On Sunday in Early action the Double System side is on the Indy Colts. Game 406 at 1:0 eastern. The Colts fit 2 solid systems here today. First we want to play on win less homers in weeks 8-10 as they have covered 19 of the last 26 times. The second system plays on non division home dogs that started 0-4 straight up and against the spread off a straight up and ats loss vs an opponent off a win and cover. That one has cashed 15 of 18 times since 1980. The Colts return home off 3 tough road losses and are 9-1 ats vs an opponent off a dog win. Atlanta is 1-8 ats as a favorite of 6 or more off a dog win vs an opponent off a loss of 10 or more. Coach Smith is just 1-7 ats on the road off a non division win. This will be much closer than some may think with the Colts coming home. Those with me last week what happened to the Saints when they took a Rams team lightly. Not saying the Colts win, but this one should be tight. Take the Colts

On Monday night the Power System Play is on The San Diego Chargers. Game 231 at 8:30 eastern. The Chargers come in off an inept performance on the road losing to the Jets in a game where they blew the lead and did not score in the 4th quarter. Tonight they take on a Chiefs team they beat in a close game last month. In that game the Chargers took their foot off the gas as they hung on for a close win in a game where KC had no first downs and 30 yards of offense in the first half. The Chargers have better numbers on both sides of the ball and have played a much tougher schedule. The Chiefs have some nice angles that pertain to them here tonight. However home dogs have not covered the last 310 years off 3 straight dog wins. KC has won the last 3 straight. However when they have played the good teams this year they have been shellacked. Detroit and Buffalo pasted then and they have wins over the Vikings and Colts no world beaters there. Last week they had the advantage of a bye week and caught Oakland in transition with C. Palmer splitting time at Qb. They took advantage with 2 Pick sixes in a 28-0 victory. Thinks figure to get much tougher in this one. KC is just 1-9 ats in division games off a division game and back to back wins vs an opponent that is 500 or better and 0-8 ats home off back to back wins and covers in October games. The Chargers have won 10 of the last 14 vs the Division and 11 of 15 as a road favorite of 3 or less. Look for the Chargers to put an end to the Chiefs 3 game win streak. Take San Diego.

On Sunday the Late Game Power System Play is on the Dallas Cowboys. Game 227 at 8:30 eastern. Dallas has won 8 of the last 11 vs teams under .500 and have new found success in the running game with Murray which should take some pressure off Romo. Dallas has covered 9 of the last 12 a dog . The Eagles are off a bye week and the whole country is aware of how good they are off a bye. They have split the last 2 years with rest so that trend may start to reverse some. The Eagles have lost 4 of the last vs Dallas and are 1-10 ats as a division favorite of 2 or more vs an opponent off a win and cover and 2-11 ats as a division homer vs an opponent off a win that played in back to back non division games.. Now to tie a nice system into the equation we note that home favorites off a bye week are a losing proposition vs an opponent that comes in off a win of 21 or more. Take the points with The Cowboys.

On Sunday the AFC Power Play is on the Pittsburgh Steelers. Game 224 at 4:15 eastern. The Steelers have home loss revenge here and are an eye popping 27-3 ats with revenge in the month of October long term. They are also 14-0 ats if they have revenge and are .500 or better and a dog of 10 or less vs a winning team. The best part of this play is a solid 3-19 system that plays against road favorites of 3 or less that are off a home favored win and spread loss vs an opponent off a win. The Patriots are 10-16 ats off a bye losing to the spread in the last two. The Patriots are better on offense but the Steelers are over 150 yards better on defense. Look for the Steelers to serve it up on a cold platter for last seasons 39-26 loss here. Take the Steelers.

On Sunday the NFC Top tier system play is on the St. Louis Rams. Game 214 at 1:00 eastern. The Rams are in a good spot here as far as line value. They are getting nearly 14 points here mainly due to the Big Saints destruction of The Colts and their loss to Dallas. However when we travel to the database and go back to 1978 we see that road favorites like the Saints are 0-16 ats off a home win vs an opponent off a road dog loss and a prior road loss if they are favored from -10.5 to -16. Another system is to play on non division home dogs that started 0-4 or worse off a straight up and ats loss vs an opponent off a win and cover. Their are a few variations of that system and the Rams fit all the subset with one of the stronger being if they scored 7 or less last out. The Saints in general are 0-8 ats as a team when off a double digit ats win vs an opponent off back to back losses. As my curiosity grew I checked to see how Road favorites of 10 or more did if they were favored by 10 or more at home last week and scored 42 or more. Amazingly they are just 1-6 ats since 1989. The Rams are not going to win this one. But they are going to hang in. Take the Rams.

On Monday night the NFL Totals system play is on the Under in the Baltimore at Jacksonville game. Rotation numbers 425/426 at 8:35 eastern. This game fits a solid Monday night Football specific totals system that plays tot he under for home dogs of 3 or more off back to back losses vs an opponent off a win and cover. Since 1993 this system has cashed 14 of 17 times and with a little subset goes perfect. The Jaguars have been anemic on offense and have gone under 5 of 6 this season and the last 5 times on Monday night. As a non division home dog they have played under in 8 straight. The Ravens have gone under in 3 of the past 4 Monday nighters and have one of the leagues best defenses. Jacksonville has a good defense as well. This game should be of the low scoring variety tonight. Take the Under.

On Sunday night the NFL Totals system Play is on the Under in the Colts at Saints game. Rotation numbers 423/424 at 8:30 eastern. This is the first meeting between these two since the 2010 Saints Super Bowl win. This game here tonight fits the 91% system below which plays to the under for all home teams since 1989 if they scored 21 or less as a road favorite, vs an opponent that scored 21 or less as a road dog and both teams rushed for under 100 yards in the previous game. Four of the last 5 in the series have played under and Saints have played under in 11 of 12 off a loss if the total is 45 or higher. They have also played under in 6 of the last 8 at home when the total is 45.5 to 49. Look for this one to play under the total.
O/U: 1-10-0 (-7.6)


Rushes Rush Yds Passes Completions Passing Yds TrnOvrs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final
Team: 28.0 122.5 32.8 19.9 202.2 2.4 3.5 6.5 2.8 5.8 18.6
Opp: 23.3 97.6 34.6 18.0 171.9 2.0 1.2 4.8 2.5 4.7 13.3

Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot
SUN 4 1991 SF STL H 3-0 7-10 3-0 14-0 27-10 -7' +38' 17 +9' -1' 4.0 -5.5 W W U 0
SUN 11 1993 NO GB H 0-3 14-7 0-3 3-6 17-19 -6' +37' -2 -8' -1' -5.0 3.5 L L U 0
SUN 2 1996 KC RAI H 0-0 7-0 7-0 5-3 19-3 -6' +37' 16 +9' -15' -3.0 -12.5 W W U 0
SUN 14 1997 CAR NO H 0-0 3-13 0-0 10-3 13-16 -9 +33 -3 -12 -4 -8.0 4.0 L L U 0
SUN 8 1998 GB BAL H 14-0 0-0 14-3 0-7 28-10 -11 +41' 18 +7 -3' 1.8 -5.2 W W U 0
SUN 17 1999 JAC CIN H 7-7 10-0 0-0 7-0 24-7 -9 +40 17 +8 -9 -0.5 -8.5 W W U 0
SUN 12 2000 MIA NYJ H 0-3 3-3 0-0 0-14 3-20 -3' +39 -17 -20' -16 -18.2 2.2 L L U 0
SUN 14 2001 TB DET H 0-0 7-3 0-6 8-3 15-12 -8' +36' 3 -5' -9' -7.5 -2.0 W L U 0
SUN 12 2003 MIN DET H 7-0 0-0 0-7 17-7 24-14 -10' +47 10 -0' -9 -4.8 -4.2 W L U 0
SUN 15 2005 RAI CLE H 0-0 7-3 0-3 0-3 7-9 -3 +38' -2 -5 -22' -13.8 -8.8 L L U 0
SUN 4 2010 GB DET H 7-0 14-14 7-6 0-6 28-26 -14' +46 2 -12' +8 -2.2 10.2 W L O 0
SUN 7 2011 NO IND H -14 +49'

On Sunday the MLB Play is on Texas. Game 958 at 8:05 eastern. Texas has won 12 straight off a single loss and have the benefit of seeing Cardinals starter Jacks from his days earlier in the season with Detroit. Jackson last start did not go well vs Texas as he was pulled after 5+ innings allowing 4 runs with 11 hits. He has a 5.05 road era and 5.84 in his last 3 starts. Holland goes for Texas and he has never faced the Cardinals. Texas has won 14 of his 19 home starts. Look for Texas to tie this up tonight. Take Texas.

On Sunday the Double totals system play is on the Under in the Steelers at Cardinals game. Rotation numbers 417/418 at 4:05 eastern. This game fits 2 solid totals systems. We want to go under the total for teams like Arizona that allowed 30 or more back to back before their bye, if they lost the last game and today's spread is +7 to -7 and the game is non division. The second system plays to the under for home dogs of less than 5 off a loss of 24 or more points, a prior road dog loss and ats loss, vs an opponent off a home favored win. Arizona has played under in 13 of 15 after a bye week and 5 of 6 as a dog of 4 or less. With the Steelers solid defense and inconsistent offense we will back the Under here.

On Sunday the Big Power system play is on Arizona. Game 418 at 4:05 eastern. Arizona fits a huge system that is very rare. Since 1980 home dogs of less than 5 off a road dog loss by 24 or more points and a prior road dog loss and ats loss are 11-2 straight up and 12-1 ats, if the opponent is off a home favored win. Coach Whisenhunt will have his team ready off the bye week and he is 16-1 ats vs non division opponents that won by a touchdown or more. The Cardinals are also 12-2 ats of late as a home dog of 4 or less. The Steelers are 0-11 ats if they are .500 or better and on the road vs an opponent who played an NFC game last out. The Steelers are also a poor 1-8 ats as a road favorite of -3 or more. Take the points in this one. Take Arizona.

On Sunday the NFL Shocker side is on Atlanta. Game 413 at 1;00 eastern. The Lions were upset last week by a surging 49ers team. Now they stay home to take on the Atlanta Falcons. That initial loss sets them up in a negative system that has cashed 21 of 23 times and has been the source of many winners for us through the years. We want to play against teams from week 6 on off their first loss if they are favored by less than 7 points. There is a also a sub set that pertains to their opponent which applies and makes it perfect. Atlanta is battle tested the last few years and will have no problem on a fast surface. They are an amazing 9-1 ats with coach Smith vs teams with a win percentage of .750 or higher. The Lions are just 2-8 straight up off their first loss of the season and coach Schwartz is 3-11 straight up off a loss. The Falcons get the cash here. Take Atlanta.

On Monday the NFL Monday night GOY is on the Miami Dolphins. Game 225 at 8:35 eastern. This game fits a perfect system that plays on any dog of 6 or more in week 4 or later with a win percentage of .110 or less that has rest. This system has cashed 23 straight since 1979. Another fine system that applies here is to play against home favorites of .6.5 or more that are off 3 straight losses. A third system plays against Monday night homers off back to back road losses, that one has cashed 11 of the last 13. There are various other systems that plays on Miami due to their rest and winless stats. We note that the Dolphins have covered 4 straight game fives, while the Jets are 0-9 ats as a home favorite vs an opponent off 3+ ats losses and 1-7 ats as a home favorite of 9 or less with revenge. Miami has won the last 2 here in New York and may due well now that Backup Moore had a full week to prepare, If he doesn't commit costly turnovers he will do better than Henne, who was a turnover machine. Look for a top effort here from Miami. Take the Dolphins.

On Sunday night the totals system is on the Over in the Vikings at Bears game. Rotation numbers 223/224 at 8:20 eastern. This game fits a 90% totals system that averages 50 points per game. We want to play the over for home favorites off a road dog loss at +6.5 or more and scored 14 or less points, vs an opponent that scored 28 or more with 150 or more yards rushing as a home favorite. The Vikings have gone over in 8 of 10 in weeks 5-8, while the Bears have gone over in 11 of 16 as a favorite. The Bears defense is not what it was and is allowing 419 yards per game. Look for a high scoring game here tonight. Take the over.

On Sunday the Late Afternoon Power System Side is on the Dallas Cowboys. Game 219 at 4:05 eastern. The Cowboys have had 2 weeks to stew in that Second half collapse at home vs Detroit. They will travel to New England energized and will face a front that will be able to get far less pressure n T. Romo here today. Look for Romo best game here today as he was heavily criticized for the Detroit loss. Dallas will be able to move the ball on a Patriots defense that allows well over 400 yards per game. The Patriots will see some new bye week looks from Dallas Defensive coordinator Rob Ryan. Whether this will slow down a Patriots team that gets 30 per game remains to bee seen. However with Dallas taking 7 points here we think the Cowboys will stay with The Patriots regardless as the Cowboys defense is 140 yards better. Patriots got their big Home playoff loss revenge win vs the Jets last week and may be flat with a bye next week as they have failed to cover 4 of the last 5 times vs Non division teams before a bye and 8 of 10 at home off a home game. Dallas is a perfect 9-0 straight up and ats on the road off a bye if they have a .500 or better record. The Cowboys have covered 5 of 6 as a dog from 3.5 to 9. Thye may not win, but they will hang in here. Take Dallas.

On Sunday the AFC Power System Play is on the Colts. Game 212 at 1:00 eastern. The Colts fit a Perfect system here today that plays on teams who have not won in game 6 if they are dogs off a loss by 2 touchdowns or less vs an opponent that is not undefeated and did not lose by 17 or more in their last game. The Colts have won 7 of here and the Bengals are 2-12 ats as a favorite, including 0-4 straight up at home from -3.5 to -7. The Colts are getting closer as M. Painter gets comfortable with regular playing time. The Colts also fit another system that has cashed 25 of 30 times and plays on road teams that are not favored by 4 or more if they are playing the first of 3+ road games. Coach Caldwell has covered all 9 times on the road vs a team with a winning record. Look for the Colts to get the cash here today plus the points

On Sunday the NFC East Power System play is on the Washington Redskins. Game 206 at 1:00 eastern. Last season we took Philly here at Washington on Monday night football and they humiliated the Skins nearly scoring 60 points. Washington not only has this one circled but they have a bye and will probably have many new wrinkles in their game plan to catch the Eagles off guard. For technical purposes we note that teams off a loss of 7 or more that are also off 3 consecutive straight up favored losses have failed to cover 97% of the time if we imply a little subset. The Eagles have failed to cover 13 of 15 times in October vs a divisional opponent that has revenge. Coach Shanahan has a solid spread record when playing off a bye, particularly vs losing teams. Look for the Washington to Skin the Eagles. Take Washington.

On Monday the NFL System Side is on the Chicago Bears. Game 429 at 8:35 eastern. The Lions are 4-0 in this one and won last week only because of 3 interceptions By Dallas Qb Tony Romo. The Lions fit a negative system that plays against home teams that scored 28 or more as a road dog last week, vs an opponent that scored 21 or more as a home favorite and rushed for 200 or more yards. This system goes perfect if the game is between Division rivals. Chicago has covered the last 9 times as a road dog vs a division team if they are off a non division game. The Bears are 3-0 of late on Monday night football, while the Lions are 1-4 on Monday nights. Detroit has lost 10 of 11 in week 5 and the last 6 in the series vs the Bears. Chicago is 11-1 ats as road dogs in October vs an opponent off a win. Take the points as the Bears as they have played tougher teams and will give the Lions a big game here tonight.

On Sunday the AFC Power System play is on the Denver Broncos. Game 426 at 4:15 eastern. Denver fits the solid game 5 system that pertains to 1-3 road teams in game 5 off a loss, vs a divisional opponent off a win. These teams are 22-3 ats. Denver has Tebow starting today and they should be energized in this one. Home dogs of less than 5 off a road loss where they allowed 40 or more points are 14-5 ats vs an opponent off a home favored win. The Chargers are 0-5 ats off a double digit non division win, and coach Turner is 1-10 ats off a win of 10 or more vs a team off back to back road games. Denver has been a solid home dog through the years. Look for them to stay in this one and maybe pull the upset. Take Denver.

On Sunday the NFL Power System Side is on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Game 421 at 4:05 eastern. The Niners fit a big negative system that pertains to home teams in this range off a road dog win at +10 or more, and a secondary system that plays against teams off back to back dog wins. Tampa is 13-3 ats on the road and won here 21-0 last season. They are 5-0 straight up vs NFC West teams. The Niners are 1-5 in game five and 0-5 straight up vs NFC South teams and 2-8 vs winning teams. Tampa played well enough to win big vs the Colts but were called for 13 penalties in a game where the refs did everything they could to keep the Colts in a gam where they could have been blown out. Tampa was called for several ghost calls while the Colts were never penalized for similar infractions. Tampa may very well win this one outright. Take the 3 points with Tampa.

On Sunday the NFC Power System Play is on Carolina. Game 414 at 1:00 eastern. The Panthers fit a solid system here today that plays on 1-3 road reams in game 5 off a loss, vs a division opponent that is off a win. These teams have covered 22 of 25 times. The Saints do not come marching in off back to back wins and covers vs an opponent off a loss as they have failed to cover the last nine times. They are also 2-16 ats as a division favorite of 7 or more.The Panthers have lit it up on offense and are 6-1 ats off 3+ ats wins vs divisional teams and have won 5 of the past 6 in game five of the season. Look for Carolina to hang with New Orleans here today.

On Sunday the AFC power System Play is on the KC. Chiefs. Game 405 at 1;00 eastern. The Chiefs apply to a solid system that plays on teams that are 1-3 on the year and off their first win if they are a road dog and won 7 or more last year. These teams have covered every time the past few seasons. The Colts were kept in the game thanks to the refs on Monday night and were not called for several penalties they committed. They have been out gained n every game despite covering spreads. The Chiefs are 30 straight up as a road dog of 3 or less the last 3 years and 10-0 ats as dogs vs losing teams that are off a non division game. Look for the Chiefs to make the Colts one step closer to getting A. Luck. Take the Chiefs.

On Monday the NFL Power system side is on the Tampa Bay Bucs. Game 238 at 8:35 eastern. This game fits 2 solid system and one of them pertains strictly to Monday night football. We want to play on non divisional Monday night home favorites off a win vs an opponent off a loss of 3 or more. This system has cashed 36 of 44 times. We also want to play against 0-3 road teams that are not off a shut out loss vs an opponent with one or more wins. The Colts have perhaps the wort backup Quarterback in the league in Painter and were only kept in last weeks loss to the Steelers due to turnovers. The Colts play decent defense at home but not so much on the road. Now they will from their cool dome to The warmer weather in Florida. Even worse is their 0-8 ats spread mark as non conference dogs vs an opponent off back to back wins and covers. The Colts have failed ats the last 3 times on Monday night football on the road off a loss. Tampa Bay has covered game 4 5 straight times, look for a comfortable win and cover here tonight. Take Tampa

NFL Play Denver

On Our Big Non Conference game is on Arizona. Game number 228 at 4:05 eastern. Giants had last weeks game against Philly circled since last year when Philly basically knocked them from playoff contention. This game is NOT circled and could be a big flat spot for New York. Road favorites off a road win are a 90% go against vs an opponent off a straight up favored loss. Arizona is 7-0 ats off back to back losses vs an opponent off a spread win of 10 or more, 12-2 ats as a home dog of less than 4 of 2+ losses, 9-2 home vs an opponent off a dog win and a perfect 10-0 if less than .500 and at home vs an opponent off a double digit ats win. Add in the Giants 0-9 ats spread mark if they are .500 or better and taking on an opponent off a division game and we have the Makings of a solid play on our home team. Take Arizona.

On Sunday in late Afternoon action our system side is on the Denver Broncos. Game number 231 at 4:15 eastern. Green Bay fits a great go against system that plays against any team that scored 24 or more points the first 3 weeks of the season and are now favored by 7 or more points and won their last game. This system goes all the way back to 1973. Even better is there are 3 parameters to this system and this game fits all of them. One we want to have the favorite lay 8 or more. 2. We want this to be a non division game an three our team must have at least one win. When all these things occur our play on team is 16-2 ats the last 38 years. Look for Denver to hang around, cant see Green Bay getting to excited for this one.

On Sunday the road warrior play is on the Vikings. Game 219 at 219 at 1:00 eastern. In week 4 games the road team is 7-3 straight up if both teams are 0-3 long term, since at least the late 70/s as it is somewhat rare. The key system though plays on deflated homers that are off a loss by 3 or less points as a double digit road dog last week. These hard trying losers bounce big when they get back home failing to cover 27 of 32 times. The Vikings are 11-2 ats as favorites in October games if -6 or less vs losing teams and 5-0 ats vs .333 or less teams in eek 9 or earlier. Look for the Vikings to get the win and cover here. Play the Vikings.

On Sunday the Power System Play is on the Bengals. Game 218 at 1:00 eastern. Buffalo fits a terrible system here in this one that plays against non division road teams that are 3-0 in week 4 if they are off a dog win. That system has cashed 92% adding a parameter or two. Buffalo may be as flat as a pancake for this one after coming back from a 21 point deficit in beating the Patriots last week. Coach C. Gailey is a horrid 0-9 ats if his team has a winning record and is on the road vs a winning team. The Bills have failed in 6 of the last in week 8. They are the first team to come back from 20+ points deficits in consecutive weeks. Look for the Bengals to get the cover today.

On Sunday night the Power System play is on the Colts. Game 424 at 8:25 eastern. The Colts should be fired up and play much better here tonight against a Steelers teams that fits the dreaded defending Super bowl loser road favorite scenario. These teams are 2-14 ats vs an opponent that was better than .500 last season if they are non divisional road favorites the last 31 years. The Steelers have failed to cover 11 of 14 times as double digit favorites vs losing teams that are off a loss and 1-7 ats as non division road favorites of more than 3 which plays hand in hand with the Super Bowl angle above. In fact the Steelers are 1-5 ats on Turf and 0-4 ats since 1992 as a road favorite of -10.5 or more. Most of the high percentage Colts angles are with P. Manning in the game. Tonight in front of a raucous home crowd look for the Colts to cash. Take the points.---BONUS Total in this game is to play the under as we note that playing the under in game 3 if a team is 0-2 straight up and ats and allowed 30 or more back to back. This system has played under 22 of 30 times since 1984 and does even better when the road team is off a win. Also of note the Steelers have gone under 9 of 10 times in game 2 or later vs winless teams.

On Sunday the Big NFC play is on Atlanta. Game 417 at 4:15 eastern. The Falcons fit my first 3 weeks of the season system that plays on certain division dogs vs an opponent that has revenge system which has cashed 52 of 65 times long term. I think Atlanta wins outright here today. However I will grab the point and a half here. Over thelast 11 years its worth noting that home teams in game 3 are 1-5 straight up and 0-6 ats. Which also plays against Tampa Bay here. Tampa is also just 2-7 ats when the line is -3 to +3 and they have lost the last 4 in the series. Coach Morris is 4-11 ats vs an oppnent off a win and 1-8 ats vs an opponent off a non division game. Look for Atlanta to get the win

On Sunday the MLB Perfect Angle Power Play is on Tampa Bay. Game 972 at 1:40 eastern. Tampa Bay looks to take the rubber game of this series knowing they have won the last 13 series here at home vs Toronto. Thye have W. Davis on the mound and have won 10 of his 14 home starts. B. Cecil makes the start today and he has dropped 8 of his last 9 team starts and has allowed 15 runs in 15 innings over his last 3 starts vs Tampa. He has also struggles in Division play losing 6 of 7 starts this season. Toronto has lost 19 of 17 here and the Rays are 80-29 as a home favorite in this range. Look for Tampa to get the Rubber game today.

On Sunday the AFC West game of the Year is on the KC. Chiefs. Game 411 at 4;05 eastern. Have I lost my mind taking a team that has been blown out in the first two weeks allowing 40 or more back to back with a starting running back that's gone for the season? No I'm not out of my mind. Here's why. Since 1977 all road dogs in game 3 that's are getting 12.5 or more points are 16-2 ats. Last year Buffalo was taking 15 from the Patriots and lost by 8. I admit these dogs are not pretty, Buy we will take 16 of 18 over 34 years any time. The Chiefs are also 12-0 ats on the road off a straight up non divisional loss, vs an opponent off a loss. and 8-0 ats as a road dog off a non division loss, if also off back to back losses, vs an opponent off a loss. They are 9-1 ats with division revenge off 2 losses, while Chargers coach Norv Turner is 0-8 ats in September off a loss of 10 or more and 1-8 ats as a double digit division favorite. KC has covered all 3 times as a road dog of +14.5 to 21 over the years and the Chargers have failed both times as a home favorite from -14.5 to -21 the past few years. As for J. Charles being out. T. Jones should be able to fill the bill. Look for M. Cassel to play better and the Chargers are the type of team that can keep you in a game, as evidenced by 280 yards in the first half of game one against the Vikings that resulted in just 7 points. Look for the Chiefs to play hard and get the cover here today.

On Sunday the NFL Game of the Month is on the Denver Broncos. Game 405 at 1:00 eastern. We want to play against the Titans here as favorites of 6 or more that come in off a home dog win have failed to cover 14 of 16 times if they lost 10 or more games last season. The Broncos have won 4 of the 5 in the series including a win here last season as a 6 point dog. The Titans are 12-28 ats long term as a home favorite from -3.5 to -7 including 1-5 more recently. They will likely be flat coming off a big home dog win vs Baltimore. Denver is 9-0 ats off back to back home games, if their opponent is off a non divisional home win. Denver has won 7 of the past 9 years in game 3 of the season and Coach Fox is 10-1 ats as a dog of both teams are off a win. Look for Denver to stay within the number and get the cover

On Monday the 19-1 Power System side is on the Rams. Game 227 at 8:35 eastern. The Rams fit a solid system that has cashed 19 of 20 times and plays on non divisional road teams in game 2 if both teams are off a loss, our team is getting more than 4 and the opponent lost by 5 or more points. The Rams have covered 2 of the last 3 vs the NFC East and 7 of 9 on Monday night football vs an opponent off a loss of 10 or more. The Giants are 1-4 ats off a loss and 0-6 ats on Monday night football if coming in off a straight up favored loss, and 1-6 ats as Monday night favorites vs an opponent off a straight up and ats loss. Take the 7 points here with the Rams.

On Sunday the Sunday night Power System Play is on the Atlanta Falcons. Game 226 at 8:25 eastern. Atlanta qualifies in a solid home dog system that plays on home dogs off a road favored loss. When a dog of 3 or less they have many outright wins. The Falcons are 7-0 against the spread as a dog off a loss and coach Smith is 9-0 home vs non division teams off a loss. The Falcons have covered 4 of the last 5 in game two of the season and are one of the top home teams in the league. Falcons wont want M. Vick to beat them here. Philly will be good this season. However this is a tough spot. Take Atlanta.

On Sunday the Late afternoon system winner is on the Chargers. Game 221 at 4:15 eastern, This game fits a solid system that plays on road dogs in game 2 off a win and spread loss in game one, vs na opponent that won and covered. The Patriots are coming off a big division win on Monday night and have failed to cover in 9 of 13 applications as a non division favorite off a monday night game. The Chargers are 13-3 ats when the total is 49.5 or higher including 6-1 on the road. They have home loss revenge for a close loos last season and Philip Rivers has cahed 10 of 15 times as a dog. Look for the Chargers to get the cash.

On Sunday the Early Triple System power Pack has Tennessee. Game 208 at 1:00 eastern. The Titans apply to a solid system that plays on home dogs off a road favored loss, Baltimore failed to cover their last 5 games in the first of back to back road games. The Titans have covered 4 of the past 5 in the series. Baltimore played their best game last week with playoff revenge in a big win vs the Steelers, this should be a much closer game. Take the points with the Titans. Also on Sunday we the Tampa Bay Bucs. Game 213 at 1:00 eastern. Tampa fits a solid long term system that dates to 1980 and plays on certain game 2 road dogs off a loss, if their opponent is also off a loss. Tampa has won all 4 games vs the Vikings since they left the division. Coach Moris is a road warrior covering 12 of 15 at opposing venues. Tampa can pull the upset here against a Vikings team that played awful on defense last week in San Diego. Take Tampa. On Sunday in Detroit we have a solid Non conference game as the Chiefs take on Detroit. We are backing the Chiefs here on Sunday. Game 199 at 1:00 eastern. Detroit qualifies in a negative long term week 2 system that plays against home favorites of 3 or more in game 2 if they were a week one dog winner and their opponent is off a straight up and favored ats loss. KC has covered all 5 in the series and will play much better than last weeks blowout home loss to Buffalo. KC was a playoff team last year and should be much more competitive here today against a Detroit team that has failed to cover in 24 of 30 applications as a favorite, vs an opponent off a loss. Finally the Lions are 0-7 ats off a dog win vs AFC Teams. Take the Chiefs today.

On Sunday the NFL Dog of the Month is on the Seattle Seahawks. Game 209 at 1:00 eastern. There are several high end systems that pertain to this game. All favor Seattle. Lets take a look at some of them. First we want to play on non divisional teams in game 2, if both teams are off a loss and our team is +4.5 or more and lost by 5 or more points. A secondary system is to play against home favorites in non conference games if they are less than .500 are off a road dog loss and with no cover, vs an opponent also off a road loss with no cover. These home favorites are 9-18 straight up and 6-21 ats since 1980. In the month of September Seattle is 8-0 ats on the road vs an opponent off a loss of 10 or more. The Steelers are 1-9 ats as favorites vs less than .500 teams off a road game with Tomlin and 0-7 ats as double digit favorites vs a losing team that lost by 10 or more. Just because The Steelers were blown out last week and will want to win this one big, Doesn't mean they will. With Seattle 6-2 as in the series we will look there way here today as they stay within the number. Take Seattle

KC Power system Dog at 1 eastern

On ,Monday night the NFL Power System Play is on the Oakland Raiders. Game 481 at 10:15 eastern. The Raiders fit a Powerful Revenge system I use that applies for the first few weeks of the season as we simply want to play on certain dogs vs an opponent with revenge in divisional games. This system has been a big cash cow for many seasons. The Raiders are 10-2 ats in Divisional games. Denver has failed to cover in 11 of the last 13 home favored applications and are 0-5 ats at home Oakland the past few seasons. No surprise if Oakland wins this one. Take the points.

On Sunday the AFC Power System Play is on the Baltimore Ravens. Game 454 at 1:00 eastern. The Ravens fit a solid week one opening game system that plays on divisional home team as a dog or favorite of less than 4 that won 8 or more games last season. Baltimore has double revenge including payback for a playoff loss. The Ravens are 5-1 in September games and their coach has won 26 of 31 as a favorite. Baltimore long term is 26-8 straight up at home when the total is 35.5 to 38. The Steelers fit the Super bowl loss, opening road game system that has these teams at 2-12 ats since 1984. These games have been closely contested battles with most games the last 3 seasons getting decided by 4 or less points. Today, However we look or Baltimore to exact some revenge here at home. Take Baltimore.

On Sunday the NFC Power system side is on the Chicago Bears. Game 458 at 1:00 eastern. Atlanta fits a negative system that plays against teams who open up as a favorite in gam one after failing to win a game in the preseason, vs an opponent who was a winning team last season. Chicago has covered 4 of 5 most recently as a home dog and has won 5 of the last 6 in September games. In the series they have won every time here at home since 1992 vs Atlanta. Game one home dogs or favs of 3 or less have cashed at an 82% clip. Look for the Bears to get the cash vs Atlanta. Take Chicago

On Sunday the NFL Total of the week is on the Under in the Buffalo at KC Game. Rotation numbers 459/460 at 1:00 eastern. This game has a serious amount of Under angles for both sides. Lets take a look see. Buffalo has gone under in 10 of 12 in game one, 9 of 12 when the total is 40 to 43, and 6 of 8 vs the AFC West. KC has gone under every time the past few years before a non conference road game, 11 of 14 vs the AFC East, 6 of 8 as favorites of -6 or more, and 15 of 16 in their first home game. In the series 8 of the last have gone under here. Look for this game to be similar to last years game a low score bore as both teams still have struggles on offense with their first team in the preseason. Take the under.

On Sunday the AFC Championship selection is on the New York Jets. Game 305 at 6:30 eastern. The Jets fit a solid system here tonight. We want to play on teams in the playoffs off a dog win at +7 or more. These teams have covered 6 of the last 8 times. While many think these teams will bounce they continue to play well. The Jets as a team are 9-1 ats off a straight up dog win. They have covered 6 of 7 vs AFC North teams, are 8-2 ats off a division win and have won 6 of 8 as a dog. AFC Hosts may have won the last 4 Championship games. However they are just 20-18-1 ats. The Steelers are 0-5 ats as a non division favorite in the AFC Championship game. Pittsburgh is 1-6 ats off 3+ ats wins and 3-9 ats in their last 12 games after scoring 31 or more points. The Jets already won here this year in a game that they should have lost. With the Steelers driving late the Jets were not called on 2 clear cut end zone pass interference call which would have set them up with a first and goal. They ended up losing 22-17 despite outplaying the Jets in the stats. That win will do more for the Jets confidence than it will for the Steelers and the revenge factor. Pittsburgh came from behind last week vs Baltimore in a game they would not have won if it were not for the Ravens turn overs in the second half. The Jets played better last wek against an offense that had scored 30 or more in 11 straight games prior. The Steelers do not possess that type of offense. The Jets must bot let Rothlisberger beat them on the chaotic plays that break down. That's when he's at his best. On Offense the Jets may look to be unorthodox and throw the ball first to loosen the Steelers up for the run game. The Jets had to deal with V. Wilfork last week so they will be up for the challenge. For those who suggest the Jets cannot run on the Steelers, they would be wise to know the Jets were one of only 2 teams to get 100 or more rush yards on them this year. The Jets will have B. Smith back for this one. They will disguise their blitz packages and take advantage of an offensive line that is not close to what they have seen the past 2 weeks. Look for the Jets to drop bombs on the Steelers. Take the Jets.

On Sunday the NFC Play is on the Chicago Bears. Game 304 at 3:00 eastern. The Bears fit a multitude of systems here today. Lets look at some of them. We want to play on certain home teams in the Championship game off an ats win vs an opponent that allowed 10 or more points. This has cashed 20 of 24 times through the years. Championship home teams have covered 28 of 40 times if they are off a win and cover and their opponent is off 2 straight wins and covers. Teams off a win of 21 or more in the playoffs are 4-9 ats since 2002. Teams who are an underdog and have the better record are an 85% system if they have a win percentage of .600 or better. NFC Hosts are 24-14-2 ats since 1970. The Home team has won 6 of 7 in the series. The Bears won here in a big Monday night game. Theres no reason they cant cover a 4 point spread here today. The Bears are 6-1 ats the last 7 vs winning teams, 6-1 ats as division home dogs vs .500 or better and were 15 points BETTER than Green Bay in the Hank Stram Superbowl system. The Packers are 1-4 ats off a win of 20 or more this season. With the Public all over the Packers we will back the Bears. The Dog is 7-3 ats in the NFC Championsip games the past 10 years. Take Chicago today.

On Sunday the NFL Playoff system Play is on the New York Jets. Game 115 at 4:30 eastern. These two split the season series with each team winning at home. The Patriots demolished the Jets on Monday night football 45-3 to send a message that the road to the Super bowl will once again go through New England. The Jets were able to pull out a tough one in Indianapolis on Saturday and will be a heavy dog in this one. Rex Ryan in a move to take the pressure off his players says the match up is personal between him and Coach Belichick. As usual Belichick was tight lipped preferring to not offer up any bulletin board material. Jet Running back Ladanian Tomlinson promised the Patriots the Jets would be back, in the waning moments of that blowout loss last time around. The Jets are taking nine points here this time. The Patriots apply to a negative system that plays against playoff home favorites off back to back straight up and ats wins of 10 or more points vs an opponent that comes in off a win of 3 or less points. These teams are just 3-10 straight up and 1-12 ats since 1991. The Jets also apply to a solid dog system that plays on playoff dogs that allowed 17 or less points in each of the last 2 games vs an opponent that scored 30 or more points in their last game. This system was 23-7 ats going into Saturday. In closing the Jets may not win. However they should make this game very competitive taking this many points.

On Sunday the NFL Power system Play is on the Chicago Bears. Game 114 at 1:00 eastern. The Bears are rested and ready here. They have revenge for an earlier home loss to the Seahawks 23-20 as a 6 point home favorite. Had they won that game maybe they would take Seattle lightly. The Bears will look to get their offense back on track after scoring just 3 points in Green Bay 2 weeks ago in the regular season finale that saw them play their starters throughout. They should have a much easier time against a Seattle defense that has been mediocre at best on the road. For the systems that apply to this game. We want to play against any team that defeated the Super Bowl champion in its last game if they are playing in any playoff game other then the super bowl. Knocking out the champions is such a high for these teams that they bounce big in the next game. These teams have lost every time and have covered just once since 1975. A secondary system plays against teams that allowed 28 or more points and won if they are a dog or favorite of less than 6. Home teams off a bye week that scored less than 10 points on the road and are taking on an opponent that scored 28 or more at home have won and covered every time since 1989 as well. Seattle will not win here. They are 1-11 straight up on the road off a home win. When they lose they lose by 15 or more points. Chicago defense will give Hasslebeck and the Seattle offense a tough time here. This game could get ugly as Seattle wont have the home crowd to help get them back into the game like they last week when they got down against the Saints. Look for Bears to win comfortably. Play for 7 UNITS WITH A BUY DOWN TO 9.5---

On Saturday Afternoon the NFL Divisional Playoff Power Play is on the Baltimore Ravens. Game 109 at 4:30 eastern. The Ravens have a plethora of solid situations on their side here today. What we want to do is play on road dogs of 3 or less that have a better win percentage than their opponent. With the Ravens win over KC they now have a 13-4 record which is higher then The Steelers at 12-4. This system after last weeks Jets win is now 15-3 ats. Another fine system is to play on playoff underdogs that allowed 17 or less in back to back games, vs an opponent that scored 30 or more in their last game. This system has cashed 23 of 30 times and sometimes picks some Ugly dogs. The Ravens are playing with revenge form a Home loss to the Steelers in a game where they blew it late with a turnover deep in their own end. Balty is 8-2 ats as a road dog of 3 or less. The Last 6 games have been decided by 4 or less points and the Ravens are 4-0 ats on the road after scoring 21 or more as a road favorite. Look for the Ravens to get the cash. Buy the half to 3.5 that's how were grading this one.

On Sunday the 5* NFC Power System side is on the Eagles. Game 108 at 4:30 eastern. The Eagles fit a 100% Playoff Power system which plays on home team with a certain win percentage that come in off a home loss. The Subset which is perfect plays on teams who are off 2 straight home losses and are now home in the first round. These teams are unbeaten. Coach Reid has never lost a first round game with the Eagles. A Third system plays on first round homers with revenge. This is a much better and different team than in week 1 when the Packers escaped with a 27-20 win. M. Vick appears to have shaken the nagging injuries he's had the past 2-3 weeks and will give Green Bay fits all day today. The Packers were spent last week in an all out war at home with a Chicago team that played their starters the whole game. Look for the Eagles to soar past the Packers today. Take the Eagles

KC ON SUNDAY

On Saturday the NFL Totals Play is on the Over in the Saints at Seahawks game. Rotation numbers 101/102 at 4:30 eastern. The Saints have gone over 7 of 8 times in playoff games since 1992 and 5 of the last 3 years vs NFC West teams. There road games have averaged 47 points per game this season. Seattle has gone over 10 of 12 times as a dog this year and all 4 times vs NFC South teams. When they play winning teams they have played over 6 of 7 times. Look for this game to be played at a fast pace. Expect a higher scoring game, especially with Hasslebeck Back.

On Sunday night the 94% NFL Totals play is on the Over in the Rams at Seahawks game. Rotation numbers 327/328 at 8:25 eastern. This game is backed with the exclusive never before released Power System that averages nearly 53 points per game. The Seahawks have gone over 10 of 11 times as a dog. See system Below

O/U: 11-1-0 (9.0) avg total: 44.0 +6: 12-0-0 (100.0%) +10: 12-0-0 (100.0%) +13: 12-0-0 (100.0%)


Rushes Rush Yds Passes Completions Passing Yds TrnOvrs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final
Team: 27.3 115.1 35.1 23.6 278.4 1.5 6.4 10.7 5.0 8.8 30.8
Opp: 25.9 101.6 33.9 21.0 222.3 2.2 4.2 5.3 3.7 8.9 22.1

Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot
SUN 12 1995 GB CLE A 7-3 14-0 3-3 7-14 31-20 -5' +41' 11 +5' +9' 7.5 2.0 W W O 0
SUN 2 2000 STL SEA A 3-3 10-7 7-10 17-14 37-34 -8 +46 3 -5 +25 10.0 15.0 W L O 0
SUN 8 2004 GB WAS A 3-0 14-7 3-0 8-7 28-14 -2 +40' 14 +12 +1' 6.8 -5.2 W W O 0
SUN 11 2004 IND CHI A 7-3 20-0 14-0 0-7 41-10 -8 +44' 31 +23 +6' 14.8 -8.2 W W O 0
SUN 15 2004 MIN DET A 7-3 7-10 0-0 14-14 28-27 -3 +48' 1 -2 +6' 2.2 4.2 W L O 0
SUN 3 2005 DAL SF A 0-7 12-17 7-7 15-0 34-31 -6' +40' 3 -3' +24' 10.5 14.0 W L O 0
SUN 16 2006 CHI DET A 3-7 14-0 0-14 9-0 26-21 -5 +42 5 0 +5 2.5 2.5 W P O 0
SUN 16 2006 IND TEX A 7-14 7-7 3-0 7-6 24-27 -9 +47 -3 -12 +4 -4.0 8.0 L L O 0
SUN 17 2006 STL MIN A 10-7 14-0 10-0 7-14 41-21 -2 +44 20 +18 +18 18.0 0.0 W W O 0
SUN 2 2007 IND TEN A 6-3 10-3 6-7 0-7 22-20 -7 +46 2 -5 -4 -4.5 0.5 W L U 0
SUN 5 2009 MIN STL A 14-0 3-3 7-0 14-7 38-10 -10' +41 28 +17' +7 12.2 -5.2 W W O 0
SUN 5 2010 NO ARZ A 10-0 3-10 0-3 7-17 20-30 -6' +46 -10 -16' +4 -6.2 10.2 L L O 0
SUN 17 2010 STL SEA A -3 +41'

On Sunday the Late Power System Play is on the SD. Chargers. Game 331 at 4:15 eastern. The Chargers fit a late never lost Power System that plays on road favorites off a game where they were a road favorite of 3 or more and scored 21 or less vs an opponent that scored 21 or more. The Chargers are 11-3 straight up and ats long term as a road favorite of 3 or less and 10-1 in the last 4 weeks of the season. Denver is off a come from behind win at home vs Houston in a game where they need a major rally against a defense that is amongst the worst in the league. They will have a much tougher test here today vs a Charger team that is 100 yards better on defense and 40 yards better on offense and that without calculating how much Tebow will struggle against this defense. The Broncos are 2-9 in the last 4 weeks of the season and 1-6 straight up and ats with revenge. Look for the Chargers to get the win and cover. Play the Chargers


On Sunday the NBA System Side is on the Atlanta Hawks. Game 8-3 at 3:35 eastern. The Hawks fit a solid system here today. What we want to do is play on road favorites with rest if the line is +3 to -3 and they are a road dog and shot 45% or better in their last game vs an opponent that also shot 45% or better as a home dog of 4 or less. These road teams are 11-1 straight up and ats since 1995. The Hawks won last years game here by 18 points. They have won and covered 3 of 4 as a road favorite of 3 or less and have won 15 of 20 vs losing teams. The Clippers have lost 3 of 4 as a short home dog and are 1-7 straight up and ats at home when the total is 189 to 195. Look for the Hawks to get the win. Lay the small number. Take Atlanta

NFL Tier 2 play Baltimore

On Sunday the NFL Power system play is on the Tampa Bay Bucs. Game 325 at 1:00 eastern. What we want to do in this game is play against Defending Super Bowl champions are 1-7 ats as a favorite of -4 or more in their last regular season of late. Division Dogs that have a winning record have covered 85% of the time if they have revenge, if the opponent is off a road win we really hit the peak. The Bucs are 8-0 ats as dogs off a non division win and cover if they won by 10 or more. They have been road warriors this season with 6 covers. They have covered 6 of the last 7 here in NO. Domes are no problem at all as they have covered 6 of 7 the last 3 years. Over the last 3 years they are 4-0 ats on the road from 7.5 to +10. They have major Blowout revenge and catch the Saints off a Monday night dog win in Atlanta their biggest win of the season. The Saints are 2-17 ats as a division favorite of 7 or more and 2-11 ats off a dog win vs an opponent with revenge. Deep down they know that Atlanta will not lose to Carolina, they are locked into the top wildcard slot. They will most likely win, But this game will be a dog fight. Take the points.

Bonus Late season Qualifier plays- ALL Go at 1 eastern. Indy Colts game # 304- Patriots game # 306- Jets game # 322

On Tuesday night the NFL Totals play is on the over in the Vikings at Eagles game. Rotation numbers 1133/34 at 8:00 eastern. This game fits a solid total system that plays to the over for road dogs of 10 or more if the total is 40 or higher and the road team scored 21 or less at home last week vs an opponent that scored 35 or more on the road last week. These games have played over 12 of 14 times since 1995. If we insist that the home team tonight which is Phily had 150 or more yards rushing last out the system goes perfect and averages 60 points per game. Philly should have no problem putting up points here tonight. Their defense is far from great so Minnesota may put up some points and get us over the total here tonight. The Vikings have played over the total 5 of 6 times as a road dog of 10 or more. The Eagles have played over 10 of 14 this year. Look for this one to go over the total.

On Monday night the NFL play is on the NO.Saints. Game 131 at 8:35 eastern. The Saints have home loss revenge on their minda here in Atlanta tonight. The good part is they are 9-2 with revenge including 3-0 the last 3 years. In the first game the Falcons ran roughshod ver the Saints in route to a close 3 point win. The Saints are 4-1 on Monday night football. The Falcons are just 4-10 in Monday night games. They come home tonight off 3 straight road wins and covers. The Saints are off a 30-24 loss to Baltimore. If anyone can melt Matty Ice it will be the Saints. They did win here last year. Take the Saints plus the points.

On Sunday the 100% NFL Power system Play is on the New York Giants. Game 127 at 4:15 eastern. The Giants fit a 100% system here today that wins by an average 15 points per game. What we want to do is play on road teams if the line is +3 to -3 and our team scored 21 or more at home with a total that was more than 40 and the opponent scored 21 or more as a road dog of 10 or more points. On top of the fine system we note that the visitor is 5-0 straight up since 1998 in this series. Many will see Qb Rogers back for Green Bay and remember what M.Vick did to the Giants late in their 4th quarter collapse and think that New York is finished. However the Giants have a lot of poise. They have played in many big games in recent years and will surprise everyone with a solid performance here today. Take the Giants plus the points today.

On Sunday the NBA Play of the day is on the Chicago Bulls. Game 505 at 6:10 eastern. The Pistons fit a negative system here tonight that plays on Against home dogs with rest that scored 110 or more as a road dog in their prior game if they are playing an opponent that was a road dog in their last game. The Pistons are off a big road dog win 115-93 in their last game, while the Bulls lost in New York on Saturday. The Bulls have won the last 8 in the series and have covered both times as a road favorite in this range this season. They have wont 10 of 12 vs losing teams this season. The Pistons are just 3-11 vs winning teams and have failed to cover every time this season off a win of 10 or more points. Look for Chicago to rebound tonight and continue their dominance in this series. Take the Bulls

NFL Power system play on Cleveland

Sunday NFL Triple pack is on the Buffalo Bills. Game 116 at 1:00 eastern. Miami game 106 at 1:00 eastern and KC. Game 122 at 1:00 eastern. Buffalo fits 3 big systems here today. This one plays against teams like the Patriots that are road favorites off home favored win at -7 or more but failed to cover. The Bills fit a home dog off a road dog win system and should be very competitive today. In the Miami game we are playing against the Detroit Lions who finally got a road win. They apply to a system that plays against non conference teams off back to back dog wins. Miami has been inept at home this year. Today they get it done vs a dome team coming to Florida. In Game 3 we take KC who cashed us out good last week as our 7* GOY. Today they fit 2 solid game 15 systems. One of the systems is 17-3 ats the other is 34-9 ats. Look for KC to get the cash today.

On Saturday the NFL Game 15 Super side play is on the Dallas Cowboys. Game 103 at 7:30 eastern. The Cowboys fit a week 15 system here tonight that plays on road teams in game 15 that are on the road next week to close out the season if they are taking on an opponent that is off straight up and against the spread loss. This system has cashed 34 of 47 times since 1980. Dallas will look to improve on defense as they have allowed 30 or more the last 4 games. That however was against some high powered offensive teams. Tonight they take on an anemic Arizona offense that averages over 100 yards less than Dallas does. The Cowboys have covered 16 of 21 in the series off a an ats loss. Dallas is 3-1 ats on the road when the total is 45.5 to 49, while Arizona is just 3-7 ats as a dog. Look for Dallas to coast for once in a solid win and cover. Take Dallas

On Monday night the NFL System play is on the Minnesota Vikings. Game 332 at 8:35 eastern. The Vikings qualify in a never lost system that dates to 1989. What we want to do is play on home dogs if the total is 34 or less if they scored 21 or less and their opponent also scored 21 or less at home in their last game. Ironically the Home dog has won the game straight up every time. While I don't think they will win the game here with 3rd string Qb Weber I do think that the game will be more competitive than last weeks 21-3 loss to the Giants. The Bears were man handled by the Patriots and are 0-3 as a favorite from 3.5 to -9. The Vikings are 8-2 with division revenge at home and 4-1 ats on Monday night football. Look for the Vikings to get the cover tonight.


On Monday the NCAAB Power totals play is on the over on the North Colorado at Colorado St. game. Rotation numbers 531/532 at 9:00 eastern. This game has several solid over angles. North Colorado will look to improve their shooting performance as they have shot progressively worse the last 3 games. They have played over in 17 of 23 off a non conference game and 75% of the time as a road dog in this range. Colorado St is coming off their worst performance thus far in a loss to Kansas which saw them shoot only 28% from the field. They are a hot shooting team and have shot over 50% the prior 6 games before Kansas. They have gone over 10 of 14 times after scoring 60 or less and 11 of 16 vs losing teams. Both games in the series have played over. Look for this one to go over the total as well.

On Sunday the Big revenger play is on the Denver Broncos. Game 307 at 4:14 eastern. Denver plays with major home loss revenge for a 59-14 pasting. Same season revengers off a road favored loss ae 35-14 ats long term. The Broncos are 6-1 ats on the road after scoring 7 or less. Oakland is a poor home favorite and is just 1-9 ats vs Losing teams. Thye are 3-12 ats at home vs divisional teams that are less than .500 and have revenge. K. Orton will not play in this one. Instead we will see T. Tebow. Look for Denver to get the cash

On Sunday the Big totals system is on the Over in the Jets at Steelers game. Rotation numbers 325/326 at 4:15 eastern. This game fits a tight totals system I use. What we want to do is play the over for road teams that were home favorites of 3 or more and scored 9 or less points vs an opponent that scored 21 or less as a home favorite. These games have played over 15 of 17 times averaging 45 points per game. And yes I have a 100% Subset that remains for my eyes. Both offenses have been dismal. The Steeles haven't done much the past 2 games managing just 9 points last week. They had 2 defensive touchdowns. The Jets haven't put up a score since thanks giving in an actual offensive series. Today this will change as Both teams will open it up. The Steelers are without T. Polamalu today which will be a key loss. The Jets defensive signal callers are done in Leonard and E. Smith. The Jets have gone over the total all 6 times on the road this season and 8 of 10 times in the second half vs winning teams. Pittsburgh has gone over 13 of 17 times off a division game and 4 of 5 times vs AFC East teams. Look for the Steelers to snap their 4 game under streak. Play the over in this one.

On Sunday the NFL Play is on the Seattle Seahawks. Game 324 at 4:05 eastern. The Seahawks are taking 7 points here today. They are a decent 4-2 at home and catch the Falcons in a tough scheduling spot. Atlanta off 2 impressive road wins are playing their 3rd straight road off 2 wins and covers. Their is a perfect system that dates to 1980 and plays against certain teams in the 3rd game of a 3+ road trip. Another system is alos in play. What we want to do is play on non division road favorites of 6.5 or more that won by 20 or more and scored 42 or less vs an opponent that did not lose by more than 20 ats. A secondary system is to play against road favorites off a win streak of 4 or more games if they lost the previous road game prior the win streak. Both system are high percentage systems long term. Seattle should give Atlanta a tough game here today, especially with the Falcons very well aware of the big showdown game next week vs the Saints. Take the points in this one.

On Sunday the 7* NFL DAISY CUTTER GOY is on the Kansas City Chiefs. Game 303 at 1:00 eastern. The Chiefs are coming off one of the poorest offensive performances in recent times. They totaled just 67 yards in a 31-0 loss at San Diego last week. That loss sets them up in a bevy of systems. The Best of which is 100% and wins by over 10 points per game. What we want to do is play on road teams if the line is +3 to -3 and they were road dogs of 7 or more with a total of 40.5 or more and they had less than 100 yards rushing and less than 150 yards passing. KC had B. Croyle making the start last week in a crucial divisional game. This hand cuffed the Chiefs from the start. Now they know they have to win. The Good news is the probable return of starting Qb Cassel. A secondary system that dates to 1980 plays on small road favorites off a 24 pr more point road loss. The Rams are off a blowout loss to the Saints. They have not been good against teams with a winning record. They are 3-16 straight up, including 0-9 the last 3 years. They are 1-6 as a home dog of 3 or less and 1-10 at home when the total is 42.5 to 45. KC is 3-1 vs winning teams this year and 18-5 vs NFC West teams. The Chiefs are 8-1 ats vs non divisional teams on the road off a loss of 10 or more and the Rams are 2-7 ats home off a loss of 10 or more vs an opponent off a loss and failed cover. Look for the Chiefs to win this one here today as the NFC West continues to be a mess and the AFC West heats up. Take the KC Chiefs +3

On Thursday the Triple System NFL Play is on the San Francisco 49 ers. Game 301 at 8:20 eastern. The Niners are the beneficiaries of 3 big systems tonight. What we want to do is play against home favorites of 6 or more in their 3rd straight home game if the total is 45 or less. Secondly we want to play against non division home favorites off a home shutout win of 13 or more points vs an opponent that has a win percentage of less than .666. Third system plays on road dogs off a home favorite win of 14 or more and a prior loss of 14 or more as a road dog. This beauty is 20-2 Since 1980. The Niners are 7-1 ats as a non conference dog of 4 or more, 3-0 on Thursdays and 7-2 in the last 4 weeks of the season. The Chargers are just 1-3 vs losing teams. In the series they have lost 2 of the last 3 here at home. When the Chargers are playing a non division team after allowing 10 or less they are just 1-5 ats. Look for the Niners to keep this one close. Take the points with San Francisco.

On Monday night the NFL Power system Play is on the Baltimore Ravens. Game 133 at 8:35 eastern. The Ravens qualify in a solid system here that plays on road favorites off home favored loss that scored 14 or less points vs an opponent that scored 21 or more as a road dog and had 300 or more yards passing. On Top of this System we note the Balty is 12-0 vs teams with a losing record, while Houston has lost 3 of 4 vs winning teams this season. In the month of December the Ravens are 13-1 ats vs a non division team if they are playing off a home loss. The have a defense that is over 80 yards better. In fact Houston has allowed 24 or more points in every game except one, or 11 of 12 this season. Balty is 12-1 ats when they score 24 or more points on the road the past few seasons. The Texans have lost all 3 meetings vs Baltimore as well. Look for the Ravens to come out with a chip on their shoulder. Take the Ravens

On Sunday night the NFL Power Play side is on the Philadelphia Eagles. Game 131 at 8:20 eastern. This is the first match betwen theses 2 NFC east Division rivals. The last time they played Dallas was a Perennial playoff team and knocked Philly out of the Playoffs with a 34-14 victory. Things have changed drastically this season as Dallas is in last place and Philly is in a battle for first with the Giants. This game fits a nice system that plays on Road favorites that are coming in off a Thursday game vs an opponent off a win and Both teams scored 28 or more in the last game. The Eagles are 5-1 off Thursday games and have covered 10 of the last 12 in the second week of December. Dallas is 0-6 ats in the second week and 0-8 ats off a non divisional road win vs an opponent off a win. There will be no Dez Bryant in this one for Dallas.. The Eagles have edges on both sides of the ball and will feel added pressure once the Giants dispatch of Minnesota earlier in the day. Look for Dallas to win and cover here tonight.

On Sunday the 25-3 Power system Side is on the New England Patriots. Game 109 at 4:15 eastern. While many will fade the Patriots and chalk up their big win as just the extra motivation of revenge and longer preparation we wont. The Patriots fit a Never before released 25-3 Power System that pertains to teams who scored 30 or more while allowing less than 10 on Monday night. Popular thinking assumes these teams will fall flat. The exact opposite happens. The Patriots are a unique team when it comes to game planning and preparation. They are favored here for a reason. While Chicago has 6 dog wins to their credit and a better statistical defense. The Patriots are better on offense and will be able to throw the ball on a Chicago team that will surrender big plays if they do not get to Brady. The Patriots defense has played much better and the hidden truth is that they are always ahead in their games to the point where other teams amass a lot of yards trying to play Catch up. The Patriots have won 4 of the last 5 in the series and are 5-0 vs winning teams. They are 9-1 in non conference games and 8-1 in December. The Bears coach Smith is 0-7 as in December off back to back wins. The Patriots actually win by a larger margin on the road than Chicago does at home. Look for the Patriots to get the win and cover.

On Sunday the NFL Totals Play is on the Over in the Tampa at Washington game. Rotation numbers 119/120 at 1:00 eastern. This game fits a 100% Totals system that averages 54 points per game over the last 22 years. What we want to do is play the over for certain road favorites with a total of more than 40 that scored 21 or more as a home dog last week and are taking on an opponent that scored 9 or less as a road dog last week. Tampa blew a later double digit lead last wee at home vs Atlanta. Now they travel to Washington to take on a Redskins team that has lost three straight at home and was shelled real good last week in New York. Washington is allowing nearly 400 yards per game on defense. Both teams are averaging over 320 yards per game on offense. The Weather will be Milder than first predicted and it will be approximately 47 degrees at kickoff. Look for both teams to play a much different game that last years model that accumulated just 29 points. Take the Over

On Thursday the Night the NFL Triple system play is on the Tennessee Titans. Game 102 at 8:20 eastern. Am I losing my mind going against a Colts team off back to home favored losses against a Titans team that cannot get out of their own way offensively? Of course not here is why. What we want to do is play against any road favorite that comes in off a home favored loss vs an opponent also off a home favored loss. Since 1980 these road favorites are 4-9 straight up and against the spread. Moving on we note that home dogs of less than 5 points off a home favored division loss and scored 10 or less points have covered 10 of 14 times since 1980. For the third system we polish of these un worthy road favorites noting they are covering just 28% of the time if they are road favored off 2 consecutive home favored losses. The Colts could lose here and still win the division. On Defense the Colts may struggle more than the Titans with the limited preparation time and they have not played that well on the road this season anyway allowing over 26 points per game. compared to the Titans at 18 points per game at home and 13 points per game in divisional games. Tennessee has covered 4 of 5 on Thursday nights. Titans offense has been non existent the past 2 weeks with just 6 points. Home dogs that are off back to back games scoring less than 7 in both are solid investments. Titans get the cash here tonight. Take Tennessee


On Thursday the NBA play is on the Portland Trail blazers. Game 706 at 10:35 eastern. Orlando comes in to this one off a tough loss to the Hawks 80-74. That results sets them up in a negative system here tonight. What we want to do is play against road favorites of -4 or less with 1 or more day of rest if they scored 90 or more as a home favorite and shot 40% or less from the field,in vs an opponent that score 90 or more as a home favorite. These road chalk teams are 3-9 straight up and 2-10 ats since 1995. The Magic are 1-6 ats on the road after scoring 80 or less at home in their last game. The Blazers have won 2 straight after their long losing streak. last year they took care of Orlando here 102-87. Look for more of the same tonight. Portland is the play.

The Jets and Patriots may be an East Coast match up. However this game that pits to of the Best teams in the AFC will draw Plenty of attention nation wide. Both teams come in with stellar 9-2 records and both appear headed to another playoff appearance.

The Patriots are back at home off a big come from behind win on Thanks giving day in Detroit. The Jets are also off a big home win against the Bengals on Thanks giving night. Both teams are well rested for this one here with 10 full days of preparation time. In the first game on September 19th the Jets came away with a 28-14 win as a 3 point home dog. The Jets won the battle of the stats in that game with 336 yards to 291 for New England. They managed to hold the Patriots to just 52 yards rushing. On the season the Jets are averaging 360 yards on offense with 148 coming on the ground and 212 yards through the air. The Patriots are averaging 349 yards on offense, with 112 yards per game coming form their rushing attack and 236 yards per game coming from the arm of Tom Brady. On Defense the Patriots have been susceptible this season allowing 399 yards per game. Of particular concern is their pass coverage as opposing teams have averaged 288 pass yards per game. Their run defense has been better but still allows 110 yards per game on the ground. The Jets have a decided edge on defense allowing 103 yards less per game than New England. The Jets run defense has allowed 86 yards per game, while their pass coverage has been superb allowing 210 yards per game. So as we can see the Jets have edges on both sides of the ball. On Monday nights the Patriots have won three of their last four, while the Jets have dropped three of their last four. For some team specific Angles we note that the Patriots are 5-0 at home this year, and 7-1 in the month of December the past few seasons. They have out scored opposing teams by a 31-24 score here at home while averaging 384 yards on offense. The Jets are 10-5 straight up as an underdog the past few seasons including 4-0 as a road dog of 3.5 or less. They are an amazing 5-0 on the road this season winning by an average 28-17 score, and accumulating 400 yards per game on offense. In Divisional play long term the Jets are 14-2 against the point spread if they are .500 or better as a road dog and a perfect 9-0 if they are coming off a win. Coach Rex Ryan is 6-1 ats in his short coaching career as an underdog vs an AFC team if his teams record is .500 or better. The Patriots have some equally impressive angles on their side tonight. They are 9-1 ats as a home favorite of 3 or more vs a team with a win percentage of .600 or better and 11-1 ats long term in divisional play if they have revenge and their opponent is off back to back wins. Expect the winner of this game to win the AFC East this season. Despite all the angles going both ways I will lean with the Jets here at +4 or more as they are statistically better in road to home sets.

On Sunday night the Big System Play is on the Pittsburgh Steelers. Game 367 at 8:20 eastern. Baltimore fits a nice play against system here tonight that goes against home teams that scored 21 or less at home last week that had less than 100 yards rushing and 250 or more yards passing vs an opponent that scored 21 or less as a road favorite. The Steelers play with home loss revenge from an early loss back in week 4. Pittsburgh is 9-1 straight up with revenge, 9-3 in the second half vs winning teams and 3-1 straight up as a road dog of 3 or less. Look for the Steelers to deal the Ravens their first loss of the season at home. Take the Steelers +3

On Sunday the NFL Power System Game is on the Atlanta Falcons. Game 357 at 4:15 eastern. Atlanta qualifies in the team playing their first game of road trip system provided they are not favored by more than 4 points. This system is 22-4 ats and has a 100% Subset going. Atlanta is a team on a mission this season as they look to stay ahead of the Saints and get home field advantage in the playoffs. Tampa rallied late in the first meeting and nearly pulled the upset. Atlanta will not take them lightly here and will get the win and cover. The Falcons are 14-5 in games with lines that are +3 to -3. Tampa is 0-3 as a home dog of 3 or less and 0-3 vs winning teams. In December they are just 2-6 of late. Atlanta mean while has won 75% of their games vs winning teams.

On Sunday the NFL Double System play is on the Cleveland Browns. Game 343 at 1:00 eastern. The Browns fit a solid system here today that plays on certain teams as long as they are not favored by more than 3 and are playing their first game of a 3 game road trip. The Browns are 9-1 ats vs AFC East in regulation games . Miami is just 2-8 ats home off a dog win and 0-6 ats the last 3 years as a favorite from 3.5 to 6. that were home favorites of 7 or more and had 150 or more yards rushing vs an opponent that was a dog and also had 150 or more yards rushing. Cleveland offense should do better with Qb Delhomme than with C. Mcoy. Take the points here with Cleveland.

On Thursday the Double System Power Play in the NFL is on the Philadelphia Eagles. Game 302 at 8:20 eastern. Houston falls in to a few negative systems here tonight. Lets take a look see. What we want to do is play against non division teams that have a win percentage of less than .875 off a home shutout win of 13 or more points vs an opponent that comes in off a favored loss. The Second system plays against road dogs from +3.5 to +9.5 that are off a double digit division win. Both of these systems are consistent money makers year in and year out. Coach Kubiak is a terrible 0-8 ats vs an opponent off a road loss and failed cover. The Eagles rarely lose as a home favorite in this range winning 21 of the last times and are a solid 6-0 ats as a home favorite of 7 or more off a straight up favored loss vs a losing team. Take Philly here tonight.


On Thursday the bonus NCAAF Play is on the Arizona Wildcats. Game 304 at 8:00 eastern. Arizona gets the nod in their big rivalry game with Arizona St here tonight. The Wildcats are 7-1 vs losing teams while The Sun Devils are 0-14 vs teams with a losing record and 3-12 as a road dog of late. Arizona St is also 1-6 ats in their last road game the past 7 years. Arizona gets the nod tonight.

On Monday the 5* NFL System Play is on the SF 49 ers. Game 239 at 8:35 eastern. The Niners fit a solid 95% Power system here tonight. What we want to do is play on certain road favorites off a home game where they scored 9 or less points vs an opponent that scored 21 or less as a road dog in their last game. These road favorites win by an average 12 points per game. Looking at this game statistically we see that the 49 ers have a 40 yard edge on offense and a 70 yards edge on defense. Monday night angles all favor them too. They are 23-9 ats on Monday night football including 12-5 as a road favorite and 8-1 vs an opponent off a loss. Arizona is 0-5 on Monday night football vs an opponent and again vs losing teams. Overall they are 0-7 at home off a loss of 10 or more vs an opponent off a loss of 10 or more. Coach Whisenhunt is 1-9 off a non division game if tonight's opponent is off a straight up and ats loss. The Niners are 9-2 off a favored loss and have covered the last 5 games here in Arizona. Too much overwhelming info. Take San Francisco

On Sunday night the NFL Play is on the SD. Chargers. Game 237 at 8:25 eastern. SD is better on both sides of the ball by 30 yards on offense and 75 yards on defense. This is their time of the year as they are like a closer in speed duel of a horse race. SD has covered 12 of 13 times here in Indy. The Colts are all banged up on both offense and defense but somehow seem to keep find guys off the shelf to come in and contribute. This will be tough to do on a Charger defense that is top notch this year. On Sunday night the Colts are 1-8 ats vs an opponent that comes in off back to back wins. The Chargers play their best ball in November and December. They are 12-3 ats on the road when the total is 49.5 or higher and have covered 7 of their last 9 as a dog. Take the Chargers tonight. Bonus NBA Below


On Sunday the NBA System Play is on the over in the Pacers at Lakers game. Rotation numbers 715/716 at 9:35 eastern. This game fits a solid 90% NBA Totals system. What we want to do is play the over for home favorites of -5 or more with 1 or more day of rest if the total is 190 or higher and they scored 90 or more on the road with a spread range of +3 to -3 and shot 45% or less. Id the opponent which is Indiana in this case scored 100 or more as a home favorite of 4 or less this system cashes 90% and averages 210 points per game. The Lakers have gone over 4 of 5 times this season as a home favorite from -6.5 to -9. In the series between the 2 teams the last four games have all flown over the total. The Pacers have no problem playing an up tempo game with the Lakers.

On Sunday the BIG Dog with Bite is on the Chicago Bears. Game 228 at 4:15 eastern. The Bears qualify in one of my favorite system here today. What we want to do is play on Batter than 500 home dogs of less than 7 off a road dog win vs an opponent off a home games. This seemingly simple system has cashed 31 of 34 times. The Bears at 7-3 are getting no respect here. They have a superb defense capable of shutting down M.Vick and the Eagles who only managed to win by 7 points over a Giants team that had 5 turnovers and a 133 yards passing. The Philly defense is much better at home than on the road as well. Chicago has extra preparation time having played their last game last Thursday in a shut out win in Miami. The Bears are 5-1 with a +3 to -3 line and 7-2 at home when the total is 38.5 to 42. They play this on with Home loss revenge from last years loss here. In that game they were doomed by turnovers. Finally Lovie Smith is 9-1 ats with revenge vs an opponent off a divisional game. Look for the Bears to surprise the Eagles here today.

On Sunday the NON Conference Power system play is on the New York Giants. Game 222 at 1:00 eastern. The Giants qualify in 2 solid systems here today. Lets take a look at one that's directly from the database and has cashed 100% of the time since 1989. What we want to do is play on home favorites of 7 or more that scored 21 or less as a road dog in their last game and had less than 150 yards passing vs an opponent that scored 21 or more as a home favorite. These homers win by an average 21 point per game. The Giants were still close last week in a 24-17 loss to Philadelphia, despite 5 turnovers. Now they take on a Jacksonville team that is 2-8 ats vs winning teams and 1-5 ats off 2 or more wins. The Giants have won both meetings here in this series and are 4-0 with 3 covers as a favorite from -3.5 to -9. With the Jaguars 1-8 ats in November off a win vs an opponent off a loss we will back the Giants here today.

On Sunday the NFL Power Angle Play is on the Atlanta Falcons. Game 230 at 1:00 eastern. The Falcons are 18-1 at home with Matt Ryan at the helm. They are on a terrific run right now and are real tough here. They are 3-0 as a home favorite of 3 or less and 5-0 vs NFC North teams. Green Bay on the 2nd of back to back road off a big win last week in Minnesota. We note that the Packers are 0-5 vs NFC South teams and just 1-4 as a road dog of 3 or less. For system purposes we want to play against road teams that are 3-0 straight up and ats in their last 3 games if they scored 30 or more back to back. Another fine system is to play against road teams in the 2nd half of the season off a double digit road win if the spread is less than 3. Look for coach to Smith to move to 9-1 vs teams off back to back wins. Take the Falcons here today.

On Thursday the NFL Power system play is on the New York Jets. Game 108 at 8:20 eastern. The Cardiac kids the New York Jets are. They have several miraculous comebacks in games they should have won with no problem. Tonight they qualify in a Huge Thanks giving day system that plays on Home favorites in certain winning percentage that are off a win. This system is perfect lone term. Cincy will struggle on defense regardless if its a short week or not. At 2-8 they are a big disappointment and will likely get blown out here by a Jets team that will look to shore up the defensive lapses they suffered against Houston. Take the Jets tonight.

On Turkey day the 5* Play is on the New Orleans Saints. Game 105 at 4:15 eastern. The Saints have now hit their best stride and qualify in a big system here today that plays on certain favorites off back to back wins and covers vs an opponent off a win. Dallas has played much better under new coach J. Garret. However their defensive woes will be exposed today against a Saints team that will look to score fast and often. Dallas is a solid play on Thanksgiving against losing teams. However when facing a winning team they are not nearly as good. The Saints have covered 6 of the last 7 in the series and are 7-2 ats as a road favorite of less than 5 off a win. The Cowboys are 2-9 ats at home vs an opponent off back to back wins and covers. Look for the Saints to get the win and cover today.

On Thursday the early NFL play is on the Detroit Lions. Game 104 at 12:30 eastern. The Lions are playing solid ball at home despite their lsoing record this season. They are averaging 33 points per game. Today they take on a New England team that has allowed at least 20 points in all but one road game. Look for Detroit to be in this the whole way and get the cover today.

Monday night side

On Sunday night our Big totals play is on the Over in the Giants at Philly game. Rotation numbers 435/436 at 8:20 eastern. This game fits a tremendous totals system that has gone over the total 22 of 26 times with a 100% subset. What we want to do is play the over for home teams with a total of 42 or more if they scored 35 or more as a road favorite in their last game and the opponent scored 21 or less at home in their last game. Philly is off the explosive 59 point game vs Washington on Monday night. While the Giants are off the bad home favored loss to Dallas. The Giants have gone over in 12 of 15 games after playing Dallas and 5 of 6 vs conference opponents. The Eagles have gone over 5 of 6 times as a home favorite of 3 or less and 16 of 22 times when the line is +3 to -3. These 2 played some real barn burners last year. Philly can score and has struggled on defense while the Giants can score and will have trouble with M.Vick and Phillys offense. Look for this one to play over the total tonight.

On Sunday the Power System Pay is on the St. Louis Rams. Game 430 at 4:05 eastern. The Rams fit a solid system here today. We want to play against teams like Atlanta that are road favorites of less than 5 off a home favored win and cover vs an opponent that is off a road dog loss with an ats win. The Rams covered in their ot loss last week in San Francisco while Atlanta beat Baltimore as a short home favorite. This system is 5-16 straight up and 4-16-1 ats since 1980 and has a 100% Subset of the system. The Rams are much improved this season and already have some big wins here this year. The Rams are 6-1 ats with 6 or less days of rest and 4-0 ats vs the NFC South. When they have played winning teams they have covered both times this year. At home vs the Falcons they have won 8 of 12 times. The Falcons are just 2-12 ats off back to back wins vs an opponent off a loss. Take the points. Play St. Louis

NFL PLAY ON MINNESOTA

On Sunday the Blowout Play is on the Baltimore Ravens. Game 413 at 1:00 eastern. The Ravens fit one of my favorite blowout system. Here goes. Since 1980 road favorites of MORE than 10 are a solid 14-0 straight up and 12-2 ats. The Ravens are well rested off their Thursday night loss to Atlanta. When they play losing teams they Hammer them. They are 11-0 with 9 covers vs losing teams. They are better on both sides of the ball, including nearly 100 yards better on offense. Carolina has not thrown in the towel. They are just overmatched. They are 1-6 ats with 6 or less days of rest and head coach J. Fox is 0-10 ats vs teams who win over 75% of their games. Lay the 11 with Baltimore.

NFL Side play on Miami

On Monday night the NFL System Play is on the Philadelphia Eagles. Game 239 at 8:35 eastern. I must admit I liked Washington with my opinion most of the week. That all changed when I poured over the data. I found Dynamite in the database. Play on road favorites that scored 21 or more as a home favorite and rushed for 150 or more yards vs an opponent who scored 21 or more as a road dog in their last contest if theyy rushed for less than 100 yards. A perfect 100% system. The we look at the angles and see that Washington is 0-9 straight up and ats at home on Monday night most recently. They are also 2-7 ats as a division home dog. Philly is 6-1 ats on Monday nights including coach Reids 6-0 ats Monday night football mark on the road vs division teams. The Eagles are 10-2 ats in November games off a non division game if they have revenge. Philly has taken 12 of 18 here in Washington and has won and covered 5 of the last 7 as a road favorite in this range. Play Philly Tonight.

On Sunday the NFC Total is on the over in the Seattle at Arizona game. Rotation numbers 233/34 at 4:15 eastern, This game fits several solid totals angles here today. Both defenses are allowing nearly 400 yards as well. The Cards are 6-0 to the over with 6 or ess days of rest and 6 of 8 on the year. In home games over the past 3 years 15 of 22 have played over the total. Seattle has gone over 4 of the last 5 times a a dog. For system purposes this game fits the short turn around system that reverses the prior totals result between two teams that have played within the last 3 weeks. The first game went under with 32 points. Expect a much higher game here. Take the over

On Sunday the NFC North Game is on the Chicago Bears. Game 222 at 1:00 eastern. The Bears have lost their last 2 home games and should bounce back nice vs a Vikings team that is winless on the road this year at 0-4. The Bears qualify in a solid home dog system here that pertains to home dogs off a road win vs an opponent off a home win. The Vikings pertain to a big negative system that plays against road favorites off a home favored win at -7 or more if they failed ats in that game. Chicago has covered 6 of the last here in the series and has won 11 of 15 vs losing teams. Minnesota has lost both games this year vs teams with a winning record and coach Childress is just 1-5 ats on the road vs a division team off a win. Look for the Bears to cash this one. Take Chicago.

On Sunday the NFL Blowout system side is on Buffalo. Game 224 at 1:00 eastern. The Bills may be winless but this is their best chance here today. The Bills apply to a winless homer system here today and catch a Detroit team off a heart breaking loss to the Jets. They also may be without starting Qb M.Stafford. The Lions are 2-14 on the road vs a non divisional opponent that is off 2+ losses and 1-8 vs losing teams Even worse is their 3-27 mark on the road when the total is 42.5 to 49. The Bills have won both recent meetings here in the series and get their first win here today. Take Buffalo

On Thursday the NFL Power system play is on the Atlanta Falcons. Game 106 at 8:20 eastern. This game fits a solid system that plays on certain home teams if the line is +3 to -3 and both teas are off home games where they were favored and scored 21 or more points. Baltimore is just 3-7 on turf and 2-11 in domes. When the total is 42.5 to 45 they are 2-6 on the road. Atlanta is 8-1 at home when the total is 42.5 to 45. Look for Atlanta to win this one tonight in the battle of the birds take the Falcons.

On Monday night the NFL Power system play is on the Steelers. Game 429 at 8:35 eastern. The Steelers fit an undefeated system that plays on road favorites that scored 14 or less on the road last week as a dog or favorite of less than 3 vs an opponent that scored 14 or less last week at home also as a dog or favorite of 3 or less. If we make the total in these game 40.5 or more our road favorites cover every time. The Bengals have really struggled this season and have lost their last 2 home games. They are a hideous 1-13 ats at home in divisional play off a non division loss vs an opponent off a loss. The Steelers are 5-0 ats after scoring 10 or less points vs an opponent off back to back losses. Look for the Steelers to cash out tonight.

On Sunday night the NFL System play is on Green Bay. Game 428 at 8:25 eastern. The Packers qualify in a solid system here that gas cashed 12 of 14 times. What we wan to do is play on home favorites that scored less than 10 points on the road last week as a dog vs an opponent that scored 21 or les as a home favorite with both reams rushing for under 100 yards. Dallas has struggled big time at 0-4 straight up and ats in conference play. Green Bay is still good enough to get the win and cover tonight. Take Green Bay

On Sunday the AFC West Power system Play is on the KC. Chiefs. Game 423 at 4:15 eastern. The Chiefs and Raiders battling it out at the top of the AFC West who would have thunk it. The Chiefs have won 75% of the time as a short road dog and the visiting teams has covered 8 straight in the series. Oakland is 2-7 in November and 4-14 ats vs KC. As a favorite Oakland is 1-12 ats and 0-6 ats off back to back wins. For system purposes we note that certain home teams coming off a home game are a 94% go against when taking on an opponent that scored 14 or less as a home favorite of 7 or more. Look for KC to win this one.

On Sunday the Top totals plays is on the Under in the Tampa Bay at Atlanta game. Rotation numbers 413/414 at 1:00 eastern. What we want to do in this game is play the under for Teams like Atlanta that allowed 30 or more in back to back games before the bye week. These teams usually shore up their defensive woes and play a much tougher game. If the total is 44 or less the system hits a nice 90% subset. All 4 game sin the series have gone under and Tampa has been an under team vs Division opponents going under in 11 of 14 games. When the Bucs take on winning teams they go under 11 of 15 times. When the line is 44 or more Tampa has gone under 8 of 8 times. The Falcons have gone under 8 of 9 times as a division favorite of -3 or more points. Look for this one to stay under the Number. Take the Under in the Tampa Bay at Atlanta game.

On Sunday the Blowout Power System Game is on the New York Jets. Game 415 at 1:00 eastern. The Jets fit 2 solid systems here today. Lets take a look at one. What we want to do is play against certain home dogs of less than 5 points if they come in off a home favored win and cover and have a win percentage of .400 or less. These home dogs usually do not win back to back games. Detroit is an improved team. However they are in a bad spot here against a Jets team off a shut out loss. The Jets have taken care of business vs losing teams winning and covering in all games vs these doormat types. Their offense will be much more productive this week. The Jets are 4-0 su and ats with 6 or less days rest and 14-6 ats vs NFC North teams and have better numbers on both sides of the ball. Detroit is 1-14 vs winning teams, 1-5 as a home dog in this range and 2-7 ats in November games. The capper is The Lions 0-6 ats record in games after scoring 35 or more points. Take the Jets to soar past the Lions.

******PLEASE NOTE- I ACCIDENTALLY SENT OUT THE "OVER" AS THE PICK WHEN IT SHOULD BE CLEAR THAT I AM ON THE UNDER TONIGHT. PLEASE DISREGARD THE PREVIOUS SELECTION. UNDER IS THE PLAY ON THE MNF GAME.****** On Monday night the NFL Power totals system play is on the Under in the Texans at Colts game. Rotation numbers 231/232 at 8:30 eastern. Houston fits a solid system here tonight that plays to the under for teams where the line is less than 7 points where a team allowed 30 or more points in back to back games prior to their bye week, provided the total is 44 or higher. This system has cashed at a high rate since 1990. The first game between these two teams was a real barn burner in which well over 50 points were scored. The Colts will have worked on a solution to Arian Foster who torched them down in Houston. The Texans won the game but allowed over 400 yards in the air by P.Manning. Look for this game to have less scoring. The Texans have gone under 5 of 6 times off the bye week and 7 of 10 times on the road when the total is 49.5 or higher. The Colts have gone under 9 of 10 times when the total is 49 or more. This one stays under tonight.

On Sunday night the Power system Play is on the NO. Saints. Game 230 at 8:35 eastern. The Saints were the victims of one of the biggest upsets in recent years when they lost as a 14 point favorite to a 1 win Cleveland team last week. The Problem is their anemic run game. QB D. Brees is forced to throw the ball to compensate and he has thrown too many picks leading to opposing scores. Tonight they may get R.Bush back which would be a big help. The Saints fit a defending Super Bowl system here that has cashed 92% of the time. Pittsburgh may be 5-1 but its the Saints that actually have the edge on both sides of the ball. If the Saints can control their turnovers they will COME MARCHING IN. Take the Saints

On Sunday the NBA Side play is on the Utah Jazz. Game 705 at 7:05 eastern. The Jazz are off a pair of blowout season opening losses and fit 2 systems here tonight. We want to play on road dogs with 2 days rest at +5 or more if the total is 190 or higher and they scored 90 or more points as a home favorite of 5 or more vs an opponent that scored 90 or more as a road favorite in their last game. This system has cashed 12 of 14 times since 1995. Look for the Jazz to get the cover here.

On Sunday the Big Power System Play is on the Cincinatti Bengals. Game 218 at 1:00 eastern. The Line in this game opened at 3 late Sunday night. The Public however has been pounding Miami all week long with the line now settling with the Bengals as a 1 point favorite. Cincy qualifies in a solid system that pertains to short home favorites off a road game where they scored 28 or more and now playing an opponent that scored 21 or more at home with +3 to -3 line. Cincy is off a pair of tough losses. Last week they came back from huge deficit to take a lead at Atlanta before falling short. The week prior they blew the lead at home vs Tampa Bay due to some late turnovers. Miami is off a dejecting loss to Pittsburgh and may not have their head on straight. The odd thing about the Dolphins season thus far is that the road team has won in all 6 of their games. Look for the Dolphins 3 game road win streak to come to an end today vs a Hungry Bengasls team hat is 10-1 in games before playing the Steelers. Take the Bengals