Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-24-11 | San Francisco 49ers v. Seattle Seahawks +2 | 19-17 | Push | 0 | 20 h 36 m | Show | |
On Saturday the NFL Divisional Power system side is on Seattle. Game 126 at 4;15 eastern. The Seahawks are hot and fit a plethora of solid systems that are based on last weeks road dog win in Chicago. We want to play on home dogs in division play that scored 20 or back to back vs an opponent off a win, secondly home dogs of 3 or less off a road dog win vs an opponent off a home favored win and allowed 10 or less points. Seattle won here last years 31-6 as the home team has dominated the series of late. The Hawks are 6-0 ats in their last home game and P. Carroll has covered all 4 times as a division home dog. They have covered 8 of 10 in conference and despite the records the Sea Hawks average 8 yards less on offense and allow just 16 yards more on defense than the Niners. SF is 1-4 straight up as a road favorite of 3 or less and 0-3 off Monday night football. With Seattle 11-2 ats at home in December with Revenge off a non division game, and the Niners off a satisfying home win vs the Steelers we will back the Seahawks today. Take Seattle.
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12-24-11 | NY Giants +3 v. NY Jets | 29-14 | Win | 100 | 17 h 45 m | Show | |
On Saturday the NFL Blowout Side is on the Steelers. Game 122 at 1:00 eastern. The Steelers? Charlie Batch is in not Rothlisberger. Two words. Kellen Clemens. Clemens will struggle big time on the road vs this defense and may have multiple turnovers. He may be the most inept Qb in the league. The Steelers fit s Blowout system that plays on winning teams at -3 or more off a loss and scored 6 or less. The Steelers and Batch will have an easier time ,moving the ball against a Rams team at home than they did vs the Niners on the road. They are alive and can win the division and should coast here in this one against a Rams team that is 1-6 straight up and ats on the road. Take the Steelers here.
On Saturday the NFL Dog with bite is on the NY. Giants. Game 113 at 1:00 eastern. The Giants fit a solid 21-3 system that plays on road dogs off a home favored loss and a prior road dog win if they lost ats by 15 or more and they are +6 or less. Giants are 4-0 ats in the series and gave covered 80% of the time on the road vs an opponent that lost by 10 or more. The Giants are 7-0 ats after The Redskins and the Jets are 0-8 ats as a December favorite if both teams are off losses. Also of note. Game 15 teams in their last home game that lost by 10 or more 28-4 ats vs certain opponents. Look for the Giants to take this one. On Saturday the Power System play is on the Bengals. Game 110 at 1:00 eastern. We want to play against last road games that played 2 or more straight home games and were favored by 6 or more last out. Arizona has failed to cover in 5 of 7 off back to back wins and may have a tough time here with a staunch Cincy defense. Look for the Bengals to get this one and keep themselves alive for a wild card spot. Back the Bengals. |
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12-22-11 | Houston Texans -6 v. Indianapolis Colts | 16-19 | Loss | -111 | 19 h 60 m | Show | |
On Thursday the NFL play is on Houston. Game 101 at 8:25 eastern. There are 3 solid systems in play here tonight. Road favorites that scored 14 or less at home vs an opponent that scored 21 or more as a home dog have covered 5 of 6 since 1989 winning by an average 13 points. Home dogs that scored 21 or more as a home dog and had 200 or more yards rushing are 0-7 straight up with just one spread win. Finally home dogs that scored 21 or more and had 100 or less yards passing are 0-5 and lose by 12 points per game. Teams who get their first win after game 10 of the regular season have lost 10 straight in the next game. The Colts have failed to cover 7 of the last 10 in the 2nd of back to back homers. Houston should bounce back here tonight as they are 5-1 ats vs an opponent off a dog win and have covered 9 of the last 12 off a favored loss. With the Texans 6-0 straight up and ats with a 35.5 to 42 points total we will back them here tonight. Take the Texans.
On Thursday the NCAAB Blowout Play is on Weber. St. Game 638 at 9:00 eastern. Weber St does not have great numbers all time vs Utah. However that was when Utah was on of the best programs in the nation. Now they find themselves in the midst of another mediocre season at 3-8. In their road games they have been terrible losing by an average 82-59 score. They have lost 13 of 14 vs teams who score 77 or more and take on a Weber. St team that has won and covered their last 3 at home when the total is 135 to 140 and is 5-0 winning by an average 92-65 score. Looks like along night for Utah. Take Weber. ST |
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12-19-11 | Pittsburgh Steelers +3 v. San Francisco 49ers | 3-20 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 28 m | Show | |
On Monday night the NFL Power System Super Side is on the Steelers. Game 331 at 8:35 eastern. The Steelers fit a Magnificent system that plays on Teams who play .700 or better ball coming off a Thursday win vs an opponent off a loss. Pittsburgh has statistical edges of 60 yards better on offense and 30 yards better on defense. They have plenty to play for as they try and Capture the AFC North. Monday night football has been their cup of tea as they have won 24 of 32 to start the week. They have done well vs the NFC West winning 15 of the last 22. San Francisco has come back to earth the past few weeks after the hot start. The Niners are 3-10 ats off a division game 0-3 in that role this year. We have not has a dog cover in awhile on Monday night football. Tonight we should get one. Big Ben is playing and were on the Steelers.
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12-18-11 | Baltimore Ravens v. San Diego Chargers +3 | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 22 h 31 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Late Power Play is on the Chargers. Game 330 at 8:30 eastern. The Chargers have come alive since the news of Norv Turners imminent departure. This however is not new. The Chargers with Rivers are 22-1 in December and qualify in a huge power system that pertains to home dogs that were winning teams last year in the last quarter of the season. The Chargers are also 9-0 ats as dogs off back to back wins and 7-0 in game 14. The Ravens are 0-11 ats as a non division road favorite off back to back wins vs an opponent that is .500 or less. Norv Turner is in one of his better roles here as he is 5-0 ats as a dog off back to back wins with the last one by 13 or more. The Ravens are a good team but showed in the Jacksonville game that they can get flat in a big spot. Look for The Chargers to ground the Ravens. Take San Diego.
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12-18-11 | Cleveland Browns +7 v. Arizona Cardinals | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 3 h 0 m | Show | |
Late play on Browns
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12-18-11 | Detroit Lions v. Oakland Raiders +2 | 28-27 | Win | 100 | 17 h 28 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Dog Power Pack is on Cleveland. Game 327 at 4:15 eastern and Oakland. Game 322 at 4:05 eastern. Starting with the Browns we note that they are 6-1 Ats as dogs of 13 or less off back to back losses vs an opponent off back to back wins. Arizona is just 1-9 ats as non divisional favorites of 7 or less and have failed to cover in 7 of 8 in December games as a favorite. There is also a solid 15-2 system that plays against Arizona and any home favorite of -7 or more in a Sunday or Monday game with a total of 45 or less if its their 3rd straight homer with no bye week in between. This system is 15-3 long term playing against these favorites. Arizona may bounce here off the big Back to back home dog wins and the Browns have the Extra rest coming off the Thursday nighter. In the Oakland game we note that home dogs of less than 5 off a road loss and allowed 40 or more and had a prior ats loss, vs an opponent not a home favored win. These home dogs are Winners winning the game straight up 13 of 16 times since 1980 going 14-2 ats in the process. The Lions have lost the last 14 years in game 14 of the season. Look for Oakland to bounce back here take the Raiders.
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12-18-11 | Green Bay Packers v. Kansas City Chiefs +14.5 | 14-19 | Win | 100 | 18 h 18 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Play is on the KC. Chiefs. Game 308 at 1:00 eastern. Many will think this game will be a Blowout for The Packers based on their undefeated record and blowout win last week vs Oakland and adding in the fact that KC Was blown out in New York by the Jets. Last weeks game resulted in Coach Haley getting fired. Today will be a different story as KC is getting a ton of points here at home and qualify in some monster systems. KC in fact is in the exact system the Rams were in when they were winless and beat the Saints. We want to play against road favorites from -10.5 to -15 in non conference games if they are off a home favored win anc cover, vs an opponent off a road dog los and failed cover. These road favorites are 1-15 ats since 1980. Additionally we want to play on Home dogs of 10 or more with a total of 40 or more that scored 21 or less on the road vs an opponent that scored 21 or more as a home favorite of 7 or more in their last game. This system illustrated for you today is 19-1 ats since 1989 and we note that the home dogs stay in the game losing by a 24-23 average score. I can make this system perfect by insisting the road favorite passed for 250 or more yards in the last game taking the system to a perfect 15-0 ats. To sprinkle in some angles we note that the Chiefs are 10-0 ats after allowing 35 or more vs an opponent that was a favorite of 7 or more in their last game. The Packers are just 3-7 ats as a favorite of -11 or more vs an opponent off a straight up and ats loss in their last game. This game is a potential flat spot for the Packers who will win this game, probably in similar fashinon to the way the won the Carolina game. The Chiefs K. Orton is probable for this one and I expect the Chiefs defense to rise up and play like they did in a close loss to the Steelers as an 11 point dog a few weeks back on Sunday night football. In closing I look for a close game. A classic win and no cover here. Take the Points with Kansas City.
SU: 9-12-0 (-1.2) ATS: 19-1-1 (11.1) O/U: 14-7-0 Rushes Rush Yds Passes Completions Passing Yds TrnOvrs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team: 29.7 142.7 30.4 17.9 195.7 1.7 3.0 8.3 5.0 6.5 23.0 Opp: 24.8 103.3 36.3 23.5 259.7 1.6 5.1 6.4 6.1 6.5 24.2 Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot SUN 13 1992 IND BUF H 0-0 3-3 0-7 10-3 16-13 +17 +41 3 +20 -12 4.0 -16.0 W W U 1 SUN 5 1995 WAS DAL H 3-10 17-0 7-3 0-10 27-23 +13 +44' 4 +17 +5' 11.2 -5.8 W W O 0 SUN 17 1995 ATL SF H 3-14 13-7 6-0 6-6 28-27 +10 +48' 1 +11 +6' 8.8 -2.2 W W O 0 SUN 5 1997 ATL DEN H 0-15 7-8 7-6 7-0 21-29 +11' +43 -8 +3' +7 5.2 1.8 L W O 0 SUN 9 1998 CIN DEN H 3-3 9-3 0-7 14-20 26-33 +11' +49 -7 +4' +10 7.2 2.8 L W O 0 SUN 15 1998 BAL MIN H 14-12 0-13 0-10 14-3 28-38 +10 +45' -10 0 +20' 10.2 10.2 L P O 0 SUN 8 2000 CIN DEN H 0-7 10-7 7-0 14-7 31-21 +10 +43 10 +20 +9 14.5 -5.5 W W O 0 SUN 16 2000 CIN JAC H 0-0 0-7 7-7 10-0 17-14 +10 +41 3 +13 -10 1.5 -11.5 W W U 0 SUN 17 2003 DET STL H 3-0 7-20 17-0 3-0 30-20 +11 +45 10 +21 +5 13.0 -8.0 W W O 0 SUN 14 2004 TEX IND H 0-14 7-0 7-3 0-6 14-23 +10 +57 -9 +1 -20 -9.5 -10.5 L W U 0 Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot SUN 7 2005 TEX IND H 0-7 14-7 0-10 6-14 20-38 +14' +44' -18 -3' +13' 5.0 8.5 L L O 0 MON 13 2007 BAL NE H 7-3 3-7 7-7 7-10 24-27 +20 +49' -3 +17 +1' 9.2 -7.8 L W O 0 SUN 14 2007 DET DAL H 10-0 10-14 7-0 0-14 27-28 +10' +51' -1 +9' +3' 6.5 -3.0 L W O 0 SUN 6 2009 RAI PHI H 7-3 3-3 0-0 3-3 13-9 +14 +40' 4 +18 -18' -0.2 -18.2 W W U 0 SUN 10 2009 STL NO H 0-0 14-14 3-7 6-7 23-28 +13' +50' -5 +8' +0' 4.5 -4.0 L W O 0 SUN 13 2009 CLE SD H 7-10 0-3 0-14 16-3 23-30 +13 +43 -7 +6 +10 8.0 2.0 L W O 0 SUN 15 2009 STL TEX H 0-3 10-3 3-7 0-3 13-16 +13 +43' -3 +10 -14' -2.2 -12.2 L W U 0 SUN 7 2011 MIN GB H 7-7 10-6 0-20 10-0 27-33 +10 +46' -6 +4 +13' 8.8 4.8 L W O 0 SUN 8 2011 STL NO H 0-0 17-0 7-7 7-14 31-21 +13' +48' 10 +23' +3' 13.5 -10.0 W W O 0 SUN 15 2011 KC GB H +14' +46 |
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12-17-11 | Dallas Cowboys v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7.5 | 31-15 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 8 m | Show | |
On Saturday the NFL Power System Play is on Tampa Bay. Game 304 at 8:20 eastern. The Bucs have been a bust this season. However as we saw a few weeks back in their win vs the Saint they can rise to the occasion. They are taking a touchdown here in this one vs a Dallas team that blew 2 straight games after having a lead in the 4th quarter. Now we add this tight system that plays on teams with at least one win in a non division game if they are +6.5 or more and come in off a non division loss vs an opponent off a division loss. These dogs are 23-3 ats, and I can make it perfect with a parameter or two. Dallas has to win vs Philly and the Giants. This game win or lose doesn't help or hurt them. Dallas is 1-17 ats as a non division favorite in the last 4 games of the season, while Tampa Bay is 9-0 ats after allowing 35 or more vs an opponent that was a favorite in at leas their last 2 games. The Bucs are also 10-1 straight up and 11-0 ats off a straight up and ats loss vs an opponent off back to back losses.. Take the Points with Tampa Bay
On Saturday the late Bowl game is on UL. Lafayette. Game 205 at 9:00 eastern. UL LAF. Applies to a solid system that plays on neutral dogs of less than 5 that come in with rest and off a road dog loss and ats win. These teams have won and covered 9 of 12 times since 1980. They are 7-0 ats as a dog and 2-0 vs winning teams this season. Even better they like the fake stuff going 10-3 ats, 4-1 this season on Turf. Sd. St is just 1-4 straight up with rest and 1-4 vs winning teams. They have lost 3 of their last 4 bowls, while we note that Sun Belt dogs have covered 4 of the last 5.. Take UL. Lafayette. |
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12-15-11 | Jacksonville Jaguars v. Atlanta Falcons OVER 42 | 14-41 | Win | 100 | 22 h 38 m | Show | |
On Thursday the NFL power Total is on the Over in Jaguars at Falcons game. Rotation numbers 301/302 at 8:25 eastern. This game fits the big power system below, which plays to the over for home favorites of 10 or more that scored 28 or more as a road favorite if they are not playing before a bye week and are taking on an opponent that scored 21 or more at home on their last game. This system cashes 17 of 19 times. If we insist the home team scores 21 or more the system goes to 17-1. With Atlanta averaging 25 points per game at home and taking on an under .500 team they should get to 21 here. The Falcons have gone over every time at home in Thursday night football games. The Jags are 6-0 over before meetings with the Titans and have flown over in 5 of 6 off a non conference game. In December games the Jags have played over in 6 of the last 9. Look for this one to get over the total tonight.
O/U: 17-2 Rushes Rush Yds Passes Completions Passing Yds TrnOvrs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team: 31.4 139.5 34.6 22.2 283.9 1.8 7.0 12.7 5.8 10.0 35.6 Opp: 21.3 85.9 36.4 20.7 215.6 2.2 5.7 4.8 3.4 5.1 18.9 Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot SUN 14 1994 SF ATL H 3-7 24-7 7-0 16-0 50-14 -13 +47' 36 +23 +16' 19.8 -3.2 W W O 0 SUN 2 1995 DAL DEN H 0-0 14-7 7-7 10-7 31-21 -10 +44 10 0 +8 4.0 4.0 W P O 0 SUN 6 1995 RAI SEA H 3-0 10-0 14-7 7-7 34-14 -10 +39' 20 +10 +8' 9.2 -0.8 W W O 0 MON 16 1995 SF MIN H 21-0 6-20 3-7 7-3 37-30 -13' +47 7 -6' +20 6.8 13.2 W L O 0 SUN 15 1996 SF CAR H 0-10 17-17 0-3 7-0 24-30 -10 +37' -6 -16 +16' 0.2 16.2 L L O 0 SUN 17 1996 GB MIN H 7-7 3-3 14-0 14-0 38-10 -11 +38' 28 +17 +9' 13.2 -3.8 W W O 0 SUN 3 1997 NE NYJ H 14-7 0-3 3-7 7-7 27-24 -10 +45 3 -7 +6 -0.5 6.5 W L O 1 SUN 5 1998 DEN PHI H 28-0 7-2 6-0 0-14 41-16 -14' +43' 25 +10' +13' 12.0 1.5 W W O 0 SUN 7 1998 SF IND H 0-14 17-7 0-10 17-0 34-31 -17 +44' 3 -14 +20' 3.2 17.2 W L O 0 SUN 10 1998 JAC CIN H 10-0 14-0 0-3 0-8 24-11 -10' +47 13 +2' -12 -4.8 -7.2 W W U 0 Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot SUN 14 1998 DEN KC H 7-21 14-0 0-7 14-3 35-31 -13' +47 4 -9' +19 4.8 14.2 W L O 0 SUN 3 2000 STL SF H 3-7 14-10 7-0 17-7 41-24 -16' +57 17 +0' +8 4.2 3.8 W W O 0 SUN 6 2001 STL NYG H 6-7 3-0 0-0 6-7 15-14 -10' +45' 1 -9' -16' -13.0 -3.5 W L U 0 SUN 17 2001 STL IND H 7-7 28-7 0-3 7-0 42-17 -13 +59 25 +12 0 6.0 -6.0 W W P 0 MON 6 2005 IND STL H 0-17 14-3 10-0 21-8 45-28 -13' +51 17 +3' +22 12.8 9.2 W W O 0 SUN 5 2007 NE CLE H 10-0 10-0 0-3 14-14 34-17 -16' +48 17 +0' +3 1.8 1.2 W W O 0 SUN 8 2007 NE WAS H 7-0 17-0 14-0 14-7 52-7 -16 +49 45 +29 +10 19.5 -9.5 W W O 0 SUN 11 2007 DAL WAS H 0-7 7-3 7-3 14-10 28-23 -10 +47 5 -5 +4 -0.5 4.5 W L O 0 SUN 12 2009 SD KC H 7-0 21-7 10-7 5-0 43-14 -13' +45 29 +15' +12 13.8 -1.8 W W O 0 THUR 15 2011 ATL JAC H -11' +42 |
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12-12-11 | St Louis Rams v. Seattle Seahawks OVER 36.5 | 13-30 | Win | 100 | 20 h 48 m | Show | |
On Monday the NFL Totals system is on the Over in the Rams At Sea Hawks game. Rotation numbers 133/134 at 8:35 eastern. This game fits 2 solid systems that pertain to the Over. We want to play the over for teams that are meeting for the second time within they last 2-3 weeks and reverse the total of the first game. These two played a few weeks ago and the game went under. The second system pertains to road dogs of 10 or more off a road dog loss and scored 21 or less and had 50 or less yards rushing, and the opponent was a dog in the last game. This system has cashed all but one time the last 22 years and averages 47 points per game. The Rams are off a shutout loss and such teams have trended toward the over following the inept performance. The Rams have played over in 15 of 21 on the road on Monday night football, while the Hawks have flown over in 6 of the last 9 in December and 17 of 25 at home when the total is 35.5 to 38. On Monday nights Seattle has gone over in 5 of their 6 home games. Look for a higher scoring game than what many expect here tonight. Take the over.
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12-11-11 | NY Giants +4.5 v. Dallas Cowboys | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 20 h 26 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFC East Power Clash Division winner Side is on the New York Giants. Game 131 at 830 eastern. The Giants were JOBBED last week at home vs the Packers. They were called for several of the same infractions Green Bay committed. They were good enough to win that game and give the Packers their closest call this season. Now they travel to Dallas where they have won each of the last 2 seasons to take on a Dallas team that gave one away in Arizona last week. Dallas is a paltry 0-11 ats off a straight up favored loss vs an opponent that has revenge. The Giants are 9-0 ats in December as a dog off a non division game vs an opponent off a straight up favored loss. Dallas has failed 6 of 7 times in conference play and are 2-6 ats as a favorite. The Giants are 3-1 most recently in the series and benefit from this nugget. Teams in game 13 or later that are .500 and come in off a loss and have revenge have covered 11 of 12 as a dog. Take the Giants here tonight.
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12-11-11 | San Francisco 49ers v. Arizona Cardinals +4 | 19-21 | Win | 100 | 16 h 20 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Live NFL 96% DOUBLE Dog system play is on the Chicago Bears. Game 127 at 4:05 eastern. The Bears have covered 7 of the 8 in this series and are 8-0 ats vs AFC West teams on the road as a dog off a loss and have covered 5 straight as a dog of 3.5 or more off a non conference game. Denver has allowed a ton of Points vs NFC North teams this season. In 3 games they have allowed 45 twice and 32 last week to the Vikings. While I don't see the Bears lighting it up here, I do see Tebow struggling big time against the best defense he will have seen. Denver is 1-12 ats in December games off an NFC Game and come in off a rare 5 straight dog wins. In games off this many dog wins teams have failed to cover 66% of the time in the next game. Coach Fox for Denver has failed ats in 11 of 12 games vs non division teams that are 500 or better if -7 or less. The cappers is that teams off a straight up favored loss at -7 or more vs an opponent off a spread win are 44-16 ats if they allowed less than 27. DOES A BEAR Crap in the Woods? They do in Denver and spoil the Broncos run. Take the Bears.
On Sunday the NFC West Power system winner is on the Arizona Cardinals. Game 126 at 4;05 eastern. Arizona has played much better of late especially on defense. They are a perfect 7-0 ats as a home dog of more than 3 vs an opponent off a win of 10 or more and Coach Whisenhunt is 7-0 straight up as a home dog vs an opponent off a double digit win. The Niners have failed to cover in 9 of 12 as a road favorite and are just 2-10 ats off a double digit ats win. Now for the systems. Play against road favorites off a home favored win and cover if they won by 14 or more and scored 35 or less and had a prior road dog ats loss. Road favs are 6-22 ats. Road favs of less than 5 are 3-9 ats since 1980 in division games off a home shut out win. Look for Arizona to get the cash here today. |
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12-11-11 | Chicago Bears +3.5 v. Denver Broncos | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 16 h 20 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Live NFL 96% DOUBLE Dog system play is on the Chicago Bears. Game 127 at 4:05 eastern. The Bears have covered 7 of the 8 in this series and are 8-0 ats vs AFC West teams on the road as a dog off a loss and have covered 5 straight as a dog of 3.5 or more off a non conference game. Denver has allowed a ton of Points vs NFC North teams this season. In 3 games they have allowed 45 twice and 32 last week to the Vikings. While I don't see the Bears lighting it up here, I do see Tebow struggling big time against the best defense he will have seen. Denver is 1-12 ats in December games off an NFC Game and come in off a rare 5 straight dog wins. In games off this many dog wins teams have failed to cover 66% of the time in the next game. Coach Fox for Denver has failed ats in 11 of 12 games vs non division teams that are 500 or better if -7 or less. The cappers is that teams off a straight up favored loss at -7 or more vs an opponent off a spread win are 44-16 ats if they allowed less than 27. DOES A BEAR Crap in the Woods? They do in Denver and spoil the Broncos run. Take the Bears.
On Sunday the NFC West Power system winner is on the Arizona Cardinals. Game 126 at 4;05 eastern. Arizona has played much better of late especially on defense. They are a perfect 7-0 ats as a home dog of more than 3 vs an opponent off a win of 10 or more and Coach Whisenhunt is 7-0 straight up as a home dog vs an opponent off a double digit win. The Niners have failed to cover in 9 of 12 as a road favorite and are just 2-10 ats off a double digit ats win. Now for the systems. Play against road favorites off a home favored win and cover if they won by 14 or more and scored 35 or less and had a prior road dog ats loss. Road favs are 6-22 ats. Road favs of less than 5 are 3-9 ats since 1980 in division games off a home shut out win. Look for Arizona to get the cash here today. |
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12-11-11 | New Orleans Saints v. Tennessee Titans +4 | 22-17 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 8 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Early power system play is on the Titans. Game 116 at 1:00 eastern. The Titans fit some solid systems here today, while the Saints fit some negative ones. We want to play against favorites off back to back home wins and covers with the last one a Monday nighter. These favorites are 2-14 ats long term. The Titans 9-0 ats in non division games as a dog off a dog win, while the Saints have failed to cover in 9 of the last 11 tries in the first of back to back road games. The Titans have covered in 15 of 18 at home off a win of 7 or less vs an opponent with revenge in non division games. Non division home dogs off a road dog win are 44-16 vs an opponent off a home win. Lastly home dogs less than 7 that are better than .500 are 31-4 ats off a road dog win since week 12 of 1990. Road favorites like the Saints that won 4 or more in a row and lost prior road games are an 86% go against. I think you get the picture here. Take the Titans and the 3.5 points.
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12-11-11 | New England Patriots v. Washington Redskins OVER 47.5 | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Totals play is on the Over in the Patriots at Redskins game. Rotation numbers 119/120 at 1:00 eastern. This game fits the rare system below that plays to the over for road favorites of 7 or more that come off a home game where they were -10 or more, scored 28 or more and had 250 or more yards passing and played an opponent that scored 21 or less at home. In the series 2 of the 3 have played over and the Pats have gone over 8 straight times as a road favorite of 8 or more. On 6 or less days rest they have played over in 6 of 9. The Skins have played over both times as a home dog from +7.5 to +10. Look for this one to soar over the total today.
O/U: 8-0-0 (9.8) avg total: 45.7 +6: 8-0-0 (100.0%) +10: 8-0-0 (100.0%) +13: 8-0-0 (100.0%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Completions Passing Yds TrnOvrs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team: 23.9 86.5 41.2 26.0 297.5 3.0 2.6 7.2 6.0 8.6 24.5 Opp: 29.0 96.5 32.8 20.4 254.6 0.8 6.2 9.1 6.1 9.5 31.0 Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot SUN 13 1991 HOU PIT A 0-6 7-10 0-7 7-3 14-26 -7 +39' -12 -19 +0' -9.2 9.8 L L O 0 SUN 15 1994 SF SD A 7-0 14-3 3-6 14-6 38-15 -9 +45 23 +14 +8 11.0 -3.0 W W O 0 MON 4 1995 SF DET A 0-3 10-10 7-3 7-11 24-27 -11 +48 -3 -14 +3 -5.5 8.5 L L O 0 SUN 8 2000 STL KC A 0-20 14-7 14-13 6-14 34-54 -7 +55' -20 -27 +32' 2.8 29.8 L L O 0 SUN 4 2001 IND NE A 0-7 0-13 7-3 6-21 13-44 -12 +44 -31 -43 +13 -15.0 28.0 L L O 0 SUN 15 2005 SEA TEN A 14-0 0-14 7-10 7-0 28-24 -7 +45' 4 -3 +6' 1.8 4.8 W L O 0 MON 5 2007 DAL BUF A 0-7 10-10 3-7 12-0 25-24 -10 +44' 1 -9 +4' -2.2 6.8 W L O 0 SUN 16 2010 SD CIN A 0-7 3-6 7-0 10-21 20-34 -7' +43' -14 -21' +10' -5.5 16.0 L L O 0 SUN 14 2011 NE WAS A -8 +48 |
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12-08-11 | Cleveland Browns +14.5 v. Pittsburgh Steelers | 3-14 | Win | 100 | 19 h 28 m | Show | |
On Thursday the NFL Power System side is on the Cleveland Browns. Game 101 at 8:25 eastern. The Browns fit a solid system I use for teams play the first of 3+ road games. We want to play on these teams provided they are not favored by 4 or more. That base system is 26-8 ats, I f I want to add a subset or two I can insist the opponent be off a home win which elevates our 26-8 to the 92% level. The Browns have covered the last 6 times off back to back losses vs an opponent off a win of 7 or more and a prior straight up win. The Steelers are 0-8 ats as favorites of 10 or more vs losing teams that come in off an ats loss and are also 1-9 ats off a double digit ats win and scored 35 or more points. Look for the Browns to stay within the number tonight. Take Cleveland.
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12-05-11 | San Diego Chargers v. Jacksonville Jaguars +3 | 38-14 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 30 m | Show | |
On Monday the NFL power System side is on the Jaguars. Game 376 at 8:35 eastern. The Jags will be energized with the coaching change here tonight and have 2 Super Rare systems on their side tonight. Since 1981 Monday night home dogs of 3 or more are 7-1 ats if they come in off a home loss. A secondary rare system also dating back well over 25 years is to play against certain teams like the Chargers that arrive off 6+ losses and a straight up favored loss. This system has cashed all but one time as well. The Jaguars are 7-0 straight up at home in tonight's total range and 10-2 ats home off back to back losses. They are also an identical 10-2 ats as a favorite or dog of 3 or less vs an opponent that has failed to cover their last 2 games. The Chargers cant get out of their own way this season and are a paltry 1-8 ats off a division game vs losing teams that have revenge. They have failed to cover 9 of the last 12 on the road on Monday night football. The Jaguars have played solid defense this season. Just ask Baltimore, a much better team that arrived here a few short weeks ago and were defeated as a 10 point favorite. Look for The Jaguars to go for the jugular tonight and dash the Chargers wild card hops for good. Take Jacksonville.
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12-04-11 | Detroit Lions +9 v. New Orleans Saints | 17-31 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
On Sunday night the NFL System Play is on the Detroit Lions. Game 363 at 8:30 eastern. The Saints fit a negative system here that has cashed every time since 1989. We want to play against home teams with a total of 42.5 or more if they scored 42 or more at home in their last game vs an opponent that scored 21 or less at home in their last game. IF out team was a home dog in their last game, which Detroit was at home vs Green Bay, the system is perfect. The Saints played real well of the bye and are now on a short week vs a Detroit team that has extra prep time last playing on Thanksgiving. The Saints are 0-4 ats off aa Monday nighter and Coach Patyon is just 2-9 ats as a home favorite vs a winning team off a loss. The Lions have been solid on the road this season. Look for the Lions to cover in what looks like classic win and no cover for the Saints.
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12-04-11 | Green Bay Packers v. NY Giants +7 | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 18 h 14 m | Show | |
Sunday the 100% NFC Play is on the New York Giants. Game 372 at 4:15 eastern. Many will back the pack here. Especially after watching the Giants get lit up on Monday night football by a rested Saints team. Looking and digging deeper though we note that Undefeated teams in the last quarter have failed to cover EVERY TIME on the road vs non division teams since 1979. The Giants are still right there in the NFC East even with their current losing streak. The Giants are also capable of coming up big at any time, remember the Patriots game a few weeks back. In fact coach Coughlin is perfect ats as a home dog when his teams play an undefeated team. Look for the Giants to give Green Bay a game here today. Take the Giants
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12-04-11 | Dallas Cowboys v. Arizona Cardinals +5 | 13-19 | Win | 100 | 17 h 46 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Shocker is on the Arizona Cardinals. Game 370 at 4:15 eastern. Arizona has won 3 of the last 4 times outright as a home dog in this range including a nice win here last December vs Dallas as a 7 point dog. They have covered 4 of the last 5 vs NFC East teams. Arizona is 13-3 ats in December games at home vs an opponent with revenge. Dallas has failed to cover 5 of 6 this season off a win and 5 of 6 vs Conference teams. When they take on losing teams they are 1-4 ats. Now for a little system action we blend in this little nugget. Road favorites off a home favored win and ats loss are 3-21 ats vs an opponent off a road win. Dallas is just a 4.5 point favorite, when line looks to good to be true, you know what to do. Take Arizona plus the points .
On Sunday the NCAAB Play is on SMU. Game 847 at 3:00 eastern. The Mustangs play this one with Home loss revenge here today. SMU is a solid 17-5 vs teams with a losing record, 6-1 vs teams who score 63 or less points per game and have won 3 of the 4 games the past few seasons vs The Sun Belt conference with the lone loss to Arkansas Little rock. SMU has also won 5 of 7 when the total is posted at 119.5 or less. Little Rock has lost 12 of 17 vs Conference USA and 7 of 8 vs teams who play good defense and allow less than 64 points per game. In games after they scored 80 or more they have lost 9 of the 13. Look for SMU To get their revenge here today. Take SMU |
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12-04-11 | Denver Broncos v. Minnesota Vikings +1 | 35-32 | Loss | -101 | 16 h 26 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Early power System Play is on the Minnesota Vikings. Game 366 at 1:00 eastern. Denver fits 2 negative systems that pertain to their Division Road dog win and their being on the road in a non division game here today. The Broncos have won 4 straight as a dog. However this will be a tough spot with Tebow making his first start in a dome with what should be a raucous crowd. The Broncos are 5-17 ats vs NFC North teams and 1-9 ats in December games off back to back wins and covers. They are also 1-5 ats on the road off a division win. The Vikings have covered 4 of the last 5 in the series and are a solid 13-1 ats off back to back losses vs a team that is .500 or better. Look for the Vikings to win this one today. Take Minnesota.
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12-04-11 | Indianapolis Colts +21 v. New England Patriots | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 14 h 49 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Dog play is on the Colts. Game 373 at 1:00 eastern. The Colts fit 3 solid systems here today. Lets take a look at 2 of them. Teams that are an ats loss streak of 7 or more are 13-2 ats since 1980. Secondly, winless teams in the second half of the season have covered 15 of 16 times if getting more than 10 points. Road dogs that are off back to back home dog losses are a solid investment vs teams off a road win. The Patriots expect to coast here and can coast by 17 points and still not cover. Take the 21 points with the Colts here.
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11-28-11 | NY Giants v. New Orleans Saints -7 | 24-49 | Win | 100 | 28 h 28 m | Show | |
On Monday night the NFL Power System play is on the Saints. Game 240 at 8:30 eastern. The Saints fit the same system the Packers and Patriots fitted the last 2 Mondays which plays on certain home favorites on Monday night football off a win in a non division game vs an opponent off a loss. The game fits most of the upper echelon subsets of the system too. As the road team Giants are off an ats loss of 3 or more and the total is 39 or higher. The Giants have failed to cover 19 of the last 22 vs a winning team off a straight up ats loss vs an opponent off a dog win. In fact the Giants are 1-9 ats in the 2nd half of the season vs winning teams and appear to be a team regressing since their big win vs New England. The Giants have not responded well off back to back losses failing to cover in 5 of the last 6 in that scenario. The Saints have won their last 5 Monday night affairs and will be jacked up at home off they bye week where they have won and covered the last 3 years with the added rest. The Saints have covered 5 of the last 6 in game 11 of the season and the Giants are 0-6 ats on the road off an ats loss of 10 or more. Take the Saints here tonight.
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11-27-11 | Denver Broncos v. San Diego Chargers -5 | 16-13 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 27 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Blowout Side is on the San Diego Chargers. Game 236 at 4:15 eastern. The Broncos are off 3 straight dog wins all of them in dramatic fashion. The Chargers fit 2 Solid systems here today. First we want to play on home favorites from -5 to -10 in Division games that are off a road dog straight up and ats loss vs an opponent off a home dog win. The second system plays against road teams off 3 straight dog wins. Both of these systems date to 1980. The Chargers are 5-1 ats before a Monday night game and won here 35-14 last season. These 2 met once already and Denver emerged with a 5 point win in Denver. The Broncos are 2-9 ats in game 11 and failed to cover 9 of the last 12 vs teams under .500. Look for Denver to break their 5 game losing streak today with a win and cover.
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11-27-11 | Carolina Panthers v. Indianapolis Colts +4 | 27-19 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 6 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Early 5* NFL Side is on the Colts. Game 224 at 1:00 eastern. The Colts fit a 100% system here that plays on winless teams in game 6 or later off a bye that are off a spread loss of 5 or more and scored 7 or less in the their last game. We also note that Home dogs that lost at least their last 3 vs an opponent that lost their last 3 have covered 17 of the last 21 times. The Colts are 5-1 ats with rest and Carolina has lost the last 12 road games. Look for the Colts to at the very least get the cover.
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11-27-11 | Buffalo Bills v. NY Jets OVER 41.5 | 24-28 | Win | 100 | 16 h 46 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Totals play is on the Over in the Bills at Jets game. Rotation numbers 217/218 at 1:00 eastern. This game fits a reversal system I use that plays opposite of the total result for teams playing a second time in a 2-3 week span. The first game went under in a Jets 27-11 win. This one projects to go over the total. The Jets have flown over in 7 of 10 as a road favorite loss and 3 of 4 coming off a Thursday game. The Bills have played over in 5 of 5 as a road dog in this range the past 3 years and 5 of 6 as a dog on the road in their 3rd straight road game. Look for this one to fly over the total in what's expected to a sunny and Mild day in New York. Take the Over.
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11-24-11 | San Francisco 49ers v. Baltimore Ravens -3 | 6-16 | Win | 100 | 19 h 60 m | Show | |
On Thursday night the Later Power Play is on the Baltimore Ravens. Game 108 at 8:20 eastern. The Ravens fit a solid system that plays on home favorites of less than -5 in non division games with no rest if they are .500 or better and off a home favored win and cover vs an opponent also off a home favored win and cover and a prior win. These homers are 9-1 straight up with 8 covers since 1980. The Ravens are a poised team with big game experience and coach Harbaugh is 16-0 with 13 covers as a home favorite of 7 or less. They have won 8 of the last 10 at home when the total is 38.5 to 42. The Niners are 2-13 ats in November off a win vs a .500 or better opponent also off a win. They are 1-6 ats off a division win vs a non division win and have lost 21 of 26 on the road vs Non division teams. Even better dogs with a better record on Thanksgiving day have failed to cover 1o of 11 times the last 31 years. Baltimore ruins the niners perfect spread record. Take Baltimore.
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11-24-11 | Miami Dolphins v. Dallas Cowboys -7 | 19-20 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 9 m | Show | |
On Thursday the Afternoon Power Side is on Dallas. Game 106 at 4;15 eastern. Thanks giving day favorites are 17-1 and 16-2 ats the last 23 years off back to back wins. Dallas is on a roll right now and Rob Ryan has this defense clicking on all cylinders. The Cowboys are an amazing 10-0 ats off a win vs losing teams on Thanksgiving day and 9-0 ats on Turkey day if off a win and the opponent is .700 or less. Miami has done well to get 3 straight wins but this is a tough spot to travel to Texas on just 3 days rest against a winning team. Look for Dallas to get the win and cover.
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11-24-11 | Green Bay Packers -6 v. Detroit Lions | 27-15 | Win | 100 | 12 h 36 m | Show | |
On Turkey day early play is on Green Bay. Game 103 at 12:30 eastern. The Packers will be ready for this one as they play with Qb Knockout revenge from last seasons 7-3 loss here in which the Lions knocked Rogers out of the game. Today we note that Turkey day favorites are 17-1 with 16 covers off back to back wins. The Lions also apply to a negative system which is RARE with only 9 applications and plays against home dogs from 5-10 in division play that are off a home favored win and cover vs an opponent off a win. Green Bay has covered 4 of the last 5 here and are 12-3 ats as favorites after scoring 35 or more and 8-1 ats in November vs an opponent off a home game. When they are road favorites from -3.5 to -7 they are 5-1 ats and have been solid vs winning teams in the second half the past 3 years going 9-3 ats. The Lions are 1-8 ats in all 3 of the following situations. As a home dog vs an opponent revenge. Off a win vs an opponent with revenge and in division play vs an opponent off 2+ wins with revenge. They are also 2-10 ats as a dog 10 less vs teams that are .666 or better. The Lions are 0-7 straight up and ats the last 7 Thanksgivings. Look for the Packers to get the win and cover
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11-21-11 | Kansas City Chiefs v. New England Patriots -16 | 3-34 | Win | 100 | 27 h 32 m | Show | |
On Monday night the NFL play is on the New England Patriots. Game 440 at 8:30 eastern. The Patriots fit a solid Monday night specific system that plays on non division home teams off a win, vs an opponent off a loss of 3 or more and ats loss of 3 or more, if the total is 39 or more.. The Chiefs fit a secondary never lost system that plays against road dogs of 10 or more off a home favored loss and scored 14 or less, vs an opponent that scored 28 or more as a road dog last out. These road teams deserve to this heavy a dog. They have lost every time and by an average 30-5 score. The Patriots are ready to roll after basically putting themselves in an excellent position to win yet another AFC East title. The Chiefs will be without starting qb Cassel who has been largely inconsistent this season. Consider that KC Has been destroyed by Buffalo and Miami already this season and wee see the makings of a long night. The Only way they stay in this one is if the refs even things out in the penalty area. That said were backing the better team to get the win and cover. Take the Patriots
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11-20-11 | Philadelphia Eagles +6.5 v. NY Giants | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Power Side is on the Eagles. Game 437 at 8:30 eastern. The Eagles may be without Vick. However V. Young has plenty of starting experience and should be able to do a credible job in what is a back to the wall must win game for the Eagles. Philly plays this one with revenge, a role they are 13-2 ats in if off a double digit ats loss. They are also 15-2 ats away with revenge vs an opponent off a road game in the month of November. The Giants still have to deal with a solid Eagle defense. The Giants are 1-7 ats at home vs an opponent off a double digit loss and 1-8 ats at home when the total is 45.5 to 49. In November they are 2-8 ats most recently. We have already seen the Giants lose here as an 11 point favorite to Seattle and barely get by a then winless Miami team. Look for a spirited effort from Philly as they move to 5-0 ats here. Take Philly here tonight
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11-20-11 | Tennessee Titans v. Atlanta Falcons OVER 44 | 17-23 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 41 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Total of the Month is on the Over in the Titans at Falcons game. Rotation numbers 415/416 at 4;15 eastern. This game fits one of my favorite totals systems. We want to play the over for non division teams off a straight up division home favored loss by 3 or less points if they scored 21 or more points. Like this the system is 24-5. If I add a subset or two I can bang that 24-5 down to 18-0. Atlanta has gone over the total in 6 of the last 7 in the 2nd of back to back home games if -6 or less and 6 of 8 to the over at home if the total is 42.5 to 45. When playing off a loss the Falcons have played over in 3 of the last 4. The Titans should also do nicely on the offensive side of the ball. Look for this one to play over the total.
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11-20-11 | San Diego Chargers +4 v. Chicago Bears | 20-31 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 17 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Non Conference Game of the Year is on the Chargers. Game 435 at 4;15 eastern. WHY? Would anyone take a team that blew a 3 game lead in their division with repeated bone head mistakes and in the midst of a 4 game losing streak. The reason is that dogs of 2 or more off a straight up favored loss at -7 or higher while allowing less than 27 points are 44-15 ats vs an opponent off an ats win. Those who know me, know that 44-15 id solid but wont do. So I dig and go 3 subsets deep to bang this 44-15 down to 29-1. The Chargers also have better numbers on both sides of the ball and have the benefit of 2 extra days after playing on Thursday. The Chargers are an incredible 8-0 ats on the road off back to back losses, vs an opponent off back to back wins. The Bears are 1-13 ats off back to back wins vs an opponent off back to back losses and 1-8 ats off back to back wins with the last coming by 10 or more. An incredible coincidence in this game. All systems and Angles aside. The Bears were in a Big trash talking revenge match vs Detroit last out and it is unlikely that they can carry that edge into this one. The Chargers are off a tough Division home favorite loss and will be anxious to get things back on track in a division that is still up for grabs. With the Chargers 10-1 ats as a road dog in November if they were favored in their last game we will back them here. Take the Chargers and the points.
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11-20-11 | Jacksonville Jaguars v. Cleveland Browns | 10-14 | Win | 100 | 16 h 25 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Early Double Down Power Pack is on the Cleveland Browns. Game 421 at 1:00 eastern and Carolina. Game 425 at 1:00 eastern. Both these plays have tremendous power systems in their favor. Jacksonville applies to a big negative system that plays against non division road teams off a division road win if they scored 26 or less and are taking on an opponent off a straight up and ats loss if they are a dog or favorite of 7 or less. The Jaguars cant be trusted to win 2 straight on the road here. Take Cleveland. Carolina fits a big system as well. We want to play on teams with 1 or more win at +6.5 or more vs a non division team and are taking on an opponent off a division loss. This system cashes over 96% and is 23-3 of late. The Panthers also fit a secondary system that plays on road teams as long as they are not laying 4 or more in the 1st of 3+ road games. These teams are 26-6 ats. The Panthers have covered 4 of the last 5 as a dog after scoring 10 or less vs a non division team. Detroit is 0-9 ats vs a non division team off 2 or more losses and clearly are not the same team that started 5-0 now having lost 3 of the last 4. With Carolina 7-0 ats off a straight up favored loss by 10 or more vs an opponent off a loss and ats loss, we will back Carolina here.
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11-14-11 | Minnesota Vikings v. Green Bay Packers -13 | 7-45 | Win | 106 | 19 h 42 m | Show | |
On Monday night the NFL Selection side is on the Green Bay Packers. Game 246 at 8:35 eastern. Green Bay fits a short Turn around System I use for teams that are playing for the second within a 2-3 week time frame. The system basically reverses the game one results and the unique parameters suggest a Green Bay win and cover. The system is an Oldie but goody dating all the way back to 1973. The Packers also have some solid angles pointing their way. The Pack are 12-1 ats off a win vs an opponent with rest and 11-2 ats as favorites after scoring 35 or more. They have also covered the last 6 in week 9 of the season. In games where they allowed 35 or more they have come back to cover 6 of the last 7. The Vikings have lost and failed to cover the last 4 on Monday night and are 0-4 ats in week 9. When playing with revenge they are 0-7 ats as a dog off a road game. The Vikings hung tough making a nice comeback at home to cover a few weeks ago. However even if the refs help them with some timely penalties for Green Bay it still may not be enough to Stop a Green Bay team that has had it with talk of their weak defense. Look for Green Bay to win and cover tonight.
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11-13-11 | New England Patriots v. NY Jets | 37-16 | Loss | -110 | 90 h 56 m | Show | |
On Sunday night the AFC EAST BEAST SIDE is on the NEW YORK JETS. Game 244 at 8;30 eastern. Last week no one believed the Vaunted Patriots could possible lose 2 straight. Then the Giants pulled off a big win. The same skeptics wont believe they could lose 3 straight. HOWEVER. The Jets have revenge and have played much better here than in New England. They will be on Brady all night and be very physical at the line of scrimmage. Since Ryan has been here they have allowed just 11 points per game against the Jets here. The Patriots have a leaky defense that can be exploited here with a Jets offensive line that has played much better in recent weeks. The Jets KNOW they cant lose here and fall 2 games behind the Patriots and lose a possible tie breaker scenario. This IS the most important game for their season, win or their playing for a wild card and 3 road games to get to the super bowl. The Good news is the Jets are 15-2 straight up as a home favorite vs .600 or less opposition and 6-1 off a dog win. They have won and covered 7 of the last 8 off a division win and have won and covered 8 of the last 11 with revenge. In Sunday night games the Jets are 7-1 straight up and against the spread off a win. The Patriots have failed to cover 4 of the last 5 times as a road dog vs an opponent off a win of 14 or more. Jets Defense has played much better and have been a big reason why they have catapulted back into the division race. Look for the Jets to soar past the Patriots tonight. Take the Jets.
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11-13-11 | Jacksonville Jaguars v. Indianapolis Colts +3 | 17-3 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 11 m | Show | |
On Sunday the AFC Early dog with bite is on the Colts. Game 222 at 1:00 eastern. The Colts fit a myriad of winless teams systems for this time of year. Let us have a look see at one of the tighter ones.We want to play on winless home dogs after week 4 that scored 7 or less last out. In reality the Colts were shutout as their only score came on a pick six. Look for them to rebound here. I actually think this is a win for them here.Jage are just the 2nd losing team they have pled. Jags are 5-15 on the road including 0-4 this season. As a favorite they are 1-7 ats if -9.5 or less vs .333 or less. They are 0-8 ats in November games vs losing teams off a an ats loss of 10 or more. Look for the Cots to get the cash.
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11-13-11 | Buffalo Bills +5.5 v. Dallas Cowboys | 7-44 | Loss | -107 | 15 h 21 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Non Conference play is on the St. Louis Rams. Game 235 at 1:00 eastern. The Browns fit a bad home favorite system that plays against home favorites in non conference games that are under .500 if both teams are off road dog losses and failed to cover. These home favorites are 9-19 straight up and 7-21 ats. Cleveland is 2-8 ats as a home favorite, while the Rams are 10-0 ats off a straight up and ats loss vs an opponent that is less than .500 in non divisional games. The Browns are 0-7 ats if less than .500 vs an opponent off an NFC game that has revenge and 0-4 ats at home as a favorite of 3 or less off a loss. Brown check in at 1-8 straight up in game 9. The Rams are the play today.
On Sunday the 31-5 statisticians dream play is on Arizona. Game 237 at 1:00 Eastern. Check this cutting edge power system out. Visiting teams off a win at +8 or more have covered the spread 31 of 36 times if both teams are under 500. Philly continues to receive way too much respect. They are 14 point favorites while continuing to disappoint. Even without Kolb this is too many points. Take Arizona to cash with a 14 point or maybe higher at game time spread. On Sunday the road warrior play is on Buffalo. Game 223 at 1:00 eastern. Buffalo plays the first of 3 straight road games here. When NFL teams take to the road in the first of these 3 game sets they are 25-5 ats provided they are not laying more than 4 points. The Bills are 5-1 ats as a road dog from +3.5 to 7 and have a nice 16-9 record vs NFC East teams even with some of their lean year records. They are a team that capitalizes on turnovers and Dallas is a team that has the propensity to turn it over. While I don't think they will win, I do think they can stay close and get the cover. Take Buffalo. |
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11-13-11 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Cincinnati Bengals +4 | 24-17 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 59 m | Show | |
On Sunday the AFC North Power play is on the Bengals. Game 218 at 1:00 eastern. Many love the Steelers to bounce back here off the loss to Baltimore. The Reality though is that the Bengals are for real and can win this one. We note that, home dogs of less than 7 that are winning teams off a road dog win vs an opponent off a home game are 31-3 ats with a little subset action. The Bengals are 6-0 ats in conference games and 8-1 ats as dogs off a dog win. As a home dog of 3 or less they are 6-1 straight up. They have covered 7 of the last in game nines. Cincy is 2-0 vs teams that have winning record when they have played them. The Steelers are 2-8 ats as a road favorite of more than 3 and have failed to cover 6 of the last 8 on turf. The Stark reality is that a better Steeler team last season beat a much worse Bengal team by here last season. The Bengals are much improved and will give the Steeelers a game that the Pittsburgh may not believe they are capable of giving them. Take the Bengals here today.
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11-10-11 | Oakland Raiders +8 v. San Diego Chargers | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 18 h 16 m | Show | |
On Thursday the NFL POWER SYSTEM side is on the Oakland Raiders. Game 107 at 8:20 eastern. The Raiders fit a Solid System here that plays on road dogs off a division home favored loss at -6.5 or higher vs an opponent that is .500 or better and also off a loss. This system has cashed 14 of the last 15 times. The Raiders will look to get the Denver debacle behind then knowing they are 6-0 ats on the road off back to back losses vs a division opponent and have covered 6 of the last vs an opponent that has revenge. The Raiders have covered the last 4 in the series and 10 of the last 11 as division dogs off a division loss. The Chargers are 0-7 ats in the 2nd of back to back home games after allowing 35 or more. Look for Oakland to get the cover.
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11-07-11 | Chicago Bears v. Philadelphia Eagles UNDER 47.5 | 30-24 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 48 m | Show | |
On Monday the NFL Totals system side is on the under in the Chicago At Philly game. Rotation numbers 431/432 at 8:35 eastern. This game fits a rare system that plays to the under for Home favorites of 7 or more if the total is 44.5 or higher and they are coming off a home win scoring 21 or more on 200 or more yards rushing. Power Angles? We have them, The Bears have gone under in 18 of 23 as a dog and all 7 times off a bye week. When on the road with a total of 45.5 to 49 they have gone under all 5 times the last 3+ seasons. The Eagles have played under all 5 times recently at home after allowing 7 or less points. At home with a total of 45.5 to 49 the Eagles have played under 6 of 8 times. When they are favored by more than 7 off back to back wins they have played under all 9 times. Look for this one to play under as well tonight.
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11-06-11 | Baltimore Ravens +3.5 v. Pittsburgh Steelers | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 22 h 46 m | Show | |
On Sunday night the NFL Power Side is on the Baltimore Ravens. Game 429 at 8:30 eastern. The Ravens have played lethargically for long periods the past 2 games. Last week they barely escaped at home as a 13 point favorite getting a late field goal to take down Arizona. The week before they lost at Jacksonville on Monday night football. Now they travel to Pittsburgh a team they defeated in week one in perhaps the best game they have played all season. The fact is this Ravens team was built with beating Pittsburgh in mind. This game will awaken the Ravens here tonight. Baltimore is 5-0 ats as a division dog, 8-1 ats as a dog off a double digit spread loss and have covered 4 of the past 5 off 2 ats losses. The Steelers do have revenge but may not play as well as they did last week in a statement win over the Patriots. The Steelers are 1-10 ats as a favorite of less than 4 under Coach Tomlin vs an opponent with a win percentage of .760 or less. Take the Points here as the Ravens get the cash.
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11-06-11 | St. Louis Rams +3 v. Arizona Cardinals | 13-19 | Loss | -120 | 18 h 15 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFC West play is on the St. Louis Rams. Game 423 at 4:15 eastern. Many will fade the Rams here off the big Home dog win over the Saints. However the Cardinals are very weak on defense and may not have Kolb. The Rams may get Bradford back but can play well enough even with Feeley. For technical purposes we note that teams like the Cardinals coming home off a loss of 3 or less as a road dog of 10 or more are as flat as a pancake off the big effort and near miss. These teams are 5-27 ats. The Rams are 9-1 ats off a non division win of 10 or more and are 100% after scoring 34 or more in the situation there in today. The Rams have covered 5 of the last 7 in November and the Cardinals are 0-4 ats as a home favorite of 3 or less. Take the Rams plus the points in this one.
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11-06-11 | Atlanta Falcons v. Indianapolis Colts +7.5 | 31-7 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 16 m | Show | |
On Sunday in Early action the Double System side is on the Indy Colts. Game 406 at 1:0 eastern. The Colts fit 2 solid systems here today. First we want to play on win less homers in weeks 8-10 as they have covered 19 of the last 26 times. The second system plays on non division home dogs that started 0-4 straight up and against the spread off a straight up and ats loss vs an opponent off a win and cover. That one has cashed 15 of 18 times since 1980. The Colts return home off 3 tough road losses and are 9-1 ats vs an opponent off a dog win. Atlanta is 1-8 ats as a favorite of 6 or more off a dog win vs an opponent off a loss of 10 or more. Coach Smith is just 1-7 ats on the road off a non division win. This will be much closer than some may think with the Colts coming home. Those with me last week what happened to the Saints when they took a Rams team lightly. Not saying the Colts win, but this one should be tight. Take the Colts
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10-31-11 | San Diego Chargers -3 v. Kansas City Chiefs | 20-23 | Loss | -102 | 18 h 25 m | Show | |
On Monday night the Power System Play is on The San Diego Chargers. Game 231 at 8:30 eastern. The Chargers come in off an inept performance on the road losing to the Jets in a game where they blew the lead and did not score in the 4th quarter. Tonight they take on a Chiefs team they beat in a close game last month. In that game the Chargers took their foot off the gas as they hung on for a close win in a game where KC had no first downs and 30 yards of offense in the first half. The Chargers have better numbers on both sides of the ball and have played a much tougher schedule. The Chiefs have some nice angles that pertain to them here tonight. However home dogs have not covered the last 310 years off 3 straight dog wins. KC has won the last 3 straight. However when they have played the good teams this year they have been shellacked. Detroit and Buffalo pasted then and they have wins over the Vikings and Colts no world beaters there. Last week they had the advantage of a bye week and caught Oakland in transition with C. Palmer splitting time at Qb. They took advantage with 2 Pick sixes in a 28-0 victory. Thinks figure to get much tougher in this one. KC is just 1-9 ats in division games off a division game and back to back wins vs an opponent that is 500 or better and 0-8 ats home off back to back wins and covers in October games. The Chargers have won 10 of the last 14 vs the Division and 11 of 15 as a road favorite of 3 or less. Look for the Chargers to put an end to the Chiefs 3 game win streak. Take San Diego.
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10-30-11 | Dallas Cowboys +3 v. Philadelphia Eagles | 7-34 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Late Game Power System Play is on the Dallas Cowboys. Game 227 at 8:30 eastern. Dallas has won 8 of the last 11 vs teams under .500 and have new found success in the running game with Murray which should take some pressure off Romo. Dallas has covered 9 of the last 12 a dog . The Eagles are off a bye week and the whole country is aware of how good they are off a bye. They have split the last 2 years with rest so that trend may start to reverse some. The Eagles have lost 4 of the last vs Dallas and are 1-10 ats as a division favorite of 2 or more vs an opponent off a win and cover and 2-11 ats as a division homer vs an opponent off a win that played in back to back non division games.. Now to tie a nice system into the equation we note that home favorites off a bye week are a losing proposition vs an opponent that comes in off a win of 21 or more. Take the points with The Cowboys.
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10-30-11 | New England Patriots v. Pittsburgh Steelers +3 | 17-25 | Win | 100 | 19 h 24 m | Show | |
On Sunday the AFC Power Play is on the Pittsburgh Steelers. Game 224 at 4:15 eastern. The Steelers have home loss revenge here and are an eye popping 27-3 ats with revenge in the month of October long term. They are also 14-0 ats if they have revenge and are .500 or better and a dog of 10 or less vs a winning team. The best part of this play is a solid 3-19 system that plays against road favorites of 3 or less that are off a home favored win and spread loss vs an opponent off a win. The Patriots are 10-16 ats off a bye losing to the spread in the last two. The Patriots are better on offense but the Steelers are over 150 yards better on defense. Look for the Steelers to serve it up on a cold platter for last seasons 39-26 loss here. Take the Steelers.
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10-30-11 | New Orleans Saints v. St. Louis Rams +14.5 | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 17 h 35 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFC Top tier system play is on the St. Louis Rams. Game 214 at 1:00 eastern. The Rams are in a good spot here as far as line value. They are getting nearly 14 points here mainly due to the Big Saints destruction of The Colts and their loss to Dallas. However when we travel to the database and go back to 1978 we see that road favorites like the Saints are 0-16 ats off a home win vs an opponent off a road dog loss and a prior road loss if they are favored from -10.5 to -16. Another system is to play on non division home dogs that started 0-4 or worse off a straight up and ats loss vs an opponent off a win and cover. Their are a few variations of that system and the Rams fit all the subset with one of the stronger being if they scored 7 or less last out. The Saints in general are 0-8 ats as a team when off a double digit ats win vs an opponent off back to back losses. As my curiosity grew I checked to see how Road favorites of 10 or more did if they were favored by 10 or more at home last week and scored 42 or more. Amazingly they are just 1-6 ats since 1989. The Rams are not going to win this one. But they are going to hang in. Take the Rams.
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10-24-11 | Baltimore Ravens v. Jacksonville Jaguars UNDER 39.5 | 7-12 | Win | 100 | 19 h 57 m | Show | |
On Monday night the NFL Totals system play is on the Under in the Baltimore at Jacksonville game. Rotation numbers 425/426 at 8:35 eastern. This game fits a solid Monday night Football specific totals system that plays tot he under for home dogs of 3 or more off back to back losses vs an opponent off a win and cover. Since 1993 this system has cashed 14 of 17 times and with a little subset goes perfect. The Jaguars have been anemic on offense and have gone under 5 of 6 this season and the last 5 times on Monday night. As a non division home dog they have played under in 8 straight. The Ravens have gone under in 3 of the past 4 Monday nighters and have one of the leagues best defenses. Jacksonville has a good defense as well. This game should be of the low scoring variety tonight. Take the Under.
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10-23-11 | Indianapolis Colts v. New Orleans Saints UNDER 49.5 | 7-62 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
On Sunday night the NFL Totals system Play is on the Under in the Colts at Saints game. Rotation numbers 423/424 at 8:30 eastern. This is the first meeting between these two since the 2010 Saints Super Bowl win. This game here tonight fits the 91% system below which plays to the under for all home teams since 1989 if they scored 21 or less as a road favorite, vs an opponent that scored 21 or less as a road dog and both teams rushed for under 100 yards in the previous game. Four of the last 5 in the series have played under and Saints have played under in 11 of 12 off a loss if the total is 45 or higher. They have also played under in 6 of the last 8 at home when the total is 45.5 to 49. Look for this one to play under the total.
O/U: 1-10-0 (-7.6) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Completions Passing Yds TrnOvrs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team: 28.0 122.5 32.8 19.9 202.2 2.4 3.5 6.5 2.8 5.8 18.6 Opp: 23.3 97.6 34.6 18.0 171.9 2.0 1.2 4.8 2.5 4.7 13.3 Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot SUN 4 1991 SF STL H 3-0 7-10 3-0 14-0 27-10 -7' +38' 17 +9' -1' 4.0 -5.5 W W U 0 SUN 11 1993 NO GB H 0-3 14-7 0-3 3-6 17-19 -6' +37' -2 -8' -1' -5.0 3.5 L L U 0 SUN 2 1996 KC RAI H 0-0 7-0 7-0 5-3 19-3 -6' +37' 16 +9' -15' -3.0 -12.5 W W U 0 SUN 14 1997 CAR NO H 0-0 3-13 0-0 10-3 13-16 -9 +33 -3 -12 -4 -8.0 4.0 L L U 0 SUN 8 1998 GB BAL H 14-0 0-0 14-3 0-7 28-10 -11 +41' 18 +7 -3' 1.8 -5.2 W W U 0 SUN 17 1999 JAC CIN H 7-7 10-0 0-0 7-0 24-7 -9 +40 17 +8 -9 -0.5 -8.5 W W U 0 SUN 12 2000 MIA NYJ H 0-3 3-3 0-0 0-14 3-20 -3' +39 -17 -20' -16 -18.2 2.2 L L U 0 SUN 14 2001 TB DET H 0-0 7-3 0-6 8-3 15-12 -8' +36' 3 -5' -9' -7.5 -2.0 W L U 0 SUN 12 2003 MIN DET H 7-0 0-0 0-7 17-7 24-14 -10' +47 10 -0' -9 -4.8 -4.2 W L U 0 SUN 15 2005 RAI CLE H 0-0 7-3 0-3 0-3 7-9 -3 +38' -2 -5 -22' -13.8 -8.8 L L U 0 SUN 4 2010 GB DET H 7-0 14-14 7-6 0-6 28-26 -14' +46 2 -12' +8 -2.2 10.2 W L O 0 SUN 7 2011 NO IND H -14 +49' On Sunday the MLB Play is on Texas. Game 958 at 8:05 eastern. Texas has won 12 straight off a single loss and have the benefit of seeing Cardinals starter Jacks from his days earlier in the season with Detroit. Jackson last start did not go well vs Texas as he was pulled after 5+ innings allowing 4 runs with 11 hits. He has a 5.05 road era and 5.84 in his last 3 starts. Holland goes for Texas and he has never faced the Cardinals. Texas has won 14 of his 19 home starts. Look for Texas to tie this up tonight. Take Texas. |
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10-23-11 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Arizona Cardinals UNDER 44 | 32-20 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 16 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Double totals system play is on the Under in the Steelers at Cardinals game. Rotation numbers 417/418 at 4:05 eastern. This game fits 2 solid totals systems. We want to go under the total for teams like Arizona that allowed 30 or more back to back before their bye, if they lost the last game and today's spread is +7 to -7 and the game is non division. The second system plays to the under for home dogs of less than 5 off a loss of 24 or more points, a prior road dog loss and ats loss, vs an opponent off a home favored win. Arizona has played under in 13 of 15 after a bye week and 5 of 6 as a dog of 4 or less. With the Steelers solid defense and inconsistent offense we will back the Under here.
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10-23-11 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Arizona Cardinals +4.5 | 32-20 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 44 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Big Power system play is on Arizona. Game 418 at 4:05 eastern. Arizona fits a huge system that is very rare. Since 1980 home dogs of less than 5 off a road dog loss by 24 or more points and a prior road dog loss and ats loss are 11-2 straight up and 12-1 ats, if the opponent is off a home favored win. Coach Whisenhunt will have his team ready off the bye week and he is 16-1 ats vs non division opponents that won by a touchdown or more. The Cardinals are also 12-2 ats of late as a home dog of 4 or less. The Steelers are 0-11 ats if they are .500 or better and on the road vs an opponent who played an NFC game last out. The Steelers are also a poor 1-8 ats as a road favorite of -3 or more. Take the points in this one. Take Arizona.
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10-23-11 | Atlanta Falcons +4.5 v. Detroit Lions | 23-16 | Win | 100 | 16 h 24 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Shocker side is on Atlanta. Game 413 at 1;00 eastern. The Lions were upset last week by a surging 49ers team. Now they stay home to take on the Atlanta Falcons. That initial loss sets them up in a negative system that has cashed 21 of 23 times and has been the source of many winners for us through the years. We want to play against teams from week 6 on off their first loss if they are favored by less than 7 points. There is a also a sub set that pertains to their opponent which applies and makes it perfect. Atlanta is battle tested the last few years and will have no problem on a fast surface. They are an amazing 9-1 ats with coach Smith vs teams with a win percentage of .750 or higher. The Lions are just 2-8 straight up off their first loss of the season and coach Schwartz is 3-11 straight up off a loss. The Falcons get the cash here. Take Atlanta.
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10-17-11 | Miami Dolphins +7 v. NY Jets | 6-24 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 23 m | Show | |
On Monday the NFL Monday night GOY is on the Miami Dolphins. Game 225 at 8:35 eastern. This game fits a perfect system that plays on any dog of 6 or more in week 4 or later with a win percentage of .110 or less that has rest. This system has cashed 23 straight since 1979. Another fine system that applies here is to play against home favorites of .6.5 or more that are off 3 straight losses. A third system plays against Monday night homers off back to back road losses, that one has cashed 11 of the last 13. There are various other systems that plays on Miami due to their rest and winless stats. We note that the Dolphins have covered 4 straight game fives, while the Jets are 0-9 ats as a home favorite vs an opponent off 3+ ats losses and 1-7 ats as a home favorite of 9 or less with revenge. Miami has won the last 2 here in New York and may due well now that Backup Moore had a full week to prepare, If he doesn't commit costly turnovers he will do better than Henne, who was a turnover machine. Look for a top effort here from Miami. Take the Dolphins.
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10-16-11 | Minnesota Vikings v. Chicago Bears OVER 41.5 | 10-39 | Win | 100 | 28 h 16 m | Show | |
On Sunday night the totals system is on the Over in the Vikings at Bears game. Rotation numbers 223/224 at 8:20 eastern. This game fits a 90% totals system that averages 50 points per game. We want to play the over for home favorites off a road dog loss at +6.5 or more and scored 14 or less points, vs an opponent that scored 28 or more with 150 or more yards rushing as a home favorite. The Vikings have gone over in 8 of 10 in weeks 5-8, while the Bears have gone over in 11 of 16 as a favorite. The Bears defense is not what it was and is allowing 419 yards per game. Look for a high scoring game here tonight. Take the over.
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10-16-11 | Dallas Cowboys +7 v. New England Patriots | 16-20 | Win | 100 | 4 h 11 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Late Afternoon Power System Side is on the Dallas Cowboys. Game 219 at 4:05 eastern. The Cowboys have had 2 weeks to stew in that Second half collapse at home vs Detroit. They will travel to New England energized and will face a front that will be able to get far less pressure n T. Romo here today. Look for Romo best game here today as he was heavily criticized for the Detroit loss. Dallas will be able to move the ball on a Patriots defense that allows well over 400 yards per game. The Patriots will see some new bye week looks from Dallas Defensive coordinator Rob Ryan. Whether this will slow down a Patriots team that gets 30 per game remains to bee seen. However with Dallas taking 7 points here we think the Cowboys will stay with The Patriots regardless as the Cowboys defense is 140 yards better. Patriots got their big Home playoff loss revenge win vs the Jets last week and may be flat with a bye next week as they have failed to cover 4 of the last 5 times vs Non division teams before a bye and 8 of 10 at home off a home game. Dallas is a perfect 9-0 straight up and ats on the road off a bye if they have a .500 or better record. The Cowboys have covered 5 of 6 as a dog from 3.5 to 9. Thye may not win, but they will hang in here. Take Dallas.
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10-16-11 | Indianapolis Colts +7 v. Cincinnati Bengals | 17-27 | Loss | -103 | 21 h 57 m | Show | |
On Sunday the AFC Power System Play is on the Colts. Game 212 at 1:00 eastern. The Colts fit a Perfect system here today that plays on teams who have not won in game 6 if they are dogs off a loss by 2 touchdowns or less vs an opponent that is not undefeated and did not lose by 17 or more in their last game. The Colts have won 7 of here and the Bengals are 2-12 ats as a favorite, including 0-4 straight up at home from -3.5 to -7. The Colts are getting closer as M. Painter gets comfortable with regular playing time. The Colts also fit another system that has cashed 25 of 30 times and plays on road teams that are not favored by 4 or more if they are playing the first of 3+ road games. Coach Caldwell has covered all 9 times on the road vs a team with a winning record. Look for the Colts to get the cash here today plus the points
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10-16-11 | Philadelphia Eagles v. Washington Redskins +3 | 20-13 | Loss | -104 | 14 h 6 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFC East Power System play is on the Washington Redskins. Game 206 at 1:00 eastern. Last season we took Philly here at Washington on Monday night football and they humiliated the Skins nearly scoring 60 points. Washington not only has this one circled but they have a bye and will probably have many new wrinkles in their game plan to catch the Eagles off guard. For technical purposes we note that teams off a loss of 7 or more that are also off 3 consecutive straight up favored losses have failed to cover 97% of the time if we imply a little subset. The Eagles have failed to cover 13 of 15 times in October vs a divisional opponent that has revenge. Coach Shanahan has a solid spread record when playing off a bye, particularly vs losing teams. Look for the Washington to Skin the Eagles. Take Washington.
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10-10-11 | Chicago Bears +7 v. Detroit Lions | 13-24 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
On Monday the NFL System Side is on the Chicago Bears. Game 429 at 8:35 eastern. The Lions are 4-0 in this one and won last week only because of 3 interceptions By Dallas Qb Tony Romo. The Lions fit a negative system that plays against home teams that scored 28 or more as a road dog last week, vs an opponent that scored 21 or more as a home favorite and rushed for 200 or more yards. This system goes perfect if the game is between Division rivals. Chicago has covered the last 9 times as a road dog vs a division team if they are off a non division game. The Bears are 3-0 of late on Monday night football, while the Lions are 1-4 on Monday nights. Detroit has lost 10 of 11 in week 5 and the last 6 in the series vs the Bears. Chicago is 11-1 ats as road dogs in October vs an opponent off a win. Take the points as the Bears as they have played tougher teams and will give the Lions a big game here tonight.
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10-09-11 | San Diego Chargers v. Denver Broncos +5 | 29-24 | Push | 0 | 162 h 11 m | Show | |
On Sunday the AFC Power System play is on the Denver Broncos. Game 426 at 4:15 eastern. Denver fits the solid game 5 system that pertains to 1-3 road teams in game 5 off a loss, vs a divisional opponent off a win. These teams are 22-3 ats. Denver has Tebow starting today and they should be energized in this one. Home dogs of less than 5 off a road loss where they allowed 40 or more points are 14-5 ats vs an opponent off a home favored win. The Chargers are 0-5 ats off a double digit non division win, and coach Turner is 1-10 ats off a win of 10 or more vs a team off back to back road games. Denver has been a solid home dog through the years. Look for them to stay in this one and maybe pull the upset. Take Denver.
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10-09-11 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3 v. San Francisco 49ers | 3-48 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 21 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Power System Side is on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Game 421 at 4:05 eastern. The Niners fit a big negative system that pertains to home teams in this range off a road dog win at +10 or more, and a secondary system that plays against teams off back to back dog wins. Tampa is 13-3 ats on the road and won here 21-0 last season. They are 5-0 straight up vs NFC West teams. The Niners are 1-5 in game five and 0-5 straight up vs NFC South teams and 2-8 vs winning teams. Tampa played well enough to win big vs the Colts but were called for 13 penalties in a game where the refs did everything they could to keep the Colts in a gam where they could have been blown out. Tampa was called for several ghost calls while the Colts were never penalized for similar infractions. Tampa may very well win this one outright. Take the 3 points with Tampa.
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10-09-11 | New Orleans Saints v. Carolina Panthers +7 | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 16 h 46 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFC Power System Play is on Carolina. Game 414 at 1:00 eastern. The Panthers fit a solid system here today that plays on 1-3 road reams in game 5 off a loss, vs a division opponent that is off a win. These teams have covered 22 of 25 times. The Saints do not come marching in off back to back wins and covers vs an opponent off a loss as they have failed to cover the last nine times. They are also 2-16 ats as a division favorite of 7 or more.The Panthers have lit it up on offense and are 6-1 ats off 3+ ats wins vs divisional teams and have won 5 of the past 6 in game five of the season. Look for Carolina to hang with New Orleans here today.
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10-09-11 | Kansas City Chiefs +2.5 v. Indianapolis Colts | 28-24 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
On Sunday the AFC power System Play is on the KC. Chiefs. Game 405 at 1;00 eastern. The Chiefs apply to a solid system that plays on teams that are 1-3 on the year and off their first win if they are a road dog and won 7 or more last year. These teams have covered every time the past few seasons. The Colts were kept in the game thanks to the refs on Monday night and were not called for several penalties they committed. They have been out gained n every game despite covering spreads. The Chiefs are 30 straight up as a road dog of 3 or less the last 3 years and 10-0 ats as dogs vs losing teams that are off a non division game. Look for the Chiefs to make the Colts one step closer to getting A. Luck. Take the Chiefs.
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10-03-11 | Indianapolis Colts v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers -10 | 17-24 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 19 m | Show | |
On Monday the NFL Power system side is on the Tampa Bay Bucs. Game 238 at 8:35 eastern. This game fits 2 solid system and one of them pertains strictly to Monday night football. We want to play on non divisional Monday night home favorites off a win vs an opponent off a loss of 3 or more. This system has cashed 36 of 44 times. We also want to play against 0-3 road teams that are not off a shut out loss vs an opponent with one or more wins. The Colts have perhaps the wort backup Quarterback in the league in Painter and were only kept in last weeks loss to the Steelers due to turnovers. The Colts play decent defense at home but not so much on the road. Now they will from their cool dome to The warmer weather in Florida. Even worse is their 0-8 ats spread mark as non conference dogs vs an opponent off back to back wins and covers. The Colts have failed ats the last 3 times on Monday night football on the road off a loss. Tampa Bay has covered game 4 5 straight times, look for a comfortable win and cover here tonight. Take Tampa
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10-02-11 | Denver Broncos +13.5 v. Green Bay Packers | 23-49 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 16 m | Show | |
NFL Play Denver
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10-02-11 | NY Giants v. Arizona Cardinals +2.5 | 31-27 | Loss | -105 | 110 h 40 m | Show | |
On Our Big Non Conference game is on Arizona. Game number 228 at 4:05 eastern. Giants had last weeks game against Philly circled since last year when Philly basically knocked them from playoff contention. This game is NOT circled and could be a big flat spot for New York. Road favorites off a road win are a 90% go against vs an opponent off a straight up favored loss. Arizona is 7-0 ats off back to back losses vs an opponent off a spread win of 10 or more, 12-2 ats as a home dog of less than 4 of 2+ losses, 9-2 home vs an opponent off a dog win and a perfect 10-0 if less than .500 and at home vs an opponent off a double digit ats win. Add in the Giants 0-9 ats spread mark if they are .500 or better and taking on an opponent off a division game and we have the Makings of a solid play on our home team. Take Arizona.
On Sunday in late Afternoon action our system side is on the Denver Broncos. Game number 231 at 4:15 eastern. Green Bay fits a great go against system that plays against any team that scored 24 or more points the first 3 weeks of the season and are now favored by 7 or more points and won their last game. This system goes all the way back to 1973. Even better is there are 3 parameters to this system and this game fits all of them. One we want to have the favorite lay 8 or more. 2. We want this to be a non division game an three our team must have at least one win. When all these things occur our play on team is 16-2 ats the last 38 years. Look for Denver to hang around, cant see Green Bay getting to excited for this one. |
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10-02-11 | Minnesota Vikings -1.5 v. Kansas City Chiefs | 17-22 | Loss | -117 | 68 h 1 m | Show | |
On Sunday the road warrior play is on the Vikings. Game 219 at 219 at 1:00 eastern. In week 4 games the road team is 7-3 straight up if both teams are 0-3 long term, since at least the late 70/s as it is somewhat rare. The key system though plays on deflated homers that are off a loss by 3 or less points as a double digit road dog last week. These hard trying losers bounce big when they get back home failing to cover 27 of 32 times. The Vikings are 11-2 ats as favorites in October games if -6 or less vs losing teams and 5-0 ats vs .333 or less teams in eek 9 or earlier. Look for the Vikings to get the win and cover here. Play the Vikings.
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10-02-11 | Buffalo Bills v. Cincinnati Bengals +3.5 | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 68 h 0 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Power System Play is on the Bengals. Game 218 at 1:00 eastern. Buffalo fits a terrible system here in this one that plays against non division road teams that are 3-0 in week 4 if they are off a dog win. That system has cashed 92% adding a parameter or two. Buffalo may be as flat as a pancake for this one after coming back from a 21 point deficit in beating the Patriots last week. Coach C. Gailey is a horrid 0-9 ats if his team has a winning record and is on the road vs a winning team. The Bills have failed in 6 of the last in week 8. They are the first team to come back from 20+ points deficits in consecutive weeks. Look for the Bengals to get the cover today.
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09-25-11 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Indianapolis Colts +11.5 | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 90 h 43 m | Show | |
On Sunday night the Power System play is on the Colts. Game 424 at 8:25 eastern. The Colts should be fired up and play much better here tonight against a Steelers teams that fits the dreaded defending Super bowl loser road favorite scenario. These teams are 2-14 ats vs an opponent that was better than .500 last season if they are non divisional road favorites the last 31 years. The Steelers have failed to cover 11 of 14 times as double digit favorites vs losing teams that are off a loss and 1-7 ats as non division road favorites of more than 3 which plays hand in hand with the Super Bowl angle above. In fact the Steelers are 1-5 ats on Turf and 0-4 ats since 1992 as a road favorite of -10.5 or more. Most of the high percentage Colts angles are with P. Manning in the game. Tonight in front of a raucous home crowd look for the Colts to cash. Take the points.---BONUS Total in this game is to play the under as we note that playing the under in game 3 if a team is 0-2 straight up and ats and allowed 30 or more back to back. This system has played under 22 of 30 times since 1984 and does even better when the road team is off a win. Also of note the Steelers have gone under 9 of 10 times in game 2 or later vs winless teams.
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09-25-11 | Atlanta Falcons +1.5 v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 13-16 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 19 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Big NFC play is on Atlanta. Game 417 at 4:15 eastern. The Falcons fit my first 3 weeks of the season system that plays on certain division dogs vs an opponent that has revenge system which has cashed 52 of 65 times long term. I think Atlanta wins outright here today. However I will grab the point and a half here. Over thelast 11 years its worth noting that home teams in game 3 are 1-5 straight up and 0-6 ats. Which also plays against Tampa Bay here. Tampa is also just 2-7 ats when the line is -3 to +3 and they have lost the last 4 in the series. Coach Morris is 4-11 ats vs an oppnent off a win and 1-8 ats vs an opponent off a non division game. Look for Atlanta to get the win
On Sunday the MLB Perfect Angle Power Play is on Tampa Bay. Game 972 at 1:40 eastern. Tampa Bay looks to take the rubber game of this series knowing they have won the last 13 series here at home vs Toronto. Thye have W. Davis on the mound and have won 10 of his 14 home starts. B. Cecil makes the start today and he has dropped 8 of his last 9 team starts and has allowed 15 runs in 15 innings over his last 3 starts vs Tampa. He has also struggles in Division play losing 6 of 7 starts this season. Toronto has lost 19 of 17 here and the Rays are 80-29 as a home favorite in this range. Look for Tampa to get the Rubber game today. |
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09-25-11 | Kansas City Chiefs +14.5 v. San Diego Chargers | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 142 h 41 m | Show | |
On Sunday the AFC West game of the Year is on the KC. Chiefs. Game 411 at 4;05 eastern. Have I lost my mind taking a team that has been blown out in the first two weeks allowing 40 or more back to back with a starting running back that's gone for the season? No I'm not out of my mind. Here's why. Since 1977 all road dogs in game 3 that's are getting 12.5 or more points are 16-2 ats. Last year Buffalo was taking 15 from the Patriots and lost by 8. I admit these dogs are not pretty, Buy we will take 16 of 18 over 34 years any time. The Chiefs are also 12-0 ats on the road off a straight up non divisional loss, vs an opponent off a loss. and 8-0 ats as a road dog off a non division loss, if also off back to back losses, vs an opponent off a loss. They are 9-1 ats with division revenge off 2 losses, while Chargers coach Norv Turner is 0-8 ats in September off a loss of 10 or more and 1-8 ats as a double digit division favorite. KC has covered all 3 times as a road dog of +14.5 to 21 over the years and the Chargers have failed both times as a home favorite from -14.5 to -21 the past few years. As for J. Charles being out. T. Jones should be able to fill the bill. Look for M. Cassel to play better and the Chargers are the type of team that can keep you in a game, as evidenced by 280 yards in the first half of game one against the Vikings that resulted in just 7 points. Look for the Chiefs to play hard and get the cover here today.
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09-25-11 | Denver Broncos +7 v. Tennessee Titans | 14-17 | Win | 100 | 15 h 57 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Game of the Month is on the Denver Broncos. Game 405 at 1:00 eastern. We want to play against the Titans here as favorites of 6 or more that come in off a home dog win have failed to cover 14 of 16 times if they lost 10 or more games last season. The Broncos have won 4 of the 5 in the series including a win here last season as a 6 point dog. The Titans are 12-28 ats long term as a home favorite from -3.5 to -7 including 1-5 more recently. They will likely be flat coming off a big home dog win vs Baltimore. Denver is 9-0 ats off back to back home games, if their opponent is off a non divisional home win. Denver has won 7 of the past 9 years in game 3 of the season and Coach Fox is 10-1 ats as a dog of both teams are off a win. Look for Denver to stay within the number and get the cover
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09-19-11 | St. Louis Rams +7 v. NY Giants | 16-28 | Loss | -104 | 19 h 54 m | Show | |
On Monday the 19-1 Power System side is on the Rams. Game 227 at 8:35 eastern. The Rams fit a solid system that has cashed 19 of 20 times and plays on non divisional road teams in game 2 if both teams are off a loss, our team is getting more than 4 and the opponent lost by 5 or more points. The Rams have covered 2 of the last 3 vs the NFC East and 7 of 9 on Monday night football vs an opponent off a loss of 10 or more. The Giants are 1-4 ats off a loss and 0-6 ats on Monday night football if coming in off a straight up favored loss, and 1-6 ats as Monday night favorites vs an opponent off a straight up and ats loss. Take the 7 points here with the Rams.
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09-18-11 | Philadelphia Eagles v. Atlanta Falcons +3 | 31-35 | Win | 100 | 22 h 46 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Sunday night Power System Play is on the Atlanta Falcons. Game 226 at 8:25 eastern. Atlanta qualifies in a solid home dog system that plays on home dogs off a road favored loss. When a dog of 3 or less they have many outright wins. The Falcons are 7-0 against the spread as a dog off a loss and coach Smith is 9-0 home vs non division teams off a loss. The Falcons have covered 4 of the last 5 in game two of the season and are one of the top home teams in the league. Falcons wont want M. Vick to beat them here. Philly will be good this season. However this is a tough spot. Take Atlanta.
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09-18-11 | San Diego Chargers +7 v. New England Patriots | 21-35 | Loss | -115 | 1 h 55 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Late afternoon system winner is on the Chargers. Game 221 at 4:15 eastern, This game fits a solid system that plays on road dogs in game 2 off a win and spread loss in game one, vs na opponent that won and covered. The Patriots are coming off a big division win on Monday night and have failed to cover in 9 of 13 applications as a non division favorite off a monday night game. The Chargers are 13-3 ats when the total is 49.5 or higher including 6-1 on the road. They have home loss revenge for a close loos last season and Philip Rivers has cahed 10 of 15 times as a dog. Look for the Chargers to get the cash.
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09-18-11 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3 v. Minnesota Vikings | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 15 h 35 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Early Triple System power Pack has Tennessee. Game 208 at 1:00 eastern. The Titans apply to a solid system that plays on home dogs off a road favored loss, Baltimore failed to cover their last 5 games in the first of back to back road games. The Titans have covered 4 of the past 5 in the series. Baltimore played their best game last week with playoff revenge in a big win vs the Steelers, this should be a much closer game. Take the points with the Titans. Also on Sunday we the Tampa Bay Bucs. Game 213 at 1:00 eastern. Tampa fits a solid long term system that dates to 1980 and plays on certain game 2 road dogs off a loss, if their opponent is also off a loss. Tampa has won all 4 games vs the Vikings since they left the division. Coach Moris is a road warrior covering 12 of 15 at opposing venues. Tampa can pull the upset here against a Vikings team that played awful on defense last week in San Diego. Take Tampa. On Sunday in Detroit we have a solid Non conference game as the Chiefs take on Detroit. We are backing the Chiefs here on Sunday. Game 199 at 1:00 eastern. Detroit qualifies in a negative long term week 2 system that plays against home favorites of 3 or more in game 2 if they were a week one dog winner and their opponent is off a straight up and favored ats loss. KC has covered all 5 in the series and will play much better than last weeks blowout home loss to Buffalo. KC was a playoff team last year and should be much more competitive here today against a Detroit team that has failed to cover in 24 of 30 applications as a favorite, vs an opponent off a loss. Finally the Lions are 0-7 ats off a dog win vs AFC Teams. Take the Chiefs today.
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09-18-11 | Seattle Seahawks +15 v. Pittsburgh Steelers | 0-24 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 31 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Dog of the Month is on the Seattle Seahawks. Game 209 at 1:00 eastern. There are several high end systems that pertain to this game. All favor Seattle. Lets take a look at some of them. First we want to play on non divisional teams in game 2, if both teams are off a loss and our team is +4.5 or more and lost by 5 or more points. A secondary system is to play against home favorites in non conference games if they are less than .500 are off a road dog loss and with no cover, vs an opponent also off a road loss with no cover. These home favorites are 9-18 straight up and 6-21 ats since 1980. In the month of September Seattle is 8-0 ats on the road vs an opponent off a loss of 10 or more. The Steelers are 1-9 ats as favorites vs less than .500 teams off a road game with Tomlin and 0-7 ats as double digit favorites vs a losing team that lost by 10 or more. Just because The Steelers were blown out last week and will want to win this one big, Doesn't mean they will. With Seattle 6-2 as in the series we will look there way here today as they stay within the number. Take Seattle
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09-18-11 | Kansas City Chiefs +9 v. Detroit Lions | 3-48 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
KC Power system Dog at 1 eastern
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09-12-11 | Oakland Raiders +3 v. Denver Broncos | 23-20 | Win | 113 | 20 h 36 m | Show | |
On ,Monday night the NFL Power System Play is on the Oakland Raiders. Game 481 at 10:15 eastern. The Raiders fit a Powerful Revenge system I use that applies for the first few weeks of the season as we simply want to play on certain dogs vs an opponent with revenge in divisional games. This system has been a big cash cow for many seasons. The Raiders are 10-2 ats in Divisional games. Denver has failed to cover in 11 of the last 13 home favored applications and are 0-5 ats at home Oakland the past few seasons. No surprise if Oakland wins this one. Take the points.
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09-11-11 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Baltimore Ravens -115 | 7-35 | Win | 100 | 14 h 40 m | Show | |
On Sunday the AFC Power System Play is on the Baltimore Ravens. Game 454 at 1:00 eastern. The Ravens fit a solid week one opening game system that plays on divisional home team as a dog or favorite of less than 4 that won 8 or more games last season. Baltimore has double revenge including payback for a playoff loss. The Ravens are 5-1 in September games and their coach has won 26 of 31 as a favorite. Baltimore long term is 26-8 straight up at home when the total is 35.5 to 38. The Steelers fit the Super bowl loss, opening road game system that has these teams at 2-12 ats since 1984. These games have been closely contested battles with most games the last 3 seasons getting decided by 4 or less points. Today, However we look or Baltimore to exact some revenge here at home. Take Baltimore.
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09-11-11 | Atlanta Falcons v. Chicago Bears +3 | 12-30 | Win | 100 | 13 h 27 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFC Power system side is on the Chicago Bears. Game 458 at 1:00 eastern. Atlanta fits a negative system that plays against teams who open up as a favorite in gam one after failing to win a game in the preseason, vs an opponent who was a winning team last season. Chicago has covered 4 of 5 most recently as a home dog and has won 5 of the last 6 in September games. In the series they have won every time here at home since 1992 vs Atlanta. Game one home dogs or favs of 3 or less have cashed at an 82% clip. Look for the Bears to get the cash vs Atlanta. Take Chicago
On Sunday the NFL Total of the week is on the Under in the Buffalo at KC Game. Rotation numbers 459/460 at 1:00 eastern. This game has a serious amount of Under angles for both sides. Lets take a look see. Buffalo has gone under in 10 of 12 in game one, 9 of 12 when the total is 40 to 43, and 6 of 8 vs the AFC West. KC has gone under every time the past few years before a non conference road game, 11 of 14 vs the AFC East, 6 of 8 as favorites of -6 or more, and 15 of 16 in their first home game. In the series 8 of the last have gone under here. Look for this game to be similar to last years game a low score bore as both teams still have struggles on offense with their first team in the preseason. Take the under. |
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02-06-11 | Pittsburgh Steelers +3 v. Green Bay Packers | 25-31 | Loss | -120 | 112 h 20 m | Show | |
01-23-11 | NY Jets +4 v. Pittsburgh Steelers | 19-24 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 41 m | Show | |
On Sunday the AFC Championship selection is on the New York Jets. Game 305 at 6:30 eastern. The Jets fit a solid system here tonight. We want to play on teams in the playoffs off a dog win at +7 or more. These teams have covered 6 of the last 8 times. While many think these teams will bounce they continue to play well. The Jets as a team are 9-1 ats off a straight up dog win. They have covered 6 of 7 vs AFC North teams, are 8-2 ats off a division win and have won 6 of 8 as a dog. AFC Hosts may have won the last 4 Championship games. However they are just 20-18-1 ats. The Steelers are 0-5 ats as a non division favorite in the AFC Championship game. Pittsburgh is 1-6 ats off 3+ ats wins and 3-9 ats in their last 12 games after scoring 31 or more points. The Jets already won here this year in a game that they should have lost. With the Steelers driving late the Jets were not called on 2 clear cut end zone pass interference call which would have set them up with a first and goal. They ended up losing 22-17 despite outplaying the Jets in the stats. That win will do more for the Jets confidence than it will for the Steelers and the revenge factor. Pittsburgh came from behind last week vs Baltimore in a game they would not have won if it were not for the Ravens turn overs in the second half. The Jets played better last wek against an offense that had scored 30 or more in 11 straight games prior. The Steelers do not possess that type of offense. The Jets must bot let Rothlisberger beat them on the chaotic plays that break down. That's when he's at his best. On Offense the Jets may look to be unorthodox and throw the ball first to loosen the Steelers up for the run game. The Jets had to deal with V. Wilfork last week so they will be up for the challenge. For those who suggest the Jets cannot run on the Steelers, they would be wise to know the Jets were one of only 2 teams to get 100 or more rush yards on them this year. The Jets will have B. Smith back for this one. They will disguise their blitz packages and take advantage of an offensive line that is not close to what they have seen the past 2 weeks. Look for the Jets to drop bombs on the Steelers. Take the Jets.
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01-23-11 | Green Bay Packers v. Chicago Bears +4 | 21-14 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 34 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFC Play is on the Chicago Bears. Game 304 at 3:00 eastern. The Bears fit a multitude of systems here today. Lets look at some of them. We want to play on certain home teams in the Championship game off an ats win vs an opponent that allowed 10 or more points. This has cashed 20 of 24 times through the years. Championship home teams have covered 28 of 40 times if they are off a win and cover and their opponent is off 2 straight wins and covers. Teams off a win of 21 or more in the playoffs are 4-9 ats since 2002. Teams who are an underdog and have the better record are an 85% system if they have a win percentage of .600 or better. NFC Hosts are 24-14-2 ats since 1970. The Home team has won 6 of 7 in the series. The Bears won here in a big Monday night game. Theres no reason they cant cover a 4 point spread here today. The Bears are 6-1 ats the last 7 vs winning teams, 6-1 ats as division home dogs vs .500 or better and were 15 points BETTER than Green Bay in the Hank Stram Superbowl system. The Packers are 1-4 ats off a win of 20 or more this season. With the Public all over the Packers we will back the Bears. The Dog is 7-3 ats in the NFC Championsip games the past 10 years. Take Chicago today.
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01-16-11 | NY Jets +9 v. New England Patriots | 28-21 | Win | 100 | 20 h 50 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Playoff system Play is on the New York Jets. Game 115 at 4:30 eastern. These two split the season series with each team winning at home. The Patriots demolished the Jets on Monday night football 45-3 to send a message that the road to the Super bowl will once again go through New England. The Jets were able to pull out a tough one in Indianapolis on Saturday and will be a heavy dog in this one. Rex Ryan in a move to take the pressure off his players says the match up is personal between him and Coach Belichick. As usual Belichick was tight lipped preferring to not offer up any bulletin board material. Jet Running back Ladanian Tomlinson promised the Patriots the Jets would be back, in the waning moments of that blowout loss last time around. The Jets are taking nine points here this time. The Patriots apply to a negative system that plays against playoff home favorites off back to back straight up and ats wins of 10 or more points vs an opponent that comes in off a win of 3 or less points. These teams are just 3-10 straight up and 1-12 ats since 1991. The Jets also apply to a solid dog system that plays on playoff dogs that allowed 17 or less points in each of the last 2 games vs an opponent that scored 30 or more points in their last game. This system was 23-7 ats going into Saturday. In closing the Jets may not win. However they should make this game very competitive taking this many points.
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01-16-11 | Seattle Seahawks v. Chicago Bears -10 | 24-35 | Win | 100 | 2 h 47 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Power system Play is on the Chicago Bears. Game 114 at 1:00 eastern. The Bears are rested and ready here. They have revenge for an earlier home loss to the Seahawks 23-20 as a 6 point home favorite. Had they won that game maybe they would take Seattle lightly. The Bears will look to get their offense back on track after scoring just 3 points in Green Bay 2 weeks ago in the regular season finale that saw them play their starters throughout. They should have a much easier time against a Seattle defense that has been mediocre at best on the road. For the systems that apply to this game. We want to play against any team that defeated the Super Bowl champion in its last game if they are playing in any playoff game other then the super bowl. Knocking out the champions is such a high for these teams that they bounce big in the next game. These teams have lost every time and have covered just once since 1975. A secondary system plays against teams that allowed 28 or more points and won if they are a dog or favorite of less than 6. Home teams off a bye week that scored less than 10 points on the road and are taking on an opponent that scored 28 or more at home have won and covered every time since 1989 as well. Seattle will not win here. They are 1-11 straight up on the road off a home win. When they lose they lose by 15 or more points. Chicago defense will give Hasslebeck and the Seattle offense a tough time here. This game could get ugly as Seattle wont have the home crowd to help get them back into the game like they last week when they got down against the Saints. Look for Bears to win comfortably. Play for 7 UNITS WITH A BUY DOWN TO 9.5---
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01-15-11 | Baltimore Ravens +3 v. Pittsburgh Steelers | 24-31 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 6 m | Show | |
On Saturday Afternoon the NFL Divisional Playoff Power Play is on the Baltimore Ravens. Game 109 at 4:30 eastern. The Ravens have a plethora of solid situations on their side here today. What we want to do is play on road dogs of 3 or less that have a better win percentage than their opponent. With the Ravens win over KC they now have a 13-4 record which is higher then The Steelers at 12-4. This system after last weeks Jets win is now 15-3 ats. Another fine system is to play on playoff underdogs that allowed 17 or less in back to back games, vs an opponent that scored 30 or more in their last game. This system has cashed 23 of 30 times and sometimes picks some Ugly dogs. The Ravens are playing with revenge form a Home loss to the Steelers in a game where they blew it late with a turnover deep in their own end. Balty is 8-2 ats as a road dog of 3 or less. The Last 6 games have been decided by 4 or less points and the Ravens are 4-0 ats on the road after scoring 21 or more as a road favorite. Look for the Ravens to get the cash. Buy the half to 3.5 that's how were grading this one.
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01-09-11 | Green Bay Packers v. Philadelphia Eagles -2.5 | 21-16 | Loss | -115 | 100 h 1 m | Show | |
On Sunday the 5* NFC Power System side is on the Eagles. Game 108 at 4:30 eastern. The Eagles fit a 100% Playoff Power system which plays on home team with a certain win percentage that come in off a home loss. The Subset which is perfect plays on teams who are off 2 straight home losses and are now home in the first round. These teams are unbeaten. Coach Reid has never lost a first round game with the Eagles. A Third system plays on first round homers with revenge. This is a much better and different team than in week 1 when the Packers escaped with a 27-20 win. M. Vick appears to have shaken the nagging injuries he's had the past 2-3 weeks and will give Green Bay fits all day today. The Packers were spent last week in an all out war at home with a Chicago team that played their starters the whole game. Look for the Eagles to soar past the Packers today. Take the Eagles
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01-09-11 | Baltimore Ravens v. Kansas City Chiefs +3.5 | 30-7 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
KC ON SUNDAY
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01-08-11 | New Orleans Saints v. Seattle Seahawks OVER 44.5 | 36-41 | Win | 100 | 15 h 39 m | Show | |
On Saturday the NFL Totals Play is on the Over in the Saints at Seahawks game. Rotation numbers 101/102 at 4:30 eastern. The Saints have gone over 7 of 8 times in playoff games since 1992 and 5 of the last 3 years vs NFC West teams. There road games have averaged 47 points per game this season. Seattle has gone over 10 of 12 times as a dog this year and all 4 times vs NFC South teams. When they play winning teams they have played over 6 of 7 times. Look for this game to be played at a fast pace. Expect a higher scoring game, especially with Hasslebeck Back.
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01-02-11 | St. Louis Rams v. Seattle Seahawks OVER 41.5 | 6-16 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
On Sunday night the 94% NFL Totals play is on the Over in the Rams at Seahawks game. Rotation numbers 327/328 at 8:25 eastern. This game is backed with the exclusive never before released Power System that averages nearly 53 points per game. The Seahawks have gone over 10 of 11 times as a dog. See system Below
O/U: 11-1-0 (9.0) avg total: 44.0 +6: 12-0-0 (100.0%) +10: 12-0-0 (100.0%) +13: 12-0-0 (100.0%) Rushes Rush Yds Passes Completions Passing Yds TrnOvrs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team: 27.3 115.1 35.1 23.6 278.4 1.5 6.4 10.7 5.0 8.8 30.8 Opp: 25.9 101.6 33.9 21.0 222.3 2.2 4.2 5.3 3.7 8.9 22.1 Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot SUN 12 1995 GB CLE A 7-3 14-0 3-3 7-14 31-20 -5' +41' 11 +5' +9' 7.5 2.0 W W O 0 SUN 2 2000 STL SEA A 3-3 10-7 7-10 17-14 37-34 -8 +46 3 -5 +25 10.0 15.0 W L O 0 SUN 8 2004 GB WAS A 3-0 14-7 3-0 8-7 28-14 -2 +40' 14 +12 +1' 6.8 -5.2 W W O 0 SUN 11 2004 IND CHI A 7-3 20-0 14-0 0-7 41-10 -8 +44' 31 +23 +6' 14.8 -8.2 W W O 0 SUN 15 2004 MIN DET A 7-3 7-10 0-0 14-14 28-27 -3 +48' 1 -2 +6' 2.2 4.2 W L O 0 SUN 3 2005 DAL SF A 0-7 12-17 7-7 15-0 34-31 -6' +40' 3 -3' +24' 10.5 14.0 W L O 0 SUN 16 2006 CHI DET A 3-7 14-0 0-14 9-0 26-21 -5 +42 5 0 +5 2.5 2.5 W P O 0 SUN 16 2006 IND TEX A 7-14 7-7 3-0 7-6 24-27 -9 +47 -3 -12 +4 -4.0 8.0 L L O 0 SUN 17 2006 STL MIN A 10-7 14-0 10-0 7-14 41-21 -2 +44 20 +18 +18 18.0 0.0 W W O 0 SUN 2 2007 IND TEN A 6-3 10-3 6-7 0-7 22-20 -7 +46 2 -5 -4 -4.5 0.5 W L U 0 SUN 5 2009 MIN STL A 14-0 3-3 7-0 14-7 38-10 -10' +41 28 +17' +7 12.2 -5.2 W W O 0 SUN 5 2010 NO ARZ A 10-0 3-10 0-3 7-17 20-30 -6' +46 -10 -16' +4 -6.2 10.2 L L O 0 SUN 17 2010 STL SEA A -3 +41' |
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01-02-11 | San Diego Chargers -3 v. Denver Broncos | 33-28 | Win | 100 | 15 h 6 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Late Power System Play is on the SD. Chargers. Game 331 at 4:15 eastern. The Chargers fit a late never lost Power System that plays on road favorites off a game where they were a road favorite of 3 or more and scored 21 or less vs an opponent that scored 21 or more. The Chargers are 11-3 straight up and ats long term as a road favorite of 3 or less and 10-1 in the last 4 weeks of the season. Denver is off a come from behind win at home vs Houston in a game where they need a major rally against a defense that is amongst the worst in the league. They will have a much tougher test here today vs a Charger team that is 100 yards better on defense and 40 yards better on offense and that without calculating how much Tebow will struggle against this defense. The Broncos are 2-9 in the last 4 weeks of the season and 1-6 straight up and ats with revenge. Look for the Chargers to get the win and cover. Play the Chargers
On Sunday the NBA System Side is on the Atlanta Hawks. Game 8-3 at 3:35 eastern. The Hawks fit a solid system here today. What we want to do is play on road favorites with rest if the line is +3 to -3 and they are a road dog and shot 45% or better in their last game vs an opponent that also shot 45% or better as a home dog of 4 or less. These road teams are 11-1 straight up and ats since 1995. The Hawks won last years game here by 18 points. They have won and covered 3 of 4 as a road favorite of 3 or less and have won 15 of 20 vs losing teams. The Clippers have lost 3 of 4 as a short home dog and are 1-7 straight up and ats at home when the total is 189 to 195. Look for the Hawks to get the win. Lay the small number. Take Atlanta |
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01-02-11 | Cincinnati Bengals v. Baltimore Ravens -9.5 | 7-13 | Loss | -110 | 72 h 5 m | Show | |
NFL Tier 2 play Baltimore
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01-02-11 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers +8 v. New Orleans Saints | 23-13 | Win | 100 | 48 h 19 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Power system play is on the Tampa Bay Bucs. Game 325 at 1:00 eastern. What we want to do in this game is play against Defending Super Bowl champions are 1-7 ats as a favorite of -4 or more in their last regular season of late. Division Dogs that have a winning record have covered 85% of the time if they have revenge, if the opponent is off a road win we really hit the peak. The Bucs are 8-0 ats as dogs off a non division win and cover if they won by 10 or more. They have been road warriors this season with 6 covers. They have covered 6 of the last 7 here in NO. Domes are no problem at all as they have covered 6 of 7 the last 3 years. Over the last 3 years they are 4-0 ats on the road from 7.5 to +10. They have major Blowout revenge and catch the Saints off a Monday night dog win in Atlanta their biggest win of the season. The Saints are 2-17 ats as a division favorite of 7 or more and 2-11 ats off a dog win vs an opponent with revenge. Deep down they know that Atlanta will not lose to Carolina, they are locked into the top wildcard slot. They will most likely win, But this game will be a dog fight. Take the points.
Bonus Late season Qualifier plays- ALL Go at 1 eastern. Indy Colts game # 304- Patriots game # 306- Jets game # 322 |
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12-28-10 | Minnesota Vikings v. Philadelphia Eagles OVER 41.5 | 24-14 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 9 m | Show | |
On Tuesday night the NFL Totals play is on the over in the Vikings at Eagles game. Rotation numbers 1133/34 at 8:00 eastern. This game fits a solid total system that plays to the over for road dogs of 10 or more if the total is 40 or higher and the road team scored 21 or less at home last week vs an opponent that scored 35 or more on the road last week. These games have played over 12 of 14 times since 1995. If we insist that the home team tonight which is Phily had 150 or more yards rushing last out the system goes perfect and averages 60 points per game. Philly should have no problem putting up points here tonight. Their defense is far from great so Minnesota may put up some points and get us over the total here tonight. The Vikings have played over the total 5 of 6 times as a road dog of 10 or more. The Eagles have played over 10 of 14 this year. Look for this one to go over the total.
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12-27-10 | New Orleans Saints +3 v. Atlanta Falcons | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 18 h 49 m | Show | |
On Monday night the NFL play is on the NO.Saints. Game 131 at 8:35 eastern. The Saints have home loss revenge on their minda here in Atlanta tonight. The good part is they are 9-2 with revenge including 3-0 the last 3 years. In the first game the Falcons ran roughshod ver the Saints in route to a close 3 point win. The Saints are 4-1 on Monday night football. The Falcons are just 4-10 in Monday night games. They come home tonight off 3 straight road wins and covers. The Saints are off a 30-24 loss to Baltimore. If anyone can melt Matty Ice it will be the Saints. They did win here last year. Take the Saints plus the points.
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12-26-10 | NY Giants +3 v. Green Bay Packers | 17-45 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 4 m | Show | |
On Sunday the 100% NFL Power system Play is on the New York Giants. Game 127 at 4:15 eastern. The Giants fit a 100% system here today that wins by an average 15 points per game. What we want to do is play on road teams if the line is +3 to -3 and our team scored 21 or more at home with a total that was more than 40 and the opponent scored 21 or more as a road dog of 10 or more points. On top of the fine system we note that the visitor is 5-0 straight up since 1998 in this series. Many will see Qb Rogers back for Green Bay and remember what M.Vick did to the Giants late in their 4th quarter collapse and think that New York is finished. However the Giants have a lot of poise. They have played in many big games in recent years and will surprise everyone with a solid performance here today. Take the Giants plus the points today.
On Sunday the NBA Play of the day is on the Chicago Bulls. Game 505 at 6:10 eastern. The Pistons fit a negative system here tonight that plays on Against home dogs with rest that scored 110 or more as a road dog in their prior game if they are playing an opponent that was a road dog in their last game. The Pistons are off a big road dog win 115-93 in their last game, while the Bulls lost in New York on Saturday. The Bulls have won the last 8 in the series and have covered both times as a road favorite in this range this season. They have wont 10 of 12 vs losing teams this season. The Pistons are just 3-11 vs winning teams and have failed to cover every time this season off a win of 10 or more points. Look for Chicago to rebound tonight and continue their dominance in this series. Take the Bulls |
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12-26-10 | Baltimore Ravens v. Cleveland Browns +4 | 20-10 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 20 m | Show | |
NFL Power system play on Cleveland
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12-26-10 | Detroit Lions v. Miami Dolphins -3 | 34-27 | Loss | -120 | 15 h 35 m | Show | |
Sunday NFL Triple pack is on the Buffalo Bills. Game 116 at 1:00 eastern. Miami game 106 at 1:00 eastern and KC. Game 122 at 1:00 eastern. Buffalo fits 3 big systems here today. This one plays against teams like the Patriots that are road favorites off home favored win at -7 or more but failed to cover. The Bills fit a home dog off a road dog win system and should be very competitive today. In the Miami game we are playing against the Detroit Lions who finally got a road win. They apply to a system that plays against non conference teams off back to back dog wins. Miami has been inept at home this year. Today they get it done vs a dome team coming to Florida. In Game 3 we take KC who cashed us out good last week as our 7* GOY. Today they fit 2 solid game 15 systems. One of the systems is 17-3 ats the other is 34-9 ats. Look for KC to get the cash today.
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