurs -107 | 125-121 | Loss | -107 | 1 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I don't think the Spurs are all that great but no LeBron James and a few others for the Lakers in the front end of a back-to-back. Yeah, Anthony Davis, Russell Westbrook and even Carmelo Anthony could still win this game, but we'll back the much younger and healthier Spurs at home. |
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10-26-21 | Sharks v. Predators UNDER 6 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating 2 Units Some books have this at 5.5 and I think at 6.0 we are safe from a loss (barring 3-3 at end of regulation) but may push. Sharks goaltender James Reimer has allowed just one goal in about 92 minutes of action this season (51 shots). Nashville's Juuse Saros has a 2.05 GAA in four home starts. The Under is 10-4-1 in the Predators' last 15 games as home favorites. The SportsLine Projection Model forecasts 5.4 goals, but there's no way this is getting to 6.5 at the books so we'll take our chances. |
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10-26-21 | Braves +120 v. Astros | 6-2 | Win | 120 | 25 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Charlie Morton faced the Astros two times in the ALCS last season including Game 7 and he didn’t allow a run in either start. Charlie Morton also started, and won, Game 7 of the World Series in 2017 when the Astros won. Framber Valdez absolutely shoved in his last outing against the Red Sox and his only bad postseason outing was against the Red Sox in Game 1 on the ALCS. I think this game is a toss-up, so I am going to lean with the underdogs in the Braves. |
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10-26-21 | Golden Knights v. Avalanche -172 | 3-1 | Loss | -172 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is a payback game for Colorado after being knocked out of last season's playoffs by Vegas. Both teams are struggling a bit in the early going. The Golden Knights are the only team left without a power-play goal this season (0-for-11) and they are absolutely gutted by injuries. That Colorado finally has its top line trio all healthy and got a big win at Tampa on Saturday, well, I think the Avs are about to take off. The home team is 5-1 in the past six meetings. |
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10-26-21 | 76ers v. Knicks -1.5 | 99-112 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units After destroying the Magic by 25 points in their first meeting, the Knicks had a letdown and lost to them by six points Sunday. Playing down to their opponent shouldn’t be an issue in this matchup, considering the Knicks could face the Sixers in the playoffs this season. The Sixers are 2-0 on the road after going just 20-16 on the road last season. However, it’s important to note that their wins came against the rebuilding Thunder and a Pelicans team that was without Zion Williamson (foot). Expect this to be a much tougher matchup. |
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10-26-21 | Lightning v. Penguins +115 | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Penguins were without Evgeni Malkin, Sidney Crosby, and Kris Letang in their last game and they still scored 7 goals against the Maple Leafs and got the win. The Lightning are still without Nikita Kucherov and they have been really bad to start the season starting 2-3-1 but most notably allowing 26 goals in just 6 games. The Lightning played last night and lost against the Sabres so they were traveling last night, while the Penguins are 2-0-1 at home. I don’t see how the Lightning can be this big road favorites right now against a team that has yet to lose in regulation. Take the Penguins at home. |
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10-25-21 | Saints v. Seahawks +4 | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Geno Smith, following last week’s winning ticket, is 8-5 ATS as a dog in games in which his team is coming off a loss. Seattle was losing 14-0 at intermission, as they produced just 65 net yards of offense compared to 177 for the Steelers, as Pittsburgh was in complete control of the game. However, Seattle made some amazing adjustments at halftime. The bottom line is we can’t ignore the fact that head coach Pete Carroll is 33-13 SU and 30-13-3 ATS at home in games in which his team does not sport a winning record, including 14-5-1 ATS as a dog. |
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10-25-21 | Pelicans v. Wolves -5.5 | 107-98 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Pelicans are a mess right now with Zion Williamson (foot) out. They lost their first two games by at least 16 points before falling to the Timberwolves by seven points on Saturday. They did so despite Anthony Edwards and D’Angelo Russell shooting a combined 13-for-36 (36.1 percent) from the field. If they catch fire in this rematch, things could get out of hand in a hurry. |
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10-25-21 | Bulls -120 v. Raptors | 111-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Does this line look funny? Yes! I feel like the Bulls should be -5. I’ll take them in Canada vs a Raptors team that has bounced back from a rough opening night vs the Wizards. The Bulls could be in the Eastern Conference Finals this year. I love their starting five. |
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10-25-21 | Bucks v. Pacers +2.5 | 119-109 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Milwaukee will be without starters Jrue Holiday and Brook Lopez so I give Indiana a good shot of winning outright much less covering this number. The Pacers impressively beat Miami in their home opener on Saturday. Chris Duarte, the No. 13 overall pick out of Oregon, has been maybe the most impressive rookie in the NBA thus far, averaging 20.3 points per game. Indiana is 6-0 ATS in its past six as a home dog. |
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10-25-21 | Celtics v. Hornets +1 | 140-129 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 51 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both teams played Sunday and won, with the Celtics getting their first win at woeful Houston while the Hornets won at Brooklyn to go 3-0 SU and ATS. The Hornets are unselfish and someone new is stepping up each game. Take the Hornets at home to cover Monday. |
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10-25-21 | Flames v. Rangers -125 | 5-1 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Rangers enter on a four-game winning streak and those all came away. Netminder Igor Shesterkin has been terrific in the early going with a 3-0-1 record, 1.47 GAA and 9.53 SV. Center Ryan Strome might return for this one, too, after missing the past four in COVID protocols. It's the front end of a B2B for the Flames so that may affect which goaltender they use. They are 1-10 in their past 11 playing on one day of rest. |
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10-25-21 | Maple Leafs v. Hurricanes -115 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units What the heck is wrong with the Maple Leafs? They have dropped three in a row and were embarrassed on Saturday in Pittsburgh. Carolina, meanwhile, is 4-0 but has played just once at home -- where it was dominant last year (until the playoffs). This game will be personal for Canes netminder Frederik Andersen as he spent the previous five seasons with Toronto but the Leafs didn't try to re-sign him this offseason. |
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10-25-21 | Stars v. Blue Jackets +117 | 1-4 | Win | 117 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Stars just won their home opener but now have to head right back on the road for their fifth road game in 6 games while the Blue Jackets are 3-1-0 at home so far this season. Neither of these teams scores many goals so I am going to go with the home dog, because I think this game is much closer to a toss up. |