Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-07-23 | Grizzlies v. Lakers -1.5 | Top | 103-112 | Win | 100 | 23 h 59 m | Show |
10* NBA Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON LOS ANGELES LAKERS -1.5: I'll take my chances with the Lakers as a 1.5-point home favorite against the Grizzlies on Tuesday. I've backed this LA team quite a bit since the trade deadline and will continue to look to do so until I feel the books have properly adjusted for how much better this team is. Even without LeBron, this team is still improved than what they were. There's so much more quality depth throughout the lineup and there's a good chance they will be getting back D'Angelo Russell, who has missed the last 5 games with an ankle injury. On the flip side of this, Memphis is down several key players right now. Morant is away from the team indefinitely, Brandon Clarke was lost for the season just a few days ago to an Achilles injury and steven Adams is still out with a back injury. Also a tough scheduling spot for the Grizzlies, who are finishing up a 4-game road trip that started last Tuesday in Houston. Give me the Lakers -1.5! |
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03-05-23 | Warriors v. Lakers +5.5 | 105-113 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
9* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT PLAY ON LOS ANGELES LAKERS +5.5: Even with Steph Curry expected to be returning from injury for this game, I still think there's some great value here with the Lakers as a 5.5-point home dog. Yes, Golden State comes in having won and covered in 5 straight, but all 5 of those games were played on the road. Warriors are just 7-23 on the season in road games. It's also worth pointing out that while Curry is expected to be back, Golden State is still missing a key piece in Andrew Wiggins. Lakers will be without LeBron, but have shown they can compete without him in the lineup. Too many points to pass up with the home team in this one. Give me the Lakers +5.5! |
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03-04-23 | Wolves v. Kings -5 | 138-134 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
9* NBA Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON SACRAMENTO KINGS -5: I got no problem laying the 5-points with Sacramento at home against the Timberwolves. Both of these teams will be in similar spots to some regards. Both will be on no rest and both are coming off hard fought wins on Friday. Minnesota held off LA in a 110-102 road win, while the Kings sneaked out a 128-127 win at home vs the Clippers. Big thing to keep in mind is that win over the Lakers did come without LA having the services of LeBron. I also think it's a huge edge here for the Kings having no travel on no rest. While it is a short trip from LA to Sacramento, you got to remember that Minnesota is now playing their 4th and final game of a west coast trip that started with big games against the Warriors and Clippers. Got to think the gas tank is running on empty. I have a hard time seeing them keep up with this surging Kings offense. Sacramento has won 5 straight out of the All-Star break. They are averaging 136.8 ppg and shooting 54.4% from the field during this win streak. Give me the Kings -5! |
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03-03-23 | Knicks -2.5 v. Heat | Top | 122-120 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
10* NBA Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON NEW YORK KNICKS -2.5: I love the Knicks as a mere 2.5-point road favorite against the Heat. New York is playing well above their market value right now. Knicks have won 7 straight. They were 5-1 in their last 6 before the All-Star break and have won 4 straight since coming back. NY is 9-1 ATS during this run. Miami is a team going in the complete opposite direction. Heat have lost 4 of their last 5 and are just 3-11 ATS in their last 14. Clearly playing below their market value. Miami continues to be without point guard Kyle Lowry and Jimmy Butler figures to sit either tonight or tomorrow (listed as questionable). Even with Butler, I like New York to win and cover. GIve me the Knicks -2.5! |
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03-01-23 | Lakers +1.5 v. Thunder | Top | 123-117 | Win | 100 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
10* NBA Underdog PLAY OF THE WEEK PLAY ON LOS ANGELES LAKERS +1.5: I'll gladly take my chances with the Lakers as a 1.5-point dog in this game. I get LA is playing without LeBron and are on no rest after a game last night in Memphis. I just think the Lakers are not only playing desperate, they are a better team after the all-star break. Yes, OKC and them are both neck and neck in the standings. I just think the Lakers are the more motivated of the two to actually get in the playoffs. I also don't think near enough is being made of the Thunder playing without Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. He might be the most underrated player in the game. Guy is averaging 31.0 ppg, 5.7 apg, 4.7 rpb. 1.6 steals/game and 1.1 blocks/game. On top of that, this is not a team that plays much defense. They have allowed 120+ in 4 straight. Give me the Lakers +1.5! |
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03-01-23 | Bulls -5.5 v. Pistons | 117-115 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
9* NBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT PLAY ON CHICAGO BULLS -5.5 Easy play for me on Chicago as a 5.5-point road dog against the Pistons. I think we are getting some value here with the Bulls, due to them coming off a loss and playing on no rest after a game last night at Toronto. Bulls lost that game 98-104 despite them shooting 52.1% from the field and the Raptors shooting 40.4%. In the 3 games since returning from the All-Star break, they have shot 50% or better and allowed 42% or less in each game. Pat Beverley has given this team a real spark. Chicago can't afford to not win this game if they want to make the playoffs and I think that's something they clearly want to do. They are 1.5-games back of the Wizards for the final play-in spot. Detroit is down several starters and simply aren't playing well. What homecourt do they really have right now? Give me the Bulls -5.5! |
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02-28-23 | Bucks v. Nets +6.5 | Top | 118-104 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
10* NBA Eastern Conf PLAY OF THE WEEK PLAY ON BROOKLYN NETS +6.5: Even with Antetokounmpo expected back for the Bucks after he missed their last game against Phoenix, I love the value we are getting with Brooklyn in this spot. Milwaukee is simply being way overvalued right now. The Bucks have won 14 straight and with Boston's loss last night at New York, they have overtaken the Celtics for the top spot in the East. Even though Giannis didn't play, that was a big game for this team, given the history those two teams have having met up in the finals two years ago. I think they could have a hard time mentally getting up for this game against a Nets team that is no longer a threat with Durant and Irving leaving town. Brooklyn may not have the superstar talent it did a couple weeks ago. That doesn't mean they are just a pushover. Lot of guys trying to prove something on this team. Nets have covered 5 of their last 6 at home (only non-cover was a 3-pt loss as a 2-pt dog). I think there's a really good chance they don't just cover, but win this game outright. Give me Brooklyn +6.5! |
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02-27-23 | Celtics v. Knicks +2.5 | 94-109 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
9* NBA Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON NEW YORK KNICKS +2.5: I'll gladly take my chances with the Knicks as a 2.5-point home dog against the Celtics. I'm mad at myself I haven't gotten on board with New York. For me, it was the fact that while they were playing better, they were taking advantage of a soft schedule and I focused more on what this team was before. The more I looked into it, the more I started to believe that the Knicks might be one of those teams that flip the script around the All-Star break and go on a 2nd half tear. Thibodeau has always been known as a coach that guides teams who are limited offensively but give everything on the defensive side of the ball. This isn't a team that can't score and the Knicks are rolling offensively coming into this game. They can get some of that respect they are searching for with a win over Boston. Celtics have won 3 straight and 7 of 8 overall, but they are still playing without Jaylen Brown. They have could have easily lost their first two games back from the All-Star break. They won by 4 at Indiana on Thursday and by 3 at Philly on Saturday. It just feels like it's a great spot for the Knicks to get a big home win. Give me the Knicks +2.5! |
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02-26-23 | Wizards v. Bulls -4 | 82-102 | Win | 100 | 5 h 43 m | Show | |
9* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT PLAY ON CHICAGO BULLS -4: I cashed on Chicago as a mere 2-point home favorite against Brooklyn on Friday in their first game back from the All-Star break. Bulls won that game with ease, crushing the Nets 131-87. They shot 56.8% from the field and allowed 37%. I think the Pat Beverly addition was a sneaky good pickup by Chicago, as he just brings a different level of energy on a nightly basis and this team desperately needed a spark like him to get them going. The talent is definitely there for Chicago. I just think given what we saw in that game against Brooklyn, the Bulls have to be a team worth targeting until the market adjusts. I don't think 4-points is near enough for Washington to get the cover, especially with Porzingis out of the lineup now with a knee injury. Give me Chicago -4! |
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02-25-23 | Pelicans +3 v. Knicks | 106-128 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 29 m | Show | |
9* NBA Public Money ATS MASSACRE PLAY ON NEW ORLEANS PELICANS +3: I will gladly take my chances with the Pelicans as a 3-point road dog against the Knicks. I think this Pelicans team is a bit undervalued coming out of the All-Star break. New Orleans has fallen off significantly since the beginning of the year and are still waiting on Zion to make his return. Thing is, Brandon Ingram was also out a good stretch of that. In fact, Ingram has played 3 fewer games than Zion this year. Ingram has only played in 10 games since late November. They have looked better with him and I think they could be a team ready to go on a run. This is also an ideal spot to bet against the Knicks. New York will be playing in the 2nd of a back-to-back and had to use a lot of energy in their game on Friday, rallying from 19-points down to beat the Wizards 115-109. It took a career-high 46 from Julius Randle to win that game. I know the Knicks have won a bunch of games of late. I'm just not a buyer in this team and given the spot I think the Pelicans win this outright. Give me New Orleans +3! |
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02-24-23 | Nets v. Bulls -1.5 | Top | 87-131 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
10* NBA Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON CHICAGO BULLS -1.5: I'll take my chances with Chicago as a slim 1.5-point home favorite against the Nets. I just feel this is a good spot to buy-low on the Bulls in the first game back from the All-Star break. They have to be itching to get back on the floor after losing 6 straight going into the break. Brooklyn has played well since the big trades depleting them of their two best players in Durant and Irving, but I don't think it's sustainable. The guys left behind and brought in felt like they had something to prove. Not saying they won't fight, I just think they are a better bet at home than basically being priced to win outright on the road to cover. Bulls have done well as a home favorite. Chicago is 30-16 (65%) ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. Give me Chicago -1.5! |
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02-14-23 | Warriors v. Clippers -8 | 124-134 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
9* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT PLAY ON LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS -8: I think LA win tonight in a blowout. This is a huge letdown spot for the Warriors. Golden State is in the 2nd of a back-to-back and just days away from the All-Star break. Got to think they are going to rest guys like Klay Thompson and Draymond Green, maybe even Andrew Wiggins. Last time they were in the 2nd of a back-to-back they lost by 17 at Denver (Green and Thompson didn't play, also still had Steph Curry). Clippers are at the other end of the rest spectrum, having not played since last Friday. They also are one of the healthiest teams in the league right now. Got to think they are going to be excited to showcase their new look after adding a couple sneaky pieces at the deadline in Bones Hyland and Eric Gordon. Not to mention they have lost their last two games. It would take an incredible shooting night and an awful shooting night by the Clippers for this to even be respectable. Give me the Clippers -8! |
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02-13-23 | Lakers +2 v. Blazers | 115-127 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
9* NBA Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE Play on Los Angeles Lakers +2: The only reason this isn't a bigger bet, is there is a minor concern that LeBron could miss this game. He's sat out the last two, essentially giving him a week off (hasn't played since setting scoring record last Tuesday). There are just two more games left on the schedule until the All-Star break, so maybe LA just doesn't play him until after the break. Thing is, I don't know that they can, given how big every game is to them in terms of making the playoffs. They are 2-games back of the Thunder for the final play-in spot and have two teams to jump before getting to OKC. This is a game they can easily win and I just have to believe he plays. With that said, I think LA is good enough to win this game without him. I love what this team did at the trade deadline and really think they could go on a HUGE run down the stretch to get into the playoffs. I got to take them in this spot at this price against a Blazers team that isn't close to full strength and not playing great basketball. Give me the Lakers +2! |
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02-10-23 | Mavs +2 v. Kings | 122-114 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
9* NBA Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE PLAY ON DALLAS MAVERICKS +2: I want to bet the Mavs right now. I think people are really sleeping on the Kyrie Irving addition, especially after the Durant deal stole the headlines. Irving is a headcase and could derail this thing at any point, but right now it's all good. Irving is an ELITE basketball player and was outstanding in his Dallas debut Wednesday, scoring 24 points in a 110-104 road win against the Clippers, who had their big two of Kawhi and George. That was without Luka, who has missed the last 3 games. However, it feels optimistic that Luka could return for this game. If it clicks between Irving and Doncic, this offense is going to be hard to stop. Kings have established themselves as a legit playoff team in the west, but it's not been their best stretch of basketball coming into this game. Yes, they have won their last two, but both of those were against a tanking Rockets team. They are just 4-4 in their last 8 with those 2 wins and the other two were against the T-Wolves and another tanking team in the Spurs. Kings are also in a bit of a flat spot. They just finished up a 7-game road trip on Wednesday and will be playing their 4th game in 6 days. Give me the Mavs +2! |
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02-10-23 | Suns v. Pacers -1.5 | Top | 117-104 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
10* NBA Vegas Insider PLAY OF THE MONTH PLAY ON THE INDIANA PACERS -1.5: The Suns were the big winners of the trade deadline, landing Durant from the Nets. They are now the favorites to make the Finals out of the West. I think it has them overvalued in the betting market tonight. Durant isn't playing until after the All-Star break, Booker is expected back after sitting the first of a back-to-back, but he's still being eased back from a groin injury that cost him more than a month. They gave away two huge rotation pieces in Cam Johnson and Mikal Bridges. Of the 9 guys that saw minutes last night, 5 played more than 30 minutes. It's a getaway game with it being the last of a long 5-game road trip east. The big reason there's value here, is because of how bad Indiana looks on paper right now. The Pacers are just 2-13 over their last 15 games. That's just two wins in more than a months time. A lot of that losing came without their best player in Haliburton. He's back and should be back close to 100%. Indiana as a team should also be real fresh here. This is just their 2nd game in 5 days. They should be extremely motivated here and that should be enough to get them the win. Give me the Pacers -1.5! |
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02-08-23 | Wolves v. Jazz -5 | 143-118 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
9* NBA Situational ATS SLAUGHTER PLAY ON UTAH JAZZ -5: I'll take my chances with the Jazz as a slim 5-point home favorite against the Timberwolves. Minnesota is in a brutal back-to-back, having played at Denver last night and now at Utah. I also think the Timberwolves are a bit overvalued on the road right now. Minnesota comes into this game having won 13 of their last 20, but 11 of those wins came at home and the two road wins were against an awful Rockets team and a depleted Pelicans team. I also feel like this is a good spot to buy low on the Jazz, who are coming off home losses to Atlanta and Dallas. Utah is still a very strong 18-11 at home this season. Jazz are 12-4 ATS when they come in having lost 2 of their last 3. Utah should be able to play this game at their tempo and really push the pace. I don't see Minnesota being able to keep pace offensively. Give me the Jazz -5! |
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02-07-23 | Knicks v. Magic +1.5 | 102-98 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
9* NBA Situational ATS NO-BRAINER PLAY ON ORLANDO MAGIC +1.5: I'll take my chances with the Magic as a 1.5-point home dog against the Knicks on Tuesday. Great spot here to bet against New York. Knicks will be playing in the 2nd of a back-to-back and 3rd game in 4 nights after using up a ton of energy rallying from 21-points down to beat the 76ers 108-97 at home last night. The Magic are also a team I'm looking to back in certain spots, as I feel this is a team that is much better than their 22-32 record would suggest. Books have clearly been undervaluing this team of late, as Orlando comes into this game 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games. Last time out the Magic won 119-113 on the road against the Hornets as a 2-point dog. Orlando is 12-4 ATS last 16 off an upset win as a dog and 8-8 ATS last 8 off a win by 6 points or less. Give me the Magic +1.5! |
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02-06-23 | Cavs v. Wizards +3 | 114-91 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
9* NBA Situational ATS NO-BRAINER PLAY ON WASHINGTON WIZARDS +3: I'll take my chances with Washington as a slim 3-point home dog against the Cavs. Cleveland was impressive in Sunday's 122-103 win at Indiana. I was on the Pacers in that matchup. Indiana didn't play great, but Cavs also shot the ball extremely well. It wasn't enough for me to look to chase my money on Cleveland. I think this is a bad spot for them in the second on the road in a back-to-back. Let's not forget this a team that is just 11-16 in road games this season. Cleveland is just 1-9 ATS this season in road games when they come in having won 4/5 of their last 6. Wizards come in having lost their last 2, but were very competitive in both losses. They had won 6 straight before losing those last two. This is a team I'm going to be looking to back a lot in the coming weeks, at least until the market catches up on them. Give me Washington +3! |
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02-05-23 | Cavs v. Pacers +5 | Top | 122-103 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 60 m | Show |
10* NBA Central Division PLAY OF THE MONTH PLAY ON INDIANA PACERS +5: This to me is the time to buy big on the Pacers. Indiana is off a win and cover, but are just 2-11 SU over their last 13 games. They also didn't dominate in their win, sneaking out a 107-104 victory against the Kings, so I'm not expecting the public to be crazy about backing them just yet. I think it all adds up to their being some great value here with the Pacers. Most of the losing during their 2-11 stretch, came with star point guard Tyrese Haliburton sidelined. He returned in Thursday's 111-112 loss at home to the Lakers. He was great, scoring 26 points with 12 assists on 46% shooting. He didn't play great offensively in their win over the Kings and yet they still be a good Sacramento team playing on 0 days rest. Keep in mind, prior to Haliburtons injury, Indiana was playing great basketball. This is not going to be an easy game for the Cavs, who are just 10-16 SU on the road this season. Just too much value to pass up. Give me the Pacers +5! |
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02-04-23 | Blazers v. Bulls -5.5 | 121-129 | Win | 100 | 21 h 56 m | Show | |
9* NBA Situational ATS NO-BRAINER PLAY ON CHICAGO BULLS -5.5: The Blazers did me dirty on Friday. I had the Wizards -4 at home and they lost 116-124 to Portland, blowing a 20-point lead in the process. Washington scored 69 points in the 1st half and then just 47 in the 2nd half. I'm not going to let that bad beat keep me from fading the Blazers again on Saturday. This is a massive flat spot for Portland, as they will face the tall task of playing the second of a back-to-back road game (3rd road game in 4 nights). Keep in mind those were some taxing minutes they played last night. It takes an enormous effort to come back from a 20-point deficit. Lillard played a team-high 40 minutes, three other starters played 36 or more, while Watford played 30 off the bench. You got to think they will be looking to rest some guys or at the very least limit the minutes of their top guys. Bulls are playing just their second game in 4 days and have had zero travel to deal with. This will be Chicago's third straight game at home. Bulls are 5-2 in their last 7 home games and are 14-3 ATS last 17 at home vs marginal losing teams (WP% between 40% and 49%). Give me Chicago -5.5! |
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02-03-23 | Blazers v. Wizards -4 | Top | 124-116 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
10* NBA Non-Conference PLAY OF THE WEEK PLAY ON WASHINGTON WIZARDS -4: I really like the value we are getting with the Wizards as a 4-point home favorite against the Blazers on Friday. Washington has been rolling of late. Wizards have won 6 straight and are a perfect 6-0 ATS in those games. This team has finally gotten healthy. Because they were so bad early on, the public is slow to get on board, which allows the value to linger with them. I don't think 4 points is a lot to ask them to cover with how well they are playing, especially with this not being an ideal spot for the Blazers. Portland is coming off a big 122-112 win at Memphis as a 5.5-point dog on Wednesday. Solid win, but the Grizzlies aren't at full strength right now. I think they could be a little flat here, especially with this being the first of a back-to-back. Potential for guys to sit out or have their minutes reduced. I also think the Blazers are just a bit overvalued right now. Not only are they off the big upset win, but they have won 4 of their last 5. Those 3 wins were against the Spurs, Jazz and Hawks, all at home. Prior to beating the Grizzlies in Memphis, Portland hadn't won on the road since beating the Rockets in Houston back on Dec. 17! Give me the Wizards -4! |
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02-01-23 | Kings -7.5 v. Spurs | 119-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
9* NBA No Doubt Doubt ATS BLOWOUT PLAY ON SACRAMENTO KINGS -7.5: I got no problem laying the big number on the road with Sacramento, as visit the Spurs on Wednesday night. Kings snapped a 2-game skid with a hard fought 118-111 OT win at Minnesota on Monday. I don't see them having any problem here winning by double-digits. San Antonio has completely fallen flat on their face over the last month. The Spurs have lost 6 straight 2-14 SU over their last 17 games. They have really struggled to keep games close of late. Their last 5 losses have all come by at least 9 points. Most recently losing 106-127 at home to the Wizards as a 5.5-point favorite on Monday. These two teams played in San Antonio on Jan. 15 and the Kings won that game 132-119, despite trailing 63-64 at the half. They were only a 7-point favorite that time around, so the line has barely been adjusted. Books just aren't adjusting enough with San Antonio and it shows with the Spurs failing to cover in each of their last 5. Give me the Kings -7.5! |
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01-31-23 | Lakers +3.5 v. Knicks | 129-123 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
9* NBA Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE PLAY ON LOS ANGELES LAKERS +3.5: I'll gladly take my chances with the Lakers as a 3.5-point road dog against the Knicks on Tuesday. LA comes into this game off a 104-121 loss at Brooklyn on Monday and it just feels like they are being a bit undervalued here due to playing on no rest. Big thing to note about that, is LeBron James and Anthony Davis both didn't play last night. The reasons given were because of injuries, but it was really just a load management deal. I expect both to be back on the floor and I really like what I've seen out of this Lakers team over the last couple of weeks, especially since getting back Davis. I think if they had this roster intact from the get go, there would be zero debate on if this was a playoff team. I also think them losing last night to Brooklyn, really puts an emphasis on them winning this game. As for the Knicks, I'm just not a believer in this team. They are just 2-5 SU over their last 7 games. Yes those were two good wins, beating the Cavs at home and Celtics on the road, but could easily have lost both of those games and be on a 7-game skid. Lastly, LeBron has been playing out of his mind of late and you know he's going to want to put on a show at MSG. Give me the Lakers +3.5! |
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01-30-23 | Kings v. Wolves | Top | 118-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
10* NBA Revenge PLAY OF THE MONTH PLAY ON THE SACRAMENTO KINGS PK: I'm going big on the Kings in Monday's rematch vs the Timberwolves. Love Sacramento in this spot. These two teams played in Minnesota on Saturday with the Timberwolves pulling out a 117-110 win. Minnesota also comes in having won 3 straight and 5 of their last 6. I just feel it has them way overvalued here. Kings are going to be the more motivated side having lost the first meeting and are the better team to begin with. I just don't think the line move is justified given the spot. Kings were a 3-point road favorite on Saturday and now are a pick'em in some spots? Kings are 22-10 ATS last 32 on the road when revenging a same season loss over the last 3 seasons (7-3 ATS this season in any revenge spot). They are 6-0 ATS this season when they come in having lost 3 of their last 4 and 5-2 ATS as a road favorite of 6 or less. Give me the Kings PK! |
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01-28-23 | Raptors v. Blazers -4.5 | 123-105 | Loss | -112 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
9* NBA Situational ATS SLAUGHTER PLAY ON PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS -4.5: |
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01-28-23 | Lakers +8.5 v. Celtics | Top | 121-125 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
10* NBA - Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON LOS ANGELES LAKERS +8.5: I'll gladly take my chances with the Lakers as a 8.5-point road dog against the Celtics. No question that Boston is the better team, but 8.5 is ridiculous given how well the Lakers have been playing and the fact that they got back Anthony Davis from injury and recently added a quality bench player in Rui Hachimura. He 12 points and 6 boards off the bench in just 22 minutes in his Lakers debut, posting a +17 +/-. They could also be getting back guard Lonnie Walker, who hasn't played since late December. Walker is 4th on the team in scoring (14.7 ppg) and arguably their best 3-point shooter (38.4%). Celtics will be playing without Marcus Smart, who might be the 3rd or 4th best player on their team, but easily the heart and soul of this team. He brings a different level of energy that I think the rest of the guys feed off of. Boston is also a team that has really solidified itself in terms of being an elite team. They don't got much to prove. Lakers are a team trying to save their season. Just too many points for me to pass up. Give me Los Angeles +8.5! |
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01-25-23 | Grizzlies v. Warriors -2.5 | 120-122 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
9* NBA Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE PLAY ON GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS -2.5: I'll take my chances with Golden State as a slim 2.5-point home favorite against the Grizzlies. It's been an up and down first half of the season for the Warriors, which was to be expected. Golden State doesn't care about regular-season accolades. It's a big part of why they are just 6-18 on the road. They are 17-6 SU and 15-8 ATS at home this year. They are 4-0 ATS at home with a line of +3 to -3 and are 18-5 ATS in this spot over the last 3 years. This team gets up for big games, especially at home. I expect their best with Ja Morant coming to town. Big concern I have with Memphis is the injury to big man Steven Adams, who looks to be sidelined at least a couple weeks. Adams has started 42 of 44 games. He doesn't offer much offensively, but leads the team with 11.5 rpg. Warriors on the other hand are as close to full strength as I can remember. Kevon Looney just returned to action and James Wiseman is expected to return after missing close to a month. The only guy they are missing is veteran reserve Andre Iguodala, who has played in just 3 games. Golden State also has a decent edge here in scheduling. Warriors will be playing on a full 2 days of rest and have not played a back-to-back in over a week. Memphis is playing the 4th of a 5-game road trip and while they were off yesterday, this will be their 3rd road game in 4 days. Give me the Warriors -2.5! |
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01-25-23 | Pacers +5.5 v. Magic | 120-126 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 33 m | Show | |
8* NBA Public Money ATS SLAUGHTER PLAY ON INDIANA PACERS +5.5: I nailed the Pacers (+2) in last night's 116-110 win at home against the Bulls. Big reason I liked Indiana in that game, is I fell they were being undervalued due to their 7-game losing streak. Because the losing streak started the same time Tyrese Haliburton got hurt, most just assume that's why they aren't playing well. It's a big loss, but the schedule also played a big role in their struggles. I just think this team is still being undervalued and too much is being made here of them being on no rest. Keep in mind Indiana had 2 days off before their game against Chicago. Simply put, I just feel that 5.5 is too many points to pass up here. The Magic are improved this season and have covered 5 of their last 6. However, all but one of those came as a dog. Not sure I trust this team in the opposite role, especially at this price. Orlando is a mere 4-15 ATS last 3 seasons in home games vs teams with a losing record in the 2nd half of the season. Give me the Pacers +5.5! |
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01-24-23 | Wizards +7.5 v. Mavs | Top | 127-126 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
10* NBA Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER PLAY ON WASHINGTON WIZARDS +7.5: I love the Wizards as a 7.5-point road dog against the Mavs on Tuesday. This is a Washington team that I'm looking to back right now and no way I'm passing up on them at this price. Wizards are as healthy as they have been all season and it's shown in their recent performances. Washington went on the road and beat the Knicks 116-105 on Wednesday and then crushed the Magic 138-118 at home on Saturday. They are very well rested team, playing just their 3rd game in the last 7 days. This will be the Mavs 4th game in the last 7 days and they have not been playing well. Dallas is just 2-6 SU in their last 8. They are a mere 3-9 ATS in their last 12. Doncic is incredible, but they really miss Christian Wood, who is out with a thumb injury. Keep in mind they also are playing right now without Maxi Kleber, who would be the guy that normally would be asked to pick up the slack with Wood out. Just too many points for Dallas to be laying in this spot. Give me the Wizards +7.5! |
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01-24-23 | Bulls v. Pacers +2 | 110-116 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
8* NBA Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE PLAY ON INDIANA PACERS +2: Easy play for me on the Pacers as a small 2-point home dog against the Bulls. Indiana has really fallen off of late. Pacers come in having lost 7 straight. A losing streak that has coincided with the loss of point guard Tyrese Haliburton. Not having him in the lineup is a big deal, but the schedule has also played a big role in their recent struggles. Mavs just finished up a 4-game road rip that saw them play the Bucks, Thunder, Nuggets and Suns. The previous two were home games against the Hawks and Grizzlies. I just think it has them way undervalued here at home against a Bulls team that is in a really bad spot. Chicago played a game in Paris last Thursday. They got just 3-days off to deal with the jet lag before last night's game against the Hawks. I think it's going to be really tough for them to bounce back with a big effort here in the second of a back-to-back. Give me the Pacers +2! |
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01-22-23 | Thunder +6.5 v. Nuggets | 101-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
8* NBA Situational ATS NO-BRAINER PLAY ON OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER +6.5: I will gladly take the 6.5 with Oklahoma City as they go to Denver to take on the Nuggets. Denver comes into this game off an impressive 134-111 blowout win over the Pacers to extend their winning streak to 9. I just feel it has them overvalued here in this one. Denver could be down two of their best players, as Jamal Murray and Nikola Jokic are both questionable. Backup point guard Bones Hyland is also questionable. As for the Thunder, they come in off a 113-118 loss at the Kings. OKC is still a strong 7-2 SU in their last 9 games and are a perfect 9-0 ATS during this run. I just don't think the public has caught on to how talented this Thunder team is and until they do, there's going to be value on them. Give me the Thunder +6.5! |
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01-21-23 | 76ers v. Kings +2 | 129-127 | Push | 0 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
9* NBA Late Night ATS SLAUGHTER PLAY ON SACRAMENTO KINGS +2: I don't think the Kings should be getting points at home against the 76ers. The lack of respect this Sacramento team gets is surprising. Everyone I think is aware that they are much improved, but no one is talking about them as a team that could win the Western Conference. Despite the fact that they sit 3rd in the West standings with a 26-18 record and come into this game having won 6 in a row. The big reason they aren't getting a ton of love from the books in this game is they will be playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back. I just don't think it's a big enough of a factor that they should be a dog at home. It would be one thing if they were playing a bottom feeder or middle of the pack team. Philly is tied for the 2nd best record in the East at 29-16. Kings will be ready to go. It's also just the 3rd game overall in the last 6 days. Philly is the team that could be sleepwalking in this one, as they will be playing their 5th and final game on a 5-game road trip. Give me the Kings +2! |
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01-21-23 | Magic +7.5 v. Wizards | 118-138 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
8* NBA Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE PLAY ORLANDO MAGIC +7.5: I will gladly take 7.5 with the Magic against the Wizards. This line feels a bit inflated due to the fact that Orlando will be playing in the 2nd of a back-to-back. Thing is, Orlando had a whopping 4-days off before last night's game against the Pelicans. The quick turnaround shouldn't be a big deal for them in this game. Washington is as healthy as they have been all season, but even at full strength this team would be lucky to make the playoffs in the Eastern Conference. I also got to wonder just how excited are they about facing the Magic. Orlando doesn't exactly get the juices flowing. The other big thing is that Orlando comes in playing well. While they are just 4-4 in their last 8 games, they are 6-2 ATS during this run, with three outright wins as a dog. The Magic are not a pushover any more. I really like them to stay within this number and would not be shocked if they won this game outright. Give me the Magic +7.5! |
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01-20-23 | Heat -1 v. Mavs | Top | 90-115 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 47 m | Show |
10* NBA Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER: Miami Heat -1 I'll take my chances with the Heat as a slim 1-point road favorite against the Mavs on Friday. Miami is starting to look more and more like the team we expected to see to start the season. Heat have won 4 of their last 5 and 10 of their last 16 to improve to 25-21. They were just a 3.5-point road favorite against a short-handed Pelicans team and won the game 124-98. Now they get a Mavs team that has been struggling of late. Dallas has lost 3 straight and 5 of their last 6. They are also just 2-8 ATS over their last 10 games. Mavs will have to try and get back on track without one of their best players in Christian Wood, who is second on the team in scoring (18.4 ppg) and rebounding (8.4 rpg). It's not just his offense and rebounding, Wood leads the team and T-12th in the league with 1.3 blocks/game. Not exactly what Dallas needed, given how they have struggled on the defensive side of the ball. Don't be surprised if Luka puts up some crazy numbers in this one. He's going to have to shoulder a heavy load just for the Mavs to keep this respectable. In the end, I don't see them doing enough to get a win at home against Miami. Give me the Heat -1! |
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01-19-23 | Warriors v. Celtics -5.5 | 118-121 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
9* NBA Situational ATS NO-BRAINER: Boston Celtics -5.5 I'll take my chances with the Celtics as a 5.5-point home favorite against the Warriors. This will be the first game of a double-header on TNT and I think Boston will be out to send a message in this game. The Celtics have to be chomping at the bit for this matchup. After losing to the Warriors in the NBA Finals last year, Boston went to Golden State and got it handed to them in a 107-123 loss. This is their last chance to face the Warriors this season. I just don't think the Warriors at their current state or going to be able to keep this close. Golden State just got Curry back from a lengthy absence are ravished inside right now. Their 3 backup big men to Kevon Looney are all out (JaMychal Green, Jonathan Kuminga and James Wiseman). Keep in mind Looney isn't a guy that give you a ton of minutes. He only averages 23.4 minutes/game. Unless Draymond plays the whole game, there is going to be stretches where they have to go extremely small. There's a chance Curry and Thompson can go off and it won't matter who is on the floor, but I just don't think that's likely against this Celtics team. Boston is rolling into this matchup. Celtics have won 7 straight and 5 of those have come by double-digits. Warriors did win last time out at Washington, but had gone just 1-4 in their previous 5 games with the only win coming against the Spurs. Jaylen Brown is showing up on the injury report, but I feel good about him playing. He was back at practice and when he got hurt in their Jan. 11th game, they believed he would only miss a week. This is the first game since we hit the week mark. Give me the Celtics -5.5! |
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01-18-23 | Pacers v. Thunder -4 | 106-126 | Win | 100 | 20 h 10 m | Show | |
8* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT: Oklahoma City Thunder -4 I got no problem laying the 4-points at home with Oklahoma City against the Pacers. Indiana really had something going there in late December and early January. Pacers at one point had won 8 of 10. They have lost 4 straight since and the biggest reason for that is the absence of point guard Tyrese Haliburton. He's the one guy this team couldn't afford to lose. I just think it's asking a lot for the Pacers to keep this one close without Haliburton against a scorching hot Thunder team. OKC appears to have thrown the tank option out the window. Thunder have won 5 of their last 6 with wins over the Mavs, 76ers, Bulls and Nets (last 3 on the road). They didn't just beat those teams, they dominated those games. OKC beat the Mavs 120-109, 76ers 133-114, Bulls 124-110 and the Nets 112-102. Thunder are operating at an extremely high level offensive during this run. That offense will be up against a bad Indiana defense. One that comes in giving up 117.8 ppg in road games this season. Pacers just don't have the offensive firepower to keep it close. Give me the Thunder -4! |
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01-18-23 | Wizards +6.5 v. Knicks | 116-105 | Win | 100 | 20 h 45 m | Show | |
9* NBA Situational ATS NO-BRAINER: Washington Wizards +6.5 I will gladly take my chances with the Wizards as a 6.5-point road dog against the Knicks. Couple of things I like here. One, I think Washington is going to welcome back their best player, Bradley Beal, to the lineup. Beal has been upgraded to questionable and was reportedly practicing on Sunday. He's been out since Jan. 3 and two weeks is about what it takes for a mild hamstring strain to heal. If Beal returns, this is as healthy the Wizards have been all season and this is a team that is much more talented than it's 18-26 record would suggest. As for the Knicks, I just think they are being overpriced right now. New York has won 7 of their last 9 games, but most of those wins have come against either the bottom tier of the league or teams missing key players. One of those was a mere 4-point win at Washington last week. Wizards had a chance to win that game, despite shooting just 38.7% from the field. Beal gives the offense a massive boost. I like the Wizards to keep this closer than the number and maybe even win outright. Give me Washington +6.5! |
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01-18-23 | Hawks v. Mavs -3.5 | Top | 130-122 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 47 m | Show |
10* NBA Non-Conference PLAY OF THE MONTH: Dallas Mavericks -3.5 I'll take my chances on the Mavs as a slim 3.5-point home favorite against the Hawks. I think it's time to buy-low on Dallas right now. Mavs just lost back-to-back games to a struggling Blazers team and are just 1-4 SU over their last 5. They have also gone just 2-7 ATS over their previous 9. I also think it's a good time to sell-high on the Hawks. Atlanta has won 3 straight, most recently beating a hot Heat team 121-113 as a mere 1-point favorite. It all adds up to a very cheap price to back Dallas, especially given the circumstances. Mavs are going to be fresh, as they have been off since Sunday. Star Luka Doncic will be on 3-days rest, as he sat out the second of a back-to-back (He's listed as questionable, but expected to play). Any injury concerns with Christian Wood were put to rest with him returning to play on Sunday after sitting Saturday. Tim Hardaway Jr. will miss this game, but there's a chance Dallas gets back Dorian Finney-Smith and Josh Green. Finney-Smith has started 31 games, while Green has flashed potential off the bench. Hawks will be on just 1 day of rest after playing Monday. Atlanta's got to be sick and tired of traveling. Outside of playing two straight games in LA vs the Lakers and Clippers, Hawks haven't played back to back games on the same floor since a short two game homestand in late Dec. This is also a Hawks team that is just 10-13 on the road, getting outscored by 2.4 ppg. Mavs are 16-6 at home, outscoring opponents by 5.4 ppg. Dallas is 17-7 ATS last 24 as a home favorite of 6 or less. Hawks are 4-13 ATS last 17 off a cover, 14-27 last 41 as a road dog and 2-11 ATS last 13 on the road after leading in their previous game by 15+ points at the half. Give me the Mavs -3.5! |
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01-17-23 | Blazers +7 v. Nuggets | 113-122 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
9* NBA Situational ATS SLAUGHTER: Portland Trail Blazers +7 I'll take my chances with the Blazers catching 7-points on the road against the Nuggets. Portland comes into this game off back-to-back home wins over the Mavs. First time since mid December they were able to string together consecutive wins. I believe it's a sign of the Blazers finally getting back to full strength. The only guy out right now is Justice Winslow. Portland beat the Nuggets 135-110 at home in the first meeting this season before losing by 1 at home in the rematch 120-121 and then 107-120 at Denver in the 3rd meeting. I think it's worth noting that the Blazers were only a 4.5-point dog in the previous game at Denver. Since that game the Blazers have gotten back a huge bench piece in Gary Payton II. I think he can be a difference maker for this team and he doesn't have to score to impact the game in a big way. Nuggets come into this game having shots light out of late, hitting 50% or better from the field in each of their last 3 games. Historically this has been a good sign that some regression is coming, as Denver is just 1-9 ATS over the last 2 seasons after 3 straight games shooting 50% or better from the field. Give me the Blazers +7! |
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01-15-23 | Thunder +5.5 v. Nets | 112-102 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
9* NBA Situational ATS NO-BRAINER: Oklahoma City Thunder +5.5 I'll take my chances with OKC catching 5.5 on the road against the Nets. I'll definitely be looking to fade Brooklyn as much as I can with Kevin Durant out. I don't think enough is being made of how big a loss this is. Everyone knows how good Durant is, I just don't think people realize how well he was playing. Not a lot is going to be made of them losing at home to the Celtics without Durant, which is certainly playing into the favorable number in this matchup. Oklahoma City comes into this game playing some of their best basketball of the season. The Thunder are 4-1 over their last 5 games with the only loss being by 1-point at Miami, where they gave the game away late. They have a 120-109 win at home over the Mavs, 133-114 win at the 76ers and a 124-110 win at Chicago playing on no rest in this 5-game stretch. Their offense has been outstanding during this run, scoring an average of 123.0 ppg on 50.1% shooting. It's not just all offense. Their defense is only giving up 43.8% shooting during this stretch. I like them to win this game outright, but I'll take the points as an added insurance. Give me the Thunder +5.5! |
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01-14-23 | Mavs v. Blazers -1.5 | 119-136 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
9* NBA Situational ATS NO-BRAINER: Portland Trail Blazers -1.5 I'll take my chances with the Trail Blazers as a small 1.5-point home favorite against the Mavs. I just think this is the perfect spot to jump on a Portland team that is desperately trying to get back in the win column. Blazers couldn't be catching the Mavs in a better spot. Dallas has to be running on fumes right now. They are playing the 4th game of a 5-game road trip and just two days removed from Thursday's exhausting 119-115 2OT win over the Lakers. I could see some guys sitting for Dallas, most notably Christian Wood, who is listed as questionable. Wood hurt his ankle late vs LA. He was able to come back, but those ankle injuries have a way of getting worse the next day. This is also the front end of a back-to-back, which I think it makes it that much more unlikely he plays. Too much value with the Blazers at this price. Give me Portland -1.5! |
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01-13-23 | Rockets +9.5 v. Kings | 114-139 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
9* NBA Situational ATS NO-BRAINER: Houston Rockets +9.5 I'll take my chances with the Rockets catching 9.5-points on the road against the Kings Friday. This will be a rematch as these just played each other in Sacramento on Wednesday. The Kings would win that game 135-115 and cover as a 9.5-point favorite. Most will just assume looking at the final score that it was a blowout the whole way, but that wasn't the case at all. Houston actually had the lead entering the 4th quarter, but were then outscored 41-20 in the final period. Collapsing like they did should have the Rockets motivated for the rematch. I'm not so sure Sacramento will have as easy a time getting up for this game. It's not easy to blowout any team in the NBA in consecutive games. I like the Rockets to hang around and possibly even win this game outright. Give me Houston +9.5! |
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01-13-23 | Thunder v. Bulls -4.5 | Top | 124-110 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
10* NBA Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER: Chicago Bulls -4 I'll take my chances with the Bulls as a 4-point home favorite against the Thunder. I like this spot for Chicago, who I feel will be extra motivated to get a win here after losing their last two games. This is a team that was really playing well before this latest hiccup. Chicago is still 8-5 SU and 8-4-1 ATS in their last 13 games. Yes, the Bulls figure to be without Demar DeRozan, but this is a really bad scheduling spot for OKC. Thunder were in action last night at Philly, a game they shockingly won 133-114 as a 10.5-point underdog. Not easy bouncing back this late in the season on no rest, especially on the road. This will be the Thunder's 3rd road game in 4 nights, which only makes this spot that much worse. Who knows if OKC even plays all their guys on the 2nd of a back-to-back. Either way the price is too good to pass up with Chicago. Give me the Bulls -4! |
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01-12-23 | Mavs v. Lakers +3.5 | 119-115 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
9* NBA - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE: Lakers +3.5 I'll take my chances with the Lakers as a 3.5-point home dog against the Mavs on Thursday. Th market has been way off on both of these teams of late. Los Angeles is 5-1 SU and 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games. Dallas has lost 3 of their last 4 and are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. Lakers are also in the much better scheduling spot, as they come in on a full 2 days of rest and will be playing just their 2nd game in 5 days. Mavs are playing on just 1-day of rest, playing their 3rd straight game on the road and their 4th game in the last 6 days. Give me the Lakers +3.5! |
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01-11-23 | Pelicans +9.5 v. Celtics | 114-125 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
9* NBA Situational ATS NO-BRAINER: Pelicans +9.5 I'll take my chances with the Pelicans as a 9.5-point road dog against the Celtics. I just think Boston is getting way too much respect in this spot. At the same time, I think New Orleans is being way undervalued right now due to the fact that both Zion Williamson and Brandon Ingram are out with injuries. People don't realize just how deep and talented this Pelicans team is. Boston is also playing shorthanded without one of their most important pieces in Marcus Smart. They also could be missing big man Robert Williams in this one. The books have really started to inflate the number on this team and as a result they are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. I know it's not as big a game with Durant now sidelined, but I got to think the Celtics will have a hard time not looking ahead to tomorrow's game in Brooklyn. Boston is just 1.5-games up on the Nets for the No. 1 seed in the East and Kyrie isn't exactly a fan favorite with this organization. I just think it all adds up to New Orleans keeping this within the number. Give me the Pelicans +9.5! |
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01-11-23 | Pacers +4.5 v. Knicks | 113-119 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
8* NBA - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE: Indiana Pacers +4.5 I'll gladly take my chances with the Pacers as a 4.5-point road dog against the Knicks. I'm going to keep riding this Indiana team until they show signs of slowing down. Pacers come into this game having won 8 of their last 10 and are 8-1-1 ATS during this stretch. Tyrese Haliburton seems to have taken a big step forward and Indiana hit big on rookie shooting guard Benedict Mathurin. Fellow rookie, Andrew Nembhard has also played really well. This is a much more talented and deep team than people realize. Knicks are a team I just don't have a ton of faith in. They aren't great and they aren't bad, but often will be overpriced when they are doing well because of the market they play in. New York comes in having won 4 of their last 5 and in the lone loss they lost by just 4 to the Bucks. Thing is, two of those wins were against the Rockets and Spurs. Another was against a depleted Suns team at home. The one decent win was at Toronto and the Raptors are 4-11 SU over their last 15 games. Give me the Pacers +4.5! |
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01-08-23 | Hawks v. Clippers -3.5 | 112-108 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
9* NBA Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE: Los Angeles Clippers -3.5 I'll take my chances with the Clippers as a mere 3.5-point home favorite against the Hawks. I just think this is the perfect time to buy-low on Los Angeles. Clippers come into this game having lost 5 straight. They had that awful showing in Thursday's 91-122 loss to the Nuggets and then neither Paul George or Kawhi played in Friday's 115-128 loss at Minnesota. Kawhi is expected back for this game and I believe George will play, despite showing up as questionable in the injury report. I just feel that's more of them just making up an injury to get the league off their back for him not playing in the second of a back-to-back. So this is really the Clippers first time to respond to their poor effort in the loss to the Nuggets. I just think when this team has all their pieces, they are one of the best teams in the Western Conference. It's also not like the Hawks come into this matchup playing great basketball. Atlanta has lost 5 of their last 6 and are in the much worse scheduling spot, playing their 4th straight game on the road in a week. We just saw them way overvalued in their last game, listed as a 3-point favorite and losing 114-130 to the Lakers. Hawks are just 5-11 ATS over their last 16 games. Give me the Clippers -3.5 |
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01-08-23 | Hornets v. Pacers -5 | 111-116 | Push | 0 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
8* NBA Situational ATS MASSACRE: Indiana Pacers -5 I don't understand the line move here. This line opened at Indiana -7 and has dropped down to 5? They could be without stud rookie Bennedict Mathurin, who has been a force for them off the bench and is third on the team in scoring at 17.4 ppg. I just don't feel that his absence will have a big impact on their game against the Hornets. Scoring is not going to be an issue against this Charlotte team. Hornets have allowed 119 or more points in 14 of their last 16 games. Indiana had scored 122 or more in 5 straight before scoring just 108 against the Blazers, where they couldn't buy a basket from deep. This is also a very deep Pacers team, who has a number of guys that can pick up the scoring slack if needed. I think you also got to factor in how well point guard Tyrese Haliburton is playing of late. Guy is quietly averaging 20.4 ppg and 10.2 apg, shooting 40.4% from 3 (averaging 3 made 3's a game) and is T-3rd in the league with 1.7 steals/game. Give me the Hornets -5! |
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01-07-23 | Jazz -1.5 v. Bulls | 118-126 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
8* NBA Oddsmakers PUBLIC TRAP PLAY OF THE DAY: Utah Jazz -1.5 This line stinks and it keeps getting worse. Chicago opened as a 1-point favorite and now it's Utah that's favored. It makes no sense. Bulls are off a 126-112 win at 76ers last night, improving to 7-3 in their last 10 games. Utah had lost 5 straight before winning at Houston on Wednesday. Beating a bad Rockets team in a game they were favored by 6.5 is not exactly something that's going to make the public want to bet the Jazz at basically a pick'em on the road. They are going to line up to play Chicago. Clearly someone knows something or has a pretty good insight into this game for Utah to be favored. It's just so far off what you would think it should be, you have to take the other side. This does feel like a bit of a flat spot for Chicago, playing on no rest after a gauntlet 4-game stretch in 7 days, where they played a home-and-home vs the Cavs, hosted the Nets and finished up with last night's game in Philly. Utah's best player is Lauri Markkanen. The former Bull, who has to feel a bit like the team gave up on him to early. Certainly looks that way. He's going to be motivated to play well in this one and teams typically follow the lead of their best player. Give me the Jazz -1.5! |
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01-06-23 | Bulls +4.5 v. 76ers | Top | 126-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
10* NBA Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER: Chicago Bulls +4.5 I'll take my chances with Chicago catching 4.5 on the road against a 76ers team that will be without one of the best players in the game in Joel Embiid. Bulls have been playing some of their best basketball of the season here of late. Chicago is 6-3 SU and 6-2-1 ATS over their last 9 games. Two of those losses were by 1-point at home to the Cavs and by 11 in OT at Cleveland. They just beat a red-hot Nets team 121-112 as 5-point home dog last time out. 76ers were able to win without Embiid on Wednesday, knocking off the Pacers 129-126, but needed OT to secure the victory and did not cover. Philly has enough scorers to put up points without Embiid, but they really miss him on the defensive side of the ball. Chicago isn't a great 3-point shooting team, but are connecting on 48.7% of their attempts for the season and have shot 48% or better from the field in 9 of their last 10 games. Only exception was against a Bucks defense that is one of the best in the NBA on the defensive side of the ball. Harden, Maxey, Harris and Melton all played 37 or more minutes in that OT win against the Pacers and only 7 guys had more than 20 minutes. I just think their lack of depth and not having Embiid puts them in a tough spot here. Give me the Bulls +4.5! |
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01-04-23 | Grizzlies v. Hornets +8 | 131-107 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
8* NBA Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR: Charlotte Hornets +8 I'll take my chances with the Hornets catching 8-points at home against the Grizzlies. It's been a dreadful start to the 2022-23 season for Charlotte, who comes into this game at just 10-28 and a lousy 3-13 over their last 16 games. The big reason I'm taking a shot on the Hornets, is the biggest reason their record is what it is, is the laundry list of injuries this team has had to deal with. Their best player, LaMelo Ball, has only played 14 games Terry Rozier has missed double-digit games and Dennis Smith Jr just returned to play in his 16th game of the season. Even with Gordon Hayward (not playing well anyway) not likely to play tonight, I think this is as healthy as Charlotte has been all season. I think they show up with a lot of fight here against Memphis. Grizzlies have been playing well, but this is just too many for them to be laying on the road. Give me the Hornets +8! |
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01-04-23 | Thunder +2.5 v. Magic | 115-126 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
9* NBA Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER: Oklahoma City Thunder +2.5 I'll take my chances with the Thunder as a 2.5-point road dog against the Magic on Wednesday. I just don't think Orlando has any business being favored in this game. Orlando, who is already without the likes of Jalen Suggs and Jonathan Isaac, will not have Franz Wagner, Mortiz Wagner or Bol Bol for this game. So while OKC is playing in the second of a back-to-back on the road, they should have more than enough here to get the win against a depleted Magic side. Orlando has lost 3 straight coming in, including a 100-119 loss at home to the Wizards in their last game. They are scoring just 104 ppg and giving up 123 ppg during this losing streak. OKC just put up 150 last night on Boston. Give me the Thunder +2.5! |
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01-03-23 | Kings v. Jazz -2.5 | 117-115 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
9* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT: Utah Jazz -2.5 I'll take my chances with the Jazz as a 2.5-point home favorite against the Kings. Utah comes in having lost 4 straight, but it's not like they haven't been competitive during the losing streak. All 4 losses have come by 5 points or less. One of those being a 125-126 loss at Sacramento last Friday. Not only will the Jazz be motivated here to get back in the win column, but they are going to want revenge on the Kings. I think they get it, as this is not an ideal spot for Sacramento. Kings will be playing their 5th game in 8 days and second straight on the road in one of the more tougher places to play, especially if you come in any kind of bad rest spot. Making matters worse for Sacramento, is they face a rested Utah team that is playing on a full two days of rest. Give me the Jazz -2.5! |
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01-02-23 | Raptors v. Pacers -1 | 114-122 | Win | 100 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
9* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT: Indiana Pacers -1 I'll take my chances with the Pacers as a slim 1-point home favorite against the Raptors on Monday. Indiana has won 5 of their last 6 and are 7-2 ATS over their last 9 games. Indiana is a perfect 3-0 on their 4-game homestand, winning all 3 as a dog. They have host 51% or better from the field in each of their last 3 games, scoring at least 129 points in each win. I just think this team is playing too well to basically a pick'em against a Raptors team that is just 3-8 SU over their last 11 games and just 5-12 SU on the road this season. Toronto is rested, but are just 1-11 ATS in their last 12 road games when playing 4 or fewer games in a 10-day stretch. Pacers are 8-1 ATS last 9 at home when they come in having covered 4/5 of their last 6. Give me the Pacers -1! |
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12-31-22 | 76ers v. Thunder +4.5 | 115-96 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
8* NBA Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY: Oklahoma City Thunder +4.5 I'll take my chances with the Thunder catching 4.5-points at home against the 76ers on Saturday. Tough spot here for Philadelphia, who is in quite the letdown spot after playing a big game last night at New Orleans. It's also the 76ers 4th and final game of a 4-game road trip. I just think playing on no rest with all that travel has them set to struggle to perform up to expectations. I also wouldn't be shocked at all if Philadelphia decided to sit one of their two stars in the second of a back-to-back. OKC on the other hand is a young team that has been way better than expected and it shows in their ATS record. Thunder are 20-14 ATS on the season and come in having covered 6 of their last 9 games. I'll take the points, but I like OKC to win this outright. Give me the Thunder +4.5! |
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12-30-22 | Jazz v. Kings -3 | 125-126 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 58 m | Show | |
9* NBA Late Night ATS SLAUGHTER: Sacramento Kings -3 I'll gladly take my chances with the Kings as a slim 3-point home favorite against the Jazz on Friday. Utah surprised a lot of teams early on with their effort and it resulted in them greatly exceeding expectations. Most thought this team was one of the front-runners to finish with the worst record in the league. While they clearly aren't that team, I think that early success has them overvalued as teams have started to treat them with a little more respect. Utah is just 5-7 ATS in their last 12 games. The defense continues to be a problem and that's what I believe will ultimately do them in against a very good Kings offense. Kings are scoring 118.0 ppg on the season and that number jumps to 122.1 ppg in home games. I also think Sacramento is coming into this game with a ton of momentum after turning a 19-point 3rd quarter deficit into a 127-126 win at home over the Nuggets on Wednesday. This is also a tough spot for Utah, as they will be playing their 3rd straight on the road. It's also the Jazz's 6th road game in their last 7 overall. Give me the Kings -3! |
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12-29-22 | Clippers v. Celtics -5.5 | 110-116 | Win | 100 | 19 h 26 m | Show | |
9* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT: Boston Celtics -5.5 I'm going to lay the 5.5 with the Celtics at home against the Clippers on Tuesday. Both teams come into this game playing well. LA has won and covered 4 of their last 5, while Boston has won and covered each of their last 3. What I really like is the revenge that Boston will be playing with in this game. These two teams met not that long ago in LA (Dec. 12). A game the Celtics lost 93-113. The key thing to note is that it was an awful spot for Boston. They were coming off a game at Golden State two days earlier, which was their first shot at the Warriors since losing to them in the Finals last year. They were also playing their 5th straight game on the road. Celtics had gone from Brooklyn to Toronto to Phoenix to Golden State in the 8 days leading up to that game. This time the roles are reversed. Celtics have done zero traveling since arriving home from LA, as this will be their 7th straight home game. The Clippers on the other hand will be playing their 5th straight on the road. It will also be their 3rd game in 4 nights. Give me the Celtics -5.5! |
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12-28-22 | Jazz -3 v. Warriors | 107-112 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
9* NBA Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR: Utah Jazz -3 I'll take my chance with Utah as a slim 3-point road favorite against the Warriors. Golden State has looked much better since return home from a dreadful 6-game road trip, where they went just 1-5. The Warriors upset Memphis 123-109 as a 7.5-point home dog on Christmas Day and then held on for a 110-105 win and cover at home against the Hornets last night. Why fade them here? Couple reasons. One is rest. Golden State will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days and will be doing so against a rested Jazz team that will be playing just their 2nd game in the last 6 days. The other is the likely absence of Klay Thompson, who is listed as doubtful due to injury management. With Thompson, Steph Curry and Andrew Wiggins all sidelined, there's not much for scoring options outside of Jordan Poole. I just think the lack of offense is going to do in the Warriors in this one. Utah is 4th in the NBA in scoring at 117.2 ppg and should be able to do as they please against a tired Warriors team. Give me the Jazz -3! |
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12-27-22 | Knicks v. Mavs -4.5 | 121-126 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
9* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT: Dallas Mavericks -4.5 I'll take my chances with the Mavs as a 4.5-point home favorite against the Knicks on Tuesday. New York has lost three in a row since rolling off 8 straight wins and now figure to be without arguably their most important piece to the puzzle in point guard Jalen Brunson, who left with a hip injury and did return in Sunday's Christmas Day loss at home to the 76ers. Brunson is listed as questionable, but with just 1-day off and the Knicks only two other games over the next week being favorable road matchups against the Spurs and Rockets, I have a hard time seeing him play in this game. Without Brunson to run the offense, I think it could be tough sledding for the Knicks against a good Mavs team that is playing well, having won their last 3 games. Give me Dallas -4.5! |
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12-27-22 | Lakers v. Magic -3 | Top | 129-110 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 10 m | Show |
10* NBA Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER: Orlando Magic -3 I'll take my chances with the Magic as a 3-point home favorite against the Lakers. It's been all downhill for LA since they lost Anthony Davis to a foot injury. Lakers come in having lost 4 straight and have played absolutely zero defense during the losing streak. LA is giving up 130.5 ppg in this stretch. I don't see it getting any better against the Magic, who have been one of the hottest teams in the league in the month of December. Orlando is 8-1 over their last 9 games and have covered 10 straight. The only loss being a mere 1-point defeat on the road against the Hawks. If the Lakers weren't such a public team, this line would be closer to 7. Simply put, there's too much value with Orlando at this price. Give me the Magic -3! |
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12-25-22 | Bucks v. Celtics -4.5 | Top | 118-139 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
10* NBA Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER: Boston Celtics -4.5 I'll take my chances with the Celtics as a 4.5-point home favorite against the Bucks on Christmas Day. I just think that when they have played their best, Boston has looked like the best team in the NBA and I expect the best they have to offer in this game against the Bucks. Boston snapped a 3-game skid with a 121-109 win and cover at home against the Timberwolves on Friday. It was the best they have looked in 2 weeks and I like them to build on that. As for the Bucks, they come in off back-to-back losses, falling 106-114 at Cleveland last Wednesday and then 100-118 at Brooklyn on Friday. This will be Milwaukee's 4th straight game on the road in what has really been a brutal stretch in their schedule. The Bucks are also just not a great road team this year. Milwaukee is 14-3 at home compared to just 8-7 on the road. The offense simply hasn't been good enough away from home, as they are scoring just 106.0 ppg on 43.5% shooting on the road. That's a problem against this Celtics team that was on a historic offensive pace before their recent swoon. Boston also just got one of the games best interior defenders back in Robert Williams. Celtics have the big guys inside to make it tough on Giannis and without him dominating the game, I don't know where the offense is going to come from for the Bucks. Give me the Celtics -4.5! |
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12-23-22 | Blazers v. Nuggets -4.5 | 107-120 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
9* NBA Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER: Denver Nuggets -4.5 I'll take my chances with the Nuggets as a 4.5-point home favorite against the Blazers. Denver comes into this game having won 5 of their last 6 and are 10-3 SU at home this season. Portland is going in the opposite direction, as the Blazers have dropped 3 of their last 4, including back-to-back upset losses on the road against OKC last two times out. The big key to his handicap is the big rest advantage for the Nuggets. Denver is playing their third straight game at home and had very little travel of late, playing just 1 road game since Dec. 8th. Nuggets had a full 2 days off leading up to this game. Portland on the other hand is finishing up a 6-game road trip and will be playing their 5th road game in a span of 8 days. Give me the Nuggets -4.5! |
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12-23-22 | Bulls v. Knicks -5 | 118-117 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
8* NBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT: New York Knicks -5 I'll take my chances with the Knicks laying 5-points at home against the Bulls Friday night. New York had their 8-game winning streak snapped in a 106-113 loss at home to the Raptors on Wednesday. Couple things played into that loss. One the Knicks were sloppy with the ball in the second of a back-to-back. New York had 16 turnovers and generated a season-low 4 on the defensive side of the ball. Toronto also got a 52-point effort out of Pascal Siakam. I feel really good about the Knicks getting back to their winning ways against a Bulls team that I just don't have a lot of trust in. Chicago has won their last two, but will be playing their 4th straight on the road and 3rd road game in 4 nights. Bulls beat the Hawks 110-108 on a last second shot last time out, which adds even more value to this play on New York. Teams off an upset loss as a home favorite against an opponent off a road win by 3 or less points are 37-14 (72.5%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Give me the Knicks -5! |
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12-21-22 | Raptors v. Knicks -1.5 | 113-106 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
8* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT: Knicks -1.5 I'll take my chances with the Knicks as a mere 1.5-point home favorite against the Raptors. The only real negative for New York is they are playing on rest after last night's blowout win over the Warriors on TNT. That's now 8 straight wins and covers for the Knicks. This team is rolling right now. Toronto is going in the opposite direction. The Raptors have lost 6 in a row, going just 1-5 ATS in those games. They are far from in a favorable scheduling spot, as this will be their 3rd game in a different city over the last 4 days. Toronto is also a mere 3-12 SU in road games this season. Give me the Knicks -1.5! |
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12-21-22 | Bucks v. Cavs -1.5 | 106-114 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
9* NBA Blockbuster ATS ANNIHILATOR: Cleveland Cavaliers -2 I'll take my chances with the Cavs laying just 2-points at home against the Bucks. Cleveland is 15-2 at home this season. They come in having won 4 straight and playing their 4th straight game at home (no travel). Milwaukee has won their last two and just had that impressive 128-119 win at New Orleans last time out, but are just 5-6-2 ATS on the road this year. This is a measuring stick game for the Cavs, as they are trying to reach the level Milwaukee has established. They certainly haven't forgot about how the first meeting between these two teams went. Cleveland had as much as a 16-point lead in a 102-117 loss at Milwaukee. They let the Bucks go on a 23-2 run to start the 3rd quarter, which they got outscored 35-10. They gave up 65 points in the 2nd half after holding them to 52 in the 1st half. Cavs are a great defensive team and one that has the athletic big guys inside that at least give them a chance at defending Antetokounmpo. Give me Cleveland -2! |
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12-20-22 | Warriors v. Knicks -4.5 | Top | 94-132 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
10* NBA Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER: New York Knicks -4.5 I'll take my chances with the Knicks as a 4.5-point home favorite against the Warriors. New York is one of the hottest teams in the NBA and are easily playing their best basketball of the season. Knicks come into this game having gone a perfect 7-0 SU and 7-0 ATS over their last 7 games. A big reason for their strong play, is the improved play on the defensive side of the ball. New York is allowing just 98.2 ppg during their 7-game win streak and only once in this stretch have they allowed more than 106 points. The Warriors come into this game off an impressive 126-110 win on the road against the Raptors as a 6-point dog. It was a nice win, but this a team I don't want a lot to do with while Steph Curry remains out of the lineup. That was the Warriors first win without Curry on the floor this season, as they are 1-4 in games without him. It's worth noting that the win did come against a struggling Raptors team that has lost 6 in a row. They also got a career-high 43 points from Joran Poole and shot 46.2 (18-39) on 3-pointers. No other Warrior player had more than 17 points. Warriors are just 4-13 ATS in road games this season and 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games after a SU win. Knicks are 16-3 ATS over the last 3 seasons when they come in having covered 4 or more games in a row. Give me New York -4.5! |
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12-17-22 | Heat v. Spurs +7.5 | 111-101 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
9* NBA - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE: San Antonio Spurs +7.5 I'll take my chances with the Spurs catching 7.5-points at home against the Heat on Saturday. Miami to me is a bit overvalued coming into this game. The Heat enter on a 3-game win streak, but just as easily could be 0-3 in those games. They had a 5-point win at Indiana, 2-point win at OKC and a 3-point win at Houston. It's also worth noting that all 3 of those games were played on the road. This will be Miami's 3rd road game in 4 days and their 4th in the last 6. I know there's a lot of positives on the injury front for the Heat in terms of guys playing, but this is a banged up team at this juncture of the season. Miami has 15 guys on their injury report. I just think it's asking a lot for them to go on the road and have their way with the Spurs. San Antonio is just 4-17 since their surprising 5-2 start to the season, but 3 of those 4 wins have come in their last 4 games. This will also be the Spurs third straight game at home and just their second game in the last 5 days. It would not surprise me at all if San Antonio won this game outright. Give me the Spurs +7.5! |
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12-16-22 | Blazers v. Mavs -3.5 | 110-130 | Win | 100 | 12 h 5 m | Show | |
9* NBA Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR: Dallas Mavericks -3.5 I'll take my chances with the Mavs as a slim 3.5-point home favorite against the Blazers on Friday. This to me is a great spot to jump on Dallas at a discount after their ugly 90-105 loss at home to the Cavs on Wednesday. It was a dreadful offensive showing from the Mavs, who shot just 39.2% from the field against a stingy Cleveland defense. They aren't going to get the same kind of resistance from the Blazers. Portland is allowing opposing teams to shoot 47.4% from the field on the season and have allowed 49.0% shooting over their last 5 games. Mavs are 21-9 ATS last 30 games after failing to score at least 100 points in their previous game. They are also 31-19 ATS in their last 50 games off a SU loss and 10-1 ATS last 11 at home after a game that saw a combined score of 195 or less. Give me Dallas -3.5! |
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12-16-22 | Knicks v. Bulls -2.5 | Top | 114-91 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 41 m | Show |
10* NBA - Smart Money VEGAS INSIDER: Chicago Bulls -2.5 I'll take my chances with the Bulls as a slim 2.5-point home favorite against the Knicks on Friday. I love the revenge spot for Chicago, as these two teams played in Chicago on Wednesday with New York securing a 128-120 win in OT. It's just not easy beating the same team twice on the road and this is a Chicago team that has thrived in this spot. Bulls are 25-12 ATS as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons. There's also a big time system in play favoring a Chicago cover. Favorites that are off a home loss and revenging a loss as a home favorite are 83-37 (69.2%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Favorites off an upset loss as a home favorite against an opponent off a win as a road dog are 79-41 (65.8%) over the last 5 seasons. Give me the Bulls -2.5! |
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12-14-22 | Kings v. Raptors -4.5 | Top | 124-123 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
10* NBA Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER: Toronto Raptors -4.5 I'll take my chances with the Raptors as a 4.5-point home favorite against the Kings. This is an easy play on Toronto for me. This is an awful scheduling spot for Sacramento. The Kings aren't playing well, having lost 3 of their last 4. They were dominated last night in Philly by the 76ers. I just don't think this team has much gas in the tank. Not only are the Kings playing in the second of a back-to-back, but it's their 3rd road game in 4 nights and the 5th straight road game as they continue on their 6-game road trip. Toronto on the other hand is going to be extremely motivated to get back in the win column after dropping back-to-back games on the road against the Magic this past weekend. Key here is the Raptors are going to have some fresh legs, having had the last two days off. Toronto is also a different team at home, where they are 10-3 SU and 9-4 ATS. Toronto is 20-9 ATS last 29 when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days and 13-3 ATS last 16 at home off an upset loss as a favorite. Give me the Raptors -4.5! |
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12-11-22 | Suns +3.5 v. Pelicans | 124-129 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 27 m | Show | |
8* NBA - Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR: Phoenix Suns +3.5 I'll take my chances with Phoenix as a 3.5-point road dog against the Pelicans. I really like this spot for the Suns, who are going to be out for revenge from Friday's loss in Phoenix. One that ended with Zion doing a 360 dunk in the final seconds that really irked the Suns players. Phoenix is 20-9 ATS last 2 seasons when revenging a loss and are 15-4 ATS last 19 avenging a a loss as a road favorite. Even if Booker (Questionable) doesn't play, I still like the more motivated Suns to cash the cover in this one. Give me Phoenix +3.5! |
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12-10-22 | Thunder +5.5 v. Cavs | 102-110 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
8* NBA - Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR: Oklahoma City Thunder +5.5 I'll take my chances with the Thunder as a 5.5-point road dog against the Cavs on Saturday. Cleveland will be playing here on no rest after last night's 95-106 loss at home to the Kings. Donovan Mitchell sat out that game with a lower leg injury and could be held out of this one. Even if he plays, I like OKC to keep this close. Thunder have covered 4 of their last 5 and will have a big rest advantage in this game having not played since Wednesday. OKC is 9-5 ATS on the road this year, 31-18 in their last 49 as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 points and 21-9 ATS last 30 when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days. Give me the Thunder +5.5! |
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12-07-22 | Celtics v. Suns +1.5 | 125-98 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 2 m | Show | |
9* NBA Situational ATS NO-BRAINER: Phoenix Suns +1.5 I'll take my chances with the Suns as a 1.5-point home dog against the Celtics. I know Boston is winning and covering just about every time they take the floor, but no way I'm passing up on Phoenix as a home dog. Suns are 12-2 SU at home this season, winning on average by 10.9 ppg. You have to think we are going to get the best the Suns have to offer against the reigning Eastern Conference Champs, who own the NBA's best record at 20-5. There's also a chance Phoenix will be getting back two starters in Torrey Craig and Chris Paul. Getting back Paul would be huge. He's been upgraded from out to questionable and it just feels like this would be the game they circle for him to return. Either way, I like the Suns to win this game. Lastly, I think there's a chance here we catch the Celtics not in top form. Not only is this their 3rd road game in 4 nights, but you have to think Saturday's game against the Warriors, who beat them in the Finals, is one they might be looking ahead to. Give me the Suns +1.5! |
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12-07-22 | Wizards v. Bulls -5.5 | Top | 111-115 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 60 m | Show |
10* NBA Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER: Chicago Bulls -5.5 I really like Chicago to cover the 5.5 at home against the Wizards. This for me is all about the spot and the matchup. You have to think we get a huge effort here from this Bulls team. Chicago has had the last two days off to mull their recent funk. Not only do the Bulls come in off 3 straight loss, they are just 3-8 SU in their last 11 games. I do think this team will continue to disappoint until they get a healthy Lonzo Ball back in the lineup, but one thing Chicago has done under head coach Billy Donovan, is beat up on bad teams. Bulls are 35-14 SU and 31-17 ATS over the last 3 seasons as a home favorite. They are also 20-8 ATS last 28 at home vs a team with a losing road record. They have covered 4 of their last 5 at home vs the Wizards and 9 of the last 12 meetings overall. Washington comes in having lost 6 of their last 7 and are playing without Bradley Beal right now. Give me the Bulls -5.5! |
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12-04-22 | Grizzlies v. Pistons +6.5 | 122-112 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 49 m | Show | |
9* NBA Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR: Detroit Pistons +6.5 I'll take my chances with Detroit as a 6.5-point home dog against the Grizzlies. Memphis is just not the same team on the road as they are at home. The Grizzlies are 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS at home this season, compared to 5-7 SU and 2-8-2 ATS on the road. A big part of that is the lack of defense Memphis has played on the road. Grizzlies are giving up 118.0 ppg on 48.2% shooting from the field and 40% shooting from deep on the road. They will be facing a Pistons offense that has been much improved over the last couple of weeks. Detroit has shot 49% or better from the field in 5 of their lats 7 games, going for 50% or better in each of their last 2. This is also a well-rested Pistons team playing on a full 2 days of rest and this will be just their 2nd game in the last 6 days. Give me the Pistons +6.5! |
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12-02-22 | Heat +8.5 v. Celtics | 120-116 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
9* NBA - Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR: Miami Heat +8.5 I'll take my chances with the Heat as a 8.5-point road dog against the Celtics. This will be a rematch from Wednesday. Boston won and covered as a 10-point favorite in a 134-121 win. It's been quite a run for the Celtics, who are now 14-1 over their last 15 with a 10-2 ATS record in their last 12. Not saying they will lose the rematch, but I do like Miami to put up more of a fight. Not as easy for Boston getting motivated to play the same team, especially after beating them the previous time out. Celtics could also be looking ahead to a 6-game road trip against the likes of the Nets, Raptors, Suns, Warriors, Clippers and Lakers. Give me the Heat +8.5! |
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11-28-22 | Hawks -1 v. 76ers | 101-104 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
8* NBA - Situational ATS NO-BRAINER: Atlanta Hawks -1 I'll take my chances with the Hawks as a slim 1-point road favorite against the 76ers on Monday. This line doesn't exactly make a lot of sense. The 76ers come into this game having gone 6-2 SU and 7-1 ATS over their last 8 games. They just won last night by 30 on the road against the Magic as a mere 1-point favorite. Atlanta on the other hand has lost their last two games as a favorite and are just 1-5 ATS over their last 6. Even with Embiid, Maxey and Harden all out for the 76ers, the public is all over Philly here as a home dog. I just think it's a bit of an overreaction with the 76ers recent success without their Big 3. Yes they had that big win at home over the Nets, but the other 3 games without their big 3 came against the Hornets and the Magic (Twice). I just think Atlanta should be favored by more in this spot. Hawks are going to be extremely motivated to get back in the win column, while Philly could be a little over confident here after that 30-point blowout win. Hawks are the more talented team in this fight. Give me Atlanta -1! |
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11-25-22 | Kings +8 v. Celtics | 104-122 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
9* NBA - Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE: Sacramento Kings +8 I'll take my chances with the Kings as a 8-point dog against the Celtics. This is just too many points to pass up with Sacramento. Boston is being way overpriced right now due to the fact that they come in having won 10 of their last 11. Also a good buy low spot on the Kings after an ugly 106-115 loss at Atlanta last time out. Sacramento has been playing extremely well since late October. The Kings are 10-3 SU and 10-3 ATS over their last 13 games. Sacramento has really come out looking to prove to everyone how good they are against the top teams and I expect them to give Boston all they can handle in this one. Give me the Kings +8! |
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11-23-22 | 76ers v. Hornets -3.5 | Top | 101-107 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
10* NBA Sharp Money PLAY OF THE WEEK: Charlotte Hornets -3.5 I will gladly take my chances with the Hornets as a mere 3.5-point home favorite against the 76ers on Wednesday. Charlotte is just 1-11 over their last 12 games, but that's playing into the favorable number here. Even with Ball still sidelined, the Hornets are as healthy as they have been since the start of the season, as they just recently got back several key players including Hayward and Smith Jr. We should also get a big effort here from the Hornets given how fresh they will be for this game. Charlotte hasn't played since Sunday and this will be just their third game in the last 6 days. With all that said, this is even more a play against the 76ers in this spot. Philadelphia just played their hearts out last night against Brooklyn, despite missing all three of their Big 3 in Embiid, Harden and Maxey. They put everything they had into beating the Nets, as it was Ben Simmons' first game back in Philly. With the Big 3 all expected to be sidelined again tonight, it sets the 76ers up for a massive letdown on the road against a struggling Hornets team. Give me Charlotte -3.5! |
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11-22-22 | Kings -2 v. Grizzlies | Top | 113-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
10* NBA Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER: Sacramento Kings -2 I'll take my chances with the Kings as a slim 2-point road favorite against the Grizzlies on Tuesday. Easy play here for me on Sacramento. The Kings have been playing as well as any team in the league over the last month. Sacramento comes in having won 6 straight. They are 9-2 SU and 9-2 ATS over their last 11 games. Kings will be facing a Memphis team that will likely be without two of their best players, as star point guard Ja Morant is listed as doubtful and Desmond Bane remains out with a toe injury. Bane has easily been the Grizzlies second best player this season, as he's averaging 24.7 ppg, 4.9 rpg, 4.8 apg and is shooting 45% from deep (averaging 3.8 made 3's a game). I just don't see the Grizzlies being able to keep pace offensively without Morant and Bane. Kings have scored 120 or more points in all 6 wins during the win streak. Give me Sacramento -2! |
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11-21-22 | Magic +7 v. Pacers | 102-123 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
9* NBA Situational ATS NO-BRAINER: Orlando Magic +7 I'll take my chances with the Magic as a 7-point road dog against the Pacers on Monday. I really like the revenge angle for Orlando in this one. These two teams just played each other in Indiana on Saturday, which saw the Pacers squeak out a 114-113 win as a 6.5-point favorite. That game snapped a streak of 9 straight covers by Indiana. Key here is I still think the Pacers are being overvalued by the books due to their recent success against the number. It's just not easy beating a team twice in a row and even with some key guys out like rookie Pablo Banchero, this Magic team has shown a lot of fight of late. Orlando is 6-3 ATS over their last 9 games. I not only like them to cover, but I give them a legit shot here to win this game outright. Give me the Magic +7! |
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11-20-22 | Heat v. Cavs -9.5 | 87-113 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
9* NBA - Situational ATS MASSACRE: Cleveland Cavaliers -9.5 I'll take my chances with the Cavs as a 9.5-point home favorite against the Heat on Sunday. Miami has been decimated by injuries. We know for sure that the Heat will be without Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Victor Oladipo and Udonis Haslem. Duncan Robinson is doubtful. Gabe Vincent, Bam Adebayo and Dewayne Deadmon are all questionable. It's basically going to be a g-league team out for the Heat against one of the better teams in the league in Cleveland. Cavs had lost 5 straight before bouncing back with a 10-point win over Charlotte last time out. I just think there's plenty of motivation for Cleveland to take care of business given how things have gone of late. This is also a Cavs team that has played well at home. Cleveland is 5-1 on their home floor, where they are scoring 118.5 ppg. This has blowout written all over it. Give me the Cavs -9.5! |
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11-18-22 | Knicks v. Warriors -6.5 | 101-111 | Win | 100 | 22 h 23 m | Show | |
8* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT: Golden State Warriors -6.5 I'll take my chances with the Warriors as a 6.5-point home favorite against the Knicks on Friday. I know it's been a tough start to the season for Golden State, who comes into this game with a mere 6-9 record. However, almost all of the struggles for the Warriors have come on the road, where they are 0-6 SU and 1-7 ATS. It's a different story at home, where Golden State is 6-1 SU and winning by an average of 10.3 ppg. This should also be a very motivated Warriors team coming off of Wednesday's 119-130 loss at Phoenix. At the same time, the Knicks have to running on fumes. New York pulled arguably the toughest back-to-back in the NBA on Tuesday and Wednesday, playing at Utah and Denver. I don't think just 1 day off with having to travel to California is going to have them refreshed. I like Golden State to really dominate this game from start to finish. Give me the Warriors -6.5! |
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11-18-22 | Magic v. Bulls -9 | 108-107 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 30 m | Show | |
9* NBA Situational ATS SLAUGHTER: Chicago Bulls -9 I'll take my chances with the Bulls as a 9-point home favorite against the Magic on Friday. This is a game where I feel pretty comfortable laying the big number with Chicago against a bad Magic team. Not only that, Orlando is dealing with a ton of injuries. This is also a Magic team that has struggled on the road. Orlando is 0-6 SU and 0-5-1 ATS away from home this season. As for Chicago, this is a get right game for them after losing their last 3 and 5 of 6 overall. Not really a bad loss in there for the Bulls, as the losses have come against the Celtics, Raptors, Pelicans (twice) and Nuggets. It's really the same thing as last year for the Bulls, where they beat up on bad teams and fail to deliver against the better teams. It would explain Chicago being an impressive 21-8 ATS over the last 2 seasons as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. Bulls are also 24-9 ATS last 33 as a home favorite. Give me Chicago -9! |
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11-17-22 | Spurs +7.5 v. Kings | 112-130 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
9* NBA Situational ATS NO-BRAINER: San Antonio Spurs +7.5 I'll take my chances with the Spurs as a 7.5-point road dog against the Kings on Thursday. I took it on the chin with my play on Brooklyn against these Kings on Tuesday, as Sacramento would go on to win 153-121. That was clearly a huge game for the Kings, as they don't get a ton of chances to showcase their talents on national TV. Something I should have taken into account a little more than I did. With that said, I'm not sure Sacramento can play a better game than they did. I just feel like there's going to be a letdown here against a Spurs team that hasn't looked great of late, losing 7 of their last. Keep in mind prior to that game against the Nets, Sacramento hosted Golden State, played at LA against the Lakers, hosted the Cavs and played at the Warriors. While the losses are piling up for San Antonio, they have continued to show value, covering in 4 of their last 5 games. It's also worth pointing out that Tuesday's big blowout win over the Nets was Sacramento's only win this season by more than 7 points. Give me the Spurs +7.5! |
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11-16-22 | Bulls +3.5 v. Pelicans | Top | 110-124 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
10* NBA - Sharp Money VEGAS INSIDER: Chicago Bulls +3.5 I'll take my chances with the Bulls as a 3.5-point road dog against the Pelicans tonight. I really like the rest advantage for Chicago in this one, as well as the revenge angle for the Bulls in this matchup. These two teams just played last Wednesday with New Orleans going on the road and beating Chicago 115-111. The Bulls only other game they have played since that meeting is a game against the Nuggets on Sunday, so this will be just the 2nd game in 7 days for Chicago. As for the Pelicans, they will be playing on no rest after a big game last night against Ja Morant and the Grizzlies. It will be New Orleans' 4th game in 7 days. Pelicans didn't have Zion last night and it's unclear if he will play in this one. The line here certainly suggest that he and maybe some others might not suit up for New Orleans. Either way, I like Chicago to cover in this spot. Give me the Bulls +3.5! |
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11-15-22 | Nets +3 v. Kings | 121-153 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
9* NBA - Late Night ATS NO-BRAINER: Brooklyn Nets +3 I'll take my chances with the Nets bouncing back from Sunday's ugly loss to the Lakers with a big road win over the red-hot Kings. Prior to losing 103-116 to the Lakers, Brooklyn had gone 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS over their previous 5 games. They just didn't have much left in the tank for the Lakers playing on no rest after a big effort the night before against the Clippers. They also had to play that game shorthanded with Seth Curry and Ben Simmons both sidelined. Curry had scored 23 and 22 points in his previous 2 games. Curry is probable to play tonight and Simmons has been upgraded to questionable. You also have to tip your hat to the Lakers for making shots. LA shot an uncharacteristic 40% (11-27) from behind the 3-pt line. THis is a Nets defense that had been playing really well prior to that game, holding each of their previous 5 opponents under 100 points. I like them to get back to defending at that level in this game. The other big thing here is the Kings don't play a lot of defense. Sacramento is giving up 116.7 ppg and allowing opponents to shoot a ridiculous 50% from the field on the season. Give me the Nets +3! |
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11-14-22 | Hawks v. Bucks -4 | Top | 121-106 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
10* NBA Vegas Insider TOP PLAY: Milwaukee Bucks -4 I'll take my chances with the Bucks as a 4-point home favorite against the Hawks. I like the revenge spot for Milwaukee in this one, as these two teams played in Atlanta last Monday. A game the Hawks won going away 117-98. You also got the Bucks coming in off an ugly 93-111 loss at San Antonio. Milwaukee is still 9-3 ATS on the season. With Antetokounmpo expected to play, I think that's more than enough to back the Bucks in this spot. Keep in mind that the Bucks were a 4-point road favorite in the last meeting, so despite the change in venue, there's been no adjustment to the line. Atlanta will also be without talented backup big man Onyeka Okongwu. He had a +22 +/- in 22 minutes in the first meeting with Milwaukee. Not having him inside against a guy like Giannis is a huge loss. Bucks are 7-0 at home, outscoring their opponents by 13.0 ppg. Give me Milwaukee -4! |
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11-13-22 | Nets -4.5 v. Lakers | 103-116 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
9* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT: Brooklyn Nets -4.5 I'll take my chances with the Nets as a 4.5-point road favorite against the Lakers. The suspension of Kyrie and firing of head coach Steve Nash has completely flipped the script for the Nets. Brooklyn is 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games. The only loss coming by 2-points on the road to the Mavs. The Lakers are a complete mess right now. LA has lost 5 in a row and failed to cover in all 5. I just don't get why this team continues to get so much respect from the books, especially with LeBron sidelined. Lakers are not a good offensive team at all and are facing a resurgent Nets defense that is giving up a mere 91.2 ppg on 37.7% shooting in their last 5 games. LA's not very good defensively either. They have allowed each of their last 3 and 4 of their last 5 opponents to shoot 50% or better from the field. Give me the Nets -4.5! |
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11-12-22 | Hawks v. 76ers -3 | 109-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
9* NBA Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR: Philadelphia 76ers -3 I'll take my chances with the 76ers as a mere 3-point home favorite against the Hawks on Saturday. I love the revenge angle here for Philadelphia, as these two teams just played in Atlanta on Thursday and the Hawks were able to come away with a 104-95 win. It's not easy beating the same team twice, especially when you go from playing at home to the road. Atlanta is 3-2 on the road, but two of those wins have come against the Pistons. The other was against a struggling Knicks team, where they had to rally from way behind. I know the offense has struggled of late for the 76ers, but I really love the intensity they are playing with on the defensive side of the ball. I expect that same effort on that side of the ball in the rematch and I got a good feeling about the offense performing much better at home. Hawks are 8-22 ATS last 30 road games with a total in the 220s, 5-16 ATS last 21 on the road when they come in having won 2 of their last 3 and 2-12 ATS last 14 on the road when playing their 3rd game in 4 nights. Give me the 76ers -3! |
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11-11-22 | Cavs v. Warriors -1.5 | 101-106 | Win | 100 | 14 h 48 m | Show | |
8* NBA Late Night ATS ANNIHILATOR: Golden State Warriors -1.5 I'll take my chances with Golden State as a mere 1.5 point home favorite against Cleveland. I just think it's a great spot here to buy-low on the Warriors. Golden State is just 4-7 SU and 3-8 ATS. They have lost 5 of their last 6 and failed to cover in 8 of their last 10. Clearly this is not the same team that won it all last year, at least not yet, but I also think you have to look at the schedule as a reason for their slow start. Golden State is a dreadful 0-6 on the road, yet are a very good 4-1 at home. They will be well rested for this game, having not played since Monday. As for the Cavs, they are finishing up a 5-game road trip that started in Detroit and went out west for the final 4 games. This will be their 4th game in 6 days, all on the road. Give me the Warriors -1.5! |
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11-09-22 | Pelicans -1.5 v. Bulls | 115-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
9* NBA - No Doubt ATS ANNIHILATOR: New Orleans Pelicans -1.5 I'll take my chances with the Pelicans as a slim 1.5-point home favorite against the Bulls on Wednesday. Chicago to me is a good but not great team. Much like they were a year ago, when they beat up on bad teams and struggled against the upper tier of the league. I know the Pelicans have lost 3 of their last 4, but I still think this is one of the better teams when at full strength. I like taking good teams coming off a bad loss and that's exactly what we have here with NO fresh off a 122-129 loss at Indiana as a 5-point favorite. Pelicans are also the slightly fresher team, playing just their 3rd game in 5 days, where Chicago is playing their 3rd game in 4 nights. Give me the Pelicans -1.5! |
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11-09-22 | Knicks v. Nets -2.5 | 85-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
10* NBA Sharp Money Vegas Insider: Brooklyn Nets -2.5 I'll take my chances with Brooklyn laying 2.5 at home against the Knicks on Wednesday. I'm not surprised at all the Nets have improved after firing Nash and suspending Irving. Nash just wasn't a good fit for the makeup of this team and I think some of the Brooklyn players were getting a little sick of Kyrie. You can just see the difference in the attitude of the guys on the floor in these last few games. Speaking of that, Brooklyn has covered 3 straight since the Nash/Irving exodus and have really locked in defensively in these games. They held the Wizards to 86, Hornets to 94 and the Mavs to 96. All on the road. I like that trend to continue in this game. I also think this is a geat matchup for the Nets offense, as the Knicks have been really wanting to play uptempo this year. I think playing in the open floor will allow the other guys for Brooklyn to take some of the load of KD and allow the Nets to win this game going away. Give me Brooklyn -2.5! |
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11-07-22 | Nuggets v. Spurs +7.5 | 115-109 | Win | 100 | 20 h 28 m | Show | |
8* NBA Vegas Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE: San Antonio Spurs +7.5 I'll take my chances with the Spurs as a 7.5-point home dog against the Nuggets. Love the revenge angle for San Antonio in this one. These two teams both played each other in their last game, which was at Denver on Saturday. Nuggets won that won going away 126-101. Never easy to beat a team in back-to-back games with such a short period of time between games. I think it's even harder for the team that won if the first game wasn't competitive. Look for San Antonio to respond with a big effort here and while I'll gladly take the points, I could see them winning this game outright. Give me the Spurs +7.5! |
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11-07-22 | Raptors v. Bulls -4 | 97-111 | Win | 100 | 20 h 44 m | Show | |
9* NBA - No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT: Chicago Bulls -4 I'll take my chances with Chicago as a 4-point home favorite against the Raptors. Love the revenge spot for the Bulls in this one. These two teams played in Toronto yesterday and the Raptors won that game 113-104. Chicago played without Zach LaVine, as he sat out the first of a back-to-back. He's expected to be back for the rematch. On the flip side, Raptors are down Pascal Siakam right now and it will interesting to see how Fred VanVleet performs in the second of a back-to-back with his bad back. Either way, I like the Bulls to win and cover. Give me Chicago -4! |
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11-05-22 | Celtics -4 v. Knicks | 133-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
8* NBA No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT: Boston Celtics -4 I'll take my chances with the Celtics laying 4-points on the road against the Knicks. Boston has started to look more like the team we expected to see coming into this year the last few days. The Celtics have won 3 of their last 4 games with the only loss coming by 1-point in Cleveland. The Knicks come in off a 106-104 win at Philly last night, but the 76ers were without their two best players in Embiid and Harden. Their only other 3 wins on the season are against 3 bottom feeders in the Pistons, Magic and Hornets. I also think with both teams playing here on no rest, we are going to see the depth of the Celtics reign supreme in this game. Give me Boston -4! |
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11-04-22 | Hornets +11.5 v. Grizzlies | 99-130 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
9* NBA Oddsmakers LINE MISTAKE: Charlotte Hornets +11.5 I'll take my chances with the Hornets catching 11.5 points on the road against the Grizzlies. This to me is a good buy-low spot on Chicago. No one is going to want to bet the Hornets in this game. Charlotte has lost and failed to cover in their last two games. Most recently losing by 18-points as a 4.5-point dog in Chicago on Wednesday. Charlotte will also be without Gordon Hayward, Terry Rozier and Cody Martin are also both doubtful. I think that's created some value in this line, as we don't need the Hornets to win this game, we just need them to not stink it up. I think if Memphis really wanted to they could win this game by 20+ points. However, I don't see the Grizzlies being all that motivated in this one. Memphis just finished up a 4-game west coast trip on Wednesday, which was also their 6th road game out of their last 7 overall. Not uncommon to see a team come out flat that is coming off a lengthy road trip where they had to change multiple time zones. This is also a Grizzlies team that has been a bit overvalued in the market early on, going just 2-4-1 ATS thru 8 games. Give me the Hornets +11.5! |
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11-04-22 | Bulls v. Celtics -7 | 119-123 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 44 m | Show | |
8* NBA - Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR: Boston Celtics -7 This line to me screams take Boston and that's exactly what I'm going to do. No one is going to want to lay this kind of number with the Celtics against the Bulls given how these two team are playing. Chicago has won their last two games and covered in convincing fashion. The Bulls won 108-99 at Brooklyn as a 2-point dog and then destroyed Charlotte 106-88 as a mere 4.5-point home favorite. Boston on the other hand has lost 3 of their last 4 and gone just 1-4 ATS in their last 5. Maybe I'm putting a little too much faith in the Celtics, but this is a game I think they step up and deliver one of their better performances. This is too good a team to keep playing as poorly as they have. Boston also figures to come into this game with a little extra given it's Chicago, as the Bulls laid it on them about 10 days ago in a 120-102 win in Chicago. This is also not a great scheduling spot for the Bulls, who will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days and 5th game in the last 8 days. I could definitely see this being a flat spot for them. Give me the Celtics -7! |
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11-03-22 | Nuggets v. Thunder +6.5 | 122-110 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
8* NBA Sharp Money ATS MASSACRE: Oklahoma City Thunder +6.5 I'll take my chances with Oklahoma City as a 6.5-point home dog against the Nuggets. The Thunder have been a massive BET ON team to start out the 2022-23 season. OKC expected to be one of the worst teams in the league, comes in at 4-3 SU and 6-1 ATS. All 4 of those wins coming in their last 4 games. Until the public gets on board and forces the books to start adjusting the numbers, there's no reason not to keep betting this team. These two teams played once already this season in Denver and while the Nuggets won that game, they did so by a final score of just 122-117. OKC got the cover as a 8.5-point dog. Further backing how the books have not adjusted on this Thunder team, there's only been a 2-point adjustment in the line based off the first meeting and that's with Denver playing the first game at home and now on the road, where we would expect to see closer to a 5-point swing. Denver is just 1-3 SU and 1-3 ATS on the road this season, so I'm not sure why they are getting so much lover here. Nuggets also not performing all that great, as they are only scoring 1.2 points above expected given what their opponents have allowed and are giving up 4.1 ppg more than what their opponents typically score. Give me the Thunder +6.5! |
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11-02-22 | Grizzlies v. Blazers +3.5 | 111-106 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 13 m | Show | |
8* NBA Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT: Portland Trail Blazers +3.5 I'll take my chances with the Blazers as a 3.5-point home dog against the Grizzlies on Wednesday. I'm not so sure Portland shouldn't be favored in this game. Yes, the Blazers are down star point guard Damian Lillard, but there's a lot of talent on this team and they know how to get the job done without Lillard after all the time he misses last season. Anfernee Simons, Jerami Grant and Jusuf Nurkic are all capable of carrying the load offensively. At the same time, I think Memphis is a team that came into this season overpriced and it's shown in the Grizzlies start to the season. Memphis is just 4-3 SU and 2-4-1 ATS. This is also a banged up Memphis team, that is still without Jaren Jackson Jr. They could also be down both Steven Adams and Desmond Bane, who are both questionable. Give me the Blazers +3.5! |