Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-05-20 | Leeds United v. Chelsea -189 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Chelsea. Surely we expect Liverpool to drop points over the next few weeks, without any experienced defenders and striker Mo Salah unable to even return to England after getting Covid in Egypt. When he returns to the UK he will then need to be quarantined for 10 days. This opens the door for the likes of Spurs, Manchester City, Leicester and Chelsea. Of that group I think Chelsea has the best chance to build a big lead. The Blues are really starting to benefit from their off-season spending spree, and they are undefeated in their last 15, posting 11 clean sheets in those matches. With fans back in Stanford Bridge in December, a home game against Leeds should result in full points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-04-20 | North Dakota v. Minnesota UNDER 149 | 67-76 | Win | 100 | 20 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. Minnesota looks impressive after three games, and they are a huge favorite against North Dakota. These teams met earlier last season, and the Gophers won that game of 79-56. The total for that game was listed at 138, more than 10 points lower than this year's meeting. This number looks a little inflated and I am making a value play by fading the big number. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-04-20 | UL-Lafayette v. Appalachian State -137 | 24-21 | Loss | -137 | 20 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Mountaineers. The Ragin Cajuns are all the rage, the first place team in the Sun Belt. They score more points than the Moutaineers, and they are ranked in the Top 25. History is certainly not on their side, they have lost to the Mountaineers in seven straight meetings. The Ragin' Cajuns are 2-7 ATS in their last nine conference games, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six versus a team with a winning record. The Mountaineers are undefeated at home, and their defense is still ranked among the best in the country. The weather is expected to be nasty on Friday night in Boone, and that might make life even harder for the Ragin Cajuns. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-04-20 | Wisconsin -175 v. Marquette | 65-67 | Loss | -175 | 20 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Wisconsin. The Badgers are off to a good start, heading into Friday's game against Marquette with a perfect 3-0 record. They have played excellent defense in all three of those games, allowing an average of 55.7 points per game. This success is not surprising given the experience in the starting lineup. Their top three scorers are all seniors, and all three are scoring in double figures. Marquette is missing Markus Howard, who averaged almost 28 points per game last season. So far nobody has stepped up to fill in anywhere near that kind of production. I expect the Eagles to struggle against this veteran team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-03-20 | Air Force -11 v. Utah State | 35-7 | Win | 100 | 21 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Air Force. |
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12-03-20 | Minnesota United v. Sporting KC UNDER 3 | 3-0 | Push | 0 | 19 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. |
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12-03-20 | Connecticut v. USC +1 | 61-58 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on USC. |
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12-03-20 | Celtic v. AC Milan -1.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
5* |
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12-02-20 | Montana State v. Pacific UNDER 137 | 70-74 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Pacific Tigers have a win and a loss so far, and they went under in both of those games. A combination of strong defense and not so strong offense seems to be a recipe for low scoring games. Hitting less than half of their free throws certainly has been a factor. Montana State scored 91 points in a win over UNLV in their opener, but they have gone under in nine of their last 11 after scoring 90 or more points. The under is 7-1 in the Tigers last eight games following an ATS loss, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-02-20 | Ravens +10.5 v. Steelers | 14-19 | Win | 100 | 16 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Baltimore. This drama has turned into quite a sh!t sh@w, but over the years we have learned that in the NFL anything can happen. Lamar Jackson (the reigning MVP) will not play, but I have never been a fan. I am not a believer in RGIII either, but the line swelling to double digits has tempted me to gamble on the Ravens to make it interesting. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-02-20 | Paris Saint-Germain v. Manchester United OVER 2.75 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 16 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. PSG has been dropping points in recent matches in the French league, coming off a draw versus Bordeaux and a loss to Montpellier. They also conceded five goals in those two matches, and they have conceded eight goals in their last five matches in all competitions. Manchester United has won four of their last five Premier League matches, scoring 12 goals in those games. Recent head to head meetings between these teams have also been high scoring, with United winning 2-1 and 3-1 in the last two matches. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-01-20 | Michigan State +4 v. Duke | 75-69 | Win | 100 | 17 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on MSU. Duke is loaded with freshman talent, but lacks experience early in the season. This was quite evident in their opening game against Coppin State. They turned the ball over a whopping 22 times, failing to cover as a 30-point favorite in an 81-71 win. The Spartans lost a lot of star power from last year's squad (Cassius Winston and Xavier Tillman), but Rocket Watson and Aaron Henry are back, and the addition of Joey Hauser gives them plenty of experience in their starting five. The Spartans are 4-0 ATS in their last four games as an underdog, and the underdog is 4-0 in the last four head to head meetings between these teams. I think it's to early in the year to back Duke's freshman as favorites. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-30-20 | Pacific v. Nevada UNDER 150 | 58-70 | Win | 100 | 22 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Nevada Wolfpack have played excellent defense during a 2-0 start, holding their opponents to an average of just 57 points. A home game against Pacific should be a defensive battle, as the Tigers can also play strong defense. The under is 12-5 in the Tigers last 17 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Wolfpack's last two games against teams from the WCC were losses to St. Mary's (68-63) and to BYU (75-42). Nevada has failed to reach the total in five straight against teams with a winning record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-30-20 | Seahawks -6 v. Eagles | 23-17 | Push | 0 | 21 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Seattle. The Seahawks defense has struggled all season, but the return of corner Shaq Griffin and the addition of defensive end Carlos Dunlap should help them continue to improve. They looked pretty sharp last week in a 28-21 home win over Arizona. The Eagles have looked downright awful, even in the handful of games they won. Carson Wentz has thrown as many INTs (14) as he has TDs, and his future as the starter is in doubt. The Seahawks are 6-0 ATS in their last six versus the Eagles, and they have covered in five straight in Philly. This looks like a tough spot for the home team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-29-20 | Oakland v. Michigan OVER 148.5 | 71-81 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Wolverines shot over 54 percent in a 96-82 win over Bowling Green in their first game of the season, and they might shoot out the lights again tonight against Oakland. The Golden Grizzlies are 0-3, and they have given up an average of 85 points in those losses. These two teams haven't played since 2011, but Michigan won that game by a score of 90-80. The over is 5-1 in the Wolverines last six overall, and the over is 11-4 in the Golden Grizzlies last 15 Sunday games. I expect this non-conference game to be another shootout. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-29-20 | Chiefs -177 v. Bucs | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 19 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Chiefs. The Bucs have lost back to back home games, and in both those losses Bruce Arians was thoroughly out-coached. The decision to bring in Antonio Brown despite all his off field problems still seems questionable, especially when you find out that his most recent legal troubles stem from an incident just days before he signed with Tampa. The Bucs have all the talent, but they are a long way from competing with Any Reid and the Chiefs. The Chiefs are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite, and they are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games overall. The Buccaneers are 2-9-2 ATS in their last 13 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-29-20 | 49ers v. Rams -6.5 | 23-20 | Loss | -103 | 18 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on LAR. The 49ers are still dealing with a ton of injuries, while the Rams are in a position to move out in front in the NFC West. LA is undefeated at home, and Jared Goff has thrown for over 300 yards in three straight starts. LA has the NFL's #1 ranked defense, and only Pittsburgh has allowed less points. Nick Mullen will start in place of Jimmy Garropolo and he's thrown as many INTs (6 ) as TDs in his five starts. The Rams pass rushers are going to put a lot of pressure on the young quarterback, and my money is on him to make mistakes. The Rams are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 games as a favorite, and they are 6-1-1 in their last eight games as a home favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-29-20 | Giants -5.5 v. Bengals | 19-17 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on NYG. The Giants have won back to back games, and Daniel Jones has done a better job of protecting the football. The Bengals are still reeling from the loss of Joe Burrow, and they will turn to Brandon Allen this week. The 28 year old appeared in three games last year, throwing for 515 yards, three TDs and two INTs on 46 percent passing. The Giants are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 road games, and they are Giants are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 versus teams with a losing record. I expect an inexperienced Cincinnati quarterback to struggle against a capable Giants defense. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-28-20 | Nevada v. Hawaii OVER 59.5 | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -105 | 143 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. Nevada comes into Hawaii with a 5-0 record, and they are averaging over 32 points per game. They rank 4th nationally in passing, averaging 364 yards per game. They match up against a Hawaii defense that has allowed 30+ points in four straight games. Nevada quarterback Carson Strong is completing over 70 percent of his passes so far with 14 TDS and two INTs. These teams have gone under in seven straight head to head meetings, but the total for tonight's game is far lower than it was in the last three meetings. The over is 6-1 in the Rainbow Warriors last seven home games, and the over is 21-8 in the Rainbow Warriors last 29 games as a home underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-28-20 | Louisville v. Boston College -115 | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 16 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Boston College. The Boston College Eagles have a winning record despite a tough schedule, with all four of their losses coming against ranked opponents. Louisville is just 3-6, and they have two losses to teams that the Eagles defeated. Boston College has the advantage at quarterback, with Phil Jurkovec who has completed 60 percent of his passes for 2,355 yards, 17 TDs and 5 INTs. The Cardinals Malik Cunningham has thrown for six INTs and just four TDs in his last three starts. The Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last five versus Louisville. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-28-20 | LSU v. St. Louis UNDER 147 | 81-85 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Bilikens won 15 of their 18 home games last season, and they are bringing back all their starters from last season. They host LSU Saturday, and the Tigers lost six of 10 road games last season, and they also bring back the majority of their starters. The Billikens are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 Saturday games, and 4-1 ATS in their last five home games. The under is 19-7-1 in Billikens last 27 Saturday games, and they allowed just 52 points in their win over SIU on Thursday. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-28-20 | Leeds United v. Everton OVER 3 | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. Everton will host Leeds Saturday, and they will have to manage without several key defenders. Left back Lucas Digne, right back JonJoe Kenny and captain Seamus Coleman are all dealing with injuries. This could be a problem against Leeds, despite the fact that the newly promoted side has just win in their last five matches. It's not for lack of scoring, Leeds has scored 17 goals in nine matches, just two fewer than Everton. Neither side has been great defensively. Only three teams in the Premier League have conceded more goals than Everton, and Leeds is one of those three. Everton hasn't posted a clean sheet since beating Spurs 1-0 in their season opener. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-28-20 | Penn State v. Michigan +1 | 27-17 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Michigan. The Wolverines will host Penn State in a battle between the two most disappointing teams in the BIG10 on Saturday. Only one of these teams has a chance to salvage a sliver of self respect, and that's Michigan. With a win today, they would move to 3-3 while the Nittany Lions would be 0-7. Last week Cade McNamara stepped up and threw for 260 yards and four TDs on 26-of-37 passing. Sean Clifford has thrown as many INTs (5) as TDs in his last three appearances, and his backup has as many picks (4) as TDs so far this season. The Nittany Lions are 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings, and the home team is 6-2 ATS in the last eight head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-28-20 | Maryland v. Indiana -11.5 | 11-27 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Indiana. The Hoosiers are coming off a their first loss of the season, pushing the Buckeyes to the brink in Columbus. They forced Justin Fields to throw a pair of INTs, and quarterback Michael Penix threw for 491 yards and five TDs in a losing effort. This might look like a let down spot coming back home as a double digit favorite against Maryland, but I expect Indiana to make a statement here. The Terrapins are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog, and they are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games. The Hoosiers are 6-0 ATS in their last six games as a home favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-27-20 | Notre Dame -195 v. North Carolina | 31-17 | Win | 100 | 110 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Notre Dame. The Irish appear in the #2 spot in the first edition of the College Football Playoff rankings. They will need to run the table if they want to stay in a playoff spot, and they face a tough opponent on the road in Chapel Hill. Sam Howell and the Tar Heels offense are lighting up the scoreboard, but the defense hasn't been able to stop anybody. They have given up 40+ points against the likes of Virginia, Virginia Tech and Wake Forest. The over is 8-2 in the Tar Heels last 10 games following a bye week, and I expect this game to be a shootout. At the end of the day I think the Irish should get more stops with a superior defense, and end up pulling away in the second half. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-27-20 | Nebraska v. Iowa -13.5 | 20-26 | Loss | -112 | 107 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Iowa. Nebraska is coming odd a double digit loss at home to Illinois, and the are 1-3 on the season. Their only win came against an 0-4 Penn State team, and now they play on the road at Iowa. The Hawkeyes have won three straight games, all by 20+ points. The Cornhuskers are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 conference games, and they are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games. The Hawkeyes have covered in seven of their last 10 home games against teams with a losing record. I like Iowa to win big. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-27-20 | Iowa State v. Texas UNDER 60.5 | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 107 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. Texas has won three straight since losing to Oklahoma in the Red River Rivalry, and both home games during that span have been low scoring. They host Iowa State Friday, and the total here seems far too high considering these teams have a history of playing low scoring games. Each of the last five head to head meetings have gone under, and not one of those games saw 45 combined points. The under is 15-5-1 in Cyclones last 21 road games, and the under is 22-4 in the Longhorns last 26 home games versus a team with a winning road. The under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Texas. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-26-20 | Purdue v. Clemson UNDER 131.5 | 70-81 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. |
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11-26-20 | Washington Football Team v. Cowboys -165 | 41-16 | Loss | -165 | 61 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Cowboys. Dallas is coming off a 31-28 win at Minnesota, and their offense finally started clicking with Andy Dalton under center. Dalton was knocked out of just his second start this season in a 25-3 loss at Washington. He ended up missing the next two games, and he gets a shot at revenge here against Washington on Thanksgiving. Alex Smith has been solid stepping in at QB for the Redskins, but he is not surrounded by the same level of talent that Dalton has to work with in Dallas. Washington ranks 29th in the NFL in scoring, and I don't like their chances of winning on the road against a Dallas team that can pile on the points. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings between these division rivals. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-26-20 | Gonzaga -2.5 v. Kansas | 102-90 | Win | 100 | 18 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Gonzaga. |
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11-26-20 | Texans v. Lions OVER 50.5 | 41-25 | Win | 100 | 15 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Texans defense has been downright awful this season, and only the Seattle Seahawks have allowed more passing yards than Houston. Opponents are averaging over 411 passing yards per game, and here they are in Detroit, playing in a dome against a team that can't run the ball to save their lives. Mathew Stafford wasn't sharp playing hurt against Carolina last week, but I expect him to go off here at home against the Texans. Both these teams are rather pass happy, and each should do their fair share of scoring. There is just something about the Lions on Thanksgiving. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-25-20 | Clemson -4 v. Mississippi State | 53-42 | Win | 100 | 16 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Clemson Tigers. Clemson finished just one game over .500 last season (16-15 overall) and they finished in the middle of the pack in the ACC. They might be a little better this season, returning three of their top four scorers, including leading scorer Aamir Simms. The Bulldogs aren't as fortunate. They had four starters score in double figures last season, and they lost all four of them. The Tigers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 neutral site games. The Bulldogs are 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine neutral site games as an underdog. This Clemson team was good enough last season to get wins against the likes of Duke, North Carolina, Louisville and Florida State. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-23-20 | Rams +3.5 v. Bucs | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 166 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Rams. The Rams are in a battle with Seattle for first place in the NFC West, and a win tonight in Tampa would put them level with the Seahawks. The Rams have lost two of their last three road games, but Tampa has lost two of three prime-time games this season. Tom Brady threw for just 209 yards and three INTs on 22-of-38 passing in a 38-3 loss to the Saints in their last home game. They face a tough defense tonight that ranks 1st in yards allowed, 2nd in points allowed, and 1st against the pass. The Buccaneers are 7-20-1 ATS in their last 28 games as a home favorite, and they are 2-8-2 ATS in their last 12 home games. I don't think they should be favored by more than a field goal. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-22-20 | Chiefs -7 v. Raiders | 35-31 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Kansas City. The Chiefs only loss this season was in a shootout, 40-32 versus Las Vegas. The come into Sin City looking for revenge. Oakland is going to have a tough time scoring 40 here this week. The Raiders defense has bit hit hard by illness, and several key players have been on and off the Covid list. The Chiefs are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite, and the Raiders are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games. You can tell by Andy Reid's comments that he isn't forgetting what happened earlier in the year: “Well, listen,” Reid said, “they won the game, so they can do anything they want to do if they end up winning the game. That's not our style, but we'll get ourselves back, ready to play, and that's where we're at.” GL, Jesse Scule |
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11-22-20 | Leicester +0.5 v. Liverpool | 0-3 | Loss | -105 | 155 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Leicester +0.5. Defending champions Liverpool currently sit just one point out of first place after just eight matches, but injuries threaten to derail their title defense. As of mid November, their entire starting defense is out, as is Mo Salah, Jordan Henderson, Thiago Alacantara and Alex Oxlade Chamberlain. Surely we expect Liverpool to drop points over the next few weeks, without any experienced defenders and striker Mo Salah unable to even return to England after getting Covid in Egypt. When he returns to the UK he will then need to be quarantined for 10 days. This opens the door for the likes of Spurs, Manchester City, Leicester and Chelsea. Leicester currently sits in first place, and they have won five straight matches. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-22-20 | Eagles v. Browns -2 | Top | 17-22 | Win | 100 | 202 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Cleveland Browns. Cleveland has run over it's opponents this season, and last week they ran for 231 yards in a 10-7 win over Houston. The final score is a little misleading, as Cleveland never trailed in the game, and only allowed a late touchdown when the game was already out of reach. Nick Chubb wisely passed on a potential TD at the end of the game, allowing the Browns to kneel and run out the clock. The Eagles gave up over 150 yards and three rushing TDs in a loss to the Giants last week, and they have to be having second thoughts about the future of Carson Wentz. Baker Mayfield has his fair share of critics, but so far this season he has a higher QBR (71.4) than Lamar Jackson, Deshaun Watson and Phillip Rivers. He's within a few decimal points of Tom Brady (71.8). The recipe for success in Cleveland is less is more for Baker Mayfield. Expect that trend to continue and the Browns to run all over Philly in Week 11. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-22-20 | Lions +3 v. Panthers | 0-20 | Loss | -115 | 135 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Lions. While the status of both starting quarterbacks is up in the air, it seems that asking Carolina to cover points here might be a tough ask. Christian McCaffrey came back from injury to play against the Chiefs, but he picked up a shoulder injury that will prevent him from playing against the Lions. The Panthers are 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine home games, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six versus a team with a losing record. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-21-20 | Tennessee v. Auburn -10 | 17-30 | Win | 100 | 18 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Auburn Tigers. The Vols have lost four straight, and all three of those losses came by a double digit margin. Three of those four losses came by more than 20 points. Jarrett Guarantano left the last game with an injury, and Harrison Bailey came in and threw for 65 yards and two INTs on 6-of-9 passing. Jeremy Pruit won't say who is starting for the Vols, but whoever plays quarterback will struggle against this Auburn defense. The Tigers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games, and they are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games as a favorite. I like Auburn to win by two scores. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-21-20 | Kentucky v. Alabama UNDER 58 | 3-63 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. Alabama has been explosive on offense this season, and their defense has looked a little shaky at times. That's likely why the total for this game is far higher than it was in any of the previous four meetings between these teams. None of those games saw enough combined points to go over this inflated number. Kentucky doesn't have the high powered offense that posed problems for Nick Saban's team earlier this year. After a 41-0 shutout win over Mississippi State, I expect a similar score here at home against the Wildcats. The under is 18-5 in the Wildcats last 23 conference games, and the under is 20-8 in their last 28 road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-21-20 | Appalachian State v. Coastal Carolina -190 | 23-34 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Coastal Carolina. The Chanticleers are 6-0, and five of their six wins have come by a double digit margin. Their only close game so far was on the road at first place Louisana Lafayette. Grayson McCall has thrown for 13,93 yards, 16 TDs and just one INT. Appalachian State quarterback Zac Thomas hasn't been nearly as impressive, throwing for just 146 yards on 16-of-22 passing in a nail-biter versus Georgia State last week. He has thrown for 200 yards once in his last five starts. The Mountaineers dominance in the Sun Belt might be coming to an end, they are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games overall. I'll take the hot team with the superior QB. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-21-20 | Chelsea -192 v. Newcastle United | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 18 h 46 m | Show | |
5* |
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11-20-20 | Purdue -122 v. Minnesota | 31-34 | Loss | -122 | 18 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Purdue. The Boilermakers suffered their first loss of the season last weekend, but they played a pretty close game in a one score loss to undefeated Northwestern. The Gophers haven't really looked tough in any of their games, especially a blowout loss to Iowa at home last week. Quarterback Tanner Morgan has thrown as many INTs (4) as TDs, completing just 57.5 percent of his passes so far. The Boilermakers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall, and they are 17-7 ATS in their last 24 games following a loss. Rondale Moore has yet to play this season, but he was rumored to be close to playing last week against the Wildcats. We could see him make his season debut here against the Gophers. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-19-20 | Cardinals v. Seahawks -156 | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 20 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Seattle. The Seahawks have struggled in recent weeks, losing three of their last four overall. All three of those losses were on the road, and they return home Thursday night for a revenge game against Kyler Murray and the Cardinals. Seattle lost in overtime at Arizona three weeks ago, and the Seahawks blew a double digit lead late in that game. Seattle was up 27-20 at halftime. Arizona could be due for a let down here, coming off a walk off winner on a hail mary pass from Murray to Hopkins last week versus Buffalo. The Seahawks are 32-15-4 ATS in their last 51 games following a straight up loss, and I like them to get off to a good start here on TNF. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-18-20 | Northern Illinois v. Ball State UNDER 62 | 25-31 | Win | 100 | 16 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Northern Illinois Huskies scored just 10 points in a home loss to Central Michigan last week, and poor quarterback play has limited the Huskies offense. Ross Bowers have just one TD pass in two starts so far, and he's completing just 55% of his pass attempts. Drew Pitt hasn't exactly been lighting it up for Ball State, with two TDs and two picks in two games so far. These two teams have failed to reach the total in three of the last four meetings, and the total for tonight's game is more than five points higher than it was in any of those previous contests. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-20 | Vikings v. Bears +3.5 | 19-13 | Loss | -120 | 31 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Bears. Chicago won five of their first six games of the season, but most of us believed they were vastly overrated. They have since lost three straight, and now they find themselves as a home dog against Kirk Cousins and the Vikings. The Vikes are just 3-5, and Kirk Cousins is 0-9 on Monday Night Football. I think it's fair to say that the Bears are not getting enough respect here. Minnesota has won back to back games and Dalvin Cook has run for 369 yards and five TDs in those wins. He might have some trouble putting up those kind of numbers against this Bears defense. Chicago beat the Vikings twice last year, and Cook ran for just 34 yards on 14 carries playing in only one of the two losses. The Bears are 13-4-1 ATS in their last 18 games as a home underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-15-20 | Seahawks v. Rams -119 | 16-23 | Win | 100 | 111 h 53 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Rams. Seattle doesn't just have the worst pass defense in the NFL this season, the Seahawks are on pace to have the worst pass defense in NFL history this season. They are coming off a blowout loss on the road at Buffalo last week, and they are in a tough spot here against a division rival coming off a bye week. The Rams have had plenty of time to regroup after losing to Miami two weeks ago, and still this is a team that ranks 1st overall in yards allowed, and has held opponents to just 19 points per game. The Seahawks are without their top two rushers, and the pressure is going to be on Russell Wilson. The Seahawks are 2-6 ATS in their last eight meetings in Los Angeles, and the Rams are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games following a loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-15-20 | Bills v. Cardinals -125 | 30-32 | Win | 100 | 111 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Arizona. The Bills are coming off a huge blowout win at home against Seattle, but that could set them up for a let down here on the road in Arizona. The Cardinals defense is a lot more formidable, and Kyler Murray has the offense firing on all cylinders. The Bills are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six road games, and the Cardinals are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The Bills will be thin in the secondary after a pair of starting corners (including Josh Norman) tested positive for Covid. DeAndre Hopkins should be able to put up big numbers here this afternoon. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-15-20 | Eagles v. Giants +3.5 | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 108 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NYG. The Giants have now played five consecutive games decided by three points or less, including a 22-21 loss at Philly. I am not sure the Eagles deserve to be a road favorite in New York, but I am quite certain that 3.5 points is just too much to ask for a team with as many injuries as Philly. Carson Wentz has thrown for as many INTs (12) as TDs, and he leads the NFL in giveaways. The offensive line is struggling, and the receiving corps is made up of practice squad players. The Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as an underdog, and they are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 14 versus teams with a losing record. These teams have a history of playing close games, with only two of the last 10 meetings decided by more than one score. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-14-20 | Oregon State v. Washington UNDER 52.5 | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 26 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Oregon State Beavers lost their season opener at home to Washington State, and things won't get any easier this week on the road at Washington. It will be a cold and wet Winter night at Husky Stadium, where history hasn't been kind to them. They have lost five straight at Washington, and they are 1-9 straight up in the last 10 head to head meetings. Last year the Huskies won at Corvallis by a score of 19-7. The under is 8-3 in the Huskies last 11 conference games, and they have gone under in four of their last five as a home favorite. The under is 5-1 in the Huskies last six games in the month of November. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-14-20 | Wisconsin v. Michigan UNDER 54.5 | Top | 49-11 | Loss | -108 | 93 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. How bad are the Wolverines, and how good are the Badgers? Well my guess is that Michigan isn't quite as bad as they have looked so far, and Wisconsin is getting way too much credit for beating up on Illinois in their only game of the season. Starting QB Graham Mertz threw for 248 yards and five TDs on 20-of-21 passing in his first college start, but before we hand him the Heisman we should consider the opposition. Since losing to Wisconsin, Illinois lost to unranked Purdue, and was blown out by Minnesota. The Purdue QB also put up huge numbers against Illinois, throwing for 371 yards on 83 percent passing with a pair of TDs. Mertz is set to be eligible to play after recovering from Covid, but he wouldn't have had any practice over the last two weeks. His backup is also recovering from Covid, which could set up a chance for the third stringer to come into play. The listed total was well below 50 in each of the last four head to head meetings, and they didn't score more than 51 points combined in any of those games. I expect another close, low scoring game between two conference rivals. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-14-20 | Arkansas +17.5 v. Florida | 35-63 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Arkansas. I had a big play on Florida last week, so I was happy to see them blow out Georgia in the Cocktail Party. The big win could set them up for a let down here against a gritty Arkansas team though. The Razorbacks already have lost close games to Auburn and Texas A&M. Unlike Georgia, this Arkansas offense has no trouble scoring points. They scored 31 on the Aggies, and 28 against Auburn. I don't think Florida's defense is good enough for them to be asked to win this game by three scores. The Razorbacks are 8-0 ATS in their last eight games as an underdog, and they have covered the spread in eight straight SEC games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-14-20 | Northwestern v. Purdue UNDER 51.5 | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 27 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. Northwestern has been dominant defensively, holding opponents to just 12 points per game during a 3-0 start. They will be a slight favorite on the road against Purdue, and the Boilermakers are also undefeated. History favors the Wildcats, who have covered in five straight at Purdue. The road team is 7-1 ATS in the last eight head to head meetings. They have failed to reach the total in five of their last six road games, and when these teams played last year the bookmakers set the total at just 39. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-14-20 | Penn State -143 v. Nebraska | 23-30 | Loss | -143 | 17 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Penn State. Two winless teams face off in the BIG10 Saturday, and the good news for Nebraska and Penn State is that one of them is going to get their first win. Both teams have had their share of problems, but I think the Nittany Lions are a lost closer to where they want to be than the Huskers are. Sean Clifford is the starting quarterback, and there is no doubt about that. You can't really blame their struggles on Clifford, who has thrown for 859 yards and nine TDs in three losses so far. The quarterback situation is far less certain for Nebraska, with neither of their QBs throwing a single TD pass so far. It's unclear who will start, and it's likely that whoever does start won't finish. The Cornhuskers are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games as a home underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-13-20 | Iowa v. Minnesota UNDER 58 | 35-7 | Win | 100 | 24 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. Despite losing two of their first three games, Iowa has one of the best defenses in the country. They have allowed an average of just 17 points per game so far, and last week they had three INTs against Michigan State. Minnesota QB Tanner Morgan has failed to impress so far this season, throwing for just 600 yards, with three TDs and two INTs. Historically these teams play low scoring games, and seven of the last eight meetings have seen listed totals under 50. The under is 9-3 in the Hawkeyes last 12 conference games, and 10-4-1 in their last 15 games overall. Last year the Hawkeyes won by a score of 23-19. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-12-20 | Colts v. Titans -129 | 34-17 | Loss | -129 | 41 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Tennessee. The Colts are 5-3, and only one of their five wins came against a team with a winning record (Chicago). They appear to be overvalued here on the road against the first place Tennessee Titans. Phillip Rivers played poorly in a loss to the Ravens last week, throwing for 227 yards on 25-of-43 passing with a pick and no TDs. His numbers so far this season (10 TDs and 7 INTs) can only be viewed as a disappointment. The Titans crushed the Colts in Indianapolis in the most recent meeting, winning by a score of 31-17. Derrick Henry ran for 149 yards on 26 carries in that game. Despite the Colts impressive showing on defense so far this season, I don't fancy their chances of slowing down Henry. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-11-20 | Central Michigan v. Northern Illinois +8 | 40-10 | Loss | -108 | 20 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Northern Illinois. The Huskies lost their season opener at home to Buffalo by a score of 49-30. While the final score suggests the game wasn't close, the Huskies actually had more total yards, more time of possession and almost twice as many first downs. Despite five turnovers, they still scored 30 points on a tough Buffalo defense. Central Michigan opened the season with a three-point win over Ohio, and they are asked to cover a big spread on the road here in Dekalb. History tells us we might want to think twice about backing the favorite, as the underdog has covered in six straight meetings between these teams. The home team is 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 meetings. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-10-20 | Miami-OH v. Buffalo UNDER 57.5 | 10-42 | Win | 100 | 23 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Buffalo Bills scored a whopping 49 points in a win over Northern Illinois in their season opener, despite only converting on 3-of-9 third downs. They ran the ball twice as often as the threw it, and they totaled just 357 yards of offense. Almost half their points came directly as a result of five Huskies turnovers. They host Miami-Ohio this week, and the Red Hawks won their first game at home versus Ball State. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, especially in Buffalo. With the weather forecast calling for bone-chilling cold temperatures, it might be hard to pile on the points. The total for this game is exactly 10-points higher than it was when the Red Hawks won last year by a score of 34-20. The Redhawks have gone under in six of their last eight overall, and in six straight when coming off a win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-08-20 | Dolphins v. Cardinals -4.5 | 34-31 | Loss | -105 | 135 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Cardinals. Miami could be due for a let down coming off a big upset win over the Rams last week. That win was a little fraudulent. The Rams out-gained Miami 471-145 in total yards, but the Fish took advantage of four Rams turnovers. They can't count on winning the turnover battle here against an opportunistic Cardinals defense. The Dolphins are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Cardinals are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-08-20 | Steelers -13.5 v. Cowboys | 24-19 | Loss | -110 | 111 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Steelers. The Steelers are a huge favorite against Dallas on Sunday, and all those points can be intimidating. While it might look to easy betting on the undefeated Steelers to beat up on the Cowboys and their third or fourth string QB, but I just can't see it any other way. Dallas ranks dead last in run defense allowing over 170 rushing yards per game, and James Conner should be primed to fill the stat sheet. The Cowboys would surely like to run the ball to take the heat off their inexperienced QB, but they are up against a Steel Curtain than ranks #1 against the run. I like Pittsburgh to win by at least three scores. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-08-20 | Giants v. Washington Football Team -175 | 23-20 | Loss | -175 | 131 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Washington Redskins. The Giants are on a short week, playing at Washington with the Redskins coming off a bye. This should favor the home team with all the extra time to prepare. Daniel Jones has made some incredible plays to keep the Giants in games, but they are still just 1-7. He's also been a turnover machine, throwing nine INTs in seven starts. Kyle Allen has thrown for over 500 yards with four TDs and just one INT in two starts for Washington. The Giants don't have much of a running game, and the Skins have the league's top ranked pass defense. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-08-20 | Liverpool v. Manchester City OVER 3 | 1-1 | Loss | -135 | 42 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. Manchester City and Liverpool have been the top two teams in the Premier League for the last several seasons, and they meet in Manchester on Sunday. Both teams are on a roll, each undefeated in their last five matches in all competitions. City is coming off a 3-0 win over Olympiakos in the Champions League mid week, while Liverpool won 5-0 at Atalanta. These teams played twice last season, both matches going over with four goals combined. Liverpool allowed just 33 goals in 38 matches last season (less than a goal per game), but they have allowed 15 goals in seven matches so far this season (more than two goals per game). I expect to see some goals here in this match. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-07-20 | Clemson v. Notre Dame +6 | Top | 40-47 | Win | 100 | 55 h 48 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Notre Dame Irish. The Irish have had plenty of chances to prove themselves as an elite team, and time and time again they have failed. Their last appearance in the playoffs was a 30-3 loss to Clemson two years ago, and Trevor Lawrence threw for 327 yards and three TDs in that game. Ian Book didn't have a great game, throwing for just 160 yards, completing just 50 percent of his passes with an INT. Book is now a Senior, and he's having himself a solid season. Clemson almost lost to Boston College last week with Trevor Lawrence sidelined by Covid. This is a tough spot to ask the Tigers to cover points on the road, and a golden opportunity for an improved Notre Dame team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-07-20 | Florida +3.5 v. Georgia | Top | 44-28 | Win | 100 | 51 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Florida. The Gators will be an underdog versus Georgia in The Cocktail Party in Jacksonville. Georgia looks like a powerhouse, but their offense has held them back. Stetson Bennett has thrown more picks (5) than TDs (2) in his last two starts, and the Bulldogs scored just 38 points in those games. Florida on the other hand has been a well-oiled machine on offense, averaging 42 points per game. Kyle Trask has thrown for 18 TDs and just two INTs this season. The Bulldogs are very good defensively, but I am not sure they can overcome such a disadvantage at the quarterback position. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-07-20 | Bayern Munich v. Borussia Dortmund OVER 3.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 16 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. Bayern Munich is still the top dog in Germany, sitting top of the Bundesliga with a +15 goal differential after just six matches. They have scored 15 goals in their last four matches, and they lead the Bundesliga in scoring with 24 goals. Borrussia Dortmund is second in the league in scoring, but with only 13 goals (11 fewer than Bayern). If Bayern has a weakness it's their defense, and that should lead to a high scoring affair between the top two teams in Germany. The last time these two teams faced each other, the final score was 3-2 for Bayern. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-07-20 | Michigan v. Indiana +3.5 | 21-38 | Win | 100 | 48 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Indiana. The last thing you would want to do is overreact to Michigan's loss to Michigan State last week. After all it was a big rivalry game, and the Spartans have upset the Wolverines many times in the past. This isn't just one bad game though, this is a history of failure in big games under head coach Jim Harbaugh. They are on the road at Indiana this week, and this a team that they have struggled with in the past. Michigan has only covered in one of the last five meetings versus Indiana. The Hoosiers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as an underdog, and the Wolverines are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-07-20 | Arizona State +11 v. USC | 27-28 | Win | 100 | 20 h 43 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Arizona State. The Trojans will be a double digit favorite in their season opener versus Arizona State, and hell why not? They have the more talented recruits, the bigger budget and all the star power. The Trojans are ranked and the Sun Devils are not, but that's nothing new. It was the same story last year and the year before, and those two games were decided by a combined eight points. I give Arizona State the edge in coaching with Herm Edwards, and the Sun Devils are 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings in Southern California. I think it's just too many points, too early in the season for the Trojans to cover. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-07-20 | Nebraska v. Northwestern -165 | 13-21 | Win | 100 | 20 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 6* play on Northwestern. The Wildcats host Nebraska, and Northwestern is just a small favorite. This Wildcats defense has looked formidable in wins over Iowa and Maryland. Nebraska has been sidelined for weeks since getting throttled by Ohio State in their opener, and battling the BIG10 Conference could prove to be a distraction. The Cornhuskers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 conference games, and they are are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games. They haven't had a lot of success against Northwestern, they are 2-6-1 ATS in the last nine head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-07-20 | Manchester United v. Everton +0.25 | 3-1 | Loss | -117 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Everton. Manchester United comes into Goodison Park as a favorite, despite the fact that they are closer to relegation than they are to competing for a top spot in the Premier League. They are coming off a 2-1 loss to Istanbul in the Champions League mid week, and they haven't scored a single goal in their last two Premier League matches. Everton is just three points out of first place in the Premier League, and they have won all their home games so far this season. Midfielder James Rodriguez will return to the lineup to face Manchester United, giving Everton a boost. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-06-20 | BYU -167 v. Boise State | 51-17 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on BYU. Both the Cougars and the Broncos have impressed this season, but neither team has really faced a quality opponent. The Boise State defense struggled last week against Air Force, allowing the Falcons to run for over 400 yards and four TDs. The Cougars proved they can run the ball, with over 300 rushing yards and five rushing TDs in their season opener versus Navy. I also give BYU the edge at QB with Zach Wilson and some uncertainty regarding who will start for the Broncos. BYU beat the Broncos by a score of 28-25 last year, but the final score was a little misleading. The Broncos scored the majority of their points in the fourth quarter when the game was already out of reach. The Cougars are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-05-20 | Wyoming -170 v. Colorado State | 24-34 | Loss | -170 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Wyoming. The Cowboys lost in overtime at Nevada in Week 1, but bounced back big in Week 2 with a 31-7 win over Hawaii. The same Hawaii team that won 34-19 at Fresno State in their season opener. The Colorado State Rams got crushed in a loss at the Fresno State Bulldogs in their season opener. QB Todd Centeio completed just 43 percent of his passes in that game. Wyoming has a freshman at QB, and he hasn't been all that impressive either. The Cowboys though can lean on their running game, coming off a game where they ran for 281 yards and four TDs. The Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a road favorite, and they re 4-1 ATS in their last five at Colorado State. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-05-20 | Packers -145 v. 49ers | 34-17 | Win | 100 | 71 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 9* play on Green Bay. This is a huge revenge spot for Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers. If you remember back to last season it was a loss to San Francisco that was their worst defeat of the regular season, and then their season ended in San Francisco in a 37-20 loss in the NFC Championship Game. So do you think Aaron Rodgers holds a grudge? He's a guy who doesn't speak to his brother, or his father. He's a guy who earlier this season was quoted saying: "Down years for me are career years for most quarterbacks." Say what you want about A-A-Ron, but he's thrown for almost 2000 yards, 20 TDs and 2 INTs this season. He's hooked up with Davante Adams four five TDs in the last two weeks. The list of starters that are out for San Francisco is too long to list. The Packers should get their revenge here in Santa Clara. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-04-20 | FC Dallas v. Nashville SC +126 | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Nashville. Dallas is coming off a commanding 3-0 win over Houston on Saturday, but they could suffer a let down here in Nashville mid week. They have failed to score a goal in three matches against Nashville this season. Nashville ranks second in MLS in goals against (19), and they have allowed just six goals in their last 10 matches. The home team appears to have an edge here and I like Nashville to bag a win here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-02-20 | Bucs -12 v. Giants | 25-23 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the TB Bucs. The Giants simply don't have the weapons to match Tampa Bay, so their best bet would be to run the ball and try to limit time of possession for Tom Brady. The problem is that they are so banged up at the running back position and on the offensive line that running against the Bucs #1 ranked defense might be impossible. I expect a lot of 3-and-outs for the Gmen, leading to a lot of possession time for the Bucs to run up the score. Tom Brady threw for 369 yards and four TDs in a win over Vegas last week, and Chris Godwin caught nine passes for 88 yards and a TD in the win. With Godwin out of the lineup, Mike Evans should get more touches. In the three games that Godwin has missed this year, Evans has scored in all three. Most recently he caught seven passes for 122 yards and a TD against the Chargers in Week 5. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-01-20 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. Tottenham Hotspur -148 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 26 h 44 m | Show | |
7* |
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11-01-20 | Vikings v. Packers -7 | 28-22 | Loss | -109 | 162 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Packers. The Vikings have been hit hard by injuries, and with a record of 1-5 they have already started selling off players. They opened the season with a 43-34 home loss to Green Bay, and Davante Adams caught 14 passes for 156 yards and two TDs. Adams went off again last week catching 13 passes for 196 yards and two TDs. The Vikings defense comes in allowing 32 points per game on the season, and I can't see them stopping Aaron Rodgers at Lambeau. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-01-20 | Steelers +5.5 v. Ravens | 28-24 | Win | 100 | 162 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Pittsburgh Steelers. The 6-0 Steelers come rolling into Baltimore as a big underdog this week, and the Ravens appear to be getting too much respect. This game will be a matter of strength versus strength, with the Steelers #1 ranked run defense against the Ravens #1 ranked rushing offense. The Ravens are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games as a home favorite, and the Steelers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-01-20 | Patriots v. Bills -200 | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 69 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Buffalo. The Bills have long been bullied by Bill Bellichik and his New England Patriots, but things have changed in 2020. The Bills are in first place, and Josh Allen ranks emong the NL leaders in passing yards. The Pats are 2-4 and Cam Newton is on the verge of being benched. New England has a ton of injuries on both sides of the ball, most notably Stephen Gilmore and Julian Edelman. Newton has thrown for 255 yards, no TDs and five picks in his last two starts. He's unlikely to fair much better on the road in Buffalo without Edelman. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-31-20 | Ohio State v. Penn State +12.5 | 38-25 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Penn State. The Nittany Lions were shocked in Week 1, losing to Indiana in overtime. A closer look at that game reveals that the Hoosiers were out-gained 488-211 in total yards. The bookmakers might be overreacting by listing Penn State as a double digit home dog versus Ohio State in Week 2. Historically the Buckeyes have had trouble at University Park. The Buckeyes are 0-4 ATS in their last four head to head meetings. The Nittany Lions are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games as an underdog, and they are 8-1 ATS in their last nine coming off a loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-31-20 | Notre Dame -19.5 v. Georgia Tech | 31-13 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Notre Dame. It took the Irish a few weeks to get up to speed, but they are coming off their most impressive game of the season, blowing out Pittsburgh by a score of 45-3. They are at Georgia Tech this week, and the Yellow Jackets have been blown out in back to back weeks. The Yellow Jackets are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 home games, and they are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games overall. The Irish have covered in four straight as a road favorite, and this line looks like it could be a lot higher. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-31-20 | LSU -120 v. Auburn | 11-48 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LSU. Both LSU and Auburn have two losses, but Auburn should probably be 1-4. Wins against Arkansas and Ole Miss were both aided by controversial calls. LSU struggled on defense in losses to Missouri and Mississippi St, but their 52-24 win over South Carolina last week suggests they might have turned the corner. LSU is 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games, and they have covered the spread in five straight versus a team with a winning record. Bo Nix has thrown as many picks (3) as he has TDs in his last three starts. I like LSU to win in a shootout. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-31-20 | Indiana v. Rutgers +12.5 | 37-21 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Rutgers. Both the Indiana Hoosiers and the Rutgers Scarlet Knights won outright as underdogs in Week 1, but Indiana is all of a sudden a double digit road favorite in Week 2. Their win over Penn State doesn't look quite as impressive when you see the stats. They were out-gained 488 to 211 in total yards, and they were held to 41 rushing yards on 26 attempts. They had a little help with Penn State turning the ball over three times, and they got a lot of help from the referees. Penn State was charged with 10 penalties for 100 yards. The Hoosiers are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite, and the home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-31-20 | Houston Dynamo v. FC Dallas UNDER 3.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 23 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. Both the Houston Dynamo and FC Dallas rank near the bottom of MLS in scoring, and recent head to head meetings have been low scoring. Dallas has failed to score a goal in two of it's last three versus Houston, and the Dynamo have scored just three goals in the last three head to head matches. Dallas has gone under in each of it's last five MLS matches, while Houston has gone under in six of it's last eight overall. It's tough to see these teams combining to score more than three goals. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-31-20 | Boston College +29.5 v. Clemson | 28-34 | Win | 100 | 39 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Boston College. |
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10-30-20 | Hawaii v. Wyoming UNDER 60.5 | 7-31 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Wyomng Cowboys lost 37-34 in overtime at Nevada in Week 1, but that game started out slow with a 10-10 tie at halftime. Levi Williams threw for just 227 yards on 16-of-31 passing with a TD and an INT. The running game was far better, with 128 yards on 35 carries, and two TDs (both by Williams). Hawaii also leaned on it's running game in Week 1, rushing for 323 yards and four TDs in a 34-19 win over Fresno State. With freezing temperatures in Laramie, expect both teams to look to pound the rock here tonight. The under is 6-2 in the Cowboys last eight games overall, and they have gone under in four of their last five at home. The under is 19-7 in the Cowboys last 26 conference games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-29-20 | Colorado State -134 v. Fresno State | 17-38 | Loss | -134 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Colorado State. The Bulldogs looked pretty bad in their home opener versus Hawaii, losing 34-19. Starting QB Jake Haener was brutal, throwing for 289 yards a TD and three INTs on 17-of-31 passing. It's tough to imagine much of an improvement against rivals Colorado State, a team that beat them by double digits last year in Fresno. The Rams have won all three meetings dating back to 2015, and they are 5-2 ATS in the last seven head to head meetings. They are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 conference games, and they have covered in five straight as a favorite. The Bulldogs have failed to cover in four of their last five conference games, and they are 0-4 ATS in their last four home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-29-20 | Falcons v. Panthers -145 | 25-17 | Loss | -145 | 65 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Carolina. The Panthers come into tonight's home game against Atlanta off back to back losses. They were quite competitive though against the Bears and the Saints, and Atlanta's defense doesn't pose anywhere near the same challenges. Atlanta is so bad that last week Todd Gurley scored a go ahead TD in the final minute, only have Detroit march down the field and win the game with a TD on the final play of the game. The Falcons are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games in October, and they are 0-5 ATS in their last five games on grass. The Panthers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games in October, and they are 4-1 ATS in their last gfive games overall. I gotta believe that the home team has more to be positive about here at the midway point in the season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-29-20 | South Alabama v. Georgia Southern -170 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
5* |
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10-27-20 | Rays +1.5 v. Dodgers | 1-3 | Loss | -157 | 17 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Tampa Bay +1.5. The Rays need a win here to force a Game 7, and they do have the advantage when it comes to the starting pitchers. Blake Snell will toe the rubber for Tampa, and he was lights out in Game 2 of this series. Snell allowed a pair of runs on two hits, striking out nine in 4 2/3 innings. He only threw 88 pitches in that game, and he should be in good shape to go a bit deeper tonight. The Dodgers hand the ball to Tony Gonsolin, who might not last long. The 26 year old has allowed eight runs on six hits and seven walks over 7 2/3 innings in his last three appearances. The Rays are 18-4 in their last 22 games following a loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-27-20 | Inter Milan v. Shakhtar Donetsk OVER 3 | 0-0 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. Inter Milan will face Shaktar Donetsk in Champions League play on Tuesday, and the Italian side won by a score of 5-0 at home in the first leg. Shaktar has since won 3-2 at Real Madrid, and between these two teams they have scored a ton of goals in this competition. Inter is coming off a 2-2 draw versus German side Borrussia Monchengladbach, and they have scored 13 goals in five matches in Series A. Shaktar has scored a dozen goals in their last five matches overall, and I fancy them to score a goal or two here in this revenge fixture. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-26-20 | Bears v. Rams -6 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Rams. The Bears have racked up a bunch of wins against the weaker teams in the NFL, and they had a stroke of luck in their big upset win over Tampa Bay. Tampa had a 13-0 lead with under two minutes to go in the first half, and somehow Chicago scored twice to take a 14-13 lead into halftime. Nick Foles threw for 243 yards with a TD and an INT in the win. Foles has thrown four picks in four starts, and he's facing a scary Rams defense here tonight. Chicago will have to lean on Foles for the majority of their offensive production, as they have one of the least talented backfields in the NFL. Only Houston averaged fewer rush yards per game than Chicago. I like Darrell Henderson to have a big game, he's coming off a solid performance in a loss to the Niners. He ran for 88 yards on 14 carries last week, and he should get plenty of touches if the Rams jump out to an early lead here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-25-20 | Dodgers v. Rays OVER 7.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. |
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10-25-20 | 49ers +5 v. Patriots | 33-6 | Win | 100 | 163 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the San Francisco 49ers. The 3-3 San Francisco 49ers are in Foxboro Sunday to take on the 2-3 New England Patriots. This looks like a case of two teams trending in opposite directions. The Niners are getting healthier, coming off a big win over the Rams. The Pats are banged up, coming off back to back losses to Kansas City and Denver. This line opened up at 5.5, but money has come in on the Niners. The 49ers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog, and the Patriots are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight home games. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-25-20 | Cowboys -170 v. Washington Football Team | 3-25 | Loss | -170 | 138 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Dallas. The Cowboys are coming off an embarrassing loss to Arizona on Monday Night Football, and their stock is at an all time low. They are on the road at Washington this week, and Washington has lost five straight. Dallas still should be the favorite to win the NFC East, and they still have a lot more talent than the rest of the sad sacked teams in their division. Andy Dalton threw for 266 yards on 34-of-54 passing with a TD and two INTs last week. He didn't really have a chance after Zeke Elliott fumbled the ball a couple times early, putting Dallas in a hole. I expect the Red Rifle to be far better this week. The Redskins are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games, and they are 1-5 ATS in their last six versus Dallas. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-25-20 | Browns -170 v. Bengals | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 138 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Cleveland. The bad news for the Browns is that they got embarrassed in Pittsburgh last week losing 38-7. The good news is that they are playing Cincinnati this week, and the Bengals can't stop the run. Only two teams in the league have allowed more rushing yards (143/game) than the Bengals. The Browns had won four straight prior to last week's loss, and one of those was a home win over Cincinnati. Cleveland ran for 215 yards and three TDs in that game, and the final score of 35-30 was a little misleading. The Bengals scored a TD in garbage time in the final minute that made the game appear to be closer than it was. Kareem Hunt ran for 86 yards on 10 carries against the Bengals, but with Nick Chubb out of the lineup he should put up even bigger numbers here this Sunday. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-25-20 | Packers -177 v. Texans | 35-20 | Win | 100 | 44 h 49 m | Show | |
8* |
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10-25-20 | Newcastle United v. Wolverhampton Wanderers -127 | 1-1 | Loss | -127 | 15 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Wolverhampton Wanderers. The Wolvers will host Newcastle United at Molineux Stadium on Sunday. Wolverhampton has won their last two matches, posting back to back clean sheets. Newcastle is coming off a 4-1 home loss to Manchester United, and the Magpies are known for their shoddy defense. That is particularly true away from home, where they had a -19 goal differential in 19 matches last season. Wolves are undefeated in their last five head to head matches versus Newcastle, and they appear to be on better form heading in Sunday's match. GL,
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10-24-20 | Wyoming -145 v. Nevada | Top | 34-37 | Loss | -145 | 22 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Wyoming. Both these teams come into their season opener in the Mountain West with high expectations, but Nevada has been rocked by a recent scandal and a death in the family. Head coach Jay Norvell has been away from the team after the death of his father, and a star defensive tackle has been arrested for sex crimes involving children. Needless to say, Chris Green who was projected to be the starting nose tackle has been suspended from the team. The Wolfpack could use all the help they could get on a defense that allowed over 30 points per game in conference play last season. The Cowboys won 31-3 at home versus Nevada last season, and they are 4-0 ATS in the last four head to head meetings dating back to 2012. Wyoming should be in good shape coming off an eight win season and bringing back QB Sean Chambers who is 9-2 as a starter. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-24-20 | Justin Gaethje v. Khabib Nurmagomedov UNDER 4.5 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 69 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. Khabib will look for the submission in this fight, while Gaethje will certainly be looking for a knockout. Gaethje has had 11 consecutive fights ending in a knockout, and when he has lost, he has been knocked out. I don't really expect an upset here, but whoever wins I think it's happening in the first four rounds. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-24-20 | Georgia Tech v. Boston College -150 | 27-48 | Win | 100 | 98 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on BC. Boston College is coming off a tough loss on the road at Virginia Tech, but a home game against the Yellow Jackets should be a good spot for them to get back on track. The Eagles are 3-2 overall, and 2-1 at home. Both of their losses came against ranked teams, and they came very close to upsetting the #12 ranked North Carolina Tar Heels in their only home loss. The Yellow Jackets are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games overall, and they have failed to cover in eight of their last nine against teams with a winning record. The Eagles are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up loss, and they are 20-6-1 ATS in their last 27 conference games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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10-24-20 | Iowa -160 v. Purdue | 20-24 | Loss | -160 | 95 h 53 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Iowa. The Hawkeyes are just a small favorite on the road at Purdue, but there will be no home crowd to cheer on the Boilermakers. Head coach Jeff Brohm will not be at the game on Saturday, following a positive test for Covid-19. More bad news for the Boilermakers, their best player WR Rondale Moore will not play against Iowa after opting back in to play this season. The Hawkeyes are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games as a road favorite, and they are 5-2 straight up in the last seven head to head meetings. The home team has only covered in one of the last 10 meetings between these teams. Purdue is in a very tough spot here. GL, Jesse Schule |