Jack Jones
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
PICKS IN PROGRESS
20* MLB Friday Late-Night BAILOUT on Padres/Diamondbacks OVER 9.5
Two of the worst starters in baseball square off against two of the best lineups in baseball tonight in what should be a slug fest between the San Diego Padres and Arizona Diamondbacks. Arizona is a dead nuts OVER team ranking 4th scoring 5.09 runs per game while also ranking 26th allowing 5.15 runs per game.
The OVER is 7-2 in the last nine meetings between Arizona and San Diego with 10 or more combined runs in seven of those nine meetings. It should be more of the same in this series, starting in Game 1 tonight.
Stephen Kolek has allowed 14 earned runs in 27 2/3 innings in his last five starts for a 4.55 ERA. He'll be opposed by Ryne Nelson, who is 2-2 with a 4.60 ERA in 45 innings this season. Nelson allowed 7 earned runs in 3 innings of a 13-1 loss to the Reds in his last start coming in. Bet the OVER in this game Friday.
15* MLB Friday Night BLOWOUT on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-145)
The Atlanta Braves have the rest advantage over the Colorado Rockies for Game 1 of this series Friday. While the Braves had yesterday off, the Rockies were completing a 5-run comeback to beat the Giants 8-7 at Coors Field Thursday. They are taxed and their bullpen is taxed as well.
The Rockies are the worst team in baseball. They are 13-55 on the season, scoring just 3.29 runs per game and allowing 6.25 runs per game, getting outscored by nearly 3 runs per game. The Braves are as healthy offensively as they have been all season and boast one of the most potent offenses in the league when that's the case.
I expect the Braves to win this game by multiple runs tonight due to their big advantage on the mound. Bryce Elder is 2-3 with a 4.08 ERA and 1.17 WHIP In 10 starts for the Braves this season. Elder has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in seven consecutive starts. Elder is 3-0 with a 4.00 ERA and 1.11 WHIP In three career starts against Colorado with the Braves winning those three starts by 3, 8 and 10 runs.
German Marquez is 2-8 with a 7.00 ERA and 1.68 WHIP in 13 starts this season as he has been one of the worst starters in baseball. Marquez is 1-3 with a 7.67 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in five career starts against Atlanta, allowing 23 earned runs in 27 innings. Bet the Braves on the Run Line Friday.
15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Blue Jays/Phillies OVER 8
The Toronto Blue Jays are 11-2 OVER in their last 13 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 11 of those 13 games. Toronto has scored at least 5 runs in six of its last seven games and 10 of its last 13 games overall. The Phillies have one of the best offenses in baseball scoring 4.6 runs per game.
The Phillies should tee off on Kevin Gausman, who is 5-4 with a 3.87 ERA in 13 starts this season. Gausman allowed 7 runs, 5 earned, and 10 base runners in 5 1/3 innings of a 9-4 loss to the Phillies in his last start against them.
Ranger Suarez is getting too much respect from the books here and is due some regression, and this will be a tough matchup for him against this hot Toronto lineup. The Blue Jays are hitting .299 in their 15 games against left-handed starters and scoring 5.5 runs per game in those 15 games. Bet the OVER in this game Friday.
15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Red Sox/Yankees OVER 8.5
The OVER is 6-3-1 in the last 10 meetings between the Red Sox and Yankees with 8 or more combined runs in seven of those 10 meetings. This total of 8.5 is too low for a game involving these two offenses at hitter-friendly Fenway Park tonight.
This is a rematch from a 10-7 victory by Boston on June 7th that saw 17 combined runs. Ryan Yarbrough allowed 8 earned runs in 4 innings in that game. Yarbrough has now allowed a whopping 15 earned runs in 6 innings in his last two starts against Boston.
Garrett Crochet had one of his worst starts of the season against the Yankees opposite Yarbrough on June 7th. He allowed 5 earned runs in 6 innings to the Yankees, who rank 3rd in baseball scoring 5.46 runs per game. Boston ranks 5th scoring 4.93 runs per game. Bet the OVER in this game Friday.
20* Thunder/Pacers ABC No-Brainer on Oklahoma City -5.5
The Oklahoma City Thunder have been deadly following a loss. Indeed, the Thunder are 5-0 SU off a loss in the playoffs winning those five games by a total of 98 points and by an average of 19.6 points per game.
That includes their dominant 123-107 win over the Pacers in Game 2 after losing Game 1 at the buzzer. That was an even bigger blowout than the final score showed as both teams pulled their starters early with the Thunder up by 20-plus. Oklahoma City will respond from a Game 3 loss with a blowout win in Game 4. The Thunder are 20-7 ATS when avenging a loss this season.
The Thunder have a lot of mistakes they can correct from Game 3 as well. They had an uncharacteristic 19 turnovers including several on inbound passes. They also missed a lot of free throws late. I think after experiencing the hostile atmosphere in Indiana in Game 3, they will be more prepared for it and thus more composed. Expect a big effort from OKC to get the win and cover and tie this series at 2-2 tonight. Bet the Thunder Friday.
SERVICE BIO
Jack Jones has long been a private consultant who has provided his selections to some of the bigger players in the handicapping industry. He has enjoyed a tremendous amount of success and decided to take his selections public in 2008.
Now you can take advantage of one of the most prestigious handicappers on the planet right here on this network.
Jack won't shy away from comparing his selections with some of the other well known handicappers in the world, and is fully confident clients will find his name at the top of the leaderboards across all of the sports that he handicaps: pro and college football, basketball, and the MLB.
While being a football junkie who thrives against the books each fall, you will see documented winners across the board all year long. If you want a service that you can trust to win and win consistently, then Jack Jones is your guy.