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Jack Jones MLB Run Lines Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
10-11-22 Padres v. Dodgers -1.5 Top 3-5 Win 100 11 h 18 m Show

20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (+100)

The Los Angeles Dodgers have a big advantage on the mound tonight over the San Diego Padres.  Look for them to win this game by two runs or more with ease due to that advantage.  They have owned the Padres as well, going 14-5 against them this season, including 8-2 at home.

Julio Urias is 17-7 with a 2.21 ERA and 0.960 WHIP in 31 starts this season.  Urias owns the Padres, going 6-1 with a 2.31 ERA and 0.988 WHIP in 10 career starts against them.  He is 5-0 with a 1.00 ERA in his last six starts against them, allowing just 4 earned runs in 36 innings.

Mike Clevinger is 7-7 with a 4.25 ERA in 22 starts this season, including 4-4 with a 5.34 ERA in 13 road starts.  Clevinger has never beaten the Dodgers, going 0-2 with a 9.00 ERA and 1.643 WHIP in four career starts against them.  He has allowed 14 earned runs and 5 homers in 14 innings in those five starts.

The Dodgers are 29-5 in Urias' 34 starts in the second half of the season over the last two seasons and winning by 3.0 runs per game.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Tuesday.

10-05-22 Angels -1.5 v. A's 2-3 Loss -110 7 h 24 m Show

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Los Angeles Angels -1.5 (-110)

The Los Angeles Angels are 7-2 in their last nine games overall and have scored at least 4 runs in nine of their last 11 games overall.  Look for them to cap off their season with a blowout victory over the Oakland A's due to their advantage on the mound and at the plate.  The A's have scored 2 runs or fewer in five of their last seven games overall.

Ace Shohei Ohtani gets the ball for the Angels.  He is 15-8 with a 2.35 ERA and 1.031 WHIP in 27 starts this season, including 5-0 with a minuscule 0.86 ERA in his last six starts while allowing only 4 earned runs in 42 innings.  Ohtani is 4-3 with a 2.56 ERA and 0.930 WHIP nine career starts against Oakland, including 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA in his last two while pitching 14 shutout innings.

I'll gladly fade Ken Waldichuk and the A's.  Waldichuk is 1-2 with a 6.18 ERA and 1.373 WHIP in six starts this season.  Oakland is 4-17 in its last 21 home games after a game where their bullpen blew a save.  The A's are 8-24 in their last 32 home games vs. a team with a losing record.  Roll with the Angels on the Run Line Wednesday.

10-02-22 Red Sox v. Blue Jays -1.5 3-6 Win 120 5 h 47 m Show

15* MLB Run Line PLAY OF THE DAY on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (+120)

The Toronto Blue Jays are still playing for playoff positioning.  They have crushed the Red Sox 9-0 and 10-0 in the first two games of this series, respectively.  It should be more of the same today due to their advantage on the mound and the Red Sox lack of motivation, which has them just 3-8 in their last 11 games overall.

Kevin Gausman is 12-10 with a 3.30 ERA and 1.235 WHIP in 30 starts this season.  I don't expect him to fully shut down the Red Sox, but I do expect him to be good enough to help the Blue Jays win this game by two runs or more.  Gausman is 3-0 with a 2.32 ERA in his last five starts against Boston, allowing just 8 earned runs in 31 innings.  All five starts have come this season.

Michael Wacha allowed 6 earned runs and 3 homers in 3 1/3 innings in his last start against the Orioles.  Wacha is 1-1 with a 5.82 ERA in his last three starts against the Blue Jays, allowing 11 earned runs in 17 innings.

Boston is 1-10 after scoring one run or fewer in a division loss this season and losing by 3.4 runs per game in this spot.  The Red Sox are 8-20 in their last 28 road games.  Toronto is 39-18 in its last 57 games vs. a right-handed starter.  The Blue Jays are 45-17 in their last 62 home games vs. a team with a losing record.  Toronto is 20-6 in the last 26 meetings.  Roll with the Blue Jays on the Run Line Sunday.

09-30-22 Red Sox v. Blue Jays -1.5 0-9 Win 116 10 h 35 m Show

15* MLB Friday PLAY OF THE DAY on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (+116)

The Toronto Blue Jays should not be underdogs on the Run Line to the Boston Red Sox tonight.  They have a massive advantage on the mound in this one that should have them winning this game by two runs or more with ease.

Alek Manoah is 15-7 with a 2.31 ERA and 1.002 WHIP in 30 starts this season, including 1-0 with a 1.37 ERA in his las three.  Manoah has never lost to the Red Sox, going 3-0 with a 1.74 ERA and 0.968 WHIP in five career starts against them.  He has allowed just 3 earned runs in 20 innings in three starts against Boston in 2022 alone.

Nick Pivetta is 10-11 with a 4.48 ERA and 1.359 WHIP in 31 starts this season, including 1-0 with a 6.46 ERA and 1.761 WHIP in his last three.  Pivetta is also 1-3 with a 5.70 ERA and 1.528 WHIP in 10 career starts against Toronto.  He has allowed 4 earned runs or more in six of his last nine starts against the Blue Jays.

Boston is 3-22 when playing against a good team that wins 54% to 62% of their games in the second half of the season this season and losing by 2.1 runs per game in this spot.  The Red Sox are 0-8 in their last eight games vs. a starting pitcher with a 1.15 WHIP or better.  Toronto is 14-3 in its last 17 games following an off day.  The Blue Jays are 17-4 in the last 21 meetings.  Roll with the Blue Jays on the Run Line Friday.

09-27-22 Marlins v. Mets -1.5 Top 6-4 Loss -100 8 h 22 m Show

20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on New York Mets -1.5 (+110)

The New York Mets are coming up clutch down the stretch in trying to win the NL East.  They have gone 8-2 in their last 10 games overall with seven wins by two runs or more.  I'm shocked we are getting them as underdogs tonight on the Run Line against the lowly Miami Marlins.

The Mets have the advantage on the mound tonight with Carlos Carrasco over Pablo Lopez, and they certainly have the advantage at the plate scoring 4.8 runs per game compared to 3.6 for the Marlins this season.  Carrasco is 9-2 with a 3.21 ERA in 15 home starts this season.  Carrasco has never lost to the Marlins, going 5-0 with a 2.09 ERA and 1.084 WHIP in nine career starts against them.

Pablo Lopez has decent numbers this season at 9-10 with a 3.93 ERA in 30 starts.  However, Lopez has never been able to figure out the Mets.  He is 3-5 with a 6.53 ERA and 1.627 WHIP in 10 career starts against them.  Lopez has allowed a whopping 14 earned runs and 25 base runners in only 6 1/3 innings in his last two starts against the Mets this season alone.  

The Marlins are 3-25 as a dog of +150 or more this season and losing by 2.9 runs per game in this spot.  This one will be over with early folks.  Bet the Mets on the Run Line Tuesday.

09-22-22 Mariners -1.5 v. A's Top 9-5 Win 100 6 h 18 m Show

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Seattle Mariners -1.5 (-130)

The Seattle Mariners will be highly motivated to avoid the sweep after dropping the first two games of this series to the Oakland A's as -225 and -215 favorites.  They will have their revenge in blowout fashion in Game 3 today due to their advantage on the mound.

George Kirby is 7-4 with a 2.98 ERA and 1.105 WHIP in 22 starts this season with 123 K's in 117 2/3 innings.  Kirby has owned the A's, going 1-0 with a 0.69 ERA in his last two starts against them this season while allowing just one earned run in 13 innings.

The Mariners will feast on Adrian Martinez, who is 4-5 with a 5.77 ERA and 1.512 WHIP in nine starts this season, including 2-2 with a 6.38 ERA and 1.800 WHIP in four home starts.  Martinez allowed 7 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings in his lone career start against Seattle this season back on June 30th.

Seattle is 30-10 in its last 40 games as a road favorite and winning by 2.4 runs per game on average.  The A's are 21-46 in their last 67 home games.  The Mariners are 20-7 in the last 27 meetings.  Bet the Mariners on the Run Line Thursday.

09-19-22 Tigers v. Orioles -1.5 Top 11-0 Loss -100 9 h 45 m Show

20* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Baltimore Orioles -1.5 (+110)

The Baltimore Orioles are just 4 games back in the wild card with a legitimate chance to make the postseason still.  This team has no quit in them, and they finally get a break here with this series against the Detroit Tigers and I fully expect them to take advantage.  They'll win Game 1 in blowout fashion tonight.

The Tigers are 1-6 in their last seven games overall while hitting .165 and averaging just 2.1 runs per game.  Tyler Wells will shut them down, too.  Wells is 7-6 with a 3.93 ERA and 1.103 WHIP in 22 starts this season.

The Orioles will feast on Tyler Alexander, who is one of the worst starters in baseball.  Alexander is 1-10 with a 6.87 ERA and 1.527 WHIP in 13 starts this season.  Alexander has been at his worst on the road, going 0-7 with an 8.79 ERA and 1.710 WHIP in seven starts away from home.

The Tigers are 0-7 in Alexander's seven road starts this season with six losses by two runs or more.  Detroit is 1-12 in Alexander's 13 starts this season with 11 losses by two runs or more.  The Orioles are 8-1 in Wells' nine starts vs. a team with a losing record this season and winning by 3.7 runs per game in this spot.  Take the Orioles on the Run Line Monday.

09-12-22 Cubs v. Mets -1.5 5-2 Loss -135 8 h 21 m Show

15* MLB Run Line PLAY OF THE DAY on New York Mets -1.5 (-135)

The New York Mets have gone 4-1 in their last five games overall while scoring 38 runs and an average of 7.6 runs per game.  They are coming up clutch trying to clinch the NL East.  They won't be taking their foot off the gas against the lowly Chicago Cubs tonight.

The Cubs are just 3-11 in their last 14 games overall with nine losses by two runs or more.  They are not seeing the ball well at all right now, scoring just 2.4 runs per game in going 1-4 in their last five games overall.  Javier Assad is making just his 4th start of the season for the Cubs, averaging 4.8 innings in his first three starts while allowing 20 base runners and two homers in 14 1/3 innings.

Chris Bassitt has been great for the Mets this season in going 13-7 with a 3.18 ERA and 1.128 WHIP in 26 starts, including 5-5 with a 2.77 ERA and 1.066 WHIP in 14 home starts.  Bassitt's teams are 37-12 in his last 49 starts as a favorite of -110 or higher and winning by 2.1 runs per game on average.

The Mets are 11-1 when revenging a one-run loss this season and winning by 2.5 runs per game.  Bassitt's teams are 23-3 in his last 26 starts vs. a team with a losing record and winning by 3.0 runs per game.  Chicago is 4-25 vs. NL teams allowing 4.0 or fewer runs per game in the second half of the season over the last two seasons and losing by 3.4 runs per game.  Roll with the Mets on the Run Line Monday.

09-10-22 Blue Jays -1.5 v. Rangers 11-7 Win 100 11 h 5 m Show

15* MLB Run Line PLAY OF THE DAY on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-115)

The Toronto Blue Jays are 13-2 in their last 15 road games.  The Texas Rangers are 1-11 in their last 12 games overall.  Toronto is trying to wrap up a wild card spot while also still having an outside chance to win the AL East here down the stretch and are playing with a sense of urgency.  They have scored 4 runs or more in 11 consecutive games.

Toronto has a big advantage on the mound today with Kevin Gausman, who is 11-9 with a 3.12 ERA and 1.238 WHIP in 26 starts this season.  Gausman has been at his best on the road, going 7-3 with a 2.07 ERA and 1.040 WHIP in 13 starts away from home.

Gausman is also 3-2 with a 2.82 ERA in seven career starts against Texas.  He'll be opposed by Kohei Arihara, who is 1-2 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.667 WHIP in three starts this season.  He has never had much success in the big leagues and is no more than a fill in starter here for the Rangers down the stretch.

Gausman's teams are 13-1 in his last 14 road starts in the second half of the season and winning by 4.8 runs per game on average.  Take the Blue Jays on the Run Line Saturday.

09-10-22 White Sox -1.5 v. A's 10-2 Win 100 8 h 8 m Show

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (-110)

The Chicago White Sox have saved their best baseball of the season for last as they try and chase down the Cleveland Guardians in the AL Central.  The White Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 games overall while scoring a total of 28 runs in their last three games.  They just came back from 3-0 down in the 9th to beat the A's 5-3 yesterday and have a ton of momentum now.

The Oakland A's are 1-8 in their last nine games overall with seven losses by two runs or more.  It won't get any better for them today with Adrian Martinez going.  He is 4-3 with a 4.37 ERA in seven starts this season.

Lance Lynn has been dominant for the past month.  He is 3-0 with a 1.42 ERA in his last five starts while allowing just 5 earned runs in 31 2/3 innings with a whopping 40 K's.  Lynn is also 4-2 with a 3.99 ERA and 1.248 WHIP in nine career starts against the A's.

The White Sox are 48-16 in their last 64 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  Chicago is 4-0 in the last four meetings.  Bet the White Sox Saturday.

09-07-22 Nationals v. Cardinals -1.5 Top 5-6 Loss -140 8 h 4 m Show

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-140)

Jordan Montgomery to the Cardinals has been the biggest impact trade of the season to this point.  Montgomery is 5-0 with a 1.47 ERA in his last six starts for the Cardinals, allowing just 6 earned runs in 36 2/3 innings.

Montgomery has a big advantage on the mound over Cory Abbott of the Washington Nationals.  Abbott is 0-2 with a 5.78 ERA and 1.446 WHIP in four starts this season while allowing 12 earned runs and 5 homers in 18 2/3 innings.

The Nationals are 19-40 in their last 59 games overall.  Washington is 5-22 in its last 27 road games vs. a left-handed starter.  The Cardinals are 36-16 in their last 52 games overall.  St. Louis is 38-15 in its last 53 home games.  The Cardinals are 10-1 in their last 11 during Game 3 of a series.  Bet the Cardinals on the Run Line Wednesday.

09-06-22 Brewers -1.5 v. Rockies Top 7-10 Loss -115 10 h 17 m Show

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (-115)

The Milwaukee Brewers are fighting to try and make a wild card spot.  They face a Colorado Rockies team that is 1-5 in their last six games overall.  The Rockies have been held to 20 runs total in their last nine games for an average of just 2.2 runs per game.

The Brewers have a big advantage on the mound tonight over the Rockies.  Brandon Woodruff is 9-4 with a 3.54 ERA and 1.163 WHIP in 21 starts this season.  He allowed just one run in 6 innings of a 9-4 victory over the Rockies in his lone start against them this season on July 23rd.

Chad Kuhl is 6-8 with a 5.35 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in 22 starts this season, including 0-2 with a 9.20 ERA and 1.568 WHIP in his last three.  Kuhl allowed 5 earned runs in 2 1/3 innings on July 24th in his lone start against the Brewers this season.

The Brewers are 9-1 in their last 10 meetings with the Rockies.  Bet the Brewers on the Run Line Tuesday.

09-03-22 Padres v. Dodgers -1.5 Top 1-12 Win 100 9 h 14 m Show

20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-110)

The Los Angeles Dodgers will be highly motivated for a victory tonight after losing three straight coming in.  They have a big advantage on the mound tonight over the San Diego Padres that should have them winning this game by two runs or more.

Julio Urias is 14-7 with a 2.32 ERA and 0.952 WHIP in 25 starts this season, including 2-1 with a 1.06 ERA and 0.824 WHIP in his last three.  He has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in eight consecutive starts, and one earned run or fewer in 10 of his last 13 starts.  Urias owns the Padres, going 4-1 with a 2.78 ERA and 0.953 WHIP in seven career starts against them.  That includes 3-0 with a 0.53 ERA in his last three starts against San Diego while allowing just one earned run in 17 innings.

Sean Manaea is the biggest weak link in San Diego's rotation.  He is 7-7 with a 4.90 ERA and 1.328 WHIP in 24 starts this season, including 2-4 with a 5.63 ERA and 1.322 WHIP in 13 road starts.  Manaea has never beaten the Dodgers, going 0-4 with a 9.00 ERA and 1.955 WHIP in five career starts against them.  He has already allowed 14 earned runs in 8 1/3 innings in two starts against the Dodgers this season.

The Dodgers are 24-4 in Urias' last 28 starts in the second half of the season and winning by 3.0 runs per game in this spot.  Los Angeles is 19-2 at home against division opponents this season.  Roll with the Dodgers on the Run Line Saturday.

09-02-22 Cubs v. Cardinals -1.5 Top 0-8 Win 100 10 h 39 m Show

20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-109)

The St. Louis Cardinals are one of the hottest teams in baseball in going 23-7 in their last 30 games overall.  They are trying to lock up the NL Central with a lot to play for here in the final month of the season.  They have a big advantage on the mound over the Cubs tonight that should lead to a blowout victory.

The Yankees are really regretting trading away Jordan Montgomery and trading for Frankie Montas right now.  That was a terrible swap for them.  Montgomery is 4-0 with a 1.76 ERA in his last five starts for the Cardinals while allowing just 6 earned runs in 30 2/3 innings.

Montgomery has owned the Cubs, going 3-0 with a 0.79 ERA and 0.573 WHIP in three career starts against them, two of which came this season as has he pitched 16 shutout innings against them.  He'll be opposed by Adrian Sampson, who is 1-4 with a 4.35 ERA and 1.417 WHIP in 12 starts this season.  Sampson is 0-1 with a 4.91 ERA in four career starts against St. Louis as well.

St. Louis is 12-1 in home games vs. a starting pitcher that lasts less than 5 innings per start this season and winning by 2.9 runs per game in this spot.  The Cubs are 3-12 in their last 15 games following an off day.  Take the Cardinals on the Run Line Friday.

09-02-22 Blue Jays -1.5 v. Pirates Top 4-0 Win 100 8 h 0 m Show

20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-135)

The Toronto Blue Jays are highly motivated to chase down a wild card spot in the American League as they enter the month of September and the final month of the season.  This is a great chance for them to make up some ground with the Pirates, Orioles and Rangers their next three series.

They take on a struggling Pirates team that is 4-15 in their last 19 games overall with nothing to play for.  Ace Alek Manoah goes for the Blue Jays tonight.  He is 12-7 with a 2.60 ERA and 1.028 WHIP in 25 starts this season.

He'll be opposed by Johan Oviedo, who will be making just his 2nd start of the season for the Pirates.  He allowed 3 earned runs and 11 base runners in 5 innings of a 6-1 loss to the Cubs in his lone start this season.  Oviedo is now 2-9 with a 4.65 ERA and 1.469 WHIP in 112 1/3 innings in the big leagues in his career.

Pittsburgh is 2-17 in Friday games this season and losing by 3.5 runs per game.  Oviedo's teams are 4-15 in his 19 career starts and losing by 1.9 runs per game.  The Blue Jays are 10-1 in their last 11 games following an off day.  The Pirates are 12-40 in their last 52 games vs. a starting pitcher with less than a 1.15 WHIP.  Bet the Blue Jays on the Run Line Friday.

08-29-22 Cubs v. Blue Jays -1.5 4-5 Loss -115 9 h 29 m Show

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-115)

The Toronto Blue Jays come into this series with the Chicago Cubs highly motivated for a victory.  They were just swept by the Los Angeles Angels over the weekend after going 7-1 in their previous eight games.  The Blue Jays need wins here down the stretch to make the playoffs.

Toronto certainly has the advantage on the mound that should have them winning by two runs or more tonight.  Jose Berrios is 6-1 with a 4.10 ERA and 1.221 WHIP in 12 home starts this season.  The Blue Jays have gone an amazing 11-1 in his 12 home starts.

Javier Assad will be making just his second start of the season for the Cubs.  Assad was lucky to pitch 4 shutout innings against the Cardinals in Game 1 of a double-header in his season debut.  He allowed 8 base runners in those 4 innings.

The Cubs are 8-22 in their last 30 interleague games.  The Blue Jays are 9-2 in their last 11 interleague home games.  Toronto is 7-1 in its last eight games vs. a right-handed starter.  The Blue Jays are 41-16 in their last 57 home games vs. a team with a losing record.  Take the Blue Jays on the Run Line Monday.

08-29-22 Dodgers -1.5 v. Marlins Top 3-2 Loss -125 9 h 11 m Show

20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-125)

The Los Angeles Dodgers have scored 7 runs or more in six of their last eight games overall.  When they win games, they almost always win by two runs or more, so the way to play them is on the Run Line to save some juice.  The Miami Marlins have scored 3 runs or fewer in 24 of their last 27 games overall.

The Dodgers have a big advantage on the mound tonight as well.  Tony Gonsolin is trying to win the NL Cy Young.  He is 16-1 with a 2.10 ERA and 0.865 WHIP in 23 starts this season.  He has shown no signs of slowing down, going 3-0 with a 0.96 ERA and 0.696 WHIP in his last three starts.  Gonsolin fired 5 1/3 shutout innings in his lone career start against the Marlins.

Pablo Lopez is 8-8 with a 3.73 ERA in 25 starts this season, including 3-4 with a 4.50 ERA in 12 home starts.  The Dodgers are 41-10 in the second half of the season this season and outscoring opponents by 3.1 runs per game.  The Dodgers are 19-3 in Gonsolin's last 22 starts vs. teams whose hitters average 7 or more strikeouts per game and winning by 3.1 runs per game.  Los Angeles is 6-1 in the last seven meetings.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Monday.

08-28-22 Angels v. Blue Jays -1.5 8-3 Loss -115 3 h 56 m Show

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-115)

The Toronto Blue Jays had won seven of their previous eight games before getting upset by the Angels in each of the first two games in this series.  It's safe to say they will highly motivated to avoid the sweep in Game 3, and I like their chances of winning by multiple runs today due to their advantage on the mound.

Ross Stripling is 5-3 with a 2.68 ERA and 0.976 WHIP in 17 starts this season, including 1-2 with a 2.45 ERA and 0.932 WHIP in nine home starts.  He'll be opposed by Tucker Davidson, who is 2-4 with a 5.20 ERA and 1.662 WHIP in six starts this season with 20 walks and only 14 K's in 27 2/3 innings.

Toronto is 27-11 in its last 38 games after scoring one run or less and winning by 2.1 runs per game in this spot.  Los Angeles is 4-17 after allowing 3 runs or less in two consecutive games this season and losing by 2.8 runs per game in this spot.  The Angels are 27-56 in their last 83 games overall.  The Blue Jays are 8-1 in their last nine games after losing the first two games of a series.  Toronto is 41-15 in its last 56 home games vs. a team with a losing record.  Take the Blue Jays on the Run Line Sunday.

08-26-22 Yankees -1.5 v. A's 3-2 Loss -124 13 h 14 m Show

15* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on New York Yankees -1.5 (-124)

The New York Yankees have finally busted out of their slump.  They are 4-0 in their last four games overall with all four wins by two runs or more.  I think they make it five in a row today against the lowly Oakland A's.

Ace Gerrit Cole gets the ball for the Yankees tonight.  He is 9-6 with a 3.41 ERA and 1.024 WHIP in 25 starts this season.  Cole owns the A's, going 5-1 with a 2.70 ERA and 1.006 WHIP in nine career starts against them.  His teams have won seven of his nine starts against them with all seven wins by two runs or more.

The A's are 4-17 in home games after scoring 4 runs or less in three straight games this season and losing by 2.8 runs per game in this spot.  Oakland is 13-32 as a home underdog this season and losing by 2.5 runs per game.  The Yankees are 4-0 against the A's this season.  Take the Yankees on the Run Line Friday.

08-24-22 Cardinals -1.5 v. Cubs Top 1-7 Loss -125 9 h 26 m Show

20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-125)

The St. Louis Cardinals are 9-1 in their last 10 games overall while scoring 5 runs or more in eight of the nine victories.  They should put it on the Chicago Cubs tonight due to their advantage on the mound in this one.

Luke Farrell will be making his first start of the season for the Cubs.  Farrell has been atrocious at Triple A Iowa this year, going 3-4 with a 5.03 ERA and 1.458 WHIP in 59 innings pitched.  Farrell is 5-5 with a 4.93 ERA and 1.460 WHIP in 87 2/3 innings in his career in the big leagues as well.

Miles Mikolas is 10-9 with a 3.32 ERA and 1.023 WHIP in 25 starts this season for the Cardinals.  Mikolas is 4-2 with a 2.26 ERA and 1.200 WHIP in 12 career starts against the Cubs.  Chicago is scoring just 1.8 runs per game in its last four games overall and may be without its best hitter in Wilson Contreras tonight.

Chicago is 1-9 in home games after allowing 8 runs or more this season and losing by 2.3 runs per game in this spot.  The Cubs are 4-28 in their last 32 games as home underdogs of +175 or higher and losing by 3.5 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Cardinals on the Run Line Wednesday.

08-24-22 Nationals v. Mariners -1.5 3-1 Loss -135 5 h 19 m Show

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Seattle Mariners -1.5 (-135)

The Seattle Mariners are as healthy as they have been all season and it is showing at the plate.  They have scored at least 3 runs in 11 consecutive games, including 6 runs or more in five of those.  Look for them to stay hot at the plate against Anibal Sanchez and the lowly Washington Nationals tonight.

The Mariners have a big advantage on the mound today behind George Kirby.  The right-hander is 5-3 with a 3.47 ERA and 1.191 WHIP in 17 starts this season.  He'll be up against a soft Washington lineup that has scored 3 runs or fewer in five of their last six games overall, including 2 runs or fewer in four of those.

Anibal Sanchez is still in search of his first victory this season.  He is 0-4 with a 6.30 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in six starts this season, allowing a whopping 21 earned runs and 9 homers in 30 innings.  Look for the Mariners to tee off on him this afternoon.

The Nationals are 18-45 in their last 63 games overall.  Seattle is 38-17 in its last 55 games overall.  The Mariners are 8-0 in their last eight Wednesday games.  The Nationals are 1-11 in their last 12 Wednesday games.  Seattle is 6-0 in its last six interleague games.  Roll with the Mariners on the Run Line Wednesday.

08-23-22 Nationals v. Mariners -1.5 2-4 Win 100 11 h 45 m Show

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Seattle Mariners -1.5 (-120)

The Seattle Mariners are as healthy as they have been all season and it is showing at the plate.  They have scored at least 3 runs in 10 consecutive games, including 6 runs or more in five of those.  Look for them to stay hot at the plate against Erick Fedde and the lowly Washington Nationals tonight.

Fedde is 5-7 with a 4.95 ERA and 1.543 WHIP in 19 starts this season.  He has been at his worst on the road, going 3-3 with a 5.53 ERA and 1.677 WHIP in nine starts away from home.  The Mariners are sure to hang a big number on him tonight.

2021 AL Cy Young winner Robbie Ray has been solid for the Mariners this season at 9-8 with a 3.87 ERA and 1.197 WHIP in 24 starts with 166 K's in 142 innings.  Ray has been at his best at home, going 4-3 with a 2.80 ERA and 0.983 WHIP in 13 home starts.  He'll be up against a woeful Nationals lineup that is scoring 3.7 runs per game overall and 3.6 runs per game vs. left-handed starters.  They have been even worse since trading away Soto and Bell, their two best hitters.

Seattle is 9-2 following an off day this season and winning by 4.1 runs per game in this spot.  The Nationals are 18-44 in their last 62 games overall.  Washington is 0-5 in its last five games following an off day.  The Nationals are 0-7 in their last seven interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.  Seattle is 37-17 in its last 54 games overall.  Roll with the Mariners on the Run Line Tuesday.

08-16-22 Orioles v. Blue Jays -1.5 Top 4-2 Loss -100 9 h 40 m Show

20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (+100)

The Toronto Blue Jays will be highly motivated for a victory today after losing five of their last six games overall, including Game 1 of this series to the Baltimore Orioles.  But now they send ace Alek Manoah to the mound to stop the bleeding, and he's one of my favorite starters to back in all of baseball.

Manoah is 12-5 with a 2.56 ERA and 1.022 WHIP in 22 starts this season.  He'll be opposed by Dean Kremer, who is 1-2 with a 5.51 ERA and 1.347 WHIP in his last three starts.  Kremer has been awful against the Blue Jays, going 0-1 with an 11.33 ERA and 2.033 WHIP in three career starts against them while allowing 13 earned runs and 6 homers in 10 1/3 innings.

Manoah is 2-0 with a 2.96 ERA and 0.878 WHIP in five career starts against Baltimore.  The Blue Jays are 15-3 when revenging a loss as a home favorite this season and combing back to win by 2.7 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Blue Jays on the Run Line Tuesday.

08-15-22 Dodgers -1.5 v. Brewers Top 4-0 Win 105 11 h 44 m Show

20* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (+105)

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 34-6 in their last 40 games overall with a whopping 30 wins by two runs or more.  We should not be getting them as underdogs on the Run Line tonight, but we'll gladly take advantage and back them due to their massive advantage on the mound.

Julio Urias is 12-6 with a 2.49 ERA and 0.970 WHIP in 22 starts this season, including 7-4 with a 2.27 ERA and 0.995 WHIP In 12 road starts.  Urias is 5-0 with a 1.09 ERA in his last five starts while allowing just 4 earned runs in 33 innings.  He always seems to get better in the second half of the season.

Urias owns the Brewers, going 4-1 with a 2.29 ERA and 0.877 WHIP in six career starts against them.  He'll be opposed by Freddy Peralta, who just can't stay healthy this season.  Peralta has a 4.37 ERA in 10 starts this season and a 6.26 ERA in five home starts.  He'll be making just his 3rd start back from the IL after missing nearly three months of action.

The Dodgers are 22-3 in Urias' 25 starts in the second half of the season over the last two season and winning by 3.1 runs per game in this spot.  Los Angeles is 4-0 in the last four meetings.  Take the Dodgers on the Run Line Monday. 

08-11-22 White Sox -1.5 v. Royals 3-5 Loss -100 5 h 1 m Show

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (+100)

The Chicago White Sox will be highly motivated for a victory today to even this series after losing two of the first three games to the Kansas City Royals.  I like their chances of winning in blowout fashion this afternoon due to their big advantage on the mound.

Dylan Cease is in the midst of a historic run for the White Sox right now.  He has allowed one earned run or fewer in 13 consecutive starts to improve to 12-4 with a 1.98 ERA in 22 starts this season.  He is 7-1 with a 1.32 ERA in 10 road starts and the White Sox have gone 9-1 in those starts.

Cease is 4-2 with a 2.68 ERA in 11 career starts against the Royals.  He'll be opposed by Zack Greinke, who is 3-7 with a 4.58 ERA In 18 starts this season.  Greinke is 9-10 with a 4.11 ERA in 27 career starts against the White Sox.

Chicago is 12-2 in Cease's 14 day starts this season and winning by 2.3 runs per game in this spot.  The White Sox are 21-7 in Cease's last 28 starts following a team loss and winning by 2.6 runs per game in this spot.  Chicago is 25-6 in Cease's last 31 starts vs. a team with a losing record and winning by 2.7 runs per game.  Take the White Sox on the Run Line Thursday.

08-09-22 Reds v. Mets -1.5 2-6 Win 100 9 h 13 m Show

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on New York Mets -1.5 (-135)

The New York Mets are 13-2 in their last 15 games overall with 12 wins by two runs or more. Add another today against the lowly Cincinnati Reds, who are 44-64 on the season and have a ton of injuries on offense right now.

The Mets have a big advantage on the mound today with Carlos Carrasco. He has really turned it on of late in going 4-0 with a 1.50 ERA in his last six starts while allowing just 6 earned runs in 36 innings. Carrasco has never lost to the Reds, going 4-0 with a 2.97 ERA and 1.068 WHIP in seven career starts against them.

He'll be opposed by Mike Minor, who has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season. Minor is 1-8 with a 6.20 ERA and 1.571 WHIP in 11 starts this season whiel allowing 16 homers in 56 2/3 innings. He has posted a 4.56 ERA in 13 career starts against New York.

Minor's teams are 2-15 in his last 17 starts in the second half of the season and losing by 2.8 runs per game in this spot. Carrasco's teams are 11-0 in his last 11 starts vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 or fewer walks per game and winning by 2.9 runs per game in this spot. Take the Mets on the Run Line Tuesday.

08-06-22 Nationals v. Phillies -1.5 Top 5-11 Win 100 10 h 19 m Show

20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (-125)

The Philadelphia Phillies are making a run at the postseason. They are 8-1 in their last nine games overall and won't let the Washington Nationals stand in their way. The Nationals are arguably the worst team in baseball now after trading away Soto and Bell.

The Phillies should feast on Pat Corbin, who is 4-15 with a 6.57 ERA and 1.769 WHIP in 22 starts this season, including 1-8 with an 8.43 ERA and 2.000 WHIP in 10 road starts. Corbin has allowed 19 runs and 7 homers in 15 1/3 innings in his last three starts against the Phillies.

Ranger Suarez is one of the more underrated starters in baseball. He is 7-5 with a 3.60 ERA in 18 stats this season, including 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA in his last three while pitching 16 shutout innings. Suarez is 1-0 with a 3.11 ERA in two career starts against Washington as well.

The Nationals are 0-11 in Corbin's 11 starts following a team loss this season and losing by 4.0 runs per game. Washington is 0-10 in Corbin's 10 starts vs. division opponents this season and losing by 4.8 runs per game. Bet the Phillies on the Run Line Saturday.

08-05-22 White Sox -1.5 v. Rangers Top 2-1 Loss -100 12 h 44 m Show

20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (+100)

The Chicago White Sox have a great chance to win the AL Central despite their slow start to the season. They are getting healthier and playing much better of late in going 7-4 in their last 11 games overall.

The White Sox should make easy work of the Texas Rangers tonight due to their big advantage on the mound. Nobody has been better than Dylan Cease over the past couple months. He has allowed one earned run or fewer in 12 consecutive starts, including zero earned runs eight times.

Cease has allowed 4 earned runs total in his last 12 starts to improve to 11-4 with a 2.01 ERA in 21 starts, including 6-1 with a 1.30 ERA in nine road starts. He is 2-0 with a 3.14 ERA in three career starts against Texas, which have all resulted in wins by two runs or more.

He'll be opposed by Glenn Otto, who is 4-7 with a 5.50 ERA and 1.459 WHIP in 15 starts this season, including 2-3 with a 7.39 ERA and 1.706 WHIP in seven home starts. The Rangers are 1-11 in Otto's last 12 starts in the 2nd half of the season and losing by 3.0 runs per game in this spot. Bet the White Sox on the Run Line Friday.

08-02-22 Brewers -1.5 v. Pirates Top 3-5 Loss -140 8 h 47 m Show

20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (-140)

The Milwaukee Brewers have scored at least 6 runs in six of their last nine games overall while going 7-2 during this stretch.  The face a Pittsburgh Pirates team that is 0-7 in their last seven games overall while scoring 2 runs or fewer in five of their last six.

The Brewers have a big advantage on the mound tonight that will have them winning by two runs or more.  Corbin Burnes is 8-4 with a 2.31 ERA and 0.922 WHIP in 20 starts this season, including 4-1 with a 1.57 ERA and 0.872 WHIP in nine road starts.  Burnes has never lost to the Pirates, going 4-0 with a 2.27 ERA and 1.010 WHIP in six career starts against them.

He'll be opposed by Bryse Wilson, who is 1-5 with a 7.59 ERA and 1.758 WHIP in 10 starts this season, including 1-2 with a 10.43 ERA and 2.249 WHIP in four home starts.  Wilson is 1-2 with a 5.21 ERA and 1.526 WHIP in four career starts against the Brewers as well.

The Brewers are 18-3 in Burnes' 21 stats in the second half of the season over the last two seasons and winning by 3.1 runs per game in this spot.  Milwaukee is 5-0 in its last five games following an off day.  The Pirates are 2-12 in their last 14 games overall.  The Brewers are 42-17 in the last 59 meetings.  Bet the Brewers on the Run Line Tuesday.

08-01-22 Mets -1.5 v. Nationals Top 7-3 Win 100 8 h 47 m Show

20* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on New York Mets -1.5 (-135)

The New York Mets are 6-0 in their last six games overall with five wins by two runs or more.  They will make it seven in a row tonight in blowout fashion in Game 1 of this series against the lowly Washington Nationals due to their big advantage on the mound.

Max Scherzer is 6-2 with a 2.09 ERA and 0.902 WHIP in 13 starts this season.  He'll be opposed by one of the worst starters in baseball in Pat Corbin, who is 4-14 with a 6.49 ERA and 1.766 WHIP In 21 starts this season.  

Corbin has really struggled of late in going 0-3 with a 13.50 ERA and 2.624 WHIP in his last three starts while allowing 16 earned runs in 10 2/3 innings.  Corbin was rocked for 7 earned runs and 14 base runners in 4 1/3 innings of a 10-0 loss to the Mets in his last start against them on May 31st.

The Nationals are 0-10 in Corbin's 10 starts following a loss this season and losing by 4.0 runs per game in this spot.  Washington is 2-15 in Corbin's last 17 starts as a home underdog and losing by 3.4 runs per game.  Scherzer's teams are 20-2 in his 22 career road starts vs. a NL team with a .315 OBP or worse in the second half of the season and winning by 2.8 runs per game.  Bet the Mets on the Run Line Monday.

07-31-22 A's v. White Sox -1.5 Top 1-4 Win 100 5 h 48 m Show

20* AL Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (-130)

The Chicago White Sox have a massive advantage on the mound today over the Oakland A's that should have them winning this game by two runs or more with ease.  That's why I'll save a ton of juice by backing them on the Run Line instead of laying the -280 on the money line.

Dylane Cease is a legit Cy Young contender this season for the White Sox.  He is 10-4 with a 2.03 ERA and 1.193 WHIP in 20 starts with a whopping 154 K's in 110 2/3 innings.  He has been untouchable in his last three starts, going 3-0 with a 0.00 ERA while firing 18 2/3 shutout innings with the White Sox winning by 11, 7 and 3 runs in those three starts.

Adam Oller is getting a chance for the lowly A's, who have one of the worst records in baseball.  It has not gone well for Oller at all as he is 1-3 with a 9.75 ERA and 1.876 WHIP in six starts while allowing 26 earned runs and 9 homers in 24 innings.  The White Sox will certainly hang a big number on him today and get him out of there early.

The White Sox are 13-1 in Cease's 14 career starts vs. AL teams scoring 3.9 or fewer runs per game on the season and winning by 3.4 runs per game in this spot.  The A's are 2-16 vs. an AL starting pitcher with a 3.40 ERA or better this season and losing by 2.1 runs per game.  Bet the White Sox on the Run Line Sunday.

07-29-22 A's v. White Sox -1.5 Top 7-3 Loss -100 9 h 56 m Show

20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (+106)

The Chicago White Sox have too much talent to be .500 on the season, which is where they currently sit.  But they are still right in the thick of the AL Central race and looking to take advantage of this series against the lowly Oakland A's.

I'll gladly back the White Sox in Game 1 on the Run Line to win in a blowout.  Lance Lynn is coming off one of his best starts of the season, pitching 6 shutout innings in a 5-4 victory over the Cleveland Guardians.  Lynn is 4-1 with a 3.68 ERA in eight career starts against the A's as well.

James Kaprielian is 1-5 with a 4.74 ERA and 1.325 WHIP in 15 starts this season, including 1-2 with a 4.87 ERA in eight road starts.  Kaprielian lasted just four innings in a 3-6 loss to the White Sox in his lone career start against them.

Lynn's teams are 22-5 in his 27 career July home starts and winning by 1.6 runs per game on average.  Lynn's teams are a perfect 16-0 in his 16 career home starts vs. a terrible team that wins less than 38% of their games and winning by 2.5 runs per game on average.  Take the White Sox on the Run Line Friday.

07-29-22 Cardinals -1.5 v. Nationals Top 6-2 Win 100 8 h 51 m Show

20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-105)

The St. Louis Cardinals get their two best hitters back in the lineup in Nolan Arenado and Paul Goldschmidt tonight after both sat out the Toronto series due to not having the COVID vaccine.  Look for the Cardinals to roll in Game 1 of this series over the lowly Washington Nationals (34-66).

The Cardinals have a big advantage on the mound tonight with Miles Mikolas, who has posted a 2.87 ERA and 0.898 WHIP in 20 starts this season.  Mikolas has allowed 5 earned runs in 18 innings in his last three starts against the Nationals for a 2.50 ERA.  He'll be opposed by Anibal Sanchez, who will be making his 1st start of the season for the Nationals and will be on a pitch count.

Washington is 21-56 in its last 77 home games.  The Nationals are 16-47 in their last 63 games vs. a team with a winning record.  Washington is 13-42 in its last 55 home games vs. a team with a winning record.  Bet the Cardinals on the Run Line Friday.

07-27-22 Cardinals v. Blue Jays -1.5 Top 6-1 Loss -120 8 h 29 m Show

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-120)

The Toronto Blue Jays have been a streaky team this season.  They are streaking right now in going 9-1 in their last 10 games overall while scoring 4 runs or more in 10 of their last 11 games and averaging 7.8 runs per game during this stretch.

The Blue Jays have a big advantage on the mound tonight over the St. Louis Cardinals with Kevin Gausman over Adam Wainwright.  That's especially the case when you consider the Cardinals will be without their two best hitters in Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado due to the COVID protocols in Toronto.  So the advantage Toronto will have at the plate tonight is massive.

Gausman is 7-7 with a 3.00 ERA in 18 starts this season for the Blue Jays.  He has allowed just 2 earned runs in 13 innings in his last two starts against the Cardinals.  Wainwright allowed 7 earned runs in 5 innings in his last start to Cincinnati.  He is 1-1 with a 6.97 ERA in two career starts against Toronto.

Toronto is 10-1 in its last 11 games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs per game and winning by 3.6 runs per game on average in this spot.  The Cardinals are 1-7 in their last eight interleague games.  St. Louis is 2-7 in its last nine road games.  Take the Blue Jays on the Run Line Wednesday.

07-26-22 Cardinals v. Blue Jays -1.5 Top 3-10 Win 100 10 h 28 m Show

20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-105)

The Toronto Blue Jays have been a streaky team this season.  They are streaking right now in going 8-1 in their last nine games overall while scoring 4 runs or more in nine of their last 10 games and averaging 7.6 runs per game during this stretch.

The Toronto Blue Jays have a big advantage on the mound tonight over the St. Louis Cardinals with Jose Berrios over Andre Pallante.  That's especially the case when you consider the Cardinals will be without their two best hitters in Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado due to the COVID protocols in Toronto.

Berrios is 5-0 with a 3.33 ERA and 1.169 WHIP in nine home starts this season.  Pallante is 2-3 with a 4.46 ERA and 1.512 WHIP in eight starts this season, including 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.724 WHIP in three road starts.

The Blue Jays are 9-0 in Berrios' nine home starts this season with six wins by two runs or more.  Toronto is 9-1 in its last 10 games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs per game and winning by 3.3 runs per game in this spot.  The Cardinals are 0-7 in their last seven games following an off day.  The Blue Jays are 7-0 in their last seven games following an off day.  Bet the Blue Jays on the Run Line Tuesday.

07-15-22 Royals v. Blue Jays -1.5 Top 1-8 Win 100 8 h 12 m Show

20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-155)

The Kansas City Royals are missing a ton of players due to being unvaccinated for this series against the Toronto Blue Jays.  They managed to pull the upset as +315 underdogs in Game 1, but they will get blown out in Game 2 against a motivated Blue Jays team with their ace on the mound.

Alex Manoah is one of my favorite starters to back in all of baseball.  He has proven that his rookie season was no fluke last year by going 9-4 with a 2.34 ERA and 0.984 WHIP in 17 starts this season, including 5-1 with a 2.21 ERA and 0.830 WHIP in eight home starts.

Manoah has owned the Royals, going 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA in two career starts against them while pitching 13 shutout innings.  He'll be opposed by Zack Greinke, who is 0-4 with a 7.46 ERA and 1.571 WHIP in seven road starts this season.  He has allowed 9 homers and 29 earned runs in 35 innings on the road this year.

Toronto is 44-18 in its last 62 home meetings with Kansas City.  Instead of laying -350 or more on the money line, we'll take the 200 cents of discount and back them to win by two runs or more.  Bet the Blue Jays on the Run Line Friday.

07-09-22 Nationals v. Braves -1.5 Top 3-4 Loss -120 5 h 48 m Show

20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-120)

The Atlanta Braves are the hottest team in baseball.  They are 28-8 in their last 36 games overall with 23 wins by two runs or more.  The Washington Nationals or 1-8 in their last nine games overall with six losses by two runs or more.  Atlanta won 12-2 in Game 1 of this series, and it should be more of the same today due to their advantage on the mound.

Kyle Wright has proven to be the ace of this Atlanta staff.  Wright is 9-4 with a 2.91 ERA and 1.135 WHIP in 16 starts this season.  He'll be opposed by Pat Corbin, who is 4-10 with a 5.68 ERA and 1.669 WHIP in 17 starts, including 1-5 with a 7.39 ERA and 1.896 WHIP in seven road starts.

Corbin just cannot beat the Braves.  He is 0-7 with a 7.25 ERA in his last seven starts against them while allowing 29 earned runs in 36 innings.  He has allowed 17 earned runs in 13 1/3 innings in his last three starts against them as well.  

The Braves are scoring 5.7 runs per game against left-handed starters this season.  Atlanta is 39-19 in its last 58 games vs. a left-handed starter, including 9-2 in its last 11 home games vs. a southpaw.  The Braves are 36-16 in the last 52 meetings.  Bet the Braves on the Run Line Saturday.

07-07-22 Cubs v. Dodgers -1.5 Top 3-5 Win 100 10 h 23 m Show

20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-120)

Instead of laying -270 or so on the Los Angeles Dodgers on the money line today, I'll gladly back them on the Run Line instead and save upwards of -150 for them to win by two runs or more.  They have a big advantage on the mound that should have them winning in blowout fashion.

Tony Gonsolin is 10-0 with a 1.54 ERA and 0.820 WHIP in 15 starts this season and among the favorites to win the NL Cy Young.  Gonsolin is 6-0 with a 0.88 ERA and 0.707 WHIP in seven home starts.

He'll be opposed by Mark Leiter Jr., who is 0-1 with an 8.68 ERA and 1.822 WHIP In three starts this season, allowing 9 earned runs in 9 1/3 innings.  He is now 5-9 with a 5.39 ERA and 1.427 WHIP in 143 2/3 innings in his career in the big leagues.  The Dodgers will tee off on him tonight.

The Dodgers are 23-3 in their last 26 home games after a combined score of 4 runs or less and winning by 3.0 runs per game in this spot.  The Cubs are 3-16 when revenging a home loss to an opponent by 6 runs or more and losing by 4.1 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Thursday.

07-06-22 Blue Jays -1.5 v. A's Top 2-1 Loss -115 5 h 38 m Show

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-115)

It's safe to say the Toronto Blue Jays will be highly motivated for a victory Wednesday.  They have lost five straight overall for the first time this season, and they have been upset as big favorites in each of the first two games of this series by the Oakland A's.  Look for them to avoid the sweep with a blowout victory in Game 3 Wednesday.

Jose Berrios will get the job done here even though he has struggled this season.  He'll be up against an Oakland team that is 10-29 at home this season where they are hitting .197 and scoring 2.5 runs per game.  Berrios has posted a 4.27 ERA and 1.225 WHIP in seven career starts against the A's.

This is definitely a fade of James Kaprielian as much as anything.  Kaprielian is 1-5 with a 5.43 ERA and 1.380 WHIP in 12 starts this season.  He has been at his worst at home, going 0-3 with a 6.45 ERA and 1.434 WHIP in five starts in Oakland.

Oakland is 0-9 in home games after a win by two runs or less this season and losing by 3.5 runs per game in this spot.  Toronto is 35-12 in its last 47 games when revenging two straight losses as a road favorite and winning by 2.1 runs per game in this spot.  Take the Blue Jays on the Run Line Wednesday.

07-05-22 Blue Jays -1.5 v. A's Top 3-5 Loss -104 11 h 29 m Show

20* AL Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-104)

The Toronto Blue Jays will be highly motivated for a victory today after losing four games in a row for just the second time all season.  Look for them to bounce back with a blowout victory over the lowly Oakland A's today.

Yusei Kikuchi certainly loves facing the A's, posting a 3.19 ERA and 1.229 WHIP in nine career starts against them.  And this is one of the worst Oakland offenses we've ever seen.  The A's are 9-29 at home this season where they are hitting .198 and scoring 2.4 runs per game as a team.

The Blue Jays will get their bats going against Adrian Martinez, who just gave up 7 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings to the Mariners in his last start.  It's amazing Martinez even got a shot in the big leagues with the A's considering he has a 4.71 ERA and 1.401 WHIP at all levels dating back to 2017.  He has posted a 5.63 ERA and 1.406 WHIP in 13 starts at Triple-A Las Vegas this season.

Toronto is 9-1 after scoring one run or less this season and coming back to win by 2.0 runs per game.  Oakland is 1-11 in home games vs. left-handed starters this season, losing by 3.4 runs per game.  The A's are 1-11 in home games following a win this season, losing by 3.8 runs per game.  Bet the Blue Jays on the Run Line Tuesday.

07-05-22 Mets -1.5 v. Reds Top 0-1 Loss -115 10 h 48 m Show

20* NL Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on New York Mets -1.5 (-115)

The New York Mets have a big advantage on the mound and at the plate over the Cincinnati Reds tonight that should have them easily winning this game by two runs or more.  Max Scherzer is a machine, so I'm not concerned about him making his first start back from the IL.

Scherzer is 5-1 with a 2.54 ERA and 0.946 WHIP in eight starts this season and has been off since May 18th.  It could prove to be exactly the break he needed if the Mets are to make a deep postseason run.  Scherzer owns the Reds, going 6-2 with a 1.84 ERA and 0.852 WHIP in nine career starts against them.

Nick Lodolo has been off even longer than Scherzer.  He hasn't started a game since April 24th for the Reds.  Lodolo is 1-2 with a 5.52 ERA and 1.568 WHIP in three starts this season.  He will certainly be on a pitch count tonight.

Scherzer's teams are 27-8 in his last 35 starts as a favorite of -110 or higher and winning by 2.3 runs per game in this spot.  Cincinnati is 5-22 coming off a three-game span with an OBP of .260 or worse this season and losing by 3.1 runs per game in this spot.  Scherzer's teams are 21-4 in his last 25 starts vs. an NL team with an OBP of .315 or worse and winning by 2.6 runs per game.  Scherzer's teams are 13-1 in his last 14 starts vs. a NL team slugging .400 or worse and winning by 3.1 runs per game.  Take the Mets on the Run Line Tuesday.

07-04-22 Blue Jays -1.5 v. A's Top 1-5 Loss -125 12 h 7 m Show

20* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-125)

The Toronto Blue Jays will be highly motivated for a victory in Game 1 of this series against the Oakland A's after losing three straight to the Tampa Bay Rays over the weekend.  They won't take the A's lightly as a result, and they send their ace to the mound to get back on track.

Alek Manoah is one of my favorite starters to back in all of baseball.  He has followed up his tremendous rookie season by going 9-2 with a 2.09 ERA and 0.961 WHIP in 15 starts this season.  Manoah held the A's to 2 earned runs in 6 innings of a 4-3 victory on April 17th in his lone start against them this season.

Cole Irvin is 0-3 with a 4.34 ERA in his last three starts for the A's.  Irivn allowed 7 earned runs in 2 1/3 innings of an 8-0 loss to the Blue Jays in his most recent start against them last season.  The A's are 8-29 at home this season where they are hitting .197 and scoring 2.3 runs per game.

In fact, Oakland has just 4 wins since May 25th against teams not named Kansas City.  The A's are 1-11 as home underdogs of +125 or more this season and losing by 4.1 runs per game in this spot.  Oakland is 1-20 vs. an AL starting pitcher with a 3.70 ERA or better this season and losing by 2.9 runs per game.  Take the Blue Jays on the Run Line Monday.

07-03-22 Brewers -1.5 v. Pirates Top 2-0 Win 100 4 h 44 m Show

20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (-115)

The Milwaukee Brewers have a big advantage on the mound today over the Pittsburgh Pirates that should have them winning this game by two runs or more.  Brandon Woodruff is 6-3 with a 4.44 ERA and 1.151 WHIP in 10 starts this season, including 2-1 with a 2.40 ERA and 0.667 WHIP in his last three.

Woodruff is 5-2 with a 4.42 ERA and 1.057 WHIP in 10 career starts against Pittsburgh and the Brewers have gone 8-2 in those 10 starts with seven wins by two runs or more.  He'll be opposed by Zach Thompson, who is 2-5 with a 4.56 ERA and 1.406 WHIP In 12 starts this season.  Thompson has faced the Brewers once in his career, allowing 6 earned runs in 4 innings of a 6-1 defeat back on April 18th this season.

The Brewers are 17-3 in their last 20 Sunday road games.  Milwaukee is 75-36 in its last 111 games vs. a team with a losing record.  The Brewers are 6-2 in their last eight road games.  Milwaukee is 40-15 in the last 55 meetings, including 6-2 in the last eight meetings in Pittsburgh.  Take the Brewers on the Run Line Sunday.

07-02-22 Brewers -1.5 v. Pirates 4-7 Loss -125 5 h 12 m Show

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (-125)

I cashed the Milwaukee Brewers on the Run Line yesterday in their 19-2 win over the Pittsburgh Pirates.  I'm going back to the well here today.  The Brewers are hot at the plate having scored 4 runs or more in nine consecutive games.

Milwaukee has the advantage on the mound with Aaron Ashby, who has posted a 0.93 ERA and 0.931 WHIP in two career starts against Pittsburgh, allowing just one earned run in 9 2/3 innings.  The Brewers will feast on Bryse Wilson, who has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season.

Indeed, Wilson is 0-3 with a 12.19 ERA and 2.322 WHIP in six starts this season, allowing 28 earned runs in 20 2/3 innings.  He has never beaten the Brewers, going 0-2 with a 6.23 ERA and 1.538 WHIP in three career starts against them.

Pittsburgh is 7-25 in its last 32 games following a loss by 15 runs or more and losing by 2.6 runs per game in this spot.  Milwaukee is 75-35 in its last 110 games vs. a team with a losing record.  The Brewers are 6-1 in their last seven road games.  Milwaukee is 40-14 in the last 54 meetings, including 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Pittsburgh.  Take the Brewers on the Run Line Saturday.

07-01-22 Brewers -1.5 v. Pirates Top 19-2 Win 100 9 h 8 m Show

20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (-110)

The Milwaukee Brewers have scored at least 4 runs in eight consecutive games.  They are hot at the plate and they should have no problem beating the Pittsburgh Pirates by two runs or more with their ace on the mound tonight.

Corbin Burnes is 6-4 with a 2.41 ERA and 0.921 WHIP in 15 starts this season with a whopping 119 K's in 93 1/3 innings.  Burnes has been at his best on the road, going 3-1 with a 1.64 ERA and 0.864 WHIP in seven starts away from home.  He has never lost to the Pirates, going 3-0 with a 2.43 ERA and 1.045 WHIP in five career starts against them.

Pittsburgh is 7-26 in its last 33 games following two or more consecutive wins and losing by 3.1 runs per game in this spot.  Milwaukee is 74-35 in its last 109 games vs. a team with a losing record.  The Brewers are 39-14 in the last 53 meetings.  Take the Brewers on the Run Line Friday.

06-28-22 Tigers v. Giants -1.5 3-4 Loss -100 12 h 19 m Show

15* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on San Francisco Giants -1.5 (+120)

The San Francisco Giants will be highly motivated for a victory after going just 2-6 in their last eight games overall during one of their worst stretches of the season.  Now they face the lowly Detroit Tigers and will get right with a blowout victory in Game 1 of this series Tuesday.

The Giants have a big advantage on the mound behind Carlos Rodon, who is 6-4 with a 2.70 ERA and 1.087 WHIP in 14 starts this season, including 3-1 with a 2.18 ERA and 1.121 WHIP in six home starts.  He has been virtually unhittable in his last three starts, going 2-0 with a 0.43 ERA and 0.619 WHIP while allowing just one earned run in 21 innings with 26 K's.

Rodon is 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA in his last three starts against the Tigers, allowing just 4 earned runs in 16 innings with a whopping 27 K's.  He'll be opposed by Tarik Skubal, who has come back down to reality in his last three starts.  He has gone 0-3 with a 9.88 ERA and 2.048 WHIP while allowing 15 earned runs in 13 2/3 innings.

The Giants are 14-7 and scoring 5.3 runs per game against left-handed starters this season.  The Tigers are hitting .213 and scoring 2.7 runs per game on the road this season.  Detroit is 9-22 in its last 31 road games.  San Francisco is 23-9 in its last 32 games following an off day.  Roll with the Giants on the Run Line Tuesday.

06-25-22 Reds v. Giants -1.5 Top 2-9 Win 100 9 h 54 m Show

20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on San Francisco Giants -1.5 (-107)

The San Francisco Giants come in highly motivated for a victory after losing three straight and five of their last six.  That includes a 4-2 loss to the Reds yesterday as a -210 favorite.  They will win in blowout fashion today due to their big advantage on the mound.

Logan Webb is 6-2 with a 3.26 ERA and 1.155 WHIP in 14 starts this season, including 4-1 with a 2.74 ERA in seven home starts.  He is the clear ace of this San Francisco staff.  Webb fired 6 shutout innings in a 6-3 victory over the Reds in his line career start against them last season.

Mike Minor is 1-3 with a 6.97 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in four starts this season.  Minor is 0-2 with a 10.12 ERA in his last two start against the Giants, allowing 12 earned runs and 3 homers in 10 2/3 innings of blowout 14-2 and 9-2 losses.

The Giants are 19-2 in Webb's 21 home starts over the past two seasons and winning by 2.3 runs per game.  San Francisco is also 19-2 in Webb's last 21 starts vs. teams that strand 6.9 or fewer base runners per game and winning by 3.3 runs per game on average.  Bet the Giants on the Run Line Saturday.

06-22-22 Royals v. Angels -1.5 Top 0-5 Win 100 11 h 42 m Show

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Angels -1.5 (-110)

The Los Angeles Angels will be highly motivated for a victory tonight to avoid the sweep after dropping the first two games of this series to the Kansas City Royals.  They lost last night despite scoring 11 runs.  Look for them to stay hot at the plate and to win by multiple runs due to their big advantage on the mound.

Ace Shohei Ohtani takes the ball after hitting two homers and finishing with 8 RBI's last night.  Ohtani is 5-4 with a 3.28 ERA and 1.094 WHIP in 11 starts this season.  He has a whopping 77 K's and only 15 walks in 60 1/3 innings this season.

Daniel Lynch is 3-6 with a 5.19 ERA and 1.525 WHIP in 12 starts this season for the Royals.  He is only averaging 4.9 innings per start, so the Angels will get into their bullpen early.  Salvador Perez may miss this game for the Royals after suffering a thumb injury that forced him out of the game last night.

The Royals are 8-22 in their last 30 games after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.  Kansas City is 5-15 in its last 20 vs. a right-handed starter.  The Angels are 14-6 in the last 20 meetings, including 8-3 in the last 11 meetings in Los Angeles.  Bet the Angels on the Run Line Wednesday.

06-20-22 Royals v. Angels -1.5 Top 6-2 Loss -100 11 h 31 m Show

20* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Angels -1.5 (+110)

The Los Angeles Angels have snapped out of their funk to win four of their last five games all by two runs or more.  They should crush the Kansas City Royals in Game 1 of this series due to their advantage on the mound.

Noah Syndergaard is having a tremendous comeback season.  He is 4-5 with a 3.53 ERA and 1.176 WHIP in 10 starts this season.  Syndergaard has been at his best at home, going 3-1 with a 1.48 ERA and 0.890 WHIP in five home starts.  This is a big step down in competition for him after facing the Dodgers, Red Sox and Yankees in his last three starts coming in.

Kris Bubic has been one of the worst starters in baseball for the Royals.  He is still looking for his first win, going 0-4 with an 8.34 ERA and 1.927 WHIP in eight starts this season, including 0-1 with a 9.82 ERA and 2.046 WHIP in two road starts.  Bubic allowed 6 earned runs and 4 homers in 4 innings of an 8-1 loss in his lone career start against the Angels last season.  Syndergaard is 3-1 with a 3.00 ERA and 1.167 WHIP in four career starts against Kansas City.

Kansas City is 2-18 vs. a starting pitcher that allows 0.5 or fewer homers per start this season.  It is losing by 3.0 runs per game in this spot.  Los Angeles is 8-1 in its last nine home meetings with the Royals.  Take the Angels on the Run Line Monday.

06-18-22 Rays -1.5 v. Orioles Top 7-6 Loss -100 8 h 15 m Show

20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (+110)

The Tampa Bay Rays will be highly motivated for a victory after losing four straight and six of seven to start this brutal road trip.  They'll get back to dominating the Baltimore Orioles like they are used to today with a blowout victory due to their advantage on the mound.

Jeffrey Springs is 2-2 with a 1.83 ERA and 0.966 WHIP in eight starts this season.  Tampa Bay's lone victory during this road trip came with Springs as he fired 5 1/3 shutout innings in a 6-0 win at Minnesota on June 12th.  Springs faced the Orioles on May 21st and pitched 5 2/3 shutout innings in 6-1 victory at Baltimore.

Kyle Bradish is 1-4 with a 6.86 ERA and 1.667 WHIP In nine starts this season with 10 homers allowed in 42 innings.  He was opposite Springs on May 21st when he allowed 5 earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of that 6-1 defeat.  The Rays will get their bats going finally against Bradish today.

The Orioles are 16-35 in their last 51 games following a win.  The Rays are 44-15 in the last 59 meetings, including 10-3 in the last 13 meetings in Baltimore.  Bet the Rays on the Run Line Saturday.

06-17-22 Braves -1.5 v. Cubs Top 0-1 Loss -105 4 h 52 m Show

20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-105)

The defending World Series champion Atlanta Braves have finally found their stride.  They are 14-0 in their last 14 games overall and have scored at least 5 runs in 11 of their last 15 contests.  Look for them to make it 15 in a row against a Chicago Cubs team that is 0-10 in their last 10 games overall while getting outscored 90-30 in the process.

Charlie Morton's numbers to this point are keeping the Braves as smaller favorites than they should be this afternoon.  But he has been pretty unfortunate this season, and clearly his stuff is still good as he has 66 K's in 60 1/3 innings, including 20 K's in 11 innings in his last two starts.

The Braves should stay hot at the plate against Keegan Thompson.  He is 3-2 with a 6.26 ERA and 1.609 WHIP in six starts this season, including 1-2 with a 13.00 ERA and 2.222 WHIP in his last three starts.  Thompson has allowed 5 homers and 10 walks with only 14 K's in 23 innings this season.  Bet the Braves on the Run Line Friday.

06-16-22 Padres -1.5 v. Cubs Top 6-4 Win 100 6 h 5 m Show

20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on San Diego Padres -1.5 (-125)

The San Diego Padres are 10-3 in their last 13 games overall with nine wins by two runs or more.  They have scored 31 combined runs in crushing the Cubs in the first two games of this series.  It should be more of the same today against a Cubs team that is 0-9 in their last nine games overall while getting outscored 84-26 in the process.

The Padres have a big advantage on the mound tonight today behind ace Joe Musgrove.  He is 7-0 with a 1.50 ERA and 0.931 WHIP in 11 starts this season and the Padres have gone 10-1 in his 11 starts.  Musgrove owns the Cubs with a 1.97 ERA and 0.898 WHIP in eight career starts against them.

Matt Swarmer's stats are mind-blowing this season.  He has already allowed 9 homers in 17 innings across three starts for the Cubs.  The wind will be blowing out to center at Wrigley Field again, so that's bad news for Swarmer.  To compare, Musgrove has only allowed 4 homers in 72 innings this season.

The Padres are 6-0 in their last six road games.  The Cubs are 19-47 in their last 66 home games.  Take the Padres on the Run Line Thursday.

06-15-22 Orioles v. Blue Jays -1.5 6-7 Loss -129 9 h 24 m Show

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-129)

The Toronto Blue Jays are 14-5 in their last 19 games overall and have scored at least 5 runs in 15 of those 19 games.  They are coming off a one-run loss to the Orioles yesterday, which works in our favor here because the Blue Jays are 8-1 in their last nine games following a loss with seven wins by two runs or more.

The Blue Jays have the advantage on the mound today with Jose Berrios, who is 3-0 with a 3.00 ERA and 1.222 WHIP in five home starts this season.  Berrios has never lost to the Orioles, going 6-0 with a 2.94 ERA and 1.115 WHIP in eight career starts against them.

Bruce Zimmerman is 2-5 with a 5.08 ERA in 12 starts this season, 1-4 with a 6.03 ERA in six road starts and 0-3 with an 11.30 ERA in his last three starts.  Zimmerman has one career start against the Blue Jays, allowing 3 earned runs in 2/3 of an inning in a 4-12 loss to Toronto last season.

Baltimore is 3-36 in its last 39 games after a five-game span with a bullpen ERA of 7.00 or worse coming in and losing by 4.0 runs per game on average in this spot.  Toronto is 37-14 in its last 51 games following a loss.  Roll with the Blue Jays on the Run Line Wednesday.

06-15-22 Braves -1.5 v. Nationals Top 8-2 Win 100 10 h 34 m Show

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-105)

The defending World Series champion Atlanta Braves have finally found their stride.  They are 13-0 in their last 13 games overall and have scored at least 5 runs in 10 of their last 14 contests.  Look for them to make it 14 in a row in Game 3 against the Washington Nationals tonight.

Spencer Strider has been impressive in his three starts for the Braves this season.  He is 1-1 with a 3.86 ERA and 20 K's in 14 innings with only one homer allowed.  He will shut down this Washington lineup tonight.

I'll gladly fade Erick Fedde, who is 4-4 with a 4.87 ERA and 1.535 WHIP in 12 starts this season, including 1-1 with a 10.03 ERA and 2.142 WHIP in his last three.  Fedde has never beaten the Braves, going 0-4 with a 10.01 ERA and 2.123 WHIP in five career starts against them.

Atlanta is 17-6 in the last 23 meetings.  The Braves are 21-7 in their last 28 trips to Washington.  The Nationals are 17-41 in their last 58 home games.  Washington is 12-41 in its last 53 games as a home underdog.  Bet the Braves on the Run Line Wednesday.

06-14-22 Guardians -1.5 v. Rockies 4-3 Loss -100 10 h 10 m Show

15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Cleveland Guardians -1.5 (+100)

The Cleveland Guardians are playing their best baseball of the season right now.  They have gone 10-3 in their last 13 games overall to get to 29-27 and above .500 for the first time this year.  Now they send their ace to the mound to continue their momentum in Game 1 of this series with Colorado tonight.

Shane Bieber has been one of the best starters in baseball over the past couple seasons.  Bieber is 3-3 with a 3.05 ERA and 1.123 WHIP in 11 starts this season, 2-1 with a 2.44 ERA and 1.060 WHIP in seven road starts, and 2-0 with a 1.40 ERA and 0.828 WHIP in his last three starts.

Antonio Senzatela is 2-3 with a 4.83 ERA and 1.854 WHIP in nine starts this season for the ROckies.  He has just 20 K's in 41 innings.  Senzatela allowed 6 earned runs and 13 hits in 5 1/3 innings of a 14-1 loss to the Marlins in his last home start.

The Guardians are 14-1 in Biebers last 15 starts as a favorite of -125 to -175 and winning by 3.5 runs per game in this spot.  Cleveland is 14-1 in Bieber's 15 career road starts vs. teams that average 2.75 or fewer extra base hits per game and winning by 2.9 runs per game in this spot.  Roll with the Guardians on the Run Line Tuesday.

06-14-22 Braves -1.5 v. Nationals 10-4 Win 100 9 h 42 m Show

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-135)

The defending World Series champion Atlanta Braves have finally found their stride.  They are 12-0 in their last 12 games overall and have scored at least 5 runs in nine of their last 13 contests.  Look for them to make it 13 in a row in Game 2 against the Washington Nationals tonight.

Ace Max Fried takes the ball for the Braves tonight.  He is 6-2 with a 2.64 ERA and 1.040 WHIP in 12 starts this season, including 2-0 with a 1.67 ERA and 0.667 WHIP in four road starts.  Fried is also 2-1 with a 1.93 ERA in his last four starts against the Nationals, allowing only 5 earned runs in 23 1/3 innings.  He'll be opposed by Jackson Tetreault, who will be making his major league debut for the Nationals.

Atlanta is 16-6 in the last 22 meetings.  The Braves are 20-7 in their last 27 trips to Washington.  The Nationals are 17-40 in their last 57 home games.  Washington is 12-40 in its last 52 games as a home underdog.  Take the Braves on the Run Line Tuesday.

06-13-22 Orioles v. Blue Jays -1.5 Top 1-11 Win 100 8 h 7 m Show

20* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-135)

The Toronto Blue Jays are 13-4 in their last 17 games overall with 10 wins by two runs or more.  They have scored at least 6 runs in 12 of those 13 victories and are hitting up to their potential right now.  They should easily beat the Baltimore Orioles by two runs or more tonight due to their big advantage on the mound.

Alek Manoah had a tremendous rookie season last year and has backed it up with as an AL Cy Young contender in 2022.  Manoah is 7-1 with a 1.81 ERA and 0.962 WHIP in 11 starts this season.  He is 1-0 with a 3.31 ERA and 0.796 WHIP in three career starts against Baltimore.

Kyle Bradish is 1-3 with a 6.45 ERA and 1.593 WHIP in eight starts this season for the Orioles.  Giving up the home run has been a problem for Bradish as he has already allowed 10 homers in 37 2/3 innings this season.  That's bad news for him going up against this hot, powerful Toronto lineup tonight.

The Blue Jays are 24-7 in Manoah's 31 starts over the past two seasons and outscoring opponents by 2.0 runs per game in those 31 games.  The Orioles are 25-70 in their last 95 road games.  Toronto is 45-19 in the last 64 meetings.  Take the Blue Jays on the Run Line Monday.

06-11-22 Blue Jays -1.5 v. Tigers Top 1-3 Loss -130 14 h 2 m Show
20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-130) The Toronto Blue Jays are 12-3 in their last 15 games overall and starting to hit up to their potential.  Amazingly, they have scored at least 6 runs in 11 of their 12 victories.  They should stay hot at the plate against the Detroit Tigers in Game 2 of this series Saturday. Kevin Gausman is among the Cy Young favorites in the American League. He is 5-4 with a 2.78 ERA and 1.160 WHIP in 11 starts this season, including 3-2 with a 1.91 ERA and 0.970 WHIP in five road starts. Gausman is 2-1 with a 3.66 ERA and 1.264 WHIP in eight career starts against Detroit. He has allowed just 4 earned runs in 18 2/3 innings in his last three starts against the Tigers. He'll be opposed by Beau Brieske, who is still in search of his first victory this season. Brieske is 0-5 with a 4.93 ERA in eight starts this season while already allowing 12 homers in 42 innings. That's bad news for him and the Tigers up against this hot, potent Toronto lineup. The Blue Jays are 8-1 in their last nine road games.  Toronto is 52-23 in its last 75 games vs. a team with a losing record.  Gausman's teams are 10-1 in his last 11 day game road starts and winning by 3.5 runs per game in this spot. Bet with the Blue Jays on the Run Line Saturday.
06-10-22 Blue Jays -1.5 v. Tigers 10-1 Win 100 19 h 52 m Show

15* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-120)

The Toronto Blue Jays are 11-3 in their last 14 games overall and starting to hit up to their potential.  Amazingly, they have scored at least 6 runs in 10 of their 11 victories.  They should stay hot at the plate against the Detroit Tigers in Game 1 of this series Friday.

Jose Berrios is 4-2 with a 5.24 ERA and 1.412 WHIP in 11 starts this season.  He has owned the Tigers, going 4-1 with a 3.18 ERA in his last eight starts against them, allowing 18 earned runs in 51 innings.

He'll be opposed by Elvin Rodriquez, who is 0-1 with a 9.45 ERA and 1.650 WHIP in three starts this season.  Rodriquez has already allowed 14 earned runs and 5 homers in 13 1/3 innings.  He stands little chance of slowing down this hot Toronto lineup.

The Blue Jays are 7-1 in their last eight road games.  Toronto is 51-23 in its last 74 games vs. a team with a losing record.  Roll with the Blue Jays on the Run Line Friday.

06-10-22 Cubs v. Yankees -1.5 Top 1-2 Loss -115 19 h 56 m Show

20* Interleague GAME OF THE MONTH on New York Yankees -1.5 (-115)

The New York Yankees are 8-1 in their last nine games overall to improve to 41-16 on the season.  They take on the lowly Chicago Cubs, who are 23-33 and in rebuilding mode.  The Yankees have a big advantage on the mound tonight that will have them winning by two runs or more.

Luis Severino is 4-1 with a 2.95 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in 10 starts this season, including 3-0 with a 2.48 ERA and 0.949 WHIP in six home starts.  The Yankees have gone 8-2 in Severino's 10 starts this season with seven wins by two runs or more.

Wade Miley will be making just his 4th start of the season.  This will be his toughest test by far as he has had the luxury of facing the Diamondbacks, Pirates and Padres.  Miley has never beaten the Yankees, going 0-4 with a 5.98 ERA and 1.653 WHIP in 11 career starts against them.

The Yankees are 35-8 in their last 43 home games vs. NL Central opponents and winning by 2.4 runs per game.  New York is 22-3 vs. good fielding teams averaging 0.6 or fewer errors per game this season and winning by 2.3 runs per game.  The Yankees are 46-19 in their last 65 home games.  Take the Yankees on the Run Line Friday.

06-09-22 Yankees -1.5 v. Twins Top 10-7 Win 100 10 h 29 m Show

20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on New York Yankees -1.5 (-120)

The New York Yankees are 7-1 in their last eight games overall to improve to 40-16 on the season.  They are taking on a Minnesota Twins team that is dealing with a ton of injuries right now, while the Yankees are almost fully healthy.

I'll back the Yankees on the Run Line today due to their massive advantage on the mound.  Gerrit Cole is 5-1 with a 2.78 ERA and 0.943 WHIP In 11 starts this season.  Cole has never lost to the Twins, going 3-0 with a 0.95 ERA and 0.789 WHIP in three career starts against them, allowing just 2 earned runs in 19 innings.

Dylan Bundy is 3-3 with a 5.57 ERA and 1.452 WHIP in nine starts this season.  Bundy is 2-6 with a 6.59 ERA and 1.607 WHIP in 12 career starts against the Yankees.  He is no match for Cole and this potent New York lineup tonight.

New York is 21-3 vs. good fielding teams that average 0.6 or fewer errors per game this season and winning by 3.2 runs per game in this spot.  The Yankees are 70-23 in their last 93 meetings with the Twins.  Bet the Yankees on the Run Line Thursday.

06-08-22 Yankees -1.5 v. Twins 1-8 Loss -105 8 h 18 m Show

15* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on New York Yankees -1.5 (-105)

The New York Yankees are 7-0 in their last seven games overall while scoring 6.9 runs per game in the process.  They should put it on the Minnesota Twins again today due to their big advantage on the mound.

Nestor Cortes has been one of the best starters in baseball this season.  He is 5-1 with a 1.50 ERA and 0.867 WHIP in 10 starts with the Yankees going 8-2 in those 10 starts with six wins by two runs or more.  He'll be up against a banged-up Twins lineup that has gone 2-5 in their last seven games overall while scoring 4 runs or fewer in all five losses.

Chris Archer hasn't been good in years.  He is 0-2 with a 3.89 ERA and 1.348 WHIP in 10 starts this season, including 0-2 with a 5.00 ERA and 1.556 WHIP in five home starts.  Archer has allowed at least 3 earned runs in seven of his last nine starts against the Yankees.

Archer's teams are 2-10 in his last 12 starts against New York with seven losses by two runs or more.  The Yankees are 21-2 vs. good fielding teams averaging 0.6 or fewer errors per game this season and winning by 3.6 runs per game in this spot.  Roll with the Yankees on the Run Line Wednesday.

06-07-22 Rockies v. Giants -1.5 5-3 Loss -100 12 h 55 m Show

15* MLB Tuesday Late-Night BAILOUT on San Francisco Giants -1.5 (+100)

The Colorado Rockies are really struggling right now in going 7-20 in their last 27 games overall with 15 losses by 2 runs or more.  I don't see them staying within two runs of the San Francisco Giants today due to their big disadvantage on the mound.

Carlos Rodon is one of the best starters in baseball and was a great get for the Giants this offseason.  Rodon has been at his best at home this season, going 2-1 with a 2.35 ERA and 1.174 WHIP in four home starts with a whopping 39 K's in 23 innings and only one homer allowed.

German Marquez is one of the worst starters in baseball.  He is 1-5 with a 6.71 ERA and 1.618 WHIP in 10 starts this season, including 0-3 with a 6.89 ERA and 1.723 WHIP in three road starts.  Marquez is 4-8 with a 7.19 ERA and 1.598 WHIP in 14 career starts against the Giants as well.

Marquez went 0-4 with a 13.82 ERA in four starts against the Giants last season, allowing 22 earned runs in 14 1/3 innings.  Colorado is 1-11 vs. a starting pitcher that averages 5 K's or more per start this season and losing by 2.1 runs per game int his spot.  The Rockies are 0-8 in their last eight games following an off day.  San Francisco is 22-6 in the last 28 meetings.  Roll with the Giants on the Run Line Tuesday.

06-07-22 Blue Jays -1.5 v. Royals Top 7-0 Win 100 10 h 18 m Show

20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-125)

The Toronto Blue Jays are finally starting to live up to their massive potential at the plate after a slow first couple months.  They had too much talent to be held down for long, and once the weather warmed up, so did they.  The Blue Jays have now scored at least 6 runs in 10 of their last 12 games while going 10-2 in their last 12 games overall.

They should stay hot at the plate against Brad Keller, who is 1-6 with a 4.15 ERA in 10 starts this season, including 0-3 with a 7.41 ERA in his last three starts.  Keller won't get much run support considering the Royals are 1-7 in their last eight games overall and have been held to 3 runs or fewer in six of those seven losses.

It won't get any easier for the Royals today facing arguably the best starter in all of baseball in Alek Manoah.  He is 6-1 with a 1.98 ERA and 0.911 WHIP in 10 starts this season for the Blue Jays.  He pitched 7 shutout innings in a 4-0 victory over the Royals in his lone career start against them last season.  Keller is 2-2 with a 5.73 ERA in four career starts against Toronto.

The Blue Jays are 23-7 in Manoah's 30 career starts.  Kansas City is 2-15 vs. a starting pitcher that allows 0.5 or fewer homers per start this season and losing by 2.8 runs per game in this spot.  Take the Blue Jays on the Run Line Tuesday.

06-01-22 Pirates v. Dodgers -1.5 Top 8-4 Loss -120 9 h 17 m Show

20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-120)

The Los Angeles Dodgers will be highly motivated for a victory Wednesday after dropping the first two games of this series to the Pittsburgh Pirates as -330 and -335 favorites.  They will avoid the sweep today and win by two runs or more in the process, so we'll back them on the Run Line.

Jose Quintana is getting too much respect from the books after a solid start this season out of nowhere.  This guy is way past his prime and won't be able to continue these numbers.  Mitch White is better than he has shown thus far and the Dodgers have won both of his starts this season over the Diamondbacks 14-1 and the Phillies 7-4.

Pittsburgh is 5-23 in its last 28 games following two or more consecutive wins and losing by 3.6 runs per game in this spot.  Los Angeles is 43-12 in its last 55 home games, which just shows how rare those two losses the past two days were.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Wednesday.

05-31-22 Pirates v. Dodgers -1.5 Top 5-3 Loss -140 13 h 34 m Show

20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-140)

The Los Angeles Dodgers are coming off a shocking loss to the Pittsburgh Pirates as -330 favorites yesterday.  It was a rare loss for the Dodgers, who are 13-3 in their last 16 games overall.  Look for them to bounce back with a blowout victory over the Pittsburgh Pirates today, so instead of laying the -320 on the money line, we'll take this huge discount and back them at -140 on the run line.

Julio Urias is one of the best starters in baseball.  He has posted a 2.49 ERA and 1.064 WHIP in nine starts this season.  Urias has posted a 2.95 ERA and 1.091 WHIP in three career starts against the Pirates as well.

He'll be opposed by Mitch Keller, who is one of the worst starters in baseball and still in search of his first victory.  Keller is 0-5 with a 6.61 ERA and 1.530 WHIP in seven starts this season.  He has faced the Dodgers once in his career, allowing 4 earned runs and 8 base runners in 2 2/3 innings of a 6-3 defeat opposite Urias.

The Pirates are 2-15 in Keller's last 17 starts following a win and losing by 3.5 runs per game in this spot.  The Dodgers are 69-19 in their last 88 games as a favorite of -200 or more and winning by 2.5 runs per game in this spot.  Pittsburgh is 15-42 in its last 57 road games vs. a left-handed starter.  Take the Dodgers on the Run Line Tuesday.

05-25-22 Dodgers -1.5 v. Nationals Top 0-1 Loss -125 6 h 21 m Show

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-125)

The Los Angeles Dodgers are 9-1 in their last 10 games overall while scoring at least 4 runs in all nine victories.  They have opened this series by crushing the Nationals 10-1 in Game 1 and 9-4 in Game 2.  It should be more of the same Wednesday with their big advantage on the mound.

Julio Urias is one of the best starters in baseball.  He is 3-3 with a 2.63 ERA and 1.049 WHIP in eight starts this season.  Urias has never lost to the Nationals, going 2-0 (4-0 money line) with a 3.05 ERA in four career starts against them.

Erick Fedde is 2-3 with a 4.08 ERA and 1.462 WHIP in eight starts this season, including 0-2 with a 6.88 ERA and 1.765 WHIP in four home starts.  The Nationals are just 3-9 in their last 12 games overall with all nine losses coming by 3 runs or more.

The Dodgers are 36-7 in their last 43 games vs. bad teams that win 38% or fewer of their games on the season and beating these teams by 3.3 runs per game.  Washington is 8-24 in its last 32 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Wednesday.

05-22-22 Rays -1.5 v. Orioles Top 6-7 Loss -109 2 h 8 m Show

20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-109)

Death, taxes and the Tampa Bay Rays owning the Baltimore Orioles.  The Rays are 28-3 in the last 31 meetings with 22 wins by two runs or more.  It will be more of the same today with the Rays winning in a blowout due to their big advantage on the mound, at the plate and in the bullpen.

Corey Kluber is 1-2 with a 4.29 ERA and 1.205 WHIP in seven starts this season.  Kluber is 5-1 with a 2.94 ERA and 1.151 WHIP in 11 career starts against the Orioles.  He pitched 4 2/3 shutout innings in an 8-0 victory over the Orioles in his lone start against them this season.

Spenser Watkins is 0-1 with a 5.10 ERA and 1.599 WHIP in seven starts this season for Baltimore.  Watkins is 1-3 with a 6.43 ERA and 1.524 WHIP in four career starts against the Tampa Bay.  He has lost three straight starts to the Rays by 4 runs or more while allowing 14 earned runs in 15 innings.  Take the Rays on the Run Line Sunday.

05-21-22 Nationals v. Brewers -1.5 Top 1-5 Win 110 19 h 17 m Show

20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (+110)

The Milwaukee Brewers beat the Washington Nationals 7-0 yesterday to improve to 25-14 on the season while dropping the Nationals to 13-27.  It should be more of the same today with a blowout win in favor of the Brewers due to their big advantage on the mound.

Brandon Woodruff is one of the best pitchers in the game.  He is 3-0 with a 1.62 ERA and 0.660 WHIP in three home starts this season.  Woodruff has never lost to the Nationals, going 2-0 with a 1.13 ERA and 0.542 WHIP in four career starts against them.

Patrick Corbin is 0-6 with a 6.28 ERA and 1.681 WHIP in eight starts this season.  The Nationals are 0-8 in Corbin's eight starts with seven of those eight losses coming by two runs or more.  Corbin is 3-5 with a 4.58 ERA and 1.491 WHIP in 10 career starts against the Brewers as well.

The Nationals are 6-25 in Corbin's last 31 starts as an underdog and losing by 2.5 runs per game.  Take the Brewers on the Run Line Saturday.

05-17-22 Yankees -1.5 v. Orioles Top 5-4 Loss -135 9 h 11 m Show

20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on New York Yankees -1.5 (-135)

The New York Yankees have been the best team in baseball this season.  They are 26-9 on the season and swinging the bats very well, scoring 5 runs or more in six of their last seven games.  They have scored 38 runs in their last five games overall.

The Yankees will stay hot at the plate tonight against Baltimore's Spenser Watkins, who is 0-1 with a 5.19 ERA and 1.576 WHIP in six starts this season.  Watkins has allowed 10 earned runs and 19 base runners in 8 1/3 innings in his last two starts coming in.

Jameson Taillon is 3-1 with a 2.93 ERA and 1.174 WHIP in six starts this season for the Yankees.  Taillon has posted a 3.54 ERA and 0.983 WHIP in four career starts against the Orioles as well.  He should shut down a Baltimore lineup that has scored 3 runs or fewer in six consecutive games.

Baltimore is 4-24 in its last 28 games vs. a team that wins more than 62% of their games and losing by 2.0 runs per game.  New York is 7-0 in its last seven road games vs. a right-handed starter.  The Yankees are 39-13 in the last 52 meetings and 26-9 in the last 35 meetings in Baltimore.  New York is 11-0 in Taillon's last 11 starts after he allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in two straight starts and winning by 4.2 runs per game in this spot.  Take the Yankees on the Run Line Tuesday.

05-16-22 Yankees -1.5 v. Orioles Top 6-2 Win 100 8 h 18 m Show

20* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on New York Yankees -1.5 (-115)

The New York Yankees have been the best team in baseball this season.  They are 25-9 on the seasn and swinging the bats very well, scoring 5 runs or more in five of their last six games.  They just scored 32 runs in a four-game series with the White Sox over the weekend.

Now the Yankees will stay hot at the plate against the Baltimore Orioles in Game 1 of this series and win this game by two runs or more.  They will be up against Kyle Bradish, who is 1-1 with a 4.24 ERA in three starts for the Orioles this season.

Luis Severino is 2-0 with a 4.08 ERA and 1.325 WHIP in six starts this season for the Yankees.  Severino owns the Orioles, going 5-1 with a 3.79 ERA and 0.969 WHIP in nine career starts against them.  The Yankees are 5-0 in Severino's last five starts against Baltimore with all five wins by two runs or more.

Baltimore is 4-23 in its last 27 games vs. a team that wins more than 62% of their games and losing by 1.9 runs per game.  New York is 6-0 in its last six road games vs. a right-handed starter.  The Yankees are 38-13 in the last 51 meetings and 25-9 in the last 34 meetings in Baltimore.  Bet the Yankees on the Run Line Monday.

05-14-22 Phillies v. Dodgers -1.5 Top 8-3 Loss -100 12 h 58 m Show
20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (+115) I love this spot for the Los Angeles Dodgers today. They have lost three straight coming in including each of the first two games of this series to the Philadelphia Phillies in upset fashion. It's safe to say the Dodgers will be highly motivated for a victory today. The Dodgers have a big advantage on the mound in this one. Julio Urias is one fo the best starters in baseball. He is 2-2 with a 2.10 ERA and 1.100 WHIP in six starts this season. Urias is 1-0 with a 2.53 ERA in two career starts against the Phillies. Ranger Suarez is 3-1 with a 3.68 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in six starts this season for the Phillies. He is getting way too much respect from the books in this one. The Dodgers are 41-11 in their last 52 home games. Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Saturday.
05-11-22 Mets -1.5 v. Nationals Top 3-8 Loss -105 9 h 2 m Show

20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on New York Mets -1.5 (-105)

The New York Mets have been one of the best teams in baseball this season.  They have an improved lineup, a tremendous rotation and a solid bullpen.  They are 21-10 this season and take on the 10-21 Washington Nationals, who are 3-12 while hitting .194 and scoring 2.2 runs per game at home this season.

The Mets have a big advantage on the mound tonight.  Tylor Megill is 4-1 with a 2.43 ERA and 0.900 WHIP in six starts this season, including 3-0 with a 1.06 ERA and 0.706 WHIP in three road starts.  He faced the Nationals once already this season and pitched 5 shutout innings in a 5-1 victory at Washington on April 7th.

Aaron Sanchez has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season.  He is 1-2 with an 8.57 ERA and 1.537 WHIP in three starts this season.  He'll be up against a Mets team that is 12-5 on the road and scoring 4.8 runs per game.

The Mets are 8-0 in road games with a total set of 8 to 8.5 this season and winning by 2.7 runs per game.  Washington is 9-38 in its last 47 games as a home underdog and losing by 2.2 runs per game.  Take the Mets on the Run Line Wednesday.

05-10-22 Brewers -1.5 v. Reds 5-4 Loss -112 10 h 31 m Show

15* MLB Tuesday PLAY OF THE DAY on Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (-112)

The Cincinnati Reds have now won three of their last four.  They are still just 4-21 in their last 25 games overall with 20 losses by two runs or more.  They are now without Mike Moustakas after already being without Joey Votto, Nick Senzel and Jonathan India.

The Brewers will come back highly motivated for a victory after losing last night to the Reds to drop their third consecutive game overall.  They had gone 15-3 in their previous 18 games overall with 12 wins by two runs or more.  I'll gladly back them on the Run Line today.

Freddy Peralta is 3-2 with a 3.42 ERA and 0.980 WHIP in nine career starts against the Reds.  He'll be opposed by Hunter Greene, who just allowed 8 earned runs and 5 homers in 2 2/3 innings in a 5-10 loss to the Brewers on May 5th in his last start.  Green is now 1-4 with an 8.71 ERA and 1.888 WHIP in five starts this season.

Cincinnati is 3-19 vs. teams with winning records this season and losing by 3.6 runs per game on average.  Roll with the Brewers on the Run Line Tuesday.

05-09-22 Rangers v. Yankees -1.5 Top 0-1 Loss -100 4 h 33 m Show

20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on New York Yankees -1.5 (+110)

The New York Yankees are 12-2 in their last 14 games overall.  They should make easy work of the Texas Rangers today due to their massive advantage on the mound.

Nestor Cortes is 1-1 with a 1.82 ERA and 1.054 WHIP in five starts this season for the Yankees.  He has allowed just 5 earned runs and 2 homers with 31 K's in 24 2/3 innings.  Cortes will shut down the Rangers today.

Jone Gray is 0-1 with a 7.50 ERA in three starts for the Rangers this season.  He has allowed 10 earned runs in 12 innings.  He faces one of the best lineups in baseball today in the Yankees and will get rocked for a 4th consecutive start.

Texas is 7-29 in its last 36 road games after scoring 4 runs or fewer in three consecutive games.  The Rangers are 21-55 in their last 76 road games.  The Yankees are 10-1 in their last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter.  New York is 7-1 in the last eight meetings with five wins by two runs or more.  Bet the Yankees on the Run Line Monday.

05-08-22 Blue Jays -1.5 v. Guardians Top 3-4 Loss -115 3 h 50 m Show

20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-115)

The Toronto Blue Jays have a big advantage on the mound today over the Cleveland Guardians that should have them winning this game by two runs or more.  They should feast on Konnor Pilkington, who has been called up to make his first career start today.  He posted an 8.22 ERA and 1.826 WHIP in spring training and he has a 9.53 ERA and 1.941 WHIP in the minors this season.

Alek Manoah is one of the best starters in baseball.  He went 9-2 with a 3.22 ERA and 1.048 WHIP as a rook last season, and now he's 4-0 with a 1.45 ERA and 0.839 WHIP in five starts this season to pick up right where he left off.  Manoah is a legitimate Cy Young contender.

The Blue Jays are 20-5 in Manoah's 25 career starts and outscoring opponents by 2.0 runs per game in this 25 contests.  Toronto is 22-4 in its last 26 games following a loss.  Cleveland is 15-36 in its last 51 games as a home underdog.  Take the Blue Jays on the Run Line Sunday.

05-05-22 Reds v. Brewers -1.5 Top 5-10 Win 100 5 h 38 m Show

20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (-108)

The Cincinnati Reds are just 1-19 in their last 20 games overall with 18 of those 19 losses coming by two runs or more.  They are without two of their best hitters in Joey Votto and Jonathan India right now, plus Nick Senzel and Tyler Naquin due to COVID.  They are a joke of a team right now.

The Milwaukee Brewers are 13-3 in their last 16 games overall with 10 wins by two runs or more.  They'll go with Adrian Houser, who is 2-2 with a 2.53 ERA and 1.172 WHIP in four starts this season, including 1-1 with a 0.77 ERA and 1.028 WHIP in two home starts.

He'll be opposed by Hunter Greene, who is 1-3 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.612 WHIP in four starts this season.  Greene has allowed 12 earned runs, 5 homers and 29 base runners in 18 innings pitched.  He'll get rocked again today.

Milwaukee is 15-0 in its last 15 games vs. poor power teams that average 0.75 or fewer homers per game.  It is winning by 4.2 runs per game on average in this spot.  Bet the Brewers on the Run Line Thursday.

05-03-22 Reds v. Brewers -1.5 3-6 Win 100 8 h 22 m Show

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (+100)

Death, taxes and fade the Reds on the Run Line.  The Reds are just 1-17 in their last 18 games overall with 16 of those 17 losses coming by two runs or more.  And we're getting the red hot Brewers at even money on the Run Line today.

The Brewers are 11-3 in their last 14 games overall with eight wins by two runs or more.  Brandon Woodruff is 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 0.636 WHIP in two home starts this season.  Woodruff is also 1-0 with a 1.02 ERA in his last three starts against the Reds, allowing just 2 earned runs in 17 2/3 innings with 22 K's.

Tyler Mahle is 1-2 with a 4.93 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in eight career starts against the Brewers, including 1-1 with a 6.04 ERA in his last five starts against them while allowing 17 earned runs in 25 1/3 innings.  Mahle is off to a rough start this season at 1-3 with a 5.24 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in five starts, which is concerning considering he was supposed to be their ace.

The Brewers are 31-9 in Woodruff's last 40 starts during the first half of the season.  Milwaukee is 13-0 in its last 13 games vs. terrible power teams that average 0.75 or fewer homers per game.  They are winning by 3.6 runs per game in this spot.  Take the Brewers on the Run Line Tuesday.

05-01-22 Yankees -1.5 v. Royals Top 6-4 Win 100 4 h 57 m Show

20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on New York Yankees -1.5 (-115)

The New York Yankees are hitting the cover off the ball right now.  They are 8-0 in their last eight games overall and scoring 7.6 runs per game during this winning streak.  They have scored at least 10 runs in four of their last six games and have won seven of those eight games by 3 runs or more.

The Kansas City Royals are 2-7 in their last nine games overall with five losses by 3 runs or more.  Daniel Lynch has posted some decent numbers this season, but the Yankees have feasted on left-handed starters.  They are 6-1 against southpaws and scoring 5.4 runs per game.

The Yankees have a big advantage on the mound behind Luis Severino, who is 2-0 with a 3.32 ERA and 1.211 WHIP in four starts this season with 19 K's in 19 innings.  The Yankees are 4-0 in Severino's four starts with all four wins coming by 2 runs or more.

New York is 101-44 in the last 145 meetings, including 8-2 in the last 10 meetings in Kansas City.  Bet the Yankees on the Run Line Sunday.

05-01-22 Padres -1.5 v. Pirates 5-2 Win 105 4 h 33 m Show

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on San Diego Padres -1.5 (+105)

The San Diego Padres are one of the hottest teams in baseball right now.  They are 9-3 in their last 12 games overall and have scored at least 7 runs in five consecutive games.  It should be more of the same against the lowly Pittsburgh Pirates today.

The Pirates are just 4-8 in their last 12 games overall and have scored 4 runs or fewer in 10 of those 12 games.  They won't be getting much off Joe Musgrove, who is 3-0 with a 2.16 ERA and 0.880 WHIP in four starts this season.  The Padres are 4-0 in Musgrove's four starts with all four wins by 3 runs or more.

The Padres will stay hot at the plate against Mitch Keller, who is 0-3 with a 6.62 ERA and 1.641 WHIP in four starts this season.  The Pirates are 0-4 in Keller's four starts with all four losses by 2 runs or more.  Keller is 1-1 with a 7.00 ERA and 1.778 WHIP in two career starts against San Diego as well.  Take the Padres on the Run Line Sunday.

04-30-22 Yankees -1.5 v. Royals Top 3-0 Win 100 10 h 9 m Show

20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on New York Yankees -1.5 (-115)

The New York Yankees are hitting the cover off the ball right now.  They are 7-0 in their last seven games overall and scoring 8.3 runs per game during this winning streak.  They have scored at least 10 runs in four of their last five games.

Now they have their sights set on Carlos Hernandez of the Royals.  Hernandez is 0-0 with a 6.43 ERA and 1.787 WHIP in three starts this season while allowing 10 earned runs and 25 base runners in 14 innings with only 5 K's.

Meanwhile, the Yankees send ace Gerrit Cole to the mound.  He is coming off a dominant start against the Guardians in which he pitched 6 2/3 shutout innings with 9 K's.  Cole is 3-1 with a 2.41 ERA and 0.862 WHIP in five career starts against the Royals.  Bet the Yankees on the Run Line Saturday.

04-29-22 Yankees -1.5 v. Royals 12-2 Win 100 10 h 16 m Show

15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on New York Yankees -1.5 (-110)

The New York Yankees are hitting the cover off the ball right now.  They are 6-0 in their last six games overall while scoring an average of 7.7 runs per game.  They should stay hot at the plate tonight against the Kansas City Royals in Game 1 of this series.

The Yankees will tee off on Kris Bubic, who is 0-1 with a 14.14 ERA and 3.000 WHIP in three starts this season while allowing 11 earned runs and 21 base runners in 7 innings.  Meanwhile, Nestor Cortes will shut down the Royals.  Cortes is 0-0 with a 1.15 ERA and 0.639 WHIP in three starts this season while allowing just 2 earned runs and 10 base runners in 15 2/3 innings with a whopping 25 K's.

The Royals are hitting .206 and scoring 2.6 runs per game at home this season.  Roll with the Yankees on the Run Line Friday.

04-29-22 Padres -1.5 v. Pirates 7-3 Win 100 9 h 41 m Show

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on San Diego Padres -1.5 (-105)

The San Diego Padres are crushing the ball right now.  They have gone 8-2 in their last 10 games overall with six victories by two runs or more.  I'll gladly back them on the Run Line today against the Pittsburgh Pirates with their big advantage on the mound and at the plate.

The Pirates have scored 4 runs or fewer in nine of their last 10 games overall while going 3-7 in those 10 games with six losses by two runs or more.  Zach Thompson has been brutal for the Pirates this season, going 0-2 with a 10.80 ERA and 2.700 WHIP in three starts while allowing 12 earned runs and 27 base runners in 10 innings.

Thompson has never beaten the Padres, going 0-2 with a 7.00 ERA and 1.667 WHIP in two career starts against them, which resulted in losses by 3 and 5 runs.  He'll be opposed by Yu Darvish, who is 3-2 with a 2.40 ERA and 0.781 WHIP in eight career starts against Pittsburgh.

The Pirates are 4-21 in their last 25 games following a game where their bullpen blew a save.  They are losing by 2.4 runs per game in this spot.  The Padres are 6-0 in their last six games as favorites.  Take the Padres on the Run Line Friday.

04-26-22 Padres -1.5 v. Reds 9-6 Win 105 10 h 8 m Show

15* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on San Diego Padres -1.5 (+105)

The Cincinnati Reds are 1-11 in their last 12 games overall.  They have scored 2 runs or fewer in eight of their last nine games and are hitting just .186 and scoring 2.7 runs per game this season.  The Padres will make easy work of them tonight.

Joe Musgrove will shut down this putrid Cincinnati offense.  Musgrove is 2-0 with a 1.89 ERA and 0.737 WHIP in three starts this season while allowing just 4 earned runs and 14 base runners in 19 innings with 21 K's.  He's becoming the ace of this rotation.

Reiver Sanmartin is 0-2 with an 11.75 ERA and 2.350 WHIP in two starts this season, allowing 10 earned runs and 18 base runners in 7 2/3 innings.  He faced the Padres in his last start on April 19th and allowed 5 earned runs in 5 1/3 innings in a 2-6 loss opposite Musgrove.

Not only are the Reds 1-11 in their last 12 games overall, all 11 losses have come by two runs or more.  Bet the Padres on the Run Line Tuesday.

04-17-22 Yankees -1.5 v. Orioles 0-5 Loss -115 4 h 42 m Show

15* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on New York Yankees -1.5 (-115)

The New York Yankees have a big advantage on the mound and at the plate today over the Baltimore Orioles that should have them winning this game by two runs or more with ease.  I cashed in the Yankees -1.5 in their 5-2 victory yesterday and I'm back on them again on the Run Line today.

Nestor Cortes was sharp in his first start this season in holding the potent Blue Jays without a single run in 4 1/3 innings while allowing just three base runners and registering 5 K's.  Cortes has posted a 1.50 ERA and 0.917 WHIP in two career starts against the Orioles, both of which came last season.

Bruce Zimmerman is a gas can.  He allowed 4 earned runs, two homers and 10 base runners in 3 2/3 innings of a 5-1 loss to the Yankees in his only start against them last season.  Zimmerman is 4-5 with a 5.02 ERA and 1.460 WHIP in 75 1/3 innings in the big leagues.

The Orioles are hitting .198 and scoring 2.0 runs per game this season.  Baltimore is 8-29 in its last 37 games as a home dog of +125 to +175 and losing by 2.7 runs per game.  The Orioles are 1-15 in their last 16 home games vs. good fielding teams that average 0.5 or fewer errors per game and losing by 3.8 runs per game in this spot.  New York is 7-0 in its last seven road games vs. a left-handed starter.  The Yankees are 42-15 in the last 57 meetings, including 25-8 in the last 33 meetings in Baltimore.  Take the Yankees on the Run Line Sunday.

04-16-22 Yankees -1.5 v. Orioles 5-2 Win 100 10 h 40 m Show

15* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on New York Yankees -1.5 (-115)

The New York Yankees have too much firepower throughout their lineup to be held down for much longer.  I fully expect them to break out against the Baltimore Orioles today after losing 2-1 as -210 favorites yesterday.  So I'll back them on the Run Line here Saturday.

The Yankees have a big advantage on the mound with Jameson Taillon over Tyler Wells.  Taillon has posted a 3.27 ERA and 0.727 WHIP in two career starts against the Orioles.  He held the potent Blue Jays to two earned runs in five innings with only five base runners allowed in his first start this season.

Wells was rocked by the Rays for four earned runs in 1 2/3 innings of an 8-0 defeat in his first start this season.  It was his first career start and he isn't going to go deep in this game either.  The Yankees will get him out of there early and then feast on Baltimore's bullpen.  The Orioles are hitting just .196 and scoring 2.0 runs per game this season.

The Orioles are 16-48 in their last 64 games overall.  Taillon's teams are 21-7 in his last 28 road starts following a loss.  Baltimore is 8-28 in its last 36 games as a home dog of +125 to +175 and losing by 2.7 runs per game.  The Yankees are 7-0 in their last seven road games vs. a left-handed starter.  New York is 41-15 in the last 56 meetings and 24-8 in the last 32 meetings in Baltimore.  Roll with the Yankees on the Run Line Saturday.

10-17-21 Dodgers -1.5 v. Braves 4-5 Loss -100 11 h 57 m Show
15* Dodgers/Braves Game 2 ANNIHILATOR on Los Angeles -1.5 (+101) I expect the Los Angeles Dodgers to bounce back from a Game 1 loss with a blowout victory in Game 2. They have a big advantage on the mound tonight with Max Scherzer over Ian Anderson. Scherzer had a Cy Young season at 15-5 with a 2.39 ERA and 0.86 WHIP in 32 starts this season. Ian Anderson is 10-5 with a 3.44 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 25 starts this season. One of those starts came against the Dodgers when he allowed 4 earned runs in 4 1/3 innings. The Dodgers are 45-14 in their last 59 games overall. Los Angeles is 40-19 in the last 59 meetings. The Dodgers are 14-1 in Scherzer's last 15 starts. The only game they lost was a 1-0 setback against the Giants last series. Take the Dodgers on the Run Line Sunday.
10-06-21 Cardinals +1.5 v. Dodgers Top 1-3 Loss -108 12 h 38 m Show

20* Cardinals/Dodgers Wild Card No-Brainer on St. Louis +1.5 (-108)

It's rare that I take a team +1.5 on the Run Line, but I think that's where the value is in this wild card game between the St. Louis Cardinals and Los Angeles Dodgers.  It's going to be a low scoring game, and I can see it decided by one run either way with these two starting pitchers.

Adam Wainwright has resurrected his career this season, going 17-7 with a 3.05 ERA and 1.057 WHIP in 32 starts.  Wainwright is 7-6 with a 3.01 ERA and 1.126 WHIP in 17 career starts against the Dodgers.  He has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in eight of his last 10 starts against the Dodgers.

Max Scherzer had a great season, but he really struggled down the stretch.  He has posted an 8.71 ERA in his last two starts, allowing 10 earned runs and 3 homers in 10 1/3 innings.

The Cardinals are 11-0 in their last 11 road games.  St. Louis is 4-0 in Wainwright's last four starts against the Dodgers.  The Cardinals are 13-2 in Wainwright's last 15 starts following a loss.  Bet the Cardinals on the Run Line Wednesday.

09-30-21 Red Sox -1.5 v. Orioles 2-6 Loss -142 11 h 5 m Show

15* MLB Thursday PLAY OF THE DAY on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-142)

The Boston Red Sox are trying to hang on to a wild card spot in the American League.  They came through with a 6-0 victory yesterday over the Baltimore Orioles.  And I expect another blowout victory today due to their advantage on the mound.

Nick Pivetta has been at his best on the road this season, going 5-5 with a 3.55 ERA in 14 starts.  Pivetta has posted a 2.51 ERA in his last three starts coming in, and two of those were against the Yankees and White Sox.  He has never lost to the Orioles, going 6-0 with a 3.35 ERA and 1.116 WHIP in seven career starts against them.

Alexander Wells is still in search of his first victory this season.  He is 0-3 with an 8.13 ERA and 1.677 WHIP in seven starts.  Wells faced the Red Sox on September 19th two starts back, allowing 5 earned runs in 5 innings.

Baltimore is 4-28 vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 runs per game or more in the second half of the season this season and losing by nearly 5 runs per game in this spot.  The Red Sox are 7-1 in their last eight meetings with the Orioles with all seven wins coming by two runs or more.  Take the Red Sox on the Run Line Thursday.

09-24-21 Dodgers -1.5 v. Diamondbacks Top 4-2 Win 100 10 h 25 m Show

20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-135)

The Los Angeles Dodgers trail the San Francisco Giants by one game for first place in the NL West.  This is a huge series for them against the Arizona Diamondbacks, and they won't be taking them lightly.  Look for them to win Game 1 by two runs or more to cover this Run Line due to their advantage on the mound.

Tony Gonsolin is 2-1 with a 2.43 ERA in 11 starts this season.  Gonsolin is 1-0 with a 1.96 ERA in his last five starts against the Diamondbacks, allowing just 4 earned runs in 18 1/3 innings.  He'll be opposed by Humberto Castellanos, who has posted a 4.63 ERA in five starts this season, including a 7.07 ERA in his last three starts while allowing 11 earned runs and 4 homers in 14 innings.

The Dodgers are 14-2 in 16 meetings with the Diamondbacks this season.  Los Angeles is 42-9 in its last 51 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.  Arizona is 34-91 in its last 125 games overall.  The Diamondbacks are 1-8 in their last nine home games.  Los Angeles is 46-11 as a favorite of -200 or more this season and winning by 2.7 runs per game.  Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Friday.

09-21-21 Astros -1.5 v. Angels Top 10-5 Win 100 13 h 43 m Show

20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Houston Astros -1.5 (-125)

The Houston Astros have the best run differential in baseball.  They have the 2nd-best offense and 4th-best defense.  The Astros are 7-2 in their last nine games overall and hitting the cover off the ball right now.  They have scored at least 4 runs in each of their last six games and are averaging 7.5 runs per game in their last eight games.

The Astros should win by two runs or more against the hapless Los Angeles Angels, who have lost four straight and are averaging just 1.8 runs per game during this skid.  They are missing basically all of their best hitters on offense except Ohtani.

Jose Urquidy should shut down the Angels, too.  He is 7-3 with a 3.38 ERA and 0.982 WHIP in 17 starts this season.  Urquidy has posted a 1.35 ERA in his last three starts against the Angels.  He'll be opposed by Packy Naughton, who is 0-2 with a 5.56 ERA and 1.675 WHIP in three starts this season for the Angels.

The Angels are 6-20 in their last 26 home games after scoring one run or less.  They are losing by 2.2 runs per game in this spot.  The Astros are 93-43 in their last 136 games after allowing two runs or less in their previous game.  Houston is 41-19 in the last 60 meetings.  Bet the Astros on the Run Line Tuesday.

09-17-21 Twins v. Blue Jays -1.5 Top 7-3 Loss -115 9 h 58 m Show

20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-115)

The Toronto Blue Jays are 16-3 in their last 19 games overall and the hottest team in baseball.  Ten of their last 11 wins have come by two runs or more.  They are battling with the Red Sox and Yankees for the two wild card spots in the American League.  They need to keep winning and will be highly motivated to do so.

The Minnesota Twins are just 2-6 in their last eight games overall.  Now they have to take on a red hot Blue Jays team that has scored 5 runs or more in 13 of their last 15 games, including a combined 58 runs in their last six games for an average of 9.7 runs per game.

The Blue Jays have the advantage on the mound.  Hyun-Jin Ryu is 13-8 with a 4.11 ERA and 1.186 WHIP in 28 starts this season.  He'll be opposed by Michael Pineda, who is 0-2 with a 12.34 ERA in his last three starts against the Blue Jays, allowing 16 earned runs and 7 homers in 11 2/3 innings.

Ryu's teams are 27-6 in his last 33 starts when working on 5 or 6 days' rest and winning by 2.7 runs per game.  Pineda's teams are 1-8 when he's working on 5 or 6 days' rest this season and losing by 1.8 runs per game.  The Twins are 6-16 in their last 22 games vs. a left-handed starter.  Bet the Blue Jays on the Run Line Friday.

09-14-21 Padres v. Giants -1.5 1-6 Win 120 12 h 38 m Show

15* MLB Run Line PLAY OF THE DAY on San Francisco Giants -1.5 (+120)

The San Francisco Giants are coming up clutch here late in the season with the NL West division on the line.  They are 8-0 in their last eight games with seven wins by two runs or more.  They have scored at least 6 runs in all eight wins so they are stupid hot at the plate right now.

The San Diego Padres are falling flat on their faces while trying to make the wild card.  They are 0-4 in their last four games overall while scoring a combined 5 runs in the four losses, averaging just 1.25 runs per game.  They can't be trusted right now.

Speaking of can't be trusted, Jake Arrieta was a head-scratching acquisition for the Padres at the trade deadline.  Arrieta is 5-12 with a 7.03 ERA and 1.722 WHIP in 22 starts this season.  He is 0-8 with a 9.70 ERA in his last 13 starts, allowing 51 earned runs in 47 1/3 innings.

Arrieta's teams are 0-10 in his last 10 starts with nine losses by two runs or more.  He gave up 6 earned runs in 2 innings in his lone start against the Giants this season.  Anthony DeSclafini is 11-6 with a 3.33 ERA and 1.116 WHIP in 27 starts this season.  He is 1-1 with a 2.90 ERA and 0.967 WHIP in seven career starts against the Padres.

Arrieta's teams are 1-12 in his 13 starts as an underdog of +125 to +175 over the last two seasons.  They are losing by 3.5 runs per game in this spot.  Take the Giants on the Run Line Tuesday.

09-12-21 Marlins v. Braves -1.5 3-5 Win 100 2 h 17 m Show

15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-130)

The Atlanta Braves are trying to win the NL East Division.  They are coming off a loss as a -250 favorite to the Marlins yesterday and will be highly motivated to bounce back today.  I like their chances of winning this game by two runs or more due to their advantage on the mound.

Max Fried has been dominant down the stretch.  He has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in eight consecutive starts, two earned runs or fewer in seven of them and one earned run or fewer in five of them.  He has gone 4-1 with a 1.73 ERA in those eight starts while allowing just 10 earned runs in 52 innings.

Edward Cabrera is 0-1 with a 7.11 ERA and 1.501 WHIP in three starts this season.  He has allowed 10 earned runs and 4 homers in 12 2/3 innings in those starts, two of which came against the Mets and one against the Nationals.

The Braves are 24-7 in Fried's last 31 starts as a favorite of -110 or higher and winning by 3.0 runs per game in this spot.  The Marlins are 3-15 in road games vs. left-handed starters this season and losing by 2.6 runs per game in this spot.  Bet the Braves on the Run Line Sunday.

09-11-21 Brewers -1.5 v. Indians Top 3-0 Win 100 12 h 4 m Show

20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (-112)

The Milwaukee Brewers continue to play well as they are 9-3 in their last 12 games overall to improve to 87-55 on the season.  Cleveland is 2-6 in its last eight games overall to basically eliminate all hopes of them making the postseason.  The Indians will likely pack it in the rest the way.

The Brewers won 10-3 over the Indians yesterday and there's reasons to believe they will win in a blowout again.  The wind is expected to be blowing out to center at 16 MPH today at Progressive Field.  So we want the ground ball pitcher over the fly ball pitcher.

Well, Corbin Burnes is a ground ball pitcher who is having a fantastic season.  Burnes is 9-4 with a 2.31 ERA and 0.951 WHIP in 24 starts this season with only 5 homers allowed and 196 K's in 144 innings.  He is also 6-0 with a 1.84 ERA and 0.845 WHIP in 11 road starts.  Zach Plesac is 10-4 with a 4.52 ERA in 21 starts this season for the Indians, allowing 20 homers in 119 1/3 innings with only 85 K's.  

Milwaukee is 38-16 in its last 54 road games.  The Indians are 9-26 in their last 35 games as home underdogs.  The Brewers are 14-2 in their last 17 road games with a total of 8 to 8.5 and winning by 4.2 runs per game in this spot.  Take the Brewers on the Run Line Saturday.

09-09-21 Nationals v. Braves -1.5 Top 6-7 Loss -109 9 h 32 m Show

20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-109)

The Atlanta Braves are trying to win the NL East as they are 2.5 games ahead of the Philadelphia Phillies for first place.  They will be highly motivated to bounce back from an upset loss to the Washington Nationals yesterday.

They should do just that thanks to their advantage on the mound. Huascar Ynoa has posted a 3.24 ERA and 1.005 WHIP in 12 starts this season, including a 2.29 ERA and 0.821 WHIP in six home starts.  Ynoa is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA in two starts against the Nationals this season, pitching 12 shutout innings.

Erick Fedde is 6-9 with a 5.27 ERA and 1.486 WHIP in 23 starts this season, including 0-1 with a 9.72 ERA in his last two starts, allowing 9 earned runs and 19 base runners in 8 1/3 innings.  Fedde has never beaten the Braves, going 0-4 with an 11.02 ERA and 2.449 WHIP in six career starts against them.  He has allowed 14 earned runs in 11 1/3 innings across three starts against the Braves in 2021 alone.  Bet the Braves on the Run Line Thursday.

09-08-21 Nationals v. Braves -1.5 Top 4-2 Loss -110 9 h 58 m Show

20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-110)

The Atlanta Braves have a lot to play for right now as they are 2.5 games ahead of the Philadelphia Phillies for first place in the NL East.  They have a big advantage on the mound over the lowly Washington Nationals tonight.

Touki Toussaint is 3-2 with a 4.29 ERA and 1.215 WHIP in eight starts for the Braves this season.  He'll be opposed by lefty Sean Nolin, who is 0-2 with a 5.71 ERA and 1.673 WHIP in four starts this season, including 0-2 with a 6.57 ERA and 1.865 WHIP in three road starts.

The Braves are scoring 5.9 runs per game vs. left-handed starters this season.  Atlanta is 22-6 in its last 28 games as a favorite.  The Nationals are 17-43 in their last 60 games overall, including 6-21 in their last 27 road games.  Atlanta is 26-10 in the last 35 meetings.  Bet the Braves on the Run Line Wednesday.

09-07-21 Nationals v. Braves -1.5 Top 5-8 Win 100 10 h 36 m Show

20* NL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-113)

The Atlanta Braves have a lot to play for right now as they are 1.5 games ahead of the Philadelphia Phillies for first place in the NL East.  They are rested having yesterday off, while the Nationals played yesterday and will be playing their 6th game in 5 days.  The Braves have a big advantage on the mound over the lowly Nationals tonight.

Max Fried has been dominant for a couple months now.  He has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in seven consecutive starts.  Fried has gone 4-1 with a 1.76 ERA in those seven starts, allowing just 9 earned runs in 46 innings.  He is 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA in his last two starts against the Nationals this season, allowing just 2 earned runs in 12 innings.

Paulo Espino is 4-3 with a 4.33 ERA in 14 starts for the Nationals, including 1-0 with a 5.21 ERA in five home starts.  Espino faced the Braves once this season on August 15th, allowing 5 earned runs, 3 homers and 10 base runners in 4 innings.

The Braves are 39-13 in Fried's last 52 starts as a favorite of -110 or higher, outscoring opponents by 2.6 runs per game in this spot.  The Nationals are 17-42 in their last 59 games overall, including 6-20 in their last 26 road games.  Atlanta is 25-10 in the last 35 meetings.  Bet the Braves on the Run Line Tuesday.

09-05-21 Twins v. Rays -1.5 6-5 Loss -107 2 h 16 m Show

15* MLB Run Line ANNIHILATOR on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-107)

The Tampa Bay Rays are 15-3 in their last 18 games overall with 14 wins by two runs or more.  The Minnesota Twins are 0-4 in their last four games with all four losses by two runs or more.  It should be more of the same Sunday.

The Rays have the advantage on the mound behind Louis Patino, who is 3-2 with a 2.15 ERA and 0.988 WHIP in six home starts this season.  Griffin Jax is 2-3 with a 6.37 ERA and 1.366 WHIP in eight starts this season for the Twins.  He has allowed 15 earned runs and 5 homers in 9 2/3 innings in his last two starts coming in.

Minnesota is 1-10 in its last 11 road games after scoring four runs or less in four straight games.  The Rays are 47-19 in their last 66 Sunday games.  Tampa Bay is 51-15 in its last 66 games following a win.  The Ryas are 66-19 in their last 85 home games vs. a right-handed starter.  Roll with the Rays on the Run line Sunday.

09-05-21 A's v. Blue Jays -1.5 Top 0-8 Win 100 2 h 22 m Show

20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (+100)

The Toronto Blue Jays are 6-1 in their last seven games overall as they make their push for the postseason.  One of the teams they are chasing is the A's, who they are trying to sweep today.  They have scored 11 and 10 runs in the first two games of this series, so they are clearly swinging the bats well.

Now the Blue Jays won't even need that much run support to cover this Run Line.  That's because one of the best starters in baseball goes today for them.  Robbie Ray has amazingly allowed 4 earned runs or fewer in 27 consecutive starts.  Ray has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in 10 of his last 11 starts, and 3 earned runs or fewer in 16 of his last 17 starts.

Cole Irvin has allowed 3 earned runs or more in each of his last four starts.  The Blue Jays will tag him today.  Oakland is 0-7 this season after a game where the bullpen gave up 5 earned runs or more.  It is coming back to lose by 3.7 runs per game in this spot.  Take the Blue Jays on the Run Line Sunday.

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