The New Jersey Nets have scored an average of 83.6ppg through their first 5 games on the season. That sets them up in a few nice spots playing on the over in this one. The situation for tonight`s game shws an NBA history of 89-47-2 to the over, and if their opponent is off a game that went over the total it goes to 39-17 to the over. Play this one OVER the total.

This is a nice situational angle that plays on a pair of rested teams, where their is a home dog involved off a home dog win. Thais has been a close to 70% under situation in the NBA. The play here is on the under

One of my favorite NBA angles is to play on the over when their has been shooting anomolies that ultimately revert back to the mean, but at the same time the oddsmakers have to post a total that they deem is fair based on public perception. That gives us a duel advantage going into a game. I have a base angle that plays exactly on this which is 54% winners one condition with over 2,600 games in the database. This game with 1 added condition becomes a 58.1%% chane of winning, with still over 900 games in the database, so certainly an investement oriented advantage. Tonight the play is on the over in this one.

The LA Clippers and the San Antonio Spurs are both off of decisive wins to start the season 1-0. The Spurs forced 24 Memphis turnovers in their opener, and although they shot less than 40% they came away with the easy win. The 24 turnovers included 13 steals by San Antonio. The Clippers went on the road and scored 105 against Golden St. The resistance will be far greater on the road tonight at San Antonio. This game fits a situation that has turned over 60% winners with close to 400 games in the data set, and tonight the play is on the under.

The Kentucky Wildcats are playing to some large pointspreads, and they haven`t been able to deliver as they have now gone 8 straight games without getting the cover. The Wildcats are 2nd in defensive FG percentage as well as top 11 in FG percentage offense. The Lamar Cardinals are 8-4 on the season, and certainly can play some defense allowing just 40.4% against them. The problem is they can`t shoot, connecting on less than 40% from the field. There in lies the basis for this pick. Lamar has played 2 top caliber teams, that are both great defensively, and they scored 50 vs Ohio St. and 48 vs Louisville. Kentucky gets after it even better on the defensive end than either of those 2 teams, that combined held Lamar to 35-122 from the field, or a woeful 28.6% shooting. To make matters worse for Lamar is they shot 3-31 against these 2 teams from 3pt range, less than 10%. None of the top 8 scorers for Lamar shoot over 45% and 3 of the top 5 shoot in the 30s. It will be difficut here for them to exceed the 49 point average they achieved vs Ohio St., and Louisville. The other end of the floor has seen the Cardinals do a good job holding Ohio St to 70, and Louisville to 68. The Wildcats also lead the nation with 9.3 blocked shots per game, further impeding Lamar`s ability to score. It would stand to reason that to push this one over the total, Kentucky will have to get well into the 90s, and the Wildcats have topped out at 87 in their last 11 games. Play this one under the total.

Harvard has taken over at least this year as the new king of the Ivy. The Crimson are off to an impressive 9-0 start, and the only thing that got in their way of facing Uconn twice, was the Huskies shocking loss to central Florida, who the Crimson went on to beat. What Harvard has shown was a desire to slow things down vs teams they feel they matchup better in a slow tempo game vs a run and gun affair. That was the case when they squared off vs Florida St. that saw a combined 91 shots taken by both teams, in a 46-41 finalk score. I look for the same tactics that worked so well at frustrating Florida St. to be brought to the floor tonight, as the Huskies blew them out here a year ago by an 81-52 count. They won't let the Huskies run this time. That has led to them going 18-7-1 to the under in their last 26 as a road dog, slowing things down when considered the inferior team. They are also 35-15-1 to the under in their last 51 on the road. Huskies bring the "D" as home chalk leading to a 19-6 mark to the under as a home favorite. This one plays under the total.

The Duke Blue devils had everything they could handle from a very solid Belmont team at home, escaping with a 1 point win. Michigan St. was handled easily out on the West Coast in the inaugrial Carrier Classic. It is a big game for Duke as Coach K tries to become the winningest of all time. look for a lot of the usual defensive intensity and Coach Izzo's team's are well noted for how they defend, and held NC to 67 in the opener. This one is posted to high, and I'm backing the under in this game.

The Dallas Mavericks after falling behind in the series 2 games to one, came roaring back with 2 wins in Dallas, and now head to Miami for what could be a decisive game 6. The heat have really done a great job on LeBron James, and Miami has played great defense, despite the hiccup in game 5 where both teams just had one of those games where everything was falling. Tonight I expect the defensive pressure to return to what we saw in games 1-4. Active here for this game is an under situation that is now 21-2 ATS in the finals since 1990, with one of the losses because of overtime! I'm playing the under in this one.

Sometimes you can go to a well once to often, but there are ways of discovering if this is the case or not. I have been playing an under system for the NBA Playoff Championship round that is now 42-8 ATS, and once again is live for game 5. The oddsmakers have made an adjustment, but it isn't enough. I went back and looked at the 42-8 mark, and when oddsmakers adjusted the total down from the previous game total, it was adjusted down by an average of 1.73 points per game, and yet the record stands at 26-6 in those games. Actually one of the losses was in OT where in regulation it would have been a win, so 27-5 in regulation minutes. The bottomline is this is still valid, predictive, and profitable, and the call in game 5 is under.

The Dallas Mavericks lost a tough one at home in game 3, to fall down in their series vs the heat 2 games to 1. The resolve here will be defense. The Heat opened up game 3 with a 29 point first quarter, but managed just 59 points the rest of the way. They won the battle of the boards, and won the bench scoring, but their first quarter defensive lapses proved decisive. I look for Dallas to shut off the lanes to the paint as they did as the game went on in game 3, and keep the Heat from having a big quarter again. if you remember the Heat had 28 in the first period of game 2 as well. This game fits into one of my top playoff situations, which has now gone 39-8 ATS since 1990, and it calls for a play on the under.

The Dallas Mavericks came out of nowhere looking down the barrel of a 15 point deficit with under 6 minutes to play in game 2, facing a pending 0-2 series disadvantage, when they tightened up the defense, gave the ball to Nowitski down the stretch, scoring the last 9 and winning to even the series at 1 game apiece. They now come home for a pivital game 3. Dallas played defense like a playoff Champion down the stretch, and although Miami fell apart in the last 6 minutes, it was more of a letdown thinking they had the game won, than poor defense, they have proven they can defend with anyone. This game is likely to be defended from start to finish, and I have a situation pointing to the under that is 38-8 ATS since 1990. I'm playing the under in this one.

Looking at these teams it is easy to get romanced into offense, with the trio of stars and scorers on Miami, and the way Nowitski is playing like a man possessed. The public is in love with the over here, yet the total is moving in exactly the opposite direction, raising an immediate red flag. I have discovered a total situation that applies to this game that is markedly pointing to the under as it is 34-8 to the under, for 81% winners since 1990 in the Championship round. I'm playing this one to go under the total.

The Oklahoma City Thunder defined game 3 in 132 minutes. They could do nothing right and found themselves in a 27-12 hole, that to their credit, they almost climbed out of but against a very good Dallas team, it simply wasn't going to happen. Despite 36.5% shooting they crept back in the game. They hit just a putrid 5.9% from 3 point range, on 1-17. Dallas shot just 43.9% for the game and Dirk Nowitski finished with just 18 points. If the Thunder shoots 45% in this game, they make 6 more FG's and if they hit just 5-17 from 3, still below expectations, they are in the 100s in this game. Oklahoma City is 9-1 to the over with a total less than 200 off a loss. That moves to 6-0 to the over vs a team over ,500. The Mavs are 8-3-1 to the over in their last 12 as a road dog. Over is the play.

The Miami Heat held the Chicago Bulls to just 75 points on their own floor in game 2, to even the series at 1 game apiece. While the defenseive effort was huge, the Heat and their trio of stars was equally disappointing on the offensive end, where they scored 85, just 3 points better than their game 1 output. Sometimes you have to take note of the pcae, and trends of a series, that takes on a certain look, and this one has the look going forward of ugly, and competitive, despite the first 2 games resulting in double-digit finals. Game 3 becomes a pivital game, especially with the series even. The public can't help themselves, they see a low total, and say no way that game is not going over, and 65% have placed their money on the over here. Playoff totals of <180 following a game where 161 or less points were scored in the previous game, have gone 18-9 to the under. If the playoffs are past round one, meaning round 2 or deeper, the under becomes even more likely at 15-6. If the playoffs are even deeper, and we are in round 3 or further, the odds of an under grow, as it has been 10-1-1 to the under. I'll back the under in this one.

The Oklahoma City Thunder road a 56% shooting night in game 2 to even their series with Dallas. This has been a highly offensive series, with a lot of things happening, that has the over looking mighty tasty to gamblers. There are 70% off all total bets on the over, and I'm in the other camp. These teams have combined to shoot about 50% from the field, which isn't likely to continue for the balance of this series. There was 71 made free throws in game 1, of which Dirk Nowitski set a playoff record by going 24-24. Simply put the numbers are no longer sustainable, and at the same time, a fair line on this series opener was 194. My calculations for this game is 196.5, which is 4 full points away from where the oddsmakers have set this total, and that is with huge anticipation of knowing their clients love overs, and are going to bet this up. I would not be at all surprised that this total sees a dip when smart money hits the table, and perhaps the public will bet it back up, but the 201 where it stands now has line value. Situationally there is support by the fact that game 3 after the first 2 went over the total, has played under in the NBA playoffs to a winning percentage of 65.7%, in part because of the adjustments needed by the oddsmakers knowledge that the public is over happy. It is easier to move the public up, than down, and as an example of exactly that, if the first 2 games in a series go under the 3rd is 50-50 to go under. The oddsmakers don't have to create an unfair line on an under, there will always be plenty of over action. I have a myriad of under situations in this game, one of which is 81-46 to the under, and many more. My choice here is under the total.

The Dallas Mavericks and the Oklahoma City Thunder put on an offensive clinic in game 1. They didn't have numbers like you'd normally see in a game that featured 233 points scored, as Oklahoma City shot 47% and Dallas 53%. The sign of things to come were the 79 free throws taken. It basically showed that these teams could not guard each other. Game 2 has a lot of over trends as it is with a 38-21-1 mark to the over from round 2 and beyond. There are a pair of situations that are highly predictive, and both perfect that apply to this game, and combined these 2 powerhouses are 30-0 ATS to the OVER! That is right, 30-0 ATS to the over! One is 20-0 and the other is 10-0 and they are both completely different. This is a very high rated game from the huge situational angles as well as the fundamental capping that supports it. The OVER is my Western Conference Finals Total of the Year! One further note: I have never lost an NBA GOY pick!

The Miami Heat dropped game 1 to the Bulls, and they weren't even close. Coach Spoelstra during a timeout was heard imploring his players, "We have to run our offense and move the ball around, isolation will not work against this team." How true that is. Look for Miami to start moving a lot on offense and get better looks in this game. Game 2 totals certainly support that logic, as they are 46-24 ATS if the total is set in the 180s. The Bulls have accomodated that thinking as well, as they are 27-13 to the over in their last 40 vs a winning team, and 11-3 to the over vs a team winning 70% plus of their games. Miami has had 15 opportunities on the road this year, playing with revenge, and are 12-3 to the over in those 15 games. Bulls after a big double-digit win are now 44-25 to the over the last 3 years, and that mark moves to 11-3 to the over if they are off of 2 straight 10+ wins. Since Spoelstra has become coach of the Heat thay have played 40-22 to the over off a loss, as well as 27-9 to the over following a game where they scored 85 or less, and 31-15 to the over after a 10+ point loss. I'm going with the over in this one.

The Dallas Mavericks have had an 8 day layoff as they open the Conference Championship round against Oklahoma City who was stretched to 3 games vs the Memphis Grizzlies. Dallas won 2 of the 3 games between these clubs this season, the lone loss came when Dirk Nowitski was a spectator, missing the game with a knee injury. These teams averaged 201.3ppg in their 3 games, so the total here in the public eye is set way to low. The public has weighed in heavy supporting the over like they already know the final score at close to 70%. That has driven the total up from the opener of 192 to 193 as of this writing, and I would not be surprised to see 194+ at tip. Teams playing off elongated rest in the NBA playoffs of 4 days or more, have played under the total to a 37-19 mark. When there is a game in the playoffs when 1 team has had 3 or more days rest than their opponent, the under is 19-9 in the playoffs. That makes a double rest situation of a combined 56-28 to the under, or 67% of the time. Round 2 and on has also seen matchups of good but not great teams (60-75% winning percentage), tip the scales to the under at a 22-14 clip. It is also worth noting that teams off of 4 or more ATS wins (Dallas) are 7-1 to the under in that same situation. One more predictive situation is when you have 1 team off a 15+ point win and the other off a 20+ point win the under has prevailed to an 8-2 mark. I'm playing the under in this one.

I am adding this play based on the fact that these teams are both better on the fefensive end of the court than the offensive end. It also has situational support as round 3 series game 1 has seen 10 games posted with a total lower than 182, and the results are 10-0 to the under! Under is the play!

The last 7 games in this series between Oklahoma City and Memphis have all featured both teams scoring over 100 points. The public looks at the results of the first 2 games, both going way over the total, and lcks in at 65% playing the over. This ignores the fair total that opened the series at 194, and has risen to push line value on the under in game 3. Teams that are tied in a playoff series and head into game 3 have seen the total go over in the first 2, are 0-7-1 to the over! Great line value here, great public fade, and even better, despite the public backing the over the total is going down! So we have both line value (6 points over the fair total of game 1), public fade support with the line moving in the opposite direction, and situational support at 7-0-1 to the under. I'll back the under here.

I spent a lot of time digging up some stuff on this game, and came to the conclusion that this is worth a play. Teams playing in the second round as a home favorite with a line of less than -9 and a total of less than 190, have played to the over to a 13-0 ATS mark the last 8 years. I also have a bigger scenerio here that shows 25-4 to the over for a game situation in this one. I'm riding on the over.

The Atlanta Hawks outplayed the Bulls in game 1, and are off and running to a 1-0 series lead. They scored 103 points in game 1, and seemed to get a lot of easy buckets inside. This sets up for a game 2 that has proven to be high scoring as the situation that the table is set for here is 25-4 to the over. Hawks at 5-2 to the over vs teams with a winning home record, while the Bulls 8-3 to the over vs a winning team in their last 11. This one goes over the total.

Looking back at how these teams have played each other one thing is clear. Oklahoma City can't handle Memphis in the paint, and Oklahoma City has done a great job their themselves, as well as both these teams getting out on the break, and getting a lot of offensive rebounds. Those situations call for a lot of points tobe scored, and the last 5 meetings have averaged 211.4ppg. Offensive rebounding has averaged 26.4 per game and fast break points have averraged 33 per game. Points in the paint, eady buckets have averaged just shy of 100 per contest! needless to say 14 of the last 17 in Oklahoma City have gone over the total, and the Thunder is over the total to a 36-14-1 mark as a favorite of 5-10.5. Over gets the call.

The Miami Heat had toruble with Boston all season until the last meeting when they destroyed them by 23. The 4 games this season between these teams saw an average of 182.8ppg, but those numbers include a 219 point game where Boston shot way over 50% from the field including from deep, and Miami also shot 50% for the game. I have a situation for this game that shows the under striking at a 99-64-1 ATS rate for 60.7%I also have another situation which has shown 14-2 to the under in the playoffs live in this game, and a third that is a perfect 9-0 to the under. I'll go with the under here which is also 7-0-1 when the Heat face a team with a winning road record at home. Game 1 went over the total simply because of 3pt shooting variance. Both teams connected on 21-43 from 3pt range, which added 18-20 ppoints to the total. Under in game 2.

The Miami Heat had toruble with Boston all season until the last meeting when they destroyed them by 23. The 4 games this season between these teams saw an average of 182.8ppg, but those numbers include a 219 point game where Boston shot way over 50% from the field including from deep, and Miami also shot 50% for the game. I have a situation for this game that shows the under striking at a 99-64-1 ATS rate for 60.7%I also have another situation which has shown 14-2 to the under in the playoffs live in this game, and a third that is a perfect 9-0 to the under. I'll go with the under here which is also 7-0-1 when the Heat face a team with a winning road record at home.

Atlanta ranks 4th in 3pt FG defense so is Orlando's shooting woes from 3 unexpected or ordinary? Here is a look at Orlando vs the top 7 teams in 3pt FG defense this season: 206-663 .310 vs everyone else .381 overall .366 What this tells me is this is not an anomolly, they struggle against every good 3pt FG defense to the tune of 5.6% below their season average which is jaded upward by their prowess vs bad 3pt shooting defenses. There is over a 7pt difference from them playing against an avg to poor 3pt shooting defense, vs a top 7 one. They are shooting 27.8% in this series, which is 3% less than their adjusted avg vs good 3pt shooting defenses. That equates to less than 1 made 3 per their 24 attp. avg in the series. Also they shot even worse against Atlanta in the regular season from 3 thasn they have in the playoffs. On the road their adjusted average eliminates the 3% of their 24 avg attempts, so what I see is the 3pt shooting isn't the reason for games going under, it is the reason why they have value playing under! A look at the totals in the 27 games they have played vs the top 7 3pt FG defenses show 20 under and 7 over!~ Of the 3 overs 2 occured because of overtime, and another by a single point. Playoffs with last 3 or more under are 65-36-1 under Orlando 8-0 under this yr vs 51-60% teams ATL 17-6 under as +3 to -3 ATL 18-4 under as home dog ATL 17-4 under vs div ATL 8-0 under last 3 years home dog 3 or less UNDER gets the call

There isn't much I didn't say about this game when I made the under my total of the year in their last matchup. Certainly nothing has changed since then, and their is a lot of line value in this one. Game 4 of a playoff series has traditionally been for the defense. NBA playoff history for the last decade has produced a 142-104 mark to the under in game 4. If the previous game went under, it swells to 76-50 to the under, over 60% winners. All the things from game 3 still apply here, I will make my call on the under in this one.

This game has been on my radar since game 2 was completed between these teams with Oklahoma City holding a 2-0 lead. I have a playoff tried and tested one condition system that has gone 20-0 ATS to the under and is live in this game! I should also note that the fair total in this game is 202 which was the total set before prior to game 1 which was bet up by gamblers. So there is also substantial line value in this game. Denver is 26-13 to the under in all games vs winning teams this year, and the defense is much better since Melo left. Oklahoma City applies to yet another situation based in part on quadruple revenge, that shows 24-5 to the under. teams that play 6 or less games in 14 days are 20-5 to the under as well. Overall teams with triple revenge, no other qualifier, are 112-83 to the under. We have both substantial line value (3 points), and huge situational value. That makes for a PLAYOFF TOTAL OF THE YEAR ON THE UNDER.

Many thought the Orlando Magic would breeze past the Atlanta Hawks in their opening round playoff series. The Hawks finished the regular season in a down ward spiral that saw them close at 11-20 over their last 31 games, losing their last 6. What people forget is this team was once 33-16 winning better than 2 of every 3 games they played. the Hawks match up very well with the Magic as they are 4-2 straight up on the season, and played just 2 of the 6 in Atlanta, winning both. What has been the staple of the Hawks team is keeping Orlando from scoring. The Magic have averaged just 85.2ppg in the 6 played thus far. The Magic haven't just struggled vs the Hawks, they have struggled all season against the top 9 defenses in the league as determined by fewest points per game allowed. The Magic have posted just 86.6ppg facing the top 9 defensive teams on the road this season. (regulation minutes only). There is more to add here, as better seeds that split their first 2 games at home in round 1 of the NBA playoffs are 17-2 to the under since 2004 playing game 3 on the road. The 6 gamesd this seasdon have seen an average of just 171.8ppg scored. The Magic are also 49-24-1 to the under after an ATS loss in their last 74. These teams have paired up to play 7 straight unders in Atlanta, with 20 of the last 27 matchups failing to reach the total. Hawks sport a 16-5 mark to the under in their last 21 as a home dog. Orlando 53-33 to the under in their last 86 vs a winning team, and 18-6 under this year to a total in the 180s. The play here is on the under.

Coach Popovich has been coaching a lot of playoff games in San Antonio over the last decade plus, and a lot of games period. He knows what wins, and that is defense, and after a game where his team loses straight up to a team, when they face that team the next time around the defense is usually what they bring. Popovich has been in a revenge situation a lot and the ladst 125 times his team's have been in this spot, they have played 80-45 to the under. I'll side with the under in this one.

The Orlando Magic were plain awful against the Atlanta Hawks in game one. Their offense was limited to just 2 players as Nelson, and Howard combined for 73 of their 93 points with the rest of the Magic combining for 8-34 shooting from the field, and 2-15 from beyond the arc. Atlanta scored 68 points in the 2nd and 3rd quarters combined, and got good contributions all over the floor. This game fits a huge playoff situation, that has been 85-33 to the over the last 118 times it has come up, and tonight it says play on the over.

The regular season is winding down, and the Chicago Bulls still have a chance to secure homecourt advantage throughout the playoffs. They have gotten to this point by winning each of their last 8 games. That sets up a huge situation here based in part on that winning streak. The situation that is live for the total in this game is 85-48-1 to the over since I discovered it, with an applicable subset in this game that is a stronger 24-8 ATS to the over. I'll make my call on the over in this one.

The Denver Nuggets have been a much improved defensive team since the trade with the Knicks. While they held 13 of the last 24 opponents to 100 or less, their previous 17 games they held just 1 opponent to 100 or less. Golden St. in't the same offensive team they have been in the past. This year 29 times they have been held below 100, 20 last year, 18 the year before, and just 11 the year before that. They are 19-7 to the under without rest, while Denver, playing much better defense is 16-5-1 to the under in their last 22. I have this one at 211, so value here on the under.

This game sets up into a 92-40 situation on the over and I will play this one to top the total.

This game sets up perfectly as it fits one of my all-time best over/under systems and situations in the NBA. This game has a lifetime mark of 108-35 ATS to the over. That is 75.5% chance of winning this game. This system is also 47-11 ATS the last 58 times it has occured for a win rate of over 81%. There is no need to go into any greater detail than this as it is my strongest situation of all that has over 125 games in the trial set. Milwaukee/Cleveland OVER THE TOTAL is my NBA total of the year.

The Nets have gotten out running with Derron Williams on the floor. He has made a difference in the tempo for the Nets, and supplies them with instant offense, and a decision maker that can get open looks for his teammates as well. The Nets are averaging 102ppg in the 12 games Williams has played, fueling an offense that is otherwise scoring 93ppg. The Pistons like to open things up at home against weaker teams as they have averaged 110ppg in their last 6 at home vs a team with a losing record. This one also fits a bad team showdown under certain conditions that has favored the over to a 76-35-2 mark. Over gets the call.

The Denver Nuggets are a better team since their trade with the Knicks, and this team is playing better on the defensive end than they have in a long time. Oklahoma City has slumpe as bit of late offensively scoring 92 and 91 on a 2 game losing streak, and overall 10 of their last 13 have played to the under. The Thunder have also played to a 14-6 mark to the under as a dog in their last 20. Nuggets "new" team is now 13-3 to the under in their last 16. This game also fits an under situation that has produced over 70% winners in 1000 games. I'll back the under here.

The rest of the NCAAB season is as exciting as it gets. It is now crunch time with tournaments deciding season fates, and who gets their one shinning moment. While some teams have struggled down the stretch, and others have peeked , some have a lot of pressure, others will be playing loose. Post season Tournament games have left behind a blueprint of edges, and over the next 3 weeks I will be exploiting those edges. I have countless situational angles, that have proven themselves over and over. This game fits in as one of those tournament games with a decisive edge. Under gets the call

The rest of the NCAAB season is as exciting as it gets. It is now crunch time with tournaments deciding season fates, and who gets their one shinning moment. While some teams have struggled down the stretch, and others have peeked , some have a lot of pressure, others will be playing loose. Post season Tournament games have left behind a blueprint of edges, and over the next 3 weeks I will be exploiting those edges. I have countless situational angles, that have proven themselves over and over. This game fits in as one of those tournament games with a decisive edge. Under gets the call

The Washington Wizards have found the win column just 1 time all season on the road where they stand at a pathetic 1-34 for the season. There problem for the most part has been scoring. The Wizards have scored in the 70s in 3 of their last 9 road games. Washington is 35-16 to the under in their last 51 vs the West. Golden St. comes in at 19-6-1 to the under following a straight up win by more than 10 points. I'll go with the under in this one, riding a 70-35 under situation.

The Toronto Raptors are a mess. They are of limited talent, have a lot of injuries, and play little if any defense. Last night they allowed 138 at Golden St. putting the defenseless team at 125ppg allowed over their last 3. Their 15 games against losing teams not played on their own court this year show them allowing 111.4ppg. The Clippers are 26-9 to the over vs the East in their last 35, including 10-1 over vs the NBA Atlantic, and 19-9 to the over on 0 rest. This game also has a situation based on 2 bad teams under certain conditions that has been one of my top total systems. It is 82-39-2 to the over the last 123 times it has come up. I will play this one over the total.

The rest of the NCAAB season is as exciting as it gets. It is now crunch time with tournaments deciding season fates, and who gets their one shinning moment. While some teams have struggled down the stretch, and others have peeked , some have a lot of pressure, others will be playing loose. Post season Tournament games have left behind a blueprint of edges, and over the next 3 weeks I will be exploiting those edges. I have countless situational angles, that have proven themselves over and over. This game fits in as one of those tournament games with a decisive edge. Over is the play

Was waiting on this one as the public is pushing this total up higher and higher. It opened at 210.5 and is currently 211.5 and probably will rise a bit more. Both these teams are off momentum building big wins, the Spurs won their last game by 15 and the Nuggets won their last game by 33. That sets up a longterm momentum situation predicated on playing defense on both sides. When you have a pair of teams with one off a 15 point or more win and the other off a 20 or more point win, the total has gone under 189-120-5 in 314 occurances in the NBA. If I add one more parameter, which is live for tonight's game, the winning margin for the under increases to 154-95-4 ATS to the under. I'll ride with the under in this one.

The rest of the NCAAB season is as exciting as it gets. It is now crunch time with tournaments deciding season fates, and who gets their one shinning moment. While some teams have struggled down the stretch, and others have peeked , some have a lot of pressure, others will be playing loose. Post season Tournament games have left behind a blueprint of edges, and over the next 3 weeks I will be exploiting those edges. I have countless situational angles, that have proven themselves over and over. This game fits in as one of those tournament games with a decisive edge. Under gets the call

The Indiana Pacers average less than 100 points per game on the season, but over their last 26 games, they have stepped up the offense posting 102.5ppg. New Jersey has gotten a lot more offense since Derron Williams has taken over. He is contributing 14.6ppg and dishing 13.1 assists. The Nets are averaging just shy of 100 since he took over. This game also fits a situation that has seen the over prevail to a count of 156-106 the last 262 times it has arisen. I'll go with the over in this one.

The rest of the NCAAB season is as exciting as it gets. It is now crunch time with tournaments deciding season fates, and who gets their one shinning moment. While some teams have struggled down the stretch, and others have peeked , some have a lot of pressure, others will be playing loose. Post season Tournament games have left behind a blueprint of edges, and over the next 3 weeks I will be exploiting those edges. I have countless situational angles, that have proven themselves over and over. This game fits in as one of those tournament games with a decisive edge. Under is the play

The Miami Heat will be playing their 3rd game in 4 nights, and each of these teams played last night. The Nuggets hammered the heat in Denver in an earlier matchup by the score of 130-102. That sets up a revenge situation here that plays on certain blowout losers, which has gone 73-42 ATS the last 115 times it has arisen. It plays on the total to go over. heast has been 37-16-1 to the over in their last 54 vs the NBA Northwest. Look for this matchup to go over the total.

The rest of the NCAAB season is as exciting as it gets. It is now crunch time with tournaments deciding season fates, and who gets their one shinning moment. While some teams have struggled down the stretch, and others have peeked , some have a lot of pressure, others will be playing loose. Post season Tournament games have left behind a blueprint of edges, and over the next 3 weeks I will be exploiting those edges. I have countless situational angles, that have proven themselves over and over. This game fits in as one of those tournament games with a decisive edge. Under gets the call.

These teams have been train wrecks this season, and particularly the Wizards on the road at a very ugly 1-30, beating only the lowly Cavs. The points have been hard to come by for the Wizards on the road, but most of their road games have been vs winning teams at 21 compared to just 11 vs losing teams, and they have scored against the weaker teams. They have averaged a total of 205ppg on the road in their games vs losing teams, including a season high 235 vs these same Raptors. This game also fits a huge over situation which is 62-39 to the over the last 101 times it has come up. I'll play the over in this one.

The Sacramento Kings have been a momentum offense all season long, to the point it has become quite predictive. This team opened with 5 straight overs, then went 12 straight games scoring 100+ just 1 time. Fast forward to their last 19 games and 17 of them have gone over the total. They have now scored 100+ in 8 straight games while allowing 100+ in 7 straight games. They are also 17-3 to the over following 2 strauight games with the total points scored of 205 or more. Cleveland now stands at 24-11 to the over in 35 games posted as a road dog this season. Over is the call here.

The Miami Heat has gotten things rolling, and blew out San Antonio at home. This team is obviously at their best when they are playing strong defense, and right now they are in defensive mode. They also set up in a hot longterm situation that has played out to an 86-44 mark to the under in this one. This is a very reliable situational angle and one of few that I play basically blindly. That makes the call in this one on the under for the win.

The Atlanta Hawks have had a tough time scoring points of late, despite the fact they scored 110 vs Milwaukee here last night. They are currently 11-3 to the under in their last 14 playing to a total of 200 or more. This game also sets up as one of my leading situational angles that has been 86-44 to the under, a highly predictive situation. Nuggets are also 39-19-1 to the under when on the road facing a home team with a winning percentage of greater than .600 in their last 59. Under gets the call.

Orlando comes into this one off a loss as a road favorite vs Golden St. The will be facing another team that likes to get out and run the floor, but Orlando won't have anything to do with that in this one, as they will go to school on what beat them against Golden St. Phoenix isn't the running team they have been in the past, but still like to get out in the open court for some quick looks. This game fits into a situation that ha been 64-31 to the under over the last 95 times it has occured, and I will side with the underr in this one.

The rest of the NCAAB seasdon is as exciting as it gets. It is now crunch time with conference tournaments deciding post-season fates, and who gets a ticket to the big dance. While some teams have already punched their tickets, some have more work to be done to build their resumes. Conference tournaments have left behind a blueprint of edges, and over the next week and a half, I will be exploiting those edges. I have countless situational angles, that have proven themselves over and over. This game fits in as one of those conference tournament games with a decisive edge.Under gets the call

The Cleveland Cavs have not played a whole lot of defense this season, but recently at home they have put forth a lot more effort, as they held the high scoring Golden St. Warriors here to 95 points, and also held the New orlans Hornets to 96, and the Philadelphia Sixers to just 96 as well. The offense has failed to score 100 points or more in 5 of their last 6 games, and this game applies to an 84-40 situation that is also 10-4 ATS this season. The play here is on the under in this one.

The rest of the NCAAB seasdon is as exciting as it gets. It is now crunch time with conference tournaments deciding post-season fates, and who gets a ticket to the big dance. While some teams have already punched their tickets, some have more work to be done to build their resumes. Conference tournaments have left behind a blueprint of edges, and over the next week and a half, I will be exploiting those edges. I have countless situational angles, that have proven themselves over and over. This game fits in as one of those conference tournament games with a decisive edge.Under gets the call

The Philadelphia 76ers redefined their team around midseason and it has paid dividends. The Sixers averaged just 95.8ppg through their first 34 gamed this season, but in their last 31 games this team is now producing 102.9ppg. So that puts the Sixers on the same level of offensive output as the Golden St. Warriors who are averaging 102.9 points per game, instead of their previous output of 95.8ppg, which is equvalent to what the Cleveland Cavs score per game, obviously a huge difference. These clubs played to a total of 188.5 back when Philadelphia wasn't pushing the ball, so we get a dramatically diferent offensive team here to a lower total. The total against Golden St. was 203.5 just to put it in perspective. I'm playing the over in this one.

The rest of the NCAAB seasdon is as exciting as it gets. It is now crunch time with conference tournaments deciding post-season fates, and who gets a ticket to the big dance. While some teams have already punched their tickets, some have more work to be done to build their resumes. Conference tournaments have left behind a blueprint of edges, and over the next week and a half, I will be exploiting those edges. I have countless situational angles, that have proven themselves over and over. This game fits in as one of those conference tournament games with a decisive edge. Under gets the call

The rest of the NCAAB seasdon is as exciting as it gets. It is now crunch time with conference tournaments deciding post-season fates, and who gets a ticket to the big dance. While some teams have already punched their tickets, some have more work to be done to build their resumes. Conference tournaments have left behind a blueprint of edges, and over the next week and a half, I will be exploiting those edges. I have countless situational angles, that have proven themselves over and over. This game fits in as one of those conference tournament games with a decisive edge. While this is not a conference tournament game it applies to a large system by itself, the play is on the under.

The rest of the NCAAB seasdon is as exciting as it gets. It is now crunch time with conference tournaments deciding post-season fates, and who gets a ticket to the big dance. While some teams have already punched their tickets, some have more work to be done to build their resumes. Conference tournaments have left behind a blueprint of edges, and over the next week and a half, I will be exploiting those edges. I have countless situational angles, that have proven themselves over and over. This game fits in as one of those conference tournament games with a decisive edge. Under is the play

The rest of the NCAAB seasdon is as exciting as it gets. It is now crunch time with conference tournaments deciding post-season fates, and who gets a ticket to the big dance. While some teams have already punched their tickets, some have more work to be done to build their resumes. Conference tournaments have left behind a blueprint of edges, and over the next week and a half, I will be exploiting those edges. I have countless situational angles, that have proven themselves over and over. This game fits in as one of those conference tournament games with a decisive edge. Under is the play

The rest of the NCAAB seasdon is as exciting as it gets. It is now crunch time with conference tournaments deciding post-season fates, and who gets a ticket to the big dance. While some teams have already punched their tickets, some have more work to be done to build their resumes. Conference tournaments have left behind a blueprint of edges, and over the next week and a half, I will be exploiting those edges. I have countless situational angles, that have proven themselves over and over. This game fits in as one of those conference tournament games with a decisive edge. Under is the play in this one.

The rest of the NCAAB seasdon is as exciting as it gets. It is now crunch time with conference tournaments deciding post-season fates, and who gets a ticket to the big dance. While some teams have already punched their tickets, some have more work to be done to build their resumes. Conference tournaments have left behind a blueprint of edges, and over the next week and a half, I will be exploiting those edges. I have countless situational angles, that have proven themselves over and over. This game fits in as one of those conference tournament games with a decisive edge. Under is the play

The rest of the NCAAB seasdon is as exciting as it gets. It is now crunch time with conference tournaments deciding post-season fates, and who gets a ticket to the big dance. While some teams have already punched their tickets, some have more work to be done to build their resumes. Conference tournaments have left behind a blueprint of edges, and over the next week and a half, I will be exploiting those edges. I have countless situational angles, that have proven themselves over and over. This game fits in as one of those conference tournament games with a decisive edge. Under gets the call

The rest of the NCAAB seasdon is as exciting as it gets. It is now crunch time with conference tournaments deciding post-season fates, and who gets a ticket to the big dance. While some teams have already punched their tickets, some have more work to be done to build their resumes. Conference tournaments have left behind a blueprint of edges, and over the next week and a half, I will be exploiting those edges. I have countless situational angles, that have proven themselves over and over. This game fits in as one of those conference tournament games with a decisive edge. Under gets the call

The rest of the NCAAB seasdon is as exciting as it gets. It is now crunch time with conference tournaments deciding post-season fates, and who gets a ticket to the big dance. While some teams have already punched their tickets, some have more work to be done to build their resumes. Conference tournaments have left behind a blueprint of edges, and over the next week and a half, I will be exploiting those edges. I have countless situational angles, that have proven themselves over and over. This game fits in as one of those conference tournament games with a decisive edge. Under is the play

This is a battle of 2 of the NBA's most disappointing teams. The Bucks won 46 games a year ago, and the Cavs who were expected to be down after LeBron took his game to Miami, have fallen off the charts. It sets up one of my favorite situations on totals in the NBA that plays on weak teams under the right set of circumstances and this is it. This is a system that is 82-39 ATS for 67.7% winners, with a subset that is 31-10 ATS or 75.6%. I will back the over in this one.

The Houston Rockets and the Phoenix Suns are both rolling right now. The Rockets are 11-4 in their last 15 games to push over the .500 mark for the season. They have topped the 100 ppoint mark in 12 of their last 13 games, and have eclipsed the 120 point plateau 4 times in the process. The Suns have won and covered 5 of their last 7 games, and have topped the century mark in 10 straight, and 13 of their last 14. Rockets on no rest which means no defense as 10 of their last 14 with no rest have topped the total. Phoenix off an extended road trip has now played 12-3-1 to the over upon their return home. This fits in an offensive momentum angle that has gone 53-20 to the over the last 73 times it has arisen. I'll go with the over in this one.

The Denver Nuggets do do as well on the road offensively as they do at home. The difference is about 6 points per game to the neagative side, and with a reconfigured team, and the departure of Carmelo Anthony, I expect those numbers to diminish for awhile. The LA Clippers are simply not an offensive team, and they score and allow less than 100 at home. Teams off a road win vs a division rival facing a home team off a win have played to the under at a 108-58 pace over the last NBA seasons. Denver has historically played to the under facing teams that like to jack up a lot of 3's (18 or more a game), as they have played under to a 93-66 mark vs this type of an aopponent. Clippers an elngated path of unders playing against a winning team, as they are 170-124 to the under against better than .500 teams in their last 294 opportunities. bring a team to LA that scores better than 99 points a game, and the under is 109-78. Denver 19-5 to the under off a 6 point win or less the last 2 years. I have plenty more, including the fact that this is a misguided public play, as this game has the highest percentage of the public on the over as any total play on the card tonight. The play here is on the under.

The Yale Bulldogs and the Columbia Lions bring identical 14-12 marks into this one. The stakes are small, but the winner here will guarantee a winning season. Yale comes in off a big upset win against Harvard in their last game. Columbia plays more like a poor mans Princeton with a methodical approach on the offensive end, and it makes it difficult to pile up the points against this team. They have only had 1 game in their last 6 reach 137 points (139 vs Penn), and it took both teams combining to make 50% of their shots to do it. There were just 98 shots taken in the entire game, typical of a Columbia game. Columbia really slows things down at home where they are 21-5 to the under in their last 26 as a home favorite, and 24-3 overall in their last 27 as a favorite in all games. I'll play the under here.

The Orlando Magic find themselves in 4th place in the NBA East, trying to stave off the Atlanta Hawks so they at least can play the 1st round of the NBA Playoffs with a home-court advantage. Miami stands 1.5 games behind the Celtics for #1 in the East, so this becomes a pivital game for both teams. That usually means defense, and their is a defensive momentum angle in this game that has gone 81-41 ATS to the under in the last 122 times it has come up, live for this one. Magic have left behind some huge under markers as well as they are:

48-21-3 to the under off 1 day rest

57-24-1 under after an ATS loss

39-18-1 after allowing 100 points or more

15-5 under as a road dog of less than 5 last 20

and 9-2 under last 11 overall

This one stays under the total

The Minnesota Timberwolves and the Detroit Pistons are a pair of bad teams, that both played last night. Typically in the NBA when you have a pair of weak teams linking up, the total doesn't stand a chance, especially off of no rest on both sides. This fits a situation based on that, which has produced an over to a mark of 61% with over 300 games in the database, and live for this contest. I will ride the longterm system and play this one over the total.

The Central Florida Knights opened at 14-0 had a national ranking and looked like a lock for the nCAA Tournament. They then went on to lose 8 in a row, and this team has just lost all of their confidence. The Knights bring solid defense to every game and have held 13 opponents to the 50s or less, and they have not scored 70 or more in 11 straight games. Miners under 70 in 8 of their last 9 games, as well as 13 of their last 14 opponents. UTEP is 8-2 to the under in their last 10 at home and Knights now 5 straight to the under. I'll go with the under here.

This is bracket Buster weekend. I have long been known for a huge bracket buster system that has gone for 64.1% winners in the 6 years I have played it wagering on 75+ games during the weekend. The picks I have today are the ones I feel are the strongest of all, and since I can't post 75 plays here, I will opt to post the strongest ones I have, so I will have a lot of plays during the bracket buster weekend. This play is on the over

This is bracket Buster weekend. I have long been known for a huge bracket buster system that has gone for 64.1% winners in the 6 years I have played it wagering on 75+ games during the weekend. The picks I have today are the ones I feel are the strongest of all, and since I can't post 75 plays here, I will opt to post the strongest ones I have, so I will have a lot of plays during the bracket buster weekend. This play is on the over

This is bracket Buster weekend. I have long been known for a huge bracket buster system that has gone for 64.1% winners in the 6 years I have played it wagering on 75+ games during the weekend. The picks I have today are the ones I feel are the strongest of all, and since I can't post 75 plays here, I will opt to post the strongest ones I have, so I will have a lot of plays during the bracket buster weekend. This play is on the over

This is bracket Buster weekend. I have long been known for a huge bracket buster system that has gone for 64.1% winners in the 6 years I have played it wagering on 75+ games during the weekend. The picks I have today are the ones I feel are the strongest of all, and since I can't post 75 plays here, I will opt to post the strongest ones I have, so I will have a lot of plays during the bracket buster weekend. This play is on the over

This is bracket Buster weekend. I have long been known for a huge bracket buster system that has gone for 64.1% winners in the 6 years I have played it wagering on 75+ games during the weekend. The picks I have today are the ones I feel are the strongest of all, and since I can't post 75 plays here, I will opt to post the strongest ones I have, so I will have a lot of plays during the bracket buster weekend. This play is on

The Dartmouth Big Green and the Columbia Lions have both left an under marker that has been persistent, and consistent especially at home. Dartmouth in all lined games in their last 58 has gone 40-17-1 to the under. The Columbia Lions home games in Ivy competition are now 21-3 to the under over their last 24 Ivy tilts. Put that all together and the last 7 times these clubs and their methodical offenses have met the under is a perfect 7-0. I'll play the under in this one.

This is bracket Buster weekend. I have long been known for a huge bracket buster system that has gone for 64.1% winners in the 6 years I have played it wagering on 75+ games during the weekend. The picks I have today are the ones I feel are the strongest of all, and since I can't post 75 plays here, I will opt to post the strongest ones I have, so I will have a lot of plays during the bracket buster weekend. This play is on the over.

The DePaul Blue Demons are a disasterous 1-48 in their last 49 Big east games, and have a 27 game road losing streak in the process in conference play. Despite the disasterous record they have done a good job shortening games with their halfcourt offense, and have not been blown out as much as you would think a 1-48 team would. The Blue Demons are a very under the radar 20-6-1 ATS when taking double-digits. The Friars were posting 81.2ppg before Big East play started and since the offense has gone down to 71.6ppg, a full 10 point loss per game. These clubs have played 5 of their last 6 games to the under. They have also met 6 times in the regular season since DePaul joined the Big East, and have never produced more than 151 points in any game. I like the under here.

The Miami Heat has suddenly turned into an over team as we approach the all-star break. The Heat have now played 15-6-1 to the over in their last 22 games. What was once a defense holding 16 straight teams under 100 points has allowed 9 of the last 21 to top the century mark. The Pacers are starting to resemble last year's team, that likes to get out and run, and have played over to an 11-4 mark in their last 15. The Pacers have topped the 100 point mark in 8 straight games. This game also fits a situation that has produced an over to a record of 57-27 the last 84 times it has come up. I'll play the over in this one.

The Detroit Titans love to get up and down the floor and are 17-6 to the over in their last 23 games. Tings won't be so easy against a Butler team that begins on the defensive end of the court. Butler has held 18 opponents in the 60s or less (not including overtime points), and held detroit to 64 on the road. This is a lofty total playing against a team that defends very well, especially at home. Butler is allowing just 63.6ppg at home. Detroit now 12-5 to the under as a dog of 7-12.5 in their last 17. The last 8 times these teams have met in Butler the under is 8-0. I'll play the under in this one.

The New Orleans Hornets have gone bad, and they face a tough Orlando team tonight in Orlando. The Hornets have been a team that has built their record around a pair of long winning streaks of 10 and 8 games. Outside of the winning streaks this team is 14-22 on the season. They are 5-13-1 ATS on the road outside of the winning streaks. The oddsmakers have well accounted for their woes with Orlando being a 9 point favorite here. What they haven't accounted for is the fact that New Orleans is 66-30 to the under when facing a team with a greater than .600 winning percentage when on the road off a loss. The Hornets are also 8-0 to the under in their last 8 vs the Southeast, and 17-5 to the under as a road dog in their last 22. The Magic are 34-16-1 to the under as a 5-10.5 point favorite in their last 51, and 44-20-3 to the under off 1 day rest. These teams have played to an 11-3 mark to the under in the last 14 meetings. I like the under in this one as my NBA February Game of the Month.

The Dartmouth Big Green does not do a whole lot of winning, but what they have done is quietly run a methodical "Princeton" type offense, that limits possessions in every game they play especially at home. This year has been no exception as their 3 home games have all gone under averaging a total of 117.7ppg. Last year in their 7 home games the total points in Ivy League play averaged 117.4ppg. Back in the 2008-09 season the average points scored in their Ivy home games was 119.1ppg. Just 3 of their last 18 have topped the tyotal posted here for this one, and overall the Big Green has played under to a 16-2 mark over their last 18 at home. I like the under in this one.

The Princeton Tigers are back. They are 17-4 on the season and have opened Ivy play at 5-0. despite the fact they are scoring a few more points than the usual Princeton teams we have come to know, the shots taken in their 5 Ivy games has averaged just 102 a game not including overtime. Columbia has seen an average of just 113 shots taken in their 6 Ivy contests, but 5 have come on the road. These teams will likely finish the night with about 100 shots taken, which means a total in the mid 130s range is going to be a monumental task. Columbia has played under at home to a mark of 19-3 in their last 22 home games, including 7-0 to the under in the 130s. I like the under in this one.

The Houston Rockets are averaging just shy of 105ppg which puts them in 4th place in NBA scoring offense standings. The Minnesota Timberwolves come in with the 9th ranked scoring offernse. The problem for Minnesota is as good an offensive team Denver is who leads the league in scoring, Minnesota is worse hgiving up points, as they allow 108.6ppg. Houston may score a llot but they are equally bad on the defensive end allowing just shy of 105ppg. It doesn't happen often but teams that have played 5 straight unders and are playing to a total of 215 or higher are 8-2 to the over in their next game. This game also fits a situation that has over 300 plays in it that is well over 60% that calls for this one to go over. I'll play this game over the total.

The Cleveland Cavs have gone 0-24 in their last 24 games. This is a team that has quit on the defensive end as they have alowed 100 points or more in 20 of their last 21, to an average of 110ppg. Their last 19 have seen them top the total in 14 of them. The offense has now scored more than 100 points a game in 3 straight, a season high. The Mavs have now toppd the century mark in 7 straight games, and are 21-10 to the over in their last 31. Cavs ahve gone 20-8 to the over in their last 28 on the road vs a team with a winning record, while the Mavs are 19-7 to the over in their last 26 vs the NBA Central. Over gets the call.

We have a situation here tonight in Minnesota that features a pair of bad teams that have each played 3 conscutive unders. We also have a raher high total, so the first inclination is to play this one under. The problem with that thinking is that games between teams with losing records and both teams on current under streaks of 3 or more, and the total is set high, at over 210, these teams have never played an under as they are 8-0 to the OVER. The T-Wolves are also 21-9 to the over follwing a double-digit loss. I'll play on the over in this one.

The UC Santa Barbara Gauchos went 6 games without any team getting to 70 points, but the last 2 they have coughed up 70 in each of them. The Pacific Tigers through their first 14 games vs div-1 competition managed to score 70 points just 2 times, but in their last 5 have averaged 75.2ppg. It is clear this team has caught fire on the offensive end. The Tigers have now played 4 straight to the over. Santa Barbara has now played 6 of their last 8 to the over following an ATS loss. I like this one to go over the total.

The Golden St. Warriors aren't the type of team that plays much on the defensive end of the court. They have really done well as a home favorite dictating the tempo of the game which has led them to a 166-121 in all games as a home favorite going over the total. Milwaukee is off a poor offensive performance where they scored under 80. That sets up one of my strongest over systems which is 157-109 all-time, and on a 63-31 run to the over. I'll play this one over the total.

Many thought the Miami Heat would be unstoppable on the offensive end with LeBron,Wade, and Bosh, but what has surprised is the fact the Heat has become a better defensive team than offensive team. They have allowed 100 points just 10 times on the season not counting overtime. The Magic bring in some prolific under numbers as they are 37-18 under after a loss, 33-16-2 under after 2 days rest,37-17-1 under after allowing 100 or more, and 53-23-1 under after an ATS loss. I'll back the under in this one

The Ohio St. Buckeyes had a narrow escape in their last game at Northwestern where they won a thriller 58-57 to go to 22-0 on the season, and remain the nations only unbeaten team. The Buckeyes have gone 20 straight games without allowing an opponent 70 points, and have actually held 7 opponents in the 40s. Michigan has scored 64 or less in 7 of their last 8, will struggled to find 50-55 here. Michigan is now 29-12-1 to the under in their last 42 road games, and 25-11-1 to the under on the road vs a team with a winning home record. Under gets the call.

The Portland Trailblazers like to play slow and get their opponent in a halfcourt game. Denver likes to get out and run and leads the league in scoring. Portland has willed their hlfcourt game successfully against high scoring teams, even on the road, as they have now played to a 20-7 mark to the under on the road with a total of 200 or higher. The Nuggets have played 64% of their games this season with a posted total of 205 or less to the under, and going back to the end of last season 71%. I like this one under the total.

The Atlanta Hawks have played over as a 10.5 home favorite to a 34-16 mark since 1995. This is a team that likes to get out and run the floor when facing a sub-par opponent. That mark includes a most recent run of 12-3 to the over. The Raptors have now allowed 100+ points to 14 of the last 16 teams they have faced on the season, and 8 straight. Theyhave also played 36-15 to the over vs a team with a home winning percentage of over .600. The Hawks now 17-6 to the over in their last 23 vs a team under .500 on the season. This series is 18-7 to the over in the last 25 meetings, and 6-1 to the over in the last 7 at Atlanta. Over is the play.

This is another one of those games where both teams play a methodical offense, and great defense on the otherend. Both these teams take less than 55 shots per contest, making it difficult for scores to get out of the 50s, especially matched up against another team that likes to slow things down and play defense. Nittany Lions already 5-3 to the under in conference play, and 3-1 at home. Badgers a mindblowing 43-15-1 to the under following an ATS win, as well as being 20-9-1 to the under in their last 30 posted as a favorite. Penn St. 8-2 under in their last 10 at home, and the under has prevailed in 4 of the last 5 between these clubs. I'll go with the under in this one.

I have had a lot of success in the Ivy League over the years, and one reason is that while most don't pay a lot of attention to this league, and others know it as a league to play on Princeton and Penn, and mst recently Cornell, and every other team is washed below the radar. That may be true, but the value lies within some of those other teams, most noteably Dartmouth. The Big Green is usually found buried at the bottom of the Ivy standings, and what may be a surprise, is over the years this team slows games down more than Princeton, especially at home, and especially when Ivy League play begins. This is a team at home that more often than not produces less than 100 shots a game, and while that is very similar to Princeton, their totals are found in the 120s instead of the 100s. Their track record this year is already showing the bias at 5-1 to the under, and the Ivy hme track record is now 17-5 to the under. I will go with this one under the total as my January GAME OF THE MONTH!

The Miami Heat have a trio of stars and when they are all on the court, it isn't the offense that these guys are playing, it is their commitment to defense. The heat in their last 33 games have seen just 4 of them reach 210 points, and James was out for one of them. The Knicks after allowing 100 or more in their previous game have played under to a 8-1-1 mark in their last 10. The Knicks in 2 games this season vs the Heat have average 94.5ppg, and I don't expect to see them making it much beyond that for this one. I'll go with the under in this one.

The Northern Iowa Panthers lost some key weapons from a year ago, but have still put together a 15-6 season, and are always tough at home where they are 10-1. The Panthers have won 5 straight games overall. It is their methodical offensive style, along with a suffocating defense that gets it done. The Panthers in their 11 home games have allowed just 53.8ppg, and just 1 of the 11 games has seen the opponent top 58. Creighton steps up the "D" vs good teams where they have logged a 21-6-1 mark to the under in their last 28 vs a team with a winning percentage of over .600. Panthers meanwhile are now 29-12 to the under after a win. Throw in a situational angle that is 26-4 to the under and I like this one under the total.

The Uconn Huskies have surprised a lot of people with their 15-2 record. This team is comprised of 8 freshmen, and many are key contributors. They also possess a major weapon in Kemba Walker, the most improved player in the country, and certainly putting together an All-American season. It is the defense and rebounding that make this team special. Huskies 12th in the nation in rebound margin at +7.6 despite playng 5 of the top 16 rebounding teams in the country. The Huskies block a lot of shots, and allow just 38% shooting also 8th i the county. The Vols are no slouches off the glass either ranked 21st in the country and allow just 41% from the floor. Their last 5 games vs BCS Conference teams has seen an average of just 129 points scored per game (excluding overtime), while the Huskies all season are averaging just 135 vs BCS Conference teams. Huskies 8-3 under last 11 at home, and Vols now 24-11-1 to the under on the road vs a home team with a winning percentage of over .600. I'll play under in this one.