Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-08-18 | Pacers v. Hornets +2.5 | 123-117 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 12 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS BLOWOUT (Hornets +2.5) I'll take my chances her with Charlotte as a home dog against the Pacers. This is more of a play against Indiana than anything. The Pacers are 2-games back of Cleveland for 4th with just 2 to play and the Cavs final 2 are against the Knicks, so their chances of catching Cleveland are slim to none. On the flip side, Indiana can't fall any lower than 5th, so there's essentially nothing to play for right now. I believe the primary focus for the Pacers will be to cut back on their key guys minutes and make sure they are ready to roll for the playoffs. Charlotte showed some fight in their last game, as they destroyed Orlando on the road by 37-points, despite nothing to play for. With this being their final home game of the season, I look for another big effort here from the Hornets. Give me Charlotte +2.5! |
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04-07-18 | Nuggets -2 v. Clippers | 134-115 | Win | 100 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE BLOWOUT (Nuggets -2) I'll take my chances here with Denver as a short road favorite against the Clippers. Both teams are still on the outside looking in for the playoffs in the west, but it's the Nuggets that really only have a shot. The Clippers are 2.5-games out of 8th with just 3 to play. They clearly looked like they threw in the towel on their chances in their last game, as they got blown out of the gym in a 95-117 loss at Utah. Nuggets can move into a tie with Minnesota for 8th with a win here. Denver has won 4 straight and I wouldn't be shocked if they ran away with this one. Give me the Nuggets -2! |
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04-06-18 | Bulls +10.5 v. Celtics | 104-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Bulls +10.5) I think we are getting a great price here to back the Bulls against the Celtics. Chicago hasn't been very good down the stretch, but have won 3 straight, which is a pretty good sign that they aren't just tanking the rest of the way. However, this is more a play against Boston, who is coming off a crushing loss to the Raptors in their last game, which was a game they really wanted, as they were trying to catch Toronto for the No. 1 seed. Now that that's out of the picture, they have nothing to play for over their final 4 games. On top of that, the Celtics just got some devastating news regarding point guard Kyrie Irving. The hope was that Irving would be able to return for the playoffs, but that's no longer the case as he's undergoing another procedure on his knee and has been ruled out of the postseason. I not only think they struggle to win here by double-digits, but I wouldn't be shocked if they lost outright. Give me the Bulls +10.5! |
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04-05-18 | Nets +9 v. Bucks | 119-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Nets +9) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Nets as a near double-digit dog against the Bucks on Thursday. Milwaukee can finally take a sigh of relief, as the Pistons loss last night to the 76ers clinched a playoff spot for the Bucks. Now it's all about positioning themselves for the playoffs and most importantly, getting guys rested up for the postseason. Right now Milwaukee is sitting in 8th and while they might not come out and say it, I think they would prefer to stay in the bottom two spots and take their chances with Toronto or Boston in the first round and avoid having to face LeBron James and the Cavs, which would be their likely opponent if they kept winning and crept up to the No. 6 spot. Brooklyn has been competitive and have thrived in the role of a road dog, covering 23 of their last 35 away from home when getting points. I wouldn't be shocked if they won outright. Give me the Nets +9! |
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04-03-18 | Spurs v. Clippers +1.5 | 110-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS KNOCKOUT (Clippers +1.5) I'll take my chances here with the Clippers as a home dog against the Spurs tonight. I think we are seeing San Antonio way overvalued here. Yes, the Spurs have won 8 of their last 10, but all 8 of those wins came at home. Both losses were on the road, where San Antonio is a miserable 14-24 on the season. While the Spurs aren't officially in the postseason just yet, they are sitting 4th in the west right now. As for LA, this is a game they can't afford to lose, as they are 2-games out of 8th place with just 5 to play. Look for Los Angeles to lay everything on the line at home and come away with a much-needed win. Give me the Clippers +1.5! |
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04-03-18 | Pacers v. Nuggets -3 | 104-107 | Push | 0 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Nuggets -3) I'll gladly take my chances here with Denver as a short home favorite against the Pacers. The Nuggets pulled off one of the most improbable wins of the season last time out, as they erased an 18-point deficit in the final 7 and half minutes and went on to win the game in OT. The Nuggets are now just 1-game back of the Pelicans for the 8th and final spot in the west playoff race. Indiana has been playing well down the stretch. The Pacers are riding a 5-game winning streak, but I think they will struggle here in the final game of a 4-game road trip with a much bigger game on deck at home against the Warriors on Thursday. Denver is the last place you want to play with tired legs and less than 100% focus. Give me the Nuggets -3. |
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03-27-18 | Bucks v. Clippers -3 | Top | 98-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Clippers -3) I'll take my chances here with the Clippers as a short home favorite against the Bucks. I think the perception here is that both teams desperately need a win here, but I don't think that's the case at all. The Bucks are sitting 7th in the east, but are a solid 5.5-games up on 9th place Detroit with only 9 games to play. It's really just about whether they finish 6th, 7th or 8th. As for the Clippers, they absolutely have to have this game. LA is currently 10th in the west, but are definitely still in the mix. They are only a 1/2-game back of 9th place Denver and 2 back of 8th place Minnesota. Clippers have won 2 of 3 with the only loss at Indiana and the two wins upset victories over the Raptors and these Bucks. You could argue that Milwaukee will be out for revenge, but the Bucks simply aren't playing well and I don't see them winning on the road here. Give me the Clippers -3! |
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03-27-18 | Spurs v. Wizards +2 | 106-116 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Wizards +2) I'll take my chances here with Washington as a home dog against the Spurs. The Wizards are in a prime bounce back spot here. They come in having lost 3 straight and the most recent was an embarrassing home loss to the Knicks. On top of that, Washington will be out for revenge, as this 3-game skid started with a loss at San Antonio last Wednesday. The Spurs have won 6 of 7, but lost their last game at Milwaukee. Note that the 6 game winning streak that proceeded this all came at home, where the Spurs have lost just 8 times all season. San Antonio is just 14-23 on the road and I just feel they are getting way too much respect here. Give me the Wizards +2! |
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03-24-18 | Pelicans v. Rockets -8.5 | 91-114 | Win | 102 | 27 h 24 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Rockets -8.5) I'll take my chances here with Houston winning by double-digits at home against the Pelicans. New Orleans comes in having won 4 straight and I think that's keeping this number a lot lower than it should be. I have to tip my hat to the Pelicans, who just won 3 straight games at home in 3 days starting with Tuesday's win over the Mavs and concluding with Thursday's win over the Lakers. Note they played a back-to-back set and had just 1-day off prior to the 3 games in 3 days. This will be their 6th game in the last 8 days. I just don't see how this team will have enough left in the tank to go on the road against an elite team like the Rockets, who can bury you in matter of minutes if you aren't on your game, and keep it respectable. Give me Houston -8.5! |
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03-23-18 | Clippers v. Pacers -3 | 104-109 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Pacers -3) I'll take my chances here with the Pacers as a short home favorite against the Clippers on Friday. LA had a team meeting and responded with a 127-120 win at Milwaukee, snapping their 4-game losing streak. I'm just not buying it. The Clippers caught a massive break in that game, as Antetokounmpo hurt his ankle and played just 17 minutes. Had he not got hurt, I think the Bucks win that game, as they still managed to shoot 54.9% from the field. That's now 3 straight games where the Clippers have allowed their opponents to shoot 50% or better from the field. I also love this spot for the Pacers, who need to get something going after suffering their 3rd loss in their last 4 games in Wednesday's 92-96 defeat at New Orleans. Give me Indiana -3! |
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03-23-18 | Nuggets v. Wizards -2.5 | 108-100 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Wizards -2.5) My money is on the Wizards to cash in as small home favorites on Friday. I think this is a great spot to jump on Washington, as they will be eager to get back in the win column after losing 90-98 at San Antonio, a loss that simply came down to their inability to make shots on the road against a good defense. Look for the offense to get back on track at home against a Nuggets team that hasn't been great defensively and figure to have some tired legs playing their 4th straight on the road. Denver does come in off an impressive 23-point win at Chicago, but you shouldn't read into that win at all. The Bulls are in full on tank mode and basically had their "C" squad out there for that game. The Nuggets are simply not a good road team. In their previous 4 road games they lost outright to the likes of the Mavs, Lakers and Grizzlies. Give me the Wizards -2.5! |
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03-21-18 | Wizards v. Spurs -5 | Top | 90-98 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
50* NBA NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH (Spurs -5) My money is on the Spurs laying a short number at home against the Wizards. Washington has played better than anyone expected without John Wall, but even with back-to-back wins are just 4-5 in their last 9. I just think this team is getting way too much respect here against a Spurs team that is finally playing up to their potential. San Antonio has won 4 straight and despite a mediocre 41-30 overall record by their standards, they are a dominant 27-8 at home this season, where they have gone 21-13-1 ATS. Give me the Spurs -5! |
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03-21-18 | Raptors +1.5 v. Cavs | 129-132 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Raptors +1.5) My money is on the Raptors to go into Cleveland and get a win over the Cavs on Wednesday. Toronto is playing exceptional basketball right now and are going to relish in the opportunity to send a message to the Cavs, who are still widely considered the favorites in the east, despite the fact that Toronto owns the best record in the conference by 5 games over the Celtics and 11.5 over Cleveland. The Cavs have won 2 straight and 3 of 4, but two of those wins came against tankers in the Bulls and Suns. The other was a 7-point win over a Bucks team that isn't playing well and they won by just 7-points despite LeBron James going off for 40 points, 12 rebounds and 10 assists. For LeBron to have that kind of a game and they only won by 7 at home, speaks volumes to just how far this team has to go before the playoffs start. Keep in mind the Cavs aren't healthy right now and are still working on their chemistry as Love just returned after a 21-game absence. Give me the Raptors +1.5! |
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03-21-18 | Grizzlies +12.5 v. 76ers | 105-119 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS LINE MISTAKE (Grizzlies +12.5) I'll take my chances here with Memphis as a big dog against the 76ers. The Grizzlies have been a complete mess for most of the 2nd half. A big reason for that was injuries to key players, as they just don't have a ton of depth. They are as healthy as they have been in a long time and have covered their last 2, which includes an impressive 101-94 win at home over a Nuggets team that is fighting for the playoffs. I think we get another big effort here in this one and more than anything I think the books have drastically inflated this line in favor of the 76ers. Give me the Grizzlies +12.5! |
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03-20-18 | Thunder -3 v. Celtics | Top | 99-100 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Thunder -3) I'll gladly take my chances here with OKC as a short road favorite against the Celtics on Tuesday. Boston is a great team and would be favored if they were at full strength, but that's not the case here. The Celtics are really hurting right now. They won't have Kyrie Irving, Marcus Smart or Jaylen Brown for this game and this simply isn't a great team without Irving on the floor. Sure they could beat some of the mediocre and bottom feeders without Irving, but asking them to take down the Thunder is asking too much. Especially with how well OKC is playing right now. The Thunder have won 6 straight and just went on the road and snapped the Raptors 11-game winning streak. With how tight things are in the west, this game means a lot more to Oklahoma City. Give me the Thunder -3! |
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03-19-18 | Lakers v. Pacers -4.5 | Top | 100-110 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Pacers -4.5) I'll take my chances here with the Pacers laying what I feel is a short number at home against the Lakers. This is a big bounce back spot for Indiana who dropped their last two. It's also a revenge game for the Pacers, who lost by 13 at LA in a game where they were horrific on offense, scoring just 86 points on 38% shooting (2 for 25 on 3-pointers). As for the Lakers, I think they are overvalued here because of their recent 6-1 run. They have since dropped their last 3 and I think the injuries are catching up to them. Brandon Ingram is still out with a hip injury and Kyle Kuzma is playing at less than 100%. Give me the Pacers -4.5! |
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03-15-18 | Cavs v. Blazers -4.5 | 105-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS MASSACRE (Blazers -4.5) I'll take my chances here with the Blazers as a short home favorite against the Cavs on Thursday. Portland has been playing lights out of late and a big reason for that is the elite play of point guard Damian Lillard. The Blazers have won 10 straight and are a 9-1 ATS over this stretch. Cleveland has been up and down since making all those big trades, but are consistently overvalued because of the fans love for betting LeBron James. Until the Cavs get healthy, I don't see them playing up to the level needed to win games on the road against a team like Portland. Cleveland is still without Love and Thompson, while both Hood and Nance Jr. are listed as questionable. Give me the Blazers -4.5! |
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03-15-18 | Raptors v. Pacers +4 | 106-99 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE BLOWOUT (Pacers +4) My money is on the Pacers as a home dog against the Raptors on Thursday. Toronto comes in having won 9 straight and are 16-1 in their last 17 overall. The public is going to be all over the Raptors at this price, but I think the value is with the Pacers. One of the reasons Toronto has been so good during this stretch is the schedule, as they haven't had to play a lot of top tier teams on the road. The Pacers might not be viewed as an elite team, but they are playing some of their best basketball right now. Indiana is 6-1 in their last 7 and have gone 10-3 ATS in their last 13. Pacers are also a really good team at home, where they are 23-12 on the season. Give me Indiana +4! |
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03-13-18 | Pistons v. Jazz -8 | 79-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Jazz -8) *Analysis Coming* |
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03-13-18 | Hornets v. Pelicans -4.5 | Top | 115-119 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Pelicans -4.5) I'll take my chances with the Pelicans laying a short number at home against the Hornets on Tuesday. New Orleans had their 10-game losing streak snapped last Friday in a loss at home to the Wizards, but were without Anthony Davis. He returned for their next game against Utah, but as you would expect for a team that just suffered their first loss after a long winning streak, they came out flat and lost by 17. Now the Pelicans are in a major bounce back spot at home against the Hornets, who I think are getting way to much love right now. Charlotte won their last game at home against the Suns, but only won by 7 as a 12.5-point favorite and are now just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. Give me the Pelicans -4.5! |
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03-13-18 | Wolves v. Wizards -3.5 | 116-111 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS NO BRAINER (Wizards -3.5) I'll take my chances here with the Wizards as a small home favorite against the Timberwolves. Minnesota comes in off a win over Golden State to snap a 3-game skid, but that was a Warriors team that was playing without Steph Curry, as well as some other key pieces. I think it has the Timberwolves getting way to much respect here against what should be an extremely motivated Wizards team that will be looking to bounce back from an awful showing in their last game at Miami. Give me Washington -3.5! |
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03-12-18 | Heat +7.5 v. Blazers | Top | 99-115 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Heat +7.5) I'll take my chances here with Miami as a decently priced road dog against the Blazers on Monday. The Heat won't have Whiteside or Wade, but I don't see that keeping them from making a game of this against Portland. Miami is playing with a ton of confidence right now, as they are 6-2 in their last 8 and fresh off 2 impressive wins at home over the 76ers and Wizards. This Heat team has relished in this role of a road dog, as they are 18-8 ATS as a road dog this season. They are also 15-4 ATS in their last 19 as a road dog of 6.5 to 12 points. Portland has won 9 straight and are playing extremely well, but they have a big game on deck against the Cavs and will be playing just their 2nd game in the last 6 days. I think the Blazers come out a bit flat here and wouldn't be shocked if the Heat put an end to their winning streak. Give me Miami +7.5! |
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03-11-18 | Rockets v. Mavs +9.5 | Top | 105-82 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Mavs +9.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Dallas as a near double-digit home dog against the Rockets on Sunday. I just think this is an ideal spot to go against Houston. The Rockets aren't expected to have James Harden or Ryan Anderson. I think they are also in a very underrated letdown spot after having their 17-game winning streak snapped in their last game. I think most people just assume is going to rebound after a loss when they have won so many in row, but that first game after a loss following a lengthy winning streak can be very difficult to get up for. I think not having Harden only magnifies the chance the Rockets don't play well. I know Dallas is in tank mode, but this is one where they should show up. Give me the Mavs +9.5! |
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03-10-18 | Wizards v. Heat -4.5 | 102-129 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Heat -4.5) I cashed in on the Wizards yesterday as a short road favorite against the Pelicans. That was simply a great spot for Washington, as New Orleans was without their best player in Anthony Davis and were way overvalued after winning 10 straight. Now it's the Wizards in a tough spot, as they are playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back road set against a Miami team that will be chomping at the bit to get this game underway. The Heat are going to be out for revenge from a 113-117 overtime loss at Washington on Tuesday. It's a spot they have been excellent in, as they are 30-15 ATS over the last 2 seasons when revenging a same season loss. Give me Miami -4.5! |
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03-09-18 | Wizards -3.5 v. Pelicans | 116-97 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Wizards -3.5) I'll take my chances here with the Wizards laying a short number on the road against the Pelicans. New Orleans comes in having won 10 straight, but the most recent victory over the Kings was costly, as Anthony Davis injured his ankle and that's going to keep him out of this game. He's the one guy this team can't afford to lose, as he's one of the elite players in the game and makes everyone else around him better. Washington has a brutal schedule over the next couple of weeks and should be highly motivated to take advantage of this opportunity to get the Pelicans without their best player. Give me the Wizards -3.5! |
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03-08-18 | Suns +10 v. Thunder | 87-115 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS ANNIHILATOR (Suns +10) I'll take my chances here with the Suns catching double-digits against the Thunder on Thursday. I think this is a great spot to go against OKC off that massive game just two days ago against the Rockets. It's not easy coming off a game like that and playing a bad team like Phoenix, especially when you just recently beat that team on the road (won at Phoenix on 3/2). The Suns haven't been winning games, but the offense is playing extremely well and I think they have enough fire-power here to keep this within the number. Give me Phoenix +10! |
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03-08-18 | 76ers v. Heat +1 | 99-108 | Win | 102 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
40* NBA BIG MONEY ATS SLAUGHTER (Heat +1) My money is on the Heat to cash this ticket at home against the 76ers. There's no denying that Philadelphia is a team on the rise, but the public has been all over this team and I believe their recent success has them overvalued here. Miami is no pushover and just don't get the respect they deserve. My numbers have this closer to the Heat favored by 2 and they were 1.5-point favorites at home back in late February. Give me Miami +1! |
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03-07-18 | Cavs +3 v. Nuggets | 113-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS MASSACRE (Cavs +3) I'll take my chances here with the Cavs catching points in Wednesday's showdown at Denver. These two teams just played at Cleveland on Sunday, which the Nuggets were able to pull off the upset 126-117. While Denver is a better team at home, I think the revenge angle here is going to be the key factor in the Cavs not just covering but winning this game outright. Keep in mind the Nuggets are off a bad showing in a loss at Dallas last night, where they shot just 41.3% from the field. I think this is a legit flat spot for Denver in the 2nd game of a back-to-back off a 3-game road trip. Give me the Cavs +3! |
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03-06-18 | Pelicans v. Clippers -2.5 | Top | 121-116 | Loss | -101 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Clippers -2.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Clippers laying a short number at home against the Pelicans. New Orleans is simply overvalued right now due to the fact that they have won 8 straight, but a lot of that has to do with a favorable schedule that has had them facing off against a lot of bad teams and teams not playing well at the moment. LA on the other hand isn't getting the respect they deserve, as just about everyone wrote off this team once they traded away Blake Griffin. The Clippers have won 9 of their last 12 with their only 3 losses being road defeats at Philadelphia and Golden State and a home loss to the Rockets. I think LA wins here and should have no problem doing so by more than this small line. Give me the Clippers -2.5! |
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03-05-18 | Celtics v. Bulls +8.5 | Top | 105-89 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Bulls +8.5) I like Chicago in this spot even before the news that Boston is planning on resting star point guard Kyrie Irving. The Bulls are clearly in full-on rebuilding mode, but there's still a lot of fight in this team and I expect a big effort here at home against one of the top teams in the conference. As for the Celtics, I think this is a big letdown spot off that crushing 120-123 loss at Houston on Saturday. Boston played their hearts out in that game and had a 6-point lead with 4 minutes to play. I think they struggle to get up here for this game and while they still might win without Irving, I think Chicago keeps it close. Give me the Bulls +8.5! |
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03-05-18 | Pistons v. Cavs -6 | 90-112 | Win | 102 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Cavs -6) It's been a rough go of things for Cleveland since returning from the All-Star break. The Cavs are just 1-3 with 3 home losses to the Spurs, 76ers and Nuggets. The lone win came against the lowly Nets. I just feel like this is a great spot for the Cleveland to get back in the win column. Detroit's trade for Blake Griffin has completely back-fired. The loss of Tobias Harris doesn't get enough talk, as the Pistons don't offer near the same threat from behind the 3-point line. They ranked in the Top 5 with him and are now 20th without him. Detroit is just 2-8 in their last 10 and both wins came at home. During this stretch they have shot better than 44% from the field just twice. In comparison, the Cavs have shot 50% or better from the field in 7 of their last 10 games. I just don't think the Pistons have enough offense to keep this close on the road. Give me Cleveland -6! |
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03-04-18 | Pacers +4 v. Wizards | 98-95 | Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Pacers +4) I'll take a shot here on the Pacers as a road dog against the Wizards. I think the public perception here is this is a favorable line to get Washington in what they see as a big bounce back spot after losing their last two games against two of the best teams in the league in the Warriors and Raptors. I don't see it that way. I think Washington has a tough time here playing well off those two hard fought losses. It's not easy getting up for 3 straight games, especially when that 3rd game is against the weakest of the 3 opponents in the stretch. As for the Pacers, this is a team I think is still flying a bit under the radar. They just went on the road and beat the Bucks 103-96 as a 3.5-point dog and I see a similar type of outcome here. Give me the Pacers +4! |
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03-04-18 | Suns +3 v. Hawks | Top | 112-113 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
50* NBA SHARP MONEY GAME OF THE MONTH (Suns +3) I'll gladly take my chances here with Phoenix as a live dog against the Hawks on Sunday. I just think this is an awful spot for Atlanta, who is clearly not trying to be any good this season. The Hawks just laid everything they had into their last game at home against the Warriors and nearly pulled off the upset. I look for them to have a difficult time getting up for this game against the Suns. Phoenix isn't a great team and I wouldn't trust them on the road at this low of a price against most teams, but I think they have a big advantage here. I also think now is a great time to buy on the Suns with how well Devin Booker is playing, he's scored at least 27 in each of his last 6 games, which includes a 34, 39 and 40 point performance. Give me the Suns +3! |
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03-03-18 | Celtics +8.5 v. Rockets | 120-123 | Win | 100 | 24 h 33 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Celtics +8.5) I just can't pass up on getting this many points with the Celtics on Saturday. I just think Houston is way overvalued right now due to the fact that they have won 14 straight, covering each of their first 4 games out of the break. The thing is, Boston has also been playing lights out out of the break. The Celtics have gone 4-0 with all 4 wins coming by double-digits. The way this team can defend and make things difficult for Houston should be more than enough to keep this within the number. Keep in mind that the Celtics defeated the Rockets at home earlier this season. They are also 10-2 ATS as an underdog this season, while Houston is a mere 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games against teams from the Eastern Conference. Give me the Celtics +8.5! |
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03-02-18 | Warriors v. Hawks +13 | 114-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Hawks +13) I'll take my chances here with the Hawks catching a big number at home against the Warriors. If Golden State wanted to they could win here by 20+, but I don't think we get a very interested Warriors team in this contest. Atlanta simply isn't a team to get the juices flowing and that's going to make it tough for them to show up here, especially with this being the final game of 5-day east coast trip. While the Warriors will likely have a difficult time getting up for this game, we can be confident that the Hawks are going to lay it all on the line in their first meeting against the defending champs. Do I think Atlanta has a shot to win? No, but I think they give Golden State a minor scare here. Give me the Hawks +13! |
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03-02-18 | Pistons v. Magic +2.5 | Top | 106-115 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Magic +2.5) I think this line really says it all. Orlando comes in having lost 7 straight, while the Pistons are coming off their best game in weeks, defeating the Bucks at home 110-87. What will get overlooked with that win over Milwaukee is the Bucks were in a brutal spot. They not only were playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back set and 3rd game in 4 days overall, but they were also fresh off a crushing 104-107 home loss to the Wizards. I think there's a good chance Detroit goes right back to their losing ways (mere 1-6 in previous 7 games). Give me the Magic +2.5! |
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03-01-18 | 76ers v. Cavs -3 | Top | 108-97 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Cavs -3) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Cavs laying a short number at home in the opener of Thursday's double-header on TNT. This might seem like it's too good to be true, but Cleveland has failed to cover 3 of 4 out of the break, which includes outright home losses to both the Wizards and Spurs. I'm still very high on this team after the trades and it's only a matter of time before they go on a serious run. I also think we are seeing the 76ers get some love here for their recent play. While they have lost their last 2, they had won 7 straight before that. I just think this is a tough spot off that crushing loss at Miami. It's also worth noting that the home team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in the series and Philadelphia is a mere 0-4-1 ATS in their lsat 5 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Give me the Cavs -3! |
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02-27-18 | 76ers v. Heat +1 | 101-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Heat +1) My money is on the Heat as a home dog against the 76ers tonight. I just think the price here is too good to pass up with Miami. Philadelphia has become quite the public team and I think we are still seeing them overvalued despite coming off a loss. That's because the 76ers had won 7 straight prior to that. They are just 1-3 ATS in their last 4. The Heat are a sneaky good team and while they are just 1-3 in their last 4, they have covered 5 straight. Last time out they crushed Memphis at home 115-89 and are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 off a home win by 20 or more. Another key is they lost a heartbreaker to the Heat in the previous meeting 102-104 at Philadelphia on 2/14 and are a perfect 8-0 ATS over the last 2 seasons when revenging a loss of 3-points or less. Give me the Heat +1! |
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02-26-18 | Magic +10 v. Thunder | 105-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Magic +10) My money is on the Magic keeping this within double-digits against the Thunder. I just feel like this is a great spot to go against OKC, as they are coming off a massive game against the Warriors, which they lost by 32 points. Most are going to just expect this team to rebound, but I think they have a hard time getting up for this Orlando team, at least to the point where they blow them out of the arena. While the Magic have lost 5 straight overall, they are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games, with a 10-3 ATS mark in their last 13 vs a team with a winning record and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Thunder are 4-10 ATS last 14 home games vs a team with a losing road record. Give me Orlando +10! |
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02-23-18 | Spurs +3.5 v. Nuggets | 119-122 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Spurs +3.5) My money is on the Spurs to get their revenge against Denver in the first game out of the break. San Antonio actually played at Denver in their final game before the break. It was part of 3 straight losses going into the break for the Spurs. I'm extremely confident with Popovich having his team ready to roll here against the Nuggets tonight and it will help the Spurs are as healthy as they have been in a while with Aldridge, Ginobili and Gay all expected to suit up tonight. San Antonio is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 off a loss and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 off 3 or more days of rest. Give me the Spurs +3.5! |
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02-23-18 | Blazers v. Jazz -3.5 | 100-81 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE KNOCKOUT (Jazz -3.5) No team was hotter than Utah going into the break. The Jazz return to action looking to build on an 11-game winning streak and I expect them to just that. Utah is no longer just a team that relies on their defense, as the offense has some fire-power thanks in large part to the play of rookie Donovan Mitchell. Key here is that even with the recent winning streak, Utah is still sitting 10th in the Western Conference standings and one of those teams they are chasing is Portland, making this one the Jazz will be extremely motivate to get. Utah is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs a team with a winning record, while the Blazers are a mere 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Give me the Jazz -3.5! |
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02-23-18 | Cavs -5.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 112-89 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Cavs -5.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Cavs bouncing back from that surprising home loss to the Wizards last night. It was the first defeat for Cleveland since the big moves. I'm simply chalking that loss up to being a bit flat out of the break. This is a team that I believe is extremely motivated to start playing their best basketball and this Grizzlies team simply doesn't have the man-power to keep this close. This is not the same Memphis team that has been a playoff contender in the West over recent years. The Grizzlies are tied for the fewest wins in the league at 18 and went into the All-Star break having lost 7 straight. Give me the Cavs -5.5! |
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02-22-18 | Wizards v. Cavs -5 | Top | 110-103 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Cavs -5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Cleveland laying what I feel is a short number at home against the Wizards, who are still without All-Star point guard John Wall. The Cavs are just 6-20 ATS at home this season, but this was a different team going into the All-Star break following all the big moves they made. I think Cleveland is hands down the best team in the east right now and wouldn't be shocked if we saw them go on a massive run here out of the break. Wizards have played well without Wall, but that's not going to last much longer and I think they have zero chance of keeping this one close. Give me the Cavs -5! |
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02-14-18 | Raptors v. Bulls +6.5 | 122-98 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS LINE MISTAKE (Bulls +6.5) I like this spot with Chicago as a decently priced home dog to the Raptors. Toronto has won 6 straight and are 11-3 in their last 14. I think this team has a hard time showing up focused and ready to play on the road against a bad Bulls team with the All-Star break on deck. Chicago on the other hand is a young team that is playing hard. I think the opportunity to upset a good team at home is more than enough motivation for this team to show up here. Chicago's not the same team after trading away Mirotic, but they are expected to get back starting point guard Kris Dunn, who was really playing well before he got hurt. I think having him on the floor and the way this team can shoot from outside will be more than enough to get the cover and potentially outright win. Give me the Bulls +6.5! |
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02-14-18 | Pacers v. Nets +4 | 108-103 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS KNOCKOUT (Nets +4) One of the things you have to try and gauge right now is what teams are going to be excited to play and which ones are looking ahead to the long lay-off that comes with the All-Star break. The Pacers are a team I think could struggle to find motivation for this game, as the Nets aren't exactly a team to get up for. Brooklyn has lost 6 straight and are 1-10 in their last 11. With that said, I think the Nets will show up here at home to try and get something positive going into the break. The fact that Indiana is only a 4-point favorite here given how bad Brooklyn has been, tells me the books like the Nets chances of covering here, as the public will be all over the Pacers. Give me the Nets +4! |
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02-14-18 | Hawks v. Pistons -8 | 98-104 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE BLOWOUT (Pistons -8) My money is on the Pistons cruising to a blowout win at home over the Hawks. Detroit has followed up their 5-game winning streak after acquiring Griffin with 3 straight losses. I think there's going to be a sense of urgency in this game for the Pistons, as I feel they are going to want something positive to build on going in the All-Star break. Atlanta is one of the worst teams in the NBA and I think they have a hard time mentally showing up for this game. The Hawks actually beat these Pistons at home on Sunday. I believe that's a negative as there's no real motivation to be this team again. Not to mention Atlanta is also playing in the second game of a back-to-back road set, which I think increases the likelihood that they don't show up. Keep in mind that even if Atlanta comes to play, there's still a good chance the Pistons overwhelm them and cover this spread. Give me Detroit -8! |
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02-13-18 | Cavs +2.5 v. Thunder | 120-112 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE DESTROYER (Cavs +2.5) I was dead wrong with the Cavs in their last game at Boston. I thought it was going to take some time for this team to gel, but that's no longer the case. Cleveland's offense absolutely shredded the best defensive team in the league. It was the Cavs who looked like the elite defensive team, as they held the Celtics to just 40.4% from the field on their home floor. I think this team is one of the few teams excited to play going into the break. OKC on the other hand is just 2-5 in their last 7 games and have a major target on their back from the 148 points they put up on the Cavs in Cleveland back in late January. LeBron will this team ready to go and out to make another statement tonight. Give me the Cavs +2.5! |
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02-12-18 | Pelicans v. Pistons -2 | 118-103 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Pistons -2) I'll take my chances here with Detroit bouncing back at home against the Pelicans on Monday. The Pistons might have got a little too confident with how well things were going after landing Griffin in a trade. That's no longer the case after dropping a game at Atlanta, who is hands down one of the worst teams in the league. I believe that loss will light a fire under this team and have them looking to get back on track before the All-Star break. The other thing is I think this Pelicans team is getting too much respect after the loss of Cousins, especially on the road. A road win over a struggling Brooklyn team that isn't playing any defense doesn't change anything for me. Give me the Pistons -2! |
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02-11-18 | Cavs v. Celtics -4.5 | Top | 121-99 | Loss | -113 | 6 h 33 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Celtics -4.5) I think you have to roll the dice here with Boston laying less than 5-points at home against the Cavs. I just don't see Cleveland being in sync enough to compete with a team like the Celtics on the road. I know the Cavs won their first game after making all those moves at the trade deadline, but it wasn't against the Hawks and none of their new additions played. George Hill, Rodney Hood, Jordan Clarkson and Larry Nance Jr. are all expected to make their debuts. The problem is these guys have been with the team for just a few days. The Cavs aren't going to be able to run many set plays with all the new pieces, plus it's going to take some time for these guys to learn how to play with each other. That puts them behind the 8-ball here against an elite Boston defense. It's not just the offense that will be hurt by the new pieces, you aren't going to have the chemistry or communication on the defensive side of the ball. Give me the Celtics -4.5! |
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02-10-18 | Wizards -6 v. Bulls | 101-90 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS MASSACRE (Wizards -6) I'll take my chances here with Washington having their way with the Bulls. The Wizards have been playing extremely well without their All-Star point guard in John Wall. They have lost their last two games, but one was a road game against a Philly team that's playing as well as anyone on their home court and the other against the Celtics at home, who were out for revenge from a Christmas Day loss. I think we see Washington get back on track here against a Bulls team that is poised for a long second half of the season. I also think this is a tough spot for Chicago, who really invested a lot into last night's game against the Timberwolves, as it was the big return home for former Bulls Jimmy Butler and Taj Gibson. They already traded away a big part of their offensive in Mirotic and now will rest LaVine in the second game of a back-to-back and Kris Dunn is still out with a concussion. Give me the Wizards -6! |
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02-09-18 | Hornets v. Jazz -5.5 | 94-106 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS KNOCKOUT (Jazz -5.5) I'll take my chances here with Utah in what I think is horrible spot for the Hornets. Charlotte just played an overtime game last night in Portland, where they used all the energy they had in rallying from 17 down in the 4th quarter to force overtime. Not only are they on no rest after logging some heavy minutes, but Utah is already one of the more difficult places to play for opposing teams because of the high altitude. On top of all that, Utah is on a roll right now. The Jazz have gone 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games and had scored 120 or more in 4 straight before grinding out a win against the Grizzlies last time out. Charlotte has allowed 105 or more in 6 straight games and have allowed their opponents to shoot 50% or better from the field in 5 of those 6 games. Give me the Jazz -5.5! |
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02-09-18 | Pelicans v. 76ers -4.5 | Top | 82-100 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
50* NBA EASTERN CONF GAME OF THE MONTH (76ers -4.5) I'll gladly back the 76ers at home here against the Pelicans. Philadelphia comes in off a 115-102 win at home over a Wizards team that has been playing extremely well and I think we are seeing a boost in effort here from the 76ers after watching the Eagles win the Super Bowl. The other big key here is just how well Philadelphia has been playing at home, where they have won 7 straight with all 7 of those wins coming by at least 6 points. I think we could see a much bigger margin of victory here, as the Pelicans are just 1-4 since losing Cousins to injury. The only win came at OKC, where they caught the Thunder were playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back road set after a game in Denver the night before. It was also their 5th game in 7 nights. They simply had nothing left in the tank. That won't be the case here with the 76ers having had the last two days off and note that the other 4 games they lost, they lost all 4 by 9 or more points. Give me the 76ers -4.5! |
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02-08-18 | Hornets v. Blazers -3.5 | Top | 103-109 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Blazers -3.5) Few teams have been playing as well as Portland has at home since the start of the new year. The Blazers are a perfect 7-0 at home since the calendar turned to 2018. They have an offensive efficiency rating of 117.5 during this stretch, which is the best mark on a home floor of any team. That offense figures to be in store for another big game here against the Hornets, who have seemingly forgot how to play defense. Charlotte has allowed 114.4 ppg in their last 5 games and all 5 opponents during this stretch have shot 51% or better from the floor. Another key factor here is we can bank on a big effort from the Blazers after losing 3 straight. All of which were on the road. The first two were at Toronto and Boston and the last against at Detroit, which is playing their best basketball since acquiring Blake Griffin in a trade. Give me the Blazers -3.5! |
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02-06-18 | Grizzlies v. Hawks -3 | 82-108 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Hawks -3) I'll gladly take my chances here with Atlanta laying a short number at home against the Grizzlies. The big thing here is Memphis is holding out one of their best players in Tyreke Evans due to the team trying to trade him before the deadline. Evans has been the Grizzlies biggest playmaker offensively this year, as he leads the team in scoring (19.5 ppg) and assists (5.0 ppg). He's also been their biggest 3-point threat. He's sat the last 3 games and Memphis has lost all 3 and are averaging just 96.3 ppg. I know the Hawks are a bad team, but they gained some confidence with a late rally and 99-96 win at New York last time out. Atlanta has also won 6 straight at home against Western Conference teams and are facing a Grizzlies side that is a mere 5-19 on the road, with just 3 wins in their last 18 road games against a team from the east. Give me the Hawks -3! |
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02-06-18 | Celtics v. Raptors -4.5 | 91-111 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Raptors -4.5) I think we are getting the right price to back Toronto at home against the Celtics tonight. Boston not only has the best record in the Eastern Conference, but they are also 32-18 ATS this season. They have also been winning and covering without some of their best players. I think all of that has them way overvalued here on the road against the Raptors, who will be out to make a statement. Toronto is just 2-games back of Boston in the east. They have had one of the biggest home court advantages in the league this season. The Raptors are 21-4 at home, where they are outscoring teams by more than 11 ppg. I think a big key here is that Toronto is the much more efficient offensive team and can match the intensity that Boston brings on the defensive side of the ball. Give me the Raptors -4.5! |
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02-06-18 | Bucks -1.5 v. Knicks | Top | 103-89 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Bucks -1.5) Milwaukee is now 6-1 in the 7 games since firing Jason Kidd and have won each of their first two games since Jabari Parker joined the rotation for the first time this year. The Knicks on the other hand have lost 3 straight and are just 5-13 in their last 18 games. Last time out they lost at home to the Hawks off all teams, which I really think says a lot about how this team is playing right now. I know these two teams just played in Milwaukee and the Bucks squeaked out a 92-90 win, but I think the fact New York was competitive is creating value with this line. Note that in that last game against the Knicks the Bucks were playing in the 2nd game of a back-to-back. New York is also just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games, while Milwaukee is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Give me the Bucks -1.5! |
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02-05-18 | Blazers v. Pistons -2.5 | 91-111 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Pistons -2.5) I'll take my chances here with Detroit as a slim home favorite against the Blazers on Monday. The trade for Blake Griffin has really lit a fire under this Pistons team, which has won all 3 games since acquiring him. I think they have a great shot here at home to keep it going, as they are catching the Blazers at the perfect time. Portland just played yesterday at Boston and suffered a crushing 96-97 loss with the Celtics winning at the buzzer. Now they are playing on no rest in what will be their 3rd road game in the last 4 days and 5th game in the last 7 overall. Give me the Pistons -2.5! |
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02-05-18 | Wizards v. Pacers -1.5 | 111-102 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS LINE MISTAKE (Pacers -1.5) Indiana has won 6 straight and are 8-1 in their last 9 home games overall. That makes them an easy play here for me as a slim 1.5-point home favorite Monday against the Wizards. Washington has surprised a lot of people by going 4-0 SU and 4-0 ATS in the 4 games since losing John Wall to injury, but I think it has them way overvalued here on the road. Washington is just 18-32 ATS in their last 50 off a road win and are a mere 5-14 ATS in their last 19 when they come in having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. Give me the Pacers -1.5! |
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02-04-18 | Blazers -1 v. Celtics | 96-97 | Loss | -105 | 2 h 12 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Blazers -1) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Blazers to pull out a road win over the Celtics on Sunday. This is a big bounce back spot for Portland, who suffered an embarrassing 25-point loss at Toronto on Friday. Prior to that the Blazers had won 4 straight and are 7-2 in their last 9 overall. Big key here is the Celtics are depleted due to injuries. Marcus Smart is still out with an injury and both Kyrie Irving and Marcus Morris will not suit up for this one. I just don't think Boston will have the offensive fire-power to pull out the win. Give me the Blazers -1! |
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02-03-18 | Heat +3.5 v. Pistons | 107-111 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS SHOCKER (Heat +3.5) I think we are getting a good price here on the Heat as a dog against the Pistons. I think Detroit is getting a little too much love here. The Pistons were able to win their first game with Blake Griffin in the lineup, but it was a mere 2-point home win over Memphis, who isn't a very good team. I think it's going to take time for the Pistons to figure things out with Blake and I look for them to struggle here offensively against the Heat. Miami plays exceptional defense and are well-coached as any team in the league. I think we get a big effort here from them off back-to-back losses. Give me the Heat +3.5! |
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02-03-18 | 76ers v. Pacers -1.5 | 92-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (Pacers -1.5) This is simply too good a price to pass up on the Pacers at home. Indiana has been playing like an elite team on their home floor here of late and I think they will be the more motivated side here. Pacers are off a loss at Charlotte on Friday, while the 76ers nearly let a huge lead slip away in a 6-point win at home over the Heat. I was on Philadelphia in that win and had Charlotte as a free pick over the Pacers, so neither of those results surprised me. I just think the 76ers are getting too much love here. Sure Embiid is playing for the first time on a back-to-back, but this is still a big letdown spot for Philadelphia and a big bounce back spot for Indiana, who is 31-17 ATS in their last 48 home games when revenging a road loss. Give me the Pacers -1.5! |
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02-02-18 | Pelicans v. Thunder -5 | 114-100 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE BLOWOUT (Thunder -5) The spot here for OKC isn't great, but I think the price is right here to back the Thunder at home. OKC got off to an awful start last night at Denver before nearly coming way back for a win. I think the way they finished that game is a positive they will carry over to their home floor, where they are 19-7 on the season. I also think playing at home will help with the lack of rest that OKC will be dealing with. The other big thing here is the Pelicans are in the midst of a major transition, as they try to adjust to the loss of DeMarcus Cousins. This team I think had hope it could figure something out with Cousins and be a factor in the postseason, but now they know this year is a lost cause. Adding Mirotic will help ease the loss, but he's not playing tonight and I think we see this team continue to struggle, especially on the road in a hostile environment. Give me the Thunder -5! |
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02-02-18 | Heat v. 76ers -4 | 97-103 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS KNOCKOUT (76ers -4) I'll gladly take my chances here with Philadelphia laying a short number at home against the Heat. I think we are getting value here due to the 76ers coming off a loss at Brooklyn as a 8-point favorite and have failed to cover 3 straight overall. Miami on the other hand is a team I think people are a little afraid to bet against, as they have been playing well. For me, I just think the 76ers have such a big home court edge and this isn't a great spot for the Heat, who are playing third straight on the road and fresh off that crushing 89-91 loss to the Cavs. I also think Simmons takes this game personal. Simmons wanted to be an All-Star and might not be all that happy about Miami's Goran Dragic being named to the team yesterday after the Kevin Love injury. Give me the 76ers -4! |
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02-02-18 | Blazers v. Raptors -4 | Top | 105-130 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show |
50* NBA NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH (Raptors -4) I think we are getting a great price here on Toronto at home against the Blazers. The Raptors have one of the best records on their home floor this season. They are also a team that for whatever reason doesn't get as much love as you typically see for a team that is 34-16 (4th best record in the league). I know they just lost at Washington last night and the Wizards didn't have Wall, but sometimes it's hard to get up for games when a team is missing a star player. Either way, that loss should have them locked in for tonight's game. Portland has won 4 straight and are 7-1 in their last 8, but I'm not a believer in this team and this latest run has been more of a result in a very favorable portion of their schedule. Give me the Raptors -4! |
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02-01-18 | Thunder v. Nuggets +1 | 124-127 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT TNT KNOCKOUT (Nuggets +1) I'll take a shot here with Denver as a home dog against the Thunder. OKC had won 8 straight games before going on the road and laying an egg in Tuesday's 96-102 loss to the Wizards, who were playing without John Wall. I think the Thunder have a tough time bouncing back off the long trip from D.C. to Denver. The Nuggets on the other hand are going to be excited to test their talents against one of the top teams in the league in front of a nationally audience. I think Denver not only wins this game, but does so rather convincingly. Give me the Nuggets +1! |
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02-01-18 | Raptors v. Wizards +3.5 | 119-122 | Win | 100 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Wizards +3.5) I've liked what I have seen from Washington without John Wall. The defensive intensity has been turned up a notch and the ball isn't sticking on the offensive side of the ball. A lot of people forget that Wall has missed a bunch of games already this season, so it's not like the Wizards don't know how to play without him. In fact, each of the two previous meetings this season against the Raptors were without Wall. Washington played well in both, winning the first meeting 107-96 at Toronto and losing by just 9 in the other meeting at Toronto. Raptors were only around a 7-point home favorite in those two games and based on those lines this game in Washington should be closer to a pick'em. Give me the Wizards +3.5! |
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01-31-18 | Bulls v. Blazers -7 | Top | 108-124 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Blazers -7) I think this is a great spot to go against the Bulls. Chicago has been playing like a team that could compete for a playoff spot in the east since Nikola Mirotic returned from the injury suffered in the preseason fight with Bobby Portis. While it was nice to see, the Bulls don't exactly want to win now and Mirotic has been rumored in trades left and right the past couple of days. He's on the injury report as questionable with leg injury. They say he's available, but I just don't think they want him to play, as Zipser has already been named the starter for rookie Lauri Markkanen, who is out for personal reasons. They also still don't have starting point guard Kris Dunn. I think the news of Mirotic basically out the door takes away some of the fight of this Bulls team. Portland has been playing well and I think they lay it on Chicago at home. Give me the Blazers -7! |
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01-31-18 | Knicks +8.5 v. Celtics | 73-103 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
40* NBA BOOKIE ATS MASSACRE (Knicks +8.5) I like New York to cover the spread here prior to the news that Irving wouldn't play. I like it just as much without him (even at the new line). Boston is in a really tough spot here coming off a long road trip and grueling game to conclude the trip at Denver. I think it's smart the Celtics choose to rest Irving in a game they likely weren't going to play well in given the circumstances. The Knicks should still show up here and without Irving I think New York has an excellent shot at winning this game outright. Give me the Knicks +8.5! |
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01-30-18 | Wolves v. Raptors -6 | Top | 104-109 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Raptors -6) I just think the price is right here to back Toronto at home against Minnesota tonight. The Timberwolves aren't playing well at the moment. They are just 3-5 SU in their last 8 games and a big reason for their struggles is the schedule makers weren't kind to Minnesota. While they haven't played more than 3 straight on the road, they also haven't played more than 1 game in a row at home since a 5 game home straight that ended way back on 1/14. This team has basically traveled from one spot to another for each of their last 9 games. Toronto has been flying under the radar and are a very tough team to beat on their home floor. I think the Raptors show up and make a statement here. Give me Toronto -6! |
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01-29-18 | Celtics v. Nuggets -1 | 111-110 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS KNOCKOUT (Nuggets -1) I think it's worth a shot here to back Denver. The public is simply going to look at this matchup and see that Boston is 35-15 and one of the best teams in the league, while Denver is barely over .500 at 26-23 and jump all over the Celtics at basically a pick'em. Note the public just got a great taste of this Boston team in Saturday's prime-time game against the Warriors, where they covered and almost won outright as 11-point dogs. The public will just assume that same Celtics team is going to take the floor two days later in Denver, but that's just not the case. There's a better chance Boston struggles to find a way to get up for this game. It won't help that they are short-handed without a key reserve in Marcus Smart and potentially another reserve in Terry Rozier, who is questionable with an ankle injury. Give me the Nuggets -1! |
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01-29-18 | Hornets v. Pacers -3 | Top | 96-105 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Pacers -3) This is simply too good a price to pass up on the Pacers at home against a mediocre opponent like the Hornets. Indiana fell way-behind and didn't cover in a 2-point win at home against the Magic in their last game. I think that is keeping this number much lower than it needs to be. It wasn't that big of a surprise to see the Pacers not play well against Orlando. The Magic are an awful team, so there's little to get excited about playing and they were coming off a huge game at Cleveland the night before. I expect a locked in Pacers side tonight, while the Hornets could be the ones struggling to get going. Charlotte is playing for the 3rd time in 4 days and fresh off a crushing 91-95 loss to division rival Miami. They are also mere 6-14 away from home on the season. Give me the Pacers -3! |
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01-28-18 | Lakers +10 v. Raptors | Top | 111-123 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Lakers +10) I'll take my chances here with the Lakers as a double-digit dog against the Raptors on Sunday. LA is playing some of their best basketball of the season right now. They have won 4 straight and are 8-2 in their last 10. However, they are just 19-29 overall and Toronto comes in at 32-15 and are perceived to have a huge home court advantage. The thing is the Raptors aren't playing well right now and it's not uncommon for teams to go into a funk before the All-Star break. Toronto is just 4-5 in their last 9 and have gone just 1-5 ATS in their last 6. Given how these two teams are playing, I wouldn't be shocked if the Lakers won this game outright. Give me LA +10! |
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01-28-18 | Bucks -2 v. Bulls | 110-96 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS LINE MISTAKE (Bucks -2) I think Chicago is starting to feel the loss of starting point guard Kris Dunn, who had really turned a corner this season. He's still out with a concussion and the offense has sputtered without him here of late. However, I think the line here is reflecting how good the Bulls have been of late and the fact that while Milwaukee is off a win, they are just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games. I just think the coaching change was a blessing for this team and they played one of their better games of the season last time out against the Nets, shooting 52% from the field and going 12 of 23 from long-distance. Antetokounmpo looked refreshed after the long layoff, scoring 41 points with 13 rebounds and 7 assists. I think he keeps it going and the Bucks aren't going to overlook this game having already lost twice at home to the Bulls. Give me Milwaukee -2! |
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01-27-18 | Wizards v. Hawks +5.5 | 129-104 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS BLOWOUT (Hawks +5.5) Atlanta burned me last night. The Hawks led 110-109 with less than 3 minutes to play and were getting 7. They proceeded to allow the Hornets to close the game on a 13-0 run to win by 11. As bad as that was to stomach, I'm going to fire right back with them on Saturday at home against the Wizards. Washington isn't playing well at all right now and have a major problem of playing down to their competition. Wizards are just 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games vs a team with a losing record and 5-21-1 ATS in their last 27 road games vs a team with a losing home record. Give me the Hawks +5.5! |
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01-27-18 | Thunder v. Pistons +4 | 121-108 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SHOCKER (Pistons +4) This line makes no sense. Oklahoma City has won 6 straight and covered 3 of their last 4, while Detroit has lost 6 straight and are 1-5 ATS during this stretch. The public won't be able to get to the ticket window fast enough to pound the Thunder. I'm going to side with the books here, who clearly see an edge for the Pistons in this one, or they would have set this line a lot higher given the state of these two teams. OKC is just 5-14 ATS vs the eastern conference this season and 2-11 ATS in their last 13 road games after 4 or more wins. Detroit is also 13-3 ATS in their last 16 when listed as a dog of 3.5 to 9 points. Give me the Pistons +4! |
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01-26-18 | Nets +6.5 v. Bucks | 91-116 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Nets +6.5) Brooklyn has been playing extremely well here of late and I think we are getting a great price to back them against the Bucks. Milwaukee just recently fired head coach Jason Kidd, which didn't sit well with the "Greek Freak" and I just question the direction of this team right now. They squeaked out a win at home against the Suns last time out, but failed to cover for their 7th time in their last 8 games. Brooklyn on the other hand has covered 3 straight and are 11-2-1 ATS in their last 14 games. Key here is because they aren't considered to a good team and the public doesn't trust them, especially on the road, we continue to see them undervalued. Nets are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 vs the east, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 on the road and 21-8 ATS in their last 29 vs a team with a winning record. Give me Brooklyn +6.5! |
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01-26-18 | Lakers v. Bulls -4 | Top | 108-103 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
50* NBA BOOKIE KNOCKOUT GAME OF THE MONTH (Bulls -4) I've made a ton of money on the Bulls during their 15-10 run over their last 25 games and I think we are getting them at a great price at home tonight against the Lakers. Chicago comes in off an ugly showing on the road against the 76ers Wednesday. You could see that bad outing coming, as they had just played a grueling double-overtime game two days earlier at New Orleans and were sick about the loss after playing a 15+ point lead in the final 5 minutes. I think we see a completely different team take the floor tonight and we are getting value on the line because LA comes in having won 7 of 9, but that's a bit of fools gold with all but one of those wins coming at home. Lakers aren't nearly as good on the road and I think they struggle to keep this competitive. Give me the Bulls -4! |
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01-26-18 | Hawks +7 v. Hornets | 110-121 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS ANNIHILATOR (Hawks +7) The Hawks have been playing much better here of late and I think we are getting a great price to back them against the Hornets. I haven't been impressed with Charlotte this season and they hav been overvalued often here of late. Hornets have failed to cover 3 straight. Atlanta did lose 93-108 at home to the Raptors last time out, but Toronto is one of the best teams in the league. That loss is actually a positive, as the Hawks are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 off a SU loss, 25-10 ATS in their last 35 off a double-digit loss at home and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 off a game where they failed to cover the spread. Hornets are just 8-19-1 ATS in their last 28 vs a team that's won less than 40% of their games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 at home. Give me the Hawks +7! |
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01-24-18 | Wolves v. Blazers -2 | 114-123 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS NO BRAINER (Blazers -2) Portland is worth a look here as a short home favorite against the Timberwolves. Minnesota has been playing well of late, but are expected to be without both Jimmy Butler and Jamal Crawford for this one. This is already a team that doesn't have a ton of depth and I just don't see the focus or energy being their without those two tonight, especially with tomorrow's big game against Golden State looming in the back of their minds. Portland has won 3 of 4 and 6 straight at home and will be out for revenge from a recent loss at Minnesota on 1/14. Give me the Blazers -2! |
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01-24-18 | Suns +7.5 v. Pacers | 101-116 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE KNOCKOUT (Suns +7.5) Phoenix has quietly posted a 14-8 ATS mark on the road this season and have covered each of their last 3 on the road, including an outright win at Denver as a 9-point dog. Indiana comes in off a big upset win at San Antonio, but I think we see a flat Pacers team tonight, as they just recently finished up a 5-game west coast road trip and have a monster game on deck Friday night at Cleveland against LeBron and the Cavs. Suns are 7-2-1 ATS last 10 off a SU loss and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games vs a team with a winning home record. Pacers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 when playing on 2 days rest and just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games against Phoenix, including a 1-6 ATS mark in their last 7 at home vs the Suns. Give me Phoenix +7.5! |
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01-24-18 | Pelicans v. Hornets -2 | 101-96 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS SLAUGHTER (Hornets -2) Last time out the Pelicans pulled out a 132-128 win at home over the Bulls, but that was a game they had no business winning. Chicago blew a 17-point lead in the final 5 minutes and also missed a free throw that would have clinched it in the final seconds. New Orleans deserves credit for the comeback win, but it took 2 overtimes. Cousins logged 52 minutes, while Davis, Holiday, Moore and Miller all played 40+. I just don't think the Pelicans will be able to find the energy needed to win on the road over the Hornets. Charlotte has won 3 of their last 4 and 6 of 9 and are well rested playing their 4th straight at home. Give me the Hornets -2! |
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01-22-18 | Bulls +6.5 v. Pelicans | 128-132 | Win | 100 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE KNOCKOUT (Bulls +6.5) Chicago has been an absolute money-making machine since Mirotic returned from an injury. The Bulls have covered 5 straight and are 19-5 ATS in their last 24. I'm not saying they should be favored here at New Orleans, but 6.5 is too many points for a team that is more than capable of winning this game outright. Chicago has quietly put together a deep roster that has formed some great chemistry. They also play at a fast tempo and are great from behind the 3-point line, which is the new recipe for success in the NBA. Give me the Bulls +6.5! |
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01-21-18 | Nets v. Pistons -6 | 101-100 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE KNOCKOUT (Pistons -6) I think it's worth a shot here to lay the points with Detroit at home against the Nets. I know the Pistons come in off an ugly loss at home to the Wizards, but that's actually a positive when it comes to backing them here. That's because Detroit is a dominant 11-1 ATS in their last 12 off a double-digit home loss as a favorite and have won in this spot by just under 10.0 ppg. Give me the Pistons -6! |
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01-20-18 | Raptors v. Wolves -3 | Top | 109-115 | Win | 100 | 11 h 50 m | Show |
50* NBA NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH (Wolves -3) I was on the Timberwolves in their last game at Houston and they didn't show up to play. I got no problem firing right back with Minnesota here as a short home favorite against the Raptors. Toronto is playing on no rest and off a grueling defensive game against the Spurs yesterday. The Timberwolves have shown the ability to respond from a bad performance like they had against the Rockets. They are also a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 at home, while the Raptors are a mere 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs a team with a winning record. Give me the Timberwolves -3! |
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01-20-18 | Heat v. Hornets -4.5 | 106-105 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE BLOWOUT (Hornets -4.5) I think this is a great spot to not only jump on Charlotte, but to fade the Heat. The Hornets have found new life with the return of head coach Steve Clifford. They went on the road and beat the Pistons 118-107 on Monday and followed that up with a 133-109 thrashing of the Wizards at home on Wednesday. I see no reason for them to not keep it going here coming off 2 days of rest. As for Miami, they just lost last night in Brooklyn 95-101. This will be their 4th straight on the road and their 5th game in the last 7 days. Not to mention they have a big lookahead game on deck at Houston Monday. I think it's going to be hard for the Heat to match the energy of Charlotte here and we are getting a favorable line because of how well Miami had been playing. Give me the Hornets -4.5! |
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01-19-18 | Pacers -2 v. Lakers | 86-99 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS BLOWOUT (Pacers -2) I went against the Lakers on Wednesday against OKC and cashed in easily, as the Thunder 1on by 24 as a 9.5-point favorite. My biggest reason for that was LA not having Lonzo Ball. People think because he doesn't score a ton he won't be missed, but he does so many other things that help this team win. He gets them so many easy baskets in transition and is much better defensively than he gets credit for. I also think his pass-first mentality is contagious and when he's not on the floor the Lakers start playing more 1-on-1 ball. Not only will they not have Ball against the Pacers, but Caldwell-Pope is also out and Ingram and Kuzma are both questionable. If either Ingram or Kuzma doesn't play, I see no way the Lakers can even make this respectable. Give me Indiana -2! |
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01-19-18 | Suns +9 v. Nuggets | 108-100 | Win | 100 | 11 h 40 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Suns +9) I'll take my chances here with the Suns as a big road dog against the Nuggets. Denver came in with big expectations, but just haven't been able to live up to the hype. Not a lot was expected of the Suns, but when this team has had their core guys in the lineup they have been a much tougher out than expected. The only key cog not expected to be in the lineup tonight is Marquese Chriss. Denver on the other hand is still playing without Millsap and isn't expected to have Murray tonight. Murray is a big part of their offense and will be missed in this one. Suns are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 off a SU loss and 4-1 TS in their last 5 on 2 days of rest. Give me Phoenix +9! |
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01-19-18 | Wizards -1.5 v. Pistons | Top | 122-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Wizards -1.5) I think now is the time to jump on Washington. Last time out the Wizards were embarrassed in a 109-133 loss at Charlotte. They allowed 77 first half points to the Hornets, which says a lot about their effort level in that game. Head coach Scott Brooks called out his players and that's the kind of loss a team can rally around. I expect a big time effort here from Washington on the road against the Pistons. Detroit has also been struggling, but it's not been a lack of effort. They just can't get healthy and have multiple guys on the injury report tonight. We know for sure they won't have Reggie Jackson and could be without both Avery Bradley and Stanley Johnson. Either way, I expect the Wizards to show up and take care of business. Give me Washington -1.5! |
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01-18-18 | Wolves +5.5 v. Rockets | Top | 98-116 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Wolves +5.5) Even with Harden expected to be back for the Rockets tonight, I like the value here with Minnesota. The Timberwolves have really been playing well over the last month, as they are 12-4 over their last 16. I'm not concerned with the recent loss at Orlando, as that was a big letdown spot. What people overlook with the Harden return from injury is that he's going to be on a minutes restriction. Houston will also be without two key pieces in starter Trevor Ariza and reserve Gerald Green. The Rockets could also have a hard time not looking ahead to Saturday's big game at home against the Warriors. Minnesota has the offensive fire-power to hand with Houston and the defense has been much improved of late. Give me the Timberwolves +5.5! |
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01-17-18 | Warriors v. Bulls +9 | 119-112 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Bulls +9) I'll take my chances here with the Bulls as a near double-digit dog against the Warriors. This is simply not the same Chicago team that started the year. This team caught fire once Mirotic and Portis got healthy, as it gave them two big time scorers off the bench. Mirotic has been the biggest difference maker with his outside shooting. Dunn has also been a huge factor in the turnaround for Chicago. Not to mention they look to have struck gold with rookie Lauri Markkanen. On top of all that they just recently got Zach LaVine back from injury and he's looked great in his first two starts, averaging 16 ppg, while shooting 57% from the field and 63% (5 of 8) on 3-pointers. This team is hungry and will give everything they got against the defending champs. I don't see the same energy here from the Warriors, who are rested Draymond and might also not have Iguodala. Not to mention they just got done playing the Bucks, Raptors and Cavs and have a game at Houston on deck. Give me the Bulls +9! |
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01-17-18 | Lakers v. Thunder -9.5 | 90-114 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show | |
40* NBA THUNDER/LAKERS ESPN NO BRAINER (Thunder -9.5) My money is on the Thunder to win here by double-digits against the Lakers. Say what you want about Lonzo Ball's shot, it's the other things that Ball does that makes him such a valuable piece to this Lakers team. He's an elite passer that can push the ball and generate some really easy baskets in transition. He also attacks the glass and is a better defender than he gets credit for. Without him on the floor the Lakers offense can struggle to find a rhythm, as they lose some of that pass-first mentality. Ball has missed 7 games and the Lakers have lost all 7 and 6 of the 7 have come by 9 or more points. OKC is still a work in progress, but they have shown some flashes here of late and I expect a big effort here at home in front of a national audience on ESPN. Give me the Thunder -9.5! |
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01-15-18 | Pacers v. Jazz -4 | Top | 109-94 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Jazz -4) The Jazz are a team that I think is undervalue right now, especially in this spot at home. Utah hasn't been great of late, but they have also played 12 of their last 16 games on the road. They are 13-7 at home on the season, outscoring teams by nearly 7 ppg. They should be refreshed playing on 2 days of rest and extremely motivated to get back on track with a victory here. Indiana comes in off a big 23-point win and cover at Phoenix last night, but are now playing on no rest and their 3rd game in 4 nights. A situation that is even more difficult in Utah with the thin air. I look for a very flat Pacers team to take the floor and fully expect the Jazz to runaway with this one. Give me Utah -4! |
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01-15-18 | Warriors v. Cavs +6 | 118-108 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
40* NBA 'WARRIORS/CAVS' ATS SLAUGHTER (Cavs +6) I'm willing to take a shot here on Cleveland as a 6-point home dog against the Warriors. As bad as the Cavs have been playing here of late, I think a lot of that is due to a lack of motivation more than anything, especially on defense. I look for Cleveland to be 100% locked in for this game and actually think they win the game outright. Golden State is just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games and the Cavs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 at home vs a team with a winning road record. Give me Cleveland +6! |
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01-13-18 | Pistons v. Bulls -1 | 105-107 | Win | 100 | 24 h 4 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS ANNIHILATOR (Bulls -1) I'll take my chances here with Chicago as a slim 1-point home favorite against the Pistons. The Bulls cooled off a bit after that ridiculous stretch where they covered 13 of 14, but a lot of that is the oddsmakers started to adjust. They are still playing well and are fresh off a 122-119 win at New York as a 5-point dog. They have played the last couple games without Mirotic, whose return from injury is what sparked their huge turnaround. Not only is he expected to play on Saturday, but Zach LaVine will be making his season debut. This a very deep and underrated Bulls roster. I think they make easy work of Detroit, who has struggled to string together wins and are playing their 3rd straight on the road. Pistons are also still shorthanded with Reggie Jackson and Jon Leuer both out with injuries. Give me the Bulls -1! |
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01-12-18 | Rockets -7 v. Suns | 112-95 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
40* NBA ROCKETS/SUNS ESPN ANNIHILATOR (Rockets -7) I got no problem laying what mike look like a big number on the Rockets tonight. I know Phoenix has been playing better of late, but injuries are once again starting to mount up for the Suns. Josh Jackson, Marquese Chriss and Isaiah Canaan are all out for this game. I know Houston is without James Harden, but Chris Paul has stepped into his role and is putting up big time numbers. There's still a really strong supporting cast here with the Rockets and I expect a big effort from Houston with this being a nationally televised game on ESPN. Rockets are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 road games off a home win and last time they visited the Suns they beat them 142-116. Give me Houston -7! |
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01-12-18 | Knicks +9 v. Wolves | Top | 108-118 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Knicks +9) I'll gladly take my chances here with New York catching a big number here against the Timberwolves. Despite the fact the Knicks are just 2-8 in their last 10, I've seen some positive signs from them here of late. They could be getting back a key piece in Tim Hardaway Jr tonight and should have some fresh legs playing just their second game in the last 5 days. More than anything, I think the Timberwolves will have a hard time getting up for this game. No denying that Minnesota has been playing well, but they just played two monster games at home against the Cavs and Thunder, blowing both teams out. It's only human nature to not bring the same energy with a step down in competition and the Wolves are just 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 home games against a team with a losing road record and are a staggering 8-22-1 ATS in their last 31 vs the Eastern Conference. Give me the Knicks +9! |
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01-12-18 | Jazz +4 v. Hornets | 88-99 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC ATS SLAUGHTER (Jazz +4) I'll take my chances here with Utah getting points in Charlotte. I'm well aware of the fact that the Jazz have gone just 4-13 over their last 17 games, but when you take a closer look at the schedule it's easy to see why they would have struggled. Out of those 17 games, only 5 have come at home and 4 of those home games were against the likes of the Rockets, Spurs, Thunder and Cavs. The other was against the Pelicans, which came in a brutal spot after they had just played the Warriors and Cavs their previous two games and were off an upset win over Cleveland. I think this a better team than people give them credit for and I haven't seen a whole lot out of Charlotte to get me excited. The Hornets have been equally bad over the last 30 days and are just 2-7 in their last 9 home games. Utah is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs the Eastern Conference and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 off a win (won at Wash last time out). Hornets just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 at home. Give me Utah +4! |
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01-11-18 | Cavs -3 v. Raptors | 99-133 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS ATS MASSACRE (Cavs -3) Last time out the Cavs got embarrassed 99-127 at Minnesota. Any time you have LeBron and Cleveland off an ugly loss like that, it's hard not to like them, not matter who they are playing. Even more so when it's a nationally televised game against an opponent ahead of them in the standings. No question Toronto has been flying under the radar for a good portion of this season, but you are hearing more and more about this team over the last week and I think they are way overvalued here with Kyle Lowry doubtful to play with a back injury and Serge Ibaka out via a suspension. I'm sure the Raptors will play hard at home, I just don't think it will be enough against a rested Cavs team that has had the last 2 days off. Give me Cleveland -3! |
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01-10-18 | Heat v. Pacers -5 | Top | 114-106 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
50* NBA EASTERN CONF GAME OF THE MONTH (Pacers -5) I think we are getting an exceptional price here to back the Pacers at home against the Heat. Miami comes in having won 5 straight with the most recent being an upset win at Toronto last night. They won on a last second shot to take down the Raptors 90-89 in a very physical game that saw players ejected. One of which was James Johnson, who is doubtful to suit up tonight because of a looming suspension. They also so guard Tyler Johnson suffer a shoulder injury that has him listed as questionable. Not to mention Justise Winslow and Dion Waiters are both still out with injuries. This is the definition of a letdown game for the Heat, who get a much-needed 3-day break following this contest. Indiana has won two straight in blowout fashion after losing 5 in a row. Both wins have come since Oladipo returned to the lineup and he's the spark plug that gets this team going. Myles Turner isn't expected to play, but Sabonis is more than capable of filling in and I look for Indiana to lay it on Miami tonight. Give me the Pacers -5! |
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01-09-18 | Kings v. Lakers -6.5 | 86-99 | Win | 100 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS BLOWOUT (Lakers -6.5) I was on the Lakers in their last game, were they cruised to a 132-113 win at home over Atlanta as a 3.5-point favorite. It came right after all the negative publicity came out with LaVar Ball and how the Lakers' players didn't want to play for Walton. To no surprise, the players rallied around their coach and had one of their best efforts of the season. I think there's a good chance they carry over that attitude and motivation to this game against the Kings, which is why I think it's worth the risk to lay this big of a number on a team that is 1-9 in their last 10 games. Kings aren't any good and are in an ideal letdown spot here off a crushing 100-107 loss last night at home to the Spurs, where they blew a 5-point lead with just 4 minutes to play. I think this could get really ugly in a hurry. Give me the Lakers -6.5! |