Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-16-23 | Cowboys v. Bucs UNDER 45.5 | 31-14 | Win | 100 | 17 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. I can't take a side here, there's no way I trust either of these quarterbacks. Tom Brady has looked his age lately, throwing six INTs in his last four meaningful games. We won't count a meaningless game against Atlanta in the season finale. Dak Prescott has thrown eight picks in his last five starts, and his last game was a complete disaster. He threw for just 128 yards on 14-of-37 passing with a TD and an INT in a 26-6 loss to Washington. These teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last seven head to head meetings. I expect both coaches to be quite conservative, especially in the first half. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-16-23 | Suns v. Grizzlies -9.5 | 106-136 | Win | 100 | 14 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on MEM. The Grizzlies host the Suns Monday, and it's unclear if Ja Morant will suit up and play. The Suns though will certainly be fielding a lineup of second and third string players. Chris Paul, Devin Booker, Cam Johnson, Cam Payne and Jay Crowder are all ruled out. This is a Suns team that is just 7-16 on the road, and they have lost eight of their last nine overall. The Grizzlies are 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 home games. Desmond Bane should get his share of points here. He had a game high 25 points against the Pacers on Friday. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-16-23 | Lightning v. Seattle Kraken OVER 6.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. Release The Kraken! Ladies and gentlemen the hottest team in the NHL hails from The Emerald City, and Seattle has won eight in a row. They scored a whopping 36 goals in those games. Seattle has a potent power play, but they face the Tampa Bay lightning who own the #2 ranked power play in the league. The Lightning are 20-7 in their last 27 overall, and they have scored 30 goals in their last seven wins. We should see a shootout in Seattle tonight. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-15-23 | Ravens v. Bengals -6.5 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 134 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Bengals. Money keeps coming in on the Bengals, and for good reason. We don't expect Lamar Jackson to play, and even if he does he would coming in without any game action in months and no time at practice. Anthony Brown threw for 286 yards and two INTs on 19-of-44 passing in last week's loss to the Bengals. The Ravens are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight versus the AFC North, and they have failed to cover in four straight versus the Bengals. The Bengals are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-15-23 | Giants v. Vikings -3 | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 130 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIN. The Vikings won 13 games this season, but they don't get a lot of respect from bookmakers. The Bills and the 49ers both won 13 games, and they are each double digits favorites in their Wild Card Games. Kirk Cousins threw for more yards than Joe Burrow and Josh Allen, but he continues to get no respect. The Giants won just three of their last 10 games, sneaking in the back door to make the playoffs. The favorite has covered in six of the last seven meetings, and the Giants have lost four straight to the Vikings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-15-23 | Warriors -140 v. Bulls | 118-132 | Loss | -140 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on GSW. The Warriors have one of the worst road records in the NBA, but Curry is back and they are finally healthy. They scored 144 points in a win at San Antonio on Friday, and they catch the Bulls at the right time. Chicago has lost three straight, and their last game was a 14-point home loss to Oklahoma City. Golden State is 10-0 straight up in the last 10 meetings, and they have covered the spread in four straight versus Chicago. The Bulls are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a double-digit loss at home. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-15-23 | Ohio State v. Rutgers -168 | 64-68 | Win | 100 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Rutgers. The Scarlet Knights have won 52 of their last 62 home games, and they host a struggling Buckeyes team on Sunday. Ohio State has lost three straight, and they have just one win in three road games. The Scarlet Knights are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall, and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games. The home team is 7-1 straight up in the last eight head to head meetings. Rutgers has held opponents to just 52 points per game at home this season. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-15-23 | Arsenal v. Tottenham Hotspur +0.5 | 2-0 | Loss | -135 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Spurs. Arsenal sits top of the table, and there's no doubt that the Gunners have been the better side so far this season. They come into Sunday's match at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium as heavy favorites. It's still a tough task to win away matches in this league, as evidenced by Manchester City suffering a defeat at Old Trafford Saturday. History favors the home side, as the home team has won outright in five straight meetings between these teams. A draw would be a decent result here for Arsenal, and I expect Spurs to at least salvage a point. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-14-23 | Chargers v. Jaguars OVER 47.5 | 30-31 | Win | 100 | 67 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. Trevor Lawrence threw for 262 yards and three TDs on 28-of-39 passing in a 38-10 win over the Chargers in LA in Week 3, but don't read too much into the fact that the Chargers were blown out in that game. Justin Herbert had broken ribs, and Keenan Allen didn't play. Despite all the injuries and dealing with adversity, Herbert still threw for almost 5,000 yards and 25 TDs this season. The Chargers boast the NFL's #3 ranked passing offense. Jacksonville won their final five games in the regular season, scoring an average of more than 29 points in those contests. The over is 6-1 in the last seven head to head meetings, and the Chargers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 versus Jacksonville. I expect both teams to score their share here. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-14-23 | Hawks v. Raptors -5.5 | 114-103 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TOR. The Raptors have been underachieving, but they come into Saturday's home game against Atlanta as winners of three straight. They have also won three straight home games versus the Hawks, all by a double digit margin. The Raptors are 5-1 ATS in their last six versus Atlanta, and the Hawks have failed to cover in five of their last six north of the border. Playing the second game of a back to back in Canada is a tough spot for the visitors. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-14-23 | Colorado State v. UNLV -5.5 | 82-81 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on UNLV. The Rebels host the Rams in a matchup between two teams sitting at the bottom of the standings in the Mountain West. While both teams have just one conference win, the Rebels losses have come against Mountain West powerhouses San Diego State, Boise State and on the road at San Jose State. The Rams on the other hand are coming off a double digit home loss to Air Force. The Rams are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games, and they have failed to cover in five straight versus teams with a winning record. The Rebels are coming off a home loss to Boise State, and they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-14-23 | Duke v. Clemson -132 | Top | 64-72 | Win | 100 | 16 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Clemson. The Tigers are sitting in first place in the ACC, and they are undefeated at home (9-0). The home team is 8-2 straight up in the last 10 head to head meetings, and this year's Blue Devils team is not your typical Duke squad we saw under Coach K. Duke has lost two of three road games so far, failing to cover in all three. They lost at Wake Forest by double digits, and Clemson beat that same Demon Deacons team by 20 points. Starting PG Jeremy Roach, who leads the Blue Devils in assists is expected to miss this game with a foot injury. I'll take the Tigers to get the "W" at home. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-14-23 | Manchester City v. Manchester United OVER 2.75 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 50 | 119 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Over 2.5. The Manchester Derby will feature two of the Premier League's highest scoring teams. Manchester City has scored a Premier League best 45 goals in 17 matches, while Manchester United has scored 15 times in their last six matches in all competitions. Eric Ten Hag finally has this team playing the attacking style we are familiar with from his time at Ajax. The last two meetings between these teams were high scoring. City winning both matches by a combined 10-4 margin. With injuries to their top two defenders, Manchester United may have an opportunity to avenge those losses. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-13-23 | Kent State -150 v. Ohio | Top | 70-65 | Win | 100 | 14 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on KENT. The Golden Flashes have won 19 of their last 23 conference games, and they are undefeated in the MAC so far this season. They have three seniors in their starting five, including their two leading scorers Sincere Carry and Malique Jacobs. This is the best team in the MAC, and I wouldn't be expecting them to lose many games this season whether at home or on the road. The Golden Flashes are 22-7-1 ATS in their last 30 games overall. The Bobcats are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-12-23 | San Francisco -132 v. Portland | 87-92 | Loss | -132 | 21 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on San Francisco. The Dons are 21-8 straight up at home the last two years, and they are coming off a two-point home loss to Gonzaga, followed up with a two-point win on the road at Loyola. The Dons are 4-1 straight up in their last five versus Portland, and they won both meetings at Portland during that span. The Dons are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games, while the Pilots are 0-5 ATS in their last five games overall. The Pilots are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points, and they are coming off an 85-43 loss at St. Mary's. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-12-23 | Gonzaga v. BYU +7 | 75-74 | Win | 100 | 20 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BYU. This will be the third consecutive road game for Gonzaga, after beating San Francisco by two points, and winning 81-76 at Santa Clara. Despite being 5-18-3 ATS in their last 26 games overall, they are asked to cover another big number on the road at BYU. I don't think the markets have yet caught up to the fact that this Gonzaga team is no longer in the elite class it has been in recent seasons. The Bulldogs are 3-15-3 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up win, and they have failed to cover in four straight road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-11-23 | Creighton v. Xavier -140 | 87-90 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on XAV. The Musketeers are 8-1 at home, 13-3 overall and 5-0 in the Big East. They host Creighton and they are just a slight favorite tonight. Creighton has lost all three true road games, and history favors the home team in previous head to head meetings. Xavier won both meetings last season, winning 80-73 at home. The Musketeers are 4-1 straight up in their last five home games versus Creighton. This line should probably be a bit higher. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-10-23 | Texas Tech +7 v. Iowa State | Top | 50-84 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TEXAS TECH. The Red Raiders will be shorthanded here at Iowa State, and they are already 0-3 in conference play. History suggests that this game will be close, and I think the bookmakers are overreacting to a few injuries here. Daniel Batcho and Pop Isaacs didn't play in an overtime loss to Oklahoma, but the Cyclones leading rebounder Aljaz Kunc has also missed the last three weeks. Texas Tech has won eight of the last 10 in this series, and both losses came in games decided by four points. The Cyclones are 3-0 in the BIG12, but two of those wins came in games decided by three points or less. I'll take the points! GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-09-23 | TCU v. Georgia -12.5 | 7-65 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on UGA. The Horned Frogs somehow beat Michigan despite giving up 45 points and over 500 total yards. They opened up an early lead and held on in the second half. This is the exception and not the norm for TCU, as they had to rally late to win several games in the BIG12 this year. I think it's going to be difficult to replicate what they did against Michigan. Georgia has been in a class of it's own for the last two years, and I just don't see this mediocre TCU defense slowing them down at all. Stetson Bennett threw for 398 yards and three TDs against Ohio State, and he should have another huge game here versus TCU. I like UGA to win this game 44-27. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-09-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Canadiens OVER 6.5 | 4-0 | Loss | -102 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Seattle Kraken come into Montreal as one of the hottest teams in the NHL, and during a four game winning streak they have scored 22 goals. They face a Canadiens team that ranks near the bottom of the league in goals against. Only Vancouver, Anaheim and Columbus have allowed more goals than Montreal. The Habs are banged up on the blue line, making it unlikely their defensive woes will end any time soon. We should expect this game to be high scoring all things considered. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-08-23 | Lions v. Packers -188 | 20-16 | Loss | -188 | 169 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on GB. The Packers have won four straight, putting them in position to make the playoffs with a win over the Lions at home in Week 18. This is a revenge spot for Green Bay after they lost 15-9 at Detroit earlier in the season. That score was a bit misleading, as Green Bay out-gained the Lions 389-254 in total yards. It was three turnovers that allowed the Lions to win that game. This is a tough matchup for Detroit, a dome team playing on the road at Lambeau against the NFL's #2 ranked pass defense. While the Lions pass happy offense matches up against the Packers strength, the Packers run heavy offense matches up against Detroit's 31st ranked rush defense (opponent rushing TDs). GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-08-23 | Nets -165 v. Heat | 102-101 | Win | 100 | 14 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on BKN. The Nets have won 13 of their last 14 overall, and they are just a small favorite on the road at Miami Sunday. The Heat are returning from a five game road trip, and they are banged up at the moment. They have nine players coming into Sunday's game with an injury designation. Some of these guys will play, but certainly depth will be an issue for Miami. The Nets are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall and they are 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine meetings in Miami. The Heat are 5-16-1 ATS in their last 22 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-08-23 | Rams v. Seahawks -163 | 16-19 | Win | 100 | 165 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on SEA. The Seahawks host the Rams in a must win game in Week 18, and Geno Smith is coming off a big game against the Jets. Smith threw for 367 yards, three TDs and an INT on 28-of-39 passing in a win over the Rams earlier this season. The Rams are 1-6 on the road, and they have nothing to play for here in the final week of the season. Kenneth Walker ran for 133 yards on 22 carries against the Jets, and he could have another big game against a Rams defense that has allowed over 135 rushing yards per game in their last three overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-08-23 | Giants v. Eagles -145 | 16-22 | Win | 100 | 165 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on PHI. |
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01-08-23 | Niagara -150 v. Manhattan | 59-64 | Loss | -150 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Niagra. The Manhattan Jaspers have only won four games so far this season, and they host the Niagara Purple Eagles on Sunday. Niagara won 72-63 at Manhattan last year, and the Jaspers are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games. The Purple Eagles are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Niagara already has won convincingly on the road at Quinnipiac and Farfield, while Manhattan is coming off back to back home losses to Canisius and Quinnipiac. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-08-23 | Browns v. Steelers -145 | 14-28 | Win | 100 | 97 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PIT. Mike Tomlin has never had a losing season in his tenure in Pittsburgh, and a win over the Browns in the season finale will keep that streak alive. The Cleveland Browns have a chance to play spoiler, but they have already been eliminated from post-season contention. While they might think they want to get up for this game, it's likely that a few nasty hits from TJ Watt and company will curb their enthusiasm. In light of recent events, it's hard to imagine teams risking injury in meaningless games at the end of the season. The Steelers still have something to play for, and that should make all the difference. The Browns are 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings in Pittsburgh. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-07-23 | Titans v. Jaguars -6 | 16-20 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Jags . With Josh Dobbs starting at QB for the Titans, I think they are in big trouble here in the AFC South Title Game. The Jags are on a roll, coming off four consecutive wins. The streak started with a 36-22 win at Tennessee. Trevor Lawrence threw for 368 yards and three TDs on 30-of-42 passing in the victory. He will face a Titans defense that ranks 31st in the NFL in passing TDs allowed. Josh Dobbs faces a Jags defense that has allowed just six points in the last two weeks. Asking Derrick Henry to carry the load hasn't been an effective strategy lately, and at the end of the year that kind of workload takes it's toll (remember last year). GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-06-23 | St. Peter's v. Siena -7.5 | 60-70 | Win | 100 | 19 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on Siena. The Saints are undefeated in the MAAC, and they host St. Peters on Friday. This isn't the same Peacocks team that made noise in the NCAA Tournament last year. The Peacocks are 2-3 in the MAAC, and their wins have come against Manhattan and Quinnipiac, two of the worst teams in the country. St. Peters has failed to cover in eight straight road games, and the home team is 15-5 ATS in the last 20 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-05-23 | Indiana v. Iowa -1 | Top | 89-91 | Win | 100 | 20 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Iowa. The Hawkeyes are reeling after losing three straight, but a home game against BIG10 rivals Indiana looks like a good spot to get back on track. The home team is 5-1 straight up in the last six meetings between these teams. The Hoosiers have failed to cover in four straight overall, and four of five on the road. They have been playing without two starters, leading scorer Trayce-Jackson-Davis and PG Xavier Johnson. The Hawkeyes are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games, and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 off a loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-05-23 | Manchester City -158 v. Chelsea | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 14 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on MCI. After dropping points with a sloppy effort against Everton on New Years Eve, Manchester City will look to take maximum points against Chelsea at Stanford Bridge. Chelsea is not on good form, and their aging defense was exposed in a draw versus the bottom team in the Premier League (Nottingham Forrest) in their last match. Chelsea has dropped three straight versus City, and on the season City has score more than twice as many goals as the Blues. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-04-23 | Connecticut v. Providence +5 | 61-73 | Win | 100 | 19 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Providence. The Huskies are no longer invincible, coming off their first loss of the season on the road at #22 ranked Xavier. They will be asked to cover a sizable number here on the road at unranked Providence. History favors the Friars, who are unbeaten at home, and unbeaten in the Big East. They have won four of their last five home games versus Connecticut, and the one loss came by a score of 82-79. The Huskies are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss, and the home team has covered in eight of the last 10 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-04-23 | Nets v. Bulls OVER 235 | 112-121 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Nets come into Chicago as winners of 12 straight overall. They have scored an average of 122 points in their last five games overall. The bookmakers have set the total at a high number, but I am not sure it's high enough. It's still lower than the number of 238 in the Nets last visit to Chicago, and that game went over with Brooklyn winning 138-112. The Bulls come in scoring 121 points per game in their last five overall, unfortunately for them though they have allowed opponents to average 122 points during that span. The Bulls have gone over in five of their last six overall, and six of their last eight at home. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-03-23 | Wizards v. Bucks -8 | 113-123 | Win | 100 | 17 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIL. This is a revenge game for the Bucks after losing at home to Washington on New Years Day. They were shorthanded in that game, without Giannis, Khris Middleton and Jrue Holiday. We are expecting both Holiday and The Greek Freak to play here on Tuesday. The status of Bradley Beal is still questionable. The Wizards have failed to cover in 15 of their last 20 road games against a team with a winning record. The Bucks are 4-1 SU in their last five home games against Washington, and three of those four wins came by double digits. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-02-23 | Hawks v. Warriors -1.5 | 141-143 | Win | 100 | 26 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on GSW. Despite the injuries to Andrew Wiggins and Steph Curry, the Warriors have won four straight. Their home record of 16-2 is the best in the NBA. The Hawks are a team that is struggling so badly that their head coach is considering resignation. The Hawks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games, and they also have a pair of starters battling injury (Hunter and Capella). The Warriors are 51-23-3 ATS in their last 77 home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-02-23 | Utah v. Penn State OVER 52.5 | 21-35 | Win | 100 | 20 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. Both these teams should be geared up to play in the Rose Bowl. There aren't a lot of opt outs to worry about here, but both teams will be without their top corners. Cam Rising threw for 310 yards and three TDs on 22-of-34 passing in the PAC12 Championship game, beating USC 47-24. Penn State has scored at least 30 points in six straight games, and the over is 12-5 in the Nittany Lions last 17 non-conference games. They have also gone over in four of their last five versus PAC12 teams. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-01-23 | Rams v. Chargers -6.5 | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 73 h 0 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on LA Chargers. The Rams scored 51 points in a blowout win over the Broncos last week. Baker Mayfield threw for 238 yards and a pair of TDs on 24-of-28 passing. That's great, but they ain't playing the Broncos this week. This looks like a huge let down spot on the road at LA. Only one of these teams is going to the playoffs, and it ain't the Rams. The Rams are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win, and they are 1-5 on the road this season. This should be a reality check for the Rams. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-01-23 | Colts v. Giants -160 | Top | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 138 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on NYG. The Indianapolis Colts rank 27th in the NFL in rushing TDs allowed, and they play on the road in New York Sunday. It's a must win game for the Giants, and we are sure to see plenty of Saquon Barkley. Nick Foles was definitely not the answer for the Colts, throwing for 143 yards and three INTs in a loss to the Chargers last week. The Colts are playing on a short week, and they have nothing to play for. The Giants lost at Minnesota last week, and they are 6-0 ATS in their last six coming off a loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-01-23 | Dolphins v. Patriots -140 | 21-23 | Win | 100 | 121 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NE. The Patriots have lost four of their last five overall, but a home game against the Dolphins looks like a favorable spot for Bill Belichick and company. The Dolphins are expecting to be without their starting QB, and they haven't won a game without him yet this season. Teddy Bridgewater has thrown for 522 yards, three TDs and three INTs in two games as a starter. He might not have the luxury of relying on the running game, as New England has allowed the fewest rushing TDs in the NFL this season. The Dolphins are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 meetings in New England. GL, Jesse Schule |
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01-01-23 | Aston Villa v. Tottenham Hotspur -150 | 2-0 | Loss | -150 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Spurs. Aston Villa has one of the worst away records in the Premier League, with one win in eight matches, and a goal differential of -11. Tottenham has won six of eight home matches with a goal differential of +10. I was particularly impressed with Spurs in their last match, trailing 2-0 at Brentford and then rallying to earn a 2-2 draw. Tottenham is 5-0 in their last five versus Aston Villa, and the most recent meeting was a 4-0 win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-31-22 | Ohio State v. Georgia -6.5 | Top | 41-42 | Loss | -110 | 375 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UGA. I am sure the Buckeyes can play better than they did against Michigan, but I am not sure that it's going to be good enough to hang with the Georgia Bulldogs. We've seen that C.J. Stroud has a high upside, but he often buckles under pressure, makes mistakes in big games. Stetson Bennett is an experienced veteran with a steady hand, who really doesn't have to do anything fancy. He played his best football in last year's playoffs, beating Michigan and Alabama. The Bulldogs are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 bowl games. They have the edge in the trenches and the championship pedigree. This line is currently less than a TD, and I think it should probably be closer to double digits. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-31-22 | TCU v. Michigan -7.5 | 51-45 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on MICH. Most people's analysis of TCU this season doesn't seem to account for how exactly they won a lot of their games. In their win over Oklahoma, Sooners QB Dylan Gabriel was knocked out in the 2nd quarter. They trailed by double digits at halftime versus Kansas State, and the Wildcats had both their 1st and 2nd string QBs knocked out of that game. A close win over Kansas came against their second string QB, and they rallied from behind to win by a single point on a walkoff FG at Baylor. This MIchigan team is bigger, stronger, faster than all those previously mentioned, and I like the Wolverines to take the Horned Frogs behind the wood shed in the first half. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-31-22 | Baylor -1 v. Iowa State | 62-77 | Loss | -117 | 11 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on BAY. The Cyclones will be a short home dog against undefeated Baylor, and some will think they look like a sharp play today. Iowa State has covered the spread in four straight meetings, but they have lost six straight and nine of the last 10 in this series. I have this line at -5.5 based on my numbers, and getting the Bears at a pickem is too goo to pass on. Baylor has a starting PG listed as questionable with a concussion, but the Cyclones leading rebounder Aljaz Kunc is out with a finger injury. The Bears are 33-16-2 ATS in their last 51 road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-30-22 | South Carolina v. Notre Dame -160 | 38-45 | Win | 100 | 15 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Notre Dame. So the Gamecocks made a lot of noise at the end of the season, but I think it would be a mistake to fall victim to recency bias. Spencer Rattler threw for 438 yards and six TDs on 30-of-37 passing in a blowout win over Tennessee, and that is what everyone is going to remember. The fact is that if you take away that game, he threw for 2,342 yards 10 TDs and 11 INTs in the other 11 games he played. The Gamecocks ranked 13th in the SEC in rushing defense, allowing over 192 yards per game. The Irish are not the ideal opponent for South Carolina, with a run heavy offense and a solid defense. According to reports, South Carolina could have as many as 22 players opting out, injured or in the transfer portal. That includes their top two rushers and the majority of their top receivers. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-29-22 | Washington +3.5 v. Texas | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 64 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Washington. The Huskies finished the season on a six game win streak, and they were the #1 passing offense in the country averaging 377 passing yards per game. QB Michael Penix is coming back for another year, and he's all fired up to play in his first bowl game. While Texas will be missing their best player (RB Bijan Robinson), and a long list of starters opting out or hitting the transfer portal, we expect almost everybody to play for the Huskies. With eight defensive players either opting out or transferring, the Texas defense will not be at full strength. The total for this game has been bet up to 67.5 and might get higher before game time, I do expect a high score. I think there is better value backing the Huskies. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-28-22 | Alabama -130 v. Mississippi State | 78-67 | Win | 100 | 19 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on the Crimson Tide. Alabama has already beat two #1 ranked teams this season, one of those wins coming on the road at Houston. A road game in the SEC is never easy, but they should be the better team here in Starkville. The Bulldogs lost two of their top three scorers from last season to graduation, and they didn't really bring anyone in to replace last season's leading scorer Iverson Molinar. An 11-1 record has Mississippi State ranked in the Top 25, but don't expect them to remain ranked. They haven't played anybody, and they are coming off a 58-52 loss to Drake. They have failed to cover in seven of their last eight overall, and they are 0-7 ATS in their last seven home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-28-22 | North Carolina v. Oregon -13 | 27-28 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Oregon. Both teams have plenty of players opting out, but I think that leaves Oregon with a huge edge in talent. Drake Maye is going to be hard pressed to keep up with an offensive juggernaut like Oregon without his top target Josh Downs. The UNC defense couldn't stop anybody this year, and they are going to be thin with a handful of players in the transfer portal. We are expecting the majority of Oregon's top WRs and RBs to play alongside Bo Bix, and they should march up and down the field tonight against this sad sacked Tar Heels defense. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-27-22 | Oklahoma State v. Wisconsin -160 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 16 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a free play on the Badgers. |
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12-27-22 | Clippers v. Raptors -5.5 | 124-113 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Toronto. So coming into the second game of a back to back, two days after Christmas and having won in overtime in Detroit, this is a tough spot for the Clippers. It wouldn't be a surprise to see LA either rest some starters or cut back on their minutes. Toronto is coming off back to back big road wins at Cleveland and New York, and they have had a few days off over Christmas. The Clippers are 5-12 ATS in the last 17 meetings in Toronto. There is no doubt this is a let down spot. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-27-22 | Nottingham Forest v. Manchester United -1.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on MUTD. Ten Hag has Manchester United firing on all cylinders, they have battled their way into the Top 5 in the Premier League table. It's going to be a tough ask to finish in a Champions League spot, with Arsenal. Newcastle and City way out in front, and Liverpool and Spurs within a few points. Their first game back after the World Cup comes against Nottingham Forest, who own the Premier League's worst record in away matches. Forest is 0-2-5 with a -18 goal differential in away matches this season. Their most recent away match in the Premier League was a 5-0 loss at Arsenal. They might be looking at another blowout loss here at Old Trafford. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-26-22 | Chargers -180 v. Colts | 20-3 | Win | 100 | 174 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on LAC. The Chargers have won three of their last four games, and they are as healthy as they have been all year. Keenan Allen, Mike Williams have been banged up all year, but they are finally at full strength. Justin Herbert has still managed to throw for over 4,000 yards despite all the injuries. He could be in for a big game against a Colts defense that gave up 36 points in the second half in Minnesota last week. Blowing a 33-0 lead is a new low for Indy, and those type of losses are hard to come back from. History favors the Chargers, who are 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings, and they have covered in four of their last five at Indianapolis. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-25-22 | Suns v. Nuggets -160 | 125-128 | Win | 100 | 19 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a free pick on DEN. So the line indicates that Devin Booker will play, although his status is still in question. Assuming he plays it remains to be seen how effective he might be. Even with Booker the Suns aren't great on the road (5-9). The Suns are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall, and they are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss. The Nuggets have the best record in the Western Conference, and they are 11-3 at home. The Joker is gunning for another MVP, and the Suns are soft. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-25-22 | Bucs -7.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 19-16 | Loss | -110 | 88 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Tampa. As bad as things appear to be in Tampa Bay, the Bucs are still the favorite to win the NFC South. This team still has plenty to play for, while it looks like the Arizona Cardinals will be waiving a white flag here this week. Arizona officially eliminated from the post-season, and down to their third string QB. Trace McSorley has thrown for 166 yards and three INTs on just over 50 percent passing in limited action this year. Given the QB situation, it's hard to see the rest of the team being too invested in this meaningless game. Expecting the Cardinals offense to struggle to move the chains, that should lead to more possessions for Brady and company. Despite the loss, Brady threw for 312 yards and three TDs last week. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-25-22 | Grizzlies -175 v. Warriors | 109-123 | Loss | -175 | 54 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on the Grizz. I bet this game early and got a good line, but I really think the bookmakers can't set this line high enough. Without Steph, Wiggins and Klay, the Warriors have been embarrassed. They have been blown out in five of their last six games. Klay should play on Christmas day, but Draymond is questionable with foot soreness. They face Ja Morant and the Grizzlies, who might be motivated by the fact that the Dubs eliminated them in last year's playoffs. The Grizzlies have the best record in the Western Conference, and Ja Morant looks like an MVP candidate. The Grizzlies are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-25-22 | Bucks v. Celtics -160 | 118-139 | Win | 100 | 40 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Boston. The Celtics snapped a three game losing skid with a win over Minnesota on Thursday, and that win puts them back in first place overall in the NBA. They host the second place Milwaukee Bucks on Christmas Day, and both teams are sure to bring it! This looks like a tough ask for the Bucks, with this being their fourth straight road game. They are just a game over .500 on the road, and they have lost three of their last four road games. The Bucks are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven road games. They haven't been a great bet in recent meetings versus Boston, going 3-13-1 ATS in the last 17 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-25-22 | Lakers v. Mavs -175 | 115-124 | Win | 100 | 118 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Dallas. The Lakers are in a tough spot here on Christmas day in Dallas, without Anthony Davis and perhaps a few other role players. The Mavericks are 12-5 straight up at home, and they have won four of the last five head to head meetings. The Lakers have lost five of their last six road games by double digits. This is a chance for Luka Doncic to showcase himself in a home game against LeBron, and I expect him to make the most of it. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-25-22 | Packers v. Dolphins -4.5 | Top | 26-20 | Loss | -110 | 143 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 2* play on MIA. |
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12-24-22 | Eagles v. Cowboys OVER 47 | 34-40 | Win | 100 | 14 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The line has moved significantly due to the injury to Jalen Hurts. I am not convinced that the Eagles are much worse off with Minshew Mania at the helm. Gardner Minshew has completed over 63 percent of his passes for 41 TDs and a dozen INTs in his NFL career. Most of his playing time came with the lowly Jacksonville Jaguars. Now he steps in behind an elite offensive line, on the best team in the NFL. There is every reason to expect him to be successful, as least moving the ball and putting points on the scoreboard. These teams have gone over in four straight, and three straight in Dallas. The total came down several points after the news that Hurts wouldn't play, and I still expect the Eagles to score enough to get the total over the number. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-24-22 | Saints v. Browns -150 | 17-10 | Loss | -150 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Cleveland. The Browns host the Saints on X-Mas Eve, and Cleveland has won three of their last four games. The Saints have lost five straight on the road, and you have to question how motivated they will be to play in poor weather in Cleveland. Nick Chubb has run for over 700 yards and nine TDs in eight games in Cleveland this season. Kareem Hunt gives the Browns one of the best second string running backs in the NFL, and they perfectly suited to play in cold weather in a winter storm in Cleveland. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-24-22 | Giants v. Vikings OVER 49 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 11 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on over. The Vikings defense has given up 70 points in their last two games. Last week they trailed the Colts 33-0 at halftime, and came all the way back to win 39-36. They have now gone over the total in six of their last seven home games, and it would be no surprise to see another high score here against the Giants. The Vikings have allowed an average of 28 points in their last seven home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-23-22 | Bucks v. Nets OVER 226.5 | 100-118 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Bucks come into Brooklyn averaging over 117 points per game in their last five overall, and the Nets have scored 126 points per game during that span. Neither team has been great defensively of late, each allowing 116.6 points per game in their last five. The last time the Bucks played in Brooklyn the betting total was set at 243. The opening number for tonight's game is lower than it was in each of the past five head to head meetings. I expect both teams to score plenty here in this marquee game two days before Christmas. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-22-22 | Seattle Kraken -110 v. Canucks | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SEA. The Vancouver Canucks have won all five head to head meetings versus division rivals Seattle, but I am going to fade that 100% trend here tonight. These two teams are obviously trending in opposite directions, as Vancouver is coming off back to back 5-1 home losses, and the Canucks are rumored to be shopping team captain Bo Horvat and star defenseman Quinn Hughes. The Kraken are coming off back to back home wins, but they actually have a better road record than they do at home. The Kraken are 7-3 in their last 10 road games, and they are 11-3 in their last 14 games following a win. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-22-22 | Illinois -6.5 v. Missouri | 71-93 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on ILL. The Missouri Tigers look pretty good with a 10-1 record, until you examine who they beat (10 unranked teams), and how they lost (by 28 points to Kansas). Illinois has played a much tougher schedule, with wins over #2 Texas and #8 UCLA. Mizzouri lost by 26 points in this exact game at this exact venue exactly one year ago (to the day). Illinois has lost five straight versus ranked teams, and four of those losses came by double digits. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-22-22 | Jaguars v. Jets | 19-3 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on NYJ. So the Jets lost at home to the Lions last week, but it wasn't Zach Wilson's fault. He threw for 317 yards, 2 TDs and an INT on 18-of-35 passing. He doesn't play defense, so you can't blame him for the 51 yard game winning TD Detroit scored with under two minutes to play. The Jets host Jacksonville on Thursday, and this looks like one helluva let down spot for the Jags. They rallied back from a 14-point halftime deficit to force overtime against the Cowboys, going on to win the game on an INT return. The Jaguars are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 road games. The Jets are 6-0 ATS when coming off an ATS loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-21-22 | Kent State -170 v. New Mexico State | 73-63 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Kent State. The Golden Flashes are 8-3, with two of their three losses coming against Top 25 teams. In fact one of those losses was a 49-44 loss at Houston. That's an impressive result when you consider Houston was shortly after ranked #1 nationally. I think Kent State is more than four points better than New Mexico State on a neutral court. The Golden Flashes are 22-5-1 ATS in their last 28 games overall, and they have played plenty of tough teams during that stretch. The Aggies are 6-1 ATS in their last seven neutral site games, but strength of schedule is a concern. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-20-22 | Virginia -140 v. Miami-FL | 64-66 | Loss | -140 | 12 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on UVA. The Virginia Cavaliers are coming off their first loss of the season to Houston. It was a close game, but the Cougars ended up taking a 69-61 road victory. The Cavs try to get back on track on the road in Miami today, and at first glance the Canes look like a formidable opponent. Miami is 11-1 overall and 8-0 at home. That sounds great until you check their schedule and see that they haven't really played anyone. Their first game against a ranked team will come against a Cavs team that has had their number in recent seasons. Virginia is 6-0 straight up in the last six meetings, so I like them to get the W here off a loss. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-19-22 | Bucks v. Pelicans OVER 227.5 | 128-119 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Bucks have the best record in the NBA, and they will take on the Pelicans in New Orleans Monday. The Pelicans are just a game back of Memphis for first place in the West. You know both teams will be up for this game, and history tells us that it should be a high scoring affair. The home team has won five of the last six head to head, and the over is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings. The Pelicans have gone over in four of their last five overall, and the over is 17-4 in their last 21 versus teams with a winning record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-18-22 | Warriors v. Raptors -5 | 126-110 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Toronto. The Warriors are 2-14 on the road, and they come into Toronto with possibly only one healthy starter. Steph Curry is out for at least a few weeks, and Andrew Wiggins is sidelined by a groin injury. Klay and Draymond are also banged up, and we aren't sure if either of them will play. The Raptors will be looking to snap a four game losing skid, and this is as good a spot as any. The Warriors have lost their last two at Toronto by a combined 72 points (no you aren't reading that wrong). History favors the home team as Toronto is 4-1 ATS in their last five home games versus a team with a losing road record. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-18-22 | Titans v. Chargers -150 | 14-17 | Win | 100 | 99 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on LAC. The Chargers have had their fair share of disappointment this season, but it doesn't seem like their injury woes have been properly accounted for. Keenan Allen and Mike Williams are finally healthy, and they lit it up against the Dolphins last week. Herbert threw for 367 yards and a TD on 39-of-51 passing versus Miami. The Titans have been playing over their heads in my opinion, so it was no surprise to see them lose their last three games. The Titans are 1-8-2 ATS in the last 11 head to head meetings, and they have failed to cover in six of their last seven at LA. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-18-22 | Steelers v. Panthers -150 | 24-16 | Loss | -150 | 45 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on CAR. The Panthers control their own destiny. They can win the division if they run the table and beat the Bucs on January 1st. This is a different team than the one that started the season losing five of their first six games. They fired their coach, traded their superstar running back, and cut their starting QB. It looks like addition by subtraction, as they have won three of their last four games. During that run they have been pounding the rock, running twice as often as they have been passing. The Steelers gave up 215 yards on the ground in a loss to Baltimore last week, and Mitch Trubisky threw for 276 yards, 1 TD and 3 INTs on 22-of-30 passing. Trubisky is not their first choice, but he's their only choice with Kenny Pickett out due to injury. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-18-22 | Lions v. Jets +105 | 20-17 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on the Jets. The Jets were a three-point favorite until it was announced that Zach Wilson would get the start. Admittedly I like Mike White a lot better, but lets be real about Wilson. As bad as he looked at times, the Jets are 5-2 in games he's played. This looks like a tough spot for the Lions, a dome team on the road in bad weather. The Lions are starting to like their own smell after winning five of their last six. During that run they beat one team with a winning record, and that was last week's home win over the Vikings. The same Vikings that were losing 33-0 to Indy on Saturday. I'll take the Jets as the home dog. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-18-22 | France v. Argentina OVER 2 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 79 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. Lionel Messi is tied for the tournament lead with five goals, and three of those have come via penalty. Argentina has been awarded four penalties so far, tying the record. With one game to play, you have to think there is a good chance Messi gets another opportunity from the penalty spot. Argentina has scored two or more goals in five straight matches, while France has scored two or more in four of their last five. I don't think either team is going to post a clean sheet here, and 2-1 seems like the most likely final score. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-17-22 | Dolphins v. Bills -7 | 29-32 | Loss | -110 | 64 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Buffalo. This is a revenge game for Buffalo, as they lost 21-19 in Miami earlier this season. The Bills had the edge in total yards 497-212, but managed to make enough mistakes to lose the game. On a snowy day in Buffalo, it's worth pointing out that revenge is a dish best served cold. The Dolphins are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings in Buffalo, and the Bills are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games in December. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-17-22 | Jazz v. Bucks -5 | 97-123 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on MIL. The Bucks are just a game back of Boston in the East, but they are coming off a blowout loss at Memphis in their last game. They look to get back on track with a home game against the Jazz Saturday. The Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss. Khris Middleton is expected to sit out Saturday, but Jrue Holliday is scheduled to return. This looks like a let down spot for Utah, coming off an overtime win over New Orleans in Salt Lake City. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-17-22 | Fresno State -165 v. Washington State | 29-6 | Win | 100 | 59 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Fresno State. The Cougars aren't going to have all hands on deck for their bowl game, missing several key starters on both sides of the ball. Their pass defense was pretty ugly at the end of the year, giving up 485 yards in the air in their season finale versus the Huskies. Jake Haener only played nine games this year due to injury, and he still threw for 2,616 yards, 18 TDs and just 3 INTs. The Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last five Bowl games, while the Bulldogs have covered in six of their last eight versus the PAC12. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-17-22 | Alabama -125 v. Gonzaga | 90-100 | Loss | -125 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on BAMA. Call it a revenge game if you want, but after beating the Bulldogs in Seattle last year, the Tide are just a slight favorite in Saturday's game in Birmingham Alabama. I've long been saying that Gonzaga is overrated, and that opinion is justified by the fact that they are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games, 3-15-3 ATS in their last 21 games overall and 1-12-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win. Gonzaga has faced ranked teams four times so far this season, losing three of those four games. Alabama has a pair of wins over the #1 ranked teams in the country, and they beat the #1 ranked Cougars in Houston. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-16-22 | Warriors v. 76ers -6.5 | 106-118 | Win | 100 | 19 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on PHI. The Warriors are 2-13 on the road, and losing Steph Curry for up to a month isn't going to help. Curry isn't the only starter sidelined for the Warriors, Andrew Wiggins and Draymond Green are also likely to miss this game on Friday in Philly. The Warriors are 6-18 ATS in their last 24 road games, and they are 3-12 ATS in the last 15 meetings in Philadelphia. The 76ers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games. Get this one early because the line movement is expected to be one sided. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-16-22 | Troy v. UTSA OVER 54 | 18-12 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Roadrunners and the Trojans each finished as Conference Champions, and they both come into their bowl game as winners of 10 straight games. Troy has done it with a Top 10 ranked defense, while UTSA has been an offensive juggernaut. UTSA has scored an average of 41 points per game over it's last 10, while Troy has scored over 100 points in their final two games of the regular season. Troy's defensive stats might be misleading, a product of the opposition they faced. When they played Western Kentyucky and Appalachian State, both of those games saw 60+ points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-15-22 | Pelicans -120 v. Jazz | Top | 129-132 | Loss | -120 | 20 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Pelicans. The Pelicans are tied for first place in the Western Conference, and they are in a revenge spot in the second game of a two game series in Utah. The Pelicans are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up loss. The Jazz are just 6-11 in their last 17 overall, and they were playing over their heads at the beginning of the year. Zion only played 26 minutes in the first game in Utah, expect him to play more minutes and be a more dominant force here in the rematch. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-15-22 | 49ers -170 v. Seahawks | Top | 21-13 | Win | 100 | 62 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on SF. The 49ERS will look to clinch the NFC West with a win in Seattle on Thursday. They have won back to back games since Jimmy G went down, scoring 68 points in those contests. SF has plenty of weapons, but without Deebo Samuel they might lean a little more on Christian McCaffrey. He faces a Seattle defense that ranks 30th in the NFL in rushing touchdowns allowed. McCaffrey scored a pair of TDs last week, and if you exclude his 49ers debut where he only played a limited role, he's found the endzone six times in six games since arriving in San Francisco. The 49ers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games, and they are 6-0 in their last six versus the NFC West. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-14-22 | Canucks v. Flames -150 | 4-3 | Loss | -150 | 21 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Calgary. The Flames are a Jeckyll and Hyde team, with 10 wins at home and just three on the road. They are coming off three straight road losses, but two of those games were decided in OT. The Flames are 7-3 in their last 10 versus Vancouver, and they have won four of their last five home games versus the Canucks. The Canucks are 5-17 in the last 22 meetings in Calgary. Vancouver has recently failed to re-sign captain Bo Horvat, and are expected to be shopping him around the league. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-14-22 | Ohio +13 v. Florida | 48-82 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Ohio. The Bobcats lost their first four road games, but they are coming off an 81-79 win at Youngstown state for their first road win of the year. They lost by just four points at #20 ranked Michigan in Ann Arbor. This is not a true road game, as they face the Gators in Tampa rather than Gainesville. The Gators are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall, and they have failed to cover in six straight neutral site games. This line looks a little inflated considering that the Gators have lost four of their last eight games outright. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-14-22 | DePaul +1.5 v. Duquesne | 55-66 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a free play on DePaul. The Blue Demons will be an underdog on the road at Duquesne tonight, and you could call this a revenge spot since DePaul beat the Dukes by 20 points in Chicago last year. DePaul has a pair of senior starters that average over 15 points per game. Umoja Gibson is a transfer from Oklahoma, while Javan Johnson transferred from Iowa State midway through last season. The Dukes have lost back to back home games to Marshall and New Mexico State, and both losses came by a double digit margin. The Dukes are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 home games, while the Blue Demons are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-14-22 | Morocco v. France UNDER 2.25 | 0-2 | Win | 50 | 32 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. MorocCo is the Cinderella story of the 2022 World Cup. Heading into the Semi Final they have only conceded one goal, and it was an own goal in a 2-1 win over Canada. Their impressive run includes clean sheets against Spain, Belgium, Portugal and Croatia. Surely their strategy will be to stifle France, and they would be more than content to extend this game to extra time and try to win on penalties. I think the most likely scores are 0-0,1-0,1-1, or 2-0. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-13-22 | Pelicans -125 v. Jazz | 100-121 | Loss | -125 | 21 h 33 m | Show | |
This is 2* play on NO. You would have thought the second game of a two game home series versus Phoenix would be a let down spot for the Pelicans. New Orleans now has the best record in the Western Conference, and they have won seven straight and nine of 10. The Jazz haven't played since Saturday, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six when playing on two days rest. This Utah team overachieved early in the season, but they have come crashing down to earth lately. After a 10-3 start, they have since gone 5-11. I don't think it's wise to step in front of the Pelicans here as they look to make it eight straight wins. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-12-22 | Nets -5 v. Wizards | 112-100 | Win | 100 | 16 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on the Nets. The Nets won six of seven on their recent home stand, and one of those games was a 113-107 win over the Wizards. Bradley Beal scored 25 points on 9-of-20 shooting in that game, but they will have to get points elsewhere tonight. Beal is out with a hamstring injury, and starting PG Monte Morris missed Saturday's game with a groin injury. Washington has lost nine of their last 10 overall, and three straight since the Beal injury. The Wizards are 2-9-2 ATS in their last 13 games overall, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six home games. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-11-22 | Dolphins v. Chargers +3.5 | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 16 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on LAC. The Chargers have been great as an underdog, they have consistently shown that they can battle back to stay in games and keep it close even when they lose. Justin Herbert is 4th in the NFL in passing despite his top WR only playing five games, his #2 WR missing four games, and playing through a series rib injury. Their offense comes into tonight's game as healthy as it has been all year, and they line up against a Dolphins team that might be still reeling after getting run over by San Francisco. The Dolphins are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five road games. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-11-22 | Raptors -6.5 v. Magic | 99-111 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on TOR. The Raptors had covered in six straight at Orlando before losing 113-109 on Friday. For the fourth time this season, Toronto will play back to back games against the same team in the same city. All three previous such situations resulted in a split, the team that won the first game went on to lose the second game. The Raptors are 11-3 ATS in the last 14 meetings against the Magic. Toronto was an eight point favorite in the first game, and that number has come down a bit here in the rematch. I'll back the favorites here in this revenge match. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-11-22 | Bucs v. 49ers -180 | 7-35 | Win | 100 | 106 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SF. So Jimmy G got hurt and the line for this game dropped in half. At the end of the day he was just a game manager, and the 49ers are fully equipped to win games with a rookie at QB. Last week it was Brock Purdy for almost the entire game, and San Francisco beat the pants off of a very good Miami team. Purdy threw for 210 yards, 2 TDs and an INT on 25-of-37 passing. The Bucs needed two TDs in the final three minutes to come from behind and beat the Saints 17-16 last week, they aren't likely to get so lucky here in San Francisco. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-11-22 | Oklahoma State v. Virginia Tech -1 | 65-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on VT. The Hokies are 9-1, and they are 2-0 in neutral site games. This is an experienced squad with three senior starters all scoring in double digits. They come off a 77-49 win over Dayton, and Grant Basile led all scorers with 23 points on 9-of-17 shooting. The Cowboys are 6-3, coming off a win over Sam Houston. The Cowboys are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS win. While these teams haven't played since 2012, the Hokies have won four straight versus Oklahoma State. This team won 13 of their last 15 games last season, beating Duke in the Final of the ACC Tournament. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-11-22 | Vikings v. Lions OVER 51.5 | 23-34 | Win | 100 | 72 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Lions are 5-7, and yet they are favorite here at home against a 10-2 Minnesota team. Both these teams are playing their best football of late, each winnimng four of their last five games. The Lions rank dead last in the NFL in total defense, allowing 402 yards per game. Right behind them are the Vikings allowing 398 yards per game. The Lions lost 28-24 at Minnesota earlier this season, and last December they won 29-27 at Ford Field. The over is 11-5 in the Vikings last 16 road games, and the Lions have gone over in six of their last eight home games. The over is 4-1 in the Vikings last five at Detroit. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-11-22 | Eagles v. Giants +7 | 48-22 | Loss | -115 | 72 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NYG. The Eagles own the best record in the NFL, but they are asked to cover a big spread in a divisional road game in bad weather this week. History tells us that the home team has won outright in six of the last seven head to head meetings. The Eagles have only covered in one of their last seven road games, and the Giants have covered in four of their last five home games. The underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-10-22 | Mavs v. Bulls -120 | 115-144 | Win | 100 | 20 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CHI. The Mavs lost a heartbreaker by a single point at home versus Milwaukee last night, and they have to try to pick up the pieces and play on the road at Chicago tonight. The home team is 5-1 in the last six meetings between these teams, and the Bulls are 4-1 straight up in the last five meetings. The Mavs have failed to cover in four of their last five when playing the second game of a back to back, and they are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Bulls have covered in four of their last five home games versus Dallas. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-10-22 | Arizona v. Indiana | Top | 89-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Arizona. The Wildcats are 7-1, with a pair of wins over ranked teams. They beat San Diego State and Creighton before losing their first true road game at Utah. They host the #14 ranked Indiana Hoosiers in a neutral site game tonight, but Las Vegas might feel like a second home to the Wildcats. This Arizona team was 11-1 in non-conference games last year, beating #4 Michigan right here in Las Vegas. Indiana might struggle to match the scoring prowess of a Wildcats team that is averaging 91.5 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-10-22 | Flames v. Maple Leafs -154 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 19 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TOR. The Leafs host the Calgary Flames on Hockey Night in Canada on Saturday night, and the Flames are playing their second game of a back to back after losing in Columbus last night. The Leafs have won seven of their last eight overall, and they are 40-15 in their last 55 home games. The Flames have lost four straight when playing the second game of a back to back. The Flames have lost four straight road games and they are 4-10 in their last 14 games versus the Eastern Conference. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-10-22 | France v. England OVER 2.25 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. There is no shortage of talent between these two teams. England has scored a dozen goals in four games at the tournament, while France has scored nine goals in four matches. Both teams have scored in three of the last four head to head meetings, and the most recent international friendly was a 3-2 win for France back in 2017. An early goal could light this game on fire. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-09-22 | Sharks v. Ducks OVER 6 | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 20 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on Over. The Sharks will be on the road in Anaheim in a game between two of the league's worst teams. The Ducks rank dead last in the NHL allowing over four goals per game. The Sharks aren't much better, and without starting goaltender James Reimer they might be worse off. Backup netminder Kaapo Kahkonen is 3-6-2 with a 3.71 GAA in a dozen appearances. This will be the third time these teams meet this season, and they combined to score 20 goals in their first two meetings. The over is 15-5-1 in the Sharks last 21 overall, and the over is 10-1-2 in their last 13 versus Pacific Division opponents. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-09-22 | Wolves +3 v. Jazz | 118-108 | Win | 100 | 19 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIN. The Wolves will be in Utah tonight, and Rudy Gobert returns to Salt Lake City. Rudy takes on a more prominent role after the injury to Karl Anthony Towns, and he stepped up with 21 rebounds in a win over the Pacers in his last start. The Jazz were not supposed to be a contender in the West after losing Donovan Mitchell and Rudy Gobert, but they got off to a surprising start. They have faded recently, going 3-6 ATS in their last nine games. The Timberwolves are 4-0-1 ATS in the last five meetings in Utah, and the Jazz might not have their leading scorer tonight due to an illness. I'll take the points in this revenge spot. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-09-22 | Argentina v. Netherlands +265 | Top | 2-2 | Loss | -100 | 102 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Netherlands. Lionel Messi has scored three goals in four games at this World Cup, and at the age of 35 some consider him the G.O.A.T. He did miss a penalty against Poland, and overall he's seen more than his share of disappointment at the World Cup throughout his career. Argentina will be a huge favorite against Netherlands, despite the fact that the Dutch are undefeated in 11 World Cups matches under manager Louis Van Gaal. Netherlands 3-1 win over USA was far more impressive than Argentina's 2-1 win over Australia. The Dutch have perhaps the best defense of any squad at the World Cup, with Virgin Van Djik widely considered the best in the world. I think the bookmakers have the wrong team favored here, Holland has a younger, more talented group of stars and a superior coach GL,
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12-08-22 | Nuggets v. Blazers OVER 225.5 | 121-120 | Win | 100 | 20 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Nuggets have scored an average of 115 points per game this season, while the Blazers are averaging just 110 points per game. These teams just played two weeks ago and the Blazers won 135-110. The total went way over the number, and the over is now 8-2 in the last 10 head to head meetings. The over is 12-4 in the Nuggets last 16 games following an ATS loss, and they have gone over in 10 of their last 14 at Portland. GL, Jesse Schule |
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12-08-22 | Michigan v. Minnesota UNDER 136 | 90-75 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. The Minnesota Golden Gophers have scored just 63 points per game. There are 371 teams in college basketball that score more than that. They are pretty good defensively though, holding the opposition to just 66 points per game. It's not surprising that they have failed to reach the total in five straight home games. They host a Michigan team that has scored just 69 points over it's last five games. Losing their starting PG Jaelin Llewellyn for the rest of the season won't help. I'd be surprised if either of these teams gets to 70 points. GL, Jesse Schule |