Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-18-21 | Devils v. Bruins -217 | 3-2 | Loss | -217 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BOSTON. The Devils returned from their long layoff by beating the Rangers. The Bruins represent a significant step up in class though, as they're on top of the division and one of the best teams in the league. I don't think the Devils are ready for what's waiting for them. Off a rare loss, the Bruins will be hungry and motivated. While the Devils are 0-4 their last four when playing with one day's rest in between games, the Bruins are 4-0 their last four at home. The Bruins are 27-8 the last 35 meetings, 16-5 the last 21 in Boston. Expect them to continue that dominance this evening. |
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02-17-21 | Jets v. Oilers -134 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 16 h 49 m | Show | |
I'm playing on EDMONTON. The Jets got the better of Monday's matchup. This evening, I expect the revenge-minded Oilers to return the favor. The Jets may have scored six goals (6-5 win) Monday but they're 0-8 the last eight times that they scored five or more goals, in their previous game. They're also 0-4 the last four times that their opponent had score five or more in its previous game. Oilers are a perfect 4-0 the past four times that they played with exactly one day's rest in between games. Payback time. |
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02-16-21 | Devils v. Rangers -141 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -141 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
I'm playing on NEW YORK. The Rangers are badly in need of a victory and this should be the perfect spot to get one. They catch the Devils playing their first game in the month of February. The Devils had 19 players on Covid-19 protocol, at one point. Most are back but there could be some lingering effects and/or some early rust. The home team has taken 14 of the last 20 meetings in the series, the Rangers going 7-3 the last 10 here at MSG. Rangers haven't been playing badly, they've just been matched up against some tough teams and they've had an awful lot of 1-goal losses. Stepping down in class and with the both the schedule and venue in their favor, expect them to break through with an important victory. |
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02-12-21 | Blues -124 v. Coyotes | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ST. LOUIS. Having lost three straight at home, to these same Coyotes, the Blues are going to be highly motivated to get some payback. I expect them to get some. The Coyotes are a money-burning 10-18 (-9.4) the past 28 times that they were off three or more consec. victories. During that span, the Coyotes are also an ugly 16-29 (-10.7) when playing with three or more day's rest, which is the situation they find themselves in this evening. The Blues are 4-1 on the road. Look for them to bounce back and improve to 11-5 the past 16 times that they were off three or more consec. losses. |
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02-11-21 | Red Wings v. Predators -180 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE. The Red Wings are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. After getting thumped by the defending champs, the Predators are in an angry mood. Yes, the Preds have struggled. However, four of their last six games have come against the Lightning and the other two were against the Panthers. The Wings represent a big step down in class and the Preds know that they need to make the most of it. Note that Nashville is 5-0 its last five as a home favorite. The Wings, meanwhile, are 0-4 their last four, after allowing two goals or less in their previous game. The Wings have scored less than two goals in three of their last four and less than three goals in five of their past six. Preds roll. |
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02-09-21 | Jets v. Flames -130 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 30 h 13 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CALGARY. These teams met three times in the first four days of February. Calgary won the initial game in a shootout. However, the Jets responded by winning the next two. All three of those games were at Winnipeg; the home team is now 16-7 the last 23 in the series. Tonight, however, the Flames will have home ice advantage. They followed up the two losses to Winnipeg with a 6-4 victory in the "Battle of Alberta." While the Jets will become a better team with the addition of Pierre-Luc Dubois, that won't necessarily be evident in his first game. We saw that from Columbus in its first game with Laine, the player Dubois was traded for. Laine, like Dubois, is a difference maker. Yet, his new team played poorly in his debut. Calgary is 7-2 the last nine as a host in the series. Looking up at the Jets in the standings and looking to avoid dropping three in a row to them, the Flames are going to be a highly motivated team. Expect them to build momentum from the big win over Edmonton while spoiling Dubois' debut. |
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02-09-21 | Blackhawks v. Stars -150 | 2-1 | Loss | -150 | 29 h 44 m | Show | |
I'm playing on DALLAS. The Hawks knocked off the Stars, 2-1 in OT, a couple of days ago. Today, Dallas settles the score. Even factoring in Sunday's result, the Stars are still +10, compared to Chicago's -3, in terms of goal differential. Off b2b losses and having now dropped four of their past five, we can absolutely count on the Stars being extremely motivated. This isn't the same Chicago team from the past and the Hawks are dealing with several injuries, including Toews. The Hawks are still 5-18 their last 23 on the road. Look for the revenge-minded Stars to bounce back, improving to 6-1 their last seven as a home favorite. |
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02-09-21 | Red Wings v. Panthers -207 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 27 h 13 m | Show | |
I'm playing on FLORIDA. While this price may seem a little steep, it could easily be even higher. The Wings may have finished on top last game but the Panthers are more talented and they've been much better on the season. While Florida has a +3 goal differential, Detroit sits at -18. Through 13 games, the Wings have been outscored by a 44-26 margin. Only Ottawa (-26) has been worse. The Wings are still 10-43 their last 53 as a road underdog. They're also 1-7 their last eight, when off a victory. Even factoring in Sunday's result, the Panthers are still 8-1 their last nine in the series. With a few games against Tampa coming up, the Wings can't afford to drop two in a row to lowly Detroit. They won't. |
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02-08-21 | Coyotes v. Blues -143 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -143 | 28 h 20 m | Show |
I'm playing on ST. LOUIS. The Blues can't afford to keep losing to the Coyotes. After the Blues beat them on Feb 2, the Coyotes have knocked off them off twice in a row. The refs didn't do them any favors in the last game. Desperate to avoid dropping three straight home games to the same team, I fully expect to see the best of the Blues tonight. Like most teams in the league, both these teams are dealing with injuries. The Blues are arguably better equipped to deal with their absences though. The Blues have still scored 40 goals (in 12 games) compared to Arizona's 30 goals, in 11 games. Look for the Blues to dig deep and come away with the important two points. |
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02-07-21 | Blackhawks v. Stars -161 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -161 | 22 h 18 m | Show |
I'm playing on DALLAS. While I successfully played against the Stars in their last game, that was a much different setup than this one. In that game, the Stars were on the road against a motivated and revenge-minded Columbus team, one which was determined to bounce back after dropping its first game with Laine. Now, however, the Stars host the Hawks, a team which is likely in for a long season. While the Hawks have more points than Dallas, thats only due to having played more games. The Stars quitely have an outstanding +11 goal differential through eight games. Thats the best mark of any team which currently isn't leading its division. The Hawks, on the other hand, have a -4 goal differential. Chicago has allowed 39 goals (in 12 games) compared to Dallas' 21 goals allowed. While the Hawks, who are still without Toews and others, are 2-9 their last 11 as underdogs, the Stars are 7-1 their last eight as favorites. Dallas rolls. |
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02-07-21 | Flyers -112 v. Capitals | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 60 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. The Flyers have been great against any team except Boston. They've had the advantage over the Caps in recent meetings and I believe that they're catching them at the right time. After a hot start, Washington has come back to earth. I've successfully played against them in each of their last two games. Injuries and missing players have taken a toll. The Flyers won all four 2020 meetings with the Caps. Washington failed to score more than two goals in any of those games; the Flyers outscored them 18-7 over the four games. While the Caps are 1-4 their last five, after scoring two or less goals, the Flyers are 4-1 their last five, after scoring two or less goals. With the teams scheduled to meet again Tuesday, look for the Flyers to draw first blood in the season series. |
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02-05-21 | Predators v. Panthers -113 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 21 h 3 m | Show | |
I'm playing on FLORIDA. These teams were involved in a wild one last night. The Predators ulimately finished on top, winning 6-5 in OT. The Panthers were playing their first game in February, which may not have helped them much. That should help them here, however, as they had plenty of rest before the b2b situation. Driedger should be in net for Florida tonight and he hasn't allowed more than two goals in a game yet. While yesterday's game also marked the first game back from a road trip for the Panthers, tonight's game will mark the last game of a road trip for the Preds. That's a situation which should favor Florida. Keep in mind that Florida is still +5 goals on the season while Nashville is -6. Last night notwithstanding, the Panthers have had success against the Preds here over the years. Florida took both meetings last season. Already 1-0 when playing the second of b2b games, look for the Panthers to bounce back and salvage the "series split." |
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02-04-21 | Capitals v. Rangers -104 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NY. The Capitals finally came back down to earth last game and now I expect an underrated and undervalued Rangers team to hand them their second straight loss. The home team has won four of the past five in this series. The Rangers had a tough 4-game stretch where they went 0-4 with all four losses coming by a single goal, one of those in a shootout. I like the way that they've responded though, winning two of their last three. Last time out, they held the Penguins to a single goal, a 3-1 victory. They've given up 26 goals on the season, compared to Washington's 34. Expect the Rangers to build momentum from the Pittsburgh win, as home ice and that superior defensive play proves the difference in this one. |
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02-04-21 | Stars v. Blue Jackets +106 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 106 | 26 h 3 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS. I expect the Blue Jackets to score the minor upset in this one. These teams just met a couple of nights ago. The Stars won 6-3. The game marked the debut of new Jackets' star Patrick Laine. He didn't play well and neither did the Jackets. I absolutely expect a better effort in this one. The first game when a new star joins a team can be difficult. They've got a game under their belts with Laine now though and he'll only make them better. Off two straight losses and looking to avenge Tuesday's defeat, the Jackets are going to be highly motivated. The previous time that they lost b2b games this season, they responded with a 5-2 win over Tampa, the defending champion. The Jackets are also a perfect 4-0 the past four times that they were off a loss of three or more goals. Payback time. |
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02-03-21 | Bruins -126 v. Flyers | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BOSTON. Both teams have played well to start the season. However, I like what I've seen from the Bruins even more. Having spotted Washington three goals last game, only to rally with five of their own, provides them with plenty of confidence for this one. The Bruins, who have won five of their last six overall, are 25-12 their last 37 against the Flyers. That includes a couple of wins in January. Of course, the Flyers would love to avenge those losses and they've been beating other teams not named Boston. However, wanting and doing are two entirely different matters. Keep in mind that Boston has allowed just 20 goals while the Flyers have allowed 31. The Bruins have a +10 goal differential while the Flyers are +4. I say the Bruins have their number, for at least one more night. |
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02-01-21 | Bruins -141 v. Capitals | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 31 h 40 m | Show |
I'm playing on BOSTON. The Capitals deserve credit for a great start. However, I expect the revenge-minded Bruins to bring them back down to earth to start February. While the Caps have given up 29 goals in nine games, the Bruins have allowed just 17 through eight. That Caps are ahead in the standings but the Bruins have the superior goal differential. Prior to Saturday's loss, the Bruins had won their previous two games by a combined score of 10-2. While the Caps got Ovechkin back last game, they're still short-handed. Speaking of last game, the Bruins had a commanding 43-23 edge in shots. Boston coach Bruce Cassidy noted: "I thought we were the better team, to be honest with you, if you look at the overall game ... " Bruins bounce back. |
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01-30-21 | Devils v. Sabres -147 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BUFFALO. While both teams come in hungry, the Sabres are aruguably the more talented team and are currently in better form. The early start and the venue also figures to favor the home team. The home team is 5-0 the last five meetings in the series. Buffalo lost its last two at NJ by a combined score of 7-2. Yet, the Sabres have won their past three home games against the Devils by a combined score of 19-4! Scores of 7-1, 7-2 and 5-1. The Sabres are off four hard fought games, three of those going past regulation. They've won two of their past three. The Devils have dropped b2b games and their last three losses have all been by multiple goals. Buffalo wins. |
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01-28-21 | Kings v. Wild -150 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 29 h 40 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA. These teams met two nights ago. The Kings won 2-1. That was Minnesota's second straight defeat. With their next three games coming against Colorado, one of the top teams in the entire NHL, the Wild know that they need to take care of business tonight. Indeed, the Avs are a more talented opponent than the Kings and the Wild really don't want to enter that "series" on a 3-game slide. Note that the Wild are 6-1 the past seven times that they scored two goals or less, in their previous game. Even factoring in Tuesday's "upset," the favorite is still a healthy 11-4 the past 15 meetings. Expect the revenge-minded Wild to bounce back. |
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01-26-21 | Sharks v. Avalanche -212 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 33 h 3 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLORADO. Wrong place, wrong time for the Sharks. If the Avs aren't the best team in the league, they're certainly right there in the top five. The same cannot be said of the Sharks. Off a 3-1 loss, the Avs are going to be angry. You may recall that we backed them earlier in the season when they were off a 4-1 loss. They responded by winning their next game by a score of 8-0. Including that blowout, they're a perfect 6-0 the past six times that they were off a game where they scored two goals or less, in their previous game. (The Sharks are 1-4 their last five when faciing an opponent that scored two or less.) The Sharks won last game but have yet to win two in a row. They're 0-2 off a win. The home team has dominated this series, going 37-14 the last 51 meetings. Colorado improves on those stats Tuesday. |
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01-24-21 | Oilers -125 v. Jets | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show | |
I'm playing on EDMONTON. The Oilers have the schedule in their favor for this one. While Edmonton had yesterday off, the Jets were busy beating up on Ottawa. Now, in addition to playing a second game in two days, the Jets will be playing their fifth game in the past seven days. After three straight games against the lowly Senators, the Oilers represent a step up in class. The Jets traded away their sniper Laine to Columbus, in exchange for Dubois. However, they won't be able to get Dubois for awhile, due to quarantine issues. Off to a slow start to the season, the Oilers know they need to take advantage of this favorable situation. Expect them to do exactly that. |
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01-24-21 | Sabres -120 v. Capitals | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 24 h 44 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BUFFALO. Washington eked out a shootout win when these teams met here on Thursday. The Caps deserve some credit for that victory, as they were seriously short-handed. They'll still be short-handed for this one, too. Facing a revenge-minded and highly motivated Buffalo team, I expect it to catch up with them. The Sabres have had had too many lean years of late. Off to a slow start, they badly want a victory before this (shortened) season slips away on them, too. Slow start notwithstanding, this Buffalo team is more talented than recent editions. Healthier and hungrier, expect them to bounce back with an important "W." |
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01-22-21 | Oilers v. Maple Leafs -136 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 25 h 36 m | Show |
I'm playing on TORONTO. These teams met on Wednesday. Edmonton won that one. That puts Toronto in the 'revenge role.' I've done a good job of picking my spots with the Leafs so far this season and I expect this to be another good spot to back them. The Oilers are arguably better than their record suggests. That said, the Leafs hope to be a Stanley Cup contender and were a big favorite to win this division. Getting them, in an immediate revenge spot, at this price, is more than fair. Note that Edmonton is 0-5 its last five off a victory, dating back to last season. Even factoring in Wednesday's result, the Leafs have still taken seven of the past nine meetings. Expect them to bounce back with a big win. |
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01-18-21 | Canadiens v. Oilers -100 | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 40 m | Show | |
I'm playing on EDMONTON. The Oilers are only playing their fourth game but already they're playing in the "revenge" role for the second time. After losing their opener against the Canucks, the Oilers found themselves facing them again for their second game. Playing with very recent "revenge," they immediately bounced back and salvaged the "split" of the 2-game series. Once again, having lost 5-1 to these same Canadiens, the Oilers find themselves "playing for the split." Once again, I expect them to respond with a huge effort. Even factoring in Montreal's win, the Oilers have still taken two of the last three meetings in the series. Going back further finds Edmonton at 5-2 the past seven meetings and 10-4 the past 14. There's no question that the Habs outplayed and outworked them on Saturday. Hockey's funny though. Expect an entirely different result, as the revenge-minded Oilers bounce back and resume their recent dominance in the series. |
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01-18-21 | Jets v. Maple Leafs -152 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
I'm playing on TORONTO. This was going to be a tough game for the Jets, no matter what. However, things are even more difficult than normal. For starters, they've only played one game. So, thats less than ideal. They had to cancel Saturday's practice due to Covid concerns. Again, not so good. Then, yesterday, their star player (Laine) got hurt in practice. His status is up in the air, as of this writing. However, he had two goals and an assist in Winnipeg's first game. So, if he doesn't play, or even if he's less than 100%, he'll be missed. The Leafs have scored more goals (11) than any other team in the league, thus far. Look for their extra games played to prove significant in this one. |
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01-17-21 | Capitals v. Penguins -109 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 16 h 9 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH. Caps are 2-0. Pens are 0-2. No-brainer on the Caps, right? Not in my opinion. Crosby and co. are going to be desperate to avoid falling to 0-3. We can absolutely expect their best effort. While the Caps may have held the Sabres to a single goal last time out, they're just 1-8 the past nine times that they allowed two goals or less in their previous game. The Crosby/Ovechkin games are usually good ones. Pittsburgh has taken three of the past five meetings. In this case, playing at home and highly motivated to avoid the 0-3 start, I expect the Pens to have the advantage. |
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01-16-21 | Canucks v. Flames -138 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CALGARY. I played against the Canucks in each of their first two games, going 1-1. I don't have anything against the team, I just feel that they're a little bit over-rated, out of the gate. Tonight, I believe that they're at the wrong place, at the wrong time. After dropping their first game, the Flames are going to be very hungry for their first win. Extra motivation stems from the fact that this is the Flames' home opener and that their starting goalie (Markstrom) wil be facing his former team for the first time. Markstrom noted: "I've never faced 'em … except for practice every day for the last five years. It's going to be special. I know most of those guys ... I'm hopeful and I believe in our group, and I think it's going to be a great matchup." Expect a big game from Markstrom and co. as the Flames bounce back and pick up their first "W." |
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01-15-21 | Blues v. Avalanche -138 | Top | 0-8 | Win | 100 | 26 h 33 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLORADO. I lost with the Avalanche when these teams faced each other on opening night. However, that won't prevent me from taking them again tonight. Here's an excerpt from Wednesday's writeup, as its still applicable: "Considering that the Avs are favored to win the Stanley Cup, this line could easily be considerably higher. In fact, we're unlikely to often get Colorado, at home, for this reasonable a price. While the Blues aren't that far removed from winning a Cup, a lot of the key pieces from that team won't be on the ice. On offense, Tarasenko is hurt while Steen retired. Two of the Blues' top four defenders from the Cup team are gone. Bowmeester collapsed in a game last season while Pietrangelo is now with Vegas. With a lot of new faces, the Blues could have benefitted from some preseason games. They didn't get any though and had an abbreviated training camp. Unfortunately for them, their first game comes against arguably the most complete team in the league..." Obviously, the Blues deserve credit for their win. However, now they're getting a revenge-minded Colorado team which is going to be doing everything it can to avoid falling to 0-2. Payback time. |
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01-14-21 | Wild -120 v. Kings | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA. This game was already going to be a tough one for the Kings. However, its made a lot tougher by the fact that they're short-handed, as they'll be without a few fairly important players, due to Covid-protocol. The Wild have a chip on their shoulder after getting bounced in the first round last year. Still, that allowed them to play more recently than the Kings, who haven't played a game in more than 10 months. As LA coach Todd McLellan noted. " ... we haven't played for 10 1/2 months, it's not going to be easy ... " The Wild will be facing the Kings a lot to start the season. I say they take advantage of the Covid-situation and draw first blood tonight. |
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01-14-21 | Canucks v. Oilers -120 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 15 h 50 m | Show |
I'm playing on EDMONTON. I lost with the Oilers last night but I'm coming right back with them again tonight. Edmonton has underachieved in recent seasons and is absolutely determined to get off to a strong start. Getting swept, at home, in two games by the Canucks is NOT what they had in mind. We may only be one game in but they're going to be a highly motivated team tonight. While the visiting team won last night, the home team has still had the advantage in this series in recent season. Even without fans, its going to be important to win at home. The Canucks did some good things last night and fans in Vancouver are already loading up the bandwagon. Its only one game though. Yes, the Canucks have some talented young players. They've also still got some issues though. Expect the revenge-minded Oilers to remind everyone of that tonight. |
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01-13-21 | Blues v. Avalanche -140 | 4-1 | Loss | -140 | 33 h 3 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLORADO. Considering that the Avs are favored to win the Stanley Cup, this line could easily be considerably higher. In fact, we're unlikely to often get Colorado, at home, for this reasonable a price. While the Blues aren't that far removed from winning a Cup, a lot of the key pieces from that team won't be on the ice. On offense, Tarasenko is hurt while Steen retired. Two of the Blues' top four defenders from the Cup team are gone. Bowmeester collapsed in a game last season while Pietrangelo is now with Vegas. With a lot of new faces, the Blues could have benefitted from some preseason games. They didn't get any though and had an abbreviated training camp. Unfortunately for them, their first game comes against arguably the most complete team in the league. Avs roll. |
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01-13-21 | Canucks v. Oilers -120 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -120 | 33 h 35 m | Show |
I'm playing on EDMONTON. The season is only just getting started but the Canucks already had Sunday's practice cancelled "out of an abundance of caution," due to a potential Covid-19 exposure. Though they did return to practice, its a less than ideal way to enter the season. Don't expect the Oilers to show them any sympathy. The Oilers have underachieved in recent seasons and they're absolutely hungry to get the current campaign off to a winning start. The Canucks lost a lot to free agency (all of their unresticted free agents left) and are likely to regress this season, in my opinion. The Oilers have taken four of the past six meetings, two of the last three when listed as the home team. McDavid remains one of the best players in the game. Look for him to lead his team to an opening night victory. |
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01-13-21 | Canadiens v. Maple Leafs -131 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 30 h 38 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TORONTO. Its always a big game when these Original Six rivals get together, particularly on the first night of the season. The fact that it is the first game of the season is allowing us to get the Leafs at a more reasonable price than we otherwise likely would have. I feel thats providing us with excellent value. Consider that the Leafs were -150, -180, -240, -230 and -210 the last five times they were listed as the home against the Habs. They won four of those. Also, consider that the Leafs are about +900 to win the Cup compared to the Canadiens' +2600. The Leafs are +136 to win the division compared to Montreal's +462. I like the veterans that the Leafs added to complement Tavares and co. Anxious to immediately get rid of the bad taste from last year, look for the Leafs to get their season off to a winning start. |
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09-28-20 | Lightning -160 v. Stars | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 28 h 27 m | Show |
I'm playing on TAMPA. The Stars staved off elimination on Saturday. Don't expect them to do so again. The Lightning are still the superior team in this series, in my opinion. The Lightning have been money when coming off a loss. Since the return to play in early August, including Saturday's OT defeat, the Lightning have only lost seven times. In each of the previous six instances, they immediately responded by winning their very next game. Yes, a perfect 6-for-6. That included a win in Game 2 in this series, after the Stars had defeated them in Game 1. Get the Cup out, the Lightning are your new champs. |
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09-25-20 | Lightning -154 v. Stars | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TB. I've backed the Lightning a number of times throughout these playoffs and am coming back with them this evening. I've mentioned that I feel Tampa is the stronger team in this series and I believe that we've seen that. Since a bad opening period of the series, Tampa has taken over. Off a 5-2 win last time out, note that the Lightning are an outstanding 73-35 (+14.8) the past couple of seasons, when off a win by two or more goals. The Stars have been resilient and have obviously done a great job to get this far. They'll fight hard tonight but ultimately I believe that they'll again be overmatched. |
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09-21-20 | Stars v. Lightning -150 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 36 h 55 m | Show |
I'm playing on TAMPA. I didn't get involved in the opener as I wanted to see how it played out, before potentially getting involved in Game 2. I knew that I liked Tampa as a team, but thought that the extra rest could benefit Dallas. With the Lightning down a game and both teams now working on equal rest, I'm now jumping in to back them. The Lightning have been here before, they're now 0-3 in the opening game of the Stanley Cup Finals. There will be no panic. The Lightning have only lost two other games in recent weeks. They responded to both by winning their very next game. They were stronger than the Stars this season and they dominated play (22 shots!) in the third period in Game 1. I'm not ready to count them out yet. Expect the series to be tied 1-1. |
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09-17-20 | Lightning -160 v. Islanders | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show |
I'm playing on TB. The Isles clearly have a lot of heart and are a well-coached team. I still believe that Tampa is superior though and I expect that to prove to be the case this evening. The Isles havent won two in a row since August. The Lightning, meanwhile, are 9-1 (+7) after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. They're 26-10 in that situation the past 2+ seasons. Both teams allow 2.7 goals per game but the Lightning score 3.4 compared to NY's 2.9. Bring on Dallas. |
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09-15-20 | Islanders v. Lightning -172 | 2-1 | Loss | -172 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TAMPA. I believe that this series is over. While the Isles have shown a lot of heart and grit, the Lightning have shown to be the superior team. They've matched the Isles in terms of desire and toughness allowing their edge in talent to prove the difference. The Lightning are 21-7 off a win by two or more goals. Going back further finds them at a dominant 73-34 (+16.4) in that situation. While the Isles are actually just 13-18 their last 31 against teams with a winning record, the Bolts are 21-7 against winning teams, during the same stretch. Bring on Dallas. |
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09-14-20 | Stars v. Golden Knights -168 | 3-2 | Loss | -168 | 22 h 26 m | Show | |
I'm playing on VEGAS. Obviously, the Knights have dug themselves a deep hole. However, I'm not quite writing them off yet. They've had the edge in play for much of this series and could easily be tied, or even ahead. As Coach DeBoer noted: "We've been here before. We were in the same exact situation with Vancouver, with a goalie and a team playing like this. We stuck with it. This is a long way from over and we're going to be a tough out." DeBoer went on to say: "All we need is to finish. The effort's there. We're creating a lot of really good looks. Their best player, Joe Pavelski, takes a backhander, it rolls up the shaft of the stick and over our goalie's shoulder. We haven't gotten any of those and we gotta stick with it until we do." Look for the Knights experience in this situation to prove key, as they keep digging and grinding and "stick with it" until they find a way to extend the series. |
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09-12-20 | Golden Knights -160 v. Stars | 1-2 | Loss | -160 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
I'm playing on VEGAS. The Knights had the edge in play last game, more shots, more chances, more time of possession. Indeed, they were the better team from the time that the puck dropped. More often than not, that results in victory. It just didn't on Thursday. While that can be frustrating, I expect them to bounce back this evening. As Alex Tuch noted: "Obviously, it's frustrating, but we're not going to throw ourselves a pity party. We're not going to blame it on anyone. ... No matter how much we felt like we should have won that game, we didn't. And now we've got to move on." Backs to the wall, look for Tuch and co. to do exactly that, digging deep and evening up the series. |
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09-10-20 | Golden Knights -165 v. Stars | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -165 | 36 h 24 m | Show |
I'm playing on VEGAS. After dropping Game 1 by a score of 1-0, the Knights bounced back with a 3-0 win in Game 2. I won with the 'under' in the opener and the Knights in Game 2. I believe that they're the deeper, stronger team and in coming right back with them for Game 3. Dallas did very well in knocking off Colorado. However, the Knights are a different kind of team. It took Vegas a bit to get going, as Dallas is a stingier team than either of the Knights' first two opponents. They found a way to create offense though while also shutting down Dallas. A look at the stats for the season show why Vegas is the favorite and higher seed. Entering Game 2, the Knights were outshooting opposing teams by an average of 34.9 to 28.5 while Dallas gets outshout by an average of 31.7 to 31. Dallas gives up just 2.7 goals per game but also scores only 2.7. Vegas, on the other hand, outscores teams by a 3.2 to 2.8 average margin. Note that the Stars' 2.7 goal per game average puts them near the bottom of the NHL, below any of the other playoff teams. In a pivotal game, I expect the superior team to emerge victorious. |
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09-08-20 | Stars v. Golden Knights -158 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
I'm playing on VEGAS. I played on the 'under' in Game 1 of this series. It didn't look good early, as the Stars scored right out of the gate. However, that proved to be the only goal of the entire game. Naturally, the O/U line has now dropped. That being the case, I now believe that the value lies with the Knights, who are going to be desperate to get back in the series. The Stars have only recorded two other shutouts all season. In both cases, they lost their next game. Coincidentally, one of those losses came against Vegas. The Knights are 9-4 after scoring one goal or less. Going back further finds them at 30-14 (+11.6) in that situation. Expect them to bounce back and even up the series. |
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09-07-20 | Islanders v. Lightning -147 | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TAMPA. By now, the Islanders have done more than enough to show that they're to be taken seriously. That said, I feel that they're going to be in over their heads here. While the Lightning won't have Stamkos, they've still got arguably more talent than the Isles. With the Isles playing Game 7 against Philly on Saturday, the Lightning are coming in as the more rested team. Islanders coach Barry Trotz ackwnowledged: "The Lightning have been off for a little bit, they're fresh, they've been waiting for our series to end. They went to Edmonton yesterday, they probably practiced. The time change that we're going to have, all that, that's what we're going to deal with today. They probably had meetings today on us, if not, maybe they had it yesterday, I don't know. But they're a little bit ahead of us because they've been watching and scouting..." Expect TB to draw first blood. |
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09-03-20 | Golden Knights -225 v. Canucks | 0-4 | Loss | -225 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
I'm playing on VEGAS. I believe that the Knights are big favorites for good reason and I expect them to close out the series here. The Canucks were fortunate to even be in the game last time out as they were getting badly outshot. Vegas is 8-3 after scoring one goal or less. Going back further finds that the Knights are a dominant 29-13 (+13) in that situation. Indeed, they rarely get held down twice in a row. Even factoring in the last result, the Knights are 67-36 against divisional opponents the past 2+ seasons, while the Canucks are 33-50. The Canucks have clearly taken a big step and can hold their heads high. However, their season ends here. |
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09-02-20 | Avalanche -112 v. Stars | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLORADO. Its been a strange series. I still believe that the Avs are the better team though. As I mentioned before last game, I'm definitely not writing them off. Speaking of last game, off that big win, they're now 8-5 (+5.1) the past few seasons, when trailing in a playoff series. This team will not quit and absolutely still believes. Both teams allow an average of 2.7 goals overall. However, the Stars score 2.7 themselves while the Avs score 3.5. Indeed, Colorado has been the stronger team all season. Expect that to be the case again tonight. |
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09-01-20 | Canucks v. Golden Knights -216 | 2-1 | Loss | -216 | 23 h 12 m | Show | |
I'm backing VEGAS on Tuesday. The Knights are deeper and I believe they've proven to be better. They won with defense on Saturday and won with the offense the following day. The Canucks squandered a golden opportunity in that Sunday game. Indeed, Vancouver took a lead into the third period and easily could have tied the series. It was not to be though as they suffered a deflating loss. I expect them to have a very difficult time recovering from it. Of course, the Canucks can hold their heads high. Even with a loss here, they can return home proud of their efforts. Look for the Canucks to do just that as the Knights punch their ticket to the next round. |
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08-31-20 | Stars v. Avalanche -135 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLORADO. The Avs found themselves in too big of an early hole yesterday and were unable to dig themselves out. They're now also in a pretty deep hole in the series. I'm not writing them off quite yet though and fully expect to see their very best effort today. Even after falling behind 3-0 yesterday, the Avs still almost found a way back. This is a very strong team, on both sides of the puck. There was a gap in between games before yesterday and that may have contributed to the slow first period. No excuses for the Avs today though and the extra rest prior to yesterday should help with the b2b situation. Speaking of b2b spots, the last time (8/14 vs. Calgary) that the Stars played two games in two days, they lost 2-0. Don't be surprised to see them have trouble scoring against a determined Colorado team again here. |
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08-29-20 | Golden Knights -183 v. Canucks | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
I'm playing on VEGAS. The Canucks have already exceeded expectations. I expect them to come back to earth this evening. The Knights are 13-6 (+4.4) off a loss by two or more goals. They're also 20-11, after allowing four or more goals. While the Knights outshot opposing teams by an average of 34.7 to 28.9 this season, the Canucks were outshot 33.7 to 30.7. The Knights are coming off just their second loss in weeks. They immediately bounced back from the previous one and I expect them to do the same tonight. Lay it. |
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08-26-20 | Avalanche -130 v. Stars | Top | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 20 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLORADO. The Avs are in a must-win spot. I expect their very best effort and am not writing them off in this series yet. Colorado pummeled Arizona and may have come in a little cocky. There will be none of that here though. Rather, the Avs will be 100% focused on the task at hand, all business. Look for them to bounce back and move to 16-7 after allowing four or more goals in their previous game. |
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08-26-20 | Islanders v. Flyers -111 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. Down a game, I believe the pick'em price tag provides excellent value with what will be a desperate Flyer team. Flyers are 10-5 after scoring one goal or less and 16-8 (+9.2) after allowing four or more. Game 1 notwithstanding, they've been stronger than the Isles this season. They responded to each loss in the Montreal series by bouncing back with a victory. Look for them to do exactly that again this afternoon. |
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08-24-20 | Stars v. Avalanche -157 | 5-2 | Loss | -157 | 33 h 47 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLORADO. The Stars scored the upset in Game 1, a 5-3 win. That will ensure we get the best effort from the Avs here. They're 15-6 (+8.3) after allowing four or more goals in their previous game. While the Stars showed that they won't be a pushover, the Avs have been the superior team all season. Both teams allow an average of only 2.6 goals. However, while the Stars average 2.7 themselves, the Avs average 3.4 goals per game. Indeed, this team is very strong on both offense and defense. Off their last two losses, the Avs responded by winning 3-0 and 7-1. Expect more of the same here. |
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08-23-20 | Canucks v. Golden Knights -180 | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 15 h 33 m | Show | |
I'm playing on VEGAS. The Canucks deserve a lot of credit for making it this far. However, the Knights are playing at another level and I believe that they represent a big step up in class from the teams that Vancouver has faced. Now 7-1 in the playoffs, Vegas is outscoring teams by an average of 3.7 to 2.6. Vegas has taken eight of 10 meetings with the Canucks. Look for the extra rest to benefit the Knights as they continue their surge and take Game 1. |
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08-21-20 | Blues -129 v. Canucks | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -129 | 32 h 13 m | Show |
I'm playing on ST. LOUIS. Facing elimination, I expect the very best from the defending champs in this one. Whether or not its Binnington or Allan between the pipes, I expect an entire team effort. This is brand new territory for the Canucks; learning how to win isn't always easy. The Blues, on the other hand, are battle tested in the playoffs. Look for that experience to prove key as the champs dig deep and force a Game 7. |
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08-21-20 | Flyers -129 v. Canadiens | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 30 h 38 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. There's getting to be some bad blood in this one. The Habs have lost Gallagher to a broken jaw after a cross-check to the face, one of numerous incidents both ways. Flyer fans are fuming after Suzuki tapped their goalie on the head after a Montreal goal. All the ill will aside, I expect the superior team to ultimately finish on top. While they found a way to get this far, the Canadiens were the lowest ranked team to make the postseason, 24th in the league at the pause. While losing Gallagher may fire up the Canadiens a bit, he'll be missed on the ice, as he was just finally getting going and was a player who had scored 22 times in the reg. season, one who brings a lot to Montreal. Expect him to be missed as the Flyers take care of business. |
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08-19-20 | Blue Jackets v. Lightning -171 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 16 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TAMPA. As many of you know, I've been riding the Lightning the last few games. While the games have been close, I feel that they've shown and established themselves to be the superior team. Columbus is a gritty team that doesn't quit. However, the long hard series against Toronto, the 5-OT game and now a superior opponent have all caught up to the Jackets. This series ends today. |
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08-17-20 | Lightning -153 v. Blue Jackets | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 46 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TAMPA. Here's what I said prior to the last game: "The price on the Lightning has come down a bit from its opener and I now believe that the superior team, in my opinion, is providing us with value. The Lightning took their foot off the gas a little in Game 2 and paid for it. Series tied, I expect them to be all business the entire way. I still feel that the 5-OT game combined with the 5-game series against the Leafs will eventually take a toll on Columbus. Lets not forget that Columbus was outscored 187-180 this season while TB outscored opposing teams by a 245-195 margin. That +50 goal differential was second to only Boston (+53) in the entire NHL. Tampa rolls." While the score showed a close game, Tampa was in control of Game 3 the entire way. I do believe that the Lightning are superior and that the Toronto series is indeed catching up to Columbus. Tampa wins, again. |
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08-16-20 | Blues -124 v. Canucks | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
I'm playing on ST LOUIS. Down 2-0, this is obviously a must win spot for the Blues. They cannot afford to go down 3-0. Normally, we have to pay a premium for a team in a must win spot. Yet, we're getting the Blues at a fairly reasonable price, particularly when considering that they're the defending champs. Even after the tough Game 2 loss, the Blues are still 5-1 the past six times that they were trailing in a playoff series. Expect their playoff experience to be evident here, as they elevate their game and get back into the series. |
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08-16-20 | Capitals -115 v. Islanders | 1-2 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 55 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON. Down 2-0, this is obviously a must win spot for the Capitals. They cannot afford to go down 3-0. Normally, we have to pay a premium for a team in a must win spot. Yet, we're getting the Caps at a pick-em price. I expect their very best effort and believe that we're getting excellent value. Keep in mind that the Caps had a +25 goal differential (240-215) while the Isles were outscored by a goal, 193-192. While this is obviously a new season and situation, I believe that the Caps were the superior team over the course of a season for a reason. Don't count them out quite yet. |
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08-15-20 | Lightning -154 v. Blue Jackets | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TAMPA. The price on the Lightning has come down a bit from its opener and I now believe that the superior team, in my opinion, is providing us with value. The Lightning took their foot off the gas a little in Game 2 and paid for it. Series tied, I expect them to be all business the entire way. I still feel that the 5-OT game combined with the 5-game series against the Leafs will eventually take a toll on Columbus. Lets not forget that Columbus was outscored 187-180 this season while TB outscored opposing teams by a 245-195 margin. That +50 goal differential was second to only Boston (+53) in the entire NHL. Tampa rolls. |
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08-14-20 | Islanders v. Capitals -120 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -120 | 25 h 14 m | Show |
I'm playing on Washington. After squandering Game 1, the Caps are going to be all business here. They've been here before. The Caps are 5-1 (+3.5) the last six times that they trailed in a playoff series. During that span, they're 64-44 when playing with 'revenge' and 50-31 after having allowed four or more goals in their previous game. The Caps outscored teams by a 3.3 to 3.0 margin on the road this season while the Isles were outscored by a 2.7 to 2.5 average margin, when playing away from home. Caps bounce back. 10* |
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08-14-20 | Canucks v. Blues -140 | 4-3 | Loss | -140 | 24 h 37 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ST. LOUIS. After dropping Game 1, the Blues are going to be all business here. This is a playoff battle-tested team, one which isn't going to roll over. The Canucks, on the other hand, are in unfamiliar territory. The Canucks have a big top line but not so much after that. However, the Blues showed an ability to slow it down, when playing 5-on-5. Expect the champs to slow down that top-line at even strength, while using a disciplined approach to limit their time in the penalty box, en route to a highly important victory. |
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08-13-20 | Blue Jackets v. Lightning -170 | 3-1 | Loss | -170 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TAMPA. As you probably know, the opening game was a marathon. The Lightning won in the fifth Overtime. Those are the type of losses that can really be tough to bounce back from. Keep in mind that the Jackets were already off an emotional and physical hard-fought series against the Leafs. They'd barely had a chance to recover and then left it all on the ice in Game 1. To do that and ultimately come up short is going to take a toll on them today. Expect the Lightning, who still haven't forgotten last year, to take advantage of the situation and for them to take a commanding lead in the series. |
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08-12-20 | Islanders v. Capitals -129 | 4-2 | Loss | -129 | 48 h 31 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON. The Caps started slowly in the round robin but got better as it progressed. I believe that they're peaking at the right time, entering their series with the Islanders. The Isles are well-coached as former Trotz led the Capitals to the Cup a couple of years ago. The Caps are the more complete and talented team though, in my opinion. While the Isles were taking on the Panthers, the Caps were getting warmed up against top Eastern teams like Tampa, Boston and Philadelphia. The Caps can beat you with offense or with defense. They can beat you by being more physical or they can out-finesse you. That said, I feel this price is more than reasonable. Expect the Caps to draw first blood. |
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08-11-20 | Blue Jackets v. Lightning -165 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 23 h 43 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TAMPA. The Lightning got the matchup they wanted. This is the team which upset them last year and now its time for payback. The Lightning catch the Jackets coming off a very hard fought and emotional series against the Leafs and I expect them to jump all over them. Tampa coach Jon Cooper noted: "What happened last year happened last year. That's in the history books forever. Now it's time to write your own history, and that's what we intend to do with this team..." Expect a highly determined effort and the Lightning to draw first blood. |
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08-09-20 | Blue Jackets v. Maple Leafs -146 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -146 | 26 h 40 m | Show |
I'm playing on TORONTO. You probably saw that the Leafs pulled off a truly remarkable comeback in Friday's game. The stars came out when they were needed most. That's going to give Toronto a lot of momentum and a feeling of invincibility. On the other hand, the Jackets are going to be feeling deflated. Outside of the momentum and confident factor, the Leafs simply have far more offensive firepower. Now feeling a like a "team of destiny," look for them to close the deal. |
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08-07-20 | Oilers -131 v. Blackhawks | 2-3 | Loss | -131 | 27 h 53 m | Show | |
I'm playing on EDMONTON. I lost with the Oilers in Game 3. Despite that tough loss, I still feel very much the same way. Here's what I said, prior to Wednesday's game: "I won with the Hawks in Game 1 and the Oilers in Game 2. So, I've had a good handle on it, thus far. I believe that the Oilers are the superior team though. By the end of Game 2, they'd broken the Hawks' spirit. They were facing a lot of pressure coming in but now they've got that first victory out of the way, I expect them to carry the momentum into this evening's game. The Hawks are just 54-78 (-13.7) in the revenge role the past few seasons. So, if they can't beat a team once, it doesn't necessarily mean they're going to bounce back in the next meeting. In fact, during that span, Chicago is only 45-78 (-22.7) against teams with a winning record. Look for McDavid and co. to win this critical affair." The Oilers did indeed come very close to winning Game 3, as they were up 3-2 late in the third. This time, look for them to find a way to even the series. |
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08-07-20 | Penguins -155 v. Canadiens | 0-2 | Loss | -155 | 24 h 1 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH. Down 1-0, we saw the best from the Penguins in Game 2. Down 2-1 and facing elimination, I expect another determined effort from Crosby and co. in Game 4. Yes, Game 3 was a tough loss, as they appeared to be in control. However, this team still has the talent and the experience to overcome it. As Montreal coach Julien noted: "...we're playing a team that knows exactly what to do to get back into a series..." Remember, the Pens had a +28 goal differential in the season while the Habs were -9. I say this one's going the distance. |
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08-05-20 | Oilers -136 v. Blackhawks | 3-4 | Loss | -136 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
I'm playing on EDMONTON. I won with the Hawks in Game 1 and the Oilers in Game 2. So, I've had a good handle on it, thus far. I believe that the Oilers are the superior team though. By the end of Game 2, they'd broken the Hawks' spirit. They were facing a lot of pressure coming in but now they've got that first victory out of the way, I expect them to carry the momentum into this evening's game. The Hawks are just 54-78 (-13.7) in the revenge role the past few seasons. So, if they can't beat a team once, it doesn't necessarily mean they're going to bounce back in the next meeting. In fact, during that span, Chicago is only 45-78 (-22.7) against teams with a winning record. Look for McDavid and co. to win this critical affair. |
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08-04-20 | Blue Jackets v. Maple Leafs -141 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 25 h 40 m | Show |
I'm playing on TORONTO. After getting blanked 2-0 in the opening game, the Leafs are going to be a hungry and desperate team. Coach Sheldon Keefe had this to say: “That's what their system is designed to do, is to frustrate you. We've talked a lot about that. But the good news is in just talking to our guys and the type of practice that we had, our guys are not frustrated. Our guys are hungry to get back at it and recognize where we can get better and know that we have more to give so we'll be ready to play tomorrow." I absolutely expect that to be the case. The Leafs had plenty of chances. This is a team with some serious offensive weapons. They hadn't been blanked in a playoff game since back in 2002 and it won't happen twice in a row. Leafs bounce back. |
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08-03-20 | Blackhawks v. Oilers -130 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 31 h 23 m | Show |
I'm playing on EDMONTON. I won with the Hawks in the opener. So, I wasn't surprised that they gave the Oilers a tough game. I commented on Toews' playoff experience and leadership and the Chicago captain absolutely led by example. That said, I expect a desperate Oiler team to respond this evening. McDavid is considered by many to be the top player in the game these days. Great players lead their teams to victory in these type of situations. I expect the Oilers' star to do exactly that. While the Hawks do have a few key veterans who have been through the wars, outside of them, this is a relatively inexperienced team - not the same Hawks that were so strong in years past. McDavid and co. respond. |
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08-03-20 | Canadiens v. Penguins -125 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH. After dropping the series opener, you know that the Pens are going to be all business here. The Habs are still an ugly 43-74 against winning teams the past few seasons. Over the years, they're also a poor 12-19 when leading in a playoff series. The Pens had a 41-35 edge in shots in the opener, so they were getting their chances. Expect a desperate Pittsburgh team, back against the wall, to bounce back and even things up. |
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08-01-20 | Canadiens v. Penguins -150 | 3-2 | Loss | -150 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH. This line came down a bit from its opener; I feel thats providing value with the superior team. While anything can happen in one game, particularly in the first game back from the pandemic, the Pens are favored for a reason. The Pens average 3.2 goals per game while allowing 2.8 gpg. The Habs, meanwhile, allow 3.1 gpg while scoring 3.0. The Pens won both previous 2020 meetings. Expect them to draw first blood here. |
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03-11-20 | Senators v. Kings -160 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
I'm playing on LA. The Kings are rolling right now, playing their best hockey of the season. They've quietly been solid at home all season long. The Sens, on the other hand, have been terrible on the road all season long. While the Kings had yesterday off, the Sens were busy losing at Anaheim. They're 14-33 the past 2+ seasons, when playing the second of b2b games. Schedule and venue in their favor, look for the suddenly surging Kings to avenge an earlier loss at Ottawa. |
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03-11-20 | Rangers v. Avalanche -155 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLORADO. The Rangers are at the wrong place, at the wrong time. Having dropped three of four and looking to avenge an earlier loss at MSG, the Avs are angry. While the Rangers are 13-13 against teams from the West, the Avs are 20-10 against teams from the East. The last time that the Rangers played two games in two days, as they are here, they won the first by a score of 5-2 but lost the second by a score of 5-2. Last night, they won 4-2, while the Avs rested. The Rangers also won when these teams met at MSG last season. However, in the rematch here at Colorado, the Avs won by a score of 6-1. Schedule and venue in their favor, expect the Avs to get some payback tonight. |
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03-11-20 | Jets v. Oilers -131 | 4-2 | Loss | -131 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
I'm playing on EDMONTON. As of this writing, McDavid is a game-time decision. While I suspect that he will give it a go, I like the Oilers, with or without their superstar. The home team has already won both meetings so far this season. The Jets may be rolling but they're also 14-24 (-16.9) their last 38, when on a 3-game winning streak. That includes an 0-5 mark their last five in that situation. Look for the Oilers to cool them off here. |
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03-10-20 | Rangers v. Stars -163 | 4-2 | Loss | -163 | 25 h 45 m | Show | |
I'm playing on DALLAS. Both these teams are off divisional losses and both could really use a win. That said, the Stars arguably need it more. I expect them to be extremely hungry and playing on home ice, I expect them to have the advantage. The Rangers, who lost 6-4 last time out, are an ugly 29-46 (-13.9) the past 75 times that they were off a loss of two or more goals. During that span, the Rangers were also 28-47 (-14.9) when off a division game. Meanwhile, over the same period, the Stars were 52-35 (+11.3) when off a division game. With the Stars also a healthy 13-4 (+7.4) on the season, when playing with two day's rest in between games, look for the home fans to leave happy. |
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03-08-20 | Blue Jackets v. Canucks -147 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -147 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
I'm playing on VANCOUVER. The Jackets are a banged-up team right now. Thats going to make playing their second game in two days that much more difficult. Off last night's loss, the Jackets are now just 9-18 against teams from the West. One of those victories was against these same Canucks, just one week ago. That was at Columbus though. The Canucks were mired in a losing streak, at the end of a trip and playing the second of b2b games, while off a loss at Toronto the night before. (Some will recall that I successfully played against Vancouver in both those games.) The Canucks are a much better team at home and now they're coming off a win where they scored six goals. This time, they're the rested home team against a road weary visitor playing its second game in two days. Shoe on the other foot, its payback time. |
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03-07-20 | Senators v. Sharks -153 | 2-1 | Loss | -153 | 13 h 43 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SJ. Home ice has been significant when these teams have faced each other and I expect that to be the case again here. The Sharks may only be 17-17 (17-16-1) at home but thats much better than Ottawa's 6-25 (6-19-6) record on the road. The Sens won the earlier meeting, at Ottawa. The Sens have now beaten the Sharks three straight times and five of six, when the teams play in Canada. However, when they face each other in California, the Sharks are 2-0 the last two seasons, winning by a combined score of 9-1. While the Sens have scored 71 goals on the road, the Sharks have scored 100 here at home. Ottawa, off a 4-3 win, is just 6-14 after scoring four or more. While they've struggled against elite teams, the Sharks are 15-7 (+7.5) against losing teams. Expect them to take care of business. |
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03-07-20 | Predators v. Stars -145 | 1-0 | Loss | -145 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
I'm playing on DALLAS. The Stars are going to be a desperate team this afternoon. Not only have they dropped four straight but these same Predators just blanked them, at Nashville. Back on home ice and playing with immediate revenge, I expect a huge effort. Prior to Thursday, the Stars had enjoyed success against the Preds. In fact, they'd won the previous five meetings. This season's earlier game here at Dallas saw the Stars win 4-2. Including that result, the Preds are 16-16 on the road, the Stars are 19-13 at home. While the Stars are 17-12 in the revenge role, the Preds are just 11-14 (-7.4) their last 25, when off a shutout win. Stars stop the bleeding. |
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03-06-20 | Maple Leafs -163 v. Ducks | 1-2 | Loss | -163 | 16 h 33 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TORONTO. Off a 1-0 shootout loss last night and in danger of going winless on the road trip, the Leafs are going to be all business tonight. True, they haven't fared well in b2b situations this season. However, those have primarily involved one home game and one away game and therefore required travel. In this case, there's obviously very little distance to be covered. So, I don't expect fatigue to be a factor the way that it normally might be. This is an Anaheim team which the Leafs have dominated. They've won the last five games in the series, outscoring the Ducks by a combined 23-11 mark. With the Ducks just 6-12, after scoring four or more goals in their previous game, look for a determined Leafs team to continue that series dominance tonight. |
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03-05-20 | Canadiens v. Lightning -177 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TAMPA. The Canadiens are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Lightning are going to be in an angry mood. Knowing that they've got a road trip on deck, starting with a big game at Boston, they know that they absolutely need to close out the homestand with a win. Montreal is a team which they have handled in all three of this season's meetings. Sure, the Habs would like to avenge those losses. However, they're just 50-79 (-33.7) in the revenge role, the past few seasons. During that span, the Lightning are 22-10 (+6.9) after having scored one goal or less in their previous game. Expect a determined effort as the Lightning improve on those stats this evening. |
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03-04-20 | Flyers v. Capitals -148 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -148 | 11 h 9 m | Show |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON. The Flyers are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Having recently lost 7-2 to these same Flyers, right here at home, the Caps are going to be in an extremely angry mood. Note that they've gone 10-4 (+5.5) when attempting to avenge a home loss. Both teams had the past two days off. While the Caps have had a winning record in that situation, the Flyers are actually an ugly 19-30 (-16.6) the past 2+ seasons, when playing with two day's rest in between games. The Caps are a dominant 23-8 (+14.7) in March the past couple of years. Expect payback. |
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03-03-20 | Bruins v. Lightning -119 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -119 | 24 h 15 m | Show |
I'm playing on TAMPA. Big showdown between the top two teams in the East. While the Lightning won't have Stamkos, a player who helped them win the first two games of the season series, I believe that they've still got enough to take care of business on home ice here. These teams will meet again at Boston in a few days. Knowing this, the Lightning will be going all out to "hold serve" here. I like that they won their last game, snapping a 4-game skid and providing some positive momentum. The Lightning have beaten the Bruins five straight times here, scoring three or more goals in all five of those games. Expect them to build off the Calgary win and keep that home ice streak in tact. |
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03-01-20 | Canucks v. Blue Jackets -135 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS. Both teams could really use a win. However, with the venue and schedule in their favor, I expect the Jackets to have the advantage. While Columbus had yesterday off, the Canucks are off a hard-fought loss against Toronto. A Saturday night game against the Leafs is always a big deal; fatigue may well be a factor. Vancouver is 11-18 the past couple of seasons, when playing the second of b2b games. Both teams are much better on home ice. The Jackets are 19-12-4 (19-16) at home but 12-9-10 (12-19) on the road. The Canucks are 20-7-4 (20-11) at home but 14-17-2 (14-19) on the road. Knowing that they'll have to face these same Canucks at Vancouver in a week, expect the Jackets to take advantage of the favorable schedule and for them to "hold serve" on home ice. |
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02-29-20 | Jets v. Oilers -126 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 52 m | Show |
I'm playing on EDMONTON. The Jets check in off a 3-0 win over Washington. Thats pretty impressive, as the Caps are tough to beat. That said, lets not forget that the Jets had lost their previous three games. All three losses came on the road, while the win over the Caps came at home. Also, imporantly, they're 0-4 when off a shutout win. While the Jets are off the 3-0 win, the Oilers are off a 3-0 loss. They're an outstanding 14-5 (+9.8) when off a loss of two or more goals though. Knowing their next three games all come on the road, look for a big effort from the Oilers as they bounce back with a much-needed win. |
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02-29-20 | Canucks v. Maple Leafs -175 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TORONTO. The Leafs have turned the corner of late. They've won back-to-back games and three of four. The Canucks aren't nearly as tough on the road, as they are at Vancouver - and the Leafs already beat them there. While the line may seem steep, consider that the Leafs were laying -275 the last time that they hosted the Canucks. They are indeed the more talented team. The Canucks are 21-36 (-6.5) the past couple of seasons when playing a road game with an O/U line of six or more, going an ugly 13-27 (-13.2) in February during that span. Leafs close out the month with an important win. |
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02-29-20 | Blackhawks v. Panthers -145 | 3-2 | Loss | -145 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
I'm playing on FLORIDA. The Hawks are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off a 5-3 loss and having dropped three of their past four, the Panthers are going to be in an angry mood. They're 20-11 (+8.8) after allowing four or more goals in their previous game. While the Hawks might want to avenge an earlier loss at Chicago, they're only 51-77 (-16.1) in the revenge role the past couple of seasons, 21-38 when attempting to avenge a home loss. The Panthers are 31-12 (+13.2) the past two years, when facing a team with a losing record in the second half of the season. Expect them to take care of business on home ice. |
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02-28-20 | Rangers v. Flyers -162 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 23 h 10 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. This is the front end of a home-and-home series between these teams. Knowing they'll face these same Rangers, at MSG, on 3/1, the Flyers will absolutely be determined to take care of business on home ice here. Not only do they have the venue in their favor but the Flyers also have the schedule working for them. While they had Thursday off, the Rangers were involved in a hard fought "Original Six" matchup at Montreal. The last time that these teams met and the only time so far this season was a game here at Philadelphia, on Dec 23. The Rangers were also playing their second game in two days for that one. It didn't work out too well as the Flyers won 5-1. Including that result, the Flyers have taken seven of the last eight meetings. Schedule and venue in their favor, expect them to continue that series dominance for at least another day. |
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02-28-20 | Wild v. Blue Jackets -130 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS. The Jackets are badly in need of a victory and I expect their very best effort tonight. While the game wasn't exactly taxing, as they blew out the Red Wings, the Wild did play Thursday. That's noteworthy, as they're only 13-24 (-11.8) the past 2+ seasons, when playing their second game in two days. Prior to that, these teams had just faced each other, at Minnesota. The Wild eked out a 5-4 win in that one. The Wild also won a close one (2-1) in last season's game at Minnesota. However, in the game here at Columbus, the Jackets prevailed by a 4-2 score. This season, Columbus is 19-15 at home compared to Minnesota's 13-17 mark on the road. The Wild have allowed 106 goals on the road while the Jackets have allowed just 75 at home. The Jackets are 33-22 the past 2+ seasons, when playing with two day's rest in between games. Schedule and venue in their favor, expect them to improve on those stats here. |
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02-27-20 | Rangers v. Canadiens -130 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -130 | 25 h 20 m | Show |
I'm playing on MONTREAL. The reality is that the Canadiens won't be making the playoffs. However, they're still mathematically alive and I still expect their very best effort, as a result. Their captain, Weber had this to say: "We're not done yet,” Weber said. “We still got a long ways to go, but we got to take it one game at a time. Obviously, we got one point last night. We need to work on getting points tomorrow and then going forward. Just one game at a time. We can't look further than New York right now and they’re actually playing well. So we got to be ready for them and make sure it’s our best effort to date." Weber's right that the Rangers have been playing well, as they've won four straight. However, they've got a big divisional game on deck against the Flyers tomorrow and they're also an ugly 103-117 (-50.1) the past 200+ times that they were off three or more consec. wins. Look for the Habs to cool them off tonight. |
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02-25-20 | Rangers v. Islanders -134 | 4-3 | Loss | -134 | 24 h 17 m | Show | |
I'm playing on the NY ISLANDERS. These teams met three times in January. The Rangers took two of those three meetings, including the lone one here. That loss notwithstanding, the Islanders have been excellent on home ice. I expect home ice to provide them with the advantage in this one. While the Rangers are a solid 16-11-2 on the road, the Isles are an outstanding 20-7-4 at home. Currently, the Isles have won five straight here. They scored four or more goals in all five of those wins, too. The trade deadline having come and gone, expect them to keep that streak in tact for another day. |
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02-21-20 | Rangers v. Hurricanes -167 | 5-2 | Loss | -167 | 22 h 56 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. Somewhat surprisingly, the Rangers have had their way with the Hurricanes so far this season. That changes tonight. While the Rangers are a respectable 15-13 away from MSG, the Canes are a much better 19-11 here at Raleigh. The Rangers have outscored teams by a single goal (89-88) on the road this season. The Canes have outscored visiting teams by a dominant 104-77 margin. The Rangers are 9-11 off a win by two or more goals. The Canes are 11-6 (+3.9) when playing with two day's rest in between games. Its payback time tonight. |
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02-20-20 | Penguins v. Maple Leafs -111 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show |
I'm playing on TORONTO. The Pens have dominated the Leafs in a pair of meetings this season. Once back in November and once two days ago. Those were both at Pittsburgh though. Now, they get a chance to host the Pens. I expect the change of venue to work in their favor. I also expect an extremely motivated effort. Note that the Leafs are 61-43 in the revenge role the past 2+ seasons. During that span, the Pens are just 16-19 (-11) after having won their three previous games. Payback time for Toronto. |
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02-19-20 | Wild v. Canucks -123 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -123 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
I'm playing on VANCOUVER. I feel that this line could easily be higher. These teams have split a pair of meetings so far this season. Both those were at Minnesota though. Now playing at home, where they are typically much stronger, I expect the Canucks to have the advantage. While the Canucks are 19-10 (19-7-3) at home, the Wild are 10-17 (10-15-2) on the road. The Canucks, 16-8 when playing a home game with an O/U line of six or greater, are 8-5 (+2.9) after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. The Wild are just 5-11 when playing a road game with an O/U line of six or greater. Expect home ice to prove significant as the Canucks bounce back with a big win. |
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02-19-20 | Rangers v. Blackhawks -126 | 6-3 | Loss | -126 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CHICAGO. The home team took both meetings last season. The Rangers won 4-3 at MSG but the Hawks won 4-1 here at Chicago. I expect home ice to again prove significant. Both teams had the past couple of days off. That figures to favor Chicago. While the Rangers are just 3-4 when playing with two day's rest in between games, the Hawks are an excellent 8-3 (+8.5) when doing so. Having dropped six of their last seven, the Hawks are going to be highly motivated. Look for them to "dig deep" as they stop the bleeding with a much-needed victory. |
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02-17-20 | Ducks v. Flames -186 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CALGARY. The Flames just dominated (6-0) the Ducks, at Anaheim. Now, they face them at Calgary and the Flames have the schedule in their favor. While they had yesterday off, the Ducks are off a win at Vancouver. This is the Ducks' seventh road game in their past eight. Last time in a b2b situation, they lost 5-4. After giving up eight goals last time out, the Flames are going to be hungry. They're 43-31 the past couple of seasons, after allowing four or more goals. That includes a 13-8 (+2.8) mark in that situation this season. Yesterday's win notwithstanding, the Ducks are terrible on the road and they're still a money-burning 35-45 (-16.4) in divisional games the past couple of seasons. As for as wanting payback for the 6-0 loss, the Ducks are also just 19-30 (-10) the past couple of seasons, when attempting to avenge a home loss, 5-9 this season. Flames roll. |
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02-16-20 | Ducks v. Canucks -154 | 5-1 | Loss | -154 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
I'm playing on VANCOUVER. The Canucks have been a streaky team all season. After recently having lost four straight, they've now won b2b games. Markstrom is off a 49-save shutout (3-0 win) last game and is expected to back between the pipes for Vancouver. Gibson is expected to go for the Ducks today and he only lasted a period last game, a 6-0 Ducks loss. The Canucks are 15-6 when off a win by two or more goals. They're also a perfect 5-0 when playing with three or more day's rest. They lost at Anaheim earlier but they're a far better team at home. Expect them to keep on rolling for another day. |
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02-15-20 | Oilers v. Panthers -151 | 4-1 | Loss | -151 | 18 h 18 m | Show | |
I'm playing on FLORIDA. Both teams will want this one but I expect the Panthers to be a little hungrier. This is a team which has dropped three straight on home ice and which absolutely needs to stop the bleeding here. Keep in mind that the Panthers are still a healthy 16-11-2 at home, so the recent skid isn't an indication of how they typically play here. On the season, the Panthers average 3.5 goals per game compared to Edmonton's 3.2. The Panthers already beat the Oilers at Edmonton. Knowing that their next five come on the road, expect them to go all out here and come away with a much-needed victory. |
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02-14-20 | Rangers v. Blue Jackets -140 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -140 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS. Both teams played yesterday. The Rangers won at Minnesota. The Jackets lost at Buffalo. That makes it three straight wins for NY and three straight losses for Columbus. No-brainer on the Rangers then, right? Not in my opinion. The Jackets are favored for a reason. The Rangers have been outscored 84-80 on the road this season. The Jackets have outscored opposing teams by a 81-65 margin here at home. The three straight wins could give the Rangers some complacency while the three losses will provide the Jackets with a sense or urgency. The Rangers are 5-8 the past couple of seasons after three or more consec. victories. While both teams are playing a b2b, the Rangers are also playing their third game in four days, which is not the case for Columbus. Jackets roll. |
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02-13-20 | Islanders v. Predators -135 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 26 h 32 m | Show |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE. The Isles are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off b2b losses, the Preds are going to be in an extremely angry mood. The last time that they lost two in a row, the Preds immediately snapped the skid with a 2-1 win over the Sabres. While the Isles have scored five goals in b2b games, they're still just 10-11 (-4.2) after scoring four or more goals in their previous game. The Preds, 8-4 when playing with two day's rest in between games, have dominated the Isles in recent meetings. In fact, they're 4-0 the last four times that the teams faced each other, scoring 22 goals in the process. Expect "more of the same" on Thursday. |
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02-13-20 | Stars v. Maple Leafs -135 | 3-2 | Loss | -135 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TORONTO. The Leafs won at Dallas earlier this season. Playing at Toronto, I expect them to have the advantage again this evening. Note that Dallas is just 10-18 (-8.5) the past 2+ seasons, when playing a road game with an O/U line of six or greater. During that span, the Stars are also only 42-45 in non-conf. games. The Leafs, on the other hand, are 52-32 (+5) when playing a non-conf. opponent. Look for home ice to prove the difference in this one. |