Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-17-18 | Senators v. Blue Jackets -225 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS (6* BIG JUICE BLOWOUT). The Sens may have won (in OT) yesterday but don't expect it to happen again here. The Jackets, who beat the Sens here by a 5-2 score earlier, are rolling. They had Friday off, after winning their sixth straight on Thursday. While the Sens are 13-24 on the road, the Jackets are 23-13 at home. Expect them to have the fresher legs and look for them to keep rolling for another day. While the price may seem steep, in my opinion, it could easily be higher. Lay it. |
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03-17-18 | Bruins v. Lightning -150 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -150 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
I'm playing on TAMPA (10* PERS FAV). The Bruins beat the Lightning at Boston earlier and they've been more than respectable on the road. They're 19-14 away from Boston. However, this isn't just isn't venue; the Lightning are a dominant 25-9 here. The Lightning have had a few days off, since a 7-4 loss snapped their 5-game winning streak. Note that they're 28-10 (+11.2) after scoring four or more goals in their previous game. They're also 18-6, after allowing four or more. Want more? They're 16-6 their last 22, when playing with three or more day's rest and 17-6 their last 23, when attempting to avenge an earlier loss. Expect the revenge-minded Lightning to come ready to play, improving on those stats with another big win. |
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03-17-18 | Devils v. Kings -138 | 3-0 | Loss | -138 | 8 h 54 m | Show | |
I'm playing on LA (8* ANNIHILATOR). The Devils hammered the Kings when the teams met at NJ earlier. This afternoon, I expect the revenge-minded Kings to return the favor. LA knows that it embarks on a tough 4-game road trip after this. That makes taking care of business this afternoon that much more imperative. The Devils are off a big win at Vegas and they've had a couple days off since then. That could easily spell trouble, particularly playing an early game today. Even with the earlier loss at NJ, the Kings are still a healthy 21-10 against teams from the Eastern Conference. Payback time here. |
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03-17-18 | Oilers v. Panthers -152 | 4-2 | Loss | -152 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
I'm playing on FLORIDA (8* VIOLATOR). The Panthers are 22-13 at home. The Oilers are 14-20 on the road. The Panthers have much to play for. The Oilers are playing out the string. The Panthers have tomorrow off, before heading out on a road trip. The Oilers play tomorrow, at Tampa. The Panthers have really taken care of busines against the teams which they are supposed to beat. They're 9-1 their last 10 against sub-500 teams. All things considered, this line could easily be considerably higher. |
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03-16-18 | Stars -140 v. Senators | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -140 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
I'm playing on DALLAS (10* ANNIHILATOR). The Stars come in with "payback" on their minds. They were -230 favorites when they hosted the Sens less than two weeks ago. Yet, Ottawa upset them. With that result fresh in their heads and determined to snap a 3-game skid, we're going to get a determined effort from the Stars tonight. The Stars are a dominant 15-3 the past 18 times that they were off three or more consec. losses, a perfect 3-0 in that situation this season. They won those three games by scores of 6-3, 2-1 and 4-0, a combined 12-4 margin. With the Sens just 12-20 in their own building, expect the revenge-minded Stars to bounce back big. |
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03-12-18 | Canucks v. Kings -215 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 33 h 37 m | Show | |
I'm playing on LA (6* BLUE MARLIN). The Canucks are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. For starters, the Canucks are off a late game at Arizona last night, while the Kings had yesterday off. Also, the Kings have a score to settle, as the Canucks beat them 6-2 the last time that the team's faced each other. Additionally, the Kings are off an embarrassing 7-2 loss last time out. In other words, they're going to be in an angry mood. With the schedule and venue in their favor, lay the wood with the Kings and expect them to take out their anger on their road-weary guests. |
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03-12-18 | Jets v. Capitals -115 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON (10* PERS FAV). With all due respect to the Jets, getting the Caps at this price, at home, is a bargain. While the Jets are 17-18 on the road, the Caps are 22-11 at home. The Caps are healthier and they should be hungry, as the Jets defeated them, at Winnipeg, last month. Off a 2-0 win against the Sharks last time out, note that the Caps are a commanding 13-4 their last 17, when coming off a shutout victory. During that stretch, the Caps are also 59-31 (+17.4) when attempting to avenge an earlier loss. Payback time. |
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03-10-18 | Coyotes v. Avalanche -167 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 24 h 40 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLORADO (10* GAME OF WEEK). Off three straight losses and with back-to-back fairly difficult road games (Minnesota, St. Louis) on deck, followed by a game against red hot Nashville, this is an opportunity which the Avs absolutely can't afford to squander. The Coyotes are 12-22 on the road; the Avs are 23-9 at home. Expect a highly motivated effort from the home team, en route to an important two points. |
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03-09-18 | Ducks v. Stars -144 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 34 m | Show |
I'm playing on DALLAS (10* FEAST). The Stars have dominated the Ducks here at Dallas over the years. They're 3-0 the past three meetings here and 42-19 the past 61. With the schedule in their favor, I expect them to continue that domination this evening. While the Stars had yesterday off, the Ducks are off a 4-2 loss at Nashville. (They're 15-19 the past few seasons, when playing the second of b2b games. Most recently, they gave up six goals in a loss against Edmonton.) Off back-to-back losses, most recently a 2-0 loss on 3/6, the Stars are going to be hungry. They're 47-23 (+24.5) the past 70 times that they were off a loss by two or more goals, 13-7 their last 20 in that situation. Expect the Stars to have the fresher legs and to be the more determined team. Dallas wins. |
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03-08-18 | Canadiens v. Panthers -190 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
I'm playing on FLORIDA (6* ROAST). The home team has won both meetings. I expect the home fans to again go home happy. Florida has done an excellent job at taking care of business against the league's weaker teams. Indeed, the Panthers are 6-0 their past six against teams with a losing record. They're also 10-4 on the season, when playing a home game with an O/U line which was greater than 5.5. Expect them to improve on those stats here. |
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03-06-18 | Golden Knights v. Blue Jackets +102 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 102 | 25 h 18 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS (10* BEST BET). Arguably, this game means more to the Jackets than it does to the Knights. The Knights snapped their 3-game slide last time out. They obviously want another victory but they're comfortably on top of the Pacific Division. The Jackets, on the other hand, figure to be fighting for their playoff lives the rest of the season. If the season ended today, the Jackets would have the #8 seed in the East and a first round matchup vs. the Lightning. However, the Panthers are only a point behind them and they have three games in hand. The Canes are only a point behind Florida. In other words, every point is hugely important to them right now. Added motivation, not that they should need any, stems from the fact that the Jackets lost 6-3 when they visited Vegas earlier. Expect an inspired effort, the revenge-minded Jackets coming away with an important two points. |
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03-05-18 | Coyotes v. Oilers -149 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 23 h 59 m | Show |
I'm playing on EDMONTON (10* GAME OF WEEK). While I won with the Coyotes in their last game, I expect them to come back down to earth here. These teams will be facing each other for the fourth time this season. The Oilers took two of those three meetings, including the lone game here at Edmonton. Note that Oilers were -205 favorites for that 11/28 game. We're getting them at a far more palatable price here and I feel thats providing us with excellent value. The Oilers may only be a modest 35-31 the past couple of seasons, when playing a home game with an O/U line of 5.5. However, during the same stretch, the Coyotes are a dismal 22-54 (-17) when playing a road game with an O/U line of 5.5. While the Coyotes are 4-15 against division opponents, the Oilers are 12-8. Off three straight losses, the Oilers are going to be hungry. They're 23-15 (+7.8) the past 2+ seasons, off three or more consecutive losses and I expect them to improve on those stats on Monday evening. |
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03-04-18 | Red Wings v. Wild -190 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA (6* BLUE MARLIN). The Wings are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off a 7-1 loss last time out, their second straight setback, the Wild are going to be in an angry mood. Note that while the Wings are below .500 on the road, the Wild are 22-11 at home. They outscore visiting teams by a commanding 3.3 to 2.2 average margin. If this price seems expensive, consider that the Wild are actually -300 the last time that they last hosted the Wings. They won that Feb 2017 game by a score of 6-3. Expect another convincing victory here, the Wild bouncing back and improving to 8-2 the past 10 times that they scored one goal or less in their previous game. |
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03-03-18 | Senators v. Coyotes -130 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 25 h 16 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ARIZONA (8* ANNIHILATOR). Don't look now but the Coyotes are actually playing pretty well right now. With the venue and schedule in their favor, I expect them to keep on rolling for at least another day. While the Coyotes had Friday off, the Sens are off a late game at Vegas. They entered that game off five straight losses. Off a win over Minnesota last time out, they've quietly started to play well. They're now 7-3 their past 10. One might imagine that the Sens would like to avenge an earlier 3-2 loss at Ottawa. However, revenge is hardly a motivator for them. The Sens are just 4-15 the past 19 times that they attempted to avenge an earlier home loss. All things considered, the line could easily be higher. |
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03-02-18 | Canadiens v. Islanders -120 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
I'm playing on NEW YORK (10* GAME OF MONTH). These teams just faced each other Wednesday, at Montreal. The Habs won that one by a score of 3-1. Playing this evening's rematch in their own building, I expect the revenge-minded Islanders to return the favor. While they're now 13-20 on the road, the Isles are a far more respectable 16-15 at home. Likewise, while Montreal is 16-18 at home, the Habs are just 8-21 on the road. It should be noted that, as of this writing, the line has come down from its opener. Given the setup and venue, I feel the current price is providing us with excellent value. With the Isles at a lucrative 36-26 (+11.5) the last couple of seasons, when off a loss by two or more goals, "its payback time." |
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03-01-18 | Blackhawks v. Sharks -150 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 15 h 54 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SJ (8* VIOLATOR). The Hawks simply aren't the team that they once were. Saturday's 3-2 loss at Columbus dropped them to 12-19 on the road. They've been off since. One might think that the break would do them some good. However, that typically isnt the case for this team. Even in better times. They're just 8-17 (-14.6) the past 25 times that they played with three or more day's rest in between games. The Sharks should be fully focused here, particularly as they just lost at Chicago less than a week ago. Tuesday's 5-2 win over Edmonton snapped a 3-game skid and provides some positive momentum. Expect the Sharks, who won 3-1 here against the Hawks in January, to build off Tuesday's victory, improving to 13-7 the past 20 times that they scored four or more goals in their previous game. |
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02-28-18 | Flames v. Avalanche -115 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLORADO (10* PERS FAV). I successfully played against the Flames, at Dallas, last night. Off that 2-0 loss, I'm coming right back against them tonight. Note that the Flames are just 12-20 (-5.7) the past 32 times that they played the second of back-to-back games. The last time (02/09 at MSG) that they did so, they lost 4-3 against the Rangers. Unlike their guests, the Avs had last night off. They come in with "payback" on their minds. Not only did the Flames beat them here back in November but the Flames also just beat them, at Calgary, a few days ago. With an O/U line of six, note that the Avs are a profitable 12-3 (+9.6) the past 15 times that they played a home game with an O/U line greater than 5.5. Given the setup and the fact that the Avs are 21-8 at home, outscoring teams by a dominating 3.5 to 2.3 average margin here, this price could easily be considerably higher. With the schedule and venue in their favor, expect the Avs to avenge the earlier losses tonight. |
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02-28-18 | Red Wings v. Blues -159 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ST. LOUIS (8* VIOLATOR). The Blues hit rock bottom last night, an ugly 8-3 loss at Minnesota. That marked their seventh straight defeat. Despite that skid, they're still favored tonight. That's for good reason, too. In this season's earlier meeting, the Blues hammered the Wings by a 6-1 score. That was at Detroit and the Blues are typically much stronger in their own buidling. While the Wings get outscored by an average of 3.0 to 2.8 on the road, the Blues outscore teams by a 3.0 to 2.5 average score, here at St. Louis. While they've had some trouble against top tier opponents of late, the Blues typically take care of inferior opposition. They're still 4-1 their past five against sub-500 teams. Going back further finds them at outstanding 31-13 (+12.4) their past 44, when facing a team with a losing record in the second half of the season. As for playing the second of back-to-back games, that doesn't usually bother the Blues. In fact, they've thrived in that situation. With an impressive 5-2 win at Winnipeg on 2/9, the last time that they played their second game in two days, the Blues are 25-10 (+16.2) the past 35 times that they played the second of b2b games. Expect them to bounce back with a highly motivated effort, en route to a much needed victory. |
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02-27-18 | Flames v. Stars -145 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 25 h 30 m | Show |
I'm playing on DALLAS (10* VIOLATOR). These teams met twice earlier in the season. The Stars won both of those games. Playing at home, I expect them to have the advantage once again. While the Stars have tomorrow off, the Flames play at Colorado. Even with a 5-3 loss last time out, the Stars are still a healthy 21-11 here at Dallas. They're also 13-7 the past 20 times that they allowed four or more goals in their previous game. Additionally, during that span, the Stars are 12-7 after a loss by two or more goals. Going back further finds the Stars at an outstanding 46-23 (+23.8) after a loss by two or more goals. Expect them to bounce back and improve on those stats here. |
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02-26-18 | Golden Knights v. Kings -105 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 47 m | Show |
I'm playing on LA (10* GAME OF WEEK). These teams will meet again, at Vegas, tomorrow. While still solid on the road, the Knights have been much tougher to beat in their own building. Knowing that to be the case and knowing that the Knights are already 2-0 against them this season, the Kings should be "all business" this evening. Add in the fact that LA has dropped two in a row and we should be ensured of a highly motivated effort. In terms of line value, note that the Kings were laying -140 when they hosted the Knights earlier. Expect home ice to be the difference, the revenge-minded Kings bouncing back with an important victory. |
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02-26-18 | Maple Leafs v. Lightning -169 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 25 h 53 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TAMPA BAY (8* ANNIHILATOR). Playing without Matthews, the Leafs managed a win against Boston. However, his absence is significant and it figures to catch up with them here. The teams have split a pair of meetings at Toronto but this will be the first of the season at Tampa. While the Leafs are a respectable 17-15 away from Toronto, the Lightning are a dominant 20-7 here at Tampa. The Lightning have beaten the Leafs seven of the past 10 meetings here. Expect them to finish on top. |
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02-25-18 | Oilers v. Ducks -167 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -167 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
I'm playing on ANAHEIM (10* PERS FAV). Both teams played yesterday. The Ducks lost, seeing their winning streak snapped. The Oilers won for the second time in a row, a 4-3 upset at LA. While I do believe that the Oilers are better than their record indicates, its tough to trust them to win three in a row. Not at this venue. The Oilers have only won three straight once in 2018 and the third of those three games came at home, against a weak Vancouver team. Now, the Oilers are on the road against a tough Anaheim team, at a venue where they've lost three straight. The Oilers, 13-18 on the road, are an ugly 4-14 their last 18 after scoring four or more goals. The Ducks are 29-21 (+6.2) their past 50, after a loss by two or more goals. Expect them to bounce back and improve on those stats this evening. |
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02-24-18 | Sabres v. Capitals -190 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 0 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON (6* ANNIHILATOR). These teams just faced each other on 2/19, the second meeting at Buffalo this season. The Sabres won the first of those while the Caps won last week's game. Since that time, Washington has proceeded to lose back-to-back games. Thats bad news for the Sabres here, as the Caps are going to be "all business." Still 20-11 at home, the Caps are already 2-0 this month, when coming off back-to-back losses. Even off Thursday's win at Detroit, the Sabres are 10-22 on the road. This is a mismatch and the price could easily be even higher. |
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02-24-18 | Jets v. Stars -150 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -150 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
I'm playing on DALLAS (10* PERS FAV). While the Stars had yesterday off, the Jets were busy beating St. Louis. Note that they're 21-42 (-13.9) their past 63, when playing the second of b2b games. Even with yesterday's victory, the Jets are still 13-17 on the road. Meanwhile, the Stars are 21-10 at home. While the Stars outscore visiting teams by a 3.3 to 2.4 margin here at Dallas, the Jets still get outscored (2.9 to 2.8) on the road. Having lost both this season's meetings with the Jets, the Stars are going to be hungry. Expect them to come ready to play, improving to 5-2 the past seven times that they attempted to avenge an earlier home loss. |
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02-23-18 | Jets v. Blues -120 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 54 m | Show |
I'm playing on ST. LOUIS (10* GAME OF WEEK). Off four straight losses, we're going to get a highly motivated effort from the Blues here. They've already taken two of three from the Jets this season, including a 2-0 win in the lone meeting here at St. Louis. Thats not surprising as the Jets aren't nearly as good on the road. (While they're 23-8 at home, they're just 12-17 when playing away from Winnipeg!) The Blues also already beat the Jets, at Winnipeg, in the most recent meeting. While some teams tend to "up their game" when attempting to avenge an earlier home loss, the Jets aren't one of them. Basically, if they can't beat a team at Winnipeg, they usually don't do so on the road, either. Indeed, they're 0-9 the last nine times that they attempted to avenge an earlier home loss, 16-33 (-15) in that situation the past few seasons. During that span, the Blues are 33-19 (+9.5) when playing with two day's rest in between games. Expect them to bounce back with a much needed win. |
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02-22-18 | Avalanche v. Oilers -128 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 22 h 41 m | Show |
I'm playing on EDMONTON (10* PERS FAV). This will be the third meeting this month. While the visiting team took each of the first two meetings, I expect the fans to go home happy this evening. Even off a win at Vancouver, the Avs are still just 12-19 on the road. By comparison, they're 20-8 when playing at Colorado. The Avs are banged-up right now, particularly on defense. Look for the Oilers to take advantage. |
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02-21-18 | Senators v. Blackhawks -165 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 40 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CHICAGO (8* PERS FAV). Admittedly, the Hawks have gone through a very tough stretch. However, a visit from the Senators should be just what the doctor ordered for them to "get healthy." Not only did the Hawks hammer the Sens by an 8-2 score in this season's earlier meeting (at Ottawa) but they've also beaten them seven of the past eight meetings here at Chicago. With Monday's loss at Nashville, the Sens are now a dismal 9-21 on the road. As bad as things have been, the Hawks still bring considerably more to the table than the Sens. Expect them to continue their dominance in the series. |
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02-19-18 | Senators v. Predators -205 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE (6*). The Sens are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off back-to-back home losses, most recently a 3-1 setback vs. Detroit, the Predators are going to be in an angry mood. The fact that the Preds lost at Ottawa a couple of weeks ago should only add fuel to the fire. Note that they're 31-20 the past 2+ seasons, after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. While the Sens check in off a 6-3 victory, they're just 6-13 (-7) after scoring four or more goals. Even with the recent losses, the Preds are still 19-10 at home. Meanwhile, the Sens are still 9-20 on the road. Payback time. |
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02-18-18 | Panthers v. Jets -185 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG (6* ANNIHILATOR). The Jets are tough to beat in this building. Friday's 6-1 victory brought them to 22-7 here on the season. While the Jets had yesterday off, the Panthers are off a victory at Calgary. Even with that victory, they're still 13-17 away from Florida. While the Panthers are winless on Sundays, the Jets are 6-1. The Jets have also gone 15-8 their last 23 against teams with a winning record. With the Jets attempting to avenge an earlier loss at Florida, expect Winnipeg's venue/scheduling advantage to prove the difference. |
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02-18-18 | Devils v. Hurricanes -161 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -161 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
I'm playing on CAROLINA (10* PERSONAL FAVORITE). This one sets up nicely for the home team. Off back-to-back losses, the first of which came at NJ against these same Devils, the Canes are going to be "hungry." They had yesterday off and come in fully recharged and ready to go. Off three straight victories, including an uspet of Tampa yesterday, the Devils may be a little complacent. Consider that they're just 6-11 (-6.1) the past 17 times that the were off three or more consecutive victories. With the Devils also at 0-3 the past three times that they played the second of back-to-back games, expect the revenge-minded Canes to come away with the two points. |
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02-17-18 | Oilers -109 v. Coyotes | 0-1 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
I'm playing on EDMONTON (8* ANNIHILATOR). The Coyotes come in as the hotter team. They've won three straight. The Oilers have lost four in a row. That doesn't mean that its time to jump on Arizona though. Indeed, the Coyotes are 1-11 the past 12 times that they'd won three straight. Meanwhile, the Oilers are 22-14 (+7.9) the past 2+ seasons, after having lost three or more in a row. While the Coyotes are 2-13 (-10.9) against divisional opponents, the Oilers are 10-6. That includes a 2-0 mark against the Coyotes. The Oilers were laying -145 for last month's 4-2 victory here. We're getting them at a far better price this afternoon and I feel thats providing us with very fair value. |
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02-17-18 | Kings -140 v. Sabres | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show | |
I'm playing on LA (8* BREAKFAST CLUB). Off three straight road losses, the Kings are going to be hungry. If this game was at LA, the Kings would be laying a much greater price. They were -200 back in October and -220 last season. However, because the game is at Buffalo, we're getting the Kings at a far more reasonable price. Thats normal. But, in thise case, home ice doesn't mean much. Indeed, when a team needs a road win, a visit to Buffalo is a pretty good place to start. The Sabres are 8-19 in their own building. They get outscored by an average score of 3.3 to 2.3 here. The Kings, on the other hand, are still 16-15 on the road, where they outscore teams by a 2.8 to 2.6 margin. The Kings are 14-6 (+6.7) the last 20 times that they were off three or more consecutive losses. Expect them to improve on those stats here. |
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02-16-18 | Flyers v. Blue Jackets -131 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -131 | 24 h 32 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS (10* PERS FAV). The Jackets were laying -170 when they hosted the Flyers just before Christmas. (They won that one by a 2-1 score.) We're getting them at a considerably lower price this evening and I feel thats providing us with very fair value. While the Flyers are a .500 team (14-14) on the road, the Jackets are a solid 17-11 at home. While they lost 6-3 last time out, the Jackets are an impressive 13-5 (+6.4) their last 18, when coming off a loss by two or more goals. The last time that they were off a loss by more than a goal, they responded with a 6-1 victory. Expect them to bounce back big again here. |
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02-15-18 | Sabres v. Senators -129 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
I'm playing on OTTAWA (8*). The Sens have gone through a tough patch. However, they've shown signs of life lately, particularly here at home. They're 4-3 in February, 3-0 here at Ottawa. A visit from the Sabres, who are an ugly 9-21 away from Buffalo, provides more reason for optimism. While the Sabres are off a 5-3 upset of Tampa, they're just 1-8 the last nine times that they were off a win by two or more goals. Going back further finds them at a dismal 13-30 in that situation, the past few seasons. The Sabres won when these teams met at Buffalo back in December but they're still averaging just 1.9 goals per divisional game. Payback time for the Sens tonight. |
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02-14-18 | Canadiens v. Avalanche -116 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLORADO (8* ANNIHILATOR). The Habs won when these teams met at Montreal. Playing on home ice, I expect the Avs to return the favor. Considering the home/road records of these teams, this line could easily be much higher. The Avs are 19-7 here, outscoring teams by an average score of 3.7 to 2.4. On the other hand, the Canadiens get outscored by a 3.4 to 2.3 average margin on the road, going just 8-17. With the Habs just 30-51 (-29.5) against Western Conf. teams the past 2+ seasons, I'm backing the revenge-minded home Avs. |
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02-12-18 | Panthers v. Oilers -140 | 7-5 | Loss | -140 | 28 h 52 m | Show | |
I'm playing on EDMONTON (10* VIOLATOR). Off three straight losses, all of which came on the road, the Oilers are going to be hungry. Facing a Florida team which they have long dominated should be the perfect tonic for what ails them. Including a pair of 4-3 victories last season, the Oilers are 17-7 with a pair of ties, the past 26 meetings with the Panthers. This season's Panthers team is only 10-17 on the road, averaging only 2.4 goals. It should also be noted that the Panthers are just 18-28 (-13.2) the past couple of seasons, when playing with two day's rest. During that stretch, the Oilers are 22-12 (+10.3) when coming off three or more consec. losses. Expect them to "get healthy" on home ice. |
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02-09-18 | Canucks v. Hurricanes -173 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 30 h 24 m | Show |
I'm playing on CAROLINA (10* GAME OF WEEK). This is a tough spot for the Canucks. First off, they played at Tampa yesterday. In addition to playing the second of back-to-back games, this will also mark their third game in the past four days. The Canes, on the other hand, are well rested. They last played on Tuesday. In addition to having the venue and schedule in their favor, the Canes should also be highly motivated. Not only have they dropped three straight but they also lost 3-0, at Vancouver, earlier in the season. The Canes beat the Canucks here last season, scoring eight goals in the process. They probably won't get that many again here but I expect the final result to be the same. |
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02-08-18 | Canadiens v. Flyers -145 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 23 h 10 m | Show |
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA (10* PERS FAV). The Flyers snapped a 4-game losing skid last time out, earning a much-needed 2-1 victory at Carolina. Now with some positive momentum back in their corner, I expect them to follow it up with another victory. While the Canadiens are off back-to-back victories, both those came at home. When playing away from Montreal, they're just 8-16. While the Habs haven't played since 2/4, that extra rest isn't necessarily a positive for them. In fact, they're just 6-14 the past 20 times that they played with three or more day's rest in between games. While they've had some trouble at Montreal, the Flyers have dominated the Canadiens here in Philadelphia in recent seasons. Expect that to continue here. |
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02-06-18 | Golden Knights v. Penguins -119 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 27 h 16 m | Show |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH (10* GAME OF MONTH). The Knights won when these teams met at Vegas. However, with tonight's game being played at Pittsburgh, I expect the Pens to have the advantage. Obviously, the Knights are enjoying a fantastic season. However, they're playing the fourth leg of a five game road trip here and this is no easy venue. While only 10-17 on the road, the Pens are 19-8 at home. Consider that they were laying -115 for the game at Vegas and that they're barely favored by more than that here. The Pens last four games here all resulted in victories. All four came against capable teams, as the Pens hosted the Canes, Wild, Sharks and Capitals. They were -155, -135, -175, -160 for those games. Getting them at this price represents excellent value. Take advantage. |
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02-03-18 | Avalanche v. Jets -175 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG (8* ANNIHILATOR). The Avs won won both this season's previous meetings. Both those came at Colorado though, which is particularly significant for these teams. While the Avs are 18-7 at Colorado, they're just 10-15 on the road. Meanwhile, the Jets are 12-17 on the road but 18-5 here at Winnipeg. That includes a commanding 13-1 record here when the O/U line was set at 5.5, as tonight's line is. The recent loss of Nathan MacKinnon was a killer for Colorado. Not only was he the Avs' leading scorer but he ranked second in the entire league in points. Jets get some payback. |
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02-03-18 | Red Wings v. Panthers -140 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
I'm playing on FLORIDA (10* PERS FAV). These teams are neck-and-neck in the Atlantic Division. The Wings have taken two of three meetings on the season, most recently a 4-2 win at Detroit on 1/5. However, off back-to-back wins, the Panthers are playing better now than they were then. They've also got both the schedule and venue working in their favor. While the Wings are below .500 on the road, the Panthers can climb back above .500 at home, with a win. While the Panthers had yesterday off, the Wings are off an upset win at Carolina. Go with Florida. |
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02-02-18 | Golden Knights v. Wild -125 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA (10* GAME OF WEEK). The Wild had no trouble with the Knights when they faced them at the end of November. With the schedule in their favor, I expect them to take care of business again this evening. While the Wild, who are 17-8 here at Minnesota, had last night off, the Knights are off a game at Winnipeg. This will mark their third road game in the past four days. While the Knights allow 3.0 goals per game on the road, the Wild allow a mere 2.1 goals per game here at Minnesota. Playing with the fresher legs, look for the Wild to continue their strong play on home ice, coming away with the important two points. |
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02-01-18 | Golden Knights v. Jets -120 | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG (8*). These teams have met twice so far this season. In both cases, the home team won convincingly. The Knights won 5-2 at Vegas. The Jets won 7-4 here at Winnipeg. Thats not surprising, given that both teams are much better when playing in their own building. The Knights are a respectable 14-11 on the road but an outstanding 19-5 at home. Meanwhile, the Jets are a poor 12-17 on the road but an excellent 18-4 here wat Winnipeg. Look for home ice to again prove the difference. |
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02-01-18 | Maple Leafs v. Rangers -133 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -133 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
I'm playing on NEW YORK (10* PERS FAV). While the Rangers are well-rested, the Leafs are off a win against the Islanders yesterday. Thats noteworthy as, even with a recent win at Dallas, they're still just 14-29 (-11.2) the past 2+ seasons, when playing the second of b2b games. The Rangers snapped a skid, prior to the Break, earning a 6-5 victory over the Sharks. They'll be motivated to return to the break with another victory. Added motivation comes from the fact that the Leafs beat them twice already this season. The Rangers, 17-11 at home, are 42-26 (+13.2) their last 68 after allowing four or more goals, 11-6 their last 17 in that situation. Expect them to be the "hungrier" team tonight and for that to ultimately lead to an important two points. |
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01-31-18 | Flyers v. Capitals -145 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON (8* ANNIHILATOR). The Flyers got the better of the Caps here 10 days ago. They're now 2-0 on the season series. Don't expect it to happen again. Even factoring in that result, the Flyers are still 11-12 on the road. Meanwhile, the Caps are still 18-8 at home. The Caps rarely let teams beat them twice in a row. They're 14-6 (+6.4) the last 20 times that they attempted to avenge an earlier loss. Going back a little further finds them at a lucrative 57-29 (+17.4) in that situation, the past few seasons. During that stretch, the Caps are also 62-32 (+16.7) after scoring four or more goals in their previous game. Expect them to improve on those stats here. |
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01-30-18 | Golden Knights v. Flames -109 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
I'm playing on CALGARY (10* PERS FAV). The Flames need this one more than the Knights. They entered the break on a 4-game losing streak and badly need to turn things around, immediatley. While the Knights have been nearly unbeatable in Vegas, they've been mediocre on the road. The Flames haven't lost five in a row all season. Even with a loss last time out, they're 3-1 after having lost three or more in a row. Look for the break to benefit the Flames, the home fans going home happy. |
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01-30-18 | Senators v. Hurricanes -170 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 28 h 18 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA (8* ANNIHILATOR). The Canes are last in the Metropolitan Division while the Sens are second last in the Atlantic. However, the Canes are favored by this much for good reason. While the Canes have 52 points, the Sens have 39. The Canes can climb back to .500 at home, with a win here. The Sens, on the other hand, are 8-16 on the road. The Sens have lost five straight. They allowed at least three goals in all five of those games, while scoring one or less in three of them. Look for the Canes to happily kick them while they're down. |
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01-25-18 | Jets v. Ducks -125 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 43 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ANAHEIM (8* ROAST). The Jets are playing well and have won three straight. However, I expect the revenge-minded Ducks to cool them down tonight. This is the final leg of a 5-game homestand for the Ducks. After tonight, they play four straight in the Eastern Time Zone. They've already won three of the first four games here and thats got them above .500 at home for the season. They're going to be motivated to close out their last game here with a victory. Note that they're now 7-1 the last eight times they played, after having played their previous three (or more) games at home. Going back further finds them at a lucrative 29-15 (+12) in that situation, the past 2+ seasons. As for the Jets, they're still only 12-16 away from Winnipeg. They're also just 1-5 (-4.8) the last six times that they were off three or more consecutive victories. Now healthier than they were earlier in the season, look for the Ducks to get some payback for a 4-1 loss here back in November. |
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01-25-18 | Avalanche v. Blues -164 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 24 h 49 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ST. LOUIS (8* ANNIHILATOR). The Avs saw their winning streak snapped last time out. I expect the Blues to hand them another loss this evening. The Blues have dominated the Avs in recent seasons. They've won three straight meetings here at St. Louis and seven of the past eight meetings overall. With Tuesday's loss at Montreal, the Avs are just 9-13 away from Colorado. The Blues, on the other hand, are 16-10 at home. Expect home ice to prove significant, the Blues continuing their recent mastery of the Avs while picking up an important two points. |
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01-23-18 | Sabres v. Oilers -228 | 5-0 | Loss | -228 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
I'm playing on EDMONTON (6* BIG JUICE ANNIHILATOR). The Oilers have finally won a few in a row. Now, they get a visit from one of the league's worst teams, while also working with a favorable schedule. In other words, this is a game and situation that they absolutely need to take advantage of. The Sabres, who earned a rare road win at Calgary last night, are just 2-8 the last 10 times that they played the second of b2b games. Overall, even with last night's victory, the Sabres are 6-21 on the road, getting outscored by an average score of 3.6 to 2.3. Oilers keep on rolling. |
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01-23-18 | Avalanche v. Canadiens -140 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show |
I'm playing on MONTREAL (10* PERS FAV). The Avs won again yesterday. However, now they're in a back-to-back spot and thats a situation which has given them trouble. They're 2-5 the last seven times that they played their second game in two days. Unlike their guests, the Habs are well-rested. They last played Saturday. While they lost their last game at Colorado, the Canadiens hammered the Avs by a 10-1 score the last time that these teams played here. This one won't be that "easy" but I expect the end result to be the same. |
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01-22-18 | Avalanche v. Maple Leafs -167 | 4-2 | Loss | -167 | 28 h 58 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TORONTO (8* ANNIHILATOR). The Avs are red hot but I expect the Leafs to bring them back down to earth on Monday. The Leafs got back on track last time out, a much-needed victory over Ottawa. Now, with some positive momentum in their corner, they'll look to avenge a recent loss (4-3 on 12/29) at Colorado. In fact, that game marked the start of the Avs winning streak. While the Avs are very tough to beat at Colorado, they're still just 8-12 on the road. With the Leafs at 13-9 at home, look for the streak to come to an end here. |
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01-21-18 | Flyers v. Capitals -155 | 2-1 | Loss | -155 | 5 h 2 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON (8* BREAKFAST CLUB). The Flyers are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off b2b losses, the Caps are going to be in an angry mood, hungry to bounce back. Added motivation stems from the fact that the Flyers hammered them, at Philadelphia, by an 8-2 score earlier this season. The Caps are 13-5 (+7) their past 18 in the "revenge" role, a lucrative 56-28 (+18.1) the past few seasons. The Caps were laying -270 the last time that they hosted the Flyers, a 2-1 win last spring. Getting them at this price offers excellent value. Expect them to get some payback. |
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01-20-18 | Canucks v. Oilers -170 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 57 m | Show | |
I'm playing on EDMONTON (8*). The Canucks got the better of the Oiler in this season's first meeting, at Vancouver. Playing at home, I expect the Oilers to get some payback this evening. The Oilers have had success against the Canucks here in recent seasons, winning four of the past five here. Consider that they were laying -320 for the last meeting here, a 5-2 Edmonton win. In the previous meeting here, the Oilers were laying -285. They won that one by a 2-0 score. While this price is lower, there's still a significant talent gap between these teams. I expect it to be evident this evening, the revenge-minded Oilers finishing on top. |
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01-20-18 | Islanders v. Blackhawks -150 | 7-3 | Loss | -150 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CHICAGO (8*). The Hawks always tend to take care of business against the Islanders. This evening, we're getting them at a fairly reasonable price; they were laying -180 for last year's meeting here, a 2-1 Chicago win. The Isles are just 10-14 on the road. That includes a poor 3-9 record when playing a road game with an O/U line which was greater than 5.5. The Hawks, 12-10 at home overall are just 1-2 on their current 6-game homestand. That should mean that they're going to be hungry tonight. They're 15-6 the past 21 times that they played three or more consecutive home games. Expect them to improve on those stats here. |
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01-20-18 | Penguins v. Sharks -115 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 10 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SJ (8*). The Sharks know that they'll face these same Penguins, at Pittsburgh, at the end of this month. The Sharks also know that the Pens are much tougher to beat a home and that they better take care of business here in SJ. Off a 5-3 loss, note that the Sharks are a lucrative 42-23 (+14.3) the past 65 times that they played after having given up four or more goals in their previous game. During that stretch, they're 36-17 (+15) off a loss by two or more goals. Even after a win at LA last time out, the Pens remain a poor 7-14 (-12.1) against Western Conf. teams. All things considered, this price is very fair. Sharks win. |
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01-18-18 | Penguins v. Kings -125 | 3-1 | Loss | -125 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
I'm playing on LA (8*). The Kings badly need a victory. Normally, in that situation, a game against the Penguins is less than ideal. However, in tonight's case, I believe that the Kings are catching them at the right time and place. While the Kings were resting, the Pens lost at Anaheim last night. They're just 6-14 (-13.4) against Western Conference teams and 9-15 on the road. They're also just 18-24 (-9.3) their last 42, when playing the second of b2b games. This season, they've been particularly bad, when playing b2b spots, when each of the two games came on the road. The Kings, 8-4 their last 12, when playing with two day's rest are 15-6 (+8.4) against Eastern Conf. teams. The Kings have had recent success vs. the Pens here. Look for them to pick up an important two points tonight. |
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01-18-18 | Coyotes v. Predators -200 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE (6*). Considering what a mismatch this is, the line could easily be much higher. (Last time that these teams met here, the Preds were laying -270. They won that one by a 3-1 score.) The Preds, 14-6 at home on the season, have won three straight overall. The Coyotes, 5-19 on the road on the season, have dropped four straight and six of seven. Their lone victory, during that 7-game stretch, came against these same Predators. That 1/4 result should ensure that the Preds dont take the Coyotes lightly tonight. Payback time. |
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01-18-18 | Golden Knights v. Lightning -160 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -160 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
I'm playing on TAMPA (10* PERS FAV). The Knights have finally dropped two in a row. I expect a third straight loss tonight. While the Knights are now a mediocre 11-10 away from Vegas, the Lightning are a dominant 17-5 here at Tampa. The Lightning, who lost at Vegas in December, are 8-3 their last 11 when playing with revenge. Well-rested, having not played since 1/11, its also worth noting that the Lightning are an outstanding 16-4 (+10.8) the last 20 times that they played with three or more day's worth of rest in between games; they're 100% perfect in that situation this season. Payback time. |
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01-16-18 | Golden Knights v. Predators -130 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 27 h 31 m | Show |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE (10* GAME OF MONTH). Playing with "double-revenge," I expect the Predators to be extremely motivated this evening. Both these teams have been much better at home. The Preds, who lost 3-0 on 1/2 at Vegas, check in off b2b victories, most recently a 2-1 win over Edmonton. They're 13-6 at home. On the other hand, the Knights lost vs. the same Oilers last time out and are 11-9 on the road. When the Preds hosted the Knights earlier, they were laying -160. Tonight's line is considerably lower and that's providing us with excellent value. Payback time! |
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01-15-18 | Islanders v. Canadiens -120 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 37 m | Show |
I'm playing on MONTREAL (10* PERS FAV). Playing on home ice, I expect the Habs to have the advantage this evening. While the Isles are 9-14 on the road, the Canadiens can get back to .500 at home, with a victory this evening. Note that Montreal allows 2.7 goals per game here while the Isles allow a whopping 3.8 goals per game on the road. Sure, the Isles are off a big win over the rival Rangers. However, they're just 5-8, off a win by two or more goals. With tonight's total set at six, its also worth mentioning that the Isles are just 2-9 when playing a road game, with an O/U line which was greater than 5.5. Expect the home fans to leave happy. |
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01-15-18 | Sharks v. Kings -125 | 4-1 | Loss | -125 | 8 h 27 m | Show | |
I'm playing on LA (8* ANNIHILATOR). While both teams had yesterday off, the Kings also have the next couple of days off. The Sharks, on the other hand, visit Arizona tomorrow. In addition to being fully focused on the task at hand, off three straight losses, the Kings are going to be extra "hungry." Note that they're a profitable 13-3 (+9.4) the past 16 times that they'd lost their previous three games. While the Sharks get outscored by a 2.9 to 2.6 margin on the road, the Kings outscore teams by a 2.8 to 2.4 average margin here at LA. Kings win. |
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01-14-18 | Flames v. Hurricanes -115 | 4-1 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 7 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA (8* ANNIHILATOR). The Canes already beat the Flames by a 2-1 score, at Calgary, back in October. With this evening's rematch being played at Raleigh, where the Canes are typically much better, I expect them to have success again on Sunday. Though they've mixed in a couple of defensive duds in there, the Canes have held five of their last 11 opponents to one goal or less. While the Flames have admittedly been on a nice roll, they still average less than three goals per game, the type of team that the Canes should be able to have success slowing down. The Flames have already done more than they even hoped for on this road trip. That said, I won't be surprised if they're a little complacent. Look for the Canes, who have dropped three of four, to be the hungrier team on Sunday, bouncing back and picking up the important two points. |
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01-14-18 | Red Wings v. Blackhawks -200 | 4-0 | Loss | -200 | 2 h 28 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CHICAGO (8* BREAKFAST CLUB). These teams are currently going in opposite directions. The Hawks are off a win, their third in four games. The Wings lost yesterday, their second straight setback. Now playing their third game in four days, the Wings have been outscored by a 9-3 margin the past two games. Note that they're just 2-12 their last 14, after allowing four or more goals. Going back further finds them at a money-burning 27-45 (-19.6) in that situation. With the schedule and venue in their favor, look for the Hawks to keep on rolling, improving to 28-11 on Sundays, the past 2+ seasons. |
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01-13-18 | Jets v. Wild -128 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA (10* PERS FAV). This one sets up nicely for the revenge-minded Wild. Not only have the Jets beaten them in all three meetings but they hammered the Wild by a 7-2 score last time out. Minnesota hasn't forgotten. While the Jets were busy losing a hard-fought game at Chicago yesterday, the Wild come in well-rested. The Jets are just 20-41 the past 61 times that they played the second of b2b games. The Wild outscore teams by a 3.2 to 2.1 margin here, where they've gone 14-7 on the season. Payback time! |
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01-13-18 | Red Wings v. Penguins -189 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 2 h 17 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH (8* BREAKFAST CLUB). The Wings are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Pens are 18-6 (+9.2) their last 24, when playing with three or more day's rest in between games. During that same span, they're also a highly lucrative 54-21 (+28.4) after allowing four or more goals in their previous game. With the Wings just 2-11 (-10.1) their last 13, ater allowing four or more goals, expect the home team to roll. |
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01-12-18 | Flames v. Panthers -120 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
I'm playing on FLORIDA (10* PERS FAV). The Flames have been on a nice roll but I expect it to come to an end this evening. While the Flames, 11-18 the last 29 times they played the second of b2b games, are off an upset of TB last night, the Panthers are well-rested. The Panthers closed out their road trip with a win at St. Louis. With the schedule and venue in their favor, look for them to follow it up with another victory, improving to 6-1 the last seven times that they were off three or more consecutive road games. |
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01-10-18 | Senators v. Maple Leafs -220 | 4-3 | Loss | -220 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TORONTO (6* BIG JUICE ANNIHILATOR). The Sens have had their way with their provincial rivals recently. However, I expect the Leafs to serve up some payback on Wednesday. Ottawa, which was hammered 8-2 last night, is 7-14 on the road. The Leafs, which had yesterday off, are 13-7 at home. The Leafs are 12-8 (+2.6) their last 20 in the revenge role. With the venue and schedule in their favor, I look for them to improve on those stats this evening. |
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01-09-18 | Panthers v. Blues -158 | 7-4 | Loss | -158 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ST. LOUIS (8* PERS FAV). The Blues are going to come in hungry. Not only have they lost two in a row but the Panthers also beat them, at Florida, when the teams met earlier. Note that the Blues are a lucrative 55-43 (+6.2) in the revenge role, the past 2+ seasons. This season, while the Panthers are a poor 7-15 on the road, the Blues are a solid 15-8 at home. The Blues outscore opponents by an average score of 3.0 to 2.2 here, while outshooting them by an average of 33.9 to 28.7. On the other hand, the Panthers allow more than 35 shots per game overall and they get outscored by an average of 3.0 to 2.1, when playing on the road. Expect the Blues to bounce back. Big. |
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01-09-18 | Canucks v. Capitals -220 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON (6* VIOLATOR). The Canucks upset the Caps by a 6-2 maring, back in October. That was at Vancouver and when the Canucks were playing better. Currently, however, they're in freefall. Vancouver has lost four straight and eight of nine. Don't expect the Caps, who have won four straight, to show them any mercy. Washington is a lucrative 54-28 (+16) its last 82, when attempting to avenge an earlier loss. During that stretch, the Caps are a commanding 72-32 when facing sub-500 teams. Throw in the fact that they're 17-5 at home and this price could easily be even higher. Caps roll. |
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01-07-18 | Panthers v. Blue Jackets -160 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS (8* PERS FAV). Both teams are going to come in hungry, as both are off 2-goal losses. However, the Jackets are considerably better at bouncing back from those type of losses. They're a lucrative 9-3 (+5.1) their last 12, when off a loss by two or more goals. They're also 9-4 when playing with two day's rest. Additionally, they're 9-3 their last 12 as a host in this series. Throw in the fact, the Panthers are 7-14 on the road and the Jackets are 14-7 at home and this line could easily be even higher. |
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01-06-18 | Canucks v. Maple Leafs -220 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TORONTO (6* ANNIHILATOR). The Leafs are playing with 'revenge' from a loss at Vancouver last month. While the Canucks are a dismal 2-10 their last 12 off a divisional game, the Leafs are 11-7 their last 18 when trying to avenge an earlier loss. The Leafs are tough to beat here, going 12-6. They hammered the Canucks here last season and I fully expect them to finish on top, once again. |
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01-05-18 | Golden Knights v. Blackhawks -123 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -123 | 27 h 60 m | Show |
I'm playing on CHICAGO (10* GAME OF WEEK). After a tough start, the Hawks closed out their road trip with victories in two of their final three games. Now, they return home where they're a respectable 10-7. While the Hawks had Thursday off, the Knights were busy battling St. Louis. In addition to playing the second of b2b games, the Knights will be playing their third game in four days. With the schedule and venue in their favor, look for the Hawks to take advantage and avenge an earlier 10/24 loss, at Vegas. |
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01-04-18 | Kings v. Flames -110 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 27 h 16 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CALGARY (8*). The Flames are going to be hungry. Not only are the Kings ahead of them in the standings but a win tonight gets them back to .500 here at home. The Flames have had success against the Kings, a team who they may still have some "bad blood" with from a game last year. Calgary won, at LA, back in October and also took three of five meetings last season. Admittedly, the Kings have been playing well. Still, having already won the first two legs of this trip, they may not have quite the sense of urgency as their hosts. I like the Flames to dig deep and come away with the two points. |
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01-04-18 | Ducks v. Oilers -126 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 27 h 15 m | Show |
I'm playing on EDMONTON (10* PERS FAV). I lost with the Oilers last time out. However, I'm coming right back with them again here. Off b2b shutout losses, the Oilers are going to be in a foul mood. They're still 3-1 off a shutout loss, on the season. After this, the Oilers begin a tough 5-game road trip. They know that they desperately need to take care of business on home ice - and get that first win of 2018 - before they go. While they've been better of late, the Ducks are still a sub-500 team on the road, a divisional rival and the type of team that the Oilers badly need to beat here. Expect them to step up and do just that. |
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01-04-18 | Golden Knights v. Blues -117 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 26 h 16 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ST. LOUIS (8*). The Knights have continued to amaze all the way into 2018. However, with that amazing run, they're now being treated accordingly by the oddsmakers. In tonight's case, we're getting an (arguably) superior St. Louis team, playing at home, for a very reasonable price. While the Blues are 14-8 at home, the Knights are 10-8 on the road. Looking to avenge an earlier loss at Vegas, expect the Blues to take care of business on Thursday night. |
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01-02-18 | Kings v. Oilers -115 | 5-0 | Loss | -115 | 29 h 58 m | Show | |
I'm playing on EDMONTON (8* PERS FAV). Off a 5-0 loss on New Year's Eve, the Oilers should be all business here. In all three previous instances this season, after getting shutout, the Oilers won their following game. They won those three games by a combined score of 12-5, too. Off a 4-0 loss on 11-5, the Oilers won their next game by a score of 2-1. Off a 1-0 loss on 12/10, they won their next game by a score of 7-2. Off a 0-4 loss on 12-14, they responded with a 3-2 win. Knowing that they're looking up at the Kings in the standings and that they've got an road trip (after they host the Ducks on 1/4) looming, look for the Oilers to bounce back with a much needed two points on Tuesday. |
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01-02-18 | Panthers v. Wild -135 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA (8* ANNIHILATOR). The Panthers have been on a nice roll, including a win against the Wild on 12/22. However, Florida's winning streak came at home, with the exception of a game at Arizona. Thats noteworthy as they aren't nearly as good on the road while the Wild are generally much better here at Minnesota. While the Panthers are 7-12 on the road, the Wild are 12-6 here at home. The Wild outscore teams by a 3.0 to 2.2 margin at home. The Panthers get outscored by a 2.9 to 2.2 margin on the road. Off their 2-0 win against the Habs, note that the Panthers are only 1-6 the past seven times that they were off a win by two or more goals. The Wild have dominated the Panthers here over the years, most recently a 5-1 win last December. Expect them to get some payback here. |
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01-01-18 | Sabres v. Rangers -174 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 25 h 21 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NY (8* ANNIHILATOR). The Sabres are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Rangers won 1-0 against Washington in their last game here, moving to 15-9 here. They since lost at Detroit though, falling to 5-9 on the road. That result, their third loss in four games overall, should ensure that everyone is fully focused on taking care of business. Buffalo continues to struggle and is now just 5-16 on the road. All things considered, this line could easily be even higher. |
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12-31-17 | Jets v. Oilers -143 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -143 | 25 h 35 m | Show |
I'm playing on EDMONTON (10* PERS FAV). While I won with the Jets in their last game, I like how this one sets up for the Oilers. Off back-to-back losses and having already lost twice to the Jets, most recently on 12/27, the Oilers are going to be extremely hungry. That 12/27 game came at Winnipeg, where the Jets are considerably stronger. They're just 8-13 on the road, averaging only 2.6 goals per game. With the Oilers averaging a full three per game here at Edmonton, I say its "payback time" on New Year's Eve. |
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12-30-17 | Kings -135 v. Canucks | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 30 h 37 m | Show |
I'm playing on LA (10* PERS FAV). Thursday's win over Chicago notwithstanding, the Canucks have actually been much better on the road than here at Vancouver. They're just 7-13 at home. Meanwhile, the Kings are a solid 11-8 on the road. Playing with revenge from an earlier loss at LA, look for the Kings to close out their year with a win. |
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12-28-17 | Golden Knights v. Kings -147 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -147 | 31 h 34 m | Show |
I'm playing on LA (10* PERS FAV). While the Kings are well-rested, the Knights are playing the second of b2b road games. With LA playing with revenge from an earlier loss at Vegas, look for the home fans to leave happy. |
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12-27-17 | Golden Knights v. Ducks -117 | 4-1 | Loss | -117 | 31 h 53 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ANAHEIM (8* ANNIHILATOR). The Knights have been very tough to beat at Vegas. However, they've only been mediocre on the road. The Ducks, finally starting to play better, check in off b2b wins. Playing with "double-revenge," look for them to take care of business tonight. |
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12-27-17 | Canadiens v. Hurricanes -130 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 0 m | Show |
I'm playing on CAROLINA (10* GAME OF WEEK). The Canes finally started to get going before the break. They won five of their last six, including each of their last two. I expect them to carry the positive momentum into tonight's game. While the Canes have tomorrow off, the Canadiens could get caught looking ahead to tomorrow night's showdown at Tampa, vs. the top team in their division. Carolina keeps it rolling. |
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12-21-17 | Avalanche v. Kings -175 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 33 m | Show | |
I'm playing on LA (6* BM BEATDOWN). The Kings are a disciplined team which takes care of weaker teams like Colorado. They're 13-4 (+7) against sub-500 teams. While LA allows 2.2 goals per game at home, Colorado allows 3.7 gpg on the road. While the price may initially seem steep, consider that the Kings were laying greater than -300 the last time that they hosted Colorado; they won that one by a 5-0 score, outshooting the Avs by a 40-22 margin. Lay it. |
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12-21-17 | Ducks v. Islanders -140 | 5-4 | Loss | -140 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NY (8* ROAST). Both teams are limping towards Christmas but home ice favors the Islanders. The Isles lost at Anaheim earlier, a game where they held a considerable edge in shots on goal. Now they're playing at home, where they're 10-5. Meanwhile, they're catching the Ducks at just 6-11 on the road. While Anaheim scores 2.6 goals per game on the road, the Isles score 4.2 gpg here at home. Payback time. |
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12-21-17 | Blue Jackets v. Penguins -148 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 45 m | Show |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH (10* GAME OF WEEK). The Blue Jackets would love a win here. However, the schedule is working against them. While they come in off a game at Toronto last night and playing their their third road game in four days, the Penguins are well rested. Columbus may have the better overall record but the Pens are still stronger at home than the Jackets have been on the road. Expect the home team, highly motivated after dropping four of five and due to looking up at Columbus in the standings, to have the fresher legs. Pens roll. |
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12-18-17 | Penguins -150 v. Avalanche | 2-4 | Loss | -150 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH (8* ANNIHILATOR). The Pens snapped their losing streak last time out. That recent skid, combined with the fact that the Avs recently beat them at Pittsburgh, will prevent them from overlooking Colorado tonight. The Pens are 23-12 (+9.8) their last 35 in the 'revenge' role. During that span, they were 65-34 against sub-500 teams. They won by a score of 4-1 in their last visit here, a game where they were laying -230. Tonight's far lower price provides very fair value. Pens win. |
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12-16-17 | Penguins -160 v. Coyotes | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH (8* ANNIHILATOR). Both teams enter on a losing streak. Lengthy losing streaks are nothing new for the Coyotes. However, they don't happen often to the Penguins. The only previous time that they were on a 3-game losing streak, the Pens answered with a 5-2 win over Tampa. Having lost three straight, expect the Pens to bounce back big once again. |
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12-16-17 | Ducks v. Capitals -145 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 29 h 17 m | Show |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON (10* GAME OF WEEK). The Capitals could easily be a bigger favorite here. Washington comes in on a roll, having won two straight and six of its past seven. Note that the Caps scored a minimum of four goals in all six of those victories. Considering that they've scored three or fewer goals in 14 straight games, thats going to make it difficult for the Ducks to keep up. With the Ducks below .500 on the road and the Caps now 13-5 at home, I'm laying the reasonable price with the favorite. |
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12-14-17 | Islanders v. Blue Jackets -150 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 29 h 24 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS (10* PERS FAV). The Isles are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. After getting embarrassed 7-2 last time out, the Jackets are going to be in a foul mood. Note that they're 6-3 off a loss by two or more goals. The Jackets beat the Isles 5-0 to begin the season. Including that victory, they're 11-6 here. The Isles, on the other hand, are 8-11 on the road. In addition to having the venue in their favor, the Jackets have the schedule working for them. Columbus had last night off. On the other hand, NY hosted Dallas. In addition to the b2b spot, this will mark the Isles' third game in four days and seventh game since 12/4. (The Jackets will be playing their 5th since 12/3.) Jackets roll. |
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12-12-17 | Avalanche v. Capitals -190 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON (6* BLOWOUT). Both teams played last night. The fact that the Caps lost while the Isles won, should make Washington extra hungry. Added motivation stems from the fact that the Avs hammered the Caps when these teams met at Denver a few weeks ago. With the Caps at 51-28 (+13) in the revenge role the past 2+ seasons, I'm laying the wood. |
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12-11-17 | Hurricanes +103 v. Ducks | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 0 m | Show |
I'm playing on CAROLINA (10* DOG OF MONTH). Both teams have been struggling of late; both are going to be hungry for a victory. The Ducks are expected to get their captain back, as Getzlaf is expected to return. That certainly makes them a better team. However, they're still dealing with a lot of issues. Getzlaf can't be expected to work miracles in his first game back and when a "star" returns from a long layoff, there's often a tendency for other players to relax just a little, thinking that "everything's going to be ok, now." The Canes are looking to avenge a loss at Raleigh from late October. The Canes held a 37-25 edge in shots for that game but lost in a shootout. I believe the Canes are a little better than their record indicates. They're healthier than their hosts and I expect them to get some payback tonight. |
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12-09-17 | Canucks v. Flames -162 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 19 m | Show |
I'm playing on CALGARY (10* PERS FAV). These teams both have 32 points through 29 games. They've split a pair of meetings thus far, the visiting team winning each. The Flames, who badly want to improve their play here at home, have still taken four of the past six here against the Canucks. I believe they bring considerably more to the table and that the over-achieving Canucks are likely to start falling back to earth. While the Canucks are off a 4-1 loss to the Flyers, the Flames bring some positive momentum; they're off a 3-2 win over the Habs. Having played their last three in Vancouver, note that the Canucks are just 11-27 (-15) the past couple of seasons, after having played three or more consec. home games. Flames win. |
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12-09-17 | Golden Knights v. Stars -170 | 5-3 | Loss | -170 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
I'm playing on DALLAS (8* ANNIHILATOR). While the Stars had last night off, the Knights are playing the second of b2b road games. Off back-to-back losses, the Stars are going to be angry. They're an outstanding 40-19 (+23) the past 2+ seasons, off a loss by two or more goals. Their 'long-term' numbers in that situation are also strong. This is a team which has effectively bounced back from bad losses from years. Even with last night's victory, the Knights are still below .500 on the road. The Stars, on the other hand, are 10-3 at home. Vegas gets outscored by a 3.7 to 3.1 mark away from home, Dallas outscores teams by a 3.5 to 2.2 margin here. All things considered, this line could easily be even higher. |
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12-08-17 | Sabres v. Blackhawks -180 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 28 h 47 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CHICAGO (8*). The Sabres are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off five straight losses, the Hawks are going to be an angry team. Note that the Hawks are a perfect 4-0 against the Sabres the past couple of seasons. While the Hawks are outscoring teams by an average of 3.5 to 2.6 here at Chicago, the Sabres get outscored by an average of 3.8 to 2.5 on the road. No Crawford. No problem. |
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12-08-17 | Golden Knights v. Predators -180 | 4-3 | Loss | -180 | 27 h 17 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE (8*). The Knights have been outstanding at home but only mediocre on the road. They're 3-6 when playing a road game with an O/U line of six or greater. The Predators, on the other hand, are a perfect 5-0 when playing at home with an O/U line of six or more. While the Preds average four goals per game at home, the Knights allow 3.7 gpg away from Vegas. Look for home ice to make the difference, the Preds moving to 10-2 their last 12, after scoring four or more goals in their previous game. |
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12-08-17 | Rangers v. Capitals -128 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON (10* PERS FAV). At this price, the Capitals are offering excellent value. True, the Rangers are rolling at the moment. They're only 4-5 on the road, however. Meanwhile, the Caps are also rolling and they're 11-5 at home. While the Rangers get outscored by an average score of 3.7 to 3.3 on the road, the Caps outscore teams by an average margin of 3.1 to 2.2 here at home. The Caps won the last meeting by a 2-0 score. They were favored by greater than -200 for that one. I'm happy to lay the much shorter price this evening. |
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12-06-17 | Flyers v. Oilers -115 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
I'm playing on EDMONTON (10* PERS FAV). The Flyers snapped their losing streak last time out. However, that was their first win in nearly a month. Asking them to do so twice in a row is asking a lot, particularly against a talented and revenge-minded Oiler team which is finally showing signs of coming around. The Oilers have scored 18 goals in their past four games, winning three of those. The home team won both meetings last season. Having already lost at Philly this season, expect the Oilers to get some payback tonight. |
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12-05-17 | Islanders v. Lightning -180 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 22 h 45 m | Show | |
6* BM BLOWOUT on the Tampa Bay Lightning. Here’s another game which I don’t think we need to “overthink.” I don’t mind laying chalk when the situation calls for it and here’s a perfect example of that. The Islanders are the highest scoring team in the league, but they come in off an exhausting (and very satisfying!) 5-4 shootout win at Florida just last night. And with upcoming games at Pittsburgh on Thursday and then in New York against the Rangers on Saturday, it’s not too difficult to imagine the visitors already looking ahead to those tough contests. The Lightning on the other hand have had two whole nights off to prepare for this one after most recently handling the Sharks 5-2 in their latest action. Note that this is a “revenge” game as well for the Bolts after they fell 5-3 to the Isles back on November 18th. This line could in fact be a lot larger. Lay the price, Lightning roll. |