Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-11-23 | USC v. Oregon -14.5 | 27-36 | Loss | -110 | 82 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ORE. The Ducks are dominant at home, where they crushed Colorado by a score of 42-6 earlier this season. That's the same Colorado team that pushed USC to the brink in LA a week later. The Ducks crushed Utah 35-6 in Salt Lake City two weeks ago, and that same Utah team won outright at USC. The Trojans have lost three of four, and coming off a home loss to Washington this looks like a let down spot. The last time the Trojans played a road game as an underdog they lost by 28 at Notre Dame. The Ducks are better than Notre Dame. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-11-23 | BC v. Winnipeg -4.5 | Top | 13-24 | Win | 100 | 40 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on WPG. The Blue Bombers are still the best team in the CFL, and they have owned the BC Lions. The Bombers are 8-2 straight up in the last 10 meetings, and they covered the spread in all eight of those wins. The last time BC went to Winnipeg, they lost 50-14 as a six-point underdog. The Lions defense has really struggled in the second half of the season, and they face a Winnipeg offense that is firing on all cylinders. The Lions are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 playoff games, and they have failed to cover in six straight road games in the post-season. The Lions are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 meetings in Winnipeg. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-11-23 | Tennessee v. Missouri UNDER 59 | 7-36 | Win | 100 | 96 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Vols aren't the offensive juggernaut they were a year ago, but they have been pretty solid defensively. They might not see the best of this Missouri offense, as star wide receiver Luther Burden was injured last week in the loss to Georgia. Brady Cook was sacked three times, throwing for 212 yards a TD and a pair of INTs on 14-of-30 passing in the loss to Georgia last week. The Tigers have gone under this number in four of their last six home games. Tennessee has failed to reach the total in two of their three road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-11-23 | Utah v. Washington UNDER 52.5 | 28-35 | Loss | -110 | 74 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. After the Huskies beat Oregon at home a few weeks ago, they followed up with a 15-7 win over Arizona State. It's fair to say that they suffered a let down, and this looks like another let down spot coming off a 52-42 win over USC. The Utah Utes are a tough opponent, and the weather here in Washington could give them a boost. If the wind and rain in the forecast puts the damper on the passing game, the Huskies could be in four a fight. Utah has a Top 10 scoring defense allowing just 15.9 points per game. This game could be a low scoring battle. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-11-23 | Blue Jackets v. Red Wings -143 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on DET. The Wings are looking to snap a two game losing streak, but Columbus appears to be a perfect opponent for that. The Blue Jackets have lost seven of their last eight overall, and they sit dead last in the Metropolitan Division. The Wings won three of four meetings versus Columbus last season. The Blue Jackets are 10-41 in their last 51 road games. The Red Wings have a solid power play and they are good on the penalty kill, and special teams could be the difference here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-11-23 | Texas Tech v. Kansas OVER 61 | 16-13 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Jayhawks are 5-0 at home and they have scored an average of 42 points in those games. They host Texas Tech Saturday, and the Red Raiders have owned them over the years. Texas Tech has won nine of the last 10 head to head meetings, and they scored 40+ in each of the last two meetings. The Red Raiders have been a better team with Behren Morton at QB. They are 4-2 in the games he has played, and 0-3 in the rest. The total here should probably be a bit higher. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-11-23 | Temple v. South Florida OVER 67 | 23-27 | Loss | -125 | 71 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. These teams are among the fastest (pace of play) in the country. South Florida lay a half a hundred on Memphis last week, and still lost by a score of 59-50. It was the third time in their last four games that they scored 50+. They have scored 40 or more in six of their last seven. They host Temple in a revenge game after losing 54-28 at Temple last season. Temple QB EJ Warner has thrown for 400+ yards in back to back games, and has nine TDs in those contests. This game has shootout written all over it. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-10-23 | Wyoming v. UNLV -4 | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 58 h 0 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on UNLV. The Rebels are 4-1 in the Mountain West, and they are 4-0 at home. They rank among the best rushing offenses in the country, averaging almost 200 yards per game on the ground. They host Wyoming, and the Cowboys coming off a big home win over Colorado State. Wyoming is undefeated at home this season, and winless on the road. They lost 32-7 at Boise State in their last road game, and a similar result seems likely here in Vegas. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-10-23 | Tennessee -130 v. Wisconsin | Top | 80-70 | Win | 100 | 18 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TENN. The Vols are coming off a 25 win season, finishing 5th in the SEC and ranked #20 in the country. They bring back three starters, including senior guard Santiago Vescovi who lead the team in scoring last year. The Badgers finished 12th in the BIG10, unranked with a losing record in conference play. Wisconsin struggled in close games last year, and they lost four of their last six in Madison. They may find themselves overmatched here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-10-23 | Dayton v. Northwestern -5 | 66-71 | Push | 0 | 16 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on NW. The Wildcats finished 2nd in the BIG10 last year, and they were 13-5 at home. Dayton finished second in the A-1O, and they were 5-6 on the road. The Flyers played on the road just twice in non-conference play last season, losing by a combined 36 points to UNLV and Virginia Tech. Northwesters is bringing back leading scorer Boo Buie, along with two more senior starters. Senior guard Ryan Langborg transferred from Princeton, giving them a starting lineup loaded with four seniors. They should have their way with an inferior Dayton team here in Evanston. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-09-23 | Hawks -153 v. Magic | 120-119 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ATL. The Magic have been a solid play at home in recent seasons, but they are thin with a couple starters out of the lineup here. Atlanta comes in off a loss but has won four of their last five. History favors the Hawks, who have won eight of the last 10 meetings outright. The Hawks are 7-3 ATS in those games, and they are 3-1 SU in their last four at Orlando. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-09-23 | Canadiens +1.5 v. Red Wings | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 17 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MTL. The Habs have a knack for playing close games. Seven of their 12 games have been decided by one goal, including five games decided in overtime. They have a history of playing close games against Detroit as well. They are 3-7 straight up in their last 10 versus the Red Wings, but they are 8-2 ATS as a puckline underdog in those games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-09-23 | Tarleton St v. Florida International -5 | 82-65 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on FIU. The Panthers were a middle of the road team in Conference USA last season, but they were pretty good at home. They won 11 games on their home court (11-7) overall, despite a losing record in conference play. They lost leading scorer Denver Jones in a transfer to Auburn, but bring almost every body else back. Tarleton State was in the middle of the pack in the WAC, but they were just 2-12 on the road last year. Their leading scorer transferred to Arkansas State, and their starting PG graduated. Junior Shamir Bougues also transferred to Vermont. That leaves them replacing their entire backcourt with freshman and role players. I thinking laying five here against a team that lost 86 percent of their road games last year seems like a bargain. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-08-23 | Blazers v. Kings -8.5 | 118-121 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SAC. Portland is expected to finish at or near the bottom of the Western Conference this season, and with two starters including their leading scorer out of the lineup for this road game, they could get blown out. Sure the Kings are without De'Aaron Fox, but they still have the depth and talent advantage as well as home court. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-08-23 | Arizona State v. Mississippi State -3.5 | 56-71 | Win | 100 | 20 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MISST. The Bulldogs are bringing back leading score Tolu Smith for his senior season, and he is joined by seniors Shakeef Moore, Cameron Mathews, Dashawn Davis and DJ Jeffries. That's right, their entire starting five are back, and they are all seniors. That kind of experience should prove to much for an Arizona State team that lost the majority if it's starters, and has brought in new recruits and transfers that might take time to start to gel. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-08-23 | Senators +1.5 v. Maple Leafs | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on OTT. The Leafs have won four of the last five meetings versus the Sens, but they are just 1-4 ATS on the puckline in those games. Both teams get up for this rivlary, and we can expect another close game here in Toronto tonight. The Sens are 4-6 SU, but they are 7-3 ATS in those games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-08-23 | Manchester United v. FC Copenhagen +0.5 | 3-4 | Win | 112 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Copenhagen. Manchester United has been a huge disappointment this season, and fans are starting to call for Erik Ten Hagg to be sacked. They beat Copenhagen 1-0 at Old Trafford in a very close match a few weeks ago, and they went ahead late in that game. Copenhagen missed a penalty that would have given them a draw. Expect this match to be an even bigger challenge for the struggling Red Devils, and salvaging a draw would be a pretty good result for Manchester. GL, Jesse Schule. |
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11-07-23 | Jets v. Blues UNDER 6 | 5-2 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. So 20% of all the goals scored in the NHL come on the power play. That could be significant here as these two teams have two of the worst power plays in the NHL. The Blues rank dead last in the NHL scoring on just 3.7 percent of their chances, and the Jets are ranked 23rd. This combined with the fact that both these teams have top tier goaltenders could well result in a low scoring game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-07-23 | Columbus +0.5 v. Atlanta United | 2-4 | Loss | -142 | 16 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Columbus Crew. The Crew are the hottest team in MLS, and they beat Atlanta 2-0 at home in the first game of this playoff series. Heading to Atlanta, Columbus has earned points in three of their last four away matches. One of those matches was at Atlanta, and Columbus was leading that game until the 7th minute of extra time when Atlanta scored the equalizer. While Columbus finished 3rd in the Eastern Conference this season, but they finished first in all of MLS in goal differential. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-06-23 | USC -2.5 v. Kansas State | 82-69 | Win | 100 | 15 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on USC. The Wildcats lost both their top two scorers and their starting PG to the NBA, and they are going to struggle to replace Marquis Nowell. K-State is projected to finish in the bottom half of the BIG12 while USC is expected to contend for a PAC12 Championship. The Trojans are bringing back 5th year senior Boogie Ellis, and he is joined in the back court by McDonalds All American Isaiah Collier. This USC squad should have an edge in both talent and experience, and the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas is familiar territory, as the venue for the PAC12 Tournament last year. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-06-23 | Chelsea v. Tottenham Hotspur +133 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SPURS. Sitting just a point behind Premier League leaders Manchester City, the Spurs are off to an incredible start to the season. The question is, are they for real? They are 4-0 in four home matches, and 8-2 overall. Chelsea comes in with just three wins in 10 matches, and those wins came against Burnley, Fulham and Luton Town. All three of those teams are hanging around the relegation zone. I don't know if Tottenham is good enough to finish Top 5 in the table, but I do think they are good enough to beat Chelsea at home. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-05-23 | Bills v. Bengals -150 | 18-24 | Win | 100 | 128 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CIN. The Bengals and Joe Burrow struggled early in the season, but they appeared to find their stride last week. Burrow threw for 238 yards and 3 TDs on 28-of-32 passing. The Bills on the other hand are trending in the opposite direction. Josh Allen missed practice with a shoulder injury mid week. Allen has appeared to miss former offensive coordinator Brian Daboll, and his home away splits are quite revealing. Allen has 13 TDs and 3 INTs on 75% passing at home, and 4 TDs and 5 INTs on 66% passing on the road. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-05-23 | Cardinals v. Browns -7.5 | 0-27 | Win | 100 | 121 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CLE. The Arizona Cardinals are tanking, and they couldn't make it anymore obvious. They traded their QB to Minnesota, leaving them with an inexperienced rookie (Clayton Tune) as #1 on the depth chart. Tune was a long shot to make an NFL roster, and he didn't exactly light it up during the pre-season. Now he faces the NFL's top ranked defense on the road at Cleveland. The return of Deshaun Watson may or may not help, but I think the Browns defense will do enough to get the win and cover here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-05-23 | Dolphins v. Chiefs -140 | 14-21 | Win | 100 | 117 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on KC. Are the Dolphins overrated? You bet your ass they are! Miami hasn't beaten a team with a winning record since they defeated the Buffalo Bills at home last September. They have padded their stats against inferior opponents. Now they face a Kansas City defense that is lights out against the pass. Only the Cleveland Browns have allowed fewer passing yards per game than the Chiefs. The Dolphins have five offensive starters listed as questionable. The Chiefs defense should dominate this game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-04-23 | Calgary v. BC OVER 49.5 | Top | 30-41 | Win | 100 | 87 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play Over. We often see low scores in the CFL playoffs, but most of the games are outdoors in the winter weather. BC plays in a dome, and we have a matchup between two of the league's top passing offenses. Vernon Adams was the league's leading passer, while Jake Maier was 3rd in the CFL in passing. The Lions were great defensively early in the season, but they have not stopped anybody in the final few weeks of the season. They gave up 41 in a loss to Calgary in their final home game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-04-23 | Oklahoma v. Oklahoma State OVER 61.5 | Top | 24-27 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. The Sooners are banged up, and star linebacker Danny Strutsman is questionable for the last edition of Bedlam. The Cowboys offense has been firing on all cylinders, but during their winning streak they continue to give up a ton of yards and a ton of points. The long term forecast was calling for high winds and nasty weather, and that may have kept this total a little lower than expected. The latest news out of Stillwater is that weather will not be a concern. They don't call it Bedlam for nothing, we expect a shootout in Oklahoma. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-04-23 | Houston v. Baylor -145 | 25-24 | Loss | -145 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Baylor. Throw out the season stats for Baylor, as Blake Shapen missed a handful of games. They have definitely been a better team with him at QB. The Bears have home field, a better defense and I think Aranda is a better coach than Dana Holgerson. Donovan Smith has been very inconsistent for Houston, and this looks like a tough spot. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-04-23 | Virginia Tech +10 v. Louisville | 3-34 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on VT. The Hokies looked like they turned back the clock last week, demolishing the Syracuse Orange in Blacksburg. They are a 10 point favorite here at Louisville and I am banking on this to be a close game. The Cardinals are coming off a 23-0 win over Duke, but they will likely have their hands full with a VT defense that leads the ACC in sacks. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-04-23 | Predators v. Oilers -174 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -174 | 15 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Oilers. Edmonton has got off to a brutal start, and that has them treating tonight's as a must win. It will be the third straight game on the road for Nashville, and they have lost four of five road games so far. Special teams could cost the Predators here, ranking among the worst in the NHL on the penalty kill, and facing the Oilers potent power play. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-04-23 | Arsenal v. Newcastle United | 0-1 | Win | 105 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Newcastle. While Arsenal sits in 2nd place in the Premier League standings, Newcastle in on better form. Newcastle is tied for the Premier League lead in both goals scored and goal differential. The bookmakers have Arsenal as the favorite here, but I think the Gunners will be lucky if they can salvage a draw. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-04-23 | Suns v. 76ers -175 | 100-112 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PHI. The Sixers sent James Harden out of town, and they are ready to move on. The Suns were talking big after acquiring Bradley Beal, but he's yet to play a game. They have everything riding on their BIG 3, and they might be down to 1 here in Philly as Booker is questionable. Ultimately a lack of depth should be what prevents the Suns from winning a road game against a well balanced contender on the road. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-04-23 | Nebraska -150 v. Michigan State | 17-20 | Loss | -150 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Nebraska. A change at QB has paid dividends for Nebrasksa. It's not like Heinrich Haarberg has been lighting it up, but he's been effective as a duel threat and limited the mistakes that were costing the Huskers earlier this season with Jeff Sims as the starter. Nebraska has won three in a row and I like them to keep it rolling in East Lansing against a Spartans team that has lost six straight. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-04-23 | Arkansas v. Florida -160 | 39-36 | Loss | -160 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on FLA. The Gators looked bad against Georgia, but who doesn't look bad against the defending champs. A return home to face a struggling Arkansas team should be just what the doctor ordered. The Razorbacks have been on the wrong side of plenty of close games, but it's asking a lot to expect them to be on the right side here in a tough environment. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-03-23 | Mavs v. Nuggets UNDER 227 | 114-125 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Nuggets have gone under this number in all of their games this season, and they have gone over this number just once in their last eight games versus Dallas. Opponents have averaged just 103.6 points per game so far, and the Nuggets did rank in the Top 10 in opponent scoring average last season. Dallas is 4-0 and the Mavs have averaged 222.5 points in those games. They have had a soft schedule so far, and this Game at Denver should be a far bigger challenge for them. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-02-23 | Stars v. Oilers -130 | 4-3 | Loss | -130 | 20 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on EDM. The Oilers are off to a slow start, failing to live up to such high expectations. They did win their last game blowing out Calgary in the Heritage Classic. Connor McDavid made a triumphant return, and he will be in the lineup tonight. This is a tough spot for Dallas, coming off a 4-3 win over Calgary last night. Jake Oettinger got the start last night, and that might lead to backup Scott Wedgewood to play in the second game of a back to back. Oettinger is one of the best in the NHL, and if he sits there is a huge drop off. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-02-23 | Titans v. Steelers -145 | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 41 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PIT. In his NFL debut at home against the Falcons, Will Levis threw for 238 yards and four TDs on 19-of-29 passing. He makes his second NFL start on the road at Pittsburgh, and now the Steelers defense has tape on him. I think it would be awful naive to expect the rookie to be as good as he was last week. The Titans are 0-3 on the road, and they should be 0-4 after tonight. More bad news for Titans fans ...Cam Heyward is back for the Steelers. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-02-23 | TCU v. Texas Tech -145 | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 40 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TTU. The Red Raiders should have a significant edge at QB here at home tonight with Baron Morton returning from injury. They are 3-2 in the games he has played, and he's thrown for almost 700 yards, 8 TDs and just two INTs. The TCU Horned Frogs won't have their starter, and freshman Josh Hoover has looked really bad on the road. Kansas State ran for 343 yards against the Horned Frogs in their last game, and this defense hasn't been stopping anyone. I'll take the Red Raiders as a slight home favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-01-23 | Rangers v. Diamondbacks +1.5 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -170 | 17 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ARI. So we saw the D'Backs come back from the dead in the NLCS, and they showed a lot of heart rallying from a 10 run deficit in Game 4 despite coming up short. The good news is that their ace is on the mound in this do or die game tonight, and Texas has lost star slugger Adolis Garcia for the rest of the series. Zac Gallen was dominant at home this season, and on the road in Game 1 he pitched well enough to win. In fact the D'Backs took a two run lead to the bottom of the ninth and the bullpen blew it. The Rangers hand the ball to Nathan Eovaldi, who got roughed up in Game 1. He allowed five runs on six hits in 4 1/3 innings. I like the D'Backs to force a Game 6. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-01-23 | Cavs v. Knicks -6.5 | 95-89 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NYK. I had the Knicks in last night's win in Cleveland, and often I look to fade a team that wins Game 1 of a home and home series. This is a different situation all together though, as the Cavs are banged up, and Donovan Mitchell was a game time decision to play with a hamstring injury last night. He played, but will he be good to go in the second game of a back to back? Here is what I said yesterday: "The Cavs have some key injuries, and Donovan Mitchell is expected to be a game time decision tonight. If he plays, he's dealing with a sore hamstring that is likely to affect his performance. Starting PG Darius Garland and Center Jared Allen are both out with injuries. The Knicks are 7-1 straight up in the last eight meetings versus the Cavs, and they have won three of their last four at Cleveland. The Knicks have lost two of three to start the season, but they have been competitive even in those losses. At full strength, this spot looks ideal for the Knicks to get back into the win column." GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-31-23 | Predators v. Canucks -127 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 19 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on VAN. The Canucks are playing well under new head coach Rick Tocchet, who was one of the league's toughest players when he played. Vancouver sits in second place in the Pacific Division behind defending champions Las Vegas. They host Nashville tonight, and this is a teach that they have owned over the years. Vancouver has won six straight in the Western Conference and four of five at home. The Preds have lost seven of their last 10 coming off a win, and they are 2-5 in their last seven on the road. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-31-23 | Rangers v. Diamondbacks +1.5 | 11-7 | Loss | -165 | 17 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ARI. The Rangers are back out in front, and that puts all the pressure on Arizona here in Game 4. This isn't exactly a marquee matchup when it comes to starting pitchers. The D'Backs are going to the bullpen and the Rangers are going to the back end of their rotation. Andrew Heaney will toe the slab for Texas, and he's 0-0 with a 6.00 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP in four appearances in the post-season. The D'Backs hand the ball to Joe Mantiply, who tossed a scoreless first inning in a start in the NLCS. Adolis Garcia leads the playoffs in home runs and RBIs, and he left last night's game with what might be a serious injury. It will be a big blow for Texas if he misses tonight's game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-31-23 | Knicks -150 v. Cavs | 109-91 | Win | 100 | 16 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the NYK. The Cavs have some key injuries, and Donovan Mitchell is expected to be a game time decision tonight. If he plays, he's dealing with a sore hamstring that is likely to affect his performance. Starting PG Darius Garland and Center Jared Allen are both out with injuries. The Knicks are 7-1 straight up in the last eight meetings versus the Cavs, and they have won three of their last four at Cleveland. The Knicks have lost two of three to start the season, but they have been competitive even in those losses. At full strength, this spot looks ideal for the Knicks to get back into the win column. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-30-23 | Blackhawks +1.5 v. Coyotes | 1-8 | Loss | -150 | 19 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CHI. The Hawks are 3-3 on the road, but they are 4-2 ATS in those games. They are an underdog on the road tonight in Arizona, and the Coyotes are 3-4 straight up so far this season. Arizona is just 1-6 ATS as a puckline favorite in those games. The Coyotes have won five of the last 10 head to head versus Chicago, but five of those games were decided by one goal. The Coyotes are 6-21 in their last 27 games playing on 2 days rest, and they are 2-7 in their last 9 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-30-23 | Jazz v. Nuggets UNDER 231 | 102-110 | Win | 100 | 18 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. These teams went under in three of four meetings last season, and the total for tonight's game is far higher than it was in any of those games. Denver ranked 5th in opponent's scoring average last season, and three games in they rank 5th in that category so far this year. The Jazz have gone over in each of their first three games, but they faced opponents that were willing to pay at their desired pace. On the road at Denver, we expect the Nuggets to dictate the pace and style of this game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-30-23 | Rangers v. Diamondbacks +1.5 | 3-1 | Loss | -185 | 17 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ARI. The D'Backs got a split in the first two games in Texas, and they have the momentum heading into Game 3. If I had of suggested that Brandon Pfaadt vs Max Scherzer was a favorable matchup for Arizona during the regular season, people would have called me crazy. They still might. If you didn't know better, you would think the stats were lined up next to the opposite name. It's Pfaadt with 22 Ks in 16 2/3 innings, while Scherzer has just six Ks in two post-season starts. Pfaadt has a 1.08 WHIP, while Scherzer has a 1.80 WHIP. Scherzer is not right, and he appears primed for another short outing. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-30-23 | Red Wings +1.5 v. Islanders | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 17 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on DET. The Red Wings are 5-4 straight up, but they are 7-2 ATS in those games. They will be on the road against the Islanders tonight, and New York is 4-3 straight up so far. The Isles are just 1-6 ATS as a puckline favorite in those games. The Islanders rank near the bottom of the league in scoring, and they own one of the league's worst ranked power play units. The Wings have a huge edge when it comes to special teams. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-30-23 | Seattle Kraken +1.5 v. Lightning | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 16 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SEA. Most experts expected Seattle to take a step forward this season, but they have yet to impress. The Kraken have lost seven of nine games to start the season, but they are 5-4 ATS in those games. The Lightning are just 4-4, and they have missed their starting netminder Andrei Vasilevskij. It may be tough for the Bolts to match the level of desperation that they will see from Seattle here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-30-23 | Panthers v. Bruins -154 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 16 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on BOS. The Bruins have picked up right where they left off last year, when they had the league's best record in the regular season. They got off to a 3-1 series lead in the first round of the playoffs, only to lose three straight and fall in seven games versus the Florida Panthers. This sets up one hell of a revenge spot for the Bruins tonight. The Panthers are 8-20 in the last 28 meetings in Boston, and the Bruins are 45-11 in their last 56 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-29-23 | Lakers v. Kings -2 | 127-132 | Win | 100 | 30 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SAC. The young Kings pushed the Warriors to the brink in last year's playoffs, and while the Dubs are a year older, the Kings are only getting better. Sacramento was the highest scoring team in the NBA last year, and they have picked up right where they left off by scoring 130 in their season opening win over Utah. The addition of Euro League MVP Sasha Vuzenkov isn't going to hurt. The Lakers looked old in their opening night loss on the road in Denver, and I think they will look old here against the Kings in Sacramento. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-29-23 | Bengals +5.5 v. 49ers | 31-17 | Win | 100 | 25 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CIN. So the Bengals came into this season expecting to be a contender, but Joe Burrow was clearly not healthy and they have been one of the biggest disappointments. Coming off a bye week, and Burrow proclaiming he is now at 100 percent, this looks like a good spot to back the Bengals s a dog. The 49ERS are coming off back to back losses, ravaged by injuries, and with the news that Brock Purdy has cleared concussion protocol the line has ticked up to +5.5. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-29-23 | Jets -153 v. Giants | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 22 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NYJ. The Jets come in off back to back wins, and this team appears to be trending in the right direction. The Giants are coming off an upset win over Washington, with Tyrod Taylor balling out. Taylor threw for 279 yards and two TDs on 18-of-29 passing. I expect the Jets defense to make life difficult for the veteran backup here this Sunday. This looks like a let down spot for the Giants, and they might be a bit overvalued after covering in back to back games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-29-23 | Vikings v. Packers +110 | 24-10 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on GB. The Vikings look good on paper, but "The Game Isn't Played on Paper!". The come into Lambeau Field in a cold weather game, and this appears to be a huge let down spot after they upset the 49ERS. The Vikings have lost by 20+ points in each of their last two games at Lambeau, Green Bay leads the all-time series 64-56-3 and the home team has won each of the past four games in the series. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-29-23 | Fulham v. Brighton & Hove Albion -180 | 1-1 | Loss | -180 | 18 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Brighton. Brighton has scored a whopping 22 goals this season, 3 x more than Fulham. Brighton is 3-1-1 at home and they have scored 13 goals in five matches. Fulham has only scored four goals in five away matches, winning just once during that span. If you look at the three games Fulham has won this year, you see Luton Town, Everton and Sheffield United. All three are in or around the relegation zone. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-28-23 | Diamondbacks v. Rangers -151 | 9-1 | Loss | -151 | 14 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TEX. |
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10-28-23 | Maple Leafs -136 v. Predators | 2-3 | Loss | -136 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on TOR. The Leafs will be on the road on Saturday night, but it's still a national TV game on Hockey Night in Canada. Toronto has a hot goaltender in Joseph Woll, who is 3-1 with a 1.33 GAA so far. The Leafs are 4-1 in their last five versus Nashville, and they won two of three at Nashville during that span. Special teams could be huge in this game, as Toronto ranks near the top of the NHL on both the powerplay and penalty kill. The Preds are ranked among the worst in the league in both those categories. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-28-23 | Toronto v. Ottawa | 27-22 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Ottawa. The Argos are going to the Playoffs, so this is a game that they really have no interest in. They are expected to rest their starters, and the only goal here is to get out of Ottawa without sustaining any serious injuries. Ottawa has nothing to prevent them from laying it all out in their season finale, with guys playing for future roster spots. The home team should be able to close out a disappointing season with a home win in a game that is meaningless for their opponent. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-28-23 | East Carolina v. UTSA -18 | 27-41 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on UTSA. I have been riding this Roadrunners team since Frank Harris returned, and they haven't let me down. They have won three straight, covering in all three games. At first glance 18 might look like a big number, but UTSA has won back to back games by 20+, and those games were against better teams that ECU. Harris has thrown for 770 yards, 7 TDs and 2 INTs on over 70 percent passing since coming back from the injury. I see no season why the Roadrunners don't win by 20+ here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-27-23 | Warriors v. Kings -145 | Top | 122-114 | Loss | -145 | 21 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SAC. Lets not overreact to the Warriors losing at home on Opening Night to a shorthanded Phoenix team. Maybe they missed Draymond Green, maybe Chris Paul needs more time to work his win into a new team. Regardless of any of that, following up with a road game at Sacramento is a tough spot. The younger Kings pushed them to the brink in last year's playoffs, and while the Dubs are a year older, the Kings are only getting better. Sacramento was the highest scoring team in the NBA last year, and they have picked up right where they left off by scoring 130 in their season opening win over Utah. The addition of Euro League MVP Sasha Vuzenkov isn't going to hurt. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-27-23 | Blues v. Canucks UNDER 6.5 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 20 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Blues are coming off a 3-0 shutout win over Calgary, and they have gone under in five of their six games this season. They will be starting a hot goaltender tonight in Vancouver, either the backup coming off a shutout or Jordan Binnington, who is 2-1-1 with 1.69 GAA. The Canucks are also in good shape with both their netminders, ranking 7th in the league in GAA. History tells us we can expect a low scoring game, as the under is 19-6-3 in the last 28 meetings in Vancouver. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-27-23 | Diamondbacks v. Rangers -154 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 29 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Texas. The Rangers host Game 1 of the World Series, and they had the 2nd best home record in the American League this season. Nate Eovaldi will toe the rubber for the Rangers, and he was 6-3 with a 3.70 ERA and a WHIP of 1.11 at home this season. The D'Backs hand the ball to their ace Zac Gallen, who has been hit hard in the post-season. Gallen is 2-2 with a 5.24 ERA in the playoffs, and he hasn't been the same pitcher on the road as he has been in Arizona this season. Marcus Semien is 5-for-8 (.625) lifetime versus Gallen. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-26-23 | Maple Leafs v. Stars UNDER 6.5 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Under. The Dallas Stars host the Toronto Maple Leafs tonight, and these teams have a history of playing low scoring games. Four of the last five head to head meetings have gone under the total. The Stars are riding a hot goaltender, as Jake Oettinger is 3-0-1 with a 1.44 GAA in four starts. All four of those games went under the total. Toronto also has a hot goaltender, Joseph Woll is 2-1 with a 1.44 GAA. We could see a low scoring affair here in Texas. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-26-23 | 76ers v. Bucks UNDER 227 | 117-118 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. |
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10-25-23 | Mavs v. Spurs OVER 229.5 | 126-119 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Spurs ranked dead last in the NBA in opponents scoring average, allowing over 121 points per game. They have gone over in six straight versus Texas rivals Dallas, and during that span they have done plenty of scoring in their own right. San Antonio scored an average of 123 points in their last six meetings versus the Mavs. San Antonio did plenty of scoring in the pre-season, with 120 or more in three of their five games. We might see another shootout in Texas tonight. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-25-23 | Borussia Dortmund v. Newcastle United -150 | 1-0 | Loss | -150 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Newcastle. The Magpies host Dortmund in a match between the first and last placed teams in the group. Dortmund has really regressed after selling off the majority of their talent in recent years. Newcastle is a team trending up, coming off a 4-1 home win over PSG in their last Champions League match. They have posted three clean sheets in their last four home matches, winning by a combined margin of 11-1 in those games. Newcastle looks good to take max points from this match. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-24-23 | Suns v. Warriors -110 | 108-104 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on GSW. Sure KD is running his mouth about an unstoppable big three? Did he learn nothing in last year's playoffs? A lack of depth killed the Suns last season, and their bench looks even thinner as we get ready for this season. Two of their big three are listed as questionable, although they both probably play. This is a revenge spot for veteran PG Chris Paul, and while I don't know if it works out long term for the Dubs.... I expect him to play well in this game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-24-23 | Diamondbacks v. Phillies -164 | 4-2 | Loss | -164 | 14 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PHI. The D'Backs send a rookie to the mound in Game 7, and while he hasn't allowed a run in his last two starts, I am not sure we can trust him here. Ranger Saurez will go for Philly, and he's only given up one run in three post season appearances. Philly is looking to get back to the World Series, and it appears to be their destiny. Asking Arizona to win a Game 7 on the road with a rookie getting the start is not something I wanna put my money on. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-24-23 | Sabres v. Senators -154 | 6-4 | Loss | -154 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Ottawa. The Sens are 3-1 on at home so far, and they wrap up this home stand with a game against the Buffalo Sabres. Buffalo is play on back to back nights, coming off a loss at Montreal. The home team has won four straight and seven of the last 10 in this series. While it is still too early in the season to put too much stock in the numbers, Buffalo ranks near the bottom of the league in scoring and has one of the league's worst power-plays. The Sabres are 55-124 in their last 179 games playing the second game of a back to back, and they have lost seven of eight in Ottawa. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-24-23 | FC Copenhagen +1.5 v. Manchester United | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on FC Copenhagen. Manchester United faces a must win game at Old Trafford to stay alive in the Champions League. The problem is that Manchester United isn't a Champions League caliber team at the moment. They sit 8th in the Premier League table and they have negative goal differential. There are plenty of distractions, with rumors of playing coming and going and manager Ten Hag on the hot seat. Copenhagen is a competitive side that has played a draw in an away match and lost at Bayern by one goal. Asking United to win by more than one seems a bit over optimistic to me. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-23-23 | Rangers v. Astros -120 | 11-4 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Houston. The Rangers forced a Game 7, and they send out their big name acquisition in this do or die game. Max Scherzer has won more than his share of big games, but he has shown little signs of being that guy in these playoffs. He's allowed a dozen runs on 11 hits over just 7 innings in his last two starts against Houston. The Astros hand the ball to Cristian Javier who is 2-0 with a 1.69 ERA in the playoffs. The road team is 6-0 in the series heading into Game 7, if the Rangers win here it will be only the second time in history a road team won all seven games in a series. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-23-23 | Diamondbacks v. Phillies -178 | 5-1 | Loss | -178 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PHI. The Phillies can clinch the series at home in Game 6, and they have a favorable matchup on the mound in this one. Aaron Nola will toe the slab for Philly, and he's 3-0 with a 0.96 ERA in the playoffs. The D'Backs hand the ball to Merrill Kelly, who has been solid but better at home than on the road. Kelly gave up three home runs in a 10-0 loss in Philly in Game 1. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-22-23 | Rangers +1.5 v. Astros | 9-2 | Win | 100 | 21 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Texas. The Rangers will look to force a Game 7, and they have a favorable pitching matchup in Game 6. Nate Eovaldi will toe the slab for Texas, and he's 3-0 with a 2.29 ERA in the playoffs. The Astros hand the ball to Framber Valdez, who has been lit up in both his post-season starts. He allowed five runs on seven hits in just 2 2/3 innings in Game 2. The Rangers scored four runs in the first inning in a 5-4 win. Valdez has allowed 17 runs on 18 hits over 12 innings in his last three home starts. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-22-23 | Chargers +6 v. Chiefs | 17-31 | Loss | -112 | 131 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on LAC. The Chargers have lost six of the last eight meetings versus KC, but they have covered the spread in seven of those games. Last year they lost by a field goal in both meetings, at home and at Kansas City. They are 2-3 this season and all three of their losses have come by a field goal. The Chiefs offense has not been quite as prolific this season, averaging just 24 points per game. I'll take the points as I am expecting another close game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-22-23 | Falcons v. Bucs -135 | 16-13 | Loss | -135 | 151 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TB. The Bucs are still sitting in first place in the NFC South with a record of 3-2, but the public is down on them after they looked pretty bad in a home loss to the Lions. Their losses came against the Eagles and the Lions, who boast a combined record of 10-2. Now they have a home game against an Atlanta team with a rookie QB who has thrown as many picks (6) as TDs. This is just the Falcons second road game, and they scored six points in a loss at Detroit earlier this year. Five of Ridder's six TD passes have come at home. This looks like a tough spot against a Bucs defense than ranks 7th in the NFL in scoring allowing 17.6 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-22-23 | Raiders -115 v. Bears | 12-30 | Loss | -115 | 151 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on LV. The Bears won't have Justin Fields this week, and it probably doesn't matter as they are suspected to begin tanking for the first overall pick in the draft. The Raiders are also turning to a backup QB, but Brian Hoyer has plenty of experience. This looks like a good spot for Josh Jacobs to get going against the Bears 29th ranked defense. This might not be pretty, but we expect the Raiders to emerge with a "W" here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-21-23 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks +1.5 | 6-1 | Loss | -145 | 20 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on ARI. The D'Backs have levelled the series at 2-2 with a come from behind win in Game 4, and they send their ace to the mound in Game 5. Zac Gallen has some pretty dramatic home away splits, going 12-3 with a 2.47 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP at home this season. The Phillies hand the ball to Zack Wheeler, who has been dominant at home and on the road. Wheeler is 6-3 with an ERA of 2.96 and 69 strikeouts in 11 appearances against the Diamondbacks. Zac Gallen is 3-1 with an ERA of 2.22 and 24 strikeouts in 5 appearances against the Phillies. While a close game should be expected, I think the wrong team is favored here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-21-23 | UTSA -3 v. Florida Atlantic | Top | 36-10 | Win | 100 | 147 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UTSA. I don't think the markets have accurately accounted for the return of Frank Harris, who has thrown for over 500 yards and five TDs in back to back double digit wins since coming back from injury. The Roadrunners had a disappointing start to the season, but that can be partially explained by the injury to their starting QB. The Owls lost their starter for the season, and backup Daniel Richardson has thrown for 902 yards, 5 TDs and 4 INTs in four starts. I don't think the Owls offense has enough weapons to keep up to UTSA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-21-23 | Tennessee v. Alabama UNDER 48 | 20-34 | Loss | -110 | 144 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. I bet the under in the Vols home game against Texas A&M. Here is what I said prior to the game: "The Vols ran for 238 yards and three TDs in a win over South Carolina two weeks ago, but they face a much tougher Aggies defense this week. Texas A&M held Alabama to just 23 rushing yards last week, but Jalen Milroe and Jermaine Burton lit them up. Joe Milton hasn't been lighting anybody up this season, and he won't have his top WR Bru McCoy for the rest of the season. This game should be a defensive battle, and we should expect a low score. Both these teams have held opponents to fewer than 20 points per game." Alabama should be able to dominate this game on the ground, and the Vols are going to struggle to score. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-21-23 | Penn State +5 v. Ohio State | Top | 12-20 | Loss | -110 | 141 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PSU. The Buckeyes come into this week's home game against Penn State with a 6-0 record and they are ranked 3rd nationally. Kyle McCord has pedestrian numbers for an Ohio State quarterback, and at times this team has appeared vulnerable. The win over Maryland two weeks ago was closer than it should have been, and they needed a miracle to beat the Irish at Notre Dame. This team fell apart at the end of last year, losing 45-23 at home to Michigan,and then losing to Georgia in the Peach Bowl. Penn State looks every bit as dangerous as the Michigan team that embarrassed them here last year. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-20-23 | Calgary v. BC OVER 49.5 | 41-16 | Win | 100 | 19 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. This is a big game for both teams, as BC is still in the hunt for first place in the West, and Calgary needs a win just to make the playoffs. The Lions have gone over the total in six straight, and one of the reasons for that has been a lackluster defense. The Lions have allowed opponents to average over 30 points per game in their last six overall. Five of those games were wins, so they are clearly scoring more than their share as well. Calgary gets WR1 (Beggleton) back for tonight's game. We should see both teams score plenty. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-20-23 | Phillies v. Diamondbacks OVER 9.5 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 18 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. We saw a pitcher's duel in Game 3 in Arizona on Thursday, but with both teams turning to the back end of the rotation I would expect a slugfest in Game 4. Joe Mantiply will toe the slab for Arizona, and he's been lit up in two appearances versus Philly. The Phillies tagged him for seven runs on nine hits over 3 1/3 innings in those games. The Phillies hand the ball to Cristopher Sanchez, who hasn't pitched in three weeks. He was 2-2 with a 5.26 in eight starts during the regular season. This game has "slugfest" written all over it. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-19-23 | Hurricanes v. Seattle Kraken +1.5 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 20 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on SEA. The Kraken are still looking for their first win, and they could be catching the Hurricanes in a good spot. This will be their fourth consecutive road game, and their starting netminder Freddy Anderson is banged up. These teams have played four times previously, and Carolina has won all four of those games. It's probably worth noting that three of those games were decided by one goal. Seattle lost their home opener to Colorado by a score of 4-1, but the Kraken are 4-1 in their last 5 games following a home loss of 3 or more goals. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-19-23 | Astros v. Rangers OVER 9.5 | Top | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. We expected Max Scherzer to struggle last night coming off a long layoff, and he got tagged for five runs on five hits in four innings. Both starters tonight are coming off an extended layoff, and this is the bottom of the barrel as far as the rotation is concerned. Jose Urquidy will toe the slab for Houston, and he's failed to reach the fifth inning in seven of his last nine appearances. Andrew Heaney hasn't pitched in two weeks, and he allowed three runs on five hits and four walks in 4 2/3 innings in a 13-6 loss in his last home start versus the Astros. Another shootout seems likely in Game 4 in Texas. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-18-23 | Astros v. Rangers OVER 9 | 8-5 | Win | 100 | 18 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. Both these teams turn to the back end of the rotation here in this hitter's park in Game 3 of the ALCS. Max Scherzer will toe the rubber for the Rangers, but he hasn't started in the majors in over a month. Expect him to be on a short leash here in his return from injury. The Astros hand the ball to Cristian Javier, who was rocked for eight runs on nine hits in 4 1/3 innings in his last start in Texas. Scherzer's last home start came against Houston, and he gave up seven runs on six hits and two walks in just three innings in a 12-3 loss last month. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-18-23 | Capitals v. Senators -155 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 25 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on OTT. The Sens are coming off back to back home wins, and they host the Washington Capitals on Wednesday night. Ottawa is an exciting young team that was one of the best in the NHL in pre-season. Brady Tkatchuk has scored four goals in three games, and his stock is trending up. The Caps are 1-1 after opening the season with a pair of home games, and they play on the road for the first time this season. Washington has cost bettors a ton of money, going 8-22 in their last 30 overall. They are 2-14 in their last 16 games following a win and they have lost six straight on the road. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-17-23 | Oilers -140 v. Predators | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 16 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Oilers. The Oilers ran into a buzz saw losing their first two games of the season to the Vancouver Canucks. They have a favorable matchup here in Nashville, facing a Predators team that they have won eight of nine against. Edmonton had the best power play in the NHL last year, converting on roughly 1/3 of their chances. Don't be surprised if they dominate special teams play here in Nashville, earning their first win of the season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-17-23 | Diamondbacks v. Phillies -153 | 0-10 | Win | 100 | 15 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PHI. The Phillies won Game 1 of the NLCS, and I like their chances of going up 2-0 with a win in Game 2. Aaron Nola will toe the slab for the Phillies, and he's 2-0 with a 1.42 ERA in two post-season starts. The Phillies are 10-1 in his last 11 starts. The D'Backs hand the ball to Merrill Kelly, who was far better in the first half of the season. He was 9-4 before the All Star game, and went 3-4 in his final 14 starts of the regular season. Trea Turner is batting .500 in the playoffs, and he's hit .429 over 21 career at bats versus Merrill Kelly. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-17-23 | Western Kentucky -7.5 v. Jacksonville State | 17-20 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on WKU. I bet against Jacksonville state a few weeks ago when they were a small underdog at Middle Tennessee. I called them a public dog, and when they trailed by three scores at halftime I thought I was pretty sharp. The Blue Raiders imploded in the second half, and the Gamecocks won again. I still think they are overvalued, and they rank 122nd in strength of schedule. Even though they haven't played anybody, they rank 91st nationally in opponent passing yards. Making matters worse, they might not have their starting QB available for this game. The Hilltoppers scored 35 points in the first half in a win at LA-Tech in their last game, and they should dominate this game from start to finish. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-16-23 | Cowboys v. Chargers +3 | 20-17 | Push | 0 | 185 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on LAC. This looks like a good spot to back a Chargers team that has underachieved so far. Dallas comes in as a road favorite, but the shine is starting to wear off. The Cowboys have lost back to back road games to Arizona and San Francisco. Their wins don't look all that impressive either, beating the Jets, Giants and Patriots. While Dallas is trending down, the Chargers are trending up coming off back to back wins over the Raiders and the Vikings. They lost to Miami in week 1 by just two points, and on the road at Tennessee by a field goal. I'll take the points with the home dog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-16-23 | Rangers +1.5 v. Astros | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TEX. The Astros were shutout in Game 1, and the matchup in Game 2 doesn't look good for Houston. Framber Valdez will toe the slab for the Astros, and he's allowed a dozen runs on 11 hits and six walks in 9 2/3 innings in his last two home starts. In two home starts versus Texas this season, he gave up 10 runs on 13 hits and four walks in 9 2/3 innings in a pair of blowout losses. The Rangers hand the ball to Nate Eovaldi, who has allowed just a pair of runs while striking out 15 batters over 13 2/3 innings in two post-season starts. Houston we have a problem! GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-15-23 | Rangers v. Astros -130 | 2-0 | Loss | -130 | 17 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on HOU. The Astros have owned Texas, winning eight of the last 10 head to head meetings. Justin Verlander has been unhittable in the post-season. Verlander tossed six scoreless innings, allowing four hits and striking out six in a win over Minnesota in Game 1 of the division series. He's only allowed on run in his last three starts, and in his only start against Texas this season he allowed just one earned run. Jordan Montgomery was lit up for five runs on nine hits in four innings against Baltimore in his last start. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-15-23 | Lions v. Bucs +3.5 | 20-6 | Loss | -116 | 157 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TB. The Bucs are 3-1, in first place in the NFC South, and their only loss came against the defending NFC champs Philadelphia. As good as they have looked, they are still getting points as a home dog against the Detroit Lions. The Lions are 4-1, and they have looked good so far. I still think it's a bit much to have them coming in as a road favorite against a 1st place team. Jared Goff is off to a good start after having a solid season last year. One thing that has carried over, is that his home/away splits remain dramatic. Last year he had 23 TDs and home and just six on the road, this year he has 6 TDs at home and two on the road. The Bucs boast a Top 10 defense, and they should be in this game from start to finish. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-15-23 | Colts +5.5 v. Jaguars | 20-37 | Loss | -110 | 161 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on INDY. The Colts are tied for first place in the NFC South, but the winner of this week's game at Jacksonville will take sole possession of the top spot in the division. Rookie QB Anthony Richardson is on the IR, leaving Minshew Mania to run the offense. I think Indy is in better shape with Minshew, who is a more proven commodity in the NFL. So far this season the Colts are 3-0 in games that Minshew has played the majority of the snaps, and 0-2 in the games with Richardson at the helm. The Jags are in a let down spot coming off back to back wins in London. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-15-23 | Panthers v. Dolphins -13.5 | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 154 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIA. The Dolphins lead the NFL in scoring, averaging 36 points per game. They host the winless Carolina Panthers, and Carolina ranks 28th in scoring defense allowing 29 points per game. Bryce Young is perhaps biting off more than he can chew as a rookie starter on a poor team. The last time the Dolphins played Carolina they won by a score of 31-10, and there's no reason to expect a competitive game here in Miami this week. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-14-23 | NC State v. Duke UNDER 48.5 | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 145 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Blue Devils have had a week off to recover from their heartbreaking loss to Notre Dame, and now they host NC State without starting QB Riley Leonard. We are likely to see freshman Henry Belin IV at QB, and that should mean a conservative game plan relying heavily on the running game and the defense. Duke ranks 4th nationally in scoring defense, and the Wolfpack are starting a backup quarterback who threw three INTs in his debut against Marshall last week. I expect MJ Morris to struggle against this Duke defense. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-14-23 | UCLA v. Oregon State -4 | 24-36 | Win | 100 | 145 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Oregon State. The Bruins couldn't get anything going on offense when they played on the road at Utah, and a trip to Corvallis might just be a recurring nightmare for UCLA. That same Utah team that UCLA had so much trouble with, was held to seven points in a crushing 21-7 loss at Corvallis a week later. Far more significant than the results versus a common opponent, are the similarities in playing in such a hostile environment. The Beavers are 16-4 ATS in their last 20 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-14-23 | UAB v. UTSA -9 | 20-41 | Win | 100 | 124 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on UTSA. I had UTSA last week and I said this prior to their game at Temple: "I was one of many who were high on UTSA heading into the season, but they struggled losing three of their first four games. Put the blame on poor play from starting QB Frank Harris, who has missed the last two games due to injury. The Roadrunners come out of the bye week looking to flip the switch. They couldn't ask for a better spot for a get right game, and Harris is expected to return." Harris threw for 338 yards and three TDs on 25-of-33 passing in the win at Temple, and he should be primed for a big game at home versus UAB. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-14-23 | UCLA v. Oregon State UNDER 54.5 | 24-36 | Loss | -115 | 57 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Bruins couldn't get anything going on offense when they played on the road at Utah, and a trip to Corvallis might just be a recurring nightmare for UCLA. That same Utah team that UCLA had so much trouble with, was held to seven points in a crushing 21-7 loss at Corvallis a week later. Far more significant than the results versus a common opponent, are the similarities in playing in such a hostile environment. The Beavers are 16-4 ATS in their last 20 home games, and they have held opponents to single digits in all three of their home games this season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-14-23 | Montreal v. Edmonton Elks +120 | 35-21 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on the ELKS. So the Elks played last Friday, losing on the road at 1st place Toronto. The Als on the other hand played on Monday, setting up a game on short rest on the road. Montreal clinched 2nd place in the East with Hamilton losing to BC last night. This might prevent them from taking this game seriously, and it looks like a good spot to rest starters for the playoffs. The Elks are playing for a roster spot next year. “I really don’t care how they approach it,” he said, after letting the media know he was unhappy with the Elks’ concentration level at practice Thursday afternoon. “Ours is just come out and try to hit them in the mouth and be more physical than they are. If we don’t, it’s going to be real tough on us.” - said Chris Jones. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-14-23 | Kansas -155 v. Oklahoma State | 32-39 | Loss | -155 | 119 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Kansas. The Jayhawks are 5-1 with the only loss coming on the road at Texas. They are coming off a blowout win over UCF, and backup quarterback Jason Bean only attempted a dozen passes throwing for 91 yards and a TD on 8-of-12 passing. They ran all over UCF, rushing for 399 yards and 5 TDs. The Jayhawks ran for 351 yards and 2 TDs in a 37-16 win over Oklahoma State last season. The Cowboys quarterback situation is still in disarray, with Allan Bowman completing just over 50 percent of his passes for 743 yards, 2 TDs and 3 INTs. With or without Jalon Daniels I like Kansas to get the win here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-14-23 | Texas A&M v. Tennessee UNDER 55.5 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 52 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Vols ran for 238 yards and three TDs in a win over South Carolina two weeks ago, but they face a much tougher Aggies defense this week. Texas A&M held Alabama to just 23 rushing yards last week, but Jalen Milroe and Jermaine Burton lit them up. Joe Milton hasn't been lighting anybody up this season, and he won't have his top WR Bru McCoy for the rest of the season. This game should be a defensive battle, and we should expect a low score. Both these teams have held opponents to fewer than 20 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |