Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-01-13 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. Carolina Panthers -7 | 6-27 | Win | 100 | 24 h 38 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Dominator Play is on Carolina. Game 430 at 1:00 Eastern. Carolina has been solid of late and continues to play tremendous defense. Last week they came from behind against Miami on the road in a game they had every reason to be flat in after winning at San Francisco and on Monday night vs New England. The Bucs have won 3 straight and come off a road dog win as a dog of +7 in Detroit. That win sets them up in a negative system that plays against road dogs of 7 or more off a road dog win at +7 or higher. Carolina is 11-0 ats at home off a road game where Steve Smith had 4 or more catches and 8-0 to the spread off a win where they had at least one rushing touchdown. All teams that are off a road dog win that had a defensive touchdown have failed to cover 9 of the last 10 times. Carolina is 8-1 ats as favorites of 8 or more. Look for Carolina to coast past Tampa Today. Take Carolina
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12-01-13 | New England Patriots v. Houston Texans +9 | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 17 h 48 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Power System Play is on Houston. Game 444 at 1:00 eastern. The Texans have double revenge for a pair of blowout losses the last 2 years to the Patriots on the road. Now they get them at home. The Texans allow just 290 yards per game the #1 statistical ranked defense in the league. They get over 7 points here as they are off a pair of home losses. Last week they lost for a 2nd straight week as a double digit favorite. The Jags were able to beat them in a low scoring game. Home teams in game 3 of a home stands that lost the first 2 are winning over 80% of the time and are perfect to the spread if they are taking more than 3 points.. The Patriots made a tremendous come back after getting down 21 points half way through the first quarter. Teams who come back from monumental deficits tend to flatten out like a short stack at IHOP. The Texans are right there every week with the last 5 games decided by 7 or less. They have covered 8 straight after playing Jacksonville. Look for the Texans to stay close in this one.
The NFL bonus Dog play is on Jacksonville. Game 429 at 1:00 eastern. The Jags fit one of the more solid systems in the Library here today that does not pop up too often. We want to play on visiting teams that are getting more than 7 points if both teams are under .500. These teams with one more subset added in are 31-2 ats. The Jags do not play well of a loss but they are 5-1 ats after allowing 10 or less and 4-1 ats after Houston. The Browns are 0-8 ats vs non division teams if they are on the road next week. Cleveland is laying alot of points here today for a team that is under .500 and may win but this game should be close as Jacksonville playing better now than they were earlier on the season. Take the Jaguars. |
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11-28-13 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Baltimore Ravens -2.5 | 20-22 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 56 m | Show | |
On Thursday night in the late NFL Game our Selection is on the Baltimore Ravens. Game 308 at 8:35 eastern. We will play against the Steelers here as they are off a division road dog win vs Cleveland and now have another Divisional road game just 3 days later. The Schedule makers did not do them any favored here. In fact 2nd half road teams off road win of 10 or more have failed to cover over 80% of the time if the spread is within 3 of pickem. All NFL Division dogs off a division road dog win have struggled vs teams who come in off a win. The Steelers in particular have failed to cover 6 of 8 in this role. The Ravens and all defending super bowl winners that are under .500 after week 8 have cashed over 75% if they are a dog or favorite of 3 or less. The Ravens are 7-1 ats off a win vs an opponent off a win. This game should be grueling and close throughout with 6 of the last 8 decided by 4 or less points. Were banging Baltimore tonight. We mean that figuratively not literally.
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11-28-13 | Oakland Raiders v. Dallas Cowboys UNDER 48 | 24-31 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 34 m | Show | |
On Turkey the NFL Never lost Thursday specific totals system is on the under in the Oakland at Dallas Game. Rotation numbers 305/306 at 4:30 eastern. On Thursday home favorites playing off a road win, vs an opponent off a home loss have played under every time and these games have averaged 29 points per game which is far below the posted total here. Dallas comes in off a big road dog in in New York and they are 9 of 12 to the under off a division game. Oakland may struggle here on the road to score with Mcgoin making just his 2nd road start. The Raiders have stayed under in 4 of 5 on Thursday and 19 of 27 long term on the road when the total is 45.5 to 49. Both games in the series here have played under. Look for this one to be lower scoring than expected. Take the Under.
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11-28-13 | Green Bay Packers v. Detroit Lions -6 | 10-40 | Win | 100 | 23 h 42 m | Show | |
On Thanksgiving Day the Early Turkey Fryer Power System Side is on the Detroit Lions. Game 304 at 12:30 eastern. Home favorites of 3 or more on Thursday with a total of more than 40 have lost Just once Since the inception of the database if both teams scored 21 or more as a home favorites in the last game and win by an average 10 points per game. The Lions are off a tough loss to Tampa and should rebound nicely here as they finally have a team that's good enough to win on Thanks Giving Day. Also of note is that home favorites on Turkey day have covered 15 of 17 times long term. The Packers have lost 7 of 8 vs Detroit of they arrive off a prior division game and without Qb A. Rodgers they will be up against it here with a defense that has allowed more than 24 points in 5 straight games. Were doing Detroit here in the Opener.
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11-25-13 | San Francisco 49ers -4.5 v. Washington Redskins | 27-6 | Win | 100 | 28 h 14 m | Show | |
On Monday night the NFL Power System Play is on the San Francisco 49ers. Game 233 at 8:40 eastern. The niners have all the situations going their way tonight. The Niners have won and covered both games vs losing teams this season and are 4-1 ats as a road favorite from -3.5 to -7. They are an incredible 27-9 ats on Monday night football including 8-0 ats as a road favorite. Washington is 1-6 ats as a dog and has lost 4 of the last 5 here vs the Niners. Non division home dogs off a division road loss have failed to cover 29 of 35. Road teams are 17-3 ats if both teams played on artificial turf in their last game. The Niners are off back to back losses and should bounce back here tonight. Take The San Francisco 49ers on Monday night.
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11-24-13 | Denver Broncos -1 v. New England Patriots | Top | 31-34 | Loss | -118 | 25 h 14 m | Show |
On Sunday night football we will back the Denver Broncos. Game 231 at 8;30 eastern. The Patriots are off a tough loss on Monday night football and now must bounce back against the Conferences best offense. While the Patriots have been solid off a loss with Bradichick in their time together the Pats will have a tough time stopping Denver. Most of the public have started playing the Patriots thinking they will not lose 2 straight and fade the Broncos since they may be flat off a big divisional first place grabbing win vs KC. However, with the line under 3 now we note that Sunday Home dogs off a Monday road dog loss while scoring 21 or less, vs an opponent off a home favored win and scored 21 or more have Struggled big time losing 12 of 13 times since 1989. Denver too good this season. Take Denver tonight.
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11-24-13 | Dallas Cowboys v. NY Giants -2.5 | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
NFL OFF SHORE STEAM BUY ORDER PLAY On NY. Giants.Game 230 at 4:25 eastern Buy order comes down shortly prior to 1pm eastern. These off shore releeases are on a 23-9 all sport run
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11-24-13 | Tennessee Titans -1 v. Oakland Raiders | 23-19 | Win | 100 | 21 h 7 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Later Afternoon Double perfect Power Play is on the Tennessee Titans. Game 225 at 4;05 eastern. Oakland survived the shock value of the first game with the back up Qb. Now the reality sets in and the mistakes start to happen. Oakland is 0-14 to the spread off a spread win by 7 or more if they allowed more than 20 points. The Raiders are 0-15 to the spread as a home favorite of less than 4 points vs losing teams, while the Titans are 7-2 off back to back losses and 4-0 ats on the road. The Titans have covered the last 7 times vs teams who have the same exact record as they do. Finally home teams have been big time money burners off a road dog at +10 or more. The high end subset to that system is that they are a dog or favorite of less than 3 and the opponent scored 21+ points. We will back the Titans today.
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11-24-13 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. Detroit Lions -8 | 24-21 | Loss | -110 | 36 h 33 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Early Power System Play is on the Detroit Lions. Game 210 at 1;00 eastern. The Lions have covered 8 of the last 9 in the series an their is a perfect system that plays against Tampa Bay and teams who have scored more than their season to date average in 3 straight games if they are on the road and taking 7 or more points. These teams are losing by over 23 points per game and are winless to the spread. The Bucs are 0-7 to the spread as a dog off an ats win by 9+ points in their last game which was a divisional game. The Lions are averaging nearly 40 points per game as a favorite in games prior to Thanksgiving. With the Lions having an edge of over 100 yards on offense we will back them here today.
On Sunday the early bonus dog is on Jacksonville. Game 211 at 1:00 eastern. JAX is 9-2 to the spread as a division dog of 3.5 or more off a spread loss. Houston is 0-8 ats if they has a receiving touchdown in their last game. Their is also a nice play against system for home favorites of 7 or more that are off 3+ losses if they are laying 7 or more. It will be no surprise to see the Jaguars stay close in this game. Take the points. |
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11-24-13 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Cleveland Browns -1 | 27-11 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 33 m | Show | |
In AFC North action the Power System Play is on Cleveland. Game 220 at 1:00 eastern. The Steelers are 0-9 to the spread in grass road games, and have lost 7 straight on the road in division games off a 10+ points win, vs an opponent off a loss. Another Solid system comes into play in this game and pertains to teams that are under .500 and are off a home dog win and scored more than 29 points. These teams have never won going back to 1978 and have covered just 3 times. Since December of last year all road dogs off a home dog win are 0-13 straight with just one spread win. Finally division home favorites less less than 5 off a road loss and allowed 40 or more vs an opponent off a home win have covered 10 of 14 long term. Look for Cleveland to win this one.
3 team 10 point NFL Power Teaser. Cleveland to +9 - The Browns have covered 31 straight on a 10 point teaser line off a road game Minnesota to +14.5 The Vikings have covered 21 straight on a teaser line on the road off a road. Detroit +1 Lions average nearly 40 points as a favorite in games the week before Thanks giving |
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11-21-13 | New Orleans Saints v. Atlanta Falcons OVER 52.5 | 17-13 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 40 m | Show | |
On Thursday the NFL Perfect power systems totals play is on the Over in the New Orleans at Atlanta game. Rotation numbers 107/108 at 8:25 eastern. We have a Thursday specific system that pertains to this game and is has not lost in the history of the database. Play the over for home dogs off a road loss on Thursday if they scored 21 or more points. A secondary system that has cashed 80% is to play on Thursday road favorites like the Saints that are off a home win and scored 21 or more points. The Falcons have flown over in 4 of 5 as Division home dogs and 4 of at home this season. In games off 2+ losses they are 3-1 over and they are allowing 28 points per game here. The Saints have played over in 9 of 13 vs losing teams and will have no problems moving the ball vs a depleted Atlanta defense. The Saints have flown over in 7 of the last 8 after playing the San Francisco 49ers. Look for an entertaining game here tonight in a game that should fly over the total.
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11-18-13 | New England Patriots v. Carolina Panthers -1 | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 43 h 47 m | Show | |
On Monday night the NFL power System Play is on the Carolina Panthers. Game 430 at 8:40 eastern. Carolina has won and covered 5 straight and come off their biggest win of the season in a road dog win in San Francisco. Monday night non division home teams are 12-2 ats off back to back wins vs an opponent that scored 30 or more in their last game. The Patriots are off a bye week and a prior blowout win over the Steelers. The Panthers have been solid on defense and are allowing under 10 points at home while putting up 27. The Patriots are scoring and allowing around 21 points on the road. The Patriots have failed to cover 4 of 5 in the series. Carolina has a solid defensive edge in this game. For those who think Carolina will bounce after beating the Niners we throw this stat out there. The last 10 teams to be San Francisco are 10-0 straight up. Tom Brady has failed to cover the last 5 times off a bye week if he is playing a team that won and covered at least their last 2 games. Look for the Panthers to tear up the Patriots tonight.
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11-17-13 | Kansas City Chiefs +7.5 v. Denver Broncos | 17-27 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 41 m | Show | |
On Sunday night football the Power System Play is on the KC. Chiefs. Game 421 at 8:30 eastern. KC will likely stay in this game with defense against a Banged up Petyon Manning. KC has the extra week to prepare for this game and that can make a big difference. In fact In game 6 or later teams that are at least 5-0 and are playing with rest have won over 80% of the time. And who better to have rest in a big game but coach Andy Reid who is 4-0 on the road off a bye week and 7-1 ats as a dog of 6 or more. The Broncos are just 2-11 ats as a division favorite of 16 or less. Denver is also 0-7 ats at home vs an opponent who averages 6 or more punts per game. The Chief are 6-0 ats as a dog if they scored a defensive touchdown in their last game. There only been one other road dog of 7 or more since 1989 to come off a bye week and a prior road favorite win and cover, and that team won straight up. KC has a Qb in Alex Smith who has won 28 of his last 33 starts. Take the disrespected dog in this. Take the Chiefs.
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11-17-13 | Green Bay Packers v. NY Giants UNDER 42.5 | 13-27 | Win | 100 | 39 h 46 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Afternoon Perfect totals Angle is on the Under in the Green Bay at NY. Giants game. Rotation numbers 427/428 at 4:25 eastern. The Giants as seen below have played under in 21 straight if they are off a home win and rushed the ball 11 or more times that they have averaged on the season. They have also played under 11 of 12 times as a favorite off a home win in a game where they were trailing at the half. The Packers have stayed under in 7 of the last in if they are off back to back home games. With 3rd string Qb Tolzien making his first road start, the Packers will rely on a big defensive effort to stay in the game resulting in what could be a lower scoring affair here today. We will back the under in this game.
O/U: 0-21-0 avg total: 40.5 Final Team 16.6 Opp 13.7 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 01, 1992 Sunday 9 1992 Giants Redskins away 7-7 14-0 0-0 3-0 24-7 10.5 37.0 17 27.5 -6.0 10.8 -16.8 W W U 0 Dec 27, 1992 Sunday 17 1992 Giants Eagles away 0-7 0-10 3-0 7-3 10-20 7.0 37.5 -10 -3.0 -7.5 -5.2 -2.2 L L U 0 Sep 19, 1993 Sunday 3 1993 Giants Rams home 7-0 6-3 7-0 0-7 20-10 -6.5 38.0 10 3.5 -8.0 -2.2 -5.8 W W U 0 Oct 03, 1993 Sunday 5 1993 Giants Bills away 0-10 14-0 0-0 0-7 14-17 5.0 39.0 -3 2.0 -8.0 -3.0 -5.0 L W U 0 Oct 01, 1995 Sunday 5 1995 Giants Fortyniners away 3-3 0-14 3-3 0-0 6-20 15.5 46.0 -14 1.5 -20.0 -9.2 -10.8 L W U 0 Oct 13, 1996 Sunday 7 1996 Giants Eagles home 3-0 7-3 0-3 0-13 10-19 2.5 36.0 -9 -6.5 -7.0 -6.8 -0.2 L L U 0 Nov 09, 1997 Sunday 11 1997 Giants Titans away 0-3 3-7 3-0 0-0 6-10 3.0 40.0 -4 -1.0 -24.0 -12.5 -11.5 L L U 0 Nov 23, 1997 Sunday 13 1997 Giants Redskins away 0-0 0-7 7-0 0-0 7-7 5.5 36.5 0 5.5 -22.5 -8.5 -14.0 P W U 1 Nov 01, 1998 Sunday 9 1998 Giants Redskins away 7-7 0-7 7-7 0-0 14-21 -2.5 38.0 -7 -9.5 -3.0 -6.2 3.2 L L U 0 Nov 30, 1998 Monday 13 1998 Giants Fortyniners away 7-7 0-7 0-7 0-10 7-31 13.5 41.0 -24 -10.5 -3.0 -6.8 3.8 L L U 0 Oct 10, 1999 Sunday 5 1999 Giants Cardinals away 0-0 0-14 0-0 3-0 3-14 2.0 37.5 -11 -9.0 -20.5 -14.8 -5.8 L L U 0 Dec 12, 1999 Sunday 14 1999 Giants Bills away 3-3 10-7 3-0 3-7 19-17 8.0 36.5 2 10.0 -0.5 4.8 -5.2 W W U 0 Nov 05, 2000 Sunday 10 2000 Giants Browns away 0-3 10-0 7-0 7-0 24-3 -10.0 33.5 21 11.0 -6.5 2.2 -8.8 W W U 0 Oct 14, 2001 view Sunday 6 2001 Giants Rams away 7-6 0-3 0-0 7-6 14-15 10.5 45.5 -1 9.5 -16.5 -3.5 -13.0 L W U 0 Nov 06, 2005 view Sunday 9 2005 Giants Fortyniners away 3-0 7-0 0-6 14-0 24-6 -10.5 42.0 18 7.5 -12.0 -2.2 -9.8 W W U 0 Oct 15, 2006 view Sunday 6 2006 Giants Falcons away 0-0 3-7 14-7 10-0 27-14 3.0 41.5 13 16.0 -0.5 7.8 -8.2 W W U 0 Oct 15, 2007 view Monday 6 2007 Giants Falcons away 14-10 7-0 0-0 10-0 31-10 -4.5 43.5 21 16.5 -2.5 7.0 -9.5 W W U 0 Dec 28, 2008 view Sunday 17 2008 Giants Vikings away 0-0 9-10 7-0 3-10 19-20 6.5 41.0 -1 5.5 -2.0 1.8 -3.8 L W U 0 Sep 25, 2011 view Sunday 3 2011 Giants Eagles away 14-0 0-13 0-3 15-0 29-16 8.0 46.0 13 21.0 -1.0 10.0 -11.0 W W U 0 Oct 14, 2012 view Sunday 6 2012 Giants Fortyniners away 0-3 10-0 13-0 3-0 26-3 6.0 46.0 23 29 -17 6.0 -23.0 W W U 0 Oct 27, 2013 view Sunday 8 2013 Giants Eagles away 6-0 6-0 0-0 3-7 15-7 5.5 49.5 8 13.5 -27.5 -7.0 -20.5 W W U 0 Nov 17, 2013 view Sunday 11 2013 Giants Packers home -6.0 42.5 |
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11-17-13 | Arizona Cardinals v. Jacksonville Jaguars +9.5 | 27-14 | Loss | -117 | 18 h 50 m | Show | |
1.5* Baltimore. Game 413 at 1:00 eastern. The Ravens are 15-5 vs winning teams. The have several power angles and system to support them here. The Ravens are 8-0 ats vs an opponent that has more wins and 7-0 ats vs teams who allow 4.5 yards per rush or more. They are 6-2 in the series. Defending Super bowl winners are cashing 80% at 16-4 if they are under .500 in games after October. The Ravens have a shut down defense against the run and are a strong passing team both of these factors play against the Bears who are 1-12 ats at home off a home game. The Ravens are a live dog here today.
2. 5* Jacksonville. Game 420 at 1:00 eastern. One of he better home dog roles throughout history has been the home dog off a road dog win scenario. Even a system that has played against these home dogs historically has reversed itself. The last 5 home dogs at +3 or more to win as a road dog of +10 or more have all won straight up. Road favorites like Arizona off a home favored win by 3 or less points and ats loss vs an opponent off a road win are 6-17 straight up. Another solid system in this one is to play against teams that have covered 3 of the last 4 have win percentage from .500 to .600 and are playing a team with a win percentage of less than .250 as they have failed to cover 31 of 39 times. The Jags are 14-3 ats at home off a road win and 12-3 ats as a home dog and spread win of 10 or more. Finally teams who garnered their first win of the season in week 7 or later have been money of late covering 11 of the last 12 the last 8 years. We will back Jacksonville today. 3- Oakland. Game 417 at 1:00 eastern. 4* Oakland is 12-2 ats in November off 2+ losses. Houston is 1-8 Ats at home vs an opponent off a road loss. Non division road dogs from 7-10 have covered 39 of 49 if both teams are off non division losses. Home favorites like the Texans that played on the road in Overtime last week and lost are 2-7 ats the last 4 years, All road teams in November that are off a road loss are 69-30 ats long term. Oakland has a strong running game and even with Coach Kubiak calling the plays from the press box, Oakland should stay within the number here as Houston has too many injuries to lay this amount of points. Oakland won here the last time they were here, are 3-1 vs AFC South teams and have covered 4 of 5 as a road dog in this range while Houston is 0-3 ats as a favorite. Oakland is the play here. |
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11-17-13 | Baltimore Ravens +3 v. Chicago Bears | 20-23 | Push | 0 | 18 h 50 m | Show | |
1.5* Baltimore. Game 413 at 1:00 eastern. The Ravens are 15-5 vs winning teams. The have several power angles and system to support them here. The Ravens are 8-0 ats vs an opponent that has more wins and 7-0 ats vs teams who allow 4.5 yards per rush or more. They are 6-2 in the series. Defending Super bowl winners are cashing 80% at 16-4 if they are under .500 in games after October. The Ravens have a shut down defense against the run and are a strong passing team both of these factors play against the Bears who are 1-12 ats at home off a home game. The Ravens are a live dog here today.
2. 5* Jacksonville. Game 420 at 1:00 eastern. One of he better home dog roles throughout history has been the home dog off a road dog win scenario. Even a system that has played against these home dogs historically has reversed itself. The last 5 home dogs at +3 or more to win as a road dog of +10 or more have all won straight up. Road favorites like Arizona off a home favored win by 3 or less points and ats loss vs an opponent off a road win are 6-17 straight up. Another solid system in this one is to play against teams that have covered 3 of the last 4 have win percentage from .500 to .600 and are playing a team with a win percentage of less than .250 as they have failed to cover 31 of 39 times. The Jags are 14-3 ats at home off a road win and 12-3 ats as a home dog and spread win of 10 or more. Finally teams who garnered their first win of the season in week 7 or later have been money of late covering 11 of the last 12 the last 8 years. We will back Jacksonville today. 3- Oakland. Game 417 at 1:00 eastern. 4* Oakland is 12-2 ats in November off 2+ losses. Houston is 1-8 Ats at home vs an opponent off a road loss. Non division road dogs from 7-10 have covered 39 of 49 if both teams are off non division losses. Home favorites like the Texans that played on the road in Overtime last week and lost are 2-7 ats the last 4 years, All road teams in November that are off a road loss are 69-30 ats long term. Oakland has a strong running game and even with Coach Kubiak calling the plays from the press box, Oakland should stay within the number here as Houston has too many injuries to lay this amount of points. Oakland won here the last time they were here, are 3-1 vs AFC South teams and have covered 4 of 5 as a road dog in this range while Houston is 0-3 ats as a favorite. Oakland is the play here. |
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11-17-13 | Oakland Raiders +9.5 v. Houston Texans | 28-23 | Win | 100 | 18 h 49 m | Show | |
1.5* Baltimore. Game 413 at 1:00 eastern. The Ravens are 15-5 vs winning teams. The have several power angles and system to support them here. The Ravens are 8-0 ats vs an opponent that has more wins and 7-0 ats vs teams who allow 4.5 yards per rush or more. They are 6-2 in the series. Defending Super bowl winners are cashing 80% at 16-4 if they are under .500 in games after October. The Ravens have a shut down defense against the run and are a strong passing team both of these factors play against the Bears who are 1-12 ats at home off a home game. The Ravens are a live dog here today.
2. 5* Jacksonville. Game 420 at 1:00 eastern. One of he better home dog roles throughout history has been the home dog off a road dog win scenario. Even a system that has played against these home dogs historically has reversed itself. The last 5 home dogs at +3 or more to win as a road dog of +10 or more have all won straight up. Road favorites like Arizona off a home favored win by 3 or less points and ats loss vs an opponent off a road win are 6-17 straight up. Another solid system in this one is to play against teams that have covered 3 of the last 4 have win percentage from .500 to .600 and are playing a team with a win percentage of less than .250 as they have failed to cover 31 of 39 times. The Jags are 14-3 ats at home off a road win and 12-3 ats as a home dog and spread win of 10 or more. Finally teams who garnered their first win of the season in week 7 or later have been money of late covering 11 of the last 12 the last 8 years. We will back Jacksonville today. 3- Oakland. Game 417 at 1:00 eastern. 4* Oakland is 12-2 ats in November off 2+ losses. Houston is 1-8 Ats at home vs an opponent off a road loss. Non division road dogs from 7-10 have covered 39 of 49 if both teams are off non division losses. Home favorites like the Texans that played on the road in Overtime last week and lost are 2-7 ats the last 4 years, All road teams in November that are off a road loss are 69-30 ats long term. Oakland has a strong running game and even with Coach Kubiak calling the plays from the press box, Oakland should stay within the number here as Houston has too many injuries to lay this amount of points. Oakland won here the last time they were here, are 3-1 vs AFC South teams and have covered 4 of 5 as a road dog in this range while Houston is 0-3 ats as a favorite. Oakland is the play here. |
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11-17-13 | NY Jets -1 v. Buffalo Bills | 14-37 | Loss | -113 | 1 h 36 m | Show | |
Members only PLAY OF THE WEEK
From week 8 on Divisional Road Faves off a bye with a win % over 50% are 16-0 SU and 16-0 (100%) ATS after since 1998 (JETS) |
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11-17-13 | Detroit Lions v. Pittsburgh Steelers OVER 45 | Top | 27-37 | Win | 100 | 15 h 44 m | Show |
On Sunday the Highest rated off shore buy order total is on the Over in the Lions at Steelers. Rotation numbers 407/408 at 1:00 eastern. The buy order came down on this one and it was the hardest hit total that has come down. The play looks solid too as non conference games have been cashing overs at a solid clip this year and there were some totals angles pointing to an over in this game, particularly on the Detroit side. Take the over here today.
BONUS: 3 TEAM 10 Point Teaser is on Seattle to -2.5 Tampa Bay +10 Baltimore +13 |
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11-14-13 | Indianapolis Colts v. Tennessee Titans +3 | 30-27 | Push | 0 | 19 h 15 m | Show | |
On Thursday the NFL power System play is on Tennessee. Game 310 at 8:25 eastern. The Titans should not skip a beat here with veteran backup Qb Ryan Fitzpatrick. The Titans apply to a solid Thursday night specific system that plays on Thursday home teams off a home favored loss, vs an opponent odd a home loss. These teams have covered all but one time in these mid week games. The Titans also fit another system that plays on teams off a straight up favored loss vs an opponent off a loss by 26 or more points if this is a divisional game. This one gas cashed 88%. Both teams are off brutal losses the Titans to the winless Jags and the Colts who were blown out good by the Rams and Kellen Clemens 38-8. The Titans have covered 6 of 7 on Thursdays, including 5-0 ats with revenge. The Colts are 0-4 ats as a division road favorite off a loss and have not played too well on the road. Look for the Titans to get the cash
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11-11-13 | Miami Dolphins v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers UNDER 41 | 19-22 | Push | 0 | 20 h 3 m | Show | |
On Monday night the NFL Totals Play is on the Under in the Battle of the Sun shine state between Miami and Tampa Bay. Game 227/228 at 8:40 eastern. Another Solid Monday night football in play here tonight and some powerful totals angles. Tampa wont be able to score 24 on Miami like they did against a Seattle team that took them very lightly last week. Tampa has played under both times vs AFC East teams and when we have 2 teams that are getting out yarded after the half way point of the season and allowed over 395 yards that sparks the solid totals system. Miami has stayed under 8 straight times if they allowed less than 8 points in the first half in back to back games and also 8 straight vs teams that allow more than 5 yards per play. They have played under in 9 straight if they had 9 or less incompletions in their last game. Finally the Dolphins have played under in 7 of 8 November games, 8 of 9 vs losing teams and 9 of 12 when favored. Lead receiver Mike Wallace will likely have Revis on him and the offensive line as we all know is short 2 players. Both teams could struggle to score here. Take the Under.
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11-10-13 | Dallas Cowboys v. New Orleans Saints -6.5 | 17-49 | Win | 100 | 21 h 34 m | Show | |
On Sunday night Football the 5* Side selection is on the New Orleans Saints. Game 226 at 8:30 eastern. The Saints are better this season while Dallas is about the same. Last year the Saints went into Dallas and emerged with a 34-31 win. Now they get them at home off a loss. The Dallas defense will struggle to contain the vaunted Saints offense. Another factor will be the Saints defense with Ex Cowboy Defensive coordinator Rob Ryan calling the signals. He will be sure to throw in some looks Dallas has not seen before. Dallas is 7-22 to the spread if they covered in 3 of their last 4 games, and they are 0-5 to the spread on the road when the total is close to or at 50. The Cowboys are 0-6 ats vs .666 or better conference teams. The Saints have covered 10 straight here vs teams who average 235+ yards passing and 9 straight here vs teams who allow 230+ yards passing. They have covered 5 of the last 6 in the series here. With the Saints at 11-1 to the spread at -6.5 or less the last 3 seasons and winning by 18 points per game in those games. We will back the Saints to come marching in tonight.
On Sunday the 4* NBA Power system Play is on Oklahoma City. Game 504 at 7:05 eastern. OKC fits a solid blowout system that wins by 20 points per game. We want to play on home favorites with rest that won and covered as road favorite and scored 110 or more points, vs an opponent like Washington that comes in off a home dog win and scored 110 or more. These road favorites are an 88% investment if we stop right there. However if we insist this is a non divisional game the system goes perfect. The Thunder are 9-0 with 8 spread win at home off a road game where they scored 110 or more points. Washington is 1-5 to the spread as a road dog with rest after scoring 110 or more at home and the total is 200 or higher. Last season Washington lost by 23 here and they are 0-4 and 1-3 ats the past few years here. Look for the Thunder to coast in this one |
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11-10-13 | Carolina Panthers v. San Francisco 49ers OVER 42.5 | 10-9 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 12 m | Show | |
On Sunday afternoon the NFC Totals Play is on the Over in the Carolina at San Francisco game. Rotation numbers 219/220 at 4:05 eastern. This game has multiple over angles and a solid system which has cashed 25 straight times. When the total is between 35.5 and 42 points teams have played over when we have one team that has won 4 or more in a row and is now facing a team that as won 5 or more in a row. The Niners have posted 7 straight over the total vs teams who score 24 or more in the second half. Carolina has played over 9 of the last 10 and 9 straight vs teams who score 26 or more. The Panther have scored 30+ in 4 straight games and are 9-1 to the over as a dog of 3.5 to 9, 10 of 11 vs winning teams and 6 of 7 in November. San Fran has played over in 21 of 29 off a bye week and the last 4 vs NFC South teams. In the series here 6 of 8 have flown over the total. Finally Carolina has gone over in 8 straight on the road if they were favored in their last game, and the Niners have played over in 8 straight vs an opponent off 2+ wins. Take this one to play over the total.
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11-10-13 | Carolina Panthers v. San Francisco 49ers -5.5 | Top | 10-9 | Loss | -108 | 18 h 29 m | Show |
On Sunday the NFL Power system Side is on the San Francisco 49ers. Game 220 at 4:05 eastern. The Niners are 8-0 ats at home vs teams who had more than 31 minutes of ball possession in their last game. That however is just the tip of the iceberg. All teams that are non division favorites off a bye week are 16-2 ats if they scored 35+ points prior to the bye week. Also of note since 2005 home favorites off a bye are 5-1 to the spread vs an opponent off a 21+ point win. From game 10 out teams like Carolina that are on the road and are 3-0 straight up and ats scoring 30+ back to back have failed to cover in 24 of 32 occasions. Cam Newton is 2-14 in games decided by 7 or less but we think the Niners wont completely stop him but will put up a good amount of points vs Carolina in this one. The Panthers are 0-6 ats as conference dogs of 4 or more in November games, while the Niners are 6-1 ats with rest. Look for a San Francisco win and cover.
BONUS: 3 TEAM 10 POINT TEASER Detroit +10 Indy Colts +1 Baltimore +11.5 |
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11-10-13 | Jacksonville Jaguars v. Tennessee Titans OVER 41 | 29-27 | Win | 100 | 37 h 57 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Early NFL Power System Play is on the Jacksonville Jags. Game 203 at 1:00 eastern. We will have to hold our noses here. The Jags are taking nearly 14 points here and they are off a bye week and winless. Historically a solid situation in the NFL. In fact we have a system cashing 96% based on that premise if our winless dog is taking 5.5 or more and against teams that are not off blowout wins and playing in division games. Jax has covered 4 of 5 in the series and is 5-0 ats off a spread loss of 10 or more vs division opponents that have a winning record. The Titans are 0-8 ats as a division favorite of 6 or more. Were not saying the Jags are going to win. We do think they hang around for a cover.. Below is your 100% bonus total in this game which is to play the over. To explain this system which AVERAGES 53 Points per game. We want to play the Over for Home favorites of 10 or more if they are off a road favored win and cover, scored 28 or more points with 150+ yards rushing, and are taking on a team, that scored 14 or less points and had less than 100 yards rushing in their last game.
O/U: 12-0-0 avg total: 42.0 (100.0%) Final Team 28.6 Opp 25.2 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 03, 1991 Sunday 10 1991 Vikings Buccaneers home 0-0 0-3 14-3 14-7 28-13 -10.5 35.5 15 4.5 5.5 5.0 0.5 W W O 0 Nov 15, 1992 Sunday 11 1992 Cowboys Rams home 3-7 10-14 10-0 0-6 23-27 -13.5 39.5 -4 -17.5 10.5 -3.5 14.0 L L O 0 Sep 15, 1996 Sunday 3 1996 Broncos Buccaneers home 7-3 3-10 10-7 7-3 27-23 -14.5 40.5 4 -10.5 9.5 -0.5 10.0 W L O 0 Oct 12, 1997 Sunday 7 1997 Steelers Colts home 0-10 17-0 7-3 0-9 24-22 -11.5 42.0 2 -9.5 4.0 -2.8 6.8 W L O 0 Nov 26, 2000 Sunday 13 2000 Raiders Falcons home 3-7 21-0 14-0 3-7 41-14 -11.5 43.5 27 15.5 11.5 13.5 -2.0 W W O 0 Oct 28, 2001 view Sunday 8 2001 Rams Saints home 14-3 10-3 0-25 7-3 31-34 -11.5 48.0 -3 -14.5 17.0 1.2 15.8 L L O 0 Jan 01, 2006 view Sunday 17 2005 Steelers Lions home 14-14 7-0 14-7 0-0 35-21 -16.0 35.5 14 -2.0 20.5 9.2 11.2 W L O 0 Dec 17, 2006 view Sunday 15 2006 Bears Buccaneers home 7-0 14-3 3-7 7-21 34-31 -13.0 35.5 3 -10.0 29.5 9.8 19.8 W L O 1 Sep 21, 2008 view Sunday 3 2008 Giants Bengals home 0-3 10-10 3-0 10-10 26-23 -13.5 41.5 3 -10.5 7.5 -1.5 9.0 W L O 1 Oct 24, 2010 view Sunday 7 2010 Saints Browns home 0-10 3-10 0-0 14-10 17-30 -13.0 43.5 -13 -26.0 3.5 -11.2 14.8 L L O 0 Nov 14, 2010 view Sunday 10 2010 Giants Cowboys home 3-6 3-13 14-14 0-0 20-33 -12.5 45.5 -13 -25.5 7.5 -9.0 16.5 L L O 0 Nov 11, 2012 view Sunday 10 2012 Patriots Bills home 10-0 14-17 7-7 6-7 37-31 -12.5 53.5 6 -6.5 14.5 4.0 10.5 W L O 0 Nov 10, 2013 view Sunday 10 2013 Titans Jaguars home -12.0 41.0 |
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11-10-13 | Jacksonville Jaguars +13 v. Tennessee Titans | 29-27 | Win | 100 | 37 h 55 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Early 5* NFL Power System Play is on the Jacksonville Jags. Game 203 at 1:00 eastern. We will have to hold our noses here. The Jags are taking nearly 14 points here and they are off a bye week and winless. Historically a solid situation in the NFL. In fact we have a system cashing 96% based on that premise if our winless dog is taking 5.5 or more and against teams that are not off blowout wins and playing in division games. Jax has covered 4 of 5 in the series and is 5-0 ats off a spread loss of 10 or more vs division opponents that have a winning record. The Titans are 0-8 ats as a division favorite of 6 or more. Were not saying the Jags are going to win. We do think they hang around for a cover.. Below is your 100% 5* bonus total in this game which is to play the over. To explain this system which AVERAGES 53 Points per game. We want to play the Over for Home favorites of 10 or more if they are off a road favored win and cover, scored 28 or more points with 150+ yards rushing, and are taking on a team, that scored 14 or less points and had less than 100 yards rushing in their last game.
O/U: 12-0-0 avg total: 42.0 (100.0%) Final Team 28.6 Opp 25.2 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 03, 1991 Sunday 10 1991 Vikings Buccaneers home 0-0 0-3 14-3 14-7 28-13 -10.5 35.5 15 4.5 5.5 5.0 0.5 W W O 0 Nov 15, 1992 Sunday 11 1992 Cowboys Rams home 3-7 10-14 10-0 0-6 23-27 -13.5 39.5 -4 -17.5 10.5 -3.5 14.0 L L O 0 Sep 15, 1996 Sunday 3 1996 Broncos Buccaneers home 7-3 3-10 10-7 7-3 27-23 -14.5 40.5 4 -10.5 9.5 -0.5 10.0 W L O 0 Oct 12, 1997 Sunday 7 1997 Steelers Colts home 0-10 17-0 7-3 0-9 24-22 -11.5 42.0 2 -9.5 4.0 -2.8 6.8 W L O 0 Nov 26, 2000 Sunday 13 2000 Raiders Falcons home 3-7 21-0 14-0 3-7 41-14 -11.5 43.5 27 15.5 11.5 13.5 -2.0 W W O 0 Oct 28, 2001 view Sunday 8 2001 Rams Saints home 14-3 10-3 0-25 7-3 31-34 -11.5 48.0 -3 -14.5 17.0 1.2 15.8 L L O 0 Jan 01, 2006 view Sunday 17 2005 Steelers Lions home 14-14 7-0 14-7 0-0 35-21 -16.0 35.5 14 -2.0 20.5 9.2 11.2 W L O 0 Dec 17, 2006 view Sunday 15 2006 Bears Buccaneers home 7-0 14-3 3-7 7-21 34-31 -13.0 35.5 3 -10.0 29.5 9.8 19.8 W L O 1 Sep 21, 2008 view Sunday 3 2008 Giants Bengals home 0-3 10-10 3-0 10-10 26-23 -13.5 41.5 3 -10.5 7.5 -1.5 9.0 W L O 1 Oct 24, 2010 view Sunday 7 2010 Saints Browns home 0-10 3-10 0-0 14-10 17-30 -13.0 43.5 -13 -26.0 3.5 -11.2 14.8 L L O 0 Nov 14, 2010 view Sunday 10 2010 Giants Cowboys home 3-6 3-13 14-14 0-0 20-33 -12.5 45.5 -13 -25.5 7.5 -9.0 16.5 L L O 0 Nov 11, 2012 view Sunday 10 2012 Patriots Bills home 10-0 14-17 7-7 6-7 37-31 -12.5 53.5 6 -6.5 14.5 4.0 10.5 W L O 0 Nov 10, 2013 view Sunday 10 2013 Titans Jaguars home -12.0 41.0 |
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11-07-13 | Washington Redskins v. Minnesota Vikings OVER 49 | Top | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 19 h 29 m | Show |
On Thursday night in 5* NFL Action we have a solid totals system that is specific to Thursday night games. We will go over the total in the Washington at Minnesota game. Rotation numbers 107/108 at 8;25 eastern. Thursday night road favorites in conference games are 100% to the over if they are off a home win and cover and scored 28 or more points, vs an opponent that scored 21 or more points. These games have averaged 58 points. Another System that plays to the over pertains to Thursday night home dogs that scored 21 or more on the road, if they lost. These games have played over every time since 1989. Washington has played over in 4 of 5 vs NFC North teams. Minnesota has played over 3 of 4 as a home dog of 3 or less, 15 of 19 if they lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games and 18 of 21 at home after allowing 300+ yards. The Vikings have allowed 27 or more in all of their home games. Washington has allowed 30+ points in 3 of 4 road games. Look for this one to soar over the total tonight.
On Thursday in Bonus PAC 12 Action the selection is on the Oregon Ducks. Game 113 at 9;00 eastern. The Ducks fit a Perfect system that goes back to 2003 and plays on road favorites with rest off a home favored win and cover, vs an opponent off a road favored win and cover. The Ducks are 6-0 ats with Conference revenge and 13-1 ats on the road with rest. They have covered 4 of the last 6 in the series. While the defenses are both allowing around 350+ yards the Ducks have a 200+ yard edge on offense as they are putting 632 yards on average. I f you thing 10 points is alot to lay in this game they you should remember what a similar Oregon team did to a better Stanford team here 2 years ago with Andrew Luck at QB. The Ducks won 53-30 as a 2.5 point dog. Oregon is 11-0 ats on the road. Looking at similar opponents we see that Stanford struggled here beating Washington 31-28, while Oregon beat Washington by 21 on the road. Look for Oregon 4* to win and cover |
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11-04-13 | Chicago Bears v. Green Bay Packers -10 | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 46 m | Show | |
5* On Monday night Football the Selection is on the Green Bay Packers. Game 424 at 8:40 eastern. With Cutler out and Mcnown in the Bear will have to play their best just to stay in the game. Their is a greater Probability that the Packers will win and cover here tonight here is why. Green Bay is 12-0 ats as a favorite after scoring 34 or more on the road and 8-0 ats after a road game if both they and their opponent scored 24 or more. The Packers are 19-2 with 16 covers at home of late and are a solid 17-2 ats vs .650 or elss teams in game 12 or earlier in division play. The Packers are 10-1 to the spread as favorites vs an opponent with rest, They are 8-0 ats in the first matchup vs Division teams. Chicago is 0-6 ats on the road the first time they play a divisional teams And are 0-4 straight up and ats in the series. The Bears Are 1-8 ats on the road with a 45+ point total and 0-7 ats vs a team that averages 349 or more yards. They are 1-7 ats after Wideout Alson Jeffery catches as 19+ yard reception. Chicago is 4-20 ats after scoring 24 or more back to back. For our Big System Consider that Home favorites on Monday right football ll at -10 or higher with a total that is 55 or less and scored 35 or more on the road last week have not lost Ats as far back as 1989. With the Packers at 7-3 ats at home on Monday night we will BACK THE PACK Tonight.
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11-03-13 | Indianapolis Colts v. Houston Texans UNDER 44.5 | Top | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 14 m | Show |
On Sunday night football the Power Totals system is on the Under in the Indy at Houston game. Rotation numbers 421/422 at 8:35 eastern. This game fits a Truly Tremendous system that has CASHED 14 STRAIGHT UNDERS AVERAGING 26 POINTS THE LAST 25 YEARS. Play the under when you have both teams off a bye week and this is a divisional team and the home team is off a loss, score 21 or less and had 2 or less turnovers. Houston has struggled on offense all year, But has been Solid on defense and had edges on both sides of the ball. Houston will still struggle vs Indy on offense but do enough to keep them at bay on defense. Indy has gone under in the following situations. In division games 12 of 13, 5 of 6 in November, 7 of 10 as a favorite and 9 of 12 vs losing teams. Look for this game to be a lower scoring affair take the under.
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11-03-13 | Baltimore Ravens -2.5 v. Cleveland Browns | 18-24 | Loss | -110 | 137 h 41 m | Show | |
On Sunday the 5* AFC North Play is on Baltimore. Game 417 at 4:25 eastern. Baltimore has won and covered the last 5 in the series and are 4-0 with 2+ weeks rest. Defending Super Bowl Champs have won 12 of 13 in Divisional games off back to back losses. The Raven are 4-1 as a road favorite of 3 or less and 7-1 in November. Cleveland has lost 11 of 14 in Division games and 2-11 ats specifically in November home division games. In fact all home dogs off a road dog loss at +7 or more and covered the spread while scoring 21 or less are 0-12 straight up since 1989 with all losses by 3 or more points. Another system playing against the Browns is to play against division home dogs off back to back road dog losses, vs an opponent off a loss. Finally road teams like Baltimore off a bye week are 25-6 to the spread if they lost the last game by 6 or less and the total is 43.5 or less. I'm sure that's plenty here and you get the Idea. If the Browns win Ill tip my cap and move on. The Ravens are the right side.
3 TEAM 10 POINT POWER TEASER. Atlanta to +17- 14-0 ATS if the total is 40 or less and they scored 16 or less Oakland +7.5 The Eagles are 0-13 ats if they scored 10 or less than their season average Seattle -4. The Hawks are 23-0 ats on the 10 point teaser line at home |
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11-03-13 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. Seattle Seahawks UNDER 41 | 24-27 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 58 m | Show | |
MAJOR OFF SHORE STEAM MOVE UNDER Tampa At Seattle at 4:05 eastern LATE BUY ORDER in SHORTLY AFTER 1 EASTERN.
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11-03-13 | Tennessee Titans -2.5 v. St. Louis Rams | 28-21 | Win | 100 | 18 h 54 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Dominator Side is On Tennessee 5 units at -2.5. Game 407 at 1:00 eastern. There are plenty of Systems, trends and angles that apply to this one. However, the Rams should be flat as a pan cake here. They are playing a rested team who has dominated this series and playing with one less day of rest off their gut wrenching balls to the wall hard luck loss to the Seahawks on Monday night football as they were all in for that game and came up short. Now they face a rested Titans team that has won 7 of 9 vs losing teams and we note that rested road favorites off a bye and 3+ losses have covered 91% vs an opponent off an ats loss of 8 or more and 100% if their opponent had 2 or less turnovers. Remember the TITANS here today.
In Non Conference action the Play is on the NY. Jets.5 units at +7 or more Game 405 at 1:00 eastern. Not too many bad things too say about New Orleans other than they don't play well vs teams who were blown out in their last game. So the Jets become a situational play here today. Road favorites like the Saints that are off a home favored win and cover and prior road dog loss and ats loss, while scoring 35 or less and winning by 14 or more have failed to cover 25 of 31 long term. The Jets qualify in a tight system as well as we play on home dogs off a road loss if they allowed 40+ points vs an opponent off a home favored win. The Saints only loss was an AfFC East loss in New England on a last second play in a game they should have won by 3-4 points. The Jets will play them tough here today and we note the New York is 4-0 at home when the total of 42.5 to 45. Home teams are 16-3 ats after allowing 4+ sacks. We wont be surprised to see the Jets give the Saints a Heavy dose of C. Ivory today and keep Brees off the field. J. Graham will see limited snaps as he battles a plantar Facitis tear. Take The Jets who may be catching 7 by game time |
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10-31-13 | Cincinnati Bengals v. Miami Dolphins OVER 42.5 | 20-22 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 31 m | Show | |
On Halloween the 5* NFL Totals Play is on the Over in the Bengals at Dolphins Game. Rotation numbers 303/304 at 8:25 eastern. This game fits a solid system that has flown over the total every time since 1995 and plays to the over for road favorites that scored 42+ points in a home favored win and cover by 21 + points, vs an opponent that comes in off road dog loss at +3 or higher while scoring 21 or less points. These games average 47 points. Miami spit the bit at New England On Sunday after leading 17-3. Now they return to face a Bengals offense that put up 40+ points on a good but flat Jets defense. Miami has played over in 4 of 5 when the total is 42.5 to 49 and 3 of 4 when the line is +3 to -3. The Bengals have now flown over in their last 3 games and 3 of the last 4 on the road. Look for this game to go over the total
BONUS Play non rated on Miami as we are playing against a Bengals team and ANY road Team that won by 40+ points last out, as these team FAIL to cover nearly 90% of the time. |
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10-28-13 | Seattle Seahawks -11.5 v. St Louis Rams | 14-9 | Loss | -101 | 26 h 24 m | Show | |
On Monday night the 5* NFL Power System Play is on Seatttle. Game 231 at 8:40 eastern. We pounded this game through the database and here are the findings. Monday night road favorites of 10 or more in divisional play have won and covered the only 2 times by an average 20 points per game. Road favorites of 7 or more with a total of less than 46 off a road win where they allowed less than 50 yards are 100% perfectr simce 1989. Seattle is a perfect 10-0 ats in road wins if both they and their opponent played on the road in their last game. St. Louis is 0-8 ats when they lose as a home dog. The Rams have no choice but to play Kellen Clemens as Bradford is out for the year. Clemens knows this offense well as he was brought here along with Offensive coach Schottenheimer from the Jets. However against the vaunted Seattle defense even With Bradford the Rams would struggle to score. Clemens is likely to have a tough time here. On defense the Rams may do well for awhile and rise to the occasion but they will be on the field all night and Seattle going back to last year pushes the button in the second halves of games and this is when we look for them to turn it on and coast past the Rams. Even if we thought the Rams would cover. Would you really want to sit through and Hope. The better team is Seattle and they should get it done here tonight.
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10-27-13 | Green Bay Packers v. Minnesota Vikings +10 | 44-31 | Loss | -120 | 22 h 41 m | Show | |
On Sunday night football we will back the 5* Minnesota Vikings. Game 230 at 8:30 eastern.
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10-27-13 | Washington Redskins +12 v. Denver Broncos | 21-45 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 52 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Dog with Bite is on Washington. Game 225 at 4:25 eastern. This game has 2 very similarly ranked defenses. Denver has a 70+ yard edge on offense but Washington has a good enough offense to stay in this game throughout. Denver is just 1-9 as as favorites of more than 6 vs a team under .500 in game 12 or earlier. Washington fits a solid system here that has cashed 26 of 29 times and a secondary system that plays on dogs that scored and allowed 30 or more in their last game. Denver has failed to cover 7 of 10 in October games and all 3 games here in the series. Denver is also just 3-14 to the spread at home off a road loss. The best part of this play remains the fact that we want to fade teams like Denver off their first loss at this juncture of the season. Take Washington today.
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10-27-13 | Washington Redskins v. Denver Broncos OVER 57.5 | 21-45 | Win | 100 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
NFL OFF SHORE STEAM BUY ORDER TOTAL OVER WASHINGTON AT DENVER at 4:24 eastern. This game was nailed with some of the SHARPES $$ Out tehre and thisis the top Move of the day. These plays are on a 16-3 run.
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10-27-13 | Buffalo Bills v. New Orleans Saints -11 | 17-35 | Win | 100 | 106 h 20 m | Show | |
On Sunday the 5* Blowout Play is on the New Orleans Saints. Game 218 at 1:00 eastern. Pure and simple here today. We are playing against a Buffalo team that wanted and won in Miami last week and emerged with a big road dog win. This is a non conference follow up road game and historically even solid teams falter in this spot. Buffalo is not a solid team and will likely get blown out and have a tough time with the noise on offense and will not be able to stop Brees and that vaunted Saints offense. For some angles we note that the Saints are 11-0 ats at home with Coach Payton vs a non conference team that arrives off a dog win, which goes hand in hand with our system. Buffalo is 0-8 ats as a dog off a dog win. The Saints are 8-0 ats at home vs a defense that allows 350+ yards and 13-2 ats vs teams that allow more than 235 yards passing. Drew Brees is 4-0 to the spread at home with rest vs an opponent that won and covered. The Saints are 4-0 ats at home when the total is 45.5 to 49, the Bills are 0-3 ats on the road in that totals range. Non division dogs simply do not play well in these spots. Look for the Saints to come marching in.
BONUS 3 TEAM 10 POINT TEASER NO. Saints to -1.5 Oakland Raiders to +12 Miami +16 |
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10-27-13 | Cleveland Browns +9 v. Kansas City Chiefs | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 15 h 46 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Perfect system play is on Cleveland. Game 215 at 1:00 eastern. There is a perfect system in this game that plays against home favorites like the KC Chiefs that are -5 or more and are playing off back to back home wins, vs an opponent like the Browns that scored 13 or more in their last game which was a non conference game. These home favorites are 0-15 to the spread . KC squeaked past Houston 17-16 and at 7-0 now take on Browns team that will improve off last weeks 31-13 road loss to Green Bay. These teams are very similar despite the records, statistically on both sides ofthe ball. The Chiefs are 0-6 vs AFC North teams and 0-8 ats as a home favorite off a home game. KC has been doing it with special teams and defense as they rank 25th on offense. The Browns will have crafty veteran J. Campbell at the helm filling in for B Weeden. Campbell may wind up doing well here. Look for History to repeat itself once again as these home teams in this range playing their 3rd straight homer struggle. Take The Points with Cleveland. Play Cleveland for 6 units
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10-27-13 | NY Giants +5.5 v. Philadelphia Eagles | 15-7 | Win | 100 | 1 h 59 m | Show | |
3* Mmembers only Play on the Giants at 1:00 eastern
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10-24-13 | Carolina Panthers v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers +7 | 31-13 | Loss | -125 | 18 h 50 m | Show | |
On Thursday the 4* NFL System Play is on the Tampa May Buccaneers. Game 104 at 8:25 eastern. Tampa fits in to a couple of Nice systems that pertain to winless teams from week 6 out. There are several variations of this system that apply that pertain to Tampa coming in off a spread loss and taking on an opponent off a win and cover wile scoring 30 or more points. Another fine system plays on any Divisional home dog that scored 20+ points the last 2 weeks vs an opponent off a win. The Bucs have covered 6 of 6 with rest. The Panthers are 0-3 straight up on Thursdays and have lost and failed to cover the last 3 times after scoring 30+ points back to back. The Panthers are covering machines if they scored 27 or more but are mediocre when the scored less than 27. Thus should be a tight game and we note that Cam Newton is just 2-14 straight up in one score games. Tampa Bay swept Carolina last season and even with the injuries will be in this game throughout. Take Tampa Tonight as they at the very least cover the number.
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10-21-13 | Minnesota Vikings v. NY Giants -3 | 7-23 | Win | 100 | 20 h 50 m | Show | |
On Monday night the NFL Power System Play is on the NY. Giants. Game 424 at 8:40 eastern. The Giants look to get their first win of the season and may be the best 0-6 team to ever play in this league with the roster they have. Tonight they fit the rare system below that is specific to Monday nights and plays on home favorites off a road loss that scored 21 or less points, vs an opponent that comes in off a home loss by 7 or more points. These teams are 9-0 straight up and ats as far back as 1989 and win by 18 points per game. The Vikings have J. Freeman making his debut as the musical qb situation continues this year for the Vikings. Minnesota is 0-5 ats of late on Monday night football. The Giants are 5-1 ats of late on Monday nights as favs in this range. Look for New York to get the win and cover.
SU: 9-0-0 ATS: 9-0-0 Final Team 30.9 Opp 12.7 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 28, 1992 Monday 4 1992 Chiefs Raiders home 0-0 10-7 0-0 17-0 27-7 -7.0 37.0 20 13.0 -3.0 5.0 -8.0 W W U 0 Oct 19, 1992 Monday 7 1992 Steelers Bengals home 3-0 7-0 0-0 10-0 20-0 -9.0 38.0 20 11.0 -18.0 -3.5 -14.5 W W U 0 Dec 11, 2000 Monday 15 2000 Colts Bills home 3-3 6-3 14-6 21-8 44-20 -6.0 46.0 24 18.0 18.0 18.0 0.0 W W O 0 Dec 12, 2005 view Monday 14 2005 Falcons Saints home 7-3 14-14 9-0 6-0 36-17 -10.5 44.5 19 8.5 8.5 8.5 0.0 W W O 0 Nov 27, 2006 view Monday 12 2006 Seahawks Packers home 3-7 9-7 7-7 15-3 34-24 -9.5 43.0 10 0.5 15.0 7.8 7.2 W W O 0 Oct 20, 2008 view Monday 7 2008 Patriots Broncos home 6-0 14-0 14-0 7-7 41-7 -3.0 48.0 34 31.0 0.0 15.5 -15.5 W W P 0 Sep 19, 2011 view Monday 2 2011 Giants Rams home 7-6 14-0 7-10 0-0 28-16 -7.0 44.0 12 5.0 0.0 2.5 -2.5 W W P 0 Nov 05, 2012 view Monday 9 2012 Saints Eagles home 7-0 14-3 7-10 0-0 28-13 -3.5 51.5 15 11.5 -10.5 0.5 -11.0 W W U 0 Sep 16, 2013 view Monday 2 2013 Bengals Steelers home 7-3 3-7 7-0 3-0 20-10 -6.5 41.0 10 3.5 -11.0 -3.8 -7.2 W W U 0 Oct 21, 2013 view Monday 7 2013 Giants Vikings home -3.0 47.0 |
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10-20-13 | Denver Broncos v. Indianapolis Colts OVER 56.5 | 33-39 | Win | 100 | 22 h 41 m | Show | |
On Sunday night the NFL Totals Play is on the Over in the Denver at Indy game. Rotation numbers 421/422 at 8:30 eastern. This game should be a real barn burner here tonight. Peyton Manning unhappy with the critical comments Colts owner Irsay made about Winning multiple Super bowls should have added incentive to light it up here tonight as comes home in this game. Manning will likely do his talking on the field here tonight and he will do so with the #1 ranked offense that is capable of 40+ points each week. The Colts will be hard pressed to stop Denver but will likely play much better on offense than they did on Monday night in San Diego. They can score on a suspect Denver defense. In the series 8 of 11 have flown over the total. Denver has played over in 15 of 17 vs teams with a win percentage of .600 or higher, 9 straight if their ats margin went down the past 2 weeks, 13 straight after scoring 7 or less than their season to date average, 10 straight on Turf vs an opponent with at least one loss on the season and all 8 times Demaryius Thomas has a catch for 30+ yards. The Colts have played over 7 straight times if they rushed the ball 10 or less times than their season average which is a symptom of being behind and forced to throw in a game. Look for this one to go over the total.
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10-20-13 | Baltimore Ravens +3 v. Pittsburgh Steelers | 16-19 | Push | 0 | 26 h 36 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Dog with Bite is on Tennessee. Game 416 at 4:05 eastern. With or without J. Lockers we like the Titans chances here today. Tennessee fits some of our solid power systems for this game. Non division road favorites like the Niners with no rest off a home favored win at -7 or more while scoring 28+ points, vs an opponent off a road dog loss at +10 or higher have Not covered since 1989 and only win 33% of the time straight up. These games have been big let down spots. San Francisco is 1-8 to the spread off a win vs an opponent that has lost at leas their last 2 games. Coach Munchack for the Titans has covered 6 of 7 off back to back losses. Even more impressive the Titans are 9-0 ats after a game where they had 3+ turnovers. With the 49ers 0-8 to the spread on the road after allowing 100 or more pass yards than their season to date average. We Remember the Titans Here today.
On Sunday the AFC North Power Play is on the Baltimore Ravens. Game 419 at 4:25 eastern. Baltimore covered for us last week converting a 4th down and 21 from their own 10 yard line scoring a touchdown and holding the Packers off the scoreboard late getting a cover by a half point. This one should be easier here today .Defending Super Bowl champs are a solid investment as a dog off a loss, vs an opponent of a win.. Another fine system that applies to thise game plays against the Steelers and teams with lines that are -3 to +3 that allowed 6 or less points in their last game, vs an opponent that lost by 3 or less points. These teams have bounced, failing to cover in 28 off 33 applications. The Ravens have covered 13 of 17 on the road after getting out rushed by 75+ yards last out/. Baltimore is 14-0 ats off non conference game if they trailed by 5+ points at half time. Qb Flacco has covered 9 straight if the Ravens are not favored by 16 or more points and he averaged over 15 yards per completion in his last game. The Steelers are 0-9 ats as a favorite if they had 9 or less incomplete passes as a favorite last week and 0-13 ats off a road win with 349 or less yards passing but still had a completion of more than 34 yards. With Pittsburgh 0-5 to the spread at home off a double digit spread win we will Back Baltimore with the 2 systems and 5 Angles that add up to 50-0. |
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10-20-13 | Houston Texans +7 v. Kansas City Chiefs | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 3 h 18 m | Show | |
Big off shore steam Buy Order Play on Houston comes down at 1:06 eastern. Sharps nailed it good.
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10-20-13 | San Francisco 49ers v. Tennessee Titans +4 | 31-17 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 7 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Dog with Bite is on Tennessee. Game 416 at 4:05 eastern. With or without J. Lockers we like the Titans chances here today. Tennessee fits some of our solid power systems for this game. Non division road favorites like the Niners with no rest off a home favored win at -7 or more while scoring 28+ points, vs an opponent off a road dog loss at +10 or higher have Not covered since 1989 and only win 33% of the time straight up. These games have been big let down spots. San Francisco is 1-8 to the spread off a win vs an opponent that has lost at leas their last 2 games. Coach Munchack for the Titans has covered 6 of 7 off back to back losses. Even more impressive the Titans are 9-0 ats after a game where they had 3+ turnovers. With the 49ers 0-8 to the spread on the road after allowing 100 or more pass yards than their season to date average. We Remember the Titans Here today.
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10-20-13 | New England Patriots v. NY Jets +4 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 17 h 49 m | Show | |
On Sunday the AFC East Power system Play is on the NY. Jets. Game 398 at 1:00 eastern. The jets can play with the Patriots and had it not been for a plethora of turnovers late in the game they may have beat the Patriots on the road earlier in the season. However the Patriots emerged with a lack luster 13-10 win. Now the Patriots face the Jets on the road. The database tells us that since 2001 home dogs are 7-2 straight up and 9-0 ats off a home loss if they scored 9 or less points and their opponent is off a home win and scored 28 or more. The Jets in general are 10-0 ats at home as a dog off a home loss, 5-0 ats at home off a loss of 10 or more vs a non divisional conference team and 6-0 ats at home with same season revenge if they had 3+ turnovers in the first game. The Patriots escaped their 2nd loss with some late game heroics getting a touchdown with 5 seconds left to come back and beat the Saints. Look for the Jets to keep this one close and have a legit shot to get the win.
BONUS: 3-TEAM 10 POINT TEASER- Green Bay to even- Packers have covered 30 straight in a 10 point teaser after playing on the road in a game where their Completion rate went down by 10% of their season average. Miami to +3 Playing against the Bills here as they are 0-20 to the spread on 6 point teasers if they were a home dog in thier last game, this is an even safer 10 point teaser. San Diego to +3 as the Chargers have covered 22 straight on the road in a 10 point teaser vs an opponent that allows 375+ yards passing |
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10-20-13 | St Louis Rams v. Carolina Panthers -7 | Top | 15-30 | Win | 100 | 24 h 5 m | Show |
On Sunday the NFL Blowout system is on the Carolina Panthers. Game 412 at 1:00 eastern. Carolina fits a Tremendous system that plays on home teams if both teams scored 35 or more points last week on the road. If the road team was a dog in that game the system is 100% Perfect since 1989. Carolina is 6-1 ats as a favorite in this series and has a top 3 defense. Road dogs like the Rams that are +3.5 to +10 that allow 70-95 yards rushing have failed to cover 33 of 41 times vs an an opponent that allows 70 -96 yards rushing. The Rams are a terrible 8-21 to the spread as a road dog from 3.5 to +7. The Panthers are 6-2 ats at home vs NFC West teams. The Rams are 0-4 straight up and ats before playing on Monday night football. Look for Carolina to win and cover here today.
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10-17-13 | Seattle Seahawks -5.5 v. Arizona Cardinals | 34-22 | Win | 100 | 18 h 15 m | Show | |
On Thursday the NFL Triple Perfect play is on Seattle. Game 303 at 8:25 eastern. This game is chocked with Never before released Thursday specific systems that date to 1989. Here we go. Thursday night division road favorites off a home favored win at -7 or more are winning by an average 15 points per game. Thursday road favorites off a home favored win that had 150 or more yards rushing have covered every time. Seattle is 6-0 ats as a favorite from -3.5 to -9.5. They have covered the last 3 times as a road favorite off a home favored win. Seattle smashed Arizona 58-0 last December. Arizona is 0-3 straight up and ats on Thursday night and 1-9 with just 2 spread wins in October. Seattle is 13-1 ats after averaging 6 or more yards per play the last 3 years. With the Cardinals 2-13 vs winning teams we will back the Seattle Seahawks tonight.
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10-14-13 | Indianapolis Colts v. San Diego Chargers +2 | 9-19 | Win | 100 | 23 h 31 m | Show | |
On Monday night Football our Power system Play is on the SD Chargers. Game 230 at 8:40 eastern. The Chargers fit a Plethora of Systems angles and Indicators here in this game, including a Never before released Scoring system. Monday night non divisional home team that were on the road in their last game have CASHED EVERY TIME the last 10 years vs an opponent like the Colts that are off a home win. The Colts are off a big home dog win over Seattle and are likely to bounce in this game. In fact our Exclusive data shows that on Monday night ANY Road team off a home dog win is 1-9 straight up. The Colts have been getting action like People know the final score. They opened as a 3 point dog and by game time may be laying a point or two. The Colts have lost 4 of 5 in the series and the Chargers are 21-3 to the spread vs AFC South Teams. The Chargers are a 90% spread investment at home vs teams no more than 2 games under. 500 or better than .500 if they lost straight up as a favorite in their last game. The Chargers are 9-0 ats at home if they are 1 game under .500 and 5-1 ats as a Monday night home dog. I could go on but I think we get the Idea here. Wait till game time to get the optimal line and Take the San Diego Chargers. Congrats to those of you who Jumped on for Sunday we nailed the 6* Dog of the Year and the Big 5* total.
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10-13-13 | Washington Redskins +6 v. Dallas Cowboys | 16-31 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 23 m | Show | |
On Sunday night the NFL Selection is on the Washington Redskins. Game 227 at 8:30 eastern. The Skins are rested and ready and have covered 11 of 13 in the series including the last 7 here in Dallas. Road dogs of 3 or more off a road favored win, vs an opponent off a home loss have won 6 of the last 7 times STRAIGHT UP and by an average 10 points per game since 1989. Home favorites like Dallas are just 2-7 straight up and 1-8 ats off a home loss vs an opponent off a road win, like Washington is. The Cowboys may have a let down here after going all out and losing by 3 on courtesy of a Romo Pick that Left Denver within field goal range late in the game. Dallas has lost 8 of 9 on Sunday night football. The Cowboys are 0-11 to the spread if their rush yards were lower than the week prior the last 2 weeks and they have failed to cover 10 straight as a favorite if they allowed 4+ sacks in their last game.The Skins have covered 8 of the last 10. Finally Washington has covered 18 of the last 20 on the road if they score more than 20 points which is something we think they will do here tonight. Take the point were on Washington.
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10-13-13 | Jacksonville Jaguars v. Denver Broncos OVER 52.5 | 19-35 | Win | 100 | 50 h 16 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Total Of the Month is on the Over in the Jacksonville at Denver game. Rotation numbers 221/222 at 4:00 eastern. This game fits the solid system as seen below which is the 11-0 subset of the 24-4 base system that plays over for home favorites like Denver that are at -10 or higher and scored 35 or more on the road in their last game vs an opponent like the Jags that are off a spread loss as an underdog. If the road team scored 42 or more which Denver did in their 51-48 win at Dallas that 24-4 goes to a perfect 11-0 and averages 55 points per game. Denver has played over 10 straight times as a favorite in non division games and 7 of 9 in October. In their last 19 Denver has soared over in 14 of 19 and all 5 games so far this year. Jacksonville has played over in 6 straight vs AFC West teams. In the series here 5 of the last have played over. More of the same here today. Take the Over.
O/U: 11-0-1 Final Team 38.2 Opp 18.5 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Nov 11, 1990 Sunday 10 1990 Bills Cardinals home 0-7 21-0 0-7 24-0 45-14 -12.0 36.0 31 19.0 23.0 21.0 2.0 W W O 0 Oct 23, 1994 Sunday 8 1994 Fortyniners Buccaneers home 7-0 10-0 17-0 7-16 41-16 -15.0 42.5 25 10.0 14.5 12.2 2.2 W W O 0 Nov 26, 1995 Sunday 13 1995 Fortyniners Rams home 7-7 21-0 7-6 6-0 41-13 -14.5 43.5 28 13.5 10.5 12.0 -1.5 W W O 0 Dec 08, 1996 Sunday 15 1996 Patriots Jets home 7-0 13-3 7-7 7-0 34-10 -13.0 42.0 24 11.0 2.0 6.5 -4.5 W W O 0 Oct 12, 1997 Sunday 7 1997 Steelers Colts home 0-10 17-0 7-3 0-9 24-22 -11.5 42.0 2 -9.5 4.0 -2.8 6.8 W L O 0 Dec 06, 1998 Sunday 14 1998 Vikings Bears home 14-0 13-0 7-14 14-8 48-22 -16.5 46.5 26 9.5 23.5 16.5 7.0 W W O 0 Sep 23, 2001 view Sunday 3 2001 Colts Bills home 14-7 21-10 7-3 0-6 42-26 -10.0 44.5 16 6.0 23.5 14.8 8.8 W W O 0 Dec 12, 2004 view Sunday 14 2004 Bills Browns home 3-7 14-0 3-0 17-0 37-7 -11.0 38.0 30 19.0 6.0 12.5 -6.5 W W O 0 Dec 11, 2005 view Sunday 14 2005 Seahawks Fortyniners home 7-3 17-0 14-0 3-0 41-3 -16.0 44.0 38 22.0 0.0 11.0 -11.0 W W P 0 Dec 17, 2006 view Sunday 15 2006 Bears Buccaneers home 7-0 14-3 3-7 7-21 34-31 -13.0 35.5 3 -10.0 29.5 9.8 19.8 W L O 1 Nov 02, 2009 view Monday 8 2009 Saints Falcons home 7-14 21-0 0-7 7-6 35-27 -11.0 55.5 8 -3.0 6.5 1.8 4.8 W L O 0 Nov 11, 2012 view Sunday 10 2012 Patriots Bills home 10-0 14-17 7-7 6-7 37-31 -12.5 53.5 6 -6.5 14.5 4.0 10.5 W L O 0 Oct 13, 2013 view Sunday 6 2013 Broncos Jaguars home -27.0 52.0 |
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10-13-13 | Tennessee Titans v. Seattle Seahawks UNDER 42 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 3 h 52 m | Show | |
NFL SHARP MONEY OFF SHORE STEAM TOTALS BUY ORDER MOVE. Under Seattle-Tennessee
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10-13-13 | Philadelphia Eagles v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3 | 31-20 | Loss | -115 | 37 h 40 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Dog with Bite is on Tampa Bay. Game 206 at 1:00 eastern. The Bucs fit one of our Best bye week systems that pertains to teams that are winless in week 4 or later and off a straight up and ats loss. The Bucs will look to get rid of the sour feeling of blowing a double digit second half lead last out against the Cardinals. They have home loss revenge fro a close loss here to the Eagles last season and the extra week to prepare will pay dividends here as they will face Nick Foles who will not run like Mike Vick would have. D. Revis should control Desean Jackson. The Bucs are not as bad as the normal winless team either. They just have had trouble closing out games. They could easily be 3-1 had they not had a 15 yard penalty in New York that made a last second field goal 48 yards as opposed to a hail Mary attempt. Then with under a minute losing at home to a New Orleans team that was held to a season low 16 points and then 2 weeks ago blowing a lead and losing 13-10 to Arizona. The Bucs are 5-0 ats in October as non division home dogs and the Eagles fast paced offense will be easier to defend since the Bucs have practiced against it all week to get ready. The Eagles have lost 9 of 12 vs losing teams and are just 1-4 vs the NFC South of late. The Eagles are 0-8 ats if one of their receives had 100 or more yards in their last game. Look for Tampa to get the cash.
BONUS: 3 TEAM 10 POIN TEASER OF THE WEEK- San Francisco to -1--- Teams like AZONA are 0-5 straight up and ats as a road dog of 10 or more off a home dog win of 14 if their opponent had a total of less than 41 last out. Oakland- to +19--KC is 0-24 ats on a 6 point teaser like vs Division teams that they have a better record then. This is a 10 pointer Jacksonville-TO +37 NFL Dogs of more than 20 are 6-0 ats the last 28 years |
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10-13-13 | Carolina Panthers v. Minnesota Vikings OVER 44 | 35-10 | Win | 100 | 18 h 59 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Non Conference Game is on Baltimore. Game 208 at 1:00 eastern. Baltimore fits na Incredible system here that has CASHED 26 STRAIGHT TIMES. We want to play on home dogs in October or later that are off a road dog win in a game where they were a dog of 9.5 or less and averaged 4.3 yards per carry or less so long as they are not on a 7 or more game win streak. Right there we have a play. However as you know we like to dig deep into the database and the findings are as follows. The Ravens are 10-0 ats at home since Moving to Baltimore if they are not favored by 12 or more points and won as a dog last week. They have covered 7 straight after allowing 50 or less yards on the ground. Defending Champs are 5-0 ats as non division dogs off a dog win the last 33+ years. So that one is pretty rare. Green Bay has failed to cover 8 straight times on the road off a win if J. Jones had a catch of 19 or more yards and 0-8 ats as favorites if they allowed 10 or less at home. With Clay Mathews out and Green Bay already losing on the road vs the Bengals who hail from the AFC North we will back Baltimore in this game.
On Sunday the BONUS NFL Total is on the Over in the Carolina at Minnesota game. Rotation numbers 211/212 at 1:00 eastern. The Vikings have posted over in all 4 games this year and have 10 straight overs with rest vs non division opponents. As for our system we note that teams with totals that are 42.5 to 49 have flown over 28 of 33 times if they allow 17 or less points per game, like Carolina and have gone under in at least 2 straight. The Panthers have played over 8 straight vs teams who have scored 27 or more points per game the past 3+ years and have gone over in 17 of 21 if they have lost to the spread in 3 of their last 4 games. The Vikings have flown over in 17 of 20 at home after allowing 300+ yards passing.. Look for this one to go over the total |
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10-13-13 | Green Bay Packers v. Baltimore Ravens +3 | Top | 19-17 | Win | 100 | 18 h 58 m | Show |
On Sunday the Non Conference Game is on Baltimore. Game 208 at 1:00 eastern. Baltimore fits na Incredible system here that has CASHED 26 STRAIGHT TIMES. We want to play on home dogs in October or later that are off a road dog win in a game where they were a dog of 9.5 or less and averaged 4.3 yards per carry or less so long as they are not on a 7 or more game win streak. Right there we have a play. However as you know we like to dig deep into the database and the findings are as follows. The Ravens are 10-0 ats at home since Moving to Baltimore if they are not favored by 12 or more points and won as a dog last week. They have covered 7 straight after allowing 50 or less yards on the ground. Defending Champs are 5-0 ats as non division dogs off a dog win the last 33+ years. So that one is pretty rare. Green Bay has failed to cover 8 straight times on the road off a win if J. Jones had a catch of 19 or more yards and 0-8 ats as favorites if they allowed 10 or less at home. With Clay Mathews out and Green Bay already losing on the road vs the Bengals who hail from the AFC North we will back Baltimore in this game.
On Sunday the BONUS NFL Total is on the Over in the Carolina at Minnesota game. Rotation numbers 211/212 at 1:00 eastern. The Vikings have posted over in all 4 games this year and have 10 straight overs with rest vs non division opponents. As for our system we note that teams with totals that are 42.5 to 49 have flown over 28 of 33 times if they allow 17 or less points per game, like Carolina and have gone under in at least 2 straight. The Panthers have played over 8 straight vs teams who have scored 27 or more points per game the past 3+ years and have gone over in 17 of 21 if they have lost to the spread in 3 of their last 4 games. The Vikings have flown over in 17 of 20 at home after allowing 300+ yards passing.. Look for this one to go over the total |
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10-10-13 | NY Giants v. Chicago Bears -7 | 21-27 | Loss | -115 | 19 h 7 m | Show | |
On Thursday the NFL Triple system Play is on the Chicago Bears. Game 102 at 8:25 eastern. This game has 3 Powerful systems going tonight. Lets have a look see at the findings. Thursday home favorites off a home loss where they scored 21 or less are 6-0 and 5-1 ats since 1989 winning by an average scored of 27-12. Thursday road dogs that scored 21 or less at home in a game where the line was -3 to +3 are 0-9 straight up and 1-8 to the spread losing by an average 13 points per game. In all games road dogs of 7 or more that lost to the spread by 7+ points and the game by 14+ points at home like the Giants have lost and failed to cover 7 of 9 times vs an opponent also off home loss that scored 21 or less. The Giants are 1-6 straight up and ats as a road dog of 3 or more off a home loss where they scored 21 or less. Many will point to the Giants 4-0 record here in Chicago. However they have not played here since 2007 and that's is just not pertinent to the game at hand here tonight. Chicago played a much tougher New Orleans team and this should be a much softer spot for them. The Giants are in terrible current form and have been getting blown out every week. In their last 2 road games they have scored just 7 points while allowing well over 60. We cant back a team that cant get to the Qb or protect their own Watching the films on the Giants once sees that thy simply try to throw the ball deep to Victor Cruz and have no real running game to take the pressure of Eli Manning. Chicago should win and cover here tonight.
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10-07-13 | NY Jets v. Atlanta Falcons UNDER 44 | 30-28 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 57 m | Show | |
On Monday night football the Totals Selection is on the Under in the NY.Jets at Atlanta Falcons game. Rotation numbers 437/438 at 8:40 eastern. This game fits 2 Powerful totals systems direct from the database. First we want to play the under for road dogs of 7 or more like the Jets with a total of 40.5 or higher playing on Monday night football if they are off a road dog loss 21 or more, vs an opponent off a home loss. These road dogs have stayed under every time. Our next league wide system plays to the under for home favorites of 10 or higher off a home spread loss vs an opponent off a road dog loss that scored 14 or less. If these road teams have 3+ turnovers in their last game theses game have gone under every time since 1989. The Falcons have a bevy of totals angles pertaining to the under tonight. The Falcons have played under 7 straight as a favorite if they had 3 times as many pass yards then they has rush yards. They are 12-2 under as a home favorite if Matt Ryan threw for 400+ yards. Atlanta is 9-1 to the under at home vs an opponent that is averaging 230+ pass yards and 12-1 under if they had 400 or more total yards in the last 3 games. The Falcons are 7-1 under in weeks 5-9 including 4 of 4 in game 5. When they are a home favorite from -7 to -10.5 they have played under in 3 straight. The Jets are 5-0 under vs NFC South teams. The Jets have a solid defense that is over 100 yards better than Atlanta. The Jets will struggle to score but be able to keep themselves in the game most of the way with that high energy defense. Look for this game to stay under.
BONUS Side on Atlanta as coach Smith has Covered 16 straight in games off a loss by 6 or more points. |
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10-06-13 | San Diego Chargers v. Oakland Raiders +6 | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show | |
On Sunday the late game selection is on Oakland. Game 432 at 11:35 eastern. The game time is moved ahead on this one and the Raiders apply to a solid game 5 system we use the pertains to 1-3 teams that are off a loss and are playing an opponent off a win. The system really pops when we insist this be a division game. The Raiders are 7-1 ats as home dogs ff a loss. The Chargers could easily bounce here off a big home dog win over Dallas. San Diego is 0-7 ats as a road favorite if they are off a spread win by 7 or more points and 0-10 to the spread when favored if they were a dog in their last game. The Raiders are 9-1 ats as division dogs of more than 3 off a loss. Take the Points with the Raiders tonight. Play the Raiders
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10-06-13 | Houston Texans +7 v. San Francisco 49ers | 3-34 | Loss | -140 | 29 h 5 m | Show | |
On Sunday night the Perfect system Play is on the Houston Texans. Game 435 at 8:30 eastern. Houston is backed with the Perfect 11-0 system below that plays on road dogs off a home dog loss that scored 21 or less points if both teams had 150+ rush yards in their last game. Houston will look to bounce back from a terrible home loss to Seattle in a game where they had a 20-3 lead. San Francisco was last seen cashing big for us last Thursday in a 35-11 win against the Rams. The Niners have never handled AFC South teams well as they 2-7 straight up against them including a 27-7 loss to the Colts. Houston is 4-0 ats off back to back losses and 9-2 ats as dogs vs Non conference teams. San Francisco is 1-8 ats at home in a non division game off a win and cover and 2-9 ats as non conference favorites of more than three. Tale the Points in this one with Houston. See they system below.
SU: 6-5-0 ATS: 11-0-0 Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 30.5 144.3 27.3 14.9 195.2 1.2 3.0 5.7 6.2 6.3 21.2 Opp 29.0 121.0 33.2 19.1 239.6 1.6 3.9 4.7 5.3 5.1 19.3 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Sep 17, 1989 Sunday 2 1989 Lions Giants away 0-3 7-0 7-14 0-7 14-24 10.5 39.0 -10 0.5 -1.0 -0.2 -0.8 L W U 0 Nov 21, 1994 Monday 12 1994 Giants Oilers away 0-0 0-0 7-7 6-3 13-10 3.0 35.0 3 6.0 -12.0 -3.0 -9.0 W W U 0 Oct 24, 1999 Sunday 7 1999 Jets Raiders away 0-3 10-0 10-7 3-14 23-24 7.0 36.5 -1 6.0 10.5 8.2 2.2 L W O 0 Jan 03, 2000 Monday 17 1999 Fortyniners Falcons away 0-7 7-10 8-14 14-3 29-34 7.0 46.5 -5 2.0 16.5 9.2 7.2 L W O 0 Oct 05, 2003 view Sunday 5 2003 Saints Panthers away 0-3 3-7 7-6 3-3 13-19 7.0 37.5 -6 1.0 -5.5 -2.2 -3.2 L W U 0 Dec 14, 2003 view Sunday 15 2003 Browns Broncos away 0-10 10-0 0-0 10-10 20-23 10.5 43.0 -3 7.5 0.0 3.8 -3.8 L W P 1 Dec 17, 2006 view Sunday 15 2006 Redskins Saints away 10-0 3-7 0-0 3-3 16-10 9.5 47.0 6 15.5 -21.0 -2.8 -18.2 W W U 0 Dec 31, 2006 view Sunday 17 2006 Seahawks Buccaneers away 10-0 7-7 3-0 3-0 23-7 3.0 36.5 16 19.0 -6.5 6.2 -12.8 W W U 0 Oct 12, 2008 view Sunday 6 2008 Rams Redskins away 3-7 7-0 6-0 3-10 19-17 13.5 44.0 2 15.5 -8.0 3.8 -11.8 W W U 0 Oct 09, 2011 view Sunday 5 2011 Raiders Texans away 3-7 9-7 3-3 10-3 25-20 5.5 48.5 5 10.5 -3.5 3.5 -7.0 W W U 0 Nov 06, 2011 view Sunday 9 2011 Broncos Raiders away 7-3 0-14 17-7 14-0 38-24 7.0 41.5 14 21.0 20.5 20.8 -0.2 W W O 0 Oct 06, 2013 view Sunday 5 2013 Texans Fortyniners away 7.0 41.5 |
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10-06-13 | Carolina Panthers -1 v. Arizona Cardinals | 6-22 | Loss | -115 | 159 h 5 m | Show | |
MID Afternoon Play on Carolina. Game 429 at 4:05 eastern. Below is a perfect system that plays on road favorites that scored 35 or more points at home before a bye week if the total is 40 or higher.
SU: 11-0-0 ATS: 11-0-0 Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 34.9 149.5 33.2 20.5 248.2 1.6 3.7 9.5 7.5 7.5 28.7 Opp 21.7 83.4 37.2 21.2 231.4 2.6 3.7 3.7 2.4 6.7 16.5 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 24, 1993 Sunday 8 1993 Bills Jets away 0-7 6-0 7-0 6-3 19-10 -2.5 42.5 9 6.5 -13.5 -3.5 -10.0 W W U 0 Nov 06, 1994 Sunday 10 1994 Fortyniners Redskins away 10-0 7-3 13-3 7-16 37-22 -11.0 44.0 15 4.0 15.0 9.5 5.5 W W O 0 Oct 17, 1999 Sunday 6 1999 Redskins Cardinals away 0-3 10-0 7-0 7-7 24-10 -4.0 48.0 14 10.0 -14.0 -2.0 -12.0 W W U 0 Oct 08, 2000 Sunday 6 2000 Raiders Fortyniners away 3-0 3-14 15-0 7-14 34-28 -4.5 49.5 6 1.5 12.5 7.0 5.5 W W O 1 Nov 03, 2002 view Sunday 9 2002 Rams Cardinals away 7-0 10-7 0-0 10-7 27-14 -3.5 43.0 13 9.5 -2.0 3.8 -5.8 W W U 0 Nov 10, 2002 view Sunday 10 2002 Saints Panthers away 6-0 7-7 7-10 14-7 34-24 -4.5 41.5 10 5.5 16.5 11.0 5.5 W W O 0 Nov 21, 2004 view Sunday 11 2004 Chargers Raiders away 6-0 7-7 3-7 7-3 23-17 -4.0 47.5 6 2.0 -7.5 -2.8 -4.8 W W U 0 Nov 13, 2005 view Sunday 10 2005 Broncos Raiders away 0-0 13-0 10-0 8-17 31-17 -3.0 46.5 14 11.0 1.5 6.2 -4.8 W W O 0 Feb 04, 2007 view Sunday 22 2006 Colts Bears away 6-14 10-0 6-3 7-0 29-17 -7.0 48.0 12 5.0 -2.0 1.5 -3.5 W W U 0 Oct 28, 2007 view Sunday 8 2007 Browns Rams away 3-14 14-3 7-3 3-0 27-20 -3.0 45.5 7 4.0 1.5 2.8 -1.2 W W O 0 Nov 21, 2010 view Sunday 11 2010 Packers Vikings away 0-3 17-0 7-0 7-0 31-3 -3.0 44.5 28 25.0 -10.5 7.2 -17.8 W W U 0 Oct 06, 2013 view Sunday 5 2013 Panthers Cardinals away -1.5 42.0 |
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10-06-13 | Jacksonville Jaguars +12 v. St. Louis Rams | 20-34 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 28 m | Show | |
On Sunday the NFL Early Power system play is on Jacksonville. Game 417 at 1:00 eastern. This is too mnay points the Rams are laying here today. Both teams are under .500 and the Jags should improve enough here to get the cover. The Rams not having Steven Jackson this year has really hurt their run game. We have a system that pertains to 2 teams that both getting out rushed by 38 or more yards per game if they both had 70 or less yards rushing. Since 1983 this one has cashed 41 of 53 times. The Jags get J. Blackmon back from his suspension for this game and that can only help. St. Louis is 4-18 ats at home off a loss of 10 or more vs an opponent off a straight up and ats loss. The Jags are 5-0 ats in October as a double digit loss. Look for Jacksonville to stay within the number here tonight
Sunday 3 Team 10 POINT Teaser- 1. Green Bay to +3 2. Baltimore +13 3. Indy Colts to +13 |
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10-06-13 | New Orleans Saints v. Chicago Bears +1.5 | 26-18 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
SUNDAY 34-2 SYSTEM PLAY ON Chicago. Game 426 at 1:00 eastern. Below is a solid system that plays against road teams and has won 34 of 36 times. The Public is on the Saints at a higher percentage than any other team this week and this will be a tough task with a short week off a big Monday night win vs Miami. The Bears are off their first loss and the Saints have played just one road game which was a nail biter against a weak Tampa Team. Look for Chicago to bounce back this week. DA BEARS for 5 units at +1.5
SU: 10-26-0 ATS: 2-34-0 avg line: -3.7 Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 23.1 90.8 37.5 22.0 239.0 2.4 3.4 5.2 3.7 6.0 18.5 Opp 30.5 135.8 30.9 19.0 214.0 1.1 5.7 8.2 5.3 7.8 27.2 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 30, 2005 view Sunday 8 2005 Redskins Giants away 0-6 0-13 0-17 0-0 0-36 1.5 42.5 -36 -34.5 -6.5 -20.5 14.0 L L U 0 Sep 24, 2006 view Sunday 3 2006 Bears Vikings away 3-3 0-3 6-0 10-10 19-16 -3.5 34.5 3 -0.5 0.5 0.0 0.5 W L O 0 Oct 01, 2006 view Sunday 4 2006 Chargers Ravens away 7-7 6-0 0-0 0-9 13-16 1.0 33.5 -3 -2.0 -4.5 -3.2 -1.2 L L U 0 Oct 08, 2006 view Sunday 5 2006 Chiefs Cardinals away 0-14 10-3 0-3 13-0 23-20 -3.5 40.0 3 -0.5 3.0 1.2 1.8 W L O 0 Oct 08, 2006 view Sunday 5 2006 Cowboys Eagles away 7-10 14-7 0-7 3-14 24-38 2.0 43.5 -14 -12.0 18.5 3.2 15.2 L L O 0 Oct 15, 2006 view Sunday 6 2006 Falcons Giants home 0-0 7-3 7-14 0-10 14-27 -3.0 41.5 -13 -16.0 -0.5 -8.2 7.8 L L U 0 Oct 16, 2006 view Monday 6 2006 Bears Cardinals away 0-14 0-6 10-3 14-0 24-23 -11.5 40.0 1 -10.5 7.0 -1.8 8.8 W L O 0 Oct 22, 2006 view Sunday 7 2006 Chargers Chiefs away 0-14 6-6 7-7 14-3 27-30 -5.5 40.0 -3 -8.5 17.0 4.2 12.8 L L O 0 Oct 22, 2006 view Sunday 7 2006 Steelers Falcons away 10-7 14-14 7-14 7-3 38-41 -2.5 37.5 -3 -5.5 41.5 18.0 23.5 L L O 1 Oct 22, 2006 view Sunday 7 2006 Jaguars Texans away 0-0 0-10 7-0 0-17 7-27 -8.0 39.0 -20 -28.0 -5.0 -16.5 11.5 L L U 0 Nov 05, 2006 view Sunday 9 2006 Bears Dolphins home 3-0 7-14 3-7 0-10 13-31 -13.5 37.5 -18 -31.5 6.5 -12.5 19.0 L L O 0 Nov 04, 2007 view Sunday 9 2007 Seahawks Browns away 7-0 14-9 3-7 6-14 30-33 1.5 47.0 -3 -1.5 16.0 7.2 8.8 L L O 1 Nov 04, 2007 view Sunday 9 2007 Patriots Colts away 0-3 7-10 3-0 14-7 24-20 -4.5 56.0 4 -0.5 -12.0 -6.2 -5.8 W L U 0 Nov 04, 2007 view Sunday 9 2007 Chargers Vikings away 7-7 7-0 0-14 3-14 17-35 -7.0 41.5 -18 -25.0 10.5 -7.2 17.8 L L O 0 Sep 14, 2008 view Sunday 2 2008 Steelers Browns away 0-0 7-0 3-3 0-3 10-6 -6.0 43.5 4 -2.0 -27.5 -14.8 -12.8 W L U 0 Sep 21, 2008 view Sunday 3 2008 Giants Bengals home 0-3 10-10 3-0 10-10 26-23 -13.5 41.5 3 -10.5 7.5 -1.5 9.0 W L O 1 Oct 05, 2008 view Sunday 5 2008 Seahawks Giants away 3-14 3-13 0-10 0-7 6-44 7.0 43.5 -38 -31.0 6.5 -12.2 18.8 L L O 0 Oct 12, 2008 view Sunday 6 2008 Panthers Buccaneers away 0-14 3-3 0-3 0-7 3-27 2.0 36.5 -24 -22.0 -6.5 -14.2 7.8 L L U 0 Oct 13, 2008 view Monday 6 2008 Giants Browns away 0-3 14-14 0-3 0-15 14-35 -8.0 43.0 -21 -29.0 6.0 -11.5 17.5 L L O 0 Oct 26, 2008 view Sunday 8 2008 Steelers Giants home 7-3 0-6 7-0 0-12 14-21 -3.0 42.0 -7 -10.0 -7.0 -8.5 1.5 L L U 0 Nov 02, 2008 view Sunday 9 2008 Texans Vikings away 7-7 0-14 7-0 7-7 21-28 5.0 46.5 -7 -2.0 2.5 0.2 2.2 L L O 0 Oct 04, 2009 view Sunday 4 2009 Ravens Patriots away 7-3 0-14 7-7 7-3 21-27 2.0 45.0 -6 -4.0 3.0 -0.5 3.5 L L O 0 Oct 18, 2009 view Sunday 6 2009 Giants Saints away 3-14 14-20 0-7 10-7 27-48 3.5 47.5 -21 -17.5 27.5 5.0 22.5 L L O 0 Oct 18, 2009 view Sunday 6 2009 Vikings Ravens home 14-0 0-3 6-7 13-21 33-31 -2.5 45.5 2 -0.5 18.5 9.0 9.5 W L O 0 Nov 01, 2009 view Sunday 8 2009 Colts Fortyniners home 3-7 6-7 3-0 6-0 18-14 -12.5 45.0 4 -8.5 -13.0 -10.8 -2.2 W L U 0 Sep 19, 2010 view Sunday 2 2010 Titans Steelers home 3-7 0-6 0-0 8-6 11-19 -5.0 37.0 -8 -13.0 -7.0 -10.0 3.0 L L U 0 Sep 26, 2010 view Sunday 3 2010 Chargers Seahawks away 0-0 0-10 12-7 8-10 20-27 -4.0 44.0 -7 -11.0 3.0 -4.0 7.0 L L O 0 Sep 27, 2010 view Monday 3 2010 Packers Bears away 7-0 3-7 0-0 7-13 17-20 -3.0 46.0 -3 -6.0 -9.0 -7.5 -1.5 L L U 0 Oct 10, 2010 view Sunday 5 2010 Chargers Raiders away 0-12 17-3 7-7 3-13 27-35 -6.0 44.5 -8 -14.0 17.5 1.8 15.8 L L O 0 Sep 25, 2011 view Sunday 3 2011 Jets Raiders away 7-7 10-10 0-7 7-10 24-34 -3.0 41.0 -10 -13.0 17.0 2.0 15.0 L L O 0 Sep 25, 2011 view Sunday 3 2011 Lions Vikings away 0-6 0-14 10-0 13-3 26-23 -3.5 44.5 3 -0.5 4.5 2.0 2.5 W L O 1 Oct 30, 2011 view Sunday 8 2011 Cowboys Eagles away 0-14 0-10 0-3 7-7 7-34 3.0 48.5 -27 -24.0 -7.5 -15.8 8.2 L L U 0 Oct 30, 2011 view Sunday 8 2011 Saints Rams away 0-0 0-17 7-7 14-7 21-31 -13.5 48.5 -10 -23.5 3.5 -10.0 13.5 L L O 0 Sep 16, 2012 view Sunday 2 2012 Ravens Eagles away 7-7 10-0 0-10 6-7 23-24 2.5 46.5 -1 1.5 0.5 1.0 -0.5 L W O 0 Oct 14, 2012 view Sunday 6 2012 Fortyniners Giants home 3-0 0-10 0-13 0-3 3-26 -6.0 46.0 -23 -29 -17 -23.0 6.0 L L U 0 Nov 04, 2012 view Sunday 9 2012 Texans Bills home 7-0 0-6 7-3 7-0 21-9 -11.0 47.5 12 1 -17.5 -8.2 -9.2 W W U 0 Oct 06, 2013 view Sunday 5 2013 Saints Bears away -1.5 50.0 |
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10-06-13 | Baltimore Ravens v. Miami Dolphins OVER 42.5 | Top | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 13 h 60 m | Show |
On Sunday the AFC Total Of the Year is on the Over in the Baltimore at Miami game. Rotation numbers 415/416 at 1:00 eastern. This game fits a totals system that has won 18 straight times playing to the over when we have certain teams like Miami that are coming home off a Monday night football game if the total is more than 39 points. Miami has played over 12 straight times if the line is +3 to -3 and they are off a road game where their opponents punted no more than 5 times. Baltimore decided to abandon the run game last week and that caused a ton of turnovers. In fact the Ravens have played over the last 6 times in games after they turned it over more than 4 times. The Ravens are also 9-0 to the over if they has a receiver that hauled in a 40+ yards catch in their last game. Look for this one to fly over the total here today.
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10-03-13 | Buffalo Bills v. Cleveland Browns -4 | 24-37 | Win | 100 | 66 h 32 m | Show | |
On Thursday the NFL Triple system Power Side is on the Cleveland Browns. Game 302 at 8:25 eastern. This one was pounded through the database and here are the findings. All of the following systems date at least to 1989. Home favorites when Both teams are off home dog wins are are are as this has only happened 6 times with the home favorite winning 5 of the 6 times. Home favorites off a home dog win by 7 or more points that scored 21 or less are 10-0 with 9 spread wins and win by an average 23-10 score. Road dogs like the Bills that are off a home dog win and scored 21 or more and rushed for 200+ yards are winless straight up and to the spread and lose by an average 27-7 score. Finally In game specific to Thursday nights we see that road dogs of 3 or more off a home dog win are 0-9 and lose by an average 27-10 score. The Browns are 5-0 ats from game 5-8 as non division favorites, 4-1 ats as a home favorite vs the AFC East and 6-1 ats at home off a division dog win.
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09-30-13 | Miami Dolphins v. New Orleans Saints -6.5 | 17-38 | Win | 100 | 40 h 20 m | Show | |
On Monday night the NFL System Play is on the New Orleans Saints. Game 226 at 8:40 eastern. The Saints fit a solid system here tonight that plays on undefeated home teams on Monday night vs a a non division team. The system dates to 1980 and has cashed nearly 90%. The Saints are 4-0 ats on Monday night football, 12-1 ats vs a non division opponent off 3+ wins, 10-1 ats off back to back win vs an opponent off back to back straight up and ats wins. They have a +75 yard edge on defense and +85 on offense. Non division home favorites on MNF are 94% vs an opponent off a win. Miami is 2-9 ats on the Monday night road as a dog. Miami is also 1-6 ats off 3+ wins if their last win was as a dog. New Orleans is also 9-0 ats at home vs an opponent that averages 255+ yards passing and they have covered 10 of 11 as a home favorite of 7 or more. The Saint have also come marching in to the tune of 9-0 ats after Tight end Jimmy Graham has 60+ yards receiving in a home win. Look for the Saint to get the win and cover.
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09-29-13 | New England Patriots v. Atlanta Falcons OVER 49 | 30-23 | Win | 100 | 24 h 58 m | Show | |
On Sunday night the NFL Totals system play is on the Over in the New England at Atlanta game. Rotation numbers 223/224 at 8:30 eastern. This game fits a solid totals system that plays to the over home teams that have a total over 42 and less than 50 if they are taking on a team that has gone under in their last 2 games and allows 17 or less per game like the Patriots. Thee games have soared over in 26 of 30 instances. New England has won with defense so far. However, there defense is not as good as it has played and their offense is better than it has played. Atlanta has some injuries up front as well. The Patriots have played over in 8 of 9 on the road when the total is 42.5 to 49. On a fast turf surface look for this one to fly over the total.
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09-29-13 | Philadelphia Eagles +11 v. Denver Broncos | 20-52 | Loss | -105 | 20 h 4 m | Show | |
On Sunday afternoon our NFL Double system side is on the Philadelphia Eagles. Game 221 at 4;25 eastern. Philly has extra prep time for this one after playing on a Thursday and taking on a Denver team that played on Monday night. There are 2 excellent systems that are in action for this one. First we want to play on teams like the Eagles that are playing the first of 3+ road games so long as they are not -4 or more as these teams are 26-4 to the spread. The other system dates to 1973 as we play against week 4 teams that scored 24 or more points in the first 3 games and won their last game. Denver fits all the negative subsets of that system as well. Playing against home favorites of 7 or more, if the opponent has at least one win and this is a non division game. We will back the Eagles who should score enough to stay within the number in this one. Take the Double digits with Philadelphia.
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09-29-13 | NY Giants v. Kansas City Chiefs -3.5 | 7-31 | Win | 100 | 24 h 42 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Dominator play is on KC. Game 214 at 1:00 eastern. The Chiefs already have one more win than they had all last season as Andy Reid is a rejuvenated coach who appear to have righted the ship in Kansas City. KC is 3-0 and the Mediocre Giants are 0-3. So one would ask how do 3-0 home teams do against 0-3 road teams? The Answer is very good, especially if you were to hand track these games as far back as 1974, which we have done. Most of the modern data bases go back to 1980, but some times you just get curious to go back even further. Since 1974 these home teams are 8-1 ats, so yes its a rare occurrence here today. The Chiefs beat a better Dallas team here 2 weeks ago as they tear through the NFC East off a road dog win in Philly last Thursday night. That win sets up another big system that applies here today. We want to play on teams who won on Thursday that have a win percentage of .700 or higher vs an opponent that lost on a Sunday and has a win percentage of .350 or less and is also off an ats loss. The Giants are 0-7 ats as a road dog after scoring 10 or less points. Non division home favorites that are 3-0 are 15-1 when laying less than 7 with 14 spread wins. The Chiefs have a defense that is 70 yards better than New York. Look for KC To get the win and cover.
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09-29-13 | Arizona Cardinals +2.5 v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 17 h 19 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Early totals play is on the Over in the Seattle at Houston game. Rotation numbers 207/208. This game fits a 26-4 totals system that plays to the over for teams that are averaging 1 or more yards per carry than their opponent if they allowed 74 or less yards in their last game. Houston has flown over in 12 straight at home off a loss if the line is +3 to-3. They have also played over in 7 of 10 after scoring 10 or less points, like they did in last weeks blowout loss to Baltimore. Seattle has flown over in 6 of 8 on the road off back to back home games and 7 of the last 10 after scoring 40 or more points. Take the Over in this one.
On Sunday the Dog with Bite is on Arizona. Game 209 at 1:00 eastern. We want to play against 0-3 teams like Tampa that are favorites or dogs of less than 6 in week 4 Sunday games, vs an opponent with 1 or more runs. Arizona is 6-0 ats as a dog off 1 exact loss and spread loss. Road teams that are +3 to -3 have covered 28 of 35 times if they rush for 89 or less yards on average. The Other sold system in this game is to play against Non division favorites of less than 5 in grass games if both teams come in off road dog straight up and ats losses. Look for Arizona to Take Down Tampa today. |
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09-29-13 | Seattle Seahawks v. Houston Texans +3 | 23-20 | Push | 0 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
On Sunday our season ending Play is on the NY Mets. Game 952 at 1:40 eastern. The Mets have played hard till then end for Terry Collins but have struggled losing the first three games of this series to Milwaukee. Last night they battled back and tied it late only to lose in extra innings. Today they will have a delayed start from 1:10 eastern to 1:40 eastern as they induct the greatest hitting catcher of all time into their Hall of Fame in Mike Piazza. it will be a big day for all the droves of folks who will come out to see the induction. The place will be packed as its close to a sell out as of Saturday night. The Mets will have J. Niese on the mound and he should out duel Estrada here as The Brewers have struggled vs leftys this season. Look for the Mets to avoid the sweep as this looks to be a nice end to their season with the Piazza induction. Take the Mets.
NFL 3 TEAM 10 POINT TEASER HOUSTON TEXANS TO +12.5 INDY COLTS TO PICK ATLANTA +7.5 |
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09-29-13 | Indianapolis Colts v. Jacksonville Jaguars +9.5 | 37-3 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 30 m | Show | |
Members only play on JAX. JAGS. Home dogs getting moe than 8 points 22-3 to the spread. They wont win but they should cover. Alos of note is this late breaking database nuggets. Road favorites like the Colts in week or later that have normal rest have failed to cover 29 of 30 times if they are off a road dog win and scored less than 28 and have 1-7 more win than their opponent.
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09-29-13 | Cincinnati Bengals v. Cleveland Browns +4 | Top | 6-17 | Win | 100 | 16 h 16 m | Show |
On Sunday the AFC North Play is on Cleveland. Game 204 at 1:00 eastern. This game has a 24-0 System that dates to 1982 and plays on certain home dogs in weeks 2-4 that are off a non division road win vs an opponent off a home game. Cleveland fits this one here today. They also have several other indicators on their side. Teams in game 4 that are 1-2 and off a win are 45-17 to the spread if they are +1.5 or more. Game 4 home dogs off a road dog win have covered 10 of 11 vs an opponent, like the Bengals that are off a win and cover. The Browns are 6-0 ats off a win if they had 300+ yards passing. They have their best receiver back and he was solid last week. The Bengals are 0-6 ats if they allowed 10 or more than their season average in points and 0-7 ats as a division favorite when they have a better record than their opponent. The Bengals have lost here the last 2 seasons. The Points and Cleveland are the play here today.
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09-26-13 | San Francisco 49ers -3 v. St. Louis Rams | 35-11 | Win | 100 | 17 h 22 m | Show | |
In Thursday night NFL Action our Double system dominator Side is on the SF. 49ers. Game 101 at 8:25 eastern. Both teams are off blowout losses coming into this one. However its San Francisco that has really been a bust as they are off back to back 20+ point blowout losses to Seattle and Indianapolis on Sunday as a 10 point favorite. Road favorites off a home favored loss that scored less than 10 points have covered 96% vs an opponent like the Rams that are off a road dog loss that scored 14 or less points. San Francisco has won 7 of 9 vs losing teams. The Rams fit a 100% Play against system that goes against home dogs off a road dog loss by 7 or more points if they scored 10 or less points had 2 or less turnovers while rushing for less than 50 yards and allowing 150 or more rush yards. These home dogs have never covered and are losing by an average 18 points per game. The Rams are 2-11 off back to back losses and the Niners have covered 10 straight vs teams off 2+ losses if they are playing with revenge. Harbaugh is 5-0 ats as a favorite of less than 5. The Niners are 7-1 ats in September off a straight up favored loss and will look to get the offense back on track after managing just 10 points the last 2 games combined. With the Rams 1-29 straight up as a division home dog of 3 or more we will back the Niners tonight.
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09-23-13 | Oakland Raiders v. Denver Broncos OVER 48 | 21-37 | Win | 100 | 24 h 14 m | Show | |
NFL System total
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09-22-13 | Chicago Bears v. Pittsburgh Steelers OVER 40 | 40-23 | Win | 100 | 54 h 15 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Evening totals Play is on the Over in the Chicago at Pittsburgh game. Rotation numbers 417/418 at 8:25 eastern. This game fits a tremendous totals system that pertain to home dogs that have scored less than their season average in the last 2 games, as long as they were not ahead at the end of the first quarter and did not have more than 10 penalties in the game. These games have Soared over the total 21 straight times and by 2+ touchdowns. The Bears are 9-0 over before playing Detroit and 11-0 Over on grass vs Non divisional teams with a division game up next week.They have played over in 7 of 9 after 2+ wins. The Steelers have played over in 11 straight at home off a road loss if they scored 16 or less points. Look for the Steelers to turn things around on offense here tonight in what should be a very entertaining game. Take Chicago and Pittsburgh to play over the total.
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09-22-13 | Buffalo Bills +126 v. NY Jets | 20-27 | Loss | -100 | 50 h 4 m | Show | |
On Sunday in afternoon action our dog play is on the Buffalo Bills game number 415 at 4:25 eastern. The Bills have covered 19 straight times if off a non division win by 3 or less points provided they scored in the last quarter. Even better though is a league wide system we have cleaned up with the past few seasons that plays against home teams that lost by 3 or less as a double digit dog. These home teams have bounced big after nearly scoring the big road upset, failing to cover in 30 of 36 applications. These home teams simply get flat after losing a game they were all out to win as a dog of 10 or more. The Jets were done in by 3 4th quarter interceptions by Rookie Qb Geno Smith despite holding the Patriots to just 13 points at home. The Jets are 0-10 ats off a spread win where they had 3 or more turnovers than their opponents and have failed to cover the last seven times as a favorite when they allowed 4 or more sacks. Look for the Bills to take this one.
Sunday Bonus Power Teaser 11-2 on these since last year and cashed one last week--- Here we go- 3 teams 10 points San Francisco Game 412 at 4:25 eastern to Even. They have covered 24 straight on a 10 point line move if they scored 10 or less points from their season average..Atlanta game 409 at 4:05 eastern. Atlanta to +12 as we play against a non division home team like Miami off back to back road dog wins Pitt Steelers game 418 at 8:25 eastern. In 49 games playing at home off a road loss where they scored 14 or less the Steelers have only lost by More than 12 points just 4 times in those 49 games. SF- Even Atlanta +12 Pitt +12.5 |
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09-22-13 | Jacksonville Jaguars +19 v. Seattle Seahawks | Top | 17-45 | Loss | -109 | 19 h 31 m | Show |
On Sunday the NFL Top play is on.....Hold your nose. Jacksonville. Game 413 at 4:25 eastern. By game time the Jaguars should be getting upwards of 20 points, which is perfect as teams laying 20 or more have NOT Covered the spread, not even once the last 34 years dating back through 1979. Another solid system, an exclusive one we use whenever it applies dates to 1977 and plays on week 3 road dogs getting more than 12 points if they are 0-2. These teams are 17-2 ats. These teams maybe ugly but they get the job done, most teams in this range sitting at 0-2 give it all they have desperately trying to avoid going 0-3. Most times they lost, but this situation have become a classic win and no cover for the home team. Seattle is off a Big emotional win over San Francisco and gave it their all. Its only natural that this be a flat spot. They could win 21-3 and not cover in this game. Seattle is also 0-9 ats after The Niners and 3-14 ats home off a win vs an opponent off a road game. Coach Carrroll has also shown he lets up as he is 2-8 ats off back to back wins vs losing teams Both teams have solid defenses and the Jags will stay in the game because they wont give up a ton of points. I expect they will play better on offense as they cant be happy with the Demonstrator pleading with management to sign Tebow. Henne will most likely be back their again for an injured B. Gabbert. Henne should benefit form playing last week and they should play more cohesively. Jacksonville is a perfect 9-0 ats as a dog of 7 or more if they allowed 4 or more sacks. We will hold our noses and take Jacksonville today.
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09-22-13 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. New England Patriots -7 | 3-23 | Win | 100 | 47 h 41 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Early Power System Play is on the New England Patriots. Game 396 at 1:00 eastern. The Patriots fit all the Parameters of Solid System that won just last week with Denver. We want to play on Teams who won on a Thursday night if they have a .700 or better win percentage and are taking on a team like Tampa Bay that lost on a Sunday, if that losing team has a win percentage of .350 or less. Tampa did a nice job coming back from a gut wrenching loss to the Jets, only to have their hearts ripped out by a late loss at home to New Orleans. Now they take to the road in a tough spot against a New England team who is getting healthier by the minute. Coach Bellichek is a tremendous 22-2 to the spread at -11.5 or less of back to back spread losses, including 9-0 ats off back to back ats losses vs an opponent off a loss. With Tampa having internal problems, like Revis going to the media with the. Coach Schiano is too strict and there's too much Discipline. The Tampa team may not have their heads screwd on right for this one. Take New England.
On Sunday the early bonus totals system pay is on the under in the San Diego at Tennessee game. Rotation numbers 391/392 at 1:00 eastern. This game fits a solid totals system that dates to 1984 and plays to the under for week 3 teams like the Chargers that have allowed 30+ points in each of the first 2 games, vs an opponent with at least one win and the line is less than 10. This one has cashed 19 of 23 times. San Diego figures to improve on defense against a Titans team that is not as good as what they have seen the first two weeks in Houston and Philly. The Chargers offense also should slow down a bit against a Titans team that pays tough at home. San Diego has stayed under 9 straight times after allowing over 370 yards passing provided they scored no more than 48 points in their last game. Look for this game to go under tonight. |
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09-19-13 | Kansas City Chiefs v. Philadelphia Eagles -3 | 26-16 | Loss | -120 | 19 h 34 m | Show | |
On Thursday the guaranteed NFL Thursday night Power System play is on the Philadelphia Eagles. Game 302 at 8;25 eastern. This game is backed with 2 Tremendous systems that date back to 1989.. First we note that ALL Home teams in non divisional games that are off a home favored loss and scored 28 or more points while passing for 300+ yards, like the Eagles are a perfect 9-0 ats and win by an average 18 points per game. Second we have a Thursday specific system here that plays on home teams off a home favored loss at -3 or more. These teams have won and covered 90%. Finally a perfect plays against system that goes against the Chiefs as Thursday night road dogs have neither won nor covered since 1995 off a home favored win where they scored 21 or less points. Don't be fooled into thinking that all the useless trends you will se in this game matter. They wont. Both teams have new coaches and new philosophies. Road games for teams like KC are tough when coming off a hard fought victory and KC was all out in that Dallas game hanging on late. They have already matched last seasons win total and this is an extremely tough sot especially with Philly off a walk off loss to San Diego. Lay the points here . Take the Eagles.
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09-16-13 | Pittsburgh Steelers v. Cincinnati Bengals UNDER 41 | Top | 10-20 | Win | 100 | 20 h 36 m | Show |
On Monday night the NFL Totals System Play is on the Under in the Pittsburgh at Cincinnati game. Rotation numbers 223/224 at 8:40 eastern. This game fits a solid week 2 totals system that is 15-1 to the under since 1992 when we have a team like the Bengals that lost game 1 by 1-3 points in a game where the line within 3 points of Pickem. Three of the last 4 between these two have stayed under and The Bengals have played under 10 straight times when Reciever A.J Green had more than 88 yards receiving and the total is higher than 36 points. The Bengals have also gone under 7 straight times off a non division loss by 3 or less points. The Steelers have played under the last 6 times as a dog if they allowed 4 or more sacks in their last game. Look for more of a defensive divisional grind in this one. Take the Under.
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09-15-13 | San Francisco 49ers v. Seattle Seahawks UNDER 44.5 | 3-29 | Win | 100 | 43 h 3 m | Show | |
On Sunday night our GUARANTEED Pure Power totals selection is on the Under in the San Francisco at Seattle game. Rotation numbers 221/222 at 8:35 eastern. This game is chocked with Huge systems and Perfect Indicators. Systems: Play the under in any week 2 game when we have a team playing off a win as a favorite at -5.5 or less if they were down at the half and the total in this game is higher than 38. This system has won 19 of 21 times, and we have a little subset that applies that gets it to a perfect 19-0. Right there we have a solid selection. However we can keep adding and note that the under comes in 38 of 52 times when the posted total is 42.5 to 49 when a team is coming off a home game, like the Niners and both teams had winning record last season. Now for some angles. Seattle has stayed under the last 11 times if the line is +3 to -3 and they are playing a division opponent in the first game of there 2 scheduled meetings. San Francisco has played under 9 straight in that exact same scenario. Look for this game to be lower scoring than expected as both these teams have tremendous defenses. Take the Under.
On Sunday night in MLB Action The BONUS Selection is on the NY. Yankees at +1.5 on the run line. The Yankees are a perfect 12-0 as a road dog off a road loss where they scored 2 or less runs on 4 or less hits. There is also a 75% plays against system that pertain to Boston and favorites this season that are off a home favored win and scored 5 or more runs on less than 10 hits vs an opponent off a road dog loss and scored 2 or less runs on 4 or less hits if both teams had no more than 1 error. The Yankees have I. Nova on the mound and he has won all 3 starts in Boston in his young career. T. Buccholz for Boston is 0-4 in home starts vs the Yankees. New York may win this on outright, but we will take the insurance on the run line at 1.5 as that stat is perfect when they are in this situation. |
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09-15-13 | Jacksonville Jaguars +6 v. Oakland Raiders | Top | 9-19 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 60 m | Show |
On Sunday the GUARANTEED NFL Top play is on Jacksonville. Game 217 at 4:05 eastern. The Jaguars have covered 13 of 16 after scoring 6 or less points. There are several solid systems and angles that also apply to this one. Here we go. Play on road dogs from +5 to +10 in non division games that lost to the spread and did no score offensively. These teams are 22-3 ats. The Jags manages just a safety in their 28-2 blowout loss to KC. Oakland is 0-11 ats as a favorite off a road loss if they scored 28 or less points and 0-9 ats at home if they and their opponent have the exact amount of wins, and that would be zero here today. The Raiders have failed to cover the last 5 in this series and are 2-13 ats as a favorite off a loss. Finally we note that road dogs getting 6.5 or less points have covered 17 of 18 times vs an opponent that had 1 or more turnovers but did not allow more than 280 yards. Most of these dogs win straight up. We, however will take the points in this one. Take Jacksonville.
On Sunday the BONUS 3 team Power teaser is on Arizona game 216 at 4:05 eastern. Atlanta game 206 at 1:00 eastern and Carolina game 203 at 1:00 eastern. Atlanta has won 15 straight at home with M. Ryan at the helm and they play of a loss they have also covered in 15 straight games moving the line 10 points at home between away games. Carolina has covered on a 10 point line move 26 of 27 times on the road if they were a home dog. Arizona is the beneficiary of Detroit's 1-22 teaser record after scoring 34+ points. Play Arizona, Atlanta and Carolina in a 3 team teaser. Atlanta + 4.5, Carolina +7 and Arizona +12 |
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09-15-13 | Detroit Lions v. Arizona Cardinals OVER 47.5 | 21-25 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 9 m | Show | |
Offshore steam totals Over Washington- Green Bay and Over Detroit at Arizona.
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09-15-13 | Washington Redskins v. Green Bay Packers OVER 49.5 | 20-38 | Win | 100 | 36 h 3 m | Show | |
Offshore steam totals Over Washington- Green Bay and Over Detroit at Arizona.
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09-15-13 | Minnesota Vikings +6 v. Chicago Bears | 30-31 | Win | 100 | 36 h 34 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Double system Early Pack is on the Minnesota Vikings. Game 211 at 1:00 eastern and the Over in the Miami at Indianapolis game. Rotation numbers 201/202 also a 1:00 eastern. Looking at the Vikings we note they fit an outstanding early system we use that plays on divisional dogs in the first 2 weeks vs an opponent that has revenge. The Bears have failed to cover 7 straight when playing off a non conference game. They have also failed to cover the last 8 times when any one of their wideouts had 100+ yards receiving. The Vikings and coach Frazier should rebound nicely here as they are 6-0 at as a dog vs an opponent off a win. Look for a close game here. In our second selection we have a solid totals system that has cashed 20 of 24 times to the over and plays to the over for game 2 teams in conference games that are playing an opponent off a 10+ point road win like Miami, in a conference game where the total is 35 or higher. A second system that applies here today is to take the over for road teams like Miami when the posted total is 35.5 to 42 after rushing for 50 or less yards in their last game. This one has gone over 80% of the time. Look for a high scoring game here today. Take Miami and Indy to go over.---- Play Minnesota and Over Miami- Indianapolis
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09-15-13 | Carolina Panthers -3 v. Buffalo Bills | 23-24 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 30 m | Show | |
Top off shore steam buy order side on Carolina. Game 203 at 1:00 eastern. Offshore steam totals Over Washington- Green Bay. Rotation numbers 207/208 at 1:00 eastern and Over Detroit at Arizona.Rotation numbers 215/216 at 4:05 eastern. All 3 of these were hit hard with some of the sharpest off shore money.
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09-12-13 | NY Jets v. New England Patriots OVER 43 | 10-13 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 49 m | Show | |
On Thursday the NFL Totals Play is on the Over in the Jets at Patriots game. Rotation numbers 101/102 at 8:25 eastern. This game fits a solid totals system that has flown over in 13 of 14 games since 1989. We want to play the Over for home favorites of 10 or more that are off a road favored win and had 150+ yards rushing, vs an opponent like the Jets that are off a home win. These games average over 50 points. The Jets will move the ball on New England as Geno Smith looked good in the Tampa game but also has the propensity for big blunders and costly turnovers which is a positive when playing the over. The Jets have flown over in 4 of 5 before Playing Buffalo. In the series 7 of the last 8 have played over. The Patriots may be getting Gronkowski back and even with the loss of running back Vereen still have Ridley to run it. Brady makes a star out of even average route runners so the Patriots will still be able to move the ball. The Defenses will struggle with the short rest. The Patriots have gone over in 18 of 25 with 6 or less days rest and ALL 5 On Thursday nights. In games after the Bills they have gone over in 5 of 6. When the total is 47 or less they are 13 of 16 to the over. There may be some rain on the way tonight but that will push the total down. Take the Over between the Jets and Patriots.
O/U: 13-1-0 (6.71, 92.9%) avg total: 44.6 +6: Rushes Rush Yds Passes Comp Pass Yds TOs Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Team 30.2 136.9 35.0 22.9 283.3 1.1 7.0 10.7 5.4 10.4 33.5 Opp 24.1 99.1 33.4 18.6 212.1 2.6 2.4 5.9 4.1 5.6 17.9 Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot Oct 04, 1992 Sunday 5 1992 Fortyniners Rams home 7-0 3-7 0-0 17-17 27-24 -16.5 41.5 3 -13.5 9.5 -2.0 11.5 W L O 0 Dec 04, 1994 Sunday 14 1994 Fortyniners Falcons home 3-7 24-7 7-0 16-0 50-14 -13.0 47.5 36 23.0 16.5 19.8 -3.2 W W O 0 Sep 10, 1995 Sunday 2 1995 Cowboys Broncos home 0-0 14-7 7-7 10-7 31-21 -10.0 44.0 10 0.0 8.0 4.0 4.0 W P O 0 Sep 10, 1995 Sunday 2 1995 Fortyniners Falcons home 17-0 7-3 7-7 10-0 41-10 -13.5 49.0 31 17.5 2.0 9.8 -7.8 W W O 0 Oct 08, 1995 Sunday 6 1995 Raiders Seahawks home 3-0 10-0 14-7 7-7 34-14 -10.0 39.5 20 10.0 8.5 9.2 -0.8 W W O 0 Nov 06, 1995 Monday 10 1995 Cowboys Eagles home 10-3 7-3 7-6 10-0 34-12 -14.0 43.5 22 8.0 2.5 5.2 -2.8 W W O 0 Dec 08, 1996 Sunday 15 1996 Fortyniners Panthers home 0-10 17-17 0-3 7-0 24-30 -10.0 37.5 -6 -16.0 16.5 0.2 16.2 L L O 0 Sep 27, 1998 Sunday 4 1998 Fortyniners Falcons home 14-7 17-0 0-0 0-13 31-20 -11.5 46.5 11 -0.5 4.5 2.0 2.5 W L O 0 Nov 22, 1998 Sunday 12 1998 Broncos Raiders home 3-0 14-7 0-7 23-0 40-14 -11.5 44.5 26 14.5 9.5 12.0 -2.5 W W O 0 Oct 07, 2007 view Sunday 5 2007 Patriots Browns home 10-0 10-0 0-3 14-14 34-17 -16.5 48.0 17 0.5 3.0 1.8 1.2 W W O 0 Sep 28, 2008 view Sunday 4 2008 Cowboys Redskins home 7-0 3-17 7-3 7-6 24-26 -11.0 46.0 -2 -13.0 4.0 -4.5 8.5 L L O 0 Nov 29, 2009 view Sunday 12 2009 Chargers Chiefs home 7-0 21-7 10-7 5-0 43-14 -13.5 45.0 29 15.5 12.0 13.8 -1.8 W W O 0 Sep 16, 2012 view Sunday 2 2012 Patriots Cardinals home 3-6 3-0 3-7 9-7 18-20 -13.5 48.0 -2 -15.5 -10.0 -12.8 2.8 L L U 0 Sep 30, 2012 view Sunday 4 2012 Texans Titans home 14-0 0-7 14-0 10-7 38-14 -13.0 44.5 24 11.0 7.5 9.2 -1.8 W W O 0 Sep 12, 2013 view Thursday 2 2013 Patriots Jets home -12.0 43.5 On Thursday night in College Football the Bonus play is on TCU. Game 103 at 7:30 eastern. Tcu will look for paybacks from last seasons 56-53 home over time loss at the hands of Texas Tech. Statistically the game was very close. However the Horned Frogs were done in by a -3 in the all important turnover category. TCU has covered 7 of the last 8 with conference revenge. Texas Tech will throw it most of the night and will most likely lose the rushing yards category to TCU. Unfortunately Tech may be unaware that TCU HAS WON 47 STRAIGHT When they out rush their opponents. With the spread at -3 we will keep that valuable nugget in mind. TCU was perhaps looking ahead to this one last week in a lethargic looking win over SE Louisiana. Prior to that gave LSU a tough game before falling short late. Tech has played a mediocre SMU Team and SF. Austin, so there gaudy offensive numbers be somewhat inflated. Look for TCU to take down Tech. Take TCU Tonight. |
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09-09-13 | Houston Texans v. San Diego Chargers +4.5 | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 22 h 35 m | Show | |
On Monday night the NFL Power System Play is on the San Diego Chargers. Game 482 at 10:20 eastern. The Chargers qualify in a solid system here that plays on certain week 1 Monday night NFL Home dogs and the system has been Rare and solid dating back to 19709. Another fine week 1 system Plays AGAINST non division game 1 teams like Houston that won 13 or more games last season and are playing an opponent that won less than 13 games. These teams have failed to cover 21 of 28 long tern. The Chargers are 20-3 ats vs AFC South teams and have covered 4 of 5 as a home dog on Monday night football. Houston is 0-4 vs San Diego. finally we note that non divisional teams that had a .750 or better win percentage that are dogs or favorites by less than a touchdown have failed to cover over 90% of the time vs an opponent that was .500 or less last season. Look for the Chargers to keep this one close.
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09-08-13 | NY Giants +3.5 v. Dallas Cowboys | 31-36 | Loss | -113 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
On Sunday night the NFL Power System Play is on the NY. Giants. Game 477 at 8:35 eastern. The Giants fit a solid Divisional Dog system we have used with tremendous success if the home team has revenge. Dallas is 0-8 ats as a division home favorite and the Giants 9-0 to the spread here.. Dallas has been a horrendous favorite failing to cover in 22 of 28 instances. Coach Coughlin has covered to the tune of 8-0-1 ats as a dog. The Giants are fast starters every year. Look for them to play well here once again. Take the Points with the Boys in blue tonight.
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09-08-13 | Arizona Cardinals +4.5 v. St. Louis Rams | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 16 h 56 m | Show | |
On Sunday in Afternoon Action we have a Power System Play on the Green Bay Packers. Game 475 at 4:25 eastern. The Packers have had all off season to think about this one and figure out how to score it and stop it against the Niners that shot right past them last season. The Big systems in this one are to play against teams in game one that are non division teams that won 13 or more last season vs an opponent like the Packers that won less than 13 last year. If the opponent was, like the Packers a Playoff team the system goes 1-9 ats against San Francisco. Another fine season is to play on Week one dogs of more than 3 that have playoff revenge. The Packers are still 4-1 ats in the series and 5-1 in game ones. They have relished the dog role cashing 19 of 26 including 8 straight as dog more than 3 on grass. The Niners are still 4-14 straight up in the series. Look for the Packers to at the very least get the cover. Green Bay today.
On Sunday the Divisional Power System Side is on the Arizona Cardinals. Game 473 at 4;25 eastern. Arizona qualifies in a solid system that has cashed 24 of 27 times and plays on certain road teams vs an opponent that was under .500 in conference games last season. The Cardinals have put a big emphasis on defense and looked good in preseason. Now they open up in St. Louis. The Cardinals have cashed the last opening games. Arizona has a new coach, a new Qb in Carson Palmer and a new Running back in Rashard Mendenhall. St. Louis is 2-10 to the spread in game ones and 0-11 ats as a division favorite vs an opponent who has revenge. Arizona has been taking sharp money all week and Has been Bet down from +6 to +4.5. Look for them to get it done today. Take Arizona. |
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09-08-13 | Green Bay Packers +4.5 v. San Francisco 49ers | 28-34 | Loss | -104 | 16 h 56 m | Show | |
On Sunday in Afternoon Action we have a Power System Play on the Green Bay Packers. Game 475 at 4:25 eastern. The Packers have had all off season to think about this one and figure out how to score it and stop it against the Niners that shot right past them last season. The Big systems in this one are to play against teams in game one that are non division teams that won 13 or more last season vs an opponent like the Packers that won less than 13 last year. If the opponent was, like the Packers a Playoff team the system goes 1-9 ats against San Francisco. Another fine season is to play on Week one dogs of more than 3 that have playoff revenge. The Packers are still 4-1 ats in the series and 5-1 in game ones. They have relished the dog role cashing 19 of 26 including 8 straight as dog more than 3 on grass. The Niners are still 4-14 straight up in the series. Look for the Packers to at the very least get the cover. Green Bay today.
On Sunday the Divisional Power System Side is on the Arizona Cardinals. Game 473 at 4;25 eastern. Arizona qualifies in a solid system that has cashed 24 of 27 times and plays on certain road teams vs an opponent that was under .500 in conference games last season. The Cardinals have put a big emphasis on defense and looked good in preseason. Now they open up in St. Louis. The Cardinals have cashed the last opening games. Arizona has a new coach, a new Qb in Carson Palmer and a new Running back in Rashard Mendenhall. St. Louis is 2-10 to the spread in game ones and 0-11 ats as a division favorite vs an opponent who has revenge. Arizona has been taking sharp money all week and Has been Bet down from +6 to +4.5. Look for them to get it done today. Take Arizona. |
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09-08-13 | Seattle Seahawks v. Carolina Panthers UNDER 45 | 12-7 | Win | 100 | 23 h 49 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Perfect Totals System is on the Under in the Seattle At Carolina game. Rotation numbers 467/468 at 1:00 eastern. Totals a little high here with 2 Solid Defenses in what looks to be a close game. For our totals system we note that Non Division home dogs in week 1 with a total of 45 or higher have gone under 11 straight times. Seattle has played under in 5 straight as a favorite of less than 6 in the first month of the season. In the series here al 3 have played under Look for this one to follow suit. Take the under.
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09-08-13 | Minnesota Vikings +4.5 v. Detroit Lions | 24-34 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 60 m | Show | |
On Sunday the Power System Side is on the Minnesota Vikings. Game 469 at 1;00 eastern. The Vikings took both games last season and fit a SOLID Early System we use that plays against favorites like the Lions that have revenge. This system is 57-13 heading into this season. The Lions are 3-11 to the spread in the series and 0-9 ats if they are not +2 or more or favored when playing on Sunday. The Lions are also 0-10 ats in games where Star Wideout Calvin Johnson caught 7 or more ball vs this team in their last meeting. The Vikings could control the clock with a solid run game and take advantage of a Detroit team that played terrible in first half's last season only to have to make big comebacks late. Not what you want when you take a favorite. The Vikes are 13-7 as a dogs and did win 10 games compared to 4 last season for Detroit. Look for Minnesota to get the cash.
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09-05-13 | Baltimore Ravens v. Denver Broncos -7 | 27-49 | Win | 100 | 20 h 28 m | Show | |
On Thursday our Opening selection in the NFL is on The Denver Broncos. Game 452 at 8:35 eastern. If ever there was a game circled on a teams schedule its this one here tonight. Denver is chomping at the bit to get the sour taste of last seasons playoff loss to Baltimore out of their mouths. The Broncos epic defensive lapses single handedly lost them the game. They were 9 point favorites in that game and are once again laying a touchdown to Baltimore who wont have the leadership of Ray Lewis to propel them. While Baltimore did make some nice acquisitions on defense led by the E. Dumerville pick up. The feeling is that they wont be able to gel right away and this will be a tough team to stop tonight. Denver upgraded their run game with M. Ball and still have Moreno coming out of the back field. Baltimore has new faces on offense too as A. Boldin a big catch receiver is gone. We look for this game to be more similar to Denver's 34-17 win in the prior game they played last season. Denver has won 9 of the last 10 home openers will be tough once again on defense and has a solid system in their favor. Super Bowl Champions have failed to cover 80+% in opening games when going into revenge and that system goes perfect one more little nugget from the database With Baltimore 1-7 ats when they lose as a road dog, 1-4 ats on Thursday and 1-5 ats as a dog of 7 or more. We will back the Broncos in this one.
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02-03-13 | Baltimore Ravens v. San Francisco 49ers -3.5 | Top | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 23 m | Show |
OVER VIEW: Super Bowl XLV11 will be played indoors at The Louisiana Super Dome in New Orleans. Below we will bring you a series of Systems, angles, Situational indicators, as well as a Historical Perspective that will be perhaps the most Comprehensive analysis in the country. We will far exceed the game winning analysis we had last year with the Giants over the Patriots. Some of the information you will see here far exceeds the industy standard as we strive to bring you the most cutting edge material on a daily basis. Now on to the game.
THE LINE: San Francisco opened as a 5 point favorite soon after the Championship games concluded and were quickly bet down to a 3.5 point favorite, where the line has remained pretty steady with a few fours starting to pop up. The Recommendation is to buy down to -3 if you are getting 3.5. Cant recall too many instances where we have a team that is favored by such a small amount when having BOTH a top 10 offense and a top 10 Defense, vs an opponent who has neither. Offense: San Francisco is a top 10 offense and has a slightly better statistical advantage over the Ravens and have the all important better rushing statistics. Rushing the ball is Paramount in the Super Bowl as teams who win the rushing battle have gone on to win and cover 90% of the time. The Niners as a team have won 25 of the last 26 times when running the ball 25 or more times, which is a distinct possibility in this one, especially with Kappernick at the helm. With 3 solid options in Kappernick, Gore and Lamichael James the niners should have plenty of new looks the Ravens may not be able to handle. In the passing game we have seen Kappernick utilize weapons in V. Davis and M. Crabtree and occasionally go deep to Randy Moss who will be sprinting deep routes all day. We note that in Super bowl play favorites who score 28 or more are 12-1 to the spread and 1-16-1 ats when they don't. The Niners should be able to move the ball here against the Ravens as they average over 5 yards per carry. Baltimore on offense has been propelled by the hot play of Joe Flacco. In his games playoff games this year Flacco has hit another gear. The biggest factor is that he has not turned the ball over. Tonight however, should the running game get shut down, he will be forced to throw and that could lead to turnovers. The Ravens run the ball for a full yard less than the niners and this game will be much tougher to score for them than it was against a poor Patriots defense. Defense: All time in Super bowl history 39 of the 46 champions have had a top Defense. The 49ers come in with a Top 10 defense to go along with a top 10 offense. San Francisco has allowed 3.8 yards per rush. Should they get in the back field and pressure Flacco, something he has not had to deal with, that could lead to turnovers. Baltimore with Rice and Pearce have a nice tandem but with a vaunted Niners front may not be able to get going. The Niners are very aware of the Big Plays they have allowed in the passing game of late and will no doubt shore that up. While the Ravens have some nice receivers, led By Boldin and Smith, they are not as good as the Niners have faced in recent weeks in Atlanta and Green Bay. I look for a solid defensive effort here from San Francisco. Baltimore on defense is ranked 21st and played very well in their Win vs the Patriots. In that game they did not have to contend with Tight end Gronkowski and New England really had no real running threats like they have to contend with tonight. They made a Patriots offense look very average. In the Denver game they were aided big time when Denver lost their top running back due to injury. In both of those games they faced Pocket passers on grass and never had to deal with Option reads they will see here tonight on a fast surface. Denver really lost that game more than the Ravens won it. Teams like Baltimore who come in allowing more yards per rush are just 4-10 Ats in the Super Bowl of late. The Ravens will have their hands full tonight as they can take one thing away, but not everything. History: In this years look at the Hank Stram Super Bowl System, we note that the 49ers are the qualifying team. This system which was more effective in years past than it has been of late has the 49ers as the winning team. The system is 33-11-2 ats all time. Below is the set of parameters which awards points to the team that qualifies in the statistical sets displayed below. The Hank Stram System: 10 If team has won the Super Bowl in last 3 years 8 if an opponent is going to their first Super Bowl 8 to the team that allows fewer defensive rushes 7 give to team with most offensive rushes 7 award the team with best overall record (straight up) 5 to the team with the lowest def. rush average per carry 4 give 4 pts. to the team with the better ATS record 4 to the team that has the superior NET penalty yards 4 to the team with the best NET kick-punt TD returns 3.5 team with the best yds per pass attempt 3.5 to the team that gave up the fewest points 3.5 allowed the fewest rushing TD |
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01-20-13 | Baltimore Ravens +9.5 v. New England Patriots | 28-13 | Win | 100 | 164 h 51 m | Show | |
On Sunday the AFC Selection is on the Baltimore Ravens. Game 303 at 6:30 eastern. The last 3 games between these two have been decided by 3 or less points. Had this been a regular season the line would be no more than 6 points. While there are some situations pertaining to New England and home teams of a win and cover. There some equally disturbing situations that plays against the Patriots. Like playing against teams that scored 40 or more last out. These teams have failed to cover 20 of 23 times in the next game. The Ravens have covered 7 of the last 8 on the road in Playoff games vs non division opponents. In computer Simulation the Ravens were the choice when getting 8 or more points. While the Patriots have 31-30 same season revenge the Ravens have Conference Championship revenge from last years heart breaking loss. In that game wide receiver Lee Evans dropped an easy touchdown and then Ravens Kicker Billy Cundiff missed an easy 32 yard game tying field goal. Baltimore did get luck last week winning the game despite maybe the poorest special teams performance in playoff history, allowing both a Punt and Lick off return for touchdowns. When allowing just one special teams score your chances greatly decrease, let alone two. Baltimore believes they are a team of destiny and when you play like they did last week and win, sometime you gather momentum and play much better. The Patriots will be without Gronkowski and may not get the same types of offensive production they had last week from some of their Unheralded players. We will back Balty in this one and take the Ravens and the points here tonight.
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01-20-13 | San Francisco 49ers v. Atlanta Falcons +5 | Top | 28-24 | Win | 100 | 43 h 53 m | Show |
On Sunday the NFC Championship Game system Selection is on the Atlanta Falcons. Game 302 at 3:00 eastern. There are some solid statistical indicators and systems that apply to this Game here today. For Atlanta we note that they are 3-0 vs teams with winning records at game time this year. They are 7-0 vs NFC West teams and 30-7, including 10-1 of late when playing on 6 or less days of rest. Home dogs that have won at least 75% of their games are 8-2 straight up. Another solid system that has cashed 21 of the last 31 is to simply the dog with a higher win percentage. Teams Like Atlanta off back to back ats losses are 45-19 ats. In games between #1 VS #2 seeds in NFC Play the 1 seed has won 8 of 12 times. Atlanta and San Francisco have similar offensive number and the Niners have a better defense. However with Atlanta being home that evens out. The Falcons may not have as tough a time with Option reads and Kappernick like some seem to think. Having faced Russell Wilson last week should be a benefit to them in this game as opposed to having faced a conventional style Qb. Atlanta took the monkey off their back getting that first playoff win last week and should have plenty of confidence. The Niners may struggle on the road in a loud building and may not be able to duplicate the 500+ yard performance they had last week at home. As good as the Niners defense is, they have allowed an average of 28 points per game the last 4 road games and the last time they played in a loud venue in Seattle they struggled and were blown out by nearly 30 points. Add in the fact that teams who scored 40 or more have failed to cover 20 of 23 times and we look to have the making of an upset win. In that 3-20 system is an 18-0 Subset too. The 49ers are 0-11 to the spread since on the road when they are off a win in which they rushed the ball at least ten more times than their average, as long as they are a favorite of -7.5 more..Looking below we see how poorly Pacific team do in the eastern time zone.. At the very least we think Atlanta emerges with a Cover here in this one and With Matty Ice and his solid Home numbers, they may win outright. Fly with the Falcons today.
Since 2007, PST teams are 15 |
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01-13-13 | Houston Texans +10 v. New England Patriots | 28-41 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 45 m | Show | |
On Sunday the ACF Divisional Play is on Houston Game 115 at 4:35 eastern. Tom Brady is 19-26 ATS as a home favorite of -9 or more (9-19 ATS since November 2007). Houston is not playing the 3rd of 3 straight road games here and the Patriots needed the game much more in the first matchup than Houston did at the time. Houston has played much better on defense this season than the Patriots have and Revenging teams are 27-12 since 2002 in the Playoffs. The Patriots have struggled failing 7 of the last 8 times vs teams like Houston that win two thirds or more of their games if they are off a bye week and are favored by more than 3 points. The Simulations show the Patriots should win but not cover the spread which could get up to 10 by game time. The Patriots are 0-9 to the spread since 2005 at home when they are off a home game in which they prevented their opponent from getting into the end zone from first and goal. Another Solid system plays on playoff dogs with a better win percentage which Houston has at 13-4. Thus one has covered 21 of the last 30 times. Since 2001 home favorites from -5 to -10 that come in off a home favored win and prior road favored win are 0-4 ats. Houston is 10-2 ats with revenge and a perfect 3-0 in that role this season. Surprisingly the Patriots have failed to cover 23 of the last 32 times at home when the total is 45 to 49.5
Texans 5-0 ATS past 5 games in January Texans 6-1 ATS past 7 as underdog Texans 7-2 SU past 9 vs. AFC East teams Texans 3-0 ATS lifetime in playoffs Patriots 1-6 ATS in playoffs since 2008 |