Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-10-23 | Bills v. Chiefs OVER 48.5 | 20-17 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. There are those who will insist that the Bills are better than their record indicates. They certainly deserved better in a loss at Philly in their last game, but this isn't exactly a good spot on the road at Kansas City. The Chiefs are coming off a loss at Green Bay on Sunday night, and they are 16-4 straight up in their last 20 overall. The Bills may be distracted by off the field issues, and playing in a tough spot on the road this week isn't ideal. The over is 3-2 in the last five meetings, but the number was at least six points higher in all five of those games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-10-23 | Devils v. Oilers -148 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on EDM. The Oilers fired head coach Jay Woodcroft on November 12th, and they have won eight of 11 since. They come into Sunday's home game against New Jersey as winners of six straight. The Devils have lost five of their last seven in Edmonton, and playing in the second game of a back to back off a win in Calgary, this looks like a tough spot for the visitors. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-10-23 | Vikings v. Raiders OVER 40 | 3-0 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The under is 6-1 in the Raiders last seven home games. It's not like they have faced offensive juggernauts though. Their four home wins came against the Jets, the Patriots, the Giants and the Packers. Their last home game was a 31-17 loss to Kansas City. Minnesota is expecting Justin Jefferson back, and the Vikes have gone over in five straight in the month of December. These teams have gone over the number in four straight meetings, and the total for this game is far lower than it was in those previous meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-10-23 | Colts -135 v. Bengals | 14-34 | Loss | -135 | 155 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on IND. The Colts opened as the favorite, but public money has been coming in on the Bengals. I think there is recency bias at play, after Jake Browning had a big game in last week's win at Jacksonville. It might not matter how well Browning plays if the Bengals defense continues to struggle. They have allowed 30+ points in three of their last four games, and the one exception was a loss to Pittsburgh when they gave 421 total yards but the Steelers only converted those yards into 16 points. Only the Washington Commanders are rank worse than Cincinnati in total defense this season. As good as Browning looked last week, we've seen Gardner Minshew play well in the league for years. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-09-23 | Rutgers v. Seton Hall UNDER 132.5 | Top | 70-63 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. Last year Seton Hall beat Rutgers in New Jersey by a score of 45-43, and while that game may look like anomaly, low scoring games have been the norm when these teams play. The under is 7-1 in the last eight head to head meetings. Rutgers has gone under in seven of their last eight overall, and the under is 5-1 in their last six road games. The Pirates are 5-0 at home, and they have held opponents to 62 points per game. This one should be a defensive battle. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-09-23 | Pacers v. Lakers UNDER 241 | 109-123 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Pacers are cooking fire heading into the NBA In-Season Tournament Final, but the Lakers may be able to cool them off. These two teams have gone under in three straight head to head meetings, and the Lakers have held opponents to just 105 points per game in their last five. We saw LA hold the Pelicans to just 89 points in the Semi Finals. Expect a strong defensive effort here in a Championship Game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-09-23 | Drexel v. West Virginia UNDER 129.5 | 60-66 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Of 362 Division 1 teams, West Virginia ranks 341st in possessions per game. Drexel ranks 340th, so we should expect a snail's pace here in this matchup. The total has gone under in eight of West Virginia's last 11 games. The total has gone under in six of Drexel's last seven games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-09-23 | Colgate v. Vermont UNDER 134 | 77-71 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Catamounts last home game was a 66-65 win over Yale, and they came back from down five in the final three seconds. Vermont is 5-0 at home, and the majority of those games have been low scoring. Of the 362 Division 1 teams, Vermont ranks 358th in possessions per game. The total has gone under in eight of Colgate's last nine games. The total has gone under in 8 of Vermont's last 11 games, and the under is 5-0 in their last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-09-23 | Brentford -124 v. Sheffield United | 0-1 | Loss | -124 | 3 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Brentford. A few years ago Sheffield United was a competitive team in the Premier League, but they are the undisputed worst team in 2023. They have just one win 15 matches, and they have a Premier League worst -30 goal differential in those games. A home game against Brentford won't be a picnic. Brentford has scored more than twice as many goals and they have conceded 20 fewer goals. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-08-23 | Wild v. Oilers -172 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 19 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on EDM. The Oilers fired head coach Jay Woodcroft on November 12th, and they have won seven of 10 since. They come into tonight's home game against Minnesota as winners of five straight. The home team is 5-0 in the last five meetings between these teams. This is the second game in a back to back for Minnesota off a loss at Vancouver last night. The Wild are 4-11 SU in their last 15 games on the road. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-08-23 | Knicks v. Celtics UNDER 221 | 123-133 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Under. These two rivals rank 3rd and 4th respectively in opponent's scoring average, and history tells us that low scores have been the norm in recent meetings. They have failed to reach the total in three of the last four head to head meetings, and both previous meetings this season have gone under. The Celtics have won nine straight at home and the total has gone under in 10 of Boston's last 14 games overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-08-23 | St. Peter's v. Duquesne UNDER 131 | 59-68 | Win | 100 | 15 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The St. Peters Peacocks rank 341st in pace of play, averaging just 66 possessions per game. They are coming off a 54-52 win at Canisius, and they rank 411th nationally scoring just 61.5 points per game. Duquesne has failed to reach the total in four of their last five overall, and they have gone under in three straight home games. While this is a low number, I think the Peacocks are gonna struggle to score 50. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-07-23 | Wild v. Canucks -117 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 20 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Vancouver. I bet on Vancouver in their last game, and they lost 6-5 giving up the game winner in the final minute. The good news is they are 7-1 in their last 8 coming off a loss. Here is what I said before their loss to New Jersey: "The first game back from a road trip can be a trouble spot, but when that road trip was a one off at Calgary we aren't going to worry about that. The Canucks come home with a new defenseman, newly acquired Nikita Zadorov. Vancouver boast an 8-2-1 home record, and one of the league's best power plays. Thatcher Demko has looked like a Vezina candidate, and Quinn Hughes is being floated as a potential Hart Trophy winner." GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-07-23 | West Ham United v. Tottenham Hotspur -130 | 2-1 | Loss | -130 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Spurs. It was only a few weeks ago that Spurs were sitting top of the table in the Premier League, but most assumed that would be short lived. Their schedule got a bit tougher, and they lost three straight to Chelsea, Wolves and Aston Villa. Then over the weekend they went to the Etihad and earned points with a late equalizer in a 3-3 draw. I think we have to give credit to new manager Ange Postecoglou who has this team looking like a serious threat for a Champions League spot. History favors Spurs here, as they are 3-1-1 in their last five versus West Ham. The lone win for West Ham came in a meaningless friendly. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-07-23 | Newcastle United +138 v. Everton | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Newcastle. Everton was facing relegation at the end of last season, and a points deduction has them right back in the relegation zone here this season. Despite the fact that Newcastle sits near the top of the table, they find themselves priced as an underdog here in an away match. Most teams play far better at home, but Everton may be the exception. They have just one win in seven home matches. Newscastle is 4-1 in their last five versus Everton, winning two of three away matches during that span. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-06-23 | Thunder v. Rockets UNDER 227 | 101-110 | Win | 100 | 14 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Oklahoma City Thunder come in averaging over 119 points per game, but the Rockets rank 2nd in the NBA in opponent's scoring average allowing 107 points per game. These teams have gone over this number in the last two meetings, but both those games were at Oklahoma City. They have gone under in four straight at Houston. The total has gone under in eight of Houston's last 11 games, and they have won eight straight home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-06-23 | Campbell v. Davidson UNDER 130.5 | 50-62 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. We should expect a snail's pace here in Davidson's home game against Campbell. There are 362 Division 1 teams in college basketball, and 350 of them average more possessions per game than both these two teams. Campbell ranked 359th, and Davidson ranks 351st in possessions per game. Campbell is 0-3 on the road, and they have scored an average of 51 points in those games. They might be lucky to reach a half a hundred here at Davidson. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-06-23 | Penn State v. Maryland UNDER 138.5 | 75-81 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Terps will be a favorite at home versus Penn State, and history tells us we should see a low score. Four of the last five meetings have gone under the total, and the last time these teams played Penn State won 65-64. Both teams have scored fewer than 70 points in four of the last five meetings. The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Maryland's last 13 games, and they are 15-0 in their last 15 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-05-23 | Devils v. Canucks -120 | 6-5 | Loss | -120 | 34 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Van. The first game back from a road trip can be a trouble spot, but when that road trip was a one off at Calgary we aren't going to worry about that. The Canucks come home with a new defenseman, newly acquired Nikita Zadorov. Vancouver boast an 8-2-1 home record, and one of the league's best power plays. Thatcher Demko has looked like a Vezina candidate, and Quinn Hughes is being floated as a potential Hart Trophy winner. The Devils are a one-dimensional team that looks sexy with their high flying offense, but they have a negative goal differential and only the San Jose Sharks have conceded more goals than the Devils this season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-05-23 | North Texas v. Boise State -4.5 | 64-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BSU. North Texas is the poor man's version of the Virginia Cavaliers, and that's not a knock on them. They come into Boise as defending NIT champs, and they have won five of seven so far this season. Their two losses came by a combined five points, so why on earth would we be betting on them to lose by 5+ here tonight? Well it is their first road game, and they face a Broncos team that has won 16 of it's last 17 home games. Boise is coming off a neutral site win over St. Mary's, a team that plays a similar style to the Mean Green. We expect a relatively comfortable win for Boise, predicting a final score of 68-60. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-04-23 | Pelicans v. Kings -165 | 127-117 | Loss | -165 | 32 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SAC. The Kings are 9-3 in their last 12 overall, and they sit first overall in the Pacific Division. They host New Orleans Monday, and the Pelicans are 3-6 on the road. New Orleans has lost three straight road games, and they have failed to cover in six of their last seven road games. The home team has won four of the last five head to head meetings. I think the Pelicans run into a buzz saw here in Sacramento. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-04-23 | Capitals v. Coyotes -108 | Top | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 18 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ARI. The Caps are playing their third game of a road trip at Arizona, and the Coyotes have won three straight home games. While these teams may have similar records, Arizona ranks far superior in goal differential as well as special teams. The Coyotes are converting on better than 25 percent of their power play opportunities, while the Caps are scoring on less than nine percent of their power play chances. The Caps #1 goaltender missed the last game due to an illness, and he's questionable tonight. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-03-23 | 49ers -120 v. Eagles | Top | 42-19 | Win | 100 | 159 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SF. A rematch of last year's NFC Championship Game is also a revenge game for the Niners. The Eagles have already avenged their Super Bowl loss, and they have a string of wins in tight games that could have gone the other way. What goes around comes around, and this time I expect San Francisco to execute their revenge. They come in with extra rest, and a healthier team. The Eagles win over the Bills on Sunday appears a bit lucky, getting out-gained 505-378, with fewer first downs and less time of possession. I don't think the Eagles get away with that here in what looks like a let down spot against the Niners. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-03-23 | Browns v. Rams -172 | 19-36 | Win | 100 | 158 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on LAR. I have cashed three straight tickets in Browns games, going against them last Sunday in Denver, and cashing with them as a home favorite a week earlier against the Steelers. They didn't just lose the game in Denver, they also lost QB Dorian Thoimpson-Robinson and Myles Garrett to injuries. Now they are on the road for the second time in back to back weeks, facing a Rams team that is flying high with Stafford, Kupp and Williams all back on offense. While Cleveland owns the league's top ranked defense, the Browns have allowed an average of more than 30 points in their last four road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-03-23 | Creighton -3.5 v. Nebraska | 89-60 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Creighton. |
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12-03-23 | Broncos +3 v. Texans | 17-22 | Loss | -105 | 155 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on DEN. I bet against Houston last week, saying I expected some regression to the mean. The fact that they went down to the wire with the Jags likely means they are still a real public team, and I am not sold on the Texans as a favorite. They lost LG Tytus Howard with a knee injury on Sunday, and it turned out to be significant as CJ Stroud was sacked twice on the final series. The Texans also have a kicker who has never hit a field goal of 50+ yards, and he missed twice last week. Denver is a role, and Russell Wilson looks like the guy that the Broncos thought they were getting when they made the trade with Seattle. The Broncos have rattled off five straight wins, and three of those games were decided by three points or less. Two of Denver's five losses have come by three points or less. I'll take the hot team plus the points here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-03-23 | Cardinals v. Steelers -5.5 | 24-10 | Loss | -110 | 104 h 26 m | Show | |
7* |
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12-03-23 | Falcons v. Jets +3 | 13-8 | Loss | -118 | 104 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a free play on NYJ. The Jets offense is bad, and yeah they don't have a QB. They still have twice as many home wins as Atlanta has on the road. Yet the dome team comes into The Meadowlands in December as a favorite. If you are hanging your hat on having the better QB, you might be disappointed with Desmond Ridder going up against one of the NFL's best defenses in the bitter cold in New York. I'll take the dog, I'll take the points with the J E T S .... Jets! Jets! Jets! GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-02-23 | USC v. Gonzaga UNDER 154.5 | 76-89 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Gonzaga ranks 220th in the country in possessions per game, and they play solid defense allowing under 65 points per game. USC is coming off a 106-78 win over Eastern Washington, but we should see a lot more defense here in this game. Gonzaga is 3-6 ATS in their nine overall, and they have failed to reach the total in four of their last six games overall. The last time these teams played head to head Gonzaga won 85-66 falling a half point short of the total of 151.5. The number is a little higher here this time, and I don't think this is the same high flying Gonzaga team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-02-23 | SMU v. Tulane -165 | Top | 26-14 | Loss | -165 | 145 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Tulane. |
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12-02-23 | Georgia v. Alabama +6.5 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 75 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BAMA. It would appear that recency bias is at play here. This line opened at -3.5 but after a near loss in the Iron Bowl the public is lining up to bet against Alabama. Georgia is going for 30 wins in a row, but the idea that they are significantly better than Alabama is lacking some critical evidence. Alabama lost at home to Texas in Week 2. Georgia played Ball State at home that week. These teams are actually pretty far apart when it comes to strength of schedule. History favors Alabama, who has beaten the Dawgs in 2012, 2018 and 2021 in the SEC Championship Game. Georgia hasn't had to face a lot of adversity, while we have seen Alabama trail 20-7 to Tennessee at halftime and come storming back in the second half. We saw them snatch victory out of the jaws of defeat more than once this season, including the Iron Bowl last week. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-02-23 | Illinois v. Rutgers UNDER 138.5 | 76-58 | Win | 100 | 4 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 4% play on Under. These two teams have gone under in each of the last two head to head meetings, and three of the last four meetings have gone under 138 points. The total of 138 is higher than the number listed in each of the the last four meetings. Rutgers has gone under in five of their last six overall, and the under is 8-3 in their last 11 BIG10 games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-02-23 | Michigan v. Oregon -140 | 83-86 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Ducks. I like Oregon to bounce back here at home after losing back to back games. They hung around in a 99-91 loss to Alabama, but that was in Florida. The Ducks are 2-0 at home so far this season, and they were 15-6 at home last year. They are an experienced squad with senior center N'Faly Dante leading the team in scoring, and senior guard Jermaine Couisnard leading the team in assists. They have four seniors in the starting rotation. Michigan was 3-8 on the road last year, and there isn't a ton of buzz surrounding this year's team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-01-23 | Purdue v. Northwestern +8 | Top | 88-92 | Win | 100 | 30 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NW. The Wildcats finished 2nd in the BIG10 last year, and they were 13-5 at home. Northwesters is bringing back leading scorer Boo Buie, along with two more senior starters. Senior guard Ryan Langborg transferred from Princeton, giving them a starting lineup loaded with four seniors. The Boilermakers won two of three meetings last year, but lost the last meeting at Northwestern by a score of 64-58. These teams have a history of playing close games, as only one of the last five head to head meetings has been decided by more than six points. Purdue comes in ranked #1 in the country, and history tells us that can often be the kiss of death. Purdue has failed to cover in five straight road games, while the Wildcats have covered in seven of their last eight at home. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-01-23 | Knicks v. Raptors UNDER 217 | 119-106 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the under. This matchup features two of the top 10 defensive teams in the NBA. In fact the Knicks rank 1st in the NBA in opponents scoring average allowing 105 points per game. The Raptors have failed to reach the total in each of their last three games, and this looks like a matchup where both teams are content to play at a slow pace. A few weeks ago an article was published in The Athleitc titled: "Toronto Raptors are slow, stingy and soft on glass" ... noting that they ranked 28th in the NBA in pace of play. I suspect that one of these teams will fail to score 100 points in this game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-01-23 | Sharks v. Devils -1.5 | 6-3 | Loss | -160 | 16 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NJD. The Sharks are the worst team in the NHL, and the majority of their 16 losses have come in games decided by more than one goal. A massive disparity in special teams play should be the difference here at The Meadowlands. The Devils lead the NHL in power play goals, and they have by far the best power play percentage. The Sharks have allowed an NHL worst 88 power play goals against. The more penalties called in this game the better for the home team. This should be a blowout. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-30-23 | Avalanche v. Coyotes +1.5 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 16 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on ARI. The Coyotes are coming off back to back wins, and one of those came against defending Stanley Cup champions Vegas. They are 6-4 straight up in their last 10 overall, but they are 8-2 ATS as a puckline underdog in those games. They host Colorado, and they are 5-1 ATS as a puckline underdog in the last six head to head meetings. The Avs are 3-2 straight up in their last five road games, but they only covered the puckline twice during that span. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-30-23 | Creighton v. Oklahoma State +8 | 79-65 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on OKST. The Cowboys are just 3-3, and they will play a ranked team for the first time at home tonight. They are getting eight points, and their three losses this season all came by five points or fewer. Creighton is coming off a 21-point loss to unranked Colorado State at a neutral site. This Creighton team is playing it's first true road game, and the Blue Jays lost their first four road games last season. They didn't win a true road game until mid January, and they were 5-6 overall on the road last season. I'll take the home team plus the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-29-23 | Duke -5.5 v. Arkansas | 75-80 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Duke. So Arkansas is coming off back to back losses, to Memphis and North Carolina. Their leading scorer was carted off in the loss to the Tar Heels with a back injury, and he's doubtful to play here. That didn't have much of an effect on the result, as they were losing by double digits in the dying minutes at the time of the injury. Now they host a #7 ranked Duke team that can cause them plenty of problems. Arkansas has failed to cover in six straight, and they have lost eight in a row versus teams ranked in the Top 25. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-29-23 | Rockets v. Nuggets UNDER 216.5 | 124-134 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. The Rockets lost a tough one last night in Dallas, but they could catch a break in their second game of a back to back at Denver. The Nuggets are banged up, and it remains to be seen how much of their starting lineup can play. Ime Udoka has done a helluva job making this team competitive, and the Rockets currently rank #1 in the NBA in opponents scoring average. The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Denver's last 15 games against an opponent in the Western Conference conference, and they are trending 13-7 overall to the under. Houston has gone under in seven of their last nine overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-29-23 | Red Wings +1.5 v. Rangers | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on DET. The Wings come into New York as winners of three straight, and there is plenty of buzz around this team right now. The signing of Patrick Kane should give this team plenty to be excited about. The Rangers are 7-1 straight up in their last 10 versus Detroit, but the Wings are 5-3 ATS in the last eight meetings. Detroit is 16-4 as a puckline underdog so far this season. I like the Wings as a live dog in the Big Apple. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-28-23 | Thunder v. Wolves -160 | 103-106 | Win | 100 | 17 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIN. The Thunder are coming off a home loss to Philly, and off the court issues may be a distraction for a young team that were off to such a good start. They are in a tough spot here in Minnesota, and it's fair to say that the T-Wolves have had their number. Minnesota is 8-1 SU in the last nine head to head meetings. Minnesota has also covered the spread in eight of their last nine home games, and they are 11-2 SU in their last 13 overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-28-23 | Notre Dame v. South Carolina -7 | 53-65 | Win | 100 | 16 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SOCAR. The Gamecocks finished near the bottom of the SEC last year, but they come into tonight's home game against Notre Dame with a 5-0 record. Their leading scorer BJ Mack (F) is a senior transfer from Wofford. Junior guard Meechie Johnsoin is back after averaging 12.7 points last year. He's joined in the backcourt by senior transfer Myles Stute from Vanderbilt. The Gamecocks are certainly a lot more experienced than Notre Dame who is lead by a pair of talented freshmen. The Irish are facing an SEC team for the second time this season, and they lost by 24 in a neutral site game against Auburn. The Irish have lost 10 straight road games and 15 of their last 20 overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-27-23 | Bears v. Vikings -150 | 12-10 | Loss | -150 | 17 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIN. The Vikings five game win streak came to an end in Denver, in a game decided by just one point. They are back home to take on the Chicago Bears, who are in last place in the NFC North. Justin Fields is back, and the Bears offense has averaged 27 points per game in the games he has started and finished. The points haven't translated into wins though, as the Bears are 1-6 when he starts. They are also 1-6 in their last seven games against the Vikings. The Bears have lost nine of their last 10 road games, and 17 of their last 20 overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-27-23 | Wizards v. Pistons -145 | 126-107 | Loss | -145 | 16 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Pistons. I feel like a bit of a Sadist betting on a game between the two worst teams in the NBA. The Pistons have lost 13 straight overall, and Washington has lost nine straight. As improbable as it may seem, one of these two teams will win tonight's game. My money is on the home team that is at least healthy. Detroit is 4-1 ATS in their last five home games versus Washington. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-27-23 | Maryland-Baltimore County v. Hampton -0.5 | 80-76 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on HAMPTON. The Pirates were just 5-13 in the CAA and 8-24 overall last year. They still posted a winning record at home, and seven of their eight wins were in home games. Their only home game this season was a win over Florida Gulf Coast. They have overhauled their starting lineup to include three seniors, including leading scorer Tedrick Wilcox who came in via transfer. UMBC was just 8-8 in the American East last season, but they lost 10 of their 15 road games. Hampton is 5-1 ATS in their last five home games while UMBC is 1-9 SU in their last 10 on the road. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-26-23 | Browns v. Broncos +3 | Top | 12-29 | Win | 100 | 269 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Denver. |
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11-26-23 | Butler v. Boise State | 70-56 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BSU. Boise State won 27 games last year, finishing first in the Mountain West and ranked in the Top 25 in the country. They bring back three of their top four scorers from last year's team, and they look like an early favorite to win the conference again. The Broncos are 3-2 with a pair of losses to ACC teams, and they face a tough opponent Sunday in the Butler Bulldogs. Butler is 4-2 with a pair of losses to ranked teams. Butler finished ninth in the Big East last year, winning 14 games. Only four of those wins came away from home. All five starters are gone, but it remains to be seen if this team is any better. This will be a good test for both teams but I am going to go with the experience of the Broncos. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-26-23 | Jaguars -115 v. Texans | Top | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 139 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on JAX. This is a huge revenge spot for Jacksonville, who lost 37-17 at home to Houston earlier this season. They have since won six of seven games, and that includes road wins at Pittsburgh and New Orleans. The Texans rank 2nd in the NFL in passing and CJ Stroud is making a case to be in the conversation for MVP. The 22 year old rookie has thrown four INTs in his last two starts, and he might be due for a let down here against the Jags. Jacksonville out-gained the Texans 404-366 in total yard, had 22 first downs to 15, and won the time of possession in the first meeting, but lost the turnover battle 2-0. It's payback time, and I expect the Jags to come on top in the area that matters the most, points on the scoreboard. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-26-23 | Steelers -125 v. Bengals | 16-10 | Win | 100 | 36 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PIT. I bet against the Steelers last week when they were on the road facing a rookie quarterback. Now I am backing the Steelers in the same situation this week. Why? Pittsburgh came very close to winning in Cleveland last week, and the Browns have the league's #1 ranked defense. Cincinnati doesn't have an elite defense to hang their hat on. The firing of OC Matt Canada might also provide a spark for the Steelers offense. This looks like a disaster waiting to happen for Jake Browning. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-26-23 | Manchester United v. Everton | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MUTD. A quick glance at the numbers, and Everton and Manchester united look quite similar. Both teams have a -3 goal differential, and Manchester United has scored one fewer goal, and conceded just one fewer goal. After a points deduction Everton almost certainly faces relegation, and it might be difficult for the club to hold things together in the second half of the season. They also have one of the worst home records in the Premier League, with just one win in six home matches. Manchester United sits five points back of fourth place Tottenham, and a Champions League spot is not out of reach for Ten Hag despite the team's struggles. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-25-23 | Mavs -115 v. Clippers | 88-107 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Dallas. The Mavs beat the Lakers 104-101 in their last game, almost blowing a 20-point lead in the 4th quarter. They are back at the Staples Center tonight to take on the Clippers, who have lost seven of 10 since the James Harden trade. The Clippers are playing the second game of a back to back and all the starters played heavy minutes in a loss to the Pelicans last night. Not only has LA lost seven of 10, but the wins during that span came against Houston and San Antonio. This looks like a tough spot for the older Clippers against Luka and Kyrie who are firing on all cylinders. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-25-23 | Canucks -1.5 v. Sharks | 3-4 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Van. The Canucks have the 2nd best record in the Western Conference, they have three players ranked in the Top 5 in the NHL in scoring, and Elias Pettersson currently leads the league with 25 points in 15 games. They have the league's 3rd best power play, and the league's 4th best penalty kill. The Sharks own the worst record in the league, and they are coming off an OT loss last night. Both teams are playing the second game of a back to back, and we could see backup goalies face off here tonight. This would put the Sharks at a major disadvantage, as their backup Kaapo Kahkonen is 1-6 with a 4.30 GAA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-25-23 | Florida State -6.5 v. Florida | Top | 24-15 | Win | 100 | 112 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on FSU. The injury to Jordan Travis was heartbreaking not just for Florida State fans, but for all college football fans. The Florida Gators have also lost their starting QB, and Graham Mertz was having a stellar season at Florida. The Seminoles are hoping Tate Rodemaker can do what Cardale Jones did back in 2015. He steps into a pretty good situation, with plenty of talent on both sides of the ball. Rodemaker has been at FSU for four seasons, so he has a huge advantage in comparison to freshman Max Brown. In a battle between backup QBs, you would think both teams will look to establish the run. That doesn't bode well for the Gators, who rank 12th in the SEC versus the run allowing 5 yards per carry. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-25-23 | Alabama -14.5 v. Auburn | 27-24 | Loss | -108 | 84 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BAMA. A one loss Alabama team still has a chance to make the playoffs, but a close game here against an Auburn team that lost by three scores at home to New Mexico State last week isn't going to look good on the resume. Alabama needs to win, and win big in the Iron Bowl. There will be those that say "the is a rivalry game" ... but I would counter with the fact that Alabama has won seven of the last nine, and six of those seven wins have come by more than 14 points. I am not sure these teams have been farther apart in recent seasons. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-25-23 | East Carolina v. George Mason -6 | 59-81 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play o GMU. George Mason will host the East Carolina Pirates Saturday afternoon, and this will be the first true road game for East Carolina this season. The Pirates were 2-9 on the road last year. George Mason was 14-2 at home last season, and they bring back two senior starters from last year including starting PG Ronald Polite. The Patriots are 3-0 at home, and the average margin of victory in those games was over 13 points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-25-23 | Ohio State v. Michigan -156 | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 74 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MICH. So the Wolverines have owned Ohio State in the last two meetings, and we have to ask ourselves what has changed? Michigan is basically the same team that ran for 252 yards and three TDs in a blowout win in Columbus last year. Blake Corum was hurt in that game, and he's full of piss and vinegar heading into this game. CJ Stroud threw for 349 yards and two TDs in a losing effort last year, and the NFL MVP candidate is replaced by Kyle McCord, who has looked rather pedestrian. Marvin Harrison Jr. has the potential to be the X-Factor, but only if the offensive line can hold up long enough for him to get down field. The Buckeyes defense may have improved, but I think that is just going to result in another loss, this time in a low scoring game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-25-23 | Chelsea v. Newcastle United | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Newcastle. Chelsea comes into this match with an overall record of 4-4-4, and they are coming off a 4-4 home draw versus Mancester City. They were fortunate to salvage a point in that match, after being awarded a penalty in injury time leading to the equalizer. Newcastle has won five of six home matches with a +11 goal differential. Chelsea is sitting in 10th in the table, yet the odds for this match are in direct contradiction to the numbers. Newcastle has scored six more goals, and conceded three fewer goals than Chelsea in a dozen matches. The home team is undefeated in the last four head to head meetings. While the draw looks likely, Newcastle appears to be the far more likely side to take maximum points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-24-23 | Canucks -108 v. Seattle Kraken | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 16 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Van. The Canucks lost at home to the Kraken last week, and this sets them up for a revenge spot in Seattle tonight. Here is what I said about Vancouver last week: "The Canucks have the 2nd best record in the Western Conference, they have three players ranked in the Top 5 in the NHL in scoring, and Elias Pettersson currently leads the league with 25 points in 15 games. They have the league's 3rd best power play, and the league's 4th best penalty kill." GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-24-23 | Oregon State v. Oregon -13.5 | 7-31 | Win | 100 | 64 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Ducks. It will be tough to pick up the pieces after a tough loss for the Beavers. Despite dominating time of possession and total yards at home versus Washington, they lost by a score of 22-20. Now they play on the road at Eugene, facing a Ducks team looking to avenge last year's loss in this rivalry game. This is just a bad matchup for the Beavers, who lean heavily on their rushing attack. The Ducks have allowed just 96 rush yards per game and 3.4 yards per carry this season. Oregon is 6-0 at home this season, and the average margin of victory in those wins is 37 points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-24-23 | Baylor -150 v. Florida | 95-91 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BAY. The Bears come into this Black Friday game against Florida with a 5-0 record, and they are scoring almost 90 points per game on 51 percent shooting. Freshman JaKobe Walker is averaging 19 points per game, leading the bears in scoring. Senior guard RayJ Dennis scored 19.5 points per game in the MAC last year, and he's leading the team in assists. Baylor looks like a contender in the BIG12. The Gators are 4-1, and they are facing a ranked opponent for the first time. Florida finished last season with a losing record, and leading scorer Colin Castleton has moved on to the NBA. Incoming transfers will keep the Gators competitive, but they should be over-matched against a Baylor team with more high end talent. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-24-23 | USC v. Oklahoma | 70-72 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on USC. I bet against Oklahoma yesterday, and here is what I said prior to their win over Iowa: "The Sooners finished dead last in the BIG12 last year, but the majority of the starters from that team have moved on. We can't read much into Oklahoma's 4-0 start as they haven't really played anybody." The Hawkeyes were 4-of-23 from beyond the arc and shot just 35 percent from the field losing 79-67. The Trojans are coming off a 71-63 win over Seton Hall, and they hit 10-of-23 three-pointers in the win. Here is what I said about USC earlier this season: "the Trojans are bringing back 5th year senior Boogie Ellis, and he is joined in the back court by McDonalds All American Isaiah Collier. This USC squad should have an edge in both talent and experience." GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-24-23 | Texas A&M -155 v. Florida Atlantic | 89-96 | Loss | -155 | 3 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TAM. Coming into this season I said I expected FAU to be overvalued. Here is what I said: " GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-23-23 | Oklahoma v. Iowa | 79-67 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Iowa. The Sooners finished dead last in the BIG12 last year, but the majority of the starters from that team have moved on. We can't read much into Oklahoma's 4-0 start as they haven't really played anybody. Iowa went to Creighton and lost, but played pretty well in a 92-84 loss. Senior forward Ben Krikke has made a huge impact transferring in from Valparaiso. He's leading the Hawkeyes with 20 points per game. Iowa finished Top 5 in the BIG10 last year, and it appears that this program is simply in better shape than Oklahoma at the moment. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-23-23 | Packers v. Lions -7.5 | 29-22 | Loss | -110 | 66 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on DET. The Lions fell victim to Murphy's Law on Sunday, turning the ball fourr four times and losing time of possession by 40:24 to 19:36. This happens to even good teams, but only great teams are able to overcome all that and come away with a win. This sets up the Lions for a strong performance here against the Packers on Thanksgiving. This looks like a terrible spot for Green Bay, who had to sign a couple backs off the practice squad after losing two of their top three running backs last week. In fact all three of their running backs on the depth chart are listed in the injury report, and Aaron Jones is doubtful. Additionally there are four defensive starters listed as questionable and another offensive lineman is banged up. This just looks like a let down spot for the Packers coming off a home win over LA last week. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-22-23 | Mavs -1 v. Lakers | 104-101 | Win | 100 | 15 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on DAL. The Lakers are 6-1 in their last seven overall, but the one loss came in the second game of a back to back. Anthony Davis was terrible in the loss to the Kings, scoring nine points on 3-of-9 shooting. The Mavs come in well rested, and they are hungry coming off back to back losses. Kyrie scored 38 points in a win over the Lakers last March, his last visit to the Staples Center. Luka Doncic didn't even play in that game. This just looks like a great spot for the Mavs, and a let down spot for LA after beating Utah by 31 last night. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-21-23 | Tennessee v. Purdue -150 | 67-71 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Purdue. The Boilermakers took down #11 ranked Gonzaga yesterday, and they will face an even tougher Tennessee team tonight. I think they will be up for the task. Senior center Zach Edey scored 25 points in 33 minutes versus Gonzaga, after dropping 28 points on Xavier in the previous game. The Vols don't have anyone who can stop the 7-footer, and he should be primed for another big game. This seems like a short line for a Purdue team that started 22-1 last season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-20-23 | Eagles v. Chiefs -142 | 21-17 | Loss | -142 | 55 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on KC. The Chiefs defense has carried them so far, but the offense has been rather pedestrian. Don't be surprised if they come out of the bye week with some new wrinkles. Andy Reid is considered to be the best in the business when he has an extra week to scheme. He's 28-4 straight up in his career when coming off a bye week. Expect Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce to turn back the clock here on Monday Night Football. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-19-23 | Vikings v. Broncos -135 | Top | 20-21 | Win | 100 | 101 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Denver. Everyone is a Vikings fan after they put together a five game winning streak. Keep in mind wins came over the Bears, Falcons, Packers, Saints and they caught the 49ers in a tough spot. Josh Dobbs has stepped in and done a great job since the injury to Kirk Cousins, and he previously played well for Arizona. It didn't translate into wins though, as the Cardinals were 1-7 with Dobbs as their starter. A road game against a Denver team that has also turned things around might be a reality check for the Vikings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-19-23 | Wichita State v. St. Louis +5 | 88-69 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SLU. I bet against the Shockers in their blowout loss to Liberty on Friday. Here is what I said prior to that game: "The Shockers were just .500 in the American Athletic last season, and the majority of their starting lineup has moved on. New recruits and incoming transfers offer little reason for optimism as far as being a contender in their conference this season, and they may be overmatched here in a tough non-conference game." I think the bookmakers have the wrong team favored in this one. The Bilikens have an experienced starting lineup with returning seniors from last year. While leading scorer Sincere Parker may not play, it's not like the Bilikens are thin at guard. They still have Gibson Jimerson who was the top scorer last year and Freshman Djordje Curcic who played for the Serbian National Team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-19-23 | Sabres v. Blackhawks +1.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 19 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Chicago. The Hawks are coming off a 4-2 loss in Nashville, a game that was closer than it looked. The Preds added an empy netter in the final seconds. We will hope for a better result at home tonight against a Sabres team that has a knack for playing close games. Buffalo is 2-5 straight up and 1-6 ATS a puckline favorite in their last seven overall. Chicago is 9-1 ATS as a puckline underdog in their last 10 versus Buffalo. These teams have played three straight overtime games and four straight one goal games in the last four head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-19-23 | Winnipeg v. Montreal +8.5 | Top | 24-28 | Win | 100 | 29 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MTL. The Bombers are back in the Grey Cup for the fourth consecutive season. They will be a huge favorite against an ALs team that just knocked off the league leading Toronto Argonauts. Montreal is playing their best football down the stretch, and their defense has been formidable. There is no doubt that the Bombers deserve to be favorites, and you can call them the better team. The Als look dangerous in the role of the underdog, and it's hard to ignore their seven game winning streak. Montreal might be the best team in the CFL right here right now, and I don't think they are getting enough respect. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-19-23 | Pistons v. Raptors -6.5 | 113-142 | Win | 100 | 16 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TOR. When the Pistons hired Monte Williams as their head coach, it may have put an end to the "Casey Curse". The Pistons owned the Raptors under Casey, who was spurned by the Raptors despite several winning seasons as bench boss in Toronto. The Pistons come in as losers of 10 straight, and the majority of those losses were of the blowout variety. Despite failing to cover in nine of the last 10 meetings, the Raptors have won four straight in this series. A healthy OJ Anunoby should benefit the home team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-19-23 | Chargers v. Packers UNDER 44 | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 156 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Chargers look like one of the best teams in the NFL on paper, but their coach leaves a lot of points on the table and it often ends up costing them in close games. Scoring on the road in Green Bay might be a challenge. The Packers quietly rank 11th overall in scoring defense. The problem for Green Bay is that their offense stinks, and they have a ton of injuries at skill positions. Look for another low score here at Lambeau. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-19-23 | Steelers v. Browns -180 | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 156 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Cleveland. While Deshaun Watson won't play QB fort the Browns, it's not like Ben Roethisburger is under center for the Steelers. In a matchup between DTR and Kenny Pickett, it should come down to defense and pounding the rock. We saw Cleveland go into Pittsburgh in Week 2 and outgain the Steelers 408-255 in total yards. Cleveland ran for 198 yards in that game despite losing Nick Chubb for the rest of the year to a gruesome injury. This is a revenge spot for the Browns, and I fancy the home team to sneak away with a win here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-18-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Canucks -158 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -158 | 32 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on VAN. The Canucks have been one of the hottest teams in the league, and they come off a let down in a loss at Calgary on Thursday. I had them the night before at home versus the Islanders, and I said this prior to that game: "Vancouver has the 2nd best record in the Western Conference, they have three players ranked in the Top 5 in the NHL in scoring, and Elias Pettersson currently leads the league with 25 points in 15 games. They have the league's 3rd best power play, and the league's 4th best penalty kill. The Islanders are 3-8 in their last 11 road games, and they come in on a five game losing streak. I don't think he markets have quite caught up to how good this Vancouver team is at the moment. " GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-18-23 | Thunder v. Warriors +3 | 130-123 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on GSW. I am rolling the dice here hoping Steph Curry plays as a game time decision. Kerr said he might miss "a game or two", and he's missed the Warriors last two games. They are playing the second game of a two game set at home versus Oklahoma City, and while the Thunder won big in the first leg, they were only up by one-point with 2:41 remaining in the third quarter. Kerr limited his starters minutes in that game, and guys like Paul and Wiggins should get more time tonight if Curry doesn't play. It's normally a good play to take the team coming off a loss in a two game set like this, even if the Warriors are shorthanded. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-18-23 | Howard v. Rutgers UNDER 143 | 63-85 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. I bet under in Rutgers home win over Georgetown, and here is what I said before that game: "Rutgers is damn near a double digit favorite at home against Georgetown, and they have yet to score 70 points this season. They have held their opponents to an average of 57 points while winning two of three. There plenty of strong defensive teams in the BIG10, but Rutgers ranked 1st in opponent scoring average last season allowing 61 points per game. They ranked just 10th in scoring averaging 68.4 points per game. In their only Div 1 game so far, Georgetown lost 68-67 to Holy Cross. It seems reasonable to expect a low score here at Rutgers." They beat the Hoyas 71-60. That was the highest score of any of the Scarlet Knights four games this year, and now they face a Howard team coming off a 64-53 win over Boston University. The Bisons might be lucky to score 60 here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-18-23 | Central Florida v. Texas Tech -137 | 23-24 | Win | 100 | 27 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TTU. |
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11-18-23 | UCLA +6.5 v. USC | Top | 38-20 | Win | 100 | 25 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UCLA. Both these teams are looking to break out of a slump. UCLA is coming off back to back losses to Arizona and Arizona State, while USC is coming off losses to Washington and Oregon. The Trojans are asked to cover a big spread, but their defense can't stop anybody. USC has allowed opponents to average 43 points per game in their last seven overall. The Trojans beat the Bruins 48-45 last year, and a similar score should be expected here. I'll take the points in a game that I expect to be decided in the final minute. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-17-23 | South Florida v. UTSA -15.5 | 21-49 | Win | 100 | 80 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on UTSA. The Roadrunners have won six in a row, and the average margin of victory in those wins was over 17 points. A home game against South Florida figures to be another blowout win. The Bulls are coming off a home win over Temple, but they were lucky that the Owls turned the ball over four times. This South Florida defense ranks among the worst in the country, giving up over 450 yards per game. Frank Harris and the Roadrunners offense should be able to take full advantage here at home. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-17-23 | Wichita State v. Liberty -160 | 66-83 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Liberty. The Shockers were just .500 in the American Athletic last season, and the majority of their starting lineup has moved on. New recruits and incoming transfers offer little reason for optimism as far as being a contender in their conference this season, and they may be overmatched here in a tough non-conference game. Liberty won 27 games last year, finishing second in Conference USA. They bring back all but one starter, as well as a few quality transfers giving them a ton of experience. They did knock Villanova out of the NIT last year, and lost a close game to Wisconsin after that. The Flames should be on another level than Wichita. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-17-23 | St. John's +1 v. Dayton | 81-88 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SJU. Dayton finished second in the A-1O, and they were 5-6 on the road. The Flyers played on the road just twice in non-conference play last season, losing by a combined 36 points to UNLV and Virginia Tech. St. Johns returns senior center Joel Soriano, who was the leading scorer averaging 15.2 points per game last year. They have surrounded him with several senior transfers who were stars on their respective teams last year. Jordan Dingle (G) averaged 23.4 points per game with PENN last year, and Daniss Jenkins came with coach Pitino from Iona. Iona went a combined 64-22 overall and 40-9 in regular-season conference play under Rick Pitino. Dayton rallied late to come back after trailing LSU BY 15 points midway through the second half yesterday. This could set them up for a let down here on Friday. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-23 | Blues -175 v. Sharks | 1-5 | Loss | -175 | 33 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on STL. I think the markets have yet to account for the rise of this St. Louis Blues team. The Blues have won three straight, and they are 5-1 in their last six overall. They travel to San Jose to take on what many have dubbed the "worst team in NHL history". The Sharks have lost three straight, and they are 2-13 overall this season. They have a pathetic power play, and their penalty kill can't stop anyone. Their average of 1.31 goals per game isn't just bad, it's historically bad. I think the Blues should be a far bigger favorite here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-23 | Thunder -140 v. Warriors | Top | 128-109 | Win | 100 | 21 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OKC. No Curry and no Draymond for the Warriors, and they have lost four straight and five of six. It's fair to say that these are teams trending in opposite directions, as Oklahoma City has won four of five. The Dubs have lost four of their five home games, and this team just looks like a mess at the moment. I like the Thunder to win big here at the Chase Center. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-16-23 | St. John's -145 v. North Texas | 53-52 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SJU. The Red Storm are coming off a bad loss as a favorite versus Michigan, and I had them in that spot. Here is what I said before the game: "St. Johns returns senior center Joel Soriano, who was the leading scorer averaging 15.2 points per game last year. They have surrounded him with several senior transfers who were stars on their respective teams last year. Jordan Dingle (G) averaged 23.4 points per game with PENN last year, and Daniss Jenkins came with coach Pitino from Iona. Iona went a combined 64-22 overall and 40-9 in regular-season conference play under Rick Pitino." Here they are just a short favorite against a North Texas team that everyone remembers from the NCAA Tournament last year. The Mean Green had three double digit scores on last year's team, and all three of them have either graduated on transferred. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-15-23 | Kings -115 v. Lakers | 125-110 | Win | 100 | 17 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SAC. The Kings finished near the top of the Western Conference standings last year, and forced a Game 7 versus Golden State in the playoffs. They got off to a slow start without D'Aaron Fox, but they come into LA as winners of three in a row and sitting in first place in the Pacific. Fox returned Monday, and he looked as good as ever going for 28 points on 11-of-20 shooting in a win over the Cavs. The Lakers could be in a let down spot here, coming off a blowout win over Memphis, and playing the second game of a back to back. The Kings have won seven of their last 10 versus LA, and four of their last five in LA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-15-23 | Islanders v. Canucks -153 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 33 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on VAN. Vancouver has the 2nd best record in the Western Conference, they have three players ranked in the Top 5 in the NHL in scoring, and Elias Pettersson currently leads the league with 25 points in 15 games. They have the league's 3rd best power play, and the league's 4th best penalty kill. The Islanders are 3-8 in their last 11 road games, and they come in on a five game losing streak. I don't think he markets have quite caught up to how good this Vancouver team is at the moment. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-15-23 | Georgetown v. Rutgers UNDER 136.5 | 60-71 | Win | 100 | 19 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Rutgers is damn near a double digit favorite at home against Georgetown, and they have yet to score 70 points this season. They have held their opponents to an average of 57 points while winning two of three. There plenty of strong defensive teams in the BIG10, but Rutgers ranked 1st in opponent scoring average last season allowing 61 points per game. They ranked just 10th in scoring averaging 68.4 points per game. In their only Div 1 game so far, Georgetown lost 68-67 to Holy Cross. It seems reasonable to expect a low score here at Rutgers. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-14-23 | Ducks +1.5 v. Predators | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ANA. The Ducks have won seven of their last nine overall, and they are a big underdog on the road at Nashville. Bridgestone Arena was once considered one of the toughest places in the NHL to play, but that was back when Pekke Rinne was the goaltender and Shea Weber was patrolling the blue line. The Preds are a pedestrian 3-3 at home this season, and they have just two wins in their last eight games. Juuse Saros is 4-8 with a 3.24 GAA and a .894 save percentage. He's not even the best goalie on his team. John Gibson ranks in the Top 10 in the league in both GAA and save percentage. I'll take the visitors with a better record, better goalie and getting +1.5 goals. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-14-23 | Toledo v. Bowling Green +11 | 32-31 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BGRN. The Rockets are 6-0 in the MAC, and they will be a double digit road favorite here. Their last two road wins were both close games decided by one score. Bowling Green comes in riding a four game winning streak, and last year they won outright 42-35 at Toledo. The Rockets lean heavily on their running game, but Bowling Green has one of the top rushing defenses in the MAC. They have held opponents to 3.9 yards per carry, and 137 yards per game. I'll take the home dog in this spot. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-14-23 | Colgate +5.5 v. Syracuse | 75-79 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Colgate. This is a revenge game for Syracuse, as they lost at home versus Colgate in non-conference play last year. Colgate went on to win the Patriot League and made the NCAA Tournament. The Orange have a new head coach, and they lost their leading scorer Joseph Girard and leading rebounder Jesse Edwards. Colgate is bringing back senior forward Keegan Records, sophomore Braenen Smith at guard, and senior forward Ryan Moffatt. I'll take the points here in what should be a close game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-13-23 | Islanders v. Oilers -163 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on EDM. So the Oilers finally fired their coach, and we will see if the players respond here tonight. This is a classic situational spot bet taking a team off a coaching change. Edmonton has superior talent, superior special teams, and added motivation with a new bench boss. Keep it simple stupid! Also like 1P ML. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-13-23 | Florida Gulf Coast +9.5 v. Pittsburgh | 74-86 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on FGCU. The Eagles have been known to slay a few giants in the past, and they have an experienced lineup of returning starters who are mostly seniors. They already went to Indiana and gave the Hoosiers a run for their money, losing by six in a game that they were within two in the final 35 seconds. Pittsburgh was one of the best teams in the ACC last year, finishing with the same record as Duke. The Panthers lost their top four guards to graduation, and the names they brought in via transfer don't exactly pop off the page. This looks like too big of a number for a team in transition to be asked to cover. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-13-23 | Michigan v. St. John's -130 | Top | 89-73 | Loss | -130 | 16 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SJU. Michigan lost leading scorer Hunter Dickenson to Kansas, and they have to replace their top three scorers from a team that finished 8th in the BIG10 last year. You would expect a blue blood like Michigan to make a big splash in the transfer portal, but that doesn't seem to be the case. Olivier Nkamhoua averaged just over 10-point per game with Tennessee last year, and Nimari Burnett was a backup last year at Alabama and the previous year at Texas Tech. It would appear that the Wolverines are asking role players to step up and fill the void in the starting lineup. St. Johns returns senior center Joel Soriano, who was the leading scorer averaging 15.2 points per game last year. They have surrounded him with several senior transfers who were stars on their respective teams last year. Jordan Dingle (G) averaged 23.4 points per game with PENN last year, and Daniss Jenkins came with coach Pitino from Iona. Iona went a combined 64-22 overall and 40-9 in regular-season conference play under Rick Pitino. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-12-23 | Falcons -130 v. Cardinals | 23-25 | Loss | -130 | 159 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ATL. Just then it looks like they are in full tank mode, the Cardinals announce that Kyler Murray will start versus the Falcons. Don't let that fool you, they are still a hot mess. The offensive line is riddled with injuries, and Murray hasn't played in almost a year. The Falcons 26th ranked run defense might struggle to contain the Falcons dynamic duo of Tyler Allgeier and Bijan Robinson. At the end of the day, the Falcons have a lot more to play for at this point in the season and that should play out on the field. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-12-23 | Packers v. Steelers -160 | 19-23 | Win | 100 | 156 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PIT. The Steelers have mastered the art of winning ugly, and this week's home game against Green Bay has "ugly" written all over it. The Packers ended a four game losing streak with a home win over the Browns last week. They faced Rams backup Brett Rypien who threw for 130 yards and an INT on 13-of-28 passing. The Steelers got the running game going last week against the Titans, averaging 5.5 yards per carry (166 yards and a TD on 30 attempts). That success should continue against Packers defense that ranks among the worst in the NFL against the run. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-12-23 | 49ers v. Jaguars UNDER 45 | Top | 34-3 | Win | 100 | 155 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. San Francisco comes out of the bye week looking to get back on track. The defense should be in good shape with Chase Young making his debut. They have allowed just 16.5 points per game on the road this season. The offense is still a question with a pair of starters out on the offensive line. Brock Purdy has thrown five picks in his last three starts, and the Niners scored 17 in all three of those games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-12-23 | Manchester City -130 v. Chelsea | 4-4 | Loss | -130 | 93 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Manchester City. Chelsea sits 10th in the Premier League table with just four wins in 11 matches. They host Manchester City, who is battling for the top spot in the league. Manchester City is undefeated, with nine wins and a two draws in 11 matches. Manchester City has won five straight meetings versus Chelsea, and I am not about to buck that trend here today. GL, Jesse Schule |
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11-12-23 | Fulham v. Aston Villa -169 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 90 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Aston Villa. The best home record in the Premier League does not belong to Arsenal, Liverpool or Manchester City. Aston Villa is 5-0 at home with the best goal differential (+16) in the Premier League. They host Fulham who have just one win in six away matches. This looks like a mismatch in favor of the home team. GL, Jesse Schule |