Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-04-19 | Oilers v. Sabres -122 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -122 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
I'm playing on BUFFALO (10* VIOLATOR). When these teams met at Edmonton earlier, the Oilers scored three goals on their first five shots. That led to a convincing 7-2 victory. Playing at home, expect the Sabres to exact some revenge Monday. While the Sabres are a poor 11-18-4 on the road, they're a much better 19-9-4 in their own building. The Oilers, meanwhile, remain below 500 (14-15-5) when playing away from Edmonton. With Friday's home win over Pittsburgh, the Sabres moved to 11-8 (+4.7) when off a loss by two or more goals. Off a 5-2 loss at Toronto on Saturday, expect them to bounce back and improve on those stats Monday. |
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03-03-19 | Flyers v. Islanders -148 | 4-1 | Loss | -148 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NEW YORK (8* ANNIHILATOR). While the Flyers are 14-18 on the road, the Isles are 19-13 at home. Off a 3-1 loss to the Caps, note that the Isles are also a solid 8-4 (+5.8) after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. The Flyers beat up on the Devils last time out. However, they're an ugly 4-11 when off a win by two or more goals. Expect home ice to prove significant, the Isles bouncing back with a big win. |
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03-01-19 | Avalanche v. Sharks -162 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
I'm playing on SAN JOSE (8* PERS FAV). While I won with the Avs in their last game, this is a MUCH tougher venue and I fully expect them to stumble. The Sharks have been on a pattern of alternating wins and losses. Off a loss, expect them to bounce back big here. Not only are the Sharks 36-20 the past couple of seasons, off a loss by two or more goals, they're also 26-13 (+9.9) after scoring one goal or less and a dominating 47-27 (+14) after allowing four or more goals. While the Avs would love to avenge an earlier January loss, they're only 60-80 their L140 in the 'revenge' role. Price has come down considerably from its opener, providing value. Sharks roll. |
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02-28-19 | Flyers v. Blue Jackets -174 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
I’m playing on the Blue Jackets (6* VIOLATOR). The Flyers come in off a satisfying 5-2 win at home over Buffalo on Tuesday, their third straight win. Columbus comes in as the much hungrier side after its 5-2 loss to Pittsburgh. These teams are evenly matched as far as their seasonal numbers are concerned, as note that Philly averages 2.95 goals and it allows 3.33, while Columbus averages 2.78 and it concedes 2.97. But a little home cooking is just what the doctor ordered for the Blue Jackets to get back on track here as they’ve won 19 of the last 26 in this series overall, including 12 of the last 13 vs. the Flyers on home ice (note that the home team has won 20 of the last 29 in the series.) Look for the hungry home side to post a convincing victory here. |
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02-27-19 | Canucks v. Avalanche -172 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 10 m | Show | |
I’m playing on the Colorado Avalanche (8*). Vancouver ended a losing skid its last time out at the expense of the putrid Ducks, but I think that an immediate return to mediocrity is imminent. The Avs come in on top form though having won four of their last five. Colorado though won’t be lacking for motivation or focus here after falling to the Panthers in OT last time out. The Canucks beat Anaheim 4-1, but it was the first time in four games that they scored over two goals. I think the Canucks take a predictable step back in this difficult road arena. Lay the price, Avs roll. |
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02-26-19 | Stars v. Golden Knights -165 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 30 h 18 m | Show | |
I’m playing on the Las Vegas Knights (8* PERSONAL FAVORITE). The Stars acquired Mats Zuccarello from the Rangers on Saturday and he’d set up the game-opening goal for Dallas vs. Chicago on Sunday, before then breaking his arm shortly after trying to block a shot. The Golden Knights shipped some young talent to Ottawa to receive Mark Stone, who was considered by many to be the best two-way player available at the dead-line (Stone averaged more than a point per game with the Senators.) Whether Stone plays in this one or not, I still like the hungry home side here, as it comes in desperate after three straight losses. The Knights go with veteran Marc Andre Fleury in net and while he’s struggled of late, he’s gone 9-5-0 with a 2.28 GAA lifetime vs. the Stars. I’m banking on the hungry home side getting back on the winning track in this favorable matchup. Lay the price, Knights roll. |
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02-25-19 | Ducks v. Canucks -135 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 29 h 33 m | Show | |
I’m playing on (8*) the Vancouver Canucks. Vancouver still has a mathematical shot at the playoffs, so a visit vs. the hapless Ducks is a golden opportunity to pick up two points. Anaheim is just 5-22 in its last 27. Anaheim comes in off back-to-back deflating 2-1 road losses, most recently in Edmonton. Note that it was the tenth time in 13 games that Anaheim has been held to two or fewer goals (the Ducks own a league-worst 136 total goals scored.) Vancouver draws the line in the sane here after going 1-4-1 over its last six. That includes a poor 1-0 loss to these very Ducks. The Canucks will be especially motivated here after falling 4-0 at home to the Islanders, a game which they had a respectable 36 shots in. I’ll point out as well that Vancouver is 8-4 in its last 12 after a loss by two goals or more in its previous outing. Lay the price, Canucks roll. |
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02-25-19 | Panthers v. Avalanche -140 | 4-3 | Loss | -140 | 28 h 34 m | Show | |
I’m playing on (8*) the Colorado Avalanche. No upsets here in my opinion, as I think the Avs will take care of business in their own building. Both teams come in on top form, making the “home ice advantage” even more critical in my opinion. The Panthers are 4-1 in their last five, most recently dispatching the lowly Kings. The Avs enter having won four straight over Vegas, Winnipeg, Chicago and Nashville. “We kind of looked ourselves in the mirror,” leading scorer Nathan MacKinnon assessed. “We had to make a decision if we wanted to push for the playoffs or be a lottery team. We haven’t achieved our goal yet. Obviously we have 20 games left, but we’re on the right track so it feels good.” Despite its recent “up-tick” in play of late, I’ll point out that Florida is still just 2-6 in its last eight on the road. I’m expecting the red hot Avs to roll to another victory at home tonight. Lay it. |
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02-24-19 | Blues v. Wild -109 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 26 h 33 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Minnesota Wild (10* BEST BET). St. Louis won 11 straight before suffering a loss to 5-2 loss at Dallas. The Blues got back on track yesterday with a tough 2-1 shootout win over the Bruins, ending Boston’s seven game winning streak. No need to overthink this one in my opinion, as I believe the visiting side comes into this one with “heavy legs.” These teams plays just last week and the Wild fell 4-0. After losing five straight, the Wild enter having won two straight on the road at the Rangers and Wings. With a night off before two tough ones in Winnipeg and Calgary, I think the home side leaves everything on the ice at it attempts to avenge the earlier loss. All things considered, a great price. Wild roll. |
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02-23-19 | Kings v. Panthers -169 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 22 h 49 m | Show | |
I’m playing on the Florida Panthers (8* VIOLATOR). Neither team instills much confidence, but I look for the home side to find a way to get the job done vs. its lowly non-conference opponent tonight. The Panthers come off a loss to Carolina, but they’ll look to bounce back here with Roberto Luongo in net, as he’s 7-4-1 with a 2.42 GAA in 12 starts at home this year. A date vs. the hapless Kings is just what the doctor ordered for Florida as well as they’ve lost six straight. Kings’ goaltender Jon Quick has been a disaster all year and he’s struggled even more since the All Star break. I’m giving Luongo the clear “nod” in this matchup and for me, that’s the difference maker here. Lay the price, Panthers roll. |
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02-22-19 | Jets v. Golden Knights -142 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -142 | 15 h 56 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Las Vegas Knights (10* PERSONAL FAVORITE). Both teams have been a complete disaster of late. Each team desperately needs a victory to start to turn things around. But this “means more” to the Knights in my opinion. Despite their recent three-game slide, the Jets are still No. 1 in the Central. Winnipeg has been dealing with a flu bug, which has likely contributed to its shoddy play of late. Regardless, the Jets have indeed struggled of late, especially on the offensive by averaging only 2.25 GPG over their last eight. Note that Winnipeg goaltender Connor Hellebuyck is 1-2 with a 4.40 GAA lifetime vs. the Knights. Las Vegas net-minder Marc Andre Fleury is 21-6 with a 2.32 GAA lifetime vs. the Jets. Las Vegas still has an eight point lead over ninth place Chicago, but it won’t be lacking for motivation here after losing nine of its last 12. Note that the Jets are just 3-8 in their last 11 a road dog, while Vegas is 24-6 in its last 30 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. All things consider, this line could/should be a lot larger in my opinion. Lay it, Vegas rolls. |
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02-21-19 | Coyotes v. Canucks -135 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -135 | 26 h 19 m | Show |
I’m playing on (10*) on the Vancouver Canucks. I think that Arizona has a letdown here after its 3-2 shootout road win in Edmonton Tuesday. The Canucks will look to take advantage of familiar surroundings and to bounce back from a tough 3-2 road loss in San Jose on Saturday night. This is an in-season double revenge scenario for the Canucks as well, having dropped both previous meetings to the Coyotes so far, including a 4-3 OT home loss in the most recent on January 10th. Additionally note that Arizona is still only 7-12 (-4 units) this year following a division game. I think the Canucks bounce back from their latest loss and take advantage of a few extra days rest. All things considered, a great price. Lay it, Canucks roll. |
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02-21-19 | Senators v. Devils -136 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 23 h 20 m | Show | |
I’m playing on (8*) the New Jersey Devils. Neither side instills much confidence, but the Senators come to town off an exhausting/deflating 8-7 loss to the Blackhawks on Monday and I fully expect a predictable letdown here. Sens’ net minder Anders Nilsson gave up four goals on 12 shots, before getting replaced by Craig Anderson, who allowed four goals on 30 shots. The Devils’ two game win streak ended with a 4-3 loss to the Penguins last time out. New Jersey though is 7-2 in its last nine home games after allowing four goals or more, while Ottawa is just 3-7 (-2.5 units) this year when playing with two days of rest. This one has blowout written all over it. Lay the price, Devils roll. |
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02-21-19 | Capitals v. Maple Leafs -160 | 3-2 | Loss | -160 | 23 h 20 m | Show | |
I’m playing on (8*) the Toronto Maple Leafs. Toronto stumbled down the stretch of its Western swing, losing its final two, including an OT loss in St. Louis on Tuesday. Perhaps the Leafs were getting caught looking ahead to this one. The favorite is 20-7 the last 27 in this series and I expect that strong trend to continue here as I believe a little “home cooking” is just what the doctor ordered for the Leafs. Washington has been on a roll of late, but it’s still only 2-5 in its last seven on the road and just 1-5 in its last six following a victory. I’m banking on Toronto coming into this one focused. Lay the price, Leafs roll. |
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02-20-19 | Bruins v. Golden Knights -115 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -115 | 25 h 7 m | Show |
I’m playing on (10*) the Las Vegas Golden Knights. After winning six straight, including a controversial OT victory in San Jose last time out, I believe the Bruins will finally falter here. The Knights lost in Boston 4-1 earlier in the year and they’ll be desperate to avenge that setback, but more to get back on the winning track after losing eight of their last 11. Clearly this isn’t the “same” Golden Knights team as last year’s club, but the overall situation is overwhelmingly in favor of the home side in my opinion (additionally note that Vegas is 9-2, +7.4 units this season after scoring 1 goals or less in its previous contest.) Lay the price, Knights roll. |
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02-20-19 | Islanders v. Flames -145 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 24 h 27 m | Show | |
I’m playing on (8*) the Calgary Flames. Both teams have been a “surprise” this year. The Islanders more so as they hit the West Coast as No. 1 in the Metropolitan. The Isles are off a 5-2 win in Edmonton, but I believe they’ll have their hands full here finally vs. the red hot Flames, who most recently routed Arizona at home 5-2 on Monday. With much more “winnable” games on the horizon (Vancouver), I believe the visitors come out flat here. It’s interesting to note as well that the Isles are already just 1-4 (-3.1 units) this season when playing with three or more days of rest. The Flames on the other hand are 15-7 (+8.8 units) in their last 22 vs. clubs with winning records. Lay the price, Calgary rolls. |
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02-20-19 | Blackhawks v. Red Wings -112 | 5-4 | Loss | -112 | 22 h 27 m | Show | |
I’m playing on (8*) the Red Wings. Chicago started the season horribly, but the Blackhawks come in having won nine of their last 11. The Wings are the much “hungrier” side here though and I believe that’s going to make the difference in this one (Detroit has lost five of its last seven.) However, despite its recent “up-tick” in play, Chicago averages 3.2 goals and concedes 3.6 overall this season. The Wings average 2.8 goals and they allow 3.2. Chicago though is just 1-3 (-2.3 units) in its last four after playing three straight home games. I like the “hungrier” home side to end Chicago’s recent run of success as I look for it come out flat to open this road trip. |
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02-19-19 | Coyotes v. Oilers -150 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -150 | 27 h 4 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Edmonton Oilers (10* GAME OF THE WEEK). Neither of these teams instills much confidence, but after Arizona’s listless 5-2 loss in Calgary just last night, I believe the visitors come out flat here as well vs. the hungry home side. The Oilers most recently fell 5-2 in Long Island on Saturday. These teams have split two meetings this year, with each winning in the others arena. The Oilers play with revenge here though after they lost most recently here 3-2 to the Coyotes on January 12th. Arizona averages 2.59 goals and it allows 2.86, while the Oilers average 2.76 goals and they allow 3.36. Arizona though is still just 10-12 (-1.2 units) this year vs. teams with losing records, while Edmonton is 18-14 (+5.6 units) in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. No more excuses for Edmonton, as this essentially becomes a “must win” for the franchise. Lay it, Oilers roll. |
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02-18-19 | Bruins v. Sharks -141 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -141 | 16 h 44 m | Show |
I’m playing on the San Jose Sharks (3* VIOLATOR). After five straight wins, I think the Bruins finally have a letdown here in the final game of their Western swing. Most recently Boston got the better of the Kings in LA 4-2 on Saturday. But knocking off the lowly Kings is one thing and getting the better of San Jose in the Shark Tank is quite another though. San Jose is tied atop the Pacific Division with Calgary and it won’t be taking this home contest for granted, as the Sharks will hit the road for a tough four-game Eastern road swing after this. San Jose is 7-1 in its last eight home games as the favorite, while Boston is just 6-14 in its last 20 as a road underdog. Look for San Jose to leave everything on the ice and to find a way to get the job done. Lay the price, Sharks roll. |
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02-17-19 | Canadiens v. Panthers -130 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 24 h 43 m | Show | |
I’m playing on the Florida Panthers (9* PERSONAL FAVORITE). Montreal comes in “dog tired” here after its game in Tampa Bay just last night. Florida comes in rested and with momentum after its 3-2 home win over Calgary. The Panthers also play with double revenge after dropping both previous games to the Habs. Florida has been playing better of late overall as well, having gone 6-4 in its last ten. It’s now or never and do or die for the home side in this one. No more excuses, as this one sets up great for the Panthers to avenge the two earlier losses. A great price as well. Lay it, Florida rolls. |
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02-17-19 | Blues v. Wild -120 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -120 | 25 h 36 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Minnesota Wild (10* ANNIHILATOR). St. Louis comes to town off a 3-0 road win in Colorado, but I think it’ll stumble here finally in this difficult road arena. The Wild on the other hand come in as the “hungrier” team after its 5-4 loss at home to New Jersey. St. Louis has gone 15-12 on the road, averaging 2.67 goals and allowing 2.37 in those games. All good things have to come to an end eventually and after nine straight victories, I think St. Louis will in fact finally suffer a letdown here. The Wild don’t have that luxury. In fact Minnesota comes in desperate to break a three-game slide. The Wild are only 13-16 at home, averaging and conceding 2.97 goals in those contests. Note though that Minnesota is 9-3 in its last 12 after allowing five or more goals in its previous contest, while St. Louis is just 3-10 in its last 13 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation. St. Louis is 0-5 in its last five in this series and I think all of the above strong trends continue here. Lay the price, Wild roll. |
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02-17-19 | Rangers v. Penguins -201 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 17 h 13 m | Show | |
I’m playing on the Pittsburgh Penguins (6* MEMBER ONLY). New York comes to town content after a 6-2 road win in Buffalo. Pittsburgh has been all over the map as far as its game to game consistency this season, but after a 5-4 home loss to Calgary, I believe the home side comes in as the much “hungrier” team. Despite the win the Rangers are still just 5-5 in their last ten. New York is 10-17 on the road, averaging 2.70 goals and allowing 3.96 in those games. As mentioned above, the Penguins have been consistently inconsistent all year, but they’ve been at their best at home by going 16-12 overall, averaging 3.48 goals and conceding 3.21 in those contests. The Rangers are just 8-22 in their last 30 on the road vs. teams with a winning home record and I expect them to once again stumble here vs. this now razor focused home side. Lay the price, Penguins roll. |
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02-15-19 | Rangers v. Sabres -150 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -150 | 24 h 32 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Buffalo Sabres (10* PERS FAV). Off a tough 4-3 road loss in Winnipeg on Tuesday, I think the Rangers will have difficulty here as well vs. their upstate rival. At 24-24-8 (56 points), New York is second to last in the Metropolitan. The Sabres come in on the other end of the spectrum after a quality 3-1 win over the dangerous Islanders on Tuesday. At 28-21-7 (63 points), the Sabres remain in the hunt at fifth in the Atlantic. Rangers’ goalie Henrik Lundqvist is 16-15-8 with a 3.02 GAA, while Sabres’ net minder Linus Ullmark is 13-5-4 with a 2.89 GAA. New York’s achilles heel is its play on the road, as it’s lost 36 of its last 51 away from friendly confines. The home team is 4-0 the last four in this series and I look for all of these trends to carry over here. Lay the price, Sabres roll. |
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02-14-19 | Canadiens v. Predators -158 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 36 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Nashville Predators (10* BEST OF BEST) Montreal has been much better this season than last, but I still think it’s going to stumble in this difficult road arena. The Habs come in off a loss to Toronto. The Predators are behind the Jets in the Central division, but after two straight home losses, Nashville comes in razor focused to this one in my opinion. And a closer look at the numbers definitely points to the home side having the advantage today, as Montreal averages 3.00 GPG and allows 2.9, while Nashville averages 3.1 goals and allows only 2.6. Additionally note that Montreal is a poor 22-35 (-14 units) in its last 57 trying to revenge a home loss vs. an opponent (Nashville won North of the border earlier in the year), while the Predators are still 17-6 (+9.2 units) this season vs. clubs with winning records. Lay the price, Preds roll. |
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02-12-19 | Flyers v. Wild -145 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -145 | 26 h 55 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Minnesota Wild (10* PERS FAV). The Flyers have been hot of late. Philadelphia though enters off a 4-1 loss at home to Pittsburgh just last night and I think it’s going to have a hell of a time “getting up” for this difficult road contest just 24 hours later. Despite their recent win streak, Philadelphia is still averaging only 2.8 GPG, while allowing 3.3. The Wild won’t be “looking past” their opponent today, as they’ve lost five of their last six. Minnesota averages 2.8 goals and it allows 2.9. Philadelphia though is a terrible 2-5 in its last seven when playing the second game of a back-to-back, while Minnesota is 4-1 in its last five when playing on one days rest. I think the more rested, more focused and more determined home side offers great value in this spot. Lay the price, Wild roll. |
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02-12-19 | Blackhawks v. Bruins -190 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 25 h 43 m | Show | |
I’m playing on the Boston Bruins (6* BM BLOWOUT). I think the home side is well worth the price of admission in this spot. The Hawks come to town off a 5-2 home win over Detroit, while the Bruins needed OT to pull away for a 2-1 win over the Avs in their latest action. The Hawks are back in the playoff hunt after seven straight wins, but I think they’ll come up short here in this difficult road arena. Chicago is still just 11-17 on the road this season, averaging 3.29 goals, but allowing 3.82 in those contests. The Bruins have been at their best at home this season, going 20-10, averaging 3.40 goals and allowing only 2.43. The Bruins have been money in the bank for bettors in this spot as well by going 26-10 in their last 36 as a favorite in the -150 to -200 range. The Hawks though are only 7-15 in their last 22 when playing on one days rest. Lay this price and expected a lop-sided outcome. Bruins roll. |
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02-10-19 | Jets -131 v. Sabres | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 20 h 3 m | Show |
I’m playing on Winnipeg (10* VIOLATOR). Winnipeg will be eager to get back on track after a 5-2 road loss in Ottawa. The Sabres on the other hand look ready for a letdown here after their 3-1 home win over the Wings. Winnipeg comes in desperate here after three straight losses. Despite the slide, the Jets still have a one-point lead over Nashville in the Central, but clearly they’ll be risking everything today to get back to their winning form. At one point this season the Sabres won ten in a row, but since they’ve gone just 10-19. The Sabres are also only 1-4 in their last five home games following a home win by two goals or more. The Jets have resounded well in this spot by going 12-2 in their last 14 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation. Lay this reasonable price, Winnipeg rolls. |
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02-09-19 | Blue Jackets v. Golden Knights -156 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -156 | 27 h 4 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Golden Knights (10* GAME OF WEEK). Columbus has been poor on the road this year and I think that trend carries over in this difficult road arena. This is a revenge game for the home side as well after falling 1-0 in Columbus earlier in the season. Columbus comes in having won two straight on the road, but a letdown is imminent here in my opinion against a Knights team which is just 4-6 in its last ten and which has dropped two straight at home. Vegas is still 14-6 in its last 20 at home and it’s been extremely competitive against the Eastern Conference, going 7-1 in its last eight home meetings. Off two straight home losses and with revenge on their mind, look for the Knights to finally put it together on Saturday night. Lay the price, Vegas rolls. |
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02-07-19 | Sharks v. Flames -128 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -128 | 28 h 40 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Calgary Flames (10* PERS FAV) This is a battle between two of the top teams in the Pacific. I think the Calgary will find a way to protect home ice in the end though. Calgary beat SJ 7-6 in its most recent win in the series, but this time around I’m expecting a more decisive win. San Jose averages 3.57 goals and it allows 3.11. Calgary averages 3.72 GPG and it allows just 2.83. Note that the Sharks are still a terrible 48-56 (-17.9 units) in their last 104 vs. teams with winning records, while the Flames are 14-7 (+8 units) vs. teams with winning records. I think this line could/should easily be much larger. Lay the price, Flames roll. |
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02-05-19 | Golden Knights v. Lightning -171 | 3-2 | Loss | -171 | 27 h 1 m | Show | |
I’m playing on the Tampa Bay LIGHTNING (6* BLUE MARLIN) Two of the top teams in their respective divisions collides, but I think that the home side takes advantage of familiar surroundings and finds a way to get the job done in the end. The Knights’ win streak though is firmly in the rear view mirror after four straight losses. That includes two straight on the road. With a much more “winnable” contest in Detroit on Thursday to conclude their four game trip, I think the visitors get caught “looking ahead.” The Lightning come in off back-to-back wins and have had two whole nights off to rest and prepare. And with the lowly Blues coming to town next, the home side can focus on this favorable matchup. The Lighting are well worth the price of admission in this one. Lay the price, Tampa rolls. |
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02-04-19 | Canucks v. Flyers -145 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 28 h 36 m | Show |
I’m playing on the Philadelphia Flyers (10* PERSONAL FAVORITE) I think the home side is worth the price of admission in this one. Vancouver enters off a 5-1 road win over Colorado, while Philly held on for a 5-4 OT victory at home over Edmonton most recently. Despite their most recent win though, the Nucks are still just 12-15 on the road, averaging 2.74 goals and allowing 3.19 in those contests. At some point the Flyers are going to have a “letdown,” but after seven straight victories, I think that Philadelphia will keep the momentum rolling for at least one more game. Philly is now 12-13 at home, averaging 2.99 goals and allowing 3.20. The Canucks are also a terrible 20-39 (-13.2 units) in their last 59 after scoring four goals or more in their previous contest, while Philadelphia is 21-10 (+11.6 units) following a three game unbeaten streak. Lay the price, Flyers roll. |
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02-03-19 | Bruins v. Capitals -115 | 1-0 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 5 m | Show | |
8* VIOLATOR on Washington Capitals. I had a play on Washington in its 4-3 home win over the Flames. It was the Capitals first game back from the All Star break and they managed the victory without offensive star Alexander Ovechkin. The win snapped a seven-game slide. The defending champs are expected to have Ovi back in the line-up today and I think they’ll find a way to get the job done here as well. Boston comes in off a poor 3-2 OT loss at home to Philadelphia. Here’s a shocking stat: note that Bruins’ goaltender Tuukka Rask is just 1-16 with a 3.30 GAA lifetime vs. the Capitals. Boston is just 10-14 on the road, averaging 2.29 goals and allowing 2.79. Washington on the other hand is averaging 3.35 goals and allowing 2.88 at home. A great price and a great overall situation for the home side here. Lay the price, Capitals roll. |
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02-02-19 | Golden Knights v. Panthers -104 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 41 m | Show |
10* GAME OF MONTH on the Florida Panthers. The Knights will be entering this one with “heavy legs” off a game in Carolina on Friday night and I think the home side takes advantage. Florida is in action as well on Friday vs. Predators at home, making the “home ice advantage” that much more important in this situation. With a game at league leading Tampa up next as well, I think the Knights get caught looking ahead to that more high profile match-up. It’s a perfect storm of situational factors working in favor of Florida tonight. A great price too! All of these factors collide to make this one my GAME OF THE MONTH. |
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02-01-19 | Flames v. Capitals -102 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 26 h 29 m | Show |
I’m playing on the CAPITALS (10* PERSONAL FAVORITE) Calgary is no joke at 33-18. The Capitals have some ground to make up as they come out of the break at 27-23. Calgary comes in off a 3-2 OT home win over Carolina, while Washington enters off a 6-3 loss in Toronto. Calgary has been admittedly fantastic on the road this year (16-9 away from friendly confines), but Washington has been at its best at home, averaging 3.32 goals and allowing 2.88. It would be easy to pick the Flames here, who have won seven of their last ten. But now that the second half of the season is here, I look for Washington to dip deep here as it desperately tries to break a seven-game slide. Great line value on the hungry home side. Caps roll. |
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01-29-19 | Flyers v. Rangers -127 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -127 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
I'm playing on NY (10* PERS FAV). While the Flyers knocked off the Jets last night, they're just 3-8 (-5.3) off a win by two or more goals and 2-5 (-3.1) when playing the second of b2b games. They're also now on the road; they're a poor 6-15, when playing a road game with an O/U line of six or greater, 9-16 on the road overall. The Rangers don't get much respect but they've remained competitive at home. Look for them to return from the break refreshed and expect them to avenge an earlier pair of losses. |
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01-29-19 | Sabres v. Blue Jackets -166 | 5-4 | Loss | -166 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS (8* VIOLATOR). The Sabres are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Jackets have had plenty of time off to let their anger over b2b losses grow. They're 14-4 (+10.1) the past 2+ seasons, when playing with three or more day's rest in between games. During the same span, the Sabres were 7-11 (-4.2) when playing with three or more day's rest in between games. The Jackets have dominated the Sabres here. Expect that to continue this evening. |
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01-23-19 | Wild v. Avalanche -119 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -119 | 29 h 24 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLORADO (10* GAME OF WEEK). These teams met twice back in October. In each case, the home team won. I expect home ice to prove significant once again. While I won with the Wild in their last game, that came at Vegas. Teams often don't fare that well, in the game following a win at Vegas. A look at the last three meetings here shows that the Avs have gone 3-0 while outscoring the Wild by a commanding 18-4 margin. Expect them to finish on top once again. |
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01-22-19 | Hurricanes v. Flames -176 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CALGARY (8*). These teams have both been playing well. They will soon meet again in Raleigh. The Canes might take that one but I fully expect the well-rested Flames to hold serve at home tonight. The Flames are 5-2 when playing with two day's rest, 20-11 in that situation the past 2+ seasons. Look for home ice to prove significant. While the Canes are 10-13 on the road, the Flames are 16-9 at home. With the Flames now 9-2 since New Year's, I'm laying the wood. |
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01-22-19 | Red Wings v. Oilers -143 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -143 | 13 h 56 m | Show |
I'm playing on EDMONTON (10* PERS FAV). If the Oilers, desperate for a win, can't beat a poor Detroit team, they truly do have serious problems. I personally feel that they should also give Hitchcock, the coach, the GM job, at least for the rest of the year. Either way, the Oilers know that this is basically must win time. I expect them to respond accordingly. This is a team that they know they can beat, they've arguably got a big edge in talent. The Oilers already won at Detroit. Catching the Wings on the road, where they're just 8-16, expect them to do so again. |
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01-20-19 | Red Wings v. Canucks -133 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
I'm playing on VANCOUVER. While the Wings are off a 6-4 loss at Calgary, the Canucks come in with some positive momentum. They defeated the Sabres last time out, their second win in the past three games, all at home. The Canucks like their home-cooking. They're now 6-3 (+4.3) after playing their previous three or more on the road. With a chance for a rare 'winning streak,' look for them to get some payback from an earlier loss at Detroit. |
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01-19-19 | Sharks v. Lightning -140 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 25 h 55 m | Show |
I'm playing on TAMPA (10* NON-CONF GAME OF MONTH). Stanley Cup preview? You never know! Either way, this evening, playing on home ice, I expect the Lightning to have edge. The Sharks won 5-2 when these teams met at SJ a couple of weeks ago. However, the Lightning won by the same score when the teams last played here at Tampa. Even factoring in the earlier result at SJ, the Sharks are just 9-10 against teams with a winning record. The Lightning, meanwhile, are 17-7 (+8.1) against winning teams. Off a 4-2 loss at Toronto, note that Tampa is also 6-1 after a loss by two or more goals and 13-2 after allowing four or more. Payback time. |
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01-17-19 | Jets v. Predators -145 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -145 | 14 h 52 m | Show |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE (10* VIOLATOR). Huge game between the top two teams in the West. I expect home ice to prove significant. I respect the Jets and won with them in their last game, an emotional 'payback' victory against Vegas. That was at Winnipeg, where they're very tough to beat. They're still solid on the road (12-8) but far more beatable. The Predators, meanwhile, are a dominant 16-7 here at Nashville. The win over Vegas marked the Jets' third straight victory, all of those coming at Winnipeg. Note that they're just 16-18 (-8.3) the past couple of seasons, off three or more consecutive wins. The Jets' last road game resulted in a loss, at Minnesota. Prior to that, they lost 4-0, at Pittsburgh. The Preds typically up their game when facing other top opponents. With a chance to gain ground in the standings, expect the Preds to do so here, improve to 16-4 their last 20 against teams with a winning record. |
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01-15-19 | Penguins v. Sharks -140 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 16 h 54 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SJ (8* VIOLATOR). These teams split a pair of games last January, the home team winning each. I expect home ice to again prove significant. While the Pens are 12-10 on the road, the Sharks are 16-8 at home. The Pens are off a loss at LA, the Sharks are a perfect 6-0 since the calendar flipped to 2019. Playing their best hockey of the season and catching their guests right in the middle of a road trip, expect the Sharks to keep on rolling for another day. |
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01-15-19 | Golden Knights v. Jets -127 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 57 m | Show |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG (10* GAME OF WEEK). Needless to say, the Jets have had this one circled. After winning the first game of last May's playoff series, the Jets appeared to be in good shape. The Knights shocked the Jets by winning the next four straight. While a win tonight won't make up for those losses, it's still very important to the Jets and their fans. Winnipeg's Andrew Copp said: "...there's definitely a little bit of revenge factor. We owe them ..." Both teams are off 4-3 victories. Thats noteworthy as the Knights are 8-10 after scoring four or more goals while the Jets are 15-8, after doing so. While the Knights are 13-13 on the road, the Jets are 17-8 at home. All things considered, the line could easily be higher. Payback time. |
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01-14-19 | Sabres v. Oilers -118 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 15 h 16 m | Show |
I'm playing on EDMONTON (10* PERSONAL FAVORITE). When the Oilers hosted the Sabres last season, they were laying -245. True, the Sabres are improved since then. But not so much to justify that massive a change in line from one season to another. The fact that they hammered the Oilers in that game (5-0) should provide ensure the home team doesn't get caught sleeping tonight. A "streaky" team all season, Buffalo is off b2b losses. Its also worth mentioning that the Sabres are also an ugly 3-13 the last 16 times that they played a road game with an O/U line of six or more. Time is running out for the Oilers. Expect them to play with desperation en route to an important two points. |
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01-14-19 | Canadiens v. Bruins -170 | 3-2 | Loss | -170 | 14 h 44 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BOSTON (8* ANNIHILATOR). These longtime rivals met once in October, once in November and once in December. The Canadiens won the first. The Bruins have won each of the last two. In all three cases, the road team finished on top. I expect things to change and home ice to prove significant this evening. The Habs are 12-11 on the road, the Bruins are 16-6 at home. Its also worth mentioning that the Canadiens are an ugly 44-72 (-31.9) the past few seasons, when facing a team which defeated them in the previous meeting. The Habs are 7-9 within the division, the Bruins are 12-7. Lay the wood. |
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01-14-19 | Blackhawks v. Devils -140 | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NJ (8* VIOLATOR). The Devils got back on track last time out, snapping a 3-game skid. The same cannot be said for the Hawks, who have now dropped three in a row themselves. All three losses came by identical 4-3 margins. Note that the Hawks are now an ugly 29-48 (-19.3) the past 2+ seasons, after allowing four or more goals. During the same span, they're also a money-burning 10-25 (-16.8) after three or more consec. losses. While the Hawks are terrible on the road, the Devils are solid at home. All things considered, this price could easily be higher. Devils roll. |
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01-12-19 | Coyotes v. Oilers -137 | 3-2 | Loss | -137 | 29 h 59 m | Show | |
I'm playing on EDMONTON (10* GAME OF THE YEAR). I won with the Oilers in their last game and I feel that they're providing us excellent value once again on Saturday. The Oilers are going to be happy to see the Coyotes. Edmonton has beaten the Coyotes each of the last two meetings, winning seven of the last eight. They've beaten the Coyotes four straight times, at Edmonton. I've previously mentioned that the Oilers are better than their record indicates and that they still have hopes to turn things around. The same cannot be said for the Coyotes, who are just 5-13 the past 18 times that they played a road game with an O/U line of six or greater. Both teams had Friday off. The Oilers also have Sunday off. The Coyotes, on the other hand, are playing the front end of back-to-back road games, as they face Calgary tomorrow. While the Coyotes average 2.6 goals per game on the road, the Oilers average more than three per game at home. Expect them to continue their recent dominance in the series. |
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01-10-19 | Panthers v. Oilers -118 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 46 m | Show | |
I'm playing on EDMONTON (8*). The Oilers are going to be hungry. The Panthers beat them at Florida earlier this season and also beat them here at Edmonton, scoring seven goals in the process, last season. Speaking of seven goals, the Oilers, 15-11 (+5.6) in the revenge role, gave up seven last time out, adding additional motivation. January hasn't been good to the Panthers. They've lost three straight to start 2019 and are now a money-burning 9-17 (-8.9) in January the past few seasons. Expect the Oilers to be the team which bounces back. |
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01-10-19 | Predators v. Blue Jackets -120 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS (8*). The Jackets have the schedule in their favor. While they had yesterday off, the Preds are off a hard-fought game, at Chicago. Not only are they playing the second of b2b games and third game in four days, but the Preds are also playing their fifth game in seven days. Thats about as tough a stretch as you'll see in the NHL. In addition to having yesterday off, the Jackets had two days off, prior to Tuesday's game. Expect them to have the fresher legs. While the Preds are very tough at home, they're far more beatable on the road. Even with yesterday's win, they're still a mediocre 12-11 away from Nashville. The Jackets are 34-19 (+12.5) the past 2+ seasons, when off a loss by two or more goals, 9-3 their last 12 in that situation. Expect them to improve on those stats this evening. |
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01-10-19 | Capitals v. Bruins -136 | 4-2 | Loss | -136 | 13 h 45 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BOSTON (8*). As a handicapping tool, 'revenge' can often be over-rated. Hockey teams play a lot of games and they all lose their fair share of them. Each of those losses don't cause teams to "get up" more than normal for a game. That said, some of them do. I believe that this will be one of those cases. When these teams met earlier, the Capitals embarrassed the Bruins by a 7-0 margin, celebrating their Stanley Cup win at the same time. Thats not just any loss, thats a destruction. (Some of you will recall that we won with Washington in that one.) The type that will cause the revenge factor to actually mean something. Of course, having lost 13 straight times to the Caps will also add plenty of motivation for Boston. Off five straight wins, the Bruins are among the hottest teams in the league. They're a dominant 16-5. Expect them to finally beat the Caps. |
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01-08-19 | Devils v. Sabres -135 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 27 h 11 m | Show |
I'm playing on BUFFALO (10* NHL GAME OF MONTH. This will mark the Sabres' second home game of 2019. They won their first and I expect another highly motivated effort here. Over the past few seasons, the Devils have made themselves at home here at Buffalo. Times have changed.The Sabres are an excellent 13-8 (13-5-3) here at Buffalo. The Devils, on the other hand, are a dismal 5-17 (5-14-3) on the road. They're coming off a trip to Vegas, which can be difficult on teams. Either way, the Sabres are going to be determined to show the Devils that a trip to Buffalo can no longer be pencilled in as a guaranteed two points. They also know that six of their next seven come on the road, with the lone home game coming against Tampa. In other words, the Sabres know that they need to take advantage of a NJ team which has been terrible on the road and which remains without Taylor Hall, its top offensive player. Expect them to do just that. |
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01-06-19 | Stars v. Jets -148 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG (8* PERS FAV). The Stars are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off a 4-0 loss and having now dropped three of their last four, the Jets are going to be angry. Note that they're 7-2 when off a loss by two or more goals. Further motivation stems from the fact that the Stars already beat them 5-1 in this season's earlier meeting, at Dallas. Note that the Jets are a lucrative 56-42 (+11) in the revenge role, the past 2+ seasons. While Dallas is 8-13 on the road, the Jets are 13-8 at home. They beat the Stars 4-2 here last season and I expect another victory today. |
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01-06-19 | Rangers v. Coyotes -124 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
I'm playing on ARIZONA (10* ANNIHILATOR). The road has not been kind to the Rangers. They're 6-13 away from MSG. With an upcoming trip to Sin City on deck, it should be easy for them to look past the Coyotes. Arizona played hard but lost in a shootout last time out. The Coyotes match up well against the Rangers and already beat them at NY. They're already a profitable 4-2 (+3.3) on the season, when off three or more consecutive losses. Knowing that they're going to hit the road for their next few games, look for a determined Coyote team to stop the bleeding and close out the homestand with a victory. |
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01-05-19 | Islanders v. Blues -125 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
I'm playing on ST. LOUIS (10* VIOLATOR). Admittedly, the Isles have been hot. They've certainly fared better than most expected, after losing Tavares to Toronto in the offseason. I believe that they're over-achieving a bit though and I expect some current injuries, including ones to Filppula and Eberle, to catch up with them here. Note that the Isles are a money-burning 47-80 (-44.1) over the years, when on a winning streak of three or more games. The Blues got back on track with a convincing 5-2 win over the defending champs last time out. They're now 45-29 (+11.5) their last 74 against Eastern Conference opponents. Expect the Blues to build positive momentum from the Capital win and improve on those stats this evening. |
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01-04-19 | Devils v. Coyotes -118 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -118 | 29 h 39 m | Show |
I'm playing on ARIZONA (10* GAME OF WEEK). In recent seasons, home ice has been extremely significant when these teams have met. In 2016, the Devils won 5-3 at home. The Coyotes returned the favor with a 5-4 win, here in the desert. Last season, the Devils again won by a single goal (4-3) at home. However, the Coyotes hammered them 5-0 in the rematch here at Phoenix. Home ice means more to this season's Devils than it does to most teams. When playing at home, the Devils are a respectable 11-4-4, or 11-8 vs. the money-line. However, when playing on the road, they're an ugly 4-16 vs. the money-line. On Friday, playing without their best player (Taylor Hall) and points leader, they'll be facing a hungry Arizona team, determined to get back on track. It should be easy for the Devils to look ahead to their upcoming trip to Vegas. Coyotes roll. |
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01-03-19 | Canucks v. Canadiens -170 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MONTREAL (8* VIOLATOR). While the Canadiens had the past couple of days off, the Canucks played Ottawa yesterday, winning by a 4-3 score. The Canucks are just 11-19 the past 30 times that they played the second of b2b games though; don't expect another victory. Over the past couple of seasons, Vancouver is a dismal 19-37, after scoring four or more goals in its previous game. Including a November win at Vancouver, the Canadiens have beaten the Canucks six straight times. They've won the past two meetings here at Montreal by a combined score of 8-2. Schedule in their favor, expect them to continue that series dominance this evening. |
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12-31-18 | Kings v. Avalanche -174 | 3-2 | Loss | -174 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLORADO (6* BIG JUICE ANNIHILATOR). The Avs are going to be extremely motivated and focused to get back on track and close the year strong. The Kings were just in Vegas and they return their immediately after this. It should be easy for them to focus on New Year's. While the Kings are 6-12 on the road, the Avs can get to 500 at home (and overall) with a win. Lay the wood. |
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12-31-18 | Rangers v. Blues -160 | 2-1 | Loss | -160 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ST. LOUIS (6*). Off a 6-1 loss to the Penguins, the Blues are going to be fired up to bounce back. The last time that they allowed more than four goals they immediately responded with b2b victories. While the Rangers may have managed an unlikely win at Nashville last time out, they're still a dismal 5-12 on the road overall. The Blues, who were laying -215 for the game here, took both last season's meetings. Expect them to finish on top once again. |
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12-31-18 | Penguins v. Wild -118 | 3-2 | Loss | -118 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA (8*). Given the venue, this line could easily be higher. While the Penguins, who are a mediocre 9-9 on the road, have won the last two meetings at Pittsburgh, the Wild have beaten them the last two meetings here at Minnesota. The Wild got back on track with an important win at Winnipeg last time out. Knowing that this is their last home game for some time, expect them to carry the positive momentum into this one, home ice again proving the difference. |
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12-31-18 | Islanders v. Sabres -125 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
I'm playing on BUFFALO (10* GAME OF WEEK). The Isles have been on a nice roll. Off an impressive 4-0 win against (former Islander) Tavares and the Leafs, they've now won three straight and six of seven. I expect a hungry Buffalo team to bring them back down to earth this evening. The Sabres have made great strides this year. Off b2b losses, they're going to be extremely motivtated to get back on track and to close the year a winner. The Isles are already 0-2 this season off a shutout win. Looking back a bit further finds them at 6-11 the past 2+ seasons, when having won three or more consecutive games. The Sabres are 12-7 on home ice. The last time that they were off b2b losses, they responded with a 3-0 shutout win. Expect them to bounce back once again. |
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12-31-18 | Canucks v. Devils -145 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NEW JERSEY (8* BREAKFAST CLUB). The early start time should favor the Devils as opposed to their West Coast based guests. The Devils are going to be highly motivated to close out the year with a win for the home fans, particularly knowing that their next four games will come on the road. They're a respectable 10-8 at home compared to an ugly 4-15 on the road. The Devils swept the Canucks again last season, after also doing so the previous year. Expect more of the same this afternoon. |
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12-28-18 | Canadiens v. Panthers -143 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -143 | 27 h 1 m | Show |
I'm playing on FLORIDA (10* GAME OF MONTH). Price won't be between the pipes for the Habs, as he didn't make the trip. That leaves Niemi, who has a poor 4.14 GAA and 0.876 save percentage expected to get the call. Either way, the Canadiens were going to be in tough. The last three meetings between these teams have seen the Panthers go 3-0 and win by a combined score of 9-0. Thats right, the Habs haven't managed a single goal. They had Price in for one of those and it didn't help; Niemi was in for another. Luongo recorded two of those three shutouts for Florida and he's expected to be in there tonight. Advantage Florida. In addition to having a likely advantage in goal, the Panthers also have a scoring advantage. They average 3.6 goals per game at home, compared to Montreal's 2.83 g.p.g. average on the road. This is the first game back (from Christmas) for both teams and that also figures to favor Florida. The Panthers are 9-5 (+3.5) the past 2+ seasons, when playing with three or more day's rest in between games. During the same span, the Canadiens are 6-12 (-8.2) when playing with three day's rest. With four wins in their past five, the Panthers are playing some of their best hockey of the season. Expect them to keep on rolling for at least another night. |
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12-27-18 | Ducks v. Sharks -166 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 26 h 12 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SAN JOSE (8*). Both teams have dropped three in a row. Both are going to be hungry to return from the break with a victory. Playing at home, I expect the Sharks to be the team which gets one. While the Sharks are only a modest 11-8 at home, the Ducks are below 500 on the road. The Ducks are 6-9 when playing a road game with an O/U line of 5.5; the Sharks are 5-1 when playing a home game with an O/U line of 5.5. Expect them to improve on those stats Thursday. |
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12-27-18 | Canucks v. Oilers -160 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -160 | 25 h 47 m | Show |
I'm playing on EDMONTON (10* PERS FAV). The Canucks won when these teams met 11 days ago. However, that was at Vancouver and tonight's game will be played at Edmonton. The Oilers are 10-7 at home. The Canucks are 8-12 on the road. Note that the Oilers are 14-8 (+7.8) their last 22 in the 'revenge' role. Even factoring in their 12/16 win, the Canucks are an ugly 24-44 (-11.7) in divisional games the past 2+ seasons. During that span, the Oilers are 47-33 (+11.5) against divisional foes. The break came at a good time for the Oilers as they'd lost three straight. They've still got big plans for the season and I expect them to return refreshed and ready to go. |
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12-27-18 | Stars v. Predators -165 | 2-0 | Loss | -165 | 24 h 47 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE (8*). The Christmas break came at the right time for the Predators, who'd been on a 4-game slide. Note that all four losses were on the road. Now, the Preds play at home, where they're an outstanding 14-5. Meanwhile, Dallas is an ugly 7-13 on the road. While the Stars would surely love to avenge an earlier loss at Dallas, they're just 15-27 (-13.7) the past couple of seasons, when attempting to avenge a home loss. During that stretch, the Preds are 18-8 after playing three or more in a row on the road and 7-2 (+5.9) after losing three or more in a row. Expect them to improve on those stats Thursday. |
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12-22-18 | Stars v. Wild -158 | 2-1 | Loss | -158 | 24 h 58 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA (8* PERS FAV). The Wild badly need a victory and a victory from slumping Dallas figures to be just what the doctor ordered. True, long-time Minnesota hockey fans still love taking down the Stars when they come to town. (The Dallas Stars were originally founded as the Minnesota North Stars and Minnesota was without a team for years after the Stars relocated to Dallas.) While the Wild are a modest 10-8 at home, the Stars are an ugly 6-13 on the road. The Wild are 6-3 the past couple of years, after losing three or more consecutive games, 1-0 in that situation this season. While the Stars would surely love to avenge an earlier (3-1) loss at Dallas, they're just 14-27 (-15.1) the past 2+ seasons, when attempting to avenge a home loss. In other words, if they can't beat a team at Dallas, they rarely can do so on the road. Wild roll. |
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12-20-18 | Ducks v. Bruins -154 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BOSTON (8* ANNIHILATOR). Given the venue, this line could easily be higher. The Bruins, 11-4 at home, are also 22-11 (+5.9) when playing with two day's rest. Anaheim figures to be getting a little road weary. The Ducks lost their last game and will be playing the fourth leg of an extended road trip. With Boston off a convincing 4-0 victory over Montreal, note that the Bruins are 7-3 after scoring four or more goals. The Bruins are also 11-4 (+7.5) off a divisional game. The Bruins know that they'll have to face these same Ducks at the Honda Center in February and they haven't forgotten that the Ducks swept them last season. Expect their best effort to lead to another victory. |
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12-19-18 | Canadiens v. Avalanche -150 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLORADO (8*). The home team won both meetings last season. The Habs won 4-2 at Montreal but the Avs took the game here at Colorado, winning by a 2-0 score. Including that result, the Avs are 3-0 the past three times that they hosted the Canadiens, 5-1 the past six. They're going to be hungry tonight and I expect them to continue their home ice domination in the series. While Montreal plays again tomorrow, the Avs have tomorrow off. They're going to be fully focused on the task at hand, getting back on track. The Avs 41-40 (+9.1) record against the East the past couple of seasons (10-7 this season) may not seem like much. However, when compared to the Canadiens are 30-39 (-14.1) mark against the West, it starts looking much better. With an O/U line of 6o30, note that the Canadiens are an ugly 6-14 (-6.4) the past 20 times that they played a road game with an O/U line of six or greater. During the same span, the Avs were 23-13 (+7.8) at home with an O/U line of six or greater. Expect them to improve on those stats tonight. |
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12-18-18 | Red Wings v. Flyers -163 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 25 h 35 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA (8* ANNIHILATOR). Both teams are struggling at the moment. Both could badly use a victory. I believe that the Flyers, in addition to playing in their own building, have some edges on the ice though. I also expect the recent coaching shake-up to provide an immediate spark. The Flyers have only played one home game in December, prior to this one. After this, they host Nashville and Columbus, a pair of teams better than Detroit, before taking to the road again. Knowing this to be the case, it makes taking care of business on home ice all the more important. They've absolutely dominated Detroit, here at Philly, this entire millennium. Expect more of the same Tuesday. |
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12-17-18 | Golden Knights v. Blue Jackets -141 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
'm playing on COLUMBUS (10* PERS FAV). The home team won both meetings last season. The Knights won 6-3 at Vegas, the Jackets returned the favor with a 4-1 win here at Columbus. Schedule in their favor, I expect the Jackets to again defeat the visiting Knights. While Columbus had yesterday off, the Knights are off an afternoon game at MSG. Though they won that game, the Knights are still just 9-12 on the road. This marks the 5th leg of whats been a disappointing 6-game homestand for the Jackets; they've only won one of the first four. They can still salvage the split by winning tonight and beating the Devils here on Wednesday and they're going to be extremely motivated to do just that. Expect them to improve to 14-4 (+10.1) their past 18, after playing their previous three or more games at home. |
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12-16-18 | Coyotes v. Hurricanes -170 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 26 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA (6* VIOLATOR). The Coyotes knocked off the Canes at Phoenix, back in early November. With this afternoon's rematch being played at Raleigh, I expect the Canes to return the favor. While the Coyotes have arguably over-achieved, given their talent, I believe the Canes are better than their record indicates. Off three straight losses, they're going to be extremely motivated. They know that they can ill afford to lose another - not to a team like Arizona. The Coyotes, at the end of a road trip, may be looking forward to getting home for the holidays. Look for them to fall to 4-14 their last 18 road games, with an O/U line of six or greater. |
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12-15-18 | Flames v. Wild -130 | 2-1 | Loss | -130 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA (8* BREAKFAST CLUB). These teams recently met at Calgary. The Wild, who aren't as strong away from Minnesota, were playing the front end of back-to-back road games. They were also in the midst of a stretch which saw them drop five of six. They're back home now though, where they're a solid 10-6 on the season. The return home has resulted in a dramatic improvement in play. The recent slide is now in the past; the Wild have won their last two games by a combined score of 12-2. Momentum back in their corner, expect the revenge-minded Wild to get some payback, improving to 8-4 their last 12 as a host in this series. |
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12-14-18 | Senators v. Red Wings -145 | 4-2 | Loss | -145 | 12 h 17 m | Show | |
I'm playing on DETROIT (8* PERS FAV). The Sens won when these teams met at Ottawa. With tonight's rematch being played at Detroit, I expect the revenge-minded Red Wings to return the favor. True, the Wings are only 8-10 at home. However, that record looks a lot better when compared to Ottawa's 3-11 mark on the road. Even factoring in last month's loss at Ottawa, the Wings are still a solid 6-3 against sub-500 teams. The Wings have beaten the Sens five straight times here at Detroit, the Sens managing one goal or less in four of those five games. Catching the Sens potentially looking ahead to tomorrow's game against rival Montreal, a team which has already beaten them them twice this month, expect the Wings to continue their home ice dominance in the series. |
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12-13-18 | Coyotes v. Sabres -140 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BUFFALO (8* PERS FAV). The streaky Sabres followed up their extended winning streak with a string of losses. They rallied to get back on track last game though. Momentum back in their corner and facing an inferior opponent, I expect the Sabres to continue "streaking" in a winning direction. Like their hosts, the Coyotes have been a 'streaky' team of late. They're streaking in the wrong direction though. They lost four straight, then won four in a row and now have now lost three straight again. With a couple more road games left on the current trip, their current skid may continue for awhile. At least for tonight, anyway. Sabres roll. |
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12-11-18 | Canadiens v. Wild -165 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 28 h 29 m | Show |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA (10* PERS FAV). The Wild badly need a victory and a visit from the Canadiens should be just what the doctor ordered. Admittedly, the Habs have been playing pretty well of late. However, the Wild have beaten Montreal seven straight times and this is still a tough place to play. On the season, the Wild are 8-4-2 here. Last season, they were 27-6-8 here. The Wild, who have had plenty of time off since allowing seven goals at Edmonton, are 6-1 the last seven times that they'd allowed five or more goals in their previous game. Expect them to be the hungrier team here and that to lead to an important victory. |
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12-11-18 | Coyotes v. Bruins -175 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BOSTON (8* VIOLATOR). This line could easily be higher. The Bruins are 5-0 the last five meetings, winning by a combined score of 22-6. The Coyotes managed more than one goal only once and that came in a 6-2 loss. The last meeting here at Boston resulted in a 6-1 Bruin win; Boston was laying -230 for that one. Including that result, the Coyotes are a money-burning 31-62 (-13.7) the past 2+ seasons against winning teams while the Bruins are a dominating 59-31 (+12.1) against losing teams. Lay the wood and expect them to take care of business once again. |
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12-11-18 | Kings v. Sabres -180 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BUFFALO (6*). Their historic winning run now ancient history, the streaky Sabres have suddenly lost five straight. Here's a great opportunity to get back on track. Not only are the Kings really bad this season, but they're also playing the second of b2b games. Venue and schedule in their favor, Sabres take advantage and stop the bleeding. |
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12-10-18 | Devils v. Sharks -178 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SJ (8* ANNIHILATOR). The price has come down a bit from its opener but it easily could have gone the other way. With three wins in their last four, the Sharks are starting to play up to their potential. Make no mistake. This is an elite team. They're rested and playing with revenge from an earlier loss at NJ. The Devils, on the other hand, lost in shootout last night. They're 0-4 when playing the second of b2b games. The Sharks are 63-37 their last 100 against sub-500 teams. Expect them to get some payback. |
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12-08-18 | Rangers v. Panthers -175 | 5-4 | Loss | -175 | 27 h 41 m | Show | |
I'm playing on FLORIDA (8* VIOLATOR). The Panthers have been alternating wins and losses for some time. On 11/24, they lost against Chicago. That was followed by a win against New Jersey and then by a loss against Anaheim. Next, came a victory against Buffalo, a loss against Tampa, a win against Boston. Most recently, they lost against Colorado. Off that setback and playing with 'double-revenge,' I expect the 'pattern' to continue and for the Panthers to bounce back with another victory. While the Rangers have won both this season's meetings, both of those were at MSG. Thats significant as NY is 10-4 at home but 3-8 on the road. The last meeting here was last March and the Panthers won 4-3. More of the same Saturday. |
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12-07-18 | Hurricanes -110 v. Ducks | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 27 h 54 m | Show |
I'm playing on CAROLINA (10* BEST BET). I successfully played against the Hurricanes in their last game, a 5-1 loss, at SJ. However, the Sharks are arguably a much tougher opponent and I really like how this one sets up for the Canes. First, they're going to be hungry to snap their 3-game skid and to salvage some points from the trip. Also, the Ducks just beat them, at Raleigh. So, the Canes also are playing with recent revenge on their minds. Prior to giving up five at SJ, the Canes had allowed two goals or less in six of their previous seven. Expect their best effort as they bounce back and improve to 6-3, after allowing four or more goals in their previous game. |
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12-05-18 | Hurricanes v. Sharks -145 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 33 h 26 m | Show |
I'm playing on SAN JOSE (10* GAME OF WEEK). The Sharks managed to close out an otherwise disappointing road trip with a victory. This is their lone home game before hitting the road for a couple more games. They know that they need to take advantage and Carolina figures to be the perfect opponent to do so against. With their loss at LA, the Canes are now 22-35 (-10.6) the past few seasons, when playing a road game with an O/U line of 5.5. The Canes beat the Sharks in a shootout, at PNC Arena in Raleigh. Now, its payback time! |
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12-04-18 | Senators v. Canadiens -175 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MONTREAL (8* ANNIHILATOR). I won with the Habs two games ago and then successfully played against them in their last game. Tonight, I'm coming right back with them. While the Sens may have won three in a row, this is still a team with problems. They're also just 5-12 (-8.6) the past couple of seasons, after winning their previous three. Expect the Habs, playing with revenge from an October loss, to bounce back and improve to 5-0 the past five times that they'd scored one goal or less in their previous game. |
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12-03-18 | Sabres v. Predators -171 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE (8* VIOLATOR). The Sabres have finally come back down to earth and now they're visiting one of the toughest venues in the league. Even without a couple of key players, this is a very dangerous Predator team, one which tends to "get up" when facing the league's other better teams. Indeed, the Preds are 83-44 (+33.5) against teams with a winning record the past few seasons, 10-1 their last 11. The Preds have the next two days off, their full attention will be on tonight's game. The Sabres, on the other hand, could already be thinking about getting back home to Buffalo, where they'll face the Leafs, a division rival, tomorrow. While the price may seem a little steep, consider that Nashville was laying -325 the last time these teams met here. Expect the Preds to finish on top. |
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12-02-18 | Sharks -145 v. Canadiens | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
I'm playing on SJ. While I won with the Habs yesterday, the Sharks are a much tougher opponent than the Rangers. True, they've under-achieved of late but this is still one of the stronger teams in the league. The Canadiens know that first hand, as San Jose as absolutely owned this series for years. Since 2011, the Sharks are 10-1 against Montreal, a perfect 6-0 since December of 2015. Off an embarrassing loss at Ottawa and desperate to avoid a winless road trip, expect the Sharks to bounce back and continue their domination in the series. |
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12-01-18 | Rangers v. Canadiens -165 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
I'm playing on MONTREAL (10* PERS FAV). Desperate for a win and looking to avenge last month's loss at MSG, expect an extremely motivated effort from the Habs tonight. The Canadiens have taken 7 of the last 10 meetings here, including each of the past two. The Rangers are 10-4 at home but 3-7 on the road. Lay the wood. |
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11-30-18 | Ducks v. Hurricanes -180 | 2-1 | Loss | -180 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA (6* ANNIHILATOR). Both teams are playing well right now. However, the Canes are favored for good reason. Not only are they playing at home but they're much healthier. Off a somewhat unlikely "Florida sweep," I believe the Ducks, still 5-7 away from home, may be both ready for a "letdown" while also getting a little "road-weary." Expect the Canes, 7-4 here at Raleigh, to take advantage. |
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11-30-18 | Sabres v. Panthers -145 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
I'm playing on FLORIDA (10* PERS FAV). The Sabres are off a hard-fought loss at Tampa yesterday. That loss snapped their 10-game winning streak. Many will likely want to back them to bounce right back. However, its hard to do so. A team is riding an emotional high, when on an extended winning streak like that. When it finally comes to an end, there's a natural letdown. That aside, the Panthers have both the schedule and venue in their favor. They're going to be hungry and I expect them to come away with the victory. |
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11-29-18 | Sabres v. Lightning -170 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 22 h 25 m | Show |
I'm playing on TAMPA (10* VIOLATOR). The Sabres have been rolling but the Lightning remain favored for good reason. The Lightning rank #1 in the goals per game and also #1 on the power-play. They average 3.7 goals per game, compared to Buffalo's 3.2. (Both teams allow nearly the same, 2.7 and 2.8 g.p.g. respectively.) The Lightning know that everyone's talking about the Sabres' winning streak right now. Expect them to stop the streak, making a statement that they're still at the top of the heap. |
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11-29-18 | Islanders v. Bruins -160 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BOSTON (8* NHL SPECIAL). Given the venue, this line could easily be considerably higher on the road. The Isles are mediocre on the road, getting outscored by a 3.1 to 2.9 average margin. The Bruins, on the other hand, are dominant at home. They outscore visiting teams by a commanding 3.9 to 2.1 margin here. They're already a perfect 6-0 here when the O/U line was six or greater, going 8-2 here overall. The Bruins swept the Isles last season, winning 5-1, 5-2 and 3-1. Well-rested and in an angry mood from a Monday loss at Toronto, expect the Bruins to improve to 22-9 the past 31 times that they played with two day's rest in between games. |
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11-28-18 | Ducks v. Panthers -150 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -150 | 25 h 8 m | Show |
I'm playing on FLORIDA (10* PERS FAV). Off an inspired comeback win on Monday, I expect the Panthers to carry the positive momentum into tonight's game. While the Panthers had yesterday off, the Ducks are off an upset win at Tampa. While Florida averages a healthy 3.7 g.p.g. here at home, the Ducks are still just 4-7 away from Anaheim, averaging a paltry 2.0 goals. Speaking of "health," the Panthers' injury list remains much smaller than Anaheim's. A look at last season reveals that the Ducks won 3-2 at Anaheim but that the Panthers hammered them here at Florida, winning in an 8-3 blowout. Schedule in their favor, expect the Panthers to finish on top once again. |
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11-27-18 | Sharks -110 v. Sabres | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
I'm playing on SAN JOSE (10* BEAST). What a difference a month makes. When these teams met in October, the Sharks were -240 favorites. True, that was at SJ. However, the change of venue wasn't worth this big a difference in price. Rather, its been Buffalo's current hot streak. While the Sabres are indeed a much improved team, I expect an arguably more talented and more motivated San Jose team, one with Stanley Cup aspirations, to cool them off tonight. Perhaps the combination of the holiday weekend and Sin City was too much for them but the Sharks got pounded 6-0, at Vegas, last time out. They've only been shutout two previous times this season and they bounced back to win those games by a combined score of 11-3. In fact, they're a perfect 5-0 the last five times that they were off a loss by two or more goals, going 31-15 (+12.5) in that situation the past couple of seasons. They swept the Sabres last season and I expect them to do so again. |
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11-26-18 | Devils v. Panthers -134 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 2 h 22 m | Show | |
I'm playing on FLORIDA (8*). Off three straight losses, expect a determined Panther team to bounce back against a NJ team which lost at Tampa yesterday. The Devils are 0-2 when playing the second of b2b games, losing by a combined score of 9-4. Given that they're just 2-9 on the road overall, this line could easily be higher. |
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11-26-18 | Senators v. Rangers -145 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 26 h 45 m | Show |
I'm playing on NY (10* GAME OF WEEK). These teams will face each other again, at Ottawa, on Thursday. Knowing that they are a much better team here at MSG, the Rangers know that they better take care of business and that this is an opponent which they need to beat here. While they're only 3-8 on the road, the Rangers are an excellent 9-4 at home. While the Rangers have dropped four of their last five visits to Ottawa, they're 4-1 the last five times that they were a host in the series, including a 3-0 shuton win over the Sens here last November. Given that the Sens are only 2-8 away from Ottawa this season, look for the Rangers to continue their success at home for another day. |
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11-24-18 | Canucks v. Kings -175 | 4-2 | Loss | -175 | 31 h 56 m | Show | |
I'm playing on LA (8* SITUATIONAL ANNIHILATOR). With an odd number (31) of teams in the league, every club can't be in action on the same day. Every team, except one, played Friday. The Kings were the one team which had the day off. The Canucks, who played at San Jose Friday, are already 0-2 this season, when playing the second of b2b games. They lost 4-1 against the Coyotes and 5-2 against the Islanders. They're 9-19 in that situation the past couple of seasons. Schedule and venue in their favor and knowing that they'll face these same Kings, at Vancouver in a few days, expect the Kings to "hold serve" on home ice. |
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11-24-18 | Blue Jackets v. Penguins -145 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH (8* PERS FAV). The Pens have dominated the Blue Jackets here at Pittsburgh and I expect that to continue tonight. The Pens got back on track in a big way two games ago, snapping their losing streak. Yesterday, they lost at Boston. Back home, they know that they can ill afford to fall into another skid. Not when they're on the bottom of the division and Columbus is on top. Expect a huge effort to lead to an important two points. |
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11-23-18 | Rangers v. Flyers -143 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 20 h 40 m | Show |
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA (10* BREAKFAST CLUB). Off four straight losses, expect the Flyers to be hungrier than the Rangers, who have won three straight. Note that NY is 10-14 (-10) the past 24 times that they were off three or more consecutive victories. The Rangers' success has come at MSG. On the road, they're just 3-7 and allowing an average of 4.2 goals per game. The Flyers have dominated recent meetings including a 5-0 win the last game here at Philly. More of the same here. |
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11-21-18 | Stars v. Penguins -145 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 28 h 60 m | Show |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH (10* GAME OF MONTH). Crosby practiced Tuesday and Coach Sullivan said he liked what he saw. Whether or not he returns tonight, I expect a desperate Penguin team to rise to the occasion and snap their 4-game losing streak. Even if Crosby doesn't play, the Pens are arguably healthier than the Stars. Indeed, the Dallas defense is severely banged up right now with four defenders out, including Klingberg, Johns and Methot. While the Stars have been tough at Dallas, they've been highly beatable (4-6) when playing on the road, averaging only 2.2 goals in those games. At this point, it appears Khudopin will be between the pipes for the stars, he's 3-3 on the season. The Pens beat the Stars 3-1 the last meeting, outshooting them 30-18 in the process. That extended a long run of home ice dominance for Pittsburgh in the series. It continues here. *GOM |
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11-19-18 | Golden Knights v. Flames -130 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CALGARY (8* PERS FAV). Both these teams just defeated the Oilers in their last game. The difference is that Calgary did so on Saturday while Vegas did so on Sunday. That puts the Knights in a b2b spot and thats a situation which hasn't been kind to them. So far this season, the Knights are 0-2 when playing the second of b2b games, losing 4-1 and 4-2. Note that the Knighs are alsio 1-4 off a win by two or more goals. Even with yesterday's victory, Vegas is only 4-8 on the road, averaging just 2.5 goals. Calgary, meanwhile, is 5-4 at home, averaging 4.0 goals. The Flames won the last meeting by a score of 7-1. Venue and schedule in their favor, I expect them to finish on top once again. |
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11-18-18 | Devils v. Hurricanes -151 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 21 h 20 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA (8* ANNIHILATOR). Both teams played yesterday. Not all b2b spots are created equally though. While the Devils will also be playing their third game in the past four days, the Canes had four days off, prior to the b2b spot. In other words, the Devils arguably have a far more difficult b2b situation than do the Canes. Thats even more the case when considering that the Devils had to travel after yesterday's game while the Canes did not. Before dropping yesterday's game, the Devils had been playing well at home. They've been terrible on the road though, getting outscored by an average score of 4.3 to 2.4 while going just 2-7. Expect their road woes to continue for another day. |