Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-27-23 | Rays v. White Sox UNDER 7.5 | Top | 14-5 | Loss | -120 | 20 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Rays rank #1 in the majors in runs scored, team batting average, slugging and on base percentage. They come into Chicago off back to back shutouts, and their struggles at the plate could continue against a red hot pitcher. Dylan Cease will toe the slab for the Sox, and he's 2-0 with a 2.73 ERA in five starts. The Rays counter with their ace, and Shane McClanahan is 4-0 with a 1.86 ERA. McClanahan allowed a pair of runs on three hits, striking out 10 in six innings in a win over Chicago in his last start. Cease was on the losing side of that game, but he was 1-0 with 0.87 ERA in two starts versus Tampa last year. Chicago has failed to reach the total in five straight overall, and the Rays have gone under in each of McClanahan's last four starts. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-27-23 | Newcastle United -130 v. Everton | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Newcastle. The Magpies sit 3rd in the Premier League table, tied on points with Manchester United. They have to keep winning games down the stretch if they want to secure a spot in the Champions League next season. They face an Everton squad that sits in the relegation zone, and certainly you have to consider this a "must win" game for the Toffees. The thing is, you don't find yourself in the relegation zone unless you consistently lose the games you should have won. Newcastle has won four of the last five versus Everton, and they have the 3rd best away record in the Premier League. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-26-23 | Lakers v. Grizzlies -165 | 99-116 | Win | 100 | 20 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on on MEM. The Grizzlies face elimination in Game 5 at home, and I expect them to respond after losing back to back games in LA. Memphis was an NBA best 35-6 at home during the regular season. The Lakers are in a good spot, and they will come into Game 5 knowing that even if they lose they go back home with a chance to to close out the series in Game 6. The Lakers are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings in Memphis. The Grizzlies had a 30-19 lead at the end of the first quarter in the last game in Memphis. Expect a fast start for the home team as they look to avoid elimination. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-26-23 | Panthers v. Bruins -225 | 4-3 | Loss | -225 | 20 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on BOS (Regulation). I called for a gentlemen's sweep prior to Game 3, and here is what I had to say: "Unlike the NBA, the NHL is all about parity. An 8th seed normally has a fighting chance against a #1 seed, but in the case of the Boston Bruins hosting Florida, we expect this to prove to me a mismatch. I am gonna call for a Gentleman's Sweep here. The Panthers are sending 30 year old journeyman goaltender Alex Lyon to the wolves here. I mean, normally when we refer to a player as a "journeyman", it means he's bounced around on many teams and might not have gotten a ton of ice time. Lyons has played the majority of his career in the AHL. He started just 15 games this season, which is a career high. The Bruins Linus Ullmark leads the NHL in GAA and save percentage, and his backup also ranks Top 5 in both categories. The Bruins broke the modern day record with 65 wins and 135 points this season. They should have little trouble getting past the Panthers." The prophecy comes to fruition here in Game 5. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-26-23 | Knicks v. Cavs -5.5 | 106-95 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CLE. The Cavs face elimination in Game 5, and we should expect them to out swinging early here on their home court. The Cavs were 32-11 at home during the regular season, and they were the best defensive team in the NBA, ranking #1 in opponent scoring average. Donovan Mitchell is coming off a terrible Game 4 in New York, but we expect him to bounce back here at home. He averaged 31.8 points per game in four regular season games against the Knicks, and he scored 38 points in Game 1. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-26-23 | Royals v. Diamondbacks -1.5 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Arizona. The Royals got a rare win in Arizona last night, but I look for them to get back to their losing ways as they face the D'Backs ace in a matinee in the desert on Wednesday. Zac Gallen is working on another scoreless inning streak. Last year he went 44.5 innings without allowing a run, and he comes into today's game off 20 2/3 scoreless innings. He's racked up 29 strikeouts during that span. The Royals hand the ball to Ryan Yarbrough, who is winless on the season. He's allowed six runs on six hits in 6 1/3 innings in his last two appearances. He's 0-2 with a 7.62 ERA overall in seven appearances. The Royals rank 27th in the majors in runs scored, and 28th in team batting average (.222). GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-25-23 | Wolves v. Nuggets UNDER 222.5 | 109-112 | Win | 100 | 22 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. I bet the under in Game 1 of this series, and I said the following before the game: “Minnesota is coming off back to back unders in both of their play-in games, and they held the Thunder to just 95 points in their last game. The Nuggets own an elite defense, and they are particularly good at home. The under is 11-2 in the Nuggets last 13 overall, and they have failed to reach the total in five straight home games.” With Minnesota facing elimination once again, don't be surprised if Game 5 in Denver looks a lot like Game 4 in Minnesota. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-25-23 | Red Sox v. Orioles -155 | 8-6 | Loss | -155 | 19 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Orioles. Baltimore might be the hottest team in the majors, coming into Game 2 of this home series versus Boston as winners of seven straight. They have a favorable matchup on the mound here, so we expect them to take full advantage. Corey Kluber will toe the slab for the Sox, and Kluber has been clobbered so far this season. He allowed seven runs on six hits and a pair of walks in just five innings in a loss to Minnesota his last time out. He's lost all four of his starts, and he really looks like the next great pitcher to have lost their battle with father time. Just as Dallas Keuchel and Madison Bumgarner have over the last year. The Orioles hand the ball to Kyle Bradish, who has yet to allow a run. The 26 year old has picked up right where he left off in the second half of last season. Anthony Santander is 8-for-19 (.421) with five RBIs lifetime versus Kluber. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-24-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -4 | 111-117 | Win | 100 | 20 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on LAL. Here is what I said before Game 3: "The Grizzlies were the best home team in the NBA during the regular season, with a record of 35-6. They struggled on the road, and that doesn't bode well for them in Game 3 in LA. There is the potential for Ja Morant to attempt to play through pain despite a hand injury, which might be counter-productive for the Grizz. He's not the only player nursing an injury for the Grizzlies, and the veteran Lakers appear to be the healthier of the two teams. The home team is 8-2 straight up in the last 10 head to head meetings, and Memphis has lost four of their last five at LA. The Grizzlies are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 road games versus a team with a winning home record." The Grizzlies simply have no answers for AD, and I expect them to go back to Memphis trailing 3-1 in the series. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-24-23 | Golden Knights v. Jets -102 | 4-2 | Loss | -102 | 22 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Jets. I had the Jets in Game 3, and it was a bit of a disaster as they went down 2-0 early in the 1st period. They were the better team from that point on, but ended up coming up short in overtime. Here is what I said before Game 2: "The Jets didn't just win Game 1 of this series, they dominated. They held the Golden Knights to just 17 shots on goal. Vegas will be a big favorite in Game 2, but I don't expect it to be easy for the Knights moving forward. Connor Hellebuyck was 4-1 with a 1.41 GAA in his last five starts of the regular season, and he is a proven playoff performer. He's started 36 playoff games, and his record of 17-19 with a 2.42 GAA is solid, but what really stands out is his .921 save percentage. The Jets are 6-3 SU, and 8-1 ATS in the last nine head to head meetings" I like the Jets to get the win and send this series back to Sin City tied at 1-1. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-24-23 | Devils v. Rangers -145 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -145 | 18 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NYR. I had the Rangers in Game 1 of this series, and I said this before the puck dropped: "The Devils come in as the #3 seed with 112 points in the regular season, and they host the #5 seed New York Rangers who finished the regular season with 107 points. Both these teams had more wins on the road than they did at home this season. so you have to wonder how important home ice advantage will be in this series. The Devils won the regular season series 3-1, and three of those four games were decided by one goal. The Rangers made a splash at the trade deadline acquiring 3 x Stanley Cup champions and Conn Smythe winner Patrick Kane. The Rangers have a superior power play, and Igor Shesterkin was statistically better than Vitek Vanecek during the season. I'll take the underdog in Game 1 and for the series." Heading into Game 4 the Rangers have already chased Vitek Vanecek from the net, and the Devils have turned to 22 year old rookie Akira Schmid. I expect New York to take a stranglehold on the series with a win in Game 4. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-24-23 | White Sox v. Blue Jays -160 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 19 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TOR. The Blue Jays have only played six games at home, compared to 16 games on the road. They open a home series versus Chicago on Monday, and this looks like a favorable matchup for the home side. Chris Bassitt will toe the slab for Toronto, and he's coming off three consecutive quality starts. He tossed six scoreless innings, allowing three hits and fanning five in a win over Houston in his last start. The Sox hand the ball to Lance Lynn, who is really looking past his prime. The 35 year old is winless in four starts, and his WHIP of 1.83 looks particularly ugly. The Blue Jays are 22-8 in their last 30 during Game 1 of a series. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-23-23 | Nuggets v. Wolves UNDER 225.5 | Top | 108-114 | Win | 100 | 18 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Under. I bet the under in Game 1 of this series, and I said the following before the game: “Minnesota is coming off back to back unders in both of their play-in games, and they held the Thunder to just 95 points in their last game. The Nuggets own an elite defense, and they are particularly good at home. The under is 11-2 in the Nuggets last 13 overall, and they have failed to reach the total in five straight home games.” We have since seen Game 2 and Game 3 go over the total, but with the Wolves facing elimination in Game 4, I expect to see more of a defensive battle here. The under is 12-4 in Nuggets last 16 overall, and the Timberwolves have gone under in 12 of their last 17 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-23-23 | Stars v. Wild -109 | 3-2 | Loss | -109 | 27 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIN. I was not surprised to see the Wild win Game 1 of this series, but I was surprised to see Philip Gustavsson on the bench after stopping 51 of 53 shots in Game 1. Gustavsson ranked 2nd in the league this season in both GAA and save percentage. We should see him back between the pipes here in Game 4, and the Wild should have the advantage on home ice. The Wild are 78-34 in their last 112 home games. The Dallas Stars finished just one point out of first in the Western Conference, despite winning just one more game than the Wild. How did they do it? Well they had 14 overtime losses. While you get points for losing in overtime in the regular season, all you get in the playoffs is nightmares. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-23-23 | A's v. Rangers -1.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TEXAS. The A's rallied to win Game 1, snapping a seven game losing streak. They lost Game 2 by a score of 18-3, and another losing streak seems to be building momentum. Kyle Muller will toe the slab for Oakland, and the 25 year old has been torched for a dozen runs on 20 hits in eight innings in his last two starts. Jake deGrom will go for Texas, and that doesn't bode well for the A's in the early innings. Texas is in 1st in the AL West, they rank 2nd in the majors in scoring and they have scored 46 runs in their last four games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-22-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -175 | 101-111 | Win | 100 | 21 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on LAL. The Grizzlies were the best home team in the NBA during the regular season, with a record of 35-6. They struggled on the road, and that doesn't bode well for them in Game 3 in LA. There is the potential for Ja Morant to attempt to play through pain despite a hand injury, which might be counter-productive for the Grizz. He's not the only player nursing an injury for the Grizzlies, and the veteran Lakers appear to be the healthier of the two teams. The home team is 8-2 straight up in the last 10 head to head meetings, and Memphis has lost four of their last five at LA. The Grizzlies are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 road games versus a team with a winning home record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-22-23 | Cardinals v. Mariners -150 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 22 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on SEA. The Mariners got off to a poor start to the season, but they come into Game 2 versus St. Louis looking to build some momentum after a win in the series opener. Luis Castillo will toe the the slab for Seattle, and the ace has lived up to expectations. He hasn't allowed a run in his three home starts so far this season. The Cardinals hand the ball to Miles Mikolas, who is still looking for his first win. He's given up a whopping 36 hits in just 20 innings pitches so far this season. It's fair to say that he isn't fooling anybody lately. The Cardinals are 2-7 in their last nine Interleague road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-22-23 | Tigers v. Orioles -170 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 19 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BAL. The Orioles have won eight of their last 10 overall, and they look to keep it rolling here at home versus the Detroit Tigers Saturday. Kyle Gibson will toe the slab for Baltimore, and he's off to a solid start. Gibson (3-0, 4.18 ERA) had his best start of the season at home, allowing a run on five hits in 6 1/3 innings in a win over Oakland. The Tigers hand the ball to Joey Wentz, who pitched a gem in a home win over San Francisco his last time out. The Tigers bullpen ranks 23rd in the majors with an ERA of 4.81, and Wentz might only go 4-5 innings. The Tigers are 19-39 in their last 58 games following a loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-22-23 | Golden Knights v. Jets -110 | 5-4 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Jets. I had Winnipeg in Game 2 in Vegas, and here is what I said before the game: "The Jets didn't just win Game 1 of this series, they dominated. They held the Golden Knights to just 17 shots on goal. Vegas will be a big favorite in Game 2, but I don't expect it to be easy for the Knights moving forward. Connor Hellebuyck was 4-1 with a 1.41 GAA in his last five starts of the regular season, and he is a proven playoff performer. He's started 36 playoff games, and his record of 17-19 with a 2.42 GAA is solid, but what really stands out is his .921 save percentage. The Jets are 6-3 SU, and 8-1 ATS in the last nine head to head meetings. A close game should be expected." I like the Jets to respond here on home ice after a tough loss in Game 2. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-22-23 | 76ers -130 v. Nets | 96-88 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PHI. So Joel Embiid is sitting out Game 4 due to knee soreness, and the line has dropped to almost a pickem. Philly has won eight of their last 10 without Embiid in the lineup, and they should feel an increased sense of urgency to prevent the Nets from extending this series, which would put more mileage on a banged up Joel Embiid. The Nets might not have much fight in them, coming off consecutive heart breaking losses. Historically teams down 0-3 do not perform well when facing elimination. Teams with a 3-0 series lead are 53-22 straight up in Game 4 dating back to 2022. I think Philly puts the Nets out of their misery here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-21-23 | Stars v. Wild +102 | 1-5 | Win | 102 | 20 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Minnesota. I was not surprised to see the Wild win Game 1 of this series, but I was surprised to see Philip Gustavsson on the bench after stopping 51 of 53 shots in Game 1. Gustavsson ranked 2nd in the league this season in both GAA and save percentage. We should see him back between the pipes here in Game 3, and the Wild should have the advantage on home ice. The Wild are 77-34 in their last 111 home games. The Dallas Stars finished just one point out of first in the Western Conference, despite winning just one more game than the Wild. How did they do it? Well they had 14 overtime losses. While you get points for losing in overtime in the regular season, all you get in the playoffs is nightmares. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-21-23 | Royals v. Angels -1.5 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 20 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on LAA -1.5. The Angels are tied with Houston for second place in the AL West, but a home series versus Kansas City is a good spot to make up some ground. The Halos send Shohei Ohtani to the mound in Game 1, and he was 7-4 with a 1.82 ERA in 14 home starts last year. He tossed eight scoreless innings, striking out 13 in his only start versus the Royals. Kansas City will turn to the bullpen, with 29 year old Taylor Clarke making a spot start. He was rocked for four runs on four hits and a walk in just one inning in his most recent appearance. The Royals are 3-9 in the last 12 meetings in Los Angeles. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-21-23 | Cavs v. Knicks -115 | 79-99 | Win | 100 | 19 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Knicks. The series heads back to New York tied 1-1, and the home team looks like the play in Game 3. The Knicks won both home games during the regular season series, and they are 4-1 SU in the last five head to head meetings. They covered in all four wins during that span. The crowd is going to be mental at the Garden, and the Knicks should feed off that especially early in the game. If this game is close at the half the Cavs can consider themselves fortunate. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-21-23 | Bruins -147 v. Panthers | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 18 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on BOS. I had the Bruins in Game 1, and here is what I said prior to the game. "Unlike the NBA, the NHL is all about parity. An 8th seed normally has a fighting chance against a #1 seed, but in the case of the Boston Bruins hosting Florida, we expect this to prove to me a mismatch. I am gonna call for a Gentleman's Sweep here. The Panthers are sending 30 year old journeyman goaltender Alex Lyon to the wolves here. I mean, normally when we refer to a player as a "journeyman", it means he's bounced around on many teams and might not have gotten a ton of ice time. Lyons has played the majority of his career in the AHL. He started just 15 games this season, which is a career high. The Bruins Linus Ullmark leads the NHL in GAA and save percentage, and his backup also ranks Top 5 in both categories. The Bruins broke the modern day record with 65 wins and 135 points this season. They should have little trouble getting past the Panthers." I still think this series is going to be a “Gentleman's Sweep”. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-20-23 | Suns v. Clippers +130 | 129-124 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on LAC. I had the Clippers in Game 1, and I picked them to win the series. While the Suns won and covered in Game 2, I didn't find it very convincing. They still have a glaring lack of depth on the bench, and Cameron Payne remains questionable. Kawhi Leonard averaged 23 points per per game during the regular season, but he's totalled 69 in two playoff games so far. He's been the best player in this series so far, and another strong performance is expected in Game 3. The Clippers should get off to a strong start in LA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-20-23 | Jets +1.5 v. Golden Knights | 2-5 | Loss | -190 | 20 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on WPG. The Jets didn't just win Game 1 of this series, they dominated. They held the Golden Knights to just 17 shots on goal. Vegas will be a big favorite in Game 2, but I don't expect it to be easy for the Knights moving forward. Connor Hellebuyck was 4-1 with a 1.41 GAA in his last five starts of the regular season, and he is a proven playoff performer. He's started 36 playoff games, and his record of 17-19 with a 2.42 GAA is solid, but what really stands out is his .921 save percentage. The Jets are 6-3 SU, and 8-1 ATS in the last nine head to head meetings. A close game should be expected. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-20-23 | Kings v. Warriors -5.5 | 97-114 | Win | 100 | 18 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on GSW. The Warriors are down 0-2 in the series, which might not be a huge surprise considering their road record during the regular season. They were 33-8 at home, and they are 4-0 straight up in their last four home games against the Kings. They are 39-16-1 ATS in their last 56 home games. It's do or die for the defending champs, and I expect them to jump out to an early lead here. They are 11-1 straight up in their last 12 home playoff games. Expect the champs to come up big in Game 3. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-19-23 | Kings v. Oilers UNDER 6.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 21 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The LA Kings got the upset in Game 1, forcing overtime with game tying goal in the final 17 seconds of regulation. Up until that point the game was trending under, and these two teams had gone under in five of the previous six meetings. The under is 21-10-4 in the last 35 meetings in Edmonton. We should see both teams tighten up here in Game 2. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-19-23 | Wolves v. Nuggets UNDER 223.5 | 113-122 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. I had the under in Game 1 and here is what I said prior to the game: "Minnesota is coming off back to back unders in both of their play-in games, and they held the Thunder to just 95 points in their last game. The Nuggets own an elite defense, and they are particularly good at home. The under is 11-2 in the Nuggets last 13 overall, and they have failed to reach the total in five straight home games." I expect more of the same here in Game 2. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-19-23 | Manchester City v. Bayern Munich OVER 3 | 1-1 | Loss | -116 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. Bayern Munich and Manchester City are the highest scoring teams in Europe, each with 78 goals in their respective domestic leagues. The second leg of this Champions League tie has Bayern returning home down 3-0 on aggregate, needing to score four goals to advance to the Semi Finals. This game should start fast, and be full speed for 90 minutes. Last year in this spot Manchester City lost 3-1 to Real Madrid, losing 6-5 on aggregate. I expect Bayern to score goal at home, but I also expect City to counter with a few of their own. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-19-23 | Rangers +1.5 v. Royals | 12-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on Texas +1.5. The Rangers come in as winners of seven of nine, sitting in first place in the AL West. The pitching matchup in Game 3 in Kansas City appears to favor Texas. Martin Perez will toe the rubber for the Rangers, and he was light out in 2022. He went 7-4 with a 2.86 ERA in 16 starts on the road. He allowed a pair of runs on five hits in five innings in a win at Houston his last time out. The Royals hand the ball to Brady Singer, who has been rocked for 13 runs on 18 hits in 11 innings in his last two starts. Kansas City has lost 11 of 12 home games this season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-18-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Avalanche -176 | 3-1 | Loss | -176 | 26 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on COL. The Avs are defending champs, and they host a Seattle team that is in the playoffs for the first time. This looks like a mismatch of epic proportions. The Avs are far superior on special teams, both on the power play as well as the penalty kill. They have all the playoff experience, and they are 13-3 in their last 16 Conference Quarterfinals games. When it comes to goaltending, Avs starter Alexander Georgiev was among the league leaders with a .919 save percentage, while Phillip Grubauer ranked 39th with a .895 save percentage. I'll take the better team with the better special teams, the better goalie and the edge in experience. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-18-23 | Braves -135 v. Padres | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 25 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ATL. The Braves comes into Game 2 in San Diego with a 9-1 road record, and they have a favorable matchup on the mound here. Spencer Strider will toe the slab for Atlanta, and he's facing the Padres for the second time this season. He allowed three runs on four hits, striking out nine in five innings in a 7-6 home win two weeks ago. The Padres hand the ball to Blake Snell, who has struggled so far this season. Snell (0-2, 6.92 ERA) allowed four runs on six hits and four walks in just 3 2/3 innings in that 7-6 loss opposite Strider earlier this month. The Braves are 9-2 in the last 11 meetings in San Diego. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-18-23 | Knicks v. Cavs UNDER 214.5 | 90-107 | Win | 100 | 23 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. I had the under in Game 1 and here is what I said prior to the game: "The Cleveland Cavs owned the #1 defense in the NBA during the regular season, and they host a New York Knickerbockers team that was also above average defensively. When these teams played in December, it was one of the lowest scoring games all year. The Knicks won 92-81 at The Garden, and I wouldn't be surprised if we see another defensive clinic here in Cleveland in Game 1. The under is 6-1 in the Knicks last seven Conference Quarterfinals games, and the Cavs have failed to reach the total in four of their last five home games. The under is 6-2 in the Cavaliers last eight Conference Quarterfinals games." I am expecting more of the same in Game 2. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-17-23 | Warriors v. Kings UNDER 240 | 106-114 | Win | 100 | 20 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. |
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04-17-23 | Pirates v. Rockies -136 | Top | 14-3 | Loss | -136 | 19 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on COL. The Rockies are in last place in the NL West, but they return home to host a Pirates team that they have owned in recent meetings. Kyle Freeland will toe the rubber for the Rockies, and he's been dealing so far. He's allowed just a pair of runs in his three starts so far, and the Rockies are 2-1 in those games. The Pirates hand the ball to Rich Hill, who is still winless after three starts. Hill (0-2, 7.20 ERA) allowed a pair of runs on five hits and two walks in six innings in a 7-0 loss to Houston his last time out. The Pirates are 1-5 in the last six meetings in Colorado. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-17-23 | Panthers v. Bruins -1.5 | 1-3 | Win | 128 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BOS. Unlike the NBA, the NHL is all about parity. An 8th seed normally has a fighting chance against a #1 seed, but in the case of the Boston Bruins hosting Florida, we expect this to prove to me a mismatch. I am gonna call for a Gentleman's Sweep here. The Panthers are sending 30 year old journeyman goaltender Alex Lyon to the wolves here. I mean, normally when we refer to a player as a "journeyman", it means he's bounced around on many teams and might not have gotten a ton of ice time. Lyons has played the majority of his career in the AHL. He started just 15 games this season, which is a career high. The Bruins Linus Ullmark leads the NHL in GAA and save percentage, and his backup also ranks Top 5 in both categories. The Bruins broke the modern day record with 65 wins and 135 points this season. They should have little trouble getting past the Panthers. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-16-23 | Wolves v. Nuggets UNDER 224.5 | 80-109 | Win | 100 | 39 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Minnesota is coming off back to back unders in both of their play-in games, and they held the Thunder to just 95 points in their last game. The Nuggets own an elite defense, and they are particularly good at home. The under is 11-2 in the Nuggets last 13 overall, and they have failed to reach the total in five straight home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-16-23 | Heat v. Bucks UNDER 219.5 | 130-117 | Loss | -115 | 34 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Miami Heat owned the #1 scoring defense in the NBA this season, and in their play-in game against the Knicks they allowed just 91 points in a home win over Chicago. The Bulls were held to a single point in the last 3:47 of the game. The Bucks have failed to reach the total in five straight first round playoff games, and we should expect points to be hard to come by in Game 1 in Milwaukee. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-16-23 | Orioles v. White Sox -139 | 8-4 | Loss | -139 | 17 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CWS. The White Sox have split the first two games of this home series versus the Orioles, but the pitching matchup in Game 3 favors the home team. Dylan Cease will toe the slab for the Sox, and he's been dealing so far. Cease (2-0, 1.65 ERA) has struck out 24 batters in just 16 innings in three starts. The Orioles hand the ball to Grayson Rodriguez, who has allowed seven runs on 10 hits in 9 1/3 innings in two starts. The Orioles are 0-5 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-16-23 | Rockies v. Mariners -1.5 | 0-1 | Loss | -140 | 17 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SEA. The Mariners have out-scored the Rockies 14-5 in the first two games of this series, and the pitching matchup in Game 3 suggests another blowout. Luis Castillo will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's off to a fantastic start to the season. Castillo (1-0, 1.02 ERA) has allowed just two runs in 17 2/3 innings in his three starts. The Rockies hand the ball to Noah Davis, who makes a spot start. He posted a 4.15 ERA and a 1.62 WHIP in five appearances this Spring. The Rockies are 14-39 in their last 53 road games versus a right-handed starter. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-16-23 | Lakers v. Grizzlies -160 | Top | 128-112 | Loss | -160 | 99 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MEM. The Grizzlies were 35-6 on their home court, giving them the best home record in the NBA. The home team has won all three meetings between these teams this year, and Memphis won at home by a score of 121-109 in February. The Lakers looked good in the second half after trailing 60-49 at halftime. If they play like that here in Memphis, they will have a much tougher time coming back in the second half. Watching them blow a three point lead with just 1 second on the clock was a little alarming. This looks like a let down spot for the Lakers, and I like Memphis to win big. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-16-23 | Guardians -1.5 v. Nationals | 6-7 | Loss | -135 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CLE. The Nationals were expected to be one of the worst teams in the Majors, and at 4-11 they haven't disappointed. Sunday's matchup doesn't appear to bode well for the Nats. Shane Bieber will toe the slab for Cleveland, and he's off to a hot start. Bieber (1-0, 2.37 ERA) was solid on the road last season going 8-3 with a 2.65 ERA in 18 starts. The Nats hand the ball to Patrick Corbin, who is 0-2 with an 8.00 ERA at home in 2023. The Guardians are 13-3 in their last 16 interleague road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-15-23 | Rangers v. Astros -168 | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 14 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on HOU. So the World Series hangover has been in full effect for the Astros, and after losing Game 1 of this home series versus Texas they look to bounce back in Game 2. The pitching matchup appears to favor the home team. Jon Gray will toe the rubber for the Rangers, and he's off to a solid start. The 31 year old is 1-2 with a 3.00 ERA all time versus the Astros. Houston will hand the ball to Hunter Brown, who looks like a potential future ace of the staff. Brown gave up one unearned run on two hits while fanning seven in seven innings in a win at Minnesota in his last start. The Rangers are 16-40 in the last 56 head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-15-23 | Knicks v. Cavs UNDER 217 | 101-97 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Cleveland Cavs owned the #1 defense in the NBA during the regular season, and they host a New York Knickerbockers team that was also above average defensively. When these teams played in December, it was one of the lowest scoring games all year. The Knicks won 92-81 at The Garden, and I wouldn't be surprised if we see another defensive clinic here in Cleveland in Game 1. The under is 6-1 in the Knicks last seven Conference Quarterfinals games, and the Cavs have failed to reach the total in four of their last five home games. The under is 6-2 in the Cavaliers last eight Conference Quarterfinals games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-14-23 | Rockies v. Mariners -165 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 20 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on SEA. The Mariners got off the schnied with a win at Wrigley in the series finale, and they look good in Game 1 at home versus Colorado. Austin Gomber will toe the rubber for the Rockies, and he isn't even listed in their depth chart as a starting pitcher. He was an underwhelming 5-7 with a 5.56 ERA in 17 starts last year, and he's 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA in two starts so far in 2023. The Mariners hand the ball to Marco Gonzalez, who was a solid 6-6 with a 3.58 ERA at home last season. The Rockies are 25-57 in their last 82 road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-14-23 | Thunder v. Wolves UNDER 229 | 95-120 | Win | 100 | 20 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on Under. So this number opened at 227 and has since been bet up. I will fade the public here with a play on the under, and here is why: First off the Wolves have averaged well below 117 points per game in their last five overall. They only barely scored 100 in regulation and OT at LA in their last game. Minnesota won the last meeting at Oklahoma City in December by a score of 112-110. Four of the last five head to head meetings have gone under. The Thunder have failed to reach the total in four of their last five road games, and the under is 12-4 in the Wolves last 16 home games. I don't expect to see any easy buckets in an elimination game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-14-23 | Angels -112 v. Red Sox | 3-5 | Loss | -112 | 17 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on LAA. The Red Sox are in last place in the AL East, and the pitching matchup in Game 1 of this home series versus LA seems to favor the Angels. Patrick Sandoval will toe the slab for the Halos, and he's allowed a pair of runs on eight hits over 11 innings in his first two starts. Sandoval started 14 games on the road last season, posting an ERA of 2.54. The Red Sox hand the ball to Tanner Houck, who is off to a solid start. In a small sample size last season, he pitched far better on the road than he did at Fenway. The Angels are 10-3 in their last 13 games versus a right-handed starter. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-14-23 | Rays -130 v. Blue Jays | 3-6 | Loss | -130 | 17 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on TB. A lot of people will say that if you haven't been betting the Rays on their winning streak, then it's too late to join the party. Well I am not exactly jumping on the band wagon here, I had Tampa in their win over Boston yesterday, and I am going to keep riding them here in Toronto. Jose Berrios has been a disaster for the Jays, and after struggling in the Spring he has been roughed up in his first two starts. The Rays hand the ball to Drew Rasmussen, who has tossed 13 scoreless innings, striking out 15 in his first two starts. While I expect the Rays streak to end in Toronto, I don't think Game 1 is a good spot for the Jays. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-12-23 | A's v. Orioles -176 | 8-4 | Loss | -176 | 26 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Orioles. The Orioles have won the first two games on this home series versus Oakland, and I like their chances in Game 3 Wednesday. The Orioles hand the ball to Dean Kremer, who posted a 2.84 ERA in 10 home starts last year. After getting roughed up in Boston in his season debut, he pitched well enough for the Orioles to get a home win over the Yankees in his second start. The A's hand the ball to Ken Waldichuk, who has been torched for 14 runs on 17 hits in 8 2/3 innings so far this season. The Athletics are 18-42 in their last 60 road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-12-23 | Cardinals -172 v. Rockies | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 23 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on STL. The Cardinals have split the first two meetings in Colorado, but the pitching matchup appears to favor the Birds in Game 3. Jose Urena will toe the rubber for the Rockies, and he's been lit up in both his first two starts. He gave up 10 runs on a dozen hits in just five innings in two games. The Cardinals hand the ball to Jack Flaherty, who has been lights out so far. He's allowed just two runs on four hits in 10 innings in two starts. The Rockies are 7-21 in their last 28 during game 3 of a series, and they are 4-9 in their last 13 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-12-23 | Chelsea v. Real Madrid -143 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 53 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on RMA. This looks like a mismatch. Chelsea is reeling, recently firing manager Graham Potter, and hiring former player Frank Lampard as the new manager. Lampard has a record of 37-40-19 as a manager, so it seems a curious choice for a club with one of the highest payrolls in Europe. Chelsea has failed to score in three straight matches, while Madrid has scored a dozen in their last three. Karim Benzema ranks 4th all time in Champions League scoring, and he scored a hat trick at Liverpool earlier this year. I like Madrid to win this game in a blowout. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-12-23 | Astros -161 v. Pirates | 7-0 | Win | 100 | 20 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Houston. We can't blame the Astros for suffering a World Series hangover, but we don't expect it to last much longer. They come into Game 3 in Pittsburgh after splitting the first two games. The pitching matchup appears to favor Houston here. Jose Urquidy will toe the slab for the Astros, and he's allowed four runs on 14 hits, striking out 11 in 9 1/3 innings in his first two starts. He was 8-3 with a 3.73 ERA in 15 starts on the road last year. The Pirates hand the ball to Rich Hill, who at 43 years old doesn't appear to have much left in the tank. He's given up 10 runs and five home runs in nine innings in his two starts this season. The Pirates are 4-11 in their last 15 Interleague home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-11-23 | Tigers v. Blue Jays -1.5 | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 15 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Toronto. The Jays have played the first 10 games of the season on the road, and they are all geared up for their home opener versus the Tigers Tuesday. Matt Manning will toe the slab for the Tigers, and he could be in for a rough ride. After posting a WHIP over 2.00 in Spring Training, he got the win in his season debut at Houston. He faces a Blue Jays lineup that leads the majors in team batting average. The Jays hand the ball to Alek Manoah, who tossed seven scoreless innings allowing just one hit in a win over KC in his last start. He was 7-4 with a 2.42 ERA in 15 home starts in 2022. The Jays are 4-1 in their last five versus Detroit, and all of those wins came by 2+ runs. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-11-23 | Hawks v. Heat UNDER 227 | 116-105 | Win | 100 | 29 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The last time these teams played the total went over the number in a 130-128 Miami win. This game was the second of a two game series in Miami, which is somewhat of an anomaly. The under had cashed in eight of the previous nine head to head meetings. Miami owns the 2nd best scoring defense in the NBA, one of only two teams to allow less than 110 points per game. Last year only one of six Play-in games saw more than 225 combined points. The under is 36-16 in the last 52 meetings in Miami. I will bet on the defense to be the story here in Miami. The Hawks played in seven post-season games last year, and only one of those saw more than 225 combined points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-11-23 | Bayern Munich v. Manchester City -130 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 29 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MCI. Six time Champions League winners Bayern Munich will be the underdog at the Etihad in the first leg of this Champions League Quarterfinal. Bayern has not impressed with recent form, and this team is really missing Robert Lewandowski. The Polish International scored 50 goals in all competitions last year with Bayern, and he is replaced by Sadio Mane and Jamaal Musiala. Between the two of them they have scored just 17 goals in the Bundesliga this season. Manchester City is stacked, with Norwegian phenom Erling Haaland breaking the teams single season goal scoring record in the middle of the season. Manchester City has a +33 goal differential in 14 home matches in the Premier League this season. I think Bayern would do well to keep this game close, and a loss by one goal might not be a bad result heading into the second leg. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-10-23 | Brewers +1.5 v. Diamondbacks | 0-3 | Loss | -150 | 23 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Brewers +1.5. The Brew Crew are off to a great start, and they look good as an underdog here in Game 1 in Arizona. Wade Miley will toe the slab for the Brewers, and he was dealing in his season debut. Miley tossed six scoreless innings in a 9-0 win over the Mets. The D'Backs will hand the ball to Zac Gallen, who was fantastic in 2022. He struggled in Spring Training and got rocked in his season debut. The Diamondbacks are 1-10 in their last 11 during game 1 of a series, and they are 1-5 in their last six games versus a left-handed starter. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-10-23 | Islanders -154 v. Capitals | 2-5 | Loss | -154 | 20 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Islanders. The Isles currently sit in the final Wild Card spot in the East, but Pittsburgh is just one point behind them. The Capitals are already eliminated, and they likely have one foot already on the golf course. “Obviously we're out of the playoffs, but we're trying to play spoiler," Strome said. "I thought (Lindgren) had an unbelievable game. That game is probably 5-2, 6-2 if it's not for him in the third period ... you could see they were really pressing, they need the points.” The Caps have lost six straight overall, and they are 0-7 in games without Alex Ovechkin. Ovechkin was one of four players that missed the last game due to injuries. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-10-23 | Sharks v. Jets -1.5 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 20 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on WPG. The Jets host the Sharks in a must win game on Monday night, and San Jose already has one foot on the golf course. The Sharks have lost 20 of their last 25 games overall, and they are 17-41 in their last 58 road games. The Jets are currently occupying the final Wild Card spot in the West, but Calgary is just one point back. Winnipeg should blow the doors off here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-09-23 | Blue Jays v. Angels +1.5 | 12-11 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on LAA. The Angels won Game 2 of this home series versus Toronto by a score of 9-5. I like that momentum to carry over here in Game 3. Yusei Kickuchi will toe the slab for Toronto, and while he was brilliant this Spring and solid in his season debut, he hasn't had success against LA. The Halos hand the ball to Reid Detmers, who is famous for tossing a no-no in his rookie season. He stood out this Spring striking out 27 batters in 20 innings. The Angels lineup has hit a combined .344 over 90 at bats versus Kickuchi. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-09-23 | Arsenal v. Liverpool | Top | 2-2 | Push | 0 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Liverpool. So it's a down year for Liverpool, coming into Sunday's match winless in their last four in all competitions. They failed to score in three of those four matches. The good news is that all those results came away from Anfield, and their last home match was a record breaking 7-0 win over Manchester United. They have just one loss in 13 home matches this season, and they have won six straight home games versus Arsenal. They rested several players in a midweek draw at Chelsea, and that means almost everyone is fit for this clash versus Arsenal. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-08-23 | Flames -155 v. Canucks | 2-3 | Loss | -155 | 33 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CAL. The Flames are coming off a huge 3-1 win at Winnipeg, and they face another must win game in Vancouver Saturday. The Canucks aren't going to lay down, but Calgary has had success in Vancouver winning seven of their last 10. Calgary is 5-1 in their last six overall, and they have won four of their last five on the road. Vancouver has lost four of five, and four of five at home. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-08-23 | Blue Jays v. Angels -108 | Top | 5-9 | Win | 100 | 30 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Angels. Toronto won Game 1 in Anaheim, but the pitching matchup in Game 2 favors the Angels. Jose Berrios will toe the slab for the Jays, and he got lit up in his season debut. He allowed eight runs on nine hits and two walks in 5 2/3 innings in a loss to KC. He faced the Angels once last year, allowing six runs on six hits in just 2 1/3 innings. The Angels hand the ball to Tyler Anderson, who was lights out for the Dodgers last year. He picked up right where he left off, tossing six scoreless in his Angels debut. The Angels are 6-1 in their last seven home games, and they are 8-3 in their last 11 games versus a right-handed starter. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-08-23 | Flyers v. Islanders -1.5 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 16 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NYI. The Isles currently hold the final Wild Card spot in the East, but Pittsburgh is hot on their heels just one point back. Both teams play must win games today, and each team has an opponent with one foot already on the golf course. The Isles have the luxury of playing at home versus the Flyers. They are 8-2 SU in their last 10 versus Philly, and they are 5-0 in their last five home games versus the Flyers. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-08-23 | Predators v. Jets -165 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 16 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the JETS. It's kind of ironic that the Predators are in Winnipeg tonight battling for the final Wild Card spot in the West. These two teams took the opposite approach at the trade deadline, with Nashville dumping veteran talent and Winnipeg looking to add players for a playoff run. One of those players is former Predator Nino Niederreiter. He's scored goals in two of his last three games. The Jets have owned their own division, going 20-8 in their last 28 versus the Central. The opposite is true for Nashville, going 8-20 in their last 28 in the Central. Too many injuries for the Preds, and Winnipeg is a tough place to play. I expect the Jets to blow the doors off here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-08-23 | A's v. Rays -1.5 | 0-11 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TB -1.5. At the risk of appearing to go after low hanging fruit, I can't pass on the 7-0 Rays at home versus the worst team in baseball with a pitching mismatch in their favor. Jeff Springs dominated Spring Training, tossing 14 scoreless innings and racking up a whopping 24 Ks. All he did in his season debut is toss six scoreless fanning a dozen. The A's hand the ball to their 5th starter Shintaro Fujinami, who was torched for eight runs on five hits in 2 1/3 innings in his debut. His 17 walks in 17 innings this Spring should have been a red flag. The Rays are 37-17 in their last 54 home games, while the Athletics are 18-39 in their last 57 road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-08-23 | Villarreal v. Real Madrid -170 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -170 | 24 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on RMA. Real Madrid has won their last two games by a combined score of 10-0. Ballon Dor winner Karim Benzema has scored six goals in those games. They host Villarreal here on Saturday, and I wouldn't want to step in front of this juggernaut right now. Madrid has not lost in 13 home games this season, and they have a +23 goal differential in those matches. Madrid has scored more than double (32) goals at home, than Villarreal have scored on the road (15). GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-08-23 | Penguins -166 v. Red Wings | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 25 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Pens. Pittsburgh is just one point out of a Wild Card spot in the Eastern Conference, and they face a must win game on the road at Detroit Saturday. The Red Wings have already been eliminated from the playoffs, and this could be a let down spot off an overtime loss to Buffalo. The Red Wings are 6-13 in their last 19 overall, and the road team has won five of the last seven in this series. I'll fade a home team that already has one foot on the golf course. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-07-23 | Nationals v. Rockies OVER 11 | 10-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. After a rare 1-0 game at Coors Field, we expect Game 2 of this series to be a slugfest. Jose Urena will toe the rubber for the Rockies, and he got rocked in his debut. He gave up four runs on five hits and four walks in just 2 1/3 innings in an 8-4 loss to the Padres. The Nats hand the ball to McKenzie Gore, who looked good in his first start. He was 0-2 with a 19.89 ERA in two starts versus the Rockies last year. The over is 12-5 in the last 17 meetings in Colorado. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-07-23 | Magic v. Nets -10.5 | 84-101 | Win | 100 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BKN. The Nets are sitting in sixth place in the East, just a game in front of the Miami Heat. With both teams playing tonight, there is little margin for error. The Magic are expected to roll out their backups, resting their starters in what is a meaningless game for them. The Nets are coming off a 15-point win at Detroit, and they figure to roll here at home in a game with massive playoff implications.. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-07-23 | White Sox -130 v. Pirates | 9-13 | Loss | -130 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CWS. The Pirates are off to a 4-2 start, despite finishing 14th out of 15 teams in the Grapefruit League this Spring. They host the White Sox Friday and the pitching matchup appears to favor the visitors. Lucas Giolito will toe the slab for the Sox, and he was solid in his debut. He allowed two earned runs on five hits, striking out six in five innings in a no decision at Houston. He was 6-2 with a 3.83 ERA in 16 starts on the road last season. The Pirates hand the ball to 43 year old Rich Hill, who got clobbered in Spring Training and failed to impress in his season debut. He gave up three runs on three hits, a pair of home runs and a pair of walks in five innings in a loss at Cincinnati. The White Sox are 12-2 in their last 14 Interleague road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-06-23 | Nuggets v. Suns -6.5 | 115-119 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PHX. Denver has already locked up the best record in the West, and home court advantage until the Finals. They have nothing to prove here in Phoenix, so we expect Jamal Murray and Joker to be rested. The Suns have won six straight, and they are still developing chemistry with KD. The Nuggets are 3-7 ATS in the last 10 meetings in this series. The Suns average margin of victory on their current win streak is greater than 13 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-06-23 | Lightning v. Islanders -114 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 20 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NYI. The Islanders face a must win game at home versus Tampa tonight, but this is actually a good spot for New York. Tampa is coming off a 6-3 loss to the Rangers, and they are scheduled to start their backup goalie here in the second game of a back to back. Brian Elliott has lost his last three road starts, giving up a whopping 18 goals in those games. Tampa has struggled in back to back situations, going 1-10 in their last 11 games playing on 0 days rest. The home team has won seven of the last nine meetings between these teams. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-06-23 | Padres v. Braves -156 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 19 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ATL. The Braves host the Padres in Game 1 in Atlanta, and the pitching matchup appears to favor the home team. Spencer Strider will toe the slab for the Braves, and he was lights out in his season debut. He tossed six scoreless innings, allowing three hits and striking out nine in a win at Washington. He was 6-1 with a 2.17 ERA in 16 starts at home last season. The Padres hand the ball to Blake Snell, who struggled in his debut. He allowed three runs on six hits in 4 1/3 innings in a 7-2 loss to the Rockies. Atlanta's lineup is batting .396 over a combined 48 at bats versus Snell. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-05-23 | Guardians v. A's OVER 8 | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Oakland A's were picked by many to be the worst team in the major leagues, but they have been surprisingly competitive so far. They have split the first two games of this home series versus Cleveland, and we expect to see a slugfest in Game 3. Hunter Gaddis will toe the slab for Cleveland, and he got rocked in Seattle in his season debut. He allowed four runs on five hits in 3 2/3 innings. The A's hand the ball to Kyle Muller, who was solid in five innings on Opening Day. He didn't look sharp last season and struggled in the Spring. The over is 12-3-1 in the Guardians last 16 versus a team with a losing record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-05-23 | Giants v. White Sox -133 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CWS. The White Sox sre coming off a 12-3 loss in Game 1 of this home series versus San Francisco, but they look good to get back on track in Game 2 with their ace on the mound. Dylan Cease will toe the slab for the Sox, and he was dealing in his season debut. He allowed one run on two hits, striking out 10 in 6 1/3 innings in a win at Houston. He won his only start versus the Giants last year, allowing one run in five innings. The Giants hand the ball to Logan Webb, who was roughed up in his debut in the Bronx. He gave up four runs on four hits and two walks, and a pair of home runs in a 5-0 loss. He faced Chicago once last year, allowing five runs on six hits in six innings in a loss. The White Sox are 20-8 in their last 28 Interleague games versus a right-handed starter. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-05-23 | Orioles v. Rangers OVER 7.5 | 2-5 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. We see a low total in today's Game 3 in Texas, despite the fact that Baltimore is sending a rookie pitcher to the mound. Grayson Rodriguez will get the call up from Triple A, and he has spent the last five seasons in the minors. He struggled this Spring, posting an ERA over 7.00. The Rangers hand the ball to Jacob deGrom, who didn't look sharp in his season debut. He allowed five runs on six hits in 3 2/3 innings in a loss to Philly. The Orioles have won eight straight at Texas, and four of the last five have gone over the total. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-04-23 | Blue Jays -158 v. Royals | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 15 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Toronto. The Blue Jays are not off to the start they were hoping for, but they look good to turn things around tonight in Kansas City. Yusei Kickuchi will toe the slab for the Jays, and he's coming off a solid spring. He posted a 0.92 WHIP and struck out 31 batters in 20 innings of work. The Royals hand the ball to Kris Bubic, who got rocked at home last year. He was 1-6 with a 5.80 ERA in 14 starts at Kaufman Stadium. A WHIP of 1.55 in five appearances this Spring is not a good sign. The Blue Jays are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-04-23 | Penguins +1.5 v. Devils | 1-5 | Loss | -175 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PIT +1.5. |
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04-04-23 | Diamondbacks v. Padres OVER 7 | 8-6 | Win | 100 | 15 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. We cashed the over in Game 1 at PETCO, but at first glance Game 2 looks like a potential pitcher's duel. Not so fast though, Yu Darvish and Zach Gallen aren't exactly coming in hot. Gallen (0-1, 9.64 ERA) struggled in the Spring, and then got roughed up by the Dodgers on Opening Day. He was 0-1 with a 4.96 ERA in three starts versus San Diego last year. Darvish missed Spring training as he was competing with Japan in the World Baseball Classic. He pitched in three games allowing five runs on seven hits (three home runs). The Padres have gone over in five straight against right-handed pitchers. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-03-23 | Diamondbacks v. Padres OVER 8 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Padres are 2-2 heading into Game 1 of this home series versus Arizona. The D'Backs are also 2-2, and both these teams are turning to the back end of their rotation. Ryan Weathers will toe the slab for San Diego, and he has yet to have any success in the major leagues. He is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA in four career appearances versus Arizona. His numbers this Spring suggest his time in the rotation might be short lived. The D'Backs hand the ball to Ryne Nelson, and the rookie was roughed up in Spring Training. He was 1-2 with a 5.85 ERA and a 1.60 WHIP in six appearances. The over is 7-3 in the Padres last 10 home games, and they have gone over in six of their last eight home games versus a right-handed starter. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-03-23 | San Diego State v. Connecticut UNDER 132.5 | Top | 59-76 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Aztecs streak of unders ended in a 72-71 win over FAU in the Final Four. Both teams shot out the lights from beyond the arc, with the Owls hitting over 40 percent and San Diego State better than 50 percent. I won't bank on seeing that again in the Final. The under is 17-5 in the Aztecs last 22 overall, and the under is 27-9 in their last 36 neutral site games. UCONN also plays a tough defensive brand of basketball, and the under is 7-2 in the Huskies last nine overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-03-23 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Everton OVER 2.25 | 1-1 | Loss | -57 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. So Spurs have parted ways with their manager, and often we see such a change of direction provide a spark for a team. They will play at Everton, and the Toffees are desperate for points as they look to avoid relegation. Spurs have scored six goal in their last two matches, and Everton has scored three goals in their two matches before the International break. Don't be surprised if we see a 2-2 draw here at Goodison Park. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-02-23 | Ducks v. Flames -1.5 | 4-5 | Loss | -170 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on the Flames. The Rubber Duckies are dead in the water, with one foot on the golf course. Calgary is fighting for the last Wild Card spot in the West. The Ducks are 15-42 in their last 57 road games, and they are 3-13 in their last 16 games playing in the second game of a back to back. The home team is 60-27 in the last 87 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-02-23 | Phillies v. Rangers -110 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Texas. The Rangers bats have put a major league best 27 runs on the board, and I wouldn't dare go against them in Game 3 of this home series versus Philly. Martin Perez will toe the slab for Texas, and at the midway point last year he was in the Cy Young conversation. Perez faced Philly twice last year, holding them scoreless while fanning 10 in 13 innings. His effort this Spring suggests he's ready to pick up right where he left off. The Phillies hand the ball to Bailey Falter, who earned the 5th spot in the rotation. This Spring he appeared in six games, and over 18 innings he put 28 men on base. The Phillies are 1-10 in the last 11 meetings in Texas. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-02-23 | Devils v. Jets +102 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 102 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Winnipeg Jets The Jets currently hold the final Wild Card spot in the West, and that makes tonight's home game against New Jersey a must win. The Devils won 6-3 at Chicago yesterday, and could be in a let down spot here in the second game of a back to back. The Devils have not had much success against the Jets, losing nine of the last 11 meetings. The Jets have won four of their last five home games versus New Jersey. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-02-23 | Flyers v. Penguins -204 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on the Pens. It's a must win game for Pittsburgh battling for the last Wild Card spot in the East, and Philly is a team that had one foot on the golf course. The price his pretty high, but it really should be much higher. The home team is 12-5 in the last 17 meetings, and Philly has lost six of their last seven in Steel Town. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-02-23 | Jazz v. Nets -8.5 | 110-111 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BKN. So who won the Kyrie Irving trade?? I guess it's pretty clear that Brooklyn is on the better end of that deal. The Mavs have dropped out of the playoffs, while the Nets are not only in the playoffs, it looks like they can also avoid the play in. A home game against a Utah team that is without at least three starters should be a blowout. The Nets have covered in six straight, and they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-02-23 | Bruins v. Blues +1.5 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on STL +1.5. So the Bruins have already clinched the Playoffs, the division, and the best record in the NHL. So playing the second game of a back to back in an early game in St. Louis looks like one helluva let down spot. The Blues are 6-3 straight up in their last nine overall, but they are 8-1 ATS in those games. The underdog is 5-2 in the last seven meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-01-23 | Guardians v. Mariners -133 | 2-0 | Loss | -133 | 19 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SEA. The Mariners lost Game 2 largely because of three errors in the field. I like Seattle to get back on track in Game 3. Aaron Civale will toe the slab for Cleveland, and he was 1-3 with a 5.88 ERA in 11 road starts in 2022. The Mariners hand the ball to Logan Gilbert, who was outstanding in 2022. He was 1-0 with a 3.78 ERA and a .90 WHIP in five starts this Spring. Cleveland has lost five of their last six versus Seattle and seven of their last nine at Safeco. |
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04-01-23 | Miami-FL v. Connecticut -5.5 | 59-72 | Win | 100 | 104 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UCONN. The Hurricanes were down by a dozen with just over 10 minutes to go in their Elite-8 win over Texas. They tied the score five minutes later, and never looked back. Miami simply couldn't miss, and Texas just collapsed. I don't see that happening here in the Final Four versus UCONN. Keep in mind that this team started the season 13-0, and that included a win over Alabama. They were ranked #2 in the country. The Huskies are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 NCAA Tournament games, four time National Champions, and they are in the Final Four for the sixth time. They appear to be destined to go to the Final. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-01-23 | Clippers v. Pelicans -145 | Top | 114-122 | Win | 100 | 18 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the PELICANS. This is the second game of a back to back for the Clippers, and Kawhi Leonard played last night. We will see if any Clippers will be rested for load management tonight. The Pelicans have won six of their last seven overall, and they are 8-1 straight up in their last nine versus the Clippers. The Clippers are 6-22 ATS in the last 28 meetings in New Orleans. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-01-23 | Panthers -1.5 v. Blue Jackets | 7-0 | Win | 115 | 16 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on FLA. The Panthers sit just one point back of Pittsburgh for the final Wild Card spot in the East, and they face a must win game in Columbus tonight. The Blue Jackets are already polishing their golf clubs, eliminated from playoff contention. Columbus is just 3-10 in their last 13 games overall, and eight of those 10 losses came by more than one goal. The Panthers have won eight of the last 10 versus Columbus, and seven of those eight wins came by more than one goal. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-01-23 | Florida Atlantic v. San Diego State -125 | Top | 71-72 | Win | 100 | 136 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SDSU. The Aztecs will be just a slight favorite here against the Florida Atlantic Owls, and San Diego State has been dominant defensively in the tournament so far. They have held three of their four opponents to fewer than 60 points, with the exception being a 71-64 win over Alabama. The Aztecs have gone under in 12 straight overall, and we expect another defensive battle here. The Owls have escaped from some close calls, but I think their luck runs out here in the Final Four. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-01-23 | Florida Atlantic v. San Diego State UNDER 132 | Top | 71-72 | Loss | -110 | 101 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Aztecs will be just a slight favorite here against the Florida Atlantic Owls, and San Diego State has been dominant defensively in the tournament so far. They have held three of their four opponents to fewer than 60 points, with the exception being a 71-64 win over Alabama. The Aztecs have gone under in 12 straight overall, and we expect another defensive battle here. The Owls have escaped from some close calls, but I think their luck runs out here in the Final Four. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-01-23 | Orioles +1.5 v. Red Sox | 8-9 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Baltimore +1.5. The Red Sox will be a big favorite in Game 2 versus Baltimore, and I think the price is rather inflated. Chris Sales will toe the slab for the Sox, coming off an injury plagued 2022 season. He didn't exactly dominate this Spring, posting an ERA over 4.00 and allowing 17 hits in 15 innings. The Orioles hand the ball to Dean Kremer, who has outstanding for the Orioles last season. He was 0-2 with a 4.50 ERA in three starts versus Boston, but a closer look reveals that the Orioles were 2-1 ATS in those games. We aren't expecting Sale to log a lot of innings in his first start, and Boston ranked dead last in the AL in ERA by relief pitcher in 2022. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-01-23 | Brewers v. Cubs +1.5 | 3-1 | Loss | -152 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Chicago +1.5. I had the Cubs on Opening Day, and I said the wrong team was favored. I'll take Chicago again in Game 2 as I think that is still the case. Brandon Woodruff will toe the slab for the Brewers, and he didn't have much success against the Cubs last year. He was 0-1 with a 5.28 ERA in three starts versus Chicago. The Cubs hand the ball to Justin Steele, who looks to take the next step after a pretty solid 2022 campaign. He was 1-1 with a 2.03 ERA in six starts versus the Brewers. The Brewers are 1-5 in the last six meetings at Wrigley. GL, Jesse Schule |
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04-01-23 | Aston Villa v. Chelsea -147 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -147 | 8 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Chelsea. It's been a disastrous season for Chelsea despite having the highest payroll in the Premier League. The spending spree has brought in star players but the results haven't translated on the pitch. Chelsea sits 10th in the table, tied on points with Aston Villa. The two teams will play at Stamford Bridge Saturday, and the bookmakers are offering a reasonable price on the home favorite. Keep in mind that Chelsea is 9-1-1 in their last 11 Premier League matches versus Aston Villa, with only one loss in their last 19 home matches. Villa comes in undefeated in their last four matches, but all those games were against teams facing relegation. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-31-23 | Stars v. Coyotes +1.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -120 | 22 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ARI. So the Coyotes suck right?? They have lost five in a row, they are eliminated from the playoffs and they sit 30 points back of tonight's opponent the Dallas Stars. Well it may surprise you to learn that Arizona has as many home wins (20) as the defending Stanley Cup champion Colorado Avalanche. While they have lost five straight, they are 4-1 ATS in those games. They are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-31-23 | Guardians v. Mariners -155 | 9-4 | Loss | -155 | 20 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SEA. |