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Mr. East Basketball Totals Picks
Date Match Up Rating Score Result Profit Lead Time Analysis
10-24-18 Nets v. Cavs OVER 227 Top 102-86 Loss -107 3 h 28 m Show

Strictly a very strong situational play for tonight which is 244-143-8 to the over. Make the play on the over.

10-22-18 Pacers v. Wolves OVER 226 Top 91-101 Loss -101 11 h 58 m Show

Scoring and pace of the game is soaring early this season with the average total posted by odds makers at 218.5 which is the highest average in 23 years of data I have. The odds makers having trouble keeping up as 27 of the 39 NBA games played have averaged 226.6ppg. Minnesota opponents squeezing off 95 shots a game and their 3 games have averaged 250 points. Indiana joining in with a 244 point combined total last time out vs Brooklyn. A 400 game sample size situation active here on the over as well at 59%. Make the play on the over.

10-19-18 Kings v. Pelicans OVER 230 Top 129-149 Win 100 11 h 41 m Show

The NBA is underway and today in the newsletter we will take a look and see if we can answer the question does a pair of teams off a high scoring game serve as a breeding ground for another high scoring game? Universally speaking I would tend to think no, nit in the case I am about to present the answer is a resounding yes. Let's jump right in and take a look at the parameters:

1)  Road team is off a game where both teams combined for more than 225 points.

2)  Home team is off a game where both teams combined for more than 235 points.

3)  The total is less than 232. (oddsmakers have not adjusted enough).

When all of the above is met these teams have played to a record of:

132-65-4  O/U  

That is 200+ games with a win rate of 67%!

Tonight consider a play on Sacramento/New Orleans over the total

05-02-18 Jazz v. Rockets UNDER 207 Top 116-108 Loss -115 10 h 59 m Show

The Houston Rockets have taken a 1-0 series lead over the Utah Jazz. The game was a lot more competitive than it appeared, as Houston shot 40% from inside the arc, but 53.3% from the arc and beyond. When Houston hits 53% from deep they will win, as the Rockets are 15-0 SU on the season when shooting better than 42.5% from deep, and 13-2 ATS. Perhaps the key component here is the fact that is just 15 times out of 88 games, or just 17% of all games. Houston had 6 of 7 players that attempted a 3 shoot 50% or better. Utah got the pace of the game they wanted, as the game saw just 158 shots attempted. Just 12 of the 50 playoff games thus far have seen less than 160 shots taken. Houston does not have nearly the same offensive success as totals indicate, when in a game vs a good defender such as Utah, and a lower total. The Rockets are 4-21 O/U the last 2 years when the total is 215.5 or less. (2-13 O/U this year), and have played 10 straight to the under. These 26 games have failed to reach the posted total by -8.64ppg. The public sees the 3 happy Rockets explosive offense, and rather low total, and have weighed in at 70%+ on the over. Make the play on the under.

04-27-18 Cavs v. Pacers UNDER 204.5 Top 87-121 Loss -110 11 h 54 m Show

This one comes down to a very strong situation. Play te under in a playoff game, if a team has 3 series wins (a close out game), if each of the last 2 games played under the total, and their opponent has at least 1 series win, if the total is less than 206. These teams are 56-17 to the under. If they are less than a 7 seed vs an opponent that is .500 or better, they are 51-12 to the under. Make the play on the under.

04-24-18 Spurs v. Warriors UNDER 205 Top 91-99 Win 100 9 h 44 m Show

While I believe this total shows just a half point to a point in value, as long as the value is neutral or positive, the situations are huge, for the under. The Wrriors simply play at a different pace, and are somewhat easier to guard without Curry on the floor. They have averaged 118.9ppg with him this year, and 105.1ppg without him. Moreover the Warriors shoot 51.8% as a team with him, and 41.1% from 3, but just 48.2% without him, and 35.8% from deep. The Spurs shoot 47.2% at home and just 35.9% from deep, on the road they are 44%, and 34.9%, and average less than 100ppg. Warriors are 14-29 O/U in their last 43 playoff games at home, covering by 6.69ppg. Playoff double-digit home favorites are 22-48 O/U to a total of greater than 188, (14-33 O/U if round 1). Make the play on the under.

04-10-18 Suns v. Mavs OVER 208 Top 124-97 Win 100 7 h 36 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 33-6 ATS, and the play is on the over.

04-09-18 Pelicans v. Clippers OVER 224 Top 113-100 Loss -105 12 h 33 m Show

While the LA Clippers have played themselves out of the playoffs, the New Orleans Pelicans can still host an opening round playoff game. New Orleans has been on the go offensively scoring over 120 points in each of their last 3, and in their last 21 games this season, as a favorite of -2.5 or more, they are 17-4 to the over piling up an average of 119.1ppg, and allow over 110. The Clippers have allowed over 120ppg average in their last 3, and high scoring Denver hung a 134 on them here last time out. This game fits a situation that is based on certain teams, both off very high scoring games which is 101-46-4 to the over. MY NBA TOTAL OF THE MONTH IS ON THE OVER. 

04-06-18 Pacers v. Raptors UNDER 209 Top 73-92 Win 100 8 h 17 m Show

This game fits a situation tat is 262-138 ATS, and the play is on the under.

04-05-18 Wolves v. Nuggets UNDER 224.5 Top 96-100 Win 100 10 h 46 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 192-121 ATS, and the play is on the under.

04-05-18 Nets v. Bucks UNDER 220 Top 119-111 Loss -101 7 h 17 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 243-194 ATS, and the play is on the under.

04-04-18 Celtics v. Raptors UNDER 206 Top 78-96 Win 100 10 h 33 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 191-121 ATS, and the play is on the under.

04-03-18 Pacers v. Nuggets OVER 215.5 Top 104-107 Loss -105 12 h 23 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 80-54 ATS and the play is on the over.

04-03-18 Celtics v. Bucks UNDER 207.5 Top 102-106 Loss -105 11 h 24 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 259-138 ATS and the play is on the under.

04-01-18 Bucks v. Nuggets OVER 225 Top 125-128 Win 100 11 h 19 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 109-41 ATS and the play is on the over.

03-29-18 Bulls v. Heat UNDER 210 Top 92-103 Win 100 10 h 39 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 37-4 ATS, and the play is on the under.

03-28-18 Nets v. Magic UNDER 216.5 Top 111-104 Win 100 8 h 24 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 73-41 ATS, and the play is on the under.

03-28-18 Knicks v. 76ers OVER 221 Top 101-118 Loss -105 8 h 23 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 237-129 ATS, and the play is on the over.

03-27-18 Nuggets v. Raptors OVER 226 Top 110-114 Loss -100 10 h 27 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 79-52 ATS and the play is on the over.

03-25-18 Blazers v. Thunder UNDER 216.5 Top 108-105 Win 100 9 h 4 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 189-119 ATS, and the play is on the under.

03-23-18 Bucks v. Bulls OVER 216.5 Top 118-105 Win 100 11 h 55 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 108-41 ATS, and the play is on the over.

03-22-18 Hawks v. Kings UNDER 212.5 Top 90-105 Win 100 12 h 58 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 72-41 ATS, and the play is on the under.

03-21-18 Clippers v. Bucks OVER 224.5 Top 127-120 Win 100 9 h 23 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 107-41 ATS, and the play is on the over.

03-20-18 Rockets v. Blazers OVER 217.5 Top 115-111 Win 100 10 h 22 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 232-129 ATS, and the play is on the over.

03-20-18 Hawks v. Jazz UNDER 207 Top 99-94 Win 100 9 h 54 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 252-138 ATS, and the play is on the under.

03-20-18 Clippers v. Wolves OVER 226.5 Top 109-123 Win 100 8 h 53 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 76-52 ATS, and the play is on the over.

03-19-18 Grizzlies v. Nets UNDER 212 Top 115-118 Loss -110 10 h 46 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 71-39 ATS and the play is on the under.

03-19-18 Hornets v. 76ers OVER 222.5 Top 94-108 Loss -104 9 h 15 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 232-123 ATS and the play is on the over.

03-17-18 Mavs v. Nets OVER 213.5 Top 106-114 Win 100 10 h 43 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 103-40 ATS, and the play is on the over.

03-17-18 Hornets v. Knicks OVER 220.5 Top 101-124 Win 100 10 h 43 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 226-128 ATS, and the play is on the over.

03-17-18 Hawks v. Bucks OVER 215.5 Top 117-122 Win 100 8 h 14 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 103-40 ATS, and the play is on the over.

03-16-18 Celtics v. Magic OVER 205 Top 92-83 Loss -110 9 h 31 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 506-353 ATS, and the play is on the over.

03-15-18 Cavs v. Blazers OVER 222 Top 105-113 Loss -105 12 h 13 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 71-44 ATS, and the play is on the over.

03-13-18 Nuggets v. Lakers OVER 231 Top 103-112 Loss -107 14 h 40 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 224-125 ATS, and the play is on the over

03-13-18 Cavs v. Suns OVER 230 Top 129-107 Win 100 13 h 10 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 224-125 ATS, and the play is on the over

03-10-18 Magic v. Clippers UNDER 218.5 Top 105-113 Win 100 14 h 51 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 84-38 ATS, and the play is on the under.

03-10-18 Spurs v. Thunder OVER 210 Top 94-104 Loss -104 12 h 52 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 87-49 ATS, and the play is on the over.

03-10-18 North Carolina v. Virginia UNDER 128 Top 63-71 Loss -106 10 h 6 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 83-41 ATS, and the play is on the under

03-10-18 Suns v. Hornets UNDER 218 Top 115-122 Loss -110 8 h 20 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 84-38 ATS, and the play is on the under.

03-09-18 Knicks v. Bucks UNDER 213.5 Top 112-120 Loss -105 11 h 46 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 84-37 ATS and the play is on the under.

03-09-18 Rockets v. Raptors UNDER 220.5 Top 105-108 Win 100 10 h 16 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 71-39 ATS and the play is on the under.

03-09-18 Bulls v. Pistons OVER 212.5 Top 83-99 Loss -102 10 h 47 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 103-38 ATS and the play is on the over.

03-08-18 Akron v. Eastern Michigan UNDER 134 Top 58-67 Win 100 12 h 46 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 23-3 ATS, and the play is on the under.

03-08-18 Suns v. Thunder UNDER 228 Top 87-115 Win 100 11 h 15 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 83-36 ATS, and the play is on the under

03-08-18 76ers v. Heat OVER 208.5 Top 99-108 Loss -113 11 h 46 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 506-350 ATS, and the play is on the over.

03-08-18 Nets v. Hornets UNDER 218 Top 125-111 Loss -110 10 h 15 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 83-36 ATS, and the play is on the under

03-07-18 Colorado State v. Utah State UNDER 146 Top 65-76 Win 100 7 h 44 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 56-19 ATS, and the play is on the under.

03-07-18 Arkansas-Little Rock v. Appalachian State UNDER 133 Top 64-93 Loss -105 5 h 8 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 29-5 ATS, and the play is on the under.

03-06-18 Pelicans v. Clippers UNDER 237 Top 121-116 Push 0 13 h 24 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 133-88 ATS, and the play is on the under.

03-06-18 Nuggets v. Mavs OVER 219 Top 107-118 Win 100 11 h 25 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 222-123 ATS, and the play is on the over.

03-06-18 Rockets v. Thunder UNDER 222.5 Top 122-112 Loss -110 11 h 4 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 133-88 ATS, and the play is on the under.

03-05-18 BYU v. St. Mary's UNDER 136.5 Top 85-72 Loss -110 12 h 36 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 248-132 ATS and the play is on the under.

03-05-18 NC-Wilmington v. Northeastern UNDER 151.5 Top 52-79 Win 100 9 h 31 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 104-45 ATS and the play is on the under.

03-05-18 Celtics v. Bulls OVER 214.5 Top 105-89 Loss -107 9 h 48 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 86-47 ATS, and the play is on the over.

03-05-18 Suns v. Heat OVER 217.5 Top 103-125 Win 100 8 h 18 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 86-47 ATS, and the play is on the over.

03-05-18 Bucks v. Pacers UNDER 209.5 Top 89-92 Win 100 8 h 49 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 248-138 ATS, and the play is on the under.

03-05-18 Northern Illinois v. Kent State OVER 145.5 Top 59-61 Loss -105 7 h 7 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 32-6 ATS and the play is on the over.

03-05-18 Ohio v. Miami-OH OVER 140 Top 55-68 Loss -105 7 h 7 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 32-6 ATS and the play is on the over.

03-05-18 Delaware State v. North Carolina A&T UNDER 138 Top 61-62 Win 100 6 h 30 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 105-50 ATS and the play is on the under.

03-04-18 76ers v. Bucks UNDER 208 Top 110-118 Loss -105 10 h 13 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 316-183 ATS and the play is on the under.

03-04-18 Pelicans v. Mavs UNDER 223 Top 126-109 Loss -102 9 h 12 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 316-183 ATS and the play is on the under.

03-04-18 Pacers v. Wizards UNDER 209.5 Top 98-95 Win 100 8 h 13 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 316-183 ATS and the play is on the under.

02-27-18 Kings v. Blazers UNDER 210.5 Top 99-116 Loss -105 15 h 7 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 132-85 ATS and the play is on the under.

02-25-18 Rockets v. Nuggets UNDER 228 Top 119-114 Loss -105 12 h 23 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 310-177 ATS and the play is on the under.

02-25-18 Pelicans v. Bucks OVER 222.5 Top 123-121 Win 100 7 h 22 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 219-123 ATS and the play is on the over.

02-24-18 Mavs v. Jazz UNDER 205.5 Top 90-97 Win 100 14 h 32 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 244-137 ATS and the play is on the under.

02-24-18 Bulls v. Wolves OVER 219 Top 104-122 Win 100 14 h 30 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 84-46 ATS and the play is on the over.

02-24-18 Celtics v. Knicks UNDER 208 Top 121-112 Loss -110 12 h 7 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 244-137 ATS and the play is on the under.

02-24-18 Grizzlies v. Heat OVER 195 Top 89-115 Win 100 12 h 1 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 33-5 ATS and the play is on the over.

02-23-18 Wolves v. Rockets OVER 226.5 Top 102-120 Loss -110 8 h 48 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 108-67 ATS, and the play is on the over.

02-22-18 76ers v. Bulls UNDER 214 Top 116-115 Loss -102 10 h 22 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 131-82 ATS, and the play is on the under.

02-18-18 Loyola-Chicago v. Evansville UNDER 127.5 Top 76-66 Loss -105 6 h 31 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 78-33 ATS, and the play is on the under.

02-15-18 Lakers v. Wolves OVER 226 Top 111-119 Win 100 9 h 13 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 216-123 ATS, and the play is on the over.

02-14-18 Suns v. Jazz UNDER 209.5 Top 97-107 Win 100 11 h 48 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 130-81 ATS, and the play is on the under.

02-14-18 Raptors v. Bulls UNDER 217 Top 122-98 Loss -105 11 h 2 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 130-81 ATS, and the play is on the under.

02-14-18 Wizards v. Knicks UNDER 208 Top 118-113 Loss -109 11 h 32 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 242-137 ATS, and the play is on the under.

02-13-18 Virginia v. Miami-FL UNDER 119.5 Top 59-50 Win 100 8 h 52 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 113-57 ATS, and the play is on the under.

02-13-18 Hawks v. Bucks UNDER 209.5 Top 92-97 Win 100 7 h 58 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 241-137 ATS, and the play is on the under.

02-12-18 Pelicans v. Pistons OVER 220 Top 118-103 Win 100 7 h 9 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 504-350 ATS, and the play is on the over.

02-12-18 Knicks v. 76ers UNDER 211.5 Top 92-108 Win 100 7 h 31 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 240-137 ATS, and the play is on the under. (Sorry for the confusion, I made a mistake on the last entry).

02-11-18 Mavs v. Rockets OVER 218.5 Top 97-104 Loss -105 11 h 13 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 216-122 ATS, and the play is on the over.

02-11-18 Pistons v. Hawks UNDER 210.5 Top 115-118 Loss -107 8 h 42 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 310-175 ATS, and the play is on the under.

02-11-18 Raptors v. Hornets UNDER 215.5 Top 123-103 Loss -100 5 h 13 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 310-175 ATS, and the play is on the under.

02-10-18 Virginia Tech v. Virginia UNDER 130.5 Top 61-60 Win 100 10 h 46 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 113-57 ATS, and the play is on the under.

02-07-18 Jazz v. Grizzlies UNDER 202 Top 92-88 Win 100 10 h 19 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 239-134 ATS, and the play is on the under.

02-07-18 Nets v. Pistons UNDER 209.5 Top 106-115 Loss -105 9 h 20 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 239-134 ATS, and the play is on the under.

02-07-18 Virginia v. Florida State UNDER 130.5 Top 59-55 Win 100 9 h 9 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 113-61 ATS, and the play is on the under.

02-06-18 Grizzlies v. Hawks UNDER 204.5 Top 82-108 Win 100 6 h 38 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 238-134 ATS and the play is on the under.

02-04-18 Lakers v. Thunder UNDER 218.5 Top 108-104 Win 100 5 h 6 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 127-81 ATS, and the play is on the under.

02-04-18 Bucks v. Nets UNDER 209 Top 109-94 Win 100 3 h 7 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 236-134 ATS, and the play is on the under.

02-04-18 Grizzlies v. Raptors UNDER 208 Top 86-101 Win 100 3 h 6 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 236-134 ATS, and the play is on the under.

02-04-18 Blazers v. Celtics OVER 202 Top 96-97 Loss -110 3 h 5 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 504-349 ATS, and the play is on the over.

02-03-18 Warriors v. Nuggets UNDER 230 Top 108-115 Win 100 11 h 56 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 232-106 ATS, and the play is on the under.

02-02-18 Blazers v. Raptors OVER 214.5 Top 105-130 Win 100 5 h 21 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 503-349 ATS and the play is on the over.

02-02-18 Lakers v. Nets UNDER 217.5 Top 102-99 Win 100 5 h 19 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 68-39 ATS and the play is on the under.

01-31-18 Knicks v. Celtics UNDER 208 Top 73-103 Win 100 11 h 31 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 313-197 ATS, and the play is on the under.

01-31-18 Grizzlies v. Pacers UNDER 204 Top 101-105 Loss -108 9 h 26 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 236-132 ATS, and the play is on the under.

01-29-18 Celtics v. Nuggets UNDER 206 Top 111-110 Loss -110 7 h 23 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 236-131 ATS, and the play is on the under.

01-28-18 Clippers v. Pelicans UNDER 227.5 Top 112-103 Win 100 7 h 13 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 125-81 ATS and the play is on the under.

01-28-18 Bucks v. Bulls UNDER 215 Top 110-96 Win 100 7 h 44 m Show

This game fits a situation that is 556-419 ATS and the play is on the under.

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