Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-27-24 | Predators v. Oilers -209 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 0 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Predators are putting together a promising season but they run into the Oilers who are riding a 15-game winning streak and look to dominate this game at home. The Oilers, who average 3.50 goals per game, should pile on the goals with Connor McDavid, Leon Draisaitl, and the rest of the forward unit establishing a strong offensive zone presence and creating open shots with quick passes. The Oilers, who allow only 2.80 goals per game, should limit the Predators offense with Mattias Ekholm, Evan Bouchard, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Stuart Skinner to make plenty of big saves. The Oilers should win the game and cover the spread in another dominant showing on their home ice. |
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01-27-24 | Utah State v. Boise State -140 | 90-84 | Loss | -140 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Today’s clash is a battle of the conference bears with both teams tied atop the MWC standings at 5-1 and like many contests this time of year, there’s an element of revenge involved. Boise State lost to the Aggies in the semifinals of last season’s MWC tournament. No. 18 Utah State stands 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS as a dog versus foes seeking LTKO revenge (League Tourney Knock Out). Boise backers have cashed like crazy in the last eight meetings between these two with the Broncos going on a 7-1 ATS regular season run, including 5-0 ATS at home. Another headache for USU is an on-deck revenger versus San Jose State, as the Aggies are a miserable 2-8 ATS away before the Spartans, including 0-5 ATS when USU is coming off a win. |
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01-27-24 | Kansas v. Iowa State -4.5 | Top | 75-79 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 59 m | Show |
CBB Conference Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units If you’ve been an ISU backer this season, you probably think there’s a printing press in Hilton Coliseum that cranks out the bucks after a home game as the Cyclones are 12-2 ATS on this floor. They’ll also be looking to square things up from a loss to KU in the semifinals of the Big 12 tournament last season. No. 7 Kansas is loaded with talent like most Jayhawks squads under head coach Bill Self, but they’ve had two uncharacteristic stumbles of late, losing on the road to UCF and West Virginia. That’s music to our ears considering the Jayhawks have not dominated this series, going 7-12 ATS, including 0-5 ATS when ISU sports a .777 or greater win percentage. The Cyclones have performed well taking points at home, going 5-1 ATS the last half dozen games and will look to lean on their 4-0 ATS success at home with conference tourney revenge against .800 or greater opponents. Finally, Iowa State head coach T.J. Otzelberger is 9-1 ATS at home with the Cyclones as either a dog or a favorite of 3 or fewer points, including 7-0 ATS with a win percentage of .777 or greater. . |
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01-27-24 | Bruins -154 v. Flyers | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 35 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is the Bruins' first game against the Flyers this year after sweeping Philly in three games last season. The Bruins should have the advantage in this one against a Flyers team that has trouble putting up multiple goals. The Flyers typically get their share of shots on net but the Bruins are one of the top teams in the NHL at preventing shots on net, ranking 8th in the NHL in shots against. The Flyers, even when they do get shots on net, are not among the most accurate shooting teams in the league, ranking 29th in shooting percentage. That will not bode well against a Bruins defense that is fifth in the NHL in goals against and second in save percentage. I expect the Bruins' offense to be opportunistic get a lead and slow down the Flyers' offense to pick up a low-scoring win. |
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01-27-24 | Georgia +8.5 v. Florida | 98-102 | Win | 100 | 3 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Following a 2-3 start that had fans reaching for their brown paper head sacks, UGA suddenly caught fire to go on a 12-2 winning run. However, the O’Connell Center will be revved up and rabid today considering it was their Mike White who left Gainesville to take the job at Georgia last year “due to a toxic environment created by the fanbase and fear it would begin to affect his five young children” (we shudder to see some of the signs in the stands). As a result of White’s departure, the Gators were forced to hire Todd Golden and the arranged marriage produced a 16-17 record. He’s off to a better start this season, going 13-6 overall but Florida has split its last six games on the scoreboard and has this standing in its way here: the series host is currently on an incredible 1-14 ATS slide, including 0-11 ATS the last eleven games! That’s all we need to know in this bad blood slugfest. |
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01-26-24 | Kings v. Avalanche -132 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Avalanche are having a great season and I see them controlling this game from the first period. The Avalanche, who average 3.81 goals per game, should pile on the goals with Nathan MacKinnon, Mikko Rantanen, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Avalanche should limit the Kings' offense with Cale Makar, Devon Toews, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Alexandar Georgiev to make plenty of big saves. The Avalanche should win the game with a strong performance on their home ice. |
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01-26-24 | Magic -5 v. Grizzlies | 106-107 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units One weird thing about Memphis this season is that they're worse at home. The Grizzlies have a 4-15 record (5-14-0 ATS) in FedEx Forum. Although their recent road wins were nice, fading them on their home court is the smart play. Especially since Orlando does everything that the Grizzlies do better. The Magic rely on their defense, which is stronger, and have a struggling offense that outperforms Memphis'. Orlando will earn a much-needed win, covering the spread in the process. |
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01-26-24 | Michigan State +3 v. Wisconsin | Top | 66-81 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units The Spartans fell 70-57 as a -5.5-point home favorite to the Badgers in an earlier meeting back on December 5. What would make this win even sweeter for Izzo is the fact that Wisconsin will still be sitting atop the Big Ten should they defeat Indiana and Minnesota before facing Sparty, so knocking off the conference leader would look really good for a Michigan State squad that struggled to a 4-5 start to the season. The Badgers have not fared well in this series recently, going 8-17 SU and 9-16 ATS, including 1-7 ATS as a favorite. Finally, playing on Michigan State from Game 20 out when they are seeking conference revenge with 3 or more days of rest is 34-12-1. |
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01-26-24 | Clippers v. Raptors +7.5 | 127-107 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Raptors catch the Clippers in an ideal scheduling spot tonight, and they’ll be happy to oblige. For openers, the Clips arrive off a monster double revenge showdown at home against the Lakers on Tuesday, with yet another same-reason avenger on tap at Boston tomorrow from a 37-point home loss they suffered against the Celtics two days prior to Christmas. Hence, it’s no surprise to learn they are 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS in post-Laker operatives, while just 18-26 SU and 18-24 ATS away before Beantown bashes. With the Dinosaurs 16-8-1 ATS as a host in this series, including 5-1 ATS when taking points, we’re all over this. |
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01-26-24 | Mavs -130 v. Hawks | 148-143 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both teams are struggling at the moment as each team comes in with three straight losses on the books. There are injury issues on both sides with the Hawks missing a pair of starters in Hunter and Young while Irving is a question mark for Dallas here. Atlanta has been brutal on the defensive end of the floor, giving up an average of 124 points in their last three games, which is slightly worse than their season-long number, which is third-worst in the league. The Hawks are at home, so they have that going for them, but they are just 8-12 as the hosts this season. Trying to stop Doncic is a tough task for anyone, much less a team that is seemingly checked out on that end of the floor. Look for this game to go to the visitors. |
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01-26-24 | Panthers -129 v. Penguins | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Penguins look to pull off the upset on their home ice but the Panthers are having a great season and look to take over this one. The Panthers, who average 3.23 goals per game, should create plenty of scoring opportunities with Sam Reinhart, Matthew Tkachuk, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Panthers, who allow only 2.60 goals per game, should limit the Penguins offense, which averages only 2.98 goals per game, with Gustav Forsling, Aaron Ekblad, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky to make plenty of big saves. The Panthers should win the game with a strong performance on the road. |
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01-25-24 | Kings -123 v. Warriors | 134-133 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Kings have only won two of their last eight encounters with the Warriors. Sacramento is only 1-9 SU in its past ten trips to Chase Center, but the Kings have covered the spread in six of their previous seven road contests against the Warriors, who’ll play on the second night of a back-to-back today. I like the Kings in this spot. Domantas Sabonis, who posted a 14-point, 21-rebound double-double against the Hawks last Monday, will torture the Warriors at the low post. Golden State’s interior defense has been pretty bad so far this season (22nd in opposing 2-point percentage, 55.5%), and the Warriors will have to improve a lot if they want to beat the Kings. |
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01-25-24 | San Francisco +9.5 v. Gonzaga | 72-77 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Coming into this game are the 15-4 San Francisco Dons, who have almost become an annual call selection when clashing with the Zags. This year Frisco checks in with a 15-8-1 ATS log in conference tourney revenge losses (fell to the Zags in the semis of last year’s West Coast conference event) and they’re currently riding a red hot 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS train. A concern is USF’s 0-2 SUATS slide in this series when they own the better record, but they are 12-1 SU and 9-4 ATS in games this season in which they boast the better record. With the Zags 8-1 SU at home this season, we can’t call for an outright win but their 1-5 ATS effort against foes coming off consecutive wins this campaign says you should grab the points with an avenging squad that just may be the better team. |
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01-25-24 | Predators v. Wild -113 | 3-2 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Minnesota Wild will target their fourth win in a row when they host the Nashville Predators tonight in Saint Paul, Minn. The Wild are coming off a 5-3 win on home ice over the Washington Capitals on Tuesday night, which followed victories on the road over the Florida Panthers and Carolina Hurricanes. Now, Minnesota is looking for its first four-game winning streak since Dec. 19-27. The Predators will likely turn to Juuse Saros in net today. Saros is 18-18-1 with a 2.94 goals-against average and a .904 save percentage this season. In nine career games against Minnesota, he is 6-3-0 with a 2.26 GAA and a .930 save percentage. The Wild expect to counter with Filip Gustavsson between the pipes. Gustavsson has faced the Predators three times in his career. He is 2-0-1 with a 2.63 GAA and a .905 save percentage in those contests. Eriksson Ek will look to stay hot against Nashville. He notched his team-leading 20th goal on Tuesday, which marked the third season in a row that he has reached the 20-goal plateau. |
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01-25-24 | Nuggets v. Knicks +2.5 | 84-122 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Knicks are now 10-2 since acquiring Anunoby from Toronto. They hope to keep the wins coming on Thursday against the Nuggets. The Knicks are 16th in the NBA in scoring offense this season. They are 20th in field goal percentage and 11th in 3-point shooting. The Knicks do rely heavily on the 3-point shot, ranked 10th in the NBA in 3-point field goals made per game. New York is third in the NBA in scoring defense this season. They are 15th in field goal defense and 15th in 3-point defense. Despite not having a dominant center, the Knicks are second in the NBA in rebounds per game. They are just 18th in the NBA in turnovers per game. |
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01-25-24 | 76ers -5.5 v. Pacers | 122-134 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Sixers will take the court with a 21-7 ATS mark as a favorite this season. With the Pacers in the middle of a brutal stretch in their schedule – off Denver and Phoenix with Phoenix and Memphis coming up, don’t be surprised to see them ‘rode hard an put away wet’ during this span. |
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01-25-24 | Bruins -127 v. Senators | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units A night after having their nine-game point streak snapped, the Boston Bruins will visit the Atlantic Division rival Ottawa Senators for the first time this season tonight to begin a two-game road trip before the All-Star break. Fortunately for the Bruins, there is no time to dwell on their 3-2 home loss to the Carolina Hurricanes on Wednesday. Brad Marchand's two third-period goals were not enough for the Bruins. Jordan Martinook's breakaway with 2:27 remaining gave Boston its first regulation setback since Jan. 4, ending a five-game winning streak and a 6-0-3 run. |
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01-25-24 | Georgia Southern v. Appalachian State -16 | 74-84 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units A visit to the Sun Belt Conference finds us on the 5-returning starter Mountaineers, who arrive with a lofty 8-1 SU and 7-2 ATS mark in this series when they own a winning record. They’ve also been red hot, winning 13 of their last 15 games on the scoreboard to improve to 14-4. As for Georgia Southern, first-year head coach Charlie Henry’s Eagles appear to be anything but the ”sleeper team’” they were tabbed to be. Instead, they look anything but, after nodding off to a dreadful 3-15 record this season at press time (0-15 outside the Sun Belt). |
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01-24-24 | Hawks v. Warriors -6.5 | 112-134 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I expect the struggling Warriors to play this game for their late assistant coach. They are not a great defensive team by any stretch of the imagination, but the Hawks are arguably even worse, so I like the Warriors in this spot. The Hawks struggle to defend the 3-point line, so keep your eyes on Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson. When it comes to covering the spread, Atlanta has been a complete disaster so far this season, and I expect to see more of the same when the Hawks take on the Warriors. The Hawks are 4-12 ATS in their past 16 games overall. |
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01-24-24 | Thunder v. Spurs +7.5 | 140-114 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units San Antonio is averaging 112.8 points per game. They scored 133 points in their last game, making 46.2 percent of their field goals and 31.7 percent of their three-pointers. Victor Wembanyama led the Spurs with 33 points and seven rebounds. Devin Vassell finished with 22 points, four rebounds, and nine assists, while Jeremy Sochan added 14 points, eight rebounds, and four assists. |
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01-24-24 | Mississippi State v. Florida -165 | 70-79 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units UF is 12-5 ATS away with LTKO revenge, including 9-1 ATS against foes coming off a win. Mississippi State counters with a feeble 1-4 SU record the last five versus SEC foes with LTKO revenge. The Starkville Bulldogs also have a quintuple revenger with No. 13 Auburn on deck and they’re an ineffective 1-5 ATS before facing Aubbie. We rest our case by noting that Florida averages 85 points per game (MSU 75 PPG) and the Gators have cashed in 5 of the last seven matchups in this series. |
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01-24-24 | Villanova +3.5 v. St. John's | 50-70 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 60 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Wildcats are in a desperate situation and with the spread now at 4.5, I feel confident backing them to cover today at MSG. Nova has lost three of its last four and has only beaten two Big East teams not named DePaul, so it has some work to do if it hopes to earn a bye for the conference tournament. It has faced a tough schedule, 15th per KenPom, including an average offense ranked 20th and an average defense ranked 10th. With wins over North Carolina, Texas Tech, Maryland, Creighton, Memphis, and Xavier, there's no denying the Cats can play but will their shooters show up tomorrow? When Nova shoots over 37 percent from deep, it's 7-1, and when its opponent shoots under 29 percent, it's 5-0. St. John's ranks 212th in three-point percentage and its perimeter defense isn't elite. With one guard sidelined and another currently dealing with COVID, I'm not confident the Red Storm guards will outplay the Wildcats' guards. |
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01-24-24 | Cavs +6.5 v. Bucks | 116-126 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Cleveland is one of the hottest teams in the league as they come in on an eight game win streak. The streak is impressive, but they were listed as the favorite in every game in the stretch, including wins over the Spurs, Nets, Hawks, Magic and two games against the Wizards. Included in the stretch was a win over Milwaukee, they were two point favorites but ended up winning the game by 40. In their most recent game, the Cavs were led by Sam Merrill who knocked down eight threes off the bench and finished with 26 points in the win over Orlando. |
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01-24-24 | Hurricanes v. Bruins -127 | 3-2 | Loss | -127 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Hurricanes are looking to bounce back from a rough loss but the Bruins have won five in a row and look to dominate this game on their home ice. The Bruins, who average 3.48 goals per game, should pile on the goals with David Pastrnak, Brad Marchand, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Bruins, who allow only 2.61 goals per game, should limit the Hurricanes' offense with Brandon Carlo, Hampus Lindholm, and the rest of the defensive unit creating turnovers in the defensive zone and limiting shots on the net, allowing goaltender Jeremy Swayman to make plenty of big saves. The Bruins should win the game with a dominant performance on their home ice. |
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01-24-24 | Wolves -10.5 v. Wizards | 118-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The Minnesota Timberwolves are not happy after a home loss against the Hornets and will rebound here. The Washington Wizards continue to stumble. They have just one victory this month. They have lost to the Pistons and Spurs within the last week. Minnesota is the best defensive squad in the entire NBA while the Wizards are the worst. Minnesota is only conceding 109 points per 100 possessions, ranking them 1st in defensive rating while the Wizards are squandering 120.8 points per 100, pegging them 29th. Minnesota has conceded 105 or fewer points in three of their last five games. Three of the Timberwolves' last five wins have occurred by at least 15 points. |
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01-24-24 | LSU v. Georgia -165 | 66-68 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Georgia is in the midst of an extraordinary 11-1 SU run over the last 12 games, with the only loss coming to Tennessee by 6 points (Dawgs cashed the ticket at +7.5). The Tigers are on a nice 5-1 run of their own but they’re 0-3 SUATS the last three years against SEC LTKO seeking avengers. LSU is coming off a game with Texas A&M and the Tigers are just 1-7 ATS after facing the Aggies, UGA is 9-5-1 ATS in this series, including 5-1-1 ATS with a .575 or greater win percentage. With that, we know that Georgia is 11-4 ATS with SEC tourney revenge, including 5-1 ATS with a .667 or greater winning percentage. |
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01-23-24 | Lakers v. Clippers -8.5 | Top | 116-127 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week Rating: 5 Units When James Harden joined the Clippers in November, Erik Spoelstra said he didn’t know exactly how Harden would fit alongside Paul George, Kawhi Leonard, and Russell Westbrook, but had faith Lue would find a way. And he has. As a result, they are now the T-Lue Clippers, currently resting a game behind the Denver Nuggets for the third sport in the Western Conference playoff chase. Despite dropping the last two games in the series to King James and company, the Clips bring an 11-3 SUATS overall mark in Lakers showdowns the past four seasons. Finally, the Clippers are 9-0 ATS at home in this series when taking the court with same-season double revenge. |
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01-23-24 | Blue Jackets v. Oilers -1.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Oilers have looked unbeatable in recent games and look to dominate this game on their home ice. The Oilers, who average 3.50 goals per game, should pile on the goals against the Blue Jackets, who allow 3.73 goals per game, with Connor McDavid, Leon Draisaitl, and the rest of the forward unit carrying the puck into the offensive zone and creating open shots with quick passes. The Oilers, who allow only 2.90 goals per game, should limit the Blue Jackets offense with Darnell Nurse, Mattias Ekholm, and the rest of the defensive unit forcing turnovers in the neutral zone and defensive zone while goaltender Stuart Skinner blanks the shots on the net. The Oilers should win the game and cover the spread in a dominant win on their home ice. |
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01-23-24 | Xavier v. Creighton -8.5 | 78-85 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This has not been a vintage season for the X-men. Despite winning 3 of their last five games, they were just 9-8 this season and must pay the piper here for knocking the Bluejays out in the semifinals of last year’s Big East Tournament. That’s because Creighton stands 5-1 SU and 5-2 ATS with LTKO revenge while Xavier is just 2-4 ATS against foes with LTKO. The Jays also own a 5-2 ATS mark in the series with the Musketeers when playing with revenge. The killer, though, is that Xavier is 4-38 ATS in games they lose on the scoreboard as underdogs against avenging conference foes. |
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01-23-24 | Nuggets v. Pacers +5 | 114-109 | Push | 0 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Pacers raced out to a strong start this season thanks to outstanding point guard play from All-Star Tyrese Halliburton. Halliburton leads the team in points per game and assists but has been sidelined in six of the past seven games with a hamstring injury. The Pacers are just 2-4 with Halliburton out but he appears to be returning tonight. For the season, the Pacers rank first in the NBA in scoring offense. They are second in field goal percentage and fifth in 3-point field goal percentage. The Pacers are also sixth in the league in 3-point field goals made per game. |
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01-23-24 | Kentucky -190 v. South Carolina | 62-79 | Loss | -190 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It’s never hard for us to get behind Coach Cal when it comes to his team on a humiliating revenge prowl and losing as -19.5-point chalk at home to the Gamecocks last year certainly qualifies. The high from that upset has long since faded – South Carolina finished the season 11-21 after getting bounced in the first round of the SEC Tournament – but the Columbia Cocks are 14-3 this campaign (check Saturday’s result at Arkansas) and dangerous. They seem a little less dangerous, though, after Calipari trots out his 95-68-4 ATS when seeking revenge, including 14-5-2 ATS versus greater than .750 opponents. Meanwhile, South Carolina is just 8-19 SU and 11-16 ATS home of late, including 0-3 SUATS with a win percentage of .800 or greater. |
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01-23-24 | Ohio State +3.5 v. Nebraska | 69-83 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Ohio State is averaging 76.4 points per game. They scored 79 points in their last game, making 45.8 percent of their field goals and 16.7 percent of their three-pointers. Roddy Gayle Jr. led the Buckeyes with 16 points, four rebounds, and five assists. Evan Mahaffey finished with 16 points and five rebounds, while Jamison Battle added 11 points and six rebounds. Ohio State has played well defensively, giving up 66.6 points per game. They gave up 67 points in their last game and will need a similar effort if they want to win this game. |
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01-22-24 | Idaho State v. Montana State -195 | 70-77 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Montana State is scoring an average of 74.1 points per game and is shooting an above average 45.9% overall and in a close game, which this likely will be, the Bobcats are shooting 75.3% from the free throw line which gives them an advantage as Idaho State is shooting just 69.2% from the charity stripe. Idaho state is allowing opponents to shoot 47.5% overall. Montana State has covered the spread in two of its last three, while Idaho state has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last 10. Montana State's top five scorers are shooting between 46.6% and 66.7% and averaging between 10.0 points and 15.9 points per game, giving the Bobcats plenty of options on the offensive end of the court and making it more difficult for the Idaho State defense. |
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01-22-24 | Florida A&M -5.5 v. Mississippi Valley State | 81-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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01-22-24 | New Orleans -147 v. Houston Christian | 80-88 | Loss | -147 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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01-22-24 | Cavs -105 v. Magic | Top | 126-99 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
NBA Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units Following a lethargic 13-11 SU and 10-13-1 ATS start to the season, Cleveland has rebounded and will carry an 11-3 SU and 10-3-1 ATS mark into Orlando, where they will look to extract a healthy measure of revenge from a 10-point loss in Orlando when they last met in mid- December. They bring the league’s No. 2 Scoring Defense and No. 5 Defensive Field Goal Percentage into this fray; knowing they catch the Magic off a double revenger from the night before on the same floor against Miami. On the other side of the court, the Magic bring a measly 1-4 SUATS record in the game as an unrested host coming off a home contest. Finally, Cleveland is 6-1 SUATS this season in games with same-season revenge this season, including 5-0 SUATS versus sub .770 foes |
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01-22-24 | Spurs v. 76ers -14.5 | 123-133 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units San Antonio is a team that is going nowhere this season as they continue on their rebuilding project. The Spurs are well outside the playoff picture and are the worst team in the Western Conference. San Antonio is just 5-18 on the road and they stand 23rd in field goal percentage defense (48.7%), 28th in threes allowed per game (14.1) and 28th in three-point defense (38.8%) this season. Embiid has run his streak of 30-point games to 20 after hitting that mark against Charlotte Saturday night. The 76ers are always tough at home and they should have enough firepower to take down the Spurs in this contest. |
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01-22-24 | Jets v. Bruins -127 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This is one of those matchups that is as entertaining as it gets in the regular season. Winnipeg is the third-best team in the league while Boston is second in that department as far as points in the standings go, heading into Sunday’s action. The Jets lead the league in goals against this season while the Bruins are tied for fourth in that department. In this game, the big difference between the teams really comes down to special teams. Boston is in the top five in the league in both power play and penalty killing success this season. Meanwhile, Winnipeg is in the bottom 10 in the league in both those departments. While both teams are good five-on-five, those advantages, along with playing at home, gives the Bruins the advantage in this contest. |
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01-21-24 | Chiefs +3 v. Bills | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 81 h 39 m | Show |
Divisional Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units Interestingly, of the eight teams arriving in this round of the playoffs, four of them rank in the Top 10 in both offense and defense. The Bills and the Chiefs are two of them. It’s our educated guess that two of the four defensively staunch squads will be meeting in Super Bowl LVIII, with the Chiefs looking to repeat. Patrick Mahomes is 2-0 in the postseason against Josh Allen – both wins coming at Arrowhead – but this will mark the first road playoff game in his career. So, how will he and the Chiefs respond against the hottest team in the league? That’s the question. What we know for sure is the Mahomes is also 11-1 ATS in his NFL career as an underdog, winning eight of the games outright. Head coach Andy Reid has a 7-4 ATS career mark as a playoff dog, and a 9-4 SUATS career mark in postseason games between the 3s (+3 to -3). The points are tempting for a team that owns the best ‘In the Stats’ record (13-4) at this stage of the playoffs. |
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01-21-24 | Bucs +7 v. Lions | 23-31 | Loss | -120 | 69 h 20 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Lions scored TDs on all three of its visits to the Red Zone last Sunday, while all three of the Rams’ trips to the Red Zone resulted in field goals. In the process, QB Jared Goff set a Detroit record for completion percentage in a game. Meanwhile, the Bucs jumped all over a deflated Philadelphia squad that flatlined, going 0-for-11 on 3rd and 4th down conversions to finish the season 1-6 following a scintillating 10-1 start. In the meantime, Tampa finished its campaign on a roll, currently riding a 6-1 SUATS and ITS (In The Stats) skein. Between the Lions likely partying like it was 1999, and the surging Bucs on a free roll and playing with house money, look for Divisional Round dogs off back-to-back wins to improve to 6-1 ATS of late. |
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01-21-24 | Oregon +6.5 v. Utah | 77-80 | Win | 100 | 6 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Utes after watching their promising 11-2 start to the season dissipate by dropping three of their last four contests entering this game. That’s not good news for a Utah team that’s forgotten how to win a game in this series as they are 1-20 SU against Oregon since 2013, including 0-5 SUATS as a favorite. Neither are the Utes’ 1-7 ATS failures after squaring off against Stanford and their 6-17 SU and 6-15-2 ATS mark against foes that own the better record. Must give a coaching edge to Oregon here as Utah’s 3rd-year HC Craig Smith has to match wits with the veteran Dana Altman, now in his 14th season with the Ducks and the 39th year of his career. Altman is 3-0 ATS off a loss this season, so you know the state and the team we’ll be lining up with today. Ducks get off the mat to hand Utah its first home loss of the campaign. |
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01-20-24 | Packers v. 49ers -9.5 | 21-24 | Loss | -110 | 59 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Teams advancing to the Divisional Round of the playoffs, coming off a Wild Card win as an underdog, are just 13-50 SU and 35-38 ATS overall. Worse, if these same teams won 5 or fewer games the previous season, they fall to 1-14 SU and 4-11 ATS. Enter the team favored to win this year’s Super Bowl, the 49ers. With it, Frisco head coach Kyle Shanahan brings a 4-0 ATS career mark into this contest as a playoff favorite by an average win margin of 15 points per game. In addition, the Niners are winning the stats on an average of 95 net yards per game this season, tops in the league. And it certainly doesn’t hurt knowing that San Francisco is 21-3 SU and 19-5 ATS since last season in games where they won the yardage battle. Green Bay is 1-5 ATS in the playoffs when coming off consecutive SUATS wins – with the last as a dog. |
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01-20-24 | Thunder v. Wolves -140 | 102-97 | Loss | -140 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The top two teams in the Western Conference lock horns in the Twin Cities tonight, where the Timberwolves will be anxious to make amends from a 23-point beatdown they suffered in Oklahoma the day after Christmas. Minnesota is 5-1 ATS at home when looking to even up a 20-point same-season loss. With it, the Wolves enter with the top-scoring defense in the loop, while also ranking No. 5 in Defensive field Goal Percentage. Given the Thunder’s paltry 0-9 SU and 2-6-1 ATS mark in road games after usurping Utah, we’ll ride the Big KAT – Karl-Anthony Towns - to the pay window. Finally, Minnesota is 12-3 SU and 10-5 ATS this season with same-season revenge, including 4-0 SUATS versus .600 or greater foes. |
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01-20-24 | Cavs -135 v. Hawks | 116-95 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Cleveland has won each of its last six games and the Cavaliers are 5-1 against the spread over that same span. Cleveland has moved up to 2nd in points allowed in the NBA at 110.3 points per game and is scoring enough though their second and third leading scorers are sidelined with injuries. Atlanta is giving up far too many points, allowing an average of 123.0 points per game on 50.1% shooting. Atlanta also has its share of injuries as DeAndre Hunter is out and Hunter is 4th in scoring. Atlanta's Dejounte Murray has been named in several trade rumors for Atlanta which could cause the talented guard to be distracted as well as his teammates. Atlanta will be playing the second half of a back-to-back and the Hawks have failed to cover the number in 10 of their last 13 overall. When playing against a team from the Eastern Conference, Atlanta has failed to cover the spread in 10 of the last 11. |
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01-20-24 | Canadiens v. Bruins -276 | 4-9 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Despite leading the Eastern Conference standings and ranking second in the NHL, the Boston Bruins have endured three winless streaks of at least three games since November. Second-year head coach Jim Montgomery, however, believes that things just may be turning the corner again as his Bruins carry a three-game win streak into hosting the Montreal Canadiens tonight. The Bruins' latest effort was a 5-2 win over the Colorado Avalanche on Thursday in which star winger David Pastrnak scored his first hat trick of the season and the 16th of his NHL career. Boston's lineup is also trending healthier. Goaltender Linus Ullmark is available again, while defensemen Derek Forbort (undisclosed) and Brandon Carlo (upper-body) could also be options for Saturday's game. |
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01-20-24 | College of Charleston v. NC-Wilmington -140 | Top | 69-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
CBB Play of the Day Rating: 4 Units The Cougars dropped the hammer on Wilmington three times last season, including a win in the CAA title game. Charleston was tripped up as double-digit chalk on Thursday night against Towson, and the Cougars are a weak 3-8 ATS coming off SU favorite loss, including 0-3 ATS this season when coming off a SU favorite loss. Considering that the Seahawks have not lost on their home court this campaign, we look at the fact that UNCW is 19-4 ATS in this series, including 14-1 ATS when they sport a sub .750 win percentage. |
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01-20-24 | Texans v. Ravens -9.5 | 10-34 | Win | 100 | 55 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Teams advancing to the Divisional Round of the playoffs, coming off a Wild Card win as an underdog, are just 13-50 SU and 25-38 ATS overall. Worse, these same teams who won 5 or fewer games the previous season fall to 1-14 SU and 4-11 ATS. Meanwhile, Divisional Round hosts with a week of rest coming off a loss are 13-1 outright but only 1-8 ATS the last nine games. We temper that with John Harbaugh’s 9-3 ATS ledger in his last dozen playoff games. And don’t forget the Black Birds’ 3-0 SUATS mark this season in games when coming off a loss by an average score of 29-13. After being bounced in the first round of the playoffs in three of its previous four appearances, look for Harbaugh to improve on his 35-5-2 ATS career mark in games the Ravens win outright as a favorite against winning foes. Finally, playing against any NFL Divisional Round away team coming off a SU home underdog win of 5 or more points if they won 5 or fewer games last season is 10-1 ATS. |
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01-20-24 | UCLA +18 v. Arizona | 71-77 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Wildcats beat the top-seeded Bruins, 61-59, in the finals of last season’s Pac-12 tourney and remember Zona is a money-burning 7-22-1 ATS against Pac 12 foes with a revenge chip on their shoulder, including a brutal 2-18-1 ATS as a favorite of 7 or more points. The Bruins may be down a tad this season, but rest assured they will be fully focused here. Finally, UCLA is 9-2 SU and ATS with revenge in this series, including 5-0 SUATS when the Wildcats own a sub .840 win percentage. |
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01-20-24 | USC +3.5 v. Arizona State | 67-82 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 3 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units We’re going with the Trojans, who were upset by the Sun Devils in the opening round of last year’s Pac-12 Tournament, and the Trojans just so happen to own a 6-0 ATS mark in this series when seeking revenge. That should provide plenty of incentive for a team with Big Dance aspirations who is languishing around the Mendoza line as we come up on February. It helps too that Arizona State is just 2-4 SUATS versus conference foes seeking Pac-12 tourney revenge. Enfield and company simply cannot afford another loss with UCLA and Oregon on deck after this one, so take a shot with the Traveling Trojans. |
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01-19-24 | Hawks v. Heat -6.5 | 109-108 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Atlanta Hawks have not been reliable on the road where they have lost four of their last five games. The Miami Heat are clicking, winning three of their last four games. The Hawks rely heavily on the scoring to win games but are up against a remarkable Heat defense. The Hawks are allowing 119.3 points per 100 possessions, pegging them 26th in the NBA in defensive rating compared to only 113 points per 100 conceded by the Heat defense. Miami has shined against Atlanta this season, going 2-0, and winning the meetings by eight and nine points respectively. Also, each of the Hawks' last five defeats have occurred by at least seven points. |
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01-19-24 | Nuggets v. Celtics -6 | 102-100 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Nuggets have not played as well away from Ball Arena this season (7-14 ATS), failing to cover in three of their four games as road underdogs. One reason for their below-average play away has been their three-point shooting, which drops three percentage points on the road. Given the state of today's NBA, it's tough to cover when you're off the mark from beyond the arc. The Celtics are primed to win this game, riding their hot offensive attack to the finish line. The most efficient offense in the league uses the three-ball like a chainsaw in a horror movie, cutting down its opponents one by one. The C's rank first in three-pointers attempted and sixth in shooting percentage, per Dunks and Threes, an area of the court the Nuggets do not defend well enough (15th in opponent 3PT%). The visitors are stout at the rim (6th in rim defense), but the Celtics rank 29th in rim shot attempts. With Porzingis and White expected to suit up for the Celtics and Gordon likely to play for the Nuggets, basketball fans should expect a competitive game on Friday night in Boston. The trends and analytics point to a Celtics win and cover, which is how I'll be wagering on this potential NBA Finals matchup. |
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01-19-24 | 76ers -5 v. Magic | 124-109 | Win | 100 | 4 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Embiid is on a war path, and Orlando is on a cold streak, I expect both trends to continue as Philadelphia easily takes this one. I am not an NBA coach, but I am beginning to question Coach Mosley's rotations in Orlando. Franz Wagner is injured, but he still is not playing his best players in his starting lineup, and its not just at one position. The Magic have been starting Chuma Okeke, Houstan, and Goga Bitadze, these players only combine to score exactly 16.0 points per game. That is not enough production for three starters. The Magic have talent they are giving less minutes, players who arguably deserve to start over those three include: Cole Anthony, Moritz Wagner, Wendell Carter Jr., Markelle Fultz, and Jonathan Isaac. You could even make a case for Joe Ingles or Anthony Black. All of those players are healthy, but the Magic continue to start players who produce less. The 76ers are not going to bring Maxey and Harris off the bench, and they will always have a stronger lineup on the court. Orlando does not have a post defender that can stop Embiid here, the big man could very realistically go for 50 again. Even if he doesn't, the 76ers will still roll. |
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01-19-24 | St. Louis v. VCU -8.5 | 61-85 | Win | 100 | 25 h 23 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Virginia Commonwealth team that went 27-8 last year is barely treading water under fi rst-year head coach Ryan Odom at press time with a 9-7 record. A lot has to do with the fact that the Rams were decimated by graduation and transfers with ZERO returning starters back from last year’s unit, so it’s time to hop on their misfortune – especially with VCU still looking to cash a winning ticket at the Siegel Center in a conference game this season. Saint Louis head coach Travis Ford brings a stellar 27-8 SU |
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01-19-24 | Akron v. Kent State | 77-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Zips remember being trashed in all three meetings last season, including a loss in the semifinals of the MAC tourney. They also enter this fray at 11-7 ATS when seeking conference tourney revenge, including 7-1-1 ATS against foes coming off a win. As for the Flashes, they’re barely glowing this season with Kent just above the Mendoza line at press time. Worse, the Flashes are 0-3 ATS against avenging foes this campaign. |
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01-19-24 | Marist v. Mt. St. Mary's -3.5 | 48-65 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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01-18-24 | Oregon State +16 v. Utah | 47-74 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Utes might miss junior center Lawson Lovering (7.2 PPG, 4.5 RPG) and senior guard Rollie Worster (9.9 PPG, 5.5 APG) due to injuries, but I still expect Utah to dominate Oregon State in front of the home audience. However, I wasn’t expecting the bookies to set a 15-point spread, so I’ll take the underdogs in this game. If Rollie Worster remains on the shelf, the Utes will struggle to beat the number. Utah is 1-4 ATS in its last five games overall and 2-7 ATS in its previous nine outings in the conference play. On the other side, Oregon State is 5-1 ATS in its last six contests overall. |
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01-18-24 | Tenn-Martin +10 v. Morehead State | 66-84 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 26 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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01-18-24 | Bulls -130 v. Raptors | 116-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units Toronto stands 4-9 SU and 5-8 ATS as of late in this series, including 0-4 ATS without rest. In addition, the Raptors are 0-3 ATS at home on Thursdays without rest in their franchise history. Toronto also finds itself in the middle of a Miami-New York same-season Chicago revenge sandwich. Finally Chicago comes into this one 41-21-1 ATS on Thursdays. |
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01-18-24 | Avalanche v. Bruins -142 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units I like the Bruins to pick up another win in this game as they welcome in what should be a weary Avalanche team playing their fourth straight road game and playing their third game in four nights. The Bruins are also 13-3-3 at home this season and come in with the kind of defensive team that should be able to contain the potent Avalanche. With Ullmark currently listed as day-to-day, he could get the start over Swayman but Boston can't go wrong with either goalie in net. The Bruins have just come off their road trip and settled back in nicely on Monday at home against the Devils. I think the Bruins are about to try to put some distance between themselves and the other Eastern Conference top teams. |
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01-18-24 | Towson +11.5 v. College of Charleston | 82-78 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Towson is comes in looking to avenge a loss to the Cougars in the semifinal of last years’ Colonial Conference tourney. A smart 9-6 ATS mark with revenge in this series sets the table tonight and an even smarter 63-39-3 ATS ledger in games as a revenge-seeking conference dog cleans it up. Since joining the CAA, the Cougars have faced two foes with triple revenge chips on their shoulders from the previous season and they’ve lost the money each time. |
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01-17-24 | Nevada +7 v. San Diego State | 59-71 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Nevada is averaging 76.1 points per game. They scored 56 points in their last game, making 36 percent of their field goals and 25 percent of their three-pointers. Kenan Blackshear led the Wolf Pack with 15 points, three rebounds, and three assists. Jarod Lucas finished with 14 points and four assists, while Nick Davidson added 12 points and five rebounds. Nevada has played well defensively, giving up 63.6 points per game. They gave up 64 points in their last game and will need a similar effort if they want to win this game. |
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01-17-24 | USC v. Arizona -19 | 67-82 | Loss | -103 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Will Arizona win this game? Absolutely! The question is by how much, and recent history demonstrates that they can crush the Trojans by 17 or more. Last season at home, they beat USC by 15 and the season before they had a 20-point victory over the Trojans in Los Angeles. Arizona has also produced at least 81 points in five of the last six meetings against USC. What they have also done is shut down the Trojans, who have scored under 70 points in two of the last four meetings between these teams. USC has gone under 65 in the last two games and they will do that here as well. |
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01-17-24 | Mavs v. Lakers -165 | 110-127 | Win | 100 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units A pair of Western Conference foes collide on the parquet floor with a matchup in the City of Angels looking to put up a victory. The Dallas Mavericks are on the road as they travel to take on the Los Angeles Lakers tonight. Dallas rallied to down New Orleans 125-120 at home in their previous contest Monday night, winning outright as a 4.5-point underdog. Los Angeles picked up a 112-105 home win over the Thunder in their previous game Monday night, winning outright as a 2.5-point underdog. In the all-time regular season series between the teams, the Lakers own a 116-57 advantage but the Mavericks have won the last three meetings. That includes a 127-125 home win in the most recent matchup on December 12, 2023. |
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01-17-24 | Texas-San Antonio v. Tulsa -7 | 78-107 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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01-17-24 | UL - Lafayette v. Texas State -115 | 86-68 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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01-17-24 | Murray State v. Illinois-Chicago -114 | 73-58 | Loss | -114 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units In this matchup, my unwavering pick is the Illinois-Chicago Flames. Their robust defense is the cornerstone of this decision. They allow only 65.3 points per game, ranking an impressive 43rd in the nation. Coupled with this, their opponents struggle with a low 39.7 field goal percentage and a mere 28.1 success rate from the three-point line. This defensive solidity is pivotal in games that are often decided by fine margins. Offensively, Isaiah Rivera leads with an average of 14.2 points per game, providing the Flames with a reliable scoring option. The Flames' ability to consistently restrict their opponents' scoring, backed by their decent offensive outputs, makes them a confident choice for victory in this encounter. |
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01-17-24 | Bucks -170 v. Cavs | 95-135 | Loss | -170 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units These two teams are the top two squads in the Central Division and have momentum on their side coming into this game. Milwaukee has won three straight while Cleveland has five consecutive wins on the books. This one is going to be interesting as the Bucks are extremely dangerous on the offensive end of the floor and are leaky defensively. On the flip side, Cleveland has been stingy on the defensive end of the floor while they have struggled offensively on the year. We saw the Bucks take the first meeting between the teams this season. Cleveland being minus Garland and Mobley is too much for the Cavaliers to overcome here. Give the advantage to the Bucks as they prevail in this contest. |
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01-17-24 | Youngstown State +3.5 v. Oakland | 67-70 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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01-17-24 | Rhode Island +8.5 v. St Bonaventure | 64-99 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Rhode Island Rams are looking to continue winning games as they are coming off an 89-77 home victory against the UMass Minutemen and it helped scoring 41+ points in each half. Their offense was unbelievable as the Rams were able to shoot 27-of-52 (51.9 percent) from the floor, 14-of-23 (60.9 percent) from the three-point line and 28 free-throw attempts. Junior guard Jaden House stepped up in this game as he finished with 29 points, six rebounds, three assists, one block and three turnovers in 35 minutes of action. The defense has done a good job as well as the Minutemen were held a team shooting split of 40.9/20.0/71.4 throughout the game. |
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01-17-24 | Georgia State +9.5 v. Appalachian State | 68-76 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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01-16-24 | San Jose State +3 v. Fresno State | 82-85 | Push | 0 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Isaiah Hill is a lone Bulldog with points per game north of 10.0. On the other side, four Spartans average points in double figures, so I have to take San Jose State even though the Spartans’ defense has been pretty bad all season. The Bulldogs’ defense has been solid over the last few weeks, but their offense has been pretty much awful. I’m looking for a tight battle for all 40 minutes, and the Spartans’ offense should make a difference down the stretch. Fresno State is 7-0 ATS in its last seven home games against San Jose State. However, the Bulldogs are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games overall, whereas the Spartans have gone 4-1 ATS in their previous five. |
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01-16-24 | Kings +4.5 v. Suns | 117-119 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Kings come into this game with one of the more dynamic offenses in the NBA. They rank ninth in the league in scoring offense. The Kings are 15th field goal shooting and 14th in 3-point shooting. The Kings rely heavily on the 3-point game, ranking third in the league in 3-point field goals per game. Defensively, the Kings are ranked 20th in scoring defense. They are 22nd in field goal defense and just 27th in 3-point defense. The Kings, led by Sabonis, are 11th in the NBA in total rebounds this season. They are 16th in turnovers per game. |
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01-16-24 | Maple Leafs v. Oilers -145 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It is hard to go against the team on a 10-game winning streak, and no one is going to make that mistake here. It is not just that Edmonton is winning, but they are getting outstanding goaltending, giving up 17 total goals during the winning streak. That includes allowing just seven in the last five. That keeps Toronto from being able to pull out a victory in this contest. The Maple Leafs have allowed 13 total goals during their last three games, something you don’t want to do against this hot Oilers team. |
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01-16-24 | Western Michigan v. Akron -12.5 | 66-77 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Akron will be too tough at both ends of the court for Western Michigan to keep pace. Akron scores 77.1 points per game and has the 63rd best field goal shooting percentage, allowing just 65.6 points per game which is 55th in the country. In contrast, Western Michigan scores an average of 74.9 points per game but is allowing 76.2 points per game and opponents are shooting 44.9%. Western Michigan is allowing opponents to shoot 35.6% from 3-point territory which is 314th, and plays to one of Toledo’s strengths, as the Rockets are hitting the same 35.6% from three point land. Akron has covered the spread in four of its last five. Akron's scoring duo Enrique Freeman and Ali Ali, who average a combined 33.8 points per game, will be too much inside and out for the Broncos defense. Akron's Freeman is leading the nation in rebounding at 13.1 per game and helps the Zips clear the glass at both ends giving opponents fewer second look opportunities. |
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01-15-24 | Eagles v. Bucs +3 | Top | 9-32 | Win | 100 | 99 h 23 m | Show |
Wild Card Game of the Week Rating: 4 Units Ironically, the only career road playoff game for QB Jalen Hurts was two years ago in a loss to Tampa Bay, where the Eagles return to the scene of the crime. In his career playoff starts, Hurts owns a 2-2 record, with 4 passing touchdowns, 2 interceptions, and an 84.7 passer rating. Lately, though, he’s been a similar mess with an 82.9 QB Rating the past four games while tossing 4 TDs and 5 INTS. And that’s critical, considering that the average turnover during the regular season is worth 4.3 points. In the playoffs, it jumps to 4.7 points. On the flip side, Baker Mayfield’s career was on life support in 2022 before his bounce-back season with the Bucs. The former No. 1 pick struggled down the stretch, but he had his best statistical season to help Tampa Bay claim the NFC South title for a third straight year. Given the success of home dogs in the Wild Card round and the fact that playing on any NFL home dog in the Wild Card Round if they are playing with same-season revenge is 9-1 ATS, so we’ll take whatever they offer up |
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01-15-24 | Bulls v. Cavs -160 | 91-109 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Cavs come into this game hot and with some rest following Friday afternoon's game in Paris. They are fourth in scoring defense and 10th in 3-point defense. The Cavs' offense has been thriving during this four-game winning streak with a points-per-game average of over 120 points in that stretch. Cleveland is also 1-0 against the Bulls this season, beating them by 14 points in Cleveland earlier this year. The Bulls are just 6-12 away from home this season. |
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01-15-24 | Steelers v. Bills -10 | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 31 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Allen is among the NFL’s most prolific quarterbacks when he’s rolling, as he sports a 105.6 QB Rating in the streak. He also owns 17 passing touchdowns, 4 interceptions, a 99.6 passer rating, and 2 rushing TDs in the post season. Pittsburgh counters with mighty Mason Rudolph, whose 3-0 SUATS mark as a starter to end the season pushed his NFL career record to 8-4-1 SU and 8-3-2 ATS, including 6-0 ATS against foes coming off back-to-back wins. This will mark Rudolph’s postseason debut. Meanwhile, Mike Tomlin enters 2-4 SU and 1-4-1 ATS away in the playoffs. He’s also 0-3 ATS away in Game One of playoffs. Superstar edge rusher T.J. Watt led the league in sacks for the third time with 19 sacks, the most in NFL history, but he’s out with an injury he suffered in the season finale. That’s not good news, considering the Steelers are 69-33-2 with Watt; 1-10 without him. |
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01-15-24 | Villanova +6.5 v. Marquette | 74-87 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Villanova Wildcats are right at the top of the Big East standings, as only three teams in the league have only one loss. The one-loss teams are Seton Hall, UConn and Villanova. Nova's lone loss was a home matchup against St. John's, they defeated DePaul twice, won a home game over Xavier, and grabbed a road win over #12 Creighton. In their last game against DePaul, Nova got out to a 10 point lead at half and never looked back. They were led in scoring by Eric Dixon with 24 points in the win. |
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01-15-24 | Rockets v. 76ers -7.5 | 115-124 | Win | 100 | 3 h 10 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It's usually wise to fade the Rockets on the road. They don't win, their scoring dips, and their defensive performance gets dramatically worse. None of that bodes well against a team they've already lost to that may also be getting an MVP back onto the court. Houston's defense struggles to keep opponents off the free throw line, which is where the 76ers excel. In the first meeting, Philadelphia ended the game 29-33 at the free throw line. The Rockets' defense does not match up well with the 76ers, and that's the team's strength. Expect a decisive Philadelphia victory. |
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01-15-24 | Devils v. Bruins -163 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units New Jersey is trying to get by without captain Jack Hughes and their goaltending has been problematic at times this season. The Devils have had issues with the Bruins in recent years and this season has been no different as Boston is 1-0-1 in the two meetings this season. Boston is a dangerous squad, especially at home, where they have gone 12-3-3 on the season. The Bruins are a top-five team when it comes to keeping the puck out of their own net, while that is something that the Devils have struggled with all season long. Without Hughes, that dents the New Jersey offensive attack: look for the Bruins to clamp down here and skate away with a home win. |
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01-14-24 | Rams +3 v. Lions | 23-24 | Win | 100 | 54 h 1 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Dan Campbell is a candidate for Coach of the Year, he is an excellent motivator and his team plays hard for him, but in a playoff spot I'll take the coach who is better at creating a gameplan. The Lions were favored to win the NFC North, they did exactly what was expected of them, while the Rams were left for dead and significantly overachieved. Sean McVay will have an offensive attack that the Lions will not be prepared for. McVay turned Kyren Williams into one of the best running backs in the league, and made Puka Nacua look like he should have been a top 20 pick instead of a fifth-rounder. The Lions are 27th in the NFL in passing defense, while the Rams are 10th in passing yards per game. Stafford will not disappoint in his return to Detroit, and will cut up this Lions' pass defense with Nacua and Kupp. The Rams' passing defense is stronger than Detroit's, as they rank 20th in passing defense and will have the better chances to get stops. The Lions like their dome, but they do not have the strongest home field advantage, they lost to the Seahawks and Packers at home this season. In the Playoffs, games can be decided by the slimmest of margins, and I will take the coaching advantage, and the Rams' passing attack against the weak Lions' secondary as the key difference makers. |
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01-14-24 | Kings v. Bucks -4.5 | 142-143 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Milwaukee Bucks took a while to get going early in the season, then settled in and had a seven game winning streak. The Bucks are back to their losing ways, as they have now lost four of their last six, and look to rebound against this Kings team. The Bucks lost two games to the Pacers, and dropped games with the Jazz and Rockets in their recent stretch. They showed their capability in their recent matchup with the Celtics, winning by 33 as they were led by Bobby Portis with 28 points and 12 rebounds off the bench. |
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01-14-24 | Packers +7 v. Cowboys | 48-32 | Win | 100 | 53 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units It’s put up or shut up time for Dak Prescott and the Cowboys today. That’s because in six career playoff starts, he enters with a 2-4 record, including the last two seasons which ended in heartbreaking playoff losses against the 49ers. Don’t expect a walk in the park today, either. Not from a team that was 2-5 ATS against fellow playoff teams this season, while being outgained an average -23 net yards per game along the way. It all adds up to a 4-12 SUATS ledger in the playoffs for Dallas since 1997. To get over the hurdle, the ‘Boys will have to overcome a Green Bay squad on a roll, playing its best football of the season behind QB Jordan Love in his first year at the helm as the team improved as the season wore on. In fact, over the final eight games of the campaign Love posted an 18-1 touchdown-to-interception ratio. With it, the Packers check in 8-3 SU and 9-1-1 ATS in the playoffs when entering with a sub .700-win percentage. Tie it into Green Bay’s 4-0 SUATS record of late in this series, while also playing with a major chip on its shoulder after not having a player on the roster voted to the Pro Bowl squad. |
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01-14-24 | St. Peter's -6 v. Manhattan | 81-68 | Win | 100 | 5 h 34 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Both St Peters and Manhattan do not score that many points per game but the big difference in this matchup is on defense, as the Peacocks are allowing an average of only 63.5 points per game and 42.4% shooting, while the Jaspers are allowing an average of 76.0 points per game and 45.5% shooting. St Peter's has covered the spread in six of its last seven games and in four of the last five games head-to-head versus Manhattan. Manhattan has covered the spread in just one of its last seven games and the Jaspers have covered the spread in just one of their last six games played on their home court. Manhattan is scoring only 64.4 points per game and shoots very poorly, hitting just 39.4% of its shots overall and 30.1% of its 3-point attempts, which are 347th and 316th respectively. |
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01-13-24 | Lakers v. Jazz +1.5 | 125-132 | Win | 100 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Jazz have been terrific lately, winning nine of their last 11 games prior to Friday’s clash against the Raptors. On the other side, the Lakers have dropped ten of their previous 14 contests. They are without Rui Hachimura (calf) and Gabe Vincent (knee). |
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01-13-24 | Dolphins v. Chiefs -4.5 | 7-26 | Win | 100 | 32 h 24 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units This will mark QB Tua Tagovailoa’s playoff debut (backup QB Skylar Thompson was behind center for injured Tua in last year’s 34-31 playoff loss here last season). Complicating matters, 20 players appeared on Miami’s initial injury report, forcing them to sign five players to fill out the roster. Meanwhile, the Chiefs have had problems of their own against other playoff squads this season, going 1-4 SUATS. However, we note that NFL defending Super Bowl champions are 21-8 SU and 16-12-1 ATS at home the following playoff season, including 2-0 SUATS against foes arriving off a loss by an average score of 35-15. Ironically, both squads rank in the Top 10 on offense and defense and each is a league-best 13-5 ‘In The Stats’ this season. |
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01-13-24 | Rockets v. Celtics -15.5 | 113-145 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The Celtics have won three of their last five games and 18 straight home games. They are playing well offensively, scoring more than 123 points per game at home. They’ve also done well at the charity stripe, making over 84 percent of their free throws at home. They rebound the ball well and they’re aggressive on the offensive glass, which will give them more scoring chances. They also did a great job of protecting the ball in recent games, turning it over less than 10 times per game in their last three games, do don’t expect them to give the Rockets a lot of easy-scoring opportunities. The Rockets have struggled defensively on the road this season and they are also playing on consecutive nights against a team that has been dominant at home, so expect the Celtics to keep their offense in check. The Rockets have lost two straight road games. They are playing well offensively, scoring more than 114 points per game in their last three games. They don’t rebound the ball as well as the Celtics and won’t get a lot of extra-scoring chances against them. They’ve also been careless with the ball on the road, which will lead to easy-scoring opportunities for the Celtics, who average more than six steals per game. The Celtics have been very good defensively at home, holding opponents under 110 points per game, and will keep Houston’s offense in check. Go with Boston to cover the spread. |
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01-13-24 | Alcorn State v. Alabama State -185 | 53-55 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units |
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01-13-24 | Southern Miss v. Troy State -4.5 | 56-82 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units |
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01-13-24 | Browns -130 v. Texans | 14-45 | Loss | -130 | 26 h 9 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Browns’ QB Joe Flacco enters this game with a 10-5 SU and 11-4 ATS career mark in the NFL postseason, including 9-3 ATS away and 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in initial playoff contests. Meanwhile, Cleveland joins the 1984 Chicago Bears as the only team to reach the playoffs with five different starting QBs. We don’t see the league’s top-ranked defense falling to a rookie quarterback and a rookie head coach. Not when QBs making their first start in the playoffs are just 20-43 ATS (31.7%) since ’03. Additionally, Browns’ head coach Kevin Stefankski, is 10-0 outright against the AFC South in his career. |
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01-13-24 | Eastern Michigan v. Miami-OH -6.5 | 54-71 | Win | 100 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 3 Units The Miami RedHawks are middle-of-the-pack on the offensive side of the floor as they are averaging 74.8 points per game, which is 185th in college basketball. Their defense has been doing a decent job as they are 181st in the NCAA with 71.7 points per game allowed. |
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01-13-24 | NC State -7.5 v. Louisville | 89-83 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 55 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Louisville comes in with a victory in their previous contest, giving them a little bit of momentum heading into this game. Meanwhile, NC State struggled against Notre Dame on the road and lost to North Carolina so they are looking to get back on track here. Louisville has struggled shooting the ball all season long and they have sputtered on the defensive end of the floor. This should be an opportunity for the Wolfpack to get right offensively in this contest as they face this struggling Cardinals group. Burns Jr. should have a big game on the interior, especially with Traynor missing for Louisville. Take the Wolfpack in this contest as they earn the road victory. |
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01-12-24 | Wright State v. Youngstown State -120 | 71-81 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units These defenses have been showing two completely different levels as the Raiders are allowing 84.6 points in their last five games while the Penguins are giving up 76.3 points in their previous three games. When diving into the assist-to-turnover ratio, there is a bit of a difference here as Youngstown State is 70th in the country with a 1.295 ratio right now while Wright State is 87th a 1.257 ratio thus far. All in all, go with the Youngstown State Penguins to cover the spread as it is only one possession. |
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01-12-24 | Blazers v. Wolves -15 | 93-116 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units There are blowouts every night in the NBA. On Wednesday the Pelicans beat the Warrior by 36. On Tuesday, the Knicks beat these Blazers by 28. On Monday, the Clippers beat the Suns by 27. That is the last three days of NBA action, and every day had a landslide victory. This game is next in the progression. Gobert and Conley both sat out last game, neither has a serious injury and will likely play here after another day of rest. Edwards and Towns have played in almost every game this season, the Wolves will be at full strength. Portland on the other hand, will be playing on the tail end of a back-to-back after chasing around Shai Gilgeous-Alexander on the road on Thursday. Portland has to travel in between, and fatigue will be an issue when the Blazers get to Minnesota. Minnesota is strong inside with Towns, Reid and Gobert, which will be bad news for the Blazers as Ayton is likely out again. The T-Wolves are clinging onto first in the West, and are coming off a loss, they will not take any chances in this game and will blow the tired Blazers out of the water. |
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01-12-24 | Pacers v. Hawks -5.5 | 126-108 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Haliburton's injury could be costly for Indiana. It managed to get past Washington in its first game without him, but that isn't saying much. The Pacers went 8-21 straight up (10-18-1 ATS) without Haliburton the last two seasons, which isn't surprising considering that he's the catalyst to their top-ranked offense. His absence is likely worth five or six points to the spread, as he's worth +8.2 points per 100 possessions to Indy's offense, schedule-adjusted, per Dunks and Threes. |
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01-11-24 | Bruins -119 v. Golden Knights | 1-2 | Loss | -119 | 6 h 31 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units Despite suffering losses in each of the last two games, Boston has looked very good on the road. This team has earned points in five straight road contests, and is doing so with a solid offense that has produced 18 goals in those five games. They have also yielded 13. Vegas is one of the best home teams in the NHL, going 5-1-1 at home in December, but they were beaten by Florida at home on Thursday before rebounding with the victory over the Islanders on Saturday. This is a team struggling, however, going 3-7-0 in their last 10 and they have amazingly lost four straight games at home to the Bruins. |
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01-11-24 | Cal Poly +10 v. Cal-Riverside | 56-71 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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01-11-24 | San Francisco v. San Diego +10.5 | 83-63 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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01-11-24 | Abilene Christian +15.5 v. Grand Canyon | 64-74 | Win | 100 | 6 h 59 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units |
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01-11-24 | Blazers v. Thunder -12.5 | 77-139 | Win | 100 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
Rating: 2 Units The most recent time the Oklahoma City Thunder played the Portland Trail Blazers, the Thunder did something no other NBA team had done in at least 25 years with their hot shooting. In Oklahoma City's 134-91 win in Portland on Nov. 19, the Thunder shot 60.5 percent from the floor, 61.1 percent from beyond the 3-point line and 100 percent from the free-throw line to reach the rare single-game 60/60/100 mark. The Thunder's 77 percent true shooting percentage also set a franchise record. Tonight, the Thunder and Blazers will meet again, this time in Oklahoma City, with the Thunder on another shooting hot streak. The Thunder have shot 50 percent or better in each of their last nine games, their longest such streak in the 15 seasons since they moved to Oklahoma City. During the nine-game stretch, Thunder standout Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is shooting 60.2 percent from the floor. Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 31.4 points per game, which matches his career high, as do his 5.9 rebounds a game. He also has career-high averages in assists (6.4) and steals (2.4) per game. |