Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03-21-16 | Kings v. Bulls -7.5 | 102-109 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
40* NBA Situational ATS Knockout (Bulls -7.5) This is every bit a fade of the Kings as it is a play on the Bulls. Chicago is starting to play up to their potential and are catching Sacramento in a horrible spot. The Kings have nothing to play for at this point in the season, which is going to make it extremely difficult for them to match the intensity of the Bulls in the 2nd game of a back-to-back road set. This is also Sacramento's 3rd road game in the last 4 days and 5th game overall in the last 7 days. Bulls beat the Kings 107-102 in Sacramento earlier this season and the Kings are just 4-13 ATS in their last 17 when revenging a home loss this season. Chicago is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games against a team with a losing record. Give me the Bulls -7.5! |
|||||||
03-19-16 | Thunder -3.5 v. Pacers | 115-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
40* NBA Situational ATS No Brainer (Thunder -3.5) I believe we are getting some great value here with Oklahoma City due to the fact that this line is a little lower than it should be due to the Thunder playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set. The key here is that this is a huge revenge game for OKC, as the Pacers went into their house and won 101-98. A game the Thunder let get away late. Indiana is just 9-18 ATS in their last 27 against the Western Conference and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games. Give me the Thunder -3.5! |
|||||||
03-18-16 | Blazers -1 v. Pelicans | 117-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie Crusher (Blazers -1) The Blazers are showing big time value here at basically a pick'em against the Pelicans. New Orleans comes in off a blowout win against the Kings, but that's nothing to get excited about. Prior to that the Pelicans had lost 8 of their previous 9. Portland is without a doubt the better team and we can count on a max effort here after dropping their last two. Blazers are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 after allowing 110 or more points and 21-12 ATS in their last 33 off a SU loss. Pelicans on the other hand are just 3-13 ATS in their last 16 off an upset win as a road underdog. Give me Portland -1! |
|||||||
03-16-16 | Clippers v. Rockets -3 | 122-106 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
40* NBA Blockbuster Bookie BLOWOUT (Rockets -3) This is a great price to back the Rockets at home against the Clippers. Los Angeles is slumping and find themselves in an awful spot. The Clippers just invested a lot of energy in back-to-back games against the Cavaliers and Spurs. Both ended in losses by 20+ points, including last night's 87-108 defeat at San Antonio. Now LA has to turn around and play on no rest against a Houston team that likes to play at a fast pace. The Rockets also have had the Clippers number of late, winning 5 of the last 6 meetings. The only loss coming in LA. Houston is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games and the Clippers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 against at team with a winning record. Give me the Rockets -3! |
|||||||
03-15-16 | Clippers +9 v. Spurs | 87-108 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
40* NBA Situational ATS Knockout (Clippers +9) Los Angeles comes into this game off an ugly 24-point home loss to the Cavaliers. That combined with the fact that the Spurs are 32-0 at home this season, has the Clippers showing some big time value here in a huge bounce back spot. LA has proved to be a difficult matchup for San Antonio. The Clippers have shot 47% or better in each of the last 6 meetings with the Spurs. Winning 4 of those outright. LA is an impressive 20-11 on the road this season, 8-1 ATS in their last 9 off a SU loss and 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 off a double-digit loss at home. Spurs are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Give me the Clippers +9! |
|||||||
03-14-16 | Cavs v. Jazz +4.5 | Top | 85-94 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
50* NBA Sharp Money Top Play (Jazz +4.5) The Cavaliers are coming off an impressive 114-90 road win over the Clippers, giving them 6 wins in their last 7 games. However, I think this will prove to be a tough spot for Cleveland, playing on the road in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set is no easy task, especially when that second game is in Utah. The Jazz are finding their form again, as they have won two straight. Utah needs this win more and have the defense to keep the Cavaliers in check. Utah only lost by 4 on the road at Cleveland earlier this season and have won 5 of the last 6 meetings at home against the Cavaliers. Underdogs revenging a loss where they allowed 110 or more points are 30-8 ATS over the last 5 seasons off 2 straight covers as a favorite. Give me the Jazz +4.5! |
|||||||
03-13-16 | Jazz -2.5 v. Kings | 108-99 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show | |
40* NBA Situational ATS KNOCKOUT (Jazz -2.5) Utah comes into this game off an impressive 114-93 blowout win at home against the Wizards, which was a much-needed victory after losing 7 of their last 8. The Jazz can't afford to let their foot off the gas if they want to make the playoffs and Sacramento is a team they simply can't afford to lose to, especially with the current form of the Kings. Sacramento has lost 4 straight and 8 of 9 overall and there's clearly some major chemistry issues with the players and head coach. Add in the fact that Utah is playing with double-revenge and the Jazz should have no problem covering this spread. Give me Utah -2.5! |
|||||||
03-12-16 | Pelicans v. Bucks -5.5 | 92-103 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
40* NBA Situational ATS KNOCKOUT (Bucks -5.5) This is a great spot to fade the Pelicans. Injuries have derailed New Orleans' season and they come in having lost 6 of their last 7. The Pelicans are just 7-25 on the road and will be playing their 2nd straight on the road and will be on no rest. It's also important to note that yesterday's game against Memphis went into overtime, which is going to make it that much harder for New Orleans to bounce back. Pelicans are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games and 2-12 ATS in their last 14 after playing in a game where they allowed 120 or more points. Give me the Bucks -5.5! |
|||||||
03-12-16 | Pacers v. Mavs +1.5 | 112-105 | Loss | -104 | 4 h 56 m | Show | |
40* NBA Dog of the Day (Mavericks +1.5) This is the perfect spot to jump on the Mavericks. Dallas comes into this game having lost 4 straight, which has them way undervalued as a home dog against the Pacers. The Mavericks are still tied for 7th in the west and we can expect a max effort here after their recent poor play. Indiana comes in off 4 days of rest and I look for them to come out flat after that big home win over the Spurs. Pacers are just 8-18 ATS in their last 26 against the Western Conference and 23-41 ATS in their last 64 off an upset win at home. Give me the Mavericks +1.5! |
|||||||
03-11-16 | Wolves +12.5 v. Thunder | 99-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
40* NBA Dog of the Day (Wolves +12.5) We are getting great value here to fade the Thunder in a really bad scheduling spot. Oklahoma City is coming off a big win at home against the Clippers, where they were playing with big time revenge from a loss they suffered a week earlier. It won't be easy bouncing back with a max effort here after that game, plus they have another monster game on deck tomorrow at San Antonio. Look for Minnesota to do enough here to keep this game close. The Timberwolves only lost by 3 at home in the previous meeting and are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 road games when revenging a loss to an opponent where they allowed 100 or more points. Give me Minnesota +12.5! |
|||||||
03-09-16 | Clippers v. Thunder -5.5 | 108-120 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
40* NBA Vegas Sharp Shooter (Thunder -5.5) Oklahoma City will be out for some serious revenge against the Clippers. Last Wednesday the Thunder built up a 22-point lead, only to give it away and lose 98-103 at Los Angeles. That loss is definitely something Oklahoma City hasn't forgot and I look for them to come out and make a statement against the Clippers at home, where they are 25-8 on the season. Thunder are 5-1 ATS in their last 7 when playing on 2 days of rest and 27-9-2 ATS in their last 38 home games against a team that's won more than 60% of their road games. Give me Oklahoma City -5.5! |
|||||||
03-07-16 | Clippers -5 v. Mavs | Top | 109-90 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
50* NBA Vegas Sharp Money Top Play (Clippers -5) This might seem like a big number for the Clippers to be laying on the road against the Mavericks, but this is a horrible spot for Dallas. The Mavericks had to play yesterday in Denver and ended up losing in overtime due to silly turnover in the final seconds. It's hard enough playing on no rest after a game in the thin air of Denver, it's even harder when you have 4 starts log over 35+ minutes. It's also worth mentioning that Dallas is just 5-8 in their last 13 with 4 of those wins coming against the 76ers, Timberwolves, Magic and Kings. Los Angeles lost 97-107 at home to the Hawks in their last game and haven't lost back-to-back games since before Christmas. LA is also 11-2 ATS in their last 13 as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points. Give me the Clippers -5! |
|||||||
03-06-16 | Rockets v. Raptors -7 | 113-107 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
40* NBA Situational ATS KNOCKOUT (Raptors -7) This might seem like a big number to be laying with the Raptors, but I look for Toronto to have no problem securing a win and cover at home against the Rockets. Houston is a team that's been trending in the wrong direction since the season started and are in a bad spot here, playing with no rest in the 2nd game of a back-to-back road set. Toronto has wan an impressive 12 straight games on their home floor and have no reason to look ahead with the Nets at home on deck. Houston is just 6-15 ATS in their last 21 against the Eastern Conference and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 when playing on 0 days of rest. Give me the Raptors -7! |
|||||||
03-05-16 | Rockets v. Bulls -1 | 100-108 | Win | 103 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
40* NBA Vegas Line Mistake (Bulls -1) The Bulls come into this game having lost 4 straight both SU and ATS, which has them way undervalued against the inconsistent Rockets. Chicago's recent slump has them on the outside looking in at the Eastern Conference playoff race, so we can expect a max effort here. The Bulls also get a huge emotional boost in this game, as Jimmy Butler is set to return from injury. Rockets are just 6-16 ATS in their last 22 against the east and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 off a SU win. Give me Chicago -1! |
|||||||
03-05-16 | Celtics v. Cavs -7.5 | 103-120 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
40* NBA No-Doubt Bookie Slaughter (Cavaliers -7.5) The Cavaliers are a dominant 26-5 at home this season after last night's 108-83 win against the Wizards. One of those 5 home losses came recently against the Celtics 103-104. Cleveland isn't going to take that loss likely and I look for them to come out looking to make a statement against the Celtics. While both teams are playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set, the Cavaliers have the luxury of playing both at home, while Boston has to travel off a hard fought 105-104 win at home against the Knicks last night. Celtics are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games against a team with a winning home record, while Cleveland is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 when revenging a loss where they allowed 100 or more points. Give me the Cavaliers -7.5! |
|||||||
03-04-16 | Jazz +1 v. Grizzlies | Top | 88-94 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
50* NBA Western Conference Game of the Month (Jazz +1) The Jazz are worth a look as a small road dog against the Grizzlies. The books are begging for you to take Memphis at home with this line. It just doesn't make sense from the public's perspective to see the Grizzlies at basically a pick'em against the Jazz, who have lost 4 straight. Memphis has been playing well without Marc Gasol, but all of their wins without him have come against bad teams. Utah is a serious playoff contender and I look for them to pull out the road victory tonight. Utah has covered each of the last 4 meetings in the series and Memphis is just 4-13 ATS in their last 17 when they come in having won 2 straight. Give me Utah +1! |
|||||||
03-02-16 | Pacers -1.5 v. Bucks | 104-99 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
40* NBA Situational ATS KNOCKOUT (Pacers -1.5) The Bucks come into this game off a 128-121 win at home against the Rockets as a 3-point dog. Right away that puts us in a great spot to take the Pacers, as Milwaukee is just 4-14 ATS over the last 3 seasons in home games off a home win. Indiana has lost 3 straight, but did cover as a 8-point dog in a 96-100 defeat at Cleveland last time out. That cover puts the Pacers at 10-2 ATS in their last 12 against division opponents. This is a great spot and favorable line to back Indiana. Give me the Pacers -1.5! |
|||||||
03-01-16 | Suns v. Hornets -12.5 | 92-126 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
40* NBA No-Doubt ATS Blowout (Hornets -12.5) This is going to seem like a big number for the Hornets to be laying at home against the Suns, who just knocked off Memphis 111-106 as a 7-point dog last time out. This number will also seem high due to Charlotte having just lost by 11 at Atlanta in their last game. Phoenix had lost 13 straight prior to their win over the Grizzlies and have really struggled on the road. Last time they played on the road they lost by 40 to the Clippers. Overall they have lost 10 straight away from home by double-digits. With the Hornets motivated coming off a loss, this one figures to get ugly in a hurry. Give me Charlotte -12.5! |
|||||||
02-29-16 | Grizzlies -2.5 v. Nuggets | 103-96 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
40* NBA Situational ATS KNOCKOUT (Grizzlies -2.5) This is a great spot to jump on the Grizzlies and go against the Nuggets. Memphis is going to be extremely motivated to come out strong after losing on the road to Suns 106-11 as a 7-point favorite. Prior to that the Grizzlies had won 4 of 5 and the loss can be blamed on them simply not showing up against a bad team. I don't see that happening in back-to-back games. Denver had been playing well, but are just 1-4 in their last 5 and suffered a big setback in their last game when leading scorer Danilo Gallinari suffered a ankle injury that has him out indefinitely. Memphis is 22-11 ATS in their last 33 off a road loss and 11-3 ATS in their last 13 after allowing 105 or more. Denver is 3-13 ATS in their last 16 home games after playing 2 or more consecutive games on the road. Give me the Grizzlies -2.5! |