Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-08-20 | Heat -4 v. Bucks | 103-94 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show | |
40* HEAT/BUCKS NBA SHARP STAKE (HEAT -4) Props to Milwaukee for not going down without a fight and winning Game 4, despite losing Antetokounmpo in the 2nd quarter. You just never know how a team will respond down 3-0 and it's why I stayed clear of that game. I just feel like this is where the Heat close the door and move on to the Conference Finals. I know Giannis is listed as questionable, but if you aren't able to come back in an elimination game, I don't know how you play two days later. Even if he does suit up, he's clearly not 100%. At the same time, I think Miami will have a much better game plan for Khris Middleton, who went off for 36 in Game 4. Not to mention Butler didn't play great down the stretch in Game 4. All of that and Milwaukee stilled need OT to pull out the win. Give me the Heat -4! |
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09-07-20 | Celtics -1 v. Raptors | 111-89 | Win | 100 | 18 h 12 m | Show | |
40* CELTICS/RAPTORS NBA VEGAS INSIDER (Celtics -1) I'm sticking with Boston in Game 5. The Celtics didn't come through for me in Game 4 and for whatever reason it just didn't look like Boston showed up with the right mindset. Maybe it was the 2-1 series lead or maybe it was the shock of how they lost Game 3. The team that wins the series almost always takes Game 5 and I still think Boston is the better team. What people overlook in Game 4, is Boston played pretty bad and yet still had a shot to win that game. They were a miserable 7-35 (20%) from deep, Kemba and Smart were non-factors offensively and Brown shot 4 of 18 (2-11 3-pts). Thing with Brown is a lot of those were wide-open shots. It's not the Raptors defense. I just think Boston delivers in this spot. Give me the Celtics -1! |
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09-06-20 | Rockets v. Lakers -5.5 | 109-117 | Win | 100 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
40* ROCKETS/LAKERS NBA VEGAS INSIDER (Lakers -5.5) I'm willing to roll the dice that LeBron has the Lakers looking a little different than what we saw in Game 1. Much like their LA rivals in the Clippers, the Lakers have a tendency to let their guard down. I think they expected a more wore down Houston team after they just played a Game 7 against OKC. That wasn't the case. Houston was the more aggressive team. I wonder though if the Rockets can sustain that into Game 2. Would be really easy for them to be content with a 1-1 series if things get bad early. Either way I'm confident that the Lakers intensity level will be up a few notches. I also think we get a big game from someone other than LeBron or AD after the role players were a big no show in Game 1. Give me the Lakers -5.5! |
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09-05-20 | Raptors v. Celtics +1 | Top | 100-93 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 41 m | Show |
50* RAPTORS/CELTICS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Celtics +1) I'm shocked the Celtics are a dog in Game 4. It makes no sense. If Anunoby doesn't hit a 3-pointer with 0.5 seconds left, Boston has a 3-0 series lead. I was on the Raptors in Game 3. I just expected more from them with their backs against the wall down 0-2 in the series. I get Toronto was a better 3-point shooting team than what they have been in this series, but we are now 3 games into this thing. Clearly Boston has the scheme/talent to make it difficult on the Raptors to get clean looks from deep. Let's also not overlook the fact that Toronto barely won with Boston's best player, Jason Tatum, having a bad game. Tatum was just 5 of 18 from the field and finished with 15 points. Tatum had a similar bad game in Game 3 against the 76ers, scoring just 15 points on 6 of 19 shooting. Next game he went 10 of 18 for 28 points. I think he bounces back and Boston wins this one rather easily. Give me the Celtics +1! |
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09-04-20 | Rockets v. Lakers -6 | Top | 112-97 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
50* ROCKETS/LAKERS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Lakers -6) I was kicking myself all night for not making the Clippers a premium play yesterday. Luckily I did have some action on it (check my twitter). We get the Lakers in almost the same exact scenario tonight and at a much cheaper price. There's a lot of talk about how the Rockets match up well with LA in terms of the fact that they should have an edge in 3-point shooting. Thing is, the same could have been said of the Blazers. I mean how much better is Harden/Westbrook than Lillard/McCollum. Harden is slightly better than Lillard at best and while Westbrook is the better all-around player, McCollum is the much better shooter. After losing Game 1, which wasn't a big shock given LA hadn't played a meaningful game in forever, the Lakers dominated Portland the rest of the way. Rockets didn't shoot great in their series with OKC either, so I'm not sure why people are expecting them to just shoot lights out in Game 1. Especially, given how gassed they have to be after playing a Game 7 two days ago. Give me the Lakers -6! |
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09-04-20 | Bucks -5 v. Heat | 100-115 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
40* BUCKS/HEAT NBA STEAMROLLER (Bucks -5) Before this series even started I picked the Heat to win it. I just think the value here is with Milwaukee in Game 3. The Bucks have one of the best players in the NBA and were one of the best teams in the regular-season. Their season is on the line tonight. They lose this game and go down 3-0, they are done for. I just think they are going to bring a different level of intensity and fight to Game 3 than Miami. I think there's some big positives in the fact that the Bucks were in Game 2, despite shooting just 43.5% from the field and only making 7 of 25 3-pointers. Give me Milwaukee -5! |
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09-03-20 | Raptors -1 v. Celtics | 104-103 | Push | 0 | 19 h 27 m | Show | |
40* RAPTORS/CELTICS NBA VEGAS STEAMROLLER (Raptors -1) I played and won on the Celtics in both Game 1 and Game 2, but I'm going to reverse course and take the Raptors to win and cover in Game 3. Boston was pretty fortunate to win Game 2. They trailed by 8 going into the 4th quarter. Raptors had just 9 points in the 4th quarter with just over 4 minutes to play. Toronto simply couldn't buy a 3-pointer, going just 11 of 40 (27.5%). That was the difference in the game. They had 25 assists to the Celtics 18 and were +5 in the turnover department. I don't think the Raptors can win this series, but I like them with their backs against the wall. You know they are laying it all on the line to avoid falling behind 3-0 (series is all but over if they lose). Boston on the other hand is sitting comfortable up 2-0 and having yet to lose in the playoffs. Give me the Raptors -1! |
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09-01-20 | Celtics +1.5 v. Raptors | Top | 102-99 | Win | 100 | 19 h 57 m | Show |
50* CELTICS/RAPTORS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Celtics +1.5) I can't believe Boston is a dog in Game 2. I get Toronto being favored in Game 1, but after what we saw in Game 1, it's pretty clear who the better team is. It's also not like it was anything new either. Celtics have had the Raptors numbers this season. They destroyed them in the bubble 8-game restart very similar to Game 1. Celtics have the best player on the floor in Tatum and are simply more talented from top to bottom. I just don't see any kind of letdown here for Boston against the defending champs. Give me the Celtics +1.5! |
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08-31-20 | Rockets v. Thunder +6 | 100-104 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
40* THUNDER/ROCKETS NBA VEGAS INSIDER (Thunder +6) I'm going to go down swinging with OKC. As bad as the Thunder looked in Game 5, you can't overreact to that. We saw them get beat pretty bad in Game 1 and Game 2. They bounced back and won the next two. I think the long layoff helped Houston a little more. OKC also has to get more out of Gallinari, Gilgeous-Alexander and Schroder. Gallinari didn't make a shot, Gilgeous-Alexander scored 4 points and while Schroder had 19, he was ejected in the 3rd quarter. Give me the Thunder +6! |
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08-30-20 | Nuggets v. Jazz -2.5 | 119-107 | Loss | -106 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
40* NUGGETS/JAZZ LATE NIGHT BAILOUT (Jazz -2.5) I came into this series liking the Nuggets, but I think it's pretty clear after watching these teams play that Utah is the better side. Two games the Jazz lost they led in the 4th quarter. Utah has shot 50% or better from the floor in each of the last 4 games. Denver has no clue what to do defensively. I also think some of the Game 5 loss was Utah a bit too relaxed coming off 3 straight wins with a 3-1 series lead. They finish the job tonight. Give me the Jazz -2.5! |
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08-30-20 | Celtics +2.5 v. Raptors | 112-94 | Win | 100 | 4 h 0 m | Show | |
40* CELTICS/RAPTORS NBA STEAMROLLER (Celtics +2.5) I was high on this Celtics team coming into the season and I'm confident they win this series with the Raptors. I got nothing but respect for Toronto, but I think this team overachieved a bit this season. Boston has the better talent. Tatum is the best player on the floor. Celtics won 3 of 4 meetings this season, including a 122-100 win in the bubble 8-game restart. Give me the Celtics +2.5! |
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08-29-20 | Thunder +5.5 v. Rockets | 80-114 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
40* THUNDER/ROCKETS NBA NO-BRAINER (Thunder +5.5) I think we are seeing a bit of an overreaction to the line given the news that Westbrook will be making his series debut for the Rockets. I get he's a special talent, but I don't know that Houston is as strong with him. Simply cause he takes away from what they want to do with the 3-ball, as he's simply not a threat from deep. I also feel like OKC has kinda figured out the Rockets defense as the series has progressed. I also think they got the scheme and talent defensively to make it hard on Houston. I'm also a big Chris Paul fan and I got a feeling he's going to play well in this one after all that's went down with the boycotts. Really think OKC has a good shot of winning this game. Give me the Thunder +5.5! |
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08-24-20 | Rockets -3 v. Thunder | Top | 114-117 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
50* ROCKETS/THUNDER NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Rockets -3) I love Houston to cover the small spread in Game 4. The Rockets were so close to have a commanding 3-0 series lead, as they had a 5-point lead with less than a minute to play. The proceeded to two turn it over twice and House missed a free throw with less than 10 seconds to play that would have given them a 1-point lead and likely the win. I just feel Houston is the better team, even with Westbrook sidelined. Dort has done a great job on Harden these last two games, but he still scored 38 in Game 3. Rockets were also just 15 of 50 (30%) from behind the 3-point line. It wasn't just great defense, Houston missed a lot of shots they normally make. I think a few more fall in Game 4 and they pull away late for the win and cover. Give me the Rockets -3! |
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08-22-20 | Pacers +5 v. Heat | 115-124 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 6 m | Show | |
40* PACERS/HEAT NBA VEGAS STEAMROLLER (Pacers +5) The Heat lead the series 2-0 over the Pacers and have covered both games. They won by 11 in Game 1 as a 6-point favorite and by 9 as a 3.5-point favorite in Game 2. I believe this has Miami a bit overvalued in a game that will likely be tough for them to match the intensity of the Pacers. This is do-or-die for Indiana. A loss here and they know there chances of winning this series are slim to none. While the Pacers have come up short in each of the first two games, they definitely got what it takes to make this a series. I'll take the points, but I really think they win this outright. Give me the Pacers +5! |
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08-21-20 | Clippers -5 v. Mavs | Top | 130-122 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show |
50* CLIPPERS/MAVERICKS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Clippers -5) For many of the sames reasons that I laid the points with both the Bucks and Lakers on Thursday, I'll lay it with the Clippers on Friday. I was confident that both Milwaukee and LA would respond in a big way after their Game 1 loss. The best teams always bounce back and I think the Lakers/Clippers/Bucks are by far the 3 best teams. Dallas has a promising future with Doncic, but I think all the hype he's getting is helping keep this line lower than it should be. Clippers are the better team and with their backs against the wall they win this one easy. Give me the Clippers -5! |
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08-21-20 | Nuggets -1.5 v. Jazz | 87-124 | Loss | -101 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
40* NUGGETS/JAZZ NBA ATS SLAUGHTER (Nuggets -1.5) My money is on the Nuggets to bounce back from an ugly loss in Game 2 to take a 2-1 series lead. Not a lot Denver could do in Game 2. Utah couldn't miss. The Jazz shot 52% from the field and 45% on 3-pointers (made 20!). I know Conley is expected back for Utah, but I'm not so sure that's a bad thing. I almost feel like Mitchell is a better when he responsible for more of the ball-handling. Give me the Nuggets -1.5! |
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08-20-20 | Blazers v. Lakers -6.5 | 88-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
40* BLAZERS/LAKERS NBA VEGAS INSIDER (Lakers -6.5) I'm going to back the Lakers in Game 2 against the Blazers. A lot of people are really starting to question this LA team and whether they can even win this series. Not me. LeBron will not let that happen. The Lakers are not going to shoot as poorly as they did in Game 1. Scoring a mere 93 points against that Blazers defense is as bad as they can do. I also think the Lakers came into Game 1 sleepwalking. Keep in mind they were in cruise control for most of that 8-game bubble restart. Portland on the other hand has been in playoff mode since the bubble started. I not only think LA wins, but I think they win easy. Give me the Lakers -6.5! |
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08-20-20 | Magic v. Bucks -12.5 | Top | 96-111 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
50* MAGIC/BUCKS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Bucks -12.5) I got no problem laying the big number with the Bucks in Game 2 against the Magic. Not covering the spread in Game 1 is one thing, losing outright was an absolute shock. I just think Milwaukee wasn't giving the Magic the respect they deserve. They won't make that same mistake in Game 2. I also think it will be hard for Orlando to match the intensity in which they played with in Game 1. I am confident the Bucks send a message in this one and win here going away. Give me Milwaukee -12.5! |
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08-19-20 | Jazz v. Nuggets -4 | Top | 124-105 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 12 m | Show |
50* JAZZ/NUGGETS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Nuggets -4) I love the value here with Denver as a small 4-point favorite in Game 2 against the Jazz. I don't care that the Nuggets were lucky to cover in Game 1, as they needed OT to pull away to cover the spread. What I saw was a Utah team that looked exhausted in OT. Not to mention they couldn't win with Mitchell going off for 57 points. Pretty good chance he won't be as good in Game 2. I just don't think Utah has the goods to keep this close. Give me the Nuggets -4! |
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08-18-20 | Blazers v. Lakers -6 | 100-93 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
40* BLAZERS/LAKERS NBA LATE NIGHT BAILOUT (Lakers -6) There's a lot of buzz with the Blazers right now, who lived up the hype and got into the playoffs as the No. 8 seed. I just wonder how much Portland has left in the tank. They are not a deep team. They won't have Collins or Little for this game. Leaving them with basically a 6-man rotation. Lakers went just 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS over their last 5 bubble games. However, a lot of that was due to them having the No. 1 seed locked up. I look for LA to flip the switch and dominate this game. Keep in mind Lakers are a great defensive team and Blazers play almost no defense. Give me the Lakers -6! |
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08-18-20 | Heat -4.5 v. Pacers | Top | 113-101 | Win | 100 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
100* HEAT/PACERS NBA TOP PLAY **GOY** (Heat -4.5) I absolutely love the Heat in this one. Miami matches up extremely well with the Pacers. T.J. Warren has been great in the bubble, but Jimmy Butler has made it a point to quiet the noise on Warren. I just don't think Indiana has the depth to hang with this Miami team without a big game from Warren. The Heat just keep coming at you with their deep bench. Give me Miami -4.5! |
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08-13-20 | Bucks v. Grizzlies -2.5 | 106-119 | Win | 100 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
40* BUCKS/GRIZZLIES NBA VEGAS INSIDER (Grizzlies -2.5) I like this price with Memphis. The game only means something to the Grizzlies. Memphis needs to win to have a shot at making the playoffs. Milwaukee on the other hand has locked in the No. 1 seed in the east. They won't have Antetokoumpo and I just don't see the other main guys getting extended minutes in the last game before the playoffs. Bucks are just going through the motions. Grizzlies might not deserve to be in with how poorly they have played in the bubble, but I think they get it done here. Give me Memphis -2.5! |
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08-13-20 | Mavs v. Suns -7.5 | Top | 102-128 | Win | 100 | 6 h 54 m | Show |
50* MAVS/SUNS NBA *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Suns -7.5) I got no problem laying the big number here with the Suns. I'm confident Phoenix will win this game and I really think they do so in a blowout. While this game means everything to the Suns, the Mavs got nothing. Dallas is locked into the No. 7 seed. You have to think they are going to sit some their stars completely and those that do play will see limited minutes. I also look at a Dallas team that hasn't been playing much defense. They certainly aren't trying on that side of the ball in this game. Give me the Suns -7.5! |
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08-12-20 | Heat v. Thunder +1.5 | Top | 115-116 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
50* THUNDER/HEAT NBA TOP PLAY (OKC +1.5) I think we are getting a steal here with the Thunder as a dog. OKC rested basically everyone of their key players but Chris Paul in their 128-101 loss to the Suns on Monday. Two guys that sat out, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Danilo Gallinari are both expected back. Could also see Nerlens Noel and Steven Adams return. Either way, I like the depth of this Thunder team and while it might not seem like there's much at stake for either team, I think OKC wants to stay at No. 5 and face off with No. 4 Houston in the first round. You know Chris Paul definitely wants that matchup. Thing is they are just 0.5-game up on No. 6 Utah. As for Miami, they are basically wrapped into the No. 4 or No. 5 seed (no difference in the seeds). Give me the Thunder +1.5! |
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08-11-20 | Blazers -2.5 v. Mavs | Top | 134-131 | Win | 100 | 6 h 45 m | Show |
50* MAVS/BLAZERS NBA BEST BET (Blazers -2.5) I had a pretty good feeling the Mavs were going to cover against Utah last night (tweeted out a free lean on Dallas +6.5). I just didn't see any real incentive for Utah in that game. Even with some of the star guys that sat out yesterday's game expected to suit up, there's still nothing for Dallas to play for. Different story for Portland. Blazers have looked really good in the bubble. They are 4-2 with their two losses coming to the Celtics and Clippers (competitive in both defeats). They would be in the play-in game if the season ended, but because of the Suns crazy start, they really need this game to ensure they make it. I just don't see the Blazers not delivering in this spot. Give me Portland -2.5! |
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08-10-20 | Thunder +5 v. Suns | 101-128 | Loss | -103 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
40* SUNS/THUNDER EARLY NBA WINNING TICKET (Thunder +5) I like the value here with OKC catching a decent number against the Suns. I'm aware some injury news came out after this pick was published and the line jumped. I still recommend it and bet it again myself at +8. I just think we are seeing a huge overreaction with the Suns, who are now the talk of the NBA after their perfect 5-0 SU and ATS start to the bubble. No question that Phoenix is playing great. I've been on them a decent amount during their start. I just think they might be overlooking a well coached Thunder team that showed us in their last game they can adapt by knocking down 18 3-pointers. Got 47 points from their bench in that game. Give me the Thunder +5! |
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08-09-20 | 76ers v. Blazers -2 | 121-124 | Win | 100 | 20 h 48 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Blazers -2) I'll gladly back Portland as a slim 2-point favorite against the 76ers. I think we are getting some real solid value here with the Blazers because they will be playing the 2nd game of a back-to-back. While some teams who are already in the playoffs might consider resting guys in a back-to-back, Portland needs every win they can get. Philadelphia comes in having won 3 straight, but one was a mere 2-point win against the Spurs and the other two were against the Wizards and Magic. They are also fresh off a fluky 108-101 win and cover as a 4.5-point favorite against Orlando. This game really doesn't mean much to the 76ers, plus I think they could be a bit down here after the recent news that Ben Simmons is done for the season. Give me the Blazers -2! |
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08-08-20 | Bucks v. Mavs +5.5 | 132-136 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
40* NBA SHARP MONEY VEGAS INSIDER (Mavs +5.5) I like this spot and price with Dallas. The Mavericks have lost 3 of 4 and failed to cover all 4 of their games in the bubble. While they are all but locked into the No. 7 seed, I think there's got to be some motivation here to get some momentum going before the playoffs start. As for the Bucks, they got absolutely nothing to play for right now. After rallying from over 20 down to beat the Heat in their last game, Milwaukee officially clinched the No. 1 seed in the east. Considering the Bucks limited minutes on several of their key players the game before against Brooklyn, you have to believe they will be looking to do the same here. I could easily see them limiting guys minutes in this game, playing everyone in their next game against the Raptors and then resting everyone the final two against Washington and Memphis. Give me the Mavs +5.5! |
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08-07-20 | Wizards v. Pelicans -7.5 | 107-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show | |
40* NBA SHARP MONEY STEAMROLLER (Pelicans -7.5) I'm going to give the Pelicans one more shot here to deliver a winner against the spread. New Orleans got routed 140-125 yesterday as a 4.5-point favorite against the Kings. A game you didn't expect them to lose. I think some will be scared to lay a bigger number on them today, especially given they are on no rest. I just think it's worth a shot. Pelicans absolutely have to have this game and the Wizards are an absolute mess. Their offense has been awful in the bubble. Nothing speaks more to their offensive struggles than them scoring just 98 against that 76ers defense in their last game. I think part of the Pelicans problem in the loss the Kings is they shot 57% from the field. It was coming so easy offensively that they forgot to play defense. They were also sloppy with the ball (17 turnovers). I think they lock it in on both sides in what I believe is a must-win. Give me the Pelicans -7.5! |
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08-06-20 | Pacers v. Suns +2.5 | Top | 99-114 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Suns +2.5) Both of these teams have impressed early on the bubble. Both are sitting 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS. I personally have been more impressed with Phoenix and would actually have them favored. I just think because Indiana had the better resume coming into the bubble, they are a bit overvalued in this matchup. Another thing to note about the Pacers and their 3-0 start, two of those wins were against the Wizards and Magic. The other was against a 76ers team that hasn't really looked good (Philly is playing no defense). Suns on the other hand have two really good wins against the Mavs and Clippers. Game also means a lot more to the Suns. While the media isn't talking about them to make the playoffs, there's no doubt this team feels like they can make it after their hot start. Indiana is in the playoffs and are basically going to be somewhere between the No. 4 to No. 5 seed in the east. With the Lakers on deck Saturday, could also see them looking ahead a little. Give me the Suns +2.5! |
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08-06-20 | Pelicans -4.5 v. Kings | 125-140 | Loss | -109 | 4 h 2 m | Show | |
40* NBA EARLY BIRD VEGAS INSIDER (Pelicans -4.5) I just feel like this is a great price to take a shot on the Pelicans. New Orleans finally has some momentum to build on. After dropping their first two games they got their first win with a huge 109-99 victory over Memphis on Monday. They now got a legit shot at making the playoffs. Not only is their momentum from winning that game, but also because the minute restriction on their best player, Zion Williamson, was bumped up to 25. There's a chance we could see that go up, but 25 is plenty for the Pelicans to create the separation needed against the Kings. I also don't like this spot for Sacramento, who are coming off a crushing OT loss to the Mavs. Give me the Pelicans -4.5! |
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08-05-20 | Thunder +6 v. Lakers | 105-86 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS SLAUGHTER (Thunder +6) This is just too good a price to pass up with the Thunder. Coming in off an ugly 113-121 loss to the Nuggets where they shot just 42.5%, I'm confident we get a big effort here from OKC against the Lakers. I don't know that Los Angeles will be able to match that intensity. With the Lakers 116-108 win against the Jazz on Sunday they officially clinched the No. 1 seed in the Western Conference. These last 5 games are absolutely meaningless. Keeping guys healthy and fresh is without a doubt their top priority now. Wouldn't be shocked at all if OKC won this game outright. Give me the Thunder +6! |
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08-04-20 | Magic v. Pacers +1.5 | 109-120 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS ODDSMAKERS ERROR (Pacers +1.5) I don't know if it's because Indiana is playing on no rest after a game yesterday against the Wizards, but no way I'm passing up on the Pacers as a dog to the Magic. Indiana has won and covered each of their first two games, most impressive being their 6-point win as 5.5-point dog against the 76ers. While they squeak in a cover as a 8.5-point favorite in a 11-point win against Washington, they were up 22 going into the 4th quarter. Keep in mind Victor Oladipo didn't play against the Wizards. There's a chance he doesn't go here, but I think that was more of them not wanting to play him on back-to-backs just yet. As for the Magic, they are also 2-0 SU and ATS, but their two wins have come against two of the worst teams in the bubble in the Nets and Kings. I just feel like it has them a bit overvalued, as this is still a team that owns a 32-35 record overall. Give me the Pacers +1.5! |
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08-04-20 | Mavs -5.5 v. Kings | Top | 114-110 | Loss | -107 | 4 h 13 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Mavs -5.5) I love this spot and price on the Mavs. Dallas should have no problem winning this game by more than the number. Mavs come in at 0-2 and failed to cover both games. However, they could have easily won and covered both. They had a 7-point as a dog with 45 seconds to play and ended up losing by 4 in OT against the Rockets. They then lost a 13-point halftime lead against the Suns as a 5-point favorite. Losing is tough to swallow and it's only magnified when the losses come in games you feel like you should have won. I still really like the talent and makeup of this team. Same can't be said for the Kings. Sacramento lost 120-129 to the Spurs in their first game and then lost 116-132 to Orlando. Kings are simply playing no defense in the bubble and I just don't think their offense will be able to keep up with a motivated Dallas team. Give me the Mavs -5.5! |
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08-03-20 | Grizzlies +5 v. Pelicans | 99-109 | Loss | -112 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
40* NBA SHARP MONEY VEGAS INSIDER (Grizzlies +5) I'm shocked we are getting the Grizzlies at this price. I just don't see how the Pelicans can be laying this many points with Zion Williamson on a minutes restriction. Williamson played just 15 minutes in their opener against the Jazz and only 14 in their second game against the Clippers. Both losses. I just don't buy that he's not capable of going more. He clearly is frustrated when he has to come out. I think protecting him and not giving the team their best chance to win, not only hurts them on the court, but I think it sucks the life out of the entire team. I trust Memphis a lot more right now and I think the Grizzlies win this one outright. Give me Memphis +5! |
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08-03-20 | Nuggets v. Thunder -4.5 | 121-113 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
40* NBA BOOKIE ATS SLAUGHTER (Thunder -4.5) I will gladly lay the points in with Oklahoma City in this one. Denver might have come into the bubble with third best record in the Western Conference, but this is not the same Nuggets team right now. Denver will once again be without two of their top guards in Will Barton and Gary Harris. They could also be missing second leading scorer Jamal Murray (questionable). Nuggets was annihilated 125-105 by the Heat in their first game, which I think speaks to where they are right now. Thunder made easy work of the Jazz 110-94 in their first game. I think OKC is on of the more underrated teams in this bubble and there's just something I like about a fresh Chris Paul in meaningful games. Plenty at stake for the Thunder. They are No. 6 in the west, but just 3 games up on No. 7 Dallas. They are also just 1.5-games back of the Denver at No. 3. Give me Oklahoma City -4.5! |
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08-03-20 | Pacers v. Wizards +8 | 111-100 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 37 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS BLOODBATH (Wizards +8) Big time value here with the Wizards at +8. I get Washington is easily the worst team at the bubble, but that perception is what is creating the value. A 118-110 loss to the Nets doesn't look good, but the Wizards put up a good fight (game was tied late). As for the Pacers, they are coming off a solid 127-121 win over the 76ers. That win may have came at a price. Victor Oladipo played 36 minutes and now is doubtful to play in this game because of the same knee that kept him out before. I just think that's a big blow to this team both on the court and mentally. I also question if the Pacers are really all that motivated to win in this short 8-game schedule. Indiana is currently No. 5 in the standings and no danger of falling any lower than No. 6. They are two games back of No. 4 Miami and really don't have much of a shot of getting to No. 3. Getting the No. 4 would mean you potentially get the Bucks in the 2nd round, instead of the conference finals. Give me the Wizards +8! |
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08-03-20 | Raptors v. Heat +3 | Top | 107-103 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 36 m | Show |
50* NBA EARLY BIRD (HEAT/RAPTORS) PLAY OF THE MONTH (Heat +3) I will gladly take the 3-points with the Heat. While I think the Raptors are better than people think, I do think they are a bit overvalued off that 15-point win against the Lakers. That was a huge letdown spot for LA off that big win against the Clippers and pretty meaningless given the Lakers got the No. 1 seed in the west on lockdown. It's also worth pointing out that there were some reasons to be concerned with Toronto. Raptors were very fortunate the Lakers weren't on, as LA went just 10 of 40 (25%) from behind the 3-point line. Another thing is how the Lakers benched owned the Raptors. Miami was dominant in a 125-105 win against the Nuggets in their first game are one of the deepest teams in the bubble. Heat have a little more to play for, as they desperately want to get out of the No. 4 spot. Raptors are sitting pretty comfortable in 2nd, 3 games up on Boston (remember No. 2 and No. 3 aren't much different given no homecourt). Give me the Heat +3! |
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08-02-20 | Spurs v. Grizzlies -4 | 108-106 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Grizzlies -4) The Grizzlies lost an overtime heartbreaker to the Blazers in their first game of the 2020 NBA restart, while the Spurs pulled off an upset win as a 3.5-point dog against the Kings. I think those outcomes have generated some decent value here with Memphis. I'm just not a big believer in this Spurs team, who are without LaMarcus Aldridge during this restart. They also won't have guards Bryn Forbes or Marco Belinelli for this contest, plus Patty Mills questionable. I just think the Grizzlies are the far superior team and will have no problem cashing in a win and cover on Sunday. Give me Memphis -4! |
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08-01-20 | Lakers v. Raptors +3.5 | Top | 92-107 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
50* NBA LAKERS/RAPTORS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Raptors +3.5) I absolutely love the value here with Toronto getting 3.5-points in Saturday's game against the Lakers. I really like the Raptors to win this game outright. Lakers are primed for a big letdown here after laying it all on the line against the Clippers on Thursday. With that win LA all but locked up the No. 1 seed in the West, as they have a 6.5 game lead with 7 to play. While the Raptors are sitting comfortably in the No. 2 spot, I think they will be way up for this game, as it's a real measuring stick type of game for them. Lakers have not been nearly as good against East teams as they have against teams from the West and it continues here. Give me the Raptors +3.5! |
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07-31-20 | Kings -3.5 v. Spurs | 120-129 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER BOOKIE ATS SLAUGHTER (Kings -3.5) I really like the value here with Sacramento. This is as healthy as the Kings have been basically this season and while they got a lot of work to do to get into the playoffs, they got a fighters chance. The same can't be said for the Spurs, who won't have one of their best players in LaMarcus Aldridge. They also are down Bryn Forbes and Jakob Poeltl. I just feel like Sacramento is the much better team and we basically just need them to win the game to cash this ticket. Give me the Kings -3.5! |
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07-30-20 | Jazz v. Pelicans -2.5 | 106-104 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
40* NBA THURSDAY NIGHT TNT NO-BRAINER (Pelicans -2.5) I really like the value here with the Pelicans as a small favorite in Thursday's game against the Jazz. There is some concern here with whether or not Zion will play (game-time decision), but the line definitely suggests the books believe he will play and he was cleared for practice earlier this week. Even if he doesn't play, I still feel like New Orleans should have the upper hand. One thing with Utah that I think people are overlooking is the absence of Bojan Bogdanovic. He was second on the team in scoring at 20.2 ppg and there biggest 3-point threat (averaged 7.3 3-point attempts/game and hit 41.4%). Give me the Pelicans -2.5! |
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03-11-20 | Knicks v. Hawks -4.5 | 136-131 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Hawks -4.5) I'll take my chances here with the Hawks as a slim 4.5-point home favorite against the Knicks. Easy fade of New York for me, as the Knicks will be playing on no rest after a game last night at Washington, which they lost in a shootout 115-122. NY has gone 0-4-1 ATS last 5 and 2-6 ATS this season on no rest. THey are also just 2-6 ATS last 8 as a road dog. Hawks are 8-3 ATS last 13 games at home and 4-1-2 ATS last 7 as a home favorite. Give me Atlanta -4.5! |
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03-10-20 | Suns v. Blazers -4 | 105-121 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show | |
40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Blazers -4) I'll take my chances here with Portland winning by 5 or more at home against the Suns. Big time revenge spot for the Blazers, who just lost at Phoenix last Friday 117-127 as a 3.5-point road favorite. Portland not only is basically laying the same number at home, but they will be on a full 2 days of rest here. Suns hitting the road for the first time in almost two weeks, as they just finished up a 6-game homestand. Give me the Blazers -4! |
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03-10-20 | Magic v. Grizzlies -2 | Top | 120-115 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Grizzlies -2) I'll gladly take my chances here with Memphis as a slim 2-point home favorite against the Magic. This is just too good a price to pass up with the Grizzlies at home. Memphis comes in having won 4 of their last 5 and during this stretch have held their opponents to a mere 95.4 ppg on 37.5% shooting. Orlando is simply getting a lot of love here because of the fact that they have covered 3 straight and 7 of 8 overall. Thing is the Magic have really taken advantage of a soft schedule. Not an easy spot here either for Orlando, playing their 4th road game in 6 days. Give me the Grizzlies -2! |
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03-07-20 | 76ers v. Warriors +2.5 | Top | 114-118 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Warriors +2.5) I'll take my chances here with Golden State as a home dog against a 76ers team that is playing their 4th and final game of a 4-game west coast trip without their two best players in Embiid and Simmons. Especially with the Warriors having back Steph Curry. Not only is Curry an elite talent, but I think him coming back from injury when he could have easily sat out the rest of the season has ignited this team. They shot just 41% and only lost by 8 to the Raptors in Curry's first game. I think they win here outright in a blowout. Give me Golden State +2.5! |
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03-06-20 | Bucks v. Lakers +1 | Top | 103-113 | Win | 100 | 14 h 51 m | Show |
50* NBA PRIME TIME (ESPN) PLAY OF THE MONTH (Lakers +1) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Lakers as a home dog against the Bucks. This is a no-brainer if you ask me. These two teams played back on Dec. 19th. Milwaukee really embarrassed LA in that game. The Bucks won by just 7, but were up 19 at the half. Lakers will be out to send a message here and no way should they be getting points. Give me Los Angeles +1! |
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03-06-20 | Blazers -2.5 v. Suns | 117-127 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 17 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS KNOCKOUT (Blazers -2.5) I'll take my chances here with Portland as a small road favorite against the Suns. I just think this is too good a price to pass up with Portland now that Lillard is back in the mix. Blazers have won their last two and just rolled the Wizards in Lillard's first game back. Suns have lost 4 straight and the books just can't seem to price this team right. Phoenix is a mere 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games. Give me the Blazers -2.5! |
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03-06-20 | Grizzlies +8 v. Mavs | 96-121 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
40* NBA ODDSMAKERS ATS LINE MISTAKE (Grizzlies +8) I'll take my chances here with Memphis as a 8-point road dog against the Mavs. For starters, Dallas could be without Doncic (questionable with illness). Tim Hardaway, J.J. Barea and Dorian Finney-Smith are all questionable. Even if they all play I would like the Grizzlies at this price. Memphis has won and covered 3 straight and are playing ridiculous defense during this stretch, holding the Lakers to 88, Hawks to 88 and the Nets to 79. Give me Memphis +8! |
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03-06-20 | Heat v. Pelicans -1.5 | Top | 104-110 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Pelicans -1.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Pelicans at basically a pick'em at home. New Orleans has lost their last 3 and are now 5 back of the Grizzlies for the final playoff spot in the West. I see them showing up in a big way in this game. Miami is a good team, but are not nearly as good on the road as they are at home. I think the Heat riding a 4-game winning streak (all at home) are getting too much love here. Give me the Pelicans -1.5! |
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03-06-20 | Thunder v. Knicks +7 | 126-103 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Knicks +7) I'll take my chances here with the Knicks as a 7-point home dog against the Thunder. There's a lot of negative talk right now with New York, mainly around owner James Dolan. I think it has the Knicks undervalued right now. The Knicks have covered 3 straight, which includes a win at home against the Rockets as a 10-point dog. They have shot 48% or better from the field in 5 straight. Thunder have failed to cover 5 straight and have a big game at Boston on deck Sunday. Give me the Knicks +7! |
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03-05-20 | 76ers v. Kings -5 | Top | 125-108 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 35 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Kings -5) I'll take my chances here with Sacramento winning by 6 or more at home against the struggling and depleted 76ers. Philadelphia is still without their two best players in Embiid and Simmons and this is not a deep team that's built to sustain injuries of that kind of magnitude. I just don't see them playing well in this one. Kings have been red-hot since the All-Star break, going 6-1 SU and 6-1 ATS. Give me Sacramento -5! |
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03-04-20 | Grizzlies +1.5 v. Nets | Top | 118-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Grizzlies +1.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Memphis as a 1.5-point road dog against the Nets. I just think this is a great spot to fade Brooklyn. The Nets scored 51 points and rallied from 17 down in the 4th quarter to force overtime at Boston last night and wound up winning 129-120. That's not just a tough game to bounce back from physically, but emotionally as well. Memphis is also coming in off two straight dominating performances on the defensive end, beating the Lakers 105-88 at home and the Hawks 127-88 on the road. Give me the Grizzlies +1.5! |
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03-04-20 | Pacers +11 v. Bucks | 100-119 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
40* NBA UNDERDOG ATS KNOCKOUT (Pacers +11) I'll take my chances here with Indiana as a double-digit dog against division rival Milwaukee. The Bucks come in off a 89-105 loss at Miami and were lucky to win the night before, barely escaping with a 93-85 win at Charlotte. That was Milwaukee's 5th road game in 7 games since the break and while they are back home for this one, this will be their 3rd game in 4 nights. Pacers come in having won 4 straight and will bring a surging defense against a slumping Bucks offense. Give me Indiana +11! |
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03-04-20 | Celtics v. Cavs +2.5 | 112-106 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS NO-BRAINER (Cavs +2.5) I'll take my chances here with Cleveland as a small home dog against the Celtics. This to me looks and feels like a game Boston wants nothing to do with. For starters, they are expected to be without basically all their good players. Walker, Hayward, Brown and Tatum are either out or listed as doubtful and Smart could be suspended. On top of that you got Boston off an ugly loss at home to Brooklyn last night in OT. Celtics gave up 51 points in the 4th quarter. I just don't see them showing up for this game. If this was any other team than the Cavs there would be a much bigger reaction with the line. Give me Cleveland +2.5! |
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03-03-20 | Nets +8.5 v. Celtics | 129-120 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
40* NBA BIG MONEY ATS KNOCKOUT (Nets +8.5) I'll take my chances here with Brooklyn as a 8.5-point road dog against the Celtics. Boston is playing great right now, but did just lose at home to the Rockets and could find it tough to play well here. Celtics figure to have Kemba Walker back, but both Marcus Smart and Jason Tatum are questionable. If Tatum doesn't play, you have to give Brooklyn a shot at winning outright. Either way I think they keep it close. Give me the Nets +8.5! |
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03-02-20 | Jazz v. Cavs +8.5 | 126-113 | Loss | -101 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Cavs +8.5) I'll take my chances here with Cleveland covering as 8.5-point home dogs. I just think this is a big number for Utah to be laying on the road against a much improved Cavs team, at least for the time being, under interim head coach J.B. Bickerstaff. I know Thompson and Garland are both out, but they still got some guys who are playing well. I also think those injuries could work in our favor, as it will make it that much harder for Utah to get up for this game. Give me the Cavs +8.5! |
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03-01-20 | Pistons v. Kings -7.5 | 100-106 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
40* NBA BIG MONEY ATS SLAUGHTER (Kings -7.5) I'll take my chances here with the Kings cashing in a cover as a 7.5-point home favorite against the Pistons. Sacramento is clearly motivated to make the playoffs, as they have gone 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS since returning from the All-Star break. I really feel that if the Kings show up to play, they win by double-digits easy. Detroit is a mess right now. They got next to no talent on that roster, as they are clearly in rebuild mode. They just won at Phoenix as a 9-point dog and that was 100% the Suns not playing with a sense of urgency until it was too late. What will get overlooked in the Pistons 113-111 win is the fact that they let Phoenix shoot 60% from the field. That's after allowing the Nuggets to connect on 58% in their previous game. Lot more likely for Detroit to stumble than build off a win, especially in their 4th and final game of a 4-game road trip. Give me the Kings -7.5! |
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02-29-20 | Blazers v. Hawks -1.5 | 117-129 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS ATS LINE MISTAKE (Hawks -1.5) I'll take my chances here with Atlanta as a slim 1.5-point home favorite against the Blazers. Portland had failed to cover 5 straight prior to a very fortunate cover at Indiana on Thursday. I just don't trust this Blazers team in the slightest without Lillard, especially on the road. I get the Hawks are on no rest, but they coasted to a 141-118 win last night at home against the Nets. Limited stressful minutes and no travel should make this a favorable spot for Atlanta to continue their strong play since the break. Give me the Hawks -1.5! |
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02-28-20 | Cavs +12.5 v. Pelicans | 104-116 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS SLAUGHTER (Cavs +12.5) I'll take my chances here with Cleveland as a big road dog against the Pelicans. Cavs have won 4 of their last 5, yet are still a team no one wants anything to do with. There definitely won't be many public players looking to back Cleveland against Zion and the Pelicans. I just think the Cavs are way undervalued right now. They have played with a different sense of urgency since they fired Beilein and promoted Bickerstaff. Tough spot for New Orleans who just finished up a 3-game road trip against LeBron and the Lakers on Tuesday and will be hosting the Lakers in a big rematch on Sunday. Give me the Cavs +12.5! |
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02-28-20 | Mavs v. Heat -2.5 | Top | 118-126 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Heat -2.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Miami bouncing from a rare home loss with a win and cover at home against the Mavs. Heat let one get away against the Timberwolves last time out, blowing a double-digit lead in the final 4 minutes. They were visibly and vocally upset with that loss. I think we are going to get their very best tonight. As good as Doncic and the Mavs are, this is too good a price on Miami with them being 23-4 SU on their home floor. They are also 15-6 ATS this season off a loss. Mavs had had to travel quite a bit since the break and could be running out of gas for this one. Give me the Heat -2.5! |
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02-28-20 | Wolves +7.5 v. Magic | 125-136 | Loss | -103 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Wolves +7.5) I'll take my chances here with Minnesota covering as a 7.5-point road dog against the Magic. I've liked what I've seen out of this Timberwolves team. They got a bunch of guys in trades that other teams didn't want and they are playing with a chip on their shoulder. They just won on the road at Miami playing their 3rd road game in 4 nights. Even with Towns out they got a lot of depth right now. Magic have won 4 of 5 and just took care of Atlanta and Brooklyn on the road, but prior to that did fallby 16 at home to the Mavs. Tough spot for Orlando having just got home on Thursday and having to pack up and leave right after this game for a matchup with the Spurs in San Antonio tomorrow. I wouldn't be shocked if the T-Wolves won this outright. Give me Minnesota +7.5! |
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02-27-20 | Blazers v. Pacers -9.5 | 100-106 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Pacers -9.5) I'll take my chances here with Indiana winning by double-digits at home against the Blazers. I'm actually shocked the public is on Portland. Blazers have looked as expected without Damian Lillard, who was playing at a MVP level before he got hurt. Portland has failed to cover 5 straight. Their only win was against the Pistons and 3 of the 4 losses were by double-digits. Pacers are fresh off a 119-80 win at home over the Hornets. Indiana should be a motivated team right now. They are 3-1 after a 6-game losing streak. Give me the Pacers -9.5! |
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02-26-20 | Nets -2 v. Wizards | 106-110 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 36 m | Show | |
40* NBA BIG MONEY ATS NO-BRAINER (Nets -2) I'll take my chances here with Brooklyn as a slim 2-point road favorite at Washington. I played and lost with the Nets at home against Orlando in their last game, but that's not going to deter me from taking them here. I really like this Brooklyn team, that is as long as Kyrie is out. They have been better without him and show value because he's out. Washington has lost 3 straight out of the break and are off a crushing 3-point loss at home to the Bucks in the 2nd of a back-to-back. I think they struggle to show up here. Give me Brooklyn -2! |
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02-26-20 | 76ers v. Cavs +8 | Top | 94-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Cavs +8) I'll gladly take my chances here with Cleveland as a 8-point home dog against the 76ers. Philadelphia is coming off a fortunate win and cover as a 8.5-point home favorite against the Hawks, outscoring Atlanta 38-20 in the 4th quarter of a 17-point win. Key thing to note is that was at home. Things don't go so well for the 76ers on the road and they are still missing one of their best players in Ben Simmons. Cavs have won 3-4 and I think are a team worth taking a shot on right now. They are definitely playing harder since the coaching change and while he hasn't played great, Drummond is a big addition for this team. I wouldn't be shocked at all if Cleveland won outright. GIve me the Cavs +8! |
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02-25-20 | Celtics -6.5 v. Blazers | 118-106 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS DESTROYER (Celtics -6.5) I'll take my chances here with Boston cashing in as a 6.5-point road favorite. As long as the Blazers are without Lillard they are worth fading, at least until the books catch up. Portland has failed to cover 4 straight and I think their most recent game says it all. Blazers only beat the Pistons at home by 3 points and did so with McCollum going off for 41 and Anthony scoring 32. How much more can you really expect from those two and it doesn't get much worse than the Pistons right now. Give me the Celtics -6.5! |
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02-24-20 | Magic v. Nets -3 | Top | 115-113 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Nets -3) I'll gladly take my chances here with Brooklyn laying a short number at home against the Magic. Orlando is 9-18 on the road this season and the Nets are 16-12 at home. I have to lay the 3 here with Brooklyn. I just think this team is way undervalued right now because of the recent news that Irving has been lost for the season. Nets have played better without him and it's really not a surprise. Irving is an incredible talent, but an awful teammate. Brooklyn is 7-3 SU and 8-1-1 ATS over their last 10 games. Give me the Nets -3! |
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02-24-20 | Heat v. Cavs +6.5 | 119-125 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS SLAUGHTER (Cavs +6.5) I'll take my chances here with Cleveland as a 6.5-point home dog against the Heat. These two teams just played in Miami on Saturday. The Heat won that game 124-105. They couldn't have played much harder than they did in the 1st half, as they were determined to get a big lead to make sure they could enjoy the halftime celebration for Dwyane Wade. They did just that, setting a new franchise record with 82 points in the 1st half (shot 77%). They only won the game by 19 after that. Cleveland is a team that I'm willing to take a shot on right now, as I think they are playing harder after the coaching change and they did just add in a really good player in Drummond. They didn't have Love in that last game and he's back. Miami will still be without their best player in Jimmy B and the Heat are not the same team on the road. Give me the Cavs +6.5! |
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02-23-20 | Pacers +6 v. Raptors | 81-127 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Pacers +6) I'll take my chances here with Indiana covering as a 6-point road dog against the Raptors. I know the Raptors are likely without Oladipo, but they haven't really played well since he's been back, as he's just not producing. I think they could actually play better without him in this one. They definitely will be up for this game, as they have lost twice to this Raptors team this month. First it was a road game where they led the whole way and then blew it late. A couple days later they lost a close game at home. I think Indiana will be the more motivated side here and might actually win this thing outright. Give me the Pacers +6! |
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02-22-20 | Mavs v. Hawks +6.5 | 107-111 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS ATS LINE MISTAKE (Hawks +6.5) I'll take my chances here with Atlanta as a 6.5-point home dog against the Mavs. Hawks are a team to look out for. They are definitely motivated to make the playoffs with the moves they made at the break. They lived up to the hype in the first game back from the break, beating Miami 129-124 as 6-point home dog. That was on Thursday. Dallas is off a 16-point win at Orlando, but that was last night. Look for the Mavs to struggle to turn this into a blowout playing on no rest and I wouldn't be shocked if they lost outright. Give me Atlanta +6.5! |
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02-21-20 | Suns +8 v. Raptors | 101-118 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS MASSACRE (Suns +8) I'll take my chances here with Phoenix as a 8-point road dog against the Raptors. Toronto went on a crazy 15-1 run before the All-Star break, but the lone loss did come in the final game before the break, as they lost 91-101 at Brooklyn. I don't know that the All-Star break did them good. I know they got some guys hurt, but when things are going as well as they were, you don't want to take a big break and throw off that chemistry. I think Phoenix will be motivated to play well here against a top team in the first game back from the break and the Suns are as healthy as they have been in a while with both Saric and Baynes expected to return from injury. Give me Phoenix +8! |
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02-20-20 | Nets +8.5 v. 76ers | Top | 104-112 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Nets +8.5) I'll take my chances here with Brooklyn as a 8.5-point road dog at Philadelphia. I think the Nets are showing value and will continue to as long as Kyrie Irving is out. I just don't think Irving is a good team player and rubs people the wrong way. The Nets have been a much much better team without him on the floor than with him. I don't think the public sees it that way. I feel 8.5 is way too much here. I know the 76ers are really good at home, but how motivated are they to return from the All-Star break? I just think we see them come out a little flat and it wouldn't shock me at all if the Nets won this game outright. Give me Brooklyn +8.5! |
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02-13-20 | Thunder v. Pelicans -2 | 123-118 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS KNOCKOUT (Pelicans -2) I'll take my chances here with the Pelicans as a slim 2-point home favorite against the Thunder. No way I'm passing up a play on New Orleans at this price. I think people realize that Zion is good, I just don't think they realize how good. This is a dangerous Pelicans team with him healthy. They come in having won 3 straight and are going to be extremely motivated to keep that momentum into the All-Star break. As for the Thunder, they have lost their last two, losing outright as an 8-point home favorite last time out. I just don't think they will be able to match the intensity of the Pelicans in this one. Give me New Orleans -2! |
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02-12-20 | Heat v. Jazz -4.5 | Top | 101-116 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Jazz -4.5) I'll take my chances here with Utah as a slim 4.5-point home favorite against the Heat. Utah has now won 3 straight since losing 5 in a row and I fully expect them to come out highly motivated here at home to make sure they go into the All-Star break on a positive note. As for Miami, this is really a tough spot for the Heat. Miami will be faced with playing their 3rd road game in 4 days and their 5th straight on the road overall. They got some new pieces, but it's a work in progress to get them up to speed and I just think we aren't going to see this team take a step forward until after they have some time to build some chemistry. Utah is not the place to figure things out. Give me the Jazz -4.5! |
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02-12-20 | Bucks v. Pacers +1.5 | 111-118 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS BLOODBATH (Pacers +1.5) I'll take my chances here with Indiana as a 1.5-point home dog. Pacers have burned me recently, but I can't help myself but take a shot on them in this game. Indiana is at home, desperate for a win off 6 straight losses and will be facing the Bucks without Antetokounmpo. Milwaukee also not expected to have Korver or Hill, two big pieces to their rotation. This is Indian's last chance to get something positive going into the All-Star break and I could definitely see the Bucks not playing their best in this one. They have been so good for such a long stretch that they could find themselves looking ahead to some time off. Give me the Pacers +1.5 |
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02-11-20 | Blazers v. Pelicans -2.5 | Top | 117-138 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Pelicans -2.5) I'll take my chances here with the Pelicans as a slim 2.5-point home favorite against the Blazers. No way I'm passing up a play on New Orleans at home at this price, especially with Zion Williamson and Brandon Ingram both expected back after missing their last game. There's clearly a lot of hype around New Orleans with Zion now in the mix, but I don't think people truly understand just how good he is and it's why they are still showing such great value. Portland has been playing great, but this is a tough spot for the Blazers, who have been all over the place here of late. They were at LA to close out January, then returned home for a game against Utah before leaving to play at Denver. They then returned home for one game against the Spurs, flew to Utah and then back home for a game against Miami. Now they are in New Orleans in the first of a back-to-back before the All-Star break. Give me the Pelicans -2.5! |
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02-11-20 | Clippers v. 76ers +2 | 103-110 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS BLOODBATH (76ers +2) I'll take my chances here with the 76ers as a home dog against the Clippers. I just can't help myself here. Philadelphia is 24-2 on their home floor, as healthy as they have been in a while and are getting points against a Clippers team that is missing a huge piece to their team in Beverly and playing their 3rd road game in 4 days with a big game at Boston on deck. There's been plenty of talk of how the 76ers aren't what we thought they would be and I think they show up in a big way against a team a lot of people think will win it all. Give me Philadelphia +2! |
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02-10-20 | Wolves +9.5 v. Raptors | 126-137 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS SLAUGHTER (Wolves +9.5) I'll take my chances here with the Minnesota as a 9.5-point dog at Toronto. The Timberwolves made a ton of big moves at the trade deadline and in their first game with some of their new pieces they snapped a 13-game losing streak with a 142-115 win at home against the Clippers. I think the new faces have really given life to this team and I see no reason not to expect a big effort here. As for the Raptors, they nearly let a big lead slip away in a 119-118 win at home over the Nets and I just think they are worth fading in these last two before the break. Toronto has dealt with so many injuries. They won't have Gasol or Powell and Lowry is questionable. I like the Wolves to hang around and worst case keep it close. Give me Minnesota +9.5! |
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02-10-20 | Hawks v. Magic -6 | 126-135 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS MONEYMAKER (Magic -6) I'll take my chances here with the Magic as a 6-point home favorite against the Hawks. I had my eye on this game as soon as I saw Atlanta go to double-overtime yesterday against the Knicks. Hawks are not a deep team, plus are down a few guys because of the trades they made. They had 4 different players play 48 minutes or more against the Knicks. I don't see any way the Hawks have anything left in the tank to go into Orlando and make a game of this. We are talking about a team that is losing by more than 13 ppg on the road and while the Magic aren't a great team, they tend to play pretty well at home and have had their way of late with bad teams. Give me the Magic -6! |
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02-09-20 | Heat v. Blazers -3 | 109-115 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS NO-BRAINER (Blazers -3) I'll take my chances here with Portland covering the 3-point spread at home against the Heat. While the Blazers are off a tough loss at Utah on Friday, you have to be impressed with how well they played at Utah in the 2nd leg of a back-to-back. Lillard continued his ridiculous run with a 42-point effort and as long as he's playing like he is, this team is going to keep winning games. As for the Heat, they really struggle on the road. They just lost at Sacramento on Friday and will be without their best player in Jimmy Butler. Crowder and Iguodala are expected to play, but new faces often lead to lapses on defense and I just don't think Miami can win a shootout in this one. Give me Portland -3! |
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02-09-20 | Celtics v. Thunder -1 | 112-111 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS KNOCKOUT (Thunder -1) I'll take my chances here with OKC as a mere 1-point home favorite against the Celtics. I just feel that Boston is getting a little too much love on the road in this one due to the fact that they have covered 8 of their last 10. Key here is the Celtics have to be running on fumes right now, playing their 4th game in 7 days. That's an even bigger factor given they are facing a rested Thunder team that have been home since last Saturday and are off a couple of easy wins at home against the Cavs and Pistons. OKC is also 17-10 SU at home this season. Give me the Thunder -1! |
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02-08-20 | Spurs -2.5 v. Kings | 102-122 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 15 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS KNOCKOUT (Spurs -2.5) I'll take my chances here with San Antonio as a small 2.5-point road favorite against the Kings. I just feel like this is a great price to back the Spurs, who we know are going to be extremely motivated after losing their first 3 games of their big rodeo road trip. They couldn't be catching the Kings in a better spot, as Sacramento had to play last night against Miami in and while they got a win, they also took advantage of a Heat team that was minus Jimmy Butler. Spurs are 11-4-1 ATS last 16 off a SU loss and 8-3-1 ATS last 12 as a road favorite. Even with last night's win and cover, Kings are still just 4-12-1 ATS last 17 at home and are 3-7 ATS last 10 off a win. Give me San Antonio -2.5! |
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02-07-20 | Raptors v. Pacers +1 | 115-106 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
40* NBA BLOCKBUSTER ATS SLAUGHTER (Pacers +1) I'll take my chances here with Indiana as a 1-point home dog against the Raptors. The Pacers are going to be out for some serious revenge after blowing a big lead in a 118-119 loss at Toronto on Wednesday. With that win the Raptors secured a franchise record winning streak of 12 games. It's just hard to beat a good team like the Pacers in a home-and-home split. Indiana is also a much better team at home. Toronto is simply getting too much love in a really tough spot. Give me the Pacers +1! |
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02-07-20 | Grizzlies v. 76ers -5.5 | 107-119 | Win | 100 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (76ers -5.5) I'll take my chances here with Philadelphia as a 5.5-point home favorite against the Grizzlies. It couldn't look much worse for the 76ers, who have lost 4 straight and are playing on no rest. Thing is the 4 straight losses all came on the road and while they are on no rest, they did have 2 days off before playing last night. 76ers are 22-2 at home for a reason and Memphis is a team they should beat rather easily. Home teams playing on back-to-back days after 3 or more straight losses are 61-35 (64%) ATS last 5 seasons. Give me the 76ers -5.5! |
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02-06-20 | Pelicans -4.5 v. Bulls | 125-119 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT ATS BLOWOUT (Pelicans -4.5) I'll take my chances here with the Pelicans. I know this is going to be a big time public play, but I just can't help myself with New Orleans at this price. If you take out a stretch in late Nov. early Dec. where the Bulls went on a 10-2 ATS run, they are a miserable 13-27 ATS in their other games. They come in having failed to cover 4 straight and are just 5-14 ATS in their last 19. I just don't get how this injury-depleted Bulls team is going to keep pace with a Pelicans team that is surging with the recent addition of Zion Williamson. New Orleans is just 3-4 SU and ATS with Williamson, but it's not exactly been an easy schedule. They lost their first two before winning 3 straight then had to play at Houston and at home against the Bucks. I just think they win here rather easily. Give me the Pelicans -4.5! |
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02-06-20 | 76ers +9 v. Bucks | Top | 101-112 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (76ers +9) I'll take my chances here with Philadelphia as a 9-point road dog against the Bucks. It couldn't look much worse for the 76ers right now, as they come in having lost 3 straight on the road, all by double-digits. The most recent one being a 31-point loss at Miami. Public will want nothing to do with them against a hot Milwaukee team, but I got a good feeling we get a huge effort from Philly in this one. I also think the 76ers are one of the few teams that have the size to at least make things difficult for the Bucks. We saw that in their Christmas Day game, which Philadelphia won 121-109 at home. I'm not saying they win the game, but this is too good a team to not back at this price regardless of the spot or location. Give me the 76ers +9! |
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02-05-20 | Grizzlies +5 v. Mavs | Top | 121-107 | Win | 100 | 25 h 16 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Grizzlies +5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Memphis catching 5-points at Dallas. Mavs are still without Doncic, but have won and covered the first two games without him. I just think it has Dallas getting a little too much love here against a red-hot Memphis team. There's no way Dallas can keep it up without Doncic and let's not overlook their two wins came against the Hawks at home and a Pacers team that has looked out of sync since Oladipo returned to the lineup. Grizzlies have won 12 of 15 and for them to getting 5-points against a Doncic-less Mavs team is just too good to pass up. Memphis can really score the basketball behind the great rookie Morant and I just don't trust the Dallas offense. They scored 112 at Indiana, but needed a 38-point outburst from Porzingis and shot a mere 42% from the field. Give me the Grizzlies +5! |
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02-05-20 | Pacers v. Raptors -5.5 | 118-119 | Loss | -113 | 24 h 12 m | Show | |
40* NBA ODDSMAKERS ATS LINE MISTAKE (Raptors -5.5) I'll take my chances here with Toronto laying just 5.5-points at home against the Pacers. I just think this is way too good a price to pass up on the Raptors given how these two teams have been playing here of late. Toronto is rolling with 11 straight wins and have gone 8-3 ATS in this stretch, including a perfect 4-0 at home. Indiana has lost 3 of 4 and are just 1-2 since getting Oladipo back from injury. I just think his return has the entire team out of sync. It certainly isn't helping that Oladipo has been jacking up and missing a lot of shots. He's 8 for 39 from the field, going a mere 3 for 21 from deep. In his 3-games back they needed a last-second 3 to force OT against Chicago at home and wound up winning and covering in OT. They then scored 85 in a loss at home to the Knicks and followed that up with a 9-point loss as a 5.5-point favorite at home against a Mavs team missing Doncic. I just think it's asking a lot for this team to flip a switch on the road against one of the best teams. Give me the Raptors -5.5! |
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02-04-20 | Blazers v. Nuggets -4 | 99-127 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Nuggets -4) I'll take my chances here with the Nuggets as a slim 4-point home favorite against the Blazers. I just feel like now is the perfect time to fade Portland. The Blazers come in having won and covered 4 straight and all the talk right now is centered around the ridiculous numbers of Damian Lillard. Big thing to keep in mind is 3 of those 4 wins came at home and the other was at the Lakers in a game where LA was clearly not at their best dealing with all the distractions that came with Kobe's unfortunate passing. Prior to this recent run the Blazers were a 5-11 in their previous 16 games and they are just 10-16 away from home. Nuggets are 4-1 ATS last 5 at home and 8-1-2 ATS last 11 off a loss. Give me Denver -4! |
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02-04-20 | Bucks v. Pelicans +7 | Top | 120-108 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Pelicans +7) I'll gladly take my chances here with the Pelicans catching 7-points at home against the Bucks. Milwaukee's lines are inflated every game and while they have been able to cover a lot of those big numbers here of late, I think they are being asked to lay way too many on the road against a New Orleans team that has caught fire with the addition of rookie Zion Williamson. PER is one of the main rating systems that evaluates how good an NBA player is. Zion has a 24.56 rating in his first 6 games, which if he qualified would be the 10th best mark in the league. He's only going to get better and most importantly the Pelicans as a team are improving with him on the floor. I wouldn't be shocked at all of New Orleans won this game. It certainly means a lot more to the Pelicans than it does the Bucks. Give me the Pelicans +7! |
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02-03-20 | Pistons v. Grizzlies -8.5 | Top | 82-96 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
50* NBA VEGAS SHARP MONEY TOP PLAY (Grizzlies -8.5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Memphis winning by double-digits at home against the Pistons. A lot to like here with this one. For starters, you got the Grizzlies in a massive bounce back spot after they laid an egg at New Orleans (was their 3rd game in 4 nights and second straight on the road). Detroit on the other hand is playing on no rest after a grueling 128-123 OT win at home over the Nuggets yesterday, where they had to rally from down more than 20. On top of that the Pistons lost Derrick Rose to a groin injury that likely will have him sidelined for this one and he's easily been their best player. You also got to factor in just how good this Memphis offense is and how bad Detroit's defense has been here of late. Grizzlies are averaging 115 ppg on 48% shooting at home. Pistons are allowing 118 ppg on 49% shooting in their last 5 and have allowed each of their last 4 opponents to shoot 50% or better. Give me Memphis -8.5! |
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02-03-20 | Mavs v. Pacers -5.5 | 112-103 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
40* NBA NO DOUBT NBA ATS SLAUGHTER (Pacers -5.5) I'll take my chances here with the Pacers as a 5.5-point home favorite against the Mavs on Monday. I really like the spot for Indiana in this one. Pacers are going to be extremely motivated coming off that ugly 85-92 loss at home to the Knicks as a 11-point favorite. At the same time, I think it's a good spot to fade the Mavs. Dallas surprised a lot of people in their last game beating the Hawks 123-100 despite missing both Doncic and Porzingis. While they will have Porzingis back, Doncic is still out and they also lost Seth Curry to a knee injury in that win over Atlanta. Clearly Mavs were motivated to show they can win without their two big stars. Thing is it's a lot easier to do that at home than it is on the road and the Pacers are good team, while the Hawks are awful on the road. Give me the Pacers -5.5! |
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02-02-20 | Suns +11 v. Bucks | 108-129 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
40* NBA VEGAS ODDSMAKERS LINE MISTAKE (Suns +11) I'll gladly take my chances here with Phoenix as a double-digit road dog against the Bucks. We know Milwaukee will be without George Hill and I believe there's a decent chance here they are also going to suit up without Giannis, who is questionable to play after leaving their last game with a hamstring injury. That game was on Friday. Hamstrings aren't exactly an injury you want to miss with and there's no reason for Milwaukee to risk playing him and making it worse. With that said, even with him I would like the Suns at this price. Suns are 6-1 ATS last 7 as a road dog and have covered 4 straight on the road vs a team with a winning home record. Give me Phoenix +11! |
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02-01-20 | Jazz -5.5 v. Blazers | 107-124 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS MASSACRE (Jazz -5.5) I'll take my chances here with the Jazz snapping their 3-game skid with a convincing road win over the Blazers. I played against Utah in their last game at Denver, as I knew that was going to be a tough spot for them playing on no rest. Now they are the team that should be able to take advantage of their opponent in a brutal scheduling spot. Blazers will be in action here after playing last night in LA against the Lakers. A game that saw both Lillard and McCollum play 40 minutes. Ariza also logged 39 and Whiteside 34. On top of the no rest, there's also going to be an emotional toll from that game, as the Lakers honored Kobe last night and it was a special game for both teams. I just don't see Portland having enough in the tank against what figures to be a hungry and pissed off Jazz team. Give me Utah -5.5! |
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02-01-20 | Hawks +5 v. Mavs | 100-123 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
40* NBA PUBLIC MONEY ATS NO-BRAINER (Hawks +5) I'll take my chances here with Atlanta as a 5-point road dog against the Mavs. I know the Hawks aren't a great road team, but I think this team is really trending in the right direction. They also couldn't be catching the Mavs at a better time. Dallas is down not just their best player but one of the best players in the league in Doncic. They also will be without Porzingis (liked Hawks before this news) and playing on no rest after last night's game at Houston. I just don't see the Mavs having enough in the tank here without their two best players to pull away and really think they lose outright. Give me the Hawks +5! |
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01-31-20 | Thunder v. Suns | 111-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS SLAUGHTER (Thunder PK) I'll take my chances here with OKC at a pick'em on the road against the Suns. I played and won on the THunder in what feels like an identical spot in their last game at Sacramento. Much like the Suns the Kings have not been a great team at home. Phoenix is just 9-16 at home compared to 11-11 on the road. Also, like Sacramento the Suns are awful at defending the pick and roll, which is the bread and butter of this Thunder offense behind the great Chris Paul. OKC is also now 19-5 ATS on the road this season and 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games. Give me the Thunder PK! |
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01-31-20 | Bulls v. Nets -5 | Top | 118-133 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show |
50* NBA EASTERN CONF GAME OF THE MONTH (Nets -5) I'll gladly take my chances here with Brooklyn as a mere 5-point home favorite against the Bulls. I really liked what I saw out of the Nets in their last game, which they won 125-115 at home against the Pistons. I wasn't just the Kyrie show. Brooklyn had a very balanced offensive attack in that game. I think we see more of that against a Bulls team that I think is going to have a really tough time showing up here. Chicago is coming off an absolutely devastating loss on the road to division rival Indiana. Bulls had a 100-93 lead with 4:11 to play and didn't score another point in regulation. Pacers rallied to force OT and went on to win 115-106. Hurting with injuries the Bulls had several players log big minutes and with just 1 day of rest and having to travel way out east, this is a brutal spot. Give me the Nets -5! |
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01-30-20 | 76ers v. Hawks +7.5 | 117-127 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
40* NBA SITUATIONAL ATS NO-BRAINER (Hawks +7.5) I'll take my chances here with Atlanta as a 7.5-point home dog against the 76ers. I just don't trust the 76ers in the slightest on the road and especially not in this spot with a massive road game at Boston on deck Saturday. Philadelphia is just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games and Atlanta is a much improved team right now with the addition of Jeff Teague. Hawks have covered 9 of their last 15 overall with a 5-1 ATS mark in their last 6 at home. Give me Atlanta +7.5! |
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01-29-20 | Thunder -3 v. Kings | 120-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
40* NBA LATE NIGHT ATS ANNIHILATOR (Thunder -3) I'll take my chances here with OKC as a slim 3-point road favorite at Sacramento. Thunder had their 5-game winning streak snapped last time out, but Chris Paul sat out that game to mourn the death of Kobe. I think we see OKC bounce back in a big way here. Thunder have been absolute covering machines on the road this season, going 18-5 (78%) and should be able to exploit the Kings horrible pick and roll defense. I also don't like this spot for Sacramento. Kings are coming off a crazy come from behind win in overtime at Minnesota and are still down two of their best big men in Richaun Holmes and Marvin Bagley. Sacramento is also a mere 7-13-1 TS at home this season. Give me the Thunder -3! |
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01-28-20 | Nuggets v. Grizzlies +1 | 96-104 | Win | 100 | 20 h 52 m | Show | |
40* NBA SHARP MONEY ATS ANNIHILATOR (Grizzlies +1) I'll take my chances here with the Grizzlies cashing in a win at home against the Nuggets. Denver comes in off a 117-110 win at home over the Rockets, but Houston played that one without James Harden. I know the Nuggets got some guys back, but they are still down 3 of their best players in Milsap, Murray and Plumlee. I think it's a lot easier to overcome injuries at home than it is on the road and this Memphis team has really been playing well over the last few weeks. Grizzlies are 9-2 in their last 11 games. I just don't think people realize how well this team is playing, especially on offense. Memphis has shot 50% or better from the field 8 times during this current run. Give me the Grizzlies +1! |