Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-08-22 | Raiders v. Rams OVER 43.5 | 16-17 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. Heading into the season we thought the duo of Derek Carr and Davante Adams would put up huge numbers. They got off to a slow start, but over the last five games Adams is averaging over 132 receiving yards per game. He also has seven TDs during that span. The Raiders come into LA as winners of three in a row, and they face a Rams defense decimated by injuries. Geno Smith threw for 367 yards and three TDs in LA on Sunday. Despite a lost season for the Rams, they were still competitive against Seattle. These games may just be an opportunity for players like Cam Akers and Van Jefferson to pad their stats. The Raiders 26th ranked defense allows 25 points per game, so there should be opportunities. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-07-22 | Dayton v. Virginia Tech -7.5 | 49-77 | Win | 100 | 19 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on VT. This is a revenge spot for the home team, as Dayton beat the Hokies in Ohio last year by a score of 62-57. They didn't fare so well in non-conference road games, losing at SMU and Ole Miss by a combined 16 points. This will be just their second road game this season, losing 60-52 at UNLV last month. The Flyers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall. The Hokies are 6-0 at home, and the average margin of victory in those games is 17 points. This should be a double digit win for the home team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-07-22 | Lakers v. Raptors -8 | 113-126 | Win | 100 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TOR. I bet the under in the Lakers loss at Cleveland last night, and here is what I said before that game: "So the Lakers are rolling again coming into Cleveland as winners of eight of their last 10 overall. They have averaged 130 points per game in their last five, but they will be taking on the #1 scoring defense in the NBA here in Cleveland. History suggests we could see a lower scoring battle tonight. The Cavs have gone under five straight overall, and they have held opponents to just 93 points per game during that span. The under is 5-0 in their last five home games." They play their second game of a back to back north of the border, and AD might be out with an illness and you have to think they will be tempted to rest LeBron. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-06-22 | Canadiens v. Seattle Kraken OVER 6.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. Montreal is coming off a wild 7-6 OT loss at Vancouver, in a game that saw them blow a 4-0 lead. We might see another high score here in Seattle, as the Kraken have one of the league's best power play units and one of the worst penalty killing units. The over is 6-0 in the Canadiens last six games following an OT game. The Habs have also gone over in 12 of their last 16 when playing the second game of a back to back. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-06-22 | Lakers v. Cavs UNDER 224.5 | 102-116 | Win | 100 | 14 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. So the Lakers are rolling again coming into Cleveland as winners of eight of their last 10 overall. They have averaged 130 points per game in their last five, but they will be taking on the #1 scoring defense in the NBA here in Cleveland. History suggests we could see a lower scoring battle tonight. The Cavs have gone under five straight overall, and they have held opponents to just 93 points per game during that span. The under is 5-0 in their last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-06-22 | Switzerland v. Portugal OVER 2 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. Portugal will be a favorite in their knockout round match versus Switzerland, and I expect to see both teams score here. Portugal has plenty of offensive talent, and it was on display in the Group Stages scoring six goals in three matches. Switzerland also showed offensive prowess in a 3-2 win over Serbia in their final match of the first round. These two teams have scored a combined 10 goals in the last three head to head meetings. I can't see either of these teams posting a clean sheet. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-05-22 | Saints v. Bucs -180 | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 164 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Tampa. While the Bucs have significant injury concerns on the offensive line and the secondary, I am not sure that a Saints team that has lost four straight road games and sits dead last in the NFC South standings can upset the division leaders. Tom Brady versus Andy Dalton in a Prime Time game with playoff implications, I gotta go with the Bucs. The last tine the Red Rifle won a Monday night game was with Cincinnati back in 2014, he's 0-6 since. Brady has Evans, Godwin and Jones all healthy, and while a makeshift offensive line might force him to get get rid of the ball in a hurry, he's proven more than capable of doing just that. In fact he has the quickest release time of any current starting QB since the start of last season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-05-22 | Celtics v. Raptors +1.5 | Top | 116-110 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Raptors. Everyone in the NBA knows it's not easy to win in Toronto, and yet the Celtics come into Monday's game as favorites. This is a tough spot for Boston, playing the second game of a back to back off a big win in Brooklyn. Jalen Brown played 40 minutes last night, and Jason Tatum logged 37 minutes. Marcus Smart is out with an injury, and the Raptors are back to full strength. Toronto should get the W here in this spot. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-05-22 | South Korea v. Brazil OVER 2.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. We haven't seen Brazil really play an aggressive brand of football yet at this World Cup. After beating Serbia 2-0, they won 1-0 over Switzerland with a late goal. Already having locked up first in the group, they lost 1-0 to Cameroon in the last game of the Group Stages. Expect a different story here against a Korean team that has scored four goals in their last two games. Here in the knockout round nobody is playing for a draw. Expect Brazil to get a goal in the first half, and all hell might break loose after that. These teams have gone over in four of their last five meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-04-22 | Grizzlies v. Pistons +7 | 122-112 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on DET. The Grizzlies are just a game out of first in the Southwest, but they have really struggled on the road. They are asked to cover a big number here in the Motor City, but the Pistons are looking pretty good about now. Detroit is 3-3 straight up in their last six overall, but they have covered the spread in six of their last seven. The Pistons are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win. The Grizzlies are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 road games. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-04-22 | Chargers -150 v. Raiders | 20-27 | Loss | -150 | 266 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on LAC. The Raiders are coming off a 40-34 win at Seattle, and they had over 500 total yards in the victory. They will be in LA to take on the Chargers, and LA is banged up on defense. Justin Herbert is one of five QBs in the NFL with over 3,000 yards passing, which is even more impressive when you consider he's missed his top two WRs for most of the season. Keenan Allen is back, and he caught a TD pass against Arizona last week. The over is 8-3 in the Chargers last 11 games following a ATS loss. I expect this game to be a shootout, and I don't see Derek Carr winning a duel against Justin Herbert. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-04-22 | Seahawks -150 v. Rams | 27-23 | Win | 100 | 266 h 0 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on SEA. The Seahawks are just a game out of first place in the NFC West, and they play a Rams team that is going through the motions as this season looks like a lost cause. Matthew Stafford, Cooper Kupp and Aaron Donald are all out for the Rams. LA has lost five straight, four of those by 7+ points. Seattle is coming off a home loss to the Raiders, but the Seahawks are 41-20-4 ATS in their last 65 games following a straight up loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-04-22 | Senegal v. England -187 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 23 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on England. This England team has been to the Quarterfinals at the last World Cup, and followed that up with an appearance in the Finals at Euro2020. The opened the tournament with a 6-2 win over Irah, and aside from a scoreless draw versus USMNT, they have looked like maybe the best team at the tournament. Senegal finished second in Group A with wins over Qatar and Ecuador, but lost 2-0 to Netherlands. What's alarming for Senegal is they have no clean sheets. I think it's asking too much of the Senegal defense to keep this mighty England attack at bay. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-04-22 | Jaguars v. Lions -115 | 14-40 | Win | 100 | 132 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on DET. The Lions have won three of their last four overall, with the one loss during that span coming on Thanksgiving against Super Bowl favorites Buffalo. They get a few extra days to rest up and prepare for the Jags, and this looks like a potential let down spot for Jacksonville. Despite being out-ganed 415-332 in total yards, the Jags upset the Ravens at home last week. They lost RB Travis Etienne to a sprained foot, and his status is in question this week. The Jaguars are 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine road games, and they have failed to cover in seven of their last nine coming off a win. They have lost three straight at Ford Field, and that's a trend we expect to continue. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-03-22 | Wichita State v. Kansas State -6.5 | Top | 50-55 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on K-State. The Wildcats are coming off their first loss of the season, on the road at Butler. A home game against Wichita State looks like a good spot to get back on track. Wichita State had three players score in double digits last season, and all three are gone. One went to the NBA (Tyson Ettienne) and two transfered. The Wildcats have three senior starters averaging in double digits, and this gives them a huge edge in experience. Kansas State has won both their home games by double digits, and the Shockers are likely to be overmatched here in Manhattan. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-03-22 | Central Florida v. Tulane -160 | 28-45 | Win | 100 | 75 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Tulane. This is a revenge spot for Tulane after losing 38-31 to UCF last month. John Rys Plumlee ran for 176 yards in the win, and we aren't even certain he is going to play in the rematch. If he does play, he's going to be hard pressed to run for 176 yards on a sore hamstring. The Green Wave are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 conference games, and 14-3 ATS in their last 17 overall. They have the top ranked defense in the American, and they come into this game playing the better football. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-03-22 | Kansas State +110 v. TCU | 31-28 | Win | 110 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on K-State. The betting line for this game tells you everything you need to know. The 12-0 Horned Frogs aren't even asked to cover a FG against a three loss K-State team?? Well the bookmakers, the public and the sharps all know that K-State was taking TCU behind the wood shed back in October. They opened up a 28-10 lead in the middle of the 2nd quarter, but then they lost both their first and second string QBs, and everything went to hell. We have every reason to believe that the Wildcats will give TCU fits here in this revenge spot. Kansas State has outscored opponents by 122 points in the first half of games this season, and the Horned Frogs have been plagued by slow starts. Consider a 1st half play as well. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-03-22 | United States v. Netherlands -105 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Netherlands. The USMNT has been impressive here at the World Cup, particularly in their scoreless draw against England. They caught England in a let down spot, and the draw was actually a result that both teams were content with at the time. It's the knockout round now, and the football giants aren't playing for draws anymore. Holland has the best defender in the world in Virgil Van Djik, and they have conceded just one goal so far. They have not been held scoreless in any of their last 11 matches, here at the World Cup and in qualifying. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-02-22 | 76ers v. Grizzlies -5.5 | 109-117 | Win | 100 | 18 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Memphis. The Grizzlies host Philly Friday night, and the Sixers are still banged up. Maxey and Harden are out, and Tobias Harris is questionable with an illness. The Sixers are 8-17-1 ATS in their last 26 road games, and they are 0-4 ATS in their last four at Memphis. The Grizzlies are 27-9 ATS in their last 36 home games. The last time Philly played at Memphis they lost by 35 points (126-91). GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-02-22 | Utah v. USC -145 | 47-24 | Loss | -145 | 79 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on USC. This is a revenge game for the Trojans, who lost 43-42 at Utah earlier in the year. Cam Rising threw for 415 yards and two TDs on 30-of-44 passing in that game, and the Utes scored a TD and converted on a two-point try in the final minute. Rising struggled in the loss at Oregon, throwing for 170 yards and three INTs on 21-of-36 passing. The Trojans have a playoff berth on the line, and a Heisman favorite at QB. This game looks like it will be a shootout, and the Trojans have more weapons. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-02-22 | South Dakota State v. Kent State -7 | 68-83 | Win | 100 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on KENT. It comes as no surprise that Kent State is off to a good start, with an overall record of 5-2, and a 4-0 home record. They have three senior starters, all scoring in double digits. The Golden Flashes are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 home games, and they are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games overall. They host South Dakota State, and the Jack Rabbits have failed to cover in five straight versus a team with a winning record. South Dakota State lost two of it's top three scorers from last season via transfer, and the other to graduation. This should prove to be a mismatch. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-02-22 | Brazil v. Cameroon OVER 2.5 | 0-1 | Loss | -135 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. We saw three of the four games at the World Cup yesterday go over the total, which should come as no surprise considering that in the final match of the Group Stages certain teams are forced to throw caution to the wind as they need to win in order to qualify. Unlike the first two matches when they are content to play for a draw, they need to push, take chances and go for the win. Then you have other teams that have already qualified (Brazil) who will rest starters and don't necessarily need a result. Brazil's backups are more than capable of putting a ball or two in the net, and that's especially true against a Cameroon squad that rarely posts a clean sheet. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-01-22 | Bills v. Patriots UNDER 45 | Top | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 152 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Under. The last game played at Gillette Stadium saw the Patriots score just three points up until the final five seconds of regulation. They were quite fortunate that they held the Jets to just three points on just 103 yards of offense. They were even luckier to return a punt for a touchdown to walk the game off for the win. They host the Buffalo Bills on Thursday night, and both these teams boast Top 5 scoring defenses each allowing just 18 points per game. The weatherman says it's going to be cold with rain and wind (if you can trust the forecast several days out). The Pats have held opponents to three points or less in three of their last four games. I think 21 points will be enough to win this game GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-30-22 | CS-Fullerton v. Seattle University -9.5 | 62-69 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Seattle. This line looks a little short when you look at the overall body of work for Seattle University. The Redhawks suffered their first loss of the season on the road at Washington over the weekend. They are 5-1 overall, and 3-0 at home. They have outscored opponents by more than 30 points per game at home, and they have faced some strong teams. They won by a dozen in a home win over Portland State, a team that has a pair of wins over the PAC12 already. They also beat a Portland Pilots team by a dozen on the road, and the Pilots have a win over Villanova followed up by a one point loss to Michigan State. The Titans lost their last road game by 16 points at North Dakota, and another double digit defeat should be expected here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-30-22 | Raptors +1.5 v. Pelicans | 108-126 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Toronto. I had the Raptors in their last game, and I said the following: "The Raptors are 7-2 at home this season, and one of those two losses came against Brooklyn with Fred Van Fleet and Scottie Barnes out of the lineup. Van Fleet returned on Saturday in a 105-100 win over Dallas. Scottie Barnes is back at practice, so he could return tonight to face a Cavs team coming north of the border to play the second game of a back to back." I didn't know that Pascal Siakam was also set to return, but now that Toronto is back to full strength, the rest of the NBA should be put on notice. A Pelicans team with it's two best players banged up appears to be vulnerable. The Pelicans won a close game against the Thunder on Monday, and they are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-30-22 | Mexico -147 v. Saudi Arabia | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 173 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 2* play on Mexico. The last time that Mexico failed to advance from the Group Stages at the World Cup it was 1978, They have made the Round of 16 in eight consecutive tournaments, and they face a must win here against Saudi Arabia if they intend to keep that streak alive. Saudi Arabia suffered a let down after their upset win over Argentina, losing their second match 2-0 to Poland. If Argentina defeats Poland and Mexico defeats Saudi Arabia, then goal differential comes into play. A win for Poland would put Mexico in control of it's own destiny. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-29-22 | Clippers +3.5 v. Blazers | 118-112 | Win | 100 | 15 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on LAC. The Clippers have been hit hard by injuries, with stars Kawhi Leonard and Paul George out of the lineup. Most teams haven't got a shot in hell of competing without their two best players, but perhaps it should surprise nobody that LA is still a .500 team without George and Leonard. They have plenty of depth. with Reggie Jakcson, Norman Powell, Ivica Zubac, and Marcus Morris all stepping up. The same can not be said for the Blazers without Damian Lillard, as they have lost five of their last six overall. The Clippers look good as the dog considered they have won nine of the last 10 versus Portland straight up. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-29-22 | Senegal v. Ecuador UNDER 2.25 | 2-1 | Loss | -124 | 80 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Ecuador only needs a draw to punch their ticket to the the knockout round at the World Cup. They face Senegal in their final match of the Group Stages, and Senegal needs a win. Ecuador has played to a draw in four of their last five matches in all competitions, and in eight of their last 11. They have also posted a clean sheet in seven of their last eight matches, with the exception being a 1-1 draw versus Netherlands. We can expect a tight defensive battle here, and I expect a final score of 1-1 or 0-0. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-28-22 | Texas Southern v. Kansas UNDER 139.5 | 55-87 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Kansas Jayhawks are off a 64-50 upset loss to Tennessee, and they have only scored an average of 74.4 points per game so far, ranking 150th nationally. Of course their defense has been stellar, and they host a Texas Southern team that has scored less than 53 points per game in three losses to Top 25 teams. All three of those games went under. Texas Southern has gone under in six straight overall, and the under is 18-7-1 in the Tigers last 26 games following a straight up loss. The under is 9-2 in Jayhawks last 11 games following a loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-28-22 | Cavs v. Raptors -115 | 88-100 | Win | 100 | 18 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Toronto. The Raptors are 7-2 at home this season, and one of those two losses came against Brooklyn with Fred Van Fleet and Scottie Barnes out of the lineup. Van Fleet returned on Saturday in a 105-100 win over Dallas. Scottie Barnes is back at practice, so he could return tonight to face a Cavs team coming north of the border to play the second game of a back to back. The home team is 4-1 SU in the last five meetings, and the Cavaliers are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games playing on 0 days rest. Cleveland has also failed to cover in six straight road games. |
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11-28-22 | Switzerland +1.25 v. Brazil | 0-1 | Win | 50 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on SUI. So far in the World Cup, teams that have won by two or more in their first match, haven't done as well in their next match. Netherlands, Spain and England all settled for a draw in their second match. France won 4-1 in their opening match versus Australia, and then they beat Denmark 2-1 in their next match. Brazil will not have their leading scorer Neymar for the remainder of the Group Stages. The Swiss will likely be playing for a draw here, something they have successfully achieved in two of their last four matches versus Brazil. The Swiss have played nine matches at the World Cup since 2014, and only one of those nine matches resulted in a loss by more than one goal. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-27-22 | Iowa State v. Connecticut -5 | Top | 53-71 | Win | 100 | 21 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UCONN. The #20 Huskies are 7-0, and they beat #18 Alabama by 15 points on Friday at the Phil Knight Invitational. They face an unranked Iowa State team that just upset #1 North Carolina, and this could be a let down spot for the Cyclones. Iowa State made 9-of-20 three-point attempts in the upset win over the Tar Heels. I don't like their chances of hitting 45 percent from beyond the arc here in this game. The Huskies have the experience, the shooters, and the coaching to take down this scrappy Cyclones team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-27-22 | Packers v. Eagles -6.5 | 33-40 | Win | 100 | 154 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Philly. The Packers have lost six of their last seven games, and they will not be going to the playoffs. If there was ever a time to pack it in, and give up on the season, this is it. Aaron Rodgers has not only played poorly, he's blamed everyone else around him. The Eagles are 9-1, and six of those nine wins came by more than seven points. Philly has an NFL best 18 rushing TDs this season, and they rank 5th in the NFL in total offense. With Rodgers playing hurt with a broken thumb, this game could get out of hand and we could see Jordan Love at some point. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-27-22 | Mavs v. Bucks -6 | 115-124 | Win | 100 | 18 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on MIL. The Mavs are playing on the road at Milwaukee in the second game of a back to back. Not only are they are on short rest, but Luka Doncic played a season high 43 minutes in a loss north of the border at Toronto last night. The Mavericks are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six in the second game of a back to back. The Bucks are 10-2 straight up at home, and nine of those 10 wins came by more than six points. |
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11-27-22 | Chargers -135 v. Cardinals | 25-24 | Win | 100 | 150 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on LAC. Both these teams have been hit hard by injuries, but the Chargers offense is in far better shape with Kennan Allen back in the fold. Allen caught five passes for 94 yards in his first game back versus the Chiefs last week. The Cardinals are hoping to get Kyler Murray back this week, but if his hamstring is anything less than 100 percent he may not be that effective. The Chargers looked pretty good pushing Kansas City to the brink last week, but Patrick Mahomes got the best of them once again. LA is 5-1 ATS in their last six games off a loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-27-22 | Bucs -165 v. Browns | 17-23 | Loss | -165 | 147 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TB. |
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11-27-22 | Broncos -130 v. Panthers | 10-23 | Loss | -130 | 74 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on the Broncos. Honestly.... it's really hard to like the Broncos. This team is a mess, with an overpaid quarterback and a head coach that is in way over his head. That being said, Russell Wilson is a Super Bowl champion, and he doesn't lack skill. He's won at the highest level, and at the end of the day he's a lot more reliable than Sam Darnold. The Panthers made a desperation move, handing the ball to a guy who has thrown more picks than TDs over his last two seasons as a starter. Darnold steps in to face the NFL's #3 ranked scoring defense, It might be hard for Nathaniel Hackett to EFF UP bad enough to lose this game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-26-22 | Canucks v. Golden Knights OVER 6.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on Over. Vancouver might be the best over bet in hockey, going over in 14 of 20 games so far. They score a ton of goals (3.5 per game), but they give up even more (3.9 per game). They are great on the power play (5th) and brutal on the penalty kill (30th). The over is 19-7-1 in the Canucks last 27 road games, and they have gone over in four of their last five versus Las Vegas. The over is 7-3 in the Golden Knights last 10 overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-26-22 | Lakers -3 v. Spurs | 143-138 | Win | 100 | 13 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on LA. The Lakers have only won six games this season, but two of them have come against the Spurs. They come into tonight's game as winners of four of their last five, while the Spurs have lost seven straight. LeBron scored 21 points in 33 minutes in his first game back after missing five games due to injury. These two teams are in the mix for a lottery pick, so it should be quite a battle, but somebody has to win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-26-22 | Notre Dame v. USC OVER 63 | 27-38 | Win | 100 | 29 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Trojans can keep their playoff hopes alive with a win at home over Notre Dame, but this game could be tricky. Just a week after they gave up 45 points in a win over UCLA, we should expect the Irish do get their fair share of points here in LA. This USC defense has been lit up for 30+ points in four of their last five games, but they also have the nation's #3 ranked offense. Notre Dame has a resume propped up by signature wins over #16 Syracuse and #4 Clemson. The Orange had an injury at QB, and they had home field against the Tigers. Caleb Williams and Jordan Addison present a whole different challenge than DJ Uiagalelei and the Tigers. Look for USC to win a shootout here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-26-22 | Notre Dame v. USC -180 | 27-38 | Win | 100 | 29 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on USC. The Trojans can keep their playoff hopes alive with a win at home over Notre Dame, but this game could be tricky. Just a week after they gave up 45 points in a win over UCLA, we should expect the Irish do get their fair share of points here in LA. This USC defense has been lit up for 30+ points in four of their last five games, but they also have the nation's #3 ranked offense. Notre Dame has a resume propped up by signature wins over #16 Syracuse and #4 Clemson. The Orange had an injury at QB, and they had home field against the Tigers. Caleb Williams and Jordan Addison present a whole different challenge than DJ Uiagalelei and the Tigers. Look for USC to win a shootout here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-26-22 | Tennessee v. Vanderbilt +14 | 56-0 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Vandy. There are "dream crusher" spots, and then there is the situation that the Vols find themselves in. Not only did their playoff hopes go up in smoke with a blowout loss to an inferior team last week, but they lost their starting QB and Heisman candidate Hendon Hooker for the rest of the season. Then we have Vandy, fresh off an upset win over Florida. We really have no idea what to expect from Tennessee here, but you can bet your ass that Vandy is gonna bring it! Don't be surprised if the Commodores win outright. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-26-22 | Oregon v. Oregon State UNDER 58.5 | 34-38 | Loss | -110 | 96 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Utah Utes rank 1st in the Pac12 in total defense, and they are allowing 20 points per game this season. Oregon State comes in allowing 20.3 points per game. The Beavers at home though are borderline elite defensively. This was evident when they held USC to a season low 17 points, and Caleb Williams to just 180 yards on 16-of-36 passing in late September. Bo Nix was playing on one leg last week, but the Ducks got the win 20-17 over Utah behind a strong effort from the defense. The under is 11-4 in the Ducks last 15 road games, and the under is 5-1 in the Beavers last six home games versus a team with a winning road record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-26-22 | Saudi Arabia v. Poland UNDER 2.5 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. Despite the fact that Lewandowski is one of the top goalscorers of his generation, Poland does not score a lot of goals in international play. In fact the under is 5-0 in their last five matches. With Poland off an 0-0 draw versus Mexico, and Saudi Arabia bagging two points with a win over Argentina, a draw here would be a suitable result for both teams. I expect a cautious approach, with neither team wanting to concede the first goal. Saudi Arabia had gone under in four straight prior to the match versus Argentina. GL, Jesse Schule. |
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11-25-22 | Butler v. NC State +1 | Top | 61-76 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on NCSTATE. The Butler Bulldogs didn't get a lot of returning talent from last year, and they did not look good in their first game against a ranked team. They scored 45 points on 32 percent shooting in a loss to Tennessee a few days ago. The Wolfpack have more experience, and that may be what allowed them to hang with #3 ranked Kansas. NC State comes in averaging over 80 points per game, while the Bulldogs average just slightly above the national average (71.5). The Wolfpack currently rank 1st in the ACC in scoring, and near the top in FG percentage, FT percentage and three-point shooting. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-25-22 | Pelicans v. Grizzlies -140 | 111-132 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on the Grizzlies. New Orleans won't have CJ McCollum in Memphis on Friday, due to health and safety protocols. He leads the team in assists, steals and three-point shooting. The home team has had the advantage in this series, winning eight of the last 10 straight up. The Pelicans are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games versus a team with a winning straight up record, while the Grizzlies are 26-9 ATS in their last 35 home games. Ja Morant scored 34 points against the Kings on Tuesday, and he scored 36 in his last game against the Pelicans 10 days ago. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-25-22 | NC State v. North Carolina OVER 56 | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Tar Heels have a high powered offense and a Heisman contender at QB, but they rank dead last in the ACC against the pass. Freshman QB MJ Morris has proven he can move the ball against below average defenses, throwing for 475 yards and six TDs in wins over Virginia Tech and Wake Forest. The Wolfpack had a bit of a let down last week against Boston College, but expect them to be better in this rivalry game. The over is 20-8 in the Tar Heels last 28 versus a team with a winning record. Expect both teams to do their share of scoring in what should be a great game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-25-22 | United States v. England -175 | 0-0 | Loss | -175 | 60 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on England. As impressive as USA was in the first half of their match versus Wales, they showed a serious lack of discipline and it cost them in the second half. This is likely to be a far more serious issue against and England team that is vastly superior as far as talent and pace. If the Americans play the same style here they are likely to concede a penalty and or go down to 10 men. If they are less aggressive because of all the players that are already on one yellow card, they will be punished by the potent English attack. Pick your poison, the USA are simply over-matched. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-25-22 | Tulane +110 v. Cincinnati | Top | 27-24 | Win | 110 | 23 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Tulane. Can you believe that the defending conference champs are getting almost no respect from bookmakers here against Tulane? Well there is a good reason for that. The Bearcats lost a ton of talent from last year's historic Playoff team. They rank near the bottom of the AAC in rushing, only Temple averages fewer yards per game. That could hurt them here in a huge game against the #1 defense in the conference. That's especially true because there is some uncertainty at the QB position. The Green Wave are 6-0 ATS in their last six road games, and they are 8-1 ATS in their last nine conference games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-25-22 | Senegal -108 v. Qatar | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 116 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on Senegal. Both these teams lost their opening matches, but in much different circumstances. The Africans pushed Holland to the brink, and deserved a far better result. Qatar become the first Host Nation in the history of the World Cup to lose their opening match, and they looked completely outclassed. Playing for a draw won't be an option for Senegal, they need to get maximum points from this match if they want to stay alive in the tournament. Qatar should be trying to save face, and would do well to avoid embarrassment. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-24-22 | Alabama v. Michigan State +4 | 81-70 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MSU. Alabama is powered by a pair of talented freshmen, and they face their first real test here in the Phil Knight Invitational on Thanksgiving. Michigan State has a ton of experience, with their three top scorers all seniors. The Spartans have already faced two teams ranked in the Top 5, winning outright by double digits versus #4 Kentucky and losing by a point to #2 Gonzaga. They also beat unranked Villanova by a bucket. The experience in close games early in the season is invaluable. Alabama is 4-0 versus unranked competition, and the Crimson Tide are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-24-22 | Patriots v. Vikings -152 | 26-33 | Win | 100 | 82 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Vikings. So the Patriots held the Jets to 104 total years of offense on Sunday, but up until the final seconds of the 4th quarter the game was tied 3-3. It was a special teams TD in the last five seconds of the game that one it for New England, and I am not so sure we should be impressed by that. They aren't playing Zach Wilson this Thanksgiving in Minnesota. The Vikings are coming off their worst performance of the season, but it really shouldn't have surprised anybody that they had a let down after upsetting the Super Bowl favorites in Buffalo. The Vikings are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a double-digit loss at home. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-24-22 | Mississippi State v. Ole Miss OVER 58.5 | 24-22 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. Ole Miss ran for 463 yards, and gained a total of 703 yards in a loss (yeah that's right) to Arkansas last week. They also gave up over 500 yards to the Hogs, and 335 yards on the ground. They face a Mississippi State team in the Egg Bowl that doesn't run much, but Will Rogers did throw for 336 yards in a losing effort versus the Rebels last year. The Rebels have gone over in five of their last six overall, and the over is 4-1 in their last five coming off a loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-24-22 | Iowa State v. Villanova -1 | 81-79 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on VILL. The 3-0 Cyclones are facing the 2-2 Villanova Wildcats at the Phil Knight Invitational in an afternoon game on Thanksgiving. The Wildcats were 1 bucket away from beating #12 ranked Michigan State at East Lansing. This Villanova team made the Final Four last year, and they bring back plenty of key players from that team. Villanova is 5-1 ATS in their last six versus a team with a winning record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-24-22 | Serbia v. Brazil -195 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 35 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Brazil. Serbia was knocked out of the Group Stages of the 2018 World Cup when they lost 2-0 to Brazil. This year's Brazil team looks perhaps even stronger than the side they fielded four years ago. They have won seven straight in all competitions, outscoring opponents a combined 26-2. There are no easy matches in the World Cup, and we witnessed a huge upset when Saudi Arabia defeated Argentina 2-1 on Tuesday. That said, this will likely prove to be the exception, rather than the rule. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-23-22 | Canada v. Belgium OVER 2.5 | 0-1 | Loss | -140 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on Over. The Canadians are minnows of international football, but they might surprise some at this World Cup. Keep in mind they finished ahead of Mexico and USA in CONCACAF World Cup Qualifying. They have scored 11 goals in their last six matches in all competitions, including a 2-1 win over Japan in their last match. They are up against European powerhouse Belgium, who has some of the most talented attacking players in Europe. Kevin De Bruyne might still be the best midfielder in the world, and Romelu Lukaku scores goals in his sleep. The Belgians weakness is their aging defense, and that should keep the door open for Canada. Expect both teams to score and the total to go over. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-23-22 | Costa Rica +2 v. Spain | 0-7 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Costa Rica. At first glance it looks like this is a mismatch, but Costa Rica has thrived as an underdog at the World Cup. In 2014 they finished first in a Group that had been named the Group of Death, edging out England, Italy and Uruguay. They didn't make it out of the Group Stages in 2018, but they didn't lose a match by more than two goals either. Spain should be the favorite here, but this price seems far too high. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-22-22 | Syracuse v. St. John's -130 | 69-76 | Win | 100 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SJU. The Red Storm take on the Orange in Brooklym Tuesday at the Empire Classic, and history favors St. John's. The Red Storm are 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings versus Syracuse, and the Orange come in without most of the talent they had last season. They will miss the Boeheim brothers, who last year combined for an average of 30 points per game. Syracuse beat Richmond by a score of 74-71 in overtime yesterday. The Orange are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-22-22 | Nets -7 v. 76ers | 106-115 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on BKN. So Kyrie is back, and Ben Simmons shot 11-of-13 in a 127-115 win over the undermanned Grizzlies on Sunday. No word on whether Simmons actually attempted a shot that wasn't a dunk, but whatever he was doing he should just keep doing it. The Nets face another shorthanded team in Philly tonight, as the Sixers are down both their star players (Embiid and Harden), and several other role players. Brooklyn is 4-1 ATS in their last four versus Philly, and they won their last game at Philly by 29 points. No reason not to expect history to repeat itself here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-22-22 | Australia v. France -1.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 50 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on France. No Benzema... no need to panic for France. The defending champions have depth at every position. Australia did not impress in World Cup Qualifying matches. They had one win in their last five matches, and lost to Saudi Arabia and Japan. Their leading scorer Harry Souttar plays in England, not in the Premier League but at Stoke City in the League Championship. France won their last three World Cup Qaulifying matches by a combined score of 12-0. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-21-22 | Celtics v. Bulls +6.5 | 107-121 | Win | 100 | 16 h 57 m | Show | |
This is 2* play on CHI. The Bulls have played the Celtics twice already this year, winning at home and losing by 4-points in Boston in early November. Chicago is looking to right the ship here at home tonight, coming into this game as losers of four straight and six of their last seven. Half of those six losses came by fewer than six points, and this number looks a little inflated. The Bulls have covered in six of their last seven versus Boston, and the Celtics could be due for a let down here at the end of a road trip. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-21-22 | Wales +0.25 v. United States | 1-1 | Win | 50 | 33 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Wales +0.5. The United States has not done anything in recent qualifying matches to justify being favored here in their World Cup opener versus Wales. They scored just one goal, while going 0-2-1 in their last three matches. The one goal came against El Salvador, and they failed to score in a loss to Japan and a 0-0 draw versus Saudi Arabia. Wales is winless in their last three qualifying matches, but they played European superpowers Netherlands and Belgium twice. It should be considered encouraging that Wales scored in four of their last five matches, and during that span they didn't lose a match by more than one goal. I fancy Wales to get at least a draw here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-21-22 | Buffalo v. George Mason UNDER 145.5 | Top | 82-74 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 4* play on Under. George Mason lost 66-62 to Belmont at the Paradise Jam at the UVI Sports & Fitness Center in the Virgin Islands on Saturday. In fact all four games at this venue over the weekend were low scoring, falling well short of 140 combined points. Neither of these two teams have been scoring regardless of the venue, Buffalo comes in averaging 69 points per game while the Patriots are averaging just 65 points per game. The Patriots are strong defensively, which might be why they have gone under in five of their last six games. This number looks way too high. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-21-22 | Netherlands -161 v. Senegal | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 71 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Netherlands. This Netherlands team has had it's fair share of disappointment at major international tournaments. History tells us that they normally get off to a good start, but fade sooner than perhaps they should. They won all three matches in the Group Stages at the European Championships, by a combined score of 8-2. In their most recent World Cup appearances (2014), they won all three matches during the Group Stages by a combined score of 9-3. They catch a break here against Senegal, as Sadio Mane has been ruled out for the tournament. It will be difficult for Senegal to overcome the loss of their leading scorer and team leader. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-20-22 | Chiefs v. Chargers +5.5 | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 56 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on LA Chargers. There is history here between these division rivals, and recent meetings have been great games going down to the wire. Justin Herbert threw for 334 yards 3TDs, 1 INT on 33-of-48 passing in a 27-24 loss at Kansas City earlier this year. Last year he threw for 517 yards, 6 TDs and 1 INT on 48-of-76 passing in two games against the Chiefs last year. Kansas City has only covered in one of their last six head to head meetings versus the Chargers, and that win came in overtime 34-28 last December in LA. We could see Keenan Allen and Mike Williams return this week. That would be a huge boost for Justin Herbert. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-20-22 | Bengals -190 v. Steelers | 37-30 | Win | 100 | 53 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Cincinnati. The Bengals lost their home opener to the Steelers, and they have a chance to right that wrong in a revenge game here in Pittsburgh this week. Cinci won 24-10 at Pittsburgh last year, and they have won three of the last four meetings outright. The Bengals are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games, and they are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 overall. Kenny Picket has thrown four times more picks than he has TDs this season (2-8). The Steelers are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-20-22 | Jets v. Patriots -165 | 3-10 | Win | 100 | 119 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NE. I take a lot of things into consideration before placing a bet. I don't blindly follow specific trends or situations without a deep dive into the matchup, personnel, weather and every angle I can find. Here in this game it's pretty simple, we got Bill Belichick at home, coming off a bye in a divisional game. The Patriots are 10-0 straight up against the Jets since 2017, and they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home game versus New York. After an upset win over the Buffalo Bills, this looks like a let down spot for the Jets. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-20-22 | Lions v. Giants -160 | 31-18 | Loss | -160 | 119 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NYG. The betting public seems to be hesitant to jump on the Giants bandwagon, but I have been high on New York since the pre-season. Here is what I said in my season win total prediction: "The Giants used a first round pick in the 2022 draft to select right tackle Evan Neal out of Alabama. An improved offensive line could go a long way in helping Jones limit the turnovers in 2022." Jones hasn't thrown a pick in his last six starts, and New York is 5-1 in those games. The Lions could be due for a let down coming off a come from behind win at Chicago. Saquon ran for 152 yards on 35 carries last week, and with a stud in the backfield and a mobile QB the Giants are designed to win in cold and windy weather in November at home versus a dome team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-19-22 | UNLV v. Hawaii +11.5 | 25-31 | Win | 100 | 20 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a free play on Hawaii. The final home game for the Rainbow Warriors, and they are 2-2 in their last four at home. They only lost by a combined 14 points to Mountain West powerhouses Wyoming and Utah State. They are getting double digits here at home against a UNLV team riding a five game losing skid. Don't even get me started by telling me the Rebels need to run the table to become bowl eligible, such a laughable talking point when a team has lost five straight. The Rainbow Warriors out-gained the Aggies 541-374 in total yards last week, but lost the turnover battle 4-0. I am gonna go out on a limb here and call for the outright win for Hawaii. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-19-22 | Utah -122 v. Oregon | 17-20 | Loss | -122 | 54 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Utah. This is a "Dream Crusher" situation for the Ducks after getting knocked out of the College Football Playoffs by Washington last week. I don't automatically bet against teams in this spot, but when combined with the matchup, facing a Utah team that beat them handily twice last season (38-7 and 38-10) and the fact that Utah ranks #1 in the PAC12 in total defense, I can't ignore it. Then on top of all that, Bo Nix who has been a big part of the running game (14 rushing TDs) has a bad knee and might not play. A lot of people fall victim of a logical fallacy when it comes to injury news, thinking that there are only two possible outcomes: He will play, or he won't play. In fact there are several possible outcomes to consider. One of those is that he plays, and he isn't 100 percent and thus isn't very effective. I think that scenario is a likely one. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-19-22 | Texas Tech v. Iowa State UNDER 47.5 | 14-10 | Win | 100 | 15 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Weather conditions could play a roll here with rain and heavy winds expected. Both these teams are expected to abandon the passing game in these conditions, and this will allow the opposing defense to sell out to defend the run. We should see less FG attempts, more turnovers, making it difficult to run up the score. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-19-22 | Iowa +2.5 v. Minnesota | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 25 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Iowa. At first glance you have Minnesota (7-3) hosting Iowa (6-4) and you might assume the home team has the edge. These teams are currently trending in opposite directions though, with Iowa coming off three straight double digit wins. The Hawkeyes are still undervalued after struggling on offense early in the season. They are by no means an offensive juggernaut, but their defense is so good that even a pedestrian effort on the other side of the ball makes them formidable. The Hawkeyes are 5-0-1 ATS in their last six versus the Gophers, and they have covered in four of their last five at Minnesota. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-19-22 | Cincinnati v. Temple UNDER 51 | 23-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Weather conditions could play a roll here with rain and heavy winds expected. Both these teams are expected to abandon the passing game in these conditions, and this will allow the opposing defense to sell out to defend the run. We should see less FG attempts, more turnovers, making it difficult to run up the score. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-19-22 | TCU v. Baylor UNDER 58 | Top | 29-28 | Win | 100 | 43 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. So TCU scored just 17 points on 289 total yards in a win at Texas last week. Their defense was impressive, holding Texas to 10 points on 199 total yards. The question is, did Texas give Dave Aranda the blueprint for slowing down the Horned Frogs offense? I think Baylor has to try to replicate what Texas did, slowing down this game and limiting the possessions. Blake Shapen threw for 203 yards and two INTs on 22-38 passing last week, so don't expect him to be slinging it around the yard this week. I expect to see both teams favor the run in bad weather, resulting in time coming off the clock. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-19-22 | Virginia Tech v. Liberty -10 | 23-22 | Loss | -106 | 21 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Liberty. So Liberty had a huge win over Arkansas, and then suffered a let down last week in a loss to UCONN. They host Virginia Tech this week, and the Hokies have lost seven straight. If Virginia Tech is going to get up for any game, it would be their final home game against Virginia. This week looks like a flat spot for the Hokies, and an opportunity for Hugh Freeze to bolster his resume. The Flames are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games, and the Hokies are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 non-conference games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-19-22 | Illinois +17.5 v. Michigan | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 21 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Illinois. Weather conditions could play a roll here with rain and heavy winds expected. Both these teams are expected to abandon the passing game in these conditions, and this will allow the opposing defense to sell out to defend the run. We should see less FG attempts, more turnovers, making it difficult to run up the score. It seems like 17.5 points is a big number in a bad weather game between the #1 and #3 ranked defenses. You also have the look ahead spot for the Wolverines, who have a huge game against Ohio State on deck. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-19-22 | Duke v. Pittsburgh UNDER 49.5 | 26-28 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Weather conditions could play a roll here with rain and heavy winds expected. Both these teams are expected to abandon the passing game in these conditions, and this will allow the opposing defense to sell out to defend the run. We should see less FG attempts, more turnovers, making it difficult to run up the score. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-19-22 | Indiana v. Michigan State UNDER 47.5 | 39-31 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Weather conditions could play a roll here with rain and heavy winds expected. Both these teams are expected to abandon the passing game in these conditions, and this will allow the opposing defense to sell out to defend the run. We should see less FG attempts, more turnovers, making it difficult to run up the score. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-19-22 | Illinois v. Michigan UNDER 42 | 17-19 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Weather conditions could play a roll here with rain and heavy winds expected. Both these teams are expected to abandon the passing game in these conditions, and this will allow the opposing defense to sell out to defend the run. We should see less FG attempts, more turnovers, making it difficult to run up the score. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-18-22 | Celtics v. Pelicans OVER 226.5 | 117-109 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Celtics have gone over the total in 10 of 16 games so far this season. That comes as no surprise to me. Here is what I said prior to their season opener: "The Celtics ranked first in the NBA in opponents scoring average last season, but don't expect this year's squad to be a defensive juggernaut. The absence of a rim protector changes everything, and if the pre-season is any indication they may be playing at a much faster pace this season. They sent Daniel Theis to the Pacers, and Robert Williams starts the season sidelined by a knee injury. While Boston finished last season as the best scoring defense, they certainly didn't start that way. They allowed an average of 120 points per game in their first seven games of the season." The over is 7-2 in the Pelicans last nine games following a straight up win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-18-22 | Florida v. Florida State +7.5 | 76-67 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on FSU. The public is tripping over themselves to bet against the Seminoles here, as they have looked like hot garbage starting the season 0-3. A home game against rivals Florida as a big underdog looks like a good spot to grab the underdog plus the points. The Gators are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 road games, and they are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall. They have failed to cover in eight of their last nine versus Florida State. I'll roll the dice here and hope FSU can cut down on the turnovers and hit a few more free throws to hang tight in a home game against Florida. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-18-22 | Baylor -4.5 v. Virginia | Top | 79-86 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Baylor. The Cavs had four games against Top 25 teams last year, and they lost three of those four games by double digits. They do not match up well with a #5 ranked Baylor team that has the edge in experience, returning production and overall talent. The Bears are 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 neutral site games. The Cavaliers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight neutral site games, and they are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-17-22 | Pistons v. Clippers UNDER 217.5 | 91-96 | Win | 100 | 13 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Clippers rank dead last in the NBA in scoring, and still they are a 9-point home favorite here against the Pistons. Dallas ranks first in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, allowing 106.3 points per game. The Clippers aren't far behind allowing just 106.9 points per game. The under is 6-1 in the Clippers last seven home games, and they have gone under in seven of their last nine versus Detroit. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-17-22 | Nets v. Blazers UNDER 220.5 | 109-107 | Win | 100 | 19 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Nets are coming off a 153-121 loss at Sacramento, after going under in six straight before that. This looks like a let down spot here in Portland, facing a Blazers team that ranks sixth in the NBA in opponent's scoring. Portland ranks in the bottom 10 in the NBA in scoring, averaging fewer than 110 points per game. Don't expect a shootout here in Portland. The under is 9-4 in the Nets last 13 games following a straight up loss, and the under is 12-4-2 in the Trail Blazers last 18 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-17-22 | Coyotes v. Golden Knights -1.5 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Vegas. The Golden Knights have lost back to back games at home, after they had won nine straight. They host an Arizona team that is at the end of a road trip, and the Coyotes have lost back to back games by a combined five goal margin. The Coyotes are 3-10 in the last 13 meetings, and they have lost seven straight at Vegas. This looks like a great spot for the Knights to get back on track. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-17-22 | Titans v. Packers -170 | 27-17 | Loss | -170 | 19 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Packers. The Titans have been getting it done with smoke and mirrors. They have won six of their last seven games, but that run is as phony as a two dollar bill. They beat the Colts twice, the Texans, Broncos, Raiders and Commanders. The Packers on the other hand are coming off a home win over Dallas that might be just what they need to get back on track. There are big injury concerns for the Titans, they have ruled out center Ben Jones (concussion), safety Amani Hooker (shoulder), kicker Randy Bullock (right calf) and outside linebacker Bud Dupree (hip). Aaron Rodgers has a career record of 88-21-1 at Lambeau. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-17-22 | SMU v. Tulane -165 | 24-59 | Win | 100 | 18 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Tulane. I like the Green Wave to bounce back after a terrible home loss to UCF. They face a completely different opponent here this week. The Knights gashed them on the ground for 336 yards and four TDs, with John Rhys Plumlee doing much of the damage. Tanner Mordecai isn't going to do that this week, as it's more a matchup of strength versus strength. The Mustangs high powered passing attach runs into the Tulane defense that ranks 1st in the AAC against the pass allowing just 175 yards per game. The Mustangs are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 road games, and they have failed to cover in 14 of their last 20 in the month of November. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-17-22 | Old Dominion v. Virginia Tech -15 | 71-75 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on VT. The Hokies are 3-0 and all three of those wins have come by 20+ points. Last year they won their first five games versus unranked teams all by 20+. Old Dominion is coming off a win over a Div 2 team, after losing by a dozen at Drexel. The Monarchs are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 neutral site games, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six coming off a win. This should be a blowout win for the Hokies who have superior talent and experience. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-22 | Kings v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | 3-1 | Loss | -125 | 21 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Oilers are the most gifted offensive team in the NHL, and it's no surprise that they have one of the best power play units. Special teams could play a big role here, as the Kings come in with an above average power play and a below average penalty kill. The over is 10-4-2 in the Kings last 16 overall, and they have gone over in eight of their last nine road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-22 | Ball State v. Nebraska-Omaha OVER 149.5 | 71-61 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Nebraska Omaha Mavericks play up to their namesake. They love to run and gun, and they may have found a suitable dance partner here with Ball State. The Cardinals come in averaging 90 points per game on 52 percent shooting. The over is 20-7 in the Mavericks last 27 overall, and they have gone over the number in 23 of their last 32 home games. I can't figure out why this number isn't 150 or higher? GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-22 | Western Michigan v. Central Michigan UNDER 49.5 | 12-10 | Win | 100 | 19 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Traditionally midweek MAC games have been high scoring. I am betting against that trend continuing here on Wednesday night. The weatherman says to expect rain, snow and wind. The wind is the most significant factor. High winds make kicking field goals a tricky proposition, prompting more fourth down attempts, eventually leading to empty drives. When the passing game is off the table, the clock keeps ticking with every running play. The Broncos have failed to reach the total in four straight overall, and five straight when coming off a loss. Jesse Schule |
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11-16-22 | Celtics v. Hawks OVER 232.5 | 126-101 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Celtics have gone over the total in 10 of 15 games so far this season. That comes as no surprise to me. Here is what I said prior to their season opener: "The Celtics ranked first in the NBA in opponents scoring average last season, but don't expect this year's squad to be a defensive juggernaut. The absence of a rim protector changes everything, and if the pre-season is any indication they may be playing at a much faster pace this season. They sent Daniel Theis to the Pacers, and Robert Williams starts the season sidelined by a knee injury. While Boston finished last season as the best scoring defense, they certainly didn't start that way. They allowed an average of 120 points per game in their first seven games of the season." The over is 9-3 in the Hawks last 12 overall. While this is a big number, I just don't think the books can set it high enough. I expect both teams to score 115+. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-22 | Iowa v. Seton Hall OVER 148.5 | 83-67 | Win | 100 | 18 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. Iowa loves to run and gun, and they come into this game averaging triple digits on better than 50 percent shooting. Seton Hall is hardly a defensive juggernaut, they are averaging 79.5 points per game so far. The over is 8-1 in the Hawkeyes last nine after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. The Hawkeyes won six straight non-conference games to start last season, and all of those landed on a number higher than 148.5, even at Virginia! GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-22 | Miami-OH v. Northern Illinois UNDER 45.5 | 29-23 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Traditionally midweek MAC games have been high scoring. I am betting against that trend continuing here on Wednesday night. The weatherman says to expect rain, snow and wind. The wind is the most significant factor. High winds make kicking field goals a tricky proposition, prompting more fourth down attempts, eventually leading to empty drives. When the passing game is off the table, the clock keeps ticking with every running play. The Red Hawks have gone under in five of their last six MAC games, and they have failed to reach the total in five straight road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-22 | Michigan v. Pittsburgh UNDER 141 | 91-60 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on under. These two teams don't play a run and gun style, so it appears that the total of 141 is a little high. Michigan isn't gonna let Pitt score 70, they held PFWU to just 56 points in their home opener. Am 88-83 win over Eastern Michigan should be the exception and not the rule. Emoni Bates dropped 30 on the Wolverines, but Pitt doesn't have a guy who's gonna go off like that. Pitt scored 56 in a home loss to West Virginia on Friday, and the under is 19-7-1 in the Panthers last 27 games following a double-digit loss at home. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-22 | Eastern Michigan v. Kent State UNDER 60.5 | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 17 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. Traditionally midweek MAC games have been high scoring. I am betting against that trend continuing here on Wednesday night. The weatherman says to expect rain, snow and wind. The wind is the most significant factor. High winds make kicking field goals a tricky proposition, prompting more fourth down attempts, eventually leading to empty drives. When the passing game is off the table, the clock keeps ticking with every running play. The Golden Flashes have gone under in six of their last seven MAC games, and the under is 6-2 in their last eight versus Eastern Michigan. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-15-22 | Vermont v. USC -11 | 57-59 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on USC. This is not the same Vermont team that went 17-1 in conference play last year, and lost by just four points to Alabama in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. Finn Sullivan is the only remaining starter from that squad, and he scored just five points in 18 minutes in a loss to Cal State Fullerton on Sunday. The Trojans bounced back after losing their season opener to FGCU, by blowing out Alabama State by 38 points. Senior guard Drew Peterson scored 21 points on 7-of-9 shooting in the victory. USC appears to be undervalued here in this spot. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-15-22 | Ohio -160 v. Ball State | 32-18 | Win | 100 | 18 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Ohio. The Bobcats have won five straight, and they are 5-1 in the MAC. Nathan Rourke leads the conference in passing with 3.087 yards, 24 TDs and 4 INTs. Ball State ranks dead last in the MAC in rushing defense, and they lost their last home game by a score of 20-16 to Eastern Michigan. The Cardinals are 17-35 ATS in their last 52 home games, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five versus a team with a winning record. Ohio has won all three meetings versus Ball State since 2012. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-15-22 | Northwestern v. Georgetown OVER 144 | 75-63 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Hoyas came into the season riding a 21 game losing streak, but they are undefeated after winning back to back games to start the season. No thanks to their defense, as they gave up 89 points in their season opener versus Coppin State. Northwestern is also 2-0, and if you look at their schedule last season they won four straight to start the season, scoring 80+ points in all of those games. We have every reason to expect a high score here this afternoon. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-14-22 | Blues v. Avalanche OVER 6.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Colorado Avalanche host St. Louis on Monday, and this game looks like an interesting matchup. The Avs #1 ranked power play (39%) matches up against the Blues #31 ranked penalty killing unit. The Blues also have an above average power play, and the Avs have a below average penalty killing unit. The over is 19-9-1 in the Blues last 29 games following a win, and the over is 9-3 in their last 12 versus Colorado. This games should be quite the battle of special teams. GL, Jesse Schule |