Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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02-13-20 | Flyers v. Panthers -121 | 6-2 | Loss | -121 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
I'm playing on FLORIDA. These teams met a few days ago, at Philadelphia. Playing on home ice, the Flyers won 4-1. Tonight's game is at Florida though. Playing on home ice and with "recent revenge," I now expect the Panthers to have the advantage. When these teams played here in November, the Panthers won 5-2. Going back further finds that Florida is 4-0 the last four times it hosted the Flyers, 7-1 the past eight meetings here. Look for the Panthers to improve to 50-33 the past 2+ seasons, when playhing a home game with an O/U line of six or greater. |
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02-11-20 | Blackhawks v. Oilers -120 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
I'm playing on EDMONTON. Both teams are going to want this one. The Hawks have dropped three straight while the Oilers have lost two of three. Playing at home, I expect Edmonton to have the advantage. The Hawks won when these teams met at Chicago. Edmonton is 18-13 (+6.9) when playing with revenge. As for the Hawks, they're just 15-24 (-8) the past 2+ seasons, after having lost their previous three or more games. While the Oilers have tomorrow off, the Hawks have a game at Vancouver. Knowing their next three are on the road, look for the revenge-minded Oilers to take care of business on home ice here. |
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02-11-20 | Red Wings v. Sabres -196 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BUFFALO. The Wings may have scored an upset against Boston last time out. However, that was at home and they were catching the Bruins playing the second of b2b games. Here, they're facing a motivated Buffalo team which is rested and playing on its own ice. I expect the Sabres to have a significant advantage. The fact that the Wings won here less than a week ago will add some extra urgency to the Sabres this evening. Even with last week's win here, the Wings are still 7-19 against sub-500 teams. Look for the revenge-minded Sabres to take care of business tonight. |
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02-10-20 | Islanders v. Capitals -168 | 5-3 | Loss | -168 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON. The visiting team has had some success in this season's series but I expect that to change this evening. Note that the Isles have scored 63 goals on the road this season as compared to Washington's 96 at home. Also, note that the Isles are just 1-5 their last six against teams with a winning record. This is the Capitals' final home game before hitting the road for a bit. They just got embarrassed (7-2) by the Flyers last game and are just 1-2 through the first three games here. They're going to be highly motivated to bounce back and close out the homestand with a victory. Given the fact that they're 15-3 (+10.4) after allowing four or more goals in their previous game, I like their chances of doing so. Washington rolls. |
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02-09-20 | Ducks v. Sabres -123 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -123 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
I'm playing on BUFFALO. The Ducks beat the Sabres back in the fall. Playing on home ice, I expect the Sabres to have the advantage in this afternoon's rematch. Note that the Sabres won 3-0 the last meeting here. The Ducks are 10-20 on the road, giving up 28 more goals than they've scored. Off a 5-4 loss, note that the Ducks are 3-10 after scoring four or more goals. Off a win at MSG and with the Red Wings on deck, the Sabres know this is a stretch where they can build some points. Look for them to do so today. |
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02-08-20 | Senators v. Jets -174 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 51 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG.The Jets went through a tough stretch recently, losing five straight and seven of eight. However, they've since responded by winning two of their last three. Having turned the corner, the last thing they want to do is stumble against the struggling Senators. Rather, this is an opportunity for them to build some momentum. Note that Ottawa has been outscored by a 97-61 mark on the road this season. The Jets also haven't forgotten that the Sens upset them here last February. With Ottawa just 26-56 after a loss by two or more goals, its time for the Jets to "make things right." Winnipeg rolls. |
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02-07-20 | Wild v. Stars -180 | 3-2 | Loss | -180 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
I'm playing on DALLAS. Venue and schedule in their favor, I expect the Stars to take care of the former "North Stars" tonight. These teams have met three times. The first was here at Dallas, the Stars won 6-3. The next two were both at Minnesota. The Wild won the first 3-2 and the most recent (1/18) by a dominating 7-0 margin. Needless to say, Dallas hasn't forgotten that embarrassment. Yes, I won with the Wild last night. However, that was at home and they're just 12-24 (-13.4) their last 36, when playing the second of b2b games. During that span, the Wild are also an ugly 9-21 (-15.1) after playing their previous three at home. The Stars are 11-2 (+8.9) when playing with two day's rest. This won't end well for the Wild. |
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02-06-20 | Sharks v. Oilers -167 | 6-3 | Loss | -167 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
I'm playing on EDMONTON. The Sharks are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off a 3-0 loss, the Oilers are going to be in an angry mood. Note that they're 11-4 (+8.2) when off a loss by two or more goals. The Oilers are also a respectable 11-7 here at home, when the O/U line was six or more. Thats a whole lot better than the Sharks' 6-14 (-7.3) mark when playing a road game with an O/U line of six or more. These teams have split a pair of meetings so far, but both those were at SJ. Catching the Sharks "out of their tank," expect the Oilers to take care of business on home ice. |
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02-06-20 | Canucks v. Wild -120 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA. The Wild are off a much needed momentum-building win last time out. The Canucks, on the other hand, have dropped two straight. Playing the final leg of a road trip, they're already thinking about getting home to Vancouver. The Wild play with revenge from a loss here a few weeks ago. Note that Minnesota was laying -160 for that one. That result notwithstanding, the Wild have been better at home than the Canucks have been on the road. The Canucks are now 20-35 (-6) the past 55 times that they played a road game with an O/U line of six or more. I say the revenge-minded Wild finish on top. |
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02-05-20 | Maple Leafs -128 v. Rangers | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -128 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
I'm playing on TORONTO. With this game being played at MSG instead of in Toronto, we're able to get a superior Leafs team at a relatively reasonable price. Consider that the Leafs were laying -245 for the last meeting. That was on 12/28, at Toronto, and the Rangers won. So, the Leafs are going to have payback on their minds. In fact, the road team has won the last three in this series, including a 6-3 win by the Leafs in their last trip here. Both teams lost 5-3 on Monday. However, while the Rangers are 26-44 (-15.4) the past couple of seasons, off a loss by two or more goals, the Leafs are 37-26. Expect them to improve on those stats this evening. |
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02-04-20 | Blackhawks v. Wild -125 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA. The Wild have had a couple of days off to recover from a 6-1 beating at the hands of the Bruins. They get tomorrow off and they're going to be fully focused on bouncing back while also avenging an earlier loss at Chicago. The Hawks host the Bruins tomorrow, an Original-6 matchup they could easily get caught looking ahead to. While the Hawks have been respectable on the road, the Wild have been a little better here at home. Playing on home ice, expect the highly motivated Wild to have the edge. |
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02-04-20 | Canucks v. Bruins -178 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 29 h 30 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BOSTON. Home ice means a great deal to both of these teams. The Bruins are 17-2-9 at home but 14-8-3 on the road. The Canucks are 17-5-3 at home but 13-13-2 on the road. Knowing that they'll face these same Canucks, at Vancouver, in a couple of weeks, the Bruins will go all out to "hold serve" at home. The Bruins haven't forgotten that the Canucks swept them last season, nor have they forgotten that the Canucs dropped eight goals on them in the game here at Boston, a game the Bruins were laying -265 for. The Canucks did have Monday off but this is still their third road game in the past four days, the first two both going past regulation. The well-rested Bruins, who have won three straight, are a dominant 34-14 the past couple of seasons, when playing with two day's rest in between games. Expect them to take care of business tonight. |
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02-04-20 | Stars v. Islanders -122 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NYI. In addition to playing at home, the Isles have the schedule in their favor for this one. They had the last two days off while the Stars are off a win at MSG last night. Note that NY is 6-2 (+3.8) when playing with two day's rest. While the Isles have a +11 goal differential at home, the Stars sit at -5 on the road. Off b2b wins, the Stars could be a little complacent. The Isles, on the other hand, are going to be hungry, having lost four of their last five. Expect them to bounce back with an important two points. |
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02-02-20 | Canucks v. Hurricanes -160 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. While the Canucks are off a hard-fought OT win yesterday afternoon against the Islanders, the Canes had the day off. Having lost themsleves the previous day, the Canes are going to be angry and determined this afternoon. Added motivation stems from the fact that the Canucks beat Carolina 1-0 back in December, in Vancouver. That result notwithstanding, the Canes have done a great job against teams from the West as they are 14-6 in non-conference action. They're also 14-6 (+7.7) against teams with a winning record. Even with some recent road wins, the Canucks are still below 500 on the road while the Canes are still dominant here at Raleigh. They won, as -200 favorites, as a host in this series last season. Schedule and setup in their favor, I expect them to take care of business once again. |
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02-02-20 | Penguins v. Capitals -135 | 4-3 | Loss | -135 | 4 h 56 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WASHINGTON. Its always a good show when Crosby and Ovechkin go head-to-head. Playing at home, I expect the Caps to have the advantage in the latest battle between the two superstars. Washington is the top team in the leauge, in terms of points. However, the Caps know that the Pens have beaten them twice in a row, both last season. They're going to be extremely determined to avoid having it become three in a row. Indeed, this is the first of four meetings over the next seven weeks and the Caps are absolutely going to want to "hold serve" on home ice. Both teams are playing well. The Caps are off a 5-3 win, the Pens are off a 4-3 win. While the Pens are 12-11 (-2.6) after scoring four or more goals, the Caps are 19-8 (+6.5) when doing so. Washington rolls. |
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02-01-20 | Blackhawks v. Coyotes -152 | 3-2 | Loss | -152 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
I'm playing on ARIZONA. The Hawks are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. They haven't played since way back on 1/21. Rust could easily be a factor. They're 8-13 (-4.2) the past 21 times that they played with three or more day's rest. The Coyotes, on the other hand, have a couple of games under their belts since the break. That should help them here. The fact that they lost them (and the two before the break) figures to also help. They're going to be extremely motivated to avoid another loss. While I did successfully play against them in their last game, the Coyotes have handled the Hawks this season and I say they do so again this evening. |
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02-01-20 | Golden Knights v. Predators -123 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -123 | 13 h 59 m | Show |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE. While the trip was broken up by the All Star Break, the Knights have been on the road for a long time. Indeed, this is their sixth straight road game, of an 8-game trip. Even with yesterday's hard-fought win, the Knights are still 1-5 after playing their previous three on the road. The Preds, who had yesterday off, have won three of four including back-to-back wins. They wont have forgotten that the Knights beat them here in November. They're 28-18 (+5.6) the past 2+ seasons, when attempting to avenge a home loss. Schedule and venue in their favor, its payback time. |
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02-01-20 | Canucks v. Islanders -136 | 4-3 | Loss | -136 | 18 h 32 m | Show | |
I'm playing on the NY ISLANDERS. While the Canucks have been hot, I expect the Isles to have the advantage in this early start in the Eastern Time Zone. In addition to being a West Coast based team playing an early game in the East, the Canucks have a game at Raleigh tomorrow, while the Isles have tomorrow off. These teams will see each other again on 3/10, at Vancouver. The Canucks may have the advantage in that one, as they're currently 17-8 (17-5-3) at home. They're only 12-14 (12-13-1) on the road though. The Isles swept the Canucks last season and have won six of the past seven meetings, including each of the past three at home. They won those games by scores of 5-2, 5-2 and 4-2. Expect home ice to prove significant, the Isles continuing their series dominance for at least one more game. |
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01-31-20 | Golden Knights v. Hurricanes -147 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -147 | 29 h 31 m | Show |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. The Knights had been struggling before the break and they'll be hungry to get a win. The problem with that is that this is NOT the venue for a struggling team to get healthy. Knowing that they'll face these same Knights in Vegas, next week, the Canes absolutely understand that they need to "hold serve" on home ice here. After all, they're just 12-12 (12-10-2) away from Raleigh but a much better 17-9 (17-8-1) here on home ice. While both teams have had a long layoff, I like the fact that the Canes have tomorrow off, while the Knights play at Nashville. Home ice was the difference in last season's games between these teams. The Knights won 3-0 at Vegas. Then, almost exactly one year ago to today, the Canes answered with a 5-2 win. Look for home ice to again prove significant here. |
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01-29-20 | Lightning -186 v. Kings | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 30 h 10 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TAMPA. The fact that the Lightning already played (and lost) a game since the Break should serve them well here. The last thing they want to do is come out of the break and drop two in a row. The Kings have had a long layoff and may not quite be as sharp because of it. Of course, the Lightning are the much better team, regardless of the situation. They were laying -280 when they beat the Kings, at Tampa, two weeks ago. However, because this one is at LA, the price is far more reasonable. The Lightning have had no problem winning here though as they've beaten the Kings seven straight times overall, including each of their last three. They won those three games here by a combined score of 13-5. I say Tampa gets it done again. |
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01-19-20 | Jets +101 v. Blackhawks | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. Home ice hasn't meant much in this series, this season. The road team has won both meetings. The Jets won 3-2 here early in the season while the Hawks won 4-1 at Winnipeg, in December. Overall, however, the Jets have dominated the Hawks, regardless of venue the past couple of seasons. They're 6-1 the past seven meetings, 3-0 their last three here at Chicago. Off a game yesterday, their fourth straight win, the Hawks could be a little complacent. That absolutely shouldn't be the case for the Jets, as they've dropped three of four and got embarrassed by a 7-1 score in their last game. They're 28-15 (+12.1) the past couple of seasons, after scoring one goal or less in their previous game, a dominant 8-1 their last nine in that situation. Expect them to be the hungrier team, bouncing back with an important win. |
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01-19-20 | Blue Jackets v. Rangers -117 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -117 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
I'm playing on NY. Both teams are playing well right now. The Jackets have won four straight and six of seven. The Rangers aren't far off that pace. They've won back-to-back games and four or their past five. Schedule and venue in their favor, I expect it be the Rangers who "stay hot" this evening. While the Jackets played yesterday, the Rangers have had the past couple of days off. Columbus is 3-4 in b2b situations, 18-22 the past 2+ seasons. The Rangers, already 1-0 against Columbus, have thrived against divisional opponents. They're 10-3 (+10.6) Metropolitan teams. Even still, they're still looking up at Columbus in the standings. That makes this game very important for the Rangers and I expect them to make the most of it. |
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01-19-20 | Islanders v. Hurricanes -170 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. While the Isles are going to want this one, they're in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Carolina is 3-1 (+1.3) when off three or more consecutive losses. Though the Isles, who lost at Washington Sat. afternoon, have had some success, when playing the second of b2b games, I'd still prefer to have had a day's worth of rest in between games. Unlike its guest, Carolina didn't play yesterday. The Canes have thrived at home and they're 12-6 when facing a team with a winning record. Schedule and venue in their favor, expect them to bounce back with an important two points. |
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01-19-20 | Bruins v. Penguins -120 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 1 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PITTSBURGH. I won with the Bruins when these teams faced each other on Thursday. However, that was at Boston. With this afternoon's rematch being played at Pittsburgh, I expect the revenge-minded Penguins to have the advantage. The Bruins are 5-6 when playing a road game with an O/U line of six or more. The Pens, on the other hand, are 12-7 at home with an O/U line of six or more. Going back further finds Pitt. at 56-36 in that situation the past 2+ seasons while Boston is 23-28 (-10.8) in road games with an O/U line of six or greater. The Pens are 15-8 (+6) in the revenge role. I say, its payback time. |
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01-16-20 | Hurricanes -131 v. Blue Jackets | 2-3 | Loss | -131 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. The Canes haven't forgotten that the Jackets beat them twice back in October. They're coming in angry and I expect them to get some payback. While they lost 2-0 last time out, note that Carolina had blanked its previous two opponents, winning 3-0 and 2-0. The Canes are 10-4 (+5.2) when playing with two day's rest and they're 5-1 (+2.6) after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. Expect them to improve on those stats this evening. |
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01-16-20 | Kings v. Panthers -179 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
I'm playing on FLORIDA. We're getting the Panthers at a slightly discounted price due to the fact that they'll have their "backup" goalie in net. However, the reality is that Driedger has been better than Bobrovsky. While Bobrovsky has a huge salary and is a former 2-time Vezina Trophy winner, he's also got a 3.29 GAA and a .896 save percentage. Thats the fourth worst GAA in the league and the sixth worst save percentage amongst goalies that have faced a minimum of 500 shots. Driedger, meanwhile, is 5-2 with a 2.40 GAA and a .931 save percentage. Last time out, he made 43 saves against the Leafs. Coach Quenneville noted: "That was a surprise start for him. I thought he handled it real well." The Kings aren't nearly as dangerous as the Leafs and I expect Driedger to continue his strong play. Indeed, LA is just 7-19 on the road, getting outscored by a 90-61 margin. The Panthers, on the other hand, have outscored visiting teams by a 99-79 count. The last time that the Kings visited, Florida won 6-1. Including that result, which came last February, the Panthers are 23-9 (+8.5) when facing a sub-500 team in the second half of the season. Expect them to improve on those stats this evening. |
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01-16-20 | Penguins v. Bruins -135 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 23 h 17 m | Show |
I'm playing on BOSTON. Off back-to-back losses and knowing that they'll face these same Penguins, at Pittsburgh, in a few days, I expect a highly motivated performance from the Bruins. Last time out, the Bruins were blanked 3-0, at Columbus. Therefore, it's worth noting that they're a profitable 22-9 (+9.5) the past 2+ seasons, when off a game where they scored one goal or less. During that span, the Bruins are 35-20 when playing a home game with an O/U line of six or greater. The Pens, meanwhile, are a money-burning 40-45 (-14.9) when playing a road game with an O/U line of six or greater. Over the same period, Pittsburgh is 16-18 (-10) when off three or more consec. victories. The Bruins beat the Pens here earlier and I look for them to do so again on Thursday night. |
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01-15-20 | Blackhawks v. Canadiens -165 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -165 | 21 h 5 m | Show |
I'm playing on MONTREAL. The streaky Habs have lost eight games in a row twice this season. After the first 8-game skid, they responded by winning four of five and six of eight. The Canadiens have now snapped the second of those 8-game losing streaks and have won two in a row. Tonight, in addition to having the venue in their favor, the Habs also have the schedule working for them. While they had last night off, the Hawks are off an OT win at Ottawa. The Hawks continue to deal with a number of injuries and those absences figure to catch up with them here, in the back-to-back spot. Look for streaky Montreal to take advantage of the venue/schedule, improving to 24-11 its last 35, when off three consecutive games which finished below the total. |
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01-14-20 | Stars v. Avalanche -140 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -140 | 29 h 49 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLORADO. Off three straight losses, playing with "triple revenge," the Avs are going to be extremely motivated for this one. Last time out, they lost 4-3 against Pittsburgh, in OT. Thats noteworthy as they're a lucrative 10-4 (+5.9) after allowing four or more goals in their previous game. Last time that the Avs had lost three straight, they immediately snapped the skid with a 7-3 win over the Blues. This game has an O/U line of 5.5. The Stars are 29-38 (-7.6) the past 2+ seasons when playing a road game with an O/U line of 5.5. During the same span, the Avs are 20-12 (+4.1) when playing a home game with an O/U line of 5.5. Avs roll. |
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01-14-20 | Canucks v. Jets -120 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 28 h 54 m | Show |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. The Canucks are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Jets have lost two in a row, most recently falling 1-0 against Nashville. That was their first game back from a road trip, often a difficult spot, which had concluded with a 5-4 loss at Boston. Those are two tough teams, both of them better, in my opinion than the Canucks. Now, they've gotten the first game back home out of the way and they're going to be very hungry from the two losses. Note that the Jets are 7-1 after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. Going back further finds the Jets at a lucrative 27-15 (+11.1) in that situation. The last time that they were off b2b losses, the Jets bounced back with a win against Montreal. They've absolutely dominated the Canucks in recent seasons and we can expect that to continue here. |
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01-12-20 | Canucks v. Wild -160 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -160 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA. While the Wild are well-rested, the Canucks are playing their second game in two days and their third in the past four. Off b2b losses, the Wild are going to be hungry. They've taken b2b meetings and three of the last four (all last season) against Vancouver. The last meeting here, the Wild were laying -250 and they won 6-2. Needless to say, we're getting a far more reasonable price here. Schedule and venue in their favor, expect the Wild to bounce back and improve to 6-2 after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. |
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01-11-20 | Blue Jackets v. Golden Knights -208 | 3-0 | Loss | -208 | 15 h 49 m | Show | |
I'm playing on VEGAS. Going to Vegas on the weekend, at the end of a road trip, is less than ideal. Neither is catching the Knights off b2b losses. Indeed, Vegas is going to be hungry for a "W." That's particularly true given the fact that the Knights hit the road after this. They know they need to take care of business on home ice, before they go. The Knights are 32-23 when off a loss by two or more goals, 7-4 this season. The last time that the Knights were off b2b losses, they won 4-1 the start of a 4-game winning streak. Expect them to get back on track once again, improving to 61-39 their last 100 against sub-500 teams. |
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01-11-20 | Canucks v. Sabres -108 | 6-3 | Loss | -108 | 23 h 47 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BUFFALO. After seven straight victories, the Canucks have now dropped two in a row. I successfully played against them last game and I believe this will be another excellent spot to do so. The Sabres have real trouble on the road. They're now 6-13-4 away from Buffalo. So, its no surprise that they lost at Vancouver earlier. They're an entirely different team here at home though. In fact, they've got a 13-5-3 record here. Like the Sabres, the Canucks are much better in their own building. They're 14-5-3 in Vancouver but 9-12-1 on the road. The Sabres also lost at Vancouver last season but they won when they hosted the Canucks. Expect home ice to prove the difference, once again. |
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01-10-20 | Penguins v. Avalanche -151 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -151 | 25 h 20 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLORADO. In addition to playing at home, the Avs are the healthier team. Off b2b losses and playing with revenge from an earlier loss at Pittsburgh, I also expect them to be the hungrier team. Even factoring in the loss at Pittsburgh, the Avs are a healthy 11-6 against teams from the East. They're also a profitable 10-3 (+7.6) after giving up four or more goals in their previous game. While they've lost their last two at Pittsburgh, the Avs have beaten the Pens twice in a row, here at Colorado. They won those games by scores of 6-3 and 4-2. Last time they were on home ice, the Avs beat the Blues by a 7-3 score. Expect them to bounce back with another win on Friday. |
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01-10-20 | Coyotes v. Hurricanes -186 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. The Canes have both the schedule and venue working in their favor here. The Coyotes got cooled down at Tampa yesterday and are now playing their second game in two days. The Canes, on the other hand, play with two day's rest. They're 9-4 (+4.2) in that situation this season. Carolina has also taken care of business against teams from the West, going 11-4 (+6.3) in non-conference action. Additionally, we find that the Canes are 12-5 (+3.8) after having scored four or more goals. The Coyotes have played the second of b2b games twice since just before Christmas and they lost both times. Canes roll. |
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01-09-20 | Jets v. Bruins -190 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BOSTON. This is a tough spot for the Jets. Last night, they scored an emotional upset 'revenge' victory at Toronto. Now, in addition to playing the second of b2b games, they'll be playing their third road game in the past four days. They'll face a rested Boston team which had yesterday off and which will only be playing its fourth game in 2020. The Bruins got on track in a big way Tuesdsay, winning 6-2 at Nashville. Still looking for their first home win in 2020, the Bruins are going to be extremely hungry. Over the past 2+ seasons, they're a lucrative 79-49 in the second half of the season. During that span, they're also 49-33 in non-conf games and 56-37, after having scored four or more goals in their previous game. Schedule and venue in their favor, expect them to improve on those stats this evening. |
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01-09-20 | Oilers v. Canadiens -125 | 4-2 | Loss | -125 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MONTREAL. The Canadiens are going to be extremely hungry tonight. Not only did the Oilers beat them just before Christmas, at Edmonton, but the Habs have now dropped seven straight. They desperately need to stop the bleeding. The Canadiens also lost at Edmonton last season but they bounced back and beat the Oilers in the rematch, here at Montreal. Expect them to do so again, moving to 10-6 when facing a team from the Western Conference. |
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01-09-20 | Canucks v. Panthers -135 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 28 h 43 m | Show |
I'm playing on FLORIDA. After seven straight wins, the Canucks were brought back down to earth in a big way on Tuesday. They were blown out by a 9-2 score, at Tampa. Speaking of "blowouts," the Panthers haven't forgotten that the Canucks hammered them by a 7-2 score, at Vancouver, earlier in the season. Nor, have they have forgotten that the Canucks swept them last season, including a 3-2 game here when the Panthers were -200 favorites. Tonight, we can expect the Panthers to exact some revenge. Note that the Panthers were playing the second of b2b games when they lost at Vancouver earlier. Thats not the case here though. Plus, the Panthers get the next two days off. Needless to say, the Canucks will have their full attention. While Florida did lose last time out, it was the first game back home, after a 5-game road trip. That "first game back" can often be tough. They've gotten that out of the way now though. While the Canucks are 9-11-1 on the road, the Panthers are 13-8-2 at home. The Canucks average 3.0 goals per game; the Panthers average 3.4. It all adds up to a victory for the home team. |
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01-07-20 | Flames -125 v. Blackhawks | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 16 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CALGARY. The Flames are going to have payback on their minds; the Hawks just upset them at Calgary, on New Year's Eve. Since that New Year's Eve loss, Calgary has bounced back by beating Minnesota and NYR by scores of 4-3 and 5-4. Note that Flames are 43-32 the past 2+ seasons, after scoring four or more goals, in their previous game. During that span, they're also a profitable 40-29 (+6.3) after allowing four or more goals. The Hawks rallied for a 4-2 win over the Wings last time out but they're just 20-30 the past 50 times that they were off a win by two or more goals. The Flames won here on this exact day (1/7) in 2019. Expect history to repeat itself this evening. |
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01-06-20 | Blue Jackets v. Kings -106 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -106 | 30 h 41 m | Show |
I'm playing on LA. While I successfully played against the Kings in their last game, I believe the Jackets will prove to a much better matchup for them than the Predators were. While the Kings are a respectable 11-9 (11-8-1) at home, Columbus is an ugly 7-12 (7-6-6) on the road. Last season, the Jackets won 4-1 when the teams met at Columbus. However, the Kings won by an identical 4-1 score in the game here at LA. A couple of weeks ago, the Jackets beat the Kings at Columbus, again. With tonight's rematch at LA and with the Jackets an ugly 4-11 (-8.8) against Western Conf. teams, its payback time. |
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01-04-20 | Predators -125 v. Kings | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 30 h 49 m | Show |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE. Off three straight losses and looking to avenge an earlier defeat at the hands of these same Kings, the Predators are going to be an extremely motivated team. I expect them to snap their skid with a much needed victory. Off since New Year's Eve, the Kings could have a little rust here. Either way, I believe they're a less talented team than Nashville. Indeed, the Preds know that they've underachieved and they know they absolutely need to turn things around, now. Prior to the October loss, the Preds had beaten the Kings six straight times. Expect them to resume that series dominance here. |
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01-02-20 | Blues v. Avalanche -130 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 15 h 12 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLORADO. The Avs are going to be extremely hungry for this one. Not only have they dropped three straight games but they will play with double revenge from a pair of earlier losses to the Blues. Plus, they know they hit the road after this. That makes taking care of business here, tonight, more essential than ever. After giving up seven goals last time out, we can expect a much better defensive effort tonight. Note that Colorado is 9-3 the past 12 times it gave up four or more goals in its previous game. Both earlier meetings were at St. Louis. Now, playing at Colorado, expect the revenge-minded Avs to get some payback. |
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01-02-20 | Rangers v. Flames -177 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CALGARY. I successfully played against the Rangers on New Year's Eve and I'm going against them again tonight. While the price may initially look a little steep, consider that the Flames were -305 the last time they hosted NY. (Calgary won 5-1.) The Flames are going to be extremely hungry. This is the third game of a 3-game homestand and they already dropped the first two games. They absolutely can't affort to go winless on the homestand. The Flames, who swept the Rangers last season, have a 15-7 record in January the past couple of seasons. Expect them to ring in the new year with a "W." |
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01-02-20 | Panthers -131 v. Senators | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 12 m | Show | |
I'm playing on FLORIDA. If this game was at Florida, the price would be much higher. The Panthers were laying -205 when they hosted the Sens a few weeks ago. (Florida won 6-1.) However, because they're playing at Ottawa, we can get the Panthers at a far more reasonable price. The Panthers have won seven of their last 11 visits here though, including each of the past two. The talent gap between the teams is arguably as big, or bigger, than ever, too. While the Sens are 5-12 against teams with a winning record, the Panthers are 10-5 against teams with a losing record. The Panthers already dropped the first leg of this 4-game trip and the next two games are more difficult than this one. That makes taking care of business here essential. Expect them to do exactly that. |
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12-31-19 | Rangers v. Oilers -136 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
I'm playing on EDMONTON. Having dropped back-to-back games and four of their past five, the Oilers are going to be hungry tonight. Thats particularly true given the fact that they start a long road trip after this game. They know that they absolutely need to take care of business here at home. Facing the Rangers usually brings out their best, too. This is a team which they've beaten three straight times. While the Rangers are 6-7 against teams from the West, the Oilers are 10-6 against teams from the East. Expect them to close out the year with a much-needed win. |
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12-28-19 | Canadiens v. Lightning -152 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 26 h 6 m | Show |
I'm playing on TAMPA. Knowing that they'll face these same Habs, at Montreal, on 1/2, I expect the Lightning to be all business here. The Lightning are 6-1 the last seven meetings with Montreal and that includes a 3-0 mark for the games here at Tampa. Note that they were laying -220, -260, and -255 for those three games and that we're getting them for a far more reasonable price here. In fact, since this very day two years ago, the Bolts are 4-0 in four home meetings vs. Montreal. Expect them to continue their series success for at least another day. |
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12-27-19 | Penguins v. Predators -125 | 5-2 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 58 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE. Knowing that they will be facing these same Penguins tomorrow, at Pittsburgh, I expect the Predators to be extremely motivated to "hold serve" on home ice this evening. Though interrupted by Christmas, the Pens are at the end of a 4-game road Western Conference road trip. While they've taken two of the first three, they're still 7-9 on the road, not nearly as strong as when playing at home. The Preds have been playing some of their best hockey. They're 2-0 their last two and 4-1 their last five. With Crosby still out for the Pens, look for home ice to prove the difference here. |
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12-23-19 | Capitals v. Bruins -123 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 27 h 42 m | Show |
I'm playing on BOSTON. While I certainly respect the league-leading Capitals, I expect the Bruins to be the hungrier team in this one. Boston desperately needs a win before Christmas. Stung by OT and shootout losses, this is a team thats given them trouble in recent years and which beat them less than two weeks ago. The Bruins did beat them (1-0) last February though. So, they know it can be done. The Caps have already had a great start to the season, no matter what happens today. Off a win against Tampa and thinking about getting home for Christmas, I feel they may be a little complacent here. At least, more so than their hosts. Many won't give them much of a chance here, particularly with Chara sidelined, but I say the revenge-minded Bruins give the home fans an early Christmas gift here. |
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12-21-19 | Predators v. Bruins -160 | 4-3 | Loss | -160 | 24 h 55 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BOSTON. Home ice has been very significant between these teams in recent seasons and I expect that to be the case again Saturday. Last season, the Preds won 1-0 at Nashville but the Bruins won 5-2 here in Boston. That was almost exactly one year ago (12/22) to the day. The previous season, the Preds won 5-3 at Nashville but the Bruins won 4-3 at Boston. The year before? The Preds won 2-1 at Nashville but the Bruins won 4-1 here at Boston. You get the idea. The Preds are playing the final leg of a road trip and may well already be thinking of getting home for last minute shopping and preparations for Christmas. They're already 0-3 (-4.9) after playing their previous three on the road. Look for history to repeat itself as a desperate Boston team again "holds serve" at home. |
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12-20-19 | Stars v. Panthers -120 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 23 h 54 m | Show |
I'm playing on FLORIDA. I won with the Panthers in their last game, a 6-1 breakout win. That snapped a 3-game slide. With a pair of tough road games on deck, they're going to really follow it up with another win here. Schedule and venue in their favor, I expect them to do exactly that. Indeed, this one sets up very nicely for the home team. While the Panthers had yesterday off, the Stars are off a come-from-behind upset win at Tampa. Adding to tonight's potential fatigue factor, the Stars had to play OT. In addition to the physical part of, off that big win, they could easily have a bit of an emotional letdown tonight. Expect the fresher, hungrier Panthers to take care of business. |
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12-19-19 | Canadiens v. Flames -130 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -130 | 26 h 9 m | Show |
I'm playing on CALGARY. The Canadiens have had success here at Calgary the past couple of seasons. However, I expect them to stumble tonight. Off back-to-back home losses, the Flames are going to be an angry team tonight. They're still 10-7-2 at home, compared to 8-11-2 on the road. Knowing that their next three will be on the road and also knowing that they'll be facing these same Canadiens, at Montreal, in a few weeks, the Flames know that they need to take care of business on home ice here. I believe that they'll do just that. Prior to the skid, the Flames had been on fire. Look for them to bounce back with a huge effort en route to earning an important two points. |
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12-19-19 | Islanders v. Bruins -170 | 3-2 | Loss | -170 | 24 h 13 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BOSTON. The Isles are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Bruins are going to be in an angry mood and this is a team they always have their way with. Over the last seven meetings, the Bruins are 7-0 against the Isles. They've dominated, too. In fact, in those seven games, the Isles scored just seven combined goals. The Bruins, on the other hand, scored 25. While the Isles have had a great start, I don't feel they're quite ready to compete with the top teams. They lost 8-3 to Nashville last time out and that should be a sign of things to come. Expect the motivated Bruins to hand them another loss here. |
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12-17-19 | Ducks v. Flyers -143 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 24 h 34 m | Show |
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. While I won with the Ducks in their last game, I expect them to stumble against what is going to be a highly motivated Flyer team. Losers of three straight, the Flyers know that they need to right the ship. They also know that they'll face these same Ducks, at Anaheim, in less than two weeks. Thats significant as both teams are much better on home ice. The Flyers are 10-2-4 at home but 7-9-1 on the road. The Ducks are 9-7-2 at home but 5-8-2 on the road. The Flyers were laying -245 the last time that they hosted the Ducks. They won 6-2. Tonight's price is obviously far more reasonable and I feel thats providing us with excellent value. Flyers roll. |
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12-16-19 | Senators v. Panthers -185 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 44 m | Show | |
I'm playing on FLORIDA. This line fell a bit from its opener. I feel that it should have gone the other way. Indeed, the Sens are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Panthers are going to be in an angry mood, off three straight losses. The last time that they'd dropped three straight, they responded with a 3-0 shutout win over Nasvhille. The Sens won last time out. However, they're still 5-14 on the road and they're an awful 21-47 (-18.3) the past 2+ seasons, when off a game where they scored four or more goals. Panthers roll. |
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12-16-19 | Predators -135 v. Rangers | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 25 h 21 m | Show |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE. I believe that this is going to prove to be a very difficult game for the Rangers. They're facing one of the top teams from the West. Also, they're going to be facing a very motivated Nashville team. Not only have the Predators lost back-to-back games but the Rangers also upest them, at Nashville, in early November. The last time that the Preds were off b2b losses, they exploded for six goals, in winning their next game. Making matters worse for the Rangers, this is their first game back home from a Western Conference road trip, which is often difficult. The fact that that they lost the final game in a shootout doesn't help matters. We're getting a lot more reasonable a price on the Preds because of the game being at MSG instead of Nashville. However, the Rangers have an identical record on the road as they do here at home. The Rangers also won at Nasvhille last season but the Preds won here. Expect the revenge-minded road team to take care of business once again. |
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12-15-19 | Canucks v. Golden Knights -178 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
I'm playing on VEGAS. The Knights have both the venue and the schedule in their favor. They had yesterday off while the Canucks are off a 4-2 loss at San Jose last night. Note that the Canucks are just 9-16 the past 25 times that they played the second of b2b games. The Knights are 56-30 (+13.3) in divisional play since coming into the league, 7-4 this season.They've beaten the Canucks three straight times; they were laying -275 for the last meeting here, a 3-0 Vegas win. The Knights know that they'll face these same Canucks, at Vancouver, in four days. That makes "holding serve" on home ice critical. Expect them to do exactly that. |
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12-14-19 | Rangers v. Ducks -139 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 22 h 47 m | Show |
I'm playing on ANAHEIM. This is an important game for the Ducks. They've been struggling and are off a loss. After this game, they go on a road trip, one of those games will be at MSG against these same Rangers. That makes taking care of business here, on home ice, critical. The Rangers are at the end of a road trip themselves and could already be thinking about getting home to get ready for the holidays. They're just 3-6 off a win by two or more goals. They're also a dismal 5-21 (-14.4) the past couple of seasons, when playing a road game with an O/U line of 5.5. Ducks roll. |
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12-12-19 | Rangers v. Sharks -151 | 6-3 | Loss | -151 | 16 h 5 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SAN JOSE. The Rangers are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. With an 0-5 record in December, the Sharks are going to be in an angry mood. Note that four of those five losses came on the road, each at tough venues. The other came against Washington, the team with the best record in the league. Tonight, the Sharks are on home ice and facing a far more beatable team. They know they need to take advantage and stop the bleeding. Expect the Sharks to do exactly that, the Rangers falling to 21-43 (-20.2) the past 2+ seasons, after a loss by two or more goals in their previous game. |
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12-12-19 | Islanders v. Panthers -127 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -127 | 29 h 12 m | Show |
I'm playing on FLORIDA. The Islanders won the first two games of the season series. Both were very close, one came in a shootout. Tonight, on home ice for the first of this season's meetings, the Panthers get some payback. While the Isles have been solid on the road, outscoring teams by a modest 36-35 margin, the Panthers have arguably been more dominant at home. They've outscored visiting teams by a 57-47 margin. Off a loss and with a tough opponent (Boston) on deck, the Panthers know they need this one. while the Isles are a bit banged up (Leddy, Ladd) Florida is relatively healthy. The Panthers have also been getting strong goaltending of late as Bobrovsky has an impressive .964 save percentage over his past three games, stopping 109 of 113 shots during that span. Expect a highly motivated effort as the Panthers bounce back and avenge the earlier losses. |
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12-10-19 | Blackhawks v. Golden Knights -183 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 15 h 36 m | Show | |
I'm playing on VEGAS. These teams have split a pair of meetings thus far. The Knights won the first while Chicago came back and won the most recent, here at Vegas. The Hawks, 5-8 on the road, are going to really miss Duncan Keith for this one though and the Knights haven't forgotten that the Hawks upset them here last game. They're 21-12 when attempting to avenge an earlier home loss. Off a 5-0 loss, its worth noting that the Knights are also a profitable 23-12 (+8.8) after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. Expect home ice to prove significant as the revenge-minded Knights bounce back with an important win. |
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12-09-19 | Islanders v. Lightning -166 | 5-1 | Loss | -166 | 28 h 20 m | Show | |
I'm playing on TAMPA. Playing at home, the Isles beat the Lightning to begin November. Tampa hasn't forgotten. Now, in their own building, look for the Lightning to exact some revenge. I successfully played against the Isles last time out, noting: "...this is a tough venue for visiting teams ...Meanwhile, the Isles have dropped four of their last five on the road, the lone win coming at Detroit ..." With the 3-1 loss, the Isles are now just 1-5 their last six on the road. The Lightning were firing on all cylinders last time out, winning 7-1. The offense has now scored progressively more goals its last few times out and thats the type of performance which typically gets them going. They're 76-36 (+17.8) the last 100+ after scoring four or more goals in their previous game. This has been Tampa's time; with the win over the Sharks, the Lightning are a dominant 26-4 in December the past 2+ seasons. Payback time. |
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12-07-19 | Islanders v. Stars -148 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
I'm playing on DALLAS. The Stars regained their confidence with a much needed win last time out and I expect them to carry the positive momentum into this evening's game. They don't want to revert back to losing and they haven't forgotten the Isles upset them here last season. This is a tough venue for visiting teams. With Thursday's win, the Stars are now 10-5 here. Meanwhile, the Isles have dropped four of their last five on the road, the lone win coming at Detroit. I believe that the price is fair and I look for the Stars to continue their strong play on home ice. |
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12-07-19 | Wild v. Hurricanes -160 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 12 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. The Wild have been hot but I expect the Canes to cool them off here. While the Wild are 7-12 on the road, the Canes are 9-5 at home. Carolina already won, when these teams met at Minnesota. Obviously, the Wild would like to avenge that loss. That's generally not much of a motivator for them though. In fact, they're just 16-30 (-17.3) the past 2+ seasons, when attempting to avenge an earlier home loss. In other words, if they can't beat teams at Minnesota, they typically can't beat them on the road, either. The Canes know they won't play here again for some time. Look for them to make the most of their time here, cooling off the Wild and earning an important two points. |
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12-07-19 | Senators v. Flyers -198 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 15 m | Show | |
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. The Flyers already lost once to the Sens this season. They're not going to let it happen again. At the end of a long road trip, the Sens will be happy to be going home after this. Note that their recent games were played in Pacific and Mountain time and now they're playing an early game in the east. While the Sens won last time out, they're 1-6 off a win by two or more goals, 11-27 in that situation the past couple of seasons. Knowing they have three tough road games following this one, the Flyers know they need to take care of business. They'll do exactly that. |
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12-06-19 | Kings v. Oilers -155 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 27 m | Show | |
I'm playing on EDMONTON. These teams have met twice so far this season. In both cases, the home team won. With the Kings just 2-11 on the road and getting outscored by a combined 54-26 margin, I expect home ice to again prove the difference this evening. Off a 5-2 loss to lowly Ottawa, their third defeat in four games, the Oilers are going to be very hungry. They're 6-2 after allowing four or more goals in their previous game and 7-2 when off a loss by two or more. Expect them to improve on those stats tonight. |
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12-06-19 | Blackhawks v. Devils -140 | 2-1 | Loss | -140 | 12 h 28 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NEW JERSEY. Off three straight losses, the Devils are going to be extremely hungry. Schedule and venue in their favor, I expect them to stop the bleeding. Though they lost their last trip to Chicago, the Devils have had recent success against the Hawks here at New Jersey. In fact, they've scored 12 goals in winning their last two against the Hawks here. While the Devils have had the past couple of days off, the Hawks check in off an upset win at Boston, last night. Thats noteworthy as they're 13-23 (-8.3) when playing the second of b2b games, the past 2+ seasons. |
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12-05-19 | Jets v. Stars -153 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
I'm playing on DALLAS. This is the second game of a home-and-home series. After dropping the game at Winnipeg, I expect the Stars to bounce back and return the favor this evening. Off four straight losses and playing with immedite revenge, the Stars are going to be extremely hungry. They're still a healthy 9-5 here at Dallas. Remember, prior to the skid, they'd won seven straight including a 5-3 home win against these same Jets. Including that result, the home team is already 3-0 in the season series. Over the years, the Stars a profitable 76-55 (+17.8) when off three or more consecutive losses. During that skid, they're an even more lucrative 232-149 (+53) after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. Expect home ice to again prove the difference. |
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12-05-19 | Avalanche v. Canadiens -110 | 3-2 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MONTREAL. The Canadiens finally stopped the bleedind last time out. They're going to be highly motivated to make it two in a row. Schedule and venue in their favor, I expect them to do exactly that. While Montreal had last night off, the Avs are off a big win at Toronto last night. Thats noteworthy as they're just 10-16 (-5.1) the past couple of seasons, when playing the second of b2b games. The home team has won seven straight in the series. Expect that home ice dominance to continue here. |
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12-05-19 | Rangers v. Blue Jackets -135 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -135 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS. Off b2b losses and with a road trip on deck, the Jackets are going to be a desperate team tonight. They know they need this one and I expect their very best effort. The Rangers came back down to earth with a 4-1 loss last time out. Thats noteworthy as they're a terrible 20-42 (-20.4) when off a loss by two or more goals, the past couple of seasons. During the same stretch, the Jackets were a far better 35-22 (+9) when off a loss by two or more. The Jackets have taken three straight in the series and they continue that dominance this evening. |
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12-03-19 | Islanders v. Canadiens -121 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 20 h 29 m | Show |
I'm playing on MONTREAL. While the Isles certainly come in as the hotter team, the Habs have both the venue and the schedule working for them. They're rested while the Isles are off a win against the Wings yesterday. The Isles may have an impressive record but this is a team that Canadiens know that they can beat. They're 4-1 the past five meetings including a 4-0 win the last time that the teams played here. Needless to say, they're going to be extremely motivated to snap their losing streak. The Canadiens have been here before, Price remembering a seven game winless skid in 2017: "Yeah, it does bring back memories. But I think some of the guys that were in this room back then learned from that and know that nobody's going to feel sorry for us or hand us anything. So we need to go back out there and earn it." Look for them to do exactly that tonight, outworking their guests en route to a badly needed victory. |
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12-02-19 | Kings v. Ducks -145 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
I'm playing on ANAHEIM. The Ducks had a terrible November and they're going to be highly motivated to start December on a different note. They know their next game is against the Capitals, followed by two on the road. That makes taking care of business tonight absolutely necessary. With a 2-10 road record, the Kings are the perfect guests. They've been outscored 50-24 when playing away from their own rink. The Ducks are well-rested and they don't play for a few days after this. Their full attention is on winning this game. Expect them to dig deep and get it done. |
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11-30-19 | Blue Jackets v. Islanders -150 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NEW YORK. Tough spot for the Jackets. They're off a big win against Pittsburgh last night and now must travel to face a rested and motivated Islander team. Off three straight losses and knowing their next two are on the road, the Isles are going to be very hungry. They know they need to stop the bleeding. Recent slide notwithstanding, the Isles are having a great season. They're 10-3 at home, compared to the Jackets' 3-7 mark on the road. Since a 3-2 loss against these same Islanders about six weeks ago, the Jackets are 0-2 when playing the second of b2b games. Isles take advantage, again. |
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11-30-19 | Flyers v. Canadiens -140 | 4-3 | Loss | -140 | 17 h 38 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MONTREAL. Enough is enough. The Habs have been in a horrific slide but they've got both the schedule and the venue working in their favor here. While Montreal had yesterday off, the Flyers are off an afternoon win against the Wings. Sure, that was an easy victory but they still had to play and travel and are still playing their second game in two days. The fact that the Flyers won big may also make them a little complacent here. Last time they played the second of b2b games, the Flyers lost against the Isles. While they lost their last several visits to Philadelphia, the Canadiens won 5-1 the last time they hosted the Flyers. Expect them to play with some desperation here, en route to a much needed victory. |
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11-30-19 | Rangers v. Devils -140 | 4-0 | Loss | -140 | 4 h 28 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NJ. Rangers are off a hard fought loss at Boston yesterday afternoon while the Devils had the day off. While the Rangers would surely love to avenge an earlier loss, they're an awful 38-70 (-24.7) in the revenge role, in recent seasons. So, its not exactly a motivator for them. Schedule and venue in their favor, the Devils take care of business here. |
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11-29-19 | Coyotes v. Golden Knights -155 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
I'm playing on VEGAS. The Knights are going to be extremely hungry in this one. They got back on track last time out with an exciting comeback win at Nashville, which snapped a 3-game skid. They're going to be anxious to avoid following it up with a loss. Additional motivation comes from the fact that the Coyotes have beaten them in three straight meetings, including one earlier this season. The win over the Preds was the type of victory that a team can really build positive momentum from. Expect Vegas to do just that, exacting some revenge against the pesky Coyotes while they're at it. |
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11-28-19 | Devils v. Canadiens -167 | 6-4 | Loss | -167 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MONTREAL. Losers of five straight and off an embarrassing loss against Boston, the Canadiens are going to be a desperate team. Note that the first of those five losses came against these same Devils. Indeed, this will be a highly motivated Montreal team. The Devils, 21-37 in road games with an O/U line of six or more the past 2+ seasons, are not a strong team. They've been outscored by a 35-18 margin on the road, this season. The Habs are 48-38 against sub-500 teams, the past 2+ seasons. Expect them to play with a sense of urgency from the opening whistle, as they improve on those stats, this evening. |
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11-27-19 | Oilers v. Avalanche -130 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 27 h 57 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLORADO. The Oilers won 6-2 when these teams met at Edmonton a couple of weeks ago. Playing on home ice, I expect the Avs to return the favor. Note that the last meeting here resulted in a 6-2 win for Colorado. The Avs are going to be extremely motivated for this one and not just because of the revenge factor. They just had won three of five on a road trip before playing two of home. They already dropped the first of those games (5-3 against Toronto) and absolutely don't want to squander the solid work they did on the road by going 0-2 at home. Note that they're already 5-2 after allowing four or more goals. Payback time. |
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11-25-19 | Senators v. Blue Jackets -154 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 29 h 31 m | Show |
I'm playing on COLUMBUS. These teams will meet again at Ottawa in a couple of weeks. Armed with that knowledge, the Jackets know that they better take care of business here. Thats because both of these teams are much better on home ice; both have struggled on the road. The Sens are 7-4 at Ottawa but just 4-7 on the road. The Jackets have taken four straight meetings in the series overall. They outscored the Sens by a 17-6 margin in those four games. Expect them to continue that dominance on Monday. |
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11-21-19 | Canucks v. Predators -170 | 6-3 | Loss | -170 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE. Its payback time in Nashville. The Canucks recently beat the Predators, at Vancouver. However, that was their only win in the last eight games. They'll be hungry to get another win tonight. Not as hungry as the Preds though. Not only are they playing with recent revenge and in front of their home fans, but they're desperate to snap a 5-game skid. They're 47-33 in the revenge role the past couple of seasons. Going back further shows this has been a profitable role for them over the years. The Preds won the last two meetings with the Canucks here. They were laying -235 and -250. By comparison, tonight's price is a bargain. |
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11-20-19 | Senators v. Canadiens -200 | 2-1 | Loss | -200 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
I'm playing on MONTREAL. Playing at home and off a loss last night, with Ottawa off a rare road win last night, I expect Montreal to be the more motivated team tonight. The Canadiens are 48-36 (+7) against losing teams the past couple of seasons. During the same span, the Sens are 33-59 (-11.2) against winning teams. The Habs have won four of five, including three straight in the series. With the Sens just 10-27 their last 37, when playing the second of b2b games, expect another win for Montreal. |
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11-19-19 | Jets v. Predators -175 | 2-1 | Loss | -175 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE. While I respect the Jets, I believe that they're in the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Preds are too talented to continue to lose. They also tend to elevate their game against top tier competition as they're 29-11 (+17.4) in 40 games against winning teams, in the first half of the season, the past two years. Playing on home ice, desperate for a victory, I expect them to elevate their level of play and look for them to stop the bleeding. |
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11-19-19 | Senators v. Red Wings -125 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -125 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
I'm playing on DETROIT. In a battle of bad teams, I expect home ice to prove the difference. I actually said the same thing, essentially, when these teams met at Ottawa less than a month ago, as I successfully backed the Sens in that one. Here's an excerpt from that writeup: "The Senators could badly use a victory. Here, they've got a team which they can match up well against along with the venue and schedule in their favor. While the Sens come in rested, the Wings hosted Vancouver last night. The Wings lost 2-1 less than a week ago, when playing the second of b2b games ... Opportunities like this one don't come around that often for the Sens. Look for them to make the most of it." Tonight, however, the Wings are rested, at home and playing with revenge. They beat the Sens the last meeting here at Detroit and I expect them to finish on top once again. |
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11-16-19 | Blackhawks v. Predators -183 | 7-2 | Loss | -183 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NASHVILLE. The Hawks are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. Having lost three straight, the Preds are going to be an angry. This is one of the top teams in the league; they're 5-3 the past couple of seasons, off three straight losses. It doesn't happen often. In additon to being highly motivated, the Preds are well rested. They've beaten Chicago in all three 2019 meetings, including a 3-0 win here earlier this season. The Hawks are off b2b big wins; the second of those coming at Vegas. Thats a recipe for a letdown. Preds roll. |
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11-16-19 | Senators v. Sabres -184 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
I'm playing on BUFFALO. The Sens managed to knock off the Flyers last night. However, now they're playing their second game in two nights against a rested and determined Buffalo team. Losers of five straight, the Sabres simply cannot afford to let this opportunity pass them by. They played very well last time out but ran into an equally determined and talented Carolina team. Here, however, the Sabres will have a clear edge in talent. The Sens are 10-26 (-9.5) the past 2+ seasons, when playing the second of b2b games. They lost 4-1 the only time they were in that situation this season. The teams have split the past four meetings, the home team winning all four. The Sabres won the two games here at Buffalo by a combined score of 14-4. Schedule in their favor, they'll take care of business again today. |
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11-16-19 | Stars v. Oilers -119 | 5-4 | Loss | -119 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
I'm playing on EDMONTON. The Oilers just got six points out of McDavid last game. When he's in the zone, he's the best in the world. They're catching the Stars at the end of an already successful road trip. The Oilers, who have now won three of four, embark on a road trip of their own after this. They're going to be anxious to get the maximum points here before they go. Even off a couple of wins, the Stars are still below .500 on the road while the Oilers are 7-3 at home. Given the venue and situation, I believe the price is a bargain. |
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11-15-19 | Flyers -140 v. Senators | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -140 | 13 h 9 m | Show |
I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. I believe there's a serious talent difference between these teams. While the Sens are capable of winning here and there, they're far from consistent. Off a 4-2 win against the Devils last time out, note that they're an ugly 0-5 already this season, when off a win by two or more goals. Going back further finds Ottawa at a money-burning 19-44 (-18.1) after scoring four or more goals in its previous game. The Flyers were -275 last time they hosted the Sens and they'd be really expensive if this game was at Philadelphia. However, with it being played at Ottawa, we're able to get the superior team at a far more reasonable price. The Flyers won their last two visits here by scores of 7-4 and 5-3. Expect them to finish on top once again. |
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11-14-19 | Red Wings v. Kings -138 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show | |
I'm playing on LA. While the Wings come in on a roll, I expect home ice to prove the difference tonight. The Wings are 3-7 on the road, outscored by a whopping 41-22 margin. That includes a 1-7 mark when playing a road game with an O/U line of six or greater. By comparison, the Kings 4-4 home record looks pretty good. The Kings have taken each of the last two meetings here at LA (and three of four against the Wings overall) and they were laying -200 and -235 for those games. Needless to say, we're getting them at a far more reasonable price here. Expect the Kings to take this one, moving to 77-60 over the years, when playing a home game with an O/U line of six or greater. |
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11-14-19 | Stars v. Canucks -145 | 4-2 | Loss | -145 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
I'm playing on VANCOUVER. The Canucks got back on track with a much needed win in their last game, defeating a very good Nashville team. Tonight, they'll take on a hot Dallas team. With the schedule in their favor, I expect the Canucks to cool off the Stars. While Vancouver had yesterday off, Dallas checks in off a 3-1 win at Calgary. Note that even with last night's win, the Stars are still just 4-6 away from Dallas. The Canucks, meanwhile, are 5-3 here at Vancouver. The Canucks have taken four of the last five meetings. They've outscored teams by a 35-20 margin here. Expect them to take care of business once again. |
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11-14-19 | Coyotes v. Wild -115 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
I'm playing on MINNESOTA. Great start for the Coyotes. Not so much for the Wild. Those results have helped give us the Wild for a much better price than we'd normally have. Consider that the Wild were -210 the last time the teams met here. In fact, they were even -140 for the last meeting at Phoenix. Granted, these Coyotes are indeed improved. Off b2b road wins over the past two defending champs, however, I feel that they're going to be in letdown mode tonight. Part of the reason for Minnesota's slow start is that they've played a lot more games on the road. They're 3-10 in away games but 3-2 (3-1-1) here at Minnesota. Back home and hungry for a victory, I say the Wild get it done. |
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11-13-19 | Blackhawks v. Golden Knights -219 | 5-3 | Loss | -219 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
I'm playing on VEGAS. While the price may seem steep, I see this one going only one way. Indeed, the Blackhawks are in the wrong place, at the wrong time. The Knights are 9-4 in their franchise history, when off three straight losses. The Knights have absolutely owned the Hawks, too. In fact, they're a perfect 7-0 in seven meetings. Before a 2-1 win earlier this season, Vegas had scored four or more goals in each of the previous six meetings. While the Hawks would obviously love to avenge the earlier loss, they're an ugly 40-65 (-20.4) in the revenge role the past couple of seasons. Vegas rolls. |
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11-12-19 | Oilers v. Sharks -126 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SJ. Both teams have played well of late. The Oilers have won b2b games while the Sharks have won three straight. Playing at home and knowing they are looking up at the Oilers in the standings, I expect the Sharks to be the team which extends its winning streak. The Sharks are 49-31 in division games the past 2+ seasons. That includes four straight wins against these Oilers. While the Oilers are off a 6-2 win, they're just 16-22 (-8.9) the past couple of seasons, off a win by two or more goals. During that span, they're also an ugly 20-39 (-20.6) when off a divisional game overall. I say the Sharks continue their dominance in the series, for at least one more game. |
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11-09-19 | Hurricanes -185 v. Senators | 1-4 | Loss | -185 | 13 h 27 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CAROLINA. These teams will face each other again, at Ottawa, on Monday. While the Sens will be anxious to hold serve at home, I don't see it happening. The Canes are favored by this much on the road because they're the far superior team. When motivated, they win this matchup the large majority of the time. Note that the Canes will indeed be motivated as they've dropped three straight and are going to be desperate to stop the bleeding. The last (only) time that they lost three straight this season, they responded with a 4-0 win, which triggered a 3-game winning streak. The Canes have won their last three visits here, scoring 14 goals in the process. Expect them to finish on top, once again. |
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11-08-19 | Devils v. Oilers -162 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
I'm playing on EDMONTON. The Oilers had Thursday off while the Devils played at Calgary. This will mark the Devils' third road game in the past four days, the fourth leg of their 5-game road trip. They already lost to these same Oilers, when playing the second of b2b games on 10/10. After dropping the game against the Blues on Wednesday, their second straight loss, the Oilers are going to be in an angry mood. They've had two previous 2-game losing streaks so far this season and in each case, they've snapped the skid right there, winning 4-3 and 4-1. Schedule and venue in their favor, expect them to bounce back once again. |
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11-08-19 | Canucks v. Jets -125 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 29 h 8 m | Show |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. The Canucks are an improved team this year. That said, the Jets have had their number for years and this is a tough spot for the Canucks. While they played at Chicago Thursday, the Jets had Thursday off. The Canucks will now be playing in their third different city in the past four days. The Jets are 12-1 the last 13 meetings 8-0 the last eight. The Jets were laying -265, -212 and -189 the last three meetings here. (They won those by a combined score of 10-2!) Needless to say, the price is far more reasonable here. The Canucks may finally get a win against the Jets this season - but its not happening here tonight. Jets roll. |
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11-07-19 | Devils v. Flames -158 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 25 h 40 m | Show | |
I'm playing on CALGARY. The Devils are off b2b road wins. However, they're unlikely to make it three straight. The Flames are heating up themselves and they've owned the Devils in recent seasons. Last time these teams met, Calgary scored nine goals. Including that 9-4 victory, the Flames are 5-0 the last five meetings. While both teams had yesterday off, the Flames also have tomorrow off, while the Devils will be at Edmonton. In other words, their full attention will be on taking care of business tonight. I expect them to do exactly that. |
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11-06-19 | Blues v. Oilers -150 | 5-2 | Loss | -150 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
I'm playing on EDMONTON. The Blues are hot and they handled the Oilers last season. However, Edmonton is improved and is determined to prove it to the champs. In addition to having the venue in their favor, the Oilers also have the schedule working for them. While the Blues are off a win at Vancouver last night, the Oilers come in rested. This is a big game for Edmonton. Oiler veteran Oscar Klefbom had this to say: "We're off to a good start, everybody is feeling good, but these are the games, against some top contenders, that are really important for us. It will give us a lot of confidence to know that we can play some hockey with those really good teams. Against the good teams we've been playing some solid hockey. We stayed with Washington and came out with two points. This is going to be another big test for us and I'm really excited to play." I expect McDavid, Klefbom and co to be at their best as the Oilers dig deep and find a way to pick up the two points. |
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11-06-19 | Red Wings v. Rangers -149 | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
I'm playing on NY. The Wings are a bad team right now. They've only had one win in recent weeks and they've been outscored 17-4 in losing their last three. The Wings are now 17-43 their last 60 when off a loss by two or more goals. Off an embarrassing loss against lowly Ottawa and with much tougher games coming up on the schedule, the Rangers know that they can't afford to squander this opportunity. The loss against Ottawa notwithstanding, this has been the Rangers' time of year. They're now 19-9 in November the past 2+ seasons. Look for home ice to prove the difference in this "Original 6" contest. |
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11-05-19 | Blackhawks v. Sharks -155 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 14 h 49 m | Show | |
I'm playing on SJ. Off five straight losses, the Sharks are going to be absolutely desperate for a victory. The Hawks, a team which the Sharks have beaten five of the last six times they've met, should be the perfect opponent to help them get it. The Hawks would surely love to avenge an earlier loss at Chicago. However, if they couldn't beat the Sharks there, they're unlikely to be able to do so here. Indeed, while the Sharks have struggled at home, the Hawks have been even worse on the road. They've been outscored 17-9 away from Chicago in going 1-4. They're also an ugly 13-33 the past 46 times they played with revenge from a home loss. Sharks roll. |
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11-05-19 | Coyotes v. Flames -155 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
I'm playing on CALGARY. The Coyotes won at Edmonton last night. However, its not easy to win two games in Alberta, in two nights. Note that the Coyotes are just 23-42 the past 65 times that they played the second of b2b games, 8-16 (-4.2) the past 2+ seasons. Off a 4-2 loss at Washington to close their trip, the Flames will be in a foul mood. They're 35-25 (+6.4) the past 60 times that they'd allowed four or more goals in their previous game. The Flames won 5-2 and 7-1 the last two times that they hosted the Coyotes. Schedule in their favor, expect them to take care of business once again. |
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11-05-19 | Devils v. Jets -135 | 2-1 | Loss | -135 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
I'm playing on WINNIPEG. Given how much the Jets have dominated the Devils and how poorly the Devils have played away from NJ, I feel that this line could easily be higher. Including a win at NJ last month, the Jets are a perfect 7-0 the last seven in the series. Given the fact that the Jets are also 53-28 the past couple season, against sub-500 teams, I expect them to take care of business again this evening. The Devils have been outscored 17-7 on the road. Look for the Jets to move to 21-11 their last 32, when playing with two day's rest, continuing their dominance of the Devils along the way. |