Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-23-24 | Real Salt Lake v. Vancouver Whitecaps -118 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -118 | 17 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on VAN. Vancouver is off to a hell of a start, sitting in second place in the Western Conference with a record of 3-0-1. They have long been one of the bottom feeders of MLS, but even at the worst of times they are competitive at home. The Whitecaps have won two of their last three home matches versus Salt Lake, outscoring them by a combined 7-4 margin in those contests. The addition of former Salt Lake midfielder Damir-Kreilach makes Vancouver a better team, and also adds more motivation as he faces his former squad. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-23-24 | Senators v. Devils -152 | 5-2 | Loss | -152 | 18 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Devils. While the playoffs are unlikely for the Devils, they are a long lost cause for the Ottawa Senators. New Jersey still has a chance, sitting six points out of the final Wild Card with a dozen games remaining. They addressed their biggest weakness when they picked up Jake Allen via trade, the veteran netminder is 4-1 with a 2.01 GAA since joining the Devils. The Senators have lost three straight, and they have been lit up for 18 goals in those games. I'll take the Devils as a home favorite in this spot. The Sens season is over, while the Devils still have something to play for. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-23-24 | Michigan State v. North Carolina -168 | Top | 69-85 | Win | 100 | 14 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on UNC. Both the BIG10 and the ACC appeared to have an off year, but the Tar Heels finished with the best record in their conference and led the ACC in scoring. The Spartans struggled all season, losing early to JMU and then coming into the Tourney as losers of five of seven. Many pundits asked how this Spartans team even qualified for the Tournament. As impressive as their win over the Bulldogs was on Thursday, it was part of an overall theme of SEC teams getting rolled in the first round. The Spartans shot 50 percent from the field and 43.5 percent from beyond the arc, yet only scored 69 points. Playing the Tar Heels in Charlotte is going to be a far bigger challenge. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-22-24 | Grand Canyon v. St. Mary's UNDER 132.5 | 75-66 | Loss | -125 | 115 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. So it raised a lot of eyebrows when the under went 33-11 in the first round of last year's tournament, but I for one didn't find it all that surprising. Dating back to 2018 the under had gone 177-130 (58%) heading into the second round of last year's tournament. These are do or die elimination games, no easy buckets. Teams that are capable of tightening up their defense are sure to do so. I think it's a solid strategy to load up your card with unders in the first round, theoretically picking from a pool that already hits 58 percent. The Gaels rank 1st in the WCC in opponent's scoring average, allowing just 58.7 points per game. Grand Canyon ranks 2nd in the WAC allowing 66.9 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-22-24 | Pacers v. Warriors UNDER 240.5 | 123-111 | Win | 100 | 14 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a free play on Under. Prior to the All Star break one might think these two teams would be sure to get into a shootout, but times have changed. The Warriors are battling for a play-in spot, while the Pacers are only a half game out of a play-in spot. Indiana has seemingly learned how to play defense, as eight of their last 10 have gone under the total. The under is 5-5 in the Warriors last 10 overall, but none of those games saw a total as high as tonight's game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-22-24 | Vermont v. Duke UNDER 133 | 47-64 | Win | 100 | 111 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. So it raised a lot of eyebrows when the under went 33-11 in the first round of last year's tournament, but I for one didn't find it all that surprising. Dating back to 2018 the under had gone 177-130 (58%) heading into the second round of last year's tournament. These are do or die elimination games, no easy buckets. Teams that are capable of tightening up their defense are sure to do so. I think it's a solid strategy to load up your card with unders in the first round, theoretically picking from a pool that already hits 58 percent. Duke ranks 3rd in the ACC in opponents scoring average allowing 67.4 points per game. Vermont ranks 338th in pace of play averaging 66.8 possessions per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-22-24 | Thunder -15 v. Raptors | 123-103 | Win | 100 | 16 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on OKC. The Thunder are tied for the best record in the West, and they will be a big favorite in Toronto tonight. The Raptors entire starting lineup is out, and the kids got blown out in a 34 point loss to Sacramento on Wednesday. Scottie Barnes, Emanuel Quickley and RJ Barrett are all out of the lineup. The Thunder have a pair of Canadians (SGA and Dort) who might be motivated to turn in a good performance in their home country. Expect another blowout loss for an undermanned Raptors team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-22-24 | Northwestern v. Florida Atlantic UNDER 141.5 | 77-65 | Loss | -120 | 104 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. So it raised a lot of eyebrows when the under went 33-11 in the first round of last year's tournament, but I for one didn't find it all that surprising. Dating back to 2018 the under had gone 177-130 (58%) heading into the second round of last year's tournament. These are do or die elimination games, no easy buckets. Teams that are capable of tightening up their defense are sure to do so. I think it's a solid strategy to load up your card with unders in the first round, theoretically picking from a pool that already hits 58 percent. Northwestern ranks 334th in pace of play averaging 67 possessions per game. They rank 4th in the BIG10 in opponent's scoring average allowing 69 points per game. The Owls won their first round matchup by a score of 66-65 versus Memphis last year. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-22-24 | Northwestern v. Florida Atlantic -140 | Top | 77-65 | Loss | -140 | 92 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on FAU. Northwestern ranks 334th in pace of play averaging 67 possessions per game. They rank 4th in the BIG10 in opponent's scoring average allowing 69 points per game. The Owls won their first round matchup by a score of 66-65 versus Memphis last year. The Owls are not getting much hype for a team that went all the way to the Final Four a year ago, despite returning all their starters from that squad. They won 25 games this season, and I don't see anything stopping them from another impressive showing in the tournament. Northwestern has a few key injuries, with Ty Berry and Matt Nicholson out of the lineup. They come limping into the tournament as losers of three of their last four. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-21-24 | Seattle Kraken v. Golden Knights -185 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 34 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on VGK. I have bet on Vegas in their last two games, and here is what I said prior to a home loss to Tampa: "The Golden Knights are still sitting in the final Wild Card spot in the West, and desperate for some breathing room. With only a dozen games left, a home game against Tampa Bay is a good spot to back the Knights. While Tampa is also sitting in a Wild Card spot, they come off a huge win over Florida in the first game of this road trip, setting them up for a let down tonight. Perennial Vezina candidate Andrei Vasilevskij has struggled this season, posting career worst numbers in GAA and save percentage. Vegas is still pumped up after a haul at the trade deadline, and newly acquired talent will get a chance to shine tonight." The loss puts even more pressure on the Knights tonight, and it comes against lesser opposition. Should be a blowout! GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-21-24 | NC State v. Texas Tech -4.5 | 80-67 | Loss | -120 | 38 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TTU. Congratulations to NC State for doing the impossible and winning five games in five days to win the ACC Tournament and sneak into the NCAA Tourney. When is that last time we saw such a thing? How about two years ago when Virginia Tech did the same thing, only to be knocked out in the first round by a BIG12 team? Yeah it was a down year in the ACC, and the Wolpack had a losing record in conference play. Texas Tech is one of the best teams in the best conference in the country. They are the best in the BIG12 from the free throw line, and right up there in three-point shooting. This is a mismatch and Cinderella is gonna turn into a pumpkin as the clock strikes midnight.... Good Night! GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-21-24 | South Dakota State v. Iowa State UNDER 133.5 | 65-82 | Loss | -110 | 89 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. So it raised a lot of eyebrows when the under went 33-11 in the first round of last year's tournament, but I for one didn't find it all that surprising. Dating back to 2018 the under had gone 177-130 (58%) heading into the second round of last year's tournament. These are do or die elimination games, no easy buckets. Teams that are capable of tightening up their defense are sure to do so. I think it's a solid strategy to load up your card with unders in the first round, theoretically picking from a pool that already hits 58 percent. The Cyclones won the BIG12 Tournament with a 69-41 win over Houston. They ranked #2 in the BIG12 allowing just 61.3 points per game. South Dakota ranks 316th nationally averaging just 67.7 possessions per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-21-24 | Nevada v. Dayton UNDER 136.5 | 60-63 | Win | 100 | 86 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. So it raised a lot of eyebrows when the under went 33-11 in the first round of last year's tournament, but I for one didn't find it all that surprising. Dating back to 2018 the under had gone 177-130 (58%) heading into the second round of last year's tournament. These are do or die elimination games, no easy buckets. Teams that are capable of tightening up their defense are sure to do so. I think it's a solid strategy to load up your card with unders in the first round, theoretically picking from a pool that already hits 58 percent. The Dayton Flyers rank 347th nationally in pace of play, averaging 66.3 possessions per game. The Wolfpack are not much faster, ranking 274th averaging 68.7 possessions per game. Nevada ranks #2 in the Mountain West in opponent's scoring average allowing 67.1 points per game, while Dayton allowed just 66.3 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-21-24 | Oregon v. South Carolina UNDER 133.5 | 87-73 | Loss | -115 | 85 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. So it raised a lot of eyebrows when the under went 33-11 in the first round of last year's tournament, but I for one didn't find it all that surprising. Dating back to 2018 the under had gone 177-130 (58%) heading into the second round of last year's tournament. These are do or die elimination games, no easy buckets. Teams that are capable of tightening up their defense are sure to do so. I think it's a solid strategy to load up your card with unders in the first round, theoretically picking from a pool that already hits 58 percent. The Gamecocks were #1 in the SEC in opponents scoring average, allowing just 67 points per game. That's all the more impressive when you consider they played the likes of Tennessee, Kentucky, Alabama and Auburn. The Ducks won the PAC12 Tournament, and they have held four consecutive opponents under 70 points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-21-24 | Oregon v. South Carolina -110 | Top | 87-73 | Loss | -110 | 84 h 13 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SOCAR. The Gamecocks were #1 in the SEC in opponents scoring average, allowing just 67 points per game. That's all the more impressive when you consider they played the likes of Tennessee, Kentucky, Alabama and Auburn. The Ducks won the PAC12 Tournament, and they have held four consecutive opponents under 70 points. While it's an impressive run for the Ducks, I think they might have peaked a little early. The Gamecocks don't get much respect from bookmakers, and even less respect from bettors. This is despite the fact that they are a highly profitable 23-10 ATS this season. Dana Altman has an impressive record at the NCAA Tournament as head coach of the Ducks, but I am not sure he has the horses this year. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-20-24 | Colorado v. Boise State UNDER 141.5 | 60-53 | Win | 100 | 15 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Neither of the first two play-in games saw a combined 140 points, and low scores have long been the trend in these elimination games in the NCAA Tournament. The under was 33-11 in the first round of last year's tournament. We see teams play at a slower pace in these tournament games, and Boise comes in ranking 285th in pace of play averaging just 68.5 possessions per game. Colorado plays a bit faster, averaging 71.4 possessions per game, but they have averaged just 65.5 possessions in their last three games. This total is higher than it was in four of the Broncos last five games. i wouldn't be surprised if neither of these teams hit 70 points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-19-24 | Lightning v. Golden Knights -134 | 5-3 | Loss | -134 | 16 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on VGK, The Golden Knights are still sitting in the final Wild Card spot in the West, and desperate for some breathing room. With only a dozen games left, a home game against Tampa Bay is a good spot to back the Knights. While Tampa is also sitting in a Wild Card spot, they come off a huge win over Florida in the first game of this road trip, setting them up for a let down tonight. Perennial Vezina candidate Andrei Vasilevskij has struggled this season, posting career worst numbers in GAA and save percentage. Vegas is still pumped up after a haul at the trade deadline, and newly acquired talent will get a chance to shine tonight. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-19-24 | Wagner v. Howard -157 | 71-68 | Loss | -157 | 13 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Howard. The Wagner Seahawks are not supposed to be here. They rattled off three straight wins in NEC Tournament, despite finishing 6th in the conference with a losing record of 7-9. They come into this play-in game with a handful of injuries, and appear to be due for a let down. Howard was only the 3rd best team in the MAEC this season, but they finished with a 9-5 conference record and ran the table in the conference tournament. They have a 26 year old Super Senior guard in Seth Towns, while Wagner has only one senior starter and he's sidelined with a wrist injury. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-17-24 | Nuggets -145 v. Mavs | 105-107 | Loss | -145 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on DEN. The Nuggets have won 11 of 12, and yet they are still sitting second in the Northwestern. They have won both previous meetings versus Dallas, and they won their last visit to Dallas by a score of 98-97. Luka Doncic sat out Thursday's game against Oklahoma City with a hamstring injury, and he's listed as questionable for tonight's game. With or without Luka, the Nuggets should be the better team here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-17-24 | Devils v. Golden Knights -162 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on VGK. Vegas is back home after losing 4-1 in Calgary on Thursday, hosting a New Jersey Devils team playing the second game of a back to back. The Devils are coming off a 4-1 loss at Arizona, and they are in a downward spiral. New Jersey has fallen all the way to 12th in the Eastern Conference after losing nine of 12. They are six points out of a playoff spot, and hopes are fading. The Vegas Golden Knights made a statement at the trade deadline, and they appear ready to go on a run. The Knights are currently occupying the final Wild Card spot in the West, and surely they have intentions to move up in the standings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-17-24 | Wisconsin v. Illinois UNDER 149.5 | 87-93 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Last year's SEC Final ended with Purdue defeating Penn State by a score of 67-65. Yesterday's game between Wisconsin and Purdue nearly ended with a similar score, but the Badgers forced overtime with a buzzer beater that tied the score at 66-66. We saw the BIG12, PAC12,BIG10, BIG EAST, ACC & A-10 tournament finals all saw scores below 140 last year. We saw 33 of the first 44 games in last year's NCAA Tournament fail to reach the total. The fact is that defensive intensity is increased in elimination games. Illinois was knocked out of the first round of last year's tournament in a 73-63 loss to Arkansas. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-16-24 | Knicks v. Kings -160 | 98-91 | Loss | -160 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on SAC. The Knicks welcomed back OG Anunoby back to the lineup, and they rattled off back to back wins over Portland and Philly. This gives them a 14-2 record with Anunoby in the lineup, and they have held opponents to 98.6 points per game during that span. To put that in perspective, that's eight points fewer than the #1 ranked Minnesota Timberwolves have allowed this season. The thing is that the Knicks just placed Anunoby on the injury report, and his status for tonight is questionable. This has me ready to fade New York, because without Anunoby at full speed, and Julius Randle still out, this isn't likely to be a competitive matchup. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-16-24 | Warriors v. Lakers UNDER 238 | 128-121 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. The Lakers host the Warriors tonight, it what should look a lot like a playoff game. These two teams sit in the 9th and 10th spot in the Western Conference, battling for a play-in spot. Steph Curry is expected to return for an ankle injury, but it remains to be seen if he will be limited in any capacity. When you think of Lakers versus Warriors you might expect a history of high scoring games. Only once in the last 10 head to head meetings have they combined to score enough points to reach tonight's total, and that was a controversial double overtime win for the Lakers in January this year. This number looks a little inflated given the high stakes here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-16-24 | UAB v. South Florida -155 | Top | 93-83 | Loss | -155 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on USF. South Florida can't be that good! I am sure people been saying that all year, and if you been stepping in front of them they been costing you a ton of money. The Bulls are no bull! The real deal, they didn't win 16 games in the American by accident. The Bulls crushed ECU by 22 yesterday, and their next victim is a UAB team that has been hot and cold. UAB won some big games this season, but down the stretch they folded like a cheap suit. After a three game stretch where they beat FAU and North Texas, they went on a 1-3 run that included home losses to Rice and Wichita State. This game is South Florida's to win, and anything other than a double digit win here will qualify as a choke job IMO. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-16-24 | Colorado State v. New Mexico -135 | 61-74 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on UNM. The Lobos split the season series versus Colorado State, and both teams have a record of 24-9. They were both 10-8 in the Mountain West, and they are both on the bubble. The Rams have failed to cover in five of their last six, while New Mexico has covered in four of five. The Lobos lead the Mountain West in scoring, averaging 82.1 points per game. Senior Guard Jalen House comes in feeling the hot hand after dropping 29 on Boise State last night. The Lobos come in off back to back double digit wins, and momentum appears to be on their side. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-15-24 | Magic -7 v. Raptors | 113-103 | Win | 100 | 16 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ORL. Some things are bigger than basketball, and a recent tragedy has hit the Raptors organization. RJ Barrett is going to be out for a while, and the rest of the team is likely to be affected as well. The Magic meanwhile are sitting in first place in the SouthEast, and they need to stand on business here north of the border. Orlando has won seven of their last 10, and three of those wins came on the road. They won by double digits at Washington and at Charlotte. The Raptors probably gonna mail it in tonight ... and who could blame them. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-15-24 | Wisconsin -160 v. Northwestern | 70-61 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Whisky. The Badgers took care of business in their win over Maryland Thursday, advancing to take on a wounded Northwestern team in the BIG10 Quarter Finals on Friday. The Wildcats will be without two starters, Ty Berry and Matt Nicholson. Berry is the teams best shooter and Nicholson leads the team in blocks. The Badgers have owned this series, winning eight of the last 10 meetings and covering in all eight wins. Wisconsin ranks 22nd in NET ranking, compared to Northwestern 50th. It's asking a lot of Northwestern to compete with a top tier team in the BIG1O without two of their top players. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-14-24 | Colorado State v. Nevada -145 | 85-78 | Loss | -145 | 15 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Nevada. The Wolfpack have won 10 of their last 11, and finished second in the Mountain West with a record of 13-5. They host the Colorado State Rams in the Conference Tournament tonight, and the Rams lost three of their final six games. All three wins came against teams with a losing record. Nevada ranks #2 in the conference in opponent's scoring average allowing just 66.5 points per game, and they were the only team in the conference averaging in single digits in turnovers. I'll ride the hot team in a matchup of two teams trending in opposite directions. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-14-24 | Coyotes v. Red Wings -163 | 4-1 | Loss | -163 | 27 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on DET. The Wings are currently out of the playoffs, tied with the New York Islanders with 72 points. The Isles hold the final Wild Card spot by virtue of the tie breaker. With the season hanging in the balance, they host the Arizona Coyotes in a must win game. They couldn't pick a better opponent, as the Coyotes are 5-20 in their last 25 games overall, and only two of those wins came on the road. One of those five wins was a 4-0 shutout win over Detroit, setting up a nice revenge angle here in the Motor City. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-13-24 | Cincinnati -140 v. Kansas | Top | 72-52 | Win | 100 | 17 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CIN. The Jayhawks come into the Conference Tournament without their top two scorers (Hunter Dickinson and Kevin McCullar). This looks like a clear case of Bill Self waiving the white flag, as they look forward to the NCAA Tournament. Cincinnati will relish an opportunity to take down a blue blood, as the Bearcats need as many wins as they can get. Cinci only lost by five at Kansas during the regular season, and Dickinson and McCullar scored a combined 30 points in that game. Kansas has been average at best away from Lawrence all season, even when at full strength. They lost at UCF and at West Viriginia, and they might not have much fight in them here in a neutral site game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-12-24 | Golden Knights -138 v. Seattle Kraken | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 18 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on VGK. Vegas is serious about defending it's Stanley Cup championship, making a ton of deals at the deadline to shore up their lineup. They added Noah Hanifin, Anthony Mantha and Thomas Hertl, and Mantha and Hanifin are already in the lineup. Vegas has plenty of work to do, as they are currently sitting in the final Wild Card spot in the West. They can't afford to leave any points on the table, and this looks like a good spot to take advantage of a struggling Seattle team. The Kraken are eight points back of the final Wild Card spot, and not a serious contender to make the playoffs. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-12-24 | Pacers v. Thunder UNDER 242 | 121-111 | Win | 100 | 15 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. This total opened at 236.5, and has been bet up several points. Of course this is a matchup between the Pacers #1 scoring offense and the Thunder's #3 scoring offense. But things have changed since the All Star break, and defense is no longer an after thought. The Pacers have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 overall, and these teams have only gone over once in the last four head to head meetings, and that game would have fallen short in regulation, but it went to overtime. Oklahoma City has gone under in four of their last five overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-12-24 | Oklahoma State v. UCF -188 | 62-77 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on UCF. At a quick glance it looks like a matchup between two of the bottom feeders in the BIG12 might be fairly even. I really don't think that is the case at all. While both teams score an average of 71.3 points per game, Central Florida is one of the best defensive teams in the conference allowing just 67 points per game. The Cowboys rank 13th in the BIG12 allowing 72.6 points per game. Oklahoma State has a NET ranking of 120th while Central Florida ranks 61st. Oklahoma State ranks last in the BIG12 in rebounds per game, and the Knights dominated the boards (40-27) in a win at Stillwater during the season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-11-24 | Suns -5.5 v. Cavs | 117-111 | Win | 100 | 15 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PHX. The Cavs have been hit hard by injuries, and they got blown out at home versus the Brooklyn Nets on Sunday. Donovan Mitchell, Max Strus, Dean Wade and Evan Mobely all missed Sunday's game. There is no indication that any of them are back tonight, and additionally Darius Garland suffered a wrist injury against the Nets, and we are awaiting updates. The Suns on the other hand are expected to get Devin Booker back tonight. Get in quick as the betting should be rather one sided on Phoenix. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-10-24 | Wolves +1.5 v. Lakers | 109-120 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIN. Since the injury to Karl Anthony Towns, the Wolves have not missed a beat. They are 3-1 without KAT this season, and the one loss came in OT at Cleveland in the second game of a back to back. The Lakers are coming off a win over the Bucks, with LeBron out. DeAngelo Russell scored a career high 44 points, shooting 17-of-25 from the field and making nine three-pointers. Expect some regression from him against one of the best defensive teams in the NBA. Both LeBron and AD carry a questionable tag heading into Sunday, which is normally of little concern. LeBron didn't play against the Bucks on Friday though, so he might be dealing with a more serious ailment. The Lakers are 3-7 straight up and 3-7 ATS in the last 10 versus Minnesota, losing both previous meetings this season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-10-24 | Lehigh v. Boston University UNDER 140 | 84-79 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Boston University will host Lehigh in the semifinals of the Patriot Conference tournament, and these teams just played just a couple weeks ago. The Terriers won that game 64-62 in overtime, and neither team has scored 70 in three of the last four head to head meetings between these teams. The Terriers rank 320th nationally, averaging 67.6 possessions per game. They also rank 3rd in the Patriot allowing 66.1 points per game. Lehigh hasn't seen a combined 140 points in any of their last four games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-09-24 | Raptors v. Blazers OVER 226 | 118-128 | Win | 100 | 16 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. Scoring normally takes a nose dive after the All Star break, and defense usually intensifies as the playoffs approach. That was on full display last night, when six of eight games failed to combine for 226 points, and five teams failed to score 100 points. These two teams are the exception to the rule though, as Toronto has an exciting group of young players that are pushing the pace and having fun, without the pressure of playoff expectations. The Blazers are giving backups and third string players a chance to earn jobs, and they have been competitive despite being hit hard by injuries. The Blazers have gone over in seven of their last 10, and Toronto has allowed and average of 124 points over their last five games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-09-24 | Red Wings v. Golden Knights -175 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on VGK. The defending champs are slumping, and they find themselves clinging to a Wild Card spot. That makes tonight's game against the Wings a must win. They catch Detroit playing the second game of a back to back off a 4-0 loss in Arizona. Detroit comes in off four straight losses, and they are likely to start their backup goalie here in the second game of a back to back. The Knights got a haul at the trade deadline, widely considered the biggest winners. They should be pumped up on home ice tonight. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-09-24 | Florida International v. New Mexico State -145 | Top | 70-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NMSU. These are two of the bottom feeders in the Conference USA, and between the two of them they have lost 24 of 26 road games. The Aggies have been solid at home though, with a record of 11-3. This is a the final home game for the Aggies, a revenge game against Florida International who beat them 77-67 earlier this year. The Panthers are 1-11 on the road, and that win came in non conference pay in November against the Houston Christian Huskies (the minnows of the Southland). GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-08-24 | Boise State v. San Diego State UNDER 137 | 79-77 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Aztecs are coming off a 62-58 loss at UNLV, and they host Boise State in their final home game Friday. The Aztecs rank 1st in the Mountain West in opponent's scoring average, allowing just 65.8 points per game. Boise State isn't far behind, allowing 66.9 points per game. These two teams have failed to reach the total in seven straight head to head meetings. Neither team has scored 70 in six of the last seven meetings. Another low score should be expected here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-08-24 | VCU v. Dayton UNDER 139 | Top | 86-91 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Under. |
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03-07-24 | Colorado v. Oregon -135 | 79-75 | Loss | -135 | 19 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on OREGON. The Ducks are 12-2 at home, with losses to Washington State and Arizona (the top two teams in the PAC12). The Buffaloes are just 2-7 on the road. While Colorado comes in as the hot team, winning four straight, none of those games were against teams with a winning record in conference play. The Buffaloes have a couple key players banged up (Williams and Hammond III), While the Ducks get their best player back. Senior center N'Faly Dante has only played in 15 games this season, but he returned to action against Arizona scoring 16 points and pulling in 10 rebounds. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-06-24 | Bucks v. Warriors -175 | 90-125 | Win | 100 | 22 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on GSW. Despite winning 11 of their last 14 overall, the Warriors are dead last in the Pacific Division and fighting for their playoff lives. They catch the Milwaukee Bucks at home tonight, and the Bucks are coming off a home win over the Clippers without Giannis. I think that sets them up for a let down here at Golden State, with or without the Greek Freak. The home team is 7-0 SU in the last seven meetings in this series. The Warriors covered in all three home games against the Bucks during that span. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-06-24 | Sabres v. Maple Leafs -177 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 19 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on TOR. The Leafs are 5th in the Eastern Conference standings, which could be considered underachieving when you consider their payroll. They still have the #2 power play in the league, and that could be the difference here at home versus Buffalo. The Sabres power play is one of the worst in the league, converting on just 16 percent of their chances. The Leafs lost at Buffalo earlier this season by a score of 9-3, setting up a big revenge spot here in Toronto. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-06-24 | Tennessee v. South Carolina UNDER 140 | 66-59 | Win | 100 | 19 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Tennessee Volunteers are looking to clinch the SEC title on the road at South Carolina tonight. This is a revenge game for Tennessee, after losing 62-59 at home to the Gamecocks in January. I have previously mentioned that defensive intensity increases at this time of year, and that 33 of the first 44 NCAA Tournament games failed to reach the total last season. With a conference title on the line, this is the type of game where you expect to see no easy buckets. The under is 2-2-1 in the last five head to head meetings, but none of those games saw 140 combined points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-05-24 | Nevada v. Boise State -5.5 | 76-66 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Boise. The Broncos are tied with Utah State for the best record in the Mountain West, and they play their final home game tonight against Nevada. The Wolfpack have won five straight including road wins at Colorado State and UNLV. Their starting PG Kenan Blackshear has missed the last two games with an ankle injury, and he is questionable for tonight's game. The Broncos are 5-1 straight up in the last six head to head meetings and they are 3-0 at home during that span. Both these teams are allowing 66.6 points per game, ranking 2nd in the Mountain West in opponent's scoring. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-05-24 | 76ers -135 v. Nets | 107-112 | Loss | -135 | 20 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on PHILLY. The Sixers have struggled without Embiid, but they come into Brooklyn as winners of back to back games. The Nets were a heavy favorite against the Grizzlies last night, and they lost outright. The Nets are just 2-7 when playing the second game of a back to back, and wins came against the Pistons and the Bulls. Tobias Harris has scored a combined 59 points in his last two games. This looks like a favorable spot for a Philly team with a lot more to play for at this point in the season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-05-24 | Liberty v. Middle Tennessee +5.5 | 61-69 | Win | 100 | 18 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on MTSU. The Blue Raiders have won five straight home games, and yet they are an underdog against a Liberty team that is just 2-7 on the road. The Flames have been favored in each of their last five road games, and they lost all five of those. Final home game for Middle Tennessee, getting points... sign me up. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-04-24 | Clippers v. Bucks -195 | 106-113 | Win | 100 | 20 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on MIL. The Bucks have won five straight, and they catch the Clippers playing the second game of a back to back. The Bucks are 24-7 at home, and they have won four of their last five home games against the Clippers. These two teams are the oldest (by average age) in the NBA. The Clippers are the oldest averaging over 29 years, while Milwaukee averages just over 28 years of age. This should be a big advantage for the well rested home team, and a big disadvantage for the visitors in the second game of a back to back. This is no normal back to back either, as last night's game against Minnesota was a defensive battle with the Clippers coming out on top by a score of 89-88. GL, Jesse Schule
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03-04-24 | Duke v. NC State UNDER 148.5 | 79-64 | Win | 100 | 18 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on Under. Duke will play at NC State on Monday, and this looks like a tough spot to ask the Blue Devils to cover a big spread. The Blue Devils have North Carolina on deck, and could get caught looking ahead here. We look at the history between these teams, and we can see that three of the last four meetings have gone under the total, and Wolfpack have covered in the last two meetings. Duke is ranked 3rd in the ACC in opponent's scoring average, allowing 66.8 points per game. Duke has gone under in eight of their last 10 overall, and they scored just 60 points in a loss in their last game at NC State. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-04-24 | Arsenal -2 v. Sheffield United | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Arsenal. The Gunners are currently five points out of first place in the Premier League, and they need maximum points from this match at Sheffield to keep their title hopes alive. Arsenal owns a +17 goal differential in away matches, the best in the Premier League. Sheffield United owns a -24 goal differential in home matches. Their last two home matches were 5-0 losses to Brighton and Aston Villa. Arsenal won their last two away matches 5-0 at Burnley and 6-0 at West Ham. Relegation is inevitable for Sheffield. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-03-24 | Hornets v. Raptors -8 | 106-111 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 32 m | Show | |
The Raptors will be without Scotty Barnes for a while, but they catch the Hornets at home in their first game since the injury. I expect the likes of Barrett and Quickley to pick up the slack against an inferior opponent. Barrett has only faced Charlotte once as a Raptor, scoring 23 on 9-of-15 shooting in a 123-117 win at Charlotte. The Raptors are 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS in the last 10 versus Charlotte. The Raptors won and covered as a -12.5 favorite at home versus Charlotte in December. Barrett has gone over his points total in four of his last five games. Without Barnes in the lineup Toronto will really lean on RJ to carry the load. I like the Raptors to face little resistance here tonight, winning in a blowout. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-03-24 | Iona v. Marist -160 | Top | 71-64 | Loss | -160 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Marist. |
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03-02-24 | Nuggets v. Lakers UNDER 229.5 | 124-114 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Nuggets will be in LA to take on the Lakers Saturday, and Denver has won four straight in this series. The under is 4-2 in those games, and these teams have gone under in seven of the last 10 meetings. This is a big game for LeBron James, as he's just nine points away from 40,000 for his career. The Nuggets aren't interested in participating in any milestones for LeBron, and they have held opponents to an average of just 107.6 points in their last 10 overall. The under is 14-4 in Denver's last 18 overall. This number looks a little inflated. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-02-24 | Marquette v. Creighton -4.5 | 75-89 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show | |
The Blue Jays are 13-2 at home, and that includes a blowout win over then #1 ranked UCONN. They were catching the Huskies in a tough spot, and they catch Marquette in a similar spot here today. The Blues Jays only home losses came in OT to Villanova, and by one point versus Butler. They were leading at halftime in both those games. Marquette is coming off a big win over Providence, and they are in a sandwich spot here with UCONN on deck. That home game against UCONN is a revenge spot, as well as the Golden Eagles final home game. Then you have starting PG Tyler Kolek likely to miss this game with an oblique injury, and we can expect a let down here at Creighton. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-02-24 | Illinois v. Wisconsin -155 | 91-83 | Loss | -155 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on WISC. The Badgers have fallen out of the rankings, and here we have another unranked home favorite versus a ranked team. Wisconsin is 13-2 at home, and their only home loss in BIG10 play came in a close game against Purdue. They also lost to Tennessee in non conference play. The Illini are just 4-5 on the road, and this looks like a big look ahead spot as they have Purdue on deck in their final home game. Illinois has lost on the road at Penn State, Michigan State and Northwestern. This looks like a tough spot for the visitors. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-02-24 | Florida v. South Carolina UNDER 145.5 | 76-82 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Gamecocks are #1 in the SEC in opponent's scoring average allowing just 65 points per game this season. They rank 332nd nationally in pace of play, averaging just 66.9 possessions per game. This should be a pace war as Florida ranks among the fastest pace teams in the country. The Gators though haven't had a lot of success on the road. These teams have gone under in two of the last three head to head meetings, and none of those games saw a combined 145 points. This game looks similar to when Florida played at Texas A&M, and lost by a score of 67-66. GL, Jesse Schule |
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03-01-24 | Warriors v. Raptors OVER 238.5 | 120-105 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Warriors will be playing the second game of a back to back in Toronto. The Dubs are a solid 8-4 this season when playing on back to back nights. The over is 4-0 in their last four when playing on the road in the second game of a back to back. Toronto has gone over this number in four of their last five, and history tells us that these teams have scored plenty in recent meetings. The over is 5-0 in the last five head to head meetings, and the Raptors won the last meeting by a score of 133-118 at Golden State in January. We expect another shootout north of the border. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-29-24 | Michigan v. Rutgers UNDER 138.5 | 52-82 | Win | 105 | 29 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. Rutgers will be a big favorite at home versus Michigan tonight, despite the fact that they scored just 46 points in a loss to Maryland in their last home game. Rutgers ranks dead last in the BIG10 in scoring, averaging just 66 points per game, and they rank 3rd in the conference in opponent's scoring allowing 66 points per game. The under is 7-1 in the last eight head to head meetings between these teams. Rutgers has gone under in 14 of their last 20 conference games, and they have averaged just 60 points in their last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-28-24 | South Carolina +4 v. Texas A&M | Top | 70-68 | Win | 100 | 29 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SOCAR. The Gamecocks are just one game out of first place in the SEC, and they are an underdog on the road at Texas A&M. The Aggies have lost four straight, and that includes a home loss to Arkansas. This is a revenge game for the Gamecocks, after losing at home to Texas A&M in January. South Carolina had won eight of the previous nine meetings between the two teams. These two teams are trending in opposite directions, and I'll take the points with the better team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-27-24 | Stars v. Avalanche -145 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 21 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on COL. The Stars lost in overtime last night versus the Islanders, and they play the second game of a back to back on the road at Colorado. The Avs have the best home record in the NHL, and they are looking to bounce back from a loss to Toronto on Saturday. The Avs have won five of their last six versus Dallas, and starting goalie Alexander Georgiev is 18-4 with a 2.60 GAA in 22 home starts. Nathan McKinnon (2nd in the NHL in scoring) has tallied 59 points in 28 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-27-24 | Nets v. Magic -8 | 81-108 | Win | 100 | 18 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Orlando. This looks like a let down spot for the Nets, who are playing the second game of a back to back on the road at Orlando. They got Kevin Ollie his first win as head coach last night at Memphis. They had lost four straight prior to that, and they are are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games on the road. This looks like a good spot for Orlando, and they have covered in five of their last six as a favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-27-24 | Georgia v. LSU -175 | 66-67 | Win | 100 | 18 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on LSU. After upsetting Kentucky at home last week, the Tigers suffered a let down in their next game against Mississippi State. They should get back on track here against a Georgia team that has lost seven of their last eight overall. The only win during that span came against Vanderbilt. After beating the Commodores they lost by 21 at home to Auburn. Georgia has lost six of their last seven at LSU, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five versus the Tigers. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-26-24 | Raptors +6.5 v. Pacers | Top | 130-122 | Win | 100 | 19 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR. The Pacers won in Toronto by a score of 127-125 before the All Star break, but they didn't cover as a two-point favorite. The underdog has covered in each of the last four meetings between these teams, and I expect that trend to continue tonight. This is a tough spot for Indiana, playing the second game of a back to back coming off a blowout win over the Mavericks. The Pacers are just 2-8 in back to backs this season, and the two games they won were both decided by just two points. One of those losses came at home by a score of 132-131 to Toronto, and the Pacers have allowed opponents to average 126 points in those 10 games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-25-24 | Mavs -115 v. Pacers | 111-133 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Dallas. The Mavs are coming into Indy riding a six game win streak, sitting a half game out of first in the Southwest. Indy is five games out of first in the Central, and the Pacers are 5-5 over their last 10 games. This might be a tricky spot for the home team, playing the first leg of a back to back with Toronto in town tomorrow. The Mavs have won three of their last four in Indianapolis, and they are the team playing better basketball at the moment. Luka and Kyrie combined for 70 points in a double digit win over Phoenix on Thursday, and Luka leads the NBA in scoring. The media is suspiciously quiet about how well this team has been playing. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-24-24 | Nets v. Wolves -7.5 | Top | 86-101 | Win | 100 | 15 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIN. The Timberwolves ran into a desperate Milwaukee team in their first game out of the All Star break, and despite rallying late they lost 112-107. They host the Brooklyn Nets in the second game of a back to back, and the Nets looked pretty awful in a 121-93 loss at Toronto. If that's any indication of how the team is responding to the interim head coach, Brooklyn could struggle down the stretch. Brooklyn are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games against Minnesota, and they are 2-13 ATS in their last 15 games on the road. I expect the Wolves to bounce back with a double digit home win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-24-24 | Virginia Tech v. Pittsburgh -140 | 64-79 | Win | 100 | 18 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PITT. The Panthers are coming off a blowout loss at Wake, but they had won seven of eight heading into that game. Their only loss during that span was close game at Miami. A home game against Virginia Tech looks like a good bounce back spot, especially considering the Hokies are 1-6 on the road. This is also a let down spot for the Hokies, who are coming off a blowout home win over rivals Virginia. The Hokies have failed to cover in eight of their last nine on the road, while Pittsburgh are 15-5 SU in their last 20 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-24-24 | South Carolina v. Ole Miss -168 | 72-59 | Loss | -168 | 17 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MISS. The Rebels are coming off a loss to Mississippi State, but this looks like a good bounce back spot at home against South Carolina. It's also a revenge game, as they lost 68-65 at South Carolina earlier this month. The Gamecocks barely held on in that game after being outscored 34-25 in the second half. The Rebels are 14-1 at home, with the only loss coming against first place Auburn. South Carolina is coming in off back to back losses. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-24-24 | Duke v. Wake Forest -130 | 79-83 | Win | 100 | 15 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on WAKE. Wake bounced back from a loss at Virginia with a blowout win at home over Pitt. They are now 14-0 at home, and here comes Duke off a blowout win at Miami. Duke is 12-3 in the ACC and they come in as winners of eight of nine. Duke has won eight of the last 10 meetings between these teams, but they lost their last game at Wake by a score of 81-70. Duke's most recent road win came against a Miami team that was missing a pair of starters. Their previous win came at Florida State, making this a third straight road game and a real tough spot. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-24-24 | Fulham v. Manchester United -175 | 2-1 | Loss | -175 | 30 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on MUTD. Manchester United barely held on for a 2-1 win over Luton Town on Sunday, but they easily could have scored 5+ goals in that game. Alajendro Garnacho found himself alone with the keeper on a few occasions, but was unable to convert several chances into goals. The Red Devils host Fulham Saturday, and United is coming off five consecutive wins in all competitions. They have also won four straight meetings versus Fulham. Only Sheffield United ranks worse than Fulham in away matches, and both teams have won just once in 12 matches in away games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-23-24 | Cavs v. 76ers UNDER 229.5 | 97-104 | Win | 100 | 16 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Cavs are favored on the road at Philly on Friday, with both teams coming off a loss last night in the first game back from the All Star break. This makes plenty of sense, as Philly is just 6-15 without Joel Embiid this season, and they averaged just 112 points in those games. This is significantly less than the over 121 points per game that they averaged in games that Embiid played. The Cavs are one of the best defensive teams in the NBA, ranking 2nd in opponents scoring average allowing 109 points per game. We should expect a strong effort on defense from both these teams coming off a loss. This number appears to be a bit inflated. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-22-24 | Canucks -117 v. Seattle Kraken | 2-5 | Loss | -117 | 21 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on VAN. The Canucks have lost three straight, yet they still have the best record in the league. Boston sits just one point back with a game in hand. Vancouver looks to bounce back on the road at Seattle, and this is a spot where they have had some success. They have won seven of the last 10 versus the Kraken, and they are 4-1 in their last five at Seattle. After losing nine of their last 13 overall, the Kraken have slim hopes of playing in the post-season. Going back the last two seasons, Seattle actually has more wins on the road than they have on home ice. This looks like a good spot to back the road favorite. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-22-24 | Ohio State v. Minnesota -168 | 79-88 | Win | 100 | 19 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MINN. So the Buckeyes are coming off a home win over Purdue, and that puts them in a massive let down spot here on the road at Minnesota. This is an Ohio State team that hasn't won on the road all year, and Minnesota has 14 wins on their home floor. Minnesota is 6-2 ATS in the last eight head to head meetings, and they are 22-3 ATS overall this season. The Gophers are 14-1 ATS in their last 15 home games, while the Buckeyes have lost 16 straight road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-22-24 | Nets v. Raptors OVER 231.5 | 93-121 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Raptors lost 119-116 at home versus Brooklyn in December, but so much has changed since then. Toronto traded elite defender OJ Anunoby to the Knicks for a couple of talented offensive players (Quickley and Barrett). This has changed the style of play, and following the trade the Raptors went over in seven straight games. Coming out of the All Star break, we should expect Toronto to get right back to pushing the pace. The Nets just fired their coach, and Kevin Ollie takes over as interim coach for the remainder of the season. We'll see if the players respond here in his debut. I expect both teams to score their share of points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-21-24 | Georgia v. Vanderbilt +1.5 | 76-64 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Vandy. The Bulldogs bring a six game losing streak into tonight's game at Vanderbilt, and they have struggled against the Commodores in recent seasons. Vanderbilt has won four in a row versus Georgia, covering the spread in three of those four wins. The Commodores have struggled this season, but their last home game was an impressive win over Texas A&M. They have covered the spread in three of their last four home games, and this looks like a good spot to back the home underdog in a very winnable game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-20-24 | Connecticut v. Creighton UNDER 145.5 | 66-85 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on UNDER. The Huskies are the #1 ranked team in the country, 14-1 in the Big East and 24-2 overall. The defending champs are coming off a 28-point win over Marquette, and they could be due for a let down here on the road at Creighton. History suggests that this is a tough spot for UCONN, as they are just 2-6 straight up in the last six head to head meetings, and they have lost four straight at Creighton. History also tells us that when these two teams get together they put on a defensive clinic. This was on full display when the Huskies won 62-48 at home versus Creighton earlier this season. Neither team has scored 70 points in any of the last six head to head meetings, and neither team has scored 70 in regulation in any of the last eight meetings. The Blue Jays won at home by a score of 56-53 versus UCONN last February. Don't be surprised if history repeats itself. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-19-24 | Crystal Palace v. Everton -144 | 1-1 | Loss | -144 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Everton. So Everton is currently fighting to avoid relegation, sitting in the 18th spot in the Premier League table. A win today would move them out of the relegation zone, ahead of Luton Town. The reason Everton finds themselves in this position is NOT directly because of poor play, but due to a points reduction for rules violations. Crystal Palace sits five points clear of the relegation zone, but their away record is quite concerning. Palace has a -12 goal differential in 12 away matches, only two Premier League teams rank worse. Everton is 3-0-2 (three wins and two draws) in their last five versus Crystal Palace, and they posted clean sheets in all but one of those games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-18-24 | Utah v. UCLA -140 | 70-69 | Loss | -140 | 17 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on UCLA. I bet on the Bruins in a home game against Oregon last week, and I said the following: "The Bruins have been futile offensively at times this season, but they come into Saturday's home game against Oregon as winners of four of their last five overall. The one loss came on the road at Arizona in a close game. The Bruins lost 64-59 at Oregon earlier this season, and that sets up a revenge angle here at home. The Ducks have lost three of their last four at UCLA and the one win came in overtime. The Ducks have been hit hard by the injury bug, putting their depth to the test." Now the Bruins are the hottest team in the PAC12, and they should keep rolling in a home game against conference bottom feeder UTAH. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-18-24 | North Texas v. UAB -140 | 62-71 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on UAB. The Blazers last two home games were outright wins over ranked teams, beating Memphis and FAU. They host North Texas here on Sunday, after defeating the Mean Green in Texas earlier this season. While you could call this a revenge game, the Mean Green have lost three of their last four road games. UAB is undefeated at home in conference play, and I fully expect them to bring it here on Sunday. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-18-24 | Manchester United -121 v. Luton Town | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 154 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MUTD. It has been a difficult season for Erik Ten Hag and Manchester United, but things appear to be falling into place. The Red Devils have played themselves back into contention for Champions League spot with four straight wins. Luton Town is struggling to stay out of the relegation zone, sitting just one point clear of Everton. Manchester United has twice as many wins in away matches than Luton Town has in their home matches. I will ride the Red Devils while they are hot. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-17-24 | Hurricanes v. Golden Knights -125 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -125 | 32 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on VGK. This looks like a let down spot for the Canes, playing the second game of a back to back on the road at Vegas. Only the Colorado Avalanche have more home wins than the Golden Knights, and Vegas might have an even better record if it hadn't been for an injury to starting goaltender Adin Hill. He ranks 1st in the NHL in save percentage, and 2nd in GAA. Hill is 7-2 with a 1.86 GAA 11 home starts. The Canes might turn to Spencer Martin between the pipes in this second game of a back to back, and he's 1-4 with a 3.95 GAA in five road starts. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-17-24 | Colorado -125 v. USC | 92-89 | Win | 100 | 20 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Colorado. The Buffaloes are on the bubble, badly needing a win here on the road at USC. This has been a down year for the Trojans, and they know their season is coming to an end. Colorado is 7-3 straight up in the last 10 head to head meetings, and they have won three of their last four at USC. The Buffaloes came up just short at UCLA on Thursday, but a similar performance here would likely be enough to get past the Trojans. Colorado will have a huge edge at the free thrown line, as they rank 1st in the PAC12 hitting 79 percent. The Trojans rank 10th in the conference in free throw percentage. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-17-24 | Liberty v. Sam Houston State +4.5 | 73-83 | Win | 100 | 19 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on SHSU. Sam Houston is a half game out of first place in the C-USA, and they are 9-2 at home. They have beat the best teams in the conference at home (Western Kentucky and LA-Tech). Liberty comes in as a favorite, despite a 2-5 road record. It's fair to say that this Liberty team is overrated. They have been favored in four of their last five road games. They went 0-5 ATS and 1-4 straight up in those games. This looks like a clear case of the wrong team favored, and worthy of a sprinkle on the moneyline. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-17-24 | Kansas v. Oklahoma +2 | 67-57 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on Oklahoma. Kansas is no longer the cream of the crop in the BIG12, and they find themselves in a tough spot here on the road at Oklahoma. Even at full strength, this team has struggled on the road losing five of seven. Their most recent road game was a 29 point loss at Texas Tech. Leading scorer Kevin McCullar Jr. didn't play, and he's still dealing with a bone bruise. Bill Self expressed optimism that McCullar can return to the lineup, but suggested his role might be limited. The Sooners are 13-2 at home, and just a game back of Kansas in the BIG12 standings. No way Kansas should be the favorite in this spot. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-17-24 | New Mexico State v. Western Kentucky -9 | 58-72 | Win | 100 | 15 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on WKU. The Hilltoppers host New Mexico State, and this is the ultimate revenge spot. I bet on New Mexico State in the last meeting, and I was fortunate to be on the right side of one of one of the wildest comebacks this conference has ever seen. The Aggies trailed by 23 points five minutes into the second half at home, and rallied to win the game outright. This team is 0-11 on the road, and I don't think they can count on another miracle here in Kentucky. The Hilltoppers are 11-1 at home, and their last home game was a double digit win over UTEP. Western Kentucky has covered in five of six, while the Aggies are 0-5 ATS in their last five road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-15-24 | Warriors v. Jazz OVER 237.5 | 140-137 | Win | 100 | 21 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The last time Golden State was on the second game of a back to back Curry scored 42 in a win over Indiana, prior to that Curry scored 60 in a loss at Atlanta. I expect another high score here in Utah, against a Jazz team that likes to play fast and loose. The over is 9-4 in Utah's last 13 games overall, and the Jazz have gone over in seven of their last eight versus Western Conference teams. The Warriors have gone over in four straight when playing on back to back nights. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-15-24 | Seattle Kraken v. Bruins -190 | 4-1 | Loss | -190 | 26 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on BOS. |
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02-15-24 | Northwestern v. Rutgers UNDER 131.5 | 60-63 | Win | 100 | 18 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. History paints a pretty clear picture that games between these two teams are normally ugly, defensive and low scoring. The under is 7-2 in the last nine head to head meetings, and the two games that went over the number both went to overtime. Last March Northwestern won by a score of 65-53. In six of the last eight meetings neither team reached 70 points. Rutgers ranks dead last in the conference in scoring averaging just 67 points per game, and they rank 2nd in scoring defense allowing 65 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-14-24 | Massachusetts v. Richmond -168 | 69-59 | Loss | -168 | 17 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on RICH. The Spiders are in first place in the A-10 with a 9-1 record in conference play. Their lone loss came on the road at VCU, and they responded with a blowout win at home over LaSalle. Richmond is 12-0 at home while UMASS is 1-5 on the road. History favors the Spiders who have won eight of 10 head to head and all six at home during that span. So what am I missing? Well two of the last three losses for the Minutemen came by one point, but their last game at Richmond was a 33-point loss last March. Hard for me to imagine an upset here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-13-24 | New Mexico v. Nevada | Top | 83-82 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NEV. The Wolfpack are 12-1 at home, and they have a revenge game on tap against New Mexico on Tuesday. The Lobos crushed Nevada at home earlier this season by a score of 89-55. The Wolfpack had won nine straight versus New Mexico prior to that. Nevada has won four of five, and three of those four wins came against ranked teams (San Diego State, Utah State and Colorado State). New Mexico has lost two of three, with their only win during that span coming at Wyoming. This looks like two teams trending in opposite directions, and a significant edge for the home team. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-12-24 | Wolves v. Clippers -167 | 121-100 | Loss | -167 | 21 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on LAC. The Clippers host Minnesota Monday, and the winner of this game will take over sole possession of first place in the Western Conference. The Clippers are 100 percent healthy, and they are 20-5 at home this season. You can call this a revenge game as LA lost 109-105 at Minnesota back in January. Since then the Clippers have won 10 of 12, and Minnesota is 8-5. The Clippers are 9-1 SU in their last 10 home games, and 8-4 ATS in their last 12 overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-11-24 | 49ers v. Chiefs OVER 47 | Top | 22-25 | Push | 0 | 329 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OVER. So based on the overall body of work in the regular season, you would have to say that San Francisco has been the better team. Go back to the final few weeks of the regular season and the playoffs, and you can't say that. San Francisco was lucky in both playoff games against Green Bay and Detroit. Jared Goff and Jordan Love both had big games at San Francisco, and now the Niners defense faces the most dynamic duo in playoff history in a dome at a neutral site. Andy Reid off a bye week should have a full bag of tricks at his disposal, and the Chiefs should get their share of points. The Buffalo Bills ran all over the Chiefs in the divisional round, totaling 182 yards and two TDs on the ground. Expect San Francisco to have success in the running game. Prop bets include: Mahomes most passing yards -155 Kelce most receiving yards +280 Kelce anytime TD +100 CMC over 87.5 rush yards -130 CMC to win MVP +475 CMC 2+ TDs +260 Mahomes over 25.5 rush yards -125 49ers over 1.5 rushing TDs +170 MVP QBvsField = Field +200 |
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02-11-24 | 49ers v. Chiefs +100 | Top | 22-25 | Win | 100 | 329 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on KC. So based on the overall body of work in the regular season, you would have to say that San Francisco has been the better team. Go back to the final few weeks of the regular season and the playoffs, and you can't say that. San Francisco was lucky in both playoff games against Green Bay and Detroit. It was questionable coaching decisions that cost the Lions, something that has normally been attributed to Kyle Shanahan. San Francisco gave up double digit leads against the Rams in the NFC Championship Game, they allowed 21 unanswered points against the Chiefs in the Super Bowl and then there is the infamous Super Bowl loss to the Patriots when Shanahan was with Atlanta. The Chiefs coaching staff has dominated opponents in these playoffs, and the offense appears to have flipped a switch after struggling for the first half of the regular season. The Chiefs have the momentum, the better coach, and the better quarterback. I can't bet against that! Prop bets include: Mahomes most passing yards -155 Kelce most receiving yards +280 Kelce anytime TD +100 CMC over 87.5 rush yards -130 CMC to win MVP +475 CMC 2+ TDs +260 Mahomes over 25.5 rush yards -125 49ers over 1.5 rushing TDs +170 |
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02-11-24 | UAB -145 v. Tulsa | 70-63 | Win | 100 | 15 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on UAB. The Blazers are quietly one of the top teams in the AAC, winning seven of 10 in conference play. All three losses came on the road, but all three losses came against teams ahead of them in the standings. Tulsa is just 3-7 in the AAC, and they have lost three straight versus UAB including back to back home losses to the Blazers. Tulsa has three wins in conference play, against three teams ranked in the bottom four. Wichita, Rice and UTSA are all bottom feeders in the conference. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-11-24 | Manchester United v. Aston Villa OVER 3 | Top | 2-1 | Push | 0 | 58 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Over. Don't look now but Erik Ten Hag has the Red Devils playing on top form! Manchester United has struggled all season, but they come into this match at Aston Villa unbeaten in their last five matches. They scored a whopping 15 goals in those games. United have five wins in away games, only three teams in the Premier League have more. Aston Villa has just one win in it's last five matches, and that was against bottom of the table Sheffield United. History suggests a high score, as these clubs have gone over in four of the last five meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-10-24 | Pacers -160 v. Knicks | 125-111 | Win | 100 | 21 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on IND. The Knicks are coming off a home loss to Dallas, and they have been hit hard by injuries. OJ Anunoby and Julius Randle are sidelined indefinitely, and Jalen Brunson didn't play against Dallas. Brunson is questionable for Saturday's game. The Pacers lost 109-105 at MSG just over a week ago, and Brunson scored 40 in that game. This looks like a solid revenge spot for the Pacers. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-10-24 | Devils v. Hurricanes -154 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 27 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CAR. The Devils got off to a hot start this season, but they come into Carolina as losers of three of their last four. New Jersey is one of the highest scoring teams in the NHL averaging 3.45 goals per game, but the problem is they allow opponents to average a whopping 3.57 goals per game. History favors the Canes who have won six of the last seven meetings and four straight home games versus the Devils. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-10-24 | Georgia v. Arkansas -130 | Top | 75-78 | Win | 100 | 16 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on ARK. Arkansas lost 76-66 at Georgia earlier this season, setting up a revenge spot here at home. The Bulldogs are 2-6 since that win over Arkansas, and they have struggled in recent games at Arkansas. The Razorbacks have won five straight at home versus Georgia, and all five of those games were 10+ point blowout wins. The Bulldogs built a solid record with a soft schedule early in the season, but reality is starting to set in as they play more tough SEC games. Georgia are 3-9 SU in their last 12 games against Arkansas. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-10-24 | Brentford v. Wolverhampton Wanderers -0.25 | 2-0 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Wolves. Wolves have long been a tough team to face on their home pitch, and that hasn't changed this season. Wolverhampton has earned points in 8-of-11 home matches, and they come into Saturday's game against Brentford on top form. Wolves are 3-1-1 in their last five matches, including a win over Brentford in the FA Cup. Brentford has just one win in their last five matches, and they are winless in their last five matches versus Wolverhampton. GL, Jesse Schule |
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02-09-24 | San Diego State v. Nevada -125 | Top | 66-70 | Win | 100 | 22 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Nevada. The Aztecs have dominated this series, winning nine of the last 10 meetings. They did lose at Nevada last year though, by a score of 75-66. San Diego State has failed to cover in eight of the last 10 meetings, and their last win at Nevada came by just one point. The Aztecs are 4-5 on the road, and Nevada is 11-1 at home this season. San Diego State is coming off a road win at Air Force, but had lost at New Mexico, Boise State and Colorado State in their previous three road games. I'll take the home team here to get the win over a ranked team. GL, Jesse Schule |