Offshore steam totals Over Washington- Green Bay and Over Detroit at Arizona.

On Sunday the Double system Early Pack is on the Minnesota Vikings. Game 211 at 1:00 eastern and the Over in the Miami at Indianapolis game. Rotation numbers 201/202 also a 1:00 eastern. Looking at the Vikings we note they fit an outstanding early system we use that plays on divisional dogs in the first 2 weeks vs an opponent that has revenge. The Bears have failed to cover 7 straight when playing off a non conference game. They have also failed to cover the last 8 times when any one of their wideouts had 100+ yards receiving. The Vikings and coach Frazier should rebound nicely here as they are 6-0 at as a dog vs an opponent off a win. Look for a close game here. In our second selection we have a solid totals system that has cashed 20 of 24 times to the over and plays to the over for game 2 teams in conference games that are playing an opponent off a 10+ point road win like Miami, in a conference game where the total is 35 or higher. A second system that applies here today is to take the over for road teams like Miami when the posted total is 35.5 to 42 after rushing for 50 or less yards in their last game. This one has gone over 80% of the time. Look for a high scoring game here today. Take Miami and Indy to go over.---- Play Minnesota and Over Miami- Indianapolis

Top off shore steam buy order side on Carolina. Game 203 at 1:00 eastern. Offshore steam totals Over Washington- Green Bay. Rotation numbers 207/208 at 1:00 eastern and Over Detroit at Arizona.Rotation numbers 215/216 at 4:05 eastern. All 3 of these were hit hard with some of the sharpest off shore money.

On Thursday the NFL Totals Play is on the Over in the Jets at Patriots game. Rotation numbers 101/102 at 8:25 eastern. This game fits a solid totals system that has flown over in 13 of 14 games since 1989. We want to play the Over for home favorites of 10 or more that are off a road favored win and had 150+ yards rushing, vs an opponent like the Jets that are off a home win. These games average over 50 points. The Jets will move the ball on New England as Geno Smith looked good in the Tampa game but also has the propensity for big blunders and costly turnovers which is a positive when playing the over. The Jets have flown over in 4 of 5 before Playing Buffalo. In the series 7 of the last 8 have played over. The Patriots may be getting Gronkowski back and even with the loss of running back Vereen still have Ridley to run it. Brady makes a star out of even average route runners so the Patriots will still be able to move the ball. The Defenses will struggle with the short rest. The Patriots have gone over in 18 of 25 with 6 or less days rest and ALL 5 On Thursday nights. In games after the Bills they have gone over in 5 of 6. When the total is 47 or less they are 13 of 16 to the over. There may be some rain on the way tonight but that will push the total down. Take the Over between the Jets and Patriots.


O/U: 13-1-0 (6.71, 92.9%) avg total: 44.6 +6:

Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final
Team 30.2 136.9 35.0 22.9 283.3 1.1 7.0 10.7 5.4 10.4 33.5
Opp 24.1 99.1 33.4 18.6 212.1 2.6 2.4 5.9 4.1 5.6 17.9

Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot
Oct 04, 1992 Sunday 5 1992 Fortyniners Rams home 7-0 3-7 0-0 17-17 27-24 -16.5 41.5 3 -13.5 9.5 -2.0 11.5 W L O 0
Dec 04, 1994 Sunday 14 1994 Fortyniners Falcons home 3-7 24-7 7-0 16-0 50-14 -13.0 47.5 36 23.0 16.5 19.8 -3.2 W W O 0
Sep 10, 1995 Sunday 2 1995 Cowboys Broncos home 0-0 14-7 7-7 10-7 31-21 -10.0 44.0 10 0.0 8.0 4.0 4.0 W P O 0
Sep 10, 1995 Sunday 2 1995 Fortyniners Falcons home 17-0 7-3 7-7 10-0 41-10 -13.5 49.0 31 17.5 2.0 9.8 -7.8 W W O 0
Oct 08, 1995 Sunday 6 1995 Raiders Seahawks home 3-0 10-0 14-7 7-7 34-14 -10.0 39.5 20 10.0 8.5 9.2 -0.8 W W O 0
Nov 06, 1995 Monday 10 1995 Cowboys Eagles home 10-3 7-3 7-6 10-0 34-12 -14.0 43.5 22 8.0 2.5 5.2 -2.8 W W O 0
Dec 08, 1996 Sunday 15 1996 Fortyniners Panthers home 0-10 17-17 0-3 7-0 24-30 -10.0 37.5 -6 -16.0 16.5 0.2 16.2 L L O 0
Sep 27, 1998 Sunday 4 1998 Fortyniners Falcons home 14-7 17-0 0-0 0-13 31-20 -11.5 46.5 11 -0.5 4.5 2.0 2.5 W L O 0
Nov 22, 1998 Sunday 12 1998 Broncos Raiders home 3-0 14-7 0-7 23-0 40-14 -11.5 44.5 26 14.5 9.5 12.0 -2.5 W W O 0
Oct 07, 2007 view Sunday 5 2007 Patriots Browns home 10-0 10-0 0-3 14-14 34-17 -16.5 48.0 17 0.5 3.0 1.8 1.2 W W O 0
Sep 28, 2008 view Sunday 4 2008 Cowboys Redskins home 7-0 3-17 7-3 7-6 24-26 -11.0 46.0 -2 -13.0 4.0 -4.5 8.5 L L O 0
Nov 29, 2009 view Sunday 12 2009 Chargers Chiefs home 7-0 21-7 10-7 5-0 43-14 -13.5 45.0 29 15.5 12.0 13.8 -1.8 W W O 0
Sep 16, 2012 view Sunday 2 2012 Patriots Cardinals home 3-6 3-0 3-7 9-7 18-20 -13.5 48.0 -2 -15.5 -10.0 -12.8 2.8 L L U 0
Sep 30, 2012 view Sunday 4 2012 Texans Titans home 14-0 0-7 14-0 10-7 38-14 -13.0 44.5 24 11.0 7.5 9.2 -1.8 W W O 0
Sep 12, 2013 view Thursday 2 2013 Patriots Jets home -12.0 43.5



On Thursday night in College Football the Bonus play is on TCU. Game 103 at 7:30 eastern. Tcu will look for paybacks from last seasons 56-53 home over time loss at the hands of Texas Tech. Statistically the game was very close. However the Horned Frogs were done in by a -3 in the all important turnover category. TCU has covered 7 of the last 8 with conference revenge. Texas Tech will throw it most of the night and will most likely lose the rushing yards category to TCU. Unfortunately Tech may be unaware that TCU HAS WON 47 STRAIGHT When they out rush their opponents. With the spread at -3 we will keep that valuable nugget in mind. TCU was perhaps looking ahead to this one last week in a lethargic looking win over SE Louisiana. Prior to that gave LSU a tough game before falling short late. Tech has played a mediocre SMU Team and SF. Austin, so there gaudy offensive numbers be somewhat inflated. Look for TCU to take down Tech. Take TCU Tonight.

On Monday night the NFL Power System Play is on the San Diego Chargers. Game 482 at 10:20 eastern. The Chargers qualify in a solid system here that plays on certain week 1 Monday night NFL Home dogs and the system has been Rare and solid dating back to 19709. Another fine week 1 system Plays AGAINST non division game 1 teams like Houston that won 13 or more games last season and are playing an opponent that won less than 13 games. These teams have failed to cover 21 of 28 long tern. The Chargers are 20-3 ats vs AFC South teams and have covered 4 of 5 as a home dog on Monday night football. Houston is 0-4 vs San Diego. finally we note that non divisional teams that had a .750 or better win percentage that are dogs or favorites by less than a touchdown have failed to cover over 90% of the time vs an opponent that was .500 or less last season. Look for the Chargers to keep this one close.

On Sunday night the NFL Power System Play is on the NY. Giants. Game 477 at 8:35 eastern. The Giants fit a solid Divisional Dog system we have used with tremendous success if the home team has revenge. Dallas is 0-8 ats as a division home favorite and the Giants 9-0 to the spread here.. Dallas has been a horrendous favorite failing to cover in 22 of 28 instances. Coach Coughlin has covered to the tune of 8-0-1 ats as a dog. The Giants are fast starters every year. Look for them to play well here once again. Take the Points with the Boys in blue tonight.

On Sunday in Afternoon Action we have a Power System Play on the Green Bay Packers. Game 475 at 4:25 eastern. The Packers have had all off season to think about this one and figure out how to score it and stop it against the Niners that shot right past them last season. The Big systems in this one are to play against teams in game one that are non division teams that won 13 or more last season vs an opponent like the Packers that won less than 13 last year. If the opponent was, like the Packers a Playoff team the system goes 1-9 ats against San Francisco. Another fine season is to play on Week one dogs of more than 3 that have playoff revenge. The Packers are still 4-1 ats in the series and 5-1 in game ones. They have relished the dog role cashing 19 of 26 including 8 straight as dog more than 3 on grass. The Niners are still 4-14 straight up in the series. Look for the Packers to at the very least get the cover. Green Bay today.




On Sunday the Divisional Power System Side is on the Arizona Cardinals. Game 473 at 4;25 eastern. Arizona qualifies in a solid system that has cashed 24 of 27 times and plays on certain road teams vs an opponent that was under .500 in conference games last season. The Cardinals have put a big emphasis on defense and looked good in preseason. Now they open up in St. Louis. The Cardinals have cashed the last opening games. Arizona has a new coach, a new Qb in Carson Palmer and a new Running back in Rashard Mendenhall. St. Louis is 2-10 to the spread in game ones and 0-11 ats as a division favorite vs an opponent who has revenge. Arizona has been taking sharp money all week and Has been Bet down from +6 to +4.5. Look for them to get it done today. Take Arizona.

On Sunday in Afternoon Action we have a Power System Play on the Green Bay Packers. Game 475 at 4:25 eastern. The Packers have had all off season to think about this one and figure out how to score it and stop it against the Niners that shot right past them last season. The Big systems in this one are to play against teams in game one that are non division teams that won 13 or more last season vs an opponent like the Packers that won less than 13 last year. If the opponent was, like the Packers a Playoff team the system goes 1-9 ats against San Francisco. Another fine season is to play on Week one dogs of more than 3 that have playoff revenge. The Packers are still 4-1 ats in the series and 5-1 in game ones. They have relished the dog role cashing 19 of 26 including 8 straight as dog more than 3 on grass. The Niners are still 4-14 straight up in the series. Look for the Packers to at the very least get the cover. Green Bay today.




On Sunday the Divisional Power System Side is on the Arizona Cardinals. Game 473 at 4;25 eastern. Arizona qualifies in a solid system that has cashed 24 of 27 times and plays on certain road teams vs an opponent that was under .500 in conference games last season. The Cardinals have put a big emphasis on defense and looked good in preseason. Now they open up in St. Louis. The Cardinals have cashed the last opening games. Arizona has a new coach, a new Qb in Carson Palmer and a new Running back in Rashard Mendenhall. St. Louis is 2-10 to the spread in game ones and 0-11 ats as a division favorite vs an opponent who has revenge. Arizona has been taking sharp money all week and Has been Bet down from +6 to +4.5. Look for them to get it done today. Take Arizona.

On Sunday the Perfect Totals System is on the Under in the Seattle At Carolina game. Rotation numbers 467/468 at 1:00 eastern. Totals a little high here with 2 Solid Defenses in what looks to be a close game. For our totals system we note that Non Division home dogs in week 1 with a total of 45 or higher have gone under 11 straight times. Seattle has played under in 5 straight as a favorite of less than 6 in the first month of the season. In the series here al 3 have played under Look for this one to follow suit. Take the under.

On Sunday the Power System Side is on the Minnesota Vikings. Game 469 at 1;00 eastern. The Vikings took both games last season and fit a SOLID Early System we use that plays against favorites like the Lions that have revenge. This system is 57-13 heading into this season. The Lions are 3-11 to the spread in the series and 0-9 ats if they are not +2 or more or favored when playing on Sunday. The Lions are also 0-10 ats in games where Star Wideout Calvin Johnson caught 7 or more ball vs this team in their last meeting. The Vikings could control the clock with a solid run game and take advantage of a Detroit team that played terrible in first half's last season only to have to make big comebacks late. Not what you want when you take a favorite. The Vikes are 13-7 as a dogs and did win 10 games compared to 4 last season for Detroit. Look for Minnesota to get the cash.

On Thursday our Opening selection in the NFL is on The Denver Broncos. Game 452 at 8:35 eastern. If ever there was a game circled on a teams schedule its this one here tonight. Denver is chomping at the bit to get the sour taste of last seasons playoff loss to Baltimore out of their mouths. The Broncos epic defensive lapses single handedly lost them the game. They were 9 point favorites in that game and are once again laying a touchdown to Baltimore who wont have the leadership of Ray Lewis to propel them. While Baltimore did make some nice acquisitions on defense led by the E. Dumerville pick up. The feeling is that they wont be able to gel right away and this will be a tough team to stop tonight. Denver upgraded their run game with M. Ball and still have Moreno coming out of the back field. Baltimore has new faces on offense too as A. Boldin a big catch receiver is gone. We look for this game to be more similar to Denver's 34-17 win in the prior game they played last season. Denver has won 9 of the last 10 home openers will be tough once again on defense and has a solid system in their favor. Super Bowl Champions have failed to cover 80+% in opening games when going into revenge and that system goes perfect one more little nugget from the database With Baltimore 1-7 ats when they lose as a road dog, 1-4 ats on Thursday and 1-5 ats as a dog of 7 or more. We will back the Broncos in this one.

OVER VIEW: Super Bowl XLV11 will be played indoors at The Louisiana Super Dome in New Orleans. Below we will bring you a series of Systems, angles, Situational indicators, as well as a Historical Perspective that will be perhaps the most Comprehensive analysis in the country. We will far exceed the game winning analysis we had last year with the Giants over the Patriots. Some of the information you will see here far exceeds the industy standard as we strive to bring you the most cutting edge material on a daily basis. Now on to the game.


THE LINE: San Francisco opened as a 5 point favorite soon after the Championship games concluded and were quickly bet down to a 3.5 point favorite, where the line has remained pretty steady with a few fours starting to pop up. The Recommendation is to buy down to -3 if you are getting 3.5. Cant recall too many instances where we have a team that is favored by such a small amount when having BOTH a top 10 offense and a top 10 Defense, vs an opponent who has neither.


Offense: San Francisco is a top 10 offense and has a slightly better statistical advantage over the Ravens and have the all important better rushing statistics. Rushing the ball is Paramount in the Super Bowl as teams who win the rushing battle have gone on to win and cover 90% of the time. The Niners as a team have won 25 of the last 26 times when running the ball 25 or more times, which is a distinct possibility in this one, especially with Kappernick at the helm. With 3 solid options in Kappernick, Gore and Lamichael James the niners should have plenty of new looks the Ravens may not be able to handle. In the passing game we have seen Kappernick utilize weapons in V. Davis and M. Crabtree and occasionally go deep to Randy Moss who will be sprinting deep routes all day. We note that in Super bowl play favorites who score 28 or more are 12-1 to the spread and 1-16-1 ats when they don't. The Niners should be able to move the ball here against the Ravens as they average over 5 yards per carry.




Baltimore on offense has been propelled by the hot play of Joe Flacco. In his games playoff games this year Flacco has hit another gear. The biggest factor is that he has not turned the ball over. Tonight however, should the running game get shut down, he will be forced to throw and that could lead to turnovers. The Ravens run the ball for a full yard less than the niners and this game will be much tougher to score for them than it was against a poor Patriots defense.




Defense: All time in Super bowl history 39 of the 46 champions have had a top Defense. The 49ers come in with a Top 10 defense to go along with a top 10 offense. San Francisco has allowed 3.8 yards per rush. Should they get in the back field and pressure Flacco, something he has not had to deal with, that could lead to turnovers. Baltimore with Rice and Pearce have a nice tandem but with a vaunted Niners front may not be able to get going. The Niners are very aware of the Big Plays they have allowed in the passing game of late and will no doubt shore that up. While the Ravens have some nice receivers, led By Boldin and Smith, they are not as good as the Niners have faced in recent weeks in Atlanta and Green Bay. I look for a solid defensive effort here from San Francisco.


Baltimore on defense is ranked 21st and played very well in their Win vs the Patriots. In that game they did not have to contend with Tight end Gronkowski and New England really had no real running threats like they have to contend with tonight. They made a Patriots offense look very average. In the Denver game they were aided big time when Denver lost their top running back due to injury. In both of those games they faced Pocket passers on grass and never had to deal with Option reads they will see here tonight on a fast surface. Denver really lost that game more than the Ravens won it. Teams like Baltimore who come in allowing more yards per rush are just 4-10 Ats in the Super Bowl of late. The Ravens will have their hands full tonight as they can take one thing away, but not everything.


History: In this years look at the Hank Stram Super Bowl System, we note that the 49ers are the qualifying team. This system which was more effective in years past than it has been of late has the 49ers as the winning team. The system is 33-11-2 ats all time. Below is the set of parameters which awards points to the team that qualifies in the statistical sets displayed below.



The Hank Stram System:

10 If team has won the Super Bowl in last 3 years

8 if an opponent is going to their first Super Bowl

8 to the team that allows fewer defensive rushes

7 give to team with most offensive rushes

7 award the team with best overall record (straight up)

5 to the team with the lowest def. rush average per carry

4 give 4 pts. to the team with the better ATS record

4 to the team that has the superior NET penalty yards

4 to the team with the best NET kick-punt TD returns

3.5 team with the best yds per pass attempt

3.5 to the team that gave up the fewest points

3.5 allowed the fewest rushing TD

On Sunday the AFC Selection is on the Baltimore Ravens. Game 303 at 6:30 eastern. The last 3 games between these two have been decided by 3 or less points. Had this been a regular season the line would be no more than 6 points. While there are some situations pertaining to New England and home teams of a win and cover. There some equally disturbing situations that plays against the Patriots. Like playing against teams that scored 40 or more last out. These teams have failed to cover 20 of 23 times in the next game. The Ravens have covered 7 of the last 8 on the road in Playoff games vs non division opponents. In computer Simulation the Ravens were the choice when getting 8 or more points. While the Patriots have 31-30 same season revenge the Ravens have Conference Championship revenge from last years heart breaking loss. In that game wide receiver Lee Evans dropped an easy touchdown and then Ravens Kicker Billy Cundiff missed an easy 32 yard game tying field goal. Baltimore did get luck last week winning the game despite maybe the poorest special teams performance in playoff history, allowing both a Punt and Lick off return for touchdowns. When allowing just one special teams score your chances greatly decrease, let alone two. Baltimore believes they are a team of destiny and when you play like they did last week and win, sometime you gather momentum and play much better. The Patriots will be without Gronkowski and may not get the same types of offensive production they had last week from some of their Unheralded players. We will back Balty in this one and take the Ravens and the points here tonight.

On Sunday the NFC Championship Game system Selection is on the Atlanta Falcons. Game 302 at 3:00 eastern. There are some solid statistical indicators and systems that apply to this Game here today. For Atlanta we note that they are 3-0 vs teams with winning records at game time this year. They are 7-0 vs NFC West teams and 30-7, including 10-1 of late when playing on 6 or less days of rest. Home dogs that have won at least 75% of their games are 8-2 straight up. Another solid system that has cashed 21 of the last 31 is to simply the dog with a higher win percentage. Teams Like Atlanta off back to back ats losses are 45-19 ats. In games between #1 VS #2 seeds in NFC Play the 1 seed has won 8 of 12 times. Atlanta and San Francisco have similar offensive number and the Niners have a better defense. However with Atlanta being home that evens out. The Falcons may not have as tough a time with Option reads and Kappernick like some seem to think. Having faced Russell Wilson last week should be a benefit to them in this game as opposed to having faced a conventional style Qb. Atlanta took the monkey off their back getting that first playoff win last week and should have plenty of confidence. The Niners may struggle on the road in a loud building and may not be able to duplicate the 500+ yard performance they had last week at home. As good as the Niners defense is, they have allowed an average of 28 points per game the last 4 road games and the last time they played in a loud venue in Seattle they struggled and were blown out by nearly 30 points. Add in the fact that teams who scored 40 or more have failed to cover 20 of 23 times and we look to have the making of an upset win. In that 3-20 system is an 18-0 Subset too. The 49ers are 0-11 to the spread since on the road when they are off a win in which they rushed the ball at least ten more times than their average, as long as they are a favorite of -7.5 more..Looking below we see how poorly Pacific team do in the eastern time zone.. At the very least we think Atlanta emerges with a Cover here in this one and With Matty Ice and his solid Home numbers, they may win outright. Fly with the Falcons today.





Since 2007, PST teams are 15

On Sunday the ACF Divisional Play is on Houston Game 115 at 4:35 eastern. Tom Brady is 19-26 ATS as a home favorite of -9 or more (9-19 ATS since November 2007). Houston is not playing the 3rd of 3 straight road games here and the Patriots needed the game much more in the first matchup than Houston did at the time. Houston has played much better on defense this season than the Patriots have and Revenging teams are 27-12 since 2002 in the Playoffs. The Patriots have struggled failing 7 of the last 8 times vs teams like Houston that win two thirds or more of their games if they are off a bye week and are favored by more than 3 points. The Simulations show the Patriots should win but not cover the spread which could get up to 10 by game time. The Patriots are 0-9 to the spread since 2005 at home when they are off a home game in which they prevented their opponent from getting into the end zone from first and goal. Another Solid system plays on playoff dogs with a better win percentage which Houston has at 13-4. Thus one has covered 21 of the last 30 times. Since 2001 home favorites from -5 to -10 that come in off a home favored win and prior road favored win are 0-4 ats. Houston is 10-2 ats with revenge and a perfect 3-0 in that role this season. Surprisingly the Patriots have failed to cover 23 of the last 32 times at home when the total is 45 to 49.5




Texans 5-0 ATS past 5 games in January
Texans 6-1 ATS past 7 as underdog
Texans 7-2 SU past 9 vs. AFC East teams
Texans 3-0 ATS lifetime in playoffs
Patriots 1-6 ATS in playoffs since 2008

On Sunday the NFL Totals Play is on the Over in the Seattle at Atlanta game. Rotation numbers 113/114 at 1:00 eastern. The Seahawks are 16-0 to the over since November 1997 as a road dog versus any team with more wins, when they themselves are off a win. Seattle has played over in 16 of 20 times vs winning teams and 6 of 7 times vs NFC South Teams. The Falcons have flown over in 3 of the last 4 off a bye week and 15 of 22 times vs NFC West teams. The last time they were a 1 seed off a bye in the playoffs 69 points were scored in the game. Look for a back and forth game with both teams moving the ball today. Take the over.

On Saturday the NFC Perfect system Power play is on the San Francisco 49ers. Game 112 at 8:00 eastern. The Niners fit a tremendous power system here tonight that is Perfect and has cashed 21 straight times going as far back as 1977. We want to play on certain teams if they lost their conference Championship game last season, vs an opponent like the Packers that won by more than a touchdown. There are other variations which criss cross into this system, Like the fact that the Packers are off 1 exact win and the Niners being off back to back spread losses. Historically teams like the Packers playing in their second game off a home win and cover have been dead in the water vs rested teams off a spread loss. So I wont bore you here with the parameters of 4-5 more systems that all point to the Niners. I will tell you that San Francisco looked solid and came back with excellent results in out Computer Simulations. Many will point to the Green Bay home loss revenge from week one. However, while the Packer shave been solid with revenge, this may be too tough a spot to exact it. The Packers will be lucky to get the 20+ points they scored in the first game. On Defense they allowed 30 at home and it figures to be tougher here vs a San Francisco defense that ranks right behind Denver and Seattle and will be tough to score on today. The Niners will want to get rid of last years loss here to the Giants which prevented them from a super bowl and set up the aforementioned system. Coach Harbaugh has won 10 of 11 times vs teams that have won more than 2/3 of their games and as an organization the Niners are 18-6 at home in the playoffs. Kappernick does not have the pedigree of an A. Rogers however he has a better chance of success as he and the Niners should be able to run on the Packers in this one. Another troubling sign for Green Bay is how lack luster they looked in the Second half against a Beaten Minnesota team. The Packers scored 24 points in a game where they should have been in the high 30/s. Those type of lapses here will have them in hot water, The Niners know the way to beat the Packers is to get pressure on Rogers, and when you can do that his accuracy on his throws gets affected. When you learn how to beat Green Bay is easier the second time around. Just ask the Giants. Green Bay had revenge at home last year, vs a Giants team that figured them out on offense. That revenge made no difference as the Giants disposed of the Packers with ease in the playoffs last season. We look for the Niners to do the same. Take San Francisco here tonight.

On Saturday the AFC Playoff payoff side is on Denver. Game 110 at 4:30 eastern. The Broncos were a big simulation winner cashing nearly 80% of the time. They are solid on both sides of the ball and have the Best defense outside of Seattle. The Broncos are 10-1 to the spread as a favorite and 20-6 ats off a bye week. In game against the AFC North they have coasted winning and cashing all 4. The Favorite in this series has cashed the last 4 times as well. The Ravens may have revenge on their minds. However they already lost 34-17 at home just a month ago to these Broncos. What stands out about that game is they they were down 17 at the half mainly due to turnovers but could only play even with Denver at home in the second half. Lat week the Ravens had their way on the ground and with short passes against a Colts defense ranked 29th against the run. No such luck here against a Broncos run defense that is ranked 3rd in the league. They no longer have the Lewis momentum, and their is a great deal of concern that with the wrinkles the Broncos have added Payton and Co, may make the Ravens defense look very old here today. This perhaps is why we don't hear a peep from Lewis and or any of the Baltimore players this week. On Offense we know that Denver can score 30 with their eyes closed here. The Ravens though have struggled and looked inept for most of the season on the road. The Ravens simply do not win when they are dogs of 9 or more losing 16 straight times in this role. We all know that if we can pick the winner of these games our chances of cashing are much greater at spread success. Now for a system we note that game 2 playoff teams off 1 home favored win and cover exact lose to the spread around 80% of the time. We have several Variations to this system that pertain to Denver's performance in their last game that will take the 80% to close to 100%. However I'm not looking to write a novel and I commend those of you who have read up to this point In the end the Ravens will have no answer to Denver and if they start turning it over it will get ugly fast. Lay the Points in this one.

On Sunday the NFC Power System play is on Washington. Game 108 at 4:30 eastern. After 50,000 simulations of this game Seattle on average won by 1 point and 53% of the time.The fact remains though that certain NFL Wildcard home dogs in the wild card round are 14-4 since 1978 and there is a 100% Subset which remains for my eyes only. Washington is 10-1 at home in the playoffs and is on a major run winning 7 straight. Seattle has won 5 straight. However, The Sea hawks are 2-20 ats, when they are off a game as a favorite of more than four points in which they benefited from the turnover advantage. Washington will be loud, and Seattle has not been nearly as good on the road as they have been at home. The 12th man will be loud and Seattle will have the same problems their opponents have with noise. In the battle of the 2 rookie Qb/s we look for RG3 To get the cash here as a 3 points home dog. Seattle is 0-4 straight up as a road favorite of 3 or less. Look for a close game. Take the 3 points.

On Sunday the AFC Power System Play is on Baltimore. Game 106 at 1:00 eastern. The Ravens fit a solid system here that plays on home teams that are off a conference championship game loss last year, vs an opponent off a win by 9 or more points. These teams are an incredible 18-1 straight up and to the spread. The Ravens will be fired up with Ray Lewis back in the defensive huddle. Baltimore averages over 31 points per game at home and the Colts are allowing 29 on the road. We also want to play against road teams like the Colts that are off a division win by 4 or more points, that scored 24 or more points. In general road teams off a dog win vs A division rival have been inept in the playoffs historically. The Colts are way ahead of the game with the progress that rookie Qb A. Luck has had. This game will serve as a big lesson in what looks to be a promising career. The Ravens will give him looks he has not seen and he will have to keep the ball away from Ed Reed. Any turnovers here and this could get ugly. The Ravens are 5-1 straight up and to the spread in the Wild card round. They are 5-1 with 4 spread wins as a home favorite from 3.5 to 7. The playoffs have not been kind to dome teams in the outdoor games and Baltimore has more big game poise and b Joe Flacco has made the playoffs in every year of his career and has 7 starts. Strong running game with Pearce and Rice will be too much here. Lay the points.

On Saturday the NFC Power System Play is on Green Bay. Game 104 at 8:00 eastern. The Packers are in a right back rematch game here after losing last week at Minnesota in a game the Vikings needed to make this game possible. The Vikings led by Adrian Peterson were all out to win and were able to get in overtime while rushing for over 200 yards. What we want to do is play against road dogs off a home dog win while scoring 28 or more points and rushing for over 200 yards. These teams are 0-16 straight and 2-14 ats, including 0-7 ats if the opponent scored 21 or more last game losing by an average 20 points per game. The Vikings have lost and failed to cover in all 4 outdoor games this season and we all know how dome teams do on the road in the cold. These teams have failed to cover 24 of the last 33 times. Minnesota is 4-17 ats on the road off a win of 3 or less points and come in off 4 dog wins. The Packers lost last year and were the first team to win 15 games in the regular season without winning at least one playoff game. That loss sets them up in this little nugget. Play on teams at home in game one of the playoffs that lost as a favorite at home last season. These teams are 12-5 ats since 1976 and 9-0 ats with same season division revenge.. Wait there's more. Home teams that allowed 26 or more in their last game vs a division opponent are 7-3 ats. The Packers are 5-1 with 4 spread wins with revenge. The Packers are 24-0 ATS since, 2002 when they are off a game in which they trailed at the half and punted fewer than four times, as long as they were not a dog of more than a TD in that game.The Packers are 11-0 ATS since 2003 as a favorite when they are off a road game in which they scored 34-plus points. WERE PACKER BACKERS TONIGHT.

On Sunday night the NFL Play is on Dallas. Game 315 at 8:30 eastern. Teams facing Washington the second time have done a better job defensively and that's what we will expect here tonight. On Thanksgiving Day Washington went in to Dallas and won 38-31 aided by +2 turnover margin and having held the Cowboys to just 35 yards rushing. Dallas has not closed out the season well under coach Garrett, however they will be tough to beat here and will look to end the Skins 6 game win steak knowing that The Redskins are 0-19 Ats when hosting a team with fewer wins on the season, as long as they are not on a two-plus game losing streak. They are also 1-7 ats as a favorites vs an opponent off a straight up favored loss. Dallas has won their last 2 revenge games and will be tough to down here tonight. Take Dallas.



In NCAAB Action the bonus Play is on the Dayton Flyers. Game 821 at 7:00 eastern. Dayton is 18-3 vs losing teams, 12-1 vs opponent that score 65 or less and 31-12 vs non conference teams. USC is not very good and the stats show that. Souther Cal is 2-6 vs winning teams and have lost 24 of 32 vs teams who allow 65 or less. The Trojans are 8-27 after a game where they allowed 60 or less. Take Dayton

3 team 10 points teaser. St. Louis +21, Baltimore +12, San Francisco -7



The Rams want this game to finish .500 and will play hard the whole way through, taking them up to 21 in this one is a steal as they can handle the noise here in Seattle and may catch the Hawks a little flat off a big win vs the Niners. The Seahawks are 0-15 ATS when they are off a non-Monday 21-plus point win as a favorite.




The Ravens are 16-2 ATS when they are off a game as a dog vs an NFC opponent. The Bengals never play well as a favorite after playing the Steelers as they have lost the last 8 times in that role. They too may be flat off a big road win in Pittsburgh. The Ravens have won their last game the last 6 years. We will tease the Ravens up to 12.





The 49ers are 12-0 ATS the last 5 years when they are off a Sunday road game in which they allowed more than 21 points. They may really lay it on an Arizona team with no Quarterback in Lindley or Skelton. Getting the Niners at -6.5 looks like a solid investment in this teaser. Plus we know they will wan to bounce back from the Whipping they took in Seattle.

On Sunday the Last Home Game Super System Game is on the Minnesota Vikings. Game 320 at 1:00 eastern. The Vikings are 6-1 at home this season and come in with revenge in this one. The Vikings fit several solid system here today. One of my favorite is the one that cashed just a few weeks back when Dallas took down the Steelers as a 3 point home dog. We want to play on home dogs that are winning teams at +7 or less that are off a road dog win vs an opponent off a win. These teams are 33-4 ats. Furthermore teams like the Vikes off 3 straight dog wins are undefeated vs a division opponent that is off an ats win by 10 or more points. Another system is the Artificial turf home dog off a road dog win system which has ben solid the last 30+ years. Moving forward Divisional home dog that scored 20 or more back to back vs an opponent off a win is solid as well. The Vikings are 5-0 off a non conference games vs a division teams that won their last game by 10 or more. With all the systems on the Vikings here today we will look their way and take the 3-4 points. Make it Minnesota.

On Sunday the AFC Power Play is on Baltimore. Game 305 at 1;00 eastern. Baltimore has covered 9 straight vs division opponents that have revenge against them and they have won their finale the last 6 seasons. The Bengals are 3-12 ats after playing the Steelers and have failed to cover in 4 of the last 5 as a favorite if they are off a dog win, they have also failed to cover the last 8 times as a favorite after playing the Steelers. Finally,The Ravens are 16-2 ATS when they are off a game as a dog vs an NFC opponent. Look for Baltimore to get the cash as a small dog.




On Sunday the Dog with bite is on Detroit. Game 318 at 1:00 eastern. The Lions have lost their last 4 home games and most of them outside of last week have been very close. The Bears fit a play against system that pertain to road teams off a 2nd half road win of 10 or more in games where the line is +3 to -3. The Lions have covered 4 of the last 5 in the series. These two played a tight game in Chicago in October and The Lions will want to get the their last home game here today. Take the 3-4 points in this one as the Lions cash against the Bears.

On Sunday the AFC Power Play is on Baltimore. Game 305 at 1;00 eastern. Baltimore has covered 9 straight vs division opponents that have revenge against them and they have won their finale the last 6 seasons. The Bengals are 3-12 ats after playing the Steelers and have failed to cover in 4 of the last 5 as a favorite if they are off a dog win, they have also failed to cover the last 8 times as a favorite after playing the Steelers. Finally,The Ravens are 16-2 ATS when they are off a game as a dog vs an NFC opponent. Look for Baltimore to get the cash as a small dog.




On Sunday the Dog with bite is on Detroit. Game 318 at 1:00 eastern. The Lions have lost their last 4 home games and most of them outside of last week have been very close. The Bears fit a play against system that pertain to road teams off a 2nd half road win of 10 or more in games where the line is +3 to -3. The Lions have covered 4 of the last 5 in the series. These two played a tight game in Chicago in October and The Lions will want to get the their last home game here today. Take the 3-4 points in this one as the Lions cash against the Bears.

On Sunday the NFC West Sunday night Power Side is on San Francisco. Game 129 at 8:30 eastern. Seattle is the first team since 1950 to score 50 or more back to back. Now they have to face the Vaunted Niners defense which allowed over 30 points in a win in New England. Teams teams with the line being 3 points to pick either way that scored 50 or more last week have covered just once long term. San Francisco has covered 7 straight when they and their opponent are both off back to back wins and covers. Coach Carrol is 0-8 ats if favored vs winning teams off a win by 2 or more touchdowns, and 1-7 vs an opponent off 2 or more wins and covers. The Niners are 5-0 as dogs off a non conference dog win. So this tell me there is no bounce off the Patriots win. The 49ers are 14-0 ATS when they are off a Sunday road game in which they allowed more than 21 points. The Seahawks are 1-20 ATS when they are off a game as a favorite of more than four points in which they benefited from a positive takeaway margin. Look for San Francisco to win this one.

On Sunday the Late afternoon system Play is on Baltimore. Game 122 at 4:25 eastern Road teams like the Giants at +3 to -3 are winless up and to the spread since 1989 if they scored 9 or less on the road, vs an opponent that scored 21 or less as a home dog. Baltimore getting points at home looks solid as they will play much better than they did last week vs Denver when they were hurt badly by a late first half turnover td that made the score 17-0 as opposed to 10-3 or 10-7. They may have Ray Lewis back too. Computer simulations have them winning outright. Look for Baltimore +3 to bounce back and get the cash here today.

On Sunday the road warrior is on San Diego. Game 131 at 1:00 eastern. Many feel the Chargers have quit after they bounced last week at home vs Carolina, prior to a huge 7 point dog win in Pittsburgh. Their offense should bounce back here and the Jets have not been nearly as good on defense vs Seasoned quarterbacks as they have been against the Jx, Az, and Tennessees of the world. We also want to play on road dogs of 6 or less off a home favored loss and prior road dog win, if they lost to the spread by 15 or more last out. That's because the road warriors are a solid 22-3 ats since 1980, and 6-0 the last 9 years. The Jets are a mess, even with Mcelroy over Sanchez they may struggle. The Chargers are coming early into the eastern time zone where west coast teams have historically struggle. However this is the 3rd time for the Chargers and is much easier to handle the more seasonal occurrences. The Chargers are 15-1 ATS after week 13 when they allowed more than 20 points in their previous game.Take San Diego.

On Sunday the NFL Multi System Super side is on Dallas. Game 116 at 1:00 eastern. We get one of the hottest teams in the league at under a field goal here and they apply to Multiple systems here today. Here we go. Most of these play against the Saints. Play against game 15 road teams that are home next week and played home last week, vs an opponent that won by 10 or less and is playing their last home. Play against non division road dogs of less than 5 off a home favored shutout covers as they are 0-11 straight up and 1-10 ats since 1980. The Saints actually fit a variety of systems that play against shutout winners in their last game. Their defense should not play nearly as well this week. The Saints are 0-13 ATS (when they are off a game in which they held their opponent to at least ten points fewer than their season average and had fewer than three sacks and allowed an average of ten yards per completion or less. Dallas wins and covers today.




On Sunday the Wonder dog system play is on Oakland. Game 105 at 1:00 eastern. The Raiders finally put together a nice win and played well on defense getting a shutout. There is a great 32-4 system they apply to here. We want to play on visitors getting 8 or more points off win if both teams are under.500. These teams are a solid 21-15 straight up as well as covering 32 of 36. Carolina may bounce after spring the upset dog win last week in San Diego. The Raiders are 15-0 ATS after a regulation game in which they had 34-plus minutes of possession time and least three sacks, as long as they did not rush for 250-plus yards. Carolina is 1-8 ats off a dog win vs non conference teams Oakland plus 8.5 here.




On Sunday the road warrior is on San Diego. Game 131 at 1:00 eastern. Many feel the Chargers have quit after they bounced last week at home vs Carolina, prior to a huge 7 point dog win in Pittsburgh. Their offense should bounce back here and the Jets have not been nearly as good on defense vs Seasoned quarterbacks as they have been against the Jx, Az, and Tennessees of the world. We also want to play on road dogs of 6 or less off a home favored loss and prior road dog win, if they lost to the spread by 15 or more last out. That's because the road warriors are a solid 22-3 ats since 1980, and 6-0 the last 9 years. The Jets are a mess, even with Mcelroy over Sanchez they may struggle. The Chargers are coming early into the eastern time zone where west coast teams have historically struggle. However this is the 3rd time for the Chargers and is much easier to handle the more seasonal occurrences. The Chargers are 15-1 ATS after week 13 when they allowed more than 20 points in their previous game.Take San Diego.

On Sunday the NFL Multi System Super side is on Dallas. Game 116 at 1:00 eastern. We get one of the hottest teams in the league at under a field goal here and they apply to Multiple systems here today. Here we go. Most of these play against the Saints. Play against game 15 road teams that are home next week and played home last week, vs an opponent that won by 10 or less and is playing their last home. Play against non division road dogs of less than 5 off a home favored shutout covers as they are 0-11 straight up and 1-10 ats since 1980. The Saints actually fit a variety of systems that play against shutout winners in their last game. Their defense should not play nearly as well this week. The Saints are 0-13 ATS (when they are off a game in which they held their opponent to at least ten points fewer than their season average and had fewer than three sacks and allowed an average of ten yards per completion or less. Dallas wins and covers today.




On Sunday the Wonder dog system play is on Oakland. Game 105 at 1:00 eastern. The Raiders finally put together a nice win and played well on defense getting a shutout. There is a great 32-4 system they apply to here. We want to play on visitors getting 8 or more points off win if both teams are under.500. These teams are a solid 21-15 straight up as well as covering 32 of 36. Carolina may bounce after spring the upset dog win last week in San Diego. The Raiders are 15-0 ATS after a regulation game in which they had 34-plus minutes of possession time and least three sacks, as long as they did not rush for 250-plus yards. Carolina is 1-8 ats off a dog win vs non conference teams Oakland plus 8.5 here.




On Sunday the road warrior is on San Diego. Game 131 at 1:00 eastern. Many feel the Chargers have quit after they bounced last week at home vs Carolina, prior to a huge 7 point dog win in Pittsburgh. Their offense should bounce back here and the Jets have not been nearly as good on defense vs Seasoned quarterbacks as they have been against the Jx, Az, and Tennessees of the world. We also want to play on road dogs of 6 or less off a home favored loss and prior road dog win, if they lost to the spread by 15 or more last out. That's because the road warriors are a solid 22-3 ats since 1980, and 6-0 the last 9 years. The Jets are a mess, even with Mcelroy over Sanchez they may struggle. The Chargers are coming early into the eastern time zone where west coast teams have historically struggle. However this is the 3rd time for the Chargers and is much easier to handle the more seasonal occurrences. The Chargers are 15-1 ATS after week 13 when they allowed more than 20 points in their previous game.Take San Diego.

On Sunday the 3 game Power Teaser for 10 points is Denver to -2. Game 125 at 4:05 eastern. Green Bay. Game 104 at 1:00 eastern to -2.5 and Baltimore. Game 122 at 1:00 eastern.


For Denver. The Broncos are 13-2 ATS vs a team with fewer wins on the season when they won last week. They fit a solid system that plays on home favorites of 10.5 to 15 that are off back to back road favorite wins and covers. These teams are 23-0 and 17-5-1 since 1980.The Browns are 0-12 ATS when they are off a 16-plus point ATS loss vs a non-divisional opponent.


For Green Bay. The Packers fit a last home game system vs teams in their last road game. Add in the fact that teams in their final regular season home game off 3+ wins and covered vs a Team under .699 and also off a win and cover are 15-3 ats. The Packers at -2.5 in teaser, that just wrong, they may win by 20.




For Baltimore. Road teams like the Giants at +3 to -3 are 0-5 straight up and to the spread since 1989 if they scored 9 or less on the road, vs an opponent that scored 21 or less as a home dog. Baltimore getting over 12 at home looks solid as they will play much better than they did last week vs Denver when they were hurt badly by a late first half turnover td that made the score 17-0 as opposed to 10-3 or 10-7. They may have Ray Lewis back too. Computer simulations have them winning outright.

On Saturday the NFL Triple system Super Side is on Detroit. Game 102 at 8:30 eastern. The Lions have several solid indicators going for them tonight. Here we go. We want to play on Saturday dogs that are off a straight up loss as a favorite, vs an opponent that comes in off an ats win by more than a touchdown. The last 33 years these teams have covered 92% of the time. Atlanta was "Salty", the phrase M.Ryan used to describe the teams attitude last week vs the Giants, and we had them big as they bounced back from a bad loss to Carolina and shutout the Giants 34-0. That win sets them up in a negative system that pertains to late season non divisional road teams off a shutout win. These road teams have failed 94% of the time when their opponent had less than 100 yards rushing. Detroit has lost their last 3 home games, all in a row and all by 4 or less points. The Lions are 11-0 ATS vs a non-divisional opponent when they are off a game in which they suffered an ATS loss of more than 21 points and they scored ten points or less..The Falcons are 1-15 ATS when they are off a game in which the total was at least 44 points and they scored at least 8.5 points more than their season average. The Falcons are also 0-7 ats on Saturday off a win and the Lions have covered 8 of the last 9 as dogs with revenge in December if their opponent won by 10 or more in their last game. The Lions lost here last season and should be motivated for this one as game 15 home dogs off back to back losses are 14-2 ats if they played their final road game last week. Take the 4-5 points with Detroit. 6* NFC WEST GAME OF THE YEAR GOES SUNDAY

On Monday the NFL Power System Play is on the Tennessee Titans. Game 332 at 8:40 eastern This game fits a 100% system that plays against the Jet and any road dog of 3 or less on Monday Night football that comes in off a road favored win. This one has cashed all 10 times Long term. Eve better the home team is winning by an average 28-11 score in games where the line is a basic Pick. Much Like Our Atlanta Winner on Sunday we simply cannot use all the spread trends that apply in a game with low of a line. The Jets have controlled the series of late. However can we really back a team that has thrown for a measly 216 yards the past 2 weeks. A team that has a Qb in Sanchez that has regressed to the point where they must run the ball and not ask him to make tough throws to avoid all the turnovers he commits. How bad has Sanchez become. Just look at what the Washington rookie Qb Cousins was able to do against a solid defense on the road in Cleveland on Sunday. Sanchez may not even be one of the top backups in this league at this point. The Jets defense has kept them hanging around at 6-7. The Jets have trailed two terrible teams 3-0 at the half the last 2 weeks before luckily coming back to win. The Titans have had more yardage than their opponents the last 4 weeks and have been playing much tougher teams all season, should they get the lead the could be off to the races as the Jets will commit turnovers trying to catch up. The Titans have won the last 3 on Monday night the Jets have lost 6 of 7 as a dog. The Titans are 5-1 straight up at home when the total is 38.5 to 42. The Jets have a decent defense that cant be expected to shut down teams every week and the Titans have a much better offense than Arizona and Jacksonville. Look for the Titans to win this one here tonight.

On Sunday night the NFL Totals Play is on the Under in the San Francisco at New England Game . Rotation numbers 329/330 at 8:30 eastern. This game fits a totals system that has played to the under every time the last 10 years and goes like this. Play the under for home teams with a total of 50 or less if they are off a home favored win and scored 42 or more points, vs an opponent like the Niners that scored 21 or more at home in their last game. The Niners have stayed under in 4 of 5 vs winning teams and 2 of 3 here in the series. When they are non conference Dogs of 4 or more they have played under in 8 straight. They have played under in 7 of 8 before games vs Seattle. The Patriots have have a tougher time scoring vs this Vaunted San Francisco Defense. Take the Under in this one.

On Sunday the Dog with Bite is on Buffalo. Game 322 at 4:05 eastern. Seattle destroyed Arizona 58-0 on Sunday and set up a Rare system that has cashed 80% of the time the last 33 years by simply playing against teams off wins of more than 53 points. Seattle in general is a miserable 1-17 to the spread off an ats win of 21 or more. Also of note is that non divisional teams that have a win percentage of .875 or less off a home shutout win of 13 or more have failed to cover 9 of 10 times vs an opponent that lost as a straight up favorite in their last game. The Bills blew it late at home vs the Rams and now travel to Canada for this one. Rookie quarterbacks like Seattles Russell Wilson have fared much better as a dog than a favorite this season. The Seahawks are 0-20 ats when they are off a game as a favorite of more than four points in which they benefited from a positive takeaway margin. Seattle has a bit of a better defense by around 40+ yards but on offense these two are even. Take the points with Buffalo.




On Sunday the Non conference Power Play is on Dallas. Game 326 at 4:25 eastern. This game applies to a solid system that plays on home dogs of 7 or less with a winning record off a road dog win vs an opponent that was at home in their last game. This system has cashed 32 of 36 times long term. Dallas stole one last week in Cincy and has Momentum in this one. The Steelers were burnt at home vs San Diego due to special teams and a basic bounce in focus off the big road dog win in Baltimore 2 weeks ago. We also note that another fine variation of the home dog of a road dog win scenario is to simply use home dogs that plays on turf. The Cowboys were an early 1 point favorite and are now taking points in this one. Look for Dallas to cover their first home game this season as they are getting hot at the right time.




On Sunday the NFL Totals Play is on the Under in the Carolina at San Diego game. Rotation numbers 319/320 at 4;05 eastern.. We want to play the under for home teams that scored 28 or more as a road dog, vs an opponent that scored 21 or more as a home dog and passed for 250+ yards. These games have flown under 15 of 17 times the past 23 years. The Panthers have gone under every time as a road dog of 3 or less and the Chargers 22 of 31 times as a home favorite of 3 or less. Look for a lower than expected score in this one. Take the under,

On Sunday the Dog with Bite is on Buffalo. Game 322 at 4:05 eastern. Seattle destroyed Arizona 58-0 on Sunday and set up a Rare system that has cashed 80% of the time the last 33 years by simply playing against teams off wins of more than 53 points. Seattle in general is a miserable 1-17 to the spread off an ats win of 21 or more. Also of note is that non divisional teams that have a win percentage of .875 or less off a home shutout win of 13 or more have failed to cover 9 of 10 times vs an opponent that lost as a straight up favorite in their last game. The Bills blew it late at home vs the Rams and now travel to Canada for this one. Rookie quarterbacks like Seattles Russell Wilson have fared much better as a dog than a favorite this season. The Seahawks are 0-20 ats when they are off a game as a favorite of more than four points in which they benefited from a positive takeaway margin. Seattle has a bit of a better defense by around 40+ yards but on offense these two are even. Take the points with Buffalo.




On Sunday the Non conference Power Play is on Dallas. Game 326 at 4:25 eastern. This game applies to a solid system that plays on home dogs of 7 or less with a winning record off a road dog win vs an opponent that was at home in their last game. This system has cashed 32 of 36 times long term. Dallas stole one last week in Cincy and has Momentum in this one. The Steelers were burnt at home vs San Diego due to special teams and a basic bounce in focus off the big road dog win in Baltimore 2 weeks ago. We also note that another fine variation of the home dog of a road dog win scenario is to simply use home dogs that plays on turf. The Cowboys were an early 1 point favorite and are now taking points in this one. Look for Dallas to cover their first home game this season as they are getting hot at the right time.




On Sunday the NFL Totals Play is on the Under in the Carolina at San Diego game. Rotation numbers 319/320 at 4;05 eastern.. We want to play the under for home teams that scored 28 or more as a road dog, vs an opponent that scored 21 or more as a home dog and passed for 250+ yards. These games have flown under 15 of 17 times the past 23 years. The Panthers have gone under every time as a road dog of 3 or less and the Chargers 22 of 31 times as a home favorite of 3 or less. Look for a lower than expected score in this one. Take the under,

On Sunday the Dog with Bite is on Buffalo. Game 322 at 4:05 eastern. Seattle destroyed Arizona 58-0 on Sunday and set up a Rare system that has cashed 80% of the time the last 33 years by simply playing against teams off wins of more than 53 points. Seattle in general is a miserable 1-17 to the spread off an ats win of 21 or more. Also of note is that non divisional teams that have a win percentage of .875 or less off a home shutout win of 13 or more have failed to cover 9 of 10 times vs an opponent that lost as a straight up favorite in their last game. The Bills blew it late at home vs the Rams and now travel to Canada for this one. Rookie quarterbacks like Seattles Russell Wilson have fared much better as a dog than a favorite this season. The Seahawks are 0-20 ats when they are off a game as a favorite of more than four points in which they benefited from a positive takeaway margin. Seattle has a bit of a better defense by around 40+ yards but on offense these two are even. Take the points with Buffalo.




On Sunday the Non conference Power Play is on Dallas. Game 326 at 4:25 eastern. This game applies to a solid system that plays on home dogs of 7 or less with a winning record off a road dog win vs an opponent that was at home in their last game. This system has cashed 32 of 36 times long term. Dallas stole one last week in Cincy and has Momentum in this one. The Steelers were burnt at home vs San Diego due to special teams and a basic bounce in focus off the big road dog win in Baltimore 2 weeks ago. We also note that another fine variation of the home dog of a road dog win scenario is to simply use home dogs that plays on turf. The Cowboys were an early 1 point favorite and are now taking points in this one. Look for Dallas to cover their first home game this season as they are getting hot at the right time.




On Sunday the NFL Totals Play is on the Under in the Carolina at San Diego game. Rotation numbers 319/320 at 4;05 eastern.. We want to play the under for home teams that scored 28 or more as a road dog, vs an opponent that scored 21 or more as a home dog and passed for 250+ yards. These games have flown under 15 of 17 times the past 23 years. The Panthers have gone under every time as a road dog of 3 or less and the Chargers 22 of 31 times as a home favorite of 3 or less. Look for a lower than expected score in this one. Take the under,

SUNDAY 3 TEAM 10 POINT TEASER JACKSONVILLE +17.5, BUFFALO +15.5 AND KC +13


On Sunday the 3 team teaser is on Jacksonville to +17.5. Game 313 at 1:00 eastern. The Jags fit a tight system here that plays on road dogs from 7-10 in non division games if both teams enter off non division losses. Miami is off a loss to the Niners and Jacksonville to the Jets. The above system has cashed 38 of the last 44 times and many of times for us the past few seasons. The Jags are 4-1 ats on the road of late . Miami is 0-8 ats as a home favorite of 7 or more and 0-3 vs AFC South teams.The Dolphins are 1-12 ATS at home when they scored fewer points than their season average in each of their last two games. Finally the Jaguars are 9-0 ats on the road of a loss. Take the points in this interstate matchup with Jacksonville.



Buffalo +15.5. Game 322 at 4:05 eastern. Seattle destroyed Arizona 58-0 on Sunday and set up a Rare system that has cashed 80% of the time the last 33 years by simply playing against teams off wins of more than 53 points. Seattle in general is a miserable 1-17 to the spread off an ats win of 21 or more



Kansas City Chiefs +13. Game 327 at 4:25 eastern. The Chiefs have covered 15 of the last 17 times off a non division loss of 10 or more points and 11 of the last 13 on the road off a road loss. The Raiders have failed to cover 13 of the last 14 as a favorite off 2 or more losses and cant seem to get out of their own way this season.

On Sunday the NFL Play is on Baltimore. Game 316 at 1:00 eastern. The Ravens should come out with a Huge motivation here as they received a Big kick in the ass from coach Harbaugh with the firing of ling time friend and Offensive coordinator Cam Cameron. I look for Qb Flacco to have a big game here in this one against Denver. Here is why. There are Several Cutting edge Power systems in application for this game. First we want to plays against road favorites Like Denver that are off a 4+ game win streak if they lost on the road prior to the steak. Secondly we want to plays against second half road teams at +3 to -3 that are off a road win of 10 or more, another high end system. For Baltimore we want to play on home teams that scored 28 or more as a road dog in their last game, vs an opponent that scored 21 or more as a road favorite of 7 or more. These home teams have Never failed to cover the spread. The Ravens are 7-0 straight up and to the spread vs AFC West teams and 9-1 ats at home off an ats loss in the final 4 games of the season. The Broncos are 1-8 ats off back to back wins and covers. Peyton Manning for all his accolades has failed to cover 8 of 9 times vs winning teams in December. Denver is 0-5 straight up and to spread here in Baltimore. The Ravens are 16-1 ats when they are off a game as a dog vs an NFC opponent. Baltimore is also 10-2 ats when they are off a game in which they allowed 24-plus points and the game went over the total by double-digits. Look for Baltimore to at the very least Cover in this one in what looks like an outright win.

On Sunday the NFL Play is on the Atlanta Falcons. Game 306 at 1:05 eastern. Atlanta plays this one with Revenge from last seasons 24-2 loss here in what was a shutout for their offense. They have this game circled and was perhaps the reason they were beat last week in Carolina. There are several solid indicators for this game as well. We note that the Falcons are 11-2 at home with a total of more than 40 if they had less than 50 yards rushing as a road favorite. They are 5-0 off a loss and 3-0 vs NFC East teams most recently. In tight games where the line is +3 to -3 they have won 7 of 9. They get no respect this year due to their close wins this season. However they may very well be sitting on a large performance here. The Giants are 0-4 on the road when the total is 42 or higher and they scored 42 or more in their last game, losing by an average 14 points per game in that role. In fact all road teams in this league long term are winless when the line is +3 to -3 after scoring 42 or more vs an opponent that rushed for less than 50 yards. Home teams like the Falcons here have Never lost when the total is higher than 42 and they scored 21 or less on the road with less than 50 yards rushing and 300 or more yards passing. The Falcons have been a cash machine the past few season in December vs Non division teams, cashing 8 of the last 9. The Best part of the aforementioned is that they are not based on the spread, but on straight up situations, which is what you use in game where the line is a basic pick. The DIRTY BIRDS Today.

On Thursday the NFL Super system Play is on Philadelphia and over the total. Game 302 AT 8:25 Eastern. This game fits another solid short rest system we use which has been Kicking tail again this season. We want to play on home teams on short rest that scored 21 or more as a road dog and had 250 or more yards passing with a total that was more than 40. These home teams are 12-1 ats and winning by an average 31-21 score, as these games have also played to the over at a high percentage as well. So we will back the Eagles and the over in this one. We also note that road teams with a total of 42.5 to 49 off a straight up favored loss like the Bengals have played to the over 31 of 38 times if they are .500 or better.. The Bengals are a terrible 0-6 straight up in road games when the posted total is 42.5 to 45 and 0-4 ats as favorites vs an opponent off a dog win. The Eagles are 8-0 ats as home dogs in certain situations vs an opponent that lost as a favorite. With the line moving up for Philly and the Bengals having short rest off a devastating late blown loss to Dallas we will take The Eagles and the points and the over in this one. This Sunday will be the release of the 7* NFL Game of the year + a 5* Bowl total on Saturday.

On Monday night the NFL Power System Play is on the New England Patriots. Game 134 at 8;40 eastern. This game fits an exclusive Road system that has won all 16 times since 1980. We want to play against any team in their third straight road game, Like the Texans here tonight off a win, provided they have a win percentage of .666 to .921 and they are not a favorite of 3 or more. We also note that .400 or better Monday night teams as a non division home dog or favorite of 5 or less off a win with 12+ wins last year have covered 17 of the last 22 on Monday night Football. The Patriots are 20-0 in the 2nd half since 2010 and have a +51 turnover differential in that time span. They are 6-1 ats in the first of back to back home games vs Non divisional teams and Brady is 12-2 ats on Monday night vs opponents with at least one loss. The Patriots have won and covered the last 4 Monday nighters overall and are 15-1 straight up off a division game. Both teams have won 6 straight. However this is Houston's third straight road game with no bye in between and they are 0-4 straight up and ats on the road when the total is 49 or higher and 0-4 with just 1 spread win as a road dog from +3.5 to +7. They have lost to the spread in 4 of the last 5 on Turf and will likely have their one weakness in pass defense exposed in this one. The Patriots have a way of playing up or down to the competition and will very likely play one of their best games here tonight according to computer Simulations of this game. Look for the Patriots to win and cover.

On Sunday night were Packer Backers. Game 132 at 8;30 eastern. Home favorites in this range with a total of more than 40 cashed big if they scored 21 or more as a home favorite in their last game and had 250 or more yards passing, vs an opponent that scored 21 or more at home in their last game and also had 250 or more yards passing. The average win score for these homers is 35-15, if we insist that the home team alos rushed for over 150 yards the system goes perfect and wins by over 25 points per game. Green Bay is 21-0 and 14-5-2 ats at home vs the Lions. The Packers are 3-0 ats vs division teams and have covered 3 of 4 as a home favorite in this range. Detroit blew a late lead last week to the Colts and we have to wonder where their heads are after a loss like that which was their 3rd straight home. Coach Schwarts may be out as his team has too much talent to be this far under .500. The Defense has been the main culprit as they have allowed 24 or more in their last 4 games. The Lions are 0-4 and 1-3 to the spread with revenge and 3-10 ats in the second half vs winning teams. In road games where the total is 49 or higher Detroit is 0-5 straight up and ats. Detroit may be ready to throw in the towel as they have virtually no chance at he playoffs. For those still alive in survivor pools. How do you go against a team that has lost 21 straight times at a particular venue. Last season I thought this streak could end as the Lions were a 6 point favorite here in the last game of the season and the Packers rested everyone. Rogers didn't play and they still lost. Packer backers here today no way around it.

On Sunday the Late Afternoon Dog is on Arizona. Game 129 at 4:25 eastern. This line is way out of whack here today. Arizona has lost 8 straight after starting 4-0. They would have won last week against a Pathetic Jets attack. However Coach Whisenhunt insisted on leaving rookie Qb and his deer in the head lights look on the field, costing them the game. Now he will have Skelton back and starting. Had Skelton been in last week the Cardinals may have been better than 0 for 15 on 3rd down. This game should be much closer here today. Seattle is off a big win at Chicago last out and should not be expected to now cover a double digit spread. In fact we want to play against favorites from -3.5 to -10 that have won 57 to 60% of their games in the second half the the past few seasons as they have failed to cover 40 of the last 51 times. Take Arizona to keep this one close.

On Sunday the Early 5* Power system Play is on the Baltimore Ravens. Game 106 at 1:00 eastern. The Ravens are 16-0 ATS since 2002 on the road when they are off a game in which the converted less than one-third of their third-downs and punted at least three times as a favorite.They are also 10-0 ATS the week after a loss at home in which they were winning at the half.. Baltimore has been money off a favored loss and are 9-0 ats as non division dogs off an ats loss of 10 or more. Coach Harbaugh is 5-0 ats on the road off a favored loss. For technical purposes we note that road teams are PERFECT since 1989 from +3 to -3 if they scored 21 or less as a home favorite of 7 or more, vs an opponent that scored 21 or less as a home dog. Need more? Washington is 1-3 ats in the series and have lost to the spread the last 7 times after facing the NY. Giants. They are also 0-7 ats at home vs an opponent off a straight up favored loss. Finally, teams off back to back dog wins have not covered the last 32+ years vs an opponent that is at least 60% of their games on the season. Take Baltimore Today.


On Sunday the Power play is on the Bengals. Game 124 at 1:00 eastern. The Bengals fit a nice system that plays on teams from +3 to -3 if they allowed 17 or less and have a solid Point differential. The system has cashed 24 of 27 times. The Bengals are 9-1 ats vs opponent that allow 61% or more pass completions. Dallas is 1-12 ats off 1 or more wins. and 1-7 off a division homer. The Bengals have covered the last 4 at home in the series and are a hot team right now. Take the Bengals

On Sunday the NFL Totals Play is on the Over in the Chicago at Minnesota game. Rotation numbers 115/116 at 1:00 eastern. This game fits the same Short turn around system we used last week to cash 3 of 4. We want to reverse the totals result between two teams that played within a 2-3 week period. These two played under 2 Weeks ago and now their on the turf here in Minnesota. The Vikings have played over in 12 of 13 off 3 straight division games, 11 of 13 at home with division revenge, 5 of 7 as a home dog of 3 or less and 5 of 7 in the 2nd meeting vs the Bears. Chicago has gone over 5 of 5 times as a division road favorite vs an opponent with revenge, 6 of 7 after Seattle, 4 of 5 after a loss and 4 of 5 before playing the Packers. You had me at short turnaround- Take the Over in what looks like a high scoring affair.



Bonus 3 Team 10 Point Teaser. Baltimore to +12.5, San Francisco to even, SD Chargers +19

The Ravens are 10-0 ATS the week after a loss at home in which they were winning at the half.

The 49ers are 13-0 ATS since 2008 at home when they played on the road last week and they have a road game next week.

Play against teams like the Steelers as a non division favorite off a+7 or higher road dog win vs a divison rival, Chargers keep this close against a rusty Rothlisberger. Chargers 6-0 game 13

On Thursday the NFL power System play is on Oakland. Game 102 at 8:25 eastern. The Broncos are 0-17 ATS 2006 in the last 4 games of the season they are off a non-divisional opponent. Home Dogs of more than 8 have cashed 24 of the last 26 times and the Raiders have Blowout loss revenge for a 38-6 drubbing earlier in the season in Denver. The worst loss for them vs Denver in several years. The Broncos are 0-10 ats in the second half vs teams that have been outscored by 10 or more points and have failed to cover 11 of the last 13 as a division favorite of 6 or more. Oakland is 9-0 ats as a division dog off a loss. The General thinking ids that Carson Palmer and the Raiders offense will keep this one close enough to cover the spread. Take Oakland.

On Monday night the NFL Selection is on the Washington Redskins. Game 368 at 8:40 eastern. There are 3 Very strong systems that apply to this one. This is the 2nd meeting between these two this season. The first one was won by the Giants in a game where they hit a Long late 70+ yard Manning to V. Cruz touchdown pass. The Giants have struggled with Washington of late and are laying 3 points in this one. We note that That Washington is 10-0 ats vs teams that allow 6+ yards per play in the second half of the season. They have covered 2 of 3 vs winning teams this season and are 9-0 ats when playing off 2 or more wins vs an opponent off a win. They have covered in 4 of the last 5 in this series and al 3 times in divisional games this season. The Giants have ailed to cover in 11 of the last 13 when playing an opponent off a dog win. Home teams on Monday night have done well off a road win when taking on an opponent that won and covered at home in their last game covering 26 of the last 33 times. Since 1979 home dogs of more than 1 on Monday night off a road dog win are 19-1 ats vs an opponent who played at home in their last game in divisional affairs. The Skins fit just about every subset and variation of the home dog off the road dog win system, so there's no need to specify all of them. The Giants blew the doors off Green Bay last week as they simply have figured out how to stop Rogers and the Packers and took advantage of a Packers team that was without Clay Mathews and had several key injuries. Tonight it will be much tougher to stop RG3. The Crowd will be loud and I look for Washington to get the win in this one. Take the Points.

On Sunday night the Totals Play is on the Under in the Philly at Dallas game. Rotation numbers 365/366 at 8:30 eastern. This game fits a short turnaround system that reverses the results of the total when two team are playing a second time within 2-3 weeks. These two met 3 weeks ago in a wild 38-23 shoot out chocked with turnovers. This one should stay under as I expect both defenses which allowed 30 or more in their last game to play much better. Dallas has played under in 10 of 11 vs an opponent off back to back straight up and ats losses. Look for this one to stay under.

On Sunday the Afternoon totals Play is on the Over in the Steelers at Ravens game. Rotation numbers 359/360 at 4:25 eastern. This game fits a short turn around system we use that reverses the total from the last time two teams met in a 2-3 week period. These two played a Sunday night game 2 weeks ago without Big Ben and 23 points were scored. This one should get over the total here. Baltimore is averaging well over 30 points at home this season. The Steelers defense has allowed 20 or more on the road in all but one road game this season. The Ravens have gone over 6 straight times as a home favorite of 3 or more off back to back unders. Look for this one to go over the total today.

On Sunday the NFL Power System Play is on the Chargers. Game 364 at 4:25 eastern. San Diego has won 5 of the last 6 here vs the Bengals. The Chargers blew the game on Sunday losing in overtime to a Baltimore team that was awarded a 4th and 29 first down after the replays showed they didn't get the first down yardage, but since the markers were moved after the play and they could not be put to the exact spot they were on 4th down, the Ravens were given the first down, and were in field goal range tied the scored and won in overtime in a game that was really Botched by the League. Today the Chargers should bounce back as they are 5-0 ats as a conference home dog. The Bengals have played much better of late after losing 4 straight. However this is a tough game and they are not the type of team that is good enough to win back to back road games. Road teams +3 to -3 have been poor investments long term if coming off a home game where they scored 28 or more vs an opponent off a home game that scored 14 or less. Look for the Chargers to get the win.

On Sunday the Afternoon totals Play is on the Over in the Steelers at Ravens game. Rotation numbers 359/360 at 4:25 eastern. This game fits a short turn around system we use that reverses the total from the last time two teams met in a 2-3 week period. These two played a Sunday night game 2 weeks ago without Big Ben and 23 points were scored. This one should get over the total here. Baltimore is averaging well over 30 points at home this season. The Steelers defense has allowed 20 or more on the road in all but one road game this season. The Ravens have gone over 6 straight times as a home favorite of 3 or more off back to back unders. Look for this one to go over the total today.

NFL TOTALS PLAY UNDER RAMS-NINERS

3 Team 10 Point Teaser. Miami to +19 Jets to +4, Dallas even



The Dolphins. Game 354 at 1:00 eastern are 8-0 ATS (+10.2 ppg) since 1993 as a dog the week after a win in which they were losing at the end of the third quarter.




The Jets. Game 346 at 1:00 eastern are 11-0 ATS at home when they played at home last week.The Cardinals are 1-16 ATS as a road dog after a home game in which they had at least four red zone attempts and failed on at least two of them.




Dallas: Game 366 at 8:30 Eastern Home favorites of 10 or more with 6 or more days rest that scored 21 or more at home vs an opponent off a home game are 15-1 straight up.

On Thursday night the NFC Super system Side is on the Atlanta Falcons. Game 302 at 8:25 eastern. This game fits a Perfect system that wins by an average 23 points per game. We want to plays on home favorites with a total of 44.5 or more that scored 21 or more points as a road favorite, vs an opponent that scored 21 or more as a home dog while Rushing for less than 100 yards. The Falcons offense is just a few yards off that of the Saints. However the defense is a big advantage for the Falcons by over 90 yards. The Saints are 1-3 on the road when the total is 49.5 or higher. The Falcons are 6-1 ats on Thursday and 18-1 straight up vs teams under .500 at the point they play them. Atlanta has quadruple revenge and should be propelled by a nice win at Tampa,escaping with a 24-23 win. The Saints may be deflated off a 31-21 loss to the Niners and it will be tough coming back from that on short rest. Look for Atlanta to win and cover here tonight.

On Monday the NFL Totals System is on the Carolina at Philadelphia game. Rotation numbers 245/246 at 8:40 eastern. This game fits a solid 90% totals system that plays to the over home dogs with a total of 40 or higher that scored under 10 points on the road in their last game, vs an opponent that was a home dog in their last game. These games average 56 points per game. While I don't believe we will get that high tonight, I do think this will be higher scoring than usual. The Eagles are 16-0 since December 2005 after scoring fewer than 23 points as a dog in their last game. Carolina has flown over 8 of the last 9 in weeks 10-13 and all 4 times on the road when the total is 38.5 to 42. Look for Philly to move the bal better than expected as they now play a 3rd straight game without Vick. Take the Over in this one.

On Sunday night the Totals System Play is on the Under in the Packers at Giants game. Rotation numbers 243/244 at 8:25 eastern. This game fits a multitude of systems and angles. First we note that home favorites off a bye week that are off a road loss of 10 or more have flown under in 24 of the last 31. The Packers are 0-9 OU the week after a game in which they benefited from at least four turnovers. They have also played under in 10 of 14 when the line is +3 to -3. The Giants have stayed under in 17 of 25 long term with rest and 7 of 10 this season. Finally we note that home favorites off a game where they scored 14 or less as a road favorite have gone under 11 of 12 times vs an opponent that scored 21 or more as a road favorite in their last game, going back to 1989. The Giants will be without running back Bradshaw again and this will hurt their running game. Manning has thrown 2 touch down passes the last 5 weeks. Look for this game to stay under the total here tonight.

On Sunday the NFC Power Play is on the San Francisco 49ers. Game 239 at 4:25 eastern. The Niners for one of my favorite short rest systems that plays on teams that scored 30 or more on Monday night football, while allowing less than 10. These teams are 28-4 straight up in their next game. The Saints have rebounded nicely to win 3 straight. However We cant ignore a nearly 200 yards per game edge the Niners have on defense. The Saints have the better offense but the disparity is alot less than one would think at only around 30+ yards per game. The Niners have allowed a total of 3 points combined in their last 2 road games. They should have Alex Smith back for this one as well. Look for San Francisco to win this one.


3 Team 10 point teaser Teaser SD. Chargers +11 , St. Louis Rams +11, Green Bay +13

On Sunday the NFL Offshore Steam Play on the SD. Chargers. Game 238 at 4:05 eastern. This game was hit offshore by sharp money, Public backing Baltimore

On Sunday the Early NFL Power System Play is on the Titans. Game 229 at 1;00 eastern. Tennessee fits 26-4 road favorite off the bye system, similar to the one that Green Bay covered in last week against Detroit. The Jaguars will likely be spent in this one after blowing a late 14 lead on the road in Houston, only to lose late in over time. We also want to play against home teams in this spread range that lost 8 of their last 10 games as they are 3-26 ats since 1983. The Jags are 1-5 straight up and ats at home when the line is 42.5 to to 45. They are 0-5 at home losing by an average 30-8 score. Remember the Titans here today. Take Tennessee.

On Thanksgiving night the Power System Play is on the Patriots. Game 107 at 8;20 eastern. No Gronkowski no problem. The Pats will just recall someone from their practice squad and he will turn into their next superstar. Actually they have tight end Hernandez back for this one. We note that favorites off back to back wins or more on Turkey Day are 17-2 with 16 spread wins the last 24 years. For a short rest system we note that road favorites on short rest at -7 or more that scored 42 or more points at home have Covered Every time the last 24 years winning by an average 39-12 score. The Patriots are a veteran team and wont have any problems adding a few wrinkles into their offense on a short week. They were tooth and nail at home as a 10 point favorite to beat the Jets earlier in the season winning by 3 in overtime. That game started a 3 game descent for the Jets, who just got back on track with a win in St. Louis. This will be a tough spot for the Jets as the Patriots are doing much better in divisional road games of late winning by a larger margin vs these teams on the road than at home. Home dogs of 7 or more on short rest like the Jets that scored 21 or more as a road dog have lost every time the last 24 years. They lost by an average 16 points. Ouch. With the Patriots having covered 11 of the last 13 here in New York we will back the Patriots here tonight.

On Turkey Day the NFL Power System Play is on Dallas. Game 106 at 4:25 eastern. Line has been dropping all week in this game and is now down to -3 for Dallas. Here are the facts about this game. Dallas qualifies in numerous solid situations. Certain Turkey day favorites off back to back wins are 17-2 with 16 spread covers. Next we want to play on home favorites in short rest games that are -3 or more with a total of 42 or higher that scored 21 or more as a home favorite of 7 or more in their last game, vs an opponent that scored 21 or more as a home favorite in their last game. These home teams PERFECT since 1989 winning by an average 39-12 score. Tony Romo is just about unbeatable in November home games. Washington has lost 17 of the last 20 here in Dallas and could have a tough time with the short 3 day turnover in this game. Dallas is 10-1 ats on Thanksgiving day vs losing teams. Were Doing Dallas today.

On Thursday the Early Power Play is on the Detroit Lions. Game 104 at 12:30 eastern. The Texans are 9-1 this season and have not lost on the road. However this will be tough today coming into a noisy dome against a team that Must win this game in the Lions to keep their fading playoff hopes alive. Houston is 1-16 straight up in domes and 0-4 straight up and ats when the posted total is 49.5 or higher. They are Also winless losing both most recent Thursday games.The Texans are 0-8 ATS in franchise history on the road after a home game in which their defense stopped at least ten third down attempts. The Lions are off a tough loss to the Packers,blowing the lead late. The good thing for them is they are home with a chance to get the sour taste out of their mouths right away. The yardage stats are nearly even with the Lions having a slithg offensive edge and the Texans a defensive edge. Houston may have been looking past the Jags on Sunday needing a spirited Over time effort to get the win. This game is not nearly as crucial to them as it is the Lions. Take the Points and watch the Lions may pull the upset here.

On Monday the NBA Totals System is on the Under in the Indiana at Washington game. Rotation numbers 501/502 at 7:05 eastern. This game fits a solid system that has stayed under all nine times since 1995. We want to take the under for all home teams that scored 80 or less as a home dog of 4 or less, vs an opponent that scored 80 or less on the road and shot 45% or less. This system is averaging a shade over 163 points, so its no wonder qualifying teams go under the total. The Pacers have gone under in 17 of the last 22 November games, including 6 of the last 7. Washington has gone under in 4 of 5 off 3+ losses and 6 of 8 this season and all 3 vs Central division teams. These two played a low scoring game just over a a week ago with Both teams failing to score 90. Look for this game to stay under the total.





On Monday the NFL Totals system play is on the Under in the Chicago at San Francisco game. Rotation numbers 435/436 at 8:40 eastern. The Niners have played under in all 4 games vs winning teams and 3 of the last 4 Monday nighters. The Beard have played under in 15 of the last 16 as a road dog of 3.5 or more if playing off a loss. Chicago has never had much success here and will have a hard time scoring against what will be a swarming Niners defense, especially without Starting Qb Cutler. Their defense will have to rise to the occasion and keep them in this one and they are very capable of slowing down a San Francisco offense that will have starting Qb Alex Smith back. How healthy Smith is remains to be seen until he starts getting banged around. Look for low scoring and boring. Take the Under.

On Sunday night the Selection is on the Under in Baltimore at Pittsburgh game. Rotation numbers 433/434 at 8:30 eastern. This game fits the favorite flips system when a team goes from favorite to dog.
Overall when a

On Sunday the Late afternoon Teaser is 3 teams 10 points. Take the Patriots. Game 425 at 4:25 eastern to +1, the Broncos. Game 432 at 4:25 eastern to +2 and the Raiders. Game 430 at 4:05 eastern. to +15 ALL 3 MUST COVER THE TEASED LINES





The Broncos are 8-0 ATS since 2009 vs a team with fewer wins on the season when they won last week. The Broncos are the Chargers heads knowing they came back from a 24 point deficit on the road in San Diego on Monday night a few weeks back. Philip Rivers is a walking time bomb on any given play he could force a throw and provide a pick six. Denver may coast in this one if they get up early


The Patriots are 11-0 straight up at home since 1992 in games where the total is 49.5 or higher. The Colts have been solid of late but this will be a tough spot to win. Denver came and was smoked by 17 and the Pats were not happy about allowing over 30 here last week. Look for a much improved effort.




The Raiders are 9-0 ATS 2009 as a dog when they are off a loss in which they suffered a turnover margin of at least plus-two. Non Division Road favorites like the Saints Have failed to cover 12 of the last 14 times off certain home dog wins. This will be a tough sot against a Raiders team that can score right along with them

AFC Play on Cincy

On Sunday the NFC North Play is on the Lions. Game 414 at 1:00 eastern. The Lions fit 3 solid systems here this week. We want to play on division home dogs off a road favored loss, secondly we want to play on division home dogs that scored 20 or more in back to back games, vs an opponent off a win, and finally a play against system that applies to the Packers and all road favorites that are on a 4+ game win streak that lost their prior road game. Detroit needs this game and cant afford to fall any further back in the standings. The Yardage numbers are very close in this one and the situations favor the Lions. Take Detroit and the 4 points.

On Sunday the road warrior power play is on the Bengals. Game 427 at 1;00 eastern. The Bengals are the beneficiaries of a solid system that plays against the Chiefs and all teams that are at home off 3 or less point loss as a double digit road dog, as this system has cashed 29 of the last 35 applications. All teams at home in non division games that are favored or a dog of less than a touch down are 1-13 ats after facing the Steelers of late. With the Chiefs having one less day to prepare and coming off the tough overtime loss they may be deflated in this one. The Bengals will look to carry the momentum from their biggest win of the season over the Giants into this one. Take the Bengals.




On Sunday the Divisional Super System play is on Carolina. Game 418 at 1:00 eastern. The Panthers fit a 23-3 system here that plays on teams that are +3 to-3 and have revenge for a favored loss the last time these teams met, provided our team has a .250 or less win percentage. These teams get up for these revenges cashing 23 of 26 since 1983. The Panthers will look to rebound from blowout loss to Denver and should have an easier time against a Tampa Bay Team that has over achieved on offense the past few weeks and will not be able to sustain another 30 point effort. This is a potential flat spot for a Tampa Team that was blasted here 48-16 last year, before winning at home as a dog vs Carolina. The Bucs are 5-13 as road favorites of 3 or less and the Panthers have covered the last with revenge. Look for Carolina to Cash.

OFF SHORE STEAM ON THE NY. Jets at 1:00 eastern.

On Thursday the NFL Power system play is on the Buffalo Bills. Game 306 at 8:35 eastern. The Bills have the benefit of being home on short rest which is advantageous to them here more than the Dolphins who will have less time to prepare off the shellacking they took at home with Tennessee. We note that home favorites with 6 or less days of rest are 8-0 straight up and ats winning by an average 32-13 score if the home team had 250 or more passing yards and scored 21 or more points, vs an opponent that scored 21 or less as home favorite and rushed for less than 100 yards. Additionally road teams on short rest have lost and failed to cover 4 of the last 5 times off a home favored loss and scored 9 or less points. This is a tough spot for Miami even though they have some road trends in their favored, those are all on normal rest and this is a Thursday game so we put more stock into the Systems that pertain to the rest and preparation factors. The Bills have home loss revenge from late last season and they are 10-1 ats as a home favorite of 6 or less vs losing teams. The Bills are 17-0 ATS when they are off a game as an away dog in which they stopped their opponent on at least one goal-to-goal and did not allow 500+ yards of offense.Take Buffalo -2.5 in this one.

On Monday the NFL Power System Play is on the Steelers. Game 240 at 8:40 eastern. The Steelers fit all the subsets of one of my finest Monday night Systems. What we want to do is play on certain Monday night home favorites in a non division game, if they are off a win, vs an opponent off a 10 or more point loss and spread loss of 3 or more and the posted total is higher than 39. Home favorites of -4 or more that are coming in off a road dog win also with a total of 40 or higher have been solid through they years and Monday night non division favorites of 10 or more are 18-0 with 15 spread wins vs a .400 or less opponent. The Chiefs are winless to the spread in their last 3 trips here and have allowed 240 or more in every road game this season. The Steelers are 10-1 ats when scoring 24 or more. The Culprit of the Chiefs struggle this season has been Turnovers. They kill themselves on a weekly basis and do not force turnovers from their opponents. Look for the Steelers to build momentum from knocking off the Giants last week in New York in what should be a much easier spot for them. Lay it with Pittsburgh. Bonus total on the Under

On Sunday night the NFL Power Play is on Houston. Game 237 at 8:25 eastern. The Texans are 7-0 ats in non conference games off back to back wins, 4-0 ats vs teams off a win of 30 or more and 9-0 ats if they allowed 90 or less yards rushing in back to back games. In closely lined game at +3 to -3 the Texans are 7-0 ats. The Bears are 0-6 ats after scoring 40 or more with Coach Smith and may not have the benefit of turnovers vs a sound and poised Houston team. The Bears are 0-7 ats f they allowed 3 or more sacks in back to back games, Houston is a live dog with edges on both sides of the ball here tonight. Take the Texans.



On Sunday the NBA Power System Play is on the LA. Lakers. Game 510 at 9:35 eastern. The Lakers may be ready to roll now. They have fired coach Brown and promptly responded with a 24 point home blowout win. That win sets them up in a solid Power System that is 14-0 straight up and 13-0-1 and applies to home favorites of 5 or more with rest that scored 100 or more as a home favorite and shot 45% or less, vs an opponent off a home dog loss and scored 90 or less while shooting 40% or less. The Lakers have not lost to the spread since at least 1995 if playing at home after playing as a home favorite and scoring 100 or more on 45% or higher shooting. The Kings are 0-6 straight up and to the spread on the road after scoring 90 or less as a home dog, vs an opponent who scored 100 or more, losing by an a average 13 points. Look for the Lakers to crown the Kings tonight. Were Laker Takers tonight.

On Sunday the NFL Dog with Bite is on the NY. Jets. Game 231 at 4:05 eastern. The Jets know if they lose this one they are done as far as playoffs go. So you will see a spirited effort, similar to what we sat at New England in a game they nearly won before losing in Overtime as an 11 point dog. There solid Solid angles involved in this one, here we go. The Jets are 10-0 ATS Since 1997 when they are off a double-digit ATS loss in a game that had a total of less than 40. Seattle is 0-13 at if they allowed 21 or less in a game that went over the total by 10 or more points. The Seahawks are a lousy 0-17 ats if the total is less than 50 in a Sunday game and they scored 28 or more in an 8 or more point win in their last game. The Jets are 7-0 ats as a dog off a bye week. The Jets also fit a nice system here that has cashed 36 of 42 times and pertains to their home loss and the Seattle Win last week. Look for the Jets to get the cover at the very least in this one.

Sunday 3 Teams 10 POINT teaser. San Diego. Game 219 at 1:00 eastern. New England. Game 216 at 1;00 eastern. Dallas. Game 233 at 4:25 eastern. Chargers to +13, Patriots to -2 and Dallas to +8




The Chargers are 9-0 ATS as a dog when they swept a team last week. The Chargers are 7-0 ATS

as a dog the week after a straight up win at home as a favorite in which they attempted at least ten fewer passes than their season-to-date average. The Bucs are 0-7-1 ATS at home the week after in which they committed 100+ yards of penalties.




Cowboys at Eagles - The Cowboys are 10-0-1 ATS


the week after a game in which they allowed at least 300 yards passing. The Eagles are 0-8 ATS at home vs a divisional opponent when they faced non-divisional opponents in each of the previous two weeks.




The Patriots already defeated the Bills 52-28 in Buffalo and now get them here at home. With the 10 point tease taking this to -2 we should coast in this one. Angles and trends aside the Bills will be lucky to stay within 10 here today.

On Sunday the early AFC Play is on Tennessee. Game 223 at 1:00 eastern. The Titans apply to a solid system that plays on certain non division teams if both teams come in having lost to non divisional teams last out. Miami is an Amazing 0-18 ats as a favorite of -4.5 or more on Sunday over the last 9 years, 0-8 ats after losing to the Colts and 0-8 ats at home off a road game vs an opponent that has less wins then they do. This game is very even statistically with Miami having ever so slight edges. The Titans have covered 17 of the last 23 as a dog after playing as a dog in their last game. Look for Tennessee to Cover.

On Thursday the NFL Power system play is on the Jaguars. Game 106 at 8:25 eastern.The Jaguars are 10-0 ATS since November 2003 vs a divisional opponent when they face another divisional opponent next week. We also want to play against certain road favorites off a home dog win if that road favorite is on a 2+ game win streak. The Colts are a miserable 1-15 to the spread vs team that are .400 or less and have failed 6 of the last 7 in game 9 of the season. The Jags have covered 10 of the last 11 in November games off a double digit ats loss. The Jaguars will look to get their first win against a Colts team they beat earlier in the season on the road. Look for the Jags to stay in this game throughout and I would not be surprised to see them pull off the mild upset. Take the points.

On Monday night the NFC Power House Play is on the Eagles. Game 439 at 8:40 eastern. The Eagles have a tremendous edge on defense here over 130 yards. On Offense the edge for the Saints is minimal, less than 30 yards. The Eagles have far superior angles backing them here tonight as well. Philly has cashed 5 of the last 6 here and is 7-0 ats as a road dog vs a sub .500 opponent off a loss. The Eagles are 10-2 ats on the Monday night road vs an opponent off a loss. The Saints have failed to cover 12 of the last 13 times as a home favorite of eight or less off a loss of 10 or more. On Monday night the Saints have done well. However they are not the same Saints team and are 0-3 ats at home on Monday off a double digit ats loss and have failed to cover 4 of the last 5 at home on Monday night vs an opponent off a straight up and ats loss. The Saints will get their points. However the Eagles will have a much easier time matriculating up and down the field here tonight. Look for a complete effort on offense for an Eagles team that should feast on a Saints team that allows over 20 points just about every week. Take the Points with Philly.

On Sunday night our Selection is on Dallas. Game 437 ay 8;30 eastern.The Falcons are 0-15 ATS since 1989 when they are off a game in which the total was at least 44 points and they scored at least 8.5 points more than their average. Dallas is 9-0 ats vs the NFC South as long as they are not giving 7 or more and will want this one badly after coming back from 23 down only to lose on 2 late field goals to the Giants. The Falcons fit a system here that plays against teams off a win and a bye that have not lost yet this season. The Falcons will get a desperate Dallas team and they will fall to 0-10 ats off back to back teams vs teams under .500. Take Dallas tonight.

On Sunday the late Afternoon Power system play is on the Giants. Game 436 at 4:25 eastern. The Giants should be flat for this one. After all they followed up a huge win in San Francisco with close Division wins over Washington and Dallas. Now they have an AFC Foe in a game that wont mean nearly as much as the prior three right? WRONG. With the recent events and having the game played in New York after the Sandy Storm disaster Emotions will run high and their will be plenty of motivation to win one for the City. Don't believe it. Go watch the Knicks win followed by the Carmelo Anthony speech. Home teams have a tendency to rise up and turn in tremendous performances after such events.The Steelers are 0-14 ATS (-7.5 ppg) since 2006 on the road when they are off a game as a favorite in which they had fewer than ten incompletions.The Steelers are 0-11 ATS (-8.4 ppg) since 1990 as a 3+ road dog vs a team that has averaged at least 375 yards of offense per game season-to-date. Look for The Giants to get a solid win and cover today.

On Sunday the LEAD Power System Play is on the Bengals. Game 410 at 1;00 eastern. The Bengals fit a solid system that pertains to teams that have lost 3 in a row and were a winning team last season and has not lost more than two third of their games this season. The Broncos have failed to cover in 10 of 11 games off back to back wins and covers vs an opponent that is a losing team. The Bengals have covered 8 of 9 as a dog or more than 1.5 vs the AFC West. Bengals off the bye will be well prepared to in this one. Take the Bengals.

3 team 10 point Tease the Bengals to +14, Green Bay to -1 and Carolina to +13


On Sunday Take the Packers. Game 418 at 1:00 eastern.The Cardinals are 0-14 ATS as a road dog when they are off a game in which they suffered at least four sacks, as long as they had at least 170 yards of total offense. The Packers will win this one


On Sunday the NFC Play is on the Panthers. Game 425 at 1:00 eastern. The Panthers are 10-0 ATS (+9.8 ppg) in franchise history as a road dog on grass after a road game. The points are too much here take Carolina.

On Sunday the AFC Power Play is Indianapolis. Game420 at 1:00 eastern.The Colts are 14-0 ATS since 1989 when the line is within three of pick the week after a win in which they were down by at least three points at the half they also fit 3 tremensous systems. The best of which plays on certain home dogs off a road dog win at +7 or less, vs an opponent off a win. Miami has lost 12 straight after playing the Jets. The Colts have won 15 of 17 off a division road win. Miami comes in off a Big revenge win vs the Jets and this will be a tough spot for them. In the battle of rookie Quaterbacks will back Luck over Tannehill. Take the Colts.

OFF SHORE STEAM ON HOUSTON

On Thursday the NFL power System Play is on the KC. Chiefs. Game 310 at 8;25 eastern. We want to play against any home favorite off 3 or more straight up and ats losses, vs an opponent that is also 0-3 straight up in the last 3 and is coming off a an ats loss. The Chiefs have 17 point home loss revenge and are a solid 14-2 ats with division loss revenge if entering off a loss. Romeo Crennel is 8-1 to the spread on the road vs an opponent off 2 or more loses and Coach Turner for the Chargers has failed to cover in 12 of the last 14 as a favorite off a loss, vs an opponent off a loss by 10 or more. The Chargers have started their usual mid season swoon off a fast start and may win, but we cant lay the points in this one as San Diego is very inconsistent and the Chiefs are sitting on a big game off a disappointing home favored loss to the Raiders. Take the points in this one. Take the Chiefs.

On Monday night football the 92% Power totals system is on the Over. Game 243/244 at 8:40 eastern. This game fits a solid tech system illustrated below that plays to the over for home dogs that are off not playing off a bye week that scored 21 or less as a road dog of 3 or more with a total that was 38 or less, vs an opponent that scored 14 or less as a home favorite of 3 or more that also had a total of 38 or less. These games have flown over 12 of 13 times. If we insist the home dog is getting 3.5 or more that 12-1 is a perfect 9-0 since 1989. The Niners are averaging 25 points on the road and Arizona 21 here at home. The Cardinals have also flown over the total 4 of the last 5 times as a home dog from +3.5 to +7. Look for this game to go over the total tonight.


O/U: 12-1-0 (8.2) avg total: 35.8 +6: 12-1-0 (92.3%)


Final
Team: 24.7 94.1 32.2 17.2 197.8 2.4 4.5 4.6 3.0 4.4 16.5
Opp: 33.8 139.2 29.5 17.5 219.9 1.8 4.3 9.5 4.9 8.5 27.5

On Sunday night the NFL Super System Side is on Denver. Game 242 at 8:30 eastern. The Extra week to prepare for the Saints offense will be very beneficial to a Denver defense that is already 136 yards better statistically. The Saints may very well be without star tight end J. Graham for this one. Now for our Masterpiece. We want to play on any home team that scored 35 or more as a road team with a line that was +3 to -3 vs an opponent that also scored 35 or more on the road. These home teams have covered every time and win by an average 14 points per game. The Saints have failed to cover 5 of the last 6 as a dog off a division road win. The Broncos are 6-1 ats with rest off a win vs an opponent off a win and 18-6 ats overall off a bye week. The Broncos may put up huge numbers vs that Saints defense. Look for Denver to get the win and cover.

On Sunday the Top totals Play of the day is on the Under in the Chargers at Browns game. Rotation numbers 225/ 226 at 1:05 eastern. The system for this game is to play the under in games where the total is 39 or higher and one team is off a bye week like the Chargers are that allowed 30 or more points in back to back games. Look for the Chargers defense to play much better and this one to stay under the total.




NFL Power Angle total Over Seattle at Detroit. Game 229/230 at 1:00 eastern.The Lions are 19-0 (+10.2 ppg) since October 2000 when they are off a game in which they punted at least seven times and held their opponent to fewer than 20 points.

On Sunday the AFC Play is on the San Diego Chargers. Game 225 at 1:00 eastern. The Chargers fit some solid systems here today. We want to play on teams off a Monday night football loss if they scored 24 or more in the loss. The Chargers are off a bye week and perhaps the worse collapse in their history blowing a Huge lead in a loss to the Broncos. They will look to get the bad taste out of their mouths knowing they are 4-1 straight up and ats off a Monday night game and 13-5 ats as a road favorite of 3 or less. The Browns fit a negative system that plays against home teams from +3 to -3 if they are off 1 or more games that went under and are playing a team that allows 14 or more points in the first half. These home teams are 3-23 ats. The Chargers are 12-1 ats in the road if the last 2 games they played in had 50 or more points scored. The Browns are 4-12 ats from +3 to -3 and are 1-7 straight up in the series. The new version of the Brwons is 1-7 ats vs The AFC West and the Chargers are 12-2 ats after playing Denver. Finally we note the Chargers are 11-0 at off a home loss vs a team with less wins than they have. Chargers win and cover today.

3 Team 10 point Terminator Teaser is on Miami to +12.5. Game 231 at 1:00 eastern. There are 3 solid systems and a 17-0 angles in this one. The Jets and all home favorites are in a play against mode off a road overtime loss. Additionally we want tom play against any home teams that lost by 3 or less as a double digit road dog. We went against the Raiders in that role and cashed with the Jags last week. The Dolphins are 17-0 ATS as a dog when they are off a game in which their defense stifled at least ten third down attempts and recorded at least one sack. Three of those wins were against the Jets. Game 2 is on the Dallas Cowboys to +12.5. Game 240 at 4:25 eastern. The Giants are 0-4 ats off 3 wins and 1-7 ats as division favorites of late. Dallas has covered 9 straight division games if scored 20 or less and opponent has double revenge. Game 3 of this teaser is on the Colts to +13.5. Game 221 at 1:00 eastern. The Colts are 11-0 ATS since November 2008 on the road when they are off a win as a home favorite in which they failed on fewer than three red zone attempts and fewer than two goal-to-go attempts. The Titans are 0-10 ATS (-11.0 ppg) since September 10, 2000 as a favorite when one game under 500. Miami +12.5, Dallas +12.5 And Indy +13.5

On Thursday the NFL Totals System Play is on the Under in the Tampa Bay at Minnesota game. Rotation numbers 103/104 at 8:25 eastern. Since 1996 had you played the under for road dogs that scored 21 or more points as a home dog or favorite from -3 to +3 that had 100 or less yards rushing, vs an opponent that had 150 or more yards rushing as a home favorite. You would have cashed Every time. Tampa has stayed under in 10 of 12 vs winning teams, 4 of 5 vs NFC North teams and the last 4 times on 6 or less days rest. The Vikings have stayed under in 4 of 5 vs NFC South teams and 8 of the last 10 when the total is 35.5 to 42. Look for this one to go under the total tonight.

On Monday night in the NFL the totals system play is on the under in the Detroit at Chicago game. Rotation numbers 437/438 at 8:30 eastern. This game fits a never lost totals system that plays to the under for all home teams that scored 35 or more as a road favorite in their last game, vs an opponent that scored 21 or more as a road dog if both teams passed for 250 or more yards in their last game. These games have been solid Under plays and the games have averaged 26 points per game. While I think their will be more than that scored in this one, I do think the under is the right way to go in this one, as both teams have good run defenses. The Lions have posted under in 8 of 10 Monday night appearances. Look for this one to stay under the total tonight.

On Sunday night the AFC North Super system play is on the Steelers. Game 435 at 8:20 eastern. This game fits a 100% System that plays on road teams from -3 to +3 if both teams were on the road in their last game and rushed for less than 100 yards while passing for 250 or more yards. Since 1989 these teams have covered every road game. The Steelers have extra rest for this one with Cincy off a tough turnover filled loss to Cleveland. The Steelers are 3-0 straight up as a road favorite of 3 or less the past few seasons and the Bengals are 2-10 straight up in games where the total is 42.5 to 49. The Bengals are 0-5 after allowing 30 or more. The Steelers have cashed 10 off 11 here. The Steelers have won 17 of 21 in the series and are a perfect 10-0 if off 1 loss vs the Bengals. Look for the Steelers to get the cash tonight.

On Sunday the NFL Super System Play is on Jacksonville. Game 434 at 4;25 eastern. The Raiders appear to be the victims one of of my favorite system that pertains to teams as road dogs of 10 or more that are off a loss of 3 or less, if they are home in their next game vs an opponent off a loss. These Dejected homers carry the heart breaking close loss over to the next week and have a tough time covering. With a subset or two they fail over 90% of the time. Oakland is 1-13 ats vs losing teams and has lost 4 of the last 5 vs AFC South teams. They are also 1-11 ats vs teams off back to back losses like the Jaguars. The Jags have won the last 2 times off a bye and have won 4 of 5 in this series vs Oakland. Take the Points in this one.

On Sunday the AFC Play is on Baltimore. Game 421 at 1:00 eastern. No, We did not lose our minds. We are aware Baltimore is without 2 defensive starters including Ray Lewis. However this is more than built into the line today. The Ravens are getting 7 here and we have a solid system that has cashed every time and pertains to teams like Houston un week 6 or later that are -7 or less and off their first loss. There are a few more parameters to this one, just as there were last week when this one was in play with Arizona in this same spot in their loss to Buffalo. Houston is 1-8 ats in weeks 5-9 at home and has lost and failed to cover in all 3 here in the series. Baltimore will have the advantage of shock value in their first game without Lewis. They have covered 7 of 10 on the road with a total of 45.5 to 49 and are 8-2 straight up in weeks 5-9, including 7-0 ats off a win vs an opponent off a favored loss. Coach Harbaugh is 5-1 to the spread as a dog vs an opponent off a loss. Green Bay exposed a Houston weakness in pass defense something Flacco will surely take advantage of. As we saw last week with the Niners and Giants, just because one team has playoff revenge it does not mean they will win and cover. Take the points in this one.

On Sunday the NFL Totals Play is on the Over in the Dallas at Carolina game. Rotation numbers 425/426 at 1:00 eastern. The Cowboys are 17-0 OU when they are off a game vs an AFC opponent in which they scored more than 20 points, as long as they did not lose the game by two-plus TDs. Dallas has gone over in 7 of 10 October games, 5 of 6 in Game 6, and 5 of 6 off a non conference road game. Carolina has flown over in 7 of 10 at home vs NFC East teams and 3 of 4 off a home favored loss. In the series 4 of 6 here have played over and the Panthers have played over 75% of the time as a home dog of 3 or less. Look for a high scoring game. Take Dallas at Carolina to fly over the total today,



O/U: 17-0-0 (11.3) avg total: 44.8


Final
Team: 25.6
Opp: 26.4

Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot
SUN 15 2005 DAL WAS A 0-7 0-21 0-7 7-0 7-35 0 +35' -28 -28 +6' -10.8 17.2 L L O 0
SUN 5 2006 DAL PHI A 7-10 14-7 0-7 3-14 24-38 +2 +43' -14 -12 +18' 3.2 15.2 L L O 0
MON 7 2006 DAL NYG H 0-9 7-3 0-14 15-10 22-36 -3' +45 -14 -17' +13 -2.2 15.2 L L O 0
THUR 12 2006 DAL TB H 7-7 14-3 14-0 3-0 38-10 -12' +39 28 +15' +9 12.2 -3.2 W W O 0
SUN 3 2007 DAL CHI A 0-3 3-0 14-7 17-0 34-10 +3 +42 24 +27 +2 14.5 -12.5 W W O 0
SUN 6 2007 DAL NE H 0-14 17-7 7-10 3-17 27-48 +4' +52 -21 -16' +23 3.2 19.8 L L O 0
THUR 13 2007 DAL GB H 13-10 14-7 0-7 10-3 37-27 -7 +51' 10 +3 +12' 7.8 4.8 W W O 0
MON 2 2008 DAL PHI H 14-6 10-24 7-0 10-7 41-37 -6' +47 4 -2' +31 14.2 16.8 W L O 0
SUN 6 2008 DAL ARZ A 0-7 7-0 7-7 10-10 24-30 -5 +49' -6 -11 +4' -3.2 7.8 L L O 1
SUN 17 2008 DAL PHI A 3-3 0-24 0-17 3-0 6-44 +1' +42' -38 -36' +7' -14.5 22.0 L L O 0
SUN 7 2009 DAL ATL H 0-7 17-0 7-7 13-7 37-21 -5 +47' 16 +11 +10' 10.8 -0.2 W W O 0
SUN 13 2009 DAL NYG A 0-0 10-14 7-7 7-10 24-31 -1 +45' -7 -8 +9' 0.8 8.8 L L O 0
SUN 5 2010 DAL TEN H 3-10 7-7 7-3 10-14 27-34 -6' +42' -7 -13' +18' 2.5 16.0 L L O 0
SUN 6 2010 DAL MIN A 7-7 7-0 0-14 7-3 21-24 +1' +44 -3 -1' +1 -0.2 1.2 L L O 0
SUN 14 2010 DAL PHI H 7-7 3-7 10-3 7-13 27-30 +3' +50' -3 +0' +6' 3.5 3.0 L W O 0
SUN 2 2011 DAL SF A 0-0 7-14 7-7 10-3 27-24 -3 +42' 3 0 +8' 4.2 4.2 W P O 1
SUN 11 2011 DAL WAS A 7-0 3-14 0-3 14-7 27-24 -7 +41' 3 -4 +9' 2.8 6.8 W L O 1
SUN 7 2012 DAL CAR A -2 +45

On Thursday the NFL Totals Play is on the Under in the Seattle At San Francisco game. Rotation numbers 303/304 at 8:25 eastern. This game fits 2 Perfect Totals systems that pertain to the under. First we want to play the under for road dogs like Seattle with 6 or less days of rest that scored 21 or more as a home dog, vs an opponent that scored 21 or less at home. This system is perfect and the games have averaged 28 points. Second we will play the under for home favorites of 10 or less like the Niners that scored 14 or less at home and rushed for under 100 yards, vs an opponent that scored 21 or more at home in their last game and also rushed for under 100 yards. This system is also perfect and they both date to 1989. Now for some angles we note that Seattle has stayed under in all 5 conference games this season and all 3 of their road games have stayed under 36 points. The Niners have played under in their last 5 Thursday games and 9 of 13 vs teams with a winning record. The Niners will probably score more in this one than they did vs the Giants and will also play much better on defense. Seattle has been solid on defense and will have trouble scoring here. Look for a low scoring game resulting in the Under.

On Monday the NFL power System Play is on Denver. Game 233 at 8;40 eastern. You would think in such a closely lined game it would be difficult to get such a clear cut system side. However, we dash to the database and take the guess work out. This line could fluctuate from + to -1 for either team by game time. So we go right to a system that is specific to games from -3 to +3. Here we go. We want to play on road teams like Denver that are +3 to -3 and scored 21 or more on the road last week and passed for 250 or more yards, vs an opponent that was a road dog of 3 or more in their last game, which San Diego was in their loss to the Saints. These teams as illustrated below are 12-2 straight up and 13-0-1 to the spread. The Road team in this series has won 5 of the last 6. Peyton Manning has won all 8 times from -3 to +3 in Monday night affairs. Coach Turner for the Chargers has lost and failed to cover all 5 times as a divisional favorite of 3 or less and has been also a solid play against as a favorite when taking on a team off a loss of 10 or more. Denver also showed as a simulation winner on the Computer analysis. In this AFC West battle look for the Broncos to get the cash. DO DENVER.


SU: 12-2-0 (9.8)
ATS: 13-0-1 (10.4) avg line: 0.6


Final
Team: 30.1
Opp: 22.8

Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot
SUN 2 1990 STL TB A 14-0 14-7 7-0 0-7 35-14 -3 +47 21 +18 +2 10.0 -8.0 W W O 0
SUN 3 1994 BUF HOU A 0-0 9-0 3-0 3-7 15-7 +2' +44' 8 +10' -22' -6.0 -16.5 W W U 0
SUN 4 1997 RAI NYJ A 6-3 16-7 0-6 0-7 22-23 +1' +46 -1 +0' -1 -0.2 -0.8 L W U 0
SUN 16 1997 DET MIN A 0-7 7-6 0-0 7-0 14-13 +1 +46 1 +2 -19 -8.5 -10.5 W W U 0
SUN 10 2000 DEN NYJ A 10-0 10-10 3-10 7-3 30-23 +3 +46 7 +10 +7 8.5 -1.5 W W O 0
SUN 12 2001 SF IND A 3-7 17-7 7-7 13-0 40-21 +2' +52 19 +21' +9 15.2 -6.2 W W O 0
MON 14 2004 KC TEN A 0-7 14-14 14-7 21-10 49-38 -1 +52' 11 +10 +34' 22.2 12.2 W W O 0
SUN 2 2005 STL ARZ A 7-3 3-3 7-3 0-3 17-12 +1 +44' 5 +6 -15' -4.8 -10.8 W W U 0
SUN 9 2008 ARZ STL A 0-7 24-0 7-0 3-6 34-13 -3 +50 21 +18 -3 7.5 -10.5 W W U 0
SUN 3 2009 IND ARZ A 0-3 21-0 7-7 3-0 31-10 +2' +48' 21 +23' -7' 8.0 -15.5 W W U 0
SUN 11 2009 PHI CHI A 10-0 0-9 7-11 7-0 24-20 -3 +45 4 +1 -1 0.0 -1.0 W W U 0
SUN 12 2009 ARZ TEN A 0-3 3-3 7-7 7-7 17-20 +3 +45 -3 0 -8 -4.0 -4.0 L P U 0
SUN 11 2011 RAI MIN A 3-7 21-0 3-0 0-14 27-21 0 +45' 6 +6 +2' 4.2 -1.8 W W O 0
SUN 4 2012 CIN JAC A 3-0 14-7 0-3 10-0 27-10 +1 +44' 17 +18 -7' 5.2 -12.8 W W U 0
MON 6 2012 DEN SD A +1 +49'

On Sunday the Late Play is on the Packers. Game 231 at 8:30 eastern. Last week we nailed New Orleans over San Diego in this spot. This week we go to a live dog in Green Bay. The Texas apply to a Solid system direct from the database that plays against any home team that was a road favorite by 7 or more in their last game, vs an opponent that scored 21 or more as a road favorite in their last game. These home teams are 2-13 ats since 1989. If we insist that the home teams had 150 or more yards rushing in their last game the system is Perfect against the home teams. Houston is also 1-5 to the spread in the first of back to back home games and 1-5 ats as a home favorite off a road loss. Even worse they are 0-8 to the spread vs .400 or less non conference teams. The Packers have won 5 of 6 in game 6 of the season and are opposite Houston at 8-0 to the spread vs .500 or better non conference opponents. They have also won 12 of 15 vs winning teams overall. With the Packers having covered 5 of the last 6 as a dog we will. BACK The PACK Tonight.

On Sunday Double System Super Pack is on Seattle. Game 224 at 4:05 eastern and the NY Giants. Game 229 at 4:25 eastern. Seattle fits several variations of the Home dog off a road dog win vs an opponent off a home win systems. The Patriots fit the play against the super bowl loser as a non division road favorite vs a winning team system that has been a Huge money maker through the years. Seattle has covered 11 of 12 before playing on the division road and 11 of 12 home vs non conference teams. Seattle is much tougher here with the loud crowd than they are on the road. The Patriots could be stuck in a flat spot with a big one on deck next week. Take Seattle. Game 2 of the pack has the Giants as we play against teams like the Niners that have allowed 3 or less points combined in their last 2 games. The Niners put up a ton of points the last 2 weeks in a pair of Blowout wins and will be hard pressed to duplicate those performances. Teams who have allowed 3 or less combined in back to back games have Never covered long term vs teams who scored 17 or more last out. Add in the fact that Super Bowl champs as a dog off back to back wins have been money. These teams do not need the point in many cases. Look for a tight game with the Giants in it the whole way. Take New York.

On Sunday the NFL Dog is on Buffalo. Game 225 at 4:05 eastern. There is a huge System Subset that is 22-0 and plays against Arizona and all Favorites of 7 or less that are in week 6 or later that come in off their first loss, there are a few more parameters to this one that gets it Perfect but the base system is solid enough. The Bills have the edge on offense while Arizona has it on defense. The Cardinals may be deflated off the loss last week and The Bills are 17-7 ats vs NFC West teams and have covered 4 of the last 5 in the series, They are also a Fabulous 6-0 ats as a dog of 3.5 or more off a loss and scored 7 or less last out. The Bills will want to get the bitter taste of last weeks 45 point blowout loss out of their mouth and will give Arizona all they can handle in this one. Take the Points with the Bills.