On Sunday the NFL Dog is on Buffalo. Game 225 at 4:05 eastern. There is a huge System Subset that is 22-0 and plays against Arizona and all Favorites of 7 or less that are in week 6 or later that come in off their first loss, there are a few more parameters to this one that gets it Perfect but the base system is solid enough. The Bills have the edge on offense while Arizona has it on defense. The Cardinals may be deflated off the loss last week and The Bills are 17-7 ats vs NFC West teams and have covered 4 of the last 5 in the series, They are also a Fabulous 6-0 ats as a dog of 3.5 or more off a loss and scored 7 or less last out. The Bills will want to get the bitter taste of last weeks 45 point blowout loss out of their mouth and will give Arizona all they can handle in this one. Take the Points with the Bills.

On Sunday Double System Super Pack is on Seattle. Game 224 at 4:05 eastern and the NY Giants. Game 229 at 4:25 eastern. Seattle fits several variations of the Home dog off a road dog win vs an opponent off a home win systems. The Patriots fit the play against the super bowl loser as a non division road favorite vs a winning team system that has been a Huge money maker through the years. Seattle has covered 11 of 12 before playing on the division road and 11 of 12 home vs non conference teams. Seattle is much tougher here with the loud crowd than they are on the road. The Patriots could be stuck in a flat spot with a big one on deck next week. Take Seattle. Game 2 of the pack has the Giants as we play against teams like the Niners that have allowed 3 or less points combined in their last 2 games. The Niners put up a ton of points the last 2 weeks in a pair of Blowout wins and will be hard pressed to duplicate those performances. Teams who have allowed 3 or less combined in back to back games have Never covered long term vs teams who scored 17 or more last out. Add in the fact that Super Bowl champs as a dog off back to back wins have been money. These teams do not need the point in many cases. Look for a tight game with the Giants in it the whole way. Take New York.

NFL OFF SHORE STEAM TOTAL OVER 42.5 PATS AND SEAHAWKS

On Sunday the Blowout Play is On Miami. Game 222 at 1:00 eastern. Where playing again's the Rams here as they fit a bevy of system that pertain to low lined dogs that are off back to back dogs wins. The Rams pulled a pair of upset home dog wins against division rivals Seattle and Arizona and may bot be nearly as focused for a non conference road game. They are 7-20 ats as a road dog from 3.5 to 7. Miami has won and covered the last 3 here in the series and comes in off a solid win themselves. While I'm aware that Rookie Quaterbacks have not fared well when favored this season I feel that trend can quickly turn. There is one system that is super rare and has applied just 7 times since 1980 and plays against certain non conference teams off back to back dogs wins. Miami should win and cover and may win by double digits here. Make it Miami.







On Sunday the Dog with Bite that Wins Outright is on Kansas City. The Chiefs fit one my favorite dog systems that plays on dogs that scored 7 or less points but still managed to cover the spread. They also own all the Power Angles in this one. The Chiefs are 14-1 ats in October games off a loss and 9-0 ats vs NFC Teams off a loss. Coach Crennel has covered 9 of 10 on the road off back to back losses. The Bucs are 1-9 straight up and ats off back to back losses and 0-8 ats as a non conference favorite of more than 3. They have lost the last 5 years in game 5 of the season. Finally we want to play against home favorites off back to back losses that have rest. Take the Chiefs in this one.

On Sunday the Blowout Play is On Miami. Game 222 at 1:00 eastern. Where playing again's the Rams here as they fit a bevy of system that pertain to low lined dogs that are off back to back dogs wins. The Rams pulled a pair of upset home dog wins against division rivals Seattle and Arizona and may bot be nearly as focused for a non conference road game. They are 7-20 ats as a road dog from 3.5 to 7. Miami has won and covered the last 3 here in the series and comes in off a solid win themselves. While I'm aware that Rookie Quaterbacks have not fared well when favored this season I feel that trend can quickly turn. There is one system that is super rare and has applied just 7 times since 1980 and plays against certain non conference teams off back to back dogs wins. Miami should win and cover and may win by double digits here. Make it Miami.







On Sunday the Dog with Bite that Wins Outright is on Kansas City. The Chiefs fit one my favorite dog systems that plays on dogs that scored 7 or less points but still managed to cover the spread. They also own all the Power Angles in this one. The Chiefs are 14-1 ats in October games off a loss and 9-0 ats vs NFC Teams off a loss. Coach Crennel has covered 9 of 10 on the road off back to back losses. The Bucs are 1-9 straight up and ats off back to back losses and 0-8 ats as a non conference favorite of more than 3. They have lost the last 5 years in game 5 of the season. Finally we want to play against home favorites off back to back losses that have rest. Take the Chiefs in this one.

On Thursday we "Remember the Titans" Game 102 at 8:25 eastern. The Titans are 11-0 ATS in franchise history when they are off a road game in which they scored fewer than ten points, had more than 25 yards rushing and committed at least two turnovers. The Steelers apply to a system that is 1-13 ats that plays against all road teams with short rest off a home game where they scored 21 or less vs an opponent off a road game and scored less than 10 and had less than 100 yards Rushing. Where else would you fing system and material like this. I looked for every reason to like thr Steelers here. I even querirs how thye do in their last 15 games as a road favorite when they win the game, and still they are ust 8-7 ats. The Steelers are 2-9 ats as a non division favorite of -3 or more and have dropped 9 of 10 to the spread in games before playing the Bengals. The Titans have covered 5 of 6 on Thursday since 1992. Take the points. The Titans will likely be a 7 point dog by game time.


SU: 9-2-0 (8.4)
ATS: 11-0-0 (7.4)

Team: 35.6
Opp: 19.1

Day Week Season
SUN 13 1997 TEN BUF H 14-0 7-7 3-0 7-7 31-14 -3' +36' 17 +13' +8' 11.0 -2.5 W W O 0
SUN 10 1999 TEN CIN A 14-0 0-0 10-7 0-7 24-14 -9 +34' 10 +1 +3' 2.2 1.2 W W O 0
SUN 6 2001 TEN TB H 7-0 10-7 0-7 11-14 31-28 -2' +33 3 +0' +26 13.2 12.8 W W O 1
SUN 9 2001 TEN JAC H 7-0 0-17 7-0 14-7 28-24 -3 +37' 4 +1 +14' 7.8 6.8 W W O 0
SUN 3 2003 TEN NO H 10-2 3-3 7-0 7-7 27-12 -4' +43' 15 +10' -4' 3.0 -7.5 W W U 0
SUN 8 2004 TEN CIN H 0-3 13-0 14-10 0-7 27-20 -3 +40 7 +4 +7 5.5 1.5 W W O 0
SUN 2 2005 TEN BAL H 7-0 6-0 3-3 9-7 25-10 +3' +36' 15 +18' -1' 8.5 -10.0 W W U 0
SUN 3 2006 TEN MIA A 0-3 7-0 3-7 0-3 10-13 +10' +35' -3 +7' -12' -2.5 -10.0 L W U 0
SUN 10 2006 TEN BAL H 12-7 14-10 0-0 0-10 26-27 +7 +38 -1 +6 +15 10.5 4.5 L W O 0
SUN 13 2007 TEN TEX H 7-7 0-3 14-0 7-10 28-20 -3' +42' 8 +4' +5' 5.0 0.5 W W O 0
SUN 8 2009 TEN JAC H 3-0 10-7 10-6 7-0 30-13 -3 +44' 17 +14 -1' 6.2 -7.8 W W U 0
THUR 6 2012 TEN PIT H +6' +43


1-13 ATS System plays against the Steelers.
SUN 4 1991 HOU NE A 3-3 3-14 0-0 14-7 20-24 -12' +38 -4 -16' +6 -5.2 11.2 L L O 0
SAT 17 1994 PHI CIN A 3-7 17-3 7-10 3-13 30-33 +1 +36 -3 -2 +27 12.5 14.5 L L O 0
SAT 17 1994 SEA CLE A 0-7 0-14 3-7 6-7 9-35 +10' +33' -26 -15' +10' -2.5 13.0 L L O 0
THUR 14 1996 WAS DAL A 0-0 3-7 7-7 0-7 10-21 +9 +42 -11 -2 -11 -6.5 -4.5 L L U 0
SUN 9 1997 IND SD A 0-3 0-9 6-14 13-9 19-35 +6 +37' -16 -10 +16' 3.2 13.2 L L O 0
SUN 12 1997 PHI BAL A 0-7 0-0 3-0 7-3 10-10 +2' +41 0 +2' -21 -9.2 -11.8 P W U 1
SUN 11 1999 NE MIA A 7-3 3-7 7-14 0-3 17-27 +3 +37 -10 -7 +7 0.0 7.0 L L O 0
FRI 16 1999 DAL NO A 0-10 7-0 17-7 0-14 24-31 -9 +37' -7 -16 +17' 0.8 16.8 L L O 0
SAT 17 2000 SF DEN A 0-0 0-17 0-21 9-0 9-38 +7' +50' -29 -21' -3' -12.5 9.0 L L U 0
SUN 16 2001 NO TB A 0-17 0-13 7-3 14-15 21-48 +3 +38 -27 -24 +31 3.5 27.5 L L O 0
SUN 9 2002 PHI CHI A 0-0 7-13 6-0 6-0 19-13 -7 +38' 6 -1 -6' -3.8 -2.8 W L U 0
SUN 3 2005 DAL SF A 0-7 12-17 7-7 15-0 34-31 -6' +40' 3 -3' +24' 10.5 14.0 W L O 0
SAT 16 2011 STL PIT A 0-3 0-7 0-3 0-14 0-27 +12 +34' -27 -15 -7' -11.2 3.8 L L U 0
SUN 4 2012 SEA STL A 7-3 0-10 3-3 3-3 13-19 -2 +39 -6 -8 -7 -7.5 0.5 L L U 0
THUR 6 2012 PIT TEN A -6' +43

On Monday the NFL Power system Play is on the NY. Jets plus the points. Game 436 at 8:35 eastern. Teams like the Jets off a home loss by 2 dozen or more points bounce back big in right back home games, vs an opponent who comes in off a win. If the home team get more than a field goal the system really sky rockets. The Jets were so pathetic on offense last week and rushed for under 50 yards and passed for slightly over 100 yards. In fact home dogs off a home dog loss that rushed for less than 50 yards and passed for less than 150 have won straight up every time if the total is 44 or less. The Jets have won all 5 meetings in the series and are 3-0 vs AFC South teams. Coach Ryan has won 5 of the last 6 vs an undefeated team and the Texans have failed to cover every time in October games off a win and cover vs a non divisional opponent. Backed with the 2 systems and the 4 Power Angles we will take the points in this one.

On Sunday night the NFL Power system play is on the Saints at 8:35 eastern. We want to play on 0-4 teams in week 5 that were installed as favorites as these teams finally break through to the tune of 80% win and cover if they were a playoff team last season and lost their last game by 6 or less points. The Saints have covered the last 10 times off a loss if their opponent is a winning team. The Chargers are 1-7 to the spread on the road vs teams that are .333 or less if they scored 35 or more in their last game. Chargers are a nice team but not good enough to start 3-0 on the road.

On Sunday the NFL Road warrior System play is on the Titans. Game 419 at 4:25 eastern. The Titans are the beneficiaries of some solid technical systems that plays against the Vikings in this one. Week 5 teams off a pair of dog wins have been money vs an opponent that had a winning percentage of .400 or less last season. The Vikes have failed to cover the last 6 times as a team when playing off back to back dog wins. The Titans fit a nice week 5 system that plays on 1-3 teams off a loss vs an opponent off a win that has at least one win. There is no surprise that teams coming home vs a non conference team struggle off a big road division dog win. The Vikings struggled at home in their opener vs a very mediocre Jacksonville team. Take the points today with the Titans.

On Sunday the NFL Early Power System Winner is on the Pittsburgh Steelers. Game 414 at 1:00 eastern. The Steelers are rested and ready and have covered 6 of 7 off a straight up favored loss vs a non conference team. The Eagles may be flat off the big division win vs the Giants and they are 1-6 to the spread as non conference dogs of 9 or less. Even worse we want to play against teams as a dog of 3 or more after beating the defending Super Bowl champions as these teams turn up flat as a pan cake having lost 30 of the last 34 times. The Steelers fit a nice system that plays on non division favorites that scored 20 or more before their bye week as these teams rested teams have covered 27 of the last 32 times over a 29 year period. The Tomlin, Rothlisberger combo are 9-0 straight up and to the spread off 1 exact loss of late. Look for the Steelers to rebound and get the win and cover.

On Sunday the NFC power System Side is on Washington. Game 412 at 1;00 eastern. The Redskins fit a plethora of systems pertaining to home dogs off a road dog win vs an opponent off a home win. Atlanta fits a negative system that plays against road favorites of -3 or less off a home favored win and spread loss vs an opponent like the Skins off a win which has cased 20 of the last 24 times. The Falcons have lost and failed to cover 14 of the last 16 times vs an NFC East team if both they and their opponent won their last game. As we seen on Thursday night in our 5* Rams selection, these short prided 4-0 road favorites are no cinch to get win number 5. Washington is 7-1 to the spread in October off a dog win vs a winning team, and 5-1 ats as non division home dogs of 3 or more. Look for Washington to get the cash here today.

On Sunday the NFL Rest system side is on the Colts. Game 416 at 1:00 eastern. The Colts fit a huge rest system that play on home dogs of 6 or more off a bye week vs an opponent with no rest. These home dogs are 25-6 to the spread. These rested home teams are also 7-0 straight up and ats if getting 2.5 or more and come in off a home loss. The Packers have failed to cover 6 of 7 as a road favorite of more than 6. Even worse are teams that are 2-2 off one exact win if they had a win percentage of .800 or higher last season. These teams are 2-8 ats since 1977. The Packers have failed to cover 4 straight in the series here. The Colts have covered 7 of 8 in October games if getting 5 or more vs a winning team. Look for the Colts to keep this one close today.

On Thursday the NFL Triple System Super Side is on the Rams. Game 302 at 8:25 eastern. This game fits 3 Powerful systems here tonight. What we want to do is play against certain road favorites like the Cardinals that are off a home favored win and spread loss, vs an opponent off a win in their last game. These road favorites are just 4-20 ats long term. Another Highly Successful system plays on home dogs off a home dog win, vs an opponent off a home favored win. Finally our perfect system plays on all home teams from -3 to +3 that that scored 21 or less at home in their last game and rushed for less than 100 yards, vs an opponent that scored 21 or more at home and rushed for less than 50 yards. These home teams are flawless to the spread. Arizona coach Whisenhunt is 1-7 ats off back to back wins. The Rams are 5-1 ats home off a dog win and have improved on defense in each of the last 3 games. Arizona has lost the only two times they have played on Thursday. Look for St. Louis to to take this one here tonight

On Thursday the NFL Totals system is to play over the total in the Arizona at St. Louis game 301/302 at 8:25 eastern. This game fits another cutting edge system that plays to the over for home dogs that rushed for less than 100 yards at home in their last game, vs an opponent that scored 21 or more at home in their last game and also rushed for less than 100 yards. In a week shortened game the offenses tend to have the advantage. Look for this one to play over the total

On Monday the NFL Power system play is on the Dallas Cowboys. Game 232 at 8:35 eastern. The Cowboys fit a solid week 4 system that pertains to teams off back to back spread losses, vs an opponent off an ats win and scored 19 or more. Dallas has lost their ground game after starting big against the Giants. Dallas does have edges on both sides of the ball and has won and covered 3 of the 4 here at home vs Chicago. The Bears are 0-6 ats after allowing 10 or less points and just 2-16 ats after a game where they were favored by 7 or more and had 1 or less turnovers. On Monday nights the Bears are 3-9 ats on the road off a win and cover and 3-11 to the spread on the road vs non division teams. Look for Dallas to get the win and cover here tonight.

On Sunday the NFC East Power Side is on the Giants. Game 229 at 8:30 eastern. The Giants are well rested in this one and we note that Divisional dogs or favorites of less than 7 in September games have failed to cover in 20 of 22 times if they .500 or worse last season and did not lose in the preseason this year. The Giants also fit a superb system that plays on teams off a win and cover on Thursday vs an opponent off a loss and failed cover. The Eagles also fit another negative system that plays against home teams with a +3 to-3 line if they are off 1 or more unders and allow 14 or more points in the first half. These home teams are 3-22 to the spread. The Eagles are 0-9 ats at home vs division teams off a non division road game and 1-6 ats as favorites vs an opponent off 2 or more wins that last as a dog. The Eagles are 0-4 the last 4 times playing off 1 exact loss and the Giants are 5-0 as dogs off a spread win by 10 or more vs winning division teams. I thing we have all heard enough. Take the Giants in this one.

On Sunday the NFL System Play is on Miami. Game 219 at 4:05 eastern. Miami fits a few system here today. Taking a look at one we want to play against Non division favorites off 3 straight dog wins if they are -4 or more. These teams like Arizona have lost 8 of 9 times to the spread the last 32 years. Miami has cashed 8 of times vs any team off 3+ wins. The Cardinals have failed to cover all 5 times in non division games as favorites off a dog win. Coach Whisenhunt is 0-5 ats laying a field goal or more when off at least 2 wins. Finally the Cardinals are 1-7 ats off a double digit ats win vs losing teams. Miami has a solid defense and that will keep them in this game. Look for Miami to get the cover in this one.

This Pack must cash 2 of 3 games. Jacksonville +1.5, Oakland +7 and New Orleans +7.5


On Sunday the NFL Triple pack is on Jacksonville. Game 224 at 4:05 eastern. Game 2 On Oakland. Game 221 at 4;05 eastern and New Orleans. Game 225 at 4;05 eastern. Both the Jags and Raiders fit a game 4 system that plays on all dogs of 1.5 or more off 1 exact win. These teams are 45-14 ats. The Saints fit a 37-9 system that plays on road dogs from 7 to 10 in a non division game if both teams are off non division games. The Bengals are 0-5 ats after allowing 35 or more while the Jags are 10-1 ats with revenge in non division games vs an opponent off a dog win. Oakland is 16-2 ats as division dogs and have covered the last 6 here. In the Saints games we note that their is a second system that plays on 0-3 road teams in Sunday games that are off a non shutout loss vs an opponent with at least one win. Take Jacksonville, Oakland and New Orleans in late afternoon action.

On Sunday the Shocker is on the Buffalo Bills. Game 206 at 1:00 eastern. The Patriots are off a pair of close losses both by a combined 3 points. A last play missed field goal at home vs Arizona and a late loss on Sunday night aided by shoddy officiating left Bellichick with a 50,000 fine. Those close losses set the Patriots up in a Never lost system that dates to 1980 and plays against teams off 2 losses by 3 or less points. These teams have lost every time the last 33 years. The Patriots usually do well here. However this could be the year Buffalo knocks them off. The Pats are 1-7 to the spread as favorites off 2 losses and the Billls are 7-0 ats as a dogs of 3 or more vs an opponent off back to back losses. Finally the Bills have won an amazing 19 of 20 times off a win in September games vs a losing team that is off a loss. The Patriots cant go 1-3. Can They? We will grab the points in this one.

On Thursday the NFL Power System total is on the under in the Cleveland at Baltimore game. Rotation numbers 101/102 at 8:35 eastern. This game fits a solid totals system that won all but one time since 1989. We want to play the under for home teams off a home favored win and scored 38 or more points vs an opponent that is off a home dog loss and scored 21 or less and had 50 or less yards rushing. Look for a lower scoring game as Baltimore looks to shore up an unusually leaky defense with a home game against Weeden and the Browns. Baltimore will obviously win this one but may be a little flat off the Big win vs the Patriots on Sunday night. Look for a defensive battle early on with Baltimore pulling away late. Take the under,

On Monday night the NFL Play is on the Green Bay Packers. Game 429 at 8:35 eastern. Green Bay fits a perfect system and Seattle applies to a negative 0-17 angles that pertains to their ats dog win over Dallas while covering by more than 14 on a Sunday. For the system we want to play on any road favorite with more than 6 days rest if they scored 21 or more at home, vs an opponent that also scored 21 or more at home and rushed for 150 or more yard which Seattle did against Dallas going for 182. These road favorites are 10% since 1989 winning by an average 12 points per game. The Packers 7-2 straight up vs Seattle and have covered the last 3 here. The Seahawks are just 1-8 to the spread as a non division dog off a dog win. Look for the Packers to get the win and cover tonight. See the Power Angle charted below.

ATS: 0-17-2 (-9.5) Seattle


Final
Team: 22.7
Opp: 32.9

SUN 3 2003 SEA STL H 7-7 3-10 0-6 14-0 24-23 -3 +47' 1 -2 -0' -1.2 0.8 W L U 0
SUN 14 2003 SEA MIN A 0-0 0-13 7-7 0-14 7-34 +1 +51' -27 -26 -10' -18.2 7.8 L L U 0
SUN 5 2004 SEA STL H 7-0 17-7 0-3 3-17 27-33 -7 +43' -6 -13 +16' 1.8 14.8 L L O 1
SUN 4 2005 SEA WAS A 3-0 0-7 7-10 7-0 17-20 +2 +36' -3 -1 +0' -0.2 0.8 L L O 1
SUN 7 2005 SEA DAL H 0-7 3-0 0-0 10-3 13-10 -4' +45 3 -1' -22 -11.8 -10.2 W L U 0
SUN 15 2005 SEA TEN A 14-0 0-14 7-10 7-0 28-24 -7 +45' 4 -3 +6' 1.8 4.8 W L O 0
SUN SB 2005 SEA PIT A 3-0 0-7 7-7 0-7 10-21 +4 +47 -11 -7 -16 -11.5 -4.5 L L U 0
SAT WC 2006 SEA DAL H 3-3 3-7 7-7 8-3 21-20 -2 +47' 1 -1 -6' -3.8 -2.8 W L U 0
SUN 5 2007 SEA PIT A 0-0 0-7 0-7 0-7 0-21 +6 +39 -21 -15 -18 -16.5 -1.5 L L U 0
SUN 9 2007 SEA CLE A 7-0 14-9 3-7 6-14 30-33 +1' +47 -3 -1' +16 7.2 8.8 L L O 1
SUN 5 2008 SEA NYG A 3-14 3-13 0-10 0-7 6-44 +7 +43' -38 -31 +6' -12.2 18.8 L L O 0
SUN 9 2008 SEA PHI H 7-0 0-14 0-6 0-6 7-26 +6' +43 -19 -12' -10 -11.2 1.2 L L U 0
SUN 2 2009 SEA SF A 0-10 10-3 0-7 0-3 10-23 +1 +39 -13 -12 -6 -9.0 3.0 L L U 0
SUN 6 2009 SEA ARZ H 0-14 3-3 0-7 0-3 3-27 -3 +45' -24 -27 -15' -21.2 5.8 L L U 0
SUN 2 2010 SEA DEN A 0-7 0-10 7-7 7-7 14-31 +3' +40 -17 -13' +5 -4.2 9.2 L L O 0
SUN 11 2010 SEA NO A 3-7 13-20 0-7 3-0 19-34 +11' +44 -15 -3' +9 2.8 6.2 L L O 0
SUN 7 2011 SEA CLE A 0-0 0-3 3-0 0-3 3-6 +3 +41 -3 0 -32 -16.0 -16.0 L P U 0
SUN 12 2011 SEA WAS H 0-7 7-0 3-0 7-16 17-23 -3' +37' -6 -9' +2' -3.5 6.0 L L O 0
SAT 16 2011 SEA SF H 7-0 3-3 0-10 7-6 17-19 +2 +37 -2 0 -1 -0.5 -0.5 L P U 0
MON 3 2012 SEA GB H +3' +47

On Sunday night the NFL Perfect play is on the Patriots. Game 427 at 8;35 eastern. Certainly you have seen this stat Its all over the place and on TV. Tom Brady is 11-0 off a loss. That's nice but still not enough to warrant a play on the Patriots. However when we throw in that Road dogs of 2.5 or more are 46-15 to the spread off a a -7 or higher home favorite loss vs an opponent off a loss, now we have something. The Patriots are 7-1 in this building and 8-0 ats on the road when the total is 45.5 to 49.5. They are 4-0 straight up as a dog and have a much better defense. Even without Welker and Hernandez the Patriots will still find a way. Both teams are off close and tough losses and one of them will be 1-2 after this game. We think it will be the Ravens that go under .500. Take the Points with the Patriots.


On Sunday the MLB Power System Play is on the Reds. Game 954 at 8:05 eastern. The Reds fit a tremendous 26-3 system here tonight. We wan to play on home favorites at -140 or more off a -140 or higher home win by 5 or more runs with 5 or more men left on base and no more than 1 error, vs an opponent off a +140 or higher road dog loss by 5+ runs in a game where the total was 8 or less and scored 2 or less with 5+ men left on base and also with 1 or less errors. This system as is has won 26 of 29. If we insist that the total in this game is 8 or less its a perfect 12-0. Homer Bailey goes for the Reds tonight and he is 14-0 if he went 6 or more innings last out but less than 8 innings and allowed 1 or les runs. He is also 4-0 of late vs the Dodgers and has won 6 of his last 7 home September starts. Harang for the Dodgers has lost 7 straight road September starts. Plenty of times e have seen the public fade the team that clinches a playoff spot and that team rests all their players and wins anyway. Look for the Reds to win this one.

On Sunday the NFC Game is on Arizona. Game 420 at 4;05 eastern. Arizona fits one of my favorite early season system that plays on home dogs in weeks 2-4 at +6.5 or less, that are better than .500 and are off a road dog win, vs an opponent off a home game. These teams are 19-0 ats with the addition of a subset. Philly will be without J. Macklin and are off a pair of 1 point wins. Team in their next game off these back to back 1 point wins are 0-5 straight up the last 24 years. The Eagles fit another play against system that goes against road favorites off a home favored win and ats loss, vs an opponent off a road win. These road favorites are 3-15 to the spread. Philly has lost 3 of the last to the spread in the series including a loss last season. Arizona has won 8 of 12 here in the series and are a live dog here once again. Take Arizona Plus the points.

On Sunday the NFL Blowout Play is on the NO. Saints. Game 414 at 1:00 eastern. Both teams come in at 0-2 in this one. That sets up a solid week 3 system that plays on certain teams off back to back straight up favored losses, provided they are not off a spread lobby by more than 2 touchdowns and lost no more than 5 games last season. These teams have won and covered every time the last 32 years. The Saints are 7-1 to the spread at home when the total is 49.5 or more and 5-1 ats in September as a home favorite vs a non division team. The Chiefs are a mess especially on defense and are 1-6 to the spread in September games as a road dog of less than 10. Look for the Saints to come marching in here today. Take New Orleans

On Sunday the NFL Dog is on the Bengals. Game 409 at 1:00 eastern. The Bengals are the beneficiaries of a huge System that plays against Washington and all homers in week 3 that have one exact win and won 12 or less last season vs an opponent that was 9-7 or worse. These teams with an additional parameter have not covered. Se we are playing against Washington here today. The Skins are also 0-7 ats as a non conference home favorite. The Bengals have solid power angles pertaining to September. They are 7-1 to the spread as a road dog off a win and 6-1 ats on the road after scoring 28 or more. The Bengals overall are 14-5 ats vs the NFC East. They may very well pull the upset in this one. Take The Bengals here today.

Tennessee Titans Off shore NFL Play at 1:00 eastern

On Thursday the NFL Play is on the Carolina Panthers. Game 304 at 8:20 eastern. The Giants will up to 4 starters out for this one including offensive lineman Diehl, running back Bradshaw and WR Hakeem Nicks, they are also banged up on defense, they are on a short week here and we note that road teams from +3 to -3 have lost and failed to cover 4 of the last 5 times after scoring 35 or more as a home favorite of -7 or more vs an opponent that scored 21 or more. furthermore, home teams from +3 to -3 have won and covered 7 of the last 8 times after a home game where they scored 21 or more, vs an opponent that passed for 300 or more yards, while rushing for under 100. The Panthers may not be as good a team as the Giants, but they can certainly be better here in this one and can move the ball with a solid offense that has multiple weapons. Look for Carolina to emerge with a win and cover tonight. I'm going to Carolina in my mind.

On Monday night the NFL power System Play is on Atlanta. Game 226 at 8:30 eastern. The Falcons fit a solid system here that plays on home favorites that scored 35 or more on the road and passed for 250 or more yards, vs an opponent that scored 28 or more as a home favorite in their last game. These home teams are 14-0 since 1990 with all but one winning by 3 or more. Atlanta is 7-0 ats as a non conference favorite of 3 or more and Denver has lost 3 of the last 4 on turf. The Falcons have the better defense. Denver and Manning looked real good against a banged up defense at home last vs the Steelers. Monday night home teams are a good investment in this sprwad range when both teams are off a win at 78%. This one will be much tougher for them with the crowd noise and fast pace. Look for the Falcons to get the win and cover.

On Sunday night the NFL System play is on Detroit. Game 223 at 8;25 eastern. You have to love the setup here for the Lions. They are playing with home loss revenge from last years No hand shake game between the 2 coaches who came off looking like a couple of first grades in the school yard. The Niners are coming off a huge upset in Green Bay and may not be able to hold that same momentum. The Lions were clearly looking past the Rams last week at home in preparation for this one and were nearly burned before winning late. The Lions qualify in 2 system here tonight. First we want to play on game 2 road dogs off a win but spread loss vs an opponent off a win and cover. These road teas have covered 11 of 13 since 1989. The Lions are 7-1 ats s a non division dog of 6 or more and should play real well here. Take Detroit.

On Sunday afternoon the 4* road warrior Perfect system side is on the Washington Redskins. Game 217 at 4:05 eastern. The Skins fit perfect system here today that has not lost as far back as 1989 and plays on road favorites off a road dog win at +3 or higher while scoring 35 or more points, if the total in this game is 42 or higher. These teams win by an average 23-10 score. The Redskins have covered 6 of 8 here in the series, including a 17-10 win here last season where they won the rushing battle 196-45. The Rams have lost 35 of the last 39 vs winning teams if they have no rest. They are 1-4 vs the NFC East and 1-7 to the spread as a dog of 12 or less with revenge. Look for The Redskins and RG3 To take another on the road here today.

On Sunday the AFC Double system play is on Kansas City. Game 205 at 1:00 eastern. The Chiefs fit 2 solid system here today. Having a look at one, we want to play on game 2 non divisional road dogs off a loss, vs an opponent off a loss, This bases system has cashed 31 of 42 times since 1980. With a tweak or two we can get this one perfect. KC is 5-0 straight up as a road dog of 3 or less, 5-0 ats as a non divisional road dog off a loss of 10 or more and Coach Crennel has covered all 3 times as a dog after allowing 35 or more last out. He is also 7-1 to the spread vs non divisional teams off a loss of 10 or more. The Bills have lost 9 of 10 off a division game and 1-5 ats as a favorite. Buffalo will have to rely on CJ. Spiller for the whole work load now that Starting running back F. Jackson is out. Buffalo was hideous last week and the whole preseason. The Chiefs were a better team last season and are a solid choice here today. Were going to " Kansas City, Kansas City here we come" Take the points here.

On Sunday the NFL Blowout System is on the Patriots. Game 200 at 1:00 eastern. The Patriots are 5-0 straight up and to the spread in the last 5 vs Arizona and 5-0 ats in September games at home vs winning teams. For technical purposes we want to play against road dogs with no rest in non conference Sunday games with a win percentage of .650 or higher that are off a home dog win, vs an opponent off a home win. Since 1980 these road teams are 1-8 to the spread. The Patriots have an improved defense to go along with a great offense and can name the score in this one. The Capper is this little nugget. Teams who lost the Super Bowl have won and covered 5 straight in the 2nd game of the season at home if playing off a win. Look for The Patriots to coast and cover in this one.

On Thursday the NFL power System Play is on the Green Bay Packers. Game 102 at 8:10 eastern. This game fit a solid system that has not lost the last 23 years. We want to play on home favorites off a home game where they scored 21 or more points, vs an opponent off a home game where they are favored by 7 or more and scored 18 or more and had 300 or more yards passing in the game. These home teams have won and covered every time and by an average 34-18 scored. The Packers have dominated the series of late and have won 4 of the last 5 by 10 or more points. The Packers have won and covered both times of late on Thursday. The Bears have lost and failed to cover 3 of the last 4 times as as road dog from +3.5 to +7. The Bears are also a paltry 1-10 to the spread as a road dog vs an opponent who comes in off a straight up favored loss. Coach Mccarthy for the Packers has covered 9 of 10 in division games when facing an opponent with revenge. Coach Smith for Chicago is 1-9 ats off a non division game vs an opponent off a favored loss and 1-5 to the spread as a dog after scoring 35 or more. Finally Chicago has failed to cover 9 of the last 10 on the road when the total is 45 or higher. Based on the system, the Angles and the series history were Packer Backers tonight.

On Monday night In the NFL the Selection is on the SD. Chargers. Game 481 at 10:15 eastern. The Chargers fit an Early NFL System I use that pertains to certain dogs vs an opponent with revenge. This system has cashed 53 of 66 times when used in the first 3 weeks of the season and Arizona cashed on Sunday in this very system. Oakland is 2-8 ats home vs the Chargers and Monday night dogs have cashed 27 of the last 37. Charges live dog here tonight and should get the straight up win. Take San Diego.

On Sunday night the 4* NFL power System Play is on Denver. Game 478 at 8:25 eastern. We have a solid winning system here that goes way back to the 1970/s and plays on favorites of 3 or less in weeks 1-3 in playoff rematches that are not divisional games. Many will be on the Steelers just for the fact that its a right back revenge game. However many times these teams still don not exact that revenge. The fact remains, if the line makers believed the Steelers were a cinch to win they would be favored here by a point or two. Peyton or no Peyton. The Broncos have won 6 of the 9 in the series and the Steelers are 1-3 straight up and to the spread as a road dog of 3 or less. The Steelers have a better defense. They did last year too. That didn't help them in the thin air up here last season and it wont help them tonight. Its Peytons Place tonight. Were Bronco Backers tonight

On Sunday the NFC Power System Play is on Arizona. Game 476 at 4;25 eastern. Arizona fits a sold system we use every year that has cashed an amazing 52 of 65 times and pertains to certain divisional Dogs. There is a Key 100% Subset to this system that applies for game sin the first 3 weeks of the season. The line on this game opened at Arizona -1 and is now Seattle laying three. No specific reason other than an undefeated preseason and the hype surrounding New rookie starter Russel Wilson. Arizona has won 5 of the last here at home vs Seattle and the Seahawks are notoriously slow starters on the road in their first game failing to cover 13 of the last 20 years and the last 7. In the NFL laying points on the road with a rookie quaterback who has never played 4 full quarters in an NFL game is unwise to say the least. Arizona will go with J. Skelton here after he narrowly beat out K.Kolb. Their Defense improved in the last half of the season last year. They will be tough to beat here today. Look for Arizona to get the win here as a live home dog.

On Sunday the AFC Power System Play is on Tennessee. Game 462 at 1:00 eastern. This game has some powerful systems in application today. First we note that teams who lost in the Super bowl and open up on the road have had the hang over carry over. These teams have failed to cover in 13 of the last 14 season opening road games. The Steelers were in this spot in week one last year and were smoked by Baltimore 35-7. While I don't think this one will be a blowout. I do feel this is too many points to give what looks to be a solid Titans team that missed the playoffs despite posting a 9-7 record. Another solid system that pertains to this game is to play against non divisional teams that won 13 or more games last season, vs an opponent who won less than 13. The Titans have covered 10 of the last 15 home openers. New England has some new pieces on the offensive line and Brady took far too many hits in the preseason. That could spell trouble for the Patriots in this one as well. Remember the Titans here today. Take Tennessee plus the points.

On Wednesday the guaranteed NFL power System selection is on the Dallas Cowboys. Game 451 at 8:30 eastern. The Cowboys have revenge on their mind in this one as the Giants ended the Dallas season here in the last game of the regular season 31-17 finishing Dallas a disappointing 8-8. The Giants are the defending super bowl champion but were not the best team in football last season. The Giants much like the Packers a year before just happened to get hot at that the right time and run the table starting with the Saturday game vs the Jets. This is a new season and while the Giants are a good team, they play in perhaps the most competitive division in football where every team is a quality team. The Giants are just 1-6 ats as a division favorite of 3.5 or more. They also fit a solid defending Super Bowl Champion play against system that plays like this. We want to play against certain Super Bowl champions in week one if they are going into revenge, which they clearly are here. Since 1982 these champs have been chumps going 1-6 to the spread, with the only team covering the 2003 Tampa Bay Bucs. I realize that the Super Bowl champion has won week one at a high rate. However the revenge and the parity between these two over rules all in this one. Look for the Cowboys to cover in this one.



For the Bonus total take the over. The Giants have flown over in 26 of 38 in the first two weeks of the season over the years and Dallas has gone over 13 of 15 in their first road game and 9 of 10 on the road in the first of back to back road games if they are playing a divisional team.

On Super Bowl Sunday our selection is on The New York Giants. Game 101 at 6:35 eastern. The Giants fit a solid 21-0 Power system and a bevy of solid angles this season. They also figure to cover on the Simulation scene. When this game was simulated 10, 000 times the Patriots wound up winning 55% of the time but just by and average score of 27-25, while the Giants have Simulated a cover 58% of the time. In the Madden EA Sports Simulation the Giants emerge as 27-24 winner. While that is nice to have on our side it is not the basis of our play here. They system and the multitude of Super Bowl and Power Angles is what really puts us on the Giants here tonight. The Giants have a better defense while the Patriots have the better numbers on offense. The Giants have won the last 4 games vs the AFC East and 3 of the last 4 on Turf. They have a solid win in New England this season in a game that was scoreless at the half. The impressive part of that win is the Patriots had 100 more pass yards than the Giants and still could not win, while the Rushing stats were just about even. Now for some more angles. The Giants are 11-3 ats off back to back wins and 5-1 ats when the line is +3 to-3. They have covered 4 of the last 5 when the total is 49.5 o higher. They would be the first team to win the Super Bowl with just 9 wins in a 16 game regular season. They come into this game off back to back dog wins and such teams have covered 6 of the last 7 times in this role. In fact AFC Teams are 8-1-1 ats the last 32 years if they play a team that has a win percentage of .791 or higher. The team with the Better record like the Patriots are on a horrendous run going 1-13-2 ats and 0-8 of late. The dog has covered 7 of the last 10. The Giants win over a then undefeated Patriots team was the first such win in 33 years where a winning team scored less than 20 points. That win gave Coach Coughlin his first Super Bowl win. We note that coaches who won their first super Bowl appearance are 9-3 straight up in their second Super Bowl. In fact Coach Coughlin shares the all time record with Tom Landry for the most playoff road wins with seven. The Patriots are just 1-4 ats vs fellow playoff teams and like the Giants could have lost their last game. They scare no one on defense with the 31st ranked overall stop unit. The Patriots average more points per game than the Giants but such teams are just 2-8-1 ats the last 11 years. Teams who convert the better percentage on 3rd down have gone a surprising 3-7-1 ats of late again playing against the Patriots. Also teams who allow more yards per rush are 4-9-1 ats. Number one seeds are on a 2-8 run and the last 6 super bowl favorites that lost as a favorite in last years playoffs have gone down to the spread 5 times. Another key stat is that teams with nore average pass yards per attempt are 39-6 straight up. The Giants have the better deep threat and could win that stat as well. Much will be made about the Patriots revenge in this one. However they had revenge for the Super Bowl loss earlier in the year and as a 9 point favorite were unable to find a way to beat the Giants. It seems like the Giants have found a way to make the Patriots uncomfortable on offense and with a star running back to take the heat off Brady its quite possible he will get knocked down several times here. In the the end we will back the Giants in this one as they just seem to find a way to win. Take the 3 points buy the half point if you have to.

Props-
Over 313 yards passing Eli Manning
Manning to throw more pass yards in the 2nd half
Brady to throw at least one pick
Chad Ochocinco makes at least one catch.

On Super Bowl Sunday our Totals Selection is on the Over tonight. There are several solid Power Angles that apply to this one flying over the total here tonight from both sides. The Giants have played over the total 10 of 11 times in the 2nd half's vs teams who complete 63% or more of their passes the last 3 seasons. They have played over in 9 of 10 off 3+ wins and 8 of the last 9 on Artificial turf. The Patriots have played over the total in 12 of 14 vs winning teams the last 3 years in the 2nd half of the season. On Artificial turf they have gone over in 16 of their last 22. They have revenge in this one and 6 of the last 8 revenger's they have soared over the total. When they are off 4+ wins 11 of 13 times they have gone over. Both teams have prolific offenses with numerous weapons that will be tough to contain on a fast surface. In the first game these two played they were score less in the first half and still wound up with 40+ points. I look for the offenses on both sides to get off to a better start in this game. I also expect both teams to run plays that the opposing defenses have not seen on film. New England has the 31st ranked defense in the league and has given up a lot of yardage this season. The Giants defense has been on a roll since the Jets game, however they are playing on a fast turf and will likely yield more points here than they did vs a one dimensional San Francisco offense two weeks ago. Look for this game to fly over the total tonight.

In The NFC Championship our selection is on the San Francisco 49ers game 304 at 6:30 eastern. This year we have a Regular season rematch between to teams that met just over 2 months ago. The Giants travel cross country to take on a San Francisco team that came out of nowhere to win the NFC West after Hiring Harbaugh. The First game was a win for the Niners 27-20 in a game that was statistically won by the Giants. New York had a slight advantage rushing the ball 93-77 and also had more passing yards 302 to 228. The difference was the Niners played better on both sides of the ball in the red zone and the Giants were hurt by 2 costly turnovers. The Niners have won 5 of the last 6 in the series here at home. The Giants have the poise advantage as they are battle tested and come off their most impressive win of the season in a Big blowout win over the Defending Super Bowl Champion Packers. The Giants kept Green Bay off balance all day and were able to stymie the best overall offense in the league by getting constant pressure on Rogers without having to blitz and compromise pass coverage. The Packers weren't able to mount much of a run game and were playing from behind the whole day while the rejuvenated Giants defense made them look average all day. That big win over the Defending champs set the Giants up in a big negative system that has lost all 10 times since 1975. What we want to do is play against any team who beat the super bowl champs in a playoff game if there next game is not the Super Bowl. These teams have failed miserably when trying to sustain they type of momentum needed to get to the super bowl. In fact home teams like the niners in conference championship games are 21-4 straight up off an ats win vs an opponent off a win and cover that allowed 10 or more points. The Giants made history in assuring the Packers to be the first team in history to win 15 regular season games and not win at least one playoff game. The Giants lit up the score board for 37 points, another stat that will come back to haunt them here as road teams in Conference Championship teams off a win and cover have lost and failed to cover 10 of the last 11 times after scoring 5 or more touchdowns. We all remember the last time the Giants were here for a playoff game and blew a 21-0 lead. If you worries about the 2.5 spread. Don't be. The team that wins the conference Championship teams are 72-6 ats. Look for the 49ers to put an end to the Giants run. Take the Niners

On Sunday the AFC Championship system play is on the New England Patriots. Game 302 at 3:00 eastern. Conference Championship winners are 72-6 ats the last 39 years. So popular thinking leads up right to the Patriots as a 7 point favorite. Looking at the systems and angles we see that playoff teams that won 13 or more this season and 11 or more last season are 41-5 straight up and 35-9-2 ats vs teams with a win percentage of .777 or less. Further data states that home favorites from -5 to -10 with no rest in playoff action off a home favored win and cover and prior win have covered 15 of 9 times since 1980. Perhaps my favorite system in this game though is the one that reads home favorites that scored 42 or more at home as a favorite and had 300 or more yards passing vs an opponent that was favored are 100% perfect since 1989 if the total is 44.5 or higher. The Ravens are not what they were on defense and could not get off the field against Houston and 3rd string QB Yates in a couple of drives last week. Had Schaub been in there and the Ravens offense struggling without the aid of turnovers the Patriots would be playing the Texans here. Brady can play error free and make the Ravens defense look old here With all their weapons. On defense the Patriots have a bend but don't break mentality as they stiffen in the red zone. Their defensive numbers are skewed as most opponents are putting up yards while they play catch up. Look for the Patriots to win and cover here today.

On Sunday the NFC Power total is on the Over in the Giants at Packers game. Rotation numbers 115/116 at 4:40 eastern. This game fits Several Angles that suggest this game goes over the total here today. The Packers have the worst defense and the best OVERALL offense. The Giants were not able to stop the Packers in a 38-35 loss earlier in the season and have gone over in 10 of 14 off back to back wins and 12 of 17 as a dog. When playing with revenge 8 of the last 12 have played over the total. Green Bay has played over in 21 of 30 as a home favorite from -7.5 to -10 since 1992. In their home games this season 7 of 8 have gone over and the games have averaged 60 points. The Packers have also played over in 4 of 5 vs winning teams and all 5 off a division win. Look for another back and forth high scoring affair. Take the Giants and Packers to go over the total.

On Sunday the NFC Divisional Play is on the NY. Giants. Game 115 at 4:30 eastern. The Giants have covered 6 of 8 vs winning teams and have won straight up as a road dog both times from +7.5 to +10. The Packers really only have an 18 yard statistical edge on offense here and the Giants have the better defense. There some enormous spread trends pointing to the Giants as well. The Giants are a PERFECT 23-0 to the spread when they are playing on the road on Sunday and come off a win where they had 150 or more yards rushing and scored 43 or less points. They are also 13-0 to the spread as an underdog off a win where they did not turn the ball over. Finally the Giants have covered 8 straight times as a dog if they had 10 or less incomplete passes in their last game. Look for the Giants to stay within the 8 point spread here today as the Packers are not taking any one by surprise. With the Giants having plenty of big game poise we will Take the 8 points today with the Giants.

On Sunday the AFC Power System Play is on Baltimore. Game 114 at 1:00 eastern. Baltimore has won and covered every game vs Playoff teams this season and fit a couple of solid power systems in this one. We want to play on teams coming off the bye that have a win percentage of .700 or better vs a team making the playoffs that had a losing record last season. These home teams have not lost and have covered 91% of the time. Road teams like Houston that are off win and prior loss in the Divisional round have failed to cover 96% of the time vs a team with rest. Houston is 0-5 straight up covering just once vs the Ravens. In a game here earlier in the season Houston lost by 15 points. The Ravens finally get out of the wild card scenario and will look to take advantage of Rest, Home field and a Qb making his first road start in a Playoff game and will have looks Young Yates has not seen before. We will buy the half point here and Play the Ravens at -7.

On Saturday the super rare NFL Power System Side is on the New England Patriots. Game 112 at 8:00 eastern. The Broncos come into New England off their stunning home dog win over the Steelers. That big upset win and their prior home loss to the Chiefs though set them up in a rare Power system that has not lost in over 32 years. What we want to do is play against any playoff road dog off a home dog win and prior home loss vs an opponent that won their last game. Not only is this system perfect but the average margin of defeat for these road teams is over 20 points per game. Denver has everything break their way last week in a win vs the Steelers getting several penalties to help them and perhaps getting help on some no calls on some clear cut pass interferences on the Steelers first 2 drives which if resulted in touchdowns as opposed to field goals could have resulted in a complete change in the complexion of the game. Denver shoed at home that they simply cannot stop a Patriots offense with a bevy of offense that out yards them by over 100 yards per game. The Patriots will be very focused here, wanting to forget last seasons home favored loss to the Jets. The Patriots are 5-1 ats vs AFC West teams winning all games against that division this season. The Broncos wont have the luck of playing an injury riddled team this week and will likely getblown out here in this one. Take the Patriots.

On Saturday the NFL System play is on the San Francisco 49ers. Game 110 at 4:30 eastern. There are several systems pointing either for the niners or against the Saints in this one. For starters home dogs in the first 2 rounds are 18-5 ats since the mid 70/s including 3-0 straight up and ats in the divisional round winning by over 3 touchdowns per game. Road teams as a dog or favorite of 6 or less are 3-11 ats if they allowed 28 or more in a playoff win the last 32 years. The Saints won here last season by just 3 points vs a dismal niners team. This will be a much tougher chore as the niners are much improved and are 7-0 ats at home this season and average the same amount of points at 27 that the Saints do in their road games. The difference however is in the defense where the Saints allow 24 points on the road compared to the Niners who allow just 10 points this season here including just 10 points in the last three here. The Saints will have a tough time running on a staunch niners defense that has allowed just 1 rushing touchdown and can cause drive decimating turnovers. The Niners have an array of weapons on offense that may be more effective here. The Niner could use Gore and his rushing attack to counteract Brees and the Saints then Burn the blitz happy Saints defense. The Saints come in off an amazing 9 straight wins and covers. They are only one of 3 teams since 1978 that have scored 40 or more points in 4 straight games. The other 2 failed to cover. The Saints have not won a playoff road game going 0-4. The Niners have a week of rest and are off back to back spread losses which also works in their favor. Perhaps if the Saints did not lose in Tampa and St. Louis they would have had this game at home. However they didn't and they don't. I love the 4+ points but I see the Niners winning straight up here as I've seen what the Saints can do on the road, Seattle last season against an under .500 playoff team and they lose as an 11 point favorite. Look for San Francisco to get the cash here tonight.

On Sunday in the AFC Wild card game our selection is on the Denver Broncos. Game 108 at 4:30 eastern. Denver is a large home dog here vs a Steelers team that averages 15 points per game on the road and has failed to cover 5 of the last 7 as a road favorite from 7 to 10. Home Dogs in the First round of the Playoffs have covered 16 of the last 20 since 1977 and teams who lost the super bowl last season have covered less than 20% of the time in the first round off a win. Also of note is that teams making their first playoff Appearance at home in over 3 years have won 22 of 30 times. With Denver 7-0 straight up at home with a total of 32.5 to 35 we will back them plus the points here today.

On Sunday the NFL Wild Card Power Play is on the NY. Giants. Game 106 at 1:00 eastern. The Giants are starting to roll here now as they played their best games of the season the last 2 weeks against the Jets and Dallas. Now they get Atlanta who was a white wash winner over Tampa Bay in a game that was over at the half. Today Atlanta will have a tough time here as the over looked factor by many is the Dome team on the road on grass in colder climates. The temperature for this one will be in the high 30/s which favors the Giants. NY also applies to a solid system that plays playoff homers vs an opponent off a division win of 4 or more points if they are favored or a dog of less than 6. Atlanta is 1-3 on the road vs winning teams and the Giants have won 2 of 3 vs winning teams at home. Atlanta will look to take Victor Cuz away today and they just might, hover that may enable the Giants to run the ball more effectively and get H. Nicks involved. On Defense the Giants should be in Matt Ryans face all day. Look for the Giants to get the cash here today. BUY THE HALF POINT DOWN TO -2.5 So we win if they win by 3

In The Late NFC Wildcard game the selection is on the New Orleans Saints. Game 104 at 8:00 eastern. The Saints apply to a bevy of solid systems angles in this one. Looking back the first game between these two we see that The Lions were statistically right there with the Saints and still lost by 14 points. Id hate to think what would happen if the Saints were to really dominate play. Playoff teams that won 13 or more this season and 11 or more last season vs a team that has a win percentage of .777 or less are 40-4 straight up and 34-8-2 ats long term. Furthermore team in the wild card round have won and covered every time the past 15+ years if they lost straight up as a favorite in the playoffs last season. The Saints were a 11 point favorite going into Seattle last season and laid an egg losing to a Seattle team that under .500. This year they will make amends for that loss as we note that teams who are favored and win the game, covered 21 of 25 times vs a team coming in off a loss the last 32 years. The Lions have lost 19 straight on the road vs winning teams and are 0-5 ats vs winning teams this season in the 2nd half. Since 1997 the Lions are 0-4 straight up and ats on the road when the posted total is 49.5 or higher and 1-5 ats as a dog from 10.5 to 14. They have failed to cover the last 5 times in the wild card round and may realize quickly that they are overmatched here. The Saints come marching in. Play the Saints. BUY HALF POINT TO -10

On Saturday the NFL Early Winner is on Houston. Game 102 at 4;30 eastern. These two teams met just a few weeks ago and Houston stunned Cincy late in the game getting a pass interference call that put them on the 1 yard line with seconds left, they punched it in and came away with a 1 point win. Houston has a better defense and having Yates or Delhomme in wont matter as either can keep pace with Cincy rookie Qb Andy Dalton. This game will be about defense and Houston has the edge. Home team in this round are usually winner and the numbers here support the history. Wild card home teams as a favorite of -1.5 or more have won and covered every time the past few seasons and teams who come in off a pair of losses have won and covered over 90% of the time historically. Non divisional wild card roadies that arrive off a division loss are a terrible 2-13 over the past 34 years. Look for Houston to emerge with the win and cover.

On Sunday night in the Win or go home game between the Dallas and New York, our selection is on the Giants. Rotation number 312 at 8:35 eastern. The Giants have lost 3 straight home games and have covered just once here this season in a Monday nighter vs St. Louis. So why are we not on Dallas who has revenge for a Sunday night loss at home in a game the Giants came back from a 12 point deficit with 5 minutes to go? The reason is this. Week 17 home favorites off a road game where they scored 28 or more have won every time the last 23 years vs an opponent that was at home in a game where they were +3 to -3. The Giants have covered 5 of the last 7 here and systems aside the Jets win which the Giants really wanted in effect to shut Jets coach Rex Ryan up will serve them well as instead of coming out flat they will be motivated and poised. Everyone in that locker room knows if they don't win coach Coughlin wont be back. They will play hard here and get the win. Tony Romo and Felix Jones will play for Dallas but Romo could be one good hit from seeing T. Mcgee going into the game. Dallas has their chance to beat the Giants and take control and didn't do it. This time it will be much tougher with a raucous crowd the Giants will win and cover tonight. Take the Giants.

On Sunday the NFC South Side is on Tampa Bay. Game 303 at 4:15 eastern. This game fits a trio of solid systems. The best of which is a week 17 system that plays on road dogs that were a road dog of 3 or more in their last game vs an opponent that also was a road dog in week 16. These road dogs are 14-2 ats since 1989 and the subset makes it perfect. Another solid system plays against home favorites of 4 or more that allowed 40 or more last week and scored less than 30 if they won 12 or more of their last 32 games. Division favorites perform poorly off a division game where they allowed 35 or more on the road and are off an ats loss of 10 or more. Atlanta is in the playoffs and will win this game but Tampa wants to get last weeks blowout off their mind and will play this game much closer than anticipated. Atlanta is 3-10 ats at home vs the BUCS and and 1-5 ats vs an opponent that is off 4 or more straight up and ats losses. Take Tampa Today.

On Sunday in Early action the NFL power System play is on the Houston Texans. Game 316 at 1:00 eastern. Houston? Their locked into the 3 seed and have nothing to play for and the Titans have 45-7 home loss revenge. Not to worry. Home teams in week 17 that were road favorites last week vs an opponent that scored 21 or more at home are 26-7 ats since 1989. Yeah but what if their a home dog? Well, these home dogs are Perfect having covered every time. The Texans get wide receiver Andre Johnson back today while Titans running back C. Johnson is doubtful. The Texans are 40 yards better on offense and 75 yards better on defense. the Titans are 2-6 ats vs winning teams in the 2nd half of the season the last 3 years and 1-4 ats with revenge. The Texans are 6-1 straight up and ats when the total is 35.5 to 42 and 4-1 ats vs winning teams. Take what you can get for points, but Houston likely wins this one outright. Take Houston

On Monday night Football the play is on the Atlanta Falcons. Game 131 at 8:35 eastern. The Falcons have been chomping at the bit since losing in overtime at home vs The Saints on a game where they went for it from their own 25 on 4th and 1 in overtime and were stuffed. They know exactly what to expect from the Saints and have played them tough here over the years winning here last season and covering 14 of the last 19 here. The Falcons and Saints have played some tight games and this one should be close as well. The Falcons are 9-1 ats in the final 4 weeks of the season and 16-3 ats as a dog with revenge and 8-0 ats as a road dog of less than 10 vs an opponent off a win of 10 or more. Atlanta has covered the last 7 times in their final road game. The Saints are 3-16 ats as a division favorite of 7 or more and come in the hottest team in the league with 6 straight wins and covers. While I wont call for the upset I do think Atlanta can hang in here. Take the points with Atlanta.

On Sunday night the NFL Totals Play is on the under on the Chicago at Green Bay game. Rotation numbers 129/130 at 8:30 eastern. The Packers are in a big Bubble burst situation that applies to teams that are undefeated after week 12 of the season than come in off their first loss. The Packers really struggled last week on offense with he loss of Jennings and some banged offensive lineman. They may play better this week, However the Bears are still playing decent defense. On Offense the Bears are a mess as C. Hanie has wrecked the playoff chances with his inept play. Now they are without WR Sam Hurd who is out on drug trafficking charges, cause he doesn't make enough money as a Pro football player. They will once again be without lead running back M. Forte. The Packers will look to straighten out a defense that isn't close to where it was statistically last year. The Bears are 0-16 to the Under as a road dog of more than 3 off a loss and have gone under in 19 of 26 as a dog,including 12 of 16 as a road dog from +10.5 to +14. The last 6 meetings between these two have played under. Last year the Packers won here 10-3. Look for another low scoring game between these two. Take the Under.

On Saturday the NFL Divisional Power system side is on Seattle. Game 126 at 4;15 eastern. The Seahawks are hot and fit a plethora of solid systems that are based on last weeks road dog win in Chicago. We want to play on home dogs in division play that scored 20 or back to back vs an opponent off a win, secondly home dogs of 3 or less off a road dog win vs an opponent off a home favored win and allowed 10 or less points. Seattle won here last years 31-6 as the home team has dominated the series of late. The Hawks are 6-0 ats in their last home game and P. Carroll has covered all 4 times as a division home dog. They have covered 8 of 10 in conference and despite the records the Sea Hawks average 8 yards less on offense and allow just 16 yards more on defense than the Niners. SF is 1-4 straight up as a road favorite of 3 or less and 0-3 off Monday night football. With Seattle 11-2 ats at home in December with Revenge off a non division game, and the Niners off a satisfying home win vs the Steelers we will back the Seahawks today. Take Seattle.

On Saturday the NFL Blowout Side is on the Steelers. Game 122 at 1:00 eastern. The Steelers? Charlie Batch is in not Rothlisberger. Two words. Kellen Clemens. Clemens will struggle big time on the road vs this defense and may have multiple turnovers. He may be the most inept Qb in the league. The Steelers fit s Blowout system that plays on winning teams at -3 or more off a loss and scored 6 or less. The Steelers and Batch will have an easier time ,moving the ball against a Rams team at home than they did vs the Niners on the road. They are alive and can win the division and should coast here in this one against a Rams team that is 1-6 straight up and ats on the road. Take the Steelers here.



On Saturday the NFL Dog with bite is on the NY. Giants. Game 113 at 1:00 eastern. The Giants fit a solid 21-3 system that plays on road dogs off a home favored loss and a prior road dog win if they lost ats by 15 or more and they are +6 or less. Giants are 4-0 ats in the series and gave covered 80% of the time on the road vs an opponent that lost by 10 or more. The Giants are 7-0 ats after The Redskins and the Jets are 0-8 ats as a December favorite if both teams are off losses. Also of note. Game 15 teams in their last home game that lost by 10 or more 28-4 ats vs certain opponents. Look for the Giants to take this one.



On Saturday the Power System play is on the Bengals. Game 110 at 1:00 eastern. We want to play against last road games that played 2 or more straight home games and were favored by 6 or more last out. Arizona has failed to cover in 5 of 7 off back to back wins and may have a tough time here with a staunch Cincy defense. Look for the Bengals to get this one and keep themselves alive for a wild card spot. Back the Bengals.

On Thursday the NFL play is on Houston. Game 101 at 8:25 eastern. There are 3 solid systems in play here tonight. Road favorites that scored 14 or less at home vs an opponent that scored 21 or more as a home dog have covered 5 of 6 since 1989 winning by an average 13 points. Home dogs that scored 21 or more as a home dog and had 200 or more yards rushing are 0-7 straight up with just one spread win. Finally home dogs that scored 21 or more and had 100 or less yards passing are 0-5 and lose by 12 points per game. Teams who get their first win after game 10 of the regular season have lost 10 straight in the next game. The Colts have failed to cover 7 of the last 10 in the 2nd of back to back homers. Houston should bounce back here tonight as they are 5-1 ats vs an opponent off a dog win and have covered 9 of the last 12 off a favored loss. With the Texans 6-0 straight up and ats with a 35.5 to 42 points total we will back them here tonight. Take the Texans.



On Thursday the NCAAB Blowout Play is on Weber. St. Game 638 at 9:00 eastern. Weber St does not have great numbers all time vs Utah. However that was when Utah was on of the best programs in the nation. Now they find themselves in the midst of another mediocre season at 3-8. In their road games they have been terrible losing by an average 82-59 score. They have lost 13 of 14 vs teams who score 77 or more and take on a Weber. St team that has won and covered their last 3 at home when the total is 135 to 140 and is 5-0 winning by an average 92-65 score. Looks like along night for Utah. Take Weber. ST

On Monday night the NFL Power System Super Side is on the Steelers. Game 331 at 8:35 eastern. The Steelers fit a Magnificent system that plays on Teams who play .700 or better ball coming off a Thursday win vs an opponent off a loss. Pittsburgh has statistical edges of 60 yards better on offense and 30 yards better on defense. They have plenty to play for as they try and Capture the AFC North. Monday night football has been their cup of tea as they have won 24 of 32 to start the week. They have done well vs the NFC West winning 15 of the last 22. San Francisco has come back to earth the past few weeks after the hot start. The Niners are 3-10 ats off a division game 0-3 in that role this year. We have not has a dog cover in awhile on Monday night football. Tonight we should get one. Big Ben is playing and were on the Steelers.

On Sunday the NFL Late Power Play is on the Chargers. Game 330 at 8:30 eastern. The Chargers have come alive since the news of Norv Turners imminent departure. This however is not new. The Chargers with Rivers are 22-1 in December and qualify in a huge power system that pertains to home dogs that were winning teams last year in the last quarter of the season. The Chargers are also 9-0 ats as dogs off back to back wins and 7-0 in game 14. The Ravens are 0-11 ats as a non division road favorite off back to back wins vs an opponent that is .500 or less. Norv Turner is in one of his better roles here as he is 5-0 ats as a dog off back to back wins with the last one by 13 or more. The Ravens are a good team but showed in the Jacksonville game that they can get flat in a big spot. Look for The Chargers to ground the Ravens. Take San Diego.

Late play on Browns

On Sunday the Dog Power Pack is on Cleveland. Game 327 at 4:15 eastern and Oakland. Game 322 at 4:05 eastern. Starting with the Browns we note that they are 6-1 Ats as dogs of 13 or less off back to back losses vs an opponent off back to back wins. Arizona is just 1-9 ats as non divisional favorites of 7 or less and have failed to cover in 7 of 8 in December games as a favorite. There is also a solid 15-2 system that plays against Arizona and any home favorite of -7 or more in a Sunday or Monday game with a total of 45 or less if its their 3rd straight homer with no bye week in between. This system is 15-3 long term playing against these favorites. Arizona may bounce here off the big Back to back home dog wins and the Browns have the Extra rest coming off the Thursday nighter. In the Oakland game we note that home dogs of less than 5 off a road loss and allowed 40 or more and had a prior ats loss, vs an opponent not a home favored win. These home dogs are Winners winning the game straight up 13 of 16 times since 1980 going 14-2 ats in the process. The Lions have lost the last 14 years in game 14 of the season. Look for Oakland to bounce back here take the Raiders.

On Sunday the NFL Play is on the KC. Chiefs. Game 308 at 1:00 eastern. Many will think this game will be a Blowout for The Packers based on their undefeated record and blowout win last week vs Oakland and adding in the fact that KC Was blown out in New York by the Jets. Last weeks game resulted in Coach Haley getting fired. Today will be a different story as KC is getting a ton of points here at home and qualify in some monster systems. KC in fact is in the exact system the Rams were in when they were winless and beat the Saints. We want to play against road favorites from -10.5 to -15 in non conference games if they are off a home favored win anc cover, vs an opponent off a road dog los and failed cover. These road favorites are 1-15 ats since 1980. Additionally we want to play on Home dogs of 10 or more with a total of 40 or more that scored 21 or less on the road vs an opponent that scored 21 or more as a home favorite of 7 or more in their last game. This system illustrated for you today is 19-1 ats since 1989 and we note that the home dogs stay in the game losing by a 24-23 average score. I can make this system perfect by insisting the road favorite passed for 250 or more yards in the last game taking the system to a perfect 15-0 ats. To sprinkle in some angles we note that the Chiefs are 10-0 ats after allowing 35 or more vs an opponent that was a favorite of 7 or more in their last game. The Packers are just 3-7 ats as a favorite of -11 or more vs an opponent off a straight up and ats loss in their last game. This game is a potential flat spot for the Packers who will win this game, probably in similar fashinon to the way the won the Carolina game. The Chiefs K. Orton is probable for this one and I expect the Chiefs defense to rise up and play like they did in a close loss to the Steelers as an 11 point dog a few weeks back on Sunday night football. In closing I look for a close game. A classic win and no cover here. Take the Points with Kansas City.


SU: 9-12-0 (-1.2)
ATS: 19-1-1 (11.1)
O/U: 14-7-0


Rushes Rush Yds Passes Completions Passing Yds TrnOvrs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final
Team: 29.7 142.7 30.4 17.9 195.7 1.7 3.0 8.3 5.0 6.5 23.0
Opp: 24.8 103.3 36.3 23.5 259.7 1.6 5.1 6.4 6.1 6.5 24.2

Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot
SUN 13 1992 IND BUF H 0-0 3-3 0-7 10-3 16-13 +17 +41 3 +20 -12 4.0 -16.0 W W U 1
SUN 5 1995 WAS DAL H 3-10 17-0 7-3 0-10 27-23 +13 +44' 4 +17 +5' 11.2 -5.8 W W O 0
SUN 17 1995 ATL SF H 3-14 13-7 6-0 6-6 28-27 +10 +48' 1 +11 +6' 8.8 -2.2 W W O 0
SUN 5 1997 ATL DEN H 0-15 7-8 7-6 7-0 21-29 +11' +43 -8 +3' +7 5.2 1.8 L W O 0
SUN 9 1998 CIN DEN H 3-3 9-3 0-7 14-20 26-33 +11' +49 -7 +4' +10 7.2 2.8 L W O 0
SUN 15 1998 BAL MIN H 14-12 0-13 0-10 14-3 28-38 +10 +45' -10 0 +20' 10.2 10.2 L P O 0
SUN 8 2000 CIN DEN H 0-7 10-7 7-0 14-7 31-21 +10 +43 10 +20 +9 14.5 -5.5 W W O 0
SUN 16 2000 CIN JAC H 0-0 0-7 7-7 10-0 17-14 +10 +41 3 +13 -10 1.5 -11.5 W W U 0
SUN 17 2003 DET STL H 3-0 7-20 17-0 3-0 30-20 +11 +45 10 +21 +5 13.0 -8.0 W W O 0
SUN 14 2004 TEX IND H 0-14 7-0 7-3 0-6 14-23 +10 +57 -9 +1 -20 -9.5 -10.5 L W U 0
Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot
SUN 7 2005 TEX IND H 0-7 14-7 0-10 6-14 20-38 +14' +44' -18 -3' +13' 5.0 8.5 L L O 0
MON 13 2007 BAL NE H 7-3 3-7 7-7 7-10 24-27 +20 +49' -3 +17 +1' 9.2 -7.8 L W O 0
SUN 14 2007 DET DAL H 10-0 10-14 7-0 0-14 27-28 +10' +51' -1 +9' +3' 6.5 -3.0 L W O 0
SUN 6 2009 RAI PHI H 7-3 3-3 0-0 3-3 13-9 +14 +40' 4 +18 -18' -0.2 -18.2 W W U 0
SUN 10 2009 STL NO H 0-0 14-14 3-7 6-7 23-28 +13' +50' -5 +8' +0' 4.5 -4.0 L W O 0
SUN 13 2009 CLE SD H 7-10 0-3 0-14 16-3 23-30 +13 +43 -7 +6 +10 8.0 2.0 L W O 0
SUN 15 2009 STL TEX H 0-3 10-3 3-7 0-3 13-16 +13 +43' -3 +10 -14' -2.2 -12.2 L W U 0
SUN 7 2011 MIN GB H 7-7 10-6 0-20 10-0 27-33 +10 +46' -6 +4 +13' 8.8 4.8 L W O 0
SUN 8 2011 STL NO H 0-0 17-0 7-7 7-14 31-21 +13' +48' 10 +23' +3' 13.5 -10.0 W W O 0
SUN 15 2011 KC GB H +14' +46

On Saturday the NFL Power System Play is on Tampa Bay. Game 304 at 8:20 eastern. The Bucs have been a bust this season. However as we saw a few weeks back in their win vs the Saint they can rise to the occasion. They are taking a touchdown here in this one vs a Dallas team that blew 2 straight games after having a lead in the 4th quarter. Now we add this tight system that plays on teams with at least one win in a non division game if they are +6.5 or more and come in off a non division loss vs an opponent off a division loss. These dogs are 23-3 ats, and I can make it perfect with a parameter or two. Dallas has to win vs Philly and the Giants. This game win or lose doesn't help or hurt them. Dallas is 1-17 ats as a non division favorite in the last 4 games of the season, while Tampa Bay is 9-0 ats after allowing 35 or more vs an opponent that was a favorite in at leas their last 2 games. The Bucs are also 10-1 straight up and 11-0 ats off a straight up and ats loss vs an opponent off back to back losses.. Take the Points with Tampa Bay


On Saturday the late Bowl game is on UL. Lafayette. Game 205 at 9:00 eastern. UL LAF. Applies to a solid system that plays on neutral dogs of less than 5 that come in with rest and off a road dog loss and ats win. These teams have won and covered 9 of 12 times since 1980. They are 7-0 ats as a dog and 2-0 vs winning teams this season. Even better they like the fake stuff going 10-3 ats, 4-1 this season on Turf. Sd. St is just 1-4 straight up with rest and 1-4 vs winning teams. They have lost 3 of their last 4 bowls, while we note that Sun Belt dogs have covered 4 of the last 5.. Take UL. Lafayette.

On Thursday the NFL power Total is on the Over in Jaguars at Falcons game. Rotation numbers 301/302 at 8:25 eastern. This game fits the big power system below, which plays to the over for home favorites of 10 or more that scored 28 or more as a road favorite if they are not playing before a bye week and are taking on an opponent that scored 21 or more at home on their last game. This system cashes 17 of 19 times. If we insist the home team scores 21 or more the system goes to 17-1. With Atlanta averaging 25 points per game at home and taking on an under .500 team they should get to 21 here. The Falcons have gone over every time at home in Thursday night football games. The Jags are 6-0 over before meetings with the Titans and have flown over in 5 of 6 off a non conference game. In December games the Jags have played over in 6 of the last 9. Look for this one to get over the total tonight.

O/U: 17-2

Rushes Rush Yds Passes Completions Passing Yds TrnOvrs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final
Team: 31.4 139.5 34.6 22.2 283.9 1.8 7.0 12.7 5.8 10.0 35.6
Opp: 21.3 85.9 36.4 20.7 215.6 2.2 5.7 4.8 3.4 5.1 18.9

Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot
SUN 14 1994 SF ATL H 3-7 24-7 7-0 16-0 50-14 -13 +47' 36 +23 +16' 19.8 -3.2 W W O 0
SUN 2 1995 DAL DEN H 0-0 14-7 7-7 10-7 31-21 -10 +44 10 0 +8 4.0 4.0 W P O 0
SUN 6 1995 RAI SEA H 3-0 10-0 14-7 7-7 34-14 -10 +39' 20 +10 +8' 9.2 -0.8 W W O 0
MON 16 1995 SF MIN H 21-0 6-20 3-7 7-3 37-30 -13' +47 7 -6' +20 6.8 13.2 W L O 0
SUN 15 1996 SF CAR H 0-10 17-17 0-3 7-0 24-30 -10 +37' -6 -16 +16' 0.2 16.2 L L O 0
SUN 17 1996 GB MIN H 7-7 3-3 14-0 14-0 38-10 -11 +38' 28 +17 +9' 13.2 -3.8 W W O 0
SUN 3 1997 NE NYJ H 14-7 0-3 3-7 7-7 27-24 -10 +45 3 -7 +6 -0.5 6.5 W L O 1
SUN 5 1998 DEN PHI H 28-0 7-2 6-0 0-14 41-16 -14' +43' 25 +10' +13' 12.0 1.5 W W O 0
SUN 7 1998 SF IND H 0-14 17-7 0-10 17-0 34-31 -17 +44' 3 -14 +20' 3.2 17.2 W L O 0
SUN 10 1998 JAC CIN H 10-0 14-0 0-3 0-8 24-11 -10' +47 13 +2' -12 -4.8 -7.2 W W U 0
Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot
SUN 14 1998 DEN KC H 7-21 14-0 0-7 14-3 35-31 -13' +47 4 -9' +19 4.8 14.2 W L O 0
SUN 3 2000 STL SF H 3-7 14-10 7-0 17-7 41-24 -16' +57 17 +0' +8 4.2 3.8 W W O 0
SUN 6 2001 STL NYG H 6-7 3-0 0-0 6-7 15-14 -10' +45' 1 -9' -16' -13.0 -3.5 W L U 0
SUN 17 2001 STL IND H 7-7 28-7 0-3 7-0 42-17 -13 +59 25 +12 0 6.0 -6.0 W W P 0
MON 6 2005 IND STL H 0-17 14-3 10-0 21-8 45-28 -13' +51 17 +3' +22 12.8 9.2 W W O 0
SUN 5 2007 NE CLE H 10-0 10-0 0-3 14-14 34-17 -16' +48 17 +0' +3 1.8 1.2 W W O 0
SUN 8 2007 NE WAS H 7-0 17-0 14-0 14-7 52-7 -16 +49 45 +29 +10 19.5 -9.5 W W O 0
SUN 11 2007 DAL WAS H 0-7 7-3 7-3 14-10 28-23 -10 +47 5 -5 +4 -0.5 4.5 W L O 0
SUN 12 2009 SD KC H 7-0 21-7 10-7 5-0 43-14 -13' +45 29 +15' +12 13.8 -1.8 W W O 0
THUR 15 2011 ATL JAC H -11' +42

On Monday the NFL Totals system is on the Over in the Rams At Sea Hawks game. Rotation numbers 133/134 at 8:35 eastern. This game fits 2 solid systems that pertain to the Over. We want to play the over for teams that are meeting for the second time within they last 2-3 weeks and reverse the total of the first game. These two played a few weeks ago and the game went under. The second system pertains to road dogs of 10 or more off a road dog loss and scored 21 or less and had 50 or less yards rushing, and the opponent was a dog in the last game. This system has cashed all but one time the last 22 years and averages 47 points per game. The Rams are off a shutout loss and such teams have trended toward the over following the inept performance. The Rams have played over in 15 of 21 on the road on Monday night football, while the Hawks have flown over in 6 of the last 9 in December and 17 of 25 at home when the total is 35.5 to 38. On Monday nights Seattle has gone over in 5 of their 6 home games. Look for a higher scoring game than what many expect here tonight. Take the over.

On Sunday the NFC East Power Clash Division winner Side is on the New York Giants. Game 131 at 830 eastern. The Giants were JOBBED last week at home vs the Packers. They were called for several of the same infractions Green Bay committed. They were good enough to win that game and give the Packers their closest call this season. Now they travel to Dallas where they have won each of the last 2 seasons to take on a Dallas team that gave one away in Arizona last week. Dallas is a paltry 0-11 ats off a straight up favored loss vs an opponent that has revenge. The Giants are 9-0 ats in December as a dog off a non division game vs an opponent off a straight up favored loss. Dallas has failed 6 of 7 times in conference play and are 2-6 ats as a favorite. The Giants are 3-1 most recently in the series and benefit from this nugget. Teams in game 13 or later that are .500 and come in off a loss and have revenge have covered 11 of 12 as a dog. Take the Giants here tonight.

On Sunday the Live NFL 96% DOUBLE Dog system play is on the Chicago Bears. Game 127 at 4:05 eastern. The Bears have covered 7 of the 8 in this series and are 8-0 ats vs AFC West teams on the road as a dog off a loss and have covered 5 straight as a dog of 3.5 or more off a non conference game. Denver has allowed a ton of Points vs NFC North teams this season. In 3 games they have allowed 45 twice and 32 last week to the Vikings. While I don't see the Bears lighting it up here, I do see Tebow struggling big time against the best defense he will have seen. Denver is 1-12 ats in December games off an NFC Game and come in off a rare 5 straight dog wins. In games off this many dog wins teams have failed to cover 66% of the time in the next game. Coach Fox for Denver has failed ats in 11 of 12 games vs non division teams that are 500 or better if -7 or less. The cappers is that teams off a straight up favored loss at -7 or more vs an opponent off a spread win are 44-16 ats if they allowed less than 27. DOES A BEAR Crap in the Woods? They do in Denver and spoil the Broncos run. Take the Bears.



On Sunday the NFC West Power system winner is on the Arizona Cardinals. Game 126 at 4;05 eastern. Arizona has played much better of late especially on defense. They are a perfect 7-0 ats as a home dog of more than 3 vs an opponent off a win of 10 or more and Coach Whisenhunt is 7-0 straight up as a home dog vs an opponent off a double digit win. The Niners have failed to cover in 9 of 12 as a road favorite and are just 2-10 ats off a double digit ats win. Now for the systems. Play against road favorites off a home favored win and cover if they won by 14 or more and scored 35 or less and had a prior road dog ats loss. Road favs are 6-22 ats. Road favs of less than 5 are 3-9 ats since 1980 in division games off a home shut out win. Look for Arizona to get the cash here today.

On Sunday the Live NFL 96% DOUBLE Dog system play is on the Chicago Bears. Game 127 at 4:05 eastern. The Bears have covered 7 of the 8 in this series and are 8-0 ats vs AFC West teams on the road as a dog off a loss and have covered 5 straight as a dog of 3.5 or more off a non conference game. Denver has allowed a ton of Points vs NFC North teams this season. In 3 games they have allowed 45 twice and 32 last week to the Vikings. While I don't see the Bears lighting it up here, I do see Tebow struggling big time against the best defense he will have seen. Denver is 1-12 ats in December games off an NFC Game and come in off a rare 5 straight dog wins. In games off this many dog wins teams have failed to cover 66% of the time in the next game. Coach Fox for Denver has failed ats in 11 of 12 games vs non division teams that are 500 or better if -7 or less. The cappers is that teams off a straight up favored loss at -7 or more vs an opponent off a spread win are 44-16 ats if they allowed less than 27. DOES A BEAR Crap in the Woods? They do in Denver and spoil the Broncos run. Take the Bears.



On Sunday the NFC West Power system winner is on the Arizona Cardinals. Game 126 at 4;05 eastern. Arizona has played much better of late especially on defense. They are a perfect 7-0 ats as a home dog of more than 3 vs an opponent off a win of 10 or more and Coach Whisenhunt is 7-0 straight up as a home dog vs an opponent off a double digit win. The Niners have failed to cover in 9 of 12 as a road favorite and are just 2-10 ats off a double digit ats win. Now for the systems. Play against road favorites off a home favored win and cover if they won by 14 or more and scored 35 or less and had a prior road dog ats loss. Road favs are 6-22 ats. Road favs of less than 5 are 3-9 ats since 1980 in division games off a home shut out win. Look for Arizona to get the cash here today.

On Sunday the Early power system play is on the Titans. Game 116 at 1:00 eastern. The Titans fit some solid systems here today, while the Saints fit some negative ones. We want to play against favorites off back to back home wins and covers with the last one a Monday nighter. These favorites are 2-14 ats long term. The Titans 9-0 ats in non division games as a dog off a dog win, while the Saints have failed to cover in 9 of the last 11 tries in the first of back to back road games. The Titans have covered in 15 of 18 at home off a win of 7 or less vs an opponent with revenge in non division games. Non division home dogs off a road dog win are 44-16 vs an opponent off a home win. Lastly home dogs less than 7 that are better than .500 are 31-4 ats off a road dog win since week 12 of 1990. Road favorites like the Saints that won 4 or more in a row and lost prior road games are an 86% go against. I think you get the picture here. Take the Titans and the 3.5 points.

On Sunday the NFL Totals play is on the Over in the Patriots at Redskins game. Rotation numbers 119/120 at 1:00 eastern. This game fits the rare system below that plays to the over for road favorites of 7 or more that come off a home game where they were -10 or more, scored 28 or more and had 250 or more yards passing and played an opponent that scored 21 or less at home. In the series 2 of the 3 have played over and the Pats have gone over 8 straight times as a road favorite of 8 or more. On 6 or less days rest they have played over in 6 of 9. The Skins have played over both times as a home dog from +7.5 to +10. Look for this one to soar over the total today.





O/U: 8-0-0 (9.8) avg total: 45.7 +6: 8-0-0 (100.0%) +10: 8-0-0 (100.0%) +13: 8-0-0 (100.0%)


Rushes Rush Yds Passes Completions Passing Yds TrnOvrs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final
Team: 23.9 86.5 41.2 26.0 297.5 3.0 2.6 7.2 6.0 8.6 24.5
Opp: 29.0 96.5 32.8 20.4 254.6 0.8 6.2 9.1 6.1 9.5 31.0

Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot
SUN 13 1991 HOU PIT A 0-6 7-10 0-7 7-3 14-26 -7 +39' -12 -19 +0' -9.2 9.8 L L O 0
SUN 15 1994 SF SD A 7-0 14-3 3-6 14-6 38-15 -9 +45 23 +14 +8 11.0 -3.0 W W O 0
MON 4 1995 SF DET A 0-3 10-10 7-3 7-11 24-27 -11 +48 -3 -14 +3 -5.5 8.5 L L O 0
SUN 8 2000 STL KC A 0-20 14-7 14-13 6-14 34-54 -7 +55' -20 -27 +32' 2.8 29.8 L L O 0
SUN 4 2001 IND NE A 0-7 0-13 7-3 6-21 13-44 -12 +44 -31 -43 +13 -15.0 28.0 L L O 0
SUN 15 2005 SEA TEN A 14-0 0-14 7-10 7-0 28-24 -7 +45' 4 -3 +6' 1.8 4.8 W L O 0
MON 5 2007 DAL BUF A 0-7 10-10 3-7 12-0 25-24 -10 +44' 1 -9 +4' -2.2 6.8 W L O 0
SUN 16 2010 SD CIN A 0-7 3-6 7-0 10-21 20-34 -7' +43' -14 -21' +10' -5.5 16.0 L L O 0
SUN 14 2011 NE WAS A -8 +48

On Thursday the NFL Power System side is on the Cleveland Browns. Game 101 at 8:25 eastern. The Browns fit a solid system I use for teams play the first of 3+ road games. We want to play on these teams provided they are not favored by 4 or more. That base system is 26-8 ats, I f I want to add a subset or two I can insist the opponent be off a home win which elevates our 26-8 to the 92% level. The Browns have covered the last 6 times off back to back losses vs an opponent off a win of 7 or more and a prior straight up win. The Steelers are 0-8 ats as favorites of 10 or more vs losing teams that come in off an ats loss and are also 1-9 ats off a double digit ats win and scored 35 or more points. Look for the Browns to stay within the number tonight. Take Cleveland.

On Monday the NFL power System side is on the Jaguars. Game 376 at 8:35 eastern. The Jags will be energized with the coaching change here tonight and have 2 Super Rare systems on their side tonight. Since 1981 Monday night home dogs of 3 or more are 7-1 ats if they come in off a home loss. A secondary rare system also dating back well over 25 years is to play against certain teams like the Chargers that arrive off 6+ losses and a straight up favored loss. This system has cashed all but one time as well. The Jaguars are 7-0 straight up at home in tonight's total range and 10-2 ats home off back to back losses. They are also an identical 10-2 ats as a favorite or dog of 3 or less vs an opponent that has failed to cover their last 2 games. The Chargers cant get out of their own way this season and are a paltry 1-8 ats off a division game vs losing teams that have revenge. They have failed to cover 9 of the last 12 on the road on Monday night football. The Jaguars have played solid defense this season. Just ask Baltimore, a much better team that arrived here a few short weeks ago and were defeated as a 10 point favorite. Look for The Jaguars to go for the jugular tonight and dash the Chargers wild card hops for good. Take Jacksonville.

On Sunday night the NFL System Play is on the Detroit Lions. Game 363 at 8:30 eastern. The Saints fit a negative system here that has cashed every time since 1989. We want to play against home teams with a total of 42.5 or more if they scored 42 or more at home in their last game vs an opponent that scored 21 or less at home in their last game. IF out team was a home dog in their last game, which Detroit was at home vs Green Bay, the system is perfect. The Saints played real well of the bye and are now on a short week vs a Detroit team that has extra prep time last playing on Thanksgiving. The Saints are 0-4 ats off aa Monday nighter and Coach Patyon is just 2-9 ats as a home favorite vs a winning team off a loss. The Lions have been solid on the road this season. Look for the Lions to cover in what looks like classic win and no cover for the Saints.

Sunday the 100% NFC Play is on the New York Giants. Game 372 at 4:15 eastern. Many will back the pack here. Especially after watching the Giants get lit up on Monday night football by a rested Saints team. Looking and digging deeper though we note that Undefeated teams in the last quarter have failed to cover EVERY TIME on the road vs non division teams since 1979. The Giants are still right there in the NFC East even with their current losing streak. The Giants are also capable of coming up big at any time, remember the Patriots game a few weeks back. In fact coach Coughlin is perfect ats as a home dog when his teams play an undefeated team. Look for the Giants to give Green Bay a game here today. Take the Giants

On Sunday the NFL Shocker is on the Arizona Cardinals. Game 370 at 4:15 eastern. Arizona has won 3 of the last 4 times outright as a home dog in this range including a nice win here last December vs Dallas as a 7 point dog. They have covered 4 of the last 5 vs NFC East teams. Arizona is 13-3 ats in December games at home vs an opponent with revenge. Dallas has failed to cover 5 of 6 this season off a win and 5 of 6 vs Conference teams. When they take on losing teams they are 1-4 ats. Now for a little system action we blend in this little nugget. Road favorites off a home favored win and ats loss are 3-21 ats vs an opponent off a road win. Dallas is just a 4.5 point favorite, when line looks to good to be true, you know what to do. Take Arizona plus the points .



On Sunday the NCAAB Play is on SMU. Game 847 at 3:00 eastern. The Mustangs play this one with Home loss revenge here today. SMU is a solid 17-5 vs teams with a losing record, 6-1 vs teams who score 63 or less points per game and have won 3 of the 4 games the past few seasons vs The Sun Belt conference with the lone loss to Arkansas Little rock. SMU has also won 5 of 7 when the total is posted at 119.5 or less. Little Rock has lost 12 of 17 vs Conference USA and 7 of 8 vs teams who play good defense and allow less than 64 points per game. In games after they scored 80 or more they have lost 9 of the 13. Look for SMU To get their revenge here today. Take SMU

On Sunday the Early power System Play is on the Minnesota Vikings. Game 366 at 1:00 eastern. Denver fits 2 negative systems that pertain to their Division Road dog win and their being on the road in a non division game here today. The Broncos have won 4 straight as a dog. However this will be a tough spot with Tebow making his first start in a dome with what should be a raucous crowd. The Broncos are 5-17 ats vs NFC North teams and 1-9 ats in December games off back to back wins and covers. They are also 1-5 ats on the road off a division win. The Vikings have covered 4 of the last 5 in the series and are a solid 13-1 ats off back to back losses vs a team that is .500 or better. Look for the Vikings to win this one today. Take Minnesota.

On Sunday the NFL Dog play is on the Colts. Game 373 at 1:00 eastern. The Colts fit 3 solid systems here today. Lets take a look at 2 of them. Teams that are an ats loss streak of 7 or more are 13-2 ats since 1980. Secondly, winless teams in the second half of the season have covered 15 of 16 times if getting more than 10 points. Road dogs that are off back to back home dog losses are a solid investment vs teams off a road win. The Patriots expect to coast here and can coast by 17 points and still not cover. Take the 21 points with the Colts here.

On Monday night the NFL Power System play is on the Saints. Game 240 at 8:30 eastern. The Saints fit the same system the Packers and Patriots fitted the last 2 Mondays which plays on certain home favorites on Monday night football off a win in a non division game vs an opponent off a loss. The game fits most of the upper echelon subsets of the system too. As the road team Giants are off an ats loss of 3 or more and the total is 39 or higher. The Giants have failed to cover 19 of the last 22 vs a winning team off a straight up ats loss vs an opponent off a dog win. In fact the Giants are 1-9 ats in the 2nd half of the season vs winning teams and appear to be a team regressing since their big win vs New England. The Giants have not responded well off back to back losses failing to cover in 5 of the last 6 in that scenario. The Saints have won their last 5 Monday night affairs and will be jacked up at home off they bye week where they have won and covered the last 3 years with the added rest. The Saints have covered 5 of the last 6 in game 11 of the season and the Giants are 0-6 ats on the road off an ats loss of 10 or more. Take the Saints here tonight.

On Sunday the NFL Blowout Side is on the San Diego Chargers. Game 236 at 4:15 eastern. The Broncos are off 3 straight dog wins all of them in dramatic fashion. The Chargers fit 2 Solid systems here today. First we want to play on home favorites from -5 to -10 in Division games that are off a road dog straight up and ats loss vs an opponent off a home dog win. The second system plays against road teams off 3 straight dog wins. Both of these systems date to 1980. The Chargers are 5-1 ats before a Monday night game and won here 35-14 last season. These 2 met once already and Denver emerged with a 5 point win in Denver. The Broncos are 2-9 ats in game 11 and failed to cover 9 of the last 12 vs teams under .500. Look for Denver to break their 5 game losing streak today with a win and cover.

On Sunday the Early 5* NFL Side is on the Colts. Game 224 at 1:00 eastern. The Colts fit a 100% system here that plays on winless teams in game 6 or later off a bye that are off a spread loss of 5 or more and scored 7 or less in the their last game. We also note that Home dogs that lost at least their last 3 vs an opponent that lost their last 3 have covered 17 of the last 21 times. The Colts are 5-1 ats with rest and Carolina has lost the last 12 road games. Look for the Colts to at the very least get the cover.

On Sunday the NFL Totals play is on the Over in the Bills at Jets game. Rotation numbers 217/218 at 1:00 eastern. This game fits a reversal system I use that plays opposite of the total result for teams playing a second time in a 2-3 week span. The first game went under in a Jets 27-11 win. This one projects to go over the total. The Jets have flown over in 7 of 10 as a road favorite loss and 3 of 4 coming off a Thursday game. The Bills have played over in 5 of 5 as a road dog in this range the past 3 years and 5 of 6 as a dog on the road in their 3rd straight road game. Look for this one to fly over the total in what's expected to a sunny and Mild day in New York. Take the Over.

On Thursday night the Later Power Play is on the Baltimore Ravens. Game 108 at 8:20 eastern. The Ravens fit a solid system that plays on home favorites of less than -5 in non division games with no rest if they are .500 or better and off a home favored win and cover vs an opponent also off a home favored win and cover and a prior win. These homers are 9-1 straight up with 8 covers since 1980. The Ravens are a poised team with big game experience and coach Harbaugh is 16-0 with 13 covers as a home favorite of 7 or less. They have won 8 of the last 10 at home when the total is 38.5 to 42. The Niners are 2-13 ats in November off a win vs a .500 or better opponent also off a win. They are 1-6 ats off a division win vs a non division win and have lost 21 of 26 on the road vs Non division teams. Even better dogs with a better record on Thanksgiving day have failed to cover 1o of 11 times the last 31 years. Baltimore ruins the niners perfect spread record. Take Baltimore.

On Thursday the Afternoon Power Side is on Dallas. Game 106 at 4;15 eastern. Thanks giving day favorites are 17-1 and 16-2 ats the last 23 years off back to back wins. Dallas is on a roll right now and Rob Ryan has this defense clicking on all cylinders. The Cowboys are an amazing 10-0 ats off a win vs losing teams on Thanksgiving day and 9-0 ats on Turkey day if off a win and the opponent is .700 or less. Miami has done well to get 3 straight wins but this is a tough spot to travel to Texas on just 3 days rest against a winning team. Look for Dallas to get the win and cover.

On Turkey day early play is on Green Bay. Game 103 at 12:30 eastern. The Packers will be ready for this one as they play with Qb Knockout revenge from last seasons 7-3 loss here in which the Lions knocked Rogers out of the game. Today we note that Turkey day favorites are 17-1 with 16 covers off back to back wins. The Lions also apply to a negative system which is RARE with only 9 applications and plays against home dogs from 5-10 in division play that are off a home favored win and cover vs an opponent off a win. Green Bay has covered 4 of the last 5 here and are 12-3 ats as favorites after scoring 35 or more and 8-1 ats in November vs an opponent off a home game. When they are road favorites from -3.5 to -7 they are 5-1 ats and have been solid vs winning teams in the second half the past 3 years going 9-3 ats. The Lions are 1-8 ats in all 3 of the following situations. As a home dog vs an opponent revenge. Off a win vs an opponent with revenge and in division play vs an opponent off 2+ wins with revenge. They are also 2-10 ats as a dog 10 less vs teams that are .666 or better. The Lions are 0-7 straight up and ats the last 7 Thanksgivings. Look for the Packers to get the win and cover

On Monday night the NFL play is on the New England Patriots. Game 440 at 8:30 eastern. The Patriots fit a solid Monday night specific system that plays on non division home teams off a win, vs an opponent off a loss of 3 or more and ats loss of 3 or more, if the total is 39 or more.. The Chiefs fit a secondary never lost system that plays against road dogs of 10 or more off a home favored loss and scored 14 or less, vs an opponent that scored 28 or more as a road dog last out. These road teams deserve to this heavy a dog. They have lost every time and by an average 30-5 score. The Patriots are ready to roll after basically putting themselves in an excellent position to win yet another AFC East title. The Chiefs will be without starting qb Cassel who has been largely inconsistent this season. Consider that KC Has been destroyed by Buffalo and Miami already this season and wee see the makings of a long night. The Only way they stay in this one is if the refs even things out in the penalty area. That said were backing the better team to get the win and cover. Take the Patriots

On Sunday the NFL Power Side is on the Eagles. Game 437 at 8:30 eastern. The Eagles may be without Vick. However V. Young has plenty of starting experience and should be able to do a credible job in what is a back to the wall must win game for the Eagles. Philly plays this one with revenge, a role they are 13-2 ats in if off a double digit ats loss. They are also 15-2 ats away with revenge vs an opponent off a road game in the month of November. The Giants still have to deal with a solid Eagle defense. The Giants are 1-7 ats at home vs an opponent off a double digit loss and 1-8 ats at home when the total is 45.5 to 49. In November they are 2-8 ats most recently. We have already seen the Giants lose here as an 11 point favorite to Seattle and barely get by a then winless Miami team. Look for a spirited effort from Philly as they move to 5-0 ats here. Take Philly here tonight

On Sunday the NFL Total of the Month is on the Over in the Titans at Falcons game. Rotation numbers 415/416 at 4;15 eastern. This game fits one of my favorite totals systems. We want to play the over for non division teams off a straight up division home favored loss by 3 or less points if they scored 21 or more points. Like this the system is 24-5. If I add a subset or two I can bang that 24-5 down to 18-0. Atlanta has gone over the total in 6 of the last 7 in the 2nd of back to back home games if -6 or less and 6 of 8 to the over at home if the total is 42.5 to 45. When playing off a loss the Falcons have played over in 3 of the last 4. The Titans should also do nicely on the offensive side of the ball. Look for this one to play over the total.

On Sunday the Non Conference Game of the Year is on the Chargers. Game 435 at 4;15 eastern. WHY? Would anyone take a team that blew a 3 game lead in their division with repeated bone head mistakes and in the midst of a 4 game losing streak. The reason is that dogs of 2 or more off a straight up favored loss at -7 or higher while allowing less than 27 points are 44-15 ats vs an opponent off an ats win. Those who know me, know that 44-15 id solid but wont do. So I dig and go 3 subsets deep to bang this 44-15 down to 29-1. The Chargers also have better numbers on both sides of the ball and have the benefit of 2 extra days after playing on Thursday. The Chargers are an incredible 8-0 ats on the road off back to back losses, vs an opponent off back to back wins. The Bears are 1-13 ats off back to back wins vs an opponent off back to back losses and 1-8 ats off back to back wins with the last coming by 10 or more. An incredible coincidence in this game. All systems and Angles aside. The Bears were in a Big trash talking revenge match vs Detroit last out and it is unlikely that they can carry that edge into this one. The Chargers are off a tough Division home favorite loss and will be anxious to get things back on track in a division that is still up for grabs. With the Chargers 10-1 ats as a road dog in November if they were favored in their last game we will back them here. Take the Chargers and the points.

On Sunday the Early Double Down Power Pack is on the Cleveland Browns. Game 421 at 1:00 eastern and Carolina. Game 425 at 1:00 eastern. Both these plays have tremendous power systems in their favor. Jacksonville applies to a big negative system that plays against non division road teams off a division road win if they scored 26 or less and are taking on an opponent off a straight up and ats loss if they are a dog or favorite of 7 or less. The Jaguars cant be trusted to win 2 straight on the road here. Take Cleveland. Carolina fits a big system as well. We want to play on teams with 1 or more win at +6.5 or more vs a non division team and are taking on an opponent off a division loss. This system cashes over 96% and is 23-3 of late. The Panthers also fit a secondary system that plays on road teams as long as they are not laying 4 or more in the 1st of 3+ road games. These teams are 26-6 ats. The Panthers have covered 4 of the last 5 as a dog after scoring 10 or less vs a non division team. Detroit is 0-9 ats vs a non division team off 2 or more losses and clearly are not the same team that started 5-0 now having lost 3 of the last 4. With Carolina 7-0 ats off a straight up favored loss by 10 or more vs an opponent off a loss and ats loss, we will back Carolina here.

On Monday night the NFL Selection side is on the Green Bay Packers. Game 246 at 8:35 eastern. Green Bay fits a short Turn around System I use for teams that are playing for the second within a 2-3 week time frame. The system basically reverses the game one results and the unique parameters suggest a Green Bay win and cover. The system is an Oldie but goody dating all the way back to 1973. The Packers also have some solid angles pointing their way. The Pack are 12-1 ats off a win vs an opponent with rest and 11-2 ats as favorites after scoring 35 or more. They have also covered the last 6 in week 9 of the season. In games where they allowed 35 or more they have come back to cover 6 of the last 7. The Vikings have lost and failed to cover the last 4 on Monday night and are 0-4 ats in week 9. When playing with revenge they are 0-7 ats as a dog off a road game. The Vikings hung tough making a nice comeback at home to cover a few weeks ago. However even if the refs help them with some timely penalties for Green Bay it still may not be enough to Stop a Green Bay team that has had it with talk of their weak defense. Look for Green Bay to win and cover tonight.

On Sunday night the AFC EAST BEAST SIDE is on the NEW YORK JETS. Game 244 at 8;30 eastern. Last week no one believed the Vaunted Patriots could possible lose 2 straight. Then the Giants pulled off a big win. The same skeptics wont believe they could lose 3 straight. HOWEVER. The Jets have revenge and have played much better here than in New England. They will be on Brady all night and be very physical at the line of scrimmage. Since Ryan has been here they have allowed just 11 points per game against the Jets here. The Patriots have a leaky defense that can be exploited here with a Jets offensive line that has played much better in recent weeks. The Jets KNOW they cant lose here and fall 2 games behind the Patriots and lose a possible tie breaker scenario. This IS the most important game for their season, win or their playing for a wild card and 3 road games to get to the super bowl. The Good news is the Jets are 15-2 straight up as a home favorite vs .600 or less opposition and 6-1 off a dog win. They have won and covered 7 of the last 8 off a division win and have won and covered 8 of the last 11 with revenge. In Sunday night games the Jets are 7-1 straight up and against the spread off a win. The Patriots have failed to cover 4 of the last 5 times as a road dog vs an opponent off a win of 14 or more. Jets Defense has played much better and have been a big reason why they have catapulted back into the division race. Look for the Jets to soar past the Patriots tonight. Take the Jets.

On Sunday the AFC Early dog with bite is on the Colts. Game 222 at 1:00 eastern. The Colts fit a myriad of winless teams systems for this time of year. Let us have a look see at one of the tighter ones.We want to play on winless home dogs after week 4 that scored 7 or less last out. In reality the Colts were shutout as their only score came on a pick six. Look for them to rebound here. I actually think this is a win for them here.Jage are just the 2nd losing team they have pled. Jags are 5-15 on the road including 0-4 this season. As a favorite they are 1-7 ats if -9.5 or less vs .333 or less. They are 0-8 ats in November games vs losing teams off a an ats loss of 10 or more. Look for the Cots to get the cash.

On Sunday the Non Conference play is on the St. Louis Rams. Game 235 at 1:00 eastern. The Browns fit a bad home favorite system that plays against home favorites in non conference games that are under .500 if both teams are off road dog losses and failed to cover. These home favorites are 9-19 straight up and 7-21 ats. Cleveland is 2-8 ats as a home favorite, while the Rams are 10-0 ats off a straight up and ats loss vs an opponent that is less than .500 in non divisional games. The Browns are 0-7 ats if less than .500 vs an opponent off an NFC game that has revenge and 0-4 ats at home as a favorite of 3 or less off a loss. Brown check in at 1-8 straight up in game 9. The Rams are the play today.

On Sunday the 31-5 statisticians dream play is on Arizona. Game 237 at 1:00 Eastern. Check this cutting edge power system out. Visiting teams off a win at +8 or more have covered the spread 31 of 36 times if both teams are under 500. Philly continues to receive way too much respect. They are 14 point favorites while continuing to disappoint. Even without Kolb this is too many points. Take Arizona to cash with a 14 point or maybe higher at game time spread.

On Sunday the road warrior play is on Buffalo. Game 223 at 1:00 eastern. Buffalo plays the first of 3 straight road games here. When NFL teams take to the road in the first of these 3 game sets they are 25-5 ats provided they are not laying more than 4 points. The Bills are 5-1 ats as a road dog from +3.5 to 7 and have a nice 16-9 record vs NFC East teams even with some of their lean year records. They are a team that capitalizes on turnovers and Dallas is a team that has the propensity to turn it over. While I don't think they will win, I do think they can stay close and get the cover. Take Buffalo.

On Sunday the AFC North Power play is on the Bengals. Game 218 at 1:00 eastern. Many love the Steelers to bounce back here off the loss to Baltimore. The Reality though is that the Bengals are for real and can win this one. We note that, home dogs of less than 7 that are winning teams off a road dog win vs an opponent off a home game are 31-3 ats with a little subset action. The Bengals are 6-0 ats in conference games and 8-1 ats as dogs off a dog win. As a home dog of 3 or less they are 6-1 straight up. They have covered 7 of the last in game nines. Cincy is 2-0 vs teams that have winning record when they have played them. The Steelers are 2-8 ats as a road favorite of more than 3 and have failed to cover 6 of the last 8 on turf. The Stark reality is that a better Steeler team last season beat a much worse Bengal team by here last season. The Bengals are much improved and will give the Steeelers a game that the Pittsburgh may not believe they are capable of giving them. Take the Bengals here today.

On Thursday the NFL POWER SYSTEM side is on the Oakland Raiders. Game 107 at 8:20 eastern. The Raiders fit a Solid System here that plays on road dogs off a division home favored loss at -6.5 or higher vs an opponent that is .500 or better and also off a loss. This system has cashed 14 of the last 15 times. The Raiders will look to get the Denver debacle behind then knowing they are 6-0 ats on the road off back to back losses vs a division opponent and have covered 6 of the last vs an opponent that has revenge. The Raiders have covered the last 4 in the series and 10 of the last 11 as division dogs off a division loss. The Chargers are 0-7 ats in the 2nd of back to back home games after allowing 35 or more. Look for Oakland to get the cover.

On Monday the NFL Totals system side is on the under in the Chicago At Philly game. Rotation numbers 431/432 at 8:35 eastern. This game fits a rare system that plays to the under for Home favorites of 7 or more if the total is 44.5 or higher and they are coming off a home win scoring 21 or more on 200 or more yards rushing. Power Angles? We have them, The Bears have gone under in 18 of 23 as a dog and all 7 times off a bye week. When on the road with a total of 45.5 to 49 they have gone under all 5 times the last 3+ seasons. The Eagles have played under all 5 times recently at home after allowing 7 or less points. At home with a total of 45.5 to 49 the Eagles have played under 6 of 8 times. When they are favored by more than 7 off back to back wins they have played under all 9 times. Look for this one to play under as well tonight.

On Sunday night the NFL Power Side is on the Baltimore Ravens. Game 429 at 8:30 eastern. The Ravens have played lethargically for long periods the past 2 games. Last week they barely escaped at home as a 13 point favorite getting a late field goal to take down Arizona. The week before they lost at Jacksonville on Monday night football. Now they travel to Pittsburgh a team they defeated in week one in perhaps the best game they have played all season. The fact is this Ravens team was built with beating Pittsburgh in mind. This game will awaken the Ravens here tonight. Baltimore is 5-0 ats as a division dog, 8-1 ats as a dog off a double digit spread loss and have covered 4 of the past 5 off 2 ats losses. The Steelers do have revenge but may not play as well as they did last week in a statement win over the Patriots. The Steelers are 1-10 ats as a favorite of less than 4 under Coach Tomlin vs an opponent with a win percentage of .760 or less. Take the Points here as the Ravens get the cash.

On Sunday the NFC West play is on the St. Louis Rams. Game 423 at 4:15 eastern. Many will fade the Rams here off the big Home dog win over the Saints. However the Cardinals are very weak on defense and may not have Kolb. The Rams may get Bradford back but can play well enough even with Feeley. For technical purposes we note that teams like the Cardinals coming home off a loss of 3 or less as a road dog of 10 or more are as flat as a pancake off the big effort and near miss. These teams are 5-27 ats. The Rams are 9-1 ats off a non division win of 10 or more and are 100% after scoring 34 or more in the situation there in today. The Rams have covered 5 of the last 7 in November and the Cardinals are 0-4 ats as a home favorite of 3 or less. Take the Rams plus the points in this one.