Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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06-26-22 | Avalanche -111 v. Lightning | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLORADO. The Avs squandered their chance to win the Cup on home ice. However, I expect them to finish the deal this evening. The Avs have been money off a loss and they are 53-26 (+14.7) the past few seasons, when playing with revenge. There's no question that the champs are great at fighting off elimination. It finally catches up with them tonight though. Remember, TB is still just 33-29 against teams with a winning record while Colorado is 40-18. Expect the Cup to be awarded. |
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06-24-22 | Lightning v. Avalanche -167 | 3-2 | Loss | -167 | 27 h 53 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLORADO. While I always expected them to win, I believe that the Avalanche really sealed the deal with their Game 4 victory. Now, they've got a chance to close things out on home ice. They smell the blood in the water and they will not be denied. Tampa has been a terrific story these past few years. There's no quit in the Lightning. However, that Game 4 loss figures to be deflating. They're banged-up physically and emotionally. The Avs, on the other hand, have momentum and the home crowd behind them. They've scored 23 goals their last four games here, all of them victories. Remember the last game here? A 7-0 destruction. That was on the heels of a close Colorado win the previous game, much the same way this one sets up. Including their Game 1 and Game 2 victories here, the Avs are 59-13 their last 72 as home favorites. While we probably won't get another 7-0 blowout, I do fully expect another Colorado victory. |
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06-18-22 | Lightning v. Avalanche -146 | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 62 h 42 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLORADO. The Lightning had a golden opportunity to steal Game 1. They rallied from a 3-1 deficit to force OT. The game was theirs for the taking. The Avalanche were the team which seized the moment though. A frustrating and deflating way to lose for Tampa. Now, the Avs have positive momentum on their side and they're no longer dealing with an abnormal amount of rest. True, Tampa has dropped previous openers and came back to win Game 2 and the series. The Avs are much better than the teams which they previously faced though. They're quicker and more explosive than the defending champs. The Colorado home crowd was absolutely fired up in Game 1 and the fans will make a difference in Game 2. While the Lightning are mediocre on the road, the Avs are now 36-9 when playing a home game with an O/U line of six or greater. I say they improve on those stats Saturday night. |
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06-15-22 | Lightning v. Avalanche -154 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 24 h 18 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLORADO. Great matchup. The best team against the defending champs. It's true that the Avs have had a very lengthy layoff. While that could potentially lead to some early rust, this team is too talented to let it affect them for long. Keep in mind that the Avs are 57-13 the past 70 times that they were listed as home favorites. The Avs won the lone 2022 meeting with the Lightning; they got strong goaltending themselves while also firing 47 shots on the Tampa goal. The favorite is 15-4 the past 19 in the series overall. Expect those stats to improve Wednesday. |
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06-07-22 | Rangers v. Lightning -170 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TAMPA. As you know the Rangers took the first two games, at MSG. They grabbed a 2-0 lead in Game 3, too. The Lightning don't quit though. They dug deep and rallied for the 3-2 win. The winning goal came with less than a minute left. Those are the type that can really hurt the other team. Now, they've got the momentum back on their side - and they've got the Rangers thinking about what could have been. Coach Cooper commented: "We had to stop the Rangers' roll. Hopefully, that goal with 42 seconds left put a little pin in their bubble." I absolutely expect that to be the case. The Rangers really fed off their home crowd in the first two games and then they took the crowd of the game, to a certain extent, early on in Game 3. The Lightning are now 5-0 their last five on home ice, 8-1 their past nine and 11-2 their past 13. Expect them to tie up the series. |
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06-05-22 | Rangers v. Lightning -170 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TAMPA. Yesterday, the Avalanche took a commanding 3-0 series lead in the Western Finals. This afternoon, the Rangers have a chance to do the same in the East. As impressive as the Rangers looked at MSG, I don't see the defending champs going down without a serious fight. Off their 3-2 Game 2 loss, note that the Lightning are a dominating 89-26 their last 115 games, after scoring two or fewer goals in their previous game. The Rangers were really feeding off their home crowd but they won't have that luxury here. The Lightning are 4-0 their last four on home ice, 7-1 their past eight and 10-2 their past 12. Expect them to dig deep and get it done. |
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06-03-22 | Lightning -120 v. Rangers | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -120 | 36 h 11 m | Show |
I'm playing on TB. I'm well aware that the Rangers have had Tampa's number this season. However, I'm also aware that the champs are pretty good, when off a loss. Really good. The Lightning have only lost three previous times in these playoffs. In all three cases, they responded by winning their next game. Scores were 5-3, 7-3 and 4-3. In fact, dating back to a rare losing streak at the beginning of April, the Lightning are 7-0 the past seven times that they were off a loss. Remember, the champs lost 5-0 in Game 1 at Toronto. Let's also keep in mind that they had a very long layoff before Game 1. Coach Cooper noted: "It's Game 1. We've been through this before. We've won series when we've lost the first game and won series when we won the first game." Stamkos, for his part, had this to say: "We certainly didn't have our best. It is what it is. We're not a group that's going to use that as an excuse. We have to be better." Stamkos and co. WILL be better; I expect them to even up the series. |
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05-31-22 | Oilers v. Avalanche -168 | 6-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLORADO. All the talk is about the McDavid vs. McKinnon showdown. This series is about more than that matchup though and the Avs are the more complete team. Playing on home ice and playing with extra rest, I expect them to demonstrate that this evening. The Avs are 35-11 at home. The Oilers are 25-22 on the road. Big difference. The Avs are also 7-2 (+4.2) when playing with three or more day's rest in between games. The Oilers, on the other hand, are 2-7 (-7.6) when doing so. Going back further finds Colorado at 18-8 (+6.7) when playing with three or more day's rest and Edmonton at 6-13 (-10.9) when doing so. I feel the price could easily be even higher and I say the Avs draw first blood. |
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05-30-22 | Rangers v. Hurricanes -142 | 6-2 | Loss | -142 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. The home team has won every game in this series. While I thought the Canes would score the road win in Game 6, I expect them to bounce back and get it done this evening. The Canes won the three games here by scores of 3-1, 2-1 and 2-0. Remember, home ice was also the difference in the Carolina/Boston series. While the Rangers are a respectable 26-21 on the road, the Canes are a commanding 36-12 here at home. They outscore visiting teams by a 3.3 to 2.0 margin here. They've won nine straight here and they haven't allowed more than two goals in a game here in these playoffs. In what should be a good game, expect home ice to again prove the difference. |
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05-28-22 | Hurricanes +100 v. Rangers | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. As you likely know, the home team has won every game in this series. That being the case, it would be easy to make a case for the Rangers. However, I don't see the home ice trend continuing. The Hurricanes know that the Lightning are already waiting for them. They know that the Western Conf. Finals are set to begin Tuesday. They can't afford to play a Game 7 on Monday. Off Thursday's 3-1 win, note that the Canes are 25-13 (+6.6) when off a win by two or more goals. The Rangers are actually getting outscored by a 3.2 to 3.1 average margin in these playoffs. The Canes, on the other hand, are outscoring teams by a 2.7 to 2.4 margin. I believe they're the stronger team and I expect them to rise to the occasion and for them to prove it tonight. |
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05-26-22 | Oilers v. Flames -145 | 5-4 | Loss | -145 | 14 h 49 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CALGARY. The Oilers have looked pretty unstoppable the past few games. This is still "The Battle of Alberta" though and the Flames aren't going to go down without a fight, on home ice. They're 46-29 (+10.3) the past 75 times that they allowed four or more goals in their previous game. While the Oilers allow 3.1 gpg on the road, the Flames allow 2.4 here at home. In fact, the Flames have outshot visiting teams by a dominating 36 to 26.6 average margin here this season. They've still won seven of the past 11 home meetings with the Oilers. Expect them to extend the series. |
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05-26-22 | Rangers v. Hurricanes -151 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. Home ice has been the difference in this series. The Rangers won the last two games, both at MSG. However, the Canes won the two here by scores of 2-1 and 2-0. Remember, home ice was also the difference in the Carolina/Boston series. While the Rangers are a respectable 26-20 on the road, the Canes are a commanding 35-12 here at home. They outscore visiting teams by a 3.3 to 2.0 margin here. They've won eight straight here and they haven't allowed more than two goals in a game here in these playoffs. Expect home ice to again prove the difference. |
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05-21-22 | Avalanche -160 v. Blues | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLORADO. The Avs were never going to win every game. So, the fact that the Blues are putting up a tougher fight than the Predators is not surprising. That said, we're going to see the best from Colorado today. The Avs have been the class of the west this season. They know this is their year and they know they need to win this pivotal game. Colorado's Nathan MacKinnon commented: "It's unfortunate, but it's 1-1," MacKinnon said. " ... we got to forget about it and move on and get back to the way we can play. We still feel like we're a great team. We have to forget about it and move on." I think, years past, we might dwell on it and get down on ourselves and each other. We just got to pick each other up and move on and stay positive. We still believe we can get this thing done and win the series." I expect MacKinnon to lead by example. The last time the Avs were off a 3-goal loss, they put up seven in their next game. They're 5-1 their last six, when off a home loss of three or more goals. They'll be better and they'll get it done. |
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05-19-22 | Lightning v. Panthers -158 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -158 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
I'm playing on FLORIDA. Clearly, the Lightning are still a really good team. Off an extremely hard-fought 7-game series against the Leafs, they still had enough left in the tank to take Game 1. They'd finish with a 4-1 victory. Expect the champs to find things considerably more difficult this evening. The Panthers grew a lot in the first round. They, too, were on the brink of getting knocked out. They kept coming back though; there is no quit in this team. After losing the opener of that series by a 4-2 score, the Panthers bounced back and crushed the Caps by a 5-1 score in Game 2. They'd go on to lose Game 3 by a 6-1 score. Once again, they bounced back. Including that Game 4 victory, the Panthers are a highly profitable 20-6 (+15) the past 26 times that they scored one goal or less in their previous game, a perfect 4-0 their past four. They're 58-26 the past 2+ seasons, after allowing four or more goals. The Panthers are also still a dominating 33-8 their past 41, when playing a home game with an O/U line of six or greater. Expect them to improve on those stats and even the series. |
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05-18-22 | Rangers v. Hurricanes -159 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. Great comeback by the Rangers. I expect it to catch up to them tonight though. The Canes are a different beast than the Penguins. While Crosby and co were hoping for one last kick at the can, the Canes are an up-and-coming team. They're coming off a great season and they truly believe they've got a good chance at hoisting the cup. They took three of four 2022 meetings with NY and they're 33-12 here on the season. They outscore visiting teams by a dominant 3.4 to 2.1 average margin. While the Canes outshoot visiting teams by a 34.6 to 28.1, the Rangers get outshot 31.7 to 21.7 on the road. Look for the Canes to be too much for them tonight, the Rangers falling to 12-18 their last 30, after winning their previous three games. |
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05-17-22 | Lightning v. Panthers -155 | 4-1 | Loss | -155 | 22 h 7 m | Show | |
I'm playing on FLORIDA. The Lightning are the defending champs but the Panthers are favored for good reason. Both teams were tested in the opening round. However, the Lightning were really pushed to the brink. As a result, the Panthers play with an extra day's worth of rest. Note that they're 7-1 the past eight times that they played with three or more day's rest in between games. The injury to Brayden Point was a big one. He's a key player for Tampa and is currently doubtful. The Panthers are 46-8 the past 54 times that they were listed as home favorites. They let the Lightning get the jump on them in last year's series but they'll draw first blood in this one. |
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05-12-22 | Maple Leafs v. Lightning -130 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TB. (8*) I'm not counting out the Lightning yet. Tampa is 5-0 the past five times it was trailing in a playoff series, 30-14 (+15) its past 44 in that situation. During that span, the Leafs are 9-22 (-15.8) when leading in a playoff series. The Lightning are also 57-24 the past 2+ seasons, when playing with 'revenge.' They've bounced back big from both previous losses in this series. Expect them to force a Game 7. |
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05-11-22 | Capitals v. Panthers -220 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 20 h 25 m | Show | |
I'm playing on FLORIDA. Talk about wasted opportunity. The Capitals had the Panthers right where they wanted them last game. They couldn't seal the deal though and that's now going to be a tough pill to swallow. The Panthers, who never stopped believing, now have the momentum back on their side. A closer look at the stats from last game shows they actually had a big edge. Remember, this team rarely loses here. Indeed, the Panthers are a dominant 45-8 their last 53 games as a home favorite, including a 5-1 win in the last game here. It's also worth noting that the favorite is 39-19 the past 58 meetings between these teams. The Panthers led the NHL in gpg, averaging better than four goals per game. Order restored, expect them to take control of the series. |
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05-11-22 | Penguins v. Rangers -129 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NY. Backs against the wall, I expect the Rangers to be at their best evening. NY Coach Gerard Gallant read his team the riot act after the last game: "Total team disappointment ... " Gallant's Rangers WILL be better. The home team is 4-1 the past five in the series. The Rangers are still 5-2 the past seven meetings here. They won the last game here by a 5-2 score. Remember, the Rangers were 28-10-2-3 here. I like the decision to stick with their #1 goalie and I look for the Rangers to bounce back and extend the series. |
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05-10-22 | Kings v. Oilers -200 | 5-4 | Loss | -200 | 13 h 56 m | Show | |
I'm playing on EDMONTON. The Kings deserve a lot of credit for making this a series. However, in this pivotal game, I expect the "cream to rise to the top." The Oilers are indeed the superior team. While they'll certainly be feeling some pressure, they've got the talent to overcome that. This is their time and I expect them to rise to the occasion. The Oilers, still 23-7 (+13.4) in divisional play, were at their best the last time that the series was tied. While I'm not expecting another 8-2 blowout, I am expecting another victory. |
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05-10-22 | Bruins v. Hurricanes -139 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. It was never going to be easy for Carolina. The Bruins are a tough team and they've eliminated the Canes in two recent postseasons. However, in both those cases, the Bruins held home ice advantage. This time, its Carolina which has that edge. Home ice has certainly been significant in the series, too. The Bruins won the two games at Boston by scores of 4-2 and 5-2. However, the Canes won the two games here at Carolina by scores of 5-1 and 5-2. This is what Carolina worked so hard for all regular season. So, that these pivotal games could be played here. While the Bruins were relatively mediocre on the road, the Canes are a dominant 31-12 on home ice, outscoring visiting teams by an average of 3.4 to 2.1. Expect them to bounce back and take this critical game. |
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05-09-22 | Panthers -172 v. Capitals | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
I'm playing on FLORIDA. After blowing Game 1, the Panthers calmly responded with a big win in Game 2. After getting blown out in Game 3, I expect a similar response from the Panthers this evening. The Panthers are 11-3 when playing with revenge and 21-9 after allowing four or more goals in their previous game. Going back further finds thems at 47-30 (+15) in the revenge role and 57-26 (+20) after allowing four or more goals in their previous game. During that span, they're also an outstanding 19-6 (+14) after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. Expect the determined Panthers to bounce back and to improve on those impressive stats. |
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05-06-22 | Hurricanes v. Bruins -125 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 25 h 48 m | Show |
I'm playing on BOSTON. The Canes held serve at home; they won both the first two games at Raleigh. However, I don't see the battle-tested Bruins going down without a fight. While the Canes did score an upset here in January, the favorite has won 24 of the past 32 meetings in the series. The Bruins will be switching up the goalie and that change can often light a spark. This is Swayman's chance and I expect him to be ready. Arguably, "Sway" should have been the guy from the Day 1. The Bruins have won each of their last four games here and they allowed just four goals combined in those games. When playing at home, the Bruins have also won four of their past five playoff games against the Canes. Expect them to dig deep, up their game and get back in the series. |
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05-05-22 | Capitals v. Panthers -234 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
I'm playing on FLORIDA. Needless to say, the Panthers can't afford to lose this one. The Game 1 loss has them in a hole. The Panthers were 20-9 after allowing four or more goals though and 10-3 when playing with 'revenge.' They're still a dominant 34-8 on home ice, outscoring visiting teams by an average of 4.6 to 2.9. Yes, the price is steep; but they're 44-8 their last 52 as home favorites. The Caps, who will be playing their fourth straight on the road, are 3-6 after playing their previous three on the road. Florida's Sam Bennett noted: "We're still in good spirits. We still know how good a team we are. There's no panic in this locker room." Expect Bennett and co. to bounce back. |
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05-04-22 | Kings v. Oilers -182 | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show | |
I'm playing on EDMONTON. After dropping Game 1, the Oilers obviously need this one. I expect them to respond with their very best effort. Edmonton captain Connor McDavid had this to say: "I thought we just didn't handle it all that well. The Kings got the jump on us. I think we did a great job getting back in the game and gave ourselves a chance, but ultimately it came down to one bounce." I expect the Oilers' superstar to lead by example tonight. Remember, the Oilers were 28-12-0-1 here while the Kings were 23-11-5-2 on the road. The Oilers are still 9-3 their last 12 as a host in the series. McDavid and co. won't let this one come down to one bounce. Expect them to even the series. |
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05-03-22 | Penguins v. Rangers -123 | 4-3 | Loss | -123 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NY. The Penguins may still have some of the more recognizable names but the Rangers are favored for good reason. The Pens are 23-18 on the road. The Rangers are 27-14 at home. The Pens score 3.1 gpg on the road while the Rangers score 3.2 gpg at home. Its on the other side of the puck where NY has the real edge though. The Rangers allow a mere 2.3 gpg at home. The Pens allow 2.8 gpg overall. The Rangers, 6-1 the past seven times that they played with three day's rest in between games, had their way with the Pens the past few meetings. NY won the past three games by scores of 3-0, 3-2 and 5-1. I feel the price is fair and I expect the Rangers to grab Game 1. |
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05-02-22 | Bruins v. Hurricanes -110 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 29 h 42 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. These teams have a history. They faced each other in the first round of the 2020 playoffs. The previous year, they met in the Eastern Conference Finals. In both cases, the Bruins won the series. In both cases the Bruins had home ice advantage. In both cases, the Bruins won Game 1. Things are different this year though. This time, its the Canes who have home ice advantage. Needless to say, they're painfully aware of the importance of winning Game 1. I expect them to have the edge. Carolina has won six straight games and is coming off its best ever reg. season. The Canes dominated the Bruins along the way. They won the two games at Boston by scores of 7-0 and 6-1 and they won the lone game here at Carolina by a score of 3-0. Carolina coach Brind'Amour had this to say: "You learn from your past. These guys that have been here before, that's what's driving them and has all year." Canes dig deep and get it done. |
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04-29-22 | Golden Knights v. Blues -160 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -160 | 25 h 30 m | Show |
I'm playing on ST. LOUIS. I successfully played against both these teams in their last game. The Blues lost on the road against a motivated Colorado team. Certainly, there's no shame in that. They still played fairly well and they'd been red hot before that. Importantly, they want to bounce back to enter the playoffs on a roll AND because they still have a shot at having home ice advantage against the Wild. On the other hands, the Knights lost to lowly Chicago last game. It was a devastating loss as it killed their chances of making the playoffs. Really, those chances were pretty slim. Still, they were fighting hard right until the end and that makes the loss to Chicago that much tougher to handle. Vegas player Max Pacioretty had this to say: "It's just a tough pill to swallow right now and it's going to take some time to digest, because right up to the end there, I never lost hope in thinking we were going to make it." Playing their third game in four days, the first two both going to S/O's, gutted from losing both and being eliminated, it's going to be hard for the banged-up Knights to match the Blues' intensity. Given the situation, I believe the price could easily be considerably higher. Blues roll. |
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04-29-22 | Blackhawks v. Sabres -118 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BUFFALO. The Hawks came through for me last game. Their win over Vegas offiically eliminated the Knights from postseason contention. The players acknowledged that they enjoyed playing the role of spoiler. It was also their home finale. So, there was plenty of reason for motivation. This evening, however, there's no chance for any "spoiling." Playing their home finale, in front of what's expected to be a sellout, or near-sellout crowd, I expect the Sabres to be the more motivated team. It's Rick Jeanneret's final game as a brodcaster. Beloved in Buffalo, he's been calling games for my entire life, the NHL's longest running voice. The Hawks are 5-18 (-12.6) after scoring four or more goals in their previous game. The Sabres are 9-4 their last 13 against teams with a losing record. Buffalo rolls. |
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04-29-22 | Red Wings v. Devils -142 | 5-3 | Loss | -142 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NJ. Both teams are off disappointing seasons. Both head coaches may be out. I expect the Devils to be the hungrier team in this one though. Not only are they playing at home, but they've lost both this season's meetings. The most recent of those was less than a week ago, in their most recent game here. That game notwithstanding, the Devils have been better on home ice than the Wings have been on the road. The Wings score only 2.3 goals (while allowing 3.8) on the road, while the Devil score 3.1 gpg at home. Look for the revenge minded Devils to dig deep and get some payback. |
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04-26-22 | Blues v. Avalanche -165 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLORADO. The Avalanche are relling. The Blues are rolling. Yet, the Avs are favored for good reason. The Blues are a solid 23-17 on the road. However, the Avs are a dominant 31-8 at home. Arguably the most talented team in the league and already the #1 seed in the West, the Avs are also coming in "hungry." Off a 4-1 loss to the Jets, note that they're 7-1 the past eight times that they scored one goal or less in their previous game. They're 50-18 the past 68 times that they played a home game with an O/U line of six or greater. Coach Jared Bednar had this to say: "Our work is cut out for us here to get our guys back to playing our game, getting back to our identity. Starts with the work, the competitiveness. Moves on to execution, details, the whole gamut ... " Catching the Blues at the end of a road trip, expect Bednar's team to bounce back. |
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04-23-22 | Rangers v. Bruins -135 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BOSTON. While the Rangers come in as the hotter team, I expect the Bruins to be the "hungrier" team. They don't want their Original Six rival earning the season sweep and they're anxious to bounce back from Thursday's 4-0 loss. The Rangers are just 12-16 (-5.9) the past 28 times that they were off a winning streak of three or more games. During that stretch, the Bruins were 22-14 (+3.9) after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. Boston coach Cassidy commented: "We've got to finish better ..." Look for Cassidy's team to do exactly that this afternoon, bouncing back and improving to 15-6 when coming off a loss of two or more goals. |
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04-22-22 | Senators v. Blue Jackets -103 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS. I like how this one sets up for the Jackets. The Senators have seen two of their last three games go beyond regulation. They've been "getting up" for their games against Canadian rivals (those games were against Vancouver and Toronto) but they lost to Seattle the last time that they faced an American team. With a game against Montreal on deck tomorrow, I believe they could easily get caught looking past Columbus. On the other hand, the Jackets get tomorrow off. Their full focus is on snapping their skid and earning a victory in tonight's game. Listed as very slight favorites, note that the Jackets are 14-3 their last 17 in the favorite role. Overall, they're 18-11 (+7.7) against losing teams. Expect them to improve on those stats this evening. |
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04-21-22 | Canucks v. Wild -170 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA. The Canucks have fought hard to try and reach the playoffs but I expect their efforts to fall short. A loss here will hurt. Off a 2-0 win, the Wild are 27-9 (27-7-2) on home ice. Fighting for playoff seeding, they won't let down against the banged-up Canucks. They're 60-33 against losing teams the past 2+ years, 25-11 when facing losing teams in the second half of the season. In addition to playing on home ice, the Wild are far healthier. Those injuries will catch up to the Canucks tonight. While Minnesota is off a shutout, it can also really put the puck in the net. The Canucks average 3.0 goals per game while the Wild average a whopping 4.1 gpg here at home. They beat the Canucks here last month and they'll do so again this evening. |
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04-21-22 | Maple Leafs v. Lightning -110 | Top | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
I'm playing on TAMPA. While the Leafs have been playing well, they're going to encounter an angry Tampa team in this one. Not only are the Lightning livid about their recent skid, they're also looking to avenge a loss here from earlier this month. The Lightning are a dominant 53-24 (+17.5) the past few seasons, when playing with 'revenge.' That includes a 24-12 mark, when attempting to avenge a home loss. While it remains to be seen whether Matthews will play for Toronto tonight, the coach's comments provide insight into the Leafs' overall attitude about the importance (or lack thereof) of these games. Keefe commented: "We're not just resting Auston, he has an injury. Maybe he could play through it, but that doesn't make sense to do so. We're looking bigger picture here. You've got team and individual accomplishments, all those kinds of things, and we're mindful of them, they're important in their own way. But the ultimate goal of having us ready to compete at playoff time is what it's all about." This month's win earlier here notwithstanding, the Leafs aren't as strong on the road as they are at home. They're just 19-15 (-7.9) when playing a road game with an O/U line of six or more. Going back further finds them at -14.6 in road games with an O/U line of six or more, the past 2+ seasons. While the Leafs allow 3.5 gpg on the road, the Lightning allow just 2.7 gpg at home. That superior defense will be the difference in this one. Tampa coach Cooper commented: "If you want to go far in the playoffs, if you want to do anything, you have to play defense. You have to stick your ego aside and not worry about how many points you're going to get or how much ice time you're going to get. You have to worry about keeping the puck out of the net. Everything positive comes from that." Lightning bounce back. |
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04-20-22 | Capitals v. Golden Knights -125 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
I'm playing on VEGAS. While the Caps are still battling for seeding, they've already clinched a playoff spot. Vegas, on the other hand, is fighting for its playoff life. The Knights dominated their last game but came up short. Coach DeBoer noted: "The message is we can't waste any energy right now on missed opportunities. We've got to look forward to the task at hand and get excited about showing everybody that we're capable of doing it." The Caps are playing the fourth leg of a 5-game road trip. They're 2-4 after playing their previous three at home. While the Knights won at Washington earlier, the home team has taken four of the past five meetings. I say Vegas digs deep and bounces back with the important victory. |
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04-18-22 | Senators v. Seattle Kraken -110 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
I'm playing on SEATTLE. I like how this one sets up for the home team. In addition to having home ice advantage, the Kraken are the much healthier team. After beating NJ here on Saturday, they had last night off. They also get tomorrow off. Their full focus is on avenging last month's 4-3 (OT) loss at Ottawa. Speaking of OT, the Sens are off a tough 5-4 (OT) loss to the rival Leafs and they have a game at Vancouver tomorrow. That said, they could easily look past their lowly hosts. Remember, the Sens are just 21-40 (-10.9) the past few seasons, when off a game where they scored four or more goals. Winning streaks have been hard to come by for the Kraken. This is a perfect opportunity to get one. Expect them to make the most of it. |
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04-16-22 | Penguins v. Bruins -122 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
I'm playing on BOSTON. The Bruins need this one more than the Penguins. Not only are they trying to snap a losing streak, they're trying to lock up a playoff spot. The Pens, on the other hand, already just clinched the playoffs in their last game. The Bruins are a bit banged-up. However, the Pens are too. They'll be without Malkin and they're #1 goalie, amongst others. Boston coach Cassidy commented: "Frustration is a useless emotion. I'm not frustrated. We want to correct things." While the Pens are 0-4 the past four times that they were off a win, the Bruins are 5-1 their last six against teams from the Metro. Division. Looking to avenge an earlier loss here and knowing that they'll face these same Penguins again in less than a week, at Pittsburgh, expect Cassidy's team to "correct things" this afternoon. |
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04-12-22 | Senators v. Red Wings -120 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -120 | 31 h 8 m | Show |
I'm playing on DETROIT. This will be the third meeting this month, between these teams. The Sens won on April 1st and then again on Aprill 3rd. However, I don't believe that the Wings are going to lose three times in less than two weeks to this team. While Ottawa did manage a win here on 4/1, the home team has still taken five of the past seven meetings. The Wings have still won seven of the past 10, here at Detroit. The 4/1 loss here notwithstanding, the Wings have been much better at home than they have been on the road. Since those two Ottawa losses, the Wings have responded with victories over Boston and Winnipeg and an OT loss vs. Columbus. So, five points in their past three. Playing with double-revenge and playing with two day's rest in between games, expect the Wings to take this one. |
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04-08-22 | Bruins v. Lightning -145 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -145 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
I'm playing on TB. While I respect the Bruins, they're in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off three straight losses and already 0-2 against the Bruins in 2022, the Lightning are going to be bringing it tonight. I expect their very best effort. Note that Tampa is 51-23 (+17) its past 74, in the revenge role. During that span, the Bolts are also 8-1 when off three or more consec. losses. This season, they've had four previous instances where they've lost three straight games. In all four cases, they won their next game. They won those four games by a combined score of 16-5, too. The Bruins, who will be without Pastrnak (and others) are 4-6 their last 10 against winning teams. Expect revenge-minded Tampa to bounce back. |
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04-07-22 | Predators -160 v. Senators | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE. Fighting for playoff positioning, the Predators need this game. They're playing well right now and can't afford to squander this opportunity against an inferior opponent. Nashville goalie Saros is hot right now; he's already in playoff mode. The offense is, too. Off their 6-2 win over the Wild, note that the Preds are 6-1 their last seven, when off a game where they scored five or more goals. The Sens have had some recent success against losing teams. They're 1-5 their last six against winning teams though and they're 1-6 their last seven as home underdogs. The Preds are 21-9 the past 30 times that they were favored by greater than -125. Expect them to be too much for the outmatched Sens in this one. |
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04-05-22 | Islanders v. Stars -120 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show |
I'm playing on DALLAS. The Isles are in the wrong place at the wrong time. Not only are the Stars looking to avenge a recent road loss to the Isles but they're also angry from a loss to the lowly Kraken in their most recent game. They'd previously been playing well but didn't show up for that one. Joe Pavelski commented: "This one stings a little bit because you come in 3-0 (on four-game trip) and you fully expect to go home with eight points. Throughout a season you're thinking that's a pretty good trip, but with the situation we're in, you can be a little greedy and selfish and you wanted that fourth one. So we'd like to have that last one." Coach Bowness added: "We haven't given up that many breakaways all year, let alone one game. We didn't have the jump in our legs, we were a step behind for two periods, and they just fed on our miscues when we had to open it up." He will demand more from the Stars tonight and I expect them to respond with their best effort. While both teams are currently out of the playoffs, the Stars' chances are FAR better than New York's. (Both teams are 9th in their conference but the Isles are 11 back of the 8th place team while the Stars have two teams which are only a point ahead of them and they're within 10 points of every team, except Colorado.) That said, the Stars can't afford to squander this game. Look for them to bounce back and to improve to 6-1 the past seven times that they were off a game where they scored two goals or less. |
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04-05-22 | Maple Leafs v. Panthers -159 | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show | |
I'm playing on FLORIDA. The Panthers will have revenge on their minds, as the Leafs recently beat them, at Toronto. That was the Panthers' final game of a 7-game road trip and they were playing the second of b2b games. The long trip caught up with them. The Panthers also haven't forgotten that the Leafs beat them here last season. (The home team is still 14-3 the past 17 in the series.) Things set up differently for this evening's rematch. This time, in addition to playing at home, the Panthers have the schedule in their favor. They had last night off, while the Leafs are off a big win over Tampa. That's noteworthy as Toronto is a money-burning 14-19 (-16.3) the past 2+ seasons, when playing the second of b2b games. Off a 5-3 win last time out, note that the Panthers are a commanding 32-9 (+14.6) after scoring four or more goals in their previous game. They're also 8-2 in the revenge role. Payback time. |
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04-04-22 | Flames -170 v. Kings | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 25 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CALGARY. The Kings just upset the Flames, in a shootout, at Calgary, less than a week ago. The Kings were playing that 3/31 game, after having been involved in a shootout at Edmonton the previous night, too. Tonight, I expect the revenge-minded Flames to return the favor. The Kings had a great trip. The first game back can be tough though and they're still dealing with numerous injuries. Even with the recent win at Calgary, they're still only 40-60 their last 100 division games. The Flames, who won here in December, have done a great job of bouncing back from losses; this is their first losing streak since early January. They're 5-1 the past six times that they allowed five or more goals in their previous game. Expect them to improve on those stats as they "stop the bleeding" with an important victory. |
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04-03-22 | Wild v. Capitals -120 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON. Without a doubt, the Wild have been playing well. They beat me last night, at Carolina. That said, this is a difficult spot. While the Wild were fighting hard, the Capitals had last night off. The last few nights, in fact. On the other hand, Minnesota will now be playing its third game in the past four days. In fact, this will mark their seventh game in the past 11 nights. That's a lot of hockey, particularly when considering that four of those previous six games required OT. Expect it to catch up with them this evening. The Caps will look to avenge a January loss, at Minnesota. They're still 9-2 the past 11 meetings. Having lost 6-1 the last time that they were on the ice, they're going to be hungry. Expect them to have the fresher legs and for them to come away with the victory.s |
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04-02-22 | Kings v. Jets -120 | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. The home team is 21-10 the past 31 meetings in this series. Home ice figures to again prove significant in this one. Give the Kings credit for battling in Alberta. After losing in a S/O at Edmonton on Wednesday, they came back and won in a S/O at Calgary, on Thursday. The Kings are very banged-up though and they haven't been able to string together victories. They're 0-5 the past five times that they were off a victory, 0-5 the past five times that they allowed two goals or less. On the other hand, the Jets are 5-0 the past five times that they were off a loss of three or more goals. After getting hammered by Toronto on Thursday, expect the angry Jets to bounce back and improve on those stats here. |
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04-02-22 | Wild v. Hurricanes -142 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -142 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. The Wild eked out a 3-2 victory when these teams faced each other, at Minnesota, back in February. (That game was a make-up for one which was ppd in December.) Note that the Canes had a 39-27 edge in shots. The favorite is 16-5 the last 21 times that these teams faced each other. The Canes are 4-1 the past five meetings, here at Raleigh. The Wild saw their winning streak come to an end last time out; they're 1-5 their last six as underdogs. The Canes are tough to beat at home. They've already got 25 home wins here and they've had 40 or more shots on goal in each of their last four games here. As Carolina's Tony DeAngelo pointed out: "It just starts tiring the other team out. It's a lot of volume. That's our identity." Expect the revenge-minded Canes to wear down the Wild en route to ther 26th home win. |
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04-01-22 | Senators v. Red Wings -112 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
I'm playing on DETROIT. While neither of these teams will contend for the Stanley Cup, I really like how this one sets up for the Wings. I played Detroit on the puck-line (+1.5 goals) last game. Here's an excerpt of what I said: "On Saturday, in their most recent home game, the Wings gave a good Tampa team all it could handle. The final score was 2-1 for TB. On Sunday, playing the second of b2b games, the Wings went on the road and were embarrassed 11-2 by the Penguins. They've had two days off and they'll be anxious to atone for that debacle ... " Detroit captain Dylan Larkin commented: "It's not acceptable. We just can't show up like that." While they lost 5-4 to the Rangers, in OT, the Wings definitely played better. Coach Blashill noted: "...I thought we were better in a lot of ways defensively. Way better ..." A similar effort against a much weaker Ottawa team should result in victory. While the Sens have had a couple of days off, they're just 1-6 the past seven times that they played with two day's rest in between games. I like the fact that the teams meet again in Ottawa, on Sunday. That'll make the Wings that much more determined to "hold serve" on home ice. Note that the Wings average 3.3 gpg here while the Sens average 2.7 gpg on the road. The Wings have won seven of the last nine meetings, here at Detroit. Expect them to dig deep and earn the victory. |
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03-30-22 | Kings v. Oilers -185 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
I'm playing on EDMONTON. The Kings were blown out by the lowly Kraken last time out. Injuries have caught up to them. While they're off a 6-1 loss, the Oilers are off a 6-1 victory. With that victory, the Oilers are a perfect 6-0 their past six home games. They've outscored those six opponents by a combined score of 38-16, too. The Kings are an ugly 39-59 (-11.4) against divisional opponents the past few years, 8-10 this season. On the other hand, the Oilers are 14-5 (+7.8) against divisional foes. In addition to being in better form, being the stronger team and playing on home ice, the Oilers are much healthier. Expect them to continue their strong place on home ice for at least another night. |
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03-29-22 | Senators v. Predators -205 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE. The Senators are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. I like the way the Predators rallied in their last game. They were off b2b bad losses and were on their way to dropping a third straight. However, they didn't blink and came back for a 5-4 win. I expect them to carry the positive momentum into this evening's game. Having gotten on track, the last thing the Preds need is a loss to a bad road team, like Ottawa. While the Sens are 11-20 on the road, the Preds are 20-11 at home. The Preds allow 2.5 gpg at home; the Sens allow 3.4 gpg on the road. The Preds know that they'll face these same Senators, at Ottawa, in just over a week. That makes "holding serve" on home ice that much more important. Look for them to do exactly that, improving to 20-8 against teams with losing records. |
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03-29-22 | Rangers v. Penguins -155 | 3-2 | Loss | -155 | 14 h 6 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH. The Rangers are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off b2b losses, one of them coming against these same Rangers, the Penguins exploded for 11 goals last game. I expect that 11-2 victory to provide them with some positive momentum for this one. The Rangers have been very tough at MSG but relatively mediocre on the road. Note that the home team has won eight of the past nine meetings. The Pens are a perfect 5-0 the past five here at Pittsburgh. Also, note that the Pens have tomorrow off while the Rangers play an "Original Six" matchup against the Wings. It all adds up to a victory for Pittsburgh. |
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03-29-22 | Hurricanes v. Lightning -131 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TAMPA. The Canes are off an easy win at Washington last night. They're going to find the going far more difficult this evening. This will be the third time, in the past three weeks, that the Canes have played the second of b2b games. In the previous two cases, they lost. A 4-2 loss at Pittsburgh on 3/13 and a 4-3 loss vs Washington on 3/18. This will mark their 8th game in the past 13 days, which is quite a lot of hockey. Don't expect the Lightning to show them any sympathy. Having lost both this season's games against Carolina, including a 3-2 loss at Raleigh a week ago, Tampa is going to be all business in this one. The Lightning are 50-23 (+16.8) in the revenge role, the past few seasons. Schedule and venue in their favor, expect them to improve on those stats this evening. |
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03-28-22 | Canucks v. Blues -124 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
I'm playing on ST. LOUIS. The Canucks are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off b2b bad losses in the first two games of this 3-game homestand, the Blues are going to be angry. They also know that they'll face these same Canucks again in a couple of days, at Vancouver. That makes "holding serve" on home ice that much more critical. The Canucks are at the end of a road trip. While they managed a 4-1 win last time out, they're just 7-12, when off a win by two or moe goals. It should be noted that the Canucks are still dealing with a number of injuries. They had last night off but this will still mark their fourth game in the past six days. They're 0-4 the past four times that they played the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation. Expect the Blues to dig deep and earn the important victory. |
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03-27-22 | Canadiens v. Devils -150 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NJ. The Devils have dominated the Habs in recent years. Including a 7-1 win at Montreal in February, they're 8-1 the past nine meetings. I expect them to continue that series dominance this evening. While the Devils may me only mediocre at home, the Canadiens really struggle on the road. Both teams played yesterday. Off their loss to the Capitals, the Devils will be hungry. On the other hand, off an emotional win over their archrival, the Habs should be ripe for a letdown. Look for an inspired effort from the Devils, the favorite improving to 11-4 the last 15 in the series. |
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03-26-22 | Seattle Kraken v. Kings -198 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
I'm playing on LA. While the Kings continue to deal with some injuries, they'll have more than enough to take care of the Kraken. Seattle, 0-6 when playing with three or more day's rest in between games, is just 5-13 when off a game where it scored four or more goals. Note that the Kraken traded away a number of players at the deadline. That will help their future but not the rest of this season. Those losses weren't immediately felt but they'll be noticed tonight. While Seattle is 11-26 against winning teams, LA is 17-7 against losing teams. Kings roll. |
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03-26-22 | Blackhawks v. Golden Knights -180 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
I'm playing on VEGAS. Off b2b losses, the Knights returned to their winning ways with a convincing 6-1 win over Nashville in their last game. I expect that blowout victory to help provide them with some positive momentum. The Knights have owned the Hawks; they're 12-3 the past 15 meetings, 4-1 the past five here at Vegas. Yet, that one Chicago victory came in the most recent meeting. So, the Knights will have a score to settle. The Hawks are just 8-26 against winning teams. With this being an afternoon game, off a Friday night in Vegas, I say the revenge-minded Knights take this one. |
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03-25-22 | Blue Jackets v. Jets -190 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. The Jackets are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off yesterday's 5-2 loss to the Senators, the Jets are seething. Note that they're a perfect 4-0 the past four times that they were off a loss of three or more goals. The fact that they lost this season's earlier meeting, at Columbus, should provide even further motivation. Including that November game, the home team has won five of the past six meetings. The teams have only met here twice over the past few years. The Jets won both. Note that they're the healthier team in this matchup. Usually, when playing the second of b2b games, the Jets have been on the road. This is just the second time in 2022 that they played a home game, after playing the previous day. They won the first time (5-3 win on 2/17) in that situation and I expect another victory this evening. |
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03-24-22 | Blackhawks v. Kings -190 | 4-3 | Loss | -190 | 15 h 40 m | Show | |
I'm playing on LA. The Hawks snapped their skid and won (4-2) on the road last night. However, they're now playing the second of b2b games and they're at a considerably tougher venue. Not only are the Hawks 2-8 the past 10 times that they played the second of b2b games but they're also an ugly 1-10 (-9.4) their last 11, when off a win by two or more goals. They're also an awful 7-26 (-17.3) when playing a team with a winning record. The Kings, on the other hand, are 17-6 (+8) when facing a team with a losing record. Note that the home team has won four straight in this series and that the Kings are 7-1 the past eight here, at LA. Schedule in their favor, look for the Kings to improve to 8-2 their last 10, when listed as a home favorite. |
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03-24-22 | Canucks v. Wild -220 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA. The Canucks managed to score an upset last night. Don't expect them to do it twice in a row. Vancouver is just 2-7 its past nine, when playing the second of b2b games. Going back further finds the Canucks at an ugly 8-25 (-16.6) in that situation. On the other hand, the Wild are 8-3 when playing with two day's rest in between games. They're also a perfect 5-0 after playing their previous three games at home. While the Wild averaging 4.1 gpg at home, the Canucks average 2.9 gpg on the road. In addition to having the venue and schedule in their favor, the Wild are much healthier. Expect them to keep on rolling for another day. |
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03-24-22 | Stars v. Hurricanes -183 | 4-3 | Loss | -183 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. The Stars are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Canes got back on track last time out, beating Tampa. Now, they'll look to avenge a November loss, at Dallas. Note that the favorite is 7-2 the last nine meetings in the series and also that the Stars are just 4-10 their last 14, as road underdogs. Overall, the Stars are only 14-18 (-4.6) on the road. They get outscored by an average score of 2.4 to 2.1 on the road. On the other hand, the Canes are dominant 24-8 at home. They outscore teams by an average of 3.3 to 2.1 here. With the Canes also an outstanding 20-5 (+13.8) against teams from the West, look for them to take this one. |
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03-23-22 | Blackhawks v. Ducks -118 | 4-2 | Loss | -118 | 14 h 44 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ANAHEIM. Both teams are struggling. Both teams went the 'rebuilding' route at the recent trade deadline, putting their future ahead of this season. Yet, both are still going to be motivated to snap their skids tonight. That said, playing at home, looking to avenge a recent 8-5 loss at Chicago and having the longer of the two losing streaks, I expect the Ducks to be a little more determined. I also like the fact that they get tomorrow off while the Hawks play at LA. While the Hawks are 11-20 on the road, the Ducks are 16-17 at home. They're also a respectable 16-12 against sub-500 team. The Hawks are 3-8 when playing with two day's rest and 3-12 when off a game where they scored four or more goals. Ducks dig deep and get it done. |
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03-21-22 | Golden Knights v. Wild -130 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA. The Wild dropped both this season's games, at Vegas. Playing at home, I expect them to get some payback tonight. While the Knights are a mediocre 16-14 on the road, the Wild are a healthy 19-8 here at home. The Wild average a whopping 4.2 goals per game here. Their 3.7 goals per game overall ranks third in the NHL. Both teams had yesterday off. The Wild also get the next couple of days off. That's not the case for the Knights, as they play at Winnipeg tomorrow. Last but certainly not least, the Wild are the much healthier team, too. With the Knights 0-6 the last six times that they were off a game where they scored two goals or less, it all adds up to a victory for the home team. |
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03-20-22 | Rangers v. Hurricanes -195 | 2-0 | Loss | -195 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. New York is in the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Rangers rallied to upset Tampa last night. Don't expect them to make it two in a row. Unlike the Rangers, the Canes had last night off. They're coming off three straight losses, so they'll be extremely hungry. Note that they're 9-2 (+6.4) the past 11 times that they were coming off three consec defeats. While the Rangers have certainly been respectable on the road, the Canes have been dominant here at home. They outscore visiting teams by an average score of 3.4 to 2.1. Schedule in their favor, expect them to bounce back. |
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03-19-22 | Rangers v. Lightning -200 | 2-1 | Loss | -200 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TAMPA. The Lightning have payback on their minds. The Rangers beat them in both this season's earlier meetings. Note that TB is 9-2 (+6.6) in the revenge role. Going back further finds the Bolts at a dominating 50-20 (+20.2) the past 70 times that they attempted to avenge an earlier loss. The Rangers, who also play at Carolina tomorrow, are mediocre on the road. They outscore teams by an average of 2.9 to 2.8 away from MSG. On the other hand, the Lightning outscore teams by an average of 3.2 to 2.5 here at home. The Lightning, 9-4 when playing with two day's rest in between games, have had the past two days off and they also get the next two off. They're healthy and their full attention is on the task at hand. Payback time |
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03-18-22 | Capitals v. Hurricanes -150 | 4-3 | Loss | -150 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. Both teams played last night. The Canes lost a close on to the Leafs. The Capitals blew out the Blue Jackets. Those results should have the Canes a little hungrier tonight. The fact that the Caps shut them out earlier this month, at Washington, provides even further motivation. Also, the Canes haven't forgotten that the Caps handed them a rare defeat here, back in November. Indeed, they're going to be hungry for some payback. Carolina, 21-12 (+4.8) its past 33, when playing the second of b2b games, is 9-5 in the 'revenge' role. While the Caps have certainly been solid on the road, the Canes have been even better here at home. With the Caps just 3-5 the past eight, when playing the second of b2b games, look for the the revenge-minded home team to take this one. |
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03-18-22 | Flyers v. Senators -120 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
I'm playing on OTTAWA. While the Sens have cost me a couple of times recently, it certainly hasn't been from a lack of effort. Here, they're facing a team which they can beat and they've got both the venue and schedule in their favor. While Ottawa had last night off, Philadelphia is off a hard-fought 5-4 comeback win against Nashville. That's noteworthy as the Flyers are just 2-8, when playing the second of b2b games. Going back a bit finds them at 12-25 (-14.4) in that situation. Last night's win was particuarly emotional as it was Giroux's 1000th game. Philadelphia's Kevin Hayes commented: "We wanted to win this game for Giroux, no matter who scored the goal or who got the assists. It's nice to kind of make his night extra special." So, that was an extra emotional game; the type that can leave a team ripe for a letdown. Note that the Flyers are also just 8-20, after allowing four or more goals in their previous game. The Sens won the first game of this 5-game home stand but have proceeded to drop the next three. Knowing that they hit the road after this and knowing that the Flyers already beat them at Philadelphia, expect them to go all out and snap their losing streak tonight. |
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03-17-22 | Sharks v. Kings -155 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 16 h 6 m | Show | |
I'm playing on LA. These teams last met less than a week ago. Playing at home, the Sharks won 5-0. With this evening's rematch being played at LA, expect the revenge-minded Kings to return the favor. The Kings followed up the game at SJ by hosting Florida and Colorado, a pair of very strong teams. They beat the Panthers but fell 3-0 to the Avs. No shame in that. (You'll recall we had the Avs.) Note that LA is 7-1 the past eight times that it was off a home loss of three or more goals. On the other hand, SJ is just 1-6 its past seven on the road. The Sharks did win here on 3/10, in OT. They also beat the Kings in January. Enough's enough. Expect LA to dig deep and get some payback in this one. |
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03-16-22 | Bruins v. Wild -115 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA. While the Bruins are hot, this one sets up favorably for the home team. The Wild had the last two night off, after losing 6-2 here on 3/13. Note that Minnesota is a perfect 6-0 the past six times that it was off a home loss of three or more goals. Recall that we recently backed the Wild when they were in that situation (off a home loss of three or more goals) and they responded by beating the Rangers by a 5-2 score. The previous five times that they were in that situation they won by a combined score of 26-13. Scores of 3-2, 7-2, 7-3, 5-4 and 4-2. So, that's a 6-0 record and a winning 31-15 combined score. While the Wild are well-rested, the Bruins are off a hard-fought OT win last night. Though the Bruins are capable of winning anywhere, the Wild are very tough to beat at home. (Particularly, when off a bad loss.) Schedule in their favor, expect them to bounce back with a much-needed win. |
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03-16-22 | Blue Jackets v. Senators -134 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -134 | 13 h 14 m | Show |
I'm playing on OTTAWA. While the Jackets may come in as the "hotter" team, the Sens are favored for good reason. In addition to playing at home, the Sens are the healthier team. They're going to be hungry, too. If you watched any of Ottawa's game on Monday, you would have seen that the Sens did everything but win. They dominated play. In fact, they finished with a commanding 43-14 edge in shots on goal. More often than not, that type of effort leads to victory. While they're respectable at home, the Jackets are a sub-500 team on the road. Note that the Jackets have a home game against a divisional opponent (Caps) on deck tomorrow. (That may potentially lead to the backup goalie between the pipes in this one.) The Sens have tomorrow off and they haven't played any recent b2b's. They're coming in fresh and focused on the task at hand. Ottawa goalie Forsberg already beat the Jackets and he's got better numbers than either of the Columbus goalies. Off Tuesday's loss, Sens captain Brady Tkachuk commented: "It definitely stinks ... One of our most dominant games we've played all year, so it stinks that we didn't get rewarded ..." Expect Tkachuk and co. to dig deep and bounce back. |
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03-15-22 | Avalanche -190 v. Kings | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 15 h 40 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLORADO. LA would love a win against Colorado but its not happening tonight. The Avs got back on track last game, a 3-0 win over the Flames. Darcy Kuemper was outstanding in goal. I expect Kuemper and the Avs to carry the positive momentum into tonight's game. The Kings are really banged-up right now. Those injuries will prove costly against the best in the west. Including a 4-1 win back in January, the Avs have beaten the Kings seven straight times. With the Avs also 15-4 the past 19 times that they were off a shutout victory, they'll continue their dominance in this series. |
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03-15-22 | Devils v. Canucks -150 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 10 m | Show | |
I'm playing on VANCOUVER. The Devils have dominated the Canucks for years. I expect that to finally change tonight though. The Canucks are off b2b closes losses against the Lightning and Capitals. The Devils represent a step down in class from those teams though and Vancouver will be anxious to get back on track. While the Devils are off a 2-1 win on Saturday, they're just 1-4 the past five times that they were off a victory. They're also 9-19 (-10.3) the past 28 times that they played with two day's rest in between games. The Canucks are 9-4 after playing their previous three games on home ice. Going back further finds them at 28-15 (+15) after playing their previous three at home. Expect them to bounce back and avenge last month's 7-2 loss at NJ, improving to 12-8 their last 20 in the 'revenge' role. |
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03-15-22 | Coyotes v. Canadiens -160 | 6-3 | Loss | -160 | 23 h 32 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MONTREAL. This one sets up nicely for the home team. In addition to having the venue in their favor, the Habs also have the schedule working in their favor. They had yesterday off while the Coyotes were busy playing at Ottawa. In addition to playing the second of b2b games, the Coyotes will be playing their third game in the past four days. The Canadiens won their last game, a 4-3 (OT) win at Philadelphia, on Sunday. Playing much better since the coaching change, the Habs have quietly won seven of their past 10. Yet, they lost their last two at home. So, they're going to be really hungry tonight. Additional motivation stems from the fact that the Coyotes beat them, at Arizona, in this season's first meeting. Payback time. |
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03-14-22 | Coyotes v. Senators -143 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -143 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
I'm playing on OTTAWA. These teams met a little over a week ago. Playing on home ice, the Coyotes won 8-5. Tonight's rematch is in Ottawa though and the Senators now have a score to settle. I like that the Coyotes are playing the fourth game of a 5-game road trip and also that they've got a game against the Canadiens on deck tomorrow. The Coyotes are 1-6 after playing their previous three on the road. The Coyotes are also 1-6 the past seven times that they faced an opponent which allowed five or more goals in its previous game. Unlike their guests, the Sens have tomorrow night off and this will be their third straight at home. They're the far healthier team and tonight I also expect them to be the hungrier team. Sens roll. |
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03-13-22 | Flames v. Avalanche -153 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLORADO. Sorry Calgary, you're in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Not only are the Avs perhaps the best team in the league, playing at home, but they've also got the schedule in their favor. They had last night off while the Flames were busy hosting the Wings. Note that the Avs are a dominant 43-8 their last 51 as home favorites. The Flames, meanwhile, are just 1-5 their last six as road underdogs. Making matters worse for the Flames, the Avs are going to be highly motivated. Not only have they lost b2b games but the Flames just beat them, at Calgary, a week ago. Payback time. |
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03-11-22 | Golden Knights v. Penguins -140 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH. Both teams are going to be hungry. Each has lost its last two games. The Pens are much healthier though. They're well-rested and they've got home ice advantage. They beat the Knights in the first meeting and they've been stronger all season. The Pens have 77 points, in 58 games. The Knights have 68 points in 59 games. The Pens are 7-1 the past eight times that they played with two day's rest in between games. The Knights are 0-4 the past four times that they faced a team with a winning record. While Pittsburgh's recent losses were against Carolina and Florida, perhaps the two best teams in the East, Vegas just lost to Buffalo and Phialdelphia, a pair of teams playing out the string. Expect the favorite to improve to 7-1 the past eight times that these teams faced each other. |
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03-10-22 | Rangers v. Blues -115 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 58 m | Show |
I'm playing on ST. LOUIS. I successfully played against the Rangers on Tuesday. They lost 5-2, at Minnesota. I'm aware that the Rangers have done a pretty good job of bouncing back from "bad" losses. However, I feel that they're in the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Blues just lost at MSG a week ago. They play with recent revenge. They entered that game on a 4-game winning streak but that result has triggered a 4-game losing streak. They're going to be extremely motivated to get some payback against the team which started their tailspin. After the Minnesota loss, Rangers center Ryan Strome commented: " ... I thought the Wild were a little more desperate. I think the first period was fairly even, they just had a little more desperation that accounted for those two goals ..." Look for Strome and co. to encounter another "desperate" opponent tonight, as the revenge-minded Blues bounce back and snap their slide. |
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03-09-22 | Capitals v. Oilers -130 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 12 m | Show |
I'm playing on EDMONTON. These teams both just faced the Flames in their last game. The Oilers lost (3-1) to their provincial rivals. The Capitals, on the other hand, handed Calgary a 5-4 loss. If the Caps can beat the Flames and the Flames can beat the Oilers, then the Caps must be able to beat the Oilers, too. Right? That type of logic rarely holds up. There's always a lot more to it. In this case, we have to consider that Edmonton faced the Flames on Monday and had last night off. Meanwhile, Washington playe last night. So, this will be the Capitals' second game in two days. Also, the fact that the Oilers have dropped three staight should ony add to their hunger. Washington, for its part, may be slightly complacent, after having won three straight. The Caps are just 1-4 the past five times that they played the second of b2b games. The last time that they were in that situation they lost 5-3 to these same Oilers. Prior to that, they lost 4-2 to Vancouver. In both cases, the Caps had won the previous night. They're also only 2-8 their last 10, when facing a team which scored two or fewer goals in its last game. Schedule in its favor, look for a determined Edmonton team to bounce back. |
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03-08-22 | Stars v. Predators -120 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE. Home ice typically means a lot in this series. The Stars won on 2.9, at Dallas. The Preds won on 2.24, here at Nashville. With eight points in their past four games, the Stars are playing well. That said, none of their wins were as impressive as the Predators' last one, an 8-0 blowout victory. Note that the Preds are 14-6 (+7) the past 20 times that they were off a game where they scored four or more goals. The Preds are also a dominant 26-11 (+13.6) the past 2+ seasons, when playing with two day's rest in between games. Look for them to build off the 8-0 win with another victory tonight. |
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03-08-22 | Rangers v. Wild -135 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 23 h 57 m | Show |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA. The Rangers come in as the hotter team. Yet, Minnesota is favored for good reason. The Rangers are still 17-10-2 on the road, the Wild are still 16-6-0-1 at home. The Wild are going to be highly motivated to get back on track. Off Sunday's 6-3 loss to the Stars, I expect them to bounce back with their very best effort. They usually fare pretty well, when off a bad home loss. In fact, they're 4-0 this season and 5-0 since last year's playoffs, when coming off a home loss of three or more goals. They won those five games by a combined score of 26-13, too. Scores of 3-2, 7-2, 7-3, 5-4 and 4-2. The Wild have been at their best against teams from the Metropolitan Division and they already beat the Rangers in this season's earlier meeting. Expect them to move to a perfect 6-0 their last six, when off a home loss of three or more goals. |
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03-08-22 | Coyotes v. Red Wings -169 | 9-2 | Loss | -169 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
I'm playing on DETROIT. The Wings aren't that good. However, they're favored for good reason here. The Coyotes may have earned a couple of recent wins but they're still a really bad team. Note that they're 1-5 off a win by two or more goals. While the Wings are only 16-14 at home, the Coyotes are an ugly 7-18 on the road. Both teams last played on 3/5. The Coyotes hosted Ottawa while the Wings played at Florida, one of the toughest venues in the league. Therefore, it should be mentioned that Arizona is 2-10, when playing with two day's rest in between games. The Wings, on the other hand, are 8-4 (+6.8) when playing with two day's rest. Healthier and playing on home ice, expect the Wings to improve on those stats, avenging an earlier loss at Phoenix. |
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03-06-22 | Stars v. Wild -140 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -140 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA. Longtime Minnesota hockey fans have never quite forgiven the Dallas franchise. At one time, the (North) Stars played in Minnesota. When they left for Dallas, Minnesota was left without a team. Of course, they've now had the Wild for many years. Yet, whenever the Stars come to town, it's still an extra "big" game with some extra passion from the home faithful. This season, home ice has been very significant for both teams. The Stars are a dominant 20-7-1 at Dallas but only 11-13-0-2 on the road. Meanwhile, the Wild are a respectable 16-13-0-2 on the road but a much better 16-5-0-1 here on home ice. Not surprisingly, given those numbers and the history in this series, the home team has won both this season's meetings. The Stars won 7-4 at Dallas but the Wild won 7-2 here at Minnesota. The Wild are 7-2 the past nine meetings with the Stars here. Going back further finds that the favorite is 48-21 the last 69 meetings. Having struggled recently, the Wild are going to be extremely hungry to get back on track. I expect their best effort and a much-needed victory. |
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03-05-22 | Flames v. Avalanche -145 | 4-3 | Loss | -145 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLORADO. I respect the Flames. They've had a good season and they're tough to beat, at Calgary. However, tonight, they're facing arguably the best team in the world and they're doing so on the road. Worse, the Avs are angry, due to coming off a 2-1 loss. The Avs are a perfect 5-0 after having scored one goal or less in their previous game. They're 23-5 at home, 21-3 (+10.8) when playing a game here with an O/U line of six or more. The Flames, on the other hand, are 4-6 (-1.8) when playing a road game with an O/U line of six or more. Indeed,this line could easily be higher. Sorry Calgary. Wrong place, wrong time. |
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03-04-22 | Penguins v. Hurricanes -150 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. Big game between the top top teams in the Metro. Divsion. Both played last night. I like the fact that the Canes lost while the Pens are off an upset win at Tampa. That should provide Carolina with a motivational edge in this one. This is only the fourth time since before Christmas that Carolina has dropped b2b games. In all three of the previous cases, the Canes responded by bouncing back and "stopping the bleeding" right there. They won the next games by scores of 4-1, 6-0 and 5-3. That's a 3-0 record with a combined score of 15-4, when off b2b losses in 2022. The Canes have also won four of the past five meetings. Playing in front of their home fans, expect them to bounce back and take this one. |
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03-02-22 | Kings v. Stars -135 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 30 m | Show | |
I'm playing on DALLAS. After winning five straight, the Kings came back down to earth in a big way last game. I expect Dallas to hand them a second straight loss. The home team has "held serve" in both this season's meetings. The Kings won at LA, in January. The Stars won here at Dallas, in December. Going back further finds that the Stars have taken six of the past eight meetings. This season, the Stars are a healthy 19-8 (19-7-1) at home. While the Kings are upset about the 7-0 loss and saying all the right things about "bouncing back," the Stars are going to want this one every bit as badly. They know that they play seven of their next eight games on the road (where they've struggled all season) and that they need to make the most of tonight's game on home ice. Stars dig deep and get the win. |
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03-01-22 | Flames v. Wild -105 | 5-1 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 36 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA. These teams recently met at Calgary. I backed the Flames in that one and they rewarded me with a 7-3 win. However, even at the time, I noted that these teams would be meeting in Minnesota on the first of March and that the Wild have long been tougher to beat on home ice. The Flames have been red hot at home but they're 0-5 their last five as road underdogs. Of course, the revenge-minded Wild are going to be highly motivated to avoid getting swept in the home and home series and to snap their own 3-game losing streak. Expect them to dig deep and improve to 8-1 their last nine, when facing an opponent who scored five or more goals in its previous game. |
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03-01-22 | Canadiens v. Jets -220 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 14 h 27 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. The Canadiens may come in as the hotter team but the Jets are favored for good reason. The Jets are battling for a playoff spot and need wins. I really liked what I saw from them in their last game. Down and out, they rallied for four goals in the third period for a 5-3 win. That's the type of victory which can provide positive momentum. Recent wins notwithstanding, the Canadiens still have plenty of issues. They still only have five road wins, which is the fewest in the entire NHL. Even if they didn't desperately need points, this is a game which the Jets have had circled. Remember, Montreal swept them in the playoffs. They'll dig deep and earn another much needed victory. |
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03-01-22 | Devils v. Blue Jackets -150 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 25 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS. I played on the Devils last night. They rewarded me with a 7-2 win over the Canucks. However, I also successfully played against them the last time that they played the second of b2b games. They gave up eight goals (8-5 loss) and fell to 1-7 their past eight, when playing the second of b2b game. (The lone win came after they lost the front end of the b2b spot. They were winless, after having won the front end.) The Jackets have been playing some tough teams of late. Their recent games have come against Pittsburgh, Carolina, Florida and Toronto. The Devils represent a big step down in class from those teams and Columbus will be happy to take advantage. Note that the Jackets are 5-0 their last five, when facing a team with a winning percentage of less than .400. They've beaten the Devils six straight times, here at Columbus. Overall, the favorite is 20-8 the past 28 in the series. Schedule in their favor, expect the Jackets to get it done. |
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02-28-22 | Maple Leafs v. Capitals +115 | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 19 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON. While I respect the Leafs, I feel that they're a little over-valued in this one. Off b2b losses overall and winless at home for some time, the Caps are going to be extremely hungry. Coach Peter Laviolette commented: "We have not been good enough. That is the bottom line. We are capable of playing better. We are capable of playing better ... That has to be corrected." They've beaten the Leafs three straight times. Going back further finds them at 16-6 the past 22 meetings and 19-7 the past 26 here at Washington. The Leafs were up 7-2 and allowed the Wings to get all the way back to 8-7 (before ultimately winning 10-7) last game. Expect them to find a far more determined opponent in this one. Caps bounce back and score the upset. |
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02-28-22 | Canucks v. Devils -125 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
I'm playing on NJ. The Canucks won 5-2 at MSG last night. To their credit, they've been playing better recently. That said, facing a team which has long given them trouble, I don't believe that they'll be able to make it two wins in two days. The Devils have dominated the Canucks for years. They've won the last 11 straight meetings. The Canucks haven't beaten the Devils since 2014 and they haven't won there at NJ since 2013. The last time that the Canucks played the second of b2b games was on Feb 9th, against the Islanders. Off a 5-1 win the previous night, they stumbled, losing 6-3. Demko has been hot in the net for the Canucks but Halak is likely to get the call in this one. He hasn't started since that Feb 9th loss. While I successfully played against them in their last game, the Devils are desperate for a home win. Schedule in their favor, expect them to dig deep and get it done. |
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02-27-22 | Canucks v. Rangers -134 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -134 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
I'm playing on NY. The Canucks thumped the Flames in their last game. That was at Vancouver though and that was far from a "normal" result for them. They're 5-8 off a win by two or more goals, 3-7 when playing with two day's rest. While the Canucks, who are still dealing with a number of missing players, score only 2.7 goals per game on the road, they'll face a very stingy NYR team which surrenders just 2.3 gpg here at home. Off a 1-0 loss yesterday, the Rangers will be all business in this one. Yes, the Rangers are playing two games in two days. (That's helping to keep the line a little lower than it otherwise would have been.) This is just their seventh game in February. So, I'm not too concerned about the b2b spot. The Rangers are 6-2 after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. They're also 15-4 (+8.8) against teams with a losing record, 45-25 their last 70. Expect them to avenge a November loss at Vancouver. |
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02-27-22 | Oilers v. Hurricanes -200 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. The Oilers deserve credit for winning at Florida yesterday. Now, however, they're up against a red hot Carolina team which is very tough to beat in its home rink. The Oilers are dealing with some missing players. Playing their second game in two days, they'll notice their absences more this afternoon. The last time that the Oilers played their second game in two days, they gave up seven goals. Unlike their guests, the Canes had yesterday of. They won 4-0 on Friday, after having the previous three days off. So, they'll be fresh. That 4-0 win, their fourth straight, brought the Canes to 18-4-2 at home. Schedule and venue in their favor, look for the Canes to continue their very strong play and for them to improve to 42-13 their last 55, after allowing two goals or less in their previous game. |
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02-26-22 | Wild v. Flames -139 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 16 h 41 m | Show |
I'm playing on CALGARY. The Flames saw their 10-game winning streak snapped in embarrassing fashion last time out. I like that it was a 7-1 loss, rather than something like a tough OT loss. Sometimes teams will have a bit of a letdown, after their winning streak finishes. However, having been blown out, I don't believe we'll see that from Calgary. As the Flames' Blake Coleman noted: "We had won 10 in a row for a reason. We're a really good hockey team and this is part of the growth of our group is being able to respond after what I view as an embarrassing loss and put together good game at home." Remember, that loss came on the road. The Flames are still 8-0 their last eight as home favorites. The Wild, meanwhile, are 1-4 their last five as road underdogs. This will be the first meeting of the season. The teams didn't meet in 2021 but Calgary won both 2020 meetings. Overall, the Flames have won five of the past seven in the series. Knowing that they'll be facing this same Wild team at Minnesota where they're much tougher to beat, on 3/1, look for the Flames to bounce back and "hold serve" on home ice, this evening. |
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02-25-22 | Devils v. Blackhawks -140 | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 13 h 14 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CHICAGO. The Hawks are hungry for a home win and this should be a great spot to get one. The Devils are off an upset win over Pittsburgh last night. However, they're just 1-3 the past four times that they played the second of b2b games. (The win came against struggling Montreal.) As of this writing. Gillies is the projected goalie for the Devils. He's 3-8-1 with a poor 3.50 GAA and 0.893 save percentage. Both numbers (GAA and save %) are worse than any other projected goalie's GAA or save percentage, on the Friday board. The favorite has taken 16 of the past 23 in this series. Schedule and venue in their favor, expect the Hawks to dig deep and improve on those stats this evening. |
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02-24-22 | Stars v. Predators -143 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE. While I won with the Stars last night, I like how this one sets up for the Predators. While the Stars are off a hard-fought win, the Preds had last night off. Off an impressive 6-goal performance at Florida on Tuesday, note that the Preds are 10-5 (+5.8) when off a win by two or more goals. Having lost the most recent game against the Stars, note that they're also 10-5 (+6.2) their last 15 in the revenge role. Home ice means a lot to the Stars. Last night's win brought them to 18-8 in games at Dallas. However, they're only 10-14 on the road, getting outscored by an average of 3.2 to 2.4. The Preds, on the other hand, are 14-9 at home, outscoring visiting teams by a 3.1 to 2.5 avg score. Schedule and venue in their favor, expect the Preds to finish on top. |
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02-24-22 | Capitals v. Rangers -120 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
I'm playing on NY. The favorite is 42-16 the last 58 in this series. I expect the Rangers to improve on those numbers this evening. Both teams are well-rested. The Rangers last played on 2/20. That's a nice three day's in between games. The Capitals, on the other hand, haven't played since 2/17. That's getting to be quite a lot of time in between games which can sometimes lead to some rust. Note that the Rangers are 5-1 the past six times that they played with three or more day's rest in between games. NY's projected starting goalie Igor Shesterkin, who is 24-5-3 with a 2.01 goals-against average and a .939 save percentage on the season, has been one of the best in the game this season. By comparison, Washington's Samsonov has a 2.84 GAA and a .906 save percentage. Look for the Rangers to avenge an early season loss at Washington. |
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02-23-22 | Jets v. Stars -145 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 1 m | Show | |
I'm playing on DALLAS. These teams have played a pair of close games against each other so far this season. Both games were close. Both were won by the home team. I expect home ice to again prove significant. The Jets are 9-17 on the road. The Stars are 17-8 at home. The Stars average 3.4 gpg at home. The Jets average 2.5 gpg on the road. The Jets are 11-17 against winning teams. The Stars are 12-6 against losing teams. It should also be mentioned that the Stars are the healthier team. They've also had an extra day of rest. Look for them to bounce back from a loss in their last game, improving to 23-13 their last 36, when playing with two day's rest in between games. |
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02-22-22 | Sharks v. Ducks -142 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 16 h 48 m | Show |
I'm playing on ANAHEIM. The Sharks aren't playing well right now. They've dropped six straight and eight of nine. Don't expect the Ducks to show them any mercy. The Ducks just snapped their own losing streak, delivering a dominant 7-4 win over the Canucks. Having lost four in a row before that, the last thing that they want or need is another loss. I expect them to carry the positive momentum from that 7-goal outburst into this evening's game. After Saturday's win, Anaheim coach Dallas Eakins commented."I thought the guys played extremely hard for each other, and it was really important that we got a win under our belt going home. We wanted to be physical" Despite both teams plaiyng in the same division, this is actually this season's first meeting. The Ducks won the final three meetings last season and they did so by a combined score of 13-2. I really liked what I saw from them Saturday and I expect another win this evening. |
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02-19-22 | Bruins -179 v. Senators | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
I'm playing on BOSTON. Off b2b losses, including a 4-1 setback to the Islanders last time out, the Bruins are going to be "all business" in this one. Not only are they 7-1 the past eight times that they were off a loss of three or more goals but they're also 7-1 their last eight visits to Ottawa. The Sens may have won last time out but that was against Buffalo. They're still not a strong team and they're currently dealing with some missing players. With a game against Colorado on deck, the Bruins can't afford to take the Sens lightly. They need to "stop the bleeding" right here and now. They will. |
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02-18-22 | Predators v. Hurricanes -160 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. The Predators are coming in hungry. They're better than their recent results suggest. However, they're not playing well and this is the wrong place, at the wrong time, for them to right the ship. The talented and healthy Hurricanes are also hungry. They just blew a game which they had in hand against Florida, winning the whole time and gave up tying goal in last minute, before losing in OT. The Panthers are one of the best teams in the league though. Before that, they lost to a red hot Minnesota team. Indeed, they're going to be fired up tonight. The Canes are still 16-6 (16-4-2-0) at home. They're also 9-1 the last 10 times that they played with one day's rest in between games. While the Canes did win at Nasvhille, the home team is 11-2 the last 13 meetings between these teams. The Canes are 22-8 the last 30 meetings overall, 13-3 the past 16 here in Raleigh. This is one of Carolina's strongest teams during that span while the same cannot be said for Nashville. The last time that the Canes were off b2b losses, they responded with a 6-0 win. The Preds will get better soon, just not tonight. |
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02-17-22 | Penguins v. Maple Leafs -144 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TORONTO. The Penguins are hot. I expect the revenge-minded Leafs to change that. The Leafs, who scored six goals to close out their road trip with a win at Seattle, haven't forgotten that the Pens have beaten them in both this season's meetings. Scores were 7-1, at Pittsburgh and 2-0, here at Toronto. Those games were both back in 2021 though. Things have changed. Now healthy, the Leafs are also 10-3 when playing with two day's rest in between games. They're 25-12 (+7.4) in that situation the past 2+ seasons. Even better, they're a perfect 6-0 the past six times that they attempted to avenge an earlier home loss, 25-9 (+13.4) their last 34 in that situation. Payback. |