Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-09-24 | Dayton v. VCU UNDER 135.5 | 47-49 | Win | 100 | 15 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Dayton Flyers are first in the A-10 with a 9-1 record, their only loss coming at Richmond by a score of 69-64. The Flyers are one of the slowest paced teams in the country, averaging only 65.9 possessions per game (352nd). VCU ranked 292nd nationally averaging just 68 possessions per game. Both teams allow roughly 65 points per game, ranking as two of the top defenses in the conference. History tells us that the under has cashed in each of the last three head to head meetings. These teams haven't gone over 134 combined points in any of the last five head to head meetings. We expect a slow, defensive game here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-08-24 | Northeastern v. Campbell UNDER 136.5 | 86-76 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Campbell Camels will host Northeastern Thursday in a matchup between two of the lowest scoring teams in the CAA. These teams rank 11th and 12th respectively in scoring in the conference. Campbell is also one of the top defensive teams in the CAA, allowing just 67.6 points per game. The Camels rank among the slowest teams in the country, ranking 337th averaging 67 possessions per game. The Huskies only average 67.8 possessions per game. Expect a slow pace and a low score. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-07-24 | Raptors -6.5 v. Hornets | 123-117 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TOR. The Raptors were blown out by the Pelicans in their last game, but that was the second game of a back to back after pushing Oklahoma City to the brink the night before. They should be in good shape here against a Hornets team that is in full on tank mode. The Hornets have lost eight straight, and the average margin of defeat in those games is 10+ points. The Raptors have won seven of the last nine head to head meetings, and they covered in all seven of those wins. Four of those wins came at Charlotte. This looks like a get right game for a young team with new talent, as Quickley and Barrett are still getting into the swing of things. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-07-24 | Lightning v. Rangers -127 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on NYR. The Rangers have won three of the last four meetings in this series, and New York has a solid home record this season (16-7). Veteran netminder Jonathan Quick is 7-1 with a 2.62 GAA at home this season. His counterpart Andrei Vasilevskiy is also far better at home than he is on the road. Vasilevskiy is 6-7 with a 3.26 GAA on the road. He allowed five goals in a loss in his only start versus the Rangers. Tampa has lost six of their last seven at MSG, and this looks like a tough spot coming out of the All Star break. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-07-24 | Davidson v. Duquesne UNDER 136.5 | 72-59 | Win | 100 | 21 h 49 m | Show | |
This is 4* play on Under. The Davidson Wildcats rank 14th in the A-10 Conference in scoring, ahead of only Saint Louis. The Duquense Dukes rank 11th in scoring, averaging less than one point more than Davidson. There are 362 Division 1 teams, and Davidson ranks 359th in pace of play averaging just 64.8 possessions per game. Davidson has failed to score 70 points in three of their last four games. Duquense has gone under the total in all four of their home games in conference play, and their most recent home game was a 65-60 win over Chicago State. Davidson is 9-1 in the last 10 head to head meetings, and they failed to reach the total in all but one of those games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-06-24 | Oilers v. Golden Knights +1.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on VGK. The Oilers were the hottest team in the NHL prior to the All Star break, but over the years I have learned that All Star weekend is where hot streaks and slumps go to die. The Golden Knights have a record of 18-5-2 at home, and only the Colorado Avalanche have more home wins than Vegas. The Knights are listed as the underdog here, and that's likely due to the injury to Jack Eichel. It's my opinion that the return of the #1 ranked goaltender in the NHL (Adin Hill) is more significant than the loss of Jack Eichel. This looks like a case of the wrong team favored. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-06-24 | Bucks v. Suns -165 | 106-114 | Win | 100 | 18 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on PHX. The Bucks are in a tough spot here on the road at Phoenix. They have recently fired their head coach and they are still trying to figure things out under new bench boss Doc Rivers. This will be the final game of a road trip, and might just be a throw away game. Four starters carry a questionable designation, while the Suns are 100 percent healthy and firing on all cylinders. Phoenix has won 10 of 13, and KD, Booker and Beal are starting to look like the BIG3 that everyone expected them to be. Milwaukee are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games, and it's likely going to take time for this team to sort out their issues. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-06-24 | Ole Miss v. South Carolina -175 | 65-68 | Win | 100 | 15 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SOCAR. The Gamecocks are 11-1 at home this season, and that includes a win over Kentucky. The Rebels have lost three of four road games in the SEC, and they are 0-3 on the road versus ranked teams. South Carolina ranks #1 in the SEC in opponent's scoring average, allowing just 64 points per game. They have held Kentucky, Missouri and Mississippi State to 64 points or less at home this season. They are coming off back to back road wins at Georgia and Tennessee, allowing 62 points or less in both those games. This looks like a bad spot to back the Rebels. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-05-24 | Islanders +1.5 v. Maple Leafs | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 21 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a play on NYI +1.5. The Isles are six points out of the final Wild Card spot in the East, currently occupied by the Toronto Maple Leafs. They come into Toronto tonight as losers of four of their last five, but they are 5-0 ATS as a puckline underdog in those games. The Leafs have won four of their last five games, but they are just 2-3 ATS as a puckline favorite during that span. History favors the underdog here, as the Isles have won four of the last five head to head meetings. Three of those games went to overtime. We should be expecting another close game here tonight. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-05-24 | Manchester City v. Brentford OVER 3 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. There are 20 teams in the Premier League, and only two of them have conceded more goals at home than Brentford. Manchester City has scored a Premier League best 24 goals in 11 away matches. The return of Erling Haaland and Kevin De Bruyne will make City even more formidable. Manchester City has scored a whopping 14 goals in their last five matches, and Brentford has scored nine goals in their last five matches. The over is 4-1 in Brentford's last five matches, and City has gone over in three of four. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-04-24 | Raptors v. Thunder OVER 233.5 | 127-135 | Win | 100 | 17 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. Immediately following the trade that sent OJ Anunoby to New York in exchange for RJ Barrett and Emanuel Quickley, the Raptors appeared to improve on offense and regress on defense. The result was a stretch of several high scoring games before cooling off. They have gone over in four straight against the Thunder, and there are several storylines ahead of this game. You have Canada's team taking on Canada's best player (SGA). Canadian RJ Barrett has missed three straight games, but is expected to give it a go in the morning shoot around to see if he can return tonight. The over is 6-1 in the Raptors last seven at Oklahoma City. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-04-24 | UAB +7.5 v. SMU | Top | 69-72 | Win | 100 | 17 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UAB. The Blazers have won 10 of their last 12 games, and they are coming off an outright win as an underdog at North Texas. They had previously lost on the road at Charlotte by just six, and covered as a double digit underdog at FAU. Overall the Blazers are 4-3 on the road this season, and they have won seven straight against SMU. That includes three outright wins at SMU. The Mustangs are 10-2 at home, but their last home game was a four point win over Tulane. It looks like the home team is asked to cover too many points here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-04-24 | Liverpool +0.25 v. Arsenal | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -116 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Liverpool. Liverpool sits top of the table in the Premier League five points clear of Manchester City and Arsenal. They will be an underdog at Arsenal on Sunday, and Liverpool has lost just once in 11 away matches this season. They have a Premier League best +11 goal differential in those games. Arsenal has only one win in their last five matches versus Liverpool, and that is despite the fact that three of those were home matches for Arsenal. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-03-24 | Oregon v. UCLA +1.5 | 63-71 | Win | 100 | 20 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on UCLA. The Bruins have been futile offensively at times this season, but they come into Saturday's home game against Oregon as winners of four of their last five overall. The one loss came on the road at Arizona in a close game. The Bruins lost 64-59 at Oregon earlier this season, and that sets up a revenge angle here at home. The Ducks have lost three of their last four at UCLA and the one win came in overtime. The Ducks have been hit hard by the injury bug, putting their depth to the test. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-03-24 | Liberty v. UTEP +5 | 67-65 | Win | 100 | 19 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on UTEP. The Liberty Flames have struggled in their first year in the C-USA, and after losing five of seven games and going 0-4 on the road, they have no business coming into tonight's game asked to cover a handful of points. UTEP is 11-1 overall at home, and 3-0 at home in conference play. The teams they have beaten at home (WKU, JVST & MTU) all sit higher in the C-USA standings than Liberty. This looks like another clear case of the wrong team favored. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-03-24 | Lakers v. Knicks UNDER 228.5 | 113-105 | Win | 100 | 19 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. This number looks a little high, as the Knicks have gone under this number in 11 straight games. The Lakers are coming off a 114-105 win at Boston, but they had gone over in seven straight prior to that. These teams have gone under in six of the last nine head to head meetings, and all three games that went over the number required overtime to do so. My only concern here is that the Lakers seem to get awarded 3 x more free throws than their opponent. The Knicks have been dominant defensively since the trade with Toronto, and even a few favorable calls for LeBron shouldn't be enough to keep LA in this game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-03-24 | South Florida +6.5 v. North Texas | 60-55 | Win | 100 | 16 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on USF. The Bulls come into North Texas as winners of 12 of their last 13 overall. That includes upset wins over the likes of Florida State and Memphis. The one game they did lose came on the road at UAB by just four points. UAB just handed North Texas a home loss. I don't think the bookmakers give the Bulls enough credit, and I like their chances of keeping this game within the number if not winning outright. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-03-24 | Houston v. Kansas UNDER 134.5 | 65-78 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Houston Cougars will be the favorite at Kansas, but I expect this game to be a defensive battle. Houston has held opponents to 52.9 points per game this season, and they rank 349th in pace of play averaging just 66 possessions per game. Kansas can play defense as well, and you look at recent games against top tier opponents and it gives you an idea what to expect. Games against #4 Marquette, #7 Tennessee and #4 UCONN all went under this total. I'd be surprised if either of these teams reaches 70. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-03-24 | Connecticut v. St. John's UNDER 146.5 | 77-64 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The #1 ranked Huskies might have a battle on their hands here at MSG versus St. John's. These two teams played in December, and UCONN won that game by a score of 69-65 at home. The Huskies are one of the slowest teams in the country, ranking 278th averaging just 68 possessions per game. The Red Storm have failed to reach the total in four of their last five games overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-02-24 | Raptors v. Rockets UNDER 227.5 | 106-135 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. So immediately following the trade that sent RJ Barrett and Emanuel Quickly to Toronto in exchange for OJ Anunoby, we saw the Knicks games trend under and the Raptors games go over. Toronto is coming off a 118-107 win at Chicago, falling short of 227 despite shooting 52 percent from the field and 48 percent from beyond the arc. Barrett and Quickly didn't play, and they both remain questionable for Friday's game at Houston. I don't like the Raptors chances of shooting as hot as they did in Chicago. The under is 7-1 in the Raptors last eight overall, and the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in five of the last six head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-02-24 | Ohio State v. Iowa -5 | 77-79 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on IOWA. These teams both rank near the bottom of the BIG10, but Iowa is still a tough nut to crack when they play at home. They are 9-3 at home, losing to Purdue, Maryland and Michigan. Their wins have all come by five or more points, beating Rutgers by nine and Nebraska by 18. Ohio State is 0-5 on the road, and they are coming off three straight double digit losses. They lost by 25 at Northwestern and by 14 at Nebraska in their last two road games. The Buckeyes are 1-6 straight up in their last seven, and all six losses came by 5+ points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-01-24 | 76ers v. Jazz -175 | 127-124 | Loss | -175 | 23 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on UTAH. The Sixers come limping into Utah with a decimated lineup, and four of five starters are likely to miss this game. Joel Embiid appeared to aggravate his injured knee in a loss to the Warriors on Tuesday, and he didn't travel with the team after the game. The Jazz are 15-6 at home, and they are 9-1 in their last 10 at home. The Sixers have failed to cover in five of their last six overall, and they are 0-3 ATS in their last three at Utah. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-01-24 | Wisconsin v. Nebraska OVER 144.5 | 72-80 | Win | 100 | 18 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on OVER. The Badgers beat Nebraska at home by a score of 88-72 earlier this season, going way over the total of 144. The bookmakers haven't adjusted for this game at Nebraska, despite the fact that the Cornhuskers are one of the better offensive teams in the BIG10, and they have scored over 81 points per game at home in conference play. The Badgers have averaged just over 71 points per game on the road in conference play. Wisconsin ranks 1st in the BIG 10 in free throw percentage hitting over 77 percent of their attempts, while Nebraska ranks 3rd hitting better than 75 percent. This number looks like it should be a few points higher. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-01-24 | AFC Bournemouth v. West Ham United | 1-1 | Push | 0 | 15 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on WHU. West Ham sits 6th in the Premier League table, 10 points clear of Bournemouth. The Hammers have posted three consecutive clean sheets in their last three home matches. Bournemouth conceded seven goals in their last two Premier League matches, losing to Spurs and Liverpool. The Hammers are 3-1-1 in their last five matches versus Bournemouth, and they posted clean sheets in all threw wins during that span. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-31-24 | Florida v. Kentucky -5.5 | Top | 94-91 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on UK. The Gators lost at home to Kentucky earlier this season, so is this a revenge spot? I don't like the revenge angle here, as Kentucky is the far better team and Florida struggles on the road. The Gators have lost three of four road games this season, and they were 4-7 on the road last year. Kentucky is 9-1 SU in the last 10 head to head meetings, and they have covered in five straight and eight of the last 10 versus Florida. The Gators rank dead last in the SEC in opponent's scoring, and Kentucky ranks second in the conference in scoring averaging over 88 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-31-24 | Baylor v. UCF UNDER 140 | 77-69 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. While this might look like an easy game for a ranked Baylor team, let's dig a little deeper. The Central Florida Knights have held five of their last six opponents under 70 points. That includes a 65-60 home win over Kansas. They held BYU to just 63 in a home loss, and held West Virginia to 59 in a win in their most recent home game. Baylor on the other hand scored just 64 in an outright loss at Kansas State last week. Baylor has gone under in six of their last nine road games, and UCF has gone under in six of their last seven overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-31-24 | Brentford v. Tottenham Hotspur -150 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Spurs. Tottenham sits 5th in the Premier League table, with a strong chance to clinch a spot in next season's Champions League. The Spurs host Brentford, who are sitting near the bottom of the table. Only two teams in the Premier League have fewer points in away matches than Brentford. Spurs acquired striker Timo Werner from Leipzig before the break, and this will be his third game with the club. There is a huge gap in talent here, and it's a big game for the home team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-30-24 | 76ers v. Warriors -185 | 107-119 | Win | 100 | 20 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on GSW. So I had the Warriors at home versus LA on Saturday, and it was a soul crushing defeat. Watching the Lakers come back in the fourth quarter, aided by an enormous disparity in free throws (43-16). Golden State hit what appeared to be the game winning three-point shot in the final seconds, but perhaps fitting that the officials sent LeBron to the line to win the game as time expired. The Warriors have to be pissed, and we can expect them to come out like gang busters here against a thin Sixers lineup. Melton, Maxey and Embiid all sat out last night in Portland, and likely won't play tonight. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-30-24 | Mississippi State v. Ole Miss -115 | 82-86 | Win | 100 | 18 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MISS. So the Bulldogs have dominated this rivalry in recent seasons, but perhaps that just pours fuel on the fire adding motivation for the Rebels to win here as a home favorite in a rivarly game. The Rebels are 12-0 at home, and those wins include convincing victories over quality opponents like Florida and Arkansas. The Bulldogs are 0-4 on the road with losses to the likes of Florida and Georgia Tech. The Bulldogs rank dead last in the SEC in three-point shooting hitting just 27 percent of their attempts. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-30-24 | Lakers v. Hawks -185 | 122-138 | Win | 100 | 18 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ATL. I faded the Lakers last night, and here is what I said before the game: "So I had the Warriors at home versus LA on Saturday, and it was a soul crushing defeat. Watching the Lakers come back in the fourth quarter, aided by an enormous disparity in free throws (43-16). Golden State hit what appeared to be the game winning three-point shot in the final seconds, but perhaps fitting that the officials sent LeBron to the line to win the game as time expired. As much as it puts a bad taste in my mouth for betting on any future games involving LeBron and the Lakers, this just looks like a classic let down spot for LA. Not only did LeBron and AD each log 45+ minutes at Golden State, but tonight's game is the first leg of a back to back with a game at Atlanta tomorrow." I was surprised AD and LeBron played heavy minutes last night, and I wouldn't be surprised if LeBron sits out tonight. Either way, there are a lot of miles on those old legs, and this makes this game a tough spot for the visitors. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-30-24 | Sheffield United v. Crystal Palace -159 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Palace. Relegation is not a question for Sheffield United, with just two wins and 10 points in 21 matches, it's a forgone conclusion. Crystal Palace on the other hand is five points clear of the relegation zone, but that makes this game even more critical for their survival in the Premier League. Sheffield is winless in away matches, with a pair of draws and eight losses an a -20 goal differential. Palace has won three straight meetings versus Sheffield by a combined 5-0 score. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-29-24 | Lakers v. Rockets +1.5 | 119-135 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on HOU. So I had the Warriors at home versus LA on Saturday, and it was a soul crushing defeat. Watching the Lakers come back in the fourth quarter, aided by an enormous disparity in free throws (43-16). Golden State hit what appeared to be the game winning three-point shot in the final seconds, but perhaps fitting that the officials sent LeBron to the line to win the game as time expired. As much as it puts a bad taste in my mouth for betting on any future games involving LeBron and the Lakers, this just looks like a classic let down spot for LA. Not only did LeBron and AD each log 45+ minutes at Golden State, but tonight's game is the first leg of a back to back with a game at Atlanta tomorrow. The Rockets are healthy, and they have won three of their last four home meetings versus LA. I'll take the home dog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-28-24 | Lions +7 v. 49ers | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 147 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on DET. The Lions are coming off back to back wins, and plenty of momentum with a chance to go to the Super Bowl. Their defense has been suspect, but perhaps in a "bend don't break" fashion. The 49ers on the other hand got quite lucky that the Green Bay Packers missed a key field goal last week. Brock Purdy appeared to struggle at times, and the young QB is facing more pressure than he's ever faced. Jared Goff has been here before, and he's looked pretty solid throwing for 564 yards, three TDs on 74 percent passing in this post-season. I expect Detroit to get their share of points, and at least hang with San Francisco. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-28-24 | Chiefs v. Ravens OVER 44 | Top | 17-10 | Loss | -110 | 144 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. The Chiefs offense was humming in a bad weather game in Buffalo last week, albeit against a banged up Buffalo defense. That being said, Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce appear to have their swagger back. The Chiefs defense had no answers for Josh Allen and the Bills offense, and if it wasn't for a few bad drops by Bills receivers, Buffalo likely wins that game. After Josh Allen ran for 72 yards and two TDs, you would expect Lamar Jackson to run all over this banged up Kansas City defense. These teams have scored 48+ combined points in each of the last five head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-27-24 | Ohio State v. Northwestern -140 | 58-83 | Win | 100 | 17 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on NW. The Buckeyes are winless on the road, while Northwestern is 10-1 at home. The Wildcats have beaten Purdue and Illinois on their home floor. Ohio State are 0-13 SU in their last 13 games on the road. While Northwestern is in a bit of a sandwich spot between Illinois and Purdue, they should do enough to rack up another win at home against a below average opponent. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-27-24 | Lakers v. Warriors -130 | 145-144 | Loss | -130 | 17 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on GSW. The Warriors host the Lakers tonight, in a battle between perhaps the two most disappointing teams in the Western Conference. The Dubs are at least healthy, and well rested. History favors the home team as the visitors are 0-5 SU in the last five meetings. LA Lakers are 6-14 SU in their last 20 games when playing on the road against Golden State. This looks like a good spot to back the Dubs at home against an inferior opponent. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-27-24 | Panthers v. Islanders +123 | 3-2 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NYI. The Isles are coming off back to back losses in one goal games. They battled back to tie the game at Montreal only to conceded the game winner late in the third period. Prior to that they dominated play against the Golden Knights but ran into a hot goaltender. Now they are back at home, catching the Florida Panthers in the second game of a back to back after winning in a shootout last night. The Islanders are playing just their fourth game under new head coach Patrick Roy, and they are likely to be the more motivated team here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-27-24 | NC State v. Syracuse -130 | 65-77 | Win | 100 | 15 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CUSE. The Orange are 9-1 at home this season, and they have won five straight against NC State. They have covered the spread in four of those five games. The Wolfpack are coming off a 59-53 loss at Virginia, and their road wins have come against conference bottom feeders Louisville and Notre Dame. History favors the home team here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-27-24 | Minnesota v. Penn State -140 | 83-74 | Loss | -140 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PSU. The Gophers have lost three of four on the road, and they are at Penn State and the Nittany Lions are 8-2 at home. History favors the home team, as Penn State is 5-1 in the last six head to head meeting and 4-0 at home during that span. Their last home game was an 87-83 win over 1st place Wisconsin. Minnesota are 1-9 SU in their last 10 games on the road. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-26-24 | Kings v. Avalanche -135 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 15 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on COL. So the Avs are now tied with Winnipeg for the top spot in the Central Division. They take a struggling LA Kings team that has fallen to fourth place in the Pacific. The Kings have one of the best road records in the NHL, but they have lost five of their last six on the road. Look no further than goaltending, as Cam Talbot is 0-5-2 with a 4.04 GAA in his last seven starts. Alexander Georgiev is 15-3 with a 2.67 GAA at home this season. The Kings are 3-7 in their last 10 versus Colorado. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-26-24 | Michigan State v. Wisconsin -140 | Top | 66-81 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Wisconsin. The Badgers as just a slight home favorite has me scratching my head here, but after digging a little deeper I think I can see why that is. Historically the home favorite has not been a good play in this series, as the road team is 6-0 straight up in the last six meetings. This is just one indicator, and the majority of the rest of the data still points me toward Whisky. The Badgers are 10-1 at home, while Sparty has lost three of four on the road. The Badgers are 7-1 in the BIG10, while Sparty is 4-4 with all four wins coming against teams with a losing record. Wisconsin ranks 1st in the BIG10 in free throw percentage (77%) while Sparty ranks 11th (70%). That right there could prove to be the difference in a close game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-26-24 | Suns -175 v. Pacers | 131-133 | Loss | -175 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PHO. I had the Suns in their last game, and here is what I said prior to their win over Dallas: "The Suns got off to a slow start, but now that the BIG3 have had a chance to play together for some time, this team is surging. They come into Dallas as winners of six straight. This line looks about right if everyone is healthy, but with both Kyrie and Luka carrying a questionable tag as of Tuesday night, we could see money come in late on the Suns." Now they catch the Pacers in a let down spot after upsetting Philly last night. Haliburton is still sidelined by injury, and this will be the Pacers 4th game of the season playing on back to back nights. They lost two of the previous three, and both losses were blowouts. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-25-24 | Nuggets v. Knicks UNDER 224.5 | Top | 84-122 | Win | 100 | 21 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Nuggets have failed to reach the total in three straight, and they rank dead last in the NBA in pace of play. The Knicks are right behind them, with both teams averaging roughly 100 possessions per game. The Knicks have been a different team since the trade with Toronto, and they have now gone under in 10 of their last 11 games. These teams have gone under in four of the last six head to head meetings, and it doesn't look like the bookmakers have adjusted here with what looks like an inflated number. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-25-24 | Islanders -146 v. Canadiens | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -146 | 20 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NYI. The Isles won in OT in Patrick Roy's coaching debut, and they ran into a hot goaltender in his second game behind the bench. They held a 42-27 advantage in shots on goal, but they lost 3-2 to Adin Hill and the Vegas Golden Knights. Now it will be a return to Montreal for Patrick Roy, which is sure to be an emotional experience. The Habs have lost six of eight, and they will likely prove no match for an Islanders squad highly motivated to make a good impression on their new coach. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-25-24 | Elon v. Campbell UNDER 142.5 | 68-78 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Campbell Camels have played two home games in conference play, and neither team scored 70 points in either of those contests. Campbell is one of the slowest teams in country, ranking 339th out of 362 teams in pace of play. They average just 66 possessions per game, and Elon is also fairly slow averaging just 70 possessions per game. These teams have only met twice in the last five years, but both of those games went under the number and nobody reach the 70 point mark in either game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-24-24 | Colorado v. Washington +3.5 | Top | 98-81 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on WASH. So Colorado might well be the better team here, but they have no business coming in to Seattle as a road favorite. The Huskies only home loss in conference play came by just two points versus Oregon. They beat Gonzaga in a home game outside of the PAC12. Colorado has lost all four road games so far this season, and has dropped four of their last five at Washington. This appears to be a case of the wrong team favored. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-24-24 | Suns -120 v. Mavs | 132-109 | Win | 100 | 20 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PHO. The Suns got off to a slow start, but now that the BIG3 have had a chance to play together for some time, this team is surging. They come into Dallas as winners of six straight. This line looks about right if everyone is healthy, but with both Kyrie and Luka carrying a questionable tag as of Tuesday night, we could see money come in late on the Suns. The Mavs have lost back to back games despite Luka scoring 33 in each loss. This looks like a tough spot for Dallas against a hot team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-23-24 | Knicks v. Nets UNDER 225 | 108-103 | Win | 100 | 28 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Knicks are a completely different team since the trade acquiring OJ Anunoby from Toronto. They have won nine of 11 and they have failed to reach the total in nine of their last 10 overall. They have held opponents to roughly 100 points per game during that span. The Brooklyn Nets are trending in the opposite direction, losing 10 of 12. Brooklyn are 3-15-1 ATS in their last 19 games. I expect the Knicks to shut down the Nets, resulting in another low scoring game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-23-24 | Florida State v. Syracuse -150 | 85-69 | Loss | -150 | 18 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CUSE. The Seminoles flipped a switch at the start of conference play, winning five straight games. They have since lost at home to Clemson, and they face another tough test here on the road at Syracuse. The Orange are 9-0 at home this season, and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five versus FSU. The Orange are 12-1 SU in their last 13 versus teams not ranked in the Top 25. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-23-24 | Ohio State v. Nebraska -150 | 69-83 | Win | 100 | 18 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NEB. The Cornuskers are 12-1 at home, hosting an Ohio State squad that is 0-3 on the road. The Buckeyes lost 63-60 at Nebraska last year, and these two teams have since trended in opposite directions. This is a Nebraska team that has beaten #1 ranked Purdue at home, and followed up with a home win over Northwestern in their last game. Ohio State are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games against Nebraska, and has lost 12 straight on the road. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-22-24 | Grizzlies v. Raptors -6.5 | 108-100 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TOR. The Memphis Grizzlies are in rough shape since losing Ja Morant for the rest of the season. They come to Toronto as losers of six of their last seven, and it looks like Marcus Smart and Desmond Bane won't be traveling north of the border. It's possible that only one of the starting five will dress for tonight's game in Toronto. The Raptors are rebuilding, but they have done very well in the trade market getting several solid players in return for Pascal Siakam and OJ Anunoby. This is a game that should be tilted in favor of the home team. The Raptors have won seven of the last 10 head to head meetings, including the last two in Memphis. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-21-24 | Pacers v. Suns -5 | 110-117 | Win | 100 | 17 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PHO. The Pacers have lost three of four, and they are coming off an embarrassing loss to the Portland Blazers. They could be down a few key players here in Phoenix tonight, and Pascal Siakam is still trying to figure out where he fits in. It takes time to gel, and that is evidenced by the fact that the Big Three in Phoenix is just starting to show what they can do. The Suns have won four straight, and Devin Booker dropped 52 on the Pelicans on Friday. This looks like a tough spot for a Pacers team that has lost six of nine versus the Western Conference this season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-21-24 | Stars v. Islanders +100 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NYI. This is a play on spot for New York, who have recently hired Hall of Fame goaltender Patrick Roy as their new head coach. We saw the St. Louis Blues win five of six after firing their coach, and the Edmonton Oilers are the hottest team in the NHL since firing their head coach. The Isles catch Dallas playing the second game of a back to back. Islanders netminder Ilya Sorokin is 9-3 with a 2.95 GAA at home this season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-21-24 | Chiefs v. Bills -145 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -145 | 139 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BUF. Ever since the Bills overtime loss at Kansas City in the 2022 Playoffs, they have been waiting for this moment. They get the Chiefs, and this time they get the home field advantage. The Bills have won six straight, a winning streak that began with a 20-17 win at Kansas City. Josh Allen has a quarterback rating of 102.4 at home, and just 83 on the road. He ran for 74 yards and a TD against the Steelers. What do I expect from each member of the Buffalo Bills in this game? Whatever it takes! GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-21-24 | Bucs +7 v. Lions | 23-31 | Loss | -115 | 98 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TB. The Lions are in a tough spot here. They are so hyped up, the talk of the town and a huge home favorite in this divisional playoff matchup versus Tampa. I think you have to ask yourself though, what makes Detroit a favorite. It surely can't be the coaching matchup between Todd Bowles and Dan Campbell? You can't tell me that the Lions defense is better than the Bucs. Maybe Lions fans believe Jared Goff is superior to Baker Mayfield. The numbers don't really back that up, with Goff throwing for two more TDs and two more picks. Goff has just a slight advantage in yardage and completion percentage. This looks like a let down spot for Detroit, and even at their best I don't believe they are seven points better than Tampa. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-20-24 | Penguins v. Golden Knights +100 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 22 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on VGK. The Knights host the Pittsburgh Penguins on Saturday night, and the bookmakers might have over compensated for the injury to Jack Eichel. Vegas is riding a hot goaltender in Logan Thompson, who is 10-4 with a 2.16 GAA at home this season. He's also posted a 2.17 GAA in the month of January. The Golden Knights have the best home record in the NHL, with 17 wins in Sin City. They also have the edge in special teams play, and the Penguins struggling power play might just cost them here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-20-24 | Packers v. 49ers UNDER 51 | Top | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 103 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The easiest way to lose a fortune betting the NFL is to bet based on last week's results. We just saw the Packers go into Dallas and run all over the Cowboys. The bad news for Green Bay is that Mike McCarthy isn't coaching the 49ers, and they aren't getting anything for free here. The 49ers held opponents to 17 points per game during the regular season, and opponents averaged less than 90 yards per game on the ground. Coming off a bye, we should see San Francisco cause all sorts of problems for Jordan Love. The Packers have their hands full with CMC, and when on offense I expect the 49ers to burn up plenty of clock. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-20-24 | Raptors v. Knicks UNDER 228 | 100-126 | Win | 100 | 27 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. I said this about the Knicks prior to their recent game: "The Knicks are a different team since the trade acquiring OJ Anunoby from the Raptors. They have won six of seven, allowing opponents to average just 101 points per game during that span." They come off a 98-94 home loss to Orlando, and they followed that up with a 109-94 win over Houston. Now they play the Raptors who just dealt Pascal Siakam to Indiana. This should be another low scoring battle at MSG. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-20-24 | Texans +10 v. Ravens | 10-34 | Loss | -113 | 30 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on HOU. This is more of a play against Baltimore than it is an endorsement of CJ Stroud and the Texans. The fact of the matter is that Lamar Jackson is 1-3 in his career in the Playoffs, and has thrown more picks (5) than TDs (3) in those games. The Ravens are coming off a first round bye, and they rested the starters in the final week of the regular season. This strategy might backfire here against a hot Houston team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-20-24 | Richmond v. Davidson UNDER 137 | Top | 69-64 | Win | 100 | 16 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. Of the 362 Division 1 teams in the country, Davidson ranks 360th in pace of play averaging just 63.8 possessions per game. The Wildcats host Richmond Saturday, and these teams have failed to reach the total in back to back games the last two seasons. Richmond also plays at a slow pace, ranking 282nd nationally averaging 68.8 possessions per game. The Spiders are coming off a 63-61 win at Duquesne, and their previous road game was 58-56 win at Loyala Chicago. I expect both teams to score fewer than 70 points here GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-20-24 | Virginia Tech v. NC State -150 | 84-78 | Loss | -150 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NCST. The Wolfpack are 9-1 at home, coming off an 83-76 win over Wake Forest. They are 5-1 in the ACC, and they host the Virginia Tech Hokies Saturday. Virginia Tech comes in winless on the road with an 0-4 record, and they are 2-4 in the ACC. The Wolfpack have won and covered in three of the last four head to head meetings. Virginia Tech are 0-5 ATS in their last five games on the road, while North Carolina State are 18-2 SU in their last 20 games at home. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-19-24 | Hawks v. Heat -6 | 109-108 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on MIA. So this is the first game of a back to back for Atlanta, and Trey Young is questionable with an illness. That makes me think that this should be a throw away game, and rather than rush their star back before he's 100 percent, they should concentrate of tomorrow's home game against the Cavs. The last time Atlanta played back to back games they lost both by 20+ points. Miami has won and covered in both meetings this season, and they have won seven of the last nine, covering in five of those seven wins. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-18-24 | Western Kentucky v. New Mexico State -125 | Top | 70-72 | Win | 100 | 15 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on NMSU. While Western Kentucky comes into this game with a record of 13-4, their strength of schedule is questionable. According to TeamRank.com they rank 215th nationally in strength of schedule. New Mexico State on the hand has played New Mexico twice, losing by a bucket at home. They lost to Kentucky, Fresno State, Tulsa and Louisville. The Aggies are 7-1 at home, and they have covered the spread in five straight home games. Western Kentucky is 4-2 on the road so far, but they were 4-9 on the road last year. Give me the home team at a pickem! GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-17-24 | Maryland v. Northwestern -168 | 69-72 | Win | 100 | 21 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NW. The Wildcats are 8-1 at home and one of those wins came in overtime against Purdue. They host Maryland tonight, and the Terps are struggling to score. Maryland ranks 13th in the BIG10 scoring just 71 points per game on 41 percent shooting. Maryland are 3-12 SU in their last 15 games on the road. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-17-24 | Rockets v. Knicks UNDER 220 | 94-109 | Win | 100 | 19 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. I said this about the Knicks prior to their last game: "The Knicks are a different team since the trade acquiring OJ Anunoby from the Raptors. They have won six of seven, allowing opponents to average just 101 points per game during that span." They come off a 98-94 home loss to Orlando, and they now face a Houston team that they have owned in recent seasons. The Knicks have won seven straight in this series, and Houston has averaged just 100 points per game in the last six meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-17-24 | Virginia Tech v. Virginia -168 | 57-65 | Win | 100 | 19 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on UVA. The Cavs are undefeated at home with a 9-0 record, and they have owned rivals Virginia Tech at home winning four straight home games in the series. Virginia Tech are 2-13 SU in their last 15 games on the road, and their last road game was a 77-74 loss at Florida State. They are 3-6 ATS in their last nine games against Virginia, and the Cavs have won 19 straight home games dating back to last season. Virginia are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games when playing at home against Virginia Tech. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-17-24 | Nebraska v. Rutgers -140 | 82-87 | Win | 100 | 19 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on RUTG. Nebraska suffered a let down after upsetting Purdue at home, losing on the road at Iowa 94-76 in their last game. They have lost three of four on the road, and they face a tough test at Rutgers tonight. The Scarlett Knights are just 1-4 in the BIG10, but three of those four losses came on the road. They are 8-1 at home, with their only loss coming versus #24 ranked Illinois. Nebraska are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games on the road. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-16-24 | Iowa State v. BYU UNDER 142 | 72-87 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Iowa State Cyclones are scoring just 62 points per game in the BIG12 so far, but they have held opponents to just 55 points per game. The BYU Cougars are scoring just 65 points per game in conference play, and they are allowing 70 points per game. We should see a defensive battle here in Provo and I wouldn't expect both these teams to reach 70 points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-16-24 | Kings v. Stars -125 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 16 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Dallas. These two teams are trending in opposite directions. The Kings have lost eight of their last nine overall, and five of their last six on the road. They #1 goaltender Cam Talbot is 0-5 with a 3.59 GAA in his last five starts. The Stars have won three of their last four, and they are just five points out of first place in the Central Division. The Stars have won four of their last five home games against LA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-15-24 | Eagles v. Bucs +3 | Top | 9-32 | Win | 100 | 94 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TB. The Eagles are a complete mess, coming into the playoffs as losers of five of their last six. Jalen Hurts appears to be battling injuries, and he's thrown more picks (5) than touchdowns (4) over his last five starts. No AJ Brown for the Eagles, and the defense is banged up on the back end. They might even have to move a corner to safety if Blankenship can't go. The Bucs defense is 100 percent healthy, and Baker Mayfield will play despite a sore ankle and bruised ribs. This looks like a case of the wrong team favored, and I'll take the home dog plus the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-15-24 | Iowa v. Minnesota -130 | Top | 86-77 | Loss | -130 | 17 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MINN. The Gophers finished dead last in the BIG10 last year, but they are a far better team this season. Iowa on the other hand appears to be trending in the opposite direction. Coming off a big home win over Nebraska, this looks like a let down spot for a Hawkeyes team that is 0-4 on the road. The Gophers are 11-1 at home, and they are looking to bounce back from a road loss at Indiana. Minnesota are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games, and they have covered in nine straight home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-15-24 | Magic v. Knicks UNDER 222 | 98-94 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Knicks are a different team since the trade acquiring OJ Anunoby from the Raptors. They have won six of seven, allowing opponents to average just 101 points per game during that span. The Magic rank 24th in the NBA in scoring, and they are 7th in opponent's scoring average. These two teams have a history of playing low scoring games, going under in six straight meetings and eight of the last 10. The Magic are coming in off four consecutive unders. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-14-24 | Rams +3 v. Lions | 23-24 | Win | 100 | 81 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on LAR. The Rams are peaking at the right time, coming into the playoffs as winners of seven of their last eight. The one loss during that span came in OT on the road at Baltimore. The Rams offense is humming with former Detroit Lion Mathew Stafford at QB. Stafford has a Super Bowl ring, McVay is the youngest head coach to make a Super Bowl and the youngest to win a Super Bowl. Cooper Kupp owns a Super Bowl MVP trophy. The Lions had a fantastic season, but they were more impressive in the first half of the season than they have been in the second half. Last week they played their starters, and that might prove to be costly if LaPorta can't play Sunday. The Rams have the edge at quarterback and superior coaching, I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-14-24 | Clippers -130 v. Wolves | 105-109 | Loss | -130 | 16 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on LAC. This is a huge game between the first place Minnesota Timberwolves and the 4th place Clippers. Whoever wins this game will be touted by the media as the best team in the NBA (in a snapshot of time). The Clippers come in as winners of eight of nine, and they have won 15 of their last 16 when Kawhi Leonard plays. I don't normally like backing road favorites, but I think this is such a high profile game and I truly believe that the Clippers may well be the creme of the crop in today's NBA when they have a healthy Kawhi Leonard. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-14-24 | Washington -1 v. UCLA | 61-73 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on WASH. The UCLA Bruins have lost four straight, and eight of their last nine overall. During that span they scored an average of 52 points per game. They haven't given us any indication that they can turn things around, as it's tough to win games when you can't score. Washington comes in off a home win over Arizona State. Washington comes in scoring over 81 points per game on 47 percent shooting, while the Bruins rank dead last in the PAC12 shooting just 41 percent from the field and averaging 64 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-14-24 | Liberty v. Louisiana Tech -163 | Top | 76-80 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on LA-Tech. The Flames haven't received a warm welcome to Conference USA, losing their first two games in conference play to Jacksonville State and Western Kentucky. A road game at LA-Tech isn't a great spot to get back on track. The Bulldogs are 8-0 at home, and the Flames have failed to cover in four of their last five road games. The Bulldogs have an impressive resume, and what stands out perhaps more than their wins is that their losses in tough road games were all close games against mostly tough opponents. New Mexico State, Colorado State and Grand Canyon for example. Their only conference loss came by four points at first place Sam Houston. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-13-24 | Alabama v. Mississippi State -125 | 82-74 | Loss | -125 | 3 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MISST. The Crimson Tide are undefeated in conference play, but after a win over South Carolina at home, and a win at Vanderbilt, this will be their toughest test so far. Mississippi State is 6-1 at home, and the Bulldogs are coming off a home win over #5 ranked Tennessee. Alabama has failed to cover in four of their last five on the road and they are just 3-6 ATS in their last nine versus Mississippi State. The Bulldogs have covered in four of their last five home games against Alabama. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-13-24 | Knicks -7 v. Grizzlies | 106-94 | Win | 100 | 18 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NYK. The Grizzlies are coming off a nine point home loss to the Clippers last night, and they are just 3-14 at home this season. Playing the second game of a back to back with a thin lineup tonight, they might be looking at a double digit loss to the Knicks. New York has won five of six since acquiring OJ Anunoby, and they have been dominant defensively during that span. The Grizz have failed to cover in seven of their last eight home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-13-24 | Bruins v. Blues +1.5 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Blues. The Bruins come limping into St. Louis at the end of a brutal road trip. Not only did they lose all three games at Vegas, Arizona and Colorado, but all three games went to overtime. The Bruins are 3-0 in their last three versus the Blues, but two of those wins came in OT. The Blues are 6-3 ATS as a puckline dog in the last nine meetings. The Blues have a better home record than the Bruins have on the road... could this be a case of the wrong team favored? GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-13-24 | Miami-FL v. Virginia Tech -140 | 75-71 | Loss | -140 | 1 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 3* on VT. The Hokies are undefeated at home, and they will be a small favorite here against Miami. Both teams are 2-2 in the ACC, and both these teams are winless on the road. Virginia Tech was just 2-10 on the road last year, but they were also 13-4 at home. The Canes have lost back to back games since beating Clemson at home, and they are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games in conference play. The Hokies are gunning for 10 straight home wins. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-13-24 | Browns v. Texans OVER 44 | 14-45 | Win | 100 | 126 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Browns offense is a different animal since Joe Flacco arrived. He's thrown for over 1600 yards and 13 touchdowns in just five games. Not only does Flacco have a Super Bowl ring, he also has a Super Bowl MVP Trophy in his collection. The Browns have gone over in seven straight road games, and they have gone over four of five with Flacco as the starter. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-13-24 | Browns -145 v. Texans | 14-45 | Loss | -145 | 57 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CLE. The Browns offense is a different animal since Joe Flacco arrived. He's thrown for over 1600 yards and 13 touchdowns in just five games. Not only does Flacco have a Super Bowl ring, he also has a Super Bowl MVP Trophy in his collection. He will lead a Browns team that ranks first in the NFL in total defense, allowing just 270 yards per game. On the other side we have a rookie QB in CJ Stroud making his first ever playoff start. We also have Kevin Stefanski who won Coach of the Year in 2020, opposite a rookie head coach in DeMeco Ryans. Since 2002 rookie quarterbacks making their first playoff start as an underdog are 2-8 straight up. All quarterbacks making their playoff debut are 25-40 ATS since 2022. Defense wins championships, and experience is priceless. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-12-24 | Pelicans v. Nuggets -5.5 | 113-125 | Win | 100 | 22 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on DEN. The Nuggets are 15-4 at home, and they are 7-3 in the last 10 versus the Pelicans. Call this a revenge game after New Orleans won at home 115-110 in the last meeting in November. The Pelicans come in with three of their starters listed as questionable (Zion, CJ & Brandon Ingram). The Pelicans lost 134-116 in their last game at Denver, and we might be expecting another blowout here tonight. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-12-24 | Raptors v. Jazz -140 | 113-145 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on UTAH. The Raptors are coming off back to back losses in LA, and this looks like a tough spot for them on the road at Utah. The trade with the Knicks provided a spark, but that won't be the last deal before the deadline. We expect Pascal Siakam to be on his way out, and he likely won't play tonight. The Jazz have won six of their last seven versus Toronto, and they are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games. The Jazz will look for a seventh straight home win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-12-24 | Predators +1.5 v. Stars | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NASH. The Preds will look to bounce back from a poor performance, losing at home to the Anaheim Ducks. The Stars are coming off back to back wins over Minnesota, and could be due for a let down. History suggests we could see a close game, as despite Dallas winning six of the last 10 meetings, the Preds are 7-3 ATS in those games. We might see backup netminder Scott Wedgewood start for Dallas, giving the visitors an edge between the pipes. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-11-24 | Knicks v. Mavs UNDER 234 | 124-128 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Knicks are a different team since the trade with the Raptors. New York is 5-0 since the trade, allowing opponents to average much less than 100 points per game during that span. The Raptors are also doing well since the trade, but they have gone over in all their games. It makes sense that after trading a pair of offensive minded players for an elite defender, this would be the result. These teams have gone under in seven of the last 10 meetings, and they haven't scored 234 points in regulation in any of the last five meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-11-24 | Seattle Kraken v. Capitals UNDER 6 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 19 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Seattle Kraken are the hottest team in the league, riding the hottest goaltender in the NHL. Seattle has won seven straight, and Joey Dacord is 6-0 with a 1.00 GAA during that span. The Kraken are in Washington tonight, and the Caps welcome back their top netminder, who ranks Top 5 in the league in GAA. These two teams failed to reach the total in both meetings last season, and this looks like a potential goaltending duel. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-11-24 | Stony Brook v. Towson UNDER 130.5 | 64-73 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Towson Tigers rank 335th nationally in pace of play, averaging just 66 possessions per game. This is even slower than they played last season, and they host the Stonybrook Seawolves, who also play at a below average pace. When these two teams played last year the Tigers won 67-55, going under the total of 127. The total for tonight's game sits several points higher... and that's hard for me to justify. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-10-24 | Arkansas v. Georgia -150 | 66-76 | Win | 100 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on UGA. |
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01-10-24 | Wizards v. Pacers -7.5 | 104-112 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on IND. How will the Pacers get on without Tyrese Haliburton? Well they should do just fine against a Wizards team that is 3-17 on the road. They came storming back to beat the Celtics at home in the second half without their leading scorer in their last game. Washington are 1-9 SU in their last 10 games on the road, while the Pacers have won seven of their last eight. I expect Indiana to rally for another double digit win here at home against a bottom feeder. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-10-24 | East Carolina v. Temple UNDER 143 | 73-62 | Win | 100 | 19 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The East Carolina Pirates rank 301st nationally in pace of play, averaging just 68 possessions per game game. They are on the road tonight at Temple, and the Owls are coming off a 68-61 win over Wichita State. These teams have gone under in four of the last five meetings, and the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in any of those games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-10-24 | Clemson v. Virginia Tech UNDER 145 | 72-87 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Clemson Tigers rank 233rd nationally in pace of play, averaging just over 70 possessions per game. They are coming off a 65-55 loss to North Carolina, and we might expect another low scoring game at Virginia Tech. The Tigers won the last meeting by a score of 51-50, and they have gone under in eight of the last 10 meetings. The total for tonight's game is much higher than it was in any of those games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-09-24 | Panthers v. Blues +1.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -165 | 15 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on STL +1.5. The Blues are playing far better since firing head coach Craig Berube, yet they are an underdog at home versus Florida. The Panthers have won seven straight, but the final game of a road trip could be a let down spot. History favors the Blues who are 6-2 in the last eight meetings, and 8-0 as a puckline underdog during that span. Binnington has allowed just two goals in his last two starts, and he's 9-4 with a 2.87 GAA at home this season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-09-24 | Seattle Kraken v. Sabres UNDER 6.5 | 5-2 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Kraken come into Buffalo as winners of six straight, and they have gone under the total in all six of those games. They are riding a red hot goaltender in Joey Dacord, who is 5-0 with a 1.00 GAA over his last five starts. The Sabres own one of the worst power play units in the NHL, and Seattle is only slightly better. Buffalo has failed to reach the total in four of their last five games, and the under is 12-6 in their last 18 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-09-24 | Indiana v. Rutgers UNDER 140 | 57-66 | Win | 100 | 29 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Rutgers is 8-2 SU in the last 10 head to head meetings versus Indiana, and they are 5-0 at home in those games. Neither team has scored 70 points in each of the last four meetings, and they have failed to reach 140 combined points in five straight meetings. Rutgers has failed to reach the total in four of their last five home games. Rutgers ranks 349th in scoring averaging just 68 points per game, but they are great defensively allowing just 64 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-09-24 | Rhode Island v. Davidson UNDER 140 | 79-74 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. There are 362 Div 1 teams, and none of them play slower than the Davidson Wildcats. Their average of 62 possessions per game ranks 362nd in the country. The Wildcats host Rhode Island, and these teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last 10 meetings. Only two of those games went over a combined 140 points, and one of those went to overtime. Davidson won the last meeting by a score 68-54, and we could see a similar score here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-08-24 | Washington v. Michigan OVER 55.5 | Top | 13-34 | Loss | -110 | 103 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. Michigan ranked #1 in the country in scoring defense this season, allowing less than 20 points per game. They are coming off a Rose Bowl win over Alabama, holding Jalen Milroe to just 116 passing yards and sacking him six times. Why is this game going to be different? Well Michael Penix Jr. is by far the best QB this Michigan defense will have seen this season. During the regular season the best QB they saw was Kyle McCord, and Ohio State scored 24 points on the road, outdoors in the winter at Ann Arbor. This is an indoor game in a dome, with an artificial surface, and that should favor the Huskies. Michigan has gone over the total in 16 of their last 21 neutral site games since 2004. While Alabama's offensive line struggled, and Jalen Milroe couldn't get the ball out quick enough, Michael Penix Jr is more than capable of getting the ball out in a hurry, and avoiding pressure. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-07-24 | Bills -160 v. Dolphins | 21-14 | Win | 100 | 162 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BUF. The Bills face a must win situation at Miami in the final week of the season, and the good news is that they appear to be peaking at the right time. They have won four straight, and two of those wins came on the road. The Dolphins are trending in the opposite direction, coming off a blowout loss at Baltimore. Despite all the early season hype, the fact remains is that Miami has just one win versus a winning team in their last 30 games overall. The Dolphins come limping into the final game of the season with a dozen starters listed as questionable. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-07-24 | Wolves -140 v. Mavs | 108-115 | Loss | -140 | 15 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIN. The T-Wolves sit in first place in the Western Conference, and they come into Dallas with an 11-7 road record. The Mavs are banged up, and Luka Doncic did not play in a win over Portland on Friday. His status is still uncertain for tonight's game, but it appears unlikely he will be 100 percent. The Wolves have won five of the last six head to head, including both meetings at Dallas during that span. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-07-24 | Maryland v. Minnesota -125 | 62-65 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MINN. The Maryland Terrapins were just 2-9 on the road last year. One of those wins came at Minnesota though, and they have owned the Gophers. Maryland is 10-0 SU and 9-0-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Minnesota appears to have vastly improved, and they should have no trouble getting up for this game. The Gophers are 10-1 at home so far, and their win over Nebraska looks more impressive by the day. They come off a road win at Ann Arbor, and while Michigan doesn't look great that's still an impressive result for a team that finished last in the BIG10 a year ago. Maryland has lost two of three on the road, and they have scored an average of just 54 points in those games. Their road win at UCLA is looking less impressive by the day. GL, Jesse Schule |