Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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11-23-19 | Lakers v. Grizzlies +7.5 | 109-108 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
40* NBA (Grizzlies +7.5) I'll take my chances here with Memphis covering as a home dog against the Lakers on Saturday. Big game here for the Grizzlies at home against one of the top teams in the league and they couldn't be catching LA at a better time. Lakers will be on no rest after a really fast paced game last night at OKC where the two teams combined for 257 points. LeBron and AD both logged a ton of minutes and I could see them resting here. Either way they shouldn't be at their best in this spot and to make matters worse they are facing a Memphis team that is playing on 3 days rest. Give me the Grizzlies +7.5! |
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11-23-19 | Bulls -1.5 v. Hornets | 116-115 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
40* NBA (Bulls -1.5) I'll take my chances here with Chicago cashing in a win and cover on the road against Charlotte. Both of these teams are playing on no rest and while both are off to poor starts, I don't think there's any arguing who is the more talented team. Bulls laid an egg last night early against Miami, but showed a lot of grit fighting back to lose by just single-digits. Charlotte is a team I think that's only going to get worse and they just aren't the kind of team that is built to play well on no rest. Bulls also have some revenge to take care of, as they were upset in their opener against the Hornets a game in which Charlotte shot a ridiculous 51.1% from the field and 52.3% from deep. Even with that hot shooting the Hornets still had to rally from double-digits down to sneak out a 1-point win. Give me the Bulls -1.5! |
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11-22-19 | Celtics v. Nuggets -4 | 92-96 | Push | 0 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS KNOCKOUT (Nuggets -4) I'll take my chances here with Denver as a small home favorite against Boston. I think the Nuggets are showing tremendous value here. They are right there at the top of the standings at 10-3 and are extremely difficult to beat at home when they are playing well. As for the Celtics, this just feels like a massive letdown spot. Boston laid everything they had on the line in Wednesday's OT loss to the Clippers. Now they have to go play in the thin air of Denver in what will be their 5th straight road game and 4th game in the last 6 days. It's very similar to the Nuggets last opponent in the Rockets, who came in having won and covered 8 straight and scored 95 points in a 10-point loss. Give me the Nuggets -4! |
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11-22-19 | Hawks v. Pistons -6 | 103-128 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS MASSACRE (Pistons -6) I'll take my chances here with Detroit bouncing back from that awful performance on the road Wednesday at Chicago. That loss was their 5th straight overall and I think we are going to get their best effort tonight at home against a struggling Hawks team. Atlanta has lost their last 4 and are just 2-10 in their last 12. Note that all 10 of those losses during this stretch have come by 8 or more points. Some of Detroit's recent struggles can be attributed to playing on the road and they are 5-1 ATS last 6 at home off a road trip of 7 or more days. Pistons are also 9-2 ATS last 11 at home vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Give me Detroit -6! |
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11-20-19 | Hornets v. Nets -3.5 | 91-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (Nets -3.5) I'll take my chances here with Brooklyn as a small home favorite against the Hornets. I just think we are getting a good price on the Nets because of the fact that they won't have Kyrie Irving. While he's without a doubt their best player right now, they got more than enough talent to take down this Charlotte team. Hornets are no where close to as good as their 6-8 record. They got a net rating of -7.9, which is the 4th worst in the league. They should be closer to 3-11 than 6-8. Another big factor here is the Hornets have to be running on fumes. Charlotte is playing their 3rd straight on the road and 4th overall in the last 6 days. Give me the Nets -3.5! |
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11-19-19 | Warriors v. Grizzlies -6.5 | 114-95 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS ODDSMAKERS ERROR (Grizzlies -6.5) I'll take my chances here with Memphis covering the 6.5-point spread at home against the Warriors. It's no secret that Golden State is in a world of hurt right now. I get Memphis isn't a great team, but with D'Angelo Russell now sidelined the Warriors just don't have the offensive playmakers to beat anybody, especially on the road. Not to mention teams are really enjoying beating up on Golden State after what they have done the last 5 years. Grizzlies are also a team playing well, as they have won 3 of their last 4. I think they win here by double-digits rather easily. Give me Memphis -6.5! |
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11-18-19 | Spurs v. Mavs -4.5 | 110-117 | Win | 100 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Mavs -4.5) I'll take my chances here with Dallas covering the 4.5 point spread at home against the Spurs. I just feel like San Antonio is getting way too much respect on the road with how poor they are playing. Spurs have lost 5 straight and are not in a good spot here, playing their 3rd game in 4 days on the road. SA is just 2-10 ATS on the season and have gone 4-16 the last 3 seasons ATS in road games vs a team that's won 51% to 60% of their games. Give me the Mavs -4.5! |
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11-15-19 | Pacers +5 v. Rockets | 102-111 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Pacers +5) I'll take my chances here with Indiana covering here at Houston. I just think this is an ideal spot to fade the Rockets coming off that emotional win over the Clippers on Wednesday. Houston was able to overcome a lot of injuries in that win, but I think it will be a lot tougher to bring that same injury against a team like Indiana. Not to mention they have added Clint Capela to the list of guys out and there's talk of them resting Russell Westbrook in this one. Pacers are also playing great basketball right now. Indiana has won 4 straight and 7 of 8 overall. Give me the Pacers +5! |
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11-15-19 | Spurs v. Magic -3 | Top | 109-111 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Magic -3) I'll gladly take my chances here with Orlando laying a small number at home against the Spurs. I won with the Magic in their last game, as they beat the 76ers 112-97 as a similarly priced 2.5-point home favorite. I think they are fresh right now, playing just their 3rd game in the last 7 days, all at home, so no travel. San Antonio has lost 3 straight and 5 of 6 overall. Spurs are simply not very good right now, but their brand is so good that they continue to get respect from the books and the public. No bigger evidence to the Spurs not being what people think is the fact that they are 2-9 ATS in their first 11 games. They are giving up 119.4 ppg on 50.2% shooting in their last 5 and even last year when they were decent they payed awful on the road. Give me the Magic -3! |
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11-14-19 | Bulls +12 v. Bucks | 115-124 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Bulls +12) I'll take my chances here with Chicago as a double-digit dog against the Bucks. I cashed in on the Bulls in their last game, which they easily covered as a 6-point favorite in a 120-102 win against the Knicks. Big reason I liked Chicago in that game was they finally got some rest after a brutal schedule that had them traveling all over the place the first few weeks of the season. They are much better team than their 4-7 record. Bucks have been overpriced a lot lately, as they have failed to cover 3 straight and will be without Khris Middleton for this one, who is their No. 2 option behind the Greek Freak. Give me Chicago +12! |
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11-14-19 | Clippers v. Pelicans +4 | 127-132 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Pelicans +4) I'll take my chances here with New Orleans covering as a small home dog against the Clippers. I know it's tough backing the Pelicans given they are just 2-8 SU and 3-7 ATS on the season, but this line is begging for you to take the Clippers. I just think this is a tough spot for LA, who is just 1-3 on the road. Clippers off a massive game last night against the Rockets and could easily suffer a letdown playing in the second game of a back-to-back road set. Good chance Kawhi rests in this one and while Paul George is expected to make his debut, he's likely on a minutes restriction and will have to work through some rust. Give me New Orleans +4! |
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11-13-19 | Raptors v. Blazers -2.5 | 114-106 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS KNOCKOUT (Blazers -2.5) I'll take my chances here with the Blazers as a small home favorite. I know Portland is in the 2nd game of a back-to-back and just lost as a favorite last night at Sacramento, but I still think they got the upper hand on a depleted Raptors team that won't have OG Anunoby, Kyle Lowry or Serge Ibaka for this one. Toronto also off a very emotional game against the Clippers, as that was their first game against Kawhi after he left town following last year's title run. Raptors are also playing their 4th straight on the road and 3rd game in the last 4 nights. Give me Portland -2.5! |
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11-13-19 | 76ers v. Magic +1 | 97-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
40* NBA BIG MONEY ATS SHOCKER (Magic +1) I got a good feeling we could see both Embiid and Simmons sit this one out for the 76ers and the line definitely suggests that's what the bookmakers are thinking. On top of that, Philadelphia is not playing great basketball right now and are in the 2nd game of a back-to-back. All 5 starters played 31+ minutes in last night's mere 1-point win over the Cavs as a double-digit favorite, so even if Embiid and Simmons play I like Orlando here. Magic are desperate for a win and will be the much fresher team on two days rest. Give me Orlando +1! |
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11-12-19 | Thunder v. Pacers -3 | 85-111 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Pacers -3) I'll take my chances here with the Pacers as a small home favorite against the Thunder. Indiana has completely flipped the script from their 0-3 start, as they are 6-1 in their last 7. I just can't pass up on a team playing this well at home, especially against a OKC team that I think will be running on empty. Thunder are playing their 3rd game in 4 nights and are massive game at home against the Bucks, which they lost in heartbreaking fashion 121-119. Give me the Pacers -3! |
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11-12-19 | Cavs +10 v. 76ers | Top | 97-98 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Cavs +10) I'll gladly take my chances here with Cleveland as a double-digit dog against the 76ers. The Cavs have been a lot more competitive this season under John Beilein. They come in having wno and covered two straight and I like their chances of making a game of it with Philadelphia. 76ers have not been playing great of late, will be resting Al Horford and Ben Simmons is questionable. Even if Simmons plays, I would expect they try to ease him back. Give me the Cavs +10! |
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11-11-19 | Mavs +4 v. Celtics | 106-116 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Mavs +4) I'll take my chances here with Dallas covering as a small road dog. Boston comes in having won 7 straight and are 5-1-1 ATS during this stretch. Even the injury to Hayward isn't going to keep the public from taking the Celtics as a small home favorite. I just think that injury will be tough to overcome. This Mavs team has also played exceptionally well on the road early on. Dallas is 4-0 SU and 4-0 ATS on the road, where they are outscoring teams on average 125.2 to 113.7. Celtics are just 4-14 ATS last 18 at home after giving up 115 or more points in their last game (allowed 115 to SA). Give me the Mavs +4! |
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11-08-19 | Grizzlies v. Magic -6.5 | Top | 86-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Magic -6.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Orlando covering the 6.5-point spread at home against the Grizzlies. I just think Memphis is getting a little too much love off a upset win at home over the Timberwolves, where Minnesota clearly didn't show up to play (allowed 137 points). Grizzlies have been complete no-shows on the road this year, losing by 19 at Miami and by 29 at LAL. Magic are undervalued right now coming off 4 straight losses, but those were to the Bucks, Nuggets, Thunder and Mavs. Only the game against Milwaukee were they not competitive. Orlando won by 9 at home over Cleveland and by 12 at home against the Knicks. Give me the Magic -6.5! |
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11-07-19 | Thunder v. Spurs -4.5 | 112-121 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE ATS SLAUGHTER (Spurs -4.5) I'll take my chances here with San Antonio as a small home favorite against OKC. I get this will probably be a big public play, but I don't care. I just think the Spurs are so good at home that you just have to roll the dice with them if they are laying this kind of a number, especially against a mediocre team like OKC. We know we are getting a max effort here from SA after back-to-back losses. Give me the Spurs -4.5! |
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11-06-19 | Bulls +1.5 v. Hawks | Top | 113-93 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Bulls +1.5) The betting public will want absolutely nothing to do with Chicago at this price, which is part of the reason I love it. The Bulls come in off a loss at home to the Lakers last night. Chicago has now lost 5 of 6 and those that were on the Bulls bandwagon early have long jumped off. Hawks just got back Trae Young in last night's 108-100 upset win over the Spurs. Thing is Young was on a minutes restriction last night, as were a couple other guys. I could see the Hawks limiting those minutes again in a back-to-back situation. Atlanta also is down a key piece in their rotation as John Collins was handed a 25-game suspension. I think Bulls will be the more motivated and fresher team in this one. Give me Chicago +1.5! |
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11-05-19 | Pacers v. Hornets +2.5 | Top | 120-122 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Hornets +2.5) I think the wrong team is favored in this one. Charlotte is 3-3 with their 3 losses coming against the Timberwolves, Lakers and Clippers. They just closed out a 4-game road trip with road wins at Sacramento and Golden State. I think they can make easy work of the Pacers. Indiana comes in having won 3 straight, but it's about as unspectacular a 3-game run as you will find with the wins coming over the Nets, Cavs and Bulls. Pacers are still without Oladipo and Myles Turner and big man Domantas Sabonis is questionable with a calf injury. Give me Charlotte +2.5! |
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11-04-19 | 76ers v. Suns +2 | Top | 109-114 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Suns +2) I'll take my chances here with Phoenix as a home dog against the 76ers. The Suns have to be one of the big surprises in the first couple weeks of the season. Phoenix is 4-2 SU and a perfect 6-0 ATS. They have wins over the Clippers and Warriors (with Curry). Their two losses were by 1-point at Denver and 1-point at home to Utah. All of this with just one game from DeAndre Ayton, who got hit with a 25-game suspension. Kelly Oubre, Frank Kaminsky and Ricky Rubio have all been fantastic alongside Devin Booker. 76ers are coming off a win at Portland where they won on a last second 3-pointer. Only one day off before playing here in Phoenix and they will not have Embiid for this one. At 5-0 I think this is the definition of a flat spot for Philly, especially with two enticing games on deck against Utah and Denver. Give me the Suns +2! |
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11-01-19 | Pistons v. Bulls -3.5 | Top | 106-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Bulls -3.5) It's not been the start many were expecting for the Bulls, but I got no problem laying a small number at home with Chicago Friday night against the Pistons. Detroit is still without Blake Griffin, won't have Reggie Jackson and could also be down Markieff Morris. Bulls have really just not shot well, but a lot of that is because they have played 4 of their first 5 on the road. I think we get a big effort here at home to snap their 3-game skid and that offense should find it's rhythm against a Pistons defense that allowed the Raptors to shoot 59% from the field last time out. Give me the Bulls -3.5! |
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11-01-19 | Rockets v. Nets +4.5 | 116-123 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Nets +4.5) I'll take my chances here with Brooklyn covering as a home dog against the Rockets. I just think this is a clear letdown spot for the Rockets coming off that ridiculous 159-158 win over the Wizards on Thursday. Houston played no defense in that game (Washington shot 63%) and I don't see them playing much defense here. Nets are going to be hungry after a 1-3 start that has seen them lose 2 games by a single-point. Give me Brooklyn +4.5! |
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11-01-19 | Bucks v. Magic +5 | 123-91 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Magic +5) I'll take my chances here with Orlando cashing in a cover at home against the Bucks. Milwaukee has kinda been going thru the motions and have had some bad offensive lapses like we just witnessed in their 2nd half collapse against Boston on Thursday. Magic are a better team than they get credit for and will likely be a team I'm on a lot if they keep getting points at home. Give me Orlando +5! |
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10-31-19 | Spurs v. Clippers -4.5 | Top | 97-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Clippers -4.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Los Angeles laying just 4.5-points at home against the Spurs. San Antonio is off to a 3-0 start and are always going to be a tough out as long as Popovich is in charge, but I think they are getting too much respect against one of the best teams in the league. Don't worry about last night's loss at Utah, as Kawhi didn't play and I think that says a lot about how much he wants to beat his old team in the Spurs. The only person to log more than 30 minutes was Shamet with 33, so the back-to-back isn't a big deal here. This team beat the Lakers by double-digits at home and will do the same against San Antonio. Give me the Clippers -4.5! |
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10-30-19 | Suns +5 v. Warriors | 121-110 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS SLAUGHTER (Suns +5) I'll take my chances here with the Suns as a small road dog against the Warriors. I get Golden State is off a big win at New Orleans, but I'm not buying into that result at all. Warriors defense once again was not good and while they got Curry and Russell, they don't have the volume of scoring options needed to be a great team. Phoenix has been a huge surprise. They are 4-0 ATS with their only two losses coming by 1 point at home to the Jazz and 1-point on the road against the Nuggets. Give me the Suns +5! |
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10-30-19 | Blazers v. Thunder +1.5 | 102-99 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS MASSACRE (Thunder +1.5) I'll take my chances here with OKC as a small home dog against the Blazers. I know the Thunder are off to a mere 1-3 start, but two of those losses are to two of the best teams in the west in the Jazz and Rockets. Both of which they covered, as they are a strong 3-1 ATS to start the year. Blazers are a team I think is a bit overvalued. They covered last time out in a 3-point loss at SA, but were down 18 in the 4th quarter. Big thing here is the Blazers have to be running out of gas, as they will be playing their 4th straight on the road in a span of just 6 days. Give me the Thunder +1.5! |
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10-30-19 | Knicks v. Magic -9 | Top | 83-95 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Magic -9) I'll take my chances here with Orlando as a big home favorite against the Knicks. Even though the Knicks are 1-3 and trailed by 8 in the final minutes of their only win against the Bulls last time, the public wants nothing to do with laying this kind of number with Orlando. That makes me like the Magic even more. Orlando has not covered a game this season, so it's not like the books are inflating the number here. I just think the Knicks are a really bad team and are going to struggle on the road against a very motivated Magic team. Give me Orlando -9! |
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10-29-19 | Mavs +6 v. Nuggets | Top | 109-106 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Mavs +6) I'll take my chances here with Dallas as a 6-point dog against the Nuggets. Mavs are a team to keep an eye with their dynamic 1-2 punch of Luka Donic and Kristaps Porzingis. Dallas will be itching to get back on the floor after letting a 3-0 start slip away in a 2-point home loss to the Blazers. Denver on the other hand is playing on no rest after a 101-94 win at Sacramento last night. Nuggets are 3-0, but all 3 wins have come by 8 or fewer. Give me the Mavs +6! |
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10-28-19 | Blazers v. Spurs -5.5 | Top | 110-113 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
50* NBA WESTERN CONF GAME OF THE MONTH (Spurs -5.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with San Antonio at home against the Blazers. Just an ideal spot to fade Portland. Not only are the Blazers playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back, they are playing their 3rd road game in the last 4 days. Note they had to use a ton of energy yesterday rallying from a 15-point 1st quarter deficit to squeak out a 2-point win. They also lost a key piece in Zach Collins to a shoulder injury that will keep him out of this one. Give me the Spurs -5.5! |
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10-28-19 | Cavs +15 v. Bucks | 112-129 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Cavs +15) I'll take my chances here with Cleveland as a massive road dog against the Bucks. John Beilein and the Cavs are a team the betting public wants nothing to do with, while Milwaukee is one of the biggest public bets any time they take the floor. I think we are seeing an inflated line with the Bucks as most will be thinking now is the time to take Milwaukee off an upset loss to Miami. Cleveland covered as a big dog in their opener at Orlando and just whooped Indiana by 11 as a 5-point dog. I think they will have no problem keeping this within the number. Give me the Cavs +15! |
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10-25-19 | Mavs v. Pelicans -2.5 | 123-116 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Pelicans -2.5) I think we are getting some good value here with New Orleans as a small home favorite against the Mavs. A lot of people just writing off the Pelicans because Zion is out. What people don't realize is they are one of the deepest teams in the league, can fly up and down the court and shoot the 3-pointer. They should have won their opener on the road against the Raptors, but lost in OT. They bounce back in a big way tonight. Give me the Pelicans -2.5! |
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10-25-19 | Wizards v. Thunder -8 | Top | 97-85 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Thunder -8) I cashed in on the Thunder +9 in their near upset win at Utah on Wednesday. I got no problem here laying the 8 at home against the Wizards. Washington is a bad team and while it looks like they played Dallas tough in a 8-point road loss, that was because the Mavs called off the Dogs after going into the 4th quarter leading by 23. This OKC roster is way better than people are giving it credit for. They will show up in their home opener. Give me the Thunder -8! |
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10-23-19 | Thunder +9 v. Jazz | 95-100 | Win | 100 | 23 h 53 m | Show | |
40* NBA (Thunder +9) I'll gladly take my chances here with OKC as a near double-digit dog. Everyone is talking about how good Utah is going to be this year. As for the Thunder, it's like once they traded Westbrook they became an after thought. There is still a ton of talent on this team. They got Chris Paul from Houston, as well as Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Danilo Gallinari from LA. They also still have the big man Steven Adams. Wouldn't surprise me at all if they went into Utah and won this game outright. Give me Oklahoma City +9! |
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10-23-19 | Wolves +4 v. Nets | 127-126 | Win | 100 | 21 h 19 m | Show | |
40* NBA (Wolves +4) I'll take my chances here with Minnesota as a 4-point road dog against the Nets. Brooklyn is a team a lot of people are high on and I'm not sure why. I would get it if Durant was playing, but he's not. Irving is a headcase and ran himself out two great situations. One in Cleveland with LeBron and the other with a loaded Boston team where he couldn't get over himself. Nets also got rid of a lot of their best players to make room for these starts. Minnesota is a team I think is going to be much improved and their continuity should be a big edge in this one. Give me the T-Wolves +4! |
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10-23-19 | Bulls -2.5 v. Hornets | Top | 125-126 | Loss | -109 | 21 h 54 m | Show |
50* NBA SHARP MONEY MAX BET WINNER (Bulls -2.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Chicago as a small road favorite against the Hornets. Both teams are coming off a bad 2018-19 season. However, the Bulls have one of the better young nucleuses in the league and I think will be a playoff team for sure. Charlotte lost their best player in Kemba Walker and to me it feels like they are tanking for the future this season. Give me the Bulls -2.5! |
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10-22-19 | Lakers v. Clippers +4 | 102-112 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
40* CLIPPERS/LAKERS ATS NO-BRAINER (Clippers +4) I'll take my chances here with the Clippers at home. Last year Kawhi went to Toronto and there was instant Karma with that Raptors team. I see no reason not to expect the same with the Clippers, especially given how much this team over-achieved last year. As for LeBron, we have seen his teams struggle when there's big roster changes, whether it's him coming in or someone else. This is a completely different Lakers team. Not having Kuzma hurts, as I feel like they lack scoring outside of their two stars. I would not have the Clippers a dog in this one, but the public keeps pounding the Lakers. Give me the Clippers +4! |
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06-13-19 | Raptors +3 v. Warriors | Top | 114-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
50* RAPTORS/WARRIORS GAME 6 SHARP TOP PLAY (Raptors +3) I'll take my chances here with Toronto and the points in Game 6. I'll take the points as insurance, but I'm fully expecting the Raptors to end this thing tonight. I really thought the Warriors were going to come back and win the title with Durant returning to action, but that didn't last long. Durant is done for good now and it's back to the drawing board for Golden State. Warriors made 20 3-pointers with big games from Curry and Thompson and still were lucky to win. Toronto already won twice in Golden State by double-digits and I wouldn't be shocked if this wasn't all that close late. Give me the Raptors +3! |
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06-02-19 | Warriors v. Raptors -2 | Top | 109-104 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Raptors -2) I'll take my chances here with Toronto in Game 2. The betting public just can't help themselves when it comes to Golden State, especially in what to them feels like a must win. I just think people are overreacting to how well the Warriors played without Durant in the previous two rounds. They need him to beat Toronto and he's not playing in Game 2. Raptors have the best player on the court in Kawhi and while Toronto might not have a trio of superstars, they are the much deeper team from top to bottom. Add in home court and this is simply too good a price to pass up. GIve me the Raptors -2! |
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05-20-19 | Warriors v. Blazers +3.5 | Top | 119-117 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show |
50* WARRIORS/BLAZERS GAME 4 SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Blazers +3.5) I'll take my chances here with Portland sending this series back to Golden State and covering the 3.5 at home in Game 4. I just think this is going to be a really tough spot for the Warriors. They got the commanding 3-0 series lead without Durant and it's nearly impossible not to relax when you are up 3-0. I also don't think Portland will lay down here, especially at home against this team. I'm counting on Lillard to show up after a bad Game 3. Give me the Blazers +3.5! |
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05-19-19 | Bucks v. Raptors -2 | 112-118 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
40* BUCKS/RAPTORS NBA PLAYOFFS ATS SLAUGHTER (Raptors -2) I'll take my chances here with Toronto snapping out of their little offensive slump and securing a win in Game 3. This is a must-win for the Raptors, as we all know a 3-0 hole is too much for them to overcome. Toronto simply laid an egg in Game 2 after letting Game 1 slip through their fingers. The focus will be back for Game 3 on their home floor and I wouldn't be shocked if they won this one going away. Give me the Raptors -2! |
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05-18-19 | Warriors v. Blazers -2.5 | 110-99 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
40* WARRIORS/BLAZERS GAME 3 ATS KNOCKOUT (Blazers -2.5) I'll take my chances here with Portland laying a small number at home in Game 3. With the Warriors still not having the services of Durant and the Blazers season on the line with them already down 2-0, I think Portland finds a way to get the job done at home. Blazers have shown they can hang and you got to think either Curry or Thompson will have an off night. Either way I like Portland in this one. Give me the Blazers -2.5! |
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05-17-19 | Raptors +7 v. Bucks | 103-125 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
40* RAPTORS/BUCKS GAME 2 ATS NO-BRAINER (Raptors +7) I'll take my chances here with Toronto covering the spread in Game 2. We took a horrible loss on the Raptors in Game 1, as they led the entire way and didn't cover by a 1.5-points as a 6.5-point dog. I really liked what I seen from the Raptors, as it took a ridiculous game from Brook Lopez to pull out the win. I'm willing to be Lopez won't be able to match that kind of production and Toronto will continue to make it really hard on the Greek Freak. Give me the Raptors +7! |
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05-16-19 | Blazers +7.5 v. Warriors | 111-114 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show | |
40* BLAZERS/WARRIORS GAME 2 ATS NO-BRAINER (Blazers +7.5) I'll take my chances here with Portland and the points in Game 2. We cashed an easy winner on the Warriors -7 in Game 1 and took a really bad beat in Game 1 of the Bucks/Raptors series last night. Big reason I played against the Blazers in Game 1 because of how hard it was going to be going from playing Game 7 on the road in altitude at Denver on Sunday to having to start this series on Tuesday. I expect a much more energized Portland team, especially on the defensive side of the ball. I also think it will be tough for Curry and Thompson to match their scoring output from Game 1. Give me the Blazers +7.5! |
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05-15-19 | Raptors +6.5 v. Bucks | Top | 100-108 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Raptors +6.5) I played on the Warriors last night, as I just thought 1 day wasn't enough for Portland to recover, especially after playing that Game 7 in altitude. Toronto has only had 2 days off since beating the 76ers at home in Game 7, but I think they will be more than ready to go for this one. Also, I don't love teams who are coming off long layoffs in the postseason. Bucks haven't played since last Wednesday and we saw them lay an egg in Game 1 of their last series vs the Celtics. Give me the Raptors +6.5! |
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05-14-19 | Blazers v. Warriors -7.5 | Top | 94-116 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Warriors -7.5) I'll take my chances here with Golden State covering the spread at home in Game 1. I just think not having Durant has a lot of people looking to take the Warriors. I get it, but there's a ton of talent still on this Warriors team, most of them the core guys that got all this started. I can't imagine they are loving all the talk about how they got no shot without Durant. I get that Durant won't be out long, but I think it has them a little extra motivated. I also think we are going to see the best of Steph Curry in a showdown against his brother. Blazers also in a really tough spot having just played a Game 7 on the road and now having to play Game 1 on the road. Give me the Warriors -7.5! |
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05-09-19 | Raptors v. 76ers +2 | Top | 101-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (76ers +2) I'll take my chances here with Philadelphia as a home dog in Game 6. I got no problem with how things ended up in Game 5 with the Raptors blowing out the 76ers. In fact, I was on Toronto in that game. I just think with their backs against the wall, Philadelphia will find a way to send this thing back to Toronto for a Game 7 and I wouldn't be shocked if it's a similar type of blowout to their 116-95 win in Game 3 at home. Give me the 76ers +2! |
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05-08-19 | Celtics +9 v. Bucks | 91-116 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS ODDSMAKERS ATS MASSACRE (Celtics +9) I'll take my chances with the Celtics at least making a game of it if tonight is their last game of the season. Boston is down 3-1 and facing elimination on the road. The media is all but sticking a fork in them and are blowing up the Kyrie drama. Public isn't going to trust this team, even at this price. I could be dead wrong here, but I like a defensive minded team with their backs against the wall, especially as a near double-digit dog. Give me the Celtics +9! |
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05-07-19 | 76ers v. Raptors -6 | Top | 89-125 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Raptors -6) I'll take my chances with Toronto covering the 6-point spread at home in Game 5. The Raptors showed me a lot by winning Game 4 on the road to tie this thing up at 2-2. Everyone knows the winner of Game 5 goes on to win the majority of the time and I just don't see Toronto failing to get the job done. Outside of a Game 3, the Raptors defense has held the 76ers to 40% or less from the field and under 100 points. If Embiid isn't drastically better than he was in Game 4, this will be an even bigger blowout than the Raptors 108-95 win in Game 1. Give me Toronto -6! |
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05-06-19 | Bucks v. Celtics -1.5 | Top | 113-101 | Loss | -101 | 8 h 30 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Celtics -1.5) I'll take my chances here with Boston winning Game 4 at home and sending this series back to Milwaukee tied 2-2. Celtics had their chances in Game 3 at home, they just couldn't make the big play down the stretch. I also don't think the refs did them any favors with Antetokounmpo shooting a ridiculous 22 free throws. They also were in position to win with Milwaukee having a great shooting game, as they were 50% from the field and 40% from deep. I think the Bucks struggle to come anywhere close to that. Give me Boston -1.5! |
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05-04-19 | Warriors v. Rockets -3.5 | Top | 121-126 | Win | 100 | 23 h 30 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Rockets -3.5) I'll take my chances with Houston as a small home favorite in basically a must-win at home in Game 3. Warriors took each of the first two games in the series, but both games came down to the wire and Houston has not looked overmatched. I just have a really hard time seeing the Rockets lose this game, as they go down 0-3 and this thing is all but over. I not only think they win, but I think they win this going away. Give me Houston -3.5! |
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05-03-19 | Bucks v. Celtics -2 | 123-116 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
40* BUCKS/CELTICS NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Celtics -2) I'll take my chances here with Boston as a small home favorite. The Celtics didn't look great in Game 2, but that shouldn't have been a huge surprise. Celtics got the split they wanted when they blew out the Bucks in Game 1. Hard for them to match Milwaukee's intensity in Game 2 with the Bucks basically in a must-win on their home floor. I still like Boston in the series and definitely think they will benefit greatly from playing at home. I also think the unfortunate health concerns with owner Danny Ainge (suffered a minor heart attack), could end up being a blessing for this team, as it will take out some of that individuality and have them playing more for each other. Give me the Celtics -2! |
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05-02-19 | Raptors v. 76ers +1.5 | Top | 95-116 | Win | 100 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (76ers +1.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Philadelphia as a small home dog against the Raptors in Game 3 of this Eastern Conference semifinals matchup. Toronto rolled in Game 1 at home, but Philly responded in a big way and won Game 2 94-89. They did so with basically Jimmy Butler being the olny starter who was worth a shit. Embiid had 12 points on 2 of 7 shooting, Simmons had a whopping 6 points, while Harris added 9 and Redick had 11. Toronto had 3 starters with 20+, including 35 from Leonard. 76ers are a whole different beast at home and there's just something about being a dog that brings out the best in the Philadelphia faithful. Give me the 76ers +1.5! |
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04-27-19 | Spurs v. Nuggets -6 | 86-90 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
40* SPURS/NUGGETS GAME 7 NO-BRAINER (Nuggets -6) I'll take my chances here with Denver covering the spread in Game 7 at home. Just based on what we have seen in the past, the home team doesn't just dominate Game 7, they cover the spread at a pretty strong rate. I think there were definitely some jitters early in this series for the Nuggets. They have looked a lot better and were absolutely dominant in both Games 5 and 6, which were two they absolutely needed to win. I think they step up with a similar type of performance in Game 7. Give me the Nuggets -6! |
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04-24-19 | Jazz v. Rockets -8 | 93-100 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Rockets -8) I'll take my chances here with Houston winning by double-digits at home against the Jazz. Utah was able to avoid getting swept with a win at home in Game 4, but I don't think that did anything but prolong the series a couple more days. Rockets won 122-90 in Game 1 at home and 118-98 in Game 2 at home. Without the home crowd the Jazz defense isn't the same and they simply don't have the offensive fire-power to keep up. Give me Houston -8! |
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04-23-19 | Spurs +5.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 90-108 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
50* NBA WESTERN CONF GAME OF THE MONTH (Spurs +5.5) I'll take my chances here with San Antonio bouncing back from a ugly showing in Game 4 and at least covering the number (I think they win outright). Spurs have proven they matchup well with the Nuggets. They won Game 1 at Denver and should have won Game 2 (led by 19 points). I just think San Antonio is better equipped both in terms of experience and coaching to win a huge game like this. Give me the Spurs +5.5! |
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04-23-19 | Magic v. Raptors -11.5 | 96-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Raptors -11.5) I'll take my chances with Toronto covering the double-digit spread at home in Game 5. The only reason this series isn't over with, is because the Raptors didn't give the Magic their full respect in a Game 1 loss at home. With Toronto focused they have been able to dismantle Orlando and my money is on them making sure that this is the last game of the series. It's all but a lock that Toronto will be facing the 76ers in the next round (both teams up 3-1). If they are able to get past Philadelphia, they would have to face the winner of the Celtics/Bucks series. Simply put, Raptors can't have this series dragging on. They are hands down the better team and will likely win by 20+ points. Give me Toronto -11.5! |
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04-22-19 | Rockets -2.5 v. Jazz | Top | 91-107 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 9 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Rockets -2.5) I'll take my chances with Houston laying such a small number on the road in Game 4. We cashed on the Rockets in their Game 3 win at Utah and we cashed on the Celtics yesterday in a similar spot, as a small road favorite in Game 4 going for a series sweep. I like this one a little more just given the matchup and circumstances. I think Houston is the team with the best shot to dethrone the Warriors and with Golden State their soon to be opponent in the next round, there's plenty of incentive here for the Rockets to get this series over with. I don't expect Utah to lay down at home, but I think a lot of the fight was sucked out of the Jazz in that crushing Game 3 loss, where they couldn't find a way to win with James Harden shooting 3 of 20 from the field (0-15 start). Give me the Rockets -2.5! |
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04-21-19 | Celtics -2.5 v. Pacers | Top | 110-106 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Celtics -2.5) I'll take my chances with Boston as a small road favorite against the Pacers. Teams up 3-0 in the first round win Game 4 nearly 70% of the time and cover at close to a 62% clip. Boston has certainly turned thins up a notch in the postseason, especially on the defensive side of the ball. Indiana's 96 points in Game 3 was their highest output in the series. Pacers are shooting just 40% from the field in the series and simply don't have the offensive fire-power to keep pace. I also think the life was sucked out of this team after losing Game 3. Give me the Celtics -2.5! |
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04-19-19 | Raptors -4.5 v. Magic | Top | 98-93 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Raptors -4.5) I'll take my chances here with Toronto taking back control of the series with an easy win and cover in Game 3 at Orlando. No question the Magic are going to be fired up, but I just don't think it will be enough to erase the gap in talent between these two teams. Toronto didn't give the Magic the respect they deserved in Game 1 and it cost them. They came to play in Game 2 and won 111-82. They might make it a little more competitive at home, but I still think the Raptors win by double-digits. Give me Toronto -4.5! |
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04-18-19 | Nuggets v. Spurs -3.5 | Top | 108-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Spurs -3.5) I'll take my chances here with San Antonio as a small home favorite in Game 3 against the Nuggets. Denver is lucky they aren't down 0-2, as they had to erase a 19-point deficit. Spurs have looked the better team for the majority of this series and are really really good at home. San Antonio went 32-9 at home, only the Bucks had a better record at home in the regular-season. Give me the Spurs -3.5! |
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04-17-19 | Jazz v. Rockets -6.5 | Top | 98-118 | Win | 100 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Rockets -6.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Rockets winning by at least 7 in Game 2 against the Jazz. Houston is a team on a mission after failing to put away the Warriors in last year's postseason. Rockets looked like that same team that gave Golden State fits in Game 1, thrashing the Jazz 122-90. I just think Houston is a much better defensive team than they get credit for and that offense isn't going to be contained at home. Hard for Utah to keep it close. Give me the Rockets -6.5! |
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04-16-19 | Magic v. Raptors -9.5 | 82-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
40* NBA PLAYOFF NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Raptors -9.5) I'll take my chances here with Toronto bouncing from an upset loss at home in Game 1. For whatever reason the Raptors just don't play well in the first game of the first series of the playoffs. Toronto is now 1-10 in Game 1 of the opening round. The game really reminds me a lot of the 76ers/Nets series, where Brooklyn stole Game 1 and Philadelphia won going away in Game 2. Toronto is without a doubt the better team and probably didn't give Orlando the respect they deserved. It happens. We will get the best the Raptors have to offer tonight and the Magic will struggle to match the intensity of Game 1 having got the split they wanted. Give me Toronto -9.5! |
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04-15-19 | Nets v. 76ers -7.5 | Top | 123-145 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (76ers -7.5) I'll take my chances here with the 76ers laying it on the Nets and evening up this series at 1-1 before it heads to Brooklyn. Philadelphia was simply out played from a physical standpoint, which tells me they didn't bring their "A" game to Game 1. I don't see that being an issue in Game 2, as there's all the incentive in the world for them to avoid going to Brooklyn down 0-2. Nets will be motivated to win, but they got the split they came in for and will have a hard time matching the intensity of the 76ers in this one. Give me Philadelphia -7.5! |
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04-14-19 | Thunder +3.5 v. Blazers | Top | 99-104 | Loss | -109 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Thunder +3.5) I'll take my chances here with Oklahoma City at +3.5, but I'm definitely expecting them to win this game outright. Not having the services of Nurkic and McCollum still working back from injury, I just don't see Portland putting up much of a fight in this series. Keep in mind last year the Blazers were swept in the first round as the No. 3 seed by the Pelicans. Thunder also swept the regular-season series against Portland this year, winning all 4 meetings. Give me Oklahoma City +3.5! |
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04-13-19 | Magic v. Raptors -8.5 | Top | 104-101 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 19 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Raptors -8.5) I'll take my chances here with Toronto covering the big number at home against the Magic. Orlando went 10-3 over their final 13 games to sneak in as one of the last teams in the Eastern Conference. A lot of those wins came against non-playoff teams. I just think there's a much bigger gap than people think and we just saw that in a recent meeting. These two played each other on April 1st. Toronto won at home 121-109 and it wasn't that close, as the Raptors led by 20 going into the 4th quarter. I'm also not a big fan of teams like Orlando, whose regular-season success is a result of them just playing hard. Everyone plays hard in the playoffs. I just don't see the Magic having the offensive fire-power to keep this close. Give me the Raptors -8.5! |
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04-10-19 | Magic v. Hornets -4 | 122-114 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Hornets -4) I'll take my chances here with Charlotte covering the small number at home against the Magic. Orlando just pulled off a really impressive feat. This team was double-digit games under .500 and have guaranteed at least a .500 record thanks to a 21-9 run over their last 30 games. This team has been so locked in for so long that I think they will have a really tough time not suffering a letdown after just clinching a playoff spot. I wouldn't be shocked if they don't rest some guys to get them ready for Game 1 of their playoff series. Hornets needs to win and have the Pistons lose to overtake them for the 8th spot. Give me Charlotte -4! |
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04-09-19 | Celtics v. Wizards -5 | Top | 116-110 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Wizards -5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Washington. I think we get a decent effort here fro the Wizards in not only their finale home game of the season, but their final game overall. More than anything, this is just a fade of the Celtics, who have clinched the No. 4 seed and are basically resting all their key guys. Kyrie Irving, Gordon Haywayrd, Jayson Tatum, Marcus Smart, Al Horford, Aron Baynes and Marcus Morris will all be sitting this one. Give me the Wizards -5! |
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04-07-19 | Magic v. Celtics -4.5 | 116-108 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS VALUE PLAY OF THE WEEK (Celtics -4.5) While this game might appear to mean more for Orlando, who is in the heated race for the final 3 spots in the east, I think it means just as much to Boston. The Celtics can clinch the No. 4 seed and home court advantage in the first round against the Pacers with a win here. Boston has also won 5 of 6 and I think are really locked in right now, as they needed something like this to build on after really struggled to play up to their potential for most of the season. Give me the Celtics -4.5! |
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04-07-19 | Heat +6 v. Raptors | 109-117 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 39 m | Show | |
40* NBA EARLY BIRD ATS NO-BRAINER (Heat +6) I'll take my chances here with Miami as a 6-point dog against the Raptors. The Heat are basically in a do-or-die situation, as a loss here would all but eliminate them from the playoffs, while a win would give them a realistic shot at sneaking into one of the final spots. While Miami is playing for their playoff lives, the Raptors are just going through the motions, as they are locked into the No. 2 seed. Give me the Heat +6! |
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04-05-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets -6.5 | Top | 110-119 | Win | 100 | 13 h 28 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Nuggets -6.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Denver laying one on the Blazers at home. This game mean a lot to Portland, who is trying to beat out the Rockets for the No. 3 seed. Blazers also come in having won 11 of their last 13 games. The last 4 wins have come against the Grizzlies, Wolves, Bulls and Hawks, so it's nothing to get excited about. I think the easy schedule has covered up just how short-handed Portland is with both C.J. McCollum and Jusuf Nurkic both sidelined. This has to be a tired Blazers team, as this will be their 5th road game in their last 6 overall. Denver's shot at the No. 1 seed is likely gone, but they still have work to do to lock up the No. 2 seed. I expect their very best tonight. Give me the Nuggets -6.5! |
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04-05-19 | Raptors v. Hornets +4.5 | 111-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Hornets +4.5) I'll take my chances here with Charlotte as a home dog. I would argue the Hornets should be favored here. While Charlotte's playoff hopes are slim (trailing 3 teams by at least 2 games with 4 to play), they are still alive and as long as a team has a chance they tend to show up with a big effort this late in the year. With the Bucks win over the 76ers last night, Milwaukee secured the top spot in the east, making this game absolutely meaningless for the Raptors. Toronto is 7games up on Philadelphia, so they are the No. 2 seed no matter what. Raptors might play all of their games, but I could see them resting people and definitely cutting back on the minutes of their star players. Give me the Hornets +4.5! |
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04-05-19 | Spurs v. Wizards +6.5 | 129-112 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
40* NBA BIG MONEY ATS SHOCKER (Wizards +6.5) I'll take my chances here with Washington as a home dog against the Spurs. The Wizards burned me the other night against the Bulls, losing outright to a bunch of scrubs as a double-digit favorite. Washington gave a lot of young guys minutes against Chicago, so it should be back to the starters for this one. The fact that this game means so much to the Spurs is also key, as teams love to play spoiler. We just saw Washington win at Denver and nearly won at Utah the game before. Spurs need to win, but are just 3-5 SU and 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8. They are also 14-25 on the road compared to 31-9 at home. I think the Wizards not only hang around to cover, but I could definitely see them winning this game. Give me Washington +6.5! |
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04-03-19 | Rockets -1 v. Clippers | 135-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS SLAUGHTER (Rockets -1) I'll take my chances here with Houston at a pick'em on the road against the Clippers. I just think we are getting some value on the Rockets because they are playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back. Usually I'll look to fade teams on no rest, but not in this spot. None of the Rockets' starters played more than 29 minutes and Houston basically needs to win out to have a shot at the No. 3 seed (currently tied with Blazers and need to finish 1-game ahead of them). Give me the Rockets -1! |
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04-03-19 | Bulls v. Wizards -10.5 | 115-114 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Wizards -10.5) Chicago’s 4 best players are out with Zach LaVIne, Lauri Markkanen, Otto Porter Jr and Kris Dunn all sidelined with injuries. The Bulls can’t just sit guys to sit them, so they basically made-up a bunch of injuries to keep them from playing. Zero incentive for Chicago to show up on the road in this one. I get there’s no real incentive for Washington to win here either, but the Wizards haven’t let them getting knocked out of the playoff race effect their effort down the stretch. Washington just beat the Nuggets on the road and prior to that game nearly upset the Jazz on the road. Sure they could look past a bad Bulls team, but I got a good feeling they come to play and that’s centered around the trade that brought Porter Jr. to Chicago. The Bulls parted with Jabari Parker and Bobby Portis in that deal. Both of which are playing big minutes for Washington right now. I think it’s personal for both. Parker is a chicago-native and expected to play a big role when he signed with what he knew was a rebuilding team, but he was relegated to the bench and barely got on the court. I’m sure he’s glad to be out of there, but he has to feel cheated. Portis felt blindsided and made it clear that he was really hurt by the move. He really wanted to be a part of this rebuild in Chicago. Given how much it’s going to mean to these two, I think the rest of the guys are going to show up and play hard for their new teammates. I’m aware that this is the second meeting since the trade, I just don’t think Portis or Parker have quite let it go yet. I could see both playing with a chip on their shoulder against the Bulls the rest of their careers. Wizards won the first meeting after the trade by double-digits and that was with all those key guys for Chicago in the lineup. Let’s also not ignore the results in recent Bulls games. Chicago has lost 5 straight and all 5 of those losses have been blowouts. This one won’t be any different. Give me the Wizards -10.5! |
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04-03-19 | Pacers v. Pistons -2.5 | Top | 108-89 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
50* NBA CENTRAL DIV GAME OF THE MONTH (Pistons -2.5) I'll take my chances here with Detroit laying the short number at home against the Pacers. These two just played on Monday. The Pacers won at home 111-102 as a 5.5-point favorite. Hard to beat a team back-to-back, especially when you have to go to their place for the rematch. Detroit had covered 6 straight prior that the loss and non-cover against the Pacers. Pistons are 11-0 ATS last 11 home games. Indiana is 3-12 ATS last 15 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Give me Detroit -2.5! |
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04-01-19 | Blazers v. Wolves +3.5 | 132-122 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS ODDSMAKERS ERROR (Wolves +3.5) I'll take my chances here with Minnesota as a small home dog against the Blazers on Monday. I just think Portland shouldn't be favored here. Blazers are still trying to get over the loss of Nurkic, McCollum is still out with a knee injury and Portland is playing their 4th straight on the road and 3rd in the last 4 days. Blazers are also 5-15 ATS last 20 on the road after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6. Minnesota has still shown they are still trying despite being out of the mix and these are the teams that are way undervalued right now. Give me the Wolves +3.5! |
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04-01-19 | Magic +7 v. Raptors | 109-121 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Magic +7) I'll take my chances here with Orlando as a decently priced road dog against the Raptors. Toronto just doesn't have a ton to play for, as they are 3-games back of Milwaukee for the top spot in the east and 4.5 ahead of 3rd place Philadelphia. With only 5 games left on the schedule, they are all but locked into the spot they are in. Magic on the other hand are sitting 1/2-game back of 8th place Miami and are also just 1.5-games back of 6th place Detroit. Magic are also 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS last 8. Wouldn't shock me at all if they won this game. Give me Orlando +7! |
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03-31-19 | Wizards +11 v. Nuggets | 95-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Wizards +11) I'll take my chances here with Washington as a double-digit dog against the Nuggets. I think the assumption is that the Wizards should throw in the towel and not try because they are out of the playoff race, but that just hasn't been the case. Washington is still playing hard and just covered as a massive 13-point dog at Utah in a mere 4-point loss. Nuggets are off a big win at OKC and have a monster game on deck at Golden State Tuesday, so this is one they could easily overlook. Give me the Wizards +11! |
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03-30-19 | Blazers v. Pistons -5 | Top | 90-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
50* NBA NON-CONF GAME OF THE MONTH (Pistons -5) I'll take my chances here with Detroit covering the 5-point spread against the Blazers. I was on the wrong side of Portland's win last night at Atlanta, but that's not going to keep me from playing against them again tonight. This time the situation is even worse for the Blazers, as they will be on no rest, playing their 3rd game in 4 nights and facing a red-hot Pistons team that has been an absolute covering machine of late. Detroit has covered 5 straight and 12 of their last 15 overall. they are also 10-1 ATS last 11 at home. Blazers 0-4 ATS last 4 when playing on 0 days rest. Give me the Pistons -5! |
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03-29-19 | Blazers v. Hawks +3 | 118-98 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS MASSACRE (Hawks +3) I'll take my chances here with Atlanta as a small home dog against the Blazers. This line is just begging you to take Portland, which makes me instantly want to be on the Hawks. Atlanta is far from tanking right now. They come in having won 3 straight and are 13-4 ATS last 17 games. Portland has won 5 straight and they just blew out the Bulls in the first game without Nurkic, but Chicago played a bunch of scrubs in that game and were essentially trying to lose. Trae Young is playing out of his mind and I think he carries the Hawks to a win. Give me Atlanta +3! |
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03-28-19 | Magic v. Pistons -3.5 | Top | 98-115 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Pistons -3.5) I'll take my chances here with Detroit snapping their 3-game losing streak with a solid win at home against the Magic. Pistons come in having lost 3 straight but all 3 were on the road and it was against the likes of the Blazers, Warriors and Nuggets. Not only is that 3-game skid helping the line, but Orlando is getting a ton of love right now, as they have won 6 straight and gone 5-1 ATS during this run. A lot of that success has came at home. Magic are just 16-22 on the road, while Pistons are 23-13 at home and have covered each of their last 9 home games. Give me Detroit -3.5! |
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03-27-19 | Pacers v. Thunder -6 | Top | 99-107 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Thunder -6) I’m going to take the Oklahoma City Thunder -6 at home over the Indiana Pacers. I just really like the spot here with Oklahoma City, as I think we are going to get a max effort here. Not only have the Thunder lost 5 of their last 6, but they come in off an awful 115-103 loss at Memphis, who was playing without Mike Conley. That came just one game after they pulled off a big upset win at Toronto. I think the Thunder knew that Memphis hadn’t won a game this season without Conley and just thought they could show up and get a win. They brought zero energy from the start and it simply cost them. Not to mention Memphis has been taking great pride in playing hard against playoff teams, especially at home. Russell Westbrook by his standards was awful. He shot just 6 of 20 and was below his season averages in points, rebounds and assists. Great players seem to always respond from bad games like this and I expect a huge game for Westbrook in this one. I also like the revenge angle here. While revenge isn’t as big in the NBA as it is in college, it does play a role when there’s a short turnaround between games. It will be less than 2 weeks since they last played each other in Indiana and there’s zero doubt the Thunder have forgot about that loss. OKC blew a 19-point lead in a 108-106 loss. Keep in mind that’s a Pacers team that plays drastically different at home than on the road. Indiana is 28-9 at home and just 17-20 on the road. Another thing here is I think this one means more to OKC in terms of playoff seeding. Thunder are in danger of having to play Golden State in the first round, so every win is critical down the stretch. As for Indiana, they are sitting pretty in the No. 4 spot, 2 games back of 76ers and 2 ahead of Boston. Also no danger of falling back to No. 6, so they pretty much know they are facing the Celtics in the first round. Lastly, Pacers are just 1-7 ATS last 8 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Give me the Thunder -6! |
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03-26-19 | Pistons v. Nuggets -7.5 | 92-95 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS BLOWOUT (Nuggets -7.5) I'll take my chances here with Denver laying the big number at home. I believe the situation here sets up big time for a Nuggets blowout win. We know we are going to get a max effort here from Denver after they completely laid an egg in Sunday's 124-88 loss at Indiana. You could just see the lack of energy the Nuggets brought to that game. They are still just 1/2-game back of the Warriors for the No. 1 seed, so there's plenty of incentive to show up for this game, especially with the next two against at Houston and at OKC. They should be able to take advantage of a worn down Pistons team that is playing the final game of a 5-game road trip. Not to mention they are in a letdown spot with the last game being against the Warriors and this being their 3rd game in 4 days and 4th in the last 6. Give me the Nuggets -7.5! |
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03-26-19 | Magic v. Heat -5 | Top | 104-99 | Loss | -106 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
50* NBA SOUTHEAST GAME OF THE MONTH (Heat -5) I'll take my chances here with Miami covering the short number at home against division rival Orlando. Magic come in having won 5 straight and fresh off a 119-98 blowout win over the 76ers last night. This latest run has kept Orlando alive for a playoff spot, but I think it's a bit of fools gold when you take a closer look at the schedule. All 5 wins came at home with the first 4 all against non-playoff teams in the Cavs, Hawks, Pelicans and Grizzlies. As for the win over Philadelphia, the 76ers played without Ben Simmons. Orlando has lost their last 4 on the road all by 8 or more, which included losses to both the Grizzlies and Cavs. Miami is that team the Magic are chasing for that 8th and final spot, so there's big time incentive for the Heat to show up and take care of business. However, the biggest key here is rest. Heat are playing on 2 days rest, while the Magic are playing on 0 days rest. Give me the Heat -5! |
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03-25-19 | Nets +6.5 v. Blazers | Top | 144-148 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Nets +6.5) I'll take my chances here with Brooklyn covering the spread at Portland. I just think the Blazers are getting a little too much respect here, especially with C.J. McCollum still sidelined. Brooklyn comes in having won their last two and are still fighting to secure a playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. Last time out they won at the Lakers. Nets are 14-4 ATS last 18 road games off a road win. It's also worth noting the Blazers won the first meeting in Brooklyn by 14 back in February, as the Nets are 14-4 ATS last 18 when revenging a home loss of 10 or more. Give me Brooklyn +6.5! |
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03-20-19 | Celtics v. 76ers -3 | 115-118 | Push | 0 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS MASSACRE (76ers -3) I'll take my chances with the 76ers covering the small number at home against the Celtics. To some this might seem like a pretty reasonable line, given these are two of the elite teams in the Eastern Conference and Philadelphia will be playing on no rest after visiting Charlotte on Tuesday. The thing is, the 76ers are resting Joel Embiid to make sure he’s full strength for the Celtics. This team is 6-1 when their newly formed starting five of Embiid, Ben Simmons, Jimmy Butler and JJ. Reddick take the floor. They just made a big time statement on the road against the Bucks and I expect that same intensity for the game against Boston, especially given that the Celtics have won each of the first 3 meetings in the series. You also have to take into account just how good Philadelphia has been at home. The 76ers are 28-9 at the Wells Fargo Center this season and the home team has covered 4 of the last 5 in the series. Boston has not impressed me a whole lot of late. Celtics are just 1-5 ATS last 6 vs a team with a winning record and are expected to be without a key piece, as Gordon Hayward is unlikely to play because of a concussion. This is simply too good a price to pass up. Bet the 76ers -3! |
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03-20-19 | Bucks v. Cavs +9.5 | 102-107 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS SLAUGHTER (Cavs +9.5) I'll take my chances here with Cleveland as a near double-digit dog at home against the Bucks. Just feel like this is a really tough spot for Milwaukee, as I think they will have a hard time giving the Cavs their full attention. Bucks are also not nearly as potent without Brogdon, who they came out and said they missed after losing at home to the 76ers. With the Greek Freak not 100% (ankle injury) and how well the Cavs have been playing at home since the break, I would be surprised if Cleveland didn't make a game of this. Give me the Cavs +9.5! |
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03-19-19 | Nets v. Kings -3.5 | Top | 123-121 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Kings -3.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Sacramento laying a short number at home against the Nets. Kings are still fighting for a playoff spot and really looked impressive in their last game, whooping up on the Bulls 129-102. The record of late isn't great, but a lot of that has to do with who they have had to play. So many of their games have been against the top teams. Kings are 21-14 at home and the Nets have really fallen off in the 2nd half. Brooklyn is just 4-7 in their last 11 and the 4 wins are against the Mavs, Cavs, Hawks and Pistons. Give me the Kings -3.5! |
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03-19-19 | 76ers v. Hornets +1.5 | 118-114 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
40* NBA SITUATIONAl ATS NO-BRAINER (Hornets +1.5) I'll take my chances here with Charlotte as a small home dog against the 76ers. This line is going to to look too good to be true for a lot of the public, as they won't be able to pass up Philadelphia at basically a pick'em. The key here is this is a massive letdown spot for the 76ers off a statement road win against the Bucks and another huge game on deck tomorrow at home against the Celtics. Embiid is also sitting this one out and they are not the same team without him on the floor. Give me Charlotte +1.5! |
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03-18-19 | Pacers v. Blazers -4 | 98-106 | Win | 100 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Blazers -4) I'll take my chances here with the Blazers laying a short number at home against the Pacers. I think we are getting a great price on Portland due to the injury to C.J. McCollum. No question that's a big loss, but the Blazers are pretty deep at shooting guard and should be able to make due without him for a few games, especially at home where they are 25-9 on the season. Pacers are coming off a crushing 102-100 loss at Denver and are just 6-7 in their last 13 and a .500 team on the road. Give me the Blazers -4! |
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03-18-19 | Pelicans v. Mavs -4.5 | Top | 129-125 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Mavs -4.5) I'll take my chances here with Dallas staying hot and covering the small number at home against the struggling Pelicans. Mavericks snapped a 7-game losing streak with a 121-116 win over the Cavs on Saturday and shot 51.1% from the field in the victory. That was Dallas' best shooting performance since they shot 53.65 from the field in late January. New Orleans is the ideal team to keep it rolling against, as the Pelicans have allowed 116.6 ppg and 46% shooting on the road and are giving up a ridiculous 129.0 ppg and 50% shooting over their last 5 games. Give me the Mavs -4.5! |
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03-17-19 | Bulls +7 v. Kings | 102-129 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGTHER (Bulls +7) I'll take my chances with Chicago covering as a big road dog against the Kings. This is simply too many points for Sacramento to be laying. While the Kings aren't officially out of the playoff race, they are a full 6-games back with just 14 to play. They know their chances are slim to none and they come in having lost 3 straight. Bulls have been hit or miss, but I'm expecting a big effort here after watching their coach get ejected in their last game, as he was sticking up for his players. Wouldn't surprise me at all of Chicago won this game outright. Give me the Bulls +7! |
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03-17-19 | 76ers +6.5 v. Bucks | 130-125 | Win | 100 | 5 h 43 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (76ers +6.5) I'll take my chances with the 76ers covering as a big road dog against the Bucks. Milwaukee is simply getting way too much respect in this one. Philadelphia has won 3 straight and have simply been a different team when at full strength. Milwaukee on the other hand is going to have to adjust to life without Michael Brogdon, who is expected to miss 6 to 8 weeks. That's a big blow. Brogdon is averaging 15.6 ppg and is one of the Bucks best 3-point shooters. I not only think the 76ers cover, but I like them to win outright. Give me Philadelphia +6.5! |
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03-16-19 | Grizzlies +2 v. Wizards | 128-135 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS KNOCKOUT (Grizzlies +2) I'll take my chances here with Memphis as a small road dog against the Wizards. This is going to look like a favorable line to back Washington at home, but there's a reason this line is what it is. Wizards will be playing on no rest and for the 3rd time in 4 nights, while the Grizzlies come in off a full 2 days of rest and playing just their 2nd game in 6 days. Memphis also in a big bounce back spot after an ugly 21 point loss at Atlanta. Wizards not only figure to be fatigued, but could be without starting point guard Tomas Satoransky. Give me Memphis +2! |
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03-13-19 | Warriors v. Rockets -3.5 | Top | 106-104 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Rockets -3.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Houston laying a short number at home against the Warriors. The Rockets have already won each of the first 3 meetings in the series this season and have a chance to really make a statement here with a full 4-game sweep of the defending champs. Not to mention Houston is rolling right now, Rockets have won 9 straight and are 24-9 at home this season. Warriors are just 4-6 in their last 10 and will be without Durant for this one. Give me the Rockets -3.5! |
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03-13-19 | Pistons v. Heat -1.5 | 74-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS ODDSMAKERS ERROR (Heat -1.5) I’m a little surprised the number here is so low, but I think it has a lot to do with how overvalued the Pistons are given their recent success both SU and ATS. Detroit is both 7-3 SU and ATS in their last 10 and had covered 5 straight before a 28-point loss at Brooklyn on Monday. I also think some of value here stems from Miami coming off a disappointing loss at home to the Raptors by 21, as Toronto played that game without their best player in Khawi Leonard. I just think Miami let their guard down and more than anything the Raptors just had one of those nights shooting that there’s not a lot you can do. Toronto shot 57% from the field and were 53% from deep, tying a team record with 21-made 3-pointers. Prior to that Miami had won 4 straight and were 5-1 ATS over their previous 6. This is a team that I think is still flying under the radar. The other big thing is rest. While the Pistons won’t be playing a back-to-back, this will be their 3rd game in 4 days. The Heat on the other hand will be playing on a full 2 days of rest and only their 4th game in the last 9 days. Give me Miami -1.5! |
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03-13-19 | Magic v. Wizards -2.5 | 90-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Wizards -2.5) I'll take my chances here with the Wizards laying the short number at home against the Magic. Washington continues to get no love from the books and that's evident by the fact that they have covered 5 straight. Magic caught the eye of a lot of people with how well they payed going into the All-Star break, but they are just 4-5 since returning and have lost 3 of 4, failing to cover in all 4 games. Washington is 11-2 ATS last 13 home games after 2 straight games with a combined scored of 215 or more, while the Magic are 0-5 ATS last 5 vs a team with a losing record and 1-4 ATS last 5 on the road. Give me the Wizards -2.5! |
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03-12-19 | Blazers -2 v. Clippers | 125-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Blazers -2) I'll take my chances here with Portland as a small road favorite against the Clippers. This one comes down to rest. The Blazers have quietly been playing some great basketball over the last couple of months, but just don't get talked about all that much, which definitely plays into the line value. They just won 5 of 7 on their last road trip and will be playing here on a full 2 days of rest. Clippers are hot, but will be playing on no rest and 3rd in 4 days. Give me the Blazers -2! |
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03-12-19 | Spurs -5 v. Mavs | 112-105 | Win | 100 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Spurs -5) I'll take my chances here with San Antonio as a small road favorite against the Mavs. Star point guard Luka Donic has been downgraded to questionable with a knee sprain and with Dallas having little to nothing to play for, I would be shocked if they risked playing him in this one. Either way, I don't see the Mavs being able to keep this close. They have lost 5 straight and 10 of their last 11 overall. Spurs have won 5 straight and covered 4 of 5. Give me San Antonio -5! |