20* AL Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Rays/White Sox OVER 8

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between the Rays and White Sox today.  Temps will be in the 70's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to center in Chicago this afternoon.

The Rays and White Sox combined for 13 runs in Game 1 and 11 runs in Game 2.  It should be more of the same today.  The OVER is 5-1 in the last six meetings between the Rays and White Sox with 9 or more combined runs in five of them.

Steven Matz is 3-0 with a 3.94 ERA in three starts for the Rays this season.  He'll be backed by an awful Tampa Bay bullpen that has posted a 5.99 ERA and 1.51 WHIP in 67 2/3 innings this season.

The White Sox will make this a bullpen game starting with Jordan Leasure, who has a 4.00 ERA while allowing 4 earned runs and 2 homers in 9 innings.  The White Sox have posted a 5.67 ERA and 1.56 WHIP as a bullpen this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* MLB Thursday Early ANNIHILATOR on Angels/Yankees OVER 9.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Angels and Yankees today.  Temps will be in the 80's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to left-center at hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium in this one.  

It was a similar forecast for the first two games of this series when these teams combined for 21 runs in Game 1 and 8 runs in Game 2.  Not cashing the OVER in Game 2 was a brutal beat after both teams combined for 4 homers in the first inning, but they were all solo shots. They combined for 9 runs in Game 3 with 4 homers.

The Yankees are capable of covering this total on their own against Brent Suter and this awful Angels bullpen.  The Angels have a 4.74 ERA and 1.55 WHIP as a bullpen this season.  The Yankees have a 4.28 ERA and 1.46 WHIP as a bullpen at home this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* NL Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Nationals/Pirates OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Nationals and Pirates today.  Temps will be in the 80's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to left field.  It was a similar forecast for the first two games of this series with 21 combined runs in Game 1 and 9 combined runs in Game 2, which was at 9 runs by the end of the 5th inning and a brutal beat for over backers that it stayed there.  It will be another slugfest today.

The Nationals are a dead nuts OVER team going 12-5-1 OVER in all games this season with 9 or more combined runs in 14 of those 18 games.  They have one of the best lineups in baseball hitting .262 as a team.  Pittsburgh is 5-3 OVER in its last eight games overall with a massively improved lineup that is hitting .246 with a .339 OBP thus far this season.

Foster Griffin will be making just his 4th career start for the Nationals and I don't expect it to go well for him.  Braxton Ashcraft will be making just his 12th career start for the Pirates and I don't expect it to go well for him, either.  The Nationals have one of the worst bullpens in baseball with a 6.17 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in 84 2/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* Warriors/Clippers NBA Play-In No-Brainer on UNDER 220.5

Defensive intensity is very high in these play-in games.  They also tend to be played at a much slower pace than the regular season.  Oddsmakers struggle to set these totals and base them too closely to the regular season numbers.

The Clippers rank 28th in pace this season and will control the tempo playing at home.  The Warriors are in no hurry either ranking 18th in pace.  These teams just played on April 12th three days ago, and familiarity favors defense and low-scoring games.

This has been a dead nuts UNDER series.  Indeed, the UNDER is 7-1 in the last eight meetings with the only meeting that went over due to OT.  The Warriors and Clippers have combined for 216 or fewer points in six of those eight meetings.  Bet the UNDER in this game Tuesday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Angels/Yankees OVER 9

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Angels and Yankees tonight.  Temps will be around 80 with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to left-center at hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium in this one.  

It was a similar forecast the last two days when these teams combined for 21 runs in Game 1 and 8 runs in Game 2.  Not cashing the OVER in Game 2 was a brutal beat after both teams combined for 4 homers in the first inning, but they were all solo shots.  Runs will be plentiful tonight with these two gas can starting pitchers on the mound.

Jack Kochanowicz is 7-17 with a 5.55 ERA and 1.52 WHIP in 37 career starts in the big leagues spanning 193 innings, in which he has just 109 K's and terrible stuff.  He is 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA in two career starts against the Yankees, allowing 6 earned runs and 2 homers in 12 innings.  He is backed by a terrible Angels bullpen that has posted a 4.59 ERA and 1.55 WHIP this season.

Luis Gil has had control issues his entire career and already allowed 3 earned runs and 3 walks plus a HBP in 4 innings in his first start this season.  The Yankees have a 4.85 ERA and 1.58 WHIP as a bullpen at home this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Nationals/Pirates OVER 9

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Nationals and Pirates tonight.  Temps will be around 80 with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to left field.  It was a similar forecast for the first two games of this series with 21 combined runs in Game 1 and 9 combined runs in Game 2, which was at 9 runs by the end of the 5th inning and a brutal beat for over backers that it stayed there.  It will be another slugfest tonight.

The Nationals are a dead nuts OVER team going 12-4-1 OVER in all games this season with 9 or more combined runs in 14 of those 17 games.  They have one of the best lineups in baseball hitting .270 as a team.  Pittsburgh is 5-2 OVER in its last seven games overall with a massively improved lineup that is hitting .249 with a .340 OBP thus far this season.

Jake Irvin is a dumpster fire.  He is 1-1 with a 7.07 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in three starts this season, allowing 11 earned runs and 3 homers in 14 innings.  Irvin is now 23-35 with a 5.00 ERA in 93 career starts in the big leagues.  He is backed by the worst bullpen in baseball with the Nationals having a 6.39 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in 81 2/3 innings this season at a 'pen.

Mason Montgomery will open this game for the Pirates.  He has posted a 6.14 ERA and 1.91 WHIP this season, allowing 5 earned runs in 7 1/3 innings.  Carmen Mlodzinski is likely to take over after Montgomery departs.  This is a poor Pittsburgh bullpen with a 3.91 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in 69 innings this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* Cubs/Phillies NL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Cubs and Phillies tonight.  Temps will be in the 80's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to center in Philadelphia.  It was a similar forecast the last two days when the Cubs and Phillies combined for 20 runs in Game 1 and 14 runs in Game 2.  It will be more of the same tonight.

Jesus Luzardo is off to a tough start for the Phillies this season, going 1-2 with a 6.23 ERA in three starts while allowing 12 earned runs and 2 homers in 17 1/3 innings.  Shota Imanaga allowed 3 earned runs and 2 homers in 6 innings in his lone career start against the Phillies.

The Cubs have a 5.50 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in eight road games as a bullpen this season. The Phillies have a 5.87 ERA and 1.48 WHIP in 11 home games as a bullpen this season.  The runs will continue to pile on once these two starters exit.

The Cubs are 7-1-1 OVER in their last nine games overall with 10 or more combined runs in six of those nine games.  The OVER is 4-0 in the last four meetings between the Cubs and Phillies with 9 or more combined runs in all four games, and 12 or more in three of them.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* MLB Wednesday Early ANNIHILATOR on Guardians/Cardinals OVER 8

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Guardians and Cardinals today.  Temps will be in the 80's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to left-center in St. Louis this afternoon.

It was a similar forecast in the first two games of this series when the Guardians and Cardinals combined for 12 runs in Game 1 and 11 runs in Game 2.  It was also a similar forecast Sunday in St. Louis when the Red Sox beat the Cardinals 9-3 for 12 combined runs.  It will be more of the same today.

The Guardians are 5-1 OVER in their last six games with 11 or more combined runs in five of them.  The Cardinals are 7-2-1 OVER in their last 10 games with 8 or more combined runs in eight of them.

Slade Cecconi is 0-2 with a 5.74 ERA in three starts for the Guardians this season allowing 10 earned runs and 3 homers in 15 2/3 innings.  Dustin May is 1-2 with a 9.45 ERA and 1.80 WHIP in three starts for the Cardinals this season allowing 14 earned runs and 2 homers in 13 1/3 innings.

Both teams have struggling bullpens so the runs should continue to come once these starters exit.  The Cardinals have a 5.27 ERA and 1.51 WHIP as a bullpen while the Guardians have a 4.83 ERA as a bullpen.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* Blazers/Suns NBA Play-In No-Brainer on UNDER 217.5

Defensive intensity is very high in these play-in games.  They also tend to be played at a much slower pace than the regular season.  Oddsmakers struggle to set these totals and base them too closely to the regular season numbers.

The Suns rank 24th in pace and will control the tempo playing at home tonight.  Both teams are much better defensively than they are offensively.  The Suns are 9th in defensive rating while the Blazers are 12th.  The Suns are 17th in offensive rating while the Blazers are 21st.

In their most recent meeting on February 22nd, the Blazers beat the Suns 92-77 for just 171 combined points.  There are some key injuries to watch with Jerami Grant (18.6 PPG) and Grayson Allen (16.5 PPG) questionable.  Both players provide a lot more offensively than they do defensively.  Bet the UNDER in this game Tuesday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Guardians/Cardinals OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Guardians and Cardinals tonight.  Temps will be in the 80's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to left-center in St. Louis tonight.

It was a similar forecast yesterday when the Guardians beat the Cardinals 9-3 for 12 combined runs.  It was also a similar forecast Sunday in St. Louis when the Red Sox beat the Cardinals 9-3 for 12 combined runs.  It will be more of the same today.  

The Guardians are 4-1 OVER in their last five games with 12 or more combined runs in four of them.  The Cardinals are 6-2-1 OVER in their last nine games with 8 or more combined runs in seven of them.

The numbers are good for Cantillo and McGreevy thus far, but that is keeping this total lower than it should be.  Both teams have struggling bullpens so the runs should continue to come once these starters exit.  The Cardinals have a 5.26 ERA and 1.52 WHIP as a bullpen while the Guardians have a 4.80 ERA as a bullpen.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* Heat/Hornets NBA Play-In ANNIHILATOR on Miami +5.5

No question the Charlotte Hornets have the better full season stats over the Miami Heat.  And going by those stats, this line of -5.5 would make sense.  But this is a play-in game with the season on the line for both teams, and I trust the veteran Heat more in this spot than the young Hornets who have no experience in these situations.

Erik Spoelstra has consistently defied the odds in the playoffs as the head coach of the Miami Heat.  He's easily a Top 5 coach in this league.  And the Heat have a ton of playoff experience led by Adebayo, Wiggins, Herro and Powell.  They are a dangerous team when they are as healthy as they are right now.

The Hornets are lead by a ton of youngsters in Ball, Miller, Kneuppel and Diabate.  They folded in their biggest games down the stretch when they were trying to avoid the play-in.  They lost by 11 in Boston and by 18 at home to the Pistons in two of their last three games.  I think they will fold tonight, too.

The Heat went 3-1 SU against the Hornets in the regular season and were without Bam Adebayo in the only game they lost.  Spoelstra has guided the Heat out of the play-in and into the playoffs in each of the past three seasons.  "We're here, and now we just have to make the most of this," Heat coach Erik Spoelstra said. "There's no other way than just to absolutely go for it."  Bet the Heat Tuesday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Angels/Yankees OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Angels and Yankees tonight.  Temps will be in the 70's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to left-center at hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium in this one.  It was a similar forecast yesterday when the Yankees beat the Angels 11-10 for 21 combined runs.

Reid Detmers is 0-1 with a 4.60 ERA in three starts this season allowing 8 earned runs in 15 2/3 innings.  Detmers is 21-32 with a 4.76 ERA in 465 innings in his career in the big leagues.  He will get rocked against this potent Yankees lineup tonight.

Ryan Weathers is 12-24 with a 4.82 ERA in 297 innings in his career in the big leagues.  Warren will be up against a hot Angels lineup that has scored 32 runs in their last four games.  

The Angels have a 4.73 ERA and 1.58 WHIP as a bullpen this season, while the Yankees have a 4.91 ERA as a bullpen at home.  Both bullpens will be taxed after yesterday's marathon.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Nationals/Pirates OVER 9

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Nationals and Pirates tonight.  Temps will be in the 70's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to left field.  It was a similar forecast yesterday when the Pirates bludgeoned the Nationals 16-5 for 21 combined runs.  It will be more of the same tonight.

The Pirates are capable of covering this total on their own against one of the worst starters in baseball in Miles Mikolas.  He went 9-13 with a 4.78 ERA in 35 starts in 2023, 10-11 with a 5.35 ERA in 32 starts in 2024 and 8-11 with a 4.84 ERA in 31 starts in 2025.

Mikolas has been even worse thus far in 2026, going 0-3 with a 12.41 ERA and 2.35 WHIP in three starts while allowing 17 earned runs and 5 homers in 12 1/3 innings.  When he exits early, the Nationals have the worst bullpen in baseball with a 6.72 ERA and 1.63 WHIP In 73 2/3 innings this season.

The Nationals are a dead nuts OVER team going 12-3-1 OVER in all games this season with 9 or more combined runs in 13 of those 16 games.  They have one of the best lineups in baseball hitting .270 as a team.  They will do enough damage off Mitch Keller to contribute to this total tonight.  

Keller is 1-3 with a 4.70 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in seven career starts against the Nationals.  The Pirates have a 4.22 ERA and 1.56 WHIP as a bullpen this season.  Pittsburgh is 5-1 OVER in its last six games overall.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Guardians/Cardinals OVER 8

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between the Guardians and Cardinals tonight.  Temps will be in the 80's with 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to left in St. Louis tonight.

It was a similar forecast yesterday when the Red Sox beat the Cardinals 9-3 for 12 combined runs.  It will be more of the same today.  The Guardians are 3-1 OVER in their last four games with 12 or more combined runs in three of them.  The Cardinals are 5-2-1 OVER in their last eight games with 8 or more combined runs in six of them.

Walks have been a big problem for Gavin Williams this season with 14 walks in 17 2/3 innings.  He will get punished by the patient Cardinals for his wildness.  Matthew Liberatore is 16-24 with a 4.58 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in 350 innings in his career in the big leagues.

Both teams have struggling bullpens so the runs should continue to come once these two mediocre starters exit.  The Cardinals have a 5.31 ERA and 1.51 WHIP as a bullpen while the Guardians have a 4.98 ERA as a bullpen.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Angels/Yankees OVER 9

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Angels and Yankees tonight.  Temps will be in the 70's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to center at hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium in this one.

Yusei Kikuchi is 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.77 WHIP in three starts for the Angels this season allowing 11 earned runs in 14 2/3 innings.  He is a fly ball pitcher and that will not bode well for him tonight against this potent Yankees lineup.

Will Warren is 0-2 with a 9.58 ERA and 1.65 WHIP in two career starts against the Angels, allowing 11 earned runs in 10 1/3 innings.  Warren will be up against a hot Angels lineup that scored 22 runs in three games against the Reds over the weekend.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Cubs/Phillies OVER 8

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between the Cubs and Phillies, who have two of the most potent lineups in the National League.  Temps will be in the 70's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to center in Philadelphia tonight.

The Cubs are 8-5-2 OVER in all games this season with 8 or more combined runs in 10 of those 15 games.  The OVER is 5-2-3 in the last 10 meetings between the Phillies and Cubs with 8 or more combined runs in seven of those 10 games, and 9 or more in six of them.

Javier Assad allowed 8 earned runs and 3 homers in 4 1/3 innings in his last start against Philadelphia in a 9-6 defeat and 15 combined runs.  Cristopher Sanchez has allowed 10 earned runs and 2 homers in 8 2/3 innings in his last two starts against Chicago, which saw 15 and 12 combined runs.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Grizzlies/Rockets OVER 224.5

The Memphis Grizzlies are a dead nuts OVER team.  They have gone 7-1 OVER in their last eight games overall with 236 or more combined points in seven of those eight games.  They have gone for 246 or more combined points in each of their last four games.  This total of 224.5 is very low for a game involving the Grizzlies right now.

The Rockets are an elite defensive team when they play their starters.  But they won't play their starters today and will rest key defenders like Thompson and Smith Jr.  But their bench is fully of guys who are good offensively, and Reed Shepard will play today.

With nothing at stake for either team, this will be a care-free game with defense optional, which is always the case for the Grizzlies.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* NBA Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Sacramento Kings +17.5

The Sacramento Kings are playing hard despite the perception that they are tanking.  They are 3-2 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall with their only losses coming to the Clippers and the Warriors by 5.  They also beat the Warriors and Pelicans, and upset the Raptors in a game Toronto really needed.

The Kings have some nice young talent in Raynaud, Plowden and Clifford who all topped 20 points in their last game against the Warriors.  These guys are playing hard and would love to upset the Portland Trail Blazers tonight as well.

The Blazers need to win this game to get the 8th spot in the play-in.  You are paying a tax to back the Blazers because of it.  I actually think it's a bit of a letdown spot for them coming off their huge win over the Clippers that gave them the upper-hand on LA for that 8th spot.

All three meetings between the Blazers and Kings have been decided by 7 points or fewer this season.  The Blazers haven't won any of their last eight meetings with the Kings by more than 9 points.  Bet the Kings Sunday.

15* NBA Sunday Night Line Mistake on Utah Jazz +14.5

The Lakers locked up home-court advantage in the first round with their wins over the Suns and Warriors in their last two games.  Those are two teams that didn't care about winning, and the results are giving the Lakers a lot of respect now.

The Lakers are still without Doncic and Reaves with LeBron questionable tonight.  They will either be the 3rd or 4th seed in the West.  With the Nuggets resting their starters today, they are giving the Lakers the 3rd seed if they want it.  The Nuggets would rather play the Rockets than the Timberwolves.  I think the Lakers would rather play the Rockets than the Timberwolves as well, so they could decide to lose this game intentionally to get the 4th seed instead of the 3.

Either way, I don't think the Lakers have the firepower without Doncic and Reaves to put away the Jazz by this kind of margin today.  The Jazz still play hard and still have enough talent to be competitive.  They just crushed the Grizzlies 147-101 last time out.  They will be playing just their 2nd game in 5 days and would love to win their final game of the season.  Bet the Jazz Sunday.

15* NBA Eastern Conference PLAY OF THE DAY on Indiana Pacers +14.5

The Detroit Pistons are locked into the No. 1 seed in the East and should not be 14.5-point road favorites over the Indiana Pacers today as a result.  They will sit Jalen Duren, and their starters are unlikely to play big minutes today if they go at all.

The Indiana Pacers are locked into one of the three worst records in the NBA which gives them their best chance at the No. 1 overall pick. But they have been playing hard for weeks despite the perception that they are tanking.

In fact, the Pacers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall with just two losses by more than 15 points.  They have been very competitive including three outright victories as underdogs over the Magic, Heat and Bulls.  They will give it all in their final game of the season to try and take down the Pistons today.  Bet the Pacers Sunday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Red Sox/Cardinals OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Cardinals and Red Sox today.  Temps will be in the 80's with 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to left-center today in St. Louis.

Brayan Bello is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA and 2.50 WHIP in two starts for the Red Sox this season.  He has allowed 8 earned runs and 20 base runners in 8 innings.

Andre Pallante is 25-29 with a 4.27 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 470 innings in his career in the big leagues.  He is backed by a poor St. Louis bullpen that has posted a 5.37 ERA and 1.54 WHIP In 57 innings this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* NL Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Nationals/Brewers OVER 7.5

he Washington Nationals are a dead nuts OVER team going 10-3-1 OVER in all games this season.  They have gone for 9 or more combined runs in 11 of their 14 games this season.  This total of 7.5 is too short for a game involving the Nationals right now.  

The Nationals are scoring 5.8 runs per game and allowing 5.9 runs per game this season.  They face a Brewers team that is scoring 5.3 runs per game.  Given those numbers, this total of 7.5 is too short.

Zack Littell is 0-1 with a 3.60 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in two starts this season for the Nationals while allowing 4 earned runs, 2 homers and 15 base runners in 10 innings.  Brandon Woodruff is 1-0 with a 5.91 ERA and 1.31 WHIP in two tarts, allowing 7 earned runs in 10 2/3 innings.

The OVER is 7-1 in the last eight meetings and 10-2 in the last 12 meetings between the Nationals and Brewers with 9 or more combined runs in 10 of those 12 meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Twins/Blue Jays OVER 7.5

The Twins and Blue Jays have combined for 14 and 11 runs in the first two games of this series.  It should be more of the same today given the poor quality of these two starting pitchers, and this total is short at just 7.5 today.

Max Scherzer is way past his prime and has only pitched 8 innings in his two starts this season.  Scherzer posted a 5.19 ERA in 17 starts last season for the Blue Jays.  Taj Bradley is off to a great start this season, but he is 21-27 with a 4.70 ERA in his career and I don't trust him.

Both bullpens have been poor with the Twins posting a 5.37 ERA and 1.66 WHIP in 53 2/3 innings this season, and the Blue Jays posting a 4.92 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in 67 2/3 innings.  

The OVER is 8-0 in the last eight meetings between the Blue Jays and Twins with 9 or more combined runs in all eight meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Nationals/Brewers OVER 8

The Washington Nationals are a dead nuts OVER team going 10-2-1 OVER in all games this season.  They have gone for 9 or more combined runs in 11 of their 13 games this season.  This total of 8 is too short for a game involving the Nationals right now.  

The Nationals are scoring 6.0 runs per game and allowing 6.2 runs per game this season.  They face a Brewers team that is scoring 5.6 runs per game.  Given those numbers, this total of 8 is too short.

Foster Griffin will be making his just 3rd career start for the Nationals today.   He has posted a 4.50 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in 18 innings in his career in the big leagues.  Kyle Harrison is 10-9 with a 4.30 ERA in 205 innings in his career for the Brewers.

The OVER is 7-0 in the last seven meetings and 10-1 in the last 11 meetings between the Nationals and Brewers with 9 or more combined runs in 10 of those 11 meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* NBA TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Clippers/Blazers UNDER 225.5

Defensive intensity will be very high in this game between the Clippers and Blazers tonight.  They are tied for 8th place in the West with just two games remaining.  The winner of this game will likely get the 8th seed, which gives them a big advantage at advancing to the playoffs through the play-in.

The Clippers are a dead nuts UNDER team ranking 28th in pace this season.  The Blazers are without Jerami Grant one of their best scorers and Shaedon Sharpe is questionable.  Those are two of their top three scorers this season.

The UNDER is 4-0 in the last five meetings between the Clippers and Blazers with 222 or fewer combined points in all four.  These teams just met on March 31st, and familiarity favors defense and low-scoring games as well.  Bet the UNDER in this game Friday.

15* MLB Friday Total DOMINATOR on Nationals/Brewers OVER 8

The Washington Nationals are a dead nuts OVER team going 9-2-1 OVER in all games this season.  They have gone for 9 or more combined runs in 10 of their 12 games this season.  This total of 8 is too short for a game involving the Nationals right now.  

The Nationals are scoring 5.9 runs per game and allowing 6.5 runs per game this season.  They face a Brewers team that is scoring 5.8 runs per game.  Given those numbers, this total of 8 is too short.

Jake Irvin is 23-35 with a 4.99 ERA in 92 career starts.  Irvin is 1-1 with an 8.00 ERA in two starts this season, allowing 8 earned runs in 9 innings.  Irvin allowed.5 earned runs in 4 innings of a 8-2 loss to the Brewers in his last start against them.

The Brewers will make this a bullpen game starting with Aaron Ashby.  The OVER is 6-0 in the last six meetings and 9-1 in the last 10 meetings between the Nationals and Brewers with 9 or more combined runs in 9 of those 10 meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

25* NBA GAME OF THE YEAR on Charlotte Hornets ML -140

Note: I released this 25* Play Thursday night after the lines came out.  I figured it would get bet towards the Hornets and it has.  I would still play it as a 25* up to -200, and I would also play it as a 25* at -6 or less if you prefer to go that route.  I expect the Hornets to win in a blowout.

The Hornets have a lot to play for right now.  They are tied for 8th place with the 76ers in the East and lose out on the tiebreaker.  There is only one game separating the 7th through 9th seeds, and getting the 7th or 8th seed if very important to increase their chances of making the playoffs.

Few teams are playing as well as the Hornets right now.  They are 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall, and 9-3 SU & 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall with two of those losses coming to the Celtics.  They are fully healthy and max motivated tonight.

The Detroit Pistons are locked in to the No. 1 seed in the East and have nothing to play for.  Their priority is to get healthy for the playoffs.  I expect them to either rest their starters or play them very few minutes tonight as a result.  Charlotte should be a much bigger favorite in this one, and that's why they are my 25* NBA GAME OF THE YEAR for the 2025-26 season.  Bet the Hornets on the Money Line Friday.

15* NBA Friday Night BLOWOUT on Atlanta Hawks -6.5

The Cavaliers are punting this game.  They want the 4th seed in the East, and even if they didn't they can't catch the Knicks for 3rd because the Knicks own the tiebreaker and have a one game lead on them with two games to go.  That's why the Cavs have elected to rest Donovan Mitchell, Jarrett Allen and Sam Merrill tonight.

They have tipped their caps that they don't care about winning this game, and getting healthy for the playoffs is the priority.  That's why the Hawks are favored so heavily here and they should be favored by more when you consider the motivational mismatch.

The Atlanta Hawks have a lot to play for sitting in 6th place in the East.  They are desperate to avoid the play-in and to win the Southeast Division.  The Hawks are playing their best basketball of the season to put themselves in this position.  

They have gone 18-4 SU & 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games overall.  A whopping 16 of those 18 wins have come by double-digits.  Atlanta is fully healthy and showing what it is capable of when that's the case.  Bet the Hawks Friday.

15* NBA Friday Undervalued Underdog on Washington Wizards +17.5

The Miami Heat are locked into the 10th seed in the East with nothing to play for.  Their main priority is to get healthy and try and work their way into the playoffs through the play-in.  They don't care about winning this game at all, and they should not be 17.5-point road favorites as a result.

The Heat haven't been caring about winning games at all here down the stretch and their chemistry is terrible.  They are 3-10 SU & 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games overall with consecutive blowout losses to the Toronto Raptors by 26 and 14 points.  They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back tonight, further influencing their decision to likely rest guys.  Herro, Powell and Jovic are out with Mitchell questionable.

The Wizards are locked into one of the 3 worst records in the NBA now.  The teams with the 3 worst records all have equal odds of getting the No. 1 pick in the NBA draft.  They have no incentive to lose, and if anything they will be more motivated for a win than the Heat tonight.

That's especially the case after recently allowing 80 points to Bam Adebayo in a 150-129 loss to the Heat on March 10th.  Then they lost again to the Heat by 16 on April 4th less than a week ago.  They will be playing with triple-revenge here with three losses to this team since February 8th.  Miami could care less about winning this game.  Bet the Wizards Friday.

15* NBA Thursday Total DOMINATOR on 76ers/Rockets UNDER 227.5

Defensive intensity will be high in this game tonight with a lot at stake for both the Philadelphia 76ers and Houston Rockets.  The 76ers are in 8th place in the East just one game out of 6 place, and 0.5 games ahead of the Hornets for 9th.  They desperately want to make the playoffs or at the very least finish as the 7th or 8th seed in the play-in.  The Rockets are tied with the Lakers, and the team that finishes ahead will get the 4th seed and host the other in the first round.

The Rockets are a dead nuts UNDER team ranking 29th in pace and 7th in defensive rating.  They will control the pace playing at home tonight.  The Rockets are 24-14 UNDER in all home games this season.

The 76ers are 5-1 UNDER in their last six games overall.  That includes 3-0 UNDER in their last three with three straight defensive battles combining for 218 points with the Timberwolves, 209 with the Pistons and 217 with the Spurs.  Bet the UNDER in this game Thursday.

15* MLB Thursday Total DOMINATOR on White Sox/Royals OVER 9

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the White Sox and Royals tonight.  Temps will be in the 70's with 15 MPH winds blowing out to left-center.  Not to mention, the walls were moved in 10 feed at Kauffman Stadium to aid homers already this season.

Anthony Kay is 4-2 with a 5.44 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in 94 1/3 innings in his career in the big leagues.  No question the Royals are going to hang a big number on him and this Chicago bullpen tonight to lead the way to us cashing this OVER 9 ticket.

Seth Lugo has been solid thus far, but I expect the White Sox to get to him and this even worse Kansas City bullpen tonight.  While the White Sox have a 5.71 ERA as a bullpen, the Royals have a 6.40 bullpen ERA.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

20* NBA BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Toronto Raptors -3.5

The Toronto Raptors need this game like blood.  They sit in 6th place in the East just 0.5 games ahead of the Orlando Magic.  They need to finish 6th or higher to avoid the play-in.  They are fully healthy and max motivated right now.

The Miami Heat have essentially nothing to play for.  They aren't officially locked into the 10th seed, but they might as well be trailing the Hornets by 1.5 games with only 3 games remaining.  They are playing like they have nothing to play for, too.

That was evident when these teams met two days ago with the Raptors beating the Heat 121-95.  The Heat fell to 3-9 SU & 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall as they have completely cratered down the stretch.  They have no reason to show up tonight, either.  

The Raptors are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in three meetings with the Heat this season with three blowout wins by 26, 21 and 10 points.  It will be more of the same in this motivational mismatch tonight.  Bet the Raptors Thursday.

20* Thunder/Clippers NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on UNDER 228

Both the Thunder and Clippers will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back tonight.  That means there's a decent chance both teams rest some key guys.  Either way, I like this UNDER today as both have a lot to play for, and the defensive intensity should be high as a result.

The Clippers are trying to secure the 8th seed in the West which would give them a huge advantage to make the playoffs.  They only lead the Blazers by one game with a game against the Blazers on deck next game.  The Thunder can clinch the No. 1 seed in the West with a win tonight.

The Clippers rank 28th in pace and will control the tempo playing at home tonight.  The Thunder rank 1st in defensive rating and won't make anything easy on the Clippers.

The Thunder are 11-7 UNDER in their last 18 games overall with 226 or fewer combined points in 13 of those 18 games.  The Clippers are 10-4 UNDER in their last 14 games overall with 227 or fewer combined points in nine of those 14 games.  The Thunder and Clippers have combined for 223 or fewer points in three of their last four meetings.  Bet the UNDER in this game Wednesday.

20* Blazers/Spurs ESPN No-Brainer on Portland +3.5

The Portland Trail Blazers have a lot to play for with three games to go.  They sit in 9th place in the West just one game behind the Clippers for the 8th seed.  That is a huge difference because the 8th seed has a much bigger chance to actually make the playoffs.  They play the Clippers in their next game, so this game against the Spurs tonight is huge for them to make that game matter.  The Clippers play the Thunder tonight and are likely to lose, too.

The Spurs have nothing to play for.  They are locked in to the No. 2 seed in the West.  That's why they have decided to rest both Victor Wembenyama and Stephon Castle tonight.  They are tipping their hand that they don't care about winning this game, and they shouldn't be favored over the Blazers as a result.  

Portland is 8-3 SU & 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games overall and playing its best basketball of the season to come up clutch here down the stretch.  The Blazers are rested and ready to go playing just their 2nd game in 6 days tonight.  The Spurs will be playing their 5th game in 8 days.  Bet the Blazers Wednesday.

15* Hawks/Cavs ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Atlanta ML +105

The Atlanta Hawks have a lot to play for sitting in 5th place in the East.  They are desperate to avoid the play-in and to win the Southeast Division.  They are one game ahead of the Raptors and 2 games ahead of the 76ers and Magic.  They can grab a stranglehold on the division title with a win tonight.

The Hawks are playing their best basketball of the season to put themselves in this position.  They have gone 18-3 SU & 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games overall.  A whopping 16 of those 18 wins have come by double-digits.  Atlanta is fully healthy and showing what it is capable of when that's the case.

The Cavs aren't motivated right now.  They are just fine being the 4th seed in the East which would allow them to avoid the Celtics in the 2nd round.  They trail the Knicks by one game for the 3rd seed and lose out on the tiebreaker with the Knicks as well.  The Cavs play the Hawks in a home-and-home situation over their next two games.  They are likely to play the Hawks in the first round of the playoffs, so they don't want to show their hand in these two games.  

That's why they have decided to sit Jaylon Tyson, and Donavan Mitchell is questionable as well.  The Cavs are just 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games overall and have been going through the motions for weeks.  They don't care about winning this game, and the wrong team is favored as a result.  Bet the Hawks on the Money Line Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Night BLOWOUT on Orlando Magic -7.5

The Minnesota Timberwolves are locked in to the 6th seed in the West.  They have nothing to play for in these final three games.  I anticipated they would rest starters when I released this play, and that's precisely what they have done.  They will be without Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle and Mike Conley with both Rudo Gobert and Jaden McDaniels downgraded to questionable.  Their biggest concern is having everyone healthy for the playoffs.

The Magic need this win like blood.  They sit in 8th place in the East just a half-game ahead of the Hornets in 9th place, tied with the 76ers in 7th place, and one game behind the Raptors for 6th place.  They are only two games behind the Hawks for 1st place in the Southeast Division, and the Hawks have a brutal remaining schedule that could have the Magic catching them.

Either way, the Magic will be max motivated to get a win tonight, and they are as healthy as they have been in a long time and playing well as a result.  They have gone 4-1 in their last five games overall with their only loss coming on the 2nd of a back-to-back to the Hawks, who are the hottest team in the East.

The Magic recently got back Franz Wagner and Anthony Black, two of their top four scorers that they desperately missed.  They are a dangerous team when they are as healthy as they are right now and that's showing.  They should make easy work of the Timberwolves tonight.  Bet the Magic Wednesday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on A's/Yankees OVER 8

The Yankees are 5-0 OVER in their last five games overall with 13, 16, 10, 8 and 8 combined runs.  All four of their home games this season have seen 8 or more combined runs.  The A's are 4-0 OVER in their last three games overall with 15, 11, 22 & 8 combined runs.

The Yankees are capable of covering this total on their own today.  Luis Severino went 8-11 with a 4.54 ERA in 29 starts last season.  Severino is 0-1 with a 6.48 ERA and 1.80 WHIP in two starts this season, allowing 6 earned runs and 15 base runners in 8 1/3 innings.  Severino faced the Yankees twice last season, allowing 13 earned runs in 7 2/3 innings.

Will Warren is 10-11 with a 5.03 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 40 career starts in the big leagues.  The A's will get to him, too.  The A's have a 5.48 ERA as a bullpen this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* MLB Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Reds/Marlins OVER 7.5

One of the best-kept secrets in baseball is that the Miami Marlins are 97-66 OVER in all home games since 2024.  The Marlins remain an OVER team this season going 7-1 OVER in their last eight games overall with 9 or more combined runs in seven of those eight games.  This total of 7.5 is very short for a game involving the Marlins right now.

Brady Singer has posted a 5.00 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in two starts this season while allowing 5 earned runs and 14 base runners in 9 innings.  Eury Perez has posted a 5.73 ERA in two starts this season, allowing 7 earned runs and 3 homers in 11 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Cubs/Rays OVER 8

The Tampa Bay Rays are a dead nuts OVER team.  They have gone 9-2 OVER in all games this season with 8 or more combined runs in nine of their 11 games.  They have a terrible bullpen with a 7.49 ERA on the season, and a potent lineup.

The Cubs also have a potent lineup scoring 4.6 runs per game with the Rays scoring 4.8 runs per game.  The Cubs also have a shaky bullpen with a 4.57 ERA on the season.  And there's not a lot to love about either starter today.

Colin Rea is 37-27 with a 4.41 ERA in 612 1/3 innings in his career in the big leagues with a 4.26 ERA in two games thus far in 2026.  Joe Boyle is 6-10 with a 4.82 ERA in 127 innings in his career in the big leagues.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Cardinals/Nationals OVER 8.5

The Washington Nationals are a dead nuts OVER team going 9-1-1 OVER in all games this season.  They have gone for 9 or more combined runs in 10 of their 11 games this season.  This total of 8.5 is too short for a game involving the Nationals right now.  They are scoring 6.4 runs per game and allowing 6.6 runs per game.

The Cardinals are capable of covering this total on their own against 37-year-old Miles Mikolas.  He went 9-13 with a 4.78 ERA in 35 starts in 2023, 10-11 with a 5.35 ERA in 32 starts in 2024 and 8-11 with a 4.84 ERA in 31 starts in 2025.  He has been even worse thus far in 2026, going 0-2 with a 14.46 ERA in two starts while allowing 17 earned runs and 5 homers in 9 1/3 innings.

Michael McGreevy has been solid for the Cardinals, but the Nationals will get to him and this St. Louis bullpen enough to cash this OVER ticket.  The Cardinals have a 5.67 ERA as a bullpen while the Nationals have a 6.39 ERA as a bullpen.  The Cardinals are scoring 4.8 runs per game and allowing 5.6 runs per game this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on St. Louis Cardinals -116

The St. Louis Cardinals have a big advantage on the mound over the Washington Nationals today and should be bigger favorites as a result.  Max McGreevy is 11-5 with a 3.83 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 21 starts and two relief appearances in his career.  He is 0-1 with a 2.53 ERA and 0.84 WHIP in two starts this season.

37-year-old Miles Mikolas went 9-13 with a 4.78 ERA in 35 starts in 2023, 10-11 with a 5.35 ERA in 32 starts in 2024 and 8-11 with a 4.84 ERA in 31 starts in 2025.  He has been even worse thus far in 2026, going 0-2 with a 14.46 ERA in two starts while allowing 17 earned runs and 5 homers in 9 1/3 innings.  Bet the Cardinals Wednesday.

20* NBA Western Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Phoenix Suns ML +105

I love the spot for the Phoenix Suns tonight.  They are healthy and rested and motivated for a big effort tonight.  They just recently got back both Dillon Brooks and Mark Williams from injury, and they are as healthy as they have been all season to close out the regular season and head into the playoffs.  They will be playing just their 2nd game in 5 days tonight.

The Suns are playing with triple-revenge after the Rockets won the first three meetings in this series.  They have also lost seven straight to the Rockets dating back to last season.  It's safe to say the Suns will be max motivated, especially Brooks being a former Rocket.  They are primed for one of their best efforts of the season as they try and secure the all-important 7th seed in the West.

No question the Rockets are motivated as well trying to overtake the Lakers or Nuggets for the 4th seed in the West.  However, it's time to 'sell high' on the Rockets who are riding a 6-game winning streak against suspect competition coming into this one.  Four of the wins came against tanking teams in the Jazz, Bucks, Grizzlies and Pelicans.  They only beat the short-handed Warriors by 1, and they beat the Knicks at home.

The Rockets have been overvalued all season going 33-45 ATS while the Suns are 45-30-3 ATS despite all their injuries.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet the Suns on the Money Line Tuesday.

15* Rockets/Suns NBC Late-Night BAILOUT on UNDER 221

Familiarity favors defense and low-scoring games.  This will be the 4th and final meeting between the Suns and Rockets this season.  The UNDER is 3-0 in the first three meetings with 206, 215 and 197 combined points.  This total of 221.5 has been set too high tonight.

Both teams will be playing with max intensity defensively as both have a lot to play for.  The Suns are trying to secure the all-important 7th seed in the West with an outside shot to get the 6th seed.  The Rockets are battling the Nuggets and Lakers for the 3rd through 5th seeds in the West.  They need a win to try and match up with the injury-ravaged Lakers in the first round.

The Rockets rank 6th in defensive rating this season while the Suns rank 10th.  The Rockets rank 29th in pace while the Suns rank 24th.  Bet the UNDER in this game Tuesday.

20* NBA Western Conference TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Mavs/Clippers OVER 237

The Dallas Mavericks have been a dead nuts OVER team here down the stretch.  They are 8-4 OVER in their last 12 games overall finishing with 240 or more combined points in nine of those 12 games.  This total of 237 is very short for a game involving the Mavericks right now.

The Mavericks rank 3rd in pace and 22nd in defensive rating in their last 12 games.  They are going more small ball due to injuries and are playing faster as a result.  They can't defend with their lack of size on the court.  And they are motivated to get Cooper Flagg the rookie of the year trying to get him as many points as possible.  They are playing hard on offense, scoring 131 or more points in five of their last eight games.

The Clippers have become a very efficient offensive team with the trades for Garland and Mathurin to go along with Kawhi and Collins.  They have scored 127 or more points in four of their last eight games overall.  They will hang a big number on the Mavericks tonight.

The OVER is 4-0 in the last four meetings between the Mavericks and Clippers with 239 or more combined points in three of those four meetings.  That includes a 138-131 (OT) win by the Clippers in their most recent meeting on March 21st.  That game was tied 122-122 at the end of regulation for 244 combined points.  It will be more of the same tonight.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* Hornets/Celtics NBC ANNIHILATOR on UNDER 221.5

Familiarity favors defense and low-scoring games.  This will be the 3rd meeting between the Celtics and Hornets since the beginning of March.  They went for 207 combined points in the first meeting and 213 in the 2nd meeting.  The UNDER is 3-0 in the last three meetings with 179 combined points in their previous meeting.

It will be another defensive battle tonight between two teams that are dead nuts UNDER teams.  The Hornets are 48-31 UNDER in all games this season while the Celtics are 50-28 UNDER in all games.  The Celtics rank 4th in defensive rating while the Hornets rank 12th.  The Celtics are dead last (30th) in pace while the Hornets are 26th.

Defensive intensity will be high in this game with both teams having a lot to play for.  The Celtics are trying to secure the 2nd seed in the East, leading the Knicks by 2.5 games with the Knicks on deck next.  The Hornets are battling for seeding with only two games separating the 6th through 10th seeds in the East.  Bet the UNDER in this game Tuesday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on A's/Yankees OVER 8

The Yankees are 4-0 OVER in their last four games overall with 13, 16, 10 and 8 combined runs.  All three of their home games this season have seen 10 or more combined runs.  The A's are 3-0 OVER in their last three games overall with 15, 11 and 22 combined runs.

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER ticket.  There will be 20 MPH winds blowing out to the short porch in right field at Yankee Stadium.  Left-handed hitters will have hugely increased chances of hitting homers, and right-handed hitters will be trying to go the other way to utilize the short porch.

The Yankees are capable of covering this total on their own against Aaron Civale, who went 4-9 with a 4.85 ERA in 102 innings last season.  Civale is 1-6 with a 7.08 ERA and 1.72 WHIP in eight career starts against the Yankees, allowing 27 earned runs and 7 homers in 34 1/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Reds/Marlins OVER 7

One of the best-kept secrets in baseball is that the Miami Marlins are 96-66 OVER in all home games since 2024.  The Marlins remain an OVER team this season going 6-1 OVER in their last seven games overall with 10 or more combined runs in six of those seven games.  This total of 7 is very short for a game involving the Marlins right now.

Andrew Abbott allowed 4 earned runs in 5 2/3 innings to the Pirates in his last start.  Abbott is 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.63 WHIP In three career starts against the Marlins, allowing 12 earned runs and 5 homers in 16 innings.

Sandy Alcantara went 11-12 with a 5.36 ERA in 31 starts for the Marlins last season.  I don't think he's magically fixed this season despite a strong start.  Alcantara has allowed 15 earned runs and 3 homers in 18 2/3 innings in his last three starts against the Reds for a 7.23 ERA.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* UConn/Michigan NCAA Championship No-Brainer on UConn +7

Dan Hurley is 21-4 ATS as a head coach in the NCAA Tournament.  That includes a perfect 15-0 ATS in the Round of 32 or later.  The Huskies are 15-1 SU in non-conference games this season with their only loss coming to Arizona by 4.  They are 11-0 SU in neutral site games this season.

Since the 2023 NCAA Tournament, UConn has gone 18-1 ATS with its only non-cover coming against Furman in the first round this year.  Since 2009, the Huskies are 34-7 ATS in all NCAA Tournament games.  This is a winning program, and at some point you have to give Dan Hurley his respect.  I think the Huskies come out and earn it again tonight playing with a big chip on their shoulder that they are once again underdogs.

Michigan has been very 3-point reliant this tournament.  The Wolverines have managed to shoot 44.4% or better from 3 in four of their five NCAA Tournament games and are shooting 45% for the entire tournament thus far.  I have to think they are due some negative shooting regression in this one.

The Wolverines suffered a big blow when their best player in Yaxel Leneborg (15.1 PPG, 6.9 RPG, 1.2 BPG) suffered a leg injury against Arizona and only played 15 minutes.  He won't be anywhere near 100% for this game just two days later.  That injury really gives UConn a great shot of pulling off the upset tonight.  Bet UConn Monday.

15* NBA Monday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on 76ers/Spurs OVER 236.5

The San Antonio Spurs are thriving offensively.  They have scored at least 123 points in seven of their last eight games overall and will hang a big number on the 76ers tonight to lead the way to us cashing this OVER 236.5 ticket.

The 76ers have been thriving offensively since getting Embiid, Maxey, George and Oubre back healthy.  They have scored at least 115 points in six of their last nine games overall including over 150 points twice.

The OVER is 5-1 in the last six meetings between the 76ers and Spurs with 248 or more combined points four times.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Orioles/White Sox OVER 8.5

There will be 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to center in Chicago tonight that will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Orioles and White Sox.  Both lineups are loaded with HR hitters that will take advantage.

Both the Orioles and White Sox have atrocious staffs and bullpens.  The White Sox have a 6.31 ERA and 1.66 WHIP while allowing 32 earned runs in 45 2/3 innings as a bullpen.  The Orioles 'pen has a 4.54 ERA and 1.40 WHIP while allowing 18 earned runs in 35 2/3 innings.

Brandon Young went 1-7 with a 6.24 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in 12 starts as a rookie for the Orioles last season.  Grant Taylor is no more than an opener for the White Sox today.  He has posted a 4.65 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in 40 2/3 innings in his career in the big leagues.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* NBA Monday Total DOMINATOR on Knicks/Hawks OVER 226.5

Two elite offensive teams square off tonight as the New York Knicks visit the Atlanta Hawks.  The Knicks rank 4th in offensive rating this season while the Hawks rank 8th, but they have been even better than that during their 18-2 run over their last 20 games.  This total of 226.5 has been set too short tonight.

The Hawks have scored at least 122 points in 14 of their last 18 games overall.  The Knicks have exploded for 136 and 130 points in their last two games coming in.  The Knicks and Hawks have combined for at least 226 points in four of their last five meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* NBA Eastern Conference GAME OF THE WEEK on Atlanta Hawks ML -115

The Atlanta Hawks have a lot to play for sitting in 5th place in the East.  They are desperate to avoid the play-in and to win the Southeast Division.  They are only 2 games ahead of both the Raptors and 76ers for 5th place.  They can grab a stranglehold on the division title with a win tonight.  Atlanta is sitting 2.5 games ahead of the Hornets within the division.

The Hawks are playing their best basketball of the season to put themselves in this position.  They have gone 18-2 SU & 16-4 ATS in their last 20 games overall.  A whopping 16 of those 18 wins have come by double-digits.  Atlanta is fully healthy and showing what it is capable of when that's the case.

The New York Knicks don't have nearly as much to play for.  They are locked in to either the 3rd or 4th seed in the East.  The Cavaliers are showing their hand that they are ok with being the 4th seed to try and avoid the Celtics in the 2nd round.  The Knicks are thinking the same way that they would be fine with being the 4th seed.  Their main focus is getting healthy going into the playoffs.

The Knicks are just 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall and pretty much just going throught he motions.  They have lost their last three games against playoff contenders all by double-digits on the road in the Hornets by 11, the Thunder by 11 and the Rockets by 17.  New York is 21-19 SU & 14-26 ATS on the road this season.  Atlanta is 13-0 SU in its last 13 home games and will make it 14 in a row tonight.  Bet the Hawks on the Money Line Monday.

15* MLB Monday Total DOMINATOR on Cardinals/Nationals OVER 8

The Washington Nationals are a dead nuts OVER team going 7-1-1 OVER in all games this season with 9 or more combined runs in eight of their nine games.  This total of 8 is too short for a game involving the Nationals right now.

The Nationals have a solid lineup that is scoring 6.1 runs per game this season.  But they have the worst staff in baseball allowing 6.6 runs per game.  They just went for 19, 15 and 14 combined runs in three games with the Dodgers over the weekend.

Zack Littell was rocked for 3 earned runs and 2 homers in 5 innings in his lone action this season.  Littell has allowed 8 runs and 2 homers in 12 2/3 innings in his last two starts against St. Louis.  Andre Pallante is 25-29 with a 4.28 ERA and 1.42 WHIP with just 324 K's in 465 innings in his big league career for the Cardinals.  Pallante allowed 7 earned runs and 2 homers in 6 innings in his last start against the Nationals.

Both teams have atrocious bullpens with the Nationals sporting a 5.85 ERA and 1.63 WHIP allowing 26 earned runs and 10 homers in 40 innings, while the Cardinals have a 4.97 ERA and 1.63 WHIP allowing 21 earned runs in 38 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Reds/Marlins OVER 8

One of the best-kept secrets in baseball is that the Miami Marlins are 96-65 OVER in all home games since 2024.  The Marlins remain an OVER team this season going 6-0 OVER in their last six games overall with 10 or more combined runs in all six games.

The Cincinnati Reds have one of the more underrated lineups in baseball.  They should hang a big number on Janson Junk and the Marlins.  He is 7-7 with a 4.84 ERA with just 116 K's in 154 1/3 innings in his career in the big leagues.

The Marlins should also get their bats going against Brandon Williamson, who is 5-6 with a 4.63 ERA in 27 career starts in the big leagues.  Williamson allowed 6 earned runs and 3 homers in 4 2/3 innings to the Pirates in his first start this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* NBA Sunday UPSET SHOCKER on Dallas Mavericks +2

The Los Angeles Lakers just suffered two huge blows with the losses of their two best players to injury.  Luka Doncic (33.5 PPG, 8.3 APG) will be out for at least the rest of the regular season with a hamstring injury, and Austin Reaves (23.3 PPG, 5.5 APG) will be out for at least the rest of the regular season with an oblique injury.  Tough news for a team that was playing well prior to these injuries.

The Lakers have no business being favored on the road over the Mavericks tonight without these two.  In their first game without Doncic, they were smoked by the Thunder 139-96 in a 43-point defeat.  And it won't go any better for them in their first game without both Doncic AND Reaves tonight.  LeBron James is no longer able to carry a team on the last leg of his career.  Their best defender in Marcus Smart is out, too.

The Mavericks continue to play hard trying to get Cooper Flagg the Rookie of the Year award.  They are very healthy coming into this game with each of their top 10 scorers available.  They would love nothing more than to beat the Lakers behind a big game from Flagg tonight.  Bet the Mavericks Sunday.

15* NBA Sunday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Charlotte Hornets ML -125

This is a huge game for the Charlotte Hornets today.  They sit in 8th place in the East, with only two games separating the 6th through 10 seeds. They need to finish as high as possible to give themselves the best chance at making the playoffs.  They have been playing some of the best basketball in the NBA since the turn of the calendar year, and they will continue to be max motivated tonight.

The Minnesota Timberwolves seem content with being the 6th seed in the West.  They are two games behind the Rockets for 5th place.  If the season ended today they would match up with the Lakers in the 1st round, and they would take that.  They aren't in jeopardy of falling to the 7th seed either with a 3.5-game lead on the Suns with only four games left for Phoenix.

Anthony Edwards (28.9 PPG) was listed as questionable when I locked this play in and is now downgraded to out.  The Timberwolves remain without Jaden McDaniels (14.8 PPG), meaning they are without two of their top three scorers.  It's no surprise they have been struggling without these guys going 1-3 SU in their last four games overall with two losses to the Pistons and another loss to the 76ers.  They just aren't concerned about winning games right now like the Hornets are.  Bet the Hornets on the Money Line Sunday.

15* NBA Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Jazz/Thunder OVER 238.5

The Utah Jazz are a dead nuts OVER team no matter who they have on the court.  They rank 2nd in pace and 29th in defensive rating.  The Jazz recently went for 270 combined points with the Raptors and 264 with the Nuggets, and they have gone for 242 or more combined points in eight of their last 10 contests.  

The Jazz are 10-4 OVER in their last 14 games overall.  They have gone for at least 235 combined points in eight consecutive games, and 242 or more in seven of them.  This total of 238.5 is very low for a game involving the Jazz right now.

The Thunder are as healthy as they have been all season and will hang a big number on the Jazz tonight.  They have scored at least 121 points in five of their last eight games, including 139 on the Lakers in their last contest.

The OVER is 6-1 in the last seven meetings between the Jazz and Thunder with 232 or more combined points in all seven, and 237 or more in six of them.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* NBA Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Orlando Magic -4.5

The Orlando Magic have a lot to play for right now.  They are sitting in 9th place in the East but just 1.5 games behind the 76ers for 6th place, which would get them out of the play-in.  There is only 2 games separating the 6th through 10th seeds right now, so all those teams have a lot to pay for.

The Magic are getting healthy and playing their best basketball at the perfect time.  They just got Franz Wagner (20.9 PPG) back from injury for the stretch run as he has missed 47 games this season.  His worth has been proven to this team, and he's worth more than both Jalen Suggs and Paulo Banchero.  The only key player they are missing is Anthony Black, but they can do without him as long as Suggs is healthy like he is right now.

The New Orleans Pelicans have nothing to play for and are playing like it.  They have gone 0-7 SU & 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall with four of their last five losses all coming by 12 points or more.  The other was an upset loss to the tanking Kings.

The Pelicans have ruled out both Trey Murphy (21.5 PPG) and Dejounte Murray (16.7 PPG, 6.4 APG), which are arguably their two best players.  They have both been dealing with nagging injuries, and the fact that the Pelicans are sitting them shows they don't care about winning these games here down the stretch.  The Magic do, and should be bigger favorites as a result.  Bet the Magic Sunday.

20* NBA Eastern Conference Total DOMINATOR on Wizards/Nets OVER 230

The Washington Wizards are a dead nuts OVER team.  They are 14-5 OVER in their last 19 games overall.  They have gone for 242 or more combined points in 15 of those 19 games, so this total of 230 is way too short for a game involving the Wizards right now.  They rank 6th in pace and dead last (30th) in defensive rating.

The tanking Nets have quit playing defense, too.  They are coming off a 141-107 home loss to the Atlanta Hawks for 248 combined points.  There will be no defense being played in this game today.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* NBA Sunday Afternoon BLOWOUT on Phoenix Suns -9.5

The Phoenix Suns are as healthy as they have been in a long time just recently getting Dillon Brooks and Mark Williams back. They are motivated to finish in 7th place in the West to assure their best possibility of making the playoffs through the play-in.  Until they secure that seed, they will be max motivated moving forward.

The tanking Bulls are 0-6 SU & 2-4 ATS in their last six games overall with five losses by 15 points or more.  So they have been getting blown out on the regular, and I don't see them offering much resistance to the Suns today, either.  Bet the Suns Sunday.

20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Blue Jays/White Sox OVER 7.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 7.5 ticket between the Blue Jays and White Sox today.  There will be 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to center field.  This total of 7.5 is way too short today.  

Both teams have a lot of power with the White Sox with 10 homers and the Blue Jays with 9 homers through 7 games each.  It was a similar forecast yesterday when the White Sox beat the Blue Jays 6-3 for 9 combined runs powered by a pair of homers.  It will be more of the same today.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* CBB Final 4 Total DOMINATOR on Arizona/Michigan UNDER 158

The spacious Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis provides a tough shooting background that will take players some time to get used to.  This total of 158 has been inflated given the tough shooting background that hasn't been factored into this line enough.

Michigan has shot 45% from 3 in the NCAA Tournament thus far and is due some negative shooting regression.  That will happen against Arizona, which ranks 2nd in adjusted defense this season and 35th in 3-point defense allowing opponents to make just 31% of their attempts.  Michigan also relies heavily on getting easy points in transition, which won't be there against Arizona which is elite at not allowing transition points.

A big reason Arizona is so good at getting back on defense is because it ranks 363rd in the country shooting 3-pointers on just 26.4% of possessions.  The Wildcats rely heavily on getting buckets inside and points from the FT line.  But Michigan is elite at not fouling, ranking 13th in the country in allowing the fewest amount of FT's per game.

Both defenses are built to not allow points in the paint or FT's, and both are very good at defending the 3 as well with Michigan ranking 17th in 3-point defense.  That means both teams are going to have to live in the midrange in this game, and that's a recipe for UNDERS.  I also think Arizona slows it down intentionally knowing that Michigan wants to get in a track meet, and it really favors Arizona to make this a half court game.  Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday.

20* Arizona/Michigan Final 4 No-Brainer on Arizona ML +105

Arizona is the best team in the country.  The Wildcats are 36-2 this season with their only losses coming on the road at Kansas by 4 and to Texas Tech on OT back when they had JT Toppin.  The Wildcats rank 4th in adjusted offense and 2nd in adjusted defense with zero weaknesses.

Arizona is 17-0 SU & 12-5 ATS in non-conference games this season.  They have wins over Florida, UCLA, UConn, Auburn, Alabama, Arkansas and Purdue in the non-conference.  They have made easy work of their first four NCAA Tournament opponents beating LIU by 34, Utah State by 12, Arkansas by 21 and Purdue by 15.

That win over Purdue is significant considering Michigan lost by 8 to Purdue in the Big Ten Tournament.  No question the Wolverines are right up there with Arizona as the 2nd-best team in the country in my opinion, but they have had a much easier path to the Final 4.  They got to face short-handed Alabama and 6th seed Tennessee in their last two games.  This will be far and away their toughest game of the tournament.

Arizona has the size that can counter Michigan, as the Wolverines have enjoyed a size advantage against almost everyone.  I think Arizona has the better guards as well.  The Wildcats don't rely on the 3-pointer to score, while Michigan does.  Arizona is 18th in the country defending the 3-pointer (30.4%).  They are elite in transition D, and Michigan relies on getting easy points in transition, which won't be available against Arizona.  I also expect Michigan to cool off from 3 after shooting 45% from deep in the tournament thus far.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet Arizona on the Money Line Saturday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Dodgers/Nationals OVER 9.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9.5 ticket between the Dodgers and Nationals today.  Temps will be in the 80's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to center.  It was a similar forecast yesterday when the Dodgers beat the Nationals 13-6 for 19 combined runs.

The Dodgers are capable of covering this total on their own again with their potent lineup.  Jake Irvin is 23-34 with a 4.92 ERA in 91 career starts.  Irvin allowed 2 homers in 5 innings in his first start this season.  He has allowed 12 earned runs in 16 innings in his last three starts against the Dodgers.

Tyler Glasnow has had a hard time staying healthy.  He is 2-1 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in four career starts against the Nationals.  Glasnow allowed 6 earned runs and 2 homers in 5 innings in his last start against Washington.

The OVER is 6-0-1 in the last seven meetings between the Dodgers and Nationals with 10 or more combined runs in all seven meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* NBA Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Wizards/Heat OVER 245.5

The Washington Wizards are a dead nuts OVER team.  They are 13-5 OVER in their last 18 games overall.  They have gone for 242 or more combined points in 14 of those 18 games, so this total of 245.5 isn't very big for the Wizards right now.  They rank 6th in pace and dead last (30th) in defensive rating.

The Miami Heat are even more of an OVER team due to ranking 1st in pace.  The Heat are 12-3 OVER in their last 15 games overall and have been atrocious defensively here down the stretch.  They rank 24th in defensive rating in their last 15 games.  The Heat and their opponents have combined for at least 242 points in seven of their last nine games, including 276 with the Celtics, 253 with the Pacers and 267 with the Cavs in three of their last four games.

These teams met less than a month ago with the Heat beating the Wizards 150-129 for 279 combined points.  It will be more of the same today.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Blue Jays/White Sox OVER 8

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between the Blue Jays and White Sox today.  There will be 20-25 MPH winds blowing out to left field.  This total of 8 is way too short today.  Both teams have a lot of power with the White Sox with 8 homers and the Blue Jays with 9 homers through 7 games each.

Mason Fluharty has posted a 4.64 ERA in 54 1/3 innings in his short big league career.  He allowed 2 earned runs in 1 2/3 innings in his lone action thus far in 2026.  Grant Taylor is 2-4 with a 4.76 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in 39 2/3 innings in his even shorter career thus far.  These two youngsters will get rocked today.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

15* NBA Western Conference PLAY OF THE DAY on Jazz/Rockets OVER 232.5

The Utah Jazz are a dead nuts OVER team no matter who they have on the court.  They rank 2nd in pace and 29th in defensive rating.  The Jazz recently went for 270 combined points with the Raptors and 264 with the Nuggets, and they have gone for 242 or more combined points in seven of their last nine contests.  

The Jazz are 9-4 OVER in their last 13 games overall.  They have gone for at least 235 combined points in seven consecutive games, and 242 or more in six of them.  This total of 232.5 is very low for a game involving the Jazz right now.

The Rockets have been a much better offensive team since moving Reed Sheppard into the starting lineup, but they are worse off defensively.  They have scored 116 or more points in seven of their last nine games overall.  They will hang a big number on the Jazz tonight to lead the way to us cashing this OVER ticket.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* NBA Friday Total DOMINATOR on Pacers/Hornets OVER 234.5

The Indiana Pacers are a dead nuts OVER team going 16-4 OVER in their last 20 games overall.  They are absolutely tanking and just quit playing defense.  They have allowed at least 123 points in 16 of their last 20 games, including 126 or more points in 14 of those.  

The Pacers have gone for at least 231 combined points in 17 of those 20 games with their opponents.  That includes 246 or more combined points in eight of their last nine, so this total of 234.5 is very low for a game involving the Pacers right now.

The Hornets are coming off a 127-107 win over the Suns for 234 combined points.  They are a potent offensive team that will hang a big number on the Pacers to lead the way to us cashing this OVER ticket.

The Hornets beat the Pacers 133-109 for 242 combined points in their most recent meeting on February 26th.  It should be more of the same as this game sails OVER this 234.5-point total.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* NBA Friday Non-Conference KNOCKOUT on Philadelphia 76ers -2

The Philadelphia 76ers have a lot to play for right now.  They are currently the 6th seed in the East if the season were to end today, but they have the same record as the 7th place Raptors and have the tiebreaker.  But several other teams are nipping at their heels in the Hornets, Magic and Heat.  They have no margin for error right now and will be max motivated tonight as a result.

A return to full health has come at the perfect time for the 76ers.  They just got back Maxey, Embiid, George and Oubre Jr.  They are much better than their current power ranking, and they should be more than 2-point home favorites over the Minnesota Timberwolves tonight as a result.  The 76ers are 5-2 SU & 5-2 ATS in their last five games overall with four wins by double-digits during this stretch.

This is a terrible spot for the Timberwolves, who will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a 113-108 loss in Detroit last night.  The Timberwolves aren't playing with that much urgency right now as they are just trying to target a 1st round matchup with the Lakers instead of the Nuggets.  They are going to either be the 5th or 6th seed in the West, and right now they look to just be going through the motions and trying to get healthy.  They are without Jaden McDaniels, and Anthony Edwards is questionable to make his return tonight.  I like Philadelphia either way.  Bet the 76ers Friday.

15* MLB Friday Total DOMINATOR on Padres/Red Sox OVER 8

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket today between the Padres and Red Sox.  Temps will be in the 60's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to left-center at hitter-friendly Fenway Park.

This will be the home opener for the Red Sox and they should get their bats going today.  It will be the first road game for the Padres who should bust out today after playing their first six games at pitcher-friendly Petco Park.

Sonny Gray allowed 6 earned runs, 2 homers and 11 hits in 5 innings to the Padres in his last start against them last season.  Michael King allowed 2 earned runs and 6 base runners in 2 innings in his last start against Boston, which also came last season.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Marlins/Yankees OVER 7.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 7.5 ticket between the Marlins and Yankees today.  Temps will be in the 60's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to left field at hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium.

The Marlins are scoring 5.5 runs per game in their six games thus far this season all at home at spacious Marlins park.  They will enjoy getting to hit at Yankee Stadium in this series.

New York has one of the most potent lineups in baseball.  But the Yankees have played their first six games in pitcher-friendly parks in Seattle and San Francisco to keep their numbers down so far at 4.0 runs per game.  They will bust out today.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

15* MLB Friday Early ANNIHILATOR on Cardinals/Tigers OVER 8

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between the Cardinals and Tigers today.  Temps will be in the 60's with 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to left in Detroit today.

Framber Valdez has not enjoyed facing the Cardinals allowing 11 earned runs in 10 innings in his last two starts against him.  He struggled at the end of last season and is on the back end of his career, so it was surprising to see the Tigers give him all that money.

This St. Louis staff is in rough shape with Michael McGreevy as their ace.  He will be making just the 22nd start of his career up against a Detroit lineup that is better than it gets credit for.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Dodgers/Nationals OVER 9.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9.5 ticket between the Dodgers and Nationals today.  Temps will be in the 80's with 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to center in Washington.

The Dodgers are capable of covering this total on their own with their potent lineup.  Miles Mikolas went 8-11 with a 4.84 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in 31 starts last season.  He has posted a 4.78 ERA or worse in three consecutive seasons.  Mikolas has allowed 15 earned runs and 7 homers in 13 innings in his last three starts against the Dodgers.

Emmet Sheehan allowed 4 earned runs in 3 1/3 innings to the Diamondbacks in his first start this season.  Sheehan allowed 5 earned runs and 2 homers in 4 1/3 innings in his lone career start against the Nationals.

The OVER is 5-0-1 in the last six meetings between the Dodgers and Nationals with 10 or more combined runs in all six meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Friday.

20* NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Timberwolves/Pistons UNDER 225.5

Familiarity favors defense and low-scoring games.  This will be the 2nd meeting in 6 days between the Pistons and Timberwolves.  The Pistons won 109-87 in Minnesota for just 196 combined points on March 28th.  That total was set at 220.5, and this total has been set at 225.5 which is a 5-point adjustment up that isn't warranted.

The Pistons rank 2nd in defensive rating and completing shut down the Timberwolves in that first meeting holding them to 87 points.  The Pistons just held the Thunder to 101 points at the end of regulation recently, the Pelicans to 108, the Lakers to 110, the Warriors to 101 and the Wizards to 95.

The Timberwolves rank 5th in defensive rating this season.  They have had to rely more on defense here of late playing without Anthony Edwards and Jaden McDaniels, which are two of their top three scorers.  They will be without McDaniels again and Edwards is questionable.  They are more concerned with getting healthy for the playoffs than winning games right now.

The Timberwolves are 7-1 UNDER in their last eight games overall finishing with 220 or fewer combined points in seven of those eight games.  This total of 225.5 is very high for a game involving the Pistons and Timberwolves right now.  Bet the UNDER in this game Thursday.

20* NIT TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Tulsa/New Mexico OVER 160.5

Tulsa is a dead nuts OVER team going 23-11 OVER in all games this season.  The Golden Hurricane rank 36th in adjusted offense and 139th in adjusted defense.  They rank 25th in effective FG percentage offense, 5th in 3-point percentage (38.9%) and 17th in FT percentage (78%).

New Mexico is also a dead nuts OVER team going 23-12 OVER in all games this season.  The Lobos rank 48th in adjusted tempo, 56th in adjusted offense and 50th in 3-point percentage (36.2%).  They play fast, efficient offense and this game shapes up as a shootout.

A big reason both of these teams have made it this far in the NIT is because both are fully healthy and have all guys on deck.  Both teams have their top seven scorers playing.  Tulsa just got back leading scorer David Green (15.7 PPG) after sitting out the first two NIT games, but with him back in the lineup they beat Wichita State 83-79 for 162 combined points last game.

Hinkle Fieldhouse in Indianapolis is a shooter-friendly venue.  Look for both teams to light it up tonight in this NIT showdown.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* Twins/Royals AL Central Early ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9.5 ticket.  Temps will be in the 70's with 20-25 MPH sustained winds blowing out to center at Kaufman Stadium in Kansas City this afternoon.  Not to mention, they moved the fences in 10 feet and lowered them to aid scoring this season.

We saw that play out yesterday in a 13-9 win by the Royals and 22 combined runs.  The wind was even blowing in yesterday in that game.  Now it is blowing out heavily, and runs should be plentiful in this one.

Cole Ragans was rocked for 4 earned runs, 3 homers and 10 base runners in 4 innings of a 6-0 loss to the Braves in his first start this season.  Taj Bradley went 6-8 with a 5.05 ERA and 1.31 WHIP in 27 starts last season and is one of the worst starters in baseball.  Bet the OVER in this game Thursday.

15* NBA Wednesday Night BLOWOUT on San Antonio Spurs -13.5

The Spurs are playing better than anyone in the NBA as they try and chase down the Oklahoma City Thunder for 1st place in the West.  They rank 3rd in offensive rating, 3rd in defensive rating and 2nd in net rating only behind the Thunder.  They are legit title contenders.

The Spurs have gone 25-2 SU & 18-9 ATS in their last 27 games overall.  Amazingly, 16 of those 25 wins have come by 13 points or more so they have been blowing out teams on the regular.  They are fully healthy right now, and asking them to win this game by 14 points or more to cover isn't asking too much.

The Golden State Warriors are basically content with being the 10th seed in the West at this point and having to play two road games to make the playoffs.  They aren't tanking, they just don't have the horses right now to be competitive.

The Warriors are 11-20 SU & 10-21 ATS in their last 31 games overall, which basically coincided with losing Steph Curry and Jimmy Butler.  But they are also without Porzingis, Post, Moody, Melton and Horford tonight with both Santos and Payton II questionable.  They are without five of their top six scorers and basically a G League in their current state.  They have no chance of keeping this game competitive tonight.  Bet the Spurs Wednesday.

15* NBA Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Utah Jazz +17

The Utah Jazz have played three straight playoff contenders and were competitive with two of them.  They lost by 9 to the Cavs as 16.5-point home dogs, and their lone non-competitive loss was to the Suns on the 2nd of a back-to-back.

The other was a 135-129 road loss at Denver as 19.5-point dogs.  The Jazz shot just 27.3% from 3 yet still only lost by 6 to the Nuggets on the road.  Now they want revenge from that defeat at 17-point home dogs in the rematch here just five days later.  This number has been inflated and we will take advantage.

The Nuggets are such a poor defensive team which makes it difficult for them to cover these inflated numbers.  Denver is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven games overall which includes an outright upset road loss at Memphis as 12.5-point favorites.  Denver has just one win by more than 16 points in its last seven games.

I don't see the Nuggets being all that motivated to beat the Jazz again here less than a week later.  And they have a big game on deck against the Spurs that they could be looking ahead to.  Either way, this number is inflated.  Bet the Jazz Wednesday.

20* NBA Eastern Conference TOTAL OF THE WEEK on 76ers/Wizards OVER 237.5

The Washington Wizards are a dead nuts OVER team.  They are 12-5 OVER in their last 17 games overall.  They have gone for 242 or more combined points in 13 of those 17 games, so this total of 237.5 is very short for a game involving the Wizards right now.  They rank 6th in pace and 29th in defensive rating.

The 76ers are an OVER team when they are as healthy as they are right now.  They recently got Maxey, Embiid, George and Oubre back from injury, which are four of their top five scorers.  Embiid will sit tonight, but the 76ers have a ton of firepower even without him and should hang a big number on the Wizards to pave the way to us cashing this OVER ticket with ease.

The Wizards will have two key guards in Johnson and Coulibaly available tonight.  They won't have Sarr, but that just makes them even smaller and having to play more small ball really benefits OVERS.  The OVER is 4-1 in the last five meetings with 241 or more combined points in two of three meetings this season.  Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday.

15* MLB Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Angels/Cubs UNDER 6

The forecast will aid us in cashing this UNDER 6 ticket between the Angels and Cubs today.  Temps will be in the 30's with 20 MPH winds blowing in from center at Wrigley Field this afternoon.  It was a similar forecast in a 2-0 win by the Angels yesterday, but this one is even better for pitchers than yesterday even.

Matthew Boyd went 14-8 with a 3.21 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 31 starts for the Cubs last season.  Yusei Kikuchi went 7-11 with a 3.99 ERA in 33 starts for the Angels last season.  He has never faced the Cubs so has the element of surprise.  Boyd is 2-1 with a 2.76 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in three career starts against the Angels.  Bet the UNDER in this game Wednesday.

20* AL GAME OF THE WEEK on Boston Red Sox -141

I love the spot for the Boston Red Sox today.  They have lost four in a row including the first two games of this series to the Houston Astros.  The Red Sox will be highly motivated to avoid the sweep today.

I like the chances with ace Garrett Crochet on the mound tonight.  Crochet is responsible for their lone win this season as he fired 6 shutout innings with 8 K's in a 3-0 win over the Reds in the season opener.  He is one of the best starters in baseball after going 18-5 with a 2.59 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in 32 starts for the Red Sox last season with 255 K's in 205 1/3 innings.

Mike Burrows is 3-5 with a 4.11 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in 20 starts and five relief appearances in his career.  Burrows was rocked for 5 earned runs, 2 homers and 11 base runners in 5 2/3 innings of a 6-2 loss to the Angels in his first start this season.  The Astros have won four straight since, but they get back in the loss column today given their massive disadvantage on the mound.  Bet the Red Sox Wednesday.

20* Blazers/Clippers NBC Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles -5

The Los Angeles Clippers have been one of the best teams in the NBA since the turn of the calendar year.  They have been especially good since trading for Darius Garland and Bennedict Mathurin.  And they are a dangerous team when Garland, Mathurin, Leonard and Collins are all healthy at the same time, which is the case right now.

The Clippers have won five consecutive games to get to 39-36 and in 8th place in the West.  Assuring they get the 7th or 8th seed gives them a great chance to qualify for the playoffs, and they are highly motivated to do just that.  They would almost assuredly lock up at least 8th place tonight with a win over the Blazers, who sit in 9th place and 1.5 games behind them.

While this is also a huge game for the Blazers, they haven't been playing nearly as well as the Clippers, and they aren't nearly as healthy either.  The Blazers are without two of their top three scorers in Shaedon Sharpe (21.4 PPG) and Jerami Grant (18.6 PPG) tonight.  I give them little to no chance of keeping this game competitive without these two tonight.  

The Clippers own the Blazers going 20-2 SU in the last 22 meetings.  Amazingly, all 20 of their wins have come by 5 points or more, so we are getting a discount on Los Angeles -5 tonight.  Bet the Clippers Tuesday.

20* NBA Western Conference TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Blazers/Clippers UNDER 228

This is a huge game in the West tonight.  The Clippers are in 8th place just 1.5 games ahead of the 9th place Blazers.  The team that finishes in 8th has a huge advantage to make the playoffs over the team that finishes 9th in the play-in.  It's safe to say defensive intensity will be very high in this game tonight.

The Clippers rank 28th in pace this season and will control the tempo playing at home tonight.  They have been playing elite defense allowing just 104.0 points per game in their last four games.  The Clippers will shut down the Blazers, who are without two of their top three scorers in Shaedon Sharpe (21.4 PPG) and Jerami Grant (18.6 PPG) tonight.  

Portland will struggle offensively tonight without these two and will have to rely more on defense to try and stay competitive.  They went for just 193 combined points with the Mavs and 211 with the Wizards in their last two games coming in, so this total of 228 is very high for a game involving Portland.

The UNDER is 3-0 in the last three meetings between the Clippers and Blazers with 222 or fewer combined points in all three.  Bet the UNDER in this game Tuesday.

15* Knicks/Rockets NBC ANNIHILATOR on Houston ML +105

I think the New York Knicks quietly would like to fall to the 4th seed in the East to avoid the Celtics in the 2nd round.  They are just one game ahead of 4th place Cleveland and would be just fine if the Cavaliers overtake them for the 3rd seed.

That helps explain why the Knicks seem to just be going through the motions are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall.  They are 1-2 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last three games overall with double-digit road losses to both the Hornets and Thunder, as well as a narrow home win over the Pelicans.  The Knicks have been terrible on the road all season going 20-18 SU & 14-24 ATS, so they should not be favored over the Rockets tonight.

The Rockets are 25-10 SU at home this season.  They are also 20-7 SU against Eastern Conference opponents.  They want revenge from a 2-point loss at New York in their first meeting this season in February.  Home-court advantage has been huge in this series as the home team is a perfect 6-0 SU in the last six meetings.

The Rockets have more to play for right now trying to avoid the play-in sitting in 6th place in the West.  They could climb as high as No. 3 or No. 4 in the West, too.  They are coming off a pair of blowout road wins over the Pelicans by 32 and the Grizzlies by 10.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet the Rockets on the Money Line Tuesday.

15* NBA Tuesday UPSET SHOCKER on Phoenix Suns +2

The Phoenix Suns sit in 7th place in the West.  They still have an outside shot at the 6th seed, but at the very least want to make sure they stay in 7th place to give them the best chance to come out of the play-in.  They are playing some of their best basketball of the season right now, and they are about to be as healthy as they have been in a long time.

Indeed, the Suns are 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall with their lone loss coming to the Nuggets by 2.  They blew out the Raptors by 22, the Jazz by 25 and the Grizzlies by 26 in their three wins.  They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back, but the blowout nature of their win over the Grizzlies last night allowed almost all of their key players to rest in the 4th quarter.

The Suns will only be playing their 3rd game in 7 days tonight, so they should still be very fresh.  And Dillon Brooks (20.9 PPG) makes his much-anticipated return from a hand injury after missing 25 games.  Grayson Allen (17.3 PPG) sat out last night so they would have him available for this game.  The Suns will be 'all in' tonight to get this win.

The Magic have been needing wins for weeks and they just can't get them, and I'm really starting to wonder about the chemistry of this team.  The Magic are 1-6 SU in their last seven games overall.  The one win? How bout a narrow 121-117 home win over the tanking Kings as 15.5-point favorites.

The Magic are coming off a 52-point loss at Toronto, and they had two days off prior to that game.  It's a concerning sign for the Magic, who have no business being favored in this game, especially since they remain without two of their top four scorers in Franz Wagner (21.3 PPG) and Anthony Black (15.3 PPG).  Bet the Suns Tuesday.

15* MLB Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Nationals/Phillies OVER 9

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Nationals and Phillies tonight.  Temps will be in the 70's with 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to center again tonight.  There will be gusts of up to 30 MPH as well.

The Nationals are a dead nuts OVER team with an underrated lineup and one of the worst staffs in baseball.  The Nationals are 3-0-1 OVER in all games this season with 9 or more combined runs in all four games, and 12 or more in three of them.  They are hitting .299 as a team and averaging 7.8 runs per game this season.

The Philadelphia Phillies have a terrible bullpen that has a 7.04 ERA on the season.  The Phillies have a potent lineup that hasn't shown up completely yet, but it's only a matter of time with Turner, Schwarber, Harper and company leading the way.

PJ Poulin will be making the first start of his career for the Nationals.  He has only previously worked out of the bullpen.  He only pitched 7 2/3 innings in spring training and can't be expected to go very deep in this one.

Andrew Painter will make his MLB debut for the Phillies tonight.  He went 5-6 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in 22 starts at the Triple A level last season.  Both Painter and Poulin will get rocked tonight especially given the forecast.  Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

20* NBA Non-Conference TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Cavs/Jazz OVER 242

The Utah Jazz are a dead nuts OVER team no matter who they have on the court.  They rank 2nd in pace and 29th in defensive rating.  The Jazz recently went for 270 combined points with the Raptors and 264 with the Nuggets, and they have gone for 242 or more combined points in six of their last seven contests.  

The Jazz are 9-2 OVER in their last 11 games overall, and this total of 242 is too short for a game involving the Jazz right now.  They are 27-11 OVER in all home games this season where they control the pace, and opponents wear down defensively in the altitude with that break-neck pace.

The Cavs just went for 277 combined points with the Heat and 267 with the Magic in two of their last three games coming in.  They are 6-3 OVER in their last nine games overall with 243 or more combined points in five of those.  This total is pretty short for a game involving the Cavs right now, too.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

15* NBA Monday Undervalued Underdog on Utah Jazz +17.5

This line is inflated due to the perception that the Jazz are tanking.  But they are only getting outscored by 6.2 points per game at home this season.  And they recently just took the Nuggets to the wire on the road two games ago.  They are much healthier than they've been in a long time and will give the Cavs a run for their money tonight.

The Cavs just don't have much to play for here down the stretch.  They want the 4th seed and are pretty much locked into it trailing the Knicks by 1.5 games for 3rd place and leading the Raptors by 4 games for 4th place.  They would love to finish 4th in the East to assure they play the Pistons in the 2nd round instead of Boston.

The Cavs have been going through the motions for weeks going just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall.  They have just two wins by more than 14 points in their last 18 games, so they aren't really blowing anyone out.  They are without four key players in Allen, Tyson, Strus and Wade tonight.  

Cleveland also has a big game on deck tomorrow night with the Lakers, which they may be saving up for tonight.  The Jazz upset the Cavs 123-112 in Cleveland as 13-point dogs in their first meeting this season.  Bet the Jazz Monday.

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Mets/Cardinals OVER 8.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket between the Mets and Cardinals tonight.  Temps will be in the 80's with 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to left.  The ball should be flying out of the park tonight.

It was a similar forecast yesterday in St. Louis when I backed the OVER 7.5 with the Rays and it sailed OVER the total with 18 combined runs.  In fact, the Cardinals are 3-0 OVER this season with 18, 11 and 16 combined runs in their first three home games.

The Mets have a potent lineup again this season with the additions of Bichette, Polanco, Robert and Semien to go along with Lindor and Soto.  The Cardinals have a much better lineup than they get credit for and tons of young talent that is shining already.  But both staffs leave a lot to be desired, especially with this bottom of the rotation matchup between Holmes and Leahy.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* NBA Eastern Conference GAME OF THE MONTH on Atlanta Hawks ML -120

The Atlanta Hawks have a lot to play for sitting in 6th place in the East.  They are desperate to avoid the play-in and to win the Southeast Division.  They are only 0.5 games behind the Raptors for 5th place, but only 0.5 games ahead of the 76ers who are in 7th.  They have no margin for error right now.

The Hawks are playing their best basketball of the season to put themselves in this position.  They have gone 15-2 SU & 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games overall.  One of those two losses came to the Celtics by 7 on the road on March 27th.  Now is their chance to avenge that defeat just three days later tonight.

They catch the Celtics in a very tough spot playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a road win at Charlotte last night.  The Celtics have already decided to rest two starters in Jayson Tatum and Neemias Queta tonight.  They are nearly locked into the #2 seed in the East 4 games behind the Pistons but 2.5 games ahead of the Knicks with only 8 games left.  They don't have nearly as much to play for as Atlanta.  Bet the Hawks on the Money Line Monday.

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Angels/Cubs OVER 9.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9.5 ticket between the Angels and Cubs tonight.  Temps will be in the 70's with 15-20 MPH winds blowout out to left at hitter-friendly Wrigley Field.  We are getting a discount with this total in single-digits with the wind blowing out at Wrigley.

The Angels are coming off 16 and 20 combined runs with the Astros in their last two games.  They Cubs went for 14, 12 and 9 combined runs in their first three games with the Nationals.  I like both of these lineups, and I think they'll have their way with both starting pitchers and bullpens tonight with the wind blowing out.  Bet the OVER in this game Monday.

20* Warriors/Nuggets NBC Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 238.5

The Denver Nuggets are a dead nuts OVER team.  They rank 1st in offensive rating and 21st in defensive rating this season.  They are as healthy as they have been in a long time and thriving offensively right now.

The Nuggets and their opponents have gone for at least 233 combined points in 12of their last 14 games overall.  They are coming off a 125-123 win in Phoenix for 248 combined points, a 142-135 win over the Mavs for 277 combined points and a 135-129 win over the Jazz for 264 combined points.  The Nuggets have gone for at least 240 combined points in 9 of their last 12 games.

The Golden State Warriors have quietly gone 15-6 OVER in their last 21 games overall.  They have still been scoring without Steph Curry, but their defense has taken a major hit without Jimmy Butler.  They have gone for 235 or more combined points in 7 of their last 10 games overall.  This total of 238.5 is short for a game involving the Warriors and Nuggets right now.

The OVER is 3-0 in the last three meetings with 245 and 240 points at the end of regulation in two of them.  This game will be a shootout tonight with very little defense being played.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* NBA Sunday Undervalued Underdog on New Orleans Pelicans +6

The New Orleans Pelicans are 10-8 SU & 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games overall and absolute covering machines right now.  They only have four losses by more than 5 points in their last 18 games, so they have been competitive even in defeat.  They have no incentive to tank since they don't have their draft pick.

The Houston Rockets have been one of the most overvalued teams in the NBA this season.  The Rockets are 19-19 SU & 12-26 ATS in their last 38 games overall.  That includes 1-8 ATS in their last nine games overall.  They play a slow tempo style with terrible offense that makes it very tough for them to get margin on opponents.

The Pelicans want revenge from a 107-105 loss in Houston as 5.5-point dogs on March 13th just two weeks ago.  Now they are 6-point home dogs in the rematch, and this is tremendous value tonight.  Bet the Pelicans Sunday.

20* UConn/Duke Elite 8 No-Brainer on UConn +5.5

Dan Hurley is 19-4 ATS as a head coach in the NCAA Tournament.  That includes a perfect 13-0 ATS in the Round of 32 or later.  The Huskies are 13-1 SU in non-conference games this season with their only loss coming to the best team in the country in Arizona by 4.  They are 9-0 SU in neutral site games this season.

Duke is 2-5 ATS in its last seven games overall.  The Blue Devils beat FSU by 1, were fortunate to cover in a 12-point win over Clemson, beat Virginia by 4 and then beat Siena by 6 as 28.5-point favorites in the Round of 64.  The Blue Devils trailed most that game and it wasn't decided until the final seconds.  That was a Siena team that played all 5 starters 40 minutes, too.

The Duke Blue Devils have been tied or trailing with 15 minutes remaining in each of their three NCAA Tournament games.  Their game against TCU was very misleading, and they needed a late surge to put away St. John's by 5 as 6.5-point favorites.  Caleb Foster and Patrick Ngonba are back, but neither are 100%.

Tarris Reed is a monster for UConn and gives them a great chance to hold up inside against Boozer.  Alex Karaban is a senior who is playing his best basketball.  Solo Ball finally got a few shots to fall against Michigan State, and Mullins and Demary Jr. are shooters to complement those other three.  I simply trust Dan Hurley to make the proper adjustments and keep his team in this game for 40 minutes.  I believe Duke is grossly overvalued, and it has shown dating back to the ACC Tournament.  Bet UConn Sunday.

20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Nationals/Cubs OVER 9

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Cubs and Nationals today.  Temps will be in the 50's with 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to left at hitter-friendly Wrigley Field.  We usually see Chicago totals of 11 or higher when the wind is blowing out at Wrigley, so we are getting a discount here with this total of 9 this early in the season.

One team covered this total on their own in the first two games in this series.  The Nationals won 10-4 for 14 combined runs in Game 1, while the Cubs won 10-2 in Game 2 for 12 combined runs.  I think the Cubs are capable of covering this total on their own again today.

They should tee off on Jake Irvin, who went 9-13 with a 5.70 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in 33 starts last season, including 7-8 with a 5.99 ERA and 1.48 WHIP in 18 road starts.  Irvin is 0-4 with a 9.70 ERA and 2.02 WHIP in five career starts against Chicago.  He has allowed 15 earned runs and 6 homers in 12 1/3 innings in his last three starts against them.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* MLB Sunday Afternoon BLOWOUT on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-120)

The Cubs beat the Nationals 10-2 yesterday to bounce back from a Game 1 loss.  They have one of the best lineups in the National League, and they should hang another big number on the Nationals today to win this game by 2 runs or more.  The forecast is calling for temps in the 50's and 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to left, so runs will be plentiful.

Jake Irvin went 9-13 with a 5.70 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in 33 starts last season, including 7-8 with a 5.99 ERA and 1.48 WHIP in 18 road starts.  Irvin is 0-4 with a 9.70 ERA and 2.02 WHIP in five career starts against Chicago.  He has allowed 15 earned runs and 6 homers in 12 1/3 innings in his last three starts against them.

Shota Imanaga went 9-8 with a 3.55 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in 25 starts in the regular season last year.  Imanaga is 2-0 with a 2.08 ERA and 0.85 WHIP in two career starts against Washington, allowing 3 earned runs and 11 base runners in 13 innings.  Bet the Cubs on the Run Line Sunday.

15* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Tampa Bay Rays -113

The Tampa Bay Rays will be highly motivated to avoid the sweep after losing 9-7 to the Cardinals in Game 1 and 6-5 to the Cardinals in Game 2.  I have no doubt the Rays are contenders in the AL East, while the Cardinals are one of the worst teams in baseball despite this surprising start.

Dustin May went 7-11 with a 4.96 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 23 starts and 2 relief appearances last season.  The Dodgers have given up on him, and he has wound up with the Cardinals.  I doubt he'll be any better in St. Louis.

Steven Matz went 5-2 with a 2.97 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 78 2/3 innings last season.  The Cardinals traded him to the Red Sox midseason last year, and he'll be looking for revenge on his former team today as well.  Bet the Rays Sunday.

20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Rays/Cardinals OVER 7.5

The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 7.5 ticket between the Rays and Cardinals today.  There will be 10-15 MPH winds blowing out to left and temps in the 60's today in St. Louis.  It was a similar forecast in Game 1 when these teams combined for 16 runs, and they went on to combine for 11 runs in Game 2.

Dustin May went 7-11 with a 4.96 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 23 starts and 2 relief appearances last season.  The Dodgers have given up on him, and he has wound up with the Cardinals.

Steven Matz is 0-3 with a 7.13 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in four career starts against the Cardinals, allowing 5 homers in 17 2/3 innings.  He is 0-2 with a 9.40 ERA and 1.96 WHIP in two career starts in St. Louis, allowing 8 earned runs in 7 2/3 innings.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

15* NBA Saturday PLAY OF THE DAY on Jazz/Suns OVER 231

The Utah Jazz are a dead nuts OVER team no matter who they have on the court.  They rank 2nd in pace and 29th in defensive rating.  The Jazz recently went for 270 combined points with the Raptors and 264 with the Nuggets, and they have gone for 242 or more combined points in five of their last six contests.  They are 8-2 OVER in their last 10 games overall, and this total of 231 is too short for a game involving the Jazz right now.

The Suns are having to play more small ball without Mark Williams and Dillon Brooks.  They are coming off a 125-123 loss to the Nuggets for 248 combined points, and they have gone for 231 or more combined points in five of their last nine games overall.  They've had the last three days off and will be looking to run and hang a big number on the Jazz tonight to lead the way to us cashing this OVER ticket.

The OVER is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between the Jazz and Suns.  They have gone for 232 or more combined points in seven of their last nine meetings.  Bet the OVER in this game Saturday.

20* Purdue/Arizona Elite 8 No-Brainer on Arizona -6

Arizona is the best team in the country.  The Wildcats are 35-2 this season with their only losses coming on the road at Kansas by 4 and to Texas Tech on OT back when they had JT Toppin.  The Wildcats rank 4th in adjusted offense and 3rd in adjusted defense with zero weaknesses.

Arizona is 14-0 SU & 11-5 ATS in none-conference games this season.  They have wins over FLorida, UCLA, UConn, Auburn and Alabama in the non-conference.  They have made easy work of their first three NCAA Tournament opponents beating LIU by 34, Utah state by 12 and Arkansas by 21.

Purdue has been fortunate to advance this far.  After a dominant win over lowly Queens, they were life and death with both Miami and Texas the last two rounds.  They don't have what it takes to hang with Arizona, especially on defense.

The weakness of the Boilermakers is defense where they rank 36th in adjusted defense and 234th in effective FG percentage defense.  Arizona ranks 1st in effective FG percentage defense to compare.  Purdue's guards are terrible at staying in front of opposing guards with a big lack of athleticism from Smith and Loyer.  Burries and Bradley will torch them time and time again.

Trey Kaufman-Renn will be a non-factor against these Arizona bigs, who will shut him down.  The same can be said for Oscar Cluff, who doesn't have a very polished offensive game.  Arizona's big men will dominate, too, and they are just better everywhere.  This will also feel like a home game for Arizona being played in San Jose.

Purdue lost 81-58 to Big 12 opponent Iowa State in the non-conference, and that was a home game to boot.  Bet Arizona Saturday.