I'm playing on NASHVILLE 10* PERS FAV. I respect the Ducks but I believe this will be a case of being at the wrong place, at the wrong time. Off back-to-back victories, the Predators have gotten on track and are on their first "winning streak" of the season. Each win came by a 3-1 score, making it five straight games that they've allowed three or fewer goals. They've earned at least a point in all five of those games, Rinne playing superbly in goal. Nashville coach Peter Laviolette noted this of his team "For me, there's been a lot of good signs the last couple of games" and this of his goalie: "Pekka in the last four or five games has been excellent." The Preds haven't forgotten that the Ducks handed them their worst loss of the season, a 6-1 beatdown at Anaheim on 10/26. In addition to the revenge factor from this season, these teams have a bit of a rivalry going, as they met in the playoffs last year. This is the Preds' only chance to face the Ducks on home ice and I look for them to make the most of it. 

I'm playing on COLORADO 10* GOW. The Avs badly need a victory and this should be an excellent spot to get one. While Colorado had the past two nights off, the Jets are off a hard-fought 3-2 win at Arizona last night. If you watched that game, you'd have seen that the Jets were sloppy out of the gate and were arguably fortunate to come away with the two points. A similar effort vs. a determined Colorado team figures to prove costly. Though they've won a couple times in that spot this season, its still worth noting that the Jets remain an ugly 14-32 the last 46 times that they played the second of b2b games. On the other hand, the Avs, who will be looking to avenge an earlier 1-0 loss  here, are still a profitable 31-21 (+16.1) the past 2+ seasons, off a loss by two or more goals. A look at the boxscore of that 10/16 game reveals that the Avs held a 37-21 edge in shots. With the schedule in their favor, its payback time tonight. 

I'm playing on DETROIT 5* BEATDOWN. Both teams snapped a losing streak in their last game. I expect the Wings to be the team which follows it up with another victory this evening. A fast start by the Canucks temporarily masked the fact that this team has some issues. The Wings are outscoring teams by an average score of 2.9 to 2.4 on home ice. On the other hand, the Canucks are being outscored by an ugly 3.6 to 2.1 margin on the road and 2.9 to 1.9 overall. The Wings are 37-24 against Western Conf. teams the past 2+ seasons. They're playing better hockey right now and I look for them to come away with the two points tonight. 

I'm playing on PITTSBURGH 8* PERS FAV. While the Pens are still fairly heavy favorites, I believe that this price could easily be considerably higher. The Pens are rolling right now and showing no signs of slowing down. Often, in recent seasons, they've dealt with injuries to Crosby and/or Malkin. However, when the two stars are both healthy, as they are now, this team is tough to beat. Crosby was held without a point last time out (first time all season!) Malkin stepped in and picked up the slack, scoring his fifth goal in the past six games. Its no coincidence that the Pens are 6-0-1 their past seven. They're also 6-0-1 at home on the season. On the other hand, the Wild have just two wins in six road games. The Wild haven't been playing much these days. They played one game on 11/1, a loss. Next, they didn't play until 11/5, another loss. Now, its 11/10 and they're finally playing their third game in November. Don't expect them to be helped by the extra rest though, as they're only 9-14 (-8.8) the past 2+ seasons, when playing with three or more day's off in between games, including a 1-0 shuout loss last time out. The Wild know all about Crosby and Malkin, as each has averaged better than a point per game against them for their careers. Look for the Pens keep on rolling for another day. 

I'm playing on COLORADO 8*. Both teams lost 5-1 their last time out. Both were on the road, both at a tough venue. Playing at home, I expect the Avs to be the team which bounces back tonight. One of the biggest differences between these teams the past couple of seasons has been their character when dealing with adversity, their ability to bounce back off a bad loss. The Coyotes have struggled in that department, the Avs have thrived. Over the past 2+ seasons, Arizona is 24-48 (-17.2) after allowing four or more goals, 26-44 (-7) when coming off a loss by two more goals and 21-33 (-5) after scoring one or less. During the same period, the Avs are 31-20 (+17.6) after a loss by two or more golas and 26-14 (+18.8) after scoring one or less. The Avs already beat the Coyotes at Phoenix. With the Coyotes already 1-6 on the road, getting outscored by an average of 4.6 to 2.7, and also 8-34 (-22) their last 42 when attempting to avenge an earlier home loss, I'm backing the Avs.

I'm playing on NASHVILLE 8*. Off back-to-back losses, I expect the Predators to be extremely hungry tonight. Their most recent loss was the first game back from a road trip, which can sometimes be a tough spot. They've got no excuses tonight though and I expect them to bounce back against an Ottawa team which they've handled here in recent seasons. The Preds are outscoring teams by a 2.7 to 2.0 margin at home while the Sens are getting outscored by a 2.5 to 2.0 margin on the road. While they've been winning, the Sens have scored two goals or less in five straight games and three or less in seven straight. It caught up with them last game, a 2-1 loss vs. Buffalo, and I expect more of the same tonight. 

I'm playing on PITTSBURGH 8*. Clearly, the Oilers are a much improved team. That said, I don't think that they're ready to win on the road against a well-rested Penguins team which is off a 5-0 win at SJ and which is also playing great hockey in its own building right now. The Pens are 5-1 in six games here, outscoring teams by a 3.3 to 2.3 margin. The Oilers are still just 26-58 (-20.2) their last 84 against teams with a winning record. During that stretch, they're also an ugly 16-41 (-15.4) when playing a road game with an O/U line of 5.5. Look for the Pens to keep rolling for another day, improving to 60-44 (+10.8) their last 100+ after shutting out their previous opponent. 

I'm playing on ANAHEIM 5* SMASH. The Ducks have absolutely dominated the Flames here over the years. With the schedule in their favor, there's little reason to think that won't continue here. The Flames are off a 5-0 loss at LA last night and playing their third road game in the past four days and fourth in November. The Ducks are 44-23 (+11.2) against divisional opponents the past 2+ seasons. Look for them to continue their domination of the Flames here, moving to 45-25 (+11.8) their last 70 off a game in which they scored four or more goals. 

I'm playing on NASHVILLE 8*. Both these teams have had to play a large number of road games to start the season. Neither has enjoyed it. The Predators are 1-6 (1-6-2) on the road. Likewise, for the the Canes, who are also 1-6 (1-6-3). The Preds are the team that gets to play on home ice tonight though and that figures to be significant. Nasvhille is 2-1 in games here, outscoring teams by an average score of 3.0 to 1.7. The Preds have dominated the Canes here for years, going 9-2 the last 11 meetings here. While the Canes are well-rested, that doesn't generally help them. They're only 5-11 (-6) the past 16 times that they played with three or more day's rest, a dismal 58-87 (-34.4) in that situation over the years. Preds win. 

I'm playing on TAMPA 8*. Catching them playing the fourth leg of a 6-game trip, the Devils beat the Lightning at New Jersey on 10/29. With tonight's rematch being played at Tampa, where the Lightning already beat the Devils a couple of weeks earlier, I expect the revenge-minded Lightning to return the favor. With an O/U line of just five, note that NJ, still winless on the road this season, is an awful 28-49 (-9.7) the past 2+ seasons, when playing a road game with an O/U line of less than 5.5. With TB at 37-15 (+20.6) during the same period, after allowing four or more goals, I'm going with the Lightning.

I'm playing on NEW YORK 8*. Both teams will be looking to get back on track here. Playing on home ice, I expect the Isles to have the edge. The home team won both meetings last season. The Oilers won 3-1 at Edmonton but the Isles hammered them by an 8-1 score in the game here on Long Island. Going back further finds the Isles at 10-2-1 the last 13 meetings here. The Oilers have been pretty stingy, for the most part. They gave up five goals last time though, which isn't a good sign for them. They're 25-48 the past couple of seasons, after allowing four or more goals. During that span, they're also 18-43 (-17.3) off a loss by two or more goals. The Isles are already off to a 3-1 start against teams from the West; they're now 36-24 (+8) their last 60 non-conference contests. Lastly, note that the Isles were laying -175 when they hosted the Oilers last season. This evening's line is considerably lower and I believe thats providing us with very fair value. 

I'm playing on ANAHEIM 5* BM BEATDOWN. The Ducks are obviously pretty expensive here. However, I believe that the price could easily be even higher. The Coyotes beat Nashville last night. This will be their third tough opponent in the first four days of November though, a difficult stretch indeed. The Coyotes have been fortunate to play their last three at home. Prior to that, they'd been on a 6-game road trip which saw them win only once. They're giving up an average of 4.5 goals per game on the road this season. Speaking of poor defense, note that Anaheim has scored 10 combined goals against the Coyotes the past two times that the teams faced each other. The Ducks beat them 5-2 the last meeting and 5-1 the last time that the teams faced each other here at Anaheim. The Coyotes are just 10-19 the past couple of seasons, when playing the second of b2b games. During that time, they're also an ugly 8-20 (-8.8) after having played their previous three at home and 18-44 (-17.1) when playing on the road with an O/U line of 5.5. The Ducks, 43-23 their L66 divisional games, are 54-31 (+4.4) against teams with a losing record. They're going to be hungry tonight and I expect them to take care of business. 

I'm playing on DETROIT 8* SMASH. Both teams will be hungry to snap their 3-game losing streaks. However, the situation favors the Wings. Winnipeg, never as good on the road, is off an OT loss against Washington last night. They really "left it all on the ice" in that one, as they rallied from a 3-0 deficit to get to OT. The fact that they were rewarded with a point may make the loss a little easier to take - but it won't help their tired legs tonight. Even with a win at Colorado last week, the Jets are still an ugly 13-32 the last 45 times that they played the second of b2b games. Last night's loss dropped the Jets to 31-39 (-11.5) their last 70 non-conf. games. On the other hand, Detroit is 37-22 (+11.4) against teams from the West. During that time, the Wings are also 10-6 (+2.7) off three or more consecutive losses and 32-22 (+7) after allowing four or more goals in their previous game. They beat the Jets here last season and I fully expect them do so again tonight. 

I'm playing on FLORIDA. The Panthers played well last game, outplaying the Bruins, but ran into a hot goalie. That'll happen sometimes. However, a similar effort should be enough to take care of New Jersey. The Panthers already beat the Devils here a few weeks ago, outshooting them 24-14 en route to a 2-1 win. That marked their third straight win against NJ, dating back to last season. Including that result, the Panthers are 3-2 at home, ouscoring teams by an average of 2.8 to 2.0. Meanwhile, the Devils are 0-3 on the road, getting outscored by an average of 2.3 to 1.3. The Devils are getting outshot by an average of 34.7 to 29 on the road. The Panthers are outshooting teams by an average of 34.4 to 25.8 here at Florida. With the Devils now 28-48 their last 76 road games with an O/U line of less than 5.5, I'm backing the Panthers.

I'm playing on TAMPA 8*. The Lightning snapped a 3-game skid in a big way last time out, earning a 6-1 win over the Islanders. I expect them to build positive momentum from that game and follow it up with another victory tonight. The Bruins are playing the final leg of a road trip here. Over the past couple of seasons, they're a mediocre 88-85 overall. However, if we look only at their record against winning teams, they're just 35-45, good for -15.3 net units vs. the moneyline. Already 4-1 against division opponents, the Lightning are now 52-31 (+8.2) against divisional opponents the past 2+ seasons. I like their chances of improving on those stats tonight.

I'm playing on the NEW YORK ISLANDERS 8*. Off a 6-1 loss in their last game, the Isles figure to be in a foul mood tonight. Note that they're 32-22 (+8) the past couple of seasons, after allowing four or more goals in their previous game. During that stretch, they're also 27-17 (+6.9) after a loss by two or more goals. While the Isles had last night off, the Flyers were busy battling the Red Wings. Even with a recent win at Carolina in that situation, the Flyers are still only 13-20 (-5.6) the past 2+ seasons, when playing the second of b2b games. During that stretch, the Flyers are also a dismal 9-37 (-25.8) when playing on the road when the O/U line was 5.5. With the schedule and venue in their favor, I'm back the Isles. 

I'm playing on FLORIDA. Both these teams won at Detroit in their last game. The Bruins did so on Saturday, the Panthers on Sunday. While Rask and co. have admittedly had some past success against the Panthers. However, I believe that the Panthers are playing a little better right now and I look for home ice to prove significant. Though both teams have four overall wins, the Panthers are outscoring teams by an average score of 2.8 to 2.6 while the Bruins are being outscored by an average of 2.9 to 2.2. Prior to their win at Detroit, the Bruins were on a 3-game slide which saw them get outscored by a combined 14-4 margin. The Panthers are 3-1 at home ice, the lone loss coming against a strong Washington team. I look for them to continue their strong play here for another night. 

I'm playing on CHICAGO. I played against the Kings last night. Off that hard-fought 1-0 loss at St. Louis, I'm going against them again here. Home ice has been significant in this series, the home team winning all three again last season. With the Kings a money-burning 18-21 (-14.7) the past couple of seasons, off a game where they scored one or less, I look for home ice to again prove the difference on Sunday. 

I'm playing on NEW YORK 8* PERS FAV.  Off back-to-back losses, the Isles are going to be hungry here. They're well-rested and catching the Leafs off an Original Six rivalry game last night. The Leafs are just 12-23 the last 35 times that they played the second of b2b games. During that stretch, they're also just 16-41 (-20.5) after scoring one goal or less in their previous game. The Isles, 31-22 their last 53 off a game where they allowed four or more goals, are 50-34 their last 84 against teams with a losing record and I look for them to take care of business here. 

I'm playing on MINNESOTA 8* BLOWOUT. Longtime hockey fans in Minnesota don't like Dallas. Many years ago, the old Minnesota North Stars moved to Dallas, leaving Minnesota without a team. They eventually got the Wild but some of them never forgot. Now, they've got a new reason to hate the Stars. That's because Dallas knocked them out of the playoffs last April. This should be a great time to get a small measure of revenge. Off back-to-back dominating (4-0 and 5-0) victories, the Wild are playing very well. They're catching the Stars off a 4-1 loss, their third in four games and dealing with a number of injuries on the forward line. Look for the revenge-minded Wild to continue their strong play for another night, improving to 13-6 ther last 19, when off a shutout victory. 

I'm playing on ST. LOUIS 8* ANNIHILATOR. The Blues are already 2-0 against the Kings in 2016, a pair of 2-1 victories back in January and February of last season. They're going to be extremely motivated to get back on track tonight, potentially a little hungrier than the Kings, who have won four straight. Like the Kings, the Blues, who are allowing 2.5 goals per game at home thus far, have long been stingy defensively. That's led to an O/U line of five (laying juice on the over) instead of 5.5. LA often doesn't fare well on the road against other defensive-minded teams though, as the Kings are only 32-44 (-21.1) the past 2+ seasons, when playing a road game with an O/U line of less than 5.5. That includes an 0-2 mark this season, losses at SJ and Minnesota. (Their other road game had a higher total and the Kings won that one.) Look for the Blues to bounce back. 

I'm playing on COLORADO. While the Avs are very well-rested, the Jets are playing the second of back-to-back games and also their third in four nights. While the Avs won their only home game, Winnipeg has yet to win on the road. The Avs have won three of their last four against the Jets here. Look for them to have the fresher legs tonight, moving to a lucrative 31-18 the last 49 times that they were off a loss by two or more goals. 

I'm playing on ST. LOUIS 8* PERSONAL FAVORITE. Having won five straight, the Wings come in as the hotter team. I expect the Blues, who should be a little extra hungry off a 4-1 loss to Calgary and after getting "read the riot act" by Coach Hitchcock, to cool them off tonight though. Even with their 4-2 victory over Carolina last time out, the Wings are still just 7-12 (-9.3) the last 19 times that they'd won their previous three (or more) in a row. During that stretch, they're also a mediocre 25-25 (-6.3) after scoring four or more goals in their previous game. Over that same period, the Blues are 29-20 (+4.8) after allowing four or more goals. While they've been winning the close ones so far this season, the Wings have still been a little sloppy in their own end - and they're still giving up 3.7 goals per game (while scoring only 2.3) when playing on the road. That figures to catch up with them a lot more in a road game agianst the Blues than it did in a home game against Carolina. The Wings have actually won four in a row here, the last two in OT. Enough is enough. Blues bounce back with a highly motivated effort and get some payback.

I'm playing on WASHINGTON. I won with the Oilers in the opener, noting that they were an exciting young team with some talent. I successfully backed them again six nights later, when they beat Carolina. So, I'm not entirely surprised by their fast (5-1) start to the season.

A look at the Oilers' schedule reveals that they've been fortunate to face a number of weak/mediocre teams. They've played six games, facing five different opponents. Three of those games came against teams that are currently in last place in their respective divisions. Five of the six games came against teams which are below .500. Arguably, their only "quality opponent" was St. Louis. Give them some credit for that win. However, keep in mind that they're still a dismal 24-56 (-20.2) their last 80 against teams with a winning record.

Now, the Oilers, who are just 1-4 the last five times they were off a shutout win, step up in class, as the Caps are right there among the best teams in the league. Having been involved in the "Heritage Classic" on the weekend, its possible the Oilers could be a little flat. Either way, they're in for a tough game. The Caps, who get the next couple of nights off, come in well-rested and off a 4-2 loss. That should make them particularly dangerous. They already bounced back from their only loss this season and they're an oustanding 20-7 (+11) the past couple of seasons, off a loss by two or more goals. 

The Caps won both meetings last season, a 1-0 win at Washington and a 7-4 victory here at Edmonton. That wasn't nearly as favorable a situation for them either, as they were playing their third game in the past four. 

After the game here last season, Edmonton coach Todd McLellan noted: "They’re a very talented team. Obviously, they took advantage of a team that was sloppy in a lot of areas and when you have the skill and the talent like that, your opposition isn't performing at even a close enough level they are going to eventually score and they didn't need many opportunities. They had more ... "

Oilers defenceman Eric Gryba added: "We weren’t ready to play and we made it pretty easy on them. When you're playing against the best players in the world and you give them easy nights they're going to look good and they're going to play good. It was far too easy a game for them ... "

While the Oilers are better this season, I don't think they're ready to beat the Caps. Not tonight, at least. 

I'm playing on SJ 8* PERSONAL FAVORITE. I won with the Ducks on Sunday. While I didn't love the fact that they were playing their first game back home, after an Eastern road trip, I felt that any potential negative effects from the trip would be negated by the energy in the buidling due to it being the home opener. I also liked that the Ducks were catching the Canucks in a difficult scheduling spot. Things set up differently on Tuesday. This time, the Ducks will be stepping up in class (SJ better than Vancouver) while doing so on the road. Those potential negative effects from the last week's trip could still rear their ugly head. Meanwhile, off b2b losses, the Sharks will be very hungry to get back in the win column. Look for the Sharks, who have taken three of the last four meetings here at SJ against the Ducks, to bounce back, improving to 31-19 the last 50 times they were off a loss by more than a goal and 28-14 the last 42 times that they played with two day's rest. 

I'm playing on DALLAS 8* SPECIAL. I've backed the Jets in both their victories this season. Both those Jet wins came at Winnipeg though. Both were against relatively weak and/or young teams, the Canes and the Leafs. In each case, the Jets needed a desperate rally/comeback to win. The Jets have lost every other game, including their lone one on the road. I successfully played against them in that one and I'm going against them here. Off back-to-back losses and after getting blanked 3-0 last time out, the Stars should be extra hungry here. The Stars, who are a superb 17-7 (+12.3) their last 24 after scoring one goal or less, know they need to take care of business tonight and "hold serve" at home, as they'll face these same Jets at Winnipeg on Thursday. They're 29-16 their last 45 after a loss by two or more goals. During that stretch, they're also 26-12 when playing with two day's rest. They were laying -200 the last time they hosted the Jets and I believe this line could also easily be higher. 

I'm playing on ST. LOUIS 6* BIG JUICE BEATDOWN. These teams just played in Calgary on 10/22, the Blues winning 6-4. While the Flames would obviously love to avenge that loss, the Blues have a major scheduling advantage. While St. Louis hasn't played since the game at Calgary, the Flames are off a rare road win last night, upsetting the Blackhawks. That means they'll be playing their third game in the past four here. It'll also be their 7th game in 11 days, which is a pretty tough stretch, when also factoring in considerable travel. The Flames are already 0-1 when playing the second of b2b games though and they'll be taking on a well-rested, well-coached and determined St. Louis team, one which has dominated them in recent seasons. The Blues are 17-6 their last 23 home games with an O/U line of 5.5. During that stretch, they're  25-11 (+10.2) when playing with two day's rest. Back-to-back losses, prior to the win at Calgary, should ensure there's no complacency. The Blues are now 6-1 against the Flames the past few seasons and that includes a 3-0 mark here at home. With the schedule in its favor, the superior team wins again. 

I'm playing on ANAHEIM 8* BLOWOUT SPECIAL. While the price is admittedly a little on the steep side, this game sets up very nicely for the Ducks. Thus far, the Canucks are over-achieving while the Ducks are under-achieving. Combine that with the fact that the Ducks are playing their home opener AND that they have the schedule significantly in their favor, and I expect the Ducks to be the "hungrier" team tonight. The Canucks are off to a great start. However, they lost in a shootout last night, a hard-fought affair at LA. This will be their third game in the past four nights and their sixth game in the past nine. That's a pretty grueling schedule right out of the gate and I expect it to catch up to them against a talented, well-rested and hungry opponent. The Ducks, 41-22 (+9.2) against divisional opponents the past couple of seasons, are also 23-10 (11.2) the last couple of seasons, after playing their previous three on the road. During that stretch, they were 35-17 (+7.2) at home, with an O/U line of less than 5.5. As for the steep price, keep in mind that the Ducks were laying -320 the last time they hosted the Canucks - and they didn't have the scheduling advantage they do tonight. Fans go home happy tonight. 

I'm playing on LA 8* PERSONAL FAVORITE. Starving for a winner, fans in Vancouver are getting pretty excited about the Canucks' 4-0 start. Local radio stations are already talking playoffs. Its far too early to be getting excited yet though. This team was still projected to finish at or near the league's basement with a projected O/U win total of only 33.5 games. Note that even with a win last time out, they're still just 2-7 (-7.1) the last nine times that they were off three or more consecutive victories. After dropping their first three games, the Kings got on track last time out. They'll bring some positive momentum into tonight's game and will be hungry for their first home win. Looking at the last two times that the Kings hosted the Canucks and we find that they were laying -275 and -210, respectively. (They won those games by a combined score of 7-2.) I don't think that much has changed and believe tonight's much more reasonable line is providing us with excellent value. 

I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA 8* ANNIHILATOR. Off three consecutive losses, the Flyers should be extremely hungry tonight. I believe they're catching Carolina at the right time. The Canes earned a much-needed victory last time out. However, they're still far from an elite team. Note that they're just 13-22 (-8.6) the last 35 times that they scored four or more goals in their previous game. Playing the fifth leg of a 6-game trip which took them all through Western Canada, they may be getting a little road-weary. Also, note that even with a victory last time out, the Canes are just 8-15 (-4.8) the last couple of seasons, after playing their previous three (or more) games on the road. The Flyers took three of four meetings from the Canes last season, including both here at Philadelphia. They've dominated them for longer than that too. I expect more of the same tonight. 

I'm playing on MINNESOTA 8* ANNIHILATOR. The Wild have dominated the Leafs over the years and they should have the edge again tonight. The Leafs are off a hard-fought and potentially deflating loss last night; they took a 4-1 lead into the third period only to give up the tying goal in the final minute and then to lose in OT. They're only 12-22 (-4.8) the past 2+ seasons, when playing the second of b2b games, and last night's figures to take more of a toll than some others probably did. While the price may initially seem a little steep, consider that the Wild were laying -235 the last time these teams faced each other - and that was at Toronto. They were -240 the last meeting here at Minnesota. The Wild won both those games, limiting the Leafs to a single goal in the two games combined. Knowing the hit the road for awhile after this, the Wild will be hungry to take care of business. They're already 2-0 here, scoring 10 goals in the process. They'll be licking their chops the prospect of facing a Toronto team which has allowed 10 goals in losing its two road games. With the Leafs now at 13-44 (-25) the past 2+ seasons, when playing a road game with an O/U line of 5.5, I'm laying the wood with the rested home team. 

I'm playing on WINNIPEG. The last time that the Jets hosted the Leafs they were laying -170. (They won 6-1.) Tonight's line is far more reasonable and I feel thats providing us with very fair value on what should be a determined home team. With their new rookie star having scored four goals in his first game and their team following it up with a win over Boston, Leaf fans are certainly feeling excited these days. Lets not forget that this team is still 13-43 (-24) the past 2+ seasons when playing a road game with an O/U line of 5.5. During that stretch, they were also just 5-10 (-3.9) when playing with three or more day's rest. The Jets are a respectable 34-31 (+7.3) the past couple of seasons, after allowing four or more goals in their previous game. I expect them to bounce back with their best effort, en route to an important two points. 

I'm playing on CALGARY 8*. Winless (0-2-1) through their first three games, the Flames figure to be extremely hungry tonight. Captain Mark Giordano had this to say: “We have to find a way this week to play desperate ... " I expect their very best effort. Calgary "backup" goalie Chad Johnson is expected to get the call between the pipes. With a big game and a victory tonight, however, he might not be the backup for long. Johhnson, who made 45 appearances for the Sabres last season, figures to be highly motivated. A chance to win over his new teammates and fans while sticking it to his old team at the same time. Note that he was 22-16-1 with a 2.36 goals-against average and a .920 save percentage last season, excellent numbers considering that the Sabres didn't even make the playoffs. The home team won both meetings last season. Look for the Flames to bounce back with their best effort, improving to 26-19 (+9.4) their last 45, after scoring less than two goals in their previous game. 

I'm playing on EDMONTON. While the Oilers get to play their first five games in their home province of Alberta, the Canes play their first six on the road, the first four of those thousands of miles away from home in Western Canada. From a betting perspective, Edmonton is 2-1 while Carolina is 0-2. However, as the Canes have gotten points in each game (they're 0-0-2 in the standings) they may not be quite as "desperate" as an 0-2 team often is. Rather, losing their first two games after regulation, each time after having an early 3-0 lead, may have a deflating effect. Either way, the Canes are likely in for a tough year. The Oilers have much to be excited about. They've got a fancy new rink, a talented young superstar for a captain and "The Great One" is back in town. By the way, Gretzky just had this to say about McDavid yesterday: "...I don’t think there's any question that Connor's the best 19-year-old hockey player I've ever seen and I saw Mark Messier, I saw Lemieux, I saw Lafleur." As of this writing, Talbot (expecting twins to be born tomorrow) is expected to get the start. He's 3-0 with a 0.64 ERA and two shutouts vs. the Canes. Look for the Oilers to bounce back with a win. 

I'm playing on ANAHEIM. Obviously, the Devils are going to want to win their home opener. However, I don't expect them to be any more "desperate" than the Ducks, who are off to an 0-3 start. While expectations are relatively low in NJ, the Ducks are a "big money team" and they're expected to win. (Anaheim was projected to win 43.5 games entering the season, compared to NJ's 36.5.) Getzlaf and Perry are an extremely dangerous duo and are likely to give the Devils real trouble. Getzlaf and co have dominated the league's weaker teams, going 51-29 their last 80 against teams with a sub 500 record. They beat the Devils by a combined score of 9-2 in winning last season's two games and I look for them to find a way to finish on top again tonight, moving to 9-3 the last 12 times that they were off three or more consec. losses. 

I'm playing on WASHINGTON. The Caps are heavily favored for good reason here. Not only are they an elite team which is well rested, but they're also catching the Avs off a hard-fought win last night and playing their third game in the past four nights. Note that the Avs were 9-13 the past couple of seasons, when playing the second of b2b games. During that stretch, they were also a money-burning 16-27 (-11.4) after having scored four or more goals in their previous game. The Caps won last season's two meetings by a combined 11-5 score. With the schedule in their favor, we should be able to expect more of the same tonight. 

I'm playing on DETROIT. Off to an 0-2 start, the Wings badly need a victory. At 2-0, the Sens may not be quite as desperate. Note that neither Ottawa win has come in regulation and that the Sens are giving up 3.5 goals per game. They've been fortunate to play both their games at home, each of them coming against teams that didn't make the playoffs last year. The Sens also haven't scored a powerplay goal yet. Off their 4-3 victory, note that the Sens are just 21-28 (-7.5) the past couple of seasons, after scoring four or more goals in their previous game. During that stretch, Detroit was 31-21 (+7) after allowing four or more goals in their previous game. The Wings, who were 3-1-1 against the Sens last season, will be playing their home opener. The Wings had a strong exhibition campaign. The last thing they want is to start 0-3. I expect a highly motivated effort to lead to two points. 

I'm playing on ARIZONA. The Coyotes are "rebranding" again this year. This season's schtick is that they're apologizing for all their previous tacky gimmicks to attract fans over the years. Give them credit for trying. It can't be easy to sell hockey in the desert. No amount of marketing will beat a winning product on the ice and tonight sets up well for the Coyotes to start the season off with a win. The Flyers, who are off a hard-fought win at LA last night, are just 11-19 (-6.6) their last 30, when playing the second of b2b games. During that stretch, the Flyers are also a dismal 8-36 (-26) when playing a road game with an O/U line of 5.5. The Coyotes have beaten the Flyers here each of the last two seasons, including a 2-1 win (as a +115 dog) back in March. Look for them to send the fans home happy once again.

I'm playing on TB 6*. I watched their game against the Wings and the Lightning confirmed what I/we already knew - they're a very good team. They fell behind early (and more than once) in that game, despite playing well, partly as they were having trouble beating a goalie that was playing well. There was no panic though. They just kept playing their game and ultimately wore down a determined Detroit team, winning by a 6-4 margin. This is the same team - only healthier - that advanced to the Eastern Finals last year. Everybody's back and they're on a mission to take the next step this year. While the Lightning were projected to win 49.5 games coming into the season, the Devils were projected to win just 36.5. The Lightning have outscored them by a combined 11-3 margin in beating the Devils in the most recent three meetings. I expect another win for the superior team, the Lightning improving to 35-15 their last 50, after allowing four or more goals in their previous game. 

I'm playing on MINNESOTA 8*. The Jets came through for me nicely in their first game, rallying from a big deficit to beat Carolina in OT. That was their home opener though and they were facing lowly Carolina. They're stepping up in class considerably though, while also venturing out on the road. While the Canes were projected to win 35.5 games this season, the Wild were projected to win 42.5. While the Wild dropped their first game, that was at St. Louis. Just as the Jets were, they'll be fired up to win their home opener. With the Jets just 19-31 the last 50 times that they played a road game with an O/U line of less than 5.5, look for the Wild to bounce back. 

I'm playing on CALGARY 8* PERSONAL FAVORITE. As many of you are aware, I backed the Oilers when these teams faced each other Wednesday. That was "Opening Night" at Edmonton's new rink and there were plenty of reasons for the Oilers to be "extra pysched." While every game in the "Battle of Alberta" is a big one for both teams, the Flames should be the team which is a little hungrier for tonight's rematch. Not only are they looking to avenge Wednesday's loss, but now its their home opener. Off a disappointing season, the absolute last thing in the world they want/need is to start off 0-2, losing a pair of games against their hated provincial rival. Even with Wednesday's win, the Oilers are still 14-45 (-27.3) in divisional play, the past 2+ years. During the same stretch, the Flames are 37-33 (+7.6) in divisional play. While the Oilers are 8-18 (-8.2) the past 2+ seasons, off a win by two or more goals, the Flames are 28-21 (+10.6) off a loss by two or more. Calgary bounces back.

I'm playing on WINNIPEG. While the Canes won both meetings last season, the Jets figure to be the stronger team this year. Carolina is projected to win just 35.5 games on the season. With a regular season O/U line of 40.5, the Jets are expected to be considerably better. The Jets scored 2.7 goals per game here at home last season, compared to the Canes' 2.2 gpg on the road. Both teams played seven exhibition games. The Canes scored 13 goals, alllowing 14. The Jets scored an extra goal per game, as they managed 20 goals, while allowing 17. Winnipeg coach Paul Maurice was fired (twice) by the Canes. Beating his former team on opening night should be extra sweet.

I'm playing on TAMPA. Assuming they still reasonably healthy, the Lightning figure to be one of the top teams in the league once again this season. They advanced to the Eastern Conf. Finals last season after making it to the Stanley Cup Finals the previous year. Last year, they were very strong, despite dealing with serious injury issues. This season, they're starting out much healthier. They also return almost the entire lineup from last year, after shelling out big bucks to the likes of Stamkos and Hedmen. This week, they extended Kucherov's contract. They recognize that the "future is now." Coach Cooper noted: "All the players made decisions to fit themselves into a situation with us where we were able to keep everybody back together. It shows the team-first mentality of a lot of our players. It's probably why we've had success here the last couple of years. While the Wings had a good preseason, they've got some new faces this season and they're just 2-9 their last 11 here at Tampa. The Wings got outscored by a 3.0 to 2.4 margin on the road last season. Conversely, the Lightning outscored teams by a 3.0 to 2.4 margin here at home. Add it all up and I expect the Lightning to start their season with a "W." 

I'm playing on EDMONTON on opening night. These proud franchises have both fallen on hard times in recent years. However, a new season brings new hope for both and there's nothing bigger in the province than "The Battle Of Alberta" on Opening Night. While their team will surely continue to experience some growing fans, Oiler fans are particularly optimistic this year. Edmonton will be playing in a brand new rink and tonight marks its first reg season game there. It also marks the first game that young superstar Connor McDavid, who recently became the youngest captain in NHL history, will "wear the C" on his jersey. McDavid and the Oilers had a strong preseason, going 5-3 and 4-1 at home. Though they lost their final game, 3-2 at Vancouver, they outshot the Canucks by a 36-21 margin and McDavid was flying all over the ice, while scoring a goal. While the Oilers scored 22 goals (allowing 21) in the preason, the Flames finished below .500 while managing a mere 10 (allowing 16) goals. They lost 4-0, also at Vancouver last time out. These teams will face each other again Friday night at Calgary. I look for the Oilers to "hold serve" on home ice, starting the "new era" with a victory. 

I'm playing on SAN JOSE. It would have been easy for the Sharks to quit in this series. Down 2-0 in games, they fell behind in Game 3 but battled back. Down 3-1 in the series and playing on the road, they pulled off the upset. Now, back home, with the support of their Cup-starved fans behind them, I expect the Sharks to force a Game 7. While the Pens managed the split in the first two games here, the Sharks have dominated them here over the years and they've been outstanding on home ice for weeks. I'll note that the travel schedule could favor the Sharks slightly, as they're accustomed to going from time zone to time zone, while the Pens are not. While the Pens run has been impressive as well, many seem to forget that the Sharks are still 24-9 (+14.4) their last 33 against winning teams, as they've been on a mission for weeks. I dont think they're done yet. 10*

I'm playing on SJ. The Sharks got the monkey off their back with their Game 3 victory. That victory showed a lot of resolve and determination. They were down 2-0 in games and feeling a lot of pressure. Then, they were down 1-0 out of the gate. After tying it, they fell behind 2-1. Once again, they fought back. With a Stanley Cup Finals victory under their belts and their rabid fans now in full belief/support, I expect the Sharks to carry the momentum into this evening's game. While the Sharks may have thrived on the road during the regular season, they've been better here at SJ in the playoffs. They've won eight of their last nine here, while having now dropped six of their last eight on the road. They've dominated the Pens here this entire millennium and I see them tying up the series tonight. 10*

I'm playing on SAN JOSE in Game 3. After getting thoroughly outplayed in Game 1, the Sharks were much better in Game 2. It still wasn't enough. That puts them in "must win" territory on Saturday. While teams certainly don't always win just because they need to, I expect the Sharks to be at their very best. This is a team/city which has waited for decades, literally, to get here. So many times, the Sharks teased their fans with a great regular season, only to fade in the playoffs. They played so well throughout the playoffs in winning the West, I don't expect them to just roll over. While the Sharks may have thrived on the road during the regular season, they've been better here at SJ in the playoffs. They've won seven of their last eight here, while having now dropped six of their last eight on the road. They've dominated the Pens here this entire millennium and I fully expect them to come away with the critical victory in Game 3. 10* 

I'm playing on PITTSBURGH. Everyone I talk to keeps telling me "the Sharks are going to win Game 2." I like and respect the Sharks, too. However, I feel the value lies with the Pens, on home ice, for Game 2. The final 3-2 score from Game 1 was a little misleading, in my opinion, as the Pens actually dominated that game. Pittsburgh would finish with a 41-26 edge in shots on goal. While the Sharks will surely try and make some adjustments, they'll have a lot to "adjust to," as the  Pens were successfully penetrating and dominating the zone in a variety of ways. The Pens, 14-4 their last 18 here at Pittsburgh, have beaten the Sharks three of the last four times the teams played here. Crosby may not be putting up huge numbers but he's still arguably the best player in the world and he's still playing excellent hockey. Look for him to lead his team to another victory tonight. 9* 

I'm playing on PITTSBURGH. Great run by the Lightning but I look for it to come to an end tonight. The Pens have been a different team when superstar Sidney Crosby plays his best. In Game 7, I expect to see the "good" Crosby, as he looks to add to his legacy. While the Lightning have been here before (won 2-0 at MSG in Game 7 last year) the losses of Stamkos and Bishop, both of whom starred/played in last year's big Game 7 win, figure to finally catch up with them tonight. The Pens have too much talent and I look for them to ultimately be the team which faces SJ in the finals. 6* 

I'm playing on SAN JOSE. For many years, the Sharks have been very good. However, during that time, they've never been to the Stanley Cup Finals. They're finally one game away and I look for them to take that final elusive step this evening. The Sharks have been the more dominant team in these playoffs. While the Blues are only outscoring teams by a 2.9 to 2.7 margin in the postseason, the Sharks are outscoring opponents by a commanding 3.4 to 2.3 average margin. They're 21-6 (+14.2) their last 27 against winning teams and I look for them to improve on those stats tonight. 7* 

I'm playing on PITTSBURGH. The Lightning are right where they want to be. Up 3-2 with a chance to close out the series at home. I'm not writing off the Pens yet though. Note that the Lightning were here before, up 3-2 with a chance to close out the Rangers in last year's Conference Finals. They got hammered 7-3. While TB is just 17-17 after scoring four or more goals in its previous game, Pittsburgh is 13-5 after allowing four or more. The Pens have been perfect in these playoffs when trailing in a series, bouncing back when trailing earlier in this series and also against Washington. Malkin had this to say: ''I believe in my team. I believe in myself, and we can come back to Pittsburgh for sure." Melkin, Crosby and co. bounce back again. 10* 

I'm playing on SJ. While they've excelled here over the years, the Sharks weren't a dominant home team during the regular season. However, they've elevated their game here in the playoffs. They enter tonight's game with a perfect 5-0 record their last five. They battled hard to earn the split in St. Louis, dominating Game 2 by a 4-0 margin. I expect them to carry the positive momentum into tonight's game. The Sharks are now an impressive 19-5 their last 24 against teams with a winning record. They're outscoring teams by a 3.3 to 2.1 margin (in the playoffs) compared to the Blues 2.9 to 2.4 mark. Sharks win. 10* 

I'm playing on PITTSBURGH. The Lightning stole Game 1. That puts the pressure on the Penguins to bounce back in Game 2. I expect them to respond to that pressure with their best effort. The Pens have been money off a loss, as they're a perfect 15-0 the last 15 times they were off a loss, dating back to mid-January. Tough to go against that. 6* 

I'm playing on SJ. While the Preds have pushed them to the brink, I believe that tonight will belong to the Sharks. Home ice has been the difference in the series and it figures to be the difference again this evening. The Sharks have won the three games here by a combined score of 13-5. They're 30-14 their last 44, when facing a team that beat them in the prevoius meeting. I expect them to improve on those stats tonight. 6* 

I'm playing on ST. LOUIS. The Blues have been the better team in this series. They've outscored the Stars by a 17-10 margin and have a 3-2 edge in the series. That means the Blues can wrap up the series tonight with a win and that they'll go back to Dallas for Game 7, with a loss. Needless to say, the first option is a whole lot more attractive. The last thing that Blues want to do is go back to Dallas, where the Stars have won 31 games. The Stars just aren't as good away from Dallas though. They allow 3.1 goals per game on the road while the Blues allow just 2.3 here at St. Louis. The Stars are also allowing 3.1 goals per game in the playoffs, compared to 2.5 allowed per game for St. Louis. The Blues arguably had a much more difficult first round opponent, too. Blues wrap it up. 8*

I'm playing on SAN JOSE. The Predators have gotten themselves back in the series and bring some momentum into tonight's game. They're not as good away from Nashville though. In fact, with the two losses in Game 1 and Game 2, the Preds are just 21-26 on the road, where they've been outscored by an average of 2.9 to 2.4. Even with the results at Nashville, the Preds are only 14-18 (-4.8) their last 32 against winning teams. During that time, the Sharks are 16-4 (+11.8) against winning teams. With the Sharks also at 29-14 (+14) the last 43 times they faced an opponent which defeated them in the previous game, I look for home ice to again prove the difference. 9*

I'm playing on WASHINGTON. The Caps only lost three games in a row once all season. They resonded to that 3-game skid with a 5-1 victory. Off three straight losses, now they find themselves in a must win situation. I expect them to again respond with a victory. While the Pens are obvioiusly playing very well these days, the Caps still score more goals at home than the Pens do on the road and they still allow less. I'm not writing them off quite yet. 9* 

I'm playing on NEW YORK. The Lightning have long since proven that they can win without Stamkos, Stralman and co. Still, I feel they're getting a little too much respect here. The Lightning are still only 23-21 on the road, compared to the Islanders' 27-18 mark at home. Perhaps more importantly, its the Islanders who need this game more, which should add a level of desperation to their play. Yet, we're still able to get the Isles at pick'em price. The Isles actually played very well in Game 3, much better than Game 2. Center Frans Nielson called in the Isles best game so far and went on to say this about tonight: ''It's for sure a must-win for us ... " I expect them to respond with their best effort. 10* 

I'm playing on ST. LOUIS. The Blues accomplished their goal of getting the split in Dallas. Back on home ice, I expect them to have the advantage in Game 3. Note that the Blues are 3-0 the last three times they hosted the Stars, winning 2-1, 3-2 and 3-0. While the Stars have a potent offense, they can also be suspect defensively. That's particularly true on the road where they allow three goals per game and more than 30 shots per game. By comparison, the Blues allow less than 30 shots per game at home and they allow only 2.4 goals per game here. Armed with such a stingy defense, when the Blues offense also gets rolling, the team really gets going. In fact, they're 19-9 (+7.1) their last 28 after scoring four or more goals their previous game. Look for them to build on those numbers tonight. 9* 

I'm playing on TB. With the Isles taking Game 1 here, the Lightning desperately need to get this one. I expect them to respond with their best effort. The Isles have won three straight but they're a horrible 40-71 over the years, after three or more straight wins. That incudes an ugly 3-8 mark this season. They're also just 10-14 (-9.5) off a loss by two or more goals. During that stretch, TB is 15-7 (+5) off a loss by two or more. Going back a little further and we find the Lightning at a profitable 37-22 (+11.6) off a loss by two or more goals. While we have to go back some time, the Lightning are also 20-10 their last 30 when trailing in a playoff series. They followed up their only loss in the opening round with a victory and I look for them to bounce back with a much-needed victory this afternoon. 9* 

I'm playing on SJ. Could this be the year of the Sharks? Its possible but lets focus on tonight's game for now. While the Preds deserve credit for getting here, they're still only 12-16 (-4.8) their last 28 against winning teams. During the same stretch, the Sharks are 15-4 (+10.8) against winning teams. While the Preds did win here back in October, the Sharks have taken two of the last three meetings here. Going back further finds the Sharks at 13-7 the last 20 times that they hosted the Preds. I look for them to grab Game 1. 7*

I'm playing on WASHINGTON. The Pens are loaded with talent and they've certainly been hot in recent weeks. The Caps are also loaded though and they've been hot all year long. While the Pens are 24-19 on the road, the Caps are a dominating 31-13 at home. That includes a 20-8 mark here at Washington when the O/U line was less than 5.5. The Pens beat them here a few weeks ago but the Caps are 29-19 (+10.2) the past few seasons, when attempting to avenge a home loss. I expect them to improve on those stats here. 10* 

I'm playing on ANAHEIM. The Preds deserve a lot of credit for pushing the Ducks to the brink. I expect the cream to rise to the top tonight though. The Preds don't have much experience in this situation; with the 5-2 loss in Game 5, they're 0-2 the few seasons when tied in a series. True, they bounced back with a 3-1 win in Game 5. However, during that stretch, they're also 26-35 off a win by two or more goals, a moneyburning 8-15 (-15.2) this season. The Ducks, 5-2 the last seven times they were tied in a playoff series, outscore teams by a 2.9 to 2.1 margin at this rink on the season, while the Preds get outscored by a 2.9 to 2.5 margin on the road. Take the superior team, playing at home. *8

I'm playing on WASHINGTON. The Flyers have made things interesting. However, I look for the superior team to seal the deal this afternoon. While the Flyers are 8-12 (-4.6) off a win by two or more goals, the Caps are 10-2 (+6.7) off a loss by two or more. The Caps score more, and allow less, goals on the road than the Flyers do at home. They're arguably stronger in all areas and I look for them to be on a mission from the opening whistle. 7*

I'm playing on CHICAGO. Don't count out the Hawks. The Hawks stayed alive with a critical win at St. Louis last time out. Back on home ice, backs still to the wall, I expect them to play like champions again this evening. The Hawks are now 10-3 (+6.8) the last 13 times that they played when trailing in a playoff series. Extremely well-coached and with a ton of talent and leadership on the ice, the Hawks will refuse to say die here. 9* Personal Favorite

I'm playing on ANAHEIM. This series has been dominated by the road team. However, I expect the Ducks to restore order on home ice today. For the first time all series, the Ducks are coming off a game where they scored more than three goals; they won Game 4 by a score of 4-1. That's noteworthy as they're a fanastic 69-29 (+31.3) the past 2+ seasons, after scoring four or more goals in their previous game. During that stretch, the Preds are just 36-43 (-11.2) after allowing four or more. Talent, momentum, playoff experience and venue all favor the Ducks. I expect them to take care of business. 8*

I'm playing on LA. Its true that the Sharks have been very good on the road and also that they've thrived here in LA. The Kings have been very good here for years though. Facing elimination, they're not about go down without a fight. I believe that they're favored for good reason. The Kings can take inspiration from their own 2014 Stanley Cup winning team. You may recall that they were in a 3-0 hole against these same Sharks, before making their improbable run. They're 25-15 their last 40 against an opponent which defeated them in the previous meeting and I look for them to bounce back with a win tonight. 10* 

I'm playing on CHICAGO. The Hawks are essentially in a "must win" spot here and I expect them to respond accordingly. This is a team of champions, extremely well-coached, highly talented and very experienced. They've been in this spot many times and they know the task at hand. The Blues are 1-3 (-2.2) the past few seasons when playing with a lead in a playoff series, a spot they haven't fared well in. During the same span, the Hawks are 9-2 (+7.2) when trailing in a playoff spot, a spot they've thrived in. I expect them to bounce back big (again) here. 10* 

I'm playing on ANAHEIM. Losing the first game has put a lot of pressure on the Ducks to win this one. I expect them to respond accordingly. This is a talented team, one which has been very strong on home ice. The Ducks, now 8-3 in the first round the past 2+ seasons, are still 11-6 their last 17 against winning teams. On the other han, even with their Game 1 win, the Preds are only 9-13 (-5.6) against winning teams, during the same time. Expect the Ducks to be all business as they bounce back in convincing fashion. 8*

I'm playing on NEW YORK. The Islanders got their road split and now they're on home ice, where they've been much stronger all season and where they average better than three goals per game. The Isles are 14-6 (+6.9) off a game where they scored one goal or less and 15-6 (+8.8) off a loss by two or more goals. I believe this price is very reasonable and I look for them to improve on those stats this evening. *8

I'm playing on DETROIT. While the Lightning were able to win both games at home, I expect the absence of Stamkos and Stralman to finally catch up with them, on the road, against a desperate Detroit team. The Lightning weren't nearly as good on the road as they were at Tampa and the Wings were better here at Detroit than they were on the road. The home team has now won all six meetings this season and I expect that trend to continue for at least another day. 9*

I'm playing on LA. After dropping the opener here, the Kings obviously really need this one. With their backs to the wall, I expect their best effort. Note that they're 5-2 (+3.6) the past couple of seasons, when trailing in the playoffs. This season, they're 13-7 after allowing four or more goals. They're also 24-14 when facing a team which defeated them in the previous meeting, 9-5 when attempting to avenge a home loss. They should improve on those stats here. 10* personal favorite

I'm playing on ANAHEIM. One of the reasons that the NHL playoffs are exciting is that any team is capable of beating any other. That said, this is a tough matchup for the Predators. Home ice means a lot to both clubs and it was the difference in the season series. The Preds won 3-2 and 5-1 in the games at Nashville. The Ducks won 4-2 here at Anaheim.  Going back a little further and we find that the Ducks have beaten the Preds three straight times in Southern California, going 5-1 the last six meetings here. The Preds were below .500 on the road on the season, getting outscored by an average score of 2.9 to 2.4 when playing away from Nashville. Thats not going to cut it against an Anaheim team which outscores teams by an average of 2.8 to 2.1 in this building. Home ice makes the difference, the Ducks moving to 40-20 the last 60 times they played at home with an O/U line of less than 5.5. 9* Personal Favorite

I'm playing on LA. Neither of these teams has played since 4/9. I expect that longer than usual break to favor the Kings as they've been much better than San Jose has been that situation. On 2/2, after an extended break, the Sharks lost 3-2 against the Ducks. On 1/7, they lost 2-1 against the Wings. They returned from Christmas to lose 6-3 against the Avs on 12/28. Earlier in the season, they lost 3-1 against the Predators. That adds up to an 0-4 (-5) mark when playing with three or more day's rest, the Sharks getting outscored in those games by a 14-7 margin. On the other hand, the Kings were 7-2 (+3.4) when playing with three or more day's rest. They beat Montreal 3-2 on 3/3. They destroyed Boston 9-2 on 2/9, after handling Arizona by a 6-2 margin on 2/2. That was preceded by a 5-3 loss against the Sens, a 4-3 win against Arizona, a 5-3 win against the Pens, a 4-1 win against these same Sharks, after an early 4-3 win against Nashville and an 0-3 loss against Vancouver. That's a combined 38-24 in favor of the Kings in the those nine games. Add up the Sharks 0-4 mark in that situation with the Kings 7-2 mark and you've got a combined 11-2 "in season" angle. While the Sharks were indeed good on the road, the Kings are every bit as good at home. Even with a couple of losses this season, the Kings are still 14-5 the last 19 as a host in the series. I look for them to start things off with a "W." 10* Game Of Week

I'm playing on TAMPA. Without Stamkos, many will be calling for the upset in this series and likely in this game, too. His loss is certainly a blow to their overall hopes of hoisting the Cup, however, I believe the Lightning still have the depth and talent to take care of business on home ice tonight. Remember, the home team won all four games during the season. The Wings were 19-22 on the road, getting outscored 3.0 to 2.5; the Lightning oustscored teams by an average of 2.9 to 2.4 here at Tampa, going 25-16. While coaches Cooper and Blashill are friends, Cooper has done the better job of having his team ready, when playing with some extra rest. The Wings are 3-5 when playing with three or more day's rest in between games, the Lightning are 6-0 when doing so. I'm going with Tampa. 9* 

I'm playing on NEW YORK. While I won with the Flyers yesterday, I'm going against them here. Yesterday's victory, which came against instate rival Pittsburgh, secured the final playoff spot for the Flyers and guaranteed them a date with Washington in the first round. That's where their focus is already now on. As Voracek noted: "We have a good enough team to beat Washington and we have to focus on that.'' The Isles have already also locked up a playoff spot. However, a win here will get them the Penguins while a loss would have them play Florida. While one could argue that the Isles would actually prefer to play the Panthers, I look for them to be motivated to win here. The Flyers have beaten them two straight times and they don't want to back their way into the playoffs. While the Flyers are 5-10 (-5.6) when playing the second of b2b games, the Isles are 9-5 (+3.4) when doing so. 9*

I'm playing on VANCOUVER. Many of you will recall that I just won with the Oilers, when these teams played each other a few nights ago. Edmonton won that game by a score of 6-2. That was Edmonton's home finale. Tonight, however, its the Canucks who are playing their home finale. That being the case and with the Canucks playing with revenge on their minds, I expect a much different result than we saw on Wednesday. Needless to say, neither team has had a good year. The Canucks have been (slightly) better at home than the Oilers have been on the road though and they'd badly like to reward the faithful with one final victory before the season ends. With back-to-back losses in Alberta, the Canucks are 43-49 in divisional games the past few seasons. While that record isn't very good, its MUCH better than the Oilers' 21-65 (-38.2!) mark against divisional opponents, during the same period. These teams last played here on 12/26, the Canucks winning by a score of 2-1. They were -135 favorites in that one. Including that victory, the Canucks are 6-2 the last eight times they hosted the Oilers and 16-5 the last 21. They were bigger favorites in EVERY single one of those games (lines ranged from -125 up to more than -300!) than they are tonight. I look for the Canucks to be the hungrier team tonight and believe that a line in the pick'em range is providing us with excellent value. 10*

I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. While both teams always love beating their instate rival, this game means MUCH more to the Flyers than it does to the Penguins. The Flyers need a win, the Pens have already wrapped up their playoff spot and today's result won't affect their seed. While they've been playing well, the Pens are dealing with a number of injuries. Though I won't count on it, I wouldn't be shocked to see some of the stars get the afternoon off for rest. Either way, the Pens are only 5-7 (-3.6) when playing a road game with an O/U line of 5.5 while the Flyers are 8-3 (+3) when playing a home game with an O/U line of 5.5. The Flyers are 23-16 (+12.6) when facing teams with a winning record this season. I look for their best effort in this critical game, as they bounce back, improving to 6-3 when off three or more consecutive losses. 10* Main Event

I'm playing on BOSTON. The Bruins, 48-19 (+20.8) in Saturday games the past few seasons, desperately need a win. The Senators are playing out the string, looking to play spoiler. "Must win" games don't always win, of course. However, in this case, I look for the Bruins to be the much hungrier team. The Sens don't play much defense on the road. They've given up an average of 3.4 goals per game on the road this season, 34 shots a game. They're scoring only 2.6 goals over their past five games, on the strength of 25.8 shots per game. That's not going to cut it against a determined Boston team which is averaging 3.4 goals and 36.8 shots its past five games. The home team has won all three meetings, the Sens winning both at Ottawa, the Bruins winning the lone one here at Boston by a score of 7-3. They're 18-11 (+5.4) in divisional play and I look for them to pick up the critical two points here. 6* 

I'm playing on LA. This is a big game for both teams and I look for home ice to ultimately prove the difference. While the Ducks are 19-14-5 on the road, the Kings are 25-12-2 at home. Anaheim knows that winning here isn't easy. Can Fowler noted: "Anytime you go up into L.A., it's going to be a hostile environment in there. It's extremely difficult to play in that building, especially ... " While the Ducks have enjoyed a fantastic second half, their success has primarily come against the league's weaker teams. In fact, they're only 16-16 (-1.8) against winning teams on the season. LA, on the other hand, is 19-11 (+4.2) against teams with a winning record. Note that the Kings are also 12-6 (+2.3) after allowing four or more goals and 23-12 (+3.4) when attempting to avenge an earlier loss. LA's Jeff Carter, who scored the winning goal in OT for the Kings in their last game, had this to say: "It's a big game. We want to win the rest of the games here and get on a roll..." I look for Carter and co. to bring their A Game, en route to earning the important two points. 10* 

I'm playing on PHILADELPHIA. While I played against the Flyers last night, I'm playing on them tonight. Off back-to-back losses, this game has become critical for the Flyers. They're still holding down a playoff spot - but they're barely doing so - and their final two games (Pens and Isles) are against far more difficult opponents than this one. The Leafs are playing out the string. While they may say otherwise, the Leafs may be thinking more about improving their standing in the draft lottery than about winning games. Yesterday was their home finale and they got destroyed 5-1 by a bad Columbus team. While both teams are playing the second of b2b games here, the Leafs are also playing their third game in four nights, which is not the case for the Flyers. While the Leafs are 7-13 on the road when the O/U line was 5.5, the Flyers are 8-2 at home with an O/U line of 5.5. They should bounce back in a big way here. 6* B.M.

I'm playing on BOSTON. While I won with the Wings last night, I'm going against them here. Last night's win was huge for the Red Wings and it actually helped the Bruins too, as they're fighting with the Flyers for the final spot. Boston, which had last night off, knows it needs this one though. Boston's Bergeron noted: "...This is our last chance and we have to seize it and go out there and do it." Though they did beat Toronto the last time they were in that situation, the Wings are still a poor 5-11 (-6.8) when playing the second of b2b games. Look for the Bruins to be a little fresher and a little hungrier as they elevate their game, en route to earning a critical two points. 9* 

I'm playing on the NEW YORK RANGERS. The Isles have won each of this season's previous meetings. They've never swept the Rangers though and I don't see it happening tonight. Chris Kreider, who scored the game winner for the Rangers against Tampa on Tuesday, had this to say: "The last few games are really big for us because we'd like to have home ice in the first round of the playoffs, that's a pretty big advantage." While the Rangers are also dealing with some injuries, the Isles' injury woes are arguably worse. Indeed, the Isles are without both their #1 goalie and their #1 defenseman as well as a number of others who are banged-up. While the Isles have admittedly fared well here recently, the Rangers' 26-9-4 home record remains far superior to the Isles' 19-16-5 mark on the road. Note that the Isles are only 7-9 (-2.4) when playing a road game with an O/U of less than 5.5 while the Rangers are 22-9 (+8.5) when playing a home game with an O/U line of less than 5.5. I really like the way the Rangers rallied to beat the Lightning and I look for them to carry that positive momentum into tonight's game, as they rise to the occasion and avoid the sweep. 10* 

I'm playing on DETROIT. The Flyers took the first two meetings this season. Playing their final home game of the season, a game they really need to win, I expect the Red Wings to return the favor this evening. Detroit coach Jeff Blashill had this to say about the Wings' approach tonight: "We want to play a complete 60 minutes, we want to be on our toes and get them on their heels. When momentum goes against us, we need to make sure we recapture it as quick as possible. Should be a great game. We're excited for it. Let's enjoy this. Let's enjoy the great opportunity we have ahead of us." While the Flyers upset them here in January, the Wings have still dominated them here at Detroit over the years. They're 25-18 (+5.4) in the 'revenge' role and I expect them to be at their best on NBCS tonight. 10*

I'm playing on EDMONTON. While the Canucks have been the hotter team in recent days, I believe that Edmonton is favored for good reason. This is the final home game for the Oilers and they'd desperately like to reward the faithful with a victory. They'd also really like to "hold serve" at home, as they'll face these same Canucks at Vancouver on 4/9, the final game of the season for both teams. While the Canucks are 6-11 (-8.1) the past 17 times that they were off a 3-game winning streak, the Oilers are 10-7 (+3.8) when off three or more consecutive losses. The Oilers, who average 2.6 gpg game at home, beat the Canucks, who average 2.3 gpg on the road, by a 2-0 score here a few weeks ago. I expect them to be the "hungrier" team tonight and for that to lead to another victory. 10* Personal Favorite

I'm playing on MINNESOTA. I believe this game will mean a little more to the Wild. True, the Sharks are proud of their impressive road record and would like to keep winning. The Wild still haven't officially clinched a playoff spot though and they know that they need to get back on track and gain some momentum before the postseason. A victory tonight would accomplish both those goals. While they've had trouble at San Jose over the years, the Wild split there this season. They've fared well against the Sharks here at Minnesota, winning seven of the past eight meetings. Look for them to get back on track this evening. 10* Personal Favorite

I'm playing on BOSTON. I successfully played against the Bruins in their last game. That was on the road against a talented and motivated Chicago squad though. The Hurricanes represent a significant drop in class though and I expect a now desperate Bruins team to take advantage. Boston's recent swoon has put them in jeopardy of missing the playoffs. They know if they can win their final three that they're in though, making winning this one imperative.  Coach Claude Julien noted: "We've got a big week ahead of us. All we've got to do is win our games and we're in. Our focus has to be on that and that's what we're going to do this week – one game at a time." The Canes are 6-10 (-2.2) their last 16 against teams with a winning record. During that stretch, the Bruins are 12-7 against teams with a losing record. While the Canes beat them here last month, the Bruins are still 4-1 their last five home games in the series. Look for them to bounce back in a big way here. 6*

I'm playing on NEW YORK. While the Rangers have dropped three straight, Columbus should be the perfect opponent to get back on track against. The Rangers, who haven't lost four in a row all season, are 3-0 against the Jackets this season and 4-1 in five visits here the past few seasons. While the Jackets are 2-11 (-8.8) their last 13 against teams with a winning record, the Rangers are 12-5 (+4.6) during the same span, when facing teams with a losing record. With the Rangers also at 11-1 (+10.2) their last 12, after losing three or more consecutive games, I'm backing the visitors. 9* Personal Favorite

I'm playing on ANAHEIM. The home team has won both meetings this season and I expect home ice to again make the difference tonight. The Stars have won four straight. However, they're off an 'upset' at LA last night and are now playing their third game in the past four days. That's noteworthy as they're just 4-7 (-3.4) when playing the second of b2b games, an ugly 13-23 (-7.5) their last 36. I rarely pay much attention to what day of the week it is, in terms of handicapping. However, in this case, I feel its worth mentioning that Anaheim plays quite a few more Sunday games than Dallas does. The Starts are 8-14 (-6.2) on Sundays the past few seasons while the Ducks have played roughly twice as many, going a profitable 33-10 (+18.9). With the Ducks at 4-1 the last five times that the teams played here, I'm backing the home team. 9* personal favorite

I'm playing on CHICAGO. I won with the Black Hawks (5-4 win over Jets) on Friday and I believe they're offering us excellent value again here. While its true that the Bruins have been excellent on the road, the Hawks are also very tough to beat at home. They're playing with 'revenge' this afternoon, having lost at Boston a few weeks ago. I rarely pay much attention to what day of the week it is, in terms of handicapping. However, in this case, I feel its worth mentioning that Chicago plays a lot of Sunday games and Boston rarely does. The Bruins are 2-3 on Sundays this season and 11-9 the last few seasons. The Hawks, on the other hand, are 12-3 on Sundays this season and 37-16 on Sundays the past few years. I expect that familiarity, combined with home ice, to help them be the team which better copes with the early starting time here. Look for them to improve to 14-6 their last 20, after allowing four or more goals in their previous game. 9* breakfast club

'm playing on TAMPA. The Lightning lost 3-0 Thursday but I fully expect them to bounce back here. Tampa is 12-6 (+2.9) off a loss by two or more goals, a profitable 34-21 (+9.3) its last 55 in that situation. With Thursday's loss at Florida, the Devils are a poor 18-32 their last 50 against teams with a winning record, in the second half of the season. The Devils average just 2.2 goals per game on the season and only 1.8 over their last five games. On the other hand, even after getting blanked last time out, the Lightning are still averaging 3.6 gpg their last five and 2.8 per game on the season. The Lightning, who won 4-0 at NJ, are 15-6 (+5.2) their last 21 against losing teams. They'll improve on those stats here. 6* 

I'm playing on FLORIDA. While the Canadiends did them a favor by beating Tampa on Thursday, don't exepct the Panthers to go easy on them tonight. While it may have won b2b games, Montreal is a mess right now. The Habs have been without their top goalie for months and now their blue line is in shambles. In fact, they played with just five defensemen on Thursday, after Nathan Beaulieu left with a broken thumb. That figures to spell trouble against a Florida team which is averaging 3.58 goals per game (tied for 2nd best in the NHL) since March 7th. The Panthers have won this season's two meetings by a combined score of 7-2. While they outscore teams by a 3.0 to 2.5 margin here, the Canadiens are getting outscored by an average of 3.3 to 2.8 on the road. Look for the healthier and hungrier team to finish on top, improving to 9-4 at home, when the O/U line was 5.5. 6*

I'm playing on the NEW YORK RANGERS. While I won with the Sabres on Thursday, there's a big difference between playing a home game against the Leafs and facing the Rangers at MSG. Buffalo fans know that fact all too well as the Sabres are 0-9 their last nine in this series. The Rangers won eight of those nine games, including each of the last five, by multiple goals, too. Overall, the Sabres are 3-9 (-3.4) their last 12 against teams with a winning record and 10-25 (-8.6) on the season. Conversely, the Rangers are 24-13 against teams with a losing record, 12-4 (+6.6) their last 16. Looking back a bit further finds NY at a profitable 43-14 (+22) its last 57 against losing teams, in the second half of the season. Off back-to-back losses, the Rangers should be extremely motivated. Look for them to bounce back and improve to 14-7 (+7.3) after allowing four or more goals in their previous game. 6*

I'm playing on CHICAGO. Off a 4-1 loss on Wednesday, the Hawks should be all business this evening. While they lost this season's first meeting here, the Hawks have since beaten the Jets three striaght times. They're 5-1 their last six visits to Winnipeg. While the Jets are 8-15 (-8) after scoring one goal or less, the Hawks are 12-6 (+2.6) after allowing four or more. The Hawks are 25-12 (+7.1) against losing teams. The Jets, on the other hand, are 12-22 (-7.2) against teams with a winning record. Even without a few key pieces, the Hawks should have more than enough to get it done. 9* personal fav

I'm playing on MINNESOTA. While the Sens won yesterday, I expect them to stumble at a much tougher venue tonight. The Wild, who had yesterday off, are playing their best hockey of the season right now, having won six straight. Their last three games saw them win by a combined score of 14-3. No team has scored more than two goals against them in two weeks. The Sens are an ugly 3-10 (-7.4) their last 13 when playing the second of b2b games and a money-burning 14-27 (-10.6) in that situation the past few seasons. They don't fare well on the road against good defensive teams either, going 1-5 in six road games where the O/U line was less than 5.5. Looking to avenge a loss at Ottawa from a couple of weeks ago, I look for the Wild to keep on rolling for another day, improving to 13-7 the last 20 times that they were off a game where they scored four or more goals. 6* B.M. 

I'm playing on TAMPA BAY. The Canadiens have won both this season's meetings and that should ensure we've got a fully motivated Lightning team tonight. That shoud be all we need, as TB is much better than Montreal these days. While the Habs are 14-24 (-9.8) on the road, the Lightning are 24-15 at home. Tampa outscores teams by a 3.0 to 2.4 margin here. Montreal gets outscored by a 3.3 to 2.8 average on the road. The Lightning, who won 3-0 on Monday and who have now won four of five, are 12-7 when playing with two day's rest. They're also a dominating 15-5 (+7.6) their last 20 against teams with a losing record. During that span, the Habs are just 4-9 (-3.1) against teams with a winning record. The Lightning are 5-1 off a shutout win and I fully expect another "W" tonight. 6* 

I'm playing on BUFFALO. While the Leafs are off a win and the Sabres are off a loss, I believe that the Sabres are playing better hockey these days, particularly here at Buffalo. They've won two in a row here and three of four. The Sabres have also been much better against other 'bad' teams than the Leafs have. Toronto is 5-12 (-6.2) its last 17 against teams with a losing record and 12-19 on the season. Buffalo, on the other hand, is a profitable 19-15 (+7.4) against losing teams. While the Leafs are 6-10 (-2.4) off a win by two or more goals, the Sabres are 11-9 (+5.2) after allowing four or more goals. The Sabres score more goals (2.4 gpg compared to 2.1) at home than the Leafs do on the road. The Sabres also allow fewer goals (2.7 compared to 3.0) here than the Leafs do on the road. All things considered, I feel the price could easily be higher and I look for the Sabres to be the team which comes away with the two points. 10* Personal Favorite 

I'm playing on ST. LOUIS. Off back-to-back losses, the Avs got back on track yesterday, earning a 4-3 win at Nashville. This is a difficult spot/matchup for them though. Note that Colorado is just 6-11 (-6.4) after scoring four or more goais in its previous game. The Blues also scored four goals in their last game, a 4-0 win over Washington. Unlike their guests, however, the Blues had the past two days off. (They're 12-5/+5.4 when playing with two day's rest, 32-15/+11 in that situation the past few seasons.) Also, the Blues allowed zero goals, as compared to three, their second straight 4-0 shutout and their fourth shutout in a row. (They're the first team in more than 10 years with four straight shutouts!) Additionally, unlike the Avs, the Blues are a profitable 15-8 (+4.3) after scoring four or more goals in their previous game. The Avs, who will be without their top two offensive players (MacKinnon, Duchene), best hope might be for the Blues to overlook them. However, thats highly unlikely to happen as the Blues are playing with "triple-revenge." The Blues haven't given up a goal in more than 240 minutes. With starting goalie Elliott at 8-0 (1.58 GAA) since February, I'm laying the wood with the home team. 6* B.M.

I'm playing on DETROIT. The last time that these teams met (1/22) the Wings were off b2b losses. Some of you may recall that I played on them in that game, stating that they badly needed a victory and that the Sabres were the perfect opponent to get one against. The Wings would outshoot the Sabres 45-19 in that game, winning 3-0. While that was at Buffalo, the Wings have also dominated the Sabres here at Detroit. Even with a December loss here, the Wings are 8-1 the last nine meetings here and 16-2 the last 18. Off a 7-2 loss last time out, the Wings badly need another victory. Once again, I believe the Sabres are the right opponent to get them one. 6*

I'm playing on TAMPA BAY. The Leafs upset the Lightning at Toronto a couple of weeks ago. Don't count it happening again tonight though. The Lightning have beaten the Leafs four straight here at Tampa, winning six of the last seven meetings here. The Leafs are 4-21 (-15.2) in divisional play, 6-18 (-9.6) after scoring one goal or less and 13-22 against teams with a winning record. The Lightning are 27-13 against losing teams, incl 14-5 (+6.6) their last 19. Look for the Lightning to bounce back from Saturday's loss, improving to 12-6 off a loss by two or more goals. 6*