The Late totals system  is on the over in Arizona at Detroit Game. Rotation numbers 467/468 at 4:05 eastern. Arizona Is 5 of 6 as a non division road favorite, 9 of 11 vs NFC North teams. The Lions are 4 of 4 over at home vs Arizona, 6 of 8 as a non division home dog and 6 of 8 in the first of 3+ home games. This game fits a solid totals system that has cashed 24 of 31 times long term by playing over in non division games when we have a team off a home favored division loss like the Cards that scored 21 or more. With the Lions 19-0 to the over as a dog after allowing 7 or less points than their season average we will. Look for this one to go over the total.

The Early Dog system is on Chicago. Game 459 at 1:00 eastern. Cutler is back for this one and he should be able to lean on Forte here and keep this close against a struggling 1-3 KC Team. Visiting teams off a win taking 8+ points are 33-5 ats if both teams are under .500. The Chiefs are 0-7 ats at home after passing for 300+ yards. Take the Bears plus the points.

BONUS 3 TEAM TEASER

 3 Team 10 point teaser. Green Bay, New England, Arizona

The NFL Totals Play is on the Over in the Saints at Eagles game at 1;00 eastern. This one fits some sweet totals systems. Week 5non divisional games that pits two teams that are .333 or less are 90% to the over if the total 42.5 or more.  Game 5 homers that played under the first 4 weeks are 90% to the over if the total is 37 or higher and game 5 home favorites of more than 4 are 100% to the over. Over the last 36 seasons home teams with a Monday nighter that take on a team that will play their next game on Thursday have pitched overs  over 80% of the time. Finally 90% of the time in week 5. Philly has played over 6 of 6 home vs AFC South teams and 4 of 5 vs the Saints and 5 of 5 vs .333 or less non division teams. The Saints are 9 of 10 over in game fives, 4 of 5 before a Thursday game and 7 of 9 vs the NFC East. With 4 Huge system and several over tendencies we will take the Eagles and Saints over the total.

The Late Blowout is on New England. Game 469 at 4:25 eastern Patriots and favorites off a bye week that scored more than 35 points vs an opponent that is .599 or less have covered 95% at -9 or less and the opponent is off a loss where they never trailed by 10+ points, like Dallas. The Cowboys blew it down in New Orleans on Sunday night and had 2 linebackers lined up wrong resulting in blown coverages in their OT Loss. Pats with extra rest against a team going backwards. This could get ugly. With New England 8-0 ats if they has a receiver with a 100+ yards in receptions we will Lay it with the Patriots.

The NFL Road warrior system is on Arizona. Game 467 at 4:05 eastern. The Cards have plenty of fire power and are 7-0 ats after allowing 4+ sacks and have covered 7 straight on the road if they had a receiver with 6+ catches.  They are 8-1 ats 1t of back to back road vs non division team that has revenge. The Lions are 1-5 ats off Monday night game. Coach Arians is 10-2 ats off a loss. Home teams like the Lions that lost by 1-3 points at +10 or more have failed to cover 30 of 38 as these teams are spent after a close loss as a big dog and cannot get up for these games the week after when playing at home. Detroit lost close in Seattle and have 1 less day to prepare as they are the only winless team in the NFL. Take Arizona.

On Thursday the 100% Super system play is on the Houston Texans. Game 302 at 8:25 eastern Road dogs or favorites of -3 or less are winless since 1989 off a home favored Overtime win vs an opponent off a road dog loss that scored 21 or more points. The Colts are 0-4 ats if the total is 42.5 to 49. Houston has better numbers on both sides of the ball and are 6-1 ats at home with revenge off a 10+ ats loss and 5-0 after allowing 35 or more points. The Colts have not looked goo this year and this will be a tough spot with Foster ready to get extended carries. Look for the Texans to take this one.

The NFL Monday night play is on the Seattle Seahawks. Game 278 at 8:30 eastern. 

The Sunday night upper system Play is on the New Orleans Saints. Game 276 at 8:35 eastern. This fits an exclusive super system that plays on home favorites that are off a road dog loss at +7 or more and scored 21+ points while still managing to cover the spread, if they are playing an opponent like Dallas that scored 21+ points in a home loss. Dallas Back up Weeden is 0-9 straight up and ats in starts. The Saints have covered 5 of 6 in the series at home and are 5-0 ats off back to back division games and 11-1 ats if winless and taking on an a team that is over .500 and not in their division. Dallas is 0-8 ats on the road with a home game then a road game upcoming vs a non divisional team that lost their last game. Finally Dallas is 0-7 ats on Sunday night Football vs an opponent off 2+ losses and the Saints are 9-0 ats on Sunday night Football vs an opponent off a loss of 10 or more. SAINTS come marching in tonight.

The NFL Bounce back system side is on the SF 49ers. Game 270 at 4:25 eastern. We have a huge system that dates to 1973 here today and plays against Game 4 teams like the Packers that scored 24 or more in their first 3 games, vs an opponent with at least  1 win and they are favored by 7 or more and covered in their last game. These teams falter big time failing to cover over 95% the last 42 years. So this puts us on the Niners. San Fran will look to play much better after getting blasted for over 40 points in back to back road games. San Fran is 6-0 ats as a 7+ dog after scoring 9 or less points and 6-0 off  a loss to Arizona. Home dogs off a loss allowing 40 or more have covered 10 of the last 12 times if they are taking 8 or more points. Green Bay may be flat here off a couple of home wins and covers. They are 0-6 ats as a 7+ favorite if they scored 34 or more at home, 0-5 ats off a monday nighter, 2-6 with revenge with back to back home games up next. Look for San Fran to get the cover,

NFL off shore steam sharp  money jumbo buy order on the Over in the St. Louis at Arizona game Rotation numbers 273/274 at 4:25 eastern. These plays are on a solid 58-31 run after cashing easily on Saturday. Play the Rams and Cardinals over the total

NFL Blowout system on Denver. Game 272 at 4:25 eastern. 

The Sunday Dog with system side is on the Houston Texans. Game  255 at 1:00 eastern. Houston is in a solid spot here as Atlanta and favorites off 3+ dog wins have failed to cover 15 of 20 times long term. The Falcons are 0-17 ats at home off 3+ spread wins and have failed to cover 14 of 15 at home off 2 wins and covers. The Dirty birds are 0-6 ats at home off a road game if they had 34+ minutes of T.O.P., 2-9 ats in the first of back to back home, 1-8 ats vs AFC Teams. Houston should have Arian Foster back and have covered 4 of 5 in the 2nd of back to back non division games if they play the Colts next week. Teams like Atlanta in Game 4 that scored 24+ points in the first 3 games are an 80% go against system long term. Take the Texans today.

3 Team 10 point Teaser. Indy Colts, Carolina Panthers, Washington Redskins

The NFL total is on the over in the Giants at Bills game on Sunday. Rotation numbers 259/260 at 1 eastern.

The NFL Banger system play is on the Pittsburgh Steelers. Game 102 at 8:25 eastern. The Steelers are 11-0 ats at home after scoring 14 or less vs a losing team. Baltimore is in a tough spot here as they are 0-3 and now have to take the road on a short week after a devastating home loss. The Ravens are 1-4 ats in the series. Thursday home divisional teams like the Steelers off a road win vs an opponent off a home loss are undefeated since 1989 winning by an average 11 points game. The Steelers  may not have big Ben but the line is adjusted around 6 points for that and as we have seen many a time, the first game shock value particularly at home with a backup Qb has cashed many times. The Public will be banging Balty figuring they wont go 0-4. We however will side with the database and take the home dog tonight.

The NFL Totals Domination Play is on the Over in the Monday nighter between KC and Green Bay at 8:30 eastern. This game fits a multitude of powerful totals angles the best of which is the system below, direct from the database and plays to the over form Road teams that were at home on their last game in a high scoring game that played over the total. With 2 higher powered offenses the totals play is to go over the total in the KC at Greenbay game.

O/U:
20-0-1     
 
Final

Team
27.0

Opp
28.3 
 
Sep 18, 2011   Sunday  2  2011  Packers  Panthers  away  0-10  7-3  16-0  7-10  30-23  -10.0  45.0  7  -3.0  8.0  2.5  5.5  W  L  O  0 
Dec 26, 2011   Monday  16  2011  Falcons  Saints  away  10-7  0-14  3-10  3-14  16-45  7.0  52.5  -29  -22.0  8.5  -6.8  15.2  L  L  O  0 
Oct 21, 2012   Sunday  7  2012  Titans  Bills  away  14-14  7-6  7-14  7-0  35-34  3.5  46.5  1  4.5  22.5  13.5  9.0  W  W  O  0 
Nov 04, 2012   Sunday  9  2012  Vikings  Seahawks  away  7-14  10-6  3-7  0-3  20-30  4.0  38.5  -10  -6  11.5  2.8  8.8  L  L  O  0 
Nov 11, 2012   Sunday  10  2012  Chargers  Buccaneers  away  14-7  7-10  0-7  3-10  24-34  3.0  47.5  -10  -7  10.5  1.8  8.8  L  L  O  0 
Sep 15, 2013   Sunday  2  2013  Broncos  Giants  away  0-3  10-6  14-7  17-7  41-23  -4.5  54.5  18  13.5  9.5  11.5  -2.0  W  W  O  0 
Oct 20, 2013   Sunday  7  2013  Bears  Redskins  away  10-3  7-21  7-7  17-14  41-45  -1.0  48.0  -4  -5.0  38.0  16.5  21.5  L  L  O  0 
Nov 03, 2013   Sunday  9  2013  Buccaneers  Seahawks  away  0-0  21-7  3-7  0-10  24-27  15.5  41.0  -3  12.5  10.0  11.2  -1.2  L  W  O  1 
Nov 17, 2013   Sunday  11  2013  Vikings  Seahawks  away  3-10  10-14  0-0  7-17  20-41  13.0  46.0  -21  -8.0  15.0  3.5  11.5  L  L  O  0 
Nov 24, 2013   Sunday  12  2013  Titans  Raiders  away  3-3  3-6  7-3  10-7  23-19  -2.0  42.0  4  2.0  0.0  1.0  -1.0  W  W  P  0 
Dec 08, 2013   Sunday  14  2013  Lions  Eagles  away  0-0  8-0  6-6  6-28  20-34  3.0  53.0  -14  -11.0  1  -5.0  6.0  L  L  O  0 
Dec 09, 2013   Monday  14  2013  Cowboys  Bears  away  7-7  7-17  0-11  14-10  28-45  1.5  49.0  -17  -15.5  24  4.2  19.8  L  L  O  0 
Sep 14, 2014  view  Sunday  2  2014  Seahawks  Chargers  away  7-3  7-17  7-7  0-3  21-30  -5.0  45.5  -9  -14.0  5.5  -4.2  9.8  L  L  O  0 
Sep 28, 2014  view  Sunday  4  2014  Falcons  Vikings  away  7-14  7-10  14-3  0-14  28-41  -4.0  47.0  -13  -17.0  22.0  2.5  19.5  L  L  O  0 
Oct 12, 2014  view  Sunday  6  2014  Packers  Dolphins  away  7-3  3-0  7-7  10-14  27-24  -2.5  47.5  3  0.5  3.5  2.0  1.5  W  W  O  0 
Oct 20, 2014  view  Monday  7  2014  Texans  Steelers  away  7-0  6-24  0-0  10-6  23-30  3.0  44.5  -7  -4.0  8.5  2.2  6.2  L  L  O  0 
Nov 02, 2014  view  Sunday  9  2014  Broncos  Patriots  away  7-3  0-24  14-10  0-6  21-43  -3.0  53.0  -22  -25.0  11  -7.0  18.0  L  L  O  0 
Nov 30, 2014  view  Sunday  13  2014  Raiders  Rams  away  0-21  0-17  0-0  0-14  0-52  7.0  42.5  -52  -45.0  9.5  -17.8  27.2  L  L  O  0
 
Sep 28, 2015   Monday  3  2015  Chiefs  Packers  away       6.0  48.5 
 

The Sunday night BANGER system side is on Denver. Game 487 at 8:25 eastern. Broncos have a solid defense and one that 170+ yards better than Detroit. Denver is 8-1 in September and qualifies in a powerful system that plays on .700 or better teams off a Thursday win and a matched up against a sub .300 team who lost on Sunday. The Broncos have won 8 of 9 in September  and are 7-0 ats vs an opponent off back to back losses. New coaches have covered 16 of 19 when playing off 2+ wins. With Denver 5-0 straight up and ats off a Thursday game when taking on a team off a loss we will Look for the Broncos to take Down Detroit tonight.

The NFL Totals Play is on the Under in the Chicago at Seattle game. Rotation numbers 483/484 at 4:25 eastern. Chicago is without Cutler as Claussen makes the and Rb Forte is banged up as well. Week 3 winless teams that are 0-2 straight up and ats allowing 30+ points back to back have stayed under 26 of 34 times since 80 and winless game 3 non division dogs of 7 or more are 22 of 28 to the under. Chicago should be better defensively and stay in this game. Dogs off a loss by 3+ touchdowns have gone under in 14 straight games and the Bears as a team have gone under 20 straight if they allowed more than their season average in 2 straight games. Chicago is under 18 in a row at +6.5 or more vs a team who allows 3.84 or more rush yards per carry. Look for this one to stay under.

 NFL Off shore steam move on SF 4pers GAME 481 AT 4:05 Eastern. These plays are 58-29 in all sports and the Niners were hit with a Big buy order. Take the points in this one.

The Early super system play is on Dallas. Game 480 at 1:00 eastern. Dallas has shock value with Qb Romo out. In these situation teams are more focused and play better in at least the first game with the starter out. Wheedon can sling it so they should be ok against an Atlanta defense that is allowing 140+ more yards than the Dallas defense. The Boys have covered 12 straight as a dog vs a team who allows 65% or higher completion rate and are 10-0 ats  after scoring 10 or less points off their season average in a prior road game. Dallas also fits several variations of the home dog or pick off a road dog win systems. Road teams in this line range like the Falcons are in are 2-7 straight up and 1-8 ats off back to back dogs wins. Atlanta is 0-7 ats against a team that they passed for 300+ yards against as a favorite the last time they played them. Look for Dallas to get the cash today.

BONUS 3 team 10 point Teaser San Diego has covered 24 straight on a 10 point teaser line on the road vs an opponent who allows 376+ yards per game.   Under San Francisco, the Niners have stayed under 26 straight off a 10+ point spread loss. Indy Colts who have won 14 straight vs Divsion teams.

SD,  INDY, UNDER SF

The 23-0 Monster system side is on the Cleveland Browns.  Game 476 at 1:00 eastern. We are playing against Oakland here as we note play against non division road teams off a home dog win that scored more than their season average last out. These teams are 0-23 ats. Oakland has lost 16 straight early games in the Eastern time zone. Cleveland is sitting on a big game here. Take the Browns .

The NFL Totals Super Play is on the Under in the Washington at NYG Game. Rotation numbers 301/302 at 8:25 eastern. Road dogs like the Skins on Thursday night games have stayed under EVERY Time since 1980 off a home win vs an opponent like the Giants that are off a home loss. These game have averaged just 35 points.. In the series here the last 5 have stayed under the total. The Giants have stayed under in 6 of 7 as a division home favorite of -3.5 or more, 5 of 6 in game threes. Washington has played under in 7 of 8 as a division road dog of 3.5 or more and 4 of 5 on the road when the total us 42.5 to 45. Look for this one to stay under the total tonight

The Monday night Super system side is on the NY. Jets plus the points. Game 289 at 8:35 eastern The system in this game is monday night specific as Monday night Conference road dogs of 3 or more are 7-1 straight up and 8-0 ats since 1994 off a home favored win and scored 28+ points vs an opponent off a loss. The line is built on perception more than reality which is eerily similar to the Saints and Bucs game on Sunday where the line was inflated with the perception that the Saints would blow out the Bucs due to what they have done in previous years. We see what happened in that one. The truth is the Colts have done well off a loss with Luck, but that trend could start to reverse itself. The Colts are without TY Hilton and an aging Andre Johnson will be shadowed all night by Revis. The Jets have one of the best fronts in football and should get enough pressure on Luck and be able to contain Frank Gore. Indy is 0-5 straight up and ats vs AFC East teams. We wont bore you with meaningless Jets trends that have no bearing here as the Jets have a new coach and new philosophy. The Public will be all over the Colts here and the line may rise at game time. We will take the contrarian approach. Take the points with New York

SU: 7-1-0
ATS: 8-0-0
  
Date Link Day Week Season Team Opp Site Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Final Line Total SUm ATSm OUm DPS DPA SUr ATSr OUr ot
Oct 30, 1995  Monday 9 1995 Bears Vikings away 0-0 14-3 0-3 0-0 14-6 3.5 44.5 8 11.5 -24.5 -6.5 -18.0 W W U 0
Oct 07, 1996  Monday 6 1996 Steelers Chiefs away 0-0 6-7 8-0 3-0 17-7 4.5 37.0 10 14.5 -13.0 0.8 -13.8 W W U 0
Oct 21, 1996  Monday 8 1996 Raiders Chargers away 7-7 3-0 10-0 3-7 23-14 3.5 42.5 9 12.5 -5.5 3.5 -9.0 W W U 0
Nov 25, 2002  Monday 12 2002 Eagles Fortyniners away 0-0 21-7 14-10 3-0 38-17 7.0 38.0 21 28.0 17.0 22.5 -5.5 W W O 0
Nov 14, 2005  Monday 10 2005 Cowboys Eagles away 7-7 0-7 0-3 14-3 21-20 3.0 39.5 1 4.0 1.5 2.8 -1.2 W W O 0
Sep 29, 2008  Monday 4 2008 Ravens Steelers away 3-3 10-0 0-14 7-3 20-23 5.5 34.5 -3 2.5 8.5 5.5 3.0 L W O 1
Nov 23, 2009  Monday 11 2009 Titans Texans away 0-7 14-7 3-3 3-0 20-17 4.0 48.5 3 7.0 -11.5 -2.2 -9.2 W W U 0
Oct 25, 2010  Monday 7 2010 Giants Cowboys away 7-10 17-10 14-0 3-15 41-35 3.5 45.0 6 9.5 31.0 20.2 10.8 W W O 0

Sep 21, 2015  Monday 2 2015 Jets Colts away      7.0 46.5

The NFL Totals Play is on the Under in the Seattle at Green Bay game on NBC at 8:35 eastern tonight. This game fits a powerful early season totals system that plays to the under in a rematch of 2 non division teams that met in the playoffs last season if the current total is at least 35 points. Additionally Green Bay has gone under 11 straight times at home with a Monday nighter up next. Seattle has played under 6 of 6 times if the total is 49 or higher and the last 3 times off a division loss. In 2nd of back to back road games Seattle is 4 of 4 to the under. Look for this game to play under the total tonight.

BONUS On Sunday night Baseball its the Subway Series and the Rubber game here at CITI Field. The Mets took game 1 before losing 5-0 here on Saturday in game 2. Since 2004 the home team has won the rubber game in this series 8 of 10 times. The Mets are 20-5 as a home favorite off a home game where they scored 2 or less runs. The Yankees are 0-6 as road dog off a road win by 5+ runs. Sabathia opposes Harvey and these two met earlier in the season, and the Mets emerged with a comfortable win. Sabathia has a 4.36 road Era but did allow 7 runs in 5 innings to the Mets in the earlier start. Harvey has started twice vs the Yankees and our friend Harvey twisted them in to a pretzel both times as he is 2-0 with a 1.62 era vs the Yank,s and the Mets are 11-4 in his home starts as he has a solid 2.56 Era. Harvey spit the bit in his last start on the 8th vs Washington but can make amends with the fans here with a solid outing in the Subway series finale. Take the Mets as the Yankees learn. ITS NO FUN ON THE ROAD WHEN YOU DONT TAKE A RUBBER.

The NFC East play is on the Eagles. Game 286 at 4:25 eastern. The Eagles have a powerful system on their side today. Dallas was lucky to win last week at home and division road dogs off a home favored win and spread loss at -7 or more are 1-13 ats vs an opponent off an ats loss losing by an average 28-10 score. Philly should bounce back off a tough road loss in Atlanta where they were inept on offense in the first half just falling short late in Atlanta. Demarco Murray had 9 yards in 8 carries and should me plenty motivated vs his old team. Lay the points.

The Early blowout play is on the Steelers. Game 266 at 1:00 eastern. The Steelers are 4-0 ats at home vs NFC West teams and 7-2 ats in first home games vs non division opponents. The Niners are in a tough spot playing with short rest from a Monday night dog win and taking on the Steelers who played and on lost on opening night Thursday. San Fran is 0-12 ats as a dog off a win if they scored 32 or less points and had 4 or more sacks and 2-8 ats as a dog off a Monday night game. Road dogs off 14+ home dogs wins vs an opponent off a road dog loss that scored 21 or more are 0-8 straight up and ats since 1989. Steelers should coast in this one.

The 3 team Power teaser is on Miami who has covered 24 straight on the teaser line vs a team who has forced 1.25 or less turnovers.  Baltimore who has covered 36 straight on a teaser line if they converted less than 25% of first downs on overall plays and Pittsburgh as the teams like  SF are 0-8 ats as road dogs off a 14+ point home dog wins vs a team who scored 21 or more and lost.  Move the line 10 points On Miami, Baltimore and Pittsburgh

The Early NFL Power system play is on Cleveland. Game 274 at 1:00 eastern. Big improvement expected today from the Browns and some regression from the Titans. Game 2 teams off a spread win of more than 30 like the Titans are 0-8 ats if they were a dog in that big win. The Titans ran a vanilla offense last week with short pas plays and Mariotta took advantage of a Tampa defense that was severely under prepared. They wont be as luck this week when Mariota has to start making complex reads and not having the luxury of a big lead to fall back on. The Browns fell apart late after a solid first half vs the Jets. They have covered 7 of 9 prior to Oakland and are 10-1 ats in the first of back to back home games vs a non division team. The Titans are 5-20 with 6 or less days rest and 0-13 ats on the road if they had a 100+ yard receiver in their last game. What can Browns do for you. Get the win.   

The Thursday night NFL Play is on the KC Chiefs. Game 102 at 8:25 eastern. KC is 4-0 ats on Thursday nights when playing with revenge and has covered 4 of 5 as a favorite on Thursdays. They followed their impressive 4-0 NFLX Stat (the first time since 1969) with a solid road win in Houston. The Chiefs are 5-0 at at home in games where the total is 38.5 to 42 and have won 7 of 9 in September. The Broncos are off a win at home vs Baltimore but have struggled on offense. Manning and the Broncos have some nice divisional numbers but this team has a different feel and Denver is 1-5 ats as dogs. The KC Crowd will be jacked up and loUD. Thursday home favorites are 11-2 since 1989 off a road win vs a team off a home win. Lay the small number with Kansa City.

The Monday night Super system play is on the  SF. 49ers. Game 492 at 10:20 eastern. The Niners fit a powerful system here tonight that plays on Opening Monday night Home dogs of 5 or less. These home dogs are 11-4 ats since 1970. San Francisco is 9-1 ats on Monday night Football and 5-0 ats in Game 1 vs Non Division teams. They have covered 4 of the last 5 vs NFC North Teams. Minnesota is 0-6 straight up and ats on Monday nights, 0-5 ats on the road with 2+ home games coming up. The Vikings are 1-7 ats as road favorites and have lost 5 of the last 6 times here in San Francisco. Take whatever points you can with the 49ers.

The NFL Monday night super system side is on the Atlanta Falcons at 7:10 eastern as they fit a solid monday night opening week home dog system. The Falcons are 7-0 ats in opening home games and 12-1 ats at home with back to back road games coming up. The Eagles have lost the last 2 in the series.  We will back the Falcons and the points

The Total in this game is on the under as week 1 non division road favorites of 3 or more with a total of 45 or more have cashed over 95% over the last 25+ seasons

The Total in this game is on the under as week 1 non division road favorites of 3 or more with a total of 45 or more have cashed over 95% over the last 25+ seasons. Take Atlanta and Philly to play under

The Sunday night Power system Play on NBC is on the NY. Giants. Game 487 at 8:35 eastern. BIG NFC East battle get things going on NBC Sunday night Football here tonight. Game 1 teams that had a losing record last season that are +3 to +6.5 are 13-0 to the spread covering by over a touchdown vs an opponent like Dallas that won 12 games last year. The Giants have always been a live dog with Eli Manning and he has covered the spread with NY 9 straight times on the road with revenge if he passed for 240+ yards the last time he Faced that opponent. Romo for Dallas has failed to cover 7 straight vs a team he had 3+ touchdowns against the last time he played them. Dallas his 0-5 ats in Division games at home vs a team that won 6 or less last year. The Giants have covered in 4 of 5 as division road dogs. Look for the Giants to control the clock with a solid ground attack and stay in the game. Take the NY. Giants plus the points

On Sunday night Baseball the Totals Play is on the over in the KC at Baltimore game. Rotation numbers 921/922 at 8:05 eastern. There are Several powerful indicators pointing to the over in this one. KC Has Cueto going but he has hit a wall of late with a 9.64 Era in his last 3 starts allowing 21 runs in his last 20 innings. Chen goes for Baltimore and he has gone over in 3 of his last 4 home starts and has gone over in his last 3 starts allowing 12 runs in 15 innings. These two Met in August and 13 runs were scored. KC has gone over in 5 of the last 6 vs leftys. The Orioles have gone over in  4straight as a home dog and in the series the last 5 here have played over. We may not see 20 runs in this one. But we should see enough runs to go over the total.

    The Late Afternoon Members only totals system Play is on the under in the Cincy at Oakland game. Rotation numbers 483/484 at 4;25 eastern. This game fits a powerful Week totals system that goes under for non division road favorites like the Bengals with a total of 45 or more.  Cincy has gone under the last 8 times as a favorite of 7 or less in Games 1-3 and 6 of 7 vs Oakland and 5 of 6 vs any AFC West team. Oakland has gone under 4 straight v AFC North teams, 6 of 7 in the 1st of back to back homes games and 6 of 7 as a non division home dog of 7 or less. Play this one under the total.

The late afternoon Super system Play is on the San Diego Chargers. Game 480 at 4:05 eastern. Dogs like Detroit in game 1 that are off a playoff loss in round 1 are 0-21 ats if the total is 37.5 or higher. The Chargers are 6-0 ats at -3 to +3 in game ones and Detroit has lost 12 straight as a dog and is 1-4 vs SD and have lost big here in San Diego the last 2 times. Look for the Chargers to win this one.

The AFC Totals system play is on the Under in the Colts at Bills game. Rotation numbers 469/470 at 1:00 eastern. This one fits a Powerful week 1 totals system that has cashed 100% the last 22 times playing the Under for Road favorites in non division games if the total is 45 or more. The Bills have A tremendous defense and Rex Ryan at the helm they were 13 of 16 to the under and should have trouble scoring with Taylor at Qb. Buffalo has played under in 6 of 7 in game 1 home games and 5 of 5 with a non division games up next. The Colts have played under in 4 of 5 here and the last 4 on the road. We will also take the Bills in this game as a side play since game 1 road teams that won 13 or more last season like the Colts are 0-16 ats vs a team that won 12 or less if they are a dog or -3 or less and the total is 40 or more. The Colts are 0-4 vs AFC East 1-6 ats in game 1. Buffalo is 5-0 ats in game 1 vs non division teams  and has covered 6 of the last 7 as a home dog and are 11-4 at home in the series. Take Buffalo plus the points and the Under.

The AFC Totals system play is on the Under in the Colts at Bills game. Rotation numbers 469/470 at 1:00 eastern. This one fits a Powerful week 1 totals system that has cashed 100% the last 22 times playing the Under for Road favorites in non division games if the total is 45 or more. The Bills have A tremendous defense and Rex Ryan at the helm they were 13 of 16 to the under and should have trouble scoring with Taylor at Qb. Buffalo has played under in 6 of 7 in game 1 home games and 5 of 5 with a non division games up next. The Colts have played under in 4 of 5 here and the last 4 on the road. We will also take the Bills in this game as a side play since game 1 road teams that won 13 or more last season like the Colts are 0-16 ats vs a team that won 12 or less if they are a dog or -3 or less and the total is 40 or more. The Colts are 0-4 vs AFC East 1-6 ats in game 1. Buffalo is 5-0 ats in game 1 vs non division teams  and has covered 6 of the last 7 as a home dog and are 11-4 at home in the series. Take Buffalo plus the points and the Under.

The Early totals system is on the Under in the Miami at Washington Game. Rotation numbers 471/472 at 1:00 eastern. Powerful totals system at play here today that goes under for non division road favorites if the total is 45 or more. These totals have gone under 22 of 23 times. The Dolphins are 5 of 5 under in game 1, 12 of 13 under vs NFC Teams if the total is 41 or more and 9 of 10 if the total is 39.5 or higher in games they are a road favorite. the Red skins are 5 of 5 under as dogs with a total of 44.5 or less and 6 of 6 in 1st of back to back home games. Look for this one to go under the total.

BONUS 3 Team Teaser- Green Bay +3.5, KC +11, DENVER +5

Thursday night play is on the Patriots. Game 462 at 8:30 eastern. The Patriots are catching th eSteelers at the right time as they are with Our Center Pounce, Running back Bell and deep threat Matavius Bryant. Certain Dogs like the Steelers that are off a 1st round playoff loss in a game where the total is 37.5 or more have failed to cover. The Patriots have covered 5 of 7 at home in the series and Super Bowl winners are 12-2 and 9-4-1 ats. On Thursdays they have won 13 straight. The Steelers have failed to cover 6 of 7 as dogs in September games and the Pats have covered the last 6 times vs a team who had more than 9 wins last year. Look for a team effort tonight as the Pats get the win and cover.

New England Patriots
(AFC)Seattle Seahawks
(NFC)DateFebruary 1, 2015StadiumUniversity of Phoenix Stadium, Glendale, ArizonaFavoritePatriots by 1RefereeBill Vinovich SUPER BOWL 49 GAME TIME 6:30 EASTERN
Weather 68 degrees- Zero precipitation Our Super Bowl selection in this game is on the Seattle Seahawks at 6:30 eastern. Below is an array of some of the most solid long term historical and current Statistical indicators, Power angles, trends Systems and Data in the industry. We have left no stone unturned in our comprehensive analysis. Seattle has the better defense and intangible factors that cannot be overlooked. Below are Powerful indicators that apply to this years game That has been dominated by Deflate gate scandal
Of the 48 Super Bowls played, 38 of the 48 have had a top 10 defense. Seattle is ranked #1, New England is #13
The Team that has Averaged more points is on a 2-11 spread run. Denver fell victim to this one last season.
Seattle is 10-1 ats as a dog off a win, should they take a point or two.
Super bowl favorites that score less than 28 point are 1-18 ats. Be tough on Patriots to score 28 on the #1 ranked defense
Teams who win the rushing battle win 91% of the time. Seattle has the better overall rush numbers
Super Bowl favorites off back to back home wins ae on an 0-8 spread run
** In the 10 battles between two #1 seeds the NFC has a Commanding 8-2 all time Record, which includes Seattle's win last year and the average win score is by 20+ points per game.
Super Bowl favorites that lost last year in the playoffs are 1-7 ats
**** 100% NO TEAM with a Pass defense that was league average or worse has won a Super Bowl. Seattle #1 NE- #17
The last 33 seasons the NFC has a 22-11 record
Defending champs are 8-2 in SB History
Teams off 3+ home games that won by less than a touchdown have failed to cover 5 of the last 6 times- against New England
Teams with the highest yards per pass attempt have won 40 of the 48 Super Bowls, surprising Seattle qualifies here.
Seattle 3-1 vs AFC East
Russell Wilson is 10-0 vs Qb/s that have won a Super Bowl
Coach Carroll is 14-2 off a win and ats loss
Seattle is 4-0 ats after rushing for 150+ yards
Patriots are 1-9 ats on grass and teams who scored 40+ points in a playoff game are 4-22 ats
Pats 1-3 ats NFC West.
SIMULATION MODEL: Seattle wins over 57% of the time and is a value play when considering they may take a point or two by game time. the cumulative score was Seattle 23-20
The Hank Stram system has been another powerful indicator. Below is this years model. The record is 37-9-1 all time through 48 super bowls.
Give 10 points to a team if they have won a Super Bowl in the last three seasons. Seattle
Give 8.0 points to either team if their opponent is playing in their very first Super Bowl in franchise history. Push
Give 8.0 points to the team that has given up the fewer amount of defensive rushes. New England
Give 7.0 points to the team with the best straight up win/loss record including playoffs. Push
Give 7.0 points to the team with the most offensive rushes on the season. Seattle
Give 5.0 points to the team with the better defensive yards-per-carry average. Seattle
Give 4.0 points to the team that has the best net kick-punt touchdown returns. New England
Give 4.0 points to the team who performed better against the point spread in the regular season. Seattle
Give 4.0 points to the team that has the better net penalty yards number. New England
Give 3.5 points to the team that has the greater yards per pass attempt. Seattle
Give 3.5 points to the team that has allowed up the fewest points on the season. Seattle
Give 3.5 points to the team that has given up the fewest amount of rushing touchdowns. Seattle
Give 3.0 points to the team that has recorded the most sacks.New England
Give 2.5 points to the team with the fewer offensive pass attempts. Seattle
Give 2.0 points to the team that had the best net punts (total) on the year. New England
Give 1.5 points to the team with the best offensive yards-per-carry average. Seattle
Give 1.0 points to the team with the better completion percentage. New EnglandThe totals are: Seattle 40.5 New England 22

In Closing Seattle appears to the Destiny team here tonight after their miraculous comeback at home vs Green Bay. The Patriots are a dark team with the major distraction of DEFLATE GATE. Seattle is better defensively and should do enough on defense to take down the Patriots. R. Wilson plays much better than he did in NFC Championship game. Based on the major aforementioned indicators we will Side with Seattle here tonight.

BONUS PROPS:Under 24 first half3 Straight unanswered scores- this has happened in 35 of 48 super bowlsShane Vereen over 10 yards rushingMarshawn Lynch over 82 yards rushingOver 7.5 points Seattle Kicker HauchkaR. Wilson to score TD- YesR. Wilson over 41 yards rushing

In the Pro bowl we will back Team Carter. Game 497 at 800 eastern. While we have cashed the last 3 pro bowls we will advise not to go nuts in this one as the purpose of the play is the better overall roster for Team Carter and the higher end coach in J. Harbaugh. Team Irvin has talent but in a game where passing is fancy, Irvin and crew took many smallish receivers and Carter took the better of the defensive backs. Coach Carter in this one.

In The AFC Championship game the Selection is on the Indianapolis Colts. Game 303 at 6:45 eastern. We have a solid system here today that plays against the Patriots and any team in their second game of the playoffs off one home win exact as they are a terrible 1-20 straight Up and 1-19-1 ATS in games in where the total is set at 37.5 or more points. The Patriots are in this one as they are off a come back win vs the Ravens and lost their prior game. Additionally teams off a playoff win where they allowed 28 or more have failed to cover 17 of 22 since 1980. Moving on through the system folder we play against conference Championship teams that won and scored 30 or more and won by 21 or less. The Colts and Playoff dogs that allowed 17 or less back to back are 29-8 to the spread vs an opponent that scored 30 or more. The Patriots have Playoff revenge from last year and Home Blowout loss revenge from this year. They have covered 23 of 30 off back to back wins by 10 or more and dogs of 4 or more are perfect the past few years if they won on the road last week and at home the week before. Coach Bellichick have failed to cover 5 Straight in Conference Championship games and teams who lost last year in the Conference championship have lost 9 straight covering just once if they are playing an opponent who has lost less than 28 percent of their games. The Colts were the side in our Simulation models as well. Look for the Colts to get LUCKY here today.

The NFC Championship play is on the Seattle Seahawks. Game 302 at 3;05 eastern. The Defending champs come in on a superior role and have several powerful indicators on their side as well as a solid advantage in Simulation models. Seattle has covered 8 straight off back to back 10+ point wins and 10 of 11 after allowing 17 or less in 2 or more games. The Packers are 0-5 ats on turf and have failed to cover 6 of 8 vs NFC West teams. They are a dog here and they have not done well in that scenario going 1-8 ats. NFL Home team off back to back spread wins have covered 13 of 14 vs an opponent that has won .669 or less the last 32 games. Green Bay wont reach 100 yards rushing here against the vaunted Seattle defense and have a Qb that with a torn muscle could be one play away from the bench. Truth be told it probably would not matter if Rogers were 100%. Conference Championship teams who win are an amazing 75-8-1 ats over the past 40+ years. Look for Seattle to get the win and cover here.

The Divisional Game is on Denver over the Colts. Game 120 at 4:40 eastern. Denver in 100.000 simulations was on average a 9 point winner. The Broncos have a solid advantage here with rest and getting to play a Colts team that must travel in January to a cold weather location, never a good thing for a dome homer. In fact these teams are 0-12 if they have revenge and are off a win. Home teams like the Broncos are solid playoff investments in their first home game if they lost as a favorite last year in the playoffs. The last 35 years these teams have won 53 of 60/ P. Manning had an extra week to rest his arm and the Broncos are 16-3 to the spread with 2+ weeks rest. They are also 12-2 ats vs an opponent that has 7.5 or less average punt return yards. The Colts can be one dimensional and may not run the ball well which will force them to throw pretty much on every down. In week 1 they were getting destroyed here before Denver took their foot off the pedal and wound up winning by 7. When the Colts dont show up they get blasted, like they did in Dallas and this could happen here. Teams with revenge that won and covered at least 2 straight as a favorite have failed to cover 27 of 35 times. Were Doing Denver here today.

NFL MEMBERS ONLY OVER INDY VS DENVER

 The NFC Power system play is on Dallas. Game 117 at 1:05 eastern. Were not worried about A. Rogers and his calf here as Dallas should be able to run the ball better and will play better then they did last week at home vs Detroit. Playoff road dogs of more than 3 off back to back wins but lost to the spread in last have covered 12 of 13 long term in the playoffs Both teams will score here. Dallas is 8-0 on the road while Green Bay is 8-0 at home. This is just the 3rd time in history this has happened. The last time in 1972 when Miami went into Pittsburgh and won. Dallas is a live dog here with big play makers and dogs with a better win percentage have been solid at covering the spread in the playoffs. Take Dallas plus the points.

The NFL Playoff totals play is on the Over in the Dallas at Green Bay game. Rotation numbers 117/118 at 1:05 eastern. The Packers average 38 per game at home and Dallas 34 per game on the road. Home teams off a bye that won their last regular season game at home and scored 28 or more have played over every time since 1989 vs a team off a home win. In the series 12 of 15 have flown over. The Packers are 7 of 8 over at home and 4 of 5 off a division game. Dallas is 6 of 6 in conference and 6 of 7 on the road. Simulation show a high scoring game. This may be one of the better games to watch as both offenses should put up points. Take this one over the Total.

The NFC Power system totals play is on the over in Carolina at Seattle game. Rotation numbers 113/114 at 8:15 eastern. Exclusive simulations of this were well into the 40/s which gives up some value on a total that approaches 40 in this one. Road dogs of 7 or more off a home win, like Carolina have played over every time since 1989 vs an opponent who won their last regular season game and covered the spread. Another solid system plays to the over in games where the total is more than 35 up to 42 if one of the teams is off 3+ wins and the other is off 4+ wins. This system is 55-21 to the over and There is a 18-0 subset that applies. In the series here the last 3 have played over the total and the Panthers are 5-0 to the over vs winning teams and 4 of 5 to the over on turf. The Carolina defense will have a much tougher time on the road vs Seattle than it did vs Arizona at home. On offense Carolina has been hot and will put up more than expected here. Seattle has played solid defense the last few weeks and as both teams look to be the hottest in the conference coming in. Seattle home game average around 40 points and Carolina road games over 50 points. Many expect a low scoring game but look for this one to get over the total.

On Saturday in Early Action the AFC Divisional Play is on the Patriots. Game 112 at 4:35 eastern. The Patriots are rested and ready and fit Powerful database systems here today. First we want to play against teams that are off a Wild card win asa dog if they are playing a team with rest. These teams have lost 14 of 15. The Ravens pulled the upset and are back to the road with 1 less day of rest than normal. The Pats have won and covered 6 straight off a loss vs AFC North teams and are 7-2 straight up and ats vs winning teams this year and 8-0 ats the last 2 years if that opponent is off a win and cover. Teams who lost their last regular season game have been solid all time if they are at home in the first game they are playing in the playoffs. The Pats also fits a powerful subset that plays on teams off back to back spread losses that is 100% perfect the last 3 years. Home teams that scored less than 10 points in their last game vs a team that scored 30 or more are 52-22 and the Pats fit a 26-0 subset of that system, they are also 7-0 ats off a loss. The Ravens are 1-4 ats off 2+ wins and wont be able to pull of the win or cover here as Simulations showed the Pats with an average win of 9 points. Play the Patriots.

On Sunday the NFC system play is on Dallas. Game 102 at 4:40 eastern. Detroit is 0-6 ats in the playoffs and has not won a road game in the post season since 1991 Going 0-9 straight up all time.. In fact NFL Playoff road teams off a 10+ division loss have failed to cover 11 of 12 times. Stafford is 0-17 in his career in road games against teams that finished the season over .500. The most recent examples are a 10-point loss to the Green Bay Packers in Week 17. That stat does not help considering that teams in this round who lost straight up are 0-20 ats and 11-96 since 83. Opening game road dogs off a loss are 0-7 ats since 1989 and lose by an average 31-13 score. Dallas is 11-4 ats at home in the playoffs since 1980 and teams at home making the playoffs for the first time in the last 4 years have covered 75% long term. The Lions are 4-120 at if they won at least 3 of their last 4. Were not big fans of Post season dome teams on the road. Take Dallas here.

In the AFC Wild card round the Power system Play is on the Indy Colts. Game 108 at 1:00 eastern. The Colts are 4-1 at home in playoff action this round and have edges on both sides of the ball. They have won 8 of 9 if the total is 42.5 to 49. The Bengals who were already shutout here 27-0 have several negative indicators against them today. They are 0-7 at Indy and 0-6 on the road in the playoffs. So we are not going to expect them to do some thing they have not done before. Road dogs off a road loss to end the season are 0-7 straight up and ats since 1989 losing by an average 31-13 score. The Bengals have lost 11 of 13 in January. Even if A.J. Green plays there is no guarantee how effective he will be. The Colts have a history of getting behind in games but have big time playoff poise. Last year they rallied from a big deficit to beat KC. The Simulation models have them winning by 6.and teams who win this round straight up have covered 19 straight. Look for them to get past the Bengals here today.

The AFC Wild card Play is on the Over in the Baltimore at Pittsburgh game at 8:15 eastern. There are two 100% totals system that play to the over here. Divisional road teams with a total 37 or higher that are home favored win and spread loss at -3 or more that scored 21 or more have flown over every time in the first round. Home divisional teams that are off a home divisional win in the final regular season game have played over every time since 1989. Steelers home games average 56 points and Baltimore road games average 49 points. The Steelers have played over All 6 times in the wild card round and 13 of 17 on Saturday. The Ravens have played over 4 of 5 times vs winning team and both times off a division win. The Steelers statistically have not played as well at home as on the road. The Ravens average 25 points on the road. The Ravens also remember the last time they were here and Big Ben went bananas on them for 6 td passes. This looks to be another high scoring affair and the total is dropping with the anticipation on rain, you know because teams don't score when its wet out. Take the over.

 
In the NFC Wild card game the Power system Play is on Arizona. Game 105 at 4:35 eastern. Arizona is in a good spot here. One of the better systems we use pertains to dogs who have a better record than their opponent. This is the case here today as Arizona fits the bill. If these live dogs are off back to back losses they are 11-1 straight up and ats. The Cardinals are on a 5-1 post season Spread run and coach Arians does produces his best results when playing a team off a win as he is 6-0 in this spot. In the NFL the last 15 teams at home off a dog win have failed to 13 of 15 times and this play against the Panthers who had to win in Atlanta to get in. Things wont be so easy here as the Falcons had the worst defense in the league. The Cardinals have one of the better stop units and forced Cam Newton into 3 picks the last time they face him. Arizona is 11-2 ats with 6 or less days rest, 10-2 ats vs losing teams and 10-1 ats vs teams who allow 5.65 or more yards per play. Arizona played Seattle and a road game in San Francisco and this is an easier spot. Carolina is laying nearly a touchdown and is 0-3 vs winning teams. NFC South teams have lost 11 of the last 12 vs the NFC West. Look for Arizona to get the cover.

The Sunday night Total is on the Under in the Bengals vs Steelers game. Rotation numbers 305/306 at 8:30 eastern. This game fits a short turn around system that pertains to reversing the total result between 2 teams playin the 2nd time in a 3 week span.. These two flew over the total 2 weeks ago in a 42-21 game the featured 9 touchdowns. This one should be lower scoring as the Steelers are 8 of 10 under off 2+ wins. The Bengals check in at 5 of 7 under as a dog and 6 of 7 on the road. This is an important Divisional game with Playoff Implications which is why the game is Flexed to Sunday evening. Look for a hard fought divisional game that goes under the total.

The NFC North totals Play is on the Over in the Detroit at Green Bay game. Rotation numbers 301/302 at 4:25 eastern. A powerful totals system takes center stage here today as we play the over teams playing a 2nd straight road game and are dogs of 7 or more and scored below their season average in both of their last 2 games but did not lose to the spread by 10 or more points in either game. These teams have posted overs in 18 of the last 19 instances. The Lions are 9 of 9 over off a road game at Chicago, 9 of 9 off a road win that did not require overtime. The Packers have flown over in 11 of 11 if they had less than 165 yards rushing and Rogers threw for less than 215 yards. As a favorite of -6.5 or higher they are 13 of 13 over vs an opponent with an identical record. The First game between these two was a low scoring Lions win. The Packers are averaging over 40 points at home and their home games average over 60. The Lions defense may not be as effective as a dome team playing outdoors in December has had problems historically. Look for this one to go over the total today.

On Sunday the Final Game Super system play is on Carolina. Game 315 at 4:25 eastern. The Panthers are a live dog here and losing teams that are divisional road dogs playing with revenge have covered 13 of 14 times since 1978 vs an opponent off a dog win. The Falcons dashed the Saints playoff hopes on the road last week and now must win to host a playoff game. The Panthers are 6-0 ats as road dogs vs losing teams and have covered 11 of 13 off an AFC Game vs a losing team. The Falcons have failed to cover in 4 of their last 5 final home games vs losing team in division play. The Falcons have the worst defense in the league. Look for the Panthers to at the very least get the cover.

On Sunday the Early Power System play is on the Washington Redskins. Game 323 at 1:00 eastern. Dallas is in a tough spot here today as Teams off a spread win by more than 29 points have lost straight up over 70% of the time vs an opponent off a spread win. Dallas has revenge for their home Monday night loss to Washington but that may not matter here as Home dogs off a home dog win have been solid in this range . The Cowboys go from a nice Cozy home game to a cold weather venue in late December. Dome teams have struggled mightily regardless of how good they are in this spot going back to the 70/s losing over 85% of the time not even factoring in the spread. The Skins are actually a decent team from the line of scrimmage. Washington has covered 4 of the 5 in the series and this is one of the most closely contested rivalries in football. Take the points,

BONUS: NFL Power Tear 3 teams moving the line 10 points on each

Green Bay- 24-0 on a teaser line home favored at 14 or less in reg. season off back to back road, have lost lost here since 91 vs Lions

San Diego 20-0 on teaser line as a road dog vs opponent allowed 4 or more sacks- Rivers 13-2 in December road games

Baltimore- Last home game teams off a road favored loss 39-15 ats off a road favored loss, C. Shaw making debut for Browns.

The NFL Monday night Super Side is on The Cincinnati Bengals. Game 132 at 8:30 eastern. There are several powerful indicators that apply to this game. Cincy is 9-0 ats as a dog off a spread win by 10 or more points. Teams that allowed 6 or less first down have covered 40 of the last 57 times. Bengals are off a dominating shut out win over the Browns 30-0. Home teams off a shutout win have covered 80% of the time. The Broncos are 0-10 straight up on Monday night football vs Non division teams. We also want to play against road favorite that have won at least 4 straight games, but did lose their prior road game before the streak. These road teams are 24-61 to the spread with the last on being Green Bay and we saw what happened to them last week. Super Bowl losers are poor non division road favorites historically particularly if they are laying more than 2 vs a winning team where they are failing to cover well over 90%/. On Monday nights non division home dogs of favorites of 4 or less that are off a road dog win and allowed 7 or less also are a solid investment. Simply too much data to support the Bengals so we will take the points here.

The Sunday night NFC West super system play is on the Arizona Cardinals. Game 130 at 8:30 eastern. Will have to reach down and grab them here tonight. Were playing against the World champs on Prime time TV and were playing a 3rd string Qb to boot. Here is why though. Road favorites at -5.5 or more that were favored in their last 2 games and 3 or more sacks in each game while allowing 439 or less yards through the air in both games combined have failed to cover 19 straight times long term. Home dogs off a road dog win that scored 14 or less have covered 22 of 27 times. The Cards allow 15 points per game here and are 10-0 ats after Larry Fitzgerald had 6 or more catches and have covered 7 straight home in between 2 road games. Over the last 7 years only 3 home dogs have had 11 or more wins and all 3 won straight up. Seattle is 0-8 ats on grass in between home games. Finally winning teams in their last home game have covered 17 of 20 times the last 35 years if they are off a dog win, have revenge and are playing a .500 or better division team. Coach Arians is 15-1 ats vs an opponent off a win and cover. In what should be a low scoring game we will take the points.

The Late afternoon Power Play is on the Indy Colts. Game 127 at 4:25 eastern. Angles galore in this one. Lets have a look see. Dallas comes in off a big road dog division win vs the Eagles. Now they come home for the Colts who despite a win vs Houston did not play that well on offense. Dallas is 0-11 ats in game 13 or later off a win vs a non division team. The Colts are 13-0 ats if they scored 21 or less last out and 6-0 ats if they scored 10 or less than their season average and have covered 6 straight on the road vs an opponent off a dog win.Dallas gets a big breal with the unexpected Philly loss but In what should be a good game we will back the Dog here. Take the Colts.

On Sunday in early action the NFL Road warrior system side is on the Green Bay Packers. Game 109 at 1:00 eastern. The Packers are off a road last week in Buffalo where they previously had never won. Look for a big bounce back week from the offense against a Tampa team that's playing out the string. The Packers are 7-0 ats on the road off a road loss if any of their receivers had 5+ catches. Since 1980 road favorites of more than 10 have covered 14 of 17 times. The Packers have covered 7 of the last 8 on grass and Tampa has failed to cover 5 of the last 5 at home and 2-5 ats the last few season as non division home dogs off a loss. They are also a dismal 1-9 ats in the 2nd half vs teams who average 375+ yards per game Green Bay has a tough challenge vs Detroit for the division this season. Look it to be GREEN BAY ALL DAY.
Bonus 3 Team 10 point power teaser
Piitsburgh. Steelers are 32-0 on a teaser line if they were favored and completion percentage was 10% higher than average
New Englans: Pats have covered 24 straight on a teaser line in non grass games.
NY. Giants- 16-0 on a teaser line if they allowed 10 or less points than their season average.

The NFL Power system play is on the Cleveland Browns. Game 119 at 1:00 eastern. Expect a much better effort from the Browns here today as they fit several variations of a shutout system we use. Here is one of the nicer ones. Since 1980 we are playing on certain non conference road dogs off ats shutout loss if they lost by 17+ points and the opponent is off a win. The Conference head to head brings an interesting slice of data today. NFC South teams are 5-13 ats vs AFC North teams including 0-6 ats if the NFC South team is favored. No surprises as we have the deepest Conference vs the weakest. Carolina is 0-8 ats vs the AFC North The Panthers have failed to cover 3 of 4 off a division game while the Browns are 3-0 out of conference. The Panthers struggled with Tampa last week. Look for Cleveland to get the cash and see what Brown can do for you today.

On Saturday the NFL Totals System Play is on the Under in the San Diego at San Francisco game. Rotation numbers 103/104 at 8:25 eastern. The Chargers are 5 of 5 under after Denver, 5 of 5 as a non division dog of 4 or less, 4/4 on Saturday, 4 of 5 before KC ,4 of 4 if the line is +3 to -3. San Francisco is 4/4 under in 1st of back to back home, 5 of 6 vs AFC West, 6 of 8 on Saturday, 5 of 6 off a road loss by 10 or more. Now to tie in an exclusive system to all those Under angles above we play the under for non conference home favorites that scored 10 or less in a road dog loss at +7 or more, vs an opponent off a home dog loss and scored 14 or less. These games have played under every time since 1991, with no gam e getting above 30 points. Look for a low scoring game with points at a Premium. Take the Under.

NFL Matinee Play is on the Washington Redskins. Game 106 at 4:30 eastern. Washington lost the first meeting in Philly 37-34. Now they are taking over 7 points at home. The Skins are actually a decent team from the line of scrimmage and do well in the yardage battle despite the losing record. One can remember their 10 point dog win at Dallas on Monday night Football. In fact home dogs of 7 or more that are off a road dog loss and scored 21 or less are 5-0 ats since 1980 vs an opponent off a home loss that scored 21 or more. The Eagles are 0-14 ats at home if they had a receiver with a 25+ yard catch in last game. Philly is 0-13 to the spread vs an opponent that averages 25 or less rush attempts. They are also 0-7 ats as a road favorite off a home game. Home teams like Washington that have failed to cover in 4 of the last 5 or 5 of the last 6 that have a win percentage of .250 or less are 82-43 ats in the second half long term vs an opponent with a winning record. Finally Washington is 17-4 ats vs a team that averages 260+ yards. Take the Points in this one.

The Thursday night NFL System Play is on the Jacksonville Jaguars. Game 102 at 8:25 eastern. The Jags fit 2 Powerful system here tonight. One that pertains to Thursday games and one that pertains to week 16. Thursday home favorites off a road dog loss, vs an opponent off a home loss are 100% since 1989 and win by an average 31-15 score. Week 16 home favorites off a road dog loss have covered every time the last 25 seasons vs an opponent off a home dog straight up and ats loss. The Jaguars have revenge and are 3-0 ats as a home favorite off a +7 or more road dog loss. The Titans have failed to cover 4 of the last 5 in their last road game and Coach Whisenhunt is a dismal 1-9 straight up and ats on the road in game 13 or later of the season. The Jaguars are 1-1 vs losing teams while The Titans are 1-7 vs losing teams and have the worst rush defense in the league. The Titans appear to be on the Duck Hunt for Oregon Qb Mariotta and cant afford to win here, Take Jacksonville.

On Monday the NFL Double system power play is on the New Orleans Saints. Game 333 at 8:30 eastern. The Saints are alive in the NFC South and need a win here tonight against a Chicago team that is in disarray. Monday night homers have not covered since at least 1989 if they are off a Thursday home loss, and road favorites are 6-0 ats as road favorites over the last 20 years off a home favored loss at -7 or more if they lost by 21+ points and scored 21 or less. The Saints are 5-0 ats vs NFC North teams and won here by 8 last year. The Bears are 2-13 ats home off a home, 2-12 ats vs teams who average 375+ yards, 0-8 ats vs teams who average 7 or more yards per pass attempt, 0-4 straight up and ats as a home dog of 3 or less and 1-5 ats at home of the total is 49.5 or more. Look for the SAINTS TO COME MARCHING IN.

Sunday night Total, over Eagles vs Dallas

NFL Play on San Francisco

On Sunday the NFL Totals Play is on the Over in the San Francisco at Seattle game. Rotation numbers 329/330 at 4:25 eastern. This game fits a short turn around system we use that reverses the result of the total from the first meeting if the two teams played within 2-3 weeks of their last matchup. On Thanksgiving these two played to a total of 22 points. This game should produce more points and the total is set low here today. Seattle has played over 8 of 8 off a win if they were losing by 7 or more after the first quarter and 10 straight times on Sunday in games where the total is 38.5 or less. We will also play over for road teams in the 2nd of back to back games if they are a dog of 7 or more and scored less than their season average in the last 2 games and punted 4 or more times in both of those games. These teams have flown over 33 of 38 times. Seattle has gone over 20 of 20 at home when the total is 35.5 to 38 and the Niners are 7 of 9 over in the last 4 weeks and 7 of 9 over as a dog. Take the over today.

The NFL Dog with bite is on the Minnesota Vikings. Game 323 at 4:25 eastern. The Vikings are in a solid spot to make some noise here today. The Lions have an incredible system that is 18-0 playing against them and any home favorite of 5 or more that are off back to back home wins vs an opponent like Minnesota that scored 13 or more points in a non conference game last week. This one is solid and dates to 1980. Another variation of this system plays against home favorites on Sunday or Monday playing their 3rd straight at home at -6 or more if the total is 45 or less. These home teams are 2-18 ats. Minnesota scraped past the Jets with an Overtime win. So were interested in seeing how a road dog would do if they are off a home favored win in overtime if they scored 21 or more points and their opponent is off a home win. Well, These road dogs are 7-0 ats since 2003. Minnesota hits another gear this time of year going 8-1 ats in the last 4 weeks and 3-0 ats on the road if the total is 42.5 to 45. The Lions have lost 8 of 9 straight up in the last 4 weeks and are 1-6 off back to back wins. The Lions are 4-17 ats off a game that went over and 0-5 ats as a game 14 favorite. Minnesota is 7-0 ats as a road dog in their 2nd to last road game and 5-0 ats in game where both teams are off a home game. Detroit is 0-7 ats off a win if they had a +2 or more turnover edge. The Vikings are 10-1 ats vs defenses that allow less than 61% completions in the 2nd half of the year and have covered 7 straight vs an opponent that average 260+pass yards in the 2nd half and finally 11-1 ats with revenge vs the Lions. Make it Minnesota here today.

The Late Afternoon Power system play is on San Diego. Game 328 at 4:05 eastern, The Chargers have revenge here today. The Chargers are 8-0 straight up in last home games and Are 30-7 straight up in December with Philip Rivers at the helm, including 6-1 ats off a loss. They have covered 4 straight as a home dog off a home game. Denver is 0-11 ats off a win if their conversion rate was 50% or better. The Chargers have covered 9 straight off a non overtime loss if they scored 16 or less and had 3 or less turnovers. Finally, play against road favorites that won last Sunday by 7 or more points and threw 10 or less passes than what they average on the season and had 1 or more turnovers and led in that game by at least 11 points at halftime. These road teams have failed to cover 24 of the last 25 times. Look for San Diego to be far more competitive than they were in the loss at Denver.

The early play is on the Buffalo Bills. Game 322 at 1:00 eastern. The Bills are 12-1 ats off a road loss an have covered 3 straight last home games. They take on a Green Bay team that may be flat for this one after a wild Monday night affair where they scored at will but had their defense torched by Atlanta allowing 37 points. They have NEVER WON HERE in Buffalo going 0-5 straight up all time. The Packers are 0-4 ats off a Monday night game and are in a terrible system here that plays against road favorites off 4+ wins in a row if they lost the road game prior to the win streak. These teams are 24-60 ats. Look for the Bills to get the cover.

The 3 Team 10 point teaser of the week is on
Washington as they have covered 27 straight on a 6 point teaser line as a road dog with back to back home games on deck Baltimore as they have covered 36 straight on a 10 point teaser line if they have scored more than their season average in back to back games
Indianapolis has covered 40 straight on a 10 point teaser line after scoring less than their season average to date.

On Thursday night the Double system Dominator is on the St. Louis Rams. Game 302 at 8:25 eastern. The Rams are rolling and are a hot team now. They have won 3 straight at home including wins over Seattle and Denver shutting Peyton Manning down and allowing just 7 points. They are doing it with defense and are the first team since the 2000 Pittsburgh Steelers to achieve back to back shutout wins. The Steelers that year followed those shutout wins with a 9-6 win over Baltimore. The Rams get a Cardinals team with a banged up Larry Fitzgerald and the key is no Andre Ellington who causes problem rushing and receiving. In the first meeting the The Cardinals won 31-14 despite trailing 14-10 at the half. The Rams had costly turnovers in that game late. Now the Cardinals will have a loud crowd to deal with and a Qb that will have happy feet in this against a Vaunted Rams Pass rush. The Cardinals are 1-15 straight up as a road dog off a home dog win and are 1-8 ats of late in that role. This game being played on a Thursday is key as road teams have struggled with the short week. Lets head to the league wide database. Thursday NFL Road dogs are 0-7 straight up with 1 spread win since 1989 off a home dog win vs an opponent off a favored win. These road teams are losing by a 30-10 average score. The Rams are 9-0 ats at home off a double digit non division cover. Finally home teams off a road favored win by 14 or more points that allowed less than 10 are 7-0 straight up and ats since 1989 and win by an average 36-10 score. Look for St. Louis to get their revenge Tonight. RAM TOUGH.

On Monday night football the power system play is on the Green Bay Packers. Game 180 at 8:30 eastern. These two met here exactly one year ago on December 8th and the Packers escaped with a 22-21 win. Tonight the situations are different and The Packers apply to a never lost system that plays on Monday night home favorites of 10 or more that are off a home favored win and cover and scored 21 or more. These teams win by an average 34-10 score. The Falcons apply to a perfect system as well, as we play against and road dog of 10 or more that is off a home dog win if the total is 50 or higher. Green Bay is 7-0 ats as a home favorite of 7 or more vs an opponent that averages 35+ pass plays per game and 10-0 ats at home after a home game vs an AFC Team. They are also 8-1 ats as a double digit home favorite vs losing teams vs an opponent off a win. Atlanta has failed to cover 14 of 16 as a losing team on Monday night Football and 0-7 ats off a dog win and had 300+ yards passing. Its Green and Gold tonight. Play the Packers.

The Sunday night super system side is on the New England Patriots. Game 177 at 8:35 eastern. Powerful data in this one that points to the Patriots, Im not coming up for air so stick with me. Play on road favorites off a road dog loss and scored 21 or more while losing ats by 1-3 points are perfect since 1989. Home dogs of 3 or more like the Charges off a +3 or more road dog that scored 28 or more but rushed for less than 100 yards are 1-11 straight up and 2-10 ats and are winless ats if the opponent was a dog in their last game.  The Chargers are 0-4 ats at home if they are off a road dog win while scoring 28 or more and the Chargers are also 0-10-1 Ats
when the total is over 40 if they allowed more points than
expected for at least two straight games. The Patriots are 5-1 straight up and ats vs winning team and 12-0 ats on the road off a straight up ats loss vs an opponent off a win and cover. The Pats are 6-1 ats on the road off a road loss. The Chargers were big winners in an early east coast start and could bounce here vs an Annoyed Patriots team that didn't execute like they had the last few weeks in their loss at Green Bay. Tonight they get it done. Play the Patriots.

The Late Triple system super side is on Philadelphia. Game 176 at 4:25 eastern. The Eagles have a ton of material on their side today. Lets take a peak at the data, Teams off a Turkey day win of 19 or more points and are now at home are 100% straight up and ats over the last 35 seasons. Road teams like Seattle in the 2nd half off a road win by 10 or more have failed to cover 86% if the spread is 3 or less. The Hawks are 2-10 ats off a game with the Niners and 0-7 ats off a dog win vs a team that passes for 300+ yards per game. The Eagles are 9-0 at s in game 13 off 2+ wins and are taking on a winning team. Non division road dogs off a division dog win are 2-13 ats if they have a division home game up next. In a battle of the birds Take Philadelphia.

NFL Off shore steam Jumbo buy order total is on the Over in the Seattle at Philadelphia game. Rotation numbers 175/176. This one was hit hard and was nailed with a jumbo buy order. It cant hurt that Seattle is 16-0 to the over on the road off a win vs a team that has more wins than they do and the fact that Philly has flown over in 7 straight if L. McCoy had a rushing touchdown in his last game.

The Shocker is on the NY. Jets. Game 167 at 1:00 Eastern. The Jets are playing hard for Rex Ryan and he's the ultimate players coach which is why. Rex will be gone and maybe GM Idzik too. However they will be completive most weeks and they are the beneficiaries of some solid systems that plays against Minnesota. Sunday or Monday home favorites at -5.5 or more that are in the 3rd of a 3 game home stand are a lousy 2-18 to the spread if the total is 45 or less. Home teams that pass for 5.3 to 6.1 yards per attempt are 27-65 to the spread vs an opponent that passes for 5.2 or less yards per play. The Jets are 8-1 ats if they are a losing teams and played on Monday night. In the series they have covered 6 straight and Minnesota is 0-9 ats off a home favored win and 0-8 ats vs a team that passes for 9 or less first downs per game, 1-11 ats vs non division teams that scored 13 or less and 5-23 to the spread off a win of more than 17 vs a non division team. Look for the Jets to get the cover.
3 Team 10 Point Power Teaser Cleveland is 22-0 on the 10 point line as a dog off a road dog lossNew Orleans is 22-0 on a 10 point teaser line at home if their spread margin improved in each of the last 3 gamesSF is 29-0 on a 10 point teaser line as a favorite vs a team that averages 4 or less rushing first downs

On Sunday the AFC Dog with Bite is on the Cleveland Browns. Game 155 at 1;00 eastern. Big bounce back day for a shaken Brian Hoyer QB for Cleveland here today against a Colts defense that allowed 51 in Pittsburgh and will have it tough here today as a dome team playing outdoors in week 12 or later. For Technical support we note: Non division road favorites of more than 3 from game 11 out are 0-12 ats since 1980 in today's situation. All road teams off a win of 21 or more vs an opponent that scored 3 or less in the first half last week are 12-38 ats. Cleveland has covered 7 of 8 vs .649 or better teams vs an opponent off a win. The Colts are 0-6 ats if they played a non divisional game last week and scored more than 39 points. They have failed to cover over 80% of the time in the last quarter of the season on the road if they won and covered last out. Cleveland plus the points today.

The NFL Totals play is on the Over in the Dallas at Chicago game. Rotation numbers 101/102 at 8:35 eastern. This game fits an undefeated NFL League wide totals system that pertains to home dogs on Thursday off a road loss vs an opponent off a home loss that scored 21 or less. These games have flown over every time since 1989. The Bears play little defense these days and are 7 of 7 over vs NFC East teams. Dallas had gone over 10 straight vs NFC North teams so its no surprise these two have gone over the total the last 4 times in this series. Dallas is 7 of 8 over on the road off a home loss of 14 or more points and should get their offense back on track after a dismal home showing last week. Look for a higher that normal scoring game resulting in the game flying over the posted total.

On Monday night football the Totals system play is on the Under in the Miami at New York game. Rotation number 475/476 at 8:30 eastern. This game has a powerful totals system that plays to the under every time the last 15 seasons form Monday night homers like the Jets if both teams are off road dog losses and the home team scored 21 or less in their last game. These games are averaging 23 points. The Jets should play much better on defense than they did last week but will continue to struggle especially on offense with Geno Smith. Miami is 7 of 7 under on the division road on Mondays, 3 of 3 on the road off a road loss. 3 of 3 on the road after scoring 35 or more on the road last week. 8 of 10 in December, 5 of the last 6 this season and 11 of 13 overall vs division teams. The Jets have gone under in 3 straight and 4 of 5 at home off a road loss where they scored 10 or less. In the series the last 3 have gone under all with 39 or less points combined. Look for this game to go under tonight.

The AFC West Super system side is on Kansas City. Game 474 at 8;30 eastern. Hold your breath their is a ton of data on the Chiefs here tonight. Division home dogs off a road favored loss at -3 or more are cashing over 90% if the posted total is 37 or higher and they lost ats by 11 or more points. Division home dogs that scored 20+ in back to back games are 36-19. The Chiefs are 6-0 ats as a division home dogs of 5 or less with revenge and have added prep time since they last played on Thursday. KC is 6-1 ats off a Thursday game. The Chiefs are 7-0 ats if they had no turnovers. Home teams off a road favored loss on that scored 21 or less points are 5-1 since 1989 vs an opponent off a home favored win and spread loss that scored 35 or more. The Broncos are 2-7 ats as favorites after allowing 35+ points and 0-6 ats off a favored win if they did not have the lead in any of the first 3 quarters. The Broncos are having difficulty scoring because they cannot run the ball, something KC does well with J. Charles. The Chiefs have an underrated defense. No one can forget what they did here at home in prime time to a Patriots team that blasted Denver. Look for KC To bounce back and deal Denver a loss.

The Game of the week is on the Green Bay Packers. Game 472 at 4:25 eastern. The Packer fit a long winded system that is cashing over 80% long term that pertains to the Patriots home blowout over Detroit and the Packers close road favored win in Minnesota. This is what many are anticipating to be this years super bowl match. On the surface its a great game but it would take alot for both of these two to meet again, considering they are peaking a little early. The Patriots are in potential flat spot off their string of wins and are 0-7 ats on grass's and 1-5-1 in the series. The Packers are 6-0 ats before a Monday night game and 10-1 ats vs Non conference winning teams here at home. They are averaging 43 points here. They have as much fire power as the Pats and would be no surprise if they won this one. Take Green Bay

The NFL Top play is on the Arizona Cardinals. Game 469 at 4:05 eastern. Talk about no respect. Arizona loses one game to break a 6 game win streak and they are favored by under 3 points on the road against an inept NFC South team that is 4-8 like Atlanta. The CARDINALS ARE 16-0 STRAIGHT UP AND ATS if they rushed for 31 or less yards. Normally these too good to be true lines bite you right in the can. However their is support that backs Arizona here. Teams whoe lost after winning and covering at least 6 straight have lost just once since 1980 if they are favored. Coach Arians is 7-0 straight up and ats off a loss vs Non division teams. Road teams in November off a road loss are 75-31 to the spread. Also NFC West teams have won 10 straight vs NFC South teams. Look for Arizona to deal Atlanta a tough loss. In the battle of the Birds take the Cardinals over the Falcons.

The NFL Dog with bite is the SD. Chargers. Game 4-- at 1:00 eastern. The Public will jump all over the Ravens after Monday night big road dog win. However, that's exactly what the Smart minds don't want to do. The Ravens are 2-11 ats off a Monday night road game, including 0-7 ats if their opponent is off a loss. Which segways us to this Exclusive gem from our Personal library. Non division dogs off back to back wins and no covers, vs an opponent off a win are 10-1 ats since 1980. That is what gets us to take this nice bunch of points today. The Chargers have R. Mathews back for a 2nd straight week which will help the runs game and take some pressure off Philip Rivers. The Charges are 6-0 ats as a dog if they had less than 10 incomplete passes last week. The Chargers go through a funk for a few weeks each year then slowly start to come out. They will look to build on a close pair of wins. Take the Points with the Chargers.

The Road warrior super Side on the NY. Giants. Game 459 at 1:00 eastern. The Giants have some solid data backing them here today. Lets have a look at the pertinent indicators for this one. The Giants have covered an amazing 25 straight times if their spread margin increased on back to back if they were not favored by 3 or more in either of those games. They are 9-0 ats off a 1-3 point loss and 7-0 ats on the road on grass if they are off back to back home games. Odell Beckham should give a Jacksonville team that is 0-7 ats off a road game in games after Cecil Shorts had 2 or less catches fits. The Jags are 0-6 ats vs a team that averages more than 34 pass attempts per game. The Giants should start playing much better now with the emergence of Beckham and get starting RB R. Jennings back. Road teams from +3 to -3 off a dog loss but spread win have covered 40 of 50 times in the 2nd half the last 32 years. Jags can keep it close but the Giants look to be the right side here. 3 TEAM TEASER 10 POINTS
Indy Colts- They have covered 39 straight on a 10 point teaser line after a win if they scored less than their season average.
Cincy Bengals- They have covered 30 straight on the road with a 10 point teaser line
Cleveland- has covered 26 straight on a 10 point teaser line as a dog off a game where they were road dogs.

NFL Members only at 1:00 eastern. Over Steelers vs Saints.

The NBC NFL Power system play is on the San Francisco 49ers. Game 310 at 8:30 eastern. Both teams appeared to have regressed a bit. However the Niners have powerful data on their side. Thursday road dogs off a home win and cover are 0-7 straight up if they scored 21 or less in the win. These teams are losing by a 32-11 average score. While this one will be closer, the Niners are 5-0 at home if the total is 38.5 to 42 and 10-2 in games where the line is within 3 of pick. San Francisco is a solid 6-1 with revenge for 1 loss and Turkey day home favorites with revenge are 16-1 straight up. The home team in the series is 11-0. Seattle is 1-9 ats on there road after allowing 6 or less and 1-7 ats after playing Arizona. The Niners are 4-1 in the 2nd of back to back home and may have been looking ahead after last weeks lack luster win over Washington. Seattle won and covered 19-6 over Arizona but had big problems in the red zone.. Look for San Francisco to win.

The Afternoon totals play is on the Over in the Eagles at Cowboys game. Rotation numbers 307/308 at 4:05 eastern. This game fits a sick totals system specific to Thursday games that plays to the over for road teams that scored 42 or more points as a home favorite of 7 or more. These games average 60 points per game, which could very well be what we see here today as the over has been a solid investment in certain situations when the total is 53 or higher. Dallas is 8 of 10 over off 2+ wins, 3 of 4 as a home favorite of 3 or less and 8 of in weeks 10 to 13. The Eagles are a perfect 9-0 to the over as a division dog vs an opponent with a .666 or better win percentage and have played over in 5 straight. The Eagles are 11 of 16 as a dog, 10 of 13 on the road when the total is 49 or higher. This game has the makings of a shootout and with special teams help this game could really get wild. Backed by the power of that rare Thursday totals systems and the aforementioned angles. We will go over the total today.

On Thursday the NFL Double system Side is on the Eagles. Game 307 at 4:30 eastern. The Eagles are the beneficiaries of some solid systems that apply to them and play against Dallas. Road dogs off a home favored win and cover by 14 or more with a road dog loss of 14 or more and failed cover prior are 21-4 ats since 1980. Thursday home favorites off a road favored win and spread loss while scoring 21 or less have failed to cover every time since 1989. Philly is 14-1 ats as a road dog after scoring 33 or more points. Dallas is 1-10 ats vs an opponent that allowed 5.66 yards per play in the 2nd half the last few seasons. Dallas has lost 10 of 14 vs winning teams and is 1-4 straight up a a home favorite of 3 or less. Look for the Eagles to get this one. Take the 3+ points.

The Early Turkey day Power system play is on the Detroit Lions. Game 306 at 12:30 eastern. The Lions fit a powerful System specific to Thursday games. Since 1989 home favorites like the Lions on Thursdays that are off a road loss where they scored less than 10 points are 100% Straight up and ats and are winning by an average 32-14 score. The Lions have been inept on offense for the last 2 weeks even with the return of megatron. They are very well aware of their poor play at home on Turkey day most of those poor results are when they were a losing team. Today they will rebound against Bears team that had to rally from 14 down to beat 2-9 Tampa at home. The Bears allowed 50 back to back before bouncing back at home and cant be trusted on the road against a Solid Detroit Defense. The Lions have cashed 7 of 8 in the series. The place will be loud and could cause turnovers for Chicago which could lead to this one getting out of control. The Bears are 0-9 ats off a favored win if they were +2 or better in the turn over battle and 0-7 ats if they covered 2 of their last 3. The Bears are 0-8 ats with Dallas up next.. Look for the Lions to roar today.

The Monday night Football play is on the New Orleans Saints. Game 278 at 8:30 eastern. The Saints are at home for the 3rd of 3 straight home games and have lost the first two. They are 4-0 ats as a home favorite of 3 or less and have covered 5 of the last off back to back losses. Baltimore 1-5 as a road dog of 3 or less.. The Ravens are 0-8 ats vs a team that has less wins than they do. The Saints are 18-0 ats as favorites off a non division game if they are now playing an AFC Team that is off a win. On Monday night at home the Saints are 7-0 with 6 spread wins. For a solid system we note that home teams off back to back home losses are 9-0 ats if they lost to the spread by 7 or more points. New Orleans has covered 6 straight after rushing for 75 or less yards. The Saints need this game to bet back on track in the leagues most inept division the NFC South. Take the Saints on Monday night.

The Prime time power play is on the NY. Giants. Game 276 at 8:30 eastern. The Giants are 13-0 ats as a dog if they allowed 10 or less points than their season average in their last game. They are 8-1 ats at home with revenge vs a rested division team and have also covered 8 of the last 9 on Sunday night football if they lost 2+ in a row. Dallas is 0-11 as long as they are not dogs after Tony Romo competed more than 72%of his pass attempts in his last game. He still suffered from back ailments and could go down and be out after any hit he takes. Manning wont throw 5 picks like he did last week and this should be an easier game for the G-Men. Post London Favorites are 0-5 ats if off a win. Look for the Giants to pull the minor upset. Take the Points with New York.

The Later afternoon power system play is on Seattle. Game 268 at 4:25 eastern. Seattle is off a tough hard fought loss in KC Last week. That win Flattened KC like a Pan cake as they went and lost to the Raiders. It should have the opposite effect on Seattle here as they look to bounce back on the 1 loss Arizona team. The Seahawks are 7-0 ats as a favorite vs a team with more wins than they have. Arizona is 1-8 ats off a non division game, vs an opponent with revenge. Seattle is 8-0 ats at home vs .900 or better opposition. Super Bowl champs off 1 exact loss as a favorite are cashing nearly 90% as a favorite of less than 9in game 10 or later of the season. Road team like the Cardinals that allowed 17 or less back to back and have won and covered at least the last 3 vs a winning team that is off a straight up and ats loss that were winning teams last season, rarely cover. Seattle should rebound here at home.

The Dog with bite that can win outright is on Cleveland. Game 251 at 1:00 eastern. The Browns fit a solid system here that plays on road dogs of 6 or less off a home favored loss, prior road dog win, if they lost to the spread by 15 or more in last. These teams are a solid 24-4 ats. The AFC North has had the NFC Souths number winning 8 of 9 this year. The Falcons are of a big road win last week and now may be flat vs a non conference team that will look to rebound. The Falcons have lost 9 of the ast 12 vs winning teams. Cant lay points to a better team. What can BROWN DO FOR YOU? Get the cover.3 TEAM 10 Point Teaser of the week
Chicago-Tampa over the total. The Bears are 25-0 on the teaser line to the over as a favorite off a home win Philly- Tennessee over. The Eagles are 23-0 over if they scored 22 or less as a dog last out
Minnesota- teams vs the Packers on a teaser line are 18-0 if the Packers are favored and off a favored win
The Non conference system play is on Detroit. Game 255 at 1:00 eastern. The Lions are 7-0 ats after scoring less than 10 vs a winning team. November road teams off a November road loss are 75-29 ats. The Patriots are 0-11 ats off a straight up Double digit spread win, vs a 500 or better opponent that comes in off a loss. Teams like the Patriots that scored 42+ points in back to back games are big money burners , vs an opponent off a loss by more than 5 points as these teams have not covered once in over 34 years losing Ats all 8 times. The Pats wont be able to run it like they did last week. Detroit is the top ranked defense in the NFL this season. Look for the Lions to keep it close as the Patriots bounce here off wins vs Denver and Indy. Take Detroit.

The Dog with bite that can win outright is on Cleveland. Game 251 at 1:00 eastern. The Browns fit a solid system here that plays on road dogs of 6 or less off a home favored loss, prior road dog win, if they lost to the spread by 15 or more in last. These teams are a solid 24-4 ats. The AFC North has had the NFC Souths number winning 8 of 9 this year. The Falcons are of a big road win last week and now may be flat vs a non conference team that will look to rebound. The Falcons have lost 9 of the ast 12 vs winning teams. Cant lay points to a better team. What can BROWN DO FOR YOU? Get the cover.3 TEAM 10 Point Teaser of the week
Chicago-Tampa over the total. The Bears are 25-0 on the teaser line to the over as a favorite off a home win Philly- Tennessee over. The Eagles are 23-0 over if they scored 22 or less as a dog last out
Minnesota- teams vs the Packers on a teaser line are 18-0 if the Packers are favored and off a favored win
The Non conference system play is on Detroit. Game 255 at 1:00 eastern. The Lions are 7-0 ats after scoring less than 10 vs a winning team. November road teams off a November road loss are 75-29 ats. The Patriots are 0-11 ats off a straight up Double digit spread win, vs a 500 or better opponent that comes in off a loss. Teams like the Patriots that scored 42+ points in back to back games are big money burners , vs an opponent off a loss by more than 5 points as these teams have not covered once in over 34 years losing Ats all 8 times. The Pats wont be able to run it like they did last week. Detroit is the top ranked defense in the NFL this season. Look for the Lions to keep it close as the Patriots bounce here off wins vs Denver and Indy. Take Detroit.

The NFL Totals system play is on the Over in the Tampa Bay at Chicago game. Rotation numbers 265/266 at 1:00 eastern. This game has a multitude of Systems and angles that apply to this game going over. I'm not coming up for air here we go. The over in all of the following situations. Teams playing before Turkey day game with The Lions 10/10. Favorites of 6 or more before a Thursday road game 9 of 10 if the total is 44.5 or more. Non divisional teams that allowed less than 15 and 50 or more 5 of 5. Game 11 home favorites of more than 3 that are under .500 vs a non division team that is also under .500 5 of 5.Non division home favorites off a division game that went under and a a prior division game that played over 13 of 15. Road dogs, like Tampa off a road dog win by 4 or more 9 of 9. Now for some team angles. Tampa 5 of 5 after Washington, 6 of 7 off a road dog win vs a non division team, 5 of 6 vs NFC North, 4 of 5 after allowing 10 or less. Chicago, 7 of 7 in the 2nd of back to back home games, 10 of before Detroit, 7 of 8 vs NFC South, 10 of 11 favorites vs .400 or less Conference teams. Chicago can score and Tampa Bay struggles to defend. Both do enough to get this one over the total.

The Thursday night NFL Triple system side is on Oakland. Game 110 at 8:25 eastern. The Raiders fit a bevy of technical systems here tonight based on their losing record. Winless division home teams in week 9 or later have covered 17 of 21. Home dogs that scored 7 or less are off a straight up and ats loss and are taking on a team off a win and cover are cashing over 80%. Teams like KC that beat the defending Super Bowl champs tend to bounce vs division opponents failing to cover 13 of 16 times. Thursday specific we note that home teams on Thursday have covered 9 of 12 time long term off a road loss where they scored 9 or less. Dogs like Oakland are 41-19 ats if they scored 6 or less points and still covered. The Raiders are 8-1 ats as dogs after scoring 10 or less. The Chiefs are 1-11 ats as favorites in the first of back to back division games. The Chiefs are also a dismal 8-26 ats after 175 rush yards. Oakland may not win, but they should stay within the 7-8 point spread.

On Monday night football the Power system play is on the Pittsburgh Steelers. Game 475 at 8:30 eastern. The Titans are just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 after playing their last game on the road and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games after the first month of the season. Pittsburgh on the other hand is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 after a SU loss and 11-5 ATS in their last 16 after scoring 15 or less points. There is also a powerful system in play favoring the Steelers. Road favorites off a road loss in the month of November are 50-19 (73%) ATS since 1983.  The Steelers have a 100+ yard edge on offense and have won and covered the last 3 vs the AFC South. The Titans are 1-14 with just 2 spread wins vs winning teams. The Steelers are 6-0 ats with double revenge and have covered 14 of 17 in the 2nd of back to back road games with revenge and 7-0 ats off a road loss if they had a receiver with 100 yards.The Titans are 0-5 ats on Monday night football off a loss vs a winning team and 0-7 ats as a home dog of late. Finally the Steelers are 9-0 ats off a loss on the road with revenge off a road game. Look for the Steelers to get the win and cover tonight.

The Sunday night Power system Play is on the Indianapolis Colts. Game 474 at 8:30 eastern. The Colts are 13-1 ats at home if the total is 45.5 or more. NFL Teams are 0-9 ats as dogs of 3 or more if they have a win percentage of .777 or higher in week 7 or later the last few years. The Colts are 6-0 ats if the line is +3 to -3 and their opponent averages 375 or more yards per game. Indy has playoff loss revenge and has covered 13 of 15 at home off a road game.. The Patriots are 1-6 ats on the road off a home game. Non division home favorites that scored 35 or more before a bye week like the Colts have returned to cash 17 of 21 times. Home favorites off a bye week vs a team that won by 21 or more have covered 6 of the last 7. Finally road dogs off a home dog win by 14+ points at +3 or more have failed to cover 21 of 27 times vs an opponent that had a total of 42 or more. The Schedule makers did the Patriots no favors with Denver and Indy back to back. The Pats are 1-5 ats vs a team with rest. The last winning team the Pats played on the road was KC and they were blasted 41-14. The Colts have covered 9 of 11 vs a team with rest and are 6-1 ats as favorites with rest. They have covered 9 of 10 at home vs .650 or better opposition. Look for the Colts to cash tonight.

The late Afternoon play is on Arizona. Game 472 at 4:25 eastern. No Palmer? No problem. Arizona is the best team in the NFC. They are home today for a Detroit teams with some negative indicators against them. The Lions are 0-13 at on the road if the line is +3 to -3 if they are off a win and on grass. Detroit is 0-9 ats vs an opponent that commits 1 or less turnover per game and 4-17 ats on the road vs NFC West Teams. Since 1980 non division home favorites of less than 5 that are a winning teams and off a win and cover at home vs an opponent off a home favored win and cover and prior home win are 12-1 straight up. The Cards are 7-0 ats home vs the Lions. Detroit is 1-9 ats on the road off a non conference game. The Cards won here last year and will likely do so again. Take Arizona.

The Dog with bite is on the Cincy Bengals. Game 461 at 1:00 eastern. The Bengals fit a killer system here today that plays on dogs of 5 or more with a win percentage of .500 to 667 if they are off 1 straight up and ats favored loss at -6.5 or more. These teams are 19-2 ats and PERFECT if that loss was to a division team since 1980. Another fine system is to play on teams in their first of 3 straight road games if they are not favored by 4 or more as these road teams are 26-7 ats. In game 10 teams that are 1 game under .500 like the Saints that are off a favored loss are 0-5 ats since 1980. Road dogs or picks that scored 14 or less are 86-42 ats if both teams + to 3 in point per game differential. The Bengals are 8-0 ats on the road if they had 100 or less pass yards than their season average. The Bengals will play much better with the added rest from losing a tough divisional homer last Thursday. The Bengals are 8-1 ats after scoring 10 or less and 6-1 ats vs an opponent off a home loss. The Saints as we all know are great at home and especially off a loss. However, they are off a home loss to the Niners in overtime and may struggle with a Bengals team here. The Saints even if they lose are still in this weak divisional race. They may win but it should be real close. Take the points with Cincinnati who has covered the last 4 in the series.
The 3 Team 10 point sweet heart teaser is on
Denver to pick--23-0 ats on teaser line as a favorite off a win and cover vs a team off loss and spread loss
Seattle to +12- Hawks are 17-0 on a 6 point teaser line as a dog, let alone 10
Arizona to +9 The Cardinals are 24-0 on a 10 point teaser line at home vs Non divisional game.

The NFL Totals Play is on the Over in the Denver at St. Louis game. Rotation numbers 465/466 at 1;00 eastern. Denver is 9-0 over as a road favorite on turf. This game packs plenty of punch as far as systems and Angles go and the Rams should move the ball well as they have S. Hill back at the helm after 8 weeks of Austin Davis. In this Match we note that AFC Road favorites like Denver are 24-1 to the over vs NFC Teams if the total approaches 40. Teams off a win of 3 touchdowns or more are 14 of 16 over if they lost the prior game by at least 3 touchdown like Denver. In game 13 or earlier non division road favorites of 8 or more have gone over every time of late if the total is 45.5 or higher. Road favorites that win 75% or more of their games and are -3.5 or more are 8/8 over vs a team that wins 33% or less of their games if the total is not higher than 53. All teams like the Broncos that are playing a 3rd straight road game have flown over 9 straight times if the total is 38.5 or higher. Home dogs that are .333 or higher off 3+ road games are 8 of 9 over the last 15 seasons. And our last system is a perfect over 13 straight times for NFC Home dogs in game 14 or earlier that scored 14 or less in back to back games. Denver is 20-4 over if they had 400+ yards in 3 straight games, 5 of 5 if scored 40 or more vs a non division, 11 of 12 as a non division road favorite. The Rams are 8 of 9 home vs a non division tams that has a win percentage of .750 or higher and 4 of 5 home if scored 14 or less. With all of the aforementioned league systems and team angles pointing to the over, that what we will recommend here. Take Denver and St. Louis over the total.